Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1515 Scott Adams： The News is Dreadful and Boring But We'll Have Fun Talking About it Anyway

00:00:00.000 Well, I'm told that it takes about 10 seconds, about 10 seconds for the YouTube feed to start.

00:00:10.840 Is it there?

00:00:11.920 I'm working on a drum opening for the show, sort of like a Tucker Carlson, you know, drum

00:00:19.480 thing where he opens his show, but different, you know, my own thing.

00:00:24.640 It'll be about 10 seconds long, so I'm working on that.

00:00:26.980 But, you know, if you'd like to enjoy today to the maximum potential, all you need is

00:00:32.420 a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask of any

00:00:39.060 kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, well, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled

00:00:46.460 pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:50.660 Can you feel it?

00:00:51.960 Can you feel it already?

00:00:53.520 Things getting better?

00:00:54.920 Yeah, you can feel it.

00:00:56.020 Go.

00:00:56.980 Ah, the caffeine climax.

00:01:04.120 The thing that makes everything better, as I said.

00:01:07.260 I think you're feeling better right now, aren't you?

00:01:10.160 Well, Boo the Cat is continuing to do better.

00:01:13.300 She's not eating on her own, but she's having a good time.

00:01:16.820 She looks healthy.

00:01:17.600 So I'm hearing more about the combination of Bitcoin and power plants.

00:01:25.600 Nuclear power plants, coal power plants, gas power plants.

00:01:29.720 So it turns out that Bitcoin is a really good combo with power plants that don't operate at

00:01:37.580 their peak all the time.

00:01:38.820 Now, I heard a claim that a coal plant, coal-fired, coal-energy-producing plant, is actually going to produce less carbon if it operates continuously than if it just gets fired up and taken down based on load and demand.

00:02:05.840 Do you think that's true?

00:02:06.840 Do you think that's true?

00:02:07.840 Do you think that's true?

00:02:09.200 I don't know.

00:02:11.440 Yeah, I'm seeing somebody say it's true.

00:02:13.260 I don't feel like that's true, but I'm going to treat it like it's true for the point of today.

00:02:19.260 But my economics BS detector says, I get the point.

00:02:26.800 I understand the point that there's a startup cost, per se, and a shutdown cost, per se, and that they're so great that it's not worth it.

00:02:36.820 Maybe, maybe, but I'm going to say that all of my instincts doubt that's true.

00:02:45.600 Not 100%, but a serious skepticism about that.

00:02:51.060 However, people believe it's true, apparently, and so the opportunity to use the Bitcoin mining to keep all of our power plants operating at whatever is their optimal rate seems like a good combo.

00:03:04.600 So you get the Bitcoin money for free, basically, because you've got a power plant that wasn't doing much in that time.

00:03:12.840 Free is an exaggeration.

00:03:14.500 It's not free, obviously.

00:03:18.000 Yeah, apparently you can still, at least one Bitcoin miner says that the cost of mining one Bitcoin is about $3,000, whereas the Bitcoin itself might be worth somewhere in the neighborhood of $40,000.

00:03:32.780 So the margins are pretty good if you've got yourself a big old power plant you can use.

00:03:39.100 Well, by the way, I should warn you that none of the news is super interesting today.

00:03:43.900 I mean, I'll do what I can.

00:03:46.560 Yes, Butters, you did miss the sip.

00:03:49.120 Hey, everybody, Butters just came in on YouTube and missed the sip.

00:03:55.160 Would anybody mind if we do just a special one for Butters?

00:03:58.660 Butters, Butters, get your cup.

00:04:02.600 I will not disappoint you today, Butters.

00:04:06.820 Half of the reason I'm going to do this for you is because your username is Butters.

00:04:13.100 Possibly one of the best usernames I've ever seen, Butters.

00:04:16.580 Well, Butters, this is the special simultaneous sip without the preamble, just for you.

00:04:27.320 Everybody, lift your glass.

00:04:29.740 Butters is in the house.

00:04:31.600 This is for you, Butters.

00:04:35.920 Yeah, that's good.

00:04:37.620 I'm so glad you came, Butters.

00:04:39.420 You made all of us happier.

00:04:40.660 I don't know, are you always like that, Butters?

00:04:45.580 When you enter a room, does everybody just smile?

00:04:48.240 They get happier?

00:04:49.660 Something tells me that you're like a good force in the world.

00:04:53.260 See, as soon as Butters came in here, everything got better, didn't it?

00:04:56.600 You were sitting here thinking, you know what I'd really need is another sip.

00:05:00.420 I'd really like that.

00:05:01.700 And then Butters comes in and makes it happen.

00:05:05.080 Like nothing.

00:05:05.740 We need more people in the world like Butters.

00:05:11.360 And fewer people like Britney Spears' father, who had been enslaving her in a conservatorship

00:05:21.600 with her $60 million fortune.

00:05:25.340 Does that seem low to you?

00:05:28.380 Doesn't Britney Spears with only $60 million, I say only, $60 million, it seems low, doesn't it?

00:05:34.880 What happened to all of her money? 0.97

00:05:37.220 I'm not sure anybody can estimate anybody else's money.

00:05:40.900 I've seen my own net wealth estimated in public.

00:05:47.820 Not so close.

00:05:50.020 They're just purely guesses.

00:05:53.020 But anyway, so Britney Spears has her life back, so she doesn't have this conservatorship.

00:05:58.380 At least her dad's not part of it.

00:06:00.160 And she's celebrated with an Instagram post where she's taking flying lessons.

00:06:08.240 Britney Spears is taking flying lessons.

00:06:12.240 Now, have I told you that the simulation reveals itself with code reuse?

00:06:20.780 Code reuse.

00:06:22.420 Yeah.

00:06:22.560 I mean, most of you probably know that Christina, my wife, took flying lessons.

00:06:29.060 She's a pilot now.

00:06:31.260 And now Britney's doing that. 1.00

00:06:32.760 I don't know how many people we hear about taking private flying lessons.

00:06:36.840 But I do love the fact that Britney, I saw this in the comments, somebody said that she went from the most

00:06:43.140 restricted person you could think of, because of the conservatorship, to literally flying.

00:06:48.980 And literally, like, flying through the air anywhere she wants to go, eventually.

00:06:53.840 That's a pretty big change.

00:06:55.100 So good for her.

00:06:57.100 Why is it that we all like Britney Spears?

00:07:00.340 Have you ever wondered that?

00:07:07.480 Somebody says, I don't.

00:07:08.660 You don't like Britney Spears?

00:07:11.000 Seriously?

00:07:11.400 How could you not like her?

00:07:15.140 I mean, you could not like her music.

00:07:16.960 I mean, that would be normal.

00:07:18.060 Everybody has different musical tastes.

00:07:20.500 But doesn't she seem like just sort of a good person who's just trying to get by,

00:07:26.700 and she's got some personal problems, like many of us? 0.98

00:07:30.520 I don't know.

00:07:32.020 Everything about her, I kind of like.

00:07:37.700 Yeah.

00:07:38.660 She's just likable. 0.93

00:07:39.560 So, here's some more news about the nation's hottest governor.

00:07:46.720 If I say the nation's hottest governor, who am I talking about?

00:07:52.240 Let's see if we all have.

00:07:53.520 Yeah.

00:07:53.880 Okay.

00:07:55.020 Took you about half a second.

00:07:58.860 Somebody said DeSantis.

00:08:01.280 Ron DeSantis, the hottest governor.

00:08:03.720 Well, he saw it in a different way.

00:08:05.080 So, we're going to be totally sexist and talk about Governor Kristi Noem, 0.63

00:08:10.760 who, in addition to being politically quite successful, it must be noted,

00:08:17.600 is unusually attractive.

00:08:20.020 Now, this, of course, is positive and negative.

00:08:22.720 It probably helps her politically, I would imagine.

00:08:24.720 But now she's being dragged into the news, so she's happily married.

00:08:30.820 And just the worst frickin' thing happened. 0.67

00:08:33.460 See, notice I said frickin'.

00:08:34.780 See, I'm learning.

00:08:36.600 I'm growing.

00:08:38.080 I'm becoming a better person right in front of you. 0.88

00:08:40.720 I could have used the F word, but now I went with frickin'. 0.95

00:08:43.720 So, she's being accused of having an extramarital affair with former Trump advisor Corey Lewandowski. 0.97

00:08:53.020 Now, apparently there's more, looks like there's more truth to the fact that it didn't happen,

00:09:02.560 there's nothing to it, than there is that it did.

00:09:05.060 But, of course, we're seeing all of the lieutenants being taken out, you know, in anticipation.

00:09:17.080 Oh, thanks, Fred.

00:09:18.980 That's an unusual amount of a tip there.

00:09:21.720 $13.99 for that comment.

00:09:24.960 Totally worth it.

00:09:26.600 But anyway, here's what's creepy about this story.

00:09:31.040 A few things.

00:09:32.160 Number one, here's a public servant who's, you know, looks like a happily married woman with a family. 1.00

00:09:40.680 And because she's attractive, the world is trying to take her down.

00:09:46.320 And they're matching her with Corey Lewandowski.

00:09:51.040 Now, let me ask you this.

00:09:53.340 If you were the hottest governor, and let's just say she's not even just hot for a governor, 1.00

00:10:03.220 but she is unusually attractive for a human being, right? 0.97

00:10:07.620 This is important to the story.

00:10:09.200 It has nothing to do with my personal opinions.

00:10:11.420 I know that, you know, somebody in the comments always says,

00:10:14.820 Scott, you're a lawyer.

00:10:16.660 It has nothing to do with me.

00:10:18.100 Keep me out of the story.

00:10:18.980 It's just the fact that she's unusually attractive, and it's part of the story.

00:10:23.340 Now, if you were unusually attractive, I mean, like everybody's talking about it attractive,

00:10:30.760 that kind of attractive, would you want to be paired in a rumor with Corey Lewandowski?

00:10:38.320 Now, I don't want to be unkind, all right?

00:10:40.860 Like, I'm not, you know, what you'd call a good-looking guy myself,

00:10:45.180 so I feel like, you know, I'm not being condescending when I say this.

00:10:49.900 Corey Lewandowski is sort of like my people.

00:10:52.900 You know what I mean?

00:10:54.640 Right?

00:10:55.720 Like, if you heard that Christy Noem was rumored to be having an affair with me,

00:11:03.080 like, actually me,

00:11:04.860 it'd be a lot like hearing it was Corey Lewandowski, right?

00:11:08.720 Like, what's the first thing you'd say to yourself?

00:11:12.620 Couldn't she do a little better than that?

00:11:16.880 Right?

00:11:17.940 Wouldn't you think, if she were inclined to have an affair, 0.56

00:11:21.380 which apparently she did not have, so let me be as clear as possible,

00:11:25.660 there doesn't seem to be truth to the rumor.

