Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1609 Scott Adams： Mass Hypnosis, Magic Tricks, Hallucinations, and COVID

00:00:00.000 Well, this morning I'm going to print something out while I'm showing you a magic trick, and

00:00:11.500 you're going to love it, because I've got to print out my notes.

00:00:16.360 All right, how would you like to see a magic trick that I'm going to dovetail into a fascinating

00:00:25.120 discussion about hypnosis and all weird things?

00:00:30.340 You're going to be amazed.

00:00:32.040 But first, let me call up all your comments here.

00:00:36.680 There we go.

00:00:38.480 All right, let's see if I can make a good view of the table here.

00:00:46.360 There we go.

00:00:48.840 All right, I'm going to show you a trick.

00:00:50.660 Maybe some of you have seen this before.

00:00:52.420 It's a normal coin, some country that's not America, I forget.

00:00:58.500 And I'm going to make this coin disappear by rubbing it into my hand, or my arm.

00:01:06.820 All right?

00:01:07.380 So I'm going to rub it into my arm until it disappears inside the arm.

00:01:13.820 Are you ready?

00:01:14.940 Probably don't think I can do it.

00:01:16.420 All right, watch this.

00:01:18.740 First of all, there's nothing in the hands.

00:01:20.380 Nothing else here, right?

00:01:22.840 It's just a coin.

00:01:24.560 All right, so the coin will go on my arm, and then I'm going to rub it until it disappears.

00:01:31.040 Now, I haven't done this trick in a while, and I'm doing it live without much practice.

00:01:35.680 So I can't guarantee it'll work on the first try.

00:01:38.060 All right, but, all right, I think I got it.

00:01:42.440 Watch this.

00:01:43.760 Gone!

00:01:45.460 All right, well, like I said, it doesn't always work on the first try.

00:01:48.780 But the second try, watch this.

00:01:52.000 Watch this.

00:01:52.700 Are you watching?

00:01:55.360 Watch carefully.

00:01:56.180 Are you amazed?

00:02:08.240 How about that?

00:02:11.640 That's an example of cognitive blindness.

00:02:16.300 The reason you don't know how the trick was done is that I made you cognitively blind,

00:02:22.240 even though I showed you exactly how I was doing it.

00:02:26.380 If I were to replay this slowly and show you where the trick happened,

00:02:30.540 you could see it right in front of your eyes.

00:02:32.740 But because I blinded you, and I'll tell you how I did it in a minute,

00:02:35.940 but I'm going to do another trick first.

00:02:37.940 Do you think I can turn a penny into a much larger coin?

00:02:42.740 You know, something that, you know, would be worth more, for example.

00:02:54.520 So, let's take this penny.

00:02:56.420 There's nothing in this hand, all right?

00:02:58.940 Nothing going on here.

00:03:00.420 So, I'll take this normal penny,

00:03:02.500 and I'm going to change it into a bigger coin, all right?

00:03:05.880 Just going to rub it, rub it, rub it,

00:03:08.520 and there's nothing in this hand, right?

00:03:10.440 Rub it, rub it.

00:03:11.520 Rub it, rub it.

00:03:17.680 Amazing, right?

00:03:19.360 Now, here's the trick.

00:03:24.140 There are two things that I want to teach you.

00:03:28.860 The second one is about imagination.

00:03:32.200 The reason that the penny trick works

00:03:34.640 is that you can't imagine how I do it.

00:03:39.100 If you could imagine it, you'd see it instantly.

00:03:41.920 But it's a lack of imagination.

00:03:44.180 And when you look at the news,

00:03:46.040 this is what's happening to you all the time.

00:03:47.760 The news will say,

00:03:49.020 a thing is happening,

00:03:51.080 and you won't really be able to imagine

00:03:52.920 the alternatives to that story,

00:03:55.300 so you believe it.

00:03:56.400 So, a lack of imagination is also behind magic.

00:03:59.680 Here's how this trick was done.

00:04:02.660 The larger coin just goes behind it,

00:04:08.060 so when I show it to you this way,

00:04:10.940 and this way, and this way, and this hand,

00:04:13.420 it's not there.

00:04:14.840 And then I just go, boop, boop, like that.

00:04:17.660 Now, how does the other one work?

00:04:18.980 The one where I did this?

00:04:20.060 Here's how the cognitive blindness works.

00:04:25.780 I told you that it doesn't work every time,

00:04:28.940 and I also made you focus here, right?

00:04:31.820 So, there are two things I told you

00:04:33.520 that caused cognitive blindness.

00:04:35.380 One, it doesn't work every time,

00:04:37.980 so when it doesn't work the first time,

00:04:40.120 you accept that as normal.

00:04:42.100 You might even laugh because my trick failed.

00:04:44.180 That's a diversion.

00:04:46.140 The first failure is part of the trick.

00:04:48.640 That's what diverts your attention.

00:04:51.300 Now, the way the trick is done

00:04:52.780 is that when I do it the second time,

00:04:56.000 did you see the trick?

00:04:57.660 The trick's already done.

00:05:02.260 Then all of this stuff is after it's already gone.

00:05:06.160 Hey, look.

00:05:07.420 It's gone.

00:05:10.040 Want to see it again?

00:05:10.960 All right.

00:05:16.040 Oh, it didn't work.

00:05:17.120 My trick didn't work.

00:05:20.840 Let's see if it works the second time.

00:05:22.660 Oh, it worked the second time.

00:05:25.820 Yeah, so all I did was,

00:05:27.740 when it dropped,

00:05:29.200 instead of picking up with the hand I was going to use,

00:05:32.640 you were no longer paying attention

00:05:34.300 because you were diverted by the fact that my trick failed.

00:05:37.880 So, as soon as the trick failed,

00:05:39.300 your attention stopped paying attention

00:05:41.620 and you didn't notice that I picked it up with this hand,

00:05:44.840 did this,

00:05:46.520 and it was already gone.

00:05:48.700 Now,

00:05:50.120 what's that got to do with the news?

00:05:53.540 Well,

00:05:54.620 I'm going to tell you.

00:05:55.260 So, one of the things I often say

00:06:00.060 is that if you have a variety of talents,

00:06:06.100 they can work well together

00:06:07.460 in a way that one plus one equals two.

00:06:10.540 If you add two talents together,

00:06:12.820 sometimes you get three.

00:06:13.840 Now,

00:06:15.820 having a window into how magic tricks work

00:06:20.300 is really, really compatible with hypnosis,

00:06:24.860 psychology,

00:06:26.480 and politics.

00:06:29.120 Let me grab my notes.

00:06:30.660 I'll show you.

00:06:35.580 Oh, damn it.

00:06:36.700 All right.

00:06:47.300 First, let me,

00:06:48.700 we're going to get back to the magic tricks.

00:06:50.940 We're going to cover some other things.

00:06:51.900 So,

00:06:52.380 Rasmussen says that 48%

00:06:54.280 of the people they polled

00:06:56.180 say 2021 was a poor year,

00:06:58.620 but not as bad as 2020.

00:07:00.780 Does that sound about right?

00:07:02.740 That apparently 2021 and 2020

00:07:04.940 were just the two worst years

00:07:07.720 that people remember?

00:07:12.800 Does anybody want the simultaneous sip?

00:07:14.880 Are you addicted?

00:07:17.640 You're going to have to do this,

00:07:18.740 aren't you?

00:07:19.420 Well,

00:07:19.820 if we're going to do the sip,

00:07:20.720 all you need is a cup or mug,

00:07:21.640 a glass of tank,

00:07:22.260 a chalice of stein,

00:07:23.080 a canteen,

00:07:23.580 a jug of flask,

00:07:24.080 a vessel of any kind,

00:07:24.880 fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:07:25.820 I like coffee.

00:07:27.860 And join me now

00:07:28.700 for the unparalleled pleasure

00:07:30.420 this is the dopamine hit of the day.

00:07:33.580 The thing that makes everything better.

00:07:35.500 It's called the simultaneous sip

00:07:37.280 and it happens now.

00:07:38.420 Watch your antibodies surge.

00:07:44.020 I don't think it's technically,

00:07:47.760 scientifically correct

00:07:49.080 to call this a booster shot,

00:07:51.600 but it is.

00:07:53.280 But it is.

00:07:56.100 That's the 25th booster

00:07:57.560 I've had this morning.

00:07:58.960 Feeling good.

00:08:00.420 All right.

00:08:04.360 I tweeted this today

00:08:05.680 and I keep trying to find my footing

00:08:09.140 for this persuasion.

00:08:11.700 And so this is what I tweeted.

00:08:13.000 You've heard this concept before,

00:08:14.340 but I'm trying to

00:08:15.820 A-B test my way up 0.70

00:08:17.460 to a better way of saying it.

00:08:19.480 So lots of times

00:08:20.560 I'll say something one way

00:08:21.840 and if it gets a little bit

00:08:23.100 of a reaction,

00:08:24.220 I'll think,

00:08:25.120 whoa,

00:08:25.320 I got a good reaction on that.

00:08:27.520 Maybe if I can say it

00:08:28.500 in an even better way,

00:08:29.340 I could get a bigger reaction.

00:08:31.020 So I've been doing this

00:08:32.160 with the idea that

00:08:33.220 we have been blinded,

00:08:36.180 just like a magic trick,

00:08:38.060 by the fact that we're watching

00:08:40.200 a lot of trials.

00:08:42.980 So you're watching a trial

00:08:44.360 of a Kyle Rittenhouse

00:08:45.400 and you're thinking to yourself,

00:08:47.440 well, he's innocent

00:08:48.280 until proven guilty.

00:08:49.600 You watch George Floyd,

00:08:51.280 he's innocent until proven guilty.

00:08:53.280 And all these other

00:08:54.440 major high-level trials,

00:08:56.240 you know,

00:08:56.560 Ghislaine Maxwell,

00:08:58.720 innocent until proven guilty.

00:09:01.760 And then the government

00:09:03.040 is accused of something.

00:09:06.000 What happens when

00:09:07.400 your brain is full of

00:09:08.900 innocent until proven guilty?

00:09:11.500 And then the government

00:09:12.660 does something

00:09:13.320 that looks sketchy.

00:09:15.540 Do you say to yourself,

00:09:17.840 well, innocent until proven guilty,

00:09:19.520 you know,

00:09:19.800 I'm going to need some evidence.

00:09:21.500 There's no direct evidence,

00:09:24.020 so government gets a pass.

00:09:27.180 That is a magic trick,

00:09:29.060 my folks,

00:09:29.680 my audience.

00:09:32.180 The magic trick

00:09:33.360 is to create

00:09:34.920 a cognitive blindness in you

00:09:36.860 that the government

00:09:38.440 has the same standard

00:09:39.760 as a citizen

00:09:40.560 for innocent

00:09:42.660 until proven guilty.

00:09:44.420 It doesn't.

00:09:46.100 Only citizens

00:09:47.240 have the presumption

00:09:48.280 of innocence.

00:09:49.980 Your government

00:09:50.800 has a presumption

00:09:52.820 of guilt.

00:09:55.020 Meaning,

00:09:55.800 if they can't prove

00:09:57.040 that what they're doing

00:09:58.680 is honest

00:09:59.600 by making it transparent,

00:10:02.060 letting everybody

00:10:02.740 see it,

00:10:03.440 audit it,

00:10:04.560 you know,

00:10:04.820 know what's going on,

00:10:06.180 if they can't do that,

00:10:08.000 the presumption

00:10:09.040 is guilt.

00:10:10.800 But you have been fooled

00:10:12.480 by a magic trick

00:10:14.500 by seeing all these

00:10:16.160 trials of citizens

00:10:17.180 innocent until proven guilty

00:10:19.260 is just sort of

00:10:20.020 a recording

00:10:21.440 that runs in your mind

00:10:22.420 and makes you blind

00:10:23.220 to the fact that

00:10:24.340 Attorney General Garland

00:10:26.560 refused to answer

00:10:28.340 a question

00:10:28.880 from Representative Massey

00:10:30.620 when he asked him

00:10:31.940 how many government

00:10:32.880 employees

00:10:33.460 were involved

00:10:34.740 in the January 6th event.

00:10:36.300 he wouldn't answer

00:10:39.760 and still hasn't.

00:10:44.020 Presume guilt.

00:10:45.900 Presume guilt.

00:10:46.980 Because that's fair.

00:10:48.860 Not only is it fair,

00:10:49.700 it's the only system

00:10:50.460 that can work.

00:10:51.920 The system that,

00:10:52.980 the only system

00:10:53.680 that can work well

00:10:54.600 for citizens

00:10:56.000 is presumed innocent.

00:10:57.360 But the only system

00:10:59.160 that can work

00:10:59.660 for your government

00:11:00.420 is presumed guilt

00:11:01.720 until they show

00:11:03.380 their records.

00:11:05.320 Until they open up

00:11:06.800 the kimono

00:11:07.460 and show you

00:11:08.000 what's going on in there.

00:11:09.060 It can't work

00:11:10.000 any other way.

00:11:11.200 But we have been

00:11:11.960 magic tricked

00:11:12.760 into being blind

00:11:14.000 to the obvious.

00:11:15.520 That if you don't tell us

00:11:17.280 what we ask

00:11:19.640 about your potential

00:11:20.800 criminal activity

00:11:22.040 on January 6th,

00:11:23.880 we have to assume

00:11:25.080 you're guilty.

00:11:25.540 And the Republicans

00:11:27.120 are completely

00:11:28.300 dropping the ball here

00:11:29.400 because apparently

00:11:30.460 you can start

00:11:31.540 an impeachment process

00:11:33.460 against an attorney general.

00:11:35.520 Now, I don't think

00:11:36.600 he should be impeached

00:11:37.740 for involvement

00:11:39.460 in January 6th

00:11:41.360 because we don't know

00:11:42.380 of anything, right?

00:11:43.600 We have no evidence

00:11:44.320 of that.

00:11:45.040 But he can certainly

00:11:45.960 be impeached

00:11:46.540 for not answering

00:11:47.200 the question.

00:11:48.500 Am I right?

00:11:50.440 He needs to answer

00:11:51.520 the question.

00:11:52.340 At least to Congress.

00:11:54.000 You know,

00:11:54.460 I would make

00:11:55.000 an exception

00:11:55.460 if they wanted

00:11:56.840 to answer

00:11:57.160 the question

00:11:57.640 only to, you know,

00:11:59.420 some bipartisan

00:12:00.180 part of Congress.

00:12:01.480 But I need

00:12:02.040 our elected representatives

00:12:03.280 to know what's going on.

