Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1591 Scott Adams： Twitters New Rules and my Best and Worst of Year Picks

00:00:01.000 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:03.040 Welcome to the best thing that's ever happened.

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00:00:41.600 Cassandra, we love you too.

00:00:43.920 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:45.660 It's the dopamine to the day.

00:00:47.540 It's going to make everything better.

00:00:49.340 Watch.

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00:00:50.280 Go.

00:00:54.360 Oh, yeah.

00:00:55.160 Oh, yeah.

00:01:00.500 Well, here's my first mystery of the day.

00:01:04.760 Could we have some music?

00:01:07.960 Mystery of the day.

00:01:10.840 Da-da-da-da-da-da-da.

00:01:13.400 This is a low production outfit, so you've got to take what you can get.

00:01:17.220 Here's my mystery of the day.

00:01:18.920 I keep hearing from people on Twitter that they live in a state

00:01:23.140 in which they've just ignored the pandemic and everything was fine.

00:01:28.200 Is that true?

00:01:30.860 And if it is true, why didn't I know it until now?

00:01:34.340 I don't think it's true, but it might be true-ish.

00:01:40.480 So the states which were suggested were Georgia, South Carolina.

00:01:46.040 Florida is a special case because we all watched their transition from doing stuff

00:01:50.860 to doing stuff differently.

00:01:52.100 But is it true that in Georgia or South Carolina, they just basically ignored the pandemic and

00:02:00.500 everything was fine?

00:02:01.980 Is that true?

00:02:08.940 People are saying yes.

00:02:10.400 Now, I'm not confused by, let's say, Wyoming or Montana or South Dakota, right?

00:02:19.620 If South Dakota ignored the pandemic and everything was fine, I would say, well, that makes sense.

00:02:25.740 South Dakota.

00:02:27.220 Wasn't much population there.

00:02:28.960 But how in the world could Georgia, with its corpulent population, how in the world could they just 1.00

00:02:39.520 sail through the pandemic without their hospitals getting crashed?

00:02:44.400 I don't know the answer, by the way.

00:02:46.000 Usually when I ask these questions, I've got some sense of an answer before I ask the question.

00:02:50.780 I legitimately don't know the answer to this.

00:02:53.120 Like, honest to God, I don't know if there are major states that just ignored the pandemic

00:03:00.820 and did fine.

00:03:02.360 I doubt it.

00:03:06.000 But remember what I said at the beginning of the pandemic is that you would never be able

00:03:09.600 to tell which leaders made the right decisions, which is a wild, crazy prediction, isn't it?

00:03:17.980 And I said that specifically, you wouldn't be able to compare any two countries.

00:03:22.000 And learn something.

00:03:24.560 You'd think you were.

00:03:25.980 Every time you did one of those comparisons, you'd say, Sweden this and UK that.

00:03:33.020 But every time somebody tries to copy somebody else's technique, they don't seem to get the

00:03:39.120 same result.

00:03:40.960 So leadership and even, you know, what processes were used were way less predictive than they

00:03:48.240 should have been.

00:03:48.700 You know, the experts will still say that all that clearly worked and there's data to show

00:03:53.400 it worked.

00:03:54.260 And there's data to show that masks and distancing and restrictions all worked.

00:03:59.780 And vaccinations.

00:04:01.680 But it worked in the sense of, you know, decreasing how bad things were.

00:04:06.660 But if that's true, why isn't everybody doing the same thing?

00:04:11.960 Like, you know, if we know exactly what worked and what didn't, why are some people just not

00:04:18.560 doing that and getting a good result?

00:04:20.360 Or are they?

00:04:21.220 Or are they not?

00:04:22.960 All right.

00:04:23.220 It was just a mystery.

00:04:24.620 If anybody can figure that out for me, let me know.

00:04:26.700 So I was pointing to the new Twitter rules on what you can and cannot do.

00:04:34.980 And I think that these rules are so interesting that I'm going to run through them because

00:04:41.280 I think your hair will catch on fire with some of these.

00:04:44.840 Okay?

00:04:45.020 These are the new Twitter rules, new in November, I guess.

00:04:51.480 Claims that specific groups or people or other demographically identifiable identity are

00:04:58.560 more or less prone to be infected or to develop adverse symptoms on the basis of their membership

00:05:04.680 in that group.

00:05:06.240 You can't say that.

00:05:07.560 Now, isn't that the official government opinion?

00:05:14.900 Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the official government opinion that black Americans are 0.89

00:05:22.720 having worse outcomes?

00:05:25.840 Am I wrong about that?

00:05:27.860 Did that change?

00:05:29.540 Now, I won't get kicked off for saying that I'm not sure what the truth is.

00:05:35.380 So I'll tell you about this.

00:05:36.700 As long as you're clearly stating an opinion, you're safe.

00:05:42.100 You can't just state something's true as a fact and then, you know, if it's wrong, according

00:05:49.240 to Twitter.

00:05:50.760 So I feel as though this, I don't even understand this rule because this is the official science,

00:06:00.200 isn't it?

00:06:00.820 Isn't it?

00:06:02.140 I have to add that isn't it so I wouldn't get banned, right?

00:06:05.500 If I had said the official science says that black people have worse outcomes, if I were

00:06:12.180 to say that, which I'm not because I don't want to get banned, I have to throw in some

00:06:17.400 doubt like it's an opinion.

00:06:21.160 What am I missing here?

00:06:23.800 Clearly, aren't I missing something?

00:06:25.400 Well, why could they say this is banned?

00:06:29.840 All right.

00:06:30.700 Here's another one.

00:06:32.800 False information about widely accepted testing methodologies, such as that PCR tests are unable

00:06:40.280 to detect virus.

00:06:41.560 In the comments, how many of you believe that it's true that the PCR tests do not detect

00:06:47.640 virus accurately or that they're detecting too much stuff or whatever?

00:06:53.020 How many of you believe PCR tests are not accurate?

00:06:58.580 In the comments, how many of you believe that it's true that they're not accurate?

00:07:04.940 If you were to say that as a fact, you would be kicked off of Twitter.

00:07:12.960 Now, here's my belief.

00:07:15.680 My belief is that Twitter is correct.

00:07:18.500 Do I know?

00:07:21.760 How would I?

00:07:23.280 It's not like I'm the scientist who tested the PCR test.

00:07:27.460 How would I know?

00:07:28.820 But my belief, which is different than many of yours, is that whatever you were reading

00:07:34.020 that said that the PCR tests are bogus and behind a fake pandemic, I think that's just

00:07:40.340 misinterpreted stuff.

00:07:41.960 I believe.

00:07:43.040 I could be wrong.

00:07:44.620 But I do believe that PCR tests are accurate.

00:07:47.580 So I'll give Twitter that one.

00:07:49.880 But I could be wrong.

00:07:51.780 How about this?

00:07:53.260 False or...

00:07:54.060 You could get kicked off Twitter for this, too.

00:07:56.000 False or misleading information about preventative measures that one can take to avoid infection,

00:08:02.300 such as claims that face masks cause hypoxia.

00:08:06.660 If you said face masks cause hypoxia, Twitter would have a problem with that.

00:08:12.760 By the way, this doesn't mean an automatic ban.

