Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1558 Scott Adams： Don't Miss My Kamala Harris Impression and Provocative Other Opinions

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to, yeah, you know, you know what I'm going to say.

00:00:11.160 And it's true every time.

00:00:12.580 It's the best thing that's ever happened to you, right now.

00:00:15.500 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, the live stream that defines quality in all the other

00:00:21.120 live streams.

00:00:21.940 The only live stream where the odds of me blowing my nose in front of the audience,

00:00:26.820 eh, always a good 37% likelihood.

00:00:30.120 So that's the kind of professionalism I bring to this, and it causes everybody else to

00:00:35.840 play catch-up, I know.

00:00:38.000 How would you like to have the simultaneous sip?

00:00:41.580 Anybody?

00:00:42.260 Anybody?

00:00:42.980 Let's have a simultaneous sip, and it's the first time this morning I'll be doing a sip with

00:00:50.080 anybody.

00:00:52.300 Yeah, so this will be the first one of the day.

00:00:54.260 And it's called the simultaneous sip, and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a

00:01:00.100 tank or a chelsea, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, filling with your favorite

00:01:03.800 liquid.

00:01:06.280 I like coffee.

00:01:08.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:12.520 The dopamine here today, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:15.480 Watch what it does to your antibodies.

00:01:17.100 Just watch this.

00:01:17.920 Let's go.

00:01:22.680 Hold on, hold on, hold on.

00:01:26.360 Most of my antibodies just came online.

00:01:29.780 Some of them did not.

00:01:31.740 We're going to need to do a second augmented sip here.

00:01:35.820 Go.

00:01:39.300 Checking.

00:01:40.240 All good.

00:01:40.880 We're online.

00:01:43.320 I don't know what it was, some kind of a vaccination mandate sick out or something, but my antibodies

00:01:50.540 were not going online all at the same time.

00:01:52.400 But it's all good now.

00:01:53.280 We're all good.

00:01:53.700 Well, COVID is killing 1,200 people per day still in the United States, allegedly, if we're

00:02:01.440 counting them correctly.

00:02:02.640 And the ERs are packed.

00:02:04.780 That's the news.

00:02:06.080 Apparently, we hit some kind of a plateau.

00:02:08.340 Things were dropping like crazy, and then we hit a plateau.

00:02:11.540 That plateau is probably, say some experts, to do with not seasonality exactly, but indoor

00:02:20.080 living.

00:02:20.400 Now, here's a new clue for this pandemic, and I don't know that I exactly had processed

00:02:29.320 this before.

00:02:30.260 It's something I've heard of, but I hadn't quite put it together.

00:02:32.840 It goes like this.

00:02:34.500 Your normal flu has seasonality, right?

00:02:39.280 When the summer comes, the flu pretty much gets knocked out, if it's the seasonal flu.

00:02:43.280 But the coronavirus and the Delta seem to have a different pattern, which is that they respond

00:02:52.080 to indoor living, regardless of the season.

00:02:56.140 So apparently, it's not enough to simply be outdoors in the summer and indoors in the winter.

00:03:01.940 If it's Florida, in the summer, people go indoors and they get COVID.

00:03:06.300 And in other places, in the winter, they go indoors and get COVID.

00:03:11.000 But why doesn't that work with the regular flu?

00:03:14.160 Why does the regular flu, which presumably is also worse indoors, right?

00:03:20.640 Does anybody doubt that?

00:03:22.280 Nobody doubts that the regular flu is also worse indoors.

00:03:25.640 But why does the regular flu still succumb to seasonality when this one doesn't?

00:03:34.400 Is it just more aggressive?

00:03:36.820 Is that all it is?

00:03:38.300 Is it just a matter of degree?

00:03:41.760 Right.

00:03:42.640 So some are saying it's the aerosol versus contact on surfaces, I guess, would be the other

00:03:49.160 way.

00:03:50.040 Somebody says not weaponized.

00:03:51.900 I like your thinking.

00:03:53.560 Yeah.

00:03:53.720 The gain of function might be what does that.

00:03:56.480 But let's do a little critical thinking.

00:04:02.520 Is there anything we can learn from the fact that the regular flu succumbs to seasonality

00:04:12.940 and this one doesn't?

00:04:15.060 Aside from the fact it's more aggressive.

00:04:17.240 Maybe that's the whole story.

00:04:18.580 It's just more aggressive.

00:04:20.280 But here's a question.

00:04:22.300 I'm just going to put that out.

00:04:23.580 But we're putting it out here.

00:04:24.560 This is a thought experiment and not something that anybody will ever do.

00:04:28.920 Suppose we had a rule that said that if more than, I'll just pick a number.

00:04:35.200 If more than three people are going to be in a room for more than 10 minutes, and again,

00:04:39.860 I'm just making this up for conversation purposes, you have to open a window.

00:04:44.600 Even if it's winter, you have to open a window.

00:04:51.140 Otherwise, you just can't be three people in a small room together.

00:04:55.460 Could you get rid of the coronavirus in two weeks?

00:04:57.920 Because I've got a feeling if we could study how many times people got an infection in a room that had a window open.

00:05:08.180 What do you think?

00:05:09.080 I feel as if opening a window takes your odds of getting the coronavirus from pretty good to maybe hardly ever.

00:05:20.300 Don't you think?

00:05:21.360 I don't know if there's any way to study that.

00:05:25.460 But if you could study, is indoors with the window open going to protect you completely, just like being outdoors?

00:05:33.460 Being outdoors seems to protect you almost completely.

00:05:36.760 And remember my other hypothesis that fans might be enough to keep you safe indoors?

00:05:44.600 What if you said you can't have a gathering of more than three people unless the fan is on?

00:05:50.400 Turn the fan on.

00:05:51.460 And the fan would just be to disperse whatever's in the air so that even if you were infected, it'd be such a small load as opposed to a big plume.

00:06:02.080 You know, you don't want to stand in a plume of COVID.

00:06:04.580 But if you were in a room where there was just like trace amounts floating around, you'd probably be fine.

00:06:10.520 I'll bet you.

00:06:12.020 So here's a bet.

00:06:13.540 It's an easy bet because we'll never do it.

00:06:15.600 We'll never find out.

00:06:17.140 I'll make a bet that if you had a rule and people followed it, of course they wouldn't, but if you could,

00:06:24.400 that you shouldn't have more than three people in the room for more than ten minutes without a fan on.

00:06:29.000 Or let's say a ceiling fan or any kind of a fan.

00:06:31.160 Or a window open.

00:06:32.440 Something like that.

00:06:34.580 I'll bet it would end the pandemic.

00:06:37.860 We'll never know.

00:06:39.320 Elon Musk decided to sell five billion worth of his stock.

00:06:45.240 Some say it's because he needed some cash to pay some tax liabilities from some stock options he exercised or something.

00:06:53.900 I don't know the details.

00:06:54.780 But it seems related to, please stop what?

00:07:01.580 Steve, are you telling me to please stop the topic?

00:07:06.660 Because I'm going to pop you off the channel here.

00:07:15.400 I don't like that kind of comment.

00:07:19.120 All right.

00:07:19.860 Elon Musk sold some...

00:07:21.260 Here's the best part of the story.

00:07:23.040 Elon Musk doesn't do anything boring.

00:07:24.820 I don't know how he does it, but he can't...

00:07:29.960 He's somehow genetically designed where he just can't do boring things.

00:07:35.380 I don't know if he knows how.

00:07:37.720 And so instead of just selling some stock and paying his taxes like some quiet billionaire might,

00:07:44.200 he does a Twitter poll and then tells people that he'll follow whatever the Twitter poll says.

00:07:49.460 Now, the funny thing is that there's nothing less scientific than a Twitter poll.

00:07:55.240 I mean, really, that's just ridiculous.

00:07:57.580 So here's a guy who's going to make multi-billion dollar decisions based on a Twitter poll.

00:08:03.860 That is just the best.

00:08:06.620 That's just the best.

00:08:08.460 It's impossible for him to be boring.

00:08:11.040 Somehow he made the most boring thing, I'm going to pay my taxes, into exciting,

00:08:15.980 because it turned into a Twitter poll that wasn't scientific.

00:08:18.200 So I guess the poll said he should sell some stock.

00:08:22.360 He was talking about 10% of his holdings.

00:08:24.520 But he sold $5 billion worth, and it looks like he actually is doing what the Twitter poll said.

00:08:31.820 And Tesla stock is up today, somebody says.

00:08:36.120 Anyway, there's not much meat to that story.

00:08:38.260 It's just that everything he does is interesting.

00:08:41.200 Here's some fake news.

00:08:42.960 Fake news on Fox News.

00:08:44.360 How many of you think that Fox News sometimes has some fake news?

00:08:50.740 Anybody think that?

00:08:52.560 Because mostly we make fun of CNN and MSNBC.

00:08:56.400 Well, here's some fake news.

00:08:59.380 Now, of course, I'm using my definition of fake news.

00:09:02.680 Okay?

00:09:02.900 So this is my personal definition of fake news, and it includes this tell.

00:09:09.760 If somebody gives you the news with a percentage, say this was an X percentage of something,

00:09:16.380 but they don't give you the raw numbers, it's fake news.

00:09:20.880 And also the reverse.

00:09:22.020 If they give you raw numbers for a story, but the percentages would tell you more, it's fake news.

00:09:29.320 So anytime you see a story that's only the raw numbers or only the percentages, it is intended as manipulation.

00:09:38.580 So here's how the fake news on Fox News by Pilar Arias.

00:09:45.680 So this is not an opinion piece.

00:09:49.180 It's a news piece on the Fox News site.

00:09:52.320 And it talks about one California school board is rejecting the mandates for kids to get vaccinated.

00:09:58.080 And as part of the context for the story, the data has shown that 24% of COVID cases were kids.

00:10:07.060 Is that news or fake news?

00:10:09.960 24% of COVID cases lately have been kids.

00:10:14.460 News or fake news?

00:10:15.680 Let's say it's true.

00:10:19.260 So I'm not saying it's untrue.

00:10:21.940 But is it news or fake news?

00:10:23.560 It's fake news.

00:10:25.140 It's fake news because the context is clearly intentionally omitted.

00:10:30.180 What would be the context?

00:10:32.420 Zero deaths?

00:10:34.740 Right?

00:10:35.960 The context would be and zero deaths.

00:10:39.380 Now it's probably not a zero.

00:10:40.400 It might be one or two.

00:10:41.720 Whatever it is.

00:10:42.320 But the number of deaths is pretty important to the story, isn't it?

00:10:47.580 Because otherwise you're vaccinating the kids to save other people.

00:10:52.240 Is it ethical to vaccinate kids to save other people?

00:10:59.200 I suppose it would depend on how many other people were at risk.

00:11:04.260 If it was all of them, maybe yes.

00:11:08.020 You know, if like every adult would die unless kids were vaccinated, well, yeah.

00:11:13.260 I guess maybe in that case you would vaccinate them.

00:11:15.640 Because kids would need living adults to take care of them too, right?

00:11:19.740 But this is clearly just fake news because the context is clearly intentionally left out.

00:11:27.320 All right.

00:11:27.560 How many of you would like to see my Kamala Harris impression?

00:11:33.240 Anybody?

00:11:34.220 Anybody?

00:11:35.240 Because she's in the news.

00:11:36.480 She was at a CRT meeting.

00:11:38.940 And apparently she was talking to some folks and there was a viral video of her talking.

00:11:45.260 Now, before I give you my Kamala Harris impression,

00:11:50.180 I would like to show you how an actual, a real person would talk in public.

00:11:57.140 So here's how a real person would talk.

00:11:59.560 They might talk with their hands.

00:12:01.840 For example, they might say, you know, this or that.

00:12:04.420 Or, you know, you see people talking like this and like this and like this.

00:12:07.980 That's how a normal person talks.

00:12:10.260 If you're Kamala Harris, you pattern your body language

00:12:14.240 after the police officer from Young Frankenstein.

00:12:19.060 You ever seen the movie?

00:12:23.640 I mean, if you've seen the movie, that's pretty funny.

00:12:28.260 All right.

00:12:28.660 So to do your Kamala Harris impression, we'll adjust things.

00:12:34.040 I've got to stand up for this.

00:12:36.920 You need to, whoa, hell, hell, hell, hell.

00:12:39.680 Technical difficulty over here.

00:12:42.000 What the hell?

00:12:42.760 I say again, nobody's ever made a stand for a monitor that isn't shitty.

00:12:50.340 Number one, you need an unstylish blazer.

00:12:57.240 So I can use a man's jacket because, well, trust me, it's going to work.

00:13:03.680 All right.

00:13:03.920 So you put on the unstylish Kamala Harris jacket.

00:13:09.520 Now, when she appears in public, she also wears a mask.

00:13:13.420 So you put the mask on.

00:13:14.700 And then, because I don't have a wig, so I'm going to cheat a little bit

00:13:23.120 by taking off my glasses.

00:13:28.500 There you go.

00:13:30.860 If you can't see the top, Kamala Harris.

00:13:33.600 And now here's Kamala Harris talking.

00:13:36.540 I'll add some dialogue of my own,

00:13:38.900 because what she says is usually babbling nonsense.

00:13:41.800 But watch the body language.

00:13:45.900 So if you have the critical race theory,

00:13:50.180 what you do is you've got a plan, a plan,

00:13:55.260 and then you execute the plan.

00:13:58.820 And then you execute the plan, and then everything is fine.

00:14:03.340 It doesn't matter what I'm saying.

00:14:05.020 Just watch my hands.

00:14:06.640 I'm not nervous.

00:14:08.080 I feel very comfortable talking in public.

00:14:11.800 You're Kamala Harris impressions will take a lot of energy.

00:14:32.880 It's a lot of practice.

00:14:33.880 The U.S. is third in math performance according to an international competition.

00:14:52.320 Does that sound right to you?

00:14:55.640 Does it sound right that America would be third in math competition?

00:15:01.140 China's first, Russia's second.

00:15:03.880 How do you think they measure this?

00:15:12.520 Lost the microphone.

00:15:16.840 I'll bet that's better.

00:15:19.220 All right.

00:15:21.900 Here's my problem with comparing math performance across countries.

00:15:27.000 If you're the best math student in China, do you think you have a choice about being in a math competition?

00:15:36.980 What do you think?

00:15:38.860 You're the best math student in China.

00:15:42.080 Does China say to you, hey, do you want to be in a math competition?

00:15:45.100 Or does China say, you're in a math competition?

00:15:50.380 Now take the United States.

00:15:51.980 If you're great at math, and you're 17 or 18, in the United States, and they say to you, you know, there's an international math competition.

00:16:03.540 What do you say in the United States?

00:16:05.000 Well, I might be interested, but I just launched a unicorn startup, and it's going to go public in a week for $10 billion, so I might miss the contest.

00:16:19.140 Here's the thing.

00:16:21.880 I don't think a competition tells you anything, because all you're really finding out is that the people who are in the competition, how they did.

00:16:30.200 It's not really telling you anything about the home country, I don't think, except that some might be coercive.

00:16:36.140 So don't trust that.

00:16:39.560 I would love to see, if there's any way to do it, the top 1% of math students in each country, and just see how they compare.

00:16:48.600 Because it doesn't really matter if everybody else is good at math, because we don't use it that much.

00:16:55.120 I mean, sometimes I'll use a little algebra, believe it or not, sometimes.

00:16:59.840 Every now and then it comes in handy, but not often.

00:17:02.280 And if I had to have a workaround, I probably could.

00:17:06.140 So, anyway, we teach math to too many people who will never use it.

00:17:12.660 I think it's a waste of time.

00:17:14.940 And so I would say 80% of math education, the higher level education, in my opinion, is completely a waste of time.

00:17:25.660 But it's certainly useful for the top, say, 10% of students.

00:17:30.500 And certainly everybody should learn at least algebra.

00:17:33.680 I think at least algebra.

00:17:34.720 But maybe that's about it.

00:17:38.140 All right, here's some fake news from CNN.

00:17:43.000 Now, this is in an opinion piece by Michael D'Antonio.

00:17:47.240 So the opinion pieces are a different standard, right, because it's opinion.

00:17:50.880 But it's on a news site.

00:17:53.020 And I don't think CNN would allow an opinion on a news site, their news site, unless the facts alleged in the piece were also facts that CNN says are facts.

00:18:04.920 Would you agree with that?

00:18:06.340 That even though it's an opinion piece, the editors aren't going to put it on CNN's page unless the factual claims are actually accurate, according to that.

00:18:14.640 So here's a factual claim by Michael D'Antonio on CNN, on their website.

00:18:22.240 He says, I'll skip that part.

00:18:26.700 He talks about a well-documented and objective truth of Trump's election defeat.

00:18:33.640 So he says there's a well-documented and objective truth of his election defeat.

00:18:41.580 Is that a fact, that it's well-documented and objectively true?

00:18:50.620 No.

00:18:52.340 It's objectively true that no court has ruled that there was a substantial fraud.

00:19:00.200 Not looking for something isn't the same as not being there.

00:19:04.300 The courts don't look for fraud.

00:19:06.380 They only judge what's brought to them.

00:19:07.860 In most cases, they didn't have the standing or the jurisdiction to even rule on it.

00:19:13.780 So basically, no fraud was really looked at in any serious way.

00:19:18.500 The audits looked at the obvious stuff, but they can't audit everything, including the electronic stuff.

00:19:25.120 So yeah, that's just fake news.

00:19:27.580 But CNN readers would not know the difference.

00:19:32.700 I've told you many times that our opinions are assigned to us,

00:19:35.900 but it's hard to see it, right?

00:19:39.000 Because you think your opinions come from some internal process.

00:19:43.020 There are only a few situations in which it's really obvious that your opinions were assigned to you.

00:19:49.940 And I'm going to give you one of those.

00:19:51.520 Now, I'm not talking about you necessarily, right?

00:19:54.620 So this doesn't mean you specifically.

00:19:56.660 But the public has an opinion, a collective opinion, both left and right, right?

00:20:03.100 This one won't even be much different, left or right.

00:20:06.220 This is an assigned opinion.

00:20:08.160 And when you hear it, you're going to know it right away.

00:20:10.960 But it was invisible until I mentioned it.

00:20:13.080 Watch this.

00:20:13.540 If Christopher Steele, of the famous Steele dossier, had been an ex-Russian spy instead of an ex-British spy,

00:20:24.900 would we say that he was part of Russian interference?

00:20:27.940 If Christopher Steele had been an ex-Russian spy, would we say that Putin was involved?

00:20:38.220 Yes.

00:20:41.180 Yes, 100%.

00:20:42.220 And why would we say that if Christopher Steele, in this hypothetical,

00:20:47.640 if he was operating independently and he was no longer working for an intelligence agency,

00:20:53.520 maybe he didn't even live in the country, didn't even live in Russia,

00:20:56.880 would you say, well, that doesn't count because he's independent now and he's X.

00:21:03.140 He's not part of the intelligence.

00:21:05.500 He used to be, but now he isn't.

00:21:06.880 So would you say, oh, okay, that's a distinction that matters.

00:21:10.660 So we won't say that Putin's behind it because he's not really working for Putin anymore.

00:21:17.160 But he's an ex-British spy.

00:21:22.180 And yet, both the left and the right believes that an ex-British spy

00:21:29.040 has no connection back to his home country and intelligence agencies.

00:21:33.880 But you wouldn't believe that if he were an ex-Russian spy, would you?

00:21:40.260 Here's why you would never be able to come up with this opinion on your own.

00:21:44.340 This is how you know it's an assigned opinion.

00:21:47.680 Nobody would come up with this opinion on their own.

00:21:49.760 If you heard he was ex-M6, is it?

00:21:55.080 Ex-British intelligence, you would say to yourself quite reasonably,

00:21:59.240 there's no such thing as ex-British intelligence.

00:22:04.180 Right?

00:22:05.460 You would never say to yourself, there's such a thing as an ex-spy.

00:22:10.840 Because there isn't.

00:22:12.320 There are definitely people who are not on the payroll.

00:22:14.360 And there are definitely people who are not taking orders from their old bosses.

00:22:19.700 That's true.

00:22:20.920 But if he's about to do something that has international repercussions

00:22:25.060 at the very highest level,

00:22:27.360 he checked with his old boss.

00:22:31.700 Let me say that with complete confidence.

00:22:35.000 I mean, I don't know.

00:22:36.040 I don't have facts to back it up, right?

00:22:38.080 But do you think there's any chance

00:22:39.900 he didn't check it with the home office first?

00:22:42.460 Even though he doesn't work there.

00:22:44.440 He's an ex-spy.

00:22:46.000 Doesn't owe them anything.

00:22:47.880 But you don't think he checked with them first?

00:22:50.280 Really?

00:22:51.260 Because if he were Russian, you'd be sure he did.

00:22:54.420 You'd be sure he did.

00:22:56.860 But because he's British,

00:22:59.480 our press just ignores it.

00:23:02.020 And because it's ignored,

00:23:03.380 you don't come to the conclusion

00:23:04.900 that he was actively involved

00:23:06.620 with Great Britain

00:23:08.720 in trying to interfere with the elections.

00:23:10.580 This is an opinion

00:23:12.960 that nobody would come to on their own.

00:23:17.040 And yet, both left and right

00:23:18.680 came to this opinion

00:23:19.580 that Great Britain's not really involved in interfering.

00:23:24.480 Do you see it?

00:23:26.480 Am I wrong

00:23:27.680 that once I point it out,

00:23:29.420 you can see that this is an assigned opinion?

00:23:32.540 Nobody came to this opinion on their own.

00:23:35.800 Now, some of you,

00:23:37.560 and I can see it in the comments,

00:23:38.760 some of you were there all along

00:23:41.200 saying, wait a minute,

00:23:41.960 there's no such thing as an ex-spy.

00:23:44.280 Exactly.

00:23:45.520 You can never be completely exed.

00:23:48.520 Right?

00:23:50.000 Yeah, it is a good example, isn't it?

00:23:53.020 This one will bother you

00:23:54.220 if you think about it.

00:23:55.720 Because if you had never once

00:23:57.880 thought, wait a minute,

00:23:59.560 Great Britain definitely interfered

00:24:01.280 with our election.

00:24:02.220 If you've never had that thought once,

00:24:03.940 then you accepted an assigned opinion.

00:24:10.000 Uncritically.

00:24:13.160 All right.

00:24:18.740 Let's see what else is going on.

00:24:20.500 I love the fact

00:24:21.700 that the new revelations about

00:24:23.720 Hello?

00:24:34.600 Hello?

00:24:39.520 My potential spam

00:24:40.680 doesn't want to talk to me.

00:24:43.480 Okay.

00:24:44.600 I thought that was going to be fun.

00:24:46.020 So, what's funny

00:24:49.820 is that now that we know

00:24:50.980 that the Steele dossier

00:24:52.260 was at least coordinating

00:24:56.220 with the Democratic campaign

00:24:59.100 for Hillary Clinton,

00:25:00.560 now that we know that,

00:25:02.280 and clearly this is worse

00:25:03.680 than Watergate by a lot,

00:25:06.180 by like a factor of 100,

00:25:08.080 it's not even close,

00:25:09.700 where's Carl Bernstein?

00:25:13.360 The guy that CNN trots out

00:25:15.300 to say that anything

00:25:16.100 that Trump did

00:25:16.780 was worse than Watergate.

00:25:19.060 They can't bring him

00:25:20.060 on TV anymore.

00:25:21.820 The funniest thing about this

00:25:23.240 is that he's got to be

00:25:24.420 completely shut out.

00:25:26.220 He's probably in hiding.

00:25:29.420 Literally,

00:25:30.660 you need to,

00:25:31.460 I'll bet you,

00:25:32.560 I'll bet you a,

00:25:34.580 that no journalist

00:25:35.460 can find him right now.

00:25:37.460 I'll bet he's literally

00:25:38.340 off the grid somewhere,

00:25:40.100 not answering questions.

00:25:42.400 Because there's no way

00:25:43.680 he's not going to be asked

00:25:45.060 if this is worse

00:25:45.820 than Watergate.

00:25:46.900 And what the hell

00:25:47.560 is he going to say?

00:25:51.620 You're starting to sound

00:25:52.640 like Carl Bernstein.

00:25:54.360 Maybe.

00:25:55.720 All right.

00:25:57.260 Jeffrey Toobin,

00:25:58.120 of course,

00:25:58.500 is in the news.

00:25:59.180 Now,

00:25:59.360 I've defended him

00:26:00.320 getting his job back.

00:26:03.060 Because I think he just,

00:26:04.060 you know,

00:26:04.340 made a dumb mistake

00:26:05.640 and that's not really

00:26:06.440 the reason you should

00:26:07.080 fire people.

00:26:08.340 It was just a funny mistake.

00:26:09.640 That,

00:26:10.340 however,

00:26:10.680 does not let him

00:26:11.420 off the hook.

00:26:12.860 Because when you do

00:26:13.680 something that funny,

00:26:15.760 I'm going to have

00:26:16.820 some fun with it.

00:26:17.980 So I totally support him

00:26:19.980 in getting his job back.

00:26:21.920 But,

00:26:22.380 I'm just going to say,

00:26:26.440 I'll just summarize

00:26:27.060 what he said

00:26:27.760 in his commentary.

00:26:28.420 This is,

00:26:28.980 this is my

00:26:29.480 summarization.

00:26:31.240 So don't,

00:26:32.160 don't blame him

00:26:32.920 for the wording.

00:26:33.700 But Toobin thinks

00:26:35.440 that Rittenhouse

00:26:36.400 is a jerk.

00:26:37.600 So part of his commentary

00:26:38.980 is that Rittenhouse

00:26:40.540 was really,

00:26:41.360 really dumb

00:26:41.700 to bring a gun

00:26:42.440 to where he did.

00:26:43.700 So Toobin thinks

00:26:44.680 Rittenhouse is a jerk,

00:26:46.220 but also that

00:26:47.600 Rittenhouse's lawyers

00:26:49.000 might get the jerk off.

00:26:54.780 Anything?

00:26:55.740 Anybody?

00:26:56.800 Anything?

00:26:58.080 All right,

00:26:58.580 that's all I had on that.

00:26:59.300 Rasmussen has a poll

00:27:00.860 that says 55%

00:27:02.240 of the public surveyed,

00:27:04.300 I think these are

00:27:05.000 likely voters usually,

00:27:06.820 oppose mandatory

00:27:07.820 vaccinations for kids.

00:27:10.040 And 35% are in favor.

00:27:12.480 55% oppose

00:27:13.900 mandatory vaccinations.

00:27:16.320 What percentage

00:27:17.720 of the country

00:27:18.580 has to oppose anything

00:27:20.180 before you can be sure

00:27:22.160 it won't happen?

00:27:23.960 What percentage?

00:27:25.080 I feel like it's about 75.

00:27:27.660 It's not 55.

00:27:29.300 Definitely not 55.

00:27:31.860 Somebody saying 70?

00:27:33.540 Maybe.

00:27:34.680 Depends on the topic,

00:27:35.920 probably.

00:27:36.240 But I think you need

00:27:37.080 70, 75

00:27:37.980 before the public's

00:27:40.200 in control.

00:27:41.660 Now, remember,

00:27:42.780 I often remind you,

00:27:45.580 no, I didn't steal

00:27:47.620 that joke from Gottfeld.

00:27:49.040 but we do have

00:27:54.620 a similar sense of humor,

00:27:55.920 so I wouldn't be surprised

00:27:57.400 if he had a similar joke.

00:28:02.440 I think 70,

00:28:03.720 70, 75%

00:28:05.140 is when the public

00:28:07.420 simply takes control.

00:28:10.140 At 55%,

00:28:11.200 I think we do throw it

00:28:12.380 to the government

00:28:12.900 and say,

00:28:13.280 ah, we can't decide.

00:28:14.740 You decide.

00:28:15.280 And then we live with it

00:28:17.000 because it's better

00:28:17.500 to have a system

00:28:18.240 that works

00:28:18.820 than to get

00:28:19.880 everything you want

00:28:20.620 every time.

00:28:22.360 So,

00:28:24.060 that 55%

00:28:25.820 is going to have

00:28:26.280 to get bigger.

00:28:27.200 So,

00:28:27.820 convince your fellow citizens,

00:28:29.460 don't convince the government

00:28:30.700 because the government

00:28:31.400 is not going to change

00:28:32.220 its mind at 55%.

00:28:33.660 China continues to be

00:28:36.760 not safe for business.

00:28:46.320 Greg Goffeld

00:28:47.180 just texted me

00:28:48.380 to say that

00:28:50.680 that wasn't his joke.

00:28:52.600 He says he's mad

00:28:53.600 he didn't come up with it.

00:28:55.920 So,

00:28:56.460 I guess Greg is watching.

00:28:57.920 Hi, Greg.

00:29:01.360 Anyway,

00:29:01.800 there's a new COVID policy

00:29:04.160 in Shenyang, China.

00:29:06.080 I learned about this

00:29:07.020 in an Ian Bremmer tweet.

00:29:09.220 By the way,

00:29:09.900 you should follow

00:29:10.600 Ian Bremmer.

00:29:12.620 You would be one of the,

00:29:14.060 I don't know,

00:29:14.900 20 people on Twitter

00:29:16.080 that say useful,

00:29:17.700 good things

00:29:18.220 that you wish you knew.

00:29:20.360 So,

00:29:21.160 follow Ian Bremmer

00:29:21.980 on Twitter.

00:29:23.540 But here's the new

00:29:24.660 China COVID policy.

00:29:27.080 All visitors

00:29:27.840 are quarantined

00:29:29.060 for 28 days

00:29:30.140 in a hotel.

00:29:30.740 So,

00:29:31.400 for 28 days

00:29:32.400 you don't have

00:29:32.900 any human contact

00:29:33.920 up close.

00:29:36.400 You get tested

00:29:37.260 seven times

00:29:38.060 during that period

00:29:38.840 and if all clear,

00:29:40.400 you have to go

00:29:41.040 self-quarantine

00:29:41.980 at home

00:29:42.400 for another month.

00:29:44.440 So,

00:29:44.680 28 days

00:29:46.040 in a hotel

00:29:46.620 quarantined

00:29:47.420 followed by

00:29:48.680 a month

00:29:49.160 quarantining

00:29:49.880 at home,

00:29:50.580 quarantining

00:29:51.160 at home.

00:29:54.200 That's 56 days

00:29:55.620 of isolation.

00:29:56.280 56 days

00:30:00.060 just to visit

00:30:01.400 China.

00:30:02.660 Now,

00:30:02.880 that's pretty

00:30:03.280 serious.

00:30:05.660 But it's also

00:30:06.620 one more reason

00:30:07.540 not to go to China

00:30:08.440 in case you needed any.

00:30:09.880 So,

00:30:10.160 anybody who's still

00:30:10.860 doing business

00:30:11.500 in China,

00:30:12.380 unless you have

00:30:13.020 existing business

00:30:13.920 there,

00:30:14.220 which I would

00:30:14.600 understand,

00:30:17.220 you need to

00:30:17.860 think about

00:30:20.340 getting out of

00:30:20.800 China.

00:30:22.000 Well,

00:30:22.300 Michael Malice,

00:30:23.060 if you don't

00:30:23.520 follow him,

00:30:24.080 you should.

00:30:24.520 He's another

00:30:24.900 great follow

00:30:25.600 on Twitter.

00:30:27.220 Had this

00:30:27.920 great tweet today.

00:30:28.860 He said,

00:30:29.140 blue-pilled people

00:30:30.000 use language

00:30:31.620 as a way

00:30:32.120 to avoid

00:30:32.660 thought.

00:30:34.500 Their cognitive

00:30:35.360 process is

00:30:36.060 entirely different.

00:30:37.000 They use

00:30:37.260 phrases delivered

00:30:38.060 to them by

00:30:38.600 the corporate

00:30:39.020 press to

00:30:40.100 close off

00:30:40.680 thoughts that

00:30:41.280 were a

00:30:42.880 critical mind

00:30:43.600 would otherwise

00:30:44.140 go,

00:30:44.960 akin to

00:30:45.500 sewing up

00:30:46.020 a hole

00:30:46.360 in clothes.

00:30:47.940 And I do

00:30:48.420 believe that's

00:30:49.280 pretty much

00:30:50.080 there.

00:30:51.000 Now,

00:30:51.280 I call that

00:30:51.780 word thinking,

00:30:53.580 where you

00:30:53.980 use words

00:30:54.720 that sound

00:30:55.860 right to

00:30:56.740 replace any

00:30:57.400 critical thinking.

00:30:58.860 But yeah,

00:30:59.240 they do use

00:30:59.860 language as

00:31:01.060 a replacement

00:31:01.620 for critical

00:31:02.840 thought.

00:31:03.360 That's actually

00:31:03.940 true.

00:31:05.400 It's a good

00:31:05.900 observation.

00:31:09.420 All right,

00:31:09.920 so let's talk

00:31:10.380 about Kyle

00:31:10.820 Rittenhouse.

00:31:13.020 This trial

00:31:14.400 is really

00:31:14.800 interesting,

00:31:16.020 and not for

00:31:16.740 good reasons.

00:31:17.800 It's interesting

00:31:18.420 in all the

00:31:18.920 wrong ways.

00:31:19.580 For example,

00:31:21.280 today there's

00:31:21.980 a hashtag

00:31:22.560 trending,

00:31:23.340 Kyle Rittenhouse

00:31:24.080 is guilty.

00:31:26.540 What?

00:31:27.900 Kyle Rittenhouse

00:31:28.900 is guilty?

00:31:30.240 The entire

00:31:31.240 trial is about

00:31:32.260 having no

00:31:32.900 evidence.

00:31:34.500 No evidence

00:31:35.520 of any crime

00:31:36.260 has been

00:31:36.720 even presented.

00:31:39.220 No evidence

00:31:39.840 that looks like

00:31:40.740 any evidence,

00:31:41.580 really.

00:31:41.760 So there

00:31:44.040 are people

00:31:44.440 who could

00:31:45.300 watch this

00:31:45.880 and still

00:31:46.240 think he's

00:31:46.660 guilty?

00:31:47.800 Of what?

00:31:49.220 Bad judgment?

00:31:50.480 That's not a

00:31:50.980 crime.

00:31:52.580 So I would

00:31:54.120 like to say

00:31:54.520 this, number

00:31:55.040 one.

00:31:55.980 This is

00:31:56.660 something that

00:31:57.440 should not

00:31:58.120 have retreated

00:31:59.900 to political

00:32:01.360 sides.

00:32:02.460 It shouldn't

00:32:02.980 have, but of

00:32:03.560 course everything

00:32:04.040 does.

00:32:04.920 However, I

00:32:05.900 would like to

00:32:06.480 propose this

00:32:08.260 thought experiment.

00:32:09.240 If Kyle

00:32:11.000 Rittenhouse

00:32:11.500 had been,

00:32:12.040 let's say,

00:32:12.640 identified as

00:32:14.280 a typical

00:32:14.960 leftist, who

00:32:16.640 had also used

00:32:17.480 a gun to

00:32:17.880 kill somebody

00:32:18.380 in what

00:32:19.140 looked like

00:32:19.560 self-defense,

00:32:20.980 would the

00:32:21.600 right be

00:32:23.460 just taking

00:32:24.020 sides and

00:32:24.620 saying, oh,

00:32:25.040 it's a

00:32:25.280 leftist so

00:32:25.840 they're guilty?

00:32:27.560 Or would

00:32:28.220 the people on

00:32:28.720 the right,

00:32:29.140 the pro-gun

00:32:29.660 people, say,

00:32:31.080 no, it

00:32:31.380 doesn't matter

00:32:31.720 who does

00:32:32.100 it.

00:32:33.640 It's

00:32:33.860 self-defense.

00:32:35.500 Because I

00:32:36.100 think the

00:32:36.540 right would

00:32:38.300 have stuck

00:32:38.700 with principle.

00:32:40.980 Am I wrong

00:32:41.700 about that?

00:32:42.860 Now, I do

00:32:43.860 think the

00:32:44.260 left and the

00:32:44.700 right are

00:32:45.040 equally guilty

00:32:45.840 of just

00:32:46.280 going to

00:32:47.200 their side

00:32:47.760 and saying,

00:32:48.360 oh, my

00:32:48.680 side is

00:32:49.120 this side,

00:32:49.600 your side

00:32:49.900 is that

00:32:50.180 side, and

00:32:51.020 just ignoring

00:32:51.620 the facts

00:32:52.140 otherwise.

00:32:53.080 What team

00:32:53.600 are you on?

00:32:54.540 But I

00:32:54.920 feel like

00:32:55.560 the right

00:32:57.360 would not

00:32:58.620 have teamed

00:32:59.420 on this

00:32:59.900 one.

00:33:00.420 Because they're

00:33:00.900 sort of

00:33:01.240 team gun,

00:33:01.880 aren't they?

00:33:03.000 I think the

00:33:03.500 right is more

00:33:04.000 team gun

00:33:04.620 than they are

00:33:05.260 team Republican.

00:33:06.700 Am I right?

00:33:07.180 And the

00:33:08.940 gun

00:33:09.360 information

00:33:10.040 about this,

00:33:10.700 just like

00:33:11.080 the Alec

00:33:11.740 Baldwin

00:33:12.020 story,

00:33:13.860 gun stuff

00:33:15.920 is absolute.

00:33:18.900 And it

00:33:19.580 should be.

00:33:20.800 And I've

00:33:21.280 had this

00:33:21.600 conversation

00:33:22.140 with at

00:33:24.240 least one

00:33:24.660 person about

00:33:25.340 the Alec

00:33:25.720 Baldwin

00:33:25.980 thing, and

00:33:26.760 I think it

00:33:27.080 applies here.

00:33:28.580 Gun

00:33:28.980 mentality

00:33:29.620 runs as

00:33:31.240 an absolute

00:33:31.840 because it

00:33:32.300 has to be.

00:33:34.460 Self-defense

00:33:35.260 is an absolute

00:33:36.280 defense.

00:33:37.180 It's not

00:33:37.760 a partial

00:33:38.160 defense.

00:33:39.380 It's an

00:33:39.740 absolute

00:33:40.220 defense.

00:33:41.480 Gun

00:33:41.880 responsibility

00:33:42.700 is an

00:33:44.540 absolute.

00:33:45.780 If the

00:33:46.160 gun's in

00:33:46.520 your hand,

00:33:47.940 you're

00:33:48.540 responsible.

00:33:50.640 I don't

00:33:51.160 care who

00:33:51.680 you delegated

00:33:52.420 it to.

00:33:53.620 The fact

00:33:54.260 that you

00:33:54.500 delegated

00:33:55.020 that

00:33:55.220 responsibility

00:33:55.760 to your

00:33:56.420 armorer

00:33:57.180 is irrelevant

00:33:58.780 if it's

00:33:59.880 in your

00:34:00.140 hand.

00:34:01.080 So that's

00:34:01.540 the way

00:34:02.600 the gun

00:34:03.140 people think

00:34:03.720 of absolutes.

00:34:04.940 That's my

00:34:05.500 impression,

00:34:05.880 anyway.

00:34:06.200 And again,

00:34:06.500 this is

00:34:06.740 just purely

00:34:07.160 subjective.

00:34:08.300 But I

00:34:08.760 feel like

00:34:09.340 the right

00:34:10.220 would not

00:34:10.660 have taken

00:34:11.020 teams on

00:34:11.660 this except

00:34:12.260 team gun

00:34:13.140 to support

00:34:15.500 the absolute

00:34:16.180 nature of

00:34:17.220 some of

00:34:17.500 these things.

00:34:19.080 All right.

00:34:19.440 I asked

00:34:23.660 a question

00:34:25.180 that was

00:34:25.480 just a

00:34:25.820 thought

00:34:26.060 experiment.

00:34:26.760 Obviously,

00:34:27.360 this can't

00:34:28.060 and shouldn't

00:34:28.500 happen.

00:34:29.440 But if

00:34:29.800 somehow

00:34:30.200 Kyle Rittenhouse

00:34:31.880 got a gun

00:34:32.620 on the

00:34:32.880 witness stand

00:34:33.560 and shot

00:34:35.940 the prosecutor

00:34:36.700 in the middle

00:34:37.260 of the trial,

00:34:38.060 would it be

00:34:38.540 self-defense?

00:34:40.640 Would it be

00:34:41.120 self-defense?

00:34:42.900 Now,

00:34:43.120 what's your

00:34:43.420 first thought?

00:34:43.940 Well,

00:34:44.160 no.

00:34:45.160 You can't

00:34:45.620 shoot somebody

00:34:46.260 during a trial.

00:34:47.040 And certainly

00:34:48.900 if this

00:34:49.460 prosecutor

00:34:50.040 were a

00:34:50.920 normal

00:34:51.260 prosecutor

00:34:51.900 making a

00:34:52.560 case

00:34:52.920 with no

00:34:54.320 lies

00:34:54.740 and no

00:34:55.080 exaggerations,

00:34:55.840 just making

00:34:56.300 their case,

00:34:57.180 I would say,

00:34:57.680 no,

00:34:58.320 there's nothing

00:34:59.140 going on here

00:34:59.800 except a

00:35:00.280 fair trial.

00:35:01.820 Of course,

00:35:02.400 it's an

00:35:02.720 adversarial

00:35:03.260 process.

00:35:03.940 You're not

00:35:04.200 going to

00:35:04.380 like what

00:35:04.700 the other

00:35:04.960 team says.

00:35:05.900 But that's

00:35:06.420 not a

00:35:08.000 reason for

00:35:08.480 killing

00:35:08.720 somebody.

00:35:09.880 That's the

00:35:10.360 system working

00:35:11.000 just the way

00:35:11.440 the system

00:35:11.880 is supposed

00:35:12.260 to work.

00:35:13.420 But is

00:35:13.800 that what's

00:35:14.140 happening here?

00:35:15.760 It's not

00:35:16.380 what I'm

00:35:16.680 seeing.

00:35:17.040 What I'm

00:35:18.240 seeing is

00:35:19.100 somebody

00:35:19.640 murdering

00:35:20.520 an innocent

00:35:21.520 man in

00:35:22.060 front of

00:35:22.340 us.

00:35:23.180 That's

00:35:23.440 what I

00:35:23.720 see.

00:35:25.040 Because if

00:35:25.820 you don't

00:35:26.180 think that

00:35:27.000 what is

00:35:27.500 happening to

00:35:28.200 Kyle Rittenhouse's

00:35:29.400 brain is

00:35:30.880 not grievous

00:35:31.740 harm,

00:35:33.520 well,

00:35:33.800 then you

00:35:34.120 don't know

00:35:34.440 anything about

00:35:34.960 anything.

00:35:36.880 Kyle Rittenhouse

00:35:37.560 is suffering

00:35:38.320 at the

00:35:38.940 moment grievous

00:35:39.940 physical harm.

00:35:41.860 Now,

00:35:42.040 the physical

00:35:42.560 part is the

00:35:43.420 physical part

00:35:44.100 of his

00:35:44.360 brain.

00:35:44.740 But his

00:35:45.700 brain is

00:35:46.400 being

00:35:46.640 permanently

00:35:47.280 reprogrammed

00:35:48.460 into a

00:35:48.840 negativity,

00:35:49.700 into PTSD,

00:35:51.100 probably already

00:35:51.620 has it.

00:35:52.520 But what

00:35:52.980 is happening

00:35:53.660 now is the

00:35:54.400 height of

00:35:56.080 criminal

00:35:56.520 behavior.

00:35:57.920 There is

00:35:58.240 somebody being

00:35:58.920 grievously harmed

00:35:59.940 right in front

00:36:00.480 of us without

00:36:01.220 reason, without

00:36:02.100 cause.

00:36:03.040 Because if he

00:36:03.820 had evidence

00:36:04.340 that Kyle

00:36:05.040 Rittenhouse was

00:36:05.880 a criminal,

00:36:07.020 then I'd say,

00:36:07.680 well, you've

00:36:08.360 got to do

00:36:08.620 what you've

00:36:08.860 got to do.

00:36:09.300 But since

00:36:11.020 the evidence

00:36:11.540 clearly shows

00:36:12.420 he's not,

00:36:13.920 the continued

00:36:14.840 torturing and

00:36:16.000 dismantled of

00:36:16.880 this young

00:36:17.300 man's brain,

00:36:18.600 right in

00:36:19.180 fucking front

00:36:19.900 of us,

00:36:21.120 looks like a

00:36:21.940 crime to

00:36:22.460 me.

00:36:23.860 And while I

00:36:24.900 don't know how

00:36:25.440 I would rule

00:36:26.020 if I were on

00:36:26.560 the jury,

00:36:27.720 I'm pretty sure

00:36:28.500 I wouldn't

00:36:29.020 care if he

00:36:29.780 stood up and

00:36:30.560 shot the

00:36:31.240 prosecutor.

00:36:31.960 Again, I'm

00:36:32.520 not in favor

00:36:32.920 of violence.

00:36:34.180 This is just a

00:36:35.260 thought experiment.

00:36:37.060 Nobody should

00:36:37.560 shoot anybody.

00:36:38.200 Don't do any

00:36:39.220 violets.

00:36:40.320 But in terms

00:36:42.120 of would it

00:36:42.740 be justifiable,

00:36:43.880 I think yes.

00:36:46.260 It would be

00:36:46.980 very unwise,

00:36:48.340 and I wouldn't

00:36:48.720 want to see

00:36:49.080 any kind of

00:36:49.500 trend like

00:36:49.940 that, but

00:36:51.040 would it be

00:36:51.520 justifiable to

00:36:53.000 shoot this

00:36:53.560 specific prosecutor

00:36:55.000 in this

00:36:55.920 specific situation?

00:36:57.500 And I say

00:36:57.900 yes.

00:36:59.080 I say yes.

00:37:00.220 I think that

00:37:00.840 what he's doing,

00:37:02.000 the prosecutor,

00:37:02.940 rises to a

00:37:03.780 level of

00:37:04.440 grievous bodily

00:37:05.460 harm, and

00:37:06.720 that it's

00:37:08.160 witnessable.

00:37:09.600 We're watching

00:37:10.340 it right now,

00:37:11.540 right in front

00:37:11.940 of us.

00:37:16.280 Jeanette says

00:37:17.120 you're losing

00:37:17.940 me here.

00:37:18.320 Well, remember,

00:37:18.780 it's a thought

00:37:19.200 experiment, so

00:37:19.960 nobody's arguing

00:37:21.120 he should actually

00:37:21.760 do it.

00:37:22.640 Okay.

00:37:24.000 Joe Biden,

00:37:24.900 I guess during

00:37:26.020 the campaign,

00:37:26.800 called Kyle

00:37:28.400 Rittenhouse a

00:37:29.520 white supremacist,

00:37:30.720 which is backed

00:37:31.720 by zero evidence.

00:37:33.180 There is zero

00:37:33.800 evidence of

00:37:34.340 anything like

00:37:35.000 that.

00:37:35.220 Can Joe

00:37:36.400 Biden be

00:37:36.980 sued for

00:37:38.480 calling him

00:37:39.280 a white

00:37:39.880 supremacist?

00:37:40.600 I don't know

00:37:41.000 the answer,

00:37:41.700 probably not

00:37:42.780 as a sitting

00:37:43.800 president, but

00:37:44.880 can he be

00:37:45.320 sued after

00:37:45.800 he's out of

00:37:46.180 office?

00:37:47.860 I would say

00:37:48.660 yes, right?

00:37:50.600 To me, that

00:37:51.460 feels like a

00:37:52.400 slam dunk.

00:37:53.800 How in the

00:37:54.220 world could

00:37:54.640 you lose

00:37:55.020 that case?

00:37:56.260 Because the

00:37:56.780 evidence they

00:37:57.340 said it is

00:37:57.880 clear, the

00:37:59.060 evidence that

00:37:59.680 there was no

00:38:00.080 evidence for it

00:38:00.780 is clear, right?

00:38:04.520 And he did

00:38:06.040 it for

00:38:06.400 malicious

00:38:07.320 purposes, which

00:38:08.320 was to win

00:38:08.780 an election by

00:38:10.340 maligning some

00:38:11.420 innocent guy.

00:38:13.320 So, but also

00:38:14.240 I wonder if

00:38:14.780 it's impeachable.

00:38:17.060 I'd ask him

00:38:17.940 the same

00:38:18.300 question again

00:38:18.980 and see if

00:38:19.420 he'd deny it.

00:38:20.680 Somebody needs

00:38:21.340 to ask Joe

00:38:22.080 Biden if he

00:38:23.780 disavows his

00:38:25.880 prior comment

00:38:26.640 about Kyle

00:38:27.280 being a white

00:38:27.860 supremacist.

00:38:28.600 because if

00:38:31.260 he doesn't

00:38:31.860 disavow it,

00:38:33.560 I think that's

00:38:34.520 impeachable.

00:38:36.660 Am I wrong?

00:38:38.160 I mean, I

00:38:38.500 don't know if

00:38:38.900 it meets these

00:38:39.800 standards specifically

00:38:41.240 of impeachability,

00:38:42.420 but if the

00:38:43.500 president of the

00:38:44.480 United States

00:38:44.980 targets a

00:38:45.980 citizen who

00:38:46.780 is objectively

00:38:47.680 and obviously

00:38:48.520 innocent of

00:38:49.840 the charges,

00:38:50.960 I feel like

00:38:51.940 some kind of

00:38:53.880 crime is involved,

00:38:55.120 if not a

00:38:55.640 crime, at

00:38:56.140 least impeachability.

00:38:57.580 So if

00:38:57.840 somebody needs

00:38:58.280 to ask him

00:38:58.720 that, Peter

00:39:00.180 Ducey, get

00:39:00.980 on that.

00:39:05.640 All right, I

00:39:06.540 still say that

00:39:07.500 the crime of

00:39:08.200 the century is

00:39:09.880 one that nobody's

00:39:10.760 calling a crime

00:39:11.440 except me, as

00:39:12.140 far as I know,

00:39:13.260 is whatever

00:39:13.820 happened with

00:39:14.540 the rapid test

00:39:15.560 strip approvals

00:39:16.600 in this country.

00:39:18.000 Now, before I

00:39:18.520 talk about rapid

00:39:19.360 test strip

00:39:20.880 approval, my

00:39:22.060 understanding is

00:39:22.780 there are a lot

00:39:23.180 of people who

00:39:23.600 don't understand

00:39:24.400 why rapid

00:39:25.900 tests, which

00:39:26.580 are somewhat

00:39:27.360 less sensitive

00:39:28.920 than the

00:39:29.440 normal tests,

00:39:30.320 why we would

00:39:30.980 have less

00:39:31.420 sensitive tests

00:39:32.080 at all?

00:39:33.500 Because you

00:39:34.180 get false

00:39:35.000 readings now

00:39:35.980 and then.

00:39:36.620 And the answer

00:39:37.060 is that they

00:39:37.600 would catch

00:39:38.100 pretty much

00:39:39.220 all of the

00:39:40.180 super spreaders

00:39:41.060 if they were

00:39:42.420 people who

00:39:42.760 didn't have

00:39:43.080 symptoms.

00:39:43.680 If you have

00:39:44.140 symptoms, you

00:39:44.700 go get the

00:39:45.180 good test.

00:39:46.800 Everybody

00:39:47.240 understands that?

00:39:48.140 If you have

00:39:49.120 COVID symptoms, you

00:39:50.880 don't use the

00:39:51.460 rapid test.

00:39:52.700 You immediately

00:39:53.340 get the real

00:39:53.940 test.

00:39:55.800 If you have

00:39:57.240 COVID symptoms

00:39:57.980 and you only

00:39:58.820 use the rapid

00:39:59.460 test, well, then

00:40:00.820 you're using the

00:40:01.480 wrong tool, and

00:40:02.820 that would be

00:40:03.300 bad.

00:40:04.420 I'm sure people

00:40:05.220 will do it, but

00:40:06.360 that would be the

00:40:06.880 wrong tool, and

00:40:07.780 that would be

00:40:08.160 bad.

00:40:09.200 But anyway, the

00:40:09.960 fact that only one

00:40:10.900 company got

00:40:11.480 approved quickly, I

00:40:12.500 think it was

00:40:12.800 Abbott, and there

00:40:14.680 were other

00:40:15.040 companies begging to

00:40:16.340 get approved that

00:40:17.140 could have done

00:40:17.640 these things

00:40:18.100 quickly, and

00:40:18.720 they didn't, makes

00:40:20.060 me believe that

00:40:20.860 the only explanation

00:40:21.680 for that is

00:40:22.380 massive corruption,

00:40:23.620 which could have

00:40:24.440 cost the lives of

00:40:25.340 hundreds of

00:40:25.840 thousands of

00:40:26.460 Americans so

00:40:28.220 far.

00:40:30.780 Now, I don't

00:40:32.320 know who it is

00:40:33.220 or what or why

00:40:35.260 any of this

00:40:35.660 happened, but I

00:40:36.660 do not believe

00:40:37.620 that incompetence

00:40:41.540 is why we were

00:40:42.920 delayed.

00:40:44.320 Do you?

00:40:45.600 How many of you

00:40:46.460 think that the

00:40:47.120 correct explanation

00:40:48.680 of why we were

00:40:49.500 delayed so much

00:40:50.380 and other

00:40:50.760 countries weren't

00:40:51.600 was incompetence?

00:40:53.560 Because remember,

00:40:54.200 the things that we

00:40:54.880 didn't approve were

00:40:55.980 approved by other

00:40:57.220 big countries that

00:40:58.100 are also smart.

00:40:59.600 Why would that

00:41:00.320 be?

00:41:01.920 Can you think of

00:41:02.800 any reason other

00:41:03.580 than corruption?

00:41:06.440 Because I can't.

00:41:07.800 I can't think of

00:41:08.680 any reason other

00:41:09.340 than corruption.

00:41:10.760 So my assumption

00:41:12.320 is that there's

00:41:13.060 some corruption

00:41:13.600 here hiding in

00:41:14.480 plain sight that

00:41:16.120 that is just

00:41:17.280 insane.

00:41:18.560 But let me

00:41:19.320 complicate the

00:41:20.380 story a little

00:41:20.920 bit.

00:41:21.920 As Adam

00:41:22.980 Dopamine tweeted

00:41:24.080 today, not his

00:41:25.820 real name as far

00:41:26.560 as I know,

00:41:27.660 that the FDA is

00:41:30.160 going to meet on

00:41:30.760 November 30th to

00:41:31.920 discuss approving

00:41:33.700 therapeutics.

00:41:34.860 You know, the

00:41:35.180 pills, I think

00:41:35.860 Pfizer has some

00:41:36.620 therapeutic pills.

00:41:38.000 And right now, I

00:41:38.640 guess Burroughs

00:41:41.440 Welcome has

00:41:42.340 something, and

00:41:42.960 Regeneron, now

00:41:44.420 you can get a

00:41:45.000 shot of Regeneron

00:41:45.960 that acts as a

00:41:47.560 therapeutic, or

00:41:48.720 actually a

00:41:49.140 prophylactic, and

00:41:50.540 therapeutic, I

00:41:51.160 think.

00:41:52.780 So they're going to

00:41:53.780 meet on November

00:41:54.520 30th.

00:41:55.160 What's your first

00:41:55.860 reaction to that?

00:41:57.200 They're going to

00:41:57.620 meet at November

00:41:58.520 30th to discuss it.

00:42:01.160 What's your first

00:42:02.060 reaction?

00:42:03.320 They're going to

00:42:03.760 meet on November

00:42:04.800 30th to discuss it.

00:42:08.360 Here's my first

00:42:09.320 reaction.

00:42:09.720 It's November

00:42:11.480 11th, and we're

00:42:14.440 in a pandemic.

00:42:16.800 Who decided to

00:42:18.040 wait all that

00:42:19.760 time to talk

00:42:20.640 about the most

00:42:21.260 important thing

00:42:21.900 that they need to

00:42:22.540 talk about?

00:42:24.020 Is there something

00:42:24.900 more important than

00:42:25.660 this?

00:42:26.400 What were they

00:42:27.020 doing that was

00:42:27.560 more important than

00:42:28.180 this?

00:42:28.800 Thanksgiving?

00:42:30.460 Vacation?

00:42:31.660 Family leave?

00:42:34.000 This looks like

00:42:34.940 corruption, too.

00:42:36.740 Because the faster

00:42:37.760 you get therapeutics,

00:42:38.960 the faster the

00:42:40.620 demand for

00:42:41.320 vaccinations will

00:42:42.740 go down.

00:42:44.720 Because a lot of

00:42:45.380 people are going to

00:42:45.960 go all Joe Rogan

00:42:46.980 on this, right?

00:42:48.340 They're going to

00:42:48.800 say, I don't need

00:42:51.300 the vaccination

00:42:51.880 because these

00:42:52.740 therapeutics look

00:42:53.500 good.

00:42:55.140 So I would say

00:42:56.320 that this delay

00:42:57.220 might be

00:42:58.940 scheduling,

00:43:00.720 it might be

00:43:01.520 incompetence,

00:43:02.880 but in the

00:43:03.820 context of what

00:43:04.960 seems to be

00:43:05.680 more obvious,

00:43:07.620 probably financially,

00:43:08.960 related crimes

00:43:10.740 or corruption,

00:43:12.440 this delay

00:43:13.560 itself looks like

00:43:14.420 corruption to me.

00:43:16.960 Doesn't it look

00:43:17.620 like corruption to

00:43:18.360 you?

00:43:19.260 Because I don't

00:43:20.120 really understand

00:43:21.160 why you can't do

00:43:22.360 this tomorrow.

00:43:24.220 Do you?

00:43:26.700 Is there,

00:43:27.600 my understanding

00:43:28.840 is that Pfizer

00:43:29.440 has the data.

00:43:30.720 If they're waiting

00:43:31.280 for data,

00:43:31.840 then yes,

00:43:32.340 of course.

00:43:33.200 But the data

00:43:34.160 is already out,

00:43:35.400 right?

00:43:35.740 And how long

00:43:38.540 does it take

00:43:38.980 to look at the

00:43:39.520 data?

00:43:40.700 I guess other

00:43:41.400 people dig in

00:43:42.220 and ask a lot

00:43:42.880 of questions

00:43:43.320 and stuff.

00:43:44.460 But I suppose

00:43:45.600 that process

00:43:46.500 might be happening

00:43:47.340 between now

00:43:47.980 and the 30th,

00:43:48.720 and it's just

00:43:49.180 part of the

00:43:49.540 process.

00:43:50.680 But somehow,

00:43:52.040 in the context

00:43:53.320 of not trusting

00:43:54.160 them in general,

00:43:55.720 I'm not sure

00:43:56.360 I'm going to

00:43:56.740 automatically give

00:43:57.520 them the benefit

00:43:58.080 of the doubt

00:43:58.580 on this.

00:43:58.920 anyway,

00:44:02.700 so that's

00:44:03.120 what's going

00:44:03.440 on.

00:44:05.340 And I'll

00:44:07.080 just put this

00:44:07.660 out there.

00:44:09.620 If Trump

00:44:10.620 were president,

00:44:12.180 do you think

00:44:12.960 the FDA

00:44:13.480 would wait

00:44:13.940 until November

00:44:14.520 30th?

00:44:15.900 Or would he

00:44:16.640 be kicking

00:44:17.140 their ass

00:44:17.780 to do it

00:44:18.920 faster,

00:44:19.360 if that's

00:44:19.780 possible?

00:44:20.340 Now,

00:44:20.620 again,

00:44:20.900 we don't

00:44:21.260 have enough

00:44:21.620 information,

00:44:22.680 so it could

00:44:23.160 be that a

00:44:24.520 bunch of

00:44:24.900 FDA analysts

00:44:25.840 need to study

00:44:26.640 it,

00:44:26.920 and it just

00:44:27.240 takes that

00:44:27.620 long,

00:44:28.260 and blah,

00:44:28.600 blah,

00:44:28.640 blah.

00:44:28.920 But I

00:44:29.300 have a

00:44:29.560 real doubt

00:44:31.360 that it

00:44:32.440 takes that

00:44:32.860 long to

00:44:33.280 study it.

00:44:34.340 Because the

00:44:34.860 only data

00:44:35.320 they have

00:44:35.740 is going

00:44:36.020 to come

00:44:36.240 from Pfizer,

00:44:37.240 right?

00:44:38.240 And Pfizer's

00:44:38.960 been all

00:44:39.320 over it.

00:44:40.540 It shouldn't

00:44:41.100 take that

00:44:41.580 long for

00:44:42.280 somebody who

00:44:42.900 at least

00:44:43.320 understands

00:44:43.840 how to

00:44:44.140 look at

00:44:44.380 the numbers

00:44:44.800 to know

00:44:45.700 if this

00:44:46.720 looks legit

00:44:47.320 or not.

00:44:51.260 Okay.

00:44:53.420 So I

00:44:54.540 think Trump

00:44:54.960 would have

00:44:55.280 made that

00:44:55.660 better,

00:44:56.140 and if not,

00:44:57.200 we can imagine

00:44:57.800 that he would

00:44:58.300 have.

00:44:58.500 And so

00:44:59.340 I've asked

00:45:00.100 this provocative

00:45:00.780 question.

00:45:02.260 If Trump's

00:45:03.300 election strategy,

00:45:05.500 now we don't

00:45:06.060 know for sure

00:45:06.740 he's running,

00:45:07.360 but I think

00:45:07.740 he is,

00:45:08.560 if his election

00:45:09.880 strategy is just

00:45:11.260 to stay chill

00:45:12.040 for a while,

00:45:13.360 and wait for

00:45:13.960 the public to

00:45:14.580 beg him to

00:45:15.280 come back,

00:45:16.840 it's working.

00:45:19.580 If Trump's

00:45:21.220 strategy is

00:45:22.260 to just

00:45:22.700 stay chill,

00:45:23.860 don't make

00:45:26.280 a new

00:45:26.720 provocation.

00:45:27.540 He responds

00:45:29.140 to everything

00:45:29.580 in the news

00:45:30.120 provocatively,

00:45:31.200 but that's

00:45:31.700 okay,

00:45:32.400 because that's

00:45:32.760 just in the

00:45:33.260 news.

00:45:34.320 But don't

00:45:35.420 come up with

00:45:35.980 something that's

00:45:36.540 brand new.

00:45:39.820 Don't come up

00:45:40.620 with something

00:45:41.040 that's brand

00:45:41.600 new,

00:45:42.440 and be

00:45:44.040 provocative

00:45:44.520 about it.

00:45:45.000 All he has

00:45:45.380 to do is

00:45:45.740 hang out,

00:45:46.320 because the

00:45:48.300 Democrats are

00:45:49.600 doing such a

00:45:50.200 bad job,

00:45:51.140 people are

00:45:51.540 going to beg

00:45:52.080 for him to

00:45:52.520 come back,

00:45:52.940 just to

00:45:53.280 fire people.

00:45:54.600 Just to

00:45:55.100 fire people.

00:45:56.940 Because at

00:45:57.500 least we

00:45:58.360 know Trump

00:45:59.200 is good at

00:45:59.760 that.

00:46:00.460 Now,

00:46:00.640 Trump was

00:46:01.000 asked on

00:46:01.820 an interview

00:46:02.160 recently why

00:46:04.340 he didn't

00:46:04.760 fire Fauci,

00:46:06.380 and his

00:46:06.780 answer,

00:46:07.620 some people

00:46:08.140 questioned,

00:46:08.740 because his

00:46:09.040 answer was

00:46:09.540 that Fauci,

00:46:10.300 part of his

00:46:10.820 answer,

00:46:11.220 it wasn't

00:46:11.520 the whole

00:46:11.820 answer,

00:46:12.460 but part of

00:46:12.900 the answer

00:46:13.220 is that Fauci

00:46:13.900 had been

00:46:14.240 around a

00:46:14.760 long,

00:46:15.100 long time.

00:46:16.580 Is that a

00:46:17.320 good answer

00:46:17.860 to why

00:46:18.540 didn't you

00:46:18.860 fire him?

00:46:20.260 What do you

00:46:20.600 think of that

00:46:20.980 answer?

00:46:21.240 He's been

00:46:22.160 around a

00:46:22.700 long,

00:46:23.040 long time.

00:46:26.780 All right,

00:46:27.840 so,

00:46:28.640 you know

00:46:32.080 that's not a

00:46:32.580 good answer,

00:46:33.220 but then

00:46:34.300 there's a

00:46:34.720 mystery,

00:46:35.120 right?

00:46:36.100 You know

00:46:36.680 Trump has

00:46:37.260 no problems

00:46:38.040 firing people

00:46:38.860 in general.

00:46:39.740 I think you'd

00:46:40.260 all agree with

00:46:40.720 that.

00:46:41.100 He can fire

00:46:41.720 people.

00:46:43.160 That's one

00:46:43.780 thing his

00:46:44.220 critics would

00:46:44.840 agree with.

00:46:45.300 Yeah,

00:46:45.460 he can fire

00:46:45.940 people.

00:46:46.380 He's a

00:46:46.880 firer.

00:46:47.180 Do you

00:46:50.820 think he

00:46:51.260 just couldn't

00:46:52.240 fire Fauci?

00:46:54.120 I think he

00:46:54.940 gave us a

00:46:55.460 hint,

00:46:56.820 and here's

00:46:57.200 the hint.

00:46:59.840 Fauci had

00:47:01.140 such a

00:47:01.540 high credibility,

00:47:02.680 partly because

00:47:03.480 he'd been

00:47:03.760 around so

00:47:04.160 long,

00:47:04.760 that firing

00:47:05.260 him would

00:47:05.880 have made

00:47:06.280 Trump look

00:47:07.140 like the

00:47:07.980 guy who

00:47:08.480 doesn't

00:47:08.820 believe in

00:47:09.260 science and

00:47:10.700 believes in

00:47:11.300 hydroxychloroquine

00:47:12.520 and drinking

00:47:13.940 bleach,

00:47:14.420 according to

00:47:14.780 his critics.

00:47:15.240 So I

00:47:16.460 believe that

00:47:16.960 Trump was

00:47:17.440 actually in

00:47:18.200 a corner.

00:47:19.680 I think that

00:47:20.300 he correctly

00:47:21.060 read the

00:47:21.560 room,

00:47:22.140 which is

00:47:22.500 what he

00:47:22.740 does well,

00:47:23.220 by the way.

00:47:24.200 Trump will

00:47:24.700 never get

00:47:25.280 the credit

00:47:26.120 he deserves

00:47:26.780 for how

00:47:27.400 well he

00:47:27.800 reads a

00:47:28.280 room,

00:47:29.220 the room

00:47:29.760 being the

00:47:30.160 country in

00:47:30.600 this case.

00:47:31.280 He can

00:47:31.640 read a

00:47:31.940 room,

00:47:32.980 and I'm

00:47:33.200 not sure

00:47:33.500 everybody else

00:47:34.060 can do

00:47:34.340 that.

00:47:34.520 He just

00:47:34.800 has that

00:47:35.220 skill.

00:47:36.000 He can

00:47:36.360 read the

00:47:36.700 room in

00:47:37.080 a small

00:47:37.420 room,

00:47:37.740 and he

00:47:37.900 can read

00:47:38.180 the room

00:47:38.440 in the

00:47:38.640 country.

00:47:39.240 And I

00:47:39.440 think he

00:47:39.680 read the

00:47:40.020 room,

00:47:40.320 and he

00:47:40.460 said,

00:47:40.860 if I

00:47:41.040 fire the

00:47:41.520 guy that

00:47:43.320 60% of

00:47:44.180 the country

00:47:44.560 thinks is

00:47:45.100 the smartest

00:47:45.560 guy in

00:47:45.960 the game,

00:47:47.600 I'm going

00:47:48.180 to lose

00:47:48.440 credibility.

00:47:50.280 And I

00:47:51.340 don't think

00:47:51.800 it was a

00:47:52.220 bad thing

00:47:52.760 that he

00:47:53.280 had a

00:47:53.620 good cop,

00:47:54.140 bad cop

00:47:54.680 situation

00:47:55.200 going on.

00:47:56.460 I don't

00:47:57.260 know that

00:47:57.680 I hated

00:47:58.060 that.

00:47:59.200 Did you?

00:48:00.440 When you

00:48:01.340 see the

00:48:01.740 little divisions

00:48:03.020 maybe between

00:48:04.000 Fauci and

00:48:04.960 Trump,

00:48:05.460 at least in

00:48:05.980 terms of

00:48:06.480 how they

00:48:07.280 messaged and

00:48:08.000 stuff like

00:48:08.380 that,

00:48:08.880 I felt that

00:48:09.760 was a

00:48:10.060 productive

00:48:10.560 tension.

00:48:11.660 I wanted

00:48:12.360 to see

00:48:12.780 that.

00:48:13.800 I wanted

00:48:14.080 to see

00:48:14.320 it play

00:48:14.620 out.

00:48:15.440 So I

00:48:16.080 think that

00:48:16.460 his instinct

00:48:17.220 to not

00:48:17.980 fire Fauci

00:48:18.840 was actually

00:48:20.240 well thought

00:48:20.920 out.

00:48:21.760 It's hard

00:48:22.060 to know,

00:48:22.660 maybe it

00:48:23.260 would have

00:48:23.460 worked out

00:48:23.800 better if

00:48:24.160 he had.

00:48:24.620 We can

00:48:24.940 never know

00:48:25.280 the future.

00:48:26.360 But I

00:48:26.740 feel like

00:48:27.300 my instinct

00:48:29.120 would have

00:48:29.460 gone the

00:48:29.820 same way.

00:48:31.020 I feel like

00:48:31.580 he needed

00:48:31.920 to keep

00:48:32.340 him around,

00:48:32.940 even to

00:48:33.800 keep him

00:48:34.120 around as

00:48:34.620 a punching

00:48:35.080 bag,

00:48:36.240 which is

00:48:36.760 what happened

00:48:37.260 basically.

00:48:38.360 So even

00:48:38.720 keeping him

00:48:39.240 around as

00:48:39.580 a scapegoat,

00:48:40.540 it was

00:48:42.400 probably a

00:48:42.780 good play.

00:48:43.720 Probably a

00:48:44.140 good play.

00:48:45.820 And I

00:48:46.660 think that

00:48:47.180 Trump hinted

00:48:48.340 at that by

00:48:49.540 giving the

00:48:50.060 answer non-answer,

00:48:51.380 which is he's

00:48:51.900 been around a

00:48:52.480 long time.

00:48:53.320 That's sort

00:48:54.000 of an indirect

00:48:54.640 way to say he

00:48:55.440 has a lot of

00:48:55.960 credibility,

00:48:57.100 so firing him

00:48:57.920 would be

00:48:58.320 obviously some

00:49:00.000 blowback.

00:49:00.480 So Biden

00:49:03.860 is a failure

00:49:04.420 for not

00:49:04.860 firing him?

00:49:06.080 I don't

00:49:06.720 know.

00:49:08.020 You know,

00:49:08.740 I have a

00:49:09.320 different opinion

00:49:09.840 about Fauci

00:49:12.060 and the

00:49:12.660 experts than

00:49:13.560 most of you

00:49:14.100 do.

00:49:15.020 And part

00:49:15.560 of it is

00:49:15.980 that being

00:49:18.760 wrong is

00:49:19.500 sort of built

00:49:19.980 into their

00:49:20.440 job.

00:49:22.540 Right?

00:49:23.060 We ask

00:49:24.640 these experts

00:49:25.320 to give us

00:49:26.460 a confident

00:49:27.700 opinion about

00:49:29.020 stuff in a

00:49:30.500 situation that's

00:49:31.220 never happened

00:49:31.780 before.

00:49:32.920 In other

00:49:33.540 words, this

00:49:34.040 specific kind

00:49:35.180 of pandemic

00:49:35.620 has never

00:49:36.120 happened before.

00:49:37.300 So anything

00:49:38.000 that Fauci said

00:49:38.840 was true or

00:49:39.860 probably true or

00:49:40.960 a prediction,

00:49:42.820 I don't know,

00:49:43.360 if he gets that

00:49:43.880 stuff wrong, I

00:49:44.700 think that's just

00:49:45.220 the situation.

00:49:46.000 I think that's

00:49:47.960 the situation

00:49:48.580 more than

00:49:49.120 Fauci.

00:49:51.880 I think he's

00:49:52.780 in a situation

00:49:53.420 where being

00:49:53.860 wrong is just

00:49:54.540 sort of built

00:49:55.420 in.

00:49:57.820 On YouTube

00:49:58.640 somebody says

00:50:00.160 Scott loves

00:50:00.780 the pandemic.

00:50:02.380 So I saw

00:50:02.840 Scott Gottlieb

00:50:04.040 say that he

00:50:06.000 thought the

00:50:06.340 pandemic would

00:50:07.340 be essentially

00:50:08.120 over in

00:50:08.840 January.

00:50:10.540 What do you

00:50:10.920 think?

00:50:11.940 Do you think

00:50:12.580 the pandemic

00:50:13.300 will be not

00:50:14.540 over but it

00:50:15.300 will be taking

00:50:15.980 out a pandemic

00:50:16.780 and into

00:50:17.380 endemic territory

00:50:18.580 just we've

00:50:19.180 got to live

00:50:19.500 with it?

00:50:20.280 In January?

00:50:21.540 Does that seem

00:50:22.180 too soon to

00:50:24.320 you?

00:50:25.300 I feel like

00:50:25.920 that's optimistic

00:50:26.680 but it depends

00:50:27.400 on the

00:50:27.760 therapeutics.

00:50:29.280 If in June

00:50:30.500 we can take

00:50:31.160 a pill that

00:50:32.580 reduces our

00:50:33.440 odds of

00:50:34.380 something by

00:50:34.880 80% or

00:50:35.900 something,

00:50:36.880 yeah, I

00:50:37.620 think we're

00:50:38.100 endemic at

00:50:38.720 that point.

00:50:42.000 Well, those

00:50:42.740 of you who

00:50:43.140 say COVID

00:50:43.620 is over,

00:50:44.340 keep in

00:50:45.120 mind that

00:50:45.920 the ERs

00:50:48.100 are at

00:50:48.780 capacity

00:50:49.300 and largely

00:50:50.880 because of

00:50:51.420 COVID.

00:50:52.780 Not totally.

00:50:54.680 So there's

00:50:56.960 still a

00:50:57.520 medical capacity

00:50:58.460 issue with

00:50:59.060 COVID that's

00:50:59.680 very real.

00:51:01.600 Look to

00:51:02.100 Germany.

00:51:03.120 No, I'm

00:51:04.300 not going to

00:51:04.600 look to

00:51:04.920 Germany.

00:51:05.680 As I often

00:51:06.380 say,

00:51:07.020 leadership will

00:51:07.800 not be the

00:51:08.460 thing that

00:51:08.940 was the

00:51:10.080 most predictive

00:51:11.220 here.

00:51:16.380 How to

00:51:16.980 deal with

00:51:17.260 a family

00:51:17.640 member who

00:51:18.140 is incredibly

00:51:18.720 afraid and

00:51:19.800 has cognitive

00:51:20.540 dissonance on

00:51:21.540 COVID.

00:51:23.140 Yeah, I

00:51:23.820 don't know.

00:51:25.260 I suppose just

00:51:26.260 giving them

00:51:26.680 context could

00:51:27.400 help a little

00:51:27.900 bit but fear

00:51:29.540 is the best

00:51:31.100 persuader.

00:51:31.840 So if somebody

00:51:32.300 is afraid,

00:51:33.100 it's hard to

00:51:33.580 change their

00:51:34.160 mind.

00:51:35.140 You can't

00:51:35.720 make people

00:51:36.140 less afraid

00:51:36.800 unless you

00:51:37.880 really, really

00:51:38.480 work on them

00:51:39.040 for a long

00:51:39.400 time and they

00:51:39.900 want to be.

00:51:40.760 They'd have

00:51:41.160 to want to

00:51:41.720 be less

00:51:42.100 afraid and

00:51:43.300 I don't

00:51:43.540 know if

00:51:43.880 they want

00:51:44.600 to be.

00:51:49.980 Yeah,

00:51:50.440 hospitals are

00:51:51.080 supposed to

00:51:51.540 be near

00:51:51.840 capacity.

00:51:52.620 Yeah, you're

00:51:52.900 right.

00:51:53.080 This might

00:51:53.380 be a little

00:51:53.940 bit of fake

00:51:54.460 news because

00:51:55.640 they talked

00:51:56.000 about one

00:51:56.460 hospital was

00:51:57.080 at 80 or

00:51:59.100 85% capacity

00:52:00.300 which my

00:52:01.240 understanding is

00:52:02.160 that's exactly

00:52:03.040 where you want

00:52:03.580 to be.

00:52:04.780 That's my

00:52:05.220 understanding.

00:52:08.000 Staffing

00:52:08.440 defines

00:52:08.900 capacity.

00:52:10.200 Well,

00:52:11.480 largely but

00:52:12.140 not totally.

00:52:13.640 There definitely

00:52:14.280 is some space

00:52:15.260 limitation and

00:52:16.700 equipment

00:52:17.040 limitations.

00:52:21.000 Yeah,

00:52:21.860 their business

00:52:22.440 model is they

00:52:23.200 require full

00:52:23.980 hospitals to

00:52:24.680 make money.

00:52:25.780 So it's a

00:52:26.560 little unclear

00:52:27.100 how much of

00:52:27.800 this was fake

00:52:28.320 news.

00:52:33.880 Sophistry,

00:52:34.520 you just took

00:52:35.100 both sides.

00:52:35.820 What did I

00:52:36.200 take both

00:52:36.580 sides of?

00:52:38.900 Now, it's

00:52:39.700 not sophistry

00:52:40.420 when you

00:52:40.960 take both

00:52:42.100 sides.

00:52:44.340 Showing that

00:52:44.980 there's an

00:52:45.400 argument on

00:52:46.080 both sides

00:52:46.660 is not

00:52:47.020 sophistry.

00:52:48.560 You know, I

00:52:49.020 think that's

00:52:49.480 another, I'm

00:52:50.000 going to add

00:52:50.340 that to my

00:52:50.860 tell for

00:52:51.540 NPCs.

00:52:53.480 Have you

00:52:54.060 noticed there

00:52:54.480 are just

00:52:54.720 some things

00:52:55.600 that people

00:52:55.980 always say,

00:52:56.860 like, oh,

00:52:57.360 that's

00:52:57.640 sophistry?

00:52:58.320 I think

00:53:00.720 that's just

00:53:01.080 an NPC

00:53:01.580 thing.

00:53:03.160 You know,

00:53:03.660 references to

00:53:04.820 the matrix,

00:53:07.720 references to

00:53:08.500 Soil and

00:53:08.940 Green,

00:53:10.120 references to

00:53:10.880 sophistry.

00:53:14.500 I, yeah.

00:53:18.420 I think that

00:53:19.540 those are all

00:53:20.300 just somebody

00:53:21.360 who doesn't

00:53:21.660 have critical

00:53:22.160 thinking,

00:53:22.660 maybe an

00:53:23.000 NPC.

00:53:23.340 And, yeah,

00:53:29.380 1984, right?

00:53:31.000 1984 is

00:53:31.820 another one

00:53:32.240 of those.

00:53:32.660 If that's

00:53:33.140 where you're

00:53:33.500 at, you're

00:53:35.000 probably not

00:53:35.440 part of the

00:53:36.040 thinking class.

00:53:42.780 Robert says,

00:53:43.680 which FDA

00:53:44.360 employee worked

00:53:45.440 for Abbott

00:53:46.240 Labs?

00:53:47.260 No, that's

00:53:47.820 not the right

00:53:48.560 question.

00:53:49.240 That's almost

00:53:49.780 the right

00:53:50.160 question,

00:53:50.720 Robert.

00:53:51.580 The real

00:53:51.940 question would

00:53:52.420 be, who

00:53:52.960 at the

00:53:53.240 FDA was

00:53:54.360 specifically

00:53:54.980 in charge

00:53:55.660 of deciding

00:53:56.500 which rapid

00:53:59.280 tests are

00:54:01.400 evaluated?

00:54:04.120 So I

00:54:04.720 would go a

00:54:05.140 little bit

00:54:05.440 deeper and

00:54:05.980 find out who

00:54:06.480 specifically was

00:54:07.400 in charge.

00:54:18.460 Oh,

00:54:19.100 is that

00:54:19.820 the simulation?

00:54:20.880 I don't

00:54:21.120 think the

00:54:21.560 simulation falls

00:54:22.380 into the

00:54:22.820 NPC category

00:54:23.700 yet, because

00:54:24.860 that's still

00:54:25.560 sort of new

00:54:26.140 and unique.

00:54:29.540 So did

00:54:30.400 anybody see,

00:54:31.480 was it

00:54:32.600 Eric Weinstein

00:54:34.600 who went to

00:54:35.720 a group of

00:54:36.240 economists in

00:54:37.080 Chicago and

00:54:38.860 told them

00:54:39.500 economics had

00:54:41.260 always been

00:54:41.660 wrong because

00:54:42.220 they were

00:54:42.380 doing the

00:54:42.680 math wrong?

00:54:45.620 I'm over

00:54:46.420 summarizing that.

00:54:47.280 That's not

00:54:47.580 exactly what was

00:54:48.320 happening.

00:54:48.940 But did

00:54:49.220 anybody see the

00:54:50.800 outcome of

00:54:51.420 that?

00:54:53.920 How did

00:54:54.560 it go?

00:54:56.760 Was there

00:54:57.280 any kind

00:54:57.760 of resolution?

00:55:01.120 Eric or

00:55:14.140 Brett?

00:55:14.540 Wasn't it

00:55:14.900 Eric?

00:55:15.860 I think it

00:55:16.440 was Eric,

00:55:16.860 right?

00:55:21.340 I think it

00:55:21.940 was like

00:55:22.300 Chicago,

00:55:23.440 some

00:55:23.720 economics

00:55:24.540 group there.

00:55:27.380 All right.

00:55:27.760 Oh, it

00:55:28.460 was closed,

00:55:29.140 so we

00:55:29.480 don't know

00:55:29.820 what happened.

00:55:32.140 Well, that

00:55:32.460 would be

00:55:32.640 interesting.

00:55:33.140 I'd love to

00:55:33.680 hear that.

00:55:34.420 Because I

00:55:35.660 definitely would

00:55:36.200 not be

00:55:36.540 surprised if

00:55:37.260 economics had

00:55:39.000 been using

00:55:39.400 the wrong

00:55:39.820 math forever.

00:55:42.120 That wouldn't

00:55:42.760 surprise me at

00:55:43.380 all.

00:55:45.200 All right.

00:55:47.000 But I

00:55:47.700 think I

00:55:48.240 would be

00:55:48.540 very surprised

00:55:49.140 if he

00:55:49.700 convinced the

00:55:50.440 economists.

00:55:50.860 this.

00:55:52.700 But there's

00:55:54.280 an antibiotic

00:55:54.920 shortage.

00:55:59.560 You know,

00:56:00.240 here's, let

00:56:00.760 me give you

00:56:01.080 the Adams

00:56:01.960 Law of

00:56:02.800 slow-moving

00:56:03.760 disasters.

00:56:04.940 And I'm

00:56:05.280 not sure it

00:56:05.880 entirely applies

00:56:07.500 to the

00:56:08.100 supply chain

00:56:09.740 problem.

00:56:10.580 I think it

00:56:11.100 does.

00:56:11.820 Now, the

00:56:12.160 supply chain

00:56:12.860 was sort of,

00:56:14.560 hit us kind

00:56:15.060 of quickly,

00:56:15.840 right?

00:56:16.320 So I don't

00:56:16.860 think anybody

00:56:17.420 quite saw it

00:56:18.660 coming.

00:56:18.900 But I

00:56:19.860 would predict

00:56:20.500 that what

00:56:22.240 we thought

00:56:22.740 was an

00:56:23.140 impossible

00:56:23.720 situation,

00:56:25.160 that there

00:56:25.460 was so much

00:56:25.880 congestion in

00:56:26.700 the ports,

00:56:27.560 that you

00:56:28.100 couldn't even

00:56:28.560 clear out the

00:56:29.280 congestion.

00:56:30.480 It was so

00:56:30.980 congested that

00:56:32.460 literally nothing

00:56:33.020 could happen.

00:56:34.120 Like you

00:56:34.740 couldn't even

00:56:35.120 move a crane

00:56:35.860 to move a,

00:56:36.880 you know,

00:56:37.040 like basically

00:56:37.540 nothing could

00:56:38.060 happen.

00:56:38.340 It's just,

00:56:38.700 it's all just

00:56:39.500 filled with

00:56:40.100 storage containers

00:56:40.920 and nothing

00:56:42.020 could move.

00:56:42.960 Now, that's

00:56:43.640 sort of the

00:56:44.440 exaggerated

00:56:45.220 hyperbolic

00:56:46.320 version of it.

00:56:47.500 But if you

00:56:48.480 bet on

00:56:48.860 people,

00:56:49.960 and I

00:56:50.640 always do,

00:56:52.160 if you

00:56:52.480 bet on

00:56:52.860 people,

00:56:54.240 somebody's

00:56:54.860 figuring it

00:56:55.400 out.

00:56:56.460 Meaning that

00:56:57.200 there are

00:56:57.540 some people

00:56:58.220 or persons

00:56:58.940 at the

00:56:59.360 ports who

00:57:00.640 are saying,

00:57:01.100 you know,

00:57:01.440 nobody had

00:57:02.020 this idea

00:57:02.520 before,

00:57:03.040 but what

00:57:03.320 if we do

00:57:03.840 this and

00:57:04.220 this and

00:57:04.740 put this

00:57:05.660 together?

00:57:06.420 I'll bet

00:57:07.020 you that

00:57:08.900 what looks

00:57:10.360 like an

00:57:10.760 unsolvable

00:57:11.400 problem is

00:57:12.140 being solved

00:57:12.780 while we

00:57:13.280 talk.

00:57:14.280 I'll bet

00:57:14.720 you that

00:57:15.080 smart people

00:57:15.860 are finding,

00:57:17.360 you know,

00:57:17.560 maybe they're

00:57:17.940 A-B testing,

00:57:19.020 maybe they're

00:57:19.400 just poking

00:57:20.400 around,

00:57:21.000 maybe they've

00:57:21.400 got an

00:57:21.760 out-of-box

00:57:22.340 solution,

00:57:23.620 maybe they've

00:57:24.180 changed the

00:57:24.700 system,

00:57:25.260 you know,

00:57:25.560 cleverly,

00:57:26.600 something.

00:57:27.660 But I

00:57:27.940 would be

00:57:28.220 surprised if

00:57:29.060 humans,

00:57:29.900 with all of

00:57:30.520 our ingenuity,

00:57:31.460 given the

00:57:31.940 size of the

00:57:32.540 problem and

00:57:33.100 the stakes,

00:57:34.120 I'd be

00:57:34.520 surprised if

00:57:36.180 we don't

00:57:36.720 fix this

00:57:37.580 faster than

00:57:38.440 any kind

00:57:40.100 of common

00:57:40.480 sense would

00:57:41.040 tell you it

00:57:41.460 could be

00:57:41.720 fixed.

00:57:42.720 My common

00:57:43.340 sense says

00:57:43.900 this is going

00:57:44.300 to be a

00:57:44.580 long problem.

00:57:45.340 my optimism

00:57:47.200 is that there

00:57:48.600 will be

00:57:48.960 enough smart

00:57:49.940 humans trying

00:57:51.540 enough stuff

00:57:52.360 that somebody's

00:57:53.540 going to find

00:57:53.940 out what

00:57:54.280 works and

00:57:54.760 then just

00:57:55.040 do more

00:57:55.440 of it.

00:57:56.140 I think

00:57:56.520 so.

00:57:59.860 So let's

00:58:00.440 keep an

00:58:00.700 eye on

00:58:00.920 that.

00:58:01.740 All right,

00:58:02.000 that's all

00:58:02.240 I've got

00:58:02.400 for now.

00:58:03.260 And I'm

00:58:03.960 going to

00:58:04.240 go do

00:58:05.240 some other

00:58:05.640 stuff.

00:58:06.640 There is

00:58:07.040 no,

00:58:07.700 is today

00:58:08.580 or tomorrow

00:58:09.100 Veterans Day?

00:58:10.780 Is it

00:58:11.300 today?

00:58:12.420 Today or

00:58:12.840 tomorrow?

00:58:13.120 It's

00:58:13.880 today.

00:58:15.020 So I

00:58:15.380 guess tomorrow

00:58:16.840 is a day

00:58:17.240 off for

00:58:17.700 school anyway.

00:58:18.740 So to

00:58:19.620 the Veterans,

00:58:21.080 thank you

00:58:21.620 for your

00:58:22.000 service.

00:58:23.980 How many

00:58:24.520 Veterans

00:58:24.880 there today?

00:58:25.840 In the

00:58:26.460 comments,

00:58:27.300 Veterans,

00:58:27.960 make yourself

00:58:28.600 known.

00:58:30.020 All you

00:58:30.420 Veterans,

00:58:32.320 there you

00:58:33.600 go.

00:58:34.660 Wow,

00:58:35.240 a lot of

00:58:35.640 them.

00:58:36.920 Holy cow,

00:58:37.660 look at all

00:58:37.960 the Veterans.

00:58:39.340 Yowzer.

00:58:41.140 A lot of

00:58:41.880 Veterans.

00:58:43.140 Holy cow.

00:58:45.580 Do I

00:58:46.100 have like

00:58:46.520 every Veteran

00:58:47.260 in the

00:58:47.520 world watching

00:58:48.020 this?

00:58:48.720 Or are

00:58:49.020 there just

00:58:49.280 a lot of

00:58:49.640 Veterans that

00:58:50.140 I don't

00:58:50.340 know about?

00:58:52.000 You should

00:58:52.460 see the

00:58:53.780 comments on

00:58:54.860 both

00:58:55.160 platforms.

00:58:56.520 All right,

00:58:56.720 I can see

00:58:57.140 them both.

00:58:57.620 You can only

00:58:57.960 see the

00:58:58.380 one you're

00:58:58.680 on.

00:58:59.260 But both

00:58:59.760 platforms are

00:59:00.440 just streaming

00:59:01.360 with Veterans.

00:59:04.860 Amazing.

00:59:07.000 All right,

00:59:07.760 and spouses,

00:59:09.500 spouses of

00:59:10.140 Veterans,

00:59:10.580 so thank you

00:59:11.120 for your

00:59:11.480 service too.

00:59:12.760 If you're

00:59:13.160 a spouse

00:59:13.620 or a

00:59:14.560 family member,

00:59:15.320 thanks for

00:59:15.720 your service

00:59:16.300 because it's

00:59:17.140 a group

00:59:18.300 effort.

00:59:18.760 We know

00:59:19.020 that.

00:59:21.080 Very

00:59:21.560 Vet-heavy

00:59:22.100 audience.

00:59:23.380 Very,

00:59:23.860 very.

00:59:24.120 All right,

00:59:24.800 that's all

00:59:25.200 for now.

00:59:26.080 Respect to the

00:59:26.840 Veterans,

00:59:27.340 and we

00:59:28.400 will talk to

00:59:29.140 you soon.

00:59:30.220 beer,

00:59:30.840 nicest,

00:59:31.800 this is all

00:59:31.900 attractive,

00:59:33.320 because it's

00:59:47.980 different,

00:59:48.500 especially if you're

00:59:49.100 aware of,

00:59:49.620 those who are

00:59:49.860 not

00:59:50.680 dreaming.

00:59:51.600 Of a

00:59:52.500 магаз

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 11, 2021

Episode 1558 Scott Adams： Don't Miss My Kamala Harris Impression and Provocative Other Opinions

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