Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1529 Scott Adams： It's a Weird Day Full of Fake News and Strange Stories. Just the Kind We Like

00:00:00.000 well good morning everybody oh is it my imagination or did you get better looking

00:00:17.860 did you lose weight you're working out you look great this morning but you know what would make

00:00:25.540 you look even better yeah the knowledge that you're part of something bigger than yourself

00:00:31.540 something great something that connects us all over the world yes it's the simultaneous

00:00:35.780 it's the most amazing thing that's ever happened really has it's amazing and all you need is a

00:00:43.120 cup of mugger glasses tanker chalice stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your

00:00:49.400 favorite liquid i like coffee and will you join me now please for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:55.500 the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better yeah it's called the

00:01:02.900 simultaneous sip and watch your antibodies increase when you do this you ready ready go

00:01:08.820 whoa i don't know if it felt the same on your end but i can feel my antibodies increasing yeah

00:01:20.300 bring on that covid i'm not afraid of you

00:01:25.480 all right

00:01:30.740 it's funny on both uh on both youtube and locals you can't see each other's comments

00:01:40.620 but at the same time everybody was people were saying ah antibodies that should be the new uh

00:01:49.260 that should be the new sign off after the sip ah antibodies all right well uh andres backhouse

00:01:58.480 tweeted a uh there's a study that shows that uh changes in voter id laws uh don't affect anything

00:02:06.860 what what apparently it doesn't change the voter registration it doesn't change the turnout

00:02:16.180 do you believe that changes in voter uh in voter id laws don't have any effect on anything

00:02:25.500 were you expecting that i'm not i'm not i'm not sure i had an expectation either way

00:02:34.560 but here's something i've always believed

00:02:37.220 if you were to do the venn diagram and i think i'll do this no i can't i can't make that motion with

00:02:45.860 my hands it'll look like a white supremacist hand motion imagine if you will use your imagination

00:02:52.720 imagine that this hand is being held up in a fashion which some would say would be the okay

00:02:59.580 symbol sort of a circular thing and my other hand would be doing a similar thing forming a circle

00:03:06.880 which i can't show you because i'll get canceled but one of the circles would be not overlapping with

00:03:14.380 the other circle a venn diagram with fingers if you will and that venn diagram with fingers would show

00:03:22.000 that there are zero people who really want to vote and can't figure out how because of

00:03:29.620 lack of voter id i feel as though it's been four years since we're looking for one person

00:03:39.080 who wants to vote and can't figure out how still waiting for our first one aren't we

00:03:44.460 let me tell you something a little trick for determining what's true and what's not i use

00:03:50.980 this one a lot now like all of the techniques for determining what's true they don't work all the

00:03:57.360 time but what is that if the science or let's say the data you know we'll all say science but i could

00:04:05.780 be statistics as well let's say the science doesn't match your observation

00:04:10.520 then you should raise a red flag right there should be some skepticism if you're if you're just

00:04:18.300 observing the world and what science or statistics tells you is true is just clearly not true

00:04:24.000 your observation doesn't match doesn't mean your observation is right i mean the reason we do science 0.89

00:04:31.500 is statistics is because your observations are crap you think you see patterns you don't you think

00:04:38.480 you see a correlation you don't so we're really bad at you know spotting any correlation but don't you 0.94

00:04:46.360 think we'd be able to spot the existence or non-existence of a human i don't have to be a scientist don't

00:04:55.200 have to be a statistician there either is a person who fits into the category of really

00:05:01.280 wants to vote but can't figure out how because of voter id problems where's that person you would

00:05:08.520 only need to show me one just show me one and i'd say oh i guess i guess that person exists maybe

00:05:16.640 there's more of them but you can't find one in four years really in four years not one example of an

00:05:25.680 actual human being who just couldn't work it out really wants to vote feels feels strongly about

00:05:32.500 politics but not strongly enough to figure out how to get an id no there are no people like that

00:05:41.440 they don't exist we would have seen one of them by now right so i'm going to call bs on uh on the fact

00:05:51.100 voter id changes anything and i agree with the with the statistics because it matches observation

00:05:58.620 right my observation is that none of these people exist and certainly there's a great incentive for

00:06:05.900 the news to produce these people right if cnn could produce a panel of people who couldn't figure out how

00:06:12.540 to vote you don't think they would have done that by now or even how about man on the street or less

00:06:19.580 sexist person on the street interviews they would have done at least a person on the street interview

00:06:25.660 to say how much do you want to vote why aren't you doing it right it's all missing dog not barking

00:06:32.980 hear it do you hear that dog not barking that's all those people who couldn't figure out how to vote

00:06:39.000 talking to you at the same time complete silence

00:06:42.440 well coincidentally we also have a report i think the federalist was part of this molly hemingway has

00:06:51.800 a new book out uh whose title i forget but somebody will tell me in the comments let me just say this

00:06:58.800 i have not read the book i can't remember its name but somebody will tell me rigged the book's name is

00:07:06.340 rigged if you're not familiar with molly hemingway you should become familiar with her in my opinion

00:07:13.900 maybe the best political observer and commentator i won't even call her a pundit because she's better 0.98

