Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 30, 2021


Episode 1515 Scott Adams： The News is Dreadful and Boring But We'll Have Fun Talking About it Anyway


Episode Stats

Length

54 minutes

Words per Minute

147.98454

Word Count

8,007

Sentence Count

619

Misogynist Sentences

23

Hate Speech Sentences

19


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Well, I'm told that it takes about 10 seconds, about 10 seconds for the YouTube feed to start.
00:00:10.840 Is it there?
00:00:11.920 I'm working on a drum opening for the show, sort of like a Tucker Carlson, you know, drum
00:00:19.480 thing where he opens his show, but different, you know, my own thing.
00:00:24.640 It'll be about 10 seconds long, so I'm working on that.
00:00:26.980 But, you know, if you'd like to enjoy today to the maximum potential, all you need is
00:00:32.420 a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask of any
00:00:39.060 kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, well, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled
00:00:46.460 pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:50.660 Can you feel it?
00:00:51.960 Can you feel it already?
00:00:53.520 Things getting better?
00:00:54.920 Yeah, you can feel it.
00:00:56.020 Go.
00:00:56.980 Ah, the caffeine climax.
00:01:04.120 The thing that makes everything better, as I said.
00:01:07.260 I think you're feeling better right now, aren't you?
00:01:10.160 Well, Boo the Cat is continuing to do better.
00:01:13.300 She's not eating on her own, but she's having a good time.
00:01:16.820 She looks healthy.
00:01:17.600 So I'm hearing more about the combination of Bitcoin and power plants.
00:01:25.600 Nuclear power plants, coal power plants, gas power plants.
00:01:29.720 So it turns out that Bitcoin is a really good combo with power plants that don't operate at
00:01:37.580 their peak all the time.
00:01:38.820 Now, I heard a claim that a coal plant, coal-fired, coal-energy-producing plant, is actually going to produce less carbon if it operates continuously than if it just gets fired up and taken down based on load and demand.
00:02:05.840 Do you think that's true?
00:02:06.840 Do you think that's true?
00:02:07.840 Do you think that's true?
00:02:09.200 I don't know.
00:02:11.440 Yeah, I'm seeing somebody say it's true.
00:02:13.260 I don't feel like that's true, but I'm going to treat it like it's true for the point of today.
00:02:19.260 But my economics BS detector says, I get the point.
00:02:26.800 I understand the point that there's a startup cost, per se, and a shutdown cost, per se, and that they're so great that it's not worth it.
00:02:36.820 Maybe, maybe, but I'm going to say that all of my instincts doubt that's true.
00:02:45.600 Not 100%, but a serious skepticism about that.
00:02:51.060 However, people believe it's true, apparently, and so the opportunity to use the Bitcoin mining to keep all of our power plants operating at whatever is their optimal rate seems like a good combo.
00:03:04.600 So you get the Bitcoin money for free, basically, because you've got a power plant that wasn't doing much in that time.
00:03:12.840 Free is an exaggeration.
00:03:14.500 It's not free, obviously.
00:03:18.000 Yeah, apparently you can still, at least one Bitcoin miner says that the cost of mining one Bitcoin is about $3,000, whereas the Bitcoin itself might be worth somewhere in the neighborhood of $40,000.
00:03:32.780 So the margins are pretty good if you've got yourself a big old power plant you can use.
00:03:39.100 Well, by the way, I should warn you that none of the news is super interesting today.
00:03:43.900 I mean, I'll do what I can.
00:03:46.560 Yes, Butters, you did miss the sip.
00:03:49.120 Hey, everybody, Butters just came in on YouTube and missed the sip.
00:03:55.160 Would anybody mind if we do just a special one for Butters?
00:03:58.660 Butters, Butters, get your cup.
00:04:02.600 I will not disappoint you today, Butters.
00:04:06.820 Half of the reason I'm going to do this for you is because your username is Butters.
00:04:13.100 Possibly one of the best usernames I've ever seen, Butters.
00:04:16.580 Well, Butters, this is the special simultaneous sip without the preamble, just for you.
00:04:27.320 Everybody, lift your glass.
00:04:29.740 Butters is in the house.
00:04:31.600 This is for you, Butters.
00:04:35.920 Yeah, that's good.
00:04:37.620 I'm so glad you came, Butters.
00:04:39.420 You made all of us happier.
00:04:40.660 I don't know, are you always like that, Butters?
00:04:45.580 When you enter a room, does everybody just smile?
00:04:48.240 They get happier?
00:04:49.660 Something tells me that you're like a good force in the world.
00:04:53.260 See, as soon as Butters came in here, everything got better, didn't it?
00:04:56.600 You were sitting here thinking, you know what I'd really need is another sip.
00:05:00.420 I'd really like that.
00:05:01.700 And then Butters comes in and makes it happen.
00:05:05.080 Like nothing.
00:05:05.740 We need more people in the world like Butters.
00:05:11.360 And fewer people like Britney Spears' father, who had been enslaving her in a conservatorship
00:05:21.600 with her $60 million fortune.
00:05:25.340 Does that seem low to you?
00:05:28.380 Doesn't Britney Spears with only $60 million, I say only, $60 million, it seems low, doesn't it?
00:05:34.880 What happened to all of her money?
00:05:37.220 I'm not sure anybody can estimate anybody else's money.
00:05:40.900 I've seen my own net wealth estimated in public.
00:05:47.820 Not so close.
00:05:50.020 They're just purely guesses.
00:05:53.020 But anyway, so Britney Spears has her life back, so she doesn't have this conservatorship.
00:05:58.380 At least her dad's not part of it.
00:06:00.160 And she's celebrated with an Instagram post where she's taking flying lessons.
00:06:08.240 Britney Spears is taking flying lessons.
00:06:12.240 Now, have I told you that the simulation reveals itself with code reuse?
00:06:20.780 Code reuse.
00:06:22.420 Yeah.
00:06:22.560 I mean, most of you probably know that Christina, my wife, took flying lessons.
00:06:29.060 She's a pilot now.
00:06:31.260 And now Britney's doing that.
00:06:32.760 I don't know how many people we hear about taking private flying lessons.
00:06:36.840 But I do love the fact that Britney, I saw this in the comments, somebody said that she went from the most
00:06:43.140 restricted person you could think of, because of the conservatorship, to literally flying.
00:06:48.980 And literally, like, flying through the air anywhere she wants to go, eventually.
00:06:53.840 That's a pretty big change.
00:06:55.100 So good for her.
00:06:57.100 Why is it that we all like Britney Spears?
00:07:00.340 Have you ever wondered that?
00:07:07.480 Somebody says, I don't.
00:07:08.660 You don't like Britney Spears?
00:07:11.000 Seriously?
00:07:11.400 How could you not like her?
00:07:15.140 I mean, you could not like her music.
00:07:16.960 I mean, that would be normal.
00:07:18.060 Everybody has different musical tastes.
00:07:20.500 But doesn't she seem like just sort of a good person who's just trying to get by,
00:07:26.700 and she's got some personal problems, like many of us?
00:07:30.520 I don't know.
00:07:32.020 Everything about her, I kind of like.
00:07:37.700 Yeah.
00:07:38.660 She's just likable.
00:07:39.560 So, here's some more news about the nation's hottest governor.
00:07:46.720 If I say the nation's hottest governor, who am I talking about?
00:07:52.240 Let's see if we all have.
00:07:53.520 Yeah.
00:07:53.880 Okay.
00:07:55.020 Took you about half a second.
00:07:58.860 Somebody said DeSantis.
00:08:01.280 Ron DeSantis, the hottest governor.
00:08:03.720 Well, he saw it in a different way.
00:08:05.080 So, we're going to be totally sexist and talk about Governor Kristi Noem,
00:08:10.760 who, in addition to being politically quite successful, it must be noted,
00:08:17.600 is unusually attractive.
00:08:20.020 Now, this, of course, is positive and negative.
00:08:22.720 It probably helps her politically, I would imagine.
00:08:24.720 But now she's being dragged into the news, so she's happily married.
00:08:30.820 And just the worst frickin' thing happened.
00:08:33.460 See, notice I said frickin'.
00:08:34.780 See, I'm learning.
00:08:36.600 I'm growing.
00:08:38.080 I'm becoming a better person right in front of you.
00:08:40.720 I could have used the F word, but now I went with frickin'.
00:08:43.720 So, she's being accused of having an extramarital affair with former Trump advisor Corey Lewandowski.
00:08:53.020 Now, apparently there's more, looks like there's more truth to the fact that it didn't happen,
00:09:02.560 there's nothing to it, than there is that it did.
00:09:05.060 But, of course, we're seeing all of the lieutenants being taken out, you know, in anticipation.
00:09:17.080 Oh, thanks, Fred.
00:09:18.980 That's an unusual amount of a tip there.
00:09:21.720 $13.99 for that comment.
00:09:24.960 Totally worth it.
00:09:26.600 But anyway, here's what's creepy about this story.
00:09:31.040 A few things.
