Episode 1528 Scott Adams: I'll Tell You Which News is Fake Today. Spoiler: Most of it.
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 3 minutes
Words per Minute
150.36407
Summary
A new word has arrived in the world, and it's going to change the way we live our lives forever. It's a new word that's been around for a while now, but it's been slowly gaining ground in the minds of people around the world.
Transcript
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And watch me pause another moment until the YouTube feed catches up because it clips off
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the first part here. And now. All right. Good morning, everybody. And welcome to the best
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thing that's ever happened to anybody everywhere. Ever? Everywhere? Let's make that a word.
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You've heard of anywhere. You've heard of nowhere. But introducing today a new word called
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everywhere. Wait. I don't even know what the hell I'm talking about today. You think I'm stoned.
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You think so. But I'm not. Maybe I should be. Because something's not working this morning.
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Everywhere. Yes. Everywhere. Correct. Everywhere is the new word. Thank you. Thank you in the
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comments. You know, have you realized that what we've created here collectively is like
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a new kind of intelligence? Think about it. Your old kind of intelligence was just stuff
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happening in your head in the old days. And then you got a smartphone or a computer and
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your intelligence was a little offloaded. But you had to do some work. You had to go search
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for stuff. But we've created with this model here with the live stream and the instant comments.
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We've created a situation where I simply think I need to know something. I say it out loud.
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Or even sometimes I don't say it. And then the new information appears for me on the screen.
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Because many of you are anticipating or correcting me as I go. So my brain is actually now extended
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to those of you who are watching live and commented live. The system is almost instant now.
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It's kind of weird. I mean, you could argue that this is a form of intelligence because I don't
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think I've ever seen this before. If I give a speech in a, let's say, a crowded room,
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people can make comments, but not in any efficient way. That's just me talking. And if this were
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recorded, of course, it would just be me talking. Those of you who watch it later. But when it's
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live, there is actually a collective intelligence that is literally happening. It makes me amplified
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in a way. But what is more important than the simultaneous sip? Yes, Dennis reminds me that
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we should be doing more sipping and less talking. And I think that's fine advice. And I'm going to
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take it. And all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a
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flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the
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unparalleled pleasure. The dopamine hit of the day. Yeah, the thing that makes everything better.
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It's called the simultaneous sip. And let's go, Brandon. Let's sip this baby. Go.
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Oh, yeah. I think we sipped the hell out of that. You know, sometimes you're just sipping along the
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edges. You know, you're almost a spectator to your own sip. But not today. I think we went deep today.
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There was some serious sippage penetration into the deeper, deeper meaning of life. Yeah, that just
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happened. What else happened? Well, Netflix has a big hit with a show called Squid Games. Not only did
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100 million people, 111 million people at least sample it, which is a new record. But
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I don't know why. I don't think I've ever seen a trailer for a movie that made me or a series that
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made me less want to watch it. So here's the actual advertisement. This is how they're trying
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to sell you to watch Squid Games on Netflix. It's about a bunch of people who are badly in debt.
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Right? They're in desperate times. They're badly in debt. And they're somehow collected together to
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play some deadly game where many of them die, I guess. Now, good times. If any of you are feeling bad
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about yourself or your situation, I can't think of a more entertaining thing than to watch people in
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desperate financial trouble playing a deadly game because it's the best chance they have.
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Don't watch this show. Now, I get that you might enjoy it while it's happening, but how could that
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possibly be good for you? Compare these two uses of time. One hour a day trying to meditate, which I'll
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talk about in a moment, meditate for one hour a day, or watch a show about people in desperate
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financial problems who are in great physical risk and many of them dying for fun. Which one of those
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would help your life a little bit more? Well, I would like to refer back to Naval Ravikant, who is a big
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proponent of meditating. And let me just give you an alternative. Because I like it when some
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percentage of my listeners go away with a better life. I can't get you all every time, right? So
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I'll pick off a little sliver of the viewers every time and make your life better. Here's where some of
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you will get a better life right now. Listen, you might want to Google him, but look for Naval,
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N-A-V-A-L, Ravikant, and read what you can about, I think he's been interviewed a number of times,
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been on podcasts, about meditation. Now, the big thing that he brings to the meditation
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conversation is he tells you, don't bother trying to clear your mind.
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That's the dumb part. I mean, the dumb part of meditating is when they tell you, clear your mind.
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That's not a thing. Who the hell is teaching you to meditate by clearing your mind?
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The only way you can clear your mind is by being dead. It's not a thing. So there's this, like,
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illusion that's kept, I don't know, seven billion people from meditating. It's the same illusion.
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The illusion is that the point of it is to stop thinking, and people think, well, that's not going
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to happen. I can't make that happen. And if they try, they realize quite quickly they can't make that
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happen. So what is the great innovation that Naval brings to this? That it was always an illusion
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that you needed to stop your mind from thinking. It was never possible. It was never a thing.
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And it was never even desirable or necessary. The important part is to sit quietly for an hour a day
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and let your mind do what it wants to do for an hour. That's it. You just let it play. Just stay awake.
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Sit comfortably. Do it as a habit. Don't, you know, don't skip days. Just every day. Sit there for an hour
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and let your mind play. The belief, the allegation, the proposition, if you will, is that that will
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fundamentally change your entire mental outlook in a positive way. Now, I have, you know, great faith
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in Naval's opinion and recommendations. Have I tried this technique? Nope. Because I don't know
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how I would get an hour a day to sit there. I guess that's the hard part. If you can figure out
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how to, any way to fit an hour a day of unmolested time, if you can figure out how to find an hour a day
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to do that, good luck. That's the hard part. So forget the squid games. Even if it's entertaining,
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it's going to put bad thoughts in your head. You don't need that. Instead, spend that same time,
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one hour a day, trying to meditate. About 1% of you, your lives just changed. Isn't that cool? I mean,
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most of you, you know, you're going to do what you were going to do, and this made no difference
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whatsoever. But about 1% of you, your whole life just changed. Seriously. About 1% of you,
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your whole life just changed. Because that's about how many people are saying, you know,
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I might be able to find an hour. I'll give it a try. And try it for about two months. If you haven't
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tried it for two months, you haven't tried it. All right, that's the other technique. So this is,
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so the thing that Naval brings to this is the simplification and the removal of the illusion.
