Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 14, 2021


Episode 1499E Scott Adams: Today I Will Talk About Joe Manchin, Swollen Balls, and Other Horrors


Episode Stats

Length

43 minutes

Words per Minute

149.09392

Word Count

6,549

Sentence Count

483

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

It's the Golden Age of Good News, and we're here to bring you the best, funniest, most entertaining news you've ever heard. Today, we're talking about the new Apple spy software, and how it could be spying on journalists and activists. Plus, a breakthrough in carbon capture technology that could solve climate change.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the Golden Age. Yeah, it's the Golden Age. And I'll even
00:00:11.300 put on my microphone so that the YouTube people can hear me better. Well, do we have good news
00:00:19.860 for you today? And fun news? And stories that you'll want to hear? Yeah, we do. It's going
00:00:26.620 to be great. But if you'd like to take it up a level, and I know you do, because why
00:00:32.120 would you settle for less? Don't settle for less. You can have it all. All you need is
00:00:38.280 a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:45.240 Fill with your favorite liquid I like. Coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:52.380 But the dopamine of the day thing makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And
00:00:59.160 it's going to happen now. Go.
00:01:07.040 Well, if you made it here on time, you are in for a treat. Because today is the best, funniest,
00:01:16.680 most entertaining news of all time. That's a promise. Let us get right to it.
00:01:25.360 Top of the news, you've heard of the Pegasus spy software that gets on your phone and gets into
00:01:32.280 all your stuff. And it's so advanced that only governments have access to it. But we found out
00:01:40.300 that there was a flaw, or at least a hole, in the Apple phone operating system that this Pegasus
00:01:49.420 software was taking advantage of. And apparently there are names of people who are allegedly targeted
00:02:01.060 by the software, including a lot of journalists and activists. That's right. Journalists and activists
00:02:10.120 are being targeted by foreign nations to be spied upon. And everything on their phone is accessible to
00:02:20.740 them. Everything. Now, have I told you before that one of the weird things about my life
00:02:29.500 is that you read the news, but I'm often in it.
00:02:38.980 McDougall's, I see your comment.
00:02:43.080 Yeah, I mean, you watch the news, but I watch the news and I'm in it. So I read this news about this
00:02:49.020 Pegasus spy program that's targeting activists and reporters and journalists.
00:02:57.980 Am I on that list? And if I'm not, why not? If I were a foreign country, the first person I would
00:03:09.340 want to look into was me because I seem to be influencing things. Now, I might not be. It could
00:03:15.920 be an illusion. It could be an illusion. It could be just that everything I try to influence seems to go
00:03:20.560 my way. Maybe. Not everything, of course. Nobody, nobody gets everything. But I immediately dropped
00:03:29.120 everything and updated my phone because I guess there's a fix for it. But I'll tell you, I've never
00:03:35.680 updated my software so fast. The moment, the moment I saw that, like, okay, drop everything, drop
00:03:43.940 everything. Because the odds that somehow I've been targeted, just as a, you know, a person who
00:03:49.660 talks in the media about politics and maybe has some influence, that's some scary shit.
00:03:57.680 Somebody says, Jesse Waters mentioned me last night on Gutfeld. I have that recorded and I will
00:04:04.920 watch that today. Well, here's some good news. Are you ready for the good, good news? Really good news?
00:04:10.360 Great news? I'm going to give you the best news today that you've ever heard. You ready? Now,
00:04:18.100 some of you don't think it was a problem, climate change. But suppose you did. Or suppose you didn't
00:04:26.860 think it was a problem, but you'd like everybody to shut up about it, which would be a different kind
00:04:31.420 of problem. There are two gigantic happenings that, you know, that can solve climate change. Number one,
00:04:45.160 a carbon capture plant, the world's first and largest, just opened up. It's a factory that sucks air
00:04:54.240 into it, takes the carbon dioxide out, mixes it with water and turns it into some kind of a limestone
00:05:02.100 and sticks it in the ground. Now, how many factories would you need to suck enough? Yes, in Iceland.
00:05:11.060 How many would you need? And the company is a Swiss startup called Climeworks. Climb as in climate.
00:05:16.920 Climeworks AG. Now, we know the technology works. Okay? So we don't have to wonder,
00:05:27.520 hey, will this technology work? Already works. They built the factory. They didn't build a prototype.
