Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1605 Scott Adams： Let's Fix Most of Societies Problems and Have Some Laughs Too

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that's ever happened to you.

00:00:05.640 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and it gets better every single time.

00:00:10.220 It does, really. You don't believe it? Come back tomorrow.

00:00:13.700 You'll be amazed. It's better. Better tomorrow.

00:00:16.660 And if you'd like to take it up to really stratospheric levels,

00:00:22.020 the kind of goodness that nobody has ever seen before,

00:00:25.080 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker, chelsea, stein, a canteen jug or flask,

00:00:30.820 a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:34.980 I like coffee.

00:00:36.960 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:40.700 It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:43.600 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it's going to happen now. Go.

00:00:46.880 Go.

00:00:46.980 Oh, so good.

00:00:56.740 I don't know.

00:00:58.480 I can't be positive, but I think that's the best one ever.

00:01:03.720 Well, before I forget, an interesting thing is happening on Twitter this morning.

00:01:11.080 So some people got for Christmas, and Adam Dopamine is talking about this this morning on Twitter,

00:01:17.840 talking about getting an Oculus set, you know, one of the 3D fantasy metaverse kind of tools.

00:01:30.060 And let me tell you, you're going to be hearing this a lot from people who make the transition

00:01:37.040 from real life to the metaverse.

00:01:39.100 You can't believe how good it is.

00:01:43.700 And here's the weird thing.

00:01:46.220 It's still primitive.

00:01:48.660 Did I ever tell you that the best way you can tell something will be big

00:01:52.580 is if the bad version is popular?

00:01:57.420 We are, in terms of the metaverse and virtual worlds and, you know, 3D virtual realities and all that,

00:02:05.420 in terms of virtual reality, we're basically at the fax machine level compared to the Internet, roughly speaking.

00:02:15.820 And already, people who have tried it, and you can see some of the comments this morning,

00:02:21.680 people got VR equipment for Christmas in many cases,

00:02:26.620 and people will tell you, if you haven't tried it yourself, you don't know what's coming.

00:02:33.940 Now, I've told this story before, but I think this sums it up.

00:02:36.800 Several years ago now, it was maybe three years ago, I got a VR set.

00:02:42.660 Imagine how much better they are three years later.

00:02:44.800 One of the virtual worlds had a cliff, and although I knew I was standing in a room in my own home

00:02:52.480 and no danger could come to me, I couldn't tell myself to move my leg

00:02:59.220 to what would make me fall off the virtual cliff.

00:03:03.820 And it was the damnedest thing.

00:03:05.740 I couldn't talk myself into it, even though I knew it couldn't possibly be dangerous.

00:03:11.040 Because the thing I'm trying to explain here

00:03:15.380 is that your brain and your body will treat this as real.

00:03:21.080 Even though you know, it isn't.

00:03:25.080 Now, that's the thing people don't get.

00:03:27.940 If you don't get that knowing it's not real doesn't matter,

00:03:32.480 you're missing the biggest part of this.

00:03:35.980 You will feel it like it's real.

00:03:38.780 Here's the weirdest part.

00:03:40.140 If you do a ride in virtual reality,

00:03:44.340 but in the actual world you're just sitting in a chair,

00:03:47.140 and your chair is not moving at all.

00:03:50.080 Tell me if some of you have done this, so you can confirm this.

00:03:53.940 Do you feel like the motion even in your stomach,

00:03:59.560 do you feel it even though it's not happening?

00:04:02.480 Every person says yes.

00:04:06.680 Every one.

00:04:08.360 Somebody says no.

00:04:10.780 Really?

00:04:11.740 Then you haven't tried the right...

00:04:12.860 If you say no, you haven't tried the right games.

00:04:15.780 Because if you don't do the right one, you're not going to get that effect.

00:04:18.440 But the ones that really make you feel like a roller coaster or a flying one,

00:04:26.160 you feel it.

00:04:27.660 You feel it like it's real.

00:04:28.920 And here's the bigger point of this.

00:04:33.600 I've been telling you since the dawn of Trump

00:04:36.580 that Trump would change more than politics.

00:04:40.480 That he would change how we view reality itself.

00:04:43.280 And he did.

00:04:46.520 Specifically, we saw that our sources of trusted news were bullshit.

00:04:53.160 In a way we'd never seen before.

00:04:55.820 And that was Trump.

00:04:56.860 Trump did that.

00:04:57.560 And I could see that coming from a mile away.

00:04:59.820 That's why I predicted it before he was even elected.

00:05:03.320 I said, whoa, he's changing reality.

00:05:04.900 He's not changing...

00:05:06.380 He's not just changing politics.

00:05:08.820 And then you add the metaverse.

00:05:10.660 And then you add how we'll feel about the virtual realities.

00:05:15.480 Now put those two...

00:05:18.400 Put together the fact that nothing we thought was true was true.

00:05:23.600 Which we're learning that all of our news sources and experts and data

00:05:27.680 are all really biased and subjective.

00:05:31.060 Put that together with the fact that you can experience a world as if it's real

00:05:35.700 within something you know isn't real.

00:05:38.380 What's going to happen to our understanding of reality itself?

00:05:44.120 Now add on top of that, the richest and one of the smartest people in the world,

00:05:49.720 Elon Musk, is a non-apologetic proponent of the simulation being our actual experience.

00:05:58.080 Now those are three separate things, right?

00:06:03.860 Trump and fake news and learning that all of our experts are full of shit.

00:06:08.420 The metaverse, sort of just a cool technology that has a lot of future.

00:06:13.700 And then the idea of the simulations.

00:06:16.760 All those three things are happening at the same time.

00:06:19.720 And it's not a coincidence.

00:06:20.960 Reality is about to get a reboot.

00:06:25.540 We're going to have an awakening that will be one of the great ones of history, really.

00:06:32.760 When you realize the limits of your own rational abilities,

00:06:37.920 everything will look different.

00:06:40.700 Everything will look different.

00:06:41.860 Now, I can say that as someone who's made this journey from thinking I was a rational creature

00:06:48.220 and then thinking that other people were irrational, but at least I'd figured it out.

00:06:55.300 That was my trip.

00:06:57.440 My trip was, what is wrong with all of these other people?

00:07:01.680 Why is it that I keep getting the right answer and all the other people are wrong all the time?

00:07:06.400 And then, about the time I learned hypnosis and started studying about human psychology,

00:07:13.580 I realized, wait a minute, maybe I'm wrong too.

00:07:18.740 And then once you're open to the possibility that we're all wrong all the time,

00:07:24.960 meaning that we're creating subjective little worlds and just living within them,

00:07:29.040 once you realize that, you can't go back.

00:07:33.100 You can't go back.

00:07:34.000 And I'll tell you, a lot of people are there already.

00:07:37.940 So, you know, I'm not alone.

00:07:39.900 I got a tweet this morning from somebody who's sort of risen to that level

00:07:44.920 and can see the whole field, and I had to ask him what his background was

00:07:49.820 because he didn't have it in his bio, and I thought, who the hell are you?

00:07:55.260 There's something you know that other people don't know.

00:07:58.400 I haven't gotten a response yet.

00:07:59.620 All right, as part of this theme, I did a troll challenge today.

00:08:05.100 I like to do this once in a while to demonstrate the weakness of our subjective experience.

00:08:13.240 And what I do is, I said in a tweet, name one thing you think I believe that is different from what you believe.

00:08:20.940 And that's also true.

00:08:24.040 And what, of course, happens is a whole bunch of people imagining something that they think I believe,

00:08:31.760 then writing it down, and then I say, nope, nope, I don't believe that.

00:08:36.800 Or you left out some context, so it changed the meaning, or something like that.

00:08:40.500 And you can see that dozens, if not hundreds of people immediately present themselves

00:08:47.120 who have undeniable, undeniable hallucinations about who I am and what I believe and what I've done.

00:08:56.120 And you can see it plainly, because I know my opinion.

00:09:00.620 So when somebody says, you believe X, and I say, no, I believe Y, I get that right every time. 0.89

00:09:08.180 You know why?

00:09:08.760 Because I actually know my opinion.

00:09:11.060 I'm not guessing.

00:09:12.840 Everybody else is guessing.

00:09:14.980 But I know it.

00:09:16.280 So even though you can't fact check the other people, I can.

00:09:19.240 Because I know what's happening in my mind, even if I'm wrong.

00:09:23.360 Presumably I'm wrong a lot.

00:09:26.800 All right.

00:09:27.580 Yes, we're all irrational.

00:09:29.680 Once you learn that, you'll be in good shape.

00:09:32.520 Now, one of the things that people did call me out on, on opinions that they disagree with,

00:09:40.500 I'll give you a few examples.

00:09:42.500 One person trying to be funny, a troll said, when I said, name one thing you think I believe

00:09:48.320 that's different from what you believe.

00:09:50.140 A troll said, Dilbert is funny.

00:09:51.940 The implication being that I think Dilbert is funny, but Dilbert is not funny.

00:09:57.880 And I actually addressed that one.

00:10:00.500 Because even as a troll, they failed.

00:10:02.780 It was like a failed troll.

00:10:04.160 Because I don't believe Dilbert is funny.

00:10:06.140 I mean, even that assumption was wrong.

00:10:12.380 What I believe is that Dilbert is created to appeal to a certain part of the public.

00:10:19.140 And that group of the public likes it a lot and laughs.

00:10:23.380 And they like it so much they pay for it.

00:10:26.480 That's all I know for sure.

00:10:28.500 And I'm 100% sure that other people, lots of them, don't find it interesting at all.

00:10:34.300 So when somebody says that I think Dilbert is funny, I say, no, that doesn't even make sense.

00:10:40.920 Nothing is funny.