00:07:21.500 than pundit pundit is almost a sort of an insult but i would say in the top rung of dependable

00:07:31.020 people who have a good take can frame things right analyze a complicated situation and know

00:07:38.200 enough about it to say something new very few people can do that she's one of them so i haven't i don't

00:07:44.760 know anything about the book but if she wrote it and you read books um i think you ought to look into

00:07:52.680 that i'll probably look into it myself i only heard about it today so that's that's your helpful tip for

00:07:59.220 today you should be at least following molly hemingway on twitter one of your strongest

00:08:04.260 most reliable voices i think anyway there's uh some information that zuckerberg

00:08:11.780 uh basically bought the 2020 election for biden and the way he did it was putting he and his wife

00:08:18.720 putting over 400 million dollars into non-profits that were supposed to be you know non-partisan but

00:08:26.400 basically funneled their money to likely you know to boost the uh turnout of likely democrat voters

00:08:33.780 now was any of that illegal was any of it illegal i don't think so i think i think it was all legal

00:08:48.220 right should it be i'm not sure that our system uh anticipated anybody that rich

00:08:55.260 because you would have to be like crazy rich to have so much money that it changed the outcome of

00:09:02.140 an election you know in that way um so keep in mind that we have credible knowledge that zuckerberg

00:09:11.940 basically bought the election because he funneled it into the places where it would matter the most and

00:09:17.980 those are the places that swung just the way he hoped his his spending would would make a difference i

00:09:23.840 assume i mean we can't read his mind but one assumes that was the point and so now we know this that

00:09:30.580 there was something fishy about at least the fairness of the election if not the legality of it i don't i

00:09:37.840 don't have any reason to think it was illegal i'm just saying that it's a fishy process because of

00:09:43.780 money now listen to trump's statement which uh when i saw it on social media i didn't believe it

00:09:50.860 like i i thought it was fake news i didn't think he really made this statement so keep in mind that

00:09:57.180 my first impression was this are you sure he said that like i had to actually see it from some other

00:10:02.580 sources before i believed it but he actually said this uh yesterday i guess if we don't solve the

00:10:10.140 presidential election fraud of 2020 parenthetically which we have thoroughly and conclusively documented

00:10:16.500 this is trump not me republicans will not be voting in 22 to or 24 it is the single most important

00:10:24.160 thing for republicans to do um what do you think of that good move good persuasion

00:10:34.880 because it seems to me that uh trump is taking republicans out of contention it looks like he is

00:10:46.160 he's telling them not to vote which would guarantee another sweep by democrats which would make it even

00:10:53.360 less likely that any election reform would happen does this look like a mistake to you

00:11:00.760 you know of course people sent it to me immediately and said all right explain why this is brilliant

00:11:07.180 persuasion well i suppose it depends what you're trying to accomplish so here's what it did accomplish

00:11:15.580 it got attention definitely got your attention it allowed him because it got your attention it allowed

00:11:22.720 him to promote his view that the election was stolen and that he's got conclusive documented

00:11:29.840 proof which i'm not aware of are you i'm not aware of any conclusive documented proof of that

00:11:37.460 um but he gets to you know send that message on on the signal that you know his provocative statement

00:11:44.500 carries that signal so he wins that way so he gets attention and he promotes his message to mostly the

00:11:51.760 base and but what do you think about this part republicans will not be voting in 22 or 24

00:11:59.180 now interesting the way he worded it he didn't say i'm going to try to make republicans not vote

00:12:07.600 right because people took this as a threat but read the words carefully he did not say if you don't do

00:12:16.560 this for me which is fix 2020 somehow like you can fix the past if you don't do this for me i will

00:12:23.420 somehow cause people not to vote does he have that power i suppose he does by influence but if you

00:12:32.360 are a republican would you listen to that advice are there any republicans who would not vote

00:12:39.460 because trump wasn't happy with 2020 anybody is there anybody here who would be in any way

00:12:47.880 influenced by trump's opinion that maybe people won't vote he's not saying you shouldn't he's he's

00:12:54.680 acting like it's a prediction that's not a threat prediction is not a threat yeah it's all oh i say yes

00:13:03.440 paul paul paul collider says yes i'm not sure you mean that exactly you're you're a you're a provocateur

00:13:14.800 paul so i'm not you might have some uh so i say another yes now it wouldn't take many yeses to

00:13:22.260 change the election right suppose trump is right but it's only five percent

00:13:27.780 five percent would change the result of every election right so i'm not sure he's wrong

00:13:36.800 there there might be some impact on um but it would be irrational you know the rational thing

00:13:45.000 to do would be to you know make sure you vote and at least nail that down and then also work on

00:13:51.100 election integrity here's some advice for trump if he wants to win if trump wants to win

00:13:58.100 let go of 2020 and make it about fixing election integrity for the next president the one after him

00:14:08.720 make it about the president after you and you can be our president again

00:14:15.340 right i mean i i think many of you probably have the same feeling i do which is i'm not so sure we

00:14:26.220 want somebody of this age trump's age uh and somebody who's as provocative and you know could be as

