Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1658 Scott Adams： Freedom, Fuel, Fake News, Ukraine, The Squad Effect, Unwoke Immigrants

00:00:00.000 Good morning and a welcome to another highlight of your entire existence.

00:00:10.720 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. It's famous all over wherever this live stream is.

00:00:17.900 And, well, you think that's mostly a terrestrial thing,

00:00:21.260 but we don't know if our signals are being picked up by extraterrestrials.

00:00:26.080 But one thing we do know, if any space aliens are listening to this live stream,

00:00:32.860 it's also the highlight of their entire civilization.

00:00:36.960 And let's take it up a notch.

00:00:38.600 Let's show those space aliens what we can do with a simultaneous sip. 1.00

00:00:43.600 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or a Chelsea Stein, a canteen, jug, flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:49.800 Not a UFO, not a UFO, but a vessel that would hold a beverage of any kind.

00:00:55.360 I like coffee.

00:00:58.660 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:03.240 It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:05.540 It's the thing everybody's talking about.

00:01:07.380 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:09.340 And it happens now. Go.

00:01:14.700 Oh, yeah.

00:01:15.520 Well, there used to be old Saturday Night Live joke, Chevy Chase,

00:01:25.240 when I guess it was Spain's Franco died.

00:01:30.520 And he would do the fake news and he would say,

00:01:33.300 and Spain's Francisco Franco is still dead,

00:01:37.740 which was hilarious back in those days.

00:01:39.960 The point is that what we consider funny really changes over time.

00:01:46.420 However, I think of that every time I see that Ukraine has not been attacked by Russia.

00:01:53.760 What is your current thinking in the comments?

00:01:57.600 Will Russia do a major attack?

00:02:00.000 Now, we all think they're going to keep the pressure on and try to annex things or whatever.

00:02:04.380 But will they attack, attack?

00:02:07.880 See, mostly no's.

00:02:10.280 Mostly no's.

00:02:11.580 Interesting.

00:02:13.060 Now, here's what's the most interesting about this.

00:02:18.120 The news is telling you mostly yes, aren't they?

00:02:21.060 Our intelligence agencies, our government, are saying any day now, any day now.

00:02:28.600 And yet most of you, almost all of you, really, well over 90%, are saying no.

00:02:34.400 You don't think it's going to happen.

00:02:36.340 Have we reached a point where the lies of the government are now so transparent

00:02:41.000 that they won't have an effect on us?

00:02:45.200 I'm going to talk a little bit about things that came from the pandemic

00:02:49.240 that are insanely positive.

00:02:52.880 You know, the pandemic itself, of course, a major tragedy.

00:02:56.620 A million Americans dead, six million globally.

00:03:00.520 I'm not, you know, taking away anything from that.

00:03:03.160 But with wars of any kind, whether it's a war against people or a war against the virus,

00:03:08.180 you end up with all these unintentional benefits.

00:03:11.280 And wow, do we get a few.

00:03:12.780 You know, not enough maybe to pay for the pandemic, but they'll last.

00:03:18.580 We'll talk about that in a little bit.

00:03:20.820 So on Ukraine, I have this to add.

00:03:24.340 You know how important it is that the frame or the way you look at a problem

00:03:30.060 will really constrain your options.

00:03:34.520 In other words, if you look at a problem as we often do for these international things,

00:03:39.800 as they only respond to power,

00:03:42.140 or the other side, whoever the other side is,

00:03:45.980 in this case, let's say it's Russia,

00:03:47.960 they only respond to strength.

00:03:50.960 Now, on one level, that's true enough.

00:03:55.960 Would you agree with me?

00:03:57.900 Would you agree with me that on a surface level,

00:04:01.320 that's pretty true,

00:04:03.560 that other countries really do only respond to strength?

00:04:06.480 Because if anybody sees an opportunity,

00:04:09.780 they take it.

00:04:11.220 Am I wrong?

00:04:12.640 There's no exception to that.

00:04:14.760 Any country that sees a national opportunity,

00:04:17.640 if it has a low cost,

00:04:19.820 they're going to take it.

00:04:21.920 You know, countries are organized to optimize what's good for the country.

00:04:26.680 So of course it's true

00:04:27.840 that power is the primary variable

00:04:30.860 that keeps things stable or keeps things unstable.

00:04:34.260 So there's no question about the basic truth of that.

00:04:37.880 However, however,

00:04:41.320 when you reframe things,

00:04:44.100 here's a little secret for you.

00:04:47.920 The reframe doesn't need to be true.

00:04:52.240 It only needs to work.

00:04:55.720 Right?

00:04:56.160 So what might be true

00:04:57.600 is that strength is the only thing that matters.

00:05:00.200 That might be just completely, 100% true.

00:05:05.200 And if you were a physicist or a scientist,

00:05:08.240 and somehow you can measure who has the power,

00:05:11.420 and importantly, who knows they have the power,

00:05:13.820 and who knows they don't,

00:05:15.760 you'd probably be able to predict what will happen

00:05:17.940 almost every time.

00:05:20.140 But,

00:05:20.860 if you were to reframe the problem this way,

00:05:24.040 which might be less true,

00:05:27.080 but would it be more effective?

00:05:28.440 And this way is,

00:05:31.280 what do you want?

00:05:33.400 Just what do you want?

00:05:35.580 Here's a scenario I imagine.

00:05:38.540 Now, I'm not hallucinating that this would really work.

00:05:42.260 I'm just taking you through a thinking process.

00:05:44.860 If I could spend an hour with Putin,

00:05:48.360 and, I don't know,

00:05:49.360 let's say, amazingly,

00:05:50.840 he learned to speak English in the last week,

00:05:53.340 so we could just have, like,

00:05:54.560 a conversation in the same language,

00:05:56.680 no interpreter,

00:05:58.200 just the two of us in the room.

00:06:00.940 And if I could say to him,

00:06:02.440 okay, look,

00:06:03.760 just tell me what you need.

00:06:05.800 Like, what do you need?

00:06:07.740 What's in it for you, really?

00:06:10.080 Is it,

00:06:10.880 is it the pipelines?

00:06:12.740 You know,

00:06:13.000 and everything's going to be a little bit yes.

00:06:14.740 It's somewhat about national defense.

00:06:19.440 It might be about pride.

00:06:20.920 It might be about momentum.

00:06:22.660 It might be about consolidating leadership over his country.

00:06:27.300 It might be writing past injustices.

00:06:31.000 It might be about returning Russia to its former glory. 0.91

00:06:35.380 Maybe.

00:06:36.740 But over here,

00:06:37.540 we're just guessing,

00:06:38.340 aren't we?

00:06:39.600 Don't you feel like we're just guessing?

00:06:41.860 Because everything depends on just what's happening

00:06:44.380 literally in one person's skull area.

00:06:47.900 That's all.

00:06:49.100 Just one person.

00:06:50.940 And what's happening in this little,

00:06:52.780 this little piece of brain,

00:06:55.340 like the actual chemical reaction that's happening there,

00:06:58.100 that will determine the life and deaths

00:07:02.140 of, I don't know,

00:07:03.960 a million people.

00:07:05.940 That little bit of chemical reaction

00:07:07.820 in one person's brain.

00:07:09.380 It all depends on that.

00:07:11.860 So,

00:07:12.720 suppose you put me in the room with Putin.

00:07:15.280 Now, keep in mind,

00:07:17.360 Putin is a high-level player.

00:07:19.860 We assume he's very persuasive,

00:07:21.900 to say the least.

00:07:26.860 But so am I.

00:07:28.760 You know,

00:07:29.200 in my own different way.

00:07:31.900 And if I asked him,

00:07:33.180 and I spent enough time with him,

00:07:34.600 don't you think I could find out

00:07:35.860 what the real problem is?

00:07:37.220 He might not say it directly,

00:07:39.500 but I'll bet it would come out.

00:07:41.840 You know,

00:07:42.080 maybe not in the first five minutes.

00:07:44.340 But if you could just hang with him

00:07:45.680 for like an hour,

00:07:47.280 and just talk about all the things,

00:07:49.860 I'll bet he would reveal,

00:07:51.560 even unintentionally,

00:07:53.420 maybe by the one he talks about the most,

00:07:55.480 maybe by the one he shows the most,

00:07:59.120 let's say,

00:08:00.060 let's say he mentions

00:08:01.140 there's a whole bunch of reasons,

00:08:03.380 but when he mentions one of them,

00:08:05.120 he becomes more animated.

00:08:08.580 You know,

00:08:08.940 when he's talking about it,

00:08:10.140 you can see that that's the one.

00:08:11.720 You look in his eyes,

00:08:13.360 you can see that's the one that matters.

00:08:15.080 The other ones are all true,

00:08:16.140 but maybe one matters more,

00:08:19.060 right,

00:08:19.400 just to the one person,

00:08:20.920 and the one brain,

00:08:22.040 and the one skull,

00:08:23.520 and the world.

00:08:25.260 Now,

00:08:25.840 do you think that you could not

00:08:27.120 figure out a way

00:08:27.980 to give him what he wants,

00:08:30.380 whatever that is,

00:08:32.180 the main thing he wants,

00:08:34.060 without giving up something

00:08:35.440 that you don't want to give up?

00:08:37.720 I don't know.

00:08:39.480 Maybe there is no way.

00:08:40.620 Maybe it is just power.

00:08:42.100 But,

00:08:42.600 as long as we think

00:08:43.780 that the frame is just power,

00:08:45.200 you can't even ask

00:08:45.980 the right question.

00:08:47.620 Because maybe,

00:08:49.660 just maybe,

00:08:51.380 just pick one.

00:08:52.920 What if the only thing

00:08:54.340 he cared about

00:08:55.000 was selling energy?

00:08:57.620 What if that's the only thing?

00:08:59.660 And otherwise,

00:09:00.320 he's not actually that worried

00:09:01.560 about NATO attacking Russia.

00:09:03.900 Because if you talk to Putin,

00:09:05.200 would he really say,

00:09:06.560 I'm afraid of NATO attacking?

00:09:09.460 Would he?

00:09:10.920 I don't know.

00:09:12.620 Maybe he's not,

00:09:13.600 I mean,

00:09:13.960 NATO is,

00:09:14.440 a defensive force

00:09:16.400 by nature,

00:09:18.220 but of course,

00:09:19.000 everything defensive

00:09:19.760 looks a little bit offensive.

00:09:21.760 So,

00:09:23.220 is it,

00:09:24.000 is it about

00:09:24.700 his legacy?

00:09:27.340 Suppose you found out

00:09:28.480 that what,

00:09:28.940 what Putin wanted

00:09:30.160 more than anything

00:09:30.920 is a legacy.

00:09:33.220 Could you give him

00:09:34.200 a legacy

00:09:34.700 without giving up

00:09:36.440 too much

00:09:37.180 of what you want

00:09:37.780 to give up?

00:09:39.080 Maybe.

00:09:39.720 I don't know.

00:09:40.580 Maybe not,

00:09:41.180 but if we're not

00:09:43.340 asking

00:09:44.560 exactly what

00:09:46.300 he cares about

00:09:47.040 and we can't

00:09:47.660 figure it out,

00:09:48.660 how in the world

00:09:49.460 do you get a good outcome?

00:09:51.640 By luck?

00:09:53.280 Or you just let the power

00:09:54.760 go where the power goes

00:09:56.140 and it doesn't matter

00:09:57.360 who wanted what

00:09:58.260 or why.

00:09:59.520 It's just the water

00:10:00.420 is going to find

00:10:00.940 its own level

00:10:01.540 and we're just waiting

00:10:02.600 to find out what happens.

00:10:04.400 Maybe that.

00:10:05.020 But I would at least

00:10:06.580 be open to the question

00:10:07.720 of what the hell

00:10:09.540 does he want?

00:10:10.280 And on top of that,

00:10:11.380 I had a wild idea

00:10:14.080 that kind of connects

00:10:15.920 to my earlier statements

00:10:17.880 about maybe

00:10:19.520 publicly interviewing people.

00:10:22.820 Which is,

00:10:24.460 can you imagine

00:10:25.260 a better interview

00:10:26.080 than me interviewing Putin?

00:10:28.880 And is it even legal?

00:10:32.940 Would that even be legal?

00:10:35.020 And what would happen

00:10:36.220 to me if he said yes?

00:10:38.240 Like,

00:10:38.580 if I actually,

00:10:39.520 you know,

00:10:39.740 put it out there

00:10:40.460 and he said yes?

00:10:44.160 Because

00:10:44.680 he might.

00:10:46.920 He might.

00:10:47.520 I mean,

00:10:47.720 he is actually

00:10:48.360 quite open to media

00:10:50.400 and by now

00:10:51.280 he knows that,

00:10:52.080 you know,

00:10:52.880 podcasters have

00:10:53.780 some little weight

00:10:54.940 in the ecosystem.

00:10:57.100 So what if he said yes?

00:10:59.100 Would that even be legal?

00:11:03.140 Because

00:11:03.660 I would worry

00:11:04.940 that I would break

00:11:05.580 some kind of

00:11:06.120 treason law

00:11:06.960 if I accidentally

00:11:08.380 gave him a platform

00:11:09.340 where he looked good.

00:11:11.520 That'd be a big problem,

00:11:12.800 wouldn't it?

00:11:13.680 So wouldn't I have

00:11:14.720 to make him look bad

00:11:15.840 to be an okay American?

00:11:19.980 You know,

00:11:20.220 could I continue

00:11:21.000 being an American

00:11:21.840 if I made Putin

00:11:23.020 look good accidentally?

00:11:24.680 I mean,

00:11:24.960 it'd be a pretty big risk,

00:11:26.220 wouldn't it?

00:11:27.040 But if I came at it

00:11:28.680 with the intention

00:11:29.680 of not making him

00:11:31.700 look good,

00:11:32.840 first of all,

00:11:33.400 why would he do it?

00:11:35.040 And second of all,

00:11:36.360 why would I do it?

00:11:38.040 Why would I do it?

