Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 19, 2022


Episode 1628 Scott Adams: I'm Ready to Take the L on Vaccinations. I Wasn't Convinced Until Today


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 4 minutes

Words per Minute

143.92143

Word Count

9,350

Sentence Count

694

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

20


Summary

The dopamine hit of the day: the thing that makes everything better, called the " simultaneous sip." Plus, a look at Biden's first year in office, and a question about how to calculate how many people died because of a vaccine delay.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning and welcome to the best thing that's ever happened to you in your whole life.
00:00:10.880 And, you know, there are some things that can be fixed by the simultaneous sip, and one of them is
00:00:16.860 the anticipation of the simultaneous sip can fix your printer.
00:00:22.460 I know you don't believe that, but the people on Locals just saw it live.
00:00:26.260 And if you'd like to fix your printer, too, by doing nothing whatsoever but sipping a beverage,
00:00:32.500 all you have to do is find yourself a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice, a sign, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:39.740 Fill it with your favorite beverage, like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:47.020 It's the dopamine hit of the day. It's the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:50.920 It's called the simultaneous sip, and this will fix your printer along with many of your technical, personal, and sexual problems.
00:00:59.660 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.
00:01:07.160 Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah.
00:01:09.540 Well, Rasmussen did a poll to find out how people were thinking of Biden's first year in the office.
00:01:20.140 How do you think that went?
00:01:22.200 Did the public say, whoa, Biden's nailing it.
00:01:27.260 Got to get a lot more of him.
00:01:29.280 Was it something like that?
00:01:30.680 Or did 50% say he was very unsuccessful?
00:01:35.160 10% say he's somewhat unsuccessful for a full 60% believing it was not a successful year.
00:01:46.160 That's not good.
00:01:48.020 That's not good at all.
00:01:51.560 More than that, 57% said we're more divided than before.
00:01:55.580 Well, given that he's the great bringer together, and he ended up being the great divider,
00:02:04.600 I would say that is an unambiguous failure.
00:02:08.820 Unambiguous failure.
00:02:10.500 But let me give you some political advice.
00:02:14.320 Never promise to bring the country together.
00:02:17.940 Because that's sort of a losing battle.
00:02:21.700 Don't promise that you'll beat a pandemic and bring the country together.
00:02:27.380 Nope.
00:02:28.380 There are two things you're not going to do.
00:02:31.120 So I guess Biden learned that.
00:02:34.240 Here's a political slash virus question for you.
00:02:38.120 Ian Martises asked this question.
00:02:41.420 Can we calculate...
00:02:42.700 I'm sort of paraphrasing his question, but...
00:02:45.700 Could we calculate how many people died because the vaccination rollout was delayed
00:02:54.480 from the time that we had all the data we were going to use for the decision?
00:03:00.340 It looks like until maybe after the election or for some other political reason.
00:03:05.300 Do you think that we would be able to determine how many people died
00:03:11.260 because we waited on the vaccines?
00:03:14.700 Some would say for political reasons.
00:03:18.120 Some would say maybe not.
00:03:20.300 And Otoli Lubarsky points out, he says,
00:03:23.920 we did not know the effectiveness nor the safety rates before November.
00:03:28.480 And that it took a while to scale up.
00:03:32.100 And Ian replied to that saying that there was no...
00:03:35.620 His understanding is that there was no new data that was presented after the delay.
00:03:40.560 And I asked the same question.
00:03:44.400 How hard do you have to look at the data to know if it says up or down?
00:03:50.980 I feel like the data, if it is packaged in a way that is meant to be read,
00:03:57.980 would tell you if it works right away.
00:04:01.380 Wouldn't it say, here's the data.
00:04:03.640 On this tab, you can see that the bad side effects were this,
00:04:09.520 but you can see that the effectiveness was this.
00:04:13.940 Or do they just give you raw data,
00:04:17.040 and then every single person who looks at it has to, like,
00:04:19.820 come to their own conclusions?
00:04:21.900 Is that how it works?
00:04:23.480 I would think that the data says, summary.
00:04:26.260 We have this many side effects.
00:04:30.200 We have this many benefits.
00:04:32.580 Am I wrong about that?
00:04:34.080 That would be a pretty basic assumption.
00:04:36.220 So why would it take more than 10 minutes
00:04:39.980 for somebody who's not going to do a deep dive themselves?
00:04:43.040 Why would it take somebody more than 10 minutes to say yes?
00:04:47.460 Now, of course, you'd want somebody who is really good at looking at data
00:04:50.960 to jump in and ask a bunch of questions.
00:04:53.800 But that's adding a week, am I right?
00:04:58.180 Because it's a crisis, it's an emergency.
00:05:00.640 You'd get the best people on the job.
00:05:02.920 You'd fly them in.
00:05:03.940 You'd spare no expense.
00:05:05.760 Why would it take more than a week
00:05:07.140 for the best data spelunker in the world
00:05:11.500 to dig in and just see if there's anything fishy in the data?
00:05:15.180 So I don't know what the reason would be
00:05:18.220 for the delay if it were not political.
00:05:21.140 How many of you think that there was a political delay
00:05:24.900 unrelated to anything functional or any real obstacles?
00:05:32.480 Yeah, there are a lot of people who suspect that.
00:05:35.100 But I think it's something short of definite.
00:05:40.580 So I think somebody's going to end up calculating that.
00:05:49.680 Of course, it'll be highly, highly controversial.
00:05:52.900 Now, did you hear that Ray Epps is going to testify
00:05:56.220 to the January 6th committee?
00:05:59.620 So the famous Ray Epps, the guy that many think is a Fed.
00:06:03.280 And so here's the mystery of, let's see,
00:06:08.280 why did, was it Kippinger or whatever said,
00:06:13.120 Klippinger, what's his name,
00:06:15.780 said that Ray Epps had already talked to the committee?
00:06:20.980 But apparently it was a preliminary talk,
00:06:23.420 and he's going to go, I think, on record and under oath.
00:06:27.340 Kinzinger, yes.
00:06:28.060 So I think Kinzinger had said that he had already talked.
00:06:32.980 But he hadn't talked in detail,
00:06:35.660 and maybe under oath, I don't know.
00:06:37.240 Maybe that's the difference, too.
00:06:38.740 So he will be coming back.
00:06:41.060 Now, do you remember one of the suspicions
00:06:46.220 was that he was no longer on the list of most wanted?
00:06:49.800 Like there was a list of FBI's most wanted from that night,
00:06:53.640 and originally he was on there,
00:06:56.100 but fairly soon after he was put on the list,
00:06:59.320 he dropped off.
00:07:00.600 And did you say to yourself, well, that's suspicious?
00:07:03.640 That's suspicious.
00:07:05.780 Do you know why he dropped off the list of most wanted?
00:07:09.600 He turned himself in right away.
00:07:12.000 He wasn't most wanted.
00:07:13.880 So the only reason he dropped off the list of most wanted
00:07:16.780 is because he called up and said, hey, this is Ray Epps.
00:07:20.700 Here's my address.
00:07:21.480 Here's my name.
00:07:22.820 Here's my phone number.
00:07:24.260 When do you want me to come in?
00:07:25.800 Or something like that.
00:07:27.800 So as soon as somebody is no longer most wanted,
00:07:31.100 because they've literally surrendered,
00:07:33.000 you take him off the list.
00:07:35.020 How many of you thought it meant something
00:07:37.160 that he was taken off the list?
00:07:40.240 How many of you said, that means something?
00:07:43.760 Instead of the most obvious reason
00:07:45.880 you would be taken off a list
00:07:47.320 is that you don't belong on the list.
00:07:49.840 Now, I have to admit, I didn't see that.
00:07:54.040 It's the most obvious thing in the world,
00:07:56.540 and I was actually blinded to it.
00:07:58.260 Probably many of you were, too.
00:08:00.020 I was blinded to the most obvious reason.
00:08:03.280 And let me tell you how stupid I am.
00:08:06.080 All right?
00:08:06.540 Full confession.
00:08:08.880 I've seen video of the press
00:08:11.980 talking to Ray Epps, like after the event.
00:08:16.040 The press knows exactly where he lives.
00:08:19.620 The press found him.
00:08:21.480 He's not...
00:08:22.140 I should have known,
00:08:23.980 as all of you should have known,
00:08:25.760 that he definitely wasn't most wanted,
00:08:28.440 meaning they knew exactly where he was.
00:08:30.300 He may or may not have some involvement
00:08:32.240 that, you know, you want to know about.
00:08:34.640 That's a separate question.
00:08:35.840 But in terms of being most wanted,
00:08:38.060 nope.
00:08:39.100 He was right there,
00:08:40.500 available for anybody who wanted him.
00:08:42.300 Right at his...
00:08:43.500 You know, easily available.
00:08:44.720 So that explained that part.
00:08:47.700 Now, I do think it will be really interesting
00:08:50.480 to see him answer questions under oath.
00:08:53.360 And I hope that the Ted Cruz's, et cetera,
00:08:57.580 that the people who are good at asking questions
00:08:59.620 can really, really stop.
00:09:05.180 So there's a whole new kind of troll
00:09:07.680 that just appeared in the political season.
00:09:09.720 And I would love to know...
00:09:13.480 Let me just change the topic for a moment.
00:09:15.780 I would love to know what kind of training
00:09:17.800 or theory they're working under.
00:09:21.180 Because the new brand of trolls
00:09:22.960 all have the same quality.
00:09:24.740 They don't have any complaint.
00:09:26.520 They just say things like,
00:09:28.160 stop, Scott, stop.
00:09:30.600 Just don't do it anymore.
00:09:32.180 And I'd be like, what?
00:09:34.220 Stop what?
00:09:35.680 I'm not even sure what the topic is.
00:09:38.000 And then the LOL trolls.
00:09:40.460 LOL, Scott.
00:09:41.640 LOL.
00:09:43.080 You're coping.
00:09:45.360 L.
00:09:46.500 And so I thought to myself,
00:09:48.340 I should take these people seriously.
00:09:52.380 There are so many people telling me
00:09:54.340 that I'm experiencing cognitive dissonance.
00:09:56.860 And my first impression was,
00:09:59.040 well, that's obviously projection.
00:10:01.120 You're the one who's experiencing it.
00:10:03.480 You're projecting it on me.
00:10:04.960 But you know what the problem with projection is?
00:10:07.960 You never know who's doing it.
00:10:11.700 Am I projecting on my critics?
00:10:15.040 Or are my critics projecting on me?
00:10:18.840 And how would I know?
00:10:20.960 Well, I decided to go with the crowd.
00:10:25.660 And the crowd has decided
00:10:27.820 that the problem is on my end.
00:10:30.020 So I've decided to take the L
00:10:31.760 and admit that I'm afraid and coping.
00:10:36.640 And I'll explain all of that as we go.
00:10:39.700 So if you wanted to hear me say,
00:10:41.360 you know,
00:10:42.340 it looks like I really just made my decision out of fear.
00:10:48.020 And at this point,
00:10:49.680 I'm doing nothing but coping
00:10:50.940 and flailing around trying to justify it.
00:10:53.620 It's kind of embarrassing.
00:10:54.520 I know some of you would be embarrassed
00:10:56.740 even to be associated with me
00:10:58.980 because of my behavior.
00:11:01.360 But we'll get into the details
00:11:03.900 of why it is that I'm accepting the L,
00:11:07.300 a great shame and embarrassment,
00:11:09.300 which will be a stain on my reputation forever.
00:11:13.480 And we'll get into that in a moment.
00:11:15.500 It turns out that the argument is really strong.
00:11:18.460 And I hadn't seen it before.
00:11:20.100 So we'll get to that.
00:11:20.860 All right.
00:11:24.320 Can you believe,
00:11:25.540 I hope you can,
00:11:26.580 that Boris Johnson announced
00:11:28.400 that the UK is dropping face masks
00:11:30.960 and any remote work requirements?
00:11:33.860 There may be some other mandates
00:11:35.240 they're getting rid of.
00:11:36.420 I'm not sure.
00:11:38.580 And I ask you this.
00:11:41.480 Is the science
00:11:42.580 on the other side of the Atlantic
00:11:44.700 from where I am different?
00:11:45.860 Different?
00:11:48.080 Over in Great Britain,
00:11:49.320 do they do science different?
00:11:51.880 Or should we be doing the same thing right away?
00:11:56.220 Because I don't know
00:11:58.200 if China is looking at the same science
00:12:00.560 as the United States.
00:12:02.400 Maybe they have extra stuff.
00:12:03.960 I don't know.
00:12:04.360 But I am fairly sure
00:12:07.320 that Great Britain,
00:12:08.960 the UK,
00:12:10.120 is looking at the same information
00:12:12.760 as the United States.
00:12:14.920 Same science,
00:12:16.240 same concepts,
00:12:17.440 probably same data.
00:12:19.340 Why do they have a different decision?
00:12:21.960 It's not,
00:12:22.560 I don't think it's because
00:12:23.640 their curves are different, right?
00:12:25.720 Or their vaccination rate.