00:11:28.860 And I would say that I, you know, I'm super skeptical about it.

00:11:32.400 I doubt it.

00:11:34.240 But imagine the double insult 1.00

00:11:36.540 that not only do you have to deal with this stupid rumor 1.00

00:11:39.760 and your husband and all this stuff, 1.00

00:11:42.020 I mean, it seems very inconvenient,

00:11:44.100 but they paired her with Corey Lewandowski.

00:11:48.380 Seriously?

00:11:49.660 You couldn't find a better-looking guy to throw into that rumor? 0.99

00:11:54.580 You know, somebody who's, you would also say,

00:11:57.100 you know, she might be one of the most attractive politicians 1.00

00:12:00.280 we've ever seen.

00:12:03.300 Who would be the equivalent that at least you'd say,

00:12:06.900 well, maybe, maybe.

00:12:09.000 So I think the best thing about this story is that,

00:12:12.420 do any of you believe it?

00:12:15.080 Do any of you believe it?

00:12:17.420 How many of you believe this story,

00:12:20.180 that Kristi Noem would have an affair with Corey Lewandowski? 0.60

00:12:24.080 And again, I don't mean to insult Corey Lewandowski.

00:12:26.340 So Corey Lewandowski is just sort of the ordinary guy,

00:12:31.380 sort of the same category I'm in.

00:12:33.600 Just, you know, ordinary guys.

00:12:35.620 You know, we're not monsters,

00:12:37.100 but nobody's going to say,

00:12:38.980 let me put your picture on my wall.

00:12:40.900 You know, nothing like that.

00:12:42.820 So, yeah, I don't see anybody believing it here.

00:12:47.580 Yeah.

00:12:47.860 Okay, good for you.

00:12:49.080 Good for you.

00:12:49.860 Everybody who doesn't believe that,

00:12:51.380 you're on the right track.

00:12:52.140 But super sexist and unfair to Kristi Noem, 1.00

00:12:56.100 who is doing nothing but trying to mind her own business. 1.00

00:12:59.500 But here's the side story to this.

00:13:02.220 The side story is funnier than the main story.

00:13:04.480 The side story is that Politico uses this opportunity

00:13:08.400 to go after Corey Lewandowski

00:13:11.220 for a completely unrelated claim.

00:13:14.520 There's some other woman, 1.00

00:13:16.360 who was married to a big donor,

00:13:18.140 a Republican donor,

00:13:19.020 that, you know, the report is,

00:13:21.400 and again, low credibility.

00:13:23.480 These are all low credibility reports.

00:13:25.840 Don't assume any of this is true.

00:13:27.500 But it's being reported,

00:13:28.700 so I'll tell you about it.

00:13:31.100 And the accusation is that

00:13:33.320 Corey Lewandowski got drunk

00:13:35.220 and he was getting a little handsy

00:13:36.740 with some donor's wife at a dinner

00:13:40.340 and said some inappropriate things.

00:13:42.920 So that's the story.

00:13:44.060 But here's the funny part of the story.

00:13:45.600 The name of the woman

00:13:47.700 who was the wife of the big donor

00:13:50.460 that Corey Lewandowski

00:13:51.820 allegedly was sexually annoying.

00:13:55.960 Her first name,

00:13:57.480 I'm not making this up, 0.79

00:14:00.120 Trash L. 1.00

00:14:02.180 T-R-A-S-H-E-L-L-E. 1.00

00:14:08.380 Now, obviously,

00:14:11.340 her parents expected a boy.

00:14:13.020 And the boy's name,

00:14:15.520 I'm assuming, 0.98

00:14:16.220 would have just been Trash. 0.99

00:14:18.560 Trash Odom. 0.98

00:14:20.160 But because they got a girl instead, 0.99

00:14:22.080 she was Trash L. 1.00

00:14:23.720 Trash L. 1.00

00:14:25.520 Is that a real name?

00:14:28.400 I feel like,

00:14:30.440 I feel like maybe they don't love their daughter

00:14:33.280 if they named her Trash L. 0.79

00:14:36.800 Exactly what kind of conversation was that?

00:14:41.040 When they were looking through the baby names,

00:14:44.200 they were like,

00:14:44.920 okay, Jennifer, Ashley, Savannah.

00:14:50.260 Oh, here's one.

00:14:51.540 How about Trash L?

00:14:54.600 Now, when you name a child,

00:14:56.300 it is your responsibility

00:14:57.580 to consider all the things

00:14:59.820 that that child's schoolmates

00:15:01.900 will say about that child's name

00:15:04.220 in the future.

00:15:06.480 Am I right?

00:15:07.900 You do have a responsibility.

00:15:09.500 For example, in my town,

00:15:11.400 where I grew up,

00:15:12.740 there was a kid whose last name was Cass.

00:15:16.560 C-A-S-S. 1.00

00:15:18.060 Cass.

00:15:20.240 And the parents named the kid John.

00:15:24.600 That's not bad.

00:15:25.640 Right, John?

00:15:26.500 John Cass.

00:15:27.300 It's a pretty good name.

00:15:28.780 What they didn't count on

00:15:30.180 is that since the father's name

00:15:31.820 was also John, I believe,

00:15:33.080 they decided to call the son Jack.

00:15:35.180 That's right.

00:15:37.640 They literally named their son Jack Cass. 0.98

00:15:41.920 Jackass.

00:15:43.560 That actually happened in my town. 1.00

00:15:45.780 This is somebody I knew well.

00:15:47.060 I'm not making this up.

00:15:48.380 A real person named Jack Cass.

00:15:51.280 Now, again, Trash L.

00:15:55.320 I have nothing against you, Trash L,

00:15:57.040 so this is not personal.

00:15:58.240 You didn't name yourself, I guess.

00:16:00.480 But your parents.

00:16:01.600 Sit down and have a talk with your parents.

00:16:04.980 I feel like they're...

00:16:07.680 maybe you weren't so happy about having a baby.

00:16:11.800 How's the baby? 0.98

00:16:13.400 Trash? 0.93

00:16:14.160 Trash L? 0.97

00:16:16.660 Well, Elon Musk continues to entertain. 0.96

00:16:20.700 Apparently he passed Jeff Bezos again.

00:16:23.360 They've been trading first place

00:16:25.200 for richest person in the world.

00:16:27.420 And Musk was asked about it.

00:16:29.520 And Musk said he'll send Bezos a silver medal.

00:16:34.720 That's like a big number, too.

00:16:36.600 He's going to send him a giant statue

00:16:38.260 of a big number, too.

00:16:41.940 Now, here's...

00:16:43.840 Here's what I love so much about this,

00:16:47.980 and maybe something I love about Musk as well,

00:16:50.720 just as a public character.

00:16:53.640 You're not really supposed to brag

00:16:55.220 about how rich you are, right?

00:16:56.840 Like, it's sort of...

00:16:58.800 If you're the richest person on the whole planet,

00:17:01.880 you're really not supposed to be bragging about it.

00:17:04.180 And I don't think he is, exactly.

00:17:05.840 I think he's joking about it, not bragging about it.

00:17:07.920 But he's joking about it by bragging about it,

00:17:10.120 by saying that he'll give Bezos a silver medal,

00:17:12.940 which is one of the funniest things I've ever heard.

00:17:16.060 Because getting a silver medal for being

00:17:17.820 the second richest person on the planet Earth

00:17:20.660 is just a funny concept.

00:17:24.580 And the fact that Musk gets free marketing

00:17:27.760 and publicity by saying stuff like this

00:17:30.520 is just wonderful.

00:17:34.520 Anyway, so I'll just point that out.

00:17:36.720 But here's the other thing.

00:17:37.780 So now that Musk has over $200 billion,

00:17:40.200 at least on paper,

00:17:42.500 he's going to be the first billionaire.

00:17:44.120 Do you realize that?

00:17:47.200 If you take Musk's age

00:17:50.940 and then you see how many times

00:17:53.480 you can add 10 years to it,

00:17:55.540 if you assume that his wealth doubles every 10 years,

00:17:59.560 which would be conservative, actually.

00:18:01.280 That would be conservative.

00:18:02.740 In 20 years, it would double twice.

00:18:05.660 So it's going to be $400 and then $800.

00:18:08.980 He's going to be a trillionaire.

00:18:11.080 He's going to be the first one.

00:18:12.880 Unless, you know, Bezos pulls ahead

00:18:14.500 or somebody else pulls ahead.

00:18:15.560 But literally, Elon Musk will be our first trillionaire.

00:18:20.740 That's pretty cool.

00:18:23.840 All right.

00:18:26.740 I realized yesterday

00:18:28.620 that I should share with you

00:18:30.440 my stock conflicts of interest.

00:18:34.500 Do you think I should do that?

00:18:36.160 Let me ask you your opinion.

00:18:38.020 When somebody does what I do,

00:18:39.800 which is I talk about companies and politics

00:18:42.220 and stuff like that,

00:18:42.960 I feel like I should tell you

00:18:44.760 what stocks I own

00:18:45.980 because that could inform you

00:18:47.920 about my bias, right?

00:18:50.100 So I thought I'd do that.

00:18:52.240 I don't know if I have any obligation

00:18:53.720 to do this,

00:18:54.600 but it feels like it'd be fair.

00:18:56.460 Oh, that was funny.

00:18:58.760 So,

00:18:59.180 here are the stocks,

00:19:01.800 which,

00:19:02.140 this is not all my stocks,

00:19:04.340 just ones that might have

00:19:05.200 some conflict of interest.

00:19:07.260 So yesterday I bought,

00:19:08.480 and by the way,

00:19:08.940 these are not stock recommendations.

00:19:10.540 Do not take these

00:19:13.100 as financial advice.

00:19:14.860 I'm just telling you

00:19:15.520 my conflicts of interest.

00:19:16.860 I do not recommend

00:19:17.660 these stocks to anybody.

00:19:20.100 I bought some Regeneron stock yesterday.

00:19:24.620 Again,

00:19:25.180 I don't recommend it.

00:19:26.580 It's a small part of my portfolio,

00:19:28.480 just sort of a,

00:19:30.040 a few companies

00:19:31.040 that I'm just gambling on.

00:19:32.760 So I would say

00:19:33.220 that's more of a gamble

00:19:34.060 than an investment,

00:19:35.840 but I have a small gamble

00:19:37.660 on Regeneron.

00:19:38.520 So if I talk about Regeneron,

00:19:40.000 keep that in mind.

00:19:41.620 Likewise,

00:19:42.540 I have an investment

00:19:43.540 in the Israel,

00:19:44.740 an index fund

00:19:46.120 of Israeli companies.

00:19:49.160 I've mentioned this before.

