Episode 1644 Scott Adams: False Flags, Fake News, Putin Trapped, and the Walls Closing in on Spotify
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
145.65805
Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams talks about the latest in the Ukraine crisis, and why he thinks we should just give Putin what he wants, and then call his bluff. And why he doesn't think we can read his mind.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to, undoubtedly, the finest experience of your entire life.
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It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and it's the only thing that gets better every time.
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And if you would like to become part of this movement that's sweeping the planet, what
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All you need is a cup or mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a
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flask, a vessel of any kind, a Canadian trucker, well, I guess the truck, not the trucker.
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I suppose you could put liquid inside a trucker, but then you wouldn't want to get it out.
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Well, let's just stick with a cup or a mug or whatever this is, and join me now for the
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It's the thing that forgets to put on his microphone.
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You know, I should have had this before I got ready, because, you know, once you've had
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your simultaneous sip, everything just starts to fall into place, sort of like the tumblers
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All right, number one, I guess Josh Hawley in the Senate is urging the Biden administration
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to forget about putting Ukraine in NATO, should they ever qualify.
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What do you think about promising Putin that we won't do the thing that we probably didn't
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I have mixed feelings about it, so let's talk it through.
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Number one, I, too, had once said, why don't we just give him what he wants, because what
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he wants is nothing that we care about anyway, which is, he doesn't want NATO in Ukraine.
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Ukraine is too corrupt for us to allow it to be part of NATO anyway.
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Why doesn't it look like it's going to change anytime soon?
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Why not just give him what he wants and then say, okay, you have what you want, and we
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You know, should he keep his army there, we could say, whoa, that wasn't the deal.
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Now we're going to let Ukraine in NATO, you bastard.
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So it seemed to me like we could give him literally nothing, because it wasn't anything we wanted
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anyway, and it would embarrass him into having to withdraw or at least respond in some way.
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But then I watched the Biden administration surprisingly offer absolutely nothing,
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And I thought to myself, you know, if Biden actually gets away with this, it's too early
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to say, but I'm willing to imagine that it was the right play.
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Just say, how about we give you nothing, and how about we call your bluff, and how about
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your 100,000 troops aren't going to take a step into this territory, because you know
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Because I do think Putin knows it would be bad for him to do that.
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I mean, none of us can read Putin's mind, right?
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But I don't think we can guess any worse than the intelligence agencies.
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So you've probably seen experiments where a group of people are asked a question.
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And people were asked to guess on average how many credit cards each person had on average.
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And, of course, since you don't know anything about the other person's belongings, there
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We all put in our guesses, and the guesses were like crazy.
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You know, people were guessing that the average person had nine credit cards.
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But you take all these crazy guesses, and then you average them out.
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And then we actually took our credit cards out and counted them and took the average.
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So it was one of those wisdom of crowds things.
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I guess you can repeat that experiment, and it works enough that it was part of the class.
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And so I wonder, if you were trying to anticipate what Putin would do, would you do better if
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Because probably Putin hasn't made up his mind, right?
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So even if he had sources and methods, and you got information that was ten minutes old,
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it would be useless if he's changing his mind all the time.
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The hypothesis is this, that the average of us, just watching this right now,
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But there's a persuasion play here that's really, really juicy.
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And for our purposes, I'm going to say there's no such thing as a minor incursion.
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So I'm looking at the locals people, mostly no invade.
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Okay, so I would say overwhelmingly no invasion.
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Now, and you know what's interesting about this?
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I do see some yeses, but it's overwhelmingly noes on both platforms here.
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So actually, I think I'm kind of happy about this result.
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I wasn't sure that people would be on the same team on this.
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All right, you want to hear the persuasion play?
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This is one of the best opportunities the United States has ever had.
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that the difference between good news and bad news, we just can't tell.
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Something that looks like it's on the edge of a disaster
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could just as likely be on the edge of some great breakthrough
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Imagine, if you will, that Putin feels trapped, because he should.
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If he removes his forces, he looks like a big old pussy,
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He has to play the long game then to try to control Ukraine,
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So he can't really withdraw, but he can't really attack.
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Now, of course, the wild card is that it's Putin,
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and he's a pretty good chess player, so to speak.
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So he might have some play that we would never imagine.
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You know, just some completely surprising thing.
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So anything we offer him that looks like a win,
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let's say when a dictator reaches a certain age,
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It seems like conquest is a young dictator's game.