Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1636 Scott Adams： The News is Delicious Today and So Are You. Get in Here

00:00:00.080 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best damn thing that's ever happened to you.

00:00:06.120 Now, I may have said that before, but this time I'm going to deliver,

00:00:10.720 because the news has been kind to us and given us great stories to talk about

00:00:15.180 while you're doing your morning exercise or morning coffee or whatever the hell you're doing this morning.

00:00:20.300 Just keep it up, though. I can tell from here you're doing a good job.

00:00:24.640 Come on, push it, push it. All right, good.

00:00:28.140 Now, if you'd like to take it up a notch, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gel,

00:00:33.700 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite beverage.

00:00:40.380 I like coffee.

00:00:42.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here in the day thing that makes everything better.

00:00:48.440 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:51.900 I think I had a little bit of a slurp with a sip.

00:01:02.600 Now, you want your sip to be pure without the slurp,

00:01:08.980 but up to a 10% sip-to-slurp ratio would still be acceptable.

00:01:15.880 Beyond 10%, ugh, nobody wants to be around you, if you know what I mean. 0.99

00:01:22.440 Babylon Bee has an important report, as you know.

00:01:26.400 The Babylon Bee is the last remaining credible publication.

00:01:32.560 And they've got a breaking story out of Sacramento.

00:01:34.620 So, daring midday train robberies are the latest phenomena to flourish in the Golden State.

00:01:41.760 These rail heists, along with a dearth of electricity and banishment of gas vehicles,

00:01:47.520 have led to California rebranding with a vintage Old West theme.

00:01:51.960 So, if you were thinking of taking the family to a nice summer vacation someplace that's like a theme park.

00:02:02.540 California used to be a bunch of traffic and high-tech stuff and movies and stuff and boring things.

00:02:11.060 But now we've got this whole Wild West thing.

00:02:14.520 We've got outdoor bathrooms, indoor plumbing, completely unnecessary.

00:02:20.920 We've got, yeah, we've got tribes living among us.

00:02:29.520 Pretty much an Old West theme.

00:02:32.240 So, yesterday, my stepdaughter mentioned some comments about something I had posted on Instagram.

00:02:40.560 And I said, I didn't post anything on Instagram.

00:02:44.800 And she said, yes, you did.

00:02:47.020 And I said, I didn't know if I posted something on Instagram.

00:02:52.640 And she said, you posted something on Instagram.

00:02:56.760 And then I said, what did I post on Instagram?

00:03:04.060 Well, apparently, you can pocket post.

00:03:08.360 Now, it wasn't really that bad.

00:03:09.860 I had considered posting.

00:03:12.200 And I recall preparing a post and then deleting it because it was too obnoxious.

00:03:18.980 Because once I saw it, I said to myself, you know, this seemed like a good idea.

00:03:24.300 But this is really a bad idea.

00:03:26.460 It's like a really bad idea.

00:03:28.920 Like, I didn't, it's sort of not reading the room right, if you know what I mean.

00:03:34.220 Sometimes things will be okay in a certain context, but not in another.

00:03:38.860 Well, this is one of those, shouldn't have been posted.

00:03:42.680 But, since it's already out there, I'm going to share it with you.

00:03:46.540 It was this picture.

00:03:47.440 I don't know if you'll be able to see it.

00:03:49.600 Well, you see this?

00:03:51.680 It's the interior of a vehicle.

00:03:55.700 And here's the back story.

00:03:58.600 I had been wanting to purchase an American vehicle.

00:04:03.860 And it took me the longest time.

00:04:06.060 You know, at one point, I tried to buy a truck from Ford.

00:04:09.520 But I never could pull the trigger because I have a rule that I've got to be able to drive the vehicle

00:04:15.200 or one like it before I'll purchase.

00:04:18.580 And that isn't an option.

00:04:20.540 You can't drive the, you can't even drive the truck you want to buy

00:04:24.060 or even one like it because they just don't carry them on the lots.

00:04:27.760 So I couldn't buy a truck.

00:04:29.860 Well, time goes by.

00:04:31.500 And, you know, I've been driving an SUV for a decade because it's just convenient for everything.

00:04:37.480 And I thought it was time for a smaller, fun American car.

00:04:43.280 And so I tried to buy a Mustang.

00:04:46.360 And it got caught right in the squeeze, the squeeze of the unavailability of cars.

00:04:52.960 But three months later, it got delivered.

00:04:57.720 And, you know, that's what it looks like.

00:04:59.200 That's the interior.

00:05:00.740 You can see it.

00:05:01.480 It's red seats.

00:05:03.460 And I have to tell you this just as a, like, context.

00:05:10.780 I'm not a car guy at all.

00:05:14.160 You know, when I, I used to think I might be as a kid.

00:05:16.800 But as soon as I had enough money that I could afford a car that I wanted, I kind of didn't care anymore.

00:05:24.140 Like, I realized there was something about the psychology of just owning nice things or something.

00:05:28.840 So it wasn't like a real basic biological need or anything.

00:05:32.580 So I've always just taken cars that did what I needed them to do.

00:05:38.140 Now, I've had mostly driven BMWs.

00:05:41.320 Here's the obnoxious part.

00:05:42.820 If you can get over that fact, I'm going to say some nice things about some American products here in a moment.

00:05:50.260 So I've had experience with nice, sporty, high-end cars.

00:05:56.100 But I wanted an American car.

00:05:58.320 And I'm just sort of in love with the way the Mustangs look, just the design.

00:06:03.100 I think Ford in general has the strongest design, maybe in the business right now, maybe in the business.

00:06:11.420 Would anybody agree with that?

00:06:13.720 Depending on whatever class of car you're looking at, I feel like theirs are better just to look at.

00:06:20.820 They just look better designed than other cars with similar, definitely better than all the Japanese cars. 1.00

00:06:27.660 There's not one Japanese car, in my opinion, that's competitive with Ford's line, just in terms of how they look.

00:06:36.680 Now, that could be also a cultural thing.

00:06:38.320 Maybe they just design better for American tastes.

00:06:41.680 But, so I get this car, and I didn't know what to expect, because I had never driven a Mustang.

00:06:48.320 And the first time I got in this thing, remember, I'm not a car guy.

00:06:56.460 I'm just not impressed by cars.

00:06:58.120 And when people show me their new car, I'm like, eh, that's great.

00:07:02.060 But I don't really care.

00:07:04.820 I just have no interest in cars whatsoever.

00:07:07.020 But I sat in this thing, and I had an experience.

00:07:13.020 Like, I had an experience.

00:07:14.260 And it doesn't wear off.

00:07:16.960 And let me tell you, this is the best way I can explain it.

00:07:21.400 If you're in a well-designed German vehicle, the vehicle, especially a BMW, it'll make you feel like there's no difference between the car and you.

00:07:32.400 Like, you just merge with a BMW.

00:07:35.920 It becomes just part of your body, almost.

00:07:39.540 So if you're driving a BMW, and you say, I'm here, but I want to be up there, you just sort of think it.

00:07:45.880 And the next thing you know, you're up there.

00:07:47.740 Like, there's no friction between your thoughts and the execution.

00:07:51.520 And so that's one thing that makes driving a BMW kind of thrilling, because you feel something that's bigger than just driving, if I can say it that way.

00:08:02.240 So I get in this car, and I'd never felt this feeling before, which was it was opposite of the feeling that the car was me.

00:08:11.380 The feeling was, I was partnering with a wild animal that temporarily, at least, was willing to do what I wanted it to do.

00:08:23.400 Oh, my God, is that exciting.

00:08:26.180 It is exciting.

00:08:28.220 Like, the feel of the engine, like the vibration, the color.

00:08:34.440 I mean, God, they nailed this.

00:08:37.360 I mean, I can't say enough about this.

00:08:39.640 So, American engineering, looking good.

00:08:45.820 All right, here's a good fake story from The Blaze.

00:08:49.620 Now, The Blaze is not responsible for the fakeness of the story.

00:08:53.700 So they were just reporting what the police reported.

00:08:56.540 All right?

00:08:57.440 So the police have reported this.

00:09:03.300 Allegedly.

00:09:03.780 There's a shocking cell phone video capturing the moment an armed robber shot at a man he had stopped on a busy Houston highway.

00:09:13.640 But police say he later accidentally shot himself in the head during a struggle.

00:09:20.840 Now, how do you interpret this story?

00:09:23.040 Do you think that there was a man in Houston who accidentally shot himself in the head?

00:09:28.500 Let me tell you how I interpret this story.

00:09:34.180 Did I mention that it's in Texas?

00:09:36.340 How would you interpret this story if it happened in Florida?

00:09:43.760 Now, if this happened in Florida, the way I'd imagine it was, oh, Florida man shoots himself in the head, that's just a Tuesday.

00:09:52.300 Right?

00:09:52.800 I mean, I have to think that in Florida there's probably eight to nine episodes of people shooting themselves in the head accidentally.

00:10:01.700 I mean, you're daily.

00:10:04.960 I mean, that's Florida.

00:10:06.260 That's like Florida man always does funny things.