00:14:33.860 divisive as he could be i'm not sure you all want that if it turns out he's the best option i could

00:14:40.240 probably support it again but i don't know that he will be i don't know that the the primaries will

00:14:46.360 necessarily produce him as the candidate he certainly has the you know the front position and

00:14:52.780 it's his to lose but you know he'd just have to say something a little extra provocative maybe and

00:15:00.240 maybe it's over so um i'm not sure this is his best move his best move would be to say you elect me

00:15:08.860 and i will make it a top priority to make sure that the next election you don't have any questions

00:15:14.900 about just elect me overwhelmingly get the republicans in there and our top priority will be to fix the

00:15:21.800 election system do you know why that probably won't happen because the republicans don't want

00:15:27.200 to fix it there are probably too many states where the republicans have some kind of weird advantage

00:15:34.060 and they just want to keep it so as long as there are some states that like the broken system the way

00:15:39.940 it is i don't know if you can get anything done but i would certainly be more likely to support

00:15:45.620 trump or any anybody who ran on this platform to say we can't fix it that you know it's too soon to

00:15:51.940 fix it right away but it's got to be a national priority we will figure out how to make and here's

00:15:57.880 the specific way to do it don't just say make elections fair because that's just too subjective who

00:16:03.580 knows what that means be very specific that by year 2028 we'll have a system in which we can

00:16:11.480 instantly audit and you will know if your if your vote was counted how about that just a very specific

00:16:19.120 goal to have an instant audit so everybody can find out if their vote got counted by 2028 i would

00:16:27.380 elect that guy or that woman whoever whoever comes up with that view in fact i'll even go further

00:16:33.920 you want you want something really provocative that'll lose half of my audience right now

00:16:39.440 if a democrat runs on that platform i'm gonna i'm gonna support him

00:16:43.880 sorry top priority top priority if a democrat runs on the platform of making our voting

00:16:54.380 instantly auditable to get rid of all this uncertainty i will support that democrat and i don't care what

00:17:01.880 the other policies are is that is that clear enough i don't care what the party is i don't know who

00:17:08.720 care who the candidate is if they look like they could deliver that fix the elections i will i will

00:17:14.580 wipe from my mind all the other stuff because i don't think they can necessarily push through you

00:17:20.700 know socialism i don't think that's gonna happen i think there will be enough pushback that you know

00:17:27.120 there won't be massive problems even the infrastructure bill couldn't get passed so i'm not

00:17:32.060 too worried about things getting out of control no matter who's who's president but if you give me this

00:17:38.840 one thing just give me the one thing fix the elections make them and i'm good because everything

00:17:47.080 else depends on that right if you can't be sure that you elected the person you elected everything

00:17:53.480 else falls falls apart give me one thing make it good and you've got my support it's not going to

00:18:00.640 happen don't worry about it nobody's going to run on that i guarantee nobody's going to run on that

00:18:05.680 platform all right um i ran through my what i call my fake news filter um i probably need to retweet

00:18:15.060 that link every now and then so it's a right now it's just a google sheets page with a essentially

00:18:21.260 a checklist of things to ask yourself to know whether your news is fake news i ran through it a

00:18:27.760 few stories that we don't yet have the conclusive evidence for whether it's true or not but the one i ran

00:18:34.900 through was the story about the uh transgender sexual assault in lewdown county now the part i'm

00:18:43.480 not questioning is that a sexual assault occurred everybody hear that everybody hear that clearly

00:18:49.900 i'm not i'm not skeptical that a sexual assault occurred i don't know that it did it's just that's

00:18:57.200 not the topic i'm questioning the topic i'm questioning is the nature of the assailant

00:19:02.900 was the assailant wearing a skirt or a dress i guess some some like let's say skirt was the 0.76

00:19:12.860 assailant wearing a skirt to quote gain access to the women's room as part of the raping plot

00:19:20.300 sexual let's say sexual assault and um i think it's fake news i think it's fake news and so today

00:19:31.260 now that a little time has gone by i thought i'll i'll google and i'll ask people do we have any

00:19:37.820 confirmation that the assailant was wearing um a skirt do you know there isn't any right do you know

00:19:47.320 there's no confirmation in anything that would be credible of the student who is the assailant the

00:19:54.720 alleged assailant wearing a skirt somebody says goalpost no no i'm i have never questioned

00:20:04.680 whether an assault took place because i'm very much on the point of view that if a if a woman or a man

00:20:11.580 reports an assault that i wasn't there so i take that seriously which doesn't mean it happened

00:20:19.560 i'm just not doubting it okay so it's different to say that it's credible than it is to say that

00:20:26.400 it's true so i would say that any any initial report of a sexual assault is credible at first

00:20:33.440 right so i would treat it most seriously at first

00:20:36.440 the part that i question because and and let me say this as clearly as possible i'm never going to

00:20:44.240 question an initial claim of a sexual assault on this or anything else so that's not the topic

00:20:51.520 the topic is is it really about somebody who was wearing a skirt to get raping privileges not

00:21:00.180 privileges but raping access so here's the closest thing we can find to that alleged assailant