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That's a big deal. If that seems like a small deal, it's not. It's a big deal. You got rid of
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the illusion that you have to clear your mind. Now you're free of that. And he's described it in a
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way that you can't do it wrong. Do it an hour a day for a couple months, see what happens.
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That's it. That's it. Everybody can do that if they have an hour. All right. The most important
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story in the country, and I think you'll agree, is that there was an elk that sometime in his early
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life got his head stuck in a tire. So it had a tire around his neck for however many years.
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It had been observed for a long time. But finally, I guess they tranquilized it and cut off its horns
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and got the tire off. Now you might say to yourself, that was the way to get the tire off?
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You had to remove the elk's horns. You couldn't think of another way to remove a tire from the neck.
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I'm just going to brainstorm here for a moment. Cut the tire. I don't know. Did they think of that
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one? Cut the tire? I mean, maybe they didn't have the right tools or something. There may have been
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some practical reasons. Now, just for full context, I'm told that the antlers fall off once a year
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anyway. So the elk would not be damaged by the removal of the horns because they just grow back
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next season. I'm told. I think that's true. But still, still, is it just sort of messed up?
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Don't those horns have some purpose? Like to protect them in a fight with another elk that does have his
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horns? I mean, I feel like it was just a messed up thing to do. And why did they go into this project
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not having a tool that can cut a tire? I mean, I feel like they should have brought a tire cutting
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tool to the project. I mean, they had some planning. It wasn't like off the cuff, hey, let's trank an elk
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and see what happens. But the most important thing about this story is the puns. That's right.
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The worst part for this poor elk, when he had that tire around his neck, is that the other elk would
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tease him. Yeah, it was almost sort of a Rudolph situation. Rudolph the red-nosed reindeer. The other
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reindeer would tease him. Well, you know how it went for the elk. The other elk teased him. They say stuff
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like, hey, Carl, you look tired. That's just messed up. They're bullies, really, is what I'm saying.
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Yeah, they'd say stuff like, hey, Carl, did you have a good year? Was it a good year? That's just
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messed up. You shouldn't say something like that to an elk who's having a tough time with a tire around
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his neck. And then, of course, you know, there was no inner tube in the tire, which means that this elk
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had no problem with inflation. No problem with inflation. See, that's not funny. This is just
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bullies, elks making fun of another elk. I don't approve of this bully. And then somebody suggested
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that he may have voluntarily been wearing that tire because, wait for it, he's had it for years
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and his antlers fall off every season. Now, the tire was not stuck on the neck. It was sort of loose
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fitting. And his antlers would fall off every year. What would happen when the antlers fell off
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and the elk bent down to eat some food? It's almost as if the tire would fall off.
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Like, maybe he liked it. Like, maybe he was wearing it like a crown because he was the king
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of the elks and we just ripped him his crown off. I didn't make that one up. Somebody said
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that on Twitter. But I liked it. It could have been an elk crown. We may have changed the entire
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royal family situation for that elk group. Yeah. Well, maybe enough about that story.
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Let's take a look at this story. Remember, I ran through the fake news filter, which you
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can find on my Twitter feed. I tweeted it out. So it's a checklist to see if something is
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fake news. And I ran the pilot sick out story through there. And what do you think? Do you
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think it's true that pilots are calling in sick or taking personal days and that's the
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reason that Southwest has slow flights? Well, it is not being reported by either Fox News or
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CNN to be true. Somebody fact check me on that. I need to fact check. But I think, because
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I'm saying I didn't see it, so maybe I missed it. But I don't think that CNN or Fox News are
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confirming that Southwest had a problem because of the COVID mandate. Tucker's an opinion guy.
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The opinion guys are not relevant to this truth filter. Because the opinion people are opinion
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people. I'm talking about the news. And CNN reports it basically as a false claim. They
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just report that Jen Psaki says that it's not true. But also according to the AP News, they
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looked into it. And here's what the AP says. They say the airline, this being Southwest,
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its pilots and the Federal Aviation Administration denied the claim circulating online that the
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so-called mass sick out was over the mandate. So the Federal Aviation Administration, the pilots,
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I don't know how many they talked to, and the airlines have all denied it. So basically everybody
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who's close to it denies it. But there are pilots who say it's true, right? Haven't you
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seen that online? You've seen the individual pilots say, oh yeah, it's totally true. And
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when you see that, do you see the pilot saying it? No. You see somebody saying they talked to
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a pilot who said it. I haven't seen a pilot say it. Have you? I've seen people say they know
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a pilot. I know a pilot and the pilot said it. But I haven't seen a pilot say it.
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So do the pilots believe it? Now I would definitely believe there are some pilots who believe it's
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happening. Why would they believe it's happening? They saw it online. They saw it online, same
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as you did. So they believe it's happening. I mean, if you were just one pilot and you knew
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a few other pilots, you would only know what you thought. But if you read online that a bunch
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of pilots at Southwest are doing this, you know, fake sick out thing or personal day
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thing, you'd probably think it was true too. So that would be your interpretation, even
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if you thought it was some other reason before that. All right. I'm going to call that fake
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news preliminarily. It doesn't mean it's guaranteed to be fake news. It does mean that the odds
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are against it being true. All right. And by the way, I'm going to go back to, let me ask
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you this. I'm often asked this question. How do you know if somebody is lying? How do you
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know to trust somebody? Just like an individual. I'm not talking about organizations or fake news,
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but just an individual. How do you know if they're lying? And the answer is, you can't.