00:12:05.740 I don't 100%

00:12:07.000 need me personally

00:12:08.200 to know what's going on.

00:12:09.600 But if a bipartisan

00:12:10.880 group has access

00:12:14.000 to the same information

00:12:15.020 and they're both happy,

00:12:16.960 I'm probably going

00:12:17.740 to be okay with it.

00:12:18.480 So I believe that Garland

00:12:21.020 has to be at least

00:12:22.720 subject to the process

00:12:24.960 of impeachment.

00:12:26.180 There's no chance

00:12:27.080 he can get impeached

00:12:28.080 because of the, you know,

00:12:29.840 the Democrats in charge.

00:12:31.860 But there's nothing

00:12:33.120 that stops you

00:12:33.740 from starting the process

00:12:35.020 because it would be

00:12:36.480 in the same way

00:12:37.720 that when Trump

00:12:39.680 went through

00:12:40.600 his impeachment procedures,

00:12:42.260 it was more

00:12:42.840 about the show.

00:12:43.560 It was more

00:12:44.640 about the public

00:12:45.620 perception of things.

00:12:48.040 I mean, that's why

00:12:48.480 the Democrats did it.

00:12:49.800 The Republicans

00:12:50.300 should do the same

00:12:51.320 and limit the charge

00:12:54.240 to the lack

00:12:55.420 of answering the question.

00:12:57.840 If he answers the question,

00:12:59.780 well, just drop

00:13:00.640 the impeachment.

00:13:02.620 Likewise,

00:13:04.240 our election systems,

00:13:06.480 which are not transparent,

00:13:08.360 at least the electronic part,

00:13:09.740 you can't really audit those,

00:13:11.140 we have to assume

00:13:12.260 that they are corrupt.

00:13:13.560 I don't know

00:13:14.860 that they are,

00:13:15.920 but the starting presumption

00:13:17.440 has to be corruption.

00:13:19.680 And they need to prove

00:13:20.560 that it's not.

00:13:21.720 And if anybody asks you

00:13:22.860 to believe that the next election

00:13:24.580 is valid,

00:13:26.460 well,

00:13:27.320 I wouldn't trust

00:13:28.820 that person again,

00:13:29.820 ever,

00:13:30.940 because that's somebody

00:13:31.800 who either doesn't understand

00:13:32.920 anything about the world

00:13:34.100 or they're lying to you

00:13:36.880 or something.

00:13:38.240 But

00:13:38.620 we are being

00:13:41.240 subject

00:13:42.660 to continuous magic tricks

00:13:44.540 that make us

00:13:45.660 cognitively blind,

00:13:47.080 and the other magic trick

00:13:50.200 was about lacking imagination.

00:13:51.900 You just can't imagine

00:13:53.000 an alternative.

00:13:55.740 Here's another

00:13:56.500 cognitive blindness example.

00:13:58.620 So yesterday,

00:13:59.140 I tweeted

00:13:59.500 that I had spent

00:14:01.020 a whole bunch of time

00:14:02.000 trying to figure out

00:14:02.860 how to log off

00:14:03.800 of Twitter.

00:14:04.280 I could not figure it out.

00:14:07.660 I googled it.

00:14:09.360 And of course,

00:14:09.800 if you google

00:14:10.340 how to do anything,

00:14:11.500 you get all the wrong,

00:14:13.120 the old ones

00:14:14.620 for the old software

00:14:15.600 and the wrong platform.

00:14:18.200 Even if you say

00:14:19.100 how to log off

00:14:20.320 from the browser,

00:14:22.400 it will give you

00:14:22.980 all the app log offs

00:14:24.820 instead.

00:14:25.540 I mean,

00:14:25.880 searching for how to do anything

00:14:27.160 is just useless

00:14:27.840 half of the time.

00:14:29.060 So I found it

00:14:32.620 with the help

00:14:34.140 of other people.

00:14:36.060 And it was always

00:14:37.440 right there,

00:14:37.880 right in front of me.

00:14:39.320 Like,

00:14:39.680 it was right on the page.

00:14:41.420 But here's what they did.

00:14:42.360 Let's see if I can

00:14:42.940 give you an example

00:14:44.560 with a blank piece of paper.

00:14:47.920 Well,

00:14:48.320 I'll just describe it.

00:14:50.160 You're quite aware

00:14:51.000 of interfaces.

00:14:51.940 You've used a lot of them.

00:14:53.020 And you know that

00:14:53.640 if you're looking

00:14:54.080 for how to log off

00:14:55.100 of something,

00:14:55.620 it's almost always

00:14:57.240 in the top right.

00:14:59.540 Or if there's any other

00:15:00.840 cluster of menus,

00:15:02.720 it'll be in the menus.

00:15:04.500 Because where else

00:15:05.500 would it be?

00:15:06.260 All right?

00:15:07.100 The log off command

00:15:08.780 should be somewhere

00:15:10.380 where there are menus.

00:15:13.000 So you look where

00:15:13.880 the menus are

00:15:14.780 and it's not there.

00:15:16.960 You look up

00:15:17.580 in the top right-hand corner

00:15:18.800 and it's not there.

00:15:21.480 Here's where they hit it.

00:15:23.280 And they,

00:15:23.780 let's see,

00:15:24.100 I'll use this as a page.

00:15:25.620 So it's supposed

00:15:26.540 to be up here,

00:15:27.840 normally.

00:15:28.480 That's where your brain

00:15:29.180 expects it.

00:15:30.100 And then there's some

00:15:30.840 menus along this side.

00:15:33.500 So it's not here

00:15:34.440 and it's not where

00:15:35.080 it belongs.

00:15:36.040 They put it all the way

00:15:37.080 at the bottom of the page

00:15:38.300 all by itself

00:15:39.920 without anything

00:15:41.460 that looked like a menu.

00:15:42.660 It was just your icon.

00:15:45.680 Now,

00:15:46.180 if you tell me

00:15:47.200 that they didn't

00:15:48.300 intentionally put it there

00:15:49.580 so you can't find it,

00:15:51.080 I call you a liar.

00:15:53.420 Because nobody makes

00:15:55.080 that big of a

00:15:56.140 user interface mistake,

00:15:58.880 that's not a mistake.

00:16:01.280 They just intentionally

00:16:02.480 made it hard

00:16:03.160 to log off.

00:16:04.720 Now,

00:16:05.120 they're not the only company

00:16:06.060 that does that.

00:16:06.880 That's pretty,

00:16:07.340 pretty,

00:16:08.380 pretty common.

00:16:10.660 Now,

00:16:11.240 when people said,

00:16:12.240 Scott,

00:16:12.740 are you blind?

00:16:14.740 Are you blind?

00:16:15.280 It was right there

00:16:15.860 in front of you.

00:16:16.620 And the answer is,

00:16:17.480 yes.

00:16:18.660 Yes.

00:16:19.180 I was cognitively blind

00:16:21.220 because they put it

00:16:22.200 in the wrong place.

00:16:24.380 Not blind blind,

00:16:25.840 but it's the same thing

00:16:26.980 if I go in the refrigerator

00:16:28.080 and somebody,

00:16:29.880 you know,

00:16:30.220 put the mustard

00:16:31.100 that is always supposed

00:16:32.080 to be in the door.

00:16:33.620 If somebody put it

00:16:34.560 in the body

00:16:35.020 of the refrigerator,

00:16:36.160 I'll never find it

00:16:38.320 because I just won't

00:16:40.400 look in the body

00:16:41.100 of the refrigerator.

00:16:42.140 Now,

00:16:42.360 that's a bad example

00:16:43.120 because I probably would

00:16:44.140 look in the body

00:16:44.840 of the refrigerator.

00:16:45.540 But if you put things

00:16:46.820 where they don't belong,

00:16:48.580 you can blind somebody

00:16:49.820 to the obvious.

00:16:50.760 They just won't even

00:16:51.340 look there.

00:16:53.320 So a lot of what's

00:16:54.480 happening to us

00:16:55.100 in the news is that.

00:16:59.460 All right.

00:17:01.240 I feel like Trump

00:17:02.820 could win re-election

00:17:04.160 by running on transparency.

00:17:06.880 The transparency

00:17:07.620 for the elections

00:17:08.520 to make them auditable,

00:17:10.640 but also transparency

00:17:11.660 for whatever happened

00:17:13.000 on January 6th.

00:17:14.840 And he could just

00:17:15.760 run for election

00:17:16.360 and say,

00:17:16.700 look,

00:17:17.620 your government

00:17:18.220 is not telling you

00:17:19.740 who won the election.

00:17:20.900 I mean,

00:17:21.140 they can't

00:17:21.740 because they can't audit it.

00:17:23.260 We don't have access to it.

00:17:25.000 And they won't even tell you

00:17:26.440 about January 6th,

00:17:27.560 the biggest,

00:17:28.500 apparently shocking event

00:17:29.880 in the country.

00:17:31.020 And now,

00:17:31.540 if you go to Google

00:17:32.380 and try to find

00:17:33.220 the daily death rate

00:17:34.780 in the United States

00:17:35.660 from COVID,

00:17:37.540 they're even hiding that.

00:17:39.700 Now, again,

00:17:40.040 when I say hiding,

00:17:40.900 I don't mean literally.

00:17:41.740 I mean,

00:17:43.020 if you go look for it,

00:17:44.260 you end up in a pile

00:17:46.000 of, you know,

00:17:46.760 a rat's nest of stuff,

00:17:48.240 and then you get a graph.

00:17:50.100 It's a little hard

00:17:51.040 to interpret for a while

00:17:52.160 unless you're used

00:17:52.840 to interpreting graphs.

00:17:54.740 How many people

00:17:55.520 in the United States

00:17:56.180 can accurately interpret

00:17:57.420 a graph?

00:18:00.500 Half?

00:18:01.940 Something like that?

00:18:03.320 You know,

00:18:03.600 many of us

00:18:04.660 are the people

00:18:05.900 who pay attention

00:18:06.540 to politics and stuff.

00:18:07.840 So if you're watching this,

00:18:10.440 you probably can read

00:18:11.400 a graph, right?

00:18:13.520 Pretty much,

00:18:14.220 by the time you're

00:18:15.180 absorbing this sort

00:18:16.540 of content,

00:18:17.600 you can read a graph.

00:18:19.620 But most of the country

00:18:20.680 can't.

00:18:21.680 It's like if you just

00:18:22.500 put it on a graph,

00:18:23.360 it's just gone forever.

00:18:24.880 Now, compare that

00:18:25.700 to what they used to do,

00:18:27.400 which is the daily

00:18:28.420 death count,

00:18:29.620 I think it was the daily,

00:18:31.040 might have been weekly,

00:18:32.380 was on the CNN front page.

00:18:35.680 And I think you would see

00:18:36.560 that single number,

00:18:38.280 how many people

00:18:38.980 died today,

00:18:40.440 with any Google search.

00:18:42.900 If you just Googled,

00:18:43.780 I think it would be

00:18:44.380 come right up.

00:18:45.800 Today,

00:18:46.620 this many deaths.

00:18:48.480 But it's clear

00:18:49.560 that the,

00:18:50.520 yeah,

00:18:50.820 the death number

00:18:52.340 is being,

00:18:53.540 let's say,

00:18:55.320 de-emphasized,

00:18:56.220 so that you become

00:18:56.960 a little bit

00:18:58.060 cognitively nearsighted

00:19:00.160 for finding that.

00:19:01.860 It's obviously

00:19:02.440 being de-emphasized.

00:19:03.720 Now,

00:19:04.020 my personal opinion

00:19:04.800 is that the government

00:19:05.860 and the citizens

00:19:08.100 are largely

00:19:08.860 on the same side

00:19:10.160 about the pandemic now.

00:19:14.120 And what I mean by that

00:19:15.300 is I think the government

00:19:16.560 is looking for

00:19:17.340 an escape hatch,

00:19:19.100 a way to get past

00:19:20.680 all the bad stuff

00:19:22.560 that people don't like,

00:19:23.480 the mandates.

00:19:24.580 So I think the government

00:19:25.540 wants out of this,

00:19:26.400 both Democrats

00:19:27.000 and Republicans.

00:19:28.000 I think they all want out,

00:19:30.240 as do the public.

00:19:31.480 But it's a little harder

00:19:32.740 for them

00:19:33.160 because they have to

00:19:34.720 do it without

00:19:35.660 looking like it killed people.

00:19:37.820 So they don't really

00:19:38.620 have a way out

00:19:39.640 unless we help them.

00:19:45.520 So I was saying this

00:19:48.100 on Locals the other day,

00:19:49.720 but I'll tell the rest

00:19:51.240 of you in public.

00:19:52.660 I wonder to what extent

00:19:56.400 China watches

00:19:59.440 the biggest critics

00:20:01.840 of China

00:20:02.500 in the United States.

00:20:04.320 Now,

00:20:04.560 I think I could claim

00:20:05.700 that I'm in the top 25

00:20:07.820 of China critics.

00:20:10.340 Do you think

00:20:10.880 that's an overclaim?

00:20:11.940 Let me check that with you.

00:20:13.420 Of vocal,

00:20:14.940 public critics of China,

00:20:17.260 would you say

00:20:17.900 I'm in the top 25?

00:20:18.940 Just look at your comments.

00:20:22.700 Yeah,

00:20:22.900 some are saying,

00:20:23.720 you know,

00:20:24.680 top 10,

00:20:25.540 but let's say top 25.

00:20:27.300 Now,

00:20:27.860 do you believe

00:20:28.740 that China keeps an eye on,

00:20:32.340 through agents

00:20:33.780 or trolls

00:20:34.340 or operatives

00:20:35.020 or whatever,

00:20:35.680 do you think

00:20:36.120 that China keeps an eye 0.87

00:20:37.140 on the top 25

00:20:39.980 China critics?

00:20:41.940 Probably.

00:20:43.220 I mean,

00:20:43.500 it would be

00:20:43.940 a normal thing

00:20:45.760 to do,

00:20:46.340 I would think,

00:20:47.180 because you want to know

00:20:48.000 what the public opinion

00:20:48.840 is and you want to know

00:20:49.860 who's moving the needle

00:20:52.180 and all that.

00:20:53.480 So if you assume

00:20:54.440 that somebody in China

00:20:55.800 is keeping an eye on me,

00:20:58.060 that also

00:20:58.900 opens up a channel

00:21:01.140 in which things I say

00:21:04.000 can get all the way

00:21:05.020 to China's leadership.

