Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 11, 2021


Episode 1526 Scott Adams: Dave Chapelle, Nobel Prize Craziness, and More Surprises


Episode Stats

Length

55 minutes

Words per Minute

149.47987

Word Count

8,363

Sentence Count

635

Misogynist Sentences

29

Hate Speech Sentences

14


Summary

Coffee, TikTok, and Dave Chappelle's new stand-up special. Also, a woman trying to make fun of TikTok parodies the TikTok creators, but it turns out she's just a parody.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey, everybody. Come on in. Come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:10.800 Once again, as always, what? Yes, the best thing in the universe.
00:00:16.200 The known universe. I will allow that there's a possibility that outside the known universe
00:00:22.440 there might be something better than this, but I kind of doubt it, frankly.
00:00:25.640 You know, probably what you're thinking is, how can I take it up another notch?
00:00:31.540 Because that's the kind of people you are.
00:00:33.260 If you watch Coffee with Scott Adams, you're not satisfied with the status quo.
00:00:38.060 No, no, no. You're much better than that.
00:00:40.780 You know that continuous improvement is where it's at, and to continuously improve this morning,
00:00:46.220 you're going to have a simultaneous sip, and it's going to be marvelous.
00:00:50.720 Oh, no. I know some of you are still holdouts.
00:00:53.200 Yeah, no, I know that. I see you.
00:00:55.640 Yeah, I see you. I'm looking at you.
00:00:58.300 You're saying to yourself, there's no way in hell he is going to cause me to sip at the same time as he am.
00:01:04.980 I will not fall for that brainwashing and mind control.
00:01:09.640 No, no, you won't.
00:01:12.540 We'll see about that.
00:01:13.880 And for the rest of you who have discovered the unbridled joy of the simultaneous sip,
00:01:20.040 the rest of you can sit there in sadness and silence while we have an amazing experience.
00:01:25.500 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice, a sign, canteen,
00:01:28.320 join the flask vessel of any kind.
00:01:29.880 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:30.680 I like coffee.
00:01:32.880 And join me now, all the amazing, smart, and sexy people,
00:01:37.020 for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine to the day,
00:01:40.660 the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:43.080 Go.
00:01:49.520 I saw somebody on YouTube said
00:01:52.200 that all you have left in your cup is the backwash.
00:01:55.120 Well, if you think that's not good enough,
00:01:58.760 you have not experienced a simultaneous sip.
00:02:01.720 Yeah.
00:02:02.580 It'll make the backwash taste divine.
00:02:07.320 Well, let's talk about all the news.
00:02:09.760 I retweeted a TikTok parody
00:02:13.580 in which there was a woman making fun of the TikTokers who dance goofy,
00:02:18.760 and she was doing a science thing saying you should have controlled trials, etc.
00:02:25.120 The funny thing about it was
00:02:27.120 how many people couldn't tell it was a parody.
00:02:32.640 Now, her point was not a parody.
00:02:34.420 She was trying to make a point about using science
00:02:36.660 instead of just an anecdote.
00:02:39.140 Fair enough.
00:02:40.460 But it was an ordinary-looking woman.
00:02:43.440 And here, this is not an insult, right?
00:02:45.160 She looked like the people you see in ordinary life
00:02:48.160 as opposed to the TikTok, Instagram stars
00:02:51.420 that look a little too perfect.
00:02:53.120 And she does an incredibly awkward dance
00:02:56.760 that is just close enough
00:02:59.620 to the people who actually do it on TikTok
00:03:02.260 that you're not entirely sure she's joking,
00:03:05.500 which is what makes it brilliant.
00:03:06.960 It's the funniest thing I've seen in a month.
00:03:08.980 Yeah, I can't do the imitation, but...
00:03:11.660 She does the goofy dancing.
00:03:14.860 I think I watched it ten times.
00:03:16.980 Anyway, it's in my Twitter feed today,
00:03:18.720 if you want to see that for a laugh.
00:03:20.220 And the laugh is knowing that other people don't know
00:03:22.700 that she's just doing a parody.
00:03:25.180 They can't tell.
00:03:27.500 Remember I predicted a while ago
00:03:29.180 that reality and parody would merge?
00:03:32.920 And we just wouldn't know the difference.
00:03:34.720 They would just look the same.
00:03:35.860 This is one of those examples.
00:03:38.560 Well, because you have prodded me and poked me
00:03:41.260 and told me,
00:03:42.720 damn it, Scott,
00:03:43.420 you've got to watch the Dave Chappelle comedy special
00:03:46.120 on Netflix, the new one,
00:03:48.000 and give us your opinion on,
00:03:50.100 did he insult the trans community
00:03:53.740 or the LBGTQ community or anybody else?
00:03:58.340 And so I watched it last night,
00:03:59.880 and I have the following review.
00:04:02.960 First of all, on the dimension of art.
00:04:06.040 If we just judge it for its art,
00:04:10.480 A+.
00:04:10.980 A+.
00:04:12.360 Just about one of the, I don't know,
00:04:15.060 maybe the second best stand-up I've ever seen.
00:04:18.780 The first was Dave Chappelle's last special.
00:04:23.080 I think this is about as good.
00:04:25.600 It's brilliantly constructed
00:04:27.600 because unlike other comedians
00:04:30.580 who get up and tell a bunch of jokes,
00:04:32.760 he builds a structure.
00:04:34.360 He builds a whole structure,
00:04:37.640 and the structure doesn't come together
00:04:39.420 until the end of the show.
00:04:41.280 Now, watching that level of art
00:04:43.700 on top of really, really funny stuff,
00:04:46.800 and the type of humor that he makes me laugh at,
00:04:50.600 I've never even seen.
00:04:53.040 I've never even seen.
00:04:54.440 If you watch most comedians
00:04:56.260 who are even name-brand comedians,
00:04:58.720 you see the formula.
00:05:00.840 You know what I mean?
00:05:01.960 You see the formula in each joke.
00:05:04.360 You're like, that's one of those.
00:05:06.240 Oh, it's one of the jokes where he says,
00:05:08.580 what if people were like babies?
00:05:11.080 Oh, yeah, yeah,
00:05:12.160 because if people were like babies,
00:05:14.040 then when they asked the food,
00:05:14.940 they'd cry.
00:05:15.900 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.
00:05:18.260 That's like 90% of all comic acts
00:05:21.360 are the, what if this was like this?
00:05:23.780 But Chappelle makes me laugh
00:05:27.460 as sentences that I can't even tell why they're funny.
00:05:33.660 Somebody in the comments is a little bit ahead of me.
00:05:36.200 Norm Macdonald is the same thing.
00:05:38.680 Well, different.
00:05:39.840 Let's say in the same,
00:05:41.880 let's say general field.
00:05:44.200 They're not that similar.
00:05:45.700 But Norm Macdonald's act
00:05:48.140 is about him making you uncomfortable.
00:05:51.740 And if you don't get that,
00:05:53.060 you don't get his act.
00:05:54.340 This was Norm Macdonald.
00:05:56.200 Likewise, Dave Chappelle came right in
00:05:58.560 and told the audience directly
00:06:00.060 he was going to make him uncomfortable
00:06:02.020 and that he was going to go farther
00:06:04.420 than they would feel comfortable.
00:06:07.340 And then he did it.
00:06:10.560 Amazingly.
00:06:11.080 Like, just the level of intelligence and art
00:06:16.540 he brings to his act is really impressive.
00:06:19.560 It's really impressive.
00:06:20.300 It's not like,
00:06:21.700 I don't even think you can put him
00:06:23.000 in the same category as other humorists, really.
00:06:26.580 I mean, he's operating on two levels
00:06:29.140 and who else is doing that right now?
00:06:31.680 It's kind of rare.
00:06:33.560 So on the artistic level, A+.
00:06:36.980 Best in the game.
00:06:39.040 Everything about it was good,
00:06:40.300 including the fact that he said
00:06:41.400 it was his last comedy special
00:06:44.220 for at least for a while.
00:06:46.860 So what do you do
00:06:48.400 when you're going to do a show
00:06:49.400 that's going to get you cancelled?
00:06:51.660 And you know it.
00:06:53.920 How do you handle that?
00:06:56.420 Well, the way he did it
00:06:57.420 was saying it was his last special.
00:07:00.080 Which is kind of brilliant.
00:07:02.600 It's also the third level.
00:07:05.640 So the first level is jokes.
00:07:07.860 The second level is that
00:07:09.080 he's designing a package
00:07:10.900 that you don't fully see
00:07:12.180 until the end of the show.
00:07:13.600 And then the third level
00:07:15.040 is reality.
00:07:18.300 He's playing three games at once.
00:07:21.000 Who the hell does that?
00:07:23.280 I mean, seriously,
00:07:24.160 who the hell does that?
00:07:25.420 I mean, it's George Carlin,
00:07:26.680 you could argue,
00:07:27.460 but I think Carlin was really
00:07:28.680 more about the jokes,
00:07:30.140 although he was also playing
00:07:31.720 with the audience's response.
00:07:32.940 But I think Chappelle
00:07:34.700 just takes it to a whole new level.
00:07:36.520 Now, did he insult the LGBT community?
00:07:43.500 I don't know.
00:07:45.640 How would I know?
00:07:47.380 I mean, I just watched it.
00:07:49.460 I don't know how anybody else
00:07:50.620 feels about it.
00:07:51.820 I can't feel what they feel.
00:07:53.960 But did I see it?
00:07:55.260 No.
00:07:56.260 No, I didn't.
00:07:56.900 I didn't see a trace of it.
00:07:59.260 Not a trace.
00:08:01.320 And I don't want to give away the act
00:08:03.580 because there's a reason I say
00:08:06.080 I didn't see a trace of it.
00:08:08.280 And the reveal of why I feel that way
00:08:11.220 would be giving away too much,
00:08:13.060 so I'm not going to tell you that.
00:08:14.900 But do I think that the criticisms
00:08:16.820 are valid?
00:08:17.540 No.
00:08:18.180 No, not even a little bit.
00:08:20.040 Not even a little bit.
00:08:20.880 Not even a trace.
00:08:21.780 Not a whiff.
00:08:22.380 Not a vapor.
00:08:24.000 Not a sniff.
00:08:25.860 Nothing.
00:08:26.220 Nothing.
00:08:27.800 One small, small criticism.
00:08:33.080 And it's really small.
00:08:35.860 But I feel like it's worth noting.
00:08:38.320 So part of his defense,
00:08:40.240 and I don't think this is giving away too much,
00:08:42.320 is that he was a good friend and supporter
00:08:45.300 of a specific transgender individual.
00:08:51.280 And the story was compelling,
00:08:53.160 and I won't tell you any more about it.
00:08:55.120 But it rang a little bit like,
00:09:00.040 I've got a black friend,
00:09:01.780 so I'm not a racist.
00:09:04.240 Anybody else get that?
00:09:06.640 Anybody else?
00:09:08.260 Anybody else feel like,
00:09:10.500 yeah, I have this one friend who was trans?
