Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 19, 2021


Episode 1504 Scott Adams： Come For a Provocative Discussion of What's New, and Stay For the Simultaneous Sip


Episode Stats

Length

56 minutes

Words per Minute

140.73912

Word Count

7,901

Sentence Count

517

Misogynist Sentences

20

Hate Speech Sentences

26


Summary

In the first episode of the Golden Age, we take a look back at the past, present, and future of technology, and look forward to what's to come in the next golden age. Plus, a look into the future of artificial intelligence, and the birth of a new kind of baby.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. Yeah, I'm a minute late. Stop here complaining. The price is right.
00:00:10.920 Sure, I might be coming to you late, but the price? Perfect. Just perfect.
00:00:20.140 Now, with any luck, I've situated my two cameras here, my two platforms,
00:00:25.340 so that my eye contact will be approximately where it needs to be.
00:00:33.760 And we will do something called the simultaneous sip in a moment
00:00:37.280 after YouTube gets through all of its advertisements,
00:00:40.740 but let's talk about some of the things happening today.
00:00:46.540 In the irony alert department, AOC's dress designer,
00:00:50.660 you remember AOC's dress for the Met Gala, said,
00:00:54.300 tax the rich?
00:00:56.180 Well, it turns out that the person who designed that dress
00:00:59.400 has not paid their taxes.
00:01:04.860 That's right.
00:01:05.960 The designer of the dress that says tax the rich
00:01:08.920 is behind under taxes, or his taxes, I don't know who it is.
00:01:14.260 But you know that the simulation had to give us that, right?
00:01:18.400 It just had to give us that.
00:01:21.060 Thank you, simulation.
00:01:22.140 And this is why you should show your gratitude to the simulation.
00:01:26.620 Yeah, it's a recurring theme.
00:01:28.940 Hypocrisy.
00:01:30.800 Well, here's a good sign of things to come in the golden age.
00:01:35.380 I keep telling you that this pandemic looks bad.
00:01:39.440 I know it looks bad.
00:01:41.640 It does.
00:01:42.980 But it was required to kick off the golden age
00:01:46.520 because it reset everything and people rethought everything
00:01:50.480 and suddenly there's a whole bunch of better thinking
00:01:53.720 and new ideas coming.
00:01:54.780 Here's one.
00:01:56.220 California just changed some legislation
00:01:59.700 to make it easier to get approval
00:02:02.300 to put a second home on your lot
00:02:06.520 that's only zoned for one home.
00:02:08.040 That's a really big deal.
00:02:11.480 That's a really big deal.
00:02:13.400 Because if you're trying to get affordable housing,
00:02:18.160 there's nothing more affordable than free land.
00:02:21.900 It's free.
00:02:22.860 It's already there.
00:02:24.300 And if you've got a big backyard
00:02:25.440 or you get a little extra land on the side,
00:02:28.280 you could add one of these little ADUs or small units.
00:02:31.920 So here are the things that you'd save.
00:02:34.660 So land would be free
00:02:36.240 because now you can put a second home
00:02:39.000 where your one home is.
00:02:41.060 You have free land.
00:02:42.320 Wouldn't cost anything...
00:02:44.520 Well, it wouldn't cost much extra
00:02:46.280 to bring in utilities from the street.
00:02:48.840 The property is probably already, you know,
00:02:51.860 graded and everything for a home
00:02:55.260 because there's one on it.
00:02:57.280 You wouldn't need architects or engineers or contractors
00:03:00.540 if you get these prefab homes.
00:03:02.700 You take all of that expense out of it.
00:03:05.700 And because they're prefab
00:03:07.920 and they're built in factories,
00:03:09.600 you just sort of unfold them in some cases
00:03:12.000 once you get to the site.
00:03:13.820 You should be able to drop the cost
00:03:15.480 of a pretty good home
00:03:17.200 by, I don't know, 80% or more.
00:03:23.740 It's a pretty big deal.
00:03:25.460 So keep an eye on that trend.
00:03:27.680 All right.
00:03:28.040 I believe it's time
00:03:31.580 for a little thing called the simultaneous sip.
00:03:34.480 I know you've been waiting for it
00:03:35.700 and I know your life will not be complete without it.
00:03:39.820 And so I would invite you now
00:03:41.760 to grab your cup or mug or glass of tank or chalice,
00:03:44.480 a canteen jug or flask,
00:03:46.420 a vessel of any kind,
00:03:47.360 fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:03:49.020 I like coffee.
00:03:49.960 And join me now
00:03:52.600 for the unparalleled pleasure,
00:03:55.860 the dopamine hit of the day,
00:03:57.620 the thing that makes everything better,
00:04:00.860 everything.
00:04:01.680 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:04:03.500 It's going to happen now.
00:04:04.680 Go.
00:04:04.860 I feel my immunity to COVID increasing every moment
00:04:17.520 because it is.
00:04:20.320 Well, more news from the golden age,
00:04:24.860 or is it?
00:04:26.380 The following news comes in two forms.
00:04:31.020 One, an optimistic look at the future
00:04:33.260 and what technology and the potential of humankind
00:04:36.840 holds for us.
00:04:39.740 Very, very good looking sort of a story.
00:04:43.080 But there's a second part of the story
00:04:45.020 that I will announce in ominous tones
00:04:49.740 every now and then.
00:04:50.760 And the story goes like this.
00:04:53.340 The very first child born
00:04:55.320 from polygenic screening as an embryo
00:04:59.260 has just happened.
00:05:01.040 So a live human has been born
00:05:02.940 who was selected
00:05:05.240 for her good quality embryo,
00:05:09.900 specifically her genetic components.
00:05:13.580 And the idea was
00:05:14.860 that a company named Genomic Prediction
00:05:18.320 did the work in this case.
00:05:20.040 There are some other companies,
00:05:21.100 I guess, that do this.
00:05:22.640 And they will basically make sure
00:05:25.320 your artificially inseminated baby
00:05:29.340 is the best quality baby you can get.
00:05:34.280 Now, that's pretty good, right?
00:05:37.420 Because you get yourself a better baby.
00:05:39.640 Baby's happy.
00:05:40.580 You're happy.
00:05:41.760 Lowers the health care costs.
00:05:43.820 More productive workers.
00:05:46.160 Pretty good.
00:05:47.240 Pretty good, right?
00:05:48.060 Or is it?
00:05:50.040 Or is it one step to eugenics
00:05:57.420 and a Hitler-like future?
00:06:00.920 Or is it a way to get everybody happier
00:06:05.600 and healthier
00:06:06.140 and have a more competitive world
00:06:08.580 in which your national defense
00:06:10.720 is much aided by your many inventions
00:06:13.640 and innovations?
00:06:15.380 That sounds pretty good.
00:06:16.540 Or somebody's going to make a master race
00:06:21.460 and the world will be destroyed
00:06:24.180 in World War III.
00:06:27.560 It's definitely going to be one of those two things.
00:06:30.380 But I'm an optimist.
00:06:32.120 I like to think it's the good one.
00:06:33.440 But let me ask you this question.
00:06:36.880 True or false?
00:06:39.120 All right?
00:06:40.040 Hold your ethical and moral outrage.
00:06:45.260 We will stipulate that you have it.
00:06:48.060 We stipulate that you're morally outraged by the story.
00:06:51.560 But here's the question.
00:06:52.320 Are we going to have to make super babies
00:06:56.080 for national defense?
00:07:01.080 Think about it.
00:07:02.760 Your economy drives your ability to defend yourself.
00:07:05.880 If your economy is good enough,
00:07:07.120 you can buy all kinds of good weapons
00:07:09.020 and you can bribe people
00:07:10.340 and you can do everything that you need to do.
00:07:12.020 So you need a pretty good economy.
00:07:15.660 You need lots of innovation,
00:07:16.900 lots of invention
00:07:17.580 to stay ahead of your adversaries
00:07:20.160 in military development.
00:07:23.740 What if China,
00:07:25.720 let's just pick China as an example,
00:07:27.360 what if they decide
00:07:28.200 to make a bunch of super babies
00:07:30.140 with high IQs
00:07:32.380 and high ability to invent and innovate
00:07:34.620 and suddenly all the inventing
00:07:37.100 and innovating moves over to China
00:07:38.580 and their economy is screaming
00:07:41.420 because they've got the super babies
00:07:42.840 just starting start-ups
00:07:45.140 and unicorns like crazy?
00:07:49.580 Yes or no,
00:07:52.000 it's a homeland defense imperative
00:07:54.920 to make super babies
00:07:56.840 in the long run.
00:07:58.400 Not much difference this year,
00:07:59.980 but in the long run,
00:08:02.840 let's say the 100-year future of the republic,
00:08:06.360 do we have to make super babies to survive,
00:08:09.960 to be competitive?
00:08:11.420 Define super.
00:08:14.300 Super would be,
00:08:16.460 let's say you could crank out an Elon Musk
00:08:19.200 or a Bill Gates at will
00:08:22.600 because you can.
00:08:24.860 Now, not necessarily their personalities,
00:08:30.020 but you could hit their IQ.
00:08:32.140 You could hit their IQ
00:08:33.340 and you could probably know some things about them.
00:08:35.200 Somebody says we already are.
00:08:39.020 Yeah, in a sense,
00:08:39.820 we're already practicing eugenics
00:08:41.860 because we have more mobility.
00:08:44.700 What's the difference
00:08:45.760 between a smart engineer
00:08:48.160 working for Microsoft
00:08:49.220 who searches for a mate
00:08:51.900 and finds another smart engineer
00:08:54.880 working for some other country,
00:08:56.560 or company,
00:08:57.500 could be another country,
00:08:58.360 and then, you know,