00:05:33.680 Hear this clearly. It's not a prototype. It's an actual fucking factory that's taking carbon dioxide
00:05:41.680 out of the air. Now, how many do you need? I don't know. But how much more efficient can the carbon
00:05:51.080 capture become? Well, if it's like everything else in the world, it starts out somewhat barely
00:05:58.280 efficient and it just keeps getting better. What happens when our technology for carbon capture
00:06:04.640 goes from kind of works to really good. Problem solved, right? So when you see that it's already
00:06:14.580 apparently economical in some sense, I don't know. I can't imagine that they have a profit
00:06:20.060 and a what. They're not selling anything. So I don't know who's funding it, but it got funded.
00:06:26.680 So it means that somebody has an interest that's large enough to put money into it.
00:06:30.260 So if you don't have a technical problem, because it works, there's no question about it.
00:06:35.800 It's open, right? It's open and working. You don't have that question. And you don't have a funding
00:06:40.820 problem because many would say it's the biggest problem in the world or whatever. Yeah, it may be
00:06:47.340 inefficient now, but what's it going to be? What will the technology get to in 10 years? That's the
00:06:52.700 question you have to ask yourself. I don't know. So Adam Dopamine was pointing this out, the story out.
00:07:00.260 But it also goes to what I call the Adam's Law of slow-moving disasters. How many of you have
00:07:05.260 heard of that? Have you all heard of the Adam's Law of slow-moving disasters? I named it after
00:07:12.580 myself. And the law states this, that the only disasters you have to really worry about are the
00:07:19.900 ones you didn't see coming. The ones that sneak up on you fast, like the pandemic. Well, arguably,
00:07:25.740 we could have seen that coming, but not the specific one. And the argument goes like this,
00:07:31.580 that whenever we, whenever humanity can see a problem developing over decades, we always solve
00:07:38.240 it. Such as you're going to run out of oil. Nope. We saw it coming and we've learned to frack and do
00:07:46.120 other things. We solved it. You're going to run out of food because there are too many people. Nope.
00:07:52.740 Nope. We just figured out how to grow more food. The cars are going to pollute the air and we won't
00:08:00.220 be able to breathe. Nope. Nope. We just changed some laws and made the smoggy cars go away. It's much
00:08:08.620 better now. Right? So basically, every time you find a problem, how about the ozone hole in the
00:08:17.300 atmosphere? So when I was a kid, the ozone was going to disappear and we'd all be fried by the sun.
00:08:24.780 But we knew it would take a long time to happen. And so we changed some laws and got rid of aerosols
00:08:30.720 and we're fine. So climate change is the prototypical example of that because we're looking at an 80 year
00:08:39.720 kind of timeframe, you know, granted it's the first 20 that might be critical, but it's a lot of time
00:08:46.200 by human standards. That's a lot of time. And the odds that we will figure out workarounds for it
00:08:54.700 are really good. So am I worried about climate change? No, because everybody else is.
00:09:03.900 If everybody else was not worried about climate change, I might be worried about it because I'd
00:09:09.720 be like, Hey, I'm not positive. This is going in the wrong direction, but it might, and nobody's
00:09:15.920 doing anything about it. Ah, but if you tell me we've got decades to work on something and everybody
00:09:22.720 knows it's a problem, or let's say most of the scientists and most of the industry believes it's
00:09:28.060 a problem. Some of you maybe not, but that's exactly the situation that makes me feel comfortable.
00:09:33.560 My ideal situation is there's a problem that will take decades to materialize and we're working
00:09:40.780 really hard to fix it already. That's a good situation. Golden age. Here we come.
00:09:49.160 Now here's the second part of that. I'm all about the good news today. Are you feeling better?
00:09:56.380 Do you feel a little optimism today? All right, here's the second part. If you've been watching
00:10:01.760 Michael Schellenberger talk about green energy being not as useful as we hoped it would be and
00:10:09.500 that nuclear energy actually is the only really feasible way to give us all the energy we need in
00:10:16.520 the future with other sources, of course, but we can't not do nuclear power and we need it for space
00:10:23.240 and blah, blah, blah. But here's the thing. In the history of humanity, or at least let's say your
00:10:31.520 lifetime, have you ever heard of a major debate, let's say a public debate where there are definitely
00:10:38.320 people on both sides, like really dug in. Take abortion. Abortion would be where there's two
00:10:45.760 sides really dug in. Take socialism. Two sides really dug in. Nothing's going to change. And that
00:10:55.560 defines most of our topics, right? Somebody says there's three sides in some cases. Okay, but I'm
00:11:01.240 simplifying for this. Wouldn't you say that over your entire life, you've never seen a major debate
00:11:08.380 with two sides where somebody just won the debate? And the other side said, okay, you're right.
