Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1608 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All the Things Our Government is Hiding From Us

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best damn thing that ever happened to you.

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00:00:22.840 Yeah.

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00:00:51.080 Oh, yeah.

00:00:53.820 Oh, ho, ho, ho, ho, ho, ho, ho.

00:00:55.980 Well, Rasmussen says, 44% of people are planning to make a New Year's resolution.

00:01:03.680 How about all of you?

00:01:05.220 Do you plan to make any New Year's resolutions?

00:01:08.980 Let me start you off with a resolutions advice.

00:01:14.820 It goes like this.

00:01:16.000 I would recommend one resolution.

00:01:20.920 You might have a few more that are unique to your situation.

00:01:25.560 But there's one resolution probably everybody should have,

00:01:28.840 which is to create a fitness system.

00:01:31.920 So don't work on a goal, and don't worry about number of pounds lost or muscle mass or anything

00:01:39.040 like that.

00:01:39.820 Just work on creating a system that works for you.

00:01:42.780 And the system would be, I'll give you some examples.

00:01:45.100 Let's say your problem is you can't find time to exercise.

00:01:51.500 So the system would be this.

00:01:53.640 Make sure that you're active every day.

00:01:56.220 Doesn't mean going to the gym.

00:01:57.820 Could be a long walk.

00:01:59.000 Could be cleaning the garage or cleaning the house or something.

00:02:01.900 But make sure you're active every day.

00:02:04.280 And that's your only system.

00:02:07.100 Be active every day.

00:02:08.860 Now, to be active every day and to have time, I recommend a few things.

00:02:12.740 Number one, if you can join any kind of an organized exercise group,

00:02:18.920 could be people riding bicycles, could be tennis players, whatever.

00:02:23.220 If you get into an organized group, it's easier to tell your loved ones

00:02:27.860 that there's a scheduled thing you have to go to.

00:02:31.040 It happens to be good for you.

00:02:32.200 It's exercise.

00:02:33.320 But if you say to your spouse, you know, I think I'll just go exercise,

00:02:38.420 and it's not a planned event,

00:02:41.380 sometimes you get the, well, wouldn't you rather do something with me?

00:02:46.620 Naturally, right?

00:02:47.800 So if you don't have a routine that your important, significant others

00:02:53.880 recognize as your routine,

00:02:56.180 you're going to have to negotiate every time you exercise.

00:02:59.640 Even if you're not talking about it, you're mentally negotiating.

00:03:03.840 It's like, uh, there's a bunch of stuff that needs to get done,

00:03:07.800 but I really need to exercise.

00:03:09.620 All of that uncertainty can be eliminated

00:03:13.040 by being the person who exercises every day at noon

00:03:16.220 or every day as soon as you get up

00:03:19.100 or every day as soon as you get back from work.

00:03:22.100 Whatever the standard is,

00:03:24.100 if you can set a standard,

00:03:26.380 it helps you manage the other people in your life.

00:03:30.040 Because if you're in a family,

00:03:31.060 other people are asking you for stuff all the time, right?

00:03:33.800 Can you drive me here?

00:03:35.140 Can you do this?

00:03:35.880 Can you look at that?

00:03:36.640 Help me lift this.

00:03:38.060 You're continually being brought into group activities,

00:03:41.540 and if you let yourself do that,

00:03:43.600 you'll never have time to exercise.

00:03:45.480 So system one is find a time that you can broadcast

00:03:49.120 or a system that you can broadcast to your loved ones

00:03:52.360 that says,

00:03:53.260 at this time, I do exercise.

00:03:55.900 Then you've got a much better chance

00:03:57.340 of just conditioning them to say,

00:03:58.960 oh, that's just his routine.

00:04:00.780 There's no reflection on us.

00:04:02.800 It has nothing to do with

00:04:03.840 whether he wants to be helpful or not helpful.

00:04:06.180 It's just his technique.

00:04:08.920 So that's one.

00:04:09.540 The other is I teach all the time,

00:04:11.280 which is if you don't feel like exercising,

00:04:13.600 because you usually don't,

00:04:16.360 if you don't feel like exercising,

00:04:18.520 put on your exercise clothes,

00:04:20.980 because that's not so hard.

00:04:22.560 But give yourself permission not to exercise.

00:04:24.600 Just put on your workout outfit,

00:04:28.580 and especially your footwear.

00:04:31.120 If you put on your athletic footwear

00:04:33.920 and your athletic clothes

00:04:35.340 and just hang around for a few minutes

00:04:37.440 and watch what happens,

00:04:40.240 the fact that you just associated the clothing

00:04:42.820 that usually is associated with being in the mood to exercise

00:04:46.940 can actually influence you.

00:04:49.000 And next thing you know, you're like,

00:04:50.180 well, maybe I can't go to the gym,

00:04:52.360 but I could certainly reorganize the garage.

00:04:56.280 You know, I'm dressed for it.

00:04:58.140 So use these little keys

00:05:00.080 to hypnotize yourself into doing it.

00:05:03.060 The other thing I do is give myself a reward,

00:05:06.140 literally a treat like a dog.

00:05:08.900 I give myself a dog treat,

00:05:10.720 except, you know, the human version,

00:05:12.620 after exercise.

00:05:14.180 In my case, I like to have maybe a protein shake

00:05:16.940 and a protein bar that I really like.

00:05:20.280 So I get a taste and food reward every time I exercise.

00:05:27.940 Over time, it actually makes a difference

00:05:30.560 because we can be conditioned just like animals.

00:05:34.980 So you give yourself a reward to make it your routine.

00:05:37.980 You have a system where there's some time to do it every day.

00:05:40.800 If you don't feel like it,

00:05:42.260 put on the clothes that make you feel like it.

00:05:46.200 And then, you know, you might join a gym,

00:05:47.920 you might find some friends to exercise,

00:05:49.620 or a whole bunch of other things you could do.

00:05:51.180 So my system doesn't have to be your system.

00:05:54.220 I'm giving you examples,

00:05:55.920 but I would ask you to do this.

00:05:59.160 Try a few things.

00:06:00.500 Try a few things from my list.

00:06:02.020 Try a few things you think of on your own.

00:06:03.880 But see if you can come up with a regular system

00:06:06.240 that protects your exercise requirement.

00:06:11.660 Got that?

00:06:12.200 If you do that one thing,

00:06:14.040 if you get fitness right,

00:06:16.060 fitness ripples into all the other elements of your life.

00:06:19.320 So it's the biggest lever.

00:06:21.640 We treat it like the smallest lever, don't we?

00:06:24.860 What's the first thing you skip if things get tense?

00:06:29.500 Like if you're really busy, got a lot to do,

00:06:32.140 what's the first thing you skip?

00:06:33.600 Exercise, right?

00:06:35.020 And sometimes eating right,

00:06:37.200 because you might have to grab some junk food.

00:06:39.520 But if you put them as a priority,

00:06:42.220 they ripple through everything else.

00:06:43.820 It's a real tough thing to do.

00:06:45.040 It's hard to wrap your mind around

00:06:46.900 making your selfish physicality your preference

00:06:51.500 when other people have demands for you.

00:06:53.420 It's really hard.

00:06:54.400 That's what the system will do.

00:06:55.580 It'll protect you from the outside demands a little bit.

00:07:00.220 That's your tip of the day.

00:07:01.400 Let's talk about Ghislaine Maxwell.

00:07:03.740 Found guilty on several counts of sex trafficking.

00:07:06.420 You've all heard it.

00:07:07.100 Looks like we will never see her little black book

00:07:09.580 and the records have been sealed

00:07:10.980 and the case is closed

00:07:12.780 and now that Epstein's dead

00:07:14.560 and Ghislaine is apparently not under any obligation

00:07:18.880 to tell anybody anything else.

00:07:21.740 Everything that they knew is now lost to us.

00:07:26.340 Maybe we'll find some other way in.

00:07:28.320 But at the moment,

00:07:30.200 everything that they know is lost to the public.

00:07:34.320 Or is it?

00:07:38.100 You might ask if there are any kind of secret deals

00:07:41.500 that have been made.

00:07:42.400 Don't know.

00:07:43.840 But let me ask you this.

00:07:49.020 In the comments,

00:07:50.920 can you list how many things are a problem for the public

00:07:54.820 because our government

00:07:56.380 or some element of the government

00:07:58.200 is intentionally and directly hiding information from you?

00:08:04.880 How many examples of that do we have right now?

00:08:08.640 Well, we have the election system, right?

00:08:11.420 Since the election system is not, by its design,

00:08:14.480 fully auditable,

00:08:16.620 you can automate,

00:08:17.760 I'm sorry,

00:08:18.180 you can audit portions of it,

00:08:20.500 you can recount ballots and stuff,

00:08:22.020 but when you get to the electronic part,

00:08:24.880 which is pretty central to the whole deal,

00:08:27.540 we don't have any access to that.

00:08:29.820 So the government hides from us

00:08:32.020 the mechanisms of the election.

00:08:38.380 It has lied to us about masks.

00:08:41.400 We know that.

00:08:42.960 Whether masks work or not is a different question.

00:08:46.000 But they lied to us about why they said it initially,

00:08:48.520 that you shouldn't have them, etc.

00:08:49.760 Now we've got the Ghislaine Maxwell thing,

00:08:52.640 and this information is being hidden again.

00:08:57.600 And recently,

00:09:01.700 Thomas Massey, Representative Massey,

00:09:04.880 was tweeting that he had Garland under oath.

00:09:10.940 Congress was asking Attorney General Garland some questions,

00:09:15.340 and one of the questions that Representative Massey asked

00:09:18.600 was how many federal employees

00:09:21.420 were involved with the January 6th protest.

00:09:27.040 And according to Massey,

00:09:29.700 Garland looked nervous.

00:09:31.620 Now that's subjective,

00:09:33.020 so use your own judgment

00:09:36.300 to know how much credibility to put on that.

00:09:39.060 But in his opinion,

00:09:41.000 Garland looked nervous

00:09:42.120 and refused to answer the question.

00:09:46.340 What?

00:09:48.260 The Attorney General refused to tell us

00:09:50.800 how many,

00:09:53.100 not if they were involved.