00:21:08.140 wearing a skirt it's a boy who was sometimes known to wear a skirt

00:21:16.420 not a trans so here's the first part of the story did you believe that it was about a uh a trans

00:21:25.720 person the reporting is not that it's a trans person the reporting is that it's a boy this is what

00:21:34.740 the news says now do you think that the news is insulting the trans community by calling

00:21:40.780 a trans person a boy in a girl's dress do you think that the news the woke news is referring to

00:21:49.840 it as a boy in a dress knowing that if it's really a trans kid that is not the way you're going to refer

00:21:57.280 to it i said it let me apologize for that that's not why you're going to uh not how you're going to

00:22:03.480 refer to the situation it being the situation not the person um we do not have confirmation

00:22:11.240 that this student was wearing a skirt during the assault it is somebody who is known to wear

00:22:17.900 a skirt how often do you think this person wore a skirt

00:22:22.360 um that was the veterinarian for my cat i'll have to get back on that

00:22:35.280 all right the assault is what matters not the skirt yes and no so somebody's saying what matters is the

00:22:45.740 assault not the skirt yes and no what matters to the victim is the assault and what you know

00:22:52.860 certainly society cares about the assault more than anything but the skirt part is what made it a 1.00

00:22:58.720 national story it's not a national story because somebody got assaulted that's unfortunately every

00:23:04.400 day it's the skirt that made it a story i'm only doubting that part of the story because it was

00:23:10.440 too on the nose right so keep in mind and and let me see if this is true give you another fact check

00:23:19.260 on this am i the only sort of you know national figure you know somebody who's got some kind of a

00:23:26.580 platform am i the only person who's questioning the story the skirt part of the story i haven't seen

00:23:33.160 anybody else do it yeah i might be the only person in the world who's questioning it

00:23:39.240 um was a permitted to be in the bathroom no no don't you think that the school would have already told

00:23:50.620 you let me ask you this if it had been an actual trans student who had actual access to the girls

00:24:00.500 bathroom i feel like we would have heard that by now don't you and by the way was there a lock on

00:24:09.380 the girls bathroom i feel like anybody could open the door and walk in i don't know if the skirt part 1.00

00:24:14.300 was important all right enough about that so i'm still doubting that one i could be wrong so i asked

00:24:21.140 this question on twitter um why is it so we've got all this uh truck shortage in la so the ports are

00:24:29.440 all backed up for weeks or whatever because there aren't enough trucks to unload the goods and then

00:24:35.720 distribute them to which i ask why is the cost of all the every other good that they're carrying

00:24:43.660 in other words all the things they're shipping the price will go up because of shortage why is it

00:24:49.920 uh you're blowing off the vet oh no i'm not blowing off the vet i'll get back to the vet uh in a minute

00:24:59.140 um i thought you meant veteran but it was the vet veterinarian you were talking about

00:25:05.640 and so why is it that uh supply and demand doesn't work for truck drivers

00:25:10.460 supply and demand works for all the things on the truck

00:25:14.540 but not the driver so we have a shortage of drivers but the price we're willing to pay them

00:25:22.260 is not going up fast enough to get more drivers and how long does it take to train a truck driver

00:25:28.100 yeah i see you say training seriously how long does it take to train a truck driver

00:25:34.320 i'm just asking i would think two weeks i would think two weeks and we didn't see the problem

00:25:43.960 developing in time to train some truck drivers now i've also heard that it's a combination of things

00:25:50.720 that uh i guess california had some restrictions about green stuff etc that made uh fewer people be

00:25:58.320 able to have a truck you have to have a newer truck you gotta have a lot of insurance the pay is low

00:26:03.880 i guess the pay for a truck driver hasn't increased in forever but maybe it is a little bit now

00:26:09.140 so i just have questions why we have such poor visibility on what the hell is going on

00:26:14.940 now i get that it's a complex system and it doesn't take much to to bunch it up maybe it's just a shortage

00:26:22.840 of trucks but i feel like there's something else going on so the biden administration um somehow was

00:26:29.300 instrumental in getting the port to open up for more hours so they could just work overnight as

00:26:34.860 well as during the day to which i said what are you telling me the the docks were not already 24 hours

00:26:43.260 what what did you know that the docks didn't already work around the clock

00:26:51.760 they're they're lined up for weeks and only and only today somebody said you know

00:26:57.780 if we work more hours

00:27:01.720 really we're just figuring that out seems pretty massively incompetent i'm sure the unions were part

00:27:10.560 of it i'm sure there were god knows what regulations but uh i feel like trump could have

00:27:16.440 fixed that faster do you run into problems all the time where you say to yourself i think trump could

00:27:22.980 have done that no matter what criticisms you want to level at trump and um oops you cannot plan for this

00:27:33.160 amount of volume all right i'm looking at this so we have a logistics professional

00:27:38.560 who says you can't you can't plan for the increase in volume well what caused that increase

00:27:48.100 the the increase is not um so i i see the comment but i understand the comment

00:27:58.400 but you can i think you can can't you what is it that caused the gigantic increase in imports

00:28:07.820 we didn't see that coming

00:28:09.540 backlog from the pandemic so basically all it is is that the pandemic is over and there's suddenly more

