Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1709 Scott Adams： Today I Will Explain How To Persuade Putin And, Separately, Cure Your Laziness

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to once again the highlight of human civilization

00:00:14.360 and possibly some aliens who came before. We don't know, we don't know, can't rule it down.

00:00:20.740 And today I'm going to blow your mind even more than the mushroom trip without the mushrooms

00:00:27.380 that I took you on the last time. Can I do it? Can I? Can I move my whiteboard so it doesn't look like

00:00:35.660 there's a weird point coming out of my head? I'll bet I can. I'll bet I can. I did. Yeah, today's a

00:00:41.920 double whiteboard day. How lucky are you? That's how lucky. Yeah, two whiteboards. Now if you're

00:00:50.940 listening and not watching, I will describe them. They're not that complicated. But I know you get

00:00:56.420 excited when you see the double whiteboard. And you should. But if you want to take that excitement

00:01:01.160 up to a new level and a heretofore unknown level, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or

00:01:09.480 chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask or vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:15.880 I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:22.600 And it's called the simultaneous symptoms. It's going to happen now. Go.

00:01:31.180 Oh, yeah.

00:01:36.320 So for the past two years or so, I started noticing a weird pattern in my life. And I want to see if

00:01:45.720 anyone else has had any similar pattern. It goes like this. I wake up in the morning and I say to

00:01:53.560 myself, oh, what's the plot twist going to be today? And there is one every day. Every day I wake up and

00:02:02.900 there's a plot twist. I'm talking about something so unusual that it looks like it came out of a reality

00:02:09.740 TV show. You know how in a reality TV show, there's always a plot twist? Oh, somebody did something,

00:02:16.920 the thing that you didn't know about. Somebody talked to somebody. Somebody's mad about a thing.

00:02:23.460 And it was every day for years. And to the point where I'd go all day long and it'd be, say, it's

00:02:31.240 five o'clock in the evening. And I'd say to myself, no plot twist. But then it would come

00:02:39.220 before I went to bed. Plot twist every time. Now, is it possible that that could happen so many times

00:02:47.440 on its own? And I'm talking about, I'm talking about things that are as mind blowing as, you know,

00:02:55.640 learning out, you know, learning that you're an android. I mean, I'm talking about really

00:03:00.620 basically mind blowing stuff. Has anybody had that experience? Where you just get a plot twist

00:03:08.500 every day? Or is this somehow limited to me or confirmation bias? Nope, nobody else, huh?

00:03:15.880 So, okay. Some people are saying yes. All right. Actually, we're getting some yeses here.

00:03:26.740 More than I thought. All right. Interesting. I don't know what that means, I think. But when

00:03:31.840 I ask myself why we would be a simulated environment, assuming we are, because I think we are a simulation,

00:03:39.340 not an original species, why would we exist? Why would anybody make us? And the answer is to

00:03:44.420 test stuff. Or for entertainment. I feel as though my life has become somebody else's entertainment.

00:03:54.160 Like, it looks like, I feel like I'm in a reality TV show, but I'm not aware of it. That's what the

00:04:00.180 plot twists look like. I'm like, I don't know. These plot twists look exactly like a writer introduced

00:04:07.300 them into the plot. They don't look naturally occurring. So I feel like I'm in some kind of reality

00:04:13.620 TV show. Somebody's watching. All right. I'll get a little bit weirder now. Have you noticed that a lot

00:04:22.760 of self-help advice and books have one thing in common, which is positive thinking? Have you ever

00:04:29.880 noticed that? The most famous original self-help book of all time was called The Power of Positive

00:04:35.540 Thinking, which I read and was very influential in my development. And President Trump coincidentally

00:04:44.420 went to church and the minister, I think it is the right name, or pastor, I forget what you call each

00:04:53.180 leader of each church, but I think it was the minister, was actually the author of that book,

00:04:58.480 The Power of Positive Thinking. And Trump talks about it, having an impact on it. But other books,

00:05:06.940 including my own, Had It Failed Almost Everything and Still Went Big, have some element of that at their

00:05:13.120 core, that you have to think right to get a good outcome. Now, my version, I talk about shelf space,

00:05:20.500 your mental shelf space. And specifically, I talk about you can't stop thinking about something negative.

00:05:28.480 You don't have the ability to turn off a thought. People want to, but you can't. It's not a thing.

00:05:34.200 What you can do is crowd it out with other thoughts. Just be busy, keep your mind somewhere

00:05:40.760 else, and you just will take up the time, the shelf space, so to speak. So there's just less room for

00:05:45.620 the negative, until you kill it by atrophy. So the less you think about something, the less power it will

00:05:51.300 have over time. So there are all these different, you know, fields of self-help that all have this core.

00:05:58.480 And I found out just this week, why that might actually work. Because haven't you always wondered

00:06:09.220 why it works? Or does it work? I mean, the first question is, does it work? I don't want, I'm not

00:06:14.820 trying to make you think past the sale. Does it work? And if it does work, why does it work? Is it just,

00:06:21.820 do we imagine it works? Is it purely some form of placebo, where you just, you think it worked, but

00:06:29.860 nothing happened? Well, here's something I just found out.

00:06:33.820 Whiteboard number one, coming at you. Yeah. Good times. All right. Here's why it might work.

00:06:46.740 Turns out that if you are exposed to a positive, feel-good thought or experience, that your dopamine

00:06:54.460 will improve. So for example, if you love kittens, and I handed you a little kitten,

00:07:01.660 probably your dopamine would go up a little bit. And your dopamine has a big impact on you,

00:07:07.460 your happiness, right? But here's the part that I hadn't quite appreciated. I knew that dopamine feels

00:07:13.920 good, and that it's hard to be happy without it. And I knew that if you had the right kind of,

00:07:19.280 you know, stimulation, you could produce more of it. But here's the part I didn't know,

00:07:25.060 that dopamine has two primary purposes, if you want to think of it that way.

00:07:31.160 One is a reward, the thing that makes you feel good. But the other is it's implicated in movement.

00:07:37.480 You don't actually do anything until your dopamine is in the right state. And if your dopamine is low,

00:07:44.540 you end up with Parkinson's. So the reason they treat Parkinson's with L-DOPA is to give you a little

00:07:50.800 more dopamine boost to cure your randomness of motion. If you want to move in a particular direction

00:07:59.140 or toward a particular thing, you need your dopamine to be in line. And so we have a logical,

00:08:08.700 science-based, completely non-controversial explanation of why positive thoughts might

00:08:17.860 get you to the place you want. So imagine, if you will, that you spend your time thinking of a

00:08:23.520 positive thing that's going to happen to you. Like, oh, I'm going to have this promotion,

00:08:27.260 or I'm going to live in a big house, have a nice family, fall in love, whatever it is that is your

00:08:32.620 thing. And you're thinking all these positive thoughts about the future. And those things

00:08:38.520 create dopamine. And then what kind of action do you think is going to happen? The only thing that

00:08:43.640 we do are the things we imagine we can do. That's it. The things you imagine are the things you do.

00:08:50.160 You never do something except, I guess, like accidentally, that you didn't imagine. You know,

00:08:56.900 even driving to work in the morning is you sort of imagine it first, and then you can do it.

00:09:01.660 You got to imagine it. So imagination does seem directly related to producing the chemical that

00:09:09.120 creates the motion toward the thing. It's actually just that simple. The things you think about,

00:09:16.480 the things you imagine, are the only things that activate you. And if you think about positive

00:09:21.340 things, it activates you in exactly the right way. And if you spend your time thinking about

00:09:26.680 negative things, it would activate you in a different way. And so maybe it is this simple.

00:09:33.980 Maybe it's that simple. Now, here's the part where I blow your head off. 0.99

00:09:40.920 I didn't even get to the good part yet. What if, what if, laziness is a habit of thinking about the cost of

00:09:53.020 things or things or the effort, instead of thinking about the payoff? I'm going to say

00:10:00.480 it again to get a few more heads to explode. What if laziness is nothing but a habit of thinking

00:10:10.480 about the effort instead of thinking about the outcome? What if you could reverse laziness by simply

00:10:19.020 developing a habit of thinking more about the, uh, let's say the delicious food that you would like to enjoy

00:10:25.840 instead of how long it would take you to get up and go get it? 0.99

00:10:32.080 Holy shit is right. 1.00

00:10:35.160 Holy shit is right. 1.00

00:10:36.960 It might be that easy. 0.96

00:10:39.120 So this is one of the reframes or the type of reframe that I'm going to include in the book I'm working on.

00:10:44.480 Because I can't prove that this works, but do I have to?

00:10:51.240 I mean, it seems so logically connected that it's hard to imagine it doesn't work.

00:10:56.240 It'd be hard to come up with an argument that this chain of events doesn't reliably work.

00:11:02.740 So, uh, but the, but the real question is if you were to test this at home

00:11:06.920 and try to see if you can think more about the good outcome and less about the work,

00:11:12.840 would you get it done?

00:11:14.420 Why is it that people have a second child?

00:11:17.540 You know, why does a woman who goes through this awful, awful childbirth 0.99

00:11:21.820 have a second child?

00:11:25.820 Don't they always say the same thing?

00:11:27.240 If I remembered how bad this was, I wouldn't do it again.

00:11:31.240 Right?

00:11:31.680 So the, the not thinking about the effort is vital to actually the survival of humanity.

00:11:39.720 If we focused on how hard it was to have a baby, you just wouldn't do it.

00:11:43.380 Or you do, you do too little of it.

00:11:45.800 But if you focus on how awesome it would be to have a family, well, there you go.

00:11:51.120 You're going to go through the pain because you've already, you've already committed.

00:11:55.340 So, uh, and I have this experience with writing books.

00:11:59.160 Intellectually, I know that writing a book ruins almost a year and a half of my life.

00:12:05.140 I mean, it really, really puts a, a wet blanket on all your free time if you're writing a book.

00:12:10.280 And you have to think about it all the time.

00:12:12.260 So it's, it's really a big expense on top of your normal career if you have a regular career, as I do.

00:12:18.140 It's not as bad if all you do is write.

00:12:20.200 So, the way that I can write a book is I have to forget about how hard it is.