00:09:32.160 Number one, here's a public servant who's, you know, looks like a happily married woman with a family.
00:09:40.680 And because she's attractive, the world is trying to take her down.
00:09:46.320 And they're matching her with Corey Lewandowski.
00:09:51.040 Now, let me ask you this.
00:09:53.340 If you were the hottest governor, and let's just say she's not even just hot for a governor,
00:10:03.220 but she is unusually attractive for a human being, right?
00:10:07.620 This is important to the story.
00:10:09.200 It has nothing to do with my personal opinions.
00:10:11.420 I know that, you know, somebody in the comments always says,
00:10:14.820 Scott, you're a lawyer.
00:10:16.660 It has nothing to do with me.
00:10:18.100 Keep me out of the story.
00:10:18.980 It's just the fact that she's unusually attractive, and it's part of the story.
00:10:23.340 Now, if you were unusually attractive, I mean, like everybody's talking about it attractive,
00:10:30.760 that kind of attractive, would you want to be paired in a rumor with Corey Lewandowski?
00:10:38.320 Now, I don't want to be unkind, all right?
00:10:40.860 Like, I'm not, you know, what you'd call a good-looking guy myself,
00:10:45.180 so I feel like, you know, I'm not being condescending when I say this.
00:10:49.900 Corey Lewandowski is sort of like my people.
00:10:52.900 You know what I mean?
00:10:54.640 Right?
00:10:55.720 Like, if you heard that Christy Noem was rumored to be having an affair with me,
00:11:03.080 like, actually me,
00:11:04.860 it'd be a lot like hearing it was Corey Lewandowski, right?
00:11:08.720 Like, what's the first thing you'd say to yourself?
00:11:12.620 Couldn't she do a little better than that?
00:11:16.880 Right?
00:11:17.940 Wouldn't you think, if she were inclined to have an affair,
00:11:21.380 which apparently she did not have, so let me be as clear as possible,
00:11:25.660 there doesn't seem to be truth to the rumor.
00:11:28.860 And I would say that I, you know, I'm super skeptical about it.
00:11:32.400 I doubt it.
00:11:34.240 But imagine the double insult
00:11:36.540 that not only do you have to deal with this stupid rumor
00:11:39.760 and your husband and all this stuff,
00:11:42.020 I mean, it seems very inconvenient,
00:11:44.100 but they paired her with Corey Lewandowski.
00:11:48.380 Seriously?
00:11:49.660 You couldn't find a better-looking guy to throw into that rumor?
00:11:54.580 You know, somebody who's, you would also say,
00:11:57.100 you know, she might be one of the most attractive politicians
00:12:00.280 we've ever seen.
00:12:03.300 Who would be the equivalent that at least you'd say,
00:12:06.900 well, maybe, maybe.
00:12:09.000 So I think the best thing about this story is that,
00:12:12.420 do any of you believe it?
00:12:15.080 Do any of you believe it?
00:12:17.420 How many of you believe this story,
00:12:20.180 that Kristi Noem would have an affair with Corey Lewandowski?
00:12:24.080 And again, I don't mean to insult Corey Lewandowski.
00:12:26.340 So Corey Lewandowski is just sort of the ordinary guy,
00:12:31.380 sort of the same category I'm in.
00:12:33.600 Just, you know, ordinary guys.
00:12:35.620 You know, we're not monsters,
00:12:37.100 but nobody's going to say,
00:12:38.980 let me put your picture on my wall.
00:12:40.900 You know, nothing like that.
00:12:42.820 So, yeah, I don't see anybody believing it here.
00:12:47.580 Yeah.
00:12:47.860 Okay, good for you.
00:12:49.080 Good for you.
00:12:49.860 Everybody who doesn't believe that,
00:12:51.380 you're on the right track.
00:12:52.140 But super sexist and unfair to Kristi Noem,
00:12:56.100 who is doing nothing but trying to mind her own business.
00:12:59.500 But here's the side story to this.
00:13:02.220 The side story is funnier than the main story.
00:13:04.480 The side story is that Politico uses this opportunity
00:13:08.400 to go after Corey Lewandowski
00:13:11.220 for a completely unrelated claim.
00:13:14.520 There's some other woman,
00:13:16.360 who was married to a big donor,
00:13:18.140 a Republican donor,
00:13:19.020 that, you know, the report is,
00:13:21.400 and again, low credibility.
00:13:23.480 These are all low credibility reports.
00:13:25.840 Don't assume any of this is true.
00:13:27.500 But it's being reported,
00:13:28.700 so I'll tell you about it.
00:13:31.100 And the accusation is that
00:13:33.320 Corey Lewandowski got drunk
00:13:35.220 and he was getting a little handsy
00:13:36.740 with some donor's wife at a dinner
00:13:40.340 and said some inappropriate things.
00:13:42.920 So that's the story.
00:13:44.060 But here's the funny part of the story.
00:13:45.600 The name of the woman
00:13:47.700 who was the wife of the big donor
00:13:50.460 that Corey Lewandowski
00:13:51.820 allegedly was sexually annoying.
00:13:55.960 Her first name,
00:13:57.480 I'm not making this up,
00:14:00.120 Trash L.
00:14:02.180 T-R-A-S-H-E-L-L-E.
00:14:08.380 Now, obviously,
00:14:11.340 her parents expected a boy.
00:14:13.020 And the boy's name,
00:14:15.520 I'm assuming,
00:14:16.220 would have just been Trash.
00:14:18.560 Trash Odom.
00:14:20.160 But because they got a girl instead,
00:14:22.080 she was Trash L.
00:14:23.720 Trash L.
00:14:25.520 Is that a real name?
00:14:28.400 I feel like,
00:14:30.440 I feel like maybe they don't love their daughter
00:14:33.280 if they named her Trash L.
00:14:36.800 Exactly what kind of conversation was that?
00:14:41.040 When they were looking through the baby names,
00:14:44.200 they were like,
00:14:44.920 okay, Jennifer, Ashley, Savannah.
00:14:50.260 Oh, here's one.
00:14:51.540 How about Trash L?
00:14:54.600 Now, when you name a child,
00:14:56.300 it is your responsibility
00:14:57.580 to consider all the things
00:14:59.820 that that child's schoolmates
00:15:01.900 will say about that child's name
00:15:04.220 in the future.
00:15:06.480 Am I right?
00:15:07.900 You do have a responsibility.
00:15:09.500 For example, in my town,
00:15:11.400 where I grew up,
00:15:12.740 there was a kid whose last name was Cass.
00:15:16.560 C-A-S-S.
00:15:18.060 Cass.
00:15:20.240 And the parents named the kid John.
00:15:24.600 That's not bad.
00:15:25.640 Right, John?
00:15:26.500 John Cass.
00:15:27.300 It's a pretty good name.
00:15:28.780 What they didn't count on
00:15:30.180 is that since the father's name
00:15:31.820 was also John, I believe,
00:15:33.080 they decided to call the son Jack.
00:15:35.180 That's right.
00:15:37.640 They literally named their son Jack Cass.
00:15:41.920 Jackass.
00:15:43.560 That actually happened in my town.
00:15:45.780 This is somebody I knew well.
00:15:47.060 I'm not making this up.
00:15:48.380 A real person named Jack Cass.
00:15:51.280 Now, again, Trash L.
00:15:55.320 I have nothing against you, Trash L,
00:15:57.040 so this is not personal.
00:15:58.240 You didn't name yourself, I guess.
00:16:00.480 But your parents.
00:16:01.600 Sit down and have a talk with your parents.
00:16:04.980 I feel like they're...
00:16:07.680 maybe you weren't so happy about having a baby.
00:16:11.800 How's the baby?
00:16:13.400 Trash?
00:16:14.160 Trash L?
00:16:16.660 Well, Elon Musk continues to entertain.
00:16:20.700 Apparently he passed Jeff Bezos again.
00:16:23.360 They've been trading first place
00:16:25.200 for richest person in the world.
00:16:27.420 And Musk was asked about it.
00:16:29.520 And Musk said he'll send Bezos a silver medal.
00:16:34.720 That's like a big number, too.
00:16:36.600 He's going to send him a giant statue
00:16:38.260 of a big number, too.
00:16:41.940 Now, here's...
00:16:43.840 Here's what I love so much about this,
00:16:47.980 and maybe something I love about Musk as well,
00:16:50.720 just as a public character.
00:16:53.640 You're not really supposed to brag
00:16:55.220 about how rich you are, right?
00:16:56.840 Like, it's sort of...
00:16:58.800 If you're the richest person on the whole planet,
00:17:01.880 you're really not supposed to be bragging about it.
00:17:04.180 And I don't think he is, exactly.
00:17:05.840 I think he's joking about it, not bragging about it.
00:17:07.920 But he's joking about it by bragging about it,
00:17:10.120 by saying that he'll give Bezos a silver medal,
00:17:12.940 which is one of the funniest things I've ever heard.
00:17:16.060 Because getting a silver medal for being
00:17:17.820 the second richest person on the planet Earth
00:17:20.660 is just a funny concept.
00:17:24.580 And the fact that Musk gets free marketing
00:17:27.760 and publicity by saying stuff like this
00:17:30.520 is just wonderful.
00:17:34.520 Anyway, so I'll just point that out.
00:17:36.720 But here's the other thing.
00:17:37.780 So now that Musk has over $200 billion,
00:17:40.200 at least on paper,
00:17:42.500 he's going to be the first billionaire.
00:17:44.120 Do you realize that?
00:17:47.200 If you take Musk's age
00:17:50.940 and then you see how many times
00:17:53.480 you can add 10 years to it,
00:17:55.540 if you assume that his wealth doubles every 10 years,
00:17:59.560 which would be conservative, actually.
00:18:01.280 That would be conservative.
00:18:02.740 In 20 years, it would double twice.
