Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 11, 2022


Episode 1710 Scott Adams: Start Your Week Off Right With The Simultaneous Sip & Weird Headline Views


Episode Stats

Length

47 minutes

Words per Minute

146.8711

Word Count

6,926

Sentence Count

535

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

27


Summary

Dopamine is the thing that makes everything better, and it's also the most important thing you can do to get your brain juiced up. In this episode of the podcast, we talk about how you can increase your dopamine by using a simple technique called "the simultaneous sip" and how it can be used to get you up and running.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and I am delighted to see all of you, especially you, and you,
00:00:08.840 and you. You know who you are. And while you're here, how would you like to get your dopamine
00:00:17.120 just raging? That's why we're here. And a little bit of oxytocin, a little bit. But
00:00:25.640 we'll jack up your dopamine a good 20%, get you going for the day. And all you need is
00:00:31.940 a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a gel, a stein, a canteen, a glass, a vessel of any
00:00:36.780 kind, fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled
00:00:43.880 pleasure. It's the dopamine of the day. It's the thing that makes everything better. It's
00:00:48.080 called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.
00:00:51.080 Oh. Here's your persuasion tip of the day, if you didn't already know this. When you
00:01:04.400 associate something that people like, a pleasure that's a known pleasure, with some other thought
00:01:11.580 or stimulation, you can take some of the goodness from the thing you like, and it gets transferred
00:01:18.620 over to the thing you associate with, as long as it's sort of a fresh thing that people haven't
00:01:24.400 thought too much about and have too much baggage with. And you can use that to extend people's
00:01:32.820 enjoyment from things they already enjoy to entirely new things. How cool is that? You
00:01:39.040 can actually make people enjoy things that they'd never considered enjoying before, just
00:01:43.840 by association. Happens with songs. You hear a song that reminds you of something. Still
00:01:50.240 to this day, when I hear, there's a song by Traffic. The, I can't remember which one it
00:01:58.120 is, but it was played before all college soccer games at my alma mater, Hartwick College, which
00:02:06.120 one of the years I was there was the number one soccer power in the country, which is weird
00:02:10.880 because it was a tiny little school, but it won the whole country one year that I was
00:02:16.540 there. And so the soccer was this big event, and they would play the same song before each
00:02:22.020 game, and you'd be so charged up in a variety of ways, if you know what I mean, because it
00:02:28.680 was college after all. And it would be so fun to be there that that song, even if I hear
00:02:33.480 it today, years later, you get just an immediate dopamine hit. So use that, use that technique to
00:02:41.740 extend the things you like. Rasmussen had a poll asking people, is it illegal, is illegal
00:02:48.940 immigration getting worse? So Rasmussen asked that poll, and 55% said, yes, illegal immigration is
00:02:57.940 getting worse. 27% said no. No. No. No. No. No, no, no, no, no. It's not getting worse. 27%.
00:03:09.320 27. That's about a quarter of the people who responded, about a quarter. A quarter is, well,
00:03:16.780 if you were to round it off, that's roughly 25%, which means absolutely nothing to the people
00:03:24.640 who have never seen this live stream before. But if you've been here before, you know how
00:03:30.260 funny this is right now. Because 25% is roughly the number of people who get every poll question
00:03:36.460 wrong. It doesn't matter how easy the question is. Question, is oxygen good for humans? 64% said
00:03:48.480 yes. 26% said no. No. No. People don't need oxygen. No. Oh, no. Well, meanwhile, in censorship
00:04:01.660 news, Juanita Broderick had her account locked on Twitter. For what they say is misinformation
00:04:10.800 about COVID. Here is what she tweeted, and you be the judge. Is this misinformation or fact?
00:04:20.980 She tweeted, when will this vaccine crap be over? Big Pharma has, Big Pharma has profited enough
00:04:28.320 for the next 100 years. Stop pushing vaccines that don't work and, oh, here comes the, here comes the bad
00:04:35.380 part. Alter DNA, she posted on Saturday. Alter DNA. Womp, womp, womp, womp, womp, womp. Cannot say
00:04:45.360 alter DNA. Womp, womp, womp, womp. Alert, alert, alert. Censorship. Code of silence.
00:04:53.760 Juanita has been neutralized. Has been neutralized. Now, to be clear, I don't think the vaccinations
00:05:01.280 alter your DNA. I don't think that's true. But separately, was it a good idea for her to be censored?