00:08:59.920 they get together.
00:09:01.660 Well, it's sort of selective breeding,
00:09:03.500 isn't it?
00:09:04.380 You're going to get a pretty smart kid
00:09:06.280 if the two smart engineers
00:09:08.460 from wherever they were in the world
00:09:10.220 get together to make a baby.
00:09:12.020 Probably that kid's going to have some potential.
00:09:16.220 Right?
00:09:18.040 And so we're already practicing eugenics
00:09:20.520 just because we have mobility
00:09:21.700 and we have the internet.
00:09:23.100 So it's happening on its own.
00:09:24.540 But what happens if we take it to the next level
00:09:26.300 and make super babies?
00:09:28.980 I would say that we have
00:09:30.540 all kinds of moral hazards here,
00:09:34.520 obviously,
00:09:35.520 but might be necessary.
00:09:38.680 Might be necessary.
00:09:39.620 Because without enough super babies,
00:09:43.320 I don't know,
00:09:43.800 can you compete in the future?
00:09:45.760 I wonder.
00:09:48.020 Speaking of the future
00:09:50.040 that's looking good,
00:09:51.120 according to Saul of United,
00:09:53.660 who alerted me to a tweet,
00:09:56.040 or a story,
00:09:57.780 there are two of the four contenders
00:09:59.620 to become Japan's next prime minister
00:10:01.720 are so pro-nuclear
00:10:04.500 that they're pushing for small modular reactors
00:10:08.740 and nuclear fusion reactors.
00:10:11.920 Of course,
00:10:12.660 you'd need to develop that technology.
00:10:14.340 But the small modular reactor idea,
00:10:17.800 two out of four Japanese candidates
00:10:19.840 for prime minister.
00:10:21.760 Now,
00:10:22.600 maybe one of them won't win,
00:10:24.860 but
00:10:25.300 you'd have to think that Japan
00:10:27.540 is pretty
00:10:28.260 nuclear shy,
00:10:30.400 right?
00:10:31.240 If anybody had a right to be
00:10:32.640 between Fukushima
00:10:34.020 and, of course,
00:10:35.620 Hiroshima and Nagasaki,
00:10:36.800 which had nothing to do
00:10:38.700 with nuclear power, per se,
00:10:40.620 but you've got to figure
00:10:41.620 it's all in the psychology somehow.
00:10:44.840 But even Japan
00:10:45.660 can't come up with a reason
00:10:47.900 not to do nuclear.
00:10:49.780 Think about it.
00:10:51.280 Even Japan
00:10:52.180 doesn't really have an argument against it.
00:10:55.300 And I keep telling you
00:10:56.120 that the anti-nuclear people
00:10:58.420 just disappeared.
00:11:00.360 It's one of the biggest stories
00:11:01.740 in the country,
00:11:02.700 but because it's a story
00:11:03.980 by subtraction,
00:11:05.440 you just don't notice it.
00:11:07.320 Most of the stories
00:11:08.200 we notice
00:11:08.820 are something gets added
00:11:10.000 to the atmosphere.
00:11:11.200 Hey,
00:11:11.520 that wasn't there before.
00:11:13.020 But when something
00:11:13.780 just sort of drains
00:11:14.780 out of the atmosphere,
00:11:15.760 you don't notice it
00:11:16.540 because it happens slowly.
00:11:18.340 There are no
00:11:18.840 anti-nuclear energy protests,
00:11:22.880 are there?
00:11:24.380 I don't think
00:11:25.200 they exist anymore.
00:11:26.420 And it's because
00:11:27.000 the technology
00:11:27.960 and the knowledge
00:11:28.880 about the necessity
00:11:30.340 of nuclear power,
00:11:32.460 especially if you're worried
00:11:33.620 about climate change,
00:11:35.380 it's beyond debate now.
00:11:38.540 I feel like
00:11:39.380 it's literally
00:11:39.940 one of the few topics
00:11:41.620 I've ever seen
00:11:42.520 in my life
00:11:43.220 that's now beyond debate.
00:11:46.820 When has that ever happened?
00:11:48.640 Think of one other example.
00:11:50.840 I don't know.
00:11:51.260 Maybe you could come up with one,
00:11:52.620 but I can't.
00:11:54.760 Well,
00:11:55.080 there was some kind
00:11:55.660 of conservative rally.
00:11:57.720 Was it yesterday?
00:11:58.620 And I guess
00:12:01.360 the organizing theme
00:12:02.860 was about
00:12:03.360 the January 6th
00:12:04.880 protesters
00:12:05.360 who were still in jail.
00:12:07.080 And they seemed like
00:12:08.280 political prisoners
00:12:09.200 to many of us.
00:12:11.060 But Insurrection 2
00:12:12.020 was a disappointing sequel.
00:12:15.200 It turns out
00:12:16.020 that without
00:12:16.940 Trump's direct involvement,
00:12:19.920 there was not much energy.
00:12:21.900 There just wasn't
00:12:22.800 enough energy.
00:12:23.940 So it was lightly attended
00:12:25.300 because people were
00:12:26.680 smart enough to know
00:12:27.900 it was probably
00:12:28.600 a setup
00:12:29.060 in some way,
00:12:30.640 or at least dangerous,
00:12:32.220 without enough benefit.
00:12:33.520 And, of course,
00:12:35.020 there were undercover cops
00:12:36.760 and there were photos
00:12:37.520 of them looking
00:12:38.460 obviously like
00:12:39.380 undercover cops,
00:12:40.940 and humorously so.
00:12:43.680 I mean,
00:12:43.960 there...
00:12:45.520 Oh, Trump...
00:12:47.960 Somebody says...
00:12:49.520 I'm seeing on local...
00:12:51.240 Trump said it don't go
00:12:53.020 because it's a setup.
00:12:54.140 Is that true?
00:12:56.380 Did Trump advise people
00:12:57.780 not to go?
00:13:01.020 Oh, I'm seeing...
00:13:02.080 I'm seeing a...
00:13:03.000 Yeah, fact check.
00:13:03.800 True.
00:13:04.260 Well, okay.
00:13:05.220 Well, that would also explain
00:13:06.600 why there's low attendance.
00:13:08.560 And that was smart
00:13:09.520 of Trump, I think.
00:13:12.540 But Trump also knows
00:13:13.780 that energy is what matters.
00:13:16.260 Probably the smartest thing
00:13:18.180 about Trump
00:13:19.040 is his understanding
00:13:21.580 that energy beats facts.
00:13:24.740 And if you can move energy
00:13:26.320 where you want it,
00:13:27.420 getting attention,
00:13:28.600 for example,
00:13:29.960 putting a focus
00:13:31.120 on something,
00:13:31.940 for example,
00:13:33.020 then you win.
00:13:34.180 And Trump is
00:13:36.120 an energy monster.
00:13:37.780 Like, he just eats energy
00:13:39.140 and then he spews it out
00:13:40.720 in a different direction.
00:13:41.760 But this event
00:13:45.440 didn't have any energy.
00:13:48.200 All right.
00:13:51.400 And one of the things
00:13:52.500 that came out of it
00:13:53.240 was a lot of people online
00:13:54.380 were mocking
00:13:55.540 the very white-looking
00:13:58.580 people who were dressed
00:14:02.300 in their supposedly
00:14:03.760 undercover clothing
00:14:05.000 and they looked like
00:14:06.280 every white person
00:14:07.240 in warm weather.
00:14:08.960 You know, the T-shirt,
00:14:09.820 and the khaki-like shorts.
00:14:12.500 And there was one guy
00:14:13.780 wearing dress socks
00:14:14.740 with his sneakers.
00:14:16.280 They looked so, so white.
00:14:21.740 But I, of course,
00:14:24.640 took some of this personally
00:14:25.680 because they were being mocked
00:14:30.280 for dressing exactly
00:14:32.280 the way I dress.
00:14:34.920 Took a little personally.
00:14:36.920 But I would like to defend
00:14:38.600 my people.
00:14:41.400 My people being
00:14:42.580 poorly dressed
00:14:43.940 adult white men.
00:14:45.900 Now, it's not limited
00:14:47.040 to white men,
00:14:47.740 but it's the only category
00:14:49.000 I can speak of
00:14:49.860 with some authority.
00:14:52.120 Do you think,
00:14:53.960 those of you
00:14:54.780 who have noticed
00:14:55.520 that I'm a poorly dressed
00:14:57.280 adult white man,
00:14:59.100 do you think
00:14:59.860 that I do this intentionally?
00:15:02.800 Do you think
00:15:03.520 I wake up in the morning
00:15:04.500 and say,
00:15:05.620 you know,
00:15:06.620 you know what would
00:15:07.260 really work for me?
00:15:08.600 To be poorly dressed.
00:15:11.400 That's what I like.
00:15:12.620 Do you think
00:15:13.380 that when I walk past
00:15:15.300 the clothing store
00:15:17.500 of really sharp
00:15:18.940 and stylish clothing
00:15:20.820 that's made
00:15:21.400 just for adult white men,
00:15:23.740 do you think
00:15:24.380 that when I walk
00:15:25.060 by that store,
00:15:25.860 I say to myself,
00:15:27.580 you know,
00:15:27.980 I could go in that store
00:15:29.640 and I could afford
00:15:30.740 those clothes.
00:15:31.420 and if I bought
00:15:33.020 some of them,
00:15:33.520 I would look stylish
00:15:35.040 and attractive,
00:15:36.340 at least the clothing part.
00:15:39.540 I choose not to.
00:15:41.300 I'm just going to walk
00:15:42.420 on by.
00:15:44.060 No, no,
00:15:45.040 I don't do that.
00:15:46.100 Do you know why?
00:15:47.760 Because that clothing store
00:15:49.100 doesn't fucking exist.
00:15:52.500 Men, men,
00:15:54.100 can you back me?
00:15:55.420 That clothing store
00:15:56.540 I just described,
00:15:57.560 the one with the stylish
00:15:59.060 and really sharp clothing
00:16:01.300 for men like me
00:16:02.820 doesn't fucking exist.
00:16:05.540 If it did,
00:16:07.640 would I look like this?
00:16:10.160 Seriously.
00:16:11.680 Would I dress like this
00:16:13.260 if there were a store
00:16:15.020 that I could go to
00:16:17.240 to buy fucking clothes
00:16:19.260 that don't make me look like
00:16:20.600 a tornado in a thrift shop?
00:16:24.300 Would I?
00:16:25.860 No.
00:16:26.380 No.
00:16:27.240 No.
00:16:28.220 I would not.
00:16:30.060 Give me any option
00:16:31.480 to not look the way I look,
00:16:35.320 I'm going to be taking it.
00:16:37.020 I'm going to be taking it.
00:16:38.320 What's the best advantage
00:16:39.700 of being black
00:16:41.360 in the United States?
00:16:44.120 Come on.
00:16:44.920 What is it?
00:16:45.780 There are disadvantages,
00:16:46.860 obviously.
00:16:47.620 What's the biggest advantage
00:16:48.900 of being a black man