00:28:20.240 demand for stuff um but to the logistics uh expert here i'm you know i certainly hear what you're

00:28:31.240 saying and i understand the basic point it's a complex system if you get a shock it just takes a

00:28:37.180 while for the system to adjust but only today they figured out to work more hours right we're not

00:28:45.320 talking about the hardest solutions in the world get some more temporary trucks do you think that

00:28:52.200 the state and the federal government can't say temporarily hey we'd like you to have these very

00:28:58.900 green trucks that are new we'd like you to have a certain amount of insurance or whatever but it's

00:29:04.240 an emergency so if you've got something with four wheels bring it over here we'll we'll fill it up

00:29:09.880 you don't you don't think that we could have figured out some way to get some extra trucks going

00:29:14.340 i feel like trump would have made that happen don't you i know i somebody had some kind of

00:29:23.220 regulatory complication there that was holding it up national guard i don't know about the national

00:29:30.260 guard but i don't think they could ship enough to make a difference well there was a man in norway

00:29:35.860 who killed five people with a bow and arrow in a mass what would you call it mass arrowing

00:29:42.940 is it a mass shooting if he uses a bow and arrow i'm going to call it a mass arrowing

00:29:49.260 um and i have mixed feelings about this and i'm not proud of it

00:29:56.900 um number one this is a horrible tragedy and we of course have to think first of all of the victims

00:30:04.340 horrible horrible tragedy you imagine this imagine i mean i can't even imagine being

00:30:09.400 part of this so on one hand it's the worst it's just a horrible tragedy and our thoughts go with the

00:30:16.860 victims

00:30:17.220 on the other hand i'm always impressed by good work no matter where i see it

00:30:25.860 and here's a guy who managed to actually kill five people how fast and how accurate do you have to be

00:30:37.440 with a bow and arrow to get five people before the crowd can get to him

00:30:43.600 and after the first person got hit with an arrow

00:30:47.860 weren't people saying hey hey where'd that arrow come from it's over there hey he's loading up another

00:30:56.380 arrow i can see why he would get a second person but how did the fifth person not figure out how to

00:31:06.200 get out of arrow range and how quickly can you shoot five arrows i mean it must have been like you know

00:31:13.020 who is who's that superhero on uh the avengers hawkeye yeah it looks like hawkeye you know

00:31:20.480 i mean you can't even do it on tv without fast forwarding it with cgi

00:31:27.200 now it could be that um people were falling over dead

00:31:32.860 and nobody could figure out where it was coming from for a while

00:31:37.740 somebody says five arrows in 30 seconds

00:31:40.960 is that what a oh high capacity quiver is that a thing

00:31:46.020 is there a high capacity quiver well you're joking right

00:31:50.400 um oh he killed old people 0.99

00:31:53.800 yeah it maybe the fact that it was silent and the old people were just probably crumbling 1.00

00:32:01.380 yeah it probably took the full 30 seconds for people to figure out even what was going on

00:32:06.380 if you'd heard a shot you would have immediately known what was happening and people would have

00:32:11.040 dispersed that probably is right so i think and there was some report that

00:32:15.660 this person was recently radicalized to islam um but uh that's a weird one well the funniest and 1.00

00:32:27.340 best entertainment of the week is joe rogan had sanjay gupta on have you seen the clips

00:32:32.340 uh so sanjay gupta is the the medical uh professional on cnn and uh i'll tell you

00:32:43.380 based on the clips i saw this is some good stuff so let me give you some highlights from this

00:32:47.640 so as you know famously uh joe rogan got covid and he took uh ivermectin among other things

00:32:55.380 so uh all prescribed by doctors and cnn and others decided to say that uh joe rogan was taking horse

00:33:03.620 dewormer now you i don't have to explain to you that the drug ivermectin was designed for people

00:33:11.060 and it won a nobel prize and it works great for people but there's also an animal version

00:33:16.020 so cnn saying that joe rogan was taking you know horse dewormer is fake news and there's no other

00:33:25.760 way to say it it's just fake news and so he challenges sanjay gupta you know during the interview

00:33:33.360 he says uh this is a quote from rogan talking to sanjay gupta he says does it bother you that the

00:33:40.060 network you work for uh out and out lied just outright lied about me taking horse dewormer

00:33:47.040 and i think uh sanjay was not quite you know ready to defend everything that other people had said

00:33:55.280 on the network because it's not something he said so there's no indication that sanjay gupta

00:34:00.340 ever referred to it that way and and you know he's more credible than most people there

00:34:05.400 uh and then joe said uh why would they lie and say that's horse dewormer rogan asked 0.99

00:34:12.240 and then i love this rogan asked he says i can afford people medicine motherfucker 0.98

00:34:17.700 it's ridiculous i can afford people medicine 0.99

00:34:22.000 i don't know why that's so funny i can i can afford people medicine

00:34:30.320 i don't actually i don't know why that's funny

00:34:39.080 but it is i guess that's why he's he's a professional 0.72

00:34:45.260 um he says it's ridiculous it's just a lie don't you think that a lie like that is dangerous 0.61

