Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1680 Scott Adams： Killer Camels, Tiny Homes for Homeless, and Something Happening in Ukraine

00:00:00.000 Oh, good morning, everybody, and congratulations again.

00:00:06.420 You made it to Coffee with Scott Adams, and may I say that 100% of the people who have

00:00:13.820 made it to Scott Adams or Coffee with Scott Adams are glad they did.

00:00:19.120 And the other 25%, which would add up to 125%, of course, they're not happy at all.

00:00:26.400 But that's an imaginary 25%, so it doesn't matter at all.

00:00:31.440 All right, how would you like to take it up a notch?

00:00:35.300 Really? You would? I thought so.

00:00:38.280 All you need is a cup of mug or glass, a tanker, a chalice or a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask,

00:00:42.980 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:48.160 I like coffee.

00:00:50.280 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:53.120 It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:54.820 It's the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:59.240 Except for you, because I don't think you could get much better.

00:01:02.520 Am I right? You're pretty awesome.

00:01:05.120 If I may say so, even with your eccentricities, your weird little quirks,

00:01:11.560 may I say, weirdly, you're perfect.

00:01:15.260 And now, the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:01:17.420 Go.

00:01:17.480 You know, one of the most impactful things, I guess that's a clunky word, impactful.

00:01:32.020 One of the things that affected me the most in my life was my first college roommate, Mike.

00:01:40.480 Or Michael.

00:01:42.620 And one of the things I loved about him is that he collected all the freaks.

00:01:49.440 But also, people who were not freaks.

00:01:54.200 So he would invite you to his room to, you know, hang out or party.

00:01:59.280 And it didn't matter if you were the coolest person in the dorm or the, literally the least coolest,

00:02:05.560 you would be treated exactly the same.

00:02:08.600 And I don't know if I'd ever witnessed that before.

00:02:12.080 You know what I mean?

00:02:13.000 You know, imagine at the age of 18, somebody who's just out of high school

00:02:18.700 and is treating literally everybody exactly the same.

00:02:23.080 I'd never seen that before.

00:02:25.240 Honestly, I was quite affected by it.

00:02:28.780 And he had a number of other traits, which were also admirably advanced for his young age.

00:02:38.260 And so he became sort of my role model.

00:02:41.460 You know, I'm not sure if I ever told him that directly.

00:02:44.720 But he became my role model because he just seemed to have things figured out, you know,

00:02:49.700 like a higher level way of just dealing with the world.

00:02:53.580 And I always tried to be that person, meaning finding a way to release on all judgment.

00:03:02.800 You know, you still have to pick and choose who you spend time with doing what, right?

00:03:07.320 There's a practical element to that.

00:03:09.000 But I try not to judge.

00:03:12.760 And I feel like it's actually a skill you can develop.

00:03:18.320 Some of it might be natural.

00:03:19.720 I've often said that I was born nonjudgmental.

00:03:23.320 I think there's something to that.

00:03:25.420 But you can also, you know, develop it because there's always going to be some societal,

00:03:30.200 judgmental level that gets, you know, layered onto you.

00:03:33.800 So that's my advice to you.

00:03:36.420 Here's the biggest story of the day.

00:03:37.860 CNN's reporting a camel escaped from a petting zoo in Tennessee

00:03:42.380 and went on some kind of a rampage that killed two people.

00:03:49.480 So two people were killed by camels.

00:03:51.720 Now, the part that caught my attention is that these were two camels from a petting zoo

00:03:57.940 that escaped and went wild on people and killed them.

00:04:02.580 Now, I don't really usually think of camels as killing machines.

00:04:06.900 Like, when you think, oh, dangerous animal, is the camel the first one you think of?

00:04:13.300 I mean, they look like they could do some damage.

00:04:15.440 You know, if they give you a kick, they could take you out.

00:04:18.580 But I don't really think of camels as that dangerous.

00:04:22.760 But what kind of a hellscape of a petting zoo was this?

00:04:27.060 Am I wrong that petting zoos are oriented toward children?

00:04:31.340 And they had two deadly camels?

00:04:33.440 I ask you, if the camels were that deadly, what was everything else like?

00:04:41.740 Was everything in the petting zoo like a Stephen King novel?

00:04:46.520 Were they all like deadly animals?

00:04:49.200 You know, if you went to the petting zoo, would there be like severed limbs,

00:04:52.380 human limbs and skulls everywhere?

00:04:55.500 This sounds like the scariest petting zoo in the entire world.

00:04:58.420 And not only that, but I worry about what will happen to the Marlboro cigarette brand,

00:05:07.280 which, as you know, uses Joe Camel as its brand.

00:05:10.840 And I'm worried that stories about camels killing people could give cigarettes a bad name.

00:05:19.360 So that's sort of a bad side effect.

00:05:21.760 There's a story about San Francisco doing something that I consider very interesting.

00:05:27.780 They figured out, or some company did, how to build tiny little homes for the homeless.

00:05:35.380 So I guess they put them right out where the homeless already were,

00:05:39.660 somewhere in the neighborhood where they were camping anyway.

00:05:42.700 And they're little one-room entities that don't have a bathroom.

00:05:49.640 There must be some kind of a centralized bathroom situation.

00:05:52.660 But they just have, I think, an outlet, a bed, a little heater, 60 square feet, like a little cubicle.

00:05:59.800 And apparently all the homeless people who were offered them snapped them up and said,

00:06:03.860 yes, we will take that.

00:06:05.500 I guess the total cost, if you trick it out, is $30,000 per unit, which still seems high.

00:06:14.800 Does it really cost $30,000 for an insulated box with an outlet?

00:06:22.200 I'm not sure why it's that high.

00:06:25.040 But here's what I think.

00:06:28.220 First of all, I think this might work,

00:06:29.880 because one of the reasons that the homeless don't want homes

00:06:33.540 is that they can't do their drugs and do whatever else they're doing.

00:06:37.800 But as far as I know, these little homes don't come with any restrictions.

00:06:42.520 So presumably they could just do their drugs inside these little houses.

00:06:47.500 So from the perspective of the people on the streets,

00:06:52.640 it makes them probably safer and more comfortable.

00:06:55.860 But here's what I think is the future.

00:06:59.520 I think we're entering a future where there will be more and more people

00:07:03.680 who simply can't work for one reason or another.

00:07:07.500 They just can't.

00:07:08.800 They're too anxious.

00:07:11.180 For some reason, anxiety is crippling people.

00:07:13.580 Too depressed.

00:07:15.820 Too unhealthy.

00:07:17.280 Too whatever.

00:07:18.920 And or unemployable.

00:07:20.480 Just they don't have any skills.

00:07:21.500 So I feel as if the only way the world will survive

00:07:26.440 is with super cheap housing

00:07:30.260 that's still actually kind of nice to live

00:07:33.640 because they organize it around a community

00:07:35.740 where you have lots of interaction with your neighbors.

00:07:39.440 Let's say you don't hate your neighbors.

00:07:42.220 But I feel like everything is going to go that way.

00:07:46.320 Super cheap.

00:07:47.780 Not, you know.

00:07:48.380 Now, when you say boo,

00:07:52.640 keep in mind,

00:07:53.440 I'm not saying that you personally

00:07:54.740 would be in one of these tiny homes.

00:07:56.720 I'm saying that people who don't have a better option,

00:08:00.580 I think it's going to be a trend.

00:08:03.540 These little $30,000 homes.

00:08:07.540 I don't love the shared bathroom part,

00:08:10.080 but, you know,

00:08:10.840 what do you want for $30,000?

00:08:15.060 All right.

00:08:16.220 I'm going to keep an eye on that.