00:11:39.480 I wouldn't have

00:11:40.100 any interest in that.

00:11:41.740 Right?

00:11:42.140 Other people

00:11:42.760 can make him look bad.

00:11:44.320 But I would actually

00:11:45.400 legitimately want to know

00:11:46.920 what the hell

00:11:47.280 he's thinking.

00:11:48.300 And I think

00:11:49.180 I could get it out of him.

00:11:51.220 I know you don't.

00:11:53.000 But I actually think

00:11:53.780 I could get it out of him.

00:11:55.020 Because I think

00:11:55.740 I could get it

00:11:56.440 out of anyone.

00:11:58.560 Of course,

00:11:59.080 it depends on

00:11:59.860 this one thing,

00:12:00.880 which is speculation.

00:12:02.920 That if you knew

00:12:04.060 what he really wanted,

00:12:05.420 it wouldn't shock you

00:12:06.580 or surprise you

00:12:07.380 that much.

00:12:08.720 That we just need

00:12:09.620 to know what it is.

00:12:11.580 And we don't know

00:12:12.460 which of his several

00:12:13.520 fairly good reasons

00:12:15.320 for doing

00:12:16.360 what he's doing.

00:12:17.380 We don't know

00:12:17.900 which one is

00:12:18.460 the activating one.

00:12:19.780 But if we did,

00:12:21.120 I'll bet we could

00:12:21.700 figure out

00:12:22.120 something pretty quickly.

00:12:24.460 And he's also

00:12:25.240 a practical person,

00:12:26.420 right?

00:12:27.560 We think.

00:12:29.060 Would you say

00:12:29.700 that's a fair

00:12:30.240 characterization?

00:12:31.600 That whatever you

00:12:32.440 think of Putin's

00:12:33.280 breathtaking evil,

00:12:36.020 you would also

00:12:37.040 say he's effective

00:12:38.300 and he's

00:12:42.100 the least rational player.

00:12:46.100 Lex Friedman

00:12:46.940 is going to

00:12:47.380 interview Putin?

00:12:48.840 Is that true?

00:12:49.760 Is that really

00:12:51.940 happening?

00:12:53.880 Now that would be

00:12:54.660 interesting.

00:12:56.340 Was Lex

00:12:57.260 born in Russia?

00:12:59.020 I don't know

00:12:59.500 his background.

00:13:00.220 Somebody mentioned

00:13:00.820 that somewhere.

00:13:03.820 Your naivety

00:13:04.600 with Putin

00:13:05.420 is terrifying.

00:13:09.600 Let me speak

00:13:10.820 to that.

00:13:12.080 My naivety

00:13:12.980 with Putin

00:13:14.060 is terrifying.

00:13:15.300 Now whoever

00:13:15.820 is saying that

00:13:16.420 I'm naive

00:13:17.000 about Putin,

00:13:18.740 the assumption

00:13:19.860 built into that

00:13:20.720 comment,

00:13:21.300 which by the way

00:13:21.900 is completely

00:13:22.500 correct.

00:13:24.020 I'm not

00:13:24.700 disputing your

00:13:25.560 characterization.

00:13:26.860 If you're saying

00:13:27.420 that I'm completely

00:13:28.140 naive about Putin,

00:13:29.520 that's actually

00:13:30.200 my point.

00:13:31.860 That's my point.

00:13:32.880 But I'm saying

00:13:34.680 that we all are.

00:13:36.300 That's the whole point.

00:13:38.620 So if you're saying,

00:13:39.620 Scott, you don't know

00:13:40.340 anything about Putin,

00:13:41.480 you're following

00:13:42.100 correctly.

00:13:43.540 That's the point.

00:13:44.580 We don't know

00:13:45.180 what he's thinking.

00:13:46.560 Now if you don't

00:13:47.500 think I could get

00:13:48.320 it out of him,

00:13:49.980 then maybe you

00:13:50.820 don't understand

00:13:51.400 the tools

00:13:51.960 of persuasion.

00:13:54.580 But I think

00:13:55.260 somebody with my

00:13:56.340 same type

00:13:58.620 of training

00:13:59.260 and experience

00:14:00.180 probably could

00:14:01.180 get it out of him.

00:14:02.900 You would just

00:14:03.440 have the right

00:14:03.860 kind of person

00:14:04.420 with the right

00:14:05.020 training doing it.

00:14:06.100 It's not something

00:14:06.740 that could be done

00:14:07.340 accidentally.

00:14:08.680 I don't think

00:14:09.240 Stephen Colbert

00:14:11.880 could get it

00:14:12.400 out of him.

00:14:14.380 I don't think

00:14:15.340 a typical news

00:14:16.360 person could

00:14:16.980 get it out of him.

00:14:18.480 But I think

00:14:19.020 I could.

00:14:19.800 And I think

00:14:20.220 I could do it

00:14:20.720 in public.

00:14:21.560 And I don't

00:14:22.240 think he would

00:14:22.740 be worse off

00:14:23.320 for it.

00:14:24.320 I don't.

00:14:25.780 Not necessarily.

00:14:30.080 Overconfidence,

00:14:30.560 you say.

00:14:31.840 That's my

00:14:32.400 trademark.

00:14:34.880 Overconfidence

00:14:35.200 is exactly

00:14:35.920 where you want

00:14:36.460 to be.

00:14:38.180 Let me ask

00:14:38.840 you this.

00:14:39.120 This is

00:14:39.820 actually an

00:14:40.280 interesting

00:14:40.580 question.

00:14:41.440 If you had

00:14:41.920 a choice

00:14:42.420 of three

00:14:42.900 choices,

00:14:43.960 show me

00:14:44.360 in the

00:14:44.580 comments.

00:14:45.820 You could

00:14:46.280 be under

00:14:47.480 confident

00:14:47.900 compared to

00:14:49.360 your actual

00:14:49.800 abilities.

00:14:50.780 You could

00:14:51.160 be exactly

00:14:52.040 the right

00:14:52.640 amount of

00:14:53.020 confident.

00:14:54.240 Or you

00:14:54.960 could be

00:14:55.420 overconfident,

00:14:56.660 which would

00:14:57.660 be your

00:14:58.020 optimal

00:14:58.440 situation.

00:15:01.840 I see a

00:15:02.600 lot of

00:15:02.780 people saying

00:15:03.200 over.

00:15:04.060 So what's

00:15:06.000 interesting about

00:15:06.640 your criticism

00:15:08.720 criticisms of

00:15:09.460 me this

00:15:09.840 morning is

00:15:11.240 that they're

00:15:11.600 true, but

00:15:12.220 they're more

00:15:12.960 like compliments.

00:15:14.500 Or it's

00:15:14.920 more like

00:15:15.280 agreeing with

00:15:15.880 me.

00:15:17.620 What happened

00:15:18.340 to the real

00:15:18.940 professional

00:15:19.500 trolls?

00:15:20.020 They did

00:15:20.340 disappear,

00:15:20.920 didn't they?

00:15:22.420 Because you're

00:15:23.080 seeing the

00:15:23.400 people who are

00:15:25.820 actually just

00:15:26.360 regular people

00:15:27.020 making comments,

00:15:27.880 this sounds like.

00:15:28.540 This doesn't

00:15:28.960 even sound like

00:15:29.680 trolls.

00:15:30.560 This sounds

00:15:31.100 like actual

00:15:31.580 regular people

00:15:32.320 just making

00:15:32.800 comments.

00:15:33.300 did something

00:15:35.900 happen with

00:15:36.520 the paid

00:15:37.600 trolls?

00:15:39.140 Because some

00:15:39.700 other people

00:15:40.140 noted it, but

00:15:40.820 I think it

00:15:41.180 might be

00:15:41.440 confirmation

00:15:41.860 bias, or

00:15:42.960 it might be

00:15:43.280 what topics

00:15:43.860 I'm talking

00:15:44.340 about on

00:15:44.800 any given

00:15:45.100 day.

00:15:45.640 But it

00:15:46.000 feels like

00:15:46.560 all the

00:15:47.020 trolls just

00:15:47.580 disappeared all

00:15:48.860 at the same

00:15:49.220 time.

00:15:50.160 I went from

00:15:51.040 complete troll

00:15:52.080 infestation that

00:15:53.340 lasted, I

00:15:54.900 don't know,

00:15:55.320 a month or

00:15:55.900 more.

00:15:56.840 I mean,

00:15:57.040 just really

00:15:57.560 high troll

00:15:58.160 content, and

00:15:59.300 then it just

00:15:59.620 went to

00:15:59.880 zero.

00:16:00.980 Did Twitter

00:16:01.460 do that?

00:16:02.640 It's possible

00:16:03.320 Twitter did it.

00:16:04.320 It just

00:16:04.620 turned off the

00:16:05.180 trolls, maybe.

00:16:06.940 I mean, they

00:16:07.260 do have the

00:16:08.040 technology that

00:16:08.840 if somebody

00:16:09.280 stays trolling

00:16:10.640 long enough,

00:16:11.300 they're going

00:16:11.560 to get flagged,

00:16:12.600 right?

00:16:13.980 So it could

00:16:14.640 be that there

00:16:15.080 was a wave

00:16:15.540 of trolls

00:16:16.020 that signed

00:16:16.440 up, and

00:16:16.900 then Twitter

00:16:18.000 wiped them

00:16:18.520 off, and it

00:16:19.000 takes a while

00:16:19.460 for them to

00:16:19.900 ramp up again.

00:16:20.860 Could be

00:16:21.240 that.

00:16:21.700 Who knows?

00:16:23.380 Anyway,

00:16:24.680 another big

00:16:26.780 breakthrough in

00:16:27.440 fusion.

00:16:28.800 We keep

00:16:29.480 hearing these,

00:16:30.140 and this

00:16:30.400 time it's

00:16:30.900 and by

00:16:32.860 the way,

00:16:33.140 I had to

00:16:33.480 predict this,

00:16:34.240 and I think

00:16:34.680 I'd predict

00:16:35.080 this in my

00:16:35.560 book,

00:16:35.820 Loser Think.

00:16:37.480 Can anybody

00:16:38.200 confirm this?

00:16:38.880 A few years

00:16:39.380 ago, I was

00:16:39.900 saying that

00:16:40.400 AI, and I

00:16:42.060 didn't make

00:16:42.440 this up, I

00:16:43.120 read it

00:16:43.660 somewhere, that

00:16:44.520 AI would be

00:16:45.700 the thing

00:16:46.680 that made

00:16:47.180 fusion energy

00:16:50.360 practical.

00:16:51.680 So it

00:16:52.200 turns out

00:16:52.640 that that's

00:16:53.140 exactly what

00:16:53.920 looks like

00:16:54.320 what's

00:16:54.580 happening.

00:16:54.880 Google's

00:16:56.120 Alphabet

00:16:56.720 part of

00:16:58.800 the company

00:16:59.180 there.

00:17:00.440 Is that

00:17:01.060 the right

00:17:01.300 way to

00:17:01.560 say it?

00:17:02.180 Or is

00:17:02.420 Alphabet

00:17:02.780 its own

00:17:03.760 spinoff

00:17:04.300 now?

00:17:04.980 So how

00:17:05.940 do you

00:17:06.160 say that?

00:17:06.940 But anyway,

00:17:07.480 Alphabet,

00:17:08.020 whatever the

00:17:08.340 hell that

00:17:08.680 is,

00:17:09.260 something

00:17:09.580 about

00:17:09.900 Google.

00:17:12.400 The

00:17:12.620 scientists

00:17:12.980 at Deep

00:17:13.460 Mind,

00:17:13.920 which is

00:17:14.200 part of

00:17:14.500 that

00:17:14.780 umbrella

00:17:15.680 organization,

00:17:17.020 they figured

00:17:17.500 out how to

00:17:17.840 use AI

00:17:18.580 to control

00:17:19.520 a fusion

00:17:20.260 reaction,

00:17:20.780 which requires

00:17:22.160 thousands of

00:17:23.460 micro-corrections

00:17:25.700 per second.

00:17:27.400 So the

00:17:27.820 AI can

00:17:29.160 look at

00:17:29.500 this big

00:17:30.000 complex

00:17:31.060 ball of

00:17:31.960 fusion.

00:17:33.360 And by

00:17:33.640 the way,

00:17:34.000 don't let

00:17:34.360 me get

00:17:34.640 too technical

00:17:35.280 here.

00:17:36.160 I know

00:17:36.700 I'm going

00:17:37.020 really deeply.

00:17:38.260 So there's

00:17:38.740 this big

00:17:39.120 ball of

00:17:39.700 fusion that's

00:17:41.300 going in

00:17:41.800 lots of

00:17:42.120 directions and

00:17:42.760 doing lots

00:17:43.200 of things.

00:17:44.680 And a

00:17:45.120 human

00:17:45.520 engineering

00:17:46.900 it could

00:17:47.340 never anticipate

00:17:48.120 all the

00:17:49.300 things that

00:17:49.740 fusion reaction

00:17:50.460 could do

00:17:51.000 in any

00:17:52.300 given second.

00:17:53.560 So humans

00:17:54.000 can't do

00:17:54.460 it,

00:17:54.680 you can't

00:17:55.040 engineer

00:17:55.400 something to

00:17:55.920 do it,

00:17:56.160 but AI

00:17:56.700 can watch

00:17:58.120 it and

00:17:58.460 learn.

00:17:59.640 So they

00:18:00.120 do the

00:18:00.640 reaction,

00:18:01.120 they turn

00:18:01.420 the AI

00:18:01.840 on,

00:18:02.300 and they

00:18:02.520 say,

00:18:02.780 okay,

00:18:03.040 AI,

00:18:03.840 figure out

00:18:04.360 how to

00:18:04.600 control

00:18:04.920 this thing.

00:18:05.960 And then

00:18:06.500 the AI,

00:18:08.080 mostly through

00:18:08.820 trial and

00:18:09.280 error,

00:18:10.540 figures out

00:18:11.120 how to

00:18:11.400 control

00:18:11.720 fusion.

