Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1534 Scott Adams： Lots of Cognitive Blind Spots in the News Today. Goes Well With Beverage

00:00:00.000 Ba-ba. La-da-da-da-da. Whoa, look at that. YouTube didn't have a good picture, but now

00:00:08.300 that's fixed. It's showtime. Now, some people are saying I'm upside down, but I think that's

00:00:14.860 on the locals platform. But I think you move your machine around and you can fix that.

00:00:23.040 Yeah, other people are saying it's right side up, so I don't know what the deal is. Maybe

00:00:27.280 get out and refresh or something. Try doing that. Hey, EV33, what's that mean? Somebody's

00:00:36.200 telling me something about EV33. I don't know. Well, anyway, welcome to the best thing that's

00:00:43.700 ever happened in the history of things that happened. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams,

00:00:48.680 and you don't even have to have coffee to enjoy it in a way that, I don't know, a few things have

00:00:54.420 ever been enjoyed. I feel as if your pleasure capacity is being stretched a bit. That's

00:01:01.280 right. You started with whatever your existing capacity for pleasure was, and I stretched the

00:01:09.400 heck out of that thing. And now you can have a lot more pleasure. You'll notice it a little

00:01:13.860 bit later. But if you'd like to take it up a notch, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:01:18.840 a tank or chelsea, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite

00:01:22.780 liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of

00:01:29.960 the day, the thing that makes, watch this, everything better. Just everything. It's called

00:01:35.800 the Simultaneous Sip, and you're going to enjoy it right now.

00:01:45.020 Ah. Well, I'm seeing some indications in the comments that there might be a story I missed.

00:01:52.180 Something about ballot auditing? Is there a headline that just popped up about ballot auditing or

00:02:00.760 something? Oh, wait, what is that feeling? Oh, oh, my God. Yeah. Antibodies surging.

00:02:12.020 Surging antibodies. All right. We will not be talking about the quality of the audio,

00:02:17.900 no matter how small you do. Let's start with the fake news. I always like to tell you the fake news.

00:02:26.360 Remember that bow and arrow attack in Norway, in which five people were allegedly slain by a bow and

00:02:36.440 arrow attacker? And what did I say? What did I say about that story when I first heard it?

00:02:44.920 Hmm. That's some really fine arrow shooting right there.

00:02:50.000 I feel like it's hard to kill somebody with an arrow. Am I wrong? Because I feel like you could

00:02:58.260 put an arrow right through somebody. And with our modern medical stuff, most of them would probably

00:03:07.160 live. But when I heard that he had slain, you know, cleanly slain five people with arrows.

00:03:12.860 Did that sound like it was real from the start? From the very start, did you say to yourself,

00:03:20.500 there's something wrong with this story? Do you know what was wrong with the story? He used a knife,

00:03:26.860 not bow and arrow. Small difference. Small difference. So apparently he just knifed people to death,

00:03:34.740 which, you know, once you start, I guess it's easier to finish the job. But it never made sense that

00:03:41.920 arrows could kill five people before people could, you know, figure out what was going on.

00:03:46.880 That never really made sense to me. So it turns out the news has said, no, he did have a bow and

00:03:52.560 arrow and he did fire a few, but those were not the things that killed people. He took out his knife

00:03:57.220 because, surprise, it's really hard to kill people with a bow and arrow. Turns out that the attacker,

00:04:03.820 it turns out that the attacker found out exactly the first thing I thought, which is, gosh, it seems

00:04:13.120 like it'd be really hard to kill multiple people with a bow and arrow. Sure enough, sure enough,

00:04:18.520 it was hard, so he didn't do it. Weirdest story of the day, but also predictable if you're a hypnotist.

00:04:24.780 Apparently, a number of teens, and I think more girls and boys, are getting tick-like behavior,

00:04:34.260 meaning that they'll shout out a word or they'll have, you know, something like a tick, you know, T-I-C.

00:04:43.260 And where are they getting these ticks? Let me ask you, since you know we're living in a simulation

00:04:51.380 with lots of code reuse, the answer to the question is going to be something in code reuse.

00:04:58.740 Where do teens get ticks? Where do they get ticks? TikTok. I'm not making that up. That's the actual

00:05:09.060 story today, that professionals are saying that people are being influenced by people who have

00:05:18.300 Tourette's syndrome on TikTok, and they watch the various clips of people who have actual Tourette's

00:05:26.160 and have ticks. And, by the way, does everybody know what a tick is? Everybody knows what a tick is,

00:05:34.740 right? It's one of those words that if you haven't dealt with it, it's like you have an emotion,

00:05:40.280 let's say a motion, you can't stop, like a, you know, your body is moving involuntarily.

00:05:45.180 Or it could be something you shout out. I think they all count as ticks.

00:05:51.920 So you've got these teens who are watching these TikToks and getting ticks. So they got

00:05:56.060 a TikTok tick. I mean, what are the odds, really? Seriously, what are the odds that TikTok would

00:06:04.940 give people ticks? None of this can be real, right? Is there any chance this thing we call

00:06:14.660 reality is not scripted? I mean, maybe. Can't rule it out. But it sure looks like it's written,

00:06:24.140 doesn't it? I mean, it looks exactly like it's scripted. It's the weirdest thing. Now,

00:06:30.240 I'm sure that's just a psychological phenomenon that it looks like it's scripted. But it sure

00:06:35.620 looks like it looks like it. And now what do you think? Do you believe that kids can actually give

00:06:43.640 themselves a medical condition to rats? Do you think you can give somebody a medical condition

00:06:50.040 just by watching it? Yup. If you didn't think this was possible, then there's a level of

00:06:58.800 understanding about people that you need to get to. Yeah, this is really easy. In fact, you could do

00:07:06.200 videos on any medical condition, and it would induce it in some percentage of the people watching it.