00:09:55.880 That wasn't the question if,

00:09:57.940 but how many

00:09:58.900 federal employees were involved

00:10:02.560 in either organizing or participating

00:10:05.200 in the January 6th protest?

00:10:08.740 Now,

00:10:10.260 start to put it all together.

00:10:11.980 Do you remember the theme

00:10:14.220 that I've been trying to persuade,

00:10:17.480 which is we've all been hypnotized

00:10:19.380 by the concept of

00:10:21.320 innocent until proven guilty.

00:10:24.080 That only applies to citizens

00:10:26.580 because the government's big and powerful,

00:10:29.320 and citizens need some kind of protection.

00:10:33.000 So we have that rule

00:10:33.900 that you've got to really prove it

00:10:35.860 or you can't put us in jail.

00:10:38.260 Makes sense.

00:10:40.020 Basically, everybody agrees with that rule.

00:10:42.000 There's nothing,

00:10:42.860 I don't think there's anything in our world

00:10:44.520 that's closer to 100% agreement

00:10:46.360 than innocent until proven guilty

00:10:49.040 as a standard for citizens.

00:10:51.680 But,

00:10:52.920 your government has somehow convinced you

00:10:55.160 that that applies to them.

00:10:57.580 Nope.

00:10:58.060 No.

00:11:00.000 It does not apply to a government.

00:11:02.200 A government's the opposite.

00:11:04.080 If the government is hiding information

00:11:05.980 from the public,

00:11:07.540 the presumption has to be guilt.

00:11:10.380 Doesn't mean they're guilty.

00:11:12.280 But the starting presumption has to be guilt

00:11:14.340 because otherwise you don't have

00:11:15.860 a workable system.

00:11:17.600 Your citizens should be absolutely obsessed

00:11:20.780 with getting information on transparency

00:11:23.940 about your government operations.

00:11:25.500 And the government can't hide behind

00:11:28.020 and, well, nothing's proven.

00:11:31.160 No, we don't have to prove it.

00:11:32.980 You have to prove you're not hiding

00:11:34.660 bad stuff from us

00:11:35.800 because you have the power to hide things.

00:11:39.080 And if you have that power,

00:11:41.220 you can just hide bad stuff.

00:11:43.880 And if anybody has the power

00:11:45.180 to hide bad stuff,

00:11:46.740 what are the odds

00:11:47.760 that bad stuff will happen?

00:11:49.260 100% over time.

00:11:52.460 You know, not on day one.

00:11:54.220 But if it's a big organization

00:11:55.760 with lots of power over people's lives,

00:11:58.020 lots of money involved,

00:11:59.400 and you can hide people's bad behavior,

00:12:02.800 there's not a question

00:12:04.660 about whether or not bad behavior will emerge.

00:12:08.360 It's guaranteed in the nature of human beings.

00:12:12.920 You couldn't get any other result.

00:12:15.800 And yet we act like,

00:12:16.740 oh, that's okay.

00:12:18.060 You know, we haven't proven it.

00:12:20.100 There's no direct evidence.

00:12:22.880 No, that's the wrong standard.

00:12:24.740 The government has to open the books.

00:12:27.040 You know, unless it's a state secret

00:12:28.580 that is a special case.

00:12:30.380 All right.

00:12:34.440 And until we get clear of that idea,

00:12:37.780 we will be forever in this little prison

00:12:39.640 where the government can do absolutely anything.

00:12:42.300 Anything it wants.

00:12:44.080 I mean, basically,

00:12:45.340 it's an invitation to, you know,

00:12:47.960 really bad abuse.

00:12:50.160 What did all of the people on the left say

00:12:52.960 when the people who believed

00:12:54.520 that the 2020 election was not legitimate,

00:12:57.420 what did they say

00:12:59.200 when people tried to take their case

00:13:02.020 to the courts,

00:13:03.700 which it turns out were the wrong vehicle

00:13:05.420 for deciding whether an election was accurate.

00:13:10.740 People said,

00:13:11.840 hey, you have not given us evidence

00:13:14.500 of anything bad, right?

00:13:17.640 And so the Democrats said,

00:13:20.160 presume innocence.

00:13:21.660 If you couldn't prove it in court,

00:13:24.020 I guess we have to presume the election was fair.

00:13:26.980 No.

00:13:27.460 No, that is a brainwashing operation.

00:13:33.300 Pure brainwashing.

00:13:35.000 The assumption of guilt

00:13:36.520 is your starting point,

00:13:39.740 not the assumption of innocence.

00:13:41.660 If you start with the assumption of innocence

00:13:44.020 for your government

00:13:44.940 when you can't check,

00:13:47.320 you're in big trouble.

00:13:49.360 And we all know that.

00:13:50.600 I'm not telling you something you don't know.

00:13:52.600 I'm not telling you something

00:13:53.600 that everyone doesn't know.

00:13:54.860 It's literally the most known thing in the world.

00:13:59.040 And we've somehow settled into this zombie-like state

00:14:02.400 where we say,

00:14:03.780 well, the government has,

00:14:06.280 we have no proof that the government

00:14:08.040 rigged the election,

00:14:10.180 therefore, I guess we're done here.

00:14:13.080 No.

00:14:14.420 No, you're not done here.

00:14:15.840 That's the start.

00:14:18.660 The start is,

00:14:19.820 where's our damn information?

00:14:21.700 Where's my auditable election?

00:14:23.980 Who's working on that?

00:14:25.720 Who's making it auditable?

00:14:27.160 If it wasn't before,

00:14:28.540 who's working on it now?

00:14:30.460 I don't know.

00:14:31.860 Why don't I know that?

00:14:32.780 So we have to be far more brutal

00:14:37.600 as citizens

00:14:39.460 on our government

00:14:41.320 to just get rid of this illusion

00:14:44.060 that the government

00:14:45.640 is innocent until proven guilty.

00:14:48.320 No.

00:14:49.840 No, no, no, and no.

00:14:51.600 You are guilty

00:14:52.620 until proven innocent.

00:14:55.260 It's only the other way for citizens.

00:14:58.440 All right.

00:14:59.300 And so this whole Ghislaine Maxwell thing,

00:15:01.080 I have no evidence

00:15:02.560 that any high-level government people

00:15:05.900 were involved in this

00:15:07.580 in a way that if we knew their secrets,

00:15:09.840 it would be very, very bad.

00:15:12.040 I have no evidence of that.

00:15:14.640 But I presume,

00:15:16.720 because my government

00:15:17.720 is hiding it from me,

00:15:19.260 I presume guilt.

00:15:20.460 I just don't know the names.

00:15:22.620 But I presume guilt.

00:15:24.500 You'd be an idiot

00:15:25.460 to presume otherwise, really.

00:15:26.920 It doesn't mean you're right.

00:15:28.760 A presumption doesn't mean accuracy.

00:15:30.460 But it's your starting presumption.

00:15:33.100 It has to be.

00:15:34.320 Otherwise, you're just lost, really.

00:15:38.000 Well, let's test my predicting record here.

00:15:42.720 The CDC came out

00:15:43.880 and admitted directly,

00:15:46.640 and Fauci said this too, I think,

00:15:48.140 that taking the quarantine time

00:15:50.280 down from 10 to 5

00:15:52.040 wasn't just based on medical information.

00:15:56.000 It was based on how they thought

00:15:58.380 they could manage the public.

00:16:00.440 And they thought that 10 days

00:16:01.640 was more than the public could handle,

00:16:04.620 but they might be able

00:16:05.680 to get away with 5.

00:16:07.860 Who was the first public figure

00:16:10.540 who told you that all they were doing

00:16:13.260 is managing the public,

00:16:14.420 and it wasn't based on a medical,

00:16:18.220 you know, new medical data?

00:16:20.040 Who told you that?

00:16:21.880 Me.

00:16:22.120 Yeah, I think I'm the first person to say it.

00:16:24.580 Because while I am no expert on virology,

00:16:29.180 and I think that's clear,

00:16:30.860 and in fact, I am no expert on a lot of things,

00:16:34.140 but if it's a situation

00:16:35.700 about how a bureaucracy

00:16:37.120 is managing the downtrodden subservient masses, 1.00

00:16:43.920 I'm pretty good at that.

00:16:45.300 That is my whole career,

00:16:47.320 is looking at bureaucratic decisions

00:16:49.880 and the real reasons behind them.

00:16:52.640 So that's pretty much all I do

00:16:54.280 for the last 30 years

00:16:56.000 is look at management decisions

00:16:58.760 and make fun of them.

00:17:00.140 So this one, when it went from 10 to 5,

00:17:02.200 and they didn't back it up immediately with data,

00:17:05.540 there was just,

00:17:06.160 oh, it's obvious, this new data

00:17:07.460 takes it down from 10 to 5.

00:17:09.840 It was kind of obvious

00:17:11.240 that they were responding to,

00:17:13.960 not the February 1 date,

00:17:15.800 because I don't know

00:17:16.480 if any of them have heard it,

00:17:17.880 but responding to the fact

00:17:19.720 that the public was,

00:17:21.100 the dam was starting to break,

00:17:23.620 you can see it, right?

00:17:24.740 The public was starting to power up

00:17:28.140 and still is.

00:17:30.680 You can feel it in real time, can't you?

00:17:33.200 Now, I've been telling you

00:17:34.040 that the government gets to lead things

00:17:35.840 until the public says,

00:17:38.920 okay, now you're done,

00:17:40.460 if they do.

00:17:41.220 They don't always do that.

00:17:42.500 But you can see that, you know,

00:17:43.480 the government's in control,

00:17:45.300 as it should be

00:17:45.980 at the beginning of any emergency.

00:17:47.860 But you're watching the public

00:17:49.080 go from,

00:17:51.700 you know,

00:17:52.100 you're telling us a little bit now,

00:17:54.100 we're getting a little smarter,

00:17:56.100 okay, the monopoly of information

00:17:58.200 you used to have,

00:17:59.160 it's getting smaller,

00:18:01.200 we kind of know what you know

00:18:02.900 at this point,

00:18:03.820 actually,

00:18:04.980 we might know more than you know,

00:18:06.480 because it looks like

00:18:07.220 you're lying to us at this point.

00:18:08.640 All right.

00:18:11.880 So that's what's happening.

00:18:13.000 The curves are clearly going to cross.

