Episode 1635 Scott Adams: Lots of Mysteries and Absurdities In the Headlines. I Will Sort Them All Out For You
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 7 minutes
Words per Minute
147.57545
Summary
Coffee with Scott Adams is the best thing you can do to wake yourself up in the morning, and it doesn't even have to be a cup or a mug or a glass. It's the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes even Scott wake up.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to, undoubtedly, the peak experience of your
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entire life. It's going to happen now. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.
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I don't know if anything has ever been better. Let me check my notes.
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Nope. Nothing has ever been better. And if you'd like to take it to another
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really unheard of level, unheard of, all you need is a cup or mug or glass,
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I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
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the thing that makes even Scott wake up. It's called coffee.
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Ah. It might just be me, possibly a placebo effect,
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but I feel the blood clots in my blood starting to dissipate. Does anybody feel like their blood
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clots just decreased a little bit? I mean, not a lot. I'm not talking about completely eliminating.
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I'm talking about a little bit. I mean, don't get greedy. It was just one sip. You can't cure COVID
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with one sip. That would take at least three to five. All right.
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I give you now my plan to destroy the United States.
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How would you do it? What would be the cheapest way to destroy the United States? Let's say you
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were on a budget. You could be, I don't know. I'll just pick a random country. China. You could be
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China. Let's say you're on a budget, and I'm just picking them randomly, and you wanted to destroy the
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United States. What's the one person you could get to to do that? Well, the president, right?
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Getting to the president would help you do it. But there might be a cheaper way, because the
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president's pretty expensive. You know, you're buying Hunter Biden with that deal. Hunter Biden
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doesn't come cheap. Some say $31 million is the minimum price. But if you wanted to get even
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cheaper than that, who is the one person you could influence in the United States that would destroy
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the country? Just one person. Okay, me. Okay, not counting me, because I'm not going to destroy
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the country, so they don't have that option. Well, I would suggest, and by the way, I'm not suggesting
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that this is happening. I'm just telling you, you should be alerted to this risk. If I were going
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to destroy the United States, I would bribe the head of the teachers' unions. And we're done.
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How much would it cost to bribe the head of the biggest teachers' unions? Now, I'm not saying
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they've taken any bribes. I'm not suggesting there's any evidence of anything like that.
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I'm just saying, hypothetically, what would it cost to totally own the head of the teachers'
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unions? I think you could get it for about a million, maybe less, don't you think? So for
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maybe a million dollars in, you know, indirect benefits that can't be traced to anybody in
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particular, you know, maybe a business does well that is related to them somehow. If you could get
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that one person, what would you encourage them to do? Well, you might encourage them to select a
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fact-checking news filter and suggest that it run in all the schools. And perhaps that news
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checking filter would be biased toward a certain kind of news and biased away from a certain other
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kind of news. What would happen if you did that? Well, if that news filter happened to be legitimate
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and it happened to be making you smarter and educating our kids better, that's all good for
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the kids, good for the country too. But what if said person bribing the head of the teachers'
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unions, which is not happening as far as I know, just talking about the risk of it, couldn't they
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come up with ideas like educate your kids at home, even though the science might not support that?
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Wouldn't they come up with ideas like filtering the news so that only pro-China news gets through?
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Just for example, critical race theory. They might suggest critical race theory.
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All I'm saying is that there is one individual in charge of the current country, and that's Joe Biden.
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But there might be only one individual in charge of the future of the country.
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And that's whoever has the most control over our education system, because those are the minds that
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will be running in the country in the next generation. So I am very uncomfortable having one person having
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this much control over the future of the country, especially when any one person can be bought.
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You know, I'd love to say there's nobody who can be bought. But, you know, anybody who's not already
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pretty rich can be bought. Everybody's got a price. They can either be blackmailed, bought, coerced,
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persuaded. This is a real, real problem that we have such a vulnerability in our national defense.
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I would go so far as to say that Homeland Security should be in charge of the teachers' union.
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Yeah? Yeah, you didn't see that coming, did you? Homeland Security should be in charge of education,
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because if we don't get education right and protect the kids from being brainwashed by external sources,
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we will be giving away the future. Didn't see that coming. Now, I'm not terribly serious about Homeland Security,
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because you don't want to add, you don't want to add any extra layers of government anything if you
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can avoid it. But my point is, we have a real vulnerability that is a genuine security problem,
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like a real security problem, like a real, real, really big security problem, like as big as security
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problems could ever be. It's just that it's about the future. Like it's not, we're not on fire at the
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moment. It's just something brewing that will kill us all eventually. The hard way. Anyway,
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we need to do something about that. I thought that I saw a joke on CNN, and it turned out it wasn't a
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joke. How often have we joked about the anti-Trumper saying that the walls are closing in on Trump?
