Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 13, 2021


Episode 1498 Scott Adams： Put Earmuffs on the Children When I Talk About Our Broken Election System


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

145.54608

Word Count

7,083

Sentence Count

605

Misogynist Sentences

19

Hate Speech Sentences

29


Summary

Join me for the hit of the day, the dopamine hit that makes everything better except our screwed-up elections. Today, Scott Adams talks about the California recall election, a new preprint on heart problems in young boys, and the dangers of childhood vaccines.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:01.980 I know, I know, it's the highlight of your day.
00:00:04.520 You're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later.
00:00:09.200 Yeah, I know.
00:00:10.780 But don't think that yet.
00:00:12.780 Just enjoy it.
00:00:14.200 Just be in the moment.
00:00:15.900 Now, this one comes with a warning.
00:00:19.760 Because the California election is happening right now, the recall election,
00:00:23.700 and I got a little bit triggered.
00:00:26.020 So there will be cursing later.
00:00:30.420 Just warning you.
00:00:32.040 So put the earmuffs on the children,
00:00:35.200 and I think the rest of you adults will be able to handle this.
00:00:38.660 But if you'd like to get fortified so that the cursing doesn't bother you,
00:00:43.520 what would be a good way to do that?
00:00:45.240 Yeah, coffee.
00:00:46.680 That's right.
00:00:47.300 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,
00:00:49.400 a tank or a chelsea, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:53.880 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:54.880 I like coffee.
00:00:57.360 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
00:01:03.160 the thing that makes everything better except our fucked up elections.
00:01:07.040 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:09.800 And it happens now.
00:01:11.020 Go.
00:01:11.200 All right.
00:01:20.240 It's all going now.
00:01:21.100 Well, Rasmussen asked people what do they think about celebrity or external politicians campaigning for a candidate.
00:01:32.120 Do you think it helps?
00:01:33.100 Do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are helping out?
00:01:41.160 Well, most people say no, but shockingly, 30% say it's important or somewhat important
00:01:46.520 that celebrities and outside politicians help campaign.
00:01:51.940 Now, I don't think I've ever been influenced by a celebrity endorsement.
00:01:59.300 I don't know if I've been influenced by a politician endorsement, although those seem more weighty.
00:02:05.900 But I feel like it works.
00:02:10.100 I feel like it works because if Newsom is campaigning with a celebrity or with Kamala Harris or Biden, he just gets more attention.
00:02:25.120 And attention is the thing that gets you elected, right?
00:02:27.620 The more attention you get, the better.
00:02:29.720 So I think that these celebrity endorsements do work just because they draw people and they draw attention.
00:02:35.980 I don't think it has anything to do with the endorsement per se.
00:02:40.100 Well, you remember, most of you who watched this recently, I think it was yesterday,
00:02:45.760 I was talking about what if the preprint paper about young boys getting some myocarditis from the vaccination itself.
00:02:58.920 And I said to you, do not be too confident that this is correct,
00:03:03.820 because even peer-reviewed studies, or half of them, turn out not to be right.
00:03:09.120 And this is before it's even peer-reviewed.
00:03:12.280 So a preprint should be your lowest level of credibility within the scientific realm.
00:03:18.900 And I warned you that maybe these initial findings might not hold up.
00:03:24.960 Well, that took about 24 hours.
00:03:26.460 And Alistair McAlpine, MD, so he's a doctor, he says of this major study that showed that young boys were having heart problems from the vaccination,
00:03:39.180 he points out that it's non-peer-reviewed, it's an unpublished preprint,
00:03:43.500 and it's based on data dumpster diving through a non-verified database that once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk as a side effect.
00:03:56.280 And it uses outdated statistics to paint a false picture.
00:04:01.780 So that's one opinion.
00:04:02.780 All right, so one knowledgeable opinion is it's a garbage study.
00:04:06.180 And Andres Backhouse is also warning us it's going to fall apart.
00:04:12.600 So, if you're worried about young boys having a little heart risk with the vaccination,
00:04:22.720 the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting COVID itself.
00:04:26.420 Because I think it was Scott Gottlieb, ex-head of the FDA, who is now calling this an endemic, meaning you're going to get it.
00:04:37.700 You get that, right?
00:04:39.140 So we used to think, well, maybe we could keep some people from getting COVID.
00:04:44.080 Nope, not anymore.
00:04:46.660 Apparently, you're all going to get it.
00:04:49.420 It's just a matter of when.
00:04:51.000 Maybe it won't be this year.
00:04:52.360 Could be five years from now.
00:04:53.500 But it's going to be around.
00:04:54.420 You're all going to get it.
00:04:55.160 And if that's the case, then you have to compare the vaccination to getting COVID.
00:05:01.920 Not a percentage chance of getting COVID.
00:05:05.400 Not a 10% chance of getting COVID.
00:05:08.400 But you're going to get COVID.
00:05:10.440 So now, if you know you're going to get it, even though there would be a timing difference,
00:05:14.700 you can basically now compare the risk of heart problems from COVID
00:05:20.420 versus the risk of heart problems from the vaccination.
00:05:25.160 It turns out that COVID is worse.
00:05:28.700 So at the moment, I would say there is zero credible evidence that young boys have extra risk.
00:05:38.900 Zero credible evidence.
00:05:41.200 It could still be true, right?
00:05:43.380 Because when I talk about credibility, that doesn't mean true or false.
00:05:46.920 That just means do you have evidence that's the kind of evidence that should convince you or not.
00:05:51.840 We don't.
00:05:52.980 We don't have the kind of evidence that should make you make a different decision based on that factor.
00:05:59.660 Maybe later we will.
00:06:01.060 But we don't know.
00:06:01.860 All right.
00:06:03.740 There are two things we know for sure.
00:06:07.400 And I tweeted this, and I'm going to read it because I tweeted it so well that I can't improve upon it.
00:06:14.760 So I'm just going to read it.
00:06:16.540 I said there are two things we know for sure.
00:06:18.400 Number one, we must use good science and good data to make decisions.
00:06:23.920 Absolutely.
00:06:24.580 Number two, we know for sure.
00:06:26.760 We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while ass-fucking us at its home address.
00:06:39.220 I'll just let that sit there for a moment.
00:06:41.020 Now, here's a humor-writing lesson.
00:06:45.460 You ready?
00:06:46.720 Humor-writing lesson.
00:06:49.500 What makes this sentence funny?
00:06:51.600 We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while ass-fucking us at its home address.
00:07:01.080 What makes that work?
00:07:03.300 Well, it's visual, right?
00:07:05.140 It's also cruel.
00:07:07.540 It's bizarre.
00:07:08.960 You know, these are the dimensions of humor.
00:07:10.500 If you get any two of the six dimensions of humor in there, it's going to be funny.
00:07:15.340 So you've got, you know, cruelty, bizarre, it's clever.
00:07:18.360 It's got basically three or four.
00:07:20.860 But here's the technique I want to share with you.
00:07:24.280 It's that third and last clause at its home address.
00:07:30.840 Right?
00:07:31.180 So if you're going to exaggerate something, this is, you know, a simple humor technique.
00:07:37.140 You just say, okay, something's bad.
00:07:39.180 Let me describe how bad it is in a funny way.
00:07:43.200 Now, if I said, we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs.
00:07:49.340 Is that funny?
00:07:50.800 Is that funny?
00:07:51.620 We wouldn't know it if it showed us three sources of identification.
00:07:56.620 No, not really.
00:07:57.920 It just sort of sits there.
00:07:59.520 Makes a point, you know, in an analogy kind of way.
00:08:02.800 But it just sits there, right?
00:08:04.300 If I say we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while ass-fucking us,
00:08:12.460 well, now you're talking.
00:08:14.860 Now it's getting a little funny because we got the naughty part in there and it's bizarre and, you know, it's got everything.
00:08:23.180 But here's the part I want to teach you.
00:08:26.320 It's the third thing that sells it.
00:08:29.200 Right?
00:08:29.280 The second part, you know, the first part is just a setup.