00:21:08.120 Now,

00:21:08.640 how many would say

00:21:09.340 that that's possibly

00:21:11.300 or likely true,

00:21:13.220 that things I say

00:21:14.240 in public about China

00:21:15.460 could get all the way

00:21:17.320 to some part

00:21:18.780 of their leadership,

00:21:20.100 not necessarily

00:21:20.860 to she,

00:21:22.140 but somebody

00:21:22.800 in their leadership?

00:21:25.780 Yeah,

00:21:26.420 most of you

00:21:27.280 are saying likely,

00:21:28.380 and I think

00:21:29.040 it just makes sense.

00:21:30.180 Don't know for sure,

00:21:31.540 but it makes sense.

00:21:33.120 And so,

00:21:33.880 that opens up

00:21:34.880 the possibility

00:21:35.580 that they've given me

00:21:38.860 administrative access

00:21:40.300 access to their brains.

00:21:44.320 Which,

00:21:45.220 I don't think

00:21:46.780 they saw that coming.

00:21:48.760 Because when they

00:21:49.660 follow me,

00:21:51.120 they're not following

00:21:51.960 just somebody

00:21:52.760 who's a critic.

00:21:54.080 They're following

00:21:54.960 somebody who can slip

00:21:56.720 a linguistic kill shot

00:21:59.440 past their defenses

00:22:01.140 and get it

00:22:02.900 on the inside

00:22:03.580 and change things

00:22:05.840 from the inside,

00:22:06.660 so to speak.

00:22:08.660 And so,

00:22:09.500 I asked today

00:22:10.480 on Twitter,

00:22:11.480 when do the

00:22:12.020 Omicron Olympics

00:22:12.860 begin in China?

00:22:15.260 That's right.

00:22:16.880 I did.

00:22:17.420 I went there.

00:22:18.920 Hashtag

00:22:19.420 Omicron Olympics.

00:22:21.520 Because

00:22:22.040 I don't want

00:22:23.600 China to worry 1.00

00:22:24.380 about anything

00:22:25.120 except the

00:22:26.080 gigantic surge

00:22:27.240 in infections

00:22:27.880 that they're about

00:22:28.700 to bring to the world.

00:22:30.560 And so,

00:22:31.040 their Olympics

00:22:31.440 will become

00:22:31.980 a national shame.

00:22:34.720 And

00:22:35.200 will be called

00:22:36.060 the Omicron Olympics,

00:22:37.360 at least by some of us.

00:22:39.120 Omicron Olympics.

00:22:40.900 Now,

00:22:41.460 I'd like China 0.93

00:22:41.960 to really,

00:22:42.700 really

00:22:43.080 think

00:22:44.500 about what

00:22:45.180 the world

00:22:45.740 is going to

00:22:46.820 think about them

00:22:48.480 during the Olympics.

00:22:50.300 Kind of bad luck

00:22:51.160 that the pandemic

00:22:52.140 and China's

00:22:53.360 Olympic Games

00:22:53.980 happen at the same time,

00:22:55.860 but

00:22:56.020 my guess

00:22:57.700 is that

00:22:58.080 this is going

00:22:58.660 to be a nightmare

00:22:59.700 for China's

00:23:00.900 leadership

00:23:01.240 because

00:23:02.040 the reason

00:23:03.040 you do the Olympics

00:23:03.780 is for

00:23:04.340 public opinion.

00:23:06.460 Am I right?

00:23:07.700 That's the only reason

00:23:08.620 you do it,

00:23:09.160 isn't it?

00:23:10.780 Give me a fact check

00:23:11.780 on that.

00:23:12.240 Because it's not

00:23:12.820 really economically

00:23:14.100 viable.

00:23:15.440 I think the country

00:23:16.240 that hosts

00:23:16.740 often loses money,

00:23:18.060 right?

00:23:18.720 Give me a fact check

00:23:19.700 on that.

00:23:20.500 Does hosting

00:23:21.140 the Olympics

00:23:21.600 make you money

00:23:22.380 or lose you money?

00:23:23.620 I thought it

00:23:24.140 lost money.

00:23:25.380 And I thought

00:23:25.780 that you do it,

00:23:27.200 yeah,

00:23:27.580 people are saying

00:23:28.100 lose.

00:23:28.960 And I think

00:23:30.260 that you do it

00:23:31.120 for esteem,

00:23:33.420 right?

00:23:34.840 And this is going

00:23:35.820 to be

00:23:36.240 a disaster.

00:23:38.160 It looks like

00:23:40.380 there's a disaster

00:23:41.360 coming for China

00:23:42.320 in terms of

00:23:42.980 public relations.

00:23:44.880 I think the

00:23:45.780 Omicron Olympics,

00:23:47.400 the gold medal

00:23:48.380 is going to go

00:23:48.920 to Omicron.

00:23:50.280 I think the

00:23:51.360 silver medal

00:23:52.200 will go to

00:23:52.920 Delta,

00:23:53.900 Delta variant.

00:23:54.660 and then

00:23:55.980 the poor

00:23:56.300 Alpha

00:23:56.640 will medal,

00:23:58.240 but only

00:23:59.260 the copper.

00:24:01.120 Only a copper.

00:24:02.980 So that's

00:24:03.640 the first

00:24:04.060 message I'm

00:24:04.860 going to slip

00:24:05.280 past the

00:24:05.760 sensors,

00:24:06.720 is that the

00:24:07.280 Omicron Olympics

00:24:08.220 are really

00:24:09.120 about a

00:24:10.220 giant disaster

00:24:11.040 and not so

00:24:11.740 much anything

00:24:12.860 to be proud

00:24:13.500 of.

00:24:15.300 Have you

00:24:15.900 heard the

00:24:16.300 news that

00:24:16.860 there's some

00:24:17.320 suggestion

00:24:17.800 that getting

00:24:19.000 the booster

00:24:19.580 shots

00:24:20.200 might,

00:24:21.640 and I

00:24:22.400 don't think

00:24:22.700 this applies

00:24:23.220 to every

00:24:23.660 person,

00:24:24.120 but cause

00:24:24.620 immune system

00:24:25.340 fatigue,

00:24:27.240 which would

00:24:27.720 be a lay 0.79

00:24:28.300 person's

00:24:29.480 explanation for

00:24:30.880 well,

00:24:31.580 I don't want

00:24:32.400 to get all

00:24:32.800 doctor and

00:24:33.520 tactical with

00:24:34.320 you,

00:24:35.200 because I

00:24:36.420 can't.

00:24:38.200 So I don't

00:24:39.000 know what it

00:24:39.320 means to have

00:24:39.780 immune system

00:24:40.400 fatigue,

00:24:41.500 but smart

00:24:41.880 people like

00:24:42.560 Ian Martises

00:24:43.500 knows what

00:24:45.840 that means.

00:24:47.180 And

00:24:47.580 apparently

00:24:49.560 it's a risk.

00:24:50.200 It's one

00:24:50.960 that people

00:24:51.580 were worried

00:24:52.840 about from

00:24:53.300 the beginning.

00:24:54.560 Now here's

00:24:55.060 my question.

00:24:56.460 We know

00:24:57.440 how vaccinations

00:24:58.600 were tested,

00:25:00.620 right?

00:25:01.620 We know

00:25:02.140 that,

00:25:02.540 what were

00:25:03.060 they,

00:25:03.360 40,000

00:25:03.980 people tested,

00:25:05.100 and we

00:25:05.340 know about

00:25:05.760 when they

00:25:06.120 were tested,

00:25:07.060 and we

00:25:07.680 know at

00:25:08.160 least what

00:25:08.480 they tell

00:25:08.860 us about

00:25:09.520 the outcome.

00:25:10.380 Now we

00:25:10.960 don't know

00:25:11.360 the long-term

00:25:12.180 effects of

00:25:13.040 anything,

00:25:13.900 but we do

00:25:14.700 at least have

00:25:15.360 what the

00:25:16.080 pharma companies

00:25:16.880 told us,

00:25:18.480 was the

00:25:18.920 data for

00:25:19.420 what they

00:25:19.740 tested.

00:25:20.200 whether you

00:25:21.100 believe that's

00:25:21.720 true or

00:25:22.020 not.

00:25:23.360 But let me

00:25:24.160 ask you

00:25:24.480 this,

00:25:25.780 did anybody

00:25:26.600 test the

00:25:27.160 booster?

00:25:29.900 Did I

00:25:30.900 miss a

00:25:31.340 whole phase

00:25:33.160 where

00:25:33.480 boosters

00:25:34.180 got tested?

00:25:35.340 Now I

00:25:35.880 get that

00:25:36.360 the booster

00:25:36.800 is one of

00:25:37.880 the things

00:25:38.240 that's been

00:25:38.660 tested,

00:25:39.560 but nobody

00:25:40.380 tested that

00:25:41.060 amount,

00:25:42.700 right?

00:25:42.960 Nobody

00:25:43.260 tested a

00:25:43.960 third or

00:25:44.960 fourth booster

00:25:45.640 shot.

00:25:46.840 Would we

00:25:47.340 not be

00:25:47.740 taking

00:25:48.040 the drugs

00:25:51.360 in a way

00:25:51.900 that is

00:25:52.520 untested?

00:25:55.100 It's one

00:25:55.800 thing to

00:25:56.180 say we

00:25:56.780 tested it

00:25:57.460 in the

00:25:57.820 short term

00:25:58.360 because most

00:25:59.700 of your

00:25:59.980 problems

00:26:00.300 actually happen

00:26:00.900 in the

00:26:01.200 short term.

00:26:01.940 It doesn't

00:26:02.220 eliminate the

00:26:02.820 long-term

00:26:03.200 risk,

00:26:03.900 but it

00:26:05.260 reduces it

00:26:05.900 a little

00:26:06.060 bit.

00:26:08.300 But it

00:26:08.880 seems to

00:26:09.240 me that the

00:26:09.680 boosters

00:26:10.080 have never

00:26:11.380 been tested,

00:26:12.180 have they?

00:26:13.000 Can you

00:26:13.400 fact-check me

00:26:14.000 on that?

00:26:14.680 Because I

00:26:14.980 don't know

00:26:15.300 that that's

00:26:15.720 true,

00:26:16.420 but I'm

00:26:16.900 pretty sure

00:26:17.400 they didn't

00:26:17.760 do a

00:26:18.120 40,000-person

00:26:19.360 randomized

00:26:19.860 controlled

00:26:20.560 trial of

00:26:21.820 boosted

00:26:22.280 versus

00:26:22.580 non-boosted.

00:26:23.780 And if

00:26:24.160 they did,

00:26:25.420 no,

00:26:25.700 they didn't.

00:26:27.880 So I'm

00:26:28.800 not boosted

00:26:29.640 at the

00:26:30.160 moment,

00:26:31.020 and I

00:26:31.880 can't

00:26:32.480 imagine that

00:26:33.080 I would

00:26:33.460 get boosted

00:26:34.160 unless I

00:26:35.860 could imagine

00:26:36.340 some life

00:26:37.040 event where

00:26:38.560 I just had

00:26:39.240 to,

00:26:39.640 and I was

00:26:39.920 like,

00:26:40.160 I don't

00:26:41.860 like these

00:26:42.360 odds,

00:26:42.880 but I'm

00:26:43.260 going to

00:26:43.420 do it

00:26:43.660 anyway.

00:26:44.460 Because I

00:26:44.800 have some

00:26:45.200 trip or

00:26:46.080 something I

00:26:46.480 have to

00:26:46.680 do.

00:26:47.080 I can

00:26:47.400 imagine that

00:26:47.920 pushing me

00:26:48.360 over the

00:26:48.600 edge.

00:26:49.240 But at

00:26:49.540 the moment,

00:26:50.140 it doesn't

00:26:50.820 make sense

00:26:51.360 for me to

00:26:51.920 get a

00:26:52.160 booster until

00:26:52.800 I see how

00:26:53.380 Omicron plays

00:26:54.280 out.

00:26:55.320 Does that

00:26:55.700 sound

00:26:56.000 unreasonable?

00:26:58.580 That since

00:27:00.720 it's only

00:27:01.100 going to be

00:27:01.500 maybe,

00:27:02.120 I don't know,

00:27:02.620 two weeks,

00:27:04.320 I'm guessing

00:27:04.820 two weeks

00:27:05.420 we'll know

00:27:05.820 everything we

00:27:06.340 need to

00:27:06.620 know about

00:27:07.020 if Omicron's

00:27:07.940 going to

00:27:08.680 totally take

00:27:09.720 over for

00:27:10.200 Delta.

00:27:11.480 And so,

00:27:13.340 I don't

00:27:14.940 think that

00:27:15.500 the risk

00:27:16.960 reward favors

00:27:18.020 the boosters

00:27:18.860 in the next

00:27:20.160 two weeks.

00:27:21.940 Now,

00:27:22.220 two weeks

00:27:22.620 from now,

00:27:23.020 we might

00:27:23.320 learn something

00:27:23.920 else.

00:27:27.320 Yeah,

00:27:27.960 somebody said

00:27:28.420 asthma is a

00:27:29.320 risk for me,

00:27:30.140 but there's

00:27:31.580 something weird

00:27:32.180 about the

00:27:32.580 asthma risk

00:27:33.360 that might

00:27:33.940 actually,

00:27:34.880 I've seen

00:27:35.640 data that I'm

00:27:37.660 not sure is

00:27:38.120 reliable,

00:27:38.580 but the

00:27:39.420 asthma risk

00:27:40.080 might actually

00:27:40.600 be the

00:27:41.000 opposite way

00:27:41.780 because one

00:27:43.120 of the

00:27:43.400 meds that

00:27:43.840 you use

00:27:44.160 for asthma,

00:27:44.820 this

00:27:44.960 budesonide,

00:27:46.560 has been

00:27:46.980 shown to

00:27:47.420 be protective

00:27:48.060 against COVID.

00:27:50.740 So,

00:27:51.380 I actually

00:27:51.760 take a

00:27:52.460 preventative

00:27:53.240 every day,

00:27:54.100 but I'm

00:27:54.460 doing it

00:27:54.800 for asthma,

00:27:56.060 and I

00:27:57.560 don't even

00:27:57.940 know that

00:27:58.300 the risk

00:27:58.740 is higher

00:27:59.100 for asthma.

00:28:00.580 You know,

00:28:00.800 I realize

00:28:01.180 that the

00:28:01.520 original data

00:28:02.340 said it

00:28:02.700 was,

00:28:03.100 but I

00:28:03.320 think updated

00:28:04.080 data has

00:28:05.640 a suggestion

00:28:06.260 that that's

00:28:06.880 unclear at

00:28:07.680 this point.

