Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 17, 2022


Episode 1625 Scott Adams： Nighttime Lecture on a New Branch of Science


Episode Stats

Length

9 minutes

Words per Minute

130.07054

Word Count

1,180

Sentence Count

88

Hate Speech Sentences

1


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 This is a very special lecture on a new extension, really, of science itself.
00:00:07.800 Now, I know it's been confusing these last few years,
00:00:12.900 and a lot of you have started to question science.
00:00:16.320 Do not question science.
00:00:18.640 I'm here to repair any damage that has been done to science
00:00:22.240 with a simple extension that I think you'll find quite pleasing.
00:00:27.160 Now, I might not be a trained scientist,
00:00:35.600 but does a trained scientist have a double-sided whiteboard?
00:00:41.800 Okay, they might have one of those.
00:00:44.820 But does a trained scientist have a live stream?
00:00:49.600 Okay, they might have a live stream and a double whiteboard,
00:00:52.620 and they might be trained.
00:00:53.740 But are they here now?
00:00:57.600 Possibly.
00:00:58.580 But if you don't know where they are, stick around,
00:01:02.000 because I'm going to teach you how to improve on science.
00:01:06.480 Now, really, this is not something that I invented.
00:01:10.200 I don't want to take credit for it.
00:01:12.340 Some people are calling me the father of this new science,
00:01:16.500 the inventor of it.
00:01:17.920 I like to think of myself as a co-inventor,
00:01:22.500 more of an on-the-team sort of a person.
00:01:26.360 You know, I have some patents.
00:01:29.380 Not on this, but...
00:01:32.480 So, without further ado, let's start with a background, all right?
00:01:38.980 Before we get to the new stuff, it's good to get a grounding.
00:01:42.880 So, you're familiar with the traditional model of science,
00:01:51.500 which, for our purposes, I'm going to call the Old Testament,
00:01:57.260 by analogy.
00:01:58.780 So, you may be aware that you start with a hypothesis,
00:02:03.620 then you test it,
00:02:06.520 and ideally, you would run your test results and your write-up
00:02:09.880 through a peer-review system.
00:02:12.760 In a perfect world, people would also retest it
00:02:16.820 to make sure that the test can be reproduced.
00:02:19.860 And if you've got something that's reproducible,
00:02:21.840 and it can pass the peer-review system,
00:02:23.680 and eventually, the test of time,
00:02:25.820 it becomes what they call a theory.
00:02:28.600 A theory.
00:02:29.740 Now, people,
00:02:32.020 theory is not used in the scientific context
00:02:35.600 the way the unwashed, like you, use it.
00:02:40.060 The people who really, really are in the know,
00:02:44.260 the people who would know what schadenfreude meant
00:02:47.920 without having to look it up,
00:02:50.100 that sort of people,
00:02:50.800 they would know that, in this context,
00:02:52.940 theory doesn't mean you think it's true.
00:02:57.400 It means it's been so thoroughly tested
00:02:59.560 that it's just, it's a fact,
00:03:02.780 for all practical purposes.
00:03:04.620 Oh, yes, the fact could later be revised,
00:03:08.740 but in the scientific context, it's a fact.
00:03:12.340 Now, once you have this fact
00:03:13.700 that's gone through a rigorous process
00:03:15.960 to find out what is true,
00:03:17.700 then the next step is to communicate it,
00:03:21.140 to make it useful.
00:03:22.940 Because what good is a fact
00:03:24.520 if only a few people know it?
00:03:27.080 You need to get the fact out.
00:03:29.180 And so the fact will run through a filter
00:03:30.800 called journalism,
00:03:33.220 and then the journalism will interact
00:03:35.320 with another filter called the government,
00:03:37.460 and between those two filters,
00:03:39.320 the theory,
00:03:41.280 which some would call a fact,
00:03:44.560 will be turned into,
00:03:46.780 and some would say transmogrified,
00:03:49.360 into complete bullshit.
00:03:52.520 Now, the complete bullshit
00:03:53.780 would then be fed to idiots.
00:03:57.000 The idiots would reward the bullshitters,
00:04:00.220 forming what we call in science
00:04:02.680 a fusion reaction that's endless.
00:04:07.920 Now, this is what I call the Old Testament,
00:04:10.520 and I don't know if you've heard of the Bible.
00:04:14.660 It's a big book.
00:04:15.940 It's everywhere.
00:04:17.200 And the Bible had something called the Old Testament,
00:04:22.140 and I think you'd agree,
00:04:24.960 you know, an update was sort of called for.
00:04:28.980 And the New Testament
00:04:30.740 really added a lot
00:04:33.480 to the Bible.
00:04:36.020 Say the people who have read it.
00:04:38.380 I've heard about it,
00:04:39.620 but that's what I hear.
00:04:41.800 Now, similar concept
00:04:43.140 for science.
00:04:44.780 Now, again,
00:04:45.400 this is not something I invented.
00:04:48.040 At most,
00:04:50.180 don't call me the inventor of it,
00:04:52.540 or the co-inventor.
