Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1662 Scott Adams： Best Ukraine Analysis You'll Hear From Someone Who Doesn't Know Anything

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the best thing that ever happened in this universe

00:00:17.760 and, dare I say, the afterlife.

00:00:21.460 I don't usually talk about the afterlife, but today have you noticed that there's something

00:00:27.700 missing in the news about Ukraine? I'll tell you about that, and then we'll do this simultaneous

00:00:34.660 sip, the holiest that there's ever been. Yes, I've noticed that a lot of people have been

00:00:40.800 talking about Ukraine and Russia and the possibility of war, but we have not heard from

00:00:45.860 the Pope. Now, the Pope was not available, but I know how he thinks, and so I thought I would

00:00:53.600 give you the official Pope opinion on the possibility of war in Ukraine. Give me a moment.

00:01:03.880 Let me concentrate. I want to receive the signal clearly. Religious signal coming in. Got it. 0.99

00:01:14.720 The Pope would have you know that he is opposed to war, and I think you're glad you waited for that. 0.83

00:01:22.060 So when it comes to the Pope, no war. He doesn't like it one bit, not one bit. And that, ladies and

00:01:32.340 gentlemen, is the religious opinion on the war. And I don't think that has been given enough attention,

00:01:40.340 so I thought I'd help. Do I look better with the hat? Is it my imagination, or did I get uglier

00:01:48.360 when I took the hat off? Is it just me? I think that actually happened. Yes. I think we found

00:01:59.980 something we could all agree on. I look better with the hat. I think I look better with the hat

00:02:06.160 and the mask, because a lot of the pandemic, my ugliness was completely covered. So I'd have

00:02:13.360 sunglasses on, and then I'd have a mask, and then I'd wear a baseball hat. So basically,

00:02:19.880 basically the only parts of my entire body that were showing on the colder days were my hands,

00:02:26.940 unless I had gloves on, were my hands and this little strip of skin right here, which by the way,

00:02:33.380 looks pretty good on me. Best part of my body, and this was just pure luck, pure luck. The best part of

00:02:41.960 my entire body is this narrow strip just above where my mask line would be and below my sunglasses.

00:02:49.040 I don't like to brag, but honestly, I've got one of the best over-mask, under-sunglasses

00:02:57.360 area of a body I've ever seen. I do work on it. Moisturizer, stay out of the sun. A lot of people

00:03:07.040 don't put the work in, but I do. How would you like the simultaneous sip? And all you need is a

00:03:11.860 cup or a mug or a glass of tank or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:03:16.800 Fill it with your favorite beverage. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure that

00:03:24.340 doped me into the day, the thing that makes absolutely everything better. It's called,

00:03:30.180 what, what, what is it called? That's right. The simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:03:39.660 Oh.

00:03:43.680 I don't know. Something happened. Hold on a second.

00:03:48.500 I hate it when this happens. I accidentally turned my coffee into wine.

00:04:02.840 That, you think you've got things under control? Okay, I stole that joke from somebody on the

00:04:09.820 locals platform. I saw your comments on locals, and I did steal your joke, but they didn't see it.

00:04:15.180 They didn't see it. They didn't see it on YouTube. So for a moment there, they thought I had a pretty

00:04:20.680 good, pretty good joke until I had to admit it wasn't mine. Well, let's do a little update on

00:04:30.240 freedom. I was out and about yesterday and day before looking at how many people have taken off

00:04:38.860 their masks now that the California mandate has been dropped. So if you're in a store or shopping

00:04:45.580 or whatever, you do not require a mask. Where I live, about 80% of people are still masked.

00:04:54.580 That's right. My state was offered its freedom, and 80% of the residents said, well, thank you,

00:05:01.680 but no thank you. I would rather stay in my little mask cage, including outdoors. Now, I'm not positive

00:05:10.200 this is true, but I think the outdoor masking is at an all-time high. This is after the mask mandate

00:05:18.720 has completely eliminated outdoor masking. I've never seen higher outdoor masking than right now.

00:05:25.000 Now, I had actually talked to some people, who shall remain anonymous, who actually said they

00:05:32.800 kind of liked the mask era for a variety of reasons. They liked them. There are people who

00:05:40.560 like the masks. Apparently, you can get used to anything. I wasn't one of them. So I didn't see

00:05:47.200 that coming. And I did a little tweet today to ask what mandates are still in effect in the United

00:05:53.560 States. So here are the ones I know about. We'll see if these get mopped up. I hope they do.

00:05:59.940 So the remaining mandates are, let's see, New York City, you still need vaccination passports to go

00:06:04.840 in a restaurant. That's still true, right? Give me a fact check as I go and add some ones if you

00:06:10.560 know. I believe healthcare workers, including everybody, the janitors, the receptionists, everybody

00:06:16.480 in healthcare, are still under mandatory vaccinations. That's true, right? Still need masks on public

00:06:25.600 transport and for flying in particular. I guess just public transport. Still need masks in some places,

00:06:33.600 like students are doing it in a lot of schools, Washington State, Massachusetts, California, Hawaii,

00:06:41.200 still got some masks. Federal buildings masks and cruise ships, which I guess is a form of public

00:06:49.640 transport. So those are the, what ones did I miss? Has the passport, where else is the vaccine passport

00:07:00.940 in effect? Flying? So here, so here's a sort of a checkpoint. Does it look like if you were just to

00:07:15.000 judge the pandemic in terms of freedoms given up compared to other countries, just freedoms given up,

00:07:22.800 are we doing okay? I mean, is the United States, are we doing well enough to claw back our freedoms?

00:07:31.780 Because we have some, you know, in Canada, I know some of the provinces gave up on some of their

00:07:37.340 mandates, but we're not really, we're not close to the end point. And we're not close. But I do think

00:07:45.520 we're going to get away without vaccine passports. What do you think? Do you think at this point,

00:07:52.080 what is your current prediction about USA and vaccine passports? I feel like we're going to not

00:08:00.900 have them. Am I wrong? Because if we don't have them yet, it feels like this wouldn't be the time

00:08:08.760 to implement them. I don't think public would, would accept it now. Yeah. So I would say I'm going to

00:08:16.700 give, I'm going to give America a C plus in regaining freedoms. Would you agree? I'll give us

00:08:26.040 a C plus. Like lots of work to do. But it's not as bad as it could have been. I mean, it could have

00:08:33.220 been worse, I suppose. But we're not close. We got to keep clawing. Have you noticed that the entire

00:08:39.760 retail part of at least America, I don't know if this is happening anywhere else, has turned to 0.97

00:08:46.160 garbage? As I tweeted yesterday, I went into six retail establishments and walked down of each one

00:08:53.180 because buying something was too hard. Here's what happened. And I don't know if anybody has noticed

00:09:01.360 this trend yet. If you make it possible to buy almost everything online, who is remaining to

00:09:10.140 stand in line at an actual retail store? Now in the short run, it's everybody, right? In the short run,

00:09:17.220 you buy some stuff online, but sometimes you go to stores. Over time, more and more people will move

00:09:23.080 to online only. And then the pandemic hits and more and more online there. So who's left? Well, let me tell

00:09:30.860 who's left. It's all the people who have a frickin problem. Right? You know how bad it is to get behind 0.96

00:09:38.760 the elderly person who's writing a check at the grocery store? Like you don't want to be in that 1.00

00:09:44.700 line? Now imagine that because all of the efficient people have already moved completely online,

00:09:52.600 the people in line are only the people writing a check in the grocery store and people like that.

