Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1691 Scott Adams： The New is Weird Today; Lots of Strange Little Stories. Come Have Some Fun

00:00:00.000 But you won't be able to, you're not going to be able to find me.

00:00:03.560 So unfortunately, you won't be able to find me.

00:00:05.840 Some of you might prefer YouTube just because you can listen to it

00:00:09.060 while you're doing other things on your phone.

00:00:13.540 Isn't that funny?

00:00:14.340 As soon as I talked about the algorithm,

00:00:16.680 it doesn't look like YouTube is working, does it?

00:00:22.600 YouTube was always online until you turned it off.

00:00:25.740 Well, I got a screenshot of somebody who said it wasn't online,

00:00:28.460 and I saw the comments stopped.

00:00:30.000 So, it's not just your channel?

00:00:34.040 Oh, it's a YouTube problem?

00:00:38.340 I've been having all kinds of Internet problems for the last week.

00:00:41.600 Is anybody having a lot of Internet problems in the last week?

00:00:44.840 I'm wondering if something's getting hacked over here.

00:00:49.860 Nope, nope, nope.

00:00:51.160 Yes, nope.

00:00:52.920 I knew a lot of people would say yes because that's confirmation bias.

00:00:56.620 All right, well, I think we're all good now.

00:00:59.980 Yay, YouTube, you all came back.

00:01:01.720 Thank you.

00:01:03.080 I appreciate it.

00:01:03.880 Sorry about the technical problem.

00:01:05.800 Anyway, I was saying that I have a different algorithm than the rest of you

00:01:08.440 because human beings decide what to send me,

00:01:10.640 and then I look at that.

00:01:12.060 So, I am free of the algorithm,

00:01:14.140 but not free of your influence.

00:01:16.000 So, if you want to influence somebody who influences other people, you're doing a good job.

00:01:21.520 In fact, there are a number of people who follow me who are very influential on my content

00:01:28.300 because every day they're going to send me some article that's interesting.

00:01:31.580 And some of you are really good at guessing what stuff I like.

00:01:36.340 All right, here's what I say about inflation.

00:01:39.920 People ask me about inflation all the time,

00:01:42.200 and what I say about inflation is really the same thing that a Russian general would say to Putin.

00:01:47.920 No tanks.

00:01:51.260 No tanks.

00:01:53.700 That's what I say to inflation, and a Russian general says to Putin.

00:01:56.740 Well, so the UK is doubling down, as we like to say,

00:02:03.660 in this talking about the news business.

00:02:05.340 They're doubling down.

00:02:06.960 Everybody's always doubling down or walking it back.

00:02:11.380 Nobody's ever in the same place, are they?

00:02:13.900 I'd like to hear a story about somebody who's like,

00:02:16.240 somebody did something, and they're just doing exactly the same thing.

00:02:20.760 They're just doing more of it.

00:02:23.140 No, they're always doubling down or walking it back.

00:02:26.740 Or they're flip-flotting.

00:02:28.980 Well, the UK is doubling down, and they're dashed to nuclear power.

00:02:34.440 So according to a report in The Guardian, I guess,

00:02:37.340 and I saw it in Breitbart also,

00:02:40.680 so Boris Johnson is going to meet with nuclear experts

00:02:44.240 and try to make the industry, let's say, more approachable and friendlier

00:02:50.300 so that people thinking about investing in nuclear energy

00:02:53.600 would not have to worry so much about the government prohibitions.

00:03:00.140 So have I ever been more right about anything?

00:03:05.500 Now, I'm not going to say that my opinion was much different than any of yours,

00:03:09.840 but I have for several years been saying,

00:03:13.480 as Michael Schellenberger or Mark Schneider have been helping,

00:03:19.120 or really leading, I'm not going to say helping, they've been leading,

00:03:23.040 doesn't it feel good to be this right?

00:03:27.480 I'm being asked, what about the significance of the passage of time?

00:03:34.280 Well, the passage of time is very significant, and here's the reason.

00:03:38.440 It's because of the significance of time when combined with the passage.

00:03:45.580 If you put them together, that's the significance of time right there.

00:03:50.720 Aren't you glad you found that out?

00:03:52.220 That is directly from your Vice President Harris.

00:03:56.040 All right, Ron DeSantis continues to be awesome.

00:04:00.140 That should be my headline every day.

00:04:03.460 I might have a new section of my live stream

00:04:06.580 that will be things that DeSantis did today

00:04:09.820 that are smarter than all the other Republicans put together.

00:04:13.620 How in the world is Ron DeSantis doing one thing after another

00:04:19.660 that is so tone-perfect for his base,

00:04:24.960 but also not so bad for the Democrats?

00:04:30.760 He's really doing the thing that nobody's ever done before.

00:04:34.240 The thing that DeSantis is doing

00:04:36.660 is finding ways to totally satisfy his base

00:04:40.460 while still picking off some from the other side.

00:04:44.600 Which is a really good trick.

00:04:46.920 I'll give you an example.

00:04:50.700 So apparently he signed some declaration from Florida,

00:04:55.900 so it's not any kind of binding law or anything,

00:04:58.680 but essentially saying that the winner of the NCAA swimming,

00:05:05.000 whatever competition it was,

00:05:08.040 the 500 Freestyle,

00:05:10.320 they said that the woman who came in officially second,

00:05:15.080 Sarasota's Emma Wyant,

00:05:17.900 Florida has declared that she's really the winner

00:05:20.420 because according to Florida,

00:05:23.140 according to Florida, not me,

00:05:25.040 the person who won first place

00:05:27.960 was a biological male

00:05:29.780 and therefore ruining NCAA sports and women's sports,

00:05:35.000 and it's all a mockery of it all.

00:05:37.760 So this is what Florida's doing.

00:05:39.520 Now, correct me if I'm wrong.

00:05:43.560 For his base, it's a two-part question.

00:05:47.260 For his base, is this pitch perfect?

00:05:50.340 It is, isn't it?

00:05:51.180 I don't think he could do this any better

00:05:53.460 because I like the form that he used.

00:05:57.560 He didn't make a law.

00:05:59.100 He just stated officially from the perspective of Florida

00:06:03.720 the winner was the person who was named number two.

00:06:07.580 It's provocative.

00:06:09.000 It's in your face.

00:06:10.580 He shows his reasons.

00:06:12.020 Now, here's the beauty.

00:06:12.800 That probably captured close to all of his base.

00:06:17.700 Close to.

00:06:19.140 But don't you think that picked off a few Democrats?

00:06:22.920 Am I right?

00:06:24.140 You don't think there are a few Democrats

00:06:25.840 who have female athletes in the House

00:06:27.960 who have been looking at this story and saying,

00:06:30.440 you know, those crazy Republicans,

00:06:33.480 I hate those crazy Republicans,

00:06:36.900 but I've got to give it to them on this one.

00:06:39.740 Am I right?

00:06:40.280 Yeah, more than a few.

00:06:43.260 So, why don't other people do this?

00:06:46.380 When you see DeSantis do something this capable,

00:06:51.140 and I guess capable is the right word.

00:06:52.660 He's just so capable.

00:06:55.420 Somebody says Reagan was good at this.

00:06:57.260 I don't have any examples of that.

00:06:59.440 You want to hear another example?

00:07:01.600 Both of these examples are frickin' today.

00:07:06.220 You know, yesterday, I guess.

00:07:07.800 Two examples from DeSantis that are so tone-perfect

00:07:11.540 they'll make you cry.

00:07:13.980 I mean, rarely do you see somebody do their job,

00:07:16.600 whatever their job is, this well.

00:07:20.460 And Florida just signed into law

00:07:22.660 that in order to graduate high school in Florida,

00:07:26.420 you have to also graduate,

00:07:28.000 or you have to take a course in financial literacy.

00:07:30.300 Now, is there anybody in the Republican world

00:07:35.080 who would disagree with people having financial literacy

00:07:39.540 as a high school requirement?

00:07:41.040 It's just half a credit.

00:07:42.280 It's not going to absorb your whole life.

00:07:44.060 A hundred percent, what do you say?

00:07:47.220 There's nobody who's against that.

00:07:48.800 In fact, if you were to compare

00:07:50.080 teaching financial literacy in school

00:07:52.880 to half of the things they teach,

00:07:56.000 geometry, which one's more useful?

00:07:59.020 Geometry or financial literacy?

00:08:00.920 It's not even close.

00:08:02.420 Trigonometry or...

00:08:03.700 I could go down the list.

00:08:07.540 Let's see.

00:08:07.980 Iranian history.

00:08:10.840 That's being taught in California schools.

00:08:13.060 Iranian or Persian history.

00:08:15.060 What's more important?

00:08:15.920 That or financial literacy?

00:08:17.500 It's not even close.

00:08:20.000 Although I think history of other places is useful, too.

00:08:24.640 Now, here's the thing you might not know about.

00:08:28.300 Where have you heard the topic of financial literacy before?

00:08:31.980 Now, remember, pretty much all Republicans are going to love that.

00:08:37.920 Where have you heard it before?

00:08:39.060 Because I've brought it up.

00:08:40.180 And do you remember the context?

00:08:42.300 So people have been watching me for a long time.

00:08:45.300 I've brought up financial literacy to be taught in schools.

00:08:48.860 Do you remember the context?

00:08:50.260 I brought that up.

00:08:52.440 It was from Hawk Newsom,

00:08:55.700 one of the Black Lives Matter leaders at the time.

00:08:59.280 I don't know if he's associated anymore.

00:09:00.740 But at the time,

00:09:02.660 that was a Black Lives Matter,

00:09:04.100 or at least one leader.

00:09:05.240 I mean, I can just talk about one person.

00:09:08.200 So, Hawk Newsom told me personally,

00:09:12.560 you know,

00:09:13.660 here's one thing pretty much everybody should agree on,

00:09:17.300 which is financial literacy in school.

00:09:20.820 That was from him.

00:09:22.000 That was from Hawk.

00:09:23.740 Ron DeSantis found free money

00:09:26.880 and picked it up.

00:09:28.920 Where do you ever see that?

00:09:31.800 Trump, right?

00:09:32.820 Trump is the only person I've ever seen

00:09:34.340 pick up so much free money.

00:09:36.100 It's like, wait a minute.

00:09:37.040 There's nobody in the world saying

00:09:38.500 that kids should have financial literacy.

00:09:41.240 All Republicans like it.

00:09:43.400 Black Lives Matter likes it, probably.

00:09:45.860 I mean, I don't think that Hawk

00:09:47.180 is the one person who likes that, right?

00:09:49.380 That would be very unlikely.

00:09:50.700 So, DeSantis came up with an idea

00:09:55.860 that is 100% base support

00:09:57.720 and Black support

00:10:00.480 and probably a good deal of Democrats.

00:10:05.060 I'm not wrong about this.

00:10:07.580 These are two examples

00:10:08.900 where DeSantis threaded the needle

00:10:11.820 like nobody ever has,

00:10:13.760 as far as I know.

00:10:14.880 I can't think of anybody.

00:10:15.760 He threaded the needle

00:10:17.580 maybe better than anybody

00:10:19.780 since Bill Clinton.

00:10:22.120 I think Bill Clinton was good at that.

00:10:24.680 Now, Trump was good at it

00:10:25.940 in the sense of, let's say,

00:10:28.760 he did some things

00:10:29.800 that were popular,

00:10:30.360 like prison reform,

00:10:31.800 popular with the left,

00:10:32.980 but that's different

00:10:33.680 because that wasn't nearly

00:10:35.260 as popular with his base.

00:10:37.940 Right?