00:16:50.860 in the United States?
00:16:52.240 A black man.
00:16:53.320 What's the biggest advantage?
00:16:54.260 You don't have to look
00:16:56.600 like this.
00:16:58.680 Right?
00:16:59.640 You don't have to look
00:17:00.980 like this.
00:17:02.720 You can actually wear
00:17:04.020 stylish,
00:17:06.140 fashion-forward footwear.
00:17:09.080 You could wear a shirt
00:17:10.500 that I could never put on.
00:17:12.780 You look great.
00:17:14.600 You know,
00:17:14.900 on average,
00:17:15.620 everybody's different,
00:17:16.440 of course,
00:17:16.820 but on average,
00:17:18.220 they've got options.
00:17:19.900 Where's my option?
00:17:20.840 Well,
00:17:23.480 and I would like
00:17:26.740 to protest
00:17:27.180 because I feel
00:17:27.980 that the fashion designers
00:17:29.220 for my segment
00:17:30.560 of the market,
00:17:32.060 I feel that
00:17:33.700 they're just trying
00:17:34.860 to match
00:17:35.600 the boringness
00:17:37.300 of my lifestyle
00:17:39.180 and personality
00:17:40.740 with the clothing.
00:17:43.280 So I feel like
00:17:44.100 the fashion designers
00:17:45.000 look at me
00:17:45.820 and my people
00:17:47.120 and say
00:17:48.540 not too much glitz
00:17:50.920 there.
00:17:51.620 We want to
00:17:53.020 tone it down,
00:17:54.160 give them something
00:17:54.900 modest and unattractive
00:17:57.240 because they think
00:17:59.340 that I'm boring
00:18:00.900 and uninteresting.
00:18:02.780 But let me tell you,
00:18:04.160 if I were boring,
00:18:06.340 could I play
00:18:07.800 air guitar
00:18:08.360 like this?
00:18:09.260 No,
00:18:23.060 no.
00:18:26.400 That is not
00:18:27.360 the look
00:18:27.720 of a boring person.
00:18:30.980 That's the look
00:18:31.840 of somebody
00:18:33.480 who should be
00:18:34.720 well-dressed,
00:18:36.280 stylish,
00:18:36.600 to bring my
00:18:38.720 clothing appearance
00:18:40.760 up to the coolness,
00:18:42.720 which I just
00:18:43.740 demonstrated,
00:18:44.540 and I think
00:18:45.200 that data
00:18:46.700 is incontrovertible.
00:18:49.280 Incontrovertible.
00:18:52.200 All right.
00:18:55.580 According to
00:18:56.300 the Wall Street Journal,
00:18:57.340 in a few years,
00:19:00.420 two women
00:19:01.160 will earn
00:19:01.660 a college degree
00:19:02.660 for every man.
00:19:03.660 I think
00:19:06.100 it's already
00:19:06.560 50% more
00:19:07.900 women enrolled
00:19:08.780 in college.
00:19:11.260 Did that
00:19:12.040 sneak up on you?
00:19:13.300 I mean,
00:19:13.580 I think
00:19:13.840 we all knew
00:19:14.860 that women
00:19:15.560 were enrolling
00:19:16.300 in college
00:19:16.880 at a greater
00:19:18.480 percentage.
00:19:20.320 But did you
00:19:21.240 know women
00:19:22.380 are like
00:19:22.860 60%
00:19:24.800 of college
00:19:25.320 now?
00:19:27.300 It's like
00:19:27.720 50% more
00:19:29.620 than men.
00:19:31.540 When did
00:19:32.080 that happen?
00:19:32.540 what the
00:19:34.220 hell is
00:19:34.400 going on?
00:19:38.060 And in a
00:19:38.920 few years,
00:19:39.640 it'll be
00:19:39.980 two to
00:19:40.400 one.
00:19:43.660 I have
00:19:44.340 a hypothesis,
00:19:45.320 and let's
00:19:45.560 see if you
00:19:45.960 agree with
00:19:46.420 me on
00:19:46.700 this.
00:19:48.620 Whoever
00:19:49.100 society
00:19:50.300 educates
00:19:51.100 the most
00:19:51.840 is who
00:19:53.760 they value
00:19:54.320 the most.
00:19:57.780 Yes or
00:19:58.420 no?
00:19:58.660 whoever
00:19:59.600 society
00:20:00.600 educates
00:20:02.280 the most
00:20:02.880 is who
00:20:04.000 society
00:20:04.620 values
00:20:05.640 the most.
00:20:08.360 Yeah,
00:20:08.940 I'm seeing
00:20:09.300 a lot of
00:20:09.860 people agreeing
00:20:10.400 with me on
00:20:11.020 locals,
00:20:11.960 because it's
00:20:12.260 a little
00:20:12.460 faster than
00:20:13.140 YouTube.
00:20:14.820 I'm seeing
00:20:15.460 a no.
00:20:16.040 Seeing some
00:20:16.520 no's on
00:20:17.120 YouTube,
00:20:17.960 but mostly
00:20:18.520 yes's on
00:20:19.300 locals.
00:20:22.420 Interesting.
00:20:23.440 A few more
00:20:24.260 no's on
00:20:24.780 YouTube.
00:20:25.020 Well,
00:20:27.300 I mean,
00:20:27.560 you could
00:20:27.800 make some
00:20:28.480 exceptions.
00:20:30.340 You could
00:20:30.480 say,
00:20:30.780 oh,
00:20:31.140 you know,
00:20:31.700 you could
00:20:33.860 find some
00:20:34.260 exceptions to
00:20:34.900 that.
00:20:35.300 But I
00:20:35.540 think as
00:20:36.060 a general
00:20:36.600 rule,
00:20:38.320 the people
00:20:38.900 that we
00:20:39.560 allow to
00:20:40.780 be the
00:20:41.160 most educated,
00:20:42.680 and when I
00:20:43.160 say allow,
00:20:43.740 I don't
00:20:43.920 mean it's
00:20:44.240 necessarily
00:20:44.760 intentional.
00:20:46.180 It's just
00:20:46.620 the organization
00:20:48.120 of things
00:20:48.920 causes some
00:20:49.620 people to
00:20:50.020 be more
00:20:50.360 educated than
00:20:51.060 others for
00:20:51.620 a variety
00:20:52.240 of good
00:20:52.620 and bad
00:20:53.040 reasons.
00:20:53.420 But I
00:20:55.000 think the
00:20:55.320 net of
00:20:55.640 that is
00:20:56.020 you find
00:20:56.380 out who
00:20:56.800 is valuable.
00:20:58.780 Right?
00:20:59.620 And I
00:21:00.460 don't mean
00:21:00.700 valuable in
00:21:01.220 my opinion,
00:21:03.040 and I
00:21:03.340 don't mean
00:21:03.660 valuable in
00:21:04.380 some,
00:21:04.660 you know,
00:21:05.200 godlike
00:21:06.060 judgment
00:21:06.880 way.
00:21:07.780 I mean
00:21:08.200 just society
00:21:08.840 itself deciding
00:21:09.840 who is
00:21:10.120 valuable.
00:21:11.160 And I
00:21:11.760 think it
00:21:12.040 accidentally
00:21:12.620 decided that
00:21:13.480 women are
00:21:13.920 twice as
00:21:14.380 valuable as
00:21:14.900 men,
00:21:16.120 roughly
00:21:16.460 speaking.
00:21:19.060 All right.
00:21:21.140 Apparently
00:21:21.660 the Biden
00:21:22.260 administration
00:21:22.860 is rounding
00:21:24.460 up and
00:21:25.040 sending a
00:21:25.600 bunch of
00:21:25.900 Haitian
00:21:26.460 immigrants
00:21:27.000 home that
00:21:27.600 came across
00:21:28.220 our southern
00:21:28.700 border with
00:21:29.640 the other
00:21:30.880 immigrants from
00:21:32.540 south of the
00:21:33.200 border.
00:21:34.600 And here's
00:21:36.100 my question
00:21:36.660 to you.
00:21:38.960 Why are we
00:21:39.840 sending all of
00:21:40.760 the Haitian
00:21:41.440 immigrants home?
00:21:42.800 Because I
00:21:43.140 think they're
00:21:43.480 going to send
00:21:43.840 all of them
00:21:44.320 home.
00:21:45.500 But I
00:21:46.780 don't believe
00:21:47.260 we do that
00:21:47.860 with all of
00:21:48.420 the, let's
00:21:49.280 say, Mexican
00:21:49.900 or Central
00:21:50.960 American immigrants
00:21:51.860 coming across
00:21:52.420 the border.
00:21:53.320 Do we?
00:21:55.040 Now, I
00:21:56.140 understand that
00:21:56.700 the law allows
00:21:57.520 us to do
00:21:57.960 this.
00:21:58.880 You know, the
00:21:59.160 Trump
00:21:59.380 administration had
00:22:00.080 a law, the
00:22:00.500 Biden
00:22:00.700 administration is
00:22:01.460 using it to
00:22:02.180 send them
00:22:02.500 back.
00:22:03.660 But are
00:22:06.460 we going to
00:22:07.020 ignore the
00:22:07.520 fact that
00:22:07.960 they're sending
00:22:08.360 the black
00:22:08.840 people home
00:22:09.520 and not
00:22:10.000 the people
00:22:11.200 who are
00:22:11.920 brown?
00:22:13.580 I mean,
00:22:15.880 what's the
00:22:18.220 reason?
00:22:19.420 I don't
00:22:19.760 know.
00:22:19.880 So, it
00:22:22.900 feels to
00:22:23.360 me like
00:22:24.420 there's a
00:22:24.780 little bit
00:22:25.160 of explaining
00:22:26.460 that the
00:22:26.900 Biden
00:22:27.080 administration
00:22:27.540 needs to
00:22:28.060 do, because
00:22:29.000 if this, you
00:22:29.760 know, shoe
00:22:30.100 on the
00:22:30.340 other foot
00:22:30.700 test, you
00:22:31.380 know, the
00:22:31.580 Ellen Dershowitz
00:22:32.120 test, if
00:22:33.160 this had
00:22:33.740 happened under
00:22:34.460 Trump, wouldn't
00:22:36.220 all the
00:22:36.740 conversation be
00:22:37.580 about, well,
00:22:38.140 why are only
00:22:38.920 the black
00:22:39.320 people being
00:22:39.860 all sent
00:22:40.380 home?
00:22:42.640 What's up
00:22:43.240 with that?
00:22:44.600 Right?
00:22:45.420 That's a fair
00:22:45.860 question.
00:22:47.700 To me, it
00:22:48.440 looks like
00:22:48.820 unequal
00:22:49.220 treatment, and
00:22:50.880 I haven't
00:22:51.240 heard the
00:22:51.840 explanation.
00:22:53.780 If there is
00:22:54.320 an explanation
00:22:54.900 and it has
00:22:55.400 something to
00:22:55.840 do with, I
00:22:56.440 don't know, the
00:22:56.860 country being
00:22:57.440 different in
00:22:58.020 some way, I'm
00:22:59.380 open to that.
00:23:00.720 But are you
00:23:02.160 okay that
00:23:03.620 your country is
00:23:05.540 treating the
00:23:06.380 black people
00:23:07.000 coming in
00:23:07.520 differently than
00:23:08.260 the other
00:23:08.680 people?
00:23:09.540 You shouldn't
00:23:10.040 be.
00:23:10.860 You should at
00:23:11.300 least be asking
00:23:11.840 the question.
00:23:13.620 If they
00:23:14.360 got a reason,
00:23:14.860 they have a
00:23:15.160 reason, but I
00:23:16.200 haven't heard
00:23:16.540 it, so let's
00:23:17.420 hear it.
00:23:19.960 Did you hear
00:23:20.560 about this
00:23:21.040 Clinton lawyer
00:23:22.140 guy who got
00:23:24.260 indicted, I
00:23:24.920 think, for, do
00:23:25.860 a fact check
00:23:26.480 around this.
00:23:26.980 I'm not sure I
00:23:27.440 got all the
00:23:27.800 facts on this
00:23:28.340 right, because
00:23:29.700 all these lawyer
00:23:30.360 stories are a
00:23:31.060 little confusing
00:23:32.260 for us non-lawyers.
