Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1579 Scott Adams： Today's Show Will Be Epic. You Might Love Me or Hate Me After We're Done

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to what will surely be the highlight of your entire life,

00:00:11.400 if not a highlight of civilization itself. Yeah, it's called Coffee with Scott Adams,

00:00:16.120 and I don't think anything has ever been better. I know you like sunshine and money and all those

00:00:22.440 things, but really they pale in comparison to what we're about to experience here,

00:00:26.160 and we can take it up another notch. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a gel,

00:00:31.140 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:39.500 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes

00:00:44.760 everything better except the vaccination. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.

00:00:52.100 Oh, I was wrong. I'm sorry. I was wrong. It made the vaccination better too. Oh, I'm not saying

00:01:01.380 you should take it. I'm just saying it makes everything better. Satan, he got a little bit

00:01:06.620 better when we took that sip. So it's really everything. Well, let's talk about the news.

00:01:13.460 Now, because we live in a simulation and the creator of this simulation clearly has a sense of humor,

00:01:18.960 we can look for this sense of humor in many things that we think are coincidence, but really it's

00:01:25.920 just a simulation having a sense of humor. For example, on the trending news column today on Twitter,

00:01:32.820 two stories that seem to be unrelated, or are they, were lumped together completely by chance.

00:01:40.300 The following titles appeared right next to each other. Number one, Toobin. So there's some news

00:01:49.020 about Jeffrey Toobin. And number two, a story that says sperm is being used to make dishware.

00:01:57.460 Now, I don't know that those two stories are connected, but my first thought was I don't think

00:02:04.180 Toobin can handle that kind of volume. That's my only question. I don't know if he can handle the

00:02:11.480 volume. The most unusual thing that could ever happen in the history of the universe

00:02:19.120 happened recently. Listen to this. You won't believe this. This is one of those things you

00:02:27.140 would say to yourself, well, that could never happen. And here's what it is. Ben Shapiro admitted

00:02:38.260 he was defeated in a debate. What? Have you ever, did you ever think that was going to happen?

00:02:48.400 Now, it turns out it was kind of a special case. So it wasn't so much a straight up debate.

00:02:53.560 But here's what happened, apparently. So Ben Shapiro himself admits he just got destroyed

00:02:59.420 in the debate. But it wasn't so much a point by point thing, but rather he was being interviewed

00:03:06.280 by someone he didn't know, who he misinterpreted to be showing the antagonism of a political leftist.

00:03:16.040 So believing that he was being sort of set up and attacked by somebody who was just a lefty,

00:03:25.360 he reacted as though that's who he was talking to. And, you know, I think he ended it before he was

00:03:31.140 done and blah, blah, blah. So it seemed more like it was a hit piece. And then I guess Ben Shapiro just

00:03:37.780 reacted as though he had been invited to a sabotage. But it turns out it wasn't. It turns out it's just an

00:03:44.680 interviewer who asked hard questions. He wasn't a leftist at all. And so Ben, I give him total credit

00:03:51.560 for in defeat, he's a winner anyway. That's right. In defeat, meaning he admits he lost the interaction.

00:04:01.260 But by being smart and admitting that he lost and why, he wins. So believe it or not, he actually

00:04:14.140 won by losing. That's a real thing. This actually happened. Imagine being so good at debating that

00:04:20.540 you can lose and still win. That's how good Ben Shapiro is. All right. This is part of my series

00:04:26.380 that I call Humans Are Horrible. Humans Are Horrible. That includes you. Yeah, you're human. 0.98

00:04:35.380 Includes me too. Because we're going to find entertainment in tragedy. Not all of you, but some

00:04:43.900 of you will find some entertainment in tragedy. And that means that you're horrible people. 0.99

00:04:48.860 Well, here's the story. Anti-vaccine Christian broadcaster, somebody named Marcus Lamb. That's 0.94

00:04:57.760 right. There's a Christian broadcaster whose last name is Lamb. Marcus Lamb. Is that a real

00:05:06.000 name? Can somebody tell me if he was born with the name Lamb? You know, because Lamb, Christ,

00:05:13.000 right? You all know your Bible stuff. Was that really his name? That's just a coincidence,

00:05:20.280 right? I don't know. My mom just confirmed name. We're all lambs. Okay. By the way, that's

00:05:30.260 his name, but that's not the story. The story is that he was an anti-vaccine crusader and he

00:05:38.840 just died of COVID. Now, of course, the news is dancing all over this because it's another way

00:05:45.000 that they can promote vaccinations. So the left is being very, very bad. Very, very bad. And seems

00:05:55.860 to be enjoying the death of this person because he's a political opponent that they think did bad

00:06:01.640 things. Now, here's the thing that is most alarming to me. He was exactly my age and it looked like

00:06:09.940 he's in good shape, at least the recent pictures. He didn't have any obesity problem that was

00:06:16.480 apparent in any pictures. 64 years old and he looked like a young 64. He looks like he took care of

00:06:24.540 himself. Now, apparently he did take ivermectin and vitamin D and I think hydroxychloroquine too,

00:06:33.320 maybe. I'm not sure about that last one, but he died anyway. Now, as I tweeted, and a lot of you

00:06:41.500 know, I'm not a believer personally, but I have a great respect for religion because I think it helps

00:06:48.540 people in a whole variety of ways. So I'm very pro-religion, I'm just not personally a believer.

00:06:55.820 But somebody has to tell me here, because I'm not a believer, so I don't know how these things work.

00:07:01.220 Does God ever express an opinion of this directly? Anybody? When you see something like this,

00:07:09.320 do you say to yourself, well, that's a sign from God? Or do you say, no, you can't tell what God is

00:07:15.160 thinking? You know, he's mysterious. Things happen for various reasons and doesn't mean it's a sign

00:07:22.180 from God. Well, let me ask you this. If this had gone the other way, would you think it was a sign

00:07:29.760 from God? In other words, if the direction of this story was one that you expected or believed or

00:07:36.720 wanted to be true, would you have said, well, that's a sign from God. That's a pretty clear sign

00:07:42.560 from God. I'm seeing those. Very good. Very good. Now, I'm not sure you know, I'm not sure you're all

00:07:52.600 right about that. But the fact that you're all aware that you would not treat it as meaningful,

00:07:58.500 no matter which way it went, is a very encouraging sign. We're going to talk about critical thinking

00:08:04.000 in a moment, but so far, I'm impressed. Okay. So people are horrible, but apparently not the people

00:08:09.500 watching this live stream, because many of you are beautiful and smart and unusually sexy. I don't

00:08:16.240 know if you've noticed that, the people who watch this live stream. If you meet somebody else who

00:08:21.100 watches the live stream, just check them out. Extra sexy. I don't know why. It doesn't even matter

00:08:26.900 what they look like. But there's just some kind of animal magnetism that comes out of people who

00:08:32.860 watch this show, and I can't explain it. China's birth rate looks like it's in decline. They just

00:08:41.560 registered the lowest birth rate since it's been recorded. Wow. What is behind that? If you had to

00:08:52.040 guess, and I'm sure smart people have weighed in on this, what is behind China's low birth rate?

00:08:59.260 What do you think? Because the government doesn't want them to have a low birth rate. 0.99

00:09:06.100 Economic growth? Yeah, whenever the economy improves, birth rate goes down, especially if

00:09:12.020 you don't have immigration. So answer me a question. We have so many smart people watching

00:09:18.960 this. Somebody will know this. Would the birth rate in the United States, or let's say the population

00:09:24.000 decline, would the population be declining in the United States if we didn't have immigration?

00:09:29.240 Anybody? Anybody? Would the population in the United States be declining if we didn't

00:09:36.420 have immigration? I see only yeses. Do we know that? Do we know that for sure? I see one 0.98

00:09:45.040 no, but almost all, well, a few no's. Some people are not sure. Yeah, it might be close. Well,

00:09:52.200 almost everybody's saying yes. I think we've got 95% yeses. So, I don't know. Some of you do

00:09:58.480 say no. So, I'm going to say it's not settled, but it looks like there's definitely some correlation

00:10:05.000 going on there. All right. Here's what I think. I'm just going to put this out there. Do Chinese 1.00

00:10:14.340 parents want to bring a child into a police state? Is that a thing? You know, can we identify

00:10:23.260 that when the government is the most repressive, the birth rate goes down? Is that a thing? I don't

00:10:31.280 know if that's a thing. I mean, one would assume. So, Buzz is saying this might be mind reading.