00:10:39.060 So I give Trump credit

00:10:40.460 because I think he did

00:10:41.180 the right thing

00:10:41.740 with prison reform.

00:10:44.420 But he didn't get credit for it.

00:10:48.300 DeSantis, in theory,

00:10:49.500 should get credit

00:10:50.100 for both of his moves here.

00:10:55.360 I'll put you in timeout.

00:10:58.240 All right.

00:10:59.760 Now, here's my other question.

00:11:02.660 Who is advising DeSantis?

00:11:07.320 How is he getting

00:11:08.360 such good advice?

00:11:12.040 Or is this him?

00:11:12.800 Because the things he's doing

00:11:15.020 don't really think,

00:11:16.820 they don't look like

00:11:17.560 the things the governor

00:11:18.380 comes up with on his own.

00:11:21.760 Somebody says,

00:11:22.500 you are,

00:11:22.660 no, I'm not,

00:11:23.300 I'm not, I'm not.

00:11:24.620 Yeah, someone,

00:11:25.420 I'm sorry.

00:11:26.180 I think I asked the question

00:11:27.380 like I was leading you

00:11:28.340 to think it was me.

00:11:29.120 No, I'm not.

00:11:30.240 So let me say it clearly.

00:11:32.720 I don't have any

00:11:33.740 direct or indirect,

00:11:35.880 well, I suppose

00:11:36.440 everybody has an indirect,

00:11:37.860 but I don't have any

00:11:38.740 channel to DeSantis.

00:11:40.200 But boy,

00:11:42.780 is he killing it.

00:11:43.760 Now, I don't think

00:11:44.440 he's killing it

00:11:45.080 on persuasion

00:11:45.920 in the traditional sense.

00:11:48.460 I think that the persuasion

00:11:50.060 he's using,

00:11:51.380 it doesn't suggest

00:11:53.300 persuasion expertise.

00:11:57.920 It suggests

00:11:59.380 a policy cleverness

00:12:02.040 that I haven't ever

00:12:03.040 really observed before.

00:12:04.440 It's like operating

00:12:05.400 at a higher level

00:12:06.260 of cleverness,

00:12:07.000 and then it has

00:12:08.580 the effect

00:12:09.160 of being persuasive,

00:12:10.140 I think.

00:12:10.740 I think it will.

00:12:16.580 All right.

00:12:19.420 We're watching

00:12:20.160 a lot of

00:12:20.680 Supreme Court

00:12:21.780 grandstanding,

00:12:23.060 which is the only thing

00:12:23.740 that comes out

00:12:24.220 of these hearings usually.

00:12:26.060 Lindsey Graham,

00:12:27.800 I think it's his moment

00:12:29.200 to shine,

00:12:30.400 don't you?

00:12:31.300 Don't you think

00:12:31.900 Lindsey Graham

00:12:32.700 just loves it

00:12:34.360 when the Democrats

00:12:35.780 are nominating

00:12:36.740 a Supreme Court

00:12:37.800 justice?

00:12:39.740 Because Graham,

00:12:42.340 he's carved out

00:12:43.200 this little area

00:12:44.100 where he disagrees

00:12:46.020 with his own party

00:12:47.040 about stopping

00:12:49.120 qualified nominees.

00:12:50.900 Now, I have to admit,

00:12:52.660 I have to admit,

00:12:53.840 I do agree

00:12:54.680 with Lindsey Graham

00:12:55.580 about how much

00:12:57.560 you should fight

00:12:58.260 the other side's

00:12:59.380 nomination

00:12:59.940 if it's a qualified person.

00:13:01.380 By the way,

00:13:03.120 did you hear,

00:13:04.420 I may have this wrong,

00:13:06.160 but I thought

00:13:06.480 I heard Dana Perino

00:13:08.340 on the Five.

00:13:10.320 Was it Dana?

00:13:11.400 I think I was listening

00:13:12.340 to it,

00:13:12.740 so I was only hearing voices.

00:13:15.280 Mentioned that

00:13:15.960 under some prior president,

00:13:21.380 there was a Republican

00:13:22.940 who was going

00:13:23.580 to nominate

00:13:24.240 a black woman

00:13:25.280 to a high court,

00:13:27.380 not the Supreme Court,

00:13:28.340 but that the Democrats

00:13:30.660 filibustered it

00:13:32.160 and prevented it.

00:13:33.120 Was it under Bush?

00:13:34.480 And the reason

00:13:35.980 that the Democrats

00:13:37.140 prevented the Republicans

00:13:39.440 from nominating

00:13:41.460 a black woman

00:13:42.460 to the high court

00:13:43.320 is because they didn't want

00:13:45.240 a black Republican woman

00:13:47.500 so close to the Supreme Court

00:13:49.960 because that would allow

00:13:51.460 a Republican

00:13:52.260 to make the first

00:13:54.120 black woman nomination.

00:13:56.660 Now,

00:13:59.320 it was told on TV

00:14:01.060 like that's now

00:14:01.980 an understood

00:14:02.760 historical fact.

00:14:05.320 Is it?

00:14:06.620 Is it?

00:14:08.460 I mean,

00:14:09.080 I don't know

00:14:09.460 if I trust anything.

00:14:11.080 If we don't trust

00:14:12.000 the news today,

00:14:12.940 why would we trust

00:14:13.720 the news from then?

00:14:16.120 I'm not so sure

00:14:17.360 I totally

00:14:18.460 believe we could know that

00:14:21.560 and what people

00:14:22.240 were thinking,

00:14:23.060 but that would be,

00:14:24.880 oh,

00:14:26.140 Graham stated

00:14:26.900 the same thing.

00:14:28.280 Well,

00:14:29.440 okay,

00:14:30.200 let me correct

00:14:31.080 what I just said.

00:14:32.160 I think if Lindsey Graham

00:14:33.400 said it in public

00:14:34.340 in this context,

00:14:36.140 I would believe that.

00:14:38.760 I think that Lindsey Graham,

00:14:40.020 he's a politician,

00:14:40.780 so you can't trust

00:14:41.980 everything he's ever said

00:14:43.080 everywhere.

00:14:44.480 But if he's talking

00:14:45.580 about a Supreme Court fact

00:14:47.560 in the Supreme Court,

00:14:49.240 in the setting of

00:14:50.260 talking about

00:14:50.800 the Supreme Court,

00:14:51.480 I would be quite confident

00:14:54.140 that what he said

00:14:54.860 was accurate.

00:14:56.120 Wouldn't you?

00:14:57.800 So,

00:14:58.560 that's just one

00:15:00.120 of the worst things

00:15:01.040 I've ever heard.

00:15:03.700 You know,

00:15:04.400 if you don't count

00:15:05.380 things that are violent,

00:15:07.320 that are usually

00:15:07.980 the worst things,

00:15:09.180 of non-violent things

00:15:10.620 that the government's

00:15:11.420 ever done,

00:15:12.400 where nobody

00:15:12.960 got physically hurt,

00:15:14.480 that might be

00:15:15.520 the worst thing

00:15:16.040 I've ever heard.

00:15:16.680 that the government

00:15:19.620 literally,

00:15:21.180 consciously discriminated

00:15:22.520 against a black woman

00:15:23.880 for political gain,

00:15:26.440 and then nobody

00:15:27.460 got away with it?

00:15:29.300 I guess the

00:15:29.960 got away with it part

00:15:30.940 is the disgusting part.

00:15:35.340 I mean,

00:15:35.760 you could almost feel like

00:15:37.000 that's the kind of news

00:15:39.400 that makes your body

00:15:40.300 feel bad,

00:15:41.120 doesn't it?

00:15:42.060 Like,

00:15:42.460 you're like,

00:15:43.120 wait a minute,

00:15:44.500 what country

00:15:45.540 do I live in?

00:15:46.680 I live through that.

00:15:49.480 You know,

00:15:49.720 in my lifetime,

00:15:51.680 in my lifetime,

00:15:53.760 in fairly recent lifetime,

00:15:55.980 you know,

00:15:56.260 by historical terms,

00:15:58.480 in my recent lifetime,

00:16:00.620 my own government

00:16:01.720 consciously discriminated

00:16:03.340 against a black woman

00:16:04.660 so that they could get

00:16:06.460 some political advantage.

00:16:09.860 Name one thing

00:16:11.080 that's worse than that

00:16:12.040 that doesn't involve

00:16:12.900 actually somebody

00:16:13.520 getting physically hurt.

00:16:14.620 I can't.

00:16:16.680 I can't think of anything

00:16:17.740 that would...

00:16:19.180 What would be more

00:16:20.000 morally,

00:16:22.600 civilly repulsive

00:16:24.060 based on everything

00:16:26.600 that we've mutually

00:16:27.480 agreed on

00:16:28.360 about the world?

00:16:30.720 I don't know

00:16:31.400 you could get

00:16:31.860 more repulsive than that.

00:16:33.220 Now,

00:16:33.400 I suppose you could

00:16:34.000 explain it away

00:16:35.400 by saying

00:16:35.940 that all of the nominations

00:16:37.640 have that

00:16:38.620 icky quality to them,

00:16:40.300 and I think you're right.

00:16:40.940 I also wonder

00:16:42.180 why we bother

00:16:43.060 vetting these

00:16:44.760 Supreme Court people

00:16:45.700 when you already know

00:16:47.320 what way they're going to vote.

00:16:49.020 If you already know

00:16:50.080 what every candidate's

00:16:51.160 going to do

00:16:51.620 on every issue

00:16:53.000 or you think you do.

00:16:56.560 Yeah,

00:16:57.060 I don't know.

00:16:57.320 What's the point?

00:16:58.160 I guess it's good

00:16:58.880 just to make them

00:16:59.480 talk out loud.

00:17:01.200 So,

00:17:01.840 the current nominee

00:17:04.400 was asked,

00:17:06.960 what's her last name?

00:17:09.320 Brown?

00:17:11.680 Something

00:17:12.160 Catania Brown?

00:17:13.680 Can somebody

00:17:14.140 put her full name

00:17:15.100 in the comments?

00:17:16.440 For some reason,

00:17:17.000 I have written...

00:17:17.920 Jackson.

00:17:20.200 Something

00:17:20.640 Catania Jackson.

00:17:22.000 I always remember

00:17:22.580 her middle name

00:17:23.060 because it's kind of cool.

00:17:25.680 Jackson Brown?

00:17:26.660 Jackson Brown.

00:17:27.940 Stop it.

00:17:29.540 Well,

00:17:29.820 anyway,

00:17:30.180 you all know

00:17:30.860 who she is.

00:17:32.880 I love her middle name.

00:17:35.380 That's why I liked

00:17:36.200 one of the things

00:17:36.980 that Barack...

00:17:38.140 Oh,

00:17:38.540 that's her middle name?

00:17:40.260 Her first name

00:17:40.920 is Catanji.

00:17:42.660 Is that the coolest

00:17:43.640 first name?

00:17:45.820 I think anybody

00:17:46.700 who has a first name

00:17:48.080 that cool

00:17:48.860 goes further in life.

00:17:55.060 Don't you think?

00:17:56.960 Wouldn't you love

00:17:58.060 to have a first name

00:17:58.940 of Catanji?

00:17:59.960 If I'm saying it right.

00:18:02.960 Catanji?

00:18:04.060 That is like

00:18:04.780 the coolest first name.

00:18:07.000 I don't know.

00:18:07.520 Maybe it's just me.

00:18:09.320 Anyway,

00:18:10.060 she was asked

00:18:10.620 when life begins

00:18:11.500 and she paused

00:18:13.140 and then smiled

00:18:13.980 and said,

00:18:14.540 I don't know.