00:09:59.860 Now, add to the fact that the only people in line are the people with problems.

00:10:06.440 On top of that, on top of that, the stores are asking for more stuff. Now they want your phone

00:10:14.460 number. They've got to find out if you've got a coupon. Is the coupon good? Are you part of the

00:10:20.260 loyalty program? If you don't have your card, can you plug it in? Do you want to donate something?

00:10:25.760 Yeah, you have four ways to pay and sometimes ID, sometimes not. So I stood in line and nobody could

00:10:38.140 get helped because everybody who was in line had like a story. Not only did the person in line have

00:10:45.860 a story, but then the retail worker had their own story, like data they had to collect and explaining

00:10:52.200 why they're doing things. And I thought to myself, I don't think I'll ever go to a retail

00:10:57.000 establishment again. Because what, whatever good or bad they used to be, they've just turned to

00:11:03.280 garbage. You can never buy your size. Am I right? Go into a store and find your size in anything, 0.96

00:11:11.160 basically. You can't. How many of you have stood in line long enough that you took out your phone,

00:11:19.640 you scanned the barcode on the thing in your hand, and you ordered it from Amazon, and then you got

00:11:25.180 it in line and put it back on the shelf? How many have done that? I'm not the only one. I saw somebody

00:11:33.680 commented on Twitter. Yeah, a lot of you. Because the process of in-store has gotten worse and worse

00:11:41.620 as they make you do more work just to pay, buy something. I don't know. I think retail is in

00:11:47.440 big trouble, even more than, you know, we obviously have known for a long time. Here's a little tip for

00:11:52.980 you if you're trying to figure out what trade to get into. Lisa de Pascal, who was commenting on my

00:12:01.280 comment about retail, and she said, it's awful in this economy. Why am I spending so much time

00:12:07.560 begging to pay people? Have you had this experience? You call somebody for some kind of a service,

00:12:15.180 just something that needs to be repaired or serviced or something. You can't get anybody to show up.

00:12:21.920 People will say, well, maybe in two weeks. Yeah, right? So if you are going to pick a field to enter,

00:12:30.740 find out who you can't hire now. If you can't get, I'll give you one example. All right. I'm going to

00:12:41.020 give you a trade tip. That's a pretty good one. You ready for this? Fireplace repair person.

00:12:50.640 Because a lot of fireplaces are gas operated. Fireplace repair person. It looks like the easiest

00:12:57.480 job in the world, because there are only like three elements to the whole thing. And, you know,

00:13:05.280 not too many manufacturers. So try to book one. You think you can get one same day? Nope. Nope. You can't.

00:13:15.480 So if you wanted to enter a trade, find out who can't show up and take your money. Because there are

00:13:22.160 people begging to give people money, and they can't find anybody to take it. We have a whole country,

00:13:27.480 people who have more money than they have services that they can buy. They want to buy stuff. They

00:13:32.840 can't find anybody to do it. So that's the thing. We'll talk about it in Ukraine, of course.

00:13:41.540 Turns out that cow manure is now economical as a major energy source. So dairy farmers are being

00:13:49.160 approached by energy companies that turn manure into methane, I guess, and then into energy.

00:13:55.400 And they figured out the economics to the point where I'm not entirely sure about this, but I think 0.99

00:14:01.480 the cow shit might be more worth more than the milk. I don't know that that's true. But are we going to 0.99

00:14:09.640 get to a point where cow shit is more valuable than the milk that comes out of the same cow? 1.00

00:14:14.440 And if we're turning cow shit into electricity, doesn't that mean that we're turning basically 1.00

00:14:23.720 everything green into electricity? We're basically, we're going to have to mow down forests and the 0.99

00:14:29.960 cows are going to be trampling all over the grass eating it and turning that into electricity.

00:14:34.120 Is that really efficient? I feel like, I feel like there might be a better way to

00:14:39.720 get your electricity. But anyway, that's a, that's the thing that's happening. We reached

00:14:45.000 the crossover point for profitability. And of course, you ask yourself, why do you need cows?

00:14:51.160 We've got seven people, seven billion people pooping all over the place. How many cows are there? 1.00

00:14:55.640 Are there more than seven billion cows? Why don't you capture some people poop? All right.

00:15:04.120 Here's a, here's a reason why nobody can be a good or bad predictor.

00:15:10.360 And this is the weirdest thing, but maybe this was always the case, but it seems especially the case

00:15:16.280 now that we'll never agree what is going to happen. I think you'd agree with that easily. We never

00:15:23.400 agree what's going to happen. Like when we predict, people will predict all over the place.

00:15:29.000 But the weirdest part that might be new, but I guess you'd have to ask a historian,

00:15:35.160 we can no longer agree on what did happen. That feels like it's new. So if you're in the business

00:15:41.320 of predicting things, as I sort of am, you can't even know if you were right. Because I can think I

00:15:48.520 was right. And other people will say, well, look at the facts, you were clearly wrong.

00:15:52.360 So you can't even know if you can predict right. Because there will be no agreement on what is.

00:15:57.080 Here's a perfect example. I predicted that Russia would not invade Ukraine.

00:16:03.960 Did they?

00:16:07.320 I don't know. Because it turns out that they did move troops into an area where they already had troops.

00:16:14.440 And already controlled the two separatist regions that were already under complete Russian control,

00:16:20.440 apparently. So if they moved troops into a place they already had troops,

00:16:27.560 into a region that was really not under control of Ukraine anyway, it was already Russian,

00:16:32.600 did they invade? So was my prediction already wrong? So I asked a poll, because I had no idea how people

00:16:41.880 would see this. 50% of the people who answered my Twitter poll, which is, of course, not scientific.

00:16:50.200 Half of them said it's not quite an invasion.

00:16:54.520 Not quite an invasion. But 37% said yes. So 37% of the people in my Twitter poll,

00:17:02.600 and these reasons people would be largely friendly to my point of view, think I'm wrong. And that my

00:17:10.040 prediction has already been proven wrong. But 50% of the people said I'm right. So how do I even know

00:17:18.280 if I'm a good predictor? I don't think you could just take the majority in this case. I mean, you can

00:17:23.800 see that it's so clear that people don't even agree on literal reality at this point. Because you can just

00:17:29.800 word think it away. Oh, it's part of Ukraine. Oh, it's not. And you both have a good argument.

