Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 18, 2021


Episode 1472 Scott Adams： I'm Not Just a Lyricist and Vocalist. I Also Sip Coffee and Talk About the News


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

149.96011

Word Count

7,331

Sentence Count

522

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

31


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, I talk about the weirdest thing that happened to me: I became a professional vocalist, and it happened without any effort at all. And it happened because of a rare condition called Spasmodic Dysphasic Dyslexia.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and it's time for one of your favorite things.
00:00:06.740 Yeah, coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:08.780 Today you'll hear about the headlines.
00:00:10.300 You'll have fun.
00:00:11.020 You'll be entertained.
00:00:12.600 You'll be stimulated and amused.
00:00:14.500 All of those things, every one of them.
00:00:16.520 And all you need to make it special is a cup or mug or a glass,
00:00:20.220 a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a glass or a vessel of any kind.
00:00:24.500 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:25.580 I like coffee.
00:00:26.100 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:31.040 The dopamine here of the day, the thing that makes everything better,
00:00:33.180 it's called the simultaneous sip, and watch it work.
00:00:36.720 Go.
00:00:40.820 Wait, wait, we have a special request.
00:00:43.640 I saw this go by on the locals' platform.
00:00:46.680 The special request is that sometimes a sip is not enough.
00:00:49.960 Can we agree on that?
00:00:51.660 It's not enough.
00:00:52.300 So today I'd like to introduce, thanks to a follower recommendation,
00:00:58.660 the simultaneous slurp.
00:01:00.280 Everybody, one more time, except go big.
00:01:06.360 Ah, yeah.
00:01:08.660 That was both disgusting and exhilarating at the same time.
00:01:13.800 You don't get that often.
00:01:16.240 Well, let's talk about all the things.
00:01:18.220 First of all, I'm now streaming on two platforms, locals and YouTube.
00:01:24.300 I tried to stream on Rumble.
00:01:26.700 Have you heard of it?
00:01:28.300 Rumble is sort of a video streaming service.
00:01:32.840 It competes with YouTube.
00:01:34.920 Let's see if I get demonetized.
00:01:37.580 One, two, three.
00:01:39.540 Yeah, it should be happening about now.
00:01:40.760 But here's the process for me to become a live streamer on Rumble.
00:01:49.220 If you want to be a producer, you click a button to request whatever they need to make you a producer.
00:01:57.100 And then the way the process works is that after you've clicked that button, nothing happens.
00:02:02.520 And then the next day, nothing happens.
00:02:04.520 They may or may not be sending mail to my spam.
00:02:07.240 I don't know.
00:02:07.760 But if you'd like to see me on Rumble, could you talk to somebody at Rumble and say,
00:02:13.980 I don't know how to get on there.
00:02:15.560 I'll click the button.
00:02:16.940 I suppose you might be sending me an email that I don't see.
00:02:20.280 But your process is not quite connecting the dots.
00:02:23.780 So I would be live streaming there if I could.
00:02:30.240 Remember I told you that a lifelong weird dream of mine came true?
00:02:35.500 This is the weirdest thing.
00:02:36.720 You know, I've told you too many stories about unusual successes in my life.
00:02:43.640 Things which were totally unlikely, such as becoming a famous cartoonist, being a number one author, you know, best-selling author, getting invited to the White House.
00:02:54.920 So I've had all these weird, weird things.
00:02:57.380 And the weirdest of all was I always had a dream to be a lyricist.
00:03:02.340 And apparently that came true without any effort on my part, because some of my podcast stuff has been turned into music by adding music to it.
00:03:14.400 And the product is called Meaning Wave.
00:03:17.100 You could just Google it and you'll find the music.
00:03:19.940 By Akira the Don.
00:03:21.320 And there's some new music coming out.
00:03:24.000 But Akira messaged me and reminded me that here I'd been crowing about the fact that I had accomplished this highly unusual goal of being a lyricist with no musical training.
00:03:38.920 I don't even listen to music much, I mean rarely, and it was the most unlikely goal I've ever had in my life.
00:03:48.640 And it actually happened.
00:03:49.580 But, as Akira pointed out, there's something even more unlikely about it.
00:03:56.540 That I somehow, it missed my, somehow I didn't even notice that I'm also a vocalist.
00:04:05.500 Because it's my actual voice that appears in the songs.
00:04:09.360 Now it's just samples of my voice.
00:04:11.400 But what were the odds that I would go from literally not being able to speak,
00:04:16.640 I'll remind you of this story, many of you have already heard it,
00:04:19.580 A number of years ago I lost the ability to speak for about three and a half years
00:04:24.100 to a rare condition called spasmodic dysphonia.
00:04:27.460 Long story short, I found the only doctor in the world who had a surgery,
00:04:31.980 an experimental surgery to fix it,
00:04:34.180 and I became one of the first people in the world to fix that problem.
00:04:37.740 But my affirmations at the time is that I, Scott, will speak perfectly.
00:04:43.520 Now that seemed unlikely, because I didn't speak perfectly before I got the spasmodic dysphonia.
00:04:48.600 It was kind of nasally, and nobody really wanted to hear my voice.
00:04:53.180 But, because I did lots of voice training before the surgery,
00:04:56.740 and took years to rehab it,
00:04:59.200 the weirdest thing happened.
00:05:01.280 I'm a professional vocalist now.
00:05:03.540 Well, not professional, because I didn't get paid for it.
00:05:06.220 But there's an actual commercial song
00:05:09.200 with my voice on it
00:05:11.340 that's actually music.
00:05:13.260 Literally, my voice is music.
00:05:17.780 Now, if you told me that that goal
00:05:19.920 could have actually happened
00:05:21.840 when I couldn't speak,
00:05:25.240 just keep in mind, put the context on this,
00:05:28.240 that when I couldn't speak,
00:05:31.200 I had a very specific affirmation
00:05:33.300 that I repeated every day
00:05:34.520 that I, Scott, will speak perfectly.
00:05:37.900 I'm actually featured on music.
00:05:44.760 I can't get...
00:05:45.980 This is blowing my mind so hard
00:05:48.580 that you can't even believe it.
00:05:49.680 I suppose this is more for me than it is for you.
00:05:52.680 All right, how about more about you?
00:05:55.220 So, apparently,
00:05:56.260 the California governor recall race
00:05:58.040 is really going to be close,
00:06:00.180 and Larry Elder looks to be the leading person
00:06:02.740 to take the job
00:06:03.820 if Newsom doesn't get...
00:06:06.220 if Newsom does get recalled.
00:06:08.900 And here's my take on
00:06:11.260 the strangest thing about this story.
00:06:14.580 It's another one of these...
00:06:16.160 the dog not barking.
00:06:18.920 Has anyone mentioned
00:06:20.580 that Larry Elder is black?
00:06:25.380 Right?
00:06:26.620 It's not even a story.
00:06:28.600 And if it gets mentioned at all,
00:06:30.420 and literally,
00:06:30.920 I've never even heard it mentioned,
00:06:31.800 how do you have
00:06:33.660 a black guy
00:06:36.040 running for a governor
00:06:37.100 probably will win,
00:06:40.680 and
00:06:41.020 should we take a moment
00:06:43.480 to celebrate?
00:06:44.980 Should we take a moment
00:06:46.060 to celebrate
00:06:46.660 that being black
00:06:48.460 wasn't even part of the question?
00:06:50.280 Or if it was,
00:06:52.100 it was considered an advantage.
00:06:54.720 Am I right?
00:06:55.820 If you thought about it for a minute,
00:06:58.640 and you said to yourself,
00:07:00.060 hey, Larry Elder's running for governor,
00:07:01.800 he's black,
00:07:04.300 didn't you think that would help him?
00:07:06.460 You did, didn't you?
00:07:08.040 I mean, think about it.
00:07:09.440 Think about how far we've come.
00:07:11.760 Right?
00:07:12.000 Lots of work to do,
00:07:13.140 blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:07:13.900 We're not saying, you know...
00:07:15.440 I'm not saying, you know,
00:07:16.720 systemic racism is solved
00:07:18.180 or anything like that.
00:07:19.260 But just think about the fact
00:07:20.680 that the guy who might be governor
00:07:22.920 in just a few weeks,
00:07:24.460 and he's a really good shot,
00:07:25.700 he's running as a black man
00:07:28.680 and nobody cared.
00:07:29.860 And if they did care,
00:07:30.720 they thought it was a positive,
00:07:32.000 at least politically.
00:07:33.560 So, I don't know.
00:07:34.480 I feel like that's super noteworthy
00:07:36.920 because it's not being talked about,
00:07:38.860 specifically.
00:07:40.580 Yeah, the less it's talked about,
00:07:42.040 the happier we are.
00:07:42.740 Where are all the...
00:07:43.980 Where's the narrative
00:07:44.940 about all the racist Republicans?
00:07:48.720 Aren't the Republicans
00:07:49.760 all supposed to be a bunch of racists?
00:07:52.320 So how could it be
00:07:53.360 that the moment Larry Elder
00:07:56.220 entered the race,
00:07:58.300 the moment he entered the race,
00:08:00.900 he took the lead?
00:08:03.320 Where are all the racist Republicans?
00:08:05.980 Is there anybody
00:08:07.060 who cares about his race?
00:08:08.820 I don't think so,
00:08:09.520 except in a positive way.
00:08:12.740 Another question.
00:08:14.320 Do you remember,
00:08:15.240 it wasn't that many years ago,
00:08:16.500 when the biggest debate,
00:08:17.760 it seems like, in public,
00:08:19.060 was about teaching
00:08:20.180 intelligent design in schools?
00:08:22.820 Whatever happened to that?
00:08:25.400 But I noted in a tweet
00:08:27.620 that once Elon Musk told you
00:08:29.340 that you were almost certainly
00:08:30.960 a simulated reality,
00:08:33.340 and that you were probably programmed
00:08:34.580 by some other intelligence,
00:08:37.060 kind of ruined the whole topic,
00:08:38.420 didn't it?
00:08:40.460 I feel like you can't have
00:08:42.260 that debate anymore.
00:08:44.200 As soon as you throw in
00:08:45.360 the, well,
00:08:47.620 the statistical near certainty
00:08:50.720 that we are a simulation
00:08:52.040 created by some other form
00:08:53.600 of intelligence,
00:08:54.840 and by the way,
00:08:55.380 that argument is just based
00:08:56.340 on math and common sense,
00:08:58.700 that if one simulation
00:09:00.080 could be created,
00:09:01.320 and we know we'll be able
00:09:02.200 to make one,
00:09:03.180 in my lifetime,
00:09:04.120 we'll be able to make
00:09:04.740 a simulation where the creatures
00:09:06.400 in there think they're real,
00:09:07.780 because they were programmed
00:09:08.600 to think they're real.
00:09:09.380 If we can make one,
00:09:11.880 there are going to be
00:09:12.340 more than one.
00:09:13.600 Might be millions of them.
00:09:15.200 Could be trillions of them.
00:09:16.600 If you make a good enough
00:09:17.620 simulation,
00:09:18.440 the people in the simulation
00:09:19.400 can make their own simulation.
00:09:21.600 Or they think they did.
