Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 24, 2021


Episode 1602 Scott Adams: Are You Smart or Just Afraid? You Can't Tell the Difference


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

141.82689

Word Count

6,870

Sentence Count

502

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

18


Summary

Join me for a special Christmas Eve edition of Coffee with Scott Adams, featuring the hit of the day, the Dope Hit of the Day, and a whole lot of other stuff, including a special holiday edition of The simultaneous sip.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of your entire life.
00:00:07.460 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and this is the special Christmas Eve edition.
00:00:13.460 Yeah, in case you didn't think it could get any better, it could be special.
00:00:18.360 And let me remind you that tomorrow, a lot of the people that you would see on a regular basis,
00:00:24.700 and by regular, I mean, let's say five days a week.
00:00:27.820 You know, nobody does seven days a week like I do.
00:00:31.920 But tomorrow, a lot of them will be gone, but not me. Not me. I'll be here.
00:00:36.960 And not only will I be here, but I'll be here with a simultaneous sip, a special Christmas edition.
00:00:41.740 And all I'll need then, and all you need now, is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein,
00:00:46.160 a canteen jug or a flask of vessel of any kind.
00:00:50.300 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:53.800 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
00:01:00.340 the thing that makes everything better, including the holidays.
00:01:03.900 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go!
00:01:10.340 Yeah, that was it. Yeah.
00:01:13.600 That was the stuff.
00:01:14.760 Well, there's a report that a team of astronomers have discovered 70 rogue planets in the Milky Way.
00:01:24.740 Now, they're rogue because they're not surrounding a star.
00:01:29.600 So they're not orbiting a star.
00:01:33.500 They're rogue planets.
00:01:35.660 And they just discovered them.
00:01:37.120 I guess we'd never seen 70 rogue planets in the Milky Way before.
00:01:41.400 But I'm no fool.
00:01:45.860 I'm no fool.
00:01:47.760 70 rogue planets suddenly appear.
00:01:51.540 I think it's pretty clear that these are death stars, and they're heading our way.
00:01:56.840 So if you're worried about the coronavirus or climate change,
00:02:00.340 it doesn't look like that's going to be your biggest problem.
00:02:03.740 70 death stars heading our way, allegedly.
00:02:07.000 I'd like to point out again that every day this is weird.
00:02:13.400 It's just weird.
00:02:14.940 A coincidence, really.
00:02:16.960 But we've learned in the last several years, and correct me if I'm wrong,
00:02:20.880 that our intelligence agencies can't be trusted,
00:02:24.140 the news can't be trusted, our politicians can't be trusted.
00:02:28.280 In fact, every institution in American life has shown us that it can't be trusted
00:02:32.600 except our election system.
00:02:35.720 Now, I guess we're all pretty lucky because 100% of our other systems are known to be fraudulent
00:02:44.820 in substantial ways.
00:02:47.960 But our election system, can I have a standing ovation for the only thing in the whole country
00:02:53.800 that is not corrupt?
00:02:55.260 Oh, it's impossible to audit it by design.
00:03:00.280 So it would be fair to say that you wouldn't know if it was corrupt.
00:03:03.780 But it's not.
00:03:04.860 It's not.
00:03:07.220 Standing ovation.
00:03:09.240 Let's give it up for the election system,
00:03:11.720 the only thing in America that is not corrupt,
00:03:14.240 even though it easily could be, and there's no way to check.
00:03:23.440 Sarcasm.
00:03:23.920 Yes, sometimes you can mock things into happening
00:03:28.820 when you can't reason them into happening.
00:03:31.880 And I'm going to fucking mock into existence
00:03:35.320 the belief that our election system is the only one without a problem.
00:03:42.560 I'm going to try to sell that.
00:03:45.060 Only one.
00:03:46.920 How about the international financial world?
00:03:52.500 That's okay, right?
00:03:54.800 Oh, there are plenty of fraud.
00:03:57.240 There's lots of fraud in the financial world, huh?
00:04:00.040 Well, at least our banking system never made...
00:04:02.740 What?
00:04:03.400 Our banking system has paid gigantic fines for fraudulent activities?
00:04:08.680 Well, okay.
00:04:10.340 I guess you can't trust the banking system.
00:04:13.100 But thank goodness our elections are first-rate, airtight,
00:04:21.940 and working, firing on all cylinders.
00:04:25.540 I was reminded yesterday that it is unfair to go after somebody's appearance.
00:04:33.240 Don't you think?
00:04:33.880 You know, saying nasty things about some public figure's appearance, totally inappropriate.
00:04:42.340 This came to me after I mentioned that the 1619 Project's Nicole Hannah-Jones dresses like a clown.
00:04:54.880 Now, she actually has, like, bright red clown hair with the two puffs
00:04:58.380 and wears clothing that sort of is evocative of the clown vibe, if you know what I mean.
00:05:05.800 And I do think that there could be special cases, right?
00:05:11.320 Here's a special case.
00:05:13.360 Suppose, and this did not happen,
00:05:15.680 but suppose the Surgeon General of the United States weighed 600 pounds.
00:05:20.160 Would it be appropriate to mention his or her appearance?
00:05:26.980 I think so.
00:05:28.540 Because it would be the Surgeon General.
00:05:30.960 Somebody who's promoting health.
00:05:32.660 And if they weighed 600 pounds,
00:05:34.100 I feel like that would be something you could criticize based on appearance.
00:05:40.640 Am I right?
00:05:42.200 Likewise, if somebody is selling the most clownish idea that the world has ever seen,
00:05:48.900 and they dress exactly like a clown,
00:05:53.340 that has to be noticed.
00:05:57.620 All right, you can't have a clown-like idea
00:06:01.860 and dress like a clown
00:06:04.000 and then ask me not to notice that.
00:06:08.040 I mean, I am willing to go with the idea
00:06:10.320 that we shouldn't make fun of people's, you know, appearance.
00:06:15.040 In general,
00:06:16.160 in general,
00:06:18.760 but not in these cases.
00:06:21.740 These are very special cases.
00:06:24.360 You know,
00:06:24.680 you give me clown material and dress like a clown,
00:06:27.760 I'm not going to ignore that.
00:06:30.420 Okay?
00:06:32.900 Speaking of the golden age,
00:06:35.540 I think it's the golden age for pranks.
00:06:37.760 Because somebody did this prank.
00:06:41.220 It was a fake headline.
00:06:42.720 Somebody faked a New York Times headline
00:06:44.500 that made it look as if teachers
00:06:47.800 were going to permit bullying against unvaccinated children.
00:06:51.960 So, somebody faked a headline
00:06:56.920 for the New York Times
00:06:59.660 calling on teachers to permit bullying
00:07:06.420 against unvaccinated children.
00:07:09.360 And all the fact checkers
00:07:10.740 had to fact check it as false
00:07:13.400 because we live in such absurd times
00:07:16.340 that it was believable.
00:07:17.840 So, this is the golden age of pranks
00:07:22.600 where you can say anything
00:07:23.980 and just put it in the headline
00:07:26.340 and somebody's going to say,
00:07:27.860 yeah, that probably happened.
00:07:29.680 That looks well within the realm
00:07:31.720 of something that could have happened.
00:07:34.120 Golden age for pranks.
00:07:36.320 If you don't think I'll be taking advantage of that,
00:07:39.320 you don't know me.
00:07:40.240 How many of you saw clips
00:07:42.400 or the whole interview
00:07:44.060 of Trump talking with Candace Owens?
00:07:47.800 Did many of you see that?
00:07:49.240 It's getting a lot of news today.
00:07:51.300 Now, it's interesting how it's being framed,
00:07:53.800 of course, because Trump's involved,
00:07:56.120 so it's highly polarizing.
00:07:59.240 But some people are framing it
00:08:01.760 as though Trump schooled Candace Owens
00:08:05.880 on the value of vaccines.
00:08:07.840 But I'm not quite sure I saw that.
00:08:12.640 I mean, I watched it.
00:08:14.700 But what I saw was he made a claim,
00:08:17.580 Trump did,
00:08:18.480 that the people who are vaccinated
00:08:20.400 are having far better outcomes.
00:08:23.380 But I didn't see her push back on that.
00:08:26.320 Did she?
00:08:27.440 So it wasn't really a disagreement, was it?
00:08:29.960 He made a claim and it just, it was true.
00:08:33.680 I mean, it's compatible with science,
00:08:35.440 whether it's true or not.
00:08:36.320 And then she brought up a related question
00:08:41.940 about mandates and then they agreed again.
00:08:45.280 Trump doesn't like mandates.