00:17:34.840 But yesterday, Zelensky himself said, quote, with today's and possibly tomorrow's decisions, Russia is legalizing

00:17:46.200 its troops, which have actually been in the occupied territories of Donbass since 2014.

00:17:53.960 It seems to me that the president of Ukraine does not believe that Ukraine has been invaded. I mean, at least not

00:18:00.920 this week, already invaded, I guess. So if the president of Ukraine thinks I'm right so far,

00:18:07.880 so far, it's not looking like I'm going to be right. It does look like Putin's, you know, poised to do

00:18:15.400 more. But at the moment, am I right or am I wrong? In the comments, you tell me. At the moment, has

00:18:23.240 Ukraine been invaded already this week? I'll just read down some of the answers. Yes, 0.65

00:18:30.600 no, wrong. Yeah, it's early in the week, right? Nope, nope, nope. Okay, so we are mixed on that.

00:18:42.040 All right, let's talk about what's happening. I had some curiosity about whether Russian citizens know

00:18:48.040 what's going on in Ukraine. Now, of course, their state run media is all propaganda. So the state run

00:18:55.560 media is all misleading if you live in Russia. Would you agree with that? The state run media is

00:19:01.080 completely misleading to the Russian public. But don't they have internet access? I actually,

00:19:09.800 I wasn't sure until I actually did some Googling to find out what's going on. And Russia, of course,

00:19:17.880 is doing a variety of things to try to suppress access to information that would be bad for them.

00:19:24.200 But they do things like throttling certain content.

00:19:28.680 There is, they're not, the internet is still available, right? If you live in Russia, 0.98

00:19:35.880 can't you call up CNN webpage in America? There's nothing blocking that, right?

00:19:41.240 Can you give me a fact check on that? Oh, okay, so I'm seeing on locals the very next thing I was going

00:19:48.920 to talk about. Is the fact that Russians, by and large, don't speak English the only reason that 1.00

00:19:57.000 they don't know what's going on? Because everything that's in Russian presumably would be pro-Putin.

00:20:03.320 And do we have a problem that if the public in Russia had a better understanding of what was

00:20:10.200 happening, that they would not support their own president? I don't know. Maybe they would anyway.

00:20:17.560 So here's a question. Have you seen anywhere in the news if the Russian public supports Putin so far

00:20:24.760 in everything he's done? How many of you could answer the question, does the Russian public,

00:20:30.440 by a majority, support what Putin is doing right now?

00:20:37.560 Because I've got a feeling they might, right? It seems like probably. Partly because, you know,

00:20:44.920 Putin can control information to some extent. But also maybe because they like it. You can't rule out

00:20:53.320 the fact that they might just like a strong leader.

00:20:59.080 He's made a reasonable argument that these, you know, Russian-speaking people should be part of

00:21:03.880 the historic republic. And maybe the public likes it. Maybe. If it doesn't cost too much.

00:21:11.160 So Putin also revealed that he asked President Clinton years ago if he could join NATO.

00:21:24.840 That's not the first time we've heard that, right? It's the first time for me. I didn't know it.

00:21:29.080 But apparently there was some... Was there any knowledge about that before?

00:21:34.920 I think there might have been. But it wasn't widely known, right?

00:21:38.440 And so, for years now, I've been saying that Russia and the United States are natural allies.

00:21:50.440 And that the only reason we would be at each other's throats is psychological.

00:21:56.280 Like there's not a material reason that we would be enemies. There's just a psychological,

00:22:02.600 maybe historical reasons or whatever. So... Or political.

00:22:07.000 And I wonder, what would have happened if Russia had been considered for NATO?

00:22:15.800 Because I thought the whole point of NATO was to deter Russia, or the Soviet Union originally.

00:22:22.040 Am I wrong that the point of NATO was mostly about Russia? And what happens if Russia has to join the alliance against Russia?

00:22:33.960 Now, I get that they would do more than that. They would protect more than Russia. But...

00:22:39.880 I don't know. Is NATO active in anything that would involve China?

00:22:46.760 So, I'm a little bit confused about what is the point of NATO if the enemy of NATO asked if he could join NATO.

00:22:58.200 And it also makes me wonder if that was just an incredible master persuader move that didn't work out.

00:23:05.720 But it should have confused the United States, right?

00:23:10.200 If the person that you're trying to protect against asked you to join the organization of people protecting against him,

00:23:16.520 what the hell do you think?

00:23:17.480 I mean, how do you process that?

00:23:21.080 The way you should process it is that NATO doesn't make sense.

00:23:25.560 And if that's what Putin was doing, it was brilliant.

00:23:29.800 I mean, it didn't... Obviously, it didn't end NATO.

00:23:32.840 But it would have been a brilliant play to confuse people about why NATO even exists,

00:23:37.720 and put some doubt in everybody's mind about how much to fund it.

00:23:41.560 It could have been an incredibly genius move that was always meant to never be successful.

00:23:47.080 But just put that down.

00:23:48.120 In a way, it's very similar to what Trump did with Kim in North Korea.

00:23:54.760 Because what Trump did was simply act like he was his personal friend, which just ruins the whole frame.

00:24:05.160 Everything historically that made sense instantly didn't make sense.

00:24:09.240 Because Trump just changed the frame of reference to that we're two buddies.

00:24:13.720 And by the way, can I help you with your economy?

00:24:16.520 Why would you give me trouble? We're buddies.

00:24:20.120 Why would you point a nuclear weapon to me?

00:24:23.080 Why would my buddy do that?

00:24:25.240 I mean, I think the way Trump handled North Korea is one of the all-time great things that anybody ever did politically.

00:24:32.440 Honestly, I think it would go down in just one of the great moves of all time.

00:24:38.360 It might not last if somebody else causes trouble with North Korea.

00:24:41.800 But it was great at the time.

00:24:43.400 And I think that Putin played a similar frame-breaking play.

00:24:49.880 Maybe not as successfully.

00:24:52.200 He just broke the frame that it's an enemy and an army against the enemy.

00:24:57.080 Hey, can I join the army?

00:24:58.200 It's kind of brilliant.

00:25:01.400 But I do think it supports my idea that we're natural allies.

00:25:05.720 Because if he could even keep a straight face while saying, can you put us in NATO?

00:25:10.840 And he probably did.

00:25:12.840 If you could say that with a straight face, it probably means that you have an argument that we don't really need to be enemies.

00:25:21.240 There's just nothing to be gained from it.

00:25:24.600 All right.

00:25:28.200 One of the worst things about war and the threat of war is that the leaders on both sides can become more popular with war.