00:19:50.520 It's not the first time

00:19:51.380 I'm saying it in public,

00:19:52.500 but I do have

00:19:54.160 a fairly sizable investment

00:19:56.100 in Israeli companies.

00:19:58.160 The thinking there

00:19:59.020 is that it's sort of

00:19:59.760 the Silicon Valley

00:20:00.700 of the world.

00:20:02.240 So basically,

00:20:03.080 I'm betting on

00:20:03.800 their security situation

00:20:05.240 continuing to improve,

00:20:06.580 and on their

00:20:08.340 education system

00:20:10.300 and their

00:20:11.040 entrepreneurial system

00:20:12.460 producing.

00:20:14.040 And so far,

00:20:14.680 I've doubled my money

00:20:16.140 in Israeli stocks.

00:20:18.700 So if I talk about Israel,

00:20:20.360 you'll know that

00:20:20.960 I have a financial interest.

00:20:22.880 Now,

00:20:23.140 I was pro-Israel

00:20:24.020 before I invested.

00:20:26.200 So I don't think

00:20:27.080 my investments

00:20:27.700 made me pro-Israel.

00:20:29.240 I've always been

00:20:30.080 pro-Israel.

00:20:31.480 But you should be aware

00:20:32.640 of it.

00:20:32.900 Now here are the tech stocks

00:20:35.020 that I also bought

00:20:36.240 when we had

00:20:38.940 the COVID dip.

00:20:40.300 So at the bottom of...

00:20:41.420 God,

00:20:41.760 my nose is itching.

00:20:42.660 Sorry.

00:20:43.580 At the bottom of the

00:20:44.980 COVID pullback

00:20:46.720 when the stock's

00:20:47.400 all tanked,

00:20:49.480 I bought

00:20:51.480 a bunch of tech companies.

00:20:53.940 I bought Tesla.

00:20:56.020 So I talk about Tesla,

00:20:57.920 but you should know

00:20:58.660 that I also own

00:20:59.320 some stock.

00:21:00.600 Amazon,

00:21:00.980 Apple,

00:21:03.700 Twitter,

00:21:05.420 Snapchat,

00:21:06.240 which went up 400%

00:21:07.900 since I bought it

00:21:09.180 in the pullback,

00:21:12.080 and Microsoft.

00:21:13.940 Now,

00:21:14.520 again,

00:21:14.900 I'm not recommending

00:21:15.720 any of the stocks.

00:21:17.000 They were just stocks

00:21:18.380 that tanked,

00:21:19.180 and I figured

00:21:19.800 that it was a good

00:21:20.440 buying opportunity,

00:21:21.300 so I own them.

00:21:22.400 So when I talk about

00:21:23.260 any of those stocks,

00:21:24.320 remind yourself

00:21:25.080 that I own

00:21:25.960 stock

00:21:27.080 in them.

00:21:28.380 All right.

00:21:30.980 that's why

00:21:33.640 you liked...

00:21:34.820 So that's exactly

00:21:35.680 the kind of comment

00:21:36.700 you should make.

00:21:37.940 So I saw in the comments,

00:21:39.260 that's why you liked

00:21:40.140 Musk's comment,

00:21:41.860 because you have

00:21:42.640 Tesla stock.

00:21:44.620 Well,

00:21:45.140 I don't think so.

00:21:47.100 I don't think

00:21:47.700 that's why I like

00:21:48.580 this comment.

00:21:49.420 I think I just liked

00:21:50.220 his comment.

00:21:50.900 But it's exactly

00:21:51.600 the right question.

00:21:52.760 So you should hold

00:21:53.420 that in your head

00:21:54.080 that I could be biased,

00:21:55.260 and I wouldn't know it.

00:21:56.120 Well,

00:21:58.520 what is wrong

00:21:59.020 with us collectively

00:22:00.660 as people

00:22:01.260 when there are

00:22:03.140 three stories

00:22:03.780 in the news today?

00:22:05.200 One is about

00:22:05.920 a guy killing his wife,

00:22:07.020 and two of them

00:22:07.600 are about a mother 0.87

00:22:08.240 killing her children. 0.61

00:22:10.540 Now, 0.98

00:22:11.140 there's a lot of crime

00:22:12.020 and killing

00:22:12.500 in the world,

00:22:14.060 but why do these

00:22:14.920 three stories

00:22:16.280 become national news

00:22:17.580 with all the murderers

00:22:19.220 and killing and stuff?

00:22:20.640 And how many

00:22:21.520 of these people

00:22:22.060 are white people?

00:22:23.880 Oh,

00:22:24.220 all of them.

00:22:25.400 Oh,

00:22:25.600 all of them.

00:22:26.600 They're all white people. 0.98

00:22:28.960 Really?

00:22:30.520 There weren't

00:22:31.140 any black people

00:22:32.140 lately

00:22:33.680 that have any kind

00:22:35.380 of a,

00:22:35.840 you know,

00:22:36.220 tragedy

00:22:36.780 that would be newsworthy?

00:22:38.780 Only white people 0.93

00:22:39.800 had newsworthy tragedies. 0.95

00:22:42.280 Right?

00:22:43.320 Now,

00:22:44.440 I'm not,

00:22:45.140 I think if you've

00:22:46.020 been watching me

00:22:46.580 for a while,

00:22:47.720 you know I'm not

00:22:48.500 the social justice warrior,

00:22:50.780 everything's got to be equal,

00:22:52.300 blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:22:53.400 But I do feel like

00:22:54.720 the complaint

00:22:55.340 that this is

00:22:56.180 about,

00:22:56.940 you know,

00:22:57.340 white people missing

00:22:58.520 is pretty close

00:23:00.340 to the mark.

00:23:02.120 Right?

00:23:02.800 Now,

00:23:03.160 I get that it's based

00:23:04.000 on how many people

00:23:04.760 are going to click on it

00:23:05.640 so that the news

00:23:06.620 is just following

00:23:07.260 the public,

00:23:07.800 but between the news

00:23:09.880 and the public,

00:23:11.540 it does seem like

00:23:12.980 it's excluding

00:23:13.680 a lot of the country.

00:23:14.520 Is that not a fair?

00:23:16.960 Does anybody disagree

00:23:17.820 with that comment?

00:23:22.260 It feels like that,

00:23:23.340 right?

00:23:23.800 Like,

00:23:24.080 no matter how

00:23:25.120 opposed you are

00:23:26.100 to political correctness,

00:23:28.180 the coincidence

00:23:28.980 starts to pile up

00:23:30.300 after a while.

00:23:31.760 Kind of hard

00:23:32.240 to ignore.

00:23:33.640 But I'm even

00:23:34.760 more appalled

00:23:35.320 by the fact

00:23:35.880 that we find

00:23:36.440 this entertaining,

00:23:37.300 that we click on it.

00:23:39.180 Do you click

00:23:39.840 on these stories

00:23:40.580 about somebody

00:23:41.860 killed a family member?

00:23:43.780 I try not to click

00:23:45.020 on those.

00:23:46.040 I don't like

00:23:46.460 to reward that.

00:23:48.160 Yeah.

00:23:48.480 I don't like

00:23:49.080 to mention the names,

00:23:50.480 dwell on the details.

00:23:51.640 This just shouldn't

00:23:52.720 be news.

00:23:53.740 I'll tell you

00:23:54.200 what should be news.

00:23:55.780 Have you seen

00:23:56.280 the viral video

00:23:57.360 of the Florida man

00:23:58.600 who trapped

00:23:59.740 an alligator

00:24:00.320 with a garbage bin

00:24:01.480 and actually got

00:24:02.500 the alligator

00:24:03.000 in the garbage bin

00:24:04.020 by putting it

00:24:05.600 on the side

00:24:06.120 and, like,

00:24:06.720 shoving it

00:24:07.140 into the alligator

00:24:08.040 and the alligator

00:24:08.740 goes wild

00:24:09.360 and ends up

00:24:09.900 in the bin

00:24:11.180 and he pulls it up

00:24:13.000 and he's actually

00:24:13.460 captured an alligator

00:24:14.500 in a garbage bin.

00:24:16.460 Now,

00:24:17.700 I love the fact

00:24:18.800 that it starts

00:24:19.280 with a Florida man

00:24:20.360 because you know

00:24:21.600 the running joke

00:24:22.640 that any story

00:24:24.280 that starts with

00:24:24.980 a Florida man

00:24:26.260 is going to be

00:24:27.160 a wacky story.

00:24:28.720 You know there's

00:24:29.580 going to be

00:24:29.880 some crazy stuff

00:24:31.200 going on

00:24:31.660 if it starts

00:24:32.160 with a Florida man

00:24:33.560 in the news,

00:24:35.260 a Florida man

00:24:36.040 trapped an alligator

00:24:37.600 with a garbage can.

00:24:39.900 There are a lot

00:24:41.040 of fun stories

00:24:41.660 coming out of Florida,

00:24:42.460 I'll tell you.

00:24:44.100 Well,

00:24:44.700 here's an update

00:24:45.540 on permanent news.

00:24:48.220 Permanent news.

00:24:49.840 The news that

00:24:50.520 never changes

00:24:51.240 even when the day

00:24:52.340 changes.

00:24:53.900 Well,

00:24:54.340 and this will

00:24:54.800 surprise you,

00:24:55.420 but it turns out

00:24:56.120 that the infrastructure

00:24:57.180 bill stalled.

00:25:00.580 Did anybody

00:25:01.300 see that coming?

00:25:02.880 I know,

00:25:03.360 surprise.

00:25:04.240 The infrastructure

00:25:04.940 bill is stalled

00:25:06.540 again today.

00:25:08.040 like yesterday

00:25:09.860 and the day

00:25:10.340 before.

00:25:10.760 It's always

00:25:11.000 a different

00:25:11.300 reason,

00:25:12.220 although Joe

00:25:12.740 Manchin's been

00:25:13.300 a big part

00:25:13.680 of the reason

00:25:14.040 lately.

00:25:15.780 Yeah,

00:25:16.060 so it's stalled.

00:25:16.740 That's the whole

00:25:17.140 story.

00:25:19.680 Chris Hayes

00:25:20.580 commented on

00:25:22.600 Twitter in

00:25:23.180 all caps.

00:25:24.580 So you know

00:25:25.340 he's serious

00:25:25.980 about this.

00:25:27.160 All caps,

00:25:28.060 folks.

00:25:29.020 Hold on.

00:25:29.920 Put on your

00:25:30.380 seatbelt.

00:25:31.460 I'm going to

00:25:31.800 read this tweet

00:25:32.480 that's written in

00:25:33.140 all caps,

00:25:34.160 intentionally.

00:25:35.380 It's going to

00:25:35.760 blow you right 0.98

00:25:36.300 out of your chair. 0.58

00:25:36.900 Here it is.