00:09:14.640 It felt a little bit like,
00:09:15.840 I've got one black friend,
00:09:17.080 so I'm not a racist.
00:09:17.820 A little bit.
00:09:18.780 A little bit.
00:09:18.820 A little bit.
00:09:19.500 Now, at the same time,
00:09:23.040 that's a very unfair criticism.
00:09:27.140 Very unfair criticism.
00:09:28.460 But so is the other one.
00:09:31.780 So is the other one.
00:09:33.980 It reminded me of that other criticism,
00:09:36.200 but I think they're both unfair.
00:09:38.360 Because, and I've said this a number of times,
00:09:40.280 but what is the right response
00:09:42.800 to somebody saying,
00:09:44.600 let's say,
00:09:45.380 a typical white person
00:09:46.800 talking to a typical black American,
00:09:48.760 and says,
00:09:49.960 I can't be racist,
00:09:51.220 my best friend is black,
00:09:52.600 or my good friend is black.
00:09:54.900 And then the black person says,
00:09:56.860 oh, you got that one black friend thing?
00:10:00.260 Weak.
00:10:01.080 Weak argument.
00:10:02.660 It might be.
00:10:03.920 But here's the better way to treat it.
00:10:06.680 It's like, oh, that's great.
00:10:08.760 Maybe you'll have two black friends soon.
00:10:11.960 That's the only way to treat that.
00:10:14.220 Right?
00:10:14.640 Treating it as a criticism,
00:10:16.360 I think is completely the wrong direction.
00:10:20.180 Because you're basically talking people
00:10:23.360 out of the one good thing they did.
00:10:26.140 If you did one good thing,
00:10:28.580 you made friends with one black person.
00:10:31.680 How about encouraging that?
00:10:33.600 Hey, that's great.
00:10:34.460 I'm actually,
00:10:35.040 it's good to know you have a black friend.
00:10:37.960 I hope he introduces you to some other people,
00:10:40.100 and we get something going here.
00:10:43.220 So,
00:10:43.860 I'll just tell you,
00:10:45.960 I was reminded of that criticism,
00:10:48.080 but it's not a fair criticism.
00:10:50.620 So,
00:10:50.960 let me apply this to Dave Chappelle.
00:10:53.840 He had one
00:10:54.780 close trans friend.
00:10:58.760 It's more than you have.
00:11:00.820 Okay,
00:11:01.160 not all of you.
00:11:01.920 Not all of you,
00:11:02.680 I know that.
00:11:03.500 But let's say 90% of you.
00:11:05.120 It's more than you have.
00:11:07.240 So,
00:11:08.640 one is more than you have.
00:11:10.020 It's more than I have.
00:11:11.560 I don't have a trans friend.
00:11:13.600 Right?
00:11:13.840 I wouldn't have any objection to it,
00:11:15.500 but I just don't have one.
00:11:17.900 And,
00:11:18.420 I feel like he should be complimented for that,
00:11:22.340 even though it makes me think of that other thing.
00:11:24.400 All right,
00:11:24.640 Southwest Airlines,
00:11:25.700 having a bunch of cancelled flights,
00:11:28.420 I think they tried to
00:11:29.580 play that off as weather related.
00:11:33.960 Apparently it's not.
00:11:35.000 It looked like the pilots were doing some kind of a sick out or taking their personal days or something.
00:11:43.100 But here's a little bit more on that story.
00:11:46.840 A couple of facts that are relevant.
00:11:49.120 Number one,
00:11:51.000 apparently a lot of the pilots have personal days built up.
00:11:56.060 And if you quit a job,
00:11:58.640 and you've got a bunch of personal days,
00:12:00.320 you just lose them.
00:12:02.220 So,
00:12:02.580 a lot of the pilots are probably thinking to themselves,
00:12:05.560 I might quit.
00:12:07.200 Because of the forced vaccination rule.
00:12:09.540 That's the problem.
00:12:10.920 I might quit.
00:12:12.220 So,
00:12:12.460 I better take all my personal days now.
00:12:14.080 So,
00:12:14.480 some of this is being accelerated
00:12:17.340 by people getting ahead of maybe quitting
00:12:20.480 by taking all their personal days,
00:12:22.320 because you might as well get paid for them.
00:12:24.640 And,
00:12:25.120 on top of that,
00:12:27.960 I saw an estimate,
00:12:29.200 this is not an official estimate,
00:12:30.860 just somebody who was observing,
00:12:33.400 believes that something like 80% of pilots are ex-military.
00:12:38.240 Didn't see that coming,
00:12:39.480 did you?
00:12:39.740 Now,
00:12:40.880 I can confirm from,
00:12:43.280 you know,
00:12:43.500 my wife's experience flying,
00:12:45.420 that there are a tremendous number of ex-military people who are pilots.
00:12:48.840 Because they learn in the military,
00:12:50.100 it's very expensive to learn to be a pilot.
00:12:52.580 So,
00:12:53.000 learning as a private citizen is almost prohibitive,
00:12:57.120 especially if you have a job.
00:12:59.540 But learning in the military is,
00:13:01.120 you know,
00:13:01.400 required.
00:13:02.220 And so,
00:13:02.700 they've got that skill,
00:13:03.640 and then they take it into the civilian world.
00:13:06.900 So,
00:13:07.100 80% of pilots are ex-military.
00:13:11.180 Some of them,
00:13:12.040 are still fighting for the country.
00:13:18.500 Some of them,
00:13:20.740 still patriots.
00:13:24.420 Maybe all of them.
00:13:26.040 But apparently,
00:13:27.180 this is a group of people that doesn't like to get pushed around.
00:13:30.120 Sorry.
00:13:34.580 Turns out that the ex-military doesn't like to get pushed around.
00:13:38.580 Who saw that coming?
00:13:41.660 Well,
00:13:42.600 here's the problem.
00:13:44.520 The problem is not that society
00:13:46.580 is sort of distributed evenly
00:13:49.680 across,
00:13:51.580 you know,
00:13:51.860 many industries.
00:13:52.940 some areas of society
00:13:56.080 have concentrations of people.
00:13:59.400 And this is one of them.
00:14:01.280 They have a high concentration
00:14:03.080 of people who don't want to be pushed around.
00:14:05.680 And they also control
00:14:07.080 a vital resource in the country,
00:14:09.600 flying.
00:14:10.000 And apparently,
00:14:12.280 enough of them
00:14:12.880 have decided
00:14:13.560 they're just going to not
00:14:16.460 put up with it.
00:14:18.980 And
00:14:19.420 I'm not going to say
00:14:24.240 I agree with them
00:14:25.220 or disagree.
00:14:27.540 So,
00:14:28.040 I'm not going to take their position
00:14:29.700 or talk against it.
00:14:32.940 I'm still very much
00:14:34.380 the view
00:14:35.200 you all have to make up
00:14:36.040 your own decisions
00:14:36.700 about getting vaccinated
00:14:37.680 or what you do about it.
00:14:40.260 But
00:14:40.520 despite being neutral
00:14:43.760 on their
00:14:44.700 decisions,
00:14:47.980 right,
00:14:48.160 I'm not neutral
00:14:48.740 on my own decisions,
00:14:49.780 but I'm neutral
00:14:50.360 on your decisions.
00:14:51.380 You make your own.
00:14:53.120 Despite being neutral
00:14:54.080 about it,
00:14:55.300 I am inspired by it.
00:14:58.120 Are you not inspired
00:14:59.380 by this?
00:15:01.060 That the people,
00:15:02.980 you know,
00:15:03.340 that joined the military
00:15:04.840 one way or the other,
00:15:05.940 looks like they got
00:15:10.320 another mission.
00:15:11.940 Didn't ask for it,
00:15:13.600 but there it is.
00:15:18.580 So,
00:15:19.140 that's one place
00:15:19.880 that there is
00:15:20.500 a large concentration
00:15:22.260 of people
00:15:23.240 who aren't going
00:15:24.360 to get pushed around.
00:15:26.820 It's not the only one.
00:15:29.140 There are some other
00:15:30.100 groups of people.
00:15:31.780 One of them,
00:15:32.620 I understand,
00:15:33.360 which I just learned,
00:15:34.220 and I won't tell you
00:15:35.460 my source.
00:15:36.740 He's probably watching
00:15:37.720 right now.
00:15:38.900 But
00:15:39.160 it turns out
00:15:41.360 that in the South,
00:15:43.320 a lot of the
00:15:44.200 major industries
00:15:45.540 are populated
00:15:46.720 very,
00:15:47.500 to a large degree,
00:15:49.280 by black people.
00:15:51.940 One of them
00:15:52.600 is like shipbuilding,
00:15:53.680 military shipbuilding.
00:15:55.680 So,
00:15:56.200 the military shipbuilding
00:15:57.400 business
00:15:57.860 just ground to a halt
00:15:59.220 because there aren't
00:16:00.880 enough
00:16:01.160 vaccinated employees.
00:16:03.000 they have a large
00:16:04.000 black workforce.
00:16:07.020 So,
00:16:07.500 you're going to see
00:16:07.920 some places
00:16:08.460 where people
00:16:09.160 who don't want
00:16:10.280 to get pushed around
00:16:11.260 for different reasons.
00:16:12.980 You know,
00:16:13.160 they have their own reasons
00:16:13.980 and I don't agree
00:16:15.280 or disagree.
00:16:16.240 But the black population
00:16:18.180 of this country,
00:16:19.220 what do they have
00:16:19.900 in common
00:16:20.360 in this particular case
00:16:21.520 with the pilots
00:16:23.640 and ex-military people?
00:16:26.380 These are two groups
00:16:27.680 of people
00:16:28.160 you don't want
00:16:29.800 to fuck with.
00:16:30.420 sorry,
00:16:32.420 I slipped.
00:16:33.660 I didn't mean
00:16:34.080 to use that.
00:16:35.540 It's two groups
00:16:36.220 of people
00:16:36.640 who don't want
00:16:37.880 to be pushed around.
00:16:39.860 It just doesn't work.
00:16:41.340 You just can't
00:16:41.880 push them around.
00:16:42.920 Right?
00:16:43.140 They're just not
00:16:43.660 going to take it.
00:16:44.800 So,
00:16:45.320 I'm not saying
00:16:45.820 that they're right
00:16:46.360 or wrong.
00:16:46.800 I'm just saying
00:16:47.280 that they can't
00:16:47.860 be pushed
00:16:48.340 and if there are
00:16:49.180 concentrations
00:16:49.880 of people
00:16:50.480 who can't be pushed
00:16:51.380 and they have
00:16:52.360 control over
00:16:53.160 vital resources
00:16:55.080 in this country,
00:16:56.820 don't believe
00:16:58.940 the government's
00:16:59.660 in charge.
00:17:01.020 Never has been.
00:17:02.280 Not in this country.
00:17:04.160 The government's
00:17:04.800 in charge
00:17:05.300 when it's convenient
00:17:07.100 to you.
00:17:08.680 The government's
00:17:09.500 in charge
00:17:10.020 when most of us
00:17:12.000 agree with what
00:17:12.800 they're doing.
00:17:14.200 The government's
00:17:14.940 in charge
00:17:15.360 when it's about
00:17:16.080 collecting the garbage
00:17:17.320 and you didn't
00:17:18.140 want to do it yourself.
00:17:20.020 The government's
00:17:20.960 in charge
00:17:21.340 when the country
00:17:21.880 gets attacked
00:17:22.600 because we like
00:17:23.820 it that way.
00:17:24.460 We want a good,
00:17:25.840 you know,
00:17:26.180 integrated,
00:17:27.500 centralized defense.
00:17:29.660 Do you know
00:17:30.540 when the government
00:17:31.180 isn't in charge?
00:17:33.580 When you don't
00:17:34.360 need them to be
00:17:34.980 and you don't
00:17:35.380 want them to be
00:17:36.020 and most of the
00:17:36.860 public is fed up.
00:17:39.680 As soon as the
00:17:40.680 public wants
00:17:41.460 this stuff to end,
00:17:43.220 it's over.
00:17:44.860 And it might be