00:11:18.620 Can you think of any case where that's ever happened?
00:11:20.740 It's happening right now. Do you see all the protesters protesting against the building of
00:11:31.360 nuclear power plants? Nope. Do you see all the people going on television and saying we should
00:11:40.620 close all of our nuclear power plants? Nope. No. Do you know why? Because the debate is over.
00:11:49.340 It's the only time a debate has ever been one that I can think of. You won't even see anybody go on
00:11:57.920 television who's an expert. You know, I'm not talking about some scared citizen, but you won't see any
00:12:03.400 experts on television saying we shouldn't build nuclear power plants. Because if you've got an expert
00:12:10.300 associated with the right, political right, they'd say, yeah, nuclear power plants. But if you've got
00:12:16.640 somebody associated with the left, let's say Joe Biden, he'd say yes on nuclear power plants.
00:12:25.600 Have you ever seen this before? And by the way, I credit Michael Schellenberger for, I don't know,
00:12:32.600 maybe most of this change, because he's worked this harder than I've seen anybody work in the topic ever,
00:12:38.940 and more effectively, by the way, his communication skills are through the roof. Rarely do you see
00:12:45.200 somebody with that kind of communication skill, who, you know, who gets a bite on a topic and just
00:12:52.740 drives it down to ground. But I think he did. I mean, he's testified to Congress enough, and
00:13:00.220 incredibly and persuasively, that you don't even see politicians railing against nuclear power,
00:13:06.500 do you? Because I think it would be embarrassing at this point. Now, if you're a little behind
00:13:11.740 the information here, that the quick version is this. If you are worried about storage of nuclear
00:13:19.120 waste, basically solved. They just store it in big barrels right on site, and they don't ship it
00:13:25.680 anywhere. When was the last time you heard a big story about a gigantic problem of where to store
00:13:32.460 nuclear waste? It's just not a problem. They just store it on site. Problem solved. And how about,
00:13:41.380 I see Fukushima, and listed there, and how about the problem of safety? Because you don't want
00:13:47.800 something like a Fukushima, you know, melting down or something, right? Were you aware that no modern
00:13:54.500 designed nuclear energy plant has ever had a death or a meltdown? Fukushima is old design,
00:14:01.280 because you don't want something like a Fukushima, you know, melting down or something, right?
00:14:06.860 Were you aware that no modern designed nuclear energy plant has ever had a death or a meltdown?
00:14:14.840 Fukushima is old design. You wouldn't build that today. And even the new designs have been around so long,
00:14:21.460 what we call the newer, you know, generation three. Generation three has never had a problem.
00:14:28.720 Those are the only ones you would build. You wouldn't build a generation two. You wouldn't build
00:14:33.280 a Chernobyl generation one, right? But zero problems with generation three. So if you think that there's
00:14:40.980 a safety problem, you'd have to answer the fact that zero people have ever died.
00:14:45.020 And there's never been a meltdown in a generation three. So waste, storage, solved. Safety,
00:14:57.320 solved. We're really good at generation three. And by the way, generation four won't even have a risk
00:15:03.060 of melting down. And generation four, some of the designs actually eat nuclear waste as their own fuel.
00:15:11.500 So, you know, everything that we were worried about, and then, of course, we've had some
00:15:17.080 breakthroughs in the fission. Fission? Yeah. Or fusion. I'm sorry. We've had some breakthroughs
00:15:22.580 in fusion, which is, you know, even a bigger deal. So if you're looking at climate change,
00:15:29.360 the two biggest things that could possibly ever happen are happening. The debate on nuclear power
00:15:35.000 is over. I've never seen this happen before. I've never seen a debate won. It's really remarkable.
00:15:43.980 Can you think of any other example? I can't.
00:15:49.140 All right. So that's good news. Rasmussen has a new poll out,
00:15:53.720 saying, asking if you believe that the folks who are now in jail because of the January 6th
00:16:00.000 protests at the Capitol, do you believe that they are political prisoners? I'll ask this in the
00:16:07.360 comments, and then I'll tell you what the Rasmussen poll said. Do you think that the people in jail for
00:16:12.180 the January 6th protests are political prisoners? Yes, yes, yes. I'm seeing lots of yeses from the
00:16:19.480 almost all yeses. Yeah. Now, let me ask you this. Let me start by agreeing with you. Okay?
00:16:27.800 So I'm agreeing with you. We're on the same side. I would say that they're political prisoners too.