00:10:45.280 Nothing is funny.

00:10:46.520 All there is is just some people like some stuff.

00:10:51.400 That's it.

00:10:52.980 Here's another one.

00:10:55.180 People complained that I said everybody's vaccination choice was based on fear.

00:11:00.280 But that the fears would be different.

00:11:02.340 Some people feared the vaccination.

00:11:05.520 Some people feared the COVID.

00:11:07.280 Some people feared government control, etc.

00:11:11.420 But others said, no, no, no, Scott.

00:11:14.480 Our decisions were absolutely rational.

00:11:18.240 Because we looked at the costs and the benefits.

00:11:20.380 And we were never afraid.

00:11:22.400 We never felt any fear.

00:11:24.980 We just looked at the information as it existed and made a call.

00:11:29.120 Now, that's actually accurate.

00:11:32.040 I would say that's an accurate pushback to my point.

00:11:36.340 And I will only offer this clarification.

00:11:42.300 When I said everybody makes their decision based on their fears, fear to me is a very large category.

00:11:49.760 I'm not talking about the fear that makes you quake in your shoes, although some people probably had that about the virus.

00:11:56.980 I'm talking about the kind of fear that says, oh, I don't want to go to the DMV.

00:12:03.840 I'm talking about the kind of fear that says, oh, I have to see my in-laws for Christmas.

00:12:11.980 I like my in-laws, but, you know, talk about other people.

00:12:16.320 So, yeah, you can say that's not fear.

00:12:18.400 But when I'm talking about it, I'm talking about a, let's say, a willingness to pick the path that's best for you, as opposed to the less good path.

00:12:33.020 And so it was suggested on Twitter, and I take this suggestion, that a better way to reframe my opinion, so it would be less confusing and more persuasive, I suppose, as well,

00:12:43.580 is that instead of saying that everybody made their decision based on fear, you could put it in a positive way.

00:12:52.600 And the positive way would be we all followed our own illusions of safety, meaning that we all did a cost-benefit analysis.

00:13:02.960 I didn't say we didn't.

00:13:05.100 But we all had a different opinion, which I'll call an illusion because we can't know, right?

00:13:10.560 But if we could know for sure the outcome of every person based on every decision, well, then it wouldn't be an illusion.

00:13:18.980 But if you're just predicting based on guesses and variables that we can't measure, well, that's kind of an illusion.

00:13:27.000 I may be overstating it for your preferences, but it seems that way to me.

00:13:31.380 Anyway, so I'll reframe that and say that everybody's decision about the vaccination was based on an illusion about their own safety,

00:13:41.640 and then I'll add, or convenience.

00:13:45.540 So it was based on an illusion about their own safety, or convenience.

00:13:50.920 Now, the convenience part is more objective.

00:13:53.520 If you had to do it to travel or keep your job or make your spouse happy or something, eh, I'll give you that that wasn't fear-based.

00:14:03.080 Except, will you give me that being afraid of your spouse's response is a little bit of fear?

00:14:09.620 But it's not big fear.

00:14:11.120 It's like fear with a little F.

00:14:13.360 It's not big fear where, you know, there's a home invasion.

00:14:16.020 That's the big fear, capital F.

00:14:19.400 But a little fear.

00:14:20.860 There's a shame you want to ignore, or you want to avoid.

00:14:26.460 Let me make this offer to you.

00:14:32.200 Apparently, Biden is going to be talking to the governors today.

00:14:35.900 Can you confirm that?

00:14:36.920 I think I saw that.

00:14:38.140 So Biden's going to be talking to all governors today by phone,

00:14:41.460 and I think he's talking about COVID.

00:14:43.900 That's the topic.

00:14:44.700 Give me a confirmation that's happening today.

00:14:48.140 All right, I see a confirmation.

00:14:50.200 Now, this is when I think we have to get serious about the idea that we should ask not what the country can do for us

00:15:00.680 and ask what you can do for the country.

00:15:03.720 Because this is the point where I'm sure, I'm very confident,

00:15:08.720 that the governors and Biden want the restrictions to end.

00:15:13.220 They just want to do it in a way that they protect their jobs and presumably the public as well.

00:15:18.760 So, I think we need to help them right now.

00:15:23.740 And I'm hoping that the February 1 idea, the idea that we should have some kind of a target that our government should tell us about,

00:15:32.380 even if they adjust it later, based on data.

00:15:35.920 But treat us like adults and say, well, we're going to shoot for February 1,

00:15:39.840 but this assumes that the death rate stays low and keeps dropping.

00:15:46.480 Would that be fair?

00:15:48.220 So, I hope the February 1 date got through because this is exactly the time that Biden and the governors should get together and say,

00:15:56.000 all right, everybody, let's shoot for February 1.

00:16:02.960 All right.

00:16:06.560 Rasmussen has a new poll.

00:16:08.900 It says that Biden is at his, he's tied for his low in approval at 40%.

00:16:13.860 So, how many of you think Biden wants to continue the restrictions?

00:16:23.080 How many of you think that he actually wants that because it'll be good for him in the election or something?

00:16:30.100 I'm seeing some people say yes, yes.

00:16:33.660 Well, so weigh this for me.

00:16:35.800 If Biden could claim he ended all the restrictions, wouldn't he get more votes than if he simply kept the restrictions in,

00:16:51.540 but that gave him some benefits with mail-in votes?

00:16:54.960 Which of those strategies is better?

00:16:57.680 I feel like solving the biggest problem in the world is always the best strategy.

00:17:04.020 Isn't it?

00:17:05.800 Do you think that keeping the biggest problem that we have in place is how you get re-elected?

00:17:12.660 When you could, you have the tools to remove it?

00:17:17.160 I have a feeling that claiming success would be the smart play.

00:17:23.140 So, I see your point.

00:17:25.420 I see your point that, you know, there might be some mail-in or other advantage if he keeps things locked down.

00:17:32.000 But I don't know if there's enough lockdown.

00:17:33.520 If it's just the blue states that are locked down at that point, what's the difference?

00:17:38.780 The only ones locked down will be the ones that he was going to win anyway.

00:17:42.600 He's not going to win Florida because they're not locked down.

00:17:44.860 Apparently, also, most Americans, according to Rasmussen poll, side with J.K. Rowling that there are only two genders. 0.96

00:17:59.400 Now, are you surprised that I don't talk about this topic more?

00:18:03.400 Like, every once in a while, somebody asks me,

00:18:04.820 Scott, state your opinion.

00:18:07.360 How many genders are there? 1.00

00:18:10.800 Well, I'm not even sure this is a real debate.

00:18:15.440 Because if you put people in the same room, I don't know that they would disagree.

00:18:20.720 Except for what word to put on things.

00:18:22.880 And I suppose the word you put on it can, you know, determine policy and stuff.

00:18:26.300 So it does matter.

00:18:27.840 But it's such a silly thing.

00:18:30.260 Because the people who say there are only two genders,

00:18:32.580 because, you know, if you can have a baby, you're female. 1.00

00:18:36.100 And if you can produce sperm, I suppose you're male.

00:18:39.920 Those are my own definitions, I guess.

00:18:41.800 So I would say that if you want to use those definitions of biology,

00:18:46.680 then there are exactly two sexes.

00:18:50.840 And if you want to use a more socially focused one,

00:18:55.540 then people are all over the board about what they prefer,

00:18:58.660 but that has nothing to do with whether they can have babies or not.

00:19:03.220 That fear is holding you back, Scott.

00:19:05.840 I don't know if I have any fear about this topic.

00:19:07.940 Because, you know, generally you can always be safe if you say,

00:19:15.360 as long as everybody's following the law,

00:19:17.940 they should have as much freedom as they can get,

00:19:21.040 short of, you know, bothering other people to the point of ridiculous.

00:19:27.020 So I think you can have both.

00:19:28.780 I think we can say there are two genders if you're talking about biology, 0.82

00:19:32.620 and still say, but socially,

00:19:34.020 the way people think of themselves and want to be treated,

00:19:37.940 let them have the freedom to do that.

00:19:41.840 Which doesn't tell you anything about what bathrooms they should use

00:19:45.000 or what sports they should play.

00:19:46.360 Those are all separate decisions.

00:19:49.320 All right.

00:19:51.620 All right.

00:19:58.400 Best and worst predictions of 2021.

00:20:00.560 So here's a little progress report about where we are

00:20:04.300 in terms of our ascent to a higher level of awareness.

00:20:09.940 So this will be a little marker of how close we are

00:20:12.660 to really understanding our inability to be rational.

00:20:17.600 The prediction, one of the best predictions for 2021

00:20:24.420 is also the worst prediction for 2021,

00:20:27.160 which was my prediction, that Republicans would be hunted.

00:20:31.960 Now, I did a poll, and of course, there are thousands of people who say,

00:20:34.880 oh, yeah, they're definitely being hunted.

00:20:36.960 Let me give you five examples.

00:20:38.380 But, of course, Politico just did an article that said,

00:20:45.660 my same prediction, the one that thousands of people would say,

00:20:49.260 well, that's one of the best predictions I've ever seen.

00:20:51.540 You nailed it.

00:20:53.280 According to Politico, it's one of the worst predictions

00:20:55.800 because nothing like that happened.

00:20:57.140 Now, what could be more perfectly, let's say,

00:21:04.540 a perfect summary of where we are as a thinking species?

00:21:09.560 The perfect summary is that we can't tell the difference

00:21:12.980 between the best prediction and the worst.

00:21:17.420 One of my favorite quotes from Mark Twain

00:21:19.680 is that people can't tell the difference between good news and bad.

00:21:23.580 The first time you hear that, you say, well, that's not true.

00:21:26.000 And then you keep seeing examples of it.

