Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 25, 2021


Episode 1603 Scott Adams： Merry Christmas and It's Time to Have Some Fun. Get In Here


Episode Stats

Length

54 minutes

Words per Minute

143.62114

Word Count

7,797

Sentence Count

598

Misogynist Sentences

7

Hate Speech Sentences

4


Summary

On today's episode of Coffee with Scott Adams: It's Christmas Eve, and it's a special Christmas edition of the show featuring special guest Scott Adams, host of the popular morning show "Coffee With Scott Adams" on NPR's Morning Mashup.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and Merry, Merry Christmas.
00:00:06.440 Not only is it Christmas, but you've managed to find your way to the best thing that's ever happened.
00:00:11.720 Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know, the birth of, you know, Jesus and all that.
00:00:15.280 That stuff's good, and today we'll even allow that that might be a little better.
00:00:19.520 But the second best thing that's ever happened is happening right now.
00:00:23.480 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, Christmas edition, and you're lucky enough to be here.
00:00:28.360 Wow, good for you.
00:00:31.620 And all you need to make this special day even more special is a cup or a mug or a glass,
00:00:36.780 a tank of chelsea stein, a canty jug of glass, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:40.280 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:42.600 Today only, we will accept eggnog.
00:00:45.480 Every other day of the year, no eggnog.
00:00:48.900 No, well, New Year's Eve is fun.
00:00:51.140 But today, anything you like.
00:00:53.680 Go.
00:00:53.880 Go.
00:00:53.940 Oh, yeah.
00:01:01.780 Well, by now, all of you saw the prank played on President Biden.
00:01:07.920 He was doing one of these PR events where he was pretending to call NORAD and talk to some child about Santa Claus coming.
00:01:17.540 But the father of that said child got on the phone and was thanking the president.
00:01:24.380 And as he was signing off, the father said, let's go, Brandon.
00:01:28.900 And Biden actually said, let's go, Brandon.
00:01:34.160 That's right.
00:01:36.780 He didn't know it was a joke.
00:01:39.840 And so he agreed with the idea.
00:01:42.180 Let's go, Brandon.
00:01:42.920 And that's right.
00:01:46.080 Now, I could be mocking our president.
00:01:50.880 Could I not?
00:01:52.320 Yes, I could.
00:01:55.620 Jack Murphy.
00:02:00.320 Anyway.
00:02:01.560 I could be mocking our president.
00:02:03.180 But can I have a special dispensation today?
00:02:08.820 For Christmas, would anybody mind if I say something supportive of the president?
00:02:16.120 Just for Christmas.
00:02:18.180 All right.
00:02:18.660 All right.
00:02:18.980 I got a few yeses.
00:02:21.120 Here's the thing.
00:02:22.380 Imagine if you will, you're the leader of the United States and all the things you're thinking about.
00:02:27.780 And that it's also Christmas.
00:02:30.940 How many things are in your head that you have to think about when you're the leader of the United States and it's Christmas?
00:02:38.900 Like another 10% on top of it.
00:02:41.780 A lot.
00:02:43.540 How fascinated and interested do you think the president of the United States is when he's talking to a random citizen for a PR event?
00:02:53.740 Not too interested.
00:02:55.080 Probably not too interested compared to all the things in his head.
00:03:00.860 And so I imagine that it would be easy for someone to give the reflex answer without even knowing who he was talking to.
00:03:07.980 Let me ask you this.
00:03:09.940 Have you ever had this exchange with somebody?
00:03:12.900 You'll say you're going on a trip and the other person isn't.
00:03:17.860 It's just somebody you're talking to.
00:03:20.200 And then that other person will say to you, say, okay, Scott, have a nice trip.
00:03:23.740 And then you look at them and you say, you too.
00:03:28.300 But you know they're not going on a nice trip.
00:03:31.960 Ever do that?
00:03:33.660 It's just sort of automatic, right?
00:03:35.780 It's just sort of a reflex.
00:03:37.240 To me, it looked like Biden was just doing automatic talking because he was thinking about other things.
00:03:42.720 I'm not sure that was a sign of anything.
00:03:44.920 But let me defend him for Christmas because it would be easy to imagine Trump doing the same thing.
00:03:52.420 If I'm being honest, it would be easy to imagine Trump or anybody doing the same thing just because his mind was on something else.
00:03:59.760 I don't think it tells us anything too dark.
00:04:02.580 Well, here's some good news.
00:04:03.900 You've heard this before, but I like to throw this in the year end.
00:04:08.240 The Sahara is actually shrinking because there's enough vegetation, largely because of climate change, we think.
00:04:15.140 Well, not climate change, but rather CO2.
00:04:18.200 So the CO2 is good fertilizer, it turns out.
00:04:21.320 So the Sahara is shrinking.
00:04:23.620 Now, what is the secondary benefit of the Sahara is shrinking and the tertiary benefit and the what comes after tertiary?
00:04:35.620 You talked yourself into a corner, Scott.
00:04:39.240 I wonder if they can tell that you had to stop to think this long.
00:04:43.200 Nobody noticed that you don't know what comes after tertiary.
00:04:46.940 Say something.
00:04:47.600 Say anything.
00:04:48.160 They don't have time to look it up.
00:04:49.420 So, and quadruciary, what are the other benefits?
00:04:59.080 Quaternary.
00:05:00.040 Quaternary.
00:05:00.680 Let's go with that.
00:05:02.600 Okay.
00:05:04.220 Yes, hurricanes diminished is the answer I was looking for.
00:05:07.660 So the differential between the temperature over the Sahara versus the temperature over the ocean is what gets the hurricanes going in the Atlantic.
00:05:16.320 If you were to reduce that differential via CO2 causing more vegetation, you would reduce the intensity of hurricanes.
00:05:29.960 Another benefit is you might be able to grow food.
00:05:35.140 That's kind of cool.
00:05:36.680 Maybe feed some people.
00:05:38.480 Another benefit is you might take a place that is largely useless and turn it into a sanctuary for refugees.
00:05:44.900 Will there be refugees from climate change?
00:05:49.160 Some experts say yes.
00:05:50.900 Lots of refugees.
00:05:52.360 Where are they going to go?
00:05:53.980 Well, wouldn't it be nice to go to some place that was lightly populated and very green?
00:05:59.740 Maybe.
00:06:00.800 So maybe we'll stick some fusion reactors on the ocean there.
00:06:06.780 Start tracking in some water.
00:06:08.440 Maybe seed it with these robots we were talking about that seed the deserts.
00:06:11.820 Let the animals poop on it.
00:06:14.500 Next thing you know, boom.
00:06:16.340 We're growing plants and those plants are grabbing the CO2 right out of the air.
00:06:22.000 So let's see.
00:06:22.720 You would reduce the frequency or intensity, maybe, of hurricanes.
00:06:31.640 You would feed people because you could grow food there where you couldn't before.
00:06:35.240 You could handle refugees, which is one of the biggest problems some people think in the world.
00:06:40.280 And you could also capture a lot of CO2 out of the air in case there's too much.
00:06:47.680 So that's pretty good news.
00:06:52.040 Here's the funniest human story in a while.
00:06:54.800 You're all watching, I'm sure, JFK Jr.
00:06:58.160 talking about his dislike of the pharma companies and vaccinations, etc.
00:07:04.580 So I guess you could say JFK Jr. is the anti-vaxxer of all anti-vaxxers.
00:07:11.200 Would that be fair?
00:07:12.660 Do you think you could classify him as an anti-vaxxer or is that too, is that oversimplifying?