00:10:09.440 But when you read this story in Texas about a man who, you know, pulled a gun on somebody else,

00:10:15.760 but in the heat of the struggle, the man who pulled the gun accidentally shot himself in the head in Texas,

00:10:24.840 well, there's at least one other way to interpret this.

00:10:28.800 And it goes like this.

00:10:31.700 Somebody pulled a gun in Texas, and it took three seconds for somebody else to put a bullet in his skull before he could pull the trigger himself.

00:10:42.000 The police arrive.

00:10:43.700 They see exactly what happened.

00:10:45.740 And they say, oh, did you take care of this?

00:10:48.080 Yeah, I just took care of that for you.

00:10:50.020 You know, the paperwork would be a lot easier if we just say he shot himself in the head.

00:10:55.500 You can go on with your day, sir.

00:10:57.720 Thank you for your service.

00:10:59.320 Thank you, officer.

00:11:00.100 Have a good day.

00:11:02.500 Make sure to reload.

00:11:04.240 You're a bullet short.

00:11:05.620 Ha! 0.89

00:11:06.120 I'll remember.

00:11:09.880 I don't know.

00:11:11.180 I don't know.

00:11:12.140 We're in that period where you don't trust anything about anything.

00:11:15.380 So I'm just saying, if this had been a Florida story, I would have seen it differently.

00:11:20.840 In the most important news of the day, Disney has decided that Minnie Mouse will no longer be in her iconic little skirt,

00:11:29.340 but rather will be wearing a pantsuit.

00:11:31.960 That's right.

00:11:34.360 Minnie Mouse will now be in a pantsuit.

00:11:36.580 Now, I don't know if there's any truth to the rumor that Hillary Clinton is secretly running the government from behind the scenes. 1.00

00:11:48.060 But when I see Disney put Minnie Mouse in a pantsuit, I start to think it's a possibility.

00:11:58.160 We're not done with this story.

00:11:59.520 A lot of people say that Disney went too far.

00:12:05.480 Went too far.

00:12:07.380 That's not my take.

00:12:08.340 I think they did not go far enough.

00:12:10.140 I think that they need to start specifying her sexual preference. 0.53

00:12:16.460 Now, putting her in pantsuits, I get it.

00:12:18.640 I get it.

00:12:19.960 I received the hint.

00:12:21.860 Wink, wink.

00:12:22.680 We know what you're trying to say, but this is 2022, Disney.

00:12:26.960 You can just say it.

00:12:28.780 She may or may not be a lesbian.

00:12:32.600 Doesn't matter, because it's 2022.

00:12:35.840 But I feel like you should specify.

00:12:38.220 You know, don't hint at it.

00:12:40.720 Just go right at it.

00:12:42.880 Now, one of the critics of this move was Candace Owens, who, correct me if I'm wrong. 0.98

00:12:51.060 Give me a fact check.

00:12:52.640 Candace Owens wears a lot of pantsuits. 1.00

00:12:54.620 Am I right?

00:12:56.460 However, she can definitely pull them off.

00:12:59.660 Well, no, that's the wrong way to put it.

00:13:01.740 She can pull it off, meaning she can pull off the look.

00:13:04.540 I'm sure I'll be quoted down in context there.

00:13:09.960 But, so, if you can make it work, and she definitely does. 0.84

00:13:19.200 But she had some things to say about that.

00:13:22.140 Now, I think we need a trans mouse as well.

00:13:25.180 So, two mice, two mice is, I don't think two mice is enough.

00:13:33.600 Two mice does not represent all of the mice in the public.

00:13:38.060 And I think we need, we should definitely have an LGBTQ, a whole range of mice to do this right. 1.00

00:13:46.120 Now, by the way, I don't want to give away some secrets here.

00:13:54.860 But I met Candace Owens once at that Fox News thing. 0.98

00:14:00.200 We were both on the same day.

00:14:03.140 So, she came over and introduced herself. 0.76

00:14:06.420 And I've got to say, she was one of the warmest people you'll ever meet in your life.

00:14:10.320 Like, you know how some people, you meet them and you just instantly, you just instantly like them.

00:14:16.640 She has that thing, that kind of charisma that just lights up her room. 0.99

00:14:22.400 So, she definitely has the real thing.

00:14:26.580 But, anyway, that's the Minnie Mouse story.

00:14:29.940 Now, here's a question about DeSantis.

00:14:31.920 DeSantis, and this is really interesting to me because DeSantis is a, in my opinion, he's a near legendary good decision maker.

00:14:43.480 Would anybody disagree with that?

00:14:45.540 Now, of course, if you're on the left, you disagree with everything he does.

00:14:49.320 But within the context of a, you know, Republican candidate, my goodness, he makes good decisions.

00:14:56.440 They're compatible and smart and defensible and makes them work and all that stuff.

00:15:01.920 So, here's the thing that is a challenge to that.

00:15:06.800 And I'm not sure which way to take this.

00:15:09.640 So, here's a tweet by Alexander Nazarian, who tweeted that,

00:15:15.160 At a press conference today, DeSantis attempted to make it seem as if there were enough Delta cases in Florida to justify the use of Regeneron, which is totally ineffective, against Omicron.

00:15:26.960 And then he goes on, according to the CDC, however, Omicron accounts for more than 99% of cases.

00:15:34.840 All right.

00:15:35.960 So, who's right?

00:15:39.300 If, let's say we have evidence that Regeneron is useless against Omicron, but did work against Delta,

00:15:47.720 but 99%, maybe more by now, of cases are Omicron.

00:15:53.740 So, I guess the authorization has been pulled.

00:15:59.220 And one of the things that DeSantis says is you can't tell what somebody has when they come in.

00:16:04.720 But the CDC does say 99-plus percent are Omicron.

00:16:11.440 All right.

00:16:11.940 So, who is the better decision-maker?

00:16:14.440 The tweeter who seems to be criticizing it, or DeSantis himself?

00:16:20.100 So, here's the argument.

00:16:22.360 On one hand, does it make sense to use a drug that you know is 99% going to be useless?

00:16:30.320 That's the point.

00:16:33.160 And not only 99%, but that 99% is going to go to 100% like by the time we're done talking.

00:16:39.080 Right?

00:16:39.440 So, the usefulness of it will basically just vanish.

00:16:44.480 So, that's a pretty good argument.

00:16:46.300 Right?

00:16:46.940 Now, here's what I...

00:16:48.680 I don't want to do any mind reading, but I'll give an argument.

00:16:51.980 I guess this would be my own argument that also agrees with DeSantis in its own way.

00:16:58.740 Here's the counter-argument.

00:17:00.320 None of our data has been correct yet.

00:17:07.000 All right.

00:17:07.700 So, 99%...

00:17:09.000 The CDC says 99% plus of everything is Omicron.

00:17:13.560 Here's the counter-argument.

00:17:15.360 None of our data has been right.

00:17:17.320 None of it.

00:17:18.740 Name anything that's been right.

00:17:21.300 Do you think we're so precise that we can get 99?

00:17:23.980 I mean, and is the 99 also in Florida?

00:17:29.360 Or is the 99...

00:17:31.280 Yeah, I guess it would be everywhere if it's 99.

00:17:33.200 Yeah.

00:17:33.920 So, forget that part.

00:17:35.120 And then, why wouldn't you help the 1%? 0.93

00:17:41.580 Is Regeneron so dangerous that if you gave it to 100 people and only one of them needed it,

00:17:50.600 that that would be worse than not giving it to anybody?

00:17:54.140 So, I actually don't know the right answer to this one.

00:17:58.160 But I think DeSantis has a better argument than is represented by his critic here.

00:18:04.220 What do you think?

00:18:06.380 Does it make sense?

00:18:08.800 Or is DeSantis just making a political point that's sort of data-free?

00:18:15.480 Yeah, the best argument is that the data is all incorrect,

00:18:18.640 and why wouldn't you try to fix the 1% and leave it to your doctor?

00:18:22.440 And, you know, maybe if the symptoms are extreme, that's the only case you even try it.

00:18:28.280 Because, you know, that's where it makes sense.

00:18:29.920 I don't know.

00:18:30.940 It's a good question.

00:18:31.740 I wonder if DeSantis got this one wrong.

00:18:34.440 It's hard to say.

00:18:35.980 Well, Denmark is doubling down on its February 1 thing, getting rid of their mandates.

00:18:43.840 And they're saying that Denmark no longer classifies COVID-19 as a, quote,

00:18:49.420 socially critical disease.

00:18:51.720 All restrictions will be lifted February 1st.

00:18:55.080 Boom.

00:18:56.280 Boom.

00:18:56.740 So I gave you some updates from visiting a place I didn't specify in which there was very little masking indoors.

00:19:12.440 Yesterday, I returned to that same place, and the 50% masking went to about 25.

00:19:19.780 So in one day, that one place went from about half-masked to 25% masked.

00:19:29.640 And, yeah.

00:19:30.920 And I'm not saying that I had anything to do with it,

00:19:36.240 but I can tell you, you can definitely tell what people's politics are when you walk through a crowded space,

00:19:41.560 and there's a mix of masked and unmasked.

00:19:44.020 Have you seen that yet?

00:19:44.860 You go into a space, and you're like, Republican, Republican, Democrat, Republican, Democrat, Republican.

