Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1652 Scott Adams： Let's Figure Out What is Going On in Ukraine, Great Clawback Update

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00:00:54.960 Ah.

00:00:57.680 Here's a question I ask myself.

00:01:01.920 If you take a history class in America, do you ever get two books with two different histories?

00:01:10.040 Like, here's the history of the Civil War.

00:01:13.260 Oh, and then here's the other book with the alternate history of the Civil War.

00:01:17.760 That doesn't really happen, does it?

00:01:19.380 But do you think that during the time of those events, there was only one interpretation?

00:01:28.980 I don't know.

00:01:30.000 Do you think it's always been true that there are two completely separate interpretations of what's happening at the moment?

00:01:37.760 It could be worse now, but maybe not.

00:01:42.400 And I'm wondering if the consensus of history is the only place that the two movies become one.

00:01:51.060 So here's the one that I'm tracking.

00:01:53.180 In the case of COVID, everything, you know, happened kind of quickly and within a couple of years there.

00:02:00.280 So we got to see, you know, weird things happen quickly.

00:02:04.960 And one of the weird things was how quickly two complete interpretations of what was happening were living side by side.

00:02:13.180 The weirdest one that's happening now is happening to the right.

00:02:18.760 This will make you a little uncomfortable, I know.

00:02:21.560 But there's a large group of people who are smart, influential, you know, engaged people who know a lot.

00:02:30.540 So this is just a complete compliment.

00:02:32.960 People who are really high qualified thinkers.

00:02:36.880 Who are saying out loud that because we're doing things or the governments are loosening up and have some different opinions about how to handle the pandemic now.

00:02:48.860 That that's what they should have done from the beginning.

00:02:53.020 Now, does that make any sense to any of you?

00:02:56.140 I want to see if anybody else is experiencing that movie.

00:02:59.100 Who is experiencing the movie that because of the way we're acting now, loosening up with the pandemic, et cetera, that that's the way we should have acted in the beginning.

00:03:10.280 You know, just letting everybody do whatever they wanted.

00:03:16.320 So somebody says after the first two weeks, it didn't make sense.

00:03:21.380 We see, I see some yeses.

00:03:23.100 All right.

00:03:23.240 So there are enough yeses here to say, can we, without arguing who is right or wrong.

00:03:29.100 Can we conclude that there are, that's a very different interpretation and pretty sticky too.

00:03:36.600 Now, but at the same time that you believe that, you also understand that all of the variables are different, right?

00:03:45.380 So if it's true that we should have always acted the same, that could be true. 0.75

00:03:51.540 But it would be true that we should have acted the same no matter what the variables were.

00:03:56.100 That that's actually, could be, could be a reasonable view.

00:04:02.400 That whether millions of people were dying or not dying, you would sort of act the same.

00:04:07.700 Because freedom is more important, I suppose.

00:04:10.220 So that you could make that argument.

00:04:12.480 But, but, can you make the argument that the people who changed their opinion because all the variables changed

00:04:21.540 are therefore irrational because they changed their opinion?

00:04:26.080 Does it make sense to mock people for changing their view when all of the variables changed, like a lot?

00:04:33.540 Does it?

00:04:36.300 But it looks like that's going to happen.

00:04:39.040 All right.

00:04:40.160 So at some point, we will, I guess, have one worldview.

00:04:43.700 But I don't know which one it'll be.

00:04:47.140 I think the one worldview will be, whether this is true or not, I think the consensus of history will be that vaccination worked.

00:04:58.560 Again, I'm not saying it's true, because I don't want to argue any of that stuff right now.

00:05:04.260 I'm just saying that I think history will say vaccinations worked.

00:05:07.720 They helped get through the pandemic.

00:05:09.260 The side effects were minimal, and that it was a great victory of governments or something.

00:05:17.600 I think it's going to look like that.

00:05:19.660 And then probably something about Omicron finishing it off.

00:05:24.400 But speaking of many worlds, do you have any idea what's happening in Ukraine?

00:05:31.740 How many of you think you understand the Ukraine situation?

00:05:35.160 Like, you know the basics that Putin has amassed an army, might go in there.

00:05:41.260 But isn't it all just sort of confusing?

00:05:45.560 And do you feel that your, let's say your mainstream media entities, do you think that they've explained to you what's going on? 0.77

00:05:54.780 So I did a little bit of, you know, that thing that I say is ridiculous. 0.66

00:05:59.540 Doing your own research. 0.84

00:06:00.840 I always mock doing your own research, because nobody's smart enough to know if they're looking at the right research.

00:06:08.840 I don't know.

00:06:09.480 I can read a lot of stuff, but I don't know if it's true.

00:06:12.440 So let me tell you some of the things that I've found without a, let's say, without much of an opinion about what's true.

00:06:21.740 Right?

00:06:21.880 So the Ukraine story has at least two completely different movies.

00:06:28.080 One movie is the one we get in the United States.

00:06:31.800 And that movie is that Putin is an aggressive tyrant.

00:06:35.500 He wants to control neighboring countries and control everything.

00:06:40.260 And everything that you see Putin do is because he's sort of an expansionist dictator and wants to control everything.

00:06:49.340 So that's our view.

00:06:50.060 Would you say that's sort of what you're hearing?

00:06:52.880 Does that sound pretty close?

00:06:55.560 And that what we're trying to do is hold the line and make sure that Putin doesn't get any progress so that NATO looks like it's strong.

00:07:04.300 Yeah.

00:07:04.840 That it's a NATO sort of a related issue.

00:07:09.560 Now, how many of you know that there's one narrative that the United States staged a coup in Ukraine in 2014, or was behind the coup, or revolution, depending on who you're talking to?

00:07:23.220 And how many of you know that Ukraine went from more of a Russia puppet to more of an American puppet because of this mysterious coup?

00:07:34.600 Basically, we took Ukraine from Putin, didn't we?

00:07:39.540 Am I wrong?

00:07:41.540 Is there somebody who knows more about this stuff than I do who can validate the claim that the United States probably, probably took Ukraine from Putin's control?