00:07:19.360 I think he's known that way.
00:07:21.620 But I think like everything else, it would be an oversimplification.
00:07:25.160 However, here's the funny part.
00:07:27.560 He's married to actress Cheryl Hines.
00:07:29.900 Somehow he bagged one of the most attractive women in Hollywood.
00:07:36.460 I guess I'm not someone who should be talking about that.
00:07:40.100 There are mysteries in this world, and that's one of them.
00:07:43.000 And apparently they're having a holiday party,
00:07:45.980 and his wife has required all the attendees to be vaccinated.
00:07:51.040 That's right.
00:07:52.480 JFK Jr., the world's most famous anti-vaxxer.
00:07:56.300 The most famous anti-vaxxer is hosting a party and requiring vaccinations
00:08:02.960 because his wife said so.
00:08:06.660 And he was asked about it.
00:08:09.620 And he said, quite honestly, something we all understand,
00:08:13.820 which is he doesn't make all the decisions.
00:08:16.160 Now, I'm not even making a comment here about vaccinations, right?
00:08:27.000 This is not about vaccinations.
00:08:28.760 It's just about a human interest thing that no matter what your professional brand is,
00:08:38.140 if you're married, things could go the other way.
00:08:42.540 Anyway, here's a little fake news for today.
00:08:45.620 In which I will, once again, defend Joe Biden.
00:08:53.760 Because it's Christmas.
00:08:55.740 All right, just give me today.
00:08:57.640 All right, we'll go back to criticizing Biden.
00:08:59.760 Don't worry about it.
00:09:01.100 We got the whole year ahead of us.
00:09:03.720 But today, there was a report in the Washington News Today.
00:09:09.600 Not a huge publication.
00:09:12.700 But it's talking about reports, which I believe are anonymous.
00:09:18.540 Anonymous sources within the White House.
00:09:20.900 And you know how accurate they are.
00:09:23.200 They're saying that the staff is beyond demoralizing.
00:09:27.940 Things are hypocritical and ironic that a president whose brand is built on empathy and family
00:09:32.880 has staff policies that fly in the face of that brand.
00:09:36.180 And more reports of, you know, bad management and chaos.
00:09:40.020 Now, how true does that sound?
00:09:45.700 Does it sound true that the White House under Biden is all mismanaged and a bad place to work?
00:09:52.940 Have you ever heard that about any other White House before?
00:09:57.420 Did you ever hear that about Trump's White House?
00:09:59.500 Did anonymous sources tell you things were not well managed in the White House?
00:10:07.020 And the staff morale is low?
00:10:09.760 How about this is what everybody says about everything?
00:10:13.300 It's not a story.
00:10:15.180 This would be like, oxygen breaks out in America.
00:10:19.820 Oh, no, we always had oxygen.
00:10:23.100 I mean, it might be a little dirty.
00:10:25.120 But we always had some oxygen.
00:10:26.580 Now, if you hear an anonymous report that employees say that management is doing poorly
00:10:32.940 in a large organization, all you have discovered is the reason that the Dilbert comic strip was so popular.
00:10:39.800 Because everybody thinks where they work is unorganized and poorly managed.
00:10:44.780 It's about the most universal statement you could make.
00:10:48.440 So, is the Biden White House any worse than every other large organization?
00:10:53.480 How would we know?
00:10:56.580 How would we possibly know?
00:10:58.540 All we know is that people say so.
00:11:00.940 But they say that about everything.
00:11:04.220 So, and let me say that, again, if Trump had been on the receiving end of this, and he was, this exact thing,
00:11:13.660 I said, don't believe it.
00:11:14.920 It's just the general thing people say.
00:11:16.620 Even if it's true, it isn't credible, because it's still the general thing that people say.
00:11:23.100 All right, here's a, oh, I just want to put this out to start some fights with your family.
00:11:32.680 A lot of you are believers in what a rogue doctor, Dr. McCullough, has been saying about vaccinations and about the pandemic.
00:11:43.100 But I tweeted today, and I would call your attention to it.
00:11:47.740 I call your attention to it.
00:11:49.120 A PolitiFact, a fact-checking organization, who talks about some of Dr. McCullough's claims and then compares them to what they believe is the truth.
00:12:01.600 Stop it.
00:12:03.260 I'm reading your minds.
00:12:05.320 Stop it.
00:12:06.720 Stop it.
00:12:07.480 No, I don't automatically believe what PolitiFact says.
00:12:13.320 Not automatically, right?
00:12:15.960 I mean, you sort of have to look at the two sides and, you know, use something like judgment, even though we're probably not.
00:12:22.920 So, my point is that you can have a nice fight with your family just by looking at the claims that Dr. McCullough has made and compare them to the PolitiFact fact-check, fact-check.
00:12:40.600 Now, I would note that PolitiFact does show its sources.
00:12:45.440 So, if you want to check the sources, you can go check.
00:12:52.980 Now, will those sources be reliable?
00:12:56.360 Are any of our sources reliable in 2021?
00:13:00.280 Any of them?
00:13:01.260 Is there any data that you actually trust anymore?
00:13:05.140 Some data might be accurate, but we don't know which ones it is.
00:13:09.820 You know, you can no longer say, well, it's official data.
00:13:13.080 It's probably pretty good.
00:13:14.180 And we don't live in that world.
00:13:17.280 Not at all.
00:13:18.860 All right.
00:13:20.080 So, I don't have an opinion on who's right or who's wrong, but you can check the sources.
00:13:27.980 At least you can check the government sources, whether those are accurate or not.
00:13:34.540 All right.
00:13:34.860 I have a persuasion kind of a, I don't know if this is an insight or is it obvious.
00:13:42.060 You tell me.
00:13:44.180 Is the next thing I'm going to tell you insightful, where you go, oh, I never thought of it that
00:13:50.240 way.
00:13:50.660 Or, the opposite.
00:13:52.880 This is so obvious that I'm the last person who thought of it.
00:13:57.140 And it goes like this.
00:13:58.380 People are more comfortable avoiding active decisions than they are avoiding passive decisions.
00:14:11.060 Here's what I mean.
00:14:12.780 And again, I'm not going to get into pro or anti-vaccination, so I'm talking about the mental
00:14:18.380 process here.
00:14:19.080 If you decide to get vaccinated, that's an active decision, just the way I'm defining
00:14:25.760 it.
00:14:26.000 Right?
00:14:26.160 So, for our decisions, if your body moves and you go do something, that's an active decision.
00:14:32.940 A passive decision would be a decision to not do something.
00:14:37.140 I think I will not get vaccinated.
00:14:39.980 All right?
00:14:40.360 So, if you can accept my definitions just for this conversation, that getting vaccinated is
00:14:45.700 an active decision and not doing it is sort of an inactive, passive decision.
00:14:51.020 Okay?
00:14:53.140 How would you feel?
00:14:55.620 Forget about whether this is even vaccinations.
00:14:58.060 This could be any topic.
00:14:59.600 How would you feel if you made an active decision and it turned out to be wrong?
00:15:04.900 How would you feel?
00:15:07.500 Pretty, pretty bad, right?
00:15:09.480 You made an active decision.
00:15:11.080 You went and did something, and then that turned out to be a big mistake.
00:15:15.160 You would feel terrible.
00:15:16.440 Now, compare that to how bad you would feel if you made a passive decision.
00:15:22.200 You simply didn't do anything, but you had bad luck, and that turned out to be the wrong
00:15:27.860 decision.