00:12:27.920 I mean,
00:12:28.240 not that different
00:12:29.220 that that's the reason
00:12:30.220 they would make a different decision.
00:12:31.440 So I think
00:12:34.800 that the February 1 date
00:12:36.440 is actually maybe waiting too long.
00:12:39.340 I've asked directly
00:12:40.720 for my governor,
00:12:43.640 Newsom,
00:12:44.440 and President Biden
00:12:45.500 to get ahead
00:12:46.500 of the February 1 date
00:12:47.760 and,
00:12:48.420 because February 1
00:12:49.100 is the date
00:12:49.520 that the public
00:12:50.140 is just going to say
00:12:50.940 fuck it
00:12:51.340 and take their masks off.
00:12:53.020 And you want your government
00:12:54.760 to get ahead of that
00:12:55.620 to remain credible.
00:12:57.060 Because I want my government
00:12:58.380 to be credible.
00:12:59.900 I feel like that's better.
00:13:01.960 So,
00:13:02.840 I'm telling the government
00:13:04.400 that the parade has started
00:13:05.800 and there's plenty of room
00:13:08.000 in the front.
00:13:09.320 If they'd like to start now
00:13:10.900 and get in front of the parade,
00:13:12.400 I accept them as my leaders.
00:13:14.460 Please,
00:13:15.220 please take this
00:13:16.380 out of the hands
00:13:17.080 of the public.
00:13:18.540 But if you're not going
00:13:19.440 to do your job,
00:13:20.920 let's be clear.
00:13:23.620 Politicians of the United States,
00:13:26.220 if you're not going
00:13:27.040 to do your job,
00:13:28.140 which is to lead us
00:13:29.020 out of the pandemic,
00:13:29.960 make the obvious decisions
00:13:31.740 of valuing freedom
00:13:33.620 the way the public does,
00:13:35.800 get the fuck
00:13:37.420 out of the way.
00:13:38.920 Those are your only
00:13:39.780 two choices left.
00:13:41.880 Am I right?
00:13:42.460 The public will take over.
00:13:45.860 There's no way
00:13:46.460 it's going to be stopped.
00:13:48.000 The public,
00:13:48.680 in the United States,
00:13:49.540 in other places it's different.
00:13:51.120 But in the United States,
00:13:51.980 the public will determine
00:13:53.200 when the masks are over.
00:13:55.120 February 1 is looking
00:13:56.240 like that date.
00:13:58.420 And government,
00:14:00.020 please lead us.
00:14:02.020 Please get in front of the parade
00:14:03.240 while there's still time.
00:14:04.780 If you don't,
00:14:06.740 it's not going to make
00:14:07.520 much of a difference.
00:14:09.400 But get out of the fucking way.
00:14:11.660 Right?
00:14:12.060 Because you're not going
00:14:12.640 to stop it once we decide
00:14:14.020 to take the masks off.
00:14:17.800 I've decided that analogy
00:14:19.380 is surrender
00:14:20.120 when it comes to a debate.
00:14:21.980 Here's why.
00:14:23.180 There are two ways
00:14:24.080 to use an analogy.
00:14:25.140 One is to explain
00:14:25.980 a new concept.
00:14:27.000 That's a good way
00:14:27.660 to use it.
00:14:28.780 I like to use my example.
00:14:30.560 If you were trying
00:14:31.280 to explain a zebra
00:14:32.280 to someone who didn't know,
00:14:34.520 had never seen a zebra,
00:14:35.820 you might say,
00:14:36.780 well, you know,
00:14:37.260 imagine a horse
00:14:38.080 and the horse had stripes.
00:14:40.960 It'd look a lot like that.
00:14:42.840 And you say,
00:14:43.280 oh, yeah,
00:14:43.760 your horse analogy
00:14:44.940 really helped me
00:14:45.600 understand a zebra.
00:14:46.840 But that wasn't
00:14:47.520 an argument, right?
00:14:49.140 Nobody was arguing
00:14:50.300 about zebras.
00:14:51.720 Somebody was just
00:14:52.580 explaining a concept.
00:14:54.580 But in the context
00:14:56.000 of an argument,
00:14:56.880 if I say something
00:14:58.720 about the COVID,
00:15:02.280 vaccination,
00:15:03.800 I will often get somebody
00:15:05.320 to say,
00:15:05.740 well, you're wrong
00:15:06.500 because something,
00:15:08.820 something with polio
00:15:09.800 vaccinations.
00:15:11.400 To which I say,
00:15:12.840 if we were talking
00:15:14.900 about polio,
00:15:15.720 I would agree with you.
00:15:17.380 That's just a whole
00:15:18.120 different situation.
00:15:19.960 That was not an analogy
00:15:21.600 to show me a new concept.
00:15:24.500 It was actually an argument.
00:15:25.760 If somebody argues
00:15:28.040 with an analogy,
00:15:29.380 they've completely
00:15:30.340 abandoned the argument.
00:15:31.480 And they've moved it
00:15:32.780 to some new hypothetical
00:15:34.500 imaginary argument.
00:15:36.940 So if you can discern
00:15:39.080 the difference
00:15:39.900 between somebody
00:15:40.640 using an analogy
00:15:41.460 as an argument,
00:15:43.300 which is batshit crazy,
00:15:45.820 versus using it
00:15:47.000 just to make a point
00:15:48.180 about how the world works,
00:15:50.720 you can really decide
00:15:52.020 whether you want
00:15:52.620 to spend any more time
00:15:53.940 with somebody
00:15:54.420 who left the argument.
00:15:55.200 So when people
00:15:57.080 retreat to an analogy,
00:15:58.920 I just say,
00:16:00.420 I accept your defeat.
00:16:03.760 I accept your defeat.
00:16:05.680 And somebody says,
00:16:06.580 wrong again,
00:16:07.380 it's the same situation.
00:16:09.380 No, polio is not
00:16:10.860 the same situation.
00:16:12.840 It's as different
00:16:14.300 a situation
00:16:15.320 as I can think of.
00:16:16.320 For one thing,
00:16:18.880 the vaccinations
00:16:19.600 work
00:16:21.480 to stop
00:16:22.620 the polio spread.
00:16:25.180 I mean,
00:16:25.280 that's a pretty big difference.
00:16:28.180 So,
00:16:28.760 anyway,
00:16:31.660 one of my favorite
00:16:33.560 thought experiments
00:16:35.380 is imagining
00:16:36.840 if Einstein
00:16:37.660 hadn't been alive
00:16:38.560 at the same time
00:16:39.320 as Twitter.
00:16:41.620 Can you imagine
00:16:42.440 Einstein just being
00:16:43.460 like somebody
00:16:44.620 who tweets?
00:16:47.040 And, you know,
00:16:47.600 one day Einstein's
00:16:48.660 fussing around
00:16:50.140 and he figures out
00:16:50.960 that E equals MC squared.
00:16:53.220 And he's thinking,
00:16:54.140 all right,
00:16:54.580 you know,
00:16:55.260 I'm going to publish this.
00:16:57.200 But before I do,
00:16:58.900 I'm going to tweet it.
00:17:00.660 And I can say,
00:17:01.160 I have a preprint.
00:17:02.800 I got this idea.
00:17:03.680 Here's my math.
00:17:04.440 Take a look at it.
00:17:05.200 What would Twitter do
00:17:07.520 as a response
00:17:09.560 to Albert Einstein
00:17:10.780 tweeting
00:17:11.340 that E equals MC squared
00:17:13.300 and then perhaps
00:17:14.500 showing his work
00:17:15.260 and saying,
00:17:16.580 all right,
00:17:16.760 here's my calculations.
00:17:18.000 I've submitted this
00:17:18.800 to peer review.
00:17:20.060 But I wanted to tell you
00:17:21.260 here on Twitter first.
00:17:23.240 Well,
00:17:23.740 I believe he would
00:17:24.520 get the following comments.
00:17:27.940 LOL.
00:17:29.760 LOL.
00:17:31.280 Nothing else.
00:17:32.020 Just LOL.
00:17:33.140 I believe somebody
00:17:35.780 would say,
00:17:36.380 Albert,
00:17:37.440 you're embarrassing yourself.
00:17:39.240 You're embarrassing yourself
00:17:40.260 now, Albert.
00:17:41.580 Just stop.
00:17:43.240 Stop.
00:17:44.800 Please.
00:17:47.680 Please.
00:17:48.540 Please just stop.
00:17:50.440 He would get that.
00:17:52.240 But he would also
00:17:53.320 take the L.
00:17:55.700 Albert,
00:17:56.740 I feel like you're just
00:17:58.280 coping
00:17:58.860 with the fact
00:18:00.700 that gravity
00:18:01.460 is real
00:18:03.620 and Newton
00:18:04.740 had all the answers.
00:18:06.940 Just take the L.
00:18:08.780 Take the L.
00:18:09.420 Now,
00:18:11.460 does anybody doubt
00:18:12.620 that his comments
00:18:14.520 would look like that?
00:18:17.380 Seriously.
00:18:18.900 In all seriousness,
00:18:20.880 if he had said,
00:18:21.960 if he had done that,
00:18:22.780 tweeted E equals MC squared,
00:18:24.660 before you knew
00:18:25.600 it was true,
00:18:27.180 wouldn't he get
00:18:27.920 all of those comments?
00:18:30.060 And here's my question
00:18:31.680 about the trolls.
00:18:32.400 There's a great
00:18:35.300 influx of paid trolls
00:18:36.440 and a huge number
00:18:38.180 of them
00:18:38.440 come after me
00:18:39.060 every day.
00:18:39.980 Are they trying
00:18:40.700 to wear me out?
00:18:42.980 Are they trying
00:18:43.540 to ruin my reputation
00:18:44.920 so people don't
00:18:45.900 listen to me
00:18:46.520 on other topics,
00:18:47.580 I suppose?
00:18:48.480 Are they trying
00:18:49.260 to just,
00:18:51.560 I don't know,
00:18:52.520 divert my energy?
00:18:54.640 Are they trying
00:18:55.480 to trick me
00:18:56.740 into overreacting
00:18:57.860 so that I,
00:18:58.780 you know,
00:18:58.980 destroy myself?
00:18:59.840 Do they,
00:19:02.860 so the question is,
00:19:03.820 do they explicitly
00:19:04.820 have a theory,
00:19:07.780 like a psychiatric theory
00:19:10.220 about how their,
00:19:11.260 how their thing works?
00:19:12.560 Because I actually
00:19:13.380 think it does work.
00:19:15.380 My, you know,
00:19:16.480 being on the,
00:19:17.260 on the victim side
00:19:18.900 of it,
00:19:19.240 if you will,
00:19:20.200 I would say
00:19:21.020 that they do
00:19:21.600 siphon off my energy.
00:19:23.940 And there are
00:19:25.520 lots of people
00:19:26.000 I enjoy going
00:19:28.760 back and forth
00:19:29.360 with on Twitter.
00:19:29.840 but usually
00:19:31.320 it's the people
00:19:31.880 who have something
00:19:32.520 like a good,
00:19:33.700 a good argument
00:19:34.780 and that increases
00:19:36.260 my energy
00:19:36.860 and I enjoy it.
00:19:38.340 But,
00:19:38.580 but the LOL trolls
00:19:40.240 who just say
00:19:41.560 take the L
00:19:42.320 and you're coping,
00:19:44.140 I feel as though
00:19:45.120 they're just there
00:19:45.880 to drain energy
00:19:46.740 or to get you
00:19:48.100 worked up
00:19:48.560 so you embarrass
00:19:49.240 yourself.
00:19:51.400 Does anybody
00:19:52.200 have a better theory
00:19:53.080 for that?
00:19:53.700 Because it's quite
00:19:54.480 clear that they're,
00:19:55.460 they're paid
00:19:56.580 or organized.
00:19:58.200 They might not be paid
00:19:58.960 but they're at least
00:19:59.560 organized.
00:20:03.080 All right.
00:20:04.940 So,
00:20:06.380 Israel has some news
00:20:08.580 and have I ever
00:20:09.900 told you that
00:20:10.440 we can't tell
00:20:11.040 the difference
00:20:11.520 between good news
00:20:12.560 and bad news?
00:20:13.400 So this tweet
00:20:14.720 was, I believe,
00:20:16.340 tweeted in the context
00:20:17.520 of it being bad news.
00:20:19.940 But I looked at it
00:20:21.000 and I said,
00:20:21.960 this looks like
00:20:23.840 exactly good news.
00:20:25.220 Not just good news,
00:20:26.480 great news.
00:20:27.360 Not just great news,
00:20:28.720 but some of the best
00:20:29.480 news I've ever seen.
00:20:30.440 here's the news.
00:20:33.440 That Israel,
00:20:34.460 which is the only,
00:20:35.680 this is Dr. Eli David
00:20:37.420 put it this way.
00:20:39.080 I don't know,
00:20:39.440 this isn't, you know,
00:20:40.400 technically true,
00:20:41.340 but he says,
00:20:42.340 the only quadruple
00:20:43.300 vaxed country,
00:20:44.160 it's not technically
00:20:45.000 true because they're
00:20:45.640 not all quadruple
00:20:46.880 vaxed,
00:20:47.660 but lots of more,
00:20:48.440 I guess.
