Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1717 Scott Adams： The News Is So Slow Today That I'm Trending On Twitter

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best experience of your life until tomorrow.

00:00:11.920 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and if you got here by sheer luck, wow, that is a good omen for you.

00:00:19.300 But if you got here by skill, because you know I'm here every day at the same time,

00:00:24.080 well then, that's something you can feel good about, isn't it?

00:00:27.540 Again, you have succeeded, and your day has barely begun, so it's pretty much all coasting from here on in.

00:00:35.860 Would you like to take it to another level? Maybe even higher?

00:00:39.940 I know, it doesn't seem possible, does it? But we can do it. Watch this.

00:00:45.280 All you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:52.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:57.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:02.540 Can you feel it? You can feel it a little bit, can't you?

00:01:05.560 It's the dopamine hit of the day. It's already starting to charge up.

00:01:09.740 It's a little bit of oxytocin on top.

00:01:12.640 It's the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now all over the world to make you all feel amazing.

00:01:16.520 You know, I keep waiting for this to not work once.

00:01:28.040 It works every time.

00:01:29.340 I don't know. It's strange.

00:01:34.260 Talk about strange things.

00:01:36.420 We'll see what's trending today on Twitter.

00:01:41.040 Trending on Twitter?

00:01:43.740 Okay, it's me.

00:01:45.700 It's me. I'm trending on Twitter.

00:01:47.360 Have I ever mentioned how weird my life is?

00:01:53.940 So I did a Twitter thread about how weird my life is, and it's trending on Twitter today.

00:02:01.840 And weirdly, I guess it started trending last night.

00:02:04.060 And I had no idea, so I guess I was one of the biggest news stories in the country.

00:02:11.900 And it was the day I decided not to look at Twitter at night.

00:02:15.160 I always look at Twitter at night.

00:02:17.260 But just one night, I was like, ah, I'm going to take the night off.

00:02:20.960 And I wake up this morning, and I'm getting messages about how I was trending.

00:02:25.620 And I'm like, what?

00:02:26.840 It always reminds me that it would be impossible for you to understand what it's like to be a public figure

00:02:36.320 because your actual personal experience is so divorced from whatever anybody else is consuming.

00:02:44.740 So while many people around the country apparently were consuming something about me,

00:02:51.060 I was completely oblivious.

00:02:53.260 I was just do-do-do-do-do, you know, sipping my coffee.

00:02:57.200 Petting my dog.

00:02:59.580 So we're going to talk about that tweet to thread because it got me in a little trouble.

00:03:03.480 Do you want to do that first?

00:03:05.320 Do you want to do that first, or do you want to do the news first?

00:03:07.980 Quick, vote.

00:03:09.780 Tweet thread first or news first?

00:03:12.920 Ah, you know you wanted the tweet thread.

00:03:15.160 Come on.

00:03:16.540 All right, so here's what made me trend.

00:03:18.060 I tweeted, just before I logged off yesterday, a number of weird things that have happened to me.

00:03:24.740 And I thought, wouldn't it be interesting to see people's lists of weird things that have happened?

00:03:32.100 So I started it with mine. 0.62

00:03:34.040 And I didn't realize it would cause so much trouble.

00:03:36.780 I thought it would just be mildly interesting.

00:03:41.760 I did not know that it would trend nationally on Twitter.

00:03:46.260 But here's the thread, and it's just a number of things that are weird that have happened to me.

00:03:51.260 So it starts with, a number of times a real gun has been pointed at my head.

00:03:58.820 Five.

00:04:00.180 Now it turns out that a lot of people thought that was a lie.

00:04:07.400 Has anybody else ever had a gun pointed at them?

00:04:10.000 Now, I'm going to confess to some hyperbole, okay?

00:04:14.560 Look, there's a whole bunch of people on the local.

00:04:18.760 Look at you.

00:04:19.680 Look at how many people have had a gun pointed at them.

00:04:21.980 Oh, my God.

00:04:23.680 A lot of people have had a gun pointed at them.

00:04:28.500 Holy cow. 0.89

00:04:30.540 What kind of audience have I attracted?

00:04:34.160 Well, I'm a little bit worried.

00:04:37.420 Should we just form a militia?

00:04:41.160 If I could just take you aside for a moment.

00:04:43.200 I didn't realize how many of you have been in active gunfights, one way or another.

00:04:52.500 And I feel as if, given that we've accidentally assembled this particular audience,

00:05:00.020 and many of you have been in gunfights, I think we should form our own militia.

00:05:06.200 Is everybody in?

00:05:07.940 There won't be really any drilling.

00:05:11.020 I'm not really, I'm just not much of a drill sergeant.

00:05:17.020 So I'll be the head of your militia if you'd like to join.

00:05:21.180 And the requirements are nothing.

00:05:23.760 Nothing.

00:05:24.200 You just have to say you're part of my militia.

00:05:26.400 But if I ever call you to action, should we ever need to defend the country against foreign invaders or whatever,

00:05:34.740 I will call you into action and our militia will assemble and God help whoever is against us.

00:05:44.300 All right.

00:05:44.700 Well, a number of times a real gun was pointed at my head was five.

00:05:48.420 And all of these have sort of a story behind them.

00:05:52.140 I was a bank teller in San Francisco in 1979-80.

00:05:59.640 If you were a bank teller in San Francisco during those years, there was a pretty good chance you got robbed at gunpoint.

00:06:07.260 In fact, it was so common that there's a good chance that if you banked at all, like in person in San Francisco during those years,

00:06:15.220 you were probably in a bank during a bank robbery but didn't know it because the bank robberies happen silently.

00:06:25.340 You know, a bank robber will maybe put a note that says, give me all your money.

00:06:29.660 I have a gun.

00:06:30.940 That happened to me once.

00:06:32.760 And in that case, it was a gun in a pocket.

00:06:35.920 Was it a gun?

00:06:37.120 I don't know.

00:06:38.560 I mean, if somebody says, give me all your money, and they have a gun in their pocket,

00:06:43.040 and it looks like they're pointing it at you, I didn't really ask to see it.

00:06:47.740 So there is some hyperbole in my five guns in the sense that two of them were, you know,

00:06:54.120 guns sort of simulated behind clothing.

00:06:57.140 But the people simulating them were real robbers.

00:07:00.740 So the part that was not simulated, I was really being robbed.

00:07:05.260 So were there guns?

00:07:06.760 I don't know.

00:07:07.640 But it felt like it.

00:07:09.160 So the experience was similar to as if there were.

00:07:12.080 So two times it happened in the course of my job.

00:07:17.220 It is unusual to be robbed twice.

00:07:20.000 But even within my bank, there were people who had been robbed twice in their job as a teller.

00:07:26.000 So it wasn't that uncommon.

00:07:28.900 You know, it happened within my own bank a few times.

00:07:32.240 But the reason you don't hear about it is it's a silent alarm.

00:07:38.860 So all you know is that somebody went up to a teller window, and they left, sometimes with a bag of something.

00:07:47.020 You wouldn't even know the bank had been robbed.

00:07:48.740 So, and those two, two of them was just mugged on the streets.

00:07:56.600 Yeah, San Francisco was kind of dangerous then.

00:07:59.740 And if you don't have much money, you end up in bad neighborhoods.

00:08:03.020 I lived in the Haight, which was kind of a rough neighborhood.

00:08:07.020 Probably still is.

00:08:07.820 I don't know.

00:08:08.140 But at night, it wasn't a safe place.

00:08:12.360 And then one of them was a prank.

00:08:14.320 I've told you about this, at least on locals, I think.

00:08:17.360 I was walking down the street in the Mission District, and I heard somebody say, hey.

00:08:23.520 And there was an open window, you know, right close to the sidewalk.

00:08:27.060 It was one of those situations where the window and the sidewalk of a residential home were really close.

00:08:31.880 And somebody pointed it out the window with a very real gun.

00:08:37.720 Now, I say it was real because I got to see it really close.

00:08:41.300 I mean, way closer than you want to see a gun pointed at your head.

00:08:44.480 And he pulled the trigger.

00:08:46.540 I got to watch the, you know, the rotation of the chamber.

00:08:50.620 But there was not a round in the chamber.

00:08:53.920 And then he laughed.

00:08:56.000 It was pretty funny for the people in the room.

00:08:58.220 He may even tell that story about my reaction.

00:09:02.620 It was priceless.

00:09:04.280 Priceless, I tell you.

00:09:05.340 Yes, it was a revolver.

00:09:08.040 Sorry, I don't have all the, I don't have all my gun terms.

00:09:13.740 You know, the interesting thing is that with both the, well, actually, all of the robberies,

00:09:19.800 you don't really get scared in the moment.

00:09:24.280 All of the adrenaline has sort of a time delay.

00:09:30.220 So since all of the actual dangerous parts really happen quickly, there's this moment where you're sort of,

00:09:35.820 you're more surprised than anything else.

00:09:39.160 And you're like, wait, is this real?

00:09:41.260 So there's a moment of figuring out if it's real and what's really happening.

00:09:45.420 And then once you realize that it is real and it's really happening, it's almost over.

00:09:50.360 By the time it's over, your body is, you know, goes to, you know, DEFCON 50.

00:09:57.020 It stays there for a while.

00:09:58.720 But the danger is already passed by then.

00:10:01.240 But when it's in it, you actually are just sort of cool and weirdly calm.

00:10:07.500 So, you know, I've looked down to two gun barrels directly.

00:10:12.320 And the other ones, I say there's some hyperbole here, because I don't know if the other ones were real guns.

00:10:19.040 They were simulated guns behind clothing.

00:10:22.120 And I don't know if they were pointing at my head.

00:10:24.840 They might have been pointing at my torso.

00:10:27.100 So there's a little hyperbole in there.

00:10:31.320 Let's see.

00:10:32.040 Here was the next one.

00:10:32.860 Number of times my car stereo has been stolen, four.

00:10:38.360 I think it's more.

00:10:41.220 But I could remember distinctly at least four.

00:10:44.320 I think it's five.

00:10:46.160 There was a time when I had the kind of cars that had the kind of stereos that were aftermarket.

00:10:54.060 They were real easy to take out.

00:10:55.800 So you just break the window and rip it out.

00:10:57.700 Again, this was San Francisco.

00:10:58.880 Actually, no, two of these were in the East Bay, where I live now, in the parking lot of the health club.

00:11:09.480 A number of times my home or garage have been burgled.

00:11:13.520 Five.

00:11:15.720 So, you know, once I came home and the door was open to my apartment and it had been burgled.

00:11:21.720 The others were garages.

00:11:23.260 So it's fairly common where I live that somebody will rummage through your garage and steal your, you know, whatever they can carry out.

00:11:32.400 So the other four were the garage.

00:11:35.200 Now, is that hyperbole?

00:11:37.960 A little bit.

00:11:39.420 You know, is it garage, burglary?

00:11:41.620 Because usually it means you left the door open and you went to sleep.

00:11:44.740 But it does mean somebody was in your home, you know, in the interior.

00:11:51.200 Sometimes they were in your car.

00:11:53.540 You know, you can see that they rummaged around in your car, that sort of thing.

00:11:57.620 A number of times I've been assaulted at knife point.

00:12:01.280 Twice.

00:12:02.840 Not stabbed.

00:12:04.080 You know, nobody stabbed me.

00:12:05.440 But twice I've been in a conflict where somebody had a knife and was threatening to use it.

00:12:10.520 Once was a mugging, again, on the street of San Francisco.

00:12:14.640 That was a pretty big knife.

00:12:16.080 It was sort of like kitchen knife, bowie knife.

00:12:19.500 I don't know what the hell it was, but it was a big damn knife.

00:12:22.740 And then the other one was an amateur sporting competition that went bad.

00:12:30.120 Sometimes in soccer games a little violence breaks out.

00:12:34.660 But only once did somebody brandish a knife in my direction.

00:12:38.300 But that was de-escalated.

00:12:39.660 And, all right, number of times someone stole more than $50,000 from me.

00:12:46.080 I estimated five to seven times.

00:12:50.880 Now, of course, a lot of people said, well, that can't be true.

00:12:54.200 Or, what the hell are you doing?

00:12:55.920 Or, what kind of an idiot are you that so many people could steal so much money?

00:12:59.460 And I don't know what the experience is of other people who have substantial money and also have been involved in a number of businesses.

00:13:11.340 But let me tell you this.

00:13:13.620 If you own a small business and you don't manage it yourself, sooner or later there's going to be a manager or somebody who's hired to be like the assistant manager or somebody associated with it who's going to figure out how to start trickling things out the door.

00:13:31.440 So, in that kind of a business, nobody's going to steal $50,000 in one go.

00:13:37.640 It's going to be, you know, $4,000 a year for several years.

00:13:42.000 That sort of thing.

00:13:42.620 Very common.

00:13:45.000 And, you know, I can confirm that those things happened.

00:13:49.000 So, one was a bookkeeper from an old business.