00:08:17.580 So there's a rumor on the Internet

00:08:20.180 that I don't think is true,

00:08:21.920 but maybe it will be true,

00:08:23.680 that Trump agreed to go on Joe Rogan.

00:08:26.860 You know, the Internet is saying that,

00:08:29.380 but I don't believe that's actually a confirmed thing.

00:08:34.020 So until I see it from some larger entity,

00:08:37.020 I'm not going to believe it.

00:08:38.720 But I'd be surprised if he doesn't,

00:08:43.200 wouldn't you?

00:08:43.680 But in a related news,

00:08:49.200 apparently Spotify lost a bunch of subscribers.

00:08:53.080 They had a loss of 1.5 million paying subscribers

00:08:56.520 in the first quarter of 2022.

00:08:59.460 But they said that Joe Rogan was not the reason for that.

00:09:02.420 You know, the pushback about Joe Rogan's content.

00:09:06.160 They're saying that's not the reason

00:09:07.580 they lost those subscribers.

00:09:09.100 They're saying it's because they canceled

00:09:11.320 their premium service in Russia.

00:09:14.600 Russia is 1% of their revenue.

00:09:18.660 Does that track with you?

00:09:20.540 Do you think that it wasn't the Joe Rogan situation?

00:09:24.160 It was really that that 1% of business in Russia

00:09:27.940 they canceled?

00:09:29.640 I don't know.

00:09:30.080 It depends if 1.5 million paying subscribers

00:09:33.080 is 1% of their total revenue.

00:09:36.500 Somebody go research that while we're doing this.

00:09:40.540 Because it might be.

00:09:42.360 Right?

00:09:43.760 Oh, somebody just give me the number

00:09:45.980 the number of total Spotify subscribers.

00:09:51.500 I'll bet we'll have that in about 30 seconds.

00:09:54.860 Somebody's going to Google that for me.

00:09:56.620 Total number of Spotify subscribers.

00:09:58.080 Unless it's a secret.

00:10:00.640 Maybe they don't tell you that number.

00:10:03.200 But could they have a million

00:10:05.820 or 100 million subscribers?

00:10:08.340 Is that possible?

00:10:10.600 What would you guess would be

00:10:11.760 the number of Spotify subscribers?

00:10:14.600 Because maybe it is Russia.

00:10:16.500 I mean, if they have 100 million,

00:10:17.820 I don't know if they do.

00:10:18.640 But that's interesting.

00:10:24.460 I thought you'd tell me the number by now.

00:10:25.980 Somebody says 180 million.

00:10:28.400 Is that real?

00:10:30.600 Oh, two people are saying it.

00:10:32.460 So it looks like you've looked it up

00:10:33.800 and they've got 180.

00:10:34.600 Yeah.

00:10:35.480 So if they had 180 million subscribers

00:10:38.000 and they got rid of 1% of it,

00:10:40.760 they would lose about 1.5 million.

00:10:44.480 Actually, it tracks.

00:10:45.360 I was going to call this fake news.

00:10:48.180 But if it's true that Russia was 1%

00:10:51.760 and they dropped that 1%,

00:10:53.380 it's a pretty good story.

00:10:56.780 It tracks with the numbers.

00:10:59.000 Well, let's talk about Ukraine

00:11:00.300 and their high-tech weaponry.

00:11:02.380 I learned a few things

00:11:03.700 about their high-tech weaponry.

00:11:05.900 I may get some of this wrong,

00:11:07.300 so look to the comments

00:11:08.920 to correct me if I get any of this wrong.

00:11:10.920 So here's what we know

00:11:12.680 about these anti-tank weapons.

00:11:18.160 First of all,

00:11:19.000 how many Russian tanks

00:11:20.180 were deployed in December?

00:11:22.860 I didn't see a more current number,

00:11:24.620 but I saw there were 1,200 Russian tanks

00:11:26.820 that were deployed to attack in December.

00:11:30.300 So let's take that as just a starting number,

00:11:32.580 1,200 Russian tanks.

00:11:33.960 If there are 1,200 Russian tanks,

00:11:37.460 how many javelins and other anti-tank weapons

00:11:42.540 have been provided to the Ukrainians

00:11:44.360 by NATO and whoever else is helping them?

00:11:49.260 And the answer is,

00:11:50.200 NATO has pushed over 17,000 anti-tank weapons.

00:11:55.180 So there are 1,200 tanks,

00:11:58.020 and there are 10 times that number,

00:12:01.000 more than 10 times that number,

00:12:02.400 of anti-tank missiles,

00:12:05.260 more than 10 times.

00:12:07.460 Now, of course,

00:12:08.720 that doesn't mean the tanks

00:12:09.800 and the missiles are in the right place,

00:12:11.860 so there's always going to be

00:12:12.820 a mismatch of location.

00:12:15.080 So that takes the number of anti-tank missiles

00:12:17.600 down a bit,

00:12:19.220 but this is a...

00:12:21.400 this is a...

00:12:23.680 not 10 times,

00:12:24.700 what am I saying?

00:12:26.140 So about 1,200 Russian tanks

00:12:28.580 and 17,000 missiles.

00:12:30.060 So here's the...

00:12:31.840 here's the thing.

00:12:35.780 How does Russia win this war on the ground?

00:12:40.980 Is that even possible?

00:12:43.180 Can somebody answer this question?

00:12:46.140 Can you occupy or even conquer a country on the ground

00:12:50.700 without tanks?

00:12:52.560 Because aren't they going to be without tanks pretty soon?

00:12:54.980 Now, I realize that artillery can just, you know,

00:12:59.300 flatten an area,

00:13:00.960 but to actually control the area

00:13:03.260 and, like, move in and hold that ground,

00:13:06.060 don't you need tanks?

00:13:07.600 I don't think they're going to have any tanks.

00:13:10.420 I believe they'll have no tanks.

00:13:13.700 All right, here's some other things.

00:13:15.480 What would it cost for 17,000 anti-tank weapons?

00:13:19.240 Well, if a Javelin missile is 80,000 per missile,

00:13:24.860 but, you know, there's more expense for the...

00:13:27.020 I guess there's a control unit

00:13:28.400 and some part of this is reusable,

00:13:31.580 is disposable,

00:13:33.480 and some part isn't.

00:13:34.940 So...

00:13:35.700 but let's just take that number.

00:13:37.460 Take 80,000 per missile,

00:13:39.240 so that's a low number, it would be higher,

00:13:41.680 and multiply it by 17,000 that were provided,

00:13:45.300 and it's about $1.4 billion.

00:13:49.700 That's affordable, isn't it?

00:13:52.780 I feel like the world can afford $1.4 billion

00:13:55.840 for anti-tank weapons.

00:13:59.360 Each of these costs...

00:14:00.800 they weigh 50 pounds,

00:14:02.980 so one soldier can carry one,

00:14:04.940 but, you know, it'd be better

00:14:05.800 if you had a little team of them

00:14:06.960 carrying the, like, extra...

00:14:08.860 the extra parts of it and stuff.

00:14:13.440 And here's how these work.

00:14:15.260 This is just the Javelins.

00:14:16.940 Apparently there are other anti-tankers,

00:14:19.240 tank missiles there,

00:14:20.380 but just the Javelins.

00:14:23.560 So the Javelins have apparently two parts.

00:14:27.060 There's this big control unit

00:14:28.920 that looks like a giant pair of binoculars.

00:14:33.180 Like a...

00:14:33.560 you know, it's the size of a...

00:14:35.560 I don't know, it's bigger than a toaster.

00:14:37.280 It's like the size of a microwave.

00:14:39.680 It's between a microwave and a toaster.