00:08:15.220 I think you get warned first or something.

00:08:17.580 And you also can't say that face masks cause bacteria, bacterial, or bacterial pneumonia.

00:08:26.460 And you cannot say...

00:08:27.880 These are just examples.

00:08:29.660 And you cannot say that masks don't reduce transmission.

00:08:35.120 You can say it, I guess, as an opinion, but not as a fact.

00:08:45.420 Is your head exploding yet?

00:08:48.600 It doesn't get any better. 0.63

00:08:50.120 Let me keep going.

00:08:50.760 You can't make false or misleading information, or you can't tweet it, suggesting that unapproved treatments can be curative.

00:09:02.220 So you can't tweet that ivermectin can be curative.

00:09:10.500 Not that it is.

00:09:12.520 Just that it can.

00:09:13.760 Is that the same as could be?

00:09:17.560 I don't know.

00:09:18.180 That word is a little ambiguous, can.

00:09:20.580 Does that mean you can't tweet that it's possible?

00:09:24.060 Or that you can't tweet that it's a fact that it works?

00:09:27.380 It's a little unclear.

00:09:28.320 Now, the lack of clarity in here, of course, is alarming, because humans will be involved making judgments, and God knows how good those judgments will be.

00:09:41.980 But you can't say that vitamin D would take care of everything, I guess.

00:09:47.020 So, yeah, I know some of you are not on Twitter, but the point is that this is a major communication platform, and here's something else you can't say on Twitter.

00:10:02.200 The vaccines will cause you to be sick, comma, spread the virus, comma, or would be more harmful than getting COVID-19.

00:10:10.880 You're not allowed to say that the vaccination is more harmful than getting COVID.

00:10:20.680 Are you okay with that?

00:10:23.180 In every case, do you think that this is a safe thing to say for everybody in every situation?

00:10:31.640 That just a blanket statement, that in every case, the shot is safer than the coronavirus itself.

00:10:41.360 Which, by the way, could be true.

00:10:43.140 It could be true.

00:10:46.960 I know it makes you uncomfortable.

00:10:48.500 I don't know how much of a problem that one is.

00:10:51.000 All right.

00:10:52.100 How about...

00:10:54.080 So here's the ambiguity in the sentence that people, I think, are misinterpreting.

00:10:57.800 It says, the vaccines will cause you to spread the virus.

00:11:02.840 So you can't say the vaccines will cause you to spread the virus.

00:11:06.960 But I think you can say that people who are vaccinated can spread the virus, right?

00:11:17.300 Because that's the official word.

00:11:18.980 But I think that's been misinterpreted as saying you can't say that people with vaccinations spread the virus.

00:11:26.480 I think you can still say that, because that's the official thing.

00:11:29.440 But it's not the vaccines that are causing the spread.

00:11:34.960 So again, the wording of this is so important.

00:11:37.700 A little ambiguity causes a big problem.

00:11:41.160 You can't tweet any claims that vaccines will alter genetic code.

00:11:48.960 Will alter genetic code.

00:11:51.160 You can't do that.

00:11:51.900 What do you think of that?

00:11:57.440 Do we know that?

00:11:59.480 Is it a fact?

00:12:01.320 Or just the current of thinking?

00:12:06.040 All viruses alter genetic code, somebody says.

00:12:09.120 Yeah, I think this one seems like a little bit of a problem.

00:12:12.020 Because I think it depends on what you mean by altered.

00:12:18.220 Are there lots of things that damage DNA?

00:12:21.900 If something damages DNA, is that altering it?

00:12:26.560 And aren't there lots of things that damage DNA?

00:12:29.600 It's not just viruses, is it?

00:12:32.020 Do viruses damage DNA?

00:12:33.980 Does a vaccine damage DNA?

00:12:36.840 I don't know any of that.

00:12:38.340 But anyway, be careful of that.

00:12:44.120 Here's something else you can't say.

00:12:45.540 False or misleading claims that people who have received the vaccine can spread or shed the virus.

00:12:51.900 To unvaccinated people.

00:12:55.360 This is literally the official government opinion you can't say on Twitter.

00:13:01.780 Let me read it again.

00:13:04.040 Am I reading this wrong?

00:13:05.060 Well, you can't make on Twitter false or misleading claims that people who have received the vaccine can spread or shed the virus to unvaccinated people.

00:13:21.580 What?

00:13:22.060 Yeah, this is a confirmed fact.

00:13:27.180 Let's test it out.

00:13:29.280 We'll see if I get a warning or...

00:13:32.200 Well, I'm not on Twitter now, so I guess that doesn't count.

00:13:36.660 I feel like that's just...

00:13:38.520 There's just something wrong with that, right?

00:13:40.780 Either the guideline is written poorly, or I don't know how to read suddenly, or you're not allowed to say what the government says is true as a fact.

00:13:55.360 You can't say it as a fact.

00:13:58.240 That's weird.

00:14:00.020 I mean, there's just something wrong here, right?

00:14:01.360 What you're allowed to do, let's see.

00:14:09.520 Oh, you can't also do...

00:14:12.360 You can't make strong or misleading assertions of fact.

00:14:16.920 All right, here are some things you are allowed to do.

00:14:19.440 So Twitter specifically says they're not going to give you trouble for this.

00:14:23.700 Personal anecdotes or first-person accounts.

00:14:26.460 So you're allowed to say, you know, my cousin got the vaccination and X happened to my cousin.

00:14:35.780 What would be the most misleading kind of information that you could ever have?

00:14:42.620 What would be the single most misleading information you could ever have on the pandemic?

00:14:50.820 Anecdotal information.

00:14:52.020 Now, even though it's true, it's so misleading because people think the anecdote, you know, represents the whole.

00:15:00.220 So it turns out that the least valuable data, first-person accounts, are allowed.

00:15:07.480 Now, I think they should be allowed, you know, free speech, blah, blah, blah.

00:15:11.420 And they're true.

00:15:12.760 I mean, if something's true when you talk about it, that's got to be allowed, I guess.

00:15:17.600 But it is the least useful thing.

00:15:20.340 But it's allowed.

00:15:22.020 You're also allowed to have public debate about, you know, the advancement and things changing and blah, blah, blah.

00:15:31.520 All right.

00:15:32.680 So I guess everybody's concern is that the rules have enough ambiguity that they could be used to ban anybody for anything if they were talking about, you know, the pandemic.

00:15:46.860 So I saw, I think, at least two people tweeting things that should have gotten them a warning or a ban just this morning.

00:15:56.200 Just to me.

00:15:57.720 These are people who just tweeted at me specifically with totally bannable content already.

00:16:04.860 I mean, I assume they're not going to be too tough on enforcement here. 0.89

00:16:10.700 So here's the bullshit of the day that John Heilman, who works for MSNBC, I think. 0.94

00:16:20.240 MSNBC. 0.96

00:16:20.840 He's concerned that there are 30 million people, this is a quote, 30 million people right now who are ready to take up arms, quote, to restore Donald Trump in office.

00:16:35.920 And he says, that's not hyperbolic at all.

00:16:39.540 Those are the facts.

00:16:41.100 Now, he says those are the facts.

