Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1613 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Elephant in the Room That Only Some People Can See

00:00:00.000 Well, I just remembered that I forgot to tweet that YouTube would be live, too, so you might

00:00:10.040 have a smaller audience than usual.

00:00:13.560 Smaller audience, but really better in many ways.

00:00:18.180 And congratulations on making it here, because this is the best thing that will ever happen 0.99

00:00:21.460 to you in your whole damn life. 0.94

00:00:24.120 And to make it even better, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker, cello, 0.99

00:00:28.200 a seustine, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:32.860 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:35.700 I like coffee.

00:00:37.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:44.180 Some people call it sypynosis.

00:00:47.700 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:49.480 Go.

00:00:54.680 That is some good sypynosis right there.

00:00:58.200 Can you taste the persuasion?

00:01:01.660 I think you can.

00:01:02.880 I think you can.

00:01:05.360 Well, are you surprised that I'm here?

00:01:09.420 Anybody?

00:01:10.860 Because I did my best to get canceled yesterday.

00:01:14.880 Here I am.

00:01:16.540 Here I am.

00:01:17.060 Now, in case anybody missed it, I was essentially taking a challenge.

00:01:24.840 The challenge was that I could say things that violated the mainstream narrative about vaccinations,

00:01:32.080 and even, and I tossed in the election of 2016 just to make it extra dangerous.

00:01:37.760 So I violated the narrative, I think, maybe harder than anybody's ever violated it.

00:01:44.980 At least according to my viewers, they said I did succeed in violating the narrative.

00:01:50.360 Still here.

00:01:51.800 Still here.

00:01:52.880 Didn't get even demonetized.

00:01:54.800 And I get demonetized for all kinds of stuff.

00:01:58.020 Didn't get demonetized.

00:02:00.260 And did not get a strike.

00:02:03.340 Did not get a warning.

00:02:05.740 Nothing.

00:02:06.860 Nothing.

00:02:07.680 Now, I predicted that that would be the case, despite being a fairly high-profile pundit who talks about stuff in public.

00:02:17.240 Now, how many of you would accept that the test showed something?

00:02:24.620 You know, it's not science, so you can't make any hard conclusions about it.

00:02:28.880 But would you say the demonstration was useful?

00:02:33.820 I don't know if conclusive is a little bit too much to say.

00:02:38.260 But was it useful?

00:02:42.940 Yeah, Colin, I hear you.

00:02:45.640 Not yet.

00:02:46.440 Not yet.

00:02:47.240 Okay, well, maybe I'll get cancelled later.

00:02:51.880 So, a lot of the concern that I'm getting from both the reasonable critics and the unreasonable ones

00:03:02.260 is that I talk too much about COVID, and on top of that, too much about my own critics.

00:03:09.920 Would you say that's fair?

00:03:11.860 Fair criticism?

00:03:14.260 I agree with that completely.

00:03:16.180 But have you seen the news lately?

00:03:18.860 Do you know what the biggest news story is today?

00:03:25.140 It's snowed.

00:03:28.500 That's it.

00:03:29.820 That's it.

00:03:30.500 That's all that's happening.

00:03:31.340 The biggest news story today is snowed.

00:03:34.720 We'll talk about that in a little bit.

00:03:37.400 I would like to tell you that, unfortunately, since I talk about the headlines, I'm a little bit captive to what's going on there.

00:03:46.680 And I would talk a lot less about myself, I hope, if something interesting were going on in the world, but there isn't at the moment.

00:03:57.640 I mean, it'll heat up.

00:03:58.860 I mean, this is going to be a good year.

00:03:59.980 2022 will be lit for politics.

00:04:02.500 But let me give you one partial defense.

00:04:07.780 When I'm talking about the pandemic, I don't feel like I'm talking about the pandemic.

00:04:13.280 And apparently that's not getting through.

00:04:16.300 Do you know what I mean by that?

00:04:17.560 I don't feel like that all of my pandemic talk, you know, unless I'm just like telling you some new update or something.

00:04:25.960 But when I'm talking about the meat of it and how we deal with it, it's not really about the pandemic at all.

00:04:32.980 It should be about how we determine who's hallucinating and who is thinking clearly.

00:04:39.660 That's what it's supposed to be about.

00:04:41.360 If I have confused you to make you think that I am either persuading you to do or not do something in the pandemic, none of that's happening.

00:04:52.400 None of that is happening, or at least intentionally.

00:04:55.640 I don't have an intention or really even a motivation to give you medical advice or anything like that.

00:05:05.180 So none of that's happening.

00:05:06.440 But there is a fascinating thing that's happening at the moment that does involve me.

00:05:14.180 I'm in the middle of something that I consider fascinating.

00:05:17.700 But to be honest, I don't know if you will, if I can be honest.

00:05:22.860 Everything's more fascinating when it affects you personally.

00:05:26.600 But I believe you will learn something as I talk about this today.

00:05:32.620 So I think you're going to see something that may open your eyes a little bit.

00:05:38.880 And it will look like I'm just defending against my critics.

00:05:42.360 And there's some of that, certainly.

00:05:44.940 But I'm going to go a little deeper and try to teach you something that's seriously useful.

00:05:51.340 Okay?

00:05:51.940 So if you stick with me, you're going to hear some topics you're sick of.

00:05:55.580 And God, I'm sick of them.

00:05:57.280 I am so sick.

00:05:58.700 I don't even want to hear the word vaccination again for the rest of my life.

00:06:03.840 We're all sick of it.

00:06:05.540 But my promise will be, if you stick with me, I'm going to give you at least one really, really useful tip for discerning what's real and what isn't.

00:06:16.200 So just stay with me.

00:06:17.080 See if I can deliver that.

00:06:18.380 Okay?

00:06:20.420 But first, some other things.

00:06:22.060 I saw a tweet from Michael Sokolow on Twitter.

00:06:27.120 He says, it's interesting how NBC is plugging the, quote, Winter Olympics.

00:06:32.740 And apparently they're not mentioning that it's in Beijing or China.

00:06:38.080 So NBC is maybe, at least allegedly, we don't know what's in their minds.

00:06:43.120 But, and Michael goes on to say, even the graphic they're showing has a big Winter Olympics with only a small Beijing in the lower corner.

00:06:56.180 Now, have we reached a point where willingly doing business with China is embarrassing? 0.99

00:07:04.300 Yes or no?

00:07:06.700 Have we reached the point where an American company doing business with China is literally embarrassing?

00:07:15.060 Yeah.

00:07:16.120 Yeah, we're there.

00:07:17.560 It's literally a corporate embarrassment to do business with China. 0.85

00:07:22.380 Now, I feel sorry for NBC because, you know, they make these deals years in advance.

00:07:27.600 I imagine probably four years ago they knew they would handle the Olympics.

00:07:30.760 Maybe they could have seen the signs then, but this is going to be, I think, a ratings disaster.

00:07:39.560 Is that a pretty safe prediction?

00:07:45.620 Do you think we'll be surprised and the ratings will be sort of normal?

00:07:50.660 I feel like it's going to be, at least in America, I think it's going to be a disaster.

00:07:55.000 We'll see.

00:07:55.660 China's got really big problems right now.

00:08:02.780 I don't know if I've ever seen a country with bigger problems.

00:08:06.200 So they've got that default to the big real estate company going on over there.

00:08:09.940 They've got a demographic bomb.

00:08:12.280 You know, they're being blamed for the coronavirus.

00:08:14.800 They've got the Uyghurs. 1.00

00:08:16.140 So now they've got a giant karma problem.

00:08:19.400 Uyghur karma. 1.00

00:08:20.940 If the hashtag Uyghur karma ever gets traction, I don't know.

00:08:30.060 Even the government could fall in China. 0.96

00:08:32.800 I know that seems really, really unlikely, that the entire government could fall.

00:08:38.920 But it could.

00:08:40.280 It could.

00:08:42.140 Rasmussen did a poll, and they were asking people about their opinions of the FBI.

00:08:47.100 And apparently 46% either feel strongly or somewhat agreeing with Roger Stone in the following sentence.

00:08:56.900 Now, this will blow you away a little bit.

00:09:01.200 This will blow you away.

00:09:04.560 This is the United States public, and 46% of them agree with Roger Stone,

00:09:09.760 quote, that a group of politicized thugs at the top of the FBI

00:09:16.780 who are using it as Biden's personal Gestapo.

00:09:22.500 So the thought that Biden uses the FBI as his personal Gestapo

00:09:26.920 is agreed to somewhat or a lot by 46% of the public.

00:09:33.640 46% of the public thinks it's fair to liken the FBI to the Gestapo.

00:09:44.020 How many of you would agree with that?

00:09:46.500 I think all 46% of you are on my live stream right now.

00:09:50.360 Pretty wide agreement.

00:09:51.720 Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.

00:09:53.500 Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes.

00:09:54.900 You know, this is exactly the kind of accusation that I usually avoid.

00:10:05.080 All right, is that fair?

00:10:07.100 Maybe I don't.

00:10:08.340 That may be my own self-image.

00:10:10.120 But I like to stay out of the this group is like Hitler 0.99

00:10:13.660 and that group is like Hitler and who's like the Holocaust. 0.62

00:10:17.660 I don't like to get in any of that stuff.

00:10:19.560 It's just that's sort of what you argue when you run out of argument.

00:10:22.600 But I find that characterization, you know, hyperbolic, of course, but not untrue.

00:10:34.540 You know, it feels like a hyperbolic way to say it, hyperbole.

00:10:39.360 But it isn't too far from what I see.

00:10:44.420 To me, it does look like Biden has some control over the FBI

00:10:48.740 and that they are doing some of his bidding.

00:10:50.640 And that would look very disturbing.

00:10:55.440 Now, we don't know.

00:10:58.280 We don't know.

00:11:00.300 But maybe.

00:11:01.440 Elizabeth Holmes, who is on trial for defrauding people, I guess, 0.99

00:11:07.660 got found guilty on several of the charges

00:11:10.420 and it looks like she's got some serious jail time or fines coming. 1.00

00:11:14.060 And I don't know that there's much to say about this.

00:11:19.860 John Carroll says in the comments,

00:11:22.060 the other 54% don't know what the Gestapo is.

00:11:26.180 No, you're not totally wrong there.

00:11:29.780 You know, I'm only mentioning the Elizabeth Holmes story

00:11:32.820 because it's in the news.

00:11:34.780 But there's nothing interesting about it, is there?

00:11:36.820 She broke the law, she got caught, she got prosecuted.

00:11:42.440 I think that's the whole story.

00:11:44.420 Now, there is definitely an element to this

00:11:46.420 of how in the world did she convince so many people

00:11:50.160 that she was legitimate?

00:11:52.320 I think that Elizabeth Holmes convinced

00:11:54.560 more smart people that she was real

00:11:58.240 than just about anybody.

00:12:00.840 How'd she do it?

00:12:01.740 Is it because she's female? 1.00

00:12:07.300 Now, I don't think it was the sex appeal per se.

00:12:11.080 I didn't see her really selling sex.

00:12:14.000 Whenever I saw her, she was dressed conservatively, etc.

00:12:19.400 I think it's because she is a woman,

00:12:23.000 not because of the sex part.

00:12:25.440 I don't think necessarily any sexual interest

00:12:29.460 is why people believe in her. 0.52

00:12:31.740 But how many investors do you think

00:12:36.580 would love to have a successful female entrepreneur 1.00

00:12:42.300 in their portfolio?

00:12:44.520 I think it was a portfolio decision,

00:12:47.520 that they all need a successful black person 0.92

00:12:50.400 that they're funding so they can say they are, 0.80

00:12:53.940 which is not a bad impulse, right?

00:12:56.060 You want your activities to have some correlation

00:12:59.400 with the demographic of the country,

00:13:02.000 on average, on average,

00:13:03.800 not every person every time.

00:13:08.400 But to me, this looks like a gender preference thing,

00:13:13.020 meaning that there were so many people

00:13:14.520 who knew they hadn't invested enough

00:13:16.380 in women's startups

00:13:18.460 that they probably were just primed

00:13:20.920 to throw money at her

00:13:22.080 as soon as she looked legitimate.

00:13:23.240 Unfortunately, she wasn't totally legitimate.

00:13:28.080 So that's that whole story.

00:13:29.660 The interesting part of the Epstein-Galane-Maxwell story.

00:13:35.520 So apparently, when Epstein did a settlement

00:13:38.300 back in 2000... whatever...

00:13:42.080 2009, he paid half a million dollars

00:13:46.160 to, I guess, Virginia Jeffries' accusations.

00:13:53.000 And apparently part of that agreement,

00:13:55.800 because it was a civil lawsuit,

00:13:57.960 is that it would basically keep everybody else quiet

00:14:01.260 and they wouldn't be able to sue

00:14:04.060 or something like that.

00:14:05.380 In other words,

00:14:07.400 we may have a perfect concealment of the truth.

00:14:14.560 So you've got Epstein, who's dead.

00:14:16.900 You've got Ghislaine-Maxwell,

00:14:18.220 whose records are sealed.

00:14:20.760 And now it looks like there won't even be

00:14:23.040 maybe the option for civil settlements,

00:14:26.520 because that may have been preempted

00:14:29.660 by other agreements.

00:14:30.860 Whoever worked on this...

00:14:34.720 Was Dershowitz behind this 2009 thing?

00:14:37.900 Do I have that right?

00:14:38.840 I know Dershowitz was involved

00:14:40.720 with defending Epstein at one point.

00:14:45.820 But this is kind of brilliant.

00:14:50.320 I would say that whoever was behind,

00:14:52.980 if somebody was behind it,

00:14:55.120 if this is a cover-up,

00:14:58.020 it's really, really good.

00:15:00.860 Because it looks like they're covering it up

00:15:02.800 right in front of us,

00:15:04.300 totally getting away with it.

00:15:06.580 Does anybody think they won't get away with it?

00:15:09.040 If what we're seeing

00:15:11.000 is exactly what it looks like,

00:15:13.580 which is it looks like a massive cover-up,

00:15:16.260 it looks like it's working, right?

00:15:19.180 Wouldn't you say?

00:15:20.620 And the weird thing is that

00:15:21.840 they're doing it right in front of us.

00:15:24.280 I don't think there's anybody who thinks,

00:15:26.760 oh, they're playing it transparently or anything.

00:15:29.040 No, they're covering it right in front of us.

00:15:31.760 There's nothing you can do about it.

00:15:35.420 And it's the kind of issue where,

00:15:39.440 because it doesn't affect most of us,

00:15:42.080 except in the general way that you want,

00:15:44.860 you know, criminals to go to jail.

00:15:46.620 But because I don't have any connection

00:15:49.220 to anything in this story,

00:15:50.860 I can watch the powers that be

00:15:54.120 apparently covering up horrible,

00:15:58.640 you know, activity by famous people.

00:16:01.760 And I just say,

00:16:03.120 huh, well, that's suboptimal.

00:16:06.100 And then I go on with my life.

00:16:08.280 The fact that almost nobody else

00:16:09.760 really, really cares about the case

00:16:11.800 allows them to do this right in front of us.

00:16:14.780 And we're like, ah, suboptimal.

00:16:17.160 I got other things to worry about.

00:16:19.460 It's kind of amazing.

00:16:22.180 Usually these things at least have

00:16:23.680 a little bit of a cover story

00:16:27.160 that, oh, no,

00:16:28.720 there's nothing like that going on.

00:16:30.760 Goodness, no, nobody's covering anything up.

00:16:33.840 Here's what's really happening.

00:16:35.600 But this doesn't even have a cover story, does it?

00:16:39.300 There's not even a cover story.

00:16:41.380 It's like, no, we're just going to cover this up.

00:16:43.700 Doot, doot, doot, doot.

00:16:44.480 Uh, Pelosi's probably going to step down as speaker

00:16:49.380 no matter what.

00:16:50.820 And the speculation has begun

00:16:53.300 about who will replace her.

00:16:56.460 Isn't this the same problem

00:16:57.920 that the Democrats have

00:16:59.260 about running a candidate for president?

00:17:02.240 Which is, they don't have any talent.

00:17:03.880 It really, you don't really notice

00:17:08.440 until they need a leader

00:17:10.180 and no bench.

00:17:11.800 You don't really notice

00:17:12.880 until it's like,

00:17:14.340 well, who the hell are they going to run

00:17:15.520 for president?

00:17:18.240 Like, name a name.

00:17:20.100 Like, who would even be

00:17:21.560 like a legitimate candidate?

00:17:24.040 And now they speak of the House,

00:17:25.520 same thing.

00:17:26.320 And you look at the names

00:17:27.360 that they're floating,

00:17:28.220 and I'm thinking,

00:17:28.700 do any of them look like

00:17:30.780 they could do what,

00:17:31.660 um,

00:17:33.240 do what Nancy Pelosi did? 0.95

00:17:35.720 They don't,

00:17:36.440 they don't really look like

00:17:37.380 they have the weight

00:17:38.120 that she had,

00:17:39.580 if you know what I mean.

00:17:40.380 The, the gravitas or something.

00:17:42.840 Newsom?

00:17:43.700 Hmm.

00:17:44.680 Maybe.

00:17:45.620 I think Newsom's too polarizing.

00:17:47.980 But,

00:17:48.540 I suppose you could say that

00:17:49.880 about everybody you've heard of.

00:17:52.380 All right, uh,

00:17:53.280 you saw the story

00:17:53.980 about the, uh,

00:17:54.800 major interstate

00:17:55.720 in eastern Virginia.

00:17:56.800 So, snow closed the road

00:17:59.400 while people were on it.

00:18:00.440 So, it snowed

00:18:01.120 until people couldn't move.

00:18:03.060 And there were people

00:18:03.800 who were stuck on the road

00:18:04.980 for 19 hours.

00:18:09.640 They were in their car

00:18:11.700 on the road.

00:18:14.620 Now, obviously,

00:18:15.440 many of those cars

00:18:16.120 ran out of gas.

00:18:18.780 Um, so, you know,

00:18:20.640 they were stuck,

00:18:21.680 and then there was snow,

00:18:22.560 and then the car's on the gas.

00:18:24.720 And so, even, um,

00:18:26.060 Senator Tim Kaine

00:18:27.700 was in that.

00:18:30.020 And he,

00:18:30.720 he spent 19 hours

00:18:32.140 on the road.

00:18:35.660 Now, you should read

00:18:36.400 some of the threads

00:18:37.280 of people.

00:18:38.100 There was,

00:18:38.480 there was one by,

00:18:39.300 I think,

00:18:39.900 a news person

00:18:41.500 who was stuck there.

00:18:43.080 It's really scary.

00:18:45.700 Now,

00:18:46.640 somebody says,

00:18:47.380 where do you go

00:18:47.760 to the bathroom?

00:18:48.980 I have to think

00:18:49.940 there was a lot of yellow snow

00:18:51.320 by the end of two days.

00:18:52.560 Because it was sort of like

00:18:53.680 an overnight,

00:18:55.080 almost two days situation.

00:18:56.520 I don't even think

00:18:57.060 it's resolved yet.

00:18:58.600 It's not resolved, right?

00:18:59.920 There's still,

00:19:00.340 some of them still there.

00:19:01.880 But there had to be

00:19:02.700 a lot of yellow snow.

00:19:04.560 Um,

00:19:04.920 some people didn't bring food.

00:19:06.740 Some did.

00:19:08.020 People ran out of gas.

00:19:09.420 It was amazing.

00:19:10.520 Now,

00:19:10.860 I'd like to answer a question

00:19:12.240 that many of you

00:19:13.000 have asked me.

00:19:14.540 Many times,

00:19:15.320 I've been asked

00:19:15.800 the following question.

00:19:17.780 Scott,

00:19:18.180 how could you live

00:19:19.700 in California

00:19:20.380 with all the problems there?

00:19:23.040 Well,

00:19:23.820 I'll tell you

00:19:24.520 the number one reason

00:19:25.680 I live in California.

00:19:28.180 That,

00:19:28.820 generally speaking,

00:19:30.140 I do not risk death

00:19:32.480 by walking outdoors.

00:19:36.040 That's it.

00:19:37.800 That's my reason.

00:19:39.760 I have lots of other reasons,

00:19:41.440 right?

00:19:42.020 But,

00:19:42.480 that's the reason

00:19:43.500 I moved here.

00:19:44.860 Because I once

00:19:45.820 had my car break down.

00:19:47.360 I've told this story before.

00:19:48.860 In the middle of the winter,

00:19:50.180 just about now,

00:19:51.120 it was,

00:19:51.380 you know,

00:19:51.600 I think it was February-ish,

00:19:53.520 in my senior year

00:19:54.640 of college.

00:19:56.740 And I was miles

00:19:57.780 from civilization

00:19:58.660 in a snowstorm

00:20:00.320 like this one.

00:20:00.940 But I was the only car

00:20:02.380 and my car broke.

00:20:04.700 And there was

00:20:05.280 no other cars.

00:20:07.300 And I didn't bring

00:20:08.260 a jacket

00:20:08.720 in the middle

00:20:09.980 of the winter.