00:21:28.680 We actually can't tell the difference between good news and bad lots of times.

00:21:33.560 Lots of times.

00:21:34.260 You just can't tell.

00:21:35.880 And we also don't know the difference between something that's starting

00:21:39.440 and something that's finishing.

00:21:41.340 Take the pandemic, for example.

00:21:43.940 We can't tell what's smart or dumb.

00:21:46.480 So we don't know the best prediction from the worst.

00:21:49.060 We don't know what's good, what's bad.

00:21:50.520 We don't know what's evil, what's good.

00:21:52.160 We don't know who's helping, who's hurting.

00:21:54.060 We don't know who's being selfish.

00:21:55.420 We don't know who's being generous.

00:21:57.340 We don't do anything.

00:21:59.980 That's where we are.

00:22:01.840 But once you realize that, you get to go to the next level of awareness.

00:22:07.360 All right, here's a trick I use to predict things.

00:22:11.840 And you could use this, too.

00:22:13.340 It works every time.

00:22:14.700 If you want your predictions to be accurate,

00:22:18.440 predict something that's already happening.

00:22:20.020 And then you'll look like a genius.

00:22:24.320 So here's my prediction.

00:22:27.200 I said, prediction.

00:22:28.160 In 2022, Big Pharma will convince experts there is a mental condition

00:22:32.860 that one might call over-wokeness.

00:22:36.400 And there will be a pill for it.

00:22:39.360 That's my prediction.

00:22:41.480 Do you know why I'm confident in that prediction?

00:22:43.980 Because it's already happening.

00:22:46.840 It's already happening.

00:22:48.480 You don't think that lots of people are getting antidepressants

00:22:51.440 because of how they're dealing with...

00:22:55.980 I'll call it social sensitivity.

00:22:59.900 So I don't think this disease will be called over-wokeness,

00:23:03.500 but it might be called hyper-social sensitivity.

00:23:07.060 If I told you there was a new condition called hyper-sensitivity

00:23:13.680 to social pressure or whatever,

00:23:18.520 would you say that doesn't exist?

00:23:21.880 Or would you say, oh, that totally exists,

00:23:23.680 and it's messing with people's minds?

00:23:27.200 You would say it existed, right?

00:23:29.480 You might not think you have it,

00:23:31.540 but you would say that, oh, other people certainly have this problem

00:23:34.420 where they're so sensitive about race and being insulted

00:23:39.000 and who's being put down and what's unfair

00:23:42.320 that it's become an actual mental disorder.

00:23:47.300 Now, I don't think there'll be a new pill for it.

00:23:50.480 I think they'll repurpose existing pills.

00:23:53.420 But, yeah, they're going to give people Xanax

00:23:57.000 and God knows what else for their social oversensitivity.

00:24:01.080 Does anybody want to argue with that?

00:24:02.700 Because I'm pretty sure it's happening right now.

00:24:05.840 Well, let me ask the question.

00:24:07.900 How many of you think it's happening right now?

00:24:11.140 Is there anybody you know

00:24:12.360 who has become so woke that they had to seek therapy

00:24:17.600 and that they're on pills because of it,

00:24:20.000 some kind of pill?

00:24:21.980 Over on Locals, the answers are yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.

00:24:26.720 Yeah.

00:24:27.660 So that's how you make a prediction

00:24:29.540 with high likelihood of being right.

00:24:31.820 In fact, you simply predict what's already happening.

00:24:35.580 It makes it a lot easier.

00:24:37.460 Predicting what hasn't happened yet is hard.

00:24:40.000 I don't recommend it at all.

00:24:42.880 All right.

00:24:44.920 I made this following suggestion, based on all this,

00:24:48.220 that schools should teach kids how to deal with criticism

00:24:51.320 as an actual lesson or a class,

00:24:53.980 and specifically how to be free from, you know,

00:24:58.200 the embarrassment or shame or social pressure

00:25:01.380 of what everybody thinks about you.

00:25:04.080 Because I think what social media did

00:25:06.380 is take the idea that was already a problem,

00:25:09.740 which is what do other people think of you,

00:25:11.740 and turned it from one of those problems you deal with

00:25:14.760 into the biggest problem.

00:25:15.720 Now, for kids, the biggest problem

00:25:18.960 is what people think of them,

00:25:20.440 especially what they say

00:25:21.480 on some kind of digital media about them.

00:25:24.660 So I think that we need to give kids a class.

00:25:28.320 And I think that class should be called, perhaps,

00:25:31.420 Everyone is Someone Else's Weirdo,

00:25:33.480 so that you would just get comfortable with being weird.

00:25:37.480 And when people made fun of you,

00:25:39.120 you'd think,

00:25:40.280 well, what does it mean to me

00:25:41.580 that a weirdo is calling me weird?

00:25:44.200 It doesn't mean anything.

00:25:46.280 If there was somebody perfect

00:25:47.640 who called you weird,

00:25:48.820 you might feel bad about it.

00:25:50.540 But there aren't any perfect people.

00:25:51.960 There are only weirdos.

00:25:53.400 So if a weirdo calls you weird,

00:25:55.380 should that bother you?

00:25:56.760 Now, that would be sort of

00:25:57.680 what a lesson would look like.

00:26:00.100 You could also call it

00:26:01.300 the basket case theory,

00:26:03.680 the idea that everybody's a basket case,

00:26:06.400 or a weirdo,

00:26:07.340 if you got to know them well enough.

00:26:10.080 So here are some of the things I would teach.

00:26:12.300 I would teach kids

00:26:13.220 how to develop a talent stack.

00:26:16.000 Because if you're good at something,

00:26:18.440 anything,

00:26:19.500 then you know you can be good at something.

00:26:22.440 And that's really good as a protection

00:26:24.120 when you get criticized for other things.

00:26:27.540 If you get criticized

00:26:28.640 and you're not good at anything,

00:26:30.700 that's got to sting.

00:26:32.140 But imagine you knew you were good at,

00:26:34.560 I don't know,

00:26:35.140 a sport,

00:26:36.020 playing music,

00:26:37.680 being kind to people,

00:26:40.160 you know,

00:26:40.360 whatever it is.

00:26:40.980 But you know you're good at something

00:26:42.340 because you practiced more than other people

00:26:44.600 and you just became good.

00:26:46.940 I recommend that

00:26:47.920 just as a protection against criticism

00:26:50.320 because you've got one thing

00:26:51.360 to hang on to at least.

00:26:52.340 I saw this quote

00:26:56.240 as I was thinking about this

00:26:58.020 on Twitter.

00:26:59.300 I don't know who said it first

00:27:00.640 or if I have the words right,

00:27:02.100 but it's something like this.

00:27:03.300 You would care less about

00:27:04.700 what others thought of you

00:27:07.000 if you knew how little

00:27:08.880 they think of you at all.

00:27:11.800 That's like one of the best things

00:27:13.280 I've ever learned.

00:27:15.720 That you would care less

00:27:17.120 about what people think of you

00:27:18.400 if you realize how little

00:27:19.580 they even think about you at all.

00:27:21.720 You're not even meaningful.

00:27:24.540 I'll tell you where I learned that.

00:27:26.060 I've told this story before.

00:27:27.680 Years ago,

00:27:28.280 I had some laser work on my face

00:27:30.620 to get rid of some spider veins.

00:27:32.740 And with the old laser treatments,

00:27:34.720 it would make your face purple for weeks.

00:27:37.700 Like it would look like

00:27:38.680 you had a terrible accident

00:27:39.720 or you lost a fight or something.

00:27:41.660 Or you got in an MMA fight,

00:27:43.320 but you'd never been in one before.

00:27:45.340 And for the first few days,

00:27:47.320 I thought,

00:27:47.880 man, I'm not going to go out in public

00:27:49.300 because I don't want everybody

00:27:51.080 looking at me and judging me

00:27:52.600 and wondering what's up with me.

00:27:54.620 And then finally,

00:27:55.420 I just got such cabin fever.

00:27:56.960 I was like,

00:27:57.240 oh, screw it.

00:27:57.880 I'm going to go to the mall.

00:27:59.460 I remember walking around the mall

00:28:01.040 with a face that looked like

00:28:02.840 I just lost to an MMA fight.

00:28:07.720 And I would look at people

00:28:09.720 to see how they were being horrified

00:28:11.460 by my existence.

00:28:13.780 Nobody cared.

00:28:15.960 Nobody even looked twice.

00:28:18.200 Nobody stared.

00:28:19.660 Nobody asked me about it.

00:28:21.540 Nobody cared.

00:28:23.680 And was that a special case?

00:28:26.800 No.

00:28:27.880 People don't care.

00:28:29.800 I could have walked around naked

00:28:31.300 and except for it being illegal,

00:28:34.360 people wouldn't care.

00:28:35.820 They might talk about it,

00:28:37.200 but they wouldn't care, right?

00:28:39.700 So once you learn

00:28:40.720 how little people actually care,

00:28:43.900 then their opinion about you

00:28:45.460 should be put in the same box

00:28:46.780 that they have it,

00:28:48.240 which is it's unimportant.

00:28:50.020 It's the least important thing

00:28:51.200 in their life.

00:28:52.500 Don't make it important in your life.

00:28:54.720 It didn't even matter to them.

00:28:58.980 And then, of course,

00:29:00.300 there's the Dale Carnegie method

00:29:01.900 for learning how to deal

00:29:03.420 with shame and embarrassment.

00:29:05.540 And the Dale Carnegie method,

00:29:06.780 essentially,

00:29:07.360 just makes you practice

00:29:09.080 being embarrassed.

00:29:10.740 So you do things you know

00:29:12.140 will be embarrassing,

00:29:13.040 such as giving an embarrassing speech

00:29:15.620 in front of a crowd,

00:29:16.780 which is one of the exercises.