00:07:54.480 But you don't hear that, do you?

00:07:58.300 Have you ever heard CNN say that?

00:08:02.500 Now, I believe that's an unproven allegation, meaning that we don't know that the CIA or the U.S. was really behind it.

00:08:09.520 But it sort of looks like a Hillary thing, doesn't it?

00:08:14.340 It sort of looks Hillary-ish, for sure.

00:08:21.900 So, and who knows when that was started.

00:08:26.240 So now we've got this highly corrupt government, but at least it's less pro-Putin, so that would look good.

00:08:33.480 How many know that NATO wants to put a bunch of missiles in Ukraine?

00:08:42.480 Did you know that we want to put missiles in Ukraine that's right on... 0.99

00:08:46.220 Now, I think they're defensive missiles, but they don't have to be, right?

00:08:51.060 I mean, initially they might be defensive.

00:08:54.100 But what do you think Russia should do about NATO having 12,000 troops on their border and 22 fighter jets sort of in that general region?

00:09:07.240 Not all of NATO.

00:09:08.760 That's just in the closest to the border of Russia, I guess.

00:09:12.980 And so we've got this situation, and can you be sure you know which way would be in your benefit if it went?

00:09:30.120 In other words, you watching this, do you know if you would be better off, or whatever country you're watching from,

00:09:37.240 if Russia attacked or if they didn't?

00:09:40.260 Do you know?

00:09:42.980 You kind of assume that any war is bad, right?

00:09:46.100 But I'll bet it's not bad for everybody, because no wars are.

00:09:49.860 There's always somebody who gets rich in a war.

00:09:52.200 And so one of the questions I'd ask myself that I haven't seen anybody deal with in the media

00:09:59.420 is that would Russia be economically advantaged or disadvantaged if they conquered Ukraine militarily and tried to hold it?

00:10:09.540 What do you think?

00:10:10.560 What's your common sense tell you, such as it is, that would Russia be better off or worse off for owning Ukraine again, 0.82

00:10:20.660 but if they had to hold it militarily?

00:10:23.780 Better off or worse off?

00:10:25.120 I'm seeing mixed opinions.

00:10:32.380 Worse off, worse off, better off.

00:10:35.340 I don't know.

00:10:35.920 To me, it looks really expensive, because I heard one analyst say that Russia might not even have the money to keep their army massed on the border for long.

00:10:44.840 It's so expensive to move an army that just having 100,000 soldiers and all the support staff on the border in case they want to attack might be too expensive.

00:10:57.360 So one of the strategies that the U.S. might be pursuing is to see how long we can make them wait.

00:11:05.620 Because the longer they wait, the more bankrupt they go.

00:11:07.960 Russia, that is.

00:11:09.580 So it should be to our advantage, even if we think they're definitely going to invade, to just delay it as long as possible, because it's so expensive.

00:11:17.400 And I'll bet we're spending pennies on the dollar compared to them, because we're not putting much of an active defense in Ukraine.

00:11:27.160 So when you hear Russia say, you know, it's almost like the U.S. is trying to create a fake reason for Russia to invade,

00:11:36.600 you know, first you laugh that off, and then you say to yourself, well, we really don't know what's going on.

00:11:40.860 Could it be that you could destroy Russia and Putin's influence by letting him take Ukraine?

00:11:49.680 That's possible, isn't it?

00:11:51.580 Don't you think that Ukraine could be a big enough problem to Putin that it would suck up all of his resources?

00:11:58.280 How strong is the Russian army today when they have so much of their resources in one place?

00:12:06.320 Weakened, I would think.

00:12:07.360 So I don't understand how this entire chessboard works, but I'll give you a few more points of view from this.

00:12:16.400 One point of view is that Russia is on a roll, and Putin's on a roll.

00:12:21.360 So they would say, well, he won in Syria.

00:12:25.120 He took over Crimea.

00:12:28.000 Apparently, he recently effectively took over Belarus, which was more of an ambiguous situation.

00:12:35.160 So it would look as if everything that Putin does, he's getting away with.

00:12:42.420 So he's growing his influence.

00:12:44.220 He's maybe protecting his borders.

00:12:46.740 Maybe he's rebuilding the greatness of Russia.

00:12:51.440 But then, is that the only thing he wants?

00:12:55.120 What do you think Putin actually wants, and why don't we know?

00:12:57.800 Do you think he's, do you think this is mostly defensive or mostly offensive?

00:13:05.600 Here's my take on it.

00:13:08.620 That Russia's only asset is energy and military.

00:13:13.060 Am I right?

00:13:13.960 Like, basically, it's a two-variable country.

00:13:18.080 Energy and military.

00:13:19.400 If we, if we could put offensive weapons in Ukraine, it would basically make their military almost useless.

00:13:29.380 Because if you, if you had, you know, let's say nuclear missiles that could reach Moscow in 10 minutes,

00:13:37.780 it wouldn't matter what kind of army Russia had.

00:13:42.140 They would be completely vulnerable at any size.

00:13:44.620 So we're looking to completely neuter the power of Russia as one of their two assets, 0.98

00:13:50.920 and maybe neuter their second one, which is get rid of that pipeline. 1.00

00:13:54.880 So if Russia attacks, that's probably going to give us reason to put more missiles wherever we can get them,

00:14:04.200 which might not be Ukraine.

00:14:06.120 But it would give us a pretext to move more missiles in on his border.

00:14:10.900 It would be hugely expensive.

00:14:12.720 It would bog down his army.

00:14:16.160 It would be, PR-wise, a disaster.

00:14:19.400 It would be a Hitler-like look. 0.94

00:14:22.640 And, and then we could obviously put these sanctions on and get back in the energy business and get Putin out of it,

00:14:30.920 which would be expensive, but it could happen.

00:14:33.380 So I have a feeling that the U.S. has a view that if Russia attacks,

00:14:38.100 it would be the worst thing for Russia of all time.

00:14:41.960 It would be walking right into a trap that we want, which is an economic trap.

00:14:47.900 You don't want to walk into an economic trap when you think you're having an army,

00:14:51.820 or you think you're having a war.

