Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1603 Scott Adams： Merry Christmas and It's Time to Have Some Fun. Get In Here

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and Merry, Merry Christmas.

00:00:06.440 Not only is it Christmas, but you've managed to find your way to the best thing that's ever happened.

00:00:11.720 Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know, the birth of, you know, Jesus and all that.

00:00:15.280 That stuff's good, and today we'll even allow that that might be a little better.

00:00:19.520 But the second best thing that's ever happened is happening right now.

00:00:23.480 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, Christmas edition, and you're lucky enough to be here.

00:00:28.360 Wow, good for you.

00:00:31.620 And all you need to make this special day even more special is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:36.780 a tank of chelsea stein, a canty jug of glass, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:40.280 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:42.600 Today only, we will accept eggnog.

00:00:45.480 Every other day of the year, no eggnog.

00:00:48.900 No, well, New Year's Eve is fun.

00:00:51.140 But today, anything you like.

00:00:53.680 Go.

00:00:53.880 Go.

00:00:53.940 Oh, yeah.

00:01:01.780 Well, by now, all of you saw the prank played on President Biden.

00:01:07.920 He was doing one of these PR events where he was pretending to call NORAD and talk to some child about Santa Claus coming.

00:01:17.540 But the father of that said child got on the phone and was thanking the president.

00:01:24.380 And as he was signing off, the father said, let's go, Brandon.

00:01:28.900 And Biden actually said, let's go, Brandon.

00:01:34.160 That's right.

00:01:36.780 He didn't know it was a joke.

00:01:39.840 And so he agreed with the idea.

00:01:42.180 Let's go, Brandon.

00:01:42.920 And that's right.

00:01:46.080 Now, I could be mocking our president.

00:01:50.880 Could I not?

00:01:52.320 Yes, I could.

00:01:55.620 Jack Murphy.

00:02:00.320 Anyway.

00:02:01.560 I could be mocking our president.

00:02:03.180 But can I have a special dispensation today?

00:02:08.820 For Christmas, would anybody mind if I say something supportive of the president?

00:02:16.120 Just for Christmas.

00:02:18.180 All right.

00:02:18.660 All right.

00:02:18.980 I got a few yeses.

00:02:21.120 Here's the thing.

00:02:22.380 Imagine if you will, you're the leader of the United States and all the things you're thinking about.

00:02:27.780 And that it's also Christmas.

00:02:30.940 How many things are in your head that you have to think about when you're the leader of the United States and it's Christmas?

00:02:38.900 Like another 10% on top of it.

00:02:41.780 A lot.

00:02:43.540 How fascinated and interested do you think the president of the United States is when he's talking to a random citizen for a PR event?

00:02:53.740 Not too interested.

00:02:55.080 Probably not too interested compared to all the things in his head.

00:03:00.860 And so I imagine that it would be easy for someone to give the reflex answer without even knowing who he was talking to.

00:03:07.980 Let me ask you this.

00:03:09.940 Have you ever had this exchange with somebody?

00:03:12.900 You'll say you're going on a trip and the other person isn't.

00:03:17.860 It's just somebody you're talking to.

00:03:20.200 And then that other person will say to you, say, okay, Scott, have a nice trip.

00:03:23.740 And then you look at them and you say, you too.

00:03:28.300 But you know they're not going on a nice trip.

00:03:31.960 Ever do that?

00:03:33.660 It's just sort of automatic, right?

00:03:35.780 It's just sort of a reflex.

00:03:37.240 To me, it looked like Biden was just doing automatic talking because he was thinking about other things.

00:03:42.720 I'm not sure that was a sign of anything.

00:03:44.920 But let me defend him for Christmas because it would be easy to imagine Trump doing the same thing.

00:03:52.420 If I'm being honest, it would be easy to imagine Trump or anybody doing the same thing just because his mind was on something else.

00:03:59.760 I don't think it tells us anything too dark.

00:04:02.580 Well, here's some good news.

00:04:03.900 You've heard this before, but I like to throw this in the year end.

00:04:08.240 The Sahara is actually shrinking because there's enough vegetation, largely because of climate change, we think.

00:04:15.140 Well, not climate change, but rather CO2.

00:04:18.200 So the CO2 is good fertilizer, it turns out.

00:04:21.320 So the Sahara is shrinking.

00:04:23.620 Now, what is the secondary benefit of the Sahara is shrinking and the tertiary benefit and the what comes after tertiary?

00:04:35.620 You talked yourself into a corner, Scott.

00:04:39.240 I wonder if they can tell that you had to stop to think this long.

00:04:43.200 Nobody noticed that you don't know what comes after tertiary.

00:04:46.940 Say something.

00:04:47.600 Say anything.

00:04:48.160 They don't have time to look it up.

00:04:49.420 So, and quadruciary, what are the other benefits?

00:04:59.080 Quaternary.

00:05:00.040 Quaternary.

00:05:00.680 Let's go with that.

00:05:02.600 Okay.

00:05:04.220 Yes, hurricanes diminished is the answer I was looking for.

00:05:07.660 So the differential between the temperature over the Sahara versus the temperature over the ocean is what gets the hurricanes going in the Atlantic.

00:05:16.320 If you were to reduce that differential via CO2 causing more vegetation, you would reduce the intensity of hurricanes.

00:05:29.960 Another benefit is you might be able to grow food.

00:05:35.140 That's kind of cool.

00:05:36.680 Maybe feed some people.

00:05:38.480 Another benefit is you might take a place that is largely useless and turn it into a sanctuary for refugees.

00:05:44.900 Will there be refugees from climate change? 0.95

00:05:49.160 Some experts say yes.

00:05:50.900 Lots of refugees.

00:05:52.360 Where are they going to go?

00:05:53.980 Well, wouldn't it be nice to go to some place that was lightly populated and very green?

00:05:59.740 Maybe.

00:06:00.800 So maybe we'll stick some fusion reactors on the ocean there.

00:06:06.780 Start tracking in some water.

00:06:08.440 Maybe seed it with these robots we were talking about that seed the deserts. 0.69

00:06:11.820 Let the animals poop on it.

00:06:14.500 Next thing you know, boom.

00:06:16.340 We're growing plants and those plants are grabbing the CO2 right out of the air.

00:06:22.000 So let's see.

00:06:22.720 You would reduce the frequency or intensity, maybe, of hurricanes.

00:06:31.640 You would feed people because you could grow food there where you couldn't before.

00:06:35.240 You could handle refugees, which is one of the biggest problems some people think in the world. 0.68

00:06:40.280 And you could also capture a lot of CO2 out of the air in case there's too much.

00:06:47.680 So that's pretty good news.

00:06:52.040 Here's the funniest human story in a while.

00:06:54.800 You're all watching, I'm sure, JFK Jr.

00:06:58.160 talking about his dislike of the pharma companies and vaccinations, etc.

00:07:04.580 So I guess you could say JFK Jr. is the anti-vaxxer of all anti-vaxxers.

00:07:11.200 Would that be fair?

00:07:12.660 Do you think you could classify him as an anti-vaxxer or is that too, is that oversimplifying?

00:07:19.360 I think he's known that way.

00:07:21.620 But I think like everything else, it would be an oversimplification.

00:07:25.160 However, here's the funny part.

00:07:27.560 He's married to actress Cheryl Hines.

00:07:29.900 Somehow he bagged one of the most attractive women in Hollywood. 0.99

00:07:36.460 I guess I'm not someone who should be talking about that.

00:07:40.100 There are mysteries in this world, and that's one of them.

00:07:43.000 And apparently they're having a holiday party,

00:07:45.980 and his wife has required all the attendees to be vaccinated.

00:07:51.040 That's right.

00:07:52.480 JFK Jr., the world's most famous anti-vaxxer.

00:07:56.300 The most famous anti-vaxxer is hosting a party and requiring vaccinations

00:08:02.960 because his wife said so.

00:08:06.660 And he was asked about it.

00:08:09.620 And he said, quite honestly, something we all understand,

00:08:13.820 which is he doesn't make all the decisions.

00:08:16.160 Now, I'm not even making a comment here about vaccinations, right?

00:08:27.000 This is not about vaccinations.