00:14:41.460 And it's this big thing that has a screen

00:14:44.040 and it's got infrared

00:14:45.340 so you can locate from a great distance

00:14:48.500 even at night.

00:14:50.060 Now, apparently...

00:14:50.840 I just saw this on Fox News.

00:14:53.420 One of the experts was saying

00:14:54.600 that you could take that unit,

00:14:56.120 separate it from the missile-firing part

00:14:58.200 of the rocket,

00:14:59.580 and it's really, really handy

00:15:01.080 for seeing the enemy at a distance

00:15:04.000 and they can't see you.

00:15:05.840 So apparently the Ukrainians

00:15:07.160 have a pretty big advantage,

00:15:09.240 not just from the Javelin missile,

00:15:11.660 but separately from taking

00:15:12.900 the control unit with them

00:15:14.300 whenever they need to see you

00:15:15.680 and you can't see them.

00:15:17.060 And operationally,

00:15:18.880 if you can operate at night,

00:15:20.740 it's just a big advantage.

00:15:22.520 So there's that.

00:15:23.320 So the way this thing works

00:15:28.380 is I guess you use the control unit

00:15:30.100 to spot your target

00:15:32.000 and then it detects a heat signature,

00:15:35.060 I guess,

00:15:35.440 and then it locks on

00:15:36.440 and then it actually shoots

00:15:38.220 toward the target,

00:15:40.020 but then it goes up in the air,

00:15:42.160 high,

00:15:42.960 so that when it comes down

00:15:45.480 onto the target

00:15:46.440 that it locked onto...

00:15:47.940 And by the way,

00:15:48.400 this is fire and forget.

00:15:50.240 After the rocket's launched,

00:15:51.740 the people who launch it

00:15:53.480 just back up and leave

00:15:54.940 so that the launch site

00:15:56.400 can't be attacked.

00:15:58.860 And it comes down

00:16:00.020 on top of a tank

00:16:01.160 because that's the weakest armor,

00:16:02.880 apparently.

00:16:04.240 Now, not only that,

00:16:06.160 but some of the tanks

00:16:07.080 have this exploding exterior

00:16:10.360 so that if they get hit

00:16:12.260 by something,

00:16:12.880 it explodes outwards

00:16:14.780 and sort of semi-protects

00:16:16.540 the interior.

00:16:18.440 But these Javelins are so smart

00:16:20.460 that they have two charges.

00:16:22.400 One charge explodes

00:16:24.020 the protective charges

00:16:26.060 and the other charge

00:16:27.660 destroys the tank.

00:16:29.020 So this is really

00:16:30.100 sophisticated stuff.

00:16:31.760 And I'm not sure

00:16:32.500 that they miss that often.

00:16:34.660 Does anybody know

00:16:35.760 how often a Javelin misses

00:16:37.280 once it's locked on a target?

00:16:39.940 I feel like the answer

00:16:41.760 is rarely, right?

00:16:43.060 So did you see the video

00:16:48.100 of there was a Russian tank column

00:16:50.860 or armored column, I guess?

00:16:54.560 And you saw a video

00:16:56.000 from a small drone

00:16:57.380 that the Ukrainians must operate.

00:16:59.880 And it showed some kind

00:17:01.440 of an anti-tank weapon

00:17:02.480 taking out a tank.

00:17:03.840 And then everybody's, you know,

00:17:05.080 running for their lives

00:17:06.100 around the area.

00:17:07.520 So there were two lessons there.

00:17:09.760 One is that

00:17:11.360 the small drones

00:17:18.740 are being used

00:17:19.260 by the Ukrainians

00:17:20.140 to spot.

00:17:21.800 So I guess

00:17:22.440 the Ukrainians

00:17:23.580 have pretty good eyes

00:17:24.740 on stuff

00:17:25.380 with these small drones.

00:17:27.460 And imagine

00:17:28.900 you're a poorly trained

00:17:30.520 Russian conscript

00:17:31.760 and you're just sort of,

00:17:34.020 you're not in a battle

00:17:34.800 and you've never been in one,

00:17:36.060 but you're in this long

00:17:37.800 line of stuff

00:17:40.600 and days and days

00:17:42.560 are going by

00:17:43.300 and every day

00:17:44.800 you watch

00:17:46.120 one or more

00:17:48.120 of the vehicles

00:17:49.160 near you blow up.

00:17:51.700 What would that do

00:17:52.820 to your head?

00:17:54.020 There's nobody

00:17:54.640 you can shoot at.

00:17:56.360 You're literally just,

00:17:57.920 not literally,

00:17:58.620 but you're sitting ducks

00:17:59.520 and you're just watching,

00:18:02.300 you're getting picked off

00:18:03.960 one by one

00:18:04.660 with these javelins,

00:18:05.700 I assume.

00:18:07.320 What would that do

00:18:08.280 to your fighting spirit?

00:18:09.740 I mean,

00:18:10.460 that would be

00:18:11.120 really,

00:18:11.840 really mentally destructive.

00:18:14.680 So,

00:18:15.900 there are

00:18:16.480 two ways

00:18:18.120 to look at this war.

00:18:18.980 One is that

00:18:19.540 Russia

00:18:19.900 has immense assets

00:18:21.760 and they're all

00:18:22.500 getting there

00:18:23.960 to squeeze,

00:18:25.000 squeeze the cities

00:18:26.180 and lay siege

00:18:27.180 and their artillery

00:18:28.900 is lining up

00:18:29.780 to just pound them

00:18:30.880 into submission

00:18:31.520 and it looks like

00:18:33.900 Russia would just win

00:18:34.860 if it wants to.

00:18:35.700 So that's one point of view.

00:18:37.540 The other point of view

00:18:38.600 is, yeah,

00:18:39.100 it's a fog of war.

00:18:39.880 We have no idea

00:18:40.620 what's happening there.

00:18:42.140 Here's what I think.

00:18:46.020 I think that Russia

00:18:47.280 can't conquer

00:18:48.300 and hold Ukraine

00:18:49.220 when there are

00:18:50.280 that many

00:18:50.740 anti-tank weapons

00:18:51.960 in country

00:18:52.680 because I don't think

00:18:54.180 they can do it

00:18:54.760 without tanks

00:18:55.560 and I don't think

00:18:57.440 that they can have tanks.

00:18:59.260 So, I mean,

00:19:00.780 I think it's that simple.

00:19:01.740 You can't do it

00:19:02.360 without tanks

00:19:03.060 and goodbye tanks

00:19:04.800 because there are

00:19:05.760 enough missiles

00:19:06.280 to take them all out.

00:19:08.040 Now,

00:19:08.540 I think they can

00:19:09.220 control the sky,

00:19:10.260 they can do

00:19:11.060 artillery forever.

00:19:13.020 Now,

00:19:13.280 here's my second question.

00:19:15.400 Is artillery

00:19:16.420 easily targeted

00:19:19.000 by,

00:19:20.360 I mean,

00:19:20.640 you'd have to find it first,

00:19:21.700 but is it easily

00:19:22.780 targeted by the same

00:19:23.920 types of missiles?

00:19:25.380 Can you use

00:19:26.320 an anti-tank weapon

00:19:27.580 on artillery?

00:19:29.260 I see some yeses.

00:19:32.380 I would think so,

00:19:33.340 right?

00:19:33.900 It would have

00:19:34.340 a heat signature.

00:19:36.500 So, I would think so.

00:19:37.660 Anything with

00:19:38.120 a heat signature,

00:19:38.800 right?

00:19:43.460 Artillery is not

00:19:44.340 on the front lines,

00:19:45.300 right?

00:19:45.980 But you would have

00:19:46.880 people hunting for it

00:19:47.880 behind the front lines.