00:14:54.100 If Russia thinks this is a kinetic war, and the U.S. thinks it's an economic war,

00:14:59.040 who's going to win?

00:15:02.260 Who's going to win if Russia thinks it's a real war and the U.S. thinks it's an economic trick?

00:15:07.700 We're going to trick them into spending all their money and bankrupting themselves.

00:15:11.780 I feel like I would bet on the economic war.

00:15:14.020 Some of the things that Moscow is demanding, like, you know, reduction of forces on NATO,

00:15:23.900 and, you know, not letting other countries in, and getting rid of missiles, and all that stuff.

00:15:27.940 Wouldn't we ask for the same thing if Russia had assets in Cuba or Mexico or something?

00:15:37.320 Wouldn't we ask for exactly the same thing?

00:15:39.720 It's kind of weird that we don't see that as a reasonable thing to ask for.

00:15:42.760 You know, I threw out this idea that was shot down quickly on Twitter,

00:15:51.060 but I think I can defend it better.

00:15:54.040 There should be something called a Switzerland option for any country that's in Ukraine's situation.

00:16:02.020 Meaning that it could...

00:16:03.960 Let me just suggest what this would look like.

00:16:06.280 Now, Switzerland is famously neutral, so it doesn't get attacked,

00:16:09.260 but, as often people point out, it doesn't seem to have strategic value.

00:16:13.440 It's got mountains. It's got an armed militia.

00:16:16.680 It's not a threat to anybody.

00:16:18.340 It's a good place to park your illegal dictator money. 0.98

00:16:21.480 So there are lots of reasons that Switzerland is not like any other place.

00:16:26.060 So don't get too hung up on the Switzerland comparison.

00:16:30.600 The only part of the comparison is, could you create new neutral countries

00:16:35.280 with different sets of why they're neutral?

00:16:38.140 You know, different than Switzerland.

00:16:40.300 But could you create, like, a neutral country that was never neutral before?

00:16:46.840 Well, here's how I would do it.

00:16:49.180 I would create a process within the United Nations

00:16:53.080 in which a country could, but maybe only with unanimous support.

00:16:59.700 You know, or something close to unanimous.

00:17:02.100 Let's say every country in the world says,

00:17:04.080 you know, this country is going to be nothing but trouble,

00:17:07.800 so whoever controls it is going to put missiles there.

00:17:10.500 That's bad.

00:17:11.760 So how about nobody controls it?

00:17:13.940 And you get literally every country in the United Nations

00:17:16.720 to declare it neutral.

00:17:19.680 Once it's declared neutral,

00:17:21.960 then every country in the world also has the responsibility

00:17:25.240 to stop doing business with anybody who attacks it.

00:17:29.480 Because at this point, you can't be shut off from all economics in the world

00:17:34.820 and expect to survive.

00:17:36.520 You turn into North Korea.

00:17:38.560 So I would think that you could create a neutral country out of anything,

00:17:44.320 no matter how vulnerable they are, no matter how strategic.

00:17:47.800 I think you could make any country neutral,

00:17:51.020 as long as every country agreed to cut off the finance operations

00:17:57.400 of anybody who attacked it.

00:18:00.720 I'll just put that out there.

00:18:02.560 Don't know if it would work, but if you don't try, you never know.

00:18:09.100 I saw a military expert say that if Russia attacks Ukraine,

00:18:13.220 it would be signaled by a massive cyber attack.

00:18:16.900 So they would do a cyber attack first.

00:18:20.760 To which I said to myself,

00:18:22.700 if Russia did a massive cyber attack,

00:18:26.360 would the United States not learn how Russia does massive cyber attacks?

00:18:31.240 And would that not be pretty useful for us to know?

00:18:34.680 Likewise, if Russia invaded,

00:18:37.220 would it not be using modern equipment and modern techniques,

00:18:41.920 which would be very revealing and useful for NATO to understand?

00:18:46.900 Is it possible that we are luring Russia into a war

00:18:53.560 to figure out how they fight?

00:18:57.700 Or at least partly.

00:18:59.260 I don't think anything is being done for one reason.

00:19:02.580 I think things are done for a basket of reasons.

00:19:05.900 But I wonder if that's one of them,

00:19:07.800 to learn the Russian military secrets

00:19:10.080 in a way that we couldn't have seen in Syria, for example.

00:19:14.200 So, I don't know.

00:19:15.900 Now, another possibility is that we think we could actually stop them if they attacked.

00:19:22.040 Because we don't know what weapons Ukraine has, right?

00:19:25.460 I don't think that we advertise the good stuff.

00:19:28.360 I think we advertise the stuff that they would have known about anyway.

00:19:31.360 But if Ukraine has some kind of amazing, let's say, small... 0.98

00:19:38.020 I like to use this example.

00:19:39.980 But if they have some amazing capability with these small drones,

00:19:43.680 that each one can, let's say, be a suicide attacker on a tank or something,

00:19:48.000 it could be that we think we can give Russia a black nose sufficient 0.97

00:19:53.100 that it would stall it forever for any future provocations.

00:19:58.900 So, who knows what everybody's thinking?

00:20:03.200 And I don't think that there's one set of view anywhere about this.

00:20:06.220 I think that they're probably in the CIA.

00:20:08.540 Let me toss this out here.

00:20:11.560 I'm continuously wondering why the US and Russia have any conflict at all,

00:20:17.460 except that it's historical.

00:20:19.400 Like, they're always doing things to us,

00:20:21.860 so we always do things to them, and vice versa, forever.

00:20:25.360 And how much do you think it matters

00:20:27.180 that the CIA is presumably fairly stocked

00:20:34.320 with people who understand Russia but not much else?

00:20:39.020 Am I right?

00:20:40.420 What would happen if the CIA had a bunch of Russia experts,

00:20:45.980 but they had fewer experts in other countries?

00:20:50.260 Wouldn't the CIA be obsessed with Russia

00:20:52.780 simply because that's what their staff is?

00:20:56.160 It's just a bunch of people trained in that area of espionage.