00:34:52.360 on a news network when you know that they know they're lying you know that they know they're lying 0.91

00:34:58.320 this is what rogan says uh he says do you think that's a problem that your news network lies

00:35:05.820 that's freaking brutal the the best part about this is that there's no question on facts

00:35:12.920 there's nothing that cnn can say that's like well you know we were sort of right no you weren't

00:35:20.280 sort of right it was an intentional lie every time they said it was an intentional lie

00:35:25.660 it wasn't sort of right it wasn't a horse dewormer so and then he goes on he says this is joe rogan

00:35:35.400 still he goes my point is you're working for a news organization if they're lying about a comedian

00:35:40.700 taking horse medication what are they telling us about russia

00:35:44.380 what are they telling us about syria

00:35:49.840 do you understand that that's why people get concerned about the veracity of the news

00:35:57.400 oh my god that's about as perfect as as an attack can be um i always feel sorry

00:36:06.120 when somebody who's in one profession let's say the medical profession sanjay gupta

00:36:12.260 comes up against somebody who's in uh who's one of the most famous capable people in the world

00:36:20.100 as saying short clear uh jabbingly insightful things and that's the sort of what made joe rogan joe rogan

00:36:32.520 that he can talk better than other people can talk you know he just communicates in a

00:36:38.120 in a nuclear powered way that just ordinary people just don't do and so this was sort of like not a

00:36:45.020 fair fight so it's kind of funny but

00:36:48.080 here is something that surprised me so given joe rogan's the size of his uh audience uh i believe

00:36:57.860 he said when he was talking to sanjay that you know he was questioning the purpose of the vaccination

00:37:02.880 if you can get and transmit the virus just as easily if you're vaccinated which turns out not

00:37:09.740 to be anywhere near true so it turns out that joe rogan was under the impression that the

00:37:15.900 vaccination would not vastly reduce the odds of getting the virus or and also the odds of transmitting

00:37:22.680 it so that is a really really big piece of information to not be aware of if you have a if you have a

00:37:30.860 platform right now this is a criticism this is a criticism of uh joe who i love by the way big fan

00:37:38.700 and i don't think that we should expect the non-medical people to be right on all the medical stuff

00:37:45.000 that's not a thing but here he was here here was joe with with gigantic platform and he was corrected

00:37:53.520 on a really really fundamentally important fact that that the vaccination vastly reduces the odds of getting

00:38:02.460 infected and and also reduces by a large amount the odds of giving it to somebody else and of course reduces the

00:38:10.260 odds of having a bad outcome i feel it would be interesting to see if rogan takes this new information

00:38:17.520 and does what only somebody like him could do there there are some people who just have powers that

00:38:24.580 other people don't have and he hasn't an ordinary person would have to bury that and just act like

00:38:31.900 it didn't happen you know because it would be embarrassing to be that wrong on something that

00:38:37.200 important i mean vital to the health and well-being of the country i mean it's really

00:38:40.860 really super important so will joe reagan take this new information that sanjay gupta um gave him

00:38:50.620 and incorporate that in his future conversations about the topic

00:38:55.880 now people are asking if it's true it's true that the medical community um feels it's confirmed

00:39:05.760 i guess that's different than being true it's true that the experts are pretty sure of that based on

00:39:11.700 the data they're they're very confident of that that's doesn't seem to be one of the things that

00:39:16.680 there's a lot of question about so i would love oh and then then uh rogan asked a perfectly good

00:39:25.420 question which is why do people with natural immunity have to get vaccinated it's a good question right

00:39:31.140 don't you wonder that that too what's wrong with my natural immunity so here's another thing that

00:39:37.520 sanjay gupta knew that joe rogan didn't know and i didn't know it either that uh natural immunity

00:39:43.200 doesn't work uh 30 to 40 percent of the time what did you know that did you know that 30 to 40 percent

00:39:52.280 of the time people who actually get the virus can actually just get it again how many of you knew that

00:39:59.580 how many knew that you can get the virus and then just get it again because you didn't get enough

00:40:04.680 immunity the first time now in the same way that you can get the vaccination and also get the virus

00:40:12.400 but you're far more likely to get the virus a second time according to sanjay gupta far more likely to get

00:40:19.900 it a second time if you um are only have natural immunity is that a good reason now let's take for

00:40:29.480 take for a moment if the information is correct is would it be a good reason now i can't confirm the

00:40:35.260 data but i'd say sanjay gupta is pretty close to the real data nobody's let me say this as far as i

00:40:42.760 know nobody has ever accused sanjay gupta of lying about data right they all agree on that sanjay gupta

00:40:50.720 despite the fact he's on cnn is a credible credible person you might not like it but he's credible

00:40:58.900 and i don't think he has any background that would suggest he would do anything but you know report what

00:41:04.060 he what he believed he he knew based on the facts so that's actually a i see actually a really good answer

00:41:12.000 the really good answer is that natural immunity is great when it works but you can't depend on it

00:41:17.940 it's not nearly as good as being natural immunity plus a vaccination now i do think that that might

00:41:24.900 be the sort of thing that gets revised later it might be the sort of thing where people say oh well