00:28:09.340 But wait

00:28:10.040 is certainly

00:28:10.600 a comorbidity.

00:28:13.920 So,

00:28:14.540 that's my

00:28:16.000 risk-reward.

00:28:16.680 I'm going

00:28:16.900 to wait

00:28:17.180 at least

00:28:17.500 a few

00:28:17.820 weeks

00:28:18.140 before I

00:28:18.780 even make

00:28:19.180 a decision

00:28:19.600 on boosters,

00:28:20.360 unless some

00:28:20.880 life thing

00:28:21.440 gets in the

00:28:21.840 way first.

00:28:22.320 I hope not.

00:28:25.080 Is the

00:28:25.740 death rate

00:28:26.280 in America

00:28:27.660 getting close

00:28:28.340 to the point

00:28:28.920 where we

00:28:30.600 started opening

00:28:32.360 up things

00:28:32.880 last summer?

00:28:34.520 So,

00:28:34.760 remember last

00:28:35.200 summer when

00:28:36.520 things started

00:28:37.160 loosening up?

00:28:37.900 It's because

00:28:38.160 the death

00:28:38.560 rate hit

00:28:39.120 a low

00:28:40.080 enough level.

00:28:41.340 Now,

00:28:41.520 we're not

00:28:41.780 quite all

00:28:42.440 the way

00:28:42.680 back down

00:28:43.180 to there,

00:28:43.960 but if you

00:28:44.460 adjust for

00:28:45.140 the fact

00:28:45.520 that we're

00:28:45.880 in the

00:28:46.100 winter,

00:28:47.240 it's looking

00:28:48.180 pretty good.

00:28:49.540 It's looking

00:28:49.960 pretty good,

00:28:51.000 death rate-wise.

00:28:52.180 Infections are

00:28:52.860 through the roof

00:28:53.600 because of

00:28:54.020 Omicron.

00:28:55.420 And do we

00:28:58.400 need to grade

00:28:59.480 on a curve

00:29:00.200 because it's

00:29:01.500 winter?

00:29:01.780 I don't know

00:29:04.280 if the fact

00:29:04.960 it was summer

00:29:05.440 had anything

00:29:05.940 to do with

00:29:06.400 loosening up

00:29:06.960 because

00:29:07.180 people were

00:29:08.240 outdoors and

00:29:08.880 stuff.

00:29:09.760 But I

00:29:10.600 wonder if

00:29:11.200 we're not

00:29:11.740 right getting

00:29:12.840 near the

00:29:13.380 level where

00:29:14.040 at least we

00:29:14.960 could be as

00:29:15.760 open as we

00:29:16.440 were last

00:29:17.260 summer.

00:29:21.220 Important

00:29:21.780 thing,

00:29:22.220 many of the

00:29:22.620 children are

00:29:23.200 hospitalized

00:29:23.640 with Omicron.

00:29:26.140 That may be

00:29:27.020 true, but

00:29:27.600 we're still

00:29:28.040 at close to

00:29:28.960 zero deaths.

00:29:29.740 Can you

00:29:30.860 fact-check

00:29:31.620 that?

00:29:31.980 For

00:29:32.100 children.

00:29:33.860 We're close

00:29:34.760 to zero

00:29:35.300 deaths for

00:29:35.840 children,

00:29:36.280 am I right?

00:29:37.820 We don't

00:29:38.420 know about

00:29:38.760 long COVID,

00:29:39.620 but anyway.

00:29:42.080 So there's

00:29:42.820 a meme

00:29:43.440 being used

00:29:44.140 mostly against

00:29:44.780 me, it

00:29:45.140 seems.

00:29:46.260 I guess

00:29:46.680 other people

00:29:47.160 too, but I

00:29:48.140 feel like it's

00:29:48.600 mostly against

00:29:49.140 me.

00:29:50.600 I don't know

00:29:51.240 if it started

00:29:51.660 on Reddit

00:29:52.180 or wherever,

00:29:53.120 but the word

00:29:53.740 is cope.

00:29:55.480 And the idea

00:29:56.040 is that a lot

00:29:56.760 of people,

00:29:57.380 including me,

00:29:58.400 actually almost

00:29:59.420 especially me,

00:30:00.780 are coping

00:30:02.120 by finding

00:30:03.660 a way that

00:30:04.340 they were

00:30:04.700 right after

00:30:05.360 all, when

00:30:06.520 in fact they

00:30:07.080 were wrong

00:30:07.560 all along.

00:30:08.720 Now in my

00:30:09.260 case, this is

00:30:09.880 based on a

00:30:10.660 mass hallucination.

00:30:13.000 And I can

00:30:13.480 tell you how

00:30:13.920 the mass

00:30:14.300 hallucination

00:30:14.900 was formed

00:30:15.520 because now

00:30:16.020 I have a

00:30:16.620 good idea

00:30:17.000 for it.

00:30:17.920 So if you

00:30:18.620 look at my

00:30:19.760 Twitter traffic,

00:30:20.780 you can see

00:30:21.140 that people

00:30:21.700 have all

00:30:22.200 kinds of

00:30:22.760 hallucinations

00:30:23.560 about my

00:30:24.620 opinions.

00:30:25.840 Now if

00:30:26.200 you've

00:30:26.400 watched most

00:30:27.880 of my

00:30:28.180 content,

00:30:28.680 the people

00:30:29.520 and locals

00:30:29.980 have,

00:30:30.720 if you

00:30:31.260 watched most

00:30:31.780 of my

00:30:31.980 content,

00:30:33.040 you'll know

00:30:33.460 that the

00:30:33.820 opinions they

00:30:34.440 say I

00:30:34.960 have are

00:30:35.880 just not

00:30:36.700 my opinions.

00:30:38.040 But they're

00:30:38.480 really, really

00:30:39.240 sure that I

00:30:40.300 held those

00:30:40.780 opinions and

00:30:41.920 that I was

00:30:42.360 very wrong.

00:30:43.320 And some

00:30:43.780 of them are

00:30:44.220 actually crazy.

00:30:46.380 Like one of

00:30:47.440 the opinions I

00:30:48.100 heard today that

00:30:48.820 was assigned to

00:30:49.700 me is that I

00:30:51.360 trust big

00:30:52.260 institutions to

00:30:53.460 tell me the

00:30:53.960 truth.

00:30:54.300 I'm

00:30:56.340 literally the

00:30:57.020 creator of

00:30:57.580 the Dilbert

00:30:58.020 comic strip.

00:30:59.480 I might be

00:31:00.400 the most

00:31:01.420 famous person

00:31:02.380 in the

00:31:02.780 country for

00:31:04.080 doubting big

00:31:05.220 institutions.

00:31:07.880 Give me a

00:31:09.020 second name of

00:31:10.660 anybody in the

00:31:11.500 United States,

00:31:12.500 out of 360

00:31:14.540 million people,

00:31:15.920 and of 360

00:31:16.960 million people,

00:31:18.420 name one

00:31:18.900 person more

00:31:19.560 famous for

00:31:20.780 doubting the

00:31:22.040 quality of

00:31:22.900 data from

00:31:23.680 big organizations

00:31:24.600 and their

00:31:25.580 honesty.

00:31:26.740 Name one

00:31:27.260 person who

00:31:28.600 is more

00:31:28.900 famous for

00:31:29.700 doubting data

00:31:30.440 from big

00:31:30.880 organizations.

00:31:32.540 Nobody, right?

00:31:33.880 And of 360

00:31:35.020 million people,

00:31:36.760 I'm Alex

00:31:37.680 Jones.

00:31:38.860 Okay.

00:31:39.920 But I would

00:31:40.900 argue I'm more

00:31:41.580 famous than

00:31:42.160 Alex Jones.

00:31:43.160 Alex Jones is

00:31:43.820 more famous than

00:31:44.560 I am within

00:31:46.300 the realm of

00:31:46.940 people who watch

00:31:47.580 this kind of

00:31:48.200 content.

00:31:49.680 But in the

00:31:50.560 country, I'm

00:31:52.760 way more

00:31:53.280 famous for

00:31:54.560 doubting data

00:31:55.240 from big

00:31:55.640 organizations.

00:31:57.020 Am I

00:31:57.340 wrong?

00:31:58.780 Seriously, am

00:31:59.480 I wrong that

00:32:00.780 I'm literally

00:32:01.360 like the most

00:32:02.060 famous person

00:32:02.860 who doubted

00:32:03.900 data?

00:32:04.580 Now, if you

00:32:05.660 watched me

00:32:06.640 talking about

00:32:07.200 the vaccine

00:32:08.020 data, was

00:32:09.240 there any

00:32:09.800 time that I

00:32:11.380 suggested that

00:32:12.760 you should

00:32:13.180 trust the

00:32:13.960 data from

00:32:14.640 the big

00:32:15.360 pharma

00:32:15.820 companies?

00:32:16.760 Did I ever

00:32:17.360 say anything

00:32:17.980 like that?

00:32:19.160 Because I'm

00:32:20.000 pretty sure I

00:32:20.660 said the

00:32:21.000 opposite.

00:32:22.120 Lots of

00:32:22.680 times.

00:32:24.740 Now, why

00:32:26.460 is it that

00:32:26.960 people have

00:32:27.560 this?

00:32:28.180 In fact,

00:32:29.360 yesterday,

00:32:30.120 James Lindsay

00:32:31.060 was coming

00:32:33.260 after me on

00:32:33.860 Twitter.

00:32:35.120 He actually

00:32:35.780 dropped what

00:32:37.400 he called a

00:32:37.920 linguistic kill

00:32:38.760 shot laughingly

00:32:39.840 because he

00:32:40.780 doesn't believe

00:32:41.320 any of this

00:32:41.700 stuff it

00:32:42.040 sounds like.

00:32:42.540 Or at least

00:32:42.820 he's skeptical

00:32:43.340 about the

00:32:43.900 persuasion

00:32:44.520 predictions I've

00:32:46.600 made about

00:32:47.220 Trump.

00:32:48.520 But he

00:32:54.080 gave me the

00:32:54.920 nickname

00:32:55.400 Vax Adams.

00:32:58.500 And then,

00:32:59.160 you know,

00:32:59.360 laughingly he

00:32:59.840 said, is that

00:33:00.280 a linguistic

00:33:01.000 kill shot?

00:33:02.020 And here's

00:33:02.500 the thing.

00:33:04.200 It is.

00:33:06.480 It is.

00:33:08.160 Yeah.

00:33:08.700 My reputation

00:33:09.900 and career

00:33:10.800 might be ruined

00:33:11.840 by that.

00:33:13.280 A pretty high

00:33:13.880 likelihood.

00:33:14.240 In fact,

00:33:15.140 it will take

00:33:15.620 all of my

00:33:16.420 energy to

00:33:17.440 prevent that

00:33:17.960 from happening

00:33:18.500 because it

00:33:19.920 is such a

00:33:20.420 good linguistic

00:33:21.140 kill shot.

00:33:22.360 And, you

00:33:22.760 know, it's

00:33:23.040 out there in

00:33:23.440 public, so I'll

00:33:24.160 tell you what

00:33:24.560 it is.

00:33:25.000 Because I'm

00:33:25.400 going to spend

00:33:25.760 a lot of

00:33:26.140 time seeing

00:33:26.940 if I can

00:33:27.580 reverse it,

00:33:29.300 but I don't

00:33:29.920 know if I

00:33:30.300 have that

00:33:30.640 power.

00:33:32.020 I don't

00:33:32.300 know if I

00:33:32.620 have that

00:33:32.900 power.

00:33:33.720 Now, if you

00:33:34.480 heard that

00:33:34.840 nickname and

00:33:35.940 you heard

00:33:36.200 other people

00:33:36.660 talking about

00:33:37.420 me as

00:33:37.980 opposed to

00:33:38.360 hearing what

00:33:38.760 I say,

00:33:39.400 you would

00:33:39.780 easily come

00:33:40.300 to the

00:33:40.560 opinion that

00:33:41.600 I'm the

00:33:41.960 biggest vaccine

00:33:43.040 promoter in

00:33:43.840 the United

00:33:44.240 States.

00:33:45.620 And nothing

00:33:46.140 like that has

00:33:46.680 ever happened.

00:33:48.440 Very much

00:33:49.240 closer to the

00:33:50.040 opposite has

00:33:50.680 happened from

00:33:51.200 the beginning.

00:33:52.440 In fact, I

00:33:53.220 think I'm the

00:33:53.700 only person

00:33:54.220 that I know

00:33:55.720 of who

00:33:56.220 predicted,

00:33:57.360 at least

00:33:57.800 a non-scientist,

00:33:59.240 I'm the only

00:33:59.620 non-scientist I

00:34:00.560 know of who

00:34:01.640 predicted that

00:34:02.380 the warp

00:34:02.840 speed vaccines

00:34:03.740 wouldn't work.

00:34:06.240 Publicly, I

00:34:06.880 predicted that.

00:34:08.440 Then people

00:34:08.920 asked me quite

00:34:09.640 reasonably, they

00:34:10.560 said, well,

00:34:11.180 why did you

00:34:11.660 get the

00:34:11.980 vaccination?

00:34:13.540 How could

00:34:13.920 you predict

00:34:14.380 it won't

00:34:14.840 work and

00:34:16.420 then get

00:34:16.720 the vaccination?

00:34:18.920 Very easily.

00:34:20.280 There's no

00:34:20.880 conflict in

00:34:21.520 that at all.

00:34:23.560 Now, how many

00:34:24.460 of you see

00:34:24.900 that, that

00:34:25.960 there's no

00:34:26.340 conflict there?

00:34:27.620 I predicted

00:34:28.560 they wouldn't

00:34:29.160 work and

00:34:30.440 then I got

00:34:30.980 them.

00:34:32.880 Let me give

00:34:33.600 you another

00:34:33.840 example.

00:34:34.880 I've also

00:34:35.440 predicted that

00:34:37.000 it's unlikely

00:34:37.740 that ivermectin

00:34:38.720 makes a difference

00:34:39.520 and I

00:34:40.900 would take

00:34:41.280 it if I

00:34:42.300 got COVID.

00:34:44.980 Is that

00:34:45.360 incompatible?

00:34:47.400 It's unlikely.

00:34:49.000 I predict that

00:34:49.800 ivermectin will

00:34:50.560 be shown not

00:34:51.240 to be a big

00:34:52.000 deal.

00:34:52.240 At the same

00:34:53.860 time, if I

00:34:55.700 get COVID, I'll

00:34:56.960 take it right

00:34:57.460 away.