00:20:49.080 The only quadruple
00:20:50.160 vaxed country
00:20:50.720 in the world,
00:20:51.820 also using mask
00:20:53.160 mandates and COVID
00:20:54.160 passports,
00:20:55.180 just broke the
00:20:56.100 global record
00:20:57.080 for daily COVID
00:20:58.420 cases.
00:20:58.900 So on a per capita
00:21:01.480 basis.
00:21:03.740 So is that bad news
00:21:05.220 or good news?
00:21:06.080 Anybody?
00:21:08.100 Is it good news
00:21:09.300 or bad news
00:21:09.980 that the most
00:21:10.680 vaccinated country
00:21:11.860 by far has the
00:21:13.740 highest rate of
00:21:14.440 infection?
00:21:16.100 Good news or bad
00:21:17.300 news?
00:21:18.300 I would trade places
00:21:19.620 with them in a
00:21:20.080 heartbeat.
00:21:21.400 I would totally
00:21:22.340 trade places with
00:21:23.220 them.
00:21:24.200 Except for the
00:21:25.080 booster part.
00:21:25.780 The booster part
00:21:26.520 I'm not a fan of.
00:21:27.720 But if you could
00:21:29.000 give me two
00:21:29.560 vaccinations and
00:21:30.580 the highest rate
00:21:31.500 of current
00:21:32.160 infections,
00:21:32.980 that's the one
00:21:34.220 I want.
00:21:35.900 You know,
00:21:36.300 assuming our
00:21:37.060 healthcare system
00:21:38.900 is still stable.
00:21:40.660 That's a big if.
00:21:41.700 But assuming it's
00:21:42.400 stable, and I
00:21:42.980 think it is in
00:21:43.720 Israel, that's
00:21:45.100 your best case.
00:21:46.220 Because 95% of
00:21:47.980 the new infections
00:21:49.060 are Omicron.
00:21:50.320 We know that
00:21:50.960 Omicron slices
00:21:52.040 through the
00:21:52.800 vaccinations like
00:21:53.780 they don't exist.
00:21:55.700 Right?
00:21:55.960 So the very best
00:21:57.780 situation is that
00:21:58.820 you have a
00:22:00.100 regular vaccination
00:22:00.980 and then later
00:22:02.420 you get the
00:22:02.980 Omicron.
00:22:04.740 According to
00:22:05.800 the only
00:22:06.760 information I've
00:22:07.520 seen, that's
00:22:08.900 the very best
00:22:09.560 protection with
00:22:11.420 basically really
00:22:12.520 low risk.
00:22:13.600 Because it's
00:22:13.980 Omicron.
00:22:14.920 So what could
00:22:15.700 be better than
00:22:16.580 massive new
00:22:17.420 Omicron infections
00:22:18.500 in a country
00:22:19.820 that's the most
00:22:20.940 vaccinated?
00:22:22.100 That's literally
00:22:22.980 the best case
00:22:23.580 scenario.
00:22:25.700 According to
00:22:26.340 science.
00:22:27.400 Now if the
00:22:28.240 science is
00:22:28.720 wrong, then
00:22:29.300 yeah, of
00:22:29.760 course they'll
00:22:30.160 all drop dead
00:22:30.700 from the
00:22:31.060 vaccinations.
00:22:33.220 Or even if,
00:22:34.340 I won't even
00:22:35.440 say if science
00:22:36.020 is wrong, because
00:22:36.780 science doesn't
00:22:37.380 know the future.
00:22:39.280 So science
00:22:40.060 doesn't have an
00:22:40.680 opinion on 10
00:22:41.520 years from now.
00:22:42.600 So if 10
00:22:43.120 years from now
00:22:43.660 everybody who
00:22:44.260 got a vaccination
00:22:44.920 dies from a
00:22:45.800 blood clot,
00:22:47.040 then science
00:22:47.580 will be wrong.
00:22:48.200 But at the
00:22:48.860 moment, science
00:22:52.300 agrees with
00:22:53.100 Israel that
00:22:54.120 they are in
00:22:54.620 the very best
00:22:55.260 situation.
00:22:56.180 So it's
00:22:56.420 interesting that
00:22:57.060 Dr. Eli
00:22:57.840 David, I
00:22:59.060 think, now I
00:22:59.940 don't want to
00:23:00.260 be a mind
00:23:00.660 reader, but I
00:23:01.240 believe the
00:23:02.080 context of it
00:23:02.940 as I read it,
00:23:04.920 is that that's
00:23:05.500 bad news for
00:23:06.260 Israel.
00:23:07.260 When in fact
00:23:07.840 it's the best
00:23:08.600 news.
00:23:11.900 All right.
00:23:12.480 I did some
00:23:18.300 highly biased
00:23:19.260 unscientific
00:23:20.220 polls on
00:23:21.180 Twitter, and
00:23:23.860 this was to
00:23:24.780 confirm that
00:23:27.320 I'm coping and
00:23:29.740 taking the L.
00:23:31.560 So some of
00:23:32.360 this, now
00:23:33.080 remember these
00:23:33.620 are not
00:23:33.900 scientific, but
00:23:34.840 these are only
00:23:37.220 my followers for
00:23:38.620 the most part
00:23:39.140 on Twitter.
00:23:40.560 So I asked
00:23:41.000 this question,
00:23:41.480 do vaccinations
00:23:43.000 increase or
00:23:44.160 decrease risk?
00:23:46.360 Now I just
00:23:47.020 said risk,
00:23:48.520 right?
00:23:49.220 So that means
00:23:49.800 you're looking at
00:23:50.580 all risk, the
00:23:52.020 risk of the
00:23:52.480 vaccination itself,
00:23:54.100 the risk of
00:23:54.840 COVID, all the
00:23:56.060 risks.
00:23:58.240 So do
00:23:59.060 vaccinations
00:23:59.620 increase or
00:24:00.400 decrease risk?
00:24:02.460 Of the people
00:24:03.400 who answered my
00:24:04.040 Twitter poll,
00:24:04.760 56% says it
00:24:06.260 decreases.
00:24:07.600 Interesting.
00:24:09.240 But 23%,
00:24:11.460 or 24%-ish,
00:24:14.560 said the
00:24:15.080 vaccination
00:24:15.480 doesn't do
00:24:16.240 anything.
00:24:17.540 It neither
00:24:17.980 increases nor
00:24:18.840 decreases your
00:24:19.580 risk.
00:24:20.620 And 22%
00:24:21.900 said it's
00:24:23.400 more risk.
00:24:25.300 So there's
00:24:26.100 more risk in
00:24:26.680 taking the
00:24:27.080 vaccination than
00:24:27.820 not.
00:24:28.540 Now of course
00:24:29.020 you, you know,
00:24:30.020 if you want to
00:24:30.400 be more
00:24:31.760 tactical, you
00:24:32.640 would divide
00:24:33.440 it by
00:24:33.760 comorbidities
00:24:34.680 and age and
00:24:35.620 risk profiles and
00:24:36.940 all that stuff.
00:24:37.460 But if you
00:24:38.980 were looking at
00:24:39.400 just the
00:24:39.800 total average,
00:24:42.020 56% says it
00:24:43.520 decreases risk.
00:24:44.940 But if you
00:24:46.560 put together the
00:24:47.280 people who say
00:24:47.800 the vax does
00:24:48.500 nothing, which
00:24:49.560 would be a bad
00:24:50.380 idea to take
00:24:51.120 it, right?
00:24:52.640 I think you'd
00:24:53.420 all agree that
00:24:54.060 if you knew
00:24:54.760 the vaccination
00:24:56.240 was not helping,
00:24:58.740 you would
00:24:59.060 definitely not
00:24:59.580 take it,
00:25:00.860 because there
00:25:01.520 might be some
00:25:01.960 risk of the
00:25:02.460 vaccination itself.
00:25:03.720 So if you put
00:25:04.300 together the
00:25:04.800 people who say
00:25:05.460 it does nothing
00:25:06.080 and the
00:25:06.440 people who say
00:25:06.920 it increases
00:25:07.440 risk, you're
00:25:08.800 up to around
00:25:09.600 46% who say
00:25:12.340 the vaccinations
00:25:13.220 make things
00:25:13.960 worse.
00:25:15.280 Okay.
00:25:16.100 Well, 46%,
00:25:18.000 now that's not
00:25:18.600 science, that's
00:25:19.260 just your opinion,
00:25:20.340 but 46% I have
00:25:21.620 to take seriously,
00:25:22.500 right?
00:25:23.400 Would you agree?
00:25:24.460 Would you agree
00:25:25.120 that if 46% of a
00:25:27.960 poll in America
00:25:29.000 have a different
00:25:30.240 opinion than you,
00:25:31.920 at the very
00:25:32.480 least, you should
00:25:34.340 take that
00:25:34.760 seriously?
00:25:36.080 Do I agree?
00:25:37.240 Would everybody
00:25:37.800 agree with that?
00:25:39.120 I'm not saying
00:25:39.820 agree with it or
00:25:40.580 disagree with it,
00:25:41.380 but you should
00:25:41.960 take it deadly
00:25:42.680 serious, because
00:25:44.020 it's a life and
00:25:44.700 death question.
00:25:46.060 On a life and
00:25:46.920 death question,
00:25:47.760 which this
00:25:48.240 literally is,
00:25:49.920 life and
00:25:50.420 death, if 46%
00:25:52.520 are on the
00:25:53.160 other side from
00:25:53.840 me, I'm going
00:25:55.300 to take that
00:25:55.740 really seriously.
00:25:57.440 So we're getting
00:25:58.000 closer to, I'll
00:25:59.540 reveal to you,
00:26:00.860 why I'm going to
00:26:01.840 take the L and
00:26:02.580 admit you're all
00:26:03.200 right, at least
00:26:04.120 the 46% of you.
00:26:06.080 And this is
00:26:09.140 really what
00:26:11.940 pushed me over
00:26:13.120 the edge.
00:26:14.820 I said, because
00:26:16.540 a lot of people
00:26:17.020 were saying,
00:26:17.600 pointing out that
00:26:18.360 the vaccinated
00:26:19.060 people in
00:26:19.940 hospitals, in
00:26:20.740 some cases,
00:26:22.040 were having
00:26:23.800 more bad
00:26:24.540 outcomes than
00:26:25.200 the unvaccinated.
00:26:27.460 And I thought
00:26:28.300 to myself,
00:26:28.740 huh, I've seen
00:26:29.620 exactly the
00:26:30.280 opposite data,
00:26:31.420 but if so many
00:26:32.200 people have seen
00:26:32.820 data that's the
00:26:33.500 opposite of the
00:26:34.140 data I've seen,
00:26:35.080 the data I've
00:26:35.760 seen was that
00:26:36.500 you're eight
00:26:37.600 times more likely
00:26:38.620 to have a good
00:26:39.240 outcome if you're
00:26:40.160 vaccinated.
00:26:41.540 In other words,
00:26:42.300 you're eight times
00:26:43.100 more likely to
00:26:43.800 die if you get
00:26:45.120 hospitalized, if
00:26:46.920 you're unvaccinated.
00:26:48.100 That was the bad
00:26:49.060 data apparently I
00:26:49.900 was looking at.
00:26:50.920 But I realized I
00:26:54.020 was doing the math
00:26:54.700 wrong.
00:26:56.320 So this is going
00:26:58.640 to be my biggest
00:26:59.260 confession.
00:26:59.740 And I did a
00:27:01.220 little poll here
00:27:02.000 and that
00:27:04.000 straightened me
00:27:04.640 out.
00:27:05.300 And I can't
00:27:05.880 believe how dumb
00:27:07.200 I was.
00:27:09.240 Remember I've
00:27:09.820 told you that I
00:27:10.600 rarely get
00:27:11.240 embarrassed?
00:27:12.920 This is
00:27:13.580 embarrassing.
00:27:15.940 You know, I
00:27:16.620 found my limit
00:27:17.340 for embarrassment.
00:27:18.180 I am very
00:27:18.660 embarrassed.
00:27:19.580 So I did a
00:27:20.200 poll and I
00:27:23.700 just asked how
00:27:24.420 many people
00:27:24.860 agreed with
00:27:25.320 this.
00:27:25.540 I said,
00:27:25.960 we're lucky we
00:27:27.120 don't have 100%
00:27:28.440 vaccination rates.
00:27:30.400 Because imagine
00:27:31.080 if everybody
00:27:31.620 were vaccinated.
00:27:32.920 Because in that
00:27:33.440 case, 100% of
00:27:35.700 the future deaths
00:27:36.680 from COVID would
00:27:38.440 be among the
00:27:39.060 vaccinated.
00:27:40.700 And I thought
00:27:41.560 of that as like,
00:27:43.000 oh shit, that's
00:27:43.900 true.
00:27:44.620 The only reason
00:27:45.560 we don't have
00:27:46.160 already 100%
00:27:47.660 deaths among
00:27:49.700 the vaccinated
00:27:50.420 only, the only
00:27:52.760 thing preventing
00:27:53.340 that is that we
00:27:55.340 don't have enough
00:27:55.860 vaccinations.
