Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1693 Scott Adams： How The War in Ukraine Ends and Lots of Fake News Per Usual

00:00:00.480 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the high-energy excitement that is Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:09.140 Some of you, you might want to check your blood pressure because the excitement is just beginning.

00:00:15.700 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, if your heart can handle it, talk to your doctor first.

00:00:20.520 All you need is... I almost read this upside down.

00:00:25.580 That would have been weird. It would have gone like this.

00:00:27.580 Now, if I did that, you would try to sip, but your coffee maca would be upside down.

00:00:43.380 The coffee would end up under your lap. No good.

00:00:45.900 Let's do it the right way, shall we?

00:00:54.080 You do not have a sound problem, shall we?

00:00:57.580 All right.

00:00:59.640 All you need is a cover of my good glass uptanker.

00:01:01.680 Jealous is time to keep me doing a flask. 0.99

00:01:03.080 I like coffee.

00:01:05.900 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:09.880 The dopamine of the day.

00:01:11.200 The thing that makes everything better.

00:01:12.480 It's cold.

00:01:14.520 Oh, YouTube audio.

00:01:16.640 How can you?

00:01:18.400 Am I really going to have to check this again?

00:01:21.320 All right, hold on.

00:01:23.740 Hold on, YouTube.

00:01:24.920 It's not on my end, is it?

00:01:28.540 No, it's not on my end.

00:01:30.440 So, you're on the look.

00:01:33.820 Now the mic is still on.

00:01:36.260 Mic is on.

00:01:37.060 It's all good.

00:01:37.680 It's all plugged in.

00:01:39.320 Let us continue, and I'll turn off YouTube in a moment.

00:01:42.380 If you keep complaining.

00:01:45.040 Wait, did we do this on complaining, sir?

00:01:48.020 We didn't even do the set.

00:01:49.300 It was it?

00:01:50.640 Hold on.

00:01:51.760 Get ready.

00:01:53.100 Get ready.

00:01:54.520 Go.

00:01:54.840 Go.

00:01:54.920 Ah, yeah, YouTube's working fine.

00:02:02.720 Are there you trolls?

00:02:03.880 Go away, trolls.

00:02:05.200 So, Elon Musk had a cryptic tweet today, or yesterday.

00:02:09.640 He asked this question with a little Twitter poll.

00:02:11.880 He said, free speech is essential to a functioning democracy.

00:02:16.080 He said, do you believe Twitter rigorously adheres to this principle, meaning free speech?

00:02:22.900 But here's the cryptic part.

00:02:25.100 Are you ready?

00:02:26.760 Remember, it's Elon Musk asking the question.

00:02:29.680 If it were not Elon Musk, this would not be interesting.

00:02:33.240 And he says, the consequences of this poll will be important.

00:02:37.220 Please vote carefully.

00:02:39.380 Now, when Elon Musk says the consequences of your Twitter poll will be important, what is he talking about?

00:02:49.020 Is he going to buy Twitter?

00:02:50.340 Because maybe.

00:02:56.300 Maybe.

00:02:57.360 Does anybody know how much Twitter would sell for?

00:03:00.420 Can somebody?

00:03:01.160 I'll bet there's somebody here as an estimate.

00:03:02.980 Give me an estimate of the value of Twitter.

00:03:05.180 If you were going to buy it.

00:03:07.640 I don't know if it's for sale.

00:03:08.980 But if you were going to buy it.

00:03:12.320 Well, it's more than a billion.

00:03:14.300 It's way more than a billion.

00:03:15.480 No, it's way more than a five billion, isn't it?

00:03:22.040 Market cap is 30 billion.

00:03:23.600 Thank you.

00:03:24.660 Whoever uses the phrase market cap.

00:03:28.020 I'm going to assume that you know what you're talking about because regular people don't say market cap.

00:03:34.860 So let's say it's 30 billion.

00:03:37.400 Could Elon Musk buy a 30 billion dollar company?

00:03:42.180 Pretty sure he could.

00:03:43.620 Pretty sure he could.

00:03:44.560 I mean, he wouldn't have to buy the whole thing.

00:03:45.920 He could go in with other investors and just have a controlling share or something.

00:03:50.680 But, yeah, he could do it.

00:03:54.280 Now, I think the bad play is creating your own Twitter.

00:03:58.800 But is there anybody who could create their own Twitter better than Elon Musk?

00:04:04.800 Because he's weirdly neither right nor left, is he?

00:04:09.240 I mean, he seems to take positions that just sort of make sense.

00:04:12.120 He's not right or left.

00:04:13.080 So if he made a Twitter knockoff, would, oh, oh, somebody's saying maybe he would buy one of the competing, like Getter or something.

00:04:23.060 Well, there you go.

00:04:24.860 Yeah.

00:04:25.580 Interesting.

00:04:27.000 So let's keep an eye on that.

00:04:29.140 It does look like a shot across the bow of Twitter.

00:04:32.740 Maybe he's just trying to scare them into free speech.

00:04:35.660 Speaking of social media platforms, Facebook, now called Meta, is taking remote work to the extreme.

00:04:45.400 Extreme remote work.

00:04:48.240 Well, I don't know how extreme it is that you're just working at home.

00:04:51.560 But apparently the extreme part is that people are not just working from home, but they're moving to other states.

00:04:59.640 And that's their new home sometimes.

00:05:01.600 And then they work from there.

00:05:02.560 I don't know how extreme that is, but I think I'm going to put tape over the comments.

00:05:22.240 It's on here.

00:05:24.100 I'll just put a little yellow sticky over the comments on YouTube for a minute.

00:05:28.300 Because I keep hearing all the trolls, so they'll go away in a minute and I'll take that off.

00:05:36.300 So Facebook is doing this remote work thing, and it's kind of genius that they're priming the pump this way.

00:05:43.840 I guess I can't put the sticky note there.

00:05:45.900 That's where the camera is.

00:05:46.720 They're priming the pump because when everything is in the virtual world, it seems to me that it's inevitable that you're going to go to work in a virtual world.

00:06:01.820 Does anybody disagree?

00:06:03.620 That it's inevitable that you will someday go to work without leaving your chair.

00:06:08.900 Now, you might say to me, well, that's not going to work if you have a physical job.

00:06:15.000 If you're physically moving things, you're going to have to go to work.

00:06:18.400 I'm not so sure.

00:06:20.540 Because if you have a robot that you can control by inhabiting it so that the robot moves the way you want it to move,

00:06:28.120 and maybe even the robot moves with your body, you know, its arms might move like your arms,

00:06:34.040 you actually were very close to being able to go to work and have arms and legs at work and even a body that can move around.

00:06:44.800 That already exists.

00:06:46.040 They already have telepresence robots that can go to work for you and move from room to room and talk to people.

00:06:51.500 So, doesn't it make sense that everything is going to be in the metaverse eventually?

00:07:00.160 This play by Facebook is really interesting, in part because, well, maybe largely because it's Zuckerberg's play.

00:07:08.480 When was the last time Zuckerberg was wrong on a big move?