00:09:25.120 So it seems like the question
00:09:26.760 of intelligent design,
00:09:27.820 we can't even have
00:09:28.380 the argument anymore,
00:09:29.580 because the simulation theory
00:09:31.220 just ruined the argument.
00:09:32.540 Anyway, I just point out
00:09:33.540 that there's some things
00:09:35.080 you think are the most important
00:09:36.120 thing in the world,
00:09:36.760 and then they can just go away
00:09:37.920 on their own.
00:09:39.120 I don't even know
00:09:39.820 what happened.
00:09:43.940 Somebody said,
00:09:45.300 I'm looking in the comments.
00:09:49.080 Oh, okay.
00:09:49.800 Well, never mind.
00:09:50.440 I thought it was
00:09:50.800 a different comment.
00:09:52.880 Question.
00:09:55.840 Well, before we get to that,
00:09:57.400 I love watching Fox News
00:09:59.880 and CNN fight.
00:10:02.420 I don't know.
00:10:03.060 It's one of the most amusing things.
00:10:05.140 I think I was probably
00:10:09.340 an outlier in the sense
00:10:10.660 that I liked watching
00:10:12.240 Chris Cuomo and his brother
00:10:13.840 do their little show on CNN.
00:10:16.540 If you don't take it seriously,
00:10:18.520 and you shouldn't,
00:10:19.420 because obviously
00:10:20.100 that's not real news,
00:10:21.640 but just watching
00:10:22.400 the two successful brothers
00:10:23.740 banter, I liked it.
00:10:26.180 I know you didn't.
00:10:27.420 I'm not telling you
00:10:28.220 you should like what I like.
00:10:29.660 I'm just telling you
00:10:30.360 I liked it
00:10:30.900 from an entertainment perspective.
00:10:32.740 I didn't take any
00:10:33.360 of the news part of it seriously.
00:10:35.500 But here's some more
00:10:38.800 of that little back and forth
00:10:40.260 between Fox News and CNN.
00:10:42.880 So apparently,
00:10:44.000 Chris Cuomo's show
00:10:47.520 is just hemorrhaging
00:10:49.760 female viewers,
00:10:52.420 which is no surprise,
00:10:53.880 since he supported
00:10:54.740 his brother and his brother
00:10:55.900 was accused of
00:10:57.600 a lot of Me Too stuff.
00:10:59.200 So Cuomo primetime,
00:11:02.540 I guess,
00:11:04.040 averaged 86,000
00:11:05.540 female viewers
00:11:06.660 in the age group
00:11:08.240 that they want the most.
00:11:10.720 And last week,
00:11:12.040 it was down 33%
00:11:13.660 compared to the
00:11:15.120 second quarter totals.
00:11:18.020 Wow.
00:11:19.260 A key demographic
00:11:20.580 was down 33%
00:11:24.620 because of what
00:11:25.260 his brother did.
00:11:26.640 Wow.
00:11:27.200 And down a stunning,
00:11:29.520 as Fox says,
00:11:30.380 a stunning 56%
00:11:32.520 compared to the last year.
00:11:35.020 Now,
00:11:35.440 mostly compared to last year
00:11:36.500 is because Trump
00:11:37.200 was in the news.
00:11:38.060 That's not anything
00:11:39.160 to do with CNN per se.
00:11:41.040 But here's what
00:11:41.680 I like about this.
00:11:42.440 Fox News refers
00:11:43.840 to Chris Cuomo
00:11:45.860 as, quote,
00:11:47.140 CNN's troubled anchor.
00:11:50.740 Troubled anchor.
00:11:51.600 Now,
00:11:53.260 here's what I'm at.
00:11:54.180 Here's my question.
00:11:55.120 Do you ever see CNN
00:11:56.620 use disgraced?
00:11:58.840 They'll throw in
00:12:00.020 disgraced
00:12:00.980 in front of,
00:12:01.940 you know,
00:12:02.180 somebody's name
00:12:02.880 or title
00:12:03.640 as if it's just
00:12:06.200 the fact
00:12:07.040 that they're disgraced.
00:12:10.360 What is the dividing line
00:12:12.280 between being troubled,
00:12:14.460 being a troubled anchor,
00:12:15.900 and being a disgraced anchor?
00:12:18.700 What's the dividing line?
00:12:20.960 Where does troubled
00:12:21.980 turn into disgraced?
00:12:23.600 Because, you know,
00:12:26.680 if this had been reversed,
00:12:28.920 I feel like CNN
00:12:29.780 would have called,
00:12:31.020 you know,
00:12:31.200 let's say if it happened to,
00:12:32.400 you know,
00:12:32.640 if Hannity had a brother
00:12:33.720 who was a governor,
00:12:36.880 or if Tucker Carlson
00:12:38.380 had a brother
00:12:38.840 who was a governor,
00:12:39.700 I think they would call them
00:12:40.840 the disgraced anchor.
00:12:43.460 Disgraced.
00:12:45.480 So this is a little
00:12:46.680 persuasion trick for you.
00:12:49.100 Just insert disgraced
00:12:51.040 in front of anybody
00:12:52.540 you don't like.
00:12:54.880 Let me give you
00:12:55.660 an example.
00:12:57.260 Disgraced President Biden
00:12:58.640 talked about
00:13:00.060 the Afghanistan
00:13:00.740 withdrawal debacle.
00:13:03.320 Pretty good, huh?
00:13:06.120 Oh, well,
00:13:11.720 it looks like
00:13:12.220 I'm already getting
00:13:12.920 some help
00:13:13.340 connecting on Rumble.
00:13:15.040 Thank you, Amanda.
00:13:16.540 Back to the news.
00:13:21.740 Can we all get
00:13:22.660 doctor's notes
00:13:23.520 to wear no masks?
00:13:25.580 And if we can't,
00:13:27.420 why not?
00:13:28.980 Why not?
00:13:30.220 Why can't you
00:13:30.960 go to the doctor
00:13:31.700 and say,
00:13:33.160 let's say,
00:13:33.840 I'll use myself
00:13:34.420 as an example,
00:13:35.560 doctor,
00:13:36.920 I'm fit
00:13:39.240 and healthy,
00:13:40.260 and I've been
00:13:41.500 vaccinated
00:13:42.380 recently,
00:13:43.800 so it hasn't
00:13:44.340 even worn off,
00:13:45.640 and I find it
00:13:47.200 very disturbing
00:13:48.140 to wear masks
00:13:48.960 and it itches my face
00:13:50.240 and makes me
00:13:51.480 psychologically unhappy,
00:13:54.480 et cetera.
00:13:56.060 Can I get my doctor
00:13:57.300 to write me a note
00:13:58.080 that says,
00:13:58.500 oh, yeah, okay,
00:13:59.260 you don't need a mask?
00:14:01.180 Because,
00:14:01.740 yes,
00:14:02.400 it would help.
00:14:03.380 Perhaps it would help.
00:14:04.660 But,
00:14:05.720 all things considered,
00:14:06.940 you've looked at
00:14:07.500 your risks,
00:14:08.040 your rewards,
00:14:08.640 and as your doctor,
00:14:09.900 I certify your choice.
00:14:12.640 Yes,
00:14:12.900 there's some extra risk
00:14:13.900 of not wearing the mask,
00:14:15.580 would say my doctor,
00:14:16.860 I imagine,
00:14:17.580 my doctor would say that,
00:14:18.880 but it's a low risk
00:14:20.800 and I sign your note
00:14:23.500 saying that you can
00:14:24.540 take that risk,
00:14:25.460 it's a reasonable risk.
00:14:27.380 Why can't I do that?
00:14:29.240 And if I did do that,
00:14:30.920 who's going to fight
00:14:31.620 with my doctor?
00:14:33.640 Right?
00:14:34.540 Let's say you go
00:14:35.320 into your employer
00:14:36.780 and your employer
00:14:38.680 says,
00:14:39.060 you have to wear a mask
00:14:39.780 or you can't come in.
00:14:40.500 You say,
00:14:40.680 oh, yes,
00:14:41.160 I know that.
00:14:41.780 Here's my note
00:14:42.440 from my doctor.
00:14:44.220 Can your employer
00:14:45.260 override your doctor?
00:14:48.800 I mean,
00:14:49.080 they can,
00:14:50.100 right?
00:14:50.480 Because if it's
00:14:51.600 a private company,
00:14:52.420 they make their own rules.
00:14:53.360 They can.
00:14:54.580 But would they?
00:14:56.680 Turley says no.
00:14:57.880 Oh,
00:14:58.160 interesting.
00:14:58.640 I'm seeing in the comments
00:14:59.740 that Jonathan Turley
00:15:00.760 says no.
00:15:01.660 Now,
00:15:02.000 the reason I stopped
00:15:02.860 is because there are
00:15:04.520 just a few people
00:15:05.380 in the world
00:15:06.060 who,
00:15:07.620 if they have an opinion,
00:15:08.620 I just stop and say,
00:15:09.480 okay,
00:15:09.740 they're probably right.
00:15:15.380 Oh,
00:15:15.820 thank you.
00:15:19.640 So,
00:15:20.100 they're probably right.
00:15:21.600 Sorry.
00:15:22.200 Getting a lot of,
00:15:22.860 getting a lot of help
00:15:23.780 here today.
00:15:25.880 So,
00:15:26.460 if Turley says
00:15:27.320 that doctors know
00:15:28.400 it would be good enough
00:15:29.120 not to wear a mask,
00:15:30.100 and I think he's right,
00:15:31.240 right?
00:15:31.500 How do you overrule
00:15:32.680 a doctor's note?
00:15:34.960 What employer
00:15:35.860 is going to overrule
00:15:36.780 a doctor's note?
00:15:38.040 I just don't see it happening.
00:15:40.160 So,
00:15:40.400 I feel,
00:15:40.780 I feel,
00:15:41.680 I feel like,
00:15:42.660 I guess I better
00:15:43.060 turn off my alerts.
00:15:44.620 I'm getting a lot of help
00:15:45.260 on Rumble today.
00:15:48.260 I feel as if
00:15:49.440 we could all get
00:15:50.180 a doctor's note.
00:15:51.840 Now,
00:15:52.680 have you ever tried
00:15:53.380 to get a doctor's
00:15:55.600 prescription for weed?
00:15:57.480 If you live in a state
00:15:58.720 where you need a doctor
00:15:59.700 to get weed,
00:16:00.340 you probably already know this.
00:16:02.160 There are specialists.
00:16:04.000 That's right.
00:16:04.620 There are weed doctors,
00:16:06.440 at least in California,
00:16:07.580 probably other places.
00:16:09.120 So,
00:16:09.600 a weed doctor
00:16:10.320 basically just
00:16:11.920 does one thing,
00:16:13.380 and you just
00:16:13.800 go in,
00:16:14.520 hey,
00:16:14.880 I need some weed.
00:16:15.940 They do a,
00:16:16.780 you know,
00:16:17.220 brief question about your health
00:16:19.160 and look at your health records,
00:16:20.560 and then they say yes or no.
00:16:22.560 Now,
00:16:22.800 why couldn't we have
00:16:23.500 mask specialist doctors?
