Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1469 Scott Adams： Don't Miss My Impression of Negotiating With the Taliban, Plus Persuasion Lessons

00:00:00.000 Oh, la-da-da-da-da. 0.91

00:00:03.220 Hey, everybody.

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00:00:34.540 Go.

00:00:41.140 Well, you're probably hearing a little bit of a hum

00:00:43.180 from my air conditioning that'll turn off in a moment.

00:00:46.980 If you get bad sound on one of these platforms,

00:00:50.180 switch to the other.

00:00:51.880 So at the moment, on YouTube,

00:00:54.160 you can find me by searching for Real Coffee with Scott Adams,

00:00:58.220 or you can find me on Locals,

00:01:01.340 and you have subscribers, of course.

00:01:04.400 But at the moment, both platforms are open,

00:01:06.920 so you can see them both.

00:01:08.440 If one of them's not working,

00:01:10.080 just go to my Twitter feed.

00:01:11.280 You'll see the link to the other that I sent today.

00:01:14.760 All right.

00:01:16.360 Here's the first item today.

00:01:18.480 As you know, Larry Elder is running for governor

00:01:21.420 in the recall election with Gavin Newsom.

00:01:23.460 He's the leading person who's not Gavin Newsom,

00:01:27.560 and it looks like he's got a real shot.

00:01:30.140 He's definitely in striking distance.

00:01:32.760 And full disclosure,

00:01:35.020 Larry Elder did reach out to me

00:01:37.640 and asked me to communicate with his team,

00:01:42.080 which I plan to do.

00:01:44.560 But I thought I'd test this out, his slogan.

00:01:48.340 His current slogan,

00:01:49.220 if he hasn't changed it in the last few days,

00:01:51.660 is I'm in it to win it.

00:01:54.000 I'm in it to win it.

00:01:55.600 Now, I thought that was a little bit too much about him

00:01:58.400 and not enough about the state.

00:02:01.320 So I did a little Twitter poll,

00:02:03.600 very unscientific,

00:02:04.920 and I said,

00:02:05.720 which do you like better as a slogan for Larry Elder?

00:02:08.720 I'm in it to win it,

00:02:09.940 or make California livable again.

00:02:13.020 Now, I chose the livable part

00:02:15.680 because that captures all of the problems

00:02:18.260 from the fact that I can't go outside today

00:02:21.360 because there's too much smoke in the air from forest fires

00:02:24.740 to the fact that I can't go to a restaurant

00:02:27.400 without my mask on

00:02:28.760 to the fact, you know,

00:02:29.840 just, you know, crime, you name it.

00:02:32.320 I don't have electricity, water, reliably, anyway.

00:02:36.460 So we got all kinds of livability problems,

00:02:39.240 high taxes, et cetera.

00:02:40.340 So I thought that captured a lot.

00:02:42.200 So when I did it in my Twitter feed,

00:02:46.360 I did that little poll,

00:02:47.500 and 90% said they like

00:02:49.880 Make California Livable Again,

00:02:52.900 and a little over 9% said

00:02:56.460 his original slogan was better.

00:02:58.500 Now, does that mean he should switch immediately

00:03:01.360 to Make California Livable Again?

00:03:04.200 No, because it's not a good slogan.

00:03:06.680 It won, you know, 10 to 1

00:03:09.940 against his existing slogan,

00:03:12.420 but don't use that one.

00:03:14.400 It's a bad slogan because it's too Trumpy,

00:03:17.280 and it creates a problem

00:03:19.060 that you don't need to create

00:03:20.260 because he's already going to be painted

00:03:23.120 with whatever hatred the Democrats have for Trump.

00:03:26.960 So you want to put some distance there,

00:03:29.160 and I would modify it.

00:03:30.640 Instead of saying it Make California Livable Again,

00:03:33.240 which sounds too much like Make America Great Again,

00:03:37.120 how about just shorten it to

00:03:38.320 Let's Make California Livable.

00:03:41.780 Let's Make California Livable.

00:03:44.240 So now it doesn't sound like, you know, Trump,

00:03:47.400 but it also puts the livable in there,

00:03:49.960 and it also says let's,

00:03:52.220 meaning, you know, working together.

00:03:54.640 So it gets rid of the, you know,

00:03:56.320 I'm in it to win it,

00:03:57.340 which is a little too much about Larry,

00:03:59.340 and turns it into something

00:04:01.140 about making it more livable,

00:04:02.840 but we're all working together.

00:04:04.100 So, is it sexy?

00:04:07.280 Not really.

00:04:08.400 Not really.

00:04:09.220 So this is the way you would work through this process.

00:04:12.040 You would take some reasonable guesses

00:04:13.880 based on what you know about persuasion and about people,

00:04:17.260 and then you'd have to test it.

00:04:19.840 So if you think I can come up with a winning slogan

00:04:23.740 just by brainstorming, you're wrong.

00:04:26.400 I mean, I could, but it'd just be luck.

00:04:28.240 More likely, you just come up with a bunch of ideas

00:04:31.260 and test them until you get one that works.

00:04:33.440 So that's how the process works.

00:04:35.600 The funniest response to Obama having his birthday party,

00:04:41.540 and then I guess he pared it down from a larger crowd

00:04:44.380 to a still large but smaller crowd,

00:04:46.820 and he had to go through the embarrassing process

00:04:49.680 of uninviting people who had been invited.

00:04:53.180 Imagine that.

00:04:54.340 Can you imagine having a party

00:04:55.520 and inviting all these famous people,

00:04:57.620 and then you have to uninvite the famous people?

00:05:02.180 Ouch! 1.00

00:05:03.660 That's pretty rugged.

00:05:05.160 I can't think of anything that would be

00:05:06.620 more socially awkward

00:05:08.400 than uninviting all these people

00:05:10.000 who already made plans,

00:05:11.720 travel plans, move their schedule.

00:05:14.220 And these are important people, right?

00:05:16.340 So I guess people like David Axelrod

00:05:18.240 got uninvited.

00:05:19.300 Now, I'm not sure people like that matter

00:05:22.960 because they probably saw Obama plenty.

00:05:25.520 But I think Stephen Colbert got uninvited.

00:05:31.520 One of the people who got uninvited was Larry David.

00:05:34.720 And apparently Larry David was worried

00:05:36.440 that they were going to ask him to do some comedy there,

00:05:39.080 and he couldn't come up with any good jokes for the situation.

00:05:43.080 And so when they called him and told him

00:05:45.100 that he was uninvited,

00:05:47.580 he screamed,

00:05:48.720 Thank you!

00:05:49.360 Thank you!

00:05:51.560 Then I hung up the phone,

00:05:53.320 poured myself a drink,

00:05:54.380 and finished my crossword puzzle.

00:05:55.880 Now, you think to yourself,

00:05:59.260 isn't that a terrible day

00:06:00.500 when you get uninvited to Obama's birthday party?

00:06:03.580 Like you'd be all excited?

00:06:05.340 I felt exactly like Larry David did in this.

00:06:09.020 I remember hearing a story,

00:06:10.340 this is a true story,

00:06:11.200 about Charles Schultz being invited to the White House.

00:06:15.420 I think during, I don't know,

00:06:16.460 Reagan administration or something.

00:06:18.780 And Charles Schultz got invited to some state dinner

00:06:21.500 at the White House,

00:06:22.640 and he turned it down.

00:06:24.640 And I asked him why he turned down

00:06:27.320 an invitation to the White House.

00:06:29.580 Like, who turns down an invitation to the White House?

00:06:32.620 Seriously, who turns that down?

00:06:35.720 Charles Schultz does.

00:06:37.260 You know why he turned it down?

00:06:38.360 He said, I already did that.

00:06:41.200 He'd been there once.

00:06:44.180 Didn't see another reason to do it again.

00:06:46.860 So when Larry David turns down Obama's birthday party

00:06:50.300 and feels like he just avoided a bunch of work,

00:06:55.400 I thought to myself,

00:06:58.220 I think that's exactly how I would have felt.

00:07:02.040 If I had been invited and then uninvited,

00:07:04.560 I would just feel relieved.

00:07:05.840 I'd be like, oh, thank God

00:07:07.720 I don't have to make conversation with Beyonce. 1.00

00:07:09.480 I'm just using her as an example.

00:07:13.220 I think making conversation with Beyonce would be fun.

00:07:17.720 Let's talk about Afghanistan.

00:07:19.620 Even Jake Tapper is giving the Biden administration

00:07:23.180 a serious spanking on CNN,

00:07:25.920 asking them pointedly how they got it so wrong.

00:07:28.920 Now, of course, Trump is not out of the woods here

00:07:31.220 because he started the process,

00:07:32.860 and maybe the government was bound by it,

00:07:35.780 but maybe not.

00:07:36.980 I mean, we're not really bound by it, are we?

00:07:39.860 Any agreements?

00:07:41.820 So there's plenty of blame to go around,

00:07:43.880 but Biden gets the most of it

00:07:45.440 because it happens on his watch,

00:07:47.100 and I suppose he could have pivoted

00:07:48.900 and could have changed something and didn't.

00:07:50.980 But he also made the big mistake

00:07:52.420 of predicting it would go fine.

00:07:53.900 Who was it who advised Biden,

00:07:58.100 all right, if they ask you

00:07:59.640 how things are going to go in Afghanistan

00:08:01.740 once we pull out our troops,

00:08:04.740 tell them it'll be fine.

00:08:08.060 Who gave him that advice?

00:08:10.860 Or did he come up with that on his own?

00:08:13.240 Like, what did that look like?

00:08:14.920 Did people laugh when they said it?

00:08:17.280 Tell them it'll be fine.

00:08:18.520 No, seriously, just tell them it'll be fine.

00:08:24.260 The Taliban, flexible. 0.85

00:08:27.000 If there's anything you can say about the Taliban,

00:08:29.980 those guys are flexible,

00:08:32.220 and they know they've gone too far.

00:08:34.880 Oh, we've gone too far now.

00:08:36.160 We'll back up a little bit.

00:08:38.140 So that's how the Taliban works. 0.69

00:08:39.660 Well, do you believe that Biden ever believed

00:08:43.860 that things would go fine

00:08:45.080 and that we'd train the Afghan government

00:08:47.400 to defend itself?

00:08:48.940 Do you think he thought that?

00:08:50.880 Do you think anybody thought that?

00:08:52.940 Do you think Trump thought that

00:08:54.100 when he started the process?

00:08:55.520 I don't think so.

00:08:56.720 I think every single person knew

00:08:58.560 that the Taliban would take over fairly quickly.

00:09:02.380 I mean, we're surprised at how quickly it happened,

00:09:04.360 but you knew it was going to happen, right?

00:09:07.020 Did anybody not know it was going to happen?

00:09:09.220 And, of course, that's because

00:09:10.140 the Afghan government is thoroughly corrupt

00:09:12.600 and can't be fixed.

00:09:14.560 So, did Biden just lie to us

00:09:20.860 when Biden told us things would be fine?

00:09:24.360 Was that what I would call a convenient lie?

00:09:27.860 Because the thing that was going to happen is

00:09:31.160 we were going to withdraw

00:09:32.460 and a lot of our allies who fought with us

00:09:37.840 and should not die are going to be killed. 0.94

00:09:40.320 We know that's going to happen.

00:09:43.480 Was it a good lie,

00:09:46.340 meaning it was more benefit than cost,

00:09:49.480 was it a good lie

00:09:50.680 to tell the public,

00:09:52.200 oh, yeah, that would be fine

00:09:53.720 until the process is too far along to stop it?

00:09:57.620 Because it's going to happen, right?

00:10:00.260 You can't really manage the unmanageable.

00:10:02.480 It was going to happen anyway.

00:10:04.240 So, I think it gave the government,

00:10:06.200 Biden administration,

00:10:07.300 a little bit of cover

00:10:08.260 so that they could say,

00:10:10.700 oops, I wish I'd known

00:10:13.420 that all of our allies were going to be slaughtered.

00:10:16.680 Oops.

00:10:17.440 I mean, if we'd known that in the beginning,

00:10:19.460 we wouldn't have pulled out

00:10:21.360 because we're not that kind of people.

00:10:24.060 Oops.

00:10:25.180 Who saw it?

00:10:26.000 I guess it was just a failure of intelligence.

00:10:28.580 We tried really hard.

00:10:30.420 Guys, we tried to save you,

00:10:32.700 but we didn't see it coming.

00:10:35.000 Blindsided.

00:10:36.740 It seems to me like it was an intentional lie.

00:10:40.320 We don't know

00:10:41.200 because we can't read Biden's addled brain.

00:10:44.940 But it feels like he knew it was going to happen

00:10:47.360 and he just told us it wasn't going to happen

00:10:49.700 so that he could say,

00:10:50.820 well, I didn't see it coming.

00:10:52.600 If I'd known all our allies were going to be slaughtered,

00:10:55.360 I would have tried harder to prevent it.

