Episode 1663 Scott Adams： Putin's Brain, Russian Public Opinion, Long Haul TDS and More Fun
Episode Stats
Words per minute
143.55206
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Hate speech
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Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, the host talks about the best t-shirt he's ever worn, and why you should be the whitest white person in America. Plus, why the Democratic Party is not as woke as it should be.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to anybody who's
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ever been born anywhere. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Every now and then I like
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to remind my audience, just in case you're wondering, that I have more than one t-shirt
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that looks just like this one. Some of you may be concerned that I only own one t-shirt,
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but no, I own about a dozen of these, and I call it my uniform. See, if you can get people to think
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that you're dressing one way because you have a look, I'm talking about the Steve Jobs look,
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I'm talking about the Mark Zuckerberg look, you know, he wears a hoodie or the black shirt.
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Yeah, the trick, if you can convince people that you have a look, all of your problems are solved,
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if you know what I mean. Now, don't go full Elton John. You don't want to convince people that your
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look is an Elton John, you know, over the top, needs props and all that stuff. That's way too much work.
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If you're going to do a uniform and a look and a brand, go for basic. Save you a lot of time.
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Hey, who came here for the simultaneous sip besides everybody? And all you need is a cup or a mug or a
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glass of tank or Chelsea's dine, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
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favorite liquid. How much do I like coffee? A lot. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,
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the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes all of you better looking, a little bit sexier,
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definitely smarter. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens right now. Go.
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Yes. I would like to pay respect to my, what would it be, my ethnic origins by doing the whitest
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thing anybody's ever done after the simultaneous sip. Now, feel free to enjoy your own cultural
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heritage and celebrate the way that makes the most sense or whoever you are, be you born in America
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or born somewhere else. Use your cultural heritage and join me now doing your own after the sip
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celebration. I will be doing the whitest white person guy celebration ever. And it goes like this.
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Okay. Now, I hope that wherever you are, you did something that was as perfectly suited to your
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cultural background as I did. Somebody dabbed. That's exactly right. Well, Rasmussen has a poll
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asking, should the Democratic Party be more like Biden or more like Harris? Now, what do you think?
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Democrats said the Democratic Party should be more like Biden, 36 percent, but only 11 percent thought
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Harris. And so, how's the progressive wing of the Democratic Party looking? Not so good. Not so good.
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You want to hear some more bad news for the progressive part? I was asked a question on the
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Locals platform just before I went live on YouTube. They get a little extra over on Locals. It's a
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subscription service. And I was asked, what has the worst recent murder rate? We're going to compare
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two regions. I'm going to ask you this question, and it's a serious question. It's not a rhetorical
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question. I actually don't know the answer to it. And the question is, has the death rate and the
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murder rate, let's say, has it been worse in the last few months in Chicago or in the occupied
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separatist regions of Ukraine? Which has been the more deadly place? Now, it kind of doesn't matter
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what the answer is. It kind of doesn't matter what the answer is. It's the fact that we can even ask
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that question. And it's not a joke. I actually don't know the answer to that question. I don't know.
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Maybe there'll be a crossover point. But if I had to bet, I think I'd put my money on Chicago.
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Because, you know, I assume there's shelling and there's chicanery and there's, you know, false flags
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and all kinds of stuff happening in the separatist regions. But they didn't kill as many people as a
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weekend in Chicago does. Am I right? I don't know if I'm right. But you seem to think I am. And
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that's good enough. You know, we live in a subjective reality. And while I strive to be correct and right
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about everything, I will settle for you agreeing with me. Because it feels the same. On my end,
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anyway. So thank you for that. Speaking of wokeness, it's a story that the media is talking
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about this story, which is that Newsweek and LA Times are both recently warning Democrats that
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they'd better get over the wokeness. Because they're looking at this one anecdote here, I guess,
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the situation where in San Francisco, the Democrats voted out some school board members for being too
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woke and not being useful enough. And the striking part about it is that they were overwhelmingly voted
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out. The wokesters were just driven out by even Democrats because it's a Democrat city. So that seems
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like a pretty big story. But are things getting better or worse for the wokest of the woke? Well,
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shall I continue? It's turning out to be a really bad year to be woke. Am I right? Part of it is
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because Trump is less in the news. Because there's not a natural enemy, you know, that's just really
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salient at the moment. So if you just let the wokeness exist on its own, it just looks like, you know,
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toxic bile. It's just, you know, it's like an acid eating itself. But if Trump were in the news every
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day, then the wokeness would have something to play off of, you know, some kind of a productive
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contrast. But when you take the contrast away, it just has to be looked at on its own. Nobody likes it.
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Well, that's an exaggeration. It's not so popular. And that brings us to Greta Thunberg.
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And I tweeted yesterday that Greta Thunberg caused this mess. And by this mess, I mean Ukraine.
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Now, do you all see the connection? Because I'm not joking. Greta Thunberg,
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she sort of caused the Ukraine war. Does everybody see it? I can explain it. Okay.
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I got a few no's there. So let me explain it. So it goes like this. If we didn't have Greta,
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climate change wouldn't be, you know, as potent a topic as it is. That's, no, that's a,
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that's a presumption on my part, right? So that part's speculative. But I think most of you would
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agree with that, that she's, she's turbocharged the topic. She's added a lot. Most people would
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agree with that. Now, if climate change did not have such a, let's say, persuasive quality to it,
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how would Trump's policy about energy look compared to Biden's? Biden didn't really have a choice, did he?