00:21:01.380 So, could it be that all of our problems

00:21:04.140 have to do with staffing in both Russia's secret services and ours,

00:21:09.740 and that they're simply staffed with a bunch of Russia fighters in one

00:21:14.600 and Cold War warriors in the other,

00:21:16.980 and that if you just did some employee reorganization,

00:21:21.760 you know, maybe some forced retirements or something,

00:21:24.160 you'd get a whole different world?

00:21:26.860 Because it does seem to me that if you were a Russia expert,

00:21:29.840 you would need to drum up some Russia problems, wouldn't you?

00:21:33.800 You would have to create some Russia problems 0.99

00:21:36.060 so that you have the greatest career opportunity.

00:21:39.280 So, it seems to me we've created a business model

00:21:42.740 where our CIA should want wars with Russia

00:21:47.520 because they have a bunch of Russia experts on their staff,

00:21:51.140 and they'll all get promotions if there's a Russia conflict.

00:21:54.920 I worry about that.

00:21:58.600 The weirdest thing about this is that the Russia Ministry of Foreign Affairs,

00:22:04.880 so they're saying that the Western countries

00:22:07.120 are spreading a large-scale disinformation campaign

00:22:10.920 about an allegedly impending Russian invasion of Ukraine,

00:22:16.060 quote,

00:22:16.440 in order to divert attention from their own aggressive actions.

00:22:20.120 Is that true?

00:22:23.900 Do you think that Russia put 100,000 forces on the border

00:22:27.660 and knows that everybody knows that,

00:22:31.100 and they're willing to stay in public still

00:22:33.320 with 100,000 forces amassed on the Ukraine border

00:22:36.780 that are obviously offensive forces, or so we were told,

00:22:41.080 are they really telling the world that they're there for no reason?

00:22:43.920 Is Russia really trying to tell us

00:22:48.040 that they put 100,000 forces there?

00:22:51.080 No reason.

00:22:52.960 Or are they saying that they're defensive?

00:22:55.220 Because nobody's suggesting we're attacking Russia.

00:22:58.520 So, here's the question to you.

00:23:01.860 How do you know they have 100,000 forces there?

00:23:05.120 And why didn't somebody ask them that question?

00:23:08.740 You don't think we can get to the Russian foreign ministry guy

00:23:11.840 and ask him a question?

00:23:13.920 I think he's pretty available.

00:23:16.560 Why don't we ask him the question,

00:23:18.840 do you, in fact, have massive forces,

00:23:21.380 give them some numbers,

00:23:22.940 100,000 or so on the border of Ukraine?

00:23:25.500 Yes or no?

00:23:26.900 And is that unusual?

00:23:28.580 Are they normally there?

00:23:31.440 Because I'd just love to see him deal with the question.

00:23:34.620 Because what if he says, no, we don't?

00:23:37.900 What if he said that?

00:23:39.780 What if he said, no, we don't have massive troops on the border?

00:23:43.920 How do you know it's true that we do?

00:23:47.940 How do you know it's true that we do?

00:23:50.760 I don't.

00:23:52.680 I mean, I've believed it,

00:23:54.260 because it seems to be coming from multiple sources.

00:23:57.260 But is it?

00:23:58.060 Do you think that there are multiple news sources

00:24:02.480 that it can all have,

00:24:03.740 they all have, you know, visibility?

00:24:07.920 I don't think so.

00:24:09.440 No, I realize that there's satellite imagery, right?

00:24:12.540 But doesn't everything that we know come from our military?

00:24:17.500 Am I wrong?

00:24:19.040 Do we know anything independently?

00:24:20.740 Can we use our private satellites

00:24:25.220 to look down on them anytime we want?

00:24:29.340 So I guess I have a question.

00:24:30.920 If our news sources can see anything independently

00:24:34.500 and know what it is,

00:24:35.820 or are we just taking the word of our military?

00:24:40.080 At this point, you can't trust anything, can you?

00:24:42.140 I would have to think that it's too big of a claim to be false.

00:24:48.780 Although, weapons of mass destruction in Iraq

00:24:51.140 was a pretty big claim.

00:24:53.660 James Webb knows, you say.

00:24:55.700 Well, ask him what's going on there.

00:25:01.260 All right.

00:25:02.320 There's a Bob Saga update

00:25:04.180 that is not too far from what I speculated.

00:25:07.980 So apparently his head injury was massive.

00:25:09.960 He looked like, you know, somebody had,

00:25:13.440 I guess his head was so cracked

00:25:15.060 it was like somebody hit him with a bat

00:25:16.460 or he had to, you know,

00:25:17.840 fall from a large height or something.

00:25:20.360 But somehow he got in bed.

00:25:21.960 And do you remember my speculation?

00:25:25.000 You remember my speculation that

00:25:27.020 he probably was not thinking right

00:25:31.340 or he was so tired he could just barely get into bed

00:25:33.820 and he was probably at that point,

00:25:36.360 you know, just disoriented.

00:25:39.200 So at this point,

00:25:40.780 and I said that before the doctors, right?

00:25:44.960 You heard me say that,

00:25:46.360 that probably what happened was

00:25:48.840 he was disoriented

00:25:49.880 and didn't know who he was

00:25:51.840 by the time he got in bed.

00:25:53.400 And it's starting to look like

00:25:54.720 that's exactly what happened.

00:25:55.820 They're still ruling out drugs,

00:25:57.820 although apparently he had Klonopin in him.

00:26:01.800 So he had Klonopin in him,

00:26:03.540 but they're ruling out drugs.

00:26:04.720 I'm not sure how you could do that.

00:26:09.520 That would be a...

00:26:12.560 I don't know.

00:26:13.860 I think you'd have to speculate

00:26:15.320 just because you didn't see a direct connection,

00:26:17.520 but I don't know how you could rule it out

00:26:19.280 as being a factor.

00:26:21.080 Certainly the drugs didn't kill him.

00:26:22.480 I think that's what they're saying.

00:26:23.720 But what if you took drugs

00:26:24.880 and they led to your,

00:26:27.200 you know, I don't know,

00:26:28.600 whatever fall or situation possible?