00:25:38.380 And I have to

00:25:38.920 read it the way

00:25:39.700 all caps must be

00:25:40.840 read.

00:25:41.520 If it were a

00:25:41.920 regular tweet,

00:25:42.720 I'd be like,

00:25:43.300 blah, blah, blah,

00:25:43.840 blah, blah.

00:25:44.420 But it's all caps,

00:25:45.440 so I have to

00:25:45.800 read it like that.

00:25:46.940 There is no

00:25:47.760 brutal fiscal

00:25:48.860 reality the

00:25:50.000 nation faces.

00:25:51.260 It is entirely

00:25:52.000 made up.

00:25:53.180 Now he's talking

00:25:53.660 about Joe

00:25:54.560 Manchin saying

00:25:55.200 that there's a

00:25:55.880 brutal fiscal

00:25:56.760 reality that we

00:25:58.260 can't spend

00:25:58.800 trillions of

00:25:59.380 dollars without

00:26:00.100 getting in

00:26:01.520 trouble.

00:26:02.580 Whereas Chris

00:26:03.420 Hayes says there

00:26:04.140 is no brutal

00:26:04.860 fiscal reality.

00:26:06.900 What could be

00:26:07.940 more of a

00:26:10.040 difference of

00:26:10.600 opinion than

00:26:12.060 somebody thinking

00:26:13.000 we're spending

00:26:13.660 trillions of

00:26:14.460 dollars and

00:26:15.780 somebody else

00:26:16.580 also educated,

00:26:18.240 also follows the

00:26:19.120 news,

00:26:22.380 and,

00:26:22.840 sorry, I just

00:26:26.920 saw a comment

00:26:27.400 that just

00:26:27.800 completely threw

00:26:28.560 me off my

00:26:29.060 game there.

00:26:29.460 So which is

00:26:31.680 true?

00:26:31.940 can we spend

00:26:33.800 trillions of

00:26:34.420 dollars, and

00:26:35.980 it's free, because

00:26:37.600 it pays for

00:26:38.240 itself, or does

00:26:40.080 it just cost us

00:26:40.760 trillions of

00:26:41.260 dollars and

00:26:41.680 we're all dead?

00:26:43.400 Those could not

00:26:44.340 be, those could

00:26:48.080 not be more

00:26:48.720 different, could

00:26:49.340 they?

00:26:50.320 How in the world

00:26:51.160 could both of

00:26:51.900 those movies be 0.94

00:26:52.920 playing on the

00:26:53.500 same screen?

00:26:55.040 Now I get when

00:26:56.540 people say, oh, 0.99

00:26:57.400 Trump's a monster, 0.99

00:26:58.340 and then other 1.00

00:26:58.780 people say he's a

00:26:59.600 savior.

00:26:59.840 I see how

00:27:00.380 those movies can

00:27:01.220 play on the

00:27:02.240 same screen, but

00:27:03.740 how in the

00:27:04.220 world does one

00:27:06.300 movie see

00:27:06.900 trillions of

00:27:07.660 dollars and one

00:27:08.400 movie see

00:27:08.900 nothing?

00:27:10.740 How do you get

00:27:11.500 that?

00:27:13.060 Well, we have

00:27:14.180 massive economic

00:27:15.520 ignorance. 0.74

00:27:16.480 That's how you 0.97

00:27:16.900 get it.

00:27:18.180 All right?

00:27:18.660 Now, as I tell

00:27:19.560 you way too

00:27:20.160 often, I have a

00:27:21.340 degree in

00:27:21.860 economics.

00:27:22.900 I've got an

00:27:23.600 MBA, and I

00:27:25.200 don't know the

00:27:25.700 answer to this

00:27:26.280 question.

00:27:27.380 I'm not even

00:27:28.080 close to the

00:27:28.660 answer.

00:27:28.880 The answer

00:27:29.940 to the

00:27:30.220 question is, can

00:27:31.100 we spend

00:27:31.540 trillions of

00:27:32.080 dollars on

00:27:32.580 infrastructure, and

00:27:33.980 is it free, or

00:27:36.080 will it destroy

00:27:36.860 the country?

00:27:38.460 I don't know.

00:27:40.380 I don't know.

00:27:41.600 I don't even have

00:27:42.320 a good guess.

00:27:43.880 To me, it would

00:27:44.600 be kind of a

00:27:45.120 coin flip.

00:27:46.180 50-50?

00:27:47.500 I mean, based on

00:27:48.180 the fact that I

00:27:48.700 don't have any

00:27:49.660 hint which way

00:27:51.260 this goes.

00:27:53.340 What do you

00:27:53.940 think?

00:27:54.640 And by the way,

00:27:55.420 let me say this as

00:27:56.160 clearly as possible.

00:27:57.000 people, you

00:27:57.800 don't know, right?

00:28:00.340 If you have a

00:28:01.060 degree in

00:28:01.500 economics, let

00:28:02.920 me know in the

00:28:03.400 comments, and

00:28:04.060 then tell me your

00:28:04.740 opinion.

00:28:05.380 But for most of

00:28:06.080 you, you don't

00:28:06.520 have any kind of

00:28:07.960 degree in

00:28:08.500 economics, so you

00:28:10.460 definitely don't

00:28:11.260 know if spending

00:28:12.400 the trillion dollars

00:28:13.180 is free or

00:28:15.000 destroys the

00:28:16.060 country because

00:28:16.520 we don't have

00:28:17.000 trillions of

00:28:17.460 dollars that we

00:28:18.940 could borrow.

00:28:20.220 I mean, we

00:28:20.820 could borrow it,

00:28:21.400 but maybe we

00:28:21.860 can't pay it

00:28:22.280 back too easily.

00:28:24.420 Economists are

00:28:24.960 often wrong.

00:28:25.660 That's right.

00:28:26.600 But at least

00:28:27.020 they would

00:28:27.340 understand the

00:28:27.940 question better.

00:28:29.320 They might get

00:28:29.880 the wrong answer,

00:28:30.660 but at least

00:28:31.000 they'd understand

00:28:31.600 the question.

00:28:35.080 Honestly, I

00:28:35.680 have a bad

00:28:36.060 feeling about it,

00:28:36.800 somebody says.

00:28:37.820 Right, if it's

00:28:38.460 free, why would

00:28:39.100 you stop?

00:28:40.140 Why would you

00:28:40.820 stop at 3.5?

00:28:42.380 Why not 10

00:28:43.220 trillion?

00:28:43.780 It's free.

00:28:46.540 So I

00:28:48.280 think the

00:28:49.460 answer is

00:28:49.960 probably not

00:28:50.660 either extreme,

00:28:51.780 right?

00:28:52.140 It's not free,

00:28:53.160 and it's probably

00:28:53.660 not going to

00:28:54.200 destroy the

00:28:54.680 country.

00:28:56.760 If you don't

00:28:57.600 know, why

00:28:58.360 risk it?

00:28:58.820 Oh, there

00:28:59.120 we go.

00:29:00.080 So Brandon, I

00:29:00.980 believe, has an

00:29:01.900 economics degree

00:29:02.760 and asked this

00:29:03.640 reasonable question.

00:29:04.920 If you don't

00:29:05.720 know if it

00:29:07.000 could destroy

00:29:07.540 the country,

00:29:08.720 why risk it?

00:29:10.200 That's a really

00:29:10.920 good answer.

00:29:12.560 Now, that's

00:29:13.960 somebody who's

00:29:14.400 an economist.

00:29:14.880 That is a

00:29:16.540 perfect economist

00:29:18.120 response.

00:29:19.480 If you don't

00:29:20.020 know if it

00:29:21.600 would be good

00:29:22.160 or bad, why

00:29:23.860 would you do

00:29:24.440 it?

00:29:26.400 That's a really

00:29:27.080 good question.

00:29:29.800 I think most

00:29:30.840 of us agree that

00:29:31.560 if you did just

00:29:32.180 the infrastructure

00:29:32.820 part, you

00:29:34.080 probably come

00:29:34.880 out ahead, or

00:29:35.840 at least you

00:29:36.280 needed the

00:29:36.720 infrastructure.

00:29:37.800 Even if it

00:29:38.340 didn't pay for

00:29:38.860 itself, you

00:29:39.620 still have to

00:29:40.060 do it.

00:29:41.120 But when you

00:29:41.720 get to the

00:29:42.280 larger 3.5

00:29:43.980 trillion, if

00:29:45.440 you don't know

00:29:46.120 it's going to

00:29:46.600 work, why

00:29:48.680 would you do

00:29:49.180 it?

00:29:51.160 Of course, we

00:29:51.920 don't know any

00:29:52.600 of our plans

00:29:53.160 are going to

00:29:53.480 work, right?

00:29:54.380 So to be fair,

00:29:56.040 it's always a

00:29:56.820 calculated risk.

00:29:58.040 But if we don't

00:29:58.680 have any

00:29:59.420 visibility at

00:30:00.800 all, usually

00:30:02.240 you're saying,

00:30:02.780 okay, usually

00:30:03.400 this sort of

00:30:03.940 thing works,

00:30:04.300 like vaccinations.

00:30:05.980 We're not

00:30:06.620 flying blind

00:30:07.360 with vaccinations

00:30:08.160 entirely, because

00:30:09.760 we've developed

00:30:10.720 drugs before, we

00:30:11.920 have some

00:30:12.280 intuition about

00:30:12.960 things.

00:30:13.660 But with this

00:30:14.720 DEZ stuff, we

00:30:16.040 don't have any

00:30:16.880 intuition about

00:30:17.680 this.

00:30:17.940 There's no

00:30:19.260 math and

00:30:19.840 there's no

00:30:20.200 intuition that

00:30:20.860 can tell us

00:30:21.380 if this makes

00:30:21.880 sense.

00:30:23.560 I don't think

00:30:24.340 the experts

00:30:24.800 agree, right?

00:30:26.700 All right.

00:30:29.660 Do you know

00:30:30.280 if China is

00:30:30.940 surplus or

00:30:31.560 debt?

00:30:32.900 I think

00:30:33.540 China doesn't 1.00

00:30:34.360 have debt the

00:30:35.360 way we do,

00:30:35.980 right?

00:30:37.260 That's a good

00:30:37.880 question.

00:30:38.260 I don't know

00:30:38.580 the answer to

00:30:38.980 that.

00:30:39.700 I mean, lots

00:30:40.400 of companies

00:30:40.920 have debt over

00:30:41.520 there, and

00:30:41.940 that would be

00:30:42.300 a problem,

00:30:42.820 especially the

00:30:43.340 real estate

00:30:43.680 companies.

00:30:45.180 All right,

00:30:45.620 Dr. Interracial 0.74

00:30:46.780 tweeted at me,

00:30:47.940 today, to alert

00:30:49.360 me, to there's

00:30:50.660 a new DNC

00:30:51.800 campaign ad

00:30:52.800 they're running

00:30:53.920 to try to

00:30:54.600 attack Ron

00:30:55.300 DeSantis.

