Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 01, 2021


Episode 1579 Scott Adams: Today's Show Will Be Epic. You Might Love Me or Hate Me After We're Done


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 2 minutes

Words per Minute

146.70575

Word Count

9,174

Sentence Count

672

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

11


Summary

Join me for the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better except the vaccination, and it happens now! Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the Hit of the Day.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to what will surely be the highlight of your entire life,
00:00:11.400 if not a highlight of civilization itself. Yeah, it's called Coffee with Scott Adams,
00:00:16.120 and I don't think anything has ever been better. I know you like sunshine and money and all those
00:00:22.440 things, but really they pale in comparison to what we're about to experience here,
00:00:26.160 and we can take it up another notch. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a gel,
00:00:31.140 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:39.500 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes
00:00:44.760 everything better except the vaccination. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.
00:00:52.100 Oh, I was wrong. I'm sorry. I was wrong. It made the vaccination better too. Oh, I'm not saying
00:01:01.380 you should take it. I'm just saying it makes everything better. Satan, he got a little bit
00:01:06.620 better when we took that sip. So it's really everything. Well, let's talk about the news.
00:01:13.460 Now, because we live in a simulation and the creator of this simulation clearly has a sense of humor,
00:01:18.960 we can look for this sense of humor in many things that we think are coincidence, but really it's
00:01:25.920 just a simulation having a sense of humor. For example, on the trending news column today on Twitter,
00:01:32.820 two stories that seem to be unrelated, or are they, were lumped together completely by chance.
00:01:40.300 The following titles appeared right next to each other. Number one, Toobin. So there's some news
00:01:49.020 about Jeffrey Toobin. And number two, a story that says sperm is being used to make dishware.
00:01:57.460 Now, I don't know that those two stories are connected, but my first thought was I don't think
00:02:04.180 Toobin can handle that kind of volume. That's my only question. I don't know if he can handle the
00:02:11.480 volume. The most unusual thing that could ever happen in the history of the universe
00:02:19.120 happened recently. Listen to this. You won't believe this. This is one of those things you
00:02:27.140 would say to yourself, well, that could never happen. And here's what it is. Ben Shapiro admitted
00:02:38.260 he was defeated in a debate. What? Have you ever, did you ever think that was going to happen?
00:02:48.400 Now, it turns out it was kind of a special case. So it wasn't so much a straight up debate.
00:02:53.560 But here's what happened, apparently. So Ben Shapiro himself admits he just got destroyed
00:02:59.420 in the debate. But it wasn't so much a point by point thing, but rather he was being interviewed
00:03:06.280 by someone he didn't know, who he misinterpreted to be showing the antagonism of a political leftist.
00:03:16.040 So believing that he was being sort of set up and attacked by somebody who was just a lefty,
00:03:25.360 he reacted as though that's who he was talking to. And, you know, I think he ended it before he was
00:03:31.140 done and blah, blah, blah. So it seemed more like it was a hit piece. And then I guess Ben Shapiro just
00:03:37.780 reacted as though he had been invited to a sabotage. But it turns out it wasn't. It turns out it's just an
00:03:44.680 interviewer who asked hard questions. He wasn't a leftist at all. And so Ben, I give him total credit
00:03:51.560 for in defeat, he's a winner anyway. That's right. In defeat, meaning he admits he lost the interaction.
00:04:01.260 But by being smart and admitting that he lost and why, he wins. So believe it or not, he actually
00:04:14.140 won by losing. That's a real thing. This actually happened. Imagine being so good at debating that
00:04:20.540 you can lose and still win. That's how good Ben Shapiro is. All right. This is part of my series
00:04:26.380 that I call Humans Are Horrible. Humans Are Horrible. That includes you. Yeah, you're human.
00:04:35.380 Includes me too. Because we're going to find entertainment in tragedy. Not all of you, but some
00:04:43.900 of you will find some entertainment in tragedy. And that means that you're horrible people.
00:04:48.860 Well, here's the story. Anti-vaccine Christian broadcaster, somebody named Marcus Lamb. That's
00:04:57.760 right. There's a Christian broadcaster whose last name is Lamb. Marcus Lamb. Is that a real
00:05:06.000 name? Can somebody tell me if he was born with the name Lamb? You know, because Lamb, Christ,
00:05:13.000 right? You all know your Bible stuff. Was that really his name? That's just a coincidence,
00:05:20.280 right? I don't know. My mom just confirmed name. We're all lambs. Okay. By the way, that's
00:05:30.260 his name, but that's not the story. The story is that he was an anti-vaccine crusader and he
00:05:38.840 just died of COVID. Now, of course, the news is dancing all over this because it's another way
00:05:45.000 that they can promote vaccinations. So the left is being very, very bad. Very, very bad. And seems
00:05:55.860 to be enjoying the death of this person because he's a political opponent that they think did bad
00:06:01.640 things. Now, here's the thing that is most alarming to me. He was exactly my age and it looked like
00:06:09.940 he's in good shape, at least the recent pictures. He didn't have any obesity problem that was
00:06:16.480 apparent in any pictures. 64 years old and he looked like a young 64. He looks like he took care of
00:06:24.540 himself. Now, apparently he did take ivermectin and vitamin D and I think hydroxychloroquine too,
00:06:33.320 maybe. I'm not sure about that last one, but he died anyway. Now, as I tweeted, and a lot of you
00:06:41.500 know, I'm not a believer personally, but I have a great respect for religion because I think it helps
00:06:48.540 people in a whole variety of ways. So I'm very pro-religion, I'm just not personally a believer.
00:06:55.820 But somebody has to tell me here, because I'm not a believer, so I don't know how these things work.
00:07:01.220 Does God ever express an opinion of this directly? Anybody? When you see something like this,
00:07:09.320 do you say to yourself, well, that's a sign from God? Or do you say, no, you can't tell what God is
00:07:15.160 thinking? You know, he's mysterious. Things happen for various reasons and doesn't mean it's a sign
00:07:22.180 from God. Well, let me ask you this. If this had gone the other way, would you think it was a sign
00:07:29.760 from God? In other words, if the direction of this story was one that you expected or believed or
00:07:36.720 wanted to be true, would you have said, well, that's a sign from God. That's a pretty clear sign
00:07:42.560 from God. I'm seeing those. Very good. Very good. Now, I'm not sure you know, I'm not sure you're all
00:07:52.600 right about that. But the fact that you're all aware that you would not treat it as meaningful,
00:07:58.500 no matter which way it went, is a very encouraging sign. We're going to talk about critical thinking
00:08:04.000 in a moment, but so far, I'm impressed. Okay. So people are horrible, but apparently not the people
00:08:09.500 watching this live stream, because many of you are beautiful and smart and unusually sexy. I don't
00:08:16.240 know if you've noticed that, the people who watch this live stream. If you meet somebody else who
00:08:21.100 watches the live stream, just check them out. Extra sexy. I don't know why. It doesn't even matter
00:08:26.900 what they look like. But there's just some kind of animal magnetism that comes out of people who
00:08:32.860 watch this show, and I can't explain it. China's birth rate looks like it's in decline. They just
00:08:41.560 registered the lowest birth rate since it's been recorded. Wow. What is behind that? If you had to
00:08:52.040 guess, and I'm sure smart people have weighed in on this, what is behind China's low birth rate?
00:08:59.260 What do you think? Because the government doesn't want them to have a low birth rate.
00:09:06.100 Economic growth? Yeah, whenever the economy improves, birth rate goes down, especially if
00:09:12.020 you don't have immigration. So answer me a question. We have so many smart people watching
00:09:18.960 this. Somebody will know this. Would the birth rate in the United States, or let's say the population
00:09:24.000 decline, would the population be declining in the United States if we didn't have immigration?
00:09:29.240 Anybody? Anybody? Would the population in the United States be declining if we didn't
00:09:36.420 have immigration? I see only yeses. Do we know that? Do we know that for sure? I see one
00:09:45.040 no, but almost all, well, a few no's. Some people are not sure. Yeah, it might be close. Well,
00:09:52.200 almost everybody's saying yes. I think we've got 95% yeses. So, I don't know. Some of you do
00:09:58.480 say no. So, I'm going to say it's not settled, but it looks like there's definitely some correlation
00:10:05.000 going on there. All right. Here's what I think. I'm just going to put this out there. Do Chinese
00:10:14.340 parents want to bring a child into a police state? Is that a thing? You know, can we identify
00:10:23.260 that when the government is the most repressive, the birth rate goes down? Is that a thing? I don't
00:10:31.280 know if that's a thing. I mean, one would assume. So, Buzz is saying this might be mind reading.