00:16:26.000 Let's say a retired doctor
00:16:27.420 who just wants to put in
00:16:29.340 an 800 number,
00:16:31.360 do telehealth,
00:16:32.560 right,
00:16:32.800 do it by phone,
00:16:33.760 and you call your doctor
00:16:34.820 and you say,
00:16:35.800 hey,
00:16:36.260 here's my situation.
00:16:37.500 Can I get a note?
00:16:39.640 Why not?
00:16:41.580 Would we see that popping up?
00:16:43.460 I mean,
00:16:43.680 it would be short-term business,
00:16:45.180 we hope,
00:16:46.140 but you would expect
00:16:47.800 the market to respond to that.
00:16:49.200 I looked at the headlines today.
00:16:53.620 I was looking at all the,
00:16:54.780 looking for all the deaths.
00:16:57.740 How many of you
00:16:58.520 can answer the following questions?
00:17:01.180 How many people,
00:17:02.120 on average,
00:17:02.980 so in the comments,
00:17:03.940 I want to see how informed you are.
00:17:05.780 In the comments,
00:17:06.420 tell me,
00:17:07.340 how many people per day
00:17:09.400 die in the United States
00:17:10.920 from all causes?
00:17:12.220 So,
00:17:12.500 we're not talking about
00:17:13.220 the pandemic yet,
00:17:15.460 but from all causes,
00:17:16.980 how many people per day
00:17:18.180 die in the United States?
00:17:20.120 Go.
00:17:20.600 Put it in the comments
00:17:21.480 and let me see
00:17:22.320 if you're close.
00:17:24.140 I'll read down some of them.
00:17:25.180 I'm seeing
00:17:25.560 800,
00:17:26.880 8,000,
00:17:27.740 8,000,
00:17:28.600 10,000,
00:17:29.200 2,000,
00:17:29.980 2,500.
00:17:31.080 These are all your guesses.
00:17:32.160 20,000,
00:17:32.920 50,000,
00:17:33.780 1,000.
00:17:35.040 All right,
00:17:35.300 you're all over the board.
00:17:36.940 All over the board.
00:17:38.100 The correct answer is
00:17:39.220 approximately 8,000 per day.
00:17:41.860 All right?
00:17:42.660 So,
00:17:42.960 you're going to be the first
00:17:44.280 bunch of people
00:17:45.980 who ever heard context.
00:17:48.180 On the pandemic.
00:17:50.440 Tell me if you've heard
00:17:51.580 this anywhere else,
00:17:53.260 that about 8,000 people
00:17:54.580 a day
00:17:55.360 die from all causes.
00:17:56.780 Now,
00:17:56.980 your second question is
00:17:57.940 how many of the 8,000
00:17:59.740 are dying at the moment?
00:18:02.440 You know,
00:18:02.640 that could go up.
00:18:03.720 But at the moment,
00:18:04.660 how many are dying per day
00:18:06.020 and of the 8,000
00:18:07.360 from COVID?
00:18:09.560 COVID is how many
00:18:10.740 of the 8,000?
00:18:11.820 Go.
00:18:12.120 In the comments.
00:18:13.200 I'll read your comments.
00:18:14.100 I'm seeing 0,
00:18:15.220 500,
00:18:16.080 200,
00:18:17.000 1,000,
00:18:17.840 100,
00:18:18.600 8,000,
00:18:19.840 300,
00:18:21.360 500,
00:18:22.560 10.
00:18:23.640 All right,
00:18:24.000 so your guesses
00:18:24.560 are all over the board.
00:18:25.660 The answer is
00:18:26.180 about 1,000.
00:18:27.800 So about 1,000
00:18:29.320 of the 8,000 people
00:18:31.440 who are dying every day,
00:18:32.920 at the moment,
00:18:34.240 one out of eight
00:18:35.240 is dying of COVID.
00:18:37.200 Now,
00:18:38.300 do you count that
00:18:39.380 one out of eight
00:18:40.220 the same as you count
00:18:41.580 the other people?
00:18:42.960 Well,
00:18:43.500 probably,
00:18:44.440 because that seems fair.
00:18:46.060 But we have to also
00:18:47.180 include the fact
00:18:48.720 that these are people
00:18:49.420 who might have only
00:18:50.020 lived another year.
00:18:51.280 If they're elderly,
00:18:52.180 for example,
00:18:52.680 they might have had
00:18:53.380 only a few years left.
00:18:55.100 So that 1,000 people
00:18:56.580 is dying
00:18:57.080 is a little misleading
00:18:58.200 because if you looked
00:19:00.400 at life years denied,
00:19:03.260 you know,
00:19:03.440 a child would have
00:19:04.400 maybe 80 years
00:19:05.360 ahead of them,
00:19:06.520 a senior citizen
00:19:07.520 might have one.
00:19:09.340 So what happens
00:19:10.140 if the,
00:19:10.700 of the 800,
00:19:11.660 of the 1,000 people
00:19:12.720 who died,
00:19:13.580 what happens
00:19:13.960 if 800 of them
00:19:15.040 only had a couple
00:19:16.520 of years left?
00:19:18.800 It's more like
00:19:19.580 a few hundred people
00:19:20.400 dying, isn't it?
00:19:21.940 It's more like
00:19:22.500 a few hundred.
00:19:23.960 Because
00:19:24.400 the people
00:19:25.800 who only lost
00:19:27.120 a year or two,
00:19:29.380 you have to count that.
00:19:30.980 I mean,
00:19:31.220 if you're doing,
00:19:31.940 you know,
00:19:32.560 life and death math,
00:19:33.760 you don't,
00:19:34.100 you don't get the choice
00:19:35.040 of, oh,
00:19:35.480 everybody lives.
00:19:36.780 Unfortunately,
00:19:37.760 got to make choices.
00:19:38.500 And I think
00:19:40.100 we're,
00:19:40.680 the fact that
00:19:41.220 this isn't in the headline
00:19:42.320 and instead we're
00:19:43.100 talking about ICU beds
00:19:44.320 should tell us
00:19:45.600 that the news
00:19:46.440 is manipulating us
00:19:47.640 and trying to tell us
00:19:48.920 it's a bigger problem
00:19:49.720 than it is.
00:19:50.660 Now,
00:19:51.840 is the ICU beds
00:19:53.340 problem
00:19:53.900 a problem?
00:19:55.680 Well,
00:19:56.200 I think the New York
00:19:56.860 Times said
00:19:57.760 I think
00:19:59.660 20%
00:20:00.620 of the hospitals
00:20:01.440 are having
00:20:01.980 capacity problems
00:20:02.860 with the ICUs.
00:20:04.560 But
00:20:05.080 what does that mean?
00:20:07.600 Well,
00:20:08.140 in many cases
00:20:08.860 it means that
00:20:09.480 they just repurpose
00:20:10.480 other space.
00:20:12.120 It doesn't mean
00:20:12.800 that they turn you away.
00:20:14.760 If you go to the hospital
00:20:15.720 you'll still get treated
00:20:16.600 even with the hospitals
00:20:18.260 that are over capacity.
00:20:20.220 They'll just open up
00:20:21.300 another,
00:20:22.240 they might keep you
00:20:22.980 in the emergency room,
00:20:23.980 they might open up
00:20:25.140 another wing or something.
00:20:26.400 It will impact
00:20:27.300 other stuff
00:20:28.020 but
00:20:29.700 the other hospitals
00:20:31.120 that are not impacted
00:20:32.260 probably you could
00:20:33.380 still go there.
00:20:34.680 So there's
00:20:35.060 at least some flexibility.
00:20:37.380 So
00:20:37.640 definitely
00:20:39.500 the ICU beds
00:20:40.520 are a problem
00:20:41.160 but
00:20:41.760 what we don't get
00:20:43.060 is reporting
00:20:43.740 on how much
00:20:44.520 capability
00:20:45.980 hospitals have
00:20:46.840 to handle surges.
00:20:48.140 If you're looking
00:20:48.920 at one of the other
00:20:49.780 benefits of the pandemic
00:20:50.940 it's that we learned
00:20:52.820 how to handle surges.
00:20:55.000 Think about it.
00:20:56.120 Every
00:20:56.440 major hospital
00:20:57.620 in every city
00:20:58.420 probably
00:20:59.820 I'm guessing
00:21:00.640 by now
00:21:01.880 has a pretty
00:21:02.980 detailed plan
00:21:04.060 of what it looks like
00:21:05.460 to have to surge
00:21:06.400 your ICU capacity
00:21:07.620 up by 30%
00:21:09.540 or something.
00:21:09.980 I'll bet every
00:21:10.380 hospital knows
00:21:11.180 how to do it now.
00:21:11.920 They know exactly
00:21:12.520 which space to use.
00:21:14.380 Now of course
00:21:14.800 staffing would be
00:21:15.460 a problem
00:21:15.840 that you can't
00:21:17.460 surge staff
00:21:18.440 too easily.
00:21:20.740 But anyway
00:21:21.700 that's the full situation.
00:21:22.760 I got a new mascot
00:21:26.300 now
00:21:28.100 a lot of you
00:21:29.980 say
00:21:30.440 hey
00:21:30.800 you're a podcaster
00:21:31.660 why do you need
00:21:32.240 a mascot?
00:21:33.400 Well I didn't really
00:21:33.960 need one
00:21:34.540 but I got one.
00:21:40.240 So somebody says
00:21:41.200 Norway
00:21:41.560 tested
00:21:42.460 and found out
00:21:43.120 that the R
00:21:43.940 for this
00:21:44.460 is lower
00:21:44.840 than the regular flu.
00:21:45.960 I don't know
00:21:46.440 about that.
00:21:48.040 Anyway
00:21:48.340 my mascot
00:21:48.940 is Twitter user
00:21:50.200 Anomaly
00:21:50.900 some of you
00:21:51.700 have heard him.
00:21:52.760 He's my critic
00:21:53.920 but he refuses
00:21:55.140 to tell me
00:21:55.740 what we disagree with.
00:21:57.680 He's very
00:21:58.400 very sure
00:21:59.100 that if he were
00:22:00.320 to debate me
00:22:00.800 in public
00:22:01.280 he would embarrass me.
00:22:03.920 But he gave me
00:22:04.880 four things
00:22:05.540 that he disagrees
00:22:06.220 with me.
00:22:06.940 Let's go through them.
00:22:08.400 Number one
00:22:08.960 he says
00:22:09.600 Anomaly says to me
00:22:10.860 you were wrong
00:22:11.420 about Sweden
00:22:12.060 and I was right.
00:22:13.600 To which I say
00:22:14.380 wrong about what?
00:22:17.040 That Sweden exists?
00:22:19.220 Can you give me
00:22:19.800 a hint?
00:22:20.800 What was it
00:22:21.540 that I said
00:22:22.200 that you disagreed
00:22:23.040 with?
00:22:24.700 I don't even know.
00:22:26.420 So number one
00:22:27.260 is something
00:22:28.360 about Sweden.
00:22:29.960 I have no idea
00:22:30.700 what that is
00:22:31.260 so I can't respond
00:22:31.940 to that.
00:22:32.680 Number two
00:22:33.100 he said
00:22:33.860 you're wrong
00:22:34.280 about saying
00:22:34.760 that the unvaccinated
00:22:36.480 are in a pandemic
00:22:37.480 and you're not.