00:10:39.940 No, speculation is fine. Mind reading is when you're sure you see something in there. If you

00:10:45.480 say, I wonder what people are thinking, and you speculate that it might be this and for this

00:10:49.840 reason, that's perfectly fair. But the moment I think I know I see it, well, that's mind

00:10:55.860 reading, right? And then you're in crazy town. But speculating is fine. Well, I would think,

00:11:03.560 based on everything I know about human beings and economics, that people would make their

00:11:10.220 decision at least a little bit based on what they're bringing into the world. Now, you are

00:11:14.980 aware that there are a number of people afraid of climate change in the United States who don't

00:11:20.080 want to bring a child into the world, right? Are you aware of that? How many of you knew

00:11:24.280 that that's becoming a thing? People who don't want to have kids because of climate change?

00:11:29.960 Well, if climate change would cause birth rates to change, and I think this is more anecdotal,

00:11:36.140 you know, the part about climate change causing people to have fewer babies, I think that's only

00:11:43.220 anecdotal. But we're seeing it. I mean, it's a thing. I don't know if it's more of a thing than

00:11:49.000 the people having extra babies, but it's a thing. So why wouldn't, if it's a thing for some people,

00:11:55.440 and we know that, because we can talk to the actual people who have that opinion, why wouldn't it be

00:12:00.780 true in China? I mean, people are people when it comes to stuff like that. Yeah. But here's the

00:12:08.980 other possibility. You ready for this? I'm going to blow your frickin' mind right now. There's one

00:12:16.600 other possibility. It's us. The United States. Because don't you believe that all the major

00:12:26.120 countries have persuasion campaigns going against their competitors? If they don't, they should.

00:12:34.320 Don't you think that China and Russia are trying to influence American opinions? Probably.

00:12:41.660 What would be a way to destroy China in the long run? To persuade them not to have babies. 1.00

00:12:48.720 Could somebody in the United States, let's say an intelligence organization, could they, or would

00:12:57.020 they, have the ability or the power to persuade Chinese citizens to have fewer babies as a long

00:13:03.900 run plan to destroy China's growth? The answer is yes, emphatically. Now, I have no evidence that

00:13:12.920 anything like that's happening. I just want you to know that if we wanted to do that, and

00:13:18.660 if the United States intelligence agencies brought the right people into the mix, they probably

00:13:25.820 could reduce the birth rate in any country they wanted. Do you believe me? How many think

00:13:32.300 that's a reasonable thing to say? That a country could influence another country to change their

00:13:39.540 birth rate? I see some no's. I've seen lots of no's. A mix of yeses and no's. So you're pretty

00:13:49.700 mixed on this one. I see some absolutely's, some yeses, some no's. All right. So it's unknowable,

00:13:58.400 I guess, you know, by its nature, since we haven't done it, and we haven't done a randomized control test.

00:14:03.500 I would agree it's unknowable. But I would tell you from my personal decades of experience as a trained

00:14:12.820 hypnotist and an influencer, it would be in the easier category of things to do. Some things are really

00:14:20.880 hard to persuade. This would not be. You could, you could move 10% of a population if you tried

00:14:28.200 pretty hard. And 10% might be a lot, right? It might make the difference between growth and not

00:14:33.520 growth. All right. So I have no reason to believe that's happening, but I'd be surprised if it isn't,

00:14:39.640 because it's such an obvious play. All right. I've heard that the birth rate in China is getting so bad

00:14:48.480 that the government is actually considering not murdering dissidents and selling their organs.

00:14:53.220 That's how bad it is. So keep an eye on that. The Supreme Court is looking at an abortion case 1.00

00:15:01.980 that I have to admit, I'm a little bit surprised. I didn't expect that even with the changes in the

00:15:11.800 Supreme Court, that Roe versus Wade would be this threatened. And again, I'm not giving you any

00:15:18.420 opinions on Roe versus Wade. I abstain from that because I don't have babies and never have. So

00:15:26.660 to me, women can work that out. The rest of you men can certainly weigh in. I have no objections to

00:15:31.880 men weighing in. Of course, it's a democracy. It's only my personal decision not to have an opinion on

00:15:37.200 that. But Mississippi is arguing to keep their ban on abortions after 15 weeks, which would

00:15:46.720 effectively, you know, come close to banning abortions in the state. And the Supreme Court decided to look

00:15:54.120 at it. So I didn't expect that. Now, I remember telling you that you shouldn't, not you, but people

00:16:10.020 probably should not predict that Roe versus Wade would fall because any state that got rid of it

00:16:15.740 would no longer be competitive. In other words, you couldn't attract top talent to your state

00:16:21.680 if something like half of them said, I'm not going there because of that abortion stuff.

00:16:27.460 So I predicted that it wouldn't be sweeping the country, you know, banning abortion because it 0.51

00:16:34.380 would make your state uncompetitive. But Mississippi was never competitive in the first place.

00:16:42.480 So I'm not sure that my prediction made any sense. You know, if you're talking about,

00:16:47.660 you know, one of the bigger states, you know, you can make that argument. But I'm not sure Mississippi

00:16:53.760 even cares. You know, it's not like they're tearing it up to be the next tech hub. So I will revise

00:17:02.880 my opinion. And I would say it's looking slightly more like Roe versus Wade will fall or at least

00:17:09.540 be constrained so much in some states. You know, obviously the red states, the blue states will

00:17:15.120 stay the same. But this is one of those things that's really going to make that red state, blue

00:17:19.580 state thing, which is already bad, you know, the division. It's going to make it pretty different.

00:17:26.540 And I've also argued that the United States would never separate. I mean, you can't say never

00:17:32.820 in a thousand years, but no time soon do you have to worry about, you know, some part of the United

00:17:38.540 States separating from some other part. But then I saw this abortion thing and I thought, what happens

00:17:44.440 if all the red states ban abortion and all the blue states don't? That feels like that would be the

00:17:52.400 first time that there's like a really significant, you know, choose your country kind of situation

00:17:58.220 there. I'm still going to predict we're not going to separate while I'm alive, you know, during my

00:18:04.440 lifetime. But this definitely makes it more likely, it looks like. And I'll be interested to see how the

00:18:12.420 court rules. I don't even have a prediction on that. Remember I told you to follow the money even when

00:18:17.400 it doesn't make sense. You know, you can predict the future by looking at who's going to make money

00:18:22.260 and how. And I told you I added something to that. Now, everybody knows that, right? Follow the

00:18:28.580 money. It's the most basic thing that every adult knows. Oh, somebody's making money. That's why

00:18:34.420 everything's happening. But I'm going further than that. I'm adding something to that, which is that even

00:18:40.280 when there's no mechanism, this seems obvious for why money should make the decision different, it always

00:18:48.360 does, even when there's no reason. I'm not sure it's causation or coincidence. But if you simply predict that

00:18:56.840 whatever the money suggests is going to happen, you're going to be right most of the time. Let me give you an

00:19:02.640 example. Moderna and Pfizer have announced that they're already looking at Omicron specific vaccines.

00:19:10.280 So, do you think that there will be someday a big push, I don't know if it'll be mandatory, but a big

00:19:18.560 push to get you a second kind of vaccine, one for the regular one and one for the Omicron? Yes. Yes.

00:19:30.240 And it doesn't matter if the science makes sense. It doesn't matter if there's nobody in it for the

00:19:35.840 money. Well, yeah, which would be hard to imagine. But even if no one was in it for the money, and you

00:19:42.040 could put a, you know, lie detector on them and read their minds, and there was just nothing in there

00:19:47.060 about money, it's still going to go the way of the money, right? Now, let me extend that.

00:19:55.340 Take every mystery and inconsistency you know about COVID from the official data. Is there one thing

00:20:07.480 that would explain all of it? Is there one thing that would explain everything that's happened that

00:20:14.360 we've observed with the coronavirus? I see corruptions, I see money, I see China, and I see vitamin D. 0.55

00:20:27.280 Which one of those explains everything we see? All right, from those choices, which one controls

00:20:38.080 everything? Which one would explain everything? Money? Some say money would explain everything.

00:20:46.420 I'm going to give money and vitamin D both an A, because they work together in this case. So I think

00:20:54.060 money is the right answer, but vitamin D has to be in the mix for the money part to make sense.

00:21:01.800 Because when we look at what countries are having good and bad results, I told you there was a study

00:21:07.080 recently that showed there was a perfect correlation, or very high correlation for vitamin D. You know,

00:21:12.920 people with good vitamin D did better than the others. Now, what explains Africa? Well, they're younger, 1.00

00:21:22.200 they're less obese, there's that. But I've got a feeling it's going to turn out to be vitamin D,

00:21:27.880 spending more time in the air. I also think ventilation is going to be one of the biggest

00:21:32.160 variables that we didn't talk about enough. Can somebody answer this question for me?