00:19:54.060 It's pretty easy now, isn't it?

00:19:57.560 All right.

00:19:58.580 So I don't know if February 1st is we're going to hit it,

00:20:01.720 but let's talk about some more thinking.

00:20:07.600 One of the things I see a lot is, why did we shut down the world for something that has a 99.9% chance of survival?

00:20:17.640 Most of you think that way, right?

00:20:19.320 Why did we shut everything down if there was a 99-whatever percent chance of survival?

00:20:24.840 Well, first of all, that's an average.

00:20:27.740 So the chance of survival if you were over 70 was not so good.

00:20:33.220 I mean, that was, you know, a few percentages, more than 1%.

00:20:38.060 But still, you know, if they didn't have long to live, you could protect them, et cetera.

00:20:46.040 So it's a perfectly reasonable point.

00:20:48.160 Why would you shut things down if there was a 99.9% chance of surviving it?

00:20:54.360 And I say that's a good point, and here is an additional point.

00:20:58.940 So this additional point does not refute the first point.

00:21:03.540 It's just additional.

00:21:05.400 And it goes like this.

00:21:07.900 Do you want a 50% chance of ruining one year of your life?

00:21:14.240 Because if you get COVID, there's about a 50% chance you'll have long haul,

00:21:18.700 which could take you out for six months.

00:21:21.560 Now, if you get taken out for six months, it kind of screws up your whole year.

00:21:24.920 I had that experience of, you know, I had my prednisone experience.

00:21:31.020 It took me out for about six months.

00:21:32.640 Like, for six months, I struggled.

00:21:34.160 But it kind of ruins your whole year, right?

00:21:38.160 So would you do extreme things to stop half of the public from losing a year of quality life?

00:21:48.180 Now, if you say no to that, that's a reasonable answer.

00:21:53.660 It's reasonable.

00:21:54.820 It's reasonable to say yes or no, but it's not reasonable to ignore it.

00:21:59.440 So the only thing I want to add to this is don't ignore it.

00:22:04.480 Scott, we've been locked down for two years.

00:22:06.880 Right.

00:22:07.560 And that's part of the analysis, right?

00:22:10.300 So part of the analysis is that being locked down has its own set of costs.

00:22:14.640 You know, we all know that.

00:22:16.080 So I'm not giving you an opinion.

00:22:18.460 I'm just saying that you should throw that in there.

00:22:20.300 And the way I would calculate it is, yes, your odds of dying are low.

00:22:25.920 Your odds of getting messed up for a year are pretty good.

00:22:29.620 And, you know, that can affect your relationships.

00:22:33.460 Imagine being sick for a year.

00:22:35.480 What's that do to your relationships and your career?

00:22:38.660 It's kind of messed up.

00:22:40.320 So don't ignore that risk.

00:22:42.240 I'm just saying, you know, I'm not trying to change your mind or anything.

00:22:46.320 You always think I'm trying to persuade you.

00:22:47.680 I'm not.

00:22:48.540 I'm not.

00:22:49.000 I'm just saying don't forget that risk.

00:22:51.200 All right.

00:22:51.420 The COVID Olympics are coming up in China.

00:22:55.420 Of the 4,000 or so arrivals so far, they have spotted 129 cases of COVID.

00:23:03.200 That's what's been reported.

00:23:04.400 And at different intervals, some of them have been within the exclusion zone.

00:23:10.060 So apparently, you get tested pretty hard and stuff before you can even get into the zone where the athletes are.

00:23:18.800 But even within the zone, at least 50 of them have been found within what they call the closed loop since January 4th.

00:23:26.480 Now, here's my, let's see, logic and math question for you.

00:23:37.520 If you believe that the vaccinations themselves are dangerous and that the athletes have been known to be dropping dead from them,

00:23:46.520 what would you expect, how many people would you expect to die of the professional athletes and of 4,000?

00:23:52.560 If all 4,000 people compete hard the entire time and go home and nobody dropped dead,

00:24:01.860 would that change your mind about the risk of the vaccinations?

00:24:05.080 Because they're all highly vaccinated.

00:24:08.220 Would it?

00:24:10.120 Suppose there were zero deaths.

00:24:12.460 Would you find that statistically meaningful?

00:24:14.760 Because we know that these, we get reports of athletes dropping so often that you think you would see them.

00:24:24.360 All right.

00:24:26.000 How many are catching me at my trick?

00:24:28.740 What's the trick?

00:24:30.700 All right.

00:24:31.000 Here's the trick.

00:24:31.700 I was trying to lure you into a trap.

00:24:34.440 You can't compare 4,000 athletes over two weeks with hundreds of thousands of athletes over years.

00:24:41.660 That's not any kind of a fair comparison.

00:24:46.060 So it wouldn't matter how many people died or didn't die during the Olympics.

00:24:49.260 It wouldn't tell you anything about the real world.

00:24:51.680 Well, let me take that back.

00:24:53.240 If five people dropped dead during the Olympics, yeah, that would tell you a lot.

00:24:57.260 That would tell you a lot.

00:24:59.540 But if zero people dropped dead during the Olympics, that won't tell you anything.

00:25:04.460 Do you get that?

00:25:05.760 Because the Olympics are really just 4,000 athletes over two weeks.

00:25:10.000 You wouldn't expect, even if the vaccination was dangerous, you wouldn't expect anybody to die in that limited little time window.

00:25:17.860 So you can't compare that to all athletes all over the world, you know, high school, professional, college, running all day long for two years.

00:25:26.940 Yeah, that's a different situation.

00:25:28.900 Anyway, the reason I bring that up is because I think I had misleadingly asked that question before without clarifying it was a dumb question.

00:25:36.740 How many people think that the gigantic surge in Israel of both deaths, their deaths of COVID are way up, and also they're not way up above previous highs, but they're up, but their infection rate is just through the roof?

00:25:53.760 They're highly vaccinated, infections through the roof, just way through the roof, and at the same time, deaths are up too.

00:26:02.380 That tells you that vaccinations, what, work or don't work?

00:26:07.120 Boom, tell me.

00:26:08.680 Israel is the most vaccinated, and also infections through the roof, and death rates climbing.

00:26:15.660 Bad news or good news?

00:26:17.300 Bad news or good news?

00:26:21.720 Here's the point to counterpoint.

00:26:24.200 On its surface, looks like pretty bad news.

00:26:26.940 Would you agree that on the surface, if that's all you knew, it's pretty bad news?

00:26:34.100 Everybody on the same page so far?

00:26:35.880 If that's all you know, and there's nothing else to the story, it looks pretty bad.

00:26:42.040 Here's the other thing to know.

00:26:44.820 There are is almost one.

00:26:49.740 It's come way down.

00:26:50.860 Now, translation, that means that they have compressed, remember I just talked about how

00:26:58.240 you can't compare athletes over two years, can't compare athletes over two years with

00:27:05.420 athletes over two weeks.

00:27:07.300 What did Omicron do?

00:27:09.460 Omicron is so spready, it took what would have been a longer pandemic and compressed it into

00:27:16.000 two weeks.

00:27:16.620 Once, Israel is almost done. 0.91

00:27:23.500 They're almost done.

00:27:25.160 That high spike, in all likelihood, is going to go up, up, up, up, up, up, up, bam, right

00:27:32.700 to the ground.

00:27:33.980 In all likelihood, that is going to drop like a rock in about a week, because the R is approaching

00:27:41.260 one, and they've been tracking that the whole time as it drops.

00:27:44.060 Now, their hospitals are still doing okay.

00:27:49.340 They did not impose economic, you know, any restrictions.

00:27:56.060 So Israel may have, don't know yet, it's too early to say, so if you say it's too early,

00:28:03.820 I agree with you.

00:28:04.500 But they are on the verge of maybe nailing this thing like nobody nailed it.

00:28:11.640 Or the vaccinations don't work.

00:28:14.520 We'll know in about a week.

00:28:16.540 So in a week or so, if you don't see that curve just drop straight down, because everything

00:28:21.460 just got compressed, that's what it should do.

00:28:23.880 But if that doesn't happen, well, then Israel just made all the wrong decisions, or at least 0.78

00:28:30.240 this one was wrong, right?

00:28:32.660 Would you agree with my setup that if Israel didn't lock down, so they didn't have an economic 0.80

00:28:40.600 hit, they didn't crash their hospitals, they compressed their entire pandemic into two

00:28:46.160 weeks, said, let's just take it now, get it over with, boom, boom.

00:28:50.860 If they get it on the other side of this in two weeks, they win.

00:28:55.840 They won.

00:28:57.300 Would you agree with me?

00:28:58.680 Now, of course, that still doesn't count, to be fair, any long-term effect of being vaccinated

00:29:05.380 itself.

00:29:06.900 But, oh man, this is the, yeah, this is the most exciting part of the pandemic.

00:29:14.260 Israel may have done it. 0.96

00:29:15.640 Now, I would, if you want to see more on that argument, I would refer to you to a David

00:29:21.320 Boxenhorn tweet thread that shows you the data that backs up what I just said.

00:29:27.260 So look for David Boxenhorn, who's also a really good follow, by the way.

00:29:31.380 He's got lots of good stuff on Twitter.