00:18:15.960 And I think

00:18:17.180 that was the perfect answer.

00:18:19.680 A better answer

00:18:20.620 would be

00:18:21.140 the Supreme Court

00:18:22.660 is not asked

00:18:23.580 to rule on that

00:18:25.140 specifically.

00:18:27.020 And

00:18:27.480 the interesting thing

00:18:29.320 is that she said

00:18:30.140 she didn't know

00:18:30.800 because she's

00:18:31.600 not a biologist,

00:18:33.340 which really

00:18:35.360 raises the question

00:18:37.400 about

00:18:37.800 transgender issues,

00:18:39.920 doesn't it?

00:18:41.000 If she's saying

00:18:41.860 she doesn't know

00:18:42.500 who's a man

00:18:43.040 and a woman

00:18:43.480 because you would

00:18:44.540 need a biologist

00:18:45.380 to tell you,

00:18:46.760 doesn't that tell you

00:18:47.580 it's not a choice?

00:18:49.840 Didn't she indicate

00:18:50.840 it's not a choice

00:18:51.700 because you need

00:18:52.580 a biologist

00:18:53.180 to tell you?

00:18:54.140 If it's a choice,

00:18:55.200 it doesn't matter

00:18:55.700 what your biology is,

00:18:56.780 right?

00:18:57.940 Am I right?

00:18:58.500 If it's biology,

00:19:01.940 then men are men

00:19:03.880 and women are women

00:19:04.580 based on reproductive

00:19:05.700 capability

00:19:06.560 and DNA,

00:19:07.480 I guess.

00:19:08.800 But if you have

00:19:09.860 to ask a biologist,

00:19:11.680 that means

00:19:12.420 it's biology.

00:19:13.940 If you have to ask

00:19:15.480 an ethicist,

00:19:17.040 ethicist,

00:19:18.300 ethicist,

00:19:19.800 who would you ask

00:19:21.440 if it's not biological?

00:19:22.660 Let's say it's a

00:19:23.380 preference,

00:19:24.260 it's a choice.

00:19:25.540 Or,

00:19:26.040 I don't know,

00:19:26.660 maybe that's the wrong word.

00:19:27.540 Not preference or choice.

00:19:29.700 Let me modify that

00:19:32.120 so I'm not accidentally

00:19:33.120 insulting the trans community.

00:19:35.660 So if it's not biological,

00:19:38.040 what would be the other

00:19:38.740 way to describe it?

00:19:43.480 Psychological?

00:19:44.000 I feel like psychological

00:19:46.240 is somewhat insulting.

00:19:50.760 Because that would suggest

00:19:52.280 that they're imagining it

00:19:53.400 or something.

00:19:54.540 If it's not biological,

00:19:55.920 it's what,

00:19:58.760 identity?

00:20:01.500 Maybe

00:20:01.920 chosen identity?

00:20:04.040 Yeah.

00:20:04.900 Okay,

00:20:05.180 I'll go with identity.

00:20:06.140 I think that's the cleanest.

00:20:10.340 You know,

00:20:10.780 and let me back up

00:20:12.060 and say the same thing

00:20:12.840 that I say

00:20:13.340 on trans stuff

00:20:15.580 all the time.

00:20:16.820 And I say it about

00:20:17.640 all the woke stuff.

00:20:19.120 But it's more important

00:20:20.100 than the trans stuff

00:20:20.960 because we're all confused

00:20:21.920 about the language to use.

00:20:23.260 I'm willing to be

00:20:25.540 as open-minded

00:20:26.520 as the most open-minded

00:20:28.640 person about everything.

00:20:30.600 Call anybody what they want,

00:20:32.040 give them as many rights

00:20:33.020 as they want.

00:20:34.520 But what I ask in return,

00:20:36.840 and I'm pretty serious

00:20:38.100 about this,

00:20:39.460 what I ask in return

00:20:40.700 for my extreme

00:20:41.720 open-mindedness

00:20:42.720 is that when I use

00:20:44.600 the wrong language

00:20:45.340 or say something

00:20:46.140 that sounds

00:20:46.620 accidentally insulting,

00:20:47.900 you're going to have

00:20:49.500 to fucking put up

00:20:50.340 with it, right?

00:20:51.940 You're going to have

00:20:52.640 to get over it

00:20:53.460 because I'm giving you

00:20:55.020 everything I got.

00:20:56.760 Everything I got

00:20:57.800 is my best effort

00:20:58.900 and my most open-minded

00:21:00.240 acceptance

00:21:01.140 of everybody's choice.

00:21:02.500 That's all I got.

00:21:04.140 If you're expecting me

00:21:05.380 also not to use

00:21:06.600 a wrong word,

00:21:07.820 well,

00:21:08.220 that's where we fight.

00:21:10.120 Okay?

00:21:10.900 That's where we fight.

00:21:12.780 We're going to fight

00:21:13.560 about that,

00:21:14.620 but we're not going

00:21:15.800 to fight about you

00:21:16.480 making your choice

00:21:17.260 to live your life

00:21:18.000 the way you want to.

00:21:19.380 You know,

00:21:20.220 please.

00:21:21.140 Please do live your life

00:21:22.400 exactly the way you want to

00:21:23.480 if it doesn't bother me.

00:21:25.380 But boy,

00:21:26.520 if you get on me

00:21:27.640 about accidentally

00:21:28.460 using the wrong word,

00:21:29.640 then we fight.

00:21:31.020 Then we fight.

00:21:33.340 All right.

00:21:35.180 I am going to

00:21:36.420 make your day

00:21:37.680 a little bit better

00:21:38.540 by suggesting

00:21:39.780 you watch a video

00:21:40.760 in which I'll,

00:21:41.420 it's a complete spoiler,

00:21:42.600 so I'm going to tell you

00:21:43.180 what's on the video

00:21:43.820 and it'll still be

00:21:44.700 worth watching.

00:21:45.300 Apparently there was

00:21:47.560 some kind of

00:21:48.100 a TV game show

00:21:50.340 kind of thing

00:21:50.980 in which Kelly Clarkson

00:21:53.320 was competing

00:21:54.060 with Anne Hathaway

00:21:55.300 to see who could

00:21:57.080 start singing a song

00:21:58.440 based on the first

00:21:59.280 few notes.

00:22:00.780 So the band

00:22:01.920 would start playing

00:22:02.600 a song

00:22:03.020 and then the two

00:22:03.800 of them would compete

00:22:04.700 to see who could

00:22:05.900 start belting out

00:22:06.620 the song first.

00:22:08.560 So you may or may

00:22:10.660 not know

00:22:11.040 that Anne Hathaway

00:22:11.780 is an actress

00:22:12.560 and not known

00:22:13.520 as a singer.

00:22:14.840 So imagine how,

00:22:16.100 how,

00:22:17.140 just imagine how,

00:22:19.500 you know,

00:22:20.420 you'd feel,

00:22:21.280 so you'd be so

00:22:21.760 intimidated

00:22:22.300 because you competed

00:22:24.020 against literally

00:22:24.900 Kelly Clarkson,

00:22:26.600 one of the great

00:22:27.560 singers of our time.

00:22:29.500 And you're not even

00:22:30.180 a professional singer.

00:22:31.780 Imagine being

00:22:32.520 in that competition

00:22:33.300 that you have

00:22:33.700 to sing in public

00:22:34.500 against Kelly Clarkson.

00:22:36.980 Now that's the setup.

00:22:40.460 Now Kelly Clarkson

00:22:41.380 apparently was behind

00:22:42.900 because Anne Hathaway

00:22:44.120 had beaten her

00:22:44.660 on a few songs already.

00:22:46.220 So Kelly Clarkson

00:22:47.060 before the next one

00:22:47.880 plays,

00:22:48.720 she says,

00:22:49.420 you know,

00:22:49.720 laughingly,

00:22:50.380 she says,

00:22:51.100 you know,

00:22:51.320 play a song I know,

00:22:52.540 you know,

00:22:52.860 do one I'm familiar

00:22:53.760 with so that she

00:22:55.260 can,

00:22:55.760 you know,

00:22:56.640 get one right.

00:22:58.440 And the band

00:22:59.320 starts in with just,

00:23:00.280 I think it was just

00:23:00.860 like a drum beat,

00:23:02.120 like bump,

00:23:02.820 bump,

00:23:03.100 bump,

00:23:03.180 bump,

00:23:03.420 before the sound

00:23:04.360 had even started.

00:23:05.900 And Anne Hathaway

00:23:06.680 recognizes the song first

00:23:08.400 and steps forward

00:23:10.060 and starts belting it out.

00:23:12.180 And the funny part was

00:23:13.240 it was Kelly Clarkson's,

00:23:14.580 one of her top hits,

00:23:16.340 maybe her top hit.

00:23:17.560 It was Kelly Clarkson's

00:23:18.640 own song.

00:23:19.920 And Anne Hathaway

00:23:20.600 got it from just

00:23:21.460 the drum intro.

00:23:23.760 And Kelly Clarkson

00:23:25.540 didn't get it as quickly.

00:23:26.940 Now,

00:23:27.640 so I've given you

00:23:28.540 the whole spoiler,

00:23:29.520 right?

00:23:30.520 So you think

00:23:31.400 you don't need

00:23:31.840 to watch the video

00:23:32.900 because I just

00:23:33.960 described it to you.

00:23:35.320 That's not why

00:23:36.340 I'm telling you

00:23:36.800 to watch it.

00:23:38.040 Here's what you

00:23:38.760 have to see.

00:23:40.120 You have to see

00:23:41.440 Anne Hathaway

00:23:42.580 act like a boss.

00:23:46.080 Like I've never seen.

00:23:47.980 It is so

00:23:48.840 freaking well done.

00:23:50.880 Now,

00:23:51.060 keep in mind,

00:23:51.520 she's a professional

00:23:52.180 actress.

00:23:53.420 So she spotted

00:23:54.180 a moment,

00:23:56.780 all right,

00:23:57.080 so Anne Hathaway

00:23:57.780 spotted a moment

00:23:58.860 that she could do

00:24:00.680 something really cool,

00:24:01.960 which is basically

00:24:02.620 the way she presented

00:24:03.520 herself.

00:24:03.920 Oh God,

00:24:05.220 it was so fun.

00:24:06.780 So the fun part

00:24:07.720 is how confidently

00:24:08.760 and how quickly

00:24:10.520 Anne Hathaway

00:24:11.720 stood to the front.

00:24:12.660 And not only

00:24:13.200 did she win the thing,

00:24:15.720 but she belted out

00:24:16.760 the song

00:24:17.280 pretty well.

00:24:19.440 She actually belted

00:24:20.500 it out pretty well.

00:24:21.320 And Kelly Clarkson

00:24:22.860 collapses laughing

00:24:23.960 because she lost

00:24:25.020 on her own hit.

00:24:26.720 Now,

00:24:27.220 again,

00:24:27.600 I've spoiled

00:24:28.060 the whole thing,

00:24:28.700 but watch how

00:24:29.720 it doesn't matter.

00:24:31.320 It won't matter

00:24:32.000 to your enjoyment

00:24:32.600 of watching it.

00:24:33.220 I guarantee you,

00:24:34.560 if you watch that video,

00:24:36.220 that part of your day

00:24:37.100 will be better.

00:24:38.500 Like,

00:24:38.740 you'll be happy

00:24:39.860 for like an hour

00:24:40.680 because it's just

00:24:41.640 so much fun.

00:24:42.320 So go,

00:24:42.740 it's on CNN,

00:24:43.640 it's everywhere.

00:24:44.220 Just Google it.