00:18:13.300 And that

00:18:13.840 actually

00:18:14.200 happened.

00:18:15.780 Like,

00:18:16.320 they actually

00:18:16.780 trained an

00:18:17.420 AI to

00:18:18.840 go figure

00:18:19.420 out how

00:18:19.840 to make

00:18:20.080 a fusion

00:18:20.460 reaction

00:18:20.860 work,

00:18:21.280 and it

00:18:21.520 worked.

00:18:23.320 Now,

00:18:24.060 the AI

00:18:24.520 only did

00:18:25.020 the one

00:18:25.360 part of

00:18:25.760 it,

00:18:26.020 which is

00:18:26.340 keeping it

00:18:26.800 stable,

00:18:27.300 apparently,

00:18:27.920 but it

00:18:28.420 worked.

00:18:29.980 Do you

00:18:30.240 know how

00:18:30.480 big a deal

00:18:30.900 that is?

00:18:32.940 Real big.

00:18:34.480 Like,

00:18:34.820 real,

00:18:35.080 real,

00:18:35.340 real big.

00:18:36.140 Like,

00:18:36.540 really big.

00:18:37.960 It's about as

00:18:38.540 big as anything's

00:18:39.260 ever been in

00:18:39.940 the history of

00:18:40.480 humankind.

00:18:42.720 Did I

00:18:43.340 oversell that?

00:18:44.700 I don't think

00:18:45.920 that's an

00:18:46.260 overstatement,

00:18:46.800 that if this

00:18:48.140 AI solution

00:18:49.400 for keeping

00:18:50.620 the fusion

00:18:51.200 stable,

00:18:52.220 if it's what

00:18:52.840 it looks like,

00:18:53.920 and of course,

00:18:54.640 you know,

00:18:54.920 anything could be

00:18:55.860 different than the

00:18:56.860 way it looks in

00:18:57.340 the news,

00:18:58.300 but if it's what

00:18:58.980 it looks like,

00:19:00.500 this could be

00:19:01.300 the key,

00:19:02.180 the key

00:19:03.300 element

00:19:03.800 to unlocking

00:19:05.720 fusion.

00:19:08.180 We might be

00:19:08.960 pretty close.

00:19:10.860 Here's another

00:19:11.520 thing that Trump

00:19:12.260 was so right

00:19:13.180 about.

00:19:13.480 Trump's

00:19:14.880 approach

00:19:15.700 was sort of

00:19:16.440 a business

00:19:16.840 person's

00:19:17.380 approach to

00:19:17.840 energy,

00:19:18.820 that a

00:19:19.920 country that

00:19:20.500 has a

00:19:21.280 strong energy

00:19:22.500 base or

00:19:24.200 policy or

00:19:25.220 production is

00:19:26.840 always going to

00:19:27.320 be in the

00:19:27.640 best shape.

00:19:29.300 It's just a

00:19:30.060 basic rule of

00:19:30.820 thumb,

00:19:31.860 that if you

00:19:32.420 have the best

00:19:33.220 energy business,

00:19:34.960 producing business,

00:19:37.020 you have the

00:19:37.680 best economy.

00:19:38.820 Like,

00:19:39.020 everything works

00:19:39.660 from that.

00:19:40.480 Cheap energy,

00:19:41.680 blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:19:42.300 But here are

00:19:43.540 some of the

00:19:43.840 things that

00:19:44.420 happened once

00:19:46.020 Trump's pro-energy

00:19:47.500 policies were

00:19:48.320 replaced immediately

00:19:49.180 by Biden's

00:19:50.160 stop all the

00:19:51.220 carbon because

00:19:52.020 of climate

00:19:52.440 change stuff.

00:19:54.180 So,

00:19:54.780 certainly we

00:19:56.080 lost jobs,

00:19:57.360 certainly it

00:19:57.940 affected the

00:19:58.460 GDP,

00:19:59.560 what Biden

00:20:00.060 did,

00:20:00.720 which of

00:20:01.180 course affects

00:20:01.780 the tax base,

00:20:02.720 which of course

00:20:03.340 affects funding

00:20:04.160 for schools and

00:20:05.040 everything else.

00:20:07.480 We hoped to

00:20:09.040 decrease the

00:20:09.920 carbon use

00:20:10.620 because of

00:20:11.100 climate change,

00:20:11.720 but it

00:20:12.080 increased it.

00:20:13.680 Apparently a

00:20:14.420 major coal

00:20:15.460 company had

00:20:16.140 its best year

00:20:16.920 ever,

00:20:17.720 or in many

00:20:18.620 years.

00:20:20.200 Coal

00:20:20.760 companies were

00:20:21.420 just killing it.

00:20:22.900 Coal

00:20:23.120 companies had

00:20:23.660 reduced by

00:20:24.500 50% in

00:20:26.340 terms of how

00:20:26.880 much energy

00:20:27.460 they were

00:20:28.360 producing for

00:20:28.920 the country.

00:20:29.660 They had

00:20:30.000 gone down

00:20:30.400 by 50%,

00:20:31.540 and a lot

00:20:32.760 of that was

00:20:33.160 because the

00:20:33.920 pro-energy

00:20:34.780 policy of

00:20:35.720 Trump and

00:20:36.360 before that

00:20:37.300 made gas

00:20:39.940 more competitive,

00:20:40.680 so he

00:20:41.100 didn't need

00:20:41.440 coal,

00:20:42.380 natural gas.

00:20:43.980 And so,

00:20:44.580 now that that's

00:20:45.160 been reversed,

00:20:46.320 more coal has

00:20:47.220 been burned.

00:20:48.500 So Biden

00:20:48.940 got us more

00:20:49.640 coal,

00:20:50.640 fewer jobs,

00:20:51.860 lower GDP,

00:20:53.260 less tax

00:20:53.740 space for

00:20:54.180 schools.

00:20:55.200 We ended up

00:20:56.060 with less

00:20:56.480 stable power.

00:20:58.320 Of course,

00:20:58.680 the high price

00:20:59.260 of all forms

00:21:00.440 of energy

00:21:00.980 causes inflation,

00:21:02.180 inflation, and

00:21:04.400 then we also

00:21:05.420 lose our

00:21:05.920 international

00:21:06.460 leverage.

00:21:08.360 If fuel

00:21:09.440 were cheap,

00:21:10.900 Americans would

00:21:11.680 be paying low

00:21:12.520 prices, our

00:21:14.040 economy would

00:21:14.700 be better, but

00:21:15.840 Russia would 0.98

00:21:16.340 have a lot

00:21:16.800 less money to

00:21:17.580 amass an army

00:21:18.380 on the border

00:21:19.080 of Ukraine.

00:21:20.460 Basically,

00:21:21.220 almost everything

00:21:22.180 good comes

00:21:24.060 out of a

00:21:24.920 strong energy

00:21:26.440 economy.

00:21:26.980 Try to come

00:21:29.040 up with an

00:21:29.500 exception.

00:21:31.000 Can you think

00:21:31.620 of an economy

00:21:32.240 that has a

00:21:33.320 strong energy

00:21:35.440 base that

00:21:36.900 isn't doing

00:21:37.460 better than

00:21:37.980 its peers?

00:21:38.880 Now, you're

00:21:39.500 going to have

00:21:39.700 to adjust

00:21:40.140 this for,

00:21:41.140 you know,

00:21:41.400 whether it's

00:21:41.760 Nigeria,

00:21:42.980 you know,

00:21:43.160 make it an

00:21:43.580 African standard

00:21:44.500 versus,

00:21:45.380 you know,

00:21:45.680 et cetera.

00:21:46.480 But I feel

00:21:48.220 like it's a

00:21:48.640 one-to-one,

00:21:49.240 isn't it?

00:21:49.920 Pretty close.

00:21:51.420 That energy

00:21:52.240 equals good

00:21:53.320 life.

00:21:55.560 Well,

00:21:55.920 Russia,

00:21:56.520 Russia,

00:21:56.960 Russia is an 1.00

00:21:57.460 example of

00:21:58.140 energy being

00:21:58.880 the only

00:21:59.260 reason they

00:21:59.680 have the

00:21:59.900 lifestyle they

00:22:00.460 have.

00:22:01.700 Isn't it?

00:22:02.900 If you took

00:22:03.560 energy away

00:22:04.100 from Russia,

00:22:04.660 it wouldn't

00:22:04.860 even be a,

00:22:06.720 you know,

00:22:07.520 it wouldn't

00:22:08.020 be anything.

00:22:08.920 There wouldn't

00:22:09.480 be anything

00:22:09.860 there at all

00:22:10.360 because they

00:22:10.680 couldn't fund

00:22:11.120 the military.

00:22:12.160 They would

00:22:12.400 just be this

00:22:12.900 broken military,

00:22:14.040 broken nuclear

00:22:15.220 power.

00:22:16.120 And we would

00:22:16.660 be talking

00:22:17.080 about how

00:22:17.500 to give

00:22:18.540 aid to

00:22:19.060 Russia so 0.98

00:22:19.940 they don't

00:22:20.320 collapse and

00:22:20.920 lose control

00:22:21.480 of their

00:22:21.780 nukes.

00:22:23.040 Basically,

00:22:23.760 it's a good

00:22:24.220 thing that

00:22:24.560 Russia has 0.96

00:22:25.080 energy because

00:22:26.560 that's what

00:22:26.960 keeps them

00:22:27.380 a stable

00:22:27.780 country which

00:22:28.460 allows them

00:22:28.920 to control

00:22:29.380 their nuclear

00:22:29.980 arsenal.

00:22:31.480 You don't

00:22:31.800 want Russia 0.94

00:22:32.760 to fall

00:22:33.160 apart.

00:22:33.480 That would

00:22:34.560 be pretty

00:22:34.880 dangerous.

00:22:36.700 All right.

00:22:37.780 So I'm not

00:22:38.940 sure if people

00:22:39.380 quite understood

00:22:40.100 the ramifications

00:22:41.140 of Biden's

00:22:42.740 leadership there.

00:22:44.220 So yesterday

00:22:44.660 I experienced

00:22:46.040 my most,

00:22:48.300 let's say,

00:22:50.520 uplifting

00:22:51.080 experience of

00:22:52.020 freedom and

00:22:54.160 most crushing

00:22:55.220 feeling at the

00:22:57.440 same time.

00:22:58.580 So I went to

00:22:59.420 the gym yesterday

00:23:00.140 where I've been

00:23:01.620 maskless for a

00:23:02.520 while while

00:23:03.060 other people

00:23:03.600 wore masks.

00:23:04.740 A lot of them

00:23:05.200 did.

00:23:05.400 But now I

00:23:07.420 don't think

00:23:08.020 that the OSHA

00:23:08.800 has changed

00:23:09.320 the rules yet

00:23:10.880 but for all

00:23:11.740 practical purposes

00:23:12.620 everybody was

00:23:13.340 maskless.

00:23:14.880 Except,

00:23:16.300 let me do the

00:23:16.920 first part first.

00:23:18.440 Walking into my

00:23:19.440 gym and seeing

00:23:20.280 the full faces

00:23:21.080 of pretty much

00:23:21.920 all of the

00:23:22.500 patrons was

00:23:24.380 exhilarating.

00:23:25.840 Now I know,

00:23:26.500 I know lots of

00:23:27.260 you have just

00:23:27.740 always been there

00:23:28.480 since the beginning

00:23:29.140 of the pandemic.

00:23:29.740 But for those

00:23:30.920 of us who

00:23:31.360 have not been

00:23:32.220 free,

00:23:34.060 to walk into

00:23:35.680 a room full

00:23:36.740 of happy people

00:23:37.640 exercising

00:23:38.360 without masks

00:23:40.040 made me cry.

00:23:44.080 Honestly.

00:23:44.880 I mean,

00:23:45.180 I actually teared

00:23:45.880 up.

00:23:46.540 It was beautiful.

00:23:48.180 And it made

00:23:50.480 me feel for the

00:23:51.220 first time

00:23:51.940 that we got

00:23:53.560 past this thing.

00:23:55.620 And then

00:23:56.580 I noticed

00:23:58.360 that the staff

00:23:59.200 were wearing

00:23:59.760 masks.

00:24:01.580 Am I right?

00:24:03.180 Do I even

00:24:03.780 need to finish

00:24:04.340 this?

00:24:05.640 The staff

00:24:06.420 still wearing

00:24:07.920 masks.

00:24:08.420 Now I believe

00:24:09.060 that they had

00:24:09.480 the option.

00:24:10.700 I was told

00:24:11.240 that they didn't

00:24:11.700 have to wear

00:24:12.180 them.

00:24:12.700 But it didn't

00:24:13.440 look like

00:24:13.880 anybody was

00:24:14.420 taking the

00:24:14.920 option.

00:24:16.200 Meaning that

00:24:17.000 there was

00:24:17.980 some indirect

00:24:19.740 pressure that

00:24:20.980 the staff

00:24:21.440 were wearing

00:24:22.000 masks.

00:24:22.780 Now I offered

00:24:23.340 to help.

00:24:24.060 I offered

00:24:24.380 to talk to

00:24:25.260 management and

00:24:25.960 see if I could

00:24:26.520 get them unmasked.

00:24:28.040 But you know,

00:24:28.560 people don't want

00:24:29.040 to cause

00:24:29.280 trouble.

00:24:30.740 So I

00:24:31.680 asked one

00:24:32.900 of the

00:24:33.340 staff members

00:24:34.380 I knew well,

00:24:35.120 can I do

00:24:35.500 something about

00:24:36.020 this for you?

00:24:37.040 Can I talk

00:24:37.600 to somebody?

00:24:38.060 Because they

00:24:38.320 would listen

00:24:38.680 to the members

00:24:39.320 of the gym

00:24:40.620 before they

00:24:41.120 would listen

00:24:41.460 to the staff,

00:24:42.600 unfortunately.

00:24:43.960 And then you

00:24:45.540 start seeing

00:24:46.020 the pattern.

00:24:47.880 And the

00:24:48.360 pattern is

00:24:48.920 truly troubling.