00:12:26.300 And just think about how cool it is to have a book if it does well.

00:12:29.680 You know, I imagine it doing well and people, people talking about it, maybe having a difference.

00:12:34.980 So I think about all these positive things and then I can write it.

00:12:37.940 So, am I, am I ambitious or do I simply have a thinking habit which produces dopamine because I'm thinking about the positive outcome?

00:12:50.680 And is the dopamine the thing that gets me up and moving?

00:12:53.920 And when you're observing me, you say, how the hell do you get so much done?

00:12:58.480 Right?

00:12:58.720 Well, the single, probably the most common question I'm asked in my entire career is how do you get all that done?

00:13:07.220 Because, you know, you know I have a variety of things going, just the things you see.

00:13:11.740 Now, imagine the things you see multiplied by the things you don't know anything about.

00:13:17.300 You know, because, because you see me cartooning, you know, I have to write a cartoon every day on average.

00:13:23.640 I don't work on it every day.

00:13:24.980 I do this live stream every day, sometimes twice, trying to write a book.

00:13:30.040 You can imagine how much administrative effort there is in just keeping the operation running.

00:13:34.620 Then on top of that, you know, a personal life, trying to keep my house that's being remodeled, the construction project.

00:13:41.500 That's just a sample.

00:13:43.380 It's like, like you have no idea.

00:13:46.660 If you could imagine how complicated my life is, you wouldn't even believe it.

00:13:52.320 Right?

00:13:52.580 And how do I do it?

00:13:54.980 I think it's just this.

00:13:57.020 I think it's just this.

00:13:58.500 When I think of all the things I do, I think about them in terms of their benefits.

00:14:03.640 I love doing this.

00:14:05.720 Like right now, like at this moment, I'm about as happy as I'll be all day.

00:14:11.600 To me, this is excellent.

00:14:13.120 This is a great, great experience.

00:14:15.560 Because, I don't know, I'm not even sure exactly why I like it.

00:14:19.100 I guess it's a variety of things that makes it a good time for me.

00:14:24.820 But I didn't really think about the fact that I had to spend two hours preparing.

00:14:31.560 You know, I was up at, I don't know, 2.30 this morning, couldn't sleep.

00:14:38.000 So, you know, I spent maybe two hours preparing for today.

00:14:41.200 But I never once thought about the two hours.

00:14:44.080 I only thought that, oh, this would be fun.

00:14:45.880 I can't wait to, you know, turn it on and be doing this thing.

00:14:48.640 So, here's your tip.

00:14:50.280 It's going to change some of your lives.

00:14:52.820 Think about the positive, not about the work, and see what that does to you.

00:14:57.060 Well, in the news, Boris Johnson visited Kiev and walked around the city, seemingly safe, with Zelensky.

00:15:06.440 Now, so the Russian troops have, they have pulled away from Kiev, right?

00:15:13.400 That's a done deal, isn't it?

00:15:16.820 Didn't Ukraine win?

00:15:19.460 Well, wasn't that clearly, you know, the objective of Russia was to take Kiev and put in a puppet?

00:15:28.520 I mean, I feel as though, if you look at the primary goal, that Russia lost, and they've already admitted it.

00:15:37.380 Now, I know what you're saying, that Russia's clever. 0.80

00:15:40.300 What they're going to do is consolidate things in the south, and then they'll start moving toward the capital again,

00:15:45.680 or they'll squeeze them out, or they'll blackmail them, or something.

00:15:49.380 Maybe. Maybe.

00:15:51.600 But it kind of looks like they lost and they know it.

00:15:54.840 So they're consolidating their forces in the region, Donbass and whatever, the regions where they've got victories and they seem to have control.

00:16:05.080 But here's the thing that I don't quite get.

00:16:12.260 But has Putin figured out how he could occupy Ukraine in the long run?

00:16:18.220 Because I don't see how you can do it.

00:16:20.620 And this is what I mean, in this specific case.

00:16:22.880 Isn't it just a number of drones?

00:16:29.180 Let's go to the second whiteboard.

00:16:31.660 Are you ready for this?

00:16:33.800 I know.

00:16:34.360 One whiteboard is a lot to absorb, but...

00:16:37.660 Two?

00:16:38.620 Wow.

00:16:39.620 I know.

00:16:40.240 I think you could do it.

00:16:42.260 Second concept of the day.

00:16:47.020 Persuading Putin.

00:16:49.780 What would it take to persuade Putin?

00:16:51.700 First answer?

00:16:53.340 Nothing.

00:16:54.420 Nothing would persuade Putin.

00:16:56.200 Putin cannot be persuaded. 1.00

00:16:58.240 He's crazy. 1.00

00:16:59.080 He's Hitler. 1.00

00:17:00.160 He's made up his mind.

00:17:01.680 Maybe.

00:17:03.060 Good chance of that.

00:17:04.380 Good chance of that.

00:17:05.520 I would, however, submit to you that there's literally one piece of data, and you don't even have to be accurate,

00:17:13.740 that would persuade Putin that he already lost.

00:17:17.720 And that he needs to figure out how to manage the defeat.

00:17:21.700 Right now, he's still managing the war.

00:17:25.160 The best persuasion would get him to manage the withdrawal or manage what the defeat looks like.

00:17:31.080 So here's the one piece of data that would persuade Putin to stop now.

00:17:38.940 Stop focusing on the fight, because Putin might win the fight.

00:17:44.280 Am I right?

00:17:45.120 If I said to you, who's going to win, you know, in that area of Ukraine, and maybe even the rest of Ukraine,

00:17:51.760 if I said, who's going to win militarily, what would all of you say?

00:17:56.940 It depends how determined he is.

00:17:59.460 If he's decided to take it, he's going to take it.

00:18:03.760 And it looks like he has.

00:18:06.560 It looks like he's decided to take it, and it looks like he will.

00:18:11.600 But then what?

00:18:13.900 But then what?

00:18:15.840 He has to hold it, right?

00:18:17.180 The whole point is to occupy it.

00:18:19.620 He also took, you know, all that area around the Capitol.

00:18:23.600 But he didn't hold it, so what was the point of taking it?

00:18:28.860 So here's the thing that I think the news needs to report, or maybe not.

00:18:34.600 Maybe not.

00:18:35.300 I'll tell you why.

00:18:36.400 Is how many of these portable drones, the switchblade type, can be delivered to Ukraine, and in what time?

00:18:45.460 Because there's a theoretical number of them, which we could reach, and I just threw in a month here.

00:18:51.460 This is a random month, maybe by the summer, maybe by the end of the year.

00:18:57.220 If Ukraine held on, how many of these could they get? 0.93

00:19:00.740 Now, the switchblade drones, let me give you a demonstration that is so amazing.

00:19:07.480 I think you'll be impressed.

00:19:08.940 You will.

00:19:10.280 Watch this.

00:19:11.680 If you're watching, or if you're listening on audio, this won't be impressive at all, but watch how well I do this.

00:19:18.920 So you've got this little backpack, and in your backpack, you take out one of these switchblade drones.

00:19:27.240 And I think it fires out of a tube, and it comes out like a missile.

00:19:32.360 But in the air, once it's launched, its wings go like a switchblade.

00:19:39.400 No, like this.

00:19:40.080 So that it becomes a little plane.

00:19:43.860 I think it has two wings, actually, from the back.

00:19:46.100 And then it can fly several kilometers.

00:19:51.280 So you can launch these things from far away.

00:19:54.100 The military person who fires it then has a little monitor.

00:19:58.400 I saw a picture of it.

00:19:59.300 It looks like, you know, you can cover it from outside distractions, like light.

00:20:03.480 And just puts it on its head, and then he can see the drone.

00:20:07.540 Then the drone can fly for many miles, looking at the terrain.

00:20:12.240 And then it gets to a place, and it can just kind of hang around for, I think, 10 minutes or something.

00:20:18.180 How many minutes?

00:20:19.600 Somebody will tell me.

00:20:20.900 But you can hang around for a long time, just looking down, as the soldier who's in the remote place is watching it.

00:20:27.600 And then it can just pick out a target and just destroy it.

00:20:32.620 Now, somebody says 15 minutes, it can hover.

00:20:36.520 Now, here's my question.

00:20:38.740 How do you defend against that?

00:20:41.440 Now, quick answer is, the way you defend is with electronic means, right?

00:20:46.400 You jam them.

00:20:48.420 Has the jamming worked so far?

00:20:51.520 Have you heard any story that says, you know, all these drones aren't working at all,

00:20:55.640 because those Russian jammers are just jamming them up?

00:21:00.720 No.

00:21:01.560 No.

00:21:02.140 In fact, you're not hearing that at all.

00:21:03.780 So either Russia doesn't have good jammers,

00:21:06.540 or the workaround for the jammers is simple enough that it's not slowing them down.

00:21:12.600 I imagine that the jamming equipment itself is fairly identifiable, isn't it?

00:21:18.120 Couldn't you see the jamming equipment, or at least know where it is, or locate it?

00:21:23.300 I mean, there's probably anti-jamming munitions of some kind.

00:21:28.720 But they also have to turn it off now and then.

00:21:31.300 Did you know that?

00:21:32.700 Just turn it off.

00:21:34.380 And the reason they have to turn it off is they often have to launch their own drones.

00:21:39.140 So the Ukrainians would wait until the Russian military launched their own drones, 0.91

00:21:43.760 which required turning off their own anti-drone jamming equipment,

00:21:47.860 and then they'd attack.

00:21:48.860 So that's just a sample of the military back and forth of adjusting to each other's tactics.

00:21:57.240 But as far as I can tell, there doesn't seem to be any permanent way

00:22:01.560 to stop these switchblade attacks.

00:22:05.340 And so, since they can be launched from a distance,

00:22:08.840 it takes one person to carry them and one person to launch them,

00:22:11.780 isn't the only thing that we wonder about is how many there are

00:22:16.820 and how quickly we can get them?

00:22:19.120 I think even training is not a huge deal.

00:22:22.900 I think you could probably watch a YouTube video on how to use them.

00:22:26.960 They're built to be used in the field, not by an engineer or a scientist.