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You know, if you're a Democrat, don't you have to go full Thunberg or, or at least move in that
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direction? He, he, he didn't go full Thunberg by any means, but he had to be pushed in that direction,
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right? So one of the things that Trump would have done that, uh, we know for sure that, uh, Biden did not
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do is promote domestic energy production in the United States because Biden wants to be more green
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and save the world and be more Greta Thunberg. And Trump was more, I think this climate thing,
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change thing was a Chinese hoax to slow down our economy. Let's pump, uh, oil and gas as much as we
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can, build some pipelines and be independent to build up our economy. And by the way, when you substitute,
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uh, gas, natural gas for coal, it reduces your emissions. So Trump, who was criticized for saying
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that climate change was a Chinese hoax, I think we're all sure, even the Democrats would say this
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is true. He would have kept the domestic energy production high, which means that prices for energy
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would have been lower, which means that your inflation would be lower under Trump in that
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one way. It, Putin would have far less money to be adventurous and he would basically have less
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power because if Europe needed to get a, a different source of gas for a while, it might cost more.
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But if you took some of the inflation out of it, the more wouldn't be as much as it would be now.
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So you've got, um, a situation in which energy is sort of the most important product because there's
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not enough of it, which makes Putin the most important person because he's got an army and he's
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got energy. He's got the two things that matter the most today. So quite reasonably, you could say
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that the connection between Greta Thunberg and her influence, which was very effective,
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definitely put pressure on, uh, Democrats. The Democrats definitely reduced energy production.
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The reduction in energy production definitely increased the cost of energy,
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which definitely increased the profits for Russia, which definitely increased their strategic
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power, which definitely increased their confidence, which almost certainly was a major factor in
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getting exactly where we are now. Who, who disagrees with that analysis? Now I'm not going to say
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it's the only variable, right? You know, maybe Putin would have done what Putin was going to do,
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but you can see the connection, can't you? It does seem like it's maybe 20% of the story and that's
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pretty big. Yeah. I'd say it's 20% of the story. I mean, climate change itself, not just Greta.
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Right. So, you know, nothing is, there's no analysis. That's the whole story, right? Everything's got
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lots of facets. So, I don't think the, uh, the woke side of the world is looking so good.
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Now here's another interesting angle on Ukraine.
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Jonathan Turley, who's always a great read, uh, has an article today. He's talking about,
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and I wasn't, I'm not sure how, uh, aware of this I was. How many of you were aware of this story?
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That for over two years, uh, there's been an investigation, um, I guess it was a state
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investigation into Hunter Biden and his, uh, tax and financial issues, uh, specifically related to
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his foreign dealings. Now, were you aware that there's a two-year investigation ongoing about
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Hunter Biden's, uh, activities and his foreign dealings, which presumably is either all Ukraine or
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mostly Ukraine is what they're concerned about. And the part of that is they seem to be indicating
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that Hunter Biden had a lot more cash or that, that seems to be where the evidence is pointing
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that he seemed to have a lot more cash than his reported income would suggest.
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Now, we don't, I'm going to use the same standard that I would use for Trump or anything else,
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right? Try to be fair about it. Hunter Biden is not charged with anything. No court has found
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Hunter Biden guilty of anything. I hate, I hate to say it, but unfortunately that's the standard.
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You know, if you're going to, if you're going to be like a decent citizen, you have to accept
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the standard. Like the standard is more important than the person, right? So as painful as it is
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to say that he hasn't been convicted of anything, that does matter. You know, unfortunately,
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unfortunately it matters. So, uh, and I wouldn't want to change that. But at the same time, they
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have been investigating for two years and probably not for nothing. I mean, there must be at least
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some smoke. It doesn't mean they'll ever find any fire. But here's the question which must be asked.
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Do you think that Zelensky, the head of Ukraine, do you think he has, uh, information about the
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Biden family that we haven't heard yet? What are the odds? I mean, just think what the odds would
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be. So if we know the Hunter was mucking around in Ukrainian business, that much seems true.
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But we, we have not seen anything directly illegal about that. Only that it seems deeply sketchy and
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questionable and unethical, but not technically illegal as far as we know.
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So do you think that maybe Ukraine has something on the Biden family at the same time that Biden is
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trying to manage this situation that's the most important thing going on at the moment?
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Now, let me do something that I hate to do because of its ordinariness. But damn it,
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sometimes you have to do the ordinary. And this is so uncreative that it actually hurts me to do it,
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but sometimes you got to do it. Imagine if this were Don Jr. I hate it. I hate it. I hate doing this.
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I hate doing this. Because it's so uncreative. Like, how many times have we done that? I mean,
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Don Jr. does it all the time, right? In his tweets, he goes, imagine if this were me.
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And it's, unfortunately, it is exactly the right thing. It's the right thought. Can you even imagine,
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just hold this thought for a moment, imagine a world in which Trump were president, and we had
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this problem with Ukraine and Russia, which maybe we wouldn't even have, but let's say we do. And
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imagine that this story had been Don Jr. doing business in Ukraine, and that there were questions
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about it, and, and a current, ongoing investigation about it. Can you even imagine? I mean, seriously,
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my head is going to explode imagining the difference between how the media would be talking about that,
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and how they're just not talking about Hunter Biden at all. This doesn't even exist.
