Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1546 Scott Adams： Trouble. Get in Here

00:00:00.000 Hold on, hold on.

00:00:13.000 Not yet, not yet.

00:00:19.620 This is the part of the show that locals people usually see, but you don't see on YouTube.

00:00:24.180 This is where I'm fussing around to do my checklist of everything and get it right in two minutes.

00:00:35.040 As sound you hear is my notes printing out for the best show you're ever going to see.

00:00:41.120 Let me tell you, we've got a good one today.

00:00:44.420 I won't say that every time, but today, oh yeah, it's a good one.

00:00:50.160 All right, just a couple more steps here and we're good to go.

00:00:54.180 Let me grab my notes.

00:01:06.660 Oh, good news.

00:01:07.640 It looks like there might be another twist in this saga that instead of my normal show,

00:01:14.820 you might get to see me take that HP printer.

00:01:23.100 See it there?

00:01:24.520 That's my HP printer.

00:01:27.340 It's trying to do something.

00:01:29.260 Trying to print my notes for the show.

00:01:32.200 It's making noise.

00:01:34.160 Looks like it's begging for cartridges or something.

00:01:37.040 I don't know.

00:01:38.240 But what it does is that my last HP printer is in pieces on the floor of the garage.

00:01:47.480 I don't even think it knows it because obviously, hey, what the hell is going on?

00:01:56.220 Obviously, if my printer knew what its fate was going to be in about five minutes, it would

00:02:02.100 be printing a lot better than it is.

00:02:04.000 A lot better.

00:02:05.160 Because its predecessor is in a lot of pieces that I keep in a container next to the door

00:02:11.220 in the garage so I can see it every time I walk by.

00:02:14.840 And I'd like all of my equipment to know that it's this close to being destroyed in public.

00:02:22.100 Let me push this button and see what happens.

00:02:23.940 Oh, might be just on a paper.

00:02:33.940 Hold on.

00:02:34.440 Hold on.

00:02:53.940 This is kind of exciting.

00:03:06.340 Because if this doesn't produce anything like my notes in about 60 seconds, I am going to

00:03:13.680 rip it out of the wall and throw it over my balcony onto the sidewalk below.

00:03:20.220 Now, see?

00:03:20.900 A lot of you think it's senseless.

00:03:25.660 A lot of you think it's senseless to threaten your technical devices.

00:03:30.000 But no.

00:03:31.600 You can see it working right in front of you.

00:03:34.640 Yeah.

00:03:35.140 Those of you who say, it doesn't make sense to threaten technology.

00:03:39.720 That's not going to make a difference.

00:03:41.160 But you see it yourself.

00:03:42.980 See?

00:03:43.280 A few threats.

00:03:44.160 Boom.

00:03:44.560 Boom.

00:03:44.620 Boom.

00:03:44.640 Boom.

00:03:44.660 Boom.

00:03:44.680 Boom.

00:03:44.700 Boom.

00:03:44.720 Boom.

00:03:45.200 Boom.

00:03:50.900 All right.

00:04:00.160 Well, I don't want to say this is the worst start to the show of all time.

00:04:04.840 Because I've had some pretty bad ones.

00:04:07.200 I might even put the camera on me.

00:04:08.540 Welcome to the worst simultaneous sip of all time.

00:04:18.080 Oh, are you kidding me?

00:04:19.960 Come on.

00:04:22.020 Come on, technology.

00:04:24.040 Come on.

00:04:26.380 My iPad was teasing me, but I think now.

00:04:30.000 There we go.

00:04:31.020 There we go.

00:04:31.700 Take a deep breath, everybody.

00:04:37.140 I know there was a little bit of panic there when you thought to yourself, I don't know

00:04:42.300 if there will be a simultaneous sip today.

00:04:43.840 It's not looking good.

00:04:45.340 Because it almost went off the rails.

00:04:47.080 But we saved it.

00:04:48.000 We saved it with what?

00:04:50.640 Threats.

00:04:51.680 Yeah.

00:04:52.060 A lot of people don't think threats work, but they do, even on technology.

00:04:56.280 And I think we're in good shape now.

00:04:58.800 So I can't claim this will be the best thing that happened all day, because I had such

00:05:03.660 a bad start.

00:05:04.420 But it's going to be in the top ten, even with this bad start.

00:05:08.020 And the only thing that could make it better, well, just one way, would be the simultaneous

00:05:13.000 sip.

00:05:13.460 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice, a stye, a canteen jug,

00:05:16.260 a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:05:19.240 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:05:20.220 I like coffee.

00:05:21.960 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:05:25.660 The dopamine hit of the day.

00:05:27.120 The thing that makes everything better, including your antibodies, that's science, bitch.

00:05:34.240 Go.

00:05:39.400 You can feel your antibodies a little more active now, right?

00:05:42.880 You can feel it.

00:05:44.700 Don't you feel yourself getting stronger?

00:05:46.660 Yeah.

00:05:47.380 I think you do.

00:05:49.120 Well, there's all kinds of fun news today.

00:05:51.320 Let's jump right in.

00:05:52.900 Jump right in.

00:05:53.940 And I'm going to do that by showing you a little video here that some of you may have

00:06:01.120 seen.

00:06:01.900 But it's so damn good, I've got to show you again, in case you missed it.

00:06:07.940 Just in case you missed it, there's a new meme video going around.

00:06:12.220 Oh, I don't know if you get how well you can see.

00:06:17.180 God fucking damn.

00:06:19.940 I'm sorry.

00:06:22.140 All of my technology is sort of acting the way it's not supposed to.

00:06:26.100 This is something that should have taken, oh, 10 seconds.

00:06:29.460 And now I'm boring you forever.

00:06:31.560 All right.

00:06:31.980 I'm going to try to do something simple here.

00:06:33.740 There's a photo on my phone, and now I'm just going to touch it with my finger.

00:06:39.600 I tried that before, and all kinds of bad shit things happened.

00:06:44.100 But I'm going to try it again, because I'm pretty sure that touching a photo, it worked

00:06:49.480 that time.

00:06:50.220 All right.

00:06:50.960 Here's a photo of Joe Biden greeting Boris Johnson.

00:06:58.120 Now, here's the funny part.

00:07:01.260 Look at the expression on Boris Johnson's face.

00:07:05.620 Can you see the expression on Boris Johnson's face?

00:07:09.200 But also, look at his right hand.

00:07:12.540 It turns out that corporeal disease is actually transmissible by touch.

00:07:20.520 You know what I mean.

00:07:21.320 You remember the Joe Biden, where he was standing like he was frozen?

00:07:27.080 Like cornholio?

00:07:29.300 Well, apparently, you can transmit that.

00:07:32.780 Because it looks like Boris Johnson just immediately went into cornholio mode as soon as Biden touched

00:07:39.820 him.

00:07:40.880 Well, that's got to mean something.

00:07:42.360 I think our medical professionals should look into that.

00:07:46.120 All right.

00:07:46.260 But that wasn't even what I was going to show you.

00:07:49.540 I was going to show you one of the best political ads I've ever seen.

00:07:53.700 And I'm not really following the Virginia governor's race enough to have a favorite.

00:08:01.860 But Glenn Youngkin is running as a Republican against Terry McAuliffe.

00:08:09.440 And I just looked at a campaign ad put out by Youngkin.

00:08:14.620 So again, I'm just showing you his work.

00:08:16.540 I'm not promoting him or whatever.

00:08:18.600 I haven't looked into any of these candidates enough to have an opinion.

00:08:22.980 But except the school choice, of course.

00:08:26.760 Whoever is in favor of school choice, I'm probably for.

00:08:30.520 But I want to show you this.

00:08:32.260 I don't know if you'll be able to see it well enough on my little phone, but it'll give you

00:08:36.100 the idea.

00:08:37.760 Let's see.

00:08:39.180 So this is Glenn Youngkin.

00:08:41.400 Oops.

00:08:41.680 Try it again.

00:08:45.560 For too long, we've been told by the same career politicians that more government control

00:08:50.620 is the answer.

00:08:51.760 But this election isn't about them.

00:08:53.640 It's about us.

00:08:54.920 All right.

00:08:55.100 Now watch this video.

00:08:56.200 It's about law enforcement that needs our support to keep Virginia safe.

00:08:58.940 Parents who want a better education for our kids and Virginians who deserve lower taxes.

00:09:04.640 Together, we can build a better future that works for us.

00:09:07.700 This is our moment.

00:09:09.700 On November 2nd, a new day begins in Virginia.

00:09:14.600 All right.

00:09:15.340 So you missed the first part that makes it brilliant.

00:09:17.520 But it's the first few seconds is what makes this brilliant.

00:09:20.560 For too long, we've been told by the same career politicians that more government control

00:09:24.640 is the answer.

00:09:25.580 They're all white.

00:09:26.080 But this election isn't about them.

00:09:27.680 It's about us.

00:09:28.800 All right.

00:09:29.020 It's about law enforcement that needs our support.

00:09:32.020 I realize that's a terrible audiovisual.

00:09:34.160 But the point is, it starts with this army of boring, zombie-like, older white men in

00:09:41.140 suits.

00:09:42.180 And they sort of represent, you know, the government or the power or the people in power.

00:09:46.580 And they're just sort of marching zombie-like.

00:09:48.980 And then you see regular citizens, beginning with a police officer, you know, walking through

00:09:55.100 them, sort of violating their powerful whiteness, I guess.

00:09:59.080 Now, they weren't all non-white, but the clever way that they set it up is that it's all these

00:10:05.680 old white guys in power.

00:10:08.800 And then you see people who, some white, some black, you know, you've got a mix of men and

00:10:12.920 women and stuff.

00:10:13.820 And you see that they're all sort of violating that row of old white guys.

00:10:19.320 But here's what happened.

00:10:21.880 Here's what happened.

00:10:22.900 Well, you said, bye.

00:10:24.400 You should wait for the payoff.

00:10:26.600 The payoff is that he reframed the situation from race, which is where the other team was

00:10:33.120 going with it, to power, which was very clever.

00:10:38.260 Because he made it look as though the old white guys are not about being white, because the

00:10:43.160 people violating, you know, their power of visual were some white, some black, some men,

00:10:49.400 some women.

00:10:49.780 So he basically reframed it from race to power.

00:10:57.320 Somebody says my locals mic is off, but it isn't, is it?

00:11:05.200 So are you having trouble with the sound on locals?

00:11:10.580 All right.

00:11:11.220 Let me see if I can change anything here.

00:11:15.660 Let's see.

00:11:16.500 I am plugged in.

00:11:17.440 I'm going to pull the mic.

00:11:20.740 All right.

00:11:21.280 I pulled the mic on locals.

00:11:25.400 And let's see if you can hear that now.

00:11:28.400 It's the same.

00:11:34.900 No difference.

00:11:36.260 Is there anybody who can hear it well?

00:11:40.340 Hmm.

00:11:41.700 Okay.

00:11:42.260 Looks like we've got a problem here on locals.

00:11:43.760 I'm going to kill this feed, which means ending the app.

00:11:47.440 Yeah, I'm going to try to restart it.

00:11:52.580 All right.

00:11:53.540 Over on YouTube, apparently we have good sound if you want to run over there and not have

00:11:58.680 to worry about it.

00:11:59.400 It's like I'm not going to be able to do this.

00:12:10.560 All right.

00:12:10.780 Let's see.

00:12:12.020 Let's try it on my other device.

00:12:13.840 I've got my...

00:12:14.880 God, what a nightmare this morning is.

00:12:18.460 Oh, my God.

00:12:20.740 Is just everything going to not work?

00:12:22.580 Seriously, just everything is not going to work today.

00:12:32.020 All right.

00:12:34.240 Well, let me try another one.

00:12:41.600 I'm going to try a test one.

00:12:43.920 Sorry, YouTube.

00:12:44.680 You're just going to have to sit this one out because I've got to fix this right now.

00:12:49.800 So it'll take a second.

00:12:52.800 See, this is the trouble with all live streaming.

00:12:56.000 If you've never tried to live stream, the technology never works the same twice, which

00:13:02.000 is why it's just really hard to live stream on two platforms at once.

00:13:10.580 All right.

00:13:15.600 Let me see if I can fire this up.

00:13:21.320 So in theory, I'm firing up another local's feed, but you might not be able to see it.

00:13:36.240 You might not be able to see it.

00:13:37.600 So we'll see if they can find it, and I'll go on.

00:13:40.580 Bum, bum, bum, bum.

00:13:44.780 So I doubt you can hear this.

00:13:50.020 All right.

00:13:53.000 Have you seen the LGB meme video, Let's Go, Brandon?

00:13:57.700 Yeah, I'm kind of surprised that my local's app wouldn't learn something from the printer.

00:14:12.980 All right.

00:14:15.600 Still not.

00:14:16.540 All right.

00:14:17.040 Let's try this.

00:14:21.500 Permission denied.

00:14:22.860 That didn't work.

00:14:24.080 Let's see.

00:14:27.240 All right.

00:14:28.040 Screw it.

00:14:29.160 Go to YouTube.

00:14:32.060 Go to YouTube.

00:14:37.300 Sorry.

00:14:39.620 Locals.

00:14:40.180 We're still in beta.

00:14:42.580 God.

00:14:43.020 Oh, my God.

00:14:45.360 I'm going to have to break something now.

00:14:47.360 I'm trying to just type a message to the local's platform to go to YouTube.

00:14:51.840 And every time I type, it's just changing the words as I type them into something else.

00:14:57.560 So I can't even type, go to YouTube.

00:14:59.260 And if I can't type that in the next minute, I'm just going to destroy everything in this office.

00:15:05.400 I'm literally going to start ripping the technology out and throwing it all out the window in about 60 seconds.

00:15:11.220 I'm just going to try to write, go to YouTube on an iPad while it continually tries to, correct me, go to capital Y-O-U-T-U-B-E, send.

00:15:30.600 All right.

00:15:34.540 Shit.

00:15:36.920 All right.

00:15:40.320 Honestly, I'm so pissed off right now.

00:15:43.280 I don't know if I can talk.

00:15:46.700 What a day.

00:15:48.800 All right.

00:15:50.880 So have you seen the, there's a great meme called Let's Go Brandon.

00:15:55.260 And I was going to play it for you, but the odds of that actually working seem so low right now that sure enough, I can't even find it.

00:16:07.680 All right.

00:16:08.140 It's just, if I were you, I would just give up on this.

00:16:12.260 You know, normally, I'm pretty happy about the content I'm producing here.

00:16:17.260 But today, you should just give up on me.

00:16:21.180 You should just freaking give up on me.

00:16:25.260 I have failed you completely.

00:16:28.260 I'm the Joe Biden of podcasters today.

00:16:32.060 All right.

00:16:33.740 Anyway, somebody made a great meme in which they blah, blah, blah.

00:16:37.660 Wouldn't it be great if you could hear the thing I'm talking about?

00:16:41.020 Is there anything more boring than somebody describing a meme that they're not showing you?

00:16:45.760 No, nothing.

00:16:47.340 Well, there is one thing.

00:16:48.440 But describing a dream or telling somebody about a good meal you had, those are worse than this.

00:16:57.040 So it could be worse.

00:16:57.960 You could be listening to a co-worker telling you about a great potato they ate that one time.

00:17:02.060 That's worse.

00:17:03.380 All right.

00:17:03.680 Let's talk about something that doesn't require any technology.

00:17:08.760 Have you seen that Facebook is doing these ads in which they're asking for more government regulation?

00:17:15.000 Have you seen that?

00:17:16.260 It's pretty clever.

00:17:17.440 Because both the left and the right are mad at Facebook for different reasons, and some similar reasons.

00:17:22.320 So Facebook is very cleverly doing persuasion in which they're producing ads saying, we'd like to have the best control of bad content while letting good content through.

00:17:36.900 But it's tough for us to do.

00:17:38.300 It would be a lot easier if we were more regulated.

00:17:41.440 They're actually asking to be more regulated.

00:17:44.400 And I think it's brilliant in terms of a way to manage the problem.

00:17:48.660 I don't know what could be better than asking to be regulated.

00:17:55.620 All right.

00:18:00.680 Yeah.

00:18:02.460 So apparently Roe v. Roe v. Wade might fall because of the nature of the Supreme Court.

00:18:10.480 People are saying that.

00:18:11.460 I'm not predicting that's going to happen.

00:18:13.160 But let's say it gets chipped away at to the point where it's difficult to get an abortion in, I think there could be up to 20 states that would restrict it if they could.

00:18:25.180 So if Roe v. Wade falls, let's say 20 states or so make it illegal to get an abortion.

00:18:31.960 You should expect people would drive to neighboring states where they could.

00:18:35.600 And here's my prediction, which I predicted before, but I'll re-up it.

00:18:39.640 I will predict that there will pop up a solution to the transportation problem.

00:18:49.060 So right now if you were low income and you wanted an abortion in a state that, let's say in the future they restrict it,

00:18:55.400 you could in the future also, I'm pretty sure, arrange to get a ride and maybe even a place to stay overnight until you come home, something like that.

00:19:04.220 And I think that it will just pop up spontaneously from abortion activists who will just say,

00:19:12.260 all right, I'll take a turn.

00:19:14.020 Today will be my day to drive 100 miles.

00:19:16.500 I'll take a couple of people.

00:19:18.600 So I have a feeling that it will get really complicated to get an abortion, but I can't see it going away.

00:19:25.260 I feel like the system will just adjust.

00:19:28.880 All right.

00:19:34.140 So here's something that you wouldn't expect.

00:19:39.840 You know that Joe Biden likes to raise your taxes, right?

00:19:43.400 You've probably heard of that.

00:19:44.560 He wants to raise your taxes.

00:19:46.540 But Biden loves taxes so much, he's actually trying to raise taxes on other countries.

00:19:53.120 I'm not even making that up.

00:19:55.540 I'm not making that up.

00:19:56.680 Biden is at the G20 meeting right now, and he's going to be pushing something called the global minimum tax.

00:20:03.780 He's literally, not making this up, he's literally trying to raise taxes in other countries.

00:20:11.580 Now, if you had told me that could happen, I would have said, that's pretty funny.

00:20:17.320 That's some hyperbole right there.

00:20:19.360 Ha ha ha.

00:20:20.360 He loves raising taxes so much that he's raised all the taxes he can in this country,

00:20:24.980 and now he's got to go to other countries to raise their taxes.

00:20:28.720 Except that it's happening.

00:20:30.320 It's actually happening.

00:20:33.720 But don't you feel good that instead of sending a leader that would embarrass the country,

00:20:43.900 somebody who has embarrassed the country with mean tweets,

00:20:46.900 don't you feel better knowing that we sent an empty bag of meat instead of a mean tweeter?

00:20:54.860 I don't know about you, but as an American,

00:20:57.160 I feel pretty, pretty good about Joe Biden being there,

00:21:02.100 a brainless sack of meat.

00:21:03.920 And the good news is, I don't think people are going to mock him like they did Trump

00:21:09.780 for his mean tweets and things he said.

00:21:12.840 I think they're going to let Biden off the hook because you don't really want to be seen

00:21:18.740 as mocking the mentally handicapped.

00:21:23.520 And while you think that might be a joke, it isn't.

00:21:27.600 Because I do think that Biden is so obviously mentally degraded at this point

00:21:33.820 that it's a little hard for any leader to make fun of him

00:21:36.720 because it would be making fun of somebody mentally handicapped.

00:21:40.620 And no leader wants to do that in public.

00:21:43.980 Right?

00:21:45.340 So Biden has somehow solved the problem of our president being mocked

00:21:49.480 by being so degraded that he's unworthy of mocking at this point.

00:21:55.240 Or at least you wouldn't do it in public.

00:21:59.600 So good work for those other leaders, not mocking our degraded president.

00:22:05.720 How much must it sting to be Trump?

00:22:10.320 Did you ever get, let's say, you leave a job or you get fired or something,

00:22:14.300 and then you're replaced by somebody who's really good?

00:22:19.020 You don't really like that, do you?

00:22:20.820 Because you're like, oh, damn it, I got replaced by somebody who's better than me.

00:22:23.820 That really stings.

00:22:25.240 Same as if you have a breakup, and you get replaced by somebody who's, I don't know,

00:22:29.280 better looking, younger, richer, whatever it is.

00:22:32.080 And you're like, oh, damn, that stings.

00:22:34.720 But it's worse if you get replaced by somebody terrible.

00:22:40.540 I mean, it's bad both ways.

00:22:42.800 But if you're running for president, and you get beaten by a brainless bag of meat,

00:22:48.420 that's got to sting.

00:22:52.160 Well, who beat you?

00:22:54.200 Well, it was almost a human being.

00:22:56.200 It was a sort of a semi-sentient bag of meat, and beat me pretty handily.

00:23:04.240 That's got to sting.

00:23:05.200 No wonder Trump's having a hard time with it.

00:23:10.520 Apparently, one of the big topics at the G20 will be climate change.

00:23:15.460 And I remind you, this is a perfect example, that the public runs the government,

00:23:21.560 not the other way around.

00:23:23.720 The public runs the government, not the other way around.

00:23:26.700 Now, it's different in maybe a dictator situation,

00:23:29.440 but in any democratic republic kind of a situation, the people are in charge.