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Right? Isn't that like a punchline? The walls are closing in on Trump now.
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They're going to get him any minute. Oop, oop, oop, oop, oop. Those walls are closing in.
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Right? The walls are closing in as just a punchline, I thought. I didn't know that anybody actually said
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it anymore. You know, originally they were saying it and repeating each other. But at this point,
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at this point, I'm really asking, are people actually saying that? Well, it turns out Chris
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Silliza, or at least the headline, actually said that. And it wasn't a joke. And here's Silliza's
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argument. That the walls are closing in on Trump's legal problems. Now, here are all the examples.
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I've done this before, but it's just head shaking to see how the media creates this narrative.
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All right? So look at all the examples that they've fit into the narrative. It's the same
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thing they did with Russia collusion. You start with the framework. Oh, there's Russia collusion.
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You know, roughly, ambiguously stated. And if you've got this ambiguous framework of Russia
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collusion, then anything that involves a Russian is probably going to map to it. Right? Confirmation
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bias is going to do the rest. Something with a Russian phone call. Oh, that probably fits
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there. All right. Trump once said, nyet. Well, that's probably there. Right? So once the framework
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is set, your mind just fills in the framework. It's automatic. So CNN has caused this framework
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of Trump legal problems. Right? So now you've got this ambiguous framework. Yeah, there's some
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kind of legal financial tax problem, something. But so everything you see is going to like
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stick to it. Right? So here are the things they threw against that framework. The New York
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Attorney General is, has told us that the Trump, the Trump company has a number of misleading
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statements and omissions used to secure loans. So do you think it's true, first of all, that
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there are, quote, misleading statements and omissions that were used to secure loans?
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Well, let me put this in context. How many of you have ever been a banker and it was your
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job to evaluate loans? Me, me. That was my job for several years. For several years, I
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worked for a bank. And one of my jobs, I had a number of them, was to be the one who approved
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loans, business loans. So somebody would propose one and I'd have to look at it and sign it off.
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And how often have I ever seen a misleading statement or an omission used in a loan application?
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Do you think I've ever encountered a misleading statement or omission?
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How often, like what would you guess is the percentage of time you encounter a misleading
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statement or omission? 100% of the time. 100%. So what is, what is the New York Attorney General
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telling us? That Trump's statement is exactly like every other big statement. In other words,
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if there's a certain level of complication, you always have omissions. You always have misleading
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statements. Now, is that illegal? Which one of those things is illegal? It depends. There's nothing
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illegal in concept, right? Because misleading is a subjective standard, isn't it? It's hard to say
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what is misleading. Wait, if it's untrue, that's a standard, right? If you just put something down,
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it's just, you know, you say you made this much money and it's just not the right number. Well,
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that's just untrue. So that's a standard that you could, you could manage to. But how do you manage
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to misleading? I don't think misleading is a, is a legal standard, is it? And if it is, there's going
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to be a whole lot of judgments in there. And the reason that you hire accountants, why do you hire
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accountants and CPAs to do your taxes if you're a business instead of doing them yourself? Well,
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one reason is they're complicated. It's hard to do yourself. Do you know what the other reason is?
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Here's the other reason. If your CPA or accountant makes a misleading statement that they can back up,
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as in, well, there were two ways to handle this. Both of them were legal. We, we chose this one.
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How much trouble does the client get in? The client, you know, the person who hired the CPA,
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how much does the person who hired the CPA, how much trouble do they get in if the person they hired
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who's a professional does this every day, says, you know, there were two ways to do this. We chose this
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way. They're both legal. And then the IRS comes back and says, you know, I think you should have
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chosen the other way. Zero legal risk. There might be, there might be a financial risk,
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meaning there might be a penalty or something. If the IRS says, oh, you know, I see why you did it,
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but you should have done it this other way. We'll give you a penalty. You don't go to jail for a
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penalty. You just pay the penalty. Fairly ordinary. I'm pretty sure that I've had that happen. I'm sure
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at least, I think, yeah, I think at least maybe twice the IRS has said, oh, something wrong here.
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You owe a penalty. And, you know, I look at it and go, oh, okay. Yeah, I owe a penalty. Just pay the
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penalty. All right, here's another one. There's been a document release about all the January 6th stuff
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What? We're looking for things to find out if there might be something bad? What? Couldn't you say
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that about literally everything? You know, I don't have any direct information about Joe Biden doing
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horrible things, but if we can get access to all his documents, I'll bet we'd find something.