00:23:33.900 But I guess we
00:23:35.120 now know, based
00:23:36.840 on an indictment,
00:23:37.700 we can piece it
00:23:38.540 all together, that
00:23:40.040 Hillary Clinton
00:23:40.880 did, in fact,
00:23:41.960 start the Russian
00:23:42.840 collusion,
00:23:43.620 fake news, she
00:23:46.560 paid a specific
00:23:47.520 lawyer to go
00:23:48.360 start that fake
00:23:49.240 news, and he
00:23:50.480 succeeded.
00:23:52.260 And it could
00:23:53.780 have made a big
00:23:54.260 difference, not
00:23:55.240 only to have
00:23:56.560 Trump not get
00:23:57.360 elected, but to
00:23:58.620 maybe potentially
00:23:59.500 kick him out
00:24:00.260 after he got in
00:24:00.940 office.
00:24:02.880 And here's my
00:24:04.180 question to you.
00:24:05.240 How is that not
00:24:06.400 a coup?
00:24:08.520 Because what law
00:24:10.280 is it that says
00:24:11.360 you have to be
00:24:12.040 firing bullets for
00:24:13.820 a coup?
00:24:15.860 Have we not
00:24:16.680 agreed that
00:24:17.260 cyber war is
00:24:19.080 war?
00:24:20.280 Everybody, you
00:24:21.000 all agree with
00:24:21.540 that, right?
00:24:22.640 That if you do a
00:24:23.500 cyber attack, and
00:24:25.220 it's a big enough
00:24:26.600 kind of attack, it's
00:24:27.800 war.
00:24:28.980 It doesn't have to
00:24:29.720 be bullets.
00:24:30.300 So if somebody
00:24:32.680 tried to overthrow
00:24:33.520 a government
00:24:34.480 with a designed
00:24:37.360 lie that's part of
00:24:39.400 an organized plan,
00:24:41.180 and it's
00:24:41.460 organized.
00:24:42.180 We're not
00:24:42.560 talking about a
00:24:43.800 conspiracy theory that
00:24:45.180 grew out of, you
00:24:46.240 know, organically, and
00:24:47.520 people believed it, and
00:24:48.580 isn't that too bad.
00:24:51.100 We're not talking
00:24:51.960 about, you know,
00:24:53.760 entities reporting
00:24:54.820 things that they
00:24:55.580 thought were true, but
00:24:56.520 they got it wrong.
00:24:57.260 Are we?
00:25:00.340 No, we're talking
00:25:00.980 about an organized
00:25:02.300 attempt to change
00:25:04.320 the government
00:25:04.940 based on a lie,
00:25:08.060 a well-developed
00:25:09.480 choreographed lie.
00:25:12.140 And that's not
00:25:13.280 illegal?
00:25:16.480 How is that not
00:25:17.580 illegal?
00:25:19.440 If it could be
00:25:20.500 demonstrated that
00:25:21.540 this is all true,
00:25:22.740 and that Hillary was
00:25:23.640 the primary
00:25:24.580 architect of all of
00:25:26.340 it, shouldn't
00:25:27.860 she be in jail?
00:25:29.300 I mean, actually,
00:25:30.040 literally, I'm not
00:25:30.720 even talking
00:25:31.420 politically at this
00:25:32.360 point.
00:25:33.260 How is that not
00:25:34.460 illegal?
00:25:35.740 I don't really
00:25:36.340 understand.
00:25:37.520 I mean, I actually
00:25:38.100 don't understand.
00:25:39.740 Does the law
00:25:41.940 about treason
00:25:42.940 specify bullets?
00:25:45.860 It doesn't, right?
00:25:47.340 Does it even
00:25:48.140 specify violence?
00:25:51.640 Does treason
00:25:52.640 require violence?
00:25:54.460 Or a coup?
00:25:56.920 Does a coup
00:25:57.480 require violence?
00:26:00.060 I don't know.
00:26:01.240 I mean, I think
00:26:01.700 they're good questions.
00:26:02.600 I don't know what
00:26:03.500 the answers are.
00:26:05.680 And here's another
00:26:06.580 coup attempt.
00:26:08.880 Apparently, it's now
00:26:09.900 matter of fact
00:26:10.780 that Pelosi,
00:26:13.080 after the election,
00:26:15.940 where Biden won,
00:26:17.720 Pelosi was so
00:26:18.480 concerned about
00:26:19.360 Trump being,
00:26:21.100 quote,
00:26:21.200 crazy,
00:26:21.680 that she called
00:26:23.040 General Milley.
00:26:23.880 Now, of course,
00:26:24.580 this is according
00:26:25.200 to Bob Woodward.
00:26:27.120 So, what are the
00:26:27.940 odds that Bob
00:26:28.620 Woodward is
00:26:29.320 reporting this
00:26:30.060 correctly?
00:26:31.840 Who knows?
00:26:33.040 I mean, not
00:26:33.600 high.
00:26:35.320 But,
00:26:35.780 supposedly,
00:26:38.220 Pelosi said
00:26:39.100 that even
00:26:40.540 Milley knows,
00:26:41.480 well, here's the
00:26:41.980 actual alleged
00:26:43.400 quote that I
00:26:44.260 doubt is a
00:26:44.880 quote, but
00:26:45.440 allegedly,
00:26:46.080 said,
00:26:50.300 he's crazy.
00:26:54.040 This is
00:26:54.440 Pelosi to
00:26:55.360 General Milley
00:26:56.020 around after
00:26:57.340 the election.
00:26:58.260 He's crazy.
00:26:59.060 You know he's
00:26:59.600 crazy.
00:27:00.320 He's been crazy
00:27:01.040 for a long time.
00:27:02.340 So, don't say
00:27:03.000 you don't know
00:27:03.700 what his state
00:27:04.340 of mind is.
00:27:06.260 Now, given
00:27:07.120 that this is
00:27:07.720 in a transcript
00:27:08.360 of a call
00:27:09.120 between Pelosi
00:27:10.240 and Milley,
00:27:11.620 it suggests
00:27:12.540 that she
00:27:12.900 actually believed
00:27:13.700 this.
00:27:14.060 Right?
00:27:17.000 That she
00:27:17.440 actually believed
00:27:18.200 that Trump
00:27:18.900 is actually
00:27:20.240 crazy in a
00:27:21.360 literal sense.
00:27:22.320 You know,
00:27:22.520 not just,
00:27:23.040 hey, he's
00:27:23.400 wacky, but
00:27:24.640 crazy.
00:27:26.500 She actually
00:27:27.260 believed it.
00:27:28.980 Did you
00:27:30.600 think she
00:27:31.080 believed it?
00:27:33.560 I found that
00:27:34.500 a little surprising.
00:27:36.160 You know,
00:27:36.460 it's possible
00:27:36.980 she was lying
00:27:37.700 to Milley,
00:27:38.340 too, I guess.
00:27:39.640 But, it
00:27:40.440 sounds like a
00:27:41.160 call you
00:27:41.540 wouldn't make
00:27:42.360 unless you
00:27:43.420 actually believed
00:27:43.980 it.
00:27:45.600 In fact,
00:27:46.040 check me
00:27:46.520 on this.
00:27:48.140 It's more
00:27:48.560 of an opinion.
00:27:49.800 Would Pelosi
00:27:50.400 have even
00:27:50.860 made this
00:27:51.400 call
00:27:51.800 unless she
00:27:54.080 believed it?
00:27:55.560 Would she?
00:27:56.860 Would you
00:27:57.420 make that
00:27:57.780 call unless
00:27:58.260 you believed
00:27:58.780 it?
00:27:59.660 Because I
00:28:00.300 don't see
00:28:00.680 there was
00:28:01.000 an upside,
00:28:01.580 really.
00:28:02.360 Because Trump
00:28:03.080 had already
00:28:03.600 lost the
00:28:04.060 election.
00:28:05.520 Once he's
00:28:06.180 lost the
00:28:06.580 election,
00:28:08.040 you don't
00:28:08.700 have to worry
00:28:09.120 about the
00:28:09.480 politics of
00:28:10.200 it.
00:28:10.660 I feel
00:28:11.160 like she
00:28:11.500 was worried
00:28:11.920 about the
00:28:12.280 real thing.
00:28:12.880 Right?
00:28:15.460 I mean,
00:28:15.740 she could
00:28:16.060 be lying,
00:28:16.640 but what
00:28:16.880 would be
00:28:17.100 the point
00:28:17.440 of it?
00:28:17.920 What would
00:28:18.260 be the
00:28:18.480 point of
00:28:18.840 lying?
00:28:20.620 So,
00:28:21.120 given that I
00:28:21.580 don't think
00:28:21.840 there was a
00:28:22.160 point to
00:28:22.620 lie,
00:28:22.920 I think she
00:28:23.720 actually believed
00:28:24.500 he was crazy
00:28:25.160 and a risk
00:28:25.620 to the
00:28:25.880 country.
00:28:27.160 Now,
00:28:28.420 under that
00:28:30.700 context,
00:28:32.800 once you
00:28:33.640 knew that
00:28:34.000 Milley had
00:28:34.500 talked to
00:28:34.960 the Chinese
00:28:36.440 counterpart
00:28:36.960 general and
00:28:37.820 assured them
00:28:38.400 that there
00:28:39.420 wasn't going
00:28:39.820 to be an
00:28:40.380 attack,
00:28:41.660 it makes
00:28:42.000 more sense
00:28:42.500 now,
00:28:42.780 doesn't it?
00:28:44.560 So,
00:28:45.180 if you
00:28:45.600 know that
00:28:46.260 Milley was
00:28:48.340 aware that
00:28:49.060 Pelosi was
00:28:49.880 talking out
00:28:50.740 loud about
00:28:52.220 Trump maybe
00:28:53.060 having a
00:28:53.660 nuclear attack,
00:28:54.780 and who
00:28:55.160 else are you
00:28:55.520 going to
00:28:55.700 attack,
00:28:56.100 really?
00:28:57.060 I mean,
00:28:57.520 you're going
00:28:58.040 to attack
00:28:58.400 France?
00:28:59.580 Who would
00:29:00.420 you aim
00:29:00.800 your nukes
00:29:01.220 at?
00:29:04.240 Given that
00:29:05.180 China has
00:29:06.160 many sources,
00:29:06.880 what were
00:29:09.160 the odds
00:29:09.560 that China
00:29:10.020 would find
00:29:10.500 out through
00:29:10.980 its own
00:29:11.480 sources,
00:29:13.000 either spies
00:29:13.880 or other,
00:29:15.400 that Pelosi
00:29:16.180 literally believed
00:29:18.120 there was a
00:29:18.920 risk of a
00:29:19.440 nuclear attack?
00:29:21.180 Literally.
00:29:22.600 What if
00:29:23.240 China had
00:29:23.680 found that
00:29:24.160 out on
00:29:25.320 their own?
00:29:27.660 That's a
00:29:28.180 dangerous
00:29:28.540 situation,
00:29:30.280 right?
00:29:30.680 If they'd
00:29:31.260 found out
00:29:31.820 that Pelosi
00:29:32.520 was really
00:29:33.300 talking about
00:29:34.060 a nuclear
00:29:34.560 strike,
00:29:35.500 risk,
00:29:36.000 what would
00:29:38.180 they do?
00:29:39.360 Well, I
00:29:39.940 think they
00:29:40.280 would have
00:29:40.600 to go on
00:29:41.760 some kind
00:29:42.220 of alert
00:29:42.840 status,
00:29:43.500 wouldn't
00:29:43.680 they?
00:29:45.060 Now, I
00:29:45.580 don't know
00:29:45.860 enough about
00:29:46.300 the military
00:29:46.880 to know
00:29:47.220 if what I
00:29:48.080 say next
00:29:48.540 makes sense,
00:29:49.420 so give
00:29:49.780 me a fact
00:29:50.140 check on
00:29:50.520 this.
00:29:51.500 I think
00:29:52.120 they could
00:29:52.480 have raised
00:29:52.880 their alert.
00:29:54.740 Now, if
00:29:55.360 they had,
00:29:55.820 would we
00:29:56.120 have noticed?
00:29:58.040 Would we
00:29:58.640 notice if