00:05:13.460 That's really the question. Yeah, you could argue whether she's right or wrong, I suppose, and I don't
00:05:19.320 think she's right. I don't think so. But how would I know, really? What exactly would be my qualifications
00:05:28.120 for answering that question? I don't know. Seems like the news seems pretty convinced it's not
00:05:33.380 altering your DNA, but how would I know, really? So I wonder if there isn't a better way to handle
00:05:43.720 something like this. For example, if the altering the DNA part was the offending part, could you alter
00:05:50.580 the Twitter interface to simply flag the part that mainstream experts disagree with? Would that
00:06:02.040 be offensive to you? Would you consider that a violation of free speech if Twitter simply had
00:06:08.360 a policy of, instead of banning people, now remember, you're going to compare it to banning
00:06:13.240 people, and not necessarily for every person who says everything that's wrong, but just people
00:06:19.120 who are bannable in that bannable range, would you be okay with the bannable part simply
00:06:26.480 connecting to a source? Maybe not a fact checker. I don't know, because we don't trust the fact
00:06:32.660 checkers, right? But I feel like there's a better way to handle it. In other censorship
00:06:39.640 news, Jack Posobiec apparently got locked out of his Twitter account for a while, but he seems
00:06:46.240 to be back. And correct me if I'm wrong, is it because he called Disney groomers because
00:06:54.280 of their, what is it, the opposition to the new law about what to teach young kids about
00:07:01.080 sexuality, or sexual preference or something? I don't know. I just can't get interested in
00:07:06.620 the story. I hate it. I know you are, right? Well, let me ask you. Let me ask you this.
00:07:12.800 How many of you are, like, really interested in this Florida law story? Is it interesting
00:07:19.420 to you? I see mostly not. Okay, well, I see yeses. Maybe it depends if you have kids who
00:07:31.480 are in that relevant age group. All right, so it's a mixture. But probably more no's than
00:07:36.960 yeses, although I suppose I could have gotten this on any topic, right? It's only the fascinating
00:07:41.660 way I cover it that makes it so, so salient. Yeah, I feel there isn't just, there's just
00:07:51.520 not enough to say about it. Like, we know what some people want. We know what the criticism
00:07:57.160 is. They're going to fight it out. I don't know. It just doesn't seem like there's anything
00:08:02.280 there. Anything there that makes it worthy for yet another person to be talking about
00:08:07.680 it. Certainly it matters to the people involved. So I don't want to minimize, let me not minimize
00:08:13.060 the importance to the people involved. It's certainly important to the people who care
00:08:19.500 about such things, and maybe they should. But there isn't much depth to the story is what
00:08:25.020 I'm saying. Somebody says, one thing Scott will never do, and that is condemn a pedophile.
00:08:32.740 Would anybody like to see me do that? It's a challenge. I've been challenged. Will I condemn
00:08:40.200 a pedophile? Are you wondering if I'm going to bail out and not condemn a pedophile? Okay,
00:08:50.920 I condemn pedophiles. Totally. Are you okay with that? Now, here's the part where I get
00:09:02.780 banned from all social media, if not society itself. I also don't believe in free will.
00:09:11.300 Sorry. So, you have to condemn people who are, you know, doing things that are bad for society
00:09:18.340 and especially bad for kids. So there's no hesitation about what's right for society.
00:09:24.760 Right? For society? Yeah. You've got to condemn the hell out of anybody who's hurting anybody.
00:09:31.200 Most people agree with that. But on a philosophical level, I kind of see everybody as equal.
00:09:39.760 Sorry. Not legally, and not practically. In a practical sense, you just can't treat everybody
00:09:45.940 the same. You have to treat certain behaviors completely differently than other behaviors.
00:09:50.500 Of course. But when I walk into a room and see a bunch of miscreants and ne'er-do-wells
00:09:57.140 and non-standard people, basically a pirate ship of humanity, I don't walk into that room
00:10:03.580 and say, well, you suck. You suck. You're an asshole. You're bad. You're unworthy.
00:10:08.460 That one I like. That one I like. That one I like. I don't do that. I walk in and I like
00:10:14.160 the whole pirate ship. I like the whole pirate ship. I have to condemn some of them for behaviors.
00:10:22.480 But I don't devalue people because I don't see free will the same way other people do.
00:10:29.620 So, certainly you can change people's behavior, maybe by condemning certain parts.
00:10:34.480 Maybe it reduces who does what. But I don't believe in, oh, judge not. Thank you. Thank
00:10:41.680 you. If you'd like to put it into Christian terms and let me invite you to do that. I'm
00:10:47.440 not a believer. But I like the framework. It's a handy framework. So, yeah. Who am I
00:10:54.720 to judge? That would be the better way to say. I don't put myself in the role of a judge.
00:11:00.300 But certainly you have to condemn certain behaviors for practical reasons. All right.