00:25:39.320 Isn't that the worst thing ever?

00:25:42.200 You want your leaders to know that if they ever went to war for anything, they would become less popular.

00:25:47.980 But they don't.

00:25:49.980 You know, we have an automatic nationalist instinct in this country and every other country that as soon as something looks like war, the leader's approval goes up.

00:26:00.940 It's almost automatic.

00:26:02.940 And so Biden, being in the basement of presidential approval, according to Rasmussen, it looks like he's getting a pop.

00:26:12.880 Biden's approval is going up.

00:26:14.960 Do you think he's earned it?

00:26:16.020 So far, just because obviously this is based on Ukraine.

00:26:22.240 Do you think he's earned it just on Ukraine?

00:26:24.820 So forget about everything else.

00:26:26.260 Just for a moment.

00:26:27.640 Because these polls tend to move with current events.

00:26:31.640 I'm seeing almost all no's. 1.00

00:26:34.880 Okay.

00:26:35.440 I see one yes.

00:26:38.480 I'm seeing hell no's.

00:26:39.840 Okay.

00:26:40.340 You seem to be quite unified on no.

00:26:44.340 Are you surprised that his approval is ticking up?

00:26:50.460 With this many no's, you should think, well, how can his approval be going up?

00:26:55.080 All right.

00:26:55.380 Let me give you an argument for Biden.

00:26:57.740 This is going to piss you off.

00:27:02.020 Right.

00:27:02.860 Now, keep in mind, we don't know what happens tomorrow.

00:27:05.420 So I'm only going to talk about what's happened so far.

00:27:09.720 Here's what's happened so far.

00:27:11.640 Russia has lost the Nord Stream 2 because by moving troops into the two occupied territories, the separatist territories, that triggered Germany to say, okay, Nord Stream 2 is done.

00:27:27.860 So that's a big economic hit.

00:27:29.400 A number of other sanctions will probably kick in, but not the worst of them, right?

00:27:34.540 So the minor sanctions might kick in, hurt a little bit around the edges.

00:27:39.620 So, so far, Russia has spent a bunch of money.

00:27:43.580 It has degraded its international reputation.

00:27:47.140 It lost Nord Stream.

00:27:50.580 And if it attacks, it's going to get, you know, extra pain.

00:27:56.960 And what is, and what has Russia gained so far?

00:28:00.900 What did it gain?

00:28:02.320 So far, all it gained was the property it already owned, which was the separatist regions.

00:28:08.740 So, so far, so far, Russia broke, broke even on land and is taking a hit, pretty big hit to its GDP.

00:28:21.420 Biden has so far gone cheap.

00:28:23.920 So, Biden, so far, hasn't committed, you know, large funds to military.

00:28:30.700 And he got a huge degradation of an opposing country.

00:28:37.960 So far, Biden is winning.

00:28:43.860 Now, I don't think that's, I'm not predicting that will last, okay?

00:28:48.040 So, I'm not, I'm not saying that when we're all said and done, I'm going to say, hey, Biden, you handled that just right.

00:28:54.520 That seems unlikely.

00:28:57.060 But, didn't that piss you off a little bit?

00:29:01.840 It did, didn't it?

00:29:04.460 Because you're, almost every one of you said he's, he's doing everything wrong.

00:29:09.360 But, so far, he's ahead on score.

00:29:13.340 Am I wrong about that?

00:29:15.720 Am I wrong that, so far, he's ahead in points?

00:29:19.220 Doesn't mean he wins the game at all.

00:29:21.660 But, so far?

00:29:23.080 Give me the argument in a short comment, can you?

00:29:26.620 I get that some of you are disagreeing.

00:29:30.520 I see the disagreement.

00:29:31.760 But, can you give me the reason?

00:29:34.080 He created it by being weak. 0.98

00:29:37.620 World stage loser. 0.94

00:29:39.240 It's only the fourth inning, that's true. 0.87

00:29:42.000 No, because it's BS.

00:29:44.940 You take his flaw, and he's weak, and the world will pay.

00:29:47.820 So, is it his weakness?

00:29:50.200 His weakness, right?

00:29:51.900 But, does he look weak?

00:29:53.120 Because he did unify NATO.

00:29:54.480 So, if he unified NATO, killed Nord Stream 2, hurt Russia's economy, hurt their standing

00:30:01.920 in the world, he didn't come out ahead, so far?

00:30:08.040 Now, our stock market will go down as well.

00:30:10.720 I think Russia went down $40 billion yesterday, or this week.

00:30:15.860 He failed to deter him, but that also only matters if he keeps going, because he's only

00:30:22.240 been undeterred to take what he already owned.

00:30:26.460 Somebody says he didn't unify NATO.

00:30:28.720 All right, so here's another perfect example of what I was just saying.

00:30:33.400 I was just saying that not only do people predict what will happen differently, but once

00:30:39.440 something has happened, we don't even agree what happened.

00:30:42.520 Isn't this another perfect example?

00:30:47.000 And by the way, I'm not going to disagree with you on this.

00:30:50.320 I made my best argument for an argument that would say Biden has done a reasonably good job

00:30:57.360 so far.

00:30:58.780 That was my best argument for it.

00:31:00.860 I don't disagree with your argument that he's blowing it.

00:31:05.380 I feel like it's a little premature, because as somebody said, this is the fourth inning.

00:31:11.240 You've got to kind of wait to the end to see who won, right?

00:31:14.360 So I'm going to wait to the end to see who won, but unlike some of you, I'm way closer

00:31:20.880 to wait and see than something terrible has happened already.

00:31:26.680 What happens?

00:31:27.400 So here's what I think is one strong possibility.

00:31:33.360 Do you think that Putin could claim victory if all he did was consolidate control over the

00:31:39.360 two separatist regions?

00:31:41.380 Would that be enough for him to say, yay, I won, got everything I want, I liberated these

00:31:47.960 two separatist regions?

00:31:50.500 I'm a liberator.

00:31:52.900 Can he go home?

00:31:54.540 Can he go home with a win?

00:31:57.400 Maybe.

00:32:01.420 You know, maybe he even makes money if the price of fuel goes up, that whatever he can

00:32:06.920 deliver without Nord Stream 2, doesn't he sell it for a higher price if energy prices

00:32:11.860 went up?

00:32:12.960 Maybe they won't stay up if he leaves.

00:32:15.720 But have we not created a situation in which by Biden and Zelensky, you could say cleverly,

00:32:23.860 but other people would say weakly, as in being weak.

00:32:28.420 Is it weak or is it clever that Biden and Zelensky have allowed that whatever Putin does with the

00:32:35.140 two separatist regions doesn't seem to count as an invasion?

00:32:38.260 Is it weak or is it weak or clever?

00:32:41.000 Because one possibility is that it allows Putin an easy escape hatch.

00:32:47.000 He can claim victory in a fairly credible way.