00:18:16.500 So when the public feels informed enough,

00:18:20.100 and we're pretty close to it,

00:18:21.740 even though we're poorly informed,

00:18:23.500 if we feel informed enough,

00:18:26.380 and we don't think the government

00:18:27.660 is serving us,

00:18:28.540 and it isn't,

00:18:29.260 because it's the wrong tool

00:18:30.320 for deciding which citizens live and die

00:18:32.820 in a non-war environment,

00:18:35.220 the public's just going to have to take control.

00:18:37.280 And it's happening.

00:18:37.880 So I'm way less concerned

00:18:41.940 than a lot of you are

00:18:42.900 about the pandemic lasts forever,

00:18:45.700 and it's all some plot

00:18:47.740 to keep us locked down.

00:18:49.040 Because I would assume

00:18:49.940 that the government had that power,

00:18:52.060 and I don't see any evidence of that.

00:18:54.160 I only see evidence

00:18:55.680 that the government has power

00:18:56.940 when the citizens

00:18:57.820 are not terribly involved.

00:19:00.600 But with the lockdowns

00:19:02.680 and the mandates and stuff,

00:19:04.000 the citizens are very involved.

00:19:05.720 You know, there's nobody

00:19:07.700 sending this one out,

00:19:08.860 at least opinion-wise, right?

00:19:10.960 So when you put

00:19:11.740 that many citizens involved,

00:19:14.900 it's not the government's decision.

00:19:17.300 You know, I watched with amusement

00:19:20.560 as some European countries

00:19:22.620 were doing their protests.

00:19:25.080 You saw the mass protests

00:19:26.420 against the mandates

00:19:27.400 in their countries.

00:19:29.320 And did you wonder

00:19:30.780 why you didn't see that

00:19:32.000 in the United States?

00:19:33.560 Did anybody wonder?

00:19:34.300 Like, why is France

00:19:36.600 all up in arms?

00:19:38.280 You know, it seems like

00:19:39.160 several other European countries

00:19:40.720 were going nuts.

00:19:42.560 And the United States, weirdly,

00:19:44.660 had not taken to the streets.

00:19:47.080 Can you explain that?

00:19:49.720 Well, I don't have

00:19:50.600 a full explanation,

00:19:51.520 but I'll give you a few variables

00:19:53.080 that would be interesting.

00:19:54.580 What would that street look like?

00:19:56.920 Imagine that all of the people

00:19:58.460 who are most, let's say,

00:20:00.460 concerned about mandated vaccinations

00:20:02.660 or mandated anything.

00:20:04.580 If all the people most concerned

00:20:06.640 hit the streets,

00:20:07.800 what would it look like?

00:20:10.040 It would be MAGA hats

00:20:11.740 and black people.

00:20:16.000 Right?

00:20:17.140 Because those are two groups

00:20:18.500 that are sort of against mandates

00:20:21.300 and against vaccination mandates,

00:20:22.860 specifically.

00:20:23.300 So, could you really have a protest

00:20:26.800 that was half MAGA people

00:20:28.580 and half black Americans?

00:20:31.900 I don't know.

00:20:32.940 I mean, you have to think

00:20:34.480 that there's at least

00:20:35.560 a little bit of friction

00:20:37.500 keeping that kind of activity

00:20:40.520 from coming together,

00:20:41.720 you know,

00:20:42.180 the history, etc.

00:20:44.040 So that may be one reason.

00:20:45.880 But let me tell you

00:20:46.840 the other reason.

00:20:48.980 Guns.

00:20:49.540 I think guns

00:20:52.260 are the reason

00:20:53.180 that the United States

00:20:54.180 has not mass-formed

00:20:57.760 some kind of protest

00:20:58.880 the way other European countries have.

00:21:01.780 And here's my thinking.

00:21:04.200 Guns make you more confident

00:21:05.660 that in the end,

00:21:08.260 you win.

00:21:09.840 You know what I mean?

00:21:11.220 If you didn't have guns

00:21:12.680 to know that in the end

00:21:14.580 you're going to win,

00:21:16.040 you'd get a little worked up right now.

00:21:17.720 Like, you'd be all riled up

00:21:20.020 because you'd be like,

00:21:21.100 ah, shit, we've got to do something.

00:21:22.220 We've got to do something now.

00:21:23.800 But this is just a hypothesis.

00:21:25.900 So I'll just put it out there.

00:21:27.080 If, you know,

00:21:27.640 I don't have a ton of confidence

00:21:29.240 in this one,

00:21:29.960 but I think it's interesting.

00:21:31.260 I feel that Americans

00:21:33.100 are confident

00:21:34.080 that in the end,

00:21:37.000 when everybody has enough information

00:21:38.920 and it's time to make

00:21:40.540 the final move,

00:21:42.280 whatever that looks like.

00:21:43.780 I'll call it the final move

00:21:45.140 just for conversation.

00:21:46.560 that whatever the result

00:21:48.600 of all this pandemic stuff is,

00:21:50.420 you know,

00:21:51.180 the end product,

00:21:53.380 that when the American public

00:21:54.880 decide that they're ready

00:21:56.460 to make the decision,

00:21:58.120 they're not going to have

00:21:59.260 to take out their guns.

00:22:01.500 I don't think that any guns

00:22:02.820 will be brandished

00:22:03.620 in this process.

00:22:05.060 I just think that we're confident

00:22:06.760 that nobody can take

00:22:08.360 that power from us.

00:22:10.520 Does anybody feel that way?

00:22:12.380 Because I looked at the,

00:22:14.020 you know,

00:22:14.320 the mass protests

00:22:15.100 and other places

00:22:15.760 and I thought,

00:22:16.700 they look like powerless people

00:22:18.340 trying to get power.

00:22:20.560 In other words,

00:22:21.160 they formed groups

00:22:22.220 to create power

00:22:23.940 that they felt

00:22:24.580 they didn't have individually.

00:22:26.760 But I just don't know

00:22:28.020 that we feel that way

00:22:28.940 in the United States

00:22:29.780 because of guns.

00:22:32.280 Am I wrong?

00:22:34.440 I'm looking at your comments

00:22:35.600 to see if anybody's,

00:22:36.640 like, feeling this.

00:22:37.380 I mean,

00:22:39.800 I can't think of any situation

00:22:41.520 where you wouldn't be

00:22:42.460 more confident

00:22:43.140 if you had a gun.

00:22:44.900 I mean,

00:22:45.160 you might be worried

00:22:45.780 about shooting yourself

00:22:46.640 or something,

00:22:47.240 but,

00:22:47.940 you know,

00:22:51.020 don't you have confidence?

00:22:54.320 Well,

00:22:54.560 let me ask you this way.

00:22:55.620 Don't you have confidence

00:22:56.680 that the public

00:22:58.480 will control

00:23:00.320 what happens

00:23:01.040 with the pandemic outcome?

00:23:02.880 For the most part,

00:23:04.160 in terms of the big stuff.

00:23:05.500 Do you have confidence in that?

00:23:08.020 Because I do.

00:23:09.360 A hundred percent.

00:23:10.780 I don't have any doubt.

00:23:12.940 You know,

00:23:13.360 it's taking way longer

00:23:14.620 than we wanted,

00:23:15.520 right?

00:23:16.540 But it took longer

00:23:18.660 with reasons.

00:23:20.220 It didn't take longer

00:23:21.440 without reasons.

00:23:22.600 You can argue with reasons,

00:23:24.040 and I do.

00:23:25.300 We all do, actually.

00:23:26.380 We all have some part of it

00:23:27.600 we're arguing with, right?

00:23:28.940 But we also accept

00:23:30.600 that leadership

00:23:31.900 is a flawed process.

00:23:33.500 process.

00:23:35.540 And,

00:23:36.100 as I said on,

00:23:38.780 you know,

00:23:39.200 almost day one

00:23:40.180 of the pandemic,

00:23:41.640 we should give our leaders

00:23:44.000 a break in advance.

00:23:46.500 Because they're going

00:23:47.400 to be guessing.

00:23:48.660 We need somebody to guess

00:23:50.200 because you can't do nothing.

00:23:52.240 Right?

00:23:52.700 You've got to take your shot,

00:23:53.880 see what happens,

00:23:54.660 adjust,

00:23:55.380 take your shot,

00:23:56.200 adjust,

00:23:56.620 take your shot.

00:23:57.480 And for that,

00:23:57.960 you need leaders.

00:23:59.260 Because the public

00:24:00.160 wouldn't know

00:24:00.740 what shot to take,

00:24:01.700 when,

00:24:02.220 blah, blah, blah.

00:24:03.320 So,

00:24:03.900 a lot of leaders

00:24:05.560 took a lot of shots.

00:24:07.400 Some the same,

00:24:08.420 some different.

00:24:09.420 But they couldn't have known

00:24:10.680 what was the right decision.

00:24:12.020 There just wasn't always

00:24:13.380 the right information

00:24:14.160 for that.

00:24:15.480 And,

00:24:15.940 so now we're seeing

00:24:17.360 the outcome of that.

00:24:18.940 Would you say

00:24:19.820 that my initial

00:24:20.880 weird,

00:24:23.100 weird prediction

00:24:24.000 that you wouldn't

00:24:25.800 be able to tell

00:24:26.520 the difference

00:24:27.100 in leadership

00:24:27.920 by the final day

00:24:30.660 of all of this,

00:24:31.780 if there is such a thing,

00:24:33.540 that you wouldn't

00:24:34.220 be able to look back

00:24:35.080 and say,

00:24:35.480 oh,

00:24:35.640 that was good leadership?

00:24:37.660 So you could tell

00:24:38.340 that that country

00:24:38.960 did well

00:24:39.540 because of their leadership.

00:24:41.300 Did anybody believe me

00:24:42.820 when I said that?

00:24:44.660 Because that's,

00:24:45.180 if you think about it,

00:24:46.400 do you feel how radical

00:24:47.420 that prediction was?

00:24:50.440 That there were,

00:24:51.360 like,

00:24:51.700 how many hundreds

00:24:52.700 of countries

00:24:53.220 and that you

00:24:55.180 wouldn't find

00:24:55.720 any countries

00:24:56.440 that you could

00:24:56.900 identify leadership

00:24:57.880 as the reason

00:24:58.780 that they did well?