00:15:28.940 So, it turns out that not doing anything, it turned out to be the wrong decision.
00:15:33.220 Which of these two conditions would you consider?
00:15:35.960 Again, forget about whether it's vaccinations or anything else.
00:15:39.260 It doesn't matter what the topic is.
00:15:40.720 I'm talking about a general persuasion bias kind of a situation.
00:15:45.120 Which one would you see?
00:15:47.300 Yeah, somebody says you see that a lot in trading, in the investment world.
00:15:52.280 Which would you feel more comfortable with being wrong?
00:15:56.740 Under the assumption that you could be wrong, which one would be the one you feel more comfortable
00:16:02.420 being wrong?
00:16:04.860 Go.
00:16:05.060 I'm saying passive, passive, passive, passive.
00:16:11.740 Lousy either way.
00:16:12.720 Yeah, it's bad either way.
00:16:14.220 Somebody says active.
00:16:15.320 A few actives.
00:16:17.000 Passive, passive, passive.
00:16:19.380 Indifferent.
00:16:20.120 Passive.
00:16:20.680 Yeah.
00:16:21.200 Now, I may have primed you too hard on this, so I think I was leading the witness a little
00:16:25.860 bit too much on this.
00:16:27.180 I may have biased you towards saying passive, because I framed it in a way that made that easier
00:16:33.040 to do, so if you'll forgive me for being accidentally too persuasive on this, I'm not sure it would
00:16:40.820 be quite as landslide-y looking as it does.
00:16:46.100 But that's just a hypothesis I'm working on, that independent of what the content is, people
00:16:53.720 are less likely to want to make an active mistake.
00:16:56.680 Well, it seems like something you could test.
00:17:01.220 I don't know which way it would test out, but I feel like it would go that way.
00:17:06.500 All right.
00:17:09.620 Reuters is doing a fact check on something that many of you watching this believe to be true.
00:17:15.740 All right.
00:17:16.620 So here's something that a lot of people tweeted at me because they believed it to be true.
00:17:20.960 As soon as I saw it, I said to myself, ah, that's not true, and didn't really pay much
00:17:25.700 attention to it, now Reuters is doing a fact check on it.
00:17:29.720 Wait, wait, wait, I know what you're thinking.
00:17:31.960 Hold on, hold on.
00:17:34.220 Am I going to say that because somebody fact checked it, that the fact check is the correct
00:17:39.040 one?
00:17:40.060 No.
00:17:40.420 No, but I'm going to tell you there is a fact check.
00:17:43.880 So if you haven't heard the other side, that would be useful.
00:17:48.660 All right.
00:17:49.040 Here it is.
00:17:49.580 There was data in the UK from the Office of National Statistics claiming that the double
00:17:58.420 vaccinated and triple vaccinated are more likely to test positive for Omicron has been
00:18:05.340 misrepresented.
00:18:07.600 According to Reuters, new data shows breakthrough cases among vaccinated people are more likely
00:18:13.160 to be Omicron than other variants.
00:18:16.380 Not that vaccines don't work or that vaccinated people are at greater risk of infection.
00:18:22.940 So in other words, when people saw that this UK Bureau of Officialness said that there were a lot
00:18:31.820 of double-vaxxed and triple-vaxxed people are more likely to test positive, it was in the context
00:18:37.580 of Omicron.
00:18:39.520 In other words, they were saying, if you get a positive test with a vaccination, it's probably
00:18:46.320 Omicron, which would not be the biggest deal because Omicron is the one you want, right?
00:18:52.020 If you're going to get infected, pick Omicron.
00:18:56.980 So am I saying that Reuters got the fact check right?
00:19:00.740 No.
00:19:01.960 Nope.
00:19:02.460 We don't live in a world where I can just automatically assume the fact check is right.
00:19:06.540 But you should be aware that if you interpreted that data, it was not intended to be interpreted
00:19:13.840 that way.
00:19:14.500 In other words, the people who put the data together don't think it says what you think
00:19:18.680 it says.
00:19:20.700 That's all.
00:19:21.480 Just you should be aware of that, that the people who presented the data don't think that's
00:19:27.100 the right interpretation.
00:19:30.100 All right.
00:19:30.700 How about this?
00:19:40.120 I tweeted yesterday that our levels of awareness are not yet high enough to know that we all
00:19:45.180 made irrational decisions about vaccinations or not to get vaccinated.
00:19:50.000 And then there were a number of people who corrected me, and I'm going to accept this correction.
00:19:54.460 I know, it's a Christmas miracle.
00:19:57.560 I'm going to tell you I was wrong about something.
00:20:00.200 Weird, huh?
00:20:02.200 Here's what I was wrong about.
00:20:03.800 So I said that everybody's decision about vaccination or not vaccination is based on fear.
00:20:08.660 But you're just afraid of different things.
00:20:11.320 Some people are afraid of the shot.
00:20:13.160 Some people are afraid of the government overreach.
00:20:15.600 Some people are afraid of big pharma.
00:20:18.300 Some people are afraid of COVID, et cetera.
00:20:22.920 And then other people corrected me.
00:20:26.820 So there were people who made this decision without fear.
00:20:30.860 And they convinced me that they really did not have any fear.
00:20:34.280 And they said things like this.
00:20:36.080 I didn't really think about the virus or the vaccination.
00:20:39.460 I just needed to, you know, my work said I needed to get a vaccination, so I just got one.
00:20:43.780 Or I wanted to visit someplace, and it was the only way I could do it, so I just got one.
00:20:52.580 Now, I will admit that that is not a fear-based decision.
00:20:57.700 So I'm going to say I was wrong to say all the decisions were fear-based.
00:21:02.520 Some of the decisions actually were completely thought-free,
00:21:06.520 which was a category I hadn't quite anticipated.
00:21:10.560 I really should have.
00:21:11.460 That was certainly a mistake in my mental model.
00:21:15.420 But there are a lot of people who convinced me with their comments
00:21:18.340 that they literally didn't put anything thought into it at all.
00:21:22.500 And I'm not, I'm not, this is not even an insult.
00:21:25.000 If it sounds like I'm mocking them, I'm not at all.
00:21:27.820 Because compared to the alternatives, it's not less rational.
00:21:31.800 But some people were completely aware that they didn't use rational thought.
00:21:36.500 I think they're operating at a higher level.
00:21:38.740 I think the people who went into it are saying,
00:21:42.540 well, there's no way to know what's right or wrong.
00:21:46.180 But I need this shot for work, and that's my immediate problem,
00:21:49.200 so I'll just get this shot for work.
00:21:54.380 Rose is saying, you, Adams, took the jab also for practical reasons.
00:21:58.160 That's not quite accurate, but it's a little bit accurate.
00:22:03.120 I got vaccinated partly for practical reasons,
00:22:09.120 but I'm also aware that fear was probably part of the decision, right?
00:22:16.760 So, you know, I suppose I had a fear of, you know, losing my wife if I couldn't travel
00:22:25.720 because I didn't get vaccinated.
00:22:27.480 So I guess that was a fear, in a way.
00:22:30.780 So I would soften my word fear to just say that there was irrationality
00:22:35.240 all the way through the decisions, in both sides and everybody, including me,
00:22:40.420 because there wasn't really an opportunity for a rational decision.
00:22:43.220 Now, there's some people who said, Scott, what about people who were already infected?
00:22:50.100 Let's say you're 25 years old, you're previously infected, you got over a fine.