00:22:32.620 Now, of course, I need a fact check on that.

00:22:35.940 But my belief is it's probably not a lot harder than operating a commercial drone

00:22:42.700 that you would buy online and buzz your neighbor.

00:22:46.300 I'll bet it's not that much harder

00:22:47.640 because they wouldn't have designed it to be that hard.

00:22:51.320 They would have to design it to be simple.

00:22:57.480 There are many defenses against jamming, yes.

00:23:00.340 One of the defenses against jamming is to have your signal vary in real time.

00:23:07.700 So if your signal is varying in real time,

00:23:09.600 the jamming may not be widespread enough to hit the right frequency.

00:23:14.700 So you've got your jamming, your anti-jamming, et cetera.

00:23:18.640 All right, so my question is this.

00:23:21.200 If we wanted to persuade Putin,

00:23:23.640 could we persuade him that he will lose the military battle?

00:23:27.260 Answer is probably not.

00:23:28.720 Probably not.

00:23:30.340 Because he just has to decide how much pain he wants to take.

00:23:34.120 And he probably can take as much as he needs to to get it done.

00:23:37.660 So instead, persuade him that occupation is impossible.

00:23:41.780 Not improbable and not hard.

00:23:44.340 Actually impossible.

00:23:46.740 Impossible.

00:23:48.200 Right?

00:23:48.900 So you can't say it's going to be really, really hard.

00:23:51.480 That gets you nothing.

00:23:52.680 Because he's already committed to really, really hard.

00:23:55.840 It has to be impossible.

00:23:56.780 And I do think that he could be convinced

00:23:59.680 that at some number of switchblades,

00:24:03.320 switchblade drones and the like,

00:24:06.560 you know, similar equipment,

00:24:08.360 that at some level, you can't hold them.

00:24:11.540 Here's a question for you.

00:24:13.260 Where would the occupying troops,

00:24:15.160 how would they sleep?

00:24:18.600 Would they have to sleep one person, you know,

00:24:22.040 and a mile away another person?

00:24:23.920 Wouldn't they be in a barracks?

00:24:27.560 I mean, they're not going to be underground, are they?

00:24:29.840 Is the occupying force going to be underground?

00:24:33.280 Yeah, I don't think you can hide all of the military stuff.

00:24:36.140 I believe that, you know, once a night,

00:24:39.480 a military barracks would blow up under occupation.

00:24:42.980 Probably once a night.

00:24:44.780 How do you keep your military motivated to keep the occupation up

00:24:49.360 if one of their barracks blows up every night?

00:24:53.360 Right?

00:24:54.360 And that's just the barracks.

00:24:56.000 Imagine how many other things they could blow up.

00:24:59.120 So I don't think there's any way

00:25:01.060 to hold or to occupy a country militarily.

00:25:06.460 Well, there are two ways.

00:25:07.980 If Putin had taken Kiev instantly

00:25:11.160 and put in a puppet,

00:25:13.940 it might have worked.

00:25:15.740 Do you think?

00:25:17.280 If Putin's original plan,

00:25:19.120 as we imagine it was, we don't know,

00:25:21.220 but if his original plan was just

00:25:22.960 to quickly put in a puppet,

00:25:24.220 I think that's worked before.

00:25:26.480 Partly because the public says,

00:25:28.100 ah, you know, the last one was corrupt too.

00:25:31.440 Ah, it doesn't make that much difference.

00:25:33.500 I'd rather just go to work today.

00:25:35.340 You know, one puppet gets replaced by another puppet.

00:25:38.560 That might have worked.

00:25:40.260 It might have worked, or at least for a while.

00:25:42.380 But that didn't happen.

00:25:44.240 So now that it's a destroy the country down to rubble,

00:25:48.200 I think the Ukrainians are a little bit angry 1.00

00:25:50.540 and motivated to do whatever it takes

00:25:52.400 to change the situation.

00:25:54.740 And if they have unlimited drones,

00:25:57.060 or at least an unlimited stream of them coming in,

00:26:00.700 how could anybody occupy the country?

00:26:03.940 I don't think it could be done.

00:26:05.480 Because you have enough people to use the drones

00:26:07.300 and enough drones. 0.52

00:26:08.820 So, how do you persuade Putin?

00:26:11.040 The question is,

00:26:12.340 if we're here, hypothetically,

00:26:15.080 meaning that not enough drones

00:26:16.820 have been delivered to Ukraine

00:26:18.320 to stop an occupation,

00:26:19.900 just enough to, you know,

00:26:22.200 maybe give them a little pause,

00:26:24.620 but how long would it take us,

00:26:28.060 and could we,

00:26:29.040 is it even possible,

00:26:30.300 to get to the number where even Putin would say,

00:26:32.900 okay, that's impossible now.

00:26:34.640 That's actually impossible.

00:26:35.880 There's no way to occupy this country.

00:26:37.600 Do you think Putin knows how many drones are being shipped?

00:26:44.580 And do you think he knows where the crossover point is?

00:26:47.880 He does not.

00:26:49.460 He does not know how many we're shipping,

00:26:51.340 how many we can ship,

00:26:52.380 and he doesn't know what the crossover point is.

00:26:55.860 That's why we should make one up.

00:27:01.020 Just start saying there is one.

00:27:03.380 Because whoever goes first defines the talking point.

00:27:08.300 So if none of us have any idea in our mind

00:27:10.800 how many switchblades it would take

00:27:12.320 to make Ukraine impossible to occupy,

00:27:15.680 let's create that number.

00:27:17.540 Is it 10,000?

00:27:18.720 Imagine seeing headlines starting to come out

00:27:22.500 that says 10,000 switchblades

00:27:26.100 make Ukraine unoccupiable. 0.64

00:27:30.680 They have 4,000 already.

00:27:34.500 By summer, they'll have 15,000.

00:27:38.660 It only takes 10,000 to be unoccupiable.

00:27:42.980 Now, is that true?

00:27:45.360 Does it matter?

00:27:46.500 It might not matter.

00:27:49.300 Because we're talking about persuasion,

00:27:50.920 we're not talking about truth.

00:27:53.240 And if you can convince Putin, in Putin's mind,

00:27:56.300 that that number, 10,000, actually makes a difference,

00:27:59.020 it would have to come from some kind of military source,

00:28:02.020 some kind of logic to it.

00:28:03.340 You'd need somebody who's a military, I don't know,

00:28:06.360 strategist or something,

00:28:07.880 some West Point person to say it.

00:28:09.740 So you get somebody to say it,

00:28:11.680 and then you get the media to repeat it.

00:28:13.780 Now, that shouldn't be hard

00:28:16.020 because it's pretty clear

00:28:17.160 that the corporate media

00:28:18.360 is working for our intelligence agencies.

00:28:23.260 So if the intelligence agencies say,

00:28:25.660 you know, wouldn't it be nice

00:28:27.140 if you guys start talking about

00:28:28.880 the country being unoccupiable

00:28:32.580 and that the reason is drones,

00:28:35.240 there is a certain number

00:28:36.220 that would make them unoccupiable.

00:28:38.220 Putin doesn't know what that number is,

00:28:40.080 but wink, wink,

00:28:40.840 we're getting there really fast.

00:28:42.760 Wink, wink.

00:28:43.460 We think it's about 10,000.

00:28:45.260 That expert said 10,000.

00:28:46.960 We got 4,000 now.

00:28:48.500 We're going to have 15,000 by August.

00:28:51.320 Doesn't matter if any of it's true.

00:28:53.500 Does it?

00:28:54.940 It only matters if Putin can't tell the difference.

00:28:58.000 That's all that matters.

00:28:58.800 So, this is persuading Putin.

00:29:06.320 You should take this as a lesson in persuasion,

00:29:09.380 not a prediction.

00:29:10.960 I don't think it's necessarily,

00:29:12.300 anything like that will happen.

00:29:14.140 All right.

00:29:15.960 What would happen?

00:29:17.820 So I think a lot of people were surprised

00:29:19.360 to see the Russians retreat 0.69

00:29:21.680 from the capital of Ukraine.

00:29:23.700 The one person I know

00:29:28.280 who was not surprised was me.

00:29:31.180 I believe the one person who said,

00:29:33.240 now, by the way,

00:29:33.760 I was totally wrong on the prediction

00:29:35.220 that Putin wouldn't invade.

00:29:37.420 And the reason was,

00:29:38.480 it would be suicide.

00:29:40.260 And I thought he could tell.

00:29:42.460 Apparently, I could tell it was suicide,

00:29:44.520 and he couldn't.

00:29:45.860 Now, that I did not see coming,

00:29:47.560 so that's on me.

00:29:49.740 Being smarter than Putin

00:29:50.760 was not something I foresaw

00:29:52.360 in any of this.

00:29:54.140 But I was, apparently.

00:29:56.080 Or better informed, or something.

00:29:58.720 I mean, I got it right,

00:29:59.680 and he got it wrong.

00:30:00.920 That's all I know for sure.

00:30:03.040 So, but I got it wrong

00:30:04.920 that he wouldn't invade,

00:30:06.160 because I thought he was more rational,

00:30:07.640 at least as smart as I am.

00:30:12.860 But, what would happen?

00:30:15.340 So you might have been surprised,

00:30:16.960 but I wasn't,

00:30:17.700 that he didn't quickly take over Ukraine.

00:30:20.740 And I said the reason would be

00:30:21.880 the modern weapons that they would have,

00:30:24.980 and that the modern weaponry

00:30:26.380 would be surprisingly effective.

00:30:28.640 And sure enough, it is.

00:30:29.980 So my exact prediction,

00:30:32.140 at least on that part, was right.

00:30:33.840 Here's the next part.

00:30:34.940 What would happen, hypothetically,

00:30:39.320 if it looked like Ukraine

00:30:41.800 was starting to block

00:30:43.500 the retreat routes

00:30:45.680 for the Russian army?

00:30:46.840 Just imagine it.

00:30:51.600 Suppose it looked like

00:30:52.700 their military strategy

00:30:53.860 had changed

00:30:54.660 to preventing Russia 0.96

00:30:57.300 from leaving

00:30:58.040 with their military.