00:27:57.260 And here I was
00:27:57.820 thinking, oh,
00:27:59.040 wouldn't it be
00:27:59.600 good to have
00:28:00.040 more vaccinations?
00:28:01.020 I mean, I
00:28:01.340 wasn't promoting
00:28:02.000 it, but in my
00:28:03.840 mind I was
00:28:04.380 doing the math
00:28:05.080 and I was
00:28:05.380 thinking, wait,
00:28:06.900 if the
00:28:07.220 vaccinations
00:28:07.720 help, which
00:28:09.220 now I realize
00:28:10.680 I can't trust
00:28:11.280 that data, but
00:28:12.480 if the
00:28:12.800 vaccinations
00:28:13.240 help, I
00:28:15.220 would want
00:28:15.620 everybody to
00:28:16.160 be vaccinated
00:28:16.700 for their
00:28:17.300 own benefit,
00:28:18.340 for their own
00:28:18.940 benefit, not
00:28:19.480 even for mine.
00:28:20.780 But when I
00:28:23.080 looked at the
00:28:23.580 logic of it,
00:28:24.900 I can't really
00:28:25.660 escape it.
00:28:26.920 If we were
00:28:28.040 100%
00:28:28.700 vaccinated, every
00:28:30.360 single person
00:28:31.120 in the hospital
00:28:31.680 who died of
00:28:32.420 anything, if
00:28:33.880 they died of
00:28:34.380 COVID, if
00:28:35.140 they died of
00:28:35.880 a car
00:28:37.920 accident, every
00:28:40.040 one of them
00:28:40.480 would be
00:28:40.800 vaccinated.
00:28:42.380 And that
00:28:43.000 would be proof
00:28:43.720 that vaccinations
00:28:44.420 don't work.
00:28:46.240 Now, if you
00:28:47.620 say to yourself,
00:28:48.260 Scott, I'm not
00:28:48.820 sure if you're
00:28:49.240 doing the math
00:28:49.780 right, oh, I
00:28:50.820 am.
00:28:51.060 Because when
00:28:51.500 I did the
00:28:52.580 tweet, 53%
00:28:55.020 of my followers
00:28:55.980 agreed with my
00:28:56.800 math, that if
00:28:58.800 everybody were
00:28:59.700 vaccinated, then
00:29:02.000 all the deaths
00:29:02.760 would be among
00:29:03.320 the vaccinated,
00:29:04.580 and that would
00:29:05.100 be proof that
00:29:05.740 the vaccinations
00:29:06.340 don't work.
00:29:07.700 And I've got to
00:29:08.500 say that that
00:29:09.120 convinced me.
00:29:11.400 That put me
00:29:12.180 over the edge.
00:29:13.820 So I'm going
00:29:14.640 to take the
00:29:15.040 L based on
00:29:17.240 this solid
00:29:18.760 logic here.
00:29:21.060 But I'll go
00:29:23.300 on.
00:29:25.860 There's also
00:29:26.520 what I'll call
00:29:27.240 the Tim Pool
00:29:28.520 type of
00:29:30.880 thinking, that
00:29:32.020 my first
00:29:32.600 reaction to it
00:29:33.360 was, I feel
00:29:34.060 like you're
00:29:34.400 leaving something
00:29:35.020 out.
00:29:36.300 I get your
00:29:36.820 point, but it
00:29:37.360 feels like
00:29:37.820 something important
00:29:38.820 is being left
00:29:39.400 out.
00:29:40.140 But now I'm
00:29:41.000 convinced that
00:29:42.640 nothing important
00:29:43.260 was left out.
00:29:44.040 So I did
00:29:44.740 another poll.
00:29:47.380 And I said,
00:29:48.820 let's see,
00:29:49.300 what was the
00:29:49.660 exact one?
00:29:51.060 So I asked
00:29:52.940 people if the
00:29:55.640 only benefits
00:29:56.600 of vaccinations,
00:29:59.280 let's say you
00:30:00.000 knew that
00:30:00.320 vaccinations did
00:30:01.240 not stop the
00:30:02.060 spread, which
00:30:03.220 we do know,
00:30:03.840 right?
00:30:04.440 We all know
00:30:05.360 that vaccinations
00:30:06.080 don't stop the
00:30:07.000 spread.
00:30:07.800 And were we
00:30:09.600 not promised
00:30:10.440 that it would?
00:30:13.640 Give me a
00:30:14.480 fact check.
00:30:15.400 Were we not
00:30:16.160 promised very
00:30:17.300 clearly by the
00:30:19.220 authorities, the
00:30:20.120 experts, were we
00:30:22.000 not told that
00:30:22.820 this would stop
00:30:25.080 a spread?
00:30:27.760 Now, I
00:30:30.180 remember the
00:30:30.680 numbers were
00:30:31.200 like it would
00:30:31.820 stop like 90%
00:30:33.660 of the spread.
00:30:35.360 Now, the other
00:30:36.080 thing I didn't
00:30:36.660 realize at the
00:30:37.260 time is that 90%
00:30:39.000 and 100% of the
00:30:39.980 same number.
00:30:41.200 I thought there
00:30:42.020 was like a little
00:30:42.540 difference.
00:30:43.400 So when I read
00:30:44.080 it, and this is how
00:30:44.920 I misinterpreted it,
00:30:45.700 when they said it
00:30:47.420 will stop the
00:30:47.960 spread 90% to 95%
00:30:49.560 of the time,
00:30:50.220 somewhere in that
00:30:50.720 range, I thought
00:30:52.040 to myself that,
00:30:53.080 oh, well, that
00:30:53.500 would leave some
00:30:55.260 like 5% or so,
00:30:57.240 that the
00:30:58.120 vaccination wouldn't
00:30:58.960 stop the spread.
00:31:01.340 But apparently,
00:31:02.420 and I've been
00:31:03.080 informed, that 95%
00:31:04.720 and 100% are the
00:31:05.540 same number.
00:31:06.800 I thought they
00:31:07.380 were like different
00:31:07.900 numbers and stuff.
00:31:08.980 But they're the
00:31:09.460 same number.
00:31:10.300 So originally, we
00:31:11.400 can all agree that
00:31:12.160 they said it would
00:31:12.960 stop the spread
00:31:13.740 completely.
00:31:14.280 And that, but
00:31:17.400 what happened
00:31:17.820 instead, especially
00:31:18.760 with Omicron, is
00:31:19.620 apparently the
00:31:20.220 vaccinations have
00:31:21.100 almost no effect.
00:31:23.340 Would you agree?
00:31:24.840 So what we were
00:31:25.640 promised, 100%
00:31:28.200 vaccination
00:31:29.260 effectiveness, like
00:31:30.200 polio, but
00:31:31.960 instead, what we
00:31:33.100 got was something
00:31:34.160 that didn't stop
00:31:34.900 the spread at
00:31:35.880 all.
00:31:37.220 Same page so
00:31:38.160 far.
00:31:39.080 Everybody, we're
00:31:39.800 all on the same
00:31:40.220 page.
00:31:41.060 They promised us
00:31:41.920 to stop the spread.
00:31:42.880 It didn't do it at
00:31:43.500 all with Omicron.
00:31:44.280 anyway.
00:31:45.840 So that's bad.
00:31:47.600 Now, therefore,
00:31:49.100 they promised us
00:31:50.620 it would do those
00:31:51.220 things.
00:31:51.580 It does not.
00:31:52.920 Therefore,
00:31:53.900 vaccination is
00:31:55.920 pointless.
00:31:58.020 Pointless.
00:31:58.840 Now, the first
00:31:59.500 time I heard that
00:32:00.060 point of view, I
00:32:00.660 thought, wait a
00:32:01.220 minute.
00:32:02.200 Are you leaving
00:32:02.880 out, like, the
00:32:03.700 main thing?
00:32:05.500 Like, isn't the
00:32:06.160 main point to
00:32:07.440 stay alive?
00:32:08.100 And doesn't the
00:32:10.420 data that the
00:32:11.960 so-called experts
00:32:12.860 are saying,
00:32:13.920 doesn't it say
00:32:14.620 that there's an
00:32:15.320 eight-to-one
00:32:16.520 advantage to
00:32:17.460 being vaccinated?
00:32:19.040 And don't they
00:32:20.500 say it also
00:32:21.100 prevents you from
00:32:22.020 being seriously
00:32:22.960 hospitalized?
00:32:23.560 and some new
00:32:25.760 data that, you
00:32:26.660 know, needs to
00:32:27.220 be confirmed.
00:32:28.420 I don't think
00:32:29.020 it's solid.
00:32:30.240 But that it
00:32:30.960 might even
00:32:31.480 reduce your
00:32:32.300 long-haul
00:32:32.680 symptoms.
00:32:33.600 So I thought
00:32:34.160 to myself,
00:32:35.620 isn't the
00:32:36.240 Tim Pool
00:32:37.020 thought that
00:32:37.960 vaccinations are
00:32:38.800 pointless?
00:32:39.180 I get the
00:32:40.800 point about it
00:32:41.360 not stopping
00:32:41.980 the spread.
00:32:42.880 That makes
00:32:43.400 complete sense.
00:32:44.900 That part, it
00:32:45.420 would be
00:32:45.720 pointless.
00:32:47.480 But wasn't
00:32:48.740 there another
00:32:49.140 point of, like,
00:32:50.080 staying alive and
00:32:50.920 stuff?
00:32:51.760 Like, survival
00:32:52.480 and things like
00:32:53.200 that.
00:32:53.740 But I have now
00:32:55.020 decided that I'm
00:32:56.800 just projecting
00:32:57.620 or coping,
00:33:00.260 that my view
00:33:01.700 in this was
00:33:02.160 probably based
00:33:03.140 on my fear
00:33:03.960 of having made
00:33:05.340 the wrong
00:33:05.720 vaccination
00:33:06.280 decision.
00:33:07.900 And not of
00:33:08.780 any kind of
00:33:09.280 logic or
00:33:09.780 anything like
00:33:10.200 that.
00:33:11.420 So my
00:33:11.840 current logic,
00:33:12.520 and I asked
00:33:12.860 other people,
00:33:13.840 if they agreed
00:33:14.480 with the
00:33:14.820 Tim Pool
00:33:15.200 logic, and
00:33:15.740 45% did.
00:33:17.380 They said
00:33:17.860 there would
00:33:18.180 be no point
00:33:19.100 in taking a
00:33:20.140 vaccination that
00:33:21.000 doesn't stop
00:33:21.720 the spread if
00:33:23.400 all it does is
00:33:24.140 keep you alive
00:33:24.920 and prevent you
00:33:26.220 from having
00:33:26.760 bad symptoms.
00:33:29.120 So 45% I'm
00:33:32.520 going to take
00:33:32.840 seriously.
00:33:34.560 And so I
00:33:35.640 think I was
00:33:36.460 overvaluing the
00:33:37.660 whole staying
00:33:38.220 alive part.
00:33:40.180 So this was
00:33:41.720 my error in
00:33:42.400 the long run.
00:33:43.380 My error was
00:33:44.320 I was
00:33:46.200 undervaluing
00:33:47.200 the argument
00:33:48.240 about the
00:33:48.820 spread,
00:33:49.960 and I was
00:33:50.720 putting too
00:33:51.260 much weight
00:33:51.880 on survival.
00:33:55.280 So I think
00:33:56.420 I'm just going
00:33:58.020 to accept
00:33:58.460 my defeat.
00:34:01.580 And let
00:34:02.700 this be a
00:34:03.340 lesson for a
00:34:03.920 lot of you.
00:34:04.240 if you can
00:34:06.020 learn how to
00:34:06.660 lose gracefully,
00:34:09.400 allow me to
00:34:10.880 be your role
00:34:11.400 model.
00:34:12.460 I accept
00:34:13.460 total,
00:34:15.120 complete defeat.
00:34:16.900 I don't think
00:34:18.080 that I can
00:34:18.860 defend my
00:34:21.480 batshit crazy
00:34:22.540 idea that
00:34:23.500 survival should
00:34:24.520 be like a
00:34:24.960 high priority,
00:34:26.220 and that that
00:34:26.860 would be in the
00:34:27.360 conversation.
00:34:27.940 I think
00:34:29.780 survival is
00:34:30.680 not important.
00:34:32.500 Nor do I
00:34:33.120 think suffering
00:34:33.760 should be part
00:34:35.160 of the equation
00:34:35.940 at all.
00:34:37.360 In fact,
00:34:37.860 I think six
00:34:38.420 months of
00:34:38.940 horrible suffering
00:34:40.400 from long-haul
00:34:41.160 symptoms,
00:34:41.980 you should just
00:34:42.540 take right out
00:34:43.100 of the decision,
00:34:45.520 because the
00:34:46.280 date isn't
00:34:46.760 solid anyway.