00:08:28.760 It's just about a human interest thing that no matter what your professional brand is,

00:08:38.140 if you're married, things could go the other way.

00:08:42.540 Anyway, here's a little fake news for today.

00:08:45.620 In which I will, once again, defend Joe Biden.

00:08:53.760 Because it's Christmas.

00:08:55.740 All right, just give me today.

00:08:57.640 All right, we'll go back to criticizing Biden.

00:08:59.760 Don't worry about it.

00:09:01.100 We got the whole year ahead of us.

00:09:03.720 But today, there was a report in the Washington News Today.

00:09:09.600 Not a huge publication.

00:09:12.700 But it's talking about reports, which I believe are anonymous.

00:09:18.540 Anonymous sources within the White House.

00:09:20.900 And you know how accurate they are.

00:09:23.200 They're saying that the staff is beyond demoralizing.

00:09:27.940 Things are hypocritical and ironic that a president whose brand is built on empathy and family

00:09:32.880 has staff policies that fly in the face of that brand.

00:09:36.180 And more reports of, you know, bad management and chaos.

00:09:40.020 Now, how true does that sound?

00:09:45.700 Does it sound true that the White House under Biden is all mismanaged and a bad place to work?

00:09:52.940 Have you ever heard that about any other White House before?

00:09:57.420 Did you ever hear that about Trump's White House?

00:09:59.500 Did anonymous sources tell you things were not well managed in the White House?

00:10:07.020 And the staff morale is low?

00:10:09.760 How about this is what everybody says about everything?

00:10:13.300 It's not a story.

00:10:15.180 This would be like, oxygen breaks out in America.

00:10:19.820 Oh, no, we always had oxygen.

00:10:23.100 I mean, it might be a little dirty.

00:10:25.120 But we always had some oxygen.

00:10:26.580 Now, if you hear an anonymous report that employees say that management is doing poorly

00:10:32.940 in a large organization, all you have discovered is the reason that the Dilbert comic strip was so popular.

00:10:39.800 Because everybody thinks where they work is unorganized and poorly managed.

00:10:44.780 It's about the most universal statement you could make.

00:10:48.440 So, is the Biden White House any worse than every other large organization?

00:10:53.480 How would we know?

00:10:56.580 How would we possibly know?

00:10:58.540 All we know is that people say so.

00:11:00.940 But they say that about everything.

00:11:04.220 So, and let me say that, again, if Trump had been on the receiving end of this, and he was, this exact thing,

00:11:13.660 I said, don't believe it.

00:11:14.920 It's just the general thing people say.

00:11:16.620 Even if it's true, it isn't credible, because it's still the general thing that people say.

00:11:23.100 All right, here's a, oh, I just want to put this out to start some fights with your family.

00:11:32.680 A lot of you are believers in what a rogue doctor, Dr. McCullough, has been saying about vaccinations and about the pandemic.

00:11:43.100 But I tweeted today, and I would call your attention to it.

00:11:47.740 I call your attention to it.

00:11:49.120 A PolitiFact, a fact-checking organization, who talks about some of Dr. McCullough's claims and then compares them to what they believe is the truth.

00:12:01.600 Stop it.

00:12:03.260 I'm reading your minds.

00:12:05.320 Stop it.

00:12:06.720 Stop it.

00:12:07.480 No, I don't automatically believe what PolitiFact says.

00:12:13.320 Not automatically, right?

00:12:15.960 I mean, you sort of have to look at the two sides and, you know, use something like judgment, even though we're probably not.

00:12:22.920 So, my point is that you can have a nice fight with your family just by looking at the claims that Dr. McCullough has made and compare them to the PolitiFact fact-check, fact-check.

00:12:40.600 Now, I would note that PolitiFact does show its sources.

00:12:45.440 So, if you want to check the sources, you can go check.

00:12:52.980 Now, will those sources be reliable?

00:12:56.360 Are any of our sources reliable in 2021?

00:13:00.280 Any of them?

00:13:01.260 Is there any data that you actually trust anymore?

00:13:05.140 Some data might be accurate, but we don't know which ones it is.

00:13:09.820 You know, you can no longer say, well, it's official data.

00:13:13.080 It's probably pretty good.

00:13:14.180 And we don't live in that world.

00:13:17.280 Not at all.

00:13:18.860 All right.

00:13:20.080 So, I don't have an opinion on who's right or who's wrong, but you can check the sources.

00:13:27.980 At least you can check the government sources, whether those are accurate or not.

00:13:34.540 All right.

00:13:34.860 I have a persuasion kind of a, I don't know if this is an insight or is it obvious.

00:13:42.060 You tell me.

00:13:44.180 Is the next thing I'm going to tell you insightful, where you go, oh, I never thought of it that

00:13:50.240 way.

00:13:50.660 Or, the opposite.

00:13:52.880 This is so obvious that I'm the last person who thought of it.

00:13:57.140 And it goes like this.

00:13:58.380 People are more comfortable avoiding active decisions than they are avoiding passive decisions.

00:14:11.060 Here's what I mean.

00:14:12.780 And again, I'm not going to get into pro or anti-vaccination, so I'm talking about the mental 1.00

00:14:18.380 process here.

00:14:19.080 If you decide to get vaccinated, that's an active decision, just the way I'm defining

00:14:25.760 it.

00:14:26.000 Right?

00:14:26.160 So, for our decisions, if your body moves and you go do something, that's an active decision.

00:14:32.940 A passive decision would be a decision to not do something.

00:14:37.140 I think I will not get vaccinated.

00:14:39.980 All right?

00:14:40.360 So, if you can accept my definitions just for this conversation, that getting vaccinated is

00:14:45.700 an active decision and not doing it is sort of an inactive, passive decision.

00:14:51.020 Okay?

00:14:53.140 How would you feel?

00:14:55.620 Forget about whether this is even vaccinations.

00:14:58.060 This could be any topic.

00:14:59.600 How would you feel if you made an active decision and it turned out to be wrong?

00:15:04.900 How would you feel?

00:15:07.500 Pretty, pretty bad, right?

00:15:09.480 You made an active decision.

00:15:11.080 You went and did something, and then that turned out to be a big mistake.

00:15:15.160 You would feel terrible.

00:15:16.440 Now, compare that to how bad you would feel if you made a passive decision.

00:15:22.200 You simply didn't do anything, but you had bad luck, and that turned out to be the wrong

00:15:27.860 decision.

00:15:28.940 So, it turns out that not doing anything, it turned out to be the wrong decision.

00:15:33.220 Which of these two conditions would you consider?

00:15:35.960 Again, forget about whether it's vaccinations or anything else.

00:15:39.260 It doesn't matter what the topic is.

00:15:40.720 I'm talking about a general persuasion bias kind of a situation.

00:15:45.120 Which one would you see?

00:15:47.300 Yeah, somebody says you see that a lot in trading, in the investment world.

00:15:52.280 Which would you feel more comfortable with being wrong?

00:15:56.740 Under the assumption that you could be wrong, which one would be the one you feel more comfortable

00:16:02.420 being wrong?

00:16:04.860 Go.

00:16:05.060 I'm saying passive, passive, passive, passive.

00:16:11.740 Lousy either way.

00:16:12.720 Yeah, it's bad either way.

00:16:14.220 Somebody says active.

00:16:15.320 A few actives.

00:16:17.000 Passive, passive, passive.

00:16:19.380 Indifferent.

00:16:20.120 Passive.

00:16:20.680 Yeah.

00:16:21.200 Now, I may have primed you too hard on this, so I think I was leading the witness a little

00:16:25.860 bit too much on this.

00:16:27.180 I may have biased you towards saying passive, because I framed it in a way that made that easier

00:16:33.040 to do, so if you'll forgive me for being accidentally too persuasive on this, I'm not sure it would

00:16:40.820 be quite as landslide-y looking as it does.

00:16:46.100 But that's just a hypothesis I'm working on, that independent of what the content is, people

00:16:53.720 are less likely to want to make an active mistake.

00:16:56.680 Well, it seems like something you could test.

00:17:01.220 I don't know which way it would test out, but I feel like it would go that way.

00:17:06.500 All right.

00:17:09.620 Reuters is doing a fact check on something that many of you watching this believe to be true.

00:17:15.740 All right.