00:16:42.520 I believe that's based on some kind of survey about the number of people who thought that, you know, under certain circumstances,

00:16:52.080 they might have to take up arms to reclaim the country or take it over or something.

00:16:56.980 Now, I don't doubt that somewhere there is such a statistic in which people on the right are warning of an armed insurrection under certain conditions.

00:17:08.780 Would you agree with that?

00:17:10.740 That's probably true.

00:17:11.700 People said it in a survey.

00:17:14.420 But, of course, they would be defining what those certain situation is, right?

00:17:18.820 Or are.

00:17:19.840 It's not like they're going to do it because they don't like the design of the flag.

00:17:24.760 You know, it's not like 30 million people are going to storm the Capitol with their weapons because they don't like, you know, trans policy or something.

00:17:36.240 So the idea that these 30 million people are, like, on the edge of being activated because they don't like the election or something, nothing could be further from the truth.

00:17:48.420 Nothing.

00:17:48.940 And here's what I think the left doesn't understand about the right.

00:17:53.720 And I want to see if you can fact check me on this because this is an opinion.

00:17:58.580 But I want to see if you have the same impression.

00:18:02.560 People on the right talk about taking up arms against the government like people on the left talk about getting tattoos.

00:18:13.620 It's just something they say.

00:18:15.640 It doesn't mean anybody's going to do it.

00:18:20.100 It's just sort of this continuous warning against our own government, wouldn't you say?

00:18:25.200 If this were to happen, it's a good thing we have the Second Amendment. 0.95

00:18:29.620 Say conservatives all the time.

00:18:31.940 It's just sort of a general warning so that it's always in the atmosphere.

00:18:36.620 Because you don't want anybody to forget that there are 30 million or whatever armed Americans who are willing to try to protect, and they're probably in their way of thinking, protect the country.

00:18:50.140 Of course they are.

00:18:51.660 Of course there are 30 million people who would take up arms in the right situation.

00:18:56.320 Yeah, in the right situation, would 30 million Americans take up arms?

00:19:01.580 100 million would.

00:19:02.960 In the right situation, maybe 150 million.

00:19:07.520 In the right situation, let's say a land attack against the United States, yeah, you'd have 100 million Americans with a gun in their hand in 24 hours.

00:19:16.760 So, I think the left, of course the right gives them this opportunity by the way they use rhetoric, but I think you really have to understand it's just the way the right talks.

00:19:33.400 Will you give me a yes or a no on that?

00:19:35.920 Those of you who spend most of your time or are identified with the right, it's just the way they talk.

00:19:40.940 And now it's turned into this 30 million people with weapons trying to take over the country. 0.57

00:19:46.660 Nothing like that's happened.

00:19:48.800 Like, if you were to make a list of all the things that are possible, that would just be dead last.

00:19:55.040 I mean, anything's possible, right?

00:19:57.340 But in terms of likelihood, just dead last.

00:20:00.600 Dead last.

00:20:01.360 It's a total misreading of the right.

00:20:03.540 But I would say that if your last name is Heilman, it's safer to be associated with the left.

00:20:14.740 Because they're not going to make Hitler jokes about you so much.

00:20:18.860 All right.

00:20:20.400 There's a story about Mark Meadows, and he had a PowerPoint that he, apparently he touched it.

00:20:26.560 He didn't make it, but he sent it to some people.

00:20:30.500 He's not even sure where it came from.

00:20:32.020 It's this long PowerPoint presentation around, this was around the January 5th, and it had some ideas for stalling the certification of the vote and, you know, getting Pence to do this or that that's unconstitutional.

00:20:48.420 Now, Mark Meadows says, somebody gave it to me and I showed it to some other people, but, you know, it wasn't anything I was taking seriously.

00:20:57.440 It's not like he had considered the plan or anything.

00:20:59.700 Well, I don't know if he considered the plan, but the fact that it was on a PowerPoint had nothing to do with Mark Meadows.

00:21:05.500 He didn't make it.

00:21:07.180 So that, you know, the fake news is blowing that into some kind of a Mark Meadows PowerPoint about overthrowing the government,

00:21:14.580 when in fact he's just a guy who saw a PowerPoint.

00:21:18.600 That's pretty much it.

00:21:19.620 January 5th was the day that this was happening, ahead of the January 6th protests.

00:21:26.500 So I did get the dates correct.

00:21:30.820 All right.

00:21:31.360 Here are my best and worst of the year awards.

00:21:36.340 My roundup.

00:21:37.640 Okay.

00:21:39.580 Here comes the roundup.

00:21:41.140 Number one, best brainwashing play of the year.

00:21:48.140 The best brainwashing play of the year is, I tweeted this, that one of the best applications of mass brainwashing in modern times, actually,

00:21:57.380 is the idea that the January 6th protesters wanted something other than a fair and transparent election result.

00:22:04.520 The fact that some gigantic percentage of the country has been brainwashed to believe that that was an insurrection,

00:22:13.820 as opposed to protecting the existing system, which is exactly what they asked for,

00:22:19.880 let us protect the existing system by making damn sure that this election was not rigged,

00:22:25.280 because it kind of looks like it might have been.

00:22:28.160 Right?

00:22:28.260 That is so far from the way this is being presented as some kind of insurrection.

00:22:34.920 So far away from that.

00:22:37.040 But if you're just going to look at the effectiveness of the brainwashing, it was really good.

00:22:44.400 It was really strong.

00:22:45.580 So the brainwashing play of the year is that January 6th was an insurrection. 0.89

00:22:50.040 Biggest hypocrites of the year, the teachers' unions, for promoting a critical race theory 0.91

00:22:59.740 as if the teachers' unions themselves were not the main cause of systemic racism. 0.99

00:23:07.700 The beauty of this hypocrisy is almost breathtaking.

00:23:13.280 The teachers' unions being the cause of systemic racism in the sense that they are the reason

00:23:19.960 that there's not enough competition in schools, and they're the reason that you can't get a good education 0.91

00:23:25.060 if you're black and in a bad part of the country.

00:23:29.460 So they are the embodiment of systemic racism, but they would have you believe that they're teaching it 0.80

00:23:37.360 or that they promote teaching it.

00:23:39.740 It just doesn't mention themselves as one of the topics. 0.99

00:23:43.820 Hypocrites of the year. 0.97

00:23:44.980 All right. 1.00

00:23:46.280 Most racist event of the year.

00:23:48.560 Go. 0.68

00:23:49.580 Most racist event.

00:23:51.160 See if you get the same answer as I did.

00:23:53.200 What's the most racist thing that happened?

00:23:56.780 Yeah, it's Jussie.

00:23:58.680 Jussie Smollett.

00:24:00.640 Now, I don't know what the other possibilities would be if we're just looking at the year, 2021.

00:24:07.220 I'm going to talk about Kyle.

00:24:09.000 We'll get to Kyle.

00:24:09.620 Joy Reid, yeah.

00:24:11.140 But I think that the whole Jussie Smollett thing has got to be the winner. 0.98

00:24:19.000 And that, of course, was racist against white people, white conservatives.

00:24:23.860 The political play of the year.

00:24:27.380 The most clever.