00:25:00.860 Didn't you think

00:25:01.620 that was crazy?

00:25:03.680 And then you watched,

00:25:04.600 you watched that

00:25:05.400 right in front of you.

00:25:07.160 You watched that develop

00:25:08.340 right in front of you.

00:25:10.280 The,

00:25:10.920 anyway.

00:25:16.040 So,

00:25:16.940 let's see what else

00:25:18.400 is going on.

00:25:19.580 Germany is closing

00:25:20.700 three of its last six

00:25:24.160 remaining nuclear reactors.

00:25:26.100 So,

00:25:26.500 the same time

00:25:27.100 that Germany

00:25:27.580 is closing

00:25:28.240 their nuclear reactors,

00:25:29.640 which most other

00:25:30.680 countries and experts,

00:25:32.360 and in this country,

00:25:33.280 both Democrats

00:25:33.980 and Republicans,

00:25:35.340 by a majority,

00:25:36.400 I think,

00:25:37.300 are pro-nuclear

00:25:38.160 as really the

00:25:39.420 best way

00:25:41.220 to get through

00:25:42.780 climate change risk.

00:25:45.980 And then some

00:25:46.680 at the right

00:25:47.040 would say,

00:25:47.960 well,

00:25:48.100 it's also just

00:25:48.640 the best energy source

00:25:49.780 that we have going.

00:25:50.700 so climate change

00:25:52.180 is just a bonus.

00:25:53.180 But you have lots

00:25:53.760 of people

00:25:54.060 who are pro-nuclear,

00:25:55.500 and a lot of that

00:25:56.480 happened just

00:25:57.160 in the last year or two,

00:25:58.720 thanks to a lot

00:26:01.340 of great activism.

00:26:03.940 Michael Schellenberger,

00:26:05.300 Mark Schneider,

00:26:06.120 you know some of the people

00:26:07.160 who made a big difference,

00:26:08.060 I think,

00:26:08.580 in the least public opinion

00:26:09.700 in the United States.

00:26:12.060 But at the same time

00:26:13.080 that Germany

00:26:13.480 is shutting down

00:26:14.180 nuclear reactors,

00:26:16.740 they are becoming

00:26:17.560 dependent on Russia

00:26:18.780 for energy.

00:26:20.260 Am I right?

00:26:22.600 So the two things

00:26:23.880 we know Germany

00:26:24.560 is doing

00:26:25.040 is reducing

00:26:25.780 their own ability

00:26:26.700 to create energy.

00:26:29.140 You know,

00:26:29.380 they're going to

00:26:29.820 substitute green sources,

00:26:31.420 but we know

00:26:31.840 they're less reliable.

00:26:32.940 At the same time,

00:26:33.780 they're increasing

00:26:34.380 dependence

00:26:35.020 on Russia.

00:26:37.520 Am I wrong

00:26:39.960 that that's the worst idea

00:26:41.200 I've ever heard

00:26:41.780 in my life?

00:26:44.380 That feels

00:26:45.500 so incompetent.

00:26:47.240 If our government

00:26:48.340 did this,

00:26:50.600 maybe it is.

00:26:51.740 Maybe it is

00:26:52.520 doing something

00:26:53.000 similarly dumb.

00:26:55.720 I don't know

00:26:56.480 what to say about this.

00:26:57.960 You know,

00:26:59.160 I suppose history

00:27:00.520 could prove them

00:27:01.260 correct in the end.

00:27:02.220 We'd all be surprised.

00:27:03.780 But on paper,

00:27:05.340 it doesn't even look

00:27:06.000 like it's a good play.

00:27:07.960 You know,

00:27:08.260 I'm always in favor

00:27:09.160 of A-B testing, right?

00:27:10.860 Well, test it.

00:27:11.960 You never know.

00:27:13.100 Find out if it works.

00:27:13.980 If it does,

00:27:14.640 do more of it.

00:27:15.860 But this is not

00:27:16.880 one of those cases.

00:27:19.060 I think this just

00:27:20.160 looks like a mistake.

00:27:22.920 Now,

00:27:23.380 it could turn out

00:27:24.040 that the power plants

00:27:25.620 are closing down

00:27:26.360 and have some

00:27:26.760 special situation.

00:27:28.540 So before I get,

00:27:30.000 before I do

00:27:30.620 what I always

00:27:31.240 criticize other people

00:27:32.260 for doing,

00:27:33.320 which is making

00:27:34.140 a big opinion

00:27:34.940 before you know

00:27:35.520 all the facts,

00:27:36.080 let's not rule out

00:27:38.180 that maybe

00:27:39.400 those three

00:27:40.120 that they're closing

00:27:40.940 have something

00:27:42.260 special going on

00:27:43.300 that makes them

00:27:43.860 a little less

00:27:44.860 economical

00:27:45.500 or a little less

00:27:46.440 dangerous

00:27:46.840 or a little more

00:27:47.480 dangerous

00:27:47.840 than something else.

00:27:48.760 I don't know.

00:27:50.040 I'm open to the

00:27:51.160 other side of it.

00:27:54.080 So CNN

00:27:54.960 was rocked

00:27:56.380 by these

00:27:57.020 sex crime

00:27:57.980 allegations,

00:27:58.900 not just adults

00:28:00.020 allegedly doing

00:28:02.260 things with

00:28:03.040 non-consultant

00:28:03.880 consenting adults.

00:28:05.480 That would be

00:28:06.080 Cuomo and

00:28:06.960 Don Lemon

00:28:07.520 have accusations

00:28:08.660 against them.

00:28:09.720 Alleged.

00:28:10.540 I don't know

00:28:10.980 the truth of any

00:28:11.620 of that.

00:28:11.940 But there are

00:28:14.080 do me a fact

00:28:15.100 check.

00:28:15.480 Are there

00:28:16.380 two

00:28:17.000 CNN

00:28:18.280 producers

00:28:19.020 who are

00:28:20.100 alleged

00:28:20.560 to be

00:28:21.500 pedophiles?

00:28:23.000 Do I have

00:28:23.740 the number

00:28:24.040 right?

00:28:24.660 It's two,

00:28:25.140 right?

00:28:25.980 Now,

00:28:27.320 you could say

00:28:28.020 two points

00:28:28.920 draws a line.

00:28:31.660 But here's

00:28:32.520 the thing.

00:28:33.680 How unusual

00:28:34.520 would it be

00:28:35.240 to have two

00:28:35.920 producers

00:28:36.460 working at

00:28:37.160 one entity

00:28:38.160 who are

00:28:38.860 pedophiles?

00:28:40.040 Not terribly

00:28:41.220 unlikely.

00:28:41.940 But what are

00:28:43.240 the odds

00:28:43.560 they would

00:28:43.820 both sort

00:28:44.880 of surface

00:28:45.380 at nearly

00:28:46.480 the same

00:28:46.940 time?

00:28:48.520 That makes

00:28:49.200 it a little

00:28:49.600 more likely

00:28:50.840 that they're

00:28:51.460 not the only

00:28:51.960 ones,

00:28:52.380 wouldn't you

00:28:52.720 say?

00:28:53.540 It wouldn't

00:28:54.220 be super

00:28:55.240 unlikely for

00:28:56.020 a big

00:28:56.300 organization

00:28:56.880 to have

00:28:57.200 two pedos,

00:28:58.600 would it?

00:28:59.120 Unfortunately,

00:28:59.820 not.

00:29:01.060 I don't know

00:29:01.580 what the

00:29:01.800 ratio of

00:29:02.460 pedos to

00:29:03.080 the public

00:29:03.460 is,

00:29:03.960 but take

00:29:05.260 a guess.

00:29:05.960 What would

00:29:06.280 be the ratio

00:29:06.800 of pedophiles

00:29:07.560 to the public?

00:29:08.800 Under 5%?

00:29:10.100 Well, it's

00:29:12.220 probably a

00:29:12.640 shockingly

00:29:13.080 big number

00:29:13.640 no matter

00:29:14.000 how small

00:29:14.500 it is,

00:29:14.860 right?

00:29:15.500 Like, if I

00:29:15.940 say 2%,

00:29:16.580 it's going

00:29:16.960 to be

00:29:17.360 shockingly

00:29:17.900 horrifying.

00:29:19.540 Well, let's

00:29:19.820 say 1%.

00:29:20.500 So if you

00:29:21.960 had 200

00:29:22.380 people working

00:29:23.120 at CNN,

00:29:24.740 on average,

00:29:26.300 two pedos.

00:29:27.180 Wouldn't

00:29:27.440 matter what

00:29:27.840 the organization

00:29:28.360 was, right?

00:29:29.240 So the fact

00:29:29.980 that we found

00:29:30.540 two, by

00:29:32.840 itself, not

00:29:34.740 that important,

00:29:35.620 but the

00:29:37.200 fact that

00:29:37.580 they were

00:29:37.860 found at

00:29:38.400 around the

00:29:38.980 same time

00:29:39.680 adds a

00:29:41.980 little bit

00:29:42.360 of statistical

00:29:43.280 unlikelihood,

00:29:45.640 if that

00:29:46.400 makes any

00:29:46.820 sense,

00:29:47.640 that it's

00:29:48.440 just a

00:29:48.860 coincidence.

00:29:50.040 But it

00:29:50.380 still could

00:29:50.780 be.

00:29:51.500 It still

00:29:51.920 could be

00:29:52.300 completely

00:29:52.820 just a

00:29:53.280 coincidence.

00:29:54.980 So, yeah,

00:29:56.240 there are

00:29:56.560 thousands of

00:29:57.100 people working

00:29:57.540 for CNN,

00:29:58.160 of course,

00:29:58.520 not just

00:29:59.100 hundreds.

00:30:00.360 But every

00:30:04.160 time that we

00:30:04.840 get closer to

00:30:06.040 something that

00:30:07.000 Q was

00:30:08.840 predicting,

00:30:09.900 it's just

00:30:10.560 worth calling

00:30:11.100 out for the

00:30:11.660 fun of it.

