Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1504 Scott Adams： Come For a Provocative Discussion of What's New, and Stay For the Simultaneous Sip

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. Yeah, I'm a minute late. Stop here complaining. The price is right.

00:00:10.920 Sure, I might be coming to you late, but the price? Perfect. Just perfect.

00:00:20.140 Now, with any luck, I've situated my two cameras here, my two platforms,

00:00:25.340 so that my eye contact will be approximately where it needs to be.

00:00:33.760 And we will do something called the simultaneous sip in a moment

00:00:37.280 after YouTube gets through all of its advertisements,

00:00:40.740 but let's talk about some of the things happening today.

00:00:46.540 In the irony alert department, AOC's dress designer,

00:00:50.660 you remember AOC's dress for the Met Gala, said,

00:00:54.300 tax the rich?

00:00:56.180 Well, it turns out that the person who designed that dress

00:00:59.400 has not paid their taxes.

00:01:04.860 That's right.

00:01:05.960 The designer of the dress that says tax the rich

00:01:08.920 is behind under taxes, or his taxes, I don't know who it is.

00:01:14.260 But you know that the simulation had to give us that, right?

00:01:18.400 It just had to give us that.

00:01:21.060 Thank you, simulation.

00:01:22.140 And this is why you should show your gratitude to the simulation.

00:01:26.620 Yeah, it's a recurring theme. 0.91

00:01:28.940 Hypocrisy.

00:01:30.800 Well, here's a good sign of things to come in the golden age.

00:01:35.380 I keep telling you that this pandemic looks bad.

00:01:39.440 I know it looks bad.

00:01:41.640 It does.

00:01:42.980 But it was required to kick off the golden age

00:01:46.520 because it reset everything and people rethought everything

00:01:50.480 and suddenly there's a whole bunch of better thinking

00:01:53.720 and new ideas coming.

00:01:54.780 Here's one.

00:01:56.220 California just changed some legislation

00:01:59.700 to make it easier to get approval

00:02:02.300 to put a second home on your lot

00:02:06.520 that's only zoned for one home.

00:02:08.040 That's a really big deal.

00:02:11.480 That's a really big deal.

00:02:13.400 Because if you're trying to get affordable housing,

00:02:18.160 there's nothing more affordable than free land.

00:02:21.900 It's free.

00:02:22.860 It's already there.

00:02:24.300 And if you've got a big backyard

00:02:25.440 or you get a little extra land on the side,

00:02:28.280 you could add one of these little ADUs or small units.

00:02:31.920 So here are the things that you'd save.

00:02:34.660 So land would be free

00:02:36.240 because now you can put a second home

00:02:39.000 where your one home is.

00:02:41.060 You have free land.

00:02:42.320 Wouldn't cost anything...

00:02:44.520 Well, it wouldn't cost much extra

00:02:46.280 to bring in utilities from the street.

00:02:48.840 The property is probably already, you know,

00:02:51.860 graded and everything for a home

00:02:55.260 because there's one on it.

00:02:57.280 You wouldn't need architects or engineers or contractors

00:03:00.540 if you get these prefab homes.

00:03:02.700 You take all of that expense out of it.

00:03:05.700 And because they're prefab

00:03:07.920 and they're built in factories,

00:03:09.600 you just sort of unfold them in some cases

00:03:12.000 once you get to the site.

00:03:13.820 You should be able to drop the cost

00:03:15.480 of a pretty good home

00:03:17.200 by, I don't know, 80% or more.

00:03:23.740 It's a pretty big deal.

00:03:25.460 So keep an eye on that trend.

00:03:27.680 All right.

00:03:28.040 I believe it's time

00:03:31.580 for a little thing called the simultaneous sip.

00:03:34.480 I know you've been waiting for it

00:03:35.700 and I know your life will not be complete without it.

00:03:39.820 And so I would invite you now

00:03:41.760 to grab your cup or mug or glass of tank or chalice,

00:03:44.480 a canteen jug or flask,

00:03:46.420 a vessel of any kind,

00:03:47.360 fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:03:49.020 I like coffee.

00:03:49.960 And join me now

00:03:52.600 for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:03:55.860 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:03:57.620 the thing that makes everything better,

00:04:00.860 everything.

00:04:01.680 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:04:03.500 It's going to happen now.

00:04:04.680 Go.

00:04:04.860 I feel my immunity to COVID increasing every moment

00:04:17.520 because it is.

00:04:20.320 Well, more news from the golden age,

00:04:24.860 or is it?

00:04:26.380 The following news comes in two forms.

00:04:31.020 One, an optimistic look at the future

00:04:33.260 and what technology and the potential of humankind

00:04:36.840 holds for us.

00:04:39.740 Very, very good looking sort of a story.

00:04:43.080 But there's a second part of the story

00:04:45.020 that I will announce in ominous tones

00:04:49.740 every now and then.

00:04:50.760 And the story goes like this.

00:04:53.340 The very first child born

00:04:55.320 from polygenic screening as an embryo

00:04:59.260 has just happened.

00:05:01.040 So a live human has been born

00:05:02.940 who was selected

00:05:05.240 for her good quality embryo,

00:05:09.900 specifically her genetic components.

00:05:13.580 And the idea was

00:05:14.860 that a company named Genomic Prediction

00:05:18.320 did the work in this case.

00:05:20.040 There are some other companies,

00:05:21.100 I guess, that do this.

00:05:22.640 And they will basically make sure

00:05:25.320 your artificially inseminated baby 0.81

00:05:29.340 is the best quality baby you can get.

00:05:34.280 Now, that's pretty good, right?

00:05:37.420 Because you get yourself a better baby.

00:05:39.640 Baby's happy.

00:05:40.580 You're happy.

00:05:41.760 Lowers the health care costs.

00:05:43.820 More productive workers.

00:05:46.160 Pretty good.

00:05:47.240 Pretty good, right?

00:05:48.060 Or is it?

00:05:50.040 Or is it one step to eugenics 0.75

00:05:57.420 and a Hitler-like future? 0.84

00:06:00.920 Or is it a way to get everybody happier

00:06:05.600 and healthier

00:06:06.140 and have a more competitive world

00:06:08.580 in which your national defense

00:06:10.720 is much aided by your many inventions

00:06:13.640 and innovations?

00:06:15.380 That sounds pretty good.

00:06:16.540 Or somebody's going to make a master race 0.94

00:06:21.460 and the world will be destroyed

00:06:24.180 in World War III.

00:06:27.560 It's definitely going to be one of those two things.

00:06:30.380 But I'm an optimist.

00:06:32.120 I like to think it's the good one.

00:06:33.440 But let me ask you this question.

00:06:36.880 True or false?

00:06:39.120 All right?

00:06:40.040 Hold your ethical and moral outrage.

00:06:45.260 We will stipulate that you have it.

00:06:48.060 We stipulate that you're morally outraged by the story.

00:06:51.560 But here's the question.

00:06:52.320 Are we going to have to make super babies 0.96

00:06:56.080 for national defense?

00:07:01.080 Think about it.

00:07:02.760 Your economy drives your ability to defend yourself.

00:07:05.880 If your economy is good enough,

00:07:07.120 you can buy all kinds of good weapons

00:07:09.020 and you can bribe people

00:07:10.340 and you can do everything that you need to do.

00:07:12.020 So you need a pretty good economy.

00:07:15.660 You need lots of innovation,

00:07:16.900 lots of invention

00:07:17.580 to stay ahead of your adversaries

00:07:20.160 in military development.

00:07:23.740 What if China, 0.86

00:07:25.720 let's just pick China as an example,

00:07:27.360 what if they decide

00:07:28.200 to make a bunch of super babies 0.97

00:07:30.140 with high IQs

00:07:32.380 and high ability to invent and innovate

00:07:34.620 and suddenly all the inventing

00:07:37.100 and innovating moves over to China

00:07:38.580 and their economy is screaming

00:07:41.420 because they've got the super babies

00:07:42.840 just starting start-ups

00:07:45.140 and unicorns like crazy?

00:07:49.580 Yes or no,

00:07:52.000 it's a homeland defense imperative

00:07:54.920 to make super babies

00:07:56.840 in the long run.

00:07:58.400 Not much difference this year,

00:07:59.980 but in the long run,

00:08:02.840 let's say the 100-year future of the republic,

00:08:06.360 do we have to make super babies to survive,

00:08:09.960 to be competitive?

00:08:11.420 Define super.

00:08:14.300 Super would be,

00:08:16.460 let's say you could crank out an Elon Musk

00:08:19.200 or a Bill Gates at will

00:08:22.600 because you can.

00:08:24.860 Now, not necessarily their personalities,

00:08:30.020 but you could hit their IQ.

00:08:32.140 You could hit their IQ

00:08:33.340 and you could probably know some things about them.

00:08:35.200 Somebody says we already are.

00:08:39.020 Yeah, in a sense,

00:08:39.820 we're already practicing eugenics 0.99

00:08:41.860 because we have more mobility.

00:08:44.700 What's the difference

00:08:45.760 between a smart engineer

00:08:48.160 working for Microsoft

00:08:49.220 who searches for a mate

00:08:51.900 and finds another smart engineer

00:08:54.880 working for some other country,

00:08:56.560 or company,

00:08:57.500 could be another country,

00:08:58.360 and then, you know,

00:08:59.920 they get together.

00:09:01.660 Well, it's sort of selective breeding,

00:09:03.500 isn't it?

00:09:04.380 You're going to get a pretty smart kid

00:09:06.280 if the two smart engineers

00:09:08.460 from wherever they were in the world

00:09:10.220 get together to make a baby.

00:09:12.020 Probably that kid's going to have some potential.

00:09:16.220 Right?

00:09:18.040 And so we're already practicing eugenics 0.99

00:09:20.520 just because we have mobility

00:09:21.700 and we have the internet.

00:09:23.100 So it's happening on its own.

00:09:24.540 But what happens if we take it to the next level

00:09:26.300 and make super babies? 0.97

00:09:28.980 I would say that we have

00:09:30.540 all kinds of moral hazards here,

00:09:34.520 obviously,

00:09:35.520 but might be necessary.

00:09:38.680 Might be necessary.

00:09:39.620 Because without enough super babies, 0.62

00:09:43.320 I don't know,

00:09:43.800 can you compete in the future?

00:09:45.760 I wonder.

00:09:48.020 Speaking of the future

00:09:50.040 that's looking good,

00:09:51.120 according to Saul of United,

00:09:53.660 who alerted me to a tweet,

00:09:56.040 or a story,

00:09:57.780 there are two of the four contenders

00:09:59.620 to become Japan's next prime minister

00:10:01.720 are so pro-nuclear

00:10:04.500 that they're pushing for small modular reactors

00:10:08.740 and nuclear fusion reactors.

00:10:11.920 Of course,

00:10:12.660 you'd need to develop that technology.

00:10:14.340 But the small modular reactor idea,

00:10:17.800 two out of four Japanese candidates

00:10:19.840 for prime minister.

00:10:21.760 Now,

00:10:22.600 maybe one of them won't win,

00:10:24.860 but

00:10:25.300 you'd have to think that Japan

00:10:27.540 is pretty

00:10:28.260 nuclear shy,

00:10:30.400 right?

00:10:31.240 If anybody had a right to be

00:10:32.640 between Fukushima

00:10:34.020 and, of course,

00:10:35.620 Hiroshima and Nagasaki,

00:10:36.800 which had nothing to do

00:10:38.700 with nuclear power, per se,

00:10:40.620 but you've got to figure

00:10:41.620 it's all in the psychology somehow.