00:10:39.940 No, speculation is fine. Mind reading is when you're sure you see something in there. If you
00:10:45.480 say, I wonder what people are thinking, and you speculate that it might be this and for this
00:10:49.840 reason, that's perfectly fair. But the moment I think I know I see it, well, that's mind
00:10:55.860 reading, right? And then you're in crazy town. But speculating is fine. Well, I would think,
00:11:03.560 based on everything I know about human beings and economics, that people would make their
00:11:10.220 decision at least a little bit based on what they're bringing into the world. Now, you are
00:11:14.980 aware that there are a number of people afraid of climate change in the United States who don't
00:11:20.080 want to bring a child into the world, right? Are you aware of that? How many of you knew
00:11:24.280 that that's becoming a thing? People who don't want to have kids because of climate change?
00:11:29.960 Well, if climate change would cause birth rates to change, and I think this is more anecdotal,
00:11:36.140 you know, the part about climate change causing people to have fewer babies, I think that's only
00:11:43.220 anecdotal. But we're seeing it. I mean, it's a thing. I don't know if it's more of a thing than
00:11:49.000 the people having extra babies, but it's a thing. So why wouldn't, if it's a thing for some people,
00:11:55.440 and we know that, because we can talk to the actual people who have that opinion, why wouldn't it be
00:12:00.780 true in China? I mean, people are people when it comes to stuff like that. Yeah. But here's the
00:12:08.980 other possibility. You ready for this? I'm going to blow your frickin' mind right now. There's one
00:12:16.600 other possibility. It's us. The United States. Because don't you believe that all the major
00:12:26.120 countries have persuasion campaigns going against their competitors? If they don't, they should.
00:12:34.320 Don't you think that China and Russia are trying to influence American opinions? Probably.
00:12:41.660 What would be a way to destroy China in the long run? To persuade them not to have babies.
00:12:48.720 Could somebody in the United States, let's say an intelligence organization, could they, or would
00:12:57.020 they, have the ability or the power to persuade Chinese citizens to have fewer babies as a long
00:13:03.900 run plan to destroy China's growth? The answer is yes, emphatically. Now, I have no evidence that
00:13:12.920 anything like that's happening. I just want you to know that if we wanted to do that, and
00:13:18.660 if the United States intelligence agencies brought the right people into the mix, they probably
00:13:25.820 could reduce the birth rate in any country they wanted. Do you believe me? How many think
00:13:32.300 that's a reasonable thing to say? That a country could influence another country to change their
00:13:39.540 birth rate? I see some no's. I've seen lots of no's. A mix of yeses and no's. So you're pretty
00:13:49.700 mixed on this one. I see some absolutely's, some yeses, some no's. All right. So it's unknowable,
00:13:58.400 I guess, you know, by its nature, since we haven't done it, and we haven't done a randomized control test.
00:14:03.500 I would agree it's unknowable. But I would tell you from my personal decades of experience as a trained
00:14:12.820 hypnotist and an influencer, it would be in the easier category of things to do. Some things are really
00:14:20.880 hard to persuade. This would not be. You could, you could move 10% of a population if you tried
00:14:28.200 pretty hard. And 10% might be a lot, right? It might make the difference between growth and not
00:14:33.520 growth. All right. So I have no reason to believe that's happening, but I'd be surprised if it isn't,
00:14:39.640 because it's such an obvious play. All right. I've heard that the birth rate in China is getting so bad
00:14:48.480 that the government is actually considering not murdering dissidents and selling their organs.
00:14:53.220 That's how bad it is. So keep an eye on that. The Supreme Court is looking at an abortion case
00:15:01.980 that I have to admit, I'm a little bit surprised. I didn't expect that even with the changes in the
00:15:11.800 Supreme Court, that Roe versus Wade would be this threatened. And again, I'm not giving you any
00:15:18.420 opinions on Roe versus Wade. I abstain from that because I don't have babies and never have. So
00:15:26.660 to me, women can work that out. The rest of you men can certainly weigh in. I have no objections to
00:15:31.880 men weighing in. Of course, it's a democracy. It's only my personal decision not to have an opinion on
00:15:37.200 that. But Mississippi is arguing to keep their ban on abortions after 15 weeks, which would
00:15:46.720 effectively, you know, come close to banning abortions in the state. And the Supreme Court decided to look
00:15:54.120 at it. So I didn't expect that. Now, I remember telling you that you shouldn't, not you, but people
00:16:10.020 probably should not predict that Roe versus Wade would fall because any state that got rid of it
00:16:15.740 would no longer be competitive. In other words, you couldn't attract top talent to your state
00:16:21.680 if something like half of them said, I'm not going there because of that abortion stuff.
00:16:27.460 So I predicted that it wouldn't be sweeping the country, you know, banning abortion because it
00:16:34.380 would make your state uncompetitive. But Mississippi was never competitive in the first place.
00:16:42.480 So I'm not sure that my prediction made any sense. You know, if you're talking about,
00:16:47.660 you know, one of the bigger states, you know, you can make that argument. But I'm not sure Mississippi
00:16:53.760 even cares. You know, it's not like they're tearing it up to be the next tech hub. So I will revise
00:17:02.880 my opinion. And I would say it's looking slightly more like Roe versus Wade will fall or at least
00:17:09.540 be constrained so much in some states. You know, obviously the red states, the blue states will
00:17:15.120 stay the same. But this is one of those things that's really going to make that red state, blue
00:17:19.580 state thing, which is already bad, you know, the division. It's going to make it pretty different.
00:17:26.540 And I've also argued that the United States would never separate. I mean, you can't say never
00:17:32.820 in a thousand years, but no time soon do you have to worry about, you know, some part of the United
00:17:38.540 States separating from some other part. But then I saw this abortion thing and I thought, what happens
00:17:44.440 if all the red states ban abortion and all the blue states don't? That feels like that would be the
00:17:52.400 first time that there's like a really significant, you know, choose your country kind of situation
00:17:58.220 there. I'm still going to predict we're not going to separate while I'm alive, you know, during my
00:18:04.440 lifetime. But this definitely makes it more likely, it looks like. And I'll be interested to see how the
00:18:12.420 court rules. I don't even have a prediction on that. Remember I told you to follow the money even when
00:18:17.400 it doesn't make sense. You know, you can predict the future by looking at who's going to make money
00:18:22.260 and how. And I told you I added something to that. Now, everybody knows that, right? Follow the
00:18:28.580 money. It's the most basic thing that every adult knows. Oh, somebody's making money. That's why
00:18:34.420 everything's happening. But I'm going further than that. I'm adding something to that, which is that even
00:18:40.280 when there's no mechanism, this seems obvious for why money should make the decision different, it always
00:18:48.360 does, even when there's no reason. I'm not sure it's causation or coincidence. But if you simply predict that
00:18:56.840 whatever the money suggests is going to happen, you're going to be right most of the time. Let me give you an
00:19:02.640 example. Moderna and Pfizer have announced that they're already looking at Omicron specific vaccines.
00:19:10.280 So, do you think that there will be someday a big push, I don't know if it'll be mandatory, but a big
00:19:18.560 push to get you a second kind of vaccine, one for the regular one and one for the Omicron? Yes. Yes.
00:19:30.240 And it doesn't matter if the science makes sense. It doesn't matter if there's nobody in it for the
00:19:35.840 money. Well, yeah, which would be hard to imagine. But even if no one was in it for the money, and you
00:19:42.040 could put a, you know, lie detector on them and read their minds, and there was just nothing in there
00:19:47.060 about money, it's still going to go the way of the money, right? Now, let me extend that.
00:19:55.340 Take every mystery and inconsistency you know about COVID from the official data. Is there one thing
00:20:07.480 that would explain all of it? Is there one thing that would explain everything that's happened that
00:20:14.360 we've observed with the coronavirus? I see corruptions, I see money, I see China, and I see vitamin D.
00:20:27.280 Which one of those explains everything we see? All right, from those choices, which one controls
00:20:38.080 everything? Which one would explain everything? Money? Some say money would explain everything.
00:20:46.420 I'm going to give money and vitamin D both an A, because they work together in this case. So I think
00:20:54.060 money is the right answer, but vitamin D has to be in the mix for the money part to make sense.