00:24:50.700 And the

00:24:50.980 pattern is

00:24:51.520 that the

00:24:52.120 freedoms are

00:24:52.800 coming back

00:24:53.500 in the exact

00:24:54.540 order of

00:24:55.360 your power

00:24:56.040 in society.

00:24:58.280 Rich white

00:24:58.960 people got

00:24:59.520 their power

00:24:59.940 back first.

00:25:01.540 And, you

00:25:01.900 know, Magic

00:25:02.300 Johnson, I

00:25:02.840 guess.

00:25:03.860 So if you

00:25:05.120 were an elite,

00:25:06.180 I guess it

00:25:06.660 didn't matter

00:25:07.000 so much your

00:25:07.480 race, but if

00:25:08.260 you were elite

00:25:08.940 and rich, you

00:25:11.300 were already

00:25:11.800 on a private

00:25:12.320 plane.

00:25:13.740 You already

00:25:14.460 could be the

00:25:15.100 governor and

00:25:15.600 take your mask

00:25:16.220 off.

00:25:18.820 The rich got

00:25:19.760 there first.

00:25:20.400 And I

00:25:21.320 walk into

00:25:21.820 my own

00:25:22.300 health club

00:25:23.700 and, of

00:25:24.480 course, I'm

00:25:24.940 already the

00:25:25.740 elite because

00:25:26.640 who can even

00:25:27.680 afford to be

00:25:28.580 a member of

00:25:29.200 a gym, really?

00:25:30.460 It's not

00:25:30.820 what percentage

00:25:32.920 of the public

00:25:33.380 can even afford

00:25:34.040 that.

00:25:34.720 It's not a lot.

00:25:36.060 So I'm already

00:25:36.800 in this elite

00:25:37.460 situation and

00:25:38.920 then I look

00:25:39.340 at the staff

00:25:40.560 still wearing

00:25:42.420 masks and

00:25:43.300 it's just

00:25:43.680 crushing.

00:25:44.480 It's crushing.

00:25:45.960 It just feels

00:25:46.540 so freaking

00:25:47.620 wrong.

00:25:48.920 And watching

00:25:49.440 the kids

00:25:49.940 go to

00:25:50.800 school in

00:25:51.220 their masks,

00:25:52.920 the weakest

00:25:53.660 part of

00:25:54.220 society, we

00:25:55.080 protected the

00:25:55.780 worst.

00:25:56.620 And we did

00:25:57.080 that at the

00:25:57.460 beginning, too.

00:25:58.960 The most

00:25:59.640 vulnerable, we

00:26:01.280 didn't protect

00:26:02.380 them, did we?

00:26:03.580 Not as well as

00:26:04.280 we should have,

00:26:05.260 in retrospect.

00:26:06.820 But did we

00:26:07.460 learn anything?

00:26:09.200 Well, I don't

00:26:09.920 know.

00:26:10.800 Maybe that's

00:26:11.600 why we're being

00:26:12.220 extra protective

00:26:13.180 of the kids,

00:26:14.440 because the

00:26:15.060 feeling that we

00:26:15.660 failed early in

00:26:17.620 the pandemic,

00:26:18.340 maybe, I

00:26:19.000 don't know.

00:26:19.240 But this is

00:26:23.160 a wake-up

00:26:23.660 call, isn't

00:26:24.160 it?

00:26:26.240 Remember

00:26:26.720 earlier where I

00:26:27.600 was saying that

00:26:28.160 the only thing

00:26:29.100 that matters in

00:26:29.720 international

00:26:30.240 relationships is

00:26:31.180 power?

00:26:33.240 That seems to

00:26:34.240 be all that

00:26:35.000 mattered when it

00:26:35.800 came to freedom.

00:26:37.300 It only mattered

00:26:38.440 how much power

00:26:39.040 you had.

00:26:40.300 The kids don't

00:26:41.180 have any power.

00:26:42.720 If the kids

00:26:43.500 had power, they

00:26:44.120 would be first.

00:26:45.700 Am I right?

00:26:46.660 If the kids

00:26:48.000 had the power,

00:26:49.280 they would

00:26:49.640 have been the

00:26:50.000 first to

00:26:50.580 unmask, not

00:26:51.180 the last.

00:26:52.080 If the

00:26:52.620 prisoners had

00:26:53.280 the power, they

00:26:53.860 would be the

00:26:54.220 first, not

00:26:54.760 the last.

00:26:55.420 If the

00:26:55.860 truckers had

00:26:56.400 the power, if

00:26:57.680 the retail

00:26:58.100 workers had

00:26:58.700 the power, if

00:26:59.300 the service

00:27:00.280 workers of

00:27:00.940 America, if

00:27:01.520 the server at

00:27:02.240 your restaurant

00:27:02.640 had the power,

00:27:03.580 they would

00:27:04.280 have unmasked

00:27:04.900 first.

00:27:06.140 But they

00:27:06.520 don't.

00:27:07.780 And if you

00:27:08.280 think your

00:27:09.560 work is done

00:27:10.540 because your

00:27:11.620 mask is off,

00:27:12.560 well, you

00:27:12.840 suck, basically.

00:27:14.480 You suck.

00:27:15.700 We've got to

00:27:16.120 get these

00:27:16.420 people unmasked.

00:27:18.540 We've got to

00:27:20.020 keep the

00:27:20.320 pressure on.

00:27:21.900 Because the

00:27:22.640 great clawback

00:27:23.500 isn't going to

00:27:23.980 happen on its

00:27:24.560 own.

00:27:25.500 We're going to

00:27:26.100 have to just

00:27:27.200 claw to get

00:27:30.020 back to where

00:27:30.540 we were.

00:27:31.540 And I had a

00:27:32.580 terrible feeling

00:27:33.240 yesterday that my

00:27:34.080 own problems were

00:27:34.980 solved.

00:27:36.520 You know what I

00:27:37.220 mean?

00:27:37.900 Like, okay, I

00:27:38.700 don't have to wear

00:27:39.180 a mask anymore.

00:27:39.860 I guess my own

00:27:40.460 problem is solved.

00:27:41.580 But wow, that

00:27:43.040 hurts when you

00:27:44.300 see somebody

00:27:44.740 else in a

00:27:45.160 mask.

00:27:45.480 It hurts.

00:27:47.700 So that's

00:27:48.480 where I'm at.

00:27:49.460 But in terms of

00:27:50.460 the good things

00:27:51.220 that came out of

00:27:51.740 the pandemic,

00:27:52.920 Joy Behar says

00:27:53.860 she might continue

00:27:54.600 to wear a mask

00:27:55.360 in public at

00:27:56.040 all times.

00:27:57.400 And I say to

00:27:57.980 myself, well, I

00:27:58.620 didn't see that

00:27:59.080 coming.

00:28:00.380 But that does

00:28:01.580 seem like a

00:28:02.160 little bit of a

00:28:02.740 plus.

00:28:03.560 I wouldn't

00:28:04.260 discount that.

00:28:05.620 We also got a

00:28:06.460 lot of touchless

00:28:07.200 purchases that I

00:28:08.300 really enjoy.

00:28:09.940 Retail is

00:28:10.580 easier, right?

00:28:11.780 Retail is

00:28:13.000 probably easier

00:28:14.000 forever because

00:28:14.660 we've got better

00:28:15.440 ways to pay for

00:28:16.160 stuff.

00:28:16.560 Touchless, self-check

00:28:17.980 counts, you know,

00:28:18.840 grew.

00:28:19.640 Delivery of

00:28:20.260 everything.

00:28:21.420 You know, we

00:28:21.680 just got hooked on

00:28:22.360 everything being

00:28:22.940 delivered.

00:28:23.480 That's probably

00:28:23.820 good in the long

00:28:24.360 run.

00:28:26.520 All right,

00:28:26.760 Rasmussen has

00:28:27.420 bold, says if

00:28:28.300 elections were

00:28:28.880 held today in

00:28:30.160 sort of a

00:28:30.820 generic midterm

00:28:31.960 election type

00:28:32.660 thing, that 50%

00:28:35.800 of voters would

00:28:36.540 prefer a generic

00:28:37.320 Republican and

00:28:38.620 only 37% a

00:28:41.060 generic Democrat,

00:28:42.480 a 13%

00:28:43.760 difference.

00:28:45.700 Now, keep in

00:28:46.340 mind that there

00:28:46.840 are more

00:28:47.200 Democrats than

00:28:48.160 there are

00:28:48.420 Republicans.

00:28:50.180 So if 50%

00:28:51.500 would already

00:28:52.280 vote Republican,

00:28:53.220 just generically

00:28:54.000 speaking, the

00:28:55.860 Democrats are

00:28:56.520 just, they're

00:28:57.700 dead.

00:28:59.740 They're gone.

00:29:01.320 And you know

00:29:01.620 what the, and

00:29:02.700 you know, this

00:29:03.200 of course is what

00:29:03.880 I'm going to call

00:29:04.340 the squad effect.

00:29:05.540 Has anybody

00:29:06.040 given this a

00:29:06.660 name yet?

00:29:07.980 Probably somebody

00:29:08.720 already came up

00:29:09.420 with that name.

00:29:10.100 Maybe I read it

00:29:10.720 somewhere, but it

00:29:12.120 feels like the

00:29:12.660 squad effect,

00:29:13.500 doesn't it?

00:29:14.440 Like the squad

00:29:15.360 became the public

00:29:17.620 face of the most

00:29:18.660 progressive ideas,

00:29:20.660 and then they

00:29:22.880 got their way,

00:29:25.580 at least in some

00:29:26.880 stuff, and it

00:29:28.060 shocked people.

00:29:28.840 Everything from

00:29:29.420 critical race

00:29:30.220 theory to, you

00:29:32.460 know, women's 1.00

00:29:33.700 sports being

00:29:34.640 affected by

00:29:35.320 trans rights

00:29:36.160 stuff.

00:29:36.700 and suddenly

00:29:39.500 there does seem

00:29:42.180 to be a little

00:29:43.380 bit of a pushback

00:29:44.180 here, but here's

00:29:45.160 the weirdest

00:29:45.600 thing.

00:29:46.900 Apparently

00:29:47.340 there's only one

00:29:48.320 thing that can

00:29:48.940 save moderate

00:29:50.960 Democrats.

00:29:53.180 Only one thing.

00:29:54.100 Do you know

00:29:54.360 what it is?

00:29:55.920 Only one thing

00:29:57.140 can save the,

00:29:59.220 let's say,

00:29:59.640 traditional,

00:30:00.520 classic Democrats.

00:30:01.740 I'm going to

00:30:04.680 see if you say

00:30:05.300 it yet.

00:30:06.320 Trump.

00:30:08.980 Now, maybe

00:30:09.760 DeSantis too,

00:30:11.080 but the point

00:30:11.960 is, the only

00:30:13.340 thing that can

00:30:14.020 get rid of the

00:30:14.720 progressive power

00:30:16.720 within the

00:30:17.340 Democrat base is

00:30:18.640 to get wiped

00:30:19.180 out, is to just

00:30:20.840 have all the

00:30:21.380 Democrats just

00:30:22.080 get wiped off 0.71

00:30:22.840 the map in

00:30:24.040 2022.

00:30:25.460 And it looks

00:30:25.880 like that's what's

00:30:26.500 lining up to

00:30:27.100 happen.

00:30:27.940 Now, anything

00:30:28.560 could happen,

00:30:29.140 right?

00:30:29.780 I'm not sure

00:30:30.460 I would even

00:30:30.860 make it a

00:30:31.320 prediction at

00:30:31.860 this point.

00:30:32.760 Because, you

00:30:33.140 know, there

00:30:33.340 will be

00:30:33.640 scandals and

00:30:34.380 surprises and

00:30:35.220 God knows what

00:30:36.540 between now and

00:30:37.200 then.

00:30:37.800 You know, we

00:30:38.140 didn't see the

00:30:38.600 pandemic coming

00:30:39.300 either.

00:30:40.280 So, predicting

00:30:41.880 is a hard

00:30:42.320 business.

00:30:43.420 But it's this

00:30:44.360 weird situation

00:30:45.140 where the only

00:30:45.920 thing that can

00:30:46.540 save the

00:30:47.420 standard Democrats

00:30:48.720 is Trump.

00:30:50.580 Or, somebody

00:30:52.100 who has a

00:30:52.860 Trump-like

00:30:53.620 approach to

00:30:54.140 things.

00:30:54.500 It could be

00:30:54.900 DeSantis or

00:30:55.540 somebody else.

00:30:57.400 Right?

00:30:58.000 It's kind of

00:30:58.440 weird, isn't it?

00:30:59.340 But am I

00:30:59.800 wrong?

00:31:01.240 Am I wrong

00:31:02.080 that privately

00:31:02.880 Democrats are

00:31:03.720 saying the

00:31:04.060 only way we

00:31:04.640 can get back

00:31:06.900 to what we

00:31:07.440 want is to

00:31:08.900 get rid of

00:31:09.240 the progressives?

00:31:10.180 And the only

00:31:10.820 way you can

00:31:11.320 get rid of

00:31:11.720 the progressives

00:31:12.460 is to show

00:31:13.420 that their

00:31:13.760 ideas of

00:31:14.500 defunding the

00:31:15.180 police and

00:31:15.840 critical race

00:31:17.540 theory and

00:31:18.100 some other

00:31:18.420 stuff just

00:31:19.280 got you

00:31:19.640 slaughtered.

00:31:20.980 It's the

00:31:21.520 only way.

00:31:22.240 There's no

00:31:22.520 other way out.

00:31:23.940 And that's

00:31:24.520 that power

00:31:24.960 thing again.

00:31:26.360 You know,

00:31:26.580 just follow

00:31:27.060 the power.

00:31:27.560 And the

00:31:28.700 power seems

00:31:29.280 to be lining

00:31:29.780 up in one

00:31:30.260 direction at

00:31:31.000 this point.

00:31:33.660 All right.