00:10:44.840 But even Japan 0.54

00:10:45.660 can't come up with a reason

00:10:47.900 not to do nuclear.

00:10:49.780 Think about it.

00:10:51.280 Even Japan

00:10:52.180 doesn't really have an argument against it.

00:10:55.300 And I keep telling you

00:10:56.120 that the anti-nuclear people

00:10:58.420 just disappeared.

00:11:00.360 It's one of the biggest stories

00:11:01.740 in the country,

00:11:02.700 but because it's a story

00:11:03.980 by subtraction,

00:11:05.440 you just don't notice it.

00:11:07.320 Most of the stories

00:11:08.200 we notice

00:11:08.820 are something gets added

00:11:10.000 to the atmosphere.

00:11:11.200 Hey,

00:11:11.520 that wasn't there before.

00:11:13.020 But when something

00:11:13.780 just sort of drains

00:11:14.780 out of the atmosphere,

00:11:15.760 you don't notice it

00:11:16.540 because it happens slowly.

00:11:18.340 There are no

00:11:18.840 anti-nuclear energy protests,

00:11:22.880 are there?

00:11:24.380 I don't think

00:11:25.200 they exist anymore.

00:11:26.420 And it's because

00:11:27.000 the technology

00:11:27.960 and the knowledge

00:11:28.880 about the necessity

00:11:30.340 of nuclear power,

00:11:32.460 especially if you're worried

00:11:33.620 about climate change,

00:11:35.380 it's beyond debate now.

00:11:38.540 I feel like

00:11:39.380 it's literally

00:11:39.940 one of the few topics

00:11:41.620 I've ever seen

00:11:42.520 in my life

00:11:43.220 that's now beyond debate.

00:11:46.820 When has that ever happened?

00:11:48.640 Think of one other example.

00:11:50.840 I don't know.

00:11:51.260 Maybe you could come up with one,

00:11:52.620 but I can't.

00:11:54.760 Well,

00:11:55.080 there was some kind

00:11:55.660 of conservative rally.

00:11:57.720 Was it yesterday?

00:11:58.620 And I guess

00:12:01.360 the organizing theme

00:12:02.860 was about

00:12:03.360 the January 6th

00:12:04.880 protesters

00:12:05.360 who were still in jail.

00:12:07.080 And they seemed like

00:12:08.280 political prisoners

00:12:09.200 to many of us.

00:12:11.060 But Insurrection 2

00:12:12.020 was a disappointing sequel.

00:12:15.200 It turns out

00:12:16.020 that without

00:12:16.940 Trump's direct involvement,

00:12:19.920 there was not much energy.

00:12:21.900 There just wasn't

00:12:22.800 enough energy.

00:12:23.940 So it was lightly attended

00:12:25.300 because people were

00:12:26.680 smart enough to know

00:12:27.900 it was probably

00:12:28.600 a setup

00:12:29.060 in some way,

00:12:30.640 or at least dangerous,

00:12:32.220 without enough benefit.

00:12:33.520 And, of course,

00:12:35.020 there were undercover cops

00:12:36.760 and there were photos

00:12:37.520 of them looking

00:12:38.460 obviously like

00:12:39.380 undercover cops,

00:12:40.940 and humorously so.

00:12:43.680 I mean,

00:12:43.960 there...

00:12:45.520 Oh, Trump...

00:12:47.960 Somebody says...

00:12:49.520 I'm seeing on local...

00:12:51.240 Trump said it don't go

00:12:53.020 because it's a setup.

00:12:54.140 Is that true?

00:12:56.380 Did Trump advise people

00:12:57.780 not to go?

00:13:01.020 Oh, I'm seeing...

00:13:02.080 I'm seeing a...

00:13:03.000 Yeah, fact check.

00:13:03.800 True.

00:13:04.260 Well, okay.

00:13:05.220 Well, that would also explain

00:13:06.600 why there's low attendance.

00:13:08.560 And that was smart

00:13:09.520 of Trump, I think.

00:13:12.540 But Trump also knows

00:13:13.780 that energy is what matters.

00:13:16.260 Probably the smartest thing

00:13:18.180 about Trump

00:13:19.040 is his understanding

00:13:21.580 that energy beats facts.

00:13:24.740 And if you can move energy

00:13:26.320 where you want it,

00:13:27.420 getting attention,

00:13:28.600 for example,

00:13:29.960 putting a focus

00:13:31.120 on something,

00:13:31.940 for example,

00:13:33.020 then you win.

00:13:34.180 And Trump is 0.96

00:13:36.120 an energy monster. 0.78

00:13:37.780 Like, he just eats energy

00:13:39.140 and then he spews it out

00:13:40.720 in a different direction.

00:13:41.760 But this event

00:13:45.440 didn't have any energy.

00:13:48.200 All right.

00:13:51.400 And one of the things

00:13:52.500 that came out of it

00:13:53.240 was a lot of people online

00:13:54.380 were mocking

00:13:55.540 the very white-looking

00:13:58.580 people who were dressed

00:14:02.300 in their supposedly

00:14:03.760 undercover clothing

00:14:05.000 and they looked like

00:14:06.280 every white person

00:14:07.240 in warm weather.

00:14:08.960 You know, the T-shirt,

00:14:09.820 and the khaki-like shorts.

00:14:12.500 And there was one guy

00:14:13.780 wearing dress socks

00:14:14.740 with his sneakers.

00:14:16.280 They looked so, so white.

00:14:21.740 But I, of course,

00:14:24.640 took some of this personally

00:14:25.680 because they were being mocked

00:14:30.280 for dressing exactly

00:14:32.280 the way I dress.

00:14:34.920 Took a little personally.

00:14:36.920 But I would like to defend

00:14:38.600 my people.

00:14:41.400 My people being

00:14:42.580 poorly dressed 0.94

00:14:43.940 adult white men.

00:14:45.900 Now, it's not limited

00:14:47.040 to white men,

00:14:47.740 but it's the only category

00:14:49.000 I can speak of

00:14:49.860 with some authority.

00:14:52.120 Do you think,

00:14:53.960 those of you

00:14:54.780 who have noticed

00:14:55.520 that I'm a poorly dressed

00:14:57.280 adult white man,

00:14:59.100 do you think

00:14:59.860 that I do this intentionally?

00:15:02.800 Do you think

00:15:03.520 I wake up in the morning

00:15:04.500 and say,

00:15:05.620 you know,

00:15:06.620 you know what would

00:15:07.260 really work for me?

00:15:08.600 To be poorly dressed.

00:15:11.400 That's what I like.

00:15:12.620 Do you think

00:15:13.380 that when I walk past

00:15:15.300 the clothing store

00:15:17.500 of really sharp

00:15:18.940 and stylish clothing

00:15:20.820 that's made

00:15:21.400 just for adult white men,

00:15:23.740 do you think

00:15:24.380 that when I walk

00:15:25.060 by that store,

00:15:25.860 I say to myself,

00:15:27.580 you know,

00:15:27.980 I could go in that store

00:15:29.640 and I could afford

00:15:30.740 those clothes.

00:15:31.420 and if I bought

00:15:33.020 some of them,

00:15:33.520 I would look stylish

00:15:35.040 and attractive,

00:15:36.340 at least the clothing part.

00:15:39.540 I choose not to.

00:15:41.300 I'm just going to walk

00:15:42.420 on by.

00:15:44.060 No, no,

00:15:45.040 I don't do that.

00:15:46.100 Do you know why?

00:15:47.760 Because that clothing store 0.99

00:15:49.100 doesn't fucking exist. 0.99

00:15:52.500 Men, men, 1.00

00:15:54.100 can you back me?

00:15:55.420 That clothing store

00:15:56.540 I just described,

00:15:57.560 the one with the stylish

00:15:59.060 and really sharp clothing

00:16:01.300 for men like me 0.99

00:16:02.820 doesn't fucking exist. 0.99

00:16:05.540 If it did, 1.00

00:16:07.640 would I look like this?

00:16:10.160 Seriously.

00:16:11.680 Would I dress like this

00:16:13.260 if there were a store

00:16:15.020 that I could go to 1.00

00:16:17.240 to buy fucking clothes 1.00

00:16:19.260 that don't make me look like 1.00

00:16:20.600 a tornado in a thrift shop?

00:16:24.300 Would I?

00:16:25.860 No.

00:16:26.380 No.

00:16:27.240 No.

00:16:28.220 I would not.

00:16:30.060 Give me any option

00:16:31.480 to not look the way I look,

00:16:35.320 I'm going to be taking it.

00:16:37.020 I'm going to be taking it.

00:16:38.320 What's the best advantage 0.73

00:16:39.700 of being black

00:16:41.360 in the United States? 0.96

00:16:44.120 Come on.

00:16:44.920 What is it?

00:16:45.780 There are disadvantages,

00:16:46.860 obviously.

00:16:47.620 What's the biggest advantage

00:16:48.900 of being a black man

00:16:50.860 in the United States? 0.71

00:16:52.240 A black man.

00:16:53.320 What's the biggest advantage?

00:16:54.260 You don't have to look

00:16:56.600 like this.

00:16:58.680 Right?

00:16:59.640 You don't have to look

00:17:00.980 like this.

00:17:02.720 You can actually wear

00:17:04.020 stylish,

00:17:06.140 fashion-forward footwear.

00:17:09.080 You could wear a shirt

00:17:10.500 that I could never put on.

00:17:12.780 You look great.

00:17:14.600 You know,

00:17:14.900 on average,

00:17:15.620 everybody's different,

00:17:16.440 of course,

00:17:16.820 but on average,

00:17:18.220 they've got options.

00:17:19.900 Where's my option?

00:17:20.840 Well,

00:17:23.480 and I would like

00:17:26.740 to protest

00:17:27.180 because I feel

00:17:27.980 that the fashion designers

00:17:29.220 for my segment

00:17:30.560 of the market,

00:17:32.060 I feel that

00:17:33.700 they're just trying

00:17:34.860 to match

00:17:35.600 the boringness

00:17:37.300 of my lifestyle

00:17:39.180 and personality

00:17:40.740 with the clothing.

00:17:43.280 So I feel like

00:17:44.100 the fashion designers

00:17:45.000 look at me

00:17:45.820 and my people

00:17:47.120 and say

00:17:48.540 not too much glitz

00:17:50.920 there.

00:17:51.620 We want to

00:17:53.020 tone it down,

00:17:54.160 give them something

00:17:54.900 modest and unattractive

00:17:57.240 because they think

00:17:59.340 that I'm boring

00:18:00.900 and uninteresting.

00:18:02.780 But let me tell you,

00:18:04.160 if I were boring,

00:18:06.340 could I play

00:18:07.800 air guitar

00:18:08.360 like this?

00:18:09.260 No,

00:18:23.060 no.

00:18:26.400 That is not

00:18:27.360 the look

00:18:27.720 of a boring person.

00:18:30.980 That's the look

00:18:31.840 of somebody

00:18:33.480 who should be

00:18:34.720 well-dressed,

00:18:36.280 stylish,

00:18:36.600 to bring my

00:18:38.720 clothing appearance

00:18:40.760 up to the coolness,

00:18:42.720 which I just

00:18:43.740 demonstrated,

00:18:44.540 and I think

00:18:45.200 that data

00:18:46.700 is incontrovertible.

00:18:49.280 Incontrovertible.