00:21:37.840 In most of Africa, so it's sort of a general statement, do they keep the windows open indoors

00:21:46.120 all the time? Can anybody answer that question? In Africa, when you're indoors, are the windows open all 1.00

00:21:55.520 the time? Yes, because no OC, one would assume. Because it never gets cold there, right? So don't they

00:22:08.560 just leave the windows open all the time? If they have windows? I think even in the cities,

00:22:15.760 they leave the windows open, do they not? So obviously, they would have some air conditioning

00:22:21.480 in the cities. But I think even in the cities, there would be a lot of windows open.

00:22:26.240 North Africa gets very cold, somebody says.

00:22:28.460 Yeah, I think vitamin D and ventilation are going to be the two of the biggest variables that made a

00:22:40.280 difference. But you can't make any money on opening windows. And you can't make any money. I mean, if

00:22:46.920 you're big pharma, you can't make any money on a generic vitamin. So I think money is going to be

00:22:53.260 explaining everything, but not without also vitamin D, and not also without ventilation indoors.

00:23:01.760 I think indoor ventilation is just going to be the thing along with vitamin D. And then the reason

00:23:08.620 that we're not all completely informed that those things are the big variables would be,

00:23:15.040 what would keep us from being informed that indoor ventilation and vitamin D are really the biggest

00:23:20.900 factors? Money. The money. Right? That's what would keep you from being informed. Now,

00:23:28.620 I've drawn a picture that I cannot tell you is true. Right? I'm not going to tell you that vitamin D

00:23:37.760 will make you invulnerable from... I'm not going to tell you that supplementing would make you

00:23:43.960 invulnerable. Right? I do think that having good vitamin D levels are positively correlated with

00:23:49.660 good health in every possible way. Or in most possible ways, including coronavirus. But that's

00:23:55.420 different than, you know, supplements will help you. I think they might. Good chance. But I think

00:24:01.280 we're not quite there to know that scientifically. However, if you put money, vitamin D, and indoor

00:24:07.580 ventilation together, I think they explain every inconsistency. Am I right? Can anybody give me a

00:24:16.920 mystery about the coronavirus that's not explained by one of those variables? Thank you, Brian. I

00:24:25.380 appreciate that. Just being thinner works. Do you think that weight is the variable that kind of

00:24:38.580 explains it all? Because actually, that's a good point. Because if you're seeing that our governments

00:24:44.120 are not encouraging us to get healthy? I mean, not really. I mean, they may have mentioned it a few

00:24:50.480 times. But where is your government telling you to get fit? The most basic thing you'd say. Well,

00:24:57.860 nobody makes money from that. Right? So almost every inconsistency and mystery of why anything's

00:25:06.220 happening the way it is seems to be explained by just a few variables that nobody makes money on.

00:25:14.120 All right. Doesn't mean it's true. It just means that it's a hypothesis that fits all the

00:25:20.160 observations. San Francisco is hoping to have a good holiday season and sell a lot in the retail

00:25:29.460 stores, which is being somewhat hindered by the fact that the windows are boarded up because of all

00:25:35.920 the smash and grab robberies. If you go into Union Square, which is sort of the high-end shopping part of

00:25:43.140 San Francisco, the windows are boarded up. Can you imagine going to a festive shopping excursion

00:25:51.480 into a place with boarded windows? Oh, my God. The whole city is ruined, in my opinion. And

00:26:00.820 police union leaders are blaming the ACLU for essentially making it possible for all the smash

00:26:08.020 and grab robberies to be unpunished. And I ask you this question. This is an experience

00:26:15.540 that a lot of people in the cities are going to have. They're going to go shopping. They're going

00:26:21.980 to find out that it's so criminally, there's so much crime that they can't even go shopping the way

00:26:28.500 they used to. And I ask this question. How bad would you have to be as a Republican candidate

00:26:36.340 to lose an election in 2022 or 2024? I feel like you would have to be the worst politician in the

00:26:44.720 world to lose in this context. And, you know, I know that sounds like hyperbole, but how in the world

00:26:54.300 could you lose? I mean, really? You would have to be just awful to lose an election in this context.

00:27:04.060 One way you could do it is just stick to your far-right opinions and just never budge. I mean,

00:27:09.500 that could lose you the election, sure. But if you had any, like, political savvy,

00:27:15.600 you would go soft on your, you know, your right-leaning stuff a little bit, and you could

00:27:22.280 win any blue state you wanted, any blue election. I'm pretty sure if, you know, if I didn't have my

00:27:29.460 baggage of my history, I'm pretty sure I could enter any blue state election as a Republican

00:27:36.540 and win the election. Except for, you know, people would dig into my history and find out about all my

00:27:45.400 massive crimes and whatnot. Anyway, so if you see a Republican losing an election,

00:27:54.860 that is a really a bad, bad candidate, in my opinion. It'd have to be a real exception.

00:28:02.480 All right, there's another school shooting. I'm not going to talk about any of the details. I'm not

00:28:06.260 even going to tell you where it was, because it's just, I don't want to encourage this stuff.

00:28:09.960 But I have an opinion that school shootings are mostly caused by social media.

00:28:15.400 Now, right away, your critical thinking should say, and that would be correct. You should say

00:28:23.980 something like that. You should be saying something like, wait a minute, there are lots of causes for

00:28:29.060 that. There's not one cause. Nothing has one cause. You are correct. Nothing has one cause.

00:28:36.740 Remember that, because we're going to talk about it again today. Nothing has one cause. Sometimes

00:28:42.680 there's the last straw. But the last straw is not the heavy one. It's just the last one. It's just the

00:28:50.160 last thing that happened. So the way our limited brains are organized, we think the last thing that

00:28:54.820 happened is the cause. No, it's probably just the last thing that happened. And it's, you know,

00:29:00.120 random like that. So like with coronavirus, is it the coronavirus that's killing you if you have

00:29:07.160 five comorbidities and you're 100 years old? Well, that's what the documents are going to say.

00:29:15.780 But no, all of that stuff had to happen for you to die. Coronavirus was just the last straw.

00:29:21.480 So, you know, keep that in mind. Whenever we talk about the cause of anything, it's never really

00:29:29.040 the cause. It's just sort of the last thing that happened that triggered it. So there are triggers,

00:29:34.560 no pun intended. And in my opinion, the trigger and sort of the last thing that will happen before

00:29:41.960 somebody, at least a student, starts shooting, is social media bullying. And here's my hypothesis.

00:29:50.520 The hypothesis is that in the past, people were bullied in person, and that was pretty bad.

00:29:58.300 Being bullied in person is really bad for you. But it was a small group and it was private.

00:30:06.360 Have you ever seen the movie Carrie by Stephen King? Have you ever seen that? In the movie Carrie,

00:30:14.540 there's a young girl who, you know, ends up killing a lot of people. But the trigger for it

00:30:21.560 was not all of the bullying that happened, you know, sort of on the baseline. It was that she got

00:30:27.220 humiliated in public, in front of a big crowd. So it was the public part that turned Carrie from

00:30:34.720 an angry, bullied person into a mass murderer. Now, that was a movie, so don't take too much for movies.

00:30:41.920 But I think that it's the public part of it, the social media part of it, that has taken the high

00:30:52.880 school bullying to the Carrie level. And that under this scenario, it should produce lots of carries.

00:31:01.500 People who have been bullied to the point where, you know, they're at their breaking point,

00:31:05.720 but then it becomes a social media thing. And then they break. Because once it's public,

00:31:11.800 you don't have anything to live for, do you? If you're a student, and you are publicly shamed,

00:31:18.520 so there's no place you can go because they've already heard of you,

00:31:21.960 it's not going to feel like you have anything to live for. All right? Now, you do, and nobody should

00:31:28.380 kill themselves over bullying in school. Because if you get out of school, everything gets better.