00:10:57.620 But now we're out of Afghanistan.

00:11:00.340 So, I'm not even sure I mind.

00:11:03.360 Do you?

00:11:05.140 Let me ask you in the comments.

00:11:06.400 If you knew for sure

00:11:08.280 that Biden just lied to the country

00:11:11.080 and said, yeah, it'll be fine,

00:11:12.940 but it was the only way to get us out of there.

00:11:15.380 Are you okay with it?

00:11:18.340 Because I actually am.

00:11:20.320 If that was a bold-faced lie,

00:11:22.800 I'm okay with it.

00:11:24.640 Because it would have been,

00:11:26.280 under this hypothesis,

00:11:28.060 it would have been a lie

00:11:29.140 for the benefit of the country

00:11:30.320 that would have been maybe terrible

00:11:32.880 for the Afghan people,

00:11:35.060 but it would be America first.

00:11:37.940 And it would be something

00:11:38.660 that was going to happen anyway,

00:11:39.860 sooner or later.

00:11:41.780 So, yeah, I mean, you could have,

00:11:43.120 I think you could allow for differences

00:11:45.160 of opinion on this,

00:11:46.980 but sometimes the government

00:11:48.800 needs to lie to you. 0.57

00:11:50.480 And military operations

00:11:53.020 are the one place

00:11:54.100 that we do give,

00:11:56.480 we expressly give our government

00:11:58.140 a permission to lie to us, right?

00:12:00.280 I mean, kind of.

00:12:01.680 We kind of say,

00:12:02.720 if it's in our interest,

00:12:04.620 and we find out later

00:12:05.680 that you lied to us,

00:12:06.760 but as long as it was in our interest,

00:12:08.380 we're going to be okay with that, right?

00:12:11.800 Really.

00:12:12.380 In the real world, we are.

00:12:15.740 And I'm wondering what the,

00:12:17.380 now we're hearing that the Afghan government

00:12:19.220 is negotiating with the Taliban,

00:12:21.200 and I'm wondering what that looks like

00:12:23.980 in the context of the Taliban

00:12:25.460 being on the verge of taking over everything

00:12:27.980 no matter what.

00:12:29.520 How does that negotiation go?

00:12:32.160 Well, I'd like to give you my impression

00:12:34.140 of negotiating with the Taliban.

00:12:36.280 Yeah, that's why you come here.

00:12:38.320 It's for the impressions.

00:12:42.060 And the impressions go like this.

00:12:45.140 Scene.

00:12:47.680 Mr. Taliban, 0.91

00:12:48.820 thank you for coming here

00:12:50.140 to negotiate with the Afghan government.

00:12:52.400 And your first offer is very generous.

00:12:56.340 You've offered to behead all of our children

00:12:58.220 and use their heads as soccer balls

00:12:59.940 for your fighters.

00:13:02.680 And I'd like to push back on that a little bit

00:13:05.080 and say that perhaps

00:13:07.620 you could spare two of my children,

00:13:10.700 two of my five,

00:13:12.000 use three of their heads for soccer balls, 0.99

00:13:14.560 and two of them,

00:13:15.380 just leave them alone. 0.95

00:13:18.840 Taliban says,

00:13:20.480 I understand your offer.

00:13:22.780 I can see why you'd make that offer.

00:13:24.600 But here's my next offer.

00:13:26.320 We're going to use all five

00:13:27.820 of your children's heads for soccer balls, 0.96

00:13:29.520 and we're going to rape your wife 1.00

00:13:31.160 in front of you.

00:13:31.680 And the Afghan government guy says,

00:13:34.420 OK, OK,

00:13:35.340 I think we're making some progress.

00:13:37.260 How about you behead all five of my children,

00:13:41.000 but you don't hurt my wife?

00:13:44.260 And the Taliban says,

00:13:45.460 OK, OK,

00:13:46.220 good offer.

00:13:47.640 Here's what we'll do.

00:13:49.200 We'll use your children's heads for soccer balls, 1.00

00:13:51.840 we'll rape your wife in front of you 1.00

00:13:53.320 and kill her, 0.99

00:13:54.180 and then we'll kill you 0.97

00:13:55.260 so it doesn't bother you.

00:13:56.220 And the Afghan guy says,

00:13:58.580 well, that would solve my problem.

00:14:01.100 It is the best offer I'm going to get.

00:14:04.080 I guess I'll take it.

00:14:06.280 I guess I'll take it.

00:14:08.120 And that is what I call

00:14:09.820 negotiating with the Taliban.

00:14:12.000 Scene.

00:14:14.560 Well,

00:14:16.500 or maybe they would just negotiate to,

00:14:19.120 you could kill my in-laws. 0.74

00:14:21.480 Anyway.

00:14:21.920 So I would like to give you

00:14:24.620 the most optimistic thought

00:14:26.420 about Afghanistan.

00:14:29.340 This will not happen.

00:14:31.520 I'm not predicting this will happen.

00:14:33.360 But it could happen.

00:14:34.960 Not impossible.

00:14:36.260 Did you see the video of the Taliban 0.90

00:14:37.740 finding all these perfectly intact

00:14:40.340 stocks of weapons

00:14:42.400 that we left behind?

00:14:43.900 Like all these big-ass weapons,

00:14:45.500 you know,

00:14:45.680 the rifles that are as big as a car

00:14:47.980 and stuff.

00:14:49.380 You see the Taliban 0.96

00:14:50.520 just happily picking up

00:14:52.260 all the major weapons.

00:14:55.080 How many of those weapons

00:14:56.820 do you think have

00:14:57.500 tracking devices in them?

00:15:01.720 I'm just asking.

00:15:03.220 We left all this heavy equipment there.

00:15:06.040 You don't think we have

00:15:06.800 any tracking devices in them?

00:15:09.560 Nobody thought of that?

00:15:11.540 Now, I don't know.

00:15:14.220 Yeah, I mean,

00:15:15.120 I'm seeing in the comments

00:15:16.200 I thought of that.

00:15:17.700 I mean,

00:15:17.940 half of you in the comments

00:15:18.980 thought of that.

00:15:20.520 Now, I don't know

00:15:21.260 how hard it would be

00:15:22.320 to locate the tracking devices

00:15:24.800 in each of them,

00:15:26.200 but I don't feel

00:15:27.260 that the Taliban 0.98

00:15:27.860 are too sophisticated.

00:15:30.260 I feel like

00:15:30.960 if they got some good

00:15:32.560 heavy equipment,

00:15:33.660 you could probably hide

00:15:34.620 a tracking device

00:15:35.620 in one of them.

00:15:37.260 Couldn't you?

00:15:37.600 I don't know.

00:15:39.340 Secondly,

00:15:40.120 the process of taking

00:15:41.280 over a country

00:15:42.060 guarantees that

00:15:43.100 your fighters

00:15:43.760 are visible

00:15:44.620 and that where

00:15:46.340 you meet people,

00:15:47.880 it would be visible

00:15:48.720 and your armies

00:15:50.200 would no longer

00:15:50.800 be spread out

00:15:51.620 and hiding.

00:15:52.660 They'd be right 0.99

00:15:53.240 where you could see them.

00:15:55.460 If we wanted to,

00:15:57.600 could we wait

00:15:58.280 three weeks

00:15:58.880 and destroy 0.82

00:15:59.520 the Taliban

00:16:00.080 completely

00:16:00.740 just because

00:16:02.220 they'd be visible,

00:16:03.720 either through

00:16:04.420 the tracking devices

00:16:05.620 that may or may not exist,

00:16:07.760 or the fact that

00:16:08.860 once they're

00:16:09.420 the legitimate government,

00:16:11.680 they're out in the open.

00:16:13.320 They would probably

00:16:13.840 have military exercises.

00:16:15.720 They would all

00:16:16.080 just be in one place.

00:16:17.040 You could just

00:16:17.380 bomb them all together.

00:16:19.760 I don't know.

00:16:20.420 I don't think

00:16:20.960 it's worth saving

00:16:22.220 anything in Afghanistan.

00:16:24.360 I don't think

00:16:24.740 the government

00:16:25.260 showed that it was

00:16:26.200 worthy of saving.

00:16:28.200 And I don't think

00:16:29.320 we have any interest there.

00:16:31.320 I'm just saying,

00:16:32.540 if it was

00:16:33.500 a clever, clever plan,

00:16:35.620 it would have been

00:16:37.340 kind of clever,

00:16:38.720 but it's not going to happen.

00:16:41.880 You saw me speculating,

00:16:43.800 I think it was

00:16:44.660 even yesterday,

00:16:45.800 that I didn't understand

00:16:46.840 the question

00:16:47.480 of how vaccinations

00:16:49.340 could make

00:16:50.500 more variants.

00:16:52.360 Because that's a common

00:16:53.440 thing that's on the internet,

00:16:54.540 right?

00:16:55.280 A lot of people say,

00:16:56.360 no,

00:16:56.820 the vaccinations

00:16:58.300 just create this filter

00:17:00.100 that might stop

00:17:01.700 the regular virus,

00:17:02.820 but the variants

00:17:04.240 will be

00:17:05.860 unleashed.

00:17:08.520 To which I said,

00:17:10.000 explain to me

00:17:11.380 how having

00:17:12.020 less infection,

00:17:14.180 because that's what

00:17:14.820 the vaccine will do,

00:17:16.760 will cause fewer people

00:17:17.740 to be infected.

00:17:18.620 You can still get infected

00:17:19.720 if you have it,

00:17:21.120 but it would vastly

00:17:22.160 reduce the rate

00:17:23.040 of infection,

00:17:23.760 at least.

00:17:24.760 How could reducing

00:17:25.760 the rate of infection

00:17:26.880 create more variants?

00:17:30.140 It seems to me,

00:17:31.980 without being a scientist,

00:17:34.100 that the more virus

00:17:35.400 there is in the world,

00:17:36.920 the more total amount

00:17:38.500 of virus in people,

00:17:40.300 the more variants.

00:17:43.240 How could that be wrong?

00:17:45.020 So if the vaccine

00:17:45.920 reduces the total amount

00:17:47.820 of people who could

00:17:48.700 have the virus,

00:17:49.520 it's still more than ever,

00:17:51.440 but it's less than it would

00:17:52.520 be without the vaccination,

00:17:53.980 isn't that a smaller pool

00:17:55.620 of potential variants?

00:18:00.140 Well, it turns out

00:18:01.480 that there was

00:18:01.860 a recent study,

00:18:02.780 University of Maryland,

00:18:04.320 in which they showed

00:18:05.280 that full vaccination

00:18:06.260 against COVID

00:18:07.000 actually suppresses variants,

00:18:09.400 exactly like I said,

00:18:12.880 exactly like I assumed.

00:18:15.640 How could more variants

00:18:17.940 not create,

00:18:20.620 how could more virus

00:18:21.700 not create more variants,

00:18:22.880 and how could reducing

00:18:23.780 the total amount

00:18:24.560 of variants

00:18:25.020 do anything

00:18:26.560 but decrease

00:18:27.780 the risk of variants?

00:18:30.140 So, of course,

00:18:31.420 you know,

00:18:31.720 those are not

00:18:32.160 the only variables.

00:18:33.980 Yeah, I'm sure

00:18:34.600 I'm missing some mechanisms there.

00:18:37.500 I can say that

00:18:38.340 fairly confidently.

00:18:39.640 But it didn't seem to me

00:18:41.380 that anybody

00:18:41.980 had ever described

00:18:43.360 a mechanism

00:18:44.420 in which a variance

00:18:45.540 could be increased

00:18:46.640 by vaccination.

00:18:48.000 I'd heard experts say it,

00:18:49.780 but when it came to,

00:18:51.040 well, explain why,

00:18:52.880 why does that do it?

00:18:53.800 I never heard

00:18:55.580 an explanation.

00:18:57.180 So if this study holds up,

00:19:00.920 and of course,

00:19:01.540 remember,

00:19:02.120 studies are maybe

00:19:02.880 50% reliable.

00:19:05.360 I've been criticized

00:19:06.820 quite rightly,

00:19:08.220 I'll say.

00:19:08.940 This would be

00:19:09.520 one of those criticisms

00:19:10.480 that I accept uncritically,

00:19:13.040 that I often say

00:19:14.300 when a study agrees with me,

00:19:15.960 it sounds pretty good.

00:19:17.520 And when a study disagrees with me,

00:19:19.500 I say,

00:19:19.820 well,

00:19:20.600 kind of sketchy study.

00:19:21.700 So I would say,

00:19:23.380 take that same warning

00:19:24.840 with this study.

00:19:25.620 It might not be true,

00:19:26.840 but it does agree with me.

00:19:28.520 So that makes it seem

00:19:29.380 more credible than...

00:19:31.620 Yeah,

00:19:31.920 ask Brett Weinstein.