00:18:52.200 All right.

00:18:55.580 According to

00:18:56.300 the Wall Street Journal,

00:18:57.340 in a few years,

00:19:00.420 two women 0.96

00:19:01.160 will earn

00:19:01.660 a college degree

00:19:02.660 for every man.

00:19:03.660 I think

00:19:06.100 it's already

00:19:06.560 50% more

00:19:07.900 women enrolled

00:19:08.780 in college.

00:19:11.260 Did that

00:19:12.040 sneak up on you?

00:19:13.300 I mean,

00:19:13.580 I think

00:19:13.840 we all knew

00:19:14.860 that women 0.97

00:19:15.560 were enrolling

00:19:16.300 in college

00:19:16.880 at a greater

00:19:18.480 percentage.

00:19:20.320 But did you

00:19:21.240 know women

00:19:22.380 are like

00:19:22.860 60%

00:19:24.800 of college

00:19:25.320 now?

00:19:27.300 It's like

00:19:27.720 50% more

00:19:29.620 than men.

00:19:31.540 When did

00:19:32.080 that happen?

00:19:32.540 what the

00:19:34.220 hell is 0.76

00:19:34.400 going on?

00:19:38.060 And in a

00:19:38.920 few years,

00:19:39.640 it'll be

00:19:39.980 two to

00:19:40.400 one.

00:19:43.660 I have

00:19:44.340 a hypothesis,

00:19:45.320 and let's

00:19:45.560 see if you

00:19:45.960 agree with

00:19:46.420 me on

00:19:46.700 this.

00:19:48.620 Whoever

00:19:49.100 society

00:19:50.300 educates

00:19:51.100 the most

00:19:51.840 is who

00:19:53.760 they value

00:19:54.320 the most.

00:19:57.780 Yes or

00:19:58.420 no?

00:19:58.660 whoever

00:19:59.600 society

00:20:00.600 educates

00:20:02.280 the most

00:20:02.880 is who

00:20:04.000 society

00:20:04.620 values

00:20:05.640 the most.

00:20:08.360 Yeah,

00:20:08.940 I'm seeing

00:20:09.300 a lot of

00:20:09.860 people agreeing

00:20:10.400 with me on

00:20:11.020 locals,

00:20:11.960 because it's

00:20:12.260 a little

00:20:12.460 faster than

00:20:13.140 YouTube.

00:20:14.820 I'm seeing

00:20:15.460 a no.

00:20:16.040 Seeing some

00:20:16.520 no's on

00:20:17.120 YouTube,

00:20:17.960 but mostly

00:20:18.520 yes's on

00:20:19.300 locals.

00:20:22.420 Interesting.

00:20:23.440 A few more

00:20:24.260 no's on

00:20:24.780 YouTube.

00:20:25.020 Well,

00:20:27.300 I mean,

00:20:27.560 you could

00:20:27.800 make some

00:20:28.480 exceptions.

00:20:30.340 You could

00:20:30.480 say,

00:20:30.780 oh,

00:20:31.140 you know,

00:20:31.700 you could

00:20:33.860 find some

00:20:34.260 exceptions to

00:20:34.900 that.

00:20:35.300 But I

00:20:35.540 think as

00:20:36.060 a general

00:20:36.600 rule,

00:20:38.320 the people

00:20:38.900 that we

00:20:39.560 allow to

00:20:40.780 be the

00:20:41.160 most educated,

00:20:42.680 and when I

00:20:43.160 say allow,

00:20:43.740 I don't

00:20:43.920 mean it's

00:20:44.240 necessarily

00:20:44.760 intentional.

00:20:46.180 It's just

00:20:46.620 the organization

00:20:48.120 of things

00:20:48.920 causes some

00:20:49.620 people to

00:20:50.020 be more

00:20:50.360 educated than

00:20:51.060 others for

00:20:51.620 a variety

00:20:52.240 of good

00:20:52.620 and bad

00:20:53.040 reasons.

00:20:53.420 But I

00:20:55.000 think the

00:20:55.320 net of

00:20:55.640 that is

00:20:56.020 you find

00:20:56.380 out who

00:20:56.800 is valuable.

00:20:58.780 Right?

00:20:59.620 And I

00:21:00.460 don't mean

00:21:00.700 valuable in

00:21:01.220 my opinion,

00:21:03.040 and I

00:21:03.340 don't mean

00:21:03.660 valuable in

00:21:04.380 some,

00:21:04.660 you know,

00:21:05.200 godlike

00:21:06.060 judgment

00:21:06.880 way.

00:21:07.780 I mean

00:21:08.200 just society

00:21:08.840 itself deciding

00:21:09.840 who is

00:21:10.120 valuable.

00:21:11.160 And I

00:21:11.760 think it

00:21:12.040 accidentally

00:21:12.620 decided that

00:21:13.480 women are 1.00

00:21:13.920 twice as

00:21:14.380 valuable as

00:21:14.900 men,

00:21:16.120 roughly

00:21:16.460 speaking.

00:21:19.060 All right.

00:21:21.140 Apparently

00:21:21.660 the Biden

00:21:22.260 administration

00:21:22.860 is rounding

00:21:24.460 up and

00:21:25.040 sending a

00:21:25.600 bunch of

00:21:25.900 Haitian

00:21:26.460 immigrants

00:21:27.000 home that

00:21:27.600 came across

00:21:28.220 our southern

00:21:28.700 border with

00:21:29.640 the other

00:21:30.880 immigrants from

00:21:32.540 south of the

00:21:33.200 border.

00:21:34.600 And here's

00:21:36.100 my question

00:21:36.660 to you.

00:21:38.960 Why are we

00:21:39.840 sending all of

00:21:40.760 the Haitian

00:21:41.440 immigrants home? 0.66

00:21:42.800 Because I

00:21:43.140 think they're

00:21:43.480 going to send

00:21:43.840 all of them

00:21:44.320 home.

00:21:45.500 But I

00:21:46.780 don't believe

00:21:47.260 we do that

00:21:47.860 with all of

00:21:48.420 the, let's

00:21:49.280 say, Mexican

00:21:49.900 or Central

00:21:50.960 American immigrants

00:21:51.860 coming across

00:21:52.420 the border.

00:21:53.320 Do we?

00:21:55.040 Now, I

00:21:56.140 understand that

00:21:56.700 the law allows

00:21:57.520 us to do

00:21:57.960 this.

00:21:58.880 You know, the

00:21:59.160 Trump

00:21:59.380 administration had

00:22:00.080 a law, the

00:22:00.500 Biden

00:22:00.700 administration is

00:22:01.460 using it to

00:22:02.180 send them

00:22:02.500 back.

00:22:03.660 But are

00:22:06.460 we going to

00:22:07.020 ignore the

00:22:07.520 fact that

00:22:07.960 they're sending 0.98

00:22:08.360 the black 1.00

00:22:08.840 people home 0.98

00:22:09.520 and not

00:22:10.000 the people

00:22:11.200 who are

00:22:11.920 brown?

00:22:13.580 I mean,

00:22:15.880 what's the

00:22:18.220 reason?

00:22:19.420 I don't

00:22:19.760 know.

00:22:19.880 So, it

00:22:22.900 feels to

00:22:23.360 me like

00:22:24.420 there's a

00:22:24.780 little bit

00:22:25.160 of explaining

00:22:26.460 that the

00:22:26.900 Biden

00:22:27.080 administration

00:22:27.540 needs to

00:22:28.060 do, because

00:22:29.000 if this, you

00:22:29.760 know, shoe

00:22:30.100 on the

00:22:30.340 other foot

00:22:30.700 test, you

00:22:31.380 know, the

00:22:31.580 Ellen Dershowitz

00:22:32.120 test, if

00:22:33.160 this had

00:22:33.740 happened under

00:22:34.460 Trump, wouldn't

00:22:36.220 all the

00:22:36.740 conversation be

00:22:37.580 about, well,

00:22:38.140 why are only

00:22:38.920 the black 0.97

00:22:39.320 people being 0.99

00:22:39.860 all sent

00:22:40.380 home?

00:22:42.640 What's up

00:22:43.240 with that?

00:22:44.600 Right?

00:22:45.420 That's a fair

00:22:45.860 question.

00:22:47.700 To me, it

00:22:48.440 looks like

00:22:48.820 unequal

00:22:49.220 treatment, and

00:22:50.880 I haven't

00:22:51.240 heard the

00:22:51.840 explanation.

00:22:53.780 If there is

00:22:54.320 an explanation

00:22:54.900 and it has

00:22:55.400 something to

00:22:55.840 do with, I

00:22:56.440 don't know, the

00:22:56.860 country being

00:22:57.440 different in

00:22:58.020 some way, I'm

00:22:59.380 open to that.

00:23:00.720 But are you

00:23:02.160 okay that

00:23:03.620 your country is

00:23:05.540 treating the 0.97

00:23:06.380 black people 0.98

00:23:07.000 coming in

00:23:07.520 differently than

00:23:08.260 the other

00:23:08.680 people?

00:23:09.540 You shouldn't

00:23:10.040 be.

00:23:10.860 You should at

00:23:11.300 least be asking

00:23:11.840 the question.

00:23:13.620 If they

00:23:14.360 got a reason,

00:23:14.860 they have a

00:23:15.160 reason, but I

00:23:16.200 haven't heard

00:23:16.540 it, so let's

00:23:17.420 hear it.

00:23:19.960 Did you hear

00:23:20.560 about this

00:23:21.040 Clinton lawyer

00:23:22.140 guy who got

00:23:24.260 indicted, I

00:23:24.920 think, for, do

00:23:25.860 a fact check

00:23:26.480 around this.

00:23:26.980 I'm not sure I

00:23:27.440 got all the

00:23:27.800 facts on this

00:23:28.340 right, because

00:23:29.700 all these lawyer

00:23:30.360 stories are a

00:23:31.060 little confusing

00:23:32.260 for us non-lawyers.

00:23:33.900 But I guess we

00:23:35.120 now know, based

00:23:36.840 on an indictment,

00:23:37.700 we can piece it

00:23:38.540 all together, that

00:23:40.040 Hillary Clinton

00:23:40.880 did, in fact,

00:23:41.960 start the Russian

00:23:42.840 collusion,

00:23:43.620 fake news, she 0.98

00:23:46.560 paid a specific

00:23:47.520 lawyer to go

00:23:48.360 start that fake

00:23:49.240 news, and he

00:23:50.480 succeeded.

00:23:52.260 And it could

00:23:53.780 have made a big

00:23:54.260 difference, not

00:23:55.240 only to have

00:23:56.560 Trump not get

00:23:57.360 elected, but to

00:23:58.620 maybe potentially

00:23:59.500 kick him out 0.97

00:24:00.260 after he got in

00:24:00.940 office.

00:24:02.880 And here's my

00:24:04.180 question to you.

00:24:05.240 How is that not

00:24:06.400 a coup?

00:24:08.520 Because what law

00:24:10.280 is it that says

00:24:11.360 you have to be

00:24:12.040 firing bullets for

00:24:13.820 a coup?

00:24:15.860 Have we not

00:24:16.680 agreed that

00:24:17.260 cyber war is

00:24:19.080 war?

00:24:20.280 Everybody, you

00:24:21.000 all agree with

00:24:21.540 that, right?

00:24:22.640 That if you do a

00:24:23.500 cyber attack, and

00:24:25.220 it's a big enough

00:24:26.600 kind of attack, it's

00:24:27.800 war.