00:07:12.240 Now, it might not induce the real one. You know, they don't have actual Tourette's. But you could

00:07:18.360 induce people to believe they had it pretty easily. Now, the reason that you don't believe this is

00:07:24.900 possible is that you think, well, it wouldn't happen to me. I mean, it's not going to happen to me. You

00:07:30.300 might be right. Because you're talking about millions of people looking at something. If hundreds out of

00:07:36.520 the millions have an effect, you know, most people don't have the effect. So probably it wouldn't

00:07:41.560 affect you. Odds are that any one of you would have no effect by watching this material. But there

00:07:48.540 are a lot of people who would. I got a comment on my tweet about this from a doctor. Thomas Talbot,

00:07:58.100 MD, he said, yup, I'd get, quote, multiple personality girl whose parents are requesting an MRI 0.96

00:08:05.800 MRI in the ER every time cable shows the film Sybil. So there's an old movie about a woman

00:08:13.900 who allegedly have multiple personalities. Whenever that shows on cable, people come in

00:08:19.800 and say, hey, my teenage daughter got multiple personalities. Check this out. And apparently

00:08:26.320 this happens so often that it's just well known by medical professionals. Now, how many of you

00:08:32.780 were surprised by that? Because I wasn't, was not surprised at all. Yeah, you shouldn't be surprised.

00:08:45.580 So I think many of you are well, well trained on that by now. Now, let me ask you this. If you know

00:08:51.460 that TikTok can induce a medical condition in some number of people, and you know that China owns and 0.99

00:08:59.920 controls TikTok. You know, the Chinese government has enough control that they can make them do 0.99

00:09:04.300 whatever they want. It's a Chinese company. And doesn't this suggest that China can control our

00:09:11.620 politics? How could you listen to this story and know that TikTok, by its algorithm, can induce

00:09:20.360 Tourette's, or Tourette's symptoms, not actual Tourette's. But it can induce Tourette's symptoms

00:09:27.720 in enough people that it's a news story. You don't think they can influence our politics from

00:09:34.180 from China through TikTok? They can. Maybe not this generation. I mean, the voting generation.

00:09:42.100 But they're definitely getting the next one. The next generation is going to be the TikTok voters. 0.99

00:09:48.760 And whatever influence they've had on TikTok is going to go with them into the voting booth.

00:09:53.820 So yeah, the Chinese government can program you. They now have the technology. Not every

00:10:00.020 one of you, but enough to change an election. Ted Cruz continues to be magnificent. Now, I'm

00:10:08.340 not the biggest Ted Cruz fan in the world. And I did not support him for president in the last

00:10:16.080 election. But he has many awesome qualities, which I like to call out. And he's also really good

00:10:26.080 at figuring out what he needs to correct and then correcting it. How many times have I told you

00:10:31.720 what problems Kamala Harris has? You know, the giggling too much and acting like she's having an 1.00

00:10:37.480 orgasm when she talks. Have you ever seen that Kamala Harris? She acts like she's having an orgasm when 1.00

00:10:43.980 she starts to answer a question. She levels off after she starts talking. But the first sentence 0.93

00:10:51.060 or two from Kamala Harris on any question will look like the beginning of an orgasm. You watch 0.91

00:10:56.640 it. You watch it. Yeah, I will do a demonstration. Thank you for begging for it. Yes, I am going

00:11:04.720 to do my impression of Kamala Harris answering any question whatsoever. How happy are you now?

00:11:11.460 Yeah, here it comes. I now give you my impression of Kamala Harris answering a question. What's

00:11:24.180 the weather look like today, Kamala? Sunny with a chance of clouds? Tell me I'm wrong. You watch her

00:11:41.160 the next time she gives an interview, but watch the first answer. All right. It's the way she starts

00:11:47.220 to the answer. It's not the way she ends it. She ends it normal, but she starts it like...

00:11:52.300 It's going to be cloudy today.

00:12:02.940 All right. So Ted Cruz, I believe I was talking about Ted Cruz, not Kamala Harris and her involuntary

00:12:10.460 orgasms while answering questions, but rather Ted Cruz being awesome. So he's introduced a Stop

00:12:18.920 the Surge Act that would open up 13 new immigration processing centers in different communities across

00:12:26.680 the country. That's very enlightened of him. You really wouldn't expect that of Ted Cruz,

00:12:32.020 would you? You know, you think of Ted Cruz as sort of an anti-immigration, I mean illegal immigration,

00:12:39.420 not anti-immigration, not anti-immigration. Nobody's anti-immigration. People can be anti-illegal

00:12:44.960 immigration for sure. But that's very enlightened, and you don't really expect that from a Republican,

00:12:51.520 do you? Did I leave anything out? Is there any context missing from the story? Oh, yes. There's a

00:12:59.180 little context missing from the story. These 13 new immigration processing centers will not be

00:13:05.660 in places near the border who are getting completely screwed by their government. No, no, these new centers

00:13:14.500 will be in places like Martha's Vineyard. Martha's Vineyard, an excellent place to process hundreds of

00:13:22.860 thousands of illegal immigrants. Also, Governor's Island in New York, Palo Alto, New York, and I think

00:13:29.660 Bernie Sanders town in Vermont. So he picked 13 places where the elites don't ever have to worry

00:13:37.760 about too much immigration, and he wants to open up immigration centers in their towns.

00:13:44.280 Now, what are the odds that this act will be passed? Well, zero, right? I mean, there's no way it's going to

00:13:50.280 be passed, but that was not really the point of it, it wasn't. The point of it was to make a point.

00:13:55.680 How well did Ted Cruz make this point? National news? At least Fox News is covering it. I don't

00:14:04.260 think it's on CNN. So it's national news, and it absolutely makes the case. I'll tell you, I still

00:14:13.220 don't know, you know, I don't know if Ted Cruz would be a good or bad president someday. I expect you might

00:14:19.240 see a president, Ted Cruz. I feel like that's in the future. I don't know when, but I feel like he's

00:14:25.780 sort of an obvious one. He might get a turn. You know, there are half a dozen people you think,

00:14:30.660 well, they probably all get a turn. I think he's in the half dozen who might get a turn someday.