00:19:33.320 Well,

00:19:33.520 I've watched

00:19:34.000 some of Brett's content

00:19:35.600 on that,

00:19:36.220 but I don't think

00:19:37.060 I ever saw

00:19:37.740 the mechanism.

00:19:40.280 Anyway,

00:19:40.760 my common sense

00:19:41.560 told me

00:19:42.040 that it would come out

00:19:42.640 this way,

00:19:43.180 and so I did the study.

00:19:44.480 But we don't know

00:19:45.280 if either of us

00:19:45.860 are right yet.

00:19:47.680 You probably saw

00:19:48.480 on the internet

00:19:49.220 a graph

00:19:50.640 that shows you

00:19:51.500 who's the most

00:19:52.180 skeptical

00:19:52.780 of vaccinations.

00:19:54.800 And you find

00:19:55.760 that the people

00:19:56.260 with the least education

00:19:57.940 are the most skeptical.

00:20:00.140 Oh, wait.

00:20:01.860 Also,

00:20:02.360 PhDs.

00:20:03.920 So the two most

00:20:05.080 skeptical groups

00:20:06.460 are the least educated

00:20:08.220 and the most educated.

00:20:11.180 The people

00:20:12.060 who are most comfortable

00:20:13.340 with vaccinations

00:20:14.220 are the people

00:20:15.700 who have, say,

00:20:16.260 a master's degree

00:20:17.240 or a four-year

00:20:18.240 college degree.

00:20:18.960 So they're not

00:20:20.780 as educated

00:20:21.500 as the PhDs,

00:20:22.700 but they're far more

00:20:23.600 educated than

00:20:24.280 the uneducated.

00:20:26.320 So what's that

00:20:27.200 tell you?

00:20:28.060 Well, it's been

00:20:28.780 passed around

00:20:30.720 the internet

00:20:31.100 as evidence

00:20:31.940 that the PhDs,

00:20:33.280 the most informed

00:20:34.080 to people,

00:20:34.900 are most skeptical

00:20:36.060 and therefore

00:20:37.220 so should you be

00:20:38.200 because the smart

00:20:39.620 people are skeptical.

00:20:42.480 Do you buy that?

00:20:43.740 Who's on board

00:20:44.460 with that thinking?

00:20:45.100 If the PhDs

00:20:47.260 are the most skeptical,

00:20:49.000 shouldn't you be?

00:20:51.060 Right?

00:20:52.640 Well, let me tell you

00:20:54.040 some real-world

00:20:55.120 information about

00:20:56.020 PhDs.

00:20:58.140 Number one,

00:21:00.620 what is your PhD in?

00:21:03.200 If your PhD

00:21:04.340 is economics,

00:21:06.640 like Andres

00:21:07.700 Backhouse,

00:21:08.640 you know,

00:21:08.900 I mention him

00:21:09.560 all the time

00:21:10.080 from Twitter,

00:21:12.000 if that's your

00:21:12.920 PhD,

00:21:14.900 then yes.

00:21:16.100 Yes,

00:21:16.480 you should definitely

00:21:17.200 listen to that person

00:21:18.200 and give them

00:21:18.780 a little bit more weight

00:21:19.920 than somebody

00:21:21.660 who doesn't have

00:21:22.380 a degree in economics

00:21:23.580 because economics

00:21:24.680 teaches you

00:21:25.280 decision-making.

00:21:26.980 It teaches you

00:21:27.500 how to weigh

00:21:27.880 the costs

00:21:28.340 and benefits

00:21:28.800 of things.

00:21:30.200 Now,

00:21:30.380 suppose you had

00:21:30.820 a PhD in literature.

00:21:33.620 What good is that?

00:21:35.520 Can you make

00:21:36.300 better medical decisions

00:21:38.860 because you've got

00:21:39.660 a PhD in literature?

00:21:40.780 In the real world,

00:21:44.300 how many have had

00:21:45.180 this example?

00:21:45.960 Watch the comments

00:21:46.920 now.

00:21:47.600 How many of you

00:21:48.420 have worked

00:21:48.780 in a big corporation

00:21:49.660 and worked with

00:21:51.160 people who have

00:21:51.800 PhDs?

00:21:54.120 Were they the

00:21:55.260 smart ones?

00:21:56.880 Did you notice

00:21:57.540 that all the people

00:21:58.180 with the PhDs

00:21:58.960 made all the good

00:21:59.600 decisions?

00:22:00.880 And the people

00:22:01.360 who didn't have them

00:22:02.100 couldn't make

00:22:02.660 good decisions?

00:22:04.560 Nope.

00:22:06.400 Nope.

00:22:08.300 People who have

00:22:09.100 a master's degree,

00:22:10.160 the people

00:22:11.020 who are the

00:22:11.460 least skeptical

00:22:12.300 would be people

00:22:13.320 like me.

00:22:14.640 So I have

00:22:15.420 also a master's

00:22:16.460 degree in business.

00:22:18.200 So if you have

00:22:19.000 an MBA,

00:22:20.220 what do you learn?

00:22:22.240 Decision-making.

00:22:23.640 You literally

00:22:24.360 got a degree

00:22:25.000 in how to make

00:22:25.500 good decisions.

00:22:26.820 Risk analysis.

00:22:28.060 I've got two.

00:22:29.700 One degree

00:22:30.240 in economics

00:22:30.980 teaches you

00:22:32.000 how to make

00:22:32.340 decisions.

00:22:33.360 One degree

00:22:33.960 in an MBA

00:22:35.680 teaches you

00:22:37.220 how to make

00:22:37.520 decisions.

00:22:37.880 So if you

00:22:39.780 put me

00:22:40.120 in the same

00:22:40.540 room with

00:22:40.940 a PhD

00:22:41.480 in literature,

00:22:43.200 who would

00:22:43.760 you trust?

00:22:45.080 It's not

00:22:45.640 even close.

00:22:46.820 It's not

00:22:47.340 even close.

00:22:47.980 You would

00:22:48.280 trust me

00:22:48.680 every time

00:22:49.220 if you're

00:22:50.100 smart.

00:22:50.900 Which is

00:22:51.460 not to say

00:22:51.900 I'm right.

00:22:53.120 Being right

00:22:53.780 is slightly

00:22:54.300 different than

00:22:54.900 being credible.

00:22:56.580 Well,

00:22:57.000 not slightly

00:22:57.480 different,

00:22:57.980 completely

00:22:58.320 different than

00:22:59.060 being credible.

00:23:00.460 But PhDs

00:23:01.540 are not

00:23:01.840 credible unless

00:23:03.220 they have the

00:23:03.860 right PhD.

00:23:04.500 And if

00:23:05.580 you just

00:23:05.840 average

00:23:06.320 PhDs

00:23:06.980 together,

00:23:07.500 you get

00:23:08.060 some weird

00:23:08.680 soup of

00:23:09.400 people who

00:23:10.360 are highly

00:23:10.860 trained to

00:23:11.580 make decisions.

00:23:13.020 So now

00:23:13.680 let's compare

00:23:14.240 me with

00:23:14.940 my two

00:23:15.400 degrees

00:23:15.900 in decision

00:23:17.320 making.

00:23:18.340 Can I

00:23:18.900 analyze things

00:23:19.920 as well as

00:23:20.500 let's say

00:23:20.980 Andres

00:23:21.880 with a PhD

00:23:23.220 in economics?

00:23:24.920 Nope.

00:23:25.860 Nope.

00:23:26.480 I'm nowhere

00:23:26.900 near as good

00:23:27.500 as he is

00:23:28.020 at doing

00:23:28.440 the same

00:23:29.020 thing I'm

00:23:29.420 trained at.

00:23:30.380 The very

00:23:30.900 thing I'm

00:23:31.220 trained at,

00:23:31.720 he does

00:23:32.200 better than

00:23:32.580 me because

00:23:32.940 he has a

00:23:33.240 higher degree.

00:23:33.680 And proves

00:23:34.800 it all the

00:23:35.200 time.

00:23:36.260 So,

00:23:37.380 yeah,

00:23:37.700 don't believe

00:23:38.400 that the

00:23:38.680 PhDs are

00:23:39.340 where you

00:23:39.600 need to

00:23:39.880 get your

00:23:40.300 decision

00:23:41.360 making from.

00:23:42.960 All right,

00:23:43.260 how about

00:23:43.580 this?

00:23:44.080 So vaccine

00:23:44.720 passports

00:23:45.300 being rolled

00:23:45.780 out in

00:23:46.520 New York

00:23:46.880 City,

00:23:47.420 probably

00:23:47.680 other places,

00:23:49.020 and I'm

00:23:50.820 in favor

00:23:51.160 of that.

00:23:52.800 Surprise?

00:23:54.200 I'm just

00:23:54.800 saying this

00:23:55.160 to get you

00:23:55.460 all riled

00:23:55.880 up.

00:23:56.860 So there's

00:23:57.440 a twist

00:23:57.820 at the end.

00:23:59.200 But I'm

00:23:59.960 in favor

00:24:00.380 of New

00:24:00.800 York City

00:24:01.300 having

00:24:02.420 vaccine

00:24:03.400 passports,

00:24:04.440 so you

00:24:04.780 can't do

00:24:05.180 indoor stuff

00:24:05.960 mostly,

00:24:06.500 I guess,

00:24:07.180 unless you

00:24:07.620 got one

00:24:07.920 of those

00:24:08.220 passports.

00:24:09.180 Why am

00:24:09.620 I in

00:24:09.900 favor of

00:24:10.280 it?

00:24:12.060 Because I

00:24:12.540 don't live

00:24:12.800 there.

00:24:13.880 I don't

00:24:14.400 live in

00:24:14.640 New York

00:24:14.880 City.

00:24:15.740 And I

00:24:16.240 do think

00:24:16.800 that we

00:24:17.840 should be

00:24:18.260 testing

00:24:18.700 different

00:24:19.220 processes

00:24:19.760 in different

00:24:20.560 places.

00:24:20.920 So if

00:24:22.000 New York

00:24:22.280 City wants

00:24:22.800 to test

00:24:23.600 this,

00:24:24.780 I think

00:24:25.640 they should.

00:24:26.860 Because

00:24:27.260 wouldn't you

00:24:27.620 like to

00:24:27.920 know if it

00:24:28.280 works?

00:24:29.560 My

00:24:29.900 anticipation

00:24:30.860 is that

00:24:31.460 it won't

00:24:31.760 work,

00:24:32.920 meaning that

00:24:33.400 there will

00:24:33.560 be no

00:24:33.940 noticeable

00:24:34.400 difference

00:24:34.920 in the

00:24:36.040 infection

00:24:36.480 rate.

00:24:37.360 But don't

00:24:37.720 you want

00:24:37.980 to test

00:24:38.340 it?

00:24:39.800 Because

00:24:40.280 even if

00:24:41.160 you're

00:24:41.380 completely

00:24:42.000 against

00:24:42.460 vaccination

00:24:43.720 passports,

00:24:45.760 and I

00:24:46.440 oppose them,

00:24:47.140 I'm one of

00:24:47.540 the people

00:24:47.840 who opposed

00:24:48.200 them,

00:24:48.620 but even

00:24:48.960 if you're

00:24:49.320 completely

00:24:49.660 against

00:24:50.020 them,

00:24:51.120 don't you

00:24:51.480 want to

00:24:51.680 know if

00:24:51.900 they work?

00:24:53.540 Because we

00:24:54.200 might have

00:24:54.620 to make

00:24:54.880 the decision

00:24:55.380 even if

00:24:55.820 you don't

00:24:56.060 like it.

00:24:56.460 You could

00:24:57.160 easily imagine

00:24:59.760 that we'll

00:25:01.000 be forced

00:25:01.540 into making

00:25:02.080 a decision

00:25:02.580 we don't

00:25:02.960 want to

00:25:03.200 make at

00:25:03.460 all.

00:25:04.980 Let's say

00:25:05.520 there's

00:25:05.740 another

00:25:05.980 variant,

00:25:07.060 and it's

00:25:07.280 just death.

00:25:10.380 Maybe.

00:25:11.060 I'd like to

00:25:11.580 know if it

00:25:11.920 worked,

00:25:12.300 and it's

00:25:12.600 not my

00:25:13.020 city,

00:25:13.760 so I'm

00:25:14.140 glad somebody's

00:25:14.840 trying it.

00:25:15.420 At least

00:25:15.720 we'll find

00:25:16.420 out.

00:25:17.300 But I

00:25:17.940 would add

00:25:18.240 this to

00:25:18.600 that.

00:25:20.000 And again,

00:25:20.560 let me say

00:25:20.900 clearly,

00:25:21.520 I oppose

00:25:22.000 vaccine

00:25:22.620 passports

00:25:23.280 in the

00:25:23.580 United

00:25:23.800 States.