00:29:59.560 China went
00:30:00.120 on war
00:30:00.840 footing just
00:30:02.040 for defensive
00:30:02.800 reasons?
00:30:03.280 I feel
00:30:04.700 like we
00:30:05.060 would.
00:30:06.320 They'd
00:30:06.580 have to
00:30:06.820 move some
00:30:07.400 stuff around,
00:30:08.220 right?
00:30:08.940 They'd
00:30:09.160 have to
00:30:09.360 do
00:30:09.520 something
00:30:09.820 different
00:30:10.200 that we'd
00:30:11.120 notice.
00:30:12.120 And then
00:30:12.320 what happens
00:30:12.820 if we've
00:30:14.580 got this
00:30:14.960 chaos of
00:30:15.840 the change
00:30:16.880 over in
00:30:17.300 politics and
00:30:18.600 somebody
00:30:19.000 notices that
00:30:19.800 China just
00:30:20.320 went on
00:30:20.660 war footing?
00:30:22.180 What was
00:30:22.920 it that we
00:30:23.400 were afraid
00:30:23.920 of?
00:30:25.280 Right?
00:30:26.560 We were
00:30:27.260 paranoid that
00:30:29.060 China, or
00:30:29.740 some adversary,
00:30:30.860 would try to
00:30:31.320 take advantage
00:30:31.900 of us during
00:30:32.740 chaos.
00:30:33.280 Now, I
00:30:35.100 don't think
00:30:35.420 there was
00:30:35.640 much chance
00:30:36.340 that they
00:30:36.600 would do
00:30:36.820 that militarily,
00:30:37.900 but it
00:30:38.100 was on our
00:30:38.480 minds.
00:30:40.720 So you
00:30:41.320 could easily
00:30:42.020 see how
00:30:43.080 misunderstanding
00:30:43.900 would escalate,
00:30:45.120 can't you?
00:30:47.140 Let me ask
00:30:47.820 you if you
00:30:48.080 can.
00:30:48.780 Did I
00:30:49.200 paint a
00:30:49.560 picture in
00:30:50.200 which there
00:30:50.560 was at
00:30:50.860 least a
00:30:51.320 risk that
00:30:53.060 the Pelosi
00:30:53.840 talking about
00:30:54.800 nuclear strike
00:30:56.600 could have
00:30:57.760 caused China
00:30:58.340 to find out
00:30:58.960 about it,
00:30:59.420 could have
00:30:59.680 caused them
00:31:00.060 to respond,
00:31:01.220 could have
00:31:01.640 caused us
00:31:02.060 to respond to
00:31:02.780 the responding
00:31:03.420 and then
00:31:03.780 God knows
00:31:04.180 what happens
00:31:04.640 next?
00:31:05.920 Did I
00:31:06.580 make my
00:31:06.960 case?
00:31:08.840 I'm
00:31:09.160 seeing mostly
00:31:09.680 no's.
00:31:12.680 If I
00:31:14.100 didn't,
00:31:14.520 then what
00:31:15.060 part did I
00:31:16.600 miss?
00:31:19.600 Let's break
00:31:20.580 it down.
00:31:20.920 Do you
00:31:21.980 believe that
00:31:22.620 China could
00:31:23.360 have found
00:31:23.740 out that
00:31:24.960 Pelosi was
00:31:25.800 literally
00:31:26.440 concerned about
00:31:27.740 a nuclear
00:31:28.400 strike?
00:31:29.100 Let's just
00:31:29.700 start with
00:31:30.040 that.
00:31:30.860 Do you
00:31:31.140 believe that
00:31:31.620 China could
00:31:32.180 have found
00:31:32.480 out on
00:31:33.000 their own
00:31:33.500 with their
00:31:33.880 own sources?
00:31:35.480 I'm getting
00:31:36.020 yeses for
00:31:36.620 that.
00:31:36.880 Do you
00:31:38.200 believe that
00:31:38.760 if they
00:31:39.060 heard that
00:31:39.560 they would
00:31:40.040 have responded
00:31:40.880 in a way
00:31:41.480 we could
00:31:41.880 detect?
00:31:43.180 So that's
00:31:43.540 the second
00:31:43.900 question.
00:31:45.040 Would China
00:31:45.660 have responded
00:31:46.640 militarily,
00:31:48.060 like just
00:31:48.560 preparation,
00:31:49.120 in a way
00:31:50.340 we could
00:31:50.760 detect?
00:31:52.800 So that's
00:31:53.520 where I'm
00:31:54.000 seeing the
00:31:54.380 no's.
00:31:55.620 Oh,
00:31:55.760 really?
00:31:56.700 You think
00:31:57.100 we wouldn't
00:31:57.480 be able to
00:31:57.920 detect a
00:31:58.800 war footing?
00:32:01.520 Well,
00:32:02.020 I think maybe
00:32:02.600 the people
00:32:03.040 have less
00:32:03.600 confidence in
00:32:04.560 our intelligence
00:32:05.900 than I do.
00:32:07.640 I feel like
00:32:08.280 our intelligence
00:32:08.960 would know
00:32:09.500 that right
00:32:10.040 away.
00:32:11.100 I feel like
00:32:11.700 it.
00:32:12.080 Because it
00:32:12.400 would be too
00:32:13.500 big.
00:32:14.660 Too many
00:32:15.240 wheels would
00:32:16.000 be put in
00:32:16.460 motion for
00:32:17.060 us to not
00:32:17.700 catch it
00:32:18.420 with one of
00:32:19.000 our sensors.
00:32:20.500 Meaning human
00:32:21.280 or satellite
00:32:23.200 or something.
00:32:24.860 Okay,
00:32:25.360 well,
00:32:25.560 I'll just
00:32:25.740 put that
00:32:26.080 out there.
00:32:26.500 But if
00:32:26.840 it turns
00:32:27.160 out that
00:32:27.860 Milley knew
00:32:30.140 that that
00:32:30.500 was a
00:32:30.800 risk and
00:32:31.320 he made
00:32:31.640 that call
00:32:32.240 and he
00:32:32.840 cut it
00:32:33.220 off,
00:32:33.500 I would
00:32:33.700 say that's
00:32:34.040 just doing
00:32:34.380 his job.
00:32:35.560 And doing
00:32:35.960 it well,
00:32:36.500 actually.
00:32:37.460 I'll
00:32:37.860 criticize him
00:32:38.560 on Afghanistan
00:32:39.940 all day long
00:32:40.960 and wokeness,
00:32:41.760 et cetera,
00:32:42.560 but I just
00:32:43.960 don't see
00:32:44.460 what's wrong
00:32:45.040 with that
00:32:45.360 call.
00:32:46.000 I really
00:32:46.360 don't.
00:32:47.680 I mean,
00:32:47.960 I want to
00:32:48.420 because so
00:32:48.820 many of
00:32:49.120 you do
00:32:49.380 see what's
00:32:49.800 wrong with
00:32:50.180 it.
00:32:50.880 I can't
00:32:51.620 see it.
00:32:52.200 It just
00:32:52.520 looked like
00:32:53.020 he was
00:32:53.340 doing exactly
00:32:53.980 the right
00:32:54.320 thing to
00:32:55.260 me.
00:32:56.080 Now,
00:32:56.440 some of
00:32:56.740 you said,
00:32:57.180 but wait,
00:32:57.600 Scott.
00:32:58.340 Wait.
00:32:59.820 What he
00:33:00.480 did was
00:33:01.600 tell an
00:33:02.680 adversary we're
00:33:03.460 not going to
00:33:04.000 attack,
00:33:04.920 which gives
00:33:05.500 that adversary
00:33:06.160 an advantage
00:33:07.020 because now
00:33:07.600 we're not
00:33:08.020 unpredictable
00:33:08.600 anymore.
00:33:10.500 And worse,
00:33:12.520 really worse,
00:33:14.380 Milley said
00:33:15.120 that if we
00:33:15.960 were going
00:33:16.380 to attack,
00:33:17.880 he would
00:33:18.320 have called
00:33:18.980 and warned
00:33:19.600 them.
00:33:21.140 Do you
00:33:21.600 think that
00:33:21.900 really happened?
00:33:23.400 Do you
00:33:23.820 think that
00:33:24.240 Milley actually
00:33:24.980 said that?
00:33:26.420 Remember,
00:33:27.360 quotes in a
00:33:28.860 book almost
00:33:31.020 always are
00:33:31.560 made up.
00:33:32.640 Almost always
00:33:33.380 are made up.
00:33:33.880 So I think
00:33:34.220 the odds of
00:33:34.840 him actually
00:33:35.360 having said
00:33:35.920 that,
00:33:36.640 20%,
00:33:38.180 30% tops.
00:33:40.900 So I,
00:33:41.480 first of all,
00:33:41.880 don't believe
00:33:42.260 he actually said.
00:33:42.860 Secondly,
00:33:44.620 and when I
00:33:45.060 say actually
00:33:45.560 said it,
00:33:46.020 I mean said
00:33:47.300 it in those
00:33:47.740 exact words.
00:33:48.620 It might have
00:33:48.860 been something
00:33:49.320 in that domain.
00:33:52.320 Secondly,
00:33:53.720 if Milley said
00:33:54.620 that if we
00:33:55.360 were going
00:33:55.760 to attack,
00:33:56.540 I would have
00:33:57.080 called you,
00:33:58.160 what did that
00:33:58.760 mean?
00:34:00.180 Did you take
00:34:01.160 that to mean
00:34:01.820 that he would
00:34:02.620 call you right
00:34:03.220 before the attack
00:34:04.120 to get you
00:34:05.620 ready?
00:34:07.860 I don't think
00:34:08.720 so.
00:34:09.680 That doesn't
00:34:10.420 sound like
00:34:10.860 anything he
00:34:11.860 would have
00:34:12.140 said.
00:34:12.860 How about
00:34:13.840 this,
00:34:14.340 for a more
00:34:14.860 reasonable
00:34:15.340 interpretation,
00:34:16.360 right?
00:34:16.680 You've all
00:34:17.040 worked for,
00:34:17.740 well,
00:34:18.060 not all of
00:34:18.540 you,
00:34:18.960 many of
00:34:19.380 you have
00:34:19.760 worked for
00:34:20.140 big organizations.
00:34:21.620 You know
00:34:21.960 how stories
00:34:22.560 get morphed
00:34:23.460 over time?
00:34:29.740 So what
00:34:30.700 if Milley
00:34:33.880 was really
00:34:34.400 trying to
00:34:34.840 say that
00:34:36.240 you would
00:34:36.740 know long
00:34:38.440 before we
00:34:39.120 were actually
00:34:39.660 going to
00:34:40.140 launch an
00:34:40.780 attack,
00:34:41.200 you and
00:34:42.220 I would
00:34:42.580 have had
00:34:42.840 lots of
00:34:43.320 conversations
00:34:43.980 about whatever
00:34:45.280 it was that
00:34:45.860 was the
00:34:46.240 problem to
00:34:47.840 try to
00:34:48.200 avoid an
00:34:48.720 attack.
00:34:49.920 So since
00:34:50.480 you and
00:34:50.780 I have
00:34:51.080 not had
00:34:51.580 lots of
00:34:52.180 conversations
00:34:52.800 personally
00:34:53.480 about how
00:34:54.680 to avoid
00:34:55.400 the escalating
00:34:56.860 risk of an
00:34:57.580 attack,
00:34:58.220 you can be
00:34:59.140 pretty sure
00:34:59.740 that there's
00:35:01.000 no talk
00:35:01.660 about that.
00:35:03.180 Because you'd
00:35:03.560 know it long,
00:35:04.620 there's no
00:35:06.500 scenario in which
00:35:07.240 there would be a
00:35:07.720 sneak attack.
00:35:08.460 attack.
00:35:08.900 Let's put it
00:35:09.600 that way.
00:35:10.680 So if the
00:35:11.580 context was
00:35:12.480 that when
00:35:13.700 Milley said
00:35:14.380 I would
00:35:14.760 call you,
00:35:16.380 it could
00:35:16.860 mean not
00:35:17.720 one phone
00:35:18.400 call,
00:35:19.280 but rather
00:35:19.760 we would
00:35:20.260 have been
00:35:20.480 talking about
00:35:21.100 this for
00:35:21.480 a long
00:35:21.840 time.
00:35:22.560 There's no
00:35:23.200 scenario in
