Episode 1659 Scott Adams: I Explain How CNN Made the Biggest Story of the Year Disappear, More Fun
Episode Stats
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Summary
China is building its first 4th generation nuclear reactor, and it's a big deal. It's the next step in nuclear technology, and could it be a game-changer in the way we think about nuclear power?
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and congratulations on finding your way to the best thing that ever
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happened. It hasn't happened yet, but stick around. When it starts to happen, you're going to be
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sitting there saying to yourself something very much like this. Is this the best thing that's
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ever happened? It is. It will be. And all you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tanker,
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a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind to get it started. Fill it with
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your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Black gold, I call it. And join me now for the unparalleled
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pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day. It's the thing that makes everything better.
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It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now to all of you all around the world. Go.
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Now, I don't want to claim that the simultaneous sip could prevent war with Ukraine.
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But whatever they're doing now isn't working. So I'm just saying, if you're doing A-B testing,
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put it in the mix. Well, here's some gigantic news that is in disguise as small news.
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So sometimes the actual news that matters is in technical publications, because you can
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see something coming that's just enormous, but the regular press doesn't quite see it
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yet. You know, like crypto would have been several years ago. Well, here's one of those
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stories. China starts up its first fourth-generation nuclear reactor.
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This news is actually so outstandingly big, right? For those of you who follow the industry,
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you're probably saying, what? I didn't even know that was close. Now, let me tell you why Gen 4 is a
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big deal. So Gen 4 would be different from the current batch of nuclear reactors. And what makes
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it different is, number one, it can't melt down. It can't. It's designed such that when things go
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wrong, it just turns off. Current ones have to have power to the, you know, power to the cooling.
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And if you lose the power, the whole thing melts down. It's bad. But with the fourth generation,
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if you lose your power, it just turns off. That's it. And so the primary risk of having a nuclear
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facility is just erased. Number two, you can design these things, and I think they did it this way,
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because it's the only smart way to do it, to be modular and standardized. What's the biggest problem
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with nuclear power? Getting it approved. And then the economics, because it takes longer to build it
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than you think it will, and it costs more, and the cost overruns and everything. That's all about old
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technology. So all of the problems that we all, we're all familiar with them, right? It's like if
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you tried to build a nuclear plant in the United States, it's going to take 20 years to get it,
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you know, built and approved. It's going to be five times cost overrun. And then when you're done,
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people don't want to live near it, because they're afraid it's going to melt down. Now,
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I should say that the current generation of, you know, the Generation 3, none of them have ever
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melted down. By the way, did you know that? Did you know that the technology that we build today,
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if somebody was building a nuclear power plant in France or something, none of them have ever
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melted down. Now, they do have the potential, but we've learned so much from the earlier generations
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that did melt down, you know, the Chernobyls and the Fukushimas and whatever, that we've learned so
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much by them that the odds of a new one melting down, it's not zero, because, you know, it's just
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technically possible, but very, very low to the point where it's never happened. Zero, it's never
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happened. So the Generation 4 takes something that's never happened in terms of a risk and makes
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it even less. So Generation 4 is like such a crossover point. You know, if you're waiting for
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things to cross over, well, it just crossed over. It just crossed the hell over, I think. Now, we'll
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see how long it takes before there are more fourth-generation plants coming up. In the United
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States, there are a number of startups that are working on fourth-generation as well. So you make
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them small, modular, pre-approved, right? If they're modular, the government just approves it once and says,
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okay, that's the same one we already approved, just do it again. The economics drop because you're
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standardized, you're approved, everything. It just fixes everything. Climate change? Fixed. Fixed. I
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mean, fixed to the extent that humans can do something at this point. But this is a lot. All right,
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we want to make too much of a big deal about that. But if this were a sane world, this would be the
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biggest headline. By far, it's the biggest thing happening in the world right now. It just doesn't
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seem like it because if you're not following this topic. All right, so Purdue Pharma, the makers of
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OxyContin, apparently they've offered to pay $6 billion to the victims of U.S. opioid crisis.
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To which I ask myself, why isn't this the death penalty? Like, why do we even have a death penalty
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if this isn't included? You know, the one who killed a million people? Don't you think that
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addiction will kill a million people? You know, it might take 10 years to do it or something.