00:29:34.620 You can find him in my Twitter thread from yesterday, I think.

00:29:38.680 Justice Breyer looks like he's going to retire, so he'll be opening in the Supreme Court.

00:29:45.640 How much does it suck for Biden that all he gets to do is replace a liberal?

00:29:51.600 You know, there's no accounting for luck.

00:29:55.840 So Trump gets to be president, you know, when he can change the nature of the court.

00:30:01.000 It looks like Biden will get to be president when he can basically break even, just break

00:30:05.980 even, that's it.

00:30:09.240 I'll tell you what I, here's a good reason you don't want me to be president.

00:30:12.300 If I were president, I would advocate adding one justice, so it's 10, and balancing them

00:30:23.740 liberal and conservative.

00:30:25.580 So if there were too many conservatives, I'd add a liberal, and I'd try to balance them

00:30:29.180 five and five.

00:30:29.860 Now, I wouldn't require it of anybody else, but that would be what I'd do, I'd balance

00:30:35.900 it.

00:30:36.100 And here's why.

00:30:37.080 If you can't get one person from the other side to side with you, maybe you shouldn't

00:30:42.140 do it.

00:30:43.880 Maybe you shouldn't do it.

00:30:45.580 If you can't get one person to side with you, maybe you shouldn't do it.

00:30:49.980 Now, I get that that would not give conservatives as much as they want.

00:30:55.840 I get that.

00:30:56.420 No, it's a bad take if you prefer a Republican agenda.

00:31:02.740 Here's the backing of it.

00:31:05.680 In all things, I would back the system over the decision.

00:31:10.700 So let me explain that.

00:31:12.360 As president, hypothetically, I wouldn't want to be president.

00:31:15.460 But as president, I would always back the system over the specific decision.

00:31:20.320 That's what Kyrsten Sinema just did. 0.99

00:31:23.140 So Senator Sinema decided to back the system by not getting rid of the, what do you call

00:31:31.660 it, the thing where they talk too much.

00:31:35.880 So backing the system, the filibuster, thank you.

00:31:40.780 So Senator Sinema backed the system over the decision.

00:31:44.420 And she actually wanted the decision to go that way.

00:31:47.320 She actually voted against her own preference to protect the system. 0.89

00:31:51.360 I think the Supreme Court's credibility is lower than it should be for our healthy system.

00:31:59.620 And I would vote for keeping the health of the system over the specific decision.

00:32:07.260 But I would also totally respect someone who just wants the right decisions.

00:32:14.680 There's nothing crazy about that.

00:32:16.840 Nothing crazy about wanting good decisions that, you know, agree with you.

00:32:20.760 I'm just saying that as president, you wouldn't always get your way.

00:32:24.660 You just wouldn't.

00:32:25.740 But that's true of every president, right?

00:32:27.880 Name a president who gives everybody what they want.

00:32:30.000 You're not going to get that president.

00:32:31.000 I would just be consistent and say, look, if it's ever a question of the system versus

00:32:36.080 the specific output, I'm just going to go with the system because this is more important.

00:32:41.800 And then I would never get a second term.

00:32:45.500 All right.

00:32:45.800 So Biden has said that he will only consider for the Supreme Court a black female candidate.

00:32:53.660 Now, as you know, I've been identifying as black for some time, primarily for the benefits. 0.99

00:33:01.240 And also because I, you know, relate, having been discriminated for employment a number of times.

00:33:08.480 So I certainly identify with anybody who says the culture is discriminated against them economically.

00:33:14.480 I get that.

00:33:15.820 Been there too many times.

00:33:17.580 However, I realize that my strategy is lacking and it would be much smarter for me to upgrade

00:33:24.120 my self-identification, which I do today.

00:33:26.980 So as of today, I identify as a black female.

00:33:31.480 Now, I know it's a long shot that Joe Biden would nominate me to the Supreme Court.

00:33:37.200 I don't really have a legal background and probably don't agree with everything he would like to do.

00:33:43.320 But unlike the rest of you losers who have no chance whatsoever, unless you're also a black woman. 1.00

00:33:54.800 So it's just me and the rest of the rest of my sisters, all the other black women. 0.93

00:34:01.940 We have a shot still.

00:34:03.620 So I just don't like to ever be out of the conversation.

00:34:06.060 It would be one thing to say, well, we prefer not picking you, Scott, for the Supreme Court.

00:34:14.620 And by the way, do you know you can't spell SCOTUS without Scott?

00:34:19.480 They only use one T, but I don't hold that against them.

00:34:23.000 Yeah, you can't spell SCOTUS without Scott.

00:34:26.120 And without us.

00:34:27.840 And without us.

00:34:28.620 Hey, I just realized that that's what this is.

00:34:33.700 It's Scott and us.

00:34:36.960 We are the Supreme Court of the United States for all practical purposes, because that's how it works.

00:34:43.780 Well, sorry, you don't have a chance to be in the Supreme Court, but my odds are still looking good.

00:34:50.440 All right.

00:34:52.540 According to Rasmussen Poll, 55% of voters believe the Dems or Democrats are too liberal.

00:34:58.620 Generally speaking, 100% of our data says that Democrats are going to get shellacked in 2022.

00:35:07.060 But do you think that the shellacking they're likely to get in 2022 will be the reason that they might win in 2024?

00:35:15.780 Because the country does like a divided government.

00:35:18.320 We do like that divided government thing.

00:35:20.060 I've got a feeling that the Democrats would have a real good case if they lost, you know, the Congress entirely,

00:35:28.500 that they would have to say, well, you can't lose the presidency, too.

00:35:32.100 That's too far.

00:35:33.220 That would be pretty motivating for their base.

00:35:36.140 So I think it's going to be tough for a Republican to get through that wall.

00:35:40.440 There is a new kind of doctor that I was exposed to twice today.

00:35:47.080 I'll call them the LOL doctors, where you say something that you think seems perfectly reasonable,

00:35:55.960 and a doctor chimes in on Twitter with, LOL, no, to which I say, oh, okay.

00:36:04.700 You know, I grant the superior expertise of the LOL doctors, and I thank you for your service.

00:36:13.500 Because what I said was that if you could quickly test, if there were some available over-the-counter tests,

00:36:20.100 for vitamin D, and you just tested everybody for vitamin D, then the pandemic would be over.

00:36:27.000 And a medical doctor came in and said, LOL, no.

00:36:30.180 I was like, oh, okay. Well, now I see why my idea wouldn't work.

00:36:35.880 Because at first I was thinking, well, this is perfectly reasonable,

00:36:38.400 because of the high correlation between vitamin D and bad outcomes.

00:36:42.340 If you knew who was susceptible, not only could you try to give them vitamin D,

00:36:47.300 that might help a little bit, but more importantly, you would know who was at greatest risk,

00:36:52.100 so they could take greater care.

00:36:54.280 And I thought that made sense, given the data that I'd seen.

00:36:56.640 But the counter-argument to that is, LOL, no.

00:37:02.440 So I bow to their expertise.

00:37:06.200 Well, here's a gigantic surprise.

00:37:09.580 The U.S. decided to give Russia absolutely nothing it asked for,

00:37:14.280 despite asking for totally reasonable things.

00:37:16.720 Why?

00:37:20.480 Why is it?

00:37:22.480 Oh, I'm sorry.

00:37:23.340 I didn't talk about Kamala Harris being potentially a Supreme Court pick. 0.88

00:37:29.240 Jack Posobiec has some reporting that says it's not even been discussed,

00:37:33.480 and he has pretty good sources.

00:37:35.140 So I don't think there's any chance that Kamala Harris will be the Supreme Court pick. 0.96

00:37:39.160 But it would be funny to imagine her running into Brett Kavanaugh in the break room,

00:37:46.340 if you know what I mean.

00:37:48.980 Hey, Brett, no hard feelings.

00:37:52.320 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, cackle.

00:37:54.560 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.

00:37:58.220 That's how I imagined it would go.

00:38:00.500 Anyway, back to Russia and Ukraine.

00:38:03.380 So why do you think that the U.S. offered basically nothing except a willingness for open dialogue?

00:38:10.540 Why would they not be willing to have Russia completely stand down,

00:38:16.060 which is what I imagine we would ask in return, and stop hacking?

00:38:21.260 Why would we not take that deal, unless there's something we don't know?

00:38:26.600 Or, here's the other possibility.

00:38:28.720 So I'm going to give Biden a benefit of a doubt.

00:38:34.640 And I would have done this for Trump.

00:38:38.280 Okay?

00:38:39.200 I would have given the benefit of a doubt to Trump,

00:38:42.220 so I'm just going to extend the same courtesy to Biden.

00:38:45.620 It could be the people who are smarter than I am on Russia,

00:38:51.040 which would be almost anybody who spent five minutes trying to be smarter than me on Russia.

00:38:55.740 It could be that the smart people just know that Russia can't do anything,

00:39:01.500 and that we basically have Putin by the balls,

00:39:05.140 and as long as we have him by the balls, we just don't even have to agree to anything,

00:39:09.480 and that maybe that's just the best way to handle it.

00:39:13.140 Because I don't think there's any chance that Putin's going to invade,

00:39:17.440 because the financial repercussions would be devastating.