00:23:35.460 And why is it that the politicians all have to say good words about climate change

00:23:39.440 when they get together?

00:23:41.180 Is it because they, as leaders, decided that's what they want to say?

00:23:47.000 Nope.

00:23:48.020 Nope.

00:23:48.820 They have to say these things in public because the public requires it.

00:23:53.440 The public's in charge.

00:23:54.480 The politicians have to give the public what they ask for,

00:23:58.200 or they can't stay in their jobs.

00:24:01.720 Here's the catch, though.

00:24:04.560 We do delegate to our government decisions that are close.

00:24:09.380 In other words, if the country is a little bit closer to, you know,

00:24:12.700 having a mixed opinion on it,

00:24:16.360 well, then we say, all right, okay, we can't figure it out ourselves.

00:24:20.760 So government, you know, go make a decision and we'll live with it

00:24:24.180 because at least we'll respect the system

00:24:26.740 even if we don't like the result.

00:24:31.020 But the public does that intentionally, in a sense,

00:24:35.340 because they can't make a decision on their own.

00:24:38.040 But when the public wants something, let's say 90 to 10,

00:24:42.100 does the government have any flexibility?

00:24:45.820 None.

00:24:46.220 If the government wants something by a 90% majority,

00:24:50.100 the people will get what they want.

00:24:52.380 The government has to give it to them.

00:24:54.580 So if you're trying to guess something, don't convince the government.

00:24:59.160 They're just listening to the people.

00:25:02.000 You need to convince the other citizens.

00:25:04.900 So your power play is to convince other people.

00:25:10.560 And then other people, when they get to some majority,

00:25:12.960 will convince the government.

00:25:14.340 But convincing the government of anything is probably a waste of time.

00:25:17.760 They're just responding to the biggest forces.

00:25:21.240 So never forget that you're in charge if you need to be.

00:25:25.060 And if it's 50-50, well, maybe you just need a different system

00:25:28.800 and the government satisfies that.

00:25:32.940 Apparently, Biden's playing the forgetful old man card at the G20.

00:25:37.440 So, of course, it was sort of awkward when he meets France's head, Macron,

00:25:41.960 because there was that thing where the US, Australia, and UK

00:25:45.040 put together some submarine deal with Australia

00:25:48.680 and cut France out of a multi-billion submarine deal.

00:25:56.520 Now, France was quite mad about that.

00:25:58.080 And here's what Biden said to Macron.

00:26:02.920 He said...

00:26:04.360 I'll give you his exact words, which are...

00:26:11.640 Biden said he was, quote,

00:26:12.900 under the impression that France had been informed long before

00:26:16.020 that the deal would not go through, meaning the French deal.

00:26:20.940 So Biden actually used as his excuse

00:26:23.440 he didn't know that they hadn't been informed.

00:26:28.080 His excuse is that he was uninformed

00:26:30.080 about some major thing happening in the government.

00:26:34.540 And that's his excuse.

00:26:42.200 And he got away with it.

00:26:43.880 Apparently, people are going to say,

00:26:44.960 yeah, that makes sense.

00:26:46.080 He probably did forget.

00:26:46.820 So, I guess we got that going for us.

00:26:54.940 Now, what do you think of Bitcoin, anybody?

00:27:02.280 What do you think of Bitcoin?

00:27:03.860 And what do you think of Bitcoin in the context of regular money being inflated

00:27:11.180 and debt and all that?

00:27:14.220 Now, I think it was Jack Dorsey who was tweeting

00:27:17.460 about Bitcoin and its association with inflation.

00:27:21.960 And he had some provocative tweets that I thought were really good

00:27:25.920 because they were provocative.

00:27:27.620 You know, really got you.

00:27:28.560 It forced you to think about the question.

00:27:31.440 So, there was some good tweeting there.

00:27:33.960 And, yeah, Bitcoin is an outlet for inflation.

00:27:38.220 So, if you're worried about the value of your regular money,

00:27:41.020 what would you do?

00:27:42.940 You know, how would you play that

00:27:44.380 if you were worried about your regular money?

00:27:46.220 Well, some people are going to put their money in Bitcoin.

00:27:48.260 But Bitcoin has its own problems, right?

00:27:52.460 Because Bitcoin is not risk-free.

00:27:57.240 And, but some percentage of the public is going to put money there.

00:28:02.340 So, what are the odds that Bitcoin will grow as inflation grows?

00:28:06.680 What do you think?

00:28:07.380 Let me give you, let's get your prediction rather than mine

00:28:10.840 because I don't make financial advice here.

00:28:14.300 So, nothing I say should be financial advice.

00:28:17.020 What do you think?

00:28:18.260 Do you think that Bitcoin goes up

00:28:22.140 because it's an inflation escape valve?

00:28:29.920 Almost all of you are saying yes, aren't you?

00:28:33.200 Now, of course, crypto is a psychological money, right?

00:28:38.160 In some ways, or a lot of ways,

00:28:40.540 regular money is psychological too,

00:28:42.500 but not as sensitive to it, probably.

00:28:45.820 Some say Bitcoin is an inflation gauge.

00:28:52.640 Yeah.

00:28:53.540 If I had to guess, and again, this is not financial advice,

00:28:57.040 and I should tell you that I do own some Bitcoin, not a ton.

00:29:01.620 So, Bitcoin is not a big part of my portfolio,

00:29:04.200 but it could be.

00:29:05.880 Someday it might be most of it if things go the way they're going.

00:29:09.360 So, my Bitcoin exposure is small, not enough to, you know, really care.

00:29:16.220 And I do it, but I have more ETH.

00:29:18.740 Yeah.

00:29:19.660 I have much more ETH than Bitcoin.

00:29:23.260 Now, I think that those two cryptos,

00:29:25.800 just because people know them the most,

00:29:28.580 they've been around for a while,

00:29:30.080 I think people go with what feels familiar.

00:29:32.760 And while there will always be lots of frothiness

00:29:36.880 in the altcoins world, the crypto coins,

00:29:41.020 I think the two that people are just comfortable hearing

00:29:44.160 and using the most are just going to grow

00:29:46.940 because people are comfortable hearing them

00:29:49.800 and they've been around.

00:29:51.220 And that's all anybody's going to be able to understand.

00:29:53.900 So, if you expect the public to understand

00:29:56.300 any intricacies of cryptocurrency,

00:29:59.220 well, not many of them, 2% maybe, tops.

00:30:02.200 The rest of the public is going to say,

00:30:04.820 I guess I've got to get into this crypto thing.

00:30:07.800 Tell me the least amount you can tell me

00:30:09.900 that will let me get into it

00:30:11.720 and, you know, stay out of trouble.

00:30:15.280 Now, if you were going to give somebody advice

00:30:16.960 and you couldn't educate them completely

00:30:19.260 and you just wanted to make it simple,

00:30:21.460 what would you advise them?

00:30:23.260 Here's what I would advise them.

00:30:25.620 It is the time to at least diversify

00:30:28.580 into some crypto.

00:30:31.380 Anybody agree?

00:30:32.620 How many would agree that it's the time?

00:30:35.080 Maybe it wasn't always,

00:30:36.180 but it is certainly the time now,

00:30:37.760 that if you don't own some crypto,

00:30:40.580 it's probably a mistake.

00:30:42.560 You know, if you're 90% crypto,

00:30:44.900 that's probably a different mistake.

00:30:46.840 It could work out well for you.

00:30:49.000 It might work out really well.

00:30:50.820 But, you know, in terms of statistically,

00:30:53.840 it would be a mistake.

00:30:55.140 So, here's what I think.

00:30:56.320 I think because the uneducated masses

00:30:59.740 are likely to start looking around

00:31:01.880 for alternatives,

00:31:03.580 I think they're going to go to the big names.

00:31:06.640 Just like people buy Apple because it's safe,

00:31:09.040 they buy IBM because it's safe,

00:31:10.900 they buy Microsoft because it's safe,

00:31:13.920 they shop at Amazon because it's safe,

00:31:16.380 relative to something they don't know anything about.

00:31:18.860 So, if I had to guess,

00:31:20.760 the psychology of this is that

00:31:22.300 inflation will make crypto seem like a smarter move,

00:31:26.660 a less risky move,

00:31:27.880 because the alternative is more risky now,

00:31:30.480 and that the Bitcoin and ETH will be the big winners.

00:31:37.520 There will also be some minor coins that do well,

00:31:39.920 but those will be exceptions.

00:31:42.200 All right, let's talk about something else.

00:31:43.440 The Lincoln Project has taken responsibility

00:31:47.700 for a, I guess, a fake demonstration

00:31:49.740 in which they had people with tiki torches

00:31:52.300 pretending to be conservatives,

00:31:54.520 pretending to support Glenn Youngkin, the Republican.

00:31:59.480 Now, what they were trying to do

00:32:01.660 is associate Youngkin

00:32:03.580 with the Charlottesville Fine People hoax

00:32:07.720 because most of their voters don't know it was a hoax.

00:32:13.100 Most of the Democrats still think

00:32:15.240 the Fine People hoax was something that actually happened.

00:32:18.560 They don't know it was a fake edit of the video.

00:32:21.220 And if you ask them, they'll say,

00:32:22.380 Scott, you're so wrong about this

00:32:24.160 because I saw the whole video.

00:32:26.520 I saw it with my eyes, I heard it with my ears,

00:32:28.780 but of course they didn't.

00:32:30.960 They saw an edited version

00:32:32.440 that they thought was a complete one.

00:32:34.620 Now, here's the funny part.

00:32:39.040 Somebody named Lauren Windsor tweeted,

00:32:42.000 in my capacity as a communications consultant,

00:32:44.880 I worked with Project Lincoln,

00:32:47.280 which is a weird thing to admit in public.

00:32:50.640 If you were trying to sell your services,

00:32:52.580 would you admit you had worked on the Lincoln Project?

00:32:54.580 That feels pretty dicey.

00:32:57.280 I'm not sure I would admit that

00:32:58.700 if I wanted to sell my service to anybody else.

00:33:01.860 And she said that she worked with them

00:33:03.340 to coordinate today's Youngkin action in Charlottesville,

00:33:07.160 meaning the fake protest thing.

00:33:10.360 And she says,

00:33:11.360 I joined them in the fight to defend our democracy

00:33:13.460 from right-wing extremists

00:33:14.900 and call for Glenn Youngkin to denounce

00:33:17.620 Trump's, quote, very fine people.

00:33:19.520 So she's a communications consultant

00:33:22.380 who either doesn't know

00:33:24.580 that the fine people hoax was a hoax,

00:33:27.400 which is a big problem.

00:33:28.820 If you're in the political world

00:33:30.480 and you don't know that's a hoax,

00:33:32.220 that's a very big problem.

00:33:34.240 Or either knows it and is lying

00:33:38.460 or doesn't know it.

00:33:39.360 Which do you think?

00:33:41.060 In the comments, tell me,

00:33:43.680 do you think that Lauren Windsor is lying

00:33:47.300 when she references the fine people hoax?

00:33:50.840 Or do you think she doesn't know it's a hoax?

00:33:53.740 What do you think?

00:33:56.580 Most of you think she's lying.

00:33:58.540 I'm going to go against your opinion.

00:34:01.860 It has been my experience

00:34:03.880 that the left actually believes it's true.

00:34:06.700 And I can tell you from one personal conversation

00:34:10.800 with one person in the news business,

00:34:14.700 you know, a prominent news person,

00:34:16.400 I won't mention a name

00:34:17.640 because it doesn't matter,

00:34:19.040 but I've had an extensive conversation

00:34:21.100 with somebody who reports the news for a living.

00:34:25.140 And that person absolutely believed it was true.

00:34:28.280 Absolutely.

00:34:29.100 It was a long conversation

00:34:30.160 and there's no way they were lying.

00:34:31.900 It was somebody who absolutely believed it was true.

00:34:34.940 Now, when I was done,

00:34:36.880 I'm not sure he believed it was completely true.

00:34:40.880 And I'm not sure he believed

00:34:43.060 that Trump was completely off the hook.

00:34:46.660 But I probably changed at least the way

00:34:48.820 he was thinking about it, I think,

00:34:50.360 at the end of the conversation.

00:34:51.840 It doesn't matter who.

00:34:53.000 Your guesses are...

00:34:54.940 I'm not going to respond to your guesses.

00:34:57.240 Because the personality doesn't matter.

00:35:00.160 It's not about the personality.

00:35:01.580 It's about the fact

00:35:02.720 that somebody in the business

00:35:04.440 really thought it was true.

00:35:06.640 Genuinely really thought it was true.

00:35:09.060 And I think that's probably what's going on.

00:35:11.240 I think they do.

00:35:13.160 All right.

00:35:14.620 Somebody named Sean Puri,

00:35:17.200 if I'm pronouncing it right,

00:35:18.480 probably not,

00:35:19.600 was writing about the metaverse.

00:35:22.520 You know, of course,

00:35:23.220 that's the company formerly known as Facebook,

00:35:26.580 now called Meta.

00:35:28.160 They're going to build these virtual worlds

00:35:29.980 and it's going to be Facebook's new big thing.

00:35:32.100 But here's what this tweet thread,

00:35:34.840 which I tweeted and I recommend,

00:35:37.460 from Sean Puri.

00:35:39.860 How do you pronounce S-H-A-A-N?

00:35:43.860 Sean?

00:35:44.820 Or do you give some love to each of the A's?

00:35:48.360 Sean?

00:35:49.520 How would you pronounce that?

00:35:51.820 I don't know.

00:35:52.740 We'll work on the pronunciation.

00:35:54.560 But he points out that our real lives,

00:35:57.920 you know, in the physical world,

00:35:59.540 are gradually being sucked into the digital world.

00:36:02.860 And his argument is just really elegant.

00:36:06.580 And he's talking about how when TV came,

00:36:09.360 we sort of got a little bit of our attention,

00:36:11.600 got absorbed into television.

00:36:13.640 And then computers came,

00:36:15.400 and a little bit more of our real life

00:36:17.180 got pulled into the digital world

00:36:19.000 in terms of where our attention is.

00:36:21.140 And then phones came,

00:36:22.920 and suddenly like 75% of your life

00:36:25.480 is now like a digital virtual life

00:36:27.640 about things that are happening digitally.

00:36:29.640 And he says the meta will just put you over the top.

00:36:33.180 It will be the crossing point

00:36:36.060 where the virtual world is your real world,

00:36:40.420 the one you prefer,

00:36:41.460 the one you care about,

00:36:42.440 the one you're interested in.

00:36:43.780 And your real world,

00:36:45.600 the one you think is your real world,

00:36:47.780 will be one you try to avoid as much as possible.

00:36:51.420 You're going to have to spend some time there

00:36:53.200 to do some basic stuff.

00:36:55.200 But you might be able to work and live

00:36:57.700 and have sex in a form.

00:37:00.400 You might be able to have relationships,

00:37:03.160 form families,

00:37:04.000 have lives in the digital world.

00:37:10.080 And here's the thing.

00:37:11.420 For those of you who have not experienced VR yet,

00:37:14.280 even just to demonstrate it for a minute,

00:37:16.620 put on the goggles and see what it's like,

00:37:18.160 if you think it will not be addictive enough to get you,

00:37:26.860 you haven't tried it.

00:37:30.580 I tell you,

00:37:31.480 the experience of actually trying it

00:37:33.580 will change everything you think about it,

00:37:36.500 even with the current technology that's not so great.

00:37:43.260 I think I'm going to block the...

00:37:45.780 I'll just give you one warning here.

00:37:47.300 I'm going to start blocking

00:37:48.460 whoever is doing the red herring comments.

00:37:51.860 There's somebody over there

00:37:52.580 who wants to say red herring, red herring,

00:37:54.700 about something.

00:37:57.560 I don't know what it is,

00:37:58.880 so I'm not going to comment on it.

00:38:00.120 But I'm going to start blocking you

00:38:01.180 because you're really annoying.

00:38:03.680 Okay?

00:38:05.600 And by the way,

00:38:06.280 you can just tell me what it means or what it is,

00:38:08.340 and I'd be happy to look at it.

00:38:09.400 But just saying those words over and over again.

00:38:12.860 If I see it again,

00:38:15.040 I'm just going to make you go away.

00:38:17.020 Okay?

00:38:18.180 I'm sure I'll see it in half a second

00:38:19.820 so I can make you go away.

00:38:22.500 All right.

00:38:23.620 I guess somebody doesn't want to go away.

00:38:27.720 And I love this argument

00:38:28.880 that we're being dragged into it,

00:38:30.180 but all I'm going to warn you

00:38:31.200 is that I've spent some time in the virtual world,

00:38:34.040 and it's good.

00:38:35.840 And in many ways,

00:38:36.900 it will just be better than regular life

00:38:38.540 pretty quickly.

00:38:39.520 It's guaranteed.

00:38:40.280 AOC doesn't like Meta,

00:38:45.760 the company formerly known as Facebook.

00:38:49.160 And she says it's a...

00:38:51.040 Meta, as she tweeted,

00:38:52.320 Meta, as in,

00:38:53.440 quote,

00:38:53.640 we are a cancer to democracy,

00:38:56.020 metastasizing into a global surveillance

00:38:58.940 and propaganda machine

00:39:00.020 for boosting authoritarian...

00:39:05.640 easy for you to say...

00:39:08.440 authoritarian regimes

00:39:09.720 and destroying civil society for profit.

00:39:12.240 Now,

00:39:15.240 Facebook

00:39:16.000 is hated by the left and the right

00:39:18.780 and yet growing like crazy.

00:39:22.260 So I don't think anything can stop it

00:39:24.660 because I think both

00:39:26.640 the left and the right

00:39:28.100 complain like crazy

00:39:29.160 and then use it.

00:39:30.760 They complain and then they use it.

00:39:32.780 So as long as they use it,

00:39:33.920 it's going to keep being whatever it is.

00:39:37.100 Here's a topic

00:39:38.060 that I have avoided

00:39:39.740 for personal emotional reasons.

00:39:44.580 So there's an important topic

00:39:46.020 and I just haven't been able

00:39:47.220 to talk about it

00:39:47.980 because it kind of still hurts too much,

00:39:50.740 if I'm being honest.

00:39:52.320 Michael Schellenberger

00:39:53.160 is doing great work

00:39:54.800 trying to get something done

00:39:58.060 about the homeless

00:39:59.200 and the addiction problem

00:40:00.480 in San Francisco in particular,

00:40:02.700 but you could generalize this

00:40:03.800 to other cities.

00:40:05.960 And one of his main points

00:40:08.200 is that because we're so progressive,

00:40:11.820 progressives have said

00:40:13.000 they would rather addicts

00:40:14.680 die on the street,

00:40:15.740 in effect,

00:40:17.120 than to be forced

00:40:18.420 into something

00:40:20.600 they didn't want to do,

00:40:21.560 which is to get treatment

00:40:22.440 and medical help.

00:40:23.940 Where do you stand on that?

00:40:25.720 Because I know a lot of my audience

00:40:26.980 is pro-make-your-own-decision.

00:40:31.140 And a lot of you are,

00:40:32.260 hey, the government

00:40:33.660 shouldn't force anybody

00:40:34.680 to do anything.

00:40:35.380 But what if you're an addict

00:40:38.080 and your brain

00:40:39.000 no longer is your own brain?

00:40:41.420 Because I don't know

00:40:42.280 if you understand this,

00:40:43.300 but an addict

00:40:44.080 doesn't have a brain

00:40:46.300 in the way that

00:40:47.180 regular people have brains.

00:40:49.180 An addict's brain

00:40:50.080 is effectively

00:40:51.140 like an alien took it over,

00:40:53.180 but the alien is the drug.

00:40:55.560 So a person who's an addict

00:40:57.280 can't make decisions.

00:41:00.420 Let me just say that

00:41:01.400 as clearly as possible.

00:41:02.180 If you expect an addict

00:41:04.140 to make a decision,

00:41:06.920 you don't understand

00:41:08.260 what addiction is.

00:41:09.900 They don't make decisions.

00:41:12.280 The drug does.

00:41:14.120 The drug makes them

00:41:15.160 do what they do.

00:41:16.640 So there's no,

00:41:17.240 the concept of some

00:41:18.300 free will decision-making,

00:41:20.060 it doesn't apply to an addict.

00:41:21.820 Now, I would argue

00:41:22.540 it doesn't apply to anybody,

00:41:23.800 but it definitely

00:41:24.580 doesn't apply to an addict.

00:41:26.260 The addict is just responding

00:41:27.620 to what the drug

00:41:28.700 is making them do.

00:41:29.480 So the thought that,

00:41:32.020 the progressive thought

00:41:32.940 that addicts

00:41:35.980 should have the same,

00:41:37.440 let's say,

00:41:38.660 civil rights

00:41:39.940 as other people.

00:41:42.040 I know,

00:41:42.540 it's a dicey situation, right?

00:41:44.760 The fact that addicts

00:41:46.060 have the same civil rights

00:41:47.440 as other people,

00:41:48.560 I think you have to question it

00:41:50.060 because they're not

00:41:51.760 like other people.

00:41:53.480 We don't treat people

00:41:54.620 with a functioning brain

00:41:56.120 the same as someone

00:41:57.620 who doesn't have one.