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Most of the time. Most of the time you can't tell. Sometimes you can. But most of the time
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you can't tell. Here's what you can know. The only thing you can know for sure, and even that's,
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you know, not 100%, is that people will be the same people they were yesterday. Like if somebody
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was a giant liar yesterday, well, probably today too. If they were always honest,
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every day of their life up till yesterday, probably that last thing they told you is
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true too. Or at least they think it's true. Right? So you can depend on people being like
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the way they've been before. Do we have any history that Southwest Airlines is a gigantic
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liar? Such a big liar that they would lie in a way that they could easily be discovered.
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Really? Southwest Airlines. They have one of the best employee reputations of any company
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in the United States. Year after year after year, they're in the top rung of somewhat trusted,
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well-managed, straightforward companies. Do you think they suddenly became gigantic liars and
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such liars that they're telling a lie that's easily discovered? Because it would be literally,
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what, tens of thousands of witnesses that they lied? It would be all the pilots. Because the
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pilots would say, oh my God, they're lying. My company's lying. Would they do that? It doesn't
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make sense to me that anybody would tell a lie, a corporate entity would tell a lie that's so
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easily discovered as a lie. That would be crazy. I don't think Southwest changed overnight from a
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company that we trusted, relative to companies, right? It's still a company, to a company we trusted
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to one we totally wouldn't trust overnight. I don't think that happened. It could have. I mean,
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anything's possible. But that would be really unusual. So I'm going to say it's fake news until
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something changes my mind. All right, here's another story. See if you believe this one.
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A biological male in a skirt assaulted a student in a bathroom in Virginia. So a female student
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was allegedly, so we're using the word allegedly in these stories, sexually assaulted by a biological
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male wearing a skirt in a restroom in school. True or false? Run it through the fake news filter.
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Which of the checklists fits this? Which of the, yeah, you got it. Two on the nose. Two on the nose.
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What story did you most not expect but fear if you were a conservative? If you're a conservative
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and you were sort of worked up about, you know, the trans issue, let's say you're not as pro-trans as
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as a woke person should be. If that's what you were already worried about, what kind of story would
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play perfectly into your bias? The story of a biological boy putting on a dress for the purpose of going into
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a woman's facility, locker room or bathroom for a sexual assault. That story is exactly,
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exactly on the nose for what people feared. The slippery slope. I mean, people who were drawing this
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direct slippery slope line, okay, if you allow this, the next thing you know, they're going to be
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assaulting people in the restrooms. Slippery slope. Well, there it is. There it is. Proof. There it is.
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Somebody put on a dress just to assault somebody in a restroom.
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I'm seeing a lot of people saying it's true. Why do you say it's true? Do you say it's true because it was on
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the news? Or do you say it's true because the father of the alleged victim says it's true? And
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the victim, alleged victim says it's true? The police report. The police report says it's true. So you
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believe it because it's in the police report. Where did the police get their report from? Did they watch
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it? Did they watch it happen? Or did somebody tell them it happened? Everything you know about this is
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somebody told you. You didn't see it. You weren't there. And the people who told you,
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how much do you trust them? Well, we don't know anything about the alleged victim.
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If you told me the alleged victim had never told a lie, I would say, she'd never told a lie before.
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Do you know that? Has the alleged victim ever made a false accusation before? Has the alleged victim
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ever told a big whopper ever told a big whopper of a lie? I don't know. And I'm not alleging
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that there's anything up with the victim. I'm just saying we don't know. The attacker did
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it twice. Same way? Wearing a dress? Now, here's what I do believe. I do believe it's likely
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there was an assault. I don't believe the assailant was wearing a dress. Do you? If somebody says
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somebody got sexually assaulted, I'd go, well, probably, because that happens all the time,
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unfortunately. But somebody says this fits your bias, does it? Am I the one with the bias?
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Because I'm saying that unusual things don't happen very often. Is that a bias? That unusual
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things don't happen? That's almost just the definition of unusual things. Somebody says
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a Scottish kilt. Doubt it. All right, let me ask you this. Imagine you're this kid, you've
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got bad intentions, and you're thinking to yourself, I think I want to assault somebody. Would
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you put on a dress to do it? Would that be your plan? I think I'll put on a dress and
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nobody will even know I'm a man, and I'll walk into that restroom and I'll be doing some
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assaulting? Or do you think it was a genuine trans person who was identifying as female but
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still wanted to do some raping of a woman with male equipment? I don't know. None of it checks
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out, does it? So I'm going to go on record, okay? So this will be a test of the fake news
00:24:33.340
filter. So as far as I know, I'm the only one saying this. Can anybody confirm that there's
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nobody else that you know of? At least nobody who's got a show? Is there anybody else saying
00:24:49.980
that this is almost certainly fake news? Not the assault. I'm not questioning that an assault
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happened. I'm questioning that it was a boy dressed as a female so he could use the ladies
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room. That part, no. Yeah, on the skirt detail, I think it's fake news. Let me ask you this.
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How many of you have done a kid pickup at school? Took your car there, picked up a kid? You see
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hordes, hordes of kids walking by. Lots and lots of kids. How many of the girls are wearing skirts?
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How many of the girls are wearing skirts? None. None. The girls aren't even wearing skirts.
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So he's going to wear a disguise as a girl, or whatever it was, and he's going to dress in the
00:25:47.060
most ridiculous way. Ridiculous in the sense it would be non-standard, even for the females.
00:25:53.460
Right? No. None of this story makes sense. It doesn't. Maybe he had a, you know, a sweater
00:26:03.000
wrapped around his waist and it looked like a skirt. I don't know. I don't know what happened.
00:26:07.920
But I don't believe any of the story, and I'm going to go on record saying it's probably fake
00:26:12.320
news and you're probably going to find out. Now, given that I'm the only person in the country
00:26:15.640
saying it, right? I think I'm the only person saying it, just like I doubted the, you know,
00:26:22.920
the Havana syndrome secret sonic weapon. Only person in the world saying it. So that's a good
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challenge, isn't it? A good test of the filter. I'm the only one saying it. So if the filter
00:26:34.760
works, it will have caught this one. And if this turns out to be real, well, then we have
00:26:40.720
to revise the filter. Right? All right. Suddenly, you saw this in the news, that suddenly a whole
00:26:50.020
bunch of countries are real serious about nuclear. The United States being one of them.