00:22:57.660 Isn't that a case where not getting vaccinated is just, you know, a no-brainer?
00:23:02.980 To which I say, no, not even close.
00:23:07.640 Because in that is a bunch of assumptions that you don't know about.
00:23:11.220 You don't know the long-term risk of COVID, let's say, you know, COVID, long COVID.
00:23:20.900 You don't know the risk of that compared to, let's say, if you got vaccinated.
00:23:25.880 Would your long COVID be worse or better or even exist at all
00:23:31.260 if you got vaccinated on top of having natural immunity?
00:23:35.720 Nobody knows.
00:23:37.240 It's an unknown.
00:23:38.220 So, as soon as you think, okay, well, this special case is really clear, there are none.
00:23:48.660 I don't think there are any special cases where it's completely clear.
00:23:53.000 You're all guessing.
00:23:54.860 You know, the most extreme would be somebody with no immunity whatsoever.
00:23:59.820 But even in the case of somebody with no immunity,
00:24:04.240 do you know for sure that the vaccination is safer than just keeping them hidden until this passes?
00:24:12.820 Do you know for sure?
00:24:14.600 Because I don't.
00:24:17.020 I mean, it feels like you know, and it feels like your common sense is giving you a good enough answer,
00:24:22.420 but that's the illusion.
00:24:23.620 The illusion is that we have common sense.
00:24:25.400 There's a reason we do randomized controlled trials.
00:24:28.740 It's because we don't have common sense, but we're pretty sure we do.
00:24:32.600 That's why you do the randomized controlled trials.
00:24:34.900 The whole process of science is to make you stop using your common sense,
00:24:40.160 because it doesn't work.
00:24:42.560 That's why science is awesome.
00:24:45.160 All right.
00:24:47.380 In other news, I'll just throw this out there.
00:24:49.720 It looks like COVID's been cured.
00:24:51.380 I'll go to the next story.
00:24:54.360 Oh, wait.
00:24:55.020 You probably want to hear more about that.
00:24:57.260 Now, let me say that this is another one of those stories of COVID being cured in a test tube
00:25:05.880 or a petri dish or something like that, basically in a laboratory.
00:25:10.880 But please do not go out and try anything that I'm going to say right now.
00:25:15.860 Please, please, please, please, please do not try this at home.
00:25:22.120 I was even considering not even mentioning it,
00:25:26.140 because it increases the horse dewormer stuff happening.
00:25:33.520 So don't do this.
00:25:35.580 But there's a report that if you combined a Benadryl,
00:25:38.500 which a lot of people would have in their medicine cabinet already,
00:25:43.140 used for allergy symptoms, Benadryl,
00:25:45.540 if you combine it with this lactoferrin, a protein found in cow and human milk,
00:25:53.180 you can reduce the virus's replication by 99% in lab tests in human lungs and monkey cells.
00:26:02.320 So if any of you have any monkey cells, this could be the answer to that.
00:26:08.780 I worry about my monkey cells as well as my human lungs.
00:26:13.360 But here's the warning.
00:26:15.880 The lactoferrin that they used, although it is commercially available
00:26:19.800 for other conditions to treat other things,
00:26:23.740 it's not exactly the same stuff they used in the experiment.
00:26:28.100 So if you think you can just buy some of this stuff and mix it together, you can't.
00:26:33.420 It's not available.
00:26:34.380 It doesn't sound like it would be a big problem to make it available.
00:26:38.700 And one wonders what would happen if you did try the over-the-counter with the Benadryl,
00:26:43.200 which would be the worst thing I could ever suggest because I'm not a doctor,
00:26:48.440 and the last thing you want to do is mix some chemicals together and put them in your body
00:26:52.400 because you heard it on a cartoonist podcast.
00:26:55.380 Don't do that.
00:26:55.940 Don't do that.
00:26:57.360 However, all that said, and the fact that 95% of these things that work in a laboratory
00:27:01.700 never work in a human being, but besides that, I choose to be optimistic.
00:27:08.300 I choose optimism.
00:27:10.920 All right.
00:27:12.040 Politico is trying to dunk on me today
00:27:14.940 and putting me on the list of their worst predictions for 2021.
00:27:18.840 So I'm getting mocked on social media for the worst predictions of 2021.
00:27:27.100 And so that must be true, right?
00:27:30.500 Because I'm getting fact-checked by Politico.
00:27:34.400 So if Politico fact-checks me, well, the fact-check must be true, right?
00:27:40.120 No, no, no.
00:27:42.600 The fact-checks are all fake, too.
00:27:44.200 Not all of them.
00:27:45.140 But there are a lot of fake fact-checks.
00:27:46.700 Let's see how Politico did.
00:27:48.840 With their fact-checking.
00:27:51.440 So there were two claims I made that they treated as predictions.
00:27:56.640 I'm not sure they should have, but they did.
00:27:58.680 One was that if Biden got elected, Republicans would be hunted.
00:28:04.580 And they fact-checked that by saying that Republicans, indeed, have not been hunted.
00:28:12.060 Now, I'd like to give a little lesson on how to read to the Politico people
00:28:17.880 who approved this and wrote this article.
00:28:19.940 Here's how reading works.
00:28:22.780 Sometimes the words in a sentence are not always meant to be literal.
00:28:28.560 So if you thought that the word hunted meant that there would be hunting licenses, for example,
00:28:35.940 for Republicans, that maybe would be a bad interpretation.
00:28:39.940 If you thought that hunted meant, for example, that people would actually get hunting rifles
00:28:46.200 and go searching around and finding a Republican so that they can kill them.
00:28:51.840 If that's how you interpreted it, and that it would be widespread and, you know, it would be the basic nature of the country,
00:29:00.240 you might not be a good reader.
00:29:03.420 Here would be a more reasonable way to interpret it.
00:29:07.940 Haunted being more of a figurative term.
00:29:12.260 So, for example, what might come under that category of hunted would be,
00:29:20.580 can somebody tell me how many Trump supporters have been de-platformed since Trump was in office?
00:29:28.320 How many of his main supporters have been de-platformed?
00:29:32.800 And is it the same number on the left for doing similarly, you know, bad behavior?
00:29:39.080 Or does it seem like it was targeted more at the right, more at Republicans?
00:29:44.780 Does it seem to you that people were looking for Republicans, some might say hunted, hunting for them,
00:29:52.440 looking for them online to see what bad behavior they did so that they could be canceled?
00:29:58.540 How many Trump supporters are being held without bail right now because of the January 6th protests?
00:30:06.320 Are there a lot of Democrats being held for political reasons as political prisoners?
00:30:13.680 Because that's what it looks like.
00:30:15.120 It looks like the January 6th protesters are being held as political prisoners.
00:30:19.540 Because it's taken so long and there's no bail.
00:30:22.980 Which seems weird, because I don't think most of these people have ever committed any kind of crime.
00:30:27.020 So I would say that the country treating them as insurrectionists
00:30:31.900 and then keeping them in jail for political reasons is very much hunted.
00:30:38.580 That word doesn't work for you? Haunted?
00:30:40.960 That feels like that's exactly the right kind of figurative speech
00:30:46.080 that a good reader would recognize as accurate enough.
00:30:50.020 How many Trump supporters were the subject of an FBI action?
00:30:57.920 Say, Roger Stone.