00:30:13.980 So, as

00:30:14.880 you know,

00:30:15.240 there were

00:30:15.560 elements of

00:30:16.680 the far

00:30:17.320 right and

00:30:17.820 maybe some

00:30:18.260 Q believers 1.00

00:30:19.020 who believed

00:30:20.120 there was

00:30:20.360 some kind

00:30:20.740 of organized

00:30:21.560 pedo ring

00:30:22.560 that had

00:30:24.020 government

00:30:24.580 power of

00:30:25.260 some sort.

00:30:26.100 Am I

00:30:26.320 saying it

00:30:27.060 right?

00:30:28.000 Can

00:30:28.260 somebody

00:30:28.600 give me

00:30:28.860 a fact

00:30:29.160 check on

00:30:29.540 that?

00:30:30.140 Is that

00:30:30.440 roughly

00:30:31.140 the idea

00:30:32.440 that there

00:30:32.880 were shadowy,

00:30:34.300 maybe

00:30:34.680 Democrat,

00:30:35.680 maybe not,

00:30:36.360 I don't

00:30:36.480 know,

00:30:37.160 shadowy people

00:30:38.300 in the

00:30:38.640 government or

00:30:39.340 at least

00:30:39.640 in power

00:30:40.280 adjacent to

00:30:42.100 the government

00:30:42.580 and that

00:30:43.760 they were

00:30:44.000 organized and

00:30:45.140 that there

00:30:45.420 were pedos.

00:30:46.140 And there

00:30:46.260 were a lot

00:30:46.600 of them.

00:30:47.780 Now,

00:30:48.760 as I've

00:30:50.400 said,

00:30:51.700 since that

00:30:52.220 would involve

00:30:52.720 individuals,

00:30:54.660 they are

00:30:55.260 presumed

00:30:55.900 innocent until

00:30:56.500 proven guilty.

00:30:57.760 That's the

00:30:58.880 standard that

00:30:59.440 we all agree

00:30:59.920 on, as

00:31:01.000 tough as it

00:31:01.560 is.

00:31:01.800 And,

00:31:03.440 yeah,

00:31:03.820 you know,

00:31:04.120 you have

00:31:04.320 lots of

00:31:04.720 anecdotal,

00:31:05.760 you know,

00:31:06.020 I know,

00:31:06.580 I'm seeing

00:31:06.940 the Podestas

00:31:07.980 being named

00:31:08.500 there.

00:31:09.120 Again,

00:31:09.560 these are

00:31:09.840 all allegations

00:31:10.520 and you

00:31:11.380 have to be

00:31:11.740 careful because

00:31:12.380 most allegations

00:31:13.380 that are that

00:31:14.920 sensational turn

00:31:15.780 out to be

00:31:16.260 false.

00:31:17.740 Right?

00:31:18.220 If you were

00:31:18.680 to look at

00:31:19.140 sensational

00:31:20.180 allegations in

00:31:21.260 general,

00:31:22.520 unless you have

00:31:23.260 video or

00:31:23.800 something,

00:31:24.140 they're usually

00:31:24.520 false because

00:31:25.920 they're sensational.

00:31:27.080 There's a

00:31:27.640 direct correlation

00:31:28.720 between how

00:31:29.960 sensational the

00:31:30.880 claim is and

00:31:31.560 how unlikely

00:31:32.180 it is.

00:31:33.680 Now, the

00:31:34.240 exceptions are

00:31:34.900 you actually

00:31:35.720 have solid

00:31:36.280 evidence of

00:31:36.880 it, and

00:31:37.520 then that's

00:31:37.980 a different

00:31:38.240 situation.

00:31:40.320 All right.

00:31:42.760 So, there's

00:31:44.520 no evidence

00:31:45.020 that anything

00:31:45.560 is organized,

00:31:47.440 but let me

00:31:47.960 ask you this.

00:31:48.860 How many

00:31:49.380 producers as

00:31:50.700 CNN would

00:31:51.360 it take,

00:31:52.440 especially if

00:31:53.100 they're producers

00:31:53.680 for the bigger

00:31:55.240 shows, how

00:31:56.360 many pedo

00:31:57.700 producers would

00:31:58.460 take, before

00:32:00.300 the reason for

00:32:01.300 being anti-Trump

00:32:02.400 looks like it's

00:32:03.880 because Trump

00:32:04.540 was so anti-pedo?

00:32:08.220 You have to

00:32:09.100 start wondering.

00:32:10.320 Now, two is

00:32:10.820 not enough, but

00:32:12.920 it's close to

00:32:13.420 enough.

00:32:14.680 If you had two

00:32:15.500 major producers,

00:32:16.720 and I don't

00:32:17.060 know if they

00:32:17.880 were major

00:32:18.320 enough, but if

00:32:19.560 you had two

00:32:19.980 producers on a

00:32:20.940 news program

00:32:21.700 that is anti-MAGA,

00:32:25.120 and MAGA is

00:32:26.220 almost branded as

00:32:27.880 being anti-pedo,

00:32:30.420 right?

00:32:30.720 Or at least a

00:32:31.400 lot of the big

00:32:33.220 names were

00:32:35.080 associated with

00:32:35.880 the right, even

00:32:36.460 if they don't

00:32:36.980 associate themselves

00:32:37.860 with the right.

00:32:41.520 So, you have to

00:32:42.440 ask yourself, was

00:32:43.320 CNN's coverage of

00:32:44.600 Trump in general

00:32:45.780 influenced by the

00:32:47.480 fact that pedophiles

00:32:48.900 have some influence

00:32:49.880 on what the news

00:32:50.520 is?

00:32:51.720 What do you

00:32:52.220 think?

00:32:52.420 Because we

00:32:54.560 don't live in a

00:32:55.160 world where

00:32:55.600 people, you

00:32:56.180 know, analyze the

00:32:57.220 facts and the

00:32:57.840 reason.

00:32:58.680 They have emotional

00:32:59.800 reasons for whatever

00:33:00.640 they do, and then

00:33:01.420 they justify it

00:33:02.480 after the fact.

00:33:03.520 But you could

00:33:04.460 explain everything

00:33:06.480 that CNN has

00:33:07.400 done about his

00:33:09.500 Trump and MAGA

00:33:10.480 coverage by just

00:33:12.080 saying, yeah, that's

00:33:12.920 exactly what you

00:33:13.740 would do if you

00:33:14.600 were a network of

00:33:15.640 pedophiles.

00:33:17.160 No evidence that

00:33:18.280 that exists, right?

00:33:19.340 Let me be clear.

00:33:20.000 There's no evidence

00:33:21.160 of a network of

00:33:22.180 pedophiles anywhere.

00:33:24.100 I mean, not

00:33:24.780 anywhere.

00:33:25.420 There's no evidence

00:33:26.060 of a network of

00:33:27.080 pedophiles as CNN.

00:33:28.980 There are two

00:33:29.860 alleged cases, just

00:33:31.220 to be clear.

00:33:35.600 But you can't

00:33:36.560 ignore the fact that

00:33:37.700 the way they acted

00:33:38.660 would be completely

00:33:41.240 predictable if they

00:33:43.120 were run by a

00:33:45.120 rig of pedophiles.

00:33:46.740 You'd get exactly

00:33:47.800 the same outcome

00:33:48.580 as what we saw.

00:33:50.000 Now, there are

00:33:51.600 other reasons, right?

00:33:52.680 They could just

00:33:53.120 have TDS.

00:33:54.360 That would explain

00:33:55.120 everything, too.

00:33:56.520 All right.

00:33:57.900 Pat Sajak, you

00:33:59.340 know Pat Sajak

00:34:00.180 from Wheel of

00:34:01.620 Fortune?

00:34:02.220 Yeah, he had a

00:34:02.820 funny tweet.

00:34:03.940 He tweeted today,

00:34:04.820 I'm resigning my

00:34:05.680 position as CNN.

00:34:07.500 I don't actually

00:34:08.160 work there, so it's

00:34:09.120 really preemptive.

00:34:11.420 I don't know.

00:34:12.320 There's just something

00:34:13.160 the way he worded

00:34:13.980 that damn tweet that

00:34:15.360 made me laugh for

00:34:16.120 ten minutes.

00:34:17.520 I guess it's this

00:34:18.200 last part.

00:34:18.700 I don't actually

00:34:20.080 work there, so it's

00:34:20.780 really preemptive.

00:34:22.900 CNN is so bad that

00:34:24.000 people are resigning

00:34:24.720 before they get

00:34:25.700 hired, even without

00:34:27.760 any chance of being

00:34:29.200 hired.

00:34:30.380 And so I said,

00:34:31.800 finally, the leader

00:34:32.760 we deserve, Pat Sajak.

00:34:36.700 And I'm all in behind

00:34:38.140 his leadership, so I,

00:34:39.440 too, would like to

00:34:40.160 announce, and this is

00:34:42.340 an official announcement,

00:34:43.180 that I am resigning

00:34:44.520 from CNN.

00:34:46.000 I've never worked

00:34:46.700 there, but like Pat

00:34:48.520 Sajak, I think you

00:34:49.380 have to be preemptive

00:34:50.260 on this one.

00:34:51.380 You don't want to

00:34:52.380 accidentally slide into

00:34:53.520 working there.

00:34:54.240 You want to stop that

00:34:55.340 shit as soon as you

00:34:57.200 think about it.

00:34:58.780 I met Pat Sajak once.

00:35:01.680 Interesting story.

00:35:02.620 I was once on Wheel of

00:35:03.640 Fortune, but it was a

00:35:06.020 local traveling version

00:35:07.780 they did.

00:35:08.200 It was still Pat and

00:35:10.020 Pat Sajak and Vanna

00:35:11.640 White. 0.81

00:35:12.520 So I got to meet

00:35:13.680 them.

00:35:14.060 It was like a little

00:35:14.800 local celebrity one.

00:35:17.620 And Pat Sajak was

00:35:19.300 nice.

00:35:20.340 Nice guy.

00:35:21.580 Anyway, just to clean

00:35:27.280 up this CNN point,

00:35:29.740 didn't the CNN

00:35:30.480 coverage always seem

00:35:31.500 personal?

00:35:33.740 Didn't it have that

00:35:34.680 feel to it?

00:35:35.400 It didn't even feel

00:35:36.140 like they were talking

00:35:36.760 about the news.

00:35:38.200 It just felt like it

00:35:38.860 was a bunch of people

00:35:40.500 who were mad at

00:35:41.500 somebody.