00:26:55.100
Biden administration has gone strong on nuclear, which I credit it with. But also France has
00:27:01.300
decided instead of phasing them out, they're going to go hard. Great Britain and several
00:27:06.520
other countries have lobbied to have nuclear power labeled as green technology. Or zero
00:27:13.960
carbon, I guess. Or green, I don't know, whatever. Green technology, I guess. To which I said
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to myself, what? Are you telling me there's any official body that didn't already include
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nuclear energy as green technology? Did you know that wasn't already a thing? I just assumed
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they thought that. Because it is. It doesn't produce, you know, I mean, it's probably the
00:27:40.560
best green technology of all. I had no idea that it wasn't considered green. I thought they
00:27:46.400
didn't want it for maybe other reasons. But I didn't think it was because it wasn't green.
00:27:52.120
How wrong could they be? But now they say it's green, of course. So what changed? Let me ask
00:27:59.260
you, what made everything change? Like over, it seems like overnight, doesn't it? We went
00:28:05.840
from, I don't know, to, somebody says the science changed. Somebody says that the Generation
00:28:13.580
4, but we haven't built a Generation 4 yet. There are no operating Generation 4. Somebody said
00:28:20.980
COVID changed things. The wind didn't blow, right? So the green technology didn't do its thing.
00:28:29.260
The space race. Some say it's me, but I don't think that's the full story. Bill Gates. No,
00:28:42.840
not Trump. I don't think Trump had anything to do with it. He should have. And I fault him
00:28:47.000
for that. Mike Schellenberger. Yeah. Mark Schneider. So I'm not sure it was one thing. It could
00:28:54.980
be that a whole bunch of things happened. But here are some of the things that happened
00:28:58.020
to make it look like there was an overnight change. The number one thing that happened
00:29:04.280
was the trigger. The trigger is the brown ounce and the black ounce and, you know, China having
00:29:12.760
to fire up their coal plants. So all over the world now, the stories are that the classic green
00:29:18.760
energies didn't work. So we know that just solar and, you know, adding solar and wind power can be
00:29:28.860
awesome, but it doesn't cover you if you need a, you know, if you need a little surge. So the first
00:29:36.980
thing is that we had triggers that happened about the same time all over the world where it was proven
00:29:42.020
that the way we were doing it wasn't working. The second thing is that the media has decided that
00:29:48.200
climate change will be another focus. It's been a focus in the past, but, you know, it's, it is a
00:29:54.420
focus. Someone also mentioned space, right? Space is very much on our mind now because of all the
00:30:00.540
flights going up. I guess Shatner's going up there today or something, 90 years old. So when you're
00:30:06.920
talking about space, you have to think nuclear. And I think every country is realizing that if they
00:30:12.960
don't have a domestic nuclear skill set, that they're not going to be part of space. It's just
00:30:22.180
a, it's a base requirement, as far as we know, for getting into space and being productive up there.
00:30:28.340
So there's that. So you've got a bunch of things that sort of coincidentally happened.
00:30:32.940
Um, but I think there's something else happening that the argument against it was slowly chipped
00:30:41.580
away by, I'm going to call it reframing, reframing. So, um, as you mentioned, Mike, Mike Schellenberger,
00:30:51.480
I think one of the biggest effects here, um, Mark Schneider, also very influential, uh, to me and,
00:30:58.400
you know, threw me to other people, et cetera. So there definitely was a more productive
00:31:04.100
communication and reframing that happened. Meaning that, um, the idea of the newer generations
00:31:12.200
being safer, I think that message finally got through. Yeah, nuclear, the old kind had some
00:31:19.760
problems, but even, even then it was safer than everything else. Even the old kind with its problems,
00:31:26.620
the meltdowns, et cetera, the Fukishimas, the, uh, et cetera. Even all of that was still safer than
00:31:33.620
all of the, you know, other alternatives. And, but now we have the newer technologies,
00:31:39.980
the generation three that this kind you would build if you built one today has never had a problem.
00:31:46.820
They figured out how to do it safe enough. And the generation after that would be so safe that
00:31:53.080
it won't even be an issue after that. And the generation after also will eat the existing waste
00:31:58.380
as part of its fuel. So we, we have a technical solution coming online for the waste.
00:32:07.660
Solution number one is you store it at the facility that created it because it's already a nuclear risk,
00:32:13.580
if you will. And that's been working. And then the fact that we might be able to eat that waste with
00:32:19.480
new generations of plants, that looks pretty good. So I think, I think that, uh, there was a whole
00:32:26.140
bunch of persuasion by all the right people to finally get the message to Congress. And, you know,
00:32:33.340
I think other countries were having the same realizations. So I think it was a whole bunch
00:32:37.160
of things happening at the same time, but essential to it is that it got framed correctly for the first
00:32:43.420
time. Um, if you were thinking of nuclear as safe or unsafe, that was the wrong frame.
00:32:53.360
It got changed to climate change solution or don't solve it. That's a big difference because once the
00:33:02.300
left had decided that climate change was their big existential risk, it was over. You could, you could
00:33:09.260
then, you know, see the future. As soon as they had said it's our existential risk, they didn't have
00:33:15.120
any other solution. There was only one solution. Once you said this is, this could end, you know,
00:33:21.580
civilization and you're all afraid of it. It had to go this way all the time. You do, it just had to be
00:33:27.060
greased. So the people like, you know, Schellenberger, uh, you know, greasing it, um, and, uh,
00:33:35.440
Mark Schneider and, you know, I tried to help. And I know a lot of you who are even watching this
00:33:40.420
would retweet us and, you know, boost the message. So I would say that this is yet another example of
00:33:46.940
the social media effect being productive because I think that smart people, you know, got to people
00:33:54.360
who were influential in terms of persuasion, influential people like me and between the,
00:34:01.220
the technical know-how and the reframing, it made it safe for politicians to say, hey, hey, hey,
00:34:09.220
now we're thinking about climate change. And we love science because they already said, the left said,
00:34:15.940
we love science. And they were denying science like mofos. You know, if they were against nuclear,
00:34:22.260
they were just denying science because we knew it was a safe alternative relative to the other risks.