00:24:30.940 Jesus.

00:24:31.720 I just saw the most disturbing meme I've ever seen in my life.

00:24:35.080 The people on Locals know what I'm talking about.

00:24:39.540 But just be glad you didn't see that one over there on YouTube.

00:24:44.060 Oh, that was disturbing.

00:24:45.980 Anyway, the political play of the year is the Texas abortion tweaks, allowing private citizens to sue the doctors, I guess.

00:24:54.660 So, I didn't see that coming.

00:24:56.660 And I would say that in terms of just cleverness, that was the play of the year.

00:25:02.160 But it was so clever that it looks like Gavin Newsom is going to use a similar concept to put more constrictions on assault rifles and ghost gun makers.

00:25:11.780 So, it's like a brand new play that I guess hadn't been used.

00:25:18.660 And that's the political play of the year.

00:25:22.560 Worked for both sides.

00:25:24.640 What is the biggest crime of the year?

00:25:27.420 Biggest crime of the year.

00:25:30.120 Presumed.

00:25:31.620 In parentheses.

00:25:32.900 Biggest crime of the year.

00:25:35.000 Presumed.

00:25:35.840 Not proven.

00:25:37.440 Presumed.

00:25:38.460 Go.

00:25:38.640 So, SUV attack.

00:25:41.660 No.

00:25:45.100 Binger.

00:25:46.020 Maxwell.

00:25:51.200 Uyghurs. 1.00

00:25:52.320 Hedges Lane.

00:25:54.440 Oh, Australian concentration camps.

00:25:56.460 Well, I was trying to focus this on more American stuff.

00:25:59.700 But I'm going to say the biggest crime of the year is whoever was behind limiting the rapid testing.

00:26:06.520 The cheap rapid testing in the United States.

00:26:09.580 We don't know who it was or even if there was a person behind it.

00:26:13.560 But all indications are that there's some gigantic crime involved because incompetence wouldn't really explain it.

00:26:20.500 So, there has to be some kind of criminal activity behind that.

00:26:23.240 So, I think that's the biggest crime of the year based on the death count.

00:26:27.680 Because even the Uyghurs are not being killed at this, at the rate of the pandemic.

00:26:32.780 And I think that having rapid testing early makes less difference now.

00:26:38.320 But if we had it early, probably would have taken a big bite out of things.

00:26:41.940 Maybe let us get back to normal a lot faster.

00:26:44.260 Best persuader of the year.

00:26:47.720 Who is the most persuasive and successful?

00:26:51.660 It has to be successful.

00:26:53.380 The best persuader of the year.

00:26:55.620 Go.

00:26:57.440 Elon Musk.

00:26:58.560 I'm not going to say him, but that would have been a good answer.

00:27:02.060 DeSantis.

00:27:02.720 Very good.

00:27:04.400 Yeah, I appreciate it if you say me, but that's not what I'm looking for.

00:27:07.880 Or, Cernovich, he's always toward the top.

00:27:15.660 Joe Biden.

00:27:16.760 Elon Musk.

00:27:17.360 The answer is Michael Schellenberger.

00:27:20.880 Michael Schellenberger.

00:27:22.700 For convincing, I think, Congress to be pro-nuclear.

00:27:28.980 And I think he's the primary reason that this is happening.

00:27:33.020 So, that's one of the biggest, most important things that's ever happened.

00:27:36.880 And essentially, the form of persuasion was reframing things more accurately.

00:27:43.920 I mean, that's the primary way he persuades.

00:27:46.900 He just teaches them that they have some older ideas, that they're not updated.

00:27:53.060 So, essentially, by convincing all of Congress at this point, I think, most of it,

00:27:59.540 convincing them that what they used to think about nuclear power is a little outdated.

00:28:04.420 And if they were simply current, they would have a different opinion.

00:28:09.080 He brought them current.

00:28:11.420 And now everybody's pro-nuclear.

00:28:13.700 You know, the climate change fear certainly helped.

00:28:16.820 But I think it was Schellenberger who did that.

00:28:18.660 And now he's focusing on San Francisco and bad management there.

00:28:22.840 And specifically, the thing we call the homeless problem, which is really a drug problem.

00:28:28.660 Because the reason that they're homeless is they like to do drugs.

00:28:32.620 And they can't do it if they check into some kind of managed facility.

00:28:36.740 So, once Schellenberger is done persuading people that they're not up to date on the information about this topic,

00:28:46.160 and then he brings them up to date, which is what he's doing with his books and, you know, continuous communication on this,

00:28:54.980 I think he's going to turn this one, too.

00:28:57.200 And it looks to me like he may have solved, or he's on the way to, I don't want to say single-handedly, because lots of people help,

00:29:05.220 but being the most important character, solving two of the biggest problems in the country.

00:29:10.680 And it might happen, you might get all of that done in like a five-year period.

00:29:15.680 I mean, unbelievable, really.

00:29:17.600 Just incredible.

00:29:19.260 All right.

00:29:19.740 Worst politician of the year ago.

00:29:21.580 Who is politically the worst politician of the year?

00:29:28.240 That is right, Kamala Harris.

00:29:30.820 This one's not even close.

00:29:33.800 All right.

00:29:34.060 Who's the best politician of the year?

00:29:37.120 Best politician of the year.

00:29:38.900 You don't have to agree with their politics.

00:29:41.380 They were just the best politician.

00:29:44.560 DeSantis by a mile.

00:29:46.840 Yeah.

00:29:47.160 There's nobody close, right?

00:29:49.100 Like, who's really second?

00:29:51.580 To DeSantis.

00:29:52.780 You know, Trump is sort of a omnipresent character.

00:29:58.760 Manchin's a special case.

00:30:00.820 Yeah, Manchin's a special case, because he just accidentally got all that power by being flexible.

00:30:07.200 But I think DeSantis wins hands down for just politicking.

00:30:11.100 Now, that's different from effectiveness and whether you like his policies.

00:30:14.360 But just as a politician, wow.

00:30:18.300 Actually, one of the best...

00:30:20.160 I would say DeSantis had one of the best years of any politician ever that I can think of.

00:30:29.500 Can you?

00:30:30.440 Can you think of any politician who ever had a better year just as being a politician?

00:30:35.920 I can't think of one. 0.99

00:30:36.700 How about the most transparent bullshit of the year? 0.99

00:30:44.420 This is... 0.99

00:30:44.960 I don't know if this is the biggest one of the year, but it's the one I saw today.

00:30:48.380 So it just, you know, got to me today. 0.97

00:30:50.880 So this is a little hyperbole for me, but the most transparent bullshit of the year. 0.90

00:30:55.000 I remember Boris Johnson talking about the Omicron just, I think, yesterday. 0.97

00:30:59.680 And he said that one person has died with Omicron.

00:31:07.720 They've died with it. 1.00

00:31:11.560 Does anybody see any transparent bullshit? 1.00

00:31:15.820 There's one person who died with it. 1.00

00:31:19.140 Not because of it.

00:31:23.160 With it.

00:31:25.240 All right?

00:31:25.880 Now, he throws that in there as if we're not going to notice the with part, all right?

00:31:31.080 But it gets worse.