00:11:10.140 Here's my new red line. I was insulted on Twitter today. And while I think you should use the
00:11:18.240 blocking judiciously, somebody went a little too far today. And I just want to run it by
00:11:25.260 you, you know, because you're my advisors. So, as my advisors, did I go too far? Or is
00:11:31.440 this reasonable? I blocked somebody today who accused me in public. And people are going
00:11:37.200 to see this, right? Because it's like a permanent record. He actually accused me in public of
00:11:41.900 believing the news. Well, I blocked that motherfucker. Don't do that if you want to ever, ever, ever
00:11:55.380 see me again. I will be so gone. All right. So, the big interesting news is that Elon Musk has
00:12:05.740 declined the offer to have a board seat on Twitter. Isn't that interesting? Didn't we think that his
00:12:14.860 play was to get on the board and that he'd have some influence? Well, it turns out we all learned
00:12:20.560 something today, or you're about to learn it. Being on the board limits your options. Did you know that?
00:12:27.680 It limits your options if you're Elon Musk. It probably doesn't limit your options if you're just
00:12:34.760 a board member. Like, if you were important enough to be on the board, but maybe other people haven't
00:12:40.660 heard your name before, well, in that case, being on the board probably does give you more influence
00:12:45.760 over Twitter. But if you're Elon Musk, all it does is limit you. Because everybody's going to listen to
00:12:51.560 what you say, right? That's the key. Everyone's going to listen to what you say. So, once you have
00:12:57.580 that, being on the board just gives you limitations. It's a limit to what you can say about the company,
00:13:04.160 I'm pretty sure. I think there's some limits about how you can trash the company if you're on the board.
00:13:09.900 And I think there's a limit to how much stock you can own. Somebody said 15%. So, why would he put up
00:13:16.740 with limits when there's no upside? And I think to myself, I don't know if there's another person
00:13:23.680 in the world who would have played it this way. And it's right. I don't know anybody else who would
00:13:31.240 have played it exactly like this to earn a board seat and then turn it down because it was limiting.
00:13:39.100 Nobody else would do that. Even if they were in this position, I feel like they wouldn't have done
00:13:44.000 that. He consistently finds the thing that you're not supposed to do and then makes it work.
00:13:52.580 And that's why it's so fun to watch. Now, he continues to make marketing departments
00:13:58.000 completely irrelevant wherever he has ownership of a company because he just is so newsworthy
00:14:04.480 that really, has anybody not heard of Twitter? Have you not heard that there might be some changes
00:14:10.480 coming? I think you probably have heard it. But the marketing department didn't get it done.
00:14:17.160 Must it? All right.
00:14:20.840 So, I saw a tweet by a user named Tank. That's what he calls himself on Twitter. He tweets, he goes,
00:14:33.120 let me break this down for you. Elon becomes largest shareholder for free speech. Elon was told to play
00:14:40.080 nice and not speak freely. In other words, the entire reason he was doing it was to have, you know,
00:14:46.260 try to get free speech for himself and others. And joining the board would actually limit his free
00:14:52.400 speech, you know, in a commercial way, not in a government way. So, in a separate but related story,
00:15:01.760 there's a Twitter engineering manager. Now, what I don't know is how important a Twitter
00:15:08.640 engineering manager is. Are there lots of them? Because there are lots of subgroups,
00:15:14.500 so they all need a little manager. Or is this somebody who manages all the engineers? I don't know.
00:15:19.880 It'd be a pretty big difference. But somebody who is a Twitter engineering manager had been tweeting
00:15:28.280 some negative stuff about Elon being on the board and really hated it and, you know,
00:15:33.660 was digging up some old Elon Musk tweets to embarrass him. And I think this is telling you
00:15:39.300 everything, isn't it? It feels like that's everything.
00:15:43.500 I feel like knowing that there's an engineering manager in Twitter that really, really doesn't
00:15:52.380 like whatever it is that Elon Musk thinks he's going to do, I feel like now you know everything,
00:15:59.820 don't you? Now, it's only one person. So, you know, maybe I'm overgeneralizing here. But that's one
00:16:07.200 person who operated with impunity in the sense that that one person was, you know, not shy about putting
00:16:13.480 out the message he put out. I shouldn't say he, because I don't know the pronoun. But let's say
00:16:21.020 they put out. All right. Here's another funny tweet by First Words on Twitter at Unscripted Mike
00:16:31.380 says this. He said, Elon Musk recently built the largest factory in the world, in Texas, of course,
00:16:38.260 just launched the first all-private rocket to the International Space Station,
00:16:42.380 and will soon restore free speech to Twitter, the 21st century town square. Meanwhile, Biden
00:16:49.240 was speaking incoherently somewhere the whole time. And the funny thing about this tweet is
00:16:57.100 what makes it work is the last three unnecessary words. So here's a little tip for you. Generally
00:17:07.520 speaking, you want to remove unnecessary words from your communication, because they're unnecessary,
00:17:13.780 and they just get in the way. But an exception is humor, where sometimes the unnecessary words are,
00:17:21.560 I don't know exactly why they work. It's just something you have to A-B test in your head.
00:17:25.820 If I add these unnecessary words, is it better or worse? And I don't know why this is better.