00:13:53.800 Does anybody know the Dill Burrito?

00:13:56.500 The Dill Burrito was, I tried to make a frozen Dill Burrito, a burrito, that had all your vitamins and minerals.

00:14:05.700 It didn't work as a company because we couldn't quite nail it and I didn't believe the science after a while.

00:14:10.820 Because I don't think the nutrition science really suggests you should have that much in terms of minerals and vitamins.

00:14:18.180 I think it's a lot of guessing.

00:14:19.880 Anyway, the bookkeeper forged a check, stole $50,000.

00:14:25.960 Got caught.

00:14:27.820 Was prosecuted.

00:14:29.620 So, I'm not saying that they all got away with it and I lost the money.

00:14:34.240 In some cases, I got it back.

00:14:36.300 And I won't mention the other examples because in only some cases were people prosecuted.

00:14:45.160 In other cases, there were, let's say, extenuating circumstances or somebody got away with it for one reason or another.

00:14:53.700 It's just, unfortunately, it's just the cost of having money and being involved in a lot of businesses.

00:14:58.120 If you said, how many times has Elon Musk lost $50,000 or more?

00:15:06.180 I'll bet it's a lot.

00:15:09.260 Some of them he may have detected.

00:15:11.860 Some of them maybe he didn't.

00:15:13.700 I don't know.

00:15:14.180 Or maybe he just does a better job of watching his shop.

00:15:18.940 Homes in my neighborhood, all right, and as you might have guessed, I live in a very low crime area.

00:15:24.980 It's a high-end, average house in my neighborhood, probably $2.5 million, something like that.

00:15:35.800 In California, that's not as big as you'd imagine.

00:15:39.520 But so it's a high-end-ish neighborhood.

00:15:43.320 And it's a high-end neighborhood.

00:15:45.540 I'll take out the ish.

00:15:47.280 I know how awful that sounded as soon as I said it.

00:15:49.900 But two of them have been targeted by smash and steal gangs, you know, the South American gangs that break into your back door usually.

00:16:00.380 They usually come over a fence or something, get in the back, break through a window, go directly for any jewelry upstairs, and then leave before anybody can come.

00:16:10.620 So my next-door neighbor, my literal next-door neighbor, was taken down by a smash and steal gang, and one a little bit further away, but just, you know, walking distance, just down the street.

00:16:27.020 So when you ask yourself how safe are things, there's no such thing as a safe neighborhood anymore.

00:16:37.320 Let me tell you, literally the name of it, I won't say that, but I do live in just about the safest place that also has a population.

00:16:48.360 And you can see that it's not safe here.

00:16:52.460 I mean, this is one of the places where I've been robbed.

00:16:55.460 I've lost all of my tools in my garage twice.

00:17:00.040 I hate that, because I'm a tool collector.

00:17:03.280 I like having tools that I don't even need.

00:17:05.960 It's just sort of one of those male fetishes, you know, you just like having a lot of tools.

00:17:10.440 Sometimes I have two of things that I really didn't need two of.

00:17:13.900 Right?

00:17:14.200 I mean, men, you understand this.

00:17:15.980 Sometimes you just need lots and lots of pliers.

00:17:20.320 There's no such thing as too many pliers of different types for different things, right?

00:17:24.840 But I've had my whole collection wiped down twice, including all the electric drills and everything.

00:17:31.980 So those are two of the robberies.

00:17:35.740 A number of major auto accidents I've been in, three.

00:17:40.800 Wasn't injured in any of them, but they were major, major damage of the automobile

00:17:45.440 or completely off the road in one case.

00:17:49.400 A number of incurable health issues I cured in myself.

00:17:53.540 Now, again, it kind of depends how you read it, right?

00:17:57.860 If you think I cured it like Jesus, 0.99

00:18:00.720 oh, you're cured!

00:18:04.360 Well, then that didn't happen.

00:18:06.360 But if you think that I had three conditions, let's say, that were considered incurable,

00:18:14.040 but I got a good result by hard work and, you know, just pressing on it, then it's true.

00:18:21.620 And you all know the story.

00:18:23.220 Once I lost my ability to speak, but long, long story,

00:18:27.180 I hunted down the one surgeon who had a still experimental surgery and got it fixed.

00:18:32.640 But it was considered incurable.

00:18:35.400 It just happened that I found the one doctor who didn't think so.

00:18:40.660 The other was a focal dystonia.

00:18:43.620 Both the first one and this one are actually brain misfires in a similar region

00:18:48.680 that causes a muscle to do something it's not supposed to.

00:18:51.940 They often operate in pairs.

00:18:53.860 So the other one was I lost my ability to draw with my left hand.

00:18:58.580 It would spasm when I tried to draw.

00:19:00.100 The hand was fine because it's a brain misfire.

00:19:03.340 There's nothing wrong with the muscles or anything.

00:19:06.280 And that was incurable.

00:19:08.440 And the advice was quit your job because you're not going to be drawing with that hand.

00:19:13.280 You can do everything else with it.

00:19:14.500 You can play an instrument, anything you want.

00:19:16.580 It just will never be used for that.

00:19:19.620 But I joined an experimental group to see if we could figure out some way to fix it

00:19:24.720 with, you know, massage or biofeedback.

00:19:27.100 We tried a bunch of stuff just to see if anybody could come up with anything.

00:19:32.580 But one of the things I tried was, I guess you'd say it, there's a word for it,

00:19:39.220 where you sort of sneak up on the behavior you're trying to get to.

00:19:43.300 So since I knew that my hand would spasm if I tried to draw, instead I would just put the pen in my hand

00:19:50.260 and put the pen to paper and then lift it up immediately.

00:19:55.500 So that my brain would see me putting pen to paper without spasming.

00:20:00.360 And I'd just do it a lot.

00:20:02.240 And then after a while I could hold it there for a second before taking it off before a spasm.

00:20:07.220 And then a second turned into five seconds.

00:20:09.620 And I wouldn't even try to draw.

00:20:10.860 I would just rest it on the piece of paper.

00:20:13.260 Because just being there was the trigger.

00:20:15.620 It wasn't even moving.

00:20:17.440 And then eventually it got to about ten seconds.

00:20:20.340 When it hit about thirty seconds, one day, my brain rewired.

00:20:27.300 And I actually recovered my ability to draw for over a decade.

00:20:31.840 I forget how long it was.

00:20:33.540 But for about a decade, I had cured an incurable problem.

00:20:37.460 Now, more recently, I re-injured it.

00:20:43.300 And so it's back.

00:20:45.840 But at the moment, I'm sure I could do the same thing and probably recover it again.

00:20:49.980 But it takes a long time.

00:20:51.800 So instead, I thought, wouldn't it make more sense to just draw left-handed?

00:20:55.460 Because I have an art assistant now who can do the finished stuff.

00:20:58.440 If mine is a little bit off now, it gets fixed by my assistant.

00:21:02.060 So I just trained myself to draw left-handed and now I'll have a backup.

00:21:07.500 Because I always wanted a backup anyway.

00:21:10.080 So that's two incurable conditions that I worked my way through.

00:21:16.880 And the third one was pyresis or shy bladder.

00:21:20.260 That's the same thing.

00:21:21.660 The inability to use a public restroom for reasons that, again, are sort of mysterious.

00:21:27.060 Something like, I don't know, two to five percent of the public have it.

00:21:30.100 But nobody, people tend to think they're the only ones who have it.

00:21:35.360 And it turns out that learning you're not the only one who has it is kind of a cure.

00:21:41.600 Now, not for everybody and not in every situation.

00:21:44.800 But simply putting it out in public and telling everybody you know

00:21:50.920 that you can't urinate in those situations,

00:21:55.700 and it turns out to be the cure.

00:21:57.440 So when I found out that, first of all, it was genetic, ran in the family.

00:22:02.960 And secondly, I wasn't the only one who had it.

00:22:05.140 My brother actually is active in helping other people understand it.

00:22:09.960 And he actually cured me.

00:22:12.040 He cured me simply by telling me what it was and that other people have it.

00:22:17.020 And it's completely, you know, just sort of a normal statistical thing,

00:22:20.820 like a lot of other things.

00:22:22.760 And that if you do graduated exposure,

00:22:28.560 meaning you put yourself in increasingly difficult situations,

00:22:34.020 meaning let's say there's somebody outside the door but nearby,

00:22:37.960 which would have been impossible at one point for me.

00:22:42.040 I would have to be behind a closed door

00:22:44.260 but also know that there was nobody around, right?

00:22:47.480 But once you get to the point where you can do that,

00:22:53.000 you can, you know, ratchet it up.

00:22:56.040 So at this point, I don't have problems traveling.

00:22:59.420 Can you imagine what traveling or just going to work were like

00:23:03.620 if you didn't have access to a restroom

00:23:05.420 and you didn't know when you ever would?

00:23:08.380 It was hell.

00:23:10.120 It was like the worst thing in the world.

00:23:11.940 But it was a private hell that nobody would know I was having.

00:23:15.320 It was an internal one.

00:23:16.360 As soon as I found out it was a thing

00:23:18.800 and that other people have it,

00:23:22.100 30% of it was solved.

00:23:24.660 And then I started chunking away.

00:23:26.460 I would say it's somewhere in the neighborhood of 80% solved at this point,

00:23:30.660 which is good enough to pretty much do anything I want.

00:23:34.700 So it doesn't have any limitation on my life at this point.

00:23:38.200 So in the old days, if I wanted to use a restroom,

00:23:41.080 let's say I was with a group at dinner,

00:23:42.540 I'd have to sneak away

00:23:45.960 because if you said you were going to use the restroom,

00:23:48.460 sometimes another guy would get up and say,

00:23:50.220 oh, yeah, I've got to use it too.

00:23:52.140 And, you know, as if we're going to stand shoulder to shoulder

00:23:54.780 doing our business because that wasn't going to work.

00:23:58.000 But once I learned that I could do this,

00:24:01.140 I'd say, oh, I'm going to use the restroom,

00:24:02.640 and some other guy would say, oh, I'm going to use it too,

00:24:04.760 then I'd just announce to everybody at the table,

00:24:07.560 oh, I can't use the restroom when you're in there too. 0.88

00:24:10.360 I'm, you know, I have a shy bladder.

00:24:12.740 So why don't you go and, you know, I'll go after you.

00:24:16.480 Just tell the whole table.

00:24:18.400 Because remember I told you it's like a superpower

00:24:20.100 when you get past your embarrassment.

00:24:22.440 As soon as you live an embarrassment-free life,

00:24:25.580 everything's easy.

00:24:27.180 You just announce to the table,

00:24:29.680 well, let me tell you, I got this thing,

00:24:31.540 I can't quite urinate like you can.

00:24:33.920 So you got two options.

00:24:36.260 Either I go first and you wait,

00:24:37.640 or you go first and then I'll go.

00:24:40.920 And problem solved.

00:24:42.940 And you know what also happened often?

00:24:45.760 Often somebody else at the table would just say,

00:24:48.460 you know, I have the same problem.

00:24:50.600 And then it becomes a conversation.

00:24:52.580 And then you end up curing somebody at the table,

00:24:55.600 literally.

00:24:56.480 You end up curing somebody else

00:24:58.020 just because it's the first time they learned

00:24:59.820 they're not the only one.

00:25:02.000 It's just the weirdest thing.

00:25:03.080 All right, so those are three

00:25:04.700 medically presumed incurable conditions

00:25:09.760 at one point.

00:25:10.800 At this point, there's better understanding

00:25:12.780 that I worked through.

00:25:15.900 Now, is there some hyperbole involved there?

00:25:18.060 I don't know.

00:25:22.300 Number of full days of vacation

00:25:24.120 that had no work in them whatsoever

00:25:26.180 that I have taken in the past 33 years.

00:25:29.420 Now, that would be the period

00:25:30.400 since I started doing the cartoon.

00:25:33.600 And I said, five or so.

00:25:36.240 But I don't remember five.

00:25:38.900 I don't actually remember five of them.

00:25:42.100 I don't know if there was even one, actually.

00:25:44.920 I just put five

00:25:45.920 because I didn't think it could be zero.

00:25:48.440 And the trick here is that

00:25:50.200 I like to work when I first wake up.

00:25:52.740 So if I'm on vacation,

00:25:56.820 I'm almost certainly going to at least

00:25:58.980 be doing my email or my something

00:26:01.920 while I'm drinking my coffee

00:26:03.260 and it's three hours before anybody else wakes up.

00:26:07.200 It's just sort of a perfect time

00:26:09.200 to get some stuff done.

00:26:11.100 So I don't feel comfortable

00:26:13.480 taking 24 hours

00:26:16.180 without doing anything productive at all.

00:26:19.260 And because most of my stuff

00:26:21.420 is thinking or writing

00:26:22.540 or drawing,

00:26:24.180 I can almost always do some of it

00:26:25.800 while I'm having my coffee,

00:26:28.080 enjoying waking up,

00:26:29.660 just thinking about life,

00:26:31.360 just totally enjoying it.