00:31:32.480 That wasn't even the part I was going to go to, right?

00:31:34.840 I'm just building up to it.

00:31:36.960 I'm literally just building up to it.

00:31:39.840 He said that we should...

00:31:41.800 I'm paraphrasing a little bit, but this is pretty close.

00:31:44.240 We should ignore the mildness of the Omicron, meaning the fact that it's not killing anybody

00:31:51.920 that we know of, and that I'll tell you later that there's not any case of a bad outcome.

00:32:01.100 This is another tweet I saw today, that there's no case of any bad outcome from Omicron, not

00:32:06.860 even a hospitalization, much less a death, not even a bad hospitalization.

00:32:14.240 Are you hearing that?

00:32:16.500 That's as of some information that got tweeted around today.

00:32:20.040 You can see that on my Twitter feed if you want to see the source.

00:32:23.760 But here's what Boris Johnson said about this.

00:32:26.460 In the face of it being so mild, he said,

00:32:30.080 we should ignore the mildness of the Omicron.

00:32:32.280 Again, I'm paraphrasing, not exact words.

00:32:34.620 We should ignore the mildness of the Omicron and focus on its pace of infection.

00:32:40.060 What?

00:32:43.540 What?

00:32:45.280 No, the mildness is why we should be happy about the pace of infection.

00:32:50.960 I want more infection, not less, if it's true that it's super mild.

00:32:56.540 And so far, it's looking that way, right?

00:32:59.040 So you can see that he's trying to keep people panicked so that he can control them in terms

00:33:06.380 of their mitigation strategies.

00:33:08.880 But here's what he should have said if he was being even a little bit honest.

00:33:13.800 You know, we might find some surprises from this Omicron that's more dangerous than we

00:33:18.020 think.

00:33:19.140 At the moment, it looks like it's going to get us out of the pandemic.

00:33:22.060 But don't relax yet, because I'd give it a good two weeks before we feel confident about

00:33:28.380 that.

00:33:29.780 When the Omicron reaches 75% as new infections, then we probably need to rethink our entire

00:33:37.000 strategy.

00:33:38.360 That would be a good leader statement.

00:33:43.120 Not, we should ignore the mildness and focus on its pace of infection. 1.00

00:33:47.420 You fucking idiot. 1.00

00:33:48.880 You fucking idiot. 1.00

00:33:49.880 That is so transparent bullshit. 1.00

00:33:53.720 Can you give us the mild respect of not lying so obviously to our fucking faces? 1.00

00:34:01.820 A little bit of respect, please, Boris Johnson. 0.99

00:34:05.720 You know, the Brits, I always think the Brits are sort of leading us all in politeness in

00:34:12.160 terms of, you know, public discourse.

00:34:15.180 But seriously, a little bit of respect, please.

00:34:18.300 A little bit of respect.

00:34:20.400 This is not respectful. 1.00

00:34:22.580 Forget the fact that it's bullshit. 0.99

00:34:24.900 Forget the fact that it's, you know, closer to a lie than an actual honest statement. 0.99

00:34:31.160 This is disrespectful.

00:34:33.280 This is just flat out disrespectful.

00:34:36.140 And I don't think we can let that, you can't let that pass without mention.

00:34:39.700 Lying to us cleverly, even, you know, if it's for our own good or whatever.

00:34:46.520 Maybe, you know, I'll look at that a little bit differently.

00:34:50.220 But don't disrespect us by lying obviously.

00:34:53.980 Not obviously.

00:34:55.980 All right.

00:34:56.320 Here's the most shocking story, but not really, of the year.

00:35:03.880 So the quality had to be two things.

00:35:07.200 It had to be shocking, and at the same time, you knew it was going to happen.

00:35:11.700 Or something like it.

00:35:13.540 Here's the shocking story, but not really.

00:35:16.140 The Pfizer asked for 75 years to produce data concerning the Pfizer and bio, blah, blah, blah, vaccine.

00:35:24.560 That is frickin' shocking.

00:35:28.300 But not really.

00:35:29.480 Not really.

00:35:31.560 Right?

00:35:32.460 Yeah, the Russia collusion hoax,

00:35:34.960 you could argue that that was the biggest revealed hoax of the year.

00:35:41.580 Probably the biggest hoax of the last five years.

00:35:45.680 But it's the biggest revealed hoax of the year.

00:35:47.580 I'll give it that.

00:35:49.040 All right.

00:35:49.240 How about the biggest mass murderer of the year?

00:35:52.520 Here we'll go international.

00:35:54.600 Biggest mass murderer.

00:35:57.100 And I'm looking for a person's name.

00:36:00.060 Biggest mass murderer of the year.

00:36:02.440 Yeah.

00:36:03.560 Yep.

00:36:04.080 President Xi of China, not even close.

00:36:07.760 Because you've got the coronavirus, you could argue, you know,

00:36:11.920 whether that should be on the list or not under Xi.

00:36:15.080 But certainly fentanyl.

00:36:17.540 The fentanyl is all you need to know about the biggest mass murder.

00:36:21.360 Whatever they're doing with the Uyghurs, 1.00

00:36:23.160 whatever they're doing with the dissonance and taking their organs out and selling them.

00:36:27.880 You know, you put it all together, 0.88

00:36:29.360 and President Xi, biggest mass murderer of the year.

00:36:32.720 But a special mention to whoever stopped the rapid testing in America,

00:36:38.440 because that may have been, I don't know,

00:36:40.020 that could have killed 100,000 people.

00:36:42.680 It's hard to know.

00:36:44.020 But I'd say whoever was the stopper of the rapid tests,

00:36:48.120 or whatever group or people,

00:36:50.940 may have killed 100,000 Americans.

00:36:54.260 But that's not even close to what Xi has done.

00:36:58.140 Not even close.

00:36:59.760 All right.

00:37:00.040 Most inspirational event of the year.

00:37:05.040 Most inspirational.

00:37:06.460 What made you feel the best?

00:37:09.360 The most inspirational thing.

00:37:11.160 Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:37:12.100 Interesting.

00:37:13.380 That did feel good.

00:37:15.640 I have to go with Elon Musk's spaceflight.

00:37:20.820 Now, Bezos gets sort of an also-ran credit.

00:37:26.420 And, you know, so does Richard Branson, Sir Richard Branson.

00:37:32.420 But I think Elon Musk set the standard for this.

00:37:36.880 And I've got to tell you that it was the one time this year that I just got tingles.

00:37:43.180 Like, that just made me feel good about everything.

00:37:46.420 So, most inspirational event of the year.

00:37:48.620 And, of course, Elon Musk is Times Person of the Year.

00:37:50.820 And I like that pick.

00:37:53.760 What is the best news of the year?

00:37:56.220 The best good news?

00:37:57.440 Now, the rocket launch is inspirational.

00:37:59.400 But, you know, it's the beginning of a long process of what we hope to be good news.

00:38:04.440 Space conquest.

00:38:07.000 But best news of the year.

00:38:10.820 Somebody's saying Omicron.

00:38:12.700 That's on my list.

00:38:14.360 That's third on my list is Omicron is the best news of the year.

00:38:17.300 So far.

00:38:19.460 I mean, we think.