00:08:46.620 Candace doesn't like mandates.
00:08:48.240 So they agreed on that.
00:08:50.500 But then she sort of started focusing.
00:08:54.120 I don't want to say she moved the goalposts
00:08:55.880 because I'm not sure that that happened.
00:08:57.760 But she started focusing on the question of
00:08:59.980 should somebody young and fit,
00:09:03.340 such as herself, get vaccinated?
00:09:05.000 And I don't know that Trump had an opinion on that.
00:09:11.840 So it was a weird kind of situation
00:09:14.000 in which some people imagined
00:09:17.860 they were having some kind of a disagreement.
00:09:20.840 But I didn't see any.
00:09:22.500 Did you?
00:09:22.880 Did you see any disagreement?
00:09:27.760 I didn't see any.
00:09:29.400 And, but I did notice that there is a,
00:09:32.920 and I'll talk about what we do
00:09:34.100 and do not know about vaccines.
00:09:36.340 But I think this is,
00:09:39.380 it sort of showed you why you need
00:09:41.820 the point-counterpoint kind of discussion
00:09:44.260 and you don't want a person interviewing one person.
00:09:49.640 That that model just gives you confusion.
00:09:52.920 All right?
00:09:53.420 And we saw it again here.
00:09:54.900 People couldn't even tell what they saw.
00:09:56.920 Did they see two people agreeing or disagreeing?
00:09:59.640 I saw two people agreeing.
00:10:01.900 What did you see?
00:10:03.400 Did you see two people disagreeing
00:10:05.420 or did you see two people agreeing on everything?
00:10:09.400 What did you see if you saw it?
00:10:12.220 I mean, that's pretty basic.
00:10:13.460 Were they agreeing or disagreeing?
00:10:15.300 And we can't even agree on that.
00:10:18.720 Yeah, okay.
00:10:23.220 And a lot of conservatives,
00:10:27.240 have you seen conservatives say
00:10:28.660 that vaccinations, quote, don't work?
00:10:32.900 Have you seen that?
00:10:33.580 How many of you would say that's true?
00:10:39.580 How many of you would agree with a statement?
00:10:41.660 And we'll talk about what that really means.
00:10:43.900 But how many of you would agree with a statement?
00:10:47.180 Vaccinations, quote, don't work.
00:10:50.060 Agree or disagree?
00:10:54.700 Mostly disagree.
00:10:56.200 Okay.
00:10:56.760 I say a yes on YouTube.
00:10:59.460 Okay.
00:11:00.440 Interesting.
00:11:01.380 Because I'm still seeing people,
00:11:02.660 I've seen more yeses on YouTube for some reason.
00:11:05.040 I think the locals people have,
00:11:08.460 I hate to tell you,
00:11:09.260 but they're better informed.
00:11:13.080 In general, they tend to be better informed,
00:11:15.380 at least on the topics I talk about,
00:11:17.200 because we talk about the same stuff.
00:11:19.420 So, here's what I saw on Fox News.
00:11:26.100 And I'm not going to name names,
00:11:27.520 because there's got to be more than one person doing this.
00:11:30.340 But I did see a prominent conservative last night on Fox News
00:11:33.880 say vaccines don't work.
00:11:37.640 Did anybody see that?
00:11:38.680 I'm not going to name names.
00:11:40.260 But did you see a prominent conservative tell you
00:11:45.260 that vaccines don't work on TV last night?
00:11:48.880 And it wasn't questioned.
00:11:50.500 I don't think there was any pushback on it.
00:11:53.300 Why would he say that?
00:11:55.360 He would say that because you can still get,
00:11:58.860 you can still transmit and catch the virus
00:12:01.100 if you're vaccinated.
00:12:02.340 But it seems that some people,
00:12:06.860 maybe to, I don't know,
00:12:08.660 manage their audience or something,
00:12:11.420 are saying that it doesn't work
00:12:13.180 when we know, as Trump pointed out,
00:12:16.640 that it lowers hospitalizations and deaths radically.
00:12:20.960 Or at least all information is on that side.
00:12:23.660 Now, how many of you would disagree with this statement?
00:12:26.420 That when the president said
00:12:28.060 that vaccinated people have better outcomes,
00:12:30.020 that 100% of the data agrees with them?
00:12:33.860 Would anybody disagree with that statement?
00:12:36.120 That all of the data agrees.
00:12:37.800 There's no data that says anything else.
00:12:40.240 Would anybody push back on that?
00:12:43.380 That 100% of the data, all of it,
00:12:45.940 every data anybody's ever looked at,
00:12:49.220 says the vaccinations drastically lower
00:12:51.560 your risk of death.
00:12:54.480 Does anybody see anything different?
00:12:56.720 I haven't.
00:12:57.720 Okay.
00:12:58.140 If you've seen something different, send it to me.
00:13:00.480 But I think the president was on pretty solid ground,
00:13:03.320 at least in terms of agreeing with science.
00:13:05.580 You know, science could be wrong.
00:13:07.980 No absolutes.
00:13:09.580 I'm telling you that what I've seen
00:13:11.640 was 100% of the data on one side.
00:13:15.020 But I'm asking you for an exception.
00:13:17.260 So I'll take your,
00:13:19.080 I take your guidance
00:13:20.340 that I should avoid absolutes.
00:13:23.980 Nothing's 100%.
00:13:24.980 That's correct.
00:13:25.620 It's easy to talk in absolutes,
00:13:28.620 and it's,
00:13:30.120 I like it when you catch me.
00:13:31.680 That's one of the corrections I always appreciate.
00:13:33.960 If I accidentally speak in an absolute,
00:13:36.520 because that's never true.
00:13:38.240 You know, the absolute,
00:13:39.180 well, I just use an absolute to talk about absolutes.
00:13:42.640 So let me just escape that conversation.
00:13:45.940 Christopher Hill on Twitter said this.
00:13:50.120 Until someone answers the question,
00:13:52.220 at what age slash BMI
00:13:54.260 is it no longer statistically beneficial
00:13:56.600 to be vaccinated against COVID-19,
00:13:59.780 all of this is a joke.
00:14:01.340 Well, not all of it.
00:14:05.560 But isn't that a pretty big,
00:14:08.980 a pretty big thing that we don't know?
00:14:13.660 And isn't that a fair question?
00:14:16.080 Shouldn't we see a chart that's got,
00:14:18.960 I'm designing on the fly here,
00:14:20.420 but I think if you had age on one side
00:14:22.120 and BMI on the other,
00:14:26.060 on the other axis,
00:14:27.540 that you could find the place,
00:14:31.740 you know, the zone
00:14:32.460 where you're both old enough
00:14:34.780 and heavy enough
00:14:36.940 that you've got to get,
00:14:38.880 you've got to worry?
00:14:41.080 Wouldn't that visual,
00:14:42.760 we could produce that, right?
00:14:44.020 We have enough data at this point.
00:14:46.000 And if we haven't given that to the public,
00:14:50.640 you have to assume
00:14:51.920 that we're not working with science.
00:14:54.160 Is that fair to say?
00:14:55.300 That given that this could be produced,
00:14:59.840 you know, the crossover of age slash BMI
00:15:02.420 to know when it doesn't make sense
00:15:04.880 to get vaccinated,
00:15:06.400 instead we're just vaccinating everybody.
00:15:08.520 But that tells you
00:15:09.600 that we departed science, right?
00:15:11.960 Or does it?
00:15:13.980 I'm going to take the opposite argument
00:15:16.640 a little bit later.
00:15:18.660 I'm just priming you.
00:15:20.480 Okay.
00:15:22.140 So it is very annoying
00:15:23.620 that we don't know that.
00:15:24.440 But I made the statement
00:15:26.620 that I had fun with this one
00:15:29.540 and I have to admit
00:15:30.240 this was a little bit trollish
00:15:31.820 because I really wanted to get comments
00:15:33.980 and then read you the comments.
00:15:36.200 So it was a little more trollish
00:15:38.540 than I have been doing lately.
00:15:40.560 I don't know if you've noticed,
00:15:41.460 but I've been trying to reduce the trolling,
00:15:44.000 you know,
00:15:44.180 where you're just trying
00:15:44.920 to get a big response
00:15:45.880 and try to make things,
00:15:47.680 you know, value added.
00:15:50.300 Although sometimes things
00:15:51.520 are just entertaining,
00:15:52.400 so I can't resist.
00:15:53.100 But here's what I said
00:15:55.080 and I'll tell you
00:15:55.740 some weird reactions to it.