00:32:50.780 He could claim victory.

00:32:51.680 And then he'd have a way to back down and still look like the strong leader and still have a gain

00:32:58.480 within.

00:32:59.880 And I suppose he could still keep pushing on the rest of Ukraine. 0.85

00:33:03.580 And then would Biden look like he's a winner?

00:33:06.960 Because he didn't really give them anything they didn't already have.

00:33:09.760 And they lost the Nord Stream 2.

00:33:13.300 I don't know.

00:33:13.760 I think there's a situation now where both can be winners.

00:33:19.240 And maybe Zelensky too.

00:33:21.780 You know, Zelensky is still saying that he doesn't think there'll be an invasion of Ukraine proper.

00:33:27.780 I guess I shouldn't say proper.

00:33:29.620 He doesn't think there'll be an invasion of whatever's left of Ukraine.

00:33:36.920 And do you think he's lying about that?

00:33:40.580 Do you think Zelensky is just lying and he's trying to keep the public from panicking?

00:33:45.700 Or does he really not think that Putin will cross the line because maybe the price is too high?

00:33:52.900 Let me ask you this.

00:33:54.100 Remember I said that Putin doesn't know what kind of weapons would be thrown against him?

00:34:00.580 Because this should be the first time the most modern, at least American, weaponry gets used in that kind of battle

00:34:07.300 against a sophisticated foe.

00:34:12.660 What happens if Putin goes into battle and gets a bloody nose?

00:34:17.520 He could.

00:34:21.180 Now here's something I don't think any of you thought of.

00:34:24.460 All right.

00:34:25.600 We know that the United States has incredible cyber warfare capabilities.

00:34:30.460 We assume so, right?

00:34:32.020 Maybe not, but you make the assumption that the United States does.

00:34:36.000 There are other countries you'd make that assumption about.

00:34:39.360 Israel.

00:34:40.820 You would assume they have great cyber warfare capabilities.

00:34:43.680 You think China does?

00:34:46.720 You think Russia does? 0.61

00:34:48.500 Great Britain, France, probably.

00:34:50.920 Right?

00:34:51.120 So you can name a number of countries that you're pretty sure have the best cyber warfare capabilities.

00:34:57.000 Now, does the United States sell weapons to Ukraine?

00:35:04.600 Actually, I don't know the answer to that.

00:35:06.380 Do we sell them weapons directly, or does it go through some kind of middle channel for any reason?

00:35:12.820 We do it directly, right?

00:35:15.180 Yeah.

00:35:15.600 I think we...

00:35:16.340 Do we sell it, or do we provide them?

00:35:18.800 We sell them, right?

00:35:20.220 So the Stinger missiles and the anti-tank missiles, we sell them.

00:35:24.220 So, would you agree with the following statement, we can sell them weapons?

00:35:29.120 Yes, right?

00:35:31.100 There's nothing that would stop us from selling weapons.

00:35:34.120 Could you... 0.99

00:35:35.520 This is going to blow the top of your head off. 0.97

00:35:38.460 Wait for this.

00:35:40.220 Could you sell cyber warfare as a service?

00:35:45.460 As a service.

00:35:47.680 And here's what I mean by that.

00:35:49.500 You say to Ukraine, and it doesn't have to be the United States, it could be an ally.

00:35:54.620 It could be Israel. 0.72

00:35:56.100 Could Israel... 0.95

00:35:56.900 I'll just...

00:35:57.460 Well, let me not throw Israel under the bus.

00:35:59.660 They have enough problems.

00:36:01.060 Let me pick a country.

00:36:03.300 Elbonia.

00:36:04.520 Could Elbonia, a made-up country with a great cyber warfare capability, say to Ukraine, 0.88

00:36:11.880 we will sell you the services, but you can't have the IP or the tools?

00:36:17.040 We'll keep the tools, so you can't do this on your own.

00:36:20.060 But as a service, if you push this button, it will turn off the lights in Moscow.

00:36:29.860 And then the Ukrainians would have to be the ones that push the button, but whatever happens 1.00

00:36:35.100 after they push the button goes through the cyber warfare, cyber warfare as a service.

00:36:40.760 By the way, those of you who work in technology, when I use the phrase software as a service,

00:36:48.840 you're familiar with that, this would be cyber warfare as a service.

00:36:53.100 Because you definitely don't want to give your cyber warfare tools to any country that doesn't

00:36:59.500 already have them, right?

00:37:01.760 Not even an ally, probably, I assume.

00:37:04.760 So you can't give your tools away, but you could sell...

00:37:08.300 Well, if you can sell a weapon, you could sell cyber warfare as a service.

00:37:14.660 You wouldn't be the one pushing the button.

00:37:17.360 You would just be the one who has a network that that, you know, chain of connections went

00:37:22.360 through.

00:37:24.580 Is that illegal?

00:37:26.700 What would stop it from happening?

00:37:28.840 Now, let me ask you this.

00:37:32.560 If Ukraine could buy that service, it'd be expensive, but if they could buy that service,

00:37:39.480 what damage could they do to Russia if Russia attacked Ukraine's, you know, more agreed-on

00:37:47.580 territory?

00:37:49.360 Here's the answer.

00:37:51.560 Putin doesn't know.

00:37:53.840 Am I right?

00:37:55.700 Putin doesn't know.

00:37:56.860 And isn't that a pretty big risk?

00:38:01.580 Are you telling me that nobody thought of this?

00:38:05.880 Right?

00:38:06.340 So in order for this not to be a real thing already, would require that the best cyber warfare

00:38:14.940 strategic thinker in the country is me.

00:38:18.600 Okay, we agree that's not the case?

00:38:22.380 Right?

00:38:23.100 If I thought of it, that's all I'm saying.

00:38:26.020 If I thought of it, it's already done.

00:38:30.360 Am I right?

00:38:31.940 And we can't know for sure.

00:38:33.800 But if it's obvious enough that the cartoonist thought of it, it's got to be an option, at

00:38:42.280 least.

00:38:43.440 At least it's an option.

00:38:45.260 Now, we don't know if Ukraine has access to that kind of power indirectly through a service

00:38:50.380 provider.

00:38:50.880 But why wouldn't they?

00:38:53.780 Why wouldn't they?

00:38:55.180 Now, it could be that that would, you know, whoever provided the service would then become

00:38:59.780 a target.

00:39:00.980 But are you telling me that the people who have cyber warfare capability couldn't hide the

00:39:07.600 tools so that by the time the attack happens, it's just not clear where it came from?

00:39:12.660 I feel like they could.

00:39:16.500 So, I don't know.

00:39:19.000 That's something Putin has to worry about.

00:39:21.040 So that would suggest that maybe Putin isn't going to cross a line that would open up Ukraine's

00:39:27.320 whole toolbox of weaponry.