00:17:16.620 So here's something that a lot of people tweeted at me because they believed it to be true.

00:17:20.960 As soon as I saw it, I said to myself, ah, that's not true, and didn't really pay much

00:17:25.700 attention to it, now Reuters is doing a fact check on it.

00:17:29.720 Wait, wait, wait, I know what you're thinking.

00:17:31.960 Hold on, hold on.

00:17:34.220 Am I going to say that because somebody fact checked it, that the fact check is the correct

00:17:39.040 one?

00:17:40.060 No.

00:17:40.420 No, but I'm going to tell you there is a fact check.

00:17:43.880 So if you haven't heard the other side, that would be useful.

00:17:48.660 All right.

00:17:49.040 Here it is.

00:17:49.580 There was data in the UK from the Office of National Statistics claiming that the double

00:17:58.420 vaccinated and triple vaccinated are more likely to test positive for Omicron has been

00:18:05.340 misrepresented.

00:18:07.600 According to Reuters, new data shows breakthrough cases among vaccinated people are more likely

00:18:13.160 to be Omicron than other variants.

00:18:16.380 Not that vaccines don't work or that vaccinated people are at greater risk of infection.

00:18:22.940 So in other words, when people saw that this UK Bureau of Officialness said that there were a lot

00:18:31.820 of double-vaxxed and triple-vaxxed people are more likely to test positive, it was in the context

00:18:37.580 of Omicron.

00:18:39.520 In other words, they were saying, if you get a positive test with a vaccination, it's probably

00:18:46.320 Omicron, which would not be the biggest deal because Omicron is the one you want, right?

00:18:52.020 If you're going to get infected, pick Omicron.

00:18:56.980 So am I saying that Reuters got the fact check right?

00:19:00.740 No.

00:19:01.960 Nope.

00:19:02.460 We don't live in a world where I can just automatically assume the fact check is right.

00:19:06.540 But you should be aware that if you interpreted that data, it was not intended to be interpreted

00:19:13.840 that way.

00:19:14.500 In other words, the people who put the data together don't think it says what you think

00:19:18.680 it says.

00:19:20.700 That's all.

00:19:21.480 Just you should be aware of that, that the people who presented the data don't think that's

00:19:27.100 the right interpretation.

00:19:30.100 All right.

00:19:30.700 How about this?

00:19:40.120 I tweeted yesterday that our levels of awareness are not yet high enough to know that we all

00:19:45.180 made irrational decisions about vaccinations or not to get vaccinated.

00:19:50.000 And then there were a number of people who corrected me, and I'm going to accept this correction.

00:19:54.460 I know, it's a Christmas miracle.

00:19:57.560 I'm going to tell you I was wrong about something.

00:20:00.200 Weird, huh?

00:20:02.200 Here's what I was wrong about.

00:20:03.800 So I said that everybody's decision about vaccination or not vaccination is based on fear.

00:20:08.660 But you're just afraid of different things.

00:20:11.320 Some people are afraid of the shot.

00:20:13.160 Some people are afraid of the government overreach.

00:20:15.600 Some people are afraid of big pharma.

00:20:18.300 Some people are afraid of COVID, et cetera.

00:20:22.920 And then other people corrected me.

00:20:26.820 So there were people who made this decision without fear.

00:20:30.860 And they convinced me that they really did not have any fear.

00:20:34.280 And they said things like this.

00:20:36.080 I didn't really think about the virus or the vaccination.

00:20:39.460 I just needed to, you know, my work said I needed to get a vaccination, so I just got one.

00:20:43.780 Or I wanted to visit someplace, and it was the only way I could do it, so I just got one.

00:20:52.580 Now, I will admit that that is not a fear-based decision.

00:20:57.700 So I'm going to say I was wrong to say all the decisions were fear-based.

00:21:02.520 Some of the decisions actually were completely thought-free,

00:21:06.520 which was a category I hadn't quite anticipated.

00:21:10.560 I really should have.

00:21:11.460 That was certainly a mistake in my mental model.

00:21:15.420 But there are a lot of people who convinced me with their comments

00:21:18.340 that they literally didn't put anything thought into it at all.

00:21:22.500 And I'm not, I'm not, this is not even an insult.

00:21:25.000 If it sounds like I'm mocking them, I'm not at all.

00:21:27.820 Because compared to the alternatives, it's not less rational.

00:21:31.800 But some people were completely aware that they didn't use rational thought.

00:21:36.500 I think they're operating at a higher level.

00:21:38.740 I think the people who went into it are saying,

00:21:42.540 well, there's no way to know what's right or wrong.

00:21:46.180 But I need this shot for work, and that's my immediate problem,

00:21:49.200 so I'll just get this shot for work.

00:21:54.380 Rose is saying, you, Adams, took the jab also for practical reasons.

00:21:58.160 That's not quite accurate, but it's a little bit accurate.

00:22:03.120 I got vaccinated partly for practical reasons,

00:22:09.120 but I'm also aware that fear was probably part of the decision, right?

00:22:16.760 So, you know, I suppose I had a fear of, you know, losing my wife if I couldn't travel

00:22:25.720 because I didn't get vaccinated.

00:22:27.480 So I guess that was a fear, in a way.

00:22:30.780 So I would soften my word fear to just say that there was irrationality

00:22:35.240 all the way through the decisions, in both sides and everybody, including me,

00:22:40.420 because there wasn't really an opportunity for a rational decision.

00:22:43.220 Now, there's some people who said, Scott, what about people who were already infected?

00:22:50.100 Let's say you're 25 years old, you're previously infected, you got over a fine.

00:22:57.660 Isn't that a case where not getting vaccinated is just, you know, a no-brainer?

00:23:02.980 To which I say, no, not even close.

00:23:07.640 Because in that is a bunch of assumptions that you don't know about.

00:23:11.220 You don't know the long-term risk of COVID, let's say, you know, COVID, long COVID.

00:23:20.900 You don't know the risk of that compared to, let's say, if you got vaccinated.

00:23:25.880 Would your long COVID be worse or better or even exist at all

00:23:31.260 if you got vaccinated on top of having natural immunity?

00:23:35.720 Nobody knows.

00:23:37.240 It's an unknown.

00:23:38.220 So, as soon as you think, okay, well, this special case is really clear, there are none.

00:23:48.660 I don't think there are any special cases where it's completely clear.

00:23:53.000 You're all guessing.

00:23:54.860 You know, the most extreme would be somebody with no immunity whatsoever.

00:23:59.820 But even in the case of somebody with no immunity,

00:24:04.240 do you know for sure that the vaccination is safer than just keeping them hidden until this passes?

00:24:12.820 Do you know for sure?

00:24:14.600 Because I don't.

00:24:17.020 I mean, it feels like you know, and it feels like your common sense is giving you a good enough answer,

00:24:22.420 but that's the illusion.

00:24:23.620 The illusion is that we have common sense.

00:24:25.400 There's a reason we do randomized controlled trials.

00:24:28.740 It's because we don't have common sense, but we're pretty sure we do.

00:24:32.600 That's why you do the randomized controlled trials.

00:24:34.900 The whole process of science is to make you stop using your common sense,

00:24:40.160 because it doesn't work.

00:24:42.560 That's why science is awesome.

00:24:45.160 All right.

00:24:47.380 In other news, I'll just throw this out there.

00:24:49.720 It looks like COVID's been cured.

00:24:51.380 I'll go to the next story.

00:24:54.360 Oh, wait.

00:24:55.020 You probably want to hear more about that.

00:24:57.260 Now, let me say that this is another one of those stories of COVID being cured in a test tube

00:25:05.880 or a petri dish or something like that, basically in a laboratory.

00:25:10.880 But please do not go out and try anything that I'm going to say right now.

00:25:15.860 Please, please, please, please, please do not try this at home.

00:25:22.120 I was even considering not even mentioning it,

00:25:26.140 because it increases the horse dewormer stuff happening.

00:25:33.520 So don't do this.

00:25:35.580 But there's a report that if you combined a Benadryl,

00:25:38.500 which a lot of people would have in their medicine cabinet already,

00:25:43.140 used for allergy symptoms, Benadryl,

00:25:45.540 if you combine it with this lactoferrin, a protein found in cow and human milk,

00:25:53.180 you can reduce the virus's replication by 99% in lab tests in human lungs and monkey cells.