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But I don't know, somewhere between 100,000 and a million people probably got killed by something
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that they knew was dangerous. So I suppose that would always be closer to the category of manslaughter
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or something like that. But I can't think of a worse crime than this. Six billion? I don't know,
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maybe not enough. Have I ever told you that doing your own research is the most absurd thing that
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people do? And everybody says, are you kidding? I did my own research and it worked out great.
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You should always do your own research. It's the smartest thing to do.
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Well, here's some research that maybe you did when you, maybe you came across this doing your own
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research. It's research, this was tweeted by Catherine Agninova,
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Agninova. And it says that they did a study and they found that the more people think they know
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about COVID vaccines, the more likely they are to believe misinformation. And then she goes on,
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yes, you read that one right. People who say they are vaccine experts are overwhelmingly more likely
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to hold misperceptions. Now, in this context, I believe vaccine expert doesn't literally mean an expert.
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I think it means people who did their own research to the point where if you ask them, they'd say,
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you know, I've done so much research on this topic. I'm practically expert level. People who did their
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own research were the most likely to be wrong. Do you believe that? First of all, do you believe that
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the study is telling you something accurate? Now, since this is exactly what I've been telling you
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forever, that you can't do your own research, it's just an illusion because you don't know if you did
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it right. There's no standard by which you can know if you did your own research right. You can just feel
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you did it right. That's it. The whole reason that science exists is because we easily convince
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ourselves that we saw evidence that wasn't actually what it was. That's the whole reason that science
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exists because humans absolutely 100% do not have the ability to just sort of research stuff and know
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it's true. We just don't have that ability. But boy, do we think we do. Now, here's the other way to read
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this. What if, you know, maybe the survey is just bad data, right? Most of the surveys and studies we've seen
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in the last two years, at least somebody is going to say there's something wrong with the methodology. So why
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would this be different? But the other thing is, who gets to say what's true about the vaccines? Ah, is that what
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you're going to say to me? You are going to say that, right? What if the people who did their own research
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actually are the ones who were right? And then when the fact checkers go to fact check them, they say,
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hey, Pfizer told us that you're wrong about this. But does that mean it's wrong? In 2022,
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who's in charge of saying what's true about vaccines? I don't recognize any authority of that. Do you?
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Seriously. Who's your fact checker for what vaccines do or do not do? There is none. Is there? As far as I
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know, there are just two opinions. You know, one opinion that it's bad and one opinion that it's good.
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But there's nobody that anybody would recognize as the opinion decider. You know, there's no,
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there's no Supreme Court. I still haven't seen the Project Veritas video. And that's on me. So if you
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want to criticize me for that, totally valid. I promise you I'd look at the Project Veritas video.
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And once again, I've seen, I haven't seen it. Like nobody tweeted it at me since you brought it up
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last time. Anyway. So do your own research. But just know that there's a limit to what people can
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do when they do their own research. Canada apparently is lost. My understanding is that
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all of the trucks of the Freedom Convoy have been towed away or they left and everybody's been
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arrested or chewed away. It's over, right? Is that, is that correct? Or is it only over in Ottawa or
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something? It looks, it looks like the totalitarian Canadian government just went all China. And you
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know, they're regrouping. A few dozens left. Well, it looks to me like, I don't know if the energy has
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been taken out of it. Because the government, you know, isn't it interesting that there is that
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video of Trudeau when asked what other countries he admired. He said, and I agree with him, by the
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way, that China, because it's a dictatorship, they have some advantages. That's just true.
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Does anybody disagree with that? That I'm not saying it's better to have a dictatorship,
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you know, all things considered. I'm saying that they have some advantages. They can turn on a dime
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and they can just make people do stuff. And he actually said out loud in public, Trudeau did,
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that he admired them for that ability. And then when he got in trouble, he did his emergencies act
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and he basically just turned into a dictator. And then he did what he had to do and it actually worked.
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So, you can't say he's not clear-eyed. He told you exactly what he admired and then when the situation
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called for it, he emulated what he admired and it worked. I mean, from his point of view,
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while he was trying to accomplish it, it worked. It looks like it. Now, you know what was the dumbest
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part about all of this? The dumbest part about all of this is that this was negotiable, wasn't it?