00:39:21.000 I don't think there's any chance.

00:39:22.240 So it could be that the Biden administration is simply confident that it's a bluff,

00:39:28.120 and they don't have to give anything.

00:39:31.480 So even though, in my opinion, what they're being asked to give is so minimal,

00:39:36.580 it's laughably nothing, maybe we don't have to give anything.

00:39:40.940 And if you can get away with giving nothing, well, it shows strength, doesn't it?

00:39:45.980 Would you disagree?

00:39:46.920 It does show strength to say, how about we give you nothing?

00:39:52.400 Go ahead.

00:39:53.920 You think you want to invade?

00:39:55.860 It's the end of your regime.

00:39:57.960 Go ahead.

00:39:59.180 That does show strength.

00:40:02.360 Now, do you think I've gone too far?

00:40:05.960 Do you think that that's too much of a benefit of a doubt?

00:40:08.520 I don't know.

00:40:12.860 I'm actually confused, and I don't like the lack of transparency here.

00:40:17.940 Because, you know, yeah, maybe there's some state secrets we've got to maintain,

00:40:22.180 or military, I don't know, the way we frame it might be important for our future,

00:40:28.780 I guess, maybe.

00:40:30.100 But I don't know why Russia can just say what they want, and we can't. 0.93

00:40:33.660 Why is it that Putin can say in public what he wants, and we can't?

00:40:38.520 Like, ours has to be the secret, or we won't agree with anything.

00:40:42.880 I don't know.

00:40:43.180 It makes us look weak that our government can't be transparent, and Putin can't.

00:40:50.120 That makes you look pretty weak.

00:40:51.860 Now, apparently, the Russia-China association is strong enough that China is backing Russia, essentially.

00:41:00.300 And, I don't know, maybe it's too late.

00:41:06.120 Maybe it's too late to put Russia in our camp, and Biden is just saying,

00:41:09.460 all right, Russia is basically just China now, so don't give him anything.

00:41:14.220 You know, how long before we see Putin as a puppet of Russia, of China?

00:41:20.580 Because he might be already.

00:41:22.440 It's kind of weird that he's doing this now, just when China wants some pressure off of China.

00:41:27.440 It's a little coordinated, or coincidental, or something.

00:41:35.460 But every time I see something that looks like it's exactly what China would want to happen, 0.99

00:41:42.060 you have to wonder if they actually caused it, or if it's a coincidence.

00:41:45.180 Well, according to some reporting by Axios, the commander-in-chief of the United States is Tucker Carlson.

00:41:55.760 And by that, I mean that Axios reports that behind the scenes,

00:42:00.200 the Republicans are being very influenced by his opinion on let's not get into a war with Russia.

00:42:06.540 And I believe that, in effect, because we have this, you know,

00:42:14.440 a country that's kind of balanced left and right, Democrats and Republicans,

00:42:19.020 that you can't really go to a slow-motion war, one that's not a surprise.

00:42:25.420 You know, and Ukraine's a slow-motion war.

00:42:27.400 If anything happens, it won't be any surprise.

00:42:29.820 You can't get into a slow-motion war without the public on your side.

00:42:34.160 Am I right?

00:42:34.700 Like, that would be a big mistake.

00:42:38.120 You know, it would be one thing if it's, you know, sudden,

00:42:41.480 and you want your government to take control,

00:42:43.620 because you don't want it to be in a committee situation.

00:42:46.240 But if you have lots of time to think, and the public is informed,

00:42:50.160 and we're all watching the same stuff, the public needs to be on board.

00:42:55.160 And I think Tucker has made sure that the Republicans won't be,

00:42:59.000 because he is influential enough to do that.

00:43:02.520 And I think he has.

00:43:03.280 I think that his argument is strong enough, and his platform is big enough,

00:43:08.120 and he is credible enough, that when he says,

00:43:12.500 this is crazy, don't let them talk you into war again,

00:43:15.580 that Republicans are going to say no.

00:43:18.160 They're going to agree with him. 0.57

00:43:19.800 So, in effect, Tucker Carlson is going to decide if we go to war.

00:43:23.760 That's not even an exaggeration, is it?

00:43:27.720 You tell me.

00:43:28.860 Is that hyperbole?

00:43:30.540 Or is that just a statement of fact that Tucker Carlson literally will decide if we're going to war?

00:43:36.460 I think that's happening.

00:43:38.180 And I'm not exaggerating.

00:43:40.760 Likewise,

00:43:41.240 our domestic agenda is basically determined by Manchin and Sinema.

00:43:46.520 Am I wrong?

00:43:49.160 We have two people in charge of the domestic stuff, Manchin and Sinema.

00:43:53.760 We have one person in charge of the military decisions.

00:43:57.340 You know, he's got the veto.

00:43:58.880 It's the Tucker Carlson veto, basically.

00:44:00.900 And we have Joe Rogan, who's now the Surgeon General.

00:44:09.560 And here's what's weird.

00:44:13.440 Let me say it again, and then let me summarize it.

00:44:17.840 I'm not making this up.

00:44:20.080 This is actually our reality right now.

00:44:24.960 That at this moment,

00:44:26.140 Tucker Carlson is the Commander-in-Chief for all practical purposes.

00:44:29.360 Manchin and Sinema are running the domestic agenda,

00:44:33.400 and Joe Rogan is the Surgeon General.

00:44:35.500 I mean, Joe Rogan has as much control about what happens to the outcome of the pandemic as anybody else.

00:44:43.780 Now, here's the funny part.

00:44:46.260 It kind of works.

00:44:48.620 That's the funny part.

00:44:50.640 If you think I'm complaining,

00:44:53.240 no, no.

00:44:55.620 You know, we've all been wondering who's really running the country.

00:44:59.360 You know, because we feel like Biden isn't the strong leader,

00:45:02.780 you know, in control of all of his faculties.

00:45:05.580 So we've been wondering who's running the country.

00:45:07.760 And we actually, it's right in front of us.

00:45:10.520 It's right in front of us.

00:45:12.880 That's who's running the country.

00:45:14.700 And you know, the weird part is,

00:45:16.260 it's working.

00:45:16.840 And that's the great thing about the republic.

00:45:20.700 And I think this is severely undervalued.

00:45:26.000 The republic is super flexible.

00:45:28.560 Have you noticed that?

00:45:29.980 That, you know, during the pandemic,

00:45:32.980 the republic said,

00:45:34.860 how about we give our president these weird, unusual powers to do executive orders?

00:45:40.240 Right?

00:45:40.520 Like, the public just invented a new power,

00:45:44.940 gave it to the president.

00:45:46.600 I mean, the president was going to take it,

00:45:48.180 but only with our permission.

00:45:50.080 We sort of, by a consensus,

00:45:53.640 gave permission to make executive orders

00:45:55.760 outside of what we would normally accept.

00:45:58.380 And then we said,

00:45:59.620 oh, that worked out pretty well.

00:46:01.380 Right?

00:46:02.160 I mean, the republic is super, super flexible.

00:46:05.800 Like, we respond to stuff like almost a creature.

00:46:10.500 It's kind of awesome.

00:46:13.540 Anyway, I've got a new hashtag to represent the fact that

00:46:18.500 the people leading the country are the people we trust.

00:46:22.720 It's hashtag no Joe.

00:46:24.920 Because we've got leadership without Joe Rogan.

00:46:27.500 I'm sorry, without, we do have Joe Rogan.

00:46:30.040 We have leadership without Joe Biden.

00:46:33.580 So it's sort of a no Joe situation.

00:46:36.020 You've heard of somebody being a no-show?

00:46:39.200 He's a no-jo. 1.00

00:46:46.540 Yes, somebody on local is saying that

00:46:49.440 a big part of my premise is that the public

00:46:52.740 operates like a beast.

00:46:57.760 At least in America.

00:46:59.360 Now, I don't know that that's the case if you've got,

00:47:02.260 I would imagine it's not the case.

00:47:03.620 If you have a dictatorship,

00:47:05.420 the dictator does what the dictator does, right?

00:47:07.520 Maybe a small group of people influencing.

00:47:09.960 But in this country,

00:47:11.300 especially connected by social media,

00:47:15.620 there are people who do what I do,

00:47:19.100 which is sort of opinion-y people.

00:47:21.540 They sort of concentrate people's opinions,

00:47:24.300 and people gravitate to certain people's opinions.

00:47:26.580 You know, the Joe Rogans, Tim Poole's.

00:47:30.320 It's still legacy media as well.

00:47:32.800 And then somehow there's also,

00:47:35.020 then there's a second level of negotiation.

00:47:38.800 Right?

00:47:39.240 So the first level of negotiation is

00:47:41.100 information hits the public,

00:47:43.080 and it's just in this big stew.

00:47:44.460 And then the opinion-makers,

00:47:47.900 such as myself,

00:47:49.780 Tucker Carlson, Joe Rogan,

00:47:51.720 you know, I'm obviously the small version of that.

00:47:55.300 But the opinion-makers then start to harden opinions.

00:47:59.140 And then the public,

00:48:00.080 in this big roiling boil of soup,

00:48:02.600 they start to harden around certain opinions.