00:19:55.000 Okay.

00:19:55.400 here's where I think

00:19:59.600 things are going to go.

00:20:00.680 I think that,

00:20:01.440 I think the Ukrainians

00:20:03.920 are actually going to

00:20:04.760 destroy the Russian army

00:20:07.280 or enough of it

00:20:08.840 that Russia is going to

00:20:10.720 have a real big trouble.

00:20:12.540 Now,

00:20:12.740 here's a story

00:20:14.740 that's coming out of,

00:20:16.260 and I saw this

00:20:20.800 in the Daily Mail

00:20:21.820 from the UK.

00:20:23.620 So,

00:20:23.900 the story is that

00:20:24.720 Putin's firing

00:20:25.860 his people,

00:20:26.540 right?

00:20:27.040 That he's placed

00:20:27.920 the head of his FSB,

00:20:29.600 that's their

00:20:29.960 foreign intelligence

00:20:30.820 branch,

00:20:31.380 the head of his

00:20:32.600 foreign intelligence

00:20:33.280 under house arrest

00:20:34.520 because,

00:20:35.900 allegedly,

00:20:36.500 Putin is furious

00:20:37.260 at security services

00:20:38.680 for failing to warn him

00:20:40.580 that Ukraine

00:20:41.840 could fiercely

00:20:43.040 resist invasion.

00:20:44.180 Now,

00:20:46.480 put your

00:20:47.620 skeptical hat on

00:20:48.820 and tell me

00:20:50.240 if you think

00:20:50.780 this story

00:20:51.360 sounds like

00:20:52.740 a true story

00:20:53.640 or one that

00:20:55.200 is suspiciously

00:20:56.220 exactly like

00:20:57.700 a fake story

00:20:58.480 would sound.

00:21:00.660 All right?

00:21:01.640 So,

00:21:02.080 sure,

00:21:03.020 Putin is put

00:21:04.480 under house arrest

00:21:05.400 his own head

00:21:06.080 of intelligence.

00:21:07.720 Okay.

00:21:08.980 He's all,

00:21:09.920 and also,

00:21:10.500 that guy's deputy.

00:21:12.240 Okay.

00:21:12.660 And he's said

00:21:14.620 to have blamed

00:21:15.280 his intelligence

00:21:15.940 agencies for

00:21:16.840 the slow pace

00:21:17.540 of the war.

00:21:19.160 Maybe.

00:21:20.460 And he's said

00:21:21.220 to,

00:21:22.800 let's see,

00:21:26.160 apparently,

00:21:27.580 the intel people

00:21:29.480 allegedly told

00:21:31.200 Putin that

00:21:31.800 Ukraine was weak,

00:21:33.060 riddled with

00:21:33.760 neo-Nazi groups

00:21:34.780 and would give up

00:21:35.780 easily,

00:21:36.620 and they was

00:21:37.040 just lying.

00:21:38.240 But also,

00:21:39.000 the head of security

00:21:39.740 allegedly embezzled

00:21:41.480 funds that were

00:21:42.220 meant for the,

00:21:43.100 you know,

00:21:43.440 undercover,

00:21:44.160 subversive stuff

00:21:44.940 in Ukraine.

00:21:46.840 And then there's

00:21:48.680 also stories about

00:21:49.660 generals being

00:21:50.840 fired,

00:21:51.340 right?

00:21:52.980 Now,

00:21:54.120 doesn't that sound

00:21:55.280 exactly like a story

00:21:56.560 that anti-Russia

00:21:59.240 propaganda would

00:22:00.220 put out?

00:22:01.640 Oh,

00:22:02.320 Russia is doing

00:22:02.920 so poorly

00:22:03.520 that even his

00:22:04.300 generals are quitting

00:22:05.140 and he's arresting

00:22:07.100 his head of

00:22:07.880 intelligence for

00:22:08.720 a big screw-up.

00:22:10.300 Now,

00:22:10.860 I thought this

00:22:11.440 sounded suspicious

00:22:12.240 because it

00:22:14.160 sounded exactly

00:22:15.000 like what

00:22:16.720 pundits were

00:22:17.460 guessing.

00:22:19.520 Do you remember

00:22:20.040 before we heard

00:22:20.760 this story,

00:22:22.260 the pundits were

00:22:23.000 saying that

00:22:26.160 Putin had been

00:22:28.240 misinformed,

00:22:30.260 that it would be

00:22:30.940 easy to go in

00:22:31.960 and he would be

00:22:32.460 hailed as a hero.

00:22:33.200 Do you remember

00:22:34.460 all the pundits

00:22:35.060 said that?

00:22:35.940 Oh,

00:22:36.280 he misjudged

00:22:37.420 because he thought

00:22:38.340 he would be

00:22:38.700 hailed as a hero.

00:22:42.080 Is it a coincidence

00:22:43.240 that we get the

00:22:44.520 real inside scoop,

00:22:46.300 it matches exactly

00:22:47.460 what the pundits

00:22:48.240 have already tested

00:22:49.120 out in the market

00:22:50.000 and the market

00:22:50.600 accepted?

00:22:52.500 I feel like this

00:22:53.780 was already

00:22:55.260 market tested,

00:22:56.280 if you know

00:22:56.600 what I mean.

00:22:57.560 But here's the

00:22:58.400 real tell.

00:22:59.340 The story at the

00:23:00.180 end is just like

00:23:01.020 a throwaway at

00:23:01.700 the end of the

00:23:02.100 article.

00:23:02.360 It goes on to

00:23:04.140 say, basically

00:23:05.000 as an explanation

00:23:06.020 for why Russia's

00:23:07.780 intelligence service

00:23:08.660 is so terrible,

00:23:11.040 that the

00:23:12.180 intelligence services,

00:23:13.620 they do their

00:23:14.400 hiring from

00:23:16.920 legacy,

00:23:18.240 meaning the

00:23:18.940 children of

00:23:19.640 people who

00:23:20.120 were in

00:23:20.400 intelligence

00:23:20.800 agencies before.

00:23:23.000 So the

00:23:23.500 allegation in

00:23:25.300 this story

00:23:25.820 is that

00:23:27.280 Russia hires

00:23:28.720 basically idiots

00:23:29.740 for its

00:23:30.420 intelligence service

00:23:31.320 and then it

00:23:32.220 points out

00:23:32.760 that the

00:23:33.360 CIA recruits

00:23:35.680 almost exclusively

00:23:36.700 from Ivy League

00:23:37.660 schools.

00:23:39.680 So do you

00:23:40.260 think that a

00:23:40.760 story about

00:23:41.400 Putin firing

00:23:42.260 all of his

00:23:42.940 top generals

00:23:43.800 and people

00:23:44.460 and putting

00:23:44.880 them in

00:23:45.100 house arrest

00:23:45.720 and at the

00:23:47.200 same time

00:23:47.700 saying that

00:23:48.240 Russia's

00:23:48.800 intelligence

00:23:49.280 agencies are

00:23:50.080 full of

00:23:50.420 dolts,

00:23:51.320 but the

00:23:52.000 CIA only

00:23:52.760 hires

00:23:53.080 geniuses,

00:23:54.520 who do you

00:23:54.940 think put that

00:23:55.520 story in the

00:23:56.100 news?

00:23:57.360 Do you think

00:23:58.000 it's the people

00:23:58.580 who look like

00:23:59.200 geniuses in the

00:24:00.100 story?

00:24:01.760 Maybe.

00:24:03.960 Maybe.

00:24:04.820 Maybe it's the

00:24:05.540 people who told

00:24:06.160 the story that

00:24:06.760 made them look

00:24:07.280 like geniuses.