00:15:57.380 I said our collective awareness
00:15:58.700 is now almost high enough,
00:16:02.120 and the almost is a key here,
00:16:03.820 is almost high enough
00:16:04.820 to realize that no one used
00:16:06.260 reason to make
00:16:06.980 their vaccination decision.
00:16:09.200 Fear made all of our decisions
00:16:11.020 and we rationalized it
00:16:12.720 after the fact.
00:16:14.020 To imagine otherwise
00:16:14.980 is a denial of what science
00:16:16.580 knows about decision making.
00:16:17.900 So here's the thing.
00:16:21.140 It is irrational to say
00:16:23.120 that you followed the science
00:16:25.860 and made a decision
00:16:27.560 about your vaccination.
00:16:29.380 Do you know why that's irrational?
00:16:32.120 It's irrational to say,
00:16:33.800 it doesn't matter who you are
00:16:34.660 or even what your argument is,
00:16:36.160 it's always irrational to say,
00:16:37.960 I followed the science
00:16:39.580 and then I reached
00:16:41.060 my rational conclusion.
00:16:43.020 Do you know why that's irrational?
00:16:44.800 Because science knows
00:16:47.080 we don't do that.
00:16:48.940 If you follow science,
00:16:50.340 you would know
00:16:50.640 that you didn't do that.
00:16:52.300 You can't have it both ways.
00:16:54.440 You can't say you followed science
00:16:55.880 and reached a reasonable decision
00:16:58.120 if you believe in science.
00:17:00.500 If you believe in science,
00:17:01.600 you'd know you don't have
00:17:02.380 that ability.
00:17:03.680 You don't have the ability
00:17:04.940 to reach rational decisions.
00:17:07.180 Not in situations like this
00:17:08.820 where there's lots of complexity
00:17:10.140 and lots of unknowns.
00:17:12.580 It just can't be done.
00:17:13.480 We all got there by fear.
00:17:16.940 Now you're going to say to yourself,
00:17:19.020 Scott, I didn't.
00:17:22.140 Yeah, maybe other people did
00:17:23.980 and maybe only the people
00:17:25.300 who got vaccinated.
00:17:26.720 But I'm pretty sure I didn't.
00:17:29.500 So here's my statement again.
00:17:32.240 Our collective awareness
00:17:33.460 is now almost high enough
00:17:36.620 to realize.
00:17:38.900 So a lot of people who don't yet
00:17:40.360 have not reached that level
00:17:42.000 of awareness are fighting hard
00:17:44.620 to represent their point of view.
00:17:47.460 Let me tell you what it looks like
00:17:48.940 when people who are
00:17:50.360 in thoroughly irrational territory
00:17:52.420 try to rationalize
00:17:54.360 their irrationality.
00:17:57.320 You ready for this?
00:17:58.580 Here are just some comments
00:17:59.740 I picked out for this.
00:18:01.240 And I won't even tell you
00:18:02.100 who made the comment
00:18:02.760 because I don't think that's fair
00:18:03.880 because it's sort of,
00:18:05.220 everybody's in the same group here.
00:18:07.840 So one user said to me,
00:18:09.860 I didn't use fear at all.
00:18:11.460 Just common sense.
00:18:14.200 What's the first problem?
00:18:16.480 There's no such thing
00:18:17.540 as common sense.
00:18:19.200 Common sense is what you say you had
00:18:22.580 when you have an irrational decision
00:18:24.460 and then you rationalize it
00:18:26.200 after the fact.
00:18:27.620 We know common sense doesn't exist
00:18:29.460 because you and I would have
00:18:31.000 the same opinion on everything.
00:18:32.980 You and I would just use
00:18:34.240 our common sense.
00:18:35.420 Oh, we all agreed on everything.
00:18:36.600 Common sense absolutely does not exist.
00:18:41.340 So here's the first pushback
00:18:44.380 that, against us.
00:18:47.720 He uses common sense
00:18:48.860 and he says,
00:18:49.960 my ability to see blatant lies
00:18:51.740 for what they are,
00:18:53.600 and he used an example
00:18:54.560 that ivermectin is dangerous,
00:18:56.140 that's a, this user says
00:18:58.860 is a blatant lie,
00:19:00.400 told me everything I needed
00:19:01.620 to know about my decision.
00:19:04.100 Did it?
00:19:04.580 Did that one lie?
00:19:07.520 Allegedly.
00:19:08.580 This one person believes
00:19:09.640 he can identify lies,
00:19:11.580 has common sense,
00:19:12.820 and didn't use fear at all.
00:19:15.640 What level of awareness
00:19:16.880 is that about his own place
00:19:18.740 in the universe?
00:19:20.180 It's pretty low.
00:19:21.760 It's pretty low.
00:19:22.880 Because we don't have common sense,
00:19:24.520 you did use your fear,
00:19:25.860 and you certainly don't know
00:19:27.220 if ivermectin was a lie.
00:19:29.620 You might have a strong opinion,
00:19:31.800 but you certainly don't know
00:19:33.040 at this point.
00:19:35.260 All right, let me give you
00:19:35.940 another one.
00:19:38.620 Someone had said,
00:19:40.240 I disagree.
00:19:41.760 Vaccines typically have more time
00:19:43.460 to observe long-term effects.
00:19:45.840 In other words,
00:19:46.400 we usually have more data
00:19:47.980 for vaccines.
00:19:49.920 These were administered
00:19:50.940 in record time
00:19:51.840 with full understanding
00:19:52.840 that long-term risks
00:19:54.060 were a question mark.
00:19:55.100 I think one can reasonably
00:19:57.700 refuse a vaccine
00:19:58.820 where the long-term risks
00:20:01.720 are unknown.
00:20:02.620 What about that?
00:20:03.940 Is this a rational take?
00:20:05.660 That you can refuse a vaccine
00:20:07.600 where the long-term risks
00:20:09.200 are unknown.
00:20:10.840 Is that a good take?
00:20:13.240 Since you don't know
00:20:14.280 if the vaccination
00:20:14.940 is good or bad
00:20:16.200 in the long-term,
00:20:17.560 because we don't have data,
00:20:19.460 that therefore not taking it
00:20:20.940 isn't reasonable.
00:20:22.560 Is it?
00:20:22.920 No, it's fear.
00:20:26.820 You'd have to know
00:20:27.920 the risk of the virus,
00:20:30.040 which we don't,
00:20:30.860 in the long-term,
00:20:31.840 and you'd have to know
00:20:32.680 the risk of the vaccination
00:20:33.800 in the long-term.
00:20:34.700 We don't know either one.
00:20:36.340 So here's someone
00:20:37.020 who doesn't know
00:20:37.720 either the cost
00:20:38.720 or the benefit
00:20:39.440 of the decision
00:20:40.240 and is comfortable
00:20:42.120 with the reasonableness
00:20:43.120 of his decision
00:20:44.540 without knowing the costs
00:20:46.580 and without knowing
00:20:47.900 the benefits
00:20:48.460 of any of the variables
00:20:49.680 that mattered.
00:20:50.620 So this is what
00:20:54.020 it looks like
00:20:54.540 when you have
00:20:55.100 a fear-based decision
00:20:56.320 that you rationalize
00:20:57.780 after the fact.
00:20:58.600 I'll give you some more.
00:21:00.240 By the way,
00:21:00.780 once you learn
00:21:01.380 to recognize this,
00:21:03.180 you'll just see it everywhere.
00:21:05.360 You'll see that people
00:21:06.200 are just rationalizing
00:21:07.440 their fears.
00:21:08.560 And pretty much
00:21:09.280 that's all we do.
00:21:10.840 Almost all of what we think
00:21:12.300 is our common sense
00:21:13.220 and our thinking
00:21:13.700 is just rationalizing fears.
00:21:15.740 Here's another one.
00:21:16.620 All right?
00:21:16.780 We know healthy children
00:21:17.900 that are at very low risk.
00:21:19.740 A child is 10 times
00:21:20.900 more likely to die of cancer.
00:21:22.920 I would say
00:21:23.740 that is reasonably
00:21:24.800 sufficient information
00:21:26.020 when you're trying
00:21:27.100 to make a decision
00:21:27.960 against a vaccine
00:21:29.100 whose long-term risks
00:21:30.620 are unknown.
00:21:31.880 It's a no-brainer for me.
00:21:36.120 Is it a no-brainer?
00:21:38.680 So how many of you
00:21:40.300 would agree with the statement
00:21:41.500 that because children
00:21:43.000 that are super low risk,
00:21:44.700 that therefore
00:21:46.360 vaccinating them
00:21:47.420 isn't good for them?