00:08:34.080 We wouldn't know good science if it showed us three IDs.
00:08:39.380 Not funny yet.
00:08:40.540 It's just a setup.
00:08:41.940 But then the payoff is making us scream its name while ass-fucking us.
00:08:48.080 But then the real dessert, you know, the thing that ties us together and makes it work, is the third thing.
00:08:54.120 Because it's hard to come up with three things that fit, three things that cause you to be able to positively identify it.
00:09:02.680 And the third thing was we're at its home address, which took a little work to come up with that third thing.
00:09:10.460 So that's the technique.
00:09:12.040 If you're going to exaggerate, have three levels of exaggeration.
00:09:16.860 First one, okay, it's just setting me up.
00:09:20.360 Second one, you need to get the laugh.
00:09:22.320 Second one needs to make them laugh.
00:09:24.660 All right, all right, I see where you're going.
00:09:26.680 You're done now, right?
00:09:29.060 As soon as they think you're done, that's where you add the third one.
00:09:33.320 The third one is what puts it over the line and makes it, you know, one for the ages.
00:09:38.060 Two can be funny.
00:09:39.720 If you can get that third one in there, people will remember that.
00:09:44.820 All right, so that's your lesson for the day on humor.
00:09:47.520 Well, apparently CNN is already worried about Trump.
00:09:52.680 He is the top story today.
00:09:56.380 Can you believe it?
00:09:57.800 Trump is the top story on CNN.
00:09:59.860 Do you know what made Trump the top story on CNN?
00:10:04.980 He talked.
00:10:07.000 That's it.
00:10:08.200 He just opened his mouth.
00:10:09.980 He just talked.
00:10:11.420 And he's the biggest story in the world.
00:10:12.880 And what he talked about was that he's reminding people that he believes the election was rigged
00:10:20.080 and that that might be a major theme of his re-election.
00:10:25.160 Now, do you think Trump could get re-elected, making the election itself a major theme?
00:10:33.540 Would that be strong enough?
00:10:35.640 If he just said, hey, I got robbed, I got robbed.
00:10:38.840 Let's do this right.
00:10:39.860 Re-elect me.
00:10:40.500 It was rigged.
00:10:42.880 I say no.
00:10:44.520 I say no.
00:10:45.520 Yeah, and I'm seeing more no's in the comments.
00:10:47.440 No way.
00:10:47.840 Right.
00:10:48.800 Because it's whiny.
00:10:50.800 It's small.
00:10:52.580 Right?
00:10:53.280 It's small.
00:10:54.540 It's whiny.
00:10:56.500 And you just think maybe if he tried harder, he could have won.
00:11:00.920 Right?
00:11:01.520 So even if you think it's true, it doesn't work.
00:11:05.880 Does it?
00:11:06.960 Because you feel like he should win anyway.
00:11:09.620 Right?
00:11:09.860 If you're complaining about the referee, well, maybe you should have shot better baskets.
00:11:15.640 Right?
00:11:15.720 If you think you lost the game because of the ref, well, maybe you should have played better.
00:11:22.060 I mean, that's sort of automatically what we think.
00:11:24.760 Complaining about the rules?
00:11:26.140 It's too small.
00:11:27.460 It's too small.
00:11:28.280 That's about him.
00:11:29.820 Right?
00:11:30.060 That's not even about you.
00:11:32.100 You don't want your president running for him or her.
00:11:36.240 You want the president running for you.
00:11:38.560 When Trump ran the first time, he said, make America great again.
00:11:43.580 That was about you.
00:11:44.800 When he said, build a wall, that was for you.
00:11:48.580 And people recognized it.
00:11:50.280 But if he runs because he's got a personal gripe about the election, that's not going to work.
00:11:57.360 That's not going to work.
00:11:58.840 It's just not strong enough.
00:12:00.420 He could win anyway.
00:12:02.780 I mean, maybe he could make that work because people just are sick of whatever's happening.
00:12:06.960 But it's not a good approach, even if he got elected anyway.
00:12:12.480 But here's what it would be.
00:12:14.860 You ready?
00:12:16.200 Let's take Trump's complaint that really is all about himself.
00:12:21.160 And now let's turn that into a winning campaign formula.
00:12:26.120 You ready?
00:12:27.200 I'm going to give Trump the winning formula.
00:12:32.540 This is the campaign issue that would work.
00:12:34.980 Look, we can't know if I won or not.
00:12:38.420 I happen to think I did.
00:12:41.340 But we have to make elections auditable.
00:12:44.980 Make elections fully auditable.
00:12:48.640 You should know if you voted the moment the elections close.
00:12:53.660 At the moment the votes close, you should get a text that says, yeah, we got your vote.
00:12:59.520 Here it is.
00:13:00.360 Or some kind of a system.
00:13:03.460 I'm not saying that that would be the system.
00:13:05.760 But if President Trump runs for re-election and makes his main campaign thing, I'm going to fix elections.
00:13:16.200 Now, could he do that?
00:13:17.360 Because the federal government has limited capabilities when it comes to the states.
00:13:21.940 Yeah, he could.
00:13:22.840 He could.
00:13:24.000 He could make money available.
00:13:25.620 He could threaten the states with losing money.
00:13:28.540 He could do a lot.
00:13:30.660 I mean, I don't know if he could fix it in one term.
00:13:32.960 But he could do a lot.
00:13:34.460 I think.
00:13:35.400 Now, I need a fact check from smarter people to tell me if that's practical.
00:13:39.040 But I think it is.
00:13:41.860 And if he does that, then it's about us.
00:13:45.180 Right?
00:13:45.560 I don't mind his complaint that he thinks he won, despite no proof of that at the moment.
00:13:52.520 I don't mind that complaint, because that's an opinion.
00:13:54.460 You know, he gets to have an opinion.
00:13:58.100 But if he tells me he's going to fix the system or work hard at it, or at least work as hard as he did on the wall, even if it didn't work out, we need somebody who cares to make our system auditable again.
00:14:11.720 If Trump wins, I'm sorry, if Trump runs with a main theme of fixing our election system, I'm all in.
00:14:22.740 So let me say that again.
00:14:25.040 Like most of you, I haven't made any decision about who I would support in 2024.
00:14:30.300 I don't even know who's running.
00:14:31.360 But if Trump makes this a major theme, to fix the elections, to make them auditable, I'm all in.
00:14:41.300 Because you know what?
00:14:42.800 I don't fucking care about anything else.
00:14:48.460 So OAN is reporting that some Republicans are being told when they go to vote in the election recall, which is happening right now,
00:14:57.320 they're being told that they already voted.
00:14:59.100 Now, it's on OAN, so you can reasonably ask yourself, is that accurate?
00:15:05.860 How many people is this?
00:15:07.440 Is this one person or more?
00:15:09.160 We don't know, right?
00:15:10.720 So because it's in the media, you have to say to yourself, is it true?
00:15:15.040 I don't know.
00:15:15.680 It doesn't mean it's true just because it's reported.
00:15:18.820 But, and also Project Veritas, I saw they're asking Californians if they see anything that looks sketchy to let them know.
00:15:27.840 I can report that I have heard reports of something very sketchy.
00:15:33.480 I'm not going to mention it yet.
00:15:36.180 But personally, I've heard anecdotally a report that sounded sketchy as hell to me.
00:15:43.180 Don't know if it's true, so I'm not going to repeat it.
00:15:45.640 Now, the fact that we have these reports, anecdotal and not 100% reliable, does that mean that the election is bad?
00:15:57.800 Does that mean that this election is corrupt or rigged because we hear these stories?
00:16:02.580 No, it doesn't mean that.
00:16:04.100 I mean, we don't have anything that's like some kind of proof of that.
00:16:07.980 But here's what we also don't have.
00:16:11.280 We don't have an election that we could audit fully.
00:16:14.720 So when it's done, we won't know if we voted or not.
00:16:19.040 And we no longer live in a world in which trusting our officials makes sense at all.
00:16:24.480 Now, as I was looking at this, I thought to myself, you know, this is a bad situation.