00:22:39.780 Well
00:22:40.100 that was my opinion
00:22:41.440 of how I feel
00:22:43.080 when I'm vaccinated.
00:22:45.400 When I got vaccinated
00:22:46.540 I felt as though
00:22:47.780 I was no longer
00:22:48.740 in a pandemic.
00:22:49.400 well you guys
00:22:50.380 are if you're
00:22:51.040 unvaccinated.
00:22:52.180 Now
00:22:52.340 was that a fact?
00:22:54.440 No.
00:22:55.920 Was it
00:22:56.720 reasoning?
00:22:59.100 No.
00:23:00.060 It was literally
00:23:00.740 how I feel.
00:23:02.240 So Anomaly
00:23:02.920 is arguing with me
00:23:04.080 about how I feel.
00:23:05.900 I feel like
00:23:06.500 I could win
00:23:06.960 that argument.
00:23:07.780 Anomaly
00:23:08.120 I think he feels
00:23:09.760 this way.
00:23:10.700 Scott
00:23:11.000 how do you feel?
00:23:11.940 Not that way.
00:23:13.380 End of debate.
00:23:15.180 Number three
00:23:15.760 that says
00:23:17.960 Anomaly
00:23:18.360 you need to get
00:23:19.040 in line
00:23:19.400 for your booster
00:23:20.080 shot soon.
00:23:22.000 Okay.
00:23:23.280 And what was
00:23:23.820 the part
00:23:24.080 I disagreed with?
00:23:25.700 Was I arguing
00:23:26.980 that I like
00:23:27.640 booster shots?
00:23:28.900 I sure wish
00:23:29.480 we had booster
00:23:30.000 shots.
00:23:31.240 Or was I arguing
00:23:32.000 that they would
00:23:32.460 never happen?
00:23:33.780 I don't recall
00:23:34.480 even thinking
00:23:34.980 about it.
00:23:36.040 So what exactly
00:23:36.800 are we disagreeing
00:23:37.680 about?
00:23:38.560 I don't know.
00:23:39.580 And then
00:23:39.860 number four
00:23:40.360 Israel is having
00:23:41.740 more cases
00:23:42.420 and deaths
00:23:42.840 this August
00:23:43.440 than last August
00:23:44.300 without the jab.
00:23:45.180 Now this is
00:23:46.260 obviously a
00:23:46.880 cherry-picked
00:23:47.460 data.
00:23:49.200 But let me
00:23:49.620 ask you this.
00:23:50.920 Do you think
00:23:51.380 Israel wishes
00:23:52.320 they had not
00:23:53.000 vaccinated?
00:23:55.000 Do you think
00:23:55.760 that the experts
00:23:56.720 in Israel
00:23:57.280 Anomaly
00:23:58.880 do you think
00:23:59.640 that they're not
00:24:00.160 happy they vaccinated
00:24:01.080 as much as they did?
00:24:02.460 Do you think
00:24:02.840 that they think
00:24:03.380 it was a mistake?
00:24:04.660 Why is it
00:24:05.280 that nobody
00:24:05.820 in the medical
00:24:07.120 profession in Israel
00:24:08.180 knows what Anomaly
00:24:09.740 knows?
00:24:10.500 That it was all
00:24:11.140 a big sham
00:24:11.800 and I guess
00:24:12.260 those vaccinations
00:24:12.980 didn't help.
00:24:13.620 But Israel
00:24:15.280 itself doesn't
00:24:15.940 know that?
00:24:17.460 Anyway.
00:24:18.620 So I would
00:24:19.100 like to call
00:24:19.540 Anomaly a critic
00:24:20.540 but he doesn't
00:24:21.460 actually criticize
00:24:22.200 anything that's
00:24:22.960 even slightly
00:24:23.640 sensible.
00:24:25.040 So I'm going
00:24:25.500 to call him
00:24:25.840 a mascot
00:24:26.300 for now.
00:24:28.780 Rasmussen
00:24:29.220 did a poll
00:24:31.280 on voter
00:24:32.040 regrets
00:24:32.580 for 2020
00:24:33.740 the presidential
00:24:34.600 race.
00:24:35.640 So I guess
00:24:36.100 conservatives
00:24:36.880 and liberals
00:24:37.960 were about
00:24:38.420 the same.
00:24:39.400 6% of
00:24:40.260 conservatives
00:24:40.700 and 5%
00:24:41.540 of liberals
00:24:41.920 had some
00:24:42.400 regret
00:24:42.760 but 12%
00:24:44.100 of moderates
00:24:44.700 who decides
00:24:46.720 elections?
00:24:48.500 Moderates.
00:24:49.540 Right?
00:24:49.860 It's the moderates
00:24:50.620 that at least
00:24:51.380 have the ability
00:24:52.080 to swing
00:24:53.280 both ways.
00:24:54.200 The others
00:24:54.500 the liberals
00:24:55.180 and conservatives
00:24:55.940 mostly not
00:24:56.860 but the
00:24:58.720 moderates
00:24:59.080 12%
00:24:59.740 regret
00:25:00.120 that's pretty
00:25:01.140 big.
00:25:01.700 Let's dig
00:25:02.080 down a little
00:25:02.560 bit.
00:25:03.960 Turns out
00:25:04.480 according to
00:25:04.940 Rasmussen
00:25:05.360 that 70%
00:25:06.880 of the people
00:25:07.440 that they
00:25:07.920 surveyed
00:25:08.560 that's not
00:25:09.300 the national
00:25:09.780 thing
00:25:09.980 but of
00:25:10.360 people
00:25:10.940 that they
00:25:11.280 surveyed
00:25:12.440 70%
00:25:13.880 said they
00:25:15.520 voted for
00:25:16.320 Biden.
00:25:17.040 70%
00:25:17.540 of black
00:25:18.920 citizens.
00:25:20.440 But only
00:25:20.880 54%
00:25:21.940 said they
00:25:22.440 would now.
00:25:24.360 The black
00:25:25.320 support for
00:25:26.020 Biden just
00:25:26.660 crashed.
00:25:28.360 Why?
00:25:29.540 What happened?
00:25:31.000 Wasn't
00:25:31.460 Biden the
00:25:32.440 antidote to
00:25:33.100 Trump?
00:25:34.420 Except what
00:25:35.120 happened?
00:25:36.920 I think the
00:25:37.760 only thing
00:25:38.200 that people
00:25:38.660 know about
00:25:39.340 Biden is
00:25:40.040 he's trying
00:25:40.380 to get
00:25:40.660 him
00:25:40.840 vaccinated
00:25:41.500 and a
00:25:42.180 lot of
00:25:42.380 them don't
00:25:42.640 like it.
00:25:44.520 Maybe
00:25:45.080 what happened
00:25:47.260 was everything
00:25:48.060 you heard
00:25:48.520 about Trump
00:25:49.200 you realized
00:25:50.560 was bullshit.
00:25:52.520 Maybe.
00:25:53.400 Maybe all
00:25:54.260 those things
00:25:54.780 you thought
00:25:55.120 would go
00:25:55.400 wrong under
00:25:56.000 Trump
00:25:56.360 turned out
00:25:57.400 to be
00:25:57.700 opportunity
00:25:59.820 zones he
00:26:00.880 funded
00:26:01.260 and Trump
00:26:03.200 funded the
00:26:03.920 historically
00:26:04.400 black
00:26:04.880 colleges.
00:26:06.740 He had
00:26:07.200 he didn't
00:26:09.120 do anything
00:26:09.780 you don't
00:26:10.180 like.
00:26:11.340 Trump
00:26:11.660 actually
00:26:12.200 killed it
00:26:13.420 for prison
00:26:15.380 reforms.
00:26:16.200 Thank you.
00:26:17.040 Yeah.
00:26:18.060 Trump
00:26:18.520 consistently
00:26:19.720 rolled out
00:26:20.380 one thing
00:26:20.840 after another
00:26:21.440 that sounded
00:26:21.960 pretty good
00:26:22.440 to black
00:26:22.800 people.
00:26:23.600 Because it
00:26:24.060 was.
00:26:25.160 What's
00:26:25.660 Biden done?
00:26:27.040 Well,
00:26:27.540 Biden has
00:26:28.020 one accomplishment
00:26:28.720 and he made
00:26:29.160 Black Lives Matter
00:26:29.980 stop protesting.
00:26:30.780 but nothing
00:26:33.080 changed.
00:26:34.480 They just
00:26:35.180 stopped
00:26:35.420 protesting.
00:26:37.120 So maybe
00:26:38.100 the black
00:26:38.840 population
00:26:39.500 is noticing
00:26:40.220 that they
00:26:40.800 got taken
00:26:41.680 by the
00:26:42.400 news industry.
00:26:43.860 Well,
00:26:44.200 the golden
00:26:44.580 age is
00:26:45.100 still
00:26:45.360 possible.
00:26:47.540 It turns
00:26:48.120 out that
00:26:48.420 Moderna,
00:26:49.560 you know,
00:26:50.020 of course,
00:26:50.360 they created
00:26:50.800 one of the
00:26:51.320 mRNA
00:26:51.920 vaccines.
00:26:53.840 They're going
00:26:54.280 to start
00:26:54.540 human trials
00:26:55.300 for an
00:26:55.680 HIV vaccine
00:26:56.700 because it
00:26:57.760 uses the
00:26:58.360 same technology.
00:26:59.200 So I guess
00:27:00.420 everything we
00:27:01.120 learned about
00:27:02.060 HIV after
00:27:03.460 37 years of
00:27:04.540 studying it
00:27:05.060 made us
00:27:06.280 smart enough
00:27:06.860 to create
00:27:07.320 the mRNA
00:27:08.020 platform for
00:27:09.780 the pandemic.
00:27:11.420 But then
00:27:12.100 what we
00:27:12.460 learned in
00:27:12.860 the pandemic
00:27:13.440 made us
00:27:14.740 smart enough
00:27:15.380 that we
00:27:15.800 could circle
00:27:16.260 back and
00:27:16.880 work on
00:27:17.280 AIDS.
00:27:18.580 And
00:27:18.680 apparently
00:27:19.060 there's some
00:27:20.400 kind of
00:27:20.720 virtuous circle
00:27:21.900 of science
00:27:22.620 that somebody
00:27:24.360 else pointed
00:27:24.840 out.
00:27:25.260 Not me.
00:27:25.640 I didn't
00:27:25.860 write down
00:27:26.200 the name.
00:27:26.620 I wish I
00:27:26.880 had.
00:27:27.600 But
00:27:27.780 this is
00:27:29.700 kind of
00:27:30.000 cool.
00:27:31.380 And
00:27:31.560 correct me
00:27:32.440 if I'm
00:27:32.720 wrong,
00:27:33.060 but I
00:27:33.260 think this
00:27:33.620 platform has
00:27:34.360 some potential
00:27:34.920 for cancer
00:27:35.660 or some
00:27:36.700 forms of
00:27:37.200 cancer.
00:27:38.220 So this
00:27:39.120 is big.
00:27:40.100 Let me
00:27:40.360 tell you
00:27:40.640 another one
00:27:41.100 that you
00:27:41.320 didn't see
00:27:41.680 coming.