00:17:46.420 led by groups
00:17:47.280 that just don't
00:17:48.900 like to get
00:17:49.360 pushed around.
00:17:51.480 And good for them.
00:17:52.940 We need them.
00:17:54.040 Right?
00:17:54.200 Even when they're
00:17:55.520 wrong,
00:17:55.840 we need them.
00:17:57.000 Because you need
00:17:57.880 citizens who
00:17:59.460 won't take it.
00:18:00.700 Just won't put up
00:18:01.380 with it.
00:18:03.580 So,
00:18:04.180 maybe good news
00:18:05.060 coming,
00:18:05.560 but we might
00:18:06.300 have to go
00:18:06.720 through some
00:18:07.360 deprivation
00:18:09.600 for a while.
00:18:13.980 Vaccination
00:18:14.420 mandates
00:18:14.880 are probably
00:18:15.760 going to make
00:18:16.120 life kind of
00:18:16.860 tough on the
00:18:17.420 economy for a
00:18:18.140 little while.
00:18:19.520 It's okay
00:18:20.140 with me.
00:18:21.020 I call that
00:18:21.560 legitimate protest.
00:18:22.640 Totally legitimate
00:18:24.300 whether I agree
00:18:25.160 with them or not.
00:18:26.280 And by the way,
00:18:27.040 I'm anti-mandate,
00:18:28.220 so I guess I do
00:18:28.880 agree with them.
00:18:30.160 But at the same
00:18:31.740 time, I did get
00:18:32.780 vaccinated, so.
00:18:35.680 I asked this
00:18:36.540 question on
00:18:37.220 Twitter.
00:18:38.640 I asked people
00:18:39.460 what they learned
00:18:40.300 during the pandemic,
00:18:41.740 meaning what kind
00:18:42.460 of skill they
00:18:43.160 acquired, you know.
00:18:44.460 And you need to
00:18:45.520 look at the
00:18:46.040 answers.
00:18:47.560 Talk about
00:18:48.240 motivating or
00:18:50.160 really almost
00:18:51.420 exhilarating.
00:18:52.640 There are two
00:18:53.880 kinds of people,
00:18:55.040 and I don't
00:18:55.400 know to what
00:18:55.920 extent people
00:18:57.280 can turn into
00:18:58.760 the other kind.
00:19:00.720 But have you
00:19:02.100 noticed the
00:19:02.500 whole country
00:19:02.980 got fat?
00:19:05.260 Anybody
00:19:05.540 notice that?
00:19:10.680 Yeah.
00:19:11.980 The weight
00:19:13.220 gain of the
00:19:14.080 whole country
00:19:14.680 is outrageous.
00:19:17.160 Now, what
00:19:18.300 would be the
00:19:19.000 best response
00:19:20.320 risk for a
00:19:21.440 country that
00:19:22.240 has a deadly
00:19:23.240 virus that
00:19:24.460 targets primarily
00:19:25.620 overweight people?
00:19:28.600 You know,
00:19:28.840 older and
00:19:29.540 overweight.
00:19:30.000 Those are the
00:19:30.460 two big risks.
00:19:32.160 What would the
00:19:32.620 country do to
00:19:33.420 respond to such
00:19:34.360 a threat?
00:19:35.920 Well, this
00:19:36.740 country got
00:19:37.320 fatter.
00:19:40.180 The country
00:19:41.140 got fatter by a
00:19:42.080 lot, right?
00:19:43.480 On average.
00:19:44.060 I know a lot of
00:19:44.560 you didn't.
00:19:44.920 So I asked
00:19:46.420 this question
00:19:46.940 of people
00:19:47.640 who follow
00:19:48.000 me, you
00:19:49.260 know, what
00:19:50.000 benefits did
00:19:51.740 you get?
00:19:52.400 Tons of
00:19:52.940 people who
00:19:53.340 follow me
00:19:53.940 lost weight.
00:19:56.340 I'll bet if
00:19:57.360 you looked at
00:19:57.780 the average
00:19:58.280 person who
00:19:58.860 follows my
00:20:00.280 content,
00:20:01.680 especially because
00:20:02.460 I talk about
00:20:03.060 exactly this
00:20:03.800 sort of stuff,
00:20:05.120 and I was
00:20:05.880 telling you early
00:20:06.480 in the pandemic,
00:20:07.400 my God, you're
00:20:07.940 never going to
00:20:08.340 get a chance
00:20:08.820 like this again.
00:20:10.300 In all
00:20:11.140 likelihood, this
00:20:12.960 will be the
00:20:13.380 time you can
00:20:13.940 reboot.
00:20:15.180 This is the
00:20:15.900 time you can
00:20:16.460 figure out how
00:20:17.020 to get your
00:20:17.380 fitness under
00:20:17.980 control.
00:20:18.440 This is the
00:20:18.920 time to diet.
00:20:20.380 This is the
00:20:21.100 time to start
00:20:21.800 a new business.
00:20:23.180 This is the
00:20:23.580 time to learn
00:20:24.080 a language,
00:20:25.080 acquire some
00:20:25.940 skills.
00:20:27.260 And I've been
00:20:27.900 saying that
00:20:28.300 for people who
00:20:29.800 follow me since
00:20:30.520 the beginning,
00:20:31.060 and then I've
00:20:31.500 been tracking
00:20:31.920 it.
00:20:32.820 And of course,
00:20:33.380 my book,
00:20:34.060 I'd have
00:20:34.260 failed almost
00:20:34.760 everything and
00:20:35.340 still went
00:20:35.760 big, is about
00:20:37.040 building what
00:20:37.900 I call a
00:20:38.340 talent stack.
00:20:40.020 And you
00:20:41.420 need to read
00:20:42.120 the comments.
00:20:43.860 Look what
00:20:44.340 happened to
00:20:45.660 the people
00:20:46.160 who took
00:20:46.760 that point
00:20:47.320 of view
00:20:47.700 versus the
00:20:49.300 people who
00:20:49.740 probably just
00:20:50.300 took some
00:20:50.740 kind of
00:20:51.220 pessimistic,
00:20:52.280 might as
00:20:54.100 well eat.
00:20:57.240 And you'll
00:20:58.780 see in the
00:20:59.140 comments too,
00:20:59.720 you see a lot
00:21:00.140 of people are
00:21:00.540 already commenting
00:21:01.680 of the things
00:21:02.700 they learned and
00:21:03.340 the weight they
00:21:03.800 lost and stuff
00:21:04.520 like that.
00:21:04.900 I also got
00:21:06.620 in great shape.
00:21:08.360 So I'm in
00:21:08.920 great shape.
00:21:09.540 I think I
00:21:09.940 probably acquired
00:21:11.700 five to seven
00:21:14.120 skills that
00:21:15.580 are directly
00:21:16.860 related to
00:21:17.660 my job.
00:21:21.460 Yeah.
00:21:22.280 So I would
00:21:23.000 argue that
00:21:23.820 there are two
00:21:24.220 kinds of
00:21:24.620 people in the
00:21:25.080 world and we
00:21:25.600 just discovered
00:21:26.280 who they are.
00:21:27.400 The people who
00:21:28.120 took advantage
00:21:28.760 of the crisis
00:21:29.360 and the people
00:21:30.020 who just
00:21:30.340 treated it like
00:21:31.000 a crisis and
00:21:32.500 lost.
00:21:34.660 So there
00:21:37.180 we go.
00:21:37.860 Somebody says
00:21:38.420 they expanded
00:21:39.020 their business
00:21:39.540 partly thanks
00:21:40.280 to me.
00:21:41.620 A number of
00:21:42.280 people have
00:21:42.580 been thanking
00:21:43.000 me this
00:21:43.400 morning for
00:21:44.840 exactly that,
00:21:46.680 for the
00:21:47.260 inspiration to
00:21:48.020 start a
00:21:48.340 business or
00:21:48.880 to lose
00:21:49.260 weight or
00:21:49.580 something.
00:21:50.680 And it
00:21:51.880 makes me feel
00:21:52.340 good.
00:21:53.320 I feel like I
00:21:54.060 did something
00:21:54.420 useful.
00:21:55.820 The meaning
00:21:56.400 of life.
00:21:57.420 If you're
00:21:57.940 looking for
00:21:58.320 the meaning
00:21:58.700 of life,
00:22:00.220 it's almost
00:22:01.340 always,
00:22:02.500 what you
00:22:03.480 did for
00:22:03.820 other people.
00:22:05.520 And when
00:22:06.080 I hear people
00:22:06.900 say,
00:22:07.240 oh,
00:22:07.540 there was
00:22:07.800 something you
00:22:08.220 said or
00:22:08.680 something in
00:22:09.100 your book
00:22:09.440 that caused
00:22:10.600 me to succeed
00:22:11.380 in some way,
00:22:12.280 and I
00:22:12.580 literally hear
00:22:13.460 that every
00:22:13.820 day,
00:22:14.840 it really
00:22:15.560 makes me
00:22:15.940 feel good.
00:22:17.100 It's the
00:22:18.000 largest reason
00:22:18.580 I do this,
00:22:20.100 is that I
00:22:21.360 get that
00:22:21.740 feedback and
00:22:22.440 it gives me
00:22:23.420 meaning.
00:22:24.520 I mean,
00:22:24.720 it would be
00:22:24.900 really easy,
00:22:25.800 you know it,
00:22:27.080 it would be
00:22:27.500 really easy for
00:22:28.200 me to just
00:22:28.640 stop working,
00:22:30.220 just lay on
00:22:30.740 the beach.
00:22:32.500 Go lay on
00:22:33.140 the beach
00:22:33.400 all day.
00:22:34.640 But why?
00:22:36.780 It seems like
00:22:37.300 a terrible
00:22:37.680 thing to do.
00:22:38.480 Sounds like
00:22:38.860 an awful
00:22:39.380 life.
00:22:40.580 Like,
00:22:41.080 the part
00:22:41.760 that is
00:22:42.260 meaning to
00:22:42.720 me is
00:22:43.040 people saying,
00:22:43.740 oh,
00:22:44.260 you helped
00:22:44.820 me in
00:22:45.080 some way.
00:22:47.980 There was
00:22:48.560 a study,
00:22:49.140 I think it
00:22:49.420 was in
00:22:49.820 February,
00:22:51.120 I don't know,
00:22:51.400 it was a
00:22:51.640 while ago,
00:22:52.400 but I
00:22:52.860 didn't see
00:22:53.220 it,
00:22:54.220 it said
00:22:54.480 basically the
00:22:55.180 super spreaders
00:22:55.960 are older,
00:22:57.240 obese people,
00:22:59.020 by a lot.
00:22:59.860 So it's
00:23:00.900 not like
00:23:01.320 they're
00:23:01.620 10%
00:23:02.180 worse,
00:23:03.100 they're
00:23:03.280 like four
00:23:04.180 or five
00:23:04.540 times worse
00:23:05.260 in terms
00:23:06.260 of spreading
00:23:06.740 if you're
00:23:07.360 both large
00:23:08.220 and older.
00:23:10.560 Now,
00:23:11.260 I think
00:23:12.520 you heard
00:23:12.880 that from
00:23:13.320 me before
00:23:13.980 you heard
00:23:14.300 it from
00:23:14.560 science,
00:23:15.120 am I
00:23:15.340 right?
00:23:16.660 Can
00:23:17.000 somebody
00:23:17.840 give me
00:23:18.260 a confirmation
00:23:19.780 on that?
00:23:20.900 I think
00:23:21.620 I was
00:23:21.900 telling you
00:23:22.260 there's
00:23:22.520 no way
00:23:23.120 that a
00:23:24.280 five-foot
00:23:24.960 woman
00:23:26.060 is putting
00:23:27.500 out as
00:23:28.000 much
00:23:28.320 COVID
00:23:28.940 as a
00:23:29.880 300-pound
00:23:30.760 man.
00:23:31.760 There's
00:23:32.000 just no
00:23:32.360 way that
00:23:32.700 that could
00:23:33.000 be true.
00:23:33.460 And sure
00:23:33.720 enough,
00:23:34.340 it's exactly
00:23:35.020 what you
00:23:35.440 think.
00:23:36.600 The bigger
00:23:37.460 the person
00:23:38.060 and the
00:23:39.320 older they
00:23:39.900 are,
00:23:40.540 which they
00:23:41.280 tend to get
00:23:41.800 sicker and
00:23:42.400 then have
00:23:42.680 more virus
00:23:43.280 to expel,
00:23:44.700 those two
00:23:45.340 things are
00:23:46.040 telling you
00:23:46.520 most of
00:23:47.200 what you
00:23:47.460 need to
00:23:47.780 know to
00:23:48.120 stay away
00:23:48.480 from.
00:23:49.760 I will
00:23:50.440 tell you
00:23:50.820 that there
00:23:51.240 was a
00:23:51.620 time recently
00:23:52.260 that I
00:23:52.720 entered a
00:23:53.380 smallish
00:23:54.260 indoor space
00:23:55.240 and there
00:23:56.400 was a
00:23:56.820 large,
00:23:57.520 older man
00:23:58.060 there and
00:23:58.420 I got
00:23:58.680 out of
00:23:58.900 there right
00:23:59.180 away.
00:24:00.180 I immediately
00:24:00.800 left.
00:24:01.940 Because I'm
00:24:02.480 not going to
00:24:02.880 spend any
00:24:03.460 time in a
00:24:04.260 small,
00:24:04.860 enclosed space
00:24:05.700 with a
00:24:06.660 large,
00:24:07.220 older person.