00:34:47.360 So, I am
00:34:50.280 now persuaded
00:34:51.040 that I should
00:34:53.000 ignore the
00:34:53.680 risk of
00:34:54.180 death and
00:34:56.500 long, long,
00:34:57.880 horrible,
00:34:58.680 horrible symptoms,
00:34:59.980 and instead
00:35:00.560 just look at
00:35:01.220 this one promise
00:35:01.980 they made that
00:35:02.640 I think they
00:35:03.640 lied about.
00:35:05.240 They lied
00:35:05.960 about that
00:35:06.360 promise.
00:35:07.180 So, if that
00:35:07.660 promise was a
00:35:08.360 lie, then you
00:35:08.960 can't believe
00:35:09.400 anything, and
00:35:10.820 therefore, it
00:35:11.480 would be
00:35:11.840 pointless to
00:35:13.720 get a jab.
00:35:14.940 Wait a minute,
00:35:15.760 pointless?
00:35:16.100 Pointless?
00:35:18.320 Do you
00:35:19.000 realize that
00:35:19.620 needles have
00:35:20.100 a point?
00:35:22.200 That's all
00:35:22.860 I'm saying.
00:35:27.380 And so, I
00:35:28.180 asked people,
00:35:28.900 what do you
00:35:29.240 conclude, this
00:35:29.860 is another
00:35:30.220 poll, what
00:35:31.260 do you
00:35:31.580 conclude when
00:35:32.480 hearing that
00:35:33.040 lots of
00:35:33.580 vaccinated people
00:35:34.520 were hospitalized
00:35:35.280 with COVID?
00:35:36.920 And I gave
00:35:37.560 them choices.
00:35:38.240 I said, do
00:35:38.560 you conclude
00:35:39.060 that the
00:35:39.460 vax doesn't
00:35:40.360 protect you,
00:35:41.700 or do you
00:35:42.660 conclude that's
00:35:43.600 how math
00:35:44.220 works, or
00:35:46.060 other?
00:35:46.980 And here
00:35:47.260 were the
00:35:47.460 answers, at
00:35:48.540 least
00:35:48.680 preliminarily.
00:35:49.840 It may have
00:35:50.160 changed a
00:35:50.520 little bit.
00:35:51.720 So, 47%
00:35:53.500 say that the
00:35:54.480 conclusion would
00:35:55.140 be that the
00:35:57.440 vaccination doesn't
00:35:58.260 help.
00:35:59.760 And 34% said
00:36:01.340 that's how math
00:36:02.180 works.
00:36:03.320 Nerds.
00:36:04.880 Can we take a
00:36:06.020 moment just to
00:36:07.700 mock these
00:36:08.860 fucking idiots?
00:36:09.560 there are all
00:36:11.820 these nerds
00:36:12.420 coming into the
00:36:13.060 poll.
00:36:14.280 Nerds.
00:36:15.900 Fucking nerds.
00:36:17.540 And they're
00:36:18.420 trying to win
00:36:19.040 this argument
00:36:19.560 with math.
00:36:21.400 Can you
00:36:21.840 believe that?
00:36:24.480 They're using
00:36:25.220 math.
00:36:26.760 Math!
00:36:29.300 I don't know.
00:36:30.840 I don't know
00:36:31.700 what to say
00:36:32.060 about people who
00:36:32.760 think that math
00:36:33.720 tells you
00:36:34.780 anything.
00:36:35.100 I would go
00:36:38.720 with the
00:36:39.000 people who
00:36:39.580 are pretty
00:36:40.260 sure that
00:36:40.780 they can
00:36:41.100 read my
00:36:41.540 mind.
00:36:42.940 Because you
00:36:43.180 want to be,
00:36:43.860 if you're
00:36:44.340 going to
00:36:44.440 approach
00:36:44.720 something like
00:36:45.220 this, you
00:36:45.540 want to
00:36:45.760 approach it
00:36:46.220 with a
00:36:46.840 rational
00:36:47.320 approach.
00:36:49.120 Now, what
00:36:49.640 would be
00:36:49.940 more rational?
00:36:52.200 Math.
00:36:54.800 Math.
00:36:56.600 Duh.
00:36:57.020 math.
00:36:58.020 Or, reading
00:37:00.360 the minds of
00:37:01.120 a stranger to
00:37:02.160 determine how
00:37:03.600 much fear they
00:37:04.500 have in their
00:37:05.100 hidden thoughts.
00:37:06.720 A fear that
00:37:07.600 would be
00:37:08.020 associated with
00:37:08.780 them believing
00:37:09.380 they made the
00:37:09.960 right choice on
00:37:10.580 everything.
00:37:11.480 But a fear
00:37:12.380 nonetheless.
00:37:14.580 And I don't
00:37:15.360 think it's no
00:37:16.260 contest.
00:37:17.840 Math, I think,
00:37:18.540 has been largely
00:37:19.240 debunked.
00:37:21.220 Am I right?
00:37:23.580 I'm pretty sure
00:37:24.740 I've seen math
00:37:26.020 being debunked
00:37:26.900 on Twitter.
00:37:27.520 There was no
00:37:27.920 source for it.
00:37:29.260 I didn't look
00:37:29.840 into it, do
00:37:30.280 deeply.
00:37:31.040 But I did do
00:37:31.620 my own research.
00:37:32.920 I did my own
00:37:33.500 research, which
00:37:34.800 involved seeing
00:37:36.240 a meme on
00:37:38.140 Twitter.
00:37:39.100 And that said,
00:37:39.700 the math is
00:37:40.220 bullshit.
00:37:40.880 And so, that's
00:37:42.020 good enough for
00:37:42.500 me.
00:37:44.900 But the idea
00:37:46.400 that somebody
00:37:46.920 could read my
00:37:47.720 mind and see
00:37:48.980 my secret hidden
00:37:49.840 thoughts about my
00:37:50.660 fear and then
00:37:52.000 put that together
00:37:53.040 and decide that
00:37:54.620 I'm operating in a
00:37:55.600 fear and not
00:37:56.880 math, I think
00:37:59.420 that's a little
00:37:59.820 more credible and
00:38:00.700 something you
00:38:01.100 should bank on.
00:38:02.820 So, if you
00:38:03.560 have a choice of
00:38:04.540 depending on
00:38:05.360 math and
00:38:07.560 fucking nerds,
00:38:08.560 am I right?
00:38:09.660 Fucking nerds.
00:38:11.040 Like, who's
00:38:11.460 going to side
00:38:12.180 with them?
00:38:13.720 Don't.
00:38:14.760 Don't.
00:38:15.620 Instead, go with
00:38:16.660 the mind readers
00:38:17.380 because those are
00:38:18.620 the rational people.
00:38:19.780 All right.
00:38:23.160 So, if I may, if
00:38:25.520 you'd all like to
00:38:26.240 dunk on me, I
00:38:28.940 accept my shame
00:38:30.260 and I'm here for
00:38:32.380 you.
00:38:33.140 I was of the
00:38:35.200 opinion that all
00:38:38.200 of the science
00:38:38.920 supports my lucky
00:38:40.240 guess on
00:38:41.000 vaccinations.
00:38:42.080 The lucky guess
00:38:43.060 was that I'd
00:38:44.540 wait as long as
00:38:45.260 possible to get
00:38:46.000 vaccinated in the
00:38:46.760 first place to see
00:38:47.580 if anything was
00:38:48.200 fishy.
00:38:49.540 Then, if I had to
00:38:50.700 make the decision,
00:38:51.560 and then I did
00:38:52.120 because I had to
00:38:52.720 fly, then I
00:38:53.860 would.
00:38:54.880 But then I would
00:38:55.560 also wait as long
00:38:56.640 as possible for
00:38:57.520 the boosters to
00:38:59.000 see if the
00:38:59.480 boosters were
00:39:00.360 sketchy.
00:39:01.980 And sure enough,
00:39:03.060 waiting to get the
00:39:04.000 booster was exactly
00:39:05.000 the right decision
00:39:05.780 because we learned
00:39:07.440 that the Omicron is
00:39:09.560 going to just fly
00:39:10.300 through the booster
00:39:10.980 and you'd probably
00:39:12.140 be just as happy
00:39:12.900 with Omicron as
00:39:14.360 with the
00:39:14.640 vaccination,
00:39:15.320 frankly.
00:39:15.560 So, did I
00:39:18.680 smartly make all
00:39:21.200 the right decisions?
00:39:22.160 Not really, because
00:39:23.400 I don't know the
00:39:24.020 risk of the
00:39:24.660 vaccination itself.
00:39:26.500 Nobody does.
00:39:27.700 And I don't know
00:39:28.720 the long-term risk,
00:39:29.920 to me personally,
00:39:31.620 of COVID.
00:39:33.300 So, I was
00:39:34.160 guessing.
00:39:35.080 I said that from
00:39:35.800 the start.
00:39:36.460 I was just
00:39:36.920 guessing.
00:39:38.020 But, those of
00:39:39.880 you who are not
00:39:40.560 guessing and not
00:39:42.400 making the mistake
00:39:43.140 I made, which is
00:39:44.080 after guessing,
00:39:45.560 to look at the
00:39:46.300 math and see if
00:39:48.200 you could determine
00:39:48.740 anything, because
00:39:49.440 math.
00:39:51.100 Instead, using the
00:39:52.420 mind-reading technique
00:39:54.160 for knowledge.
00:39:56.780 I think you guys
00:39:57.800 got it right this
00:39:59.000 time.
00:39:59.700 So, on paper, it
00:40:01.160 would look like my
00:40:02.260 guesses and my
00:40:04.040 process for getting
00:40:04.900 to where I am.
00:40:05.620 On paper, if you
00:40:07.400 believe the experts,
00:40:09.120 was perfect compared
00:40:11.260 to all the other
00:40:12.000 choices.
00:40:12.400 But, by luck.
00:40:14.160 Remember, I'm
00:40:14.940 telling you that if
00:40:16.560 you think I'm
00:40:17.220 telling you I used
00:40:18.880 my smartitude to
00:40:20.300 make the right
00:40:20.800 decision, nothing
00:40:22.140 like that happened.
00:40:23.660 I was guessing just
00:40:24.720 like you were.
00:40:26.000 But, based on
00:40:27.480 current information,
00:40:29.380 by the experts,
00:40:31.420 all of this is
00:40:32.220 subject to change,
00:40:33.100 of course.
00:40:34.100 Could be changed
00:40:34.760 tomorrow.
00:40:35.080 But, at the
00:40:35.900 moment, I hit, by
00:40:38.120 complete luck, the
00:40:39.680 exact right place to
00:40:40.760 be, according to
00:40:42.040 current data.
00:40:43.220 Two vaccinations of
00:40:44.980 Moderna, followed
00:40:46.980 by no boosters,
00:40:49.080 followed by almost
00:40:50.180 certainly getting
00:40:50.820 Omicron fairly soon.
00:40:53.540 Now, I'm not saying
00:40:54.660 that that is the
00:40:55.360 right decision.
00:40:56.380 Are you hearing me
00:40:57.080 clearly?
00:40:57.780 How would I know?
00:40:58.940 Because I don't know
00:40:59.540 what future risks are.
00:41:00.940 I don't know if I die
00:41:01.780 from a clot tomorrow
00:41:02.760 morning, right?
00:41:03.580 So, I can't know I
00:41:05.040 made the right
00:41:05.460 decision.
00:41:05.940 That's not knowable.
00:41:08.360 But, nobody else
00:41:09.300 can either.
00:41:10.780 So, but am I
00:41:12.540 comfortable with my
00:41:13.540 decision?
00:41:14.880 Of course I am.
00:41:16.620 I mean, I'm
00:41:17.220 comfortable in only
00:41:19.200 the limited sense
00:41:20.200 that it coincidentally
00:41:21.440 agreed with science
00:41:22.540 at this moment.
00:41:24.000 It doesn't mean that
00:41:24.800 the science is right.
00:41:26.420 I mean, that could
00:41:26.840 change.
00:41:28.220 But, yeah, at the
00:41:29.380 moment, I got lucky.
00:41:30.580 So, tomorrow, if it
00:41:31.480 turns out that the
00:41:32.200 only people who
00:41:32.780 survived got the
00:41:33.560 boosters, then I'd
00:41:34.780 say, oh, I guess I
00:41:35.960 got it wrong.
00:41:38.220 But, at the moment,
00:41:39.880 everything is on my
00:41:41.000 side.
00:41:41.960 I believe it'll
00:41:42.720 change.
00:41:43.660 But, at the moment.
00:41:50.920 Let's see.
00:41:51.800 What did you say?
00:41:54.040 I saw an interesting
00:41:55.080 comment here.
00:41:55.800 I want to get back.
00:41:56.360 is he purposely destroying
00:42:01.800 his reputation?
00:42:03.680 You're asking about me.
00:42:04.880 Am I purposely
00:42:05.720 destroying my reputation?
00:42:07.520 That's actually a good
00:42:08.420 question.
00:42:08.820 How many think that?
00:42:10.240 How many of you are
00:42:11.440 wondering if I'm
00:42:12.440 personally destroying my
00:42:14.120 reputation, like
00:42:14.840 intentionally?
00:42:15.800 Am I intentionally
00:42:16.860 destroying my reputation?