00:24:08.580 I'm just saying,

00:24:09.840 if I were going

00:24:10.600 to guess,

00:24:12.080 wild guess,

00:24:13.420 who would plant

00:24:14.100 a story like

00:24:14.780 that in the

00:24:15.160 media,

00:24:16.200 it would be

00:24:17.040 somebody who

00:24:18.320 wanted to look

00:24:18.900 like a genius.

00:24:20.160 Take it from

00:24:20.680 me.

00:24:22.140 All right.

00:24:24.480 And then the

00:24:25.260 way they,

00:24:25.880 the credibility

00:24:26.500 for the story

00:24:27.420 is that it

00:24:27.980 comes from

00:24:28.440 a Russian

00:24:29.580 author who

00:24:30.980 is known

00:24:31.420 to have

00:24:31.940 sources in

00:24:32.980 the intelligence

00:24:33.880 agencies in

00:24:34.740 Russia.

00:24:36.740 Do you know

00:24:37.500 how intelligence

00:24:39.180 agencies launder

00:24:40.720 their fake

00:24:41.320 news?

00:24:43.160 They go to

00:24:44.000 an author or

00:24:45.400 a journalist and

00:24:46.120 they say,

00:24:46.860 look, we need

00:24:47.560 you to say

00:24:48.120 this.

00:24:50.060 And then they

00:24:50.820 tell them it's

00:24:51.320 true.

00:24:52.460 And then the

00:24:53.460 author says it

00:24:54.480 and then they

00:24:55.820 say, look,

00:24:56.260 well, this

00:24:56.520 author says

00:24:57.060 it's true

00:24:57.480 with his

00:24:58.220 sources.

00:24:59.200 Do you know

00:24:59.580 what his

00:24:59.860 sources probably

00:25:00.560 were?

00:25:01.760 Probably the

00:25:02.280 CIA.

00:25:03.960 Probably the

00:25:04.640 CIA gave him

00:25:05.560 the information

00:25:06.200 and said,

00:25:07.120 this comes

00:25:07.540 from inside

00:25:08.100 the Kremlin.

00:25:09.200 This guy does

00:25:10.080 interviews and

00:25:10.660 says, I have

00:25:11.380 secret information

00:25:12.320 from inside the

00:25:13.120 Kremlin.

00:25:13.780 I can't tell you

00:25:14.500 where it came

00:25:14.900 from.

00:25:16.040 And then the

00:25:16.520 news reports

00:25:17.220 that it came

00:25:17.800 from an

00:25:18.420 author.

00:25:20.280 Doesn't this

00:25:20.860 look exactly

00:25:21.760 like a planted

00:25:22.500 story?

00:25:22.920 doesn't mean

00:25:25.100 it is.

00:25:26.900 So, I

00:25:28.140 mean, I

00:25:28.620 couldn't bet

00:25:29.260 my life on

00:25:29.940 it.

00:25:30.800 But if you

00:25:31.700 understand what

00:25:33.080 a planted

00:25:33.540 story looks

00:25:34.240 like, it

00:25:35.360 looks exactly

00:25:36.180 like this.

00:25:37.560 Exactly.

00:25:39.100 But let's

00:25:39.840 say it's

00:25:40.140 true.

00:25:43.720 This is the

00:25:44.660 diabolical part

00:25:45.620 about all

00:25:46.080 this.

00:25:46.580 You can

00:25:47.000 know that

00:25:47.380 the news

00:25:47.920 is fake

00:25:48.520 and you

00:25:49.520 still treat

00:25:50.180 it like

00:25:50.460 it's true.

00:25:51.860 I don't

00:25:52.160 know.

00:25:52.320 I guess

00:25:53.220 people can

00:25:53.680 do that.

00:25:54.340 So, let's

00:25:54.620 do that.

00:25:55.580 Let's

00:25:55.860 treat it

00:25:56.200 like it's

00:25:56.560 true.

00:25:57.280 If it's

00:25:57.820 true that

00:25:58.320 the Ukrainians

00:25:59.680 have all

00:26:00.060 those anti-tank

00:26:00.880 weapons,

00:26:01.960 if it's

00:26:02.440 true that

00:26:02.780 you can't

00:26:03.160 really conquer

00:26:03.940 a place

00:26:04.320 without

00:26:04.600 tanks,

00:26:06.100 especially

00:26:06.660 a well-armed

00:26:07.380 place, you

00:26:07.840 can't conquer

00:26:08.860 them without

00:26:09.240 tanks.

00:26:09.820 I don't

00:26:10.000 think you

00:26:10.340 can.

00:26:11.540 The cities

00:26:12.340 especially.

00:26:14.840 And if

00:26:15.680 it's true

00:26:16.120 that Russia,

00:26:17.620 that Putin

00:26:18.040 is firing

00:26:18.680 his generals

00:26:19.280 because

00:26:19.640 everything's

00:26:20.140 a mess,

00:26:20.560 there is

00:26:22.000 a real

00:26:22.440 possibility

00:26:23.140 that Ukraine

00:26:24.640 just wins

00:26:25.220 the war

00:26:25.600 outright.

00:26:28.820 Is anybody

00:26:29.560 talking about

00:26:30.180 that yet?

00:26:32.100 All the

00:26:32.760 smart people

00:26:33.240 are saying,

00:26:33.780 okay, the

00:26:34.260 weight of

00:26:35.060 military might

00:26:35.860 is all on

00:26:36.420 Russia's side,

00:26:37.220 10 to 1.

00:26:38.320 It's just a

00:26:38.960 matter of time.

00:26:39.640 It's just

00:26:39.920 numbers.

00:26:40.820 There's nothing

00:26:41.280 you can do

00:26:41.740 about it.

00:26:42.620 But there is

00:26:43.920 something you

00:26:44.400 can do about

00:26:44.980 it if you

00:26:45.540 can take

00:26:45.900 out all

00:26:46.500 of their

00:26:46.780 tanks.

00:26:47.240 So I

00:26:48.780 guess I

00:26:49.160 will base

00:26:50.140 my prediction

00:26:50.760 on this

00:26:51.300 one factor.

00:26:52.640 So it's a

00:26:53.080 one factor

00:26:53.700 prediction.

00:26:54.740 That they

00:26:55.220 have enough

00:26:55.720 anti-tank

00:26:56.520 weapons to

00:26:58.140 take out

00:26:58.620 all of

00:26:59.100 their tanks

00:26:59.660 and similar

00:27:01.020 heavy equipment.

00:27:02.600 All of them.

00:27:03.820 And that once

00:27:04.500 those are

00:27:04.940 gone, their

00:27:06.940 military will

00:27:07.820 be just in

00:27:08.980 disarray and

00:27:10.440 they can just

00:27:10.980 be picked

00:27:11.380 off or

00:27:11.800 neutralized.

00:27:12.800 They just

00:27:13.140 won't be an

00:27:13.720 effective fighting

00:27:14.440 force.

00:27:14.780 I have a

00:27:16.260 feeling you

00:27:16.660 are going

00:27:16.820 to see

00:27:17.000 mass

00:27:17.580 surrenders.

00:27:19.240 Like entire

00:27:20.140 divisions or

00:27:21.220 whatever they're

00:27:21.620 called over

00:27:22.020 there.

00:27:22.980 I feel like

00:27:23.780 you're going

00:27:24.060 to see mass

00:27:24.520 surrenders.

00:27:25.420 What do you

00:27:25.680 think?

00:27:27.860 Now, somebody

00:27:29.260 is saying the

00:27:29.660 point was to

00:27:30.360 displace two

00:27:31.140 million people.

00:27:32.040 And maybe it

00:27:32.500 was.