00:07:13.180 Now, you don't like some of the things he's done privacy-wise, etc.

00:07:17.540 But in terms of business moves, like big business moves such as buying WhatsApp or buying Instagram,

00:07:25.800 Zuckerberg has done quite a good job, hasn't he, of predicting the future and adapting to it?

00:07:34.100 So, I would say that when Zuckerberg says the future is this virtual world, I really believe it.

00:07:43.180 Partly because I believe it anyway, so anybody who agrees with me sounds extra smart.

00:07:47.540 But, yeah, I think, but it is possible that Facebook is going to go through some really tough times

00:07:53.660 because I think their legacy model is sort of a dead man walking.

00:07:58.840 I can't believe that Facebook, the old Facebook, it doesn't seem survivable to me because kids don't use it.

00:08:07.560 Isn't that the end of the story?

00:08:08.800 Or do kids grow up and start using it because, ah, I'm an adult, I've got to use Facebook?

00:08:16.180 Facebook has, like, no impact on my personal life at all.

00:08:22.560 It's just irrelevant.

00:08:23.660 So, they do need a different business model.

00:08:27.820 And I think their meta play could be maybe one of the greatest, it could end up being one of the greatest business moves of all time.

00:08:36.400 Anyway, so what else have we got?

00:08:45.220 Trump is suing Hillary Clinton and others because of their claims in 2016 about Russia collusion.

00:08:53.620 Now, what do you think about that?

00:08:57.040 Number one, is this case likely to get to trial?

00:09:01.580 What do you think?

00:09:02.180 Is it going to make it to trial or will it get thrown out long before that?

00:09:07.620 It's very difficult to prove that somebody knew something, right?

00:09:11.080 But what's weird about this case is that there's so much actual discovery already

00:09:17.360 because the special prosecutor, et cetera, has produced lots of reliable information

00:09:22.860 or it would look reliable in some other court case.

00:09:25.700 So, I feel like, without knowing anything about the law, of course, I feel like he might have a chance.

00:09:36.600 My instinct is that these things always get thrown out, especially if it's in a political realm,

00:09:41.720 because it's really hard to say that a politician lied about you in a way that hurts you,

00:09:46.700 since that's all they do, basically, is lie about each other.

00:09:49.160 So, it seems like a very hard case.

00:09:56.540 I'm watching, there's a whole fight going on in YouTube.

00:09:59.480 So, some people are having, complaining about the sound and other people are saying it's fine.

00:10:04.860 Let me just take a second.

00:10:06.360 All right, YouTubers, is there anybody who has good sound?

00:10:12.100 Anybody at all who has good sound?

00:10:14.140 Just even one person.

00:10:15.240 Is there anybody who has good sound in there?

00:10:20.660 It looks like no.

00:10:28.100 Nobody?

00:10:28.940 There's not one person who has adequate sound on YouTube?

00:10:33.420 Sound is bad.

00:10:34.600 Okay.

00:10:35.140 Well, there's nothing I can do about it.

00:10:36.500 There must be a YouTube problem.

00:10:39.100 Everything's good in my mind.

00:10:41.260 All right.

00:10:41.660 Here's what I think is interesting.

00:10:45.280 It could be, and maybe I need a lawyer to help me sort this out.

00:10:49.300 There are lots of lawyers watching this always.

00:10:51.440 So, do you think that Trump's real play is discovery?

00:10:56.880 Do you think that the real thing is either political,

00:10:59.880 to put something in the news that people have to talk about that makes it sound like he was right?

00:11:05.800 Or is it because the process will allow more discovery and that process will just be infinitely good for Trump if he's running for a re-election?

00:11:14.820 Because the process would take a long time.

00:11:17.360 Wouldn't be completed probably before the election in 2024.

00:11:21.440 So, the optics are good, aren't they?

00:11:23.620 This looks like a great persuasion play, but legally, I don't know, it doesn't seem like he could win it.

00:11:32.500 And it's not because he's not right, by the way.

00:11:35.160 I think you could say with certainty that he can make a case that he was damaged,

00:11:41.420 he can make a case that it was intentional, and he could probably connect the dots to Hillary Clinton.

00:11:46.720 It's not enough.

00:11:47.700 I don't know what it would take to convict Hillary Clinton in a world where there are so many Democrats who don't want that to happen, 1.00

00:11:56.640 but, yeah.

00:11:59.760 All right.

00:12:01.400 Let us do this.

00:12:06.620 There must be a way for me to mute.

00:12:14.920 Hide all the chat messages.

00:12:16.580 There we go.

00:12:18.360 So, I can't see your messages on YouTube because all you want to talk about is the sound.

00:12:23.800 If it doesn't work for you, you could try going to Locals.

00:12:29.080 Just search for Coffee with Scott Adams at Locals.

00:12:32.560 Locals.com.

00:12:34.180 And I believe I kept that unprotected this morning.

00:12:39.260 All right.

00:12:39.700 So, I'll be watching that.

00:12:40.820 That'll be fun.

00:12:42.640 Here's what Reuters said in the story about Trump suing Clinton.

00:12:46.480 And I want to see if you've noticed this little subtle but not subtle shift.

00:12:51.320 And it goes like this.

00:12:58.020 Reuters actually writes matter-of-factly that Trump's claims about the 2020 election are, quote, false claims, or they say he falsely claims.

00:13:09.060 And does it make sense to you that a news organization can call Trump's claims or his allegations false?

00:13:30.120 How do you know they're false?

00:13:33.760 Did somebody audit the election that I don't know about?

00:13:36.400 Well, the election wasn't audited.

00:13:40.480 How would you possibly know if it were false?

00:13:43.020 Just, you know, very minor parts were audited.

00:13:45.140 You don't know about the 99% of it, do you?

00:13:48.300 So, somehow, the fake news has allowed you to accept uncritically that Trump's allegations about the election went from unproven to proven false.

00:14:02.760 When did that happen?

00:14:05.500 That never happened.

00:14:07.360 But it's reported as a fact.

00:14:10.680 Bill Maher says they are false.

00:14:12.720 Yeah.

00:14:13.120 Everybody says they're false.

00:14:14.260 But I'm not sure if they're playing sort of a trick here, because I also agree that the election happened and that Biden was elected.

00:14:25.240 Do you know why I allow that the—I don't think I've ever said this before.

00:14:29.820 The reason that I'm perfectly comfortable with the election outcome, even though I accept that Trump's allegations could be true,

00:14:38.960 there's no way to prove them false at the moment, and there's no way to prove them true.

00:14:44.260 But, no matter whether the election was completely fair or not, I accept the outcome.

00:14:53.920 Why?

00:14:54.520 Why do I accept the outcome of the election completely, completely, without reservation?

00:15:01.720 So, he says, the reason is I'm a coward.

00:15:04.180 Well, good guess.

00:15:05.920 Good guess.

00:15:06.720 It wasn't that.

00:15:08.900 Here's why.

00:15:12.280 Do you fucking think the other elections weren't rigged?