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I feel, somebody said impeachment here on YouTube in the comments. Maybe, maybe. Would you trust,
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and let's be honest, would you trust Trump's judgment if Don Jr. might have some hidden secrets,
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you know, that would come out if you acted a different way? No, even I wouldn't, right? Like,
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I've been pretty supportive of Trump on a number of issues. Not in everything, but a lot of stuff.
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But I wouldn't be comfortable with that. And by the way, I think Don Jr. is awesome. I like him.
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I like Trump. But if you just put those two people I like in that situation, I wouldn't like that.
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Oh, no. No, that, I would back out immediately. I'd be like, okay, I'm out. These two people can't
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be involved in the same situation. This is too much of a conflict of interest. We're not even
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talking about conflict of interest, are we? Have you even heard the phrase, conflict of interest?
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Can you imagine that you would never hear that phrase if this were Don Jr. and Trump, right?
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I mean, it's just mind-boggling, the difference. All right.
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In theory, we should be seeing some massive cognitive dissonance by the people who were
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most supportive of Biden and least supportive of Trump over the past five years.
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Now, because we're living in different realities, if there are any Democrats watching this right
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now, you may be saying to yourself, I don't know what you're talking about.
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Scott, I don't know what you're talking about. And you don't. And I can't fix that. I'm sorry.
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So to those of you who don't fall into that category, I guess I'm just talking to you today.
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It's kind of obvious at this point, like super obvious, that on a whole range of issues, not all
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of them, not all of them, but on a whole range of issues, Trump was clearly the superior president
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at this point. It's just obvious. You know, there was certainly a point where you could have said,
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well, let's see what Biden could do, right? I think it was entirely possible that Biden could have
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come up with some, you know, southern border solution that was, you know, kind and generous
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and yet good enough for the United States. Maybe. I don't know. Give him a chance. Didn't happen.
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You know, maybe, maybe Biden could come up with some productive way to deal with Russia and China.
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I don't know. Didn't happen. So, you know, maybe Biden could do something better for the energy.
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Maybe, no, it didn't happen. So, at this point, wouldn't you expect, and just talking to my own
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audience here, I know you lean a particular way, but don't you think there should be some prominent
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Democrats just sort of going crazy now because they can see what they did? You know, they caused this
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problem by insisting on a brain-dead president. Well, here's an example, maybe.
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Stephen King had this tweet. I swear to God, this happened today. No, yesterday, I guess.
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So, it's fresh. He tweets, so Stephen King, the novelist, he writes,
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Mr. Putin has made a serious miscalculation. He forgot he's no longer dealing with Trump.
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What? Is he watching the same reality that I'm watching? Because I don't think that Russia
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did much when Trump was in charge. So, to me, it looks like cognitive dissonance. Somebody
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else called it out on, Dale called it out on Twitter. But Rahim Kassam had a reply to it. He goes,
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congrats, you're the dumbest MF-er in America. It's funny. It's only funny because that was my exact
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thought. When I read it, it was like, wow, you might be the dumbest MF-er in America. Then I read
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Rahim's comment, congrats, you're the dumbest MF-er. Okay. Now, this does suggest that there
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might be a medical problem that is under-recognized. And I would call it long-haul TDS. Long-haul TDS.
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Yeah, long-haul TDS. The original TDS would give you some insanity and anxiety, fear. So, you don't
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want to catch a bad case of TDS, which, by the way, can be transmitted by personal contact. If you
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stand, and six feet isn't enough for TDS. For COVID, six feet's pretty good for social distancing.
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But for TDS, you've actually got to be outside of the listening distance. So, you want to be,
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well, you want to keep your distance of, say, a quarter mile from other people to reduce the
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transmission of TDS. Because if you get closer than a quarter mile, they can still shout. You can hear
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them. That's a little too close. Because it gets transmitted by talking and ideas. So,
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there was a bad case of TDS going through the country for a few years. But now that's mostly
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subsided. We've, now it's more endemic situation. We've learned to live with it. Sort of a baseline
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problem like the flu. And, but we still have to be concerned about long-haul. Are there any long-haul
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symptoms? And I think this cognitive dissonance is sort of the myocarditis of TDS. That it does seem
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that having once had TDS, you are more likely to have cognitive dissonance, even a year later.
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Speaking of Trump, he is getting some attention by calling Putin, his moves, genius and very savvy
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for the way that he, the way that he reframed the separatist regions and then moved in to protect
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them. So, Trump said that that was really smart. And then Trump's critics said, you fool, you Putin
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lover, you S-kissing Putin puppet you, why are you saying good things about Putin? You must be a monster
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like him. So, is that exactly what was going on? I have two comments about this, maybe more.
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Number one, there's one thing that Trump never gets credit for. His honesty about how he feels.
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Now, I will grant you that when he's talking about the outside world and the facts in the world, he can
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play fast and loose with the facts. He is a salesperson. He is unapologetic about that. He uses
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hyperbole to persuade. He's unapologetic about that. So, he is what he is. And you either like that or
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you don't. But I think we all understand it. But the thing that you miss about Trump is that when
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he tells you what his opinion is, am I right? When he tells you what his opinion is, you always
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believe that, don't you? You never believe that he's telling you something he doesn't personally
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believe. I don't think I've ever once had that feeling. But when Biden speaks, Biden sounds like a
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politician, doesn't he? You don't really think he believes what he even says is his opinion.