00:24:08.540 This is not
00:24:09.060 going to
00:24:09.260 happen.
00:24:09.880 Because if
00:24:11.520 I take that
00:24:12.220 out of my
00:24:12.740 life, which
00:24:13.300 is pretty
00:24:13.620 easy,
00:24:14.320 right?
00:24:14.680 There's not
00:24:15.520 many situations
00:24:17.300 where you'd
00:24:17.660 have to be
00:24:18.100 there.
00:24:18.720 If I take
00:24:19.440 that one
00:24:19.880 risk out of
00:24:20.360 my life,
00:24:20.840 I've reduced
00:24:21.300 my risk of
00:24:22.120 catching it
00:24:22.880 by what?
00:24:24.700 Like,
00:24:25.240 500% or
00:24:26.620 something.
00:24:27.960 It's some
00:24:28.620 gigantic number.
00:24:30.200 If the only
00:24:30.840 people I hang
00:24:31.440 around with
00:24:32.020 are people
00:24:32.560 who are not
00:24:33.020 large,
00:24:34.200 really large
00:24:35.280 elderly people,
00:24:38.080 I'm probably
00:24:38.440 fine.
00:24:40.400 It doesn't
00:24:41.180 remove all
00:24:41.640 your risk,
00:24:42.280 but a lot
00:24:43.480 of it.
00:24:46.820 On Twitter,
00:24:47.920 David
00:24:48.320 Rehoboy.
00:24:49.760 I hope I'm
00:24:50.260 pronouncing it
00:24:50.820 right.
00:24:51.200 It's either
00:24:51.520 Rehoboy or
00:24:52.400 Rehoboy.
00:24:53.200 He had
00:24:55.140 this tweet
00:24:55.720 that really
00:24:56.200 hit me in
00:24:56.820 the center
00:24:59.220 of my
00:24:59.720 existence.
00:25:01.660 He said,
00:25:02.120 95% of
00:25:03.400 women you
00:25:03.800 meet can't
00:25:04.720 wait to
00:25:05.160 travel somewhere
00:25:06.080 with you,
00:25:07.060 alone,
00:25:07.540 with friends,
00:25:08.000 et cetera.
00:25:08.920 Do they
00:25:09.500 really enjoy
00:25:10.120 it?
00:25:10.800 Or is it
00:25:11.160 something they
00:25:11.660 think they
00:25:12.040 should enjoy?
00:25:12.620 Now, I
00:25:16.640 can't tell
00:25:17.300 you how
00:25:17.780 many times
00:25:18.240 this question
00:25:18.980 has been
00:25:19.700 on my
00:25:20.040 mind.
00:25:21.140 Now, I'm
00:25:21.880 sort of the
00:25:22.540 stay home
00:25:23.880 and build
00:25:24.700 an exciting
00:25:26.000 life where
00:25:26.540 I'm already
00:25:27.060 at.
00:25:28.500 I've designed
00:25:29.500 my house to
00:25:30.380 have all the
00:25:30.980 toys I need
00:25:31.900 and the
00:25:32.860 people in
00:25:33.380 it or the
00:25:33.800 people I
00:25:34.160 wanted to
00:25:34.500 be in it.
00:25:35.720 I do
00:25:36.620 this.
00:25:37.220 So I have
00:25:37.740 this amazingly
00:25:38.900 a deep
00:25:40.980 kind of
00:25:41.720 meaningful
00:25:42.060 life without
00:25:43.700 leaving this
00:25:44.680 chair.
00:25:46.000 I mean, I
00:25:46.340 do more in
00:25:46.860 this chair,
00:25:48.960 literally this
00:25:49.660 chair, than
00:25:51.420 people can do
00:25:52.460 in years in
00:25:53.360 terms of
00:25:53.740 stimulation and
00:25:54.700 interesting things
00:25:55.520 to do.
00:25:56.280 So I don't
00:25:56.840 need travel like
00:25:58.700 other people do.
00:25:59.640 Now, I don't
00:25:59.960 know what other
00:26:00.380 factors there
00:26:00.940 are.
00:26:01.560 But I was
00:26:02.460 looking at
00:26:02.780 this speculation
00:26:03.460 people had
00:26:04.420 about, and
00:26:05.720 first of all,
00:26:06.160 do you agree
00:26:06.600 with that?
00:26:07.560 Do you agree
00:26:08.060 that women
00:26:08.600 seem to be
00:26:09.820 obsessed with
00:26:11.080 travel in a
00:26:12.080 way that men
00:26:12.920 are not, even
00:26:13.680 if you like
00:26:14.140 travel?
00:26:15.340 Women have
00:26:16.060 got to travel.
00:26:17.280 It's almost
00:26:17.820 like they have
00:26:18.500 to.
00:26:20.580 I'm seeing
00:26:21.280 confirmation of
00:26:22.120 that, so a
00:26:23.040 lot of people
00:26:23.360 are saying
00:26:23.580 the same.
00:26:24.120 I thought it
00:26:24.640 was just
00:26:24.980 me.
00:26:26.620 I thought
00:26:27.480 that there
00:26:28.180 was some
00:26:28.500 weird coincidence
00:26:29.360 in my life
00:26:30.460 that whenever
00:26:31.840 I met a
00:26:33.500 female, the
00:26:35.080 only thing
00:26:35.700 that could
00:26:35.940 make them
00:26:36.240 happy is
00:26:36.700 travel.
00:26:37.480 Let me
00:26:37.740 say it
00:26:37.980 again.
00:26:39.320 It's the
00:26:39.980 only thing
00:26:40.720 that can
00:26:41.020 make them
00:26:41.420 happy.
00:26:42.440 And they'll
00:26:42.800 tell you
00:26:43.140 that in
00:26:44.380 exactly those
00:26:45.080 words.
00:26:45.820 Only one
00:26:46.560 thing can
00:26:46.940 make me
00:26:47.220 happy.
00:26:48.260 Lots of
00:26:48.820 travel.
00:26:49.160 Have you
00:26:50.920 heard that?
00:26:52.800 On whose
00:26:53.460 dime, exactly?
00:26:54.920 So, I mean,
00:26:55.560 it's easier to
00:26:56.060 travel if
00:26:56.420 somebody else
00:26:56.800 is paying
00:26:57.100 for it.
00:26:58.500 All right.
00:26:59.360 So here
00:26:59.980 are the
00:27:00.180 reasons that,
00:27:00.980 and I don't
00:27:01.420 understand why
00:27:02.260 exactly, but
00:27:03.060 here are the
00:27:03.520 speculations,
00:27:04.660 mostly from
00:27:05.200 men.
00:27:05.460 So here
00:27:07.680 are sexist
00:27:10.140 opinions.
00:27:12.660 So these
00:27:13.000 are men
00:27:13.680 speculating,
00:27:15.120 I think
00:27:15.400 they're mostly
00:27:15.800 men, I
00:27:16.480 might be
00:27:16.780 wrong about
00:27:17.160 that, but I
00:27:17.920 think they're
00:27:18.200 mostly men
00:27:18.880 speculating
00:27:20.200 about women,
00:27:21.560 why women
00:27:22.120 like to
00:27:22.520 travel.
00:27:23.400 Are you
00:27:23.640 ready for
00:27:24.520 some super
00:27:25.360 sexist
00:27:26.120 opinion here?
00:27:27.200 All right,
00:27:28.820 one is,
00:27:29.820 somebody said
00:27:30.380 that women
00:27:30.720 like to
00:27:31.160 travel because,
00:27:32.500 quote, it
00:27:33.600 costs a lot
00:27:34.280 of money.
00:27:35.560 In the
00:27:35.860 comments, I
00:27:36.460 want to see
00:27:36.840 if you agree
00:27:38.220 or disagree.
00:27:39.220 Now, there's
00:27:39.560 not one
00:27:39.980 reason, right?
00:27:41.120 There's going
00:27:41.420 to be a
00:27:41.700 variety of
00:27:42.320 reasons, but
00:27:43.300 does that
00:27:44.380 one fit into
00:27:45.480 any of your
00:27:46.400 model?
00:27:47.500 That women
00:27:47.940 like to
00:27:48.460 travel because
00:27:49.920 it costs a
00:27:50.820 lot of
00:27:51.080 money.
00:27:52.520 See, mostly
00:27:53.100 no's.
00:27:54.460 No's.
00:27:56.240 Nobody?
00:27:56.760 Nobody wants
00:27:57.520 to go with
00:27:57.840 that one?
00:27:59.220 I see one
00:28:00.320 yes, a few
00:28:01.000 yeses.
00:28:02.220 All right, let
00:28:02.580 me put a
00:28:02.940 little more
00:28:03.300 me on that,
00:28:04.200 all right?
00:28:06.120 Somebody else
00:28:06.920 used this
00:28:07.560 phrase.
00:28:08.260 It's signaling
00:28:09.020 on social
00:28:10.020 media.
00:28:11.820 It's a way
00:28:12.340 to signal
00:28:12.980 some kind
00:28:14.280 of success
00:28:15.060 or freedom
00:28:15.640 or something.
00:28:17.240 Now, you're
00:28:17.580 saying yes to
00:28:18.100 that one,
00:28:18.440 right?
00:28:19.700 Is the
00:28:20.700 social signaling
00:28:21.660 different from
00:28:24.480 what the first
00:28:25.100 person said?
00:28:25.740 It costs a lot
00:28:26.420 of money.
00:28:29.760 Kind of
00:28:30.280 related, aren't
00:28:30.860 they?
00:28:31.480 Because I got
00:28:32.040 most of you
00:28:32.600 used to say
00:28:33.040 yes, that
00:28:34.360 it's about
00:28:34.740 signaling your
00:28:35.740 success or
00:28:36.760 something on
00:28:37.220 social media,
00:28:38.280 but yet you
00:28:38.980 weren't willing
00:28:39.540 to say that
00:28:41.060 they do it
00:28:41.460 because it
00:28:41.860 costs a lot
00:28:42.360 of money.
00:28:42.700 What is it
00:28:44.740 about these
00:28:45.260 vacations that
00:28:47.140 they show on
00:28:47.760 social media
00:28:48.400 makes them
00:28:49.140 worth showing
00:28:49.840 on social
00:28:50.280 media?
00:28:50.920 Is it because
00:28:51.700 the pictures
00:28:52.200 are attractive?
00:28:53.880 That's part of
00:28:54.760 it's because
00:28:56.580 it costs a
00:28:57.180 lot of
00:28:57.400 money, right?
00:28:59.400 I think it's
00:29:00.400 signaling resources
00:29:03.000 or signaling
00:29:05.080 that somebody
00:29:05.840 in their life
00:29:06.580 was willing
00:29:07.080 to spend a
00:29:07.620 lot of money
00:29:07.960 to take
00:29:08.320 them somewhere.
00:29:10.100 So definitely
00:29:10.960 the fact that
00:29:11.680 it's exclusive
00:29:12.460 and expensive
00:29:13.460 got to be
00:29:15.100 part of it,
00:29:16.100 right?
00:29:16.320 Another theory
00:29:18.940 is that,
00:29:19.780 I don't remember
00:29:20.820 if this was a
00:29:21.380 man or a
00:29:21.740 woman who
00:29:22.020 said this,
00:29:22.820 but that the
00:29:23.380 home is where
00:29:23.940 the women
00:29:24.340 do their
00:29:24.900 work.
00:29:27.160 Sexist.
00:29:28.620 Statistically,
00:29:29.200 there's something
00:29:29.560 to it,
00:29:30.340 but sexist,
00:29:31.400 right?
00:29:31.640 No reason it's
00:29:32.360 the woman who's
00:29:33.200 staying home.
00:29:34.040 In many cases,
00:29:34.700 it's the other
00:29:35.060 way.
00:29:37.740 But what do
00:29:38.380 you think?
00:29:39.380 Statistically,
00:29:39.980 probably more
00:29:40.940 women are staying
00:29:41.560 home than men
00:29:42.120 still.
00:29:43.360 So do you
00:29:43.680 think that's it?
00:29:44.360 The home is
00:29:44.980 where the women
00:29:45.460 do their work,
00:29:46.320 so they just
00:29:47.040 got to get
00:29:47.400 out of the
00:29:47.700 office,
00:29:48.120 basically,
00:29:48.640 and the
00:29:48.820 only way
00:29:49.100 you can do
00:29:49.480 that is to
00:29:50.520 go on
00:29:50.720 vacation.
00:29:52.060 Seeing some
00:29:52.520 yeses.
00:29:55.620 I'd say
00:29:56.200 yeses.
00:29:58.880 Seeing correct.
00:30:01.060 I prefer the
00:30:01.800 kitchen.
00:30:02.740 True.
00:30:03.360 Yes.
00:30:04.360 Okay.
00:30:05.600 But let me
00:30:06.340 give you the
00:30:06.880 counter argument.
00:30:08.680 Let's say
00:30:09.200 it's what you
00:30:10.160 call the
00:30:10.860 classic 50s
00:30:12.820 family,
00:30:14.160 where the
00:30:15.100 man is
00:30:15.920 working all
00:30:16.440 day and
00:30:17.120 the mom
00:30:18.460 is being
00:30:18.960 a mom.
00:30:20.280 And I
00:30:20.520 know that
00:30:21.500 doesn't
00:30:21.840 describe the
00:30:22.400 world anymore,
00:30:23.220 but let's
00:30:23.780 just take that
00:30:24.380 for our
00:30:24.900 example to
00:30:25.400 talk it
00:30:25.920 through.
00:30:26.840 So the
00:30:27.260 man works
00:30:27.820 all day,
00:30:28.980 gets up at
00:30:29.760 five or
00:30:30.280 whatever,
00:30:30.800 travels,
00:30:31.380 works all
00:30:31.760 day,
00:30:32.420 at least in