00:26:02.320 So if any of you have any monkey cells, this could be the answer to that.

00:26:08.780 I worry about my monkey cells as well as my human lungs.

00:26:13.360 But here's the warning.

00:26:15.880 The lactoferrin that they used, although it is commercially available

00:26:19.800 for other conditions to treat other things,

00:26:23.740 it's not exactly the same stuff they used in the experiment.

00:26:28.100 So if you think you can just buy some of this stuff and mix it together, you can't.

00:26:33.420 It's not available.

00:26:34.380 It doesn't sound like it would be a big problem to make it available.

00:26:38.700 And one wonders what would happen if you did try the over-the-counter with the Benadryl,

00:26:43.200 which would be the worst thing I could ever suggest because I'm not a doctor,

00:26:48.440 and the last thing you want to do is mix some chemicals together and put them in your body

00:26:52.400 because you heard it on a cartoonist podcast.

00:26:55.380 Don't do that.

00:26:55.940 Don't do that.

00:26:57.360 However, all that said, and the fact that 95% of these things that work in a laboratory

00:27:01.700 never work in a human being, but besides that, I choose to be optimistic.

00:27:08.300 I choose optimism.

00:27:10.920 All right.

00:27:12.040 Politico is trying to dunk on me today

00:27:14.940 and putting me on the list of their worst predictions for 2021.

00:27:18.840 So I'm getting mocked on social media for the worst predictions of 2021.

00:27:27.100 And so that must be true, right?

00:27:30.500 Because I'm getting fact-checked by Politico.

00:27:34.400 So if Politico fact-checks me, well, the fact-check must be true, right?

00:27:40.120 No, no, no.

00:27:42.600 The fact-checks are all fake, too.

00:27:44.200 Not all of them.

00:27:45.140 But there are a lot of fake fact-checks.

00:27:46.700 Let's see how Politico did.

00:27:48.840 With their fact-checking.

00:27:51.440 So there were two claims I made that they treated as predictions.

00:27:56.640 I'm not sure they should have, but they did.

00:27:58.680 One was that if Biden got elected, Republicans would be hunted.

00:28:04.580 And they fact-checked that by saying that Republicans, indeed, have not been hunted.

00:28:12.060 Now, I'd like to give a little lesson on how to read to the Politico people

00:28:17.880 who approved this and wrote this article.

00:28:19.940 Here's how reading works.

00:28:22.780 Sometimes the words in a sentence are not always meant to be literal.

00:28:28.560 So if you thought that the word hunted meant that there would be hunting licenses, for example,

00:28:35.940 for Republicans, that maybe would be a bad interpretation.

00:28:39.940 If you thought that hunted meant, for example, that people would actually get hunting rifles

00:28:46.200 and go searching around and finding a Republican so that they can kill them.

00:28:51.840 If that's how you interpreted it, and that it would be widespread and, you know, it would be the basic nature of the country,

00:29:00.240 you might not be a good reader.

00:29:03.420 Here would be a more reasonable way to interpret it.

00:29:07.940 Haunted being more of a figurative term.

00:29:12.260 So, for example, what might come under that category of hunted would be,

00:29:20.580 can somebody tell me how many Trump supporters have been de-platformed since Trump was in office?

00:29:28.320 How many of his main supporters have been de-platformed?

00:29:32.800 And is it the same number on the left for doing similarly, you know, bad behavior?

00:29:39.080 Or does it seem like it was targeted more at the right, more at Republicans?

00:29:44.780 Does it seem to you that people were looking for Republicans, some might say hunted, hunting for them,

00:29:52.440 looking for them online to see what bad behavior they did so that they could be canceled?

00:29:58.540 How many Trump supporters are being held without bail right now because of the January 6th protests?

00:30:06.320 Are there a lot of Democrats being held for political reasons as political prisoners?

00:30:13.680 Because that's what it looks like.

00:30:15.120 It looks like the January 6th protesters are being held as political prisoners.

00:30:19.540 Because it's taken so long and there's no bail.

00:30:22.980 Which seems weird, because I don't think most of these people have ever committed any kind of crime.

00:30:27.020 So I would say that the country treating them as insurrectionists

00:30:31.900 and then keeping them in jail for political reasons is very much hunted.

00:30:38.580 That word doesn't work for you? Haunted?

00:30:40.960 That feels like that's exactly the right kind of figurative speech

00:30:46.080 that a good reader would recognize as accurate enough.

00:30:50.020 How many Trump supporters were the subject of an FBI action?

00:30:57.920 Say, Roger Stone.

00:31:00.120 Was that happening a lot to Democrats during the same time?

00:31:03.580 Or did it seem like it was targeted at Republicans?

00:31:07.160 It felt like it was targeted at Republicans.

00:31:09.220 How many Democrats were accused of a heinous crime

00:31:14.860 for which there is so much video of the actual events

00:31:18.260 every single person could see no crime occurred?

00:31:22.200 Well, I can think of Kyle Rittenhouse,

00:31:24.360 who was believed to be Republican,

00:31:26.840 and at this point he probably is.

00:31:28.220 I don't know if he used to be, but I'm sure he is now.

00:31:32.620 I shouldn't say that, because that would be reading his mind.

00:31:35.160 But I can't think of any Democrat

00:31:39.280 who was on multiple videos committing no crime whatsoever

00:31:44.880 who still had to go through a full trial.

00:31:49.320 Yeah, Kavanaugh, he was kind of hunted.

00:31:51.640 That was before, though.

00:31:55.720 So, I don't know.

00:31:57.180 I would say that hunted came true.

00:31:59.360 How many would agree with me

00:32:01.180 that my prediction that Republicans would be hunted under Biden

00:32:04.820 is accurate?

00:32:09.100 A lot of you think I was accurate.

00:32:11.300 All right, let's do another one.

00:32:13.180 I also said that there was a good chance

00:32:16.180 that if Biden got elected,

00:32:19.540 there was a good chance that you'd be dead by next year.

00:32:23.200 And Politico fact-checked me and said,

00:32:25.520 not true.

00:32:27.120 Not true.

00:32:28.400 False.

00:32:30.340 What is the definition of good chance?

00:32:33.140 Anybody?

00:32:33.440 Anybody?

00:32:34.820 Don't Google it.

00:32:35.940 Just off the top of your head.

00:32:37.380 What's the definition of a good chance?

00:32:41.720 What's a good chance?

00:32:45.300 I'm seeing people saying less than 100%,

00:32:47.740 less than 50%, over 10%,

00:32:50.280 10% or higher.

00:32:53.520 Do you know who's right?

00:32:54.940 Some people saying over 90%,

00:32:56.520 some people saying over 10%.

00:32:58.180 And the answer is both right.

00:33:00.620 They are both the definition.

00:33:03.560 If you Google it,

00:33:06.220 you look up what is the definition of a good chance.

00:33:09.780 The definitions include,

00:33:11.500 these are synonyms,

00:33:13.600 a possibility,

00:33:15.620 a possibility.

00:33:17.100 Also,

00:33:17.860 a probability.

00:33:18.420 So two of the definitions are kind of almost close to opposites.

00:33:23.740 So if you say there's a good chance of something happening,

00:33:26.940 it means that it's possible.

00:33:29.340 Like there's a goodly enough chance that it's worth talking about.

00:33:32.680 Possible.

00:33:33.020 But also could mean probable,

00:33:35.900 like 90%.

00:33:36.960 So,

00:33:39.260 which of these is the more likely interpretation?

00:33:44.200 So I'm a public figure,

00:33:46.240 who mostly is not too crazy.

00:33:49.900 Does Politico think that my actual prediction

00:33:52.940 is that you would probably be dead in 2021?

00:33:58.280 Because that's how they interpreted it.

00:34:00.400 They interpreted it as probably.

00:34:04.000 No,

00:34:04.320 I didn't think you'd probably be dead.

00:34:06.580 I said there's a good chance.

00:34:08.660 Was I accurate?

00:34:11.820 If there's not a good chance that you could be dead in 2021,

00:34:16.420 why did we have to wear masks and get vaccinated?

00:34:20.200 The entire theme of 2021 is there's a good chance that you could die.