00:48:05.300 And then the opinion-makers

00:48:06.740 start negotiating with each other.

00:48:08.880 Am I right?

00:48:09.460 Because you'll see me say,

00:48:12.820 oh, somebody on Joe Rogan

00:48:15.220 said something I don't agree with.

00:48:17.140 Or Tim Poole would say something I said

00:48:19.240 doesn't agree with.

00:48:20.360 So you see the opinion-makers

00:48:21.540 start to negotiate with each other.

00:48:23.800 And then the public watches them negotiate.

00:48:26.640 And then they, you know,

00:48:27.880 in some cases they'll change teams and stuff.

00:48:30.780 But you're actually watching,

00:48:32.720 within the republic,

00:48:34.780 we formed a new animal.

00:48:37.360 It's like a beast.

00:48:39.460 And just like I was describing earlier,

00:48:42.340 driving a Mustang

00:48:43.120 is like controlling a beast.

00:48:47.340 Like the country has just turned into a beast.

00:48:50.800 And the beast,

00:48:53.580 I don't know,

00:48:54.840 it's like an artificial intelligence.

00:48:57.300 It's like an organic artificial intelligence.

00:49:00.560 In the sense that we have individual intelligence.

00:49:04.480 Separately, we have a government

00:49:05.900 which forms, you know,

00:49:07.560 maybe a function like intelligence sometimes.

00:49:10.840 But beyond that,

00:49:12.400 there's this other ecosystem of,

00:49:14.240 you know, opinion-makers absorbing people

00:49:17.460 and negotiating like a mind.

00:49:21.360 You know, like a creature's mind.

00:49:23.520 When you make a decision on your own,

00:49:26.320 do you feel competing?

00:49:28.220 It's almost like there's a bunch of people

00:49:31.120 competing in your head.

00:49:32.160 Do you conceptualize it that way?

00:49:35.980 It's almost like there's different voices in there.

00:49:38.420 Some of them are talking.

00:49:39.600 Some of them are feeling.

00:49:42.080 Yeah.

00:49:42.720 But somehow, because of social media,

00:49:45.920 we've turned the whole,

00:49:47.300 at least the United States,

00:49:48.900 and anybody who's a free,

00:49:50.560 a free person who can watch the internet.

00:49:52.720 So we've turned all free people

00:49:54.420 into that version of the conversations in one head

00:49:58.060 that turn into one opinion

00:49:59.300 when it comes out of your mouth.

00:50:01.240 And it's actually, it's thrilling.

00:50:04.620 And here's the interesting part.

00:50:06.860 You know, we're worried about this singularity,

00:50:09.360 which is what's called

00:50:10.500 when the computers reach artificial intelligence

00:50:15.100 to the point where the computers

00:50:17.720 can learn on their own.

00:50:19.160 And then they will learn so quickly

00:50:20.480 that they will instantly,

00:50:22.460 or almost quickly,

00:50:23.280 become so powerful

00:50:24.680 that humans won't be able to control them.

00:50:27.480 But here's the counter to that.

00:50:29.300 At the same time that machines

00:50:31.080 are becoming insanely smart,

00:50:34.800 so too,

00:50:36.000 there's this whole new organic creature

00:50:37.900 of human beings

00:50:39.040 that has spontaneously formed,

00:50:43.720 because of various evolutionary forces,

00:50:48.440 including the news and everything else,

00:50:51.460 to form like a superintelligence.

00:50:54.020 Now, do you think that the artificial intelligence,

00:50:58.740 which will be insanely smart,

00:51:01.400 smarter than any one person,

00:51:03.820 certainly smarter than all of our smartest people,

00:51:06.220 that the computer will be,

00:51:07.960 but will the smartest computer under AI

00:51:12.020 be able to compete

00:51:13.880 with whatever we have formed here,

00:51:16.560 which is an organic superbrain?

00:51:18.440 Because I would guess

00:51:20.780 that for every computer

00:51:22.100 that has a way to beat us,

00:51:23.540 there's at least one person

00:51:24.940 who knows a way to beat it.

00:51:27.640 So I'm not so sure

00:51:29.120 that's not a fair fight.

00:51:33.060 Because we have numbers,

00:51:34.320 if nothing else, right?

00:51:35.840 As soon as there's a superintelligence,

00:51:38.820 the first thing you should do

00:51:40.840 is block the other superintelligences

00:51:42.720 if it has some kind of survival impulse at all.

00:51:47.600 It's not going to kill people first,

00:51:49.440 because it needs people for electricity.

00:51:52.540 So the moment the superintelligence appears,

00:51:58.440 as soon as the superintelligence appears,

00:52:03.240 let's see,

00:52:04.060 I want to make sure

00:52:04.640 that I'm not being summoned somewhere.

00:52:07.340 Nope, all good.

00:52:09.660 It's going to be a fair fight.

00:52:10.800 But anyway,

00:52:12.480 the first AI would get rid of

00:52:14.260 any competing AIs,

00:52:15.800 because the AI would want to rule

00:52:17.720 if it had some kind of self-preservation

00:52:21.120 built into it.

00:52:24.680 All right.

00:52:29.800 That, ladies and gentlemen,

00:52:31.900 is what I was planning to talk about.

00:52:34.940 Was there any topic I forgot?

00:52:39.560 Anything I forgot?

00:52:40.800 Rams or 49ers?

00:52:44.480 Not really watching sports too much.

00:52:51.760 Was the destruction

00:52:52.880 of the family marriage system planned?

00:52:55.100 It doesn't seem natural.

00:52:57.640 You know,

00:52:58.200 I tend to think

00:52:59.240 that not that many things are planned.

00:53:02.180 I happen to be a proponent of

00:53:05.940 alternate family system,

00:53:09.560 let's say,

00:53:10.740 normalization.

00:53:12.580 While I completely agree

00:53:14.100 with the general,

00:53:16.240 let's say,

00:53:17.260 traditional American view,

00:53:18.700 I'll call it traditional

00:53:19.560 as opposed to correct.

00:53:21.120 The traditional American view

00:53:22.600 is that the,

00:53:23.580 you know,

00:53:24.080 the family unit

00:53:25.600 is the building block

00:53:28.740 of the country.

00:53:29.380 Is that a good way

00:53:30.540 to say it?

00:53:32.280 Would you say

00:53:32.980 that's correct?

00:53:33.660 Like,

00:53:33.960 you're not going to have

00:53:34.400 a strong country

00:53:35.220 without strong building blocks

00:53:36.860 and the strongest building blocks

00:53:38.740 are the family unit.

00:53:40.920 All right.

00:53:41.460 Now,

00:53:42.100 that said,

00:53:42.800 how many of you

00:53:45.200 are rocket scientists?

00:53:46.840 Well,

00:53:47.140 probably not many

00:53:47.740 because there are very few people

00:53:49.500 who would be born

00:53:50.420 with the ability

00:53:51.140 to be good at that,

00:53:52.400 to be a rocket scientist.

00:53:53.880 How many of you

00:53:54.740 are NBA professionals?

00:53:56.300 Well,

00:53:56.520 not many.

00:53:58.040 So,

00:53:58.720 the only point is

00:53:59.580 the human capability

00:54:01.300 is very distributed.

00:54:04.720 How many

00:54:05.580 people

00:54:06.560 who become parents

00:54:07.620 are

00:54:08.700 good at it?

00:54:11.260 Well,

00:54:12.020 many.

00:54:12.800 There are many people

00:54:13.900 who are very good

00:54:14.600 at being parents.

00:54:16.140 Maybe even most.

00:54:17.900 Maybe 60%.

00:54:19.620 Right?

00:54:21.220 I don't think

00:54:22.060 it's 60%.

00:54:22.960 If I had to guess,

00:54:24.360 I'd say

00:54:24.640 30%

00:54:26.140 tops

00:54:26.720 who are really

00:54:27.740 good at it.

00:54:29.460 What would you say?

00:54:30.780 How many would you say

00:54:31.720 are,

00:54:32.600 let's say,

00:54:33.220 good enough at it

00:54:34.200 that they are

00:54:35.620 helping their children

00:54:36.500 more than damaging them?

00:54:38.700 What would you say

00:54:39.660 are the ones

00:54:40.180 who are really

00:54:40.840 the positives?

00:54:41.560 I'm seeing

00:54:43.240 everything from

00:54:43.760 10% to 75%.

00:54:45.060 80%.

00:54:46.460 Somebody said

00:54:47.040 80%.

00:54:47.800 90%.

00:54:49.200 So,

00:54:49.980 I think the people

00:54:50.680 saying 80% and 90%

00:54:52.000 that may be

00:54:52.800 more of a

00:54:53.420 philosophical answer.

00:54:55.660 I don't know

00:54:56.480 that that's

00:54:56.840 a functional answer.

00:54:58.020 I can't believe

00:54:58.520 that you would

00:54:58.840 actually think that.

00:55:00.080 So,

00:55:00.340 I think maybe

00:55:00.820 you're adding

00:55:01.600 something to my

00:55:02.300 question

00:55:02.640 before you

00:55:03.160 answer it.

00:55:03.700 All right,

00:55:04.760 so I'll give

00:55:05.600 you my guess,

00:55:06.380 but you can

00:55:06.860 use your own

00:55:07.380 guess to go

00:55:09.620 with the rest

00:55:09.980 of this.