00:16:33.640 Now, let me, let's go do a mental experiment. Suppose we picked one of them to look at. So you
00:16:40.580 randomly picked one of the people who's in jail for the January 6th stuff. And you say, what's,
00:16:45.560 what's this one in jail for? And they'd probably say something like, well, we have them on video
00:16:50.700 beating a cop with a blunt object. Should that person be in jail? Yeah, of course. Of course.
00:17:00.520 It doesn't matter what you think of politics. If somebody beat a police officer with a blunt object,
00:17:05.480 yeah, yeah, jail. No doubt about it. So let's pick somebody else because that one's obvious. So you pick
00:17:12.120 the next person. Next person. Why is this one here? Well, we also have them on video. Bear spraying a
00:17:20.760 police officer. Okay, well, that one goes, yeah, that one needs to be in jail. I feel like it's all
00:17:27.720 going to be that. Right? If you ask me, do I think they're political prisoners? Yes. But if you actually
00:17:37.700 went down to each one and said, well, what about this one? You know, this one, this one injured a
00:17:43.920 cop? No, not that one. But I'm not entirely sure they're not all that. Are you? Are you sure that
00:17:53.060 that the people in jail just trespassed? Because I don't have that information. Do you? Do you think
00:18:01.560 that the people still in jail, I'm only talking about the ones still in jail. Do you think that their
00:18:06.660 only crime was trespassing? Now, the Viking horn guy is an interesting case, because I don't know
00:18:13.000 that he did anything. Did the Viking horn guy do anything but trespass? So let's put it this way.
00:18:21.880 If there are people who are in jail for just trespassing, then clearly they're political
00:18:26.840 prisoners. But I would imagine they would all be out on bail by now. Wouldn't they? So I feel like I'd
00:18:34.000 need to know a little bit more about that. But emotionally, emotionally and at the high level,
00:18:40.200 yeah, political prisoners. And you know what? Even if they're not, you know, even if you dug down
00:18:47.680 and found there were specific charges that even you would say, okay, that's a specific charge.
00:18:54.280 It still feels like political prisoners. I swear to God, even if you told me the story for every one of
00:19:00.700 those people. You said, all right, look at it. Here's every one of these people. Look at their
00:19:04.720 story. You tell me that they should not be in jail. And I'd say, well, maybe they should be this one.
00:19:10.200 And yet still, I think it's political prisoners. Like I have two opinions that don't even fit together.
00:19:15.520 Yeah, they might be actually violent people. And they're also just political prisoners.
00:19:20.900 I can't help it. I'd love to tell you that I have a consistent opinion, but I don't. Those two things
00:19:26.640 don't fit together. And yet I hold them both as truths. So I don't know if you're different. But anyway,
00:19:34.340 Rasmussen's result was that 49% of the respondents said they agreed strongly or somewhat
00:19:41.640 that the January 6th people are political prisoners.
00:19:45.680 Let that sink in a little bit. Half of the country thinks we're holding political prisoners.
00:19:59.400 Now, I don't know if that's just a, like a political answer to a poll, because it might be,
00:20:05.180 you know, people answer polls the way they want politics to bend. I'm not sure it's their actual
00:20:10.180 opinion that every person there is a political prisoner. But like I said, I have that opinion.
00:20:15.960 Even if the facts don't support it. Like somehow my opinion is completely divorced from any facts,
00:20:22.080 and I don't care. I'm not, I don't even know what that means. I don't know what that says about me.
00:20:28.020 What's it say about me that on this topic, I don't care if the facts support my opinion.
00:20:33.300 Have you ever had that feeling? Where you didn't care if the facts were on your side,
00:20:37.240 it wasn't going to change your opinion? It's a weird feeling. It's one of those times where you can
00:20:43.780 feel your own irrationality. All right. I sent a tweet at Joe Manchin today. I love the fact that
00:20:53.260 I can tweet a member of Congress. And the odds that that member of Congress will see the tweet
00:20:59.520 are actually really good. Isn't that weird? Because, you know, and especially because I have a lot of
00:21:05.700 followers and I've got a blue check, I'm pretty sure if you're a senator, you probably see all the
00:21:11.660 blue check tweets about yourself, don't you? Because it only takes, you know, a minute a day to look at
00:21:16.500 Twitter. So I feel like you probably saw it, or we'll see it. But here's what I tweeted at Joe
00:21:22.800 Manchin, who, as you know, is in control of everything, because he's the only senator who is
00:21:27.980 willing to vote against his own party when things are evenly split. So it gives him all the power.
00:21:33.220 And he's got the power for the infrastructure bill. And I guess he's also got the power
00:21:39.180 on some kind of a voting access bill that the Democrats also want.