00:20:11.240 Because I was just

00:20:11.980 going to be in my car

00:20:12.800 and I was in college.

00:20:14.940 Right?

00:20:15.940 If you're,

00:20:16.680 you know,

00:20:17.020 if you're 19,

00:20:18.040 what was I,

00:20:18.920 20, I guess?

00:20:19.840 If you're 20 years old

00:20:20.980 and you're just going

00:20:22.140 from your car

00:20:22.800 to a building,

00:20:23.480 you don't really

00:20:24.220 need a jacket

00:20:25.100 until your car

00:20:27.480 breaks down

00:20:28.100 25 miles

00:20:29.560 from civilization.

00:20:31.400 So,

00:20:31.900 when I read this story,

00:20:32.880 I am super triggered

00:20:34.040 by this,

00:20:34.580 I gotta tell you,

00:20:35.220 just personally.

00:20:36.300 Because if you haven't

00:20:37.340 almost died

00:20:38.240 from exposure,

00:20:40.400 you don't quite

00:20:41.460 understand

00:20:42.100 how scary this was.

00:20:44.080 Really,

00:20:44.520 really scary.

00:20:45.140 Do you carry

00:20:47.120 a jacket

00:20:48.180 or blanket

00:20:48.720 in my car?

00:20:49.460 Yes.

00:20:50.600 There is a spare

00:20:51.740 jacket

00:20:52.140 in the back

00:20:52.680 of my car.

00:20:53.920 That is correct.

00:20:55.520 And that's

00:20:56.040 in California.

00:20:57.660 But as soon

00:20:58.380 as the weather

00:20:58.940 turns below 70,

00:21:01.100 there is a spare

00:21:02.100 jacket

00:21:02.520 in the back

00:21:03.040 of my car.

00:21:04.260 Yes.

00:21:05.600 And always

00:21:06.300 probably will be.

00:21:06.980 Well,

00:21:10.320 here's the topic 0.62

00:21:11.780 that you're sick

00:21:13.060 of hearing about,

00:21:13.760 but I'm going

00:21:14.040 to try to

00:21:14.560 give you some value.

00:21:16.540 So,

00:21:17.200 those of you

00:21:18.100 who are tired

00:21:18.540 of hearing about this,

00:21:19.900 I'm not going

00:21:20.480 to be offended

00:21:20.920 if you want

00:21:21.340 to do something else.

00:21:22.300 But I'm going

00:21:22.780 to try to give you

00:21:23.320 something you

00:21:23.720 haven't seen yet.

00:21:24.600 Okay?

00:21:26.920 You've all heard

00:21:27.620 now about

00:21:28.240 mass formation

00:21:29.000 psychosis,

00:21:29.900 and Dr. Malone

00:21:30.980 talked about it.

00:21:31.960 He's not the creator

00:21:32.900 of the idea,

00:21:33.520 but he was

00:21:34.160 popularizing it.

00:21:35.360 And the idea

00:21:36.660 is that we're

00:21:37.500 all so uncertain

00:21:39.640 and confused

00:21:40.500 and scared

00:21:41.380 that our minds

00:21:42.980 are not working

00:21:43.700 correctly.

00:21:45.240 Is that good

00:21:45.960 enough for a summary?

00:21:47.200 That we're all

00:21:48.040 so isolated,

00:21:50.040 scared,

00:21:51.040 and we don't

00:21:51.840 know what's true

00:21:52.600 because the news

00:21:53.400 is so confusing,

00:21:54.840 that we're in

00:21:55.740 a state of

00:21:56.300 easily being

00:21:59.500 persuaded,

00:22:00.540 but also

00:22:01.480 simply not

00:22:02.800 thinking correctly.

00:22:03.840 Like,

00:22:04.040 we've lost

00:22:04.580 our ability

00:22:05.120 to reason.

00:22:06.500 Does that seem

00:22:07.040 like what we're

00:22:07.760 in?

00:22:08.920 Do you feel

00:22:09.640 that we're

00:22:09.980 in that?

00:22:10.800 Now,

00:22:11.160 I've said

00:22:11.500 we're always

00:22:12.260 in it,

00:22:12.680 so it's not

00:22:13.060 really the

00:22:13.400 pandemic.

00:22:14.660 You know,

00:22:14.840 we've been

00:22:15.140 in it since

00:22:15.700 at least

00:22:16.220 the 50s.

00:22:17.360 So that's

00:22:18.080 my contribution

00:22:18.780 is it's not

00:22:19.420 new,

00:22:20.200 but it's

00:22:20.580 definitely

00:22:20.840 here.

00:22:22.120 I'm certainly

00:22:22.760 not questioning

00:22:23.440 whether it

00:22:24.220 exists.

00:22:25.540 I'm just

00:22:26.000 saying it's

00:22:26.680 not new.

00:22:27.600 All right?

00:22:29.140 However,

00:22:29.620 I just

00:22:32.000 tied two

00:22:32.580 things together

00:22:33.200 today that

00:22:34.040 finally made

00:22:34.720 sense to me.

00:22:35.880 I tweeted

00:22:36.720 this morning

00:22:37.300 that there

00:22:37.920 are a ton

00:22:38.480 of people

00:22:38.840 who are

00:22:39.060 really mad

00:22:39.560 at me,

00:22:40.460 but their

00:22:41.700 anger seems

00:22:42.720 not to have

00:22:43.360 a reason

00:22:43.860 which they

00:22:44.400 are willing

00:22:45.020 to offer.

00:22:46.540 And so

00:22:46.780 finally,

00:22:47.280 in frustration,

00:22:48.220 I tweeted

00:22:48.680 today,

00:22:49.720 can somebody

00:22:50.360 give me an

00:22:50.880 idea why

00:22:52.380 so many

00:22:52.880 people are

00:22:53.300 angry with

00:22:53.900 me?

00:22:54.460 Because I

00:22:54.880 actually don't

00:22:55.300 even know

00:22:55.600 the topic.

00:22:57.060 Is it

00:22:57.660 vaccinations?

00:23:00.740 Is it

00:23:01.220 I said

00:23:02.460 something about

00:23:03.160 the Joe

00:23:03.820 Rogan

00:23:04.280 interviews

00:23:04.780 that were

00:23:05.340 suboptimal?

00:23:06.660 You know,

00:23:06.840 even while

00:23:07.400 saying he's

00:23:08.080 the national

00:23:08.500 treasurer?

00:23:10.660 And so

00:23:11.420 I asked

00:23:11.760 the question,

00:23:12.700 smoking hot

00:23:13.360 wife jealousy 1.00

00:23:14.020 somebody says,

00:23:15.260 could be,

00:23:16.500 could be.

00:23:17.800 And so

00:23:18.380 I asked

00:23:18.660 the question

00:23:19.120 and the

00:23:20.820 answers were

00:23:21.600 all over

00:23:23.400 the board.

00:23:24.640 They were

00:23:24.920 all over

00:23:25.420 the board.

00:23:26.620 Now,

00:23:26.880 what have

00:23:27.140 I taught

00:23:27.520 you is

00:23:29.880 happening if

00:23:30.680 you ask a

00:23:31.240 question and

00:23:32.560 let's say you

00:23:33.480 ask a question

00:23:34.120 about something

00:23:34.580 and everybody

00:23:35.020 gives you

00:23:35.640 one of two

00:23:37.240 or three

00:23:37.840 standard answers.

00:23:39.400 What would

00:23:40.180 you judge

00:23:40.800 about that

00:23:41.400 situation?

00:23:43.180 You would

00:23:43.820 judge that

00:23:44.660 maybe you

00:23:45.020 have a

00:23:45.500 different

00:23:46.180 opinion and

00:23:47.960 that,

00:23:48.640 you know,

00:23:49.340 it's two

00:23:49.720 people with

00:23:50.100 a different

00:23:50.400 opinion.

00:23:53.860 But what

00:23:54.620 would be

00:23:54.980 your take

00:23:56.300 if you

00:23:57.280 asked a

00:23:57.700 hundred

00:23:57.940 people what

00:23:58.860 they were

00:23:59.240 angry about

00:24:00.060 with you

00:24:00.720 and they

00:24:01.760 all had

00:24:02.240 different

00:24:02.640 reasons?

00:24:04.240 What would

00:24:04.820 be the

00:24:05.080 take?

00:24:05.820 They're all

00:24:06.380 angry with

00:24:06.940 me,

00:24:07.320 so it's

00:24:07.660 the same

00:24:07.980 person

00:24:08.400 they're angry

00:24:08.900 about,

00:24:09.320 but their

00:24:10.580 reasons are

00:24:12.260 all different

00:24:13.060 and it all

00:24:14.220 happened about

00:24:14.760 the same

00:24:15.180 time.

00:24:16.820 How do

00:24:17.500 you explain

00:24:17.900 that?

00:24:18.160 here's how

00:24:23.240 I explain

00:24:23.740 it.

00:24:24.720 When you

00:24:25.480 see that,

00:24:26.120 it's almost

00:24:26.800 a guarantee

00:24:27.380 of some

00:24:29.440 kind of

00:24:29.760 a mental

00:24:30.400 phenomenon.

00:24:33.600 If people

00:24:34.500 had largely

00:24:35.300 the same

00:24:36.000 complaints

00:24:36.540 about me,

00:24:37.160 I'd say,

00:24:37.580 oh,

00:24:38.220 that's

00:24:38.500 something to

00:24:38.960 look at.

00:24:39.880 Maybe it's

00:24:40.220 me.

00:24:41.900 Or maybe

00:24:42.640 it's them.

00:24:42.980 But if

00:24:44.180 people are

00:24:46.240 mad, and

00:24:47.540 the thing

00:24:47.960 that cued me

00:24:48.500 off is that

00:24:49.020 all of their

00:24:50.060 criticisms were

00:24:51.980 generic, so

00:24:53.760 the criticisms

00:24:54.420 all fell into

00:24:55.280 certain categories

00:24:56.300 very reliably.

00:24:58.560 So they would

00:24:59.060 say, you're

00:25:00.620 coping, I

00:25:01.440 don't know

00:25:01.680 what that

00:25:01.980 meant.

00:25:02.920 Like, what

00:25:03.300 was I wrong

00:25:03.840 about?

00:25:04.960 They'd say,

00:25:05.900 accept the

00:25:06.520 L, and I

00:25:07.700 would say,

00:25:08.300 I didn't even

00:25:08.980 know I was

00:25:09.520 competing.

00:25:11.100 What is even

00:25:11.680 the topic?

00:25:12.140 I'm accepting

00:25:13.020 the L on.

00:25:14.920 Then there

00:25:15.200 were, you

00:25:15.600 know, all

00:25:16.840 these generic

00:25:17.460 things.

00:25:18.740 So, have

00:25:20.260 you put

00:25:20.680 together the

00:25:21.300 two things I'm

00:25:22.060 about to put

00:25:22.560 together for

00:25:23.060 you yet?

00:25:23.640 Who's ahead

00:25:24.060 of me?

00:25:25.760 Who's ahead

00:25:26.380 of me?

00:25:31.680 It's a

00:25:32.280 mass formation

00:25:33.000 psychosis.

00:25:35.800 The mass

00:25:36.640 formation

00:25:37.200 psychosis that

00:25:39.180 I've been

00:25:39.700 talking about,

00:25:40.480 and Dr.

00:25:40.900 Malone talked

00:25:41.420 about, and

00:25:41.900 it's all

00:25:42.200 in the

00:25:42.420 news, is

00:25:43.700 the reason

00:25:44.360 that people

00:25:46.040 are mad

00:25:46.460 at me.

00:25:47.640 Because if

00:25:48.280 they were

00:25:48.500 mad at me

00:25:48.920 for a

00:25:49.440 specific,

00:25:50.300 let's say,

00:25:50.740 a prediction,

00:25:52.140 or a

00:25:52.800 specific

00:25:53.440 anything,

00:25:55.180 they would

00:25:55.740 just say

00:25:56.080 so.

00:25:57.500 But it's

00:25:58.020 the mass,

00:25:59.160 it is the

00:26:00.460 mass formation

00:26:01.300 psychosis that

00:26:03.080 is exactly the

00:26:04.100 reason people

00:26:04.660 are mad,

00:26:05.080 but they

00:26:05.320 don't know

00:26:05.640 why.

00:26:06.680 They don't

00:26:07.180 really know

00:26:07.580 why.

00:26:08.300 I saw

00:26:08.660 some people

00:26:09.120 offer

00:26:09.520 reasons that

00:26:11.220 might be

00:26:12.000 explanations.

00:26:13.020 One was,

00:26:14.120 the best one

00:26:14.860 I saw is

00:26:15.400 that for a

00:26:16.920 lot of the

00:26:17.280 people on

00:26:17.800 the right,

00:26:18.680 which would

00:26:19.060 include a

00:26:19.500 lot of my

00:26:19.800 audience,

00:26:21.060 that Joe

00:26:23.100 Rogan is

00:26:23.920 a, quote,

00:26:24.620 lifeboat for

00:26:26.820 their opinion,

00:26:27.880 and I put

00:26:29.140 a hole in

00:26:29.920 the lifeboat.

00:26:31.740 That's

00:26:32.080 actually not

00:26:33.100 bad.

00:26:34.000 Because there's

00:26:34.560 something irrational

00:26:36.480 happening.

00:26:37.740 Could be that.

00:26:38.820 Could be that I

00:26:40.280 simply disagree

00:26:41.040 with people's

00:26:41.680 opinions,

00:26:42.340 or they think

00:26:42.960 so.

00:26:43.600 Because here's

00:26:44.080 the weirdest

00:26:44.420 part.

00:26:45.340 Almost everybody

00:26:46.320 who's mad at

00:26:46.900 me doesn't

00:26:47.360 disagree with

00:26:48.000 me.

00:26:49.440 Now, if you

00:26:49.820 don't think

00:26:50.180 that's true,

00:26:50.800 I could pick

00:26:52.380 anybody who

00:26:53.360 is my

00:26:54.140 critic and

00:26:55.180 just walk

00:26:55.660 through what

00:26:56.480 is it you

00:26:56.920 think that I

00:26:57.500 think that's

00:26:57.940 different from

00:26:58.440 you, and

00:26:59.220 you wouldn't

00:26:59.460 find anything

00:27:00.000 we disagree

00:27:00.520 on.

00:27:01.680 And yet,

00:27:02.020 people are

00:27:02.380 still hopping

00:27:03.000 mad.

00:27:04.580 Hopping

00:27:05.220 mad.

00:27:06.280 That is the

00:27:07.300 mass formation

00:27:08.220 psychosis.

00:27:09.640 Because if

00:27:10.940 people had a

00:27:11.860 good, solid

00:27:13.660 reason, they

00:27:15.300 would just

00:27:15.580 tell me, and

00:27:17.040 there would be

00:27:17.380 a similarity

00:27:18.580 to it.

00:27:19.020 Now, the

00:27:20.160 best theory I

00:27:21.640 got that had

00:27:23.060 any meat to

00:27:23.900 it was that

00:27:25.840 people believe

00:27:26.820 I once had a

00:27:27.940 different opinion

00:27:28.600 in which I

00:27:29.740 trusted vaccinations

00:27:30.980 and trusted the

00:27:32.840 companies involved.

00:27:34.480 But that as

00:27:35.780 time has gone

00:27:36.840 by, people

00:27:38.240 say that I've

00:27:39.660 changed my

00:27:40.240 opinion because

00:27:41.740 I realized how

00:27:42.720 wrong I was.

00:27:44.840 Did anybody see

00:27:45.740 anything like that

00:27:46.580 happen?

00:27:47.660 For those of you

00:27:48.420 who watched

00:27:48.800 me, have

00:27:49.740 you seen

00:27:50.120 me change

00:27:50.740 my opinion

00:27:51.260 on vaccinations

00:27:52.180 from the

00:27:52.960 start?

00:27:54.340 Now, the

00:27:54.860 people on

00:27:55.260 Locals watch

00:27:56.020 me the most.

00:27:57.100 It's a

00:27:57.560 subscription

00:27:57.980 service.

00:27:59.480 And almost

00:28:01.960 all of them

00:28:02.420 are saying

00:28:02.780 no.

00:28:04.060 But I did

00:28:04.820 see a yes.

00:28:06.140 So even on

00:28:06.960 Locals, somebody

00:28:07.540 is saying yes.

00:28:08.440 But overwhelmingly,

00:28:09.660 the people who

00:28:10.180 watch me the

00:28:10.740 most say my

00:28:12.180 opinion has

00:28:12.800 never changed.

00:28:14.000 But here's

00:28:14.400 where it gets

00:28:14.820 really weird.

00:28:15.480 Here's your

00:28:17.260 first tip for

00:28:19.240 understanding when

00:28:20.780 you're hallucinating

00:28:21.720 and when you

00:28:22.900 have a clearer

00:28:23.860 view of the

00:28:24.300 world.

00:28:24.580 Are you ready

00:28:24.900 for this?

00:28:30.940 Here's your

00:28:31.600 first clip or

00:28:33.280 your first tip.

00:28:34.760 Let's take the

00:28:35.820 specific accusation,

00:28:37.700 one of the few

00:28:38.100 that I got that

00:28:39.300 multiple people

00:28:40.100 had, is that

00:28:42.020 I trusted the

00:28:43.840 big pharma

00:28:44.420 companies too

00:28:45.320 much.

00:28:47.160 So that's

00:28:48.220 what people are

00:28:49.200 saying about

00:28:49.600 me, that I

00:28:51.080 trusted the

00:28:52.040 big pharma

00:28:52.600 companies too

00:28:54.140 much.

00:28:55.640 Now, here's

00:28:56.380 how you can

00:28:56.760 tell if that's

00:28:57.320 a hallucination.

00:29:00.460 And you

00:29:01.480 can use this

00:29:01.980 technique for

00:29:02.480 other people in

00:29:03.080 different situations.

00:29:04.440 Just for a

00:29:05.040 moment, just

00:29:06.580 for a moment,

00:29:07.200 try to take

00:29:08.140 yourself out of

00:29:08.840 the fight.

00:29:10.080 And just

00:29:10.320 look at it

00:29:11.100 like you're

00:29:11.480 looking down

00:29:12.100 from space.

00:29:14.560 You're not in

00:29:15.400 it, it has

00:29:15.820 nothing to do

00:29:16.400 with it.

00:29:16.900 You're simply

00:29:17.460 looking down

00:29:18.020 from space

00:29:18.740 at this

00:29:20.100 accusation.

00:29:21.400 And the

00:29:21.680 accusation is

00:29:22.460 this, that

00:29:24.560 the guy who

00:29:25.100 is the creator

00:29:26.000 of the

00:29:26.540 Dilbert comic

00:29:27.360 strip, whose

00:29:29.680 30-year run

00:29:30.900 is almost

00:29:32.240 entirely based

00:29:34.060 on not

00:29:34.540 trusting

00:29:34.940 management and

00:29:37.040 about money

00:29:37.880 distorting

00:29:38.480 things.

00:29:39.500 My entire

00:29:40.200 career is

00:29:41.660 based on

00:29:42.140 that principle

00:29:42.780 that you

00:29:43.460 can't trust

00:29:43.960 management, you

00:29:44.800 can't trust

00:29:45.220 what anybody

00:29:45.620 says, the

00:29:46.640 data is all

00:29:47.300 made up.

00:29:48.860 Right?

00:29:49.500 Anybody who

00:29:50.160 follows my

00:29:50.620 comic would be

00:29:51.380 aware of that,

00:29:52.280 that I am the

00:29:53.000 single most

00:29:54.360 vocal skeptic

00:29:56.120 of large

00:29:57.300 companies in

00:29:58.460 the whole 0.99

00:29:59.840 fucking world. 1.00

00:30:01.420 The whole 1.00

00:30:02.020 world.

00:30:03.280 You could search

00:30:04.320 the entire

00:30:04.800 world and you

00:30:06.060 would not find

00:30:06.720 anybody who

00:30:09.180 has spent

00:30:09.580 more time

00:30:10.400 saying you

00:30:11.820 shouldn't

00:30:12.140 trust what

00:30:14.040 people in

00:30:14.540 power tell

00:30:15.000 you.

00:30:15.180 Now, do

00:30:17.600 you think that

00:30:18.160 that guy,

00:30:19.020 again, remember

00:30:19.960 you're going to

00:30:20.320 pull yourself

00:30:20.880 out, you're

00:30:22.040 going to look

00:30:22.300 at it like

00:30:22.780 it has nothing

00:30:23.920 to do with

00:30:24.340 you, nothing

00:30:25.620 to do with

00:30:26.120 you.

00:30:27.480 Have you come

00:30:28.440 to believe that

00:30:30.000 the person who

00:30:30.620 is most

00:30:31.160 identified with

00:30:32.820 not trusting

00:30:33.820 big companies

00:30:34.720 and indeed

00:30:35.840 said it

00:30:36.300 directly a

00:30:37.320 thousand times

00:30:38.340 since the

00:30:39.240 beginning of

00:30:39.620 the pandemic

00:30:40.100 publicly, at

00:30:41.340 least a

00:30:41.680 thousand times,

00:30:43.060 you think that

00:30:43.880 that guy has

00:30:45.820 a problem in

00:30:46.480 which he

00:30:46.820 trusted big

00:30:49.320 pharma,

00:30:50.280 literally one

00:30:51.300 of the least

00:30:51.980 trustable

00:30:53.020 entities of

00:30:54.820 all time.