00:30:32.880 the old
00:30:33.120 world.
00:30:33.520 Maybe he's
00:30:33.840 working at
00:30:34.200 home now.
00:30:35.660 Gets home
00:30:36.200 after work,
00:30:37.520 and then the
00:30:38.140 man,
00:30:38.840 luckily,
00:30:39.700 doesn't have to
00:30:40.320 do any more
00:30:40.780 work.
00:30:41.880 So luckily,
00:30:42.960 when the
00:30:43.240 man is at
00:30:43.760 home,
00:30:44.360 no work.
00:30:51.200 What?
00:30:52.680 What?
00:30:53.460 Why are you
00:30:54.240 arguing with
00:30:54.860 me in the
00:30:55.360 comments?
00:30:57.680 That's the
00:30:58.240 way it works,
00:30:58.740 isn't it?
00:30:59.580 Doesn't the
00:31:00.100 man work all
00:31:00.820 day, and
00:31:02.000 then when he
00:31:02.340 comes home,
00:31:03.640 no more
00:31:04.100 work.
00:31:04.880 It's vacation
00:31:05.460 time.
00:31:06.320 Good times.
00:31:08.440 No.
00:31:08.920 No, not
00:31:10.400 in the real
00:31:10.720 world.
00:31:11.180 In the real
00:31:11.540 world, the
00:31:11.920 man works
00:31:12.440 all day,
00:31:13.260 and then
00:31:13.800 comes home
00:31:14.280 and starts
00:31:14.640 working again.
00:31:15.520 He just
00:31:15.820 works at
00:31:16.840 home.
00:31:18.560 Like, it's
00:31:19.140 his turn to
00:31:19.680 watch the
00:31:20.100 kids, it's
00:31:21.000 his turn to
00:31:22.000 drive, etc.
00:31:25.880 Now, of
00:31:26.980 course, there
00:31:27.260 are other
00:31:27.480 cases I'm
00:31:28.020 seeing in
00:31:28.340 the comments.
00:31:28.980 Somebody's
00:31:29.380 saying, your
00:31:29.880 husband works
00:31:30.560 and she
00:31:30.920 does everything
00:31:31.440 else.
00:31:32.560 I can see
00:31:33.240 that.
00:31:34.100 Are you
00:31:34.340 saying that
00:31:34.660 when your
00:31:34.920 husband comes
00:31:35.480 home after
00:31:35.900 work, you
00:31:37.340 don't ask
00:31:37.780 him to do
00:31:38.120 anything?
00:31:38.920 So if
00:31:39.800 something's
00:31:40.180 broken, you
00:31:42.020 get out the
00:31:42.440 tools and
00:31:42.840 you fix it?
00:31:43.680 And your
00:31:43.880 husband's on
00:31:44.380 the couch?
00:31:45.600 Is that
00:31:46.120 working at
00:31:46.520 your house?
00:31:49.800 All right,
00:31:51.740 and then the
00:31:52.020 other thing is
00:31:52.540 a change of
00:31:53.180 scenery, but I
00:31:53.920 would think that
00:31:54.380 men would need
00:31:54.900 a change of
00:31:55.420 scenery as
00:31:56.680 much as
00:31:57.040 women, but
00:31:57.620 I don't know.
00:31:59.280 I will tell
00:32:00.000 you that my
00:32:00.500 pet peeve is
00:32:01.280 the two-stop
00:32:02.160 trip.
00:32:03.900 The two-stop
00:32:04.940 trip.
00:32:06.520 As a man,
00:32:07.700 let me tell
00:32:08.160 you the
00:32:08.440 women.
00:32:08.920 And I want
00:32:09.600 to see if
00:32:09.900 any men
00:32:10.360 agree with
00:32:10.920 me, because
00:32:11.840 for the
00:32:12.140 women, this
00:32:12.600 might be the
00:32:13.180 first time
00:32:13.560 you hear
00:32:13.820 this.
00:32:17.060 Two percent
00:32:17.760 vaxxed in
00:32:18.320 Africa.
00:32:24.640 Lots of
00:32:25.160 times there
00:32:25.580 will be a
00:32:25.980 social trip,
00:32:27.620 so it could
00:32:27.880 be something
00:32:28.300 local where
00:32:29.020 you're going
00:32:29.300 to a friend's
00:32:29.760 house, and
00:32:30.620 then you'll
00:32:30.860 have this
00:32:31.280 evening planned.
00:32:32.800 Oh, we're
00:32:33.260 all going to
00:32:33.560 go to this
00:32:33.960 restaurant, or
00:32:35.520 we're going to
00:32:35.800 go to this
00:32:36.140 friend's
00:32:36.440 house.
00:32:37.480 Somebody who
00:32:38.960 is part of
00:32:39.380 the plan will
00:32:40.200 always say,
00:32:41.580 oh, yeah, but
00:32:42.920 before that, why
00:32:45.080 don't you come
00:32:45.620 over here for
00:32:46.180 some drinks at
00:32:47.240 my house, or
00:32:48.560 maybe after
00:32:49.280 that, why
00:32:50.660 don't we go to
00:32:51.180 this other
00:32:51.560 place, you
00:32:52.280 know, a
00:32:52.520 club or a
00:32:53.360 bar or
00:32:53.620 something.
00:32:53.840 I hate the
00:32:57.200 two-stop
00:32:57.880 night.
00:32:59.060 One stop, one
00:33:00.980 destination, one
00:33:02.800 thing.
00:33:03.560 I can enjoy
00:33:04.880 that completely.
00:33:06.860 But no, do
00:33:08.420 not try to
00:33:09.320 organize people
00:33:10.160 to go to two
00:33:10.900 places.
00:33:11.980 Everything falls
00:33:12.900 apart.
00:33:13.760 If you go to
00:33:14.340 the appetizer
00:33:15.220 house first, then
00:33:17.640 you drink
00:33:18.740 alcohol and you
00:33:19.500 have to drive,
00:33:21.060 bad enough, to a
00:33:22.860 second place.
00:33:23.840 And then
00:33:24.580 you're full
00:33:25.280 because they
00:33:26.120 serve you
00:33:26.500 appetizers and
00:33:27.400 you feel like
00:33:28.120 you have to
00:33:28.440 eat them.
00:33:28.960 I mean, it
00:33:29.240 ruins the
00:33:29.600 whole night.
00:33:31.020 And on
00:33:31.420 vacation, oh
00:33:33.520 my God, I
00:33:35.060 hate the
00:33:35.540 traveling part,
00:33:36.700 most of you
00:33:37.780 would agree.
00:33:38.520 The traveling
00:33:39.260 part where
00:33:40.240 you're actually
00:33:40.680 moving to the
00:33:41.840 new place is
00:33:42.540 hell for me.
00:33:44.280 It's just
00:33:44.780 hell.
00:33:46.420 And it's
00:33:46.860 common for
00:33:47.760 whoever I'm
00:33:48.580 with at the
00:33:49.340 moment, Christina,
00:33:50.460 we'll plan a
00:33:51.180 trip and it'll
00:33:51.620 be like, hey,
00:33:52.060 let's go to,
00:33:52.780 let's say,
00:33:53.340 different country.
00:33:54.940 And I'll be
00:33:55.420 like, grudgingly,
00:33:57.140 because I never
00:33:57.840 love to travel,
00:33:59.940 but I can get
00:34:00.400 talked into it and
00:34:01.160 then enjoy it.
00:34:02.180 So I enjoy it
00:34:02.940 after I go.
00:34:03.560 It's just hard to
00:34:04.140 talk me into it.
00:34:05.080 Somewhere in that
00:34:05.960 plan, almost every
00:34:07.340 time, there'll be,
00:34:09.200 oh, and we'll take
00:34:10.760 two days to visit
00:34:12.600 this other country
00:34:13.480 out of our week.
00:34:15.980 The whole vacation
00:34:16.920 is ruined for me.
00:34:17.800 You add that
00:34:19.100 second trip,
00:34:20.960 whole thing's
00:34:22.160 ruined.
00:34:24.060 Anybody?
00:34:25.460 Anybody else?
00:34:26.660 Is there anybody
00:34:27.180 else who agree
00:34:27.860 with my statement
00:34:28.640 that adding a
00:34:29.900 second trip
00:34:30.680 to anything
00:34:32.560 ruins the whole
00:34:33.920 experience?
00:34:36.740 Yeah.
00:34:37.120 I'm seeing some
00:34:37.740 no's, but lots
00:34:38.480 of yes's.
00:34:39.740 So women,
00:34:41.180 any women
00:34:41.720 watching this,
00:34:42.480 if you're
00:34:44.280 adding that
00:34:44.840 second place,
00:34:46.760 somebody in
00:34:47.680 your car isn't
00:34:48.940 happy with you
00:34:49.620 but may not
00:34:50.180 tell you.
00:34:51.160 Just know it.
00:34:53.140 All right,
00:34:53.440 here's the question.
00:34:54.440 Should we all
00:34:55.060 have the same
00:34:55.600 stuff and the
00:34:56.680 same access to
00:34:57.560 things or the
00:34:58.100 same amount of
00:34:58.780 happiness?
00:35:01.880 Which is fair,
00:35:03.720 that we have
00:35:04.200 the same amount
00:35:04.980 of stuff and
00:35:05.960 the same amount
00:35:06.580 of access and
00:35:07.540 rights and stuff
00:35:08.280 or the same
00:35:09.220 amount of
00:35:09.640 happiness?
00:35:10.200 which should
00:35:12.240 we manage
00:35:12.820 to?
00:35:16.940 I'm seeing
00:35:17.620 somebody say
00:35:18.100 access.
00:35:19.280 Should we
00:35:19.820 manage to
00:35:20.300 that because
00:35:21.200 we can?
00:35:24.200 All right,
00:35:24.520 how about
00:35:24.940 forget access
00:35:26.620 because, yeah,
00:35:27.620 you're right,
00:35:27.940 you have to
00:35:28.260 manage access.
00:35:29.320 But how about
00:35:29.980 success?
00:35:31.880 Should we
00:35:32.300 manage to
00:35:32.800 get everybody
00:35:33.280 the same amount
00:35:33.880 of success and
00:35:34.860 money or the
00:35:36.200 same amount
00:35:36.600 of happiness?
00:35:38.600 The goal in
00:35:39.520 life is
00:35:39.880 happiness,
00:35:40.380 right?
00:35:42.380 Right?
00:35:43.780 If you did a
00:35:44.520 poll and found
00:35:45.200 out that everybody
00:35:45.920 was about the
00:35:46.520 same amount of
00:35:47.100 happiness,
00:35:47.580 you're done,
00:35:47.980 are you?
00:35:49.800 And I think if
00:35:50.560 you did a poll,
00:35:51.140 you'd find out
00:35:51.600 people are about
00:35:52.140 the same amount
00:35:52.720 of happiness.
00:35:55.280 I'm not sure,
00:35:56.620 but I think that
00:35:57.520 would be the case.
00:35:58.620 People are about
00:35:59.120 roughly the same.
00:36:01.080 So why are we
00:36:01.860 trying to fix
00:36:02.400 everything?
00:36:04.420 There's nothing
00:36:04.980 to fix.
00:36:05.560 Everybody's just
00:36:06.120 about as happy
00:36:06.680 as they're going
00:36:07.160 to get.
00:36:07.800 And if you gave
00:36:08.600 people more stuff,
00:36:09.400 it wouldn't
00:36:09.700 make them
00:36:10.020 happier,
00:36:10.760 beyond the
00:36:12.660 minimum.
00:36:13.920 Once you get
00:36:14.540 the minimum.
00:36:15.300 But you've got
00:36:15.720 to get the
00:36:16.020 minimum.
00:36:16.520 I think that's
00:36:16.940 worth doing.
00:36:18.440 All right.
00:36:19.860 I heard somebody
00:36:20.780 say that we're
00:36:22.580 going to have
00:36:22.820 more fake
00:36:24.780 vaccine
00:36:25.900 identification
00:36:27.420 cards because
00:36:28.780 people will try
00:36:29.360 to beat the
00:36:29.800 system.
00:36:30.780 But it can't
00:36:31.940 be long before
00:36:32.680 facial recognition
00:36:33.660 is how you
00:36:34.460 check your
00:36:34.940 vaccine status,
00:36:35.960 right?
00:36:37.040 Correct me if
00:36:37.760 I'm wrong.
00:36:38.780 Is there
00:36:39.220 not a
00:36:39.960 database or
00:36:41.140 databases somewhere
00:36:42.780 in government
00:36:43.800 control in
00:36:45.660 which they have
00:36:46.280 your name and
00:36:46.920 your social
00:36:47.320 security number
00:36:48.140 and when you
00:36:49.760 got vaccinated
00:36:50.520 and by what?
00:36:51.360 Am I wrong
00:36:53.400 that that exists?
00:36:55.060 Isn't everybody
00:36:55.860 who gives
00:36:56.380 vaccinations
00:36:57.040 required to
00:36:57.940 report it?
00:36:59.520 Somebody says
00:37:00.040 no social
00:37:00.500 security number.
00:37:02.720 Hmm.
00:37:03.160 really?
00:37:06.460 But they do
00:37:07.240 have identification
00:37:07.920 because you
00:37:08.720 have to show
00:37:09.120 ID.
00:37:11.120 All right.
00:37:11.480 So here's
00:37:12.800 the thought.
00:37:13.780 I believe that
00:37:14.760 there will be
00:37:15.360 facial recognition