00:27:42.060 I didn't
00:27:42.260 see it
00:27:42.480 coming.
00:27:43.560 Do you
00:27:44.000 have any
00:27:44.340 kids in
00:27:45.700 school?
00:27:47.660 What
00:27:48.100 happened when
00:27:48.880 your kids
00:27:49.340 went back
00:27:49.780 to school
00:27:50.280 after a
00:27:50.820 year of
00:27:51.180 virtual
00:27:51.500 learning?
00:27:52.520 Tell me
00:27:52.900 in the
00:27:53.140 comments.
00:27:54.160 First
00:27:54.580 week of
00:27:55.020 school,
00:27:56.120 kids happy
00:27:56.860 or
00:27:57.540 unhappy?
00:27:58.340 Tell me
00:27:58.640 in the
00:27:58.820 comments.
00:28:01.220 Let's
00:28:01.620 see.
00:28:02.560 Just tell
00:28:03.100 me happy
00:28:03.500 or unhappy
00:28:04.040 in the
00:28:05.080 comments.
00:28:05.540 First,
00:28:05.920 happy.
00:28:07.240 Look at
00:28:07.420 that.
00:28:07.860 Yeah,
00:28:08.100 happy,
00:28:08.520 happy,
00:28:08.820 happy,
00:28:09.120 happy.
00:28:10.020 Happy,
00:28:10.500 happy,
00:28:10.780 happy,
00:28:11.040 happy.
00:28:11.400 Well,
00:28:11.700 yeah,
00:28:12.100 you're
00:28:12.280 getting
00:28:12.400 some
00:28:12.640 colds,
00:28:12.980 I
00:28:13.060 guess.
00:28:15.980 Yeah.
00:28:16.860 You know
00:28:17.260 what else
00:28:17.560 happened?
00:28:20.060 At least
00:28:20.660 this is
00:28:21.240 anecdotal,
00:28:21.880 but I'd
00:28:22.140 love to
00:28:22.360 hear it
00:28:22.600 from you.
00:28:22.900 A lot
00:28:24.960 of the
00:28:25.320 cliques,
00:28:26.440 you know,
00:28:26.600 the little
00:28:26.980 groups that
00:28:27.840 kids form,
00:28:29.220 they dissolved
00:28:30.180 and people
00:28:31.560 were able to
00:28:32.440 make new
00:28:32.840 friends that
00:28:33.460 maybe they
00:28:33.860 could not
00:28:34.240 have penetrated
00:28:34.860 before.
00:28:35.800 There's
00:28:36.100 something about
00:28:36.680 the pandemic
00:28:37.520 that rebooted
00:28:38.540 the social
00:28:39.920 structure of
00:28:40.680 the kids
00:28:41.300 because they
00:28:42.440 lost their
00:28:42.960 friends during
00:28:43.420 the pandemic
00:28:43.980 or they
00:28:45.000 modified their
00:28:45.820 friend group
00:28:46.640 and now
00:28:47.440 they're going
00:28:47.740 back almost
00:28:48.340 like it's
00:28:48.700 new because
00:28:50.340 you can get
00:28:50.920 really locked
00:28:51.420 out of a
00:28:51.860 group.
00:28:52.900 But what
00:28:53.400 I'm being
00:28:53.980 told that
00:28:54.500 everybody's
00:28:54.920 being more
00:28:55.280 welcoming than
00:28:56.340 they normally
00:28:56.780 had been.
00:28:57.620 So here's
00:28:58.120 some advice
00:28:58.900 for your
00:28:59.260 kids.
00:29:00.400 Do you
00:29:00.600 have any
00:29:01.020 kids in
00:29:01.560 school?
00:29:02.440 Here's the
00:29:02.800 advice.
00:29:04.040 More for
00:29:04.660 the teens.
00:29:05.940 Go make
00:29:06.320 some friends.
00:29:07.600 Go talk
00:29:08.080 to some
00:29:08.420 people who
00:29:08.860 wouldn't
00:29:09.080 have talked
00:29:09.440 to you
00:29:09.700 two years
00:29:10.140 ago.
00:29:11.600 Everybody
00:29:12.040 seems to
00:29:12.520 be more
00:29:12.840 open and
00:29:13.300 it might
00:29:13.540 be a
00:29:13.980 limited
00:29:14.580 window where
00:29:15.960 everybody's
00:29:16.480 just a little
00:29:16.860 more flexible
00:29:17.460 because they're
00:29:17.880 just so damn
00:29:18.460 happy to see
00:29:19.220 other people.
00:29:20.500 So go make
00:29:21.020 some friends.
00:29:21.560 you'll never
00:29:22.640 have, if
00:29:23.200 you're a
00:29:23.460 teenager, your
00:29:25.060 whole life you'll
00:29:25.740 never have a
00:29:26.160 better time to
00:29:26.760 make a friend.
00:29:27.780 This could be
00:29:28.540 the best time
00:29:29.480 to make a
00:29:29.900 friend.
00:29:31.560 All right.
00:29:32.460 Jeffrey
00:29:32.860 Toobin.
00:29:33.340 So you may
00:29:37.600 remember, I
00:29:39.720 might be the
00:29:40.180 only person who
00:29:40.960 gave a full
00:29:41.760 throated defense
00:29:43.580 of Jeffrey
00:29:44.140 Toobin's job.
00:29:46.300 When he got
00:29:47.260 in trouble for
00:29:47.920 his little
00:29:48.500 Zoom masturbation
00:29:49.960 thing, I
00:29:51.200 said, let's
00:29:52.060 not make that a
00:29:52.820 career-ending
00:29:53.400 thing.
00:29:53.960 Let's just call
00:29:54.700 that a human
00:29:55.300 moment.
00:29:56.240 Let's not make
00:29:57.060 that about his
00:29:57.640 job.
00:29:58.500 And I don't
00:29:59.380 know anybody
00:29:59.820 else who said
00:30:00.420 that.
00:30:01.620 I don't know.
00:30:02.360 Did anybody
00:30:02.840 else say, let
00:30:04.720 him keep his
00:30:05.880 job?
00:30:07.380 But I did.
00:30:08.840 And now I'm
00:30:09.640 glad.
00:30:10.560 Because he
00:30:11.180 came out with
00:30:11.880 an article on
00:30:14.120 CNN in which
00:30:15.240 he says he
00:30:15.760 doesn't think
00:30:16.280 Trump should be
00:30:16.880 charged with any
00:30:17.560 crimes for the
00:30:18.760 January 6th
00:30:19.580 stuff.
00:30:21.120 Boy, did
00:30:21.780 people not
00:30:22.300 like that.
00:30:23.520 Do you know
00:30:23.860 what reasons
00:30:24.540 Jeffrey Toobin
00:30:25.560 gave for why
00:30:26.580 Trump should not
00:30:27.480 be charged with
00:30:28.120 a crime?
00:30:30.500 There wasn't
00:30:31.280 any evidence of
00:30:31.980 a crime.
00:30:35.900 He wrote
00:30:36.540 this for
00:30:36.900 CNN.
00:30:38.240 So CNN
00:30:39.000 spared Jeffrey
00:30:40.020 Toobin.
00:30:41.540 And, you
00:30:42.160 know, I don't
00:30:42.540 think this is
00:30:43.040 literally true,
00:30:43.800 but it looks
00:30:44.960 like, I'll
00:30:45.900 just say it
00:30:46.320 looks like,
00:30:47.320 for fun, it
00:30:48.620 looks like they
00:30:49.320 said, okay,
00:30:49.960 we're going to
00:30:50.360 spare you, but
00:30:51.700 you need to do
00:30:52.680 one suicide
00:30:53.440 mission for us
00:30:54.360 in return.
00:30:55.440 And he was
00:30:56.020 like, I don't
00:30:56.780 like that deal,
00:30:57.460 but it's the
00:30:58.080 best I'll get.
00:30:58.600 And the
00:30:59.440 suicide
00:30:59.780 mission is,
00:31:01.680 Toobin has
00:31:02.280 to explain,
00:31:03.160 are you ready
00:31:03.640 for this?
00:31:04.080 This is fun.
00:31:06.020 Toobin has
00:31:06.580 to explain on
00:31:07.440 behalf of
00:31:07.940 CNN why
00:31:09.740 everything they've
00:31:10.500 reported about
00:31:11.320 Trump breaking
00:31:12.160 all the laws
00:31:13.020 was not
00:31:14.420 true.
00:31:16.940 So Toobin
00:31:18.020 has to take
00:31:20.100 the arrows for
00:31:21.620 informing CNN's
00:31:22.860 audience that
00:31:23.500 everything they've
00:31:24.120 told them about
00:31:24.740 Trump so far is a
00:31:25.740 lie, because
00:31:26.620 there's no
00:31:26.960 chance of him
00:31:27.560 getting prosecuted
00:31:28.360 for anything.
00:31:29.620 Here are the
00:31:30.080 reasons.
00:31:31.780 It's ambiguous
00:31:32.620 that he wanted
00:31:33.660 any violence,
00:31:34.560 because he said,
00:31:35.800 go march, but
00:31:36.440 don't be violent.
00:31:38.140 How do you get
00:31:39.020 prosecuted for
00:31:41.300 inciting violence
00:31:42.280 when you said,
00:31:42.880 don't be violent?
00:31:45.040 And Jeffrey Toobin
00:31:45.960 correctly points
00:31:46.860 out, I mean,
00:31:47.400 I'm no lawyer,
00:31:48.160 but it sounds
00:31:48.540 pretty logical to
00:31:49.320 me, that if you
00:31:50.820 didn't say do
00:31:51.760 violence and you
00:31:52.460 said don't do
00:31:53.080 violence, it's
00:31:54.260 going to be hard
00:31:54.900 to say you were
00:31:55.540 in favor of
00:31:56.080 violence.
00:31:57.620 It's ambiguous.
00:31:58.900 It's certainly
00:31:59.360 well beyond the
00:32:00.660 reasonable doubt
00:32:01.600 standard.
00:32:05.000 And let's see,
00:32:05.820 what else?
00:32:06.500 So he didn't
00:32:07.240 do that, and
00:32:10.100 anything he told,
00:32:11.080 let's say, the
00:32:11.640 attorney general to
00:32:12.520 do, if Trump
00:32:14.060 believed what he
00:32:15.020 was telling the
00:32:15.600 attorney general to
00:32:16.600 say, which is
00:32:17.840 that the election
00:32:18.420 was fraudulent,
00:32:19.280 that's what Trump
00:32:19.980 wanted him to
00:32:20.580 say, if Trump
00:32:21.820 believed that was
00:32:22.620 true, there's no
00:32:24.340 crime.
00:32:24.680 Telling your
00:32:26.340 attorney general
00:32:27.040 to tell the
00:32:27.640 truth, as you
00:32:29.420 see it, even if
00:32:30.420 you're wrong, it's
00:32:31.400 not a crime.
00:32:32.660 Not a crime.
00:32:33.960 So as Toobin
00:32:37.080 correctly points
00:32:37.940 out, there's
00:32:38.860 literally no
00:32:39.600 evidence of a
00:32:40.260 crime.