00:31:32.600 So just sort of last, you know, wait it out would be my advice. But you can certainly predict it,

00:31:38.700 and you can certainly understand it. And in my opinion, social media should be regulated like

00:31:44.480 alcohol and firearms, because it has a similar risk for young people. Let's see in the comments how

00:31:51.180 many of you would agree that social media has a risk profile that's at least as dangerous as alcohol

00:31:59.380 and firearms and cigarettes. Same class, wouldn't you say? Because one is, you know, the others are more

00:32:07.660 of a physical health problem, whereas the social media is a mental health problem, but it's a massive

00:32:13.620 problem. Massive problem. So mostly yeses. Now, of course, you know, most of us are over 21,

00:32:24.320 so it's easy for us to say we'll regulate other people. We're all in favor of regulating other

00:32:30.720 people. We just don't like to regulate ourselves. Somebody says not firearms. Yeah, I think you can

00:32:36.920 make an argument for a younger age for firearms. In some cases, yes. All right. Chris Cuomo was suspended

00:32:46.480 from CNN from the new information about the extent to which he was helping his brother,

00:32:54.540 the governor, who was accused of sexual improprieties. And when you see that Chris Cuomo

00:33:00.880 is suspended, of course, you know that Fox will be enjoying this. But there was a Fox headline

00:33:08.420 that I just laughed because I love this little rivalry between CNN and Fox. And if you say you

00:33:17.960 don't enjoy that, I don't know. You have to enjoy that, don't you? I mean, I enjoy it in both

00:33:23.280 directions, watching the back and forth. It's very entertaining, and I like that both of them do it

00:33:29.780 because it's a way to be a check on the other, I guess, the excesses of the other. But here was Fox's

00:33:36.020 headline about it, about Chris Cuomo being suspended. And this is so diabolically humorous

00:33:41.460 without going over the top. Just listen to how funny this is coming from Fox News.

00:33:49.320 Quote, CNN punishes its only star. Come on, you have to appreciate the headline from Fox News,

00:34:00.260 you know, being like a way to prod the competitor. CNN punishes its only star. 0.98

00:34:09.700 What makes Chris Cuomo their only star?

00:34:17.160 Now, I understand he has the highest ratings, but that might have to do with the time slot, right?

00:34:22.340 He's clearly not their only star. But the fact that Fox frames this as CNN only has one star,

00:34:32.740 and he just, he had to be fired for bad behavior.

00:34:39.380 Oh, that's funny. Anyway, I continue to support most of what Chris Cuomo did for his brother,

00:34:47.820 for the same reason that CNN kept him on until now, which is that people helping their brother,

00:34:55.660 you know, you just, you just got to be understanding of that, right? You know, that's just a special case.

00:35:02.020 But he may have gone too far. That's what the new information suggests. So that's what they're looking at.

00:35:07.040 And I think it's responsible for them to suspend him at this point. It's just good for the brand, I think.

00:35:12.620 But here's what we've learned about the Jeffrey Toobin situation, and now the Chris Cuomo thing.

00:35:20.740 If you put it all together, we've learned that CNN will keep you employed. 0.99

00:35:26.740 You can be a dick, like Don Lemon. You can yank your dick, like Toobin. 1.00

00:35:33.600 But you can't help your brother if your brother's a dick. 1.00

00:35:36.160 So that, we now know the standard. You can't be a dick, but you can yank your dick, 1.00

00:35:42.640 and you can't help your brother if he's a dick. So that's sort of the dick rule at CNN. 1.00

00:35:47.960 And they're very consistent about that. I'll give them the credit.

00:35:51.060 There's Reuters Fact Check, in which,

00:35:56.000 in which, apparently, it's a video of Jill Biden reading to children,

00:36:01.760 and some wag added, layered on some extra video of a child who, quote,

00:36:11.700 appears to shout a profanity towards the U.S. First Lady.

00:36:17.740 Now, have any of you heard the video? I haven't heard it.

00:36:21.200 Because, you know, the fact checkers don't show the video.

00:36:24.400 But, every time somebody, I assume this is, you know, somebody on the political right did this,

00:36:34.280 but every time somebody on the right doctors a video, it just makes me so happy.

00:36:39.620 Because every time the left sees that a video has been doctored,

00:36:44.300 it should give them a little bit of, just a slight little grain of salt hesitation

00:36:51.840 about the videos that they believe.

00:36:55.680 Because they're up to, how many hoaxes have the left believed

00:36:58.520 because they think they saw it on video?

00:37:00.780 Fine People hoax, Covington Kids, the Koi Fish feeding, the Drinking Bleach. 0.88

00:37:08.040 They're all fake videos, meaning that they were edited to reverse their meaning or whatnot.

00:37:13.060 Somebody needs to send me a link to the doctored video

00:37:20.420 because I've got a feeling it's pretty good.

00:37:25.220 Anyway, so Democrats normally didn't get to see all the Rupar videos,

00:37:30.180 but now they're seeing doctored videos and it might make them think that.

00:37:35.180 Well, on the bad news front, war has begun in space, which I was not aware of.

00:37:41.920 It turns out that according to U.S. officials, military officials,

00:37:47.480 Russia and China are attacking our space assets, quote, every single day.

00:37:53.240 Now, I think their attacks are non-kinetic, meaning it's hacking and digital and jamming and stuff like that.

00:38:01.020 But did you know that war in space is already on?

00:38:04.480 And that, you know, China's launched their hypersonic missile and, you know, we're gearing up?

00:38:11.820 Let me give you some bad news.

00:38:15.720 What are most wars about?

00:38:18.960 Go.

00:38:20.200 What are most wars about?

00:38:24.040 Anybody?

00:38:24.920 Land and resources.

00:38:28.960 Mostly land, right?

00:38:30.560 Even more than resources, at least in the modern world.

00:38:33.680 In the old days, it was land and resources.

00:38:36.420 In the modern days, it's mostly land and, you know, yes, resources.

00:38:40.400 You know, Kuwait, for example.

00:38:44.820 Territory, right?

00:38:46.060 You know what the problem is with space?

00:38:49.580 Yeah, you do.

00:38:50.340 It's all new territory.

00:38:53.920 The odds of having a superpower war in space.

00:38:59.740 What are the odds of a superpower war in space?

00:39:04.380 It's 100%.

00:39:05.660 It's 100%.

00:39:07.980 Because while we might not want to start a war terrestrially,

00:39:13.620 because that means that everybody dies,

00:39:16.680 you know, if it becomes nuclear on Earth, everybody dies.

00:39:20.340 But there's a 100% chance we're going to be fighting like crazy in space.

00:39:25.980 Because it's...

00:39:27.420 Here's another one.

00:39:29.620 It's not just territory.

00:39:30.960 It's the high ground.

00:39:32.800 The reason that anybody would conquer any territory

00:39:36.520 that they don't already own in today's world,

00:39:40.340 sometimes resources, but usually defense.

00:39:44.280 They're taking over a neighboring country to bolster their defense.

00:39:48.100 In other words, the high ground, exactly.

00:39:52.760 Golan Heights.

00:39:54.460 What's the importance of the Golan Heights?

00:39:57.080 It's the high ground, right?

00:39:59.640 And space is the ultimate high ground.

00:40:02.800 Because it's hard to shoot things up,

00:40:05.000 but it's easier to shoot things down.

00:40:07.680 And I imagine there'd be a variety of advantages to owning space,

00:40:11.600 especially the satellites, right?

00:40:13.000 Whoever can protect their satellites gets to have a good life on Earth.

00:40:18.520 Whoever can't protect their satellites, they lose.

00:40:23.220 So, yeah, there's going to be war in space,

00:40:26.720 and it looks like it's already started.

00:40:28.160 It's just not kinetic yet.

00:40:29.860 But you know that everybody's working on kinetic weapons for space, right?

00:40:35.520 I mean, how hard would it be to take out a satellite?

00:40:39.180 It seems like you'd need a bullet-sized projectile

00:40:43.320 that had some navigation ability, and that's it.

00:40:46.480 That's all you need.

00:40:48.020 Something the size of, like, a large bullet

00:40:50.360 with some navigation ability.

00:40:53.260 Goodbye satellite.

00:40:54.660 It just has to be launched from space.

00:40:57.840 So you just put it up on your rocket

00:41:01.060 and release it with some instructions,

00:41:04.180 and boom, goodbye satellites.

00:41:06.500 Yeah, that would be possible now.

00:41:08.100 Yeah, we have all the technology to do what I just described.

00:41:12.680 I asked this poll.

00:41:14.140 This is the worst poll I've ever done

00:41:16.320 because, you know, it's the wrong choices,

00:41:18.760 and it's non-scientific and everything else.

00:41:20.940 So don't take too much from this.

00:41:22.660 But I asked,

00:41:23.120 who is most responsible for the January 6th protests at the Capitol?

00:41:27.560 My choices were Trump, fake news, the CIA via Q.

00:41:34.760 All right, that's just sort of a cheeky one.

00:41:37.220 And Congress.