00:17:29.660 But let me read the sentence again and see how important the whole time is, even though it's
00:17:35.860 unnecessary. Watch. Meanwhile, Biden was speaking incoherently somewhere the whole time. The whole
00:17:42.220 time. I don't know. That's what makes the tweet. Right. By the way, how often have you seen my blog
00:17:51.760 post on how to be the day you became a better writer? How many of you have seen that? Because it's
00:17:57.080 going around again. It's been going around. I think it gets passed around at least every month
00:18:04.420 or so for years. If you haven't seen it, the reason it gets passed around every month or so for years
00:18:12.460 is that when people read it, and it takes approximately less than two minutes, very short,
00:18:19.940 and it's basically the shortest writing lesson in the world with the most impact. So it was created to
00:18:26.000 be exactly that. The shortest writing with the most impact. So just Google if you want to see that
00:18:31.400 the day you became a better writer. The day you became a better writer. And with my name,
00:18:38.620 it'll pop right up. It's all over the place. Now, this is why I like this live stream.
00:18:44.840 Because some of you know what just happened, right? Some of you know what just happened.
00:18:49.700 And some of you don't, but you're going to find out. What just happened was the people who are
00:18:55.240 familiar with that little piece I just recommended are actually aware that it actually fundamentally
00:19:01.300 gave them a superpower. Like turned them from mediocre writers or good-ish writers into good writers
00:19:09.100 in two minutes. In two minutes. It really does that. That's why I put these little two to four
00:19:16.160 minute lessons on locals subscription platform. Because you can actually fundamentally change
00:19:22.100 somebody's effectiveness forever, forever, in two to four minutes. You just have to say the right
00:19:27.840 stuff. So the people who know that know that I just changed a whole bunch of lives just by
00:19:36.120 mentioning it. You know, maybe three of you will Google it. But the three of you who Google it and
00:19:42.260 read it are actually going to have different outcomes. It's that powerful. All right.
00:19:50.940 There's some more information about the importance of ventilation. And I would still love to know this
00:19:58.280 question. If we know that almost nobody gets COVID outdoors, and we know that for sure, right?
00:20:04.640 Has anybody ever gotten COVID in a well-ventilated place? And how well-ventilated does it need to be?
00:20:14.300 Because, you know, I talked during the pandemic, what if you just turn on your fans? What if you just
00:20:20.860 have fans on? Is that good enough? And we still don't know the answer to that. We might have had a
00:20:26.640 complete solution to the pandemic and overlooked it because it was too ordinary, which is make sure
00:20:33.080 there's a fan in every room. Now, the experts say you've got to have a window open. But I think
00:20:39.560 that's where they go wrong. Because if the window is open, it's going to be too cold, too hot. Then
00:20:45.260 there's a reason that people close windows, right? Bugs. So I really, really, really wonder if just
00:20:52.100 moving the air is enough to distribute the plumes. And we might have had a solution the whole time.
00:20:59.500 We might have. All right. Here's my solution to the whole LGBTQ. And I think they've added some
00:21:09.080 numbers or letters, maybe some numbers, too. And some letters recently. And this is a persuasion
00:21:15.880 recommendation. Now, I know many of you are on the, let's say, the social warrior side of
00:21:24.840 stop making a big fuss and giving all these rights to those LGBTQ activists and stuff like
00:21:33.360 that. This isn't going to be that. This is actually going to be legitimate advice for how the people
00:21:40.840 who would define themselves in that community could get maybe better results. Okay. And this is in the
00:21:48.820 form of a persuasion lesson. I'll just apply it to something that's in the news. Every time the LGBTQ
00:21:55.160 adds a new designation or a new flavor, I think they get further from their objective. And what I would
00:22:03.980 do is advise them to take a tip from what the gay activists did in the earlier days of gay rights.
00:22:14.080 Do you remember when gay was called homosexual?
00:22:19.700 And homosexual sounds almost like a disease if you're not well educated, right? It just sounds
00:22:24.940 like, wait, that word is way too big. There's a famous story, and maybe somebody can tell me if this
00:22:30.920 is real or it's just one of those stories you heard, that in the early days of the United States,
00:22:36.260 I don't know exactly what year, somebody was running for election and won the election in part by
00:22:42.200 labeling his opponent a, I think it was a flagrant heterosexual. And people were so undereducated
00:22:50.680 that when they heard that, they're like, whoa, a flagrant heterosexual? We can't have one of those
00:22:56.980 in office, you know, back in cowboy days or whatever the hell it was. I mean, it feels like it was a
00:23:02.700 Lincoln kind of an era thing. But can somebody tell me, did that really happen?