00:24:28.980 It doesn't have to

00:24:29.720 be bullets.

00:24:30.300 So if somebody 0.53

00:24:32.680 tried to overthrow

00:24:33.520 a government

00:24:34.480 with a designed

00:24:37.360 lie that's part of

00:24:39.400 an organized plan,

00:24:41.180 and it's

00:24:41.460 organized.

00:24:42.180 We're not

00:24:42.560 talking about a

00:24:43.800 conspiracy theory that

00:24:45.180 grew out of, you 0.94

00:24:46.240 know, organically, and

00:24:47.520 people believed it, and

00:24:48.580 isn't that too bad.

00:24:51.100 We're not talking

00:24:51.960 about, you know,

00:24:53.760 entities reporting

00:24:54.820 things that they

00:24:55.580 thought were true, but

00:24:56.520 they got it wrong.

00:24:57.260 Are we?

00:25:00.340 No, we're talking

00:25:00.980 about an organized

00:25:02.300 attempt to change

00:25:04.320 the government

00:25:04.940 based on a lie,

00:25:08.060 a well-developed

00:25:09.480 choreographed lie.

00:25:12.140 And that's not

00:25:13.280 illegal?

00:25:16.480 How is that not

00:25:17.580 illegal?

00:25:19.440 If it could be

00:25:20.500 demonstrated that

00:25:21.540 this is all true,

00:25:22.740 and that Hillary was 1.00

00:25:23.640 the primary

00:25:24.580 architect of all of

00:25:26.340 it, shouldn't

00:25:27.860 she be in jail?

00:25:29.300 I mean, actually,

00:25:30.040 literally, I'm not

00:25:30.720 even talking

00:25:31.420 politically at this

00:25:32.360 point.

00:25:33.260 How is that not

00:25:34.460 illegal?

00:25:35.740 I don't really

00:25:36.340 understand.

00:25:37.520 I mean, I actually

00:25:38.100 don't understand.

00:25:39.740 Does the law

00:25:41.940 about treason

00:25:42.940 specify bullets?

00:25:45.860 It doesn't, right?

00:25:47.340 Does it even

00:25:48.140 specify violence?

00:25:51.640 Does treason

00:25:52.640 require violence?

00:25:54.460 Or a coup?

00:25:56.920 Does a coup

00:25:57.480 require violence?

00:26:00.060 I don't know.

00:26:01.240 I mean, I think

00:26:01.700 they're good questions.

00:26:02.600 I don't know what

00:26:03.500 the answers are.

00:26:05.680 And here's another

00:26:06.580 coup attempt.

00:26:08.880 Apparently, it's now

00:26:09.900 matter of fact

00:26:10.780 that Pelosi,

00:26:13.080 after the election,

00:26:15.940 where Biden won,

00:26:17.720 Pelosi was so

00:26:18.480 concerned about

00:26:19.360 Trump being,

00:26:21.100 quote, 1.00

00:26:21.200 crazy,

00:26:21.680 that she called

00:26:23.040 General Milley.

00:26:23.880 Now, of course,

00:26:24.580 this is according

00:26:25.200 to Bob Woodward.

00:26:27.120 So, what are the

00:26:27.940 odds that Bob

00:26:28.620 Woodward is

00:26:29.320 reporting this

00:26:30.060 correctly?

00:26:31.840 Who knows?

00:26:33.040 I mean, not

00:26:33.600 high.

00:26:35.320 But,

00:26:35.780 supposedly,

00:26:38.220 Pelosi said

00:26:39.100 that even

00:26:40.540 Milley knows,

00:26:41.480 well, here's the

00:26:41.980 actual alleged

00:26:43.400 quote that I

00:26:44.260 doubt is a

00:26:44.880 quote, but

00:26:45.440 allegedly,

00:26:46.080 said, 0.99

00:26:50.300 he's crazy. 0.99

00:26:54.040 This is 0.99

00:26:54.440 Pelosi to

00:26:55.360 General Milley

00:26:56.020 around after

00:26:57.340 the election. 1.00

00:26:58.260 He's crazy. 1.00

00:26:59.060 You know he's 1.00

00:26:59.600 crazy. 0.98

00:27:00.320 He's been crazy 0.99

00:27:01.040 for a long time.

00:27:02.340 So, don't say

00:27:03.000 you don't know

00:27:03.700 what his state

00:27:04.340 of mind is.

00:27:06.260 Now, given

00:27:07.120 that this is

00:27:07.720 in a transcript

00:27:08.360 of a call

00:27:09.120 between Pelosi

00:27:10.240 and Milley,

00:27:11.620 it suggests

00:27:12.540 that she

00:27:12.900 actually believed

00:27:13.700 this.

00:27:14.060 Right?

00:27:17.000 That she

00:27:17.440 actually believed

00:27:18.200 that Trump

00:27:18.900 is actually 1.00

00:27:20.240 crazy in a

00:27:21.360 literal sense.

00:27:22.320 You know,

00:27:22.520 not just,

00:27:23.040 hey, he's

00:27:23.400 wacky, but 0.99

00:27:24.640 crazy.

00:27:26.500 She actually

00:27:27.260 believed it.

00:27:28.980 Did you

00:27:30.600 think she

00:27:31.080 believed it?

00:27:33.560 I found that

00:27:34.500 a little surprising.

00:27:36.160 You know,

00:27:36.460 it's possible

00:27:36.980 she was lying

00:27:37.700 to Milley,

00:27:38.340 too, I guess.

00:27:39.640 But, it

00:27:40.440 sounds like a

00:27:41.160 call you

00:27:41.540 wouldn't make

00:27:42.360 unless you

00:27:43.420 actually believed

00:27:43.980 it.

00:27:45.600 In fact,

00:27:46.040 check me

00:27:46.520 on this.

00:27:48.140 It's more

00:27:48.560 of an opinion.

00:27:49.800 Would Pelosi

00:27:50.400 have even

00:27:50.860 made this

00:27:51.400 call

00:27:51.800 unless she

00:27:54.080 believed it?

00:27:55.560 Would she?

00:27:56.860 Would you

00:27:57.420 make that

00:27:57.780 call unless

00:27:58.260 you believed

00:27:58.780 it?

00:27:59.660 Because I

00:28:00.300 don't see

00:28:00.680 there was

00:28:01.000 an upside,

00:28:01.580 really.

00:28:02.360 Because Trump

00:28:03.080 had already

00:28:03.600 lost the

00:28:04.060 election.

00:28:05.520 Once he's

00:28:06.180 lost the

00:28:06.580 election,

00:28:08.040 you don't

00:28:08.700 have to worry

00:28:09.120 about the

00:28:09.480 politics of

00:28:10.200 it.

00:28:10.660 I feel

00:28:11.160 like she

00:28:11.500 was worried

00:28:11.920 about the

00:28:12.280 real thing.

00:28:12.880 Right?

00:28:15.460 I mean,

00:28:15.740 she could

00:28:16.060 be lying,

00:28:16.640 but what

00:28:16.880 would be

00:28:17.100 the point

00:28:17.440 of it?

00:28:17.920 What would

00:28:18.260 be the

00:28:18.480 point of

00:28:18.840 lying?

00:28:20.620 So,

00:28:21.120 given that I

00:28:21.580 don't think

00:28:21.840 there was a

00:28:22.160 point to

00:28:22.620 lie,

00:28:22.920 I think she

00:28:23.720 actually believed

00:28:24.500 he was crazy 0.87

00:28:25.160 and a risk 1.00

00:28:25.620 to the

00:28:25.880 country.

00:28:27.160 Now,

00:28:28.420 under that

00:28:30.700 context,

00:28:32.800 once you

00:28:33.640 knew that

00:28:34.000 Milley had

00:28:34.500 talked to

00:28:34.960 the Chinese

00:28:36.440 counterpart

00:28:36.960 general and

00:28:37.820 assured them

00:28:38.400 that there

00:28:39.420 wasn't going

00:28:39.820 to be an

00:28:40.380 attack,

00:28:41.660 it makes

00:28:42.000 more sense

00:28:42.500 now,

00:28:42.780 doesn't it?

00:28:44.560 So,

00:28:45.180 if you

00:28:45.600 know that

00:28:46.260 Milley was

00:28:48.340 aware that

00:28:49.060 Pelosi was

00:28:49.880 talking out

00:28:50.740 loud about

00:28:52.220 Trump maybe

00:28:53.060 having a

00:28:53.660 nuclear attack,

00:28:54.780 and who

00:28:55.160 else are you

00:28:55.520 going to

00:28:55.700 attack,

00:28:56.100 really?

00:28:57.060 I mean,

00:28:57.520 you're going

00:28:58.040 to attack

00:28:58.400 France?

00:28:59.580 Who would

00:29:00.420 you aim

00:29:00.800 your nukes

00:29:01.220 at?

00:29:04.240 Given that

00:29:05.180 China has 0.91

00:29:06.160 many sources,

00:29:06.880 what were

00:29:09.160 the odds

00:29:09.560 that China 0.93

00:29:10.020 would find

00:29:10.500 out through

00:29:10.980 its own

00:29:11.480 sources,

00:29:13.000 either spies

00:29:13.880 or other,

00:29:15.400 that Pelosi

00:29:16.180 literally believed

00:29:18.120 there was a

00:29:18.920 risk of a

00:29:19.440 nuclear attack?

00:29:21.180 Literally.

00:29:22.600 What if

00:29:23.240 China had 0.95

00:29:23.680 found that

00:29:24.160 out on

00:29:25.320 their own?

00:29:27.660 That's a

00:29:28.180 dangerous

00:29:28.540 situation,

00:29:30.280 right?

00:29:30.680 If they'd

00:29:31.260 found out

00:29:31.820 that Pelosi

00:29:32.520 was really

00:29:33.300 talking about

00:29:34.060 a nuclear

00:29:34.560 strike, 0.91

00:29:35.500 risk,

00:29:36.000 what would

00:29:38.180 they do?

00:29:39.360 Well, I

00:29:39.940 think they

00:29:40.280 would have

00:29:40.600 to go on

00:29:41.760 some kind

00:29:42.220 of alert

00:29:42.840 status,

00:29:43.500 wouldn't

00:29:43.680 they?

00:29:45.060 Now, I

00:29:45.580 don't know

00:29:45.860 enough about

00:29:46.300 the military

00:29:46.880 to know

00:29:47.220 if what I

00:29:48.080 say next

00:29:48.540 makes sense,

00:29:49.420 so give

00:29:49.780 me a fact

00:29:50.140 check on

00:29:50.520 this.

00:29:51.500 I think

00:29:52.120 they could

00:29:52.480 have raised

00:29:52.880 their alert.

00:29:54.740 Now, if

00:29:55.360 they had,

00:29:55.820 would we

00:29:56.120 have noticed?

00:29:58.040 Would we

00:29:58.640 notice if

00:29:59.560 China went 0.84

00:30:00.120 on war

00:30:00.840 footing just

00:30:02.040 for defensive

00:30:02.800 reasons?

00:30:03.280 I feel

00:30:04.700 like we

00:30:05.060 would.

00:30:06.320 They'd

00:30:06.580 have to

00:30:06.820 move some

00:30:07.400 stuff around,

00:30:08.220 right?

00:30:08.940 They'd

00:30:09.160 have to

00:30:09.360 do

00:30:09.520 something

00:30:09.820 different

00:30:10.200 that we'd

00:30:11.120 notice.