00:26:33.200 Even on my honeymoon?

00:26:34.600 Correct.

00:26:35.540 Yes, even on my honeymoon.

00:26:37.220 Because do you know how many hours

00:26:38.760 I'm awake in the morning

00:26:40.560 before anybody who would marry me?

00:26:44.200 It's the same.

00:26:48.880 I mean, I would have like

00:26:49.760 two to three hours

00:26:50.840 of alone time every morning.

00:26:55.360 So that's not as...

00:26:57.500 It sounds like I'm an over-worker or something,

00:27:01.160 but it really has more to do

00:27:02.060 with the fact that I enjoy

00:27:03.000 using the first hour

00:27:03.960 to do something useful.

00:27:06.040 A number of times I was disciplined

00:27:07.820 by my parents or teachers

00:27:10.180 during my childhood.

00:27:11.800 Zero.

00:27:12.240 Zero.

00:27:14.200 It just never came up.

00:27:18.200 I mean, maybe.

00:27:19.680 Like, I'm thinking that maybe

00:27:20.820 when I was six years old

00:27:22.160 or something,

00:27:23.420 you know, probably my mother

00:27:24.440 yelled at me or something.

00:27:25.760 I don't know.

00:27:26.660 Maybe.

00:27:27.500 But from, let's say,

00:27:29.800 the age of...

00:27:32.200 I don't know.

00:27:34.600 Probably eight years old,

00:27:36.940 I'm pretty sure

00:27:38.680 nothing like a punishment

00:27:40.880 ever happened.

00:27:41.540 or even a scolding

00:27:43.580 that I can remember.

00:27:45.460 Now, it wasn't because

00:27:46.420 my parents were, you know,

00:27:48.620 hands-off.

00:27:49.900 It's because I just never

00:27:51.140 had any desire

00:27:51.900 to be a pain in the ass. 0.99

00:27:54.820 For example,

00:27:56.320 one of the things

00:27:58.440 that's hard to get a kid to do

00:27:59.680 is to show up on time.

00:28:01.560 You know,

00:28:01.820 to wake up on time,

00:28:03.860 to just do stuff on time.

00:28:05.940 But I don't think

00:28:07.840 I was ever a kid

00:28:08.700 because probably

00:28:10.220 the first time

00:28:10.860 it was ever explained to me,

00:28:12.360 you know,

00:28:12.960 five years old or something,

00:28:15.020 you know,

00:28:15.540 you should be on time

00:28:16.540 because that's good

00:28:18.520 for everybody

00:28:19.120 and then they'll do it

00:28:20.200 for you

00:28:20.660 and if everybody

00:28:21.860 just shows up on time,

00:28:22.940 everything works better

00:28:23.840 and then you have

00:28:24.860 something to depend on

00:28:25.920 and, you know,

00:28:26.800 everybody will think

00:28:27.460 better of you.

00:28:28.120 and I was probably

00:28:29.440 five years old

00:28:30.260 the first time

00:28:30.840 I understood

00:28:32.300 why people are on time

00:28:34.600 and then after that

00:28:36.920 I never really saw

00:28:38.060 a reason to be late.

00:28:40.200 What was in it for me?

00:28:42.060 It just didn't seem

00:28:42.940 like a good strategy.

00:28:44.140 So there were just

00:28:44.860 all these behaviors

00:28:45.720 that I just

00:28:47.540 never really got into.

00:28:49.800 I just didn't see the reason

00:28:50.660 and it was a small town

00:28:52.160 so there wasn't much,

00:28:53.340 you know,

00:28:53.580 there weren't as many ways

00:28:54.640 to get in trouble

00:28:55.340 and then in school,

00:28:57.560 I don't know,

00:28:58.760 just never happened.

00:29:00.540 And it wasn't that

00:29:01.340 I didn't do anything wrong

00:29:02.740 in terms of things

00:29:04.460 that you could punish

00:29:05.340 somebody for.

00:29:06.780 I either didn't get caught

00:29:08.080 or something,

00:29:10.020 talked my way out of it.

00:29:11.160 I don't know.

00:29:13.580 Now here's one.

00:29:14.740 Number of,

00:29:15.540 I just added this

00:29:17.120 this morning

00:29:17.620 because when I saw

00:29:18.660 that it was trending,

00:29:20.480 I,

00:29:20.920 when I saw that

00:29:23.040 it was trending,

00:29:24.120 I immediately added

00:29:25.920 some more red meat

00:29:27.400 so I added this one.

00:29:30.180 The number of people

00:29:30.860 I have cured

00:29:31.500 of their various

00:29:32.220 health problems

00:29:32.980 via public advice,

00:29:35.300 thousands.

00:29:37.560 I've probably helped

00:29:38.580 thousands of people

00:29:39.360 just on pyresis alone

00:29:41.180 because again,

00:29:42.500 just telling them

00:29:43.080 about it

00:29:43.800 is 30% of the cure.

00:29:47.620 I've probably helped

00:29:48.820 dozens to possibly

00:29:51.380 hundreds of people

00:29:52.280 cure their voice problems

00:29:54.580 because they found out

00:29:55.860 through me

00:29:56.480 because I worked

00:29:57.200 to make sure

00:29:58.120 they found out

00:29:58.740 that there was

00:29:59.900 a surgical solution.

00:30:03.460 So just telling people

00:30:04.460 that the solution existed

00:30:05.760 presumably led

00:30:07.600 some number of people

00:30:08.540 to get the solution.

00:30:10.500 How many people

00:30:11.400 have told me

00:30:12.160 on live streams

00:30:13.300 and other ways

00:30:14.680 that my books,

00:30:16.520 especially

00:30:16.880 how to fill

00:30:17.380 almost everything

00:30:18.040 still wouldn't make,

00:30:19.400 got them to

00:30:21.340 quit drinking,

00:30:22.260 quit smoking

00:30:22.860 or lose

00:30:23.780 a lot of weight

00:30:24.760 or exercise?

00:30:26.820 A lot.

00:30:28.840 Hundreds,

00:30:29.600 thousands,

00:30:30.440 hundreds have told me.

00:30:31.920 I don't know

00:30:32.340 how many people

00:30:33.240 have actually done

00:30:33.920 those things.

00:30:34.760 But if you consider,

00:30:36.180 let's say,

00:30:36.580 obesity is a

00:30:37.780 medical problem

00:30:39.180 and I think

00:30:39.720 that would be

00:30:40.080 a fair statement,

00:30:42.200 then I've actually

00:30:42.920 cured thousands

00:30:44.500 of people

00:30:45.500 of a pretty serious

00:30:46.480 medical problem,

00:30:47.220 obesity.

00:30:48.240 At least that's

00:30:48.780 what they tell me.

00:30:50.020 I mean,

00:30:50.240 it's not like

00:30:50.880 I'm studying it myself,

00:30:52.820 but people are telling me

00:30:53.820 they've lost massive weight,

00:30:55.640 stopped drinking,

00:30:57.120 and it's because

00:30:58.320 they're creating systems

00:30:59.520 based on how I

00:31:01.780 taught people

00:31:02.680 to create systems

00:31:03.780 in my book.

00:31:04.420 Kind of failed

00:31:04.760 almost everything

00:31:05.340 and still went big.

00:31:09.680 So,

00:31:10.460 here's the funniest

00:31:11.520 part about this

00:31:12.260 is how many people

00:31:13.040 believed

00:31:13.940 some or all

00:31:15.400 of these were lies.

00:31:17.220 and

00:31:19.160 it really

00:31:21.760 tells you

00:31:22.180 something about,

00:31:22.900 I don't know,

00:31:23.580 either my reputation

00:31:24.640 or something

00:31:25.240 about people

00:31:26.100 or something

00:31:27.980 because

00:31:29.440 even,

00:31:30.620 what was his name,

00:31:33.440 what's his

00:31:34.860 freaking name,

00:31:36.420 who's the

00:31:37.320 most insane

00:31:39.600 guy that used

00:31:40.260 to be on MSNBC?

00:31:41.880 Keith Olbermann.

00:31:42.460 Yeah.

00:31:44.040 So,

00:31:44.320 even Keith Olbermann

00:31:45.180 took a run at me.

00:31:46.100 Every,

00:31:46.480 every few years

00:31:48.320 he comes down

00:31:48.860 from his rock

00:31:50.180 or wherever he lives

00:31:51.000 to insult me

00:31:52.660 in public.

00:31:53.720 I don't know,

00:31:54.420 Keith Olbermann

00:31:55.140 has just

00:31:55.640 some kind of problem

00:31:56.620 with me

00:31:57.020 that I've never

00:31:57.500 quite understood.

00:31:59.000 And,

00:31:59.420 basically he called

00:32:02.720 bullshit up.

00:32:04.840 Now,

00:32:05.420 you just heard

00:32:06.020 the detailed

00:32:06.680 explanation.

00:32:08.340 Do you think

00:32:08.760 my claims,

00:32:09.640 assuming that

00:32:10.200 the story I told

00:32:11.240 is true 0.89

00:32:11.680 and they all

00:32:12.520 are true,

00:32:13.760 now,

00:32:13.980 do you think

00:32:14.300 the claims

00:32:15.120 are overstated?

00:32:16.720 See,

00:32:16.960 the whole point

00:32:17.580 of it was

00:32:18.160 probably everybody

00:32:19.460 has,

00:32:20.320 could make a list

00:32:21.160 that is unique

00:32:22.480 to them.

00:32:22.920 I think.

00:32:25.980 Now,

00:32:26.440 do you think

00:32:26.960 that mine

00:32:27.340 is unusual?

00:32:28.800 Because I think,

00:32:29.560 I think there are

00:32:30.680 a lot of people

00:32:31.180 who have like

00:32:31.580 escaped death twice.

00:32:34.200 You know,

00:32:34.420 they could have

00:32:35.120 their own amazing

00:32:35.800 stories of,

00:32:37.580 you know,

00:32:38.000 they had to kill

00:32:38.840 somebody.

00:32:40.740 Something like that.

00:32:43.360 Exactly.

00:32:44.080 All right,

00:32:44.360 so that,

00:32:45.240 that's exactly

00:32:46.180 what I was looking for.

00:32:46.880 So over on YouTube

00:32:47.880 somebody said

00:32:48.780 that I'm nearly

00:32:50.600 65 years old,

00:32:51.940 shit happens.

00:32:52.920 That's the point.

00:32:54.920 At my age,

00:32:57.340 the number of things

00:32:58.520 that should blow 0.77

00:32:59.200 your mind,

00:32:59.940 just that are normal

00:33:01.040 because I lived

00:33:01.940 a long life,

00:33:03.540 it should be a lot

00:33:04.640 if you're,

00:33:05.640 say,

00:33:05.760 30 years old.

00:33:07.400 It should just

00:33:07.940 blow your mind

00:33:08.740 how many just

00:33:10.120 interesting things

00:33:11.160 happened.

00:33:11.820 But I believe

00:33:12.540 that would be true

00:33:13.100 of almost all of you

00:33:13.960 by the same age.

00:33:15.820 I think everybody

00:33:16.600 would have some

00:33:17.080 weird stories.

00:33:18.200 All right,

00:33:18.800 let's talk about

00:33:19.660 some other things.

00:33:20.840 So on,

00:33:21.100 that's how slow

00:33:27.420 a news day

00:33:27.900 it was

00:33:28.240 that I was

00:33:28.880 trending.

00:33:31.560 All right,

00:33:32.420 in Ukraine,

00:33:33.840 this will surprise

00:33:35.160 you a lot,

00:33:35.920 but there are

00:33:37.400 more reports

00:33:38.140 of atrocities.

00:33:40.840 Why?

00:33:42.140 Because it's

00:33:42.960 another day

00:33:43.600 and it's a war zone

00:33:45.040 and there's propaganda

00:33:46.060 and there probably

00:33:47.620 are atrocities.

00:33:50.340 But we don't

00:33:51.880 really believe

00:33:52.800 all of them

00:33:54.700 to be exactly

00:33:55.640 accurate,

00:33:56.320 do we?

00:33:56.600 So what do you

00:33:57.120 do with this?

00:33:57.840 It's like news

00:33:58.520 that isn't news.

00:34:00.040 It's just permanent

00:34:01.020 news now.

00:34:02.040 If you wake up

00:34:02.820 tomorrow,

00:34:03.760 let me predict

00:34:04.400 the headline

00:34:04.780 tomorrow.

00:34:06.240 I predict

00:34:07.000 that if I go

00:34:07.580 to CNN

00:34:08.180 tomorrow,

00:34:10.700 there will be

00:34:11.040 news about

00:34:11.780 a possible

00:34:13.860 war crime

00:34:14.540 atrocity

00:34:15.260 happening

00:34:15.800 in Ukraine.

00:34:17.620 Maybe it was

00:34:18.200 the one

00:34:18.480 that happened

00:34:18.900 last time,

00:34:20.180 maybe they

00:34:20.620 found a new

00:34:21.160 one.