00:39:30.000 Willman is saying, naive.

00:39:34.580 Did you see the title to my live stream today?

00:39:38.980 Did everybody read the title to the live stream?

00:39:42.120 I said this would be my misinformed opinion on Ukraine and probably the best ones you hear 1.00

00:39:49.320 today.

00:39:50.680 I'm going to stand by both of those statements.

00:39:53.680 So you don't need to tell me I'm naive or misinformed.

00:39:58.060 That's the show.

00:40:00.000 That's the show description.

00:40:03.000 Misinformed and naive and talking about world events.

00:40:07.660 If that bothers you, good luck finding somebody who's doing a better job.

00:40:16.300 The problem is that the quality of commentary on this topic is so low that if you think my

00:40:24.980 commentary, which is misinformed and is naive, if you think it's going to be less than the

00:40:32.000 average you're going to see today, well, I'd say pay attention to the average because I think

00:40:38.880 we're going to be in the same ballpark, if you know what I mean.

00:40:41.540 So it's not because I'm awesome.

00:40:44.060 It's because I'm not really competing with an awesome field is what's happening here.

00:40:47.980 Here's a question I have not seen in the news.

00:40:52.420 Do these separatist regions that Russia just moved new troops into, do they want to be part

00:40:58.080 of Russia?

00:40:58.440 And isn't that the most important question today?

00:41:03.900 Now, I know they had a vote, right?

00:41:07.160 They had a vote about being part of Russia.

00:41:09.640 But does a vote mean anything in that part of the world?

00:41:12.560 I wouldn't put any credibility in a vote.

00:41:14.640 I'm saying mostly yeses, but I don't know if you really know that.

00:41:20.960 Now, I do believe if I Googled it, I would have the same opinion.

00:41:24.960 But I don't know if that really means anything.

00:41:30.740 Yeah, get a map.

00:41:33.120 Get a map.

00:41:35.360 Yeah, I get it.

00:41:36.320 I know the location is everything in this case.

00:41:40.460 All right, well, do you want to see the United States get involved in any kind of a war in

00:41:49.340 which we don't know if we're fighting for something that anybody wants?

00:41:53.340 Like, would we be fighting for the wrong side if the public actually wanted to be Russian

00:41:58.400 by some majority?

00:42:01.580 I don't know.

00:42:03.740 But the longer the...

00:42:06.460 You should just be aware that American news is not telling us if those separatist plays

00:42:12.520 want to be Russian.

00:42:14.220 That should be the main thing that they talk about, shouldn't it?

00:42:18.620 Isn't that the main thing that they should be talking about?

00:42:21.280 I don't think you'll see it on any news program today,

00:42:24.340 which tells you that our news is all propaganda.

00:42:28.860 It's funny, when I read about, you know, the fake news in Russia,

00:42:31.940 I no longer think it's worse than the United States.

00:42:36.760 I do think it's completely fake in Russia, but I don't think ours is better. 1.00

00:42:42.560 If our news were real, I know this is a provocative, you know, sounds like an overstatement,

00:42:50.500 but if our news were real, the top of the news every day would be about the opinions

00:42:56.220 of the separatist region public.

00:43:00.220 Do they want this or not?

00:43:02.140 And all they talk about is the Russian troop movements and the sanctions.

00:43:08.340 All the news is focusing on the fight.

00:43:11.480 They're not even focusing on, you know, the people who matter the most,

00:43:16.620 the public in those areas.

00:43:20.740 Well, we'll see if those sanctions make a difference.

00:43:24.860 I was complaining yesterday that nobody had estimated the economic cost to Russia of an attack.

00:43:31.400 But apparently there is a group called the analysts that, well, they're at Capital Economics.

00:43:38.240 So they are doing some kind of estimates about what will happen to the GDP

00:43:41.380 under various scenarios of sanctions.

00:43:46.700 But even when the West had more power to sanction, I guess in 2014, we took 2.5% off of Russia's GDP.

00:43:59.800 But now probably Russia is in better shape to withstand sanctions, or at least sanctions of that level.

00:44:05.720 So they might be looking at it maybe a 1% or sub-5% change.

00:44:12.800 So would Putin take a chance for, let's say, temporarily degrading his GDP by 1% to 5%

00:44:20.000 to gain total control over the separatist regions only?

00:44:27.140 Or would that cost, given that he's giving up Nord Stream 2,

00:44:31.640 and he had to know that was going to happen,

00:44:34.200 would he be happy with just getting two separatist regions?

00:44:37.720 Or has he already paid enough that he has to go get the rest?

00:44:43.100 Because he sort of paid for it already.

00:44:46.780 I don't know. We'll find out.

00:44:50.000 So, I guess it was a shooting.

00:44:56.680 Some angry white guy with a gun confronted some people who were organizing,

00:45:02.440 just actually, I think people doing just the traffic control for Antifa and BLM and some protest, 0.92

00:45:08.900 and he ended up pulling out a gun and shooting some of them.

00:45:12.600 Now, of course, I don't condone any of that.

00:45:15.880 I condemn all the violence.

00:45:17.200 But the most predictable thing in the world was that if you got rid of the police

00:45:22.400 and you continued to have protests that were, you know, bothering the public,

00:45:29.840 somebody was going to pull a gun.

00:45:32.500 I'm actually surprised there's not more of it.

00:45:35.360 I don't want to see more of it.

00:45:36.560 But I'm surprised there hasn't been more.

00:45:41.460 So, you have to give some credit to the Second Amendment people

00:45:45.480 because there is a level of constraint

00:45:50.300 that, as horrible as, you know, these events are,

00:45:56.580 it's actually more controlled than I would expect,

00:45:59.120 given the craziness of the general public and the access to guns.

00:46:06.940 Kyle Rittenhouse is starting some kind of fund

00:46:09.540 to gather money to sue media people who have lied about him

00:46:14.520 and also for other people who get lied about

00:46:17.360 to have a way to sue the media.

00:46:20.920 Might come in handy.

00:46:21.980 Do you think I'll have any reasons to sue the media?

00:46:28.460 How many of the people in the media have called me a right winger?

00:46:35.080 There are a number of people in the major media

00:46:37.580 who have labeled me a right winger.

00:46:40.320 Now, that's the same as calling somebody a white nationalist in 2022.

00:46:45.400 So, if I tried to get a job

00:46:50.460 and I didn't already have, you know, a public profile

00:46:52.920 so, you know, I could do this sort of thing.

00:46:55.400 If I had to get a regular job, I couldn't get one.

00:46:59.560 Because somebody would Google me

00:47:01.040 and it would say he's a far-right guy.

00:47:04.520 They would translate it in their head to white nationalist

00:47:07.780 and I couldn't get a job anywhere.

00:47:10.660 Can I sue?

00:47:13.760 I don't know.