00:14:37.320 This is just awesome. I love watching Ted Cruz interrogate witnesses in Congress.

00:14:44.040 No matter what you think of him as a politician, watching him do his lawyer kind of talent stack

00:14:52.540 is just really fun, because he's so good at it. And this is just great. This is just great

00:14:59.320 persuasion, great communication, great politicking, great republicaning. Everything about this is good.

00:15:06.600 There's nothing bad about this. This is a 100% win for Ted Cruz, and obviously he doesn't expect it

00:15:13.820 to be passed. But here's the interesting thing. The midterms are coming up. The midterms are coming

00:15:23.020 up. And the prediction is, I think the Republicans only need to flip five seats, right, to get control

00:15:32.060 of Congress. And typically it flips 25 in an off year when you've got a president from the other

00:15:40.420 party, he is in power, blah, blah. So typically we'd expect 25. And a number of people have already

00:15:46.160 announced, a number of Democrats have already announced retirements. So we already have enough

00:15:52.100 people retiring that if things just sort of went normally, Republicans would take control.

00:15:57.520 Do you think Ted Cruz will circle back on this? Maybe take another run at it?

00:16:06.020 Because I kind of like to see this law get passed, like in a real sense. I realize he's doing it just

00:16:12.880 for persuasion and communication, but let's really do it. Because this really would change things.

00:16:19.820 He's not wrong. He's not wrong that the problem here is that the people who don't have to suffer the

00:16:25.080 problem are the ones making the decisions. So he's saying maybe get you a little closer to the

00:16:31.040 problem, and you would make different decisions. He's not wrong. If you get the decision makers

00:16:36.660 closer to the problem, they will make different decisions. We know that just watching them try to

00:16:41.400 wear masks, right? As long as the decision makers don't have to wear masks themselves, they're fine

00:16:47.220 making you do it. But what happens when they have to wear masks? Don't always put them on, do they?

00:16:55.240 So he's right in every way on this.

00:17:00.060 More police are dying from coronavirus than from bullets. Like a lot.

00:17:05.040 Since the start of the pandemic, 476 police officers have died of COVID. That's a lot, isn't it?

00:17:20.820 Because it's not like the police have a ton of comorbidities compared to the regular public,

00:17:25.400 do they? I feel like police would be younger and on average more fit. You know, not all of them.

00:17:32.320 Somebody says they're overweight. But I don't think compared to the public. I don't know. So,

00:17:41.460 but only 94, which of course is still a tragically high number, died from gunfire in the same period.

00:17:49.560 So 476 died of COVID, 94 from gunfire. Now, is it fair to give us that context? Do you feel that

00:17:57.620 you learn something by that context? Well, I did. It's the first time I've sort of had a sense

00:18:05.300 of how many police officers are getting shot and killed and how many people are dying from COVID.

00:18:12.260 So I feel like it filled in, you know, some gaps. I'm not sure I needed it necessarily. It didn't

00:18:16.940 change any opinions. But here's my real question. Why are they only treating the police this way?

00:18:22.820 Why not do the same kind of context for, let's say, the black American public?

00:18:32.540 I'm kind of interested to see the same kind of treatment for black Americans.

00:18:38.420 Are more black Americans dying from COVID or from violence? Do you know? How many of you could 1.00

00:18:47.580 answer that question right now? Now, if you look in Chicago, it's probably more violence.

00:18:52.800 than COVID. But let's say you took the whole country. How many of you know the answer to that?

00:18:58.660 Are there more black citizens dying from COVID or from, let's say, gun violence?

00:19:10.360 Yeah, that's right. We. I remind you that I identify as black. 0.97

00:19:14.420 So we're talking about the group I identify with.

00:19:23.440 I'm seeing the comments. Nobody knows the answer to that question. Why not?

00:19:28.300 Why only the police we put in this context, but we don't put black America, which we know 0.99

00:19:34.420 is getting hit harder by the virus?

00:19:36.300 Now, I'm not saying it would change any decisions or anything, but I feel like John Cook says

00:19:44.460 you're not black. People on Locals, the people who are watching right now on YouTube, they're

00:19:55.560 saying I'm not black. Where have you been? Do you get to decide what I identify as? When did

00:20:04.720 that happen? My understanding is I'm the one who gets to tell you what I am, and you don't

00:20:09.800 get to say anything about that. Those are the rules. I didn't make them up. I'm only using

00:20:14.280 the rules. I'm using the rules as they exist. And you know what? I'm serious. I'm serious.

00:20:22.780 I identify as black because I've been discriminated against for my race continuously for decades.

00:20:30.800 And so I just feel some connection to people who have their life defined by discrimination.

00:20:39.120 That's completely fair. Now, is it true that I'm discriminated exactly the same way and have the

00:20:45.200 same life experience? Of course not. But it's not up to you to decide how I identify, is it? It's not up

00:20:51.800 to you. That's the only rule. It's not up to you. So I appreciate that you have a different opinion

00:20:59.400 about what I am or what I should identify as, but it's just not up to you. That's it.

00:21:05.880 All right. A tragic story happened, but it only affects me. Tragedy. On Celebrity Wheel of Fortune,

00:21:19.100 actress Melissa Joan Hart, who is famous for the Sabrina the Teenage Witch series that ran years

00:21:27.120 ago. So she competed on the Celebrity version of Wheel of Fortune and became the first contestant

00:21:33.080 to win a million-dollar prize. I think first celebrity, but also first contestant to win

00:21:40.020 a million-dollar prize in Celebrity Wheel of Fortune. Why is this a tragedy to me? Anybody?

00:21:46.520 Anybody? Anybody? Why is this a personal tragedy to me? Why does this story affect me? Does anybody

00:21:54.400 know? All right. I'll tell you the story. I, too, have appeared on Celebrity Wheel of Fortune.