00:37:17.280 apps that can
00:37:19.280 just grab your
00:37:20.440 face and
00:37:20.920 immediately see
00:37:21.680 if you're
00:37:21.960 vaccinated.
00:37:22.360 And if not,
00:37:24.740 you know,
00:37:25.200 we could have
00:37:25.620 that easily.
00:37:26.500 So I don't
00:37:27.120 think the
00:37:27.600 problem of
00:37:28.740 fake vaccination
00:37:30.240 cards is going
00:37:31.020 to last forever.
00:37:31.640 Even fake IDs
00:37:32.720 is going to
00:37:33.160 go away.
00:37:34.000 I would
00:37:34.320 imagine that
00:37:34.880 it won't be
00:37:35.380 long before,
00:37:36.780 you know,
00:37:38.940 let's say a
00:37:39.800 club doesn't
00:37:40.540 have to ask
00:37:40.980 for your ID.
00:37:42.120 They'll just
00:37:42.400 look at your
00:37:42.780 face and
00:37:43.280 they'll know
00:37:43.680 your age from
00:37:44.360 other databases.
00:37:48.340 Anyway,
00:37:48.840 that's coming.
00:37:49.320 I'm not saying
00:37:49.720 it's good or
00:37:50.160 bad.
00:37:50.580 It's just
00:37:50.960 coming.
00:37:52.780 So the
00:37:53.360 Nobel Prize
00:37:54.200 in Economics
00:37:55.620 has been
00:37:56.220 awarded.
00:37:57.340 Oh,
00:37:57.760 stop it.
00:37:58.960 Stop it.
00:38:00.780 Let me say
00:38:01.400 it again and
00:38:02.000 don't say
00:38:03.280 what you
00:38:03.580 just said
00:38:04.000 again,
00:38:04.300 okay?
00:38:05.300 So the
00:38:05.820 Nobel Prize
00:38:06.480 in Economics
00:38:07.140 has been
00:38:07.560 awarded.
00:38:08.380 No,
00:38:09.060 stop it.
00:38:10.660 I know
00:38:10.980 what you're
00:38:11.240 saying.
00:38:13.360 Some of
00:38:14.000 you are
00:38:14.220 saying there's
00:38:14.940 no such
00:38:15.520 thing as
00:38:16.480 the Nobel
00:38:18.020 Prize in
00:38:18.580 Economics.
00:38:20.020 You
00:38:20.180 pedantic
00:38:21.180 mofos.
00:38:24.200 What you're
00:38:24.680 saying is
00:38:25.140 that really
00:38:25.660 what I mean
00:38:26.240 is the
00:38:27.040 Severa Regis
00:38:28.680 Ricks
00:38:29.180 Bank Prize
00:38:30.080 in
00:38:30.280 Economics
00:38:30.800 Sciences
00:38:31.340 in
00:38:31.660 memory
00:38:31.920 of
00:38:32.120 Alfred
00:38:32.440 Nobel.
00:38:33.320 That's
00:38:33.920 what it
00:38:34.240 is.
00:38:35.140 It's not
00:38:35.520 the
00:38:35.700 Nobel Prize.
00:38:36.880 You
00:38:37.000 fool.
00:38:38.160 You
00:38:38.360 fool.
00:38:39.540 Calling it
00:38:39.960 a Nobel
00:38:40.480 Prize in
00:38:41.100 Economics.
00:38:42.140 So dumb.
00:38:44.000 When it's
00:38:44.340 really this
00:38:44.820 Severa Regis
00:38:45.280 Ricks
00:38:45.740 Bank
00:38:45.980 Prize in
00:38:46.420 Economics
00:38:46.780 Sciences
00:38:47.080 in
00:38:47.340 memory
00:38:47.520 of
00:38:47.700 Alfred
00:38:47.920 Nobel.
00:38:49.560 Sometimes
00:38:50.160 informally
00:38:50.700 called the
00:38:51.100 Nobel
00:38:51.380 Memorial
00:38:51.820 Prize
00:38:52.120 in
00:38:52.260 Economic
00:38:52.600 Sciences
00:38:53.020 because you
00:38:53.740 have to
00:38:53.960 have that
00:38:54.240 memorial
00:38:54.620 part in
00:38:55.240 there
00:38:55.420 because there
00:38:55.980 might be
00:38:56.400 some people
00:38:56.940 who still
00:38:57.940 think Alfred
00:38:58.660 Nobel is
00:38:59.400 alive.
00:39:00.880 So you
00:39:01.080 gotta let
00:39:02.040 them know
00:39:02.300 he's gone.
00:39:02.940 So you
00:39:03.080 throw in
00:39:03.400 the memorial
00:39:03.840 part.
00:39:05.620 All right.
00:39:06.060 So this
00:39:06.560 is what
00:39:06.860 they won
00:39:07.300 the Nobel
00:39:08.840 Prize for
00:39:10.640 in economics.
00:39:11.840 I'm still
00:39:12.140 gonna call it
00:39:12.700 that.
00:39:14.320 They won
00:39:15.060 that for
00:39:15.460 saying that
00:39:15.880 you need
00:39:16.200 a control
00:39:16.840 group to
00:39:18.560 study
00:39:19.280 something.
00:39:22.600 What?
00:39:26.320 What?
00:39:28.120 Let me
00:39:28.720 give you
00:39:28.940 the example.
00:39:31.220 Apparently
00:39:31.740 before the
00:39:32.560 90s it
00:39:33.680 was common
00:39:34.220 to study
00:39:35.680 things by
00:39:36.200 saying okay
00:39:37.220 let's say
00:39:37.660 New York
00:39:38.080 City just
00:39:38.580 put in
00:39:38.980 a new
00:39:39.720 broken
00:39:40.900 windows or
00:39:42.060 stop and
00:39:42.800 frisk policy.
00:39:44.180 Whatever it
00:39:44.540 is.
00:39:45.040 And the
00:39:45.240 objective is
00:39:45.860 to lower
00:39:46.220 crime.
00:39:48.080 And so
00:39:48.300 they put
00:39:48.600 it in
00:39:48.740 the policy
00:39:49.160 and then
00:39:49.640 they measure
00:39:50.200 the amount
00:39:50.600 of crime
00:39:51.180 from the
00:39:52.220 time the
00:39:52.580 policy went
00:39:53.160 in until
00:39:53.980 they're
00:39:54.660 measuring it.
00:39:56.360 And these
00:39:56.920 two economists
00:39:57.480 said wait
00:39:58.000 a minute.
00:39:59.020 You can't
00:39:59.500 just measure
00:40:00.260 the change
00:40:01.120 because there
00:40:02.820 might be a
00:40:03.400 whole bunch
00:40:03.860 of other
00:40:04.200 things happening
00:40:04.800 such as
00:40:05.500 maybe crime
00:40:06.420 is just
00:40:06.740 going down
00:40:07.260 everywhere.
00:40:09.700 Right?
00:40:10.660 So they
00:40:11.200 said the
00:40:11.580 only way
00:40:12.020 to do
00:40:12.280 this is
00:40:13.540 to compare
00:40:14.260 a like
00:40:15.140 place that
00:40:16.340 didn't do
00:40:16.800 what you're
00:40:17.160 doing.
00:40:17.820 So you'd
00:40:18.100 have two
00:40:18.380 similar places
00:40:19.220 let's say
00:40:19.620 a county
00:40:20.060 here and
00:40:20.500 a county
00:40:20.820 here and
00:40:21.640 the counties
00:40:22.100 are very
00:40:22.500 similar in
00:40:23.560 the important
00:40:24.020 ways.
00:40:25.240 One of
00:40:25.720 them does
00:40:26.040 a change
00:40:26.560 one of
00:40:27.540 them does
00:40:27.840 not and
00:40:29.060 then you
00:40:29.400 see how
00:40:29.880 the difference
00:40:30.340 is later.
00:40:31.460 So one
00:40:31.800 acts as a
00:40:32.420 control group
00:40:33.180 for the
00:40:34.480 one that
00:40:34.760 makes the
00:40:35.060 change.
00:40:36.540 Now here's
00:40:37.260 the thing
00:40:37.660 people didn't
00:40:40.740 know that
00:40:41.100 in 1990?
00:40:43.140 What?
00:40:45.320 And
00:40:45.840 apparently
00:40:46.840 they didn't.
00:40:48.940 Apparently
00:40:49.440 they didn't.
00:40:50.160 It was
00:40:50.980 very common
00:40:51.780 to simply
00:40:53.260 measure that
00:40:54.220 something
00:40:54.620 changed and
00:40:55.400 call it a
00:40:55.860 day.
00:40:56.580 Even though
00:40:57.360 it's a
00:40:57.840 complex system
00:40:58.620 with all
00:40:58.980 kinds of
00:40:59.320 things changing
00:40:59.960 and crime
00:41:00.980 was falling
00:41:01.440 everywhere no
00:41:02.180 matter what
00:41:02.540 you were
00:41:02.760 doing.
00:41:03.760 It was
00:41:04.380 completely
00:41:04.940 useless
00:41:05.380 analysis
00:41:05.960 that was
00:41:07.260 popularly
00:41:08.240 being done.
00:41:10.020 Now I'm
00:41:11.100 not aware of
00:41:11.700 any time we
00:41:12.400 didn't know
00:41:12.780 to do that.
00:41:13.800 Are you?
00:41:14.160 Now I
00:41:15.660 have a
00:41:16.160 degree in
00:41:16.560 economics so
00:41:17.180 maybe I
00:41:17.460 was closer
00:41:18.360 to the
00:41:18.880 question but
00:41:20.140 I don't
00:41:20.460 remember any
00:41:20.980 time in
00:41:21.340 my life
00:41:21.960 that I
00:41:23.420 thought I
00:41:23.820 didn't need
00:41:24.160 a control
00:41:24.600 group.
00:41:27.340 They got a
00:41:28.400 Nobel Prize
00:41:28.960 for that?
00:41:30.380 For
00:41:30.780 duh?
00:41:34.060 Well not
00:41:35.320 only did
00:41:35.840 they get a
00:41:36.280 Nobel Prize
00:41:36.940 for duh
00:41:38.160 it's worse
00:41:39.700 than that.
00:41:41.120 They weren't
00:41:41.900 even right.
00:41:45.020 I should
00:41:45.760 have gotten
00:41:46.060 this Nobel
00:41:46.520 Prize.
00:41:47.380 Let me
00:41:47.700 just put
00:41:48.060 that out
00:41:48.380 there.
00:41:48.800 This
00:41:48.980 Nobel Prize
00:41:49.720 should have
00:41:50.080 gone to
00:41:50.400 me because
00:41:51.400 I have
00:41:52.880 improved on
00:41:53.740 their line
00:41:55.220 of thinking
00:41:55.640 and their
00:41:57.200 line of
00:41:57.520 thinking is
00:41:57.960 completely
00:41:58.480 obsolete and
00:42:00.400 here is how
00:42:01.340 I should get
00:42:01.900 the Nobel Prize
00:42:02.740 and it goes
00:42:03.200 like this.
00:42:05.460 You can't
00:42:06.360 compare two
00:42:06.980 complex systems.
00:42:09.940 You can't.
00:42:11.900 You can't
00:42:12.840 compare one
00:42:15.060 county to
00:42:15.800 another.
00:42:16.620 Do you know
00:42:16.960 why?
00:42:17.860 Because you
00:42:18.320 have no idea
00:42:19.020 what else is
00:42:19.820 different.
00:42:21.400 You're
00:42:21.920 guessing.
00:42:23.560 You're
00:42:24.120 guessing that
00:42:24.880 the things
00:42:25.300 that you
00:42:25.560 can see
00:42:26.220 are the
00:42:27.220 ones that
00:42:27.580 matter.
00:42:28.340 Oh wait
00:42:28.840 same number
00:42:30.300 of Democrats
00:42:30.960 to Republicans
00:42:31.680 in these two
00:42:32.360 places.
00:42:33.140 I guess we're
00:42:33.660 done.
00:42:34.940 Looks about
00:42:35.400 the same.
00:42:37.060 No.
00:42:38.140 What have I
00:42:38.660 been telling
00:42:39.080 you since the
00:42:39.680 pandemic began?
00:42:40.560 I told you
00:42:42.420 that every
00:42:43.120 comparison of
00:42:44.620 a country to
00:42:46.300 another country
00:42:47.320 would be
00:42:49.460 wrong.
00:42:50.720 No matter
00:42:51.560 how closely
00:42:52.340 you thought
00:42:52.800 the two
00:42:53.120 countries were
00:42:54.220 similar in
00:42:54.920 lots of other
00:42:55.540 ways, that
00:42:56.720 every comparison
00:42:57.780 of a country
00:42:58.600 to a country
00:42:59.380 would be
00:43:00.380 misleading.
00:43:02.300 Because there's
00:43:03.220 too much
00:43:03.660 different and
00:43:04.300 you'll never
00:43:04.660 know what.
00:43:05.780 So let's say
00:43:06.640 you're this
00:43:07.580 rational economist
00:43:08.500 and you
00:43:09.400 decide to
00:43:10.040 study, let's
00:43:11.600 say, what
00:43:11.940 Sweden did.
00:43:14.220 So you say
00:43:14.680 to yourself,
00:43:15.180 well I need
00:43:15.620 whatever's the
00:43:16.360 closest to a
00:43:17.180 Sweden.
00:43:18.580 Let's say
00:43:19.180 just for a
00:43:19.640 kick, so you
00:43:20.180 pick Norway.
00:43:21.900 Now forget
00:43:22.880 about whether
00:43:23.460 they're really
00:43:23.900 similar, right?
00:43:25.000 This is just
00:43:25.440 an example.
00:43:26.300 So you pick
00:43:26.640 Norway.
00:43:27.860 You say, okay,
00:43:28.720 on the things
00:43:29.480 that seem to
00:43:30.040 matter, Norway
00:43:31.500 and Sweden
00:43:32.300 look similar.
00:43:33.280 So we'll just