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Am I wrong? Wasn't this exactly the kind of thing that's negotiable? Now, I'm not saying they should
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negotiate with the truck drivers, because, you know, why should a government negotiate with, you know,
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protesters per se? But they should listen to them. And they should at least negotiate with the public,
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shouldn't they? You know, shouldn't Trudeau say, look, I hear the public. What we planned to do
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was X, but the public pushback matters, because we're that kind of a country, where if the public,
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you know, wants something badly enough and they understand the risks, that that does matter.
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That has to be a variable. Why couldn't Trudeau have said, you know, we plan to do this until this date,
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but maybe we could talk about that date. And what we should look at is a certain metric.
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And if this metric is reached, let's say a certain number of deaths or something, if this metric is
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reached, then we can move forward the date of getting rid of mandates. Or is the vaccine mandate one
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that can't be moved? They just, it's just permanent? Is it? I mean, does it need to be? Does a vaccine
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mandate need to be permanent? I mean, once the Omicron rules and it's, you know, closer to a common cold,
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do you still need the mandates? Or is that the only thing keeping it under control, they might say?
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I don't know. So don't you think that there's something terribly missing in this, in the Canadian
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process, which I think ended somewhat tragically, I'd have to say, somewhat tragically, because I
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think the Canadian reputation is forever stained. I think they have a lot of division in the public
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that wasn't necessary. It just wasn't necessary. It was a self-created problem. And I don't know,
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we should keep an eye on that and try to see if we can learn anything from it. But any government
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that won't tell you they're flexible on moving a deadline based on changes of the data, or at least
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tell you what it would take for the mandate to go away, that's not a real government, is it?
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That just doesn't seem like governing. It feels like a dictatorship. And I get that maybe Trudeau
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thought he needed to, you know, reopen commerce. Yeah, I get that. You know, it's not a clean
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situation when you're the leader. He does have to balance the interests of the people who just
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want to go to work with the interests of the people who are protesting and free speech
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and all that. So it's not easy. So we should acknowledge that, I guess. But he did have
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a choice of going full dictator versus acting like he was at least working with the voices
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of the competing voices. And I don't think he acted like he was working with them. And why
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is it that our leaders don't do that? Why is it that our leaders just have to say, I'm
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only going to do what my side wants me to do? And that's all you can do now. That's all
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anybody can do, is just say, there's just one side, the other side doesn't matter. By the
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way, do you know who was relatively good at describing what the other side wanted? The person
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who came closest to it was Obama, probably. Although I think Bill Clinton, maybe. But it's
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the strongest thing you can do is acknowledge the other side. And I don't know why nobody
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does it. In fact, I think Trump should do it more. Think how persuasive it is to describe
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the other side's argument before you describe your own. Have you ever tried that? So here's
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your persuasion tip for today. If you say, here's my argument, and you ignore sort of
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the argument on the other side, you just give your own argument, it looks weak to me. And
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it looks like you're lying to me. Because if you've ignored the other side's point, well,
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why have you done that? If you can't deal with the other side's point, you must be lying
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or you know your argument is weak. If you have a real strong argument, and you should if you're
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a leader, you should be able to stand in front of the people and say, look, here's what my
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critics have said, A, B, and C. And I have to admit that there's some truth to all of that.
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But you have to weigh that against D, E, and F. And in my judgment, and based on all the experts
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I've talked to, this is a bigger weight and a higher priority than these other things which
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I acknowledge are really serious business as well. But a leader has to pick. And with the
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understanding that nobody can make everybody happy all the time, I'm going to make a leadership
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decision. I understand all of your concerns, and I'm not forgetting them. But we have to
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move forward now. Why can't anybody say that? Wouldn't that be closer to exactly what you want
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to hear? Because lots of times you just want to know you've been heard. And that your side
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of things is respected. We never show respect for the other argument. That's just a huge persuasion
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mistake. You should show complete respect for the other argument. And if you can't destroy
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the other argument after fully and completely explaining it, saying that you respect it, giving
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it its full weight, if you can't beat that argument, well, then you should have accepted
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it. If you're afraid of the other team's argument, maybe you should follow their argument, right?
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So I always think that's just one of the biggest mistakes. Almost every politician makes that
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mistake, in my opinion. It's hard to think of anybody who doesn't. Can you? Can you think
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of anybody who does that on a sort of routine basis? Give me a name of anybody who is at the top of the
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game who gives credit to the other side's argument? Well, Jordan Peterson, Cernovich, they're not
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politicians. I'm talking about an elected politician. Yeah, Tucker, okay, maybe. Trump, no. Ben Shapiro.