00:27:33.300 But I don't

00:27:33.900 think that

00:27:34.280 worked exactly

00:27:35.140 the way Russia

00:27:37.360 expected.

00:27:38.420 Because once the

00:27:39.400 women and

00:27:39.860 children were

00:27:40.440 out of there,

00:27:41.960 and it's just

00:27:42.780 the men,

00:27:43.260 word has it

00:27:45.340 the Ukrainian

00:27:45.900 men, can

00:27:47.800 put up quite

00:27:48.400 a fight.

00:27:49.940 And perhaps

00:27:50.420 they are.

00:27:51.660 Sounds like

00:27:52.200 they are.

00:27:53.320 I don't believe

00:27:54.280 anything coming

00:27:55.720 out of the war

00:27:56.200 zone, but

00:27:56.740 sounds sort of

00:27:58.400 like they are.

00:27:59.900 All right.

00:28:01.080 China and

00:28:01.920 Russia are

00:28:02.780 both collaborating

00:28:03.900 to say that

00:28:04.620 there are U.S.

00:28:06.340 funded bio

00:28:07.100 labs, you

00:28:07.880 know, weapons

00:28:08.380 labs or

00:28:09.000 something in

00:28:09.780 Ukraine.

00:28:10.580 The official

00:28:11.380 U.S.

00:28:11.980 story is that

00:28:12.820 there are

00:28:13.400 bio labs,

00:28:15.840 but not for

00:28:16.700 the purpose

00:28:17.140 of weapons.

00:28:17.940 Oh, no.

00:28:19.260 No, no, no,

00:28:19.980 no, not for

00:28:20.740 weapons, but

00:28:21.880 rather for

00:28:22.500 valuable research

00:28:23.600 in these various

00:28:24.620 countries to

00:28:26.280 help identify

00:28:27.000 and find

00:28:27.540 treatments for

00:28:28.400 local pathogens.

00:28:31.720 Totally

00:28:32.200 plausible story.

00:28:34.860 I don't know,

00:28:35.360 is it?

00:28:36.800 Is that

00:28:37.460 plausible?

00:28:37.840 I think it

00:28:40.700 is.

00:28:40.980 I don't know

00:28:42.860 if it's

00:28:43.160 true, but

00:28:45.000 it feels

00:28:45.800 plausible

00:28:47.760 that they,

00:28:50.360 but would

00:28:51.060 we be

00:28:51.480 funding, of

00:28:52.700 all things

00:28:53.220 that we

00:28:53.520 could fund,

00:28:54.620 we'd have

00:28:55.180 this great

00:28:55.680 interest in

00:28:56.340 local pathogens

00:28:57.500 in Ukraine,

00:28:59.700 not even

00:29:00.240 pathogens that

00:29:01.320 are necessarily

00:29:02.920 going to

00:29:04.260 affect us.

00:29:04.860 we care

00:29:06.140 that much?

00:29:07.140 We're

00:29:07.380 funding them

00:29:07.920 in Ukraine?

00:29:09.320 There's

00:29:09.760 something sketchy

00:29:10.540 about the

00:29:10.880 whole story,

00:29:12.020 wouldn't you

00:29:12.640 say?

00:29:14.380 Let's just

00:29:15.040 say that

00:29:15.420 whatever the

00:29:16.080 truth of

00:29:16.540 this story

00:29:17.040 is, I

00:29:17.500 don't think

00:29:17.980 we've heard

00:29:18.400 it.

00:29:19.160 I don't

00:29:19.460 think China

00:29:19.940 and Russia

00:29:20.300 are telling

00:29:20.680 us the

00:29:21.000 truth, but

00:29:22.060 I definitely

00:29:22.620 don't believe

00:29:23.140 our team.

00:29:24.520 Do you?

00:29:25.780 Is there

00:29:26.140 anybody who

00:29:26.540 thinks that

00:29:26.980 the United

00:29:27.360 States is

00:29:27.880 telling the

00:29:28.280 truth about

00:29:29.680 these labs?

00:29:30.300 Probably

00:29:33.660 nobody thinks

00:29:34.420 that, right?

00:29:35.240 So what

00:29:36.080 can we

00:29:36.400 really say

00:29:36.880 about any

00:29:37.300 of this?

00:29:38.060 Nothing.

00:29:39.360 Because now

00:29:40.020 we have

00:29:40.320 China, Russia

00:29:41.040 and the

00:29:41.440 United States

00:29:42.100 commenting on

00:29:42.940 these labs

00:29:43.540 and those

00:29:44.400 are the

00:29:44.660 three least

00:29:45.540 credible

00:29:46.020 sources

00:29:46.660 that are

00:29:48.760 talking about

00:29:49.280 this topic.

00:29:54.460 All right.

00:29:55.640 And then

00:29:56.260 of course

00:29:56.680 the U.S.

00:29:58.060 is warning

00:29:58.520 Biden

00:29:58.860 administration

00:29:59.420 saying that

00:30:00.040 Russians

00:30:00.700 might use

00:30:01.280 these

00:30:01.640 what they

00:30:03.760 would call

00:30:04.160 fake

00:30:04.680 bioweapons

00:30:06.080 research

00:30:06.540 places

00:30:06.960 as a

00:30:08.580 pretense

00:30:09.480 for a

00:30:09.800 biological

00:30:10.240 attack

00:30:10.840 and then

00:30:11.220 claim it

00:30:11.840 was actually

00:30:12.280 the Ukrainians

00:30:13.060 not them.

00:30:14.460 What do

00:30:14.760 you think?

00:30:15.420 Do you

00:30:15.600 think Russia

00:30:16.520 is going

00:30:16.920 to claim

00:30:17.580 that the

00:30:18.060 Ukrainians

00:30:18.820 mounted a

00:30:19.560 biological

00:30:20.060 attack

00:30:20.740 on Russia

00:30:21.420 or on

00:30:22.480 the Russians

00:30:22.920 in the

00:30:23.520 military?

00:30:24.560 That does

00:30:25.380 feel like

00:30:25.780 standard

00:30:26.280 Russian

00:30:27.960 play,

00:30:28.840 right?

00:30:29.420 So here's

00:30:31.180 the great

00:30:32.640 irony.

00:30:34.580 What if

00:30:35.520 it's true

00:30:36.560 that Putin's

00:30:38.380 generals

00:30:39.020 and his

00:30:39.920 advisors,

00:30:40.600 his top

00:30:40.980 experts,

00:30:42.200 what if it

00:30:42.720 is true

00:30:43.180 that he's

00:30:43.520 firing them

00:30:44.100 and arresting

00:30:44.820 them?

00:30:46.980 Might be

00:30:47.700 true,

00:30:49.300 but

00:30:49.620 if that

00:30:52.420 is true

00:30:53.120 things could

00:31:00.040 be over

00:31:00.380 quickly.

00:31:02.180 Something

00:31:02.700 could happen

00:31:04.420 pretty quickly.

00:31:05.780 All right,

00:31:06.220 the EU

00:31:07.780 commission

00:31:08.200 says they're

00:31:08.760 going to

00:31:08.940 try to

00:31:09.240 wean off

00:31:09.720 Russia

00:31:10.120 oil and

00:31:10.660 gas by

00:31:11.160 2027.

00:31:12.220 Does

00:31:12.800 anybody

00:31:13.240 believe that?

00:31:15.080 Do you

00:31:15.360 believe that

00:31:15.820 Europe can

00:31:16.360 wean itself

00:31:16.980 off of gas

00:31:17.740 by 2027?