00:24:45.700 So there's a question

00:24:47.380 about whether Putin

00:24:48.080 should be kicked

00:24:48.760 out of the G20,

00:24:50.420 the 20 big economies

00:24:52.040 that get together

00:24:52.800 and talk about

00:24:53.620 important things

00:24:54.560 for the big 20 economies.

00:24:57.700 Apparently,

00:24:58.420 he has not been

00:24:59.280 kicked out yet,

00:25:00.820 but might be.

00:25:02.600 Ian Bremmer says

00:25:03.620 don't ban Russia

00:25:04.560 because you need

00:25:05.460 Russia in the G20,

00:25:06.880 but only ban them

00:25:08.200 until Putin leaves.

00:25:11.500 I say don't ban him.

00:25:13.600 Do not ban Putin

00:25:16.700 from the G20.

00:25:17.720 Do you know why?

00:25:20.580 Because the Ukrainians

00:25:22.040 are no doubt

00:25:23.180 looking for a

00:25:24.340 decapitation strike

00:25:25.740 and they can get

00:25:27.440 at him easier

00:25:28.060 if he leaves the Kremlin.

00:25:30.660 Am I wrong?

00:25:32.440 I'm not recommending it.

00:25:35.300 I want to be clear

00:25:36.280 because I think

00:25:36.780 you get booted off

00:25:37.600 of social media

00:25:39.080 and probably should.

00:25:40.600 If you recommend

00:25:41.900 somebody

00:25:42.440 kill somebody,

00:25:44.320 probably you need

00:25:45.200 to be kicked off

00:25:46.060 of social media.

00:25:46.740 So I don't recommend it.

00:25:48.880 I'm just saying

00:25:49.720 that if Putin

00:25:50.900 has to leave the Kremlin,

00:25:53.260 the Ukrainians

00:25:54.240 are going to be

00:25:54.660 looking for him

00:25:55.320 and Putin is not

00:25:57.220 the only one

00:25:57.840 looking for

00:25:58.300 a decapitation strike.

00:26:00.420 Remember?

00:26:01.360 Putin wanted

00:26:02.020 to take out Zelensky

00:26:03.080 and make it fast.

00:26:06.660 Is there anything

00:26:07.460 that prevents Ukrainians

00:26:09.020 from taking out Putin?

00:26:11.000 There's not, is there?

00:26:11.920 So don't you think

00:26:13.540 that the Americans

00:26:15.200 would, well,

00:26:16.780 I don't know

00:26:17.100 if Americans

00:26:17.560 would help on that.

00:26:19.240 That's a good question.

00:26:20.960 If America

00:26:21.700 could help

00:26:22.680 Ukrainians assassinate Putin,

00:26:25.420 either with, like,

00:26:26.540 let's say help

00:26:27.260 would be just information.

00:26:29.300 Would they do it?

00:26:33.260 I actually don't know

00:26:34.400 the answer

00:26:34.760 to that question.

00:26:35.460 Do you?

00:26:36.760 Yeah, it would be

00:26:37.320 super illegal, of course.

00:26:38.680 Of course it's illegal.

00:26:39.600 It would be more illegal

00:26:41.080 than just about anything

00:26:41.900 could be illegal.

00:26:43.620 But we would have

00:26:45.680 killed Hitler, right?

00:26:48.760 Am I right?

00:26:50.240 If the Allied forces

00:26:51.580 had a chance,

00:26:52.360 they would have killed

00:26:53.000 Hitler.

00:26:54.940 I'm not wrong about that.

00:26:57.120 Am I?

00:26:58.660 Well, they didn't kill

00:26:59.700 Hitler at the Olympics,

00:27:00.740 but maybe that was

00:27:01.300 too early.

00:27:02.920 They thought about it.

00:27:04.020 So I'm going to say

00:27:05.600 that anything

00:27:06.460 that moves Putin

00:27:09.280 out of his most

00:27:11.220 protected situations

00:27:12.560 and into a less

00:27:13.940 protected situation

00:27:15.120 would be good

00:27:17.120 risk management

00:27:18.620 for the rest of the world.

00:27:20.600 So I would keep him

00:27:21.620 in the G20

00:27:22.240 just to expose him.

00:27:26.240 Make things interesting.

00:27:28.860 All right.

00:27:29.680 Although he might

00:27:30.280 just do a Zoom

00:27:32.220 or something

00:27:32.660 instead of going.

00:27:34.020 We're seeing stories

00:27:36.140 that how many of you

00:27:37.280 have seen stories

00:27:37.920 about Ukraine

00:27:38.600 taking back territory?

00:27:41.440 Sure, the Russians

00:27:42.420 took some territory,

00:27:43.500 but the Ukrainians

00:27:44.320 took it back.

00:27:46.860 And do you believe that?

00:27:48.840 Do you believe

00:27:49.640 that the Ukrainians

00:27:50.560 are now turning things

00:27:51.600 around and taking

00:27:52.980 back territory?

00:27:53.660 I'm going to say no

00:27:57.100 on that

00:27:57.680 with a caveat.

00:28:01.080 Imagine this war.

00:28:03.780 You've got all kinds

00:28:04.580 of military units

00:28:05.600 doing all kinds

00:28:07.120 of things.

00:28:08.280 Do you think

00:28:09.080 with all kinds

00:28:09.880 of Russian military units

00:28:11.280 doing all kinds

00:28:12.860 of missions and things,

00:28:14.360 would there ever

00:28:15.320 be a situation

00:28:16.120 in which

00:28:17.280 a Russian military

00:28:18.600 went in

00:28:19.180 and took control

00:28:19.960 of something,

00:28:20.460 and then

00:28:21.700 because they

00:28:22.300 don't have

00:28:22.640 infinite resources,

00:28:24.440 they left

00:28:25.120 to conquer

00:28:27.280 something else?

00:28:29.160 Probably, right?

00:28:30.240 Don't you think

00:28:30.700 there are places

00:28:31.220 where the Russian

00:28:31.880 military went in

00:28:32.780 but then they

00:28:33.260 had to relocate?

00:28:34.080 And when they

00:28:36.280 relocated,

00:28:37.940 then the Ukrainians

00:28:39.040 take it back.

00:28:40.100 But what did they

00:28:41.000 take back?

00:28:42.260 Just rubble.

00:28:43.760 The only thing

00:28:44.580 the Ukrainians

00:28:45.120 took back

00:28:45.560 was rubble.

00:28:47.140 The army moved

00:28:48.200 to where they

00:28:48.700 can do some

00:28:49.220 more damage

00:28:49.820 because there was

00:28:50.480 nothing left

00:28:50.920 to destroy.

00:28:52.420 So when you

00:28:53.360 hear these stories

00:28:53.980 about the Ukrainians

00:28:56.140 taking back

00:28:56.920 some territory,

00:28:58.520 number one,

00:29:00.080 it probably

00:29:00.560 just isn't true

00:29:01.280 at all.

00:29:02.540 It probably

00:29:03.100 never happened

00:29:03.760 because most

00:29:04.840 of the reporting

00:29:05.640 out of the war zone

00:29:06.560 is fake.

00:29:07.860 85% probably.

00:29:10.300 At least

00:29:10.860 of specific

00:29:12.280 little stories,

00:29:13.320 I'd say 85%

00:29:14.380 of them are wrong.

00:29:15.220 The big picture,

00:29:16.180 we may or may not

00:29:17.100 know what's going

00:29:17.660 on generally,

00:29:19.020 but the little

00:29:19.620 anecdotal stuff,

00:29:20.840 85% bullshit.

00:29:23.240 So I'm going

00:29:24.200 to say there's

00:29:24.960 probably no

00:29:26.080 credible evidence

00:29:27.280 of anything

00:29:28.480 like the Ukrainians

00:29:29.580 taking anything

00:29:30.240 back.

00:29:30.720 Now,

00:29:31.600 take the same

00:29:32.380 logic.

00:29:33.760 whatever you say

00:29:35.660 about Russian

00:29:36.400 supply lines,

00:29:38.420 have you noticed

00:29:39.040 that we treat them

00:29:39.780 like they're all

00:29:40.300 the same?

00:29:41.700 We just say

00:29:42.520 Russian supply lines.

00:29:45.380 What,

00:29:45.660 is there one

00:29:46.340 supply line

00:29:47.160 that goes to

00:29:48.460 all of the units

00:29:49.360 everywhere in Ukraine?

00:29:50.980 They're like spread

00:29:52.240 out over the whole

00:29:53.000 country.

00:29:53.460 Are you telling me

00:29:55.560 that the supply chains

00:29:56.920 are all about the same

00:29:57.740 and they're all good?

00:29:59.100 Nope.

00:30:02.160 Here's what's most

00:30:03.260 likely happening.

00:30:04.800 Most likely,

00:30:06.660 Russia's main

00:30:08.320 fighting forces

00:30:09.220 are being resupplied

00:30:10.560 because they'd have

00:30:12.900 the resources.

00:30:14.060 Most likely,

00:30:15.160 and by the way,

00:30:15.660 I'd like somebody

00:30:16.440 who has military

00:30:17.120 experience to

00:30:18.160 jump in here.

00:30:19.840 Most likely,

00:30:21.000 there are also

00:30:21.880 lesser important

00:30:23.520 Russian units

00:30:24.440 that have been

00:30:25.540 completely cut off

00:30:26.560 from their supply lines.

00:30:28.960 Disagree?

00:30:30.100 Would you say

00:30:30.820 that given that

00:30:31.380 so many different

00:30:32.200 things are happening,

00:30:33.760 there are some

00:30:34.180 Russians doing well,

00:30:35.400 some not doing well,

00:30:36.760 some have supply lines,

00:30:38.260 some have less

00:30:38.780 supply lines,

00:30:39.860 right?

00:30:40.560 I mean,

00:30:40.840 that part's just math.

00:30:42.640 You don't have to

00:30:43.640 wonder if that's happening.

00:30:45.060 Am I right?

00:30:45.520 We don't need

00:30:46.960 to hear a report

00:30:47.760 to know that

00:30:49.180 some units

00:30:49.800 are doing better

00:30:50.380 than others.

00:30:51.000 That's just sort of

00:30:52.500 guaranteed of the situation,

00:30:54.020 wouldn't you say?

00:30:55.140 They're not doing

00:30:55.920 equally well.

00:30:57.740 So here's what

00:30:58.660 I predict.

00:31:00.120 In theory,

00:31:01.920 the Ukrainians,

00:31:03.080 if they can hold off,

00:31:04.380 and it looks like

00:31:04.880 they can hold out

00:31:05.500 for a while,

00:31:06.200 they should be able

00:31:07.240 to isolate

00:31:07.920 and annihilate

00:31:09.940 the lesser

00:31:12.880 Russian units

00:31:13.840 that are out

00:31:14.620 of everything

00:31:15.820 because they're not

00:31:17.460 going to fight back

00:31:18.120 too much.

00:31:18.760 They might just surrender.

00:31:20.360 So I think

00:31:21.220 you're going to see

00:31:21.800 stories of some

00:31:24.280 kind of an accelerated

00:31:25.580 Ukrainian offensive

00:31:27.620 in which they're

00:31:29.160 mopping up

00:31:30.140 the Russian units

00:31:32.220 that are the weaker ones

00:31:33.440 that are out of resources.

00:31:37.080 Who disagrees

00:31:38.080 with that analysis?

00:31:39.420 Again,

00:31:39.820 I'm not...

00:31:41.400 Don't think I'm...

00:31:43.320 By no means

00:31:44.800 am I presenting myself

00:31:46.140 as a military expert.

00:31:48.180 You all know that, right?