00:35:43.940 And maybe the

00:35:45.300 producers are part of

00:35:47.360 that reason.

00:35:48.720 So yesterday I had all

00:35:50.220 this happy-sounding

00:35:51.580 optimistic news about

00:35:52.600 this drug fluvoxamine as

00:35:55.000 a treatment, potential

00:35:56.300 treatment, not validated

00:35:58.640 by randomized controlled

00:35:59.960 trials.

00:36:01.040 But it looks like it

00:36:02.360 might have indication for

00:36:03.720 treating COVID

00:36:05.020 successfully.

00:36:06.240 And then I hear today

00:36:07.180 that it's really hard

00:36:08.660 to get off it.

00:36:09.400 So I don't know if

00:36:11.160 10 days of this drug

00:36:13.180 would give you

00:36:14.860 difficulty in quitting.

00:36:17.120 But watch out for this

00:36:18.100 one.

00:36:19.200 Getting off it is hard

00:36:20.580 apparently.

00:36:21.280 So that's what I'm

00:36:21.900 learning today.

00:36:22.460 So speaking of things,

00:36:29.280 well I guess we already

00:36:30.040 talked about this.

00:36:31.300 Yeah, the Ray Epps

00:36:32.200 thing, I kind of just

00:36:35.460 watched to see how that

00:36:37.120 would develop in the early

00:36:38.540 fog of war.

00:36:39.880 I have to admit I was not

00:36:41.660 a believer when people

00:36:44.060 were saying, oh it's the

00:36:45.240 feds, they organize this 1.00

00:36:46.580 thing.

00:36:46.960 I certainly knew that

00:36:48.100 that's a thing.

00:36:48.760 I knew it couldn't be

00:36:50.300 true.

00:36:51.240 But until I saw some

00:36:52.600 evidence, you know, it

00:36:53.880 was just people talking.

00:36:56.720 But now that there's

00:36:57.560 enough video evidence and

00:36:59.360 the questions that have

00:37:01.360 been asked have been

00:37:02.820 pointedly and directly

00:37:05.200 non-answered, a direct

00:37:07.440 non-answer to a question

00:37:08.800 also is a red flag.

00:37:11.920 And apparently nobody's

00:37:13.300 talking about Ray Epps

00:37:14.240 and that Ray Epps isn't

00:37:15.300 talking, not even to make

00:37:16.940 statements or anything, I

00:37:18.020 don't think.

00:37:18.640 I don't even think he's

00:37:19.500 issued a statement.

00:37:20.800 But he exists.

00:37:21.880 People can find him.

00:37:23.380 You know, they know where

00:37:24.100 he is.

00:37:25.280 And this is one of these

00:37:26.540 cases where, again, you

00:37:27.500 just have to assume guilt.

00:37:29.900 Until Ray Epps is, the

00:37:32.320 whole, that story is

00:37:33.380 flushed out, you have,

00:37:36.320 the assumption should be

00:37:37.860 that it was rigged.

00:37:39.820 The assumption should be.

00:37:41.600 Doesn't mean it was.

00:37:43.420 Again, if you're talking

00:37:45.740 about the government, it's

00:37:46.780 not an assumption of

00:37:47.780 innocence, it's an

00:37:48.700 assumption of guilt if

00:37:50.420 there's all kinds of

00:37:51.280 smoke, right?

00:37:53.040 If there's no smoke, then

00:37:54.480 you know, you don't have

00:37:55.340 to be concerned that

00:37:56.560 there might be a fire.

00:37:57.760 But if there's all kinds

00:37:58.820 of smoke, guilty, guilty,

00:38:03.420 until proven innocent,

00:38:05.720 which they can easily do

00:38:06.820 by giving us access to

00:38:09.080 Ray Epps and telling us

00:38:10.800 what they know or having

00:38:12.420 Garland talk about it

00:38:13.860 under oath.

00:38:15.120 So there are ways to

00:38:16.780 know, and if we don't

00:38:18.840 know, and we're not going

00:38:20.440 to know, you have to

00:38:21.600 assume guilt.

00:38:23.180 Assume guilt.

00:38:24.900 Don't assume that you

00:38:26.100 know it's true.

00:38:27.620 Just assume that that's

00:38:28.880 the system that we have

00:38:30.640 to use.

00:38:31.760 Just as it's a system to

00:38:33.840 assume innocence of a

00:38:35.060 citizen, it should be our

00:38:36.780 system to assume guilt

00:38:38.580 when the government says,

00:38:40.000 I'm not going to tell you.

00:38:41.460 Just every time.

00:38:42.460 Now, if they said, I'm

00:38:44.120 not going to tell you

00:38:44.760 because there's a state

00:38:46.120 secret involved, I'd

00:38:48.860 still be a little

00:38:49.640 suspicious, but here's

00:38:51.280 what I'd do.

00:38:52.580 I'd say, are there

00:38:53.920 people who are both

00:38:54.800 Republicans and Democrats

00:38:56.260 who do know the state

00:38:58.300 secret?

00:38:59.340 If yes, and more than

00:39:01.660 one, okay, I'll give you

00:39:05.740 that, I'll give you a

00:39:06.520 pass.

00:39:07.580 Right?

00:39:08.380 Would you agree with

00:39:09.120 that?

00:39:09.240 If both Democrats and

00:39:11.460 Republicans, multiple of

00:39:12.680 them, are on a committee,

00:39:14.280 let's say, you know, some

00:39:15.920 security-related committee,

00:39:17.720 and they say, we've seen

00:39:19.100 the information, and yeah,

00:39:20.920 we don't think this is for

00:39:22.020 the public, good.

00:39:24.980 Good.

00:39:26.520 But short of that, short

00:39:29.460 of an independent, you

00:39:31.060 know, bipartisan group

00:39:32.200 saying this is a secret, if

00:39:34.180 they just say, we're not

00:39:35.180 going to tell you, guilty.

00:39:37.620 Guilty.

00:39:38.940 Guilty.

00:39:39.700 Furthermore, while they

00:39:41.560 stand clearly guilty by

00:39:43.660 assumption, right, not

00:39:45.440 legally, guilty by

00:39:46.920 assumption, does it make

00:39:48.960 any sense to keep in jail

00:39:50.980 the January 6th protesters

00:39:53.080 who have lesser charges and

00:39:56.740 are not out on bail?

00:39:58.300 It does not.

00:39:59.780 It does not.

00:40:00.980 And moreover, I would say

00:40:03.040 it borders on illegal,

00:40:05.060 unethical, immoral,

00:40:06.780 unconstitutional.

00:40:07.900 I don't know how many of

00:40:08.700 those I could prove, but

00:40:10.640 they're all right, right?

00:40:12.700 I don't know if I could

00:40:13.500 prove them, but they're all

00:40:14.260 true.

00:40:15.700 So, so let's put a little

00:40:19.880 more pressure on our

00:40:21.040 government with that

00:40:22.160 standard.

00:40:22.900 Guilty.

00:40:24.200 Guilty by assumption.

00:40:26.340 Guilty by assumption.

00:40:28.380 And don't talk me out of

00:40:30.220 that.

00:40:30.540 If you tell me you're not

00:40:32.920 going to tell me, and you

00:40:34.780 don't have a bipartisan

00:40:35.800 group telling me it's a

00:40:37.020 state secret, guilty.

00:40:40.240 Fucking guilty.

00:40:42.180 And don't even ask us to

00:40:44.080 pretend we should consider

00:40:46.220 the alternative.

00:40:47.800 We should not consider the 1.00

00:40:49.300 alternative.

00:40:50.460 The alternative could be

00:40:51.460 true.

00:40:52.500 I'm not saying, I'm not

00:40:54.020 saying we know that there's

00:40:55.320 some problem.

00:40:56.320 I'm saying that under these

00:40:57.560 conditions, the government

00:40:59.160 has told us they're guilty

00:41:00.520 by assumption.

00:41:03.860 If you don't get that, we

00:41:07.320 can't, we have no power

00:41:08.960 over the government, and we

00:41:10.260 need to have power over the

00:41:11.300 government to stay safe.

00:41:12.660 It's just a better system.

00:41:15.480 So, guilty.

00:41:17.220 Guilty.

00:41:18.100 And, uh, just guilty.

00:41:21.840 And we shouldn't back down

00:41:22.780 from that.

00:41:23.520 And we should not treat this

00:41:25.540 as if it's a question we're

00:41:26.860 looking into.

00:41:27.420 We should take it as a 0.82

00:41:29.700 decision the government has

00:41:31.320 proven, by assumption, by

00:41:34.020 their actions, that they are

00:41:35.620 presumed guilty.

00:41:37.460 It's not us.

00:41:38.860 We didn't do it.

00:41:40.540 It's not my presumption.

00:41:42.640 I'm telling you that they told

00:41:43.860 you to presume they're guilty.

00:41:46.180 If somebody says, presume I'm

00:41:48.200 guilty, believe them.

00:41:51.800 It doesn't mean it's true, but I

00:41:54.240 think the smart move is to

00:41:55.680 believe them, and the government

00:41:57.280 just basically told you to

00:41:58.700 presume they're guilty.

00:42:01.080 Right?

00:42:01.860 Now, if the government came up

00:42:03.280 with a reason that sounded

00:42:05.740 halfway plausible, I would

00:42:07.200 reassess.

00:42:08.280 But if you don't get a reason,

00:42:11.860 guilty by presumption, and the

00:42:13.620 government is the one who told

00:42:14.640 us.

00:42:15.020 It's not us.

00:42:16.000 We're not reading any tea

00:42:17.060 leaves.

00:42:18.040 That's just direct.

00:42:19.900 It has to be our system.

00:42:21.800 Guilty by presumption, and under

00:42:23.900 this situation.

00:42:25.960 Well, Dr. Robert Malone was

00:42:27.700 banned on Twitter, which caused

00:42:29.480 me to cause some trouble.

00:42:32.120 But let me give you some

00:42:33.120 background first.

00:42:35.700 Back in the 90s or so, there

00:42:38.360 were a lot of CEOs who were

00:42:40.120 writing books about how

00:42:41.380 successful they were.

00:42:42.820 Remember, Jack Welch was

00:42:44.860 famously, you know, touted as a

00:42:47.000 great manager for what he did at

00:42:48.440 General Electric.