00:29:19.900 Or doing something embarrassing

00:29:21.520 in front of a crowd.

00:29:22.340 It doesn't have to be a speech.

00:29:25.160 All right.

00:29:25.500 So those are some of the things

00:29:28.500 that could be in the class

00:29:29.440 on handling criticism.

00:29:33.960 Machiavelli's Underbelly,

00:29:35.260 a Twitter account,

00:29:36.920 Machiavelli's Underbelly,

00:29:39.580 asked this provocative question.

00:29:41.920 If you think that following the money

00:29:43.500 is predictive,

00:29:44.720 this is my setup for the question,

00:29:47.820 he asked this question.

00:29:49.200 Following the money,

00:29:50.000 how has China's economy

00:29:52.440 fared relative to the rest

00:29:53.780 of the world?

00:29:54.740 Did they significantly benefit

00:29:56.660 financially from the pandemic

00:29:58.160 relative to the rest of the world?

00:30:00.160 Or did it seriously hurt their economy

00:30:02.280 to the same extent?

00:30:03.520 So I assume that the intent of this

00:30:07.060 is to make us wonder

00:30:08.300 if China did it intentionally.

00:30:11.540 And the idea is that

00:30:12.420 if you follow the money

00:30:13.440 and China somehow gained from it,

00:30:17.220 then maybe they did.

00:30:19.040 But if they did not gain from it,

00:30:21.380 well, then maybe it wasn't a plan.

00:30:23.700 It maybe just got out somehow,

00:30:25.480 the virus.

00:30:27.780 Here's a better question

00:30:29.260 that I added to that tweet

00:30:31.880 in the comment.

00:30:32.400 I said a better question

00:30:34.020 would be this.

00:30:35.280 When adjusted for risk,

00:30:37.420 could China ever have reasonably 1.00

00:30:39.600 expected it was a good play

00:30:41.440 to release a pandemic?

00:30:43.920 What do you think?

00:30:45.480 If you go back in time,

00:30:48.740 was there any reasonable way

00:30:50.700 that China could have said

00:30:51.860 from a risk-reward perspective?

00:30:53.840 Because you don't know

00:30:54.400 how big the risk is, right?

00:30:55.880 You assume it's pretty big.

00:30:57.800 But could China have reasonably 0.57

00:30:59.600 done this intentionally

00:31:01.580 if they thought through

00:31:03.500 the size of the risk

00:31:04.900 versus the size of the benefit?

00:31:08.100 Could you imagine

00:31:09.260 that follow the money

00:31:10.780 would have brought them

00:31:12.300 to the point

00:31:12.840 where they would release it intentionally?

00:31:17.680 Tom says,

00:31:18.520 can I read minds?

00:31:19.920 No.

00:31:20.460 You can't read minds.

00:31:21.920 So I'm asking you this.

00:31:23.220 Is there anybody

00:31:25.180 that you could put

00:31:26.340 in that position

00:31:27.020 who would have thought

00:31:27.700 it was a good idea?

00:31:29.120 Just any human.

00:31:30.440 You don't have to be Chinese.

00:31:32.540 You don't have to be

00:31:33.380 a Chinese leadership.

00:31:34.880 Just any human.

00:31:36.020 Would any human

00:31:36.660 make that decision?

00:31:38.780 Now,

00:31:39.500 there are a lot

00:31:41.000 of different humans.

00:31:42.060 So somebody says,

00:31:42.800 yes,

00:31:43.140 Hitler. 0.57

00:31:43.940 Hitler, right?

00:31:45.760 So crazy people would.

00:31:47.220 Do you think

00:31:48.460 that the government

00:31:49.620 of China

00:31:50.540 could be best described

00:31:53.020 as rational

00:31:54.000 or crazy?

00:31:57.540 What would best

00:31:58.840 describe China's leadership?

00:32:01.460 Many of whom

00:32:02.080 are engineers,

00:32:02.840 by the way.

00:32:03.260 I don't know

00:32:03.520 if you knew that.

00:32:04.140 But they have

00:32:05.060 a very high percentage

00:32:07.080 of engineers

00:32:07.740 and leadership.

00:32:08.320 Well,

00:32:12.560 I don't think

00:32:13.200 that China 0.93

00:32:13.660 is run

00:32:14.200 as a crazy country.

00:32:15.740 I think it's run

00:32:16.520 as a country

00:32:17.060 that is laser-focused

00:32:20.240 on self-interest

00:32:21.300 and we can respect that.

00:32:25.100 I mean,

00:32:25.440 you don't have to like it,

00:32:27.020 but you can respect it

00:32:28.460 because people

00:32:30.540 do operate

00:32:31.140 on self-interest.

00:32:32.560 Countries actually

00:32:33.260 probably work well

00:32:34.040 that way,

00:32:34.720 operate on self-interest.

00:32:36.420 But they are

00:32:37.460 a very rational

00:32:38.340 decision-making country

00:32:40.000 and you don't see

00:32:40.760 much irrational stuff

00:32:42.020 happening,

00:32:42.500 do you?

00:32:43.440 It would be hard

00:32:43.900 to think of

00:32:44.420 irrational

00:32:45.260 Chinese policies.

00:32:47.200 There are cruel ones,

00:32:48.940 there are ones

00:32:49.480 that you don't like,

00:32:51.840 but not irrational ones

00:32:53.260 if you look at it

00:32:55.440 through the lens

00:32:56.040 of what's just good

00:32:57.500 for China.

00:33:00.140 So I would say

00:33:01.080 the follow-the-money

00:33:02.040 hypothesis

00:33:02.740 argues strongly against,

00:33:05.920 not in any

00:33:06.680 100% way,

00:33:08.440 but it argues

00:33:09.080 strongly against

00:33:10.060 the idea

00:33:11.020 that anybody

00:33:11.500 would have done

00:33:12.040 this intentionally.

00:33:13.560 There's nobody

00:33:14.280 who understands

00:33:15.020 economics

00:33:15.620 who would have

00:33:16.080 done this

00:33:16.440 intentionally,

00:33:17.600 unless they were

00:33:18.640 crazy.

00:33:20.780 So let me say

00:33:21.540 that again.

00:33:22.400 There's nobody

00:33:22.980 who understood

00:33:24.420 economics

00:33:25.380 who would have

00:33:26.740 thought this

00:33:27.160 was a good play

00:33:27.940 because the risk

00:33:28.640 is so big

00:33:30.480 and so unsizable.

00:33:33.380 Yeah.

00:33:33.700 And of course

00:33:34.420 they had to look

00:33:35.220 at economists.

00:33:35.940 They wouldn't

00:33:36.180 have done this

00:33:36.620 without that.

00:33:38.280 All right.

00:33:38.880 There's a moderate

00:33:39.900 liberal named

00:33:41.040 Michelle Tandler

00:33:42.320 who's realizing

00:33:43.760 that maybe

00:33:45.500 everything she

00:33:46.180 believed about

00:33:47.080 progressives

00:33:48.140 was wrong,

00:33:49.440 meaning that

00:33:50.000 if you want

00:33:50.420 to be nice

00:33:50.900 to people,

00:33:52.500 progressive policies

00:33:53.420 might get you

00:33:53.960 the wrong outcome.

00:33:58.160 Scott,

00:33:58.740 they did it

00:33:59.120 for economics.

00:33:59.880 Did you miss

00:34:01.280 the entire

00:34:01.840 conversation?

00:34:04.560 Nobody would

00:34:05.400 have done this

00:34:06.100 for economics.

00:34:08.880 There's one

00:34:09.980 category I can

00:34:10.740 speak of

00:34:11.180 with some

00:34:11.600 confidence.

00:34:12.660 I do have

00:34:13.120 two degrees

00:34:14.020 that are relevant

00:34:14.640 to this question.

00:34:16.760 Nobody would

00:34:17.300 do it

00:34:17.620 intentionally

00:34:18.300 for economics.

00:34:19.920 Now,

00:34:20.220 if you're not

00:34:20.660 an economist,

00:34:21.880 you should talk

00:34:22.960 to one

00:34:23.340 because if you

00:34:25.000 could find

00:34:25.400 anybody,

00:34:26.560 let me ask you

00:34:27.280 this,

00:34:27.800 find somebody

00:34:28.460 who's got

00:34:28.800 an MBA

00:34:29.300 from a

00:34:30.180 good school

00:34:30.720 or a

00:34:32.260 degree in

00:34:32.700 economics

00:34:33.320 and ask

00:34:34.400 them if it

00:34:34.860 looked like

00:34:35.260 a good

00:34:35.600 financial play

00:34:36.560 for China

00:34:37.760 to release

00:34:38.340 a pandemic.

00:34:40.280 You're not

00:34:40.880 going to get

00:34:41.160 anybody to

00:34:41.660 say that.

00:34:43.380 But if you're

00:34:43.940 talking to

00:34:44.340 an artist

00:34:44.800 or something,

00:34:45.800 they might

00:34:46.300 say that.

00:34:54.020 Short term,

00:34:54.980 maybe.

00:34:55.540 Well,

00:34:55.840 the point is

00:34:56.380 that you

00:34:56.700 couldn't calculate

00:34:57.400 the short term

00:34:58.040 or the long

00:34:58.600 term impact.

00:35:00.060 All right.

00:35:02.100 Anyway,

00:35:02.780 this moderate

00:35:04.500 liberal,

00:35:05.020 Michelle Tandler,

00:35:05.900 did an

00:35:06.560 interesting tweet

00:35:07.440 thread.

00:35:08.600 And she

00:35:09.140 says,

00:35:10.120 here's what

00:35:10.640 confuses me

00:35:11.380 about San

00:35:11.940 Francisco.