00:47:14.440 I mean, I wouldn't, but it's an interesting question.

00:47:19.120 And it also makes you wonder,

00:47:21.140 why didn't this already exist?

00:47:23.000 Because the press had no accountability.

00:47:26.340 Remember I told you that insurance

00:47:28.180 is the only thing that tells you

00:47:30.260 where things are really going to go?

00:47:32.240 Because eventually, everything has to get insured.

00:47:35.560 Everything in the business world, anyway.

00:47:37.420 So, it doesn't work so much in politics.

00:47:39.520 But within the business world,

00:47:41.180 if there's a business, you know, element to it,

00:47:43.480 the insurance companies will decide what you can and can't do.

00:47:48.380 Because they will charge you too much

00:47:50.440 for things that they say are too dangerous.

00:47:52.420 So, it's really predictive.

00:47:55.920 And what's going to happen

00:47:58.480 now that there would be an organized entity

00:48:02.000 just to sue the media for lying

00:48:04.060 when their business model depends on lying?

00:48:07.800 Because it does.

00:48:09.540 The media's business model depends on lying.

00:48:12.240 Because it's the lies that get all the clicks.

00:48:15.840 Right?

00:48:16.160 I mean, they're not going to say it that way.

00:48:19.140 But, it's the truth.

00:48:23.300 Is that true?

00:48:28.540 Somebody's saying that the Ukrainian President Zelensky

00:48:31.180 is an economist and a cartoonist?

00:48:33.560 I know he's an actor, a comedic actor,

00:48:36.560 but he's not a cartoonist, is he?

00:48:38.740 And is he an economist?

00:48:41.460 Comedian.

00:48:43.320 Was he an economist?

00:48:46.220 Give me a fact check on that.

00:48:49.400 Economist or no?

00:48:50.920 Who's got a Wikipedia page up?

00:48:53.000 All right, I'll check for that.

00:48:53.900 Anyway, we might be seeing

00:48:56.900 a balance of power happening now.

00:49:00.120 One of the interesting things

00:49:01.400 that people are saying about CNN,

00:49:04.880 legal analysts,

00:49:06.140 is that CNN's got some real problems

00:49:08.260 because of all their sexual misconduct cases

00:49:12.340 that are high profile.

00:49:14.020 That if they don't settle them

00:49:15.600 and basically pay out tens of millions,

00:49:19.520 then they're going to have to be subject to,

00:49:22.580 what is it called?

00:49:23.640 Discovery.

00:49:25.060 Meaning that in the course of a lawsuit

00:49:28.720 about something specific,

00:49:31.160 a lot of CNN's dirty laundry could come out.

00:49:34.800 And I don't think they could survive it.

00:49:37.200 So CNN might be in a death spiral

00:49:40.460 because they're going to have some big lawsuits

00:49:44.240 from people who worked for CNN.

00:49:47.340 And then you're going to have lawsuits

00:49:49.160 coming from Rittenhouse

00:49:50.880 and probably other people

00:49:52.160 that buy into that business model he's building.

00:49:55.700 And I have a feeling that CNN

00:49:58.920 is going to get sued out of existence.

00:50:01.860 And there's nothing they can do about it.

00:50:04.120 Because if they don't settle,

00:50:06.220 or go bankrupt, I guess,

00:50:07.860 if they don't settle,

00:50:09.480 then they're subject to discovery,

00:50:12.220 and that's actually worse.

00:50:13.540 So they have a choice of going out of business

00:50:17.300 by paying off all these lawsuits

00:50:19.220 or going out of business by fighting them.

00:50:22.180 That might be their only two choices.

00:50:25.160 So keep an eye on that.

00:50:26.440 Here's something that progressives

00:50:33.180 and Democrats get wrong every time.

00:50:35.220 It's human motivation,

00:50:37.720 especially when math is involved.

00:50:40.820 Am I right?

00:50:42.120 The two things the left always get wrong,

00:50:45.220 and by the way, if you're new to me,

00:50:47.800 I identify as left of Bernie.

00:50:50.300 Because I like his goals.

00:50:52.220 I just don't like his math,

00:50:54.220 and I don't like how he thinks

00:50:56.080 about human motivation.

00:50:58.300 So I like the idea of helping everybody

00:51:00.800 and getting everybody into healthcare.

00:51:02.540 I just don't know how to do it.

00:51:04.680 And I'm not going to lie and say

00:51:06.440 that math is magic,

00:51:09.740 and I can figure out how to do it

00:51:11.320 in a way the country will accept.

00:51:12.960 It's the country accepting it part.

00:51:14.520 That's the hard part.

00:51:17.200 So here's something

00:51:19.960 that Democrats got very wrong,

00:51:23.940 and it's so obvious in hindsight,

00:51:26.040 it's painful.

00:51:27.260 And it goes like this.

00:51:29.180 What they wanted to do,

00:51:30.540 they, Democrats and progressives,

00:51:32.760 wanted to reform the justice system

00:51:35.240 such that the number of black people

00:51:38.520 in America who are sent to prison

00:51:40.580 gets a little closer

00:51:43.140 to the percentage of black people

00:51:44.620 in the public.

00:51:46.360 Now, in order to do that,

00:51:47.760 unfortunately,

00:51:49.080 just because of the percentages

00:51:50.500 of crime in whatever demographic groups,

00:51:53.920 in order to do that,

00:51:55.180 it requires,

00:51:56.360 it requires

00:51:58.260 letting people out of jail

00:52:00.980 who are necessarily going to commit more crimes

00:52:03.320 or not putting them in jail

00:52:05.040 in the first place.

00:52:06.100 Am I right?

00:52:06.660 I mean,

00:52:07.520 that is not in dispute.

00:52:11.480 That in order to get some kind of

00:52:13.540 what you would call racial balance,

00:52:16.600 I guess,

00:52:17.460 in jail,

00:52:18.400 it requires

00:52:19.700 letting out a lot of people

00:52:21.820 who will do more crimes.

00:52:24.640 Now,

00:52:25.340 who are those people being let out?

00:52:28.060 Well,

00:52:28.640 specifically,

00:52:29.440 they're trying to get people of color

00:52:30.900 to be less represented in jail,

00:52:33.540 I guess.

00:52:33.880 And so,

00:52:35.360 if you're letting out 0.89

00:52:36.240 a lot of black 0.99

00:52:37.180 known criminals 0.98

00:52:39.380 back into the community,

00:52:41.820 will they commit more crimes?

00:52:44.300 Well,

00:52:44.580 yes,

00:52:45.420 because many of them 0.89

00:52:46.200 are career criminals.

00:52:47.840 So,

00:52:48.120 a career criminal

00:52:48.740 doesn't do one crime

00:52:49.980 and then stop.

00:52:51.840 They do crimes

00:52:53.000 until they get caught.