00:42:17.960 Yeah, I'm agreeing with you
00:42:27.140 if you said I got lucky.
00:42:30.720 All right, well, I guess it
00:42:31.820 depends who you're looking
00:42:32.560 at.
00:42:33.360 So, what reputation do you
00:42:35.180 think I want?
00:42:36.980 I don't want the reputation
00:42:38.320 of agreeing with a team.
00:42:39.720 So, to me, the greatest
00:42:42.760 insult would be always
00:42:45.240 agreeing with a side.
00:42:47.240 To me, that would be
00:42:48.340 shameful.
00:42:49.900 I don't think I would ever
00:42:52.300 say my opinions in public.
00:42:55.700 But, the only reputation I
00:42:57.700 want is that I didn't agree
00:43:00.140 with teams.
00:43:01.400 Didn't agree with all the
00:43:02.440 left, didn't agree with all
00:43:03.360 the right.
00:43:03.720 That's all I want.
00:43:05.460 I don't really need right or
00:43:07.080 wrong, because nobody will
00:43:08.100 ever agree on that.
00:43:08.920 But, I do need to not be
00:43:11.280 associated only with one
00:43:12.620 side.
00:43:13.540 That's all I ask.
00:43:15.140 So, reputationally, that's
00:43:16.340 all I ask.
00:43:20.600 On the cold survey, I did a
00:43:24.340 survey of if people normally
00:43:27.000 got colds, just regular
00:43:28.740 colds, would they be more
00:43:31.100 likely to get COVID?
00:43:32.280 Now, of course, it was a
00:43:33.480 Twitter poll, so there's no
00:43:34.800 science here.
00:43:35.720 But, interestingly, it ended
00:43:37.260 up being kind of similar.
00:43:38.920 The people who often got
00:43:40.480 colds got COVID as likely as
00:43:45.240 people who didn't get
00:43:46.180 colds.
00:43:47.240 So, COVID does not seem to, if
00:43:49.520 you were to believe, a
00:43:50.540 Twitter poll, which you
00:43:51.380 shouldn't.
00:43:52.280 But, if it were correct, it
00:43:54.840 would indicate that your
00:43:56.340 prior immunity wasn't that
00:43:58.120 important.
00:43:58.860 But, wouldn't you like to see
00:43:59.820 a real, an actual scientific
00:44:02.140 study?
00:44:03.200 You know, you can't believe it's
00:44:04.800 a Twitter poll, of course.
00:44:06.320 But, a scientific study would
00:44:07.480 be real interesting.
00:44:08.180 I'd love to know how much
00:44:09.580 prior exposure makes a
00:44:10.860 difference.
00:44:15.320 745.
00:44:16.340 Today, I don't have a hard
00:44:17.660 stop.
00:44:18.380 But, thank you, Paul, for, I
00:44:20.800 like that you do that every
00:44:22.040 weekday.
00:44:23.040 But, today, I don't have to
00:44:25.160 drive.
00:44:27.580 Christine is driving today.
00:44:28.740 Boris is dropping mandates as
00:44:31.180 he's facing leadership
00:44:32.200 challenge, because he has
00:44:34.220 parties at 10 down and needs
00:44:35.420 to lift his popularity with
00:44:36.700 voters.
00:44:38.060 Good comment that Boris
00:44:40.920 Johnson is responding to the
00:44:42.960 public.
00:44:44.860 Who, did I tell you, runs the
00:44:47.040 country?
00:44:48.240 Now, I wasn't talking about,
00:44:49.680 you know, Boris Johnson's
00:44:51.140 situation.
00:44:52.300 But, if Boris Johnson is
00:44:54.500 getting ahead of the parade,
00:44:56.720 it's because the parade
00:44:57.740 started.
00:44:59.600 It's not because, probably
00:45:02.480 not because of some other
00:45:03.520 reasons.
00:45:03.940 I don't think it's because of
00:45:04.800 science.
00:45:07.720 So, yes, that's what we want
00:45:09.480 in this country.
00:45:10.580 We want our leaders to go
00:45:12.620 Boris Johnson's way and say,
00:45:14.340 oh, shoot, I better get in
00:45:16.120 front of this thing, because
00:45:17.080 the train's already moving.
00:45:21.840 Yeah, February 1 is
00:45:23.100 approaching.
00:45:23.680 It almost seems too far away
00:45:25.440 now.
00:45:26.000 Because, when you see the
00:45:27.080 UK make this decision today,
00:45:31.200 their science can't be that
00:45:32.680 different.
00:45:34.240 February 1 is way too long
00:45:36.440 now, now that somebody
00:45:37.860 made the first move.
00:45:39.020 There should be a first-mover
00:45:40.680 kind of effect.
00:45:44.160 Scott fears death, in all
00:45:46.500 capitals.
00:45:47.280 Let me tell you something.
00:45:48.240 How many of you fear death?
00:45:51.980 I'm kind of curious about this.
00:45:54.020 How many of you fear death?
00:45:59.600 All right.
00:46:00.560 I'm seeing some yeses and noes.
00:46:01.980 I had a realization
00:46:04.260 recently that I've never
00:46:06.760 feared death.
00:46:08.640 Like, ever.
00:46:11.040 I've definitely feared
00:46:12.260 injury.
00:46:14.320 I have a
00:46:15.700 substantial fear
00:46:16.880 of injury.
00:46:20.220 But I've never
00:46:20.900 once,
00:46:22.740 honestly, my life isn't that
00:46:24.160 good,
00:46:25.920 that I need an unlimited
00:46:27.500 amount of it.
00:46:28.200 You know, and especially
00:46:30.600 now,
00:46:31.760 I'm at a really
00:46:33.140 unique place in my life
00:46:35.240 where I've done what I
00:46:36.760 needed.
00:46:37.920 Like, if I stop now,
00:46:40.020 like if I just died
00:46:41.040 tomorrow,
00:46:42.840 my last thought would be,
00:46:45.340 all right, I got it done.
00:46:47.140 I did what I needed to do.
00:46:48.880 You know, I left things a
00:46:50.460 little better.
00:46:51.780 So, I am so ready to be
00:46:53.700 dead.
00:46:55.300 I mean, I hate to say it
00:46:56.440 as starkly as that.
00:46:58.200 But quite honestly,
00:46:59.900 I'm ready.
00:47:01.380 I mean, I had a good run.
00:47:02.420 I'm completely ready.
00:47:04.300 So,
00:47:04.820 I can promise you
00:47:07.100 that
00:47:08.980 of all of my fears,
00:47:11.620 death might be,
00:47:13.520 I don't even know if it's
00:47:14.400 on the list.
00:47:15.660 Because my concept of death
00:47:17.240 is that
00:47:17.760 that's when you don't have
00:47:18.940 any pain and any problems.
00:47:20.120 And I'm not even sure
00:47:23.660 I don't look forward
00:47:24.920 to it
00:47:25.400 in a way.
00:47:27.180 You know,
00:47:27.380 because life is,
00:47:28.060 life is, you know,
00:47:29.100 good,
00:47:29.880 but it's not great.
00:47:32.820 If I may say so.
00:47:34.860 You know,
00:47:35.100 life,
00:47:35.920 being alive,
00:47:36.600 has advantages.
00:47:38.640 You know,
00:47:38.880 and I'm sure that
00:47:40.220 I would be,
00:47:41.340 I don't know,
00:47:41.720 happy that I
00:47:42.600 had them.
00:47:43.520 But when I'm dead,
00:47:44.500 none of it's going to
00:47:45.160 matter
00:47:45.520 to me.
00:47:47.480 I mean,
00:47:47.760 it won't matter to
00:47:48.460 who's left behind.
00:47:49.340 But it won't matter to me.
00:47:50.680 So I don't even
00:47:51.500 really understand
00:47:52.580 the concept
00:47:53.140 of being afraid of death.
00:47:54.780 Like,
00:47:55.100 I don't have,
00:47:55.800 I don't have any hook
00:47:57.140 that my mind
00:47:58.740 can connect to
00:47:59.580 to say,
00:48:00.060 oh,
00:48:00.400 that makes sense
00:48:01.100 to be afraid of death.
00:48:02.880 My life has never
00:48:03.920 been so good
00:48:04.600 that I preferred it
00:48:05.520 over death.
00:48:07.380 I'll be honest with you
00:48:08.580 that for most
00:48:09.880 of my childhood,
00:48:10.520 I planned to end my life
00:48:12.700 you know,
00:48:14.980 when I turned 18.
00:48:17.240 So,
00:48:17.460 literally.
00:48:17.840 So most of my
00:48:19.400 childhood
00:48:19.940 was waiting
00:48:21.160 to kill myself
00:48:21.960 because I didn't
00:48:22.800 think my quality
00:48:23.600 of life
00:48:24.140 was sufficient
00:48:25.360 to make it
00:48:25.940 worth the effort.
00:48:26.880 I would say
00:48:27.520 that my entire
00:48:28.180 20s
00:48:29.500 were well below
00:48:31.360 the level
00:48:31.960 of being worth
00:48:34.040 being alive.
00:48:36.460 You know,
00:48:36.720 if I had to look
00:48:37.300 at it in retrospect,
00:48:38.000 I would say
00:48:39.300 the first
00:48:39.860 30,
00:48:43.560 the first half
00:48:44.260 of my life
00:48:44.840 was below
00:48:45.780 the level
00:48:47.040 of being worth
00:48:47.580 it.
00:48:49.660 You know,
00:48:50.280 there were
00:48:50.460 great moments
00:48:51.200 there,
00:48:51.560 right?
00:48:51.820 There were
00:48:52.040 great times
00:48:52.940 within that time.
00:48:53.940 But I'd say
00:48:54.340 the first half,
00:48:55.260 definitely not worth it.
00:48:57.080 Then I'd say
00:48:57.580 maybe the next
00:48:58.260 20 years,
00:48:59.860 while there were
00:49:00.400 like tremendous
00:49:01.140 successes
00:49:02.080 and monetary
00:49:03.140 advantage
00:49:03.660 and,
00:49:04.640 you know,
00:49:04.920 great relationships
00:49:05.980 and bad relationships
00:49:07.180 and everything else,
00:49:08.580 I would say
00:49:08.940 there were definitely
00:49:09.360 some high points,
00:49:10.280 but I'd say
00:49:11.480 the next
00:49:12.160 20 years,
00:49:15.220 break even.
00:49:17.600 You know,
00:49:17.900 I don't,
00:49:18.620 if you asked me
00:49:19.380 would you want
00:49:20.440 to do it over again
00:49:21.440 or would you
00:49:22.180 just rather be dead,
00:49:23.320 I'd say,
00:49:23.680 I don't know,
00:49:24.400 it's a coin flip.
00:49:25.920 I don't know,
00:49:26.500 give me dead.
00:49:28.020 I don't know,
00:49:28.300 it wasn't really worth it.
00:49:31.180 But,
00:49:31.820 if you fast forward
00:49:33.240 to the moment,
00:49:34.040 at the moment,
00:49:37.700 there are really
00:49:38.820 high highs
00:49:39.560 and there are
00:49:39.960 really low lows.
00:49:42.060 At the moment,
00:49:45.580 let's see,
00:49:45.900 if I were to assess
00:49:46.740 whether it's worth
00:49:47.540 being alive
00:49:48.360 to me personally,
00:49:49.780 like right now,
00:49:55.860 yeah,
00:49:59.880 I don't know,
00:50:01.540 it's a close call,
00:50:03.400 close call.
00:50:05.000 So,
00:50:05.340 anybody who thinks
00:50:06.580 that,
00:50:06.960 anybody who thinks
00:50:11.580 that,
00:50:12.680 like I'm worried
00:50:14.800 about death,
00:50:15.880 you really couldn't
00:50:16.660 be further
00:50:17.100 from the truth.
00:50:18.580 If you said
00:50:19.140 I was worried
00:50:20.140 about injury,
00:50:21.280 you'd be right on.
00:50:23.900 Scott is begging
00:50:24.860 for help.
00:50:25.480 No,
00:50:25.700 I'm giving you
00:50:26.260 a cold assessment
00:50:27.380 of life.
00:50:28.940 I'll bet it's not
00:50:29.780 that different
00:50:30.260 from yours.
00:50:31.560 Actually,
00:50:31.920 let's test that.
00:50:33.180 About less
00:50:33.900 about me
00:50:34.300 and more
00:50:34.580 about you.
00:50:36.220 More about you.
00:50:37.920 How many of you
00:50:38.780 right now
00:50:39.980 think that being
00:50:40.840 alive is a better
00:50:41.740 deal than not
00:50:42.560 being alive?
00:50:43.320 Right now.
00:50:44.440 Your current life,
00:50:46.440 is it better
00:50:47.020 to be alive?
00:50:47.520 I'm seeing lots
00:50:53.320 of yeses,
00:50:54.080 but some 50-50s.
00:50:56.640 I'm seeing
00:50:57.060 some no's.
00:50:57.740 now I do think
00:51:01.580 that the way
00:51:02.060 life works
00:51:02.840 is if you are
00:51:04.260 alive,
00:51:04.760 you talk
00:51:05.080 yourself into
00:51:05.680 it being
00:51:06.020 a good idea.