00:34:22.140 But if you

00:34:23.120 know it's

00:34:23.560 going to be

00:34:23.820 the story,

00:34:25.120 I don't know

00:34:25.620 what to make

00:34:26.000 of it.

00:34:26.620 Because it's

00:34:27.800 either propaganda

00:34:28.480 or real,

00:34:29.000 but we'll

00:34:29.240 never know.

00:34:30.820 And of

00:34:31.240 course,

00:34:31.500 Mariupol,

00:34:32.380 who is

00:34:33.620 completely

00:34:34.460 surrounded

00:34:35.080 and getting

00:34:35.580 beaten to

00:34:36.680 submission

00:34:37.140 by the

00:34:37.640 Russians,

00:34:38.380 have not

00:34:39.160 surrendered.

00:34:41.360 What is

00:34:41.980 going on

00:34:42.480 there?

00:34:44.540 You know,

00:34:46.180 and the

00:34:47.300 two movies

00:34:48.480 are now

00:34:49.040 firmly

00:34:49.440 entrenched.

00:34:50.700 One is that

00:34:51.420 the Russians

00:34:51.880 are obviously

00:34:52.780 winning,

00:34:53.620 have been

00:34:54.220 obviously

00:34:54.700 winning since

00:34:55.340 the beginning,

00:34:56.080 and will

00:34:56.860 obviously win,

00:34:58.260 whatever it

00:34:58.980 is they

00:34:59.240 want.

00:35:01.540 And I

00:35:02.160 would say

00:35:02.560 the evidence

00:35:03.540 clearly supports

00:35:05.260 that point of

00:35:05.840 view.

00:35:07.140 But at the

00:35:07.920 same time,

00:35:09.000 there are

00:35:09.720 plenty of

00:35:10.100 people,

00:35:10.420 and I've

00:35:10.720 been in this

00:35:11.220 camp,

00:35:12.400 who are

00:35:12.680 looking at it

00:35:13.180 and saying,

00:35:13.620 you know,

00:35:14.480 there's one

00:35:14.940 thing that's

00:35:15.300 really weird

00:35:15.960 about predicting

00:35:17.680 the future,

00:35:19.260 and that is

00:35:20.060 we're never

00:35:20.760 really aware

00:35:23.520 of tipping

00:35:24.260 points.

00:35:26.380 And that

00:35:26.960 as long as

00:35:28.200 Ukraine holds

00:35:28.940 on,

00:35:29.420 and I did

00:35:30.020 predict that

00:35:30.860 they'd have

00:35:31.200 enough modern

00:35:31.840 technology to

00:35:32.820 slow the

00:35:33.940 Russian advance,

00:35:35.040 as long as

00:35:35.800 they hold

00:35:36.200 on,

00:35:37.440 there's always

00:35:38.020 some chance

00:35:38.940 that something

00:35:40.860 in this weird

00:35:41.680 give and

00:35:42.100 take of

00:35:42.760 each side

00:35:44.020 pushing the

00:35:44.680 other off

00:35:45.120 balance and

00:35:45.800 trying to

00:35:46.640 get their

00:35:47.040 support systems

00:35:49.020 and their

00:35:49.620 supply routes

00:35:51.540 and stuff,

00:35:52.520 and the

00:35:52.900 Ukrainians are 1.00

00:35:53.540 taking out the

00:35:54.100 generals and

00:35:54.820 they're working

00:35:55.140 on the

00:35:55.400 morale.

00:35:56.320 But all of

00:35:57.220 these things

00:35:57.920 on both

00:35:58.600 sides are

00:35:59.300 very near a

00:35:59.940 tipping point,

00:36:01.260 wouldn't you

00:36:01.640 say?

00:36:02.400 Wouldn't you

00:36:02.900 say that the

00:36:03.440 Russian fighting

00:36:04.500 morale is

00:36:06.360 probably somewhere

00:36:08.500 close to a

00:36:09.200 tipping point,

00:36:10.640 right?

00:36:11.680 But I don't

00:36:12.920 know how

00:36:13.260 close.

00:36:14.740 Some people

00:36:15.320 are saying

00:36:15.620 no, and

00:36:17.520 I would

00:36:18.140 respect that.

00:36:19.940 Because my

00:36:20.660 point is that

00:36:21.860 we're not good

00:36:23.540 at knowing

00:36:23.880 when a tipping

00:36:24.460 point is

00:36:24.940 coming.

00:36:26.420 So if I

00:36:26.960 say to you

00:36:27.480 we might be

00:36:28.160 reaching a

00:36:28.640 tipping point,

00:36:29.520 and the

00:36:29.840 vast majority

00:36:30.460 of you

00:36:30.840 scream no

00:36:31.660 or not,

00:36:32.660 in terms of

00:36:33.560 the Russian

00:36:34.120 fighting morale,

00:36:35.080 that's nowhere

00:36:35.460 near a tipping

00:36:36.020 point, it

00:36:37.160 doesn't refute

00:36:37.980 my point,

00:36:38.500 it actually

00:36:38.840 supports it.

00:36:40.360 Because my

00:36:40.820 point is,

00:36:41.680 you can't

00:36:42.240 see tipping

00:36:42.700 points coming.

00:36:43.800 They happen

00:36:44.280 sort of

00:36:44.600 suddenly.

00:36:45.420 And then in

00:36:45.800 retrospect,

00:36:46.420 you go,

00:36:46.680 you know,

00:36:47.640 I guess we

00:36:48.160 should have

00:36:48.680 seen it

00:36:48.960 coming.

00:36:49.740 All those

00:36:50.280 examples.

00:36:52.640 So the

00:36:53.340 supply chain

00:36:54.000 situation looks

00:36:55.660 like it's at a

00:36:56.320 tipping point for

00:36:57.060 both sides.

00:36:58.400 The naval

00:36:59.340 superiority might

00:37:01.100 be at a

00:37:01.460 tipping point.

00:37:02.500 We might be

00:37:03.140 bringing in

00:37:04.000 enough anti-aircraft

00:37:05.640 weapons.

00:37:06.600 There might be

00:37:07.040 some change in

00:37:07.860 the air cover.

00:37:09.160 There could

00:37:10.120 be something

00:37:10.660 about, you

00:37:11.840 know, just

00:37:12.800 availability of

00:37:13.680 parts.

00:37:14.760 There could be

00:37:15.280 something about

00:37:15.920 the weather

00:37:16.440 changing to

00:37:17.180 be, let's

00:37:18.440 say, rainier.

00:37:19.680 If it gets

00:37:20.460 too rainy, what

00:37:22.320 does that

00:37:22.620 change?

00:37:24.540 What kinds of

00:37:25.440 weapons are

00:37:26.240 getting in and

00:37:27.060 how quickly to

00:37:28.860 Ukraine?

00:37:29.400 I have a

00:37:32.440 feeling that

00:37:34.060 there's just

00:37:34.500 no way to

00:37:34.980 know which

00:37:35.440 of these

00:37:35.780 many things

00:37:36.580 are near

00:37:36.960 tipping points.

00:37:37.980 And if any

00:37:38.380 one of these

00:37:39.040 things tips,

00:37:40.880 it looks like

00:37:41.720 the house of

00:37:42.460 cards comes

00:37:42.960 down because

00:37:43.880 the supply

00:37:44.980 chain is

00:37:46.580 not like a

00:37:47.180 small thing.

00:37:48.320 If either

00:37:49.540 side's supply

00:37:50.300 chain breaks,

00:37:51.380 well, it's

00:37:51.680 over.

00:37:53.160 If something

00:37:54.560 changed with

00:37:55.440 Russia's control 0.96

00:37:57.160 of the air

00:37:57.780 and they

00:37:58.860 don't have

00:37:59.160 full control,

00:37:59.840 I guess,

00:38:00.380 but let's

00:38:00.860 say they

00:38:01.220 went to

00:38:01.500 no control,

00:38:03.080 well, that

00:38:03.960 would change

00:38:04.400 things quite

00:38:04.940 a bit.

00:38:06.020 What if the

00:38:06.540 number of

00:38:07.260 switchblade

00:38:09.280 drones and

00:38:10.340 people who

00:38:10.760 know how to

00:38:11.180 operate them

00:38:11.660 goes from

00:38:12.860 dozens to

00:38:14.760 a thousand?

00:38:17.780 And maybe

00:38:18.520 a thousand

00:38:18.980 operators with

00:38:20.920 multiple drones

00:38:21.780 each.

00:38:22.700 Could that

00:38:23.180 happen?

00:38:23.660 Could they

00:38:23.920 have 30,000

00:38:25.040 switchblade

00:38:26.600 drones?

00:38:26.980 And if

00:38:27.980 they could,

00:38:28.380 how long

00:38:28.700 would it

00:38:28.940 take?

00:38:29.680 And what

00:38:29.980 happened if

00:38:30.540 they came

00:38:31.140 in some

00:38:31.540 big deliveries

00:38:32.180 and suddenly

00:38:33.460 Ukraine just

00:38:34.780 started going

00:38:35.280 wild with

00:38:35.860 the switchblade

00:38:36.500 drones?

00:38:37.260 Those are the

00:38:37.780 ones that

00:38:38.100 can hover over

00:38:38.760 a target.

00:38:39.400 They're small

00:38:39.780 ones.

00:38:40.700 They can hover

00:38:41.220 over a target,

00:38:42.460 make sure they

00:38:42.960 know what

00:38:43.240 they're aiming

00:38:43.540 at, and

00:38:43.860 then dive

00:38:44.460 down and

00:38:45.160 kill it.

00:38:46.120 Because it

00:38:46.620 seems to be

00:38:47.100 if you had

00:38:47.460 enough switchblade

00:38:48.280 drones, you

00:38:49.640 could with

00:38:50.120 100% certainty

00:38:51.420 take out the

00:38:52.920 supply chains

00:38:53.560 of the other

00:38:53.960 side.

00:38:55.320 Couldn't

00:38:55.560 you?

00:38:55.700 I mean, I

00:38:57.420 feel like you

00:38:57.900 could be, it

00:38:58.800 just is a

00:38:59.900 question, more

00:39:01.060 no's.

00:39:02.420 All right, I'm

00:39:03.220 going to say it's

00:39:03.660 only a question

00:39:04.360 of the number

00:39:05.020 of them.

00:39:06.940 If you're

00:39:07.520 saying there's

00:39:07.960 no number of

00:39:08.740 switchblade drones

00:39:09.660 that could change

00:39:10.680 the direction of

00:39:11.360 the war, it

00:39:14.600 may be impossible

00:39:16.220 to get that

00:39:16.860 many, especially

00:39:18.280 impossible to

00:39:19.060 train people,

00:39:19.900 and maybe it's

00:39:20.640 impossible to get

00:39:22.080 close enough to

00:39:22.880 the stuff you

00:39:23.380 want to kill, 0.85

00:39:24.140 but I don't

00:39:24.600 think so.

00:39:25.700 I think you

00:39:26.420 could get

00:39:26.720 within a few

00:39:27.300 kilometers of

00:39:28.160 almost anything

00:39:28.840 in a war.

00:39:31.560 So, I

00:39:33.320 don't know.

00:39:34.600 I'm not going

00:39:35.280 to bet against

00:39:35.860 Ukraine, but I

00:39:37.420 think if you

00:39:38.560 had to look at

00:39:39.020 the odds, you'd

00:39:41.160 say it just is

00:39:42.260 whether or not

00:39:42.720 Putin wants to

00:39:43.540 get what he

00:39:44.120 wants.

00:39:44.800 If he wants to

00:39:45.360 pay for it, and

00:39:46.740 it's pretty

00:39:47.080 expensive, then

00:39:48.720 yeah, he'll

00:39:49.120 get it.

00:39:49.460 Philadelphia is

00:39:52.940 talking about

00:39:53.500 masks coming

00:39:54.380 back.

00:39:56.200 That's my

00:39:56.920 only comment.

00:40:00.120 Border Patrol

00:40:01.000 says at least

00:40:01.860 23 people coming

00:40:02.960 across the

00:40:03.580 southern border

00:40:04.340 in 2021 were

00:40:06.700 on the terror

00:40:07.420 watch list.

00:40:08.840 What?

00:40:10.240 Missing from

00:40:10.960 the story?

00:40:12.140 Their

00:40:12.280 nationalities.

00:40:15.740 Were there

00:40:17.140 really that

00:40:17.700 many people

00:40:19.060 from Central

00:40:19.760 and South

00:40:20.240 America or 0.66

00:40:22.020 from Mexico

00:40:22.620 that were on

00:40:23.220 the terror

00:40:23.600 watch list?

00:40:26.320 Shouldn't we

00:40:26.960 know where

00:40:27.400 they came from?

00:40:28.360 Like what

00:40:28.760 countries they

00:40:29.300 came from?