00:32:40.820 Now that doesn't
00:32:41.360 mean no crime
00:32:41.900 happened.
00:32:43.200 I'm just saying
00:32:43.760 there's no
00:32:44.060 evidence of
00:32:44.580 one.
00:32:45.740 And he had to
00:32:46.580 be the guy, the
00:32:47.640 sacrificial lamb,
00:32:49.560 who went out
00:32:50.680 and told CNN's
00:32:51.940 audience, you
00:32:52.480 know, everything
00:32:53.480 we've been telling
00:32:54.140 you for a while,
00:32:55.300 it's kind of
00:32:55.860 bullshit.
00:32:56.920 There's no crime
00:32:57.640 here.
00:32:59.680 And he did a
00:33:00.560 good job.
00:33:01.100 Anyway, so I
00:33:02.400 find that I am
00:33:03.520 proud to have
00:33:04.660 supported Jeffrey
00:33:05.700 Toobin's career,
00:33:08.880 and still am,
00:33:10.480 because I think he
00:33:11.780 gave us a straight
00:33:12.660 story on this.
00:33:16.000 Somebody says it
00:33:16.840 was a stroke of
00:33:17.580 genius.
00:33:17.880 All right, yes,
00:33:19.480 the puns fall
00:33:20.800 like water.
00:33:22.940 So of course,
00:33:23.480 CNN has to
00:33:24.240 target whoever
00:33:25.060 is the strongest
00:33:26.480 GOP candidate
00:33:27.880 for president
00:33:28.520 next time,
00:33:29.260 which is Ron
00:33:30.060 DeSantis, if
00:33:31.320 not Trump.
00:33:32.480 So if Trump
00:33:33.060 runs, of course,
00:33:34.120 he'll get
00:33:34.480 nominated.
00:33:35.740 But DeSantis
00:33:36.520 would be the
00:33:37.060 obvious number
00:33:37.560 two.
00:33:38.820 And so
00:33:39.260 Chrysalis is
00:33:39.980 going after
00:33:40.660 Ron DeSantis
00:33:41.460 for getting
00:33:42.700 rid of mask
00:33:43.600 mandates in
00:33:44.340 schools.
00:33:44.960 I guess a
00:33:45.380 few schools
00:33:45.960 are getting
00:33:46.980 sanctioned or
00:33:47.860 something by
00:33:48.380 the state
00:33:48.740 for having
00:33:49.380 them anyway.
00:33:50.780 But I read
00:33:51.500 the article
00:33:51.920 about Chrysalis'
00:33:53.400 hit piece
00:33:53.880 on DeSantis,
00:33:54.900 but all he
00:33:55.600 had was
00:33:55.960 sarcasm.
00:33:57.380 He didn't
00:33:57.880 have any
00:33:58.240 reasons.
00:33:59.680 Imagine a
00:34:00.400 hit piece
00:34:01.000 on CNN
00:34:02.280 against a
00:34:03.040 Republican,
00:34:04.440 and the
00:34:04.940 best they
00:34:05.360 could do
00:34:05.700 was sarcasm.
00:34:07.020 No
00:34:07.240 reasons.
00:34:08.340 So for
00:34:08.620 example,
00:34:11.160 DeSantis
00:34:12.060 said that
00:34:12.820 Florida was
00:34:13.960 in, quote,
00:34:14.520 COVID season.
00:34:16.660 Now what
00:34:17.180 he meant
00:34:17.480 was that
00:34:18.260 when it's
00:34:18.600 hot, people
00:34:19.640 spend more
00:34:20.200 time indoors
00:34:20.940 where you
00:34:21.720 get more
00:34:22.080 of COVID.
00:34:23.340 So DeSantis
00:34:24.240 was basically
00:34:24.960 saying, yeah,
00:34:25.780 we expected a
00:34:26.700 spike because
00:34:27.480 people are
00:34:28.040 getting their
00:34:28.500 air conditioning
00:34:29.060 and they're
00:34:29.440 inside.
00:34:30.800 And Chris
00:34:31.560 Eliza uses
00:34:32.940 sarcasm to
00:34:34.180 say, there's
00:34:35.560 no COVID
00:34:36.340 season.
00:34:37.460 There's no
00:34:38.040 COVID season.
00:34:38.960 No, there's
00:34:40.780 no COVID
00:34:41.240 season.
00:34:42.520 There's
00:34:42.820 just a
00:34:43.240 season in
00:34:44.520 which the
00:34:44.920 COVID is
00:34:45.460 expected to
00:34:46.180 be more for
00:34:47.640 an obvious
00:34:48.120 reason.
00:34:48.560 People are
00:34:48.900 indoors.
00:34:50.600 That's it.
00:34:51.920 That was
00:34:52.320 his best
00:34:52.840 hit on
00:34:53.980 DeSantis
00:34:54.440 was something
00:34:55.980 that you
00:34:56.420 completely agree
00:34:57.300 with, and
00:34:58.100 he actually
00:34:58.400 said he
00:34:58.720 agreed with
00:34:59.160 him.
00:35:00.200 But before
00:35:00.760 he agreed
00:35:01.280 with him,
00:35:02.060 he treated
00:35:02.580 it sarcastically
00:35:03.420 like, well,
00:35:04.080 there's no
00:35:04.340 COVID season.
00:35:07.280 That's it.
00:35:08.760 Are you
00:35:09.200 kidding me?
00:35:10.180 That's the
00:35:10.640 best they
00:35:11.100 could come
00:35:11.420 up with
00:35:11.860 is that
00:35:12.820 DeSantis
00:35:13.240 did something
00:35:13.940 popular?
00:35:15.340 Oh, well.
00:35:17.240 In the
00:35:17.820 bad timing
00:35:18.480 news,
00:35:19.400 bad timing
00:35:20.500 news,
00:35:22.780 Kamala
00:35:24.120 Harris had
00:35:24.660 long planned
00:35:25.280 a trip to
00:35:25.940 Vietnam,
00:35:26.960 which is
00:35:28.000 going to
00:35:28.380 coincide with
00:35:29.600 the fall
00:35:30.840 of Afghanistan,
00:35:32.280 the withdrawal
00:35:33.120 of Afghanistan.
00:35:35.320 Now,
00:35:36.740 just a
00:35:37.720 coincidence that
00:35:38.660 that was
00:35:39.160 planned.
00:35:41.100 But how
00:35:42.720 bad is the
00:35:43.500 timing that
00:35:44.140 we're going
00:35:44.440 to be made
00:35:44.900 to think
00:35:45.260 about Vietnam
00:35:46.060 at the
00:35:46.780 same time
00:35:47.340 the Biden
00:35:48.480 administration
00:35:48.980 wants you
00:35:49.660 to think
00:35:49.940 about anything
00:35:50.460 about Vietnam?
00:35:52.540 Can you
00:35:53.120 see the
00:35:53.420 meeting?
00:35:54.100 It's like,
00:35:54.520 all right,
00:35:55.700 guys, this
00:35:56.420 is the
00:35:56.680 Biden
00:35:56.880 administration.
00:35:57.940 We've got
00:35:58.600 quite the
00:35:59.180 PR problem
00:35:59.780 with this
00:36:00.260 Afghanistan
00:36:00.980 thing, but
00:36:01.740 we'll be
00:36:02.600 okay if
00:36:03.840 people don't
00:36:04.360 make the
00:36:04.800 Vietnam
00:36:05.220 comparison.
00:36:06.100 as long
00:36:07.140 as we
00:36:07.420 keep
00:36:07.640 Vietnam
00:36:08.200 out of
00:36:08.760 the
00:36:08.880 news,
00:36:10.060 I think
00:36:10.480 we can
00:36:10.800 manage
00:36:11.200 this
00:36:11.440 crisis
00:36:11.800 and spin
00:36:12.660 it.
00:36:13.660 So, all
00:36:14.080 right, everybody,
00:36:14.720 what are you
00:36:14.960 doing?
00:36:15.340 Joe Biden, what
00:36:15.960 are you doing?
00:36:16.720 I'll be hiding
00:36:17.560 and I'll make
00:36:19.060 one statement
00:36:19.580 to say I made
00:36:20.280 no mistakes.
00:36:21.000 Good, good,
00:36:21.720 that's good.
00:36:22.500 Everybody else,
00:36:23.420 we'll be saying
00:36:24.180 whatever Joe Biden
00:36:24.920 says.
00:36:25.360 We'll just, good,
00:36:26.640 good, you're
00:36:27.240 good.
00:36:27.880 Anybody, anybody
00:36:28.580 else?
00:36:29.400 Kamala Harris,
00:36:30.040 what do you
00:36:30.340 be doing?
00:36:30.700 I'll be
00:36:32.180 traveling to
00:36:32.780 Vietnam.
00:36:37.820 Bad timing.
00:36:43.640 All right.
00:36:46.140 Do you
00:36:46.900 remember when
00:36:47.460 you became a
00:36:48.160 military genius?
00:36:49.800 It was this
00:36:50.580 week.
00:36:51.600 I remember
00:36:52.340 not going to
00:36:53.280 school for
00:36:54.540 military planning
00:36:55.460 and yet,
00:36:57.060 despite my
00:36:57.740 not going to
00:36:58.440 school for
00:36:58.860 military planning,
00:36:59.700 I, like
00:37:01.700 everybody else
00:37:02.480 in America
00:37:03.020 this week,
00:37:04.840 military geniuses.
00:37:06.900 And let me
00:37:07.220 tell you, let me
00:37:08.480 tell you, when I
00:37:09.420 look at this
00:37:09.900 Afghanistan pull
00:37:10.860 out, I say to
00:37:11.460 myself, you
00:37:13.260 know, I have
00:37:14.300 no experience in
00:37:15.420 logistics, no
00:37:17.340 experience in
00:37:18.020 military anything.
00:37:20.180 But you know
00:37:20.660 what?
00:37:21.540 Despite my
00:37:22.460 complete lack of
00:37:23.780 information and
00:37:24.960 experience, I
00:37:26.680 could have done
00:37:27.220 better in
00:37:28.740 Afghanistan.
00:37:29.240 Afghanistan, and
00:37:29.640 so could all
00:37:30.780 of you, right?
00:37:33.400 Because we're
00:37:34.080 pretty smart with
00:37:35.820 our complete lack
00:37:36.740 of information about
00:37:37.720 what was really
00:37:38.380 happening on the
00:37:39.060 ground and all
00:37:40.640 of our military
00:37:41.320 genius.
00:37:42.680 Now, isn't it
00:37:43.260 weird?
00:37:44.440 Think about this.
00:37:45.180 What are the odds
00:37:45.680 of this?
00:37:46.480 You think the
00:37:47.100 simulation theory is
00:37:48.180 weird?
00:37:48.800 What about this?
00:37:50.700 Seven plus billion
00:37:52.400 people in the
00:37:53.020 world.
00:37:53.960 How many of them
00:37:54.860 are military
00:37:55.560 geniuses?
00:37:56.420 Almost all of
00:37:58.700 them, almost all
00:38:00.420 seven billion are
00:38:01.220 military geniuses.
00:38:02.320 Because they all
00:38:02.960 told you what went
00:38:03.660 wrong in Afghanistan.