00:30:12.120 And then

00:30:12.320 what happens

00:30:12.820 if we've

00:30:14.580 got this

00:30:14.960 chaos of

00:30:15.840 the change

00:30:16.880 over in

00:30:17.300 politics and

00:30:18.600 somebody

00:30:19.000 notices that

00:30:19.800 China just 0.96

00:30:20.320 went on

00:30:20.660 war footing?

00:30:22.180 What was

00:30:22.920 it that we

00:30:23.400 were afraid

00:30:23.920 of?

00:30:25.280 Right?

00:30:26.560 We were

00:30:27.260 paranoid that

00:30:29.060 China, or 0.86

00:30:29.740 some adversary,

00:30:30.860 would try to

00:30:31.320 take advantage

00:30:31.900 of us during

00:30:32.740 chaos.

00:30:33.280 Now, I

00:30:35.100 don't think

00:30:35.420 there was

00:30:35.640 much chance

00:30:36.340 that they

00:30:36.600 would do

00:30:36.820 that militarily,

00:30:37.900 but it

00:30:38.100 was on our

00:30:38.480 minds.

00:30:40.720 So you

00:30:41.320 could easily

00:30:42.020 see how

00:30:43.080 misunderstanding

00:30:43.900 would escalate,

00:30:45.120 can't you?

00:30:47.140 Let me ask

00:30:47.820 you if you

00:30:48.080 can.

00:30:48.780 Did I

00:30:49.200 paint a

00:30:49.560 picture in

00:30:50.200 which there

00:30:50.560 was at

00:30:50.860 least a

00:30:51.320 risk that

00:30:53.060 the Pelosi

00:30:53.840 talking about

00:30:54.800 nuclear strike

00:30:56.600 could have

00:30:57.760 caused China

00:30:58.340 to find out

00:30:58.960 about it,

00:30:59.420 could have

00:30:59.680 caused them

00:31:00.060 to respond,

00:31:01.220 could have

00:31:01.640 caused us

00:31:02.060 to respond to

00:31:02.780 the responding

00:31:03.420 and then

00:31:03.780 God knows

00:31:04.180 what happens

00:31:04.640 next?

00:31:05.920 Did I

00:31:06.580 make my

00:31:06.960 case?

00:31:08.840 I'm

00:31:09.160 seeing mostly

00:31:09.680 no's.

00:31:12.680 If I

00:31:14.100 didn't,

00:31:14.520 then what

00:31:15.060 part did I

00:31:16.600 miss?

00:31:19.600 Let's break

00:31:20.580 it down.

00:31:20.920 Do you

00:31:21.980 believe that

00:31:22.620 China could

00:31:23.360 have found

00:31:23.740 out that

00:31:24.960 Pelosi was

00:31:25.800 literally

00:31:26.440 concerned about

00:31:27.740 a nuclear

00:31:28.400 strike?

00:31:29.100 Let's just

00:31:29.700 start with

00:31:30.040 that.

00:31:30.860 Do you

00:31:31.140 believe that

00:31:31.620 China could

00:31:32.180 have found

00:31:32.480 out on

00:31:33.000 their own

00:31:33.500 with their

00:31:33.880 own sources?

00:31:35.480 I'm getting

00:31:36.020 yeses for

00:31:36.620 that.

00:31:36.880 Do you

00:31:38.200 believe that

00:31:38.760 if they

00:31:39.060 heard that

00:31:39.560 they would

00:31:40.040 have responded

00:31:40.880 in a way

00:31:41.480 we could

00:31:41.880 detect?

00:31:43.180 So that's

00:31:43.540 the second

00:31:43.900 question.

00:31:45.040 Would China 0.96

00:31:45.660 have responded

00:31:46.640 militarily,

00:31:48.060 like just

00:31:48.560 preparation,

00:31:49.120 in a way

00:31:50.340 we could

00:31:50.760 detect?

00:31:52.800 So that's

00:31:53.520 where I'm

00:31:54.000 seeing the

00:31:54.380 no's.

00:31:55.620 Oh,

00:31:55.760 really?

00:31:56.700 You think

00:31:57.100 we wouldn't

00:31:57.480 be able to

00:31:57.920 detect a

00:31:58.800 war footing?

00:32:01.520 Well,

00:32:02.020 I think maybe

00:32:02.600 the people

00:32:03.040 have less

00:32:03.600 confidence in

00:32:04.560 our intelligence

00:32:05.900 than I do.

00:32:07.640 I feel like

00:32:08.280 our intelligence

00:32:08.960 would know

00:32:09.500 that right

00:32:10.040 away.

00:32:11.100 I feel like

00:32:11.700 it.

00:32:12.080 Because it

00:32:12.400 would be too

00:32:13.500 big.

00:32:14.660 Too many

00:32:15.240 wheels would

00:32:16.000 be put in

00:32:16.460 motion for

00:32:17.060 us to not

00:32:17.700 catch it

00:32:18.420 with one of

00:32:19.000 our sensors.

00:32:20.500 Meaning human

00:32:21.280 or satellite

00:32:23.200 or something.

00:32:24.860 Okay,

00:32:25.360 well,

00:32:25.560 I'll just

00:32:25.740 put that

00:32:26.080 out there.

00:32:26.500 But if

00:32:26.840 it turns

00:32:27.160 out that

00:32:27.860 Milley knew

00:32:30.140 that that

00:32:30.500 was a

00:32:30.800 risk and

00:32:31.320 he made

00:32:31.640 that call

00:32:32.240 and he

00:32:32.840 cut it

00:32:33.220 off, 0.98

00:32:33.500 I would

00:32:33.700 say that's

00:32:34.040 just doing

00:32:34.380 his job.

00:32:35.560 And doing

00:32:35.960 it well,

00:32:36.500 actually.

00:32:37.460 I'll

00:32:37.860 criticize him

00:32:38.560 on Afghanistan

00:32:39.940 all day long

00:32:40.960 and wokeness,

00:32:41.760 et cetera,

00:32:42.560 but I just

00:32:43.960 don't see

00:32:44.460 what's wrong

00:32:45.040 with that

00:32:45.360 call.

00:32:46.000 I really

00:32:46.360 don't.

00:32:47.680 I mean,

00:32:47.960 I want to

00:32:48.420 because so

00:32:48.820 many of

00:32:49.120 you do

00:32:49.380 see what's

00:32:49.800 wrong with

00:32:50.180 it.

00:32:50.880 I can't

00:32:51.620 see it.

00:32:52.200 It just

00:32:52.520 looked like

00:32:53.020 he was

00:32:53.340 doing exactly

00:32:53.980 the right

00:32:54.320 thing to

00:32:55.260 me.

00:32:56.080 Now,

00:32:56.440 some of

00:32:56.740 you said,

00:32:57.180 but wait,

00:32:57.600 Scott.

00:32:58.340 Wait.

00:32:59.820 What he

00:33:00.480 did was

00:33:01.600 tell an

00:33:02.680 adversary we're

00:33:03.460 not going to

00:33:04.000 attack,

00:33:04.920 which gives

00:33:05.500 that adversary

00:33:06.160 an advantage

00:33:07.020 because now

00:33:07.600 we're not

00:33:08.020 unpredictable

00:33:08.600 anymore.

00:33:10.500 And worse,

00:33:12.520 really worse,

00:33:14.380 Milley said

00:33:15.120 that if we

00:33:15.960 were going

00:33:16.380 to attack,

00:33:17.880 he would

00:33:18.320 have called

00:33:18.980 and warned

00:33:19.600 them.

00:33:21.140 Do you

00:33:21.600 think that

00:33:21.900 really happened?

00:33:23.400 Do you

00:33:23.820 think that

00:33:24.240 Milley actually

00:33:24.980 said that?

00:33:26.420 Remember,

00:33:27.360 quotes in a

00:33:28.860 book almost

00:33:31.020 always are

00:33:31.560 made up.

00:33:32.640 Almost always

00:33:33.380 are made up.

00:33:33.880 So I think

00:33:34.220 the odds of

00:33:34.840 him actually

00:33:35.360 having said

00:33:35.920 that,

00:33:36.640 20%,

00:33:38.180 30% tops.

00:33:40.900 So I,

00:33:41.480 first of all,

00:33:41.880 don't believe

00:33:42.260 he actually said.

00:33:42.860 Secondly,

00:33:44.620 and when I

00:33:45.060 say actually

00:33:45.560 said it,

00:33:46.020 I mean said

00:33:47.300 it in those

00:33:47.740 exact words.

00:33:48.620 It might have

00:33:48.860 been something

00:33:49.320 in that domain.

00:33:52.320 Secondly,

00:33:53.720 if Milley said

00:33:54.620 that if we

00:33:55.360 were going

00:33:55.760 to attack,

00:33:56.540 I would have

00:33:57.080 called you,

00:33:58.160 what did that

00:33:58.760 mean?

00:34:00.180 Did you take

00:34:01.160 that to mean

00:34:01.820 that he would

00:34:02.620 call you right

00:34:03.220 before the attack

00:34:04.120 to get you

00:34:05.620 ready?

00:34:07.860 I don't think

00:34:08.720 so.

00:34:09.680 That doesn't

00:34:10.420 sound like

00:34:10.860 anything he

00:34:11.860 would have

00:34:12.140 said.

00:34:12.860 How about

00:34:13.840 this,

00:34:14.340 for a more

00:34:14.860 reasonable

00:34:15.340 interpretation,

00:34:16.360 right?

00:34:16.680 You've all

00:34:17.040 worked for,

00:34:17.740 well,

00:34:18.060 not all of

00:34:18.540 you,

00:34:18.960 many of

00:34:19.380 you have

00:34:19.760 worked for

00:34:20.140 big organizations.

00:34:21.620 You know

00:34:21.960 how stories

00:34:22.560 get morphed

00:34:23.460 over time?

00:34:29.740 So what

00:34:30.700 if Milley

00:34:33.880 was really

00:34:34.400 trying to

00:34:34.840 say that

00:34:36.240 you would

00:34:36.740 know long

00:34:38.440 before we

00:34:39.120 were actually

00:34:39.660 going to

00:34:40.140 launch an

00:34:40.780 attack,

00:34:41.200 you and

00:34:42.220 I would

00:34:42.580 have had

00:34:42.840 lots of

00:34:43.320 conversations

00:34:43.980 about whatever

00:34:45.280 it was that

00:34:45.860 was the

00:34:46.240 problem to

00:34:47.840 try to

00:34:48.200 avoid an

00:34:48.720 attack.

00:34:49.920 So since

00:34:50.480 you and

00:34:50.780 I have

00:34:51.080 not had

00:34:51.580 lots of

00:34:52.180 conversations

00:34:52.800 personally

00:34:53.480 about how

00:34:54.680 to avoid

00:34:55.400 the escalating

00:34:56.860 risk of an

00:34:57.580 attack,

00:34:58.220 you can be

00:34:59.140 pretty sure

00:34:59.740 that there's

00:35:01.000 no talk

00:35:01.660 about that.

00:35:03.180 Because you'd

00:35:03.560 know it long,

00:35:04.620 there's no

00:35:06.500 scenario in which

00:35:07.240 there would be a

00:35:07.720 sneak attack.

00:35:08.460 attack.

00:35:08.900 Let's put it

00:35:09.600 that way.