00:40:30.860 I feel like

00:40:31.720 the most

00:40:32.100 important part

00:40:32.780 of the story

00:40:33.200 is left

00:40:33.560 out.

00:40:34.440 Because if

00:40:35.120 there were,

00:40:35.920 and I don't

00:40:36.380 think this is

00:40:36.960 the case, but

00:40:37.860 if there were

00:40:38.260 23 Mexican

00:40:39.900 nationals who

00:40:40.780 were on the

00:40:41.200 terrorist watch

00:40:42.040 list and they

00:40:43.020 got across the

00:40:43.700 border, what's

00:40:47.060 happening in

00:40:47.480 Mexico that

00:40:48.000 we don't

00:40:48.260 know about?

00:40:49.240 Like did

00:40:49.580 they turn

00:40:50.660 into ISIS or

00:40:51.380 something?

00:40:52.040 And if they're

00:40:52.760 not Mexican,

00:40:54.860 well where the

00:40:55.480 hell are they

00:40:55.840 coming from?

00:40:57.340 Like what

00:40:57.740 countries?

00:40:58.340 Is it Middle 0.99

00:40:58.940 East?

00:41:00.500 I mean how

00:41:00.800 do you even

00:41:01.180 get on that

00:41:01.640 watch list?

00:41:02.360 I don't know.

00:41:04.580 Here's the

00:41:05.200 dumbest tweet I

00:41:06.340 saw today.

00:41:07.180 Adam Kinzinger

00:41:07.920 was tweeting at

00:41:09.460 Tucker Carlson

00:41:10.600 and he tweeted

00:41:11.040 a video that

00:41:12.820 was in a tweet

00:41:13.440 by some group

00:41:14.220 called Canadian

00:41:15.060 Ukrainian Volunteers.

00:41:16.540 So in other

00:41:16.960 words it's a

00:41:17.440 pro-Ukrainian

00:41:18.420 video that

00:41:20.860 alleges to

00:41:21.500 show mass

00:41:22.140 desertion of

00:41:22.900 Russian troops

00:41:23.640 and the video

00:41:25.120 shows all of

00:41:26.360 their gear,

00:41:27.060 boots and

00:41:27.580 stuff just

00:41:29.920 laying on the

00:41:30.400 ground.

00:41:31.280 So the

00:41:31.960 purported

00:41:32.700 video, well

00:41:34.440 the video is

00:41:35.120 real, but

00:41:35.560 their interpretation

00:41:37.460 of what's on

00:41:38.240 the video is

00:41:39.360 that you're

00:41:39.620 seeing that the

00:41:40.220 Russian soldiers

00:41:41.260 were so ready

00:41:42.960 to desert that

00:41:44.420 they ripped off

00:41:45.160 all their gear

00:41:45.760 and their

00:41:46.080 clothing and

00:41:47.280 found some

00:41:47.840 civilian clothes

00:41:48.760 and melted

00:41:49.460 into the

00:41:49.940 population.

00:41:51.480 And the

00:41:52.300 video shows

00:41:53.860 a patch of

00:41:54.940 the ground

00:41:55.420 with this

00:41:55.920 gear that's

00:41:57.760 about the

00:41:58.220 size of one

00:41:59.200 room in a

00:41:59.880 house.

00:42:01.320 And it

00:42:02.080 never shows

00:42:02.700 more than

00:42:03.340 like this

00:42:04.820 little patch

00:42:05.460 of dirt.

00:42:07.260 And Adam

00:42:07.860 Kinzinger took

00:42:08.600 that one video

00:42:09.600 of that little

00:42:10.400 patch of dirt

00:42:11.160 with nothing in

00:42:12.380 it except

00:42:12.860 Russian-looking

00:42:14.180 materials and

00:42:16.480 accepted the

00:42:18.340 interpretation that

00:42:20.060 there might be

00:42:20.640 mass desertion of

00:42:21.860 Russian troops.

00:42:25.280 Really?

00:42:27.300 Really?

00:42:30.440 Let me suggest

00:42:31.640 at least one

00:42:32.880 other hypothesis.

00:42:34.580 This is not

00:42:35.420 something I

00:42:35.960 believe to be

00:42:36.660 true.

00:42:37.580 This is just

00:42:38.200 something that

00:42:38.700 could be true

00:42:39.360 based on the

00:42:40.440 same video.

00:42:41.080 Well,

00:42:42.420 actually two

00:42:42.880 things.

00:42:43.740 Number one,

00:42:45.180 the Ukrainians

00:42:45.960 are making

00:42:46.380 lots of

00:42:46.840 propaganda

00:42:47.220 video.

00:42:48.260 They got a

00:42:48.800 bunch of

00:42:49.120 Russian stuff

00:42:49.820 from soldiers

00:42:51.200 that they had

00:42:51.700 already killed.

00:42:52.720 They put it

00:42:53.400 in a pile.

00:42:54.400 They took a

00:42:54.940 little video of

00:42:55.680 the little pile

00:42:56.340 of stuff from

00:42:57.180 the dead

00:42:57.900 Russian soldiers

00:42:58.660 and then they

00:42:59.660 made it look

00:43:00.620 like there was

00:43:01.080 a mass

00:43:01.460 desertion.

00:43:03.100 Which is

00:43:03.760 more likely?

00:43:04.440 that the

00:43:06.360 Russian soldiers

00:43:07.060 are literally

00:43:07.640 throwing off

00:43:08.380 their clothing

00:43:08.960 and running

00:43:10.740 for it.

00:43:12.200 Or that it's

00:43:13.140 a propaganda

00:43:13.580 video just

00:43:14.340 like everyone

00:43:14.900 we see every

00:43:15.500 day that looks

00:43:16.240 exactly like

00:43:16.960 it's a propaganda

00:43:17.500 video and you

00:43:18.780 can't even hardly

00:43:19.440 imagine it's not

00:43:20.240 a propaganda

00:43:20.640 video.

00:43:22.520 But there's a

00:43:23.360 third possibility.

00:43:25.720 And this is

00:43:26.220 the one I want

00:43:26.700 to be very

00:43:27.120 careful because

00:43:27.820 I'll be kicked

00:43:28.400 off of every

00:43:29.480 platform.

00:43:29.920 So I don't

00:43:31.080 want to make

00:43:31.440 the mistake

00:43:32.100 of saying

00:43:33.980 that my

00:43:34.460 speculation

00:43:35.140 is based on

00:43:36.900 proof for

00:43:37.720 that it's

00:43:38.040 true.

00:43:39.180 So what I

00:43:39.740 say next

00:43:40.340 would be an

00:43:41.360 alternative

00:43:41.800 explanation

00:43:42.720 for the

00:43:43.880 same video

00:43:45.300 that has

00:43:47.880 no evidence

00:43:48.520 for it

00:43:48.840 whatsoever.

00:43:49.420 Okay?

00:43:50.320 I hope I've

00:43:51.200 set the stage.

00:43:52.860 Do you

00:43:53.080 remember the

00:43:53.680 videos of

00:43:54.700 the massacres

00:43:56.920 in,

00:43:57.680 was it

00:43:58.780 Bucca?

00:43:59.080 where the

00:44:00.860 adult men

00:44:02.260 had their

00:44:02.780 hands tied

00:44:03.280 behind their

00:44:03.760 backs.

00:44:04.340 They were

00:44:04.480 wearing civilian

00:44:05.180 clothes and

00:44:05.840 they sure

00:44:06.200 looked like

00:44:06.820 Ukrainians.

00:44:08.800 And they

00:44:09.060 had been

00:44:09.520 obviously

00:44:10.440 executed.

00:44:12.660 Bucca,

00:44:13.120 yeah.

00:44:14.220 Now,

00:44:16.080 if, and

00:44:16.800 again, this

00:44:17.200 is speculation

00:44:17.820 and I'm not

00:44:18.660 alleging this

00:44:19.320 to be true.

00:44:21.560 If you

00:44:22.280 wanted to

00:44:22.780 create a

00:44:23.340 bunch of

00:44:23.860 corpses that

00:44:25.480 looked like

00:44:25.980 Ukrainians,

00:44:26.740 wouldn't you

00:44:27.140 take a

00:44:28.140 bunch of

00:44:28.620 Russians,

00:44:29.080 who had

00:44:29.480 already been

00:44:30.020 dead or

00:44:30.600 you were

00:44:30.920 about to

00:44:31.300 kill them, 0.94

00:44:32.340 say,

00:44:32.700 take off

00:44:33.740 your Russian

00:44:34.220 clothes,

00:44:35.160 drop your

00:44:35.740 gear right

00:44:36.300 there,

00:44:37.160 put on

00:44:37.520 these Ukrainian

00:44:39.420 clothes and

00:44:40.700 turn your

00:44:41.060 back.

00:44:42.220 Pow.

00:44:43.200 Now we're

00:44:43.840 going to pose

00:44:44.600 you in the

00:44:45.020 streets and

00:44:46.020 we're going to

00:44:46.360 say that the

00:44:46.920 Russians did 1.00

00:44:47.520 this and that

00:44:48.220 these are

00:44:48.560 Ukrainian dead

00:44:49.480 because you

00:44:49.840 can't tell the

00:44:50.300 difference when

00:44:50.740 you look at

00:44:51.080 them.

00:44:51.980 And then we'll

00:44:54.020 take a picture of

00:44:54.860 all their gear and

00:44:55.740 then secondarily we'll

00:44:56.980 get a second

00:44:57.720 propaganda hit by

00:44:59.400 saying that the

00:44:59.960 Russians are doing a 1.00

00:45:00.720 mass desertion by

00:45:01.700 showing all the

00:45:02.200 gear that we told

00:45:02.820 them to take off.

00:45:04.700 Now I'm not saying

00:45:05.780 that happened and

00:45:07.300 I think it's

00:45:09.060 unlikely that happened

00:45:09.900 actually.

00:45:11.260 So that's no,

00:45:13.540 you know,

00:45:14.040 not,

00:45:14.600 it's just a

00:45:15.920 speculation about

00:45:17.080 alternative explanations.

00:45:19.080 I don't believe that

00:45:20.100 that's actually

00:45:20.700 literally what happened

00:45:21.600 in this case.

00:45:22.360 but I also

00:45:24.700 don't think you

00:45:25.340 should tweet a

00:45:25.920 video like this

00:45:26.660 around as if

00:45:27.840 there's one

00:45:28.280 explanation for it

00:45:29.460 because there are

00:45:30.840 three and I

00:45:33.040 don't know which

00:45:33.580 one is better

00:45:34.280 frankly.

00:45:38.460 Yeah,

00:45:39.040 there's a

00:45:39.660 non-zero

00:45:40.160 possibility for

00:45:40.980 all of those

00:45:41.460 things,

00:45:41.720 that's true.

00:45:42.220 But actually

00:45:42.700 far bigger than

00:45:43.740 non-zero I think

00:45:44.540 which would be

00:45:46.060 more to the

00:45:46.780 point.

00:45:49.820 That,

00:45:50.460 ladies and 0.98

00:45:50.800 gentlemen,

00:45:51.060 brings us

00:45:52.540 to the

00:45:53.180 conclusion of

00:45:53.960 the prepared

00:45:54.880 portion of

00:45:55.920 our program.

00:45:56.780 I don't think

00:45:57.520 you've ever had

00:45:58.080 a better time,

00:45:58.920 honestly,

00:45:59.920 except listening

00:46:00.700 to me yammer

00:46:01.440 about myself.

00:46:03.420 Okay,

00:46:03.760 maybe I should

00:46:04.280 have saved that

00:46:04.740 for the man

00:46:05.360 cave episodes I

00:46:06.500 do just for

00:46:07.140 the local

00:46:07.520 subscribers.

00:46:09.200 I know,

00:46:09.860 I know.

00:46:11.900 But remember

00:46:13.100 I told you

00:46:13.680 that it was

00:46:14.260 such a slow

00:46:14.920 news day that

00:46:15.780 I actually

00:46:16.320 was in the

00:46:16.820 news today.

00:46:18.260 So that's

00:46:18.720 not my fault.

00:46:19.920 I did not

00:46:20.400 do that

00:46:20.720 intentionally.

00:46:21.680 I wanted

00:46:22.120 the news

00:46:22.600 to be about

00:46:23.080 other people

00:46:23.580 because that's

00:46:23.960 more comfortable

00:46:24.640 for me too.

00:46:26.020 But at least

00:46:26.720 this one I knew

00:46:27.260 how to talk

00:46:27.700 about it.

00:46:28.180 I didn't have

00:46:28.580 to do a lot

00:46:28.960 of preparation

00:46:29.440 to talk

00:46:29.900 about myself.

00:46:32.820 Can we

00:46:33.360 see the

00:46:34.000 Mustang?

00:46:37.340 I don't

00:46:38.780 like to post

00:46:39.420 stuff like

00:46:39.860 that.

00:46:41.140 It's bad

00:46:41.520 enough talking

00:46:42.040 about it.