00:31:19.280 Now that's

00:31:19.720 three years

00:31:20.260 earlier than

00:31:20.860 they had

00:31:21.260 planned,

00:31:21.960 I guess,

00:31:22.520 but I'm

00:31:23.060 surprised they

00:31:23.520 ever planned

00:31:23.980 it.

00:31:26.140 I feel

00:31:26.880 like no,

00:31:27.840 because you

00:31:29.500 wouldn't even

00:31:29.960 be able to

00:31:30.340 build enough

00:31:31.000 tankers to

00:31:33.400 transport it

00:31:34.100 by then,

00:31:34.460 right?

00:31:35.640 You couldn't

00:31:36.360 build a

00:31:36.660 pipeline in

00:31:37.300 five years,

00:31:37.840 could you?

00:31:38.540 You couldn't

00:31:39.360 build enough

00:31:40.040 tankers in

00:31:41.240 five years.

00:31:42.600 I don't know,

00:31:43.140 it seems

00:31:43.400 aggressive to

00:31:44.400 me, but

00:31:44.940 worth a

00:31:46.540 try.

00:31:47.700 All right,

00:31:48.000 the most

00:31:48.280 surprising

00:31:48.720 video that

00:31:49.480 I thought

00:31:50.000 might have

00:31:50.440 been a

00:31:50.760 fake,

00:31:52.360 and I'm

00:31:53.000 still not

00:31:54.420 completely

00:31:55.080 sure it's

00:31:55.640 true,

00:31:56.720 because it's

00:31:57.140 so shocking.

00:31:58.740 Trevor Noah

00:31:59.440 of the

00:32:00.660 Daily Show,

00:32:02.420 you know him

00:32:03.120 not to be a

00:32:03.960 friend of

00:32:04.440 Trump,

00:32:04.840 right?

00:32:05.620 He's a

00:32:06.160 constant,

00:32:07.200 continuous

00:32:07.640 critic of

00:32:08.420 Trump,

00:32:09.080 but he did

00:32:10.220 this rant

00:32:11.180 in which he

00:32:12.120 was full-throatedly

00:32:13.320 saying,

00:32:14.360 not as a

00:32:14.900 joke,

00:32:15.420 not as a

00:32:16.020 joke,

00:32:17.140 at least I

00:32:17.660 didn't take

00:32:17.980 it that way,

00:32:18.820 that Trump

00:32:20.620 would have

00:32:21.380 succeeded where

00:32:23.280 Biden failed

00:32:24.080 in at least

00:32:24.580 getting Saudi

00:32:25.220 Arabia to

00:32:25.780 return his

00:32:26.300 phone call,

00:32:27.780 because

00:32:28.200 apparently

00:32:29.720 Saudi Arabia

00:32:30.560 basically didn't

00:32:31.560 take Biden's

00:32:32.400 call or

00:32:33.620 something like

00:32:34.240 that.

00:32:35.380 And Trevor

00:32:36.220 just went

00:32:36.940 off on it

00:32:37.460 and said,

00:32:38.180 there's no

00:32:38.560 way they

00:32:38.900 wouldn't take

00:32:39.500 Trump's call

00:32:40.760 because Trump

00:32:41.380 is too

00:32:41.700 unpredictable.

00:32:42.220 You don't

00:32:43.360 know what

00:32:43.760 he would

00:32:44.020 do if

00:32:45.020 you don't

00:32:45.340 take his

00:32:45.740 call,

00:32:46.360 but it

00:32:47.140 might be

00:32:47.480 ugly.

00:32:48.480 But you

00:32:49.100 do know

00:32:49.480 that Biden

00:32:49.920 probably isn't

00:32:50.560 going to go

00:32:50.900 hard on

00:32:51.320 Saudi Arabia

00:32:51.920 for not

00:32:52.320 taking his

00:32:52.760 call because

00:32:53.700 he's too

00:32:54.040 polite.

00:32:55.320 And I

00:32:56.860 think this

00:32:57.420 is just

00:32:57.800 more of

00:32:58.460 the Trump

00:32:59.600 looks better

00:33:00.200 every day

00:33:00.700 that he's

00:33:01.080 out of

00:33:01.360 office effect.

00:33:03.820 Now,

00:33:04.360 I don't

00:33:04.620 know if

00:33:05.000 Trevor Noah

00:33:05.760 is going

00:33:06.260 to continue

00:33:07.720 eating this

00:33:08.620 red pill,

00:33:09.260 but it's a

00:33:10.320 pretty notable

00:33:11.080 defection from

00:33:12.200 the Democrats

00:33:13.060 are all

00:33:13.520 good and

00:33:13.960 Republicans

00:33:14.520 are all

00:33:14.960 bad point

00:33:16.160 of view.

00:33:17.960 So,

00:33:19.100 we'll see.

00:33:21.860 And Biden

00:33:22.720 is calling

00:33:23.540 the inflation

00:33:24.860 basically Putin

00:33:26.820 gas hikes and

00:33:27.780 Putin inflation.

00:33:30.040 You know,

00:33:30.960 I can tolerate

00:33:32.120 quite a bit of

00:33:33.660 lying from my

00:33:34.520 government.

00:33:35.780 Wouldn't you

00:33:36.260 agree?

00:33:37.220 Because you're

00:33:37.740 just so used

00:33:38.340 to it.

00:33:38.640 And usually

00:33:39.420 you can tell

00:33:39.980 exactly when

00:33:40.680 they're lying.

00:33:41.440 So you're

00:33:41.880 like, well,

00:33:42.460 it's not like

00:33:43.360 a real lie

00:33:44.000 because I

00:33:44.840 can tell

00:33:45.160 they're lying.

00:33:46.040 But there's

00:33:46.700 something about

00:33:47.340 this that's

00:33:48.420 just insulting.

00:33:50.760 It's just

00:33:51.420 insulting to

00:33:52.820 say that

00:33:53.180 inflation was

00:33:54.000 caused by

00:33:54.500 Putin.

00:33:55.960 I guess

00:33:56.560 people will

00:33:57.200 believe it,

00:33:57.940 maybe the

00:33:58.460 Democrats,

00:33:59.500 but it's

00:34:00.420 such a bad

00:34:01.780 lie that I

00:34:03.780 just feel

00:34:04.280 insulted that

00:34:05.260 you can't

00:34:05.740 try a little

00:34:06.340 harder to lie

00:34:07.080 to me in

00:34:07.520 a more,

00:34:08.360 let's say,

00:34:08.840 intellectually

00:34:09.480 satisfying way.

00:34:13.920 Now,

00:34:14.440 his argument,

00:34:15.160 I guess,

00:34:16.120 is that

00:34:16.720 the spending,

00:34:19.280 which,

00:34:19.580 of course,

00:34:20.060 the massive

00:34:20.980 deficit spending,

00:34:22.520 now,

00:34:22.940 in theory,

00:34:23.620 that should

00:34:24.020 cause a bunch

00:34:24.720 of inflation.

00:34:25.980 And it looks

00:34:26.540 like it was

00:34:26.940 starting.

00:34:27.620 But I think

00:34:28.180 his argument

00:34:28.700 might be that

00:34:29.640 that hasn't

00:34:30.160 kicked in yet

00:34:30.980 or something.

00:34:33.260 Is that his

00:34:33.800 argument?

00:34:34.960 That it's just

00:34:35.540 a timing thing

00:34:36.380 or is it

00:34:38.900 just a stupid

00:34:39.500 argument?

00:34:40.080 To me,

00:34:40.360 it just looks

00:34:40.780 like it's

00:34:41.080 probably a

00:34:41.500 stupid argument,

00:34:42.320 but he knows

00:34:42.760 the public

00:34:43.280 is stupid,

00:34:44.000 so half of

00:34:44.960 them will buy

00:34:45.480 it and that's

00:34:45.860 all he needs.