00:21:45.960 So I tweeted this at him. I said, hey, Senator Joe Manchin, since you control Congress now,
00:21:52.400 how about getting us a law forcing states to have instantly fully auditable elections,
00:21:58.720 including any software or hardware components, in addition to more voting options. So I don't have
00:22:04.580 any problem with voting options. I'm certainly not going to be the person who says, hey, let's
00:22:12.000 suppress the hours people can vote, or suppress the way that they vote, or anything like that.
00:22:17.960 I'm not going to do that. But I think we need the federal government to force the states to work
00:22:28.180 toward some kind of instantly, instantly. So that's the key word. It has to be instant.
00:22:34.300 We can't wait six months for a fucking audit, like we are now. It's got to be instant. Otherwise,
00:22:41.460 it's useless. Because if it's not instant, you're still going to install the public,
00:22:45.460 the politician, and it's just sort of too late. So it's got to be instant. And we could totally do
00:22:50.860 that. And fully auditable, meaning the software, the hardware, and everything else. Now, what's the
00:22:57.000 fastest way to do that? What's the fastest way to have an instantly auditable election? How long would
00:23:05.600 it take to make that happen? One programmer, one day per state. One programmer, one day. That's the
00:23:21.120 entire effort. Per state. You know, one per state. There is a database that says you voted. Is there
00:23:27.720 not? Or there should be. You should be able to just check your vote. That's it. Your vote should be
00:23:39.460 registered in the big database in the sky. And as soon as you vote, you know, wait five minutes or
00:23:45.800 whatever. You should be able to hit an app. And it should tell you what happened to your vote. Now,
00:23:52.900 you might say to yourself, wait a minute, ID is the problem, right? Because you don't want a person's
00:23:56.660 identification matched to their vote. How hard would it be to fix that? Add five minutes. Add five minutes.
00:24:07.980 Because you want to store in the database a secret code that does identify the person, but only they can
00:24:13.520 unlock it. You know, they've got the key. So the person who did the vote is the only person who can
00:24:19.260 identify their own vote on the system because they've got the matching key. How hard is that?
00:24:26.260 All right. Now, of course, I'm exaggerating. It's not five minutes. Everything takes a year.
00:24:30.640 But we should be working toward it. If you think it can be done, of course it can be done.
00:24:37.000 Of course it can. It's not, I mean, conceptually, it's not even difficult. I just told you how to do
00:24:44.520 it. All you need is for people to be able to track their vote. Now, the only thing it wouldn't catch
00:24:51.000 is fake votes, right? Am I right? The only thing it wouldn't catch is a fake vote. But could you
00:24:58.580 engineer a solution to that by randomly querying people who voted to find out if they're really
00:25:08.220 the real person? So you'd have to have two ways to look. One, to make sure that if you are a real
00:25:14.080 person who voted, that your vote got registered the way you wanted it to. But secondly, if there
00:25:18.800 are votes that are fake people, that you can randomly, not all of them, but randomly you can query the real
00:25:25.980 person and say, your vote was registered. Did you vote? I feel like it's doable. And I think Joe
00:25:34.380 Manchin might be the only person who has enough power to make it happen. Stick that in there as a
00:25:38.840 requirement. By 2024, you have to have a fully auditable system or whatever. There would be your
00:25:48.040 golden age if we could get that done. There's a video that I tweeted around that I highly recommend
00:25:55.620 just because it's fun to watch. In China, they demolished 15 skyscrapers at the same time.
00:26:03.240 And there's a video of a, it looks like maybe a city block or something. So there were 15
00:26:08.240 skyscrapers that they built, but never had any occupants for them. They didn't finish them.
00:26:13.760 So I guess they got, the basements got flooded and maybe they became unsafe or something. So it was no
00:26:19.340 longer practical to finish them. So they blew them up. Now, I guess this is not the first time they've done
00:26:25.540 massive multiple building destructions. They've done it in other places where they were clearing
00:26:31.300 out buildings. I think they've done like 36 at one time, but watching 15 skyscrapers blow up at the
00:26:37.920 same time, you know, because they, they, they blow up in a controlled explosion so that they just sink into
00:26:43.120 the dust. It's really cool. It's really cool. So look on my Twitter feed. It would be, I just tweeted
00:26:49.840 it this morning. So it's near the top and just, just to watch it for fun. Uh, it's really kind of
00:26:57.120 impressive, kind of impressive. Well, let's talk about the California, uh, recall race. The election
00:27:04.240 news today, early official election day. And something very odd has happened. Very odd.