00:15:15.100 Come on.

00:15:18.960 Why would you pick one election now and say, oh, this is the one where there was some irregularity?

00:15:25.120 They were either always rigged or they probably haven't been recently.

00:15:31.420 Right?

00:15:31.600 If you don't accept an election in the United States because you think there were irregularities, you would never accept any election.

00:15:41.280 We wouldn't be able to run the system.

00:15:43.420 The system requires you to accept a rigged election in order for the system to work, you know, the best it can.

00:15:52.160 I mean, it's a bumpy system.

00:15:53.640 We don't have a perfect system.

00:15:55.260 Nobody says it.

00:15:56.400 The only way we work is by accepting sketchy results.

00:16:02.380 It's the only thing that keeps the system working.

00:16:05.140 The moment I said I don't believe the result, therefore I won't act like a citizen, the whole thing falls apart.

00:16:11.720 So, I think you could completely separate was it a fair election from the question of whether as a citizen you should treat it as fair for all practical purposes.

00:16:26.640 Right?

00:16:27.400 So, I can't quite get with you in the overthrow the past election stuff.

00:16:33.680 I don't think I'll ever be on that train.

00:16:37.340 I think you just need to fix it in the next election if you can.

00:16:40.800 Or maybe you cheat better than the other side next time.

00:16:43.180 It's part of the process in a way.

00:16:45.460 Yeah.

00:16:45.900 Who cheats better is not irrelevant.

00:16:49.720 Am I right?

00:16:51.820 There's some part of us that says, well, if everybody's cheating and everybody's lying, don't you want the one who does it better?

00:17:00.180 I mean, it's not crazy.

00:17:01.620 It's not crazy to want the one who does it better.

00:17:05.580 Right?

00:17:05.940 As long as there's some transparency so they don't do it to you.

00:17:10.460 All right.

00:17:12.220 There's some reporting now.

00:17:14.340 And there's an opinion by a gentleman by the name of Carifano.

00:17:19.300 He's the VP of the Catherine and Shelby Cullen Davis Institute for National Security and Foreign Policy at the Heritage Foundation.

00:17:26.340 Now, let me give you a little advice.

00:17:31.740 Should you ever be offered a job?

00:17:33.340 And they say the position is you're going to be the vice president of the Catherine and Shelby Cullen Davis Institute for National Security and Foreign Policy at the Heritage Foundation.

00:17:42.680 You should say, can you change the name of my job because I don't think I can have that job name.

00:17:49.840 Every time somebody asks me, where do you work?

00:17:51.680 I say, I'm unemployed.

00:17:53.640 I think I would just lie and say, I'm retired.

00:17:58.160 I'm unemployed.

00:17:59.780 What is the acronym?

00:18:02.040 That would be VPKSC.

00:18:06.460 No, there's nothing there.

00:18:07.480 I'm sorry.

00:18:07.820 Anyway, this gentleman who has some, I guess, some background to say stuff like this.

00:18:12.920 He argues that Putin's decision to invade Ukraine was actually made in 2014.

00:18:20.920 So when, I guess, Crimea was invaded and that he was going to do the rest of Ukraine.

00:18:28.020 But the reason he paused, according to Carifano's opinion, is that Putin didn't know how the Trump administration would react.

00:18:36.620 So apparently Putin had decided that Obama was going to be hands-off and that Putin could get away with whatever he could get away with.

00:18:44.960 And there were enough anecdotal evidences of that, that Putin probably felt emboldened.

00:18:51.840 And that his emboldened feeling ended abruptly when Trump came into office because Putin couldn't tell what Trump would do.

00:19:00.160 Exactly what Trump promised he would bring to the office.

00:19:03.920 One of his greatest benefits.

00:19:05.520 He said he would bring it.

00:19:07.620 He brought it.

00:19:09.300 And then there's at least this, you know, a well-founded opinion.

00:19:12.960 We don't know if it's true.

00:19:14.260 But a good opinion that says it might have made the difference for at least four years.

00:19:19.160 So, and it's pointed out that Trump was nicer publicly to Putin, but tougher in terms of policy and stuff.

00:19:28.000 And part of Carifano's argument is that the Obama foreign, you know, foreign relations people and advisors were the same ones from Obama.

00:19:42.040 So Putin's, from Putin's perspective, it looks like just Obama too, because it's the same staff and Biden is basically Obama too.

00:19:52.080 So, from Putin's perspective, the election of Biden was a green light.

00:19:57.440 And then Biden goes ahead and says, you know, we're never going to commit ground troops, which of course is a smart idea.

00:20:03.360 But then Putin says, well, okay, if you're Obama-like and you always cave and you're not too concerned about us, and if you said you're not going to send in ground troops, I feel like you just said go ahead.

00:20:16.820 So, there's one argument that Biden himself caused the war, you know, just by the, I don't know, the low quality of his leadership, I guess.

00:20:29.120 Now, here's what I would caution you.

00:20:36.120 You have to be careful when one political side says the other is incompetent.

00:20:42.500 Because they all do, all the time.

00:20:45.200 There's no exception.

00:20:46.820 There's no time that the Democrats said, you know, we don't like those Republicans.

00:20:50.900 But, you know, when it comes to the economy, they're killing it.

00:20:52.980 You know, they do a good job there.

00:20:54.720 That never happens.

00:20:56.500 You know, both sides criticize everything from the other side.

00:20:59.020 So, if you see any argument that even looks solid, this does look like a solid, a fairly solid hypothesis anyway.

00:21:06.180 Just remember it comes from somebody you don't know.

00:21:10.300 So, don't put too much, don't put too much trust in any opinion like that one.

00:21:46.020 This is Erdogan.

00:21:46.900 I would, I've been thinking about doing the same thing.

00:21:50.840 To spell my name, A-D-A-M-S, just the way it is.

00:21:55.060 But to pronounce it, Erdogan.

00:21:59.940 And then when people say, what's your name?

00:22:01.960 I'll say, it's Scott.

00:22:04.020 And they'll say, how do you spell that?

00:22:06.680 I'll say, A-D-A-M-S. 1.00

00:22:11.180 And they'll say, wait, how did you pronounce it?

00:22:13.840 And they'll say, Erdogan.

00:22:16.280 And they'll say, that sounded a little different than the first time you said it.

00:22:19.160 And I say, yes.

00:22:20.360 It is one of those names that can be pronounced invariably based on how I feel at any moment.

00:22:25.720 And I would ask you to use the same name that I'm using.

00:22:29.600 And you'll have to get an update every few hours because I don't say it the same.

00:22:33.500 And if you believe that I cannot tell you how to pronounce my name,

00:22:38.320 well, then I would like you to talk to my friend, Erdogan, as you would call him, or as we call him, Erdogan.

00:22:47.660 So, have I made my point?

00:22:50.360 I think I have.

00:22:51.140 Gesundheit, exactly.

00:22:56.080 My bagels are coming.

00:22:58.200 Anyway, Erdogan says that Ukraine and Russia have reached an understanding on four of the six topics of agreement, or disagreement.