00:31:00.120 Was that happening a lot to Democrats during the same time?
00:31:03.580 Or did it seem like it was targeted at Republicans?
00:31:07.160 It felt like it was targeted at Republicans.
00:31:09.220 How many Democrats were accused of a heinous crime
00:31:14.860 for which there is so much video of the actual events
00:31:18.260 every single person could see no crime occurred?
00:31:22.200 Well, I can think of Kyle Rittenhouse,
00:31:24.360 who was believed to be Republican,
00:31:26.840 and at this point he probably is.
00:31:28.220 I don't know if he used to be, but I'm sure he is now.
00:31:32.620 I shouldn't say that, because that would be reading his mind.
00:31:35.160 But I can't think of any Democrat
00:31:39.280 who was on multiple videos committing no crime whatsoever
00:31:44.880 who still had to go through a full trial.
00:31:49.320 Yeah, Kavanaugh, he was kind of hunted.
00:31:51.640 That was before, though.
00:31:55.720 So, I don't know.
00:31:57.180 I would say that hunted came true.
00:31:59.360 How many would agree with me
00:32:01.180 that my prediction that Republicans would be hunted under Biden
00:32:04.820 is accurate?
00:32:09.100 A lot of you think I was accurate.
00:32:11.300 All right, let's do another one.
00:32:13.180 I also said that there was a good chance
00:32:16.180 that if Biden got elected,
00:32:19.540 there was a good chance that you'd be dead by next year.
00:32:23.200 And Politico fact-checked me and said,
00:32:25.520 not true.
00:32:27.120 Not true.
00:32:28.400 False.
00:32:30.340 What is the definition of good chance?
00:32:33.140 Anybody?
00:32:33.440 Anybody?
00:32:34.820 Don't Google it.
00:32:35.940 Just off the top of your head.
00:32:37.380 What's the definition of a good chance?
00:32:41.720 What's a good chance?
00:32:45.300 I'm seeing people saying less than 100%,
00:32:47.740 less than 50%, over 10%,
00:32:50.280 10% or higher.
00:32:53.520 Do you know who's right?
00:32:54.940 Some people saying over 90%,
00:32:56.520 some people saying over 10%.
00:32:58.180 And the answer is both right.
00:33:00.620 They are both the definition.
00:33:03.560 If you Google it,
00:33:06.220 you look up what is the definition of a good chance.
00:33:09.780 The definitions include,
00:33:11.500 these are synonyms,
00:33:13.600 a possibility,
00:33:15.620 a possibility.
00:33:17.100 Also,
00:33:17.860 a probability.
00:33:18.420 So two of the definitions are kind of almost close to opposites.
00:33:23.740 So if you say there's a good chance of something happening,
00:33:26.940 it means that it's possible.
00:33:29.340 Like there's a goodly enough chance that it's worth talking about.
00:33:32.680 Possible.
00:33:33.020 But also could mean probable,
00:33:35.900 like 90%.
00:33:36.960 So,
00:33:39.260 which of these is the more likely interpretation?
00:33:44.200 So I'm a public figure,
00:33:46.240 who mostly is not too crazy.
00:33:49.900 Does Politico think that my actual prediction
00:33:52.940 is that you would probably be dead in 2021?
00:33:58.280 Because that's how they interpreted it.
00:34:00.400 They interpreted it as probably.
00:34:04.000 No,
00:34:04.320 I didn't think you'd probably be dead.
00:34:06.580 I said there's a good chance.
00:34:08.660 Was I accurate?
00:34:11.820 If there's not a good chance that you could be dead in 2021,
00:34:16.420 why did we have to wear masks and get vaccinated?
00:34:20.200 The entire theme of 2021 is there's a good chance that you could die.
00:34:24.940 Right?
00:34:25.760 Either a good chance from the vaccine
00:34:27.980 or from the corona.
00:34:31.020 I mean,
00:34:31.700 I think the vaccine's safer than the corona.
00:34:34.820 Some of you don't.
00:34:36.140 But you'd all agree with the concept that
00:34:38.500 we led the entire year
00:34:40.860 based on the primary assumption
00:34:43.240 that there was a good chance you'd die.
00:34:45.460 If there was not a good chance you'd die,
00:34:48.320 we wouldn't have to do any of that stuff.
00:34:50.920 Right?
00:34:51.960 We're not taking extraordinary measures
00:34:54.140 for things that don't have a good chance of happening.
00:34:58.360 So Politico took my word hunted
00:35:02.500 and turned it into a literal,
00:35:04.340 which was stupid.
00:35:06.060 Can we be honest?
00:35:07.440 That was just stupid.
00:35:08.540 But they also took my good chance,
00:35:12.560 which has a wide variety of interpretations,
00:35:15.880 one of them quite reasonable.
00:35:17.700 There's more chance that you would be dead.
00:35:19.380 And how did I do?
00:35:21.820 Turns out that the average life expectancy fell.
00:35:25.960 I'm pretty sure it fell in 2021.
00:35:27.740 It fell in 2020.
00:35:29.560 But I'm pretty sure that my prediction
00:35:34.360 was not only accurate,
00:35:35.840 but pretty darn accurate.
00:35:38.180 If you know how to read.
00:35:40.820 So if you believe that hunted was literal
00:35:43.100 instead of figurative,
00:35:44.220 and if you believe that
00:35:46.280 a good chance you'll be dead
00:35:48.860 means probably,
00:35:50.700 which would be ridiculous.
00:35:52.660 But if you interpret them as actual words
00:35:55.500 the way people can read,
00:35:57.420 pretty good.
00:35:58.980 Pretty good.
00:36:00.680 That's what I say.
00:36:02.420 How many agree that I got both of those right?
00:36:05.760 I just like to have people say I'm right.
00:36:09.940 All right.
00:36:11.180 And let me ask you this.
00:36:14.220 Do you think that they chose me randomly
00:36:18.480 to be one of their top debunked predictors?
00:36:24.380 Do you think that I was just one of the people?
00:36:28.300 No.
00:36:29.580 It's because I'm known to support Trump.
00:36:33.060 They would assume, incorrectly,
00:36:36.200 that I'm a Republican.
00:36:38.500 And they hunted me.
00:36:42.000 They hunted me.
00:36:43.060 They hunted me in the article
00:36:45.320 debunking that Republicans would get hunted.
00:36:48.780 Now, I'm not a Republican,
00:36:49.860 so that's slightly technically
00:36:51.280 not exactly what happened.
00:36:52.920 But basically it's what happened.
00:36:55.040 I was targeted,
00:36:56.500 just like every prominent Republican supporter
00:37:00.400 will be.
00:37:02.320 You know, like it's happening on the left as well.
00:37:04.860 But it's definitely happening.
00:37:07.320 It's not only happening to me.
00:37:10.040 It's certainly happening on both sides.
00:37:12.880 But, you know,
00:37:13.840 the odds that Republicans would be hunted under Biden,
00:37:17.660 it wasn't that hard of a prediction.
00:37:20.100 Thank you.
00:37:25.700 Good predictions.
00:37:30.700 Politico is paying someone to monitor your words?
00:37:33.740 Yeah, I don't know.
00:37:34.360 Well, I doubt that's true, per se,
00:37:37.600 but I'm definitely on lists.
00:37:42.380 You know, not necessarily an actual written list,
00:37:46.960 but conceptually I'm on the list of people
00:37:49.620 that would get targeted in the next few years.
00:37:52.820 Wait till you hear the stuff that comes out about me.
00:37:55.020 Like, I don't even know what it would be.
00:37:57.080 I'm not talking about true stuff.
00:37:59.720 But just wait till you hear
00:38:01.420 the stuff you're going to hear about me
00:38:03.840 between now and 2024 election.
00:38:06.600 It's going to be mind-blowing.
00:38:08.620 None of it will be true.
00:38:09.820 Well, who knows?
00:38:10.820 Maybe some of it will be true.
00:38:14.640 Jack says,
00:38:15.880 what is your biggest fear for America right now?
00:38:20.360 You know, I don't have one.
00:38:21.680 I honestly think we're in great, great shape.
00:38:26.620 And I know that's not popular at the moment,
00:38:29.180 but, you know, we will get past the pandemic,