00:27:16.480 Number one, well, a few odd things. Um, number one, uh, Newsom said, I think it was yesterday
00:27:25.360 that a vote for Larry Elder is a vote against diversity and racial justice.
00:27:31.180 That's right. A vote against who would be the first black Republican governor, Larry Elder, if he,
00:27:41.140 if he wins, uh, voting for him to be the first black Republican governor of California
00:27:50.340 is a vote against diversity. It's against diversity. I don't know. I don't know how you even say that
00:27:58.420 with a straight face. Now, apparently there is approved diversity and unapproved diversity.
00:28:03.620 And the type of diversity that Larry Elder would bring is apparently unapproved.
00:28:08.420 The Democrats do not approve of that particular type of diversity. Uh, there's good diversity and
00:28:13.740 bad diversity. And I guess he's got the bad kind according to Newsom. Uh, but we've got this match
00:28:20.400 and gasoline situation happening with this California recall. I don't feel that the mood
00:28:26.800 of the voters, um, is up to revolution mostly because Democrats are going to be, I'm sorry, Republicans
00:28:34.720 will be the victims and they tend not to hit the streets so much, but there's something very bad going
00:28:41.120 on that could be coincidence or something very bad is going on. I don't know which it is, but I'm open
00:28:50.800 to the possibility of either one. So let me give you an example of what's going on here. Uh, you may
00:28:56.320 know that the, uh, polling for who's going to win or whether or not the recall would be successful.
00:29:01.760 The polling in August looked like it was too close to call. It was like within 1%.
00:29:06.240 What's the polling today? Not even close. Newsom's going to win like 57% if the, if the polling is
00:29:16.240 accurate. Now, what happened between August and now that would make it from a super tight race
00:29:23.680 where it looked like elder would win actually because of the trend line to not even close
00:29:29.520 one month. In one month, it went from, from too close to call to not even close. Somebody says it's
00:29:37.920 money, something about the way they campaigned. Nope. It turns out that the explanation given in the
00:29:45.040 news today is that the August polls were wrong and that's because they worded the poll wrong and they
00:29:52.720 got the wrong result. Now, isn't that convenient? The, the, the one race that we think, not we,
00:30:03.200 I'll take myself out of it. Um, the one race which many, many Republicans think will be rigged.
00:30:10.320 I'm not saying it will be. I'm saying that Republicans are claiming that
00:30:14.880 that happens to be the same race that the polls suspiciously went from totally agreeing
00:30:21.360 with Republicans to suddenly totally disagreeing. Exactly the way you'd expect a rigged poll
00:30:30.720 to come out because what would be the problem if the poll said it was super close, but the vote wasn't
00:30:41.520 because we were almost heading for a really big problem, weren't we? Wouldn't it be a really big
00:30:46.240 problem if the poll said it should be close, but the vote said it wasn't and people thought it was a
00:30:53.920 rigged vote? Republicans would take that as proof, but suddenly by coincidence, and by the way, I'm only
00:31:04.560 going to claim it's a coincidence because I don't have evidence of anything else. But as coincidences go,
00:31:10.640 I don't think it could be worse. It's a coincidence of a match being dropped in gasoline. Because if the polls
00:31:20.800 are bullshit and you already don't believe the vote itself, your credibility is just shot. And credibility
00:31:32.240 is the only thing that holds our system together. That's it. Credibility. You take the credibility
00:31:38.080 away and it all falls apart unless you use force. So how many, let's say, irregularities are happening
00:31:47.200 in the vote? Well, if you're following Dave Rubin, and you should, follow Dave Rubin on Twitter and also
00:31:54.000 on Locals. He and a number of other people are sort of, you know, getting into the details of what's
00:32:01.600 happening there. And there's a lot of tweets in which people are responding to what they've personally
00:32:05.920 observed. Now, it's all anecdotal. Anecdotal means it doesn't mean it necessarily represents
00:32:13.120 a large trend. It's just people having specific experiences and reporting them, and you don't
00:32:19.280 even know if they're real people, right? So whatever credibility you want to put on these next claims,
00:32:26.240 lower it a little bit, right? Now remember, I've told you that all election fraud claims,
00:32:33.280 if you looked at the whole body of all claims made about all elections everywhere all the time,
00:32:38.480 at least in the United States, they're going to be wrong 95% of the time, right?
00:32:45.680 So 95% of all election fraud claims, at least big ones, big claims, turn out to be wrong. At least 95.