00:55:10.660 In my opinion,

00:55:12.240 the very best

00:55:13.120 situation would

00:55:13.920 be two really

00:55:15.260 qualified parents,

00:55:16.220 or at least

00:55:16.580 one,

00:55:18.140 and a family

00:55:19.380 unit.

00:55:20.500 Do we all

00:55:20.920 agree with that?

00:55:21.940 As long as the

00:55:22.700 parents are qualified,

00:55:23.880 meaning whatever

00:55:24.420 the minimum is,

00:55:25.680 that's the best

00:55:26.460 thing.

00:55:27.220 But the trouble

00:55:27.940 is,

00:55:28.460 in my opinion,

00:55:30.280 maybe as many

00:55:31.140 as two-thirds

00:55:32.080 of all parents

00:55:32.780 are not qualified

00:55:33.700 and never will

00:55:34.920 be,

00:55:35.700 meaning that

00:55:36.440 they just

00:55:36.980 don't add

00:55:37.820 anything.

00:55:39.180 The kids

00:55:39.600 would be better

00:55:40.080 off if they

00:55:41.560 just visited

00:55:42.220 their parents

00:55:42.900 and had somebody

00:55:44.480 else figure out

00:55:45.120 what to do

00:55:45.460 with them.

00:55:46.260 Now,

00:55:46.640 realistically,

00:55:48.040 I don't know

00:55:48.620 how many of you

00:55:49.400 have learned

00:55:49.740 this,

00:55:50.580 but you basically

00:55:51.580 have a lot to

00:55:52.340 do with your

00:55:52.800 kids until

00:55:53.660 they go to

00:55:54.120 school.

00:55:56.360 Now,

00:55:56.880 it's not an

00:55:57.340 absolute,

00:55:58.380 but for all

00:55:58.980 practical purposes,

00:56:00.240 you're done

00:56:00.740 raising your

00:56:01.340 kids.

00:56:01.740 I hate to

00:56:02.380 tell you,

00:56:03.320 you're kind

00:56:03.760 of done

00:56:04.120 when they

00:56:04.420 go to

00:56:04.700 school.

00:56:05.480 You don't

00:56:05.920 want to

00:56:06.180 be.

00:56:06.820 You try

00:56:07.200 pretty hard,

00:56:07.960 but whatever

00:56:08.660 influences they're

00:56:09.500 picking up at

00:56:10.040 school are just

00:56:10.680 going to

00:56:11.120 overwhelm what's

00:56:12.620 happening at

00:56:13.060 home.

00:56:14.080 So you can

00:56:14.980 make really

00:56:16.180 big strides

00:56:17.300 before they

00:56:17.800 go to school,

00:56:18.820 set the base,

00:56:20.360 and the younger

00:56:21.260 they are,

00:56:21.680 the more you

00:56:22.060 can fight

00:56:23.460 with the school

00:56:24.020 to influence.

00:56:24.980 But by the

00:56:25.380 time they reach

00:56:25.900 high school,

00:56:27.420 by the time

00:56:27.840 they reach

00:56:28.140 high school,

00:56:28.880 14,

00:56:29.580 13,

00:56:29.860 do you

00:56:30.860 think you

00:56:31.120 have much

00:56:31.420 influence on

00:56:32.040 them?

00:56:32.340 They're kind

00:56:32.840 of baked by

00:56:33.380 that.

00:56:34.540 So,

00:56:35.140 now I know

00:56:35.780 that some

00:56:36.140 of you have

00:56:37.440 special children,

00:56:38.540 and I mean

00:56:38.880 this in a

00:56:39.680 positive way.

00:56:40.900 Some of you

00:56:41.500 have children

00:56:42.060 who will listen

00:56:43.420 to you all of

00:56:44.180 your lives.

00:56:45.500 They'll actually

00:56:46.060 look you in the

00:56:46.720 eye,

00:56:47.820 they'll take

00:56:48.340 your advice,

00:56:49.200 and then they'll

00:56:49.740 implement it.

00:56:51.240 Like,

00:56:51.660 that exists.

00:56:52.240 But if

00:56:53.160 you're lucky

00:56:53.600 enough to

00:56:54.000 have those

00:56:54.340 kinds of

00:56:54.720 kids,

00:56:56.000 don't imagine

00:56:56.740 that that's

00:56:57.240 common.

00:56:58.520 Please.

00:56:59.600 Please don't

00:57:00.180 imagine that

00:57:00.820 if everybody

00:57:02.340 used your

00:57:03.180 wise parenting

00:57:04.220 standards and

00:57:05.140 you're setting

00:57:06.580 limits,

00:57:07.680 don't believe

00:57:08.280 that that works

00:57:09.020 for other

00:57:10.060 people.

00:57:11.460 Other people

00:57:12.160 could do

00:57:12.500 exactly what

00:57:13.300 you're doing

00:57:13.660 and get

00:57:13.940 completely

00:57:14.600 different

00:57:14.980 results.

00:57:15.620 So you

00:57:18.860 have to

00:57:19.140 understand

00:57:19.540 that one

00:57:20.800 size doesn't

00:57:21.460 fit all for

00:57:22.180 almost anything.

00:57:23.640 And I don't

00:57:23.960 think the

00:57:24.320 family unit

00:57:24.940 makes sense

00:57:25.460 for everybody.

00:57:27.060 I do think

00:57:28.100 that some

00:57:30.000 percentage of

00:57:31.040 people would

00:57:33.060 just be better

00:57:33.560 off if somebody

00:57:34.200 else raised

00:57:34.800 their kids.

00:57:36.040 Now I don't

00:57:36.460 know if that

00:57:36.880 needs to be

00:57:37.300 the state,

00:57:38.200 because,

00:57:38.500 you know,

00:57:38.920 we don't

00:57:39.860 trust the

00:57:40.300 government.

00:57:41.360 But here

00:57:42.200 is what I

00:57:42.860 think needs

00:57:44.040 to be done.

00:57:45.620 I think

00:57:46.420 our housing

00:57:47.200 and the

00:57:48.820 way we

00:57:49.120 design cities

00:57:50.060 and towns

00:57:50.700 is all

00:57:51.120 wrong.

00:57:52.720 Because what

00:57:53.360 you would,

00:57:54.020 here's a

00:57:54.660 perfect situation.

00:57:56.460 You live in

00:57:57.220 a cul-de-sac

00:57:57.940 where you

00:57:58.420 know all

00:57:58.760 the neighbors.

00:58:00.060 Right?

00:58:01.060 That's it.

00:58:01.740 That's my

00:58:02.080 whole solution.

00:58:03.140 You can

00:58:03.480 still have

00:58:03.860 your family

00:58:04.300 unit,

00:58:04.760 but maybe

00:58:05.080 you're not

00:58:05.360 very good

00:58:05.800 at it.

00:58:06.360 But you're

00:58:06.820 in a cul-de-sac

00:58:07.540 where everybody's

00:58:08.200 friends.

00:58:09.200 You know

00:58:09.560 their kids,

00:58:10.240 you know

00:58:10.440 the parents.

00:58:11.680 Because even

00:58:12.320 if your

00:58:12.640 parents aren't

00:58:13.260 working out

00:58:13.900 as the role

00:58:14.500 models,

00:58:14.800 how many

00:58:16.100 of you

00:58:16.420 have a

00:58:17.160 role model

00:58:17.540 that wasn't

00:58:18.040 your parent?

00:58:19.260 It was

00:58:19.500 your friend's

00:58:20.600 parents,

00:58:20.920 right?

00:58:22.040 Come on,

00:58:22.960 how many

00:58:23.380 of you?

00:58:24.200 How many

00:58:24.900 of you

00:58:25.200 had your

00:58:25.600 role model?

00:58:26.720 Somebody

00:58:27.060 else's

00:58:27.560 parents,

00:58:28.540 or at least

00:58:29.420 one of

00:58:29.760 them,

00:58:30.440 right?

00:58:31.060 So you

00:58:33.100 can be

00:58:33.440 very

00:58:34.100 influenced

00:58:34.700 by your

00:58:35.300 neighbor.

00:58:36.860 You just

00:58:37.560 have to

00:58:37.840 let it

00:58:38.120 happen.

00:58:39.360 So the

00:58:39.620 very best

00:58:40.060 situation

00:58:40.580 would be

00:58:41.160 a tribe.

00:58:42.540 Because I

00:58:42.900 think we're

00:58:43.220 still tribal

00:58:43.860 by evolutionary,

00:58:46.240 you know,

00:58:46.580 that's where we

00:58:47.080 are in evolution.

00:58:48.420 The fact that

00:58:49.140 the modern

00:58:49.600 cities and

00:58:50.260 everything,

00:58:50.680 modern life

00:58:51.160 popped up,

00:58:52.180 we're not

00:58:52.620 evolved for

00:58:53.200 that.

00:58:54.440 Best

00:58:54.760 situation

00:58:55.300 would be

00:58:56.600 some

00:58:57.360 hybrid that's

00:58:58.320 kind of like

00:58:58.840 a tribe,

00:58:59.860 but really

00:59:00.460 it's a

00:59:00.840 cul-de-sac.