00:42:50.240 Now, and you might know that

00:42:53.720 that whole business book, you

00:42:56.340 know, the expert who tells you

00:42:57.600 how to be successful, that that

00:42:59.460 whole market was huge, and then

00:43:02.280 just fell off a cliff.

00:43:05.920 It fell off a cliff at the same

00:43:07.560 time that Dilbert became a

00:43:09.620 national phenomenon, and mocked

00:43:12.860 those kinds of books, because they

00:43:15.040 were always bullshit.

00:43:15.800 What happens is, you've got a lot

00:43:18.420 of companies doing a lot of

00:43:19.740 things.

00:43:20.280 Some of them succeed, and when

00:43:22.240 one of them succeeds, for

00:43:23.440 whatever reason, the manager

00:43:25.280 says, I'm a genius, and writes

00:43:27.680 a book.

00:43:28.520 And then all the people who don't

00:43:29.840 understand how anything works

00:43:31.300 say, well, this person managed

00:43:33.920 that company, that company was a

00:43:35.300 big success, I will listen to

00:43:37.060 everything this person says.

00:43:38.980 It doesn't make any sense.

00:43:40.440 Because what we do know is that

00:43:42.040 GE basically screwed the

00:43:45.740 pooch, using the same management

00:43:48.280 techniques that Jack Welch said.

00:43:50.680 I think there's some story about

00:43:52.200 their accounting, and especially

00:43:54.400 the financial part of GE, so

00:43:57.080 that basically everything you

00:43:58.400 thought you knew about Jack

00:43:59.540 Welch's management genius, maybe

00:44:02.320 not so much, right?

00:44:04.040 So our idea in the 90s that there

00:44:06.460 was such a thing as great managers

00:44:08.400 who had great technique was

00:44:10.800 completely debunked by Dilbert more

00:44:13.740 than anything else.

00:44:15.120 Will anybody back me on that, that

00:44:18.420 the 90s were all about these

00:44:20.320 genius managers, and that Dilbert

00:44:22.620 was mostly, more than anything

00:44:24.880 else, what completely took the piss

00:44:26.920 out of that bullshit, right?

00:44:29.700 Okay, I'm seeing agreement on

00:44:31.080 locals, people who are more

00:44:33.140 familiar with my past, I think.

00:44:35.220 So, just use this as, this is just

00:44:37.700 a primer for the story I'm going to

00:44:39.340 tell.

00:44:39.540 Just know that when anybody gets

00:44:42.380 lucky in success, they will write a

00:44:45.860 book and tell you that they knew

00:44:47.180 all along that doing these things

00:44:48.940 would cause them to be successful.

00:44:51.320 It doesn't mean those things made

00:44:52.920 them successful, right?

00:44:55.100 It's just an illusion.

00:44:57.780 Now let's get to the people who were

00:45:00.540 the rogues on the pandemic.

00:45:03.200 Dr. Robert Malone was one, saying

00:45:05.040 things that were different from the

00:45:06.560 mainstream, and he was just banned on

00:45:09.000 Twitter.

00:45:09.980 Now, I don't know if it was permanent

00:45:11.260 ban, but he tweeted, a tweet, this

00:45:15.860 is the one that got him banned, that

00:45:18.580 the first six months of Pfizer shots

00:45:21.640 caused more illness than they

00:45:24.620 prevented.

00:45:26.280 So that's what he claimed, and then

00:45:28.360 Twitter banned him for that.

00:45:30.020 Now, here's a test of your worldview,

00:45:33.240 and I did this on Twitter.

00:45:34.840 My worldview is that the rogue

00:45:36.980 doctors might be really, really good

00:45:39.620 at their expertise.

00:45:41.580 It could be virology, cardiology,

00:45:44.300 one of those things.

00:45:46.100 They could be really good at that,

00:45:47.720 but are not necessarily talented at

00:45:50.000 reading data and knowing if all the,

00:45:53.560 you know, the dots were put in there.

00:45:56.120 So, um, I tested my worldview on Twitter

00:46:00.940 and said, uh, I predict that, uh, in the

00:46:04.260 comments, the idea that Dr. Malone's

00:46:07.600 interpretation of the data will be

00:46:09.280 debunked.

00:46:10.700 And then it was, by credible people who

00:46:13.680 are really good at debunking things, and

00:46:15.540 they pointed to their work.

00:46:17.320 You know, they showed exactly what he

00:46:18.560 got wrong, and it's pretty clear it was

00:46:20.760 wrong.

00:46:22.220 Now, here's an example of somebody who,

00:46:26.400 um, read the data completely wrong,

00:46:30.540 and it was so wrong that it got him

00:46:31.900 banned by Twitter.

00:46:33.400 But, was he wrong on the point?

00:46:38.620 Was he wrong that, let's say, the

00:46:40.740 vaccines are not as, uh, good in terms

00:46:44.560 of cost-benefit as we had been sold?

00:46:49.520 Because his larger claim, and I hate to

00:46:52.560 characterize other people's opinions,

00:46:54.980 that's always dicey, because when people

00:46:57.200 do it to me, they, they get a lot wrong.

00:47:00.540 But, um, if we assume that, uh, people

00:47:05.180 like Dr. Malone, let's make it more

00:47:07.100 general so it's not about him.

00:47:08.540 If they were to say that the

00:47:11.380 vaccinations were not as good as we had

00:47:13.340 been told, but it was based on

00:47:17.940 misreading the data, or at least they

00:47:20.040 did misread some data, these would be

00:47:22.520 people who used incorrect reasoning,

00:47:26.360 but by luck, just like these managers

00:47:29.660 who were, who look like geniuses because

00:47:31.960 their company did well, by luck, they

00:47:34.500 would also be right.

00:47:36.360 So what do you do with the people who

00:47:37.860 used all the wrong data analysis to get

00:47:41.260 to the right answer?

00:47:43.340 It's going to be a clusterfuck of all

00:47:45.980 clusterfucks.

00:47:47.000 Because the people who are wrong about

00:47:48.740 everything and don't have any reasoning

00:47:50.340 skills just said, oh, the government's

00:47:53.740 lying, and they got it right.

00:47:55.780 Or, or they said the, the big pharma is

00:47:58.440 lying.

00:47:59.400 Now, some people said to me, Scott, you

00:48:01.880 didn't really need to read the data.

00:48:04.120 Some of you are thinking that right now.

00:48:06.160 You didn't need to read the data.

00:48:07.320 You just have to look at the players and

00:48:10.640 follow the money.

00:48:12.340 How many of you thought that?

00:48:14.220 Like, you know, you can't trust the

00:48:15.420 government.

00:48:16.240 You know, you can't trust big pharma.

00:48:18.600 You put them together.

00:48:20.280 Of course, you can't trust it.

00:48:22.780 Right?

00:48:23.660 So did you need any data to reach the

00:48:27.020 opinion that you couldn't trust those

00:48:29.420 entities?

00:48:29.780 No, you didn't need any data for that.

00:48:32.040 Those are two entities with a track

00:48:33.700 record of enough bad behavior that you

00:48:36.480 couldn't automatically believe they were

00:48:38.860 telling you the truth.

00:48:40.780 But let me ask you this.

00:48:42.780 How many drugs are there in the world that

00:48:45.120 came from, let's say, big pharma?

00:48:47.920 What's your guess?

00:48:48.880 What's the number of approved drugs that

00:48:51.380 one could buy in the market?

00:48:53.960 Thousands?

00:48:56.340 Two thousands?

00:48:57.180 I'm seeing weird numbers there.

00:48:59.980 Ten thousand?

00:49:00.760 I don't know.

00:49:01.620 Let's say thousands.

00:49:03.640 Of the thousands of drugs that are

00:49:06.780 approved, how many of them do you think

00:49:09.100 are actually just fake and don't do

00:49:12.180 anything?

00:49:13.780 Well, as a percentage of all the

00:49:16.340 approved drugs that are actually on the

00:49:17.900 market, what would you say?

00:49:20.720 What's your guess?

00:49:21.380 What percentage?

00:49:22.440 Yeah, it's not zero.

00:49:23.380 Definitely not zero.

00:49:24.140 Now, there are lots that work for some

00:49:27.560 people and not others.

00:49:28.580 That's a little different.

00:49:30.380 But how many do you think are literally

00:49:31.900 just don't work?

00:49:34.360 Your estimates are really high.

00:49:36.260 I'm saying 50%, 95%, 5%.

00:49:39.280 We don't know, do we?

00:49:41.600 Do we not?

00:49:43.120 I don't know.

00:49:44.040 I'm guessing that the system would fall

00:49:46.800 apart unless the number of drugs that got

00:49:49.760 through that don't work is in that, I'm

00:49:52.540 going to say under 20% range.

00:49:56.080 Because if it were 80%, it would just be

00:49:58.880 so obvious that nobody could miss it.

00:50:02.400 But at 20%, you would write it off to

00:50:05.240 individual differences, wouldn't you?

00:50:07.400 Like, well, this drug works for most

00:50:09.160 people, but damn it, I was in the 20%.

00:50:11.820 So, I think the people who said it's coming from

00:50:19.180 big pharma, therefore we can't trust it,

00:50:21.760 are accurate.

00:50:23.440 But what were the odds?

00:50:26.560 Like, what were the odds?

00:50:28.280 Because you've got a pretty long track record

00:50:30.240 of big pharma approving, or getting things

00:50:32.440 approved.

00:50:34.160 Is it 10% of the time they give you a fraud

00:50:37.300 and it gets through anyway?

00:50:38.360 Do you know?

00:50:40.620 Because if you don't know that, you couldn't

00:50:43.260 be too positive that it was a fraud.

00:50:47.400 You could only know that you couldn't be sure

00:50:49.320 because they have a track record of some bad

00:50:52.040 behavior.

00:50:53.080 Now, my big company, let's say, guess,

00:50:57.980 was that too many people would be involved

00:50:59.780 in the drug trials for them to be too, let's

00:51:04.860 say, too adventurous with their claims.

00:51:07.760 In other words, there have to be whistleblowers

00:51:12.140 aplenty, or at least potential whistleblowers

00:51:14.140 when you have a trial that big.