00:35:13.160 We have

00:35:13.360 the most

00:35:13.640 liberal

00:35:14.080 left-wing

00:35:14.720 government

00:35:15.140 and population

00:35:15.760 in the

00:35:16.040 country.

00:35:16.660 We have

00:35:17.060 a $13

00:35:17.600 billion budget

00:35:18.560 and we

00:35:19.500 have 80,000

00:35:20.280 people sleeping

00:35:21.040 in the rain

00:35:21.520 this week.

00:35:22.720 Can someone

00:35:23.300 please explain

00:35:24.160 this to me?

00:35:24.660 And then she

00:35:24.960 goes on in

00:35:25.560 the thread

00:35:26.020 talking about

00:35:27.220 how,

00:35:27.580 her prior

00:35:29.660 impression that

00:35:31.080 the progressives

00:35:31.900 would be better

00:35:32.700 for the

00:35:33.860 underclass

00:35:34.580 appears to

00:35:36.160 be wrong.

00:35:37.080 And there

00:35:37.260 may be some,

00:35:38.380 you know,

00:35:38.680 these are my

00:35:39.640 own words now

00:35:40.380 to try to

00:35:41.080 capture the

00:35:41.620 theme of it.

00:35:42.140 But there

00:35:42.960 may be some

00:35:43.440 tough love

00:35:44.160 more close to

00:35:45.940 what the

00:35:46.340 right would

00:35:46.980 suggest.

00:35:47.720 It might be a

00:35:48.460 little closer to

00:35:49.200 the kindest

00:35:50.280 thing you could

00:35:50.720 do.

00:35:51.360 So if being

00:35:52.220 kind to people

00:35:52.960 is what you

00:35:53.480 want,

00:35:54.420 the progressives

00:35:55.140 may have the

00:35:55.580 wrong solution.

00:35:56.380 Now,

00:35:57.340 I don't

00:35:57.960 know if

00:35:58.220 she's factored

00:35:59.060 into this,

00:35:59.520 how many

00:35:59.800 people actually

00:36:00.360 don't want

00:36:01.060 to be in

00:36:01.880 a home because

00:36:02.920 they want to

00:36:03.360 do drugs

00:36:03.780 instead.

00:36:05.040 But seeing

00:36:07.960 her awaken

00:36:08.820 like this is

00:36:09.660 interesting.

00:36:10.600 And you get

00:36:11.060 toward the end

00:36:11.680 of the tweet

00:36:12.140 thread and you

00:36:13.240 find out that

00:36:13.920 she's reading

00:36:15.220 Michael

00:36:18.720 Schellenberger's

00:36:19.580 new book,

00:36:20.520 San Francisco,

00:36:23.320 which is a

00:36:24.040 huge bestseller.

00:36:25.260 And so you

00:36:26.000 can see her

00:36:26.500 being persuaded

00:36:27.720 in real time.

00:36:29.680 You can

00:36:30.020 actually watch

00:36:30.620 her being

00:36:32.280 transparent about

00:36:33.660 her thought

00:36:34.220 process being

00:36:35.560 modified by

00:36:36.300 that book.

00:36:38.020 Did I tell

00:36:38.620 you that

00:36:38.920 Michael

00:36:39.160 Schellenberger

00:36:39.700 is persuasive?

00:36:40.600 You're

00:36:42.880 seeing it

00:36:43.240 everywhere.

00:36:44.360 He's very

00:36:44.780 persuasive.

00:36:46.880 And part

00:36:48.420 of his

00:36:49.000 appeal is

00:36:49.940 that you

00:36:50.160 can't tell

00:36:50.560 what political

00:36:51.700 side he's

00:36:52.200 on.

00:36:53.060 It's just

00:36:53.780 unfathomable

00:36:54.780 because he

00:36:55.500 just does

00:36:55.920 things that

00:36:56.280 make sense

00:36:56.880 and have

00:36:57.900 some kind

00:36:58.320 of data

00:36:58.720 or scientific

00:36:59.600 backing.

00:37:00.100 and you

00:37:01.520 can't tell

00:37:01.920 what he's

00:37:02.300 up to

00:37:02.620 because it

00:37:03.240 just looks

00:37:03.620 like a

00:37:03.900 bunch of

00:37:04.160 good ideas

00:37:04.840 backed by

00:37:06.640 solid argument

00:37:07.620 and data.

00:37:12.140 Let's see.

00:37:13.340 Here's a

00:37:13.760 thought.

00:37:14.160 Big pharma

00:37:14.540 is creating

00:37:15.120 an economic

00:37:15.700 agenda to

00:37:16.280 make all

00:37:16.600 humans forced 0.99

00:37:17.280 to be

00:37:17.560 consumers of

00:37:18.100 their products.

00:37:19.460 How much

00:37:19.860 more financial

00:37:20.720 incentive do

00:37:21.780 you need?

00:37:22.720 Well, that

00:37:23.020 would be the

00:37:23.460 pharma companies.

00:37:25.500 But we're

00:37:26.180 talking about

00:37:26.660 China's 0.76

00:37:27.120 government.

00:37:28.460 So if

00:37:29.040 you're asking

00:37:29.440 me,

00:37:30.100 do I

00:37:31.060 trust big

00:37:31.680 pharma?

00:37:32.360 I think

00:37:32.720 big pharma

00:37:33.300 should be

00:37:34.560 a category

00:37:35.080 in which

00:37:35.520 we assume

00:37:36.100 guilt until

00:37:36.880 proven

00:37:37.240 innocence.

00:37:42.020 For big

00:37:42.860 pharma,

00:37:43.500 I think

00:37:43.800 you should

00:37:44.120 assume

00:37:45.860 guilt

00:37:46.320 until proven

00:37:47.680 innocence.

00:37:49.040 Whereas I

00:37:49.640 wouldn't say

00:37:49.980 that about

00:37:50.340 most things.

00:37:51.100 But I

00:37:51.320 think given

00:37:52.600 the size

00:37:53.060 of the

00:37:53.300 risks

00:37:53.700 with any

00:37:55.540 kind of

00:37:55.800 medication

00:37:56.200 and the

00:37:57.000 history of

00:37:57.500 the industry,

00:37:58.880 it would

00:37:59.300 be irrational

00:38:00.220 to think

00:38:00.800 otherwise.

00:38:01.300 And that's

00:38:01.580 of course

00:38:02.000 why you

00:38:02.320 do the

00:38:02.600 randomized

00:38:03.020 controlled

00:38:03.640 trials.

00:38:11.560 Yeah,

00:38:12.160 the pandemic

00:38:12.660 caused every

00:38:13.440 strong economy

00:38:14.260 to shut down

00:38:14.880 except China's,

00:38:15.760 but it also

00:38:16.180 turned people

00:38:16.860 against China.

00:38:18.600 So as

00:38:19.880 much as

00:38:20.360 anything,

00:38:20.880 it will be

00:38:21.320 the reason

00:38:21.780 that the

00:38:22.240 United States

00:38:22.880 starts to

00:38:23.580 migrate its 1.00

00:38:24.180 manufacturing

00:38:24.840 out of there.

00:38:25.320 So I

00:38:27.480 don't think

00:38:27.880 they could

00:38:28.260 have known

00:38:28.600 that was

00:38:28.940 a good

00:38:29.180 idea.

00:38:30.540 They would

00:38:30.880 have known

00:38:31.200 that was

00:38:31.580 risky.

00:38:32.340 And China

00:38:32.740 is not

00:38:33.140 the super

00:38:33.840 risky

00:38:34.200 country,

00:38:34.720 right?

00:38:35.460 China tends 0.91

00:38:36.180 to not

00:38:36.660 take risks.

00:38:38.320 So does

00:38:38.740 it make

00:38:39.000 sense that

00:38:39.560 the country

00:38:40.040 most famous

00:38:41.040 for not

00:38:41.640 taking risks

00:38:42.600 took the

00:38:43.860 biggest risk

00:38:44.480 anybody had

00:38:45.040 ever taken

00:38:45.520 as a

00:38:45.940 country?

00:38:48.540 I mean,

00:38:49.300 maybe Hitler 0.89

00:38:49.860 took a

00:38:50.240 bigger risk,

00:38:50.920 but special

00:38:52.060 case.

00:38:52.440 yes,

00:38:55.040 in order

00:38:55.340 to get

00:38:55.620 rid of

00:38:55.900 Trump?

00:38:56.340 No,

00:38:56.740 I don't

00:38:56.920 think that

00:38:57.960 was a

00:38:58.240 big enough

00:38:58.660 reason.

00:39:06.920 Why do

00:39:07.520 you keep

00:39:07.820 saying

00:39:08.160 randomized

00:39:08.580 controlled

00:39:09.180 trials are

00:39:09.720 the only

00:39:10.020 method capable

00:39:10.820 of demonstrating

00:39:11.780 causality?

00:39:13.140 Well,

00:39:13.420 actually,

00:39:13.940 I don't say

00:39:14.400 that because

00:39:14.920 even the

00:39:15.680 randomized

00:39:15.980 controlled

00:39:16.660 trial doesn't

00:39:17.380 demonstrate

00:39:17.840 causality.

00:39:19.780 Does it?

00:39:22.440 Check me

00:39:23.800 on that.

00:39:25.600 A

00:39:26.000 randomized

00:39:26.380 controlled

00:39:27.000 trial doesn't

00:39:27.920 tell you

00:39:28.660 causality,

00:39:29.780 right?

00:39:31.080 Does it?

00:39:34.160 It tells

00:39:35.060 you correlation,

00:39:35.960 doesn't it?