00:18:05.660 So it's going to be $400 and then $800.
00:18:08.980 He's going to be a trillionaire.
00:18:11.080 He's going to be the first one.
00:18:12.880 Unless, you know, Bezos pulls ahead
00:18:14.500 or somebody else pulls ahead.
00:18:15.560 But literally, Elon Musk will be our first trillionaire.
00:18:20.740 That's pretty cool.
00:18:23.840 All right.
00:18:26.740 I realized yesterday
00:18:28.620 that I should share with you
00:18:30.440 my stock conflicts of interest.
00:18:34.500 Do you think I should do that?
00:18:36.160 Let me ask you your opinion.
00:18:38.020 When somebody does what I do,
00:18:39.800 which is I talk about companies and politics
00:18:42.220 and stuff like that,
00:18:42.960 I feel like I should tell you
00:18:44.760 what stocks I own
00:18:45.980 because that could inform you
00:18:47.920 about my bias, right?
00:18:50.100 So I thought I'd do that.
00:18:52.240 I don't know if I have any obligation
00:18:53.720 to do this,
00:18:54.600 but it feels like it'd be fair.
00:18:56.460 Oh, that was funny.
00:18:58.760 So,
00:18:59.180 here are the stocks,
00:19:01.800 which,
00:19:02.140 this is not all my stocks,
00:19:04.340 just ones that might have
00:19:05.200 some conflict of interest.
00:19:07.260 So yesterday I bought,
00:19:08.480 and by the way,
00:19:08.940 these are not stock recommendations.
00:19:10.540 Do not take these
00:19:13.100 as financial advice.
00:19:14.860 I'm just telling you
00:19:15.520 my conflicts of interest.
00:19:16.860 I do not recommend
00:19:17.660 these stocks to anybody.
00:19:20.100 I bought some Regeneron stock yesterday.
00:19:24.620 Again,
00:19:25.180 I don't recommend it.
00:19:26.580 It's a small part of my portfolio,
00:19:28.480 just sort of a,
00:19:30.040 a few companies
00:19:31.040 that I'm just gambling on.
00:19:32.760 So I would say
00:19:33.220 that's more of a gamble
00:19:34.060 than an investment,
00:19:35.840 but I have a small gamble
00:19:37.660 on Regeneron.
00:19:38.520 So if I talk about Regeneron,
00:19:40.000 keep that in mind.
00:19:41.620 Likewise,
00:19:42.540 I have an investment
00:19:43.540 in the Israel,
00:19:44.740 an index fund
00:19:46.120 of Israeli companies.
00:19:49.160 I've mentioned this before.
00:19:50.520 It's not the first time
00:19:51.380 I'm saying it in public,
00:19:52.500 but I do have
00:19:54.160 a fairly sizable investment
00:19:56.100 in Israeli companies.
00:19:58.160 The thinking there
00:19:59.020 is that it's sort of
00:19:59.760 the Silicon Valley
00:20:00.700 of the world.
00:20:02.240 So basically,
00:20:03.080 I'm betting on
00:20:03.800 their security situation
00:20:05.240 continuing to improve,
00:20:06.580 and on their
00:20:08.340 education system
00:20:10.300 and their
00:20:11.040 entrepreneurial system
00:20:12.460 producing.
00:20:14.040 And so far,
00:20:14.680 I've doubled my money
00:20:16.140 in Israeli stocks.
00:20:18.700 So if I talk about Israel,
00:20:20.360 you'll know that
00:20:20.960 I have a financial interest.
00:20:22.880 Now,
00:20:23.140 I was pro-Israel
00:20:24.020 before I invested.
00:20:26.200 So I don't think
00:20:27.080 my investments
00:20:27.700 made me pro-Israel.
00:20:29.240 I've always been
00:20:30.080 pro-Israel.
00:20:31.480 But you should be aware
00:20:32.640 of it.
00:20:32.900 Now here are the tech stocks
00:20:35.020 that I also bought
00:20:36.240 when we had
00:20:38.940 the COVID dip.
00:20:40.300 So at the bottom of...
00:20:41.420 God,
00:20:41.760 my nose is itching.
00:20:42.660 Sorry.
00:20:43.580 At the bottom of the
00:20:44.980 COVID pullback
00:20:46.720 when the stock's
00:20:47.400 all tanked,
00:20:49.480 I bought
00:20:51.480 a bunch of tech companies.
00:20:53.940 I bought Tesla.
00:20:56.020 So I talk about Tesla,
00:20:57.920 but you should know
00:20:58.660 that I also own
00:20:59.320 some stock.
00:21:00.600 Amazon,
00:21:00.980 Apple,
00:21:03.700 Twitter,
00:21:05.420 Snapchat,
00:21:06.240 which went up 400%
00:21:07.900 since I bought it
00:21:09.180 in the pullback,
00:21:12.080 and Microsoft.
00:21:13.940 Now,
00:21:14.520 again,
00:21:14.900 I'm not recommending
00:21:15.720 any of the stocks.
00:21:17.000 They were just stocks
00:21:18.380 that tanked,
00:21:19.180 and I figured
00:21:19.800 that it was a good
00:21:20.440 buying opportunity,
00:21:21.300 so I own them.
00:21:22.400 So when I talk about
00:21:23.260 any of those stocks,
00:21:24.320 remind yourself
00:21:25.080 that I own
00:21:25.960 stock
00:21:27.080 in them.
00:21:28.380 All right.
00:21:30.980 that's why
00:21:33.640 you liked...
00:21:34.820 So that's exactly
00:21:35.680 the kind of comment
00:21:36.700 you should make.
00:21:37.940 So I saw in the comments,
00:21:39.260 that's why you liked
00:21:40.140 Musk's comment,
00:21:41.860 because you have
00:21:42.640 Tesla stock.
00:21:44.620 Well,
00:21:45.140 I don't think so.
00:21:47.100 I don't think
00:21:47.700 that's why I like
00:21:48.580 this comment.
00:21:49.420 I think I just liked
00:21:50.220 his comment.
00:21:50.900 But it's exactly
00:21:51.600 the right question.
00:21:52.760 So you should hold
00:21:53.420 that in your head
00:21:54.080 that I could be biased,
00:21:55.260 and I wouldn't know it.
00:21:56.120 Well,
00:21:58.520 what is wrong
00:21:59.020 with us collectively
00:22:00.660 as people
00:22:01.260 when there are
00:22:03.140 three stories
00:22:03.780 in the news today?
00:22:05.200 One is about
00:22:05.920 a guy killing his wife,
00:22:07.020 and two of them
00:22:07.600 are about a mother
00:22:08.240 killing her children.
00:22:10.540 Now,
00:22:11.140 there's a lot of crime
00:22:12.020 and killing
00:22:12.500 in the world,
00:22:14.060 but why do these
00:22:14.920 three stories
00:22:16.280 become national news
00:22:17.580 with all the murderers
00:22:19.220 and killing and stuff?
00:22:20.640 And how many
00:22:21.520 of these people
00:22:22.060 are white people?
00:22:23.880 Oh,
00:22:24.220 all of them.
00:22:25.400 Oh,
00:22:25.600 all of them.
00:22:26.600 They're all white people.
00:22:28.960 Really?
00:22:30.520 There weren't
00:22:31.140 any black people
00:22:32.140 lately
00:22:33.680 that have any kind
00:22:35.380 of a,
00:22:35.840 you know,
00:22:36.220 tragedy
00:22:36.780 that would be newsworthy?
00:22:38.780 Only white people
00:22:39.800 had newsworthy tragedies.
00:22:42.280 Right?
00:22:43.320 Now,
00:22:44.440 I'm not,
00:22:45.140 I think if you've
00:22:46.020 been watching me
00:22:46.580 for a while,
00:22:47.720 you know I'm not
00:22:48.500 the social justice warrior,
00:22:50.780 everything's got to be equal,
00:22:52.300 blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:22:53.400 But I do feel like
00:22:54.720 the complaint
00:22:55.340 that this is
00:22:56.180 about,
00:22:56.940 you know,
00:22:57.340 white people missing
00:22:58.520 is pretty close
00:23:00.340 to the mark.
00:23:02.120 Right?
00:23:02.800 Now,
00:23:03.160 I get that it's based
00:23:04.000 on how many people
00:23:04.760 are going to click on it
00:23:05.640 so that the news
00:23:06.620 is just following
00:23:07.260 the public,
00:23:07.800 but between the news
00:23:09.880 and the public,
00:23:11.540 it does seem like
00:23:12.980 it's excluding
00:23:13.680 a lot of the country.
00:23:14.520 Is that not a fair?
00:23:16.960 Does anybody disagree
00:23:17.820 with that comment?
00:23:22.260 It feels like that,
00:23:23.340 right?
00:23:23.800 Like,
00:23:24.080 no matter how
00:23:25.120 opposed you are
00:23:26.100 to political correctness,
00:23:28.180 the coincidence
00:23:28.980 starts to pile up
00:23:30.300 after a while.
00:23:31.760 Kind of hard
00:23:32.240 to ignore.
00:23:33.640 But I'm even
00:23:34.760 more appalled
00:23:35.320 by the fact
00:23:35.880 that we find
00:23:36.440 this entertaining,
00:23:37.300 that we click on it.
00:23:39.180 Do you click
00:23:39.840 on these stories
00:23:40.580 about somebody
00:23:41.860 killed a family member?
00:23:43.780 I try not to click
00:23:45.020 on those.
00:23:46.040 I don't like
00:23:46.460 to reward that.
00:23:48.160 Yeah.
00:23:48.480 I don't like
00:23:49.080 to mention the names,
00:23:50.480 dwell on the details.
00:23:51.640 This just shouldn't
00:23:52.720 be news.
00:23:53.740 I'll tell you
00:23:54.200 what should be news.
00:23:55.780 Have you seen
00:23:56.280 the viral video
00:23:57.360 of the Florida man
00:23:58.600 who trapped
00:23:59.740 an alligator
00:24:00.320 with a garbage bin
00:24:01.480 and actually got
00:24:02.500 the alligator
00:24:03.000 in the garbage bin
00:24:04.020 by putting it
00:24:05.600 on the side
00:24:06.120 and, like,
00:24:06.720 shoving it
00:24:07.140 into the alligator
00:24:08.040 and the alligator
00:24:08.740 goes wild
00:24:09.360 and ends up
00:24:09.900 in the bin
00:24:11.180 and he pulls it up
00:24:13.000 and he's actually
00:24:13.460 captured an alligator
00:24:14.500 in a garbage bin.
00:24:16.460 Now,
00:24:17.700 I love the fact
00:24:18.800 that it starts
00:24:19.280 with a Florida man
00:24:20.360 because you know
00:24:21.600 the running joke
00:24:22.640 that any story
00:24:24.280 that starts with
00:24:24.980 a Florida man