00:51:15.980 There just have to be multiple people who saw

00:51:18.580 stuff.

00:51:19.860 So, if they could all, if every one of them

00:51:23.420 kept it quiet, well, that would be weird.

00:51:26.960 Now, you might say to yourself, well, what about

00:51:28.600 OxyContin and Purdue?

00:51:32.000 Their salespeople just told doctors complete lies 0.56

00:51:35.860 for years and got away with it.

00:51:38.200 Complete lies.

00:51:39.280 Told them the drug was not addictive when it was

00:51:41.240 super addictive.

00:51:42.120 Just a complete lie.

00:51:43.660 But the way they did that was by referring to

00:51:46.340 third-party research that nobody had access to.

00:51:51.440 So Purdue was a special case where they could

00:51:54.200 bury the research by just alluding to it and have an

00:51:58.080 expert allude to it.

00:51:59.160 And everybody just goes, all right, well, somebody

00:52:01.320 knows, so we'll just go with it.

00:52:03.080 But in the context of the pandemic, when all eyes were

00:52:06.800 looking at vaccines, you have to think that a lot of

00:52:10.360 eyeballs saw the actual data collection process.

00:52:15.020 Whereas at Purdue, nobody saw it because it actually

00:52:18.200 didn't exist.

00:52:18.800 They just made it up.

00:52:19.580 So unless you think the trials had only, you know, a few

00:52:24.420 points of people who actually knew what was really going

00:52:27.040 on, maybe it's possible, it's hard for me to think that

00:52:32.240 they would have done this intentionally when the penalty

00:52:34.940 would be outrageous.

00:52:37.220 I mean, to be caught as such a bad crime, I don't know if

00:52:41.980 anybody would take that chance.

00:52:43.540 On the other hand, billions of dollars at stake.

00:52:46.900 When you have billions of dollars at stake, do people take

00:52:49.680 crazy chances?

00:52:51.660 Yeah, they do.

00:52:52.660 They do.

00:52:54.000 Because billions of dollars are at stake.

00:52:56.600 So I don't think you could be too confident that just because

00:53:01.480 you said big pharma is not to be trusted, that therefore this

00:53:05.140 specific thing could not be trusted.

00:53:07.760 Because unless you know the ratio of drugs that get produced that

00:53:11.220 work versus total frauds, it's hard to say that, well,

00:53:15.700 their track record means that these vaccines won't work.

00:53:19.820 Because I would guess that almost, I don't know, if I, I think

00:53:23.480 at least 80% of the things that get approved probably work.

00:53:27.600 That would be my guess.

00:53:29.380 But since I don't know that answer either, you don't know, I

00:53:32.300 don't know, it's hard to say that just knowing they're not

00:53:35.180 completely trustworthy gives you any insight about this one

00:53:38.980 vaccine.

00:53:40.060 That doesn't make sense.

00:53:41.900 All you can say for sure is you don't know.

00:53:43.900 All right.

00:53:45.780 Here are some more.

00:53:47.240 When I noted that people were going to get the right answer for

00:53:50.060 the wrong reason, I created a whole bunch of cognitive dissonance.

00:53:54.260 And I've got a new tell to give you.

00:53:56.560 It's the content-free response.

00:53:59.620 Zuby gave me one of these.

00:54:00.900 You know, Zuby.

00:54:03.120 Zuby's great, by the way.

00:54:04.220 But he and I will probably have some conversation when the pandemic is

00:54:09.320 winding down about what was reasonable and what wasn't.

00:54:14.400 I hope we do have that conversation.

00:54:16.160 Zuby's great.

00:54:17.520 But his comment to be saying that people who looked at the data wrong would

00:54:22.640 accidentally get the right answer in some cases.

00:54:24.660 He said, Scott, and then just a laughy face.

00:54:31.000 So then there was another user, Corona Wu-Tang Virus, that's the name of the

00:54:35.960 user, who just responded to me, how high are you right now?

00:54:41.500 And then there was Pioner McManus, another user, who just commented, just take

00:54:46.880 the L, Scott.

00:54:47.820 But, and then a number of people used it, there's, I don't know if there's some

00:54:52.180 organized way or they just like this word, but a lot of people said something

00:54:57.140 like this.

00:54:57.900 We're reaching levels of cope we've never seen before.

00:55:01.380 In other words, saying that I'm trying to cope with the fact that I was wrong and

00:55:05.440 I'm finding that out now.

00:55:07.600 Except, what was I wrong about?

00:55:11.020 I'm not aware of being wrong about anything.

00:55:13.780 Was I?

00:55:14.920 I mean, anything important?

00:55:15.840 Um, so there are a whole bunch of people who are pretty sure that I'm wrong about big

00:55:23.300 stuff, but they don't have any examples.

00:55:25.600 They just have this feeling.

00:55:27.720 Now, I think that this is a tell for cognitive dissonance.

00:55:30.600 I call it the content-free tweet, where they criticize you, but there's no criticism.

00:55:38.180 It's like the form of a criticism, but about what?

00:55:42.340 Something I said?

00:55:43.400 Like, what am I taking the L for?

00:55:48.320 Am I supposed to be taking a loss and admitting I was wrong?

00:55:53.300 About?

00:55:54.020 What topic are we on?

00:55:55.720 I don't even know the topic.

00:55:58.060 So there are all these people who are telling me that I should admit I'm wrong without telling

00:56:02.000 me what the topic is.

00:56:03.100 Now, I think that most of the things that they feel like they disagreed with me on were things

00:56:13.120 that I talked about the odds, and that's it.

00:56:19.040 I just talked about the odds of things.

00:56:21.280 So I'm not sure those are predictions exactly.

00:56:24.160 All right.

00:56:24.480 So you're going to see a lot of that, but you're going to see every – here's the thing

00:56:29.420 that will be the funniest.

00:56:30.980 The Omicron is clearly a less – or it looks like it, as far as we know – a less harmful

00:56:37.700 virus.

00:56:38.380 We'd all agree with that?

00:56:40.060 Is that clear enough yet?

00:56:41.880 I mean, that could be wrong, too, but at the moment, it looks like it's less dangerous.

00:56:47.500 There were a lot of people at the beginning of the pandemic who said, this virus is not

00:56:52.600 dangerous.

00:56:55.080 At the beginning of the pandemic, they were completely wrong, but because the data changed,

00:57:01.320 the facts changed, and the Omicron came out, they turned into completely right.

00:57:06.440 Do you think that those people will say, you know, I got lucky because of this Omicron,

00:57:13.040 nobody could see coming exactly?

00:57:14.720 I mean, you could know that it would attenuate, but you wouldn't know when, and you wouldn't

00:57:18.800 know if there would be more deltas before it did, right?

00:57:21.340 So you couldn't have known that.

00:57:23.280 But now there are people who are claiming they knew all along that if we just ignored

00:57:27.240 it, everything would be fine.

00:57:29.340 But that only applies if Omicron comes along, right?

00:57:34.760 It's a whole different game if we're delta to the max.

00:57:38.720 So there will be people claiming that they were right all along, even as all the data

00:57:43.520 changed.

00:57:46.240 Now, my point of view is that when the data was one way, my opinion was X, and when the

00:57:52.520 data changed, I adjusted my opinion to match the new data as far as we know.

00:57:59.320 And people are pretty sure that I should take the L for changing my opinion when the actual

00:58:07.120 facts changed.

00:58:08.240 And it's not that our knowledge of the facts changed.

00:58:10.460 The actual facts changed.

00:58:12.300 The Omicron is a new fact.

00:58:15.420 And it's different than the delta facts.

00:58:17.460 There's still people saying that the vaccinated are the cause of the variants.

00:58:28.220 How many of you think that?

00:58:29.940 How many of you believe?

00:58:31.000 It's widely going around.

00:58:33.420 How many of you believe that the vaccinations themselves are a cause of variants?

00:58:38.660 The counterargument to that argument is that variants are caused by more virus.

00:58:49.520 So if you had a teacup full of virus, it won't create much variant.

00:58:54.300 If you had a stadium full of virus, you could be reasonably sure it would create more variants.

00:59:01.760 So I don't think there's any exception that to the extent that vaccinated people before Omicron

00:59:13.320 had some more protection, probably reduced the variants.

00:59:18.860 But we don't know.

00:59:20.240 There's no way to know.

00:59:23.200 Oh, shit.

00:59:26.600 Damn it.

00:59:28.280 Something bad just happened.

00:59:31.760 But not to you.

00:59:32.620 Don't worry about it.

00:59:34.040 It's not your problem.

00:59:38.820 Like with blah, blah, blah.

00:59:42.000 Somebody says masks could be stopping the Omicron.

00:59:44.960 Well, I doubt it.

00:59:46.540 Now, there are a lot of people who say that we know that masks work or don't work.

00:59:50.720 Do you believe that?

00:59:52.500 How many of you believe that we now have certainty, or something close to it,

00:59:58.160 about whether masks reduce the odds of transmission?

01:00:03.840 How many of you think we know the answer to that?

01:00:07.920 I'm seeing yeses.

01:00:09.160 I'm seeing more noes. 1.00

01:00:10.860 We still don't know.

01:00:11.880 Yeah, I'm on no, we don't know.

01:00:15.560 We can definitely say that it didn't seem like any of the variables,

01:00:19.380 except maybe the vaccinations, had any obvious impact.

01:00:22.980 But we also didn't have any controlled studies, so we wouldn't know.

01:00:30.080 Yeah, when was the last time you didn't see a used mask on your driveway?

01:00:37.980 Literally, every time I walk into my garage or onto my driveway,

01:00:42.340 there's a disposed mask that fell out of a car or out of a pocket or something.

01:00:47.320 They're just everywhere.

01:00:48.080 There are so many masks everywhere.

01:00:54.800 All right.

01:00:56.320 That is my show for today.

01:00:59.260 You can't blow on a candle with a mask on.

01:01:01.980 Well, yes.

01:01:05.540 And that's all I've got for now.

01:01:07.340 And I'm sure you'll agree.

01:01:10.160 Best live stream of all time.

01:01:12.120 And we'll do this again tomorrow.

01:01:14.160 We'll be right back.

01:01:18.840 Let's go.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 30, 2021

Episode 1608 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All the Things Our Government is Hiding From Us

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