00:31:03.700 Because that would say

00:31:04.700 they're going to starve them 1.00

00:31:05.620 and kill them, 1.00

00:31:06.960 and that they think 1.00

00:31:07.660 they can get it done.

00:31:08.880 I'm not saying they can.

00:31:10.720 I'm saying,

00:31:11.440 what would that do to you mentally

00:31:12.620 if you heard that your retreat

00:31:14.840 was being destroyed

00:31:16.200 when they have limited weaponry

00:31:18.580 in Ukraine,

00:31:19.360 and they should be attacking

00:31:20.880 things like, you know,

00:31:22.060 tanks and weapons depots.

00:31:24.400 But what if they destroyed

00:31:25.460 the retreat?

00:31:27.440 Because that would also destroy

00:31:29.160 the, presumably,

00:31:30.840 the supply routes.

00:31:32.480 So destroying the supply routes

00:31:33.900 would destroy the retreat,

00:31:35.640 wouldn't it,

00:31:36.060 if there was just literally

00:31:36.960 no way to get in and get out?

00:31:38.500 Somebody says

00:31:43.660 it's a bad strategy,

00:31:44.780 it makes the other side

00:31:45.680 fight harder.

00:31:46.640 No, it makes the other side

00:31:47.760 starve to death.

00:31:49.760 They might fight harder,

00:31:50.900 but they've got a week to do it.

00:31:52.600 Because they're out of food

00:31:53.500 in a week.

00:31:54.940 So fight hard,

00:31:56.460 but you've got a week.

00:31:58.380 Could they do everything

00:31:59.460 they need to do in a week?

00:32:01.180 I don't know.

00:32:03.460 So,

00:32:05.120 I just wonder about this

00:32:07.460 as a persuasion play

00:32:08.800 less than a military play,

00:32:10.680 which, you know,

00:32:11.300 becomes military, of course.

00:32:13.280 But,

00:32:13.820 wouldn't that get into

00:32:15.320 the Russians' heads 0.99

00:32:16.120 if you acted like

00:32:18.380 you were going to trap them

00:32:19.300 and starve them, 0.68

00:32:20.400 and you look like 0.86

00:32:21.060 you might actually

00:32:21.700 pull it off?

00:32:23.300 It would get in my head.

00:32:24.780 Well, I saw a video

00:32:25.420 on the internet,

00:32:26.600 Carl Icahn,

00:32:27.380 the famous corporate raider

00:32:29.600 who buys companies

00:32:30.660 and, you know,

00:32:32.680 fires a lot of people

00:32:33.640 and turns them around

00:32:35.020 and then sells them

00:32:35.880 and does stuff like that.

00:32:37.460 And he was talking

00:32:38.220 about this one company

00:32:39.000 he bought years ago,

00:32:39.980 30 years ago or so,

00:32:41.380 in which,

00:32:42.240 after he bought it,

00:32:42.980 he was trying to figure out

00:32:43.780 what all the people did.

00:32:45.840 And there were 12 floors

00:32:47.640 of employees there,

00:32:49.340 and when he tried

00:32:50.260 to go in and figure out,

00:32:51.300 okay,

00:32:51.420 what do all you do,

00:32:53.100 when they explained it to him,

00:32:54.180 he still didn't know

00:32:54.700 what they did.

00:32:56.020 And they hired consultants

00:32:58.140 to come in

00:32:58.740 and figure it out for him,

00:33:00.120 and he paid them

00:33:00.860 a quarter million dollars,

00:33:01.940 and they came back

00:33:02.520 and they said,

00:33:03.800 you know,

00:33:04.240 being honest,

00:33:04.920 we have no idea

00:33:06.240 what they do.

00:33:07.520 So he fired all 12 floors

00:33:09.600 with no precision.

00:33:12.260 He just fired all 12 floors,

00:33:14.040 and he said that years had passed

00:33:16.580 and nobody had complained yet.

00:33:17.780 In other words,

00:33:20.240 he expected somebody to say,

00:33:22.880 okay,

00:33:23.080 we can't deliver that product

00:33:24.420 or we can't do this thing

00:33:25.760 because you fired

00:33:26.740 the department in charge,

00:33:28.240 and nobody ever complained.

00:33:30.500 Everything just went fine.

00:33:32.300 Operated smoothly.

00:33:33.140 Now,

00:33:34.700 that's not the real story.

00:33:36.960 The real story

00:33:38.080 is that Elon Musk

00:33:39.400 interacted with that video

00:33:41.820 in a positive way,

00:33:44.460 and I think he said

00:33:45.200 just one word exactly.

00:33:48.340 And this is right after

00:33:49.800 he bought Twitter

00:33:50.880 and maybe wondering

00:33:53.180 what all of those people

00:33:54.180 at Twitter do for a living.

00:33:57.000 Now,

00:33:57.720 that's not the only thing

00:33:59.120 he's doing.

00:33:59.540 Here are some of the things

00:34:02.840 he's done

00:34:03.280 just in the last,

00:34:04.020 like,

00:34:04.220 24 hours.

00:34:06.340 He tweeted,

00:34:07.400 should we delete

00:34:08.160 the W in Twitter?

00:34:10.780 Which,

00:34:11.300 of course,

00:34:11.680 would turn it into

00:34:12.420 a naughty word,

00:34:13.520 titter.

00:34:15.420 Now,

00:34:17.280 let's contrast this

00:34:20.980 with what I just talked about,

00:34:22.720 Carl Icahn.

00:34:23.420 Tesla famously

00:34:26.540 has no marketing department

00:34:27.980 because Elon Musk

00:34:30.740 can do the entire

00:34:31.700 marketing job

00:34:32.640 just by making

00:34:33.900 interesting products

00:34:35.080 and tweeting.

00:34:37.360 And that's it.

00:34:38.140 He doesn't even need

00:34:38.760 marketing.

00:34:40.060 And so,

00:34:41.240 Elon buys 9%

00:34:42.480 of Twitter.

00:34:43.620 He tweets,

00:34:44.380 should we delete

00:34:45.040 the W in Twitter?

00:34:45.940 and he did

00:34:47.260 more work

00:34:47.960 than the entire

00:34:48.780 marketing department

00:34:49.780 of Twitter

00:34:50.500 with one,

00:34:52.580 two,

00:34:52.880 three,

00:34:53.320 four,

00:34:53.580 five words.

00:34:54.800 Five words.

00:34:56.260 The whole job

00:34:57.460 of the marketing

00:34:57.960 department of Twitter.

00:34:59.880 So,

00:35:00.400 I guess that's one floor

00:35:01.240 he can get rid of.

00:35:03.860 He also tweeted,

00:35:05.620 and this is all

00:35:06.260 in 24 hours.

00:35:07.240 It's just mind-boggling.

00:35:08.420 He asked why

00:35:09.160 the top Twitter users

00:35:10.400 in terms of

00:35:10.980 number of followers

00:35:11.740 no longer tweet.

00:35:13.560 He says,

00:35:14.040 is Twitter dying?

00:35:14.860 And he paints to,

00:35:16.440 he points to like

00:35:17.380 Taylor Swift

00:35:18.080 and Justin Bieber

00:35:19.820 and stuff.

00:35:20.240 And I guess they

00:35:20.620 haven't tweeted

00:35:21.100 in months.

00:35:21.960 I didn't know that.

00:35:23.680 And so he says,

00:35:24.280 is Twitter dying?

00:35:25.300 It's his own

00:35:25.940 investment.

00:35:27.900 It's his own

00:35:28.660 investment.

00:35:29.940 And he asks

00:35:30.620 if it's dying.

00:35:33.020 Who does that?

00:35:34.700 Somebody who doesn't

00:35:35.540 have a marketing

00:35:36.120 department.

00:35:37.280 That's who.

00:35:38.660 Because if you don't

00:35:39.400 have a marketing

00:35:40.020 department,

00:35:40.880 I don't know a

00:35:41.660 better way to get

00:35:42.340 attention than to

00:35:43.120 ask if your

00:35:43.660 product is

00:35:44.740 dying.

00:35:45.940 Do you remember

00:35:46.460 he did something

00:35:47.220 similar with

00:35:47.900 Tesla stock?

00:35:49.420 Do you remember

00:35:50.120 when he said he

00:35:50.840 thought Tesla stock

00:35:52.020 was too high?

00:35:53.280 It was a few

00:35:54.100 years ago.

00:35:55.620 Who does that?

00:35:57.540 Who says their

00:35:58.380 own stock is too

00:35:59.140 high?

00:35:59.480 I believe it drove

00:36:00.720 it down.

00:36:02.220 Somebody,

00:36:02.780 give me a fact

00:36:03.480 check on that.

00:36:04.040 I think he drove

00:36:04.640 his own stock

00:36:05.640 price down.

00:36:06.620 Did he not?

00:36:07.900 That actually

00:36:08.540 happened.

00:36:09.980 Didn't it?

00:36:10.800 Now, one of the

00:36:11.440 things that that

00:36:12.220 did, and also this

00:36:14.260 thing about

00:36:14.680 Twitter, is

00:36:15.380 Twitter dying, is

00:36:16.760 it builds

00:36:17.140 credibility, which

00:36:19.480 is, aside from

00:36:20.860 money, and aside

00:36:22.100 for being super

00:36:23.480 smart, his

00:36:24.800 credibility is

00:36:26.560 his big asset

00:36:27.340 that is hard to

00:36:28.360 match.

00:36:29.140 He's neither

00:36:29.940 Republican nor

00:36:30.880 Democrat.

00:36:31.420 You don't know 0.98

00:36:31.760 what the hell he 0.98

00:36:32.220 is. 0.99

00:36:32.780 He just wants

00:36:33.280 things to work.

00:36:35.080 And so when he

00:36:36.440 questions his own

00:36:37.600 product, the thing

00:36:38.400 he invested in,

00:36:39.600 questions his own

00:36:40.440 stock price, it's

00:36:42.480 impossible not to

00:36:43.820 give him more

00:36:44.320 credibility, isn't

00:36:45.260 it?

00:36:46.240 It's impossible not

00:36:47.520 to say, okay, that's

00:36:48.340 credible.