00:46:43.360 Yeah,

00:46:43.800 I don't think

00:46:44.140 I want to

00:46:44.420 post that.

00:46:44.800 Stefan says,

00:46:51.740 I'm your

00:46:52.260 biggest fan.

00:46:53.080 Can I get

00:46:53.480 a fact check

00:46:54.100 on that?

00:46:54.820 True.

00:46:55.860 That's true.

00:46:56.920 There are a lot

00:46:57.380 of people who

00:46:57.960 say to me,

00:46:58.560 I'm your

00:46:58.940 biggest fan,

00:47:00.080 but it's

00:47:01.060 never been

00:47:01.480 true.

00:47:01.860 It's always

00:47:02.140 been Stefan

00:47:02.640 or Stephen

00:47:04.160 or Step

00:47:06.500 Hand.

00:47:07.440 I don't know

00:47:07.880 how to pronounce

00:47:08.300 that.

00:47:09.000 I'm going to

00:47:09.340 call you

00:47:09.600 Step Hand.

00:47:10.120 Oh,

00:47:12.400 there was a

00:47:12.820 video that

00:47:13.740 I would

00:47:14.840 imagine might

00:47:15.640 be another

00:47:16.060 fake video.

00:47:17.560 So there's

00:47:17.920 a video of

00:47:18.700 Zelensky

00:47:19.500 sniffing

00:47:22.420 and somebody's

00:47:23.780 indicating it

00:47:24.380 looks like he's

00:47:24.840 on cocaine

00:47:25.380 or something.

00:47:26.700 Now I have

00:47:27.180 two comments

00:47:29.480 on that.

00:47:29.940 Number one,

00:47:30.620 most likely

00:47:31.480 fake news

00:47:32.500 propaganda.

00:47:35.200 You might

00:47:36.240 have had

00:47:36.560 allergies,

00:47:38.100 could have

00:47:38.300 been crying

00:47:39.400 about something.

00:47:40.300 He has

00:47:40.560 lots to

00:47:40.960 cry about,

00:47:41.440 I guess.

00:47:42.440 So it

00:47:42.760 could have

00:47:42.920 been anything.

00:47:43.520 He's always

00:47:43.920 an actor,

00:47:44.440 yeah.

00:47:44.960 But let

00:47:47.060 me ask you

00:47:47.460 this.

00:47:47.720 If you were

00:47:48.180 in his

00:47:48.500 position,

00:47:50.000 could you

00:47:50.420 get through

00:47:50.880 it without

00:47:51.180 taking drugs?

00:47:53.220 Now assume

00:47:53.680 he has

00:47:53.980 access to

00:47:54.700 pretty much

00:47:55.160 anything he

00:47:55.580 wants,

00:47:55.920 right?

00:47:56.180 He's still

00:47:56.560 the leader

00:47:56.900 of the

00:47:57.160 country.

00:47:58.920 The capital

00:47:59.680 is still

00:48:00.200 sort of up

00:48:01.100 and sort

00:48:01.480 of running

00:48:01.820 a little

00:48:02.120 bit.

00:48:02.760 So he

00:48:03.420 must have

00:48:03.800 a doctor

00:48:04.240 and he

00:48:06.480 must know

00:48:07.200 that

00:48:08.820 sleeping's a

00:48:10.080 bad idea

00:48:10.600 in this

00:48:10.900 situation.

00:48:11.400 You know,

00:48:11.860 you've got to

00:48:12.140 be at your

00:48:12.440 best.

00:48:13.400 Is there

00:48:13.740 any chance

00:48:14.400 he's not

00:48:14.840 on something?

00:48:17.780 I mean,

00:48:18.600 I feel that's

00:48:20.320 one of those

00:48:20.700 situations where

00:48:21.620 even the

00:48:22.300 doctor is

00:48:23.080 going to

00:48:23.320 bend a

00:48:23.680 rule and

00:48:24.560 say,

00:48:24.820 you know,

00:48:25.600 I wouldn't

00:48:26.180 normally give

00:48:27.680 you this

00:48:28.120 stimulant,

00:48:29.360 but we

00:48:30.760 also need to

00:48:31.400 win the war,

00:48:32.520 so maybe

00:48:33.280 temporarily we'll

00:48:34.400 bend the rules

00:48:35.360 a little bit

00:48:35.820 here.

00:48:37.100 Yeah,

00:48:37.560 so I'm

00:48:38.700 not sure

00:48:39.040 that I

00:48:39.400 care.

00:48:41.600 I'm not

00:48:42.160 sure it's

00:48:42.500 a story

00:48:43.020 that a

00:48:44.140 war leader

00:48:44.920 may or

00:48:45.820 may not

00:48:46.140 be taking

00:48:46.620 some,

00:48:47.700 let's say,

00:48:48.620 performance

00:48:49.160 enhancing

00:48:49.800 chemistry.

00:48:51.820 Now,

00:48:52.120 some people

00:48:52.480 are saying

00:48:52.800 it's Coke

00:48:53.320 because he

00:48:53.840 was sniffling.

00:48:56.420 I'm not

00:48:57.020 even sure I

00:48:57.500 would care

00:48:57.780 about that.

00:48:59.620 I mean,

00:49:00.920 he's doing

00:49:01.700 a job that

00:49:02.260 nobody wants,

00:49:03.040 right?

00:49:04.020 Nobody wants

00:49:04.720 to be the

00:49:05.300 war leader.

00:49:07.160 So,

00:49:07.660 I mean,

00:49:08.020 if he's got

00:49:08.400 to do

00:49:08.760 dangerous drugs

00:49:11.660 just to get

00:49:12.320 through it,

00:49:13.520 I don't know.

00:49:14.280 I'm not even

00:49:14.680 sure I would

00:49:15.120 judge it.

00:49:16.200 I'm not even

00:49:16.720 sure we've

00:49:17.120 ever had a

00:49:17.780 leader during

00:49:18.320 a war that

00:49:18.800 wasn't on

00:49:19.380 drugs.

00:49:20.460 I'm not sure

00:49:21.160 you can get

00:49:21.580 through it.

00:49:22.360 I mean,

00:49:22.620 you're either

00:49:23.360 going to need

00:49:23.800 an upper to

00:49:24.560 handle it,

00:49:25.780 or you're

00:49:26.160 going to need

00:49:26.580 something to

00:49:27.080 put you to

00:49:27.500 sleep.

00:49:28.360 But if you

00:49:28.940 tell me that

00:49:29.480 our war

00:49:30.040 presidents were

00:49:30.760 not taking

00:49:31.280 some kind

00:49:31.920 of drug,

00:49:32.380 at least,

00:49:32.700 you know,

00:49:32.900 say,

00:49:33.120 in the

00:49:33.220 last 50

00:49:34.340 years or

00:49:34.760 so,

00:49:35.100 I'd be

00:49:35.720 pretty

00:49:36.080 surprised.

00:49:37.460 Pretty

00:49:37.780 surprised.

00:49:40.580 My thoughts

00:49:41.280 on mushrooms.

00:49:41.860 We've talked

00:49:42.220 about mushrooms

00:49:42.760 a lot,

00:49:43.580 so I don't

00:49:44.700 think I'll

00:49:45.020 do that

00:49:45.280 one again

00:49:45.580 right now.

00:49:47.220 By the

00:49:47.720 way,

00:49:47.920 mushrooms are

00:49:48.440 not going

00:49:48.860 away.

00:49:50.060 If there's

00:49:50.460 one thing

00:49:50.860 you could,

00:49:51.440 I think you

00:49:52.280 could predict

00:49:52.940 with complete

00:49:53.820 certainty,

00:49:54.520 is that the

00:49:55.760 direction of

00:49:56.600 mushroom use

00:49:57.460 is going

00:49:58.680 to skyrocket.

00:50:00.260 And for

00:50:00.980 medically

00:50:01.440 valid reasons,

00:50:02.720 also

00:50:05.260 recreationally,

00:50:06.760 but I

00:50:07.400 think the

00:50:07.720 recreational

00:50:08.220 users will

00:50:09.420 discover enough

00:50:10.660 life benefits

00:50:11.740 that will

00:50:12.520 actually change

00:50:13.260 their mind

00:50:13.900 about it

00:50:14.960 being a

00:50:15.300 recreational

00:50:15.740 drug.

00:50:17.680 You know,

00:50:18.280 this is the

00:50:18.780 weirdest thing.

00:50:19.500 I'll bet most

00:50:20.120 of the people

00:50:20.600 who experience

00:50:21.400 mushrooms,

00:50:22.880 most,

00:50:23.220 let's say 60%

00:50:24.200 or something,

00:50:24.660 I'll just put

00:50:25.900 an opinion out

00:50:26.600 there with no

00:50:27.040 backing

00:50:27.340 whatsoever.

00:50:27.720 I'll bet most

00:50:30.080 of the people

00:50:30.420 start and do

00:50:30.980 it for fun

00:50:31.680 and then after

00:50:33.480 they do it

00:50:34.020 they're like,

00:50:35.100 did I get

00:50:35.540 some kind of

00:50:36.040 lasting benefit

00:50:36.960 from that?

00:50:37.740 I think I

00:50:38.500 might have.

00:50:39.740 So I think

00:50:40.660 they come for

00:50:41.240 the fun and

00:50:41.780 they stay for

00:50:42.300 the benefit,

00:50:42.760 but you don't

00:50:43.940 have to stay

00:50:44.420 forever.

00:50:45.740 That's the

00:50:46.280 wonderful thing

00:50:47.040 about at least

00:50:48.460 what we know

00:50:49.000 about mushrooms.

00:50:49.720 We could be

00:50:50.540 surprised in the

00:50:51.440 future.

00:50:52.140 But from a

00:50:52.800 strictly medical

00:50:53.760 perspective,

00:50:54.340 I don't know

00:50:56.500 anybody who's

00:50:57.060 ever been

00:50:57.420 addicted.

00:50:58.700 In fact,

00:50:59.240 it might work

00:50:59.720 the opposite

00:51:00.260 way.

00:51:02.900 You know,

00:51:03.360 I've heard of

00:51:03.740 people microdosing

00:51:04.660 on LSD,

00:51:05.540 and I've heard

00:51:05.820 of people,

00:51:06.900 like they'll

00:51:07.480 take a few

00:51:08.080 years where

00:51:08.720 they're like

00:51:09.060 really doing

00:51:09.640 a lot of

00:51:10.000 LSD,

00:51:11.080 but it's

00:51:11.500 kind of rare

00:51:12.180 for somebody

00:51:12.660 to just do

00:51:13.600 it all the

00:51:14.040 time,

00:51:15.240 you know,

00:51:15.460 for years,

00:51:16.040 like alcohol.

00:51:17.980 I feel as if

00:51:19.300 what those drugs

00:51:20.000 do is they

00:51:20.940 make you not

00:51:21.940 need them

00:51:22.540 anymore.

00:51:23.640 In other

00:51:24.020 words,

00:51:24.360 it puts

00:51:25.900 your mind

00:51:26.480 in a way

00:51:27.460 that you're

00:51:28.120 more,

00:51:28.680 and I think

00:51:29.040 the word

00:51:29.320 was flexible.

00:51:30.660 People studying

00:51:31.400 what happens

00:51:31.900 when you're

00:51:32.380 on psychedelics

00:51:33.620 is your brain

00:51:34.660 gets more

00:51:35.080 flexible.

00:51:36.000 So it can

00:51:36.640 get out of

00:51:37.140 a loop.

00:51:38.380 So if you're

00:51:38.820 in a little

00:51:39.120 loop about

00:51:39.660 feeling bad

00:51:40.180 about yourself,

00:51:40.860 oh, I feel

00:51:41.520 worthless, I feel

00:51:42.860 bad, it's like

00:51:43.460 a little loop,

00:51:44.700 when you take

00:51:45.240 the psychedelics,

00:51:46.220 your brain just

00:51:46.860 is willing to

00:51:47.500 think about

00:51:47.940 more things.

00:51:49.460 So the loop

00:51:50.240 doesn't go

00:51:50.720 away, it's

00:51:51.900 just you're not

00:51:52.360 paying attention

00:51:53.260 to it.

00:51:53.620 You're just

00:51:54.020 more interested

00:51:55.760 in different

00:51:56.520 things.

00:51:57.500 So all your

00:51:58.180 little loops

00:51:58.820 atrophy.

00:52:01.040 And you

00:52:01.800 take with

00:52:02.640 you, or

00:52:03.880 at least some

00:52:04.280 people do,

00:52:05.000 take with

00:52:05.580 you the

00:52:05.960 ability to

00:52:06.840 reframe

00:52:07.460 things.

00:52:09.560 Have you

00:52:10.080 noticed a

00:52:10.720 couple of

00:52:11.040 things coming

00:52:11.540 together?