00:25:24.820 Although if

00:25:25.420 somebody wants

00:25:25.900 to visit

00:25:26.260 from another

00:25:26.800 country,

00:25:28.080 maybe they

00:25:28.980 need to

00:25:29.240 be vaccinated

00:25:29.920 with the

00:25:31.620 right kind

00:25:31.940 of vaccination.

00:25:33.360 But here's

00:25:33.900 what I would

00:25:34.280 add to this.

00:25:34.900 I think if

00:25:35.420 your doctor

00:25:35.980 writes you

00:25:36.480 a note

00:25:37.020 that says

00:25:38.640 you're the

00:25:38.980 kind of

00:25:39.300 person who

00:25:39.680 has low

00:25:40.160 BMI,

00:25:41.000 so you're

00:25:41.280 not obese,

00:25:42.280 you're not

00:25:43.420 too old,

00:25:44.160 let's say

00:25:44.480 under 40

00:25:45.180 or 50,

00:25:45.760 whatever your

00:25:46.180 doctor decides,

00:25:47.460 and you

00:25:48.000 don't have

00:25:48.380 other major

00:25:49.060 comorbidities,

00:25:50.720 why can't

00:25:51.160 your doctor

00:25:51.740 write you

00:25:52.240 a letter

00:25:53.360 that says

00:25:54.100 that you're

00:25:55.320 as good

00:25:55.780 as vaccinated.

00:25:58.380 Because in

00:25:58.980 both cases

00:25:59.520 you can get

00:26:00.200 it,

00:26:00.740 I guess

00:26:01.060 being vaccinated

00:26:01.840 a little

00:26:02.240 less chance

00:26:02.900 of getting

00:26:03.180 it.

00:26:03.920 But I

00:26:06.600 would think

00:26:06.980 that that

00:26:07.420 should count.

00:26:08.480 If you can

00:26:08.940 get a doctor

00:26:09.620 to say,

00:26:10.600 for whatever

00:26:11.140 reason,

00:26:12.140 that your

00:26:12.560 risk is

00:26:13.020 low.

00:26:13.260 The whole

00:26:14.240 point of

00:26:14.600 the passport

00:26:15.240 is to

00:26:16.040 have only

00:26:17.040 low-risk

00:26:17.620 people in

00:26:18.240 the room,

00:26:18.960 right?

00:26:20.100 So why not

00:26:20.900 add that?

00:26:21.300 I know

00:26:21.980 you're going

00:26:22.260 to add

00:26:22.640 to that

00:26:23.780 people who

00:26:24.280 have already

00:26:26.100 gotten infected

00:26:26.880 and can

00:26:27.340 prove it,

00:26:28.080 and I

00:26:28.500 would add

00:26:28.760 those as

00:26:29.180 well.

00:26:30.000 I mean,

00:26:30.200 your doctor

00:26:30.640 could also

00:26:31.200 test you,

00:26:32.480 find out

00:26:32.920 you have

00:26:33.180 antibodies,

00:26:34.400 write you

00:26:34.820 a letter.

00:26:36.560 So,

00:26:36.980 yeah,

00:26:37.800 if you're

00:26:38.460 going to

00:26:38.680 do vaccine

00:26:39.320 passports,

00:26:39.960 you need

00:26:40.380 to include

00:26:40.900 all the

00:26:41.440 low-risk

00:26:41.840 people,

00:26:42.700 because

00:26:42.920 otherwise

00:26:43.160 it's just

00:26:43.580 crazy.

00:26:45.080 All right.

00:26:47.020 How about

00:26:47.680 hospital capacity?

00:26:49.540 Let's put

00:26:50.040 this under

00:26:50.580 fake news

00:26:52.620 of the day.

00:26:53.560 Fake news.

00:26:54.520 Fake news.

00:26:55.680 Hospital capacity.

00:26:57.500 This is

00:26:57.880 fake news.

00:26:59.700 Why?

00:27:00.860 Which part

00:27:01.520 is fake news?

00:27:02.580 Is it

00:27:02.960 fake news

00:27:03.560 that the

00:27:03.880 hospitals are

00:27:04.480 being crushed,

00:27:05.940 or is it

00:27:07.280 fake news

00:27:07.900 that they're

00:27:08.320 not?

00:27:09.040 Because you're

00:27:09.400 seeing both,

00:27:10.000 right?

00:27:10.460 You're seeing

00:27:10.900 reports that

00:27:11.520 some hospitals

00:27:12.320 are crushed

00:27:13.000 and some

00:27:13.920 are not.

00:27:14.500 Well,

00:27:14.820 it turns out

00:27:15.300 that there's

00:27:15.700 a hospital

00:27:16.260 capacity

00:27:16.960 checker.

00:27:18.460 It's very

00:27:19.000 good,

00:27:19.320 actually.

00:27:19.720 I think

00:27:20.360 it's a

00:27:20.640 CDC site.

00:27:21.960 It shows

00:27:22.360 you every

00:27:23.020 hospital in

00:27:23.700 the United

00:27:23.960 States and

00:27:24.880 color codes

00:27:25.740 them by

00:27:27.060 how impacted

00:27:28.740 they are.

00:27:29.500 So I

00:27:29.900 checked my

00:27:30.360 local area,

00:27:31.480 and sure

00:27:31.820 enough,

00:27:32.300 there are

00:27:32.780 hospitals that

00:27:33.640 are at

00:27:34.580 capacity.

00:27:36.740 Yikes.

00:27:38.560 There are

00:27:39.100 hospitals in

00:27:39.760 my area,

00:27:40.700 which I

00:27:41.280 don't think

00:27:41.640 is a

00:27:41.920 hotspot at

00:27:42.960 all,

00:27:43.740 but the

00:27:44.340 hospitals are

00:27:45.200 at capacity.

00:27:46.040 But fake

00:27:49.420 news,

00:27:50.420 fake news,

00:27:52.160 only some

00:27:53.020 of them

00:27:53.260 are.

00:27:54.400 Others are

00:27:54.960 low.

00:27:56.020 They're not

00:27:56.340 even high

00:27:56.920 capacity.

00:27:57.660 They're not

00:27:58.360 even toward

00:27:59.720 the top.

00:28:00.800 They're right

00:28:01.360 in the middle.

00:28:03.220 Why is that?

00:28:04.340 Why is one

00:28:05.400 hospital at

00:28:06.660 capacity and

00:28:07.540 the one right

00:28:07.980 next to it

00:28:08.520 is not?

00:28:09.500 And how do

00:28:10.120 you judge

00:28:10.500 that?

00:28:11.320 Because don't

00:28:12.380 you send

00:28:12.900 people to

00:28:13.640 other hospitals

00:28:14.600 for sharing

00:28:17.560 capacity?

00:28:19.360 Somebody says

00:28:20.180 because it's

00:28:20.720 smaller.

00:28:22.140 Oh, that's

00:28:22.840 actually not a

00:28:23.680 bad theory.

00:28:25.500 Location?

00:28:26.840 Well, I'm

00:28:27.360 saying that the

00:28:27.900 locations are

00:28:28.720 near each

00:28:29.280 other.

00:28:29.940 They're almost

00:28:30.900 walking distance,

00:28:31.860 and one is at

00:28:33.320 capacity and the

00:28:34.060 other is not.

00:28:34.980 Literally walking

00:28:35.740 distance.

00:28:37.960 Yes.

00:28:38.700 So I think

00:28:39.160 some of the

00:28:39.800 answer has to

00:28:40.480 do with

00:28:40.780 specialty.

00:28:41.520 Some of it

00:28:41.980 has to do

00:28:42.520 with, I

00:28:43.580 would guess,

00:28:44.500 some hospitals

00:28:45.200 are specialty

00:28:46.540 for COVID,

00:28:48.200 have more

00:28:48.580 capacity.

00:28:49.400 If you knew

00:28:50.020 one hospital

00:28:50.640 was great

00:28:51.420 at handling

00:28:51.860 COVID,

00:28:52.940 wouldn't you

00:28:53.380 send everybody

00:28:54.000 there until

00:28:54.540 it reached

00:28:54.840 capacity?

00:28:56.420 I mean,

00:28:56.900 if the best

00:28:57.840 hospitals are

00:28:59.080 at capacity,

00:29:00.100 it kind of

00:29:00.900 means you're

00:29:01.220 doing everything

00:29:01.680 right,

00:29:02.780 doesn't it?

00:29:03.800 But I don't

00:29:04.200 know if that's

00:29:04.700 the case.

00:29:05.220 Maybe it's

00:29:05.600 not the best

00:29:06.220 ones that are

00:29:06.660 at capacity.

00:29:08.080 So here's

00:29:09.220 what's true

00:29:09.720 and what's

00:29:10.100 false.

00:29:10.980 Some hospitals

00:29:11.680 are at

00:29:12.040 capacity in

00:29:12.920 the very

00:29:13.400 same areas

00:29:14.460 as hospitals

00:29:15.880 are nowhere

00:29:16.360 near capacity.

00:29:19.820 Can somebody

00:29:20.860 give me a

00:29:21.660 little explanation

00:29:22.500 of why that

00:29:23.220 is?

00:29:24.140 Wouldn't you

00:29:24.580 expect all

00:29:25.460 of the

00:29:25.860 hospitals to

00:29:26.620 be sort of

00:29:27.100 moving in

00:29:27.580 unison?

00:29:28.480 Because as

00:29:29.180 one fills up,

00:29:30.240 the capacity

00:29:30.800 moves over to

00:29:31.480 the others,

00:29:32.460 and yeah,

00:29:32.900 maybe there'd

00:29:33.280 be a little

00:29:33.620 lag.

00:29:34.860 But wouldn't

00:29:35.240 they be moving

00:29:35.820 together,

00:29:36.780 largely?

00:29:37.060 But they're

00:29:37.780 not.

00:29:38.880 Some are

00:29:39.460 largely

00:29:39.960 full and

00:29:41.940 some are

00:29:42.160 not.

00:29:43.540 Now, if

00:29:44.880 I had seen

00:29:45.960 the results,

00:29:46.980 like my

00:29:47.460 entire area

00:29:48.200 was very

00:29:48.660 similar,

00:29:49.840 then I'd

00:29:50.220 say, oh,

00:29:50.640 we're in

00:29:51.020 trouble.

00:29:52.240 But if it's

00:29:52.740 only some

00:29:53.180 hospitals, and

00:29:54.220 I don't know

00:29:54.540 how many,

00:29:54.940 20% maybe,

00:29:56.120 it look like,

00:29:57.080 I don't know

00:29:58.020 what that

00:29:58.260 means.

00:29:59.260 So I would

00:29:59.800 say that the

00:30:00.360 news we're

00:30:00.900 getting about

00:30:01.460 hospital capacity

00:30:02.420 is either

00:30:03.120 incorrect or

00:30:04.760 lacks some

00:30:05.560 kind of

00:30:05.940 context, so

00:30:06.820 we can't

00:30:07.260 really figure

00:30:07.740 out if it's

00:30:08.420 a problem

00:30:08.760 or not.

00:30:09.860 You know,

00:30:10.100 the usual

00:30:10.500 problem,

00:30:11.200 bad data.

00:30:15.400 I have a

00:30:16.260 feeling that

00:30:17.400 we may be

00:30:18.100 seeing a

00:30:18.700 long-term

00:30:19.520 trend toward

00:30:20.360 depopulating

00:30:21.260 cities.

00:30:23.140 Because,

00:30:23.840 you know,

00:30:24.160 it started

00:30:24.520 with the

00:30:24.840 pandemic,

00:30:25.400 of course,

00:30:26.180 but I

00:30:27.820 feel as if

00:30:28.400 the long-term

00:30:29.160 risk of

00:30:29.900 living in a

00:30:30.460 dense place

00:30:31.200 isn't worth

00:30:31.820 it anymore.

00:30:33.020 Because you

00:30:33.700 don't need to

00:30:34.200 live in a

00:30:34.620 dense place

00:30:35.280 to have a

00:30:36.240 job,

00:30:37.300 because you

00:30:37.680 can do

00:30:37.920 everything

00:30:38.220 remotely now,

00:30:39.120 so that's

00:30:39.540 different.

00:30:40.320 You don't

00:30:40.920 want the 0.55

00:30:41.260 commute,

00:30:41.780 of course,

00:30:42.240 you don't

00:30:42.460 want the 0.55

00:30:42.760 crime,

00:30:43.520 but mostly,

00:30:44.300 I don't

00:30:44.480 want to

00:30:44.760 live in an

00:30:45.180 area that's

00:30:45.680 an easy

00:30:46.080 target.

00:30:48.140 We're

00:30:48.620 entering a

00:30:49.620 time when

00:30:50.380 an ordinary

00:30:50.900 person can

00:30:51.600 build a

00:30:51.960 weapon of

00:30:52.380 mass

00:30:52.620 destruction.

00:30:54.060 Let me

00:30:54.540 say that

00:30:54.900 again.