00:35:10.680 So if the

00:35:11.580 context was

00:35:12.480 that when

00:35:13.700 Milley said

00:35:14.380 I would

00:35:14.760 call you,

00:35:16.380 it could

00:35:16.860 mean not

00:35:17.720 one phone

00:35:18.400 call,

00:35:19.280 but rather

00:35:19.760 we would

00:35:20.260 have been

00:35:20.480 talking about

00:35:21.100 this for

00:35:21.480 a long

00:35:21.840 time.

00:35:22.560 There's no

00:35:23.200 scenario in

00:35:23.900 which we're

00:35:24.260 going to

00:35:24.520 surprise you

00:35:25.260 with an

00:35:25.580 attack.

00:35:26.560 You would

00:35:27.100 see it

00:35:27.420 coming for

00:35:28.000 a year.

00:35:29.240 Because we

00:35:29.880 would be

00:35:30.180 threatening you

00:35:30.780 for a year

00:35:31.280 to try to

00:35:32.180 get you to

00:35:32.580 back down

00:35:33.080 from whatever

00:35:33.620 it was we

00:35:34.220 thought was

00:35:34.660 war-worthy.

00:35:36.060 It's never

00:35:36.460 going to sneak

00:35:37.100 up on you.

00:35:38.560 Now,

00:35:39.000 suppose he

00:35:39.540 said that.

00:35:41.260 And the

00:35:41.880 way it was

00:35:42.280 reported was

00:35:43.120 I would

00:35:43.980 have called

00:35:44.400 you.

00:35:45.580 Because that's

00:35:46.120 exactly the

00:35:46.780 way things

00:35:47.180 get misquoted.

00:35:48.880 A fairly

00:35:50.080 nuanced thing

00:35:52.720 just gets

00:35:53.300 turned into

00:35:55.120 I would

00:35:55.400 have called

00:35:55.740 you.

00:35:57.320 Right?

00:35:58.240 So we

00:35:58.980 don't know

00:35:59.340 what happened.

00:36:00.500 Here's the

00:36:01.100 second part.

00:36:02.760 Suppose Milley

00:36:03.660 said exactly

00:36:04.540 what was

00:36:05.000 reported and

00:36:06.100 said if we

00:36:07.220 were going

00:36:07.540 to attack

00:36:09.140 I would 0.93

00:36:09.720 call you.

00:36:12.120 Would he

00:36:12.700 mean it?

00:36:14.380 Because you

00:36:15.020 would have

00:36:15.320 to assume

00:36:15.780 that he

00:36:16.120 meant that

00:36:16.640 literally in

00:36:18.220 order to

00:36:18.740 be angered

00:36:19.860 at the way

00:36:20.280 he handled

00:36:20.640 it.

00:36:21.500 When I

00:36:21.940 read that

00:36:22.320 I said

00:36:22.700 to myself

00:36:23.260 no,

00:36:24.780 that means

00:36:25.240 if we're

00:36:25.600 not going

00:36:26.160 to attack

00:36:26.700 he'd

00:36:27.020 probably

00:36:27.240 tell you

00:36:27.600 that to

00:36:28.260 avoid

00:36:28.560 any

00:36:28.880 misunderstanding.

00:36:29.780 But if

00:36:31.020 we were

00:36:31.520 going to

00:36:32.020 attack and

00:36:33.240 it was

00:36:33.920 going to be

00:36:34.540 a sneak

00:36:35.000 attack,

00:36:36.520 I think

00:36:37.560 he just

00:36:37.860 lied.

00:36:38.920 Because he's

00:36:39.520 allowed to

00:36:39.940 do that.

00:36:41.000 He's allowed

00:36:41.480 to lie.

00:36:42.880 In the

00:36:43.420 military you're

00:36:44.020 allowed to

00:36:44.460 fool your

00:36:45.000 adversary.

00:36:46.600 So what

00:36:47.080 if he just

00:36:47.500 said that

00:36:48.040 he would

00:36:48.260 have called

00:36:48.620 them?

00:36:50.180 So that

00:36:50.620 we maintain

00:36:51.500 a little

00:36:53.200 bit more

00:36:53.600 advantage if

00:36:54.240 we surprised

00:36:54.820 them.

00:36:55.660 Which we're

00:36:56.260 not going

00:36:56.580 to do.

00:36:57.220 We're not

00:36:57.620 going to

00:36:57.840 surprise China 0.99

00:36:58.460 with an

00:36:58.820 attack.

00:37:01.740 Anyway,

00:37:02.360 I'll just

00:37:02.680 put that out

00:37:03.200 there because

00:37:03.660 I think we

00:37:05.020 have to

00:37:05.300 give Millie 0.91

00:37:06.020 a whole

00:37:06.640 bunch more

00:37:07.480 benefit of

00:37:08.200 a doubt

00:37:08.540 because I

00:37:09.640 think Woodward

00:37:10.380 is the

00:37:10.940 least credible

00:37:11.860 person in

00:37:12.540 the story.

00:37:14.040 I had my

00:37:14.900 problems with

00:37:15.540 Millie, but 1.00

00:37:17.320 not compared

00:37:17.840 to Woodward.

00:37:19.500 Woodward's a

00:37:20.080 big problem.

00:37:21.040 Millie, I

00:37:21.440 don't know.

00:37:22.680 But one of

00:37:23.400 them I trust a

00:37:24.020 lot more than

00:37:24.500 the other

00:37:24.740 one.

00:37:25.220 It's not

00:37:25.680 Woodward that

00:37:27.240 I trust.

00:37:29.740 So, I

00:37:30.960 mean, Millie 0.99

00:37:31.360 made it that

00:37:31.920 far.

00:37:32.220 I mean, he

00:37:34.120 had to be

00:37:35.000 trusted by

00:37:35.560 somebody to

00:37:36.520 get that

00:37:36.860 far.

00:37:38.520 All right,

00:37:39.080 here's my

00:37:39.440 question.

00:37:39.860 Where are the

00:37:40.180 economists on

00:37:40.960 this whole

00:37:41.320 border immigration

00:37:42.400 problem?

00:37:44.180 Where are the

00:37:44.760 economists telling

00:37:45.740 us that each,

00:37:48.680 let's say,

00:37:49.360 that immigration 1.00

00:37:49.940 cost each of us

00:37:51.100 X dollars?

00:37:52.660 Or benefited

00:37:53.840 each of us X

00:37:55.040 dollars?

00:37:56.040 Wouldn't you

00:37:56.500 like to know

00:37:56.980 your share?

00:37:57.440 What if the

00:37:59.560 economist came out

00:38:00.440 and said, you

00:38:00.860 know, once you

00:38:01.780 look at all

00:38:02.160 the ins and

00:38:02.900 outs of this

00:38:03.680 immigration, we

00:38:05.140 don't have

00:38:05.580 enough birth

00:38:07.660 rate, naturally,

00:38:09.180 in this country

00:38:09.700 to keep things

00:38:10.420 going the way

00:38:11.040 we like.

00:38:11.760 We actually

00:38:12.440 need to bring

00:38:12.980 in people,

00:38:13.760 especially young

00:38:14.520 ones that are

00:38:15.020 willing to work,

00:38:15.820 et cetera, and

00:38:16.940 that we'll

00:38:18.020 actually come out

00:38:18.520 ahead.

00:38:19.360 I don't know

00:38:20.040 that that's the

00:38:20.520 case, by the

00:38:21.000 way.

00:38:21.400 I'm just saying

00:38:21.980 that you don't

00:38:22.460 either.

00:38:23.720 Do you?

00:38:24.640 Do you know if

00:38:25.380 we come out

00:38:25.780 ahead or come

00:38:26.700 out behind?

00:38:27.720 There are some

00:38:28.360 things we can

00:38:28.840 measure, but

00:38:30.980 that doesn't

00:38:31.720 mean we know

00:38:32.240 the net.

00:38:33.380 We can measure,

00:38:34.260 for example, the

00:38:35.140 impact on

00:38:35.820 health care.

00:38:37.920 Right?

00:38:39.220 But we don't

00:38:40.000 know what

00:38:40.340 happens in 20

00:38:41.080 years when these

00:38:41.980 kids grow up and

00:38:42.920 become members of

00:38:44.140 the workforce,

00:38:45.220 they're driving the

00:38:46.140 economy, et cetera.

00:38:47.980 Don't know.

00:38:49.140 I don't know.

00:38:49.720 Is it helping or

00:38:51.020 hurting?

00:38:52.100 So the thing is

00:38:53.420 that if the

00:38:53.980 economists can't

00:38:55.320 help us, we're

00:38:56.160 just guessing.

00:38:56.720 We really

00:38:58.560 are.

00:38:59.260 We can measure

00:39:00.100 the crime, and

00:39:01.580 that alone would

00:39:02.360 be enough reason

00:39:03.140 not to let people

00:39:04.040 in.

00:39:05.040 But here's the

00:39:05.640 system that I

00:39:06.420 think we should

00:39:06.980 have for the

00:39:07.860 border.

00:39:08.600 We should stop

00:39:09.580 treating it like a

00:39:10.460 goal and treat it

00:39:11.520 like a system.

00:39:13.360 Here's the

00:39:13.800 difference.

00:39:14.700 A goal would be

00:39:16.340 to only let in

00:39:17.580 people we want,

00:39:19.540 but also be

00:39:20.680 kind and,

00:39:23.980 yeah, I mean,

00:39:25.020 we would be kind

00:39:26.120 and, let's say,

00:39:28.520 empathetic, and we

00:39:29.620 would try to treat 0.97

00:39:30.220 everybody with

00:39:30.820 dignity and

00:39:32.240 humanity.

00:39:34.000 So that would be

00:39:34.600 a good goal, to

00:39:36.560 let enough people

00:39:37.600 in to keep our

00:39:38.420 country healthy, but

00:39:39.980 also treat the

00:39:40.780 people coming in

00:39:41.500 with the maximum

00:39:42.280 dignity and

00:39:44.080 humanity that we

00:39:45.340 can.

00:39:46.560 Keep everybody

00:39:47.240 safe.

00:39:48.460 Those would be

00:39:48.940 goals.

00:39:50.200 Now, the

00:39:51.400 problem is, some

00:39:52.340 of them are

00:39:52.720 contradictory, and

00:39:54.760 it's not a

00:39:55.500 system.

00:39:56.280 What we need is a

00:39:57.000 system, and I

00:39:57.920 would suggest that

00:39:58.760 the best system

00:39:59.480 would be this.

00:40:01.420 You get a panel

00:40:02.220 of economists,

00:40:03.700 make it

00:40:04.460 bipartisan, get

00:40:05.800 some Dems, get 1.00

00:40:06.640 some GOP, put

00:40:08.380 them on that

00:40:08.840 panel and say,

00:40:09.700 all right, you

00:40:10.120 economists, tell

00:40:11.080 us what is the

00:40:12.000 right amount of

00:40:13.000 immigration that

00:40:14.400 helps the economy,

00:40:16.480 and then we will

00:40:17.680 let that many

00:40:18.320 people in, and

00:40:19.960 then when we

00:40:20.560 reach that limit,

00:40:21.580 we'll say, all

00:40:22.260 right, that's

00:40:22.580 enough for this

00:40:23.040 year, and we'll

00:40:24.080 do our best to

00:40:24.980 secure the

00:40:25.760 border after

00:40:26.280 that.

00:40:26.960 And then next

00:40:27.580 year, we look at

00:40:28.880 the economy again,

00:40:29.760 and we make a

00:40:30.320 separate decision.

00:40:31.740 Okay, this

00:40:32.880 time, well, as

00:40:35.660 bipartisan as you

00:40:36.560 can be.