00:43:33.760 check the thing
00:43:34.720 that changed
00:43:35.320 and then
00:43:36.340 we'll know
00:43:36.660 something.
00:43:37.880 Do you see
00:43:38.440 what's wrong
00:43:38.820 with that?
00:43:40.440 How do you
00:43:41.100 know you
00:43:41.400 found all
00:43:41.820 the things
00:43:42.160 that mattered?
00:43:44.080 How could
00:43:44.660 you possibly
00:43:45.160 know that?
00:43:47.180 That's
00:43:47.580 completely
00:43:48.620 irrational.
00:43:50.840 It is
00:43:51.480 completely
00:43:52.220 irrational,
00:43:52.960 100%
00:43:53.600 irrational,
00:43:54.400 to say that
00:43:55.600 Norway is
00:43:57.300 enough the
00:43:58.240 same because
00:43:59.360 the few
00:43:59.820 things that
00:44:00.260 you looked
00:44:00.640 at in
00:44:01.020 Norway and
00:44:01.620 the few
00:44:01.900 things that
00:44:02.280 you looked
00:44:02.540 at in
00:44:02.780 Sweden,
00:44:03.440 they do
00:44:03.840 look about
00:44:04.240 the same.
00:44:05.320 You don't
00:44:05.820 know what
00:44:06.220 else is
00:44:06.600 going on.
00:44:07.940 You couldn't
00:44:08.760 know.
00:44:09.740 And there's
00:44:10.180 no way to
00:44:10.620 know that
00:44:10.940 what else
00:44:11.620 is going
00:44:12.000 on is
00:44:12.720 meaningful or
00:44:13.440 not meaningful.
00:44:14.580 It is
00:44:15.120 completely
00:44:15.740 unknowable.
00:44:17.720 That is why
00:44:18.360 I told you
00:44:19.020 that no
00:44:19.680 comparison of
00:44:21.200 country to
00:44:21.720 country will
00:44:22.440 ever turn out
00:44:23.220 to be a good
00:44:23.780 idea in the
00:44:24.440 long run.
00:44:24.980 Like we'll
00:44:25.340 figure out that
00:44:25.920 it didn't
00:44:26.220 work.
00:44:27.660 Have I been
00:44:28.140 right so
00:44:28.620 far?
00:44:30.760 Have I?
00:44:31.840 Have I been
00:44:32.640 right so far
00:44:33.560 that every
00:44:34.920 comparison of
00:44:36.000 one country
00:44:36.540 to another
00:44:37.160 only raised
00:44:38.760 more questions
00:44:39.520 and didn't
00:44:40.640 answer anything?
00:44:42.680 Am I
00:44:43.020 right?
00:44:43.860 Yes, I'm
00:44:44.820 frickin'
00:44:45.260 right.
00:44:46.120 And it
00:44:46.580 will never
00:44:47.100 be useful
00:44:47.680 because complex
00:44:48.760 systems can't
00:44:49.700 be compared.
00:44:50.740 You are only
00:44:51.320 guessing that
00:44:52.760 you have
00:44:53.100 controlled the
00:44:53.720 variables.
00:44:54.560 And guessing
00:44:55.080 is the
00:44:55.900 opposite of
00:44:56.680 fucking science.
00:44:59.780 Now, will
00:45:00.940 you give me
00:45:01.280 that one?
00:45:02.460 Will you give
00:45:02.860 me that F
00:45:03.320 word?
00:45:04.480 Anybody?
00:45:06.580 I think that
00:45:07.340 was an
00:45:07.620 appropriate use
00:45:08.240 of the F
00:45:08.600 word.
00:45:10.000 Not too
00:45:10.620 much.
00:45:12.280 Kind of
00:45:12.580 came as a
00:45:13.060 surprise.
00:45:14.340 Nice
00:45:14.540 seasoning.
00:45:14.880 I think that
00:45:16.240 was appropriate
00:45:16.700 use.
00:45:18.420 So, and by
00:45:19.600 the way, I'm
00:45:19.940 not kidding a
00:45:20.540 bit.
00:45:21.660 I'm not
00:45:22.340 kidding a
00:45:22.820 bit that the
00:45:24.260 Nobel Prize
00:45:24.840 should have
00:45:25.140 gone to me
00:45:25.720 because my
00:45:28.820 research, which
00:45:29.680 is just
00:45:30.060 watching the
00:45:30.560 news, is
00:45:31.800 superior to
00:45:33.520 their entire
00:45:34.240 Nobel Prize
00:45:35.260 winning work.
00:45:38.660 What else
00:45:39.360 have I done
00:45:39.760 to earn the
00:45:40.380 Nobel Prize?
00:45:41.120 Oh, plenty.
00:45:42.140 Plenty.
00:45:42.940 Do you know
00:45:43.420 that I created
00:45:44.100 the word
00:45:45.680 Confusopoly?
00:45:47.260 How many
00:45:47.660 people know
00:45:48.240 that?
00:45:49.640 You can
00:45:50.360 Google it.
00:45:50.900 It's on
00:45:51.580 Wikipedia now
00:45:52.420 and it's a
00:45:53.800 standard economic
00:45:55.120 go-to phrase.
00:45:57.240 I actually
00:45:58.660 created an
00:46:01.100 economic
00:46:01.620 theory that's
00:46:02.260 part of the
00:46:03.000 literature now.
00:46:04.440 Now, the
00:46:04.740 Confusopoly idea
00:46:06.220 goes like this.
00:46:07.680 In the old
00:46:08.480 days, we used
00:46:09.060 to say that
00:46:10.120 if two
00:46:10.640 industries were
00:46:11.420 competing and
00:46:12.360 they had
00:46:12.600 similar products,
00:46:14.080 that they
00:46:14.980 would end up
00:46:15.500 having to
00:46:16.040 compete on
00:46:16.620 price.
00:46:18.180 And that
00:46:18.720 eventually, since
00:46:19.680 the only thing
00:46:20.200 they could
00:46:20.520 compete on
00:46:21.040 was price,
00:46:21.860 otherwise the
00:46:22.440 product is the
00:46:23.100 same, that
00:46:24.160 it would drive
00:46:24.700 the profit down
00:46:25.560 to nothing and
00:46:27.080 eventually those
00:46:27.860 companies would
00:46:28.640 go out of
00:46:29.520 business because
00:46:30.560 they couldn't
00:46:30.860 make profits,
00:46:32.180 everybody else
00:46:32.740 would compete
00:46:33.280 with them with
00:46:33.740 the same
00:46:34.020 products.
00:46:35.320 Did that
00:46:35.760 happen?
00:46:36.780 No.
00:46:38.020 So the
00:46:38.700 most basic
00:46:39.840 economic belief
00:46:41.020 doesn't happen.
00:46:44.280 And the
00:46:44.940 explanation for
00:46:45.760 that is the
00:46:47.040 Confusopoly,
00:46:48.580 my economic
00:46:49.680 theory, which
00:46:50.980 is that every
00:46:51.660 industry that
00:46:52.320 knows it would
00:46:52.880 go out of
00:46:53.280 business if it
00:46:54.020 competed on
00:46:54.840 price,
00:46:55.560 makes their
00:46:56.840 product intentionally
00:46:58.860 confusing so
00:47:01.620 that you can't
00:47:02.380 compare them.
00:47:04.840 Take insurance.
00:47:06.880 Can you compare
00:47:07.680 two insurance
00:47:08.680 policies?
00:47:09.880 No.
00:47:10.820 It's too
00:47:11.560 hard.
00:47:12.380 Can you really
00:47:13.160 tell if you
00:47:13.760 got the right
00:47:14.180 cell phone
00:47:14.800 plan?
00:47:16.500 Not so much.
00:47:17.980 No.
00:47:18.700 So look for
00:47:19.300 this all over
00:47:19.940 the place.
00:47:20.500 Wherever,
00:47:21.260 yeah,
00:47:21.640 mattresses,
00:47:22.260 everything,
00:47:23.020 wherever there
00:47:23.940 are products
00:47:24.440 that should be
00:47:25.300 competing purely
00:47:26.200 on price,
00:47:27.560 the company
00:47:28.020 has complicated
00:47:29.480 them unnecessarily
00:47:30.760 to the point
00:47:31.540 you can't
00:47:31.960 tell.
00:47:32.920 You can't
00:47:33.480 tell if one
00:47:34.080 is better
00:47:34.380 than the
00:47:34.620 other.
00:47:35.580 I would say
00:47:37.400 that's a
00:47:37.780 valuable
00:47:38.080 contribution to
00:47:38.920 the field
00:47:39.280 because it
00:47:40.240 predicts.
00:47:41.260 It predicts
00:47:42.480 what will
00:47:43.380 happen with
00:47:43.820 the industry
00:47:44.260 and it
00:47:44.580 predicts it
00:47:44.980 right every
00:47:45.360 time.
00:47:45.620 If your
00:47:47.300 theory predicts,
00:47:48.620 it's a good
00:47:49.580 one.
00:47:51.200 It seems like
00:47:52.080 a pretty good
00:47:52.480 one to
00:47:52.700 me.
00:47:53.680 I have
00:47:54.240 also added
00:47:54.780 the Adams
00:47:56.360 Law of
00:47:56.920 Slow-Moving
00:47:57.460 Disasters,
00:47:58.440 somewhat
00:47:58.840 economic in
00:47:59.580 nature,
00:48:00.440 meaning that
00:48:00.940 if we have
00:48:01.860 enough time,
00:48:02.380 we basically
00:48:02.900 fix every
00:48:03.540 problem.
00:48:04.920 I think
00:48:05.260 that's a
00:48:05.620 valuable
00:48:05.900 contribution
00:48:06.500 because it
00:48:08.520 predicts.
00:48:10.040 If you
00:48:10.660 can do
00:48:11.000 an economic
00:48:11.700 idea that
00:48:13.000 predicts,
00:48:14.200 you've
00:48:14.540 beaten just
00:48:15.000 about everybody
00:48:15.660 in economics
00:48:16.320 because you
00:48:17.240 know what
00:48:17.520 economics
00:48:17.980 doesn't do
00:48:18.520 very well?
00:48:20.100 Predict.
00:48:20.820 It doesn't
00:48:21.380 do that
00:48:21.700 very well.
00:48:22.340 I mean,
00:48:22.520 it gets
00:48:22.680 to the
00:48:22.860 basic
00:48:23.100 stuff,
00:48:23.920 but it
00:48:24.580 can't tell
00:48:24.960 you where
00:48:25.200 the economy
00:48:25.660 is going
00:48:25.960 to be
00:48:26.100 next year.
00:48:28.020 How about
00:48:28.620 my entire
00:48:29.120 Dilbert body
00:48:30.000 of work,
00:48:31.420 in which
00:48:31.940 I've
00:48:32.280 completely
00:48:32.760 decimated
00:48:33.440 the management
00:48:35.000 consulting
00:48:35.620 industry and
00:48:36.540 effectively
00:48:37.060 eliminated
00:48:38.140 them by
00:48:38.640 mocking them
00:48:39.260 out of
00:48:39.520 existence?
00:48:40.860 I feel
00:48:41.280 like that
00:48:41.580 was a
00:48:41.880 valuable
00:48:42.160 economic
00:48:42.720 contribution.
00:48:44.560 How about
00:48:45.240 the idea
00:48:45.760 that I
00:48:46.180 developed
00:48:46.680 on talent
00:48:47.780 stacks?
00:48:49.360 The idea
00:48:49.840 that you
00:48:50.180 can get
00:48:50.500 the best
00:48:50.980 economic
00:48:51.880 gain by
00:48:53.760 combining
00:48:54.380 non-special
00:48:55.960 traits in
00:48:57.020 a useful
00:48:57.940 way.
00:48:58.880 Not
00:48:59.120 traits,
00:48:59.520 but skills.
00:49:00.880 So that
00:49:01.660 was new.
00:49:03.340 How many
00:49:04.660 of your
00:49:04.980 lives were
00:49:05.600 changed by
00:49:06.240 just hearing
00:49:07.260 the talent
00:49:07.880 stack idea
00:49:08.660 or the
00:49:09.100 systems over
00:49:09.760 goals?
00:49:11.300 Those are
00:49:11.680 economic
00:49:12.140 theories.
00:49:16.620 And quite
00:49:17.420 honestly,
00:49:18.000 if you tell
00:49:18.400 me I haven't
00:49:18.960 contributed more
00:49:19.720 to economics
00:49:20.360 than the
00:49:20.840 guys who
00:49:21.160 just won
00:49:21.520 the Nobel
00:49:21.920 Prize in
00:49:22.480 economics,
00:49:23.400 I don't
00:49:24.160 believe you.
00:49:25.980 Literally.
00:49:27.020 And that's
00:49:27.440 not even a
00:49:27.820 joke.
00:49:28.320 I think I've
00:49:28.840 actually
00:49:29.080 contributed
00:49:29.520 more.
00:49:30.300 Now, I
00:49:30.660 don't think I
00:49:31.120 really deserve
00:49:31.700 a Nobel
00:49:32.160 Prize, right?
00:49:32.840 Because they
00:49:33.200 need to do
00:49:33.580 the math
00:49:34.020 and do
00:49:34.340 the papers
00:49:34.760 and do
00:49:35.980 the other
00:49:36.280 stuff, and
00:49:36.680 I haven't
00:49:36.900 done any
00:49:37.160 of that.
00:49:37.660 But I
00:49:39.600 have contributed
00:49:40.160 more than
00:49:40.940 most of the
00:49:41.320 winners.
00:49:43.380 Remember I
00:49:44.080 mentioned the
00:49:44.800 idea of
00:49:45.540 special
00:49:46.960 economic
00:49:47.540 zones for
