Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 17, 2022


Episode 1625 Scott Adams： Nighttime Lecture on a New Branch of Science


Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

130.07054

Word count

1,180

Sentence count

88

Harmful content

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

This is a special lecture on a new branch of science, called the New Science, which extends science in much the same way as the Old Testament extends the Bible, and was the part of science that was missing from the field until recently.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 This is a very special lecture on a new extension, really, of science itself.
00:00:07.800 Now, I know it's been confusing these last few years,
00:00:12.900 and a lot of you have started to question science.
00:00:16.320 Do not question science.
00:00:18.640 I'm here to repair any damage that has been done to science
00:00:22.240 with a simple extension that I think you'll find quite pleasing.
00:00:27.160 Now, I might not be a trained scientist,
00:00:35.600 but does a trained scientist have a double-sided whiteboard?
00:00:41.800 Okay, they might have one of those.
00:00:44.820 But does a trained scientist have a live stream?
00:00:49.600 Okay, they might have a live stream and a double whiteboard,
00:00:52.620 and they might be trained.
00:00:53.740 But are they here now?
00:00:57.600 Possibly.
00:00:58.580 But if you don't know where they are, stick around,
00:01:02.000 because I'm going to teach you how to improve on science.
00:01:06.480 Now, really, this is not something that I invented.
00:01:10.200 I don't want to take credit for it.
00:01:12.340 Some people are calling me the father of this new science,
00:01:16.500 the inventor of it.
00:01:17.920 I like to think of myself as a co-inventor,
00:01:22.500 more of an on-the-team sort of a person.
00:01:26.360 You know, I have some patents.
00:01:29.380 Not on this, but...
00:01:32.480 So, without further ado, let's start with a background, all right?
00:01:38.980 Before we get to the new stuff, it's good to get a grounding.
00:01:42.880 So, you're familiar with the traditional model of science,
00:01:51.500 which, for our purposes, I'm going to call the Old Testament,
00:01:57.260 by analogy.
00:01:58.780 So, you may be aware that you start with a hypothesis,
00:02:03.620 then you test it,
00:02:06.520 and ideally, you would run your test results and your write-up
00:02:09.880 through a peer-review system.
00:02:12.760 In a perfect world, people would also retest it
00:02:16.820 to make sure that the test can be reproduced.
00:02:19.860 And if you've got something that's reproducible,
00:02:21.840 and it can pass the peer-review system,
00:02:23.680 and eventually, the test of time,
00:02:25.820 it becomes what they call a theory.
00:02:28.600 A theory.
00:02:29.740 Now, people,
00:02:32.020 theory is not used in the scientific context
00:02:35.600 the way the unwashed, like you, use it.
00:02:40.060 The people who really, really are in the know,
00:02:44.260 the people who would know what schadenfreude meant
00:02:47.920 without having to look it up,
00:02:50.100 that sort of people,
00:02:50.800 they would know that, in this context,
00:02:52.940 theory doesn't mean you think it's true.
00:02:57.400 It means it's been so thoroughly tested
00:02:59.560 that it's just, it's a fact,
00:03:02.780 for all practical purposes.
00:03:04.620 Oh, yes, the fact could later be revised,
00:03:08.740 but in the scientific context, it's a fact.
00:03:12.340 Now, once you have this fact
00:03:13.700 that's gone through a rigorous process
00:03:15.960 to find out what is true,
00:03:17.700 then the next step is to communicate it,
00:03:21.140 to make it useful.
00:03:22.940 Because what good is a fact
00:03:24.520 if only a few people know it?
00:03:27.080 You need to get the fact out.
00:03:29.180 And so the fact will run through a filter
00:03:30.800 called journalism,
00:03:33.220 and then the journalism will interact
00:03:35.320 with another filter called the government,
00:03:37.460 and between those two filters,
00:03:39.320 the theory,
00:03:41.280 which some would call a fact,
00:03:44.560 will be turned into,
00:03:46.780 and some would say transmogrified,
00:03:49.360 into complete bullshit.
00:03:52.520 Now, the complete bullshit
00:03:53.780 would then be fed to idiots.
00:03:57.000 The idiots would reward the bullshitters,
00:04:00.220 forming what we call in science
00:04:02.680 a fusion reaction that's endless.
00:04:07.920 Now, this is what I call the Old Testament,
00:04:10.520 and I don't know if you've heard of the Bible.
00:04:14.660 It's a big book.
00:04:15.940 It's everywhere.
00:04:17.200 And the Bible had something called the Old Testament,
00:04:22.140 and I think you'd agree,
00:04:24.960 you know, an update was sort of called for.
00:04:28.980 And the New Testament
00:04:30.740 really added a lot
00:04:33.480 to the Bible.
00:04:36.020 Say the people who have read it.
00:04:38.380 I've heard about it,
00:04:39.620 but that's what I hear.
00:04:41.800 Now, similar concept
00:04:43.140 for science.
00:04:44.780 Now, again,