00:26:33.240 And I don't think we're going to find out

00:26:38.140 if there was any crime involved there,

00:26:40.940 but I guess we'll keep watching.

00:26:42.460 There's a report of a mysterious hum

00:26:44.400 around the world

00:26:45.180 that affects 2% of the population.

00:26:48.260 Did you know that?

00:26:49.100 How many of you hear a mysterious hum

00:26:52.900 in your own home?

00:26:55.260 I was looking for one this morning,

00:26:57.060 and then there was a news story on it.

00:26:59.060 I was literally trying to figure out

00:27:00.460 why there's a new loud hum in my house.

00:27:03.680 I still haven't found it.

00:27:05.480 I have a theory,

00:27:06.520 but I haven't confirmed it yet.

00:27:09.200 Yeah, I don't think it's tinnitus

00:27:10.300 because it's only in one room.

00:27:13.380 Yeah, in your garage.

00:27:15.740 Yeah.

00:27:16.320 Apparently it's a pretty big problem

00:27:17.620 around the world.

00:27:18.280 Mysterious hums.

00:27:21.140 Well, let's talk about the truckers.

00:27:23.800 My favorite thing about this story

00:27:25.480 is how CNN covers

00:27:27.000 how Fox covers the truckers.

00:27:30.180 So CNN is trying to paint the truckers

00:27:32.120 as, you know, criminals and racists

00:27:33.860 and ne'er-do-wells 0.94

00:27:35.480 or whatever they're doing.

00:27:36.900 And Fox is covering them

00:27:38.620 as patriots and freedom fighters.

00:27:41.140 So CNN has to insult Fox

00:27:43.660 for how they cover the truckers.

00:27:45.060 So I have a question

00:27:50.440 about our trade with Canada.

00:27:54.320 And I don't mean to insult

00:27:56.000 our Canadian friends,

00:27:59.440 but those trucks have been blocking things

00:28:02.600 for a while.

00:28:04.660 I'm not noticing anything missing.

00:28:06.900 Have you?

00:28:09.660 Is there something mysterious about this?

00:28:13.960 Story number one.

00:28:15.820 We can't get any goods

00:28:16.880 across the border by trucks.

00:28:19.060 Story number two.

00:28:20.860 Except for the specific case

00:28:22.560 of the automotive industry,

00:28:24.360 which is having a problem.

00:28:25.460 Why do I not have any trouble

00:28:28.280 getting anything else?

00:28:31.000 Is it...

00:28:33.700 Now, I know we have airplanes

00:28:35.340 and rail travel

00:28:36.460 and stuff like that,

00:28:37.920 but aside from the car factories,

00:28:43.280 is it just that we have

00:28:45.300 less maple syrup and milk?

00:28:48.500 It's the milk and the maple syrup, right?

00:28:51.260 Because I haven't really noticed.

00:28:53.040 Beef?

00:28:54.340 Lumber?

00:28:55.320 Oh, I guess building materials

00:28:57.260 is pretty big.

00:29:00.180 Somebody says it's because I'm rich,

00:29:02.000 but is it?

00:29:03.080 Now, I know that inflation

00:29:04.460 is killing everybody,

00:29:05.980 so I'm aware of that.

00:29:07.900 Beer.

00:29:08.660 Beer, you hoser.

00:29:11.240 All right.

00:29:11.880 Well, apparently the value

00:29:14.820 of the trade from Canada

00:29:15.980 is largely optional materials.

00:29:19.080 Am I wrong?

00:29:20.460 That everything we trade

00:29:21.580 with Canada is optional?

00:29:23.400 Well, I'd like some delicious maple syrup

00:29:26.040 on my pancakes,

00:29:27.940 but I could eat a donut.

00:29:30.320 I would like to buy a new car,

00:29:33.580 but my old car will run for a while.

00:29:36.560 I would love a Molson,

00:29:39.080 but, you know,

00:29:41.540 Heideken's fine.

00:29:42.260 I would worry.

00:29:46.680 I worry that the Canadian trade

00:29:48.460 is not any essentials whatsoever.

00:29:51.360 And then I guess the gas

00:29:52.820 and the oil would be coming

00:29:54.180 in the pipeline,

00:29:54.880 so they wouldn't be affected.

00:29:56.620 Yeah, there's hockey.

00:29:57.700 There's hockey.

00:30:00.400 Yeah, so I don't want to,

00:30:01.560 I don't want to understate

00:30:03.080 the effect it had

00:30:04.000 on the car companies,

00:30:05.140 because that sounds pretty bad.

00:30:06.200 Joe Rogan broadcast

00:30:09.880 the Majeed experience.

00:30:11.320 I don't know what that is.

00:30:15.020 Lumber.

00:30:20.260 End school mandates.

00:30:22.160 Is that a,

00:30:23.420 that looks like a editorial

00:30:25.180 in the Wall Street Journal.

00:30:27.060 So,

00:30:27.920 is anything happening

00:30:31.920 with mandates?

00:30:33.360 So apparently in California

00:30:34.560 there's going to be some talk

00:30:35.980 this coming week

00:30:36.860 about what,

00:30:37.640 how to,

00:30:37.940 how to turn this into an endemic,

00:30:39.860 which it already is.

00:30:42.340 Joe Rogan is winning.

00:30:44.220 Yeah.

00:30:50.380 Kyle says,

00:30:51.380 doesn't Scott know Canada

00:30:52.620 is the number one trading partner

00:30:54.160 with the U.S.?

00:30:55.160 Kyle,

00:30:56.260 that's my point.

00:30:59.860 Thank you for seeing

00:31:00.880 the obvious, Kyle.

00:31:02.980 Yes,

00:31:03.540 my point is,

00:31:04.720 how in the world

00:31:05.520 is it not affecting us

00:31:06.700 in a way that,

00:31:07.820 like,

00:31:08.020 is really affecting my life?

00:31:09.940 Given that Canada

00:31:11.000 is a massive trading partner,

00:31:12.920 as is Mexico,

00:31:14.400 wouldn't you expect

00:31:15.180 any disruption

00:31:15.920 in a massive trading partner

00:31:17.660 to have an immediate effect?