00:23:08.580 So, according to Erdogan, who you call Erdogan because you fall for his technique,

00:23:16.100 here are some of the things that they'll probably agree on or they're close.

00:23:20.800 That Ukraine would not be part of NATO.

00:23:23.480 There would be partial disarmament.

00:23:25.620 There would be a collective security agreement.

00:23:28.060 And that the Russian language would become an official language where there's lots of Russian anyway.

00:23:34.380 Apparently, those are no big deal.

00:23:37.320 That even Zelensky would say, okay, I can live with that.

00:23:41.820 Then there are two things that are more consequential.

00:23:45.620 The remaining topics are Crimea and Donbass.

00:23:48.740 To which I say, is there any question about how that's going to go?

00:23:53.920 Are we down to, we're down to two points of disagreement, but we all know which way those go.

00:24:00.200 What, what is, is Russia going to say, you know, I've had second thoughts about this Crimea situation.

00:24:06.960 I think I should just give it back.

00:24:10.300 I'll just give it back.

00:24:12.200 That's not going to happen.

00:24:14.120 So, am I wrong that there's no reason to fight anymore and they're just fighting for no reason at all?

00:24:20.500 I think Russia is fighting because they need to show they're not losing.

00:24:26.200 And Zelensky is fighting probably because the United States wants them to.

00:24:30.380 In other words, does the United States want Zelensky to make a deal?

00:24:36.580 What do you think?

00:24:38.100 Are you seeing the president of the United States like really pushing Zelensky to make some compromises?

00:24:44.360 There are people who speculate that Biden wants the war more than he wants the peace.

00:24:49.320 It looks like it.

00:24:50.600 I mean, we can't read his mind.

00:24:52.540 So you can only, you know, judge from the actions.

00:24:54.960 But if you judge from the actions, it doesn't look exactly like Biden wants the war to stop.

00:25:01.740 It looks like what he wants is to degrade Russia because he's full of anti-Russia people and permanently degrade them and then take their business.

00:25:12.500 And so Biden is putting together this alternate energy channel, I guess, with Western interests that will provide, you know, more energy to Germany and Europe.

00:25:22.520 And here's what's missing from the story.

00:25:31.520 How many of you have seen the story that says Biden is putting together some kind of a workaround so that the United States and other producers can produce gas for and deliver it to Europe?

00:25:46.060 And that Russia will be cut out of that, you know, gas deal.

00:25:49.800 Do you know what's missing in the story?

00:25:51.200 So far, maybe, maybe you've seen it, but I haven't seen it yet.

00:25:55.680 Numbers.

00:25:57.100 This is a story that depends entirely on numbers, as in what percentage of the oil is coming from Russia and what percentage of that percentage can be backfilled by other sources.

00:26:12.360 Because I have a bad feeling that for every hundred cubic whatever of gas that's coming out of Russia, that maybe the total availability of alternate sources might be 10 to 20 percent of that.

00:26:27.900 Don't we need to know that?

00:26:30.880 You know, your opinion of whether we should push Zelensky to work out a deal and stop the war, and Russia too, would depend a lot on whether you think you can get alternate sources of energy to Europe in short order.

00:26:48.520 I don't think that the Biden administration and maybe the news won't tell us if we're even close to being able to do that.

00:26:59.060 Isn't that a gigantic question?

00:27:01.000 And isn't it fairly easy to figure it out if you were a journalist trying to figure it out?

00:27:07.060 Could you not produce numbers of how much Russia is producing and then ask the Americans who are working on this process, how much of that do you think you could replace?

00:27:17.220 What are they going to say?

00:27:19.220 What are they going to say?

00:27:20.220 10 percent?

00:27:21.520 Or 90 percent?

00:27:23.520 Or 50 percent?

00:27:25.440 The story, the entire story of the war hinges on those numbers that are not in the news.

00:27:32.920 And they could be.

00:27:34.180 They could be.

00:27:35.320 Right?

00:27:36.280 It doesn't seem hard to produce at least estimates, even if the estimates are wrong.

00:27:41.220 So, when you see something like this that's not in the news, and nobody except me, apparently, has noticed it's missing, that tells you something.

00:27:54.100 I mean, that tells you that the propaganda doesn't want you to know that.

00:27:57.440 And it probably means that we can't produce it.

00:28:00.640 Am I right?

00:28:01.460 But if we could find a way, even if it were hard, if we could find a short-term-ish way to replace all that Russian energy, you don't think that number would be in the press?

00:28:15.540 Oh, it would.

00:28:16.740 It would.

00:28:17.720 And the story would look like this.

00:28:19.980 Russia produces X amount of energy, but if you add up these five sources, they come almost to that same amount.

00:28:26.980 You tell me you wouldn't see that story if we could do it?

00:28:31.500 You know I'm right.

00:28:32.920 If we could do it, you'd see the story.

00:28:36.480 Because it's easy.

00:28:37.520 It's an easy story.

00:28:39.620 The fact that it's not there says this is propaganda and we can't help Europe.

00:28:44.260 I believe that this has nothing to do with producing energy.

00:28:48.900 And everything to do with keeping Europe in the war.

00:28:53.580 Right?

00:28:54.020 Because Biden, if you take the hypothesis that Biden likes the war more than the peace, at least in the short run, he wants to degrade Russia and really ostracize them and make them basically permanently unable to build a powerful military.

00:29:11.500 It looks like all he's doing is making Europe happy that they won't starve to death and run out of energy.

00:29:17.340 But they might.

00:29:18.520 So somebody asked on Twitter, describe it and, you know, how could this end?

00:29:25.800 Here's how I see it ending.

00:29:28.000 You see, there'll be a negotiated settlement.

00:29:30.940 Much along the lines of what Erdogan, or as you call him, Erdogan said.

00:29:36.580 That seems like roughly what it's going to look like.

00:29:39.360 I mean, somewhere in that range.

00:29:40.900 And I think that means that Russia will continue to be, at least in the short term, the supplier of energy to Europe.

00:29:50.700 So I think energy won't run out in Europe because Russia will sell it.

00:29:55.460 We will let them because it will come after a negotiated deal.

00:30:05.240 Shipping fentanyl.

00:30:06.560 All right.

00:30:06.860 All right.

00:30:10.740 Let's see.

00:30:12.840 Justice Clarence Thomas's wife, Jeannie Thomas, apparently a conservative activist.

00:30:19.580 We know now that she was e-mailing a number of times White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows during the Trump, the last days of the Trump administration.

00:30:29.600 And with her, quote, unrelenting efforts to try to overturn the 2020 election result. 0.98

00:30:38.340 Now, the scandal here is that while she was an activist working to have the result overturned, there was talk about the Supreme Court having to make decisions related to the same topic.

00:30:51.780 So how awful would it be to have one of the Supreme Court justices' wife active in a thing that he might have to rule on? 1.00

00:31:03.940 Well, there's nothing here.

00:31:08.800 There's nothing in this story.

00:31:11.040 Let me just propose a question to the Supreme Court.