00:21:49.620 How many of you
00:21:50.220 would agree with the statement
00:21:51.340 we should not vaccinate
00:21:53.120 young children?
00:21:55.580 Go.
00:21:57.300 How many of you
00:21:58.140 agree with that?
00:21:59.500 I'm expecting
00:22:00.300 almost all of you
00:22:01.200 to agree with this, right?
00:22:03.300 Agree, agree, agree,
00:22:04.640 don't know, agree,
00:22:05.720 yes, yes, yes, yes.
00:22:06.800 Now, when you say you agree,
00:22:09.220 I assume that your argument is
00:22:11.620 I assume your argument is
00:22:16.920 that it is not good
00:22:19.180 for children
00:22:19.740 to take on the vaccine risk
00:22:22.360 when the risk
00:22:23.760 that you're trying
00:22:24.280 to mitigate
00:22:24.660 is so close to zero.
00:22:26.980 Would that capture
00:22:27.920 your argument?
00:22:31.020 Anybody?
00:22:31.680 Does that capture
00:22:32.600 your argument pretty well?
00:22:33.580 Okay, I'm getting yeses
00:22:34.740 on that.
00:22:35.780 All right, here's
00:22:36.300 the counter-argument.
00:22:37.880 Do you think
00:22:38.280 there is one?
00:22:38.760 Do you think
00:22:40.520 there's a counter-argument?
00:22:44.320 There is.
00:22:45.940 And it's the argument
00:22:46.960 coming from the government.
00:22:49.200 And it's a pretty good one.
00:22:51.420 But they don't say it
00:22:52.680 out loud.
00:22:54.700 Because they can't.
00:22:56.380 So, here's my take.
00:22:58.120 I think the government
00:22:58.800 has an actual
00:22:59.960 pretty good argument
00:23:00.980 which is different
00:23:02.100 from saying I agree.
00:23:03.920 All right?
00:23:04.460 So I'm not going to agree
00:23:05.680 with the government argument.
00:23:06.920 I'm going to simply
00:23:08.240 explain it
00:23:09.080 as best I can.
00:23:12.020 And then I want you
00:23:12.660 to reassess your opinion
00:23:14.260 based on new information.
00:23:16.600 Okay?
00:23:18.220 Would you say
00:23:18.760 it's true or false
00:23:19.680 that a child
00:23:20.600 would be damaged
00:23:21.600 by the death of,
00:23:23.960 let's say,
00:23:24.220 one parent?
00:23:25.980 True or false?
00:23:27.360 That a child's well-being
00:23:28.520 would be damaged
00:23:30.340 by the death
00:23:31.080 of a parent?
00:23:32.940 True, right?
00:23:34.040 True.
00:23:34.280 Is the point
00:23:36.200 of vaccinating children
00:23:37.400 to only protect
00:23:39.700 the children?
00:23:41.500 Was that ever
00:23:42.520 the point of it?
00:23:43.860 Did the government
00:23:44.780 ever say
00:23:45.340 we're going to vaccinate
00:23:46.140 the children
00:23:46.680 strictly for the protection
00:23:48.460 of the children?
00:23:49.780 Never said that.
00:23:51.620 Right?
00:23:52.280 I believe it was always
00:23:53.540 part of the overall strategy
00:23:55.760 of getting enough people
00:23:57.700 to some kind
00:23:58.880 of herd immunity.
00:23:59.820 Wasn't it?
00:24:00.260 So I believe
00:24:02.800 the government's argument
00:24:03.940 goes something like this.
00:24:06.300 Again,
00:24:06.980 this is not me agreeing
00:24:08.400 with the argument.
00:24:09.660 I'm just representing it.
00:24:11.500 Because you should see
00:24:12.560 here both arguments.
00:24:14.460 If we let the pandemic
00:24:16.380 spread through
00:24:17.300 the normal adult public,
00:24:19.240 a lot of children
00:24:20.000 would lose
00:24:20.840 a parent.
00:24:23.800 Now you could argue
00:24:24.740 what is a lot, right?
00:24:26.260 But, you know,
00:24:27.560 maybe...
00:24:28.960 Let's say
00:24:29.740 if we didn't do
00:24:31.000 any mitigation at all,
00:24:33.480 and let's say...
00:24:34.680 Well, let's be more specific.
00:24:36.400 Let's say we vaccinated
00:24:37.580 adults mostly,
00:24:39.660 but no children.
00:24:41.560 And then the virus
00:24:42.920 sweeps through the children
00:24:44.060 and it becomes...
00:24:45.680 You know,
00:24:45.840 they spread it
00:24:46.400 to the adults.
00:24:47.360 And even some of them
00:24:48.200 vaccinated might die.
00:24:50.640 Not many.
00:24:51.440 But the argument is...
00:24:55.440 Scott,
00:24:57.640 do you really think
00:24:58.220 we affected
00:24:58.740 the spread at all?
00:24:59.800 Almost certainly.
00:25:01.280 But not maybe
00:25:02.120 in the long run.
00:25:03.980 You know,
00:25:04.200 Omicron's gonna get us all.
00:25:06.180 But I do think
00:25:07.480 we probably pushed off
00:25:09.020 some of the delta
00:25:10.380 that we could have had.
00:25:11.500 There's no way to know, right?
00:25:12.980 But I would say
00:25:13.780 that if you do
00:25:14.280 all the things
00:25:14.800 that logically
00:25:15.580 should have made a difference,
00:25:17.240 it's hard to imagine
00:25:18.440 that none of them did.
00:25:19.360 And, you know,
00:25:21.740 if you're looking
00:25:22.160 at small percentages
00:25:23.140 as being something useful,
00:25:26.000 you know,
00:25:26.580 it's always hard to tell.
00:25:28.080 Anyway,
00:25:29.420 I would argue
00:25:30.600 that the...
00:25:32.040 Let me ask you this.
00:25:34.060 If the economy goes down,
00:25:37.320 let's say the GDP,
00:25:39.240 and unemployment goes up,
00:25:41.160 is that good or bad
00:25:42.180 for children?
00:25:43.280 If the economy
00:25:44.280 does less good
00:25:45.880 than it could be,
00:25:47.000 good or bad for children?
00:25:48.080 I'd say it's bad.
00:25:49.360 Right?
00:25:49.920 And children get it the worst
00:25:51.620 because poverty
00:25:53.280 really hits a kid hard.
00:25:55.840 So the argument
00:25:57.080 for vaccinating kids
00:25:58.280 is that we are
00:25:59.340 intentionally
00:26:00.060 putting the young
00:26:02.240 at a little extra risk
00:26:03.840 to benefit
00:26:05.260 the older population
00:26:06.800 because,
00:26:08.380 and here's the part
00:26:09.000 the government
00:26:09.500 doesn't say directly,
00:26:11.320 because that's how
00:26:12.620 you protect the children.
00:26:15.280 Protecting the adults
00:26:16.600 is how you protect
00:26:18.520 the children.
00:26:19.360 It's just indirect.
00:26:21.240 Now,
00:26:21.720 it does absolutely
00:26:23.240 put children
00:26:25.080 at the extra risk
00:26:26.280 from the vaccination
00:26:27.160 itself.
00:26:28.460 We all agree on that,
00:26:29.420 right?
00:26:29.960 But the presumed trade-off
00:26:31.860 is not the kids' health.
00:26:34.500 The real argument
00:26:35.380 is the health
00:26:36.080 of society
00:26:36.820 because society's health
00:26:38.640 will have a big impact
00:26:39.740 on the kids.
00:26:40.280 Now,
00:26:42.600 having said that,
00:26:44.160 do you say to yourself,
00:26:45.600 yes, Scott,
00:26:46.360 but, but, but,
00:26:47.660 society does not,
00:26:49.200 does not
00:26:50.640 disadvantage the young
00:26:53.440 to benefit the old.
00:26:55.160 Right?
00:26:56.040 We don't kill kids
00:26:57.560 to save old people.
00:26:59.740 Am I right?
00:27:02.880 No,
00:27:03.380 of course we do.
00:27:04.100 We do it all
00:27:05.100 the time.
00:27:06.680 We massively
00:27:07.780 do that.
00:27:09.040 We've always
00:27:09.820 killed kids
00:27:11.520 to benefit the old.
00:27:13.360 This isn't new.
00:27:15.200 This is the most
00:27:16.100 basic thing
00:27:16.840 society does.
00:27:18.620 Have you heard
00:27:19.040 of the national debt?
00:27:21.060 Anybody?
00:27:22.640 Who's going to pay
00:27:23.440 the national debt?
00:27:24.980 It's not my old ass.