00:52:54.800 So,

00:52:55.380 if you put one criminal

00:52:57.320 in prison,

00:52:59.160 how many victims

00:53:00.560 do you save?

00:53:02.540 Dozens?

00:53:03.880 Hundreds?

00:53:05.300 Depends on the criminal,

00:53:06.300 right?

00:53:07.360 So,

00:53:08.040 for every good deed,

00:53:10.380 which is not put,

00:53:11.620 let's say,

00:53:12.100 a good deed

00:53:12.460 from the perspective

00:53:13.220 of the left,

00:53:14.520 some people on the left,

00:53:15.800 the good deed

00:53:16.700 would be not putting

00:53:17.680 somebody in prison

00:53:18.520 if you can avoid it.

00:53:21.600 But unfortunately,

00:53:22.560 that requires,

00:53:23.720 because of,

00:53:24.600 why?

00:53:25.640 Math

00:53:26.160 and human motivation.

00:53:28.020 The human motivation is

00:53:30.540 if somebody's

00:53:31.040 a career criminal

00:53:31.860 and they're not in jail,

00:53:33.960 what is their motivation?

00:53:35.720 Do more crimes?

00:53:37.340 Create more victims? 0.93

00:53:39.440 Right?

00:53:39.940 And how about the math?

00:53:41.880 The math is

00:53:42.680 that one person

00:53:43.520 that you helped

00:53:44.480 by not putting them

00:53:45.940 in jail

00:53:46.360 created seven people.

00:53:49.600 I'll just pick a number.

00:53:50.940 I'm just making up a number.

00:53:52.160 Created seven victims

00:53:53.680 who are,

00:53:56.800 and this is the

00:53:57.660 messed up part, 0.84

00:53:59.280 almost all black. 0.84

00:54:02.180 So,

00:54:02.840 if you can save 0.86

00:54:03.660 one black person

00:54:04.580 from going to jail,

00:54:06.080 that's great 0.94

00:54:07.300 if that one black person 0.98

00:54:09.120 then goes on

00:54:09.880 to have a successful life

00:54:11.480 as a productive

00:54:12.640 member of society.

00:54:14.120 And if you could identify

00:54:15.380 just those people,

00:54:17.280 well,

00:54:17.440 that would be kind of awesome.

00:54:19.060 In fact,

00:54:19.520 that's what the Trump

00:54:20.160 administration

00:54:20.660 tried to do

00:54:21.460 by having the

00:54:22.740 early release.

00:54:24.560 Because if you find

00:54:25.300 somebody who's going

00:54:25.960 to work on,

00:54:26.720 let's say,

00:54:27.240 a trade or a skill,

00:54:29.540 you're probably

00:54:30.260 finding somebody

00:54:31.020 who's a good bet

00:54:31.940 relative to a career

00:54:33.960 criminal who's not

00:54:34.800 working on anything

00:54:35.640 else.

00:54:36.580 Right?

00:54:37.540 So,

00:54:38.360 you should have been

00:54:39.100 able to predict

00:54:39.940 that by trying

00:54:41.060 to help

00:54:41.620 the segment

00:54:44.220 of the world

00:54:45.480 that is mostly 0.56

00:54:46.600 black people 0.99

00:54:47.280 going to jail, 1.00

00:54:48.640 you end up

00:54:50.080 with seven times

00:54:51.420 worse outcomes 0.90

00:54:53.100 for black people. 0.96

00:54:54.660 And you've 0.99

00:54:55.420 taken the pain

00:54:56.220 away from the person

00:54:57.740 who's causing

00:54:58.340 the problem

00:54:58.900 and you spread it

00:55:00.480 to the victims

00:55:01.100 who weren't causing

00:55:01.840 any problem.

00:55:03.720 So,

00:55:04.580 how does anybody

00:55:07.000 who is a Republican

00:55:08.120 ever lose

00:55:08.900 an election again?

00:55:12.480 Do you know

00:55:13.200 the only thing

00:55:14.000 that could 0.68

00:55:14.400 screw up

00:55:15.340 2022

00:55:16.160 in 2024

00:55:18.480 is Trump

00:55:20.000 talking?

00:55:21.680 That's it.

00:55:22.960 Now,

00:55:23.480 when I said that,

00:55:24.220 you said to yourself,

00:55:25.080 ha ha,

00:55:26.000 he thinks Trump

00:55:27.680 will do something 1.00

00:55:28.420 dumb 0.99

00:55:28.860 that will ruin 1.00

00:55:30.180 a good situation.

00:55:31.660 No.

00:55:32.620 No.

00:55:33.120 I mean,

00:55:33.520 that's always a risk.

00:55:35.080 But that's not

00:55:35.900 what I'm saying.

00:55:36.720 I'm saying if he

00:55:37.440 says anything,

00:55:38.700 if Trump

00:55:39.740 even just

00:55:40.440 talks,

00:55:42.660 they'll find

00:55:43.520 a way to

00:55:44.020 turn it into

00:55:45.140 the worst thing

00:55:46.240 in the world.

00:55:47.400 So,

00:55:47.940 he can't

00:55:49.160 do anything.

00:55:50.360 If Biden

00:55:51.200 proved anything

00:55:52.200 during the last

00:55:53.280 election,

00:55:54.180 he proved that

00:55:54.880 the less we see

00:55:55.820 of the politician,

00:55:56.680 the more we like.

00:55:58.980 I wouldn't have

00:55:59.780 guessed that.

00:56:00.760 But I think

00:56:01.180 if you're already,

00:56:02.500 you know,

00:56:03.280 you're already

00:56:04.080 a known quantity,

00:56:05.140 the less they see

00:56:05.940 of you,

00:56:06.240 the better.

00:56:06.980 Because otherwise

00:56:07.580 it's just giving you

00:56:08.400 reasons to be attacked.

00:56:10.560 So,

00:56:11.640 Scott has identified

00:56:14.480 peak Trump time.

00:56:16.280 Best to understand

00:56:17.180 this.

00:56:18.220 Don't know

00:56:18.580 what that means.

00:56:22.440 If he's re-elected,

00:56:23.960 he'll have a mandate.

00:56:24.880 He'll always talk

00:56:25.740 to the press.

00:56:26.520 Trump would.

00:56:28.380 All right.

00:56:30.160 And that,

00:56:32.240 ladies and gentlemen,

00:56:33.640 is my show

00:56:34.260 for today.

00:56:35.500 No doubt

00:56:36.020 the best analysis

00:56:37.240 you've ever seen

00:56:38.240 of the Ukraine

00:56:38.920 situation.

00:56:39.540 Do you need to

00:56:51.700 talk to the

00:57:01.960 top as

00:57:07.080 one?

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 22, 2022

Episode 1662 Scott Adams： Best Ukraine Analysis You'll Hear From Someone Who Doesn't Know Anything

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