00:31:16.440 Dear Supreme Court, I like your ruling on this.

00:31:18.980 Can the spouse of a Supreme Court justice have free speech?

00:31:26.580 Yes or no?

00:31:28.940 Fucking yes.

00:31:30.740 Yes.

00:31:31.660 I'm pretty sure I would say this if this had been a Democrat leading judge and a, you know, Democrat activist.

00:31:39.560 I don't think you can make an exception for free fucking speech.

00:31:43.120 Does anybody disagree with that?

00:31:46.540 Why is this even a story?

00:31:48.800 We already knew she was a conservative activist. 0.99

00:31:51.700 We already knew that basically everybody who was pro-Trump was questioning the election result.

00:31:57.280 She was just one of the people who was talking about it and doing something.

00:32:02.040 She made some phone calls.

00:32:04.620 That's it.

00:32:05.760 She had an opinion.

00:32:07.020 She had access.

00:32:07.820 She made some phone calls.

00:32:09.660 Or sent some emails, I guess.

00:32:11.460 So, there's nothing for this story.

00:32:15.080 Unless you're actually going to actively entertain the idea that the wife or the spouse of a justice doesn't have free speech.

00:32:25.660 And we're not.

00:32:26.580 We're not going to entertain that.

00:32:27.960 Ever.

00:32:28.940 That will never be something we entertain as a possibility.

00:32:33.420 So, why are we even talking about it?

00:32:35.700 She had an opinion.

00:32:36.660 She did something about it like a free citizen. 0.99

00:32:38.780 Somebody saw it.

00:32:39.540 But, let's move on.

00:32:42.280 It meant nothing.

00:32:43.360 Now, did it have an impact?

00:32:45.400 I doubt it.

00:32:46.480 Do you think Justice Thomas was almost going to vote for whatever the Democrat view on something was going to be?

00:32:53.980 I doubt it.

00:32:54.620 See, the problem with the Supreme Court is that you already know how they're going to vote almost all the time.

00:33:03.160 If you didn't know how they were going to vote, then you might worry about them being influenced.

00:33:07.520 But if you already know how they're going to vote on all the big stuff, meh, meh.

00:33:12.560 Here's a horrible thing that happened.

00:33:18.260 Biden, talking not even in the United States, on a foreign trip, mentioned again the fine people hoax as if it were real.

00:33:26.840 You know, the idea that Trump actually praised neo-Nazis in Charlottesville.

00:33:32.660 By the way, if there's anybody who's watching this live stream and still believes that Trump literally praised neo-Nazis in Charlottesville, do a little homework.

00:33:44.700 Because I think by now you should know that edited videos can reverse their meaning.

00:33:49.400 That's all that was.

00:33:50.240 So if you're new to this, that's the most debunked story that the mainstream press has said has been true for years.

00:33:59.680 But Biden, again, you know, uses this hoax like it's real.

00:34:06.220 It's way worse when you do it overseas.

00:34:08.780 Everybody agree?

00:34:10.160 That the way a president acts domestically is different, or should be, than the way they act when they're on foreign soil.

00:34:18.020 No, they don't have to.

00:34:18.960 I mean, it's not the law, but it's sort of a tradition, and it's a reasonable tradition.

00:34:24.800 But I think he threw the United States under the bus on foreign soil.

00:34:29.020 That's what I saw.

00:34:31.140 Is that interpretation no good?

00:34:34.960 Because if he's throwing half of the country under the bus overseas, that's no bueno.

00:34:42.740 No, that's no good.

00:34:44.940 You should be fired for that.

00:34:47.260 That's pretty bad.

00:34:48.960 I'm looking at my mixer, and my sound volume on my end is perfect.

00:34:57.420 All right.

00:34:57.820 Here's a question that I saw on a tweet from Machiavelli's Underbelly, keeping in mind that the Ukraine forces have verified actual Nazis, small number, I think, but there are actual Nazis fighting on the side of the Ukrainians.

00:35:15.880 And Machiavelli's Underbelly said, and Machiavelli said, someone should ask Biden if there are fine people on both sides of the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

00:35:25.760 Because what's he going to say?

00:35:37.200 Is he going to say that everybody in the Ukrainian military is a fine person?

00:35:45.360 I mean, it's going to kind of put him in a little trap, isn't it?

00:35:49.460 Now, let me ask you this.

00:35:51.740 What are the odds that Biden would make his signature move to become president, making fun of Trump for allegedly saying that neo-Nazis were fine people,

00:36:04.620 and that Biden would find himself in the exact situation as president, of having to explain why he has any support for a group that has Nazis verified, Nazis within them?

00:36:19.440 Let me ask you, have you ever in your life been in a situation where somebody accused you of backing Nazis because there were some in some group that you liked?

00:36:38.380 It's a weird, weird situation, and it looks like code reuse.

00:36:43.660 Now, one of the weirdest prediction methods that I use, and it's maddening when it works, because it shouldn't.

00:36:51.800 There's no reason that any logic would connect this.

00:36:55.480 But when you predict that the reality will take the same path that a well-written movie would take, or even a poorly written movie,

00:37:03.980 when you predict that reality will follow the format of a movie, and then it does, is that a coincidence?

00:37:11.800 It might be confirmation bias.

00:37:13.660 Most likely.

00:37:15.020 But it's a weird little technique, and I want to show you how well it worked recently.

00:37:23.020 Do you remember that I somewhat whimsically and jokingly tweeted that wouldn't it be sort of perfect if the simulation gave us the following?

00:37:33.820 Finding out that Hunter Biden funded the biolabs in Ukraine. 1.00

00:37:40.360 Now, I'm not saying that that happened.

00:37:42.720 I'm just saying, wouldn't that be like the perfect movie script, right?

00:37:48.880 Because you, and by the way, this is a Seinfeld writing technique.

00:37:54.220 I once worked with one of the original writers for Seinfeld, so Larry Charles, not to be confused with Larry David.

00:38:05.340 Larry David was one of the co-creators.

00:38:07.900 Larry Charles was one of the first writers when they began the show.

00:38:11.760 And I worked with Larry on a Dilbert TV show, so I got to know him pretty well.

00:38:16.340 And he told me the story about, and I probably have all the details wrong, but I think he was taking a walk with Larry David.

00:38:24.340 And they were talking about plots and writing, and they kind of came up with the idea of having separate plots that apparently had nothing to do with each other, and then very cleverly tying them together at the end, which became sort of a staple of Seinfeld TV.

00:38:41.120 Now, that's not that innovative, because movies always have an A story and a B story, and then in writing terms, the B story will interfere with the A story toward the end of the movie.

00:38:55.840 That's the standard.

00:38:56.820 But Seinfeld took it to more of an absurd level.

00:39:02.560 When you're watching a regular movie, you can almost always tell how that B story is going to interfere with the A story.

00:39:08.060 You know, you can see it coming.

00:39:10.220 But in Seinfeld, they make the weirdest connections between the two completely different stories, and that's what's funny.