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The things he says he really cares about, I don't know that he does, really. Who knows?
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Might be convenient to say he cares about that stuff. Who knows? But here's, so when Trump calls
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Putin a genius and savvy, it's basically very similar to what I was thinking. In my private
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thoughts, I was thinking, damn, that's pretty smart the way he's doing this. Looks like it's,
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you know, pretty successful. At least in terms of, you know, getting stronger control over those
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separatist regions. It looked pretty smart. Now, it's, you know, it's evil and manipulative and,
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you know, Hitler-like. I'm not downplaying any of that. But it's smart. So that's the first thing
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that we miss about Trump, is that he looks at something that looks smart, and he says, hey,
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that looks smart. He's not approving of it. He's just saying it looks smart. That's just his honest
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opinion. I don't know. I miss it. I miss it. I miss that part of it. I honestly don't miss the
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conflict. I feel like I'm a little better off without all of the TDS. The TDS was a,
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for me, surviving the TDS was almost as hard as surviving the pandemic, to be honest. You know,
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if you're right in the middle of it, I mean, there weren't enough vaccinations to get me through TDS.
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But, you know, I got through the pandemic. It was a pain in the ass, but I got through it.
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The TDS, I think, is going to last forever. The TDS will affect my career and my reputation,
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my Wikipedia page, for the rest of time. All right. But let's talk about Trump strategically,
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given that he might be a future president. Who knows? What he says about Putin really does matter,
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Is it smart or not smart to call Putin a genius and to say that his moves are savvy? Go.
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Would you say that Trump is smart or not smart to call Putin a genius in public?
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I think it's smart. Because if you want to talk to somebody productively later,
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I hate to be the one who always has to explain this to the general public. Apparently, people who
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watch this live stream are all, you're all educated about how this works. But the general public doesn't
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understand that there was only one person who handled this right, and it was Trump. He's the only one who
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handled it right. Because ultimately, we got to talk to that guy, Putin. We got to talk to him.
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Who is going to get a better reception? The one who Trump called smart? Or the one who's just,
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you're evil, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. I feel that we're all human, right? Like even Putin's
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a human being. Do you think that Putin is unaffected by Trump calling him smart? Do you think he's
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unaffected by that? I think he's affected by it. I think it actually works. And that if anybody were
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to talk to Putin in the future about any of this, I would want it to be Trump. I would want it to be
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Trump. Now, I saw some people commenting about how they were suspicious because Trump and Putin
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had a private conversation once with an interpreter, I guess. But since it was not recorded what that
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conversation was, people are afraid that, oh, that's where all the bad stuff happened. Maybe
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that's where all the collusion happened. We don't know what happened. You know, there's no way to know
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anything about that. But here's what I would guess. Just speculative. Trump understands that it's
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always personal. That's it. Trump understands that it's always personal. And I'm not sure why other
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people don't kind of understand that as well as he understands it. Everything's personal.
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Here's another thing. In the book Persuasion by Cialdini, do you know what one of the ways
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science has shown you can befriend somebody and get them to trust you as a friend? You tell them a
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secret. That's a well-known persuasion trick. You tell them a secret. That's what Trump did.
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Now, we don't know what they talked about privately. But because we don't know, what is that called?
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A secret. Right. Just, it might have been nothing. Maybe they didn't talk about anything important
00:29:25.060
at all. But Trump created a situation where he and Putin are sharing a secret. You didn't see that
00:29:33.440
coming, did you? That's about the best technique for persuasion you're ever going to frickin' see in
00:29:41.720
your life. Say what you will about Trump. You know, he's not free from criticism, right? I'm not the one
00:29:50.060
who's going to tell you he's the God King and everything he does is right. But you've got to give
00:29:58.180
him credit for the things that are just so right that nobody's ever going to match it, in my opinion.
00:30:03.340
I don't think anybody will match him for personal persuasion. Now, keep in mind, I don't know how
00:30:10.580
many of you have ever been in the room with him, but he does have that thing. That thing, whatever that
00:30:16.720
thing is, that X factor, that charisma, whatever it is. I'm sure Putin has it too. But you put him in a
00:30:25.680
room and he's going to convince you of something. He is good. Now, by the way, I think Biden's
00:30:31.980
probably pretty good at that too, or he wouldn't be where he is. So I'm not saying he's bad at it.
00:30:36.720
But the style difference is striking. And I think Trump is the one who played it, who would have
00:30:42.260
played it completely correctly. You want Putin to think you can work with him, that he can trust you.
00:30:49.340
What is the biggest thing that... Well, let's talk about that. Let's talk about what Russian
1.00
00:30:55.980
people think about all of this. So the Russian people... Let's see. I'm going to skip ahead to
00:31:07.280
that part. CNN was talking about a poll. It's hard to get information about the Russian public,
00:31:13.600
but I guess CNN ran some kind of a proprietary poll or personal poll or something or a special
00:31:22.300
poll. They have some word. Forget what word that is. It doesn't matter. And here's what
00:31:26.400
they found. One out of every two Russians, actually 50% of them, said it would be right...