00:27:26.260 I'm driving up
00:27:28.360 the debt
00:27:28.800 so I can live
00:27:29.800 a good life
00:27:30.400 and, you know,
00:27:31.120 leave children
00:27:31.700 in poverty.
00:27:33.140 Right?
00:27:33.860 We're doing that
00:27:34.520 intentionally
00:27:35.100 and massively.
00:27:36.500 We could not
00:27:37.580 be damaging
00:27:38.240 children more
00:27:39.180 than we are.
00:27:41.260 Those who believe
00:27:42.240 that climate change
00:27:43.100 is catastrophic,
00:27:46.120 does that mean
00:27:47.480 that we, you know,
00:27:48.380 raped the earth
00:27:49.080 and left destruction
00:27:50.400 for the children?
00:27:51.700 Well,
00:27:52.080 there's a big part
00:27:52.800 of the public
00:27:53.760 who thinks we did
00:27:54.540 exactly that
00:27:55.360 and is okay
00:27:56.900 with it.
00:27:58.920 How about
00:27:59.660 the military?
00:28:02.580 Now,
00:28:03.200 we have a
00:28:03.880 volunteer military
00:28:05.320 right now,
00:28:06.500 but if the shit
00:28:08.340 came down,
00:28:09.080 it wouldn't be
00:28:09.560 voluntary for long.
00:28:11.740 I mean,
00:28:12.380 if we got into
00:28:12.960 a real war,
00:28:14.060 like a big one,
00:28:15.640 it's not going
00:28:16.280 to be voluntary
00:28:16.780 for a minute.
00:28:18.560 You know,
00:28:18.860 you're going
00:28:20.160 to be drafted
00:28:20.620 right away.
00:28:22.700 So,
00:28:23.460 every military
00:28:25.140 is about
00:28:25.880 young people
00:28:26.440 sacrificing
00:28:27.140 for the older
00:28:27.980 generation.
00:28:29.160 Every bit of debt
00:28:30.300 is the same thing.
00:28:32.240 Every time we
00:28:32.980 increase the
00:28:33.560 social security
00:28:34.340 payments,
00:28:34.880 which increases
00:28:35.800 the debt
00:28:36.240 sometimes,
00:28:37.340 it's the same
00:28:37.960 thing.
00:28:40.620 All right.
00:28:41.340 What about
00:28:42.200 abortion?
00:28:42.940 Is abortion
00:28:46.080 good for the
00:28:47.120 children?
00:28:47.360 Or is it
00:28:49.300 something that
00:28:50.340 older people
00:28:52.140 do that's
00:28:52.800 bad for the
00:28:53.540 fetus?
00:28:55.860 You were
00:28:56.480 waiting for
00:28:56.800 that,
00:28:57.020 weren't you?
00:28:58.140 It took me
00:28:58.860 long enough
00:28:59.240 to get there,
00:28:59.740 didn't it?
00:29:01.520 I know that
00:29:02.280 was the
00:29:03.320 argument you
00:29:03.800 were waiting
00:29:04.100 for.
00:29:05.500 So,
00:29:06.320 let me
00:29:07.460 back up
00:29:08.220 and be
00:29:08.480 really clear.
00:29:10.240 I'm
00:29:10.680 uncomfortable
00:29:11.340 vaccinating
00:29:12.300 children.
00:29:14.040 I'm not
00:29:14.920 going to be
00:29:15.180 the one to
00:29:15.600 tell you that
00:29:16.020 was the right
00:29:16.460 decision.
00:29:18.440 Okay?
00:29:19.020 But,
00:29:19.560 I think the
00:29:20.540 government has
00:29:21.200 a better
00:29:21.600 argument than
00:29:22.280 you give it
00:29:22.760 credit for.
00:29:24.380 A much
00:29:24.900 better argument
00:29:25.540 than you give
00:29:26.180 it credit
00:29:26.560 for.
00:29:27.600 If the
00:29:28.460 government is
00:29:28.980 trying to
00:29:29.400 protect the
00:29:30.340 whole as
00:29:31.780 the way to
00:29:32.400 protect children
00:29:33.260 too,
00:29:34.740 they do have
00:29:35.920 an argument.
00:29:37.360 It's not one
00:29:38.200 I'm quite on
00:29:40.140 board with,
00:29:41.700 because,
00:29:43.060 and why am I
00:29:44.780 not on board
00:29:45.300 with it,
00:29:45.900 by the way?
00:29:47.220 What makes
00:29:47.780 me not
00:29:48.540 on board
00:29:49.020 with that
00:29:49.360 argument?
00:29:52.660 Fear.
00:29:54.020 Fear.
00:29:55.420 That's why.
00:29:56.980 Because I
00:29:58.680 would be
00:29:58.980 afraid of
00:29:59.760 directly hurting
00:30:00.520 the child.
00:30:02.920 Even if you
00:30:04.200 gave me the
00:30:04.740 argument that,
00:30:05.480 oh, but,
00:30:06.280 yeah, yeah,
00:30:06.640 yeah, I get
00:30:07.100 it, Scott.
00:30:07.860 You would be
00:30:08.900 directly hurting
00:30:09.640 some children,
00:30:10.680 because there's
00:30:11.300 always somebody
00:30:11.840 who's going to
00:30:12.180 get hurt by
00:30:12.660 vaccination.
00:30:13.140 But, you
00:30:14.660 have to look
00:30:15.100 at the big
00:30:15.520 picture, Scott.
00:30:16.700 In the big
00:30:17.160 picture, people
00:30:17.880 are better off.
00:30:19.180 Nope.
00:30:19.960 I can't get
00:30:20.640 there.
00:30:22.040 My brain
00:30:22.780 can't get
00:30:23.260 past, but
00:30:24.580 you're hurting
00:30:24.920 a child.
00:30:26.380 Right?
00:30:26.900 So, the fact
00:30:30.300 that my brain
00:30:30.920 can't get
00:30:31.380 past, but
00:30:32.240 you're directly
00:30:32.800 hurting a
00:30:33.240 child, no
00:30:34.320 way, I
00:30:34.960 can't be
00:30:35.700 okay with
00:30:36.080 that, I
00:30:37.540 can't think
00:30:38.140 of this
00:30:38.380 rationally.
00:30:38.900 And I
00:30:40.460 can tell you
00:30:40.920 directly why
00:30:41.520 I can't.
00:30:42.440 Because there's
00:30:43.220 no way I'm
00:30:43.660 going to
00:30:43.900 rationally
00:30:44.640 weigh the
00:30:46.120 life of a
00:30:46.760 child.
00:30:49.280 I can't.
00:30:50.880 I don't have
00:30:51.600 that capability.
00:30:52.600 If you think
00:30:53.120 you do, you're
00:30:53.800 just kidding
00:30:54.180 yourself.
00:30:54.900 You can't.
00:30:58.000 All right,
00:30:58.620 how about,
00:30:59.900 here's somebody
00:31:00.700 else who said
00:31:01.420 he did not
00:31:02.340 use fear for
00:31:03.460 his decision.
00:31:04.520 He said,
00:31:05.020 in order to
00:31:05.840 travel internationally
00:31:06.780 for my business,
00:31:07.780 which I must do,
00:31:08.480 I needed to
00:31:09.440 get the
00:31:09.780 vaccine in
00:31:10.400 order to
00:31:10.860 avoid mandatory
00:31:11.780 quarantine rules.
00:31:13.020 So he says,
00:31:13.780 tell me,
00:31:14.140 Scott, where
00:31:14.980 is the fear
00:31:15.480 in my decision?
00:31:16.640 Mine was
00:31:17.120 pure reason.
00:31:19.060 Do you agree
00:31:19.520 with that?
00:31:20.320 Here's somebody
00:31:20.880 who used pure
00:31:21.600 reason, simply
00:31:22.800 needed the
00:31:23.360 vaccine for
00:31:23.920 business travel,
00:31:25.340 and wanted
00:31:27.420 to avoid
00:31:28.080 inconvenience of
00:31:29.720 quarantines.
00:31:31.140 No fear at
00:31:31.760 all.
00:31:32.120 Wasn't afraid
00:31:32.640 of the virus,
00:31:33.300 wasn't afraid
00:31:33.760 of the shot.
00:31:35.160 No fear at
00:31:35.780 all.
00:31:37.640 No.
00:31:38.480 He was
00:31:38.800 afraid of
00:31:39.280 losing his
00:31:39.780 job.
00:31:42.360 This tweet
00:31:45.000 is,
00:31:45.380 how to say
00:31:45.940 you're afraid
00:31:46.440 without saying
00:31:47.060 you're afraid.