00:31:21.840 Right?

00:31:22.360 That's the whole point.

00:31:23.480 The whole point is,

00:31:24.400 if trade is that big

00:31:25.320 and it's disrupted,

00:31:26.060 why don't I see it?

00:31:28.760 Yeah,

00:31:29.180 and maybe two weeks

00:31:29.880 is not enough,

00:31:31.120 but given the extent of it,

00:31:33.220 of the interruption,

00:31:35.740 you'd expect,

00:31:36.920 I would expect to see it by now.

00:31:38.500 Oh, there's another bridge

00:31:42.220 an hour to the north,

00:31:43.320 so all it is

00:31:44.180 is an inconvenience

00:31:45.200 of an hour.

00:31:45.820 Is that true?

00:31:47.040 Or a couple hours?

00:31:49.020 Maybe.

00:31:50.120 It seems like that bridge

00:31:51.040 would be pretty...

00:31:51.500 When is the last time

00:31:55.540 you saw it made in Canada

00:31:56.700 on a label?

00:31:59.400 That's a good question.

00:32:01.460 But, you know,

00:32:01.980 if you're buying lumber

00:32:02.960 and gas,

00:32:04.420 you're not going to see

00:32:04.980 a label on it.

00:32:05.680 Why didn't COVID

00:32:12.880 affect the protesters

00:32:14.100 if COVID

00:32:15.000 is so infectious?

00:32:16.100 Well,

00:32:16.320 I don't know

00:32:16.680 that it didn't.

00:32:18.820 ABC says

00:32:19.680 California

00:32:20.200 still wants mandates.

00:32:23.300 Well,

00:32:23.840 we still have them,

00:32:24.740 so somebody wants them.

00:32:26.520 And I do think

00:32:28.240 that the public

00:32:28.900 in California

00:32:30.020 might be pro-mask.

00:32:31.320 By the way,

00:32:36.260 where is the Super Bowl

00:32:37.100 this year?

00:32:37.620 Is it in California?

00:32:39.460 Who has the Super Bowl?

00:32:41.240 Is it us?

00:32:42.560 L.A.?

00:32:44.140 L.A.?

00:32:45.320 L.A.?

00:32:46.240 Really?

00:32:47.600 This is how little

00:32:48.540 I follow sports.

00:32:50.020 So I didn't know

00:32:50.600 the Super Bowl

00:32:51.140 was in L.A.

00:32:52.460 until just this moment.

00:32:54.000 And the first thing

00:32:54.780 that I think to myself is,

00:32:56.320 didn't they pick

00:32:56.840 the worst place

00:32:57.640 of the entire country

00:33:00.220 I guess has to do

00:33:02.860 with the size

00:33:03.580 of the facility

00:33:04.240 and stuff.

00:33:05.380 But I'm pretty sure

00:33:06.040 they picked

00:33:06.380 the very worst place

00:33:07.400 in the entire country,

00:33:08.360 didn't they?

00:33:09.280 And how long ago

00:33:10.180 did they pick it?

00:33:11.620 Because if they picked it

00:33:12.600 once we knew

00:33:13.500 the pandemic

00:33:14.220 was in place,

00:33:16.840 it was selected

00:33:17.440 years ago.

00:33:18.100 Yeah, it's part

00:33:18.480 of a rotation.

00:33:19.260 Somebody says,

00:33:19.780 okay.

00:33:20.500 Well, that's bad timing

00:33:21.720 because that was

00:33:22.340 the very worst place

00:33:23.720 to put it.

00:33:24.640 Now, let me ask you

00:33:25.480 something.

00:33:26.980 Are the Omicron

00:33:28.020 Olympics still going on?

00:33:31.040 I'm not hearing anything.

00:33:33.400 I have not seen

00:33:34.400 one event.

00:33:36.660 I've seen the headlines

00:33:37.960 that I skip.

00:33:39.660 The Omicron Olympics

00:33:40.820 completely disappeared.

00:33:44.140 Am I right?

00:33:50.640 One TV and a bar

00:33:52.000 of 20 TVs last night.

00:33:53.420 Yeah.

00:33:54.140 Yeah, we are very aggressively

00:33:55.960 not caring about the Olympics

00:33:57.420 and I'm happy about that.

00:33:59.040 Sorry about the athletes,

00:34:00.220 but you took a high-risk path

00:34:07.320 if you're trying to be

00:34:07.980 an Olympic athlete.

00:34:10.220 All right.

00:34:13.880 Oh, there's a tunnel

00:34:14.840 near the bridge as well.

00:34:16.360 Okay.

00:34:17.080 Well, all these stories

00:34:18.000 seem to be lacking context.

00:34:20.660 Again.

00:34:20.740 All right.

00:34:22.080 So it seems that the news

00:34:23.860 is mostly continuation news.

00:34:26.240 So there's just more stuff

00:34:27.560 about the same stuff

00:34:28.440 we've been talking about.

00:34:29.240 So I don't want to,

00:34:29.960 you know,

00:34:30.900 belabor it too much.

00:34:32.160 Does anybody have a question

00:34:33.320 for me that you've been

00:34:34.700 holding on to?

00:34:37.500 Because I know that sometimes

00:34:38.820 I create curiosity

00:34:41.740 about either a point of view

00:34:43.560 or something I said

00:34:44.480 that was inconsistent,

00:34:45.840 maybe.

00:34:46.060 Maybe.

00:34:46.120 weight loss and COVID.

00:34:53.960 All right.

00:34:54.220 Gary says,

00:34:59.480 Scott,

00:34:59.740 the data changed.

00:35:01.020 I don't trust the data.

00:35:02.180 I made Dilbert.

00:35:03.100 Too on the nose.

00:35:04.020 Best of...

00:35:04.800 So you're saying

00:35:05.820 that I'm inconsistent

00:35:06.960 about trusting the data

00:35:08.820 or not.

00:35:10.680 But there's no inconsistency there.