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Yeah. Phishing expedition is not a legal risk per se, except they might find something. So you got a whole
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bunch of nothing in the, in the, about his misleading statements and omissions, at least the way it's
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described to us. I'm not saying there's no substance. I'm saying that if there were substance, it's weird that
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they wouldn't tell us, because I feel like that would have been important to the story. Then they're just looking
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for stuff on January 6th. And we found out today that apparently the, the, the protesters were already
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overthrowing things even before Trump spoke. So that, so the trouble had started long before Trump
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was even talking. So that's a factor. Then there's also a special grand jury being convened in
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Georgia talking about his phone call in which he said he hoped they could find the votes. There isn't
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any chance he's in any legal trouble for a phone call that everybody was on in which he used ambiguous
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language about finding votes when the context of the call was he thought they were fraudulent.
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If the context of the call is, I think there was fraud and you say, I think there's fraud. You
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should look into it because we'd only need to find X number of votes. Clearly the context is not
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illegal. The context is perfectly clear that he means to find votes that are real that just weren't
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counted or vice versa. Right? So there's no way that's going to get him in trouble. That's the third
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thing that's completely empty. And then my favorite ones are E. Jean Carroll. She's the one who accused
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him of rape and nothing happened to that. But now Trump said that she's not his type. It didn't happen
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because in part because she's not his type. And now she's suing him for some kind of defamation for
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saying she's not his type or something. Could anything be less than that? Can you think of anything
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there would be less of a legal risk than that? Even if everything went wrong, you just pay some
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money. Right? This one has no risk other than, all right, here's some money. Make it go away. And
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even then, this is clearly not any kind of defamation. I'm no lawyer. I'm no lawyer, but I feel confident
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in saying this is not going to be a problem. And then there's his sister, Mary Trump, who is suing him
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for alleged fraud on their estate however many decades ago when they all inherited? Do you think
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that's going to turn into anything? I doubt it. A lot of time has gone by, and I would imagine the
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entire family is on the other side, and I imagine there were lawyers involved, so they probably did
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everything as legal as anything can be done. So he says it's his niece. Oh, he's a niece. I'm sorry.
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Mary's a niece. Well, that's sad for Mary because I put her in the same age range as Trump. So sorry,
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Mary. Sued for defamation. Anyway, so do you see any part of this that sounds like the walls are
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closing in on Trump? I mean, really? Seriously. Does any of this look like he has any legal risk
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to speak of? Not really. You know, I mean, I suppose a fishing expedition could come up with
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something, but I'm not expecting it. All right, here's the funniest marital problem story of the
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day. So you know that RFK Jr., he's an anti-vax kind of guy, and he's married to Cheryl Hines,
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actress Cheryl Hines. You know her from Curb Your Enthusiasm and other stuff. And so RFK Jr.
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made this, let's say, ill-advised comparison of vaccinations to Nazi Germany, at least the mandates,
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the mandates anyway. And Cheryl Hines, who works in Hollywood, and if you work in Hollywood,
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one thing you don't want to do is disrespect the Holocaust. I'm just saying that's not a good
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career move if you're a Hollywood actor or actress. And so Cheryl Hines did something I've
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never seen any spouse do before, but it's hilarious. I've never seen anybody come out harder against
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their own spouse. So the offending comment was something about Anne Frank, right? Details don't
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matter. So RFK made an Anne Frank reference about vaccine mandates. And so Hines said,
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my husband's reference to Anne Frank at a mandate rally in D.C. was reprehensible and insensitive.
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What? Are you really married? Are you two actually married? What? Now, I always appreciate people
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speaking their mind. And it certainly doesn't surprise me when spouses have disagreements on
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political stuff and stuff. But how do you stay married after that? Would you stay married to
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somebody who called you reprehensible in public, in a public statement? If your spouse makes a public
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statement that says you did something reprehensible that was just words, right? It'd be one thing if,
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you know, if you were violent or something, then sure. But just words, a political opinion,
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a bad analogy. If you use an ill-advised analogy while you're trying to make the world a better
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place. Now, I'm not on RFK's side on everything he's persuading. I'm just saying it's pretty clear
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that his intention is to make the world a better place. Would everybody agree with that? I mean,
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no matter what you want to say about RFK Jr., I don't think he's in it for the money, right? Can we at
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least give him that? I don't think he's in it for the money. I don't think he's in it for, like,
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personal gain. I mean, you get your ego involved, so that's always a factor. But it doesn't look like
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there's any intention here other than to help people survive.