00:30:56.900 Now, that

00:30:57.520 makes sense,

00:30:58.220 because they're

00:30:58.660 going after,

00:30:59.220 you know, the

00:30:59.600 Corey Lewandowski

00:31:00.840 use the Ron

00:31:01.560 DeSantis, trying

00:31:02.620 to get ahead of,

00:31:03.500 you know, the

00:31:03.920 next elections,

00:31:05.380 and take down

00:31:06.060 people they think

00:31:06.860 are at risk.

00:31:08.220 But here's the

00:31:10.260 funny part.

00:31:10.820 the Democrats'

00:31:13.460 campaign ad

00:31:14.160 against Ron

00:31:15.320 DeSantis

00:31:15.820 reads like

00:31:18.540 a campaign

00:31:20.340 ad for

00:31:21.200 Ron DeSantis.

00:31:23.040 It is probably

00:31:23.920 the worst

00:31:24.820 conceived

00:31:25.500 hit piece

00:31:26.480 you've ever

00:31:26.940 seen, because

00:31:28.160 you're watching

00:31:28.640 it and you're

00:31:29.060 thinking, I

00:31:30.060 think I kind

00:31:30.640 of like Ron

00:31:31.180 DeSantis based

00:31:31.980 on what I'm

00:31:32.520 hearing.

00:31:32.780 And the

00:31:34.060 campaign ad

00:31:34.720 starts in an

00:31:35.380 airplane that,

00:31:36.380 you know,

00:31:36.560 everybody's got

00:31:36.980 their face masks

00:31:37.680 on, and the

00:31:38.500 announcer, the

00:31:40.000 flight attendant

00:31:41.240 says, we're

00:31:41.880 entering Florida

00:31:42.620 where, you

00:31:43.900 know, you

00:31:44.160 won't have

00:31:44.620 masks, and

00:31:45.380 you don't

00:31:45.600 have to get

00:31:46.000 vaccinations, and

00:31:46.900 you can go

00:31:47.980 anywhere you

00:31:48.480 want.

00:31:49.280 And the

00:31:49.760 implication is

00:31:52.180 that going to

00:31:52.860 Florida is a 0.52

00:31:53.780 big dangerous

00:31:54.400 thing, because

00:31:55.300 Ron DeSantis is

00:31:56.340 ignoring all the

00:31:57.600 science and

00:31:58.120 doing dangerous

00:31:58.700 stuff.

00:31:59.020 That's what

00:31:59.500 they're trying

00:31:59.820 to sell you.

00:32:01.160 But they

00:32:01.840 miss the mark

00:32:02.740 so badly that

00:32:05.540 it comes off

00:32:06.100 looking like a

00:32:06.800 pro-DeSantis

00:32:07.500 ad, because

00:32:08.580 it basically

00:32:09.080 says, Ron

00:32:09.980 DeSantis

00:32:10.380 will give

00:32:10.900 you your

00:32:11.220 freedom, and

00:32:12.860 we won't.

00:32:14.480 I mean, that's

00:32:14.900 what it says.

00:32:15.700 Ron DeSantis

00:32:16.520 will give you

00:32:18.280 your freedom,

00:32:19.840 but we

00:32:21.020 won't.

00:32:21.900 That's what

00:32:22.480 the frickin' 0.89

00:32:22.940 ad says. 0.90

00:32:24.520 How in the

00:32:25.220 world did

00:32:25.680 they think

00:32:25.980 that was a

00:32:26.400 good idea?

00:32:26.960 What kind

00:32:28.200 of an

00:32:28.740 insulated

00:32:29.600 political life

00:32:32.820 do you have

00:32:33.480 that nobody

00:32:34.700 told you this

00:32:35.300 was a bad

00:32:35.800 idea?

00:32:36.100 I mean, I

00:32:38.120 think they just

00:32:38.580 made Ron

00:32:39.020 DeSantis

00:32:39.420 president.

00:32:40.680 If you

00:32:40.980 go to

00:32:41.280 Florida, the

00:32:43.000 governor will

00:32:43.480 make sure you

00:32:44.020 have freedom.

00:32:45.520 Come on.

00:32:47.580 That's like the

00:32:48.360 best thing you

00:32:48.940 could ever say

00:32:49.480 about this

00:32:49.960 guy.

00:32:50.900 Yeah, they're

00:32:51.500 so tone

00:32:52.060 deaf.

00:32:53.440 Now, is

00:32:53.900 this an

00:32:54.260 example where

00:32:54.880 the left only

00:32:55.540 listens to

00:32:56.160 themselves?

00:32:57.400 It must be,

00:32:58.260 right?

00:32:58.720 Because I feel

00:32:59.380 like the right

00:32:59.960 wouldn't have

00:33:00.400 made this

00:33:00.800 mistake.

00:33:02.080 When was

00:33:02.480 the last

00:33:02.780 time you

00:33:03.080 saw a

00:33:04.520 campaign ad

00:33:05.940 from the

00:33:06.340 right, where

00:33:07.780 you looked

00:33:08.120 at it and

00:33:08.380 you said,

00:33:08.640 huh, this

00:33:09.100 is working

00:33:09.960 in the

00:33:10.240 opposite

00:33:10.520 direction.

00:33:11.540 It looks

00:33:11.940 like the

00:33:13.320 right doesn't

00:33:13.940 even understand

00:33:14.560 what the

00:33:14.900 left is

00:33:15.280 thinking.

00:33:16.500 You've

00:33:16.980 never seen

00:33:17.480 it.

00:33:18.580 Because the

00:33:19.280 right understands

00:33:21.000 the argument

00:33:21.980 on the left.

00:33:23.680 They disagree

00:33:24.560 with it, but

00:33:26.060 they've heard

00:33:26.600 it.

00:33:27.820 They've heard

00:33:28.640 it.

00:33:29.380 And that's

00:33:29.880 different.

00:33:30.600 Because the

00:33:30.960 right knows

00:33:31.400 what the

00:33:31.700 left is at

00:33:32.280 least talking

00:33:32.760 about and

00:33:33.140 thinking.

00:33:33.460 But the

00:33:34.600 left has

00:33:35.000 no idea

00:33:35.620 what the

00:33:35.940 right is

00:33:36.280 thinking or

00:33:36.700 talking about

00:33:37.120 because they

00:33:37.440 don't consume

00:33:38.520 that media.

00:33:41.040 Yeah.

00:33:43.460 So think

00:33:44.180 about it.

00:33:44.560 Think about

00:33:44.920 the fact

00:33:45.300 that Democrats

00:33:46.800 have consistently

00:33:47.760 made ads that

00:33:48.560 work against

00:33:49.340 their own

00:33:49.720 interests and

00:33:50.220 Republicans

00:33:50.620 haven't.

00:33:51.880 And it's

00:33:52.160 all different

00:33:52.560 people.

00:33:53.740 It's definitely

00:33:54.280 a Republican

00:33:54.880 Democrat

00:33:55.360 difference.

00:33:57.180 Well, the

00:33:57.860 Taliban is 0.99

00:33:58.460 warning that 0.80

00:33:59.240 there will

00:34:00.160 be some

00:34:01.080 kind of

00:34:02.160 consequences.

00:34:03.460 if the

00:34:04.400 U.S.

00:34:04.720 keeps flying

00:34:05.300 drones over

00:34:06.180 Afghanistan

00:34:06.820 because that's

00:34:08.760 violating their

00:34:09.960 sovereignty.

00:34:10.780 To which I

00:34:11.400 say, that is

00:34:12.600 kind of violating

00:34:13.340 their sovereignty,

00:34:14.240 isn't it?

00:34:15.500 It does feel

00:34:16.540 like that's

00:34:17.040 pretty violating

00:34:18.040 their sovereignty.

00:34:19.140 But, you

00:34:19.820 know, of course,

00:34:20.260 we have

00:34:20.500 legitimate security

00:34:21.640 reasons to do

00:34:22.420 it.

00:34:23.680 And I'm

00:34:24.480 wondering, what

00:34:25.000 exactly is the

00:34:25.740 Taliban going to 0.98

00:34:26.440 do about it?

00:34:27.900 I mean, I think

00:34:28.720 we do it because

00:34:29.400 we can, right?

00:34:30.420 There's nothing

00:34:30.820 they can do

00:34:31.240 about it.

00:34:31.740 They can't

00:34:32.060 really shoot

00:34:32.440 down our

00:34:32.800 drones to

00:34:33.280 easily, at

00:34:33.980 least not

00:34:34.300 yet.

00:34:35.360 So, would

00:34:36.860 they retaliate

00:34:37.720 by sending

00:34:38.240 drones over

00:34:38.900 here?

00:34:40.440 Do you

00:34:41.000 think you'll

00:34:41.360 ever see a

00:34:41.920 Taliban drone

00:34:42.940 in the United

00:34:43.540 States, you

00:34:44.720 know, attacking

00:34:46.440 something over

00:34:47.140 here?

00:34:48.560 Maybe.

00:34:50.040 Yeah.

00:34:51.220 It doesn't

00:34:51.900 necessarily have

00:34:52.500 to come from

00:34:52.860 the Taliban, but

00:34:53.680 you're definitely

00:34:54.340 going to see

00:34:54.760 drones attacking

00:34:55.800 in the United

00:34:56.340 States.

00:34:57.180 Probably the

00:34:58.020 small ones,

00:34:59.020 you know, the

00:34:59.440 hobby ones.

00:35:00.600 All right, the

00:35:03.160 numbers don't

00:35:03.760 lie.

00:35:04.300 Have you ever

00:35:04.660 learned that?

00:35:06.120 The numbers

00:35:06.720 don't lie.

00:35:08.140 So, if you're

00:35:08.560 going to look at

00:35:08.920 the data to

00:35:09.840 figure out, you

00:35:10.600 know, let's say

00:35:11.560 what country did

00:35:12.320 better than some

00:35:13.040 other country on

00:35:13.760 COVID, you just

00:35:14.980 look at the

00:35:15.400 numbers.

00:35:16.800 Because the

00:35:17.360 numbers don't

00:35:17.860 lie, right?

00:35:18.820 As long as you

00:35:19.320 have numbers, you

00:35:19.860 know exactly what's

00:35:20.600 going on.

00:35:22.180 Except, except

00:35:24.760 this example.