00:35:23.900 which we're
00:35:24.260 going to
00:35:24.520 surprise you
00:35:25.260 with an
00:35:25.580 attack.
00:35:26.560 You would
00:35:27.100 see it
00:35:27.420 coming for
00:35:28.000 a year.
00:35:29.240 Because we
00:35:29.880 would be
00:35:30.180 threatening you
00:35:30.780 for a year
00:35:31.280 to try to
00:35:32.180 get you to
00:35:32.580 back down
00:35:33.080 from whatever
00:35:33.620 it was we
00:35:34.220 thought was
00:35:34.660 war-worthy.
00:35:36.060 It's never
00:35:36.460 going to sneak
00:35:37.100 up on you.
00:35:38.560 Now,
00:35:39.000 suppose he
00:35:39.540 said that.
00:35:41.260 And the
00:35:41.880 way it was
00:35:42.280 reported was
00:35:43.120 I would
00:35:43.980 have called
00:35:44.400 you.
00:35:45.580 Because that's
00:35:46.120 exactly the
00:35:46.780 way things
00:35:47.180 get misquoted.
00:35:48.880 A fairly
00:35:50.080 nuanced thing
00:35:52.720 just gets
00:35:53.300 turned into
00:35:55.120 I would
00:35:55.400 have called
00:35:55.740 you.
00:35:57.320 Right?
00:35:58.240 So we
00:35:58.980 don't know
00:35:59.340 what happened.
00:36:00.500 Here's the
00:36:01.100 second part.
00:36:02.760 Suppose Milley
00:36:03.660 said exactly
00:36:04.540 what was
00:36:05.000 reported and
00:36:06.100 said if we
00:36:07.220 were going
00:36:07.540 to attack
00:36:09.140 I would
00:36:09.720 call you.
00:36:12.120 Would he
00:36:12.700 mean it?
00:36:14.380 Because you
00:36:15.020 would have
00:36:15.320 to assume
00:36:15.780 that he
00:36:16.120 meant that
00:36:16.640 literally in
00:36:18.220 order to
00:36:18.740 be angered
00:36:19.860 at the way
00:36:20.280 he handled
00:36:20.640 it.
00:36:21.500 When I
00:36:21.940 read that
00:36:22.320 I said
00:36:22.700 to myself
00:36:23.260 no,
00:36:24.780 that means
00:36:25.240 if we're
00:36:25.600 not going
00:36:26.160 to attack
00:36:26.700 he'd
00:36:27.020 probably
00:36:27.240 tell you
00:36:27.600 that to
00:36:28.260 avoid
00:36:28.560 any
00:36:28.880 misunderstanding.
00:36:29.780 But if
00:36:31.020 we were
00:36:31.520 going to
00:36:32.020 attack and
00:36:33.240 it was
00:36:33.920 going to be
00:36:34.540 a sneak
00:36:35.000 attack,
00:36:36.520 I think
00:36:37.560 he just
00:36:37.860 lied.
00:36:38.920 Because he's
00:36:39.520 allowed to
00:36:39.940 do that.
00:36:41.000 He's allowed
00:36:41.480 to lie.
00:36:42.880 In the
00:36:43.420 military you're
00:36:44.020 allowed to
00:36:44.460 fool your
00:36:45.000 adversary.
00:36:46.600 So what
00:36:47.080 if he just
00:36:47.500 said that
00:36:48.040 he would
00:36:48.260 have called
00:36:48.620 them?
00:36:50.180 So that
00:36:50.620 we maintain
00:36:51.500 a little
00:36:53.200 bit more
00:36:53.600 advantage if
00:36:54.240 we surprised
00:36:54.820 them.
00:36:55.660 Which we're
00:36:56.260 not going
00:36:56.580 to do.
00:36:57.220 We're not
00:36:57.620 going to
00:36:57.840 surprise China
00:36:58.460 with an
00:36:58.820 attack.
00:37:01.740 Anyway,
00:37:02.360 I'll just
00:37:02.680 put that out
00:37:03.200 there because
00:37:03.660 I think we
00:37:05.020 have to
00:37:05.300 give Millie
00:37:06.020 a whole
00:37:06.640 bunch more
00:37:07.480 benefit of
00:37:08.200 a doubt
00:37:08.540 because I
00:37:09.640 think Woodward
00:37:10.380 is the
00:37:10.940 least credible
00:37:11.860 person in
00:37:12.540 the story.
00:37:14.040 I had my
00:37:14.900 problems with
00:37:15.540 Millie, but
00:37:17.320 not compared
00:37:17.840 to Woodward.
00:37:19.500 Woodward's a
00:37:20.080 big problem.
00:37:21.040 Millie, I
00:37:21.440 don't know.
00:37:22.680 But one of
00:37:23.400 them I trust a
00:37:24.020 lot more than
00:37:24.500 the other
00:37:24.740 one.
00:37:25.220 It's not
00:37:25.680 Woodward that
00:37:27.240 I trust.
00:37:29.740 So, I
00:37:30.960 mean, Millie
00:37:31.360 made it that
00:37:31.920 far.
00:37:32.220 I mean, he
00:37:34.120 had to be
00:37:35.000 trusted by
00:37:35.560 somebody to
00:37:36.520 get that
00:37:36.860 far.
00:37:38.520 All right,
00:37:39.080 here's my
00:37:39.440 question.
00:37:39.860 Where are the
00:37:40.180 economists on
00:37:40.960 this whole
00:37:41.320 border immigration
00:37:42.400 problem?
00:37:44.180 Where are the
00:37:44.760 economists telling
00:37:45.740 us that each,
00:37:48.680 let's say,
00:37:49.360 that immigration
00:37:49.940 cost each of us
00:37:51.100 X dollars?
00:37:52.660 Or benefited
00:37:53.840 each of us X
00:37:55.040 dollars?
00:37:56.040 Wouldn't you
00:37:56.500 like to know
00:37:56.980 your share?
00:37:57.440 What if the
00:37:59.560 economist came out
00:38:00.440 and said, you
00:38:00.860 know, once you
00:38:01.780 look at all
00:38:02.160 the ins and
00:38:02.900 outs of this
00:38:03.680 immigration, we
00:38:05.140 don't have
00:38:05.580 enough birth
00:38:07.660 rate, naturally,
00:38:09.180 in this country
00:38:09.700 to keep things
00:38:10.420 going the way
00:38:11.040 we like.
00:38:11.760 We actually
00:38:12.440 need to bring
00:38:12.980 in people,
00:38:13.760 especially young
00:38:14.520 ones that are
00:38:15.020 willing to work,
00:38:15.820 et cetera, and
00:38:16.940 that we'll
00:38:18.020 actually come out
00:38:18.520 ahead.
00:38:19.360 I don't know
00:38:20.040 that that's the
00:38:20.520 case, by the
00:38:21.000 way.
00:38:21.400 I'm just saying
00:38:21.980 that you don't
00:38:22.460 either.
00:38:23.720 Do you?
00:38:24.640 Do you know if
00:38:25.380 we come out
00:38:25.780 ahead or come
00:38:26.700 out behind?
00:38:27.720 There are some
00:38:28.360 things we can
00:38:28.840 measure, but
00:38:30.980 that doesn't
00:38:31.720 mean we know
00:38:32.240 the net.
00:38:33.380 We can measure,
00:38:34.260 for example, the
00:38:35.140 impact on
00:38:35.820 health care.
00:38:37.920 Right?
00:38:39.220 But we don't
00:38:40.000 know what
00:38:40.340 happens in 20
00:38:41.080 years when these
00:38:41.980 kids grow up and
00:38:42.920 become members of
00:38:44.140 the workforce,
00:38:45.220 they're driving the
00:38:46.140 economy, et cetera.
00:38:47.980 Don't know.
00:38:49.140 I don't know.
00:38:49.720 Is it helping or
00:38:51.020 hurting?
00:38:52.100 So the thing is
00:38:53.420 that if the
00:38:53.980 economists can't
00:38:55.320 help us, we're
00:38:56.160 just guessing.
00:38:56.720 We really
00:38:58.560 are.
00:38:59.260 We can measure
00:39:00.100 the crime, and
00:39:01.580 that alone would
00:39:02.360 be enough reason
00:39:03.140 not to let people
00:39:04.040 in.
00:39:05.040 But here's the
00:39:05.640 system that I
00:39:06.420 think we should
00:39:06.980 have for the
00:39:07.860 border.
00:39:08.600 We should stop
00:39:09.580 treating it like a
00:39:10.460 goal and treat it
00:39:11.520 like a system.
00:39:13.360 Here's the
00:39:13.800 difference.
00:39:14.700 A goal would be
00:39:16.340 to only let in
00:39:17.580 people we want,
00:39:19.540 but also be
00:39:20.680 kind and,
00:39:23.980 yeah, I mean,
00:39:25.020 we would be kind
00:39:26.120 and, let's say,
00:39:28.520 empathetic, and we
00:39:29.620 would try to treat
00:39:30.220 everybody with
00:39:30.820 dignity and
00:39:32.240 humanity.
00:39:34.000 So that would be
00:39:34.600 a good goal, to
00:39:36.560 let enough people
00:39:37.600 in to keep our
00:39:38.420 country healthy, but
00:39:39.980 also treat the
00:39:40.780 people coming in
00:39:41.500 with the maximum
00:39:42.280 dignity and
00:39:44.080 humanity that we
00:39:45.340 can.
00:39:46.560 Keep everybody
00:39:47.240 safe.
00:39:48.460 Those would be
00:39:48.940 goals.
00:39:50.200 Now, the
00:39:51.400 problem is, some
00:39:52.340 of them are
00:39:52.720 contradictory, and
00:39:54.760 it's not a
00:39:55.500 system.
00:39:56.280 What we need is a
00:39:57.000 system, and I
00:39:57.920 would suggest that
00:39:58.760 the best system
00:39:59.480 would be this.
00:40:01.420 You get a panel
00:40:02.220 of economists,
00:40:03.700 make it
00:40:04.460 bipartisan, get
00:40:05.800 some Dems, get
00:40:06.640 some GOP, put
00:40:08.380 them on that
00:40:08.840 panel and say,
00:40:09.700 all right, you
00:40:10.120 economists, tell
00:40:11.080 us what is the
00:40:12.000 right amount of
00:40:13.000 immigration that
00:40:14.400 helps the economy,
00:40:16.480 and then we will
00:40:17.680 let that many
00:40:18.320 people in, and
00:40:19.960 then when we
00:40:20.560 reach that limit,
00:40:21.580 we'll say, all
00:40:22.260 right, that's
00:40:22.580 enough for this
00:40:23.040 year, and we'll
00:40:24.080 do our best to
00:40:24.980 secure the
00:40:25.760 border after
00:40:26.280 that.
00:40:26.960 And then next
00:40:27.580 year, we look at
00:40:28.880 the economy again,
00:40:29.760 and we make a
00:40:30.320 separate decision.
00:40:31.740 Okay, this
00:40:32.880 time, well, as
00:40:35.660 bipartisan as you
00:40:36.560 can be.
00:40:37.040 I mean, I would
00:40:37.900 go for something
00:40:38.460 like a Supreme
00:40:39.240 Court model, where
00:40:40.940 they're definitely
00:40:41.520 partisan, even on
00:40:42.580 the Supreme Court,
00:40:43.640 but they're still
00:40:44.300 credible.
00:40:45.840 You know, there's
00:40:46.460 definitely a
00:40:46.920 majority in one
00:40:47.960 party, but still
00:40:48.640 credible, because you
00:40:49.720 do get to read the
00:40:50.420 minority opinion,
00:40:51.380 et cetera.
00:40:51.760 So the process
00:40:52.400 works better
00:40:53.640 than, you
00:40:54.600 know, the
00:40:54.840 alternatives.
00:40:56.160 So, if you
00:40:57.280 had a really
00:40:57.940 secure border with
00:40:59.180 a door that
00:41:00.500 could open and
00:41:01.140 close, you would
00:41:02.360 let people in