00:34:58.380 Assuming my

00:34:59.060 doctor agrees

00:34:59.900 and I'm not

00:35:01.000 doing the

00:35:01.880 horse-paced

00:35:02.640 version.

00:35:03.480 Now, why is

00:35:03.980 that?

00:35:04.140 Because a

00:35:05.760 risk management

00:35:06.620 decision is

00:35:07.300 not like a

00:35:08.040 prediction.

00:35:08.700 They're just

00:35:08.980 two different

00:35:09.400 things.

00:35:10.600 And if I

00:35:11.340 can predict

00:35:12.020 that the

00:35:12.620 vaccine won't

00:35:13.320 work, let's

00:35:15.060 say I'm

00:35:15.380 predicting 75%

00:35:17.540 chance it

00:35:18.100 won't work.

00:35:19.600 But if

00:35:20.160 there's a

00:35:20.480 25% chance

00:35:21.560 it does

00:35:21.940 work, there

00:35:23.580 may be a

00:35:24.040 situation if

00:35:24.840 you're a

00:35:25.120 certain age

00:35:25.820 or comorbidity

00:35:26.740 or whatever

00:35:27.300 that is

00:35:28.840 worth a

00:35:29.180 shot.

00:35:30.960 It still

00:35:31.580 makes sense.

00:35:32.980 So there's

00:35:33.320 no conflict.

00:35:34.140 there at

00:35:34.600 all.

00:35:34.860 And also

00:35:35.220 we had

00:35:35.680 lots more

00:35:36.560 information by

00:35:37.700 the time I

00:35:38.140 got the

00:35:38.460 shot.

00:35:39.120 So I

00:35:39.460 also waited

00:35:40.080 I think

00:35:41.080 six months

00:35:41.800 from the

00:35:42.940 first availability

00:35:43.780 of the

00:35:44.200 shot to

00:35:45.080 get as

00:35:45.340 much data

00:35:45.840 as I

00:35:46.220 could.

00:35:47.460 Why did

00:35:47.800 I wait?

00:35:48.920 Because I

00:35:49.500 didn't trust

00:35:49.920 the data.

00:35:51.660 Somebody

00:35:52.100 says you

00:35:52.460 were paid.

00:35:54.000 I wish.

00:35:55.340 How much

00:35:55.720 would they

00:35:55.980 have to

00:35:56.240 pay me

00:35:56.640 to get

00:35:57.500 vaccinated

00:35:58.180 if I

00:35:59.640 didn't want

00:36:00.020 to get a

00:36:00.320 vaccination?

00:36:01.720 What would

00:36:02.520 be my

00:36:03.020 price tag

00:36:04.540 for that?

00:36:06.080 Do you

00:36:06.580 have any

00:36:06.940 idea how

00:36:07.440 much that

00:36:07.820 would cost?

00:36:10.000 That would

00:36:10.560 cost a lot.

00:36:12.340 Like I

00:36:12.720 don't know if

00:36:13.040 anybody would

00:36:13.500 pay that.

00:36:13.980 so wildly

00:36:20.860 through the

00:36:21.340 internet.

00:36:21.840 And I

00:36:22.040 think part

00:36:22.440 of it is

00:36:22.880 that whenever

00:36:23.800 you want to

00:36:24.500 win an

00:36:24.800 argument you

00:36:25.400 want to

00:36:25.700 win it

00:36:26.120 as

00:36:26.800 somebody's

00:36:27.360 expense.

00:36:28.680 So we

00:36:29.080 like to

00:36:29.400 put names

00:36:31.380 and faces

00:36:31.940 on our

00:36:33.040 arguments.

00:36:35.740 So somehow

00:36:36.400 my name

00:36:37.060 and face

00:36:37.540 are being

00:36:38.120 tacked

00:36:39.140 onto

00:36:39.460 the

00:36:40.460 pro-vax

00:36:41.520 side

00:36:43.820 when that's

00:36:45.780 highly

00:36:46.720 misleading.

00:36:48.180 Highly

00:36:48.820 misleading.

00:36:50.080 But yes,

00:36:51.300 in fact the

00:36:51.940 vax-adams

00:36:52.840 linguistic

00:36:53.740 kill shot,

00:36:54.800 if that

00:36:55.320 became like

00:36:56.580 a growing

00:36:57.260 trend,

00:36:58.080 would actually

00:36:58.760 take me

00:36:59.360 out of the

00:36:59.620 game.

00:37:00.200 Because every

00:37:00.900 time I said

00:37:01.420 anything about

00:37:02.000 anything,

00:37:03.360 somebody would

00:37:04.000 say,

00:37:04.460 well,

00:37:04.720 there's

00:37:04.980 vax-adams.

00:37:06.560 He was

00:37:07.080 wrong about

00:37:07.620 all the

00:37:07.920 vaccinations.

00:37:08.480 In fact,

00:37:09.800 I have

00:37:10.140 the best

00:37:10.600 prediction

00:37:11.100 record of

00:37:11.760 the pandemic

00:37:12.300 by far.

00:37:14.140 Now I

00:37:14.820 make that

00:37:15.240 claim because

00:37:15.940 I hope

00:37:16.220 somebody will

00:37:16.660 challenge it

00:37:17.240 someday.

00:37:18.460 But my

00:37:18.900 public claim

00:37:19.620 is that

00:37:20.060 nobody made

00:37:20.760 better

00:37:21.020 predictions

00:37:21.460 than I

00:37:21.960 did in

00:37:23.000 the

00:37:23.140 pandemic.

00:37:24.120 Not even

00:37:24.480 close.

00:37:26.140 Now,

00:37:26.600 did I guess

00:37:27.160 I'm wrong?

00:37:28.540 Yes,

00:37:28.800 of course.

00:37:30.080 Yeah.

00:37:30.560 Everybody who

00:37:31.340 predicts lots

00:37:32.300 of stuff

00:37:32.920 gets things

00:37:33.940 wrong.

00:37:34.440 Because you

00:37:35.160 can't really

00:37:35.820 predict the

00:37:37.000 future.

00:37:37.320 That's

00:37:38.340 not a

00:37:38.640 thing.

00:37:39.540 I mean,

00:37:39.740 you could

00:37:39.960 try,

00:37:40.880 but nobody

00:37:41.760 has access

00:37:42.400 to it.

00:37:43.240 It's not

00:37:43.500 like you

00:37:43.780 get it

00:37:44.080 right every

00:37:44.460 time.

00:37:47.460 So let's

00:37:48.060 see what

00:37:48.300 happens.

00:37:49.420 Anyway,

00:37:49.960 it looks

00:37:50.260 like I

00:37:50.640 will be

00:37:50.940 the

00:37:51.300 sacrificial

00:37:52.140 attack

00:37:53.580 dog for

00:37:54.920 all the

00:37:55.320 people who

00:37:55.920 were sure

00:37:56.360 the government

00:37:56.900 was lying.

00:37:58.420 Now,

00:37:58.660 I also

00:37:58.940 asked the

00:37:59.320 question,

00:37:59.940 and I

00:38:00.200 got so

00:38:00.980 far zero

00:38:01.620 answers.

00:38:02.760 I asked

00:38:03.220 on Twitter,

00:38:04.380 name one

00:38:05.280 thing that

00:38:05.760 you're sure

00:38:06.180 the government

00:38:06.780 or big

00:38:07.360 pharma lied

00:38:09.120 about relative

00:38:10.840 to COVID and

00:38:11.740 the pandemic,

00:38:12.820 besides masks,

00:38:13.900 because they've

00:38:14.340 already admitted

00:38:14.840 that.

00:38:15.760 But besides

00:38:16.240 masks, what

00:38:18.440 has the

00:38:18.900 government or

00:38:19.740 big pharma lied

00:38:21.620 about?

00:38:23.500 Not being

00:38:24.360 wrong, but

00:38:25.920 lied about.

00:38:27.580 No vaccines,

00:38:28.980 there's no

00:38:29.600 evidence they

00:38:30.340 lied.

00:38:31.420 Now, I'm not

00:38:31.820 saying they

00:38:32.140 didn't lie,

00:38:33.360 right?

00:38:33.620 So let's

00:38:34.240 be careful.

00:38:35.200 I'm not

00:38:35.640 saying the

00:38:36.100 government

00:38:36.440 didn't lie,

00:38:37.260 and I'm

00:38:37.480 not saying

00:38:37.880 that pharma

00:38:38.380 didn't lie,

00:38:39.320 because they're

00:38:39.760 both entities

00:38:40.420 that lie a

00:38:41.220 lot.

00:38:42.280 They're very

00:38:42.720 lying entities.

00:38:44.260 But do you

00:38:44.960 have an

00:38:45.220 example of

00:38:46.840 something that

00:38:47.440 isn't clearly

00:38:48.360 a mistake?

00:38:55.780 The

00:38:56.300 lethality of

00:38:57.060 ivermectin?

00:38:57.900 You don't

00:38:58.360 think that the

00:38:58.960 ivermectin is

00:38:59.620 just a different

00:39:00.200 opinion?

00:39:01.060 Because that's

00:39:01.720 all I think it

00:39:02.320 is.

00:39:02.500 I think it's

00:39:03.000 just a

00:39:03.340 different

00:39:03.540 opinion.

00:39:05.640 For most

00:39:06.320 people.

00:39:07.480 Now, it

00:39:07.860 could be that

00:39:08.400 big pharma is

00:39:09.400 funding studies

00:39:10.460 that make

00:39:10.840 ivermectin look

00:39:11.620 bad or

00:39:12.040 something.

00:39:12.940 But in

00:39:13.480 terms of a

00:39:14.180 lie, what

00:39:16.660 would be a

00:39:17.000 direct lie?

00:39:17.780 No, don't

00:39:18.240 go back to

00:39:18.920 Tuskegee.

00:39:19.800 We're talking

00:39:20.140 about just

00:39:21.060 COVID.

00:39:25.040 Asymptoms?

00:39:25.520 No.

00:39:26.400 So all of

00:39:27.900 the examples are

00:39:28.800 things that they

00:39:29.520 thought were

00:39:30.040 true and they

00:39:30.540 were just

00:39:30.820 wrong.

00:39:31.180 Do you

00:39:32.260 actually believe

00:39:32.920 that the

00:39:33.300 government

00:39:33.720 didn't know

00:39:34.680 or let's

00:39:36.620 say, do

00:39:36.920 you believe

00:39:37.240 the government

00:39:37.720 knew from

00:39:39.000 day one that

00:39:40.840 they would do

00:39:41.420 boosters?

00:39:43.380 Do you think

00:39:44.140 they knew

00:39:44.500 that?

00:39:47.260 But there's

00:39:47.980 no evidence

00:39:48.480 of that,

00:39:48.880 right?

00:39:50.160 So here's

00:39:51.960 the getting

00:39:52.980 back to my

00:39:53.500 original standard.

00:39:54.300 If the

00:39:55.840 government is

00:39:56.820 suspected of

00:39:57.600 something, do

00:39:58.920 you presume

00:39:59.520 innocence or

00:40:00.400 presume guilt?

00:40:01.180 you can

00:40:03.640 presume guilt.

00:40:05.080 So those

00:40:05.700 of you who

00:40:06.120 are saying

00:40:06.580 the government

00:40:08.320 told us one

00:40:09.100 thing, but

00:40:10.240 then we found

00:40:10.860 out a second

00:40:11.520 thing was

00:40:12.040 true, it's

00:40:14.240 fair to

00:40:14.620 presume guilt,

00:40:15.720 but there's

00:40:16.080 no evidence

00:40:16.580 of it.

00:40:18.240 Would you

00:40:18.960 give me that?

00:40:20.820 It's fair to

00:40:21.740 presume guilt,

00:40:23.040 because the

00:40:24.040 burden is on

00:40:24.620 them to prove

00:40:25.320 it, but

00:40:26.560 there's no

00:40:26.960 evidence of

00:40:27.520 it that I'm

00:40:29.260 aware of.

00:40:29.700 Now, if

00:40:32.960 there is

00:40:33.900 evidence that

00:40:35.180 somebody in

00:40:35.760 the government

00:40:36.180 or pharma

00:40:36.660 lied about

00:40:37.520 the knowledge

00:40:38.880 that boosters

00:40:39.460 would be even

00:40:40.240 likely, tweet

00:40:43.220 that at me,

00:40:43.940 because I've

00:40:44.280 not seen

00:40:44.620 anything like

00:40:45.060 that.

00:40:47.660 When they

00:40:48.340 said that

00:40:48.720 hydroxychloroquine

00:40:49.720 was not safe

00:40:50.560 for children,

00:40:51.560 they lied.

00:40:52.180 or was

00:40:54.400 that a

00:40:55.040 different

00:40:55.380 opinion?

00:40:56.400 Because you

00:40:57.020 could imagine

00:40:57.600 that if

00:40:59.280 somebody said,

00:41:00.300 I believe,

00:41:01.160 right or

00:41:01.660 wrong, but

00:41:02.280 let's say a

00:41:02.980 doctor believed

00:41:03.840 that hydroxychloroquine

00:41:05.440 had zero use

00:41:06.480 for COVID,

00:41:08.000 but every

00:41:08.900 drug has at

00:41:09.780 least some

00:41:10.240 risk for

00:41:10.800 somebody,

00:41:11.920 then you

00:41:12.660 would say it's

00:41:13.120 too risky for

00:41:13.780 children.

00:41:14.820 That sounds

00:41:15.700 like an

00:41:16.060 opinion.

00:41:16.600 It doesn't

00:41:16.980 sound like a

00:41:17.680 lie, because I

00:41:19.860 don't know who

00:41:20.240 would have the

00:41:20.640 reason to lie

00:41:21.780 about that.

00:41:23.420 No vax

00:41:24.080 passports.

00:41:25.120 See, everything

00:41:25.760 here is about

00:41:26.660 bad predictions.

00:41:28.960 I do believe

00:41:29.860 that the

00:41:30.380 government

00:41:30.760 wouldn't want

00:41:32.300 to do vaccine

00:41:33.180 passports,

00:41:34.500 but may have

00:41:35.880 evolved into

00:41:36.980 that position.

00:41:38.020 So I don't

00:41:38.440 think you can

00:41:38.860 say they're

00:41:39.240 lying if they

00:41:40.360 have one

00:41:40.740 position in

00:41:41.580 one situation.

00:41:42.900 You get more

00:41:43.740 data and they

00:41:44.380 change their

00:41:44.860 position.