00:38:32.520 and we're going to come out of it way stronger.
00:38:36.160 I mean, honestly, one of my biggest problems,
00:38:41.160 or if I had to say there's one thing I'm worried about,
00:38:44.660 it would be that the economy overheated.
00:38:47.060 I'd be worried about the economy going too hot at this point.
00:38:54.500 Because if the pandemic didn't slow down the economy,
00:38:57.820 I mean, it barely did.
00:38:59.400 It was like a blip.
00:39:01.440 We took, like, 20% of our workforce
00:39:04.260 and idled them for months,
00:39:06.920 and we just screamed ahead,
00:39:09.440 like nothing was happening.
00:39:11.380 So I see good news everywhere.
00:39:15.220 Just everywhere.
00:39:15.920 Inflation's a worry,
00:39:19.400 but I think we can manage that.
00:39:20.840 Inflation's basically a tax on rich people,
00:39:23.200 and if you had to tax somebody,
00:39:25.140 well, you might as well tax people who can afford it.
00:39:27.300 It's a tax on everybody,
00:39:28.980 but in the long run,
00:39:30.220 rich people pay most of the taxes.
00:39:38.360 But, of course,
00:39:39.260 poor people will suffer more from inflation.
00:39:40.920 What about four-plus vaccines a year?
00:39:47.040 Well, I'm not going to get four vaccinations a year.
00:39:50.400 Is anybody here going to do that?
00:39:51.900 I think that the,
00:39:54.800 especially since the therapeutics have been improved now.
00:39:57.860 By the way,
00:39:58.500 did you notice that we got COVID pills
00:40:00.580 at the same time we got restrictions
00:40:03.200 that would make them almost worthless?
00:40:04.900 Am I the only one who noticed that?
00:40:08.000 Hey, we've got these great pills.
00:40:09.960 These could really help you if you take them early.
00:40:12.100 Also, we're going to create a series of regulations
00:40:16.360 and procedures
00:40:17.860 that make it almost impossible to get them early.
00:40:22.140 You know both of those things happened yesterday, right?
00:40:24.860 Here's your pills.
00:40:26.240 Here's why they won't work,
00:40:27.480 because we'll have some regulations
00:40:28.580 where you can't take them early.
00:40:31.160 Do you know what we would do
00:40:32.140 if we were serious about this?
00:40:34.880 We'd say,
00:40:35.720 you think you have symptoms?
00:40:37.260 Here, take these pills.
00:40:38.280 Now, obviously,
00:40:41.700 we don't have enough of them to do that.
00:40:43.900 But if we were even a little bit serious,
00:40:46.560 we'd say,
00:40:47.920 that's probably COVID.
00:40:49.300 Take a pill,
00:40:50.460 and we'll test you.
00:40:51.840 And if the test shows that you don't have it,
00:40:54.660 immediately stop taking the pill.
00:40:58.480 Right?
00:40:59.940 If we were even a little bit serious,
00:41:01.920 it doesn't look like we're trying, honestly.
00:41:04.780 It doesn't look like that's even a serious try.
00:41:06.880 And now, that's an example.
00:41:11.000 That is what Florida does.
00:41:12.980 Well, I'm talking about,
00:41:15.080 Jack,
00:41:15.940 I think you're talking about Regeneron
00:41:18.420 and stuff like that,
00:41:19.160 and I think you're right about that,
00:41:20.840 and other therapeutics.
00:41:22.520 But there's specific regulations
00:41:24.740 about these new COVID pills
00:41:26.640 from Pfizer and Merck,
00:41:28.300 and it looks like they're going to require
00:41:30.200 a positive test before you get them.
00:41:33.380 Imagine that.
00:41:34.780 You have to take it within five days.
00:41:36.880 For it to be effective, they say.
00:41:39.300 But your test could take five days.
00:41:42.940 And that's just for the result.
00:41:44.760 That's not counting how many days it takes
00:41:46.460 to get a test.
00:41:48.200 So we've been told that you can't possibly
00:41:50.320 get a test within five days,
00:41:52.360 in a lot of places right now.
00:41:53.900 But, if you did,
00:41:56.640 you could get the pill.
00:41:58.860 So the solution to the pandemic is here,
00:42:01.380 but you can't have it.
00:42:04.540 I got questions.
00:42:06.560 Right?
00:42:07.400 Know you all?
00:42:11.040 All right.
00:42:11.600 Yeah, I think there's got to be corruption
00:42:16.840 in here somewhere.
00:42:17.980 I don't think any of this is a coincidence.
00:42:20.500 Now, it could be just a shortage model.
00:42:22.620 I don't know how long it takes
00:42:23.560 to make these pills.
00:42:26.020 My God, Scott,
00:42:27.020 you could get an at-home test
00:42:28.260 in 15 minutes.
00:42:29.900 Correct, and the wrong topic.
00:42:31.460 So, my understanding is
00:42:33.880 that the home tests
00:42:35.060 would not count
00:42:36.380 toward getting your approval
00:42:38.900 for these new pills.
00:42:42.040 I think you have to have
00:42:42.860 the serious test,
00:42:45.420 not the rapid test.
00:42:47.240 Now,
00:42:49.220 do I think that that makes sense?
00:42:51.160 Nope.
00:42:52.380 I think that if your own
00:42:53.920 personal rapid test,
00:42:55.580 which is not as accurate,
00:42:57.320 if that thing says you've got COVID,
00:42:59.520 yeah, you should be taking
00:43:00.700 that damn COVID pill right away.
00:43:02.860 Here's what probably will happen.
00:43:05.040 I think doctors will just do
00:43:06.260 whatever makes sense.
00:43:08.420 I don't know.
00:43:08.920 If Dr. Ju sees this,
00:43:11.540 maybe you can confirm this.
00:43:13.280 But my understanding is
00:43:14.340 since you can do off-label stuff,
00:43:17.760 there's no doctor
00:43:18.580 who would be dumb enough
00:43:19.740 not to give you the pill
00:43:21.880 if it looked like it was indicated,
00:43:24.480 you know,
00:43:24.740 all things considered.
00:43:26.400 Right?
00:43:26.600 So, the doctor's going to be
00:43:27.680 looking at the big, big, big picture,
00:43:29.180 not just pill or no pill.
00:43:32.060 So, if your doctor says,
00:43:33.840 big, big picture,
00:43:35.440 let's say you've got
00:43:36.560 some comorbidities
00:43:37.940 and, you know,
00:43:39.160 you're coughing pretty hard,
00:43:40.300 your oxygen is a little bit low,
00:43:41.980 do you think that doctor's
00:43:43.000 going to wait for you
00:43:43.580 to get a positive test?
00:43:47.060 Does anybody think that?
00:43:48.740 Do you think any doctor,
00:43:50.460 seeing that you're obviously
00:43:51.960 suffering from COVID,
00:43:54.660 I mean, obviously,
00:43:55.740 meaning, you know,
00:43:56.640 90% likely,
00:43:58.380 do you think any doctor
00:43:59.360 is going to make you wait
00:44:00.080 five days?
00:44:02.060 You should quit your doctor
00:44:03.500 right away if that happens,
00:44:05.600 assuming the pills are available.
00:44:07.540 I think availability
00:44:08.300 will end up driving
00:44:09.320 a lot of this stuff.
00:44:10.700 Oh, let me give you
00:44:11.940 a thought experiment
00:44:14.580 for the vacation day here.
00:44:18.360 Anybody want a good
00:44:19.140 thought experiment?
00:44:20.560 It goes like this.
00:44:21.640 Suppose you reimagine government
00:44:25.380 as nothing but
00:44:27.320 the nation's insurance company.
00:44:30.640 That's the whole idea.
00:44:33.680 Reimagine government
00:44:34.640 as an insurance company.
00:44:36.560 So there would be
00:44:37.060 no private insurance
00:44:38.180 except for extra, right?
00:44:40.240 Everybody would have
00:44:40.940 a basic insurance,
00:44:42.300 but if you wanted
00:44:43.340 some extra stuff,
00:44:44.200 like you wanted to buy
00:44:44.960 a luxury vehicle,
00:44:47.380 you could buy some extra
00:44:48.660 insurance on your luxury vehicle.
00:44:50.660 Here's why.
00:44:53.600 Your insurance companies
00:44:54.860 have to reduce
00:44:55.840 the risk of payout.
00:44:58.680 And so the insurance company