00:31:37.020 Here's a

00:31:37.820 little prediction

00:31:40.780 slash observation

00:31:42.100 that is just

00:31:42.980 fun to me.

00:31:44.800 How many of

00:31:45.540 you have any

00:31:46.380 kind of a

00:31:46.800 close relationship

00:31:47.740 with either

00:31:49.460 brand new or

00:31:50.860 pretty recent

00:31:51.660 immigrants from

00:31:53.500 the southern

00:31:54.200 border?

00:31:54.580 just in the

00:31:56.620 comments.

00:31:57.180 Because I

00:31:57.640 live in

00:31:57.920 California,

00:31:58.560 so for me

00:31:59.100 it's just

00:31:59.580 part of the

00:32:00.520 normal living

00:32:01.180 environment.

00:32:02.020 You're just

00:32:02.340 always having

00:32:03.600 contact.

00:32:05.900 So some,

00:32:06.540 yes.

00:32:07.640 Now, so for

00:32:08.560 those of you

00:32:09.080 who have

00:32:09.820 close contact

00:32:11.760 experience,

00:32:12.620 I'm talking

00:32:13.060 about people,

00:32:14.840 if you

00:32:15.380 regularly have

00:32:16.080 conversations

00:32:16.720 with people

00:32:17.460 whose, you

00:32:18.720 know,

00:32:19.100 immigration status

00:32:21.060 you don't

00:32:21.460 quite know,

00:32:22.460 which is very

00:32:23.000 common in

00:32:23.500 California,

00:32:23.900 right?

00:32:24.200 It's everyday

00:32:24.800 experience.

00:32:26.040 So here's

00:32:27.820 what I think

00:32:28.660 about the

00:32:29.440 recent immigrants.

00:32:30.940 They are the

00:32:31.660 most unwoke

00:32:32.640 people in the

00:32:33.240 United States.

00:32:34.940 Am I wrong?

00:32:36.860 Anybody disagree?

00:32:38.420 That the

00:32:39.080 recent immigrants

00:32:40.000 are the most

00:32:41.780 unwoke in the

00:32:43.720 United States.

00:32:44.660 And it's not

00:32:45.340 because they're

00:32:46.380 exactly like

00:32:47.660 Republicans or

00:32:49.340 something.

00:32:50.040 I'm not saying

00:32:50.860 that.

00:32:51.240 I'm saying

00:32:52.920 they literally

00:32:53.480 do not

00:32:54.120 care.

00:32:55.460 Let me ask

00:32:56.300 you this.

00:32:57.420 If I

00:32:58.060 described a

00:32:58.780 following

00:32:59.060 person,

00:33:00.260 you tell me

00:33:00.900 what party

00:33:01.480 they're probably

00:33:02.020 in.

00:33:03.200 They're very

00:33:03.700 religious.

00:33:04.540 They believe

00:33:04.960 in God.

00:33:06.080 Christians. 0.51

00:33:07.320 Very Christian.

00:33:08.780 And they're not

00:33:09.500 just religious,

00:33:10.240 but it's like

00:33:10.600 it's really

00:33:11.220 baked in.

00:33:12.280 It's an

00:33:13.020 important part

00:33:13.620 of their life.

00:33:14.800 They're big

00:33:15.260 on family.

00:33:16.980 Super big

00:33:17.580 on family.

00:33:18.160 And work

00:33:21.340 is their

00:33:22.720 guiding principle.

00:33:24.380 Go to work,

00:33:25.540 stay in a

00:33:26.060 jail,

00:33:27.020 get an

00:33:27.400 education.

00:33:28.700 Who did I

00:33:29.340 just describe?

00:33:32.800 Once you

00:33:33.400 see it,

00:33:33.800 you can't

00:33:34.140 unsee it,

00:33:34.600 right?

00:33:36.720 Let me

00:33:37.400 just check

00:33:38.120 to see if

00:33:38.420 something's

00:33:38.780 blowing up

00:33:39.220 here.

00:33:44.620 So

00:33:45.140 I can't

00:33:49.060 even describe

00:33:49.580 my life

00:33:50.040 sometimes.

00:33:52.280 All right.

00:33:54.600 So what

00:33:55.300 happens when

00:33:55.980 all of the

00:33:56.560 unwoke

00:33:57.220 immigrants

00:33:58.720 start getting

00:34:00.740 more political

00:34:01.800 power?

00:34:02.840 Let's say

00:34:03.300 the second

00:34:04.200 generation is

00:34:05.000 born.

00:34:06.260 Have the

00:34:06.700 Democrats

00:34:07.200 accidentally

00:34:08.080 gotten a

00:34:08.880 short-term

00:34:09.320 advantage?

00:34:10.440 Because if

00:34:11.040 the census

00:34:11.520 counts the

00:34:12.860 immigrants,

00:34:14.240 it might give

00:34:14.800 more power

00:34:15.360 to Democrat

00:34:16.280 states or

00:34:16.800 something,

00:34:17.480 something like

00:34:18.120 that,

00:34:18.760 or Democrat

00:34:19.780 regions or

00:34:20.760 something.

00:34:21.340 So there

00:34:21.660 might be

00:34:21.900 some short-term

00:34:22.960 gain,

00:34:23.900 but it

00:34:24.400 looks to

00:34:24.820 me like

00:34:25.380 the Democrats

00:34:26.780 have opened

00:34:27.400 up the

00:34:27.800 spigot to

00:34:29.000 let in a

00:34:30.460 lot of

00:34:30.840 future

00:34:31.260 conservatives.

00:34:33.220 Am I

00:34:33.540 wrong?

00:34:34.580 Those of

00:34:35.180 you who

00:34:35.520 have actual

00:34:36.120 direct

00:34:36.640 personal

00:34:37.320 contact with

00:34:38.080 the immigrant

00:34:38.520 community,

00:34:39.840 can you

00:34:40.180 back me up

00:34:40.660 on that?

00:34:41.000 They're the

00:34:41.340 least,

00:34:42.400 they care the

00:34:43.060 least about

00:34:44.060 any of the

00:34:44.520 woke stuff.

00:34:45.940 I've never

00:34:46.420 even seen

00:34:46.840 an immigrant

00:34:47.260 be, let

00:34:49.200 me say

00:34:49.480 something that

00:34:50.000 will blow

00:34:50.340 your mind.

00:34:52.040 In all my

00:34:53.080 life in

00:34:53.600 California,

00:34:55.340 with, you

00:34:55.740 know, I've

00:34:56.040 owned two

00:34:56.420 restaurants,

00:34:57.040 right?

00:34:57.460 So you

00:34:57.860 know that

00:34:58.200 my, you

00:34:59.380 know, my

00:34:59.640 contact has

00:35:00.320 been high.

00:35:01.180 I've never

00:35:01.740 met any

00:35:03.340 immigrant, a

00:35:04.180 recent immigrant,

00:35:05.360 legal or

00:35:06.000 illegal, it

00:35:06.820 doesn't matter

00:35:07.160 the status,

00:35:08.140 I've never

00:35:08.900 met a recent

00:35:09.560 immigrant who

00:35:11.180 was ever

00:35:11.560 offended by

00:35:13.540 anything.

00:35:16.160 Anything.

00:35:17.580 Have you?

00:35:19.280 Has anybody

00:35:19.760 had a different

00:35:20.280 experience?

00:35:21.760 They just

00:35:22.460 don't care about

00:35:23.160 any of that

00:35:23.640 stuff.

00:35:24.240 They just

00:35:24.660 don't care.

00:35:25.580 They want a

00:35:26.080 job, you

00:35:27.380 know, they

00:35:27.680 want to get

00:35:28.040 along, want

00:35:29.300 to improve

00:35:29.600 their life.

00:35:32.200 But they

00:35:33.120 do not get

00:35:33.820 offended.

00:35:34.380 I've never, I

00:35:35.020 literally have

00:35:35.560 never seen

00:35:36.080 anybody who

00:35:36.820 was a recent

00:35:37.220 immigrant be

00:35:37.760 offended about

00:35:38.420 anything.

00:35:39.420 They just

00:35:39.880 want to work.

00:35:40.500 They just

00:35:41.100 want, you

00:35:41.840 know, they

00:35:43.340 want the 0.55

00:35:43.860 tools of

00:35:44.540 life.

00:35:45.040 That's it.

00:35:45.640 That's all

00:35:45.980 they want.

00:35:48.660 All right, and

00:35:49.560 I had missed, I

00:35:50.940 guess, the

00:35:51.380 significance of

00:35:52.220 this story about

00:35:52.940 the San

00:35:53.520 Francisco school

00:35:54.200 board recall,

00:35:56.260 where three

00:35:56.940 members got

00:35:57.620 recalled because

00:35:58.720 I guess they

00:35:59.240 were too

00:36:00.220 woke, and

00:36:01.300 even San

00:36:02.060 Francisco, which

00:36:02.820 is the

00:36:03.140 wokest of the

00:36:03.800 woke places,

00:36:04.880 decided, that's

00:36:06.020 too woke.

00:36:07.460 Do you know

00:36:07.980 what the

00:36:08.360 subtext of the

00:36:09.800 story is?

00:36:11.060 The part

00:36:11.500 that might

00:36:12.820 get mentioned

00:36:13.420 in the

00:36:13.940 sentence toward

00:36:15.640 the end of

00:36:16.120 the story?

00:36:18.040 Do you

00:36:18.300 know what

00:36:18.480 they left

00:36:18.860 out of the

00:36:19.260 story?

00:36:21.400 Who do you

00:36:22.120 think was

00:36:23.180 the largest

00:36:24.020 energy behind

00:36:25.540 getting rid of

00:36:26.260 the wokeness?

00:36:29.360 Probably the

00:36:31.180 Asian American

00:36:31.940 community.

00:36:34.000 It's reported

00:36:34.660 that way, and

00:36:35.660 I would also

00:36:36.440 assume.

00:36:37.660 Now, and

00:36:39.680 also, I

00:36:40.280 would imagine

00:36:40.800 that would

00:36:41.540 include a

00:36:42.180 lot of

00:36:42.620 recent

00:36:43.140 citizens,

00:36:45.320 recent

00:36:45.700 immigrants,

00:36:46.760 maybe second

00:36:47.360 generation.

00:36:48.880 But you

00:36:49.700 see where I'm

00:36:50.140 going with

00:36:50.600 this, right?

00:36:52.080 Pretty

00:36:52.600 conservative.

00:36:54.120 The Asian 0.72

00:36:54.840 American public

00:36:56.120 has been the

00:36:57.200 most silent

00:36:58.260 segment of

00:36:59.540 the country,

00:37:00.280 in my opinion.

00:37:01.320 Would you

00:37:01.700 agree?

00:37:02.600 Well, I guess

00:37:03.120 if somebody's

00:37:03.580 more silent, I

00:37:04.320 can't think of

00:37:04.900 them to even

00:37:05.320 mention them.

00:37:05.820 but they

00:37:09.480 seem to have

00:37:10.180 decided to

00:37:11.280 use their

00:37:13.300 power, and

00:37:13.900 they used it

00:37:14.360 very, let's

00:37:16.680 say, in a

00:37:17.820 surgical way.

00:37:18.900 They just

00:37:19.220 reached in and

00:37:19.880 just took out

00:37:20.520 three cancers

00:37:21.940 from the

00:37:23.040 larger body and

00:37:23.920 just removed the

00:37:24.960 cancer, it

00:37:25.880 looks like.

00:37:26.820 So good job

00:37:27.680 to parents in

00:37:29.660 San Francisco.

00:37:30.640 But the story I

00:37:31.360 missed, the part

00:37:31.960 that I, for some

00:37:33.620 reason, I

00:37:34.040 just didn't

00:37:34.600 notice it, was

00:37:35.840 that they were

00:37:36.620 recalled by

00:37:37.340 votes of

00:37:37.840 like 79%,

00:37:39.260 75%, and

00:37:41.100 72%.

00:37:42.200 Oh, my

00:37:43.540 God.

00:37:44.960 Nothing wins

00:37:45.760 by that kind

00:37:46.400 of margin.

00:37:47.980 Right?

00:37:49.400 Why silent on

00:37:50.640 Project Veritas?

00:37:51.940 I don't know

00:37:52.600 anything about

00:37:53.140 Project Veritas

00:37:54.080 recent.

00:37:55.580 Is there a

00:37:56.100 recent Project

00:37:57.100 Veritas thing?

00:37:59.860 Anybody?

00:38:01.120 Somebody's

00:38:01.640 asking me why

00:38:02.200 I'm silent on

00:38:03.020 Project Veritas.

00:38:04.880 Is there

00:38:05.220 something

00:38:05.480 happening?

00:38:09.540 FDA?

00:38:10.120 Oh, is there

00:38:10.520 an FDA thing?

00:38:11.680 Did that happen

00:38:12.200 today or

00:38:12.680 yesterday?

00:38:13.060 I didn't see

00:38:13.440 anything in the

00:38:13.920 news today.

00:38:17.600 It's two to

00:38:18.300 three days

00:38:18.720 old?

00:38:22.300 Wow.

00:38:22.740 Has social

00:38:24.340 media suppressed

00:38:25.200 that?

00:38:25.880 Because that's

00:38:26.360 the kind of

00:38:26.780 content that

00:38:27.380 people send to

00:38:28.040 me immediately.

00:38:31.060 Wow.

00:38:32.400 All right.

00:38:32.780 I don't want

00:38:34.360 to alarm

00:38:34.820 you, but

00:38:36.120 what are the

00:38:36.540 odds that

00:38:37.700 social media

00:38:38.440 and the

00:38:39.020 news could

00:38:39.560 have kept

00:38:39.900 that story

00:38:40.500 from me

00:38:40.940 for two

00:38:41.320 days?

00:38:43.320 You see

00:38:43.940 what's

00:38:44.140 happening

00:38:44.420 here,

00:38:44.720 right?