0.98
00:31:34.600
Right... More Russians think it would be wrong than right to use military force to reunite
00:31:44.660
Russia and Ukraine. So Russians don't want to use military right, military force to take over
00:31:55.080
Ukraine. But the Russian public does think NATO is an offensive force. What? So Russians believe
00:32:10.520
NATO is an offensive force with plans to destroy Russia. And the Russians... But they do think
0.99
00:32:21.480
that the Ukraine people and the Russian people are one people, which is what Putin says. So Putin
00:32:29.080
has managed to convince much of Russia that the Ukrainian people and the Russian people are all one
00:32:34.960
people. But the Ukrainians don't believe that. Not even close. So this is one of those cases where you
00:32:41.740
can see the power of propaganda. Because I need more of a fact check on this, but I believe that the
00:32:48.820
Russian public has access to the Russian public has access to the internet, right? Now, there's some
00:32:53.020
things that are, you know, regulated and some things that are censored. But generally speaking,
00:32:58.980
the average Russian can get the internet, right? And so if you imagine the average Ukrainian and the
00:33:07.400
average Russian both have access to the outside world, you can see the power of propaganda. Because the
0.62
00:33:15.500
only thing, you know, it would be one thing, like North Korea, to keep your people completely walled
00:33:22.300
off from other information. Then you can control their thoughts pretty well. But if people have
00:33:28.540
access to the alternative opinions, you can see how powerful the propaganda is. Because, you know,
00:33:34.860
they've been turned away from accuracy toward inaccuracy. So look at the difference between Ukrainian
0.99
00:33:40.780
and Russian public opinion about this one question. Are the Ukrainians and the Russians one people?
00:33:48.220
Only Putin was the one who was pushing the we're all one people thing. And he successfully did it
00:33:55.900
through propaganda. You can see how many or what percentage of the public can be moved
00:34:01.880
by something as pure as propaganda. It's about half. It's about half. You can tell any story if
00:34:11.240
you tell it often enough and you control enough of the media that, you know, you can get a monopoly on it.
00:34:17.160
Now, he doesn't even have a monopoly. That's my point. If he had a monopoly on information,
00:34:23.000
well, then you'd understand how that many people could be convinced.
00:34:25.960
But he did that. This is the scary part. He did that without a monopoly on information. He did that
00:34:34.200
just with persuasion. Just with persuasion. So I would say that the percentage of the public
00:34:41.160
that you can move with pure propaganda is around half. And, you know, the topic would vary. So I'm
00:34:49.240
sure there are some topics you can get 80 percent, sometimes 20. But I think you could count on getting
00:34:54.760
half of the public, which is enough to start a war. You know, if you've got half of the public
00:34:59.800
on your side, you can kind of go to war. That's about enough. You know, 55 percent would be better.
1.00
00:35:07.000
So that answered my question. I was just asking the other day on live stream here,
00:35:13.080
what's the average Russian know about the whole situation? The other thing is that there are a whole
00:35:18.440
lot of people in Russia who don't think there's going to be an invasion proper, you know,
00:35:24.360
where Ukraine itself has completely taken over. There are a lot of people in Russia who don't
00:35:29.560
think that's going to happen. And there are a lot of people in Ukraine, like a big, big chunk
00:35:35.880
of Ukraine doesn't think there's going to be an invasion. But if you ask the people in the United
00:35:40.600
States, wouldn't we say 90 percent of us who are paying attention? What do you think it would be?
00:35:48.040
What do you think it would be in the United States? Now, it's different if you ask people who are
00:35:52.520
paying attention to the news versus people who are not. So I guess it's nonsense to ask the general
00:35:57.720
public. They're not even paying attention. Yeah. So I think maybe 10 percent. Well,
00:36:04.840
let me ask the question here. How many people on this live stream
00:36:11.240
do not think Russia will try to take over all of Ukraine? So tell me if you don't believe he's going
00:36:19.400
to try to take all of Ukraine. I want to see how many. Okay. A lot of people. Now, how many of you
0.98
00:36:27.960
were influenced by me? Because I'm not too confident on my opinion on this. Was anybody influenced by me?
00:36:36.600
Because early on, I said, I don't think he's going to do it. And I'm sticking with my prediction
00:36:41.800
just because the reasons for the predictions haven't changed. Although I have to admit,
00:36:48.360
it looks a lot like he's going to attack. I wouldn't bet on me. Let's put it this way.
00:36:55.000
If I were you, I wouldn't bet on me to be right. But just to be consistent, because my reasons for
00:37:01.240
the prediction never changed, I'm going to stick with it. Now, I'm not going to let my confidence be
00:37:07.400
influenced by the fact that it looks in every possible way. It looks like exactly like an
00:37:13.080
invasion. Because bluffing would look exactly the same if you wanted to do a really good job of it.
00:37:22.120
Bluffing would look the same. What would also look the same is not having decided yet.
00:37:27.800
That would look exactly the same. If you were, if the only thing you were doing is, you know,
00:37:33.080
pushing for negotiations to get some concessions, and just making us think he's going to attack at
00:37:39.080
any moment. Or even to find out what a response is. Because maybe he just is testing public opinion.
00:37:45.880
Maybe he's just testing the resolve of NATO. But apparently, there's a big opinion. And this is a
00:37:55.080
weird one. A lot of people in Russia think that the United States is trying to trick Russia into
00:38:01.480
attacking Ukraine. Is there anybody in the United States you've heard besides me say that?