00:38:05.160 But what are the
00:38:05.960 odds?
00:38:07.140 There was seven
00:38:07.920 billion military
00:38:09.180 geniuses.
00:38:09.960 Not one of them
00:38:10.920 was involved in
00:38:13.060 anything in
00:38:13.640 Afghanistan planning
00:38:14.740 the withdrawal.
00:38:15.840 Because it seems
00:38:16.660 like even just one
00:38:17.580 genius would have
00:38:18.280 made a difference.
00:38:19.620 But none.
00:38:20.920 They had no
00:38:21.880 geniuses.
00:38:22.640 Is that what you
00:38:24.420 believe?
00:38:25.920 Do you believe that
00:38:26.820 all the geniuses
00:38:28.060 were everywhere
00:38:29.060 else except
00:38:30.340 Afghanistan?
00:38:33.620 Take a moment.
00:38:35.220 Just take a moment
00:38:36.200 and think about
00:38:37.280 that.
00:38:38.640 How fucking stupid
00:38:39.960 are we?
00:38:41.460 Really?
00:38:42.680 Do you think that
00:38:43.600 the people who are
00:38:44.260 in charge of the
00:38:45.420 Afghanistan withdrawal,
00:38:47.920 do you think they
00:38:48.980 didn't think of what
00:38:49.720 you thought of?
00:38:50.340 Do you think there's
00:38:52.160 anything that you
00:38:53.040 thought of that the
00:38:54.760 planners in Afghanistan
00:38:55.840 said they didn't
00:38:56.240 think of it?
00:38:57.580 Really?
00:38:58.660 Really?
00:38:59.720 They didn't think of
00:39:00.700 it.
00:39:01.740 They had not
00:39:02.940 considered the
00:39:04.760 Taliban coming in
00:39:06.180 and taking it.
00:39:06.720 Really?
00:39:07.980 But you thought of
00:39:08.800 it.
00:39:09.440 But nobody there
00:39:10.140 thought of it.
00:39:11.620 Let me suggest that
00:39:13.220 there's another
00:39:13.740 explanation of what
00:39:14.780 happened.
00:39:16.240 And I think it's
00:39:17.300 the obvious one.
00:39:18.260 Now, you don't
00:39:20.280 know, right?
00:39:20.980 Because we're all
00:39:21.400 speculating.
00:39:22.040 So I'm speculating
00:39:22.780 as much as you
00:39:23.480 are, right?
00:39:24.200 We're both kind of
00:39:25.100 guessing here.
00:39:26.200 But I'll tell you
00:39:26.960 what seems most
00:39:27.620 likely.
00:39:28.220 Did you hear about
00:39:28.960 the president of
00:39:30.800 Afghanistan's
00:39:31.700 departure?
00:39:33.000 He made it kind of
00:39:33.780 quickly.
00:39:34.260 And why did he
00:39:34.920 leave Kabul?
00:39:36.680 As the Taliban
00:39:37.640 were coming in,
00:39:38.880 why did the
00:39:39.480 president of
00:39:40.120 Afghanistan leave
00:39:41.200 Kabul?
00:39:41.720 Well, obviously,
00:39:42.740 part of it was he
00:39:43.740 didn't want to be
00:39:44.220 killed.
00:39:44.500 But what was the
00:39:45.880 other part?
00:39:46.320 He didn't want a
00:39:48.560 bloodbath in
00:39:49.220 Kabul.
00:39:50.180 Because if the
00:39:50.860 president stayed,
00:39:51.700 there would be
00:39:52.000 fighting and it
00:39:52.640 would get bloody.
00:39:53.380 And then what
00:39:53.780 would be the
00:39:54.200 outcome?
00:39:55.260 Kabul would fall
00:39:56.000 anyway, right?
00:39:57.900 Kabul was going to
00:39:58.640 fall anyway.
00:40:00.160 And what did the
00:40:01.320 intel for the
00:40:02.220 United States say
00:40:03.280 about the Taliban
00:40:05.540 taking over when
00:40:06.600 we left?
00:40:07.880 Our own intel said
00:40:09.240 that in six months
00:40:10.140 they were going to
00:40:10.660 take over.
00:40:12.060 So the one thing
00:40:12.960 we knew is that the
00:40:13.920 Taliban were going
00:40:14.740 to take over.
00:40:16.320 It was sometime
00:40:17.020 within six months.
00:40:20.560 Why do you
00:40:21.280 wait?
00:40:22.400 What was the
00:40:23.400 benefit exactly
00:40:25.320 of waiting?
00:40:26.800 Now you say to
00:40:27.240 yourself, well,
00:40:27.780 you'd avoid all
00:40:28.420 that airport
00:40:29.000 stuff.
00:40:30.520 But what would
00:40:31.320 you not avoid?
00:40:32.640 What you wouldn't
00:40:34.000 avoid is six
00:40:34.780 months of civil
00:40:35.500 war.
00:40:36.880 Do you think
00:40:37.720 that six months
00:40:38.480 of civil war
00:40:39.440 would have created
00:40:40.980 more or less
00:40:42.080 death than a
00:40:44.340 terribly planned
00:40:45.460 hasty withdrawal?
00:40:47.100 It's not even
00:40:47.900 close.
00:40:48.880 The civil war
00:40:49.520 would have been
00:40:49.880 much worse.
00:40:51.120 The hasty
00:40:51.680 withdrawal, as
00:40:53.520 bad as it was
00:40:54.420 for everybody,
00:40:57.020 as bad as it
00:40:57.860 was, it was
00:40:59.560 better than
00:41:00.060 not staying.
00:41:02.000 I think Biden
00:41:03.060 was 100% right.
00:41:04.600 Faster is better.
00:41:05.700 You have two
00:41:06.160 choices.
00:41:07.620 Fast disaster,
00:41:09.220 get it over
00:41:09.760 with.
00:41:10.760 Slow disaster,
00:41:11.980 disaster, that's
00:41:13.220 it.
00:41:14.260 We had two
00:41:15.260 frickin' choices,
00:41:16.400 slow disaster or
00:41:17.460 fast disaster.
00:41:18.780 Biden chose
00:41:19.680 fast disaster,
00:41:21.620 good leadership.
00:41:23.040 I'm sorry, I'm
00:41:24.020 never going to
00:41:24.380 change that opinion.
00:41:25.840 It's good
00:41:26.420 leadership, if you
00:41:27.540 have two choices,
00:41:28.460 slow disaster or
00:41:29.340 fast disaster,
00:41:30.720 good leadership
00:41:31.440 picks the fast
00:41:32.200 one.
00:41:32.940 Because bad
00:41:33.740 leadership lets
00:41:34.480 you just string
00:41:35.200 it along, do
00:41:36.100 what you were
00:41:36.480 doing, don't get
00:41:37.300 in trouble, slow
00:41:38.580 disaster, oh, it
00:41:39.680 wasn't my fault, we
00:41:40.580 did what we
00:41:41.020 could do, too
00:41:42.320 bad the Taliban
00:41:43.000 did better than
00:41:43.660 we thought.
00:41:45.220 Pull that
00:41:45.900 band-aid off.
00:41:47.100 Biden did it and
00:41:47.980 he didn't apologize
00:41:49.220 for it and I
00:41:50.440 will always give
00:41:51.120 him credit for
00:41:51.660 that.
00:41:52.640 Now, could we
00:41:54.000 have done a
00:41:54.440 better job of
00:41:55.720 preparing to get
00:41:56.500 our allies out?
00:41:58.220 Probably not.
00:42:00.340 Probably not.
00:42:01.760 You as a
00:42:02.740 military genius
00:42:03.520 believe that if
00:42:04.320 we had done a
00:42:05.260 lot more to
00:42:05.960 protect the
00:42:07.860 people that we
00:42:08.400 wanted to
00:42:08.800 protect, and we
00:42:09.440 do want to
00:42:09.840 protect them,
00:42:10.580 if we'd done a
00:42:11.320 lot more to
00:42:11.760 protect them, we'd
00:42:13.600 be in better
00:42:14.000 shape.
00:42:14.960 But what would
00:42:15.720 have happened if
00:42:16.900 we had worked
00:42:18.380 really hard to
00:42:19.080 protect the
00:42:19.600 people who were
00:42:20.180 escaping with
00:42:20.980 us?
00:42:22.280 The government
00:42:23.060 would have
00:42:23.480 fallen, like
00:42:24.740 right away.
00:42:25.800 Because you
00:42:26.540 would have sent
00:42:27.000 the signal that
00:42:27.700 you're all doomed.
00:42:29.020 If you start
00:42:29.860 massively deporting
00:42:31.600 the people who
00:42:32.260 helped us, the
00:42:33.660 government falls
00:42:34.260 right away, and
00:42:35.540 the Taliban just
00:42:36.240 walks in.
00:42:37.560 You didn't have a
00:42:38.900 choice of winning.
00:42:39.620 The moment you
00:42:41.580 think there was a
00:42:42.240 good way out, you're
00:42:44.160 just in crazy land.
00:42:46.300 Do you think that
00:42:46.900 there was some
00:42:47.380 good way out, and
00:42:48.920 the experts in
00:42:49.860 logistics and
00:42:50.840 military strategy
00:42:52.000 couldn't find it?
00:42:54.580 Really?
00:42:56.280 Do you know that
00:42:57.220 our military is
00:42:58.260 pretty well
00:42:58.740 trained, right?
00:43:00.120 Our military is
00:43:01.480 really, really
00:43:02.380 well trained.
00:43:04.280 Somebody thought
00:43:05.280 of the way to do
00:43:06.100 it and figured out
00:43:06.880 that it wouldn't
00:43:07.340 work.
00:43:08.740 I'm guessing.
00:43:10.080 Now, of course, I'm
00:43:10.980 speculating as much
00:43:11.880 as you are, right?
00:43:12.980 Could we find out
00:43:13.900 tomorrow that it
00:43:14.620 really was just
00:43:15.160 massive stupidity?
00:43:16.560 Yeah.
00:43:17.020 Yeah, we could.
00:43:17.980 But I don't have
00:43:18.660 any evidence of
00:43:19.300 that.
00:43:20.080 I see no evidence
00:43:21.520 of failure.
00:43:23.900 And I believe I'm
00:43:24.840 the only one saying
00:43:25.480 this.
00:43:25.780 I don't know if I've
00:43:26.360 heard even one
00:43:26.920 person say anything
00:43:27.760 close to what I'm
00:43:28.600 saying.
00:43:29.380 There's no evidence
00:43:30.600 of failure.
00:43:31.280 It could be.
00:43:32.500 Very, very, very
00:43:33.500 possible.
00:43:34.340 I'd even give it
00:43:35.040 maybe more than
00:43:36.480 50% chance.
00:43:38.020 But we don't
00:43:38.640 see it.
00:43:39.820 It's not an
00:43:40.400 evidence.
00:43:42.000 All right.
00:43:44.660 Will the Taliban
00:43:45.640 support terrorists
00:43:46.880 setting up camps?
00:43:49.300 I don't know.