00:32:53.680 Could be 100%, but at least 95%. So keep that in mind. And when I tell you that there are all kinds
00:33:01.440 of reports of irregularities in the California election. So you got people who got mailed,
00:33:06.800 you know, two ballots, one for the person who used to live there, one for them, people who got two
00:33:12.480 ballots for one for their maiden name, and one for their old name, people who got ballots
00:33:17.280 out of the state when they haven't been in the state for a long time.
00:33:20.480 And I won't go through all the examples, but it's just lots of examples of people with a specific
00:33:32.240 complaint. Now, are those specific complaints enough or even credible enough to imagine that
00:33:39.920 there's some massive problem going on? I don't see it yet. It looks like just a whole bunch of
00:33:45.280 individual complaints of various credibility. But boy, is it a red flag. If you're asking,
00:33:53.920 is fraud proven? I'd say no, no, there's no fraud proven. And I don't see evidence that necessarily
00:34:01.200 will be proven. But damn, there's a lot of questions. And can you have a system that doesn't
00:34:07.120 have credibility? Because there are so many questions. And if Joe Manchin had done the job
00:34:13.120 that we'd love him to do, wouldn't we already have an election where you'd say,
00:34:18.800 well, there are lots of irregularities, but thank goodness you can check to see if your vote got
00:34:23.200 registered correctly? Can't. All of these problems would go away. It wouldn't matter how many claims
00:34:30.320 you heard of irregularities. As long as you could check your own vote, you'd be pretty happy.
00:34:36.560 Yeah. Please provide data if you're 95% false claim. That's observational. It's not based on data.
00:34:48.320 So I observe over the years that if you watch the claims and then you just wait long enough to see
00:34:53.760 if they get proven or disproven, they're 95% of the time they'll be disproven. So that's exactly the
00:34:59.840 experience we had with the 2020 election. I mean, I haven't seen any that were proven,
00:35:06.880 but certainly were a lot of claims. All right. And apparently there's one story that 70% of the
00:35:16.480 voters somewhere were being turned away because the system said they had already voted. And then
00:35:22.240 there was a claim that it was a software problem. But then there was a clarification that it was more
00:35:26.960 about an out-of-date poll book. I don't know what an out-of-date poll book is or how that fit into the
00:35:34.480 story. But let's say that they do know that was the problem. It turns out it was more like a handful
00:35:39.360 of people and they figured out what the problem was and they fixed it. I think it's being reported as
00:35:44.480 a massive problem where it might have been just an anecdotal thing that one area screwed up a little
00:35:51.120 bit. So I wouldn't be too worried about that. Anyway, there are massive, let's say, reports of individual
00:36:01.760 problems, but I haven't seen enough of the same kind of problem to suggest massive fraud. Now, what are the
00:36:09.760 odds that Republicans will believe there was massive fraud in the California election? It's 100%. Because even
00:36:18.960 Trump weighed in on this and said, he said, does anybody really believe that the California recall election
00:36:26.560 isn't rigged? That's what Trump asked. Now, notice how cleverly he words it. If he claimed it was rigged, then
00:36:36.560 he'd be in a little bit of trouble. But if he says, does anybody believe it isn't rigged? He's talking about what you
00:36:42.480 think. And that's fair. Because that's a fair statement. He accurately is calling what we think,
00:36:50.160 which is different from knowing what is actually happening.
00:36:57.120 So I don't know if anything's going to blow up based on the result. It does look like Newsom
00:37:03.440 might win unless there's massive Republican turnout, which I suppose could happen.
00:37:08.640 Here's a story that I've been noodling about all day, because I didn't think this was true.
00:37:13.760 But I googled, and I think it is true. Did you know that ice cream is highly recommended for people
00:37:20.960 with dementia? How many people knew that? That ice cream, specifically ice cream, is highly recommended
00:37:29.200 for people with dementia. Apparently, what it does is, if your dementia is causing you to get
00:37:37.200 worked up and angry about stuff, which is, you know, the most common, or one of the most common side
00:37:42.560 effects of having dementia. Apparently, the ice cream just puts you in a different head.
00:37:48.880 As soon as you start eating the ice cream, your brain just says, ooh, ice cream, and then you relax.
00:37:54.640 And all of your extra anger from the dementia just seems to go away. Now, I didn't think this was a
00:38:02.240 real thing until I googled it and saw it's actually recommended. Now, let's talk about Joe Biden.
00:38:12.160 They literally send him out for ice cream.
00:38:14.320 And he loves his ice cream. Yeah, all right. So I think this ice cream thing,
00:38:24.240 how can we ignore his dementia at this point? It's kind of obvious, isn't it? Kind of obvious.