00:41:38.540 Now, some people said I should put the protesters themselves

00:41:41.660 or maybe Nancy Pelosi and Muriel Bowser 0.61

00:41:45.500 for denying the Capitol Police the backup.

00:41:48.700 And those are good things to say.

00:41:50.380 Now, if I put the protesters themselves as one of the choices,

00:41:53.280 it wouldn't be any fun because that would have won, right?

00:41:58.240 I think if you put the protesters themselves,

00:42:01.240 I kind of think they would have had 80% of the vote.

00:42:04.660 That wouldn't tell you anything.

00:42:06.280 So I wanted to see, besides the obvious fact

00:42:08.560 that the people who went there

00:42:10.900 are obviously in charge of their own life,

00:42:15.660 you know, who beyond that?

00:42:16.840 So Trump got, last I looked, about 11% of the votes.

00:42:22.080 Fake news got about 47% as the cause of January 6th.

00:42:27.720 The CIA via Q or QAnon, 24%.

00:42:32.160 And Congress, about 18%.

00:42:35.260 Now, here's my take on it.

00:42:38.440 So I think the public got this right.

00:42:40.880 The biggest result was fake news.

00:42:43.520 I believe that when you say,

00:42:47.220 hey, the protesters are themselves responsible,

00:42:50.300 if you're talking about legal responsibility,

00:42:53.300 100% correct.

00:42:55.960 The people who go there and do the act

00:42:59.160 are legally 100% responsible.

00:43:02.820 Just as I would apply that same standard to Alec Baldwin.

00:43:07.880 Even though he has a perfectly good reason

00:43:10.220 why he did what he did,

00:43:11.360 the armorer was in charge, blah, blah, blah.

00:43:13.860 He's the one who did it, right?

00:43:16.380 He could have checked

00:43:17.560 to make sure he didn't have a live round.

00:43:20.160 He could have not pulled the trigger

00:43:22.180 when it was just rehearsal.

00:43:24.240 You know, there are a lot of things he could have done.

00:43:25.900 So it's the same standard for legal reasons,

00:43:29.600 or in the case of gun control,

00:43:31.980 more of a gun rights or a gun safety reason.

00:43:36.300 But here's my view of the real world.

00:43:38.360 People don't have free will.

00:43:40.460 You're all programmed by outside sources.

00:43:43.520 Including me.

00:43:45.320 All right?

00:43:45.880 If you believe that humans are largely

00:43:47.900 just programmed entities,

00:43:49.720 and the programming is assigned to them

00:43:51.520 from external sources,

00:43:54.200 some of it from their friends,

00:43:55.960 some of it from the media,

00:43:57.260 some of it from the fake news,

00:43:59.340 some of it from social media,

00:44:02.220 that's how I see the world.

00:44:04.220 Now, I'm not asking you to see it the same way.

00:44:06.080 I'm describing a framework or a frame

00:44:10.380 to see the world,

00:44:11.620 and you could say that it's either predictable,

00:44:14.500 it either predicts or it doesn't.

00:44:16.820 So the way to say your worldview is good or not

00:44:19.540 is predict or doesn't predict.

00:44:23.000 And I would say,

00:44:23.780 if you say to yourself,

00:44:25.680 the fake news has programmed people

00:44:28.080 to the point where they distrust

00:44:30.700 the government

00:44:32.660 and the Democrats plus the news entity,

00:44:37.160 which all seems the same at this point,

00:44:40.140 that's a pretty accurate worldview

00:44:42.440 to think that the fake news programmed people

00:44:46.080 to make the choices they made.

00:44:48.700 Now, from a legal perspective,

00:44:50.040 it always has to still be the person who did it

00:44:52.220 and not the person who influenced them.

00:44:54.200 But if you want to understand the world

00:44:56.400 as opposed to assigning blame,

00:44:58.380 which we have to do for practical purposes,

00:45:00.720 if you want to understand the world...

00:45:03.320 OK, that totally worked, Erica.

00:45:10.220 All right.

00:45:11.380 I'm going to now look at the video

00:45:13.220 of Jill Biden being shouted at.

00:45:16.720 Or am I? 1.00

00:45:17.960 Damn it. 1.00

00:45:19.300 Bug. 1.00

00:45:20.720 Just crapped out.

00:45:23.660 All right.

00:45:24.800 Well, thank you.

00:45:28.980 All right.

00:45:29.780 So I blame fake news

00:45:31.920 for programming the public

00:45:33.500 and not just the left,

00:45:35.360 but the right.

00:45:36.000 If the news had ever been real,

00:45:39.700 would there have been a protest?

00:45:42.780 Let me ask you this.

00:45:44.180 Suppose the news had always reported this.

00:45:48.120 The courts have found no fraud,

00:45:50.040 but you have to understand

00:45:51.900 the courts are not the right entity

00:45:53.520 to look for fraud or to find it.

00:45:55.980 They can only judge the things

00:45:57.420 that people have standing for

00:45:59.860 and nobody has standing.

00:46:01.920 And they only accept cases

00:46:03.940 that would make a difference.

00:46:05.300 And if it's after the election,

00:46:06.600 sometimes they say it doesn't make a difference.

00:46:08.100 So if the news had accurately reported

00:46:11.300 that the election system can't be audited fully,

00:46:16.660 it's not an option.

00:46:17.840 We don't have a system that can do that.

00:46:19.820 You can only audit some things,

00:46:22.080 so you'll never really know.

00:46:23.160 If the news had told you that,

00:46:25.820 if it had told you that probably

00:46:27.860 the biggest difference

00:46:29.220 was that the Democrats did a good job

00:46:32.360 of manipulating the election laws

00:46:34.300 because of the pandemic,

00:46:35.760 it was all legal,

00:46:37.480 but they did a good job of it.

00:46:39.200 If the news had told you straight

00:46:41.760 what happened with the election,

00:46:44.360 even if they still criticized Trump

00:46:47.280 for going too far about claiming fraud,

00:46:49.740 even if they completely criticized him,

00:46:53.400 do you think there would have been a protest?

00:46:57.240 I feel like not.

00:46:59.160 Because I feel like the protest is,

00:47:01.040 in large part,

00:47:02.080 and again, lots of different variables

00:47:03.780 and they all had to happen

00:47:04.660 the way they did for it to happen.

00:47:05.980 But I think one of the big variables

00:47:07.280 is that the news isn't real.

00:47:10.120 And that without that safety check,

00:47:13.380 people feel exposed.

00:47:16.180 If you tell me that the news

00:47:17.880 is looking into all the corruption

00:47:20.620 in the government,

00:47:21.960 I say to myself,

00:47:22.880 okay, let them handle it.

00:47:25.720 The news business is going to go

00:47:27.180 find that corruption.

00:47:28.680 They're going to uncover it

00:47:29.880 and then justice will be had.

00:47:32.300 I don't need to get involved.

00:47:34.320 But what if you think the news

00:47:35.540 is colluding with the corruption?

00:47:38.800 Which it is.

00:47:40.140 It legitimately is.

00:47:41.720 I mean, we know that for sure

00:47:43.040 because of the Russia collusion thing.

00:47:45.460 So if you believe that the news

00:47:48.040 has gone corrupt

00:47:49.040 and has joined the corrupt government

00:47:51.580 in their corrupt plans,

00:47:53.820 I think you'd go to the streets.

00:47:56.820 You know, not everybody,

00:47:57.940 but it would be a predictable outcome

00:47:59.660 of fake news.

00:48:01.240 So given that there's no such thing

00:48:02.980 as a cause for anything,

00:48:05.100 calling Trump the cause is absurd,

00:48:07.420 calling anything else from Q 0.62

00:48:10.040 to anything else as the cause

00:48:11.580 is absurd.

00:48:13.320 Let me ask you this.

00:48:14.180 If Congress had a rating

00:48:16.000 over, what, 11% or 13% approval,

00:48:20.020 do you think the people

00:48:21.440 would have marched on the Capitol?

00:48:23.420 Suppose the Congress

00:48:24.540 had a 50% approval.

00:48:28.820 Do you think that people

00:48:30.180 would have marched on the Capitol

00:48:31.800 where the Congress was?

00:48:33.900 I don't think so.

00:48:35.180 I don't think so.

00:48:36.200 I think people would have said,

00:48:37.720 you know, we're really mad.

00:48:39.180 Oh, we're not really mad

00:48:40.000 at those guys.

00:48:41.480 We're really mad at what happened.

00:48:43.060 You know, maybe the election.