00:38:46.020 I'm about

00:38:46.700 as plugged

00:38:47.240 in as you

00:38:47.820 could possibly

00:38:48.520 be to

00:38:49.840 that part

00:38:50.680 of the

00:38:50.900 world,

00:38:51.740 you know,

00:38:51.960 the world

00:38:52.360 that wants

00:38:52.760 to doubt

00:38:53.160 all that

00:38:53.560 stuff.

00:38:53.840 How did I

00:38:55.720 not see

00:38:56.160 that?

00:38:56.580 Because that

00:38:56.880 never came

00:38:57.340 up in

00:38:57.600 anything I

00:38:58.020 saw.

00:38:58.240 normally if

00:39:03.440 there's a

00:39:03.860 Project

00:39:04.280 Veritas

00:39:05.000 dump,

00:39:07.560 I would

00:39:08.140 get like

00:39:09.360 50 of

00:39:10.000 them within

00:39:10.860 an hour.

00:39:11.640 People would

00:39:12.000 just send

00:39:12.600 it to me

00:39:12.960 over and

00:39:13.540 over again.

00:39:15.100 Wow.

00:39:17.000 That's

00:39:17.400 blowing me

00:39:17.860 away a

00:39:18.220 little bit.

00:39:18.580 All right,

00:39:18.840 I'll tell you

00:39:19.380 what I'll

00:39:19.640 do.

00:39:19.820 I'll go

00:39:20.000 look at

00:39:20.360 it.

00:39:20.900 I'll go

00:39:21.320 take a

00:39:21.700 look at

00:39:22.000 it.

00:39:22.180 and I'll

00:39:25.760 let you

00:39:26.020 know.

00:39:27.000 But if

00:39:27.360 you were

00:39:28.100 thinking that

00:39:28.720 I had some

00:39:30.580 kind of

00:39:30.900 intention for

00:39:31.900 not talking

00:39:32.520 about it,

00:39:34.080 that's not

00:39:35.160 happening.

00:39:36.200 I didn't

00:39:36.580 even know

00:39:36.800 what that

00:39:37.040 was.

00:39:38.380 Now,

00:39:38.800 what's the

00:39:39.980 gist of

00:39:40.680 it?

00:39:41.620 Is the

00:39:42.060 gist of

00:39:42.440 it that

00:39:42.720 the numbers

00:39:43.440 are fake

00:39:44.640 or that

00:39:45.060 there's more

00:39:45.600 danger or

00:39:46.140 something?

00:39:47.780 Is that

00:39:48.100 the gist

00:39:48.480 of it?

00:39:52.180 Oh,

00:39:54.660 the young

00:39:55.020 mandates,

00:39:56.220 blah,

00:39:56.440 blah,

00:39:56.540 blah,

00:39:56.760 blah.

00:39:57.100 All right,

00:39:57.460 well,

00:39:58.260 I'll go

00:39:58.760 take a

00:39:59.060 look at

00:39:59.260 it.

00:40:00.740 But I'm

00:40:01.540 glad you

00:40:01.880 brought that

00:40:02.280 to my

00:40:02.560 attention.

00:40:04.100 Elon

00:40:04.500 Musk has 0.97

00:40:05.040 a new

00:40:05.260 rocket

00:40:05.600 engine and

00:40:06.340 his rocket

00:40:06.900 company

00:40:07.500 there,

00:40:08.360 and he's

00:40:09.020 going to

00:40:09.220 get it

00:40:09.440 below $10

00:40:09.880 million per

00:40:10.660 rocket.

00:40:11.500 I don't

00:40:11.820 know if

00:40:12.060 that means

00:40:12.400 per launch.

00:40:13.900 Is it

00:40:14.240 under $10

00:40:14.680 million per

00:40:15.160 launch or

00:40:15.820 under $10

00:40:16.800 million per

00:40:17.280 rocket?

00:40:18.720 Either way,

00:40:19.280 it's a small

00:40:19.760 number,

00:40:20.180 isn't it?

00:40:21.540 I mean,

00:40:21.840 that's a

00:40:23.040 pretty big

00:40:23.340 deal.

00:40:24.380 So if you

00:40:24.920 look at just

00:40:25.400 what's happening

00:40:25.880 with fusion

00:40:26.500 plus what

00:40:27.320 Elon Musk

00:40:27.920 is doing

00:40:28.340 with the

00:40:28.640 economics of

00:40:29.440 space travel,

00:40:30.880 because the

00:40:32.000 new rocket

00:40:32.420 is way,

00:40:33.080 way more

00:40:33.580 efficient,

00:40:34.040 apparently,

00:40:34.920 it's a

00:40:35.600 big deal.

00:40:37.200 Meanwhile,

00:40:37.760 over on CNN,

00:40:38.720 they can't

00:40:39.940 quit on

00:40:40.380 Trump,

00:40:41.280 so their

00:40:41.820 resident hitman,

00:40:43.540 Stephen

00:40:44.200 Collinson,

00:40:46.240 he does a

00:40:47.180 Walls Are

00:40:47.640 Closing In

00:40:48.280 kind of article

00:40:49.880 about Trump

00:40:50.460 every week

00:40:51.760 or so

00:40:52.120 for five

00:40:53.200 years.

00:40:54.320 The Walls

00:40:54.820 Are Closing

00:40:55.220 In.

00:40:55.920 Now,

00:40:56.180 I don't

00:40:56.280 know if he

00:40:56.580 uses that

00:40:57.040 phrase,

00:40:57.460 but that's

00:40:57.940 the essence

00:40:58.420 of it.

00:40:59.260 And today's

00:40:59.740 story is

00:41:00.180 about,

00:41:02.000 so this

00:41:02.620 is how

00:41:03.000 Stephen

00:41:03.500 Collinson,

00:41:05.540 an opinion

00:41:06.200 person on

00:41:06.920 CNN,

00:41:08.540 frames his

00:41:09.780 discussion of

00:41:10.820 Trump's legal

00:41:12.100 woes up 1.00

00:41:12.860 until now.

00:41:14.080 Okay?

00:41:14.680 So here's how

00:41:15.580 it's framed.

00:41:16.280 This is his

00:41:16.860 actual sentence.

00:41:18.220 He goes,

00:41:18.580 quote,

00:41:19.260 and in

00:41:20.460 all of the

00:41:20.920 latest legal

00:41:21.560 threats currently

00:41:22.280 facing him,

00:41:23.260 the former

00:41:23.760 president is

00:41:24.500 yet to be

00:41:24.980 proved guilty.

00:41:27.040 Yet to be

00:41:27.920 proved guilty?

00:41:30.020 How about

00:41:30.800 no evidence

00:41:31.460 of a crime?

00:41:33.580 Or how

00:41:34.820 about no

00:41:35.360 court has

00:41:35.940 ever found

00:41:36.520 him guilty

00:41:36.940 of anything?

00:41:38.840 What's this

00:41:39.580 yet to be

00:41:40.180 proven guilty

00:41:40.820 stuff?

00:41:42.020 Yet to be

00:41:42.720 proven guilty?

00:41:44.180 Doesn't that

00:41:44.780 pretty much

00:41:45.380 indicate that

00:41:46.200 it's just a

00:41:47.200 given that he's

00:41:47.760 going to be

00:41:48.060 proven guilty?

00:41:48.800 Well, but

00:41:49.120 not yet.

00:41:50.020 But it's

00:41:50.520 coming.

00:41:52.260 Have you

00:41:52.920 killed anybody?

00:41:53.840 Not yet.

00:41:56.060 Are you

00:41:56.820 guilty of

00:41:57.480 terrible sexual

00:41:58.500 offenses?

00:41:59.500 Not yet.

00:42:02.320 Did you

00:42:02.980 cheat on

00:42:03.340 your taxes?

00:42:04.520 Not yet.

00:42:06.860 Not yet

00:42:07.660 doesn't mean

00:42:08.160 no.

00:42:10.100 It's amazing

00:42:11.060 how much

00:42:12.060 propaganda can

00:42:13.020 be slipped

00:42:13.500 into an

00:42:13.920 opinion piece.

00:42:14.460 And then

00:42:16.580 I guess

00:42:17.000 CNN's just

00:42:18.680 creaming

00:42:19.220 itself over

00:42:19.800 the fact

00:42:20.160 that Ivanka

00:42:20.720 and Don

00:42:21.160 Jr.

00:42:22.300 will testify

00:42:23.020 under oath

00:42:23.860 in the New

00:42:24.580 York State

00:42:25.140 or New York

00:42:26.220 City case

00:42:27.100 that has

00:42:27.780 something to

00:42:28.240 do with

00:42:28.600 Trump and

00:42:29.240 taxes and

00:42:30.100 valuations,

00:42:31.560 but we don't

00:42:32.620 have any

00:42:33.100 evidence that

00:42:33.680 there's any

00:42:34.040 actual crime.

00:42:35.560 Like none.

00:42:36.620 No evidence

00:42:37.480 whatsoever,

00:42:38.740 in the public

00:42:39.320 anyway.

00:42:40.360 The public

00:42:40.780 has no evidence

00:42:41.580 whatsoever of

00:42:42.220 any crime.

00:42:45.120 And it's

00:42:45.780 big news

00:42:46.340 that Ivanka

00:42:46.940 and Don

00:42:47.400 Jr.

00:42:47.780 will testify.

00:42:50.720 Do you

00:42:51.340 know who

00:42:51.700 I'm not

00:42:52.180 worried about

00:42:52.980 testifying?

00:42:55.040 Is Ivanka

00:42:55.940 and Don

00:42:56.400 Jr.

00:42:57.500 I don't

00:42:58.240 think that

00:42:58.620 that's exactly

00:42:59.260 where all

00:42:59.760 your smoking

00:43:00.420 guns are

00:43:01.680 going to be

00:43:02.100 discovered.

00:43:04.100 I mean,

00:43:04.660 there are only

00:43:05.520 two possibilities.

00:43:07.060 Either there's

00:43:07.560 something to

00:43:08.020 hide and they

00:43:08.660 would be good

00:43:09.140 at hiding it,

00:43:09.920 or there's

00:43:10.440 nothing to

00:43:10.900 hide and

00:43:11.400 that's the

00:43:11.740 end of it.

00:43:12.220 Or they

00:43:13.200 don't know

00:43:13.520 anything that

00:43:14.200 would be

00:43:14.860 damaging.

00:43:16.280 So this

00:43:17.640 is about as

00:43:18.160 far away from

00:43:18.940 Trump is in

00:43:19.600 danger as

00:43:20.320 anything I've

00:43:20.900 seen, but I

00:43:21.940 suppose anybody

00:43:22.560 who's under

00:43:23.080 oath has

00:43:24.540 some risk

00:43:25.020 involved with

00:43:25.580 that.

00:43:26.980 But that

00:43:27.640 seems like an

00:43:28.200 artificial risk

00:43:29.060 that's put on

00:43:29.740 them by the

00:43:31.020 legal system,

00:43:31.960 as opposed to

00:43:33.040 a risk caused

00:43:34.100 by any behavior

00:43:34.920 of the Trump

00:43:35.460 organization.

00:43:36.760 So keep that

00:43:37.440 clear.

00:43:38.780 And then there's

00:43:39.260 a story about

00:43:39.960 Trump's accountants

00:43:41.340 who did

00:43:41.760 his taxes

00:43:42.320 quitting because

00:43:43.780 they can't

00:43:44.280 stand behind

00:43:44.860 their accounting

00:43:46.580 job.

00:43:48.040 And then people

00:43:48.900 are trying to

00:43:49.400 read between

00:43:50.260 the lines.

00:43:52.540 Do all of

00:43:53.420 you know that

00:43:54.420 the accountants

00:43:55.300 are never

00:43:55.900 responsible for

00:43:56.860 the raw data

00:43:57.680 that's given to

00:43:59.300 them by the

00:43:59.740 company?

00:44:00.780 That's always

00:44:01.480 been the case.

00:44:02.060 So the

00:44:04.020 accountant is

00:44:04.820 always free

00:44:05.440 from blame

00:44:07.300 if a client

00:44:08.680 gave them

00:44:09.140 bad information

00:44:09.940 and then they

00:44:10.560 did the taxes

00:44:11.200 based on bad

00:44:11.920 information.

00:44:13.520 But I think

00:44:16.200 this just looks

00:44:16.800 like a cover

00:44:17.440 your ass

00:44:17.880 situation.

00:44:19.040 I don't think

00:44:19.620 any accounting

00:44:20.220 firm wanted

00:44:21.040 to take the

00:44:21.600 heat of

00:44:22.880 defending Trump

00:44:23.840 in this context.

00:44:25.400 And I think

00:44:25.860 they said

00:44:26.340 something that's

00:44:27.060 just always

00:44:27.740 true.

00:44:28.800 Do you know

00:44:29.340 it's always

00:44:29.880 true that

00:44:31.740 your accountant

00:44:32.500 can no longer

00:44:33.260 stand behind

00:44:34.000 your accounting

00:44:34.960 job?

00:44:35.900 That's always

00:44:36.600 true.

00:44:37.480 So it looks

00:44:38.360 like it's

00:44:38.740 news.

00:44:39.940 Like there's

00:44:40.440 some kind

00:44:41.100 of a statement.

00:44:50.060 And

00:44:50.580 I'm sorry

00:44:57.540 that just

00:44:57.880 threw me

00:44:58.200 off my game

00:44:58.680 for a moment.

00:44:59.140 So anyway,

00:45:00.160 my point is

00:45:00.760 there's no

00:45:01.140 such thing

00:45:01.600 as an

00:45:01.880 accountant

00:45:02.160 firm that

00:45:02.760 stands behind

00:45:03.520 the numbers.

00:45:05.940 Accountant

00:45:06.480 firms only

00:45:07.180 stand behind

00:45:07.820 the treatment

00:45:08.320 of the numbers

00:45:09.100 in all

00:45:10.280 cases.

00:45:11.920 So it

00:45:13.540 was fake

00:45:14.340 news because

00:45:15.620 they announced

00:45:16.740 something that's

00:45:17.540 just business

00:45:18.100 as usual.