00:30:56.380 Just ask

00:30:57.120 yourself, does

00:30:58.340 it sound

00:30:58.760 reasonable if

00:31:00.220 you were to

00:31:00.560 take yourself

00:31:01.100 out of it

00:31:01.740 and just

00:31:02.420 say, all

00:31:02.800 right, here's

00:31:03.260 the thing,

00:31:04.220 the person

00:31:05.300 who is most

00:31:06.340 associated with

00:31:07.900 distrusting big

00:31:09.020 companies is

00:31:10.760 actually one

00:31:12.220 of the most

00:31:12.900 trusting of

00:31:14.120 big companies.

00:31:15.060 Do you think

00:31:15.760 that actually

00:31:16.440 happened?

00:31:18.180 This is the

00:31:19.200 technique,

00:31:20.780 right?

00:31:21.580 To ask

00:31:22.200 yourself, is

00:31:23.260 that really,

00:31:24.280 did that

00:31:24.680 happen?

00:31:26.700 If you can

00:31:27.600 say to

00:31:27.880 yourself, yeah,

00:31:28.360 that sounds

00:31:28.780 actually pretty

00:31:29.380 reasonable,

00:31:30.860 well, then

00:31:31.220 go with it.

00:31:32.700 But I'll

00:31:33.200 tell you what

00:31:33.560 it sounds

00:31:33.920 like to

00:31:34.320 me, and

00:31:34.720 of course,

00:31:35.100 I'm in the

00:31:35.740 middle of it,

00:31:36.200 so I'm

00:31:36.380 biased.

00:31:37.120 It sounds

00:31:37.600 to me like

00:31:38.440 somebody saying,

00:31:39.860 you know, I

00:31:41.100 don't think

00:31:41.520 McDonald's sells

00:31:42.820 hamburgers. 0.84

00:31:45.620 That's what it

00:31:46.240 sounds like to

00:31:46.740 me.

00:31:47.220 When you say

00:31:47.860 the guy who

00:31:48.380 created Dilbert

00:31:49.100 is too

00:31:49.620 trusting of

00:31:50.320 big organizations,

00:31:51.520 it sounds

00:31:52.580 exactly like,

00:31:53.840 I don't think

00:31:54.900 McDonald's sells

00:31:55.660 hamburgers. 0.84

00:31:56.680 I don't think

00:31:57.280 they do.

00:31:57.660 meat comic

00:32:02.000 is 100%

00:32:02.840 behind you.

00:32:04.160 Good to

00:32:04.520 know.

00:32:05.100 I love

00:32:05.360 meat comic.

00:32:06.840 It's a good

00:32:07.180 comic.

00:32:12.120 So,

00:32:12.980 I decided I

00:32:15.340 would do a

00:32:15.780 self-audit

00:32:16.540 because wouldn't

00:32:19.040 you agree at

00:32:19.740 this point that

00:32:20.560 it's also still

00:32:21.340 possible that I'm

00:32:22.900 experiencing

00:32:23.460 cognitive dissonance

00:32:24.660 and everybody

00:32:25.100 else in the

00:32:25.580 world is

00:32:25.920 right.

00:32:27.600 Right?

00:32:28.260 So, I

00:32:28.840 thought I'd do

00:32:29.280 a self-audit.

00:32:30.080 So, I

00:32:30.280 started compiling

00:32:31.220 my predictions

00:32:32.620 about the

00:32:33.220 pandemic.

00:32:35.840 And so, I

00:32:36.920 started my

00:32:37.500 list.

00:32:38.380 If you

00:32:38.760 would like to

00:32:39.220 participate in

00:32:39.940 that, please

00:32:41.400 remind me or

00:32:42.280 message me on

00:32:43.680 anything you

00:32:44.260 think I got

00:32:44.720 wrong.

00:32:46.140 It has to be a

00:32:46.880 specific prediction.

00:32:48.400 Anything you

00:32:48.920 think I got

00:32:49.340 wrong or

00:32:51.320 anything you

00:32:51.800 think I

00:32:52.080 predicted right,

00:32:52.960 just in case I

00:32:54.200 don't have

00:32:54.600 a full

00:32:56.160 accounting.

00:32:58.380 Scott, could

00:32:59.120 this be someone

00:32:59.840 trying to

00:33:00.500 damage you?

00:33:01.520 Well, it

00:33:02.220 doesn't really

00:33:02.740 look organized.

00:33:04.280 It just, it

00:33:04.820 looks like, it

00:33:05.940 looks like a

00:33:06.480 bunch of

00:33:06.880 people who

00:33:08.080 have lost

00:33:08.560 their minds

00:33:09.240 from the

00:33:12.100 mass formation

00:33:13.440 psychosis.

00:33:15.200 So, but, I

00:33:16.880 do think it's

00:33:17.360 fair when

00:33:17.860 hundreds of

00:33:18.340 people tell

00:33:18.820 you that you're

00:33:19.340 losing it,

00:33:20.840 that you should

00:33:21.280 take that

00:33:21.640 seriously.

00:33:23.240 Don't you

00:33:23.840 think?

00:33:25.040 At the same

00:33:26.260 time, I can

00:33:26.840 defend myself

00:33:27.700 and say,

00:33:28.320 this looks

00:33:28.980 like obviously

00:33:29.640 a delusional

00:33:30.300 thing.

00:33:31.140 At the same

00:33:31.920 time, don't

00:33:33.160 you think there's

00:33:33.760 a responsibility

00:33:34.460 on my part to

00:33:35.460 take it

00:33:35.760 seriously, if so

00:33:37.280 many people are

00:33:37.940 saying it,

00:33:38.540 right?

00:33:39.360 So, I'm going

00:33:40.200 to do an audit

00:33:40.820 of my own, I

00:33:43.060 guess, sanity,

00:33:44.180 if you will, and

00:33:45.660 so help me out.

00:33:47.060 Tell me what

00:33:47.800 things I predicted

00:33:48.580 wrong or even

00:33:50.740 right, and we'll

00:33:51.840 see how I did.

00:33:52.460 Just on the

00:33:53.060 pandemic, you

00:33:53.820 don't have to

00:33:54.320 go beyond

00:33:55.080 that.

00:33:57.120 Now, one of

00:33:57.740 the things that

00:33:58.360 people criticized

00:33:59.300 me for was a

00:34:00.160 tweet made

00:34:00.800 before Biden

00:34:01.580 was elected.

00:34:02.840 I said, if

00:34:03.220 Joe Biden

00:34:03.740 got elected,

00:34:05.200 there's a good

00:34:05.640 chance you'll be 1.00

00:34:06.240 dead in a year. 0.99

00:34:08.220 Now, how many

00:34:09.120 of you think

00:34:09.800 that a tweet

00:34:11.640 that says, if

00:34:13.100 Joe Biden

00:34:13.700 gets elected,

00:34:14.460 there's a good

00:34:14.960 chance you'll be 1.00

00:34:15.680 dead in a year, 0.71

00:34:16.920 how many took

00:34:17.820 that as

00:34:18.380 literally the

00:34:20.560 Holocaust will 1.00

00:34:21.460 be kicked off

00:34:23.200 in less than

00:34:23.640 a year?

00:34:24.700 How many took

00:34:25.520 it that way?

00:34:27.600 Because if you

00:34:28.300 did, you're not

00:34:29.280 really a good

00:34:29.940 reader.

00:34:30.960 Here's how you

00:34:31.460 should have

00:34:31.740 taken it, but I

00:34:32.900 will accept that

00:34:33.620 it could have

00:34:33.940 been clearer.

00:34:35.760 You should have

00:34:36.460 taken it this

00:34:36.980 way.

00:34:37.620 Things will get a

00:34:38.340 lot more

00:34:38.680 dangerous, and

00:34:39.420 especially for

00:34:40.140 Republicans.

00:34:42.620 Does that seem

00:34:43.240 fair?

00:34:44.300 That the way you

00:34:44.920 should have

00:34:45.400 interpreted it,

00:34:46.160 because Twitter is

00:34:47.140 all about

00:34:47.500 hyperbole.

00:34:48.520 You should be

00:34:49.640 mentally reducing

00:34:50.540 the hyperbole

00:34:51.340 before you

00:34:52.140 interpret it.

00:34:53.680 If it's your

00:34:54.400 first day on

00:34:54.840 Twitter, you're

00:34:56.120 excused.

00:34:57.120 But if you

00:34:57.480 spend any time

00:34:58.180 there, you know

00:34:59.460 that the absolutes

00:35:00.420 are never meant

00:35:00.980 to be absolutes.

00:35:02.320 If you say

00:35:03.140 everybody does

00:35:04.060 X, nobody

00:35:05.260 thinks you

00:35:05.860 really mean

00:35:06.420 everybody.

00:35:07.560 Not everybody

00:35:08.420 everybody, just

00:35:09.480 lots of people.

00:35:10.440 It's just the

00:35:10.900 way we talk.

00:35:12.640 So, I

00:35:13.980 predicted that if

00:35:14.840 Biden got elected,

00:35:15.760 there's a good

00:35:16.680 chance you'd be 0.99

00:35:17.320 dead in a 1.00

00:35:18.680 year.

00:35:20.240 Crime has

00:35:21.020 spiked.

00:35:22.600 The number of

00:35:23.440 people dead from

00:35:24.280 coronavirus, way

00:35:25.820 more than

00:35:26.220 Trump.

00:35:29.960 We probably

00:35:30.880 have a little

00:35:31.360 more risk with

00:35:32.280 our nuclear

00:35:33.020 adversaries than

00:35:34.780 under Trump,

00:35:35.440 although you

00:35:35.740 could argue

00:35:36.080 that one.

00:35:37.340 Overdoses

00:35:37.780 through the

00:35:38.640 roof.

00:35:41.680 Am I leaving

00:35:42.500 anything out?

00:35:43.160 suicides

00:35:46.440 through the

00:35:47.240 roof.

00:35:48.300 Overdoses,

00:35:49.200 suicides,

00:35:50.740 coronavirus,

00:35:52.240 crime.

00:35:53.500 And then you

00:35:53.920 throw on top

00:35:54.500 of that the

00:35:55.280 political prisoners,

00:35:57.620 the January 6th

00:35:58.600 political prisoners.

00:35:59.880 And I think we

00:36:00.400 just have to call

00:36:00.960 them political

00:36:01.500 prisoners at this

00:36:02.340 point.

00:36:03.180 I don't feel

00:36:04.220 that we should

00:36:07.440 assume that they're

00:36:08.240 just part of the

00:36:08.820 justice system.

00:36:09.980 It doesn't look

00:36:10.860 like that to me.

00:36:12.300 And I think that

00:36:13.100 the government has

00:36:13.900 the burden of

00:36:14.780 proof that they

00:36:16.320 are not screwing

00:36:17.280 us.

00:36:18.560 So if you say

00:36:19.200 to me, Scott,

00:36:19.960 can you prove

00:36:20.680 that they're

00:36:21.040 political prisoners?

00:36:22.840 I would say,

00:36:23.740 nope.

00:36:24.600 Nope.

00:36:25.520 Nor do I need

00:36:26.360 to.

00:36:27.300 Because if you're

00:36:27.900 making it look

00:36:28.460 exactly like

00:36:29.380 they're political

00:36:29.960 prisoners, that

00:36:31.140 is the assumption

00:36:31.780 that the citizens

00:36:32.980 should operate

00:36:33.980 on.

00:36:34.920 It's up to the

00:36:35.780 government to

00:36:36.840 tell us that's

00:36:37.380 not what's

00:36:37.780 happening.

00:36:38.280 And they

00:36:38.520 haven't.

00:36:39.640 Right?

00:36:39.800 So the

00:36:40.840 government is

00:36:41.420 guilty until

00:36:42.160 presumed innocent.

00:36:43.620 So January 6th,

00:36:44.700 those are

00:36:45.160 political prisoners

00:36:46.180 until the

00:36:48.640 government makes

00:36:49.300 an argument that

00:36:49.960 they're not.

00:36:51.640 Okay?

00:36:53.140 So that's the

00:36:54.280 operating assumption.

00:36:59.260 Let's test

00:37:00.540 another theory

00:37:01.640 for, here's

00:37:02.520 another way to

00:37:03.160 sort out truth

00:37:05.260 from hallucination.

00:37:07.360 You all know

00:37:08.000 Robert O'Neill.

00:37:10.540 Does everybody

00:37:10.960 know Robert O'Neill?

00:37:12.860 Rob, I think

00:37:13.800 he goes by.

00:37:15.560 He was a little

00:37:16.400 bit famous for

00:37:17.260 putting a bullet

00:37:18.100 into Osama bin 1.00

00:37:19.520 Laden.

00:37:20.560 I think more

00:37:21.180 than one,

00:37:21.680 actually.

00:37:22.120 I think he had

00:37:22.680 some fun with it.

00:37:24.140 But he tweeted

00:37:25.740 today that Twitter

00:37:27.520 had deleted Joe

00:37:28.960 Rogan's interviews

00:37:29.800 with Dr. Robert

00:37:30.840 Malone and Dr.

00:37:32.560 Peter McCullough.

00:37:34.080 And Rob asked

00:37:35.160 this, why do you

00:37:35.960 think that is?

00:37:38.040 Why do you

00:37:38.640 think that is?

00:37:40.540 What would be

00:37:41.460 your answer to

00:37:42.540 Rob's question,

00:37:43.880 which is a very

00:37:44.440 good question?

00:37:45.660 Why do you

00:37:46.340 think those two

00:37:47.120 doctors got

00:37:48.540 deleted?

00:37:50.660 Now, what are

00:37:51.300 the possibilities?

00:37:53.340 Now, one

00:37:54.000 possibility is

00:37:55.860 political, right?

00:37:57.100 Yeah.

00:37:57.360 One possibility

00:37:58.100 is money.

00:38:00.980 That big pharma

00:38:01.820 pushed the right

00:38:03.640 levers and made

00:38:04.820 it happen, right?

00:38:06.700 So let's consider

00:38:08.120 our possibilities.

00:38:09.860 So, one,

00:38:11.860 there is a

00:38:12.760 very impressive

00:38:15.260 conspiracy in

00:38:17.360 which the pharma

00:38:18.260 companies can

00:38:19.760 actually have

00:38:20.460 stuff taken off

00:38:21.700 of social media,

00:38:22.960 maybe because

00:38:23.760 they're big

00:38:24.100 advertisers,

00:38:25.580 something like

00:38:25.940 that.

00:38:26.400 Now, does that

00:38:26.900 seem reasonable?

00:38:28.780 Does it seem

00:38:29.300 like a reasonable

00:38:30.140 possibility that

00:38:33.000 big pharma is

00:38:34.120 getting their

00:38:35.080 critics kicked

00:38:35.880 off of social

00:38:36.500 media?

00:38:37.440 Yeah.

00:38:38.260 Yeah, that could

00:38:38.720 happen.

00:38:39.720 It's certainly

00:38:40.200 within the realm

00:38:40.880 of possible,

00:38:41.580 right?

00:38:42.660 Possible.

00:38:43.880 Okay.

00:38:44.320 Let's talk about

00:38:45.000 some other

00:38:45.340 possibilities.

00:38:45.880 Is it possible

00:38:48.080 that the reason

00:38:49.080 those two doctors 0.74

00:38:50.280 were kicked off

00:38:51.100 is that they

00:38:52.100 can't even

00:38:52.740 convince other

00:38:54.820 doctors that

00:38:55.700 they're right?

00:38:57.500 Because I don't

00:38:58.240 think Twitter

00:38:58.820 used its doctor

00:39:00.720 judgment.

00:39:01.140 do you?

00:39:02.620 Do you think

00:39:03.140 there's a doctor

00:39:04.480 who works at

00:39:05.140 Twitter who

00:39:05.560 said, yeah,

00:39:05.960 I'm a doctor

00:39:06.520 too.

00:39:07.400 I looked at

00:39:07.940 this stuff and

00:39:08.520 I've judged

00:39:09.160 that as my

00:39:11.660 doctor experience

00:39:12.640 tells me,

00:39:13.160 this is not

00:39:13.660 right.

00:39:14.620 Do you think

00:39:15.000 that happened?

00:39:15.940 Or do you

00:39:16.440 think Twitter

00:39:17.060 got advice

00:39:19.820 from experts?

00:39:22.960 What do you

00:39:23.360 think?

00:39:27.620 I think

00:39:28.500 that you

00:39:29.760 have to ask

00:39:30.380 this question.

00:39:31.140 So Rob O'Neill's

00:39:32.440 question is a

00:39:33.000 good one.

00:39:34.060 Now, we don't

00:39:34.500 know exactly

00:39:35.060 the answer,

00:39:35.620 right?

00:39:36.080 Why did these

00:39:36.920 two doctors

00:39:37.760 get kicked

00:39:39.060 off?

00:39:40.260 That's a good

00:39:41.080 question.

00:39:42.820 Right?

00:39:44.120 But the

00:39:44.840 question that

00:39:45.640 also is a

00:39:46.580 good question

00:39:47.040 is, why

00:39:48.180 is it that

00:39:48.620 these two

00:39:49.260 doctors can't

00:39:50.880 convince other

00:39:51.900 doctors that

00:39:52.700 are right?

00:39:53.840 But they've

00:39:54.580 done a good

00:39:55.000 job of

00:39:55.480 convincing

00:39:55.920 non-doctors

00:39:57.540 that are

00:39:57.800 right?

00:39:58.040 would you

00:39:59.340 be concerned

00:40:00.040 about doctors

00:40:01.420 who could

00:40:01.880 convince people

00:40:02.740 who don't

00:40:03.080 know anything

00:40:03.720 but could

00:40:05.040 not convince

00:40:05.720 people who

00:40:06.360 know as

00:40:06.740 much as

00:40:07.120 they know?

00:40:08.340 Does that

00:40:08.920 worry you?

00:40:10.780 Because if they

00:40:11.740 could convince

00:40:12.380 other doctors,

00:40:14.580 then Twitter

00:40:16.640 wouldn't have

00:40:17.040 kicked them

00:40:17.480 off, would

00:40:18.060 they?

00:40:18.220 Do you think

00:40:19.720 if there was

00:40:20.240 a solid,

00:40:21.720 even a minority,

00:40:22.920 but a solid body

00:40:23.880 of other doctors

00:40:24.740 saying, yeah,

00:40:25.300 I've looked at

00:40:26.480 their argument

00:40:26.920 and I've got

00:40:27.420 to say, that's

00:40:28.380 pretty strong.

00:40:31.140 Now, you

00:40:32.100 might say to

00:40:32.580 be Scott,

00:40:33.260 Scott,

00:40:33.540 Scott,

00:40:34.100 Twitter doesn't

00:40:35.240 even check with

00:40:35.840 other doctors.

00:40:37.160 I don't know,

00:40:38.060 but you don't

00:40:38.580 know either,

00:40:39.380 right?

00:40:39.880 I don't know

00:40:40.540 that they do,

00:40:41.780 but you don't

00:40:42.780 know that they

00:40:43.260 don't.

00:40:44.180 It seems kind

00:40:45.200 of obvious that

00:40:45.940 they would,

00:40:47.340 especially if

00:40:48.520 somebody asks,

00:40:49.320 why'd you do

00:40:50.140 that?

00:40:50.980 Now, of course,

00:40:51.620 they don't have

00:40:52.020 full transparency,

00:40:53.040 so I guess they

00:40:53.620 could do anything

00:40:54.400 they want.

00:40:55.300 So, that's

00:40:59.600 my, here's

00:41:00.940 my next

00:41:01.780 advice for

00:41:04.120 sorting out

00:41:04.720 BS from

00:41:05.660 reality.

00:41:06.880 Now, keep

00:41:07.700 in mind that

00:41:08.240 none of the

00:41:08.800 tips I give

00:41:09.500 you for

00:41:09.880 sorting reality

00:41:10.700 from hallucination

00:41:12.820 will be 100%.

00:41:14.060 You got that,

00:41:15.360 right?

00:41:15.820 These are all

00:41:16.720 sort of rule

00:41:17.500 of thumb

00:41:18.060 way.

00:41:19.520 So, just as

00:41:20.280 you say,

00:41:20.860 follow the

00:41:21.480 money,

00:41:23.560 it predicts

00:41:24.480 almost every

00:41:25.560 time, doesn't

00:41:26.120 it?

00:41:26.360 But it could

00:41:26.800 also be

00:41:27.140 wrong.

00:41:28.180 So, would

00:41:28.460 you agree

00:41:28.840 that the rule

00:41:30.220 follow the

00:41:30.900 money is a

00:41:31.980 really good

00:41:32.620 rule of thumb

00:41:33.380 for figuring

00:41:34.260 out what's

00:41:34.780 real, but

00:41:35.620 not every

00:41:36.240 time?