00:31:49.280 So I'm only going to say things

00:31:50.680 that seem common sense

00:31:52.820 based on just the whole world

00:31:55.480 and everything you know

00:31:56.480 about it.

00:31:57.380 There's no way

00:31:58.340 every Russian

00:31:59.100 is doing just as well

00:32:00.360 in the fighting.

00:32:02.000 There's no way.

00:32:02.900 You don't have to be

00:32:03.420 a military expert

00:32:04.260 to know that, right?

00:32:06.260 So I'm getting

00:32:07.140 somebody who says

00:32:07.720 I totally disagree.

00:32:09.280 So is the part

00:32:10.260 that you disagree with

00:32:11.420 that all of the units

00:32:13.300 can be...

00:32:14.680 are somewhat equally

00:32:16.000 and well supplied?

00:32:17.160 Would that be

00:32:18.940 your assumption?

00:32:23.680 Does somebody

00:32:24.440 have an assumption

00:32:25.060 that all of the Russian troops

00:32:26.700 are about equally

00:32:27.620 well supplied?

00:32:29.840 Because if you don't,

00:32:31.520 then I think you agree

00:32:32.440 with me.

00:32:33.200 If there are some

00:32:34.040 that are going to run

00:32:34.640 out of stuff,

00:32:36.040 the Ukrainians

00:32:36.820 are going to target them

00:32:37.700 and take them out.

00:32:39.340 Right?

00:32:40.880 Can somebody give me

00:32:41.960 an argument against that?

00:32:43.780 I'm seeing some people

00:32:44.780 disagreeing,

00:32:45.460 but I don't see any...

00:32:46.220 I don't see any pushback.

00:32:48.940 Yeah.

00:32:52.020 Yeah, probably the Russians

00:32:53.500 in the south

00:32:54.120 are resupplied.

00:32:55.700 Probably in the north

00:32:56.880 it's more of a problem,

00:32:58.420 especially for the smaller groups.

00:33:00.580 You know, anybody

00:33:01.120 who got off...

00:33:02.120 who moved away

00:33:03.160 from the main supply line

00:33:05.820 channels

00:33:06.680 is probably in trouble.

00:33:10.600 All right.

00:33:12.560 Somebody says

00:33:13.280 a little botulism

00:33:14.160 goes a long way.

00:33:15.740 Do you think

00:33:16.180 the Ukrainians

00:33:17.000 are going to poison

00:33:18.400 is that legal?

00:33:22.960 Suppose the Ukrainians

00:33:24.860 took over

00:33:25.920 a food truck

00:33:26.840 on its way

00:33:27.880 or a food supply truck

00:33:29.620 on its way

00:33:30.600 to the Russian soldiers.

00:33:32.580 Suppose they put

00:33:33.440 a Ukrainian,

00:33:34.700 like a fake Ukrainian,

00:33:36.020 in the driver's seat

00:33:37.020 and they deliver

00:33:38.220 the truck

00:33:38.740 acting like

00:33:40.680 it's just

00:33:41.020 a regular delivery.

00:33:42.680 And then suppose

00:33:43.640 that that truck

00:33:45.640 had food in it

00:33:46.360 that wasn't so good.

00:33:47.300 let's say it doesn't

00:33:48.200 kill anybody

00:33:48.800 but makes them

00:33:49.480 incapacitated.

00:33:52.960 There's a lot of stuff

00:33:53.960 you could do

00:33:54.420 to an army

00:33:56.240 that has a weak supply line.

00:34:00.420 So Russia, it seems,

00:34:01.760 is relying on

00:34:02.820 distance weapons,

00:34:03.940 so shooting things

00:34:04.860 from a great distance.

00:34:05.860 And apparently

00:34:06.820 they're shooting things

00:34:07.700 from their warships

00:34:08.700 into the southern part

00:34:11.080 of Ukraine.

00:34:12.400 Now here's a question

00:34:13.220 for me.

00:34:16.020 How well protected

00:34:17.360 are those Russian warships

00:34:18.860 that have,

00:34:21.600 that are shooting

00:34:22.260 from a great distance,

00:34:23.760 I don't know,

00:34:24.200 20 miles?

00:34:25.380 Could somebody

00:34:25.840 give me a distance?

00:34:27.660 At what distance

00:34:28.780 would the Russian Navy

00:34:31.480 be firing?

00:34:33.200 20 miles?

00:34:33.980 Somebody knows that.

00:34:37.560 Come on,

00:34:38.140 you know that.

00:34:39.440 Somebody says hundreds,

00:34:40.560 I see 20.

00:34:43.000 Now I'm not talking

00:34:43.760 about a cruise missile,

00:34:44.860 I'm talking about

00:34:45.480 just regular

00:34:46.820 kinetic weapons.

00:34:49.600 Somebody says 50

00:34:50.680 depending on the missiles,

00:34:51.940 well,

00:34:52.840 are we talking

00:34:53.540 about missiles?

00:34:54.160 I guess they are

00:34:54.660 missiles, aren't they?

00:34:55.880 I was thinking

00:34:56.460 it was artillery

00:34:57.100 but it's probably missiles,

00:34:58.260 isn't it?

00:34:59.120 Is it both?

00:34:59.620 Canons 10 kilometers

00:35:04.480 at most.

00:35:05.160 Okay.

00:35:05.840 So here's the question.

00:35:07.420 Can the Ukrainians

00:35:08.220 really not reach

00:35:08.980 those ships?

00:35:10.240 The Ukrainians

00:35:11.220 don't have

00:35:11.940 any kind of

00:35:12.760 small boats

00:35:13.640 with

00:35:14.400 handheld

00:35:15.640 anti-ship

00:35:16.520 or,

00:35:17.200 you know,

00:35:17.860 shoulder-mounted.

00:35:19.800 They can't get

00:35:20.780 a small craft

00:35:21.700 to go out there

00:35:22.400 that are,

00:35:23.440 you know,

00:35:23.700 maybe too many

00:35:24.420 of them

00:35:24.700 for the boats.

00:35:25.840 I mean,

00:35:26.140 you wouldn't want

00:35:27.440 one motorboat

00:35:28.280 with a missile

00:35:29.820 on it

00:35:30.300 because they could

00:35:30.960 probably see that

00:35:31.600 and blow it

00:35:31.980 out of the water.

00:35:32.920 But suppose

00:35:33.520 you had lots of them.

00:35:35.400 Suppose you had

00:35:36.000 25 little boats

00:35:37.260 that went out there

00:35:38.740 and they all had

00:35:39.360 shoulder-mounted missiles

00:35:40.340 and they took a crack

00:35:42.120 at whatever ships

00:35:43.120 were out there.

00:35:47.020 Russia controls

00:35:47.900 the whole sea.

00:35:49.440 Well,

00:35:49.760 nobody controls

00:35:50.420 the whole sea.

00:35:53.580 Oh,

00:35:53.920 support helicopters,

00:35:55.300 keeping them down.

00:35:57.220 Yeah.

00:35:58.280 And what about,

00:36:00.780 let me ask this,

00:36:02.080 are you telling me

00:36:02.720 that the United States

00:36:03.920 doesn't make a

00:36:06.000 torpedo

00:36:07.040 that you can release

00:36:09.560 from the shore?

00:36:13.920 See what I'm saying?

00:36:15.900 Are you telling me

00:36:16.960 that the United States

00:36:18.680 doesn't have anywhere

00:36:19.480 in its weapon systems

00:36:21.500 a torpedo

00:36:23.420 that you can release

00:36:24.520 from shore

00:36:25.160 or maybe you take

00:36:26.880 a boat out

00:36:27.440 and, you know,

00:36:28.060 you're just

00:36:28.740 not far out,

00:36:30.360 that would have

00:36:31.280 a guidance system

00:36:32.680 on it,

00:36:34.140 a guidance system

00:36:35.120 that would just

00:36:36.640 take that bomb

00:36:38.060 based on,

00:36:38.920 let's say,

00:36:39.200 satellite,

00:36:40.740 you know,

00:36:40.980 maybe satellite

00:36:41.720 navigation.

00:36:47.000 Torpedoes

00:36:47.640 are huge and heavy.

00:36:50.360 Would it have to be

00:36:51.420 missiles?

00:36:51.780 French exoset?

00:36:54.340 All right,

00:36:54.640 so I guess,

00:36:55.260 I guess this was

00:36:56.420 what I'm asking.

00:36:57.340 Are those Russian

00:36:58.220 boats going to

00:36:58.960 blow up?

00:37:01.080 And why not?

00:37:02.240 Are the Ukrainians

00:37:03.380 even trying to

00:37:04.000 take a crack at them

00:37:04.800 or is that too much

00:37:05.500 of an escalation?

00:37:06.820 That might be too much

00:37:07.620 of an escalation

00:37:08.340 if you sank

00:37:09.500 a Russian warship.

00:37:12.860 Oh,

00:37:13.240 there's an airplane,

00:37:14.080 oh yeah,

00:37:14.380 an airplane dropping

00:37:15.220 a torpedo.

00:37:16.340 I just saw a picture of it.

00:37:17.240 So even,

00:37:17.920 it looks like

00:37:18.340 even in World War,

00:37:20.580 what the hell

00:37:21.660 World War was that?

00:37:22.880 A biplane

00:37:23.640 dropping a torpedo?

00:37:25.820 Okay,

00:37:26.160 I'm not quite

00:37:26.700 connecting those

00:37:27.380 technologies.

00:37:28.200 That looks like

00:37:28.740 two different

00:37:29.180 technology eras.

00:37:31.080 A biplane

00:37:31.820 with a torpedo?

00:37:34.020 Did they have

00:37:34.560 torpedoes in World War I

00:37:35.800 that they could

00:37:36.540 drop from a plane?

00:37:38.520 Eh,

00:37:38.680 maybe.

00:37:42.360 Too much

00:37:42.980 in the weeds here.

00:37:43.680 Can we talk

00:37:44.140 about Trump?

00:37:46.060 Well,

00:37:46.460 you know,

00:37:47.540 everything is tied

00:37:48.340 to Ukraine

00:37:49.200 at the moment.

00:37:52.480 But it does suggest

00:37:53.680 that if Russians

00:37:54.200 are using distance

00:37:55.060 weapons,

00:37:55.640 it suggests that

00:37:56.240 the Ukrainians

00:37:57.040 have better weapons

00:37:58.160 for the defense

00:38:00.220 than the offenders,

00:38:01.520 than the offense has.

00:38:03.960 Here's my further

00:38:05.140 prediction.

00:38:06.160 You ready for this?

00:38:07.880 So this is really

00:38:08.980 confirming

00:38:09.520 or doubling down

00:38:11.600 on a prediction

00:38:12.240 I made before

00:38:13.080 Putin invaded.

00:38:14.600 And I said

00:38:16.480 that there might

00:38:17.420 be some

00:38:17.860 high-tech

00:38:18.500 weaponry

00:38:19.220 that the

00:38:19.560 Ukrainians have

00:38:20.400 that we've

00:38:21.480 never even seen.

00:38:23.720 And it's starting

00:38:24.600 to feel like that,

00:38:25.660 although I'm not

00:38:26.880 certain,

00:38:27.340 you know,

00:38:27.520 you couldn't

00:38:27.880 conclude from

00:38:28.560 what we've seen.

00:38:29.460 It could be

00:38:30.180 that the weapons

00:38:31.380 we know exist,

00:38:32.700 you know,

00:38:32.880 the shoulder-mounted

00:38:34.000 rockets,

00:38:34.480 et cetera,

00:38:34.700 it could be

00:38:35.660 that that's

00:38:37.240 exactly all

00:38:38.080 they needed

00:38:38.560 to hold off

00:38:39.480 the Russians

00:38:39.900 for now.