00:41:45.900 That could be

00:41:46.520 incompetence,

00:41:47.280 it could be

00:41:47.700 lying, it

00:41:48.320 could be just

00:41:48.740 being wrong,

00:41:50.020 it could be

00:41:50.440 predicting badly.

00:41:52.220 How do you

00:41:52.660 sort that out?

00:41:54.940 I'm with you

00:41:55.800 on the

00:41:56.160 presumption of

00:41:56.900 lying.

00:41:58.460 Can we meet

00:41:59.080 in the middle?

00:42:00.320 Can we meet

00:42:00.860 in the middle

00:42:01.220 and say that

00:42:02.020 I 100% agree

00:42:03.660 with you that

00:42:04.980 if you start

00:42:05.720 with the

00:42:06.120 presumption of

00:42:06.920 guilt, that's

00:42:08.600 a better system

00:42:09.320 than the

00:42:09.860 presumption of

00:42:10.440 innocence until

00:42:11.140 proven guilty?

00:42:12.660 Does everybody

00:42:13.320 agree with

00:42:13.740 that?

00:42:16.580 It's just a

00:42:17.340 better system.

00:42:18.400 Presume the

00:42:18.940 government lied

00:42:19.540 to you until

00:42:20.280 they proved

00:42:20.680 they haven't.

00:42:23.360 Could they?

00:42:24.340 I don't know

00:42:24.780 if you could

00:42:25.100 prove that,

00:42:25.920 it would be

00:42:26.260 tough to

00:42:26.600 prove, but

00:42:27.580 you should

00:42:28.020 still have

00:42:28.460 the transparency.

00:42:29.680 So maybe

00:42:30.060 this is where

00:42:31.120 many of you

00:42:32.240 who have

00:42:32.700 been quite

00:42:33.640 uncomfortable

00:42:34.260 with my

00:42:34.800 position,

00:42:35.880 maybe this

00:42:36.300 is where

00:42:36.580 we can

00:42:36.920 come together.

00:42:40.280 I'm kind

00:42:40.980 of adamant

00:42:41.680 about not

00:42:42.360 drawing judgments

00:42:43.140 without evidence.

00:42:44.280 And a lot

00:42:46.180 of the claims

00:42:46.920 against the

00:42:47.460 government are

00:42:48.040 evidence-free

00:42:48.880 claims, based

00:42:49.660 on history,

00:42:50.860 based on not

00:42:51.440 trusting them.

00:42:52.400 But I'm

00:42:52.900 completely with

00:42:53.680 you on the

00:42:54.920 history and

00:42:55.480 not trusting

00:42:56.040 them.

00:42:58.160 And I think

00:42:58.940 where we can

00:42:59.420 meet in the

00:42:59.740 middle is we

00:43:00.800 just agree that

00:43:01.500 the burden is

00:43:02.180 on them, and

00:43:03.460 you have to

00:43:03.980 start with the

00:43:04.460 assumption of

00:43:05.180 bad intention.

00:43:07.880 That's fair.

00:43:09.720 There's no

00:43:10.240 presumption of

00:43:10.880 innocence for the

00:43:11.620 government.

00:43:12.660 There's also,

00:43:13.780 in my opinion,

00:43:15.460 no direct

00:43:16.100 evidence that

00:43:16.780 somebody lied

00:43:17.440 about some

00:43:18.200 of these big

00:43:18.620 things.

00:43:19.380 There is

00:43:19.800 direct evidence

00:43:20.480 they lied

00:43:20.880 about the

00:43:21.220 masks.

00:43:24.060 All right,

00:43:24.240 let me list

00:43:25.140 some of my

00:43:25.720 predictions that

00:43:26.540 I think I

00:43:27.280 got right

00:43:28.060 about COVID,

00:43:30.960 and then you

00:43:32.020 can tell me

00:43:32.520 some I got

00:43:33.020 wrong.

00:43:34.220 On the list

00:43:35.000 of things I

00:43:35.580 got wrong,

00:43:36.740 there were,

00:43:37.280 at different

00:43:37.740 times, I had

00:43:38.420 different estimates

00:43:39.240 of death,

00:43:40.560 ultimate death

00:43:41.300 rates.

00:43:42.800 So, as

00:43:43.660 the data

00:43:45.040 changed, or

00:43:45.760 what we knew

00:43:46.180 changed, I

00:43:46.800 changed my

00:43:47.280 opinion about

00:43:47.780 the death

00:43:48.100 rates.

00:43:48.900 So, if you

00:43:49.340 wanted to

00:43:50.340 mark me as

00:43:51.780 wrong in

00:43:52.700 my initial

00:43:53.200 ones, because

00:43:53.860 when we did

00:43:54.400 the two-week

00:43:55.140 lockdown, I

00:43:56.520 thought,

00:43:56.860 whoa, if the

00:43:58.220 experts think

00:43:58.920 we can get

00:43:59.400 through this

00:43:59.840 with a two-week

00:44:00.560 lockdown, the

00:44:02.160 death rate's

00:44:02.700 going to be

00:44:03.140 less than

00:44:04.260 the regular

00:44:04.720 flu.

00:44:05.900 Should be,

00:44:06.600 maybe we

00:44:07.500 even save

00:44:07.980 lives.

00:44:09.040 But, that

00:44:09.740 was based on

00:44:10.300 the assumption

00:44:10.720 that the

00:44:11.860 two-week

00:44:12.460 flattened

00:44:14.020 the curve

00:44:14.420 had a

00:44:14.820 chance.

00:44:16.200 So, that

00:44:17.040 failed

00:44:17.500 completely.

00:44:19.360 And, not

00:44:20.420 long after

00:44:20.940 that, my

00:44:21.780 estimate of

00:44:22.380 death was

00:44:23.720 over a

00:44:24.240 million.

00:44:24.460 I think you

00:44:26.720 can check this

00:44:27.480 in my record.

00:44:28.700 Now, it looks

00:44:29.680 like we'll cross

00:44:30.380 a million pretty

00:44:31.000 easily.

00:44:32.000 And, my

00:44:32.400 biggest

00:44:32.720 disagreement

00:44:33.280 was with

00:44:34.380 people who

00:44:34.880 said it

00:44:35.380 would be

00:44:35.840 under

00:44:36.780 100,000,

00:44:38.400 which would

00:44:39.180 put it in

00:44:39.760 regular flu

00:44:40.600 range, say

00:44:42.100 some, not

00:44:42.880 me, but

00:44:43.360 say some.

00:44:45.520 And, I

00:44:46.260 always said

00:44:46.860 that the

00:44:47.160 death rate

00:44:47.580 would be

00:44:47.980 way more

00:44:48.580 than, once

00:44:49.520 we got

00:44:49.860 going, after

00:44:50.560 we got

00:44:50.840 past that

00:44:51.300 two-week

00:44:51.640 period and

00:44:52.220 it looked

00:44:52.560 more serious.

00:44:56.000 To me, it

00:44:56.680 looked like,

00:44:58.780 Scott, you

00:44:59.480 said real

00:44:59.940 death count

00:45:00.440 is closer to

00:45:01.200 225, find

00:45:03.080 me the

00:45:03.520 source of

00:45:04.160 that.

00:45:04.700 Because I

00:45:05.040 know that

00:45:05.440 during the

00:45:05.940 course of

00:45:06.640 the pandemic

00:45:07.300 I've revised

00:45:08.360 my death

00:45:08.920 counts a

00:45:09.340 number of

00:45:09.620 times.

00:45:10.340 So, here's

00:45:11.040 what I'll

00:45:11.660 say.

00:45:13.080 The correct

00:45:15.580 predictions that

00:45:16.860 I'll claim are

00:45:18.380 that it was

00:45:18.940 not a

00:45:19.600 regular flu.

00:45:21.520 Some of

00:45:22.220 you are still

00:45:22.740 back in

00:45:23.240 regular flu

00:45:23.880 territory.

00:45:25.000 But, from

00:45:26.720 the start, I

00:45:28.440 said this is

00:45:29.040 not like the

00:45:29.620 regular flu and

00:45:31.100 the risk of

00:45:31.960 it is much

00:45:32.420 higher.

00:45:33.420 You will

00:45:33.840 remember that

00:45:34.460 I was, I

00:45:35.520 think, one of

00:45:36.100 the first one

00:45:37.220 or two public

00:45:38.700 figures, Jack

00:45:39.460 Posobiec was

00:45:40.120 there early

00:45:40.660 too, to

00:45:42.060 call for

00:45:42.640 China to

00:45:44.120 close travel

00:45:44.900 or for us

00:45:45.800 to close

00:45:46.120 travel with

00:45:46.600 China, at

00:45:48.080 least a week

00:45:48.560 before the

00:45:48.980 president closed

00:45:49.700 it.

00:45:50.840 So, if you

00:45:51.820 go back to

00:45:52.400 my original

00:45:53.240 close the

00:45:53.920 border, you

00:45:54.400 can see that

00:45:54.980 I was concerned

00:45:55.880 that this was

00:45:56.460 not the

00:45:56.900 regular flu.

00:45:58.280 Until we

00:45:58.780 do, right?

00:45:59.560 It was a

00:46:00.020 fog of 0.95

00:46:00.820 war, so

00:46:03.000 it just

00:46:03.240 seemed, you

00:46:03.820 know, closing

00:46:04.700 the border

00:46:05.100 until we

00:46:05.580 knew what

00:46:05.900 was what

00:46:06.320 just made

00:46:06.840 sense.

00:46:09.720 There was

00:46:10.440 a time, and

00:46:12.420 I have to

00:46:13.180 give you a

00:46:13.580 confession.

00:46:19.680 I did

00:46:20.340 lie to

00:46:20.740 you.

00:46:23.360 I did

00:46:24.100 lie to

00:46:24.520 you.

00:46:26.080 It's kind

00:46:26.720 of hard for

00:46:27.120 me to say.

00:46:27.560 during the

00:46:30.200 pandemic, I

00:46:32.080 told you a

00:46:32.800 lie that

00:46:34.020 was a

00:46:34.420 whopper, like

00:46:35.940 a really

00:46:36.260 big one.

00:46:38.260 And I

00:46:38.800 told it a

00:46:39.300 lot of

00:46:39.620 times.

00:46:41.020 A lot

00:46:41.660 of times.

00:46:42.420 Do you

00:46:42.600 know what

00:46:42.780 it was?

00:46:47.120 Does

00:46:47.520 anybody know?

00:46:49.260 No, not

00:46:49.880 about masks.

00:46:50.580 I was right

00:46:51.180 about masks

00:46:51.840 from the

00:46:52.260 start.

00:46:52.580 or it

00:46:54.760 seems.

00:46:55.560 I mean, maybe

00:46:56.100 we could.

00:46:57.220 Not about the

00:46:57.940 vaccine.

00:46:59.060 Nope.

00:47:00.420 Not about the

00:47:01.120 vaccinations, or

00:47:02.100 at least as

00:47:02.400 far as not.

00:47:02.960 Not about the

00:47:03.600 origin, not

00:47:04.500 about the

00:47:04.840 golden age.

00:47:05.520 I think we

00:47:06.260 are in the

00:47:06.620 golden age.

00:47:07.600 We're looking

00:47:08.000 good for

00:47:08.360 that.

00:47:09.840 You got the

00:47:10.600 virus?

00:47:11.200 No.

00:47:12.840 It's way

00:47:13.440 worse than

00:47:13.840 that.

00:47:16.120 All right.

00:47:17.060 Let me give

00:47:17.760 you some

00:47:17.960 background.

00:47:18.720 I'm going to

00:47:19.260 open the

00:47:20.380 kimono a

00:47:21.060 little bit

00:47:21.400 here.

00:47:22.580 When the

00:47:25.080 original, and

00:47:26.440 you've heard

00:47:26.740 parts of

00:47:27.240 this, maybe,

00:47:28.020 but this

00:47:30.340 was pure

00:47:30.820 dishonesty.

00:47:32.900 This was

00:47:33.300 pure

00:47:33.600 dishonesty.

00:47:35.620 In the

00:47:36.280 beginning of

00:47:36.720 the pandemic,

00:47:37.540 I heard

00:47:38.260 from some

00:47:38.760 of the

00:47:39.040 smartest

00:47:39.380 people in

00:47:41.220 the country

00:47:41.680 that we

00:47:43.260 were totally

00:47:43.960 fucked, and 0.98

00:47:45.640 that civilization

00:47:46.580 had a few

00:47:48.580 weeks left

00:47:49.180 in it, and

00:47:50.780 that it

00:47:51.180 wasn't so

00:47:51.680 much that

00:47:52.060 the virus

00:47:52.560 would kill

00:47:53.000 us, but

00:47:53.820 the disruption

00:47:54.600 in all of

00:47:55.520 our systems

00:47:56.200 would crash

00:47:57.520 the entire

00:47:58.060 system.

00:47:59.440 In other

00:47:59.840 words, the

00:48:00.460 psychology of

00:48:01.480 the pandemic

00:48:02.020 would destroy

00:48:03.420 civilization.

00:48:06.720 And I

00:48:07.520 believed there

00:48:09.780 was a really

00:48:10.200 good chance

00:48:10.740 that that

00:48:11.040 would happen.

00:48:13.840 Because the

00:48:14.740 argument for

00:48:15.460 it was pretty

00:48:16.940 damn good.

00:48:17.500 that the

00:48:18.960 virus would

00:48:19.600 be bad, but

00:48:20.580 the reaction

00:48:21.200 to it would

00:48:21.760 be far

00:48:22.160 worse.

00:48:23.240 And that

00:48:23.560 as soon as

00:48:24.060 you introduce

00:48:24.820 friction into

00:48:26.340 all these

00:48:26.760 systems that

00:48:27.420 are interconnected,

00:48:29.400 the interconnectivity

00:48:30.760 of it would

00:48:31.720 just crash the

00:48:32.480 whole system.

00:48:34.440 And that's

00:48:35.240 what I

00:48:35.580 believed was

00:48:36.940 very likely for

00:48:39.100 the first few

00:48:39.780 months of the

00:48:40.240 pandemic.

00:48:41.920 And I lied

00:48:42.860 to you.

00:48:43.840 I lied to you.

00:48:44.860 I told you

00:48:46.300 everything would

00:48:46.780 be fine.

00:48:50.060 I told you

00:48:50.960 that we would

00:48:51.620 work it out

00:48:52.260 and that the

00:48:54.000 human ability

00:48:55.760 would overcome

00:48:57.000 all of these

00:48:58.020 problems.

00:48:59.200 And every day

00:48:59.900 I came on

00:49:00.580 live stream and

00:49:01.360 told you,

00:49:01.780 you know,

00:49:02.040 you're going

00:49:02.280 to be fine.