00:41:37.480 You give me

00:41:38.120 that?

00:41:39.120 So, I'm going

00:41:39.520 to give you

00:41:39.820 some more

00:41:40.180 like that,

00:41:41.780 that are in

00:41:42.340 the category

00:41:42.860 of follow the

00:41:43.520 money.

00:41:43.780 It doesn't

00:41:44.020 work every

00:41:44.420 time, but it

00:41:45.960 works a lot.

00:41:46.480 And it

00:41:48.400 is, if the

00:41:49.020 expert can't

00:41:49.820 convince other

00:41:50.500 experts, and

00:41:52.020 they're skipping

00:41:53.020 the other

00:41:53.500 experts because

00:41:54.180 they can't

00:41:54.580 convince them,

00:41:55.760 and they're

00:41:56.040 going directly

00:41:56.640 to the

00:41:56.940 public,

00:41:57.980 there's a

00:41:59.880 reason for

00:42:00.300 that.

00:42:03.140 There's a

00:42:03.720 reason for

00:42:04.100 that.

00:42:05.660 I'm seeing a 0.98

00:42:06.460 counterpoint

00:42:07.020 here.

00:42:08.360 Let's see.

00:42:10.400 I saw a

00:42:10.780 counterpoint

00:42:11.240 about Dr.

00:42:11.980 Malone having 0.99

00:42:12.760 people on

00:42:13.720 his side.

00:42:15.660 Where is

00:42:16.240 that?

00:42:16.480 I miss

00:42:21.100 it.

00:42:22.080 I think

00:42:22.600 there's some

00:42:23.040 counterargument

00:42:23.780 that Dr.

00:42:24.900 Malone has 0.83

00:42:25.700 people on

00:42:26.560 his side.

00:42:27.220 But you

00:42:27.900 would have

00:42:28.180 to limit

00:42:28.520 that to

00:42:28.980 the specific

00:42:29.640 question,

00:42:30.400 wouldn't

00:42:30.560 you?

00:42:33.240 So the

00:42:33.800 question is

00:42:34.300 not Dr.

00:42:35.760 Malone good

00:42:36.400 or bad.

00:42:37.480 That's not

00:42:37.900 the question.

00:42:38.800 The question

00:42:39.300 is specific

00:42:40.340 claims that

00:42:43.180 are not in

00:42:44.040 the mainstream.

00:42:45.360 So if

00:42:45.860 the doctors

00:42:47.060 have convinced

00:42:47.720 people that

00:42:48.380 their specific

00:42:49.200 claims are

00:42:51.220 true, and

00:42:52.460 there are lots

00:42:52.960 of them, we

00:42:54.400 should be

00:42:54.720 talking about

00:42:55.200 that.

00:42:55.840 We shouldn't

00:42:56.380 be talking

00:42:56.800 about there's

00:42:58.120 this one

00:42:58.500 doctor who

00:42:59.140 says something.

00:43:00.540 We should

00:43:01.300 say there's a

00:43:02.320 whole bunch

00:43:02.760 of doctors and

00:43:05.360 we'll put some

00:43:06.080 more on and

00:43:06.800 they'll say the

00:43:07.240 same thing.

00:43:07.680 why do

00:43:09.360 these two

00:43:09.720 doctors get

00:43:10.320 all the

00:43:10.600 invitations?

00:43:11.380 There are

00:43:11.520 no other

00:43:11.820 doctors who

00:43:12.840 agree with

00:43:13.520 them?

00:43:16.560 Yes, you

00:43:17.600 don't even

00:43:18.080 know the

00:43:18.460 claims disputed,

00:43:19.480 that's correct.

00:43:20.220 I don't know

00:43:20.640 all of them.

00:43:21.600 I do know

00:43:22.320 that there is

00:43:23.060 one specific

00:43:23.840 case of

00:43:24.760 Dr.

00:43:25.440 Malone

00:43:25.840 tweeting

00:43:28.080 information that

00:43:29.420 was considered

00:43:30.040 false information

00:43:31.080 about the

00:43:33.840 outcomes of

00:43:34.600 the vaccine.

00:43:35.140 So I think

00:43:36.500 that's what he

00:43:36.940 got kicked

00:43:37.340 off for.

00:43:38.020 My understanding

00:43:38.780 is he got

00:43:39.360 kicked off for

00:43:40.940 tweeting data

00:43:42.300 that was

00:43:43.280 misinterpreted or

00:43:44.620 obviously wrong.

00:43:46.660 Now, it's the

00:43:48.180 obvious part that

00:43:50.480 is where we're

00:43:51.100 going to disagree.

00:43:52.940 Having looked at

00:43:54.060 the debunkers and

00:43:55.240 then looked at

00:43:55.800 the data that

00:43:56.820 Dr.

00:43:58.040 Malone tweeted,

00:43:59.780 the debunkers

00:44:00.640 look stronger to

00:44:02.160 me, but could

00:44:03.880 be wrong.

00:44:05.140 Could be wrong.

00:44:07.000 All right, so

00:44:07.660 ask yourself why

00:44:08.940 you would ever

00:44:09.440 agree with

00:44:10.400 doctors who

00:44:11.060 can't convince

00:44:11.820 other doctors

00:44:12.640 to agree with

00:44:13.400 them.

00:44:14.100 I would never

00:44:14.720 do that, by

00:44:15.800 the way.

00:44:18.140 So Arthur is

00:44:19.020 saying, good

00:44:19.400 point, Arthur,

00:44:20.420 says, Scott,

00:44:21.960 Scott, not

00:44:23.060 working for me

00:44:23.860 because other

00:44:24.660 doctors are afraid

00:44:25.600 of being

00:44:25.920 canceled. 1.00

00:44:27.740 Bullshit. 1.00

00:44:29.660 Let me call 1.00

00:44:30.580 complete and 1.00

00:44:31.900 total bullshit. 1.00

00:44:32.800 bullshit. 1.00

00:44:33.660 The other 1.00

00:44:34.380 doctors are

00:44:35.020 afraid of

00:44:35.400 being canceled.

00:44:37.380 Absolute, 1.00

00:44:37.980 complete bullshit. 1.00

00:44:39.320 And I'm 1.00

00:44:39.680 surprised that

00:44:40.300 you believe

00:44:40.600 that.

00:44:41.960 Let me tell

00:44:43.140 you what the

00:44:46.640 real world

00:44:47.160 looks like.

00:44:50.100 In the real

00:44:50.920 world, people

00:44:53.100 are too

00:44:53.460 different.

00:44:54.660 For every

00:44:55.420 person you

00:44:55.980 find who

00:44:57.480 doesn't want to

00:44:58.180 get canceled,

00:44:58.860 and there'll be

00:44:59.240 lots of them,

00:44:59.800 you're going

00:45:00.800 to find at

00:45:01.260 least one

00:45:01.880 person who

00:45:02.400 likes the

00:45:02.800 attention.

00:45:06.120 You will.

00:45:07.400 You will find

00:45:08.000 at least one

00:45:08.620 person who

00:45:09.020 likes the

00:45:09.400 attention.

00:45:10.120 Now the

00:45:10.440 doctors you

00:45:10.980 can trust,

00:45:12.320 cannot trust,

00:45:13.580 are the ones

00:45:14.000 who need

00:45:14.820 hospital privileges.

00:45:16.580 Do we all

00:45:16.980 agree on that?

00:45:17.820 If you require

00:45:18.660 hospital privileges,

00:45:19.860 you can't go

00:45:20.380 against the

00:45:21.320 mainstream

00:45:21.660 hospital opinion.

00:45:23.360 You'll get

00:45:23.940 kicked down.

00:45:25.200 But that

00:45:26.320 still leaves a

00:45:26.940 lot of people,

00:45:28.240 right?

00:45:28.400 retired people,

00:45:30.180 retired doctors.

00:45:31.580 What about the

00:45:32.120 other people who

00:45:32.700 worked on the

00:45:33.160 same team with

00:45:33.880 Dr. Malone?

00:45:34.940 Have you seen

00:45:35.620 all the interviews

00:45:36.300 of the people

00:45:37.020 who have the

00:45:37.580 same experience

00:45:38.520 as Dr. Malone

00:45:39.940 about mRNA

00:45:40.700 technology?

00:45:42.120 Worked with

00:45:42.640 them on the

00:45:43.040 project, same

00:45:44.300 experience.

00:45:45.120 Have you seen

00:45:45.580 the interviews

00:45:46.020 with them?

00:45:48.360 Why not?

00:45:49.980 You think

00:45:50.360 they're all

00:45:50.660 afraid?

00:45:51.780 All of them?

00:45:53.500 So this is

00:45:54.000 very similar to

00:45:54.860 the, you're

00:45:57.580 going to hate

00:45:57.900 this, but I'm

00:45:58.320 going to do

00:45:58.540 it anyway.

00:45:59.380 Do you

00:45:59.580 remember the

00:46:00.120 fine people

00:46:02.300 thing in

00:46:03.760 Charlottesville?

00:46:04.700 And when you

00:46:05.440 go to debunk

00:46:06.540 it, people

00:46:07.600 will always

00:46:08.280 go down

00:46:08.720 what I call

00:46:09.360 the well

00:46:10.240 until the

00:46:11.220 last thing

00:46:11.780 they have

00:46:12.120 left is

00:46:13.420 that in a

00:46:14.900 big event

00:46:15.440 like that,

00:46:16.800 nobody could

00:46:17.820 have unknowingly

00:46:19.040 been there

00:46:19.680 without knowing

00:46:20.700 it was a

00:46:21.600 neo-Nazi

00:46:23.660 event.

00:46:24.080 that's like

00:46:26.660 somebody who's

00:46:27.180 never been

00:46:27.620 born in

00:46:28.020 America or 0.66

00:46:28.680 never been

00:46:29.120 here.

00:46:30.340 Any large

00:46:31.080 group of

00:46:31.560 Americans have 0.78

00:46:32.380 every opinion.

00:46:34.500 Again, I'm

00:46:35.120 speaking weird

00:46:35.840 absolutes, but

00:46:36.900 if you take a

00:46:37.720 hundred Americans

00:46:38.520 just randomly

00:46:39.660 and put them in

00:46:40.840 a room, what do

00:46:42.260 you think?

00:46:42.540 They're going to

00:46:42.740 have two

00:46:43.080 opinions?

00:46:44.500 No, they're

00:46:45.400 going to have

00:46:45.520 like a hundred

00:46:45.960 opinions.

00:46:46.420 So if you're

00:46:47.940 telling me that

00:46:48.420 doctors are so

00:46:49.420 single-minded that

00:46:52.920 their fear of

00:46:53.800 their career is

00:46:55.400 the guiding

00:46:56.660 principle that

00:46:57.360 just got all

00:46:57.940 of them,

00:46:58.700 basically the

00:46:59.500 entire industry

00:47:00.420 was so

00:47:01.780 hive-minded that

00:47:03.700 they had to do

00:47:04.320 what their

00:47:04.840 medical masters

00:47:06.100 told them to

00:47:06.720 do.

00:47:07.560 We don't live

00:47:08.560 in any world

00:47:09.260 like that at

00:47:11.100 all.

00:47:12.060 In our world,

00:47:13.420 people disagree

00:47:14.220 with everything

00:47:15.220 vigorously all

00:47:17.480 the time if

00:47:18.340 they believe

00:47:18.700 it, if they

00:47:20.140 believe it.

00:47:21.500 Have you met

00:47:22.220 any private

00:47:23.360 doctors who

00:47:25.500 agree with

00:47:26.740 them but just

00:47:27.200 don't want to

00:47:27.600 say it?

00:47:27.960 There must be

00:47:28.380 some of those,

00:47:28.980 right?

00:47:30.040 But we don't

00:47:31.180 live in a world

00:47:31.820 where anybody

00:47:32.420 can shut down

00:47:33.260 an entire

00:47:33.940 profession.

00:47:36.260 I don't think

00:47:36.980 that can happen.

00:47:38.700 Just Google

00:47:39.440 it, Scott.

00:47:40.180 Google what?

00:47:41.640 You've got to

00:47:42.080 be a little

00:47:42.400 more specific

00:47:43.060 than just

00:47:44.180 Google it.

00:47:45.220 Now, if

00:47:48.540 you say

00:47:48.980 there are

00:47:49.560 in fact

00:47:49.960 many doctors

00:47:50.700 who publicly

00:47:51.580 agree with

00:47:52.340 Dr. Malone,

00:47:53.960 I'd like to

00:47:54.520 see them on

00:47:54.980 interviews.

00:47:56.500 Get a few

00:47:56.920 more of them.

00:47:57.940 You know,

00:47:58.120 it would be

00:47:58.340 great to get

00:47:59.300 like three of

00:47:59.900 those doctors,

00:48:01.880 bring them

00:48:02.320 in and say,

00:48:03.200 here's some

00:48:03.820 claims made,

00:48:04.560 what do you

00:48:04.760 think?

00:48:05.800 I'd watch

00:48:06.540 that.

00:48:09.000 All right.

00:48:09.400 But I

00:48:10.560 believe it

00:48:11.220 is not

00:48:12.900 really a

00:48:14.980 good

00:48:15.220 understanding

00:48:15.780 of the

00:48:16.100 world if

00:48:17.120 you believe

00:48:17.480 an entire

00:48:17.940 profession can

00:48:19.360 be hive-minded

00:48:20.400 that easily.

00:48:22.520 Pick any

00:48:23.200 category of

00:48:25.500 debate in

00:48:26.720 this country.

00:48:28.080 Do we have

00:48:28.900 any category of

00:48:29.900 debate on any

00:48:30.560 topic, from

00:48:31.220 climate change

00:48:32.240 to whatever,

00:48:33.320 do we have

00:48:33.880 any topic

00:48:34.680 that you can

00:48:36.400 get this many

00:48:37.040 people on

00:48:37.480 one side?

00:48:38.720 Not really.

00:48:40.580 You can't get

00:48:41.400 that many people

00:48:41.940 on one side

00:48:42.340 over anything.

00:48:44.200 And people

00:48:44.840 will take wild

00:48:45.720 risks that you

00:48:46.600 wouldn't take.

00:48:48.460 Would any of

00:48:49.260 you take the

00:48:49.780 risks that I

00:48:50.440 take with your

00:48:51.040 careers?

00:48:53.480 I guess I'm a

00:48:54.480 good test case.

00:48:56.280 You've seen

00:48:56.840 how many risks

00:48:57.480 I take with my

00:48:58.360 career.

00:48:58.840 Would you do

00:48:59.320 that?

00:49:02.960 Well,

00:49:03.520 somebody says

00:49:04.760 you're rich,

00:49:05.320 but I did it

00:49:05.900 before I was

00:49:06.380 rich.

00:49:07.040 I did get

00:49:08.180 fired for my

00:49:08.880 day job

00:49:09.420 before my

00:49:11.540 Dilbert job

00:49:13.060 took off

00:49:14.020 because I

00:49:14.720 took a big

00:49:15.540 risk.

00:49:19.000 Yeah,

00:49:19.440 no,

00:49:19.640 but even

00:49:20.000 before I had

00:49:20.800 the FU

00:49:21.360 money,

00:49:21.780 you're right

00:49:22.320 about that.

00:49:25.740 Oh,

00:49:26.320 here we go.

00:49:26.820 Nathan says,

00:49:28.240 now,

00:49:28.560 I haven't read

00:49:29.780 Nathan's whole

00:49:30.420 comment,

00:49:31.660 but I'm going

00:49:32.060 to make a

00:49:32.440 prediction

00:49:32.800 that there's

00:49:34.920 something not

00:49:35.720 specific here.

00:49:36.560 here we go.

00:49:37.960 Nathan says,

00:49:38.860 people are

00:49:39.240 mad at you,

00:49:39.900 meaning me,

00:49:40.580 because you

00:49:41.100 say things

00:49:41.660 that are not

00:49:42.140 true.

00:49:42.940 Okay,

00:49:43.240 can you give

00:49:43.660 me an example?

00:49:44.340 There won't be

00:49:44.740 one.

00:49:45.280 And give

00:49:45.660 yourself outs.

00:49:47.400 Okay,

00:49:47.680 that's generic.

00:49:48.860 So,

00:49:49.160 so far,

00:49:49.700 this would be a

00:49:50.740 sign of cognitive

00:49:51.500 dissonance because

00:49:52.700 it's that generic

00:49:53.880 thing.

00:49:54.940 But let's see if he

00:49:55.780 goes further.

00:49:56.580 He says,

00:49:57.420 Malone is head

00:49:58.040 of organization

00:49:59.100 consisting of

00:50:00.040 16,000 doctors

00:50:01.440 that agree with

00:50:02.640 him on COVID

00:50:03.260 issues.

00:50:03.700 It's called

00:50:04.600 the Unity

00:50:05.160 Project.

00:50:07.040 That is a

00:50:08.040 claim which

00:50:09.360 could easily

00:50:09.960 be checked.

00:50:11.500 So let's

00:50:11.960 take,

00:50:12.460 let's say,

00:50:13.100 the specific

00:50:13.960 data that

00:50:15.760 Dr. Malone

00:50:16.600 got kicked

00:50:17.040 off of

00:50:17.440 Twitter.

00:50:18.680 Would anybody

00:50:19.340 like to take

00:50:20.000 a bet that

00:50:21.580 his 16,000

00:50:22.660 people in

00:50:24.380 his Unity

00:50:24.880 Project

00:50:25.340 disagree with

00:50:27.920 the data?

00:50:29.080 How many

00:50:30.800 of you think

00:50:31.340 that the

00:50:31.820 16,000

00:50:32.840 people who

00:50:33.560 agree with

00:50:34.060 him in

00:50:34.440 general also

00:50:36.140 agree that

00:50:37.140 the data he

00:50:38.080 promoted on

00:50:40.800 Twitter was

00:50:41.740 accurate?

00:50:43.120 Would anybody

00:50:43.520 want to take

00:50:44.000 a bet with

00:50:44.420 me?

00:50:45.580 I'll bet that

00:50:46.200 the majority

00:50:46.780 of the people

00:50:47.380 that you say

00:50:48.040 agree with

00:50:48.500 him would

00:50:49.360 say that the

00:50:49.980 specific data

00:50:50.880 that he got

00:50:51.380 kicked off of

00:50:52.060 Twitter for was

00:50:53.340 not reliable or

00:50:55.140 it had been

00:50:55.580 misinterpreted.

00:50:56.820 Anybody want

00:50:57.360 to take the

00:50:57.700 bet?

00:50:57.860 You don't

00:51:02.380 have to agree

00:51:02.900 with every

00:51:03.280 single subject,

00:51:04.060 yes.

00:51:04.460 But the only

00:51:04.880 things we're

00:51:05.320 talking about

00:51:05.880 with Malone

00:51:06.700 are what he

00:51:08.060 got kicked

00:51:08.460 off of

00:51:08.780 social media

00:51:09.280 for.

00:51:10.160 And I'm

00:51:11.420 going to

00:51:11.720 make a

00:51:12.220 prediction

00:51:12.620 that the

00:51:14.180 people who

00:51:14.760 are on

00:51:15.240 his side

00:51:15.920 don't agree

00:51:16.760 with him

00:51:17.160 on the

00:51:17.460 stuff he

00:51:17.760 got kicked

00:51:18.140 off of

00:51:18.460 Twitter for.

00:51:19.600 Anybody

00:51:20.040 want to

00:51:20.340 take the

00:51:20.620 bet?

00:51:21.500 You'd only

00:51:21.960 need to

00:51:22.340 find one

00:51:22.740 person.

00:51:25.300 Just find

00:51:25.940 one other

00:51:26.380 person who

00:51:26.880 thinks that

00:51:27.280 data was

00:51:27.680 accurate.

00:51:30.080 I don't

00:51:30.680 think he

00:51:30.980 can.

00:51:31.600 So the

00:51:31.820 problem with

00:51:32.180 Malone is,

00:51:34.120 and somebody

00:51:34.680 also said

00:51:35.200 that they

00:51:36.940 said I was

00:51:37.480 not giving

00:51:38.100 Dr. Malone

00:51:38.820 the credit

00:51:39.460 he deserves

00:51:40.300 for his

00:51:41.980 qualifications.

00:51:42.860 In other

00:51:43.080 words, I

00:51:43.400 was under

00:51:44.420 selling his

00:51:45.940 credentials.

00:51:47.320 I did the

00:51:48.100 opposite of

00:51:48.580 that.

00:51:49.420 I basically

00:51:50.220 drooled all

00:51:51.140 over his

00:51:51.680 credentials as

00:51:52.440 some of the

00:51:52.800 most impressive

00:51:53.500 credentials I've

00:51:54.460 ever seen.

00:51:54.960 that's

00:51:56.800 unambiguous.

00:51:58.500 Nobody,

00:51:59.540 nobody is

00:52:00.640 questioning his

00:52:01.400 credentials.

00:52:02.300 That's the

00:52:02.860 one place we're

00:52:03.500 all starting

00:52:04.020 with.