00:38:41.580 But,

00:38:43.480 Aeromarine 700.

00:38:46.980 Yeah,

00:38:47.260 you'd think

00:38:47.640 there would be

00:38:48.040 a robot submarine

00:38:49.660 by now

00:38:50.380 that could just

00:38:51.900 go destroy

00:38:52.500 a warship

00:38:53.020 anywhere.

00:38:54.780 Anyway,

00:38:55.260 anyway,

00:38:55.900 now,

00:38:59.620 I think I forgot

00:39:01.440 my point there.

00:39:03.000 Oh,

00:39:03.460 the point is

00:39:03.980 that I predict

00:39:04.660 that we'll find

00:39:05.340 out that the

00:39:06.160 Ukrainians used

00:39:07.300 some weapons

00:39:08.400 we'd never heard

00:39:09.140 of.

00:39:10.720 How many people

00:39:11.460 want to take

00:39:12.080 the other side

00:39:12.600 of that bet?

00:39:13.780 That when it's

00:39:14.360 all over,

00:39:15.320 maybe not during

00:39:16.060 the fighting,

00:39:16.900 but when it's

00:39:17.420 all over,

00:39:18.300 there will be

00:39:18.680 stories that say,

00:39:19.400 you know,

00:39:20.320 it's a good thing

00:39:21.260 that the Americans

00:39:22.100 let the Ukrainian

00:39:22.960 defenders use

00:39:23.980 the drone 600

00:39:26.040 because it could

00:39:27.660 do whatever.

00:39:29.260 It's going to be

00:39:29.720 something,

00:39:30.140 somebody says,

00:39:30.560 a few years,

00:39:31.160 maybe a few years,

00:39:32.220 but I feel like

00:39:33.140 there's something

00:39:35.240 going on

00:39:36.160 weapon-wise

00:39:37.420 that we don't

00:39:37.940 exactly know.

00:39:39.460 Could be

00:39:40.060 small drones.

00:39:41.940 If you have

00:39:42.580 enough of them,

00:39:43.660 yeah,

00:39:43.820 the switchblade

00:39:44.400 drones,

00:39:44.780 it could be

00:39:45.100 the switchblade

00:39:45.660 drones,

00:39:46.380 but we don't

00:39:46.940 know how many

00:39:47.420 they have.

00:39:49.280 We've seen

00:39:49.960 the Ukrainians

00:39:50.980 say how many

00:39:51.440 losses the

00:39:52.120 Russians have

00:39:52.580 had,

00:39:52.900 and they've

00:39:53.080 got big charts

00:39:53.720 of all the

00:39:54.140 tanks and

00:39:54.740 troops and

00:39:55.740 stuff,

00:39:56.100 but everything,

00:39:56.800 of course,

00:39:57.100 is sketchy.

00:39:59.020 So here's the

00:39:59.600 question.

00:40:00.020 When I was a

00:40:01.100 commercial

00:40:01.620 loaning officer

00:40:03.380 for a bank,

00:40:04.800 and I would

00:40:05.200 review loan

00:40:06.500 requests,

00:40:07.020 and the

00:40:08.420 person,

00:40:08.860 usually an

00:40:09.300 entrepreneur or

00:40:10.820 business person,

00:40:11.940 would say,

00:40:12.680 my expenses

00:40:13.580 will be X

00:40:15.180 and my revenue

00:40:15.900 will be X

00:40:16.460 for this first

00:40:17.060 year,

00:40:17.940 so therefore,

00:40:18.860 give me a loan.

00:40:20.040 Now the first

00:40:20.600 thing you do

00:40:21.020 if you're a

00:40:21.940 loan analyzer

00:40:24.060 is you take

00:40:26.580 what they say

00:40:27.180 they're going to

00:40:27.580 make and you

00:40:28.260 divide it by,

00:40:30.040 give me a

00:40:30.460 number.

00:40:31.360 You take the

00:40:32.040 entrepreneur's

00:40:32.960 income,

00:40:34.360 that's what they

00:40:34.780 optimistically say,

00:40:35.620 and then you

00:40:35.980 divide it by,

00:40:38.380 I see some

00:40:39.140 experienced people

00:40:39.980 here,

00:40:40.840 at least two

00:40:41.900 or three,

00:40:43.460 at least two

00:40:44.600 or three,

00:40:45.040 and three is

00:40:45.540 smarter,

00:40:46.540 right?

00:40:47.260 I'm surprised

00:40:48.000 how many of you

00:40:48.560 knew that.

00:40:50.960 Yeah.

00:40:52.180 So,

00:40:52.780 yeah,

00:40:53.000 cutting it by

00:40:53.740 50% or more

00:40:54.840 would be standard.

00:40:56.220 Now what do you

00:40:56.720 do with the

00:40:57.060 expenses?

00:40:57.500 The expenses

00:40:57.740 you raise,

00:41:00.960 because no

00:41:01.420 entrepreneur has

00:41:02.140 ever accurately

00:41:03.480 estimated their

00:41:04.180 expenses,

00:41:04.600 they're always

00:41:05.040 low.

00:41:05.760 And the

00:41:06.060 reason they're

00:41:06.420 low is that

00:41:07.120 you can't

00:41:07.580 estimate an

00:41:08.200 expense for

00:41:09.520 something you

00:41:10.040 don't anticipate,

00:41:11.540 and the world

00:41:12.100 is full of

00:41:12.660 things you

00:41:13.020 can't anticipate.

00:41:14.420 So,

00:41:14.820 yeah,

00:41:15.120 usually you

00:41:15.800 double the

00:41:16.280 expenses,

00:41:17.540 cut the

00:41:17.860 revenue by

00:41:18.400 a third,

00:41:19.100 and if it

00:41:19.500 still makes

00:41:19.960 sense,

00:41:20.380 well,

00:41:20.640 maybe then

00:41:21.060 you get

00:41:21.340 the loan.

00:41:23.000 But you

00:41:23.880 would never

00:41:24.200 give somebody

00:41:24.760 a loan based

00:41:25.420 on their

00:41:25.840 own estimates.

00:41:27.840 Everybody

00:41:28.320 know that?

00:41:29.460 You would

00:41:29.800 never grant

00:41:30.640 a loan based

00:41:32.180 on the

00:41:32.500 customer's own

00:41:33.320 estimates of

00:41:34.060 what's going

00:41:34.700 to happen.

00:41:34.980 That would

00:41:35.180 just be

00:41:35.440 dumb.

00:41:37.000 So,

00:41:37.560 when we

00:41:37.980 see the

00:41:38.320 Russian losses

00:41:39.080 as reported

00:41:40.100 by the

00:41:40.500 Ukrainians,

00:41:41.220 we know

00:41:41.560 they're

00:41:41.760 exaggerated,

00:41:42.460 of course,

00:41:43.200 because it's

00:41:43.600 war and

00:41:44.020 it's propaganda.

00:41:45.320 But what is

00:41:46.060 the factor

00:41:46.620 of exaggeration?

00:41:50.140 It's at

00:41:50.760 least three,

00:41:53.600 wouldn't you

00:41:54.000 say?

00:41:54.740 It might be

00:41:55.440 five,

00:41:56.760 but it could

00:41:57.700 be ten.

00:41:58.240 I doubt

00:42:00.820 it's ten.

00:42:01.680 I'm going

00:42:02.080 to guess

00:42:02.360 five.

00:42:04.300 Right?

00:42:04.740 Because you

00:42:05.180 would exaggerate

00:42:05.900 at the most

00:42:06.700 that you

00:42:07.060 could exaggerate

00:42:07.820 and think

00:42:08.300 you could

00:42:08.600 get away

00:42:08.980 with it.

00:42:11.020 And so,

00:42:11.540 just

00:42:12.420 commonsensically,

00:42:13.720 I think you

00:42:14.500 could triple

00:42:15.040 the number

00:42:15.540 of losses,

00:42:16.500 given that

00:42:17.020 fog of war

00:42:17.700 and the

00:42:18.020 difficulty

00:42:18.440 of confirming

00:42:19.240 anything.

00:42:19.960 I think you

00:42:20.440 could triple

00:42:20.920 the actual

00:42:21.440 losses and

00:42:22.080 get away

00:42:22.380 with it.

00:42:23.100 So,

00:42:23.540 my best

00:42:24.220 guess is

00:42:24.900 if you're

00:42:25.200 trying to

00:42:25.560 look at

00:42:25.840 the Ukrainians'

00:42:26.780 claims,

00:42:27.760 I would

00:42:28.520 divide them

00:42:29.080 by three.

00:42:31.620 Roughly.

00:42:33.360 Does that

00:42:33.640 sound about

00:42:34.020 right to

00:42:34.400 all of you?

00:42:35.640 Take their

00:42:36.240 claims,

00:42:36.720 divide by

00:42:37.140 three?

00:42:37.460 It might

00:42:37.720 be more

00:42:38.060 than that.

00:42:38.400 Maybe you

00:42:38.900 have to

00:42:39.100 divide by

00:42:39.500 five,

00:42:40.140 but just

00:42:40.860 as a

00:42:41.220 starting

00:42:41.520 point to

00:42:42.200 get you

00:42:42.460 in the

00:42:42.760 general

00:42:43.240 area,

00:42:43.560 that's

00:42:43.720 about

00:42:43.880 right.

00:42:46.340 All

00:42:46.500 right.

00:42:48.360 There's a

00:42:48.960 movie coming

00:42:49.420 out,

00:42:49.780 I think,

00:42:50.200 on Amazon

00:42:51.400 Prime,

00:42:52.980 by

00:42:53.760 musical

00:42:55.560 artist

00:42:56.020 Lizzo.

00:42:56.780 Do you

00:42:57.760 all know

00:42:58.080 Lizzo?

00:42:59.400 Now,

00:43:00.120 the important

00:43:00.720 part of

00:43:01.020 the story,

00:43:02.080 and we

00:43:02.320 don't do

00:43:02.720 fat

00:43:03.020 shaming,

00:43:04.220 so we

00:43:04.880 will

00:43:05.080 tolerate

00:43:05.480 no fat

00:43:06.020 shaming,

00:43:06.960 but she

00:43:08.160 is a

00:43:08.480 large

00:43:08.860 woman.

00:43:11.100 I don't

00:43:11.680 know what

00:43:11.880 she weighs,

00:43:12.600 looks about

00:43:13.160 300 pounds

00:43:13.980 or something.

00:43:14.860 So she's a

00:43:15.420 very large

00:43:15.860 black woman.

00:43:17.040 The black

00:43:17.400 part is

00:43:17.860 irrelevant to

00:43:18.540 the story.

00:43:19.800 I'm throwing

00:43:20.300 it in just

00:43:20.760 so you can

00:43:21.100 have an

00:43:22.280 image in

00:43:22.660 your mind.

00:43:23.000 And one

00:43:26.420 of the

00:43:26.600 things she's

00:43:27.000 doing is,

00:43:27.740 I'm going

00:43:28.080 to say it's

00:43:28.380 interesting before

00:43:29.560 I put an

00:43:30.060 opinion on

00:43:30.620 it.

00:43:31.480 She is,

00:43:32.920 let's say,

00:43:34.700 maybe celebrating

00:43:35.840 or embracing

00:43:36.880 her size,

00:43:38.740 and she does a

00:43:39.480 lot of dancing

00:43:40.100 and skimpy

00:43:40.800 outfits,

00:43:41.720 and she's

00:43:43.100 quite active.