00:38:20.860 It's a little too early.

00:38:24.040 Here are the other ones.

00:38:25.820 CO2 emissions have been flat for 10 years.

00:38:29.300 Did you all know that?

00:38:30.960 I believe that's true.

00:38:32.500 The CO2 emissions from humans have been flat for 10 years.

00:38:37.140 Now, that's a big deal.

00:38:40.160 But also advancements in fusion and the turnaround in opinions on nuclear energy.

00:38:45.620 I think the nuclear and the fusion stories, even though fusion is not commercialized yet, we know it can be now.

00:38:56.380 Now, this may be the flying car of all flying cars and it never gets commercialized.

00:39:01.480 But I think the right people are telling us it's an engineering problem now as opposed to an invention problem.

00:39:07.400 So I think we're, I think we can say with confidence at this point that fusion will be here.

00:39:16.100 Five years, 10 years, 20, I don't know.

00:39:18.200 But it's coming.

00:39:19.220 I think it's coming.

00:39:20.780 Now, I'm an optimist, so I could be wrong about that.

00:39:24.040 All right.

00:39:24.320 What is the best disappeared story of the year?

00:39:28.400 The best disappeared story.

00:39:30.640 A story that should have been, yeah, a lot of candidates, right?

00:39:39.380 Waukesha.

00:39:40.800 You've got the Biden's, Hunter Biden's laptop.

00:39:47.740 Russia collusion disappeared from half of the coverage. 0.98

00:39:51.840 So you've got, yeah, you've got Ghislaine, you've got the Rittenhouse, the fact that he shot white people instead of black people. 0.95

00:40:02.020 Yeah, there's a lot of competition. 0.69

00:40:04.640 But I think the Waukesha one is the most blatant. 0.76

00:40:09.280 So I think I'll put Waukesha first. 0.97

00:40:15.880 All right.

00:40:17.020 What is the biggest analytical mistake of the year?

00:40:20.060 Biggest analytical mistake of the year, not by any one person, but by people.

00:40:27.360 What would you say?

00:40:28.860 Biggest analytical mistake of the year.

00:40:32.460 Bitcoin, somebody says.

00:40:34.520 Vaccines work.

00:40:36.960 No, that's not what I'm going for.

00:40:40.140 Global warming, no, that's not really of this year.

00:40:43.620 Rigged elections, no.

00:40:44.880 Inflation, no.

00:40:46.460 I'm going to say comparing countries during the pandemic.

00:40:50.060 I think the biggest analytical mistake is to think that you can compare two countries and know something.

00:40:57.980 Now, at the beginning of this live stream, I said, can we compare those other states?

00:41:04.160 Because that's a little bit better comparison.

00:41:06.940 Because at least states within the United States, it's a little easier to find a comparable.

00:41:12.460 Like you could find something that's a little bit like Georgia, such as South Carolina.

00:41:17.260 You could find something that's a little bit like Montana, such as South Dakota, perhaps.

00:41:23.840 But, you know, if you're comparing a European country or America to Sweden, there are just too many different variables involved there.

00:41:32.620 So I would say that comparing any countries and thinking that that told you something was the biggest analytical mistake of the year.

00:41:40.440 And last year, too.

00:41:42.000 All right.

00:41:45.580 Vax mandates.

00:41:48.020 Oh, actually, yeah.

00:41:49.900 Yeah, but I'm not sure that's an analytical mistake.

00:41:53.080 I think that's a government is the wrong tool for the job mistake.

00:41:57.800 You know, let me return to a point I used to say a lot.

00:42:01.600 The government is the wrong tool for deciding when to get back to normal.

00:42:06.400 A government is a good tool for, let's say, defending the country.

00:42:12.340 You know, you want somebody in charge of the military, a centralized, professional group.

00:42:17.380 So governments are pretty good for that.

00:42:20.020 But what they're not good at is deciding which citizens will live and die.

00:42:26.840 Right?

00:42:27.680 Because you can't get re-elected if you decide that some citizens are just going to die.

00:42:31.860 But that's what we have to do to get back to normal.

00:42:36.400 So it's not a government kind of thing they can do unless they're a dictator.

00:42:42.280 If you're a dictator, you can just say, oh, it's time.

00:42:45.160 Everybody drop the mandates.

00:42:46.820 But if you're a democracy and you've got to get re-elected, you can't say, all right, we're going to throw old people under the bus. 1.00

00:42:55.680 Everybody go back to normal.

00:42:57.340 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:42:58.240 A lot of old people will die because of the extra risk of this.

00:43:01.860 But, you know, we're just going to make this reasonable decision.

00:43:06.680 The old people, they had a good run. 1.00

00:43:09.420 So we'll just let the old people die. 1.00

00:43:12.180 Government can't do that.

00:43:13.960 Not anything in a democratic republic kind of situation.

00:43:18.240 Because they have to get re-elected. 0.95

00:43:20.080 What happens if you're the one who kills all the old people? 1.00

00:43:23.100 What happened to Andrew Cuomo for letting the, you know, the nursing homes be unprotected?

00:43:31.340 So the problem is that the government just can't make the decision.

00:43:34.700 And I will tell you over and over again, at least in the United States, and, you know, this would be different in Australia, apparently.

00:43:42.260 But in the United States, the people will decide when it's over.

00:43:45.620 The people will decide.

00:43:47.080 And the fact that it's not over means that the people have not decided.

00:43:50.000 Now, the people are somewhat brainwashed by their leaders, so we have to work through that.

00:43:55.960 But don't lose sight of where the power is.

00:43:59.200 The government's only power on the pandemic is to brainwash you, which they're doing pretty well.

00:44:05.940 But you have the actual functional power.

00:44:09.520 You just have to get enough of you, meaning the public, on the same side at the same time.

00:44:15.260 But that'll happen, right?

00:44:17.080 I mean, it's inevitable.

00:44:17.960 So the slippery slope here is that the public will regain full control, if it needs to, to take that control away from the government.

00:44:32.240 All right.

00:44:34.200 Facebook is being sued by John Stossel for, I guess they said, they did a fact check on some of his climate change information,

00:44:43.200 and they said it was false and misleading, and so they, I don't know what they did.

00:44:49.040 I don't know if they banned it or labeled it, whatever they did.

00:44:51.940 But Stossel is suing them.

00:44:54.760 Because he claims that the facts about climate change that he presented were true.

00:44:59.180 And, you know, there's enough science behind them that they're pro-science.

00:45:05.300 He's on the side of science.

00:45:07.160 And here was Facebook's defense.

00:45:11.180 That their fact checks are mere statements of opinion rather than factual assertions.

00:45:16.480 So if Facebook's opinion is different than your actual facts, you're in trouble.

00:45:28.020 And they say it directly.

00:45:30.520 This is very clear.

00:45:32.200 They're saying that their fact checking is, quote, from their lawyers, mere statements of opinion rather than factual assertions.

00:45:39.540 So if their mere statement of opinion disagrees with your actual science, as apparently was the case with John Stossel,

00:45:48.400 that their mere opinion disagreed with his actual science, that John Stossel's the one who has to pay for that.

00:45:56.600 Pay in the sense of having his content, you know, gated.