00:21:01.800 Because when we look at what countries are having good and bad results, I told you there was a study
00:21:07.080 recently that showed there was a perfect correlation, or very high correlation for vitamin D. You know,
00:21:12.920 people with good vitamin D did better than the others. Now, what explains Africa? Well, they're younger,
00:21:22.200 they're less obese, there's that. But I've got a feeling it's going to turn out to be vitamin D,
00:21:27.880 spending more time in the air. I also think ventilation is going to be one of the biggest
00:21:32.160 variables that we didn't talk about enough. Can somebody answer this question for me?
00:21:37.840 In most of Africa, so it's sort of a general statement, do they keep the windows open indoors
00:21:46.120 all the time? Can anybody answer that question? In Africa, when you're indoors, are the windows open all
00:21:55.520 the time? Yes, because no OC, one would assume. Because it never gets cold there, right? So don't they
00:22:08.560 just leave the windows open all the time? If they have windows? I think even in the cities,
00:22:15.760 they leave the windows open, do they not? So obviously, they would have some air conditioning
00:22:21.480 in the cities. But I think even in the cities, there would be a lot of windows open.
00:22:26.240 North Africa gets very cold, somebody says.
00:22:28.460 Yeah, I think vitamin D and ventilation are going to be the two of the biggest variables that made a
00:22:40.280 difference. But you can't make any money on opening windows. And you can't make any money. I mean, if
00:22:46.920 you're big pharma, you can't make any money on a generic vitamin. So I think money is going to be
00:22:53.260 explaining everything, but not without also vitamin D, and not also without ventilation indoors.
00:23:01.760 I think indoor ventilation is just going to be the thing along with vitamin D. And then the reason
00:23:08.620 that we're not all completely informed that those things are the big variables would be,
00:23:15.040 what would keep us from being informed that indoor ventilation and vitamin D are really the biggest
00:23:20.900 factors? Money. The money. Right? That's what would keep you from being informed. Now,
00:23:28.620 I've drawn a picture that I cannot tell you is true. Right? I'm not going to tell you that vitamin D
00:23:37.760 will make you invulnerable from... I'm not going to tell you that supplementing would make you
00:23:43.960 invulnerable. Right? I do think that having good vitamin D levels are positively correlated with
00:23:49.660 good health in every possible way. Or in most possible ways, including coronavirus. But that's
00:23:55.420 different than, you know, supplements will help you. I think they might. Good chance. But I think
00:24:01.280 we're not quite there to know that scientifically. However, if you put money, vitamin D, and indoor
00:24:07.580 ventilation together, I think they explain every inconsistency. Am I right? Can anybody give me a
00:24:16.920 mystery about the coronavirus that's not explained by one of those variables? Thank you, Brian. I
00:24:25.380 appreciate that. Just being thinner works. Do you think that weight is the variable that kind of
00:24:38.580 explains it all? Because actually, that's a good point. Because if you're seeing that our governments
00:24:44.120 are not encouraging us to get healthy? I mean, not really. I mean, they may have mentioned it a few
00:24:50.480 times. But where is your government telling you to get fit? The most basic thing you'd say. Well,
00:24:57.860 nobody makes money from that. Right? So almost every inconsistency and mystery of why anything's
00:25:06.220 happening the way it is seems to be explained by just a few variables that nobody makes money on.
00:25:14.120 All right. Doesn't mean it's true. It just means that it's a hypothesis that fits all the
00:25:20.160 observations. San Francisco is hoping to have a good holiday season and sell a lot in the retail
00:25:29.460 stores, which is being somewhat hindered by the fact that the windows are boarded up because of all
00:25:35.920 the smash and grab robberies. If you go into Union Square, which is sort of the high-end shopping part of
00:25:43.140 San Francisco, the windows are boarded up. Can you imagine going to a festive shopping excursion
00:25:51.480 into a place with boarded windows? Oh, my God. The whole city is ruined, in my opinion. And
00:26:00.820 police union leaders are blaming the ACLU for essentially making it possible for all the smash
00:26:08.020 and grab robberies to be unpunished. And I ask you this question. This is an experience
00:26:15.540 that a lot of people in the cities are going to have. They're going to go shopping. They're going
00:26:21.980 to find out that it's so criminally, there's so much crime that they can't even go shopping the way
00:26:28.500 they used to. And I ask this question. How bad would you have to be as a Republican candidate
00:26:36.340 to lose an election in 2022 or 2024? I feel like you would have to be the worst politician in the
00:26:44.720 world to lose in this context. And, you know, I know that sounds like hyperbole, but how in the world
00:26:54.300 could you lose? I mean, really? You would have to be just awful to lose an election in this context.
00:27:04.060 One way you could do it is just stick to your far-right opinions and just never budge. I mean,
00:27:09.500 that could lose you the election, sure. But if you had any, like, political savvy,
00:27:15.600 you would go soft on your, you know, your right-leaning stuff a little bit, and you could
00:27:22.280 win any blue state you wanted, any blue election. I'm pretty sure if, you know, if I didn't have my
00:27:29.460 baggage of my history, I'm pretty sure I could enter any blue state election as a Republican
00:27:36.540 and win the election. Except for, you know, people would dig into my history and find out about all my
00:27:45.400 massive crimes and whatnot. Anyway, so if you see a Republican losing an election,
00:27:54.860 that is a really a bad, bad candidate, in my opinion. It'd have to be a real exception.
00:28:02.480 All right, there's another school shooting. I'm not going to talk about any of the details. I'm not
00:28:06.260 even going to tell you where it was, because it's just, I don't want to encourage this stuff.
00:28:09.960 But I have an opinion that school shootings are mostly caused by social media.
00:28:15.400 Now, right away, your critical thinking should say, and that would be correct. You should say
00:28:23.980 something like that. You should be saying something like, wait a minute, there are lots of causes for
00:28:29.060 that. There's not one cause. Nothing has one cause. You are correct. Nothing has one cause.
00:28:36.740 Remember that, because we're going to talk about it again today. Nothing has one cause. Sometimes
00:28:42.680 there's the last straw. But the last straw is not the heavy one. It's just the last one. It's just the
00:28:50.160 last thing that happened. So the way our limited brains are organized, we think the last thing that
00:28:54.820 happened is the cause. No, it's probably just the last thing that happened. And it's, you know,
00:29:00.120 random like that. So like with coronavirus, is it the coronavirus that's killing you if you have
00:29:07.160 five comorbidities and you're 100 years old? Well, that's what the documents are going to say.
00:29:15.780 But no, all of that stuff had to happen for you to die. Coronavirus was just the last straw.
00:29:21.480 So, you know, keep that in mind. Whenever we talk about the cause of anything, it's never really
00:29:29.040 the cause. It's just sort of the last thing that happened that triggered it. So there are triggers,
00:29:34.560 no pun intended. And in my opinion, the trigger and sort of the last thing that will happen before
00:29:41.960 somebody, at least a student, starts shooting, is social media bullying. And here's my hypothesis.
00:29:50.520 The hypothesis is that in the past, people were bullied in person, and that was pretty bad.
00:29:58.300 Being bullied in person is really bad for you. But it was a small group and it was private.
00:30:06.360 Have you ever seen the movie Carrie by Stephen King? Have you ever seen that? In the movie Carrie,
00:30:14.540 there's a young girl who, you know, ends up killing a lot of people. But the trigger for it
00:30:21.560 was not all of the bullying that happened, you know, sort of on the baseline. It was that she got
00:30:27.220 humiliated in public, in front of a big crowd. So it was the public part that turned Carrie from
00:30:34.720 an angry, bullied person into a mass murderer. Now, that was a movie, so don't take too much for movies.
00:30:41.920 But I think that it's the public part of it, the social media part of it, that has taken the high
00:30:52.880 school bullying to the Carrie level. And that under this scenario, it should produce lots of carries.
00:31:01.500 People who have been bullied to the point where, you know, they're at their breaking point,
00:31:05.720 but then it becomes a social media thing. And then they break. Because once it's public,
00:31:11.800 you don't have anything to live for, do you? If you're a student, and you are publicly shamed,
00:31:18.520 so there's no place you can go because they've already heard of you,
00:31:21.960 it's not going to feel like you have anything to live for. All right? Now, you do, and nobody should
00:31:28.380 kill themselves over bullying in school. Because if you get out of school, everything gets better.