00:38:32.800 All right, there's a lot of, I see a lot of chatter about personal choice and vaccines. And some people
00:38:39.120 saying, you know, whether or not the vaccinations are a good idea or a bad idea, it should be a personal
00:38:45.360 choice whether you take them. To which I say, no, it never is. These things are just power.
00:38:54.560 There are a lot of issues that we act as though,
00:39:00.240 we act as though if we made a better argument, we could win.
00:39:05.360 But it's never about that. The vaccinations are about power. If the people who want everybody to
00:39:11.760 get vaccinated have more power, then maybe it'll happen. And if they don't have enough power, it won't
00:39:16.560 happen. It has nothing to do with what's right or wrong. We should just figure out who has more power
00:39:22.640 and just go with that. Let's talk about your balls. So the big story is that Tucker Carlson did a
00:39:31.440 segment talking about Nicki Minaj's tweet in which Nicki said that her cousin's friend's testicles
00:39:42.560 swelled up after getting the vaccination and it made him impotent, not impotent, made him unable to have
00:39:50.480 children and caused his planned wedding to be canceled. Now, there are many funny things about this
00:39:58.320 story and I don't know where to begin. Number one, as some doctors pointed out,
00:40:03.840 Nicki Minaj, I think you just outed your cousin's friend for having chlamydia,
00:40:09.520 because that's what makes your balls swell up. And that may be, but it made me wonder
00:40:19.120 what would be the side effect if this is actually a side effect of the vaccination.
00:40:23.520 Now, and let me remind you, if a billion people get a vaccination,
00:40:29.040 someone in that billion people is going to get swollen balls the next day. Not necessarily because
00:40:36.720 of the vaccination, but if a billion people do anything, somebody is going to have something
00:40:42.480 happen the next day. It doesn't matter what it is. You'll have everything that could happen.
00:40:47.200 Somebody is going to have it. So the fact that one guy's balls got bigger after a vaccination
00:40:53.840 doesn't mean it was caused by the vaccination. But on average, wouldn't you expect, I don't know
00:41:02.000 how they measure this exactly, because on average, wouldn't you expect that the people who did get
00:41:06.800 the vaccination and were not afraid of it, on average, wouldn't they have bigger balls?
00:41:12.160 Because they're the ones who weren't, were not afraid of the vaccination. So the people are not
00:41:19.440 afraid. On average, wouldn't they have bigger balls? What? No, doesn't work that way.
00:41:31.040 Don't hate me. It's just a joke. So Martin, here's the other funny thing is that
00:41:39.200 Nicki Minaj is his cousin's friend with the swollen testicles.
00:41:45.280 He, I know a little bit about him. I did some research. It turns out he wanted to be famous.
00:41:51.040 He wanted to be famous. And by the way, if you go over to the locals platform, you can see it fine.
00:41:58.080 He wanted to be famous, but he did, he fell a little short. So instead, all right,
00:42:04.080 fuck you. I'll just turn off YouTube. So this guy with the swollen balls wanted to be famous,
00:42:09.600 but only his balls are. And so that is a story of Nicki Minaj's cousin's balls. Now,
00:42:19.600 if you wanted people to take the vaccination, and you want to persuade them, what would be a good way
00:42:23.600 to do it? Well, one way to do it is to tell people that COVID itself would make your ball shrink.
00:42:29.280 If I heard that there was any chance at all that COVID would make my balls shrink,
00:42:36.000 what are the odds that I would go get that vaccination? Pretty good. Pretty good. Because
00:42:44.480 I would take a 1 in 100 chance of dying, but I wouldn't take a 1 in 100 chance of my balls shrinking.
00:42:51.760 Am I right? Now, I know that's not logical. I'm not saying it's rational. But men, men back me on this.
00:42:59.520 You would take a 1 in 100 chance of dying, if it meant doing a sport or doing something you like.
00:43:05.520 But wouldn't you take a 1 in 100 chance of your balls shrinking? Yeah, you might not. So persuasion-wise,
00:43:14.560 yeah, persuasion-wise, telling people that COVID would shrink your balls,
00:43:20.960 it's not true as far as I know. But if you could tell people that and make them believe it,
00:43:24.880 they'd probably go get the shot. All right, I got to go do some other things. And I will talk to you
00:43:32.080 later. Sorry about the YouTube thing. Thorium doesn't need a water supply. Yeah,
00:43:40.160 China is testing in the Gobi Desert. Excellent. Hope it works out.
00:43:44.800 And I will talk to you all tomorrow.