00:36:49.320 Because if you're

00:36:50.560 criticizing your own

00:36:52.020 product and going to

00:36:53.820 the moon, okay, we're

00:36:55.380 going to listen to

00:36:55.900 that.

00:36:56.660 That sounds pretty

00:36:57.520 credible.

00:36:58.580 So he's got that

00:36:59.480 going for him.

00:37:02.300 And he also asked

00:37:03.480 should the Twitter

00:37:05.040 Blue, apparently

00:37:05.960 Twitter has a

00:37:06.780 service called

00:37:08.140 Twitter Blue that

00:37:09.380 you can pay $3 a

00:37:10.500 month.

00:37:11.440 And I guess you

00:37:12.880 have limited

00:37:13.660 ability to edit

00:37:14.520 your own tweets

00:37:15.300 and you don't see

00:37:16.820 advertisements or

00:37:17.680 something.

00:37:18.060 I don't know what

00:37:18.540 else it's about.

00:37:19.780 But I didn't even

00:37:20.440 know Twitter Blue

00:37:21.020 was a thing.

00:37:22.700 I mean, I had

00:37:24.380 slight awareness of

00:37:25.880 it, but I didn't

00:37:26.340 know what its

00:37:26.940 features were.

00:37:28.680 But now I do.

00:37:32.140 Yesterday, I didn't

00:37:34.360 know that Twitter

00:37:34.960 had this new

00:37:36.240 feature, which I

00:37:37.700 actually would

00:37:38.380 consider paying

00:37:39.100 for.

00:37:40.360 I don't know.

00:37:41.120 I might have

00:37:41.760 something I want.

00:37:43.260 And again,

00:37:44.980 Twitter's entire

00:37:45.700 marketing department

00:37:46.580 didn't penetrate me

00:37:47.800 with that

00:37:48.160 information.

00:37:49.740 But Elon Musk

00:37:51.100 just did.

00:37:52.660 And what he

00:37:53.420 asked is, should

00:37:54.180 all the Twitter

00:37:54.740 Blue users get a 1.00

00:37:55.780 blue check?

00:37:57.000 And the answer

00:37:57.800 is, of course

00:37:58.420 not.

00:37:59.380 Of course not.

00:38:00.640 That would defeat

00:38:01.360 the entire purpose

00:38:02.240 of the blue check.

00:38:03.400 But it's a perfect

00:38:04.480 question if you want

00:38:06.900 to get rid of the

00:38:07.440 marketing department.

00:38:09.200 It's just a great

00:38:09.860 question.

00:38:10.480 Because it just

00:38:11.140 makes you think

00:38:11.660 about it.

00:38:12.000 It's not like he's

00:38:13.220 leading you to some

00:38:14.420 specific answer.

00:38:16.200 So no, Twitter

00:38:17.400 Blue users should

00:38:18.160 not get a blue

00:38:18.780 check, because that's

00:38:19.660 not what the blue

00:38:20.240 check is used for.

00:38:21.940 But now we all

00:38:23.400 know there's this

00:38:24.120 feature.

00:38:26.220 But it would give

00:38:27.160 you, and let's say

00:38:29.480 to his point, if you

00:38:31.280 gave everybody a blue

00:38:32.200 check who paid for

00:38:33.120 it, it would kind of

00:38:34.540 democratize the

00:38:35.560 influencers, right?

00:38:36.880 Because right now if

00:38:37.660 you have a blue

00:38:38.140 check like I do, you

00:38:39.840 get more attention.

00:38:41.320 Is that fair?

00:38:42.940 Should I get more

00:38:44.060 attention because people

00:38:46.920 try to impersonate me

00:38:49.280 online?

00:38:51.240 Which, by the way, has

00:38:52.100 been a big problem.

00:38:54.460 I don't know.

00:38:55.040 Maybe.

00:38:55.680 But it gives me too

00:38:56.740 much influence for the

00:38:58.340 wrong reason.

00:38:58.940 If the reason I get a

00:38:59.920 blue check is so that

00:39:00.840 somebody doesn't imitate

00:39:02.940 me, that's good.

00:39:04.920 But if then that blue

00:39:05.820 check gives me more

00:39:06.660 influence than my

00:39:07.820 opinions or voice

00:39:08.920 deserve, well, then

00:39:11.220 it's bad.

00:39:11.960 And I think maybe Elon

00:39:13.160 might have noticed

00:39:14.000 that.

00:39:14.480 Who knows?

00:39:17.280 But Elon also

00:39:18.280 mentioned, again, in

00:39:19.400 the last 24 hours, that

00:39:21.760 if you get Twitter

00:39:23.140 Blue, you wouldn't get

00:39:24.740 ads and maybe Twitter

00:39:26.820 should be a service

00:39:27.580 that doesn't serve up

00:39:28.580 corporate influence.

00:39:31.980 So if you have a

00:39:33.440 subscription service,

00:39:35.180 you're not as

00:39:36.060 influenced by keeping

00:39:38.220 the sponsors happy.

00:39:41.240 That's a good point.

00:39:42.700 And it gets to freedom

00:39:43.720 of speech and bias and

00:39:45.160 censorship and

00:39:46.340 everything.

00:39:46.780 If you just make a

00:39:47.540 subscription.

00:39:48.740 But would enough

00:39:50.300 people buy a

00:39:51.080 subscription to

00:39:51.960 Twitter?

00:39:52.940 And if you're not

00:39:53.800 willing to pay $3 a

00:39:55.060 month for Twitter,

00:39:56.820 should you be

00:39:57.580 tweeting?

00:39:59.440 Should you?

00:40:00.860 $3 a month?

00:40:01.980 If you're not

00:40:02.540 willing to spend

00:40:03.080 $3 a month, how

00:40:05.280 important do you

00:40:05.860 think your opinion

00:40:06.440 is that other

00:40:08.060 people should hear

00:40:08.760 it?

00:40:09.560 I don't know.

00:40:10.700 Now, it looks like

00:40:13.100 we're having some

00:40:13.600 network interruptions on

00:40:14.800 one of the

00:40:15.360 platforms.

00:40:20.860 I don't know what

00:40:21.600 that's about.

00:40:22.100 I don't see a problem

00:40:23.000 on my end.

00:40:24.140 My Wi-Fi is

00:40:25.200 screamingly good

00:40:26.100 today.

00:40:26.360 All right.

00:40:28.980 So watching Elon

00:40:30.660 Musk disassemble a 1.00

00:40:32.340 company in real

00:40:33.840 time, right in

00:40:35.000 front of you, is

00:40:36.340 probably the most

00:40:37.180 interesting thing a

00:40:38.680 business model nerd

00:40:40.160 could ever see.

00:40:41.240 And that's what I

00:40:41.780 am.

00:40:42.340 I'm really nerding

00:40:43.520 out on business

00:40:44.200 models.

00:40:45.100 Like, how do you

00:40:45.700 make a business

00:40:46.360 where all the parts

00:40:47.440 work just right?

00:40:48.260 So I'm just sort

00:40:49.860 of a student of

00:40:51.520 business models.

00:40:53.060 And watching him,

00:40:54.580 he's effectively

00:40:55.500 dismantling Twitter

00:40:57.160 psychologically first.

00:41:00.520 Right?

00:41:00.920 He's already

00:41:01.580 redesigned a new

00:41:02.660 Twitter in your

00:41:03.260 mind.

00:41:04.900 He's engineered 1.00

00:41:06.020 the damn thing 1.00

00:41:06.800 in your mind. 1.00

00:41:08.500 You know, it

00:41:08.800 doesn't have

00:41:09.140 corporate influences.

00:41:10.800 The blue checks

00:41:11.600 are handled

00:41:11.980 differently.

00:41:12.980 You can edit

00:41:13.620 maybe.

00:41:15.760 So he does it

00:41:16.860 first in your

00:41:17.460 mind.

00:41:17.860 Then he can sort

00:41:18.680 of A-B test it

00:41:19.580 based on people's

00:41:20.420 influence.

00:41:21.420 And then probably

00:41:22.360 can get it done

00:41:23.160 in reality if people

00:41:25.420 are on board with

00:41:26.100 it.

00:41:27.320 And I love watching

00:41:28.420 him do things that

00:41:29.220 only he can do.

00:41:31.020 That's really

00:41:31.820 special.

00:41:33.240 When I watch

00:41:33.920 basketball on TV,

00:41:35.760 I don't really care

00:41:36.620 who wins.

00:41:38.020 I want to see what

00:41:38.760 Stephen Curry does.

00:41:40.640 Or LeBron James.

00:41:42.200 Because they're just

00:41:43.080 not like other

00:41:43.680 people.

00:41:44.540 It's like watching

00:41:45.320 a superhuman do

00:41:46.360 something.

00:41:46.660 And watching

00:41:49.120 Elon do what

00:41:49.840 only Elon could

00:41:50.600 do, because he's

00:41:51.300 the only one rich

00:41:52.260 enough, influential

00:41:53.580 enough, knows how

00:41:55.980 to manage the

00:41:57.800 psychological elements

00:41:59.120 of it, cares enough

00:42:00.640 about it.

00:42:01.040 I mean, he's the

00:42:01.400 only one.

00:42:02.460 I don't think there

00:42:03.340 was anybody else who

00:42:04.060 could do what he's

00:42:04.580 doing right now with

00:42:05.440 Twitter.

00:42:06.000 And it's super

00:42:07.100 important.

00:42:08.520 It's like he's

00:42:10.180 rewriting the source

00:42:11.160 code, maybe the

00:42:13.440 operating system, of

00:42:14.780 America.

00:42:16.680 Because we went

00:42:17.960 from, you know,

00:42:18.580 okay, free speech

00:42:19.600 and it's in

00:42:20.500 newspapers and

00:42:21.300 randomness.

00:42:22.220 But once power

00:42:23.140 got consolidated

00:42:24.040 into the social

00:42:25.080 platforms, with

00:42:26.300 Twitter, I think

00:42:26.900 is the important

00:42:27.460 one.

00:42:27.960 Because Twitter is

00:42:28.820 the one that

00:42:29.240 influences journalists.