00:49:03.580 We're going

00:49:03.940 to work this

00:49:04.340 out.

00:49:06.020 And I lied

00:49:06.800 to you.

00:49:11.660 Now,

00:49:12.900 I lied to you

00:49:13.740 for a purpose

00:49:14.440 and the

00:49:16.120 purpose was

00:49:16.860 that if

00:49:17.920 mass psychology

00:49:19.240 was the

00:49:20.020 big risk,

00:49:21.720 that somebody

00:49:22.320 needed to

00:49:22.900 turn that

00:49:23.380 ship.

00:49:24.720 You will

00:49:25.280 recall that

00:49:25.940 a great many

00:49:26.640 people in

00:49:27.120 the media,

00:49:27.860 well,

00:49:28.060 actually,

00:49:28.320 you don't

00:49:28.560 know this,

00:49:29.060 but a lot

00:49:29.360 of people

00:49:29.620 in the

00:49:29.860 media have

00:49:31.080 said to

00:49:31.580 me privately

00:49:32.220 that I

00:49:33.520 kept them

00:49:34.100 sane

00:49:34.480 during that

00:49:36.380 period.

00:49:36.960 Because I

00:49:37.380 think I

00:49:37.860 was the

00:49:38.300 most,

00:49:38.940 let's say,

00:49:40.360 calming voice

00:49:41.400 that we could

00:49:42.760 get through

00:49:43.180 this that

00:49:44.660 I heard.

00:49:45.320 I mean,

00:49:45.580 I didn't hear

00:49:46.320 anybody else

00:49:47.080 telling you

00:49:48.600 every day

00:49:49.100 that we

00:49:49.700 know how

00:49:50.000 to fix

00:49:50.320 this.

00:49:51.000 Like,

00:49:51.220 we'll figure

00:49:51.760 it out.

00:49:52.420 We'll get

00:49:52.860 through this.

00:49:54.160 And I

00:49:55.880 did that

00:49:56.420 because that's

00:49:57.860 how you get

00:49:58.300 through it.

00:50:00.860 That's how you

00:50:01.560 get through

00:50:01.860 it.

00:50:02.920 And by

00:50:03.860 persuading

00:50:04.360 people that

00:50:05.000 they would

00:50:05.320 be fine,

00:50:06.920 you could

00:50:07.380 reduce maybe

00:50:08.140 the hoarding,

00:50:09.560 because the

00:50:09.940 hoarding could

00:50:10.460 have taken us

00:50:10.980 down,

00:50:11.320 right?

00:50:12.100 The hoarding

00:50:12.860 of goods

00:50:14.220 alone could

00:50:15.680 have crashed

00:50:16.120 civilization.

00:50:18.060 It could

00:50:18.480 have.

00:50:19.220 And I

00:50:20.680 needed to

00:50:21.240 help at

00:50:21.920 least take

00:50:22.360 the edge

00:50:22.800 off.

00:50:24.040 Just take

00:50:24.820 the edge

00:50:25.320 off.

00:50:26.940 And so,

00:50:28.020 while I was

00:50:28.980 more afraid

00:50:29.940 than anything

00:50:30.560 I've ever

00:50:31.060 feared in

00:50:31.580 my life,

00:50:32.960 in the early

00:50:33.880 parts of the

00:50:34.400 pandemic,

00:50:35.900 I lied to

00:50:37.000 you and

00:50:37.700 said,

00:50:38.140 it looks

00:50:38.500 fine.

00:50:38.900 We're going

00:50:39.180 to be

00:50:39.300 good.

00:50:39.660 We'll

00:50:39.920 work

00:50:40.120 through

00:50:40.300 this.

00:50:41.760 Now,

00:50:42.560 that's my

00:50:44.000 confession.

00:50:45.620 Now,

00:50:46.040 I like to

00:50:46.860 think that I

00:50:47.300 lied to you

00:50:47.780 for a good

00:50:48.160 purpose,

00:50:49.600 and that it

00:50:50.820 had a utility,

00:50:52.760 and that that

00:50:53.300 utility was

00:50:54.580 good for me,

00:50:55.980 right?

00:50:56.400 Everybody has a

00:50:57.180 personal interest

00:50:57.840 in everything,

00:50:58.880 but primarily

00:51:00.540 to keep the

00:51:01.180 world running,

00:51:02.700 right?

00:51:03.380 It was mostly

00:51:04.200 about keeping

00:51:04.700 the damn

00:51:05.220 world running.

00:51:07.220 I think I

00:51:07.680 even told you

00:51:08.220 you wouldn't

00:51:08.740 run out of

00:51:09.200 toilet paper.

00:51:10.560 I think I

00:51:11.220 told you

00:51:11.520 that.

00:51:12.260 We came

00:51:12.640 close to

00:51:13.400 running out,

00:51:14.040 but we

00:51:14.420 didn't.

00:51:15.300 Now,

00:51:16.480 let me

00:51:17.180 promise you

00:51:18.060 this.

00:51:20.020 I'll make

00:51:20.680 you a 0.57

00:51:20.900 promise.

00:51:21.780 If there's

00:51:22.440 ever another

00:51:22.960 situation

00:51:23.660 in which I

00:51:27.460 have this

00:51:27.940 choice again,

00:51:29.160 where I can

00:51:29.960 either be

00:51:30.400 honest,

00:51:31.880 or I can

00:51:32.420 try to save

00:51:33.060 your life,

00:51:34.400 I'm going

00:51:35.180 to lie to

00:51:35.580 you again.

00:51:36.040 because I'm

00:51:38.340 still going

00:51:38.640 to try to

00:51:39.000 save your

00:51:39.360 life.

00:51:40.740 I'm not

00:51:41.420 going to

00:51:42.860 put honesty

00:51:43.840 over your

00:51:44.640 damn life.

00:51:46.580 So,

00:51:47.120 I apologize.

00:51:51.520 This is my

00:51:52.500 formal

00:51:53.060 admission of

00:51:54.420 lying to

00:51:55.060 you all.

00:51:55.780 Big lie.

00:51:57.100 I mean,

00:51:57.300 that's a big

00:51:57.680 lie.

00:51:58.760 There's no

00:51:59.200 way to

00:52:00.380 sugarcoat

00:52:00.880 that.

00:52:01.780 But I

00:52:03.480 did it for

00:52:03.940 that purpose

00:52:04.940 and that

00:52:05.400 intention.

00:52:06.700 And I

00:52:09.900 think it

00:52:10.180 worked.

00:52:11.760 I think

00:52:12.460 it worked.

00:52:13.820 So,

00:52:14.400 if it

00:52:14.640 worked for

00:52:15.080 you,

00:52:16.560 thank you.

00:52:18.240 Apology

00:52:18.520 accepted.

00:52:22.540 Yeah,

00:52:23.020 the big

00:52:23.280 lie.

00:52:26.640 And,

00:52:27.240 you know,

00:52:27.540 I did

00:52:27.860 have two

00:52:28.300 competing

00:52:28.760 thoughts,

00:52:29.760 you know,

00:52:29.960 to be

00:52:30.220 honest.

00:52:30.880 My

00:52:31.300 competing

00:52:31.700 thought was

00:52:32.320 that we

00:52:32.660 would get

00:52:33.060 through it.

00:52:34.400 But,

00:52:34.880 you know,

00:52:35.320 it was

00:52:36.040 really competitive

00:52:38.060 with my

00:52:38.740 thought that

00:52:39.320 we're really,

00:52:40.500 really close,

00:52:42.120 really,

00:52:42.620 really close

00:52:43.140 to something

00:52:43.660 bad.

00:52:45.060 Now,

00:52:45.760 having had a

00:52:46.760 test run

00:52:47.540 with a

00:52:47.900 pandemic,

00:52:49.040 what's going

00:52:49.600 to happen

00:52:49.900 if another

00:52:50.400 pandemic hits?

00:52:52.120 Well,

00:52:52.640 it won't be

00:52:53.040 as bad.

00:52:54.060 I mean,

00:52:54.380 you can

00:52:54.700 imagine the

00:52:55.220 virus itself

00:52:55.860 might be

00:52:56.220 worse.

00:52:56.820 But let's

00:52:57.080 say it's

00:52:57.300 another

00:52:57.540 pandemic of

00:52:58.300 this scale.

00:53:00.000 I feel

00:53:00.480 like we

00:53:00.880 could just

00:53:01.340 paddle right

00:53:03.060 through it,

00:53:04.420 just like a

00:53:05.600 hot knife

00:53:06.780 through butter.

00:53:08.760 So,

00:53:09.280 we're definitely

00:53:09.620 in better

00:53:09.900 shape than

00:53:10.240 we've ever

00:53:10.520 been.

00:53:10.940 Let me

00:53:11.280 make my

00:53:11.780 argument for

00:53:12.400 the golden

00:53:12.780 age.

00:53:14.060 You've

00:53:14.360 heard it

00:53:14.580 before.

00:53:15.640 Nuclear

00:53:16.060 power is

00:53:16.900 back.

00:53:18.320 Climate

00:53:18.600 change,

00:53:19.200 in my

00:53:19.480 opinion,

00:53:20.400 is largely

00:53:20.980 solved in

00:53:22.020 the sense

00:53:22.380 that we

00:53:22.680 know how

00:53:23.020 to build

00:53:23.500 enough

00:53:24.240 solar

00:53:24.640 panels

00:53:25.080 and

00:53:25.460 batteries

00:53:25.820 and

00:53:26.640 nuclear

00:53:26.980 power

00:53:27.300 plants

00:53:27.700 to have

00:53:28.000 all the

00:53:28.260 energy

00:53:28.560 we

00:53:28.820 need.

00:53:29.960 So,

00:53:30.460 we do

00:53:30.620 know how

00:53:30.920 to do

00:53:31.200 it.

00:53:32.000 And we

00:53:32.220 do know

00:53:32.480 how to

00:53:32.700 mitigate

00:53:33.040 against

00:53:33.520 the

00:53:33.960 warming

00:53:34.240 that there

00:53:34.620 will be.

00:53:35.320 We do

00:53:35.700 know how

00:53:36.080 to reforest

00:53:36.840 the

00:53:38.000 deserts.

00:53:38.880 We can

00:53:39.360 reforest

00:53:39.820 deserts.

00:53:40.820 That's

00:53:41.040 like real.

00:53:41.680 We can

00:53:41.900 do that

00:53:42.180 now.

00:53:43.440 And so,

00:53:46.280 you're lying

00:53:47.140 again.

00:53:48.120 Somebody

00:53:48.380 says.

00:53:49.120 No,

00:53:49.320 actually,

00:53:49.640 this I

00:53:49.920 believe.

00:53:51.000 So,

00:53:51.240 this stuff,

00:53:51.920 I believe.

00:53:54.100 I believe

00:53:55.000 that the

00:53:55.520 mRNA

00:53:56.200 platforms

00:53:57.140 will end

00:53:58.560 up being

00:54:00.480 used for

00:54:01.080 curing cancer

00:54:01.980 and a

00:54:02.400 variety of

00:54:02.800 other things.

00:54:03.700 I think

00:54:04.000 that one

00:54:05.940 of the

00:54:06.300 weird side

00:54:07.400 effects of

00:54:08.080 the pandemic,

00:54:10.460 I don't know

00:54:11.000 if I've

00:54:11.220 mentioned this

00:54:11.640 before,

00:54:12.140 but what

00:54:12.540 happens when

00:54:12.980 you take

00:54:13.280 all the

00:54:13.660 medical

00:54:14.080 experts in

00:54:14.780 the world

00:54:15.200 and you

00:54:16.080 give them a

00:54:16.580 reason to

00:54:17.060 communicate with

00:54:17.780 each other

00:54:18.280 and the

00:54:19.500 medical

00:54:19.780 scientists.

00:54:20.960 I feel as

00:54:21.740 though the

00:54:22.100 connections that

00:54:22.880 were made

00:54:23.340 at the

00:54:24.380 top level

00:54:25.280 of the

00:54:26.220 medical

00:54:26.500 community

00:54:27.100 are,

00:54:28.300 oh my

00:54:29.240 God,

00:54:29.720 valuable.

00:54:31.220 Like,

00:54:31.620 maybe nothing

00:54:32.800 more valuable

00:54:33.540 has ever

00:54:34.000 happened,

00:54:34.400 you know,

00:54:36.620 in recent

00:54:37.480 civilization.

00:54:38.900 But it's

00:54:39.220 sort of

00:54:39.520 invisible,

00:54:40.360 because it's

00:54:40.960 just a bunch

00:54:41.420 of people

00:54:41.780 who have

00:54:42.000 met each

00:54:42.420 other.

00:54:43.460 Well,

00:54:43.620 that's all

00:54:44.040 you know.

00:54:44.960 It's like,

00:54:45.220 oh,

00:54:45.440 all the

00:54:45.960 experts know

00:54:47.700 how to

00:54:48.200 contact

00:54:48.540 each other

00:54:49.120 and share

00:54:49.540 information

00:54:50.020 now in

00:54:50.780 a way

00:54:51.000 they never

00:54:51.360 could before.

00:54:53.040 That's

00:54:53.380 sort of

00:54:53.640 like Silicon

00:54:54.800 Valley is

00:54:55.600 formed.

00:54:56.800 Well,

00:54:57.260 they haven't

00:54:57.660 done much

00:54:58.160 yet,

00:54:58.540 but all

00:54:58.900 the really

00:54:59.240 smart

00:54:59.580 technical

00:55:00.020 people seem

00:55:01.220 to be

00:55:01.540 moving into

00:55:02.100 the same

00:55:02.520 area of

00:55:02.900 the country.

00:55:04.040 Let's

00:55:04.340 watch and

00:55:04.940 see what

00:55:05.220 happens,

00:55:05.940 right,

00:55:06.400 now that

00:55:06.900 they all

00:55:07.180 know each

00:55:07.580 other and

00:55:07.920 they're in

00:55:08.140 the same

00:55:08.420 place.

00:55:09.800 So,

00:55:10.500 that's a

00:55:10.920 big deal.

00:55:14.580 My biggest

00:55:15.600 problem is

00:55:16.280 inflation,

00:55:17.000 but that

00:55:17.680 ends up

00:55:18.060 just being

00:55:18.500 a stealth

00:55:19.260 tax and

00:55:20.760 I think

00:55:21.640 we can

00:55:21.920 survive

00:55:22.260 taxes.

00:55:24.220 Is this

00:55:24.820 my way

00:55:25.240 of doing

00:55:25.560 year-end

00:55:25.900 review?