00:16:30.600 That you've got elections that people don't trust in a way that our system requires them to trust it in order to work.
00:16:39.780 And I thought to myself, that's bad and that makes me angry.
00:16:42.780 But not as angry as this.
00:16:48.200 We had two years to fix this.
00:16:51.380 Right?
00:16:52.520 And we've also got time to fix it for 2022.
00:16:55.980 But as far as I know, nobody's working on it.
00:16:59.600 And we have, maybe Texas made a step.
00:17:02.820 But even they don't have an auditable system.
00:17:05.980 You know, maybe they have a system that's just captured by Republicans instead of Democrats.
00:17:10.080 Right?
00:17:10.260 So, you know, maybe different states are captured by different parties.
00:17:15.320 But 2022 is coming.
00:17:19.660 And 2024 is coming.
00:17:22.580 And nobody's working on fixing the problem.
00:17:29.020 I'm going to lose my fucking shit.
00:17:32.140 It's one thing to have a problem.
00:17:33.820 And, you know, you can complain about it.
00:17:35.820 But, the people in charge have not even made this a priority.
00:17:42.100 It's not even mentioned.
00:17:43.380 And so, I'd like to say to all of our elected officials, and even those running for election who are not talking about this as their top party, fuck every one of you.
00:17:56.200 Fuck your goddamn asshole, fucking useless piece of shit cunts.
00:18:02.600 You need to give us, you need to give us a fucking election system that we can trust.
00:18:09.760 I don't even give a fuck who gets elected.
00:18:13.340 Give us a system that is compatible with democracy and the republic.
00:18:20.040 Give us a fucking effort.
00:18:23.320 I don't even care if it's hard and you can't figure out how to do it.
00:18:27.760 Tell us this is your top fucking priority.
00:18:31.100 Because you know what my top priority is?
00:18:33.460 This.
00:18:34.500 Everything else matters less.
00:18:37.640 If we don't know who in the country or how they got elected, it doesn't fucking matter what your policies are.
00:18:45.580 Right?
00:18:46.120 Because you lost your country.
00:18:48.380 We need to get the fucking country back.
00:18:51.080 And the only way that's going to happen is to fix the election process so it's fully auditable and instantly.
00:18:58.840 Somebody needs to be working on that.
00:19:01.180 If nobody's working on it, we don't have a fucking government.
00:19:03.880 We don't even have a fucking government if nobody's working on that.
00:19:10.520 We don't have a government that's on our side.
00:19:13.940 We don't.
00:19:15.160 We have a government that's, I don't know, working for itself or not working or I don't know what the fuck they're doing.
00:19:21.420 But they're not working for us.
00:19:23.340 This needs to be our number one, number one topic.
00:19:27.660 It needs to be bigger than climate change.
00:19:30.080 Because how are you going to change climate if you can't even run your government?
00:19:33.100 Right?
00:19:33.880 It needs to be bigger than the defense budget.
00:19:36.020 It needs to be bigger than fucking everything.
00:19:38.120 Bigger than Afghanistan.
00:19:39.480 Bigger than fucking wall.
00:19:42.340 Bigger than all that.
00:19:44.060 There is no bigger fucking problem in the country than the fucking election system not being credible to the public.
00:19:52.840 And if you give me a politician who will say that out loud with some kind of an effort toward fixing it that looks credible, I will be fully behind that politician and I don't give a fuck what party they're in.
00:20:06.640 I don't give a fuck what their other policies are.
00:20:08.920 If they can get that one thing done for me, I would even sign up to vote for the first time.
00:20:15.260 All right?
00:20:16.460 All right?
00:20:17.120 So how about, hey, tell us about your fiscal policy, Joe Biden.
00:20:24.720 No.
00:20:25.420 Fuck you.
00:20:26.240 Fuck your fiscal policy.
00:20:27.960 Fuck your infrastructure.
00:20:29.680 Fuck your immigration plan.
00:20:31.080 Fuck your vaccinations.
00:20:32.880 Fuck everything about you.
00:20:34.640 Fuck your goddamn dysfunctional brain that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at this fucking moment.
00:20:40.280 Fuck everything about you.
00:20:43.360 Fix the election.
00:20:45.700 Or at least work on it.
00:20:47.340 At least tell us it's a fucking priority.
00:20:52.420 President Trump, I got some tough love for you, too.
00:20:57.000 If you run for election and all you're doing is complaining about the election was rigged,
00:21:03.560 and you don't have as your top priority some way to fucking fix it, don't run.
00:21:08.440 Don't run.
00:21:09.660 Don't run.
00:21:10.680 You're no good to us.
00:21:12.340 You have no fucking value.
00:21:15.500 Mr. Trump, who I like, by the way.
00:21:17.580 I like him personally.
00:21:19.500 But tough love.
00:21:21.620 Right?
00:21:22.360 Tough love.
00:21:23.680 If this isn't right at the top of your fucking priorities,
00:21:27.560 and all you're doing is complaining about the last time, I don't care.
00:21:31.940 I don't fucking care if you run.
00:21:33.880 I'm not going to support that.
00:21:36.120 All right?
00:21:36.420 It's just going to make things worse.
00:21:38.440 Wouldn't it?
00:21:39.100 I mean, it's just going to make a, what, a revolution or something?
00:21:44.680 So, no fucking Trump.
00:21:47.060 No fucking Biden.
00:21:49.240 We want an election system.
00:21:50.600 I don't care who it is that runs on that platform.
00:21:54.960 Andrew Yang?
00:21:56.820 Andrew Yang looks like he might be joining a third party or something.
00:21:59.900 If you come up with a plan to fix our election system, I don't even care what the other stuff is.
00:22:07.700 Don't even care.
00:22:08.980 Just fix the election system.
00:22:10.200 And I will give you my full support if you can have a credible idea and, you know, some actual chance of doing that.
00:22:18.500 So, here's where I am on all that.
00:22:24.760 Nothing else matters.
00:22:26.820 And you're doing this right in front of us, politicians.
00:22:30.180 See, I guess that's, maybe that's the part that made me snap.
00:22:33.060 It would be one thing if things happened and you go, oh, God, I didn't know that was happening.
00:22:37.760 Man, that happened without me noticing.
00:22:40.680 Afghanistan, for example, snuck up on me.
00:22:44.020 Right?
00:22:44.400 If you had asked me, hey, Scott, you know, a month ago, do you think that's going to be a disaster, the withdrawal?
00:22:49.700 I would have said, I don't know.
00:22:51.280 Maybe.
00:22:51.920 Maybe not.
00:22:52.600 Who knows?
00:22:53.880 It was just sort of opaque.
00:22:55.680 But the election problem is not opaque.
00:22:59.660 I know exactly what the problem is.
00:23:01.640 The problem is it can't be audited.
00:23:03.500 It's very objective.
00:23:05.140 And you're not working on it.
00:23:07.020 And it's our top problem.
00:23:08.980 Number one problem.
00:23:10.040 And you're not fucking working on it.
00:23:12.380 Nothing.
00:23:14.800 All right.
00:23:15.320 Well, I'm disgusted.
00:23:17.200 Here's a thought experiment.
00:23:20.200 I'm changing topics a little bit here.
00:23:23.420 Suppose there were two groups of humans.
00:23:26.580 And the only thing you knew about them that was different is that one group was told they're valuable just by existing.
00:23:34.060 Hey, you group, you are valuable.
00:23:36.840 You just have to exist.
00:23:38.300 Just be healthy.
00:23:39.880 Be whatever you are.
00:23:41.060 Just exist.
00:23:41.760 You are valuable.
00:23:43.620 Then there's a second group.
00:23:45.320 You're told that their value is only from what they do.
00:23:49.300 They have to perform.
00:23:51.220 They have to be useful.
00:23:53.460 They have to make something work.
00:23:54.680 They've got to build something.
00:23:55.500 They've got to make some money.
00:23:57.080 They've got to go do something.
00:23:58.600 Then you check back in 20 years, which of the two groups excelled at making money and success?