00:35:12.540 I'm saying that the data

00:35:13.520 all changed.

00:35:15.280 That doesn't say

00:35:16.240 that you should trust it.

00:35:17.660 Doesn't mean it was right

00:35:18.540 before or wrong before.

00:35:19.400 I think I'm consistent there.

00:35:21.720 Because nobody's doubting

00:35:23.320 the data changed.

00:35:27.040 Did you find a Mustang?

00:35:28.400 Yes.

00:35:31.180 Successfully.

00:35:31.900 It's quite awesome too.

00:35:35.180 The cat's around.

00:35:36.800 The cat, unfortunately,

00:35:37.800 is not doing too well.

00:35:38.640 When do you leave

00:35:43.980 in California?

00:35:45.120 That's a wait and see.

00:35:49.180 Yeah, Boo...

00:35:50.140 Boo had a...

00:35:51.020 My cat had an operation

00:35:52.040 for polyps,

00:35:53.800 but apparently

00:35:54.600 the operation didn't work.

00:35:56.220 So she's back

00:35:56.800 to her original bad situation.

00:36:01.880 Who came up

00:36:02.880 with February 1st?

00:36:04.260 So Greg and I

00:36:06.880 sort of agreed

00:36:08.660 on February 1st.

00:36:11.700 How were the water leaks?

00:36:13.240 Just fixed...

00:36:14.140 Just fixed another one.

00:36:15.880 Yeah.

00:36:16.840 It was my 13th water leak

00:36:18.840 of the year, I think.

00:36:25.340 Yeah.

00:36:26.880 All right, Gary.

00:36:27.700 I think I'm going to get rid of you 1.00

00:36:28.900 just for being a jerk. 1.00

00:36:33.020 Hide user. 1.00

00:36:34.080 You're gone.

00:36:36.880 What was the mystery

00:36:38.260 UFO related to?

00:36:39.960 What?

00:36:42.760 All right.

00:36:45.400 Do I dream of water leaks?

00:36:47.180 I haven't.

00:36:48.900 Oh, how's the book coming?

00:36:49.720 Yeah, I'm working on a new book.

00:36:52.420 It's coming along well.

00:36:54.100 Cat is still alive,

00:36:55.880 but she's having problems.

00:37:00.920 Snickers is doing well.

00:37:02.000 Thoughts on Jesse Waters' new show?

00:37:06.540 I need to spend more time

00:37:07.560 looking at it.

00:37:08.220 I've only seen some clips.

00:37:10.180 I'm sure it's awesome.

00:37:17.960 Is civil war a possibility?

00:37:19.780 No, it's not.

00:37:21.580 We're nowhere near civil war

00:37:23.060 in the United States.

00:37:24.400 Not even close.

00:37:27.620 Can you elaborate

00:37:28.420 what I mean by

00:37:29.540 the left is blind

00:37:30.460 to human motivation?

00:37:31.520 Yeah.

00:37:32.420 So,

00:37:33.400 the right consistently

00:37:34.980 pursues strategies

00:37:36.680 that understand

00:37:37.920 that people are selfish

00:37:39.100 and lazy. 0.57

00:37:40.540 And if you don't,

00:37:41.320 if you don't give them

00:37:42.420 rewards and penalties

00:37:43.500 for doing the right thing,

00:37:45.580 they're not going to do

00:37:46.160 the right thing on their own.

00:37:47.600 It's just that.

00:37:48.620 And you can just find it

00:37:49.860 in a million different ways.

00:37:50.920 Just pick it,

00:37:51.820 pick anything that

00:37:52.820 people differ on

00:37:54.600 and it's probably going to be there.

00:37:55.820 I watch CNN more than MSNBC

00:38:03.340 because MSNBC

00:38:04.600 seems like literally crazy

00:38:07.520 where CNN just looks

00:38:09.720 like they're lying

00:38:10.620 but it's obvious.

00:38:13.040 MSNBC, 0.99

00:38:13.800 they look actually crazy. 0.96

00:38:15.980 Does anybody else

00:38:17.120 have that opinion?

00:38:18.600 CNN doesn't look crazy to me

00:38:20.560 because it's obvious

00:38:21.380 they're lying.

00:38:22.000 Right?

00:38:24.320 But you go to MSNBC

00:38:25.500 and it's not obvious

00:38:26.520 they're lying.

00:38:27.860 It looks like they believe

00:38:28.800 what they're saying.

00:38:29.560 And that's a whole

00:38:30.440 different level

00:38:31.480 of messed up.

00:38:34.060 Now,

00:38:34.680 of course,

00:38:35.600 I can't read their minds.

00:38:37.020 So,

00:38:37.260 maybe they're all thinking

00:38:38.220 exactly the same thing.

00:38:39.740 I can't tell.

00:38:40.700 But,

00:38:41.200 it does look like

00:38:42.660 the CNN people

00:38:43.620 know they're lying.

00:38:45.720 It does look like that.

00:38:47.060 I don't know.

00:38:48.460 But that,

00:38:48.980 you know,

00:38:49.200 it's just subjective.

00:38:49.920 About the 2,000 mules.

00:39:00.160 What do my sources

00:39:00.800 say about the 2,000 mules?

00:39:02.580 So,

00:39:03.140 remember we talked

00:39:04.060 about that

00:39:04.640 story

00:39:07.700 or the allegation

00:39:08.820 that there was

00:39:09.540 a bunch of ballot stuffing

00:39:10.500 and that

00:39:11.100 there were

00:39:12.360 specific mules

00:39:13.700 that went to ballot box

00:39:15.060 after ballot box.

00:39:16.200 Have you noticed

00:39:16.760 that story

00:39:17.280 just sort of died?

00:39:18.120 I guess

00:39:21.580 it just couldn't

00:39:22.180 get traction

00:39:22.700 for...

00:39:23.940 And the reason would be

00:39:25.080 I can't imagine

00:39:25.920 that the sources

00:39:26.700 were shown.

00:39:28.380 Yeah,

00:39:28.540 I think Dinesh D'Souza

00:39:30.260 was behind some of that

00:39:32.060 or all of it.