00:31:48.180 Of course he
00:31:48.900 was afraid of
00:31:49.460 something.
00:31:50.340 But he never
00:31:51.500 felt fear because
00:31:53.380 he had a way
00:31:53.880 out.
00:31:55.020 Right?
00:31:55.900 So I would
00:31:56.680 agree in maybe
00:31:57.720 some technical
00:31:58.400 way that he
00:31:59.520 avoided any
00:32:00.320 actual feeling
00:32:01.420 of fear.
00:32:02.720 So when he
00:32:03.200 says, where
00:32:03.640 was my fear,
00:32:04.400 I agree there
00:32:04.900 wasn't any,
00:32:05.740 because he
00:32:07.200 had a path
00:32:07.920 that, in
00:32:09.560 his opinion,
00:32:10.240 avoided the
00:32:11.260 thing he
00:32:11.740 feared, which
00:32:13.520 is losing
00:32:13.960 his job.
00:32:17.540 Viva Fry
00:32:18.360 said, oh,
00:32:21.120 I did another
00:32:21.920 tweet in which
00:32:22.580 I was talking
00:32:23.080 about what
00:32:24.280 we do and
00:32:24.760 we don't
00:32:25.400 know about
00:32:26.000 the virus.
00:32:27.340 Viva Fry
00:32:31.660 was questioning
00:32:33.480 whether there's
00:32:35.940 any evidence
00:32:36.460 to suggest
00:32:37.140 that vaccinations
00:32:37.960 reduce the
00:32:38.900 time one is
00:32:39.640 infectious.
00:32:41.520 What do you
00:32:41.860 think?
00:32:42.560 Is there
00:32:43.080 evidence that
00:32:44.920 a vaccinated
00:32:45.560 person would
00:32:47.540 spread it less
00:32:48.620 than an
00:32:49.320 unvaccinated
00:32:50.080 person?
00:32:53.080 You're all
00:32:53.880 wrong.
00:32:54.900 All right.
00:32:55.140 So there was
00:32:55.540 a piece of
00:32:56.100 fake data
00:32:57.020 that convinced
00:32:57.800 everybody that
00:32:58.620 vaccinated people
00:32:59.520 spread it the
00:33:00.240 same as
00:33:00.780 unvaccinated.
00:33:01.940 The fake
00:33:02.780 data, which
00:33:04.580 was based on
00:33:05.360 true facts,
00:33:06.260 but the way
00:33:06.680 it was presented
00:33:08.320 is misleading.
00:33:10.240 The fake
00:33:10.660 data is that
00:33:11.420 vaccinated people
00:33:12.380 tested had the
00:33:13.340 same viral load
00:33:14.440 as unvaccinated
00:33:15.380 people.
00:33:16.880 And then that
00:33:17.280 was generalized to,
00:33:18.340 oh, I guess you
00:33:18.840 can spread it
00:33:19.520 the same.
00:33:21.440 Except that we
00:33:22.960 also know that
00:33:23.860 people who are
00:33:24.540 vaccinated clear
00:33:25.500 the virus faster.
00:33:27.020 So if both the
00:33:28.660 vaccinated and
00:33:29.500 the unvaccinated
00:33:30.320 peak at the
00:33:31.240 same amount
00:33:31.780 of viral load,
00:33:32.960 which is what
00:33:33.680 you've all heard,
00:33:35.020 and I think it's
00:33:35.660 true, but one
00:33:37.400 of them declines
00:33:38.840 fast and the
00:33:39.640 other one
00:33:39.960 doesn't, which
00:33:41.480 one would spread
00:33:42.100 it more?
00:33:46.660 I'm saying not
00:33:47.560 true, but can
00:33:51.260 you...
00:33:52.460 what about the
00:33:54.480 immunes?
00:33:58.720 Vaccinated and
00:33:59.420 unvaccinated are
00:34:00.180 treated the same
00:34:01.020 in terms of
00:34:01.680 isolation?
00:34:02.400 Yeah, probably
00:34:03.020 shouldn't, but
00:34:03.680 they are.
00:34:07.280 Okay.
00:34:08.140 Well, that's the
00:34:09.080 argument, and I
00:34:10.640 believe that 100%
00:34:12.580 of science agrees
00:34:13.900 with what I just
00:34:14.760 said.
00:34:14.980 I'm making a
00:34:18.420 big claim, and
00:34:19.780 I gave that as
00:34:20.780 an absolute to
00:34:21.760 see if you can
00:34:22.560 refute it.
00:34:24.580 All right.
00:34:24.940 So I'm being
00:34:25.640 provocative by
00:34:26.560 saying this is an
00:34:27.300 absolute.
00:34:28.460 In my
00:34:28.900 understanding, and
00:34:29.880 I want you to
00:34:30.720 prove me wrong,
00:34:32.300 because if you
00:34:32.820 could prove me
00:34:33.280 wrong, I would
00:34:33.700 find that exciting.
00:34:34.520 I mean, it would
00:34:36.720 be fun to be
00:34:37.900 proved wrong on
00:34:38.760 this question.
00:34:40.060 Prove me wrong.
00:34:40.820 I say 100% of
00:34:43.060 all the data
00:34:43.620 that we have
00:34:44.420 suggests that
00:34:45.800 vaccinated people
00:34:46.640 clear the virus
00:34:47.480 faster.
00:34:49.800 Check just
00:34:50.880 that.
00:34:52.040 They clear it
00:34:52.880 faster.
00:34:54.000 That's just the
00:34:54.740 only thing you're
00:34:55.180 checking.
00:34:56.100 I agree with the
00:34:57.420 fact that the
00:34:57.940 viral load can
00:34:58.700 be similar at
00:34:59.500 the peak.
00:35:00.440 I'm only arguing
00:35:01.660 that one side
00:35:02.540 clears faster.
00:35:04.280 That's all.
00:35:06.060 All right.
00:35:07.920 So all I did
00:35:09.920 was Google that
00:35:10.680 question, and it
00:35:11.520 popped right up.
00:35:13.420 So I don't know
00:35:15.840 why that's a
00:35:16.280 question, actually.
00:35:19.780 There's a story
00:35:20.540 that the Biden
00:35:21.400 administration got
00:35:22.400 this very credible
00:35:23.880 suggestion from a
00:35:26.640 bunch of people
00:35:27.220 who are in the
00:35:27.620 know that they
00:35:28.800 should, in
00:35:29.360 October, they
00:35:30.100 were supposed to
00:35:30.640 rapidly fire up
00:35:32.400 the rapid tests,
00:35:34.480 but the
00:35:35.160 administration
00:35:35.520 decided to
00:35:36.360 focus on
00:35:36.980 vaccines and
00:35:38.840 not go nuts
00:35:39.960 with rapid
00:35:40.480 testing.
00:35:41.680 And now
00:35:41.960 Biden belatedly
00:35:43.160 said, oh, I
00:35:43.740 wish I had
00:35:44.220 started earlier.
00:35:46.120 And this isn't
00:35:46.860 Vanity Fair.
00:35:47.620 Now, Vanity Fair,
00:35:48.620 as you know, or
00:35:49.900 you should know,
00:35:51.320 is a very pro-Democrat
00:35:52.980 publication.
00:35:54.160 It's an anti-Trump
00:35:55.200 publication.
00:35:55.680 Vanity Fair is
00:36:00.180 basically saying that
00:36:01.220 the Biden
00:36:02.060 administration failed
00:36:03.280 totally and was
00:36:05.000 told clearly, was
00:36:06.700 told how to do
00:36:07.520 it, you know, it
00:36:08.600 was all scoped
00:36:09.640 down, here's what
00:36:10.440 you need to do so
00:36:11.360 that we have lots of
00:36:12.040 tests for Christmas,
00:36:13.000 and he didn't do
00:36:13.820 it.
00:36:15.540 And do you think
00:36:18.140 that incompetence
00:36:19.040 can explain that?
00:36:20.000 Do you think
00:36:21.840 that incompetence
00:36:22.960 can explain why
00:36:25.160 it didn't happen
00:36:25.720 in October?
00:36:28.160 Here's the tricky
00:36:29.280 thing.
00:36:30.560 I've told you
00:36:31.280 about radical
00:36:32.060 compliance, or
00:36:33.940 extreme compliance,
00:36:35.040 as a way to stop
00:36:36.140 something you don't
00:36:36.820 like.