00:51:10.140 How would I
00:51:13.620 know?
00:51:14.260 Yeah,
00:51:14.560 how would you
00:51:14.940 know?
00:51:17.440 Oh,
00:51:17.820 if you ever
00:51:18.140 had children,
00:51:18.840 it makes you
00:51:19.400 want to be alive.
00:51:19.960 Yeah.
00:51:20.640 No,
00:51:20.900 when you say
00:51:21.540 wanting to be
00:51:22.100 alive,
00:51:22.780 there are
00:51:23.040 reasons for
00:51:24.140 the benefit
00:51:24.620 of other
00:51:25.040 people.
00:51:26.240 I would say
00:51:27.080 I mostly
00:51:27.800 stay alive
00:51:28.520 for the benefit
00:51:29.160 of other
00:51:29.580 people,
00:51:30.480 I would say
00:51:30.940 at this point.
00:51:31.780 I'm not really
00:51:32.340 in it for my
00:51:33.340 own pleasure,
00:51:34.660 because that's
00:51:35.000 sort of fleeting.
00:51:36.560 I'm not that
00:51:37.500 much of a
00:51:38.160 pleasure seeker.
00:51:39.560 Yeah,
00:51:39.740 if I were,
00:51:40.280 I would have
00:51:40.700 retired a long
00:51:41.980 time ago.
00:51:42.780 If I were a
00:51:43.460 pleasure seeker,
00:51:44.120 I wouldn't be
00:51:44.480 doing this.
00:51:45.600 I mean,
00:51:46.380 I do enjoy
00:51:47.000 this,
00:51:47.320 but I'm just
00:51:47.700 saying that I
00:51:48.380 would just go
00:51:49.000 sit on a beach
00:51:49.840 somewhere and not
00:51:50.620 work,
00:51:51.700 because I have
00:51:52.420 the option.
00:51:54.620 I would say
00:51:56.840 that my
00:51:57.840 reason for
00:52:00.720 staying around,
00:52:02.340 being alive,
00:52:03.460 is whatever I
00:52:04.220 can do for
00:52:04.700 other people.
00:52:06.040 And pretty
00:52:06.700 much that's
00:52:07.280 the whole deal
00:52:08.780 right now.
00:52:09.460 I'm a little
00:52:09.840 bit curious,
00:52:11.920 because,
00:52:12.620 by the way,
00:52:13.780 one of the
00:52:14.160 best motivators
00:52:15.120 I found,
00:52:16.820 here's a little
00:52:18.180 reframe for you.
00:52:20.040 I find that
00:52:21.020 curiosity can
00:52:23.000 solve a lot
00:52:23.840 of problems.
00:52:24.620 meaning just
00:52:26.740 focusing on
00:52:27.540 your curiosity
00:52:28.380 instead of
00:52:29.060 focusing on
00:52:29.720 your problem.
00:52:31.120 So here's the
00:52:31.740 reframe.
00:52:32.340 This is one of
00:52:32.820 the best ones
00:52:33.420 I've ever used.
00:52:34.460 I don't know
00:52:34.860 if it'll work
00:52:35.260 for others.
00:52:36.060 Maybe there's
00:52:36.840 something personalized
00:52:38.160 about this.
00:52:39.360 But now and
00:52:40.040 then I'll be
00:52:40.600 saying to
00:52:40.960 myself,
00:52:42.280 I just don't,
00:52:43.640 did you ever
00:52:44.200 have those days
00:52:44.800 where you're
00:52:45.880 just going to
00:52:46.240 wake up and
00:52:46.820 today's like
00:52:47.400 yesterday?
00:52:48.640 And you think
00:52:49.400 to yourself,
00:52:49.960 this isn't even
00:52:50.700 worth it.
00:52:52.140 You just wake
00:52:52.760 up and you're
00:52:53.140 like,
00:52:53.300 am I just
00:52:54.440 going to put
00:52:54.960 on my socks
00:52:55.860 and have my
00:52:57.660 breakfast and
00:52:58.600 go to work
00:52:59.600 and come
00:53:00.100 back?
00:53:01.260 Is it just
00:53:02.160 going to be
00:53:02.480 like yesterday?
00:53:04.220 And also if
00:53:05.440 you have a big
00:53:05.920 problem,
00:53:07.220 you're like,
00:53:07.720 oh God,
00:53:08.600 this big problem,
00:53:09.680 I don't know
00:53:10.100 what's going to
00:53:10.540 happen with it,
00:53:11.340 could go bad,
00:53:12.600 could go good.
00:53:13.640 And here's the
00:53:14.360 reframe.
00:53:14.820 turn it into
00:53:17.500 curiosity instead
00:53:20.180 of pain and
00:53:22.680 ennui and all
00:53:23.940 those other bad
00:53:24.460 feelings.
00:53:25.220 Because if you
00:53:26.260 watch it like a
00:53:26.920 movie or a
00:53:27.720 book, you say
00:53:28.680 to yourself,
00:53:29.200 I wonder how
00:53:29.700 this is going
00:53:30.160 to turn out.
00:53:31.620 Now, you
00:53:32.900 would be
00:53:33.160 surprised that
00:53:33.880 this works,
00:53:34.520 right?
00:53:34.820 When you first
00:53:35.360 hear it,
00:53:35.800 wait a minute,
00:53:36.160 I'm not just
00:53:36.660 going to change
00:53:37.800 my frame to
00:53:38.520 curiosity about
00:53:39.580 how it works,
00:53:40.640 but it does
00:53:41.740 work for me.
00:53:42.640 So I'm not
00:53:43.860 sure it would
00:53:44.440 work for others,
00:53:45.220 it might be
00:53:45.620 just something
00:53:46.160 about how I'm
00:53:47.300 wired, but it
00:53:48.720 reliably works.
00:53:49.780 I just say,
00:53:50.260 you know, I'll
00:53:51.260 just watch this
00:53:51.840 like a movie and
00:53:52.480 see how it
00:53:52.860 turns out.
00:53:54.460 And here's the
00:53:55.820 thing, curiosity
00:53:56.720 is really baked
00:53:58.400 into you as an
00:53:59.340 essential element
00:54:01.040 of who you are.
00:54:02.860 Would you agree
00:54:03.440 with that?
00:54:04.340 That without
00:54:04.800 curiosity, humans
00:54:07.460 would just fall
00:54:08.060 apart, civilization
00:54:08.880 would fall
00:54:09.520 apart.
00:54:10.420 So curiosity
00:54:11.140 isn't just a
00:54:12.560 thought, it's
00:54:14.480 baked into who
00:54:15.440 you are.
00:54:15.860 It's one of
00:54:16.240 your most basic
00:54:16.820 things.
00:54:17.720 So the point
00:54:18.480 is to get
00:54:19.300 away from
00:54:19.700 your intellectual,
00:54:21.780 the intellectual
00:54:22.580 part of you,
00:54:23.300 which is saying,
00:54:24.400 how will this
00:54:24.920 turn out?
00:54:25.520 It's making me
00:54:26.180 stressed.
00:54:26.940 Could go this
00:54:27.620 way, could go
00:54:28.280 that way.
00:54:29.100 I want it to
00:54:29.720 go this way,
00:54:30.360 but I've got an
00:54:30.920 obstacle.
00:54:31.700 I'm trying this,
00:54:32.580 but it won't
00:54:32.900 work.
00:54:33.500 So that's the
00:54:34.060 intellectual way
00:54:35.080 to frame it.
00:54:36.680 Are you, are
00:54:38.220 you naturally
00:54:39.000 intellectual?
00:54:41.140 A little bit.
00:54:42.560 But not the
00:54:44.040 way you're
00:54:44.360 naturally curious.
00:54:47.080 See what I
00:54:47.700 mean?
00:54:48.420 Your curiosity
00:54:49.300 is really
00:54:50.320 baked in.
00:54:51.020 That's like a,
00:54:51.680 that's a basic
00:54:52.740 biological function.
00:54:54.880 But your higher
00:54:55.800 intellectual thoughts
00:54:57.240 of how things
00:54:58.560 will work out,
00:54:59.540 blah, blah, blah,
00:54:59.960 blah, blah, blah.
00:55:00.860 That's, that's a
00:55:02.260 little bit more
00:55:02.800 of a modern,
00:55:04.700 I don't know,
00:55:05.360 emergent property
00:55:06.480 or something.
00:55:07.300 I'm using all the
00:55:07.940 wrong science-y
00:55:08.860 words.
00:55:09.140 But the idea
00:55:10.300 is that curiosity
00:55:11.140 is just stronger
00:55:12.500 and more basic
00:55:13.380 than your
00:55:14.500 intellectual thoughts
00:55:15.520 about what
00:55:15.920 might go wrong.
00:55:17.360 So just move
00:55:18.040 your, move
00:55:18.660 your focus,
00:55:19.740 not entirely,
00:55:21.340 because you can
00:55:21.740 never leave the
00:55:22.320 intellectual,
00:55:23.280 but move your
00:55:23.880 focus to,
00:55:25.320 oh, I just
00:55:25.760 wonder how this
00:55:26.280 is going to
00:55:26.620 turn out.
00:55:27.680 I'm just super
00:55:28.600 curious if this
00:55:30.040 is going to be
00:55:30.480 a disaster tomorrow.
00:55:33.380 It works.
00:55:34.820 I swear, it
00:55:35.900 works.
00:55:36.260 All right.
00:55:43.080 So, I do
00:55:46.560 think that we
00:55:48.460 are beyond the
00:55:50.160 mask vaccination
00:55:51.720 questions.
00:55:52.740 Would you agree?
00:55:54.240 Aren't we beyond
00:55:54.960 them?
00:55:55.640 The question of
00:55:56.360 whether you should
00:55:57.000 or should not do
00:55:57.920 anything mandated,
00:55:59.980 we're beyond
00:56:00.820 that.
00:56:01.620 So I'm not going
00:56:02.180 to talk you into
00:56:03.140 anything.
00:56:04.400 That would be
00:56:04.880 stupid at this
00:56:05.900 point.
00:56:06.260 And also
00:56:07.100 immoral.
00:56:08.160 You know, I said
00:56:08.680 from the beginning
00:56:09.260 that trying to
00:56:09.980 persuade you to
00:56:10.880 get a vaccination
00:56:11.600 would be deeply
00:56:12.960 immoral.
00:56:14.680 For those on
00:56:15.580 YouTube,
00:56:17.020 especially,
00:56:18.000 can the rest of
00:56:18.940 you confirm that
00:56:19.760 from the beginning,
00:56:21.120 the very first
00:56:21.980 words out of my
00:56:22.700 mouth were that
00:56:24.000 trying to persuade
00:56:25.100 you in one way
00:56:26.380 or the other
00:56:26.920 would be deeply
00:56:28.240 immoral, in my
00:56:29.280 case especially.
00:56:31.000 In my case
00:56:31.580 especially,
00:56:32.540 because I'm
00:56:33.500 trained to
00:56:34.000 persuade.
00:56:34.380 like a prize
00:56:36.860 fighter,
00:56:37.380 now that's
00:56:37.980 an old term
00:56:38.480 I guess,
00:56:39.300 a professional
00:56:39.980 boxer,
00:56:41.920 you know,
00:56:43.060 can't get into
00:56:43.900 a street fight
00:56:44.720 because that
00:56:46.020 would be
00:56:46.320 considered unfair.
00:56:47.720 In the same
00:56:48.560 way, if you're
00:56:49.520 making a life
00:56:50.380 and death
00:56:50.740 medical decision
00:56:51.640 and I'm not
00:56:52.660 your doctor,
00:56:53.800 you do not
00:56:54.620 want me trying
00:56:55.580 to persuade you.
00:56:56.860 You do not
00:56:57.520 want that because
00:56:58.280 I'm trained.
00:56:58.760 I'd be too
00:56:59.820 good at it.
00:57:00.920 And then I
00:57:01.160 would take,
00:57:02.180 in a way,
00:57:03.140 it would reduce
00:57:04.720 your agency,
00:57:06.220 you know,
00:57:06.400 your own
00:57:06.740 ability to
00:57:07.320 control yourself.
00:57:09.040 And so,
00:57:11.060 for everyone
00:57:11.660 who thinks I
00:57:12.260 have been
00:57:12.660 secretly trying
00:57:13.620 to support
00:57:14.940 the vaccinations,
00:57:15.740 I don't say
00:57:16.960 things that
00:57:17.560 directly if I
00:57:18.380 don't mean
00:57:18.720 them.
00:57:20.080 Right?
00:57:20.520 If there's one
00:57:21.100 thing you can
00:57:21.920 know about me
00:57:22.600 for sure,
00:57:24.200 if I say
00:57:24.800 something clearly
00:57:25.600 and directly
00:57:26.320 and without
00:57:27.000 being prompted
00:57:27.720 and I say
00:57:28.600 it over and
00:57:29.060 over again,
00:57:29.740 it's fucking
00:57:30.420 true.
00:57:32.000 Right?