00:30:56.000 We're

00:30:56.320 rapidly

00:30:56.720 entering a

00:30:57.300 time when

00:30:58.000 an ordinary

00:30:58.620 person can

00:31:00.180 create a

00:31:00.640 weapon of

00:31:01.060 mass

00:31:01.300 destruction.

00:31:01.800 It would

00:31:02.860 probably have

00:31:03.260 a biological

00:31:03.920 agent and

00:31:05.000 a small

00:31:05.340 drone, and

00:31:06.680 you could

00:31:06.920 just attack

00:31:08.180 a city.

00:31:08.580 Now, if you

00:31:10.160 had such

00:31:10.900 ability, you

00:31:12.360 could personally

00:31:13.320 make a mass

00:31:14.700 weapon, where

00:31:15.980 would you use

00:31:16.520 it?

00:31:17.440 Would you come

00:31:18.160 to my town,

00:31:19.300 where everything

00:31:19.960 is sort of

00:31:20.340 spread out and

00:31:21.000 there are no

00:31:21.300 high-rises?

00:31:22.320 No, no.

00:31:23.320 You would never

00:31:23.860 attack my town

00:31:24.880 because the number

00:31:26.340 of people you

00:31:26.840 could kill would

00:31:27.480 be low because

00:31:28.240 we're sort of

00:31:28.740 spread out

00:31:29.220 here.

00:31:29.960 You would

00:31:30.300 only attack

00:31:30.820 a city.

00:31:32.140 So I've

00:31:32.660 got a feeling

00:31:33.140 that just

00:31:33.700 living in a

00:31:34.300 city will

00:31:35.000 be one

00:31:35.400 attack after

00:31:36.060 another until

00:31:36.740 they just

00:31:37.080 become depopulated.

00:31:40.900 What's it

00:31:41.480 say?

00:31:42.740 Many jobs

00:31:43.720 cannot be done

00:31:44.640 online, you

00:31:45.980 old fool.

00:31:49.140 Right.

00:31:50.060 But if you

00:31:50.680 depopulate the

00:31:51.500 city, you

00:31:54.200 have far

00:31:55.060 fewer jobs

00:31:56.740 that need

00:31:57.220 to be done

00:31:57.560 in general.

00:31:59.060 All right.

00:32:00.160 So I think

00:32:00.660 cities are

00:32:01.160 just going to

00:32:01.760 in the long

00:32:02.240 term will

00:32:02.680 disappear.

00:32:04.440 But slowly.

00:32:07.340 Here's an

00:32:07.900 interesting data.

00:32:09.000 I haven't seen

00:32:09.340 anybody talk

00:32:09.880 about this,

00:32:10.420 but as you

00:32:10.980 know, vaccine

00:32:11.940 hesitancy has

00:32:12.820 been very high

00:32:13.900 in the black

00:32:14.700 population of

00:32:15.980 the United

00:32:16.360 States.

00:32:17.440 Now we all

00:32:18.100 know why,

00:32:19.240 right?

00:32:19.620 You don't

00:32:20.080 have to be

00:32:20.400 like a genius

00:32:21.020 to figure out

00:32:21.620 why black 1.00

00:32:22.120 people would

00:32:22.620 have less

00:32:23.580 trust in the

00:32:24.360 government.

00:32:25.720 Has anything

00:32:26.480 ever happened

00:32:27.080 to black

00:32:27.520 people in

00:32:28.000 this country

00:32:28.500 because of

00:32:30.700 the government?

00:32:32.080 Oh, yeah.

00:32:33.140 Yeah.

00:32:33.540 Like everything.

00:32:35.360 So, yeah,

00:32:36.020 it makes

00:32:36.260 complete sense

00:32:37.120 that the

00:32:37.540 black population

00:32:38.340 as well as

00:32:39.020 it makes

00:32:39.260 sense that

00:32:39.760 the conservative

00:32:41.160 population would

00:32:42.640 be the most

00:32:43.320 hesitant.

00:32:44.080 But here's

00:32:44.600 the interesting

00:32:45.300 part.

00:32:46.340 The hesitancy

00:32:47.240 has dropped

00:32:48.100 rapidly among

00:32:49.620 black people.

00:32:51.080 Whereas everybody

00:32:52.020 else's hesitancy

00:32:52.960 is also trending

00:32:53.840 down, meaning

00:32:54.840 that every day

00:32:55.940 that goes by

00:32:56.420 we know more

00:32:57.040 about the

00:32:57.440 risk of the

00:32:57.960 vaccination.

00:32:58.980 So it makes

00:32:59.320 sense that

00:32:59.760 everybody's

00:33:00.320 hesitancy is

00:33:01.000 going down

00:33:01.560 because they're

00:33:02.540 working.

00:33:03.360 And we haven't

00:33:04.240 seen people

00:33:04.740 dropping dead

00:33:05.420 on the streets

00:33:06.260 so much.

00:33:08.340 But why is

00:33:09.300 black hesitation

00:33:10.540 dropping faster

00:33:11.640 than everybody

00:33:12.160 else's?

00:33:12.580 By a lot.

00:33:13.540 I mean, it's

00:33:13.920 very dramatic

00:33:14.800 if you look

00:33:15.280 at the lines.

00:33:16.840 And I'd say

00:33:17.440 two reasons.

00:33:18.260 Number one

00:33:18.780 would be whoever

00:33:19.880 had the most

00:33:20.600 hesitancy probably

00:33:21.680 is going to get

00:33:22.180 the fastest rate

00:33:22.980 of drop,

00:33:23.660 just as we

00:33:24.200 inform people.

00:33:24.780 So it might

00:33:25.520 be just that

00:33:26.340 they started

00:33:26.840 from a different

00:33:27.980 base than

00:33:28.460 everybody else.

00:33:29.100 It could be

00:33:29.320 the whole story.

00:33:30.780 But I would

00:33:32.500 add one little

00:33:33.480 bit about it,

00:33:34.040 which is I

00:33:35.380 think the

00:33:35.880 black population

00:33:36.740 in this country,

00:33:37.660 like many

00:33:38.180 others, are

00:33:39.380 a, I'll call

00:33:40.140 it a microculture,

00:33:42.500 meaning that

00:33:43.100 mostly you talk

00:33:43.940 to yourself,

00:33:45.860 which would be

00:33:46.760 true for lots

00:33:47.400 of microcultures

00:33:48.540 within the

00:33:49.040 United States.

00:33:49.600 you know, if

00:33:50.180 you're Hispanic

00:33:51.400 or you're, let's

00:33:52.320 say you're in

00:33:52.680 the immigrant

00:33:53.400 culture, you

00:33:56.500 probably talk to

00:33:58.000 other immigrants

00:33:58.580 a lot.

00:33:59.280 So it doesn't

00:34:00.120 surprise me that

00:34:01.620 the black folks

00:34:03.880 in the United

00:34:04.660 States may have

00:34:05.980 been talking to

00:34:06.620 each other, but

00:34:08.060 now, you know,

00:34:08.980 they're sort of,

00:34:09.760 the information

00:34:10.680 is so widespread

00:34:11.760 that, you know,

00:34:13.040 everybody's getting

00:34:13.700 it from everywhere

00:34:14.300 at this point.

00:34:15.060 So it kind of

00:34:15.480 makes sense that

00:34:16.100 there would be a

00:34:16.520 delay just because

00:34:18.080 the communication

00:34:18.820 would have to

00:34:19.480 penetrate, you

00:34:20.980 know, let's

00:34:21.680 say a culture

00:34:22.600 that talks to

00:34:23.280 itself.

00:34:24.420 And then once

00:34:25.220 it did, then it

00:34:26.260 makes a difference.

00:34:26.840 That's probably

00:34:27.220 what's happening.

00:34:28.180 So there was

00:34:28.860 an interesting

00:34:29.420 meme that went

00:34:30.980 around.

00:34:34.780 It looks like we

00:34:35.680 didn't lose our

00:34:36.420 signal here after

00:34:37.480 28 minutes.

00:34:38.540 So I think the

00:34:39.620 locals platform

00:34:41.540 must have fixed

00:34:42.180 that bug.

00:34:43.240 It wasn't a bug,

00:34:43.960 actually, it was a

00:34:44.680 testing limit because

00:34:47.140 we're still in beta.

00:34:48.820 It looks like they

00:34:49.880 took that limit

00:34:50.420 off.

00:34:51.100 Anyway, there was

00:34:52.960 a meme that went

00:34:53.540 around that got a

00:34:54.600 lot of play, and I

00:34:55.300 want to talk about

00:34:55.800 how persuasive it

00:34:56.940 was.

00:34:57.340 So here's what it

00:34:58.320 was.

00:34:58.520 It was a little

00:34:58.940 black and white

00:35:00.220 meme, and there's

00:35:01.520 a photo of Rod

00:35:02.300 Serling from the

00:35:03.120 old Twilight Zone

00:35:04.620 series.

00:35:06.220 And so it was a

00:35:07.260 good image, so that

00:35:08.100 was the first thing

00:35:08.660 going to be.

00:35:08.940 And here's the

00:35:09.580 text.

00:35:10.540 It said,

00:35:11.040 imagine a vaccine

00:35:12.100 so safe you have

00:35:13.760 to be threatened to

00:35:14.740 take it.

00:35:15.620 And then there's a

00:35:16.340 picture of Rod

00:35:16.920 Serling.

00:35:17.220 And then at

00:35:18.060 the bottom it

00:35:18.520 says, for a

00:35:19.520 disease so deadly

00:35:20.620 you have to be

00:35:21.640 tested to know

00:35:22.420 you have it.

00:35:23.980 All right, so I'll

00:35:24.540 read it again as

00:35:25.400 one.

00:35:26.040 Imagine a vaccine

00:35:26.880 so safe you have

00:35:27.800 to be threatened

00:35:28.360 to take it.

00:35:29.640 For a disease so

00:35:30.600 deadly you have to

00:35:31.760 be tested to know

00:35:32.880 you have it.

00:35:34.480 It's pretty good

00:35:35.340 persuasion.

00:35:36.380 Now, it's good

00:35:37.760 persuasion that won't

00:35:38.540 change anybody's

00:35:39.200 mind because people

00:35:40.880 are locked in on

00:35:41.840 their opinions on

00:35:42.680 the vaccinations and

00:35:43.860 stuff.

00:35:44.080 For the most

00:35:45.160 part.

00:35:45.580 I mean, it's a

00:35:46.000 very slow change.

00:35:48.440 But let me tell

00:35:49.220 you what works

00:35:50.260 about it.

00:35:50.940 Number one, it's

00:35:51.580 visual.

00:35:52.600 So the picture of

00:35:53.360 Rod Serling with

00:35:54.320 the little swirly

00:35:55.240 lines like something

00:35:56.280 weird is going on

00:35:57.360 draws you in.

00:35:58.920 If you've ever

00:35:59.420 seen the difference

00:36:00.060 between a tweet

00:36:01.700 that has an image

00:36:03.520 versus a tweet

00:36:04.600 that's just text,

00:36:06.060 the viral tweets

00:36:07.160 are mostly the ones

00:36:09.240 with images.

00:36:10.640 So just adding an

00:36:11.560 image to a tweet,

00:36:12.260 so here's your

00:36:12.920 first recommendation.

00:36:15.060 If you're trying

00:36:15.440 to build users

00:36:17.500 or followers on

00:36:18.680 Twitter, add

00:36:20.720 images.

00:36:22.060 Images get your

00:36:23.220 retweets.

00:36:24.620 So I signed up

00:36:26.120 for a stock

00:36:27.200 service, stock

00:36:28.020 photos, iStock,

00:36:29.660 I guess I'm using.

00:36:31.120 And so if I have

00:36:32.200 a tweet that I

00:36:32.820 think could be

00:36:33.620 viral and it's

00:36:34.620 just going to be

00:36:35.120 text, I'll get

00:36:36.200 some generic image

00:36:38.100 and watch the

00:36:39.280 retweets just go

00:36:40.140 through the roof.

00:36:40.700 You can test it

00:36:42.100 yourself.

00:36:43.480 It's a very

00:36:44.160 obvious effect.

00:36:45.140 Add an image

00:36:45.700 and your

00:36:46.000 retweets just jump.

00:36:47.440 So if you're

00:36:47.860 trying to build

00:36:48.520 Twitter followers

00:36:50.000 without images,

00:36:51.220 you're really just

00:36:52.100 marching through

00:36:53.080 quicksand there.

00:36:54.280 The next thing is

00:36:55.320 that the image

00:36:55.840 of Rod Serling

00:36:56.520 is a great

00:36:57.520 priming image

00:36:58.680 because over

00:37:01.200 a certain age,

00:37:02.260 young people

00:37:02.860 don't know

00:37:03.400 Rod Serling,

00:37:04.380 but over a

00:37:04.820 certain age,

00:37:05.660 it's a very

00:37:06.220 familiar,

00:37:08.300 let's say it's

00:37:08.940 an image you like,

00:37:09.800 you understand

00:37:10.780 it, as soon

00:37:12.000 as you see

00:37:12.480 it, you start

00:37:13.380 hearing the

00:37:13.860 music, and you

00:37:16.580 think, oh, it's

00:37:17.180 a crazy world

00:37:18.020 and anything

00:37:18.500 bizarre could

00:37:19.100 happen.