00:31:32.600 So just sort of last, you know, wait it out would be my advice. But you can certainly predict it,
00:31:38.700 and you can certainly understand it. And in my opinion, social media should be regulated like
00:31:44.480 alcohol and firearms, because it has a similar risk for young people. Let's see in the comments how
00:31:51.180 many of you would agree that social media has a risk profile that's at least as dangerous as alcohol
00:31:59.380 and firearms and cigarettes. Same class, wouldn't you say? Because one is, you know, the others are more
00:32:07.660 of a physical health problem, whereas the social media is a mental health problem, but it's a massive
00:32:13.620 problem. Massive problem. So mostly yeses. Now, of course, you know, most of us are over 21,
00:32:24.320 so it's easy for us to say we'll regulate other people. We're all in favor of regulating other
00:32:30.720 people. We just don't like to regulate ourselves. Somebody says not firearms. Yeah, I think you can
00:32:36.920 make an argument for a younger age for firearms. In some cases, yes. All right. Chris Cuomo was suspended
00:32:46.480 from CNN from the new information about the extent to which he was helping his brother,
00:32:54.540 the governor, who was accused of sexual improprieties. And when you see that Chris Cuomo
00:33:00.880 is suspended, of course, you know that Fox will be enjoying this. But there was a Fox headline
00:33:08.420 that I just laughed because I love this little rivalry between CNN and Fox. And if you say you
00:33:17.960 don't enjoy that, I don't know. You have to enjoy that, don't you? I mean, I enjoy it in both
00:33:23.280 directions, watching the back and forth. It's very entertaining, and I like that both of them do it
00:33:29.780 because it's a way to be a check on the other, I guess, the excesses of the other. But here was Fox's
00:33:36.020 headline about it, about Chris Cuomo being suspended. And this is so diabolically humorous
00:33:41.460 without going over the top. Just listen to how funny this is coming from Fox News.
00:33:49.320 Quote, CNN punishes its only star. Come on, you have to appreciate the headline from Fox News,
00:34:00.260 you know, being like a way to prod the competitor. CNN punishes its only star.
00:34:09.700 What makes Chris Cuomo their only star?
00:34:17.160 Now, I understand he has the highest ratings, but that might have to do with the time slot, right?
00:34:22.340 He's clearly not their only star. But the fact that Fox frames this as CNN only has one star,
00:34:32.740 and he just, he had to be fired for bad behavior.
00:34:39.380 Oh, that's funny. Anyway, I continue to support most of what Chris Cuomo did for his brother,
00:34:47.820 for the same reason that CNN kept him on until now, which is that people helping their brother,
00:34:55.660 you know, you just, you just got to be understanding of that, right? You know, that's just a special case.
00:35:02.020 But he may have gone too far. That's what the new information suggests. So that's what they're looking at.
00:35:07.040 And I think it's responsible for them to suspend him at this point. It's just good for the brand, I think.
00:35:12.620 But here's what we've learned about the Jeffrey Toobin situation, and now the Chris Cuomo thing.
00:35:20.740 If you put it all together, we've learned that CNN will keep you employed.
00:35:26.740 You can be a dick, like Don Lemon. You can yank your dick, like Toobin.
00:35:33.600 But you can't help your brother if your brother's a dick.
00:35:36.160 So that, we now know the standard. You can't be a dick, but you can yank your dick,
00:35:42.640 and you can't help your brother if he's a dick. So that's sort of the dick rule at CNN.
00:35:47.960 And they're very consistent about that. I'll give them the credit.
00:35:51.060 There's Reuters Fact Check, in which,
00:35:56.000 in which, apparently, it's a video of Jill Biden reading to children,
00:36:01.760 and some wag added, layered on some extra video of a child who, quote,
00:36:11.700 appears to shout a profanity towards the U.S. First Lady.
00:36:17.740 Now, have any of you heard the video? I haven't heard it.
00:36:21.200 Because, you know, the fact checkers don't show the video.
00:36:24.400 But, every time somebody, I assume this is, you know, somebody on the political right did this,
00:36:34.280 but every time somebody on the right doctors a video, it just makes me so happy.
00:36:39.620 Because every time the left sees that a video has been doctored,
00:36:44.300 it should give them a little bit of, just a slight little grain of salt hesitation
00:36:51.840 about the videos that they believe.
00:36:55.680 Because they're up to, how many hoaxes have the left believed
00:36:58.520 because they think they saw it on video?
00:37:00.780 Fine People hoax, Covington Kids, the Koi Fish feeding, the Drinking Bleach.
00:37:08.040 They're all fake videos, meaning that they were edited to reverse their meaning or whatnot.
00:37:13.060 Somebody needs to send me a link to the doctored video
00:37:20.420 because I've got a feeling it's pretty good.
00:37:25.220 Anyway, so Democrats normally didn't get to see all the Rupar videos,
00:37:30.180 but now they're seeing doctored videos and it might make them think that.
00:37:35.180 Well, on the bad news front, war has begun in space, which I was not aware of.
00:37:41.920 It turns out that according to U.S. officials, military officials,
00:37:47.480 Russia and China are attacking our space assets, quote, every single day.
00:37:53.240 Now, I think their attacks are non-kinetic, meaning it's hacking and digital and jamming and stuff like that.
00:38:01.020 But did you know that war in space is already on?
00:38:04.480 And that, you know, China's launched their hypersonic missile and, you know, we're gearing up?
00:38:11.820 Let me give you some bad news.
00:38:15.720 What are most wars about?
00:38:18.960 Go.
00:38:20.200 What are most wars about?
00:38:24.040 Anybody?
00:38:24.920 Land and resources.
00:38:28.960 Mostly land, right?
00:38:30.560 Even more than resources, at least in the modern world.
00:38:33.680 In the old days, it was land and resources.
00:38:36.420 In the modern days, it's mostly land and, you know, yes, resources.
00:38:40.400 You know, Kuwait, for example.
00:38:44.820 Territory, right?
00:38:46.060 You know what the problem is with space?
00:38:49.580 Yeah, you do.
00:38:50.340 It's all new territory.
00:38:53.920 The odds of having a superpower war in space.
00:38:59.740 What are the odds of a superpower war in space?
00:39:04.380 It's 100%.
00:39:05.660 It's 100%.
00:39:07.980 Because while we might not want to start a war terrestrially,
00:39:13.620 because that means that everybody dies,
00:39:16.680 you know, if it becomes nuclear on Earth, everybody dies.
00:39:20.340 But there's a 100% chance we're going to be fighting like crazy in space.
00:39:25.980 Because it's...
00:39:27.420 Here's another one.
00:39:29.620 It's not just territory.
00:39:30.960 It's the high ground.
00:39:32.800 The reason that anybody would conquer any territory
00:39:36.520 that they don't already own in today's world,
00:39:40.340 sometimes resources, but usually defense.
00:39:44.280 They're taking over a neighboring country to bolster their defense.
00:39:48.100 In other words, the high ground, exactly.
00:39:52.760 Golan Heights.
00:39:54.460 What's the importance of the Golan Heights?
00:39:57.080 It's the high ground, right?
00:39:59.640 And space is the ultimate high ground.
00:40:02.800 Because it's hard to shoot things up,
00:40:05.000 but it's easier to shoot things down.
00:40:07.680 And I imagine there'd be a variety of advantages to owning space,
00:40:11.600 especially the satellites, right?
00:40:13.000 Whoever can protect their satellites gets to have a good life on Earth.
00:40:18.520 Whoever can't protect their satellites, they lose.
00:40:23.220 So, yeah, there's going to be war in space,
00:40:26.720 and it looks like it's already started.
00:40:28.160 It's just not kinetic yet.
00:40:29.860 But you know that everybody's working on kinetic weapons for space, right?
00:40:35.520 I mean, how hard would it be to take out a satellite?
00:40:39.180 It seems like you'd need a bullet-sized projectile
00:40:43.320 that had some navigation ability, and that's it.
00:40:46.480 That's all you need.
00:40:48.020 Something the size of, like, a large bullet
00:40:50.360 with some navigation ability.
00:40:53.260 Goodbye satellite.
00:40:54.660 It just has to be launched from space.
00:40:57.840 So you just put it up on your rocket
00:41:01.060 and release it with some instructions,
00:41:04.180 and boom, goodbye satellites.
00:41:06.500 Yeah, that would be possible now.
00:41:08.100 Yeah, we have all the technology to do what I just described.
00:41:12.680 I asked this poll.
00:41:14.140 This is the worst poll I've ever done
00:41:16.320 because, you know, it's the wrong choices,
00:41:18.760 and it's non-scientific and everything else.
00:41:20.940 So don't take too much from this.