00:52:04.940 Okay, we

00:52:05.320 all agree he

00:52:05.860 has lots of

00:52:06.280 credentials.

00:52:07.360 Now let's

00:52:07.820 talk.

00:52:09.300 So you can

00:52:10.060 see that the

00:52:10.620 complaints about

00:52:11.600 me are just

00:52:12.000 actually crazy.

00:52:14.260 Yeah.

00:52:15.700 All right.

00:52:17.080 But here's what

00:52:17.860 happens when you

00:52:18.560 separate the

00:52:19.760 expert from the

00:52:21.800 criticisms.

00:52:22.280 So Dr.

00:52:23.880 Malone went

00:52:24.800 on Joe

00:52:26.080 Rogan.

00:52:27.160 Sam Harris

00:52:27.940 tweeted a,

00:52:29.940 let's say,

00:52:31.280 a criticism of

00:52:32.320 Dr.

00:52:32.640 Malone by

00:52:33.520 ZDogg. 0.98

00:52:34.660 Anybody

00:52:35.000 watching ZDogg?

00:52:36.560 You can see

00:52:37.060 him on Locals

00:52:37.820 and elsewhere.

00:52:40.020 And ZDogg,

00:52:40.600 who was also

00:52:41.020 MD,

00:52:43.680 criticized Dr.

00:52:45.380 Malone on a

00:52:45.940 number of

00:52:46.400 specific points

00:52:47.500 and went

00:52:48.380 through them.

00:52:49.620 So now you

00:52:50.800 know something,

00:52:51.400 right?

00:52:51.560 So now if

00:52:52.680 you've seen

00:52:53.220 Dr.

00:52:56.700 Malone's full 0.55

00:52:57.600 interview and

00:52:59.120 then you

00:52:59.420 looked at

00:53:00.060 ZDogg's

00:53:01.020 criticism of

00:53:01.940 him, which

00:53:03.700 didn't happen

00:53:04.180 at the same

00:53:04.640 time, right?

00:53:05.200 They happened

00:53:05.520 in different

00:53:05.900 places and

00:53:06.460 times.

00:53:07.240 You would

00:53:07.800 have a pretty

00:53:08.340 good idea

00:53:08.960 because now

00:53:10.180 you've got the

00:53:10.680 pros and you've

00:53:11.400 got the cons,

00:53:11.960 right?

00:53:13.240 How many would

00:53:13.840 agree with that?

00:53:14.980 Because now

00:53:15.580 you've seen both

00:53:16.160 sides.

00:53:17.020 And ZDogg,

00:53:17.640 remember,

00:53:17.940 ZDogg is a very

00:53:18.880 good communicator

00:53:19.840 and a doctor

00:53:21.240 so he knows

00:53:22.300 what he's

00:53:22.600 talking about.

00:53:24.500 Well, that

00:53:25.800 didn't work out

00:53:26.380 at all

00:53:26.840 because after

00:53:30.000 ZDogg did 0.99

00:53:30.720 his criticisms,

00:53:32.540 Twitter user

00:53:33.780 Paul Collider,

00:53:34.900 I mention him

00:53:35.540 often,

00:53:36.680 went in and

00:53:38.180 criticized the

00:53:38.980 criticisms.

00:53:40.560 And here's the

00:53:41.360 criticisms of

00:53:42.340 the criticisms.

00:53:42.940 is that in

00:53:44.820 each case,

00:53:45.820 I don't know

00:53:46.180 if it was

00:53:46.460 every case,

00:53:47.060 but in the

00:53:47.520 ones noted,

00:53:49.140 ZDogg had 0.98

00:53:49.840 misinterpreted

00:53:50.860 Dr. Malone

00:53:52.700 and had

00:53:53.760 criticized a

00:53:54.920 misinterpretation.

00:53:57.560 So in other

00:53:58.380 words, if I

00:54:00.400 hadn't seen

00:54:00.860 Paul Collider's

00:54:01.860 criticism of

00:54:03.120 the criticisms,

00:54:04.740 I would have

00:54:06.000 been much more

00:54:06.560 persuaded that

00:54:07.840 ZDogg was 0.96

00:54:08.520 saying something

00:54:09.080 that was an

00:54:10.060 actual debunk.

00:54:11.520 Now, is

00:54:13.580 Paul Collider

00:54:14.400 correct that

00:54:16.160 ZDogg 0.91

00:54:16.780 misinterpreted

00:54:18.620 Malone?

00:54:20.580 I don't know.

00:54:22.480 You would need

00:54:22.960 yet another

00:54:24.440 fact checker

00:54:25.160 to fact check

00:54:26.380 Paul Collider

00:54:27.140 who fact checked

00:54:28.580 ZDogg,

00:54:29.960 who fact checked

00:54:31.080 Malone.

00:54:34.280 None of this

00:54:35.480 is useful

00:54:35.940 information.

00:54:37.240 It turns out

00:54:37.920 that as soon

00:54:38.960 as you

00:54:39.440 separate

00:54:41.360 the claim

00:54:42.500 from the

00:54:43.380 criticism,

00:54:44.540 everything goes 1.00

00:54:45.980 to shit. 0.99

00:54:47.300 So my 1.00

00:54:47.740 problem with

00:54:48.400 the Joe

00:54:49.100 Rogan

00:54:49.520 one interview

00:54:52.420 is that it

00:54:54.260 removes the

00:54:54.860 criticism.

00:54:55.680 And once it's

00:54:56.180 removed, then

00:54:57.140 you're not really

00:54:57.680 sure if you're

00:54:58.260 talking about

00:54:58.820 the same thing

00:54:59.440 anymore.

00:55:00.200 And then you

00:55:00.880 get into word

00:55:01.580 thinking and

00:55:02.260 who said what,

00:55:03.080 and it's just

00:55:03.580 useless.

00:55:04.980 Yeah. 1.00

00:55:05.360 Fact checking is 0.99

00:55:06.120 dumb because you 0.99

00:55:07.040 usually don't have 1.00

00:55:07.760 a reply to the

00:55:09.680 fact check.

00:55:10.140 That's the

00:55:11.100 problem with

00:55:11.380 fact checking.

00:55:12.220 So fact checking

00:55:12.860 is a bad

00:55:13.360 model, better

00:55:14.440 than nothing,

00:55:15.240 but it's a bad

00:55:16.000 model because it

00:55:16.900 separates in time

00:55:18.040 and space the

00:55:19.460 claim from the

00:55:20.380 debunk.

00:55:21.220 They have to

00:55:21.760 happen at the

00:55:22.240 same time.

00:55:23.840 Otherwise, you

00:55:24.560 don't know

00:55:25.000 anything.

00:55:26.480 You need

00:55:27.180 somebody to

00:55:27.720 say, oh, no,

00:55:28.740 no, you're

00:55:29.360 misinterpreting me.

00:55:30.920 I can't defend

00:55:31.880 that because I

00:55:32.900 never said it.

00:55:34.240 So get back on

00:55:35.260 my point, and

00:55:36.580 now what's your

00:55:37.160 criticism?

00:55:37.520 So that's why

00:55:39.140 it needs to

00:55:39.480 happen at the

00:55:39.880 same time.

00:55:40.740 You need the

00:55:41.180 person who

00:55:41.580 makes the

00:55:42.000 claim to

00:55:43.240 continuously pull

00:55:44.320 the person back

00:55:45.240 into the actual

00:55:46.000 claim because if

00:55:47.740 you know anything,

00:55:49.160 when people

00:55:49.640 criticize, they 1.00

00:55:50.400 make up their

00:55:51.040 own hallucination

00:55:51.960 of what you

00:55:52.420 claimed, and

00:55:52.920 then they're

00:55:53.280 off on that.

00:55:54.420 You've got to

00:55:54.980 have the

00:55:55.300 claimer say,

00:55:55.940 nope, stop,

00:55:57.820 never said

00:55:58.540 that, now

00:56:00.000 let's talk

00:56:00.420 about what I

00:56:00.900 did say.

00:56:02.260 Right?

00:56:02.860 That could 0.68

00:56:03.380 work.

00:56:03.680 All right.

00:56:06.320 So, and

00:56:07.660 then I also

00:56:08.240 tweeted one

00:56:09.800 other critique

00:56:11.060 of Dr.

00:56:12.620 Malone, and

00:56:13.560 smart people

00:56:15.420 said, but

00:56:16.400 Scott, that

00:56:17.560 fact check is

00:56:19.540 like generic

00:56:20.540 and off the

00:56:21.180 point, and

00:56:21.880 it looks like

00:56:22.520 the fact check,

00:56:24.180 the way it's

00:56:24.480 written, is

00:56:25.020 weasel words,

00:56:26.520 like with no

00:56:27.360 credibility

00:56:27.940 whatsoever.

00:56:30.160 And that was

00:56:31.060 actually a

00:56:31.580 reasonable

00:56:31.940 criticism.

00:56:32.440 Now, keep

00:56:34.140 in mind, I

00:56:34.580 didn't tell

00:56:34.860 you the fact

00:56:35.740 check was

00:56:36.120 right, I

00:56:37.260 told you you

00:56:37.720 need to see

00:56:38.160 it.

00:56:39.420 You need to

00:56:39.840 see the

00:56:40.100 claim, you

00:56:40.560 need to see

00:56:40.900 the fact

00:56:41.220 check.

00:56:41.740 But I

00:56:42.100 will say

00:56:42.560 that the

00:56:43.080 doctors who

00:56:43.860 did not

00:56:44.440 agree with

00:56:45.080 Dr.

00:56:45.740 Malone,

00:56:46.900 they did

00:56:48.100 seem to be

00:56:48.820 weaseling about

00:56:49.660 maybe related

00:56:50.520 topics, like

00:56:51.480 they weren't

00:56:52.440 answering as

00:56:53.440 directly as

00:56:54.120 you think

00:56:54.420 you wanted

00:56:55.640 them to.

00:56:56.580 But here

00:56:57.020 was my

00:56:57.360 interpretation.

00:56:58.960 One

00:56:59.260 interpretation

00:56:59.660 is you

00:57:00.200 can't trust

00:57:00.660 the fact

00:57:01.000 checkers.

00:57:02.440 And that's

00:57:03.500 a fair

00:57:04.100 interpretation.

00:57:05.400 The other

00:57:05.860 interpretation

00:57:06.260 is that the

00:57:07.100 doctors were

00:57:08.620 aware of all

00:57:09.620 of Malone's

00:57:10.300 claims.

00:57:12.240 And if

00:57:14.300 they thought

00:57:14.760 he was saying

00:57:15.280 something that

00:57:15.820 was true,

00:57:17.380 I think they

00:57:18.540 would have

00:57:18.740 addressed it

00:57:19.360 or false.

00:57:22.340 In other

00:57:22.640 words, the

00:57:22.960 fact that the

00:57:23.740 doctors weren't

00:57:25.200 seeing what

00:57:27.100 Malone saw 0.71

00:57:29.060 does tell you

00:57:30.360 something, even

00:57:31.040 if they

00:57:31.340 didn't address

00:57:32.060 it.

00:57:32.720 Because it's

00:57:33.160 hard to be

00:57:33.620 specific about

00:57:34.520 that stuff.

00:57:40.620 Weird comments

00:57:42.840 going on today.

00:57:44.500 Here's your

00:57:45.040 next trick for

00:57:47.060 determining who

00:57:47.940 is hallucinating

00:57:48.780 and who is

00:57:49.320 not.

00:57:50.100 You've heard it

00:57:50.680 before, but

00:57:51.320 every time I

00:57:51.880 apply it to a

00:57:52.800 specific situation,

00:57:54.400 it helps.

00:57:55.280 The more

00:57:55.460 examples you

00:57:56.060 see, the

00:57:56.340 better.

00:57:56.500 generally

00:57:57.720 speaking, I

00:58:02.080 will allow

00:58:02.580 that there

00:58:02.920 will be

00:58:03.140 exceptions.

00:58:08.960 Addison

00:58:09.480 says, do

00:58:10.280 you suppose

00:58:10.700 people are

00:58:11.180 tired of you

00:58:11.820 attacking experts

00:58:12.780 without doing

00:58:13.880 the work to

00:58:14.400 understand the

00:58:15.040 issues?

00:58:18.080 Yes, I

00:58:19.160 believe that

00:58:19.580 people believe

00:58:21.220 I'm doing

00:58:21.640 that, but I

00:58:22.240 don't think it's

00:58:22.620 happening.

00:58:24.220 In other

00:58:24.680 words, I've

00:58:25.680 asked for a

00:58:26.520 specific claim

00:58:27.440 and then I

00:58:29.140 say, what

00:58:30.240 have I said

00:58:30.760 about that

00:58:31.140 claim?

00:58:31.480 And I

00:58:31.820 don't have

00:58:32.160 any examples.

00:58:34.100 So what

00:58:35.480 you're saying

00:58:36.000 would be

00:58:36.960 right if

00:58:38.180 we were

00:58:38.440 talking about

00:58:38.940 something

00:58:39.300 specific.

00:58:40.320 But nobody

00:58:40.940 can even

00:58:41.280 tell me why

00:58:41.780 they're mad.

00:58:43.460 Like, what

00:58:44.000 do they

00:58:44.240 disagree with?

00:58:45.320 I don't

00:58:45.640 think it's

00:58:46.040 only because

00:58:46.820 I've dismissed

00:58:49.140 any experts.

00:58:50.160 I've said,

00:58:50.720 give me a

00:58:51.240 specific claim

00:58:52.020 and we'll

00:58:53.240 look at it.

00:58:54.460 I don't think

00:58:55.200 that's

00:58:55.640 unreasonable.

00:58:57.440 All right,

00:58:57.640 here's your

00:58:58.100 tip.

00:58:59.180 General tip,

00:59:00.140 but I'm

00:59:00.400 going to

00:59:00.600 apply it to

00:59:01.120 this one.

00:59:01.880 If you

00:59:02.420 have four

00:59:02.840 people in

00:59:03.280 a room,

00:59:04.180 one of

00:59:04.760 them says

00:59:05.360 there's an

00:59:06.560 elephant standing

00:59:07.480 right in

00:59:07.940 front of us.

00:59:09.540 The other

00:59:10.260 three, who 0.84

00:59:11.480 are just as

00:59:12.120 smart, just

00:59:13.420 as capable as

00:59:14.280 spotting

00:59:14.680 elephants, are

00:59:15.880 looking in the

00:59:16.500 same room, and

00:59:17.140 it's a little

00:59:17.480 room, and

00:59:17.920 they say,

00:59:18.800 wait, what?

00:59:20.100 I don't see

00:59:20.800 an elephant.

00:59:21.980 There is an

00:59:22.700 elephant right

00:59:23.260 there.

00:59:23.960 Right there.

00:59:24.500 I'm looking

00:59:25.420 at it, look

00:59:26.180 at it, and

00:59:26.620 the other

00:59:26.860 three people

00:59:27.380 are like, we

00:59:29.520 don't see the

00:59:30.040 elephant.

00:59:31.420 Who's right?

00:59:33.380 It's a generic

00:59:34.280 situation.

00:59:34.920 We're not

00:59:35.180 talking about

00:59:35.740 the pandemic.

00:59:36.940 It's a generic

00:59:37.520 situation.

00:59:38.780 One person

00:59:39.420 sees an

00:59:39.840 elephant, three

00:59:41.280 do not.

00:59:42.260 They're all

00:59:42.800 equally trained

00:59:43.660 in spotting

00:59:44.280 elephants.

00:59:45.080 And it's a

00:59:45.820 little room.

00:59:47.500 I'm not talking

00:59:48.380 about a forest

00:59:49.120 or a jungle.

00:59:50.740 It's like a

00:59:51.260 little room, and

00:59:52.160 you're in there

00:59:52.720 with it.

00:59:53.140 Who's

00:59:54.160 right?

00:59:55.600 Somebody says

00:59:56.260 all of them.

00:59:57.700 You get extra

00:59:58.460 credit for saying

00:59:59.260 all of them.

01:00:00.120 I know what

01:00:00.780 you're going

01:00:01.120 at there.

01:00:02.520 Yeah, I

01:00:03.560 always bet on

01:00:04.360 the three, and

01:00:05.320 here's why.

01:00:07.300 Hallucinations

01:00:07.820 are additions

01:00:08.840 to scenes,

01:00:10.040 usually.

01:00:11.780 There could be

01:00:12.300 exceptions.

01:00:13.340 But a

01:00:13.800 hallucination is

01:00:15.440 something added

01:00:16.560 to the scene.

01:00:17.300 You don't have

01:00:19.320 hallucinations of

01:00:20.640 somebody sitting

01:00:21.360 in a room

01:00:21.820 with an

01:00:22.420 elephant who

01:00:23.720 doesn't see

01:00:24.200 it.

01:00:26.580 That hallucination

01:00:27.980 just doesn't

01:00:28.480 happen.

01:00:29.340 The hallucination

01:00:30.100 that does

01:00:30.540 happen is

01:00:33.320 somebody adding

01:00:35.380 something to a

01:00:36.160 scene.

01:00:37.420 First of all,

01:00:38.920 will you accept

01:00:39.860 that as a good

01:00:41.060 generalization?

01:00:41.800 If somebody

01:00:43.640 sees a conspiracy

01:00:44.560 theory, let's

01:00:46.340 say a false

01:00:46.900 one, and the 1.00

01:00:47.880 other people

01:00:48.340 can't see it,

01:00:49.140 who's probably

01:00:50.780 right, assuming

01:00:52.520 that they can

01:00:53.040 see all the

01:00:53.520 same information,

01:00:54.820 right?

01:00:54.980 There's no

01:00:55.320 difference in

01:00:55.800 information.

01:00:56.800 Who's probably

01:00:57.680 right?

01:00:58.560 The ones who

01:00:59.100 can't see it,

01:01:00.240 right?

01:01:00.560 Because hallucinations

01:01:01.520 are positive

01:01:02.760 additions.

01:01:05.680 Dr. Malone

01:01:06.640 may be seeing

01:01:08.120 things that

01:01:09.520 people with the

01:01:10.280 same amount

01:01:10.840 of experience

01:01:11.500 and vision

01:01:12.260 are not

01:01:13.520 seeing.

01:01:13.900 If the

01:01:16.380 other people

01:01:16.980 saw it, too,

01:01:18.700 I would say,

01:01:19.700 whoa, they're

01:01:20.120 all experts.

01:01:21.660 You tell me

01:01:22.160 four experts

01:01:22.900 are in the

01:01:23.260 room, they

01:01:23.600 all saw the

01:01:24.080 elephant?

01:01:24.700 There's an

01:01:25.220 elephant in

01:01:25.640 that room.

01:01:26.820 But if four

01:01:27.620 experts walk

01:01:28.320 out of the

01:01:28.720 same room

01:01:29.300 with the

01:01:29.640 same expertise

01:01:30.500 and the

01:01:30.880 same experience

01:01:31.700 and three

01:01:32.520 of them say

01:01:33.040 there is no

01:01:33.700 elephant in

01:01:34.220 that room

01:01:34.600 and one

01:01:35.040 of them says

01:01:35.500 I see it

01:01:35.980 clear as day,

01:01:37.900 who do you

01:01:38.540 bet on?

01:01:41.000 The three

01:01:41.680 who don't

01:01:42.120 see it

01:01:42.600 or the

01:01:44.040 one who

01:01:44.360 does.

01:01:45.420 Now keep

01:01:45.900 in mind,

01:01:47.040 the one

01:01:47.460 who does

01:01:48.100 is showing

01:01:48.980 his work.

01:01:50.560 So there's

01:01:51.460 no extra

01:01:52.300 knowledge or

01:01:53.100 anything like

01:01:53.540 that.

01:01:53.840 He's showing

01:01:54.180 his work.

01:01:55.200 It's completely

01:01:55.760 transparent.

01:01:57.260 And three

01:01:57.680 of them don't

01:01:58.060 see it,

01:01:59.040 but one of

01:01:59.620 them does.

01:02:01.880 Somebody says

01:02:02.620 you'd believe

01:02:03.080 the one.

01:02:03.760 I do think

01:02:04.500 that many of

01:02:05.000 you would

01:02:05.340 believe the

01:02:05.780 one.

01:02:06.600 However,

01:02:07.840 the reason

01:02:08.620 that you

01:02:08.960 might believe

01:02:09.500 the one

01:02:09.840 is that you

01:02:10.500 have been

01:02:10.900 fooled

01:02:11.480 and primed

01:02:13.180 by the

01:02:14.060 following

01:02:14.420 model of

01:02:15.140 reality.

01:02:16.520 The people

01:02:17.100 who are

01:02:17.520 the rogue

01:02:18.220 and disagree

01:02:19.260 with the

01:02:20.020 mainstream

01:02:20.740 sometimes are

01:02:22.260 right and

01:02:23.020 then they

01:02:23.300 become heroes.

01:02:24.880 I'm an

01:02:25.600 example.