00:23:07.760 Yeah. So I don't know if that really happened, but it tells the story really well. So here's the
00:23:15.140 thing. When the gay rights people changed, you know, from homosexual and queer, although queer,
00:23:22.800 they sort of did the N-word thing and owned it, which was also a good technique. But gay,
00:23:28.780 who doesn't want to be gay? I mean, in the sense that it sounds happy, right? So just labeling it with a
00:23:37.100 word that people universally embrace before they think about it was kind of sort of awesome in
00:23:43.840 terms of persuasion. It's just one of the greatest persuasion plays of all times, in my opinion,
00:23:51.240 just one of the best. Although Black Lives Matter was very good. Again, we're separating whether you
00:23:56.680 like the politics of it from just the persuasion element of it, if we could, right? So what could
00:24:03.040 the LGBTQ and extra letters do to be more like friendlier sounding so they immediately get a positive
00:24:15.180 vibe before people think about the politics? And here's what I would suggest. Non-binary. Now,
00:24:27.400 correct me if I'm wrong, but non-binary, the way it's currently used, is more limited than including
00:24:33.740 all of LGBTQ, right? And it doesn't matter for my purposes. I'm saying to rebrand non-binary as the
00:24:42.880 only thing that captures everything that's not binary. Here's why. People like being non-binary.
00:24:51.560 If you say, you fit into one or two categories, I say, yeah, damn it. Well, I don't know if that
00:24:58.640 sounds so good for me. It feels like I'm a little bit limited in my thinking, doesn't it? Even if
00:25:04.220 you're completely hetero or you're completely, you know, if you're completely hetero, you're still
00:25:09.220 going to say, yeah, I'm completely hetero. But I don't know, I'd like to think that at least,
00:25:15.160 at least I had some flexibility, you know. And I also wonder if there aren't lots of people who
00:25:22.560 would brand themselves hetero, who in their private thoughts are thinking, well, I'm hetero-ish.
00:25:31.400 You know what I mean? Maybe the porn they look at isn't exactly matching their hetero,
00:25:38.180 you know what I mean? You know what I mean? There must be plenty of people who say, yeah,
00:25:42.240 for public consumption, I'm hetero. But, you know, privately, I'm a little bit non-binary.
00:25:48.940 Just a little bit. I see a lot of pushback, which is why I'm doing this. I mean, if it were
00:25:55.840 not provocative, would I do it? Really? If I were not provocative? That's what makes this
00:26:01.760 question fun. So with all respect to the LGBTQ community, which some of my favorite people
00:26:09.820 are members of, I think if you just said non-binary, maybe you'd get further. Or even
00:26:17.740 something better, if there's a word like gay that just puts a positive spin on it from the
00:26:22.780 start, and then you think about the politics. That's all. Just come up with a better label
00:26:27.540 than a bunch of alphabet letters. All right. Have you noticed that in our minds, at least,
00:26:35.980 there are certain patterns that keep repeating? And one of the reasons that movies and books and TV
00:26:42.740 shows work is that people like certain patterns of things. Like they like stories of good versus
00:26:50.300 evil. They like stories of redemption, right? There's a limited set of what we imagine are the stories
00:26:58.220 that we want to see. And I'm fascinated when I see parallels. For example, as I tweeted today,
00:27:06.220 if you're familiar with the Star Trek universe, this will work better if you have some familiarity
00:27:14.340 with that universe. But if NATO is the federation, and again, right, everybody gets to say their side
00:27:20.920 is the good guys. I get it. I get it. Right? If you're in Russia, NATO doesn't look like the
00:27:26.880 federation. But from our point of view, right, this is just subjective point of view. If NATO is
00:27:32.320 the federation, would Russia be the Klingons? And would China be the Romulans? Or would they be the
00:27:38.560 Ferengi? Ferengi? Or the Borg? They're a little bit the Borg, because they're trying to assimilate
00:27:44.920 the Uyghurs. But they're a little bit the Ferengi, because they're, you know, commerce,
00:27:50.480 sort of commerce first. And the Russians seem like the Klingons, because it feels like the
00:27:57.220 honor of their empire is what matters more than life itself. Yeah, the Ferengi are capitalists,
00:28:04.980 but they're merchants, right? So this all brings me to the most important question,
00:28:12.520 which is, when we look at this whole Russia-Ukraine war, what would Shatner do? And until we've
00:28:20.200 heard that, I don't think we understand the whole situation. But what would Captain Kirk
00:28:24.980 do? I was going to ask him, but I couldn't. His DMs are closed. All right. Here's my most
00:28:36.680 provocative take today. You're going to hate this one. In my opinion, it looks like Russia already
00:28:44.040 lost the war. But the news is not saying that. Like, I'm observing it, and what seems to me,
00:28:53.460 and I'll get to my cognitive bias and my confirmation bias. That's the point. We're going to that.