00:34:24.940 Right?

00:34:25.760 Either a good chance from the vaccine

00:34:27.980 or from the corona.

00:34:31.020 I mean,

00:34:31.700 I think the vaccine's safer than the corona.

00:34:34.820 Some of you don't.

00:34:36.140 But you'd all agree with the concept that

00:34:38.500 we led the entire year

00:34:40.860 based on the primary assumption

00:34:43.240 that there was a good chance you'd die.

00:34:45.460 If there was not a good chance you'd die,

00:34:48.320 we wouldn't have to do any of that stuff.

00:34:50.920 Right?

00:34:51.960 We're not taking extraordinary measures

00:34:54.140 for things that don't have a good chance of happening.

00:34:58.360 So Politico took my word hunted

00:35:02.500 and turned it into a literal,

00:35:04.340 which was stupid. 0.51

00:35:06.060 Can we be honest?

00:35:07.440 That was just stupid.

00:35:08.540 But they also took my good chance,

00:35:12.560 which has a wide variety of interpretations,

00:35:15.880 one of them quite reasonable.

00:35:17.700 There's more chance that you would be dead.

00:35:19.380 And how did I do?

00:35:21.820 Turns out that the average life expectancy fell.

00:35:25.960 I'm pretty sure it fell in 2021.

00:35:27.740 It fell in 2020.

00:35:29.560 But I'm pretty sure that my prediction

00:35:34.360 was not only accurate,

00:35:35.840 but pretty darn accurate.

00:35:38.180 If you know how to read.

00:35:40.820 So if you believe that hunted was literal

00:35:43.100 instead of figurative,

00:35:44.220 and if you believe that

00:35:46.280 a good chance you'll be dead

00:35:48.860 means probably,

00:35:50.700 which would be ridiculous.

00:35:52.660 But if you interpret them as actual words

00:35:55.500 the way people can read,

00:35:57.420 pretty good.

00:35:58.980 Pretty good.

00:36:00.680 That's what I say.

00:36:02.420 How many agree that I got both of those right?

00:36:05.760 I just like to have people say I'm right.

00:36:09.940 All right.

00:36:11.180 And let me ask you this.

00:36:14.220 Do you think that they chose me randomly

00:36:18.480 to be one of their top debunked predictors?

00:36:24.380 Do you think that I was just one of the people?

00:36:28.300 No.

00:36:29.580 It's because I'm known to support Trump.

00:36:33.060 They would assume, incorrectly,

00:36:36.200 that I'm a Republican.

00:36:38.500 And they hunted me.

00:36:42.000 They hunted me.

00:36:43.060 They hunted me in the article

00:36:45.320 debunking that Republicans would get hunted.

00:36:48.780 Now, I'm not a Republican,

00:36:49.860 so that's slightly technically

00:36:51.280 not exactly what happened.

00:36:52.920 But basically it's what happened.

00:36:55.040 I was targeted,

00:36:56.500 just like every prominent Republican supporter

00:37:00.400 will be.

00:37:02.320 You know, like it's happening on the left as well.

00:37:04.860 But it's definitely happening.

00:37:07.320 It's not only happening to me.

00:37:10.040 It's certainly happening on both sides.

00:37:12.880 But, you know,

00:37:13.840 the odds that Republicans would be hunted under Biden,

00:37:17.660 it wasn't that hard of a prediction.

00:37:20.100 Thank you.

00:37:25.700 Good predictions.

00:37:30.700 Politico is paying someone to monitor your words?

00:37:33.740 Yeah, I don't know.

00:37:34.360 Well, I doubt that's true, per se,

00:37:37.600 but I'm definitely on lists.

00:37:42.380 You know, not necessarily an actual written list,

00:37:46.960 but conceptually I'm on the list of people

00:37:49.620 that would get targeted in the next few years.

00:37:52.820 Wait till you hear the stuff that comes out about me.

00:37:55.020 Like, I don't even know what it would be.

00:37:57.080 I'm not talking about true stuff.

00:37:59.720 But just wait till you hear

00:38:01.420 the stuff you're going to hear about me

00:38:03.840 between now and 2024 election.

00:38:06.600 It's going to be mind-blowing.

00:38:08.620 None of it will be true.

00:38:09.820 Well, who knows?

00:38:10.820 Maybe some of it will be true.

00:38:14.640 Jack says,

00:38:15.880 what is your biggest fear for America right now?

00:38:20.360 You know, I don't have one.

00:38:21.680 I honestly think we're in great, great shape.

00:38:26.620 And I know that's not popular at the moment,

00:38:29.180 but, you know, we will get past the pandemic,

00:38:32.520 and we're going to come out of it way stronger.

00:38:36.160 I mean, honestly, one of my biggest problems,

00:38:41.160 or if I had to say there's one thing I'm worried about,

00:38:44.660 it would be that the economy overheated.

00:38:47.060 I'd be worried about the economy going too hot at this point.

00:38:54.500 Because if the pandemic didn't slow down the economy,

00:38:57.820 I mean, it barely did.

00:38:59.400 It was like a blip.

00:39:01.440 We took, like, 20% of our workforce

00:39:04.260 and idled them for months,

00:39:06.920 and we just screamed ahead,

00:39:09.440 like nothing was happening.

00:39:11.380 So I see good news everywhere.

00:39:15.220 Just everywhere.

00:39:15.920 Inflation's a worry,

00:39:19.400 but I think we can manage that.

00:39:20.840 Inflation's basically a tax on rich people,

00:39:23.200 and if you had to tax somebody,

00:39:25.140 well, you might as well tax people who can afford it. 1.00

00:39:27.300 It's a tax on everybody,

00:39:28.980 but in the long run,

00:39:30.220 rich people pay most of the taxes.

00:39:38.360 But, of course,

00:39:39.260 poor people will suffer more from inflation.

00:39:40.920 What about four-plus vaccines a year?

00:39:47.040 Well, I'm not going to get four vaccinations a year.

00:39:50.400 Is anybody here going to do that?

00:39:51.900 I think that the,

00:39:54.800 especially since the therapeutics have been improved now.

00:39:57.860 By the way,

00:39:58.500 did you notice that we got COVID pills

00:40:00.580 at the same time we got restrictions

00:40:03.200 that would make them almost worthless?

00:40:04.900 Am I the only one who noticed that?

00:40:08.000 Hey, we've got these great pills.

00:40:09.960 These could really help you if you take them early.

00:40:12.100 Also, we're going to create a series of regulations

00:40:16.360 and procedures

00:40:17.860 that make it almost impossible to get them early.

00:40:22.140 You know both of those things happened yesterday, right?

00:40:24.860 Here's your pills.

00:40:26.240 Here's why they won't work,

00:40:27.480 because we'll have some regulations

00:40:28.580 where you can't take them early.

00:40:31.160 Do you know what we would do

00:40:32.140 if we were serious about this?

00:40:34.880 We'd say,

00:40:35.720 you think you have symptoms?

00:40:37.260 Here, take these pills.

00:40:38.280 Now, obviously,

00:40:41.700 we don't have enough of them to do that. 0.83

00:40:43.900 But if we were even a little bit serious,

00:40:46.560 we'd say,

00:40:47.920 that's probably COVID.

00:40:49.300 Take a pill,

00:40:50.460 and we'll test you.

00:40:51.840 And if the test shows that you don't have it,

00:40:54.660 immediately stop taking the pill.

00:40:58.480 Right?

00:40:59.940 If we were even a little bit serious,

00:41:01.920 it doesn't look like we're trying, honestly.

00:41:04.780 It doesn't look like that's even a serious try.

00:41:06.880 And now, that's an example.

00:41:11.000 That is what Florida does. 1.00

00:41:12.980 Well, I'm talking about,

00:41:15.080 Jack,

00:41:15.940 I think you're talking about Regeneron

00:41:18.420 and stuff like that,

00:41:19.160 and I think you're right about that,

00:41:20.840 and other therapeutics.

00:41:22.520 But there's specific regulations

00:41:24.740 about these new COVID pills

00:41:26.640 from Pfizer and Merck,

00:41:28.300 and it looks like they're going to require

00:41:30.200 a positive test before you get them.

00:41:33.380 Imagine that.