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Now, if she had said, I don't agree with my husband's characterization, but he has a right
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to, you know, make his points, would you be okay with that? I don't agree with his characterization.
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I thought that was ill-advised. But of course, it's a free country, and I support his right to
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his opinion. Now, that's how you stay married. But if you go in public and say that your husband
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said something reprehensible and insensitive, I think you've just signaled to the world you're
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not planning to stick around. Right? I think she just told us she's not sticking around.
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Like, I don't know how, because imagine what her life is like having to explain her husband
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every time she walks out the door. Hey, Cheryl, can you explain your husband? Because where
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she is, you know, vaccines are like gold. Anyway, that's a funny story. Tragic, but funny.
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Here's a big story. West Virginia. The state Senate voted to lift their ban on nuclear power
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plants in West Virginia. How big a deal is that? Well, West Virginia is a big coal state. So,
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you know, if they're going nuclear, we're in good shape. As you know, one of our favorite nuclear
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advocates, Mark Schneider, tweeted this. He says, I have to wonder if my meeting with the Speaker of
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the Assembly helped set the wheels in motion for this. Well, Mark, I don't think it's a coincidence
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that with your level of persuasive ability, that after meeting with the Speaker of the Assembly,
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that things went your way. I don't think that's a coincidence. Now, I do think all the argument
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was on the side of, you know, the decision they just made. And I think that things have changed
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in terms of climate change, right? You know, nuclear power went from something that, you know,
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was just an economic decision. Then it turned into, well, it's necessary for climate change.
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And then it turned into, it's more than necessary for space travel. Because if you need to dominate
00:22:06.340
space, you have to be a nuclear nation, because everything in space is going to be nuclear powered,
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we expect. So if you don't have a really good domestic nuclear program, you can't have a good
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space program. And if you don't have a good space program, you basically are giving up. Because
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you're going to lose everything if you can't control space. So, you know, when you see that
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things are going in that direction, it's partly because the environment served up the opportunity.
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But even more than that, it's because people learn to essentialize the argument. So if you want to
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see somebody take the nuclear argument and simplify it, so every politician can understand it, you want
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to listen to Mark Schneider describe it. So he's probably the best in the business of simplifying,
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you know, what the argument is. Then, for those people who just need more science and more detail,
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I would say that the Michael Schellenberger approach really just closes the deal. Because
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Schellenberger comes in with all the data in the world, and he'll just basically sweep your
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arguments away like leaves. I like use that analogy twice in two days. So between the two of them,
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my God, they're so effective right now. Here's my insight on Ukraine, which I have not heard anybody say.
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Apparently, the U.S. has sent over or is sending over soon a written response to Putin's request
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for, you know, he has demanded a few things. So he's demanded that we say that NATO won't come to
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Ukraine and also that offensive weapons won't be put in Ukraine. Now, why is it that Putin is asking
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for a written response? Because it seems like they're making a bigger deal about the written
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part than I'm used to. Why is Putin asking for a written response? Why would anybody ask for a
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written response? Half of Ukraine, well, trust for the record, priming, not quite. No, those are all
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reasons, but not the reasons I'm looking for. Accountability to show the public you're getting
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close. All about the price of oil. Social media, contract, a document. Okay, let me tell you why.
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I think none of you got it right, but it's hard to read all the comments. So some of you might have
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gotten it right. Here's the reason you asked for something in writing. You ready? Because your argument
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is better than the other side. And you know that everybody will see it. It just has to be written
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down. Because right now we're just talking. And when you're talking, it's hard to really hold all the
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argument in your head at the same time and then decide what's going on. The person who asked you to put
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your response in writing is already the winner. He's already the winner because he asked for it in
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writing. And then what is the United States going to do? They're going to send a secret memo to Putin
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that you, the public, can't see. Why will the United States not show the United States public
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its own response? Why is that going to happen? Because it will be embarrassing.
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Putin's requests are not embarrassing, are they? Putin's saying, don't put an aggressive military
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entity in my backyard. Is that reasonable? Everybody thinks that's reasonable. It doesn't
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matter how anti-Russian you are. Literally everyone understands you don't want an offensive
00:26:16.940
force in your backyard. Everybody, right? So Putin is making the world's most reasonable request.
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Now, now hold on, hold on. I'm not pro-Putin. I'm not saying that he doesn't have tricks in his bag.
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I'm not saying that he's a good force. You know, just assume everything bad about Putin that you want
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to. But here's what you should not assume about Putin. And see if I can get agreement on this.
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He's not dumb. Am I right? I mean, he might be evil. He might be, you know, blah, blah, blah, blah.