00:22:03.080 But it was a local affiliate version. So in the Bay Area, and it didn't, it was not broadcast

00:22:11.340 outside the Bay Area. Years ago, I don't know, 20 years ago, 15 years ago, I appeared as a contestant

00:22:19.040 on Celebrity Wheel of Fortune. And my partner, because we were playing partners, I guess they'd

00:22:24.740 played partners so they could get more celebrities on there. So my partner was Melissa Joan Hart. 0.61

00:22:30.280 So I was partnered with Melissa Joan Hart on Celebrity Wheel of Fortune. We lost like dogs. That's right.

00:22:41.420 We lost badly. Now, I think I did okay. But Melissa was not, let's say, a strong player, if I can be kind.

00:22:51.100 She was not what you'd call a strong player. And we lost like dogs. But then she went on to win the 0.98

00:22:59.760 most money anybody's ever won on this same thing. To which I must ask myself,

00:23:05.500 was the problem her? Did we lose because of her? And now she's gone on to win the largest prize 1.00

00:23:20.880 ever in the same contest. Maybe it was me. Now, in my defense, she was very young when she was

00:23:34.920 partnered with me. And if you put, you know, basically, it's a trivia contest. In a sense,

00:23:40.560 it was like a trivia contest. Because you had to answer to the clues as well as what letters were up

00:23:46.520 there. So I don't think it's unfair to say that a young person is going to do worse in a trivia

00:23:53.420 contest. Do we all agree on that? A young person, generally, will do worse on a trivia contest just

00:24:01.240 because they haven't been around this long. So when I was paired with her, I was paired with a young

00:24:05.760 person. And who won the trivia contest slash Wheel of Fortune contest? The oldest competitors.

00:24:12.060 No surprise, right? The people had been around the longest. One of them was an NBA player who

00:24:19.120 retired. So he'd been around a while. And I think his team won. So the team that had just been around

00:24:23.940 the longest won. But anyway, it made me feel bad. Not really. It was just a fun connection.

00:24:31.480 Well, the Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters, you've heard of this before, it says that whenever there's

00:24:36.840 some, you know, planetary disaster coming toward us, but we have plenty of time to prepare for it,

00:24:44.000 we do okay. And we invent our way out of it. Did we have population out of control? No. We figured

00:24:51.100 out how to do, you know, population control. Did we run out of food? No. We invented tractors and

00:24:58.220 fertilizers and better ways to farm. Did we run out of fuel? No. Because we had time. And so we just

00:25:05.980 learned how to frack and make, you know, solar panels and stuff like that. So whenever we've

00:25:11.740 got time, we do fix it. We're very good at that. And of course, I've always predicted that

00:25:16.020 climate change would be a perfect example of this. That somebody would invent something,

00:25:23.820 maybe more than one person, would invent things that would get us out of any climate change

00:25:27.840 catastrophes, and there would be plenty of time. Well, today we learned that SpaceX engineers,

00:25:35.980 SpaceX, Tesla's company, I'm sorry, Elon Musk's company. Some of them, when they, I guess they

00:25:45.040 were working on designing small nuclear reactors for Mars, you know, because you would need power

00:25:51.000 on Mars if you want to settle it. And they learned how to make cheap portable nuclear ones or enough

00:25:57.500 that they thought they could make a startup and finish the job. And they have designed these

00:26:02.120 portable nuclear reactors. Now, so far, it's only designed, I think, on paper, but they're pretty

00:26:08.100 confident they can make them with fuel that doesn't melt down. And it will power a thousand

00:26:14.100 homes, the electricity for a thousand homes. And it looks like it's portable enough you can put it on

00:26:19.000 a truck. I mean, that's how I interpret it. I think that's what they mean by portable.

00:26:22.960 It would be a big truck, of course. So what do you think of that? If this is true, and it works,

00:26:33.000 and there's a startup that can really make small, completely safe, portable nuclear reactors,

00:26:38.540 I guess they have to be refueled every four to eight years or something. Everything's different.

00:26:43.180 It's all different. It changes everything. Nothing would be the same if this works. I'm not sure if

00:26:52.520 you all understand how big a deal this is. Not only is it like one of the biggest deals in the history

00:26:58.040 of humanity, but apparently it's easy to build. Now, when I say easy, I mean the people who are doing

00:27:06.260 it seem to think they can make it. They're not saying we have to solve some problem. They're saying,

00:27:12.920 yeah, we've got some patents. Give us a couple of years. We'll slap these together and start

00:27:17.980 selling them. Everything's different because of this. Now, it might not be this startup that makes

00:27:25.540 it work. Do you think it's the only startup working on small nuclear reactors? Nope. There's a bunch of

00:27:31.700 them. And maybe, yeah, in the comments, I'm saying maybe fusion someday, but that would be a little

00:27:36.900 bit further behind. So that's your good news. That's coming up. I keep being asked on Twitter,

00:27:49.520 what side I'm on? Talking specifically about vaccinations and pandemic. People asking what side

00:27:56.740 I'm on. What side I'm on? What? As far as I can tell, it looks like the virus against human beings.

00:28:09.360 Am I wrong? That the war that's going on is virus versus human beings? What do you think? I'm on the

00:28:16.080 side of the fucking virus? No, I'm on the side of human beings. Humans. I know this confuses you, 0.99

00:28:24.200 but I can't be on the side of people against a virus. Don't be confused about this. I'm on your

00:28:30.760 side. Unless there's a virus watching right now. Get off of your virus. Just people. Only people are

00:28:39.280 invited to watch this. No viruses. Now, I know what you mean. You're saying, oh, is he pro this or

00:28:45.280 anti that because you're pro this or anti that. I'm not pro or anti anything. I'm just following the

00:28:51.820 data wherever it goes. And it's changing. If you're not changing your opinion as the data is

00:28:57.600 changing, you have some explaining to do. If the data is changing and your opinion is staying the

00:29:03.820 same, you need to explain that. It's not up to me to explain it. You need to explain why your

00:29:10.900 opinion isn't changing as the data changes. Now, a lot of people are saying that the government was

00:29:18.520 lying to them and baiting and switching about these vaccinations that are not real vaccinations.