00:36:39.100 I feel like
00:36:40.500 somebody in the
00:36:42.060 decision-making
00:36:43.000 process is
00:36:44.640 following the
00:36:45.520 rules during the
00:36:46.440 pandemic, because
00:36:48.220 following the
00:36:49.000 rules is
00:36:49.980 is making
00:36:50.920 something happen.
00:36:52.940 In other words,
00:36:54.120 keeping these
00:36:54.860 tests out of the
00:36:55.500 market is good for
00:36:56.520 somebody, find out
00:36:58.580 who, because
00:37:00.340 that's why we don't
00:37:01.220 have them.
00:37:02.280 The reason we don't
00:37:03.180 have the tests is
00:37:04.720 because it's good for
00:37:05.660 somebody that we
00:37:06.420 don't have them, and
00:37:07.600 that means money.
00:37:09.080 Follow the money.
00:37:11.520 And what you find is
00:37:12.980 you'll find a bunch
00:37:13.600 of bureaucrats who
00:37:14.420 followed all the
00:37:15.140 rules and broke no
00:37:16.060 law.
00:37:17.980 Do you see what's
00:37:19.480 going on here?
00:37:20.800 In order for a
00:37:21.740 bureaucrat, let's
00:37:23.880 say, hypothetically,
00:37:25.860 let's say there was
00:37:27.380 hypothetically some
00:37:28.340 member of the FDA or
00:37:29.960 somebody in the
00:37:30.580 decision-making chain
00:37:31.640 who wanted to stop
00:37:33.840 tests from being
00:37:36.520 available.
00:37:37.620 Maybe they took a
00:37:38.580 bribe from the
00:37:39.180 vaccination companies.
00:37:40.720 Maybe they took a
00:37:41.700 bribe for one of the
00:37:42.680 approved, early
00:37:43.700 approved test
00:37:45.200 companies.
00:37:45.620 I'm not saying any
00:37:47.060 of that happened.
00:37:48.080 I'm just saying work
00:37:48.960 through it in your
00:37:49.500 mind.
00:37:50.460 What would it look
00:37:51.320 like when you look
00:37:53.000 to find the
00:37:53.580 corruption?
00:37:54.820 What would it look
00:37:55.520 like?
00:37:56.840 It would look like
00:37:57.880 following the rules.
00:38:01.120 Because all you'd have
00:38:02.100 to do is just use the
00:38:03.660 regular FDA process,
00:38:05.600 and you could guarantee
00:38:06.700 that nothing got it
00:38:07.600 approved on time.
00:38:09.200 Right?
00:38:09.600 The reason we have
00:38:11.120 vaccinations quickly
00:38:12.840 is that Trump just
00:38:14.660 kicked asses until
00:38:15.740 they changed their
00:38:16.580 process.
00:38:18.180 But nobody kicked
00:38:19.660 their ass to change
00:38:20.820 their process when it
00:38:21.920 came to making
00:38:23.500 testing available.
00:38:25.180 So all they did was
00:38:26.300 follow the process.
00:38:28.980 And then they said,
00:38:30.040 you know, we should
00:38:30.560 have been better
00:38:31.040 funded.
00:38:32.380 I sure wish this
00:38:33.280 wasn't so slow, but I
00:38:35.100 guess we'll have to
00:38:35.680 follow the process and
00:38:36.680 keep you all protected.
00:38:37.600 The fact that they
00:38:39.760 did not break their
00:38:40.960 process during a
00:38:42.080 pandemic is the best
00:38:44.860 proof of corruption
00:38:45.980 you'll ever see.
00:38:47.820 A hundred percent of
00:38:48.760 the people involved
00:38:49.700 knew that this was a
00:38:52.340 pandemic and this was
00:38:53.740 the time to reassess
00:38:56.140 which of these
00:38:56.740 procedures make sense
00:38:57.900 in an emergency.
00:38:59.240 They did not do any
00:39:00.920 of that.
00:39:02.320 Right?
00:39:02.940 There's no reporting
00:39:04.160 at all that the
00:39:05.800 government even once
00:39:07.160 considered bending
00:39:08.800 the rule and putting
00:39:10.380 tests up to the top
00:39:12.200 of the list.
00:39:13.300 Not even once.
00:39:15.480 Why?
00:39:16.980 Corruption.
00:39:18.120 Now I think that the
00:39:19.180 government probably
00:39:19.960 couldn't see it.
00:39:21.680 Like if you were the
00:39:22.560 boss and you were in
00:39:24.320 charge and you said,
00:39:25.260 okay, why is this
00:39:26.240 taking so long?
00:39:27.940 You would say,
00:39:28.600 all right, everybody,
00:39:29.400 let's have a meeting.
00:39:30.520 Can you explain to me
00:39:31.400 why this is taking so
00:39:32.360 long?
00:39:33.420 And everybody in the
00:39:34.340 meeting would give you
00:39:35.060 a reason that actually
00:39:35.980 sounds really good.
00:39:37.160 There's a good reason
00:39:38.780 it's taking so long.
00:39:39.840 We're making sure it's
00:39:40.920 done right.
00:39:42.480 But all of those reasons
00:39:43.780 applied to vaccinations
00:39:45.360 and we did it anyway.
00:39:48.140 I don't think there was
00:39:49.120 even a conversation about
00:39:50.660 bending the rules for
00:39:52.320 tests.
00:39:53.560 There is corruption here.
00:39:55.380 It's obvious.
00:39:56.240 It's glaring.
00:39:57.180 It's glowing.
00:39:58.460 But it's also possible
00:39:59.960 nobody broke the law.
00:40:02.800 Weirdly.
00:40:03.440 All you'd have to do is
00:40:04.640 follow the existing
00:40:05.900 procedures and you
00:40:07.160 could stop anything
00:40:08.020 from happening.
00:40:09.400 I've done it myself.
00:40:11.460 I can stop something
00:40:12.440 just by following the
00:40:13.320 rules.
00:40:15.000 I have done it in my
00:40:16.260 corporate days quite a
00:40:17.180 bit, actually.
00:40:19.180 CNN is actually saying
00:40:20.420 that Biden is confused.
00:40:23.300 He talked about ordering
00:40:25.120 the 500 million test kits,
00:40:28.840 but he confused it with
00:40:30.300 a separate conversation
00:40:31.540 about therapeutic pills,
00:40:33.920 which were similar
00:40:34.600 numbers, I guess.
00:40:36.100 And at some point he
00:40:37.460 realized he had confused
00:40:38.620 them and corrected it.
00:40:40.340 But even CNN is calling
00:40:41.980 him out now for being
00:40:44.540 confused.
00:40:46.440 And it didn't look like
00:40:48.680 he even understood the
00:40:49.620 topic that well.
00:40:51.260 I have to admit, Biden's
00:40:53.280 doing better than I
00:40:54.020 thought he would do when
00:40:55.420 he explains things in
00:40:56.440 public, even when he
00:40:57.180 gets confused like this.
00:40:59.640 You know, these are easy
00:41:00.540 things to confuse.
00:41:02.540 I feel like he's better
00:41:03.620 than I thought.
00:41:05.480 I had pretty low
00:41:06.440 expectations, but I don't
00:41:07.980 think he's up to it.
00:41:09.180 Just better than I
00:41:09.920 thought.
00:41:11.960 So here's a summary of
00:41:13.140 the pandemic.
00:41:17.920 That we'll always look
00:41:18.980 back at the pandemic.
00:41:19.900 And I think we'll be
00:41:22.060 proud that we saved the
00:41:24.060 lives of so many obese
00:41:25.160 Americans at the cost of
00:41:26.500 our children and our
00:41:28.560 freedom.
00:41:29.900 Now, why is it that we
00:41:31.440 can't say that we saved
00:41:32.640 the fat to save at the
00:41:35.060 cost of the young and the
00:41:36.920 healthy?
00:41:38.220 Why can't we say that
00:41:39.380 out loud?
00:41:40.820 Because we're too woke,
00:41:42.080 right?
00:41:42.980 The trouble is, wokeness
00:41:44.380 just ruins everything.
00:41:46.860 The fact, as many people
00:41:48.400 on social media have said,
00:41:49.520 the fact that Biden is
00:41:51.680 not telling us to
00:41:52.820 exercise and lose
00:41:54.980 weight, especially
00:41:56.480 because he's actually a
00:41:57.580 good role model for
00:41:58.580 exactly that.
00:42:00.420 Biden's been a healthy,
00:42:02.360 fit, weight, all the
00:42:04.700 way to, like, nearly 80.
00:42:07.000 I mean, that's a really
00:42:07.820 good role model.
00:42:09.060 He should take advantage
00:42:09.940 of that.
00:42:11.080 I mean, we should be
00:42:11.680 hearing about that all
00:42:12.480 the time.