00:37:19.700 So it's perfect

00:37:20.300 priming.

00:37:21.320 So you've got a

00:37:21.940 visual, that's

00:37:23.400 good, great,

00:37:24.420 really.

00:37:25.360 You've got priming

00:37:26.520 to make you think

00:37:27.620 Twilight Zone-y

00:37:28.540 before they've

00:37:29.460 even done the

00:37:30.100 language.

00:37:31.500 And then it

00:37:31.940 uses the word

00:37:32.500 imagine.

00:37:33.460 It says,

00:37:33.920 imagine a

00:37:34.420 vaccine so safe.

00:37:35.700 I think that

00:37:37.000 word imagine

00:37:37.800 is strong

00:37:40.040 persuasion.

00:37:41.300 Now, I'm

00:37:41.780 speculating here.

00:37:42.740 This is not

00:37:43.200 based on some

00:37:43.860 scientific thing

00:37:44.640 I've seen.

00:37:45.560 But it

00:37:46.660 makes sense,

00:37:47.440 based on

00:37:47.800 everything I

00:37:48.260 know as a

00:37:49.100 trained hypnotist,

00:37:50.160 I tell you

00:37:50.560 too often,

00:37:51.740 that if you

00:37:53.460 put somebody's

00:37:54.140 mind into

00:37:54.780 imagination

00:37:55.300 mode, you

00:37:57.320 can persuade

00:37:57.940 them.

00:37:58.880 Better than

00:37:59.760 if you have

00:38:00.200 them in

00:38:00.560 critical thinking

00:38:01.440 mode.

00:38:02.320 And you

00:38:02.680 can tell if

00:38:03.260 somebody's in

00:38:03.800 imagination mode

00:38:04.700 versus critical

00:38:05.480 thinking.

00:38:06.000 You can

00:38:06.420 identify it.

00:38:08.140 And if

00:38:08.420 somebody's in

00:38:08.880 imagination mode,

00:38:09.900 then they let

00:38:10.540 the rules go

00:38:11.360 for a while.

00:38:12.480 Okay, I'll

00:38:12.960 imagine it.

00:38:13.820 I'll just use

00:38:14.260 my imagination.

00:38:15.500 When you're

00:38:15.900 imagining,

00:38:16.480 everything's

00:38:16.900 possible,

00:38:18.260 including

00:38:18.700 changing your

00:38:19.640 mind.

00:38:20.620 If you're in

00:38:21.080 data mode,

00:38:22.060 you're probably

00:38:22.600 locked in and

00:38:23.400 you're going to

00:38:23.780 reject any data

00:38:24.660 that doesn't

00:38:25.060 agree with you

00:38:25.560 anyway.

00:38:26.440 So I think

00:38:26.920 just telling

00:38:27.460 somebody to

00:38:28.040 imagine,

00:38:29.760 probably,

00:38:31.320 I don't have

00:38:31.940 science for

00:38:33.320 this,

00:38:33.880 but my

00:38:34.200 guess,

00:38:34.700 is that it

00:38:35.240 primes you

00:38:35.760 to be more

00:38:36.300 persuaded.

00:38:37.480 So I like

00:38:37.860 that part.

00:38:39.380 The next

00:38:40.080 part is

00:38:40.760 oversimplification,

00:38:43.060 especially if

00:38:43.980 that oversimplification

00:38:45.340 makes it sound

00:38:46.040 clever. 0.51

00:38:47.500 Have you ever

00:38:48.220 heard that

00:38:48.720 people who

00:38:49.220 are funny,

00:38:50.020 have a good

00:38:50.340 sense of

00:38:50.680 humor,

00:38:51.320 are considered

00:38:51.960 smarter?

00:38:53.440 It's true.

00:38:54.280 If you can

00:38:54.680 make somebody

00:38:55.140 laugh, they

00:38:56.580 think you're

00:38:57.000 smarter.

00:38:57.860 You just

00:38:58.180 seem smart.

00:38:59.500 Now, it

00:39:00.160 doesn't mean

00:39:00.560 that you're

00:39:00.800 smart, but

00:39:01.780 you do seem

00:39:02.360 smarter.

00:39:02.760 You know,

00:39:03.740 apparently the

00:39:04.540 studies show

00:39:05.040 that.

00:39:06.160 So if you

00:39:06.800 could do a

00:39:07.440 clever

00:39:07.760 oversimplification,

00:39:09.480 which is what

00:39:09.940 this meme

00:39:10.780 did, you

00:39:11.900 sound clever,

00:39:13.720 and you

00:39:14.480 sound funny,

00:39:15.880 and you

00:39:16.540 sound smarter.

00:39:17.880 Now, if you

00:39:18.620 sound smart,

00:39:20.060 people are more

00:39:20.600 likely to accept

00:39:21.840 what you said.

00:39:22.700 And if you

00:39:23.140 sound funny,

00:39:24.540 people are more

00:39:25.160 likely to accept

00:39:26.060 what you said.

00:39:26.620 because we

00:39:27.420 like it.

00:39:28.580 The same

00:39:29.060 reason you

00:39:29.480 like rhymes.

00:39:30.940 Apparently

00:39:31.280 there's science

00:39:32.040 that says if

00:39:32.740 you make

00:39:33.020 something rhyme,

00:39:34.620 as in if

00:39:35.620 the glove

00:39:35.940 doesn't fit,

00:39:36.620 you must

00:39:36.940 acquit,

00:39:37.680 people will

00:39:38.240 think it's

00:39:38.560 more persuasive

00:39:39.220 just because

00:39:39.640 it rhymes.

00:39:40.860 That's been

00:39:41.420 tested.

00:39:42.380 I mean,

00:39:42.720 it's weird,

00:39:44.120 but it's

00:39:44.420 been tested.

00:39:46.260 So I'll

00:39:47.780 read it again

00:39:48.460 and watch

00:39:49.040 how clever

00:39:49.840 this

00:39:50.760 simplification

00:39:51.340 is.

00:39:52.400 Imagine a

00:39:52.940 vaccine so

00:39:53.620 safe you

00:39:54.020 have to be

00:39:54.440 threatened to

00:39:54.920 take it

00:39:55.340 for a disease

00:39:56.520 so deadly

00:39:57.260 you have to

00:39:58.040 be tested

00:39:58.560 to know

00:39:59.020 you have

00:39:59.340 it.

00:40:00.000 Now the

00:40:00.360 form of

00:40:00.880 it is

00:40:01.180 not a

00:40:01.580 rhyme,

00:40:02.720 but it's

00:40:03.480 rhyme-like

00:40:04.500 because it

00:40:05.360 uses the

00:40:05.840 same form

00:40:06.560 for the

00:40:06.940 first sentence

00:40:07.540 as the

00:40:07.920 second,

00:40:08.800 you know,

00:40:09.100 to imagine

00:40:09.760 something

00:40:10.220 that's so

00:40:10.940 weird.

00:40:11.420 Imagine

00:40:11.720 something

00:40:12.120 so weird.

00:40:13.300 So I

00:40:13.640 think it

00:40:13.960 sort of

00:40:14.440 hits what

00:40:15.540 a rhyme

00:40:15.960 does to

00:40:16.800 your brain

00:40:17.260 without

00:40:17.520 being a

00:40:17.980 rhyme.

00:40:19.060 And it's

00:40:19.740 clever. 0.51

00:40:20.580 Now here's

00:40:21.220 the part

00:40:21.540 that is

00:40:21.840 completely

00:40:22.360 illegitimate.

00:40:24.560 Imagine

00:40:25.000 a vaccine

00:40:25.540 so safe

00:40:26.120 you have

00:40:26.380 to be

00:40:26.600 threatened

00:40:26.900 to take

00:40:27.320 it.

00:40:27.480 Well,

00:40:27.940 people

00:40:28.240 aren't

00:40:28.420 really

00:40:28.600 being

00:40:28.840 threatened.

00:40:30.220 They are

00:40:30.540 certainly

00:40:30.820 having

00:40:31.180 their rights

00:40:32.340 reduced.

00:40:34.500 I'm not

00:40:34.860 sure

00:40:35.020 threatened

00:40:35.440 is the

00:40:35.840 right word,

00:40:36.500 but it's

00:40:36.780 a good

00:40:37.400 oversimplification.

00:40:39.300 And for

00:40:39.740 a disease

00:40:40.140 so deadly

00:40:40.680 you have

00:40:40.980 to be

00:40:41.200 tested

00:40:41.560 to know

00:40:41.940 you have

00:40:42.280 it,

00:40:42.440 well,

00:40:42.760 that's

00:40:42.980 an

00:40:43.100 oversimplification.

00:40:44.460 If you

00:40:44.700 get into

00:40:45.040 the hospital

00:40:45.580 with low

00:40:46.880 oxygen

00:40:47.720 and no

00:40:48.400 other obvious

00:40:49.260 problem,

00:40:51.140 you know,

00:40:51.440 you probably

00:40:51.800 don't need

00:40:52.280 to test.

00:40:52.720 You probably

00:40:54.060 start treating

00:40:54.740 them before

00:40:55.200 you test.

00:40:56.160 I'm guessing.

00:40:57.560 If you came

00:40:58.100 in with all

00:40:58.680 of the symptoms

00:40:59.260 of COVID,

00:41:00.880 wouldn't they,

00:41:01.540 and you're

00:41:01.940 like near

00:41:02.420 death's door,

00:41:03.780 wouldn't they

00:41:04.280 slap the 0.62

00:41:04.800 Regeneron

00:41:05.360 into your

00:41:06.840 IV before

00:41:08.340 they even

00:41:08.760 had the

00:41:09.060 test to

00:41:09.500 know if

00:41:09.740 you really

00:41:10.000 had COVID?

00:41:10.900 I think

00:41:11.240 they would.

00:41:11.840 I mean,

00:41:12.080 I don't

00:41:12.300 know.

00:41:13.440 But,

00:41:14.200 so anyway,

00:41:14.760 these are

00:41:15.060 oversimplifications

00:41:15.920 to the point

00:41:16.520 of being

00:41:16.780 false,

00:41:17.460 but they're

00:41:17.720 still

00:41:18.000 persuasive.

00:41:19.200 All right,

00:41:20.420 here's something

00:41:20.900 that we need

00:41:21.560 for our

00:41:21.880 government.

00:41:22.340 We need

00:41:22.620 somebody to

00:41:23.060 negotiate

00:41:23.520 with our

00:41:24.040 own

00:41:24.220 government.

00:41:25.840 Now,

00:41:26.120 you say

00:41:26.320 to yourself,

00:41:26.880 you know,

00:41:27.160 you don't

00:41:27.380 need that.

00:41:27.880 That's what

00:41:28.160 Congress is

00:41:28.760 for.

00:41:29.540 Congress

00:41:29.980 negotiates

00:41:30.760 with itself

00:41:31.540 and with

00:41:32.560 the President

00:41:33.020 for the

00:41:34.180 benefit of

00:41:34.540 the people.

00:41:36.080 No,

00:41:36.400 they don't.

00:41:37.520 No,

00:41:37.760 they don't.

00:41:38.920 Congress

00:41:39.360 negotiates

00:41:40.000 for itself.

00:41:41.340 They're

00:41:41.620 trying to

00:41:42.020 keep their

00:41:42.380 jobs,

00:41:42.860 trying to

00:41:43.100 get elected.

00:41:44.040 Their

00:41:44.260 incentives

00:41:45.060 are not

00:41:46.760 yours.

00:41:48.100 You're

00:41:48.440 not even

00:41:48.800 on the

00:41:49.120 same

00:41:49.380 game.

00:41:50.280 They're

00:41:50.520 trying to

00:41:50.860 keep their

00:41:51.180 jobs.

00:41:51.640 You're

00:41:51.740 trying to

00:41:52.040 stay

00:41:52.220 alive.

00:41:53.140 It's

00:41:53.480 different.

00:41:54.860 So,

00:41:56.200 what would

00:41:56.960 happen if

00:41:57.500 you had

00:41:57.780 somebody who

00:41:58.380 could negotiate

00:41:59.140 with your

00:41:59.660 own government,

00:42:01.060 literally a

00:42:01.740 negotiator?

00:42:03.720 Now,

00:42:03.980 I don't know

00:42:04.260 how you could

00:42:04.580 actually do

00:42:04.980 that,

00:42:05.280 but here's

00:42:06.040 the point.