00:24:07.240 Was it the group that is told that they are valuable just the way they are?
00:24:11.080 You don't need to do anything.
00:24:12.680 Or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something?
00:24:18.820 Succeed.
00:24:21.660 So which ones do better?
00:24:25.160 Well, as I've said before, women are biologically more valuable just by existing.
00:24:31.280 Because they can have babies and men can't.
00:24:34.420 And you'll need one man to impregnate lots of women.
00:24:38.880 So we're not very valuable men from a biological standpoint unless we do stuff.
00:24:45.660 And Mark Schneider, who had this very interesting tweet, I'm just going to read it to you.
00:24:55.180 He said,
00:24:55.680 And I thought to myself,
00:25:10.220 That sounds about right.
00:25:13.740 I remember being told quite explicitly that I had to do something.
00:25:20.020 I had to succeed by doing something.
00:25:22.400 I'm not exactly sure my sister got the same message.
00:25:26.080 I'd love to ask her that.
00:25:27.520 I don't know that she...
00:25:29.220 Because I was told explicitly that, you know, success was my goal.
00:25:35.240 I had to succeed.
00:25:37.280 I don't know if my sister was told that.
00:25:40.360 I mean, not in direct language.
00:25:42.840 I mean, she did succeed.
00:25:44.300 You know, she put together a very successful life.
00:25:48.380 But, I don't know.
00:25:50.580 It could be different.
00:25:51.320 I'm a middle child, by the way.
00:25:52.760 And so I wonder if that's a part of the difference in outcomes.
00:26:01.220 You know, obviously there could be biological differences,
00:26:04.220 a million other social differences.
00:26:06.040 But I would think that this would be at least one of them.
00:26:08.800 That if you don't think that your human value is much affected by accomplishment,
00:26:15.620 why would you try?
00:26:17.540 I mean, it's got to be a factor, right?
00:26:20.300 All right.
00:26:22.760 So, China, they've got this 21-day extreme quarantine situation they use.
00:26:33.100 So, if you've been exposed or if you came from another country back into China,
00:26:38.700 you'd have 14 days of compulsory hotel quarantine.
00:26:46.300 You'd have another seven days in some kind of centralized quarantine
00:26:50.220 at designated locations.
00:26:52.760 And then before returning home, you'd be health monitored.
00:26:57.280 And then I think you have to, and you've got all kinds of testing even before that stuff happens.
00:27:02.700 And still, an infection got into the country.
00:27:05.660 So, they think they know who it was.
00:27:09.140 I don't think so.
00:27:10.800 It doesn't sound like they know who it was to me.
00:27:13.080 But they think they know who it was.
00:27:14.860 And they say that this fellow had come in from, I don't know, Malaysia or Indonesia or someplace.
00:27:20.820 And he had tested negative for the virus nine times during 21 days of quarantine
00:27:25.560 before testing positive on Friday.
00:27:28.520 Thirty-seven days after entering China, he tested positive.
00:27:37.040 What's going on?
00:27:38.480 It doesn't sound like they know exactly what's going on.
00:27:42.360 It sounds like there's still a mystery here.
00:27:44.480 But here's my question.
00:27:45.440 Is any country intentionally infecting any other country?
00:27:53.080 Do you think that's a thing?
00:27:55.740 Because it would be horrible, of course.
00:27:57.980 But are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries that haven't thought,
00:28:04.580 you know, it would be kind of evil, but if our rival were more infected than we were,
00:28:15.140 that might be good for us?
00:28:18.380 Does anybody think that way?
00:28:20.800 I wonder, because I think that way.
00:28:24.120 I mean, I'm not saying I would implement that plan, but I would think of it.
00:28:31.200 I would certainly think of it.
00:28:32.500 Do you think that nobody is intentionally infecting China?
00:28:38.600 Really?
00:28:39.900 Because that would be amazing restraint.
00:28:42.860 Now, maybe it's just hard to do,
00:28:45.240 but it seems like it would be an amazing expression of restraint
00:28:50.420 to not intentionally infect China,
00:28:53.740 if you thought China was the source of it
00:28:55.700 and you thought China was evil and everything else.
00:28:58.140 So, China has this plan of trying to basically, you know,
00:29:02.980 stamp it down completely,
00:29:06.240 and they've done an impressive job trying to do that.
00:29:09.380 But since we know it's going to be an endemic and not a pandemic,
00:29:13.780 isn't there a failed strategy?
00:29:16.620 Because aren't they all going to get it just the way we're all going to get it?
00:29:19.820 Just a matter of time.
00:29:20.760 Now, it could be that the reason China is taking an extreme position
00:29:25.780 is, wait for it,
00:29:29.040 that their health care system
00:29:31.700 wouldn't be able to handle any extra stress
00:29:35.500 the way an American system can.
00:29:38.940 Because we managed to expand
00:29:41.760 and, you know,
00:29:43.540 do some impressive stuff
00:29:44.960 when we had to.
00:29:46.520 But what happens if China's health care system gets overloaded?
00:29:52.320 I mean, I assume that the cities have pretty good health care systems.
00:29:56.560 But in rural China,
00:29:58.920 what happens when you're sick?
00:30:01.740 Do they all have good health care in rural China?
00:30:04.920 I don't know.
00:30:06.200 So, I would wonder
00:30:07.340 if China has potentially a gigantic problem,
00:30:11.100 which is that they can't handle any level of infection
00:30:16.480 similar to other countries
00:30:18.620 because it would crash their country.
00:30:21.700 Right?
00:30:22.660 It might be just a way bigger risk in China
00:30:25.880 than it is in other places.
00:30:27.580 It could even threaten the government, I would think.
00:30:32.220 The stability of the government
00:30:33.440 would fall if their health care system collapsed.
00:30:37.100 Am I right?
00:30:37.880 If China's health care system collapsed
00:30:40.540 right in front of the whole world,
00:30:42.620 even the leadership would be in trouble.
00:30:45.960 Right?
00:30:46.860 So, it seems to me that China
00:30:48.660 is only a few super spreaders away from falling.
00:30:53.480 Potentially.
00:30:54.720 I mean, that's, you know,
00:30:56.060 it's not the odds on.
00:30:58.260 But a non-zero chance.
00:31:01.320 There is a non-zero chance
00:31:02.920 that high infections in China
00:31:05.180 would crash the government.
00:31:06.360 Because I think
00:31:08.740 the Chinese people
00:31:09.840 would start to see their government
00:31:11.160 as the problem,
00:31:12.980 you know,
00:31:13.160 if they believe it originated there.
00:31:15.480 The propaganda is trying to tell
00:31:16.960 the local citizens
00:31:18.020 it didn't originate in China.
00:31:20.120 But,
00:31:20.720 if the health care system crashes,
00:31:23.000 they're all going to know it.
00:31:24.780 They're going to know
00:31:25.360 their relatives
00:31:25.920 couldn't get that heart transplant
00:31:27.700 and everything else.
00:31:31.200 Somebody says,
00:31:32.000 it's wild conjecture.
00:31:33.060 The U.S. has a worse health care system.
00:31:34.920 Here's my speculation.
00:31:40.480 So, it is conjecture.
00:31:41.880 You're right.
00:31:42.600 But the speculation is this.
00:31:44.620 That our rural health care
00:31:46.940 is far better.
00:31:48.840 I think if you looked city to city,
00:31:50.840 it might not be that different.
00:31:52.240 Maybe even China's is better.
00:31:54.040 But, if you looked rural,
00:31:56.540 I feel like we'd have a big advantage.
00:31:58.720 Now, that's the part
00:31:59.540 you'd have to fact check, right?
00:32:00.780 So, we'll see.
00:32:05.200 So,
00:32:05.740 China,
00:32:09.520 there's also a thought
00:32:10.640 that China might have to vaccinate
00:32:12.220 the rest of the world
00:32:13.080 to protect itself.
00:32:15.320 So, imagine that the United States
00:32:17.180 continues on its current path.