00:28:58.220 So you don't need to shout that you disagree with me yet, because your disagreement is the point of
00:29:04.840 this, right? I'm watching the news, and you're watching the news, but why do I see that Russia
00:29:10.280 already lost? But the news isn't reporting it. So there are two possibilities here, which are kind
00:29:17.320 the cool. Number one, I'm suffering from confirmation bias, because I, somewhat uniquely among experts and
00:29:29.460 probably most of you, said that Russia would actually be running into a buzzsaw, and it wouldn't
00:29:36.080 be easy, and that the modern technology that the Ukrainian army was likely to have access to,
00:29:42.340 because they're NATO and American sponsorship. They were likely to surprise Russia with an unusually
00:29:50.400 aggressive and effective tech-led response. I said their tanks would be in trouble, that drones would
00:29:58.140 be part of it. And so far, 100% of that seems true, right? But would you say that my... So I had the
00:30:06.720 incorrect prediction, 100% incorrect, that Russia knew what I knew, which is, this doesn't look easy,
00:30:15.280 but I guess they thought it was. Maybe they had bad information. So they went ahead and invaded.
00:30:20.920 So that part, I'm 100% wrong, just so you can hear me say when I'm wrong. But it looks to me like the
00:30:28.480 second part of that, that Russia would be surprised, happened. And that it's already happened. Because
00:30:36.560 it doesn't look like they really have a good shot at taking over the country in terms of owning the
00:30:41.300 capital, Kyiv. And now we see them doing something that looks, again, again, just to me it looks this
00:30:48.280 way. Not to you. I'm not suggesting you see it this way. I'm saying that my confirmation bias,
00:30:54.960 which makes me want to be right. See, I want to be right that Ukraine was more able to defend
00:31:03.140 itself than others thought. So I'm interpreting the situation to make myself right. And even though
00:31:10.600 I'm aware of it, I can't unsee it. Isn't that weird? Like, I'm completely aware that I'm the only one
00:31:18.560 seeing this. But there's a reason I'm the only one seeing it. Either, and here's the fun part,
00:31:26.740 either you're all right, and I'm experiencing confirmation bias, completely possible. I have
00:31:32.660 no way to know that that's not true. And it's actually quite likely. I put it in the solidly,
00:31:39.240 very likely category.
00:31:40.480 The other possibility is that most of you get your opinions from the news. Most people do. They
00:31:49.440 get their opinions from the news. It's very rare to have somebody who has an opinion that
00:31:53.460 disagrees with either the left or the right-leaning news. It's very, very odd, unusual. So you get your
00:32:00.680 opinions largely from the news. And the news told you, with all its experts, that Ukraine was going to
00:32:09.200 be conquered by Russia. Well, okay, not in two days. Well, it might take them a little longer.
00:32:15.240 But suddenly, Russia has withdrawn from the entire north to try to salvage whatever it can.
00:32:22.020 It doesn't even look like it's going to take Odessa. I mean, maybe it will. But at the moment,
00:32:27.700 it looks like it got stopped from taking Odessa, too, in the port. So am I experiencing cognitive
00:32:35.940 dissonance? Or is the entire mainstream media, including the left and the right? Because remember,
00:32:43.380 both the left and the right thought it was going to be an easy victory for Russia. And they were so
00:32:49.000 wrong, it looks to me, they were so wrong that they can't tell you that they were wrong. And that
00:32:57.480 the cognitive dissonance and the confirmation bias is 100% on the mainstream media side, who is now
00:33:04.760 brainwashed the rest of you into believing that something like a Russian victory is unfolding.
00:33:11.980 When the news they actually report, I just watched General Petraeus, you know, explain the situation
00:33:18.880 and the withdrawal from Kiev. If you just look at what he's reporting, it really looks like Russia
00:33:25.780 already lost. But you tell me. Let's take a vote. Tell me, am I experiencing confirmation bias?
00:33:38.280 And Russia will just roll on to victory. Yes or no? There's only one correct answer. The correct answer,
00:33:47.660 I just saw only one person said it. The correct answer is unknown. All right, you just separated
00:33:54.480 yourselves into the higher level of awareness and lower level. Here's what I'm not going to tell you
00:34:01.460 that I'm right about this. I can't tell you that I'm right. I can only tell you what it feels like.
00:34:08.340 Because if you're experiencing cognitive dissonance or confirmation bias, you're the one who doesn't
00:34:15.060 know. You're the one who doesn't know. So if it's me, I don't know. And even if you tell me, even if
00:34:22.100 every one of you told me I'm experiencing it, I'd still say, I don't think so. I don't think so. I got
00:34:27.700 reasons. I got good reasons. One person said unknown when I asked the question, who has cognitive
00:34:36.320 dissonance? The person who said unknown has the best level of awareness probably in the conversation.
00:34:47.380 The moment you realize that cognitive dissonance and confirmation can just as easily affect you,
00:34:53.560 that's when you see the machinery. That's when you see reality just, it opens its cover.