00:42:07.900 We have

00:42:08.480 this situation

00:42:09.040 coming up

00:42:09.580 where our

00:42:10.760 election systems

00:42:11.780 we know are

00:42:12.360 not transparent

00:42:13.240 and they're

00:42:14.480 not auditable.

00:42:15.880 Now,

00:42:16.200 they're not

00:42:16.500 transparent in

00:42:17.360 the sense that

00:42:17.820 you don't know

00:42:18.240 what's happening

00:42:18.720 in the

00:42:19.040 electronics.

00:42:20.220 You don't

00:42:20.480 know what

00:42:20.680 the software

00:42:21.180 is really

00:42:21.600 doing.

00:42:22.500 You don't

00:42:22.860 know what

00:42:23.180 the servers

00:42:23.860 are doing,

00:42:24.600 any of the

00:42:25.140 counting stuff,

00:42:26.560 because we

00:42:26.960 can't get

00:42:27.340 access to

00:42:27.860 the code.

00:42:29.440 And apparently

00:42:30.320 you can't

00:42:31.100 audit everything

00:42:31.740 because there

00:42:32.280 are lots of

00:42:32.680 records that

00:42:33.300 are lost.

00:42:34.720 People don't

00:42:35.540 label things.

00:42:36.640 There's about

00:42:37.320 20 different

00:42:37.900 reasons that you

00:42:38.560 can't actually

00:42:39.200 audit these

00:42:39.760 things,

00:42:40.180 and especially

00:42:40.840 the digital

00:42:42.300 portion is

00:42:42.860 hard to

00:42:43.140 audit.

00:42:44.100 So,

00:42:44.480 here's what

00:42:44.940 I would

00:42:45.160 do.

00:42:46.020 If I

00:42:46.700 were a

00:42:48.080 negotiator

00:42:48.800 for the

00:42:49.160 public,

00:42:50.260 I would

00:42:50.840 say,

00:42:51.280 we're not

00:42:52.000 going to

00:42:52.260 vote until

00:42:53.940 you make

00:42:54.380 the elections

00:42:54.940 transparent and

00:42:55.840 auditable.

00:42:57.260 I would

00:42:57.860 literally say,

00:42:58.800 here's the deal,

00:42:59.780 we're just not

00:43:00.180 going to vote.

00:43:01.500 Negotiating on

00:43:02.280 behalf of the

00:43:02.920 public, I'm

00:43:04.080 going to say,

00:43:04.840 we're done.

00:43:06.080 You fix the

00:43:06.940 election, and

00:43:08.180 then we'll

00:43:08.580 vote.

00:43:09.420 So that's what

00:43:10.000 I would negotiate.

00:43:10.960 No vote until

00:43:12.020 you fix the

00:43:12.540 election.

00:43:12.780 There's a

00:43:16.580 quote I saw

00:43:17.220 that's attributed

00:43:18.380 to Mark

00:43:18.880 Twain, but

00:43:19.380 apparently he

00:43:19.860 never said

00:43:20.320 this, but I

00:43:22.160 like it anyway.

00:43:23.040 If voting

00:43:23.500 made any

00:43:23.940 difference, they 0.96

00:43:24.480 wouldn't let

00:43:24.860 us do it.

00:43:26.480 That's another

00:43:27.180 one of those

00:43:27.660 oversimplifications.

00:43:29.680 Like, it's not

00:43:30.300 true, but it's

00:43:32.060 so simplified that

00:43:33.700 it sounds clever.

00:43:35.620 So whoever said

00:43:36.620 that's pretty

00:43:37.020 clever. 0.51

00:43:38.040 All right, here's

00:43:38.400 another thing I

00:43:39.060 would negotiate

00:43:39.600 with the

00:43:40.000 government.

00:43:41.100 So your

00:43:41.400 government is

00:43:42.040 asking you to

00:43:42.660 get vaccinated

00:43:43.320 and wear

00:43:43.820 masks in

00:43:45.140 the United

00:43:45.460 States.

00:43:47.260 But at the

00:43:48.040 same time, they

00:43:49.060 refuse to give

00:43:49.820 us the relevant

00:43:50.540 data to support

00:43:51.520 that decision.

00:43:53.100 The relevant

00:43:53.680 data to

00:43:55.080 support the

00:43:55.600 government telling

00:43:56.200 you to get

00:43:56.620 vaccinations and

00:43:57.580 wear masks would

00:43:58.920 be the number of

00:43:59.880 deaths and

00:44:00.600 hospitalizations in

00:44:02.320 every state from

00:44:04.000 COVID filtered by

00:44:05.800 age and BMI,

00:44:07.660 weight, obesity.

00:44:08.840 So if you don't

00:44:11.200 give us that

00:44:11.760 information every

00:44:12.620 day, we're not

00:44:14.160 going to get

00:44:14.440 vaccinated and

00:44:15.900 we're not going

00:44:16.280 to wear masks,

00:44:17.520 even though we

00:44:18.120 know we should.

00:44:19.280 Because lots of

00:44:20.480 times negotiating is

00:44:22.460 a process of

00:44:23.180 telling somebody that

00:44:24.380 you'll hurt

00:44:24.840 yourself rather

00:44:26.380 than make that

00:44:27.000 deal.

00:44:28.400 So you've got to

00:44:29.140 be willing to

00:44:29.620 hurt yourself to

00:44:30.980 negotiate well,

00:44:31.960 actually.

00:44:33.040 So I would say,

00:44:34.220 if I were

00:44:34.480 negotiating with

00:44:35.060 the government,

00:44:35.440 it's like, yeah,

00:44:36.140 great, I know

00:44:36.900 you want us to

00:44:37.380 get vaccination

00:44:38.000 and wear masks.

00:44:38.880 How about no?

00:44:40.520 How about no

00:44:41.320 until you give

00:44:42.920 us the minimum?

00:44:44.520 Which is,

00:44:45.640 every day,

00:44:47.040 national news,

00:44:48.860 tell us the

00:44:49.380 hospitalizations and

00:44:51.400 the deaths from

00:44:52.080 COVID by state

00:44:53.760 filtered by age

00:44:55.620 and BMI.

00:44:57.380 Then we'll be

00:44:58.980 on board.

00:45:00.260 All right?

00:45:01.020 So we need a

00:45:02.900 negotiator.

00:45:03.940 I saw a

00:45:05.100 user named

00:45:05.580 Abacus on

00:45:06.280 Twitter saying

00:45:07.680 this, replying

00:45:09.700 to something I

00:45:10.280 tweeted.

00:45:10.720 He says,

00:45:11.620 now we're

00:45:12.020 getting medical

00:45:12.640 advice from

00:45:13.300 cartoonists.

00:45:14.880 Are you

00:45:15.580 smarter than a

00:45:16.300 fifth grader?

00:45:17.860 Well, what do

00:45:18.520 you think about

00:45:18.940 that, getting

00:45:19.540 medical advice

00:45:20.280 from a cartoonist?

00:45:21.860 Is that a fair

00:45:22.860 statement?

00:45:23.700 Yes.

00:45:24.280 Yes, it's very

00:45:24.900 fair.

00:45:25.840 It's definitely

00:45:26.620 fair to question

00:45:27.380 the medical

00:45:27.960 qualifications of

00:45:29.000 a cartoonist.

00:45:30.700 You should.

00:45:32.280 If you're not

00:45:33.760 questioning my

00:45:34.520 medical

00:45:34.900 qualifications,

00:45:36.620 why aren't

00:45:37.300 you?

00:45:37.900 You should be.

00:45:39.580 If you're

00:45:40.020 taking medical

00:45:40.640 advice from

00:45:41.240 cartoonists,

00:45:42.300 better have a

00:45:43.340 good reason.

00:45:44.920 But, so I

00:45:46.300 agree with that

00:45:46.780 part for sure.

00:45:48.500 But it's also a

00:45:49.320 fact that if you

00:45:51.220 took my advice

00:45:52.060 instead of the

00:45:52.820 experts, you

00:45:53.500 would have done

00:45:53.900 better.

00:45:55.880 That's just a

00:45:56.600 fact.

00:45:57.260 You can check my

00:45:58.140 track record.

00:45:59.620 You can see what I

00:46:00.460 recommended.

00:46:01.180 You can see what the

00:46:01.760 experts recommended.

00:46:02.680 You just compare

00:46:03.420 it.

00:46:06.400 And it

00:46:07.260 probably isn't an

00:46:07.960 accident.

00:46:08.480 Because getting

00:46:08.960 back to the

00:46:09.600 earlier point,

00:46:11.000 number one, I

00:46:11.660 pick my spots.

00:46:13.880 So have you

00:46:14.700 seen me give an

00:46:15.500 opinion on

00:46:16.180 everything that

00:46:16.920 there is medical

00:46:17.640 about the COVID

00:46:19.120 stuff?

00:46:19.560 No.

00:46:20.440 No, because I'm

00:46:21.040 not an expert and

00:46:21.820 I wouldn't have

00:46:22.220 anything to add.

00:46:23.740 But there are

00:46:24.180 these specific

00:46:25.120 things, such as,

00:46:28.080 well, you've

00:46:31.120 heard all the

00:46:32.000 examples.

00:46:32.720 There are

00:46:32.940 specific things

00:46:33.640 that you can

00:46:33.980 just tell are

00:46:34.480 lies.

00:46:36.120 For example,

00:46:37.080 when the

00:46:37.400 government first

00:46:38.100 told us that

00:46:38.800 masks don't

00:46:39.400 work and you

00:46:40.040 shouldn't use

00:46:40.520 them, and by

00:46:41.600 the way, I'm

00:46:42.140 not going to

00:46:42.500 argue whether

00:46:42.940 they do or

00:46:43.460 don't, because

00:46:44.040 that won't

00:46:44.420 matter to this

00:46:45.060 next point.

00:46:46.720 I knew the

00:46:47.600 government was

00:46:48.140 lying, and so I

00:46:49.520 called it out.

00:46:50.560 Now, it could

00:46:51.160 turn out, it's

00:46:52.960 possible that they

00:46:54.060 were right the

00:46:54.560 first time and

00:46:55.360 masks are useless.

00:46:57.120 Could be.

00:46:58.500 You know, I'm

00:46:59.140 open to that.

00:47:00.640 But I knew that

00:47:02.140 they didn't

00:47:02.560 believe it.

00:47:03.920 I knew that.

00:47:05.220 So I called it

00:47:05.840 out publicly, and

00:47:06.800 I was right.

00:47:07.460 They didn't

00:47:07.840 believe it.

00:47:08.340 They changed as

00:47:09.660 soon as they

00:47:10.040 admitted that

00:47:11.100 they were lying

00:47:11.620 to conserve

00:47:12.380 supply.

00:47:13.740 So my

00:47:14.780 qualifications, and

00:47:15.840 the only thing I

00:47:16.400 would put forward

00:47:17.040 as expertise, is

00:47:18.220 that I can

00:47:18.720 identify bullshit

00:47:19.740 better than

00:47:20.880 other people.

00:47:22.400 So if you're

00:47:23.120 looking to

00:47:23.540 somebody to

00:47:24.140 identify bullshit, 0.75

00:47:25.940 I wouldn't go

00:47:27.140 to a doctor.

00:47:28.080 they're not

00:47:29.000 trained to do

00:47:29.560 that.

00:47:30.240 I would go

00:47:30.680 to me, or

00:47:32.280 I would go

00:47:32.700 to, you

00:47:33.280 know, Andre's

00:47:33.900 backhouse, PhD

00:47:35.380 in economics,

00:47:36.300 somebody who's

00:47:36.900 trained to do

00:47:37.400 it.

00:47:38.200 So if you

00:47:39.320 want medical

00:47:39.940 advice, don't

00:47:41.280 listen to a

00:47:41.800 cartoonist.

00:47:42.420 If you want

00:47:43.580 somebody who

00:47:44.120 will call

00:47:44.560 bullshit on

00:47:46.140 somebody else's

00:47:46.900 medical advice,

00:47:48.780 talk to me.

00:47:50.020 I can do

00:47:50.820 that.

00:47:51.860 I can call

00:47:52.600 bullshit on

00:47:53.240 stuff.

00:47:54.860 So partly the

00:47:56.120 reason that my

00:47:56.600 medical track

00:47:59.420 record is better

00:48:00.200 than the experts

00:48:00.800 is that I only

00:48:01.660 pick the things

00:48:02.300 I'm pretty sure

00:48:02.900 are bullshit.

00:48:03.860 So it's easy

00:48:05.020 to cherry pick

00:48:05.720 the things I

00:48:06.320 talk about.

00:48:07.380 So yes,

00:48:08.020 absolutely, my

00:48:08.780 track record is

00:48:09.500 better than the

00:48:09.960 experts.

00:48:10.180 It's just a

00:48:11.680 fact, but it's

00:48:12.880 because I pick

00:48:13.520 easy targets.

00:48:16.060 All right.