00:29:23.360 Let's call them COVID shots because they're barely vaccinations at all, according to your

00:29:28.200 strict definition of the word. So I asked the question, how many people, this is just a Twitter

00:29:33.820 poll, so it's highly unscientific. How many people think the government knew all along that these,

00:29:39.860 quote, vaccinations were more like a therapeutic? How many people think the government knew all along

00:29:46.500 that they would not be full vaccinations like some vaccinations are? 68% of the people who

00:29:54.540 follow me and saw that and decided to use it, the poll, said that the government was lying

00:30:00.080 all along and knew that the vaccinations would not be like regular vaccinations. 26% think that

00:30:07.380 the government was honest, but they just were wrong and they're just sort of doing the best

00:30:11.740 they can. And 7% no opinion. Here's my take on this. If the government was lying all along,

00:30:20.940 where are all the whistleblowers? Because this alleged lying, as opposed to just being wrong,

00:30:29.940 this alleged lying would involve a lot of people. A lot of people would be involved with the trials,

00:30:37.840 the testing, looking at the data. You'd have the FDA, the CDC, the government, you know, scientists all

00:30:44.300 over the place. I would think thousands of people are looking at this stuff. So no whistleblower coming out

00:30:52.960 and saying, you know, behind closed doors, we always knew, we always knew behind closed doors that this

00:30:59.580 wasn't going to work. But we decided to say it would because, you know, we just wanted you to take

00:31:07.440 the vaccinations. No whistleblowers. All right. So my view is that the government was simply too

00:31:15.600 optimistic. They were wrong and they're doing the best they can to adjust. So we hoped it would be

00:31:23.080 100% effective. It's not, but it does keep you from dying most of the time. That's pretty good.

00:31:28.160 That's pretty good. Now, people are accusing me of some kind of moving the goalposts or being wrong.

00:31:36.360 And the common comment I see about myself is that I'm embarrassed at how wrong I was in some prediction

00:31:45.240 about vaccinations. And therefore, I'm, you know, trying to backpedal and make myself look right in some way.

00:31:52.060 I would remind you that I believe only one public pundit as opposed to a scientist. I believe only

00:32:02.220 one public pundit at the beginning of the pandemic said to you, even after warp speed had begun,

00:32:09.500 I believe that only one person said to you, I don't think the vaccines will work,

00:32:14.120 but we're going to surprise ourselves at how good the therapeutics are. Who else said that?

00:32:19.120 I think I'm the only one. I heard nobody else say that. Now, why did I say that the vaccinations

00:32:25.240 would not work? I said it for the following reason, that I was aware because I followed the news

00:32:32.740 and the scientists told us that they'd been working on a coronavirus vaccination for, I don't know,

00:32:39.460 decades, and they weren't even close. You all knew that, right? Did you all know from the very

00:32:47.480 beginning that science had been trying to make a coronavirus vaccination for decades? I think it's

00:32:53.640 decades. And we're not even close. So why would you believe they could do it in one year?

00:33:01.260 Why would you believe that? That is not credible on its surface. Unless they had said,

00:33:08.240 unless they had said, we did invent this new thing just the other day. And so now everything's

00:33:15.020 different because of this new thing we invented just the other day. I didn't hear that. Did you?

00:33:21.180 Did anybody say, but here's the game changer. We got this idea and now this idea might be the

00:33:28.020 thing that changes everything? No. No. Well, the mRNA stuff is new, but I didn't hear anybody say,

00:33:35.640 we have therefore figured out how to solve coronavirus. Nobody connected those two thoughts.

00:33:41.520 Yes, it's new. But I did not hear anybody who is an expert say, we have this new technology. And

00:33:48.200 while we have not been able to solve a vaccination for decades, this new technology will be able to

00:33:53.440 do it. I didn't hear anybody say that. Did you? I'm not saying nobody said it, but I didn't hear it.

00:33:59.140 Somebody says I did. All right. So my point is that in theory, I should not have cognitive dissonance

00:34:06.720 in this situation. And I might be alone. I might be the only one, except for the scientists who knew.

00:34:13.500 Apparently, a lot of scientists knew that this vaccination would not be a complete solution.

00:34:19.120 But so when it turns out that our optimism about the vaccinations didn't come in, and rather they're

00:34:26.980 just pretty good. They're pretty good in a therapeutic sense or in a pre-therapeutic sense,

00:34:31.540 I guess. A prophylactic sense. But I'm not surprised because this is what I thought would

00:34:38.520 happen. This is exactly what I predicted. So since I don't have any trigger for cognitive dissonance,

00:34:45.760 you should assume that my view is the least biased in a very narrow sense on this just narrow question,

00:34:52.900 because I don't have a trigger. Everybody who thought it was going to go one way and then was

00:34:57.560 surprised, you've got a trigger. So you might have cognitive dissonance because there's a reason

00:35:03.900 to trigger it. I don't have a trigger. Now, I would also say that a person who has a trigger

00:35:11.280 probably thinks they don't have one either. So you would be a better judge whether I have a trigger

00:35:15.440 here or not. The whole point of cognitive dissonance is the person who has it doesn't know it.

00:35:19.620 So if I really did, right. So Sandra says, you're deluded. That's a fair assessment if you can find

00:35:28.000 my trigger. So I don't deny that I'm deluded because it would feel exactly the same to me

00:35:34.780 as if I were not, right? I wouldn't know. I'm not the worst. The only person who can't tell

00:35:41.880 is the person who has the delusion. Everybody else can see it, maybe. So look for my trigger. If you can

00:35:48.840 find one, then maybe you have a point. But if you can't find one, the smarter way to look at this

00:35:54.880 would be that, holy shit. So $100 comment says, I say, quote, I'm on the side of science. Right now, 0.99

00:36:07.660 the FDA is recommending people not get their antibodies checked after the Pfizer whistleblower

00:36:11.740 confirmed the vaccine wasn't 100% effective. Telling people not to get their antibodies checked

00:36:15.420 isn't following the science. Yeah. I'll give you that. I will give you that. I think the reason

00:36:24.420 this is just my speculation. I think the reason the government isn't using the tests as a proxy

00:36:31.800 or a replacement for or a substitute for vaccinations is that it's not practical

00:36:37.020 for everybody to do it, I guess. I'm just guessing there.