00:24:26.260 is going to be
00:24:27.160 a wacky story.
00:24:28.720 You know there's
00:24:29.580 going to be
00:24:29.880 some crazy stuff
00:24:31.200 going on
00:24:31.660 if it starts
00:24:32.160 with a Florida man
00:24:33.560 in the news,
00:24:35.260 a Florida man
00:24:36.040 trapped an alligator
00:24:37.600 with a garbage can.
00:24:39.900 There are a lot
00:24:41.040 of fun stories
00:24:41.660 coming out of Florida,
00:24:42.460 I'll tell you.
00:24:44.100 Well,
00:24:44.700 here's an update
00:24:45.540 on permanent news.
00:24:48.220 Permanent news.
00:24:49.840 The news that
00:24:50.520 never changes
00:24:51.240 even when the day
00:24:52.340 changes.
00:24:53.900 Well,
00:24:54.340 and this will
00:24:54.800 surprise you,
00:24:55.420 but it turns out
00:24:56.120 that the infrastructure
00:24:57.180 bill stalled.
00:25:00.580 Did anybody
00:25:01.300 see that coming?
00:25:02.880 I know,
00:25:03.360 surprise.
00:25:04.240 The infrastructure
00:25:04.940 bill is stalled
00:25:06.540 again today.
00:25:08.040 like yesterday
00:25:09.860 and the day
00:25:10.340 before.
00:25:10.760 It's always
00:25:11.000 a different
00:25:11.300 reason,
00:25:12.220 although Joe
00:25:12.740 Manchin's been
00:25:13.300 a big part
00:25:13.680 of the reason
00:25:14.040 lately.
00:25:15.780 Yeah,
00:25:16.060 so it's stalled.
00:25:16.740 That's the whole
00:25:17.140 story.
00:25:19.680 Chris Hayes
00:25:20.580 commented on
00:25:22.600 Twitter in
00:25:23.180 all caps.
00:25:24.580 So you know
00:25:25.340 he's serious
00:25:25.980 about this.
00:25:27.160 All caps,
00:25:28.060 folks.
00:25:29.020 Hold on.
00:25:29.920 Put on your
00:25:30.380 seatbelt.
00:25:31.460 I'm going to
00:25:31.800 read this tweet
00:25:32.480 that's written in
00:25:33.140 all caps,
00:25:34.160 intentionally.
00:25:35.380 It's going to
00:25:35.760 blow you right
00:25:36.300 out of your chair.
00:25:36.900 Here it is.
00:25:38.380 And I have to
00:25:38.920 read it the way
00:25:39.700 all caps must be
00:25:40.840 read.
00:25:41.520 If it were a
00:25:41.920 regular tweet,
00:25:42.720 I'd be like,
00:25:43.300 blah, blah, blah,
00:25:43.840 blah, blah.
00:25:44.420 But it's all caps,
00:25:45.440 so I have to
00:25:45.800 read it like that.
00:25:46.940 There is no
00:25:47.760 brutal fiscal
00:25:48.860 reality the
00:25:50.000 nation faces.
00:25:51.260 It is entirely
00:25:52.000 made up.
00:25:53.180 Now he's talking
00:25:53.660 about Joe
00:25:54.560 Manchin saying
00:25:55.200 that there's a
00:25:55.880 brutal fiscal
00:25:56.760 reality that we
00:25:58.260 can't spend
00:25:58.800 trillions of
00:25:59.380 dollars without
00:26:00.100 getting in
00:26:01.520 trouble.
00:26:02.580 Whereas Chris
00:26:03.420 Hayes says there
00:26:04.140 is no brutal
00:26:04.860 fiscal reality.
00:26:06.900 What could be
00:26:07.940 more of a
00:26:10.040 difference of
00:26:10.600 opinion than
00:26:12.060 somebody thinking
00:26:13.000 we're spending
00:26:13.660 trillions of
00:26:14.460 dollars and
00:26:15.780 somebody else
00:26:16.580 also educated,
00:26:18.240 also follows the
00:26:19.120 news,
00:26:22.380 and,
00:26:22.840 sorry, I just
00:26:26.920 saw a comment
00:26:27.400 that just
00:26:27.800 completely threw
00:26:28.560 me off my
00:26:29.060 game there.
00:26:29.460 So which is
00:26:31.680 true?
00:26:31.940 can we spend
00:26:33.800 trillions of
00:26:34.420 dollars, and
00:26:35.980 it's free, because
00:26:37.600 it pays for
00:26:38.240 itself, or does
00:26:40.080 it just cost us
00:26:40.760 trillions of
00:26:41.260 dollars and
00:26:41.680 we're all dead?
00:26:43.400 Those could not
00:26:44.340 be, those could
00:26:48.080 not be more
00:26:48.720 different, could
00:26:49.340 they?
00:26:50.320 How in the world
00:26:51.160 could both of
00:26:51.900 those movies be
00:26:52.920 playing on the
00:26:53.500 same screen?
00:26:55.040 Now I get when
00:26:56.540 people say, oh,
00:26:57.400 Trump's a monster,
00:26:58.340 and then other
00:26:58.780 people say he's a
00:26:59.600 savior.
00:26:59.840 I see how
00:27:00.380 those movies can
00:27:01.220 play on the
00:27:02.240 same screen, but
00:27:03.740 how in the
00:27:04.220 world does one
00:27:06.300 movie see
00:27:06.900 trillions of
00:27:07.660 dollars and one
00:27:08.400 movie see
00:27:08.900 nothing?
00:27:10.740 How do you get
00:27:11.500 that?
00:27:13.060 Well, we have
00:27:14.180 massive economic
00:27:15.520 ignorance.
00:27:16.480 That's how you
00:27:16.900 get it.
00:27:18.180 All right?
00:27:18.660 Now, as I tell
00:27:19.560 you way too
00:27:20.160 often, I have a
00:27:21.340 degree in
00:27:21.860 economics.
00:27:22.900 I've got an
00:27:23.600 MBA, and I
00:27:25.200 don't know the
00:27:25.700 answer to this
00:27:26.280 question.
00:27:27.380 I'm not even
00:27:28.080 close to the
00:27:28.660 answer.
00:27:28.880 The answer
00:27:29.940 to the
00:27:30.220 question is, can
00:27:31.100 we spend
00:27:31.540 trillions of
00:27:32.080 dollars on
00:27:32.580 infrastructure, and
00:27:33.980 is it free, or
00:27:36.080 will it destroy
00:27:36.860 the country?
00:27:38.460 I don't know.
00:27:40.380 I don't know.
00:27:41.600 I don't even have
00:27:42.320 a good guess.
00:27:43.880 To me, it would
00:27:44.600 be kind of a
00:27:45.120 coin flip.
00:27:46.180 50-50?
00:27:47.500 I mean, based on
00:27:48.180 the fact that I
00:27:48.700 don't have any
00:27:49.660 hint which way
00:27:51.260 this goes.
00:27:53.340 What do you
00:27:53.940 think?
00:27:54.640 And by the way,
00:27:55.420 let me say this as
00:27:56.160 clearly as possible.
00:27:57.000 people, you
00:27:57.800 don't know, right?
00:28:00.340 If you have a
00:28:01.060 degree in
00:28:01.500 economics, let
00:28:02.920 me know in the
00:28:03.400 comments, and
00:28:04.060 then tell me your
00:28:04.740 opinion.
00:28:05.380 But for most of
00:28:06.080 you, you don't
00:28:06.520 have any kind of
00:28:07.960 degree in
00:28:08.500 economics, so you
00:28:10.460 definitely don't
00:28:11.260 know if spending
00:28:12.400 the trillion dollars
00:28:13.180 is free or
00:28:15.000 destroys the
00:28:16.060 country because
00:28:16.520 we don't have
00:28:17.000 trillions of
00:28:17.460 dollars that we
00:28:18.940 could borrow.
00:28:20.220 I mean, we
00:28:20.820 could borrow it,
00:28:21.400 but maybe we
00:28:21.860 can't pay it
00:28:22.280 back too easily.
00:28:24.420 Economists are
00:28:24.960 often wrong.
00:28:25.660 That's right.
00:28:26.600 But at least
00:28:27.020 they would
00:28:27.340 understand the
00:28:27.940 question better.
00:28:29.320 They might get
00:28:29.880 the wrong answer,
00:28:30.660 but at least
00:28:31.000 they'd understand
00:28:31.600 the question.
00:28:35.080 Honestly, I
00:28:35.680 have a bad
00:28:36.060 feeling about it,
00:28:36.800 somebody says.
00:28:37.820 Right, if it's
00:28:38.460 free, why would
00:28:39.100 you stop?
00:28:40.140 Why would you
00:28:40.820 stop at 3.5?
00:28:42.380 Why not 10
00:28:43.220 trillion?
00:28:43.780 It's free.
00:28:46.540 So I
00:28:48.280 think the
00:28:49.460 answer is
00:28:49.960 probably not
00:28:50.660 either extreme,
00:28:51.780 right?
00:28:52.140 It's not free,
00:28:53.160 and it's probably
00:28:53.660 not going to
00:28:54.200 destroy the
00:28:54.680 country.
00:28:56.760 If you don't
00:28:57.600 know, why
00:28:58.360 risk it?
00:28:58.820 Oh, there
00:28:59.120 we go.
00:29:00.080 So Brandon, I
00:29:00.980 believe, has an
00:29:01.900 economics degree
00:29:02.760 and asked this
00:29:03.640 reasonable question.
00:29:04.920 If you don't
00:29:05.720 know if it
00:29:07.000 could destroy
00:29:07.540 the country,
00:29:08.720 why risk it?
00:29:10.200 That's a really
00:29:10.920 good answer.
00:29:12.560 Now, that's
00:29:13.960 somebody who's
00:29:14.400 an economist.
00:29:14.880 That is a
00:29:16.540 perfect economist
00:29:18.120 response.
00:29:19.480 If you don't
00:29:20.020 know if it
00:29:21.600 would be good
00:29:22.160 or bad, why
00:29:23.860 would you do
00:29:24.440 it?
00:29:26.400 That's a really
00:29:27.080 good question.
00:29:29.800 I think most
00:29:30.840 of us agree that
00:29:31.560 if you did just
00:29:32.180 the infrastructure
00:29:32.820 part, you
00:29:34.080 probably come
00:29:34.880 out ahead, or
00:29:35.840 at least you
00:29:36.280 needed the
00:29:36.720 infrastructure.
00:29:37.800 Even if it
00:29:38.340 didn't pay for
00:29:38.860 itself, you
00:29:39.620 still have to
00:29:40.060 do it.
00:29:41.120 But when you
00:29:41.720 get to the
00:29:42.280 larger 3.5
00:29:43.980 trillion, if
00:29:45.440 you don't know
00:29:46.120 it's going to
00:29:46.600 work, why
00:29:48.680 would you do
00:29:49.180 it?
00:29:51.160 Of course, we
00:29:51.920 don't know any
00:29:52.600 of our plans
00:29:53.160 are going to
00:29:53.480 work, right?
00:29:54.380 So to be fair,
00:29:56.040 it's always a
00:29:56.820 calculated risk.
00:29:58.040 But if we don't
00:29:58.680 have any
00:29:59.420 visibility at
00:30:00.800 all, usually
00:30:02.240 you're saying,
00:30:02.780 okay, usually
00:30:03.400 this sort of
00:30:03.940 thing works,