00:39:37.740 And then you

00:39:38.440 have to use

00:39:39.000 your judgment

00:39:39.600 or something

00:39:41.340 like it

00:39:41.960 to determine

00:39:43.720 whether it

00:39:44.480 was causal

00:39:45.080 or causality

00:39:47.220 was involved.

00:39:47.840 has a

00:39:52.240 randomized

00:39:52.620 controlled

00:39:53.320 trial

00:39:53.660 ever been

00:39:54.780 duplicated?

00:39:57.620 The answer

00:39:58.500 is yes,

00:39:59.700 but it's a

00:40:00.560 funny question.

00:40:10.120 Randomized

00:40:10.760 trial is

00:40:11.320 about causality.

00:40:12.400 I know

00:40:12.840 the point

00:40:13.600 of a

00:40:13.940 randomized

00:40:14.220 controlled

00:40:15.080 trial is

00:40:16.420 to determine

00:40:17.100 causality,

00:40:18.860 but it

00:40:19.200 doesn't do

00:40:19.660 that.

00:40:20.480 It just

00:40:20.800 gets you

00:40:21.120 close,

00:40:21.560 right?

00:40:23.140 I guess

00:40:23.700 all I'm

00:40:24.020 arguing is

00:40:24.600 it doesn't

00:40:25.640 complete the

00:40:26.460 distance.

00:40:27.160 It just

00:40:27.540 gets you

00:40:27.960 close enough

00:40:28.700 that your

00:40:29.860 judgment

00:40:30.340 has to

00:40:31.280 suffice for

00:40:32.440 the rest

00:40:32.720 of it.

00:40:40.220 All right.

00:40:41.220 So that's

00:40:41.880 all I got

00:40:42.160 for today.

00:40:43.200 No doubt

00:40:43.860 the best

00:40:44.380 show that's

00:40:45.080 ever been

00:40:45.680 broadcast

00:40:46.560 anywhere

00:40:47.120 at any

00:40:47.740 time.

00:40:49.140 And

00:40:49.500 when does

00:40:51.120 Trump stop

00:40:51.680 making news

00:40:52.200 again,

00:40:52.740 I'm being

00:40:53.140 asked.

00:40:54.260 I think

00:40:55.120 that no

00:40:55.500 matter what,

00:40:56.120 whether he

00:40:56.480 runs for

00:40:57.060 office or

00:40:58.100 he creates

00:40:58.920 a platform

00:40:59.640 to influence

00:41:01.280 politics,

00:41:02.620 his instinct

00:41:04.360 is to stay

00:41:05.020 in the news

00:41:05.580 and he's

00:41:05.940 good at it.

00:41:06.520 Scott,

00:41:12.140 plenty of

00:41:12.580 people

00:41:12.820 chose the

00:41:13.340 option

00:41:13.640 they're

00:41:13.880 more

00:41:14.140 afraid

00:41:14.540 of

00:41:14.880 that

00:41:15.220 is

00:41:15.380 less

00:41:15.660 convenient.

00:41:17.720 Right?

00:41:19.160 They did a

00:41:19.880 cost-benefit

00:41:20.360 analysis.

00:41:21.000 Everybody did

00:41:21.440 that.

00:41:28.280 All right.

00:41:28.960 Metaverse.

00:41:29.460 I talked

00:41:29.760 about the

00:41:30.080 metaverse.

00:41:31.120 So thank you

00:41:31.980 for reminding

00:41:32.420 me,

00:41:32.700 but I

00:41:33.160 said what

00:41:33.560 I wanted

00:41:33.820 to say

00:41:34.060 about that.

00:41:38.740 Yeah,

00:41:39.260 I just

00:41:39.480 wanted to

00:41:39.840 tie the

00:41:40.120 metaverse

00:41:40.520 into the

00:41:41.000 simulation

00:41:41.460 and into

00:41:42.080 the

00:41:42.440 virtual reality

00:41:43.640 stuff.

00:41:45.580 Trump is

00:41:46.260 compromised

00:41:46.720 by Big Pharma.

00:41:47.860 You know,

00:41:48.160 I doubt

00:41:48.480 that.

00:41:49.620 I doubt

00:41:50.320 that.

00:41:51.400 I feel

00:41:52.020 like Trump

00:41:52.480 might be

00:41:52.980 one of the

00:41:53.380 few people

00:41:54.040 you could

00:41:54.500 depend on

00:41:55.040 not to be

00:41:55.580 compromised

00:41:55.980 by Big Pharma.

00:41:57.580 Only because

00:41:58.300 he's never

00:41:58.720 had an

00:41:59.060 association

00:41:59.440 with him

00:41:59.980 before

00:42:00.400 that I'm

00:42:01.580 aware of.

00:42:02.700 And it

00:42:02.940 would be

00:42:03.240 obvious and

00:42:04.020 I don't

00:42:04.580 think he's

00:42:05.000 a fan and

00:42:05.620 he's a

00:42:05.940 skeptic.

00:42:10.500 What's that

00:42:11.020 in all caps

00:42:11.580 there?

00:42:11.860 You're

00:42:12.020 yelling at

00:42:12.360 me.

00:42:22.200 Would it

00:42:22.680 be a good

00:42:23.120 business move

00:42:23.820 for Big Pharma

00:42:24.540 to support

00:42:25.240 Omicron

00:42:25.840 spread?

00:42:26.200 Well,

00:42:26.760 the problem

00:42:27.080 is you

00:42:28.040 don't want

00:42:28.400 to be

00:42:28.600 the one

00:42:28.920 who says

00:42:29.320 that Omicron

00:42:29.980 is safe.

00:42:31.880 You know,

00:42:32.140 unless you're

00:42:32.520 me,

00:42:32.960 right?

00:42:34.140 Unless you

00:42:34.700 can handle

00:42:35.160 the blowback.

00:42:37.040 But I

00:42:37.480 don't think

00:42:37.840 if you're

00:42:38.180 somebody

00:42:38.520 official,

00:42:39.180 like an

00:42:39.460 expert,

00:42:40.320 you don't

00:42:40.660 want to

00:42:40.880 go so

00:42:41.260 far as

00:42:41.600 to say

00:42:41.860 it's

00:42:42.060 safe.

00:42:42.980 Or even

00:42:43.600 to recommend

00:42:44.160 it instead

00:42:44.740 of a

00:42:45.020 vaccination.

00:42:47.440 That would

00:42:47.820 be risky,

00:42:48.780 I think.

00:42:51.920 What about

00:42:52.540 the iodine

00:42:53.800 nose spray

00:42:54.360 solution

00:42:54.900 discussed

00:42:55.360 on Joe

00:42:55.920 Rogan?

00:42:56.760 Well,

00:42:57.200 I don't

00:42:57.420 know about

00:42:57.800 that,

00:42:58.520 but I

00:42:58.960 do know

00:42:59.360 that the

00:42:59.780 idea of

00:43:01.200 spraying

00:43:02.180 something into

00:43:02.780 your nose

00:43:03.180 to kill

00:43:03.620 the virus

00:43:04.140 that's

00:43:04.480 obviously

00:43:04.940 there,

00:43:05.720 that's been

00:43:06.160 talked about

00:43:06.620 a lot.

00:43:07.260 But I

00:43:07.540 don't know

00:43:07.960 that unless

00:43:10.120 you were

00:43:10.440 doing it

00:43:10.860 on the

00:43:11.260 regular,

00:43:12.320 wouldn't

00:43:12.720 all the

00:43:13.160 virus

00:43:13.680 repopulate

00:43:14.840 pretty quickly?

00:43:15.460 maybe that's

00:43:17.260 a question

00:43:18.240 for a

00:43:19.040 doctor.

00:43:20.380 I'll ask

00:43:20.960 that question

00:43:21.460 when I

00:43:21.780 talk to

00:43:22.240 Dr.

00:43:22.640 Drew.

00:43:22.900 I think

00:43:23.120 I'm

00:43:23.360 scheduled

00:43:23.800 to talk

00:43:24.200 to him

00:43:24.420 tonight.

00:43:26.080 So look

00:43:26.600 for that.

00:43:27.840 And I

00:43:30.140 don't think

00:43:30.460 it's bleach,

00:43:31.180 but it does

00:43:31.640 make sense

00:43:32.160 that clearing

00:43:33.560 out your

00:43:34.020 nose would

00:43:35.860 get rid of

00:43:36.340 some virus.

00:43:36.980 I just

00:43:37.260 don't know

00:43:37.600 if it

00:43:37.840 lasts an

00:43:38.480 hour.

00:43:39.800 Is it

00:43:40.240 back in

00:43:40.620 an hour?

00:43:41.700 I don't

00:43:41.960 know.

00:43:46.160 So I

00:43:46.860 use a

00:43:47.840 mouthwash

00:43:48.700 several

00:43:49.660 times a

00:43:50.140 day.

00:43:52.780 Probably

00:43:53.340 overuse it,

00:43:54.240 usually

00:43:54.600 related to

00:43:55.420 my other

00:43:57.140 habits.

00:43:58.140 But I

00:44:00.040 wonder if

00:44:00.560 you did a

00:44:01.580 test of

00:44:02.020 people who

00:44:02.440 used just

00:44:03.060 a regular

00:44:03.480 mouthwash

00:44:04.160 five times

00:44:04.760 a day.

00:44:06.180 I'll bet

00:44:06.640 their odds

00:44:07.220 of COVID

00:44:08.000 are lower

00:44:09.540 or better

00:44:10.720 outcomes

00:44:11.180 because their

00:44:11.680 viral load

00:44:12.280 was lower.

00:44:14.320 Is God

00:44:15.160 the author

00:44:15.560 of the

00:44:15.900 simulation?

00:44:19.200 You would

00:44:19.980 only need

00:44:20.580 God for

00:44:21.220 the original

00:44:22.100 species.