00:39:17.160 What's funny is that the connection they make is just so ridiculous, but yet, in comic terms, it works.

00:39:23.920 So here we have this situation.

00:39:26.820 There is, I won't call it reporting, but there is a suggestion, and Tucker Carlson talked about it, that Hunter Biden was part of an investment group that invested in the bio labs in Ukraine.

00:39:42.760 And that actually, frickin' literally, maybe, all right, this is an allegation.

00:39:48.120 I'm not sure you can say this is a fact.

00:39:49.800 But that there's a good chance that, literally, Hunter Biden may have funded some bio labs.

00:39:57.840 Now, again, it doesn't mean the bio labs did anything wrong.

00:40:00.980 But let me take it to the Seinfeld extreme.

00:40:04.300 What's the next thing that happens in this movie?

00:40:10.660 The next thing that happens is that we find out that the coronavirus came out of a Hunter Biden-funded Ukrainian lab. 0.99

00:40:20.000 Now, I don't think there's any chance that that'll happen.

00:40:24.820 But that would be what the movie would be.

00:40:28.400 Am I right?

00:40:29.340 Because you see these weird, unrelated stories about Ukraine.

00:40:32.260 And we only have two stories in the last five years.

00:40:37.220 Well, again, I guess we have two major stories.

00:40:40.560 There's the coronavirus, and then there's the war with Ukraine.

00:40:45.720 Do those stories come together?

00:40:49.400 Because it looks like they might.

00:40:51.960 And let me tell you, can I propose something for you as a test?

00:40:56.980 Yes, in my opinion, there isn't really any chance that the bio labs in Ukraine are the source of the coronavirus. 0.88

00:41:04.520 I don't think that's possible.

00:41:07.420 But would you agree with me that if that ever came to be a fact, that you would accept that we live in a simulation?

00:41:16.740 Go.

00:41:18.160 Would you take that as your final nail that says, yep, okay, you got me.

00:41:24.600 You got me.

00:41:25.380 There's no way this happened by accident.

00:41:26.980 Okay, I didn't expect you all to agree.

00:41:32.380 By the way, you shouldn't agree with that.

00:41:34.360 That's not something you should agree with.

00:41:36.260 But I just wondered if people would.

00:41:37.780 I saw a lot of yeses.

00:41:39.380 Yeah, yes.

00:41:40.080 If that happens, you're going to wonder about the nature of reality.

00:41:45.160 I take you back to one of my best predictions of all time.

00:41:49.440 2015.

00:41:50.620 When I said that Trump would change more than politics.

00:41:54.600 I said he would change how you saw reality itself.

00:41:58.340 In the comments, was that a correct prediction?

00:42:05.740 And remember, I said it a lot because I was quite sure of it.

00:42:10.700 I said it a lot in 2015.

00:42:12.580 By the perspective of 2022, can we say that was one of the best predictions you've ever seen?

00:42:19.300 I think so.

00:42:21.640 I don't think.

00:42:23.100 Because it was so out of left field, wasn't it?

00:42:27.000 It wasn't even something that was on anybody's mind.

00:42:30.200 Nobody was saying, will it change reality or will it not?

00:42:33.360 Nobody was talking about that.

00:42:34.960 It wasn't even a sniff of an idea in anybody's head.

00:42:38.720 And I could see it like a bright light.

00:42:41.660 I mean, to me, it was like looking at the sun.

00:42:43.960 I mean, I could see it so clearly.

00:42:45.220 I was, oh, shit.

00:42:46.400 This isn't going to change politics.

00:42:48.540 This is going to change everything.

00:42:50.600 And specifically what I saw, and maybe what I understood at that point,

00:42:56.280 is that reality is way more subjective than the average person understands.

00:43:01.760 We all understand that there's a subjective nature to reality.

00:43:04.620 But you don't know the degree.

00:43:06.740 And what I saw was that Trump was going to change what you thought about facts.

00:43:13.960 That he was going to change what you thought was true.

00:43:16.760 And that you would never know what was true after that point.

00:43:21.140 And that's what happened.

00:43:22.540 That he would make you unable to know what was true because he would so deftly show things that weren't true as true.

00:43:30.700 And also, here's the trick.

00:43:32.880 He would tell you the things you believed were true forever weren't true, and you would come to believe it.

00:43:39.440 And you did.

00:43:40.680 You did.

00:43:41.200 So, that's by far my best prediction, I would say.

00:43:49.800 North Korea shot off a cool new intercontinental ballistic missile.

00:43:56.160 But the best part about it is, have you seen the video that North Korea itself made? 0.72

00:44:01.180 So, apparently, Kim Jong-un has lost a bunch of weight.

00:44:04.760 And if I could be objective about it, he looks great.

00:44:11.020 I hate to say it.

00:44:13.280 You hate to say it.

00:44:15.040 But he's developed sort of a, I guess, a style that actually works.

00:44:22.060 It totally works.

00:44:23.020 But I love the fact that he seems to be picking up tips from Putin, tips from Trump, and tips from Hollywood.

00:44:31.840 So, they produced this almost Top Gun-looking video where, you know, in movies where you see the cool guys, maybe there are two or three of them or more, and they're, you know, it's usually guys.

00:44:43.480 And they're walking, and behind them there's something awesome, but they're just ignoring it.

00:44:48.620 They're just walking looking awesome, but behind them there's something awesome.

00:44:52.280 So, they made that video, North Korea did.

00:44:54.980 And so, Kim Jong-un, he's got a flight jacket on, and he's got the aviator glasses, looking pretty sharp, looking good, actually.

00:45:01.840 Lost weight, looks healthy.

00:45:03.400 And he's got two generals that are looking like almost cartoon generals because, you know, the North Korean outfits are so little over the top.

00:45:11.400 And he's just, you know, walking in front of this enormous missile, and there are lots of video cuts where you see the thumbs up.

00:45:19.460 And it was actually great.

00:45:21.340 You know, I've never been more convinced that we should make, you know, we should continue to be, I guess, friendly with Kim Jong-un.

00:45:33.580 Because there's something very human about that guy, you know, monster though he may be, there's something very human about him that Trump accurately knew that the human part was the way in.

00:45:44.580 And so, he took the human part, hey, you're my friend, I love you, we're friends.

00:45:49.700 And then they worked.

00:45:51.280 Just treated them like friends.

00:45:52.720 Now, have you noticed that the news is not covering this like it's a danger to the United States in any real way?

00:45:59.160 I mean, they do say missile, nukes could reach the United States.

00:46:03.300 But am I wrong that Trump ended this as a problem?

00:46:07.140 I mean, maybe it's a little problem.

00:46:08.420 But it doesn't seem like we even treat it as a problem.

00:46:12.600 It's more like a story.

00:46:13.680 Hey, they got a good rocket.

00:46:14.960 How about that?

00:46:16.620 Why would they shoot us?

00:46:19.000 You know, North Korea doesn't have any reason to aim a nuke at us.

00:46:23.700 What reason?

00:46:25.500 So, yeah.