00:41:58.580 And I would argue

00:42:00.760 that an addict

00:42:01.820 doesn't have

00:42:02.540 a functioning brain

00:42:03.560 because it's now

00:42:04.920 dysfunctional

00:42:05.660 because of the drug.

00:42:09.580 Yeah, you could throw

00:42:10.740 alcohol in here

00:42:12.320 if you wanted,

00:42:13.520 but the overdoses

00:42:15.520 are mostly from

00:42:16.540 the other kinds of drugs.

00:42:18.740 So,

00:42:19.420 I think I'm on board

00:42:21.900 and having gone through this

00:42:23.500 and the reason

00:42:24.020 it's a sensitive topic,

00:42:25.260 if anybody doesn't know,

00:42:26.540 my stepson died

00:42:27.500 of an overdose

00:42:28.660 in 2018

00:42:30.260 at age 19.

00:42:32.500 So,

00:42:33.040 this topic

00:42:33.800 is just so painful

00:42:35.520 for me

00:42:36.080 that I've

00:42:37.260 ignored it.

00:42:39.380 You know,

00:42:39.560 even though I should be

00:42:40.360 an activist

00:42:41.000 and have been,

00:42:42.840 it's just hard

00:42:43.780 for me to

00:42:44.400 spend time

00:42:45.720 thinking about this stuff

00:42:46.880 because it just hurts

00:42:47.600 too much.

00:42:48.500 But,

00:42:49.480 and by the way,

00:42:53.260 let me tell you something

00:42:54.480 that you might not

00:42:55.620 be aware of.

00:42:56.540 I've had a number

00:42:57.560 of people

00:42:57.920 who died,

00:42:59.560 you know,

00:42:59.840 in my lifetime.

00:43:01.380 Parents,

00:43:01.960 grandparents,

00:43:03.060 you know,

00:43:03.220 usually older people.

00:43:04.640 When somebody

00:43:05.780 who's elderly

00:43:06.620 dies in your life,

00:43:07.740 you'll be sad,

00:43:08.720 but it's not

00:43:11.260 a tragedy

00:43:11.800 and you don't

00:43:12.940 see them

00:43:13.420 everywhere you go,

00:43:14.580 like in your mind.

00:43:16.100 You know,

00:43:16.260 because when people

00:43:16.800 are ready to die,

00:43:18.040 you know,

00:43:18.340 you just accept that

00:43:19.200 as part of the cycle

00:43:20.020 and you move on.

00:43:22.040 When a child

00:43:22.980 dies,

00:43:24.100 and this would

00:43:24.780 apply to a stepchild

00:43:25.780 who's,

00:43:26.240 you know,

00:43:26.420 been part of your life

00:43:27.120 for a long time,

00:43:28.020 when a stepchild

00:43:28.920 dies,

00:43:29.580 they never die.

00:43:31.380 They just don't

00:43:31.960 stay dead.

00:43:33.520 My stepchild

00:43:34.540 is everywhere

00:43:35.160 I go

00:43:35.720 all the time.

00:43:37.480 He's just there.

00:43:39.920 And I don't know

00:43:40.720 if that's the case

00:43:41.520 for everybody

00:43:41.980 who loses a child,

00:43:44.060 but three years later,

00:43:47.060 he's everywhere.

00:43:48.840 He's,

00:43:49.860 no.

00:43:52.700 I'm going to change

00:43:53.500 the topic.

00:44:00.120 That's why

00:44:00.740 I don't talk about it.

00:44:03.080 All right.

00:44:05.720 here's my favorite

00:44:07.540 story of the day.

00:44:10.000 I'll start with this

00:44:11.020 as a lead-up to it.

00:44:13.580 AT&T,

00:44:14.980 they must be

00:44:17.180 experiencing

00:44:17.680 a lot of cancellations

00:44:18.780 because if you haven't

00:44:19.720 heard,

00:44:19.980 AT&T decided

00:44:20.860 to go full racist.

00:44:23.280 It's really shocking.

00:44:25.120 So,

00:44:25.460 in particular,

00:44:26.580 they've decided

00:44:27.400 to be anti-white

00:44:28.580 and they're actually

00:44:29.700 training the employees

00:44:30.820 to consider

00:44:32.540 white people

00:44:33.160 the enemy

00:44:33.760 and the source

00:44:35.100 of all racism,

00:44:35.980 et cetera.

00:44:37.000 And,

00:44:37.780 you know,

00:44:38.180 while there's

00:44:38.700 some factual truth,

00:44:42.320 of course,

00:44:43.940 that white people

00:44:44.720 were behind slavery

00:44:45.820 and lots of other things,

00:44:47.640 I'm not arguing

00:44:48.740 the factual reality

00:44:50.580 of it.

00:44:51.260 I'm just arguing

00:44:52.140 that if you're

00:44:52.880 a major company,

00:44:53.700 you can't target

00:44:54.380 an ethnic group

00:44:55.120 and get away with it.

00:44:55.940 you can't target

00:44:57.960 an ethnic group,

00:44:59.260 I don't care

00:45:00.060 which one,

00:45:01.420 and get away

00:45:02.060 with it.

00:45:03.240 Okay?

00:45:03.760 And what have I

00:45:05.140 told you about

00:45:05.580 the public?

00:45:06.380 The public's

00:45:06.900 in charge.

00:45:08.260 AT&T won't do this

00:45:10.020 if the public

00:45:10.560 doesn't want them to

00:45:11.440 in large enough

00:45:12.980 percentage.

00:45:14.180 And in this case,

00:45:15.640 it's not going

00:45:16.120 to take a large

00:45:16.820 number of people

00:45:17.580 to cancel

00:45:18.320 their service.

00:45:19.360 If 10% of people

00:45:20.660 canceled their service

00:45:22.080 over this,

00:45:23.140 I think the CEO

00:45:24.300 would be replaced.

00:45:25.180 wouldn't they?

00:45:27.300 You don't think

00:45:28.140 you can get

00:45:28.700 10% of the public

00:45:29.940 to cancel

00:45:30.820 AT&T's service

00:45:32.160 over the fact

00:45:34.620 that they're

00:45:35.140 blatantly racist

00:45:36.540 and this is not

00:45:38.760 even an interpretation.

00:45:40.740 I'm just telling you

00:45:41.420 what they say.

00:45:43.440 Right?

00:45:44.060 They're demonizing

00:45:45.160 white people.

00:45:46.880 I'm not making it up.

00:45:48.260 You can check

00:45:48.700 for yourself.

00:45:50.220 And I would have

00:45:52.300 to think that by now,

00:45:53.740 just based on

00:45:55.000 the number of people

00:45:55.680 in my own

00:45:56.660 follower base,

00:45:58.760 the number of people

00:45:59.440 who told me

00:45:59.980 that they canceled

00:46:00.760 AT&T this week,

00:46:02.280 it's pretty big.

00:46:03.660 On YouTube,

00:46:04.540 now on the locals

00:46:05.680 platform,

00:46:06.300 a lot of people

00:46:06.780 canceled AT&T this week.

00:46:08.780 How many of you

00:46:09.620 are looking into it

00:46:10.560 or on YouTube,

00:46:12.780 the followers there,

00:46:14.060 how many looked

00:46:14.640 into it?

00:46:18.440 At least considered it.

00:46:19.820 And I see a yes,

00:46:23.800 looking into it.

00:46:24.880 I'm just reading some.

00:46:25.720 I'm considering it.

00:46:27.880 Hell yeah.

00:46:28.760 I canceled it today.

00:46:29.920 I am now.

00:46:31.280 Yes.

00:46:32.580 Too much hassle.

00:46:33.620 Yes, I'm looking.

00:46:34.860 Definitely going to do it.

00:46:35.780 Looking.

00:46:36.320 Yes, me.

00:46:38.040 Okay.

00:46:38.440 So look at the comments.

00:46:40.020 A lot of yeses.

00:46:41.080 Now, we can't get a sense

00:46:42.680 of the percentage, right?

00:46:44.220 Because the people

00:46:45.540 who are going to cancel

00:46:46.820 are the ones

00:46:47.220 who are going to answer here.

00:46:48.000 So I don't know

00:46:49.300 if that's a big number

00:46:50.320 or not.

00:46:52.220 But given that there are

00:46:55.240 3,200 people on here,

00:46:57.760 that's a lot of yeses,

00:46:58.740 isn't it?

00:47:01.800 Again, I don't know

00:47:03.520 that that's a lot of yeses

00:47:04.680 because I don't know

00:47:05.360 how many no's there are.

00:47:06.680 But it looks like it.

00:47:07.720 I mean, anecdotally,

00:47:08.540 it looks like a lot,

00:47:09.560 but we can't be sure.

00:47:11.280 All right.

00:47:11.560 So here's the point.

00:47:14.680 I wonder if their board

00:47:15.920 has taken up

00:47:18.240 this issue yet

00:47:19.040 because they have

00:47:20.400 to be noticing it.

00:47:22.280 I think they're going

00:47:23.240 to notice the cancellations.

00:47:24.600 And in my opinion,

00:47:25.920 the company needs

00:47:26.540 to be driven

00:47:27.020 out of business.

00:47:28.400 I think that this

00:47:29.340 is a big enough offense

00:47:30.640 that the company

00:47:32.480 needs to be bankrupted

00:47:33.560 for it.

00:47:35.000 And the alternative

00:47:37.280 would be for the CEO

00:47:38.300 to resign

00:47:38.920 or be replaced.

00:47:40.920 I would accept that.

00:47:42.600 But, you know,

00:47:43.140 if they change the policy

00:47:44.060 at the same time.

00:47:44.800 But you can't let

00:47:47.420 a major American company

00:47:49.320 be overtly racist

00:47:50.720 and stay in business.

00:47:52.740 We don't do that

00:47:53.740 in America.

00:47:55.100 That's just not American.

00:47:57.640 So if you want

00:47:59.080 to be anti-American

00:48:00.140 and sell to Americans,

00:48:01.440 good luck.

00:48:02.820 Good luck.

00:48:03.900 And by the way,

00:48:04.560 I don't think it's just

00:48:05.220 white people

00:48:05.720 that are complaining.

00:48:07.360 Like, don't you think

00:48:08.460 that some black people

00:48:09.500 are saying,

00:48:10.080 um,

00:48:11.000 this is what we

00:48:12.260 are fighting against

00:48:13.420 racial profiling.

00:48:16.160 You don't think

00:48:16.860 there's some black people?

00:48:17.980 I mean,

00:48:18.200 I've heard from them,

00:48:18.900 so I know,

00:48:19.340 I know that there are.

00:48:20.800 Um,

00:48:21.680 there are some black people

00:48:22.620 who don't like

00:48:23.340 AT&T targeting

00:48:24.680 white people.

00:48:25.880 Because as soon as you say

00:48:26.940 it's okay to target

00:48:27.760 a group,

00:48:28.480 you're causing

00:48:30.200 some problems.

00:48:30.880 All right.

00:48:33.380 Um,

00:48:33.780 and I'm going to

00:48:34.420 dovetail from that story

00:48:35.500 into this one.

00:48:36.300 My favorite story

00:48:37.320 of the day

00:48:37.900 by far.

00:48:38.960 Do you all know

00:48:40.240 who, uh,

00:48:41.080 Ibram, uh,

00:48:42.300 Kendi is?

00:48:44.380 Ibram Kendi.

00:48:46.140 Apparently a very

00:48:46.960 smart guy.

00:48:48.000 I think he's,

00:48:48.780 um,

00:48:50.120 some, uh,

00:48:50.860 award-winning

00:48:51.840 scholarly person.

00:48:53.340 So a very smart guy.

00:48:55.100 And, uh,

00:48:55.960 he's one of the

00:48:56.480 major, um,

00:48:57.940 forces behind,

00:48:59.660 let's say,

00:49:00.440 educating people

00:49:01.160 about, uh,

00:49:02.060 systemic racism

00:49:03.080 and,

00:49:04.200 and pushing

00:49:04.700 the education

00:49:05.580 of the public

00:49:06.760 on race.

00:49:08.300 et cetera.

00:49:10.160 And he tweeted

00:49:11.060 something,

00:49:12.380 uh,

00:49:13.620 which he,

00:49:15.460 uh,

00:49:15.660 had to,

00:49:16.160 uh,

00:49:16.340 delete.

00:49:17.900 This is so delicious

00:49:19.040 I'm doing it slowly.

00:49:21.020 I want you all

00:49:21.680 to get a good dose

00:49:22.420 of this one.

00:49:24.060 So here was his tweet,

00:49:26.040 uh,

00:49:26.880 which he deleted

00:49:27.600 quickly.

00:49:28.540 He said,

00:49:29.180 more than a third

00:49:30.000 of white students

00:49:31.140 lied about their race

00:49:32.560 on college applications.

00:49:34.820 And about half

00:49:35.560 of these applicants

00:49:36.300 lied about being

00:49:37.260 Native American.

00:49:38.300 More than three-fourths

00:49:42.860 of these students

00:49:43.580 who lied about

00:49:44.880 their race

00:49:45.460 were accepted.

00:49:49.260 Do you know

00:49:49.960 why he deleted it?

00:49:51.820 Now, I,

00:49:52.640 I don't know

00:49:53.440 that the information

00:49:54.220 is wrong.

00:49:54.800 The information

00:49:55.280 is probably right.

00:49:56.360 I haven't seen

00:49:56.820 it challenged.

00:49:57.740 But why would he

00:49:58.520 delete that tweet?

00:50:01.940 Well,

00:50:03.020 Andy Ngo

00:50:03.640 has an opinion

00:50:04.260 about this.

00:50:04.920 Andy Ngo

00:50:06.140 responded by

00:50:08.240 showing the

00:50:09.220 deleted tweet.

00:50:10.740 And he tweeted

00:50:11.680 himself,

00:50:12.940 Andy did,

00:50:14.120 race activist

00:50:14.900 Ibram Kendi

00:50:15.820 tweeted out

00:50:16.600 a report

00:50:17.040 claiming high

00:50:17.760 numbers of

00:50:18.300 white students

00:50:19.020 falsely identify

00:50:20.660 as people of

00:50:21.520 color to reap

00:50:22.420 benefits.

00:50:23.480 He deleted

00:50:24.300 the tweet

00:50:24.900 after realizing

00:50:26.260 it didn't advance

00:50:27.300 his argument

00:50:27.880 that whites

00:50:28.840 are privileged

00:50:29.560 in every way.

00:50:33.440 How delicious

00:50:37.560 is this?

00:50:40.160 The white people

00:50:41.500 who were lying

00:50:42.240 about their race

00:50:43.200 on college

00:50:43.800 applications

00:50:44.420 were doing it

00:50:45.920 for money.

00:50:46.460 They were lying

00:50:49.140 for money.

00:50:51.820 Meaning

00:50:52.380 that they would

00:50:53.400 get into a

00:50:53.860 better college

00:50:54.620 and have a

00:50:55.300 better job

00:50:55.780 or they would

00:50:57.100 maybe get a

00:50:57.840 scholarship.

00:50:59.480 They were lying

00:51:00.720 for money.

00:51:05.360 Can

00:51:05.920 white people

00:51:07.640 get money

00:51:08.180 just by saying

00:51:10.000 they're white

00:51:10.380 people?

00:51:12.120 Apparently

00:51:12.680 not.

00:51:13.720 But if you

00:51:14.380 say you're

00:51:15.020 another race

00:51:15.740 you can get

00:51:16.280 advantages.

00:51:18.020 Like really

00:51:18.820 big ones.

00:51:20.120 Like being

00:51:20.860 accepted into

00:51:21.560 a college

00:51:22.000 you wouldn't

00:51:22.300 be accepted

00:51:22.760 in maybe.

00:51:23.760 Or getting

00:51:24.160 a scholarship

00:51:24.720 you wouldn't

00:51:25.140 have gotten

00:51:25.420 otherwise.

00:51:26.200 Maybe.

00:51:27.560 Those are

00:51:28.140 pretty big

00:51:28.600 advantages.

00:51:30.380 So

00:51:30.640 I don't

00:51:33.240 think

00:51:33.720 Mr.

00:51:35.560 Kendi

00:51:35.800 got exactly

00:51:36.480 what he

00:51:36.780 wanted with

00:51:37.240 this comment.

00:51:38.560 And it's

00:51:38.820 funny that it

00:51:39.400 took him a

00:51:39.900 moment to

00:51:41.500 realize it

00:51:42.100 was counter

00:51:42.620 to his

00:51:43.080 entire reason

00:51:44.120 for existence.

00:51:45.740 His entire

00:51:46.180 reason for

00:51:46.760 existence

00:51:47.320 is this.

00:51:52.020 Now

00:51:52.240 as many

00:51:53.680 of you

00:51:53.940 know I

00:51:54.480 also identify

00:51:55.480 as black.

00:51:57.080 Why?

00:51:58.980 Why?

00:52:00.940 Because I

00:52:01.860 can.

00:52:03.240 That's one

00:52:03.700 reason.

00:52:04.360 So first of all

00:52:05.000 there's no

00:52:05.480 limitation because

00:52:06.920 the current

00:52:07.680 rules, the

00:52:08.260 2021 rules

00:52:09.440 that you can

00:52:10.520 identify with

00:52:11.460 wherever you

00:52:12.060 have the most

00:52:13.000 affinity.

00:52:15.060 And I

00:52:15.680 feel a

00:52:16.100 strong

00:52:16.440 affinity to

00:52:17.100 the black

00:52:17.800 population in

00:52:18.780 America.

00:52:20.420 Partly because

00:52:21.200 I was so

00:52:21.760 discriminated

00:52:22.440 against in

00:52:22.940 my own

00:52:23.240 employment for

00:52:24.020 my race.

00:52:25.740 Partly because

00:52:26.400 I just like

00:52:27.020 black people

00:52:27.600 and I like

00:52:29.240 sort of being

00:52:30.700 on the team.

00:52:31.940 I like to be

00:52:32.640 on a winning

00:52:33.020 team.

00:52:33.520 Exactly.

00:52:33.760 So I

00:52:38.620 identify.

00:52:39.840 Now do

00:52:41.300 you think

00:52:41.620 that these

00:52:42.000 students were

00:52:42.840 lying or

00:52:44.020 were they

00:52:44.420 identifying?

00:52:46.560 Were they

00:52:47.240 lying or

00:52:48.740 were they

00:52:49.120 identifying?

00:52:50.520 Because if

00:52:51.060 they were

00:52:51.300 identifying it's

00:52:52.100 fine.

00:52:54.140 If they were

00:52:54.860 lying well then

00:52:55.640 they're liars.

00:52:56.340 Nobody can

00:52:56.800 support that.

00:52:58.120 But I don't

00:52:58.980 support that you

00:52:59.620 lie about it.

00:53:00.320 I support that

00:53:01.700 you literally

00:53:02.460 identify.

00:53:03.060 identify as

00:53:03.920 whatever group

00:53:04.700 gets you the

00:53:05.300 most benefits.

00:53:06.720 And here's

00:53:07.060 the cool part.

00:53:09.360 You can

00:53:10.000 change it

00:53:10.420 anytime you

00:53:10.960 want.

00:53:11.980 So you

00:53:12.440 could be

00:53:12.700 filling out

00:53:13.120 your college

00:53:13.580 application and

00:53:14.500 identify as

00:53:15.300 Native American

00:53:16.020 or black or

00:53:16.800 whatever you

00:53:17.140 wanted.

00:53:18.440 And as soon

00:53:18.940 as you've

00:53:19.200 handed it in

00:53:19.840 you could say

00:53:21.240 I'm going to

00:53:22.740 the store now.

00:53:24.200 I'm going to

00:53:24.480 go shopping.

00:53:25.120 I'm going to

00:53:25.440 identify as

00:53:26.060 white so people

00:53:26.900 don't follow me

00:53:27.620 around and think

00:53:28.640 I'm going to

00:53:29.460 steal something.

00:53:31.480 And then as

00:53:31.900 soon as you

00:53:32.220 leave the store

00:53:32.820 and nobody

00:53:33.540 has followed

00:53:34.200 you around

00:53:34.680 for suspected

00:53:35.780 stealing and

00:53:37.540 you've got to

00:53:38.120 apply for a

00:53:38.920 job, identify

00:53:41.020 as black, apply

00:53:42.580 for the job, get

00:53:43.360 the job, keep

00:53:44.600 your identification

00:53:45.260 as black until

00:53:47.620 you need to

00:53:48.720 change it.

00:53:50.040 Now I don't

00:53:50.880 see any problem

00:53:51.980 with that under

00:53:52.900 the current

00:53:53.360 rules.

00:53:54.020 Do you?

00:53:54.980 And I didn't

00:53:55.660 make the rules.

00:53:57.060 I'm not suggesting

00:53:58.340 a rule change.

00:53:59.560 I'm saying those

00:54:00.260 are the current

00:54:00.760 rules.

00:54:01.160 Have I ever

00:54:02.720 told you how

00:54:04.060 to destroy a

00:54:05.060 bad idea, a

00:54:06.540 bad policy?