00:35:05.060 But you have to accept that it's happening to you. If you believe it only happens to the dumb people
00:35:12.000 on the other side, you'll never see the machinery. And then you will be the scenery. So you can be the
00:35:21.500 scenery or you can see the machinery. And if you think that you know who has cognitive dissonance
00:35:27.080 in this situation, it's your scenery. If you can accept that you don't know, as I do, I really don't
00:35:36.900 know if I'm right. I only know what it looks like. And I accept that. And that allows me to see the
00:35:43.720 machinery. Don't be the scenery. All right. And we heard more about this Ukrainian volunteer drone
00:35:54.480 unit. Bunch of nerds. I say that with love because I love technical people.
00:36:02.560 They've modified these little hobby-sized drones. And apparently they got credit for stopping the
00:36:08.340 convoy. I feel like they might be getting a little more attention than maybe their actual
00:36:13.740 contribution is. But do you wonder if maybe there isn't still some kind of secret drones over there
00:36:21.820 that we don't exactly know about? Maybe something that America or NATO has that's a little bit
00:36:29.360 stealthier or a little bit faster or, I don't know, maybe a little more autonomous, a little more
00:36:36.000 something? I don't know. And do you think that when this is over, we'll learn that there was some
00:36:46.480 technology in play that made a big difference that we hadn't heard of during the conflict? Maybe.
00:36:54.060 I don't know. It could be just that the, let's say the weaponization of drones in general is the
00:37:01.080 whole story or most of it. What do you think of the idea of calling Putin a war criminal?
00:37:10.060 Let me explain how war crimes are tried. It's very complicated. So try to, try to follow along.
00:37:19.580 This is, this is how you handle the war crimes. So you've got the International Criminal Court
00:37:23.840 located in Hague and is created by the Rome Statute. But some people are members, some aren't.
00:37:29.160 We've got the United Nations. They could do something and then the members could all agree
00:37:33.860 and it would give it a patina of credibility. But of course, Russia wouldn't go along with
00:37:38.460 it. So it doesn't really matter. So you've got a whole bunch of legal remedies and legal
00:37:42.360 approaches that all have the same, they all have the same characteristic. We don't fully
00:37:48.120 understand them and they're not going to make any difference whatsoever.
00:37:50.300 Um, because Putin isn't going to go to trial, right? And we're not going to capture him if he
00:38:00.380 leaves the country, are we? Really? I mean, I don't think so. Would we? Is somebody going to take
00:38:08.300 him into custody? I don't think so. But here's what's interesting. Can Putin ever travel again?
00:38:16.300 Right. Except to the few places where they're friendly. I feel like that Russia no longer has
00:38:24.920 a leader in any realistic way. Meaning that if the whole world decides you just can't even
00:38:32.400 come here, you can't even touch our territory, do you really have a leader? Because you kind
00:38:39.280 of want a leader who can go to the G8, the G20, you know, whatever is appropriate. You feel
00:38:43.820 like, you feel like your leader needs to show up, right? 90% of success is attendance.
00:38:52.440 And he can't attend. Right? Attendance is very important. And now they have an alleged leader
00:39:00.300 who can't attend in a practical way. Because he won't be invited or it might be too risky
00:39:05.800 to leave the country. So in a real sense, they've already lost their leader. I mean, it's like
00:39:12.960 he's a military commander now, but the country doesn't have a political leader because the
00:39:18.420 other countries that would need to treat him like a political leader are just not going
00:39:22.400 to do it. Because they have this credible allegations of war crimes. Now, I want to jump in here and
00:39:31.660 say, because every time I say something like Russia is committing war crimes, somebody who's
00:39:37.740 pro-Ukraine jumps in and says, Scott, Scott, Scott, why do you believe in the news and
00:39:43.200 the propaganda? Don't you know that the Ukrainians were shelling the Russians and the Donbass and
00:39:50.260 discriminating against them? To which I say, I don't really know that. No. But I don't need
00:39:57.460 to know it. Because if you're telling me that Ukrainians have done any war crimes against Russians
00:40:03.480 during this conflict or even before, did some bad things, I'll believe it. You don't even have to
00:40:10.080 show me an example. It just sounds like something people do. So I'm already there. I don't even need
00:40:16.240 any evidence. Yeah. It's a war. There are war crimes. Uh-huh. Both sides? Yeah. Yeah. Both sides.
00:40:22.940 Most of the time or all the time? All the time. All the time. If it were only sometimes
00:40:28.600 that wars produced war crimes, then I'd be like, let's look into this. Let's look into
00:40:34.140 these details. Got to find out who's doing it, who isn't. Well, I don't believe that. Do
00:40:39.160 you? I just think war creates war crimes. Because the people that you send into war are the people
00:40:47.500 who are going to do some war crimes. And if they didn't start that way, war can turn them
00:40:52.000 into that kind of people. And I think that there are legitimate trade-offs between, you
00:40:58.880 know, saving yourself and saving your prisoners. And people are going to say, well, I'd rather
00:41:04.660 save myself, frankly. Thank you.