0.95
00:38:09.400
That I'm not going to say that we're actually literally trying to trick them into attacking
00:38:14.360
Ukraine. But I've actually tweeted that it looks like it. In other words, what we're observing looks
00:38:21.960
exactly like trying to trick them into attacking Ukraine. Now, I don't know why we would do that.
00:38:27.400
Except that maybe it would be bad for Russia. But is it weird that the Russian public actually thinks
00:38:35.000
that? A lot of them. They think we're trying to trick them into attacking Ukraine.
00:38:43.080
How in the world is the Russian public having that opinion? And I'm the only one.
00:38:49.160
Do a fact check. Have you heard anybody else in America say that it looks like we're trying to
00:38:56.280
trick them into attacking? Because I didn't even believe my own opinion. I'm just saying that if you
00:39:01.240
look at the facts, it just looks like it. I mean, it doesn't seem likely, but it looks like it.
00:39:06.920
Oh, Cernovich and Posobiec, you've heard that? That would make sense.
00:39:16.920
Well, I'm not talking about a wag the dog situation. The wag the dog, I think that's a more specific
00:39:23.320
situation, isn't it? All right. Some more interesting factoids here. Let's get back to this. I saw a good
00:39:34.920
tweet by Eddie Kwan. He says, if you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's
00:39:40.680
taking the scientists out for lunch. That one just stops you in your tracks, doesn't it?
00:39:47.480
If you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out
00:39:51.640
for lunch. I don't think I've ever seen anything summarized that well. Actually, I'll give you one
00:40:01.960
one thing. Once a friend of mine described the comic strip Marmaduke, which at that point had
00:40:09.240
been like 50 years of Marmaduke comics. He summarized the entire life of the comic as a big dog is on
00:40:16.920
something you want. Now, that was a terribly unfair summary, but it's the only one I've seen that was
00:40:22.760
more succinct than if you think trusting the science is smart, wait until you learn who's taking the
00:40:27.400
scientists out for lunch. You could just be done. You should have a college course
00:40:35.560
for credit, like full credit. It's a Harvard class. And you go into the class and the first day you sit
00:40:42.360
down and they just show you this tweet. They go, class, if you think trusting the science is smart,
00:40:48.280
wait until you learn who's taking the scientists out for lunch. Class dismissed. Anybody who can remember
00:40:54.920
that tomorrow gets an A in the class and there's no coursework because that's all you need to know.
00:41:01.240
It's all there. The entire classwork of how to understand the media, how to work with it,
00:41:11.240
how to understand science, how to work with it, human motivation, it's all there in one tweet.
00:41:25.320
sure enough, Canada is going hard after the people involved in the protest. Their accounts are being
00:41:31.720
frozen. Some of them can't get bail. Their names are being posted. The names of people who donated
00:41:38.840
to the truckers are being posted on trees in some neighborhoods so that you can know who to be mad at
00:41:45.400
in Canada. This is the most chilling thing that I've seen in a long time. And I've seen some
00:41:54.200
chilling things. So I don't even know what to say about this. I mean, it's so bad that like words,
00:42:02.280
words start to escape. But then you find out that two thirds of the Canadian public is totally on board
00:42:10.280
with this sort of stuff. Did you know that? Something like 65% of the Canadian public says,
00:42:17.480
you know, they don't like the convoy and they're pretty happy that the government was tough on them.
00:42:22.760
It's something like that, right? Two thirds. So if Canada is getting what it wants by a two thirds
00:42:29.000
majority, I'm not sure how concerned I should be.
00:42:31.400
Here's another scary thing. Homeland Security is looking into battling online misinformation
00:42:42.840
and has considered that misinformation could rise to the level of terrorism.
00:42:47.320
I mean, in effect. Now, do you believe that? Do you believe that misinformation,
00:42:52.680
be it intentional or not? I guess the intentional kind would be the worst kind that homeland security
00:42:59.640
would care about, but that the misinformation could be like as bad as terrorism?
00:43:05.800
I would say yes. I would say yes. You can see the effect in Russia versus Ukraine,
00:43:13.400
that public opinion and misinformation could actually cause a land war in Europe.
00:43:18.920
It could be a misinformation war. So on one hand, I can totally see how homeland security thinks
00:43:28.440
information and the control of it is necessary to avoid terrorism. On the other hand, there goes your free speech.
00:43:40.040
Am I right? How in the world can you regulate speech
00:43:46.440
free speech as a tool of terror and expect anybody's going to give you a fair opinion that doesn't have,
00:43:54.360
you know, somebody's self-interest in the government involved?
00:43:58.680
They can't coexist. You just can't have, I don't think, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think you can
00:44:05.560
have government control over information without giving away free speech. They're just too connected.
00:44:12.760
All right. I thought Biden was kind of clever in saying that this was a start of an invasion instead
00:44:23.960
of an invasion. You remember all yesterday, there was the argument, is it an invasion or is it not an
00:44:29.800
invasion? And then Biden comes out and he goes, it's the start of an invasion. And I thought,
00:44:34.600
oh, that's good. That's actually pretty good. Because that does, that does actually, I don't know,
00:44:44.120
it feels like he high grounded it. Like once he says that, you go, ah, oh yeah, that's true. Right?