00:48:44.840 But not necessarily so mad at Congress.

00:48:48.560 If that had been the case,

00:48:49.520 they wouldn't have been there at all.

00:48:51.320 So all of this,

00:48:52.540 what is the cause of the protest, 1.00

00:48:54.100 is just brainwashing bullshit. 0.99

00:48:56.560 There's no cause. 1.00

00:48:57.840 There's a whole bunch of things

00:48:58.940 that had to happen,

00:48:59.680 including Pelosi and Bowser

00:49:01.620 denying Capitol Police,

00:49:03.120 including the protesters'

00:49:04.320 own personal decisions.

00:49:05.400 But if you're ignoring

00:49:07.040 what is probably

00:49:08.180 the biggest variable,

00:49:10.740 don't do that.

00:49:12.040 Probably the news

00:49:12.900 is the biggest variable.

00:49:14.380 Because we feel exposed

00:49:15.600 and unprotected

00:49:16.520 by not having a legitimate

00:49:18.100 news industry anymore.

00:49:19.500 All right.

00:49:26.900 Let's see what else is happening.

00:49:28.140 Oh, here's some fun.

00:49:29.960 So there was a tweet

00:49:30.840 by somebody named Mike Solana,

00:49:33.280 who has enough followers

00:49:34.640 that I think he must be

00:49:36.080 well-known for something.

00:49:38.600 Maybe investing.

00:49:39.620 His profile says he's

00:49:43.080 the mayor of San Francisco,

00:49:44.360 which he isn't,

00:49:45.040 so I don't know

00:49:45.760 what else to believe on there.

00:49:47.280 But he's somebody

00:49:48.160 of substance, apparently.

00:49:49.740 And I say that only

00:49:50.600 because Elon Musk

00:49:51.600 replied to him.

00:49:53.500 So Mike Solana tweeted this.

00:49:57.200 Seems like we should all

00:49:58.340 be a lot more concerned

00:49:59.340 about the fact that

00:50:00.180 hypnosis is a real thing.

00:50:01.940 Question mark.

00:50:03.140 Mind control, real.

00:50:05.260 Basically.

00:50:06.400 Why does this not matter?

00:50:07.580 Is that a good question?

00:50:10.920 If hypnosis is real,

00:50:13.060 it is,

00:50:14.020 and then mind control is real,

00:50:15.380 shouldn't we be worried

00:50:17.200 about this?

00:50:19.340 Why aren't we?

00:50:21.060 Well, I answered that

00:50:22.420 the best hypnotists

00:50:23.760 are invisible

00:50:24.360 because they operate

00:50:26.560 outside the realm

00:50:27.460 of imagination.

00:50:29.340 If you knew what hypnotists

00:50:31.080 were capable of doing,

00:50:32.820 you could see it.

00:50:35.420 If you don't know

00:50:36.480 what they're capable of doing,

00:50:37.820 it looks like a coincidence.

00:50:40.840 And I gave this example.

00:50:42.500 If I went on live TV

00:50:45.480 and changed the world

00:50:47.340 right in front of you,

00:50:48.840 you would think

00:50:49.840 it was a coincidence.

00:50:52.300 You would.

00:50:53.460 Because your imagination

00:50:54.600 could not hold

00:50:55.920 the possibility

00:50:57.300 that I just changed

00:50:58.260 the world right in front of you.

00:51:00.140 It's just not imaginable.

00:51:02.260 So the best hypnotists

00:51:04.320 are completely invisible.

00:51:05.960 They operate

00:51:06.600 without any attention.

00:51:08.680 I could tell you

00:51:09.440 I could tell you

00:51:10.660 directly what I'm doing

00:51:11.680 and you just can't see it.

00:51:13.480 Unless you're

00:51:14.060 another hypnotist.

00:51:14.880 Other hypnotists

00:51:15.540 can see it pretty easily.

00:51:17.760 So,

00:51:19.340 Elon Musk

00:51:19.880 replied this way

00:51:21.060 about the

00:51:22.740 mind control,

00:51:23.980 et cetera.

00:51:24.520 He said,

00:51:25.000 the overarching problem

00:51:26.060 is that we need

00:51:26.780 better mental firewalls

00:51:28.400 for the information

00:51:29.480 constantly coming at us.

00:51:32.720 Critical and first

00:51:33.720 principle thinking

00:51:34.520 should be required

00:51:35.460 course in middle school.

00:51:36.780 who wrote

00:51:40.540 the software

00:51:41.000 in your head,

00:51:41.580 he says.

00:51:42.040 Are you sure

00:51:42.480 you actually

00:51:42.900 want it there?

00:51:43.900 So this is

00:51:44.600 Elon Musk asking,

00:51:46.460 who wrote

00:51:46.860 the software

00:51:47.480 running in your head?

00:51:48.980 Are you sure

00:51:49.500 you actually

00:51:49.940 want it there?

00:51:51.720 It's the same thing

00:51:52.720 I just told you

00:51:53.540 about the

00:51:55.060 January 6th protests.

00:51:57.520 The people

00:51:58.240 who went there

00:51:58.780 had some software

00:51:59.620 running in their head.

00:52:01.420 Who wrote it?

00:52:04.380 Wasn't them.

00:52:05.080 You don't write

00:52:06.840 your own software.

00:52:09.520 Other people

00:52:10.240 write your software.

00:52:11.880 Always.

00:52:12.760 Elon Musk knows it.

00:52:14.700 I know it.

00:52:17.200 And you're learning it.

00:52:19.820 Some of you

00:52:20.460 are learning it.

00:52:20.940 Some of you knew it.

00:52:22.080 But,

00:52:23.340 what do you think?

00:52:24.460 Should we teach

00:52:25.000 critical thinking

00:52:25.800 and first principles

00:52:26.880 in middle school?

00:52:29.420 I say yes.

00:52:30.920 Good suggestion.

00:52:31.660 But,

00:52:33.820 it is woefully

00:52:34.880 lacking.

00:52:36.940 It's good,

00:52:38.020 but it doesn't

00:52:38.580 come close

00:52:39.200 to what we need.

00:52:40.140 Here's what we need.

00:52:41.980 Here was my response

00:52:43.340 to Elon Musk's comment.

00:52:44.520 I said 75%

00:52:45.460 of the best

00:52:45.940 critical thinkers

00:52:46.920 in America

00:52:47.580 fell for 5 to 10

00:52:50.100 obvious major

00:52:51.360 media hoaxes

00:52:52.360 in the last 5 years

00:52:53.660 and still don't know it.

00:52:57.880 We also need to teach 0.98

00:52:59.200 bullshit detection.

00:53:00.320 That's different. 0.99

00:53:02.040 Bullshit detection

00:53:02.960 is completely different 0.90

00:53:04.240 than critical thinking.

00:53:05.900 Critical thinking

00:53:06.640 would help you,

00:53:07.740 let's say,

00:53:08.720 look at a study claim

00:53:10.400 and see if they,

00:53:11.560 you know,

00:53:11.860 were a randomized

00:53:12.420 controlled trial.

00:53:14.280 You know,

00:53:14.480 you could look at

00:53:15.000 sort of scientific-y things

00:53:16.500 and maybe even legal things

00:53:18.380 and say,

00:53:19.320 okay,

00:53:19.540 that's logical or not.

00:53:20.860 If you're an engineer,

00:53:22.400 you need those

00:53:23.360 critical skills,

00:53:24.400 thinking skills.

00:53:25.640 But,

00:53:26.200 if you're looking

00:53:26.740 at the news,

00:53:28.360 do you think

00:53:28.880 your critical skills

00:53:30.640 are helping you?

00:53:31.660 Let me tell you

00:53:32.740 what the Amazing Randy

00:53:33.900 has claimed.

00:53:36.040 Now,

00:53:36.280 the Amazing Randy

00:53:36.960 is a debunker

00:53:38.000 of fake frauds

00:53:39.300 but also a famous

00:53:40.660 magician himself.

00:53:42.440 And the Amazing Randy

00:53:43.320 says that the easiest

00:53:44.260 people to fool

00:53:45.420 are...

00:53:47.240 do you know the answer

00:53:48.540 to this?

00:53:49.480 The Amazing Randy,

00:53:50.860 a professional magician

00:53:51.940 of note,

00:53:53.300 you know,

00:53:53.500 a famous one,

00:53:54.620 says the easiest

00:53:55.400 people to fool

00:53:56.380 are...

00:53:59.240 scientists.

00:54:02.780 And smart people.

00:54:04.360 Yeah,

00:54:04.540 smart people.