00:41:03.040 based on the
00:41:03.580 economists, and
00:41:04.800 you would seal
00:41:06.460 the border based
00:41:07.180 on what the
00:41:07.580 economics look
00:41:08.540 like, and you
00:41:09.780 would depersonalize
00:41:10.560 it.
00:41:11.700 I mean, why
00:41:12.220 we're talking
00:41:12.720 about it's racist
00:41:13.980 or not racist to
00:41:15.240 allow immigration is
00:41:16.680 ridiculous.
00:41:18.080 We should take
00:41:19.080 all of that
00:41:19.640 personal stuff out
00:41:20.540 of it, and just
00:41:21.120 say, it's just
00:41:21.620 money.
00:41:23.400 And we should
00:41:24.320 say that this is
00:41:25.060 not a question of
00:41:25.780 fairness, right?
00:41:29.180 Because if you
00:41:29.880 try to be fair to
00:41:30.720 everybody, you
00:41:32.220 just can't really
00:41:32.880 balance all those
00:41:33.700 interests, because
00:41:34.480 what's fair to the
00:41:35.220 immigrants isn't
00:41:35.960 what's fair to the
00:41:37.000 citizens of the
00:41:37.840 country, et cetera.
00:41:39.340 So, I don't
00:41:41.680 think you should
00:41:42.260 use fairness as
00:41:43.500 your standard.
00:41:44.100 What would be a
00:41:45.040 better standard than
00:41:45.960 fairness?
00:41:46.540 Well, maybe a
00:41:49.400 glurpin.
00:41:50.180 A glurpin.
00:41:51.700 So, I think it's
00:41:52.720 sort of a glurpin
00:41:53.600 situation, and if
00:41:55.860 you haven't heard
00:41:56.380 that word, it's a
00:41:57.180 new word.
00:41:58.420 And it applies to a
00:41:59.340 situation that isn't
00:42:01.000 fair, but it's
00:42:03.340 better than it
00:42:03.920 isn't.
00:42:05.120 Capitalism is a
00:42:05.840 good example.
00:42:06.980 Capitalism is not
00:42:07.860 intended to be fair
00:42:09.200 in terms of
00:42:09.900 outcomes, but we're
00:42:11.580 all better off
00:42:12.240 because it's not,
00:42:13.080 because that's
00:42:13.840 what makes people
00:42:14.440 work hard and
00:42:15.240 makes enough money
00:42:16.040 so that everybody
00:42:17.000 can get at least a
00:42:17.840 taste.
00:42:19.240 So, I think the
00:42:20.380 border is another
00:42:22.060 one of those
00:42:22.460 situations where if
00:42:23.300 you tried to make
00:42:23.780 it fair, you
00:42:24.680 really couldn't
00:42:25.300 balance everybody's
00:42:26.220 interests.
00:42:27.400 So, instead, let's
00:42:28.580 just treat it like
00:42:29.300 the glurpin it is, a
00:42:31.080 situation in which
00:42:32.060 fairness isn't really
00:42:33.260 desirable in this
00:42:34.200 case.
00:42:34.960 You just want the
00:42:35.720 most efficient system
00:42:36.820 that keeps the
00:42:37.360 United States healthy
00:42:38.980 because keeping the
00:42:40.140 United States healthy
00:42:40.940 is really good for a
00:42:42.780 lot of people.
00:42:43.080 other things.
00:42:45.060 It's really good for
00:42:46.060 a lot of other
00:42:46.540 things.
00:42:51.840 So, oh, hello.
00:42:55.120 Is that a
00:42:55.640 fellow?
00:42:59.360 Apparently, the
00:43:00.140 COVID hysteria is the
00:43:01.580 highest in blue
00:43:02.380 states.
00:43:03.240 I saw Zuby say
00:43:04.260 something about that
00:43:05.200 on Twitter, and
00:43:06.920 Bill Maher was
00:43:07.800 talking about it.
00:43:08.800 Bill Maher was
00:43:09.360 talking about how
00:43:10.220 Democrats in
00:43:12.220 polls,
00:43:12.660 are completely
00:43:15.120 wrong by orders of
00:43:16.920 magnitude about how
00:43:18.160 dangerous the
00:43:18.840 coronavirus is.
00:43:20.820 Now, given that the
00:43:22.960 Democrats are the
00:43:23.700 party of data,
00:43:27.400 Ike, that is
00:43:29.560 entirely too
00:43:30.640 generous, but
00:43:33.640 thank you.
00:43:34.000 Thank you.
00:43:34.020 So, we've got this
00:43:39.300 big difference between
00:43:40.260 the Dems and the
00:43:41.260 Republicans in
00:43:42.360 terms of what they
00:43:43.060 think is the
00:43:44.500 danger of
00:43:44.980 hospitalization.
00:43:46.580 And, I mean,
00:43:48.480 it's really off.
00:43:49.960 Like, the Democrats
00:43:50.700 are way off in
00:43:52.260 understanding it.
00:43:53.760 So, why is there
00:43:55.400 no Republican who
00:43:57.200 is making a big
00:43:58.040 deal about the
00:43:58.860 fact that Democrats
00:44:00.840 don't understand the
00:44:02.060 data?
00:44:02.340 Why are we only
00:44:05.120 talking about
00:44:05.660 Republicans being
00:44:07.360 anti-vax and, you
00:44:08.840 know, why aren't they
00:44:10.060 believing the
00:44:10.720 science?
00:44:11.480 Rah, the
00:44:12.180 science.
00:44:13.400 When, in fact, the
00:44:15.480 biggest reason that the
00:44:16.500 Democrats are getting
00:44:17.740 the vaccinations is
00:44:20.740 that they don't
00:44:21.240 understand the math.
00:44:23.120 That's the reason.
00:44:24.380 They don't understand
00:44:25.420 the math.
00:44:25.960 And so, a lot of
00:44:27.520 the, you know, the
00:44:28.140 mandates, et cetera, are
00:44:29.220 driven by a lack of
00:44:30.760 understanding, or at
00:44:32.360 least the support for
00:44:33.260 it, by a lack of
00:44:34.080 understanding.
00:44:35.520 So, I think some
00:44:36.580 Republican needs to
00:44:37.460 make hay with this
00:44:38.300 about their lack of
00:44:39.700 following the data.
00:44:41.340 Because it's so
00:44:42.160 demonstrably true.
00:44:43.300 I mean, the polls show
00:44:44.180 it overwhelmingly
00:44:44.880 clearly.
00:44:46.520 It's a claim that you
00:44:47.480 can't argue.
00:44:48.920 It would be really
00:44:49.900 hard to argue that
00:44:52.180 Democrats don't have a
00:44:53.600 wildly incorrect idea
00:44:55.080 of the risk, because
00:44:56.160 we know the risk, and
00:44:58.980 we know what the
00:44:59.540 polling says.
00:45:00.880 It's pretty clear.
00:45:04.840 As Naval said
00:45:06.660 yesterday on Twitter,
00:45:09.440 the masks will come
00:45:10.520 off not once everyone
00:45:11.720 has been vaccinated,
00:45:13.300 but once everyone has
00:45:14.760 been infected.
00:45:17.060 Now, I would only add
00:45:18.600 the obvious that, you
00:45:20.060 know, nothing is an
00:45:20.900 absolute, so it's not
00:45:22.800 really everyone.
00:45:23.460 But, let's say, most
00:45:25.160 everyone is going to
00:45:25.880 have to get infected
00:45:26.620 before the masks come
00:45:27.860 off.
00:45:28.120 I think that does make
00:45:28.940 sense.
00:45:30.240 Now, are you ready for
00:45:32.360 my best idea of the day
00:45:33.940 to open up everything?
00:45:36.380 I have an idea that I
00:45:39.000 think could get the
00:45:41.040 country back to normal
00:45:42.040 even with an endemic.
00:45:44.740 It goes like this.
00:45:46.740 Correct me if I'm wrong.
00:45:47.800 I have a lot of
00:45:48.620 engineers on here.
00:45:49.520 Is there a device that
00:45:52.140 can measure air flow in
00:45:54.240 a room fairly quickly,
00:45:56.360 where you can just sort
00:45:57.320 of hold it up, and you
00:45:59.240 could tell if there's
00:46:00.000 sufficient air flow in
00:46:01.060 the room that things are
00:46:03.120 blowing around right?
00:46:06.620 So, I'm saying yes.
00:46:08.800 Yes, that's a device.
00:46:10.800 Now, is it such an
00:46:12.820 expensive device that you
00:46:15.000 couldn't get one that
00:46:16.180 would be available at
00:46:17.360 least to occasionally test
00:46:18.640 as many rooms as
00:46:19.520 possible?
00:46:21.140 I feel like you could.
00:46:23.180 Let me ask you this.
00:46:24.280 If you did a study of
00:46:26.480 rooms that have air flow,
00:46:28.080 now, I'm not talking
00:46:29.040 circulation, right?
00:46:31.580 Because you're all going
00:46:32.240 to jump to circulation.
00:46:34.500 Not talking about it.
00:46:35.700 We all know circulation
00:46:36.580 is good.
00:46:37.540 We all know an open
00:46:38.500 window is good.
00:46:39.600 So, forget those things.
00:46:41.520 This is not what I'm
00:46:42.840 talking about.
00:46:43.920 So, I'm not going to
00:46:44.800 talk about an open
00:46:45.520 window, and I'm not
00:46:47.540 going to talk about how
00:46:48.580 well it circulates from
00:46:49.780 inside to outside.
00:46:51.060 I'm only talking about
00:46:51.940 whether the air is
00:46:53.220 moving.
00:46:54.540 My hypothesis is this,
00:46:57.240 that you don't get
00:46:58.140 COVID when the air is
00:46:59.100 moving.
00:47:01.440 That's my hypothesis.
00:47:03.160 Now, I feel like you'd
00:47:04.120 be able to test that,
00:47:05.300 because you could find
00:47:06.820 out what spaces were
00:47:08.000 getting people infected,
00:47:09.220 and you could find out
00:47:10.040 if they have more
00:47:10.660 air flow.
00:47:12.180 Okay.
00:47:12.860 Oh!
00:47:13.640 Oh!
00:47:14.340 Oh!
00:47:14.780 I'm so mad right now.
00:47:15.820 I was trying everything
00:47:17.560 I could for somebody
00:47:19.300 not to make a comment
00:47:20.460 that says circulation
00:47:21.440 works, and I just saw
00:47:22.820 it go by.
00:47:24.180 Please, dear God,
00:47:26.420 can we all agree that
00:47:27.920 opening a window works?
00:47:30.080 You don't need to tell
00:47:31.360 me that.
00:47:32.560 We all know circulation
00:47:33.760 is good.
00:47:35.100 Stop saying that in the
00:47:36.180 comments.
00:47:37.200 We're not talking about
00:47:38.840 those things.
00:47:39.800 Just air flow.
00:47:40.920 That's it.
00:47:41.340 And so if you have
00:47:43.960 a device where you
00:47:44.620 can test it, and you
00:47:45.540 can find out, in most
00:47:46.900 cases, you have an idea
00:47:47.980 where somebody got
00:47:48.900 infected, could you not
00:47:50.580 find every space that's
00:47:52.720 safe and every space
00:47:55.220 that's not?