00:44:52.600
Now, because if you thought it was an invasion, he said it's the start of an invasion. And if you
00:44:59.640
thought it wasn't quite an invasion, you could say, well, yeah, it's just the start. I thought it was
00:45:05.000
one of the most clever political twists, you know, linguistic tricks I've seen in a long time. No, I don't
00:45:12.520
think he wrote it. I mean, I think somebody came up with it. But if, you know, if Trump had said this,
00:45:17.160
I'd think it was clever. So I'll give Biden this. So we've got all these sanctions that are going on
00:45:27.800
so far. Can anybody tell me that they know if these sanctions are powerful or not? Is it my
00:45:34.920
imagination, or every time we hear about sanctions, isn't there always more to the story? Like, oh,
00:45:41.960
our sanction is we're going to behead every baby that's born in Russia. And then you read,
00:45:49.240
but the context is that no babies are actually born in Russia because it's called the Federation
00:45:54.840
of Russian. You know, there's always some technicality where you think, oh, we got them now.
00:46:01.640
Look at those sanctions. We've got those sanctions now. And then you turn out that the Nord Stream pipeline
00:46:09.240
is just a delay of certification. What? He's not going to be afraid of a delay of certification
00:46:17.720
because you know what will stop the delay of the certification? Running out of fuel in the winter.
00:46:24.920
Yeah. That will pretty much speed up your certification. You're going to get real flexible
00:46:30.600
with Russia as soon as it gets real cold and you're running out of energy. So that's like a nothing.
0.96
00:46:37.400
Every time you hear that there's a something, somebody in five minutes later is going to say,
00:46:43.240
yeah, but you know, it'd be pretty easy to get around that one. So I can't even tell as an
00:46:48.840
observer if any of this makes any difference. So two banks were targeted. So sanctions on Russian
00:46:58.520
sovereign debt. I don't even know what that means. Honestly, I don't even know what that means.
00:47:04.280
I mean, obviously they'll have trouble refinancing and getting extra debt, but I don't know the larger
00:47:11.160
ramifications. Does that mean they just get help somewhere else and it doesn't matter?
00:47:16.920
You know, was China going to buy up all their debt anyway? Does it matter? I don't know. Do you?
00:47:22.360
A ban on purchases of Russian bonds. I don't know. Was that a big deal? Nobody else is going to buy them?
00:47:32.200
How do I judge that? How do they judge it? Sanctions on Russian elites and their families. Oh,
00:47:38.360
now we got them. We got some sanctions on Russian elites. Of what kind? Like what, what is it that they
00:47:45.800
can't do? If you've got $10 billion, tell me what you can't do. Am I right? I mean, travel? Is there
00:47:56.280
travel restrictions? Are they not going to let these oligarchs be involved in businesses that we do
1.00
00:48:02.760
business with? Is it even practical to stop? Would we be shooting ourselves in the foot harder than we're
00:48:08.760
shooting them if we did? Why is it that we have no idea if these sanctions even matter?
00:48:16.520
We have no idea. And the news doesn't know, because I don't think there's anybody smart
00:48:30.520
There's no region in Ukraine and no age group where a majority of respondents say the Russians
00:48:36.280
in Ukraine are one people. That's also from the CNN stuff. All right, here's another interesting
00:48:41.560
twist on CNN. Chris Silliza, who's one of their main opinion people, he does a whole piece about
00:48:47.480
how Mitt Romney was right when Romney said, as he was running against Obama, he said that Russia was
00:48:54.520
our biggest foe. And of course, Obama just slaughtered him in the debate by saying that China was obviously
00:49:02.520
the biggest foe and Russia's our, you know, that Romney stuck in the past. Well, now Silliza is
0.74
00:49:09.080
basically saying that Romney was right, that Russia is the bigger problem. And
00:49:18.120
when do you see CNN agreeing with a Republican? Doesn't that raise a little flag for you?
00:49:24.360
Is it a coincidence that CNN is telling us that we should focus on Russia as the problem and not
00:49:32.680
China? That doesn't feel like an independent opinion to me. Now, I can't read anybody's mind,
00:49:41.960
and I'm not going to allege anything. I'm just saying that when I read it, it doesn't look like
00:49:46.440
somebody independently said, oh, let me think about this. With no influence from my corporate masters,
00:49:52.040
let me just say that maybe Russia is the problem and not China. When CNN has, I believe,
00:50:01.000
more to lose by making China unhappy than Russia. Because CNN has been anti-Russia. Russia is connected
00:50:08.680
to Trump, even though it's not forever. So this feels just more like CNN's wave of propaganda against
00:50:17.800
Russia because you tie them to the Republicans or to Trump.
00:50:24.360
So how many of you believe that this new study in Nature, so it's been out a few weeks, I guess,
00:50:31.720
and I think I talked about it, that the risk of myocarditis is five times greater if you had COVID
00:50:38.600
than if you didn't. And that it's, well, it's five times higher than even a risk of myocarditis from
00:50:48.280
the vaccinations. Do you believe that data? We don't believe any data these days. But it looks like it
00:50:57.800
was a credible publication for a study. But of course, you should be skeptical about everything.