00:30:04.300 like vaccinations.
00:30:05.980 We're not
00:30:06.620 flying blind
00:30:07.360 with vaccinations
00:30:08.160 entirely, because
00:30:09.760 we've developed
00:30:10.720 drugs before, we
00:30:11.920 have some
00:30:12.280 intuition about
00:30:12.960 things.
00:30:13.660 But with this
00:30:14.720 DEZ stuff, we
00:30:16.040 don't have any
00:30:16.880 intuition about
00:30:17.680 this.
00:30:17.940 There's no
00:30:19.260 math and
00:30:19.840 there's no
00:30:20.200 intuition that
00:30:20.860 can tell us
00:30:21.380 if this makes
00:30:21.880 sense.
00:30:23.560 I don't think
00:30:24.340 the experts
00:30:24.800 agree, right?
00:30:26.700 All right.
00:30:29.660 Do you know
00:30:30.280 if China is
00:30:30.940 surplus or
00:30:31.560 debt?
00:30:32.900 I think
00:30:33.540 China doesn't
00:30:34.360 have debt the
00:30:35.360 way we do,
00:30:35.980 right?
00:30:37.260 That's a good
00:30:37.880 question.
00:30:38.260 I don't know
00:30:38.580 the answer to
00:30:38.980 that.
00:30:39.700 I mean, lots
00:30:40.400 of companies
00:30:40.920 have debt over
00:30:41.520 there, and
00:30:41.940 that would be
00:30:42.300 a problem,
00:30:42.820 especially the
00:30:43.340 real estate
00:30:43.680 companies.
00:30:45.180 All right,
00:30:45.620 Dr. Interracial
00:30:46.780 tweeted at me,
00:30:47.940 today, to alert
00:30:49.360 me, to there's
00:30:50.660 a new DNC
00:30:51.800 campaign ad
00:30:52.800 they're running
00:30:53.920 to try to
00:30:54.600 attack Ron
00:30:55.300 DeSantis.
00:30:56.900 Now, that
00:30:57.520 makes sense,
00:30:58.220 because they're
00:30:58.660 going after,
00:30:59.220 you know, the
00:30:59.600 Corey Lewandowski
00:31:00.840 use the Ron
00:31:01.560 DeSantis, trying
00:31:02.620 to get ahead of,
00:31:03.500 you know, the
00:31:03.920 next elections,
00:31:05.380 and take down
00:31:06.060 people they think
00:31:06.860 are at risk.
00:31:08.220 But here's the
00:31:10.260 funny part.
00:31:10.820 the Democrats'
00:31:13.460 campaign ad
00:31:14.160 against Ron
00:31:15.320 DeSantis
00:31:15.820 reads like
00:31:18.540 a campaign
00:31:20.340 ad for
00:31:21.200 Ron DeSantis.
00:31:23.040 It is probably
00:31:23.920 the worst
00:31:24.820 conceived
00:31:25.500 hit piece
00:31:26.480 you've ever
00:31:26.940 seen, because
00:31:28.160 you're watching
00:31:28.640 it and you're
00:31:29.060 thinking, I
00:31:30.060 think I kind
00:31:30.640 of like Ron
00:31:31.180 DeSantis based
00:31:31.980 on what I'm
00:31:32.520 hearing.
00:31:32.780 And the
00:31:34.060 campaign ad
00:31:34.720 starts in an
00:31:35.380 airplane that,
00:31:36.380 you know,
00:31:36.560 everybody's got
00:31:36.980 their face masks
00:31:37.680 on, and the
00:31:38.500 announcer, the
00:31:40.000 flight attendant
00:31:41.240 says, we're
00:31:41.880 entering Florida
00:31:42.620 where, you
00:31:43.900 know, you
00:31:44.160 won't have
00:31:44.620 masks, and
00:31:45.380 you don't
00:31:45.600 have to get
00:31:46.000 vaccinations, and
00:31:46.900 you can go
00:31:47.980 anywhere you
00:31:48.480 want.
00:31:49.280 And the
00:31:49.760 implication is
00:31:52.180 that going to
00:31:52.860 Florida is a
00:31:53.780 big dangerous
00:31:54.400 thing, because
00:31:55.300 Ron DeSantis is
00:31:56.340 ignoring all the
00:31:57.600 science and
00:31:58.120 doing dangerous
00:31:58.700 stuff.
00:31:59.020 That's what
00:31:59.500 they're trying
00:31:59.820 to sell you.
00:32:01.160 But they
00:32:01.840 miss the mark
00:32:02.740 so badly that
00:32:05.540 it comes off
00:32:06.100 looking like a
00:32:06.800 pro-DeSantis
00:32:07.500 ad, because
00:32:08.580 it basically
00:32:09.080 says, Ron
00:32:09.980 DeSantis
00:32:10.380 will give
00:32:10.900 you your
00:32:11.220 freedom, and
00:32:12.860 we won't.
00:32:14.480 I mean, that's
00:32:14.900 what it says.
00:32:15.700 Ron DeSantis
00:32:16.520 will give you
00:32:18.280 your freedom,
00:32:19.840 but we
00:32:21.020 won't.
00:32:21.900 That's what
00:32:22.480 the frickin'
00:32:22.940 ad says.
00:32:24.520 How in the
00:32:25.220 world did
00:32:25.680 they think
00:32:25.980 that was a
00:32:26.400 good idea?
00:32:26.960 What kind
00:32:28.200 of an
00:32:28.740 insulated
00:32:29.600 political life
00:32:32.820 do you have
00:32:33.480 that nobody
00:32:34.700 told you this
00:32:35.300 was a bad
00:32:35.800 idea?
00:32:36.100 I mean, I
00:32:38.120 think they just
00:32:38.580 made Ron
00:32:39.020 DeSantis
00:32:39.420 president.
00:32:40.680 If you
00:32:40.980 go to
00:32:41.280 Florida, the
00:32:43.000 governor will
00:32:43.480 make sure you
00:32:44.020 have freedom.
00:32:45.520 Come on.
00:32:47.580 That's like the
00:32:48.360 best thing you
00:32:48.940 could ever say
00:32:49.480 about this
00:32:49.960 guy.
00:32:50.900 Yeah, they're
00:32:51.500 so tone
00:32:52.060 deaf.
00:32:53.440 Now, is
00:32:53.900 this an
00:32:54.260 example where
00:32:54.880 the left only
00:32:55.540 listens to
00:32:56.160 themselves?
00:32:57.400 It must be,
00:32:58.260 right?
00:32:58.720 Because I feel
00:32:59.380 like the right
00:32:59.960 wouldn't have
00:33:00.400 made this
00:33:00.800 mistake.
00:33:02.080 When was
00:33:02.480 the last
00:33:02.780 time you
00:33:03.080 saw a
00:33:04.520 campaign ad
00:33:05.940 from the
00:33:06.340 right, where
00:33:07.780 you looked
00:33:08.120 at it and
00:33:08.380 you said,
00:33:08.640 huh, this
00:33:09.100 is working
00:33:09.960 in the
00:33:10.240 opposite
00:33:10.520 direction.
00:33:11.540 It looks
00:33:11.940 like the
00:33:13.320 right doesn't
00:33:13.940 even understand
00:33:14.560 what the
00:33:14.900 left is
00:33:15.280 thinking.
00:33:16.500 You've
00:33:16.980 never seen
00:33:17.480 it.
00:33:18.580 Because the
00:33:19.280 right understands
00:33:21.000 the argument
00:33:21.980 on the left.
00:33:23.680 They disagree
00:33:24.560 with it, but
00:33:26.060 they've heard
00:33:26.600 it.
00:33:27.820 They've heard
00:33:28.640 it.
00:33:29.380 And that's
00:33:29.880 different.
00:33:30.600 Because the
00:33:30.960 right knows
00:33:31.400 what the
00:33:31.700 left is at
00:33:32.280 least talking
00:33:32.760 about and
00:33:33.140 thinking.
00:33:33.460 But the
00:33:34.600 left has
00:33:35.000 no idea
00:33:35.620 what the
00:33:35.940 right is
00:33:36.280 thinking or
00:33:36.700 talking about
00:33:37.120 because they
00:33:37.440 don't consume
00:33:38.520 that media.
00:33:41.040 Yeah.
00:33:43.460 So think
00:33:44.180 about it.
00:33:44.560 Think about
00:33:44.920 the fact
00:33:45.300 that Democrats
00:33:46.800 have consistently
00:33:47.760 made ads that
00:33:48.560 work against
00:33:49.340 their own
00:33:49.720 interests and
00:33:50.220 Republicans
00:33:50.620 haven't.
00:33:51.880 And it's
00:33:52.160 all different
00:33:52.560 people.
00:33:53.740 It's definitely
00:33:54.280 a Republican
00:33:54.880 Democrat
00:33:55.360 difference.
00:33:57.180 Well, the
00:33:57.860 Taliban is
00:33:58.460 warning that
00:33:59.240 there will
00:34:00.160 be some
00:34:01.080 kind of
00:34:02.160 consequences.
00:34:03.460 if the
00:34:04.400 U.S.
00:34:04.720 keeps flying
00:34:05.300 drones over
00:34:06.180 Afghanistan
00:34:06.820 because that's
00:34:08.760 violating their
00:34:09.960 sovereignty.
00:34:10.780 To which I
00:34:11.400 say, that is
00:34:12.600 kind of violating
00:34:13.340 their sovereignty,
00:34:14.240 isn't it?
00:34:15.500 It does feel
00:34:16.540 like that's
00:34:17.040 pretty violating
00:34:18.040 their sovereignty.
00:34:19.140 But, you
00:34:19.820 know, of course,
00:34:20.260 we have
00:34:20.500 legitimate security
00:34:21.640 reasons to do
00:34:22.420 it.
00:34:23.680 And I'm
00:34:24.480 wondering, what
00:34:25.000 exactly is the
00:34:25.740 Taliban going to
00:34:26.440 do about it?
00:34:27.900 I mean, I think
00:34:28.720 we do it because
00:34:29.400 we can, right?
00:34:30.420 There's nothing
00:34:30.820 they can do
00:34:31.240 about it.
00:34:31.740 They can't
00:34:32.060 really shoot
00:34:32.440 down our
00:34:32.800 drones to
00:34:33.280 easily, at
00:34:33.980 least not
00:34:34.300 yet.
00:34:35.360 So, would
00:34:36.860 they retaliate
00:34:37.720 by sending
00:34:38.240 drones over
00:34:38.900 here?
00:34:40.440 Do you
00:34:41.000 think you'll
00:34:41.360 ever see a
00:34:41.920 Taliban drone
00:34:42.940 in the United
00:34:43.540 States, you
00:34:44.720 know, attacking
00:34:46.440 something over
00:34:47.140 here?
00:34:48.560 Maybe.
00:34:50.040 Yeah.
00:34:51.220 It doesn't
00:34:51.900 necessarily have
00:34:52.500 to come from
00:34:52.860 the Taliban, but
00:34:53.680 you're definitely
00:34:54.340 going to see
00:34:54.760 drones attacking
00:34:55.800 in the United
00:34:56.340 States.
00:34:57.180 Probably the
00:34:58.020 small ones,
00:34:59.020 you know, the
00:34:59.440 hobby ones.
00:35:00.600 All right, the
00:35:03.160 numbers don't
00:35:03.760 lie.
00:35:04.300 Have you ever
00:35:04.660 learned that?
00:35:06.120 The numbers
00:35:06.720 don't lie.
00:35:08.140 So, if you're
00:35:08.560 going to look at
00:35:08.920 the data to
00:35:09.840 figure out, you
00:35:10.600 know, let's say