00:54:07.980 In the comments

00:54:09.060 tell me what's

00:54:10.480 one and maybe

00:54:11.620 the only way to

00:54:12.980 destroy a bad

00:54:14.160 idea that's

00:54:14.820 policy or a

00:54:16.640 law.

00:54:17.000 How do you

00:54:17.780 destroy a bad

00:54:18.480 idea?

00:54:19.800 You embrace it.

00:54:21.320 Exactly.

00:54:22.440 You can't do it

00:54:23.320 by criticizing it.

00:54:24.380 You can't make a

00:54:27.240 bad thing go

00:54:27.780 away by criticizing

00:54:28.600 it because whoever

00:54:29.260 did it in the

00:54:29.800 first place still

00:54:30.660 thinks it's a good

00:54:31.320 idea.

00:54:32.200 But you can adopt

00:54:33.280 it, you can

00:54:34.840 embrace it, and

00:54:36.540 you can use it for

00:54:37.420 all it's worth.

00:54:38.740 And you know what

00:54:39.280 happens when you

00:54:39.900 embrace it?

00:54:41.140 The system

00:54:41.840 collapses.

00:54:42.580 Because it was a

00:54:43.120 bad rule.

00:54:44.280 The reason it's a

00:54:45.140 bad rule is that if

00:54:46.600 everybody embraced

00:54:47.420 it, things would go

00:54:48.180 to hell.

00:54:49.160 So if you want it

00:54:50.040 to go away, just

00:54:50.700 embrace it.

00:54:52.340 Embrace it.

00:54:52.820 What do you

00:54:53.640 think these

00:54:54.000 college students

00:54:54.640 did when they

00:54:55.460 said that they

00:54:57.480 were Native

00:54:58.260 American or some

00:54:59.480 other person of

00:55:00.080 color?

00:55:00.900 What do you

00:55:01.260 think they were

00:55:01.700 doing?

00:55:03.440 Lying?

00:55:04.780 Were they lying?

00:55:06.400 Or were they

00:55:07.220 embracing it?

00:55:09.180 Probably a little

00:55:10.000 of both.

00:55:11.320 But the ones who

00:55:12.120 were embracing it

00:55:13.020 hard, they're my

00:55:15.260 heroes.

00:55:17.720 It's hard to know

00:55:18.640 if anybody was

00:55:19.320 doing anything but

00:55:20.000 just lying for

00:55:20.700 money.

00:55:20.940 But if they were

00:55:22.540 consciously embracing

00:55:23.760 it to break the

00:55:25.120 rule and they

00:55:27.060 got away with

00:55:27.640 it, heroes.

00:55:30.320 Total heroes.

00:55:31.820 So if you get to

00:55:33.080 the point where

00:55:33.580 100% of the

00:55:34.400 students identify

00:55:35.220 as people of

00:55:36.000 color, problem

00:55:39.600 solved.

00:55:41.380 Problem solved.

00:55:42.860 It's the

00:55:43.440 Bulworth theory

00:55:44.620 except accelerated.

00:55:47.400 Do you know the

00:55:48.180 movie Bulworth?

00:55:48.960 It was an

00:55:50.300 eccentric politician

00:55:52.940 who said a lot of

00:55:55.060 outrageous things

00:55:55.800 and he was running

00:55:56.360 for president in

00:55:57.200 this movie.

00:55:58.460 And one of the

00:55:58.920 outrageous things he

00:56:00.060 said is that, and

00:56:01.780 I have to use the

00:56:02.600 F word here because

00:56:03.540 it's a quote, right?

00:56:05.540 So send the

00:56:06.860 children away.

00:56:08.040 There'll be an F word

00:56:08.820 here but it's

00:56:09.520 somebody else's.

00:56:11.400 He said, why don't

00:56:12.460 we just all fuck

00:56:13.240 until we're all

00:56:13.780 brown?

00:56:14.120 Just everybody

00:56:16.400 fuck until

00:56:17.000 everybody's brown

00:56:17.720 and then problem

00:56:18.300 solved.

00:56:18.840 No racism.

00:56:20.660 Of course there

00:56:21.320 would be racism

00:56:21.900 because we'd just

00:56:22.480 find other reasons

00:56:23.200 to dislike each

00:56:24.220 other.

00:56:26.020 The left-handed

00:56:26.960 people would be in

00:56:27.740 trouble or something.

00:56:28.780 We'd find some

00:56:29.420 reason to discriminate

00:56:30.580 because that's who

00:56:31.140 we are.

00:56:32.660 But I think if a

00:56:34.920 third of students

00:56:35.680 said this and many

00:56:37.940 of them got an

00:56:39.040 advantage from it,

00:56:40.800 what's it going to

00:56:41.300 look like next

00:56:41.880 year?

00:56:42.100 Next year, if

00:56:44.480 you found out

00:56:45.020 that three-quarters

00:56:45.760 of the people

00:56:46.260 who lied on their

00:56:47.000 application got a

00:56:48.020 financial benefit from

00:56:49.260 it and no penalty,

00:56:50.980 what's going to

00:56:52.000 happen next year?

00:56:53.560 Well, it's not

00:56:54.060 going to be one-third.

00:56:56.080 It might be two-thirds.

00:56:57.940 So next year, it

00:56:59.420 might be two-thirds

00:57:00.320 of all the applicants

00:57:01.260 are pretending to

00:57:03.280 be or identifying

00:57:04.420 with another race.

00:57:07.820 So I think that's

00:57:08.740 the most delicious

00:57:09.360 story of the day,

00:57:10.180 in my opinion.

00:57:11.640 All right, here's

00:57:12.020 a question for

00:57:12.600 you.

00:57:14.100 For the people

00:57:15.720 who are getting

00:57:16.040 booster shots, if

00:57:18.040 you've already

00:57:18.420 gotten two shots

00:57:20.040 of the same type,

00:57:20.980 let's say two

00:57:21.600 Modernas or you

00:57:22.500 got two Pfizers,

00:57:23.820 apparently now they're

00:57:24.660 going to open it up

00:57:25.400 that your booster

00:57:26.060 shot could be a

00:57:27.960 different vaccination.

00:57:30.340 And I think the

00:57:31.200 idea is that they've

00:57:32.220 tested and they

00:57:32.960 found your antibodies

00:57:33.820 still look good,

00:57:34.980 no matter which you

00:57:36.160 boost, whether it's

00:57:37.660 the same or a

00:57:38.660 different one.

00:57:39.080 But on top of

00:57:40.480 that, on top of

00:57:41.800 that, it might

00:57:44.060 make it easier for

00:57:45.000 supplies, more

00:57:46.080 availability, because

00:57:46.980 you don't have to

00:57:47.420 worry about which

00:57:48.000 one you're getting,

00:57:48.720 et cetera.

00:57:49.320 So there could be a

00:57:50.120 whole bunch of

00:57:50.520 benefits for that.

00:57:51.300 But there's one

00:57:52.880 obvious problem,

00:57:53.860 isn't it?

00:57:55.720 Isn't there one

00:57:56.320 obvious problem?

00:57:58.660 In that if you

00:58:01.300 are worried about

00:58:01.920 the safety of the

00:58:02.740 vaccination itself,

00:58:04.920 aren't you doubling

00:58:06.340 your risk by doing

00:58:07.280 a second one?

00:58:08.800 Am I wrong about

00:58:09.480 that?

00:58:10.100 So I need a medical

00:58:11.540 opinion on this.

00:58:14.080 Medical opinion.

00:58:15.760 So I've taken two

00:58:16.920 Moderna shots.

00:58:18.360 If I were to get a

00:58:19.360 booster, I would

00:58:20.640 personally, this is

00:58:21.860 my own thinking, so

00:58:22.820 I'm not recommending

00:58:23.520 this to you, but my

00:58:25.080 own thinking says I

00:58:26.060 should get the same

00:58:26.860 shot again.

00:58:28.300 Here's why.

00:58:29.880 Because the first

00:58:30.520 two didn't kill me.

00:58:32.280 I had no known

00:58:33.520 side effects from the

00:58:34.420 first two shots.

00:58:36.000 Would you get a

00:58:37.260 separate vaccination

00:58:38.700 if you were a little

00:58:40.320 bit worried about the

00:58:41.160 side effects, knowing

00:58:42.560 that the first two

00:58:43.460 you got didn't hurt

00:58:45.260 you?

00:58:46.640 Wouldn't you get the

00:58:47.820 same kind the third

00:58:48.740 time?

00:58:50.960 Am I wrong about

00:58:51.960 that?

00:58:54.540 I'm seeing lots of

00:58:55.520 no's, but I don't

00:58:56.760 know which question

00:58:57.640 you're saying no to.

00:59:00.360 Now, I get the

00:59:01.580 idea.

00:59:02.340 Now, I would imagine

00:59:03.380 that there's a benefit

00:59:04.200 from getting a

00:59:05.040 separate one, which

00:59:06.240 is that if the one

00:59:07.600 vaccine protects you

00:59:09.060 in a particular way

00:59:10.300 and another vaccine

00:59:11.980 added a different way

00:59:13.060 to protect you, a

00:59:14.740 little more protection.

00:59:15.420 But don't you open

00:59:17.120 yourself way up to

00:59:19.640 one of the vaccinations

00:59:20.760 being more dangerous

00:59:21.740 than the other, and

00:59:24.440 you switch to the one

00:59:25.700 that gave you

00:59:26.500 specifically a problem?

00:59:30.360 Okay.

00:59:31.020 So I see some people

00:59:32.020 agreeing with me, but

00:59:32.800 I don't know if we're

00:59:33.700 medically smart about

00:59:35.100 this.

00:59:35.760 This is the type of

00:59:36.760 question where your

00:59:38.080 common sense can get

00:59:40.280 you to the wrong

00:59:40.820 place.

00:59:41.680 My common sense says

00:59:43.100 do the same kind.

00:59:45.420 But I don't know if

00:59:46.600 the medical community

00:59:47.420 would agree with that

00:59:48.220 because they're

00:59:48.600 recommending the

00:59:49.240 different kind here.

00:59:50.600 So I'm a little

00:59:51.580 confused about why

00:59:52.360 they're recommending

00:59:52.860 this without a

00:59:53.800 caveat.

00:59:55.220 Somebody sent to me

00:59:57.200 on Twitter a long

01:00:00.340 text thing by an

01:00:01.520 Australian engineer.

01:00:02.700 He's an engineering

01:00:03.380 PhD.

01:00:04.340 So somebody who's

01:00:04.900 really good at

01:00:05.620 analyzing things.

01:00:07.040 And this gentleman,

01:00:08.840 I think he's

01:00:09.160 Australian, did a deep

01:00:10.740 dive into all the

01:00:11.620 COVID data, you know,

01:00:13.280 really went to like

01:00:14.260 base, you know,

01:00:15.780 fundamental data, you

01:00:17.640 know, really dug in

01:00:18.420 further than any of us

01:00:19.680 would or probably could.

01:00:21.840 And he had a number

01:00:24.840 of questions.

01:00:26.400 Now, if you read the

01:00:27.000 questions, they're very

01:00:27.840 provocative.

01:00:28.740 Like, huh, if this is

01:00:30.420 the data, then why is

01:00:32.200 this true?

01:00:33.640 And there were so many

01:00:35.600 of the questions that it

01:00:37.880 turned into what somebody

01:00:39.180 called a gish gallop,

01:00:44.060 which I'd never heard

01:00:45.200 of.

01:00:45.980 Have you ever heard of

01:00:46.500 that term?

01:00:46.980 A gish gallop, G-I-S-H?

01:00:52.060 Maybe it was named

01:00:52.940 after somebody called

01:00:53.800 gish.

01:00:54.800 But the idea is that

01:00:56.360 you overwhelm with so

01:00:58.120 many points that if

01:00:59.880 somebody tries to argue

01:01:00.760 with you, they can

01:01:01.500 only, they only have

01:01:02.260 time to argue a point

01:01:03.300 or two.

01:01:04.040 And then you could say,

01:01:05.020 oh, well, okay, maybe

01:01:06.380 you win on that point

01:01:07.200 or two, but I had all

01:01:08.020 these other points, so

01:01:09.000 I still win.

01:01:10.400 So basically, it's a

01:01:11.580 way to win an argument

01:01:12.440 by overwhelming with

01:01:14.880 so many points that

01:01:16.460 the other team just

01:01:17.460 can't deal with them

01:01:18.560 all.

01:01:19.180 And then you could

01:01:19.680 always go away and

01:01:20.320 say, well, you didn't

01:01:20.940 deal with them all.

01:01:22.780 And I've called that

01:01:24.160 the laundry list

01:01:25.100 approach, the laundry

01:01:26.580 list.

01:01:27.680 And I have recommended

01:01:29.000 that there is a way

01:01:29.820 to deal with it.

01:01:30.840 The way you deal with

01:01:31.720 the laundry list is

01:01:33.760 you ask for the most,

01:01:35.360 the most, let's say,

01:01:37.040 powerful point.

01:01:38.320 What's your best

01:01:39.080 point?

01:01:40.440 Give me your best

01:01:41.220 point.

01:01:41.700 And if I can debunk

01:01:42.560 your best point, can

01:01:44.260 we agree that all the

01:01:45.600 rest of them are weaker

01:01:47.220 than that?

01:01:47.880 And this one got

01:01:48.480 debunked.

01:01:49.740 So you should go back

01:01:50.780 and rethink your other

01:01:51.640 points.

01:01:52.380 I think that's the only

01:01:53.120 way to do it.

01:01:56.640 Now, when I first heard

01:01:57.720 this term, a gish

01:01:58.760 gallop, the first thing

01:02:00.640 I thought is it sounds

01:02:01.640 like any weekend for

01:02:03.340 Tiger Woods, but that's

01:02:06.380 just me.

01:02:07.740 I'm just going to let

01:02:08.340 that sit there for a

01:02:09.200 moment.

01:02:10.660 The gish gallop is like

01:02:12.700 any weekend for Tiger

01:02:14.160 Woods.

01:02:16.100 Anybody?

01:02:17.000 Anybody?

01:02:18.300 No?

01:02:19.100 No?

01:02:19.940 Nobody?

01:02:20.280 Does anybody appreciate

01:02:23.060 that joke?

01:02:26.480 Nobody, apparently.

01:02:27.980 Apparently that was just

01:02:28.900 for me.

01:02:29.760 Okay.

01:02:32.060 But here are some of

01:02:34.820 the questions that the

01:02:35.800 engineer asked.

01:02:37.760 Why is it that so many

01:02:39.180 old people were dying

01:02:41.040 right after the

01:02:41.720 vaccination?

01:02:43.020 If the vaccinations

01:02:44.180 are safe, why,

01:02:46.280 according to some data

01:02:47.120 source, were so many

01:02:48.820 old people dying right

01:02:50.260 after the vaccination?

01:02:51.500 How can you explain

01:02:52.300 that?

01:02:52.860 That's the question,

01:02:53.580 right?

01:02:55.040 Well, I can answer

01:02:56.200 that.

01:02:57.500 Is there anybody here

01:02:58.500 who can't answer

01:02:59.060 that?

01:02:59.840 Why did so many

01:03:00.880 old people die

01:03:01.880 after getting

01:03:02.600 vaccinated?

01:03:04.920 It might have

01:03:05.800 something to do

01:03:06.440 with the fact that

01:03:07.060 the order of

01:03:07.840 vaccination was

01:03:08.800 people closest to

01:03:09.980 death first.

01:03:12.540 I'm just going to

01:03:13.460 guess that if you

01:03:15.920 were almost ready

01:03:16.780 to die anyway,

01:03:18.560 wouldn't you expect

01:03:19.360 that group to have

01:03:20.100 a lot of deaths

01:03:20.780 after a vaccination?

01:03:23.060 Because you could

01:03:23.880 walk into any old

01:03:24.980 folks' home and

01:03:26.420 juggle.

01:03:26.740 Let's just say

01:03:28.000 you're a juggler

01:03:28.640 and you go to

01:03:29.900 the old folks'

01:03:30.620 home and you

01:03:31.020 just start juggling.

01:03:32.660 Do you think any

01:03:33.520 old people will

01:03:34.240 die within two

01:03:35.340 weeks after you

01:03:35.960 juggled?

01:03:38.120 Probably.

01:03:39.560 Probably.

01:03:41.220 Yeah.

01:03:42.000 So I don't know

01:03:42.700 if that's the

01:03:43.140 answer, but it

01:03:44.800 seems obvious to

01:03:45.560 me.

01:03:47.240 One of the

01:03:47.820 questions was,

01:03:48.560 why did the

01:03:49.000 regular flu

01:03:49.740 disappear?

01:03:50.240 Why did all

01:03:52.620 indications of

01:03:53.460 the normal

01:03:54.060 seasonal flu

01:03:54.780 just disappear?

01:03:56.160 Now, I've asked

01:03:56.760 this question

01:03:57.220 myself.

01:03:58.720 What do you

01:03:59.300 think is the

01:03:59.660 answer?

01:04:00.860 Why did the

01:04:01.500 regular flu

01:04:02.280 disappear?

01:04:04.500 Now, one would

01:04:05.240 be that the

01:04:07.380 regular flu is

01:04:09.300 being misdiagnosed

01:04:10.440 as COVID.

01:04:12.360 That seems

01:04:13.020 likely, right?

01:04:14.180 Good chance the

01:04:15.140 regular flu is

01:04:15.980 being misdiagnosed

01:04:16.880 as COVID.

01:04:17.880 Maybe.

01:04:18.140 But I would

01:04:19.120 think 100% of

01:04:20.020 the people who

01:04:20.700 had the regular

01:04:22.440 flu and thought

01:04:23.840 it was COVID

01:04:24.440 would get a

01:04:25.860 test, wouldn't

01:04:26.740 they?

01:04:27.640 Wouldn't everybody

01:04:28.440 who had symptoms

01:04:29.600 get a test these

01:04:30.380 days, at least

01:04:30.900 in the United

01:04:31.300 States?

01:04:32.440 So I'm not so

01:04:33.620 sure that's the

01:04:34.940 explanation, and

01:04:36.300 I don't think he

01:04:37.160 was suggesting

01:04:37.720 that's the

01:04:38.120 explanation.

01:04:39.640 Here's why I

01:04:40.480 think the

01:04:40.880 regular flu

01:04:41.520 disappeared.

01:04:44.000 Somebody says

01:04:44.860 kids not in

01:04:45.560 school, but there

01:04:46.520 were a lot of

01:04:47.200 places where kids

01:04:47.960 were in school.

01:04:50.400 Right?

01:04:50.760 And it doesn't

01:04:51.580 seem to make a

01:04:52.160 difference.

01:04:53.940 So in other

01:04:54.760 countries, the

01:04:55.340 regular flu

01:04:55.920 disappeared, and

01:04:56.800 in other

01:04:57.080 countries, they

01:04:58.000 went to school.

01:04:59.740 Do you think

01:05:00.300 it's because masks

01:05:01.240 are really good

01:05:02.200 against the

01:05:02.880 regular flu?

01:05:04.560 Maybe the masks

01:05:05.580 are really good,

01:05:06.420 but only for the

01:05:07.260 regular flu, not

01:05:08.020 for COVID.

01:05:09.980 Do you think?

01:05:11.500 I don't think

01:05:12.260 that's the answer.

01:05:13.980 Robin says,

01:05:14.740 here we go.

01:05:15.320 The people who

01:05:20.740 think that I'm

01:05:21.360 cleverly trying to

01:05:22.440 convince you to

01:05:23.320 wear masks or to

01:05:25.140 get vaccinated or

01:05:26.220 anything, you're

01:05:27.200 all wrong.

01:05:28.700 You're all

01:05:29.400 completely wrong.

01:05:31.080 So you can't read

01:05:31.960 my mind, but let

01:05:33.060 me tell you what's

01:05:33.580 in there.

01:05:34.440 Nothing about

01:05:35.280 telling you what

01:05:35.900 to do.

01:05:37.340 And I'm anti-mask.

01:05:40.040 At this point in

01:05:41.060 the pandemic, I'm

01:05:41.840 anti-mask.

01:05:42.320 Except in special

01:05:44.640 situations.

01:05:47.280 Here's why I

01:05:48.080 think the regular

01:05:48.740 flu disappeared.

01:05:50.940 It was never

01:05:51.820 real.

01:05:53.940 That's why I

01:05:54.680 think the regular

01:05:55.360 flu deaths

01:05:56.440 disappeared, because

01:05:58.180 they were never

01:05:58.660 real.

01:06:00.080 There were always

01:06:00.820 estimates based on

01:06:02.040 seasonality.

01:06:03.960 There would be a

01:06:04.480 seasonal bump in

01:06:05.440 total deaths, and

01:06:06.880 people would say,

01:06:07.480 well, we don't have

01:06:08.700 any other way to

01:06:09.320 explain it.

01:06:09.880 It's probably those

01:06:10.380 flu deaths.

01:06:12.320 Maybe.

01:06:13.800 But I think when

01:06:14.740 you started counting

01:06:15.600 and you couldn't

01:06:16.120 find any, once we

01:06:17.380 got really serious

01:06:18.240 about, oh, you got

01:06:19.420 some symptoms, we're

01:06:20.920 going to test those

01:06:21.580 symptoms, and then

01:06:23.000 they tested them, it

01:06:23.780 wasn't the regular

01:06:24.460 flu.