00:34:27.960
So, so that's all good, but it's interesting to watch it all come together at the right time.
00:34:36.300
Uh, I think the lights had to actually turn off before we got serious about it, but that happened.
00:34:41.820
Um, I did a little research on, uh, I try to, try to figure out where ideas come from,
00:34:48.720
especially ones that I'm involved in. And here's a, I'm going to give you a, uh, a little history
00:34:55.740
of this idea. The, the idea of using small habits, changing a small thing to get some incentive or
00:35:01.760
get some, get some momentum going to get something done. Um, there was a book in 20, 2012, a book by
00:35:10.040
Charles Duhigg, The Power of Habits, giant bestseller. And The Power of Habits talked about how to,
00:35:16.460
how to change your habits or modify your habits to, to get what you want. Now, I don't remember it
00:35:22.280
talking about small changes. Maybe it was in there. I'm not sure. Now, uh, here's something
00:35:28.560
you don't know that the author of that book spent a full day with me. Um, so Charles Duhigg came to
00:35:36.160
my home and just spent the day with me, um, interviewing me about the things that he thought
00:35:41.260
would be relevant to his book. Now, I didn't make it into the book, so I don't think there, well,
00:35:47.040
I know that there's no mention of me in the book, but he did spend a day with me, um, sussing
00:35:53.480
out my habits for success because I've been talking about and blogging about them. In October
00:35:59.180
of 2013, now, if you're an author, you know that, um, it takes over a year to write a book
00:36:06.040
and get it published. So when, when he was talking to me was about the time I was putting together
00:36:11.900
in my book, how to fail at almost everything and still went big. And there I talked about,
00:36:15.860
um, micro steps, taking the smallest step and getting some momentum going. So that was 2013,
00:36:24.040
right? So power of habits, Duhigg was 2012, roughly the same time. And he interviewed me
00:36:29.220
roughly the same time how to fail came out, talked about micro steps. And then this is what
00:36:35.140
I found out today. Uh, on December, uh, just a few months after that, an ebook came out. Now you
00:36:42.320
can do an ebook pretty quickly because you don't have to wait for the whole printing, publishing
00:36:46.400
cycle. And just a few months after my book came out, uh, Stephen Geis, uh, published mini habits,
00:36:55.240
which is this concept, you know, getting a little habit going to, to movie in the right direction.
00:37:01.100
So that was just a few months later. And then after mini habits came micro habits by Brian
00:37:08.340
Ledger. Um, and then came, he was in 2015. I think that was an ebook too. And then came
00:37:17.160
small habits, big changes, how the tiniest steps lead to happier, healthier you. Steve Handel
00:37:23.020
in 2018. And then atomic habits, October, 2018. Uh, now these were obviously being written about
00:37:31.480
the same time because they came out pretty close to each other. So then atomic, atomic habits was a
00:37:36.940
huge bestseller. And I think that's the one that moves the, moves the needle the most on this topic.
00:37:41.900
And then right after that was tiny habits by BJ Fogg. Now here's the question.
00:37:50.920
Listen to these books, power of habits, then mind, how to feel, then mini habits, micro habits,
00:37:57.420
small habits, atomic habits, and tiny habits. Yeah. Is nano habits taken? Now here's the question.
00:38:06.720
Did I cause all of these or were they going to happen anyway? Did I cause them or were they going
00:38:14.040
to happen anyway? What do you think? Just looking at your comments, zeitgeist, good answer. That's
00:38:23.880
where I'm going to go with this too. So, um, you accelerated it. So some think, some, some people
00:38:31.240
think I had a role in it. Some don't. Let me tell you the story about, uh, Isaac Newton. My favorite
00:38:38.500
story about Isaac Newton, you know, you, of course you automatically think gravity with Newton, but,
00:38:45.340
uh, my favorite story about Isaac Newton is that he invented calculus just to solve a problem he was
00:38:51.440
working on. He invented calculus just to solve a problem he was working on. Now the fun story about
00:39:00.420
this is that somebody else invented calculus at the same time in the 1600s. Two people independently
00:39:08.960
invented calculus at the same time in different countries. They didn't know the other one was
00:39:17.160
doing it and they didn't share it. They, yeah, there was no communication. What's up with that?
00:39:23.300
Right? Um, somebody will give me the name of the other guy, Leibniz. Thank you. I knew it would take
00:39:30.220
about five seconds for you well-educated people to give me that name. Yeah. Leibniz, another, was he
00:39:37.060
an astronomer or scientist? I don't know what he was, but he invented it at the same time. So they, they
00:39:42.260
get sort of co-credit. So here's the question. How in the world do you explain calculus being invented
00:39:49.680
at the same time in two different places? Well, here's one explanation. It was just time. You know,
00:39:57.660
there, there was enough other stuff happening that the idea of calculus could have been thought of by
00:40:04.840
other people. In other words, the, the environment of whatever scientific mathematical things were
00:40:10.380
floating around was suggestive enough that two people got the same idea at the same time from maybe
00:40:16.860
the same kinds of influences, maybe, or they were trying to solve the same kinds of problems at the
00:40:21.580
same time. So maybe it wasn't a big coincidence. Maybe the environment just suggested it and two
00:40:26.860
of them picked it up. Likewise, there is something about the environment that changed to make all this
00:40:33.820
micro habit, tiny habit stuff make sense at the same time. And the thing that changed was life got
00:40:40.360
really complicated. Life got too complicated. That's the thing that changed everywhere at the
00:40:46.300
same time. So does it make sense that there would be more than one person who would say, how do you
00:40:53.540
solve all this complicated life stuff? Like, what do you do about it? And one of the solutions is to make
00:40:59.540
small steps because you know, it seems overwhelming to do anything bigger than a small step.