00:42:31.240 And then journalists

00:42:31.960 influence everybody

00:42:32.740 else.

00:42:33.040 So Twitter is like

00:42:33.660 the leverage.

00:42:34.600 So of course, Elon

00:42:35.280 finds the most

00:42:36.320 important lever,

00:42:37.440 Twitter, finds a

00:42:38.960 way to have the

00:42:39.740 most leverage on it

00:42:40.660 without buying the

00:42:41.300 whole company,

00:42:42.280 9%.

00:42:43.040 And now he's

00:42:44.840 digging in and

00:42:45.500 he's going to

00:42:45.900 re-engineer the

00:42:46.580 thing, clearly.

00:42:48.560 I don't think

00:42:49.340 there's any doubt

00:42:49.940 he is actually

00:42:50.600 going to re-engineer

00:42:51.460 the product.

00:42:52.520 And he might

00:42:53.100 actually fix the

00:42:54.000 biggest problem in

00:42:54.840 the country, which

00:42:55.540 is we can't trust

00:42:57.020 anything we see or

00:42:57.940 read.

00:42:59.420 Think about that.

00:43:00.720 He might actually

00:43:01.280 fix that.

00:43:02.900 And I'll say

00:43:04.000 again, there's

00:43:04.640 nobody else who

00:43:05.200 could have done

00:43:05.620 it.

00:43:06.800 The ultimate

00:43:07.820 patriot, if I may

00:43:10.320 say that, the

00:43:11.620 ultimate patriot is

00:43:13.500 the one who does

00:43:14.140 it because nobody

00:43:14.900 else can do it.

00:43:16.440 Now that might be

00:43:17.260 including just going

00:43:18.300 to war, right?

00:43:19.180 You know, picking

00:43:19.540 up your rifle.

00:43:20.800 It needs lots of

00:43:21.620 people to say, well,

00:43:22.580 if I don't pick up

00:43:23.200 my rifle, you know,

00:43:25.560 I can't depend on

00:43:26.540 everybody else to do

00:43:27.320 it for me.

00:43:28.460 So the fact that he

00:43:30.340 just jumped into the

00:43:31.880 biggest problem in

00:43:32.760 the country, at

00:43:33.600 least the lever that

00:43:34.820 controls the biggest

00:43:35.780 set of problems, and

00:43:37.760 that he might actually

00:43:38.460 get control of this

00:43:39.400 thing, and he

00:43:40.300 is letting you

00:43:40.940 watch it while it

00:43:41.840 happens.

00:43:43.060 This is thrilling

00:43:44.020 stuff.

00:43:44.700 This is just

00:43:45.180 thrilling.

00:43:46.220 You get to watch

00:43:47.280 as he does it

00:43:47.960 right in front of

00:43:48.520 you.

00:43:49.460 This could not be

00:43:50.300 cooler for a nerd

00:43:51.340 like me.

00:43:52.880 All right, wait.

00:43:53.520 Here's the thing I

00:43:54.480 used to hear as a

00:43:55.100 kid.

00:43:56.200 Have you ever heard

00:43:56.780 this saying, only

00:43:57.600 God can make a

00:43:58.540 tree?

00:44:00.080 Only God can make

00:44:01.160 a tree.

00:44:02.520 I don't know why,

00:44:03.180 but you used to hear

00:44:03.660 that all the time

00:44:04.340 when I was a kid.

00:44:06.040 But today, Mark

00:44:08.920 Zuckerberg is

00:44:09.800 creating better, a

00:44:10.960 virtual world in

00:44:12.180 which Mark

00:44:13.520 Zuckerberg is

00:44:14.540 going to make

00:44:14.960 about a trillion

00:44:15.520 trees.

00:44:17.240 So it turns out

00:44:18.260 that Mark

00:44:19.160 Zuckerberg can

00:44:19.800 make a tree.

00:44:21.140 Now you're saying

00:44:21.700 to yourself,

00:44:22.320 that's not a tree.

00:44:26.160 That's like a

00:44:26.980 picture of a tree.

00:44:28.540 That's like a

00:44:29.100 digital tree.

00:44:30.660 Nobody's going to

00:44:31.360 be confused about

00:44:33.120 a digital tree

00:44:34.300 versus a real

00:44:35.780 tree.

00:44:36.060 So take your 1.00

00:44:37.780 stupid analogy 1.00

00:44:38.540 and shove it 1.00

00:44:39.840 up your stupid 1.00

00:44:40.580 whatever hole 1.00

00:44:42.180 and get out of 0.97

00:44:44.100 my face with 1.00

00:44:44.880 your dumb 1.00

00:44:45.460 thoughts. 1.00

00:44:46.920 That's what you

00:44:47.440 say.

00:44:48.020 That's what you

00:44:48.480 say to me.

00:44:49.560 And I deserve

00:44:50.360 every bit of it.

00:44:51.820 But here's my

00:44:52.440 counter.

00:44:53.340 If we're a

00:44:54.000 simulation, it is

00:44:54.880 almost certain

00:44:55.560 that we've been

00:44:56.200 programmed not to

00:44:57.320 notice that our

00:44:58.740 simulation is

00:45:00.460 simulated.

00:45:00.980 That would be

00:45:03.740 sort of basic

00:45:04.620 to the program

00:45:05.540 that the people

00:45:06.900 in it are

00:45:07.460 programmed not

00:45:08.440 to notice.

00:45:10.300 Code, don't

00:45:11.240 ever notice that

00:45:12.320 you're simulated

00:45:13.000 because it will

00:45:13.640 make the whole

00:45:14.100 thing not work.

00:45:16.580 So let me give

00:45:19.760 you a little

00:45:20.040 preview of what's

00:45:20.880 to come.

00:45:21.900 So let's say

00:45:22.540 meta becomes a

00:45:23.620 big hit.

00:45:24.120 I think it

00:45:24.520 will.

00:45:25.740 You will have

00:45:26.520 an avatar.

00:45:27.580 There will be

00:45:27.960 some representation

00:45:28.920 of you.

00:45:29.620 It might be an

00:45:30.380 animal or

00:45:30.840 something.

00:45:31.220 But it will

00:45:31.740 be the one

00:45:32.140 you select.

00:45:33.740 The avatar

00:45:34.480 will be doing

00:45:36.040 stuff in meta

00:45:36.840 whenever you're

00:45:37.960 online.

00:45:39.160 But only when

00:45:40.020 you're online,

00:45:40.640 right?

00:45:41.020 So if you're

00:45:41.580 not online,

00:45:42.640 your character

00:45:43.300 probably won't

00:45:44.220 exist.

00:45:46.740 But it seems

00:45:48.420 inevitable that

00:45:49.920 with artificial

00:45:50.560 intelligence and

00:45:51.980 improvements in

00:45:52.840 the artificial

00:45:53.640 environment, you

00:45:54.960 will want an

00:45:55.660 option where

00:45:56.480 your character

00:45:57.100 does some

00:45:57.720 things while

00:45:58.180 you're gone.

00:45:59.500 For example,

00:46:00.380 it might go

00:46:01.340 to work.

00:46:02.340 There might be

00:46:03.100 an economy

00:46:03.600 there.

00:46:04.300 You might have

00:46:04.760 to send your

00:46:05.400 avatar to work

00:46:06.220 when you're

00:46:06.560 doing something

00:46:07.000 else.

00:46:07.900 Maybe your

00:46:08.420 avatar will

00:46:09.040 mow the lawn,

00:46:10.040 go to bed.

00:46:11.440 Who knows?

00:46:12.560 But over time,

00:46:14.440 the amount of

00:46:15.720 things that your

00:46:16.380 avatar can do

00:46:17.160 when you're not

00:46:17.780 there should

00:46:19.100 increase.

00:46:20.100 Just because

00:46:20.660 everything gets

00:46:21.740 better and more

00:46:22.600 and developed to

00:46:24.680 a higher level

00:46:25.320 and more features.

00:46:26.080 So what

00:46:27.360 happens when

00:46:27.940 most of what

00:46:28.740 your avatar

00:46:29.260 does is when

00:46:30.240 you're not

00:46:30.600 there, and

00:46:31.680 a little bit

00:46:32.140 of it's when

00:46:32.580 you're there,

00:46:33.120 and then, and 0.99

00:46:34.600 then you die. 0.86

00:46:38.300 What happens 0.88

00:46:39.220 then?

00:46:40.400 You're going to

00:46:40.720 have this avatar

00:46:41.520 that could 0.68

00:46:42.020 actually live

00:46:42.880 autonomously

00:46:43.800 forever.

00:46:45.360 Because if

00:46:47.760 Facebook meta

00:46:49.940 doesn't find

00:46:51.240 out you died, 0.94

00:46:52.760 doesn't your

00:46:53.360 avatar just

00:46:54.040 keep on going

00:46:54.820 like an

00:46:56.220 afterlife?

00:46:57.640 And couldn't

00:46:58.720 your relatives

00:46:59.420 visit you in

00:47:00.420 the AI version

00:47:02.440 of you in

00:47:03.180 the afterlife?

00:47:04.060 Could they not

00:47:04.740 enter the

00:47:05.280 simulation

00:47:05.800 through the

00:47:07.160 goggles or

00:47:08.920 whatever and

00:47:09.840 go visit

00:47:10.560 their deceased

00:47:11.800 relative who

00:47:12.980 lives on in

00:47:14.980 an artificial

00:47:15.380 form?

00:47:16.460 Now, for

00:47:17.300 most of you,

00:47:18.340 that artificial

00:47:18.920 form wouldn't

00:47:19.640 be a good

00:47:20.240 representation of

00:47:21.360 you.

00:47:22.300 It'd be, you

00:47:23.220 know, in all

00:47:24.460 the most

00:47:24.800 surfacy ways,

00:47:26.160 it would be

00:47:26.440 sort of like

00:47:26.920 you.

00:47:27.580 But what

00:47:28.080 about somebody

00:47:28.540 like me,

00:47:30.060 where my

00:47:30.640 entire mind

00:47:31.720 has basically

00:47:32.560 been sprayed

00:47:33.440 into the

00:47:33.900 universe in

00:47:34.600 ways that are

00:47:35.120 easy to

00:47:35.560 collect,

00:47:36.480 these videos?