00:35:11.560 what country did
00:35:12.320 better than some
00:35:13.040 other country on
00:35:13.760 COVID, you just
00:35:14.980 look at the
00:35:15.400 numbers.
00:35:16.800 Because the
00:35:17.360 numbers don't
00:35:17.860 lie, right?
00:35:18.820 As long as you
00:35:19.320 have numbers, you
00:35:19.860 know exactly what's
00:35:20.600 going on.
00:35:22.180 Except, except
00:35:24.760 this example.
00:35:26.840 So, a tweet
00:35:27.500 claiming, it
00:35:29.340 doesn't matter
00:35:29.760 who, because a
00:35:30.740 number of people
00:35:31.200 have done this,
00:35:31.960 claiming that one
00:35:32.800 of India's, I
00:35:34.660 don't know,
00:35:34.860 provinces or
00:35:35.660 whatever they're
00:35:36.040 called, states or
00:35:36.920 provinces, I
00:35:37.580 don't know, had
00:35:39.120 something like
00:35:39.620 zero COVID
00:35:41.400 deaths, and it's
00:35:42.200 because of
00:35:42.620 ivermectin.
00:35:43.900 How many times
00:35:44.700 have you seen
00:35:45.200 that?
00:35:46.060 There's some
00:35:46.920 area in India
00:35:48.940 that doesn't have
00:35:50.160 any COVID because
00:35:51.160 of ivermectin.
00:35:52.340 As soon as that
00:35:52.920 ivermectin came
00:35:53.760 in, boom.
00:35:54.760 The deaths
00:35:55.700 went down to
00:35:56.340 zero.
00:35:57.300 Have you heard
00:35:57.780 that?
00:35:59.840 Okay, none of
00:36:00.400 it's true.
00:36:01.500 None of it's
00:36:02.140 true.
00:36:03.240 And beyond
00:36:04.100 that, apparently
00:36:05.440 the death
00:36:06.480 count in India
00:36:07.280 might be
00:36:07.780 undercounted by
00:36:08.660 a factor of
00:36:09.460 10.
00:36:11.020 They think
00:36:11.860 that 400,000
00:36:12.920 people in India
00:36:13.720 died of COVID.
00:36:15.340 It might be
00:36:16.080 4 million.
00:36:18.200 It might be
00:36:19.500 4 million.
00:36:22.180 Smart people
00:36:22.880 are saying that
00:36:23.480 it might be
00:36:23.880 4 million.
00:36:25.640 They just
00:36:26.080 don't keep
00:36:26.740 the records
00:36:27.160 the same
00:36:27.500 way we
00:36:27.820 do.
00:36:29.560 I doubt
00:36:30.240 it's 40
00:36:30.680 million, but
00:36:31.300 4 million?
00:36:33.320 Wow.
00:36:34.480 So anybody
00:36:35.720 who thinks
00:36:36.140 that ivermectin
00:36:36.960 solved the
00:36:38.180 problem in
00:36:38.740 one of their
00:36:39.380 areas would
00:36:39.960 have to explain
00:36:40.740 why the other
00:36:41.480 areas are not
00:36:42.200 using it already.
00:36:43.720 So that's your
00:36:44.220 first question.
00:36:45.440 If it totally
00:36:46.200 definitely worked
00:36:46.960 in this one
00:36:47.520 area of India,
00:36:49.300 why isn't all
00:36:50.240 of India doing
00:36:50.800 it?
00:36:50.980 Well, the
00:36:51.920 answer is
00:36:52.460 none of it's
00:36:53.400 true.
00:36:54.360 The area that
00:36:55.060 we're talking
00:36:55.460 about, we
00:36:56.560 don't know how
00:36:57.080 many people
00:36:57.500 died.
00:36:57.940 It's probably
00:36:58.240 10 times as
00:36:58.900 many as
00:36:59.380 whatever is
00:36:59.960 reported.
00:37:01.140 But secondly,
00:37:03.980 just the numbers
00:37:05.100 are all wrong.
00:37:06.180 Basically,
00:37:06.860 everything about it
00:37:07.640 is wrong.
00:37:08.360 And the area,
00:37:10.240 Andres
00:37:10.640 Beckhaus was
00:37:11.460 pointing out that
00:37:12.200 if you added
00:37:12.820 together the
00:37:13.400 natural immunity
00:37:14.220 in the area
00:37:14.820 from pre-infections
00:37:16.080 plus vaccinations,
00:37:18.220 that explains
00:37:19.200 the dip.
00:37:21.960 So many people
00:37:22.960 in that area
00:37:23.580 are either
00:37:24.080 already infected
00:37:25.060 or they got
00:37:26.940 the vaccination
00:37:27.580 that there
00:37:28.020 weren't many
00:37:29.300 people left
00:37:29.720 to infect.
00:37:30.820 So of course
00:37:31.680 it dropped.
00:37:32.160 It had nothing
00:37:32.540 to do with
00:37:32.940 ivermectin.
00:37:34.220 So if you see
00:37:35.040 that it was
00:37:35.420 ivermectin,
00:37:36.040 that's not true.
00:37:37.620 Let me give
00:37:38.080 you the worst
00:37:39.320 argument I've
00:37:41.760 seen.
00:37:43.160 Now again,
00:37:43.700 this isn't about
00:37:44.360 vaccinations,
00:37:45.160 yes or no.
00:37:46.080 This is about
00:37:46.960 arguments,
00:37:48.100 okay?
00:37:49.280 Again,
00:37:49.820 I don't care
00:37:50.280 if you vaccinated.
00:37:52.160 It's just about
00:37:52.940 whether your
00:37:53.460 argument is good.
00:37:54.540 Because I think
00:37:55.040 there are good
00:37:55.460 arguments both sides.
00:37:56.880 Have I ever
00:37:57.320 said that outright?
00:37:58.880 Let me say it
00:37:59.500 outright.
00:38:00.400 I think there
00:38:01.120 are good arguments
00:38:02.060 on both sides
00:38:03.640 of this question.
00:38:05.280 But each of us
00:38:06.080 have to make
00:38:06.500 a decision.
00:38:07.720 And whatever
00:38:08.420 decision you make,
00:38:09.760 you're going to
00:38:10.140 have to live with
00:38:10.780 the fact that
00:38:11.220 the other side
00:38:11.760 had an argument.
00:38:13.260 You know,
00:38:13.500 it wasn't nothing.
00:38:14.740 They did have
00:38:15.660 an argument.
00:38:16.240 You could
00:38:16.520 disagree with
00:38:17.080 it.
00:38:17.920 You know,
00:38:18.200 I do disagree
00:38:18.860 with the
00:38:19.180 argument on
00:38:19.740 the other
00:38:20.040 side for
00:38:21.080 my own
00:38:21.520 risk profile.
00:38:22.740 Not for
00:38:23.120 the rest
00:38:23.420 of you.
00:38:23.760 You have
00:38:24.100 to do
00:38:24.300 your own.
00:38:25.640 But anyway,
00:38:27.160 here's the
00:38:28.040 worst argument.
00:38:30.340 The vaccinated
00:38:31.280 people have
00:38:31.940 two risks,
00:38:32.880 not one.
00:38:34.140 They have
00:38:34.500 the risk
00:38:34.900 of the
00:38:35.220 COVID itself,
00:38:36.640 because even
00:38:37.120 if you're
00:38:37.440 vaccinated,
00:38:38.040 you can still
00:38:38.480 get it.
00:38:38.900 You can still
00:38:39.360 get long-haul
00:38:40.580 COVID,
00:38:41.040 maybe.
00:38:41.260 And then
00:38:43.700 you would
00:38:43.900 have the
00:38:44.180 risk of
00:38:44.540 the vaccination
00:38:45.100 itself on
00:38:46.740 top of the
00:38:47.320 risk of
00:38:47.780 the virus.
00:38:49.580 So this
00:38:50.020 was an
00:38:50.300 actual tweet
00:38:51.020 that getting
00:38:51.960 vaccinated
00:38:52.520 doubles your
00:38:53.440 risk,
00:38:54.600 because now
00:38:55.360 instead of
00:38:55.980 the risk of
00:38:56.520 just the
00:38:56.940 virus,
00:38:57.360 you also
00:38:57.740 have the
00:38:58.100 risk of
00:38:58.480 getting
00:38:58.720 vaccinated
00:38:59.280 itself.
00:39:02.520 Wait,
00:39:03.100 somebody's
00:39:03.500 saying exactly.
00:39:05.340 You're not
00:39:05.940 agreeing with
00:39:06.400 that argument,
00:39:06.940 are you?
00:39:07.180 I hope
00:39:09.840 you're not.
00:39:11.920 Nobody's
00:39:12.320 agreeing with
00:39:12.780 that, are
00:39:13.060 they?
00:39:13.840 Because I
00:39:14.300 set it up as
00:39:15.520 the worst
00:39:15.880 argument that
00:39:16.420 anybody ever
00:39:17.180 made.
00:39:19.120 But I
00:39:19.840 think a few
00:39:20.280 of you are
00:39:20.740 agreeing with
00:39:21.260 the argument.
00:39:24.620 All right.
00:39:26.360 Well,
00:39:27.060 here's what's
00:39:28.960 wrong with
00:39:29.280 that argument.
00:39:30.100 Do I even
00:39:30.500 need to tell
00:39:30.940 you?
00:39:31.720 Do I even
00:39:32.340 need to explain
00:39:32.940 what's wrong
00:39:33.360 with it?
00:39:34.720 Oh, I'm
00:39:35.240 being asked to
00:39:35.740 explain, okay.
00:39:37.180 This would
00:39:39.200 be the same
00:39:39.700 argument for
00:39:40.320 anything good.
00:39:42.500 Name anything
00:39:43.020 that you think
00:39:43.840 worked to
00:39:44.960 make you
00:39:45.340 safer.
00:39:46.520 Seatbelts.
00:39:48.160 If you
00:39:48.760 add seatbelts,
00:39:50.260 you've got the
00:39:50.980 risk of the
00:39:51.540 crash, because
00:39:52.360 people with
00:39:52.800 seatbelts still
00:39:53.380 die, but then
00:39:54.740 you have the
00:39:55.120 added risk of
00:39:55.740 the seatbelt.
00:39:57.000 What if the
00:39:57.480 seatbelt hurts
00:39:58.020 you?
00:39:58.940 That's two
00:39:59.620 risks instead
00:40:01.060 of one.
00:40:01.560 You only had a
00:40:02.180 risk of dying
00:40:02.720 in a car
00:40:03.160 accident, but
00:40:04.600 now you have a
00:40:05.120 risk of dying
00:40:05.640 in a car accident
00:40:06.320 because you
00:40:06.700 can still die
00:40:07.280 in one with
00:40:07.740 seatbelts, but
00:40:08.720 on top of
00:40:09.320 that you have
00:40:09.680 the risk of
00:40:10.100 the seatbelt
00:40:10.520 itself.
00:40:11.920 Two risks
00:40:12.460 instead of
00:40:12.940 one.
00:40:14.480 My point is
00:40:16.380 you can take
00:40:17.060 anything good
00:40:17.900 and just say
00:40:19.140 it created two
00:40:19.900 risks instead
00:40:20.560 of one.
00:40:21.720 How about
00:40:22.060 you go to
00:40:22.980 the, let's
00:40:24.660 say you have
00:40:25.760 an illness,
00:40:27.200 you need a
00:40:28.000 heart bypass.
00:40:29.300 Let's say you
00:40:29.740 need a heart