01:02:26.600 For example,

01:02:27.800 when I

01:02:28.320 predicted that

01:02:29.020 Trump would

01:02:29.480 win in

01:02:29.800 2016,

01:02:30.820 I was a

01:02:31.580 weird,

01:02:32.200 rogue 0.71

01:02:32.680 outlier.

01:02:34.240 When I

01:02:34.960 was right

01:02:35.560 that he

01:02:36.600 won in

01:02:36.900 2016,

01:02:37.700 I got a

01:02:38.100 lot of

01:02:38.320 attention.

01:02:39.740 Did that

01:02:40.140 make you

01:02:40.540 think that

01:02:41.000 the rogue

01:02:41.560 outlier

01:02:42.120 is right

01:02:42.860 more than

01:02:43.520 wrong?

01:02:44.680 It

01:02:44.920 shouldn't.

01:02:46.420 The reason

01:02:47.080 I got a

01:02:48.560 lot of

01:02:48.780 attention is

01:02:49.960 that the

01:02:50.280 odds of

01:02:51.040 the rogue

01:02:51.800 person being

01:02:53.000 right are

01:02:53.540 really low.

01:02:54.960 That's the

01:02:55.320 entire reason

01:02:56.080 that I did

01:02:56.880 it.

01:02:57.640 I knew

01:02:58.120 that if I

01:02:58.520 got it

01:02:58.820 right,

01:02:59.540 it would

01:03:00.560 boost my

01:03:01.260 credibility.

01:03:02.500 I was

01:03:03.240 pretty sure

01:03:03.660 he would

01:03:03.900 win for

01:03:04.520 reasons.

01:03:05.360 But I

01:03:10.520 have

01:03:11.240 experience

01:03:11.780 with this.

01:03:13.280 The rogue

01:03:14.200 person is

01:03:15.340 almost always

01:03:16.580 wrong.

01:03:18.320 Almost

01:03:18.660 always.

01:03:20.320 And you

01:03:21.160 have the

01:03:21.540 opposite

01:03:21.860 impression

01:03:22.400 because when

01:03:23.220 they are

01:03:23.600 right, it's

01:03:24.280 all we talk

01:03:24.780 about.

01:03:25.840 Right?

01:03:26.300 The reason

01:03:26.900 you know

01:03:27.460 Sully did

01:03:28.680 such a good

01:03:29.240 job of

01:03:29.800 landing that

01:03:30.480 plane in

01:03:31.160 the Hudson

01:03:31.480 River is

01:03:32.800 because it

01:03:34.340 was rare.

01:03:36.040 That's why

01:03:36.500 you heard of

01:03:36.880 it.

01:03:37.860 So your

01:03:38.400 mind imagines

01:03:40.400 that rogues

01:03:41.460 are often

01:03:42.120 right.

01:03:43.100 The reality

01:03:43.540 is they're

01:03:43.880 wrong 95%

01:03:44.840 of the time.

01:03:46.280 If you

01:03:46.740 just looked

01:03:47.140 at your

01:03:47.380 whole life

01:03:47.980 and all

01:03:48.880 of the

01:03:49.260 rogues

01:03:50.000 who made

01:03:50.300 a claim,

01:03:51.520 5% of

01:03:52.220 the time

01:03:52.560 not only

01:03:53.420 are they

01:03:53.720 right,

01:03:54.260 but it

01:03:54.500 changes

01:03:54.800 history.

01:03:56.420 And then

01:03:56.660 you can't

01:03:57.040 get that

01:03:57.340 in your

01:03:57.580 head.

01:03:58.420 My God, 0.99

01:03:58.960 that rogue

01:03:59.460 was right

01:03:59.940 and changed

01:04:00.520 history.

01:04:01.500 Those right

01:04:01.960 brothers,

01:04:02.800 rogue

01:04:03.920 bicycle

01:04:04.840 making

01:04:05.240 right

01:04:05.540 brothers,

01:04:06.380 they made

01:04:07.100 a plane

01:04:07.460 that nobody

01:04:07.900 said could

01:04:08.320 happen.

01:04:09.220 The rogue

01:04:09.800 is always

01:04:11.260 right.

01:04:11.900 Now,

01:04:12.160 the rogue

01:04:12.400 is almost

01:04:12.780 always wrong,

01:04:14.060 so bet

01:04:14.400 against it.

01:04:15.360 Should you

01:04:15.920 have bet

01:04:16.320 against me

01:04:17.140 in 2016,

01:04:19.800 what was

01:04:20.460 the smart

01:04:20.960 play?

01:04:22.000 Was the

01:04:22.420 smart play

01:04:22.880 to bet

01:04:23.560 on me

01:04:24.020 or was

01:04:25.600 the smart

01:04:26.020 play to

01:04:26.680 bet on

01:04:27.120 all the

01:04:27.560 experts in

01:04:28.100 the world?

01:04:29.840 The smart

01:04:30.640 play was to

01:04:31.160 bet on all

01:04:31.620 the experts

01:04:32.040 in the world.

01:04:32.800 All right.

01:04:34.640 Now,

01:04:34.900 I had a

01:04:35.340 very specific

01:04:36.440 angle into

01:04:37.280 it.

01:04:37.560 If you

01:04:37.780 followed that,

01:04:38.420 maybe that

01:04:39.160 would be

01:04:39.380 different.

01:04:40.420 But in

01:04:40.880 general,

01:04:41.920 don't bet

01:04:42.480 on the

01:04:42.780 rogue.

01:04:43.860 It's a

01:04:44.400 bad bet.

01:04:46.580 All right.

01:04:48.900 So that's

01:04:49.840 your other

01:04:50.100 trick.

01:04:50.400 So here

01:04:50.700 are your

01:04:50.960 tricks for

01:04:52.200 not being

01:04:53.820 an expert

01:04:54.280 yourself,

01:04:55.640 but deducing

01:04:57.040 the quality

01:04:58.400 of the

01:04:58.660 experts.

01:04:59.080 first,

01:05:01.240 follow the

01:05:01.640 money,

01:05:02.340 of course,

01:05:03.420 but I

01:05:03.740 don't see

01:05:04.260 any specific

01:05:05.200 monetary

01:05:06.340 incentive going

01:05:07.220 on here.

01:05:07.760 Do you?

01:05:09.080 Now,

01:05:09.340 you could

01:05:09.580 argue,

01:05:10.260 I don't know,

01:05:10.660 some doctors

01:05:11.580 are raising

01:05:12.100 their profile

01:05:12.800 or something,

01:05:13.400 but I don't

01:05:13.900 know.

01:05:14.140 I don't really

01:05:14.760 see the

01:05:15.220 monetary

01:05:15.660 incentive of

01:05:17.560 the rogue

01:05:18.060 doctors.

01:05:20.020 So I would

01:05:20.680 discount that

01:05:21.180 one in this

01:05:21.560 case.

01:05:21.820 But I

01:05:23.540 would definitely

01:05:23.920 say,

01:05:24.360 why can't

01:05:24.720 they convince

01:05:25.380 people who

01:05:26.020 are on

01:05:28.700 their side?

01:05:29.760 Now,

01:05:30.040 you say that

01:05:30.600 they have,

01:05:31.640 and I say

01:05:32.220 there isn't the

01:05:32.800 slightest chance

01:05:33.680 that the people

01:05:34.940 who are even

01:05:35.400 agreeing with

01:05:36.000 them on the

01:05:36.440 general stuff

01:05:37.120 also think that

01:05:38.520 the data that

01:05:39.140 they got kicked

01:05:39.720 off from

01:05:40.120 Twitter for

01:05:40.620 was real.

01:05:42.200 Now,

01:05:42.640 I could be

01:05:43.000 convinced.

01:05:44.060 You just have

01:05:44.620 to show me

01:05:45.060 some other

01:05:45.540 doctors who

01:05:46.620 say this

01:05:47.080 data looks

01:05:47.640 real and

01:05:49.200 Dr. Malone

01:05:50.140 got kicked

01:05:50.580 off for it.

01:05:51.100 You could

01:05:52.220 do that.

01:05:52.820 I mean,

01:05:53.000 you could

01:05:53.260 convince me.

01:05:54.760 But right

01:05:56.300 now, if they

01:05:56.740 can't convince

01:05:57.260 other doctors

01:05:57.940 and I don't

01:05:58.660 see evidence

01:05:59.120 of it,

01:06:00.720 I could.

01:06:02.000 That could 0.68

01:06:02.360 change.

01:06:03.480 And I'm

01:06:06.180 also not

01:06:06.760 aware of

01:06:07.100 anything that

01:06:07.660 I'm especially

01:06:08.560 disagreeing with

01:06:09.500 the doctor about

01:06:10.180 except the

01:06:10.880 things he

01:06:11.320 tweeted about

01:06:11.860 data.

01:06:15.140 I'm not

01:06:15.820 through the

01:06:16.260 entire interview,

01:06:18.680 but I've

01:06:19.040 gotten through

01:06:19.500 a lot of

01:06:19.960 the good

01:06:20.200 stuff.

01:06:21.100 I will

01:06:21.780 finish it

01:06:22.240 off.

01:06:22.820 See, my

01:06:23.120 problem is

01:06:23.580 that, you

01:06:26.500 see the

01:06:26.820 problem,

01:06:27.180 right?

01:06:27.980 I guess I

01:06:28.480 don't have

01:06:28.700 to say it

01:06:29.020 again.

01:06:31.120 And I

01:06:31.760 would argue

01:06:32.740 that I

01:06:33.280 have never

01:06:33.700 disagreed with

01:06:34.700 Dr. Malone

01:06:35.640 on his

01:06:36.280 expertise.

01:06:38.860 Would you

01:06:39.500 accept that?

01:06:42.580 I'm seeing

01:06:43.280 these names,

01:06:43.940 Steve

01:06:44.180 Kirsch,

01:06:44.700 Brett

01:06:44.900 Weinstein,

01:06:45.720 Steve

01:06:46.040 Kirsch,

01:06:46.560 Brett

01:06:46.720 Weinstein.

01:06:47.540 Why are you

01:06:48.180 saying that?

01:06:50.440 Holden?

01:06:51.900 Holden

01:06:52.400 Liu keeps

01:06:52.940 repeating these

01:06:53.660 two names,

01:06:54.780 and why are

01:06:55.480 you doing

01:06:55.740 that?

01:06:58.940 Here is

01:06:59.680 mass formation

01:07:02.080 here.

01:07:02.980 So here's

01:07:03.380 YoYoGamer,

01:07:04.400 it just says

01:07:04.880 in all caps,

01:07:05.820 Scott equals

01:07:06.780 boomer,

01:07:07.440 equal

01:07:07.780 disconnected.

01:07:10.500 There's a

01:07:11.080 good comment

01:07:11.500 there.

01:07:11.760 All right,

01:07:14.040 Holden,

01:07:14.640 I'm going

01:07:15.600 to ban

01:07:17.320 you for

01:07:18.520 just repeating

01:07:19.420 the same

01:07:19.820 thing over

01:07:20.220 and over

01:07:20.500 again.

01:07:21.500 You are

01:07:21.700 now hidden.

01:07:22.380 I thought

01:07:22.600 you had

01:07:22.800 something to

01:07:23.140 say,

01:07:23.400 but apparently

01:07:23.820 you didn't.

01:07:29.420 Oops,

01:07:30.180 I'm looking

01:07:30.620 at some,

01:07:32.700 I watched

01:07:34.040 it all.

01:07:35.300 Why do

01:07:35.680 you compare

01:07:36.160 yourself to

01:07:36.760 great men?

01:07:40.440 What?

01:07:42.740 That's a

01:07:43.320 weird comment.

01:07:45.560 Oh,

01:07:45.960 so here's

01:07:46.460 my take

01:07:46.880 on Malone.

01:07:47.480 I don't

01:07:47.760 believe I've

01:07:48.260 ever challenged

01:07:49.200 him on his

01:07:50.060 expertise.

01:07:51.840 Has anybody

01:07:52.260 seen me do

01:07:52.820 that?

01:07:53.860 Has anybody

01:07:54.600 seen me

01:07:55.160 challenge Dr.

01:07:56.180 Malone on

01:07:56.780 his expertise?

01:07:57.700 I don't

01:07:57.880 think I

01:07:58.180 have.

01:07:58.480 Why would

01:07:58.820 I?

01:07:59.080 That'd be 0.99

01:07:59.360 dumb. 0.98

01:08:00.620 I've only 1.00

01:08:01.240 challenged

01:08:01.580 him on my

01:08:02.180 expertise.

01:08:04.440 So I

01:08:05.180 believe that

01:08:05.780 I might be

01:08:06.460 better at

01:08:06.880 him at

01:08:07.260 determining

01:08:07.620 what data

01:08:08.280 looks real

01:08:09.200 from a

01:08:09.640 study based

01:08:10.440 on the

01:08:10.980 fact that

01:08:11.340 he

01:08:11.500 tweeted

01:08:11.980 some stuff

01:08:12.480 that looks

01:08:12.860 pretty sketchy.

01:08:14.560 And I

01:08:16.480 think I'm

01:08:16.860 good at

01:08:17.240 determining

01:08:17.680 who is

01:08:18.500 hallucinating

01:08:19.280 and who's

01:08:19.680 not.

01:08:21.360 That's my

01:08:22.120 expertise.

01:08:23.720 I think I'm

01:08:24.620 good at

01:08:24.960 determining

01:08:25.440 BS.

01:08:26.940 That's another

01:08:27.500 part of my

01:08:28.080 expertise.

01:08:30.060 So I

01:08:31.480 have on

01:08:32.340 one side

01:08:32.900 we have

01:08:33.340 some,

01:08:33.760 let's say,

01:08:34.460 rules of

01:08:35.000 thumb for

01:08:35.620 determining

01:08:36.080 who's

01:08:36.560 hallucinating

01:08:37.720 and he

01:08:38.280 falls into

01:08:38.940 pretty much

01:08:40.120 all of

01:08:40.400 them.

01:08:41.300 Which

01:08:41.560 doesn't

01:08:41.840 mean,

01:08:42.300 doesn't

01:08:42.660 mean I'm

01:08:43.960 right and

01:08:44.220 he's

01:08:44.340 wrong.

01:08:46.680 One

01:08:47.160 particular,

01:08:47.740 did he

01:08:47.940 state this

01:08:48.460 in question?

01:08:49.100 The one

01:08:49.480 I remember

01:08:49.980 was data

01:08:51.080 that showed

01:08:51.760 that the

01:08:52.800 vaccines were

01:08:53.520 more dangerous

01:08:54.360 for young

01:08:55.900 people than

01:08:56.840 we thought.

01:08:58.700 So give me a

01:08:59.400 fact check on

01:08:59.940 this, but I

01:09:00.500 believe that's

01:09:00.940 one of them.

01:09:01.780 But if you

01:09:02.540 looked at the

01:09:03.040 data, he

01:09:03.860 just misread it.

01:09:04.940 Now, is

01:09:05.940 that the

01:09:06.260 one where he

01:09:08.900 claimed a

01:09:09.680 lot of

01:09:09.900 myocarditis,

01:09:11.280 but the

01:09:11.860 only people

01:09:12.300 they studied

01:09:12.820 were people

01:09:13.260 who had

01:09:13.580 it?

01:09:14.560 Whatever it

01:09:15.200 was, was

01:09:15.580 like a

01:09:15.860 real basic

01:09:16.760 error.

01:09:18.100 So that's

01:09:18.660 one of them

01:09:19.080 I know

01:09:19.340 about.

01:09:26.140 All right.

01:09:28.620 How many

01:09:29.240 of you think

01:09:29.860 that some

01:09:31.140 part of the

01:09:31.620 government is

01:09:32.220 trying to

01:09:32.720 train you

01:09:33.560 through the

01:09:34.540 pandemic

01:09:34.960 into being

01:09:37.920 easier to

01:09:38.520 control?

01:09:39.980 How many

01:09:40.400 of you think

01:09:40.680 that was

01:09:41.140 an explicit

01:09:41.960 goal of

01:09:47.740 somebody?

01:09:50.480 I'm seeing

01:09:51.160 some yeses.

01:09:52.820 A lot of

01:09:53.120 yeses.

01:09:53.880 Who do you

01:09:54.420 think was

01:09:54.780 doing that?

01:09:56.400 Do you

01:09:56.880 think there

01:09:57.160 was a

01:09:57.440 meeting or

01:09:58.240 meetings in

01:09:59.220 which people

01:09:59.620 said, you

01:10:00.040 know, if we

01:10:00.520 can get

01:10:00.820 people to

01:10:01.380 do a bunch

01:10:02.520 of little

01:10:02.880 stuff, like

01:10:03.540 wearing masks,

01:10:04.960 it will be

01:10:05.380 easier to

01:10:05.880 get them to

01:10:06.320 do more

01:10:06.660 stuff?

01:10:07.340 Do you

01:10:07.540 think there

01:10:07.840 was anybody

01:10:08.560 who ever

01:10:10.040 had that

01:10:10.800 conversation?

01:10:14.000 I'm going

01:10:14.460 to say no.

01:10:16.380 I'm going

01:10:16.640 to say no.

01:10:17.960 Because I

01:10:18.480 think what it

01:10:18.900 is is just a

01:10:19.560 collection of

01:10:20.180 a whole bunch

01:10:20.640 of people

01:10:21.200 doing what

01:10:21.800 they think

01:10:22.200 is right or

01:10:23.240 good for

01:10:23.620 them.

01:10:24.660 I think it's

01:10:25.240 just a whole

01:10:25.600 bunch of

01:10:25.940 self-interest

01:10:26.640 averaged

01:10:28.020 together.

01:10:28.500 I don't think

01:10:28.980 there's any

01:10:29.340 big puppet

01:10:30.320 master who's

01:10:31.820 manipulating us

01:10:32.760 into making

01:10:33.240 us more

01:10:33.680 subservient.

01:10:36.600 To me, that

01:10:37.380 sounds a little

01:10:38.840 crazy, actually.

01:10:40.720 Because I

01:10:41.180 would imagine

01:10:41.660 that there's

01:10:42.100 some person

01:10:42.920 or persons

01:10:43.540 who has that

01:10:44.020 kind of

01:10:44.340 power and

01:10:46.220 that kind of

01:10:46.700 long-term

01:10:47.400 plan.

01:10:48.560 I mean, if

01:10:48.880 you have a

01:10:49.240 name of a

01:10:50.760 person or

01:10:51.220 persons,

01:10:51.820 consider it,

01:10:52.720 but there's

01:10:53.920 no evidence

01:10:54.380 of anything

01:10:54.700 like that.

01:10:56.720 Somebody says,

01:10:57.440 not sure, but

01:10:58.000 it's the end

01:10:58.440 result.

01:10:58.960 Is it?

01:11:00.000 Is it?

01:11:00.380 Because that's

01:11:00.920 not what I

01:11:01.340 see.

01:11:01.940 What I

01:11:02.340 see is the

01:11:02.960 public getting

01:11:03.860 increasingly less

01:11:05.160 likely to do

01:11:06.660 what they're

01:11:07.000 told.

01:11:08.000 Am I wrong?

01:11:09.660 To me, the

01:11:10.740 entire United

01:11:11.840 States is on

01:11:12.460 the verge of

01:11:12.960 revolution.

01:11:14.700 If you think

01:11:15.560 that this

01:11:16.060 caused citizens

01:11:17.420 of the United

01:11:17.900 States to be

01:11:18.560 more compliant,

01:11:20.480 I would say

01:11:21.060 we're very

01:11:21.760 compliant in

01:11:22.480 the short

01:11:22.860 run.

01:11:25.080 Because, you

01:11:25.680 know, it's

01:11:25.860 an emergency,

01:11:26.820 nobody knows

01:11:27.340 what to do.

01:11:27.840 It's like, oh,

01:11:28.240 tell me what to

01:11:28.820 do, I'll do

01:11:29.200 it.

01:11:29.640 In the

01:11:30.040 short run,

01:11:30.720 Americans and

01:11:31.320 everybody else

01:11:31.900 can be very

01:11:32.460 compliant.

01:11:33.660 But we are a

01:11:34.740 very non-compliant

01:11:35.720 country.

01:11:37.020 In fact, you

01:11:37.820 could argue

01:11:38.280 that the

01:11:38.680 entire history

01:11:39.900 of the United

01:11:40.500 States is

01:11:41.020 about non-compliance.

01:11:42.840 We're the

01:11:43.340 most non-compliant

01:11:44.420 people ever.

01:11:46.420 Do you think

01:11:46.880 somebody is

01:11:47.360 going to, well,

01:11:49.760 probably somebody

01:11:50.340 is going to

01:11:50.700 wear a mask

01:11:51.220 even after

01:11:51.740 they're not

01:11:52.100 required, because

01:11:53.280 they did

01:11:53.540 before.

01:11:55.380 But I'm

01:11:56.240 pretty sure we're

01:11:56.960 all just dying

01:11:58.100 to get out of

01:11:58.800 these little

01:12:00.200 limitations.

01:12:04.560 All right.

01:12:06.760 And then,

01:12:07.680 how many of

01:12:09.200 you think that

01:12:10.340 my big problem

01:12:11.200 is my

01:12:11.780 attitude?