00:40:37.040 I mean, I would

00:40:37.900 go for something

00:40:38.460 like a Supreme

00:40:39.240 Court model, where

00:40:40.940 they're definitely

00:40:41.520 partisan, even on

00:40:42.580 the Supreme Court,

00:40:43.640 but they're still

00:40:44.300 credible.

00:40:45.840 You know, there's

00:40:46.460 definitely a

00:40:46.920 majority in one

00:40:47.960 party, but still

00:40:48.640 credible, because you

00:40:49.720 do get to read the

00:40:50.420 minority opinion,

00:40:51.380 et cetera.

00:40:51.760 So the process

00:40:52.400 works better

00:40:53.640 than, you

00:40:54.600 know, the

00:40:54.840 alternatives.

00:40:56.160 So, if you

00:40:57.280 had a really

00:40:57.940 secure border with

00:40:59.180 a door that

00:41:00.500 could open and

00:41:01.140 close, you would

00:41:02.360 let people in

00:41:03.040 based on the

00:41:03.580 economists, and

00:41:04.800 you would seal

00:41:06.460 the border based

00:41:07.180 on what the

00:41:07.580 economics look

00:41:08.540 like, and you

00:41:09.780 would depersonalize

00:41:10.560 it.

00:41:11.700 I mean, why

00:41:12.220 we're talking

00:41:12.720 about it's racist

00:41:13.980 or not racist to

00:41:15.240 allow immigration is 0.99

00:41:16.680 ridiculous. 0.98

00:41:18.080 We should take 0.99

00:41:19.080 all of that

00:41:19.640 personal stuff out

00:41:20.540 of it, and just

00:41:21.120 say, it's just

00:41:21.620 money.

00:41:23.400 And we should

00:41:24.320 say that this is

00:41:25.060 not a question of

00:41:25.780 fairness, right?

00:41:29.180 Because if you

00:41:29.880 try to be fair to

00:41:30.720 everybody, you

00:41:32.220 just can't really

00:41:32.880 balance all those

00:41:33.700 interests, because

00:41:34.480 what's fair to the

00:41:35.220 immigrants isn't 1.00

00:41:35.960 what's fair to the

00:41:37.000 citizens of the

00:41:37.840 country, et cetera.

00:41:39.340 So, I don't

00:41:41.680 think you should

00:41:42.260 use fairness as

00:41:43.500 your standard.

00:41:44.100 What would be a

00:41:45.040 better standard than

00:41:45.960 fairness?

00:41:46.540 Well, maybe a

00:41:49.400 glurpin.

00:41:50.180 A glurpin.

00:41:51.700 So, I think it's

00:41:52.720 sort of a glurpin

00:41:53.600 situation, and if

00:41:55.860 you haven't heard

00:41:56.380 that word, it's a

00:41:57.180 new word.

00:41:58.420 And it applies to a 0.97

00:41:59.340 situation that isn't

00:42:01.000 fair, but it's

00:42:03.340 better than it

00:42:03.920 isn't.

00:42:05.120 Capitalism is a

00:42:05.840 good example.

00:42:06.980 Capitalism is not

00:42:07.860 intended to be fair

00:42:09.200 in terms of

00:42:09.900 outcomes, but we're

00:42:11.580 all better off

00:42:12.240 because it's not,

00:42:13.080 because that's

00:42:13.840 what makes people

00:42:14.440 work hard and

00:42:15.240 makes enough money

00:42:16.040 so that everybody

00:42:17.000 can get at least a

00:42:17.840 taste.

00:42:19.240 So, I think the

00:42:20.380 border is another

00:42:22.060 one of those

00:42:22.460 situations where if

00:42:23.300 you tried to make

00:42:23.780 it fair, you

00:42:24.680 really couldn't

00:42:25.300 balance everybody's

00:42:26.220 interests.

00:42:27.400 So, instead, let's

00:42:28.580 just treat it like

00:42:29.300 the glurpin it is, a

00:42:31.080 situation in which

00:42:32.060 fairness isn't really

00:42:33.260 desirable in this

00:42:34.200 case.

00:42:34.960 You just want the

00:42:35.720 most efficient system

00:42:36.820 that keeps the

00:42:37.360 United States healthy

00:42:38.980 because keeping the

00:42:40.140 United States healthy

00:42:40.940 is really good for a

00:42:42.780 lot of people.

00:42:43.080 other things.

00:42:45.060 It's really good for

00:42:46.060 a lot of other

00:42:46.540 things.

00:42:51.840 So, oh, hello.

00:42:55.120 Is that a

00:42:55.640 fellow?

00:42:59.360 Apparently, the

00:43:00.140 COVID hysteria is the

00:43:01.580 highest in blue

00:43:02.380 states.

00:43:03.240 I saw Zuby say

00:43:04.260 something about that

00:43:05.200 on Twitter, and

00:43:06.920 Bill Maher was

00:43:07.800 talking about it.

00:43:08.800 Bill Maher was

00:43:09.360 talking about how

00:43:10.220 Democrats in

00:43:12.220 polls,

00:43:12.660 are completely

00:43:15.120 wrong by orders of

00:43:16.920 magnitude about how

00:43:18.160 dangerous the

00:43:18.840 coronavirus is.

00:43:20.820 Now, given that the

00:43:22.960 Democrats are the 0.84

00:43:23.700 party of data,

00:43:27.400 Ike, that is 1.00

00:43:29.560 entirely too

00:43:30.640 generous, but

00:43:33.640 thank you.

00:43:34.000 Thank you.

00:43:34.020 So, we've got this

00:43:39.300 big difference between

00:43:40.260 the Dems and the

00:43:41.260 Republicans in

00:43:42.360 terms of what they

00:43:43.060 think is the

00:43:44.500 danger of

00:43:44.980 hospitalization.

00:43:46.580 And, I mean,

00:43:48.480 it's really off.

00:43:49.960 Like, the Democrats

00:43:50.700 are way off in

00:43:52.260 understanding it.

00:43:53.760 So, why is there

00:43:55.400 no Republican who

00:43:57.200 is making a big

00:43:58.040 deal about the

00:43:58.860 fact that Democrats

00:44:00.840 don't understand the

00:44:02.060 data?

00:44:02.340 Why are we only

00:44:05.120 talking about

00:44:05.660 Republicans being

00:44:07.360 anti-vax and, you

00:44:08.840 know, why aren't they

00:44:10.060 believing the

00:44:10.720 science?

00:44:11.480 Rah, the

00:44:12.180 science.

00:44:13.400 When, in fact, the

00:44:15.480 biggest reason that the

00:44:16.500 Democrats are getting

00:44:17.740 the vaccinations is

00:44:20.740 that they don't

00:44:21.240 understand the math.

00:44:23.120 That's the reason.

00:44:24.380 They don't understand

00:44:25.420 the math.

00:44:25.960 And so, a lot of

00:44:27.520 the, you know, the

00:44:28.140 mandates, et cetera, are

00:44:29.220 driven by a lack of

00:44:30.760 understanding, or at

00:44:32.360 least the support for

00:44:33.260 it, by a lack of

00:44:34.080 understanding.

00:44:35.520 So, I think some

00:44:36.580 Republican needs to

00:44:37.460 make hay with this

00:44:38.300 about their lack of

00:44:39.700 following the data.

00:44:41.340 Because it's so

00:44:42.160 demonstrably true.

00:44:43.300 I mean, the polls show

00:44:44.180 it overwhelmingly

00:44:44.880 clearly.

00:44:46.520 It's a claim that you

00:44:47.480 can't argue.

00:44:48.920 It would be really

00:44:49.900 hard to argue that

00:44:52.180 Democrats don't have a

00:44:53.600 wildly incorrect idea

00:44:55.080 of the risk, because

00:44:56.160 we know the risk, and

00:44:58.980 we know what the

00:44:59.540 polling says.

00:45:00.880 It's pretty clear.

00:45:04.840 As Naval said

00:45:06.660 yesterday on Twitter,

00:45:09.440 the masks will come

00:45:10.520 off not once everyone

00:45:11.720 has been vaccinated,

00:45:13.300 but once everyone has

00:45:14.760 been infected.

00:45:17.060 Now, I would only add

00:45:18.600 the obvious that, you

00:45:20.060 know, nothing is an

00:45:20.900 absolute, so it's not

00:45:22.800 really everyone.

00:45:23.460 But, let's say, most

00:45:25.160 everyone is going to

00:45:25.880 have to get infected

00:45:26.620 before the masks come

00:45:27.860 off.

00:45:28.120 I think that does make

00:45:28.940 sense.

00:45:30.240 Now, are you ready for

00:45:32.360 my best idea of the day

00:45:33.940 to open up everything?

00:45:36.380 I have an idea that I

00:45:39.000 think could get the

00:45:41.040 country back to normal

00:45:42.040 even with an endemic.

00:45:44.740 It goes like this.

00:45:46.740 Correct me if I'm wrong.

00:45:47.800 I have a lot of

00:45:48.620 engineers on here.

00:45:49.520 Is there a device that

00:45:52.140 can measure air flow in

00:45:54.240 a room fairly quickly,

00:45:56.360 where you can just sort

00:45:57.320 of hold it up, and you

00:45:59.240 could tell if there's

00:46:00.000 sufficient air flow in

00:46:01.060 the room that things are

00:46:03.120 blowing around right?

00:46:06.620 So, I'm saying yes.

00:46:08.800 Yes, that's a device.

00:46:10.800 Now, is it such an

00:46:12.820 expensive device that you

00:46:15.000 couldn't get one that

00:46:16.180 would be available at

00:46:17.360 least to occasionally test

00:46:18.640 as many rooms as

00:46:19.520 possible?

00:46:21.140 I feel like you could.

00:46:23.180 Let me ask you this.

00:46:24.280 If you did a study of

00:46:26.480 rooms that have air flow,

00:46:28.080 now, I'm not talking

00:46:29.040 circulation, right?

00:46:31.580 Because you're all going

00:46:32.240 to jump to circulation.

00:46:34.500 Not talking about it.

00:46:35.700 We all know circulation

00:46:36.580 is good.

00:46:37.540 We all know an open

00:46:38.500 window is good.

00:46:39.600 So, forget those things.

00:46:41.520 This is not what I'm

00:46:42.840 talking about.

00:46:43.920 So, I'm not going to

00:46:44.800 talk about an open

00:46:45.520 window, and I'm not

00:46:47.540 going to talk about how

00:46:48.580 well it circulates from

00:46:49.780 inside to outside.

00:46:51.060 I'm only talking about

00:46:51.940 whether the air is

00:46:53.220 moving.

00:46:54.540 My hypothesis is this,

00:46:57.240 that you don't get

00:46:58.140 COVID when the air is

00:46:59.100 moving.

00:47:01.440 That's my hypothesis.

00:47:03.160 Now, I feel like you'd

00:47:04.120 be able to test that,

00:47:05.300 because you could find

00:47:06.820 out what spaces were

00:47:08.000 getting people infected,

00:47:09.220 and you could find out

00:47:10.040 if they have more

00:47:10.660 air flow.

00:47:12.180 Okay.

00:47:12.860 Oh! 0.60

00:47:13.640 Oh! 0.60

00:47:14.340 Oh! 0.60

00:47:14.780 I'm so mad right now.