00:44:23.780 And after

00:44:24.200 that,

00:44:25.120 everything else

00:44:25.780 would be

00:44:26.140 people.

00:44:28.620 So even

00:44:30.100 if there is

00:44:30.760 a God

00:44:31.360 for the

00:44:32.080 simulation,

00:44:33.160 it's unlikely

00:44:34.480 that you're

00:44:35.080 in one of

00:44:35.520 the ones

00:44:35.940 created by

00:44:36.620 the God

00:44:36.980 directly.

00:44:37.420 why do

00:44:40.720 they work

00:44:41.040 so hard

00:44:41.500 to withhold

00:44:42.100 ivermectin?

00:44:44.280 You know,

00:44:45.500 let me ask

00:44:46.540 you in the

00:44:46.900 comments.

00:44:47.280 I just want

00:44:47.700 to see where

00:44:48.060 your heads

00:44:48.500 are at.

00:44:49.300 So before

00:44:49.700 I give you

00:44:50.420 my updated

00:44:51.460 opinion,

00:44:52.660 how many

00:44:53.120 of you think

00:44:53.680 that in

00:44:54.060 the end

00:44:54.420 we will

00:44:54.860 learn that

00:44:56.120 ivermectin

00:44:56.880 would have

00:44:57.460 worked if

00:44:59.220 we'd gone

00:44:59.820 gung-ho and

00:45:00.700 done it

00:45:01.480 early and

00:45:02.260 and all

00:45:03.160 that.

00:45:04.160 How many

00:45:04.600 think that

00:45:05.120 it would

00:45:05.560 have worked?

00:45:06.680 I'm saying

00:45:07.060 mostly yeses.

00:45:09.260 Some noes,

00:45:10.260 but mostly yeses

00:45:11.120 on locals.

00:45:12.060 How about

00:45:12.380 over here?

00:45:13.660 On YouTube,

00:45:15.600 I'm seeing a 0.98

00:45:16.220 mix.

00:45:18.280 Got real

00:45:18.760 quiet on

00:45:19.860 YouTube there

00:45:20.360 for a minute.

00:45:21.520 More noes 0.94

00:45:22.340 than yeses.

00:45:24.040 No,

00:45:24.280 actually,

00:45:24.820 about even.

00:45:25.260 Here's

00:45:32.700 somebody,

00:45:33.140 I never

00:45:33.520 saw this

00:45:34.000 coming.

00:45:35.160 Scott likes

00:45:35.820 masks in

00:45:36.600 China.

00:45:37.940 I don't

00:45:38.300 know what

00:45:39.220 fucking thing

00:45:39.900 you are

00:45:40.180 watching,

00:45:41.000 but I'm

00:45:41.360 going to

00:45:41.500 make you

00:45:41.820 go away. 0.82

00:45:43.620 Goodbye.

00:45:46.980 All right.

00:45:49.060 So I'll

00:45:49.840 give you my

00:45:50.340 most current

00:45:51.340 take on

00:45:51.820 ivermectin.

00:45:53.720 I don't

00:45:54.440 rule it

00:45:54.840 out.

00:45:55.900 If anybody

00:45:57.100 says to me

00:45:57.740 there was

00:45:58.140 a global

00:45:58.780 conspiracy

00:45:59.560 to suppress

00:46:02.920 something that

00:46:03.740 worked because

00:46:04.420 it was cheap

00:46:05.100 and it let

00:46:05.720 people sell

00:46:06.260 vaccines,

00:46:07.060 I would say

00:46:07.540 there's nothing

00:46:08.140 about that

00:46:08.900 that's impossible

00:46:10.960 because there's

00:46:13.040 a mechanism

00:46:13.460 for it.

00:46:14.180 And the

00:46:14.380 mechanism would

00:46:15.120 be that the

00:46:16.560 pharma companies

00:46:17.300 would only have

00:46:17.940 to get to a

00:46:18.500 few experts,

00:46:19.640 which we know

00:46:20.880 they can do

00:46:21.520 and have done

00:46:22.600 and it's a

00:46:23.200 routine thing.

00:46:24.120 You get to a

00:46:24.900 few experts,

00:46:26.720 you have those

00:46:27.520 few experts

00:46:28.280 define what is

00:46:29.240 real and what

00:46:29.820 is not,

00:46:30.640 and then everybody

00:46:31.280 else just falls

00:46:31.920 in line.

00:46:33.780 Because, you

00:46:35.000 know, most

00:46:35.300 countries were

00:46:35.880 just following the

00:46:36.580 United States,

00:46:37.380 weren't they?

00:46:38.720 So, remember

00:46:40.040 one of my

00:46:40.640 initial objections

00:46:41.600 was, are you

00:46:42.800 telling me that

00:46:43.400 there's no

00:46:43.840 country anywhere

00:46:44.760 where they've

00:46:46.420 tried it and

00:46:47.460 then we can

00:46:47.980 know for sure

00:46:48.520 if it worked?

00:46:49.160 Nowhere.

00:46:49.720 There's not one

00:46:50.280 place that they

00:46:50.880 tried it and it

00:46:51.600 worked.

00:46:52.600 And then people

00:46:53.160 come up with all

00:46:54.100 the places that

00:46:54.920 it was tried and

00:46:56.080 it didn't work,

00:46:57.360 but they believe it

00:46:58.100 did, including

00:46:59.000 India, Peru.

00:47:01.060 There's a few

00:47:01.740 more that people

00:47:02.600 imagine worked,

00:47:03.600 but if you actually

00:47:04.260 look at the current

00:47:05.000 numbers, there's no

00:47:06.220 indication of it.

00:47:07.680 Now, that doesn't

00:47:08.500 mean it doesn't

00:47:08.960 work.

00:47:09.920 I'm just saying

00:47:10.460 that the country

00:47:11.460 examples were not

00:47:12.740 real, but they

00:47:13.440 look real.

00:47:14.300 A lot of people,

00:47:14.780 Japan, there's 0.92

00:47:15.500 another one that's

00:47:16.160 not real.

00:47:17.320 So all of the

00:47:17.960 country ones are

00:47:18.640 not real, but

00:47:19.780 you'd have to, if

00:47:21.060 you want to test

00:47:21.580 that for yourself,

00:47:23.060 just Google the

00:47:24.400 country and

00:47:25.120 ivermectin and

00:47:26.180 debunk, all the

00:47:28.180 debunks pop right

00:47:29.020 up.

00:47:29.540 And it's just data.

00:47:31.100 Just look at the

00:47:31.640 data, it's not

00:47:32.320 there.

00:47:33.640 Now, my current

00:47:35.740 take is, although

00:47:36.540 it is completely

00:47:37.780 possible, that

00:47:40.040 Big Pharma suppressed

00:47:41.180 ivermectin and

00:47:42.940 that maybe it did

00:47:44.320 work.

00:47:44.720 Totally possible.

00:47:46.420 I think every day

00:47:47.540 that goes by that

00:47:49.760 there isn't some

00:47:50.800 rogue city, country,

00:47:53.660 county that

00:47:55.020 believes the same

00:47:55.740 thing a lot of

00:47:56.400 you guys do, which

00:47:57.900 is it definitely

00:47:58.500 works and we're

00:47:59.160 being fooled.

00:48:00.340 You don't think

00:48:00.920 there was one

00:48:01.400 hospital, one

00:48:03.180 city, one

00:48:04.900 county, anywhere

00:48:06.700 in the world

00:48:07.420 where somebody

00:48:08.800 had the same

00:48:09.320 opinion that

00:48:09.860 almost all of

00:48:10.600 you have, which

00:48:12.240 is that we're

00:48:12.780 being fooled and

00:48:13.580 it probably works.

00:48:15.480 I don't think

00:48:16.200 that's possible.

00:48:17.820 I think you

00:48:18.600 could get 90%,

00:48:19.880 like you could

00:48:21.440 suppress it 90%,

00:48:22.640 but given that

00:48:23.700 most of you

00:48:24.540 think it's

00:48:25.960 bullshit, the

00:48:27.120 suppression of

00:48:27.740 it, I think

00:48:28.860 the majority of

00:48:29.640 you said that

00:48:30.740 you don't believe

00:48:31.240 that it doesn't

00:48:31.980 work.

00:48:33.160 Given that, I

00:48:35.120 don't see any

00:48:35.800 chance we could

00:48:36.560 have gotten to

00:48:37.040 where we are

00:48:37.700 without at least

00:48:39.060 one hospital using

00:48:40.300 it and saying,

00:48:41.300 hey, it's been

00:48:42.660 two years and

00:48:43.240 nobody's died

00:48:43.860 here.

00:48:45.840 Seriously?

00:48:46.520 Not one

00:48:46.880 hospital?

00:48:48.260 Now, there are

00:48:49.340 individual doctors

00:48:51.520 who have tried it,

00:48:52.720 but that's not a

00:48:53.400 standard I would

00:48:54.200 use because 99%

00:48:57.840 of the doctor's

00:48:58.540 patients are going

00:48:59.140 to survive,

00:48:59.760 right?

00:49:00.500 No matter what

00:49:01.060 they do, as long

00:49:03.100 as it's not

00:49:03.520 dangerous.

00:49:09.200 Why are doctors

00:49:10.160 still prescribing

00:49:11.040 it?

00:49:11.360 Well, the same 0.74

00:49:11.940 reason they're

00:49:12.860 prescribing it for

00:49:13.620 the same reason

00:49:14.280 that I'd be

00:49:15.140 tempted to take

00:49:15.960 it.

00:49:16.920 Because you

00:49:17.600 don't know.