00:41:34.780 You have to take it within five days.

00:41:36.880 For it to be effective, they say.

00:41:39.300 But your test could take five days.

00:41:42.940 And that's just for the result.

00:41:44.760 That's not counting how many days it takes

00:41:46.460 to get a test.

00:41:48.200 So we've been told that you can't possibly

00:41:50.320 get a test within five days,

00:41:52.360 in a lot of places right now.

00:41:53.900 But, if you did,

00:41:56.640 you could get the pill.

00:41:58.860 So the solution to the pandemic is here,

00:42:01.380 but you can't have it.

00:42:04.540 I got questions.

00:42:06.560 Right?

00:42:07.400 Know you all?

00:42:11.040 All right.

00:42:11.600 Yeah, I think there's got to be corruption

00:42:16.840 in here somewhere.

00:42:17.980 I don't think any of this is a coincidence.

00:42:20.500 Now, it could be just a shortage model.

00:42:22.620 I don't know how long it takes

00:42:23.560 to make these pills.

00:42:26.020 My God, Scott,

00:42:27.020 you could get an at-home test

00:42:28.260 in 15 minutes.

00:42:29.900 Correct, and the wrong topic.

00:42:31.460 So, my understanding is

00:42:33.880 that the home tests

00:42:35.060 would not count

00:42:36.380 toward getting your approval

00:42:38.900 for these new pills.

00:42:42.040 I think you have to have

00:42:42.860 the serious test,

00:42:45.420 not the rapid test.

00:42:47.240 Now,

00:42:49.220 do I think that that makes sense?

00:42:51.160 Nope.

00:42:52.380 I think that if your own

00:42:53.920 personal rapid test,

00:42:55.580 which is not as accurate,

00:42:57.320 if that thing says you've got COVID,

00:42:59.520 yeah, you should be taking

00:43:00.700 that damn COVID pill right away.

00:43:02.860 Here's what probably will happen.

00:43:05.040 I think doctors will just do

00:43:06.260 whatever makes sense.

00:43:08.420 I don't know.

00:43:08.920 If Dr. Ju sees this,

00:43:11.540 maybe you can confirm this.

00:43:13.280 But my understanding is

00:43:14.340 since you can do off-label stuff,

00:43:17.760 there's no doctor

00:43:18.580 who would be dumb enough

00:43:19.740 not to give you the pill

00:43:21.880 if it looked like it was indicated,

00:43:24.480 you know,

00:43:24.740 all things considered.

00:43:26.400 Right?

00:43:26.600 So, the doctor's going to be

00:43:27.680 looking at the big, big, big picture,

00:43:29.180 not just pill or no pill.

00:43:32.060 So, if your doctor says,

00:43:33.840 big, big picture,

00:43:35.440 let's say you've got

00:43:36.560 some comorbidities

00:43:37.940 and, you know,

00:43:39.160 you're coughing pretty hard,

00:43:40.300 your oxygen is a little bit low,

00:43:41.980 do you think that doctor's

00:43:43.000 going to wait for you

00:43:43.580 to get a positive test?

00:43:47.060 Does anybody think that?

00:43:48.740 Do you think any doctor,

00:43:50.460 seeing that you're obviously

00:43:51.960 suffering from COVID,

00:43:54.660 I mean, obviously,

00:43:55.740 meaning, you know,

00:43:56.640 90% likely,

00:43:58.380 do you think any doctor

00:43:59.360 is going to make you wait

00:44:00.080 five days?

00:44:02.060 You should quit your doctor

00:44:03.500 right away if that happens,

00:44:05.600 assuming the pills are available.

00:44:07.540 I think availability

00:44:08.300 will end up driving

00:44:09.320 a lot of this stuff.

00:44:10.700 Oh, let me give you

00:44:11.940 a thought experiment

00:44:14.580 for the vacation day here.

00:44:18.360 Anybody want a good

00:44:19.140 thought experiment?

00:44:20.560 It goes like this.

00:44:21.640 Suppose you reimagine government

00:44:25.380 as nothing but

00:44:27.320 the nation's insurance company.

00:44:30.640 That's the whole idea.

00:44:33.680 Reimagine government

00:44:34.640 as an insurance company.

00:44:36.560 So there would be

00:44:37.060 no private insurance

00:44:38.180 except for extra, right?

00:44:40.240 Everybody would have

00:44:40.940 a basic insurance,

00:44:42.300 but if you wanted

00:44:43.340 some extra stuff,

00:44:44.200 like you wanted to buy

00:44:44.960 a luxury vehicle,

00:44:47.380 you could buy some extra

00:44:48.660 insurance on your luxury vehicle.

00:44:50.660 Here's why.

00:44:53.600 Your insurance companies

00:44:54.860 have to reduce

00:44:55.840 the risk of payout.

00:44:58.680 And so the insurance company

00:44:59.860 would,

00:45:00.280 the first thing they do

00:45:01.140 is say,

00:45:01.440 whoa, whoa, whoa,

00:45:01.860 we better get a military

00:45:03.060 so nobody attacks us.

00:45:06.160 So the insurance company

00:45:07.380 would say,

00:45:07.700 okay, cost-benefit,

00:45:08.920 we need a military.

00:45:10.300 Then they would just

00:45:11.960 go down the list

00:45:12.800 and say,

00:45:13.200 okay, cost-benefit,

00:45:14.280 we'll charge for this,

00:45:15.160 don't charge for that.

00:45:16.320 You can do anything you want.

00:45:17.740 It's a free country,

00:45:18.580 but if it costs,

00:45:20.560 you know,

00:45:20.800 if you're doing something

00:45:21.520 we can measure

00:45:22.360 and it's bad for your health

00:45:24.240 or other people's health,

00:45:25.520 we'll charge you more.

00:45:27.760 So basically,

00:45:28.780 through insurance rates alone,

00:45:31.360 all policy would be determined.

00:45:34.320 And your first impression

00:45:36.020 would be,

00:45:36.440 that can't work for everything.

00:45:38.740 And that's what

00:45:39.340 the Thorne experiment is.

00:45:41.120 Try to find something

00:45:42.100 it wouldn't work for.

00:45:43.020 It works for way more things

00:45:47.160 than you think

00:45:47.640 it should work for.

00:45:54.920 What is the tipping point

00:45:56.300 for Feb 1 to be a reality?

00:46:00.000 Well, I think the tipping point

00:46:01.500 will be the direction of deaths.

00:46:03.460 I think on February 1,

00:46:07.000 if pretty much everywhere,

00:46:09.000 the death rate is decreasing,

00:46:10.500 and it looks like

00:46:13.040 Omicron

00:46:14.000 is really as mild

00:46:15.980 as we hope.

00:46:17.140 If we can confirm

00:46:18.320 Omicron is mild

00:46:19.340 and that it has swept

00:46:21.740 the country

00:46:22.280 and it's sort of

00:46:23.360 the main thing

00:46:24.260 people are getting,

00:46:25.900 I think we're done.

00:46:28.920 If the death surge

00:46:31.380 from the holiday

00:46:32.700 is not surprisingly high,

00:46:36.400 I think we're done.

00:46:37.340 I think we're done.

00:46:40.500 Now,

00:46:41.460 the question is,

00:46:43.320 how do you get everybody

00:46:44.260 to be done

00:46:44.820 at the same time?

00:46:48.420 I hope that's sarcasm.

00:46:51.480 Scott finally woke up.

00:46:53.260 I can't tell.

00:46:54.480 You have to be careful

00:46:55.360 because remember,

00:46:56.460 I block people

00:46:57.100 for saying that

00:46:57.800 and if you're being sarcastic,

00:46:59.080 I can't really tell

00:47:00.200 because sarcasm

00:47:01.520 in reality

00:47:02.380 look the same now.

00:47:03.200 Yes,

00:47:09.460 the Omicron

00:47:10.420 is more infectious

00:47:11.400 but probably

00:47:12.820 less lethal

00:47:13.620 and it is possible

00:47:16.800 that we still

00:47:17.580 get overwhelmed

00:47:18.300 just because

00:47:19.040 of the sheer numbers

00:47:19.800 but I'll tell you

00:47:20.780 that's a problem

00:47:21.400 I'd want,

00:47:22.620 right?