00:46:28.960 So, that's looking interesting.

00:46:32.500 I love this story about Italy.

00:46:35.260 There's an Italian shipyard where there's a super yacht that's worth, I don't know, 700 million dollars.

00:46:40.320 It's like, just, it's like a city.

00:46:42.300 It's just like freaking crazy.

00:46:44.240 And the belief is it might be Putin's own yacht.

00:46:49.900 And, you know, I saw the pictures of it.

00:46:54.280 It's worth looking at the pictures.

00:46:55.480 It's really, it's really quite a yacht.

00:46:57.320 Now, of course, if it's Putin's yacht, they're going to, you know, stop it.

00:47:01.020 And I wondered, you know, you think that the yacht stuff is sort of unimportant, don't you?

00:47:09.120 You think, well, if a billionaire loses a yacht, eh, make another one.

00:47:14.440 Or something like that.

00:47:16.100 But there's something in my mind that says, people being people,

00:47:19.940 that taking Putin's yacht, that probably has been 10 years in the making,

00:47:26.820 you should probably imagine that, and, you know, looking forward to being on his yacht,

00:47:30.460 or taking the other oligarchs at yachts, probably makes a bigger difference than you think. 1.00

00:47:36.720 Am I right?

00:47:37.540 Because it's just so personal.

00:47:41.100 And if you're an oligarch, nothing really affects you.

00:47:44.260 Right?

00:47:44.460 Little inflation, ah.

00:47:46.480 Nothing can affect you.

00:47:47.820 Yeah, you can take their cars, and they just buy another car.

00:47:50.900 But if you take their yacht, they're a billionaire without a yacht.

00:47:55.480 That feels like that would hurt, in a weird way that a billionaire could be hurt.

00:48:03.900 So you and I don't think it's a big deal because we don't care about a billionaire in his yacht.

00:48:08.220 But I'll bet the billionaire cares.

00:48:10.340 So I think this will be a great underrated technique.

00:48:16.040 And if they threaten Putin's yacht, I think that does increase the chance he would make a peace deal.

00:48:23.800 Am I wrong?

00:48:26.560 If you thought that this was Putin's yacht, it was $700 million.

00:48:30.280 Now he can afford it, so it's not really the money.

00:48:32.980 But they probably have his mind in the future on that yacht.

00:48:39.560 He probably spent lots of meetings.

00:48:41.780 I'll bet he spent a lot of meetings designing it.

00:48:44.580 Right?

00:48:45.360 So he's probably sort of emotionally and intellectually invested in the future of him being on that yacht.

00:48:51.640 If they say, we're going to take your yacht away if you don't make peace, you don't think that would make a difference?

00:48:59.060 I mean, it's not the difference.

00:49:01.240 It would totally make a difference.

00:49:03.000 There's nobody who would not be affected by that.

00:49:05.760 Based on everything I know about persuasion, Putin would act like he wasn't caring about it.

00:49:12.860 He would act like it.

00:49:14.160 He would say, I take my yacht, I don't care, I'll make another one.

00:49:17.780 But he would care.

00:49:19.360 I definitely think he would care.

00:49:20.500 I think it would make a difference.

00:49:23.680 All right.

00:49:26.180 Let's see if anything else is going on.

00:49:27.940 Mary Pol got completely destroyed, as you know, in Ukraine.

00:49:31.060 And I heard an anecdote of that the people who were leaving, trying to escape the destruction, had to go through Russian checkpoints.

00:49:40.440 And one of the things the Russians would check is it would make you delete your photos of the city that you're leaving that had been completely destroyed.

00:49:47.680 Yeah, everybody says that Putin would be okay without a yacht.

00:49:55.120 You haven't been rich.

00:49:57.120 You haven't been rich.

00:50:00.300 I'll bet.

00:50:01.000 I'll bet.

00:50:03.000 I'll bet.

00:50:03.500 Because if you're a billionaire, there probably aren't that many things that you can do that would excite you.

00:50:09.260 Am I right?

00:50:10.120 Do you think a billionaire would get excited by a new car?

00:50:13.300 Well, maybe the first two.

00:50:15.480 But like your third supercar?

00:50:18.260 Eh, not much.

00:50:19.860 But I do think a billionaire would be excited by their own yacht if it's the best yacht in the world.

00:50:27.020 I think nobody would not be excited about that.

00:50:30.480 So if you think that Putin doesn't care because, ah, he can always get another yacht and he's got work to do anyway, I don't think so.

00:50:37.680 I think every human would care about that.

00:50:40.800 Just my opinion.

00:50:43.480 Anyway, I wonder if we'll ever see pictures of Mary Pol if all the people have to delete their pictures before they leave.

00:50:50.620 And I'm amazed that Mary Pol didn't fall. 0.99

00:50:53.900 They destroyed the whole thing to rubble and the Ukrainians are like, hey, barely a flesh wound. 1.00

00:51:01.120 Amazing.

00:51:03.000 Here's the thing that scares me most in the world.

00:51:08.680 Fertilizer.

00:51:10.640 It's the only thing I'm worried about.

00:51:14.020 I'm not worried about nuclear war.

00:51:16.440 Not worried about inflation.

00:51:18.520 It's terrible.

00:51:19.860 But I think we have a way past it.

00:51:22.220 It'll just be hard.

00:51:24.200 But the fertilizer shortage is mass starvation.

00:51:29.680 Mass starvation.

00:51:31.180 And the impact on food prices, I don't know how an economy can handle that, really.

00:51:38.260 So, this is going to be another test of the Adams law of slow-moving disasters.

00:51:46.240 I think I've told you maybe a few years ago that we already had a fertilizer shortage.

00:51:51.300 So, running on a fertilizer is something we knew was a possibility for, I don't know, 10 or 20 years.

00:51:57.300 So, does that mean that there's enough of a runway that we can do something when there's a shock to the system?

00:52:04.400 Probably not.

00:52:05.280 Not quickly.

00:52:06.260 But let me give you a little idea of what's happening.

00:52:10.160 Did you know that if you do a vertical farm, which is an indoor farm, in which they put the plants up a wall, lots of different walls, that you would use 0.1% of the water, land, and fertilizer of an outdoor farm?

00:52:27.380 So, you could reduce your fertilizer need by 99.9% to grow indoors.

00:52:36.360 But, what is the big problem with growing indoors?

00:52:40.300 Anybody?

00:52:40.980 Anybody?

00:52:41.940 Don't need as much water.

00:52:43.200 Don't need as much fertilizer.

00:52:44.800 Energy.

00:52:45.500 Capital.

00:52:47.140 Not sun.

00:52:48.040 Interestingly, not sun.

00:52:50.760 It's electricity.

00:52:52.820 You know, startup costs.

00:52:54.320 Et cetera.

00:52:54.560 So, I don't know if this number holds, but one expert said that vertical farming is still four to five times more expensive, and that mostly that's energy cost.

00:53:05.160 Can you imagine Elon Musk building a vertical farm prototype that not only uses, let's say, solar powers or something, but has a way to maybe be more cost-effective?