00:41:22.660 But I asked,
00:41:23.120 who is most responsible for the January 6th protests at the Capitol?
00:41:27.560 My choices were Trump, fake news, the CIA via Q.
00:41:34.760 All right, that's just sort of a cheeky one.
00:41:37.220 And Congress.
00:41:38.540 Now, some people said I should put the protesters themselves
00:41:41.660 or maybe Nancy Pelosi and Muriel Bowser
00:41:45.500 for denying the Capitol Police the backup.
00:41:48.700 And those are good things to say.
00:41:50.380 Now, if I put the protesters themselves as one of the choices,
00:41:53.280 it wouldn't be any fun because that would have won, right?
00:41:58.240 I think if you put the protesters themselves,
00:42:01.240 I kind of think they would have had 80% of the vote.
00:42:04.660 That wouldn't tell you anything.
00:42:06.280 So I wanted to see, besides the obvious fact
00:42:08.560 that the people who went there
00:42:10.900 are obviously in charge of their own life,
00:42:15.660 you know, who beyond that?
00:42:16.840 So Trump got, last I looked, about 11% of the votes.
00:42:22.080 Fake news got about 47% as the cause of January 6th.
00:42:27.720 The CIA via Q or QAnon, 24%.
00:42:32.160 And Congress, about 18%.
00:42:35.260 Now, here's my take on it.
00:42:38.440 So I think the public got this right.
00:42:40.880 The biggest result was fake news.
00:42:43.520 I believe that when you say,
00:42:47.220 hey, the protesters are themselves responsible,
00:42:50.300 if you're talking about legal responsibility,
00:42:53.300 100% correct.
00:42:55.960 The people who go there and do the act
00:42:59.160 are legally 100% responsible.
00:43:02.820 Just as I would apply that same standard to Alec Baldwin.
00:43:07.880 Even though he has a perfectly good reason
00:43:10.220 why he did what he did,
00:43:11.360 the armorer was in charge, blah, blah, blah.
00:43:13.860 He's the one who did it, right?
00:43:16.380 He could have checked
00:43:17.560 to make sure he didn't have a live round.
00:43:20.160 He could have not pulled the trigger
00:43:22.180 when it was just rehearsal.
00:43:24.240 You know, there are a lot of things he could have done.
00:43:25.900 So it's the same standard for legal reasons,
00:43:29.600 or in the case of gun control,
00:43:31.980 more of a gun rights or a gun safety reason.
00:43:36.300 But here's my view of the real world.
00:43:38.360 People don't have free will.
00:43:40.460 You're all programmed by outside sources.
00:43:43.520 Including me.
00:43:45.320 All right?
00:43:45.880 If you believe that humans are largely
00:43:47.900 just programmed entities,
00:43:49.720 and the programming is assigned to them
00:43:51.520 from external sources,
00:43:54.200 some of it from their friends,
00:43:55.960 some of it from the media,
00:43:57.260 some of it from the fake news,
00:43:59.340 some of it from social media,
00:44:02.220 that's how I see the world.
00:44:04.220 Now, I'm not asking you to see it the same way.
00:44:06.080 I'm describing a framework or a frame
00:44:10.380 to see the world,
00:44:11.620 and you could say that it's either predictable,
00:44:14.500 it either predicts or it doesn't.
00:44:16.820 So the way to say your worldview is good or not
00:44:19.540 is predict or doesn't predict.
00:44:23.000 And I would say,
00:44:23.780 if you say to yourself,
00:44:25.680 the fake news has programmed people
00:44:28.080 to the point where they distrust
00:44:30.700 the government
00:44:32.660 and the Democrats plus the news entity,
00:44:37.160 which all seems the same at this point,
00:44:40.140 that's a pretty accurate worldview
00:44:42.440 to think that the fake news programmed people
00:44:46.080 to make the choices they made.
00:44:48.700 Now, from a legal perspective,
00:44:50.040 it always has to still be the person who did it
00:44:52.220 and not the person who influenced them.
00:44:54.200 But if you want to understand the world
00:44:56.400 as opposed to assigning blame,
00:44:58.380 which we have to do for practical purposes,
00:45:00.720 if you want to understand the world...
00:45:03.320 OK, that totally worked, Erica.
00:45:10.220 All right.
00:45:11.380 I'm going to now look at the video
00:45:13.220 of Jill Biden being shouted at.
00:45:16.720 Or am I?
00:45:17.960 Damn it.
00:45:19.300 Bug.
00:45:20.720 Just crapped out.
00:45:23.660 All right.
00:45:24.800 Well, thank you.
00:45:28.980 All right.
00:45:29.780 So I blame fake news
00:45:31.920 for programming the public
00:45:33.500 and not just the left,
00:45:35.360 but the right.
00:45:36.000 If the news had ever been real,
00:45:39.700 would there have been a protest?
00:45:42.780 Let me ask you this.
00:45:44.180 Suppose the news had always reported this.
00:45:48.120 The courts have found no fraud,
00:45:50.040 but you have to understand
00:45:51.900 the courts are not the right entity
00:45:53.520 to look for fraud or to find it.
00:45:55.980 They can only judge the things
00:45:57.420 that people have standing for
00:45:59.860 and nobody has standing.
00:46:01.920 And they only accept cases
00:46:03.940 that would make a difference.
00:46:05.300 And if it's after the election,
00:46:06.600 sometimes they say it doesn't make a difference.
00:46:08.100 So if the news had accurately reported
00:46:11.300 that the election system can't be audited fully,
00:46:16.660 it's not an option.
00:46:17.840 We don't have a system that can do that.
00:46:19.820 You can only audit some things,
00:46:22.080 so you'll never really know.
00:46:23.160 If the news had told you that,
00:46:25.820 if it had told you that probably
00:46:27.860 the biggest difference
00:46:29.220 was that the Democrats did a good job
00:46:32.360 of manipulating the election laws
00:46:34.300 because of the pandemic,
00:46:35.760 it was all legal,
00:46:37.480 but they did a good job of it.
00:46:39.200 If the news had told you straight
00:46:41.760 what happened with the election,
00:46:44.360 even if they still criticized Trump
00:46:47.280 for going too far about claiming fraud,
00:46:49.740 even if they completely criticized him,
00:46:53.400 do you think there would have been a protest?
00:46:57.240 I feel like not.
00:46:59.160 Because I feel like the protest is,
00:47:01.040 in large part,
00:47:02.080 and again, lots of different variables
00:47:03.780 and they all had to happen
00:47:04.660 the way they did for it to happen.
00:47:05.980 But I think one of the big variables
00:47:07.280 is that the news isn't real.
00:47:10.120 And that without that safety check,
00:47:13.380 people feel exposed.
00:47:16.180 If you tell me that the news
00:47:17.880 is looking into all the corruption
00:47:20.620 in the government,
00:47:21.960 I say to myself,
00:47:22.880 okay, let them handle it.
00:47:25.720 The news business is going to go
00:47:27.180 find that corruption.
00:47:28.680 They're going to uncover it
00:47:29.880 and then justice will be had.
00:47:32.300 I don't need to get involved.
00:47:34.320 But what if you think the news
00:47:35.540 is colluding with the corruption?
00:47:38.800 Which it is.
00:47:40.140 It legitimately is.
00:47:41.720 I mean, we know that for sure
00:47:43.040 because of the Russia collusion thing.
00:47:45.460 So if you believe that the news
00:47:48.040 has gone corrupt
00:47:49.040 and has joined the corrupt government
00:47:51.580 in their corrupt plans,
00:47:53.820 I think you'd go to the streets.
00:47:56.820 You know, not everybody,
00:47:57.940 but it would be a predictable outcome
00:47:59.660 of fake news.
00:48:01.240 So given that there's no such thing
00:48:02.980 as a cause for anything,
00:48:05.100 calling Trump the cause is absurd,
00:48:07.420 calling anything else from Q
00:48:10.040 to anything else as the cause
00:48:11.580 is absurd.
00:48:13.320 Let me ask you this.
00:48:14.180 If Congress had a rating
00:48:16.000 over, what, 11% or 13% approval,
00:48:20.020 do you think the people
00:48:21.440 would have marched on the Capitol?
00:48:23.420 Suppose the Congress
00:48:24.540 had a 50% approval.
00:48:28.820 Do you think that people
00:48:30.180 would have marched on the Capitol
00:48:31.800 where the Congress was?
00:48:33.900 I don't think so.
00:48:35.180 I don't think so.
00:48:36.200 I think people would have said,
00:48:37.720 you know, we're really mad.