00:46:01.860 So, from a legal perspective, I think this was the only way they could go, right?

00:46:11.380 You know, in terms of a legal strategy, they kind of had to do this, didn't they?

00:46:15.560 Because how could they defend that they're the keeper of facts?

00:46:19.720 You can't.

00:46:21.020 It's indefensible to say we do know the facts.

00:46:24.320 Nobody can say that.

00:46:25.640 Not in our world.

00:46:29.020 So we'll see.

00:46:29.960 Well, let's keep an eye on this.

00:46:30.920 This is interesting.

00:46:31.860 It sets some precedents, maybe.

00:46:33.900 Now, I said in a tweet, and people were confused by it, so I'll explain it.

00:46:39.120 That Republicans are attracted to self-correcting systems where Democrats are drawn to self-destructive systems.

00:46:47.880 And that doesn't make sense until you hear some examples.

00:46:51.020 All right, here's a self-correcting system.

00:46:54.260 The free market.

00:46:56.720 See what I mean?

00:46:57.520 If there's a problem in the economy, a shortage of something, the free market will eventually fix it by attracting other people to provide the product.

00:47:09.360 So Republicans vary in favor of a self-correcting system called free markets.

00:47:14.940 Likewise, democracy itself, the Constitution.

00:47:19.980 The Constitution is a self-correcting system, is it not?

00:47:25.740 Because it says, oh, when there's a problem, here's the process to fix it.

00:47:30.520 Could be the court system.

00:47:32.020 Could be another election.

00:47:33.060 But it's clearly spelled out in the Constitution that the systems are self-correcting.

00:47:41.280 And it even tells you how.

00:47:42.740 It gives you the exact details of how these systems will be self-correcting and self-balancing and all that.

00:47:49.160 So those are self-correcting systems.

00:47:53.080 I would say religion is weirdly a self-correcting system, too.

00:47:57.280 Because you could be sinning like crazy, get to your deathbed and accept Jesus, and you're all good.

00:48:05.140 You've corrected.

00:48:07.200 So that works in some cases.

00:48:09.680 Now compare that to systems favored by Democrats, like critical race theory.

00:48:17.500 Critical race theory is a self-destructive system.

00:48:22.940 Because if you teach that people are victims of other people in their country,

00:48:27.520 it's pretty predictable that it's going to rip apart the fabric of America.

00:48:32.540 That's a self-destructive system.

00:48:34.300 You can see it from a mile away.

00:48:36.300 It doesn't have any self-correcting elements to it.

00:48:39.540 Right?

00:48:40.160 It is devoid of any element that could be self-correcting.

00:48:43.780 It's a one-way trip, someplace you don't want to go.

00:48:48.340 How about full socialism?

00:48:50.920 Not the kind where we pay taxes so that other people can have health care in some level.

00:48:57.340 But if you want full socialism, as many would like it,

00:49:01.220 again, you've got rid of human motivation.

00:49:04.740 And human motivation is the key to the self-correcting part.

00:49:08.640 If you ignore human motivation, you don't have any kind of a system that can self-correct.

00:49:13.720 It just goes where it goes, which is in the toilet.

00:49:19.020 How about reparations?

00:49:21.840 Now, no matter what you think of reparations, is it going to make anything better?

00:49:26.360 Even if you think it's called for, even if you think it's fair, even if you can make a perfectly

00:49:33.780 good argument for it, it kind of just begs for more reparations, doesn't it?

00:49:40.360 Like, when are you done?

00:49:41.240 I don't think there's any self-correcting element built into it.

00:49:46.660 Because the moment you said, yeah, let's do some reparations for people who are no longer alive.

00:49:51.780 Now, this is different, by the way, than reparations for a Japanese internment,

00:49:56.020 which I was completely in favor of.

00:49:58.640 The people who got the Japanese internment reparations were still alive.

00:50:03.760 These people were in the frickin' camps, right?

00:50:07.740 I knew quite a few people who were actually literally in those camps.

00:50:12.280 Because I had a relationship with a Japanese-American woman for years. 0.60

00:50:16.940 And her older brother.

00:50:19.480 So I actually was in a long-term relationship with somebody whose older brother was in the camps.

00:50:26.040 The Japanese internment camp, because he was much older.

00:50:29.640 I mean, think about that.

00:50:30.500 That's my lifetime.

00:50:31.320 My lifetime, you know, I was in a room full of people a number of times, you know, at holiday events.

00:50:39.820 In a room full of people where most of the people in the room had been in Japanese internment camps in the United States.

00:50:46.620 In my lifetime.

00:50:48.360 I mean, that's just, that's just mind-blowing.

00:50:51.740 But yeah, reparations in that case.

00:50:53.600 But if you start doing it for ancient ills, no matter how bad those ills were,

00:51:01.020 slavery was, you know, the baddest of the bad,

00:51:04.080 it's just, it's a one-way trip.

00:51:06.720 So I would look at that, you know, every time you see a difference between the Democrats and the Republicans,

00:51:11.460 look for that self-correcting element.

00:51:13.600 You consistently find it in the right-leaning systems.

00:51:23.800 All right.

00:51:25.140 How many of our national problems could have been solved by having rapid tests that were cheap early?

00:51:30.840 Now, some say it wouldn't have made any difference because Europe, you know,

00:51:34.520 Great Britain has rapid tests for free, as many as you want,

00:51:37.720 and it isn't making that much difference.

00:51:40.100 But I think it would have made a difference if we did it earlier, you know, right?

00:51:48.440 So I think the following problems were exacerbated by not having rapid tests.

00:51:55.860 The budget, would you agree?

00:51:59.100 That, you know, because of the shutdowns, we had to give, you know, direct payments to people, etc.

00:52:04.060 So if, it's a big if, but if the rapid tests had been available earlier,

00:52:10.300 could we have evolved a budget blow-up?

00:52:14.940 Could we have, therefore, controlled our inflation better?

00:52:18.620 Therefore, would we have had the supply chain problems?

00:52:21.700 Probably yes, because it would still be in other places.

00:52:24.720 Would we have the same crime, pandemic, health care problems?

00:52:28.240 You know, there was a whole snowball effect.

00:52:30.160 So I think the lack of that instant testing or the rapid testing

00:52:42.280 was a much more gigantic problem than just the fact that it would have been nice to have better testing.

00:52:49.640 I'm looking at a comment from Michael Myers here.

00:52:53.540 He says, pair the self-correcting framing with grievance filter framing.

00:52:57.640 So to, I guess that would be one way to say it,

00:53:02.420 that the Democrats have a grievance filter.

00:53:07.620 Government creates backwards legislation to make it self-replicating.

00:53:11.860 Okay, that's a little bit too complicated for me,

00:53:14.720 but I like where you're going with that.

00:53:18.740 Dr. Funk Juice, you sent me a message.

00:53:21.020 I'll check that out.

00:53:21.720 All right, yeah, you know, the trouble with the grievance filter is,

00:53:30.720 so here's a persuasion tip.

00:53:32.980 If you want to say that the systems are better on the right than the left,

00:53:38.320 I wouldn't use that framing of calling it a grievance filter, even though it is.

00:53:42.780 Because as soon as you say that, that's sort of fighting words.