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That's all fine. But nobody, nobody says he's dumb. Nobody in Russia says he's dumb. Nobody in the
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United States says he's dumb. Nobody in the world. In fact, have you ever, ever heard anybody say
00:27:08.440
Putin was dumb? No. He probably won't. So why would Putin make this written request? It's got to be
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right. And by the way, the news says that he, that Russia is likely to release the U.S. response.
00:27:24.140
Yes, they are likely to do that. Now they'll have to read it first because there might be some
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surprises in there. But I think what Putin is going to do is going to show the world what he asked for
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and that he's going to show the world the ridiculous response. He wins. He wins. Because
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we don't have an argument. What do you think is really behind all this? I think this is just
00:27:54.800
speculation, but strong speculation. I think that Putin knows that his argument can be made
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publicly because there's nothing hidden. You know, don't put offensive weapons in my backyard. Simple,
00:28:08.060
right? But don't you think that the American argument has some hidden variables?
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It does. The American argument has to have hidden variables because it would be too easy to reach a
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deal otherwise. Here's what the deal would look like if we wanted to make one. We will agree not to
00:28:29.920
put NATO, or not to accept Ukraine into NATO. We will agree not to put offensive weapons there.
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All you have to agree in return is that it's conditional on ceasing cyber attacks,
00:28:43.620
pulling your military back so you don't have an aggressive force that looks like an invasion force,
00:28:48.600
and don't do other destabilizing things. How hard would it be for the United States to make that
00:28:54.260
counteroffer? Oh, yeah, we can do both of these things, as long as you do some equally confidence
00:29:01.440
building things like, you know, get your troops away from the border and stop doing the cyber attacks.
00:29:07.380
Seriously, if those were the only variables that mattered, how hard would it be to reach a deal?
00:29:13.660
One day? There's literally nothing to disagree about. I mean, some details about what it looks
00:29:21.740
like to not be aggressive, I suppose. But we could go back on the deal anytime we wanted. We would be
00:29:27.820
giving up nothing. We could wait a week and say, well, there was another cyber attack, so I guess the
00:29:33.600
deal's off. Right? We could call the deal off anytime we wanted just by claiming there was a cyber attack,
00:29:40.380
even if there wasn't. I hate to say that. But even if there wasn't a cyber attack,
00:29:46.540
our government could say there was, and just say the deal is off. So if we can't make a deal that's
00:29:52.820
that easy to make, a deal that we can cancel like that, keep whatever we want, which is the ability to
00:30:00.480
defend Ukraine if we feel like it. Yeah. Does Congress have to approve this? I don't know the details of
00:30:09.720
that. But I think what you're going to expect is that our writing will look pathetic. Putin will
00:30:17.200
show it. And what he will show, here's the key to all this, what Putin will show is that our
00:30:24.520
governments are lying to us. And the way he will show that is that we can't make a deal that's simple
00:30:31.200
to make. And we're pretending that we would prefer a war with a nuclear power over making the simplest
00:30:39.720
deal that anybody could ever make. The simplest deal. The easiest deal. A deal that both sides
00:30:46.760
want their end of the deal. There's literally nothing to discuss. Unless, unless the United States
00:30:56.340
has a hidden variable, could be finance, could be economics, could have something to do with China or
00:31:03.380
Germany or some other country that we don't know about, right? But the thing that I can guarantee you is
00:31:11.440
that Putin's about to embarrass the United States. You want to take that bet? I wouldn't take that bet.
00:31:19.120
He's getting ready to totally face the United States, like just totally embarrass us. And it's
00:31:25.800
going to probably happen in the next couple of days. Just watch what happens. All right.
00:31:38.660
Here's my problem with, well, one of my many problems with the COVID mandates. Correct me if I'm wrong.
00:31:45.400
Give me a fact check on this. True or false. All of the mandates in place for masks and vaccines
00:31:52.080
were created during the last war, meaning the war against Delta.
00:32:00.120
Were there any mandates that were put in place, maybe a few, after we knew that Omicron was 99.5%
00:32:13.140
So here's all I would ask. It is not irrational for the government to say we're just continuing,
00:32:20.700
you know, continuing things because they work. Because they do have that argument.
00:32:24.820
They can make that argument. We'll talk about Alex Berenson in a minute.
00:32:28.300
But here's what I would ask for a good government
00:32:30.700
as a citizen. So this is just a citizen request.
00:32:48.240
The government needs to start from scratch and say,
00:32:55.800
Because that's the problem with the thinking right now.
00:33:02.920
to a completely different war. Omicron's just a whole different war.
00:33:07.720
doesn't necessarily need to change what it's doing.