00:43:50.340 All the smart
00:43:51.640 people are telling
00:43:52.360 you that the
00:43:52.920 Al-Qaeda and
00:43:53.860 the bad guys are
00:43:54.720 all just going to
00:43:55.880 reconstitute under
00:43:57.080 the Taliban.
00:43:58.680 But does the
00:43:59.200 Taliban want that?
00:44:00.760 Did the Taliban
00:44:01.680 learn nothing?
00:44:03.520 Does the Taliban
00:44:04.480 want us to come
00:44:05.280 back?
00:44:06.600 I feel like the
00:44:07.440 Taliban might do
00:44:09.100 a little self-policing
00:44:10.340 for their own
00:44:11.980 interests.
00:44:13.880 Don't know yet.
00:44:15.080 But I wouldn't
00:44:15.580 rule out the fact
00:44:16.440 that the Taliban
00:44:17.120 doesn't want
00:44:18.020 Al-Qaeda there.
00:44:21.500 So, of course,
00:44:22.400 the big question
00:44:22.900 is, is it Trump's
00:44:23.940 fault or somebody
00:44:24.660 else's?
00:44:25.460 Rasmussen did a
00:44:26.380 poll on that,
00:44:27.500 found 51% think
00:44:29.060 it's Biden's
00:44:30.080 failure,
00:44:31.240 Afghanistan,
00:44:32.200 and 33% think
00:44:33.600 Trump.
00:44:33.860 Now, I think
00:44:34.660 that 33% is sort
00:44:35.980 of a rock
00:44:36.740 bottom for
00:44:37.340 politics.
00:44:38.500 I don't think
00:44:39.040 you can dislodge
00:44:40.020 a third of the
00:44:40.660 public from
00:44:41.160 their opinions
00:44:41.680 no matter what.
00:44:44.140 But apparently
00:44:44.880 Trump is being
00:44:45.960 faulted for
00:44:46.680 believing the
00:44:47.340 Taliban might
00:44:48.080 keep their end
00:44:48.740 of the deal.
00:44:50.800 Did he really
00:44:51.540 believe that?
00:44:52.400 Or did he just
00:44:53.100 sell it?
00:44:54.640 So we know
00:44:55.300 he sold it.
00:44:56.840 In other words,
00:44:57.340 he told people,
00:44:58.180 hey, you know,
00:44:58.900 I think I've got
00:44:59.440 to deal with the
00:44:59.960 Taliban.
00:45:00.720 But do you
00:45:01.120 think he believed
00:45:01.820 it?
00:45:03.120 I don't know.
00:45:04.040 Because I don't
00:45:04.420 think it mattered.
00:45:05.640 Because whether
00:45:06.240 the Taliban were
00:45:07.140 going to keep
00:45:07.720 their end of the
00:45:08.280 deal or not,
00:45:09.820 we were still
00:45:10.540 going to bug out.
00:45:11.960 Right?
00:45:12.480 One way or
00:45:13.060 another.
00:45:13.880 He got the
00:45:14.420 Taliban to say,
00:45:15.340 yeah, we'll do
00:45:15.900 some things, and
00:45:16.580 then they didn't
00:45:17.060 do them.
00:45:17.700 But I don't
00:45:18.060 think it mattered.
00:45:19.360 So was that
00:45:20.000 Trump's fault for
00:45:22.260 believing the
00:45:22.840 Taliban?
00:45:24.320 I would say it's
00:45:25.200 not in evidence
00:45:26.000 what he believed.
00:45:27.040 It's only in
00:45:27.760 evidence what he
00:45:28.360 tried to sell,
00:45:29.740 and that might have
00:45:30.320 been a good
00:45:30.680 strategy just to
00:45:32.180 figure out a way
00:45:32.820 to get out of
00:45:33.280 there.
00:45:35.620 I also think
00:45:36.620 that there's going
00:45:37.120 to be a big
00:45:37.600 question mark about
00:45:38.780 what happens with
00:45:39.500 women in
00:45:41.020 Afghanistan.
00:45:42.280 Because I don't
00:45:43.260 know you can put
00:45:44.940 the toothpaste back
00:45:45.860 in the bottle.
00:45:46.940 Now, they did it
00:45:47.580 once.
00:45:48.460 The Taliban did
00:45:49.520 oppress women
00:45:50.860 once when they
00:45:51.840 were in charge.
00:45:53.600 I just think it's
00:45:54.560 going to be
00:45:54.840 harder.
00:45:56.320 It's going to be
00:45:56.900 harder.
00:45:57.980 And I don't know
00:45:58.560 what that does.
00:45:59.200 Because remember,
00:46:00.540 the Taliban is
00:46:01.220 acting weirdly
00:46:02.320 non-Taliban-y
00:46:04.000 in some ways.
00:46:05.420 They said they
00:46:06.060 would respect
00:46:06.600 women's rights
00:46:07.340 within the
00:46:08.120 boundaries of
00:46:09.980 Islam.
00:46:10.700 Who knows
00:46:11.040 what that is.
00:46:13.360 So I think
00:46:15.160 the odds are
00:46:15.920 it's a disaster
00:46:17.520 for women.
00:46:18.800 But I'm not
00:46:19.620 so sure.
00:46:20.840 I think there's
00:46:21.540 at least some
00:46:22.440 chance that the
00:46:24.880 Taliban is going
00:46:25.680 to change.
00:46:26.740 Remember,
00:46:27.300 it's been 20
00:46:27.820 years.
00:46:29.680 Even the
00:46:30.360 Taliban might
00:46:31.580 morph a little
00:46:32.340 bit in 20
00:46:32.940 years.
00:46:33.980 Don't know.
00:46:35.220 All right.
00:46:35.560 So those were
00:46:36.180 the things that
00:46:36.920 I wanted to
00:46:37.440 talk about
00:46:37.860 today.
00:46:38.340 But I'm
00:46:38.700 going to
00:46:38.800 throw this
00:46:39.220 in.
00:46:40.000 There's a
00:46:40.420 new study
00:46:40.780 by Yale
00:46:41.380 School of
00:46:42.880 Management.
00:46:43.940 They studied
00:46:44.520 which mitigation
00:46:46.860 strategies for
00:46:48.280 the pandemic
00:46:48.740 worked.
00:46:49.820 And they
00:46:50.160 studied masks
00:46:51.160 and mask
00:46:51.960 effectiveness.
00:46:53.100 If you
00:46:53.400 haven't seen
00:46:53.880 it yet,
00:46:54.920 what do you
00:46:55.320 think they
00:46:55.680 found?
00:46:56.100 Yale School
00:46:57.620 of Management.
00:46:58.380 So let's
00:46:58.700 assume that
00:46:59.380 they know
00:46:59.720 how to do
00:47:00.240 statistics,
00:47:01.520 right?
00:47:01.760 It's Yale.
00:47:02.920 So let's
00:47:03.260 assume it's
00:47:03.680 smart people
00:47:04.160 who did it.
00:47:05.400 What do
00:47:05.800 they think
00:47:06.200 that they
00:47:06.680 determined
00:47:07.160 about mask
00:47:08.060 effectiveness?
00:47:09.700 Go.
00:47:10.260 Without
00:47:10.500 seeing it,
00:47:11.120 what do you
00:47:11.340 think?
00:47:12.380 Boom.
00:47:15.140 Pandemic
00:47:15.620 mitigation.
00:47:16.560 Did it help
00:47:17.080 in the
00:47:17.340 pandemic?
00:47:17.960 Masks.
00:47:19.580 12%.
00:47:20.140 They say
00:47:21.100 12% of
00:47:21.860 deaths were
00:47:22.300 avoided.
00:47:22.600 Now,
00:47:24.260 12% of
00:47:24.920 deaths,
00:47:25.380 let's see,
00:47:25.720 we had
00:47:25.940 over 600,000
00:47:27.180 deaths,
00:47:28.040 so let's
00:47:28.400 say maybe
00:47:28.980 65,000
00:47:30.160 deaths were
00:47:30.680 avoided.
00:47:32.520 Was that
00:47:33.120 worth wearing
00:47:33.700 masks?
00:47:35.320 In the
00:47:35.920 comments,
00:47:36.780 if it was
00:47:37.380 true,
00:47:38.060 now,
00:47:38.380 of course,
00:47:38.880 you have to
00:47:39.900 be skeptical
00:47:40.380 of any
00:47:40.880 kind of
00:47:41.260 science,
00:47:42.440 and those
00:47:43.020 who criticize
00:47:43.540 me for not
00:47:44.260 being skeptical
00:47:44.880 of things
00:47:45.420 that agree
00:47:45.840 with me,
00:47:46.740 this would
00:47:47.360 be one of
00:47:47.740 those cases.
00:47:49.320 So,
00:47:50.180 yes,
00:47:51.000 be skeptical
00:47:51.620 of this,
00:47:52.660 even though
00:47:53.140 it agrees
00:47:53.560 with me.
00:47:55.200 So,
00:47:55.620 that's about
00:47:56.000 what we
00:47:56.380 expected
00:47:56.780 masks to
00:47:57.340 be,
00:47:57.780 15%,
00:47:58.440 12%,
00:47:59.000 somewhere in
00:47:59.860 that range.
00:48:02.080 So,
00:48:02.820 if this
00:48:03.320 is true,
00:48:04.460 and that's
00:48:04.980 a big if,
00:48:05.920 if it's
00:48:06.400 true,
00:48:06.720 I would
00:48:06.960 say that
00:48:07.340 masks were
00:48:08.040 a smart
00:48:08.600 idea that
00:48:10.520 have now
00:48:11.000 reached the
00:48:11.600 end of the
00:48:12.400 trade-off
00:48:13.340 where it's
00:48:14.040 worth doing.
00:48:14.580 In my
00:48:16.500 opinion,
00:48:17.600 saving 12%
00:48:18.700 of 1,000
00:48:19.640 deaths a
00:48:20.060 day,
00:48:20.240 maybe not
00:48:22.440 worth it
00:48:23.160 for the
00:48:23.600 lack of
00:48:24.380 freedom that
00:48:24.880 it gives
00:48:25.160 you and
00:48:25.560 the lifestyle
00:48:26.380 change it
00:48:27.020 gives you,
00:48:27.400 et cetera.
00:48:29.640 So,
00:48:30.540 I throw
00:48:31.200 that out
00:48:31.580 there for
00:48:32.160 Anomaly,
00:48:33.100 my mascot,
00:48:34.220 who doesn't
00:48:35.140 believe that
00:48:35.580 that study
00:48:36.120 will be
00:48:36.460 valid,
00:48:37.220 and maybe
00:48:37.580 it doesn't
00:48:37.960 like every
00:48:38.520 other study,
00:48:39.480 so don't
00:48:39.840 assume that's
00:48:40.380 the final
00:48:40.740 word,
00:48:41.240 but maybe
00:48:41.720 someday we'll
00:48:42.500 find out.
00:48:43.520 And by
00:48:43.780 the way,
00:48:44.420 the study
00:48:44.900 did find
00:48:45.500 that closing
00:48:46.880 down non-critical
00:48:48.140 places didn't
00:48:49.500 matter.
00:48:50.240 All right,
00:48:51.220 bye for
00:48:51.640 now.
00:48:52.580 Gotta run.
00:48:53.100 Bye for
00:48:53.160 now.