00:47:56.520 And as soon as you knew
00:47:57.900 which spaces were safe
00:47:59.880 and which were not,
00:48:04.480 okay, on locals, you're
00:48:05.940 doing the same thing to
00:48:06.760 me.
00:48:07.700 Please, dear God, stop
00:48:10.240 telling me about how you
00:48:11.340 can fix your HVAC system
00:48:13.620 to filter out the
00:48:14.700 coronavirus.
00:48:16.220 Not the topic.
00:48:18.960 That's not the topic.
00:48:20.860 I get it, that it's good
00:48:22.140 stuff, and we should be
00:48:22.920 doing it, but it's
00:48:25.200 completely off-topic.
00:48:29.760 And here's why my
00:48:32.040 hypothesis goes like this.
00:48:33.980 You've seen smokers.
00:48:35.900 You know, they exhale,
00:48:37.180 and the plume of smoke is
00:48:39.240 intense for a while, and
00:48:40.880 then it seems to dissipate.
00:48:43.160 Well, wouldn't you assume
00:48:44.820 that somebody who was
00:48:46.440 standing in the middle of
00:48:47.600 an intense plume is going
00:48:51.300 to get a larger viral load
00:48:53.260 than somebody who happened
00:48:54.840 to be standing in the same
00:48:56.060 room, but away from like a
00:48:59.420 temporary plume that got
00:49:01.320 formed?
00:49:02.000 Or even just by chance,
00:49:03.620 there might be some pockets
00:49:04.780 that are a little denser than
00:49:06.000 others.
00:49:06.280 Maybe the virus tends to
00:49:08.440 float down instead of up,
00:49:10.600 so maybe the top of the
00:49:11.680 room above your head doesn't
00:49:13.540 have much virus.
00:49:15.660 Maybe there's a lot of
00:49:16.740 virus below the waist.
00:49:18.620 I don't know.
00:49:19.260 After a while.
00:49:20.640 So the question is, if you
00:49:22.320 were to take a room that
00:49:23.880 had maybe some plumes or
00:49:26.300 some denser areas, and you
00:49:28.420 were just to distribute it by
00:49:30.140 just airflow, not by opening a
00:49:32.820 window, not by modifying your
00:49:35.300 HVAC, not by turning on the
00:49:37.520 circulation, just a fan.
00:49:40.460 Just a fan.
00:49:42.320 Could you spread it around
00:49:44.700 more efficiently to the point
00:49:47.220 where maybe there's the same
00:49:48.520 amount of COVID in the room or
00:49:50.500 coronavirus in the room, but
00:49:53.060 nobody can get a big enough
00:49:54.780 dose.
00:49:55.840 It just got spread out too
00:49:56.940 much.
00:49:58.160 So that's my hypothesis.
00:49:59.560 Hypothesis is that you could
00:50:02.660 measure the airflow in spaces,
00:50:05.320 because devices exist, and
00:50:07.680 that you would find there would
00:50:09.040 be almost a perfect correlation
00:50:10.900 between how much the wind is
00:50:13.340 moving, the air, and how often
00:50:16.160 people get infected there.
00:50:18.640 Just a hypothesis, but all of it
00:50:21.200 could be easily tested, right?
00:50:23.600 Would you agree that this is all
00:50:25.120 testable and not really hard?
00:50:27.200 I see your pun, and it's pretty
00:50:34.800 good.
00:50:36.560 All right.
00:50:37.940 That concludes the best part of
00:50:41.880 your day.
00:50:42.960 Well, maybe you'll have some other
00:50:44.040 good parts.
00:50:45.300 I feel good about your chances
00:50:46.680 today.
00:50:48.020 But until Trump gets back into the
00:50:53.120 game, we have to dig a little
00:50:54.800 deeper to find some interesting
00:50:56.020 stories.
00:51:01.560 And I hope that you've learned
00:51:04.620 that this presentation is more
00:51:08.000 about keeping you company than it
00:51:10.520 is even about the content.
00:51:11.980 I mean, I try to make the content
00:51:13.040 interesting, but this is more about
00:51:15.360 meeting every day here and having
00:51:17.140 a moment, even if it's recorded.
00:51:20.920 Maybe you consume this while you're
00:51:23.080 exercising, maybe taking a walk,
00:51:24.760 maybe doing some housework or
00:51:26.700 something.
00:51:27.720 But I'm here just to be your
00:51:29.880 virtual friend.
00:51:32.140 How many of you
00:51:33.360 have noticed either in yourself or in
00:51:37.040 others, people close to you, a
00:51:39.560 loneliness crisis?
00:51:42.820 How many of you?
00:51:44.240 How many of you are seeing a
00:51:46.100 loneliness crisis?
00:51:47.360 crisis?
00:51:50.640 Wow, I'm seeing a lot of yeses there.
00:51:53.260 On locals, it's just boom, boom, boom,
00:51:55.300 boom, boom, boom.
00:51:55.680 Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.
00:51:57.940 Mostly yeses.
00:52:00.240 Yeah.
00:52:02.180 Something's happened, hasn't it?
00:52:04.180 I don't know if it's just social
00:52:05.360 media.
00:52:05.820 I suspect it's mostly social media.
00:52:07.400 But I feel as if almost everybody
00:52:10.080 feels lonely now, even if they have
00:52:13.520 social interaction.
00:52:15.000 I don't know how much is the
00:52:15.980 pandemic.
00:52:16.600 I don't know how much is just where we
00:52:18.980 are as a society.
00:52:20.020 I don't know if it's because you don't
00:52:21.640 meet your neighbors.
00:52:23.640 I don't know what it is.
00:52:24.940 It could be all of those things.
00:52:26.580 But the loneliness thing is just
00:52:28.400 through the roof.
00:52:28.940 So, as I evolve whatever this
00:52:33.780 live stream is, I mean, it just
00:52:35.060 started as me turning on my phone
00:52:36.700 and saying something about Trump
00:52:38.700 years ago.
00:52:42.020 Ed, how do I persuade my depressed
00:52:44.520 14-year-old daughter, who left
00:52:46.000 liberal public school for a small
00:52:47.300 Catholic school, that it's good for
00:52:49.460 her and it'll be okay?
00:52:51.320 Because it might not be.
00:52:53.280 Who left a liberal public school for
00:52:55.040 a small Catholic?
00:52:56.260 How do I convince her that it would
00:52:57.800 be okay?
00:52:58.160 All right, so she's depressed
00:52:59.380 because she left her friends, right?
00:53:02.300 And now she has to go somewhere
00:53:04.180 where she doesn't have friends.
00:53:05.760 My understanding of kids and
00:53:07.540 school is that all that matters is
00:53:10.020 their friends.
00:53:11.640 Back me up, parents.
00:53:13.460 Nothing else matters, right?
00:53:15.300 For somebody in school, a young girl
00:53:18.960 in school, how many friends they
00:53:21.260 have is all that matters.
00:53:23.420 So there's, the only thing you can
00:53:25.260 do is work on that.
00:53:26.200 And you have to work on the fact
00:53:28.020 that she'll have friends, she'll
00:53:29.320 make friends, she'll make new
00:53:30.400 friends.
00:53:32.240 You know, so basically, help out on
00:53:35.660 the making friends part of the
00:53:37.020 equation.
00:53:37.600 It's all that matters.
00:53:39.320 And unfortunately, she's not going
00:53:42.180 to be convinced right away.
00:53:44.020 Because until she makes the new
00:53:45.560 friends, it will feel like it's
00:53:46.920 impossible.
00:53:47.440 because it's really hard to break
00:53:49.140 into a new group.
00:53:49.900 Now, I would also take the
00:53:51.800 opportunity to educate her on
00:53:56.300 technique for making friends.
00:53:58.500 The Dale Carnegie stack, how to
00:54:00.900 basically walk up to a stranger and
00:54:02.540 turn them into your friend, mostly by
00:54:04.340 asking questions about them and not
00:54:06.020 talking about yourself too much.
00:54:07.340 That's the short version.
00:54:08.740 So if you were to teach your child how
00:54:13.300 to make friends, the actual, let's
00:54:16.440 say, the components of friendship,
00:54:19.320 reciprocity, sharing a secret, being
00:54:22.960 active, inviting, and, you know, making
00:54:25.480 sure that you're including people, you
00:54:27.940 know, there's a number of things that
00:54:29.140 you could probably throw in there.
00:54:30.360 And kids don't have that skill
00:54:31.680 automatically.
00:54:32.780 If you could teach your daughter that
00:54:36.100 that's a learnable skill, that she
00:54:38.580 can just take into this new school
00:54:40.480 and then acquire a bunch of new
00:54:41.900 friends, because she can.
00:54:44.100 All right.
00:54:44.640 By the way, if you can get your
00:54:46.700 daughter to listen to this part of
00:54:48.240 it, which I know would be a big ask.
00:54:52.780 Parents have no credibility with
00:54:54.580 their kids.
00:54:56.420 Universally true.
00:54:58.140 But I might have credibility because
00:54:59.800 I'm a person appearing on a screen.
00:55:01.640 So just show your daughter this and
00:55:03.680 tell her that making new
00:55:06.080 friends is a learnable, teachable
00:55:08.520 skill.
00:55:09.060 Everybody can do it.
00:55:10.040 Doesn't require any native ability,
00:55:13.320 just some technique.
00:55:15.080 And once you do it, the world is
00:55:17.760 yours.
00:55:18.240 You just go out and make a bunch of
00:55:19.320 friends.
00:55:20.120 Just takes a little work.
00:55:22.340 But once you have that skill, you
00:55:24.660 never have to worry about not having
00:55:26.060 a friend because you'll learn how to
00:55:28.380 make new ones and you'll just get
00:55:30.100 new ones all the time.
00:55:31.660 Old ones will fall off and new ones
00:55:34.180 we'll come back on.
00:55:35.680 Just make it a skill.
00:55:37.400 All right.
00:55:37.700 That's all I got for you today.
00:55:39.880 And I'll talk to you tomorrow.
00:55:44.520 See you, YouTubers.
00:55:46.000 And thanks a lot for the tips and
00:55:49.540 stuff.
00:55:49.820 I do see them all.
00:55:50.740 I can't read them all because of the
00:55:52.440 flow of things.
00:55:53.180 But I do see them all and I
00:55:54.200 appreciate it.
00:55:54.740 All right.
00:56:07.160 All right.