00:55:26.440 Yeah.

00:55:26.840 I'm trying

00:55:27.220 to give

00:55:27.500 you the

00:55:27.940 optimistic

00:55:28.540 view that

00:55:30.320 the,

00:55:31.500 I guess

00:55:35.040 the weight

00:55:35.520 of the

00:55:35.840 pandemic

00:55:36.280 makes us

00:55:37.780 blind to

00:55:38.420 other things.

00:55:39.280 This is

00:55:39.620 another example

00:55:40.260 of cognitive

00:55:40.940 blindness.

00:55:41.960 Because our

00:55:42.580 attention is

00:55:43.260 being put on

00:55:43.900 the, you

00:55:44.440 know,

00:55:44.620 COVID,

00:55:45.020 COVID,

00:55:45.320 COVID stuff.

00:55:45.740 And you

00:55:46.980 can, you

00:55:47.900 can just

00:55:48.240 miss the

00:55:48.780 fact that,

00:55:50.380 well, here's

00:55:51.000 one.

00:55:52.140 Manufacturing

00:55:52.740 will probably

00:55:54.620 be migrating

00:55:55.520 back from

00:55:56.020 China.

00:55:56.920 And that's

00:55:57.300 something that

00:55:57.700 happened this

00:55:58.120 year.

00:55:59.760 That's

00:56:00.320 gigantic.

00:56:01.460 That is

00:56:02.040 so big.

00:56:05.120 Elon Musk

00:56:06.100 put a rocket

00:56:06.880 into space

00:56:07.700 and, you

00:56:10.720 know, now

00:56:11.000 he can

00:56:11.400 retrieve his

00:56:12.240 rockets and

00:56:12.840 reuse them.

00:56:13.400 So space

00:56:14.520 travel just

00:56:15.180 made a

00:56:15.660 gigantic

00:56:16.500 move forward

00:56:17.500 on economics

00:56:19.600 alone, not

00:56:20.820 just feasibility.

00:56:22.740 And so

00:56:24.060 we're, you

00:56:24.880 know, we've

00:56:25.420 entered space

00:56:26.740 like we've

00:56:27.220 never done,

00:56:28.060 we've got

00:56:28.520 nuclear like

00:56:29.300 we've never

00:56:29.720 done, we're

00:56:31.140 this close to

00:56:32.000 curing cancer

00:56:33.380 and the

00:56:34.660 common cold.

00:56:35.360 You know, we

00:56:37.960 are so

00:56:38.740 swimming in

00:56:40.640 good news,

00:56:41.420 things, but

00:56:42.820 it's invisible.

00:56:44.960 It's invisible

00:56:46.240 because we're

00:56:46.920 focusing in the

00:56:47.620 wrong place.

00:56:51.420 You know, we

00:56:52.380 have massive

00:56:53.080 crime waves and

00:56:54.980 stuff like that,

00:56:55.720 which is even

00:56:56.340 affecting my

00:56:56.920 neighborhood, by

00:56:57.860 the way.

00:56:58.260 I live in

00:56:59.000 about the

00:57:00.540 safest place you

00:57:01.400 could live in

00:57:01.880 the United

00:57:02.280 States, short

00:57:04.140 of some

00:57:05.840 really rural

00:57:06.800 place.

00:57:08.040 But my

00:57:08.560 neighborhood is

00:57:09.340 like full of

00:57:10.100 crime now.

00:57:11.300 Like, we're

00:57:12.020 organizing, as

00:57:15.120 well-off

00:57:16.280 neighborhoods do,

00:57:17.200 we're organizing,

00:57:18.400 you know, the

00:57:18.960 neighborhood watch

00:57:21.020 and, you know,

00:57:21.940 we're putting up

00:57:22.780 video everywhere.

00:57:24.480 I mean, we'll

00:57:24.820 have video of

00:57:25.460 every inch of

00:57:26.180 the neighborhood

00:57:26.640 pretty soon.

00:57:28.020 And we're

00:57:29.660 talking about

00:57:30.120 hiring our own

00:57:30.860 security, as

00:57:33.720 probably a lot of

00:57:34.540 neighborhoods are.

00:57:35.100 so, you

00:57:37.580 know, that's

00:57:38.960 how bad the

00:57:39.420 crime has come

00:57:40.500 that it reached

00:57:41.000 my neighborhood.

00:57:42.120 And I moved

00:57:43.180 to a place where

00:57:44.100 there would be

00:57:44.420 no crime, right?

00:57:45.880 I mean, I

00:57:46.400 picked this town

00:57:47.400 in large part

00:57:49.040 because, well,

00:57:50.280 there'll never be

00:57:50.780 a crime wave,

00:57:51.640 but there is.

00:57:53.760 So, anyway,

00:57:58.600 I think that

00:57:59.600 psychedelics will 0.99

00:58:00.960 be approved

00:58:02.100 more so than

00:58:03.660 the beginning.

00:58:05.580 I think that

00:58:06.560 the mental health

00:58:08.380 crisis in this

00:58:09.360 country is

00:58:11.300 about this

00:58:12.320 close to being

00:58:13.040 solved.

00:58:14.880 Do you believe

00:58:15.660 that?

00:58:16.880 Massive mental

00:58:17.740 health problem

00:58:18.840 in the country.

00:58:20.380 About that close

00:58:21.620 to being solved

00:58:22.600 with hallucinogens.

00:58:26.540 See, if you're

00:58:27.880 not up on this

00:58:28.700 topic, you don't

00:58:29.640 know how powerful

00:58:30.520 this is.

00:58:31.680 There are people

00:58:32.340 who have, you

00:58:33.060 know, quit

00:58:33.900 addictions and

00:58:35.420 lost lifetime of

00:58:36.580 depression on

00:58:37.880 one psychedelic

00:58:39.060 experience.

00:58:40.720 And it's fairly

00:58:41.520 common.

00:58:42.740 And apparently

00:58:43.220 it's reproducible.

00:58:45.760 So, big pharma

00:58:48.540 won't allow it?

00:58:49.240 Yeah, they will.

00:58:49.740 They'll just get in

00:58:50.380 on it.

00:58:51.360 Big pharma will

00:58:52.300 find a way to

00:58:52.900 make some money

00:58:53.560 on it.

00:58:55.160 So, you can

00:58:55.960 doubt it, but

00:58:57.220 there are certainly

00:58:58.840 strong indications

00:58:59.780 that that's going

00:59:00.800 to happen.

00:59:05.120 How to make

00:59:05.860 things worse.

00:59:06.960 No, I think

00:59:07.380 the psychedelics

00:59:09.260 will be used

00:59:09.840 within a medical

00:59:10.600 context.

00:59:12.060 We just need

00:59:12.820 to get that

00:59:13.220 approved.

00:59:15.160 Pushing more

00:59:15.860 drugs.

00:59:16.580 Well, we are

00:59:18.100 a drug-addled

00:59:19.300 world.

00:59:20.360 I think the

00:59:21.200 biggest problem

00:59:21.680 with modern

00:59:22.180 society is

00:59:23.700 social media.

00:59:24.560 I think that

00:59:25.480 broke us

00:59:26.020 all.

00:59:30.280 You're all

00:59:30.920 showing your

00:59:31.480 true colors

00:59:32.260 in the comments,

00:59:33.140 Jake says.

00:59:34.240 Yeah, the

00:59:34.860 people who are

00:59:36.240 having a bad

00:59:37.620 reaction to the

00:59:38.680 idea of

00:59:39.420 psychedelics, do 0.98

00:59:40.980 some research.

00:59:42.460 Do some

00:59:42.840 research.

00:59:43.360 If you look at

00:59:44.220 what we've

00:59:44.660 learned in the

00:59:45.200 last just few

00:59:46.100 years, you'll

00:59:48.300 be amazed.

00:59:49.500 You'll be

00:59:49.820 amazed.

00:59:50.840 A lot of that

00:59:51.460 stuff was

00:59:51.880 demonized.

00:59:52.580 And maybe

00:59:53.840 you should

00:59:54.200 demonize it

00:59:54.860 for purely

00:59:55.500 recreational

00:59:56.060 uses.

00:59:56.920 But within

00:59:57.280 the medical

00:59:57.980 context, it

00:59:59.840 is going to

01:00:01.640 be a miracle

01:00:02.140 drug.

01:00:02.960 It's going to

01:00:03.260 be a big,

01:00:03.800 big deal.

01:00:06.520 All right,

01:00:06.820 yes, government

01:00:07.420 inferred.

01:00:08.820 Stopping child

01:00:09.580 trafficking.

01:00:10.260 Well, that's a

01:00:10.640 tough one.

01:00:11.160 I don't know

01:00:11.500 that that's

01:00:11.920 going to

01:00:12.100 happen right

01:00:13.360 away.

01:00:15.420 What do

01:00:15.940 you say about

01:00:16.440 research?

01:00:17.540 What about

01:00:17.960 it?

01:00:19.160 Be more

01:00:19.580 specific.

01:00:22.580 Oh, when

01:00:27.700 somebody says

01:00:28.500 I became

01:00:28.940 vax-atoms

01:00:29.680 when I said

01:00:30.260 I got

01:00:30.980 vaxed and

01:00:31.560 I don't

01:00:31.780 care if

01:00:32.120 you die. 0.98

01:00:33.140 I think

01:00:33.400 that's

01:00:33.720 okay.

01:00:39.420 But that

01:00:40.140 was agreeing

01:00:40.700 with them.

01:00:42.160 So they're

01:00:42.840 mad at me

01:00:43.260 for agreeing

01:00:43.840 with them

01:00:44.300 that I'm

01:00:46.060 100% in

01:00:46.820 favor of

01:00:47.220 their freedom

01:00:47.660 to do

01:00:47.980 whatever they

01:00:48.380 want.

01:00:48.600 so they're

01:00:51.720 mad at me

01:00:52.160 for agreeing

01:00:52.800 with them

01:00:53.160 really hard.

01:00:54.800 I think

01:00:55.120 that's what's

01:00:55.880 happening.

01:00:57.780 You should

01:00:58.460 see the

01:00:58.800 number of

01:00:59.120 people who

01:00:59.680 are agreeing

01:01:00.380 with me

01:01:00.820 angrily.

01:01:02.520 Do you

01:01:02.800 get that?

01:01:04.020 I don't

01:01:04.700 know if

01:01:04.920 this is

01:01:05.240 just something

01:01:06.640 that happens

01:01:07.120 because of

01:01:07.560 the way I

01:01:08.160 argue with

01:01:08.760 people,

01:01:09.520 but people

01:01:10.060 will get

01:01:10.400 real mad

01:01:10.940 at me

01:01:11.180 while agreeing

01:01:11.820 with me.

01:01:16.860 That's a

01:01:17.440 weird thing.

01:01:18.600 Yeah.

01:01:19.980 Yeah, are

01:01:20.720 you following

01:01:21.120 the story

01:01:21.540 of Mike

01:01:22.000 Cernovich

01:01:22.480 was stalked

01:01:23.500 by a

01:01:24.060 guy?

01:01:25.280 At one

01:01:25.680 point he

01:01:26.060 was being

01:01:26.380 stalked by

01:01:26.960 some guy

01:01:27.420 and that

01:01:28.220 guy just

01:01:28.900 became a

01:01:29.340 mass

01:01:29.600 shooter.

01:01:34.260 That's

01:01:34.700 some scary

01:01:35.220 stuff.

01:01:37.240 I immediately

01:01:37.920 looked at

01:01:38.440 the name to

01:01:38.960 see if I'd

01:01:39.580 had any

01:01:39.900 interaction

01:01:40.400 with him,

01:01:40.800 but I

01:01:41.000 don't think

01:01:41.320 I have.

01:01:48.600 Oh, yeah.

01:01:51.340 Somebody says

01:01:51.880 Vax Adams

01:01:52.500 won't stick

01:01:53.240 because I'm

01:01:53.940 the Dilber 0.82

01:01:54.400 guy already.

01:01:55.400 Well, you

01:01:56.060 know, I

01:01:57.240 think you

01:01:57.540 can have

01:01:57.820 more than

01:01:58.120 one nickname

01:01:58.640 unfortunately.

01:01:59.080 It's cute.

01:02:11.040 All right.

01:02:12.200 That's all I

01:02:12.740 got now.

01:02:14.260 And is

01:02:14.880 everybody ready

01:02:15.780 for, is this

01:02:16.900 New Year's?

01:02:18.720 It is, right?

01:02:20.540 Is anybody

01:02:21.060 doing anything

01:02:21.600 tonight?

01:02:21.980 It's New

01:02:24.960 Year's Eve.

01:02:26.500 Like, New

01:02:26.920 Year's Eve is

01:02:27.440 usually the

01:02:27.880 one I

01:02:28.160 ignore.

01:02:29.820 I can't

01:02:31.200 really get

01:02:31.540 excited over

01:02:32.260 a random

01:02:32.840 date on a

01:02:33.580 calendar.

01:02:34.500 Random

01:02:34.900 date.

01:02:35.520 Yay, random

01:02:36.220 date.

01:02:40.180 Yeah.

01:02:40.960 I don't

01:02:41.460 drink.

01:02:44.080 So, New

01:02:45.020 Year's Eve

01:02:45.520 without alcohol

01:02:46.400 is just a

01:02:47.760 way to be

01:02:48.140 tired in the

01:02:48.680 morning.

01:02:51.980 All right.

01:02:53.640 Well, that's

01:02:53.980 all I got

01:02:54.240 for now.

01:02:55.060 Not much

01:02:55.700 news happening.

01:02:56.360 I'm sure

01:02:56.660 we'll have a

01:02:57.120 big year

01:02:57.760 coming.

01:02:58.620 I can't

01:02:59.080 wait for

01:02:59.540 the 2022

01:03:00.240 election cycle

01:03:01.420 which starts

01:03:02.540 tomorrow.

01:03:05.480 And I

01:03:07.640 hope you

01:03:07.980 got something

01:03:08.380 out of this

01:03:08.760 today.

01:03:09.680 And I

01:03:10.260 will talk

01:03:10.660 to you

01:03:11.080 in the

01:03:12.660 morning.

01:03:13.800 Maybe I'll

01:03:14.580 do a live

01:03:15.080 stream at

01:03:16.040 night.

01:03:16.980 Maybe, but

01:03:17.760 I don't know.

01:03:18.460 We'll see you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 31, 2021

Episode 1609 Scott Adams： Mass Hypnosis, Magic Tricks, Hallucinations, and COVID

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