00:41:30.160 we're wrong about this we have to revise that maybe i think it's in the category of things that might

00:41:34.640 be revised someday but it's a good it's a good answer all right here's another one joe rogan brought

00:41:41.840 up the myocarditis in kids from getting the shot now you're all aware that especially young boys i

00:41:49.520 think are more likely to get myocarditis which is some kind of enlargement of the heart it's treatable

00:41:56.740 they're pretty much all released you know within i think a day or something so almost nobody dies

00:42:03.940 so even the kids who get this it doesn't seem to be a death sentence it's just something that

00:42:09.020 is inconvenient for a day or so um but did you know that the risk of getting that myocarditis is

00:42:16.580 far higher if you get the virus there's a risk of getting it with the vaccination that that's a known

00:42:24.280 risk sanjay gupta you know acknowledges but the risk of getting it if you don't get the shot

00:42:30.780 is higher because basically we're all going to get the virus eventually how many of you knew that

00:42:35.820 john says it's a lie somebody says no bad assumption so you're you're skeptical of the the fact then

00:42:46.220 right right said who so here's here's what i would challenge you with and you can you can uh you can

00:42:57.500 challenge me right back so so search for this do a do a google search yourself see and again i'm only

00:43:06.400 saying what what the expert opinion would be i'm not telling you this is my opinion i'm not telling

00:43:11.140 you it won't change i'm not telling you it's right i'm just telling you it's the expert opinion at the

00:43:16.120 moment is that the data says you're a much much higher chance of the myocarditis if you're not

00:43:21.640 vaccinated and you're a kid now those are three really really important facts wouldn't you say

00:43:30.940 now again i say facts but maybe some of them will will be revised at some point maybe we'll learn more

00:43:37.520 i think that joe rogan was short three really really important facts am i right so the way this

00:43:47.840 is being reported is that you know rogan dunked on um cnn more than sanjay gupta uh and that's true

00:43:56.380 he he did dunk on cnn and he did it really well and it was fun to watch but um i think the discussion

00:44:06.360 with sanjay gupta was really really good because you know people watching joe rogan probably are

00:44:13.860 leaning you know anti-vax is that true check your facts somebody says i'm asking you to check them

00:44:21.500 i've got a good source sanjay gupta so argue with him don't argue with me because remember i'm not

00:44:29.460 saying it's true you don't need to argue with me i'm saying that a person who surveys what the

00:44:35.420 experts say says the experts say it i can't confirm it so don't get mad at the messenger i feel like

00:44:41.640 some of you are getting mad at me are you getting mad at me because i'm not making any claims i'm

00:44:48.000 just telling you what other people are claiming don't get mad at me i'm just telling you what the

00:44:53.040 landscape is um so i would like to say again that uh joe rogan show it's like a you know national

00:45:02.980 treasure because it is at least it's one place where people are not trying to lie

00:45:07.600 the one thing you could be sure about with uh rogan is he's not trying to lie i'd be serious he's

00:45:15.260 definitely not trying to mislead anybody about anything you you agree with that right like you

00:45:21.440 watch cnn and you're you're like i think they're trying to lie it looks intentional doesn't it but if

00:45:27.380 rogan is wrong about something he's just he's just us because we're wrong about stuff too but he's

00:45:34.020 not lying to you at least you know that now look at look how valuable this is i i always see the

00:45:41.480 the glass half full look how valuable this conversation was this is the first time that

00:45:49.600 there was something like a polite detailed conversation between somebody who's a little

00:45:54.600 you know i'll say a little bit skeptical about the vaccines or at least the mandate part of the vaccines

00:45:59.080 and somebody who had a little bit more information doesn't mean it was right but it was more

00:46:05.700 information and this was really valuable i feel i learned i feel like i learned a lot of this so i would

00:46:16.300 like to say um my highest compliments to both joe rogan and to uh sanjay gupta dr gupta for in my

00:46:28.380 opinion the most useful information exchange in the entire pandemic would you agree with that i think

00:46:36.900 this was the most productive most honest most useful conversation on this topic that i've seen so far

00:46:46.360 so compliments to both people they did great uh apple's uh looking into making their airpods

00:46:53.220 into a health device so i guess they can turn their airpods into a hearing aid without you know too much

00:47:00.460 work it could read body temperature monitor your posture and of course there are other other things

00:47:07.080 that you could do with your phone and other sensors so apple's apple's pretty serious about this health

00:47:12.780 stuff um somebody's asking me does rogan have an egg on his face let me go back to the importance of

00:47:25.460 being free of embarrassment now i can't speak for him because i can't get inside his head but does it

00:47:32.640 look like joe rogan is somebody who gets embarrassed easily i mean everybody can be embarrassed but does he

00:47:39.000 look like the guy who's going to crawl under a rock if he said something was wrong no no so when you say

00:47:48.360 stuff like you know you know does joe rogan have egg on his face or is he embarrassed or anything like

00:47:52.780 that i'll bet no i'll bet no because it's an unproductive emotion and i would imagine he's beyond it

00:48:00.320 i would imagine he's more like what do you do about it what works you know think about tomorrow night