00:41:04.720
So it could be that the environment certainly just served up a situation that people like me and
00:41:13.360
people, other people said, you know, I can only think of one way to approach this. And we came up
00:41:18.520
with the same idea. You know, I'm not, I'm not going to compare this idea to calculus, right? So I'm not
00:41:24.600
comparing myself to Isaac Newton. Somebody's always going to say that. I think he compared himself to
00:41:30.420
Isaac Newton. No, no, I'm not doing that. I'm just saying that people think of the same ideas at
00:41:36.380
the same time. The other possibility is that I did have some influence on it. I can't rule that out
00:41:42.720
either. Well, it turns out that Mike Pence was right. So the New York Times commissioned a poll and
00:41:49.560
found that a majority of women and nearly half of men said it's unacceptable to have dinner or drinks
00:41:55.000
alone with someone of the opposite sex other than their spouse. Oh, oh, I am so going to have to
00:42:04.660
complain. Let me listen to this again. And you should be offended on behalf of other people, if not
00:42:13.740
yourself. It's unacceptable to have dinner or drinks alone with someone of the opposite sex.
00:42:19.080
Because that's the only people we have sex with, right? The only people you have sex with are people
00:42:26.680
of the opposite sex. So I can go to dinner with a gay guy and my wife won't care. So when did the
00:42:38.520
only kind of sex we think about turn into heterosexual sex? You think you can be woke? I will overwoke your
00:42:47.020
ass so hard. You can't overwoke me. No. New York Times, go back to your troglodyte world. Crawl back into
00:42:56.420
your caves. And don't ever, don't ever darken our doorway with your misogynistic, anti-LGBTQ crap.
00:43:07.840
Your crap. You can have sex with anybody you want. It's 2021 and you do not have to limit yourself to
00:43:16.680
the opposite sex. And by the way, what is the opposite sex? Correct me if I'm wrong. But the
00:43:27.240
idea of an opposite sex suggests there are two genders, which I don't, I can't, I can't buy off on
00:43:37.340
that. I believe there is infinite variety and that we are all special in our very different and unique
00:43:44.680
sexualities. I don't have an opposite, for God's sake. What is the opposite of bisexual?
00:43:52.220
Huh? I think this opposite stuff is very anti-woke and I complain. By the way, in an unrelated
00:44:00.820
view, I've been very jealous of the black community because they can sing all of the lyrics of their
00:44:08.700
favorite songs when they come on the radio or on some device. Because most of the best songs lately
00:44:16.980
have the N-word in them. And if you are black, you can just sing the entire lyrics, including that N-word.
00:44:25.920
But if you're white, you can't even sing your favorite song. Assuming your favorite song has those words in
00:44:31.840
it. If you're white, you can't even sing your favorite song out loud. So I thought, well, I do agree
00:44:41.960
that black Americans, they could have their reserved word. And I agree with it. It's an ugly word. And if
00:44:51.660
they want to reserve that word for just themselves and they have some historical, you know, reason for it
00:44:57.900
everything, I'm all for that. No objection whatsoever. But why can't white people have a
00:45:04.120
word that they can use and nobody else can? Why can't we do that? And so I did a little
00:45:10.120
brainstorming and I solved it. I was going to say cracker and say, hey, hey, I can call myself a
00:45:17.480
cracker and I can call other white people crackers. I mean, I could if I didn't identify as black,
00:45:23.320
but you get the point. Um, but cracker, it's not really, it doesn't sound good if it's in
00:45:32.160
a song. It needs to be cracker. Because the N-word, it has, you know, an E-R ending, but
00:45:38.720
also an A-H ending or an A ending. So instead of cracker, which is not cool at all, it's going
00:45:45.540
to be cracker. Cracker. And instead of the B-word, which you'll hear a lot in popular music,
00:45:51.200
bitch. Um, I don't like to use that word. I feel that's very disrespectful. So I want a,
00:45:58.320
sort of a white version of that. And I think Karen would do it. So I'm going to write a white
00:46:04.700
rap song in which it uses the word cracker quite a bit and refers to women as Karens because I don't
00:46:12.600
want to use the B-word. I think it's going to be a bestseller. We'll see. Anyway, Mike Pence was
00:46:20.060
right. Um, you don't want to have, uh, a meal with somebody that's going to get you in trouble.
00:46:25.880
Um, I have, I have adopted the Mike Pence, um, philosophy. I don't know if I've mentioned
00:46:31.880
that to you, but as a merry person, I would not have drinks. Uh, well, I don't drink, but
00:46:36.820
I wouldn't have drinks or, uh, dinner with a woman alone, nor a gay man, nor a gay man,
00:46:44.900
nor a, um, anybody else who might want to jump on me. Cause you know, that's a big problem.
00:46:56.040
The women, they just want to jump all over me. No, it's not a big problem. It turns out it's
00:47:01.380
not a big problem. All right. The Rolling Stones have decided to retire their song Brown Sugar.
00:47:06.060
The biggest surprising thing about this is how did they get along with it? How did they
00:47:12.480
get away with that song as long as they did? Isn't that the surprising part of the story?
00:47:18.560
For the longest time I've said to myself, is there anybody except the Rolling Stones who
00:47:25.920
could have done this song, you know, into the 2000s? I don't think so. I don't think so.