00:35:26.840 So, a tweet

00:35:27.500 claiming, it

00:35:29.340 doesn't matter

00:35:29.760 who, because a

00:35:30.740 number of people

00:35:31.200 have done this,

00:35:31.960 claiming that one

00:35:32.800 of India's, I

00:35:34.660 don't know,

00:35:34.860 provinces or

00:35:35.660 whatever they're

00:35:36.040 called, states or

00:35:36.920 provinces, I

00:35:37.580 don't know, had

00:35:39.120 something like

00:35:39.620 zero COVID

00:35:41.400 deaths, and it's

00:35:42.200 because of

00:35:42.620 ivermectin.

00:35:43.900 How many times

00:35:44.700 have you seen

00:35:45.200 that?

00:35:46.060 There's some

00:35:46.920 area in India

00:35:48.940 that doesn't have

00:35:50.160 any COVID because

00:35:51.160 of ivermectin.

00:35:52.340 As soon as that

00:35:52.920 ivermectin came

00:35:53.760 in, boom.

00:35:54.760 The deaths

00:35:55.700 went down to

00:35:56.340 zero.

00:35:57.300 Have you heard

00:35:57.780 that?

00:35:59.840 Okay, none of

00:36:00.400 it's true.

00:36:01.500 None of it's

00:36:02.140 true.

00:36:03.240 And beyond

00:36:04.100 that, apparently

00:36:05.440 the death

00:36:06.480 count in India

00:36:07.280 might be

00:36:07.780 undercounted by

00:36:08.660 a factor of

00:36:09.460 10.

00:36:11.020 They think

00:36:11.860 that 400,000

00:36:12.920 people in India

00:36:13.720 died of COVID.

00:36:15.340 It might be

00:36:16.080 4 million.

00:36:18.200 It might be

00:36:19.500 4 million.

00:36:22.180 Smart people

00:36:22.880 are saying that

00:36:23.480 it might be

00:36:23.880 4 million.

00:36:25.640 They just

00:36:26.080 don't keep

00:36:26.740 the records

00:36:27.160 the same

00:36:27.500 way we

00:36:27.820 do.

00:36:29.560 I doubt

00:36:30.240 it's 40

00:36:30.680 million, but

00:36:31.300 4 million?

00:36:33.320 Wow.

00:36:34.480 So anybody

00:36:35.720 who thinks

00:36:36.140 that ivermectin

00:36:36.960 solved the

00:36:38.180 problem in

00:36:38.740 one of their

00:36:39.380 areas would

00:36:39.960 have to explain

00:36:40.740 why the other

00:36:41.480 areas are not

00:36:42.200 using it already.

00:36:43.720 So that's your

00:36:44.220 first question.

00:36:45.440 If it totally

00:36:46.200 definitely worked

00:36:46.960 in this one

00:36:47.520 area of India,

00:36:49.300 why isn't all

00:36:50.240 of India doing

00:36:50.800 it?

00:36:50.980 Well, the

00:36:51.920 answer is

00:36:52.460 none of it's

00:36:53.400 true.

00:36:54.360 The area that

00:36:55.060 we're talking

00:36:55.460 about, we

00:36:56.560 don't know how

00:36:57.080 many people

00:36:57.500 died.

00:36:57.940 It's probably

00:36:58.240 10 times as

00:36:58.900 many as

00:36:59.380 whatever is

00:36:59.960 reported.

00:37:01.140 But secondly,

00:37:03.980 just the numbers

00:37:05.100 are all wrong.

00:37:06.180 Basically,

00:37:06.860 everything about it

00:37:07.640 is wrong.

00:37:08.360 And the area,

00:37:10.240 Andres

00:37:10.640 Beckhaus was

00:37:11.460 pointing out that

00:37:12.200 if you added

00:37:12.820 together the

00:37:13.400 natural immunity

00:37:14.220 in the area

00:37:14.820 from pre-infections

00:37:16.080 plus vaccinations,

00:37:18.220 that explains

00:37:19.200 the dip.

00:37:21.960 So many people

00:37:22.960 in that area

00:37:23.580 are either

00:37:24.080 already infected

00:37:25.060 or they got

00:37:26.940 the vaccination

00:37:27.580 that there

00:37:28.020 weren't many

00:37:29.300 people left

00:37:29.720 to infect.

00:37:30.820 So of course

00:37:31.680 it dropped.

00:37:32.160 It had nothing

00:37:32.540 to do with

00:37:32.940 ivermectin.

00:37:34.220 So if you see

00:37:35.040 that it was

00:37:35.420 ivermectin,

00:37:36.040 that's not true.

00:37:37.620 Let me give

00:37:38.080 you the worst

00:37:39.320 argument I've 0.68

00:37:41.760 seen.

00:37:43.160 Now again,

00:37:43.700 this isn't about

00:37:44.360 vaccinations,

00:37:45.160 yes or no.

00:37:46.080 This is about

00:37:46.960 arguments,

00:37:48.100 okay?

00:37:49.280 Again,

00:37:49.820 I don't care

00:37:50.280 if you vaccinated.

00:37:52.160 It's just about

00:37:52.940 whether your

00:37:53.460 argument is good.

00:37:54.540 Because I think

00:37:55.040 there are good

00:37:55.460 arguments both sides.

00:37:56.880 Have I ever

00:37:57.320 said that outright?

00:37:58.880 Let me say it

00:37:59.500 outright.

00:38:00.400 I think there

00:38:01.120 are good arguments

00:38:02.060 on both sides

00:38:03.640 of this question.

00:38:05.280 But each of us

00:38:06.080 have to make

00:38:06.500 a decision.

00:38:07.720 And whatever

00:38:08.420 decision you make,

00:38:09.760 you're going to

00:38:10.140 have to live with

00:38:10.780 the fact that

00:38:11.220 the other side

00:38:11.760 had an argument.

00:38:13.260 You know,

00:38:13.500 it wasn't nothing.

00:38:14.740 They did have

00:38:15.660 an argument.

00:38:16.240 You could

00:38:16.520 disagree with

00:38:17.080 it.

00:38:17.920 You know,

00:38:18.200 I do disagree

00:38:18.860 with the

00:38:19.180 argument on

00:38:19.740 the other

00:38:20.040 side for

00:38:21.080 my own

00:38:21.520 risk profile.

00:38:22.740 Not for

00:38:23.120 the rest

00:38:23.420 of you.

00:38:23.760 You have

00:38:24.100 to do

00:38:24.300 your own.

00:38:25.640 But anyway,

00:38:27.160 here's the

00:38:28.040 worst argument.

00:38:30.340 The vaccinated

00:38:31.280 people have

00:38:31.940 two risks,

00:38:32.880 not one.

00:38:34.140 They have

00:38:34.500 the risk

00:38:34.900 of the

00:38:35.220 COVID itself,

00:38:36.640 because even

00:38:37.120 if you're

00:38:37.440 vaccinated,

00:38:38.040 you can still

00:38:38.480 get it.

00:38:38.900 You can still

00:38:39.360 get long-haul

00:38:40.580 COVID,

00:38:41.040 maybe.

00:38:41.260 And then

00:38:43.700 you would

00:38:43.900 have the

00:38:44.180 risk of

00:38:44.540 the vaccination

00:38:45.100 itself on

00:38:46.740 top of the

00:38:47.320 risk of

00:38:47.780 the virus.

00:38:49.580 So this

00:38:50.020 was an

00:38:50.300 actual tweet

00:38:51.020 that getting

00:38:51.960 vaccinated

00:38:52.520 doubles your

00:38:53.440 risk,

00:38:54.600 because now

00:38:55.360 instead of

00:38:55.980 the risk of

00:38:56.520 just the

00:38:56.940 virus,

00:38:57.360 you also

00:38:57.740 have the

00:38:58.100 risk of

00:38:58.480 getting

00:38:58.720 vaccinated

00:38:59.280 itself.

00:39:02.520 Wait,

00:39:03.100 somebody's

00:39:03.500 saying exactly.

00:39:05.340 You're not

00:39:05.940 agreeing with

00:39:06.400 that argument,

00:39:06.940 are you?

00:39:07.180 I hope

00:39:09.840 you're not.

00:39:11.920 Nobody's

00:39:12.320 agreeing with

00:39:12.780 that, are

00:39:13.060 they?

00:39:13.840 Because I

00:39:14.300 set it up as

00:39:15.520 the worst

00:39:15.880 argument that

00:39:16.420 anybody ever

00:39:17.180 made.

00:39:19.120 But I

00:39:19.840 think a few

00:39:20.280 of you are

00:39:20.740 agreeing with

00:39:21.260 the argument.

00:39:24.620 All right.

00:39:26.360 Well,

00:39:27.060 here's what's

00:39:28.960 wrong with

00:39:29.280 that argument.

00:39:30.100 Do I even

00:39:30.500 need to tell

00:39:30.940 you?

00:39:31.720 Do I even

00:39:32.340 need to explain

00:39:32.940 what's wrong

00:39:33.360 with it?

00:39:34.720 Oh, I'm

00:39:35.240 being asked to

00:39:35.740 explain, okay.

00:39:37.180 This would

00:39:39.200 be the same

00:39:39.700 argument for

00:39:40.320 anything good.

00:39:42.500 Name anything

00:39:43.020 that you think

00:39:43.840 worked to

00:39:44.960 make you

00:39:45.340 safer.

00:39:46.520 Seatbelts.

00:39:48.160 If you

00:39:48.760 add seatbelts,

00:39:50.260 you've got the

00:39:50.980 risk of the

00:39:51.540 crash, because 0.90

00:39:52.360 people with

00:39:52.800 seatbelts still

00:39:53.380 die, but then

00:39:54.740 you have the

00:39:55.120 added risk of

00:39:55.740 the seatbelt.

00:39:57.000 What if the

00:39:57.480 seatbelt hurts

00:39:58.020 you?

00:39:58.940 That's two

00:39:59.620 risks instead

00:40:01.060 of one.

00:40:01.560 You only had a

00:40:02.180 risk of dying

00:40:02.720 in a car

00:40:03.160 accident, but

00:40:04.600 now you have a

00:40:05.120 risk of dying

00:40:05.640 in a car accident

00:40:06.320 because you

00:40:06.700 can still die

00:40:07.280 in one with

00:40:07.740 seatbelts, but

00:40:08.720 on top of

00:40:09.320 that you have

00:40:09.680 the risk of

00:40:10.100 the seatbelt

00:40:10.520 itself.

00:40:11.920 Two risks

00:40:12.460 instead of

00:40:12.940 one.

00:40:14.480 My point is

00:40:16.380 you can take

00:40:17.060 anything good

00:40:17.900 and just say

00:40:19.140 it created two

00:40:19.900 risks instead

00:40:20.560 of one.

00:40:21.720 How about

00:40:22.060 you go to

00:40:22.980 the, let's

00:40:24.660 say you have

00:40:25.760 an illness,

00:40:27.200 you need a

00:40:28.000 heart bypass.

00:40:29.300 Let's say you

00:40:29.740 need a heart

00:40:30.120 bypass.