00:48:39.180 Oh, we're not really mad
00:48:40.000 at those guys.
00:48:41.480 We're really mad at what happened.
00:48:43.060 You know, maybe the election.
00:48:44.840 But not necessarily so mad at Congress.
00:48:48.560 If that had been the case,
00:48:49.520 they wouldn't have been there at all.
00:48:51.320 So all of this,
00:48:52.540 what is the cause of the protest,
00:48:54.100 is just brainwashing bullshit.
00:48:56.560 There's no cause.
00:48:57.840 There's a whole bunch of things
00:48:58.940 that had to happen,
00:48:59.680 including Pelosi and Bowser
00:49:01.620 denying Capitol Police,
00:49:03.120 including the protesters'
00:49:04.320 own personal decisions.
00:49:05.400 But if you're ignoring
00:49:07.040 what is probably
00:49:08.180 the biggest variable,
00:49:10.740 don't do that.
00:49:12.040 Probably the news
00:49:12.900 is the biggest variable.
00:49:14.380 Because we feel exposed
00:49:15.600 and unprotected
00:49:16.520 by not having a legitimate
00:49:18.100 news industry anymore.
00:49:19.500 All right.
00:49:26.900 Let's see what else is happening.
00:49:28.140 Oh, here's some fun.
00:49:29.960 So there was a tweet
00:49:30.840 by somebody named Mike Solana,
00:49:33.280 who has enough followers
00:49:34.640 that I think he must be
00:49:36.080 well-known for something.
00:49:38.600 Maybe investing.
00:49:39.620 His profile says he's
00:49:43.080 the mayor of San Francisco,
00:49:44.360 which he isn't,
00:49:45.040 so I don't know
00:49:45.760 what else to believe on there.
00:49:47.280 But he's somebody
00:49:48.160 of substance, apparently.
00:49:49.740 And I say that only
00:49:50.600 because Elon Musk
00:49:51.600 replied to him.
00:49:53.500 So Mike Solana tweeted this.
00:49:57.200 Seems like we should all
00:49:58.340 be a lot more concerned
00:49:59.340 about the fact that
00:50:00.180 hypnosis is a real thing.
00:50:01.940 Question mark.
00:50:03.140 Mind control, real.
00:50:05.260 Basically.
00:50:06.400 Why does this not matter?
00:50:07.580 Is that a good question?
00:50:10.920 If hypnosis is real,
00:50:13.060 it is,
00:50:14.020 and then mind control is real,
00:50:15.380 shouldn't we be worried
00:50:17.200 about this?
00:50:19.340 Why aren't we?
00:50:21.060 Well, I answered that
00:50:22.420 the best hypnotists
00:50:23.760 are invisible
00:50:24.360 because they operate
00:50:26.560 outside the realm
00:50:27.460 of imagination.
00:50:29.340 If you knew what hypnotists
00:50:31.080 were capable of doing,
00:50:32.820 you could see it.
00:50:35.420 If you don't know
00:50:36.480 what they're capable of doing,
00:50:37.820 it looks like a coincidence.
00:50:40.840 And I gave this example.
00:50:42.500 If I went on live TV
00:50:45.480 and changed the world
00:50:47.340 right in front of you,
00:50:48.840 you would think
00:50:49.840 it was a coincidence.
00:50:52.300 You would.
00:50:53.460 Because your imagination
00:50:54.600 could not hold
00:50:55.920 the possibility
00:50:57.300 that I just changed
00:50:58.260 the world right in front of you.
00:51:00.140 It's just not imaginable.
00:51:02.260 So the best hypnotists
00:51:04.320 are completely invisible.
00:51:05.960 They operate
00:51:06.600 without any attention.
00:51:08.680 I could tell you
00:51:09.440 I could tell you
00:51:10.660 directly what I'm doing
00:51:11.680 and you just can't see it.
00:51:13.480 Unless you're
00:51:14.060 another hypnotist.
00:51:14.880 Other hypnotists
00:51:15.540 can see it pretty easily.
00:51:17.760 So,
00:51:19.340 Elon Musk
00:51:19.880 replied this way
00:51:21.060 about the
00:51:22.740 mind control,
00:51:23.980 et cetera.
00:51:24.520 He said,
00:51:25.000 the overarching problem
00:51:26.060 is that we need
00:51:26.780 better mental firewalls
00:51:28.400 for the information
00:51:29.480 constantly coming at us.
00:51:32.720 Critical and first
00:51:33.720 principle thinking
00:51:34.520 should be required
00:51:35.460 course in middle school.
00:51:36.780 who wrote
00:51:40.540 the software
00:51:41.000 in your head,
00:51:41.580 he says.
00:51:42.040 Are you sure
00:51:42.480 you actually
00:51:42.900 want it there?
00:51:43.900 So this is
00:51:44.600 Elon Musk asking,
00:51:46.460 who wrote
00:51:46.860 the software
00:51:47.480 running in your head?
00:51:48.980 Are you sure
00:51:49.500 you actually
00:51:49.940 want it there?
00:51:51.720 It's the same thing
00:51:52.720 I just told you
00:51:53.540 about the
00:51:55.060 January 6th protests.
00:51:57.520 The people
00:51:58.240 who went there
00:51:58.780 had some software
00:51:59.620 running in their head.
00:52:01.420 Who wrote it?
00:52:04.380 Wasn't them.
00:52:05.080 You don't write
00:52:06.840 your own software.
00:52:09.520 Other people
00:52:10.240 write your software.
00:52:11.880 Always.
00:52:12.760 Elon Musk knows it.
00:52:14.700 I know it.
00:52:17.200 And you're learning it.
00:52:19.820 Some of you
00:52:20.460 are learning it.
00:52:20.940 Some of you knew it.
00:52:22.080 But,
00:52:23.340 what do you think?
00:52:24.460 Should we teach
00:52:25.000 critical thinking
00:52:25.800 and first principles
00:52:26.880 in middle school?
00:52:29.420 I say yes.
00:52:30.920 Good suggestion.
00:52:31.660 But,
00:52:33.820 it is woefully
00:52:34.880 lacking.
00:52:36.940 It's good,
00:52:38.020 but it doesn't
00:52:38.580 come close
00:52:39.200 to what we need.
00:52:40.140 Here's what we need.
00:52:41.980 Here was my response
00:52:43.340 to Elon Musk's comment.
00:52:44.520 I said 75%
00:52:45.460 of the best
00:52:45.940 critical thinkers
00:52:46.920 in America
00:52:47.580 fell for 5 to 10
00:52:50.100 obvious major
00:52:51.360 media hoaxes
00:52:52.360 in the last 5 years
00:52:53.660 and still don't know it.
00:52:57.880 We also need to teach
00:52:59.200 bullshit detection.
00:53:00.320 That's different.
00:53:02.040 Bullshit detection
00:53:02.960 is completely different
00:53:04.240 than critical thinking.
00:53:05.900 Critical thinking
00:53:06.640 would help you,
00:53:07.740 let's say,
00:53:08.720 look at a study claim
00:53:10.400 and see if they,
00:53:11.560 you know,
00:53:11.860 were a randomized
00:53:12.420 controlled trial.
00:53:14.280 You know,
00:53:14.480 you could look at
00:53:15.000 sort of scientific-y things
00:53:16.500 and maybe even legal things
00:53:18.380 and say,
00:53:19.320 okay,
00:53:19.540 that's logical or not.
00:53:20.860 If you're an engineer,
00:53:22.400 you need those
00:53:23.360 critical skills,
00:53:24.400 thinking skills.
00:53:25.640 But,
00:53:26.200 if you're looking
00:53:26.740 at the news,
00:53:28.360 do you think
00:53:28.880 your critical skills
00:53:30.640 are helping you?
00:53:31.660 Let me tell you
00:53:32.740 what the Amazing Randy
00:53:33.900 has claimed.
00:53:36.040 Now,
00:53:36.280 the Amazing Randy
00:53:36.960 is a debunker
00:53:38.000 of fake frauds
00:53:39.300 but also a famous
00:53:40.660 magician himself.
00:53:42.440 And the Amazing Randy
00:53:43.320 says that the easiest
00:53:44.260 people to fool
00:53:45.420 are...
00:53:47.240 do you know the answer
00:53:48.540 to this?
00:53:49.480 The Amazing Randy,
00:53:50.860 a professional magician
00:53:51.940 of note,
00:53:53.300 you know,
00:53:53.500 a famous one,
00:53:54.620 says the easiest
00:53:55.400 people to fool
00:53:56.380 are...