00:48:16.900 I believe that

00:48:18.840 is just about

00:48:19.500 everything I want

00:48:20.120 to talk about

00:48:20.620 today.

00:48:21.740 Is there anything

00:48:22.440 I missed?

00:48:25.780 Call BS on

00:48:26.800 Cuomo.

00:48:27.340 I think

00:48:27.600 everybody's done

00:48:28.180 that.

00:48:33.640 The BS meter,

00:48:35.160 okay.

00:48:36.980 Hasn't done

00:48:37.620 studies on

00:48:38.120 mask effectiveness.

00:48:38.980 The CDC can't

00:48:41.000 do studies of

00:48:42.580 COVID mask

00:48:43.480 effectiveness.

00:48:44.480 They can't do

00:48:44.940 that because you

00:48:46.140 need a control

00:48:46.800 group and they're

00:48:47.960 not going to

00:48:48.340 tell some people

00:48:49.260 to not wear

00:48:49.760 masks.

00:48:52.980 When you get

00:48:53.680 the booster

00:48:54.140 jab, will you

00:48:54.840 get the same

00:48:55.400 kind?

00:48:55.880 Good question.

00:48:57.800 If you got,

00:48:58.600 let's say I got

00:48:59.240 the Moderna,

00:49:00.140 two shots so 0.97

00:49:01.140 far.

00:49:01.620 If I get a

00:49:02.460 booster, would I

00:49:04.020 get the same

00:49:04.800 one?

00:49:05.120 My understanding

00:49:08.740 is that you

00:49:11.120 might get some

00:49:11.800 benefit from

00:49:12.440 getting a second

00:49:13.180 one.

00:49:14.340 Can anybody

00:49:14.960 confirm that?

00:49:15.980 I think that's a

00:49:16.800 supposition that's

00:49:17.660 untested.

00:49:18.780 I saw some

00:49:19.840 speculation from

00:49:22.300 some people who

00:49:23.060 knew what they

00:49:23.400 were doing that

00:49:24.700 adding them

00:49:26.860 together might

00:49:27.540 make them more

00:49:28.560 effective.

00:49:29.460 But as I'm

00:49:30.140 seeing in the

00:49:30.600 comments, that

00:49:31.320 would also be

00:49:32.040 something that

00:49:32.540 had never been

00:49:33.020 tested.

00:49:33.360 Now, we've

00:49:35.080 never tested

00:49:35.600 the boosters,

00:49:37.200 right?

00:49:37.900 Because we

00:49:38.340 didn't do the

00:49:38.820 initial whatever

00:49:39.780 we did for the

00:49:40.480 emergency authorization

00:49:41.660 did not include

00:49:43.000 boosters.

00:49:44.120 So the booster

00:49:45.400 takes some risk

00:49:46.540 with it.

00:49:47.440 But also, I

00:49:48.260 would imagine

00:49:48.720 combining any

00:49:49.540 two different

00:49:50.080 vaccinations is

00:49:51.160 something that

00:49:51.740 hasn't been

00:49:52.120 tested.

00:49:53.120 So I would

00:49:53.740 guess that

00:49:55.260 there's some

00:49:55.760 added risk.

00:49:57.480 But remember,

00:49:58.720 the risk of

00:49:59.560 all this stuff

00:50:00.300 starts high on

00:50:01.740 day one.

00:50:02.240 when you

00:50:03.260 first roll

00:50:03.780 it out.

00:50:04.520 But as you

00:50:05.140 can observe

00:50:05.660 data over

00:50:06.260 time, the

00:50:07.100 risk of the

00:50:08.340 unknown drops

00:50:09.720 pretty fast.

00:50:11.000 So after six

00:50:12.180 months of

00:50:12.760 vaccinations,

00:50:14.140 the risk of

00:50:14.820 the unknown

00:50:15.540 is pretty low.

00:50:21.520 When you

00:50:22.220 talk masks

00:50:23.000 without specifying

00:50:24.060 the grade of

00:50:24.620 mask, you

00:50:25.440 know it's

00:50:25.900 all BS.

00:50:27.120 Now, that's

00:50:28.360 not fair.

00:50:28.780 the experts

00:50:31.060 say, Sidney

00:50:36.740 Powell was

00:50:37.360 a mark for

00:50:38.240 election

00:50:41.000 interference.

00:50:43.040 What's your

00:50:43.800 blind spot?

00:50:45.560 How would I

00:50:46.200 know my

00:50:46.540 blind spot?

00:50:50.020 Is that the

00:50:50.820 problem?

00:50:51.480 It's not really

00:50:51.940 a blind spot

00:50:52.480 if you know

00:50:52.880 it.

00:50:53.980 Anyway, I was

00:50:54.620 going to say

00:50:54.960 that the experts

00:50:55.800 say that all

00:50:56.360 the masks make

00:50:57.080 some difference

00:50:57.760 and some

00:50:58.560 are better

00:50:58.840 than others.

00:51:04.540 Some

00:51:05.100 suggestion that

00:51:05.860 the J&J

00:51:06.540 vaccine should

00:51:08.360 be a booster.

00:51:09.720 But again,

00:51:10.840 who tested

00:51:11.400 that stuff?

00:51:15.400 Yeah, I'm

00:51:16.460 anti-mask at

00:51:17.620 the moment

00:51:18.080 because I

00:51:19.120 would agree

00:51:19.520 with those

00:51:20.000 who say

00:51:20.420 that the

00:51:20.980 difference in

00:51:21.920 the mask

00:51:22.280 wearing no

00:51:23.000 longer,

00:51:24.640 you know,

00:51:24.840 whatever

00:51:25.060 difference it

00:51:25.660 gives you

00:51:26.040 probably doesn't

00:51:27.320 justify the

00:51:28.220 lack of

00:51:29.220 freedoms that

00:51:30.120 would be

00:51:30.540 caused by

00:51:30.980 it.

00:51:31.840 That's my

00:51:32.240 current

00:51:32.580 thinking.

00:51:37.340 J&J can't 0.76

00:51:39.020 be a booster.

00:51:40.000 No, I

00:51:40.300 wouldn't call

00:51:40.760 the, if you

00:51:41.460 added the

00:51:42.100 J&J shot

00:51:43.040 to either

00:51:44.520 Moderna or

00:51:45.300 Pfizer, you

00:51:47.240 would, probably

00:51:47.780 wouldn't call

00:51:48.400 it a booster

00:51:48.960 because it's

00:51:50.040 not boosting

00:51:50.680 them, it's

00:51:51.420 just adding

00:51:52.100 its own

00:51:53.200 thing.

00:51:53.580 So I

00:51:55.000 don't know

00:51:55.460 that that

00:51:55.800 means you

00:51:56.180 can't do

00:51:56.720 it.

00:51:57.560 I think

00:51:57.980 you just

00:51:58.320 maybe

00:51:58.620 wouldn't

00:51:58.940 call it

00:51:59.320 a booster,

00:52:00.320 but it

00:52:00.780 would act

00:52:01.100 the same

00:52:01.600 way.

00:52:07.840 All right.

00:52:10.160 Masks

00:52:10.660 are child

00:52:11.180 abuse.

00:52:16.040 Oh, there's

00:52:17.460 a suggestion

00:52:17.960 for a Larry

00:52:18.620 Elder slogan,

00:52:20.520 bring back

00:52:21.020 California.

00:52:21.700 maybe.

00:52:24.600 It sounds

00:52:24.920 a little

00:52:25.300 bit too

00:52:25.860 much like

00:52:26.420 again.

00:52:32.660 All right.

00:52:33.320 Just looking

00:52:33.760 at some

00:52:34.080 more of

00:52:34.380 your

00:52:34.420 comments.

00:52:38.540 Three

00:52:38.980 shots, why 0.81

00:52:39.620 not take

00:52:40.040 five?

00:52:41.420 Well, you

00:52:42.060 probably will

00:52:42.520 give five. 0.75

00:52:43.540 I mean, they

00:52:43.940 are talking

00:52:44.400 about infinite

00:52:45.120 vaccinations

00:52:45.760 now.

00:52:47.540 And I

00:52:48.540 don't know

00:52:48.780 if that's

00:52:49.120 good or

00:52:49.380 bad.

00:52:51.700 build

00:52:54.240 California

00:52:54.920 better.

00:52:56.420 I'm not

00:52:57.080 sure I

00:52:57.320 like build.

00:52:58.720 Build

00:52:59.020 doesn't

00:52:59.360 sound like

00:52:59.760 an

00:52:59.900 inspirational

00:53:00.300 word.

00:53:01.940 Make

00:53:02.180 does.

00:53:03.020 Make is

00:53:03.440 a good

00:53:03.680 word, but

00:53:04.720 it was

00:53:05.020 used.

00:53:07.000 Imagine a

00:53:07.740 livable

00:53:08.100 California.

00:53:09.120 That's not

00:53:09.700 bad.

00:53:10.640 So somebody

00:53:11.120 said, imagine

00:53:11.960 a livable

00:53:12.860 California.

00:53:14.780 It's not

00:53:15.480 bad.

00:53:17.060 Yeah, I'm

00:53:17.480 not sure.

00:53:18.280 Yeah, it's

00:53:19.060 not bad.

00:53:20.140 That's one

00:53:20.720 I would

00:53:21.000 test.

00:53:21.880 I can't

00:53:22.320 tell you

00:53:22.560 that's good

00:53:22.960 or bad, but

00:53:23.600 that's test

00:53:24.480 worthy.

00:53:26.400 Make the

00:53:27.000 Golden State

00:53:27.520 Golden

00:53:28.040 Again.

00:53:28.460 No, I

00:53:28.700 don't think

00:53:28.980 you want

00:53:29.260 make and

00:53:29.780 again in

00:53:30.260 there.

00:53:30.920 It's too

00:53:31.320 Trumpy.

00:53:32.440 It just

00:53:32.800 adds a

00:53:33.500 reason to

00:53:34.020 not vote

00:53:34.740 for them.

00:53:35.260 You don't

00:53:35.480 need that.

00:53:38.100 Free

00:53:38.500 California.

00:53:39.680 Now, that's

00:53:40.180 interesting.

00:53:41.200 Free

00:53:41.520 California.

00:53:43.320 Yeah.

00:53:47.120 Let's

00:53:47.620 see.

00:53:47.960 after the

00:53:51.920 prednisone

00:53:53.260 debacle, you

00:53:53.900 were still

00:53:54.240 willing to

00:53:54.680 engage the

00:53:55.340 medical

00:53:55.800 industry.

00:53:58.320 What was

00:53:59.360 my option?

00:54:00.240 Am I

00:54:00.500 supposed to

00:54:01.140 disavow

00:54:02.700 all medical

00:54:03.800 care because

00:54:05.240 the medical

00:54:05.920 industry makes

00:54:06.620 mistakes?

00:54:08.720 How would

00:54:09.500 you play

00:54:09.840 it?

00:54:10.500 Just ignore

00:54:11.460 health care?

00:54:12.560 Well, there

00:54:13.340 are people who

00:54:13.780 die from

00:54:14.480 medical

00:54:15.320 accidents.

00:54:16.380 I better

00:54:16.660 never go to

00:54:17.160 a doctor

00:54:17.520 again.

00:54:17.960 probably works

00:54:20.560 for some

00:54:20.900 people.

00:54:22.480 Prednisone

00:54:22.920 makes you

00:54:23.320 heavy?

00:54:23.700 Well, I'll

00:54:24.000 tell you, I

00:54:24.900 ate like a

00:54:25.860 mofo.

00:54:27.280 You can't

00:54:27.920 stop eating

00:54:29.000 on prednisone.

00:54:30.380 That stuff,

00:54:31.300 your body just

00:54:32.060 needs food like

00:54:33.140 crazy.

00:54:34.320 Or it wants

00:54:34.900 it.

00:54:35.100 I don't know

00:54:35.360 if it needs

00:54:35.740 it.

00:54:36.340 All right, that's

00:54:36.720 all for now.

00:54:37.260 I will talk

00:54:37.680 to you all

00:54:38.240 tomorrow.

00:54:41.120 It's

00:54:41.600 good.

00:54:44.520 Oh, yeah.

00:54:45.480 All right.

00:54:45.600 Good luck.

00:54:57.580 Good Works.

00:54:58.500 Goodbye.

00:54:58.780 Good spouse.

00:54:59.180 One hard one.

00:54:59.700 Good wolf went

00:54:59.960 over five days.

00:55:00.640 People will

00:55:01.820 need

00:55:01.880 to feel

00:55:02.540 behind each

00:55:02.700 too.

00:55:03.120 Yes,

00:55:04.140 please Love this

00:55:05.040 , you know,

00:55:05.080 it's gonna be

00:55:07.480 used to make it

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 15, 2021

Episode 1469 Scott Adams： Don't Miss My Impression of Negotiating With the Taliban, Plus Persuasion Lessons

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