00:04:45.400 this is not something I invented.
00:04:48.040 At most,
00:04:50.180 don't call me the inventor of it,
00:04:52.540 or the co-inventor.
00:04:54.440 I was on the team.
00:04:55.940 That's all.
00:04:56.420 All right, you can call me
00:04:58.860 the inventor of it.
00:05:00.280 Stop it.
00:05:03.520 I'm starting to blush.
00:05:06.100 But this is what
00:05:07.220 is called the New Testament.
00:05:09.360 And this extends science
00:05:11.260 in the same way
00:05:12.000 that the New Testament
00:05:12.980 extended the Old Testament
00:05:15.480 and really made it useful.
00:05:18.000 That was the part
00:05:19.040 that was missing from science
00:05:20.180 until recently.
00:05:22.080 Now, a lot of this
00:05:23.080 is courtesy of,
00:05:25.400 really, you could say,
00:05:26.740 maybe the founder
00:05:29.320 of the field,
00:05:30.360 if you will.
00:05:32.060 His name was Trump,
00:05:34.480 Donald Trump.
00:05:35.820 And in many ways,
00:05:37.160 he was considered
00:05:38.300 like the Einstein
00:05:39.520 of this branch of science,
00:05:43.580 some would say.
00:05:45.400 Co-inventor,
00:05:46.980 possibly just on the team.
00:05:48.260 But here it starts
00:05:51.140 where the Old Testament
00:05:52.520 left off,
00:05:53.880 a heaping pile of bullshit
00:05:55.640 that had been created
00:05:57.320 by processing something
00:05:58.720 through journalism
00:06:00.060 and then government
00:06:01.220 and then supercharging it
00:06:03.080 through idiots 0.50
00:06:03.740 in a fusion reaction.
00:06:05.200 So you take
00:06:06.680 the government bullshit
00:06:07.520 and then you put it
00:06:08.980 through a filter
00:06:09.540 which is assume
00:06:11.880 everybody is a lying
00:06:13.320 piece of shit
00:06:14.140 and then assume
00:06:16.840 that whatever they told you
00:06:18.100 is the opposite.
00:06:21.400 The opposite.
00:06:23.860 Right?
00:06:24.660 It's a very simple filter.
00:06:26.800 What did they tell you?
00:06:29.180 Assume it's the opposite.
00:06:31.100 Now, this is called
00:06:31.960 a transformation
00:06:32.940 and that would transform
00:06:35.120 your giant pile of bullshit
00:06:38.300 into something
00:06:40.160 close to the truth.
00:06:42.500 Now, I'm not going to say
00:06:44.540 it works every time.
00:06:46.600 It's more of an 80% thing.
00:06:49.400 So, if you're wondering
00:06:50.600 why there's so much division
00:06:53.120 in the world,
00:06:55.140 why can't we agree
00:06:56.200 on simple scientific things,
00:06:58.280 it's because some people
00:06:59.240 are still stuck
00:06:59.940 in the Old Testament
00:07:02.400 of science
00:07:03.180 and some people
00:07:04.540 have come to the future
00:07:05.560 and learned how
00:07:08.080 to transform
00:07:09.260 bullshit into truth.
00:07:12.360 It doesn't work
00:07:13.100 every time.
00:07:15.280 It's like prayer.
00:07:17.280 If prayer worked
00:07:18.400 every time,
00:07:20.480 well, that would ruin
00:07:21.200 the whole system
00:07:21.940 because you wouldn't
00:07:22.740 need any faith.
00:07:24.680 You just pray up
00:07:25.860 some money,
00:07:26.700 that sort of thing.
00:07:27.480 So, you want
00:07:28.700 a good system
00:07:29.280 that doesn't work
00:07:29.960 every time
00:07:30.700 because that's
00:07:32.260 what makes it sticky.
00:07:34.940 Now,
00:07:35.860 I don't know
00:07:37.800 if all of you
00:07:39.460 have been exposed
00:07:41.080 to this new branch
00:07:42.200 of science,
00:07:42.920 but if you haven't,
00:07:44.940 I think this was
00:07:45.800 probably enlightening.
00:07:47.720 Would that be
00:07:48.500 the right word?
00:07:49.340 Enlightening?
00:07:50.420 I think it would be.
00:07:51.520 And can we now
00:07:55.780 understand why
00:07:56.920 the new branch
00:07:57.840 of science,
00:07:58.700 which operates
00:07:59.640 almost entirely
00:08:00.780 on anecdotes,
00:08:02.300 has a higher
00:08:04.320 hit rate
00:08:04.860 than the one
00:08:06.300 that we call
00:08:07.580 the Old Testament
00:08:08.720 of science?
00:08:10.440 I think we do
00:08:11.720 know why.
00:08:13.660 So,
00:08:14.720 that is my lecture
00:08:16.840 for today.
00:08:18.300 And,
00:08:18.740 I'm pretty sure
00:08:19.900 that this will,
00:08:21.860 I don't want
00:08:23.220 to say Nobel Prize.
00:08:25.660 No,
00:08:26.180 stop it.
00:08:27.340 Stop it.
00:08:28.280 Stop it.
00:08:30.180 All right.
00:08:31.020 I mean,
00:08:31.520 I suppose if they
00:08:32.240 offered it to me,
00:08:33.720 I'd go and
00:08:34.700 pick it up.
00:08:35.680 But it wouldn't
00:08:36.180 be for me.
00:08:37.320 It would be for us.
00:08:39.300 It would be for us.
00:08:41.080 It wouldn't be
00:08:41.760 about me.
00:08:43.480 Deserve it,
00:08:44.440 obviously.
00:08:45.500 But still,
00:08:46.240 it would be about us.
00:08:47.300 It would not be
00:08:47.900 about me.
00:08:51.040 So,
00:08:51.880 you're welcome.
00:08:55.160 And that is all
00:08:55.980 I had to offer
00:08:56.640 for tonight.
00:08:57.640 If I had more,
00:08:58.640 I'd give it to you.
00:08:59.820 But,
00:09:00.340 it's just about
00:09:00.980 all I got.
00:09:01.960 And I will see you
00:09:03.100 in the morning.
00:09:04.240 Thank you.