00:49:48.460 immigrants.
00:49:50.540 And I
00:49:50.920 said, hey,
00:49:51.680 why don't we
00:49:52.060 have a place
00:49:53.340 where the
00:49:53.940 immigrants can
00:49:54.640 come in and
00:49:55.520 they would
00:49:55.800 just maybe
00:49:56.420 work for
00:49:57.000 less than
00:49:57.540 minimum wage,
00:49:58.360 but it's a
00:49:58.740 special zone,
00:50:00.360 but they
00:50:00.880 would be
00:50:01.140 treated nicely,
00:50:02.040 they wouldn't
00:50:02.320 be treated as
00:50:02.940 slaves, and
00:50:03.700 they'd have
00:50:04.000 maybe some
00:50:04.600 path to
00:50:05.340 something.
00:50:06.860 Don't give
00:50:07.400 them the
00:50:07.700 same rules as
00:50:09.580 the rest of
00:50:09.980 the country,
00:50:10.600 but give
00:50:10.940 them some
00:50:11.360 opportunity.
00:50:11.780 And a
00:50:13.380 lot of
00:50:13.580 you said,
00:50:14.000 no, bad
00:50:14.600 idea, bad
00:50:15.060 idea.
00:50:16.140 Turns out
00:50:16.580 they exist.
00:50:18.360 They exist.
00:50:19.880 There are
00:50:20.280 other places
00:50:20.900 in the world
00:50:21.440 where this
00:50:21.980 exact idea
00:50:22.860 is being
00:50:23.200 used successfully.
00:50:25.000 There will
00:50:25.580 be more on
00:50:26.160 this coming
00:50:26.580 up.
00:50:28.320 There's going
00:50:28.880 to be a
00:50:29.600 lot more on
00:50:30.120 this topic,
00:50:30.900 which I've
00:50:31.320 been introduced
00:50:32.020 to, I got a
00:50:33.000 preview.
00:50:34.020 So there's
00:50:34.840 more on this
00:50:35.480 topic, and it
00:50:36.100 could be a
00:50:36.520 big, big
00:50:36.960 deal.
00:50:37.720 It might
00:50:38.000 turn out that
00:50:38.600 there's a
00:50:39.020 solution to
00:50:40.040 immigration,
00:50:40.680 that doesn't
00:50:42.500 involve closing
00:50:43.280 the border, and
00:50:44.900 makes everybody
00:50:45.500 happier.
00:50:47.080 How cool is
00:50:47.960 that?
00:50:49.120 Now, yeah, you
00:50:50.040 can turn
00:50:50.600 everything into
00:50:51.220 a work camp,
00:50:52.200 and you can
00:50:52.780 turn it into
00:50:53.560 ghettos and
00:50:54.160 Uyghurs, but
00:50:55.240 obviously there's
00:50:56.120 a good way to
00:50:56.700 do things in a
00:50:57.340 bad way.
00:50:58.880 There's a good
00:50:59.560 way, and
00:50:59.900 there's a bad
00:51:00.340 way.
00:51:01.900 Don't assume
00:51:02.600 it's the bad
00:51:03.020 way.
00:51:03.740 Well, breaking
00:51:04.200 news, Merck is
00:51:05.960 asking for FDA
00:51:06.960 emergency use for
00:51:07.940 their pill for
00:51:09.000 COVID.
00:51:09.300 So if you've
00:51:10.540 got mild to
00:51:11.200 moderate symptoms,
00:51:12.040 you pop one of
00:51:12.640 these pills, a
00:51:13.440 monopiravir, and
00:51:17.420 it stops the
00:51:18.100 virus from making
00:51:19.820 copies of
00:51:20.380 itself.
00:51:21.700 Now, apparently
00:51:22.220 it reduces your
00:51:22.980 risk of a
00:51:24.280 serious event by
00:51:25.580 half.
00:51:28.440 That's pretty
00:51:29.100 good.
00:51:30.380 To which I ask
00:51:31.480 this question.
00:51:32.720 How many times
00:51:33.540 have we reduced
00:51:34.320 the risk by
00:51:35.040 half?
00:51:35.380 And how
00:51:36.980 many times do
00:51:37.560 we have to
00:51:38.060 reduce the
00:51:38.580 risk by half
00:51:39.320 before there's
00:51:40.520 not enough
00:51:40.940 risk to
00:51:42.760 change society
00:51:43.840 the way it's
00:51:44.240 been changed?
00:51:46.000 Like, aren't
00:51:47.780 we there?
00:51:48.640 Because it
00:51:49.140 seems to me
00:51:49.580 that adding
00:51:49.980 the monoclonals
00:51:51.080 dropped the
00:51:52.960 risk of dying,
00:51:54.160 taking people
00:51:54.840 off of
00:51:55.200 ventilators dropped
00:51:56.260 the risk, and
00:51:57.000 knowing how to
00:51:57.740 do that
00:51:58.080 ventilation thing
00:51:58.960 better.
00:52:02.840 Whoops.
00:52:03.280 So, anyway.
00:52:12.260 I'm just
00:52:12.780 putting that
00:52:13.120 out there.
00:52:13.480 How many
00:52:13.720 times do we
00:52:14.120 have to drop
00:52:14.860 it?
00:52:15.040 All right,
00:52:15.280 here's my
00:52:15.640 idea that I
00:52:16.300 tweeted out.
00:52:17.240 I built a
00:52:18.300 fake news
00:52:19.200 identifier.
00:52:20.820 This is just
00:52:21.500 a spreadsheet,
00:52:23.880 and I tweeted
00:52:24.800 the link just
00:52:25.900 before I got on
00:52:26.680 here, and
00:52:27.560 here's what it
00:52:28.080 is.
00:52:28.300 It's just a
00:52:28.680 spreadsheet.
00:52:29.300 It has a
00:52:29.660 bunch of
00:52:29.940 questions, and
00:52:30.620 you just answer
00:52:31.300 them.
00:52:32.140 Here I've
00:52:32.720 put, in
00:52:33.060 this column,
00:52:34.200 and I'll
00:52:34.500 tell you what
00:52:34.820 the questions
00:52:35.180 are in a
00:52:35.440 moment, in
00:52:36.000 this column I
00:52:36.540 put my
00:52:37.080 weights.
00:52:38.060 This is me
00:52:38.600 personally saying
00:52:39.960 how much you
00:52:40.560 should weight
00:52:41.200 each of these
00:52:42.080 factors.
00:52:42.880 That's my
00:52:43.380 opinion, based
00:52:44.600 on living.
00:52:46.780 Other people
00:52:47.440 could put their
00:52:48.060 filter here.
00:52:49.360 So, for
00:52:49.660 example, you
00:52:50.260 might say, oh,
00:52:51.060 I identify fake
00:52:52.180 news differently.
00:52:53.340 Here's the
00:52:53.800 question I ask, or
00:52:54.900 here's the weight
00:52:55.540 I would put on
00:52:56.180 this.
00:52:56.880 So you might
00:52:57.320 have other
00:52:57.780 people's filters
00:52:58.580 too.
00:52:59.660 But you
00:53:00.100 would be able
00:53:00.560 to use my
00:53:01.120 filter, my
00:53:02.100 weights that I
00:53:02.860 put on things,
00:53:03.540 and my
00:53:03.980 questions, to
00:53:05.400 decide if
00:53:05.860 something is
00:53:06.340 fake news.
00:53:07.320 So let me
00:53:08.060 read the
00:53:08.360 questions, and
00:53:09.060 then for your
00:53:09.840 specific project,
00:53:11.320 you would say,
00:53:11.740 okay, that one
00:53:12.460 doesn't apply, it
00:53:13.120 doesn't apply.
00:53:13.540 Oh, but that
00:53:13.880 one does.
00:53:15.120 And let me, I
00:53:15.980 know you can't
00:53:16.420 see it.
00:53:16.940 So here's the
00:53:17.900 first question.
00:53:18.940 Is the source
00:53:19.580 anonymous?
00:53:20.260 Now, my
00:53:21.220 weights are on a
00:53:22.100 one to ten.
00:53:23.180 I give that a
00:53:23.840 nine.
00:53:24.860 If your source is
00:53:25.840 anonymous, that's a
00:53:26.820 nine and a ten for
00:53:27.800 likely fake news.
00:53:28.780 Is the source a
00:53:30.400 disgruntled current
00:53:31.580 or ex-employee?
00:53:32.480 I'd give that a
00:53:32.980 five.
00:53:34.040 Sometimes the
00:53:34.740 ex-employees are
00:53:35.480 right, sometimes
00:53:36.460 they're just
00:53:36.920 disgruntled.
00:53:37.940 I'd give it a
00:53:38.380 five.
00:53:39.760 Is only one of
00:53:40.940 either CNN or
00:53:41.820 Fox News confirming
00:53:42.900 that it's true?
00:53:44.580 That's a nine.
00:53:45.840 If only one of
00:53:46.580 them says it's
00:53:47.120 even true, that's
00:53:49.020 a nine.
00:53:50.640 Is it too on
00:53:51.560 the nose to be
00:53:52.240 perfect?
00:53:52.760 You know, the
00:53:53.220 story is just too
00:53:53.960 close to the
00:53:54.580 narrative?
00:53:55.380 It's exactly what
00:53:56.460 Republicans expect?
00:53:57.560 Or exactly what
00:53:59.920 the Democrats
00:54:00.400 expect?
00:54:02.060 Probably not.
00:54:03.680 So I gave that
00:54:04.540 one a seven.
00:54:06.300 Is it still in the
00:54:06.980 fog of war phase?
00:54:08.480 In other words, do
00:54:09.240 you know things are
00:54:09.880 going to be
00:54:10.100 changing?
00:54:10.560 I give that an
00:54:11.060 eight.
00:54:11.840 Is it too man
00:54:13.240 bites dog, meaning
00:54:14.480 that the story
00:54:15.140 itself is too
00:54:15.740 unbelievable?
00:54:16.920 Like, wow, could
00:54:17.800 that happen?
00:54:18.640 That's so
00:54:19.080 surprising.
00:54:20.200 If you hear a
00:54:20.780 story like that,
00:54:21.420 it's probably not
00:54:22.040 true.
00:54:22.960 That's like an
00:54:23.400 eight.
00:54:23.640 Is it only covered
00:54:25.160 by secondary news
00:54:26.320 sources?
00:54:26.800 I didn't define
00:54:27.380 that, but I
00:54:28.300 would call that
00:54:29.060 anything that's
00:54:29.620 not a national
00:54:31.240 platform.
00:54:32.420 You know, one of
00:54:32.800 the blog-like news
00:54:34.540 sites that often
00:54:35.660 get tweeted.
00:54:37.340 If they're the
00:54:38.100 only ones covering
00:54:38.880 it and it hasn't
00:54:39.680 made it to, you
00:54:40.560 know, New York
00:54:41.200 Times, Washington
00:54:41.940 Post, CNN,
00:54:43.580 probably not
00:54:44.060 true.
00:54:44.720 Probably not
00:54:45.120 true.
00:54:46.360 And does the
00:54:47.160 journals have a
00:54:47.840 grudge against the
00:54:48.560 subject?
00:54:49.040 I give that a
00:54:49.580 five, because
00:54:50.240 sometimes the
00:54:51.260 grudge is a
00:54:52.580 reasonable grudge.
00:54:53.720 They have a grudge
00:54:54.300 for a good reason.
00:54:54.900 So, this is
00:54:57.000 not complete.
00:54:57.760 It's a first
00:54:58.220 draft.
00:54:58.900 It's simply a
00:54:59.700 way for people
00:55:01.360 who are not as,
00:55:02.700 let's say,
00:55:03.880 experienced in
00:55:05.900 determining fake
00:55:06.620 news.
00:55:06.860 It's a way for
00:55:07.440 them to at least
00:55:08.720 get close to it.
00:55:09.920 Now, this is on a
00:55:11.140 link to a Google
00:55:11.980 Sheets, so I think
00:55:13.040 you can all see it.
00:55:14.480 I haven't used
00:55:15.020 Google Sheets
00:55:15.520 before.
00:55:16.880 So, I don't
00:55:19.640 know if that is a
00:55:20.940 step in the right
00:55:21.340 direction.
00:55:21.600 But, I put it
00:55:22.600 out there just
00:55:23.120 to, you know,
00:55:24.480 deepen the
00:55:25.060 conversation.
00:55:26.100 I have to run
00:55:26.680 right now, so I
00:55:27.320 can't stay around,
00:55:28.000 even for locals.
00:55:29.140 But, thank you
00:55:29.820 for coming.
00:55:30.620 I think you'll
00:55:31.220 agree, it's the
00:55:31.880 very best thing
00:55:32.620 you've ever seen.
00:55:36.240 The only one
00:55:37.180 of CNN
00:55:37.560 would claim
00:55:38.600 Hunter Biden
00:55:39.040 laptop
00:55:39.380 is false.
00:55:40.520 No.
00:55:41.140 CNN more
00:55:41.740 just doesn't
00:55:42.780 cover it.
00:55:43.940 That's different.
00:55:45.180 CNN did not
00:55:46.060 say the laptop
00:55:47.140 is fake as
00:55:48.220 of now.
00:55:49.320 I mean,
00:55:49.620 originally they
00:55:50.280 did.
00:55:50.540 That was the
00:55:50.960 fog of war.
00:55:51.600 But, at the
00:55:52.720 moment, they
00:55:53.300 both say it's
00:55:54.760 true.
00:55:55.820 All right.
00:55:56.360 Bye for now.