00:43:44.140 She's

00:43:44.700 interestingly

00:43:45.340 physically

00:43:47.000 capable for

00:43:48.500 her size.

00:43:49.420 Now her

00:43:50.240 movie involves

00:43:51.400 auditioning

00:43:52.900 other women

00:43:54.400 roughly her

00:43:55.300 size,

00:43:56.100 not all of

00:43:56.640 them I

00:43:56.840 guess,

00:43:57.440 but choosing

00:43:58.080 dancers for

00:43:58.880 some kind

00:43:59.340 of an

00:43:59.900 event,

00:44:01.080 and then

00:44:02.220 putting together

00:44:02.840 this dance

00:44:03.420 thing that

00:44:03.920 a number of

00:44:05.260 the women

00:44:05.540 are roughly

00:44:06.280 the same

00:44:06.640 size as

00:44:07.100 Lizzo.

00:44:08.260 Now,

00:44:09.400 I commented

00:44:11.280 that the

00:44:12.640 fact that

00:44:13.060 this movie

00:44:13.520 exists tells

00:44:14.980 you everything

00:44:15.540 about 2022

00:44:16.500 in one

00:44:18.000 moment.

00:44:19.420 movie.

00:44:20.580 It's sort

00:44:21.020 of everything

00:44:21.760 you need to

00:44:22.400 know about

00:44:22.800 our current

00:44:23.240 time.

00:44:24.420 I mean,

00:44:24.680 I could go

00:44:25.080 down the

00:44:25.400 list,

00:44:25.700 but you

00:44:25.900 could do

00:44:26.140 it just

00:44:26.420 as well

00:44:26.980 in your

00:44:27.240 head.

00:44:28.340 Okay?

00:44:28.740 You've got

00:44:29.240 everything

00:44:29.820 there.

00:44:31.000 It's like

00:44:31.400 the full

00:44:32.180 woke

00:44:33.400 smorgasbord.

00:44:36.220 And

00:44:36.700 nothing is

00:44:39.080 more obvious

00:44:39.680 than the

00:44:40.080 fact that I

00:44:40.640 can't talk

00:44:41.220 my actual

00:44:42.340 opinion about

00:44:43.060 this situation.

00:44:45.940 Am I

00:44:46.560 right?

00:44:47.480 If I gave

00:44:48.360 you just

00:44:49.000 my actual

00:44:49.720 honest opinion,

00:44:51.480 I'd probably

00:44:52.440 be banned

00:44:52.900 from social

00:44:53.400 media,

00:44:54.280 which is

00:44:55.520 also a

00:44:56.220 perfect

00:44:56.560 2022

00:44:57.180 thing.

00:44:59.240 However,

00:45:00.900 I'm just

00:45:03.980 going to

00:45:04.240 say that

00:45:05.660 celebrating

00:45:06.420 lifestyles

00:45:08.460 which appear

00:45:09.060 to me,

00:45:09.620 in my

00:45:09.900 non-medically

00:45:10.720 trained

00:45:11.240 opinion,

00:45:12.960 to be

00:45:13.620 unhealthy

00:45:14.120 is maybe

00:45:15.960 not a

00:45:16.780 super

00:45:17.020 good

00:45:17.400 trend

00:45:17.860 for

00:45:18.100 society.

00:45:19.320 On the

00:45:19.880 other hand,

00:45:21.240 I do

00:45:21.740 kind of

00:45:22.180 like that

00:45:22.580 there's a

00:45:22.940 counterbalance

00:45:23.680 to the

00:45:25.000 idea that

00:45:25.540 everybody needs

00:45:26.140 to be

00:45:26.380 real thin.

00:45:28.280 You know,

00:45:28.560 I'm a big

00:45:28.940 proponent of

00:45:30.180 managing your

00:45:30.800 weight and

00:45:31.100 your fitness

00:45:31.500 and stuff,

00:45:32.280 but I'm also

00:45:32.900 realistic,

00:45:33.780 right?

00:45:34.060 We don't

00:45:34.440 live in a

00:45:34.800 world where

00:45:35.180 everybody's

00:45:35.620 going to be

00:45:35.860 nailing that

00:45:36.420 stuff.

00:45:36.680 So I

00:45:37.940 do think

00:45:38.460 that if

00:45:42.340 you were

00:45:42.560 just looking

00:45:42.880 at it

00:45:43.100 from a

00:45:43.400 health

00:45:43.680 perspective,

00:45:44.480 which is

00:45:44.920 a reasonably

00:45:46.000 objective way

00:45:46.660 to do it,

00:45:47.860 it might be

00:45:48.440 sending the

00:45:48.860 wrong message.

00:45:50.620 It might be

00:45:51.020 sending the

00:45:51.420 wrong message.

00:45:52.940 So I don't

00:45:53.660 think it's

00:45:54.000 optimal,

00:45:54.680 but I also

00:45:55.320 live in a

00:45:55.720 world where

00:45:56.220 I like

00:45:56.700 free expression.

00:45:59.020 So I

00:46:00.220 do not

00:46:00.720 think,

00:46:02.500 I don't

00:46:03.980 think it

00:46:04.240 should be

00:46:04.760 banned or

00:46:05.460 discouraged,

00:46:05.920 other than

00:46:07.380 talking to

00:46:08.440 your own

00:46:08.680 family,

00:46:09.220 perhaps.

00:46:11.800 Yeah, it

00:46:12.460 looks like

00:46:13.460 it's seriously

00:46:14.400 bad for

00:46:15.640 society,

00:46:16.400 but free

00:46:17.640 speech.

00:46:19.700 I also

00:46:20.440 suspect it

00:46:21.380 will be a

00:46:21.820 huge hit.

00:46:23.540 Does anybody

00:46:24.260 want to take

00:46:24.720 that bet?

00:46:25.940 I think this

00:46:26.740 will be a

00:46:27.060 huge hit.

00:46:28.220 I feel like

00:46:29.100 I have to

00:46:29.440 watch it.

00:46:30.760 I desperately

00:46:32.040 don't want to

00:46:32.620 watch this.

00:46:33.420 In fact, I

00:46:33.940 can't think of

00:46:34.360 anything I

00:46:34.740 less want to

00:46:35.420 watch.

00:46:35.920 Yeah, and

00:46:37.420 I don't

00:46:37.660 even like

00:46:38.020 movies in

00:46:38.540 general, and

00:46:39.020 this would

00:46:39.700 be at the

00:46:40.040 bottom of

00:46:40.420 my movie

00:46:40.880 list, but

00:46:42.120 I feel like

00:46:42.560 I'm still

00:46:42.860 going to

00:46:43.040 have to

00:46:43.240 watch it,

00:46:44.280 just because

00:46:45.040 it's such

00:46:46.000 a culturally

00:46:47.160 significant

00:46:48.280 thing in

00:46:48.880 some way.

00:46:50.020 And I

00:46:50.460 love the

00:46:51.040 fact that

00:46:51.420 Lizzo's

00:46:51.920 marketing is

00:46:53.800 so effective.

00:46:55.520 She is

00:46:56.120 kind of a

00:46:56.500 genius in

00:46:57.880 marketing, or

00:46:58.840 she has

00:46:59.160 help or

00:46:59.560 something.

00:47:01.820 Yeah.

00:47:01.960 All right,

00:47:03.020 so Trump

00:47:04.400 decided that

00:47:05.200 he wasn't

00:47:05.580 going to

00:47:06.260 back Mo

00:47:07.840 Brooks for

00:47:10.160 the Senate.

00:47:11.420 And the

00:47:12.260 reason is that

00:47:13.060 Brooks did

00:47:13.560 not support

00:47:14.340 Trump in

00:47:16.060 saying that

00:47:16.520 the 2020

00:47:17.060 election was

00:47:17.760 rigged.

00:47:18.680 Mo Brooks

00:47:19.140 said he

00:47:19.500 wanted to

00:47:19.780 put it in

00:47:20.080 the rearview

00:47:20.600 mirror.

00:47:21.220 He said

00:47:21.480 it seven

00:47:21.920 months ago,

00:47:22.740 but Trump

00:47:23.520 has a long

00:47:24.060 memory, and

00:47:26.180 he decided

00:47:26.680 today that he's

00:47:27.440 going to

00:47:27.680 unendorse him.

00:47:28.460 I don't

00:47:29.560 know, will

00:47:29.820 that make a

00:47:30.260 difference?

00:47:31.220 It could,

00:47:31.720 right?

00:47:32.440 That could be

00:47:33.020 the difference

00:47:33.460 between getting

00:47:34.040 elected and

00:47:34.560 not elected.

00:47:36.040 But I've

00:47:37.820 often described

00:47:38.560 this, and

00:47:38.920 every time I

00:47:39.380 see it, it's

00:47:39.820 worth reminding

00:47:40.680 you.

00:47:41.460 The Trump

00:47:42.040 technique for

00:47:42.900 persuasion is

00:47:44.640 twice as strong

00:47:46.040 as everybody

00:47:46.760 else's technique.

00:47:48.300 It's twice as

00:47:48.940 strong.

00:47:49.540 It's because he

00:47:50.320 does two paths

00:47:51.540 at once.

00:47:52.820 He makes it

00:47:53.740 really good to

00:47:54.660 do what you

00:47:55.520 want, because

00:47:56.240 he'll praise you

00:47:57.300 and promote

00:47:57.860 you.

00:47:58.460 At least

00:47:59.200 give you

00:47:59.920 attention and

00:48:00.460 stuff, if you

00:48:01.300 do what he

00:48:01.700 wants.

00:48:02.780 So that part

00:48:03.460 most people

00:48:04.020 will do.

00:48:05.060 So most

00:48:05.420 people will

00:48:05.900 say, yeah,

00:48:06.380 if you do

00:48:06.760 what I want,

00:48:07.260 I'll say

00:48:08.320 good things

00:48:08.760 about you.

00:48:09.580 So so far

00:48:10.280 he does

00:48:10.920 everything that

00:48:11.460 everybody else

00:48:11.920 would do.

00:48:12.620 But then the

00:48:13.060 other thing he

00:48:13.940 does that you

00:48:14.520 don't do is

00:48:15.980 that he makes

00:48:16.480 sure that he

00:48:17.120 publicly executes

00:48:18.440 anybody who

00:48:19.040 doesn't do what

00:48:19.520 he wants.

00:48:20.680 I mean that

00:48:21.200 hyperbolically.

00:48:22.600 So Mo Brooks

00:48:23.240 is sort of being

00:48:23.940 publicly executed.

00:48:26.020 And the point

00:48:26.640 has nothing to do

00:48:27.440 with Mo Brooks.

00:48:28.460 The point

00:48:29.300 is, do you

00:48:30.380 want to mess

00:48:30.860 with Trump?

00:48:32.300 Because if

00:48:32.720 you go against

00:48:33.840 him, and this

00:48:34.700 is a fairly

00:48:35.280 insignificant crime

00:48:38.300 that Mo Brooks

00:48:39.120 did, which is

00:48:39.780 just disagree with

00:48:40.640 him on how to

00:48:41.380 treat the election.

00:48:43.200 It's not even

00:48:43.940 clear that Mo Brooks

00:48:44.740 disagrees with him

00:48:45.700 on the facts.

00:48:47.260 I mean, I don't

00:48:47.680 know that Mo Brooks

00:48:48.500 thinks the election

00:48:49.540 was rigged or not

00:48:51.200 rigged, but he

00:48:52.620 wasn't even talking

00:48:53.260 about that.

00:48:54.120 He was just saying

00:48:54.660 strategically we should

00:48:55.740 let it go and

00:48:56.360 put it in the

00:48:56.780 rearview mirror.