00:40:31.280 So you've got

00:40:31.720 a risk from

00:40:32.460 the heart

00:40:33.000 itself, and

00:40:34.340 now you decide

00:40:34.920 to get an

00:40:35.320 operation.

00:40:36.520 That's two

00:40:37.000 risks, twice

00:40:38.180 as bad, right?

00:40:39.320 Now you've got

00:40:39.760 a risk of the

00:40:40.260 operation and

00:40:41.020 the risk of

00:40:41.500 the heart.

00:40:44.440 Every time you

00:40:45.280 try to fix

00:40:45.860 something, it

00:40:46.500 introduces a

00:40:47.180 new risk.

00:40:48.280 But that's

00:40:48.960 not a reason

00:40:50.180 not to do

00:40:50.780 it.

00:40:52.420 You have to

00:40:53.060 look at the

00:40:53.560 total amount

00:40:54.460 of risk.

00:40:54.900 It's not one

00:40:55.600 and two.

00:40:57.540 You don't

00:40:58.080 count risks

00:40:58.520 as, here's

00:40:59.280 one.

00:41:00.480 You have to

00:41:00.900 see how much

00:41:01.520 risk.

00:41:01.940 You don't

00:41:03.480 just say,

00:41:03.980 well, I

00:41:04.240 got two

00:41:04.580 risks, that's

00:41:05.060 twice as

00:41:05.440 much as

00:41:05.760 one.

00:41:06.600 You have

00:41:06.840 to look at

00:41:07.160 the whole

00:41:07.360 situation.

00:41:08.860 All right.

00:41:11.260 I have a

00:41:12.160 hypothesis about

00:41:15.080 why it is that

00:41:15.840 I trigger more

00:41:16.700 cognitive dissonance

00:41:17.960 than other

00:41:18.520 people.

00:41:18.940 Now, first

00:41:19.300 of all, I

00:41:19.700 don't know

00:41:20.000 that that's

00:41:20.400 true, but

00:41:21.280 observationally,

00:41:23.040 it seems that

00:41:23.720 if you look at

00:41:24.180 my Twitter

00:41:24.560 feed, there's

00:41:25.120 more cognitive

00:41:26.920 dissonance than

00:41:28.120 others.

00:41:28.580 Why is that?

00:41:29.440 In the

00:41:29.820 comments, if

00:41:31.740 it's true,

00:41:32.360 let's take

00:41:32.760 it as a

00:41:33.340 speculation,

00:41:34.280 but assumption

00:41:35.220 that it's

00:41:35.560 true.

00:41:36.220 Why do I

00:41:36.960 trigger more

00:41:37.640 cognitive dissonance

00:41:38.900 than the

00:41:39.300 average

00:41:39.840 commenter?

00:41:45.000 I'm

00:41:45.480 resolute in

00:41:46.120 my assertions?

00:41:47.900 No.

00:41:49.040 Not that.

00:41:49.780 Maybe the

00:41:50.140 opposite of

00:41:50.560 that.

00:41:51.580 You try

00:41:52.060 harder, you

00:41:52.740 intend to.

00:41:54.700 It's the

00:41:55.020 topics I, it's

00:41:56.580 something about

00:41:57.040 the topics,

00:41:57.780 surely.

00:41:58.820 The ambiguity?

00:42:00.220 No.

00:42:01.740 The subtlety.

00:42:03.260 Okay, that's

00:42:03.760 close.

00:42:04.660 Here's what I

00:42:05.300 think.

00:42:05.860 You've probably

00:42:06.400 heard Greg

00:42:06.920 Gottfeld talk

00:42:07.620 about the

00:42:09.300 tyranny of,

00:42:12.380 what is it

00:42:13.020 called, the

00:42:13.320 prison of two

00:42:13.900 ideas.

00:42:14.980 The prison of

00:42:16.020 two ideas, that

00:42:16.700 there's just a

00:42:17.240 yes and a no

00:42:17.940 for every issue.

00:42:20.260 One of the

00:42:20.920 things I do is

00:42:21.820 I'll often find

00:42:22.720 the third

00:42:23.600 position.

00:42:25.140 The third

00:42:25.820 position will

00:42:26.500 always trigger

00:42:27.140 cognitive dissonance.

00:42:28.300 If the world

00:42:30.320 is decided, there

00:42:31.180 are only two

00:42:31.640 positions.

00:42:32.660 Because the

00:42:33.060 third position is

00:42:33.860 almost always the

00:42:34.560 reasonable one.

00:42:36.060 The two

00:42:36.480 position world is

00:42:37.860 when people just

00:42:38.540 took sides.

00:42:39.960 If there are two

00:42:40.860 positions that you

00:42:41.680 can identify, it

00:42:42.560 usually means the

00:42:43.260 media just assigned

00:42:44.280 those to you.

00:42:46.080 The left assigned

00:42:47.080 one position, the

00:42:48.000 right assigned

00:42:48.580 another position, and

00:42:49.940 people just

00:42:50.380 accepted them.

00:42:51.480 But if you have a

00:42:52.480 nuanced opinion,

00:42:55.020 anything that looks

00:42:55.740 like some kind of

00:42:56.420 middle ground, both

00:42:57.520 sides get triggered

00:42:58.500 into cognitive

00:42:59.440 dissonance.

00:43:00.360 So I trigger the

00:43:01.340 left and the right

00:43:02.160 at the same time,

00:43:02.960 twice as much

00:43:03.540 triggering.

00:43:05.160 So I don't think

00:43:06.080 it's an accident

00:43:06.680 that I get more

00:43:08.140 cognitive dissonance

00:43:09.220 because I'm

00:43:10.420 triggering both

00:43:11.040 sides.

00:43:11.940 Usually you're just

00:43:12.880 trying to trigger

00:43:13.700 one other side, but

00:43:14.720 I'm triggering both

00:43:15.440 sides at the same

00:43:16.120 time.

00:43:17.440 Let me give you an

00:43:18.300 example.

00:43:19.380 Now this doesn't

00:43:20.020 necessarily apply to

00:43:20.940 your opinion, right?

00:43:21.720 I'll just speak

00:43:22.360 generally.

00:43:23.220 So some people say

00:43:24.180 vaccinations are good

00:43:25.340 and you should all

00:43:26.020 get them.

00:43:26.420 Other people say

00:43:28.520 vaccinations might be

00:43:30.100 dangerous.

00:43:31.260 You should maybe not

00:43:32.160 get them.

00:43:33.560 So that's the prison

00:43:34.500 of the two ideas.

00:43:35.940 I say vaccinations

00:43:37.820 are probably good.

00:43:39.380 Can't be sure.

00:43:40.940 Just my best guess.

00:43:42.320 I mean, we have no

00:43:43.020 way to know for sure.

00:43:44.120 But probably.

00:43:45.400 Probably good.

00:43:46.860 But you shouldn't

00:43:48.000 necessarily get one.

00:43:49.900 That's the middle

00:43:50.420 ground.

00:43:51.300 Vaccinations

00:43:51.820 probably good.

00:43:53.380 And I decided to

00:43:54.460 get one for myself.

00:43:55.460 But your profile is

00:43:56.680 not my profile of

00:43:57.880 risk.

00:43:58.740 So you don't need to

00:43:59.820 do what I do.

00:44:00.480 And I certainly don't

00:44:01.260 suggest that you do.

00:44:03.000 So as soon as you find

00:44:04.100 that middle ground, the

00:44:05.180 people on the right think

00:44:06.240 you're siding with the

00:44:07.340 left, which I'm not.

00:44:08.660 The people on the left

00:44:09.440 think I'm siding with the 0.61

00:44:10.320 right, which I'm not.

00:44:11.620 And then both of them are

00:44:12.800 triggered into cognitive

00:44:13.740 dissonance.

00:44:15.620 Because the middle ground

00:44:16.620 almost always sounds more

00:44:17.620 reasonable than either

00:44:18.540 extreme.

00:44:19.640 So when people are talking

00:44:20.760 about the extremes, that's

00:44:21.900 usually just a trigger or a

00:44:23.780 signal of cognitive

00:44:24.860 dissonance.

00:44:26.300 All right.

00:44:29.980 Here's an example of

00:44:31.020 that.

00:44:31.460 John Grant on Twitter

00:44:32.640 tweeted this at me today.

00:44:35.080 So look for the

00:44:35.860 absolute.

00:44:37.400 John said, why do you,

00:44:39.160 speaking about me, he

00:44:40.200 said, why do you believe

00:44:41.100 every prescription drug

00:44:42.560 that isn't a mass killer

00:44:43.720 like fentanyl must then be

00:44:46.060 safe and effective?

00:44:46.780 What?

00:44:50.640 How in the world could

00:44:51.720 anybody watch any of my

00:44:53.100 content and then

00:44:54.560 characterize it as me

00:44:55.940 believing that every

00:44:58.280 prescription drug is safe

00:44:59.680 and effective?

00:45:01.080 That could not be further

00:45:02.680 from anything that I think

00:45:03.980 is true.

00:45:05.940 But John Grant thinks he

00:45:07.840 saw it as cognitive

00:45:09.760 dissonance.

00:45:11.060 So it's somebody who

00:45:12.160 believes there's an

00:45:12.960 absolute in play when

00:45:14.180 there's nothing like an

00:45:15.120 absolute in play here.

00:45:16.060 So look for absolutes

00:45:20.780 as your signal for

00:45:23.180 cognitive dissonance.

00:45:27.920 Straw manning.

00:45:30.340 I'm not sure what you

00:45:31.280 mean by that.

00:45:33.660 Yeah.

00:45:33.960 Aspirin would probably

00:45:34.880 not be approved by the

00:45:35.880 FDA if it came in today.

00:45:37.300 That's correct.

00:45:39.140 Scott, you are a

00:45:40.020 contrarian.

00:45:41.180 Am I?

00:45:42.420 I don't know that I'm

00:45:43.500 a contrarian.

00:45:44.420 I think contrarians are

00:45:46.880 sort of automatic.

00:45:49.860 I'm not automatic.

00:45:51.620 I disagree with a lot of

00:45:52.920 stuff, but not

00:45:53.980 automatically.

00:45:56.980 I thought micro doses of

00:45:58.480 fentanyl are used in

00:45:59.440 surgery.

00:45:59.880 Yeah, in a medical

00:46:00.640 context, it's very

00:46:01.800 useful.

00:46:02.100 Yeah, they think I'm a

00:46:10.720 contrarian because I'm

00:46:11.700 not a joiner of either

00:46:12.920 team.

00:46:14.420 Am I a provocateur?

00:46:15.980 I am, but I don't

00:46:17.380 know that I've ever

00:46:20.160 tried to be that.

00:46:22.040 You can be a

00:46:22.780 provocateur without that

00:46:23.980 being your mission.