00:53:47.500 That's a little bit of a, you know, as soon as you label it a grievance filter,

00:53:52.100 you've sort of departed reason and you're into partisan talk.

00:53:59.860 I think you can take all of that out of there

00:54:02.300 by saying that some systems have a self-correcting element built in

00:54:06.240 and some do not.

00:54:08.880 Because there's no emotion in that statement.

00:54:13.200 You're looking at it like it's a machine.

00:54:15.620 You're engineering a system.

00:54:17.580 You're not talking about it with hyperbole and, you know,

00:54:21.820 and all of your partisan stuff.

00:54:23.160 Just say one has self-correcting nature, one doesn't.

00:54:26.100 Why would you ever want a system without a self-correcting element?

00:54:31.720 All right.

00:54:32.360 All right.

00:54:36.240 The best meme of the year?

00:54:39.520 The best meme of the year had to be, let's go, Brandon.

00:54:42.480 Wouldn't you say?

00:54:47.560 What about Russia?

00:54:54.700 All right.

00:54:55.300 I think this was my best live stream of all time.

00:54:58.820 Maybe the best live stream anybody's ever done anywhere

00:55:01.420 in the history of the world.

00:55:03.020 Oh, I'm going to answer one more question for you, I think.

00:55:08.000 And to give you a key learning here.

00:55:10.080 Lots of times when things don't make sense,

00:55:12.940 it's because of insurance.

00:55:15.620 This is one of the best filters to have on reality.

00:55:18.780 If you understand how insurance drives business decisions,

00:55:22.580 as in if you do this, you can't get any insurance,

00:55:25.740 that's a big problem.

00:55:27.780 Insurance kind of drives a lot of the business processes.

00:55:30.440 You just don't see it directly.

00:55:31.520 And somebody asked this, why do you have to wear masks on planes

00:55:35.280 when there are so many other places like restaurants

00:55:38.920 that people just take them off to eat

00:55:40.560 and this seems to be not a big problem?

00:55:43.700 I mean, I'm not hearing about a bunch of restaurants

00:55:45.500 causing spikes and infections.

00:55:48.140 Here's why I think liability and insurance

00:55:50.600 and why a restaurant would be different than a plane.

00:55:52.960 If you take a 12-hour plane ride and you get COVID,

00:55:58.360 you're going to think it's because of the plane ride.

00:56:00.300 Am I right?

00:56:01.880 You're going to say, somebody on that plane gave me COVID.

00:56:04.320 And you're probably going to be right,

00:56:05.520 and you might even be able to find out who had it.

00:56:08.100 You know, you can find out who on the plane,

00:56:10.060 in some cases they can track it down

00:56:11.680 and say, oh, it's the person sitting right behind you,

00:56:13.580 which they've actually done.

00:56:15.560 And, but you can't really do that in a restaurant, can you?

00:56:20.620 Because people who eat in restaurants

00:56:22.000 might eat in several restaurants.

00:56:23.500 And you would be, it would be impossible to identify

00:56:26.680 the specific person who gave you anything

00:56:29.240 because you wouldn't even know

00:56:30.140 if you got it in the restaurant, right?

00:56:32.020 So suing a restaurant would be next to impossible

00:56:34.860 because you wouldn't really be able to demonstrate

00:56:36.820 that the restaurant did something

00:56:38.820 that caused you to get the virus.

00:56:41.500 You wouldn't even know where you got it.

00:56:43.700 But if you take a long enough plane ride,

00:56:47.240 you're going to have a much better idea

00:56:49.760 where you got it.

00:56:50.660 And that's a liability.

00:56:53.720 So I believe that airplane CEOs,

00:56:59.980 the people running these companies,

00:57:01.860 have decided that they have a very special case

00:57:04.580 where you could identify

00:57:05.880 that if they'd done something differently,

00:57:08.480 you would have a different outcome.

00:57:10.240 Meaning that if somebody got it on the plane

00:57:12.440 and masks were not required,

00:57:15.260 somebody would do a lawsuit and say,

00:57:18.120 you know, I wouldn't have died

00:57:20.300 or my relative wouldn't have died

00:57:22.360 if you had required masks.

00:57:26.140 And I don't think restaurants have that risk.

00:57:30.500 So I think that the insurance filter

00:57:34.500 is the reason that airplanes in particular

00:57:37.940 have to have the strictest,

00:57:39.820 basically they have to do everything.

00:57:41.980 You got to be vaccinated,

00:57:43.100 vaccinated, you know,

00:57:44.420 ideally vaccinated and have a test

00:57:47.360 and wear a mask

00:57:48.860 and be six feet apart.

00:57:51.120 You just have to do it all.

00:57:53.960 Is there anybody with enough business experience

00:57:56.340 that can validate my assumption here?

00:58:00.280 Anybody?

00:58:01.760 You could sign waivers.

00:58:03.920 Good call.

00:58:05.420 Right.

00:58:05.980 Yeah, they could make you sign waivers.

00:58:08.400 But I don't know that signing waivers,

00:58:11.340 I'm not a lawyer,

00:58:13.000 but I don't think signing waivers

00:58:14.540 protects you against an obvious error.

00:58:21.480 Right.

00:58:21.960 If you do something that's obviously unsafe,

00:58:25.460 you still get sued even if waivers are signed.

00:58:27.960 Right.

00:58:29.000 If it looks like a mistake

00:58:30.920 that you could have easily corrected.

00:58:34.240 You know, it's one thing to sign a waiver

00:58:35.780 for a dangerous sport

00:58:37.000 because, you know,

00:58:38.980 that's a voluntary thing, et cetera.

00:58:40.600 But flying is a little closer

00:58:42.200 to a public necessity.

00:58:51.340 My business loans would be called

00:58:53.380 if I lost my insurance.

00:58:55.000 That's right.

00:58:55.840 So it's not just the insurance problem.

00:58:58.020 It's that if you have any loans out

00:59:00.600 that are protecting the lender,

00:59:03.500 the lender is going to call the loan

00:59:04.880 as soon as you lose your insurance.

00:59:06.880 So that's the thing, too.

00:59:08.160 All right.

00:59:08.380 So I don't know if insurance is the full reason

00:59:11.180 that airplanes are different

00:59:12.360 than every place else,

00:59:13.400 but that would be the logical place

00:59:14.900 just because you could identify

00:59:17.000 where you got the infection.

00:59:18.820 So that's just a guess.

00:59:20.260 And keep that filter,

00:59:21.580 the insurance filter.

00:59:22.760 It's really useful.

00:59:24.860 Really.

00:59:25.660 So Stefan says, yes, correct.

00:59:27.880 I think that's right.

00:59:29.000 All right.

00:59:29.240 That's all for now.

00:59:29.840 Talk to you tomorrow.

00:59:34.880 Bye.

00:59:35.720 Bye.

00:59:36.300 Bye.

00:59:36.940 Bye.

00:59:37.040 Bye.

00:59:38.140 Bye.

00:59:38.320 Bye.

00:59:40.220 Bye.

00:59:56.160 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 13, 2021

Episode 1591 Scott Adams： Twitters New Rules and my Best and Worst of Year Picks

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