00:32:20.080 We should have enough
00:32:21.040 vaccinations,
00:32:22.820 plus herd immunity,
00:32:24.440 normal infections,
00:32:25.620 that we're going to be
00:32:27.400 something back to normal,
00:32:28.840 even though we might be
00:32:31.200 masked and boosted
00:32:32.520 and that for years.
00:32:34.700 We'll be able to have
00:32:35.760 an economy
00:32:36.300 and something like a life.
00:32:38.540 But China hasn't
00:32:39.500 gone through this.
00:32:41.180 And I don't know
00:32:41.760 if their low-quality
00:32:43.380 vaccinations
00:32:44.060 are going to be good enough
00:32:45.140 if they have to go through this.
00:32:47.420 So, what happens
00:32:48.360 if we go through this
00:32:49.500 and get to the other end,
00:32:51.240 turn it into an endemic
00:32:52.640 where it's a problem
00:32:53.580 but, you know,
00:32:54.360 doesn't stop anything
00:32:55.140 from happening?
00:32:55.700 And they just start it.
00:32:58.600 And they just get taken out
00:33:00.060 by the virus.
00:33:01.000 I think that could happen.
00:33:02.540 And the only thing
00:33:03.600 that they can do
00:33:04.420 to try to prevent that
00:33:06.240 is to try to vaccinate
00:33:07.480 everywhere else in the world
00:33:08.940 so that they can travel
00:33:11.740 and do stuff
00:33:12.640 and not get it back
00:33:13.600 in their country.
00:33:14.920 China is going to have
00:33:16.800 to vaccinate
00:33:17.400 the rest of the world.
00:33:19.120 The United States
00:33:19.980 apparently isn't looking
00:33:20.900 to do that.
00:33:22.320 And our vaccinations
00:33:23.180 are the good ones.
00:33:24.060 So, their vaccinations
00:33:25.780 might not even be good enough.
00:33:28.820 So, keep an eye on that.
00:33:31.200 So, I would say
00:33:31.760 that China has at least
00:33:33.580 10 gigantic problems
00:33:39.600 that don't even look solvable.
00:33:43.300 China's in big, big trouble.
00:33:45.900 Now, what about the question
00:33:47.260 of business in China?
00:33:50.340 I can't imagine
00:33:51.480 that we're going to be moving
00:33:52.480 more American factories
00:33:54.200 into China.
00:33:55.980 Didn't that stop?
00:33:57.980 Can somebody tell me
00:33:59.040 what was the last time
00:34:00.280 a major American company
00:34:02.260 made a decision
00:34:03.700 to move into China
00:34:04.960 with a factory?
00:34:06.320 Has it happened
00:34:07.160 in the past year?
00:34:08.200 Probably can't
00:34:09.160 because of the pandemic.
00:34:10.720 But,
00:34:11.900 well, Tesla's plans
00:34:13.060 were older than that.
00:34:14.320 But has anybody
00:34:14.880 made a new plan
00:34:15.960 in the last six months
00:34:17.140 or less year
00:34:17.980 to move into China?
00:34:22.140 I haven't heard of any.
00:34:24.860 Yeah, I think
00:34:25.800 it stopped completely.
00:34:27.240 Now, it could be
00:34:27.700 the pandemic
00:34:28.280 is what stopped it
00:34:29.280 because you can't travel
00:34:30.580 so it's impossible
00:34:31.520 to do that sort of thing.
00:34:34.240 Yeah, I think
00:34:35.060 it'll end up in Vietnam.
00:34:35.880 All right,
00:34:39.880 and China's stocks
00:34:40.900 are getting hit.
00:34:42.160 So there's a thought
00:34:43.160 that China's plan,
00:34:46.100 their Marxist plan,
00:34:47.140 I'd never heard this before.
00:34:48.620 Tell me if you've ever
00:34:49.380 heard this before.
00:34:50.900 That Marxism,
00:34:53.200 this doesn't make any sense.
00:34:54.660 I read this
00:34:55.220 but it's got to be wrong.
00:34:57.380 So ignore the next things
00:34:58.740 that come out of my mouth.
00:35:00.720 But the idea is that
00:35:02.200 Marxism requires you
00:35:04.320 to have money to do it
00:35:05.560 and you have to have
00:35:06.340 some capitalism first.
00:35:08.120 So that China's plan
00:35:09.000 is to be capitalist,
00:35:10.760 make a bunch of money,
00:35:12.080 which will cause inequality,
00:35:14.240 and then to introduce socialism,
00:35:16.420 which will suck
00:35:17.520 some of that money away
00:35:18.440 from the richest
00:35:19.040 and give it to the poor.
00:35:20.820 And then there's
00:35:21.380 a third phase,
00:35:22.460 which is communism,
00:35:24.280 which is apparently
00:35:25.100 if you've made enough
00:35:25.960 with your capitalism,
00:35:27.540 you've made it more equal
00:35:29.240 with your socialism,
00:35:31.060 that somehow there's
00:35:31.880 this good thing
00:35:32.520 called communism
00:35:33.220 at the end.
00:35:34.320 I don't know
00:35:35.380 how that could possibly work,
00:35:36.900 but maybe somebody smarter
00:35:38.060 could explain the details.
00:35:40.420 However,
00:35:40.980 it does look like
00:35:41.800 Xi is trying
00:35:43.120 to rebalance things
00:35:44.500 and is trying
00:35:45.760 to take money
00:35:47.900 from the elites
00:35:48.580 and give it to the public
00:35:49.760 through various
00:35:51.260 social policies.
00:35:53.100 And that is
00:35:54.560 a gigantic change
00:35:56.220 if it works.
00:35:58.380 So China's got
00:35:59.500 another gigantic challenge,
00:36:01.060 which is that capitalism
00:36:02.040 would destroy it
00:36:03.240 because the inequality
00:36:05.880 would become too enormous
00:36:07.360 at some point
00:36:08.040 and they would fall
00:36:09.040 just from the inequality,
00:36:10.720 some say.
00:36:13.000 And trying to fix it
00:36:14.300 seems like an enormous
00:36:15.200 problem too.
00:36:17.500 So good luck to them.
00:36:21.140 So do you think
00:36:22.040 Texas's economy
00:36:23.580 will suffer
00:36:24.860 because of their new
00:36:25.760 anti-abortion laws?
00:36:27.040 Well,
00:36:29.300 Salesforce,
00:36:30.660 a gigantic company,
00:36:32.220 is going to offer
00:36:33.500 to relocate
00:36:34.380 employees
00:36:34.820 and their families
00:36:35.680 from Texas
00:36:37.200 if they want to move
00:36:40.060 because of that.
00:36:40.660 So,
00:36:43.840 does Texas win
00:36:45.160 because
00:36:45.900 the
00:36:46.900 godless liberals
00:36:49.400 move out
00:36:50.160 and then you've got
00:36:51.660 more Republicans
00:36:52.420 running things well?
00:36:54.240 So does Texas
00:36:55.080 come out ahead
00:36:56.000 because these
00:36:57.560 mostly tech companies,
00:36:58.960 I think,
00:36:59.720 decide to boycott it?
00:37:02.520 Or
00:37:03.080 does Texas
00:37:04.840 come out behind
00:37:05.760 because
00:37:06.780 companies
00:37:07.540 won't move there
00:37:08.420 to do their business?
00:37:09.220 my estimate
00:37:11.520 is that Texas
00:37:12.180 will come out
00:37:12.820 behind.
00:37:14.640 Now,
00:37:15.700 it's just a guess,
00:37:17.040 but here's why.
00:37:18.720 If Salesforce
00:37:19.740 did not already
00:37:21.360 have facilities
00:37:22.140 in Texas,
00:37:22.980 would they move there?
00:37:24.580 No.
00:37:25.320 Clearly.
00:37:26.420 Clearly.
00:37:27.260 Salesforce moved there
00:37:28.360 because they could
00:37:29.180 move there
00:37:29.600 when they did.
00:37:30.760 And now,
00:37:31.300 you know,
00:37:31.560 they're there
00:37:31.920 so it's too hard
00:37:32.680 to move out.