00:36:46.520 Don, Don, in the comments over here on YouTube, is questioning why somebody spent $100 to, I guess,

00:36:55.520 tip me or whatever it is, to get me to read that comment. Don, let me explain something to you.

00:37:01.220 Although $100 does not change my lifestyle, etc., I am completely influenced by it. You just

00:37:08.920 watched it. You don't think he got $100 worth? I just stopped the show in the middle to read

00:37:14.780 the $100 comment. That was worth $100 to whoever spent it. Obviously, they had $100 they didn't need.

00:37:21.620 Right. And it used to be liberals were anti-vax. Yeah. And that all just changed for reasons that

00:37:33.400 aren't clear. Maybe it was Trump. All right. Let's see. Katie Couric is working hard to destroy 1.00

00:37:45.680 whatever's left of her reputation. So she's got a new book out. And one of the outrages in the book 1.00

00:37:52.680 is that when she interviewed Ruth Bader Ginsburg, she took out a comment where Ginsburg had said

00:37:59.800 that people who take the knee at sporting events like Kaepernick, etc., are, quote, showing contempt

00:38:05.300 for a government that has made it possible for their parents and grandparents to live a decent life.

00:38:09.940 And Couric said that she took that out, she edited it out, because she thought that the

00:38:15.660 Justice Ginsburg, who was 83 at the time, was, quote, elderly and probably didn't fully

00:38:21.880 understand the question. Katie, Katie, can I speak to you for a moment? Personally? Can we talk?

00:38:38.420 Katie, correct me if I'm wrong, but you are in the news business, you know, ish.

00:38:45.660 Wouldn't that be the biggest story in the world? If one of the Supreme Court justices

00:38:51.480 was mentally incompetent to the point of not understanding a simple question? 0.88

00:38:57.460 Katie, if you believed that she was mentally incompetent at that level, couldn't understand 0.99

00:39:03.360 the question, that was the story. That's the story. Not the part about Colin Kaepernick and

00:39:13.140 dealing. I think you buried the lead. The lead story is that Katie Couric believed one of the

00:39:19.180 Supreme Court justices was mentally incompetent. And somehow that isn't the story today. Like,

00:39:26.580 literally, have you heard anybody even mention that? I'm probably the first person who said,

00:39:30.920 wait a minute, there's a story here about, you know, a national figure, Katie Couric,

00:39:36.200 who believed enough that Ginsburg was mentally incompetent that she hid it from her public. 0.52

00:39:43.160 You've got two gigantic stories here. One is that she buried the incompetence when she 0.99

00:39:48.520 witnessed herself, in her opinion, of Boehner's competence. And the second part of the story that

00:39:55.480 she buried it. She hid it from the public. What? Now, she says this is common. It's common for the

00:40:04.600 news to, you know, edit out, I don't know, what? Inconvenient things? Things that make the person

00:40:11.580 look bad? Wow. That's quite a story. Well, have you heard that the infrastructure bill is still

00:40:20.400 stalled? Another prediction that I feel quite proud about is that I think I'm the only person who told

00:40:28.720 you, again, the only person, as far as I know, the only person who told you the infrastructure bill

00:40:33.120 just would never get signed. And it looks like that's going to happen. Because I think we're

00:40:38.280 going to blaze into 2022 with no infrastructure bill. At which point, the Republicans are back in

00:40:46.000 charge, theoretically. And at which point, it's dead. So I don't know if anybody else said it will

00:40:53.320 never get signed. I think I'm the only one. Check me on that. But a new CBS poll found that only 10%

00:41:03.640 of respondents said they knew, quote, a lot about the specifics of what's in the $3.5 trillion spending

00:41:10.220 package. Pelosi agreed that they could do a better job of selling it, because only 10% understand it.

00:41:17.080 And she said the media has not done justice to the list of items in the bill. And it's hard to break

00:41:24.740 through when you have such a comprehensive package. Well, what is it I always say about Republicans,

00:41:32.240 and Trump in particular, that I say as a criticism about the Democrats? It's always the same thing.

00:41:39.240 Democrats consistently don't understand how human beings work. They don't understand human nature.

00:41:50.260 Do you think that Trump ever would have tried to sell a super complicated $3.5 billion package of

00:41:57.460 anything? Of anything? Hell no. Do you know why? Because Trump understands human nature. And he knows you

00:42:06.900 can't understand this. Now, he might try to sell it, you know, if he was trying to, you know, just maybe

00:42:13.980 get a defense package through and figures nobody's going to look at the details too much. I'm sure he

00:42:19.080 did that. But if it came to something where the public was actually interested enough to know the

00:42:24.760 details, he would have known you can't sell this. The Democrats put together a package which cannot be

00:42:32.360 sold to human beings. Let me say it again. The Democrats, slowly and methodically, and with lots

00:42:41.040 of time to do it, put together a thing they tried to sell, which by its nature, cannot be sold to human

00:42:47.980 beings. Because we don't know what it is. It's too complicated. Can't say yes, can't say no.

00:42:54.500 Well, you know, basically, you would just retreat to your side and say, well, my side seems to like

00:42:58.700 this, or my side seems to hate it. But it's so consistent that Democrats don't understand human

00:43:04.460 nature. It's almost a defining characteristic of the party. Yeah, you could have done a better job

00:43:11.880 of selling that by not making it that. Brian Stelter continues to be humorously, let's say humorously,

00:43:24.380 what would be the word? Brian Stelter continues to be humorously,

00:43:31.700 I don't want to say incompetent, because he isn't incompetent. Humorously clownish or something? I don't 0.52

00:43:41.020 know. But apparently, his show that's about the media, you know, it's called, what's the name of his

00:43:50.480 show? Reliable sources, which is funny. So apparently, they don't cover stories that are,

00:43:58.740 he doesn't cover any stories that are embarrassing to the liberals. And it's getting kind of noticeable.