00:48:06.720 yesterday kind of thing that's that's just my guess i can't can't get inside his head of course

00:48:11.020 you know what's interesting about this apple thing is there's a an app called translate that

00:48:19.300 translates from english into any other language and or into the major ones and vice versa and it works

00:48:25.540 really fast it works really fast let me show it to you uh well i don't need to show it to you

00:48:33.180 just imagine it's fast now imagine also that you've got your app up and you've got your air

00:48:39.060 your airpods in how hard is it to have your phone just translate in real time just hold it up to the

00:48:46.660 speaker and have it just translate like a like a star trek universal translator it'd be a delay

00:48:52.480 but with 5g you know if you put uh let's say you put uh amazon's you know cloud computing on it or google

00:49:02.240 and you you give me 5g speed so it's essentially instant and i just hold it up to a native speaker

00:49:09.840 of spanish i think it could translate i think it could translate in real time couldn't it could get

00:49:16.760 really close real time maybe a two or three second delay something like that uh been doing that

00:49:25.440 since 2017 yeah i you it's it's it's been doable for several years but not really well it hasn't

00:49:33.560 reached that you know good good level yet but it's almost there 5g will be a big part of that

00:49:38.160 but here's a provocative thought that i put out there in the beginning all these little uh health

00:49:43.660 apps are going to be useful you know something will say uh hey you better take a drink of water

00:49:50.240 because you're dehydrated now the first time your phone tells you to take a drink of water because

00:49:55.240 you're dehydrated you might say to yourself i'm busy yeah i'll get to it but sometimes you might take

00:50:02.580 the drink of water and then you say to yourself oh wow i do feel better that perked me up a little

00:50:08.480 bit i guess this this app was right i needed to get some water eventually the app will be so useful

00:50:16.240 that it will feel you just like you can't say no there will very quickly become a point where your

00:50:25.100 your health apps train you to do what they tell you it's going to tell you to take a walk it's going

00:50:31.620 to tell you to go to sleep it's going to tell you what to eat it's going to tell you to eat less of

00:50:35.460 it's going to tell you to sit up it's going to tell you to hydrate it's going to tell you when to

00:50:39.780 take your pills and at first it's just going to be convenient it's just going to be convenient

00:50:47.220 uh but eventually it will just control you because it will train you like a dog

00:50:54.140 to do whatever it tells you because if you follow the directions of the ai long enough

00:51:00.060 it will train you to do the next thing it tells you because you get in the boat it's like oh my ai

00:51:06.600 told me to take a drink take a drink it works every time it's good for me i'm not doing it because the

00:51:12.280 ai told me i'm doing it because it's good for me we are going to be trained like dogs to respond to ai

00:51:20.780 and we'll do it to ourselves because we don't think it's that important you just think you're doing

00:51:26.920 what makes sense yeah i'm dehydrated it told me i took a drink eventually you'll do anything it

00:51:32.260 tells you because it's been right so far

00:51:34.740 all right uh texas versus uh the federal government and joe biden so texas governor has uh banned uh

00:51:48.460 any vaccine mandates in in texas but of course the federal government says

00:51:53.400 um says the opposite so southwest and americans are both going to follow the uh the federal

00:52:00.400 guideline not the state guideline an interesting fight an interesting fight so not much to say

00:52:09.400 about that except uh we'll watch that develop and i feel like i don't know i feel like the market

00:52:17.840 should be taking care of this um hopefully it'll go to the supreme court yeah maybe federal mandate

00:52:28.440 has not been issued just stated but i think the companies probably want to get ahead of it

00:52:33.720 the companies would probably comply just on the statement before it's before it's official i would

00:52:39.640 think now does anybody know what percentage of pilots are uh walking out or or pretending they're

00:52:50.020 sick or whatever i don't know what percentage it is it's not a big percentage right somebody says 40

00:52:57.500 percent i don't think so 30 percent i think the number that would actually walk out would be less

00:53:04.860 than 10 percent and and if it's two percent that's not going to surprise me i don't feel like it's

00:53:13.540 30 or 40 i think it's going to be under 10 and closer to two all right here's a um sean says here's the

00:53:19.840 study group decided they say right in the study that the data is garbage and also that it doesn't show

00:53:25.900 causation see if i can open that up uh it doesn't show causation causation of of uh which topic

00:53:34.760 was that i can't open that right now but was the gupta study about the reinfection or about the

00:53:42.260 myocarditis

00:53:43.220 speed shooting is a regular part of archery makes sense

00:53:49.700 pilots are turning down overtime work it's not it's not a sickness or time off

00:54:02.500 uh many are close to retirement and maybe just using their sick leave before retiring i've heard

00:54:10.380 that yeah

00:54:11.960 uh gupta lied somebody says well did he lie or did he just refer to his studies and maybe the studies are

00:54:23.140 wrong um boo update i'll have that later all right that's all for now i've got to go do some other

00:54:32.820 things and i will talk to you

00:54:34.500 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 14, 2021

Episode 1529 Scott Adams： It's a Weird Day Full of Fake News and Strange Stories. Just the Kind We Like

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