00:45:19.220 That we

00:45:19.460 don't stand

00:45:19.980 behind our

00:45:20.600 they don't

00:45:22.900 stand behind

00:45:23.320 the statements

00:45:23.780 because they

00:45:24.300 don't know

00:45:24.640 if the data

00:45:25.160 that they got

00:45:26.020 is true.

00:45:26.980 That's just

00:45:27.360 always true.

00:45:27.780 It's always

00:45:28.920 true with

00:45:29.280 every client.

00:45:31.560 All right.

00:45:33.740 How would

00:45:34.340 you like to

00:45:34.760 see

00:45:35.080 the secret

00:45:39.340 to reality?

00:45:40.800 Would you

00:45:41.380 like to have

00:45:41.840 reality explained?

00:45:44.240 Now you've

00:45:44.940 heard probably

00:45:45.560 that,

00:45:47.840 so I don't

00:45:48.980 have a hard

00:45:49.540 quit time

00:45:50.160 today.

00:45:50.400 So you've

00:45:52.040 heard probably

00:45:52.580 that one

00:45:55.180 of the big

00:45:55.880 problems with

00:45:56.720 either the

00:45:58.060 simulation or

00:45:59.360 with the idea

00:46:00.040 that God

00:46:00.760 started the

00:46:01.300 universe or

00:46:01.880 the Big Bang

00:46:02.540 is what

00:46:03.460 happened before

00:46:04.080 that.

00:46:05.360 So if you

00:46:06.180 could come up

00:46:06.660 with a theory

00:46:07.300 that handled

00:46:08.680 what happened

00:46:09.400 before,

00:46:10.860 that would be

00:46:11.520 a big advantage

00:46:12.380 for explaining

00:46:13.420 reality.

00:46:13.860 And you'd

00:46:15.260 also have to

00:46:15.720 explain the

00:46:16.220 simulation and

00:46:17.340 you'd have to

00:46:18.160 explain God,

00:46:19.120 you'd have to

00:46:19.480 explain physics,

00:46:20.440 you'd have to

00:46:20.800 explain the

00:46:21.280 Big Bang.

00:46:22.820 And here's a

00:46:24.300 little starting

00:46:24.780 point for you.

00:46:26.780 Here are three

00:46:27.660 things that are

00:46:28.360 the same.

00:46:30.960 Heat,

00:46:32.880 energy,

00:46:34.500 and

00:46:36.380 statistics.

00:46:38.880 It's just all

00:46:39.680 the same thing.

00:46:40.900 Because wherever

00:46:41.740 there's more

00:46:42.320 energy,

00:46:43.580 there's more

00:46:44.300 heat.

00:46:45.360 Because coldness

00:46:46.320 is the opposite

00:46:47.140 of energy,

00:46:48.200 right?

00:46:48.360 It's the opposite

00:46:48.920 of any energy.

00:46:50.640 So wherever

00:46:51.160 there's energy,

00:46:51.920 there's heat.

00:46:52.820 But wherever

00:46:53.320 there's energy,

00:46:54.320 there's also

00:46:54.800 luck.

00:46:56.240 In other words,

00:46:56.940 statistics follow

00:46:59.260 energy.

00:47:00.680 If you go to a

00:47:01.680 city where lots

00:47:02.680 of stuff is

00:47:03.240 happening,

00:47:04.240 your odds of

00:47:04.920 getting a good

00:47:05.520 job are better.

00:47:07.560 Right?

00:47:07.860 Your odds of

00:47:08.420 being lucky in

00:47:09.280 a high energy

00:47:10.520 situation are

00:47:11.280 better.

00:47:11.620 There are just

00:47:11.920 more opportunities

00:47:12.880 happening all

00:47:13.460 the time.

00:47:14.040 If you go to

00:47:14.560 the country and

00:47:15.180 there's one

00:47:15.600 employer and

00:47:16.620 they don't like

00:47:17.120 you, there's

00:47:18.780 not much

00:47:19.100 energy there,

00:47:20.420 not much

00:47:21.140 odds.

00:47:21.980 There's no

00:47:22.620 chance for

00:47:23.520 luck to

00:47:23.920 happen.

00:47:24.820 Now, how

00:47:25.780 much energy

00:47:26.320 was there

00:47:26.840 during the

00:47:27.880 singularity,

00:47:28.720 the moment

00:47:29.140 before the

00:47:29.680 Big Bang,

00:47:31.080 when the

00:47:31.620 whole universe

00:47:32.340 was compressed

00:47:33.560 into some

00:47:35.380 impossibly small

00:47:36.500 space, I

00:47:37.220 guess?

00:47:38.300 How much

00:47:39.160 was possible?

00:47:41.060 And the answer

00:47:41.500 is nothing.

00:47:41.920 At the

00:47:44.080 moment that

00:47:44.780 nothing was

00:47:45.760 moving, because

00:47:47.400 everything was

00:47:48.020 compressed, there

00:47:50.440 should have

00:47:50.740 been no

00:47:51.060 possibility, no

00:47:52.460 heat, no

00:47:52.900 energy, because

00:47:54.460 nothing was

00:47:54.900 moving.

00:47:56.860 So, how

00:47:58.680 do you explain

00:47:59.140 all of that

00:47:59.840 with the

00:48:00.160 model?

00:48:01.660 Now, here's

00:48:02.140 another little

00:48:02.600 twist I'm going

00:48:03.280 to throw in

00:48:03.700 here.

00:48:04.600 Do you know

00:48:05.000 that there's

00:48:05.320 no such

00:48:05.700 thing as

00:48:06.060 time?

00:48:08.340 Einstein

00:48:08.780 would back

00:48:09.660 me up on

00:48:10.080 this.

00:48:10.860 There is a

00:48:11.400 thing called

00:48:11.800 space-time,

00:48:13.120 meaning that

00:48:13.920 time has no

00:48:14.820 meaning unless

00:48:16.320 you're looking

00:48:16.820 at it in

00:48:17.320 relationship to

00:48:18.280 other things

00:48:19.140 and their

00:48:19.760 positions in

00:48:21.760 space.

00:48:22.660 So, if space

00:48:23.860 itself changes,

00:48:24.900 in other words,

00:48:25.440 if two things

00:48:26.160 change in

00:48:26.760 relationship to

00:48:27.760 their distance

00:48:28.420 or velocity

00:48:29.980 or any other

00:48:30.620 way in

00:48:31.080 relation to

00:48:31.680 each other,

00:48:33.360 then time

00:48:34.260 is said to

00:48:34.760 have passed,

00:48:35.940 but it's

00:48:36.440 really a

00:48:37.480 change in

00:48:38.020 space.

00:48:39.180 So, it's

00:48:39.560 sort of that

00:48:40.020 space-time

00:48:41.380 thing are

00:48:41.960 really all

00:48:42.360 just the

00:48:42.800 same thing.

00:48:44.300 So, in

00:48:44.760 the way that

00:48:45.260 energy and

00:48:46.320 luck are

00:48:47.600 basically two

00:48:49.000 ways to talk

00:48:49.640 about the

00:48:49.960 same thing,

00:48:51.540 space and

00:48:52.440 time are

00:48:53.800 actually just

00:48:54.400 two words to

00:48:55.220 talk about

00:48:55.700 essentially the

00:48:56.580 same thing,

00:48:57.480 things moving

00:48:58.280 in relationship

00:48:58.940 to other

00:48:59.320 things.

00:49:00.320 Let's put it

00:49:01.180 all together.

00:49:02.480 Simulation

00:49:03.020 theory,

00:49:03.920 God,

00:49:05.280 Big Bang,

00:49:06.060 how do you

00:49:07.520 start when

00:49:08.520 there could

00:49:08.840 be no

00:49:09.180 beginning,

00:49:10.380 infinity,

00:49:12.140 and all

00:49:12.580 the rest.

00:49:13.680 Well, you

00:49:14.280 start with

00:49:14.740 really scratchy

00:49:15.760 handwriting,

00:49:17.680 and I say

00:49:19.420 imagine reality

00:49:21.340 looking like

00:49:21.980 this,

00:49:23.360 a Mobius

00:49:23.860 strip.

00:49:24.700 Do you know

00:49:25.040 what a

00:49:25.200 Mobius

00:49:25.500 strip is?

00:49:25.960 basically it's

00:49:29.220 just for,

00:49:30.820 let's say

00:49:32.160 just for

00:49:32.500 description

00:49:33.120 purposes,

00:49:34.000 so I'm not

00:49:34.420 saying there's

00:49:34.920 a physical

00:49:35.720 Mobius

00:49:36.260 strip in

00:49:37.060 space somewhere,

00:49:38.140 but for

00:49:38.820 conceptual

00:49:39.440 purposes,

00:49:40.560 imagine that

00:49:41.340 space and

00:49:42.100 time are

00:49:43.980 circular,

00:49:45.040 or just to

00:49:45.820 make it more

00:49:46.220 science-y,

00:49:47.560 it's something

00:49:48.520 where if you

00:49:49.040 start here and

00:49:49.740 you keep going,

00:49:50.880 you end up in

00:49:51.560 the same place.

00:49:52.840 So I could

00:49:53.340 have drawn a

00:49:53.800 circle, but

00:49:54.480 this looks more

00:49:55.100 like science-y.

00:49:56.800 Or science-fiction-y.

00:49:58.980 So, imagine

00:50:00.540 what happens

00:50:02.820 after the

00:50:05.040 Big Bang.

00:50:06.360 After the

00:50:06.860 Big Bang,

00:50:08.880 all right, so

00:50:09.280 so far I've

00:50:10.720 explained time

00:50:11.840 and infinity,

00:50:14.000 and we've

00:50:14.760 explained how

00:50:15.540 there could be

00:50:16.180 a beginning,

00:50:17.480 because it's

00:50:18.180 illogical that

00:50:18.980 anything has a

00:50:19.640 beginning,

00:50:20.120 because there has

00:50:20.520 to be something

00:50:21.000 before that.

00:50:22.320 But if space

00:50:23.640 and time are

00:50:24.440 in a loop,

00:50:25.100 any kind

00:50:26.300 of a loop,

00:50:27.520 then you

00:50:27.920 don't ever

00:50:28.340 need a

00:50:28.680 beginning,

00:50:29.760 because it

00:50:30.140 can just

00:50:30.500 loop.

00:50:31.880 It just is

00:50:32.480 what it is.

00:50:33.040 It just sits

00:50:33.520 there as a

00:50:33.940 loop and

00:50:34.840 needs no

00:50:35.280 beginning.

00:50:35.600 But, you

00:50:37.660 might say to

00:50:38.120 yourself,

00:50:38.900 where did this

00:50:40.000 come from?

00:50:41.480 Well, maybe it

00:50:42.120 came from a

00:50:42.660 higher level

00:50:43.300 simulation,

00:50:44.960 because if

00:50:45.920 anybody creates

00:50:46.660 a simulated

00:50:47.200 world that

00:50:47.840 thinks it's

00:50:48.300 real,

00:50:49.240 eventually that

00:50:49.980 simulated world

00:50:50.860 will also

00:50:51.440 evolve until

00:50:52.780 it can make

00:50:53.300 its own

00:50:53.640 simulation.

00:50:55.000 So in

00:50:55.420 theory, the

00:50:56.140 simulations go

00:50:57.120 all the way

00:50:57.500 down.

00:50:59.120 Every simulation

00:50:59.960 will make

00:51:00.440 another simulation

00:51:01.220 to infinity.

00:51:02.260 So there

00:51:02.680 shouldn't be

00:51:03.100 one of these.

00:51:04.420 There should

00:51:04.780 be something

00:51:05.260 closer to an

00:51:06.500 infinite amount

00:51:07.280 of them over

00:51:07.800 time.

00:51:08.220 We don't know

00:51:08.580 if that's

00:51:08.900 happened yet.

00:51:10.080 Now, how do

00:51:11.000 you explain the

00:51:11.560 fact that the

00:51:13.780 Big Bang was 0.58

00:51:14.640 supposed to

00:51:15.140 create a

00:51:15.540 situation where

00:51:16.220 the gravity,

00:51:17.880 because everything

00:51:18.380 has gravity,

00:51:19.720 would eventually

00:51:20.300 slow the

00:51:21.300 expansion of the

00:51:22.060 universe, and

00:51:23.340 then it would

00:51:23.720 close back in

00:51:24.560 itself and

00:51:25.140 create the

00:51:25.540 Big Bang

00:51:25.940 again.

00:51:26.300 That's what

00:51:26.600 the scientists

00:51:27.020 say.

00:51:28.120 But then when

00:51:28.620 they looked at

00:51:29.160 the actual

00:51:29.720 expansion of

00:51:31.440 the universe,

00:51:31.940 they found out

00:51:32.500 the expansion

00:51:33.120 was increasing

00:51:33.940 instead of

00:51:35.480 decreasing.

00:51:36.240 The gravity

00:51:36.880 was supposed to

00:51:37.860 stop the

00:51:38.300 expansion and

00:51:39.080 then suck it 0.99

00:51:39.620 back together

00:51:40.200 over a

00:51:41.480 gazillion years.

00:51:43.040 But it's

00:51:43.360 getting, it's

00:51:43.940 actually increasing.

00:51:45.140 So what

00:51:45.540 happens if all

00:51:46.500 the matter in

00:51:47.100 the universe

00:51:47.660 continues for

00:51:50.220 trillions of

00:51:51.120 years to

00:51:51.720 expand?

00:51:54.540 All right,

00:51:54.960 think of it in

00:51:55.820 terms of not

00:51:56.440 energy, but in

00:51:58.100 terms of the

00:51:58.680 odds, right?

00:52:00.680 Remember, because

00:52:01.240 energy is really

00:52:03.240 just another way of

00:52:04.020 saying the odds.

00:52:04.940 Wherever there's

00:52:05.380 the most energy,

00:52:06.420 there's the most

00:52:07.000 possibility.

00:52:08.700 So at the

00:52:09.320 moment of the

00:52:09.920 Big Bang, there

00:52:10.560 were no

00:52:10.860 possibilities.