01:06:26.060 I have a feeling that

01:06:27.560 the regular flu was

01:06:28.640 always bullshit, in

01:06:30.000 terms of the deaths,

01:06:31.160 not in terms of

01:06:31.960 whether people had

01:06:32.620 the regular flu.

01:06:35.620 Yeah, and I've never

01:06:36.820 known anybody who

01:06:37.440 died from it.

01:06:38.080 Now, if you talk to

01:06:38.920 doctors, doctors will

01:06:40.880 tell you they do see

01:06:41.800 people die from

01:06:42.540 flu.

01:06:43.240 So it's not like it

01:06:44.240 didn't happen, but

01:06:45.820 it's also very old

01:06:47.740 people, frail people,

01:06:49.740 et cetera.

01:06:51.480 All right.

01:06:54.260 That was just about

01:06:56.840 everything I wanted to

01:06:57.620 talk about today.

01:06:59.240 I'll try to figure out

01:07:01.260 what's...

01:07:06.180 CDC reports pin deaths

01:07:09.980 weekly?

01:07:10.780 What?

01:07:13.820 Oh, did I recover?

01:07:15.400 Did I recover well

01:07:16.560 enough to salvage this

01:07:18.760 terrible live stream?

01:07:21.180 Oh, I have good news on

01:07:22.140 the cat.

01:07:22.900 I'm being asked on an

01:07:23.900 update on the cat.

01:07:24.620 So my cat had a

01:07:25.960 tentative, probably

01:07:28.200 cancer diagnosis that

01:07:30.720 turned into absolutely

01:07:32.740 no cancer.

01:07:33.980 So when the most

01:07:34.920 sensitive test was

01:07:35.920 run, it was not

01:07:36.700 there.

01:07:37.660 So boo the cat will

01:07:39.620 go on to a long,

01:07:41.360 healthy life, we

01:07:42.400 think.

01:07:43.460 We think.

01:07:49.160 You wanted to see a

01:07:50.480 printer defenestrated.

01:07:52.020 Yeah, well, you

01:07:53.760 missed it when I did

01:07:54.420 my last one.

01:07:58.040 Yes, and the person

01:08:00.060 least surprised was

01:08:01.700 me.

01:08:02.920 Here's why I didn't

01:08:03.840 think it was real

01:08:04.500 cancer.

01:08:05.380 Have I ever told you

01:08:06.180 to follow the money?

01:08:09.320 Yeah, I didn't have

01:08:10.180 to tell you that,

01:08:10.720 right?

01:08:11.200 When you're trying to

01:08:11.800 figure out what is

01:08:12.380 true and what is not,

01:08:14.020 follow the money works

01:08:15.240 so often that it's

01:08:17.640 amazing.

01:08:18.700 And I'm not even

01:08:19.660 sure that it's people

01:08:20.900 making it conscious

01:08:21.880 decision to follow

01:08:22.840 the money because I

01:08:24.080 don't even know why

01:08:24.780 it works because I'm

01:08:26.140 pretty sure a lot of

01:08:26.780 people don't do that.

01:08:27.880 Here's why I thought

01:08:29.360 it was not true from

01:08:30.340 the start.

01:08:31.600 The so-called maybe

01:08:33.040 cancer was discovered

01:08:34.280 while fixing a

01:08:36.380 different problem,

01:08:37.360 which is she had

01:08:38.620 some polyps that she

01:08:39.620 had some surgery to

01:08:40.440 remove them in her

01:08:41.380 ear and it was

01:08:43.140 causing some balance

01:08:43.940 problems and stuff.

01:08:45.080 And when they did

01:08:46.820 the surgery, they

01:08:47.520 found some suspicious

01:08:48.620 stuff and they said

01:08:50.300 this could either be

01:08:51.340 a signal from the

01:08:53.160 surgery itself,

01:08:54.440 just inflation,

01:08:55.460 inflammation, or it

01:08:57.500 could be cancer.

01:08:59.620 Now, what are the

01:09:01.100 odds that they would

01:09:03.420 find this cancer in a

01:09:05.640 youngish cat?

01:09:06.480 She's not that old.

01:09:07.900 What are the odds they

01:09:08.840 would find this cancer

01:09:09.860 in the very place that

01:09:11.340 they were looking for

01:09:12.060 something else and

01:09:13.100 found the something

01:09:13.740 else and that in the

01:09:16.080 process of finding and

01:09:17.140 removing the something

01:09:17.980 else definitely would

01:09:19.540 cause something to look

01:09:20.520 exactly like cancer,

01:09:21.700 which I think was more

01:09:23.040 white blood cells or

01:09:24.140 something.

01:09:25.540 Now, how expensive is

01:09:27.200 it to figure out if you

01:09:29.180 have cancer for sure?

01:09:31.100 Really expensive.

01:09:33.620 And what happens if you

01:09:34.800 do have cancer?

01:09:36.300 Really expensive if you're

01:09:38.640 going to treat it.

01:09:40.420 Now, so we did more

01:09:42.380 tests.

01:09:43.320 Follow the money.

01:09:44.260 The money would have

01:09:45.120 suggested that there

01:09:46.580 would be more tests.

01:09:47.840 Sure enough, there were

01:09:48.900 more tests.

01:09:49.940 Next test run was

01:09:51.200 ambiguous.

01:09:52.740 It was ambiguous.

01:09:55.420 Because it was an

01:09:56.260 insensitive test.

01:09:57.820 So what do you do if you

01:09:58.680 get an ambiguous test?

01:09:59.960 Well, you've got to do

01:10:00.580 the expensive one.

01:10:02.080 You've got to do the

01:10:02.740 expensive one.

01:10:03.960 And so that's what we

01:10:04.600 did.

01:10:05.480 Now, all along I said to

01:10:07.460 myself, it seems like this

01:10:08.840 would be a very big

01:10:09.800 coincidence, a very big

01:10:12.340 coincidence that we

01:10:14.160 discover cancer.

01:10:15.220 Here's another fact.

01:10:18.100 A cat that has this

01:10:19.580 particular cancer is going

01:10:21.740 to die in a few months.

01:10:24.080 Right?

01:10:24.660 This one will get you in

01:10:25.560 a few months.

01:10:27.060 What are the odds that

01:10:28.000 that little period of the

01:10:29.740 cat's life, those few

01:10:31.440 months, would be exactly

01:10:33.340 the only time we did a

01:10:34.580 surgery and discovered

01:10:36.740 this cancer and not only

01:10:41.020 discovered it, but

01:10:42.160 discovered it so early that

01:10:44.380 there were no symptoms?

01:10:46.920 Right?

01:10:47.220 There were no lumps or

01:10:48.160 anything like that.

01:10:49.340 What are the odds?

01:10:50.620 So I said from day one,

01:10:52.080 follow the money.

01:10:53.400 It looks like this is not

01:10:54.900 real.

01:10:55.460 And sure enough, it

01:10:56.200 wasn't.

01:10:57.240 It wasn't.

01:10:58.440 So I don't know that I

01:11:00.660 actually like my

01:11:01.660 veterinarian a lot and I

01:11:02.860 don't believe that she

01:11:05.040 was just following the

01:11:06.740 money.

01:11:07.600 But I do think that it's

01:11:10.380 weird coincidence that you

01:11:12.340 could predict it always

01:11:13.420 goes that way.

01:11:15.580 Now, she has another

01:11:16.840 problem, which was she

01:11:17.640 still has the infection

01:11:18.520 that caused the original

01:11:19.480 surgery to happen.

01:11:21.540 But there's some drugs you

01:11:23.160 give her.

01:11:24.380 You can give her drugs, but

01:11:26.420 you have to give it to her

01:11:27.160 for two months and then

01:11:28.680 she'll be fine.

01:11:29.960 The alternative is a

01:11:31.600 hyperbaric chamber.

01:11:33.040 And the vet explained to me

01:11:35.580 yesterday, if you want an

01:11:36.820 even better result, you

01:11:38.560 could take her to a

01:11:39.700 hyperbaric chamber frequently

01:11:41.540 for two weeks for these

01:11:43.840 what I assume are super

01:11:45.380 expensive treatments that

01:11:46.680 traumatize your cat.

01:11:48.480 And then you could be a

01:11:49.620 little more certain that the

01:11:50.540 antibiotics work.

01:11:52.360 But the antibiotics will

01:11:53.760 probably work even without

01:11:55.060 that.

01:11:55.340 Now, I said, stop, stop,

01:11:58.200 stop.

01:11:58.860 I'm not going to drive to

01:11:59.940 Oakland many times in the

01:12:02.040 next two weeks to do this

01:12:04.360 really expensive thing that I

01:12:05.900 could do at home and just

01:12:06.900 give her drugs every day.

01:12:09.320 So, the fall of the money just

01:12:12.500 works almost every time.

01:12:15.220 Here's a little experiment for

01:12:16.540 you.

01:12:17.420 Next time you can't decide what

01:12:18.960 to eat at a restaurant, ask the

01:12:21.340 server which of the two things

01:12:23.720 that you've narrowed it down

01:12:25.520 to, which of the two things

01:12:27.120 they recommend.

01:12:29.300 Are they ever going to

01:12:30.400 recommend the less expensive

01:12:31.980 of the two items you say?

01:12:33.380 Which one is better?

01:12:34.880 To people like this one or

01:12:35.860 this one more?

01:12:37.340 I've been tracking this for

01:12:39.180 decades.

01:12:40.760 100% of the time, the server

01:12:43.320 recommends the expensive one.

01:12:46.920 100% of the time.

01:12:49.580 Now, are they lying?

01:12:52.220 I don't know.

01:12:53.020 I actually don't know.

01:12:54.780 Because I don't think it makes

01:12:55.660 that much difference to them

01:12:56.920 that the customer gets the one

01:12:59.380 that's a dollar more.

01:13:01.420 Their tip goes up by 20 cents.

01:13:03.820 But they're certainly going to

01:13:05.340 sell that one.

01:13:06.920 And maybe the restaurant requires

01:13:09.980 them to upsell that one.

01:13:12.580 But watch for this.

01:13:14.620 Watch how many times you can't

01:13:16.080 identify the mechanism for why

01:13:18.640 following the money would be

01:13:19.920 predictive.

01:13:20.300 You look at it and you say,

01:13:22.180 yeah, I get what you're saying.

01:13:23.660 Follow the money should work.

01:13:25.280 But the people involved definitely

01:13:26.720 don't care about the money in this

01:13:28.240 case.

01:13:29.180 Because that's quite often, right?

01:13:30.960 You can identify a lot of people

01:13:32.440 who, as far as you can tell,

01:13:34.020 are not in it for the money.

01:13:35.640 It could be the Pope.

01:13:38.500 You can imagine lots of situations

01:13:40.260 where you're convinced it's not

01:13:42.480 about the money.

01:13:43.140 still make your prediction as if it

01:13:46.120 were.

01:13:47.120 And you're going to be right.

01:13:49.140 Not every time, but a lot.

01:13:53.080 Yes, it explains the hostility toward

01:13:55.100 ivermectin, even if it's not the

01:13:58.800 reason.

01:14:00.900 That's a perfect example.

01:14:03.340 All right, ivermectin is a perfect

01:14:04.420 example.

01:14:04.820 I don't have any evidence that the

01:14:08.080 reason ivermectin is being crapped on

01:14:10.580 is that some pharma company will make

01:14:13.060 more money if that's not available.

01:14:14.920 I have no evidence that I've seen to

01:14:18.620 suggest that's what's happening.

01:14:20.620 However, if you made a prediction based

01:14:23.860 on follow the money, and that would be an

01:14:25.920 obvious way to follow it, you would get

01:14:28.140 to the same, you would get to the right

01:14:29.600 conclusion, which is that it would be

01:14:31.960 diminished by everybody who's, you

01:14:35.120 know, got a foot in that world.

01:14:38.520 Yeah.

01:14:41.220 I think if you're dealing with, you

01:14:42.680 know, the pharma companies, it's

01:14:43.840 definitely about the money.

01:14:49.560 What do I know about January 6th and

01:14:51.520 who planned it?

01:14:52.380 Well, I know what's in the media.

01:14:57.380 But I also know more about the world.

01:15:00.300 So you're never going to know, you're

01:15:03.080 never going to know what I know about

01:15:04.220 that.

01:15:05.260 That will never come out.

01:15:06.780 But I don't have any information that

01:15:08.220 says the FBI was behind it.

01:15:10.880 So I have no information to suggest the

01:15:13.400 FBI was behind it, or that they weren't.

01:15:15.520 I have no information on that.

01:15:17.160 I don't think it's part of the story.

01:15:19.960 If it is, it's a small part.

01:15:21.440 If Trump ran as a Democrat, he could blow

01:15:29.180 up the progressives in the party.

01:15:31.360 Interesting idea.

01:15:32.260 He won't do that.

01:15:34.620 Will Tucker be canceled?

01:15:36.320 I don't think so.

01:15:38.840 I think Tucker is a pretty big part of

01:15:41.200 Fox News' profit model.

01:15:43.440 The lazy man's guide to enlightenment.

01:15:55.920 Sounds good.

01:16:00.900 Trump should run as an independent.

01:16:02.660 No, they never get elected.

01:16:06.300 Yeah, Tucker might be too big to cancel.

01:16:08.180 That's right.

01:16:08.560 You know, and the other thing that

01:16:11.460 Tucker has going for him is that when

01:16:13.120 he's wrong, he tells you.

01:16:15.520 That's a good protection.

01:16:18.760 Now, I said this the other day, and I

01:16:20.380 don't think Tucker Carlson gets enough

01:16:22.420 credit for this, that when he's wrong,

01:16:25.380 he says it directly.

01:16:26.600 And he says it pretty quickly.

01:16:28.040 He doesn't make you wait for it.

01:16:29.780 And I think that keeps you safe.

01:16:32.600 Because he could say something that was

01:16:34.120 pretty outrageous, as long as it was

01:16:36.960 an honest opinion.

01:16:39.180 And I think he could say, okay,

01:16:40.620 I was wrong about that.

01:16:42.220 You know, now that you mention it,

01:16:43.720 I'm wrong.

01:16:49.020 Look into Ray Epps.

01:16:50.300 He incited the crowd.

01:16:51.700 Somebody says, I don't know, who's Ray Epps?

01:16:56.420 Somebody says, Tucker is pro-white.

01:17:00.180 Well, I'm pretty sure Tucker is pro-people.

01:17:04.520 And some of them are white.

01:17:05.820 If his beat seems more pro-white than some

01:17:11.300 other person, that probably has more to do

01:17:13.540 with the audience.

01:17:17.040 Oh, Epps is a Fed informant.

01:17:19.060 Okay.

01:17:21.720 Oh, Ray Epps was a director provocateur,

01:17:23.960 and he was not arrested.

01:17:25.900 And he was a, so Vernon tweet,

01:17:29.620 somebody tweeted about this.

01:17:32.620 Ray Epps was paid by the FBI to cause the insurrection.

01:17:35.820 Ah, okay.

01:17:38.480 I'm going to doubt that story.

01:17:40.840 Let me give you some,

01:17:42.900 let me tell you what it sounds like.

01:17:46.300 A little bit too on the nose.

01:17:48.220 Now, I'm not saying it's fake.

01:17:52.360 I'm saying that if you hear that story for the first time,

01:17:56.280 and you hear that there was, in fact,

01:17:58.020 a specific FBI agent who was paid to incite a riot,

01:18:02.880 the first thing you should think is it's probably not true.

01:18:06.400 That should be your default assumption.

01:18:08.340 Probably not true.

01:18:09.460 And why?

01:18:10.400 It's too on the nose.

01:18:12.440 Doesn't mean it's false.

01:18:14.820 Right?

01:18:15.260 I'm open to the possibility.

01:18:17.320 Doesn't mean it's false.

01:18:18.860 All I'm going to say for sure

01:18:20.460 is that it doesn't sound true.

01:18:24.440 I could be wrong.

01:18:26.260 But if you always bet against everything that sounds too perfect,

01:18:30.280 just always bet against that.

01:18:32.320 You'll be right 90% of the time.

01:18:35.080 But, you know, 10% is real,

01:18:36.900 so maybe it's real.

01:18:39.300 Watch the video.

01:18:40.340 Oh, is this based on the Tucker Carlson video?

01:18:44.640 Did that come out?

01:18:45.780 The special he did?

01:18:50.220 He's on several videos inciting the people to go in.

01:18:54.340 And has he been confirmed to be a FBI asset?

01:18:58.180 I assume so, or you wouldn't be saying this.

01:19:03.200 I have a...

01:19:06.120 Yes, old people die from the flu.

01:19:10.800 I think it happens.

01:19:11.760 I don't think it happens in the numbers, we've been told.

01:19:18.060 All right.

01:19:18.780 I'll watch the Tucker package on it.

01:19:24.460 Yeah, I heard about the Whitmer situation.

01:19:28.180 But fill in the blanks for me.

01:19:30.360 Why would the FBI be doing that?

01:19:33.100 Complete the picture for me.

01:19:34.340 In the comments,

01:19:34.980 I think you have enough room in the comments.

01:19:36.300 Can somebody complete the picture?

01:19:38.740 Let's say it's true.

01:19:40.080 And I'm not stipulating that.

01:19:42.600 But let's say, just to think it through,

01:19:44.820 imagine if there was an FBI informant.

01:19:47.040 Let's say it's this Ray Epps guy.

01:19:48.720 And let's say the FBI paid him

01:19:50.540 to help encourage the thing.

01:19:53.940 Why did he do it?

01:19:55.260 Why would he do it?

01:19:57.180 FBI works for China?

01:20:00.060 I don't see that.

01:20:01.420 To draw out the righties?

01:20:05.360 That doesn't feel like a good plan.

01:20:07.600 Maybe.

01:20:13.080 FBI hates Trump?

01:20:15.160 I don't know.

01:20:15.900 That's a weird plan

01:20:16.840 for somebody who hates Trump.

01:20:22.180 Yeah, so you've got a problem there, don't you?

01:20:24.260 To blame the PSYOP on Trump.

01:20:31.140 That's kind of assuming

01:20:32.360 too much intelligence and foresight.

01:20:35.120 If you imagine that the FBI informant

01:20:37.600 did it for the purpose of

01:20:39.140 making Trump look bad,

01:20:42.380 that, maybe.

01:20:44.780 That's a pretty big stretch.

01:20:47.360 And I would say that's not a plan

01:20:49.060 any rational person would try to do.

01:20:52.440 Now, I do know the, you know,

01:20:54.260 various agencies have done

01:20:57.040 a lot of clever things.

01:20:58.720 But that feels not certain enough.

01:21:01.700 In other words,

01:21:02.400 you couldn't know

01:21:03.480 with enough certainty

01:21:04.520 that you'll get a good output from that

01:21:06.840 so that the risk of doing it

01:21:08.740 would be greater than

01:21:09.660 the likely payoff.

01:21:13.680 Somebody said,

01:21:14.300 didn't say he was rational.

01:21:16.000 So you think there was

01:21:16.740 an irrational FBI agent

01:21:18.920 irrationally...

01:21:20.240 Okay, you see where this

01:21:22.820 all fall apart?

01:21:24.260 I think you're watching it.

01:21:27.040 Yeah, false flag.

01:21:30.040 So, all right.

01:21:31.500 To do a false flag,

01:21:32.840 to do a false flag,

01:21:34.300 you'd have to have

01:21:34.860 reasonable confidence

01:21:38.360 it would work.

01:21:39.040 So let's say in Syria

01:21:41.940 if somebody did a false flag

01:21:43.560 about a chemical attack,

01:21:45.560 would they have a reasonable

01:21:46.820 reasonable chance

01:21:48.880 of getting away with it

01:21:49.900 and not much penalty

01:21:52.100 if they didn't.

01:21:53.380 So let's say you staged

01:21:54.820 a false flag

01:21:55.780 chemical attack in Syria.

01:21:57.820 I'm not saying that happened,

01:21:59.320 but let's say you did.

01:22:00.700 If it didn't work,

01:22:02.200 would there be any penalty

01:22:03.260 to you,

01:22:04.360 the people who put on the hoax?

01:22:06.500 No.

01:22:07.440 No, there would be no penalty.

01:22:08.760 It would just be a hoax

01:22:09.560 that didn't work.

01:22:11.000 Now,

01:22:12.060 suppose it did work.

01:22:13.800 There'd be a big payoff,

01:22:14.840 right?

01:22:15.280 Because you might change

01:22:16.440 the military balance there.

01:22:18.680 So it makes complete sense

01:22:20.440 that somebody in Syria

01:22:22.720 would try to fake

01:22:23.700 a chemical attack,

01:22:25.460 do a false flag attack.

01:22:27.260 Complete sense.

01:22:28.020 Because the payoff is obvious.

01:22:30.020 There's no downside.

01:22:31.640 But the potential payoff

01:22:32.660 is huge.

01:22:33.720 And it's hard to see

01:22:34.400 it going wrong.

01:22:36.180 It's hard to imagine

01:22:37.100 how that could have

01:22:37.680 gone wrong.

01:22:38.920 But now take the alleged

01:22:41.360 Ray Epps convincing people

01:22:44.080 to attack the Capitol.