00:46:24.980 It just ends up being

00:46:25.780 that way.

00:46:26.120 All right, I'm just

00:46:29.860 going to look at your

00:46:30.320 comments for a few

00:46:31.180 minutes.

00:46:31.960 Where is my iPhone made?

00:46:33.360 In China.

00:46:34.740 Yeah.

00:46:35.320 So my view, again,

00:46:37.000 here's another one of

00:46:37.780 those.

00:46:39.360 This is a perfect

00:46:40.060 example.

00:46:41.000 So I'm seeing people

00:46:42.160 question my use of an

00:46:43.780 iPhone that's obviously

00:46:44.940 assembled in China.

00:46:46.760 And what is my view

00:46:49.600 about doing business

00:46:51.060 with China?

00:46:51.720 Can anybody explain my

00:46:53.160 view?

00:46:53.320 Do I have an extreme

00:46:56.160 view that we should not

00:46:57.040 do any business in

00:46:58.020 China? 0.73

00:46:59.040 Or do I have an extreme

00:47:00.280 view that we should do

00:47:01.620 all the business that we

00:47:02.640 want in China with no

00:47:03.500 restrictions?

00:47:04.900 Am I on either of those

00:47:06.260 extremes?

00:47:07.780 No.

00:47:08.960 No.

00:47:09.560 I've said no new

00:47:10.980 business.

00:47:12.160 That would be crazy.

00:47:13.660 And I've said repeatedly

00:47:14.860 and consistently that if

00:47:16.800 you're already over there,

00:47:18.020 that's a whole different

00:47:18.640 situation.

00:47:19.920 So I think Tesla and

00:47:21.120 Apple, they have to

00:47:23.300 satisfy their shareholders.

00:47:26.100 And I'm one of them.

00:47:27.500 I just told you, I have

00:47:28.600 shares of Apple and I

00:47:30.420 have shares of Tesla.

00:47:31.640 As a shareholder, they do

00:47:34.500 have a fiduciary

00:47:36.280 responsibility to me and to

00:47:39.020 the other shareholders.

00:47:40.140 And they have to figure out

00:47:41.140 how to, within a legal

00:47:42.760 context, they've got to

00:47:43.900 figure out how to make us

00:47:45.440 some money.

00:47:46.180 And they're kind of trapped

00:47:47.300 over there.

00:47:47.760 I don't know if they have

00:47:48.420 many options in the short

00:47:50.000 run.

00:47:50.840 It's new business that I'd

00:47:53.420 be concerned about, not

00:47:54.380 the stuff that's already

00:47:55.420 there.

00:47:56.200 So I don't ask them to

00:47:57.480 change.

00:47:58.040 It's just not practical.

00:47:59.600 The economist and the

00:48:01.340 business person in me says,

00:48:03.460 eh, that's too much to

00:48:04.500 ask.

00:48:05.240 Nobody can really make that

00:48:06.360 big of a change that

00:48:07.220 quickly.

00:48:07.920 In the long run, yeah.

00:48:09.280 In the long run, would I

00:48:10.300 like to see Tesla and Apple

00:48:12.620 get out of China?

00:48:13.440 Oh, yeah.

00:48:14.620 Yeah.

00:48:14.980 And I'm hoping they're

00:48:15.960 working on it.

00:48:16.580 But in the short run, not

00:48:18.020 much you can do.

00:48:26.040 Talk about Rawlings.

00:48:28.520 Oh, did Rawlings move to

00:48:30.900 China? 0.73

00:48:31.840 Did that just happen?

00:48:33.380 If you have a link to a

00:48:34.660 story about an American

00:48:36.260 company moving business to

00:48:37.780 China, you should send 1.00

00:48:39.580 that to me. 1.00

00:48:41.140 Tweet that shit. 1.00

00:48:42.000 I'm sorry. 1.00

00:48:42.580 Tweet that at me. 0.55

00:48:44.740 Jeep?

00:48:45.940 I haven't heard about that.

00:48:48.020 Here's another theory I

00:48:54.780 have, that if we're a

00:48:56.920 simulation, then some of

00:48:58.340 us are NPCs.

00:48:59.940 And one of the ways you

00:49:00.900 might be able to tell an

00:49:01.780 NPC is that they take

00:49:04.080 absolute opinions.

00:49:06.660 Because if you were going

00:49:07.700 to program NPCs, you'd

00:49:10.040 keep it simple, wouldn't

00:49:10.940 you?

00:49:11.820 You'd just have them pick

00:49:14.120 one of the major opinions

00:49:15.520 and stick with it.

00:49:16.320 I don't think you would

00:49:17.320 add a lot of nuance to

00:49:19.380 the NPCs, the non-player

00:49:22.360 characters that are part of

00:49:23.480 a simulation.

00:49:25.000 So I feel like when you see

00:49:26.960 somebody who's got cognitive

00:49:28.500 dissonance because of an

00:49:31.140 absolute opinion, maybe they're

00:49:34.500 just non-player characters.

00:49:38.200 Look up NPC Oblivion

00:49:39.720 compilation.

00:49:40.620 Well, that sounds

00:49:41.640 interesting.

00:49:45.880 Why would a simulation

00:49:47.820 preclude death?

00:49:50.260 I don't think it would.

00:49:56.560 Be careful.

00:49:57.580 In Bible study last night, it

00:49:59.080 was pointed out that Jesus,

00:50:00.660 Stephen, and Paul were all

00:50:02.600 killed when the crowd couldn't

00:50:04.880 answer their questions.

00:50:06.020 Well, I suppose that could be

00:50:09.540 my fate, but at least I'd be

00:50:10.880 a martyr.

00:50:11.740 Maybe somebody'd write a Bible

00:50:13.420 chapter about me.

00:50:15.060 All right, I'm going to need

00:50:16.140 to go and do some other

00:50:17.540 things.

00:50:19.700 But I hope I am not blamed

00:50:22.100 for the news not being that

00:50:23.420 terribly interesting today.

00:50:25.460 I guess Biden was getting

00:50:26.680 booed at the congressional

00:50:28.520 baseball game, but there were

00:50:30.400 probably just as many people

00:50:31.460 cheering him.

00:50:32.020 So I think that was fake news.

00:50:34.380 And, yeah, the Book of

00:50:37.680 Scott.

00:50:38.900 Why not the Book of

00:50:40.260 Scott?

00:50:42.820 Well, I tried to keep it

00:50:43.960 light and curse-free and

00:50:46.500 maybe give you some optimism

00:50:48.320 about things today.

00:50:50.000 I'm going to take that as my

00:50:51.780 direction from you.

00:50:55.520 Now, one of the things that

00:50:56.800 I'm quite committed to with

00:50:59.240 all of my work, really, is

00:51:00.900 that if you do any kind of

00:51:02.000 artistic content, and I

00:51:03.960 guess, in a sense, this is

00:51:05.260 some kind of art, if you're

00:51:07.600 not changing it because of

00:51:09.860 the audience reaction, you're

00:51:13.060 not really a good artist.

00:51:14.860 I think a good artist needs to

00:51:17.180 be continuously, you know,

00:51:19.220 polling the audience and

00:51:20.280 finding out what you're doing

00:51:21.160 wrong and correcting it.

00:51:22.760 So I'm going to try to

00:51:23.700 correct my cursing.

00:51:24.800 And I'm going to try to

00:51:27.720 correct my negativity that I

00:51:30.480 think slipped into my

00:51:31.600 into my presentation.

00:51:34.860 You know, and I'm glad that

00:51:36.080 you were policing me on that

00:51:38.120 because I didn't need to add

00:51:40.280 some negative negativity to a

00:51:41.940 negative world.

00:51:43.640 I think the reason, you know,

00:51:45.280 maybe the one thing I could

00:51:46.260 add is some positivity to a

00:51:48.680 negative world.

00:51:49.260 Yeah, I know that many of you

00:51:53.260 like the cursing, but here's

00:51:54.520 the trade-off.

00:51:56.640 There's nobody who would sign

00:51:58.300 on to watch this because of

00:51:59.880 the cursing.

00:52:00.940 I mean, unless it was just a

00:52:02.320 novelty day or something.

00:52:04.020 But people will leave because

00:52:05.500 of the cursing.

00:52:06.780 So here's a good marketing tip.

00:52:09.340 Nobody comes for the cursing,

00:52:11.500 but they might leave because of

00:52:12.920 it.

00:52:13.660 And it's the same with sexual

00:52:15.540 content.

00:52:16.700 People don't really come because

00:52:18.520 you might say something

00:52:19.360 naughty, but they might leave

00:52:20.440 because of it.

00:52:21.420 They might not tweet it

00:52:23.800 because of that.

00:52:26.240 Yeah, and I also believe the

00:52:29.720 stand-up comedians who curse

00:52:31.240 too much are lazy. 0.74

00:52:34.820 Do you believe that?

00:52:36.500 The stand-up comedians who curse

00:52:38.520 too much are just lazy or not 0.70

00:52:40.180 funny.

00:52:40.800 They just can't write well.

00:52:42.540 And the ones who don't need it,

00:52:44.160 you know, the Seinfelds, etc.,

00:52:45.740 they're operating at a whole

00:52:47.440 different level.

00:52:48.520 Yeah.

00:52:49.860 And the reason that I slide

00:52:52.300 into it, I feel, so this is my

00:52:54.980 self-criticism, it feels lazy when

00:53:01.000 I do it because I know I can get

00:53:03.380 a reaction from it, right?

00:53:05.000 You can always get some kind of

00:53:06.800 juice flowing into your audience

00:53:08.160 if you swear.

00:53:10.000 So it's a little too easy because

00:53:12.280 everybody can do it, right?

00:53:14.320 And if you're going to create an

00:53:16.060 entertainment product, as this is,

00:53:18.300 you sort of have an obligation to

00:53:20.000 try to do some things that are,

00:53:25.420 you know, a little different than

00:53:26.740 what everybody else is doing.

00:53:29.040 So if you're just doing the obvious

00:53:30.720 that anybody in the audience could

00:53:32.180 have done, swear at stuff, what have

00:53:35.720 you added, really?

00:53:36.520 Nothing.

00:53:36.820 Yeah, don't use common phrases in

00:53:43.280 writing.

00:53:43.740 Same thing, exactly.

00:53:46.660 Yeah, there are times when it will be

00:53:49.340 necessary, right?

00:53:50.800 There will be times when it's

00:53:53.280 necessary, but as a normal thing,

00:53:56.340 nah, I don't think so.

00:53:59.220 All right, that's all for now, for

00:54:02.360 now, that's all for today, and I will

00:54:04.720 talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 30, 2021

Episode 1515 Scott Adams： The News is Dreadful and Boring But We'll Have Fun Talking About it Anyway

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