01:12:14.000 Or the

01:12:14.780 way that I

01:12:16.140 communicate?

01:12:18.100 How many

01:12:18.780 would say

01:12:19.460 that's my

01:12:20.140 big problem?

01:12:21.380 That's the

01:12:21.900 way I

01:12:22.460 communicate?

01:12:22.820 Okay.

01:12:23.000 No, not at

01:12:27.560 all.

01:12:27.760 Really?

01:12:28.340 Oh, that's

01:12:28.700 interesting.

01:12:29.260 I thought that

01:12:30.100 was going to

01:12:30.340 be all yeses.

01:12:31.860 And I'm

01:12:32.140 getting more

01:12:32.560 nos than

01:12:33.020 yeses.

01:12:33.660 Oh, I'm

01:12:35.020 surprised.

01:12:36.560 Because a lot

01:12:37.560 of people are

01:12:37.940 saying that the

01:12:39.500 problem is my

01:12:40.100 arrogance.

01:12:42.760 And I'm

01:12:44.520 sensitive to that

01:12:45.220 criticism, because

01:12:46.080 it's not the

01:12:48.740 first time I've

01:12:49.300 heard it.

01:12:49.560 So you have

01:12:52.240 to take it

01:12:52.640 seriously if

01:12:53.260 you hear it

01:12:53.520 more than

01:12:53.780 once.

01:12:54.720 But I'll

01:12:55.540 tell you what

01:12:55.960 it feels like

01:12:56.780 on the

01:12:57.060 inside.

01:12:58.440 On the

01:12:59.000 inside, I

01:12:59.860 think I've

01:13:00.300 been telling

01:13:00.660 you that

01:13:02.220 nobody knows

01:13:02.920 what to

01:13:03.280 do.

01:13:05.380 I told you

01:13:06.160 that I

01:13:06.440 guessed about

01:13:07.180 vaccinations.

01:13:08.380 And nobody's

01:13:09.120 good at

01:13:09.360 predicting.

01:13:09.960 Our leaders

01:13:10.440 probably aren't

01:13:11.180 even going to

01:13:11.560 make a

01:13:11.840 difference.

01:13:13.340 So to me,

01:13:14.300 I've said the

01:13:15.000 opposite of I

01:13:16.240 have the answer

01:13:16.840 and you

01:13:17.100 don't.

01:13:17.440 To me, I

01:13:18.840 said, it's

01:13:19.840 unknowable.

01:13:20.660 We're all

01:13:21.060 guessing.

01:13:21.680 Good luck.

01:13:23.200 To me, that

01:13:23.740 sounds the

01:13:24.060 opposite of

01:13:24.520 arrogant.

01:13:25.600 But does it 0.99

01:13:26.020 sound arrogant

01:13:26.460 to you?

01:13:30.160 Yeah, I

01:13:30.660 think it is.

01:13:31.300 Here's what I

01:13:31.800 think.

01:13:32.000 I think when I

01:13:32.540 demolish people's 0.95

01:13:33.720 arguments, because

01:13:34.960 most people are

01:13:35.620 not good at it.

01:13:36.100 Well, let me

01:13:36.880 give you a

01:13:37.220 setup here.

01:13:39.060 Would you

01:13:39.800 agree that

01:13:40.780 debating and

01:13:42.240 reasoning are

01:13:43.020 learned skills?

01:13:45.320 It takes some

01:13:46.040 natural ability,

01:13:46.760 but do you

01:13:47.700 agree with

01:13:48.160 the notion

01:13:48.820 that reasoning

01:13:49.780 and debate

01:13:50.500 are learned

01:13:51.300 skills, mostly,

01:13:53.820 on top of

01:13:54.780 whatever your

01:13:55.500 intelligence is?

01:13:57.720 Would you

01:13:58.160 agree that

01:13:59.840 somebody who

01:14:00.320 practices it a

01:14:01.400 lot is going

01:14:03.180 to be better

01:14:03.600 than somebody

01:14:04.120 who doesn't

01:14:05.040 practice?

01:14:06.860 Is that

01:14:07.540 fair?

01:14:08.880 I think it

01:14:09.620 is, because

01:14:10.020 that would be

01:14:10.540 just like

01:14:10.880 everything else,

01:14:11.960 right?

01:14:12.160 Everything you

01:14:12.720 practice.

01:14:13.980 Now, can

01:14:15.560 you think of

01:14:16.060 anybody who

01:14:16.660 has practiced

01:14:17.380 more than

01:14:18.520 me?

01:14:19.780 In fact, one

01:14:21.120 of my biggest

01:14:21.640 criticisms is I

01:14:22.780 can't stop

01:14:23.260 practicing, because

01:14:24.920 I'm on Twitter

01:14:25.500 all the time

01:14:26.440 responding to

01:14:28.040 arguments and

01:14:28.800 criticisms.

01:14:29.720 I don't think

01:14:30.260 anybody has

01:14:30.660 practiced more

01:14:31.260 than me, and

01:14:32.040 not just on

01:14:32.620 Twitter for my

01:14:33.640 entire life.

01:14:35.100 I wrote a

01:14:35.980 book on how

01:14:36.560 to think

01:14:36.960 clearly.

01:14:37.340 So here's

01:14:39.220 my take.

01:14:40.940 I think that

01:14:42.740 people who

01:14:43.480 don't have

01:14:45.900 the same

01:14:46.240 amount of

01:14:46.600 practice, when

01:14:48.960 they encounter

01:14:50.360 somebody who

01:14:50.920 does, it's

01:14:52.180 very triggering,

01:14:53.660 because our

01:14:54.780 opinions would

01:14:55.480 be different,

01:14:56.860 but I would

01:14:57.540 argue that my

01:14:58.580 opinions are

01:14:59.400 sort of carved

01:15:01.660 out of a

01:15:02.240 lifetime of

01:15:02.880 practice, but

01:15:04.520 if your opinion

01:15:05.120 was just

01:15:05.660 something that

01:15:06.320 you ginned up

01:15:07.340 on the spot,

01:15:08.360 but you're

01:15:08.720 not really

01:15:09.140 somebody who

01:15:09.720 works on the

01:15:11.460 technique of

01:15:12.300 debate and

01:15:12.940 rational thought,

01:15:14.480 then it would

01:15:15.080 be very off-putting.

01:15:16.760 It would be

01:15:17.460 very off-putting

01:15:18.340 to see somebody

01:15:19.960 who's experienced

01:15:20.800 at this tell you

01:15:21.820 that you're wrong.

01:15:23.400 So I think some

01:15:24.320 of it is that

01:15:24.780 reaction.

01:15:26.480 There's a big

01:15:27.140 difference between

01:15:27.720 practice and

01:15:28.400 talent, yes, but

01:15:29.320 for the same

01:15:29.860 amount of

01:15:30.240 talent, practice

01:15:31.260 will be the

01:15:31.780 difference.

01:15:37.340 People don't

01:15:40.780 know the

01:15:41.040 difference between

01:15:41.600 facts and

01:15:42.140 opinions.

01:15:42.900 Weirdly, they

01:15:44.340 act like they

01:15:45.000 don't.

01:15:45.600 I mean, they

01:15:45.900 do know the

01:15:46.380 difference between

01:15:47.060 facts and

01:15:47.640 opinions, but

01:15:48.820 we all

01:15:49.380 consistently act

01:15:50.340 like we

01:15:50.680 don't, and

01:15:51.640 I think I

01:15:52.060 fall into

01:15:52.460 that, too.

01:15:56.460 Knowing what

01:15:57.100 you're talking

01:15:57.920 about helps

01:15:58.460 you.

01:15:58.600 All right,

01:16:07.360 interesting.

01:16:09.740 All right, I

01:16:10.220 think...

01:16:11.460 There's

01:16:14.300 questions.

01:16:14.920 Can you

01:16:15.180 comment on

01:16:15.880 AOC's sexual

01:16:17.140 frustrations?

01:16:19.140 Well, I think

01:16:19.880 you mean the

01:16:20.280 comment she

01:16:20.880 made.

01:16:21.740 The

01:16:21.880 Republicans

01:16:22.380 are mad at

01:16:24.820 AOC because

01:16:25.560 they can't

01:16:26.060 date her.

01:16:27.060 So she

01:16:27.500 actually tweeted

01:16:28.060 something like

01:16:28.580 that Republicans

01:16:30.140 really secretly

01:16:31.080 are frustrated

01:16:31.720 because they

01:16:32.200 can't date

01:16:32.760 her.

01:16:33.900 And I

01:16:34.320 thought that

01:16:34.600 was just

01:16:34.920 provocative

01:16:35.560 tweeting, which

01:16:36.440 she's good

01:16:36.860 at.

01:16:37.400 I wouldn't

01:16:37.820 take any of

01:16:38.220 that too

01:16:38.500 seriously.

01:16:45.700 What if

01:16:46.420 the hallucination

01:16:47.380 is you

01:16:48.020 thought you

01:16:48.420 heard elephant,

01:16:49.180 but it was

01:16:49.800 really chair?

01:16:51.520 Well, what

01:16:52.720 do you think

01:16:53.120 will be my

01:16:53.680 response when

01:16:55.720 you challenge

01:16:56.560 the analogy

01:16:57.500 if there's

01:17:01.400 one thing I

01:17:01.920 could do

01:17:02.360 for my

01:17:03.420 career,

01:17:04.700 the one

01:17:05.420 accomplishment

01:17:05.920 would be

01:17:06.680 I'd love

01:17:07.700 if people

01:17:08.140 stop challenging

01:17:09.260 my analogies

01:17:11.160 like that's

01:17:11.780 going to help.

01:17:20.060 Addison has

01:17:20.860 a $20

01:17:21.280 comment here.

01:17:21.980 I don't

01:17:23.820 love how you

01:17:24.380 seem to

01:17:24.820 so often

01:17:25.280 disregard

01:17:26.040 individual

01:17:26.860 beliefs as

01:17:28.340 unimportant.

01:17:29.540 Well, I've

01:17:29.820 never done

01:17:30.180 that.

01:17:31.260 Or delusion.

01:17:33.220 Never done

01:17:33.900 that.

01:17:35.160 Just some

01:17:35.800 things are

01:17:36.140 delusions and

01:17:36.820 some are not.

01:17:37.940 And a good

01:17:38.380 example is your

01:17:39.020 view of trans

01:17:39.780 athletes in

01:17:40.440 women's sports.

01:17:41.320 No, that's a

01:17:41.820 terrible example.

01:17:43.220 That's the worst

01:17:43.920 example you could

01:17:44.600 ever come up with.

01:17:45.180 My view of

01:17:46.320 trans athletes

01:17:47.060 in sports

01:17:48.100 is that

01:17:49.100 sports are

01:17:49.820 broken.

01:17:51.000 It doesn't

01:17:51.400 even have

01:17:51.680 anything to

01:17:52.080 do with

01:17:52.320 trans.

01:17:53.220 I just

01:17:53.660 use the

01:17:54.080 trans topic

01:17:54.940 to make

01:17:55.940 my point

01:17:56.460 that sports

01:17:57.240 themselves

01:17:57.760 are poorly

01:17:59.960 organized

01:18:00.700 for modern

01:18:02.260 life.

01:18:03.420 They're great.

01:18:04.460 I love sports.

01:18:05.720 I've played

01:18:06.160 every sport you

01:18:06.880 can think of.

01:18:07.820 I love, love

01:18:09.020 sports.

01:18:09.700 But in the

01:18:11.060 current mode,

01:18:11.720 they have

01:18:12.860 a lot of

01:18:13.160 problems.

01:18:15.060 So I use

01:18:16.080 the trans

01:18:16.480 thing only 0.98

01:18:17.140 to attack

01:18:18.960 the inadequacy

01:18:20.660 of sports.

01:18:22.260 What I mean

01:18:22.800 by that is

01:18:23.480 people should

01:18:24.000 be playing

01:18:24.460 with people

01:18:24.940 who are

01:18:25.260 similar

01:18:25.640 ability.

01:18:26.900 You all

01:18:27.620 agree, right?

01:18:29.720 People should

01:18:30.520 play with

01:18:31.120 the people

01:18:31.500 of similar

01:18:32.160 ability.

01:18:33.480 100% of

01:18:34.360 people agree

01:18:34.920 that that

01:18:35.300 would be a

01:18:35.660 good situation.

01:18:36.900 That's all.

01:18:37.640 That's my

01:18:38.040 entire opinion.

01:18:39.600 My entire

01:18:40.140 opinion is

01:18:40.780 people should

01:18:41.220 play.

01:18:42.440 With the

01:18:42.740 people who

01:18:43.100 are similar.

01:18:43.460 It doesn't

01:18:43.640 matter,

01:18:44.000 gender,

01:18:44.460 whatever.

01:18:45.360 So if

01:18:45.720 you're telling

01:18:46.020 me that

01:18:46.320 the issue

01:18:46.640 with trans

01:18:47.140 is that

01:18:47.700 they're on

01:18:48.660 a team

01:18:49.060 in which

01:18:49.380 they're

01:18:49.640 demolishing 0.92

01:18:50.240 women, 1.00

01:18:51.260 I say,

01:18:51.940 right,

01:18:52.620 right,

01:18:53.160 that's my

01:18:53.880 problem.

01:18:54.920 Why would

01:18:55.380 you form

01:18:55.780 a team

01:18:56.280 where one

01:18:57.600 person is

01:18:58.160 for whatever

01:18:59.320 reason?

01:19:01.380 Let's say

01:19:02.100 when Lou

01:19:03.400 Alcindor,

01:19:04.280 that was his

01:19:04.780 name before

01:19:05.360 Kareem

01:19:06.200 Abdul-Jabbar,

01:19:07.440 when he was

01:19:07.920 in high

01:19:08.260 school,

01:19:09.520 do you

01:19:09.740 think they

01:19:10.200 put,

01:19:10.620 I'm just

01:19:11.460 guessing,

01:19:12.180 but do you

01:19:12.480 think they

01:19:12.780 put 14-year-old

01:19:14.120 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

01:19:15.600 on the JV team?

01:19:18.260 Or do you

01:19:18.900 think he got

01:19:19.360 bumped up to

01:19:20.120 play with the

01:19:20.780 older people

01:19:21.540 because it would

01:19:22.280 be ridiculous

01:19:23.000 to have somebody 0.90

01:19:24.560 7'4",

01:19:25.640 whatever he was,

01:19:26.480 playing with

01:19:27.660 14-year-olds?

01:19:29.720 So we

01:19:32.180 routinely

01:19:32.820 balance things

01:19:34.540 and say,

01:19:34.960 oh,

01:19:35.120 okay,

01:19:35.460 this is a

01:19:35.900 special case,

01:19:37.100 you know,

01:19:37.300 Yao Ming,

01:19:37.980 you're not

01:19:38.320 with the

01:19:38.620 regular people,

01:19:39.460 you go play

01:19:39.940 with the

01:19:40.200 tall people.

01:19:41.500 All I'm

01:19:42.100 saying is we

01:19:42.900 should just

01:19:43.260 do more

01:19:43.720 of that

01:19:44.200 because it

01:19:44.660 works.

01:19:46.140 We should

01:19:46.780 never even

01:19:47.200 be having a

01:19:47.780 conversation

01:19:48.340 about gender.

01:19:50.440 Now,

01:19:50.760 some of you

01:19:51.240 say,

01:19:52.000 but wait,

01:19:52.360 Scott,

01:19:52.680 that would be

01:19:53.220 unfair to

01:19:53.880 women because 1.00

01:19:54.940 they wouldn't

01:19:55.360 get sports

01:19:56.480 scholarships.

01:19:58.460 Exactly.

01:19:59.940 Exactly.

01:20:01.140 Not because

01:20:01.960 there's something

01:20:02.420 wrong with 0.94

01:20:02.900 women. 0.81

01:20:04.480 It's because

01:20:05.280 the sports

01:20:05.880 are broken.

01:20:06.860 Why the

01:20:07.320 hell are we

01:20:07.700 giving anybody

01:20:08.320 a sports

01:20:08.860 scholarship to

01:20:09.640 college?

01:20:11.380 How about

01:20:12.040 don't do

01:20:12.480 that,

01:20:13.300 whether you're

01:20:13.780 male or

01:20:14.200 female? 0.98

01:20:15.020 How about

01:20:15.340 no men 0.98

01:20:15.780 get them

01:20:16.160 either?

01:20:17.620 Wouldn't

01:20:18.140 that make

01:20:18.480 more sense?

01:20:19.540 I went to

01:20:20.480 a college

01:20:20.880 in which I

01:20:21.440 could tell

01:20:21.800 that some

01:20:22.260 of the

01:20:22.520 resources

01:20:22.980 that would

01:20:23.460 have gone

01:20:23.740 to my

01:20:24.080 education

01:20:24.660 had been

01:20:25.680 funneled

01:20:26.100 into the

01:20:26.440 basketball

01:20:26.880 team.

01:20:28.460 How is

01:20:28.740 that good

01:20:29.060 for me?

01:20:29.900 I'm not

01:20:30.260 on the

01:20:30.540 basketball

01:20:30.860 team.

01:20:32.900 So,

01:20:33.460 while I

01:20:33.920 think the

01:20:34.260 sports are

01:20:34.680 great and

01:20:35.100 entertaining

01:20:35.520 and good

01:20:36.280 for people,

01:20:37.060 et cetera,

01:20:38.040 the sports

01:20:39.340 themselves just

01:20:40.020 need to be

01:20:40.480 fixed.

01:20:41.620 The other

01:20:43.160 thing you need

01:20:43.520 to do is

01:20:44.000 get the

01:20:44.540 traveling teams,

01:20:45.720 just get

01:20:46.080 out of

01:20:46.360 that.

01:20:47.500 If there

01:20:48.160 are parents

01:20:48.640 who are

01:20:48.920 dedicating their

01:20:49.620 life to

01:20:50.920 a son or

01:20:52.000 daughter's

01:20:53.260 softball

01:20:54.000 career,

01:20:54.660 that isn't

01:20:55.680 even going

01:20:56.040 to get

01:20:56.240 them into

01:20:56.520 college,

01:20:57.740 bad idea.

01:20:59.280 Stop

01:20:59.580 doing it.

01:21:00.920 Just have

01:21:01.340 friendly games

01:21:02.360 among people

01:21:03.100 who are

01:21:03.460 similarly

01:21:03.980 talented and

01:21:05.380 call it

01:21:05.820 today the

01:21:06.700 best possible

01:21:07.680 sport you

01:21:08.200 could ever

01:21:08.520 have.

01:21:09.340 Playing

01:21:09.680 with people

01:21:10.200 of similar

01:21:10.800 talent.

01:21:11.400 It's

01:21:11.600 amazing.

01:21:13.420 All the

01:21:13.800 other stuff,

01:21:14.380 get rid

01:21:14.600 of it.

01:21:17.620 All right,

01:21:18.400 so did

01:21:18.920 that help

01:21:19.280 you?

01:21:19.720 I know a

01:21:20.240 lot of you

01:21:20.620 had a problem

01:21:21.100 with my

01:21:21.640 trans

01:21:22.200 opinions,

01:21:22.880 but the

01:21:23.540 truth is I

01:21:24.000 don't have

01:21:24.340 an opinion

01:21:24.680 about trans.

01:21:26.000 I really

01:21:26.600 don't.

01:21:27.380 I have an

01:21:27.780 opinion about

01:21:28.340 sports.

01:21:29.740 You just

01:21:30.260 thought it

01:21:30.640 was an

01:21:30.900 opinion about

01:21:31.360 trans.

01:21:37.320 Somebody

01:21:37.840 asks,

01:21:38.760 if you're

01:21:39.220 wearing the

01:21:39.700 one extra

01:21:40.500 coat that I

01:21:41.160 keep in the

01:21:41.540 car, what

01:21:42.120 will my

01:21:42.860 hot wife 1.00

01:21:43.360 wear?

01:21:43.620 And the

01:21:44.420 answer is my

01:21:45.040 hot wife will 1.00

01:21:45.720 have a coat

01:21:46.300 and I

01:21:47.620 will freeze 0.96

01:21:47.980 to death. 0.75

01:21:49.640 Because I

01:21:50.320 often bring

01:21:50.920 an extra

01:21:51.580 jacket to

01:21:52.740 dinner, because

01:21:54.560 females, for 1.00

01:21:56.800 whatever reason,

01:21:57.880 don't often

01:21:58.500 dress warm

01:21:59.220 enough if it

01:22:00.060 doesn't look

01:22:00.520 good.

01:22:01.380 So I will

01:22:02.140 bring my

01:22:02.520 one extra

01:22:03.120 coat and

01:22:03.780 then I'll

01:22:04.280 freeze to 0.61

01:22:04.760 death over

01:22:05.160 dinner because

01:22:05.860 I have to

01:22:06.180 give up my

01:22:06.640 coat as soon

01:22:07.200 as I sit

01:22:07.540 down.