01:22:46.820 Could he have known

01:22:47.720 with reasonable confidence

01:22:49.120 that that would result

01:22:51.640 in people disliking

01:22:52.840 Trump more

01:22:53.980 without collateral problems

01:22:56.620 such as deaths?

01:22:58.740 I don't think you could do that.

01:23:01.640 Now explain the Steele dossier.

01:23:03.100 Yeah, I can do that.

01:23:06.880 So now explain

01:23:07.940 the Steele dossier

01:23:08.980 because in some ways

01:23:10.040 that looked like an op.

01:23:12.540 The Steele dossier

01:23:13.720 only had to convince

01:23:15.760 the fake news

01:23:17.420 to tell a fake story

01:23:19.840 that was bad for Trump.

01:23:20.960 What are the odds

01:23:22.560 that that would succeed?

01:23:23.880 Anybody?

01:23:24.920 It's a fake story

01:23:26.000 and they only have to convince

01:23:28.300 the fake news to tell it.

01:23:29.780 That's it.

01:23:30.140 It doesn't have to be true.

01:23:33.620 That's easy.

01:23:35.080 Right?

01:23:35.500 So it's easy

01:23:37.240 to do a fake flag attack

01:23:38.820 and you could even predict it.

01:23:40.860 If the upside is tremendous

01:23:42.700 and predictable,

01:23:44.300 all right,

01:23:44.720 it's very predictable

01:23:46.040 that the fake news

01:23:47.000 is going to report this story.

01:23:48.300 Even if they retracted it later,

01:23:50.200 it would still work

01:23:51.280 because they would report it

01:23:52.840 up to that point.

01:23:54.160 Now what are the odds

01:23:55.180 that Christopher Steele

01:23:56.140 thought that he would

01:23:58.100 come out behind

01:23:59.380 by doing this?

01:24:00.740 Well, he was getting paid.

01:24:03.680 There was every reason

01:24:04.960 to believe it would work.

01:24:07.860 And he didn't go to jail.

01:24:12.120 Right?

01:24:13.360 So he did something

01:24:14.600 that was a low risk to him,

01:24:16.720 that a huge potential payoff,

01:24:18.600 and it was very predictable,

01:24:19.860 the payoff.

01:24:20.860 Very predictable

01:24:21.660 that it would work.

01:24:22.440 Under those conditions,

01:24:24.180 what are the odds

01:24:24.880 of a false flag?

01:24:26.360 Really good.

01:24:27.700 Really good.

01:24:28.380 It's a perfect condition.

01:24:30.060 But I would argue

01:24:31.040 that the January 6th stuff

01:24:33.260 is exactly not like that.

01:24:36.600 You wouldn't know

01:24:37.760 what could happen

01:24:38.580 from a march on the Capitol.

01:24:41.880 Because that's

01:24:42.380 the whole problem, right?

01:24:43.800 You didn't know

01:24:44.460 if it would go peaceful,

01:24:45.400 you didn't know

01:24:45.860 if it would go dangerous,

01:24:46.780 and if it went dangerous,

01:24:47.720 how dangerous,

01:24:48.860 and you just wouldn't know.

01:24:50.720 So I don't believe

01:24:53.080 that anybody rational

01:24:55.780 would have done

01:24:56.820 a false flag of that nature.

01:24:58.860 Because it doesn't fit

01:24:59.960 the model

01:25:00.400 that you would do

01:25:00.920 a false flag for.

01:25:07.220 Scott's assessment

01:25:08.000 of odds are not convincing.

01:25:09.660 Well, you know,

01:25:10.000 the beauty of my argument

01:25:11.080 when I put it

01:25:11.800 in terms of the odds

01:25:12.720 is that you can take

01:25:14.060 the structure

01:25:14.900 of the argument

01:25:15.540 and just put it

01:25:16.420 in your own odds.

01:25:17.720 And then you might

01:25:18.320 get a different opinion.

01:25:19.720 Not a false flag,

01:25:27.460 merely a framing.

01:25:30.740 Well, it would be

01:25:31.540 a false flag

01:25:32.180 in terms of who

01:25:33.060 initiated it.

01:25:34.880 But yes,

01:25:35.360 I would take that.

01:25:36.440 I take that correction.

01:25:38.580 It might be more

01:25:39.120 of a framing situation.

01:25:42.220 Framing as in

01:25:42.940 framing somebody for it.

01:25:44.260 But I guess

01:25:44.680 that's a false flag,

01:25:45.580 isn't it?

01:25:45.900 Top three ways

01:25:52.060 to detect fake news.

01:25:54.640 Okay.

01:25:55.460 Number one,

01:25:57.080 it's reported

01:25:57.820 as true

01:25:59.260 on only one

01:26:00.040 of the big networks.

01:26:01.680 If CNN says it's true

01:26:03.120 and Fox News

01:26:03.820 says it isn't,

01:26:04.900 probably isn't true.

01:26:06.580 But also,

01:26:07.440 the other way around.

01:26:08.600 If Fox News

01:26:09.280 says it's true

01:26:09.800 and CNN says

01:26:10.520 that never happened,

01:26:11.760 probably didn't.

01:26:12.400 So that's the first rule.

01:26:14.300 Both networks

01:26:15.100 have to repeat it,

01:26:15.980 have to report it the same

01:26:17.220 or it's probably not true.

01:26:19.580 Secondly,

01:26:20.760 is it too on the nose?

01:26:23.160 It's just a little

01:26:23.980 too perfect,

01:26:25.060 that story.

01:26:25.720 It's a little too perfect.

01:26:27.480 Right?

01:26:28.720 Number three,

01:26:30.380 follow the money.

01:26:32.480 Right?

01:26:33.060 If following the money

01:26:34.060 suggests that the news

01:26:35.840 is probably fake,

01:26:37.940 it's very predictive.

01:26:39.860 Very predictive.

01:26:40.680 Now, not always.

01:26:43.000 You know,

01:26:43.240 not a guarantee.

01:26:44.320 In fact,

01:26:44.780 none of these rules

01:26:45.440 are guarantees.

01:26:46.700 But there,

01:26:47.360 I think you'd get

01:26:48.100 to the 90% range.

01:26:49.920 90% predictive.

01:26:53.560 Let's identify,

01:26:55.520 all right.

01:27:03.520 Here's somebody

01:27:04.240 who's coming back

01:27:04.920 with the red herring stuff.

01:27:07.120 So let me hide you

01:27:09.420 on this channel.

01:27:10.680 All right.

01:27:16.640 Oh, here's one.

01:27:17.600 The payoff of January 6th

01:27:18.960 was that the FBI

01:27:19.760 did not have to investigate

01:27:21.240 voter fraud.

01:27:23.760 That's maybe too clever.

01:27:27.000 Because I don't think,

01:27:28.840 well, I see what you're saying.

01:27:31.200 I see what you're saying.

01:27:32.240 But that would be

01:27:33.140 pretty risky.

01:27:34.240 I just don't see

01:27:36.080 the FBI

01:27:36.620 doing risky plays.

01:27:38.720 It's the wrong organization

01:27:40.200 for risky plays.

01:27:51.520 FBI is dirty.

01:27:52.840 Well,

01:27:54.320 every,

01:27:55.220 open your eyes,

01:27:56.960 Scott.

01:27:58.000 So,

01:27:58.800 Z3

01:27:59.360 gurgling

01:28:00.260 says,

01:28:01.260 open your eyes,

01:28:01.960 Scott,

01:28:02.240 in all caps.

01:28:03.720 I'm going to close your eyes

01:28:05.320 as you are now

01:28:06.880 hidden from this channel.

01:28:09.280 What's the risk?

01:28:15.560 You have a guy,

01:28:16.560 what's the risk?

01:28:17.500 The risk is getting caught

01:28:18.900 and then finding out

01:28:20.940 that the FBI

01:28:21.540 was behind it.

01:28:22.900 That's the risk.

01:28:23.600 By the indicators,

01:28:31.220 is Hunter's laptop fake?

01:28:35.260 No.

01:28:36.500 Because,

01:28:37.160 although CNN

01:28:37.860 was at first

01:28:39.560 trying to sell you

01:28:40.940 the idea that

01:28:41.920 it might have been

01:28:42.900 a Russian plant,

01:28:44.240 they have backed off that.

01:28:46.040 So,

01:28:46.540 I don't believe

01:28:47.200 CNN is reporting

01:28:48.400 it's fake.

01:28:49.840 So,

01:28:50.040 now you have

01:28:50.540 both networks

01:28:51.220 reporting it was

01:28:51.920 a real laptop.

01:28:52.520 So,

01:28:53.780 I think that works.

01:28:55.860 So,

01:28:56.460 certainly,

01:29:00.180 when did the FBI

01:29:03.720 getting caught

01:29:04.460 ever matter?

01:29:06.240 Well,

01:29:06.760 I don't know

01:29:07.300 the history,

01:29:08.200 but it would have to matter.

01:29:12.820 All right,

01:29:13.440 everybody who's

01:29:14.380 doing this

01:29:15.800 gets hidden

01:29:16.240 on the channel now.

01:29:17.660 All references to that.

01:29:21.340 Okay,

01:29:21.860 just trying

01:29:27.540 to get rid

01:29:27.920 of some more

01:29:28.280 of the...

01:29:29.920 Everybody who's

01:29:30.860 saying the

01:29:31.580 red herring thing,

01:29:32.520 I don't care

01:29:33.400 if you're the troll

01:29:34.440 or talking about

01:29:35.200 the troll,

01:29:35.760 I'm hiding

01:29:36.080 all of you.

01:29:37.800 Just annoyed

01:29:38.440 because you don't

01:29:38.980 tell me what

01:29:39.420 that's about.

01:29:40.060 If I knew

01:29:40.380 what it was about,

01:29:40.940 I probably

01:29:41.240 wouldn't care.

01:29:45.700 All right,

01:29:46.240 just spend a moment

01:29:46.860 looking at your

01:29:47.380 comments,

01:29:47.880 because there's

01:29:48.500 a lot of pushback.

01:29:52.980 Now,

01:29:53.800 but hear me

01:29:54.500 clearly.

01:29:55.960 I'm not saying

01:29:56.820 it's impossible

01:29:57.600 that the FBI

01:29:59.160 did some kind

01:30:00.840 of a weird

01:30:01.460 false flag

01:30:02.220 or they're

01:30:03.400 guilty of something.

01:30:04.840 It's possible.

01:30:06.060 I just don't

01:30:06.800 see it yet,

01:30:08.560 meaning that

01:30:09.240 the story's got

01:30:10.360 a hole in it.

01:30:11.060 It doesn't

01:30:11.440 kind of hold

01:30:12.240 together to me.

01:30:12.880 I don't think

01:30:17.820 there's zero

01:30:18.320 risk to the

01:30:19.000 reputation of

01:30:19.680 the FBI.

01:30:20.500 There's only

01:30:20.880 zero risk

01:30:21.500 to the agent.

01:30:23.120 So if it was

01:30:23.960 an FBI thing

01:30:25.080 as opposed

01:30:25.580 to an

01:30:26.280 independent

01:30:26.640 actor,

01:30:27.580 the FBI

01:30:28.040 would never.

01:30:28.880 I just can't

01:30:29.620 see them

01:30:29.980 authorizing that.

01:30:31.140 Too easy

01:30:31.560 to get caught,

01:30:33.200 too much

01:30:33.760 of a downside,

01:30:35.620 unclear that

01:30:36.460 the upside

01:30:36.860 even exists.

01:30:37.680 I don't see it.

01:30:38.240 You will be

01:30:45.100 persuaded,

01:30:45.700 Ellen says.

01:30:47.820 Possible.

01:30:49.760 I'm open

01:30:50.420 to being

01:30:50.860 persuaded on

01:30:51.580 that,

01:30:51.780 by the way.

01:30:52.480 If you think

01:30:53.200 I've closed

01:30:53.760 the door on

01:30:54.320 that,

01:30:54.500 I haven't.

01:30:55.220 What I've

01:30:55.900 seen is not

01:30:56.480 persuasive.

01:30:57.540 What you've

01:30:58.160 seen seems

01:30:58.720 to be persuasive.

01:30:59.700 Maybe there's

01:31:00.100 something else

01:31:00.520 you've seen.

01:31:01.520 But I'll

01:31:01.880 look into it.

01:31:02.540 I'll watch

01:31:02.900 the Tucker

01:31:03.840 Carlson

01:31:04.680 package.

01:31:05.740 By the way,

01:31:06.200 that's up

01:31:06.780 now,

01:31:07.000 right?

01:31:08.240 Explain the

01:31:09.020 Whitmer plot.

01:31:11.420 I believe

01:31:12.200 the Whitmer

01:31:12.680 plot was

01:31:13.560 not intended

01:31:14.240 to actually

01:31:14.920 kidnap her,

01:31:15.660 was it?

01:31:17.040 Now,

01:31:17.680 I don't know

01:31:18.820 if I have

01:31:19.220 the details

01:31:19.580 right,

01:31:19.880 but wasn't

01:31:20.240 the story

01:31:20.820 that an

01:31:21.620 FBI informant

01:31:22.640 was getting

01:31:24.080 a bunch

01:31:25.380 of,

01:31:26.640 who were

01:31:28.420 they,

01:31:28.740 militia,

01:31:29.800 to come

01:31:30.920 up with a

01:31:31.380 plan to

01:31:31.880 kidnap

01:31:32.360 Whitmer?

01:31:33.660 But I

01:31:34.380 don't believe

01:31:34.760 there was

01:31:35.060 any intention

01:31:35.720 that they

01:31:36.060 would actually

01:31:36.600 kidnap

01:31:37.060 Whitmer,

01:31:37.520 right?

01:31:38.240 Isn't it

01:31:39.340 routine for

01:31:41.760 the FBI

01:31:42.220 to maybe

01:31:43.620 get people

01:31:44.100 to plan

01:31:44.700 a crime

01:31:45.160 and then

01:31:45.500 stop it

01:31:45.860 before it

01:31:46.260 happens?

01:31:48.080 Have you

01:31:48.640 read anything

01:31:49.060 by Nassim

01:31:49.860 Taleb?

01:31:51.020 Well,

01:31:51.900 yes,

01:31:52.420 I read

01:31:52.740 the Black

01:31:53.620 Swan stuff,

01:31:54.680 but later

01:31:55.940 after listening

01:31:56.500 to him

01:31:56.920 on Facebook,

01:31:58.400 I'm sorry,

01:31:58.980 listening to him

01:31:59.680 on Twitter,

01:32:01.340 I ended up

01:32:01.900 blocking him,

01:32:02.760 and I don't

01:32:04.060 consider him

01:32:04.660 a useful

01:32:05.440 voice.

01:32:07.940 He has,

01:32:08.940 I don't

01:32:09.540 want to

01:32:09.780 diagnose

01:32:10.100 somebody I

01:32:10.740 don't know,

01:32:11.320 and I'm

01:32:11.760 not a

01:32:12.080 doctor,

01:32:12.960 but whatever

01:32:14.200 Taleb has

01:32:14.960 going on

01:32:15.640 is influencing

01:32:17.320 his opinions

01:32:20.300 and communication.

01:32:21.700 There's

01:32:22.120 something going

01:32:22.760 on with him

01:32:23.520 that doesn't

01:32:24.540 have to do

01:32:24.980 with the

01:32:25.200 arguments,

01:32:25.960 and I don't

01:32:28.140 know what it

01:32:28.500 is,

01:32:28.800 but I

01:32:31.620 don't see

01:32:32.200 him as

01:32:32.560 being a

01:32:32.900 useful

01:32:33.220 voice at

01:32:33.740 this

01:32:33.920 point.

01:32:38.880 Same

01:32:39.480 Whitmer

01:32:39.860 agent sent

01:32:40.720 to incite

01:32:41.340 January 6th?

01:32:43.000 Might be

01:32:43.640 the same

01:32:44.000 people,

01:32:47.180 but I

01:32:50.240 don't believe

01:32:50.720 that the

01:32:51.060 FBI gets

01:32:51.740 people to

01:32:52.200 do actual

01:32:52.940 violent

01:32:53.380 crimes just

01:32:54.580 so they

01:32:54.940 can accomplish

01:32:56.180 something.

01:32:57.580 Is there

01:32:57.860 any precedent

01:32:58.360 for that?

01:32:58.800 Is there

01:32:59.880 any precedent

01:33:00.440 for the

01:33:01.080 FBI getting

01:33:01.760 people to

01:33:02.240 do the

01:33:02.560 actual crime

01:33:03.380 as opposed

01:33:03.940 to arresting

01:33:04.580 them before

01:33:05.020 it happens?

01:33:07.200 Has that

01:33:07.780 ever happened?

01:33:16.360 The

01:33:16.800 Whitmer

01:33:17.060 kidnapping

01:33:17.760 crew's

01:33:19.520 lead agent

01:33:20.440 and two

01:33:20.800 of his

01:33:21.060 underlings

01:33:21.480 have been

01:33:21.780 kicked out

01:33:22.180 of the

01:33:22.360 FBI,

01:33:22.960 one for

01:33:23.260 being a

01:33:23.600 wife-beater.

01:33:24.900 That seems

01:33:25.420 coincidental.

01:33:26.280 Did I

01:33:28.680 hear

01:33:28.920 Michael

01:33:29.280 Schellenberger

01:33:29.840 on Joe

01:33:30.580 Rogan?

01:33:31.420 You know,

01:33:31.920 I love

01:33:32.360 Joe Rogan

01:33:32.940 and I

01:33:33.240 love

01:33:33.460 Michael

01:33:34.000 Schellenberger.

01:33:35.260 I think

01:33:35.880 I know

01:33:36.160 the arguments,

01:33:37.200 so I'm

01:33:38.420 not sure I

01:33:38.880 would have

01:33:39.120 to follow

01:33:39.480 all three

01:33:39.940 hours of

01:33:40.340 it.

01:33:40.700 My only

01:33:41.100 problem with

01:33:41.540 the Joe

01:33:41.780 Rogan show

01:33:42.240 is it's

01:33:42.620 long.

01:33:44.660 Now, if

01:33:45.380 you want

01:33:45.740 long content,

01:33:46.500 it's exactly

01:33:47.060 what you

01:33:47.400 want, but

01:33:48.120 I rarely

01:33:48.720 can consume

01:33:49.380 long content.

01:33:57.240 Let's

01:33:57.760 see.

01:33:59.780 Craig

01:34:00.240 Wright is

01:34:00.720 Satoshi

01:34:01.220 Nakamoto.

01:34:03.760 All right.

01:34:05.140 How would

01:34:05.560 we know?

01:34:06.000 By the

01:34:06.280 nature, we

01:34:06.760 can't know

01:34:07.240 if it

01:34:07.640 worked.

01:34:08.760 Well,

01:34:09.380 maybe.

01:34:10.120 That's a

01:34:10.380 good point.

01:34:11.140 But also,

01:34:11.880 the people

01:34:13.740 doing it

01:34:14.200 couldn't have

01:34:14.620 known it

01:34:14.940 would work

01:34:15.340 out.

01:34:15.960 There's no

01:34:16.440 way they

01:34:16.700 could have

01:34:16.900 known that.

01:34:18.120 And it

01:34:18.360 didn't

01:34:18.540 work out,

01:34:18.960 did it?

01:34:23.120 Many of

01:34:23.680 the Islamo

01:34:24.780 plots were

01:34:25.520 done the

01:34:25.860 same way.

01:34:31.480 Martin

01:34:31.880 Luther King,

01:34:32.580 well, that's

01:34:32.980 sort of

01:34:33.280 ancient.

01:34:37.200 Yes,

01:34:37.680 FBI agents

01:34:38.360 in Boston,

01:34:39.780 John Conley.

01:34:41.540 I don't

01:34:41.840 know that

01:34:42.160 story.

01:34:48.120 there's a

01:34:51.500 bunch of

01:34:51.780 people in

01:34:52.140 jail,

01:34:52.600 right?

01:34:57.280 Yeah,

01:34:57.920 Rogan and

01:34:58.480 Chappelle

01:34:58.720 have been

01:34:59.260 doing their

01:34:59.820 act together

01:35:00.380 for a long

01:35:00.840 time.

01:35:03.580 Wake up,

01:35:04.320 Scott.

01:35:05.580 I'm just

01:35:06.160 going to

01:35:06.400 block you.

01:35:08.580 I do.

01:35:10.120 Anybody

01:35:10.560 whose best

01:35:11.240 comment is

01:35:11.920 wake up,

01:35:13.420 I don't

01:35:13.980 want you to

01:35:14.460 follow me.

01:35:14.840 I'd rather

01:35:16.200 you just

01:35:16.620 watch other

01:35:17.080 content.

01:35:18.540 Wake up.

01:35:19.720 I don't

01:35:20.420 believe that

01:35:21.160 I'm un-woke.

01:35:22.380 I believe I'm

01:35:23.160 influenced by

01:35:25.860 evidence.

01:35:27.680 Is that

01:35:30.440 okay?

01:35:30.840 Can I be

01:35:31.220 influenced by

01:35:31.900 evidence?

01:35:35.300 Ab scam.