00:42:12.880 Anyway, how in the world
00:42:18.400 is China going to host the
00:42:20.000 Olympics without crashing
00:42:22.240 their economy?
00:42:23.940 Do you think that...
00:42:25.220 Now, I did see from my
00:42:27.740 nemesis, Chen, who is on
00:42:31.180 Twitter.
00:42:31.640 We interact a lot.
00:42:33.040 And Twitter actually labels
00:42:34.400 him as China State
00:42:36.860 Affiliated Media.
00:42:37.880 Now, Chen has informed me
00:42:40.700 that he is not a Chinese
00:42:42.460 operative, because he
00:42:43.480 watched my live stream.
00:42:44.940 He is not a Chinese
00:42:45.860 operative.
00:42:46.420 He is just a journalist
00:42:47.320 and has been a journalist
00:42:48.420 for a long time.
00:42:50.200 I probably would have
00:42:51.260 preferred a Chinese
00:42:52.220 operative over a journalist,
00:42:53.660 but that's just me.
00:42:54.620 That's just me.
00:42:56.220 And...
00:42:56.880 But Chen, who is part of a
00:42:59.140 China State Affiliated
00:43:00.180 Media, his opinions are
00:43:01.280 totally his own.
00:43:02.820 Totally his own.
00:43:03.760 He is not influenced one bit
00:43:05.400 by the mother country.
00:43:09.160 Not one bit.
00:43:10.720 And he would like you
00:43:11.380 to know that.
00:43:13.280 And he even says that the
00:43:14.740 Olympics won't be a problem
00:43:15.840 because China is so
00:43:17.040 efficient.
00:43:18.020 And they've got things
00:43:19.980 worked out in terms of
00:43:21.500 spectators and movement,
00:43:22.740 so they will limit the
00:43:24.260 transmission.
00:43:25.900 To which I say...
00:43:26.940 My nose is itching, by the
00:43:28.260 way.
00:43:28.520 Sorry about that.
00:43:30.980 To which I say,
00:43:32.380 how is that possible?
00:43:35.400 Are you telling me that
00:43:36.760 you're not going to get
00:43:37.560 one person with at least
00:43:39.280 Omicron into that country
00:43:41.300 who's, even though
00:43:42.640 they're tested, you know,
00:43:43.600 you assume they're tested
00:43:44.560 in quarantine and
00:43:45.420 everything.
00:43:46.220 But even with that,
00:43:48.320 you don't think a little
00:43:49.080 Omicron's going to get in
00:43:50.160 there?
00:43:51.000 And once it gets in there,
00:43:53.280 won't the Olympics just
00:43:54.380 crash the whole thing?
00:43:55.900 And how many countries
00:43:57.000 want to send their
00:43:57.840 athletes into that
00:43:59.040 toxic stew and then
00:44:01.720 have them come home and
00:44:02.980 infect the home country?
00:44:04.180 I feel like...
00:44:06.180 I feel like the Olympics
00:44:09.060 might destroy China.
00:44:12.240 But they can't cancel the
00:44:13.820 Olympics, can they?
00:44:14.940 Because they would lose
00:44:15.720 face.
00:44:16.620 If China canceled the
00:44:17.780 Olympics, it would make it
00:44:19.100 seem as if they can't
00:44:20.020 handle COVID and the
00:44:21.280 Olympics.
00:44:22.120 But they'd like you to
00:44:23.180 believe they can do both.
00:44:25.120 I feel like China is
00:44:27.460 hoping, or maybe half
00:44:29.060 hoping, that other
00:44:30.620 countries will cancel the
00:44:32.020 Olympics.
00:44:32.780 Olympics.
00:44:34.240 So here's what to look
00:44:35.560 for.
00:44:38.580 Dr.
00:44:39.340 Dixon Gayford.
00:44:41.900 You don't look like a
00:44:43.000 real person.
00:44:44.620 I'm going to block you.
00:44:46.260 You look like a troll.
00:44:51.840 So here's what to look
00:44:53.740 for.
00:44:54.040 Look for the Chinese
00:44:55.720 government to act as
00:44:59.260 though they kind of hope
00:45:00.640 other countries pull out of
00:45:01.980 the Olympics so they can
00:45:02.960 cancel it.
00:45:04.160 I think they want to
00:45:05.220 cancel it, but they don't
00:45:05.960 want to be the ones that
00:45:06.660 cancel it.
00:45:07.840 I think they want other
00:45:08.720 countries to say, oh, it
00:45:09.660 looks too dangerous.
00:45:10.540 Can we postpone this?
00:45:12.080 And then they'll say, ah,
00:45:13.000 well, if nobody's going to
00:45:13.900 come, you know, if we're not
00:45:15.860 going to have a full house, I
00:45:17.280 guess we'll have to cancel it
00:45:18.260 or postpone it.
00:45:18.960 So I've got a feeling that China's
00:45:21.800 got a really big problem, and I
00:45:25.760 don't know which way this is
00:45:26.840 going to go.
00:45:28.620 But apparently Japan just said
00:45:30.220 they're not going to send
00:45:31.000 government people to the
00:45:32.300 Olympics.
00:45:33.460 It's not quite a boycott.
00:45:35.100 They're just not going to send
00:45:36.260 government people to it, which
00:45:38.240 China noticed, by the way.
00:45:41.420 Jenny says, no, they don't want
00:45:42.800 to cancel.
00:45:43.160 Well, I'm not saying they want
00:45:44.960 to cancel, like, with all of
00:45:47.040 their heart and soul.
00:45:49.200 I'm saying that they might be a
00:45:50.420 little bit on the fence about
00:45:51.760 it, meaning that there are
00:45:54.080 probably some people there who
00:45:56.120 don't care about the Olympics,
00:45:57.380 but they do care about not
00:45:58.620 crashing China's economy.
00:46:00.900 So they might be saying to
00:46:01.900 themselves, you know, don't want
00:46:04.460 to cancel them, but if they got
00:46:06.620 canceled, I wouldn't complain too
00:46:08.360 hard.
00:46:10.180 Didn't they cancel the Olympics in
00:46:11.680 80?
00:46:13.860 I don't know.
00:46:21.980 Do we want a functioning global
00:46:23.740 economy and no war?
00:46:25.180 Yeah.
00:46:27.640 It is the best live stream every
00:46:29.320 day.
00:46:29.620 You are right, Jonathan.
00:46:31.300 I'm glad you noticed.
00:46:34.280 All right.
00:46:36.460 The U.S.
00:46:37.280 pulled out in 80.
00:46:39.380 Where was it when we pulled
00:46:40.700 out?
00:46:42.340 What country?
00:46:46.040 Oh, Russia?
00:46:47.000 Okay.
00:46:51.520 If they run out of food, they'll
00:46:52.940 be coming for ours.
00:46:54.160 Well, there's that problem.
00:46:55.700 All right.
00:46:57.860 Let us end here.
00:47:01.780 I didn't mean to talk about
00:47:03.240 nothing but coronavirus, but I
00:47:06.160 feel like when you hit these
00:47:08.040 slow news periods, it's going to
00:47:11.640 be, you know, whatever's already
00:47:13.020 out there.
00:47:13.640 It's not going to be new news.
00:47:14.940 It's just going to be more of
00:47:16.220 whatever's out there.
00:47:19.640 Well, Boo is doing great.
00:47:23.880 Thanks for asking.
00:47:24.620 2021 recap.
00:47:26.940 2021 recap.
00:47:28.820 Yeah.
00:47:29.860 I still have a few more days to do
00:47:31.420 the recap, but I'll probably be
00:47:35.120 calling out some people who were
00:47:37.300 especially productive and useful on
00:47:41.040 Twitter.
00:47:41.400 Twitter because I don't know if you
00:47:43.640 know it or probably you do know it, but
00:47:45.780 there's sort of a self-organized army of
00:47:50.660 people who send me things every day on
00:47:54.000 Twitter, which is amazing because I get to
00:47:57.860 see sort of the filtered good stuff.
00:48:00.060 So most of the people who are sending me
00:48:01.700 things are really good at filtering, and
00:48:04.880 that allows me to, you know, give you
00:48:06.920 better stuff here and maybe change the
00:48:09.680 world a little bit.
00:48:12.100 All right.
00:48:15.860 There's a recent Schellenberger tweet
00:48:18.040 string with good news.
00:48:19.300 Okay.
00:48:19.760 I'll go check that out.
00:48:21.920 All right.
00:48:22.700 That's all for today, and I will talk to
00:48:24.780 you tomorrow.