00:47:37.900 I mean, if

00:47:38.280 you collected

00:47:38.860 all of my

00:47:39.340 live streams,

00:47:40.800 you'd have a

00:47:41.460 pretty good

00:47:42.120 idea of what

00:47:42.780 my opinion's

00:47:43.420 going to be

00:47:43.740 on the next

00:47:44.300 thing.

00:47:44.980 Because you

00:47:46.060 know how I

00:47:46.540 think, you

00:47:47.020 know how I

00:47:47.320 approach things.

00:47:48.220 So an AI

00:47:48.980 could create

00:47:49.720 me, put it

00:47:51.640 in an avatar

00:47:52.180 and make it

00:47:52.880 live forever

00:47:53.440 in the meta,

00:47:54.740 in the

00:47:55.340 metaverse.

00:47:56.700 You know

00:47:57.360 that can

00:47:57.780 happen.

00:47:58.780 And that

00:47:59.100 little version

00:47:59.760 of me,

00:48:00.240 suppose, just

00:48:01.620 suppose, that

00:48:02.780 it's some

00:48:03.140 future version

00:48:04.380 of technology,

00:48:05.980 suppose it

00:48:06.840 optionally

00:48:07.520 learns or

00:48:09.140 is programmed

00:48:10.360 to not

00:48:12.360 notice that

00:48:13.020 it lives in

00:48:13.440 a simulation.

00:48:16.100 Oh, you

00:48:16.680 can do

00:48:16.940 that.

00:48:17.880 You can

00:48:18.280 make your

00:48:18.680 software always

00:48:19.660 not notice it

00:48:20.580 lives in a

00:48:21.000 simulation.

00:48:21.560 Whenever there's

00:48:22.060 a glitch, it

00:48:22.580 just doesn't

00:48:23.060 record it.

00:48:24.940 So am I

00:48:26.740 reborn?

00:48:28.080 Because it's

00:48:28.720 going to have

00:48:29.020 my personality,

00:48:30.220 it will be

00:48:30.600 based on me,

00:48:32.120 and just as I,

00:48:33.680 sitting in this

00:48:34.380 chair, don't 0.56

00:48:34.880 have probably

00:48:36.060 any cells of

00:48:37.180 my body in

00:48:38.360 common with the

00:48:39.240 baby I used to

00:48:40.320 be, all my

00:48:40.940 cells are

00:48:41.300 different.

00:48:42.720 It's all

00:48:43.020 different cells.

00:48:43.800 I mean, same

00:48:44.360 DNA pattern,

00:48:46.780 but I think all

00:48:47.280 the parts are

00:48:47.860 different by now,

00:48:48.560 right?

00:48:48.800 They've all worn

00:48:49.400 out and been

00:48:49.820 replaced.

00:48:50.620 So this would

00:48:51.140 just be a new

00:48:51.740 replacement part.

00:48:53.340 It would just

00:48:53.700 be a digital

00:48:54.280 replacement for a

00:48:55.260 physical entity,

00:48:56.120 and it would

00:48:56.660 live forever,

00:48:57.780 and it would

00:48:58.180 just have a

00:48:58.580 life.

00:48:59.240 It might learn

00:48:59.860 things that

00:49:00.580 would have been

00:49:01.520 interesting to

00:49:02.140 be in life.

00:49:05.800 Well, that's

00:49:06.780 what's coming.

00:49:07.200 So I do

00:49:08.500 believe that

00:49:09.240 Mark Zuckerberg,

00:49:11.040 after becoming

00:49:12.980 the founder of

00:49:13.600 Facebook, said

00:49:14.480 to himself,

00:49:15.020 well, how do I

00:49:15.460 top that?

00:49:16.880 Like, the only

00:49:17.380 job that's better

00:49:18.220 than being the

00:49:18.800 founder of

00:49:19.380 Facebook would

00:49:20.240 be what?

00:49:21.640 God?

00:49:24.120 And then he

00:49:25.000 became God

00:49:25.800 of his own

00:49:28.380 simulation.

00:49:29.720 Not of this

00:49:30.300 simulation.

00:49:31.480 He's not God

00:49:32.480 of you, but

00:49:34.220 he's going to

00:49:34.740 be the God

00:49:35.280 of meta.

00:49:35.740 And that

00:49:36.860 means that

00:49:37.660 what you can

00:49:38.320 and cannot

00:49:38.760 do in his

00:49:39.740 simulated universe

00:49:41.000 will be decided

00:49:41.800 by him.

00:49:42.840 What's that

00:49:43.260 sound like?

00:49:45.600 God.

00:49:47.100 And it's not

00:49:47.880 even like a

00:49:48.420 dictator.

00:49:49.460 If it were a

00:49:50.360 dictator, you

00:49:51.560 could still do

00:49:52.260 the things you're

00:49:52.820 not supposed to

00:49:53.380 do, but you

00:49:54.080 would be

00:49:54.620 punished.

00:49:55.900 In meta, the

00:49:58.580 God, or

00:49:59.340 whoever controls

00:50:00.100 the programming,

00:50:01.520 can just say

00:50:02.080 these things

00:50:02.600 can't happen.

00:50:04.000 Just completely

00:50:04.660 stop you from

00:50:05.360 doing things

00:50:05.880 or give you

00:50:07.020 powers or

00:50:07.720 heal people or 0.90

00:50:08.620 anything else

00:50:09.520 within meta.

00:50:10.900 So yes,

00:50:11.620 Zuckerberg is

00:50:12.460 becoming God

00:50:13.400 of his own

00:50:13.980 simulation.

00:50:15.360 The individuals

00:50:16.200 in it will

00:50:16.760 still have

00:50:17.180 something like

00:50:17.840 free will or

00:50:18.580 the impression

00:50:19.120 of free will,

00:50:20.120 but he will

00:50:20.820 determine what

00:50:21.420 they can or

00:50:21.960 cannot do.

00:50:23.840 Like God.

00:50:27.400 He actually

00:50:28.280 found a way.

00:50:29.820 He created

00:50:30.540 Facebook and

00:50:32.180 still found a

00:50:32.960 way to get

00:50:33.340 promoted.

00:50:33.780 If you're

00:50:35.520 not impressed

00:50:36.060 by Mark

00:50:36.540 Zuckerberg now,

00:50:38.320 I mean, I

00:50:38.700 was impressed

00:50:39.280 when he

00:50:39.760 started Facebook.

00:50:41.420 I was about

00:50:42.440 ten times more

00:50:43.480 impressed when

00:50:45.160 it turned out

00:50:45.660 he was a

00:50:46.140 great CEO of

00:50:47.520 a mature

00:50:48.380 company.

00:50:49.900 Didn't see that

00:50:50.580 coming.

00:50:51.380 I mean, that's

00:50:52.020 really rare,

00:50:53.300 isn't it?

00:50:54.280 You could say

00:50:54.920 Bill Gates did

00:50:55.620 it, but it's

00:50:56.460 rare.

00:50:56.720 And now

00:50:59.900 he's promoted

00:51:01.080 himself to

00:51:01.760 God of a

00:51:02.940 simulated reality.

00:51:05.180 Not bad.

00:51:06.280 Not bad, Mark.

00:51:07.740 Well, the

00:51:08.300 China lockdowns

00:51:09.260 are bad, and

00:51:10.840 I was reading a

00:51:11.440 tweet thread by

00:51:12.100 Naomi Wu, and

00:51:16.140 she says,

00:51:17.120 things are quite

00:51:17.600 bad in Shanghai.

00:51:18.660 China has a 0.94

00:51:19.220 long and ugly

00:51:19.800 history of

00:51:20.380 famine,

00:51:21.140 displacement,

00:51:21.760 and civil

00:51:22.340 unrest.

00:51:22.780 The social

00:51:23.980 contract we

00:51:24.760 have is

00:51:25.300 basically no

00:51:26.980 more of that

00:51:27.780 and a steady

00:51:28.740 improvement in

00:51:30.340 quality of life,

00:51:31.140 and we won't

00:51:31.720 quibble too

00:51:32.360 much.

00:51:32.760 So I'll say

00:51:33.140 that in my

00:51:33.500 own words.

00:51:34.880 So she's

00:51:35.500 saying that

00:51:36.960 with her

00:51:37.680 knowledge of

00:51:38.500 the local

00:51:39.260 culture, she

00:51:40.600 says that

00:51:41.240 there's a

00:51:42.340 social contract

00:51:43.260 basically an

00:51:44.180 understanding

00:51:44.780 that the

00:51:47.520 civilians won't

00:51:48.600 rebel against

00:51:49.280 the government,

00:51:50.520 even though the

00:51:51.080 government does a

00:51:51.680 lot of things

00:51:52.080 they don't like,

00:51:52.780 and limits their

00:51:54.060 freedom in a

00:51:54.680 number of ways,

00:51:55.320 they're not

00:51:55.560 going to fight

00:51:56.000 it so long as

00:51:57.620 the government

00:51:58.080 keeps them fed

00:51:59.540 and sort of

00:52:01.000 moving forward.

00:52:02.500 And they have.

00:52:03.820 Since the

00:52:04.240 government has

00:52:04.880 kept them fed,

00:52:06.300 and has kept

00:52:06.980 them moving

00:52:07.380 forward, and

00:52:07.940 hasn't done

00:52:08.520 forced displacements

00:52:09.920 except the

00:52:11.180 Uyghurs, I

00:52:11.660 guess, then

00:52:13.540 Naomi's view is

00:52:14.660 that that's all

00:52:15.300 it takes.

00:52:16.640 So as long as

00:52:17.320 they keep those

00:52:18.420 just basic social

00:52:19.560 contract things in

00:52:20.560 place, you're not

00:52:21.460 going to see

00:52:21.740 anything like a

00:52:22.320 revolution.

00:52:23.400 It's just not

00:52:23.880 going to happen.

00:52:24.880 But here's where

00:52:25.960 she warns there's

00:52:27.240 trouble.

00:52:28.580 The lockdowns

00:52:29.740 are a risk of

00:52:32.380 starvation.