00:52:11.900 When I talk

00:52:13.740 about reframing,

00:52:15.500 and it's

00:52:16.920 something you'll

00:52:17.560 hear a lot more

00:52:18.100 about, it's

00:52:18.960 about simply a

00:52:19.580 different way of

00:52:20.080 looking at the

00:52:20.580 same situation

00:52:21.360 that can

00:52:22.000 make it go

00:52:22.540 from bad

00:52:23.580 news to

00:52:23.980 good news,

00:52:24.760 or important

00:52:25.640 to unimportant,

00:52:26.640 just by the

00:52:27.080 way you choose

00:52:28.140 to put a

00:52:28.780 mental frame

00:52:29.400 on it.

00:52:30.280 Well, your

00:52:30.720 ability to

00:52:31.460 reframe

00:52:31.900 things is

00:52:33.640 pretty directly

00:52:34.860 affected by

00:52:36.500 your experience

00:52:37.320 of accidentally

00:52:38.700 saying things

00:52:39.420 in different

00:52:39.900 frames.

00:52:41.620 Because you

00:52:42.280 can't believe

00:52:42.880 that the brain

00:52:43.500 can just say,

00:52:44.360 all right, I

00:52:44.780 choose to look

00:52:45.480 at it in a

00:52:46.040 different way.

00:52:46.520 And then you

00:52:47.720 just do.

00:52:49.400 If you've

00:52:50.080 never experienced

00:52:50.800 it, that

00:52:51.740 doesn't seem

00:52:52.260 like a thing.

00:52:54.020 Like, how

00:52:54.480 do you just,

00:52:55.340 oh, I'll just

00:52:55.840 think of it

00:52:56.620 differently, and

00:52:57.120 then I'll go

00:52:57.460 from unhappy

00:52:58.140 to happy.

00:52:59.220 Sounds ridiculous.

00:53:01.000 But you do

00:53:01.840 mushrooms, or

00:53:02.920 some of the

00:53:03.380 other hallucinogens

00:53:04.240 I've heard, and

00:53:05.680 it automatically

00:53:06.520 makes you look

00:53:07.700 at ordinary

00:53:08.300 things in

00:53:08.940 completely

00:53:09.420 different ways.

00:53:10.940 And then you

00:53:11.320 say to yourself,

00:53:12.160 you actually

00:53:13.900 can look at

00:53:14.920 exactly the

00:53:15.620 same stuff,

00:53:16.520 and know

00:53:17.380 how to use

00:53:17.880 it, right?

00:53:18.720 Even if you're

00:53:19.420 using mushrooms,

00:53:20.360 you still know

00:53:21.160 how to use

00:53:21.580 your phone.

00:53:22.840 Like, everything

00:53:23.420 is the same.

00:53:24.780 But you still

00:53:25.300 see it

00:53:25.660 differently.

00:53:26.640 You process

00:53:27.500 it differently.

00:53:28.560 It feels

00:53:29.480 differently to

00:53:30.200 you.

00:53:30.700 You no longer

00:53:31.660 have the same

00:53:32.160 association with

00:53:33.080 it you did.

00:53:33.960 You now have

00:53:34.600 flexibility to

00:53:35.620 think of it

00:53:36.640 in a different

00:53:37.120 way.

00:53:38.100 And you take

00:53:38.800 that with you.

00:53:39.740 You take with

00:53:40.400 you the

00:53:40.820 understanding that

00:53:42.460 you can simply

00:53:43.160 look at things

00:53:45.160 a different way,

00:53:45.860 and it changes

00:53:46.340 your whole

00:53:47.480 impression of

00:53:48.080 life.

00:53:49.280 Yeah.

00:53:49.900 It's the

00:53:50.340 Great Reset,

00:53:51.220 exactly.

00:53:52.460 Oh, the

00:53:52.940 Great Reset

00:53:53.540 is coming.

00:53:54.880 It just

00:53:55.200 happens to

00:53:55.660 be mushrooms.

00:53:57.880 Now, for

00:53:58.500 this conversation,

00:53:59.960 let me say,

00:54:00.980 to be a good

00:54:01.500 citizen, and I

00:54:02.760 like to throw

00:54:03.200 this in all

00:54:03.660 the time, I'm

00:54:04.420 not a doctor,

00:54:05.580 and I don't

00:54:06.200 recommend

00:54:06.720 mushrooms.

00:54:08.840 I can tell

00:54:09.640 you what my

00:54:10.160 experience with

00:54:11.220 them was, but

00:54:12.360 I'm one person.

00:54:12.980 I can't tell

00:54:14.080 you the

00:54:14.320 danger of

00:54:14.780 them, so

00:54:15.500 this is a

00:54:16.020 medical decision

00:54:16.780 only, and

00:54:18.260 they are

00:54:19.380 medically

00:54:19.860 approved in

00:54:20.540 some limited

00:54:21.040 contexts already,

00:54:22.640 so that's the

00:54:24.840 part that is

00:54:25.940 important.

00:54:27.060 So don't do

00:54:27.720 drugs, kids,

00:54:29.140 unless you're

00:54:31.000 in a medically

00:54:31.580 supervised

00:54:32.100 situation.

00:54:37.060 Glad I'm not

00:54:38.000 going to talk

00:54:38.380 about it today.

00:54:38.960 I couldn't help

00:54:39.440 it.

00:54:39.800 I'm sorry.

00:54:40.160 Anyway, the

00:54:41.780 curiosity about

00:54:43.300 this topic is

00:54:44.760 just through the

00:54:45.380 roof, and

00:54:46.880 that's also how

00:54:47.780 you know it's

00:54:49.540 going somewhere.

00:54:55.480 Nicotine for

00:54:56.220 productivity.

00:54:57.340 You know, I

00:54:57.740 hate the fact

00:54:58.280 that that's

00:54:58.680 true.

00:55:01.700 Have you

00:55:02.260 ever thought

00:55:02.640 of fixing

00:55:03.040 your own

00:55:03.500 plumbing while

00:55:05.420 stoned?

00:55:07.440 I know my

00:55:08.380 limits, and

00:55:09.320 plumbing,

00:55:10.160 is beyond

00:55:11.260 them.

00:55:12.140 I've told

00:55:12.560 you before

00:55:12.940 that I'm

00:55:13.540 in a

00:55:13.940 simulation in

00:55:16.340 which I

00:55:16.760 have continuous

00:55:17.620 water-related

00:55:19.220 problems.

00:55:20.080 So I live

00:55:20.580 in a drought

00:55:21.660 area, my

00:55:22.680 house has

00:55:23.160 every kind

00:55:23.780 of leak,

00:55:24.920 and today

00:55:25.920 again, another

00:55:27.780 plumbing-related

00:55:28.580 problem.

00:55:30.120 So it's

00:55:30.700 my, in

00:55:31.540 this case,

00:55:32.460 it's my

00:55:32.900 hot water

00:55:33.820 dispenser.

00:55:35.940 It's

00:55:36.460 dispensing

00:55:37.260 some debris

00:55:37.980 along with

00:55:38.520 the water.

00:55:40.200 So once

00:55:41.220 again, get

00:55:42.720 the plumber.

00:55:43.700 It's pretty

00:55:44.000 much every

00:55:45.280 two weeks.

00:55:51.260 Thoughts on

00:55:51.820 the degradation

00:55:52.320 of American

00:55:53.240 culture?

00:55:55.620 Oh, you

00:55:56.220 know, here's

00:55:58.120 the thing.

00:56:00.500 Is there a

00:56:01.340 degradation of

00:56:02.100 American culture,

00:56:02.840 or is it

00:56:03.680 just changing?

00:56:05.880 And are

00:56:06.540 we afraid

00:56:07.180 of change,

00:56:09.020 because that's

00:56:09.820 natural,

00:56:11.000 or is it

00:56:12.300 really worse?

00:56:13.840 Or is it

00:56:14.620 better in some

00:56:15.280 ways, and

00:56:17.040 worse in some,

00:56:18.040 but we don't

00:56:18.840 notice the

00:56:19.400 better part and

00:56:20.180 we're focusing

00:56:20.960 on the worse?

00:56:22.780 Let me ask you

00:56:23.720 this.

00:56:25.500 Would you

00:56:26.180 want to go

00:56:26.560 back to the

00:56:27.400 culture 40

00:56:28.240 years ago if

00:56:28.880 you had to

00:56:29.220 take all of

00:56:29.800 it?

00:56:29.980 So here's

00:56:32.240 a question

00:56:32.620 for all of

00:56:33.020 you.

00:56:33.620 Would you

00:56:34.160 want to go

00:56:34.680 back to

00:56:35.840 the American

00:56:36.680 culture of

00:56:37.340 40 years

00:56:37.880 ago, but

00:56:38.680 you have to

00:56:39.000 take all

00:56:39.500 of it, all

00:56:40.800 the discrimination,

00:56:43.200 all the

00:56:43.820 ignorance?

00:56:46.580 Some people

00:56:47.160 say yes.

00:56:48.680 Well, if

00:56:49.800 you say yes,

00:56:51.020 you're probably

00:56:51.860 white and

00:56:52.960 male, aren't

00:56:54.060 you?

00:56:54.220 Is there

00:56:56.060 anybody who

00:56:56.560 isn't white

00:56:57.640 and male who

00:56:58.860 wants to go

00:56:59.340 back to 40

00:56:59.960 years ago?

00:57:01.300 So here's my

00:57:02.140 point.

00:57:03.120 I definitely

00:57:03.720 understand that

00:57:04.500 for some

00:57:05.040 people, it

00:57:06.960 was better.

00:57:08.460 It just

00:57:08.860 wasn't better

00:57:09.300 for everybody.

00:57:10.260 There's a

00:57:10.560 reason stuff

00:57:11.040 changes.

00:57:12.420 Not everything's

00:57:13.240 changing for the

00:57:13.860 worse.

00:57:15.320 To me, it

00:57:16.120 seems that if

00:57:17.060 you could trade

00:57:17.940 what we've

00:57:20.860 gained in

00:57:21.700 understanding

00:57:22.520 each other's

00:57:23.520 worth, for

00:57:26.720 I don't

00:57:27.280 know, what

00:57:27.720 we lost in

00:57:28.640 going to

00:57:31.380 church on

00:57:31.820 Sunday, which

00:57:33.040 is valuable.

00:57:34.160 Which is

00:57:34.480 valuable.

00:57:35.160 I'm pro

00:57:35.960 going to

00:57:36.480 church on

00:57:36.940 Sunday if

00:57:37.600 it works

00:57:37.960 for you.

00:57:40.100 I feel like

00:57:40.940 we gained

00:57:41.360 more than

00:57:41.740 we lost.

00:57:43.160 It's just

00:57:43.600 that we

00:57:44.100 are by

00:57:44.560 nature, we

00:57:47.200 focus on

00:57:47.820 what's wrong,

00:57:48.620 which is why

00:57:49.180 we do so

00:57:50.320 well as a

00:57:50.800 species.

00:57:51.100 The good

00:57:52.900 thing about

00:57:53.360 humans is we

00:57:54.080 can't stop

00:57:54.560 looking at

00:57:54.960 what's wrong.

00:57:56.340 We're just

00:57:56.720 so focused

00:57:57.320 on what

00:57:57.680 we're doing

00:57:58.040 wrong.

00:57:59.560 And take

00:58:01.020 a look at

00:58:01.800 the world

00:58:02.320 just coordinated

00:58:03.120 for COVID.

00:58:04.700 The entire

00:58:05.380 world, the

00:58:07.000 entire world

00:58:07.780 just coordinated

00:58:09.460 to keep each

00:58:10.140 other alive.

00:58:11.740 That actually

00:58:12.480 happened.

00:58:13.780 So would

00:58:14.440 you want to

00:58:15.260 go back to

00:58:15.660 40 years ago?

00:58:16.640 I don't know,

00:58:16.920 could we have

00:58:17.320 done that?

00:58:17.880 We didn't

00:58:18.240 really have the

00:58:18.680 internet, so

00:58:19.180 maybe it would

00:58:20.160 have been

00:58:20.340 harder.

00:58:22.100 Somebody says

00:58:22.940 yes.

00:58:24.260 Yeah, I

00:58:24.680 don't know.

00:58:26.980 It seems to

00:58:27.860 me that on

00:58:28.840 almost every

00:58:30.040 dimension, maybe

00:58:32.040 95% of

00:58:34.460 things that

00:58:35.780 we're better

00:58:36.200 off, and

00:58:37.300 then we just

00:58:38.400 incorporate them

00:58:39.280 into, well,

00:58:39.800 that's just how

00:58:40.400 things are.

00:58:41.400 It's not really

00:58:41.960 improvement.

00:58:42.720 Of course,

00:58:43.740 here's the

00:58:45.020 problem.

00:58:46.220 Since you

00:58:46.660 can't really put

00:58:47.180 yourself in the

00:58:47.760 mindset of 40

00:58:48.580 years ago,

00:58:49.640 not really,

00:58:50.740 even if you

00:58:51.240 were there,

00:58:51.640 you can't

00:58:51.920 really do

00:58:52.260 it.