00:44:06.020 He just sort of leaves it out, doesn't cover it. And if your whole job is covering what the media

00:44:11.580 does right or wrong, and it's about reliable sources, and you just ignore stories that are

00:44:16.140 sort of embarrassing to your network, not too cool. Now, on the Fox network, Howard Kurtz has a show

00:44:25.940 that you could say is a rough equivalent. You know, it's also about the media and the media's

00:44:32.000 activities during the week. And I think, correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Howard Kurtz criticize

00:44:39.200 everybody and cover every story? I think he does, right? Is there anybody who would push

00:44:45.560 back on that? That Howard Kurtz just covers the actual news, whereas Brian Stelter is only

00:44:54.420 covering the stuff that isn't embarrassing? I'm right about that, right? I mean, I'm not sure

00:44:59.320 I've watched every show, but it feels like that. All right. Speaking about Trump was right,

00:45:09.760 I guess the statue of Thomas Jefferson is being removed from city council chambers in New York

00:45:15.100 because Jefferson was a big old slave owner. Here's something I didn't know that this story

00:45:22.580 told me, that not only was he a slave owner, but he owned more slaves than any of the other

00:45:29.740 presidents who we know to have owned slaves. He owned over 600 of them. Plus, he fathered about 0.90

00:45:37.580 six, and a whole bunch of them were, like, related, which was kind of weird. And to which I say,

00:45:44.320 to which I say, I don't have a problem with this. I don't have a problem with us updating our heroes.

00:45:54.080 And I know this is going to make you have a heart attack, some of you. But I'm not really afraid

00:45:58.900 to change. And I'm not afraid of, I'm not afraid of changing who we decide as a hero.

00:46:09.340 I'm not afraid of changing that. And I also think that maybe we should put a little more

00:46:13.900 attention on what was done versus the personalities. If you look at what Jefferson did in terms of,

00:46:22.240 you know, his accomplishments, those accomplishments are amazing.

00:46:29.700 Oh, here's a comment from Dracus. Understanding human nature is empathy. Republicans have empathy,

00:46:35.540 but lack sympathy. Democrats have sympathy, but lack empathy.

00:46:39.760 I'm not sure I can sign off on that, but I like where you're going on that. I'm not sure I see what

00:46:47.700 you're seeing, but I do like the quality of that thought. So here's my thing. If the point of heroes

00:46:58.040 is to make you, you know, appreciate their character, that's the point of heroes, right?

00:47:05.280 The point of heroes is that we appreciate their character, not just their accomplishments.

00:47:10.980 And to me, it seems perfectly fair that the person who owned the most slaves,

00:47:16.060 you don't necessarily want to show as your character hero. Now, could we still treat Jefferson as a,

00:47:27.340 let's say, a hero in terms of some of the things he got done? Yes. Yes. I mean, the best writer

00:47:33.240 maybe ever, maybe ever. I mean, the writing in the Declaration of Independence, it's hard to know

00:47:38.700 who wrote exactly what in that. But some of the best writing I've ever seen, and I'm a fan of good

00:47:45.840 writing. So he was amazing in a lot of ways. But the other thing about Jefferson, did you know he

00:47:51.760 died in debt? Apparently Jefferson was always poor. But somehow Jefferson found a way to live like a rich

00:47:59.160 person, while just being in debt. He left a massive debt when he died. I believe that's true. Fact

00:48:04.680 check me on that. So he, so Jefferson obviously had some, what we would consider massive character

00:48:12.000 flaws judged by 2021 standards. Now I hear people saying, Scott, Scott, Scott, stop judging people

00:48:19.220 by 2021 standards, because they were products of their time. To which I say, well, that's a true

00:48:26.520 statement. But why should I, why should I be limited by that? Why should that affect me?

00:48:35.640 Because I live in 2021. In 2021, I would rather have a role model whose character is suggestive

00:48:43.360 of the character you would want in 2021. Why would I want a role model who doesn't quite apply?

00:48:49.220 Because he's from the wrong period. Now I understand the point. The point is well taken.

00:48:54.340 That it's hard to judge people in a different time period. That's fair. But if you're deciding

00:49:00.800 who's your role model, it could be whoever you are. You can change your mind whenever you

00:49:05.260 want. Why can't you change your mind? There's no limit on that. Now I hear what you're saying

00:49:11.680 about, and I know you're thinking this, that if you start tearing down the traditions, you end

00:49:17.740 up tearing down the whole country. I hear that. And that's a risk. I feel like there's something

00:49:23.180 to that. But I don't think, I just don't think we're a healthier country holding a slave, a 1.00

00:49:29.280 massive slave owner as our character hero. Accomplishment hero, yes. He can still be an 0.98

00:49:37.380 accomplishment hero. But character hero? I think we're, I think we've outgrown that, haven't

00:49:42.780 we? Now I realize it's painful to watch your heroes get uprooted. But keep in mind, I'm

00:49:50.300 also anti putting up a statue of George Floyd. All right. Taking down, if you take down the

00:49:58.460 statue of Jefferson and you put up a statue of Floyd, you did not improve the situation.

00:50:04.380 We have to be a little bit consistent here. Well, we don't have to be, but wouldn't it be

00:50:08.480 nice to be consistent? If somebody has a sketchy character, it doesn't matter what else happened

00:50:15.580 to them. You know, if you're choosing heroes. A hero, a character hero has to have a good

00:50:21.420 character. Otherwise, why are you putting them on a statue?

00:50:29.540 Jefferson did many good things at his economic expense. I don't know that. I don't know that.