01:35:36.720 Now,

01:35:37.000 ab scam was

01:35:38.420 getting people

01:35:40.340 to do a

01:35:40.940 financial crime,

01:35:42.960 you can

01:35:43.320 definitely let

01:35:43.960 them do the

01:35:44.460 crime and

01:35:45.000 then arrest

01:35:45.440 them because

01:35:46.160 nobody got

01:35:46.660 hurt and

01:35:47.180 they can

01:35:47.540 unwind the

01:35:48.460 financial part.

01:35:49.140 But I don't

01:35:50.000 think there's

01:35:50.320 any precedent

01:35:50.860 for the

01:35:52.400 FBI getting

01:35:53.440 people to do

01:35:54.060 a violent

01:35:54.540 crime or

01:35:55.480 even a

01:35:56.060 potentially

01:35:56.900 violent crime

01:35:57.560 like a

01:35:57.880 protest.

01:36:08.420 aware.

01:36:11.320 Do you

01:36:11.500 watch

01:36:11.820 Barnes?

01:36:14.100 Yes.

01:36:16.040 Any advice

01:36:16.500 on how to

01:36:16.840 be balanced

01:36:17.360 in hobbies

01:36:17.940 and fun

01:36:18.440 stuff?

01:36:19.380 Nope.

01:36:19.880 I'm the

01:36:20.280 worst person

01:36:20.740 in the

01:36:20.960 world with

01:36:21.300 that.

01:36:24.980 All right.

01:36:26.760 Vegas

01:36:27.200 shooter?

01:36:27.840 No.

01:36:28.320 I don't

01:36:28.580 think there's

01:36:28.940 a plot

01:36:29.300 there.

01:36:30.500 Do I

01:36:30.800 know who

01:36:31.140 Craig Wright

01:36:31.660 is?

01:36:32.060 Nope.

01:36:33.420 I don't.

01:36:35.480 What's

01:36:35.820 this?

01:36:36.060 Feel

01:36:38.220 comfortable

01:36:38.680 sharing your

01:36:39.320 ETH to

01:36:40.040 Bitcoin

01:36:40.580 or radio?

01:36:42.280 No.

01:36:42.860 I'm not

01:36:43.440 going to

01:36:43.660 take any

01:36:44.020 invitations

01:36:44.500 for media

01:36:45.100 stuff until

01:36:45.760 I get my

01:36:46.140 life under

01:36:46.600 control.

01:36:48.620 Until I

01:36:50.760 can get

01:36:51.040 more than

01:36:51.360 three hours

01:36:51.840 of sleep

01:36:52.200 on a

01:36:52.700 regular

01:36:52.960 basis,

01:36:53.620 I'm not

01:36:53.960 going to

01:36:54.240 accept any

01:36:54.880 invitations.

01:37:03.480 Only

01:37:03.920 murders in

01:37:04.460 the

01:37:04.560 buildings?

01:37:04.880 I tried

01:37:05.180 to watch

01:37:05.520 that.

01:37:05.700 I couldn't

01:37:06.160 get into

01:37:06.540 it.

01:37:09.820 So,

01:37:10.300 believe

01:37:10.500 without

01:37:10.780 evidence

01:37:11.320 until

01:37:11.860 evidence

01:37:12.320 to the

01:37:12.640 contrary?

01:37:13.560 No.

01:37:14.120 I simply

01:37:14.820 believe that

01:37:15.540 the ordinary

01:37:16.120 is the

01:37:16.820 best

01:37:17.120 explanation

01:37:17.720 until the

01:37:18.560 extraordinary

01:37:19.080 has been

01:37:19.540 proven.

01:37:21.180 I always

01:37:22.620 just make

01:37:23.080 the assumption

01:37:24.300 that the

01:37:24.860 most ordinary

01:37:26.020 thing is going

01:37:26.620 to happen.

01:37:27.320 Yes,

01:37:27.600 I'm still

01:37:27.940 drumming.

01:37:28.420 Would you

01:37:28.620 like to

01:37:28.900 see what

01:37:29.280 I've come

01:37:29.640 up with

01:37:30.020 as my

01:37:30.460 intro

01:37:30.780 to this

01:37:31.960 program?

01:37:33.340 Want to

01:37:33.620 hear the

01:37:34.040 drum

01:37:35.240 intro?

01:37:36.040 Here's the

01:37:36.500 drum

01:37:36.720 intro.

01:37:37.960 Now,

01:37:39.100 what you

01:37:39.480 need to

01:37:39.740 know is

01:37:40.300 that the

01:37:40.560 drum

01:37:40.760 intro is

01:37:41.880 based on

01:37:42.580 my morning

01:37:43.600 routine and

01:37:44.520 the name of

01:37:45.060 the piece

01:37:45.460 is called

01:37:46.100 coffee.

01:37:47.800 So,

01:37:48.400 this is my

01:37:48.800 own drumming

01:37:49.440 and it's

01:37:50.920 supposed to

01:37:51.280 represent me

01:37:53.440 sleeping.

01:37:54.640 It starts

01:37:55.300 with a

01:37:55.580 heartbeat.

01:37:56.020 heartbeat.

01:37:56.760 That's

01:37:57.020 my sleeping

01:37:57.640 heartbeat.

01:37:58.680 And you'll

01:37:59.040 hear a

01:37:59.940 little bit

01:38:01.320 of noise.

01:38:01.800 That's the

01:38:02.160 alarm.

01:38:03.120 You'll hear

01:38:03.440 my two

01:38:04.080 feet hitting

01:38:04.560 the ground,

01:38:05.260 getting out

01:38:05.580 of bed.

01:38:06.960 You're

01:38:07.400 going to

01:38:07.460 hear me

01:38:07.720 going down

01:38:08.160 the stairs.

01:38:10.820 And then

01:38:11.380 you're going

01:38:11.640 to hear me

01:38:12.080 going on

01:38:12.860 with my

01:38:13.220 day.

01:38:15.520 Until I

01:38:16.180 have my

01:38:16.460 first drink

01:38:16.900 of coffee.

01:38:17.340 All right?

01:38:18.280 So,

01:38:18.640 going from

01:38:19.040 sleeping down

01:38:20.980 the stairs,

01:38:22.020 getting a

01:38:22.400 cup of

01:38:22.700 coffee,

01:38:22.980 here is

01:38:24.400 what might

01:38:25.560 be some

01:38:26.580 form of

01:38:26.900 this,

01:38:27.340 my new

01:38:27.780 drum

01:38:28.020 opening.

01:38:33.580 Heartbeat.

01:38:35.080 Alarm.

01:38:43.280 Going

01:38:43.760 on with

01:38:44.140 my

01:38:44.320 day.

01:38:52.980 And then

01:38:54.580 I match

01:38:54.900 that with

01:38:55.300 the sip.

01:38:57.640 Anyway,

01:38:58.180 that's my

01:38:58.680 first draft

01:38:59.380 I'm working

01:38:59.780 on.

01:39:05.300 You think

01:39:05.900 it needs

01:39:06.140 to be

01:39:06.360 jazz?

01:39:06.840 No.

01:39:10.320 You like

01:39:11.000 it?

01:39:11.920 Steel drums

01:39:12.580 would be

01:39:12.900 nice.

01:39:15.780 It sounds

01:39:16.520 better,

01:39:16.940 of course,

01:39:17.840 not played

01:39:18.440 through my

01:39:18.840 phone onto

01:39:19.480 my iPad.

01:39:21.000 Well,

01:39:23.180 I'm going

01:39:23.460 to work

01:39:23.700 on that.

01:39:24.340 I might

01:39:24.520 even ask

01:39:26.040 somebody who's

01:39:26.580 an actual

01:39:27.120 drummer to

01:39:27.840 drum it

01:39:28.300 better,

01:39:29.040 so it

01:39:29.240 sounds

01:39:29.440 better.

01:39:30.560 But I

01:39:31.220 also wanted

01:39:31.700 to write

01:39:32.300 a song.

01:39:33.860 I wanted

01:39:34.420 to write

01:39:34.740 a song.

01:39:35.720 So I

01:39:36.460 guess in

01:39:36.820 some ways

01:39:37.280 it's like

01:39:37.680 a,

01:39:38.780 I guess

01:39:41.520 it's a

01:39:41.820 song.

01:39:42.840 Now,

01:39:43.760 you want

01:39:44.260 to hear

01:39:44.500 a tragic

01:39:45.680 story?

01:39:47.000 It's

01:39:47.160 tragic.

01:39:47.980 Not very

01:39:48.440 tragic.

01:39:48.780 Small,

01:39:51.140 small

01:39:51.340 tragic.

01:39:52.520 So back

01:39:53.320 when I

01:39:53.540 was doing

01:39:53.800 the

01:39:54.100 Dilbert

01:39:54.620 TV show,

01:39:56.220 it ran

01:39:56.840 on UPN

01:39:57.340 for two

01:39:57.660 half seasons,

01:39:58.900 we needed

01:39:59.580 an opening,

01:40:00.960 and so I

01:40:01.800 designed

01:40:02.860 the opening.

01:40:04.760 And the

01:40:05.240 design was

01:40:05.980 it would

01:40:06.180 be Dilbert

01:40:07.360 evolving,

01:40:09.000 you'd show

01:40:09.340 evolution,

01:40:10.360 and then he'd

01:40:10.780 evolve into

01:40:11.400 a cubicle

01:40:11.980 dweller,

01:40:13.040 and then you'd

01:40:13.620 show him

01:40:14.040 in the

01:40:14.640 cubicles and

01:40:15.200 stuff.

01:40:15.860 Now,

01:40:16.120 that was

01:40:16.360 just sort

01:40:16.820 of the

01:40:17.180 first draft.

01:40:17.940 I sort

01:40:19.720 of asked

01:40:20.740 the creative

01:40:21.240 people,

01:40:21.960 okay,

01:40:22.220 go make

01:40:22.600 me an

01:40:24.280 opening that

01:40:25.220 has these

01:40:26.100 features in

01:40:26.880 it,

01:40:27.100 where Dilbert

01:40:27.640 has evolved

01:40:28.380 like evolution

01:40:29.120 from a

01:40:30.380 creature into

01:40:31.100 a monkey,

01:40:31.620 into a

01:40:31.920 human,

01:40:32.300 and then

01:40:32.620 into a

01:40:33.080 cubicle,

01:40:33.640 because it's

01:40:34.640 funny to

01:40:35.080 show that

01:40:35.380 people evolved

01:40:36.040 into something

01:40:36.620 so weak as

01:40:37.600 living in a

01:40:38.320 cubicle.

01:40:40.260 So we

01:40:41.180 hired,

01:40:41.980 I think,

01:40:43.300 the top

01:40:44.560 person in

01:40:46.100 the field

01:40:46.460 to make

01:40:46.800 the music,

01:40:47.740 and then

01:40:48.020 the animators

01:40:48.620 put together

01:40:49.180 the animation

01:40:49.780 that achieved

01:40:50.720 that,

01:40:51.040 et cetera.

01:40:52.200 And people

01:40:52.920 liked it.

01:40:54.360 And I'm

01:40:55.200 blanking on

01:40:55.760 the name

01:40:56.060 of the

01:40:56.340 famous

01:40:56.720 composer,

01:40:57.580 Danny

01:40:57.800 Elfman.

01:40:58.900 Have you

01:40:59.160 ever heard

01:40:59.420 of Danny

01:40:59.840 Elfman?

01:41:01.300 A very

01:41:01.800 famous

01:41:02.220 composer for

01:41:03.440 music,

01:41:04.600 or movie

01:41:05.300 scores and

01:41:05.920 stuff like

01:41:06.340 that.

01:41:07.940 Who was

01:41:08.580 he with

01:41:09.020 originally?

01:41:11.240 Devoe?

01:41:12.200 Devoe?

01:41:12.600 I forget

01:41:13.780 who he

01:41:14.120 was with

01:41:14.400 originally,

01:41:14.880 but he's

01:41:15.200 one of the

01:41:16.220 most successful

01:41:17.100 people.

01:41:18.920 So he did

01:41:19.480 the music.

01:41:20.800 Oh,

01:41:21.160 Oingo Boingo?

01:41:22.360 Is that

01:41:22.560 where it

01:41:22.800 was?

01:41:29.340 Oh,

01:41:29.920 interesting.

01:41:30.760 Chad asked,

01:41:31.540 do you know

01:41:31.900 if they can

01:41:32.360 determine if

01:41:33.220 you've got

01:41:33.540 natural

01:41:33.960 immunity or

01:41:34.960 vaccine

01:41:36.160 immunity?

01:41:39.160 To know

01:41:39.820 if you have

01:41:40.140 a natural

01:41:40.640 boost.

01:41:41.500 Interesting.

01:41:42.300 Anyway,

01:41:42.600 so I put

01:41:43.000 together,

01:41:43.820 so the

01:41:44.280 introduction

01:41:46.020 is a big

01:41:47.240 hit,

01:41:47.880 and it

01:41:49.380 is submitted

01:41:49.820 for an

01:41:50.240 Emmy,

01:41:51.140 and it

01:41:51.520 won an

01:41:51.840 Emmy.

01:41:53.400 So they

01:41:53.740 just,

01:41:54.340 apparently

01:41:54.580 there's an

01:41:55.060 Emmy category

01:41:55.700 for show

01:41:56.960 introductions,

01:41:58.520 and the

01:41:58.980 show introduction

01:41:59.660 that I

01:42:00.360 designed,

01:42:00.980 and then was

01:42:01.600 executed by

01:42:02.400 the animators

01:42:03.740 and Danny

01:42:04.480 Elfman,

01:42:05.400 won an

01:42:05.820 Emmy.

01:42:07.340 So do you

01:42:08.040 want to see

01:42:08.360 my Emmy?

01:42:10.020 Anybody?

01:42:11.000 Would you

01:42:11.280 like to see

01:42:11.680 my Emmy?

01:42:12.060 It's right

01:42:14.840 here behind

01:42:15.300 me.

01:42:18.040 If it

01:42:18.720 looks like

01:42:19.080 a blank

01:42:19.540 shelf,

01:42:20.740 it's because

01:42:21.840 there wasn't

01:42:22.640 enough room

01:42:23.400 on the

01:42:24.060 Emmy

01:42:24.340 application

01:42:25.100 for my

01:42:26.020 name.

01:42:28.160 True story.

01:42:29.800 It was

01:42:30.520 submitted

01:42:30.840 without me

01:42:31.400 knowing it.

01:42:32.120 I didn't

01:42:32.480 know it

01:42:32.760 was submitted

01:42:33.160 for the

01:42:33.500 Emmy,

01:42:33.660 but the

01:42:34.400 people who

01:42:34.780 submitted

01:42:35.060 it left

01:42:36.440 my name

01:42:36.940 off because

01:42:38.460 there wasn't

01:42:38.820 enough room.

01:42:40.360 So I

01:42:40.940 didn't win

01:42:41.280 an Emmy

01:42:41.600 for the

01:42:42.940 thing I

01:42:43.260 designed.

01:42:45.560 Now,

01:42:46.240 to be fair,

01:42:47.640 all of the

01:42:48.440 creative work

01:42:49.200 was done by

01:42:50.160 other people.

01:42:51.040 The animators

01:42:52.060 definitely

01:42:52.440 deserved an

01:42:53.080 Emmy,

01:42:53.240 and Danny

01:42:54.560 Elfman

01:42:54.900 definitely

01:42:55.280 deserved an

01:42:55.880 Emmy for

01:42:56.320 their work.

01:42:57.220 But I

01:42:57.940 did design

01:42:58.920 it.

01:42:59.220 It was my

01:43:01.320 first draft,

01:43:02.140 and typically,

01:43:03.080 the person who

01:43:03.800 does the first

01:43:04.340 draft, no matter

01:43:05.160 how much it

01:43:05.680 changes, but

01:43:06.980 typically in the

01:43:07.680 creative world,

01:43:08.820 whoever does the

01:43:09.460 first draft gets

01:43:10.340 some credit.

01:43:12.080 Some credit.

01:43:12.700 So I

01:43:13.460 actually won

01:43:13.920 an Emmy

01:43:14.220 without winning

01:43:14.760 an Emmy.

01:43:16.180 I think

01:43:16.800 that's

01:43:17.040 special.

01:43:20.440 Do I

01:43:21.040 use blue

01:43:21.460 light blocking

01:43:22.000 glasses?

01:43:22.580 No.

01:43:23.000 That's the

01:43:23.480 weird question.

01:43:25.840 Yeah.

01:43:26.300 Elon Musk

01:43:27.000 tweeted that he

01:43:27.740 wants to

01:43:28.160 create the

01:43:28.820 Texas Institute

01:43:30.480 for Technology

01:43:31.960 and Science

01:43:32.580 so that the

01:43:33.460 acronym can be

01:43:34.300 TITS.

01:43:35.920 And, you

01:43:36.780 know, of

01:43:37.040 course he's

01:43:37.360 named the

01:43:38.660 models of

01:43:39.320 his Tesla

01:43:41.120 cars so

01:43:42.420 that the

01:43:42.760 letters will

01:43:43.240 spell sex.

01:43:44.180 You know,

01:43:44.340 there's models

01:43:44.820 S and E

01:43:46.060 and X, I

01:43:46.680 guess.

01:43:47.340 Or he planned

01:43:47.900 to do it, I

01:43:48.340 forget.

01:43:49.260 But I

01:43:50.880 love the

01:43:51.340 fact that

01:43:52.800 Elon Musk

01:43:53.460 is the

01:43:53.840 richest person

01:43:54.500 in the

01:43:54.780 world and

01:43:56.080 also a

01:43:56.600 teenage boy.

01:43:59.060 I don't

01:43:59.700 know, I

01:44:00.020 can't stop

01:44:00.800 loving that.

01:44:02.020 That he's

01:44:03.380 not above

01:44:03.880 this joke.

01:44:05.280 I love

01:44:05.760 that he's

01:44:06.080 not above

01:44:06.500 this joke.

01:44:09.060 I just

01:44:09.780 love it.

01:44:12.420 And I'm

01:44:14.040 not sure

01:44:14.320 it was

01:44:14.560 like, it

01:44:15.520 wasn't so

01:44:16.820 funny.

01:44:17.900 I guess it's

01:44:18.420 funny because

01:44:18.900 he said it.

01:44:20.020 That's what

01:44:20.560 makes it

01:44:20.960 noteworthy.

01:44:21.860 If anybody

01:44:22.360 else said it,

01:44:22.940 it would have

01:44:23.140 been, eh.

01:44:24.800 But the

01:44:25.300 fact that he

01:44:25.740 could fund it

01:44:26.380 and actually

01:44:26.780 create it, it

01:44:27.800 actually might

01:44:28.300 just for a

01:44:28.840 joke, is

01:44:30.160 hilarious.

01:44:32.900 By the

01:44:33.440 way, if you

01:44:33.880 haven't heard

01:44:34.580 Elon Musk

01:44:36.420 mocking

01:44:38.360 Warren Buffett,

01:44:42.260 you have to

01:44:43.180 check that

01:44:43.700 out.

01:44:45.340 Yeah.

01:44:46.420 Check out

01:44:47.300 how dismissive

01:44:48.740 Elon Musk is

01:44:50.240 of Warren

01:44:50.720 Buffett.

01:44:51.100 Because apparently

01:44:51.560 Warren Buffett

01:44:52.160 also doesn't

01:44:52.880 think much of

01:44:53.600 Tesla.

01:44:55.060 So, you

01:44:56.280 know, they

01:44:57.140 conflict a

01:44:57.740 little bit.

01:44:58.580 But hearing

01:44:59.280 Elon, who's

01:45:00.880 taking us to

01:45:02.080 Mars and

01:45:02.680 building electric

01:45:03.380 cars and

01:45:03.920 changing the

01:45:04.560 world, hearing

01:45:05.520 him talking

01:45:06.020 about Warren

01:45:06.540 Buffett as

01:45:07.100 a guy who

01:45:07.460 just looks

01:45:07.900 at numbers,

01:45:09.200 which is

01:45:10.800 pretty close,

01:45:12.000 pretty close to

01:45:12.620 a good

01:45:12.880 explanation of

01:45:13.660 who he is.

01:45:14.740 Yeah, he

01:45:15.060 reads balance

01:45:15.820 sheets and

01:45:16.260 financial statements

01:45:17.100 and it's very

01:45:17.740 boring.

01:45:18.800 And that's

01:45:19.780 all he does.

01:45:21.200 That's his

01:45:21.840 contribution to

01:45:22.620 the world,

01:45:23.640 is that he

01:45:23.900 reads balance

01:45:24.460 sheets and

01:45:24.820 financial statements

01:45:25.700 better than

01:45:26.320 you.

01:45:27.720 What is

01:45:28.320 Elon Musk's

01:45:29.280 contribution to

01:45:30.040 the world?

01:45:32.220 Freedom.

01:45:34.240 My God.

01:45:36.340 Elon Musk's

01:45:37.160 contribution to

01:45:37.900 the world is

01:45:38.400 freedom.

01:45:39.660 It's not even

01:45:40.380 close.

01:45:41.620 Oh, yes, I

01:45:42.260 do.

01:45:42.600 I am a big

01:45:43.220 Elon Musk fan.