00:37:33.560 But they are moving
00:37:34.460 their employees out
00:37:35.360 if the employees
00:37:36.040 want to go.
00:37:36.840 I don't think
00:37:37.320 many will take that.
00:37:39.220 But I guarantee
00:37:40.500 that the next
00:37:41.560 big tech company
00:37:42.400 can't move
00:37:42.960 into Texas.
00:37:44.740 I guarantee it.
00:37:46.640 I guarantee
00:37:47.220 that no billion-dollar
00:37:48.480 tech company
00:37:49.620 will move
00:37:50.200 into Texas
00:37:51.160 while that
00:37:51.840 abortion law
00:37:52.500 is happening.
00:37:53.940 Does anybody
00:37:54.300 want to take
00:37:54.780 that bet?
00:37:56.260 So it's got to be
00:37:57.000 at least a billion-dollar
00:37:58.280 tech company.
00:38:00.400 And I'm saying
00:38:01.360 that not one of them
00:38:02.640 will move in
00:38:03.700 that hasn't already
00:38:04.480 made the plans.
00:38:05.240 I know Tesla's
00:38:05.920 made their plans,
00:38:06.680 et cetera.
00:38:06.920 But people
00:38:09.000 who have not
00:38:09.400 made any plans
00:38:10.320 from this point
00:38:11.900 forward,
00:38:12.920 no new tech
00:38:13.920 company will
00:38:14.460 move into Texas.
00:38:15.840 Now,
00:38:16.320 the counter-argument
00:38:17.340 is,
00:38:17.780 yeah,
00:38:17.960 but Texas
00:38:18.540 gets to attract
00:38:19.700 all these Republicans
00:38:20.600 and they manage
00:38:21.500 things well
00:38:22.060 and they'll be fine.
00:38:23.440 Maybe.
00:38:24.360 But I think
00:38:24.800 if you make
00:38:27.400 tech companies,
00:38:29.980 if you make it
00:38:30.880 too hard for
00:38:31.260 tech companies
00:38:31.760 to move in,
00:38:32.480 eventually you're
00:38:33.120 going to suffer,
00:38:33.760 I think.
00:38:34.140 And especially
00:38:35.640 because Texas
00:38:36.200 is a tech state.
00:38:39.740 Trump is saying
00:38:40.680 that Democrats
00:38:41.660 disparaged the
00:38:42.740 COVID vaccine
00:38:43.740 while he was
00:38:44.620 president and
00:38:45.820 now they wonder
00:38:46.460 why some are
00:38:47.240 hesitant,
00:38:48.340 says Trump.
00:38:49.920 Do you buy
00:38:50.480 that?
00:38:51.280 That the reason
00:38:51.900 people are
00:38:52.380 hesitant may be
00:38:54.180 in part because
00:38:55.200 the Democrats
00:38:55.800 disparaged it?
00:38:57.720 What do you
00:38:58.380 think?
00:39:01.380 I don't know.
00:39:02.660 Maybe a little.
00:39:04.140 But I can't
00:39:05.280 believe that the
00:39:05.880 Democrats would
00:39:06.600 have influenced
00:39:08.100 Republicans,
00:39:09.660 right?
00:39:10.480 Democrats
00:39:11.040 influence Democrats
00:39:12.100 but Democrats
00:39:12.820 are getting the
00:39:13.340 shots.
00:39:14.500 Now,
00:39:15.160 the two
00:39:16.040 populations,
00:39:16.880 the black
00:39:17.460 Americans and
00:39:18.400 Republicans are
00:39:19.920 the ones that
00:39:20.720 are having the
00:39:21.140 most hesitancy.
00:39:23.240 So it's in
00:39:24.000 both parties.
00:39:26.020 I don't know.
00:39:27.620 I'm not so
00:39:28.280 sure that would
00:39:28.740 have made a
00:39:29.100 difference.
00:39:29.360 business
00:39:34.580 insider,
00:39:35.680 which is
00:39:36.560 interestingly
00:39:37.080 owned in part
00:39:37.920 by Jeff
00:39:38.360 Bezos,
00:39:39.840 is printing a
00:39:41.000 leaked tax
00:39:41.900 plan from the
00:39:42.920 Democrats.
00:39:43.740 So this is not
00:39:44.320 official.
00:39:44.820 It's just a
00:39:45.280 leaked draft.
00:39:46.280 It could be
00:39:46.540 real different.
00:39:47.700 And of course
00:39:48.260 it's showing
00:39:48.680 gigantic tax
00:39:50.420 increases on
00:39:51.200 the rich.
00:39:51.680 What are the
00:39:53.140 odds that that's
00:39:53.840 going to get
00:39:54.160 passed?
00:39:55.380 Do you think
00:39:55.820 there's any
00:39:56.260 chance that the
00:39:57.140 elites who run
00:39:59.080 everything are
00:39:59.860 going to
00:40:00.260 massively tax
00:40:01.220 themselves?
00:40:02.760 Because if you
00:40:03.720 think the
00:40:04.080 elites run
00:40:04.660 everything,
00:40:05.660 there's no
00:40:06.080 chance that
00:40:06.880 this is going
00:40:07.360 to happen.
00:40:08.220 Right?
00:40:09.220 No chance.
00:40:10.880 So, and I
00:40:12.860 almost think that
00:40:13.660 the size of the
00:40:14.880 plans that the
00:40:15.640 Democrats are
00:40:16.680 pushing are
00:40:17.860 designed to
00:40:18.540 fail.
00:40:20.860 Right?
00:40:22.180 Doesn't it
00:40:22.680 seem that the
00:40:23.280 Democrats are
00:40:23.880 asking for so
00:40:24.800 much in their
00:40:26.260 spending package,
00:40:27.280 you know, the
00:40:27.700 trillions and
00:40:28.340 trillions,
00:40:29.080 it seems like
00:40:30.100 they designed
00:40:30.780 it to ask
00:40:31.280 for so much
00:40:32.120 they can't
00:40:33.080 possibly get
00:40:33.680 it passed.
00:40:35.280 Because the
00:40:35.940 elites, it's
00:40:37.660 the last thing
00:40:38.140 they want.
00:40:39.000 The last thing
00:40:39.900 they want is a
00:40:40.960 giant spend
00:40:41.800 and tax plan
00:40:44.260 because they'll
00:40:44.700 get taxed.
00:40:46.280 So, I'm just
00:40:48.540 going to put
00:40:48.880 that out there.
00:40:50.480 Is Nancy
00:40:51.040 Pelosi smart
00:40:52.000 enough to
00:40:54.220 push a plan
00:40:54.960 that can't get
00:40:55.540 passed because
00:40:56.200 she doesn't want
00:40:56.800 it to get
00:40:57.120 passed or her
00:40:57.980 backers don't
00:40:58.660 want it to
00:40:59.020 get passed.
00:41:00.080 I wonder.
00:41:01.280 I doubt it.
00:41:02.760 I doubt it.
00:41:04.120 But you can't
00:41:04.780 rule it out in
00:41:05.480 today's world,
00:41:06.180 can you?
00:41:07.360 It's terrible
00:41:08.540 that you can't
00:41:09.040 rule it out.
00:41:11.160 But I'm going
00:41:11.840 to predict that
00:41:12.640 getting a tax
00:41:13.520 bill through
00:41:14.860 that would
00:41:15.400 rape the
00:41:16.020 elites who
00:41:16.640 actually run
00:41:17.220 the country
00:41:17.700 feels unlikely
00:41:19.640 unless they
00:41:22.140 don't really
00:41:22.640 run the
00:41:23.000 country.
00:41:23.280 I guess we'll
00:41:24.720 find out,
00:41:25.280 won't we?
00:41:25.560 If you
00:41:26.440 believe that
00:41:26.920 the elites
00:41:27.420 are running
00:41:27.960 everything,
00:41:28.540 no matter
00:41:28.860 what party
00:41:29.400 they're in,
00:41:29.920 it's just
00:41:30.320 the elites,
00:41:31.540 then the
00:41:32.140 tax plan
00:41:32.740 won't pass.