01:22:08.880 So I

01:22:09.120 started to

01:22:09.840 oh, Nick

01:22:12.560 says you

01:22:13.060 could be

01:22:13.380 communicated

01:22:14.140 poorly.

01:22:14.920 You mean

01:22:15.200 the trans

01:22:15.780 topic?

01:22:17.180 You are

01:22:17.560 correct.

01:22:18.600 But

01:22:19.040 intentionally.

01:22:21.920 In that

01:22:22.700 case, I

01:22:23.200 communicated it

01:22:24.120 poorly because

01:22:25.440 I was sort

01:22:26.160 of enjoying

01:22:26.700 all the

01:22:27.300 pushback on

01:22:28.040 the trans

01:22:28.580 stuff with

01:22:30.480 people not

01:22:31.040 quite getting

01:22:31.660 that I was

01:22:32.140 never even

01:22:32.680 on that

01:22:33.680 topic.

01:22:34.720 I'm very

01:22:35.160 pro-trans,

01:22:35.920 by the way.

01:22:36.900 Very, very

01:22:37.640 pro-trans.

01:22:39.080 Under the

01:22:39.660 assumption that

01:22:40.480 why can't

01:22:41.900 anybody do

01:22:42.360 what they

01:22:42.600 want?

01:22:43.640 Why am I

01:22:44.380 telling people

01:22:44.820 what to

01:22:45.140 do?

01:22:45.780 It has

01:22:46.500 nothing to

01:22:46.960 do with

01:22:47.360 them or

01:22:48.460 their choices.

01:22:49.280 I just

01:22:49.540 don't want

01:22:49.840 to be in

01:22:50.080 the position

01:22:50.500 of telling

01:22:50.880 people how

01:22:51.300 to think

01:22:51.700 and act.

01:22:57.720 All right.

01:22:58.540 Arguing and

01:23:00.120 reasoning is 0.98

01:23:00.740 like sex. 0.62

01:23:04.600 Everyone assumes

01:23:05.320 they're good at

01:23:05.920 it because

01:23:06.240 they like

01:23:06.640 doing it.

01:23:09.100 Yeah,

01:23:09.660 bingo.

01:23:10.760 Bingo!

01:23:11.160 Bingo!

01:23:11.300 Bingo!

01:23:11.340 I apologize in

01:23:23.840 advance, or

01:23:25.440 not in

01:23:25.820 advance.

01:23:26.540 I apologize

01:23:27.120 for making

01:23:28.940 this too

01:23:29.480 much about

01:23:29.960 me.

01:23:30.900 I hoped I

01:23:32.300 could deliver,

01:23:33.760 which was,

01:23:34.720 the topic is

01:23:35.400 me, but I'm

01:23:35.980 trying to teach

01:23:36.760 you these

01:23:37.100 rules.

01:23:37.660 Elephant in

01:23:38.380 the room.

01:23:39.360 If you can't

01:23:39.920 talk to the

01:23:40.260 other experts

01:23:40.860 in it, don't

01:23:41.360 talk to the

01:23:41.840 lay people.

01:23:43.060 Don't have

01:23:43.640 one person

01:23:44.940 talking to an

01:23:45.580 expert.

01:23:46.440 You need a

01:23:47.220 proximity.

01:23:48.160 So those are

01:23:48.560 the concepts.

01:23:49.080 But I don't

01:23:51.300 care.

01:23:53.400 My role in

01:23:55.160 all this is

01:23:55.680 trivial, but the

01:23:56.720 interesting part is

01:23:57.480 how people

01:23:57.820 think.

01:24:01.240 Scott, you

01:24:01.880 said the three

01:24:02.380 doctors were not

01:24:03.200 credible because

01:24:04.000 they were not

01:24:04.460 ID'd.

01:24:04.900 I corrected

01:24:05.360 that as I

01:24:06.840 said it, because

01:24:07.380 somebody said

01:24:07.780 they were

01:24:08.100 ID'd.

01:24:13.040 Right.

01:24:13.920 So you said

01:24:15.000 they were not

01:24:15.560 credible because

01:24:16.680 they were not

01:24:17.040 ID'd, but in

01:24:17.860 fact, they

01:24:18.940 were ID'd.

01:24:19.900 But the way

01:24:22.740 the story was

01:24:23.460 written, it

01:24:24.860 was a little

01:24:25.460 misleading to

01:24:26.400 me.

01:24:32.800 Your biggest

01:24:33.700 prediction was

01:24:35.200 that someone

01:24:35.680 would withhold

01:24:36.580 vital information

01:24:37.860 until after the

01:24:38.580 election.

01:24:39.660 30 days after

01:24:40.680 the election,

01:24:41.200 Pfizer announced

01:24:41.860 the vaccine.

01:24:42.520 Did I make

01:24:42.940 that prediction?

01:24:44.780 Does anybody

01:24:45.500 remember that

01:24:46.260 prediction?

01:24:46.680 that, did I

01:24:48.780 ever say that

01:24:49.800 somebody would

01:24:51.200 withhold vital

01:24:52.180 information until

01:24:53.000 after the

01:24:53.360 election?

01:24:55.640 Because that

01:24:56.220 doesn't feel like

01:24:57.360 something I would

01:24:58.100 say, because it's

01:24:59.320 so obvious.

01:25:02.600 Oh, I did?

01:25:03.480 So somebody says

01:25:04.220 I did say that.

01:25:05.200 Yeah, I thought I

01:25:07.200 would not have

01:25:07.920 predicted that,

01:25:08.640 because that would

01:25:09.020 just be a statement

01:25:09.760 of the obvious.

01:25:11.560 Right?

01:25:13.080 It's barely a

01:25:14.000 prediction, because I

01:25:15.160 think everybody

01:25:15.660 said that.

01:25:18.260 Did I watch

01:25:19.080 Don't Look Up?

01:25:19.760 No, I didn't.

01:25:27.220 Here's a comment.

01:25:28.500 Klott, this is my

01:25:29.860 new nickname,

01:25:30.500 Klott.

01:25:31.400 Your problem is

01:25:32.060 people know you're

01:25:32.740 smart enough to

01:25:33.300 make everything you

01:25:33.920 say manipulative

01:25:34.720 toward a persuasion

01:25:35.760 end.

01:25:36.200 That's true.

01:25:37.220 One of my big

01:25:37.840 problems is that

01:25:38.840 if you think

01:25:40.600 people could fool

01:25:41.880 you, you're

01:25:42.580 extra cautious.

01:25:45.300 And Dr. Johnson,

01:25:47.740 my mascot is back.

01:25:50.080 You all know Dr. Johnson,

01:25:51.380 my mascot?

01:25:52.260 I used to call my

01:25:53.220 trolls trolls, but

01:25:54.340 once they become

01:25:54.980 prominent, they become

01:25:55.980 mascots.

01:25:57.640 Because at a certain

01:25:59.220 level, the troll just

01:26:00.200 becomes part of the

01:26:00.940 entertainment.

01:26:02.100 So Dr. Johnson, you

01:26:03.080 are promoted to

01:26:03.880 mascot.

01:26:04.840 He asks, why were

01:26:05.720 you so afraid of

01:26:06.420 COVID?

01:26:06.660 How does anybody

01:26:11.500 determine who is

01:26:13.820 afraid of what?

01:26:15.920 How would you know

01:26:16.780 that about me?

01:26:19.020 I examine my own

01:26:20.300 mind to see if, you

01:26:21.760 know, anybody else's

01:26:22.920 impression of what I'm

01:26:24.100 thinking is even

01:26:24.860 close.

01:26:25.920 How often do you

01:26:26.580 think it's close?

01:26:29.580 Not often.

01:26:32.740 Let me tell you

01:26:33.800 where my fears were.

01:26:36.660 I'll try to be as

01:26:37.480 honest.

01:26:38.120 I think I can be

01:26:38.700 honest, completely

01:26:39.480 honest about this.

01:26:41.040 So I told you that

01:26:41.940 when the pandemic

01:26:43.340 first started, and I

01:26:44.860 was shouting to

01:26:45.600 close the borders,

01:26:47.020 there were smart

01:26:48.640 people telling me

01:26:49.380 that civilization was

01:26:50.500 about to end.

01:26:52.480 Actual civilization.

01:26:53.980 And the argument

01:26:54.580 wasn't that everybody

01:26:55.560 would get infected,

01:26:57.100 but that the

01:26:57.980 psychological part of

01:26:59.380 it on top of the

01:27:00.180 actual infection would

01:27:01.640 just close everything

01:27:03.480 down.

01:27:04.420 And then civilization

01:27:05.280 would crumble.

01:27:06.020 there would be sort

01:27:06.860 of a cyclic, it

01:27:09.080 would build on

01:27:09.600 itself, basically.

01:27:11.240 Now, that was a

01:27:13.920 very real risk.

01:27:15.840 And it scared the

01:27:17.100 enemy.

01:27:20.720 All right?

01:27:21.480 Now, you'd have to

01:27:22.460 know, and I'm not

01:27:23.240 going to tell you, but

01:27:24.080 you'd have to know what

01:27:25.180 source I was relying on

01:27:26.580 to know about that

01:27:27.420 risk.

01:27:28.600 Let me just tell you

01:27:29.460 it was a good one.

01:27:32.000 It was a good one.

01:27:32.980 Let me tell you how

01:27:34.440 good the source was.

01:27:37.680 Now, you won't be

01:27:39.060 able to guess.

01:27:40.680 This is how good my

01:27:41.760 source was that told

01:27:42.700 me that civilization

01:27:43.700 might be on the

01:27:44.840 brink of ending.

01:27:46.400 It was the same 0.52

01:27:47.060 source that told me

01:27:48.600 the leak probably

01:27:50.260 came from the

01:27:51.040 Wuhan lab before

01:27:53.940 you ever knew there

01:27:54.840 was a lab there.

01:27:55.580 before you'd ever

01:28:00.580 heard there was a

01:28:01.340 lab in Wuhan, I

01:28:03.560 knew privately that

01:28:05.220 it was the source of

01:28:06.060 the leak.

01:28:08.980 Same source told

01:28:11.940 me civilization could

01:28:13.420 be about ready to

01:28:14.500 end, meaning that

01:28:15.780 there would be a

01:28:17.280 military on the

01:28:18.040 streets, basically.

01:28:20.000 And that scared the

01:28:23.060 shit out of me.

01:28:23.640 I'm not going to 0.99

01:28:25.160 lie, I don't think

01:28:27.440 I've ever been that

01:28:28.200 afraid for civilization

01:28:30.400 and for myself, of

01:28:32.900 course, and the

01:28:33.480 family.

01:28:35.620 So that part, yes, I

01:28:38.060 was afraid of.

01:28:39.000 But the actual risk of

01:28:40.920 getting the virus, I

01:28:43.480 don't know, I think I

01:28:44.000 was in the normal

01:28:44.700 range, whatever a

01:28:46.900 normal range is.

01:28:48.800 I definitely took

01:28:50.720 steps to avoid it.

01:28:51.880 But as I famously

01:28:54.320 tweeted, by the time

01:28:55.540 I'd gotten vaccinated

01:28:56.640 myself, at the time I

01:28:59.740 got vaccinated, any

01:29:01.940 concerns I had sort of

01:29:03.720 dropped to zero.

01:29:05.680 Now, they weren't

01:29:06.480 zero.

01:29:07.540 Everybody has risk.

01:29:08.880 But once the risk gets

01:29:09.980 down into the

01:29:10.900 background noise level,

01:29:12.600 like the same risk of

01:29:13.580 getting into your car,

01:29:15.160 same risk of a heart

01:29:16.100 attack, right?

01:29:16.980 Once that risk was

01:29:18.060 down with the rest, I

01:29:18.760 didn't really worry about

01:29:20.160 it a lot.

01:29:21.340 So I would say that I

01:29:22.560 was very worried about

01:29:23.420 civilization.

01:29:25.120 I was normal amount of

01:29:27.320 concern about getting

01:29:28.540 infected with something

01:29:29.520 that could kill me.

01:29:30.860 I was sort of on the

01:29:31.660 border of whether I have

01:29:33.360 a comorbidity or not,

01:29:35.180 age-wise.

01:29:36.660 And so I can't say that

01:29:40.300 there was ever a time I

01:29:41.360 made a fear-based

01:29:42.580 decision.

01:29:43.320 Well, except that I

01:29:46.340 made the decision to

01:29:47.680 not let civilization

01:29:49.100 end.

01:29:50.340 So I wanted to see

01:29:51.560 what I could do about

01:29:52.400 not keeping, you know,

01:29:53.860 not ending civilization.

01:29:55.780 So I'll never know if I

01:29:57.240 made any difference.

01:29:59.020 But I probably was the

01:30:00.800 most prominent voice

01:30:02.020 saying everything would

01:30:03.040 be okay.

01:30:05.100 And I do know who

01:30:06.580 listens to me and who

01:30:08.360 doesn't.

01:30:08.840 somebody says

01:30:13.760 arrogant.

01:30:15.420 Well, let me test that. 0.97

01:30:17.460 Is it arrogant to say,

01:30:19.240 is it arrogant to say

01:30:20.960 that I was one of the

01:30:22.960 most prominent voices to

01:30:24.560 say things would be fine?

01:30:27.120 True or not true?

01:30:28.980 I don't know who else

01:30:29.780 was doing it.

01:30:31.360 Yeah, I mean, I think

01:30:32.120 that's just a statement

01:30:32.900 of fact.

01:30:34.020 So how much impact it

01:30:35.900 had, I don't know.

01:30:37.500 No way to know.

01:30:38.960 All right, I've gone

01:30:39.640 way over my limit.

01:30:41.620 And I think it's time

01:30:44.180 to go. 0.98

01:30:46.580 Yes, arrogant. 0.74

01:30:48.140 Are we defining 0.89

01:30:48.920 arrogant the same?

01:30:52.300 I'm not sure if we're

01:30:53.220 defining that word the

01:30:54.200 same.

01:30:55.060 Wouldn't arrogant

01:30:55.840 suggest that I think

01:31:00.220 your opinion is less

01:31:01.360 than my own on this

01:31:02.200 topic?

01:31:03.200 That's what that

01:31:03.800 would mean, right?

01:31:06.080 But I don't think I'm

01:31:07.200 disagreeing with anybody.

01:31:08.920 So I think it's arrogant

01:31:10.160 if you disagree.

01:31:12.080 I don't think it's

01:31:13.040 arrogant if you agree,

01:31:14.340 is it? 0.99

01:31:16.080 Somebody says you

01:31:16.940 prefer smug.

01:31:18.040 I prefer overconfident.

01:31:20.640 will you accept overconfident

01:31:24.920 as a description of my

01:31:26.840 demeanor?

01:31:30.600 Some of you say yes.

01:31:32.760 If you think I seem

01:31:34.760 overconfident,

01:31:36.520 you are accurate.

01:31:39.120 Because that's exactly what

01:31:40.720 I'm trying to look like.

01:31:42.580 I recommend it, by the way.

01:31:44.220 Being a little bit

01:31:45.120 overconfident is exactly

01:31:47.420 the sweet spot.

01:31:48.340 What you don't want

01:31:49.680 is to be exactly

01:31:50.540 accurate or underconfident.

01:31:52.780 And you don't want to be

01:31:53.920 too confident,

01:31:55.140 then you get into

01:31:55.700 crazy territory.

01:31:57.220 You want to be,

01:31:58.160 find out what is the

01:31:59.120 exact, like,

01:32:00.360 reasonable amount

01:32:01.320 of confidence,

01:32:02.340 and then just

01:32:03.580 10% more.

01:32:06.160 So I'm trying to do that.

01:32:07.920 So I don't,

01:32:08.460 I accept that as a

01:32:09.780 valid criticism,

01:32:10.760 but not anything I'm

01:32:11.780 going to change.

01:32:12.400 And by the way,

01:32:15.940 the,

01:32:16.320 what you see as my

01:32:19.060 arrogance or

01:32:20.220 overconfidence

01:32:20.860 is part of the reason

01:32:22.720 people come.

01:32:24.800 Because even,

01:32:26.220 even things that are

01:32:27.300 annoying are

01:32:28.220 attractive,

01:32:29.400 meaning,

01:32:30.140 attractive in a

01:32:31.560 weird way,

01:32:32.000 like a car accident,

01:32:33.260 you can't look away.

01:32:34.500 So some of it's like

01:32:35.300 a car accident,

01:32:36.100 you can't look away,

01:32:37.000 and I'm completely

01:32:37.920 aware of that.

01:32:38.540 Speaking as if you

01:32:43.820 are the only

01:32:44.340 intelligent person

01:32:45.300 here is not.

01:32:46.780 Have I done that?

01:32:49.500 How many,

01:32:50.260 how many of you

01:32:51.400 think that

01:32:52.120 character is,

01:32:53.480 characterizes me?

01:32:54.580 Have I spoke as if

01:32:55.660 I'm the only

01:32:56.360 intelligent person

01:32:57.400 on here?

01:32:59.140 I don't think so.

01:33:01.800 I'm saying no's 1.00

01:33:02.900 and yes's.

01:33:04.820 So apparently

01:33:05.340 there's a different

01:33:06.440 sort of agreement.

01:33:08.540 In my opinion,

01:33:10.500 this is the smartest

01:33:11.440 audience on the

01:33:12.960 internet.

01:33:14.220 Like literally,

01:33:15.800 I'm not just

01:33:16.760 buttering you up.

01:33:18.480 I believe that

01:33:19.580 if you've gone

01:33:20.200 through all of

01:33:21.060 these, you know,

01:33:22.380 live streams with

01:33:23.140 me, I'm positive

01:33:24.920 that you're smarter

01:33:25.620 than the average.

01:33:26.540 Like a lot.

01:33:28.680 If I don't say

01:33:29.560 that enough,

01:33:30.160 maybe I should.

01:33:31.360 How many of you

01:33:31.920 would agree with

01:33:32.460 that, by the way?

01:33:33.180 Here, give me a

01:33:34.420 chance to compliment

01:33:35.220 yourself.

01:33:36.060 How many of you

01:33:36.860 would agree with

01:33:37.540 the notion

01:33:38.000 that your

01:33:39.300 ability to

01:33:40.120 reason, or at

01:33:41.100 least to detect

01:33:42.000 BS, has been

01:33:43.580 improved by

01:33:45.760 watching my

01:33:46.380 live streams?

01:33:47.280 How many of you

01:33:47.960 think you got

01:33:48.440 something out of

01:33:49.040 it that's a life

01:33:50.000 skill?

01:33:51.800 On locals,

01:33:52.580 it's all yes's.

01:33:55.700 See, lots of...

01:33:57.420 Okay, let's see.

01:33:59.960 So YouTube just

01:34:00.820 stalled out for a

01:34:01.840 minute here.

01:34:03.880 All right.

01:34:04.520 So lots of yes's

01:34:05.320 on YouTube as

01:34:06.160 well.

01:34:07.320 And I think that

01:34:08.420 all of that

01:34:09.060 training specifically

01:34:11.440 about spotting

01:34:12.760 illusions,

01:34:13.960 it's one of the

01:34:14.520 most useful life

01:34:15.640 skills you could

01:34:16.200 ever have.

01:34:17.200 So I don't think

01:34:18.360 it's an exaggeration

01:34:19.420 to say,

01:34:20.760 regardless of what,

01:34:21.620 I don't know what

01:34:22.040 the education level

01:34:23.120 is or whatever,

01:34:24.120 of the viewers,

01:34:25.260 I don't have a good

01:34:25.760 sense of that.

01:34:26.660 But I would say,

01:34:27.580 in terms of just

01:34:28.440 understanding how

01:34:29.640 to analyze a

01:34:31.160 normal situation,

01:34:32.080 you're way above

01:34:33.340 average,

01:34:34.200 way above

01:34:34.680 average,

01:34:35.820 top 20%

01:34:37.220 at least.

01:34:41.140 I think I

01:34:41.980 just can't find

01:34:42.680 its way to the

01:34:43.200 end here.

01:34:43.980 You know what's

01:34:44.360 happening is I

01:34:45.640 just enjoy this

01:34:46.920 interaction,

01:34:48.460 and so there's

01:34:51.060 no school,

01:34:51.720 so I don't have

01:34:52.120 a reason to leave

01:34:52.660 at the moment.

01:34:53.800 All right.

01:34:54.160 That is all for

01:34:54.980 now, though.

01:34:55.580 So I will go talk

01:34:56.320 to you later.

01:34:57.860 Sorry if I seem

01:34:58.620 arrogant.

01:34:58.960 So what 0.99

01:35:00.080 it is.

01:35:00.480 So what

01:35:05.940 I want to go

01:35:09.780 to the

01:35:10.040 point.

01:35:10.240 So what

01:35:12.120 is

01:35:12.220 what

01:35:12.300 so

01:35:12.460 I don't

01:35:12.660 know.

01:35:16.860 So let's

01:35:17.740 go and

01:35:19.580 to know

01:35:19.800 the

01:35:19.840 end.

01:35:22.520 And

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 04, 2022

Episode 1613 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Elephant in the Room That Only Some People Can See

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