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I don't know about that, but if anybody did, it would probably be him. I guess I'd have to watch
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more of his content to see some examples of that. Tom Cotton, you think? I don't know. Yeah, so you see
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how big the opportunity is, right? The opportunity for somebody to be a uniter, it's just so easy.
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It would be so easy to actually get people on the other side to vote for you. It would be really,
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really easy. And the fact that nobody can figure out how to do it when it's roughly as easy as
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falling out of a chair, that's the level of difficulty. I just told you the whole deal.
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Just show some respect to the other side. That's it. That's all you have to do to get their votes.
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You have to be reasonable, show your work, show respect to the other side, and then move forward.
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People, people, you know, I think maybe, I guess I just don't know why nobody does that.
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Okay, let's talk about Ukraine. Kamala Harris is apparently taking the lead.
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Would you like to fill in your own obvious jokes about this? I'll wait. I'm going to have a sip of
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coffee. I'll need you to talk among yourselves for a while. In the comments, please let loose
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with all of your best. Kamala Harris is in charge of the integrity of Ukraine's border jokes. Go.
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Oh. Okay. Okay. Good. Good. Thank you. That went X-rated pretty quickly.
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Now, let me ask you this. You know, I don't want to go over woke, but isn't it sexist?
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That people make, like, sex-related jokes about the vice president?
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Am I wrong about that? Because I don't think I'm, like, the most woke person in the world or anything.
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But that one, that one I kind of feel a little bit. That feels a little like, well,
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no, I guess we did it with Bill Clinton, though, right? Yeah.
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And I guess we did it with Eric Swalwell. So, yeah, it's fair. Okay. My judgment is,
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I reassess my judgment, and the judgment is fair. Because it is actually evenly applied.
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All right. Here's my favorite story of the day. How CNN made the Durham filing go away. And the New York Times is working on this.
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This is amazing. Now, in my, in my, uh, I'm watching your comments going by and trying to keep my train of thought.
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And some of your comments are pretty funny, but I didn't want to call them out because they're, you know, sex jokes and they're gross.
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But they are funny. All right. Uh, so, you have to see the clip. I wonder how long it will take me to find this clip.
00:23:17.600
Um, on CNN, talking about how the right wing has stopped talking about the false Clinton story.
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And, uh, why the, so it's why the right wing media stopped covering the false Clinton story.
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So now CNN is reporting that the thing they ignored for days and days and they got mocked for,
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now that they're not ignoring it, they're calling it fake news.
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And the reason that they're calling it fake news, we'll go into,
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but the report that it's fake news is fake news.
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And so it's like the, the double fake news, fake news.
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Um, so I tweeted this morning, so I should see it at the top of my Twitter profile.
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If I can play it for you, you have to see their faces.
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When they do what looks to me like maybe not being, uh, completely honest about this.
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It's probably going to play a commercial first.
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And it's fascinating how it sits there and doesn't play.
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You really have to, you have to see these guys' faces.
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I need a new wireless plan for my business, but all my employees need something.
00:24:44.940
So, so let me, uh, let me give you, uh, the rundown of how they make this go away.
00:24:52.260
First of all, they say that the claim that was that Trump was spied on.
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Well, that's not exactly how the old saying goes.
00:25:05.160
So what I want you to look at is the pained expressions on their faces.
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So it's going to be Brian Stelter and, uh, and this gentleman.
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And I don't know if you've ever seen so much torture in a face.
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Because it looks to me like they know they're lying.
00:25:40.160
And we don't like it, but somebody told us to do this.
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So it looks like something their boss told them to do.
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And it's going down like they're chewing on a turd.
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...exploded into wild accusations about Hillary Clinton and even the death penalty.
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But now, poof, the story has mysteriously all but disappeared from those right-wing outlets.
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I've seen a chief media correspondent, Brian Stelter, host of reliable sources.
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...last week with Special Counsel John Durham, who's been investigating the origins of the
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Special Counsel Durham alleges Clinton campaign lawyer used data to raise suspicions about Trump.
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Okay, so a little bit of a story, a germ of a story.
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But it was suddenly blown up by right-wing media as if Trump had been proven right,
00:26:40.260
that he was spied on, that there was a crime of the century.
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...the Journal editorial board saying, Trump really was spied on.