00:47:23.480 Like,

00:47:23.800 if it's the fastest

00:47:25.380 way to get

00:47:26.040 to herd immunity

00:47:27.300 then putting,

00:47:30.180 and I know

00:47:31.740 that healthcare

00:47:32.300 professionals

00:47:32.820 are already crushed

00:47:33.800 but,

00:47:35.140 so it'd be bad

00:47:35.720 for them

00:47:36.120 to give them

00:47:37.900 that workload.

00:47:38.540 Definitely bad

00:47:39.060 for the healthcare

00:47:39.560 professionals

00:47:40.120 but it could be

00:47:41.360 a net benefit

00:47:42.260 for the country

00:47:42.980 if it doesn't

00:47:43.760 crush our healthcare

00:47:44.580 to just get it

00:47:46.300 over with quickly.

00:47:49.420 Do you ban people

00:47:50.520 for saying

00:47:51.020 you're still

00:47:51.520 not woken up?

00:47:52.380 I ban them

00:47:54.780 for bad grammar.

00:47:58.920 Actually,

00:47:59.460 I don't

00:47:59.840 but that was

00:48:01.080 my witty rejoinder.

00:48:09.220 Pharma has

00:48:09.840 notified the

00:48:10.460 Biden administration

00:48:11.300 that the next

00:48:12.540 variant is due

00:48:13.240 Feb 1.

00:48:16.060 Yes,

00:48:16.520 that is a picture

00:48:17.080 of me.

00:48:17.740 All right.

00:48:19.180 That's all

00:48:19.660 I've got for now

00:48:20.380 and big old

00:48:22.220 Merry Christmas

00:48:22.920 to all of you

00:48:24.140 and

00:48:25.820 Jack says,

00:48:31.200 why do you

00:48:31.500 blame the fake

00:48:32.140 news for COVID

00:48:32.940 when they just

00:48:33.660 parrot what

00:48:34.040 the government

00:48:34.420 says?

00:48:34.960 Well,

00:48:35.280 the answer

00:48:35.660 is in your

00:48:36.020 question.

00:48:37.000 The fake

00:48:37.460 news just

00:48:38.040 parrots what

00:48:38.600 the government

00:48:38.980 says.

00:48:40.140 The real

00:48:40.700 news would

00:48:41.380 investigate

00:48:42.040 and give you

00:48:42.940 both sides

00:48:43.800 and all that.

00:48:45.460 Oh,

00:48:45.880 let me put

00:48:46.580 this out here

00:48:47.180 as a 2021

00:48:48.260 objective.

00:48:49.900 You all

00:48:51.760 know I

00:48:52.040 like systems

00:48:52.700 more than

00:48:53.180 goals,

00:48:54.060 but there

00:48:55.180 are special

00:48:55.880 cases.

00:48:56.880 And the

00:48:57.120 special case

00:48:57.800 is one

00:48:59.200 where the

00:48:59.660 situation is

00:49:00.520 so defined

00:49:01.140 that you

00:49:01.500 might as

00:49:01.740 well have

00:49:02.020 a goal.

00:49:03.380 I've told

00:49:04.040 you that the

00:49:04.540 only way to

00:49:05.140 get good

00:49:05.600 information

00:49:06.060 about a

00:49:06.660 topic where

00:49:07.160 the country

00:49:07.540 is divided

00:49:08.080 is to put

00:49:09.080 two experts

00:49:09.860 in the same

00:49:11.620 conversation

00:49:12.200 with one

00:49:12.900 aggressive

00:49:13.860 host who

00:49:14.780 could ask

00:49:15.140 the right

00:49:15.460 questions and

00:49:16.140 challenge them,

00:49:16.940 et cetera.

00:49:17.420 I've heard

00:49:19.060 people suggest

00:49:19.860 a regular

00:49:20.580 debate format,

00:49:21.640 which I

00:49:21.920 hate.

00:49:22.600 If you've

00:49:22.960 watched a

00:49:23.280 regular debate

00:49:23.920 they're just

00:49:24.340 snore fests.

00:49:25.460 You need a

00:49:25.900 host who

00:49:26.340 can keep it

00:49:26.780 interesting.

00:49:27.640 Somebody like

00:49:28.120 Trump.

00:49:29.020 Trump would

00:49:29.420 be a great

00:49:29.840 host for

00:49:30.360 this sort

00:49:30.660 of thing.

00:49:31.200 I think

00:49:31.520 I would

00:49:31.900 as well.

00:49:33.140 And I

00:49:33.420 think that

00:49:33.760 I could

00:49:34.140 at least

00:49:34.660 show a

00:49:35.500 model of

00:49:35.980 it.

00:49:36.280 Maybe it's

00:49:36.760 the bad

00:49:37.160 version that

00:49:37.800 somebody could

00:49:38.280 do better.

00:49:39.320 But I'd

00:49:39.800 like to put

00:49:40.140 this out

00:49:40.500 there.

00:49:40.720 I'd like

00:49:41.000 to host

00:49:41.880 some expert

00:49:44.080 debates.

00:49:45.560 Could be

00:49:46.280 on COVID

00:49:47.400 stuff or

00:49:47.940 something

00:49:48.220 else.

00:49:49.080 But I

00:49:49.680 just want

00:49:50.040 to find

00:49:50.380 something where

00:49:50.980 the country

00:49:51.440 is quite

00:49:51.920 divided,

00:49:52.900 put the

00:49:53.660 experts in

00:49:54.240 the same

00:49:54.540 place,

00:49:55.040 and not

00:49:55.360 have a

00:49:55.740 timer on

00:49:56.280 them.

00:49:57.200 The only

00:49:57.840 timer would

00:49:58.480 be the

00:49:58.800 host.

00:49:59.740 In other

00:50:00.020 words,

00:50:00.260 if somebody

00:50:00.620 gets off

00:50:01.080 track,

00:50:01.540 I'm going

00:50:01.800 to interrupt

00:50:02.220 them.

00:50:03.020 So it

00:50:03.660 would be

00:50:03.960 an

00:50:04.200 interrupt

00:50:04.940 driven

00:50:05.740 process.

00:50:07.180 Because what

00:50:07.780 happens if

00:50:08.260 the host

00:50:08.620 doesn't

00:50:09.060 interrupt

00:50:09.520 somebody?

00:50:10.960 You get

00:50:11.640 nonsense.

00:50:13.060 Because people

00:50:13.860 will just

00:50:14.360 filibuster.

00:50:15.060 talk as

00:50:17.000 long as

00:50:17.340 they can.

00:50:18.560 So you

00:50:18.880 have to

00:50:19.120 have a

00:50:19.340 host who

00:50:19.760 is just

00:50:20.000 going to

00:50:20.200 cut them

00:50:20.500 off.

00:50:20.760 Nope.

00:50:21.420 You didn't

00:50:21.760 answer the

00:50:22.120 question.

00:50:22.520 Nope.

00:50:23.220 Tell me

00:50:23.620 yes or

00:50:23.960 no first,

00:50:24.600 and then

00:50:24.920 give me

00:50:25.200 the

00:50:25.360 explanation.

00:50:26.380 Then they

00:50:26.740 start the

00:50:27.140 explanation.

00:50:27.840 You go,

00:50:28.060 nope,

00:50:28.560 nope.

00:50:29.580 Give me

00:50:29.920 yes or

00:50:30.320 no first,

00:50:32.420 and then

00:50:32.740 you can

00:50:33.040 give me

00:50:33.300 the

00:50:33.480 explanation.

00:50:34.600 So you

00:50:35.020 have to

00:50:35.360 really get

00:50:36.480 on top

00:50:36.900 of them.

00:50:37.340 And part

00:50:37.700 of the

00:50:37.920 entertainment

00:50:38.420 would be

00:50:39.620 watching the

00:50:40.200 host try

00:50:40.960 to wrangle

00:50:41.400 two people

00:50:42.060 who didn't

00:50:42.920 want to get

00:50:43.280 wrangled.

00:50:43.680 Because if

00:50:45.080 they're trying

00:50:45.440 to persuade,

00:50:46.320 they don't

00:50:46.580 want to get

00:50:46.900 nailed down

00:50:47.420 too much,

00:50:47.860 right?