00:53:59.240 scientists.
00:54:02.780 And smart people.
00:54:04.360 Yeah,
00:54:04.540 smart people.
00:54:05.740 Do you know why
00:54:06.300 they're the easiest
00:54:07.160 to fool?
00:54:07.640 because they...
00:54:10.060 if they don't think
00:54:11.500 they know
00:54:12.060 any other answer
00:54:13.220 for what they're
00:54:13.940 observing,
00:54:15.100 they say it must be
00:54:17.060 one of the things
00:54:17.600 they can imagine.
00:54:19.060 So the scientists
00:54:20.060 will look at a situation
00:54:21.360 and say,
00:54:21.680 well,
00:54:22.700 you know,
00:54:22.980 it could be this
00:54:23.600 or it could be this,
00:54:24.720 but those are the only
00:54:25.660 things I can imagine.
00:54:27.260 So it's one of those.
00:54:30.060 You can fool them
00:54:31.020 every time.
00:54:32.300 Because here's the first
00:54:33.260 thing I'd teach
00:54:34.340 somebody that probably
00:54:35.400 is not in your
00:54:36.260 critical thinking course.
00:54:37.540 It should be,
00:54:38.140 but I'll bet it wouldn't be.
00:54:39.900 That your imagination
00:54:41.080 is your limiter.
00:54:43.260 Your imagination.
00:54:44.900 If you can't imagine
00:54:46.300 something,
00:54:46.820 you can't see it.
00:54:48.580 Your imagination
00:54:49.220 doesn't go there.
00:54:50.960 First,
00:54:51.500 your imagination
00:54:52.120 has to accept it.
00:54:53.580 If you can't do that,
00:54:54.480 you're never going
00:54:54.920 to think of it.
00:54:56.920 So the scientist
00:54:57.940 is easy to fool
00:54:58.820 with a magic trick
00:54:59.660 or with a fake psychic.
00:55:02.280 Because they think,
00:55:03.280 well,
00:55:03.660 I've looked at
00:55:04.300 all the possibilities
00:55:05.060 and there's nothing
00:55:05.800 left,
00:55:06.180 but this is a real psychic.
00:55:07.860 Whereas James Randi
00:55:08.860 comes in and says,
00:55:09.600 no,
00:55:09.800 there's a couple
00:55:10.340 of other things
00:55:10.920 you haven't considered
00:55:11.740 and that's why
00:55:13.480 I can debunk them
00:55:14.280 and you can't.
00:55:16.180 Scientists are not
00:55:17.220 the ones who always
00:55:18.140 debunk the frauds.
00:55:21.560 Sometimes it's magicians
00:55:22.880 because they know
00:55:24.080 the tricks.
00:55:25.820 All right.
00:55:27.480 So we need
00:55:28.220 a bullshit detection
00:55:29.060 and my book
00:55:29.900 Loser Think
00:55:30.600 tries to do that.
00:55:31.820 I think that should
00:55:32.320 be required reading
00:55:33.200 in schools.
00:55:35.960 I asked this
00:55:36.740 following,
00:55:37.540 speaking of critical
00:55:38.360 thinking,
00:55:38.980 I will give you
00:55:40.160 a lesson in critical
00:55:41.340 thinking right now.
00:55:42.760 I asked this question
00:55:43.520 on Twitter,
00:55:44.060 how confident are you
00:55:45.140 that your getting
00:55:46.320 vaxxed or not
00:55:47.180 getting vaxxed
00:55:47.740 decision was the
00:55:48.640 correct one for you?
00:55:50.600 Now,
00:55:51.080 key words are
00:55:51.920 for you,
00:55:53.160 right?
00:55:53.520 Forget about
00:55:53.960 the rest of us.
00:55:55.480 Was your vaccination
00:55:56.440 decision the right
00:55:57.380 one for you?
00:55:58.220 So the people
00:55:59.560 who said they're
00:56:00.100 100% confident
00:56:02.160 was 41%
00:56:03.580 last time I checked.
00:56:05.020 41% were 100%
00:56:07.120 confident in their
00:56:07.920 own decision.
00:56:10.420 25% had high
00:56:12.000 confidence,
00:56:13.100 22% medium
00:56:14.380 confidence,
00:56:15.840 and 11% said low.
00:56:18.800 My own would be
00:56:20.380 medium,
00:56:22.900 medium to high.
00:56:25.280 That's how I would
00:56:26.000 have answered it.
00:56:27.520 Here's your critical
00:56:28.620 thinking lesson
00:56:29.920 for today.
00:56:31.420 Most of the people
00:56:32.460 who said they're
00:56:32.980 100% confident
00:56:33.980 do not have
00:56:34.800 critical thinking
00:56:35.640 skills.
00:56:36.120 Some of them
00:56:39.000 were probably
00:56:41.840 already infected.
00:56:43.960 So if they said,
00:56:45.000 oh, I was already
00:56:45.480 infected, therefore I
00:56:46.620 didn't get the
00:56:47.240 vaccination, well,
00:56:48.720 you could be pretty
00:56:49.540 close to 100%
00:56:50.860 sure on that.
00:56:52.400 But I don't think
00:56:53.180 most of these 40%
00:56:54.300 were necessarily
00:56:55.100 already infected.
00:56:57.760 You could also say,
00:56:58.920 well, there's some
00:56:59.460 people with 10
00:57:00.440 comorbidities, and
00:57:01.600 they're pretty close
00:57:02.300 to 100% sure.
00:57:03.980 But for most of
00:57:04.960 these people who
00:57:05.620 were 100% sure,
00:57:07.400 if you're 100%
00:57:09.180 sure about this,
00:57:11.140 then unless you're
00:57:12.280 one of those
00:57:12.620 special cases,
00:57:13.760 then you don't
00:57:14.580 have basic
00:57:15.420 critical thinking
00:57:16.840 skills.
00:57:17.820 Because this is
00:57:18.440 not the kind of
00:57:19.340 decision that you
00:57:20.720 should be 100%
00:57:21.580 sure of.
00:57:22.500 This is a risk
00:57:23.460 management decision.
00:57:24.900 The moment you
00:57:25.700 think it's binary,
00:57:27.740 you know, where
00:57:28.080 it's one or the
00:57:29.140 other, and it's
00:57:29.640 100%, you have
00:57:33.040 missed a lot of
00:57:33.860 critical thinking
00:57:34.700 training in your
00:57:35.500 life.
00:57:36.620 Now, is that
00:57:37.600 because you're
00:57:38.060 dumb?
00:57:39.680 Are the people
00:57:40.620 who have 100%
00:57:41.560 confidence, and
00:57:42.440 they're not one of
00:57:42.960 those special cases,
00:57:44.220 are they dumb?
00:57:46.300 No.
00:57:47.540 Nope.
00:57:48.740 They are not.
00:57:50.160 They are people
00:57:50.640 who have just not
00:57:51.280 been exposed to a
00:57:52.640 specific skill.
00:57:54.480 You don't learn
00:57:55.360 critical thinking
00:57:56.160 just by waking up
00:57:57.020 in the morning and
00:57:57.720 being all smart.
00:58:00.080 Right?
00:58:00.560 Can anybody
00:58:01.080 confirm that?
00:58:01.740 I don't want to be
00:58:02.320 the only one saying
00:58:03.040 this.
00:58:03.900 Those of you who
00:58:04.820 have gone through
00:58:05.560 some kind of
00:58:06.100 critical thinking
00:58:06.900 training, whether
00:58:07.660 it's economics or
00:58:08.760 whatever it was,
00:58:10.880 can you confirm for
00:58:12.080 me that this is a
00:58:12.920 learned skill?
00:58:13.840 It's not something
00:58:14.400 natural.
00:58:15.800 I mean, natural
00:58:16.360 helps.
00:58:17.620 Natural definitely
00:58:18.240 helps.
00:58:19.100 You'd be naturally
00:58:19.820 smart.
00:58:20.620 But you need to
00:58:21.400 learn technique.
00:58:22.840 And people imagine
00:58:23.760 that they don't need
00:58:24.700 it if they're just
00:58:25.380 sort of good,
00:58:26.260 have good common
00:58:26.940 sense.
00:58:27.980 And so I would
00:58:29.020 say to you that
00:58:29.980 if you answered
00:58:30.600 100%, I'm not
00:58:32.800 going to criticize
00:58:33.400 you for that.