00:51:04.280
Now, what would happen if this data stands? Do you think that there'll be future data that will
00:51:11.960
overturn this idea? The idea being that long COVID is bad for your cardiovascular system
00:51:22.840
and that you'd be better off getting the vaccination according to this, not according to me,
00:51:27.960
because I'm not the authority here. But according to this data, do you think that that someday will
00:51:34.040
change? Do you think that someday the consensus of science will flip? Do you think in 20 years we'll
00:51:43.560
look back and say, oh, the vaccinations were the real health problem, not the actual COVID, long COVID?
00:51:51.080
I don't know. I think this is one of those anything could happen situations. I wouldn't be surprised
00:51:58.200
either way. Wouldn't be surprised either way. But suppose it's true that there's a 60% chance of
00:52:12.360
greater cardio problems. Doesn't that mean that we could have a lot of extra COVID deaths
00:52:21.080
as much as a year or more after the actual COVID? And therefore, they would not be attributed to COVID.
00:52:28.600
But there might be more of those deaths than we've even seen so far.
00:52:34.360
Am I doing the math right? Let's say a million people died.
00:52:43.320
Am I doing the math right? Help me out here with just top of the envelope. If a million Americans died of
00:52:49.160
COVID, but compare that to how many people got COVID, but then just recovered.
00:52:56.040
Now, if the group that got COVID and recovered would have a baseline rate of,
00:53:02.920
I don't know, 10% of them maybe dying of cardiovascular problems every year, what's the
00:53:11.640
number 5%? Maybe 5% of them were going to die anyway of cardiovascular. But now let's say that
00:53:21.240
the COVID, let's say this study was accurate. If the COVID gave them a 50 or 60% higher chance of dying,
00:53:30.920
because given that cardiovascular is, I believe, the number one cause of death in the United States,
00:53:36.840
fact check me, I believe it's number one. So the number one cause of death, if that got ramped up by another 50%,
00:53:45.640
and it doesn't kick in for a year or more, shouldn't we see over time, maybe it takes five years,
00:53:53.320
but shouldn't we see over time more people dying in the future from the pandemic
00:54:08.440
What do you think? Now, that's a big assumption, right? The big assumption is that. Now, also,
00:54:14.200
you'd have to add to that any side effects from the vaccination itself. Because if you're looking at
00:54:21.560
pandemic deaths, you do have to count everybody who died because of the shutdowns, everybody who died
00:54:29.160
because of the COVID itself, everybody who died because the vaccination was, you know, unfortunately,
00:54:34.280
they were one of the ones who had a bad effect. You'd have to add all of that together. And so I have
00:54:40.920
a feeling that the COVID death is about double what is reported so far, and that we might lose another
00:54:47.960
million people sooner than they had to go. You know, you could argue that all the changes,
00:54:54.200
it was a little sooner, but that's true for all of us. All right.
00:55:06.760
Well, Jack Posobiec tweeted that 65% of Democrats, I feel like everything's 65% today. That's weird.
00:55:15.000
65% of Democrats approve of Trudeau's crackdown on freedom protesters and freezing of bank accounts.
00:55:24.840
So that's obviously Democrats meaning Americans. So I wasn't really completely aware of this until
00:55:33.240
at least halfway through the convoy situation. I didn't realize that so many Democrats were
00:55:41.240
completely in favor of the government's actions there. Now, I guess I would have thought that if
00:55:48.120
I had seen how many people wear masks in California after it's not required. It is really, really amazing
00:55:57.640
to see how many people are wearing masks without it being required. Now, I'm not going to name names,
00:56:04.040
but I actually witnessed yesterday, somebody put on a mask, somebody I know, put on a mask in a public
00:56:14.040
place. And I said, oh, masks are not required. And said individual who shall remain nameless said,
00:56:21.480
I know, I prefer it. Not for health reasons. Not for health reasons. Felt more comfortable.
00:56:30.120
That's a real thing. That is a real thing. Now, you know, people have different reasons. But
00:56:40.200
everything from people think the, and by the way, there's a name for, have you ever heard of the name
00:56:48.760
mask fishing? I heard this recently. Have you heard of mask fishing? So cat fishing is when you
00:56:58.920
pretend you're a different person than the picture. Mask fishing is when you're attractive,
00:57:09.880
but only in this little zone here. And the rest of it is just a hot mess. So apparently,
00:57:17.240
there are a number of people who are pretty happy wearing masks. It improves their overall attractiveness.
00:57:22.280
And that's not a joke. It's not a joke that it improved some people's overall attractiveness,
00:57:28.840
and they wanted to keep it. And other people, I think, were shy. And I have to admit that I felt
00:57:36.920
that too. When I walked into a store without a mask after having been so acclimated to wearing masks,
00:57:43.800
I actually felt a little naked and exposed. Has anybody had that yet? Now, it wasn't enough to
00:57:50.440
make me put a mask on, but I felt a little naked and a little bit exposed. I didn't have any feelings
00:57:57.160
about virus. It was just a social feeling. And I can absolutely, you know, and I'm not embarrassed by
00:58:07.080
pretty much anything. So it wasn't really embarrassment or anything like that.
00:58:15.320
Anyway, that is everything I think I wanted to say today. And you have been witness to the best
00:58:22.520
live stream that's ever happened in the history of the world with some of the most fun people,
00:58:27.800
obviously the sexiest, smartest, most flexible and open-minded human beings of all time.
00:58:36.840
Give yourself a pat on the back. Okay, that's enough. That's enough. Cut it out.
00:58:42.840
All right. And tomorrow, we'll do it again every single day.