00:50:35.100 All right. But I would like to point out that there are two presidents that did not own slaves

00:50:40.520 back in those days. Does anybody know the two presidents who did not own slaves back in the

00:50:46.620 days when a lot of them did? Who were they? John Adams, correct. Who's the other one? His son,

00:50:55.020 John Quincy Adams. Only the Adams family was on the correct side of history. In fact, John Adams,

00:51:02.860 famously, as a lawyer, defended a slave from some famous case. So not only was John Adams

00:51:12.060 anti-slavery, he was actively giving a fair defense to at least one notable case that I know of.

00:51:19.620 Now, you're probably wondering if I'm related to the Adams presidents. We did look into that. The

00:51:28.960 family looked into that at one point because we didn't know. We thought, well, maybe. We're not

00:51:33.460 descended from. So that part we're pretty confident about. We did not descend from directly from that

00:51:40.540 line. But we do connect back in England. So if you go back far enough, you know, my line goes back to

00:51:49.500 England as well as other places, other European places as well. But we're probably, probably connected

00:51:56.060 somewhere. Probably connected somewhere. All right. The rest were Virginians. Somebody says, oh, that's a good 0.90

00:52:05.940 point. The rest were Virginians, so they were more likely to be slave owners. Fair comment. Fair comment. 0.88

00:52:12.680 All right. That is my program for today. Well, we're still talking about Colin Powell. Yeah. I saw Tucker Carlson

00:52:26.320 gave a very, very fair and, I thought, respectful account of Colin Powell's accomplishments.

00:52:36.680 Scott, do you think the old statues in the South should come down? Well, number one, it's not my call.

00:52:49.980 All right. So the local people should decide what statues they have. So it's not up to me. That's

00:52:54.880 number one. Number two, if I were a local person, I would be open to the argument that they're offensive

00:53:00.380 to enough people that they really should be seen as a decoration and not a historical thing. If you

00:53:07.720 want to preserve the history, put it in the historical context. You know, don't put it in the park and say,

00:53:13.820 hey, everybody, this is awesome. We'll put it in the park. So I do agree with the people who say

00:53:20.120 putting up offensive statues to people who are pro-slavery is not cool. It makes us feel

00:53:26.660 uncomfortable and comfortable and let's get rid of these. I'm okay with that. I'm not afraid to

00:53:31.940 change unless the change is to replace it with a statue of George Floyd, in which case the whole 0.75

00:53:39.240 thing is just ridiculous. You either care about the whole character of the person you're putting in

00:53:45.660 the statue or you don't. If you care, you don't do either one. And if you don't, well, then you can do

00:53:52.660 both. You're not local to New York. That's right. So it is not up to me. And my opinion should carry

00:54:01.760 no weight in the case of the New York. So I don't think I'm disagreeing with you. I think I'm agreeing

00:54:07.600 with you that I can have internal thoughts and I can share them with you, but not my decision.

00:54:13.580 You're right. Same thing I say about abortion, by the way. The same thing I say about abortion.

00:54:18.860 I can have an internal opinion, but I'm going to keep it there because I'd rather that women 1.00

00:54:25.080 collectively have, you know, more of the influence on that decision. That's the world I want to live

00:54:29.780 in. I want to live in a world where women, far more than the men, are making the decisions on what's 1.00

00:54:36.600 legal, what's appropriate with abortion. Now, remember, we're not going to get the right answer

00:54:40.760 because half of the world is going to be mad no matter which way those laws go.

00:54:44.920 But at least they're a little bit more credible when women are behind the law. So that's my simp. 1.00

00:54:55.920 Miles, let me talk to you here for a moment. So over on the locals platform, somebody's calling me

00:55:02.140 a simp. I assume for just supporting women on that question instead of having my own opinion.

00:55:07.460 That is my opinion. I'm not giving women what they want just because they want it. That's my 0.98

00:55:15.160 opinion. My opinion is I don't want to be part of the decision. I'm making my own opinion. I don't

00:55:23.040 care what your opinion is. And I don't care if it makes women happier or less happy. You get that,

00:55:30.380 right? The point is not to make women happy. I assume that the point of a simp is somebody who's 0.87

00:55:41.000 making, you know, a woman happy at their own expense, right? That's sort of the definition. I have no 1.00

00:55:47.780 interest in this topic to just make women happy. I'm just saying that the way you make decisions

00:55:56.720 is you put the people who have the most skin in the game, give them a little more control over the

00:56:03.020 decision. It's just a better system. It's about the system. It's not about any of that stuff.

00:56:09.840 Put up a statue of Colin Powell. He's got some things to explain about weapons of mass destruction,

00:56:16.720 and I don't think we can overlook that. Yeah, all women don't agree exactly, but I shouldn't be 1.00

00:56:24.420 biasing their decision. The decision to procreate was made together. I agree. Yeah, I mean, it's not

00:56:34.300 a clean argument. This is not the kind of debate where all of the, you know, all of the good points

00:56:39.900 are on one side. If all of the good points were on one side, I'd give you an opinion. And I'd feel

00:56:46.020 like, oh, this is easy. All of the good points are on the same side. But it's so subjective

00:56:52.020 that that doesn't make sense.

00:56:59.820 And by the way, I appreciate and respect all of your opinions on that topic. And that is all.

00:57:10.060 We have a call from Charlie here. He wants more naked statues. I think I'm down for that.

00:57:15.940 I think our statues should be more naked. No reason. But I like naked statues just as much

00:57:23.640 as the next person. He at least apologized for that mistake.

00:57:31.740 Who is S-Lax that everybody is thanking? So there's some user over there that's being,

00:57:38.660 is it a user? Whoever S-Lax is, is being very popular.

00:57:46.920 All right. I got to run. And I think you will agree that this live stream

00:57:52.360 highlighted your day. Yeah. Wait till tomorrow. It's going to be so good tomorrow.

00:57:58.740 All right.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 19, 2021

Episode 1534 Scott Adams： Lots of Cognitive Blind Spots in the News Today. Goes Well With Beverage

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript