Episode 1569 Scott Adams： How We Confuse Politics With Mental Health Problems. They Are Actually Different
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 4 minutes
Words per Minute
145.95436
Summary
Elon Musk is going to become the first transhuman and rule the universe by using AI to take over everything that he hasn t already taken over. Here's a quick summary of what he's up to and why he's the greatest person in the universe.
Transcript
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Ta-ta-ta-ta-ta. Good morning, everybody, and how lucky we all are. Wow. Woke up alive again.
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How many days in a row have you nailed it? Yeah. A lot of people are waking up dead,
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but not you. You're waking up alive, and I respect that. And if you think today could
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get any better, and you're thinking to yourself, I don't think it could. It's already pretty
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good. I don't think it could get better. It can. It's called the simultaneous sip. It
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makes everything better, and you're about to experience it if you're here live. If you're
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here recorded, it still works. Still works, but not quite as well as live. And all you
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need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a gel, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel
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of any kind, filling with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled
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pleasure, the dope, mean, hit of the day, the thing that makes everything, everything
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better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.
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I'm being asked on YouTube if I only have one sip of coffee per day. That's all I need,
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this one sip, and I'm good for the whole day. No. Coffee is like money. Do you know what
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I learned about money when I was an economics major? More is better. It's one of the few
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things you can say about economics that works every time. Money, more, is better. All right.
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Would you like to go deep with me? Would you like to go deep? We're going to do some crazy
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shit right now. All right. Here's where I blow your mind. I did the, I tried this out last
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night with my private locals channel. So they've seen this. I'll give you the quick version so
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they don't have to watch it again. Elon Musk. What's his big plan? Oh, I think I figured
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it out. Little pattern recognition, and I put it all together. What are the companies
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that Elon Musk is investing in or owns? Artificial intelligence. He's into that big. Neuralink,
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the thing that reads your brain waves. Electric cars, but also electric batteries. Batteries,
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very important to the story. Humanoid-like robots. Tesla announced that they're going to build
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a robot as a humanoid look. See where I'm going yet? Mission to Mars. See where it is
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yet? He's going to be the first transhuman. Take your new Neuralink technology, upgraded
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a few versions, and pretty soon he has mapped his own mind. And he can take his mind map and
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add it with all the interviews he's done in public. And you can create Elon version 2.0
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and put him in a Tesla robot. Not done yet. Not done yet. He isn't just going to be the first
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transhuman. He's going to be the first transhuman augmented by the most advanced artificial intelligence
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in the world. Do you see it yet? Do you know how hard it will be to go to Mars if you have a human
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body? If you're an organic entity? Very hard. You might die. How hard would it be to go to Mars if
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you were a robot? Much easier. Elon Musk is going to be the first transhuman. He's going to make his base
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on Mars and he's going to rule the galaxy by using AI to take over everything that he hasn't already
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taken over. That's right. Elon Musk has an actual functional plan to become the robot lord of the
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universe. And I don't think anything can stop him. And by the way, I'm completely serious.
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There's not a bit of sarcasm or humor in this. I mean, it's funny sounding. But look at the assets
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he's compiled. He literally has found a way to beat death, in a sense. Because his robot can just
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keep continuing and it can get upgraded because it'll probably have a trust fund to fund it forever.
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So he can get new parts, get new AI, upgrade until he's the most powerful entity in the universe
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and might still control his entire fortune. Because I don't think there's anything that stops a robot
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from controlling a trust fund if the trust is set up that way. It might need a human to, you know,
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cosign for the robot or something. But basically you could do it. So the richest person in the
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universe has found a way to beat death and also rule the universe from his robotic entity in the
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future. Just thought I'd throw that in there. So you know what's ahead. You want another twist?
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Oh, I'm not done. Here's the final twist. If you think that my vision of what he's putting
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together is possible. Oh, and by the way, throw in Starlink, his satellite network,
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so that his robot will be able to have instant communication around the world without the
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interference of the government. Because the government could shut down the internet,
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but they can't shut down Starlink. He will have the only unshuttable network
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in existence. And he will own it. Or his robot self will.
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Yeah, his low latency satellite network. But here's the real mind effort. You know that
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Elon Musk believes in the simulation, right? That we almost certainly are a simulated world
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and not a real one. And the funny thing about a simulation is if there's even one, there's
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almost certainly lots of them. Because you wouldn't make just one, right? And even the simulation
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itself would create sub-simulations. If it were a good simulation, it would invent its own
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simulations. And so on and so on. Turtles all the way down. Now put those two ideas together.
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That if the simulation is what reality is, and the numbers strongly suggest it is,
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and Elon believes it's true. And if it's possible in our simulation to create an Elon Musk robot that
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looks just like Elon Musk and acts like him, there's a billion to one chance he's already that robot.
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That's all. That's all. That's all. There's a billion to one chance he's already the robot.
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All right, that's just for fun. Here's also for fun. I saw a tweet by Paul Collider talking about
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a person who has invented a solution to basically everything. Okay, I might be exaggerating a little
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bit, but I think he made a solution to everything. Now, I had a similar idea, but mine wasn't nearly
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as good. Does anybody remember me talking about heat chimneys as a way to create energy while scrubbing
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CO2? Does anybody remember me saying that? Now, the way a heat chimney works is you would build,
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let's say, a mile-high chimney, and you would find that the hot air would go into the bottom of the
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chimney, and it would rise very quickly, especially if, you know, you've heated the top of the chimney
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with the sun, let's say. So, because hot air, warm air rises, right? So at the top of the chimney would
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be cold air. At the bottom coming in would be the warm air. So actually, you don't need to heat
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the top of the chimney. The air will just automatically go up, I think. Now, this concept
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has been far, far improved, because it turns out if you have a big enough one of these, let's say you
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have multiple, you know, mile-high chimneys in the same place, they will actually create clouds.
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Now, that's something I didn't know. So the temperature differential, and I guess the fact that the warm
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air is being cooled releases moisture. So what you would do is you would end up creating a rainy
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climate very locally, like super locally, you would have the weather you wanted. So you could create
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water out of nothing, create water out of the air. You could use that to farm in places that you
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couldn't farm before, let's say a desert. And it would grow a bunch of plants that you couldn't grow
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before. And those plants would capture CO2. So you can capture CO2 by building these seed chimneys,
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create water, create electricity, capture CO2. And what else does it do? And it's good for growing
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plants, of course. I suppose if you had a greenhouse, you'd pump CO2 into it. So it improves power
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generation, stabilizes planetary temperatures, gives you fresh water anywhere, removes CO2.
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And apparently he's going to compete for the Elon Musk X Prize, the $100 million prize to scrub CO2
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out of the atmosphere. Now, I imagine that somebody will win that with a different technology.
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But apparently, from an engineering perspective, there's nothing about this that can't be done.
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Isn't that cool? There's nothing about this idea that can't be done.
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So this is all pretty much well understood science. You know, nothing has to be invented.
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You would just have to engineer it. All right. On a less happy note, the Nordstrom store that is just
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down the road from me in Walnut Creek, California, was hit by a mob of 50 to 80 people. I think 80 is
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the official number, who simultaneously had ski masks and clubs and stuff like that, and ran in
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and just ransacked Nordstrom and ran out to waiting cars. Now, I almost didn't want to talk about this
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story because you don't want to give people ideas because it totally worked. You know, very few people
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got arrested because there were just so many of them and nobody saw it coming. But I would like to add
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this to the simulation. Will there ever be one of these flash mobs of looting the store at exactly the
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same time a mass shooter is in the same place? Is the simulation going to serve that up to us?
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Because you have your mass shooters. That's a thing. Way too many of them. And I suspect that this mob
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looting thing is going to grow. So you can have a bunch of them. Can the simulation ever give us a
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situation where the mass shooter is in the same place as all the looters? Two problems that solve
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themselves? That's all I'm saying. I don't think it's likely. But it's a non-zero chance that the
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mass shooter will kill all the looters and the police will just have to go there and take the
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bodies away. So it could be a self-correcting problem. If we get enough mass shooters, they will
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cancel out the mass looting. So that's the optimistic take. I like to look on the optimistic
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side. Well, Bill Maher continues to make news every single Friday. I guess his show is going to go on
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hiatus for the winter, so it won't be as much. But he is hammering the Democrats like nobody's ever
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hammered him. I don't think the right has ever laid a glove on the left, because everybody just
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stays in their bubble. But when the left is being pummeled by someone who's inside their bubble,
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I think it hurts a little more. And he's talking about how the Democrats are completely out of touch
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with America, especially white, non-college-educated America. And he went pretty hard at it.
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And I ask you this. Why can Bill Maher see this so clearly? I mean, everything he's saying about
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his team is just 100% accurate. There's just nothing to argue with. Why can he see it? And the others
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can't. Tell me what you know about human nature, and tell me why he can see it, but his party can't.
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Somebody says ratings. Follow the money. But I don't think he's doing it for ratings, because he
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would do better on ratings if he just stuck with a team. The best way you can do ratings is to stick
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with a team. So he's actually going against his money interests. I think his crowds actually have
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shifted now. He has more conservatives. But I don't think he did it for the money, because that
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would have been a dumb play. Like, nobody would have thought that would have worked. And I don't
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know if it is working. He likes conflict? No. No, that's not it. I mean, he might, but mindset,
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marijuana, that's not a bad guess. Experience, he understands human motivation. Yeah, there's some
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of that for sure. Well, I think part of it is because he's tried to put himself in the
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middle of topics, meaning that to try to see both sides. Here's my take. I think that he's,
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yeah, maybe mushrooms. Mushrooms might be part of the story. But I think Bill Maher has trained
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himself to see both sides. That's it. I think it's a skill. I think it's a learned skill. Probably
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you have to be born with, you know, a little bit of a certain kind of mind. It probably does help.
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If he had ever experimented with psychedelics, it probably did help to get you out of your box. But I
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think it's a learned skill. I think by not being slavishly on one side of every topic,
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his brain is just now optimized to be able to see what other people can't see. Now, by the way,
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that's a real thing. It's called reticular activation. You know, you know that effect where
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you can hear your name in a crowded room, but you can't pick out any other words. You know,
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the background noise will be, Scott, and you'll be like, what? The only thing I heard out of all
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that rumble was my name, clearly. What's up with that? It's because your brain can tune itself
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to notice things if you practice. In fact, you can actually practice noticing opportunity.
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This is a real thing. It's been studied. If you just tell yourself you have good luck and that
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you're optimistic, everything's going to work out for you, it changes your actual field of view.
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And you could actually, not field of view, but your perception. You actually see opportunities that
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you wouldn't have seen before because you can tune your brain to spot things.
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Here's an example from my own life. As an older teenager, I once found $20 on the ground.
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And that was a lot of money when I was a teenager. That would be more like $100 today, right?
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So if you imagine a kid finding something the equivalent of $100 laying on the ground,
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it causes you to look at the ground a lot. So I somehow became trained to expect money
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on the ground. Do you know how many times I've found actually cash money, like paper money,
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on the ground? A lot. I don't know how many times all of you have found actual money on the ground,
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but I've probably done it 30 times. Cash money, like lots of dollar bills, just laying on the ground
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next to the road. And it would be a road where lots of other people have walked. And for some reason,
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I found it and other people didn't see it. A lot of you are saying the same. So my hypothesis is that
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you can train your brain to see things that other people don't see. Will you accept that? Will you accept
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the premise that a person can train their brain to notice things that you wouldn't otherwise notice?
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I think that's fair, right? And I think that somebody like Bill Maher, who makes it his career
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to at least understand the argument on both sides, I believe he's trained his brain so he can see it.
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All right. MSNBC appears to be sort of a mental health crisis masquerading as a news organization.
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And I say that in all seriousness. Because the, I guess the tone and the guests and everything
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about MSNBC, and by the way, I don't really see this on CNN. If you watch CNN, it looks like
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you have angry partisans who are just taking a side. But when you watch MSNBC, it doesn't look
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exactly like that, does it? CNN is mostly just side-taking. And then just people say whatever
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the narrative is on their side, they just repeat it. But on MSNBC, it actually looks like a mental
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health crisis. And I'm not kidding even a little bit, all right? I'm going to be completely serious.
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It looks like a mental health crisis. And I'll give you even the specific mental health
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problem. It looks like a vulnerable narcissist or toxic narcissist, you know, there are other
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names for it. What are some of the things you would expect from an individual who's a vulnerable
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narcissist? Let's say you catch them in being wrong. You find out that they have a fact wrong,
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or you call them out in a lie. How does a vulnerable narcissist respond?
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They will attack you personally. Right? They attack you personally. They don't say,
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well, what about your philosophy? They call you a white supremacist. They call you a racist.
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They call you a sexist. They call you names. So vulnerable narcissists don't address the argument.
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They will call you names. Who does that? CNN a little bit. But MSNBC, it's their whole gig is
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labeling people as bad people. Now, what's the other thing that vulnerable narcissists do? Far more than
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the regular public, although I guess we all do it a little. Projection. Yeah, a vulnerable narcissist
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will rob a bank and then accuse the police of being bank robbers. And the police will say,
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we're literally police. We literally just caught you walking out of the bank with a gun and a bag of
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money. And we've got 15 witnesses. And we're the police. We're the police arresting you. The
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vulnerable narcissist will look right at them and say, you robbed this bank. You're the bank robber.
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And everybody who's watching will say, I don't even know what's going on here. Right? You know
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somebody like that. You know you know somebody like that. They lie and call you a liar. They're
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racist and they call you a racist. Now, MSNBC has gone full overt racist. In fact, one of their guests
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today, somebody named Cross, called, again, called Kyle Rittenhouse, a white supremacist.
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For which there's no evidence whatsoever and all the evidence which suggests he's not. But on MSNBC,
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you can actually go full racist and nobody makes a peep. What? What? How is that okay? How is that
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suddenly okay? All right. To me, that looks like a mental health problem. But here's the thing that
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really came out of... I'm going to take this in a little bit slightly different direction.
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The Rittenhouse case tells us the whole problem. I think. And I'm going to go to my white supremacist
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board. It used to be called a white board. But I've been watching a lot of MSNBC. And I realized that
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if you call it a white board, you're just buying into white supremacy. So I'm just going to call it a
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white supremacist white board. So MSNBC has something to talk about. I could call it the black board.
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Because as you know, I identify as black. Oh, let me do that. Since I identify as black,
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I'll just call it the black board. Because it's my board. It's not your board. It's my board. It's
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a black board. All right. So we'll go to the black board. And I'll tell you what I think is the whole
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problem. In the Rittenhouse case, the most weird, the most bizarre thing happened. And I'll bet all of
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you saw this. How many of you saw somebody on the left say something like this? If Rittenhouse had been
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black, what would have happened? How many of you saw somebody say something like that? If Rittenhouse
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had been black, what would happen? And what did your brain do when you heard that? Didn't your brain
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just explode and say, what? What? What is wrong with you? Right? That was your first impression was
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probably, what the hell is wrong with you? Why on earth would the race of the people involved make
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any difference? Like, how is this racial? It's a whole bunch of white guys. How in the world did
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this become a racial question? And by the way, if a black man had done exactly what Kyle Rittenhouse
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would do, what would the right be asking? When can we vote for him? Am I right? That's what the
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right would be asking. If exactly the same thing, but Rittenhouse had been black, they would say,
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when's he going to run for office? I want to vote for that guy. Now, if you're on the left,
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you don't get that at all, do you? I don't think there's anybody on the left who understands that
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even a little bit. Why? Why don't they understand that? I will tell you. Watch this. This is going
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to blow your mind. Now, I'm going to bring together some things I've said before in different ways.
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But when I bring this together, I think this is going to blow your freaking mind. Watch this.
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Now that I've oversold it. Totally. Here's what I see from the left and the right.
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What I see is that the left has one filter. They have one filter on life, which is grievance.
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Their worldview is that whatever their situation is, is caused by other people who did better.
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Sometimes they did better because they're terrible racists and they had slaves, whatever. But
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sometimes they just did better for a variety of reasons. But the left only has one filter.
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What happens to you if you only have one filter? Well, things don't go well. Things don't go well at
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all. Because life is somewhat subjective, meaning there's not the one preferred way to look at
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everything and you're done. Rather, you need a variety of filters for a variety of situations.
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I would argue that on the right, they have a variety of filters. There's your Constitution.
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And depending on the topic you're talking about, they might be talking about the First Amendment,
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the Second Amendment, might talk about the court systems. But basically, they have a systems view.
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Well, we've got a system that takes care of this stuff. They also have a Bible filter, which is also a
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system. The Bible's a system. It says if you act in this way every day, or as much as you can, you get a
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payoff in the end. Right? Bible is a system. Constitution is a system. Small government is a system.
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Small government is a system. Because every day, you have to work at keeping it small.
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You want to raise my taxes? No. You want to create a new department? No. Right? You have to work at it
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every day to keep it from growing. That's a system. And the system says if you can keep it small by
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working at it really hard, getting your Republicans in office, etc., whatever it takes, then you get
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better results. We don't know the specific result. But overall, if you use these three systems,
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you get good results on average. Very imperfect. Very imperfect. Right? Systems are imperfect.
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But the best we have. And then also family is another system. Family isn't a goal. It's a system
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that for many people works very well, especially if you combine it with the Bible filter.
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The Bible plus a family. Two good systems that work together pretty well. Now, I remind you that I'm
00:26:37.160
not personally a believer. But it's obvious that as a system, religion works very well with family.
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In fact, I wish I had that ability to believe because I think it's an advantage in life. I just
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don't have it. Now, I'm going to take it to the next level. So the first level is that on the right,
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people have several filters to look through, and they can change out their filters as they need
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to. Oh, this is a Bible filter. This is a family filter. This is a government filter. This is the
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Constitution. So when the Kyle Rittenhouse case comes out, what do the people on the right do?
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They change their filter to the one that makes sense. They change their filter to the one that
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fits the situation, the Second Amendment. And they say, self-defense? Okay, we're done here.
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That's it. I put my filter on it. We have clear evidence of self-defense with firearms.
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Nothing to see here. It's done. The filter got the same answer as the court system. Right?
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So nobody on the right was confused when the courts agreed with them that their Second Amendment
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filter on this was accurate. Now, imagine how lost you would be if you only had one way to look at
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the world. A grievance filter. And you have a situation that has no race in it whatsoever.
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But you only have this. That's all you have. Just one filter. You've heard the old saying,
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if all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. That's the problem. The problem is
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that the MSNBCs and the CNNs of the world have hammered this one filter so much that they only have
00:28:32.720
one. They don't have the ability to do what conservatives do naturally, which is to move
00:28:38.740
back and forth to the filter that makes sense. Now, if you think all these filters are really
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just the same filter, they're not. Let me give you an example. What happens when your government
00:28:50.160
filter conflicts with your family filter? Trouble. Right? Big trouble. Big, big trouble.
00:28:59.640
All right? So these filters don't always work together. But in a situation like the Rittenhouse
00:29:04.560
case, it's a perfect system. Just put it through the filter. Boom. You predicted. Now, what do I tell
00:29:11.960
you about your filters? Are some filters true, like they really nail reality, and some less true?
00:29:20.760
Is that what I say about filters? No. No. Filters are not about reality. Because we don't have brains that
00:29:29.800
can see reality. Never have. Never will. I don't have one. You don't have one. Einstein didn't have
00:29:36.680
one. Our brains, they never evolved for us to clearly see reality. We're not even close. So we all have
00:29:45.140
this little movie that's playing in our head. So what do I say about filters? How do you know you
00:29:50.800
have a good one? How do you know you have a good filter? What's the one and only way you know it's
00:29:57.800
good? Exactly. Prediction. If your filter accurately predicts, then keep it. And keep it. If it stops
00:30:08.720
predicting, get rid of it. And that's it. Forget about what is true and what is false, because you
00:30:14.800
can't tell. But you can tell if it predicted. Now, whose filter predicted Kyle Rittenhouse would get
00:30:21.120
off? Constitution filter predicted that. And it predicted it with certainty. Am I right? I mean,
00:30:30.100
you were worried, but it was a pretty clean prediction, I think. And what did the people
00:30:37.440
on the left say? What happened? How could this be? Because their filter doesn't predict. Am I
00:30:46.060
right? So if you joined late, the reason that the left and the right can't see the same things
00:30:54.100
is because the right uses different filters on reality, and they use the ones that predict
00:30:59.960
the best. Let's take this one. Small government. Does that predict well? Yeah. Yeah. It predicts
00:31:08.680
that if you add a new bureaucracy, you'll eventually come to regret it. How often is that filter right?
00:31:15.380
A lot. It's really predictive, right? So the grievance filter, unfortunately, can work sometimes.
00:31:24.780
Oh, let me be completely clear about this. This filter can predict sometimes, but not all
00:31:33.080
the time. And if you don't have the ability to switch to other filters, you'll be blinded
00:31:39.520
by your one filter. All you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. And that's really
00:31:44.200
what you're seeing on the left. The number of people who said, you know, hey, if Rittenhouse
00:31:52.540
had been black, that was like the Rosetta Stone. The Rittenhouse case was like the Rosetta Stone.
00:32:02.960
I love making this reference because only 20% of you even know what it means. But 20% of
00:32:07.780
you just said, yeah, I get that. The other 80% said, stop using references. I don't understand.
00:32:13.980
But I don't even know the Rosetta Stone story. But there was some stone that had some code on
00:32:20.080
it that if you had that one stone with that little written code on it, you could decipher
00:32:24.760
this other language that you couldn't get your hands on otherwise. You couldn't figure
00:32:29.360
out the code until you got this one rock. So the Rosetta Stone is the thing that opened
00:32:33.460
up the code. And I think the Rittenhouse case opened up the code so that you can see this
00:32:39.500
clearly. Because before the Rittenhouse case, it wasn't this clear, right? When you watch
00:32:45.640
people who see clear self-defense and they only see race, and it's all white people, that's
00:32:52.540
the Rosetta Stone. Now you know what's going on. Everything is explained by these filters.
00:32:57.880
Right? All right. Smirkanish has an interesting theory, which I agree with 100%. Now I've told
00:33:10.500
you before, and I'll say it again. While I criticize CNN almost nonstop, they do also employ this
00:33:20.120
fellow named Smirkanish, who is closer to reasonable than just about anybody they've ever had on their
00:33:27.540
network. Now he's had me on his show a number of times, twice, three times, different shows. And
00:33:34.480
what better evidence do you need that he's willing to hear both sides, right? So Smirkanish is kind
00:33:44.320
of a Bill Maher personality, as far as I can tell from the outside. Can't read anybody's minds.
00:33:51.060
But he looks like somebody who can see the argument on both sides. So give him a follow. If you don't
00:33:56.900
follow him, he's worthy. There are some people on the left that you just have to follow. Van Jones.
00:34:04.220
You should follow Van Jones, even if you don't agree with him. And Smirkanish. Because those are
00:34:10.700
two people who can at least see the argument on both sides. And that's worth a lot. So here's his
00:34:17.480
theory about why Biden is so unpopular at the moment, aside from performance itself. Trump is not in the
00:34:25.880
news. So you don't have a, you don't have a contrast. Biden is not being compared to anybody
00:34:34.140
right now. Oh, how do you smell it? Spell it? How do you smell it? Smirkanish is S-M-E-R-C-O-N-I-S-H.
00:34:45.140
Is his first name Michael? He never uses his first name, it seems like. I don't even know
00:34:51.840
his first name. He seems to use his last name all the time. Anyway, I agree with that. I think
00:34:59.280
Smirkanish is absolutely right. That the longer Trump stays out of the news, the more popular
00:35:07.480
he'll get. Oh, it is Michael. It's Michael Smirkanish. And I 100% agree with that. Trump could become
00:35:15.760
president again by simply making, let's say, ordinary comments about the news instead of Trump
00:35:25.520
comments. You know, a Trump comment always goes too far, which is sort of his signature. His signature
00:35:32.900
move is to go too far, because that's what makes it exciting. That's what makes you look at it. That's
00:35:39.420
what draws your attention. That's what controls the energy, right? So at least one part of it is
00:35:45.460
that Trump is not there to create the hated alternative to Biden. Now, that's not the only
00:35:52.700
reason, right? Yeah, provocative. When I say goes too far, you could say provocative. That would be
00:35:59.520
another way to say it. I saw this tweet by Mike Cernovich the other day. I swear to God, I just
00:36:09.000
read that thing over and over again, because it was just so beautiful. It was beautifully provocative.
00:36:15.160
Now, I didn't quite, you know, agree with all the content in it. It was an opinion piece. But man,
00:36:23.200
can Cernovich write provocative tweets? Like, you can't look away. It's like, ah,
00:36:29.520
I want to agree with it, but I can't. But I want to. Goes too far. You know, that's just a perfect
00:36:36.120
tweet. And Trump has that same skill. If we were to create, if somebody created a news channel that
00:36:46.940
was 100% real news, as if you could really do that. But they tried really hard to make it unbiased.
00:36:52.240
Who would watch it? Not many people is the answer. And there's a reason for that. Because
00:36:59.680
real news isn't that interesting. It's only the fake news that gets us interested. It's the fake
00:37:06.580
stuff that we care about. Now, of course, we learned that the hard way through social media's
00:37:14.160
algorithms. And we discovered that if it fed us up more fake news, we clicked on it more.
00:37:20.720
So, of course, we got into this situation, honestly, I guess. And, but here, I'm here to tell
00:37:28.100
you that every once in a while you hear this, hey, if somebody invents a network with real news,
00:37:33.800
think of how popular that will be. No, nobody's going to watch it. Let me give you an analogy,
00:37:40.020
because you like those, right? They're so convincing analogies. All right, here's one.
00:37:46.500
If somebody invents a healthy food, everybody will stop eating the bad stuff. You know, if it tastes
00:37:52.140
good. But if somebody makes some healthy food that tastes pretty good, man, obesity's done.
00:37:59.460
No, no, because people like unhealthy food. The same way they like fake news. Junk food and fake
00:38:07.160
news are basically just the same stimulus. It's just shit that's not good for you, but
00:38:12.700
sure feels fun while it's happening. So forget about your unbiased news. You'll never see that.
00:38:20.520
Meanwhile, the FBI has turned against the country and against the citizens. And I think we could just
00:38:26.300
say that directly at this point. The FBI is no longer on the side of the citizens of the United States.
00:38:32.240
I think maybe it used to be, or maybe we just didn't know how bad it was. But at this point,
00:38:38.000
I think the news is painting us a pretty clear picture of the FBI being a corrupt organization
00:38:45.260
that probably needs to be, you know, it needs to be dismantled and put back together, I think.
00:38:52.920
There's something wrong with it, deeply. Now, at the moment, it's, I guess it did a raid
00:38:58.160
on a school board activist named Sharona Bishop. Imagine an FBI breaking down the door
00:39:06.520
of somebody who's just a citizen, who's just an activist on the school boards. And I guess
00:39:12.360
she's helped flip nine local school boards. I don't know what flipped means, but does that
00:39:17.680
mean get new people in there or something? Or to get them to, I don't know, whatever she's
00:39:22.920
doing to flip them. But can you imagine any scenario in which it makes sense for the FBI
00:39:31.500
to break down the door of a mother, a mom, a mom who is just an activist about what's good
00:39:39.460
for her kids? And by the way, nobody is accusing her of a crime that I know of. Is she even accused
00:39:47.140
of a crime? I didn't see that in the story. There must have been something she was accused
00:39:51.380
of. Was it taxes? Oh, supposedly wire fraud. And it was the wire fraud supposedly about taxes
00:40:03.840
too, or not paying them or whatever. They cuffed her? Are you fucking kidding me? They cuffed
00:40:12.080
her? In front of her kids? Did they fucking cuff a mother in front of her kids for a suspicious
00:40:21.360
violation of a white collar crime? I suppose they have to do that, but I sure hope not.
00:40:28.760
God. You know, the FBI does seem purely political at this point. And even if they had a good reason
00:40:37.180
for this, you know, we could learn out later. We could learn later they had a good reason.
00:40:41.180
But they don't, they don't earn our trust. So this is still, we're still in the fog of war
00:40:47.820
on the story. So if tomorrow it turns out that she was a, you know, horrible terrorist or something
00:40:52.980
and the FBI had good information about it, or whatever. So if it turns out tomorrow that the FBI
00:40:58.040
was just right to do this, I can't see how, but you could be surprised. Mother cuffers. Those mother
00:41:05.720
cuffers. Nice. Nicely done. Mother cuffers. Mother cuffers. Now I'm just going to be thinking about that
00:41:16.800
all day because that's too good. All right. Anyway, the FBI, we don't trust them. So if we hear a story
00:41:24.780
that could go either way, and I think this is one of those stories that could probably go either way.
00:41:29.160
You know, you could easily imagine that tomorrow we'll learn something that supports the FBI's action,
00:41:34.860
but maybe not. And I'm saying that if there's a benefit of a doubt, they don't, they don't earn it
00:41:39.880
anymore. I think the court system still deserves a benefit of a doubt. You could disagree with that,
00:41:47.340
but I think our court system is good enough. I give them the benefit of a doubt when I'm not sure
00:41:52.020
exactly why they did what they did. Usually. I think they usually get it right. But the FBI has lost
00:41:58.620
the benefit of a doubt. Am I right? Has the FBI forfeited the benefit of a doubt? When I hear a bad
00:42:07.340
story about the FBI, I'm going to automatically assume it's probably true from now on. And I would
00:42:12.900
have maybe automatically assumed it was not true in the past. Yeah. I think they've lost the
00:42:18.780
presumption of innocence. Woundly. I mean, if individuals, of course, still have the presumption
00:42:24.540
of innocence. But as an organization, they have lost the presumption of innocence. That's pretty
00:42:30.600
fucking bad. All right. You know, I turned on the news and it was just one topic that they can't
00:42:39.560
stop talking about, which is why Joe Biden did not release his cognitive test results. Or did he have
00:42:46.380
one? You know, have you seen any other news today? It's like all over the headlines. Oh, no, it isn't.
00:42:53.520
I'm the only one talking about it. It's not in any headline anywhere. Now, I'm not the guy who
00:43:00.620
usually does the, well, what if this was Trump? Because that just bores the hell out of me. It's
00:43:05.320
too easy. Whenever you do the, if this were Trump, you know, I mean, often there's a point
00:43:13.540
to be made in that. But it's so easy and so common that I hate to say it. But if this had
00:43:21.560
been Trump, sometimes you just have to say it. If this had been Trump, it would have been
00:43:28.680
the only headline. Where's his cognitive test? Where's his cognitive test? And of course,
00:43:34.900
Trump passed. I mean, that's what we hear. And Biden is obviously degraded. Obviously to
00:43:43.700
everybody. There's nobody who doesn't see it. Right. And we're not even talking about, we're
00:43:50.100
not even talking about a cognitive test. We are so brainwashed. You see it really clearly
00:43:57.820
in a case like this. And it's not because Trump would have been treated differently. You could
00:44:02.560
take Trump completely out of the story. Where's his cognitive test? He's obviously cognitively
00:44:09.080
challenged or at least cognitively at risk. Right. And so you don't need Trump in the story
00:44:16.260
to say what the hell is going on. All right. Apparently Kenosha didn't have anything that
00:44:24.920
looked like a protest. People gathered, but they seem to have talked it out or something.
00:44:31.200
And I'd said before the verdict that it looked like low energy in Kenosha. And Martin Cohen
00:44:38.620
said in a tweet, and I'm leaning in this direction. It might be an overstatement, but I'm leaning
00:44:46.680
in the following direction to agree with Martin, who says, Martin says that he predicted no protests
00:44:52.800
after the Rittenhauser thing, because the original protests, meaning the protests which Rittenhouse
00:44:58.220
had attended originally, had the goal of defeating the president. And now that Trump is out, no more
00:45:05.340
protests for a while. I hate to say that feels right. Am I right? Because there's nothing that
00:45:16.220
happened that would have changed the protests from then to now. Do you remember the Wall Street
00:45:22.560
protests about, what was it, income inequality? And those protests just went away. Did our income
00:45:32.280
inequality get fixed? No. The protests were never real. The protests were never real. They were,
00:45:42.160
yeah, Occupy Wall Street, exactly. The Occupy Wall Street, now we know, never was about a topic. It
00:45:49.340
must have been some political thing. Now we know that BLM is mostly some kind of political
00:45:55.600
instrument and has nothing to do with their issues. Now, I'm overstating it, right? There are plenty
00:46:01.500
of people who would say they're part of BLM who do care about the issues, including me. Because
00:46:06.760
actually, I think BLM's issues are good issues. You know, there's a whole separate question of how
00:46:13.420
they're going about it. But in terms of, are the police treating minority people worse? I don't know,
00:46:22.280
because I don't really have a window into that. But if 30% or whatever of your country thinks that
00:46:29.000
the police are discriminating against certain types of people, I'm going to take that really
00:46:33.380
seriously. Whatever it is, right? Because if I were in that 30%, I'd want you to take it seriously.
00:46:40.820
Even if I were wrong. Even if it was just in my mind. Even if I were bringing it upon myself by the
00:46:47.040
way I act when police come. I'd still want you to be looking into this as a fellow citizen.
00:46:52.240
Which sounds sexist? Fellow? Right? Somebody says I'm in the 30%. Yeah, I mean, I identify as black,
00:47:02.020
but since the police won't know that, I think I would be able to get off.
00:47:08.640
All right, anyway. So I think protests you have to see as fake. Really, from this point on,
00:47:15.260
I would say any protests you see on the left that doesn't have support on the right. You know,
00:47:20.500
let's say if we're protesting a war, some new war, you can see that that would be a valid protest.
00:47:27.280
But so far, the ones we've seen most recently are apparently all fake protests. That doesn't mean
00:47:32.800
that the individuals aren't real. Let me be as clear as possible. I think the individuals
00:47:39.200
probably had legitimate, you know, grievances and wanted to protest about it. But the reason that
00:47:46.860
they showed up at all was because somebody was pulling the strings. Right? You can have
00:47:52.040
grievances about a lot of stuff and not protest. I got plenty of grievances. I didn't protest at
00:47:57.620
all today. But the thing that activates people to hit the streets is obviously coming from some
00:48:02.340
source. I don't know what source. You think it's George Soros? I don't think so, but can't rule
00:48:08.720
anything out. I saw a graph today. Adam Dopamine tweeted around. And it seemed to show that vaccinations,
00:48:18.340
you know, help, but not a lot. That's what the data showed. It showed that, yeah, it does protect you
00:48:27.400
from hospitalization and stuff, but not a ton. You know, it's like maybe twice as good where we thought
00:48:34.500
it was eight times as good or something like that. But it took about a minute and a half for
00:48:39.040
Andres Backhouse to debunk it. Apparently it's been debunked before. So if you see that graph,
00:48:45.600
it's a fake graph. It's taken out of context, blah, blah, blah. Read the footnotes. So if you see
00:48:52.860
any graph on the internet, what is your first reaction to it? If you see data about vaccinations,
00:48:59.540
doesn't matter what the data says, and it's on Twitter, what should be your first response?
00:49:08.960
Seriously unlikely to be true. If I had put a percentage on it, I would say that any data
00:49:15.500
on vaccinations that you see on Twitter, 90 to 95% fake, at least the odds of it. I'm not saying
00:49:26.260
all of it is 95% fake. I'm saying if there's a new graph or finding or data about vaccinations or masks
00:49:34.440
or shutdowns or anything about the pandemic, and it's on social media, 90 to 95% chance it's false. And
00:49:43.500
by the way, same percentage if it comes from the government. I'm not going to change that
00:49:49.520
depending on the source. I don't care about the source. CDC, FDA, Pfizer, it doesn't matter the
00:49:57.180
source. If it's about the pandemic, just assume there's about 90 to 95% chance it's not true.
00:50:03.940
And you'll be in good shape. Okay. So that is my show for the day.
00:50:10.900
I don't know what the other live streamers are doing, but they're not talking about Elon Musk's
00:50:17.300
transhumanism galactic conquest. And I don't think anybody's talking to you about why the left
00:50:24.480
doesn't have enough filters to understand reality.
00:50:31.460
Is Alex Berenson in the 5%? I'm being asked. Alex Berenson, as far as I know, has, I've never
00:50:38.660
seen him be right with any data. That doesn't mean he's never had any data that's correct.
00:50:44.900
I'll just say that I've never seen anything from him that wasn't obviously wrong and got debunked
00:50:51.880
within minutes of hitting the internet. Now your, your mileage might differ. Maybe you're seeing
00:50:57.000
different stuff now. And let me be clear. I'm pro Alex Berenson, which might surprise you
00:51:04.600
because you need some of him and lots of them actually in a situation like this, because you
00:51:12.160
don't want to just blindly say, Oh, data science. Okay. Let's do it. You need somebody like him
00:51:18.440
who's pushing on everything. I mean, he's basically pushing back on everything that comes out about the
00:51:23.980
pandemic. How often is he going to be right when he says that the government is wrong? How often is he
00:51:30.440
going to be correct? A lot, a lot, right? If all you did is say the government's lying and then you
00:51:39.720
waited, how often would you be right? A lot, a lot, right? So saying that the government's data and
00:51:46.620
numbers and promises are bullshit, you need an Alex Berenson and lots of them because a lot of it is
00:51:54.360
bullshit. And you need people out there who have a public platform to warn the public. Now, but the
00:52:01.440
second part of that is when Alex Berenson is creating or boosting his own data. I don't think he creates
00:52:07.360
it, but he's finding data somewhere that's not from the government. And then he boosts it. When he does
00:52:13.960
that, he's wrong almost every time. Because not only is the government producing numbers that are
00:52:21.360
bullshit, but so is everybody else. There's nobody who's giving you good data. So it doesn't matter if
00:52:28.900
it's Alex Berenson or anybody else. Fauci, it doesn't matter. Whoever is showing you data is misleading
00:52:36.400
you because it's almost never right. And you don't know. I mean, 5% of it might be right, but you don't
00:52:43.060
know which 5%. Now, I do think that you might be able to find, like, big trends. So I still think
00:52:52.200
it's very likely that the vaccinations help. That's my current view, subject to change. And like Bill
00:52:58.960
Maher, I have trained myself that I can get out of my bubble if I need to. Meaning that if the weight
00:53:06.080
of information starts moving the other way, I'll just change my mind. And then I'll say, huh,
00:53:13.360
you know, I took a guess. Because we're all guessing. We're all guessing. If you think the
00:53:19.200
vaccination is a bad idea for you, specifically, you could be right. And you could be wrong. But the
00:53:26.360
only thing I know for sure is you're guessing. It's not about data, because we don't have any reliable
00:53:31.420
data about anything. So I could easily change my mind to, oh, it was a big mistake. I wish I
00:53:36.420
hadn't gotten those vaccinations. Easily. Easily. So if you think I'm locked in to a pro-vaccination
00:53:44.060
stand, I never have been. Never have been. I'm always open to even obvious things that everybody
00:53:51.340
says is true being not true. Because it happens a lot. Does RFK Jr. have the voice problem I had?
00:54:01.100
I don't think so. I think he has a different problem. I looked into it a little bit, and
00:54:06.240
it doesn't sound like they call his problem the same as my problem. All right.
00:54:18.020
20 beds of mostly vaccinated coughing people. So here are some other things that you should
00:54:24.440
ignore. The number of vaccinated people who are catching it. Almost all the data on that is
00:54:32.180
anti-context or fake data. Let me say it again. 100% of any data you see about vaccinated people
00:54:40.700
getting infected, I wouldn't trust any of it. It might be true. But I don't think you can trust it.
00:54:48.180
I think all the data is out of context, poorly organized, poorly presented, willfully misinterpreted.
00:54:55.980
That's the world we're in. Just look at Israel data. No. No. No. No, no, no. No, and no, and no.
00:55:06.440
And somebody on here is going to say, well, then just look at Sweden. No. No, no, no, no, no, no.
00:55:11.880
No. Don't look at Sweden. You will learn nothing. Because why? You can't trust any of the data.
00:55:19.280
Look at Israel. Do you trust the data? No. Do you know why you shouldn't trust data coming out of
00:55:25.480
Israel? Is it because I'm anti-Semitic? No. I'm not. Is it because it's coming from Israel? No. No.
00:55:35.600
It's because it's data. And it's about the pandemic. And you can't trust any of it.
00:55:40.060
But if every country is coming to the same conclusion with all their data doing it different
00:55:46.540
ways, then in a way you can do a poor man's meta-analysis and say, well, basically every
00:55:53.640
major country says these vaccinations are worth it. That doesn't mean they are. But at least
00:56:02.720
it's sort of a poor man's meta-analysis that everything seems to be pointing in the same
00:56:07.080
direction. Take, for example, the fake news always, whenever it's wrong, it's wrong against
00:56:14.300
conservatives. Again, that's not a coincidence. Right? So you could not know anything about any
00:56:22.080
individual story that's fake news and be uncertain whether it's true or not. But you can certainly
00:56:27.300
see the big picture. That if it's fake, it's going to be bad for conservatives, basically.
00:56:34.320
All right. You, the uninformed prole, aren't qualified to research or analyze your facts. Scott
00:56:46.300
is, though. So somebody on Locals is saying that I'm saying that I think they're characterizing
00:56:53.600
me as saying that I'm qualified to look into stuff and research it, but you're not. Is that
00:56:59.180
the way you're hearing? Is anybody else hearing that? Does anybody hear me say that, oh, no,
00:57:04.900
unlike you, I can tell when the data is accurate? No. It's exactly the fucking opposite.
00:57:13.600
If there's anything I could tell you clearly is I can't tell what's real. If you think you can,
00:57:20.140
you're fucked up. All right. You're fucked up. If you think you can read any of this pandemic data
00:57:27.340
and know what's true and what isn't, you're just fucked up. All right. Which is not to say that
00:57:35.560
you won't get some right. You will get some right by chance. You're dismissive of the data as an
00:57:42.020
average. Correct. I'm dismissive of the data on average. Crowder made a good point. Obvious,
00:57:49.520
but scared people are controllable people. Yeah. Scared people are controllable people.
00:57:54.580
Have you seen what's happening in Gibraltar? No. Oh, oh, oh. You paid $10 to tell me that I should
00:58:04.120
look at data and believe it? Really? Are you hearing anything I'm saying? You paid $10 and you thought
00:58:14.880
you would convince me with your one anecdote about one country that probably has bad data
00:58:19.960
and Gibraltar. Here's what you should take away from the Gibraltar. So Gibraltar is almost all
00:58:27.940
vaccinated and they're still having problems. Here's what you should take away from the Gibraltar data.
00:58:35.340
Nothing. The moment you think that some data that agrees with you is right, you're lost.
00:58:42.420
None of it is believable. Some of it is right, but none of it is credible. So the moment you say some
00:58:50.260
of this data is credible, you're into dream world. You're just hallucinating because none of it is.
00:58:57.700
All right. And by far, it's the exceptions that are the least believable. So of all the data that's
00:59:05.440
not believable, if any of it is the exception, that is the least believable of an unbelievable
00:59:12.080
bunch. So anything you want to say about Sweden is unbelievable. Anything about Israel, unbelievable,
00:59:18.340
extra unbelievable. And anything about Gibraltar is extra unbelievable. So your examples are the
00:59:24.900
most unbelievable of a category which is unbelievable by its nature. All right. Well, do you think the
00:59:34.160
vax rate data is wrong or the case rate data is wrong? So Robin is asking me what specifically
00:59:40.840
I think is wrong with the data in Gibraltar? It's fucking data. I don't know how I can make
00:59:50.120
this more clear. See, maybe I can do it on the whiteboard. Because for some reason, I'm having
00:59:59.300
trouble communicating this concept. Oh, let me get rid of this. I think this was an idea
01:00:08.800
that I decided not to do. Too controversial. All right. So I'm going to try to clarify this
01:00:22.620
point. Can you all see me? All right. So if it's data, if it's data, it's equal to, now this is going
01:00:38.860
to be an equation. So you're not all going to be able to follow the math. So if it's data,
01:00:45.560
it's equal to a big pile of steaming bullshit. Now I'll put some flies around here because I don't
01:00:59.020
want you to be confused. There's some flies. All right. Steaming bullshit right here. Now I didn't draw
01:01:10.960
the cow. Now you could use this filter to answer a lot of your specific questions. And let me do that
01:01:18.960
for you. Scott, what do you think about the data from Gibraltar? Let me see. Well, let me run it
01:01:27.460
through the filter. It's data. So it's equal to steaming pile of bullshit. So the Gibraltar data
01:01:40.660
is unreliable. What about Israel? Good point. I got a good point here. What about the data from
01:01:48.060
Israel? Well, let's run it through the filter. See what comes out. It's data. So it's equal to
01:01:57.540
steaming pile of fucking bullshit. Steaming pile of fucking bullshit. Now let's do one more because
01:02:05.140
I don't, I know some of you are not following it. What about the data from Sweden? Sweden.
01:02:12.240
Sweden. Well, it's data. It's equal to fucking bullshit. Now, if anybody didn't understand
01:02:24.420
the algorithm, there might be somebody in your circle who can explain it to you better.
01:02:30.680
All right. Well, maybe I made my point. But I know somebody out here is still going to
01:02:43.120
ask me, but what about this data? But what about the CDC? All right. That's all I got for
01:02:49.100
today. And I will talk to you maybe later today or maybe tomorrow.
01:02:54.040
is I don't understand in which data of Israel is BS, the vaccination data or the infection rate.
01:03:05.720
Should I answer this question? Let me answer this question. It says, I don't understand which data
01:03:10.820
in Israel is the BS. Are you talking about the vaccination rate or the infection rate? Well,
01:03:15.480
let's run it through the filter. We'll see the vaccination rate. Well, that's data.
01:03:24.040
And then that would be equal to, if I'm doing this right, steaming pile of fucking bullshit.
01:03:32.400
Okay. So that was the, that's the vaccination rate. But if we looked at the infection rate,
01:03:37.180
which is completely different. So let's run that through the filter too. So that would be a data.
01:03:43.480
And then how does this work again? Can somebody remind me how this algorithm works? It's a,
01:03:53.060
oh, I got it. I got it. I got it. It's data. So it's equal steaming pile of fucking bullshit.
01:03:59.880
Now I'll, I'll read your comments to see if there are anybody else who has any, uh, any more
01:04:04.580
questions. Okay. Okay. Okay. Yeah. I think, I think we're getting very close to making the point.
01:04:14.320
Very close. All right. That's all for today. I will talk to you tomorrow.