00:26:46.600
Donald Trump himself said in a statement that at a stronger time in our history,
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the death penalty will be applied to the criminals here.
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This was Trump as victim being proven right, even though that was not true at all.
00:26:56.960
This went on for days and days in right-wing media until, John, it started to fizzle.
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But let me break down how they try to make this story disappear.
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So, first he says there's a gerb of truth, but that there wasn't spying, basically.
00:27:21.520
So, first they debunk the claim that the Clinton campaign paid for the data.
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So, who paid for the data was never really an important part.
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Since the data was not obtained by, quote, spying,
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And that the tech company wasn't who they paid.
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So, the things they're debunking are all the things that are sort of tangential,
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but not really terribly important to the core of the story.
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But they make it act like the germ of truth isn't the important part.
00:28:15.520
That Clinton paid some lawyers to go get some data that they would use to frame Trump.
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Now, the accusation in the Durham filing is that they knew they were framing Trump with fake data.
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That the Clinton campaign paid somebody who got some data,
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and that collectively they knew it was fake data.
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And they tried to change the course of the country and the election by using fake data.
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Watch how they dance around the core of the claim here.
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So, first they go about who, you know, how the data was obtained and who paid who,
00:29:00.940
The important part was that they intentionally used fake data
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to try to frame a guy who was running for president.
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And then they say, CNN claims, that all the data came from before the Trump era.
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In other words, before the Trump administration.
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Because the data that was gathered was before Trump was even president.
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Why in the world was Clinton's lawyer asking only for Obama-era information?
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And why would they use only Obama-era information to frame Trump?
00:29:51.340
Well, either it included information from Trump Tower, which was before Trump was in power,
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in which case it would be completely relevant, right?
00:30:05.400
They were trying to prevent him from becoming president.
00:30:08.480
So it's very relevant that it was an Obama-era data,
00:30:11.900
because that's when they were trying to prevent him from being president.
00:30:14.780
So they're acting as if the fact that they gathered the data
00:30:20.240
when he was running for president isn't important.
00:30:24.400
Not only is it important, it's the whole fucking point,
00:30:28.520
is that they were trying to prevent him from becoming president.
00:30:34.040
So when they sell you that the data was from a different presidency,
00:30:44.900
because they were trying to stop Trump from being the president.
00:30:53.180
I mean, the boldness of this is just breathtaking.
00:30:58.300
And then how do we know that all the data was from the Obama administration?
00:31:08.440
based on sources that were probably under oath?
00:31:13.160
It came from a guy who was involved in gathering the data.
00:31:26.440
But he wasn't even talking about the right thing when he said that.
00:31:37.740
The heart of the story is that the Clinton campaign used fake data,
00:31:45.780
to intentionally frame Trump and change the course of history.
00:32:07.520
points to the New York Times with its old news trick.
00:32:11.860
So they try to use the trick, the New York Times,
00:32:20.060
Because it was never an old story that Durham just filed.
00:32:28.700
In other words, the fact that Durham filed the story
00:32:35.780
as well as the whole narrative of why it was happening.
00:32:39.060
But the way the New York Times tells the story is,
00:32:46.640
suggesting Trump was communicating with Russia.
00:32:56.220
what they're talking about is not the true part of the story.
00:33:01.860
Yes, the fake part of the story was reported before.
00:33:29.300
because you know that works pretty well, pretty well.
00:33:51.100
I mean, the people on the right did stop talking about it,
00:34:07.860
have colluded with CNN and the New York Times and MSNBC,
00:34:23.820
Is this not obviously a coordinated change of the narrative?
00:34:45.960
because these are the ones you can never trust again.
00:34:49.100
You can never trust anybody involved in these stories again,
00:34:56.600
They made the biggest story of the last 10 years go away.
00:35:12.320
Because, you know, some people like me will talk about it,
00:35:17.460
And if this live stream got any, you know, viral pickup,
00:35:23.780
if this started to trend, and it's not, it won't,
00:35:37.300
but what you have to understand is the cartoonist
00:35:44.780
And then all the people who listened to it would say,
00:35:48.320
ugh, I can't believe he didn't even do his research.
00:35:51.400
The most basic thing of when did the data even belong to,
00:36:00.160
And anybody who saw that criticism would believe
00:37:10.260
you're going to hear some terrible things about me.
00:37:17.460
some terrible things about me in the next year?