00:44:59.860 would,
00:45:00.280 the first thing they do
00:45:01.140 is say,
00:45:01.440 whoa, whoa, whoa,
00:45:01.860 we better get a military
00:45:03.060 so nobody attacks us.
00:45:06.160 So the insurance company
00:45:07.380 would say,
00:45:07.700 okay, cost-benefit,
00:45:08.920 we need a military.
00:45:10.300 Then they would just
00:45:11.960 go down the list
00:45:12.800 and say,
00:45:13.200 okay, cost-benefit,
00:45:14.280 we'll charge for this,
00:45:15.160 don't charge for that.
00:45:16.320 You can do anything you want.
00:45:17.740 It's a free country,
00:45:18.580 but if it costs,
00:45:20.560 you know,
00:45:20.800 if you're doing something
00:45:21.520 we can measure
00:45:22.360 and it's bad for your health
00:45:24.240 or other people's health,
00:45:25.520 we'll charge you more.
00:45:27.760 So basically,
00:45:28.780 through insurance rates alone,
00:45:31.360 all policy would be determined.
00:45:34.320 And your first impression
00:45:36.020 would be,
00:45:36.440 that can't work for everything.
00:45:38.740 And that's what
00:45:39.340 the Thorne experiment is.
00:45:41.120 Try to find something
00:45:42.100 it wouldn't work for.
00:45:43.020 It works for way more things
00:45:47.160 than you think
00:45:47.640 it should work for.
00:45:54.920 What is the tipping point
00:45:56.300 for Feb 1 to be a reality?
00:46:00.000 Well, I think the tipping point
00:46:01.500 will be the direction of deaths.
00:46:03.460 I think on February 1,
00:46:07.000 if pretty much everywhere,
00:46:09.000 the death rate is decreasing,
00:46:10.500 and it looks like
00:46:13.040 Omicron
00:46:14.000 is really as mild
00:46:15.980 as we hope.
00:46:17.140 If we can confirm
00:46:18.320 Omicron is mild
00:46:19.340 and that it has swept
00:46:21.740 the country
00:46:22.280 and it's sort of
00:46:23.360 the main thing
00:46:24.260 people are getting,
00:46:25.900 I think we're done.
00:46:28.920 If the death surge
00:46:31.380 from the holiday
00:46:32.700 is not surprisingly high,
00:46:36.400 I think we're done.
00:46:37.340 I think we're done.
00:46:40.500 Now,
00:46:41.460 the question is,
00:46:43.320 how do you get everybody
00:46:44.260 to be done
00:46:44.820 at the same time?
00:46:48.420 I hope that's sarcasm.
00:46:51.480 Scott finally woke up.
00:46:53.260 I can't tell.
00:46:54.480 You have to be careful
00:46:55.360 because remember,
00:46:56.460 I block people
00:46:57.100 for saying that
00:46:57.800 and if you're being sarcastic,
00:46:59.080 I can't really tell
00:47:00.200 because sarcasm
00:47:01.520 in reality
00:47:02.380 look the same now.
00:47:03.200 Yes,
00:47:09.460 the Omicron
00:47:10.420 is more infectious
00:47:11.400 but probably
00:47:12.820 less lethal
00:47:13.620 and it is possible
00:47:16.800 that we still
00:47:17.580 get overwhelmed
00:47:18.300 just because
00:47:19.040 of the sheer numbers
00:47:19.800 but I'll tell you
00:47:20.780 that's a problem
00:47:21.400 I'd want,
00:47:22.620 right?
00:47:23.480 Like,
00:47:23.800 if it's the fastest
00:47:25.380 way to get
00:47:26.040 to herd immunity
00:47:27.300 then putting,
00:47:30.180 and I know
00:47:31.740 that healthcare
00:47:32.300 professionals
00:47:32.820 are already crushed
00:47:33.800 but,
00:47:35.140 so it'd be bad
00:47:35.720 for them
00:47:36.120 to give them
00:47:37.900 that workload.
00:47:38.540 Definitely bad
00:47:39.060 for the healthcare
00:47:39.560 professionals
00:47:40.120 but it could be
00:47:41.360 a net benefit
00:47:42.260 for the country
00:47:42.980 if it doesn't
00:47:43.760 crush our healthcare
00:47:44.580 to just get it
00:47:46.300 over with quickly.
00:47:49.420 Do you ban people
00:47:50.520 for saying
00:47:51.020 you're still
00:47:51.520 not woken up?
00:47:52.380 I ban them
00:47:54.780 for bad grammar.
00:47:58.920 Actually,
00:47:59.460 I don't
00:47:59.840 but that was
00:48:01.080 my witty rejoinder.
00:48:09.220 Pharma has
00:48:09.840 notified the
00:48:10.460 Biden administration
00:48:11.300 that the next
00:48:12.540 variant is due
00:48:13.240 Feb 1.
00:48:16.060 Yes,
00:48:16.520 that is a picture
00:48:17.080 of me.
00:48:17.740 All right.
00:48:19.180 That's all
00:48:19.660 I've got for now
00:48:20.380 and big old
00:48:22.220 Merry Christmas
00:48:22.920 to all of you
00:48:24.140 and
00:48:25.820 Jack says,
00:48:31.200 why do you
00:48:31.500 blame the fake
00:48:32.140 news for COVID
00:48:32.940 when they just
00:48:33.660 parrot what
00:48:34.040 the government
00:48:34.420 says?
00:48:34.960 Well,
00:48:35.280 the answer
00:48:35.660 is in your
00:48:36.020 question.
00:48:37.000 The fake
00:48:37.460 news just
00:48:38.040 parrots what
00:48:38.600 the government
00:48:38.980 says.
00:48:40.140 The real
00:48:40.700 news would
00:48:41.380 investigate
00:48:42.040 and give you
00:48:42.940 both sides
00:48:43.800 and all that.
00:48:45.460 Oh,
00:48:45.880 let me put
00:48:46.580 this out here
00:48:47.180 as a 2021
00:48:48.260 objective.
00:48:49.900 You all
00:48:51.760 know I
00:48:52.040 like systems
00:48:52.700 more than
00:48:53.180 goals,
00:48:54.060 but there
00:48:55.180 are special
00:48:55.880 cases.
00:48:56.880 And the
00:48:57.120 special case
00:48:57.800 is one
00:48:59.200 where the
00:48:59.660 situation is
00:49:00.520 so defined
00:49:01.140 that you
00:49:01.500 might as
00:49:01.740 well have
00:49:02.020 a goal.
00:49:03.380 I've told
00:49:04.040 you that the
00:49:04.540 only way to
00:49:05.140 get good
00:49:05.600 information
00:49:06.060 about a
00:49:06.660 topic where
00:49:07.160 the country
00:49:07.540 is divided
00:49:08.080 is to put
00:49:09.080 two experts
00:49:09.860 in the same
00:49:11.620 conversation
00:49:12.200 with one
00:49:12.900 aggressive
00:49:13.860 host who
00:49:14.780 could ask
00:49:15.140 the right
00:49:15.460 questions and
00:49:16.140 challenge them,
00:49:16.940 et cetera.
00:49:17.420 I've heard
00:49:19.060 people suggest
00:49:19.860 a regular
00:49:20.580 debate format,
00:49:21.640 which I
00:49:21.920 hate.
00:49:22.600 If you've
00:49:22.960 watched a
00:49:23.280 regular debate
00:49:23.920 they're just
00:49:24.340 snore fests.
00:49:25.460 You need a
00:49:25.900 host who
00:49:26.340 can keep it
00:49:26.780 interesting.
00:49:27.640 Somebody like
00:49:28.120 Trump.
00:49:29.020 Trump would
00:49:29.420 be a great
00:49:29.840 host for
00:49:30.360 this sort
00:49:30.660 of thing.
00:49:31.200 I think
00:49:31.520 I would
00:49:31.900 as well.
00:49:33.140 And I
00:49:33.420 think that
00:49:33.760 I could
00:49:34.140 at least
00:49:34.660 show a
00:49:35.500 model of
00:49:35.980 it.
00:49:36.280 Maybe it's
00:49:36.760 the bad
00:49:37.160 version that
00:49:37.800 somebody could
00:49:38.280 do better.
00:49:39.320 But I'd
00:49:39.800 like to put
00:49:40.140 this out
00:49:40.500 there.
00:49:40.720 I'd like
00:49:41.000 to host
00:49:41.880 some expert
00:49:44.080 debates.
00:49:45.560 Could be
00:49:46.280 on COVID
00:49:47.400 stuff or
00:49:47.940 something
00:49:48.220 else.
00:49:49.080 But I
00:49:49.680 just want
00:49:50.040 to find
00:49:50.380 something where
00:49:50.980 the country
00:49:51.440 is quite
00:49:51.920 divided,
00:49:52.900 put the
00:49:53.660 experts in
00:49:54.240 the same
00:49:54.540 place,
00:49:55.040 and not
00:49:55.360 have a
00:49:55.740 timer on
00:49:56.280 them.
00:49:57.200 The only
00:49:57.840 timer would
00:49:58.480 be the
00:49:58.800 host.
00:49:59.740 In other
00:50:00.020 words,
00:50:00.260 if somebody
00:50:00.620 gets off
00:50:01.080 track,
00:50:01.540 I'm going
00:50:01.800 to interrupt
00:50:02.220 them.
00:50:03.020 So it
00:50:03.660 would be
00:50:03.960 an
00:50:04.200 interrupt
00:50:04.940 driven
00:50:05.740 process.