00:04:54.440 I was on the team.
00:04:55.940 That's all.
00:04:56.420 All right, you can call me
00:04:58.860 the inventor of it.
00:05:00.280 Stop it.
00:05:03.520 I'm starting to blush.
00:05:06.100 But this is what
00:05:07.220 is called the New Testament.
00:05:09.360 And this extends science
00:05:11.260 in the same way
00:05:12.000 that the New Testament
00:05:12.980 extended the Old Testament
00:05:15.480 and really made it useful.
00:05:18.000 That was the part
00:05:19.040 that was missing from science
00:05:20.180 until recently.
00:05:22.080 Now, a lot of this
00:05:23.080 is courtesy of,
00:05:25.400 really, you could say,
00:05:26.740 maybe the founder
00:05:29.320 of the field,
00:05:30.360 if you will.
00:05:32.060 His name was Trump,
00:05:34.480 Donald Trump.
00:05:35.820 And in many ways,
00:05:37.160 he was considered
00:05:38.300 like the Einstein
00:05:39.520 of this branch of science,
00:05:43.580 some would say.
00:05:45.400 Co-inventor,
00:05:46.980 possibly just on the team.
00:05:48.260 But here it starts
00:05:51.140 where the Old Testament
00:05:52.520 left off,
00:05:53.880 a heaping pile of bullshit
00:05:55.640 that had been created
00:05:57.320 by processing something
00:05:58.720 through journalism
00:06:00.060 and then government
00:06:01.220 and then supercharging it
00:06:03.080 through idiots
00:06:03.740 in a fusion reaction.
00:06:05.200 So you take
00:06:06.680 the government bullshit
00:06:07.520 and then you put it
00:06:08.980 through a filter
00:06:09.540 which is assume
00:06:11.880 everybody is a lying
00:06:13.320 piece of shit
00:06:14.140 and then assume
00:06:16.840 that whatever they told you
00:06:18.100 is the opposite.
00:06:21.400 The opposite.
00:06:23.860 Right?
00:06:24.660 It's a very simple filter.
00:06:26.800 What did they tell you?
00:06:29.180 Assume it's the opposite.
00:06:31.100 Now, this is called
00:06:31.960 a transformation
00:06:32.940 and that would transform
00:06:35.120 your giant pile of bullshit
00:06:38.300 into something
00:06:40.160 close to the truth.
00:06:42.500 Now, I'm not going to say
00:06:44.540 it works every time.
00:06:46.600 It's more of an 80% thing.
00:06:49.400 So, if you're wondering
00:06:50.600 why there's so much division
00:06:53.120 in the world,
00:06:55.140 why can't we agree
00:06:56.200 on simple scientific things,
00:06:58.280 it's because some people
00:06:59.240 are still stuck
00:06:59.940 in the Old Testament
00:07:02.400 of science
00:07:03.180 and some people
00:07:04.540 have come to the future
00:07:05.560 and learned how
00:07:08.080 to transform
00:07:09.260 bullshit into truth.
00:07:12.360 It doesn't work
00:07:13.100 every time.
00:07:15.280 It's like prayer.
00:07:17.280 If prayer worked
00:07:18.400 every time,
00:07:20.480 well, that would ruin
00:07:21.200 the whole system
00:07:21.940 because you wouldn't
00:07:22.740 need any faith.
00:07:24.680 You just pray up
00:07:25.860 some money,
00:07:26.700 that sort of thing.
00:07:27.480 So, you want
00:07:28.700 a good system
00:07:29.280 that doesn't work
00:07:29.960 every time
00:07:30.700 because that's
00:07:32.260 what makes it sticky.
00:07:34.940 Now,
00:07:35.860 I don't know
00:07:37.800 if all of you
00:07:39.460 have been exposed
00:07:41.080 to this new branch
00:07:42.200 of science,
00:07:42.920 but if you haven't,
00:07:44.940 I think this was
00:07:45.800 probably enlightening.
00:07:47.720 Would that be
00:07:48.500 the right word?
00:07:49.340 Enlightening?
00:07:50.420 I think it would be.
00:07:51.520 And can we now
00:07:55.780 understand why
00:07:56.920 the new branch
00:07:57.840 of science,
00:07:58.700 which operates
00:07:59.640 almost entirely
00:08:00.780 on anecdotes,
00:08:02.300 has a higher
00:08:04.320 hit rate
00:08:04.860 than the one
00:08:06.300 that we call
00:08:07.580 the Old Testament
00:08:08.720 of science?
00:08:10.440 I think we do
00:08:11.720 know why.
00:08:13.660 So,
00:08:14.720 that is my lecture
00:08:16.840 for today.
00:08:18.300 And,
00:08:18.740 I'm pretty sure
00:08:19.900 that this will,
00:08:21.860 I don't want
00:08:23.220 to say Nobel Prize.
00:08:25.660 No,
00:08:26.180 stop it.
00:08:27.340 Stop it.
00:08:28.280 Stop it.
00:08:30.180 All right.
00:08:31.020 I mean,
00:08:31.520 I suppose if they
00:08:32.240 offered it to me,
00:08:33.720 I'd go and
00:08:34.700 pick it up.
00:08:35.680 But it wouldn't
00:08:36.180 be for me.
00:08:37.320 It would be for us.
00:08:39.300 It would be for us.
00:08:41.080 It wouldn't be
00:08:41.760 about me.
00:08:43.480 Deserve it,
00:08:44.440 obviously.
00:08:45.500 But still,
00:08:46.240 it would be about us.
00:08:47.300 It would not be
00:08:47.900 about me.
00:08:51.040 So,
00:08:51.880 you're welcome.
00:08:55.160 And that is all
00:08:55.980 I had to offer
00:08:56.640 for tonight.
00:08:57.640 If I had more,
00:08:58.640 I'd give it to you.
00:08:59.820 But,
00:09:00.340 it's just about
00:09:00.980 all I got.
00:09:01.960 And I will see you
00:09:03.100 in the morning.
00:09:04.240 Thank you.