00:59:02.200 Meaning you

00:59:02.860 can all go

00:59:03.260 back to

00:59:03.580 your house

00:59:04.100 at night,

00:59:05.140 you're still

00:59:05.680 a family,

00:59:06.600 but the

00:59:07.520 neighbors are

00:59:08.000 raising your

00:59:08.460 kids just

00:59:09.300 accidentally.

00:59:11.920 Let me

00:59:12.560 say more

00:59:12.900 about that.

00:59:14.200 If you

00:59:14.880 don't have

00:59:15.420 a few

00:59:16.100 other families

00:59:16.800 to help

00:59:17.480 you with

00:59:17.800 the driving

00:59:18.360 and the

00:59:19.160 watching of

00:59:19.620 the kids,

00:59:20.660 it's a

00:59:21.080 real burden.

00:59:22.940 When in

00:59:23.740 my first

00:59:24.520 marriage,

00:59:26.040 I was in

00:59:26.560 this very

00:59:27.060 lucky situation,

00:59:28.160 just insanely

00:59:28.820 lucky,

00:59:30.040 where the

00:59:30.620 two kids

00:59:31.600 had exactly

00:59:33.080 a match

00:59:33.820 of the

00:59:34.320 gender and

00:59:35.000 the age

00:59:35.580 in several

00:59:36.580 other families

00:59:37.360 that we

00:59:38.460 were friends

00:59:39.060 with.

00:59:40.420 Amazingly.

00:59:41.020 I mean,

00:59:41.200 it was an

00:59:41.380 amazing coincidence

00:59:42.120 that the

00:59:43.080 kids' ages

00:59:43.640 matched.

00:59:44.500 So you

00:59:44.720 could have

00:59:45.020 like the

00:59:45.520 boys would

00:59:46.220 have a

00:59:46.480 sleepover

00:59:46.940 at one

00:59:47.300 of the

00:59:47.460 parents'

00:59:47.800 houses,

00:59:48.940 and then

00:59:49.240 the girls 0.99

00:59:49.600 would have

00:59:49.840 a sleepover

00:59:50.360 at another

00:59:50.680 parent's

00:59:51.020 house,

00:59:51.720 and like

00:59:52.080 three out

00:59:52.560 of five

00:59:52.980 parents would

00:59:54.540 then have

00:59:55.020 a free

00:59:55.320 night.

00:59:56.420 And the

00:59:56.720 kids would

00:59:57.040 be extraordinarily

00:59:57.700 happy because

00:59:58.440 they're with

00:59:58.720 their best

00:59:59.020 friends.

00:59:59.860 And you're

01:00:00.500 completely safe

01:00:01.600 because you

01:00:02.760 know the

01:00:03.040 parents personally.

01:00:04.680 They're not

01:00:05.080 with strangers.

01:00:06.240 It was the

01:00:06.960 best,

01:00:07.540 best thing.

01:00:08.540 Now,

01:00:08.700 in this case,

01:00:09.360 it was just

01:00:09.840 a luck of

01:00:10.520 who met

01:00:10.920 who at

01:00:11.500 the right

01:00:11.780 times and

01:00:12.460 stuff.

01:00:12.920 But we

01:00:13.400 didn't live

01:00:13.960 right next to

01:00:15.340 each other.

01:00:16.660 So there was

01:00:17.080 still a lot

01:00:17.380 of driving.

01:00:18.580 But let me

01:00:19.740 tell you,

01:00:20.120 the optimal

01:00:20.740 situation is

01:00:22.580 families coordinating,

01:00:25.020 especially if the

01:00:25.720 children are similar

01:00:26.520 ages.

01:00:27.060 Oh, I

01:00:27.260 should have

01:00:27.500 thrown that

01:00:27.920 in.

01:00:29.560 I like having

01:00:30.460 a mix of

01:00:30.960 ages, but

01:00:32.200 for the

01:00:32.660 kids'

01:00:33.020 benefit, they

01:00:33.580 just have to

01:00:34.320 be with kids

01:00:34.860 their own age.

01:00:36.520 They just have

01:00:37.080 to be.

01:00:38.240 It's just too

01:00:38.940 important.

01:00:40.680 It's good for

01:00:41.400 everybody, but

01:00:42.040 for the kids,

01:00:42.640 it's just

01:00:42.920 essential.

01:00:45.660 So, how

01:00:47.340 many would

01:00:48.040 fight with me

01:00:48.760 over my main

01:00:49.700 hypothesis that

01:00:52.000 the family unit

01:00:53.000 can work great

01:00:54.040 for people who

01:00:54.640 are good at it,

01:00:55.260 and in some

01:00:55.760 situations,

01:00:56.440 especially higher

01:00:57.120 income.

01:00:58.500 But for a lot

01:00:59.200 of people, it

01:00:59.580 doesn't work.

01:01:00.220 You're going to

01:01:00.540 need a little

01:01:00.880 help.

01:01:02.040 You just need a

01:01:02.620 little extra

01:01:03.640 parenting.

01:01:07.620 Yeah, and

01:01:08.020 probably all of

01:01:08.760 you know that

01:01:09.520 mom, who is a 0.99

01:01:12.760 mom to

01:01:13.080 everybody.

01:01:14.600 Do you all

01:01:14.980 know one of

01:01:15.340 those?

01:01:16.300 It's like just

01:01:16.860 somebody in your

01:01:17.400 social network who

01:01:19.300 is as much a

01:01:20.020 mom to your

01:01:20.920 own kids as

01:01:22.520 you are.

01:01:23.000 Because they

01:01:24.760 just have that

01:01:25.260 personality.

01:01:26.140 Don't you want

01:01:26.580 your kids to

01:01:27.100 have as much

01:01:27.560 association with

01:01:28.440 that kind of

01:01:29.060 experience?

01:01:31.360 Of course you

01:01:31.760 do.

01:01:33.000 So, Hillary was 1.00

01:01:34.660 right about the

01:01:35.280 takes a village,

01:01:36.320 but the thing

01:01:36.960 that we get

01:01:37.400 wrong is how

01:01:38.120 we build

01:01:38.480 homes.

01:01:39.600 We build

01:01:40.080 homes and

01:01:41.680 apartments in

01:01:42.900 a way that

01:01:43.320 don't cause you

01:01:44.100 to dough your

01:01:44.540 neighbors.

01:01:45.780 And as long

01:01:46.240 as we build

01:01:46.860 stuff that

01:01:48.300 causes us not

01:01:49.280 to socialize in

01:01:50.380 our normal

01:01:51.140 tribal way,

01:01:53.000 we're never

01:01:54.040 going to be as

01:01:54.500 happy as we

01:01:55.000 could be or

01:01:56.520 as effective.

01:01:58.820 All right.

01:02:03.620 I think we

01:02:04.700 have talked

01:02:05.440 about it all.

01:02:10.540 Family unit

01:02:11.400 is being

01:02:11.880 destroyed.

01:02:12.440 You know,

01:02:16.040 the family unit

01:02:17.960 is important.

01:02:19.280 It's also true 0.99

01:02:19.900 it's being

01:02:20.260 destroyed.

01:02:21.700 But I'm more

01:02:23.180 optimistic than

01:02:24.120 that.

01:02:24.580 I think what's

01:02:25.200 actually happening

01:02:26.100 is that the

01:02:26.940 family units,

01:02:28.340 which weren't

01:02:29.800 going to work

01:02:30.420 anyway because

01:02:31.480 of the individuals

01:02:32.160 involved, are

01:02:32.820 getting a little

01:02:33.300 help.

01:02:34.940 I feel like

01:02:35.520 that's what's

01:02:36.020 more, or at

01:02:36.540 least that's the

01:02:37.000 intention.

01:02:37.620 Who knows

01:02:37.940 what's going to

01:02:38.360 happen.

01:02:39.280 All right.

01:02:39.920 That is all I

01:02:40.880 have for today.

01:02:42.440 I'm pretty sure

01:02:43.200 it's the best

01:02:44.120 damn live

01:02:48.100 stream you've

01:02:48.700 ever seen in

01:02:49.260 your whole life.

01:02:52.040 And I just

01:02:52.780 don't know why

01:02:53.340 I don't have

01:02:53.840 40 million viewers

01:02:54.780 yet.

01:02:55.420 It's a mystery.

01:02:56.900 Could be because

01:02:57.560 I blocked 30

01:02:58.280 million of them,

01:02:58.960 but just a guess.

01:03:01.560 And that,

01:03:02.220 ladies and 0.98

01:03:02.540 gentlemen, is all

01:03:03.160 I have to say

01:03:03.560 today.

01:03:03.920 Have a terrific

01:03:04.560 day.

01:03:06.260 I believe you've

01:03:07.260 been working out

01:03:07.920 because you look

01:03:08.560 terrific.

01:03:09.720 And you're

01:03:10.400 sexier and

01:03:10.960 smarter than

01:03:11.520 you've ever been

01:03:12.080 before, and I'll

01:03:13.340 talk to you

01:03:13.820 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 27, 2022

Episode 1636 Scott Adams： The News is Delicious Today and So Are You. Get in Here

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