00:34:47.140 Could be.

00:34:49.880 It's a stupid

00:34:50.760 citizen strategy.

00:34:57.240 And that,

00:34:59.020 ladies and

00:35:00.780 gentlemen,

00:35:02.220 is pretty much

00:35:03.100 all I wanted

00:35:03.520 to say.

00:35:03.860 isn't it

00:35:06.500 weird to

00:35:06.880 you that

00:35:07.900 when there's

00:35:08.420 a story,

00:35:09.760 yeah,

00:35:09.980 11 assassination

00:35:10.840 attempts,

00:35:12.120 yeah,

00:35:12.600 everything that

00:35:13.280 comes out

00:35:13.820 that's pro-Ukraine,

00:35:15.980 you know,

00:35:16.400 Zelensky escapes

00:35:17.640 11 assassination

00:35:18.560 attempts.

00:35:19.640 How much of

00:35:20.300 that is real?

00:35:23.180 Yeah,

00:35:23.640 I would buy

00:35:24.480 two.

00:35:25.920 Two makes

00:35:26.640 sense,

00:35:27.120 but 11,

00:35:27.820 I don't know.

00:35:28.960 11?

00:35:30.380 Seems

00:35:31.080 unlikely.

00:35:31.500 80% of

00:35:37.680 all money

00:35:38.080 printed was

00:35:38.800 printed in

00:35:39.380 the last 22

00:35:40.080 months,

00:35:40.580 somebody says.

00:35:41.360 I wonder if

00:35:41.800 that's true.

00:35:44.680 Saudi Arabia

00:35:45.520 hates the Iran

00:35:46.260 deal,

00:35:46.660 yes.

00:35:47.400 You said

00:35:47.780 SA,

00:35:48.220 I thought

00:35:48.520 that was

00:35:48.780 me.

00:35:49.560 I thought

00:35:49.960 Scott Adams

00:35:50.640 hates the

00:35:51.060 Iran deal?

00:35:51.720 I didn't

00:35:53.080 even know I

00:35:53.500 had an

00:35:53.740 opinion.

00:35:55.960 Yeah,

00:35:56.240 somebody says

00:35:56.740 there's only

00:35:57.260 propaganda in

00:35:58.280 time of war,

00:35:58.900 and I

00:35:59.660 think that's

00:36:00.220 right.

00:36:05.040 That

00:36:05.280 basically

00:36:05.960 100% of

00:36:07.020 what you

00:36:07.300 hear about

00:36:08.140 the war

00:36:08.600 is you

00:36:09.520 should assume

00:36:10.080 it's

00:36:10.240 propaganda.

00:36:13.120 Oh,

00:36:13.680 not printed

00:36:14.200 but created.

00:36:15.080 Okay.

00:36:17.520 Ukraine is

00:36:18.280 losing big

00:36:19.040 in Donbass.

00:36:20.160 Yeah,

00:36:20.380 I think

00:36:20.760 Ukraine is

00:36:21.500 going to

00:36:21.840 not have

00:36:22.740 any luck

00:36:24.280 in the

00:36:24.620 south.

00:36:24.940 But I

00:36:26.780 think Kiev

00:36:27.380 is going

00:36:27.880 to stand.

00:36:31.780 We'll

00:36:32.260 see.

00:36:36.600 All right.

00:36:37.920 YouTube,

00:36:38.920 thank you

00:36:39.560 for joining.

00:36:40.600 And if

00:36:41.760 you are

00:36:42.040 not aware,

00:36:43.400 if you

00:36:43.740 are on

00:36:44.000 the locals

00:36:44.760 platform,

00:36:46.320 you would

00:36:46.700 get a

00:36:47.020 little extra

00:36:47.580 of me

00:36:47.900 before and

00:36:48.520 after almost

00:36:50.200 every show.

00:36:51.580 And as

00:36:52.240 well as

00:36:52.540 micro lessons,

00:36:53.340 which I

00:36:53.680 swear I'm

00:36:54.180 going to

00:36:54.880 start adding

00:36:55.500 some more.

00:36:55.920 We were

00:36:56.100 200 micro

00:36:56.740 lessons so

00:36:57.480 far.

00:37:00.200 Oh,

00:37:00.680 thank you,

00:37:01.160 John.

00:37:01.520 I appreciate

00:37:01.940 that.

00:37:03.120 I'm not

00:37:03.460 sure if I'm

00:37:03.860 making the

00:37:04.740 world better

00:37:05.180 every day,

00:37:05.900 but I

00:37:07.280 think every

00:37:07.640 now and

00:37:07.980 then I

00:37:08.300 do something

00:37:09.680 useful.

00:37:11.680 Great low

00:37:12.320 energy show.

00:37:14.760 Do I

00:37:15.500 seem low

00:37:15.920 energy?

00:37:19.740 Today

00:37:20.180 wasn't the

00:37:20.680 day I

00:37:20.980 wanted to

00:37:21.280 get anybody

00:37:21.800 worked up

00:37:22.880 about anything.

00:37:23.380 yes,

00:37:27.360 I was

00:37:27.720 up late.

00:37:29.420 Can we

00:37:29.880 chat about

00:37:30.280 Project

00:37:30.720 Veritas?

00:37:32.580 Yes.

00:37:33.560 Oh,

00:37:33.840 and if

00:37:34.160 you're on

00:37:34.600 YouTube,

00:37:36.040 it would

00:37:36.300 help me

00:37:36.680 if you

00:37:37.020 subscribe.

00:37:39.220 And that

00:37:39.800 would be

00:37:40.040 great.

00:37:41.520 I do

00:37:42.000 seem a

00:37:42.320 little off.

00:37:43.740 Yeah,

00:37:44.060 I think I

00:37:45.000 started at

00:37:45.700 3 a.m.

00:37:47.660 today.

00:37:48.960 So this

00:37:49.520 is already

00:37:49.880 the afternoon

00:37:50.440 for me.

00:37:55.640 Germans

00:37:56.120 surrounded

00:37:56.480 Warsaw?

00:37:57.320 Okay.

00:37:57.840 Yeah,

00:37:58.040 we've got a

00:37:58.300 lot of

00:37:58.520 precedents.

00:37:59.160 I'm not

00:37:59.600 sure that

00:38:00.000 there are

00:38:00.240 any

00:38:00.500 precedents

00:38:01.120 that make

00:38:01.500 sense.

00:38:02.540 So any

00:38:02.940 military

00:38:03.440 precedent

00:38:04.040 before there

00:38:05.760 were unlimited

00:38:06.620 anti-tank

00:38:07.540 weapons

00:38:08.000 doesn't seem

00:38:09.000 relevant.

00:38:10.280 Do we

00:38:10.840 agree on

00:38:11.240 that?

00:38:12.060 That any

00:38:12.620 war precedent

00:38:13.660 prior to

00:38:15.500 drones and

00:38:17.500 anti-tank

00:38:18.220 weapons I

00:38:18.860 don't think

00:38:19.340 applies.

00:38:20.440 And if

00:38:21.520 you look at

00:38:21.860 Afghanistan,

00:38:23.560 I think

00:38:24.220 everything was

00:38:25.260 different about

00:38:25.800 that.

00:38:26.600 Just everything

00:38:27.100 was different

00:38:27.560 about it.

00:38:29.600 All right,

00:38:30.280 that's all for

00:38:30.660 now.

00:38:31.720 YouTube,

00:38:32.380 I'll talk to

00:38:33.280 you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 12, 2022

Episode 1680 Scott Adams： Killer Camels, Tiny Homes for Homeless, and Something Happening in Ukraine

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