00:40:30.120 bypass.
00:40:31.280 So you've got
00:40:31.720 a risk from
00:40:32.460 the heart
00:40:33.000 itself, and
00:40:34.340 now you decide
00:40:34.920 to get an
00:40:35.320 operation.
00:40:36.520 That's two
00:40:37.000 risks, twice
00:40:38.180 as bad, right?
00:40:39.320 Now you've got
00:40:39.760 a risk of the
00:40:40.260 operation and
00:40:41.020 the risk of
00:40:41.500 the heart.
00:40:44.440 Every time you
00:40:45.280 try to fix
00:40:45.860 something, it
00:40:46.500 introduces a
00:40:47.180 new risk.
00:40:48.280 But that's
00:40:48.960 not a reason
00:40:50.180 not to do
00:40:50.780 it.
00:40:52.420 You have to
00:40:53.060 look at the
00:40:53.560 total amount
00:40:54.460 of risk.
00:40:54.900 It's not one
00:40:55.600 and two.
00:40:57.540 You don't
00:40:58.080 count risks
00:40:58.520 as, here's
00:40:59.280 one.
00:41:00.480 You have to
00:41:00.900 see how much
00:41:01.520 risk.
00:41:01.940 You don't
00:41:03.480 just say,
00:41:03.980 well, I
00:41:04.240 got two
00:41:04.580 risks, that's
00:41:05.060 twice as
00:41:05.440 much as
00:41:05.760 one.
00:41:06.600 You have
00:41:06.840 to look at
00:41:07.160 the whole
00:41:07.360 situation.
00:41:08.860 All right.
00:41:11.260 I have a
00:41:12.160 hypothesis about
00:41:15.080 why it is that
00:41:15.840 I trigger more
00:41:16.700 cognitive dissonance
00:41:17.960 than other
00:41:18.520 people.
00:41:18.940 Now, first
00:41:19.300 of all, I
00:41:19.700 don't know
00:41:20.000 that that's
00:41:20.400 true, but
00:41:21.280 observationally,
00:41:23.040 it seems that
00:41:23.720 if you look at
00:41:24.180 my Twitter
00:41:24.560 feed, there's
00:41:25.120 more cognitive
00:41:26.920 dissonance than
00:41:28.120 others.
00:41:28.580 Why is that?
00:41:29.440 In the
00:41:29.820 comments, if
00:41:31.740 it's true,
00:41:32.360 let's take
00:41:32.760 it as a
00:41:33.340 speculation,
00:41:34.280 but assumption
00:41:35.220 that it's
00:41:35.560 true.
00:41:36.220 Why do I
00:41:36.960 trigger more
00:41:37.640 cognitive dissonance
00:41:38.900 than the
00:41:39.300 average
00:41:39.840 commenter?
00:41:45.000 I'm
00:41:45.480 resolute in
00:41:46.120 my assertions?
00:41:47.900 No.
00:41:49.040 Not that.
00:41:49.780 Maybe the
00:41:50.140 opposite of
00:41:50.560 that.
00:41:51.580 You try
00:41:52.060 harder, you
00:41:52.740 intend to.
00:41:54.700 It's the
00:41:55.020 topics I, it's
00:41:56.580 something about
00:41:57.040 the topics,
00:41:57.780 surely.
00:41:58.820 The ambiguity?
00:42:00.220 No.
00:42:01.740 The subtlety.
00:42:03.260 Okay, that's
00:42:03.760 close.
00:42:04.660 Here's what I
00:42:05.300 think.
00:42:05.860 You've probably
00:42:06.400 heard Greg
00:42:06.920 Gottfeld talk
00:42:07.620 about the
00:42:09.300 tyranny of,
00:42:12.380 what is it
00:42:13.020 called, the
00:42:13.320 prison of two
00:42:13.900 ideas.
00:42:14.980 The prison of
00:42:16.020 two ideas, that
00:42:16.700 there's just a
00:42:17.240 yes and a no
00:42:17.940 for every issue.
00:42:20.260 One of the
00:42:20.920 things I do is
00:42:21.820 I'll often find
00:42:22.720 the third
00:42:23.600 position.
00:42:25.140 The third
00:42:25.820 position will
00:42:26.500 always trigger
00:42:27.140 cognitive dissonance.
00:42:28.300 If the world
00:42:30.320 is decided, there
00:42:31.180 are only two
00:42:31.640 positions.
00:42:32.660 Because the
00:42:33.060 third position is
00:42:33.860 almost always the
00:42:34.560 reasonable one.
00:42:36.060 The two
00:42:36.480 position world is
00:42:37.860 when people just
00:42:38.540 took sides.
00:42:39.960 If there are two
00:42:40.860 positions that you
00:42:41.680 can identify, it
00:42:42.560 usually means the
00:42:43.260 media just assigned
00:42:44.280 those to you.
00:42:46.080 The left assigned
00:42:47.080 one position, the
00:42:48.000 right assigned
00:42:48.580 another position, and
00:42:49.940 people just
00:42:50.380 accepted them.
00:42:51.480 But if you have a
00:42:52.480 nuanced opinion,
00:42:55.020 anything that looks
00:42:55.740 like some kind of
00:42:56.420 middle ground, both
00:42:57.520 sides get triggered
00:42:58.500 into cognitive
00:42:59.440 dissonance.
00:43:00.360 So I trigger the
00:43:01.340 left and the right
00:43:02.160 at the same time,
00:43:02.960 twice as much
00:43:03.540 triggering.
00:43:05.160 So I don't think
00:43:06.080 it's an accident
00:43:06.680 that I get more
00:43:08.140 cognitive dissonance
00:43:09.220 because I'm
00:43:10.420 triggering both
00:43:11.040 sides.
00:43:11.940 Usually you're just
00:43:12.880 trying to trigger
00:43:13.700 one other side, but
00:43:14.720 I'm triggering both
00:43:15.440 sides at the same
00:43:16.120 time.
00:43:17.440 Let me give you an
00:43:18.300 example.
00:43:19.380 Now this doesn't
00:43:20.020 necessarily apply to
00:43:20.940 your opinion, right?
00:43:21.720 I'll just speak
00:43:22.360 generally.
00:43:23.220 So some people say
00:43:24.180 vaccinations are good
00:43:25.340 and you should all
00:43:26.020 get them.
00:43:26.420 Other people say
00:43:28.520 vaccinations might be
00:43:30.100 dangerous.
00:43:31.260 You should maybe not
00:43:32.160 get them.
00:43:33.560 So that's the prison
00:43:34.500 of the two ideas.
00:43:35.940 I say vaccinations
00:43:37.820 are probably good.
00:43:39.380 Can't be sure.
00:43:40.940 Just my best guess.
00:43:42.320 I mean, we have no
00:43:43.020 way to know for sure.
00:43:44.120 But probably.
00:43:45.400 Probably good.
00:43:46.860 But you shouldn't
00:43:48.000 necessarily get one.
00:43:49.900 That's the middle
00:43:50.420 ground.
00:43:51.300 Vaccinations
00:43:51.820 probably good.
00:43:53.380 And I decided to
00:43:54.460 get one for myself.
00:43:55.460 But your profile is
00:43:56.680 not my profile of
00:43:57.880 risk.
00:43:58.740 So you don't need to
00:43:59.820 do what I do.
00:44:00.480 And I certainly don't
00:44:01.260 suggest that you do.
00:44:03.000 So as soon as you find
00:44:04.100 that middle ground, the
00:44:05.180 people on the right think
00:44:06.240 you're siding with the
00:44:07.340 left, which I'm not.
00:44:08.660 The people on the left
00:44:09.440 think I'm siding with the
00:44:10.320 right, which I'm not.
00:44:11.620 And then both of them are
00:44:12.800 triggered into cognitive
00:44:13.740 dissonance.
00:44:15.620 Because the middle ground
00:44:16.620 almost always sounds more
00:44:17.620 reasonable than either
00:44:18.540 extreme.
00:44:19.640 So when people are talking
00:44:20.760 about the extremes, that's
00:44:21.900 usually just a trigger or a
00:44:23.780 signal of cognitive
00:44:24.860 dissonance.
00:44:26.300 All right.
00:44:29.980 Here's an example of
00:44:31.020 that.
00:44:31.460 John Grant on Twitter
00:44:32.640 tweeted this at me today.
00:44:35.080 So look for the
00:44:35.860 absolute.
00:44:37.400 John said, why do you,
00:44:39.160 speaking about me, he
00:44:40.200 said, why do you believe
00:44:41.100 every prescription drug
00:44:42.560 that isn't a mass killer
00:44:43.720 like fentanyl must then be
00:44:46.060 safe and effective?
00:44:46.780 What?
00:44:50.640 How in the world could
00:44:51.720 anybody watch any of my
00:44:53.100 content and then
00:44:54.560 characterize it as me
00:44:55.940 believing that every
00:44:58.280 prescription drug is safe
00:44:59.680 and effective?
00:45:01.080 That could not be further
00:45:02.680 from anything that I think
00:45:03.980 is true.
00:45:05.940 But John Grant thinks he
00:45:07.840 saw it as cognitive
00:45:09.760 dissonance.
00:45:11.060 So it's somebody who
00:45:12.160 believes there's an
00:45:12.960 absolute in play when
00:45:14.180 there's nothing like an
00:45:15.120 absolute in play here.
00:45:16.060 So look for absolutes
00:45:20.780 as your signal for
00:45:23.180 cognitive dissonance.
00:45:27.920 Straw manning.
00:45:30.340 I'm not sure what you
00:45:31.280 mean by that.
00:45:33.660 Yeah.
00:45:33.960 Aspirin would probably
00:45:34.880 not be approved by the
00:45:35.880 FDA if it came in today.
00:45:37.300 That's correct.
00:45:39.140 Scott, you are a
00:45:40.020 contrarian.
00:45:41.180 Am I?
00:45:42.420 I don't know that I'm
00:45:43.500 a contrarian.
00:45:44.420 I think contrarians are
00:45:46.880 sort of automatic.
00:45:49.860 I'm not automatic.
00:45:51.620 I disagree with a lot of
00:45:52.920 stuff, but not
00:45:53.980 automatically.
00:45:56.980 I thought micro doses of
00:45:58.480 fentanyl are used in
00:45:59.440 surgery.
00:45:59.880 Yeah, in a medical
00:46:00.640 context, it's very
00:46:01.800 useful.
00:46:02.100 Yeah, they think I'm a
00:46:10.720 contrarian because I'm
00:46:11.700 not a joiner of either
00:46:12.920 team.
00:46:14.420 Am I a provocateur?
00:46:15.980 I am, but I don't
00:46:17.380 know that I've ever
00:46:20.160 tried to be that.
00:46:22.040 You can be a
00:46:22.780 provocateur without that
00:46:23.980 being your mission.
00:46:24.980 It just ends up being
00:46:25.780 that way.
00:46:26.120 All right, I'm just
00:46:29.860 going to look at your
00:46:30.320 comments for a few
00:46:31.180 minutes.
00:46:31.960 Where is my iPhone made?
00:46:33.360 In China.