00:41:10.400 Biden droned an innocent family. Well, intention always matters. So, yeah, intention matters.
00:41:17.960 I'm tending to think that it might be a good move, branding Putin as a war criminal. He's
00:41:26.840 never going to be tried, unless there's some kind of revolution in Russia itself, I suppose.
00:41:33.480 That's possible. But I don't see that happening. I think Russia will just continue as a degraded
00:41:38.500 country. And that's it. It'll just be a degraded country forever, for at least for a long time.
00:41:46.280 All right. I don't have much else to talk about. Is there anything I missed?
00:41:53.480 Did you hear the story about the 75-year-old activist who was at, what, several years ago?
00:42:00.120 He was out there, and the police were clearing the streets, and they shoved him, and he fell down
00:42:04.940 and hit his head. And there was some case against the police officer. And the police officer has been
00:42:10.160 completely cleared. Apparently, if you stand in front of the police and try to stop their progress,
00:42:17.280 they can push you out of the way. Turns out the police can push people out of the way if they're
00:42:23.260 trying to stop the police from doing their job. Now, I remember seeing that when it originally happened,
00:42:28.180 and people called me a ghoul for thinking I didn't see a crime there. I don't know if anybody remembers
00:42:35.800 that. I had a pretty small audience at the time. But I remember looking at it and thinking,
00:42:40.780 well, what do you think happens when you stand in front of a police action? How do you imagine that
00:42:47.160 goes? Like, was there a positive way that was going to turn out? I don't know. Now, of course,
00:42:53.300 the fact that falling down and being pushed out of the way actually caused an injury. That's not
00:42:58.400 funny. But I don't think it was the point of why he was pushed. I don't think they were trying to
00:43:04.060 hurt him. I think they were trying to get him out of the way. And I don't think that it was obvious
00:43:08.400 that that was going to, you know, be as bad as it was. All right. The Hunter Biden case is heating up?
00:43:17.660 Or is it? Or is it? Yeah, he was a local provocateur. Provocateur? Provocateur.
00:43:29.860 Or is there a new troll who's not doing a good job over here on YouTube? I hate it when the new
00:43:44.060 guy, he's not really trained on where my hot buttons are yet. He's just like flailing. Can
00:43:50.740 somebody train the new guy? By now, everybody must know my hot buttons. I'm sure you can find them.
00:43:56.540 It can't be that hard. Am I still on Prisoner Island? I am not. I am not. And not that I won't go
00:44:09.540 back. Prisoner Island recalls us on a regular basis. You do get dropped on Prisoner Island every now and
00:44:18.900 then. So let me tell you what one of my big issues was that apparently isn't a big issue.
00:44:26.540 So I thought I had a hernia. It's a little iguanal hernia or something. And I thought that
00:44:37.340 that would require surgery and probably really soon and it would ruin my whole summer. And
00:44:43.260 I really, really needed a non-pandemic summer. I mean, most of you do, but I really, really
00:44:49.180 needed it. And I went to the doctor and the doctor said, and this will surprise you, it
00:44:56.380 turns out that Googling your symptoms is just as good as a doctor. Don't listen to anybody
00:45:02.460 who tells you it doesn't. So I basically went in and said, doctor, I think I have an inguinal
00:45:10.300 hernia. And the doctor says, let me see. And it took the doctor like three seconds to say,
00:45:16.520 oh yeah, that's one. And then I said, all right, what do I do? And the doctor said, well,
00:45:21.360 you know, there's one group. Listen to this. This will dovetail into the actual live stream
00:45:30.160 content that I do. It turns out that there was a study of one group of patients that always refused
00:45:37.240 hernia surgery. Just one group. What do you think that group was? Who was the group who refused hernia
00:45:45.120 surgery even when they had a hernia? Somebody says the Amish. That wasn't where I was going.
00:45:52.160 And the answer is surgeons. Are we done here? Yeah. The group least likely to get hernia surgery to fix
00:46:01.580 it as opposed to just living with it are surgeons. And that's what my doctor told me. And so the new
00:46:09.420 thinking is that you might be better off living with it unless it worsens, right? There's some
00:46:15.420 point at which surgery is necessary. But mine is really doesn't have any pain and you can't really
00:46:21.920 see it. So there's nothing visual. There's no pain. It just is something I know exists. I'll work
00:46:28.480 around it. And so I'll have a good summer. So I was sort of on Prisoner Island and thought I'd stay
00:46:35.300 there. But I just wasn't current with the best thinking on it. And so I scared myself for no
00:46:39.900 reason. I probably will end up, I imagine, someday getting it repaired. But it won't be this summer.
00:46:46.040 So I'm not going to worry about it.
00:46:50.100 Yes. Oh, you have one mesh? Got to do the other side. Yeah, maybe I'll have to. Who knows?
00:46:59.020 And that's all for now. I hope you had a great time. And I'll talk to you later.