00:52:13.060 As soon as

00:52:13.880 one thing

00:52:14.580 changed, you

00:52:16.660 know, hypothetically,

00:52:18.000 if one thing

00:52:18.740 changed in that

00:52:19.620 solid, nothing

00:52:20.880 moving world,

00:52:22.320 could that one

00:52:23.040 change have

00:52:23.680 made everything

00:52:24.380 unstable and

00:52:26.120 blown up into

00:52:27.700 the entire

00:52:28.180 universe?

00:52:29.060 Now, once the

00:52:30.040 universe is, let's

00:52:31.380 say, 14 or 15

00:52:32.500 billion years old,

00:52:34.020 what happens to

00:52:35.040 the odds of

00:52:36.260 anything happening?

00:52:38.260 They start

00:52:38.740 getting really

00:52:39.240 good.

00:52:40.360 So suddenly you

00:52:41.020 went from the

00:52:42.080 singularity where

00:52:43.320 nothing could

00:52:43.860 happen, and the

00:52:44.960 odds of anything

00:52:46.060 happening were

00:52:46.640 basically zero,

00:52:47.860 to something

00:52:49.720 happened, maybe

00:52:50.640 you could call

00:52:51.160 it God.

00:52:51.980 If one particle

00:52:53.100 changed in the

00:52:54.040 singularity and

00:52:54.820 that was all it

00:52:55.380 took to blow it

00:52:56.100 up, you would

00:52:57.800 call that a God

00:52:58.460 particle, would

00:52:59.200 you?

00:53:00.060 Just something

00:53:00.660 that happened that

00:53:01.320 shouldn't have

00:53:01.680 happened and

00:53:02.140 nobody can

00:53:02.540 explain it.

00:53:03.440 One particle

00:53:04.120 got on a

00:53:04.700 whack and

00:53:05.760 boom, universe.

00:53:07.700 Now, as soon as

00:53:08.280 the universe is

00:53:08.720 big, you go from

00:53:09.520 no possibility,

00:53:10.560 when it's a

00:53:11.040 singularity, to

00:53:12.100 lots of

00:53:12.580 possibilities.

00:53:13.120 There might be

00:53:14.080 aliens on other

00:53:14.960 planets, we might

00:53:15.860 be inventing

00:53:17.000 fusion, lots and

00:53:18.420 lots of

00:53:18.740 possibilities.

00:53:19.860 But now let's

00:53:20.480 play it on a few

00:53:21.180 more trillion years.

00:53:22.920 In a few trillion

00:53:23.680 years, will there

00:53:24.980 be more energy in

00:53:27.160 any given part of

00:53:28.020 the universe or

00:53:28.620 less?

00:53:29.300 Well, if

00:53:29.680 everything's flying

00:53:30.400 apart, do you

00:53:31.840 get to the point

00:53:32.340 where everything's

00:53:32.960 cold and dark and

00:53:33.860 dead, and all of

00:53:35.280 the possibilities die

00:53:36.240 again?

00:53:37.140 Because if you do,

00:53:38.540 maybe you don't

00:53:39.420 need to get all

00:53:40.520 the way back to a

00:53:41.240 singularity, maybe

00:53:42.180 just all the

00:53:42.940 possibilities are

00:53:43.820 exhausted.

00:53:44.300 And when you

00:53:45.860 get back to a

00:53:46.480 situation where

00:53:47.100 all the

00:53:47.500 possibilities are

00:53:48.320 exhausted again,

00:53:50.080 maybe it just

00:53:51.320 starts over.

00:53:52.800 It's always

00:53:53.340 darkest before the

00:53:54.220 dawn.

00:53:55.940 So, one model

00:53:58.040 of reality is

00:53:59.500 that there are a

00:54:00.200 whole bunch of

00:54:01.000 looped realities,

00:54:02.660 so there's no

00:54:03.240 beginnings and no

00:54:03.980 ends.

00:54:04.740 Each of these

00:54:05.340 loops is created

00:54:06.240 by a higher level

00:54:07.180 loop, which does

00:54:08.520 imply there's one

00:54:10.360 original, one

00:54:12.080 original species.

00:54:12.860 But I'm not

00:54:14.500 sure it has

00:54:15.320 to, because

00:54:16.920 could it be that

00:54:17.700 the original

00:54:18.260 species is also

00:54:19.380 looped?

00:54:21.620 Could it be that

00:54:22.780 there is nothing

00:54:24.400 to anything except

00:54:25.800 the odds

00:54:27.820 expanding and

00:54:28.940 contracting?

00:54:30.580 Could it be that

00:54:32.300 the heartbeat of

00:54:33.160 reality is nothing

00:54:34.280 but a

00:54:35.740 multi-trillion

00:54:36.600 year heartbeat in

00:54:37.860 which we start

00:54:38.480 with nothing is

00:54:39.220 possible, it

00:54:40.460 expands to

00:54:41.120 everything is

00:54:41.780 possible, and

00:54:42.980 then, here's the

00:54:43.800 magic part, the

00:54:45.680 moment everything

00:54:46.640 is possible, nothing

00:54:49.080 can happen.

00:54:52.320 Yeah, what'd that

00:54:53.320 do to your brain?

00:54:54.500 The moment

00:54:55.100 everything is

00:54:56.120 equally possible,

00:54:58.260 nothing can

00:54:58.940 happen.

00:55:00.840 And that's the

00:55:01.860 singularity again.

00:55:03.400 So, there should

00:55:04.660 be a natural

00:55:05.540 heartbeat to the

00:55:07.020 odds of anything

00:55:08.280 happening, from

00:55:09.460 zero all the way to

00:55:11.280 everything, and

00:55:12.140 then instantly back

00:55:13.000 to zero, and

00:55:14.320 then back to

00:55:14.780 everything.

00:55:15.460 Now, how it

00:55:16.000 gets out of the

00:55:17.180 nothing is possible

00:55:18.740 would have to be

00:55:20.280 God.

00:55:21.660 Right?

00:55:22.560 So, in this model,

00:55:23.840 God is the odds.

00:55:26.860 God is the

00:55:27.800 possibility that

00:55:30.680 you could go from

00:55:31.560 nothing is possible

00:55:32.640 to everything is

00:55:34.060 possible.

00:55:34.440 So, God could be

00:55:36.140 the smallest

00:55:36.840 change, the

00:55:38.320 smallest change, in

00:55:40.700 this stable

00:55:41.280 singularity, and

00:55:42.360 it just blew the

00:55:43.020 whole thing up for

00:55:44.100 trillions of years.

00:55:45.460 Now, if you

00:55:46.600 looked at it on the

00:55:47.600 smallest scale, you

00:55:49.480 would say, if that's

00:55:50.280 all God is, it's

00:55:51.120 just like, it's like

00:55:52.460 one little God

00:55:53.180 particle, or it's a

00:55:54.180 muon, or some damn

00:55:55.800 thing we haven't

00:55:56.340 discovered yet, and

00:55:57.520 all it did was

00:55:58.160 tweak.

00:55:59.420 It just went from no

00:56:00.620 possibility to,

00:56:02.020 boop.

00:56:02.240 It just moved, and

00:56:04.540 the whole thing

00:56:04.960 blew up.

00:56:07.560 If that's what

00:56:08.580 happened, then God

00:56:11.100 would be both the

00:56:12.000 smallest thing in the

00:56:12.940 universe, in terms of

00:56:14.260 the smallest initial

00:56:15.860 action, and also the

00:56:17.880 biggest.

00:56:18.780 It would be

00:56:19.500 everything and

00:56:20.340 everywhere all the

00:56:21.300 time, this thing

00:56:22.920 called God, under

00:56:24.580 that model.

00:56:26.240 Now, this allows

00:56:28.340 your traditional God

00:56:30.040 and all its beliefs,

00:56:30.840 because you might be

00:56:31.760 on a loop where

00:56:33.740 your religion is

00:56:34.720 exactly correct, for

00:56:36.800 all you know.

00:56:38.580 But other people

00:56:39.420 could be on other

00:56:40.060 loops.

00:56:43.440 So, I believe this

00:56:45.760 answers all of your

00:56:46.740 questions.

00:56:47.600 And let's see if I've

00:56:48.340 lost anything out.

00:56:50.820 Oh.

00:56:52.880 It's also the only

00:56:53.940 theory that predicts

00:56:54.940 that the universe will

00:56:55.920 keep expanding.

00:56:57.840 Traditional science

00:56:58.860 has to throw in,

00:56:59.940 correct me if I'm

00:57:01.320 wrong about that, but

00:57:02.220 doesn't traditional

00:57:02.920 science have to throw

00:57:03.860 in dark matter to

00:57:06.860 get the expansion?

00:57:08.160 So, basically, you

00:57:08.980 have to make believe

00:57:10.100 there's an invisible

00:57:10.900 thing, or else the

00:57:12.140 math doesn't work.

00:57:13.680 Dark energy.

00:57:14.900 Yeah, dark energy.

00:57:15.680 I'm sorry.

00:57:16.060 Not dark matter.

00:57:17.760 I've solved the

00:57:18.600 meaning of life.

00:57:19.300 That is correct.

00:57:20.420 And so, would you

00:57:23.560 also like to know what

00:57:25.280 a soul is?

00:57:27.080 Let me tell you.

00:57:28.500 And this model, a

00:57:30.480 soul, is what

00:57:33.040 happens if your life

00:57:34.500 has a ripple effect

00:57:35.760 that affects other

00:57:36.540 people.

00:57:37.260 Because any change to

00:57:38.580 anything will change

00:57:39.580 everything forever.

00:57:40.620 Or it'll change

00:57:41.540 forever, like a ripple

00:57:42.880 through time.

00:57:43.960 Even the smallest

00:57:44.860 changes, we know that.

00:57:46.420 So, when people die,

00:57:47.620 they really, the thing

00:57:49.120 you call grief, I like

00:57:50.940 to say, is them

00:57:51.740 incorporating their

00:57:53.260 energy or the

00:57:54.240 information that

00:57:55.300 mattered from their

00:57:56.040 life into the

00:57:57.100 survivors.

00:57:58.480 And they feel that

00:57:59.300 as grief, but

00:58:00.100 basically, they're

00:58:00.800 just merging with

00:58:02.200 somebody else's soul,

00:58:03.360 essentially, and

00:58:04.360 taking that forward.

00:58:05.620 So, that's one

00:58:06.200 definition of a soul.

00:58:09.480 And the other

00:58:13.020 definition of a soul

00:58:13.960 would be some

00:58:14.560 higher-level entity

00:58:16.580 that's managing

00:58:17.480 your avatar.

00:58:20.600 All right.

00:58:23.260 And that is all

00:58:29.140 I have for you

00:58:29.640 today.

00:58:35.660 So, all right, I

00:58:37.920 need some feedback.

00:58:40.820 Was this

00:58:41.500 interesting?

00:58:43.120 You don't have to

00:58:43.860 believe it, by the

00:58:44.500 way.

00:58:44.660 I'm not trying to

00:58:45.400 sell you on

00:58:45.860 believing it.

00:58:46.340 So, I should get

00:58:48.640 lots of

00:58:54.620 extremes.

00:58:56.960 This is usually

00:58:57.640 the kind of

00:58:58.060 material where

00:58:58.680 people either

00:58:59.200 hate it or

00:58:59.620 love it.

00:59:03.200 Word salad

00:59:04.040 alert.

00:59:05.980 Yeah, you

00:59:06.880 know, that's

00:59:08.040 not a wrong

00:59:08.540 comment.

00:59:09.280 What's funny

00:59:09.860 about all of

00:59:10.520 the criticism

00:59:11.040 today is that

00:59:12.500 it's all on

00:59:13.000 point.

00:59:14.240 I don't know

00:59:14.560 if you've

00:59:14.820 noticed that

00:59:15.240 yet.

00:59:15.460 But, like,

00:59:16.120 almost every

00:59:16.680 criticism anybody

00:59:17.580 said about what

00:59:18.460 I've said today

00:59:19.080 or who I am

00:59:19.800 or what I'm

00:59:20.140 doing, they're

00:59:20.800 all on point.

00:59:22.760 Like, I have a

00:59:23.720 defense for them.

00:59:25.060 Like, well, it's

00:59:25.820 not as bad as you

00:59:26.480 think or whatever.

00:59:27.040 But they're not

00:59:27.420 wrong.

00:59:28.420 Not wrong.

00:59:29.140 Somebody said

00:59:29.560 that this was

00:59:30.060 word salad.

00:59:31.280 And to some

00:59:31.740 extent, language

00:59:33.340 restricts you so

00:59:35.800 much that you

00:59:36.360 really can't get

00:59:37.000 out of the word

00:59:37.420 salad when you're

00:59:38.180 on this topic.

00:59:39.900 So, I mean,

00:59:40.400 that's actually a

00:59:41.740 completely reasonable

00:59:42.720 criticism.

00:59:43.240 For those of

00:59:46.480 you who like

00:59:47.060 this sort of

00:59:47.840 stuff, you

00:59:48.960 want to look

00:59:49.420 for my book

00:59:50.080 called God's

00:59:50.920 Debris.

00:59:51.880 It's not this

00:59:53.400 exactly, but if

00:59:55.040 this content you

00:59:56.400 found interesting,

00:59:57.140 that's the book

00:59:57.660 that would spin 0.59

00:59:58.500 your brain.

01:00:00.240 All right.

01:00:01.220 And that is all

01:00:01.880 I have for today.

01:00:02.920 And I'll talk to

01:00:03.460 you on YouTube

01:00:03.960 tomorrow.

01:00:04.240 tomorrow.

01:00:04.840 We'll see you

01:00:05.900 tomorrow.

01:00:05.980 We'll see you

01:00:06.680 tomorrow.

01:00:06.840 We'll see you

01:00:06.900 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 18, 2022

Episode 1658 Scott Adams： Freedom, Fuel, Fake News, Ukraine, The Squad Effect, Unwoke Immigrants

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