00:48:58.100 And that, that

00:48:59.840 alone, just

00:49:01.080 disagreeing with

00:49:01.920 Trump, got him

00:49:04.740 unendorsed and he

00:49:05.680 might lose his job.

00:49:06.960 So you see why I

00:49:07.760 say he's twice as

00:49:08.740 persuasive.

00:49:10.000 Everybody does the

00:49:10.800 things where you

00:49:11.480 compliment somebody

00:49:12.280 doing what you

00:49:13.120 like, but very few

00:49:15.300 people will take you

00:49:16.980 out and execute you

00:49:18.020 in the courtyard in

00:49:18.920 front of everybody.

00:49:19.740 Again, not literally.

00:49:24.000 Very few people will

00:49:25.000 do that.

00:49:26.160 That's what Trump

00:49:26.960 does.

00:49:29.760 We should never let

00:49:30.760 it go.

00:49:31.200 Trump is right on

00:49:31.960 this.

00:49:33.080 He might be.

00:49:34.160 He might be right.

00:49:35.640 You know, Trump is

00:49:36.280 feeling more right

00:49:37.980 than ever because now

00:49:39.360 we know that the

00:49:40.200 Hunter laptop story

00:49:41.880 was suppressed to

00:49:44.180 change the election

00:49:44.960 result.

00:49:45.960 His claim that the

00:49:47.020 election was rigged

00:49:48.000 is now actually

00:49:48.880 supported by the

00:49:49.680 New York Times.

00:49:51.980 His other claims

00:49:53.080 that there were

00:49:53.680 irregularities in the

00:49:54.980 voting itself, I

00:49:57.760 don't know where

00:49:58.280 that is, honestly.

00:50:00.140 I do not have a

00:50:01.380 sense if any of

00:50:02.940 those claims are

00:50:04.020 holding up or

00:50:05.100 should hold up.

00:50:05.820 I don't know.

00:50:07.200 It's hard to trust

00:50:08.180 any of it, really,

00:50:09.160 because most of the

00:50:10.100 claims, 95% of them

00:50:11.420 have been pure

00:50:12.320 bullshit.

00:50:13.280 So I don't know.

00:50:15.060 I do think there

00:50:17.240 is no possible

00:50:19.040 physical, physical,

00:50:20.240 logical way that 50

00:50:23.400 states could be

00:50:24.560 running perfectly

00:50:25.760 fair elections.

00:50:28.440 Let me just say it

00:50:30.140 this way.

00:50:31.440 I'll just describe

00:50:32.780 the situation.

00:50:34.340 We live in a world

00:50:35.580 in which everybody

00:50:36.560 is lying and

00:50:37.360 cheating about

00:50:37.940 everything.

00:50:39.380 Are you with me so

00:50:40.140 far?

00:50:41.000 Will you accept my

00:50:43.280 starting assumption

00:50:44.240 that every expert

00:50:46.140 and every official

00:50:47.680 in every capacity

00:50:48.720 is non-credible?

00:50:54.040 So why would we

00:50:55.820 think that 50

00:50:56.680 individual states,

00:50:59.260 each of them

00:50:59.960 individually running

00:51:00.780 their election,

00:51:01.380 can you tell me

00:51:03.500 that you feel

00:51:04.300 that in a context

00:51:05.920 where every other

00:51:07.200 organization from

00:51:08.280 the CDC to the

00:51:09.740 presidency to our

00:51:11.160 intelligence agencies

00:51:12.380 to all of our

00:51:14.340 experts, have

00:51:16.140 intentionally and

00:51:17.160 consistently lied

00:51:18.380 to us about

00:51:19.000 everything?

00:51:21.460 So why would you

00:51:22.880 believe that 50

00:51:23.660 states could hold

00:51:24.520 an election without

00:51:25.400 an irregularity that

00:51:26.720 mattered?

00:51:28.500 Really?

00:51:29.960 Let's try the

00:51:31.120 really test.

00:51:32.980 So in 2022,

00:51:34.220 in a world where

00:51:34.940 we have confirmed,

00:51:36.200 this is not

00:51:36.780 speculation,

00:51:37.260 we've confirmed

00:51:39.120 that everybody

00:51:40.480 who has any

00:51:41.120 kind of

00:51:41.420 responsibility or

00:51:42.380 expertise has

00:51:43.160 lied to us.

00:51:44.320 Confirmed.

00:51:46.420 And yet,

00:51:47.880 all 50 states

00:51:49.080 ran a good,

00:51:50.540 capable,

00:51:51.800 fair election

00:51:52.380 without fraud

00:51:53.620 that was

00:51:54.020 significant.

00:51:55.900 Really?

00:51:57.940 Really?

00:51:59.760 This is the

00:52:00.720 one time where

00:52:01.340 math doesn't

00:52:02.120 work, where

00:52:03.340 human nature

00:52:04.220 decided to

00:52:05.680 take a

00:52:06.460 vacation.

00:52:07.260 This is the

00:52:08.200 only situation

00:52:09.220 where human

00:52:10.620 nature didn't

00:52:12.380 apply.

00:52:13.960 Every year,

00:52:15.580 every election,

00:52:17.320 all 50 states,

00:52:19.340 they're all

00:52:19.780 nailing it.

00:52:21.420 Really?

00:52:22.500 The only thing

00:52:23.580 that's working

00:52:24.080 right in this

00:52:24.660 country is 50

00:52:26.080 separate groups

00:52:27.020 independently

00:52:28.300 coming up with

00:52:29.040 their own

00:52:29.380 processes and

00:52:31.100 running their

00:52:31.700 own independent

00:52:32.340 elections.

00:52:33.340 Everything else

00:52:34.140 in the whole

00:52:34.860 world is fucked

00:52:35.900 up.

00:52:36.900 Everything.

00:52:37.260 Everything in

00:52:38.540 the whole world

00:52:39.120 is fucked

00:52:39.760 up, not

00:52:40.920 working, lying

00:52:42.380 and broken.

00:52:44.300 But hey, we

00:52:45.840 got 50

00:52:46.740 individual state

00:52:47.940 elections with

00:52:49.240 no significant

00:52:50.000 problems.

00:52:51.580 Really?

00:52:53.220 Really?

00:52:53.940 Really?

00:52:54.820 Are you fucking

00:52:56.420 kidding me?

00:52:57.800 There's no chance

00:52:59.120 that that's true.

00:53:00.360 Am I right?

00:53:01.540 What evidence do

00:53:03.320 I have?

00:53:04.200 None.

00:53:05.400 Because our

00:53:06.080 system guarantees

00:53:07.360 we can't get

00:53:08.300 the evidence.

00:53:09.820 If you have a

00:53:10.700 system and the

00:53:11.280 only thing you

00:53:11.800 heard about it

00:53:12.380 is you can't

00:53:13.620 audit it.

00:53:14.820 It's really

00:53:15.520 important.

00:53:17.320 Money's at stake

00:53:18.260 and there's a lot

00:53:20.140 at stake, high

00:53:20.860 stakes, and you

00:53:22.120 can't audit

00:53:22.700 whether it's

00:53:24.060 working as

00:53:24.620 planned.

00:53:24.960 And there

00:53:26.260 are 50 of

00:53:26.900 them.

00:53:28.700 I'm not even

00:53:29.420 talking about an

00:53:30.100 election.

00:53:30.780 Oh, you thought I

00:53:31.360 was talking about

00:53:31.880 an election?

00:53:32.360 No.

00:53:32.820 It's just an

00:53:33.420 example.

00:53:34.960 Just an

00:53:35.400 example.

00:53:36.240 It's a generic

00:53:37.000 situation, not

00:53:37.920 about an

00:53:38.280 election, in

00:53:39.800 which everybody in

00:53:40.600 the whole fucking

00:53:41.260 world is lying to

00:53:42.140 you, but all the

00:53:43.380 states are good.

00:53:44.240 They're all good.

00:53:44.960 That's what we've

00:53:47.060 been told, and

00:53:48.100 we are so

00:53:48.820 sheep-like, we

00:53:50.360 rolled over and

00:53:51.380 just said,

00:53:52.280 Bah!

00:53:53.400 Election's good!

00:53:55.260 Oh, it's the

00:53:56.300 only thing that

00:53:56.820 works!

00:53:57.320 Ah!

00:53:58.200 Bah!

00:54:02.080 I won't get

00:54:03.300 banned from social

00:54:04.200 media for saying

00:54:04.940 this.

00:54:06.100 Do you know

00:54:06.500 why?

00:54:08.080 Because this is

00:54:08.960 the argument you

00:54:09.580 don't want anybody

00:54:10.260 to hear.

00:54:10.660 That's what

00:54:15.240 protects me on

00:54:16.040 social media, in

00:54:18.380 this specific

00:54:18.980 case.

00:54:20.000 I am protected

00:54:20.980 from being banned

00:54:21.980 because if I get

00:54:23.080 banned for saying

00:54:23.820 that, that's going

00:54:25.560 to be a story.

00:54:27.080 Am I right?

00:54:28.080 If I got banned

00:54:29.100 for saying that

00:54:30.740 the elections are

00:54:31.880 weirdly the only

00:54:33.420 thing that work

00:54:34.000 right, and

00:54:36.240 everybody heard

00:54:36.820 that story, do

00:54:37.760 you think the

00:54:38.160 Democrats want

00:54:38.920 people thinking

00:54:39.980 that way?

00:54:40.660 that it's

00:54:42.520 plainly ridiculous

00:54:43.740 to imagine

00:54:45.000 that an

00:54:45.580 unaudited system

00:54:46.820 run by 50

00:54:47.900 entities is the

00:54:49.120 only fucking

00:54:49.900 thing in the

00:54:50.460 world that

00:54:50.840 works right.

00:54:52.180 It's not.

00:54:54.000 It's not the

00:54:54.980 only fucking

00:54:55.700 thing in the

00:54:56.240 world that

00:54:56.600 works right.

00:54:57.600 We just don't

00:54:58.360 know what's

00:54:58.700 wrong with it

00:54:59.160 because we're

00:54:59.460 not allowed

00:54:59.860 to look, at

00:55:01.140 least in any

00:55:02.020 detail that we

00:55:03.160 would like to

00:55:03.600 look.

00:55:05.720 Well, I wasn't

00:55:06.520 planning on that

00:55:07.240 rant, but it

00:55:08.620 came out anyway.

00:55:09.260 Anyway, and

00:55:11.380 that, ladies

00:55:11.800 and gentlemen,

00:55:13.060 brings us to

00:55:14.420 the time at

00:55:16.120 which my

00:55:17.800 YouTube audience

00:55:18.560 may have to

00:55:19.380 go do

00:55:19.660 something else.

00:55:20.900 But I think

00:55:21.780 you can agree

00:55:22.360 it was the

00:55:22.860 best live

00:55:23.400 stream you've

00:55:24.020 ever seen in

00:55:24.860 your entire

00:55:25.680 existence, and

00:55:27.500 possibly some

00:55:28.240 other dimensions

00:55:28.860 that we're not

00:55:29.460 aware of.

00:55:31.040 And so, ladies

00:55:31.840 and gentlemen,

00:55:32.280 and according

00:55:36.160 to Ron

00:55:36.680 DeSantis'

00:55:37.440 calculation, that

00:55:38.480 includes everybody.

00:55:39.940 I would like to

00:55:40.820 wish you a good

00:55:43.100 day.

00:55:43.320 a little bit

00:56:01.480 to

00:56:02.480 meet you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 23, 2022

Episode 1691 Scott Adams： The New is Weird Today; Lots of Strange Little Stories. Come Have Some Fun

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