00:47:15.820 I was trying everything

00:47:17.560 I could for somebody

00:47:19.300 not to make a comment

00:47:20.460 that says circulation

00:47:21.440 works, and I just saw

00:47:22.820 it go by.

00:47:24.180 Please, dear God,

00:47:26.420 can we all agree that

00:47:27.920 opening a window works?

00:47:30.080 You don't need to tell

00:47:31.360 me that.

00:47:32.560 We all know circulation

00:47:33.760 is good.

00:47:35.100 Stop saying that in the

00:47:36.180 comments.

00:47:37.200 We're not talking about

00:47:38.840 those things.

00:47:39.800 Just air flow.

00:47:40.920 That's it.

00:47:41.340 And so if you have

00:47:43.960 a device where you

00:47:44.620 can test it, and you

00:47:45.540 can find out, in most

00:47:46.900 cases, you have an idea

00:47:47.980 where somebody got

00:47:48.900 infected, could you not

00:47:50.580 find every space that's

00:47:52.720 safe and every space

00:47:55.220 that's not?

00:47:56.520 And as soon as you knew

00:47:57.900 which spaces were safe

00:47:59.880 and which were not,

00:48:04.480 okay, on locals, you're

00:48:05.940 doing the same thing to

00:48:06.760 me.

00:48:07.700 Please, dear God, stop

00:48:10.240 telling me about how you

00:48:11.340 can fix your HVAC system

00:48:13.620 to filter out the

00:48:14.700 coronavirus.

00:48:16.220 Not the topic.

00:48:18.960 That's not the topic.

00:48:20.860 I get it, that it's good

00:48:22.140 stuff, and we should be

00:48:22.920 doing it, but it's

00:48:25.200 completely off-topic.

00:48:29.760 And here's why my

00:48:32.040 hypothesis goes like this.

00:48:33.980 You've seen smokers.

00:48:35.900 You know, they exhale,

00:48:37.180 and the plume of smoke is

00:48:39.240 intense for a while, and

00:48:40.880 then it seems to dissipate.

00:48:43.160 Well, wouldn't you assume

00:48:44.820 that somebody who was

00:48:46.440 standing in the middle of

00:48:47.600 an intense plume is going

00:48:51.300 to get a larger viral load

00:48:53.260 than somebody who happened

00:48:54.840 to be standing in the same

00:48:56.060 room, but away from like a

00:48:59.420 temporary plume that got

00:49:01.320 formed?

00:49:02.000 Or even just by chance,

00:49:03.620 there might be some pockets

00:49:04.780 that are a little denser than

00:49:06.000 others.

00:49:06.280 Maybe the virus tends to

00:49:08.440 float down instead of up,

00:49:10.600 so maybe the top of the

00:49:11.680 room above your head doesn't

00:49:13.540 have much virus.

00:49:15.660 Maybe there's a lot of

00:49:16.740 virus below the waist.

00:49:18.620 I don't know.

00:49:19.260 After a while.

00:49:20.640 So the question is, if you

00:49:22.320 were to take a room that

00:49:23.880 had maybe some plumes or

00:49:26.300 some denser areas, and you

00:49:28.420 were just to distribute it by

00:49:30.140 just airflow, not by opening a

00:49:32.820 window, not by modifying your

00:49:35.300 HVAC, not by turning on the

00:49:37.520 circulation, just a fan.

00:49:40.460 Just a fan.

00:49:42.320 Could you spread it around

00:49:44.700 more efficiently to the point

00:49:47.220 where maybe there's the same

00:49:48.520 amount of COVID in the room or

00:49:50.500 coronavirus in the room, but

00:49:53.060 nobody can get a big enough

00:49:54.780 dose.

00:49:55.840 It just got spread out too

00:49:56.940 much.

00:49:58.160 So that's my hypothesis.

00:49:59.560 Hypothesis is that you could

00:50:02.660 measure the airflow in spaces,

00:50:05.320 because devices exist, and

00:50:07.680 that you would find there would

00:50:09.040 be almost a perfect correlation

00:50:10.900 between how much the wind is

00:50:13.340 moving, the air, and how often

00:50:16.160 people get infected there.

00:50:18.640 Just a hypothesis, but all of it

00:50:21.200 could be easily tested, right?

00:50:23.600 Would you agree that this is all

00:50:25.120 testable and not really hard?

00:50:27.200 I see your pun, and it's pretty

00:50:34.800 good.

00:50:36.560 All right.

00:50:37.940 That concludes the best part of

00:50:41.880 your day.

00:50:42.960 Well, maybe you'll have some other

00:50:44.040 good parts.

00:50:45.300 I feel good about your chances

00:50:46.680 today.

00:50:48.020 But until Trump gets back into the

00:50:53.120 game, we have to dig a little

00:50:54.800 deeper to find some interesting

00:50:56.020 stories.

00:51:01.560 And I hope that you've learned

00:51:04.620 that this presentation is more

00:51:08.000 about keeping you company than it

00:51:10.520 is even about the content.

00:51:11.980 I mean, I try to make the content

00:51:13.040 interesting, but this is more about

00:51:15.360 meeting every day here and having

00:51:17.140 a moment, even if it's recorded.

00:51:20.920 Maybe you consume this while you're

00:51:23.080 exercising, maybe taking a walk,

00:51:24.760 maybe doing some housework or

00:51:26.700 something.

00:51:27.720 But I'm here just to be your

00:51:29.880 virtual friend.

00:51:32.140 How many of you

00:51:33.360 have noticed either in yourself or in

00:51:37.040 others, people close to you, a

00:51:39.560 loneliness crisis?

00:51:42.820 How many of you?

00:51:44.240 How many of you are seeing a

00:51:46.100 loneliness crisis?

00:51:47.360 crisis?

00:51:50.640 Wow, I'm seeing a lot of yeses there.

00:51:53.260 On locals, it's just boom, boom, boom,

00:51:55.300 boom, boom, boom.

00:51:55.680 Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.

00:51:57.940 Mostly yeses.

00:52:00.240 Yeah.

00:52:02.180 Something's happened, hasn't it?

00:52:04.180 I don't know if it's just social

00:52:05.360 media.

00:52:05.820 I suspect it's mostly social media.

00:52:07.400 But I feel as if almost everybody

00:52:10.080 feels lonely now, even if they have

00:52:13.520 social interaction.

00:52:15.000 I don't know how much is the

00:52:15.980 pandemic.

00:52:16.600 I don't know how much is just where we

00:52:18.980 are as a society.

00:52:20.020 I don't know if it's because you don't

00:52:21.640 meet your neighbors.

00:52:23.640 I don't know what it is.

00:52:24.940 It could be all of those things.

00:52:26.580 But the loneliness thing is just

00:52:28.400 through the roof.

00:52:28.940 So, as I evolve whatever this

00:52:33.780 live stream is, I mean, it just

00:52:35.060 started as me turning on my phone

00:52:36.700 and saying something about Trump

00:52:38.700 years ago.

00:52:42.020 Ed, how do I persuade my depressed

00:52:44.520 14-year-old daughter, who left

00:52:46.000 liberal public school for a small

00:52:47.300 Catholic school, that it's good for 1.00

00:52:49.460 her and it'll be okay?

00:52:51.320 Because it might not be.

00:52:53.280 Who left a liberal public school for

00:52:55.040 a small Catholic?

00:52:56.260 How do I convince her that it would

00:52:57.800 be okay?

00:52:58.160 All right, so she's depressed

00:52:59.380 because she left her friends, right?

00:53:02.300 And now she has to go somewhere 0.62

00:53:04.180 where she doesn't have friends.

00:53:05.760 My understanding of kids and

00:53:07.540 school is that all that matters is

00:53:10.020 their friends.

00:53:11.640 Back me up, parents.

00:53:13.460 Nothing else matters, right?

00:53:15.300 For somebody in school, a young girl

00:53:18.960 in school, how many friends they

00:53:21.260 have is all that matters.

00:53:23.420 So there's, the only thing you can

00:53:25.260 do is work on that.

00:53:26.200 And you have to work on the fact

00:53:28.020 that she'll have friends, she'll

00:53:29.320 make friends, she'll make new

00:53:30.400 friends.

00:53:32.240 You know, so basically, help out on

00:53:35.660 the making friends part of the

00:53:37.020 equation.

00:53:37.600 It's all that matters.

00:53:39.320 And unfortunately, she's not going

00:53:42.180 to be convinced right away.

00:53:44.020 Because until she makes the new 0.75

00:53:45.560 friends, it will feel like it's

00:53:46.920 impossible.

00:53:47.440 because it's really hard to break

00:53:49.140 into a new group.

00:53:49.900 Now, I would also take the

00:53:51.800 opportunity to educate her on

00:53:56.300 technique for making friends.

00:53:58.500 The Dale Carnegie stack, how to

00:54:00.900 basically walk up to a stranger and

00:54:02.540 turn them into your friend, mostly by

00:54:04.340 asking questions about them and not

00:54:06.020 talking about yourself too much.

00:54:07.340 That's the short version.

00:54:08.740 So if you were to teach your child how

00:54:13.300 to make friends, the actual, let's

00:54:16.440 say, the components of friendship,

00:54:19.320 reciprocity, sharing a secret, being

00:54:22.960 active, inviting, and, you know, making

00:54:25.480 sure that you're including people, you

00:54:27.940 know, there's a number of things that

00:54:29.140 you could probably throw in there.

00:54:30.360 And kids don't have that skill

00:54:31.680 automatically.

00:54:32.780 If you could teach your daughter that

00:54:36.100 that's a learnable skill, that she

00:54:38.580 can just take into this new school

00:54:40.480 and then acquire a bunch of new

00:54:41.900 friends, because she can.

00:54:44.100 All right.

00:54:44.640 By the way, if you can get your

00:54:46.700 daughter to listen to this part of

00:54:48.240 it, which I know would be a big ask.

00:54:52.780 Parents have no credibility with

00:54:54.580 their kids.

00:54:56.420 Universally true.

00:54:58.140 But I might have credibility because

00:54:59.800 I'm a person appearing on a screen.

00:55:01.640 So just show your daughter this and

00:55:03.680 tell her that making new

00:55:06.080 friends is a learnable, teachable

00:55:08.520 skill.

00:55:09.060 Everybody can do it.

00:55:10.040 Doesn't require any native ability,

00:55:13.320 just some technique.

00:55:15.080 And once you do it, the world is

00:55:17.760 yours.

00:55:18.240 You just go out and make a bunch of

00:55:19.320 friends.

00:55:20.120 Just takes a little work.

00:55:22.340 But once you have that skill, you

00:55:24.660 never have to worry about not having

00:55:26.060 a friend because you'll learn how to

00:55:28.380 make new ones and you'll just get

00:55:30.100 new ones all the time.

00:55:31.660 Old ones will fall off and new ones

00:55:34.180 we'll come back on.

00:55:35.680 Just make it a skill.

00:55:37.400 All right.

00:55:37.700 That's all I got for you today.

00:55:39.880 And I'll talk to you tomorrow.

00:55:44.520 See you, YouTubers.

00:55:46.000 And thanks a lot for the tips and

00:55:49.540 stuff.

00:55:49.820 I do see them all.

00:55:50.740 I can't read them all because of the

00:55:52.440 flow of things.

00:55:53.180 But I do see them all and I

00:55:54.200 appreciate it.

00:55:54.740 All right.

00:56:07.160 All right.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 19, 2021

Episode 1504 Scott Adams： Come For a Provocative Discussion of What's New, and Stay For the Simultaneous Sip

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