00:49:19.520 There's plenty

00:49:20.400 of studies that

00:49:21.600 are not quite as

00:49:23.360 high quality as

00:49:24.100 you'd want that

00:49:25.280 indicate it might,

00:49:27.040 and the risk is

00:49:28.300 low.

00:49:29.140 So there's no

00:49:31.240 mystery about why

00:49:32.900 doctors prescribe

00:49:33.760 it.

00:49:34.660 It's just risk

00:49:35.340 management.

00:49:37.100 But that doesn't

00:49:37.920 tell you it

00:49:38.300 works.

00:49:40.760 Yeah, no one

00:49:41.420 died is too

00:49:42.160 high a standard

00:49:42.760 for it worked.

00:49:44.560 Yeah, I mean,

00:49:45.620 you shouldn't

00:49:46.120 take that as

00:49:46.740 an absolute

00:49:47.880 no one.

00:49:48.460 Yeah, all the

00:49:56.260 stories you hear

00:49:56.980 about there's a

00:49:57.760 country that

00:49:58.480 solved their

00:49:59.060 problem with

00:49:59.760 X, none of

00:50:00.660 them are true.

00:50:01.980 If any country

00:50:03.040 had solved their

00:50:03.740 COVID problem by

00:50:04.680 doing X,

00:50:06.080 whatever X is,

00:50:08.360 it'd be over.

00:50:09.780 We'd just all be

00:50:10.800 doing X by next

00:50:11.760 week, and it'd be

00:50:12.380 over.

00:50:12.600 So, no, that

00:50:14.700 didn't happen.

00:50:18.700 Scott, people

00:50:19.560 shouldn't be

00:50:20.080 banned from

00:50:20.700 talking about

00:50:21.420 it.

00:50:23.340 Yeah, you

00:50:24.040 know, I don't

00:50:25.660 know if it

00:50:26.040 worked, though,

00:50:27.160 because there's

00:50:29.660 two questions.

00:50:30.440 I would agree

00:50:30.940 with you that

00:50:31.880 free speech

00:50:32.800 requires that

00:50:34.640 those things

00:50:35.120 not be banned.

00:50:35.940 what I'm not

00:50:37.400 sure of is

00:50:38.460 if it worked

00:50:39.180 from the

00:50:40.120 perspective of

00:50:40.800 the people

00:50:41.160 who banned

00:50:41.580 it.

00:50:42.320 In other

00:50:42.620 words, did

00:50:43.220 it make it

00:50:45.000 more likely

00:50:45.640 that you

00:50:46.040 would avoid

00:50:46.540 it and get

00:50:47.640 the more

00:50:48.880 approved

00:50:49.260 treatments?

00:50:49.920 I don't

00:50:50.100 know.

00:50:50.580 It might

00:50:50.780 have.

00:50:51.680 That doesn't

00:50:52.360 mean you

00:50:52.620 should do

00:50:52.980 it, but

00:50:53.660 it might

00:50:53.900 have worked.

00:50:58.520 What is

00:50:59.160 the vaxxed

00:51:00.020 survival rate?

00:51:01.080 Better than

00:51:01.520 99.8?

00:51:03.260 The last

00:51:04.080 numbers I saw

00:51:04.860 is that the

00:51:05.380 vaxxed

00:51:05.960 survival rate

00:51:07.060 is something

00:51:08.520 like 90%

00:51:09.420 better than

00:51:10.520 the unvaxxed.

00:51:11.600 Once you

00:51:12.000 get to

00:51:12.300 that, but

00:51:14.140 that's after

00:51:14.820 you're already

00:51:15.960 pretty sick,

00:51:17.340 I think.

00:51:18.260 I think that's

00:51:18.820 how that

00:51:19.060 works.

00:51:21.180 How do we

00:51:22.000 know that?

00:51:23.040 Well, data,

00:51:24.500 which we

00:51:25.900 don't trust.

00:51:30.620 Blake

00:51:31.220 James says,

00:51:32.380 you disappoint

00:51:33.200 me more and

00:51:33.860 more every

00:51:34.360 day.

00:51:34.620 All right,

00:51:35.520 Blake, let

00:51:37.120 me give you

00:51:37.680 a little

00:51:38.380 test here of

00:51:39.160 your cognitive

00:51:39.800 dissonance.

00:51:41.400 I want

00:51:41.660 Blake, Blake

00:51:42.400 Jameson, I

00:51:43.200 challenge you

00:51:43.840 now, in your

00:51:44.940 next comment,

00:51:46.420 state what you

00:51:47.140 think I believe

00:51:48.160 that you disagree

00:51:49.440 with.

00:51:50.220 Go.

00:51:51.440 Blake, you're

00:51:52.240 on.

00:51:53.000 It shouldn't

00:51:53.340 take you long.

00:51:54.740 If I miss

00:51:55.520 Blake's comment,

00:51:57.140 alert me to it.

00:51:58.700 Go.

00:51:59.000 Now, the

00:52:00.200 challenge is to

00:52:01.040 say something

00:52:01.540 that's not

00:52:02.000 obviously

00:52:02.540 cognitive

00:52:03.120 dissonance,

00:52:03.800 which would

00:52:04.160 be you

00:52:05.180 stating an

00:52:05.760 opinion for

00:52:06.280 me that I

00:52:06.840 clearly don't

00:52:07.460 hold. 0.96

00:52:08.580 See if you

00:52:09.200 can do that.

00:52:10.460 Bet you

00:52:10.820 can't.

00:52:12.160 Now, there's a

00:52:13.200 reason why you

00:52:13.760 can't.

00:52:16.480 Did he just

00:52:17.240 disappear or is

00:52:18.280 there a delay

00:52:18.860 here?

00:52:19.080 Have you ever

00:52:21.080 read The

00:52:21.420 Forgotten Man?

00:52:22.060 No.

00:52:22.200 Why are most

00:52:24.840 African countries

00:52:25.720 and many in

00:52:26.520 Eastern Europe

00:52:27.140 totally ignoring

00:52:28.140 COVID?

00:52:29.380 Well, the lack

00:52:30.860 of comorbidities

00:52:31.880 would be my

00:52:32.480 guess.

00:52:33.380 So the average

00:52:34.300 age in Africa,

00:52:35.240 let's just pick

00:52:35.800 Africa, the

00:52:37.480 average age is

00:52:38.200 way younger than

00:52:38.980 normal, the

00:52:39.640 average weight

00:52:40.260 way younger,

00:52:41.460 the amount of

00:52:42.100 time they spend

00:52:42.680 in the sunshine

00:52:43.280 way more.

00:52:45.880 So if

00:52:47.020 everything was

00:52:47.700 exactly the way

00:52:48.600 we expected,

00:52:50.120 Africa could

00:52:50.980 look exactly the

00:52:51.880 way it looks

00:52:52.460 without any

00:52:53.640 without any

00:52:55.220 mystery there

00:52:56.940 at all.

00:53:00.540 I missed

00:53:01.280 Blake's comment.

00:53:02.360 Okay.

00:53:04.360 Let's go

00:53:05.000 back.

00:53:05.740 Blake, Blake,

00:53:06.280 Blake.

00:53:06.960 Blake, Blake,

00:53:07.500 Blake.

00:53:10.560 Damn it,

00:53:11.220 where are you?

00:53:12.880 All right.

00:53:14.100 You believe

00:53:14.940 that your

00:53:15.300 thinking is

00:53:16.040 above others.

00:53:17.900 No, Blake.

00:53:21.880 I don't

00:53:23.300 know how much

00:53:23.700 more clear I

00:53:24.380 could be that

00:53:25.380 we're all

00:53:25.840 guessing or

00:53:27.380 how many more

00:53:27.960 times I could

00:53:28.560 say it.

00:53:30.620 Anyway, did I

00:53:32.760 make my case?

00:53:33.780 When you see the

00:53:34.560 people who say

00:53:35.080 stuff like, you

00:53:36.140 disappoint me and

00:53:37.260 you're wrong about

00:53:38.000 everything, they

00:53:39.700 almost never have

00:53:41.280 a clear understanding

00:53:42.320 of what my opinion

00:53:43.260 is.

00:53:43.600 Starseed says,

00:53:47.500 sorry, Scott,

00:53:48.900 he was right

00:53:49.400 about that.

00:53:50.840 So when I say

00:53:51.840 that we're all

00:53:52.740 just guessing and

00:53:53.560 making rational

00:53:54.280 decisions,

00:53:55.940 does that not

00:53:58.780 cover everything?

00:53:59.360 Now,

00:54:01.560 I did write a

00:54:03.200 book on how to

00:54:03.900 think well,

00:54:04.880 which is very

00:54:05.660 critically praised.

00:54:07.160 So if you're

00:54:11.140 telling somebody

00:54:11.760 that they're not

00:54:15.540 good at thinking,

00:54:17.360 you should probably

00:54:18.380 talk to somebody

00:54:19.020 who didn't just

00:54:19.760 write a best-selling

00:54:20.580 book on how to

00:54:21.380 think better.

00:54:22.900 That would be a

00:54:23.600 good start.

00:54:24.660 So no, do I

00:54:25.660 think that I think

00:54:27.160 better than other

00:54:27.920 people?

00:54:28.840 I think that I

00:54:29.980 think it,

00:54:32.060 meaning that you

00:54:33.960 can see lots of

00:54:34.660 examples of it.

00:54:35.800 For example,

00:54:37.160 poor Blake.

00:54:39.240 Yeah, let me not

00:54:40.200 dunk on him 0.93

00:54:40.720 anymore.

00:54:41.540 All right, that's

00:54:41.940 all I got for now

00:54:42.580 and I will talk to

00:54:43.400 you all soon.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 27, 2021

Episode 1605 Scott Adams： Let's Fix Most of Societies Problems and Have Some Laughs Too

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