00:41:34.320 Right?
00:41:35.460 Because follow
00:41:36.240 the money.
00:41:37.540 The money
00:41:38.080 predicts,
00:41:39.520 totally predicts,
00:41:41.140 that that tax
00:41:41.860 plan won't be
00:41:42.520 implemented.
00:41:43.720 It totally
00:41:44.240 predicts that.
00:41:45.860 So,
00:41:46.540 how often is
00:41:47.580 it wrong
00:41:48.040 when money
00:41:49.120 predicts?
00:41:50.300 Not often.
00:41:51.160 Money usually
00:41:52.900 does predict.
00:41:54.320 But we will
00:41:54.940 find out if
00:41:55.640 the elites
00:41:56.060 are in charge.
00:41:57.460 Because if
00:41:57.880 the elites
00:41:58.280 are in charge,
00:41:59.040 they won't
00:41:59.320 get passed.
00:42:01.660 Right?
00:42:03.640 The press
00:42:04.500 conference,
00:42:05.220 Rose McGowan
00:42:05.960 said she's
00:42:07.800 no longer
00:42:09.020 a Democrat
00:42:09.500 because they're
00:42:10.000 the ones
00:42:10.320 who harassed,
00:42:10.980 stalked,
00:42:11.360 and stole
00:42:11.660 from her
00:42:12.060 in her time
00:42:13.180 in Hollywood.
00:42:14.960 Interesting.
00:42:17.480 And
00:42:17.840 I would
00:42:22.460 also add
00:42:22.980 to that
00:42:23.360 that
00:42:24.340 Republicans
00:42:25.040 are better
00:42:25.580 people.
00:42:29.300 Republicans
00:42:29.900 are,
00:42:30.520 well,
00:42:30.700 let's say
00:42:30.880 conservatives.
00:42:32.160 Conservatives
00:42:32.680 are better
00:42:33.120 people.
00:42:34.420 Now,
00:42:35.220 that's just
00:42:36.280 an opinion,
00:42:36.900 of course.
00:42:37.360 It's subjective.
00:42:38.260 Now,
00:42:38.520 I don't
00:42:38.860 identify as
00:42:39.600 conservative.
00:42:40.500 I identify
00:42:40.960 as socially
00:42:41.920 super liberal.
00:42:44.600 Not crazy
00:42:45.600 liberal,
00:42:46.160 not
00:42:46.340 woke
00:42:48.220 to the
00:42:48.560 point of
00:42:49.060 crippled,
00:42:50.700 but
00:42:50.940 socially
00:42:52.660 liberal,
00:42:53.340 for sure.
00:42:54.040 So I'm
00:42:54.340 not a
00:42:54.620 conservative,
00:42:55.220 but I
00:42:55.580 can tell
00:42:55.900 you that
00:42:56.320 if I
00:42:58.040 have to
00:42:58.340 spend
00:42:58.640 time
00:42:59.160 with a
00:43:00.460 certain
00:43:00.660 group
00:43:00.940 of
00:43:01.100 people,
00:43:03.500 the
00:43:03.980 conservatives
00:43:04.500 are just
00:43:05.780 on average,
00:43:08.520 on average,
00:43:10.500 they're just
00:43:11.360 nicer people.
00:43:13.180 Now,
00:43:13.620 I'm not
00:43:13.820 talking about
00:43:14.260 anybody who's
00:43:14.800 like full-out
00:43:15.480 racist or
00:43:16.120 something.
00:43:17.300 Both parties
00:43:18.100 have people
00:43:19.100 who are
00:43:19.360 just shit,
00:43:20.540 but on
00:43:21.140 average,
00:43:22.900 Republicans
00:43:23.400 are nicer.
00:43:25.020 They're just
00:43:25.360 nicer.
00:43:27.660 That's my
00:43:28.320 experience.
00:43:29.800 Now,
00:43:29.980 again,
00:43:30.260 it's purely
00:43:30.860 subjective,
00:43:31.500 right?
00:43:32.280 Yours may
00:43:32.760 differ.
00:43:33.800 All right,
00:43:35.100 I believe.
00:43:38.420 Scott,
00:43:39.020 do you think
00:43:39.480 abortion at
00:43:40.160 eight,
00:43:40.480 five months
00:43:41.280 is okay?
00:43:43.200 Let me
00:43:43.780 answer it.
00:43:44.100 and so I've
00:43:44.480 been asked
00:43:44.800 a question
00:43:45.360 about
00:43:45.800 abortion.
00:43:47.580 I'd like
00:43:48.220 to answer
00:43:48.520 that question
00:43:49.040 by dropping
00:43:49.600 my pants
00:43:50.200 and showing
00:43:51.340 you my
00:43:51.720 penis.
00:43:52.960 I won't
00:43:53.640 do that.
00:43:55.000 You're
00:43:55.480 welcome.
00:43:56.280 I won't
00:43:56.740 do that.
00:43:57.520 But the
00:43:57.840 point is,
00:43:58.520 I have a
00:43:59.300 penis.
00:44:00.220 It does
00:44:00.660 not produce
00:44:01.280 babies.
00:44:01.700 If my
00:44:03.640 penis
00:44:04.140 produced
00:44:04.940 babies,
00:44:06.220 and the
00:44:06.580 vagina did
00:44:07.260 not,
00:44:08.320 do you
00:44:08.620 think I
00:44:08.940 would care
00:44:09.280 about a
00:44:09.900 woman's
00:44:10.300 opinion about
00:44:11.780 whether I
00:44:12.220 should be
00:44:12.640 able to
00:44:13.140 have an
00:44:13.420 abortion?
00:44:14.460 If only
00:44:15.280 penises made
00:44:16.200 babies?
00:44:17.720 Fuck no.
00:44:19.100 I don't want
00:44:19.940 a woman's
00:44:20.400 opinion about
00:44:20.980 my penis
00:44:21.600 at all.
00:44:23.720 None.
00:44:24.740 I barely want
00:44:25.600 a man's
00:44:25.980 opinion,
00:44:26.660 but at least
00:44:27.220 there would be
00:44:27.900 some credibility
00:44:28.600 if it came
00:44:29.220 from a man.
00:44:30.400 Likewise,
00:44:31.720 do you think
00:44:32.160 women want
00:44:33.700 my penis
00:44:34.380 opinion about
00:44:35.140 their vagina?
00:44:35.700 I don't think
00:44:37.780 so.
00:44:38.900 It doesn't
00:44:39.320 make the
00:44:39.700 decision better.
00:44:40.480 It doesn't
00:44:41.500 add any
00:44:41.940 credibility to
00:44:42.820 it.
00:44:43.780 So it's
00:44:45.240 not my
00:44:45.740 question to
00:44:46.500 solve.
00:44:47.080 Whatever
00:44:47.360 women as
00:44:48.180 a group
00:44:49.420 want to
00:44:49.740 come up
00:44:50.040 with,
00:44:50.900 make it
00:44:51.320 legal,
00:44:51.760 make it
00:44:52.060 illegal.
00:44:52.860 If women
00:44:53.580 are okay
00:44:54.060 with it,
00:44:55.060 I'm going
00:44:55.460 to back
00:44:55.760 it.
00:44:56.680 And I
00:44:57.320 would ask
00:44:57.640 that same
00:44:58.140 standard
00:44:58.700 in reverse.
00:45:00.520 Should there
00:45:01.060 be a topic
00:45:01.680 in which
00:45:02.240 it's really
00:45:02.620 a man's
00:45:03.140 question,
00:45:04.020 because it
00:45:04.760 doesn't apply
00:45:05.220 to women
00:45:05.600 for one
00:45:05.980 reason or
00:45:06.360 another,
00:45:06.920 I don't
00:45:07.420 want to
00:45:07.660 hear your
00:45:07.960 opinion.
00:45:09.080 At all.
00:45:09.520 I don't
00:45:10.580 want to
00:45:10.760 hear your
00:45:11.060 opinion at
00:45:11.580 all.