00:52:34.600 And if the

00:52:35.900 Chinese feel

00:52:37.980 that that trigger

00:52:38.860 gets pulled in

00:52:40.800 their minds, now

00:52:42.040 this would be

00:52:42.580 Naomi Wu's

00:52:43.580 point of view,

00:52:44.180 I'm not the

00:52:44.920 expert here, but

00:52:46.120 in her point of

00:52:46.740 view, if famine

00:52:48.000 kicks in, it's a

00:52:49.200 whole new game.

00:52:49.840 Because that

00:52:51.060 means the social

00:52:52.040 contract has been

00:52:52.940 violated.

00:52:54.780 What's that

00:52:55.440 mean?

00:52:56.360 Like, could

00:52:57.620 things just turn

00:52:58.680 on a dime?

00:53:00.220 Is it that

00:53:02.040 sensitive that a

00:53:04.280 violation of the

00:53:05.040 social contract,

00:53:06.060 specifically famine,

00:53:07.800 you know, within the

00:53:08.540 lockdown areas?

00:53:09.800 If the government

00:53:10.660 can't get them

00:53:11.420 food and, you

00:53:13.620 know, get it to

00:53:14.160 them without

00:53:14.520 anybody dying of

00:53:16.620 famine, they

00:53:18.940 better do it.

00:53:20.200 Because probably

00:53:20.720 the whole system

00:53:21.440 depends on it.

00:53:22.680 Now, according to

00:53:23.700 Naomi Wu's

00:53:24.580 reading of her

00:53:25.700 own culture.

00:53:30.160 The AP is

00:53:31.140 reporting that

00:53:31.660 U.S. intel

00:53:32.260 officials think

00:53:33.120 Putin might use

00:53:35.140 Ukraine as a

00:53:36.280 pretext to

00:53:37.180 interfere in our

00:53:38.080 next election.

00:53:42.100 Russia collusion

00:53:43.220 too.

00:53:44.160 Here we come.

00:53:46.080 Do we ever have

00:53:46.980 new news?

00:53:47.800 Or is it just

00:53:48.260 the same news

00:53:49.820 all over again?

00:53:51.440 Yes, of course,

00:53:52.440 there will be

00:53:52.860 reports of

00:53:53.620 Russian interference

00:53:55.100 to help whoever

00:53:56.520 is the Republican

00:53:57.520 candidate.

00:53:59.180 And do we

00:53:59.960 believe the AP

00:54:00.660 story that the

00:54:01.440 U.S. intel

00:54:02.000 officials think

00:54:02.840 that?

00:54:03.640 I don't believe

00:54:04.360 any of it.

00:54:05.680 I don't believe

00:54:06.280 any of it.

00:54:07.400 All right.

00:54:09.560 Interestingly,

00:54:10.820 CNN has an

00:54:11.900 opinion piece on

00:54:12.640 their site by

00:54:14.480 S.E.

00:54:14.960 Cups.

00:54:15.920 I think she

00:54:16.400 used to be

00:54:16.800 Republican.

00:54:17.620 Can somebody

00:54:18.180 give me a

00:54:19.620 fact check on

00:54:20.180 that?

00:54:20.800 But she's been

00:54:21.480 sort of anti-Trump

00:54:22.580 for a long time

00:54:23.400 and a staple

00:54:24.720 on CNN.

00:54:26.240 And she wrote

00:54:28.020 that Obama was

00:54:28.720 wrong about

00:54:30.080 Russia being the 0.99

00:54:30.860 JV team.

00:54:31.740 He was wrong

00:54:32.580 to mock Romney

00:54:33.540 when Romney in

00:54:34.420 the debate

00:54:34.880 against Obama

00:54:37.080 said that Russia

00:54:38.640 was our biggest

00:54:39.260 strategic partner

00:54:40.120 and Obama

00:54:41.100 mocked him

00:54:41.700 because he said

00:54:42.260 it was China.

00:54:42.780 And now Romney's

00:54:44.200 right, it looks

00:54:45.520 like.

00:54:47.560 So the content

00:54:48.800 of the story

00:54:49.260 isn't so interesting

00:54:50.100 as the fact

00:54:50.820 that it's on

00:54:51.400 CNN's website.

00:54:53.520 So CNN has

00:54:54.580 a major

00:54:56.020 critical story

00:54:57.800 about Obama

00:54:58.400 on their website.

00:55:01.580 What do you

00:55:02.220 think of that?

00:55:03.560 Does it feel

00:55:04.440 like something's

00:55:05.020 changing over there?

00:55:06.460 Because they've

00:55:07.160 changed management,

00:55:08.020 right?

00:55:08.700 And I believe

00:55:09.620 that their new

00:55:10.200 management said

00:55:10.860 something about

00:55:11.480 reporting real

00:55:12.200 news for a change.

00:55:13.820 Am I right

00:55:14.500 about that?

00:55:15.320 Now this isn't

00:55:16.060 news, it's

00:55:16.500 opinion.

00:55:17.440 But I don't

00:55:19.480 know that I

00:55:20.020 would have seen

00:55:20.440 this opinion

00:55:21.020 before.

00:55:22.260 Or do you

00:55:23.020 think that

00:55:23.340 they're just

00:55:23.660 trying to get

00:55:24.240 Romney to be

00:55:25.080 the candidate?

00:55:26.840 Oh, is that

00:55:27.260 what they're

00:55:27.500 doing?

00:55:28.220 Do you think

00:55:28.820 they're just

00:55:29.140 trying to

00:55:29.460 support Romney

00:55:30.180 to mess

00:55:31.160 with the

00:55:31.600 Republicans?

00:55:32.380 Because part

00:55:33.280 of the

00:55:33.620 criticizing Obama

00:55:34.880 was to say

00:55:35.660 Romney was

00:55:36.620 right.

00:55:39.020 But I

00:55:39.420 don't, still

00:55:40.180 I can't see,

00:55:40.840 CNN throwing

00:55:42.920 Obama under

00:55:44.120 the bus

00:55:44.500 even for

00:55:45.200 some clever

00:55:45.800 plan like

00:55:46.400 that.

00:55:47.360 I don't

00:55:47.740 see it.

00:55:48.440 That's too

00:55:49.060 clever, I

00:55:49.580 think.

00:55:50.400 I don't

00:55:50.660 see it.

00:55:52.620 All right.

00:55:53.620 That, ladies 0.97

00:55:54.380 and gentlemen,

00:55:55.460 is a conclusion

00:55:56.500 of my prepared

00:55:57.400 remarks.

00:55:58.540 I think I've

00:55:59.380 cured many of

00:56:00.180 you of your

00:56:00.800 laziness. 0.92

00:56:01.860 I have

00:56:02.160 rewritten your

00:56:02.940 operating code,

00:56:05.020 taught you the

00:56:05.600 secret of how

00:56:07.140 to succeed.

00:56:07.640 It's all

00:56:08.340 about the

00:56:08.820 imagining the

00:56:09.520 good outcomes

00:56:10.120 and the

00:56:10.680 dopamine.

00:56:11.980 And I've

00:56:12.920 given you a

00:56:13.580 single data

00:56:14.220 point that

00:56:14.740 can convince

00:56:15.400 Putin to

00:56:16.040 stop the

00:56:16.560 war in

00:56:16.960 Ukraine,

00:56:17.600 and we

00:56:18.200 can even

00:56:18.560 make up

00:56:18.940 the number.

00:56:20.080 We don't

00:56:20.480 even have

00:56:20.820 to have a

00:56:21.120 real number.

00:56:22.280 We just

00:56:22.800 have to have

00:56:23.260 the news

00:56:23.680 talk about

00:56:24.200 it.

00:56:25.780 And so

00:56:27.100 now that I've

00:56:28.200 cured most of

00:56:28.940 your personal

00:56:29.600 problems as

00:56:30.400 well as war

00:56:31.700 in Ukraine,

00:56:32.680 I think I've

00:56:33.660 done enough

00:56:34.060 for now.

00:56:34.520 but because

00:56:37.340 I like

00:56:38.000 extra, I'm

00:56:39.440 going to keep

00:56:39.860 working today

00:56:40.480 and make

00:56:40.900 some comics

00:56:41.980 and maybe

00:56:42.560 work on my

00:56:43.080 book a little

00:56:43.440 bit.

00:56:43.680 We'll see

00:56:43.920 what goes.

00:56:44.860 We'll see

00:56:45.280 what happens.

00:56:46.480 But I

00:56:48.340 think you can

00:56:48.820 all agree

00:56:49.260 this live

00:56:50.480 stream was

00:56:51.180 a highlight

00:56:52.680 of civilization

00:56:53.420 probably.

00:56:54.960 100,000

00:56:55.600 years of

00:56:56.300 humans in

00:56:57.840 our form

00:56:58.360 and nothing

00:57:00.280 better than

00:57:00.740 this so far.

00:57:02.040 This was

00:57:02.540 about the

00:57:03.460 best.

00:57:03.780 And I

00:57:04.600 think you

00:57:04.880 agree.

00:57:05.980 Now,

00:57:07.380 join me for

00:57:08.220 a little

00:57:08.560 bit of a

00:57:09.340 boost in

00:57:11.300 your dopamine.

00:57:13.280 Think about

00:57:13.780 something awesome

00:57:14.600 that's going to

00:57:15.060 happen today.

00:57:16.740 Or something

00:57:17.480 awesome that'll

00:57:18.100 happen in the

00:57:18.460 next few years

00:57:19.120 even better

00:57:19.660 because you

00:57:20.180 can keep

00:57:20.560 that one

00:57:20.880 for a few

00:57:21.260 years.

00:57:22.180 Just think

00:57:22.540 about something

00:57:22.980 awesome and

00:57:24.120 watch how much

00:57:24.620 better your

00:57:25.020 day is.

00:57:25.860 And that is

00:57:26.980 the end of

00:57:27.840 my program.

00:57:28.440 I'll see you

00:57:28.740 tomorrow.

00:57:29.640 YouTube.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 10, 2022

Episode 1709 Scott Adams： Today I Will Explain How To Persuade Putin And, Separately, Cure Your Laziness

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