00:50:48.460 So that

00:50:49.040 would be

00:50:49.280 the tension.

00:50:49.860 The tension

00:50:50.200 would be

00:50:50.600 the host

00:50:51.100 with both

00:50:52.740 of the

00:50:53.240 people,

00:50:55.220 ideally

00:50:55.740 pushing both

00:50:56.600 of them

00:50:56.900 hard.

00:50:57.740 So I've

00:50:58.640 said the

00:50:58.940 only reason

00:50:59.300 I haven't

00:50:59.620 done it

00:50:59.940 is that

00:51:00.360 there's no

00:51:00.860 technology

00:51:01.560 solution

00:51:02.100 for doing

00:51:02.680 it live.

00:51:05.200 There must

00:51:05.980 be by now.

00:51:07.560 There must

00:51:08.120 be somebody

00:51:08.680 who has a

00:51:09.200 studio,

00:51:11.280 you know,

00:51:11.500 some professional

00:51:12.160 entity,

00:51:12.620 who can

00:51:13.500 just zoom

00:51:14.180 us up

00:51:14.560 and put

00:51:14.840 us on

00:51:15.140 screen

00:51:15.500 and turn

00:51:16.600 the timer

00:51:17.040 off.

00:51:17.840 That's the

00:51:18.220 important part.

00:51:18.940 It can't

00:51:19.240 have an

00:51:19.520 end time.

00:51:20.600 You cannot

00:51:21.120 have an

00:51:21.560 end time.

00:51:22.740 It just

00:51:23.200 has to go

00:51:23.720 until it's

00:51:24.140 done,

00:51:25.000 according to

00:51:25.460 the host.

00:51:26.640 And,

00:51:27.060 you know,

00:51:27.520 just try it.

00:51:28.860 It could be

00:51:29.380 a disaster,

00:51:30.800 right?

00:51:31.160 It could be

00:51:31.580 a total

00:51:31.900 disaster.

00:51:33.060 But I

00:51:33.740 think we

00:51:34.160 need to

00:51:34.460 A,

00:51:34.680 B,

00:51:35.260 test a few

00:51:36.180 things.

00:51:39.200 Somebody

00:51:39.600 says,

00:51:40.260 again,

00:51:40.680 Dave Rubin's

00:51:41.340 help.

00:51:41.500 I don't

00:51:42.120 know if

00:51:42.400 his studio

00:51:43.000 can do

00:51:43.560 that.

00:51:45.500 I mean,

00:51:45.760 he has a

00:51:46.360 full studio,

00:51:47.340 so he has

00:51:47.740 the most

00:51:48.400 capability of

00:51:49.520 any independent

00:51:51.160 that I know

00:51:51.900 of.

00:51:52.720 Does anybody

00:51:53.180 know anybody

00:51:53.720 independent who

00:51:54.400 hasn't?

00:51:54.700 Well,

00:51:54.940 actually,

00:51:56.340 yeah,

00:51:56.540 there'd be

00:51:56.800 everybody from

00:51:57.800 I don't

00:52:02.200 want to

00:52:02.420 name names,

00:52:02.980 but yeah,

00:52:04.980 there are

00:52:05.280 probably a

00:52:05.580 number of

00:52:05.840 people who

00:52:06.140 could do it.

00:52:06.480 I don't

00:52:06.740 know if

00:52:07.280 Jim,

00:52:08.300 or if

00:52:08.780 Rogan or

00:52:09.500 Tim Poole

00:52:10.240 could do

00:52:10.620 that.

00:52:10.820 Alex Jones.

00:52:12.400 Yeah,

00:52:12.840 Alex Jones

00:52:13.300 is the

00:52:13.580 one I

00:52:13.840 thought of.

00:52:15.560 But,

00:52:16.060 you know,

00:52:16.380 as soon as

00:52:17.680 you throw

00:52:17.980 Alex Jones

00:52:18.640 into the

00:52:19.080 mix in

00:52:19.680 any way

00:52:20.280 whatsoever,

00:52:21.340 then it

00:52:21.900 becomes about

00:52:22.460 Alex Jones,

00:52:23.800 who I

00:52:24.540 always liked.

00:52:25.880 He's such

00:52:26.440 a likable

00:52:26.980 guy.

00:52:28.040 Does anybody

00:52:28.440 have that

00:52:28.920 same

00:52:29.580 impression?

00:52:31.160 There's

00:52:31.640 something

00:52:31.920 about him

00:52:35.020 that is

00:52:35.420 just so

00:52:36.040 relatable.

00:52:37.220 Glenn Beck.

00:52:41.140 That would

00:52:41.460 be interesting.

00:52:42.680 Yeah,

00:52:43.200 they probably

00:52:43.600 have all

00:52:44.000 the studio

00:52:44.580 capability

00:52:45.280 there,

00:52:45.600 don't

00:52:45.720 they?

00:52:47.680 Hmm.

00:52:49.120 Or,

00:52:50.440 yeah.

00:52:53.480 Anyway,

00:52:53.900 so I'll put

00:52:54.780 that out there

00:52:55.240 if there's

00:52:55.520 somebody who

00:52:56.240 wants to

00:52:57.080 offer some

00:52:58.540 studio resources.

00:52:59.520 the minimum

00:53:00.440 requirement is

00:53:01.880 three faces

00:53:03.240 on screen

00:53:03.920 and live.

00:53:05.860 And live.

00:53:06.700 Can't be

00:53:07.020 recorded.

00:53:08.660 And the

00:53:08.980 reason I

00:53:09.340 want it

00:53:09.620 live is that

00:53:10.360 there's a

00:53:10.740 different energy

00:53:11.320 to it and

00:53:12.260 that the

00:53:13.060 people's

00:53:13.600 comments could

00:53:14.240 be coming

00:53:14.560 in at the

00:53:15.020 same time.

00:53:15.760 Because I'd

00:53:16.320 want the 0.55

00:53:16.660 host to

00:53:17.860 have an

00:53:18.180 assistant.

00:53:19.500 Doesn't have

00:53:20.080 to be in

00:53:20.360 the room.

00:53:21.020 But the

00:53:21.320 assistant should

00:53:21.940 be monitoring

00:53:22.540 the questions

00:53:23.320 to make sure

00:53:24.700 that the

00:53:25.440 audience might

00:53:26.800 have come up

00:53:27.220 with a good

00:53:27.540 question or a

00:53:28.380 good counterpoint

00:53:29.020 or a good

00:53:29.700 source that

00:53:30.360 you want to

00:53:30.780 test.

00:53:32.460 So you'd

00:53:32.960 want the 0.55

00:53:33.280 public to

00:53:33.700 be live.

00:53:35.280 That's why

00:53:35.680 you don't

00:53:35.920 want it

00:53:36.180 recorded.

00:53:37.320 And you

00:53:37.620 want to

00:53:38.080 really keep

00:53:39.420 it dangerous.

00:53:42.700 One of the

00:53:43.200 reasons that

00:53:43.640 people watch

00:53:44.260 something,

00:53:45.120 this is one

00:53:45.660 of my

00:53:45.980 theories as

00:53:46.760 well,

00:53:47.360 is the

00:53:47.960 thought that

00:53:48.900 somebody's in

00:53:49.520 danger.

00:53:50.880 Now,

00:53:51.160 not physical

00:53:51.720 danger,

00:53:52.640 but danger

00:53:53.540 of embarrassment

00:53:54.360 or losing

00:53:55.600 their career

00:53:56.220 or something

00:53:56.780 like that.

00:53:57.880 So,

00:53:59.020 live gives

00:53:59.860 you extra

00:54:00.360 danger,

00:54:01.280 which I'm

00:54:02.420 attracted to

00:54:03.120 as an

00:54:04.160 entertainment

00:54:04.760 form.

00:54:06.940 All right,

00:54:07.580 that's all I

00:54:07.940 got for now,

00:54:08.420 and I will

00:54:09.020 talk to you

00:54:09.660 tomorrow,

00:54:11.880 and have a

00:54:14.560 wonderful,

00:54:15.160 wonderful Christmas.

00:54:16.760 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 25, 2021

Episode 1603 Scott Adams： Merry Christmas and It's Time to Have Some Fun. Get In Here

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