00:47:31.800
I think they did have a, like a protected status there. Now, part of it is because nobody is,
00:47:38.160
nobody is wondering if, uh, you know, Mick Jagger is a racist. Like literally nobody thinks
00:47:44.560
that. I mean, if you look at his dating history and everything else, it's pretty obvious that
00:47:48.920
he's not a racist. And we assume the same thing about the rest of the Stones. In fact, they're,
00:47:53.480
the Stones are the most, probably the most biggest promoters of, you know, black music. And
00:48:00.460
they say they borrowed slash stole it. And, and they're very generous about saying who really,
00:48:05.640
you know, muddy waters and everybody who should get the real credit. So we know the Rolling Stones
00:48:10.440
are nothing like racist in any normal way that we think of the word. But I did wonder how they got
00:48:16.340
away with that for so long. Now, I am aware that it's a anti-slavery lyrics. If you actually knew
00:48:25.120
what the lyrics were about, you would understand it was about the horror of slavery and therefore
00:48:29.980
there's no bad messaging intended. But I didn't know that. I've listened to that song about a million
00:48:38.320
times. I had no idea. I had no idea that it was about slavery and the, you know, I just thought it
00:48:48.080
was a little sort of not current way to refer to each other, if you know what I mean. So they decided
00:48:55.900
to retire it. I think that's probably a reasonable decision. There'll be a lot of, a lot of pushback
00:49:02.360
on that. I think Mick Jagger's take on it was it just wasn't worth the trouble. If people were going
00:49:07.040
to complain about it, it was too hard to explain that, you know, we're all on the same side here.
00:49:11.720
The song isn't what you think. It's just too much work. So, so I think I agree with him on a business
00:49:17.220
level that just wasn't worth the effort. They have other songs. Rasmussen says that 68% of those polled
00:49:26.000
either strongly or somewhat agree that the heated encounters between concerned parents and school
00:49:31.800
boards is protected speech. Yay. Two-thirds of the country still likes protected speech. Now, of course,
00:49:40.860
things can get heated and, you know, there has to be a limit, but good news. Two-thirds of the country
00:49:48.220
still like free speech. Biden's poll numbers are still plunging. 38% approval. That's based on doing
00:49:57.860
everything wrong. If you do everything wrong. All right. There's a, there was a study that came out
00:50:04.260
that said baby aspirin might help a lot for COVID. It was not a randomized, large controlled trial.
00:50:11.480
So it's a study which does need confirmation. You should not be taking baby aspirin because you
00:50:18.240
heard that there was that one study. But here's the weird thing. At about the same time that the news
00:50:26.900
was reporting the aspirin could be like a real godsend for people with COVID because apparently
00:50:33.380
it reduces blood clots. At the same time, we heard that unconfirmed, right? You still have to wait for
00:50:39.360
the real randomized trial. At the same time, just about the same time, it was announced that the medical
00:50:46.800
community says you should not be taking a baby aspirin every day to prevent strokes and other
00:50:53.900
problems. Is it a coincidence that the moment it works for COVID, or it looks like it might
00:51:00.000
unconfirmed, is the same time that the drug industry says stop taking it? And of course,
00:51:07.520
all the conspiracy people say, uh, that's just so you'll sell more vaccines, right? You're trying
00:51:14.440
to make people think that they can't easily treat it themselves or reduce their risk by taking an
00:51:19.580
aspirin. Well, I don't know that those are connected, but you sort of suspect it, don't
00:51:25.820
you? We live in a world in which that's a little bit too big of a coincidence. So I'm not going
00:51:31.240
to say that's a coincidence. I'm also not going to say it's not. It could be. I'm not going to rule
00:51:38.860
it out as coincidence, but it doesn't look like one, does it? It really doesn't. But here's the most
00:51:46.840
confusing part of the story. Are the rest of you just learning that, uh, baby aspirin is not
00:51:54.140
recommended? Um, I learned that years ago on the news. And then I asked my doctor and my doctor said,
00:52:05.740
yeah, we don't recommend that. Don't take that. And yet today people are treating it like it's new
00:52:12.840
news. It was years ago we do this, right? Now was the problem, was the problem that it wasn't
00:52:24.380
promoted as strongly as it was because they were selling a lot of baby aspirin, maybe? And maybe
00:52:30.100
the, maybe big baby aspirin was behind it. I don't know. I don't know how exactly that would be the
00:52:35.600
case. Um, doctors still prescribed it. So here's the deal. How many of you were still on baby aspirin
00:52:45.980
as of this morning? In the comments, how many of you are from the doctor? Let's say a doctor
00:52:52.580
recommended. How many are on doctor recommended baby aspirin as of today? A lot of you, a lot of you
00:53:03.440
look at the comments. It's just streaming by. Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes. My spouse. I am, I am. Yes,
00:53:10.620
yes, yes. A lot of no's. But the, how many of you went to a doctor who didn't know that aspirin was no
00:53:17.940
longer recommended? Here's a little wake up call for you. Let me, let me show you just what just
00:53:27.400
happened to all of you who are still taking baby aspirin because your doctor recommended it. May I do
00:53:33.260
this is my impression of what just happened to you right now? What? I would do it again,
00:53:48.480
but it kind of hurt. Your doctor didn't know as much as I did about baby aspirin if you're still
00:54:01.700
taking it because I heard this a long time ago. And you can see in the comments, many, many people
00:54:08.260
were aware of this for years, years. It's been in the news. This is not new. I don't know what's
00:54:15.380
going on. Are we just being gaslighted in some weird way? Anyway, link to a study. I don't have one.
00:54:23.040
You heard there was a big crash of a twin engine Cessna crashed into some buildings and a UPS truck
00:54:31.360
in San Diego. The driver of the UPS truck was killed by the airplane. Now, let me tell you,
00:54:39.600
if you're a UPS driver and you're putting in a million miles a year on the road and the thing
00:54:46.860
that kills you is an airplane, it was time. I don't mean to be insensitive to the family,
00:54:54.620
but talk about when your time is up, your time is up because a million miles of driving a UPS
00:55:01.140
truck didn't seem to faze him, but the airplane got him. All right. What question do I ask myself
00:55:09.000
when I hear that a small airplane crashed? What's the first question I ask myself? I mean,
00:55:15.480
after I asked myself if my wife was in it, because she flies Cessnas. So the first thing I ask is,
00:55:21.680
where's my wife? So I want to make sure she wasn't in it. The second thing I ask is,
00:55:29.700
what kind of doctor was he? Yeah. That's the second question. What kind of doctor was he?