00:54:05.740 Do you know why

00:54:06.300 they're the easiest

00:54:07.160 to fool?

00:54:07.640 because they...

00:54:10.060 if they don't think

00:54:11.500 they know

00:54:12.060 any other answer

00:54:13.220 for what they're

00:54:13.940 observing,

00:54:15.100 they say it must be

00:54:17.060 one of the things

00:54:17.600 they can imagine.

00:54:19.060 So the scientists

00:54:20.060 will look at a situation

00:54:21.360 and say,

00:54:21.680 well,

00:54:22.700 you know,

00:54:22.980 it could be this

00:54:23.600 or it could be this,

00:54:24.720 but those are the only

00:54:25.660 things I can imagine.

00:54:27.260 So it's one of those.

00:54:30.060 You can fool them

00:54:31.020 every time.

00:54:32.300 Because here's the first

00:54:33.260 thing I'd teach

00:54:34.340 somebody that probably

00:54:35.400 is not in your

00:54:36.260 critical thinking course.

00:54:37.540 It should be,

00:54:38.140 but I'll bet it wouldn't be.

00:54:39.900 That your imagination

00:54:41.080 is your limiter.

00:54:43.260 Your imagination.

00:54:44.900 If you can't imagine

00:54:46.300 something,

00:54:46.820 you can't see it.

00:54:48.580 Your imagination

00:54:49.220 doesn't go there.

00:54:50.960 First,

00:54:51.500 your imagination

00:54:52.120 has to accept it.

00:54:53.580 If you can't do that,

00:54:54.480 you're never going

00:54:54.920 to think of it.

00:54:56.920 So the scientist

00:54:57.940 is easy to fool

00:54:58.820 with a magic trick

00:54:59.660 or with a fake psychic.

00:55:02.280 Because they think,

00:55:03.280 well,

00:55:03.660 I've looked at

00:55:04.300 all the possibilities

00:55:05.060 and there's nothing

00:55:05.800 left,

00:55:06.180 but this is a real psychic.

00:55:07.860 Whereas James Randi

00:55:08.860 comes in and says,

00:55:09.600 no,

00:55:09.800 there's a couple

00:55:10.340 of other things

00:55:10.920 you haven't considered

00:55:11.740 and that's why

00:55:13.480 I can debunk them

00:55:14.280 and you can't.

00:55:16.180 Scientists are not

00:55:17.220 the ones who always

00:55:18.140 debunk the frauds.

00:55:21.560 Sometimes it's magicians

00:55:22.880 because they know

00:55:24.080 the tricks.

00:55:25.820 All right.

00:55:27.480 So we need 0.99

00:55:28.220 a bullshit detection 0.98

00:55:29.060 and my book 0.98

00:55:29.900 Loser Think

00:55:30.600 tries to do that.

00:55:31.820 I think that should

00:55:32.320 be required reading

00:55:33.200 in schools.

00:55:35.960 I asked this

00:55:36.740 following,

00:55:37.540 speaking of critical

00:55:38.360 thinking,

00:55:38.980 I will give you

00:55:40.160 a lesson in critical

00:55:41.340 thinking right now.

00:55:42.760 I asked this question

00:55:43.520 on Twitter,

00:55:44.060 how confident are you

00:55:45.140 that your getting

00:55:46.320 vaxxed or not

00:55:47.180 getting vaxxed

00:55:47.740 decision was the

00:55:48.640 correct one for you?

00:55:50.600 Now,

00:55:51.080 key words are

00:55:51.920 for you,

00:55:53.160 right?

00:55:53.520 Forget about

00:55:53.960 the rest of us.

00:55:55.480 Was your vaccination

00:55:56.440 decision the right

00:55:57.380 one for you?

00:55:58.220 So the people

00:55:59.560 who said they're

00:56:00.100 100% confident

00:56:02.160 was 41%

00:56:03.580 last time I checked.

00:56:05.020 41% were 100%

00:56:07.120 confident in their

00:56:07.920 own decision.

00:56:10.420 25% had high

00:56:12.000 confidence,

00:56:13.100 22% medium

00:56:14.380 confidence,

00:56:15.840 and 11% said low.

00:56:18.800 My own would be

00:56:20.380 medium,

00:56:22.900 medium to high.

00:56:25.280 That's how I would

00:56:26.000 have answered it.

00:56:27.520 Here's your critical

00:56:28.620 thinking lesson

00:56:29.920 for today.

00:56:31.420 Most of the people

00:56:32.460 who said they're

00:56:32.980 100% confident

00:56:33.980 do not have

00:56:34.800 critical thinking

00:56:35.640 skills.

00:56:36.120 Some of them

00:56:39.000 were probably

00:56:41.840 already infected.

00:56:43.960 So if they said,

00:56:45.000 oh, I was already

00:56:45.480 infected, therefore I

00:56:46.620 didn't get the

00:56:47.240 vaccination, well,

00:56:48.720 you could be pretty

00:56:49.540 close to 100%

00:56:50.860 sure on that.

00:56:52.400 But I don't think

00:56:53.180 most of these 40% 0.58

00:56:54.300 were necessarily

00:56:55.100 already infected.

00:56:57.760 You could also say,

00:56:58.920 well, there's some

00:56:59.460 people with 10

00:57:00.440 comorbidities, and

00:57:01.600 they're pretty close

00:57:02.300 to 100% sure.

00:57:03.980 But for most of

00:57:04.960 these people who

00:57:05.620 were 100% sure,

00:57:07.400 if you're 100%

00:57:09.180 sure about this,

00:57:11.140 then unless you're

00:57:12.280 one of those

00:57:12.620 special cases,

00:57:13.760 then you don't

00:57:14.580 have basic

00:57:15.420 critical thinking

00:57:16.840 skills.

00:57:17.820 Because this is

00:57:18.440 not the kind of

00:57:19.340 decision that you

00:57:20.720 should be 100%

00:57:21.580 sure of.

00:57:22.500 This is a risk

00:57:23.460 management decision.

00:57:24.900 The moment you

00:57:25.700 think it's binary,

00:57:27.740 you know, where

00:57:28.080 it's one or the

00:57:29.140 other, and it's

00:57:29.640 100%, you have

00:57:33.040 missed a lot of

00:57:33.860 critical thinking

00:57:34.700 training in your

00:57:35.500 life.

00:57:36.620 Now, is that

00:57:37.600 because you're 1.00

00:57:38.060 dumb? 1.00

00:57:39.680 Are the people 1.00

00:57:40.620 who have 100%

00:57:41.560 confidence, and

00:57:42.440 they're not one of

00:57:42.960 those special cases, 1.00

00:57:44.220 are they dumb? 1.00

00:57:46.300 No. 1.00

00:57:47.540 Nope.

00:57:48.740 They are not.

00:57:50.160 They are people

00:57:50.640 who have just not

00:57:51.280 been exposed to a

00:57:52.640 specific skill.

00:57:54.480 You don't learn

00:57:55.360 critical thinking

00:57:56.160 just by waking up

00:57:57.020 in the morning and

00:57:57.720 being all smart.

00:58:00.080 Right?

00:58:00.560 Can anybody

00:58:01.080 confirm that?

00:58:01.740 I don't want to be

00:58:02.320 the only one saying

00:58:03.040 this.

00:58:03.900 Those of you who

00:58:04.820 have gone through

00:58:05.560 some kind of

00:58:06.100 critical thinking

00:58:06.900 training, whether

00:58:07.660 it's economics or

00:58:08.760 whatever it was,

00:58:10.880 can you confirm for

00:58:12.080 me that this is a

00:58:12.920 learned skill?

00:58:13.840 It's not something

00:58:14.400 natural.

00:58:15.800 I mean, natural

00:58:16.360 helps.

00:58:17.620 Natural definitely

00:58:18.240 helps.

00:58:19.100 You'd be naturally

00:58:19.820 smart.

00:58:20.620 But you need to

00:58:21.400 learn technique.

00:58:22.840 And people imagine

00:58:23.760 that they don't need

00:58:24.700 it if they're just

00:58:25.380 sort of good,

00:58:26.260 have good common

00:58:26.940 sense.

00:58:27.980 And so I would

00:58:29.020 say to you that

00:58:29.980 if you answered

00:58:30.600 100%, I'm not

00:58:32.800 going to criticize

00:58:33.400 you for that.

00:58:35.600 So I'm not going

00:58:36.360 to criticize anybody

00:58:37.220 who said 100%,

00:58:38.100 even though I

00:58:38.800 believe it's a

00:58:40.060 pretty strong signal

00:58:41.040 that they haven't

00:58:41.760 studied critical

00:58:42.780 thinking.