00:57:33.260 You'll never
00:57:33.920 find an exception
00:57:34.680 to that.
00:57:35.880 If nobody
00:57:36.480 asks me to
00:57:37.060 say it,
00:57:37.940 I say it
00:57:38.520 clearly and
00:57:39.300 directly and
00:57:40.080 over and
00:57:40.540 over again,
00:57:41.280 it's fucking
00:57:42.260 true.
00:57:43.660 And you can
00:57:44.080 take that to
00:57:44.620 the bank.
00:57:45.900 You know,
00:57:46.100 if I'm vague
00:57:47.180 about something,
00:57:48.040 then, you know,
00:57:48.520 maybe I've got
00:57:49.060 some hidden
00:57:50.640 agenda or
00:57:51.260 something.
00:57:51.600 But if I'm
00:57:52.020 direct and
00:57:53.320 consistent,
00:57:55.640 you can bank
00:57:56.440 on that.
00:57:56.900 that's really,
00:57:58.160 really what I
00:57:58.780 think.
00:58:02.440 Biden said
00:58:03.180 something about
00:58:03.720 facts and
00:58:04.300 truth recently.
00:58:10.260 Why are the
00:58:11.020 trolls hard to
00:58:11.740 persuade?
00:58:12.380 Because they're
00:58:13.060 not there to be
00:58:13.680 persuaded.
00:58:14.080 Do you know
00:58:15.300 how many of my
00:58:15.940 trolls actually
00:58:16.620 have troll in
00:58:17.580 their bio?
00:58:19.340 A lot.
00:58:21.000 I would say
00:58:21.860 something like,
00:58:23.180 I don't know,
00:58:23.960 30% of all my
00:58:25.320 critics actually
00:58:26.200 have in their
00:58:27.160 bio Twitter
00:58:28.860 troll.
00:58:31.600 Look for
00:58:32.180 yourself.
00:58:32.860 Yeah, they're
00:58:33.140 not there to be
00:58:33.700 convinced.
00:58:37.980 All right.
00:58:41.480 Good times.
00:58:44.160 All right,
00:58:44.780 that's all I
00:58:45.320 got for now.
00:58:46.200 And I will
00:58:47.260 back off from
00:58:49.700 some of this
00:58:50.320 vaccination and
00:58:51.760 mass talk for
00:58:52.660 now.
00:58:52.860 I'm going to
00:58:53.820 hit really,
00:58:54.620 really hard
00:58:55.140 the dropping
00:58:56.680 the mask
00:58:57.240 mandate by
00:58:58.720 February 1.
00:59:00.600 How many of
00:59:01.800 you are on
00:59:02.240 board with
00:59:02.600 that?
00:59:03.580 February 1 as
00:59:05.080 our public
00:59:06.340 deadline to
00:59:07.540 our government
00:59:08.200 as to when
00:59:09.960 the public is
00:59:10.640 done with
00:59:11.200 the mandates.
00:59:14.020 Yeah.
00:59:14.560 So if you're
00:59:16.180 on board,
00:59:16.820 tweet it.
00:59:17.360 And I added
00:59:18.080 the following
00:59:18.600 twist that I
00:59:19.240 think helps.
00:59:19.720 I've asked
00:59:20.300 small businesses,
00:59:21.540 well,
00:59:21.720 businesses,
00:59:22.540 I've asked
00:59:23.020 businesses to
00:59:23.980 put a hashtag
00:59:25.800 Feb1 sign on
00:59:27.260 their window or
00:59:28.620 door.
00:59:29.700 Because if I see
00:59:30.920 that sign, I'm
00:59:31.800 going to go
00:59:32.060 right in.
00:59:33.220 So it's free
00:59:34.040 marketing.
00:59:35.720 Just put up the
00:59:36.540 sign, you don't
00:59:37.080 need an
00:59:37.420 explanation.
00:59:38.560 It doesn't
00:59:38.880 have to, you
00:59:39.780 don't have to be
00:59:40.220 a rebel or
00:59:41.040 anything else.
00:59:41.920 Just hashtag
00:59:42.920 Feb1, put a
00:59:44.460 little sign on
00:59:45.060 your door.
00:59:46.480 I will buy
00:59:47.200 your shit even
00:59:48.160 if I don't want
00:59:48.960 it.
00:59:49.720 I will walk
00:59:50.620 directly into
00:59:51.540 your store, take
00:59:52.980 out my wallet, and
00:59:54.320 buy some of your
00:59:55.180 shit just because
00:59:56.920 you have the
00:59:57.380 hashtag on.
00:59:58.260 Now that's free
00:59:58.860 marketing.
01:00:00.240 How many of you
01:00:01.160 would join me, you
01:00:02.500 don't have to buy
01:00:03.020 things you don't
01:00:03.540 want, but how
01:00:05.060 many of you would
01:00:05.880 join me in showing
01:00:07.620 a strong preference
01:00:08.760 for somebody who
01:00:10.300 had a hashtag
01:00:11.120 Feb1 sign on
01:00:12.200 their building?
01:00:13.620 Yeah, look at
01:00:14.020 the comments.
01:00:15.300 Yeah, strong
01:00:15.980 preference.
01:00:17.140 We don't love
01:00:18.080 boycotting.
01:00:18.760 I'm big on not
01:00:20.720 boycotting.
01:00:22.360 There are some
01:00:23.460 exceptions when
01:00:24.180 they're beyond the
01:00:25.100 line.
01:00:26.060 But I'm really
01:00:27.080 big on marketing.
01:00:30.500 Right?
01:00:31.180 Marketing works.
01:00:32.460 So why not get
01:00:33.060 some free marketing?
01:00:34.780 We're offering it
01:00:35.720 to you.
01:00:36.220 If you just put
01:00:36.900 a hashtag in your
01:00:38.420 window, get some
01:00:39.660 extra business your
01:00:41.040 neighbor won't get.
01:00:41.940 That's it.
01:00:42.340 So I don't know
01:00:44.480 how big this can
01:00:45.160 get, but it
01:00:46.060 needs to get big
01:00:46.780 enough to make
01:00:48.220 your governors and
01:00:49.360 your president say
01:00:50.680 to themselves, oh
01:00:51.720 shoot, the parade's
01:00:52.820 already moving, we
01:00:54.160 better get in front
01:00:54.900 of it.
01:00:56.080 And there's no
01:00:57.380 fight to be had
01:00:58.120 here.
01:00:58.940 I don't want to
01:00:59.580 fight with the
01:01:00.080 government, I want
01:01:01.220 to assist it.
01:01:02.520 And that's very,
01:01:03.400 very important.
01:01:04.600 The framing here
01:01:05.480 should be assisting
01:01:06.580 our government,
01:01:07.620 because they
01:01:08.140 legitimately are the
01:01:09.100 wrong tool for
01:01:10.760 getting us out of
01:01:11.680 a pandemic, because
01:01:12.760 they have too much
01:01:13.360 risk aversion.
01:01:14.760 We don't have the
01:01:15.420 same risk aversion,
01:01:16.360 we're the public.
01:01:17.480 So the public needs
01:01:18.280 to guide them, help
01:01:19.860 them, push them.
01:01:22.060 But it's not a
01:01:22.880 fight.
01:01:23.960 It's not a fight.
01:01:25.340 We're not on the
01:01:26.020 other side from the
01:01:26.880 government.
01:01:27.740 Don't get that wrong.
01:01:29.380 You are here to
01:01:30.260 help.
01:01:32.100 You're here to
01:01:32.940 help.
01:01:33.840 Push your
01:01:34.420 government in the
01:01:35.220 right direction.
01:01:36.600 They need it.
01:01:37.500 They want to be
01:01:38.120 pushed.
01:01:39.100 There's nothing that
01:01:39.900 would make Biden
01:01:40.520 happier than 75% of
01:01:42.680 the public saying,
01:01:43.560 let's get rid of
01:01:44.060 mandates.
01:01:45.560 Because that's good
01:01:46.800 for him, too.
01:01:47.360 He wants that shit
01:01:48.280 done before the
01:01:49.020 midterms, right?
01:01:50.440 So everybody wants
01:01:52.920 this to happen.
01:01:54.640 This is activating
01:01:56.000 the fake because.
01:01:57.940 The public's
01:01:58.780 activity is creating
01:02:01.300 the fake because.
01:02:02.300 It's a real one,
01:02:02.940 I guess.
01:02:03.200 But it operates
01:02:04.800 as the reason that
01:02:07.540 Biden and the
01:02:08.860 governors can say,
01:02:09.620 OK.
01:02:10.940 Now, now that
01:02:12.340 Boris Johnson
01:02:14.280 has made that
01:02:15.020 move, don't you
01:02:17.020 think every
01:02:17.720 governor is
01:02:18.280 talking about it?
01:02:19.920 I don't know how
01:02:20.820 you can see that
01:02:21.700 the science is
01:02:23.460 different on the
01:02:24.000 other side of the
01:02:24.560 Atlantic and not
01:02:25.880 at least ask
01:02:26.640 yourself, is it
01:02:27.600 time over here?
01:02:29.100 Because the
01:02:29.820 situation is the
01:02:30.520 same.
01:02:31.200 So I feel as
01:02:32.220 though if you get
01:02:33.720 one more entity
01:02:35.440 to go maskless,
01:02:37.880 it could be one
01:02:38.680 big state, you
01:02:40.260 know, blue state,
01:02:40.980 that would be
01:02:41.340 impressive, or one
01:02:44.480 other country, maybe
01:02:45.560 another European
01:02:46.280 country to follow
01:02:47.200 the lead.
01:02:48.620 One more and two
01:02:50.260 points to draw a
01:02:51.040 line and then it's
01:02:52.420 over.
01:02:53.400 So that's how close
01:02:54.580 we are to being
01:02:55.200 done with this, at
01:02:56.220 least the mask part.
01:02:57.400 We're that close.
01:02:58.660 One more entity,
01:03:00.200 boom, domino time.
01:03:02.320 Let's go Spain.
01:03:04.300 Germany.
01:03:05.280 Come on, Germany.
01:03:07.140 France?
01:03:09.580 Psst.
01:03:10.760 France.
01:03:12.520 France.
01:03:16.540 You know, France,
01:03:18.320 you've been kind of
01:03:19.500 an inspiration to us
01:03:20.620 on this whole
01:03:21.160 freedom thing
01:03:22.580 for hundreds of
01:03:23.960 years.
01:03:25.460 And we don't
01:03:26.800 want you to get
01:03:27.360 behind on the
01:03:28.600 whole freedom
01:03:29.640 thing.
01:03:29.980 So if you
01:03:32.340 wouldn't mind
01:03:33.080 setting a little
01:03:34.800 example, because we
01:03:36.680 like it when you do
01:03:37.460 that over here, if
01:03:39.380 France can find
01:03:40.480 freedom, you
01:03:43.120 would do a big
01:03:44.240 favor to us in the
01:03:45.200 United States.
01:03:47.080 Now, I'm not going
01:03:47.940 to say this is, you
01:03:48.800 know, Statue of
01:03:49.540 Liberty size or, you
01:03:51.940 know, or Lafayette
01:03:54.260 We Are Here
01:03:54.800 sized.
01:03:55.440 It's not that big.
01:03:56.240 But, remember
01:03:58.660 France, you
01:04:01.280 and America, we
01:04:02.240 have like a
01:04:03.300 long-standing
01:04:04.140 agreement, don't
01:04:05.040 we?
01:04:06.080 Sort of an
01:04:06.780 unwritten thing
01:04:07.500 that if you get
01:04:09.340 in trouble, we
01:04:09.940 help you.
01:04:10.560 If you get in
01:04:11.000 trouble, you
01:04:12.500 help us.
01:04:13.620 We're in trouble
01:04:14.540 over here, France.
01:04:17.040 If you go
01:04:17.880 first, that would
01:04:19.820 really help us.
01:04:21.160 Really help us.
01:04:22.140 We'd appreciate it
01:04:22.980 a lot.
01:04:23.320 And, I know
01:04:25.360 there's a lot of
01:04:25.860 activity over there,
01:04:26.640 a lot of people in
01:04:27.200 the streets.
01:04:28.100 It doesn't look like
01:04:29.060 you're close to
01:04:29.880 pushing your
01:04:30.380 government, but I'll
01:04:32.500 bet you can do it.
01:04:33.920 I'll bet you can get
01:04:34.800 there.
01:04:35.840 And I think Boris
01:04:36.900 Johnson just made
01:04:37.760 your job a little
01:04:38.500 bit easier.
01:04:39.680 So, France, be
01:04:41.380 next.
01:04:42.560 Count on you.
01:04:43.660 I think you can do
01:04:44.380 it.
01:04:45.360 Be true to your
01:04:46.180 history.
01:04:47.360 Be true to what
01:04:47.940 made you great in
01:04:48.840 the first place.
01:04:50.060 All right?
01:04:50.860 That is all I have
01:04:53.060 to say today.
01:04:54.440 Looks like my
01:04:55.040 phone is blowing
01:04:55.620 up, and I'll
01:04:56.360 talk to you all
01:04:57.080 tomorrow.