00:50:07.180 Because what
00:50:07.780 happens if
00:50:08.260 the host
00:50:08.620 doesn't
00:50:09.060 interrupt
00:50:09.520 somebody?
00:50:10.960 You get
00:50:11.640 nonsense.
00:50:13.060 Because people
00:50:13.860 will just
00:50:14.360 filibuster.
00:50:15.060 talk as
00:50:17.000 long as
00:50:17.340 they can.
00:50:18.560 So you
00:50:18.880 have to
00:50:19.120 have a
00:50:19.340 host who
00:50:19.760 is just
00:50:20.000 going to
00:50:20.200 cut them
00:50:20.500 off.
00:50:20.760 Nope.
00:50:21.420 You didn't
00:50:21.760 answer the
00:50:22.120 question.
00:50:22.520 Nope.
00:50:23.220 Tell me
00:50:23.620 yes or
00:50:23.960 no first,
00:50:24.600 and then
00:50:24.920 give me
00:50:25.200 the
00:50:25.360 explanation.
00:50:26.380 Then they
00:50:26.740 start the
00:50:27.140 explanation.
00:50:27.840 You go,
00:50:28.060 nope,
00:50:28.560 nope.
00:50:29.580 Give me
00:50:29.920 yes or
00:50:30.320 no first,
00:50:32.420 and then
00:50:32.740 you can
00:50:33.040 give me
00:50:33.300 the
00:50:33.480 explanation.
00:50:34.600 So you
00:50:35.020 have to
00:50:35.360 really get
00:50:36.480 on top
00:50:36.900 of them.
00:50:37.340 And part
00:50:37.700 of the
00:50:37.920 entertainment
00:50:38.420 would be
00:50:39.620 watching the
00:50:40.200 host try
00:50:40.960 to wrangle
00:50:41.400 two people
00:50:42.060 who didn't
00:50:42.920 want to get
00:50:43.280 wrangled.
00:50:43.680 Because if
00:50:45.080 they're trying
00:50:45.440 to persuade,
00:50:46.320 they don't
00:50:46.580 want to get
00:50:46.900 nailed down
00:50:47.420 too much,
00:50:47.860 right?
00:50:48.460 So that
00:50:49.040 would be
00:50:49.280 the tension.
00:50:49.860 The tension
00:50:50.200 would be
00:50:50.600 the host
00:50:51.100 with both
00:50:52.740 of the
00:50:53.240 people,
00:50:55.220 ideally
00:50:55.740 pushing both
00:50:56.600 of them
00:50:56.900 hard.
00:50:57.740 So I've
00:50:58.640 said the
00:50:58.940 only reason
00:50:59.300 I haven't
00:50:59.620 done it
00:50:59.940 is that
00:51:00.360 there's no
00:51:00.860 technology
00:51:01.560 solution
00:51:02.100 for doing
00:51:02.680 it live.
00:51:05.200 There must
00:51:05.980 be by now.
00:51:07.560 There must
00:51:08.120 be somebody
00:51:08.680 who has a
00:51:09.200 studio,
00:51:11.280 you know,
00:51:11.500 some professional
00:51:12.160 entity,
00:51:12.620 who can
00:51:13.500 just zoom
00:51:14.180 us up
00:51:14.560 and put
00:51:14.840 us on
00:51:15.140 screen
00:51:15.500 and turn
00:51:16.600 the timer
00:51:17.040 off.
00:51:17.840 That's the
00:51:18.220 important part.
00:51:18.940 It can't
00:51:19.240 have an
00:51:19.520 end time.
00:51:20.600 You cannot
00:51:21.120 have an
00:51:21.560 end time.
00:51:22.740 It just
00:51:23.200 has to go
00:51:23.720 until it's
00:51:24.140 done,
00:51:25.000 according to
00:51:25.460 the host.
00:51:26.640 And,
00:51:27.060 you know,
00:51:27.520 just try it.
00:51:28.860 It could be
00:51:29.380 a disaster,
00:51:30.800 right?
00:51:31.160 It could be
00:51:31.580 a total
00:51:31.900 disaster.
00:51:33.060 But I
00:51:33.740 think we
00:51:34.160 need to
00:51:34.460 A,
00:51:34.680 B,
00:51:35.260 test a few
00:51:36.180 things.
00:51:39.200 Somebody
00:51:39.600 says,
00:51:40.260 again,
00:51:40.680 Dave Rubin's
00:51:41.340 help.
00:51:41.500 I don't
00:51:42.120 know if
00:51:42.400 his studio
00:51:43.000 can do
00:51:43.560 that.
00:51:45.500 I mean,
00:51:45.760 he has a
00:51:46.360 full studio,
00:51:47.340 so he has
00:51:47.740 the most
00:51:48.400 capability of
00:51:49.520 any independent
00:51:51.160 that I know
00:51:51.900 of.
00:51:52.720 Does anybody
00:51:53.180 know anybody
00:51:53.720 independent who
00:51:54.400 hasn't?
00:51:54.700 Well,
00:51:54.940 actually,
00:51:56.340 yeah,
00:51:56.540 there'd be
00:51:56.800 everybody from
00:51:57.800 I don't
00:52:02.200 want to
00:52:02.420 name names,
00:52:02.980 but yeah,
00:52:04.980 there are
00:52:05.280 probably a
00:52:05.580 number of
00:52:05.840 people who
00:52:06.140 could do it.
00:52:06.480 I don't
00:52:06.740 know if
00:52:07.280 Jim,
00:52:08.300 or if
00:52:08.780 Rogan or
00:52:09.500 Tim Poole
00:52:10.240 could do
00:52:10.620 that.
00:52:10.820 Alex Jones.
00:52:12.400 Yeah,
00:52:12.840 Alex Jones
00:52:13.300 is the
00:52:13.580 one I
00:52:13.840 thought of.
00:52:15.560 But,
00:52:16.060 you know,
00:52:16.380 as soon as
00:52:17.680 you throw
00:52:17.980 Alex Jones
00:52:18.640 into the
00:52:19.080 mix in
00:52:19.680 any way
00:52:20.280 whatsoever,
00:52:21.340 then it
00:52:21.900 becomes about
00:52:22.460 Alex Jones,
00:52:23.800 who I
00:52:24.540 always liked.
00:52:25.880 He's such
00:52:26.440 a likable
00:52:26.980 guy.
00:52:28.040 Does anybody
00:52:28.440 have that
00:52:28.920 same
00:52:29.580 impression?
00:52:31.160 There's
00:52:31.640 something
00:52:31.920 about him
00:52:35.020 that is
00:52:35.420 just so
00:52:36.040 relatable.
00:52:37.220 Glenn Beck.
00:52:41.140 That would
00:52:41.460 be interesting.
00:52:42.680 Yeah,
00:52:43.200 they probably
00:52:43.600 have all
00:52:44.000 the studio
00:52:44.580 capability
00:52:45.280 there,
00:52:45.600 don't
00:52:45.720 they?
00:52:47.680 Hmm.
00:52:49.120 Or,
00:52:50.440 yeah.
00:52:53.480 Anyway,
00:52:53.900 so I'll put
00:52:54.780 that out there
00:52:55.240 if there's
00:52:55.520 somebody who
00:52:56.240 wants to
00:52:57.080 offer some
00:52:58.540 studio resources.
00:52:59.520 the minimum
00:53:00.440 requirement is
00:53:01.880 three faces
00:53:03.240 on screen
00:53:03.920 and live.
00:53:05.860 And live.
00:53:06.700 Can't be
00:53:07.020 recorded.
00:53:08.660 And the
00:53:08.980 reason I
00:53:09.340 want it
00:53:09.620 live is that
00:53:10.360 there's a
00:53:10.740 different energy
00:53:11.320 to it and
00:53:12.260 that the
00:53:13.060 people's
00:53:13.600 comments could
00:53:14.240 be coming
00:53:14.560 in at the
00:53:15.020 same time.
00:53:15.760 Because I'd
00:53:16.320 want the
00:53:16.660 host to
00:53:17.860 have an
00:53:18.180 assistant.
00:53:19.500 Doesn't have
00:53:20.080 to be in
00:53:20.360 the room.
00:53:21.020 But the
00:53:21.320 assistant should
00:53:21.940 be monitoring
00:53:22.540 the questions
00:53:23.320 to make sure
00:53:24.700 that the
00:53:25.440 audience might
00:53:26.800 have come up
00:53:27.220 with a good
00:53:27.540 question or a
00:53:28.380 good counterpoint
00:53:29.020 or a good
00:53:29.700 source that
00:53:30.360 you want to
00:53:30.780 test.
00:53:32.460 So you'd
00:53:32.960 want the
00:53:33.280 public to
00:53:33.700 be live.
00:53:35.280 That's why
00:53:35.680 you don't
00:53:35.920 want it
00:53:36.180 recorded.
00:53:37.320 And you
00:53:37.620 want to
00:53:38.080 really keep
00:53:39.420 it dangerous.
00:53:42.700 One of the
00:53:43.200 reasons that
00:53:43.640 people watch
00:53:44.260 something,
00:53:45.120 this is one
00:53:45.660 of my
00:53:45.980 theories as
00:53:46.760 well,
00:53:47.360 is the
00:53:47.960 thought that
00:53:48.900 somebody's in
00:53:49.520 danger.
00:53:50.880 Now,
00:53:51.160 not physical
00:53:51.720 danger,
00:53:52.640 but danger
00:53:53.540 of embarrassment
00:53:54.360 or losing
00:53:55.600 their career
00:53:56.220 or something
00:53:56.780 like that.
00:53:57.880 So,
00:53:59.020 live gives
00:53:59.860 you extra
00:54:00.360 danger,
00:54:01.280 which I'm
00:54:02.420 attracted to
00:54:03.120 as an
00:54:04.160 entertainment
00:54:04.760 form.
00:54:06.940 All right,
00:54:07.580 that's all I
00:54:07.940 got for now,
00:54:08.420 and I will
00:54:09.020 talk to you
00:54:09.660 tomorrow,
00:54:11.880 and have a
00:54:14.560 wonderful,
00:54:15.160 wonderful Christmas.
00:54:16.760 Bye for now.