00:58:35.600 So I'm not going
00:58:36.360 to criticize anybody
00:58:37.220 who said 100%,
00:58:38.100 even though I
00:58:38.800 believe it's a
00:58:40.060 pretty strong signal
00:58:41.040 that they haven't
00:58:41.760 studied critical
00:58:42.780 thinking.
00:58:43.500 Because here's the
00:58:44.180 thing.
00:58:45.780 All of us have
00:58:46.700 some gaps in
00:58:47.580 things we've
00:58:48.120 studied.
00:58:49.160 Right?
00:58:49.360 I've got lots
00:58:49.840 of gaps.
00:58:50.960 Tons of them.
00:58:52.540 So if you say,
00:58:53.460 Scott, you don't
00:58:54.100 know about, I
00:58:55.220 don't know,
00:58:55.440 physics?
00:58:55.920 Because you
00:58:57.040 didn't study it.
00:58:57.760 I'm not going
00:58:58.120 to say, oh,
00:58:58.640 you've insulted
00:58:59.260 me for my
00:59:00.040 lack of physics
00:59:00.880 understanding.
00:59:02.420 I'm going to
00:59:02.800 say, well,
00:59:03.320 that's true.
00:59:04.100 I have not
00:59:04.540 studied physics.
00:59:05.840 So I'm saying
00:59:06.640 to you, if you
00:59:07.360 haven't studied
00:59:07.900 critical thinking,
00:59:09.320 you might not
00:59:11.580 know what you're
00:59:12.060 missing.
00:59:13.520 All right.
00:59:15.380 Rasmussen asked
00:59:16.160 this poll, still
00:59:17.100 in the context
00:59:17.900 of critical
00:59:18.640 thinking here.
00:59:19.700 How much do
00:59:20.180 you trust
00:59:20.580 Big Pharma?
00:59:21.620 I'm paraphrasing
00:59:22.440 their question.
00:59:24.020 Six percent said
00:59:25.100 they trust
00:59:25.580 Big Pharma
00:59:26.120 quote, a
00:59:26.780 lot.
00:59:29.460 What?
00:59:30.480 Thirty-six
00:59:31.300 percent said
00:59:32.080 somewhat.
00:59:33.560 Fifty-seven
00:59:34.280 said they don't
00:59:35.380 trust Big Pharma
00:59:36.160 very much or
00:59:37.160 they're unsure.
00:59:38.200 I think unsure
00:59:38.960 means you don't
00:59:39.540 trust them.
00:59:40.640 Right?
00:59:41.260 If somebody says,
00:59:42.280 do you trust
00:59:42.680 somebody and you
00:59:43.420 say you're
00:59:43.820 unsure, what
00:59:45.720 the hell does
00:59:46.080 that mean?
00:59:47.680 If you don't
00:59:48.380 trust them, you
00:59:49.840 don't trust them.
00:59:50.380 You're unsure,
00:59:50.920 you don't trust
00:59:51.400 them.
00:59:51.540 So I just
00:59:52.160 lump those
00:59:52.640 with don't
00:59:53.060 trust.
00:59:56.300 So what do
00:59:56.960 you think of
00:59:57.240 that?
00:59:57.560 Do you think
00:59:57.880 people have
00:59:58.300 good critical
00:59:58.880 thinking?
01:00:01.300 Six percent
01:00:02.180 don't because
01:00:03.880 they trust
01:00:04.400 Big Pharma
01:00:04.880 a lot.
01:00:05.400 I think that's
01:00:05.840 an irrational
01:00:07.080 opinion, given
01:00:08.400 what we know.
01:00:11.660 And then
01:00:12.400 Rasmussen said,
01:00:14.880 do you think
01:00:15.460 that Big Pharma
01:00:16.060 is more
01:00:16.480 interested in
01:00:17.100 profits or
01:00:17.840 making customers'
01:00:18.940 lives better?
01:00:21.180 Twenty-five
01:00:21.860 percent answered
01:00:22.680 that Big Pharma's
01:00:23.760 main interest is
01:00:24.740 not profits,
01:00:26.160 but rather making
01:00:27.260 customers' lives
01:00:28.480 better.
01:00:29.760 Huh.
01:00:31.060 Twenty-five
01:00:32.100 percent think
01:00:33.560 Pharma is more
01:00:35.420 interested in
01:00:36.140 our well-being
01:00:36.960 than their
01:00:37.500 billions and
01:00:38.260 billions and
01:00:38.940 billions and
01:00:39.620 billions of
01:00:40.180 dollars of
01:00:40.680 profit.
01:00:42.620 Twenty-five
01:00:43.400 percent.
01:00:45.900 If you're
01:00:46.760 new to the
01:00:47.220 live stream,
01:00:47.720 you might
01:00:49.200 not know
01:00:49.680 that it's
01:00:50.120 an ongoing
01:00:50.660 joke that
01:00:51.300 25 percent
01:00:52.260 of the
01:00:53.200 public will
01:00:53.780 get every
01:00:54.500 poll question
01:00:55.180 wrong.
01:00:56.940 I don't
01:00:57.520 know if
01:00:57.700 it's the
01:00:57.940 same 25
01:00:58.600 percent,
01:00:59.720 but yes,
01:01:00.400 trillions
01:01:00.880 actually.
01:01:01.560 It's literally
01:01:01.960 trillions of
01:01:02.560 dollars for
01:01:03.020 the pharma
01:01:04.140 companies.
01:01:04.640 That's correct.
01:01:06.880 And then
01:01:07.260 this question,
01:01:08.120 do pharma
01:01:08.500 companies have
01:01:09.060 too much
01:01:09.400 influence on
01:01:09.960 the government?
01:01:10.960 Seventy
01:01:11.540 percent said
01:01:12.160 yes.
01:01:14.420 Huh.
01:01:15.860 Seventy
01:01:16.420 percent said
01:01:17.080 yes,
01:01:17.840 big pharma
01:01:18.420 has too
01:01:19.260 much influence
01:01:19.960 on the
01:01:20.260 government,
01:01:21.100 which leaves
01:01:22.020 25-ish
01:01:24.540 percent probably
01:01:25.560 unsure if
01:01:26.780 you take
01:01:27.120 out the
01:01:27.480 uncertains.
01:01:32.240 Once you
01:01:32.860 see it,
01:01:33.280 you can't
01:01:33.640 unsee it,
01:01:34.400 the 25
01:01:34.980 percent thing.
01:01:35.800 I mean,
01:01:36.000 it's not
01:01:36.240 exactly 25
01:01:37.080 percent every
01:01:37.660 time,
01:01:38.160 but it's
01:01:38.560 so consistent
01:01:39.220 it's hilarious.
01:01:39.820 all right.
01:01:44.160 That is my
01:01:45.660 incredible show
01:01:46.460 for the day.
01:01:47.220 I think it's
01:01:47.800 the best thing
01:01:48.220 you've ever
01:01:48.560 seen in your
01:01:49.000 life.
01:01:49.940 I'm going to
01:01:50.500 have to go do
01:01:50.980 some other
01:01:51.320 things.
01:01:52.160 Today's the
01:01:52.640 day that my
01:01:53.240 cat gets her
01:01:53.960 feeding tube
01:01:54.860 taken out
01:01:55.540 and her life
01:01:56.260 goes back to
01:01:56.960 normal,
01:01:57.500 and I can't
01:01:58.340 tell you how
01:01:58.840 happy I am
01:01:59.480 about that.
01:02:00.520 It's the best
01:02:01.260 thing ever.
01:02:02.660 And Boo is
01:02:03.680 doing great.
01:02:05.040 She's climbing
01:02:05.740 and jumping
01:02:06.240 and purring.
01:02:07.540 She's very
01:02:08.160 hungry this
01:02:08.720 morning because
01:02:09.200 I have to
01:02:09.640 keep her unfed
01:02:10.780 for a while
01:02:11.220 because she
01:02:11.560 has to go
01:02:11.920 under to get
01:02:12.360 her tube
01:02:12.620 out.
01:02:13.640 But she's
01:02:14.980 doing great,
01:02:16.360 and I'm
01:02:16.600 doing okay
01:02:18.520 myself.
01:02:20.560 So I hope
01:02:22.980 I made your
01:02:23.580 life a little
01:02:24.020 bit better
01:02:24.380 today,
01:02:25.620 and go off
01:02:28.280 and have a
01:02:28.800 great rest of
01:02:29.340 your day,
01:02:29.720 and I'm
01:02:30.080 going to see
01:02:30.440 you tomorrow.