00:45:12.100 Unless you're
00:45:12.460 an expert.
00:45:13.300 I mean,
00:45:13.720 if a man
00:45:14.280 is an
00:45:14.600 expert on
00:45:15.180 some element
00:45:15.880 of biology
00:45:17.400 or abortion,
00:45:18.360 then yeah,
00:45:19.260 but I'm
00:45:19.720 not an
00:45:20.020 expert.
00:45:21.660 Somebody
00:45:22.180 says,
00:45:22.560 weak.
00:45:23.320 It's
00:45:23.580 weak.
00:45:25.100 Is it?
00:45:26.840 I would
00:45:27.500 say that's
00:45:27.860 pretty subjective.
00:45:31.140 Four to
00:45:31.900 five skins
00:45:32.600 agree.
00:45:36.780 Abortion
00:45:37.300 is a
00:45:37.740 human rights
00:45:38.340 issue.
00:45:39.520 That's
00:45:40.160 an
00:45:40.280 opinion.
00:45:41.880 Because you
00:45:42.600 start with
00:45:43.380 the answer.
00:45:44.880 So when
00:45:45.120 you say
00:45:45.480 abortion is
00:45:46.220 a human
00:45:46.640 rights,
00:45:47.620 I think
00:45:48.120 what you're
00:45:48.420 saying is
00:45:48.860 that the
00:45:49.320 fetus has
00:45:50.900 a human
00:45:51.240 right.
00:45:51.980 I think
00:45:52.320 that's where
00:45:52.680 you're going
00:45:53.000 with that
00:45:53.280 comment.
00:45:54.400 But you've
00:45:54.960 started the
00:45:56.320 argument with
00:45:56.960 your assumption.
00:45:58.520 If your
00:45:59.120 assumption is
00:45:59.840 it's human,
00:46:01.320 well,
00:46:01.580 there's no
00:46:01.900 debate to
00:46:02.360 be made.
00:46:03.160 So you
00:46:03.700 haven't really
00:46:04.680 debated.
00:46:06.480 You just
00:46:06.960 put an
00:46:07.500 assumption in
00:46:08.120 there and
00:46:08.560 said you're
00:46:09.160 done.
00:46:10.280 And this
00:46:11.240 is another
00:46:11.660 reason why I
00:46:12.980 don't get
00:46:13.380 into the
00:46:13.820 actual debate
00:46:14.580 because you
00:46:16.600 can't win in
00:46:17.260 the debate.
00:46:18.200 The only
00:46:18.720 thing you
00:46:19.080 can do
00:46:19.380 with abortion
00:46:19.940 is make
00:46:21.480 sure that the
00:46:21.980 right person
00:46:22.460 makes the
00:46:22.900 decision.
00:46:24.360 How many
00:46:24.780 of you are
00:46:25.400 fans of
00:46:26.480 Thomas Sowell?
00:46:29.160 If I
00:46:29.500 pronounced
00:46:29.800 his name
00:46:30.780 right, I
00:46:31.120 hope I
00:46:31.380 did.
00:46:32.160 Thomas,
00:46:32.620 you know,
00:46:32.820 the famous
00:46:33.360 black
00:46:34.040 economist.
00:46:35.640 And because
00:46:36.440 it's 2021
00:46:37.300 and we're
00:46:37.960 all assholes,
00:46:39.200 I have to
00:46:39.640 throw in the
00:46:40.080 black part
00:46:40.660 like that
00:46:41.900 mattered.
00:46:43.340 It didn't
00:46:43.760 make any
00:46:44.560 difference to
00:46:45.080 the point I'm
00:46:45.580 going to make
00:46:46.040 that he's
00:46:46.940 black, but
00:46:48.280 it's 2021
00:46:48.960 so you have
00:46:49.500 to throw
00:46:49.780 that in.
00:46:52.120 Someday
00:46:52.560 we'll just be
00:46:53.980 able to say
00:46:54.400 economist.
00:46:55.920 We're not
00:46:56.600 quite there
00:46:57.020 yet, like
00:46:58.000 we hope we
00:46:58.440 will be
00:46:58.680 there, but
00:46:59.760 someday.
00:47:01.640 Anyway, one
00:47:03.040 of the things
00:47:03.340 that Thomas
00:47:03.800 Sowell says
00:47:04.300 that I
00:47:04.780 love is
00:47:05.980 that it's
00:47:06.580 not so
00:47:06.920 much what
00:47:07.260 the decision
00:47:07.780 is, it's
00:47:09.560 who gets
00:47:09.920 to make
00:47:10.380 it.
00:47:11.360 Now, he's
00:47:11.740 using it in
00:47:12.260 a different
00:47:12.580 context, but
00:47:14.480 same thing
00:47:15.320 with abortion.
00:47:16.820 I'm less
00:47:17.680 concerned with
00:47:18.420 what the
00:47:18.780 decision is
00:47:19.680 because there's
00:47:20.360 no right
00:47:20.760 decision.
00:47:21.980 It's awful
00:47:22.720 either way.
00:47:23.920 It's just
00:47:24.280 awful in
00:47:25.020 different ways
00:47:25.520 to different
00:47:25.920 people.
00:47:27.260 So what I
00:47:28.660 care about is
00:47:29.360 the decision
00:47:29.860 was made
00:47:30.280 by the
00:47:30.600 right people.
00:47:31.820 And the
00:47:32.100 only thing
00:47:32.440 I know for
00:47:32.840 sure is I'm
00:47:33.300 not one of
00:47:33.840 them.
00:47:34.940 I'm not one
00:47:35.720 of the right
00:47:36.080 people.
00:47:36.880 So the best
00:47:37.460 thing I can
00:47:37.920 do for the
00:47:38.440 system is
00:47:39.680 to take a
00:47:41.880 shower when
00:47:42.520 you're deciding
00:47:43.160 what to do.
00:47:44.280 And then I'll
00:47:44.880 back it.
00:47:45.860 Now, I'd be
00:47:46.540 a jerk if I
00:47:47.580 say you make
00:47:48.160 the decision,
00:47:48.840 but I'll
00:47:49.220 criticize you
00:47:50.200 for it.
00:47:51.740 Nope.
00:47:52.880 You make
00:47:53.420 the decision,
00:47:54.100 you being
00:47:54.760 women, or
00:47:56.120 any men who
00:47:56.760 want to because
00:47:57.320 you have a
00:47:57.660 right.
00:47:58.420 You have a
00:47:59.000 right.
00:47:59.360 Be part of
00:47:59.780 the decision.
00:48:00.460 I'm not
00:48:00.820 arguing that.
00:48:01.640 All men have
00:48:02.240 a right to
00:48:02.740 be part of
00:48:03.100 the process.
00:48:05.360 But after
00:48:06.020 you make a
00:48:06.720 decision, I'll
00:48:08.080 back it,
00:48:09.040 whatever it
00:48:09.580 is.
00:48:12.420 Yeah, 80
00:48:13.000 year old women
00:48:13.520 also have a
00:48:14.520 say.
00:48:15.160 Women who
00:48:15.720 can't produce
00:48:16.260 children have a
00:48:16.880 say.
00:48:17.240 Because they're
00:48:17.840 all in the
00:48:18.240 same pot,
00:48:19.300 meaning that
00:48:19.920 their lives are
00:48:21.040 most affected
00:48:21.680 by this, even
00:48:22.900 if they can't
00:48:23.480 have children.
00:48:24.800 You know,
00:48:25.000 they're seen as
00:48:26.000 people who can
00:48:26.480 have children, or
00:48:27.760 did, or could.
00:48:30.360 All right,
00:48:30.900 yeah, I
00:48:31.560 don't care
00:48:31.880 about whether
00:48:33.160 trans are
00:48:33.820 part of it.
00:48:34.460 That's not
00:48:34.940 going to move
00:48:35.260 the needle
00:48:35.620 enough.
00:48:37.340 All right,
00:48:37.660 that's all
00:48:37.940 for now.
00:48:38.780 YouTube, I'll
00:48:39.780 talk.