00:55:39.980
Do you know why? Well, I don't know why, but doctors crash a lot of airplanes. So much so that
00:55:48.680
when I heard this, I said, and I'm not joking, the first thing I thought was, what kind of doctor
00:55:54.200
is he? He's a cardiologist. Now, the airplane is not the, there's a brand of airplane. I won't
00:56:02.320
mention it because I'll probably get sued or something, but not the Cessnas. The Cessnas are
00:56:06.220
actually easy to fly. So a doctor in the Cessna should not be crashing, but a doctor in another
00:56:13.660
airplane that I won't mention, sometimes called the doctor killer, more common. But it was still
00:56:19.820
the first question I asked, what kind of doctor was he? Sure enough, I don't know how to explain
00:56:24.200
that exactly. Do you? I don't know why doctors crash more airplanes than other people. Maybe they
00:56:30.400
can afford airplanes. Is that it? So Columbus got canceled. But there's still a lot of people
00:56:38.300
who are pretty happy about it. We changed that to Indigenous People's Day. I have some slightly
00:56:46.200
mixed feelings about Columbus, but I'm okay with canceling him. I'm okay with canceling Columbus.
00:56:52.740
Columbus. Columbus was horrible. I don't know if you've ever read, you know, the things that
00:57:00.640
Columbus and his actual crew did to the locals. I mean, I read a story where they used them as
00:57:07.220
horses. They actually would have them carry them on their shoulders so that, you know, Columbus's
00:57:14.360
men didn't, like, I don't know, get their feet dirty or something. Yeah, they beat them and killed
00:57:19.640
them and tortured them and treated them like horses, basically. Now, if there was anybody
00:57:26.280
who should get canceled, I would think it would be anybody involved with something like that.
00:57:30.760
So, I mean, it's a little bit like saying, you know, Hitler did a lot of bad things, but
00:57:37.980
you have to look at his accomplishments, too. The Volkswagen. I mean, it feels a little like
00:57:43.340
that. It's like, yeah, the Volkswagen's cool. I don't know if it's true that Hitler was behind
00:57:48.700
the Volkswagen. You know, it's probably not true, but just using it for my example. I
00:57:54.680
don't know that we can say Columbus did some awesome stuff, too. First of all, he didn't
00:58:00.500
find the right part of the world. And second of all, he was like a major torturer when he
00:58:04.260
was. So, I guess I'm in favor of Indigenous Peoples Day. You know, it feels like everything
00:58:12.060
white and European is getting canceled. But seriously, he was a torturer. I mean, that's
00:58:18.840
got to count for something. DeSantis went the other way because he's so good at this populist
00:58:24.280
stuff. But he characterized Columbus as, quote, a singular figure in Western civilization who
00:58:30.720
exemplified courage, risk-taking, and heroism in the face of enormous odds. A visionary,
00:58:40.380
et cetera. Now, those things can all be true, but can be said of other people who did bad
00:58:46.380
things. So, you remember the story about the trans employee who got suspended at Netflix,
00:58:54.600
allegedly for complaining about Dave Chappelle's show. But that was fake news. She did not get
00:59:00.460
suspended for complaining. And Netflix says that, and they've reinstated her. But the complaint
00:59:07.780
was that she got on some kind of a Zoom call that was only for executives. But it turns out
00:59:12.720
she was invited. Somebody sent her the link. So, some executive or somebody who had the link
00:59:18.480
seems to have invited her, and she didn't know she couldn't be there. So, there wasn't any
00:59:22.940
bad intention. And once Netflix looked into it, they just didn't find anything wrong. So,
00:59:29.100
they said, all right, you're back in. Do you like that? I like that. I like that. I like this
00:59:36.720
outcome. I like that the employee could complain, and that that wasn't the reason she got fired.
00:59:43.260
She was called to task for doing something that looked like it was against the rules.
00:59:49.000
But they didn't fire her. They just said, suspend you. We're going to look into this.
00:59:52.320
They looked into it. There was nothing to it. They said, oh, sorry. You're back.
00:59:58.620
I'm okay with that. She got a little attention. Her point of view got spread a little bit better.
01:00:05.060
Netflix looks like a responsible employer. I think everybody won. I think the trans community won.
01:00:11.360
I think Chappelle won. I think Netflix won. This is one of those weird stories where everybody won.
01:00:16.780
Am I wrong? Am I wrong? Didn't everybody win? How often do you get that? Everybody won?
01:00:26.300
Was it planned that way? No, I don't think it was planned that way.
01:00:29.400
I think it's just one of these rare situations where everybody did the right thing.
01:00:35.500
Maybe we should note that. Maybe we should note. Rare situation where everybody did the right thing.
01:00:41.360
I'm not saying you agree with their opinions, and you don't have to.
01:00:47.400
Shatner down. Oh, is Captain Kirk up? Did he make it?
01:00:53.500
Oh, so he's already been up and back. So Shatner's back.
01:00:58.380
Well, I'll tell you, if I had been on that flight, there's a pretty good chance I would have,
01:01:06.720
shall we say, Shatner my flight suit. That's right.
01:01:12.440
You put me in that experimental flight situation, and I would Shatner my flight suit.
01:01:28.160
Yes, there is driving, but I get to go a little bit later today.
01:01:52.460
Columbus was great because he was a good navigator, right?
01:02:05.820
Let's not forget that O.J. was really good at football.
01:02:16.320
Got to take the good with the bad or sort them out.
01:02:25.480
Yeah, I see you mentioning the aircraft correctly.
01:02:45.160
Apparently somebody must be defending Columbus.
01:02:51.140
Does it matter if the real story is that Columbus was an awesome guy
01:03:02.060
And as a national symbol, it only matters who you think he is.
01:03:11.900
If you're telling me it should be, or the truth matters, does it?
01:03:31.360
This was the best thing that ever happened to you today.