00:58:43.500 Because here's the

00:58:44.180 thing.

00:58:45.780 All of us have

00:58:46.700 some gaps in

00:58:47.580 things we've

00:58:48.120 studied.

00:58:49.160 Right?

00:58:49.360 I've got lots

00:58:49.840 of gaps.

00:58:50.960 Tons of them.

00:58:52.540 So if you say,

00:58:53.460 Scott, you don't

00:58:54.100 know about, I

00:58:55.220 don't know,

00:58:55.440 physics?

00:58:55.920 Because you

00:58:57.040 didn't study it.

00:58:57.760 I'm not going

00:58:58.120 to say, oh,

00:58:58.640 you've insulted

00:58:59.260 me for my

00:59:00.040 lack of physics

00:59:00.880 understanding.

00:59:02.420 I'm going to

00:59:02.800 say, well,

00:59:03.320 that's true.

00:59:04.100 I have not

00:59:04.540 studied physics.

00:59:05.840 So I'm saying

00:59:06.640 to you, if you

00:59:07.360 haven't studied

00:59:07.900 critical thinking,

00:59:09.320 you might not

00:59:11.580 know what you're

00:59:12.060 missing.

00:59:13.520 All right.

00:59:15.380 Rasmussen asked

00:59:16.160 this poll, still

00:59:17.100 in the context

00:59:17.900 of critical

00:59:18.640 thinking here.

00:59:19.700 How much do

00:59:20.180 you trust

00:59:20.580 Big Pharma?

00:59:21.620 I'm paraphrasing

00:59:22.440 their question.

00:59:24.020 Six percent said

00:59:25.100 they trust

00:59:25.580 Big Pharma

00:59:26.120 quote, a

00:59:26.780 lot.

00:59:29.460 What?

00:59:30.480 Thirty-six

00:59:31.300 percent said

00:59:32.080 somewhat.

00:59:33.560 Fifty-seven

00:59:34.280 said they don't

00:59:35.380 trust Big Pharma

00:59:36.160 very much or

00:59:37.160 they're unsure.

00:59:38.200 I think unsure

00:59:38.960 means you don't

00:59:39.540 trust them.

00:59:40.640 Right?

00:59:41.260 If somebody says,

00:59:42.280 do you trust

00:59:42.680 somebody and you

00:59:43.420 say you're

00:59:43.820 unsure, what

00:59:45.720 the hell does

00:59:46.080 that mean?

00:59:47.680 If you don't

00:59:48.380 trust them, you

00:59:49.840 don't trust them.

00:59:50.380 You're unsure,

00:59:50.920 you don't trust

00:59:51.400 them.

00:59:51.540 So I just

00:59:52.160 lump those

00:59:52.640 with don't 0.52

00:59:53.060 trust.

00:59:56.300 So what do

00:59:56.960 you think of

00:59:57.240 that?

00:59:57.560 Do you think

00:59:57.880 people have

00:59:58.300 good critical

00:59:58.880 thinking?

01:00:01.300 Six percent

01:00:02.180 don't because

01:00:03.880 they trust

01:00:04.400 Big Pharma

01:00:04.880 a lot.

01:00:05.400 I think that's

01:00:05.840 an irrational

01:00:07.080 opinion, given

01:00:08.400 what we know.

01:00:11.660 And then

01:00:12.400 Rasmussen said,

01:00:14.880 do you think

01:00:15.460 that Big Pharma

01:00:16.060 is more

01:00:16.480 interested in

01:00:17.100 profits or

01:00:17.840 making customers'

01:00:18.940 lives better?

01:00:21.180 Twenty-five

01:00:21.860 percent answered

01:00:22.680 that Big Pharma's

01:00:23.760 main interest is

01:00:24.740 not profits,

01:00:26.160 but rather making

01:00:27.260 customers' lives

01:00:28.480 better.

01:00:29.760 Huh.

01:00:31.060 Twenty-five

01:00:32.100 percent think

01:00:33.560 Pharma is more

01:00:35.420 interested in

01:00:36.140 our well-being

01:00:36.960 than their

01:00:37.500 billions and

01:00:38.260 billions and

01:00:38.940 billions and

01:00:39.620 billions of

01:00:40.180 dollars of

01:00:40.680 profit.

01:00:42.620 Twenty-five

01:00:43.400 percent.

01:00:45.900 If you're

01:00:46.760 new to the

01:00:47.220 live stream,

01:00:47.720 you might

01:00:49.200 not know

01:00:49.680 that it's

01:00:50.120 an ongoing

01:00:50.660 joke that

01:00:51.300 25 percent

01:00:52.260 of the

01:00:53.200 public will

01:00:53.780 get every

01:00:54.500 poll question

01:00:55.180 wrong.

01:00:56.940 I don't

01:00:57.520 know if

01:00:57.700 it's the

01:00:57.940 same 25

01:00:58.600 percent,

01:00:59.720 but yes,

01:01:00.400 trillions

01:01:00.880 actually.

01:01:01.560 It's literally

01:01:01.960 trillions of

01:01:02.560 dollars for

01:01:03.020 the pharma

01:01:04.140 companies.

01:01:04.640 That's correct.

01:01:06.880 And then

01:01:07.260 this question,

01:01:08.120 do pharma

01:01:08.500 companies have

01:01:09.060 too much

01:01:09.400 influence on

01:01:09.960 the government?

01:01:10.960 Seventy

01:01:11.540 percent said

01:01:12.160 yes.

01:01:14.420 Huh.

01:01:15.860 Seventy

01:01:16.420 percent said

01:01:17.080 yes,

01:01:17.840 big pharma

01:01:18.420 has too

01:01:19.260 much influence

01:01:19.960 on the

01:01:20.260 government,

01:01:21.100 which leaves

01:01:22.020 25-ish

01:01:24.540 percent probably

01:01:25.560 unsure if

01:01:26.780 you take

01:01:27.120 out the

01:01:27.480 uncertains.

01:01:32.240 Once you

01:01:32.860 see it,

01:01:33.280 you can't

01:01:33.640 unsee it,

01:01:34.400 the 25

01:01:34.980 percent thing.

01:01:35.800 I mean,

01:01:36.000 it's not

01:01:36.240 exactly 25

01:01:37.080 percent every

01:01:37.660 time,

01:01:38.160 but it's

01:01:38.560 so consistent

01:01:39.220 it's hilarious.

01:01:39.820 all right.

01:01:44.160 That is my

01:01:45.660 incredible show

01:01:46.460 for the day.

01:01:47.220 I think it's

01:01:47.800 the best thing

01:01:48.220 you've ever

01:01:48.560 seen in your

01:01:49.000 life.

01:01:49.940 I'm going to

01:01:50.500 have to go do

01:01:50.980 some other

01:01:51.320 things.

01:01:52.160 Today's the

01:01:52.640 day that my

01:01:53.240 cat gets her 0.77

01:01:53.960 feeding tube

01:01:54.860 taken out

01:01:55.540 and her life

01:01:56.260 goes back to

01:01:56.960 normal,

01:01:57.500 and I can't

01:01:58.340 tell you how

01:01:58.840 happy I am

01:01:59.480 about that.

01:02:00.520 It's the best

01:02:01.260 thing ever.

01:02:02.660 And Boo is

01:02:03.680 doing great.

01:02:05.040 She's climbing 0.89

01:02:05.740 and jumping

01:02:06.240 and purring.

01:02:07.540 She's very

01:02:08.160 hungry this

01:02:08.720 morning because

01:02:09.200 I have to

01:02:09.640 keep her unfed 1.00

01:02:10.780 for a while

01:02:11.220 because she

01:02:11.560 has to go

01:02:11.920 under to get

01:02:12.360 her tube 0.96

01:02:12.620 out.

01:02:13.640 But she's 0.97

01:02:14.980 doing great,

01:02:16.360 and I'm

01:02:16.600 doing okay

01:02:18.520 myself.

01:02:20.560 So I hope

01:02:22.980 I made your

01:02:23.580 life a little

01:02:24.020 bit better

01:02:24.380 today,

01:02:25.620 and go off

01:02:28.280 and have a

01:02:28.800 great rest of

01:02:29.340 your day,

01:02:29.720 and I'm

01:02:30.080 going to see

01:02:30.440 you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 01, 2021

Episode 1579 Scott Adams： Today's Show Will Be Epic. You Might Love Me or Hate Me After We're Done

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