00:53:22.740 And Elon will build it in a tunnel.

00:53:27.220 Yeah.

00:53:28.260 It seems to me that we may have a gigantic innovation wave coming in vertical farms, because I'm pretty sure we have to grow everything indoors eventually.

00:53:39.480 Climate change alone, variability of the weather, et cetera.

00:53:43.220 And let me ask you this.

00:53:44.720 If you build the structure, and you get the energy cost down, you're done, right?

00:53:50.200 Because the structure could probably last a long time.

00:53:53.720 And as long as you get the energy cost.

00:53:56.540 So, basically, once again, climate change becomes the problem.

00:54:03.100 Because climate change keeps the price of power high.

00:54:09.840 At least the green movement has reduced fossil fuels, keeps the price high of energy.

00:54:17.180 So, it seems that Greta Thunberg has really found a way to destroy the entire world in every way that you possibly can.

00:54:28.240 Because even our food costs will go through the roof.

00:54:30.620 We won't have an alternative.

00:54:33.100 But here's what I think will happen.

00:54:36.740 So, it looks like, I would say there will be a tremendous wave of vertical farming.

00:54:42.420 There are a number of companies in this space.

00:54:45.840 Now, I don't recommend, I do not recommend investments.

00:54:51.480 Hear this clearly.

00:54:53.060 This is not an investment recommendation.

00:54:56.580 But, apparently, there are funds of just vertical growing companies.

00:55:04.760 They're mostly smallish.

00:55:06.340 So, you can invest in vertical farms.

00:55:10.080 At a time when, I don't know if there would be a better time to invest in a vertical farm.

00:55:15.840 This might be the best time in the world.

00:55:18.780 Oh, somebody's talking about seaweed farms.

00:55:20.700 Yeah.

00:55:21.000 That's another great potential.

00:55:23.400 Apparently, you can turn seaweed into all kinds of stuff.

00:55:26.220 Food, products, etc.

00:55:28.420 And, that's probably another way to go.

00:55:32.980 So, here's my take on this.

00:55:35.680 The unintended consequence of this war.

00:55:39.760 Reduce fertilizer availability.

00:55:43.320 Pushes indoor vertical farming.

00:55:49.520 Long term, we're better off.

00:55:52.720 Long term.

00:55:53.240 So, this is one of those weird wars.

00:55:56.080 I guess a lot of them have this quality.

00:55:58.420 Where you don't want the war. 0.63

00:56:00.700 But, the war was the only thing that caused the big change that turned out to be good in the long run. 0.86

00:56:05.400 So, you need a war now and then just to shape the box.

00:56:08.480 And, that looks like that's what happened with fertilizer.

00:56:10.680 All right.

00:56:12.340 Ladies and gentlemen, that is the end of my prepared comments.

00:56:21.520 Apparently, I'm hearing you can make everything from seaweed from food to sexual lubricants.

00:56:29.500 And, that's why fish are so happy.

00:56:35.580 All right.

00:56:39.260 Oh, interesting.

00:56:40.440 There's a Star Trek about that.

00:56:42.860 CO2 is a net benefit.

00:56:44.920 Net benefit to growing.

00:56:46.520 Yes.

00:56:48.260 It's easier to get fertilizer than to achieve vertical farming.

00:56:51.980 That might be.

00:56:52.960 But, my understanding is that you need to mine one of the minerals, right?

00:56:58.680 Potassium?

00:56:59.860 And, that we don't really have the availability.

00:57:03.220 At least, we don't know where there's big mines full of potassium, I think.

00:57:08.000 So, vertical makes its own shade.

00:57:14.320 Yeah.

00:57:15.540 You can fix that with mirrors, can't you?

00:57:18.760 All right.

00:57:20.080 So, here's what I see coming.

00:57:24.980 There's either going to be immense starvation coming.

00:57:29.780 Well, actually, there's no way to avoid that.

00:57:31.840 If you don't have enough food, what do you do?

00:57:35.720 Have you noticed that your grocery store seems to have made some permanent changes about products that are available?

00:57:42.300 And yet, yeah, you wish you had those other products, but you got by.

00:57:45.780 One possibility, and this gets back to the Adams Law of slow-moving disasters.

00:57:52.040 I think we'll adjust.

00:57:55.040 I think we'll adjust.

00:57:57.660 Sort of like year 2000, or bug.

00:58:01.060 It seemed like there was nothing you could do, but then, eh, we figured it out.

00:58:03.940 No big deal.

00:58:04.420 So, I would suspect that all over the world, there are alternative food sources that are trying to ramp up as quickly as possible, because they know it makes sense.

00:58:15.560 Yeah, we're good problem solvers, so we'll probably get through this, but I do think there will be some starvation at risk.

00:58:24.320 What I'd like to see is a way to grow quinoa and process it in my own house, so I get that good protein.

00:58:35.960 Quinoa is great, especially if you mix it with brown rice.

00:58:44.780 All right, yeah, somebody over here saying soil and green.

00:58:51.100 Whoever is saying soil and green, you might be new to this live stream.

00:58:55.300 You might be, unless you're joking.

00:58:57.900 It's the matrix with soil and green.

00:59:01.920 Wrong altitude to grow quinoa, is that true?

00:59:04.540 Do you need a certain altitude for quinoa?

00:59:08.140 I wouldn't be surprised.

00:59:09.820 Do you need a high altitude for quinoa?

00:59:14.520 Or a contextual joke, okay.

00:59:21.580 Okay, Teresa is rejoicing in the Lord.

00:59:24.740 Good for you.

00:59:28.020 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is all I have for you.

00:59:31.580 With your permission, and even without it, YouTube, I'm going to turn you off, and I'm going to talk to the locals people a little bit more.

00:59:40.580 And sorry about the sound if you had a real problem there, and I'll talk to you tomorrow.

00:59:45.900 Whoa.

00:59:46.240 Bye-bye.

00:59:46.520 Bye-bye.

00:59:47.560 Bye-bye.

00:59:48.740 Bye-bye.

00:59:49.420 Bye-bye.

00:59:51.420 Bye-bye.

00:59:52.380 Bye-bye.

00:59:54.880 Bye-bye.

00:59:54.940 Bye-bye.

00:59:55.520 Bye-bye.

01:00:03.680 Bye-bye.

01:00:04.460 Bye-bye.

01:00:07.060 Bye-bye.

01:00:08.200 Bye-bye.

01:00:08.220 Bye-bye.

01:00:08.440 Bye-bye.

01:00:08.820 Bye-bye.

01:00:09.100 Bye-bye.

01:00:10.080 Bye-bye.

01:00:10.540 Bye-bye.

01:00:10.820 Bye-bye.

01:00:11.340 Bye-bye.

01:00:11.840 Bye-bye.

01:00:12.320 Bye-bye.

01:00:13.140 Bye-bye.

01:00:13.720 Bye-bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 25, 2022

Episode 1693 Scott Adams： How The War in Ukraine Ends and Lots of Fake News Per Usual

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