00:39:33.240 I don't know.

00:39:34.140 But it wasn't

00:39:34.900 the whole question

00:39:35.560 everybody saw it

00:39:36.280 and said,

00:39:36.580 wow,

00:39:36.940 if you can show

00:39:37.740 sources for that,

00:39:38.720 that's really good.

00:39:39.860 And I haven't heard

00:39:40.860 any sources.

00:39:41.780 So I guess

00:39:43.440 it might be

00:39:44.120 a wait and see.

00:39:44.840 If there are sources,

00:39:45.700 then that's a whole

00:39:46.680 new ballgame.

00:39:47.340 If there are not,

00:39:47.940 then it's just

00:39:48.800 one of those things.

00:39:56.220 Did the actual film

00:39:57.340 come out yet?

00:39:58.160 Yeah,

00:39:58.540 maybe that's what

00:39:59.140 we're waiting for,

00:39:59.920 is the film to come out.

00:40:05.420 The room with the hum

00:40:06.560 doesn't have any difference

00:40:07.760 in fluorescent lighting

00:40:10.020 that it had before.

00:40:13.080 Are you sad today?

00:40:14.520 Nope.

00:40:15.360 No.

00:40:17.120 I'm just not excited

00:40:18.500 by anything today

00:40:19.300 because the news

00:40:20.160 wasn't that interesting.

00:40:22.920 Could the hum

00:40:23.700 be a sonic weapon?

00:40:24.900 Makes you wonder.

00:40:25.960 I don't think the hums

00:40:26.960 are damaging anybody,

00:40:28.180 though.

00:40:34.300 Best show ever?

00:40:35.340 I think so.

00:40:36.060 Yeah.

00:40:36.160 germ or terrain theory.

00:40:42.000 I don't know about that.

00:40:48.280 The DeSantis

00:40:49.300 slaughter meter.

00:40:50.720 I saw there was a story

00:40:51.880 about his wife

00:40:52.780 talking about her

00:40:53.760 cancer

00:40:54.780 and about their future.

00:40:56.760 I didn't read the article,

00:40:58.340 but is there anything

00:40:59.220 that would keep

00:40:59.860 DeSantis from

00:41:01.040 running for president

00:41:02.780 besides Trump?

00:41:03.620 I think it's just

00:41:05.380 down to Trump,

00:41:06.120 isn't it?

00:41:10.300 How old are the lights

00:41:11.600 with the hum?

00:41:12.560 Newish.

00:41:17.620 Oh, the hum stopped.

00:41:19.680 Hold on.

00:41:22.280 Yeah, it stopped.

00:41:24.180 I'm not that far away

00:41:25.460 from a gravel mixing factory,

00:41:29.620 and I think it's that,

00:41:30.820 actually.

00:41:31.000 All right.

00:41:35.020 Couldn't the blockchain

00:41:35.760 be used for elections?

00:41:37.260 I think so,

00:41:37.860 but I don't know.

00:41:43.780 Can Trump afford

00:41:45.140 another run?

00:41:45.920 I don't think so.

00:41:49.160 Elon lost 40 satellites

00:41:50.900 in a solar storm?

00:41:51.980 Really?

00:41:53.980 Wow.

00:41:54.460 Wow.

00:41:54.520 Why are you not angry

00:41:59.660 about no election integrity?

00:42:02.060 Are you kidding?

00:42:04.640 Has anybody

00:42:05.520 not heard me go off

00:42:06.920 time and time again

00:42:08.180 about

00:42:08.680 not having

00:42:10.360 an auditable election?

00:42:12.740 That's like

00:42:13.360 one of my top things

00:42:14.280 I scream about.

00:42:20.640 From the most recent launch.

00:42:22.260 Okay.

00:42:24.520 Wow.

00:42:28.080 40 satellites.

00:42:28.980 How vulnerable

00:42:35.800 is civilization

00:42:36.740 to a coronal

00:42:37.640 mass

00:42:38.080 ejection?

00:42:41.380 I don't know.

00:42:46.660 You know,

00:42:47.140 I spend not a lot

00:42:48.440 of time worrying

00:42:49.080 about the sudden

00:42:49.880 destruction of Earth

00:42:50.920 from unlikely events,

00:42:53.340 because I don't

00:42:54.460 really understand

00:42:55.140 how we're here

00:42:55.680 in the first place.

00:42:56.500 doesn't it seem

00:42:58.480 really weird

00:42:59.360 that humans

00:43:00.080 have been here

00:43:00.540 in our modern

00:43:02.360 form by 100,000

00:43:03.980 years or something?

00:43:05.360 And we all

00:43:06.000 got lucky

00:43:06.520 that the world

00:43:07.500 is just right?

00:43:12.460 All right.

00:43:17.480 Are we really

00:43:18.480 in a simulation?

00:43:19.580 I think so.

00:43:21.340 I do think so.

00:43:22.480 I think by far

00:43:30.180 it's the most

00:43:30.620 likely

00:43:31.080 explanation.

00:43:34.480 All right.

00:43:35.200 I don't want

00:43:35.620 to talk about

00:43:36.160 future

00:43:36.700 like disasters.

00:43:39.940 All right.

00:43:40.620 I'm going to go

00:43:41.020 do something else.

00:43:43.220 And

00:43:43.660 I hope all of you

00:43:45.480 have

00:43:45.800 changed your diets

00:43:47.520 based on my

00:43:48.200 hypnotist diet plan.

00:43:49.300 And

00:43:50.840 I hope you're

00:43:52.740 all getting

00:43:53.100 happier and

00:43:53.620 healthier and

00:43:54.160 stronger.

00:43:55.520 And I will

00:43:55.920 talk to you

00:43:56.480 tomorrow.

00:43:57.460 Tomorrow.

00:43:57.580 morning.

00:44:02.060 We'll see you

00:44:02.160 tomorrow.

00:44:03.120 tener

00:44:03.180 kita

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 12, 2022

Episode 1652 Scott Adams： Let's Figure Out What is Going On in Ukraine, Great Clawback Update

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