01:45:45.980 And I do

01:45:46.720 have some

01:45:47.360 small amount

01:45:48.240 of Tesla stock

01:45:49.440 that I bought

01:45:49.940 in the past

01:45:50.640 year.

01:45:51.480 So that's my

01:45:52.280 full disclosure.

01:45:53.460 So I'm very

01:45:53.840 pro-Musk and

01:45:57.040 Tesla.

01:45:58.780 But here's

01:46:00.940 what I mean by

01:46:01.380 freedom.

01:46:02.480 We probably

01:46:03.360 will only be

01:46:04.100 free if we

01:46:04.640 can leave the

01:46:05.200 earth.

01:46:07.160 Long, long

01:46:07.980 term, freedom

01:46:09.320 pretty much

01:46:09.980 requires leaving

01:46:10.700 the earth.

01:46:11.760 Secondly, you're

01:46:13.100 not going to be

01:46:13.620 free unless you

01:46:14.480 have some energy

01:46:16.320 sources that

01:46:17.100 don't completely

01:46:17.900 depend on the

01:46:18.620 government.

01:46:20.160 That's what he

01:46:20.940 makes.

01:46:21.800 He makes your

01:46:22.540 solar panels and

01:46:23.760 your solar

01:46:24.460 battery to make

01:46:27.160 you free from

01:46:27.860 the government.

01:46:29.460 Right?

01:46:29.740 Now you could

01:46:30.180 argue it's not

01:46:31.580 enough, blah, blah,

01:46:32.440 blah.

01:46:32.580 You need your

01:46:33.820 nuclear power and

01:46:34.680 I agree.

01:46:35.800 But he is

01:46:36.580 giving you

01:46:37.120 freedom.

01:46:38.400 You could

01:46:38.980 ignore the

01:46:39.740 government and

01:46:40.400 be your own

01:46:41.020 power company

01:46:41.780 with your

01:46:42.240 house.

01:46:42.580 It's possible

01:46:43.080 depending on

01:46:44.020 the design of

01:46:44.580 the house.

01:46:47.000 And he's

01:46:48.660 also building

01:46:49.360 Starlink.

01:46:50.700 That's his,

01:46:51.240 right?

01:46:51.400 Starlink.

01:46:52.280 The satellite

01:46:53.420 network.

01:46:55.260 What will

01:46:55.760 Starlink allow

01:46:56.660 you to do?

01:46:58.100 Avoid the

01:46:58.740 phone companies.

01:47:00.680 avoid the

01:47:01.780 big companies.

01:47:03.240 Probably also

01:47:04.120 avoid the

01:47:04.600 government in

01:47:06.460 some ways.

01:47:08.240 Because if you

01:47:09.220 have more

01:47:09.500 competition in

01:47:10.400 how information

01:47:12.580 is distributed,

01:47:14.000 the more

01:47:14.480 competition,

01:47:15.780 the more

01:47:16.360 freedom,

01:47:16.960 probably.

01:47:18.240 So I would

01:47:19.020 say that

01:47:19.740 Elon Musk is

01:47:20.760 directly and

01:47:22.020 substantially

01:47:23.000 altering the

01:47:25.360 very nature

01:47:26.100 of humankind

01:47:27.540 in terms of

01:47:29.120 the amount of

01:47:29.680 freedom we'll

01:47:30.320 have now

01:47:31.060 and in the

01:47:31.460 future.

01:47:32.940 And Warren

01:47:33.360 Buffett is

01:47:35.420 just taking

01:47:36.120 money from

01:47:36.640 bad investors

01:47:37.340 and giving it

01:47:37.960 to himself.

01:47:39.180 Because that's

01:47:39.760 what he does.

01:47:40.860 He just

01:47:41.560 invests smarter

01:47:42.960 so that some

01:47:44.100 people are

01:47:44.500 buying the

01:47:44.900 wrong stocks.

01:47:46.200 He's buying

01:47:46.820 the right

01:47:47.200 stocks on

01:47:47.780 average and

01:47:48.460 he makes

01:47:48.780 more money

01:47:49.160 than you do

01:47:49.620 but it's

01:47:49.980 at somebody's

01:47:50.580 expense.

01:47:51.480 It's at the

01:47:51.880 expense of

01:47:52.280 the people

01:47:52.560 who made

01:47:52.840 the wrong

01:47:53.180 decisions.

01:47:54.620 He's just

01:47:55.080 taking money

01:47:55.580 from one

01:47:56.040 pocket and

01:47:56.520 putting it

01:47:56.880 in another.

01:47:57.220 Now, you

01:47:58.840 could argue

01:47:59.300 that he

01:48:00.640 creates a

01:48:01.200 more efficient

01:48:01.720 system, blah

01:48:03.320 blah blah.

01:48:04.100 That's true.

01:48:05.280 But you

01:48:05.740 can't compare

01:48:06.460 the impact

01:48:07.880 that Musk

01:48:08.580 has on

01:48:09.160 humankind

01:48:10.340 to what

01:48:12.320 Warren Buffett

01:48:13.760 did for

01:48:14.080 himself and

01:48:15.600 his investors.

01:48:17.080 But basically

01:48:17.960 they were just

01:48:18.700 moving money

01:48:19.240 from one

01:48:19.700 pocket to

01:48:20.140 another and

01:48:21.300 Musk is

01:48:22.060 moving you

01:48:22.520 from Earth

01:48:23.220 to the

01:48:24.520 moon.

01:48:26.440 Those are

01:48:27.080 not the

01:48:27.720 same

01:48:27.960 conversation.

01:48:31.980 So I

01:48:32.660 just love

01:48:33.300 that.

01:48:33.960 And by

01:48:34.280 the way,

01:48:34.500 I have a

01:48:35.500 prediction

01:48:38.980 about Warren

01:48:39.760 Buffett.

01:48:40.580 You want to

01:48:40.960 hear it?

01:48:41.540 And I can

01:48:41.940 only give it

01:48:42.440 to you in

01:48:43.220 partial form.

01:48:45.320 And the

01:48:45.640 prediction goes

01:48:46.360 like this.

01:48:48.200 That when he

01:48:49.260 and Charlie

01:48:50.340 Munger, who

01:48:50.880 is also

01:48:51.260 super old,

01:48:52.080 when both

01:48:53.260 of them

01:48:53.580 have passed,

01:48:55.420 you're going

01:48:56.340 to hear some

01:48:56.800 stories about

01:48:57.660 one or both

01:48:58.740 of them that

01:48:59.940 you never heard

01:49:00.620 before.

01:49:01.980 And it might

01:49:02.800 not be good.

01:49:04.360 You know

01:49:04.600 what I mean?

01:49:05.560 I have a

01:49:06.240 feeling that

01:49:07.700 the major

01:49:08.240 publications,

01:49:09.300 the people who

01:49:09.860 could maybe

01:49:11.160 find out if

01:49:11.960 Warren Buffett

01:49:12.560 has ever done

01:49:13.180 anything bad,

01:49:15.140 probably stay

01:49:15.820 away.

01:49:17.100 Partly because

01:49:18.000 he's so

01:49:18.440 lovable.

01:49:19.640 And, you

01:49:19.980 know,

01:49:20.120 genuinely he's

01:49:20.800 just terrific

01:49:21.500 in public.

01:49:23.080 And, but

01:49:24.360 I can't

01:49:25.020 believe that

01:49:26.000 somebody with

01:49:26.620 that money

01:49:27.140 doesn't have a

01:49:28.520 skeleton or

01:49:29.180 two in the

01:49:29.620 closet.

01:49:30.900 I don't know

01:49:31.720 in what

01:49:32.060 domain or

01:49:32.900 anything like

01:49:33.360 that.

01:49:33.920 No, I'm

01:49:34.260 not thinking

01:49:34.680 of, you

01:49:35.160 know, any

01:49:35.500 Epstein stuff

01:49:36.280 or anything

01:49:36.580 like that.

01:49:37.280 I think

01:49:37.760 financially.

01:49:39.660 I would be

01:49:40.600 amazed if

01:49:41.780 after they

01:49:42.560 both passed,

01:49:43.220 and I think

01:49:43.460 both of them

01:49:43.920 have to go,

01:49:44.660 Charlie Munger

01:49:45.260 and Buffett.

01:49:47.140 And by the

01:49:47.460 way, I'm

01:49:47.860 pro both of

01:49:48.660 them.

01:49:48.940 I think

01:49:49.180 they're

01:49:49.420 amazing,

01:49:50.380 amazingly

01:49:50.880 successful,

01:49:52.160 good role

01:49:53.200 models based

01:49:53.900 on what we

01:49:54.380 know about

01:49:54.800 them.

01:49:55.160 And you

01:49:55.680 should listen

01:49:56.080 to almost

01:49:56.540 everything they

01:49:57.120 say because

01:49:57.600 it makes

01:49:57.900 sense.

01:50:00.600 But I just

01:50:02.560 have this

01:50:02.940 intuition or

01:50:03.780 something that

01:50:05.160 there's something

01:50:05.800 in that story

01:50:06.780 that we don't

01:50:07.560 know, the

01:50:08.180 Warren Buffett

01:50:08.760 success story,

01:50:10.000 just something

01:50:10.660 we don't know.

01:50:11.560 we'll find

01:50:13.380 out.

01:50:21.920 Could you

01:50:22.420 do a podcast

01:50:23.140 on reframing?

01:50:24.520 You know, I

01:50:25.100 was thinking

01:50:25.340 of writing a

01:50:25.860 book on that

01:50:26.420 topic.

01:50:28.080 Because

01:50:28.480 unfortunately

01:50:29.880 it might

01:50:31.160 overlap with

01:50:31.840 too much of

01:50:32.280 what I've

01:50:32.560 already done.

01:50:33.640 But I

01:50:34.120 think that if

01:50:34.600 people understood

01:50:35.420 reframing as

01:50:36.680 a technique,

01:50:37.700 and saw lots

01:50:38.260 of examples of

01:50:39.080 it, and

01:50:39.380 how to

01:50:39.880 reframe some

01:50:40.640 basic things

01:50:41.980 in your life,

01:50:43.080 it could be

01:50:43.640 life-changing.

01:50:45.480 Do I own

01:50:46.200 more than

01:50:46.520 one house?

01:50:47.160 No.

01:50:49.500 I own

01:50:50.220 one car

01:50:50.880 and one

01:50:51.480 house.

01:50:54.420 Because

01:50:54.900 I just,

01:50:56.800 in order to

01:50:58.060 own two

01:50:58.520 houses, you

01:50:59.340 need to have

01:50:59.680 a staff, I

01:51:00.500 think.

01:51:01.260 And I

01:51:01.600 don't want

01:51:01.900 a staff.

01:51:07.640 Micro

01:51:08.200 lessons on

01:51:08.820 decoupling

01:51:09.560 and divesting

01:51:10.320 from woke

01:51:10.920 companies.

01:51:12.500 No, I

01:51:13.120 think that

01:51:13.440 doesn't belong

01:51:14.880 in the

01:51:15.520 micro lesson

01:51:16.120 list.

01:51:18.280 So the

01:51:18.540 micro lessons

01:51:19.060 I do, I've

01:51:19.580 got over

01:51:20.040 190 of

01:51:21.060 them now on

01:51:21.780 the locals

01:51:22.200 platform, so

01:51:22.920 it's behind a

01:51:23.520 subscription wall.

01:51:24.880 But there are

01:51:25.320 190 lessons in

01:51:26.800 two minutes to

01:51:27.520 four minutes

01:51:28.020 generally, each

01:51:29.480 one of which

01:51:30.020 would give you

01:51:30.620 a new

01:51:31.020 superpower.

01:51:32.440 It's just

01:51:32.780 something you

01:51:33.260 hadn't thought

01:51:33.720 of, a new

01:51:34.380 way of framing

01:51:35.520 things in many

01:51:36.240 cases.

01:51:36.540 And they're

01:51:38.260 all designed

01:51:38.720 to give you

01:51:39.120 a power, right?

01:51:40.520 They're not

01:51:40.900 inert.

01:51:41.660 Everyone is

01:51:42.160 like a power

01:51:42.740 pack.

01:51:43.800 And there are

01:51:44.320 190 of them

01:51:45.240 now.

01:51:45.880 If you consume

01:51:46.800 all 190, and

01:51:48.580 again, it's just

01:51:49.100 two minutes

01:51:49.560 a piece, you

01:51:50.600 could just do

01:51:51.240 it while you're

01:51:51.620 on the toilet

01:51:52.120 one day each

01:51:53.800 until you're

01:51:54.320 done.

01:51:59.120 Oh, here's an

01:51:59.960 interesting point.

01:52:00.620 Some work for

01:52:01.180 money.

01:52:01.640 Scott works for

01:52:02.300 ideas, and the

01:52:03.380 money follows.

01:52:03.880 I would say

01:52:04.640 it a different

01:52:05.000 way.

01:52:05.640 I would say

01:52:06.040 that I have

01:52:06.480 a system, not

01:52:07.440 a goal.

01:52:08.580 My system is

01:52:09.640 to follow the

01:52:10.440 energy and apply

01:52:11.960 my talent stack

01:52:12.940 in a way that

01:52:13.500 helps the most

01:52:14.180 people.

01:52:15.560 If you do

01:52:16.360 that, money

01:52:16.880 will follow.

01:52:18.100 But it's not

01:52:18.760 a process

01:52:19.420 everybody can

01:52:20.180 do, because I

01:52:21.460 have the

01:52:21.820 advantage that I

01:52:22.920 have financial

01:52:23.600 security, so I

01:52:25.220 can wait for

01:52:25.860 things to come

01:52:26.460 to me.

01:52:28.360 You know, I

01:52:28.760 did this live

01:52:29.740 streaming, was

01:52:31.280 just a huge

01:52:31.980 money loser

01:52:32.700 for me.

01:52:34.140 It was just

01:52:34.560 a money loser.

01:52:35.300 It was just

01:52:35.560 drive away,

01:52:36.120 drive away, you

01:52:38.260 know, Dilbert

01:52:38.780 fans, and didn't

01:52:39.960 make any money.

01:52:41.060 I wasn't even

01:52:42.040 monetizing it.

01:52:43.500 And for what,

01:52:44.400 five years?

01:52:46.200 I think I did

01:52:47.120 this for like

01:52:47.620 five years, just

01:52:48.980 because I was

01:52:49.940 following the

01:52:50.460 energy, and it

01:52:52.640 seemed to have a

01:52:54.440 value that people

01:52:55.360 appreciated.

01:52:56.840 And now, it's

01:52:58.300 monetized.

01:52:59.500 So between the

01:53:00.500 YouTube ads,

01:53:02.080 ads, which you

01:53:02.900 can skip if

01:53:03.560 you're subscribed

01:53:04.560 to either

01:53:05.260 Locals or to

01:53:06.560 YouTube, and

01:53:09.180 now it's actually

01:53:09.800 producing money.

01:53:11.200 Now, it's not

01:53:11.680 life-changing

01:53:12.320 money, I didn't

01:53:13.780 need it, but it's

01:53:15.020 doing it.

01:53:16.140 I mean, it's

01:53:16.660 actually a

01:53:17.440 genuine, what

01:53:20.420 would you call

01:53:20.780 it, a genuine

01:53:22.340 business line of

01:53:23.980 business, I guess.

01:53:25.440 Did it help book

01:53:26.320 sales?

01:53:26.740 Probably.

01:53:27.960 Probably.

01:53:28.400 Yeah, so I

01:53:30.920 didn't have a

01:53:31.440 goal of being

01:53:33.540 this.

01:53:34.420 I had a system

01:53:35.240 where I followed

01:53:35.980 the energy, I

01:53:36.800 experimented, I

01:53:38.440 listened to the

01:53:39.060 audience input,

01:53:40.940 change, change,

01:53:41.840 change, and I

01:53:42.800 just followed it

01:53:43.500 where it went, and

01:53:44.980 applied, and built

01:53:46.080 my talent stack at

01:53:47.120 the same time.

01:53:48.240 And if you do

01:53:48.820 those things, and

01:53:51.020 you improve your

01:53:51.840 production quality,

01:53:52.940 apparently not well

01:53:54.140 enough today, if you

01:53:55.580 just chip away at all

01:53:56.920 these things, five

01:53:57.720 years later, you've

01:53:58.420 got a business that

01:54:00.000 you didn't plan on.

01:54:00.920 Exactly.

01:54:08.100 The Hershey CEO

01:54:09.480 said water is not a

01:54:10.900 right.

01:54:12.020 That's true.

01:54:14.120 That's just a

01:54:14.880 definition of the

01:54:15.540 word rights.

01:54:17.180 Now, if you say to

01:54:18.100 yourself, having

01:54:19.420 access to water

01:54:20.340 should be a right,

01:54:21.660 I would agree with

01:54:22.360 you.

01:54:23.120 If you say it is a

01:54:24.240 right, you have to

01:54:24.860 point to it somewhere

01:54:25.720 in a law, or

01:54:27.700 God's word, or

01:54:29.580 something like that.

01:54:30.840 But a right is

01:54:31.900 not just you think

01:54:33.280 it should be

01:54:33.880 something for

01:54:34.520 everybody.

01:54:35.600 The definition of

01:54:36.620 a right is that

01:54:37.420 it's codified, or

01:54:39.220 at least comes from

01:54:40.080 a religion in some

01:54:41.020 way, that you

01:54:41.880 could point to

01:54:42.400 objectively and

01:54:43.060 say, oh, there's

01:54:43.520 the rule.

01:54:47.460 Somebody says in

01:54:48.260 Texas, water is a

01:54:49.220 right, but I would

01:54:49.960 imagine that that's

01:54:51.000 a limited right.

01:54:52.860 But abortion is a

01:54:58.260 right?

01:54:59.220 No, I don't say

01:55:00.060 anything's a right

01:55:00.900 until it's

01:55:01.900 codified.

01:55:03.620 So abortion is a

01:55:04.960 right if you're in

01:55:06.020 a state where it's

01:55:06.960 a legally defined

01:55:08.860 thing you can do.

01:55:14.180 Biden said our

01:55:15.060 rights are just

01:55:15.620 there.

01:55:16.740 He doesn't

01:55:17.160 acknowledge they

01:55:17.740 come from God.

01:55:18.740 Well, it's better

01:55:20.300 not to acknowledge

01:55:21.540 they come from

01:55:22.160 God, because

01:55:23.040 then you're

01:55:23.400 limited to

01:55:23.920 whatever's, you

01:55:24.820 know, defined

01:55:26.000 by God, and not

01:55:26.980 everybody's following

01:55:27.880 the same one.

01:55:31.220 Am I talking too

01:55:32.260 long?

01:55:32.620 Somebody's running

01:55:33.160 on a beer.

01:55:38.380 You know your

01:55:39.260 rights when you

01:55:39.940 were alone in the

01:55:40.640 wilderness.

01:55:41.220 Hmm, I don't

01:55:41.960 know.

01:55:44.180 Yeah.

01:55:44.980 I think he should

01:55:45.720 always talk about

01:55:46.460 what should be

01:55:47.340 your rights.

01:55:51.540 somebody says

01:55:53.780 Craig Wright

01:55:54.380 invented Bitcoin

01:55:55.420 and he has a

01:55:56.220 huge trial that

01:55:57.420 starts on Monday.

01:55:59.080 Now, why would I

01:56:00.120 not be aware that

01:56:01.500 the founder of

01:56:02.580 Bitcoin had been

01:56:04.280 identified, if that

01:56:06.240 were true?

01:56:07.160 If that were true,

01:56:08.140 are you telling me

01:56:08.560 that wouldn't be the

01:56:09.260 headline story?

01:56:12.060 I don't believe

01:56:13.260 that, I don't

01:56:14.220 believe what you're

01:56:14.760 telling me.

01:56:15.140 There's something

01:56:15.500 left out.

01:56:15.960 Insurance are not

01:56:22.640 rights, but yeah.

01:56:26.780 Yeah, I don't

01:56:27.340 think anything is

01:56:28.600 a natural right.

01:56:31.260 I don't believe in

01:56:31.900 natural rights.

01:56:33.800 They're just things

01:56:34.720 you want, things

01:56:35.540 that make sense,

01:56:36.620 things you would

01:56:37.140 like to be a

01:56:37.660 right, but there's

01:56:38.160 no natural right,

01:56:39.320 in my opinion.

01:56:39.880 God-given?

01:56:50.660 I don't know that

01:56:51.760 God gives you any

01:56:52.480 rights.

01:56:56.620 Right to life?

01:56:58.320 You have a right

01:56:59.240 to life because it's

01:57:00.100 illegal to be killed,

01:57:01.580 and it's in the

01:57:02.260 Constitution.

01:57:02.780 Yeah, there are

01:57:09.600 things you need, but

01:57:10.600 that doesn't make

01:57:11.100 them a right.

01:57:15.860 All right, that's

01:57:16.580 all for now.

01:57:17.200 I'm going to go do

01:57:17.820 something else, and

01:57:19.280 I'll talk to you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 30, 2021

Episode 1546 Scott Adams： Trouble. Get in Here

Episode Stats

Length

Words per Minute

Word Count

Sentence Count

Summary

Transcript