00:46:34.740 Yeah.
00:46:35.320 So my view, again,
00:46:37.000 here's another one of
00:46:37.780 those.
00:46:39.360 This is a perfect
00:46:40.060 example.
00:46:41.000 So I'm seeing people
00:46:42.160 question my use of an
00:46:43.780 iPhone that's obviously
00:46:44.940 assembled in China.
00:46:46.760 And what is my view
00:46:49.600 about doing business
00:46:51.060 with China?
00:46:51.720 Can anybody explain my
00:46:53.160 view?
00:46:53.320 Do I have an extreme
00:46:56.160 view that we should not
00:46:57.040 do any business in
00:46:58.020 China?
00:46:59.040 Or do I have an extreme
00:47:00.280 view that we should do
00:47:01.620 all the business that we
00:47:02.640 want in China with no
00:47:03.500 restrictions?
00:47:04.900 Am I on either of those
00:47:06.260 extremes?
00:47:07.780 No.
00:47:08.960 No.
00:47:09.560 I've said no new
00:47:10.980 business.
00:47:12.160 That would be crazy.
00:47:13.660 And I've said repeatedly
00:47:14.860 and consistently that if
00:47:16.800 you're already over there,
00:47:18.020 that's a whole different
00:47:18.640 situation.
00:47:19.920 So I think Tesla and
00:47:21.120 Apple, they have to
00:47:23.300 satisfy their shareholders.
00:47:26.100 And I'm one of them.
00:47:27.500 I just told you, I have
00:47:28.600 shares of Apple and I
00:47:30.420 have shares of Tesla.
00:47:31.640 As a shareholder, they do
00:47:34.500 have a fiduciary
00:47:36.280 responsibility to me and to
00:47:39.020 the other shareholders.
00:47:40.140 And they have to figure out
00:47:41.140 how to, within a legal
00:47:42.760 context, they've got to
00:47:43.900 figure out how to make us
00:47:45.440 some money.
00:47:46.180 And they're kind of trapped
00:47:47.300 over there.
00:47:47.760 I don't know if they have
00:47:48.420 many options in the short
00:47:50.000 run.
00:47:50.840 It's new business that I'd
00:47:53.420 be concerned about, not
00:47:54.380 the stuff that's already
00:47:55.420 there.
00:47:56.200 So I don't ask them to
00:47:57.480 change.
00:47:58.040 It's just not practical.
00:47:59.600 The economist and the
00:48:01.340 business person in me says,
00:48:03.460 eh, that's too much to
00:48:04.500 ask.
00:48:05.240 Nobody can really make that
00:48:06.360 big of a change that
00:48:07.220 quickly.
00:48:07.920 In the long run, yeah.
00:48:09.280 In the long run, would I
00:48:10.300 like to see Tesla and Apple
00:48:12.620 get out of China?
00:48:13.440 Oh, yeah.
00:48:14.620 Yeah.
00:48:14.980 And I'm hoping they're
00:48:15.960 working on it.
00:48:16.580 But in the short run, not
00:48:18.020 much you can do.
00:48:26.040 Talk about Rawlings.
00:48:28.520 Oh, did Rawlings move to
00:48:30.900 China?
00:48:31.840 Did that just happen?
00:48:33.380 If you have a link to a
00:48:34.660 story about an American
00:48:36.260 company moving business to
00:48:37.780 China, you should send
00:48:39.580 that to me.
00:48:41.140 Tweet that shit.
00:48:42.000 I'm sorry.
00:48:42.580 Tweet that at me.
00:48:44.740 Jeep?
00:48:45.940 I haven't heard about that.
00:48:48.020 Here's another theory I
00:48:54.780 have, that if we're a
00:48:56.920 simulation, then some of
00:48:58.340 us are NPCs.
00:48:59.940 And one of the ways you
00:49:00.900 might be able to tell an
00:49:01.780 NPC is that they take
00:49:04.080 absolute opinions.
00:49:06.660 Because if you were going
00:49:07.700 to program NPCs, you'd
00:49:10.040 keep it simple, wouldn't
00:49:10.940 you?
00:49:11.820 You'd just have them pick
00:49:14.120 one of the major opinions
00:49:15.520 and stick with it.
00:49:16.320 I don't think you would
00:49:17.320 add a lot of nuance to
00:49:19.380 the NPCs, the non-player
00:49:22.360 characters that are part of
00:49:23.480 a simulation.
00:49:25.000 So I feel like when you see
00:49:26.960 somebody who's got cognitive
00:49:28.500 dissonance because of an
00:49:31.140 absolute opinion, maybe they're
00:49:34.500 just non-player characters.
00:49:38.200 Look up NPC Oblivion
00:49:39.720 compilation.
00:49:40.620 Well, that sounds
00:49:41.640 interesting.
00:49:45.880 Why would a simulation
00:49:47.820 preclude death?
00:49:50.260 I don't think it would.
00:49:56.560 Be careful.
00:49:57.580 In Bible study last night, it
00:49:59.080 was pointed out that Jesus,
00:50:00.660 Stephen, and Paul were all
00:50:02.600 killed when the crowd couldn't
00:50:04.880 answer their questions.
00:50:06.020 Well, I suppose that could be
00:50:09.540 my fate, but at least I'd be
00:50:10.880 a martyr.
00:50:11.740 Maybe somebody'd write a Bible
00:50:13.420 chapter about me.
00:50:15.060 All right, I'm going to need
00:50:16.140 to go and do some other
00:50:17.540 things.
00:50:19.700 But I hope I am not blamed
00:50:22.100 for the news not being that
00:50:23.420 terribly interesting today.
00:50:25.460 I guess Biden was getting
00:50:26.680 booed at the congressional
00:50:28.520 baseball game, but there were
00:50:30.400 probably just as many people
00:50:31.460 cheering him.
00:50:32.020 So I think that was fake news.
00:50:34.380 And, yeah, the Book of
00:50:37.680 Scott.
00:50:38.900 Why not the Book of
00:50:40.260 Scott?
00:50:42.820 Well, I tried to keep it
00:50:43.960 light and curse-free and
00:50:46.500 maybe give you some optimism
00:50:48.320 about things today.
00:50:50.000 I'm going to take that as my
00:50:51.780 direction from you.
00:50:55.520 Now, one of the things that
00:50:56.800 I'm quite committed to with
00:50:59.240 all of my work, really, is
00:51:00.900 that if you do any kind of
00:51:02.000 artistic content, and I
00:51:03.960 guess, in a sense, this is
00:51:05.260 some kind of art, if you're
00:51:07.600 not changing it because of
00:51:09.860 the audience reaction, you're
00:51:13.060 not really a good artist.
00:51:14.860 I think a good artist needs to
00:51:17.180 be continuously, you know,
00:51:19.220 polling the audience and
00:51:20.280 finding out what you're doing
00:51:21.160 wrong and correcting it.
00:51:22.760 So I'm going to try to
00:51:23.700 correct my cursing.
00:51:24.800 And I'm going to try to
00:51:27.720 correct my negativity that I
00:51:30.480 think slipped into my
00:51:31.600 into my presentation.
00:51:34.860 You know, and I'm glad that
00:51:36.080 you were policing me on that
00:51:38.120 because I didn't need to add
00:51:40.280 some negative negativity to a
00:51:41.940 negative world.
00:51:43.640 I think the reason, you know,
00:51:45.280 maybe the one thing I could
00:51:46.260 add is some positivity to a
00:51:48.680 negative world.
00:51:49.260 Yeah, I know that many of you
00:51:53.260 like the cursing, but here's
00:51:54.520 the trade-off.
00:51:56.640 There's nobody who would sign
00:51:58.300 on to watch this because of
00:51:59.880 the cursing.
00:52:00.940 I mean, unless it was just a
00:52:02.320 novelty day or something.
00:52:04.020 But people will leave because
00:52:05.500 of the cursing.
00:52:06.780 So here's a good marketing tip.
00:52:09.340 Nobody comes for the cursing,
00:52:11.500 but they might leave because of
00:52:12.920 it.
00:52:13.660 And it's the same with sexual
00:52:15.540 content.
00:52:16.700 People don't really come because
00:52:18.520 you might say something
00:52:19.360 naughty, but they might leave
00:52:20.440 because of it.
00:52:21.420 They might not tweet it
00:52:23.800 because of that.
00:52:26.240 Yeah, and I also believe the
00:52:29.720 stand-up comedians who curse
00:52:31.240 too much are lazy.
00:52:34.820 Do you believe that?
00:52:36.500 The stand-up comedians who curse
00:52:38.520 too much are just lazy or not
00:52:40.180 funny.
00:52:40.800 They just can't write well.
00:52:42.540 And the ones who don't need it,
00:52:44.160 you know, the Seinfelds, etc.,
00:52:45.740 they're operating at a whole
00:52:47.440 different level.
00:52:48.520 Yeah.
00:52:49.860 And the reason that I slide
00:52:52.300 into it, I feel, so this is my
00:52:54.980 self-criticism, it feels lazy when
00:53:01.000 I do it because I know I can get
00:53:03.380 a reaction from it, right?
00:53:05.000 You can always get some kind of
00:53:06.800 juice flowing into your audience
00:53:08.160 if you swear.
00:53:10.000 So it's a little too easy because
00:53:12.280 everybody can do it, right?
00:53:14.320 And if you're going to create an
00:53:16.060 entertainment product, as this is,
00:53:18.300 you sort of have an obligation to
00:53:20.000 try to do some things that are,
00:53:25.420 you know, a little different than
00:53:26.740 what everybody else is doing.
00:53:29.040 So if you're just doing the obvious
00:53:30.720 that anybody in the audience could
00:53:32.180 have done, swear at stuff, what have
00:53:35.720 you added, really?
00:53:36.520 Nothing.
00:53:36.820 Yeah, don't use common phrases in
00:53:43.280 writing.
00:53:43.740 Same thing, exactly.
00:53:46.660 Yeah, there are times when it will be
00:53:49.340 necessary, right?
00:53:50.800 There will be times when it's
00:53:53.280 necessary, but as a normal thing,
00:53:56.340 nah, I don't think so.
00:53:59.220 All right, that's all for now, for
00:54:02.360 now, that's all for today, and I will
00:54:04.720 talk to you tomorrow.