00:58:54.860 You accept

00:58:55.820 that treating

00:58:56.480 everybody as

00:58:59.060 having equal

00:59:00.140 worth is

00:59:01.360 something that

00:59:01.920 was just

00:59:02.280 always natural

00:59:03.300 and normal

00:59:03.840 and, of

00:59:04.860 course.

00:59:06.040 But that

00:59:06.560 wasn't really

00:59:07.000 the case 40

00:59:07.680 years ago,

00:59:08.740 was it?

00:59:09.740 Not so much.

00:59:10.780 So, I

00:59:13.680 don't know.

00:59:15.740 I'm not sure

00:59:16.260 I would go

00:59:16.640 back.

00:59:18.000 But if what

00:59:18.980 you're talking

00:59:19.400 about is

00:59:20.060 the, let's

00:59:21.920 say, the

00:59:22.480 benefit of

00:59:24.180 the traditional

00:59:24.780 family, you

00:59:26.640 know, more

00:59:27.060 religiosity,

00:59:28.740 stuff like

00:59:29.260 that, maybe

00:59:29.860 the schools

00:59:30.400 were a little

00:59:31.040 less

00:59:31.440 propagandish

00:59:33.980 and more

00:59:34.520 basic, yeah,

00:59:36.300 all those

00:59:36.720 things are

00:59:37.040 good.

00:59:37.840 All those

00:59:38.220 things are

00:59:38.520 good.

00:59:38.660 And it

00:59:39.100 would be

00:59:39.500 awesome if

00:59:40.800 we had

00:59:41.060 more of

00:59:41.400 it, but

00:59:42.200 I do

00:59:42.460 think that

00:59:43.140 the nuclear

00:59:44.240 family just

00:59:44.920 doesn't work

00:59:45.400 for everybody.

00:59:47.020 My best

00:59:47.720 guess is

00:59:48.220 that a

00:59:49.080 standard

00:59:49.700 parents stay

00:59:51.220 married forever

00:59:51.880 nuclear family

00:59:52.920 is great

00:59:54.320 for 30%

00:59:56.360 of the

00:59:56.640 country.

00:59:57.460 Great.

00:59:58.980 And I

00:59:59.500 wish that

00:59:59.940 they could

01:00:00.260 have all

01:00:00.620 of that

01:00:00.940 and enjoy

01:00:02.040 it fully.

01:00:02.820 And in

01:00:03.040 fact, you

01:00:03.860 could argue

01:00:04.300 that's the

01:00:04.880 best part

01:00:06.200 of the

01:00:06.380 country because

01:00:07.380 they're going

01:00:07.620 to be creating

01:00:08.160 the functional

01:00:09.360 children.

01:00:10.920 They're the

01:00:11.720 ones who

01:00:12.020 are going

01:00:12.200 to be

01:00:12.600 creating

01:00:13.020 children who

01:00:13.620 are more

01:00:14.140 likely to

01:00:15.540 do something

01:00:16.080 that creates

01:00:16.800 the next

01:00:17.340 unicorn

01:00:18.960 startup.

01:00:21.600 So I have

01:00:23.500 great respect

01:00:24.280 for a system

01:00:25.180 that I also

01:00:26.780 acknowledge just

01:00:27.660 doesn't work

01:00:28.060 for everybody.

01:00:29.080 You just need

01:00:30.140 to give

01:00:30.660 everybody a

01:00:31.220 chance for

01:00:32.540 the same

01:00:32.880 level of

01:00:33.340 happiness.

01:00:34.080 They have

01:00:34.580 to work

01:00:34.860 for it,

01:00:35.800 but everybody

01:00:36.260 needs a shot

01:00:36.940 at it.

01:00:37.560 I just

01:00:39.040 don't think

01:00:39.420 a standard

01:00:40.580 family works

01:00:41.460 for a lot

01:00:42.620 of people

01:00:42.940 for a lot

01:00:43.360 of different

01:00:43.640 reasons.

01:00:45.720 If you're

01:00:47.020 an alcoholic,

01:00:47.840 for example,

01:00:49.000 10% of the

01:00:49.980 population,

01:00:51.780 what's better?

01:00:53.040 You're an

01:00:53.460 alcoholic and

01:00:54.440 you become a

01:00:55.160 parent?

01:00:56.940 Is that

01:00:57.620 better than

01:00:58.140 you're an

01:00:58.480 alcoholic and

01:00:59.100 you decide,

01:00:59.780 okay, I'll

01:01:01.280 be in some

01:01:01.760 other situation

01:01:02.540 where my

01:01:04.060 situation doesn't

01:01:04.900 damage any

01:01:05.500 children?

01:01:07.060 Well, I

01:01:08.480 don't know.

01:01:09.220 It's a free

01:01:09.840 world, so you

01:01:10.460 can go either

01:01:10.940 way, and

01:01:11.640 because we

01:01:13.380 value freedom,

01:01:14.440 I'm not sure

01:01:14.980 I would judge

01:01:16.180 you, because

01:01:17.680 I'm sure I

01:01:18.140 make decisions

01:01:18.720 you don't like

01:01:19.340 either.

01:01:20.040 That's how it

01:01:21.020 works, right?

01:01:23.820 Why are we

01:01:24.480 getting this

01:01:24.880 dumb commercial

01:01:26.160 on here?

01:01:26.960 Go away.

01:01:29.380 Put user in

01:01:30.220 time out.

01:01:30.600 All right.

01:01:35.300 Can we get

01:01:36.060 a micro

01:01:36.740 lesson on

01:01:37.240 reframing work

01:01:38.300 into play?

01:01:41.080 That's a

01:01:41.600 tough one,

01:01:42.020 because it

01:01:42.220 really depends

01:01:42.700 on what kind

01:01:43.180 of work you're

01:01:43.640 doing.

01:01:44.060 You just

01:01:44.320 can't do

01:01:44.800 that with

01:01:45.100 everything.

01:01:48.680 Oh.

01:01:50.120 Oh.

01:01:51.520 The most

01:01:52.300 fun story of

01:01:53.160 the day.

01:01:55.460 Did you

01:01:56.040 see a

01:01:57.200 tweet by

01:01:58.100 Naval

01:01:58.840 Ravikant? 0.96

01:02:00.600 I want to

01:02:02.480 see his

01:02:03.440 exact words

01:02:04.720 say it,

01:02:06.720 because I

01:02:06.940 retweeted

01:02:07.400 it.

01:02:12.160 And

01:02:12.640 so here's

01:02:15.840 why it's

01:02:16.120 interesting.

01:02:16.840 So Naval,

01:02:17.980 here it is.

01:02:20.800 So if you

01:02:21.440 don't know,

01:02:22.040 Naval

01:02:22.520 Ravikant is

01:02:25.180 generally

01:02:26.200 considered,

01:02:27.020 and this

01:02:27.340 would be my

01:02:27.820 opinion,

01:02:28.280 one of the

01:02:28.660 smartest people

01:02:29.380 certainly in

01:02:31.540 the tech

01:02:32.160 world and

01:02:32.780 Silicon Valley

01:02:33.580 and the

01:02:33.840 startup world,

01:02:34.600 but maybe

01:02:35.040 just in the

01:02:35.600 world.

01:02:36.440 He's just

01:02:36.840 one of the

01:02:37.180 smartest people

01:02:37.740 in the world.

01:02:38.860 And he

01:02:39.760 would be like

01:02:41.520 what Mark

01:02:42.100 Twain would

01:02:42.540 be if Mark

01:02:43.180 Twain had

01:02:44.260 been a lot

01:02:44.720 smarter.

01:02:46.220 So he

01:02:46.740 tweets a lot

01:02:47.380 about how to

01:02:48.420 live a happy

01:02:49.220 life and be

01:02:49.840 successful and

01:02:50.480 stuff, and

01:02:50.860 it's all

01:02:51.400 like gold.

01:02:51.940 So, but

01:02:54.040 he's also

01:02:54.440 famously

01:02:55.120 non-political,

01:02:57.220 right?

01:02:57.820 Like, you

01:02:58.100 don't, he

01:02:59.560 doesn't fall

01:03:00.160 into any

01:03:00.540 category, which

01:03:01.380 is also why

01:03:02.200 he's credible.

01:03:04.320 And so he

01:03:05.200 weighed in on

01:03:05.800 this Twitter

01:03:06.920 Elon Musk

01:03:07.880 thing, and

01:03:08.800 this is what

01:03:09.260 he tweeted,

01:03:09.900 and listen to

01:03:10.400 every word in

01:03:11.240 it.

01:03:12.240 Just listen to

01:03:12.880 every word,

01:03:13.840 and really just

01:03:14.580 pay attention to

01:03:15.200 the exact way

01:03:15.940 he says this.

01:03:17.620 Twitter is the

01:03:18.300 simplest open

01:03:19.100 message broadcasting

01:03:20.320 protocol.

01:03:21.680 Like all

01:03:22.220 protocols, it

01:03:23.320 converges toward

01:03:24.160 a winner-take-all

01:03:25.080 monopoly, a

01:03:26.620 monopoly that

01:03:27.300 can dictate who

01:03:28.200 gets heard and

01:03:28.940 who gets

01:03:29.320 silenced, a

01:03:30.600 monopoly that

01:03:31.320 can overthrow

01:03:32.080 governments.

01:03:33.720 Of course we're

01:03:34.440 going to fight

01:03:35.040 over it.

01:03:39.620 Now, here's

01:03:43.000 what's

01:03:43.240 interesting.

01:03:45.560 So you've

01:03:46.220 got Elon Musk

01:03:46.920 on one side of

01:03:47.700 this, and then

01:03:48.380 there's some

01:03:48.840 other people on

01:03:49.360 the other side,

01:03:49.840 sort of Max

01:03:50.860 Boot famously

01:03:51.920 might be against

01:03:53.480 this, but

01:03:54.880 have you noticed

01:03:55.980 the correlation

01:03:56.840 between the

01:03:58.860 people who are

01:03:59.580 on Elon Musk's

01:04:00.540 side and the

01:04:01.300 people who are

01:04:01.880 not?

01:04:04.500 All of the

01:04:05.320 smartest people in

01:04:06.200 the tech world

01:04:07.020 are on Elon

01:04:08.600 Musk's side.

01:04:10.060 All of them.

01:04:12.160 The smartest

01:04:12.940 people in the

01:04:13.520 fucking world.

01:04:14.980 They're all on

01:04:15.760 his side.

01:04:17.020 Now, if it

01:04:18.280 were just Elon

01:04:19.620 Musk against, I

01:04:21.540 guess, the

01:04:22.480 Biden administration

01:04:23.500 and against

01:04:24.400 Twitter's board

01:04:25.240 and against all

01:04:26.700 the critics, he'd

01:04:27.840 still have a good

01:04:28.480 shot, wouldn't you

01:04:30.220 say?

01:04:31.180 Based on his

01:04:32.040 history, you'd

01:04:33.300 say, Elon Musk

01:04:34.200 versus the whole

01:04:35.060 government?

01:04:36.400 I like his

01:04:37.160 chances.

01:04:37.460 But now, what

01:04:39.900 happens if you

01:04:40.560 add in Mark

01:04:42.060 Andreessen, one of

01:04:44.360 the most

01:04:44.660 influential,

01:04:45.840 successful venture

01:04:47.000 people?

01:04:49.040 What does Peter

01:04:49.920 Thiel think?

01:04:51.240 I don't know.

01:04:52.800 But if I had to

01:04:53.700 take a gas,

01:04:55.180 probably on the

01:04:57.960 same side.

01:04:58.620 Now, Bezos is a

01:04:59.500 special case, right,

01:05:00.400 because he's a

01:05:00.900 competitor.

01:05:01.220 That doesn't

01:05:03.180 count.

01:05:05.760 So I've got a

01:05:06.920 feeling that when

01:05:08.460 you see Naval say,

01:05:09.560 of course we're

01:05:10.140 going to fight

01:05:10.740 over it, that

01:05:11.700 sounds like a

01:05:13.340 non-aligned

01:05:14.080 statement, doesn't

01:05:14.900 it?

01:05:15.780 Of course we're

01:05:16.480 going to fight

01:05:16.760 over it.

01:05:17.080 So it's just a

01:05:17.640 statement of the

01:05:18.800 condition.

01:05:22.240 But that's not

01:05:24.460 exactly how I

01:05:25.440 read it.

01:05:26.680 Now, I can't

01:05:27.420 read his mind,

01:05:28.060 and if I

01:05:29.040 could, then

01:05:29.680 that would be

01:05:31.480 magic.

01:05:32.660 So I don't

01:05:33.120 know exactly

01:05:33.680 what he meant

01:05:34.220 by this, but

01:05:34.980 I'll tell you

01:05:35.280 the way I

01:05:35.620 interpret it.

01:05:38.240 That there

01:05:39.660 are going to

01:05:39.880 be a lot of

01:05:40.380 people on

01:05:40.800 Elon Musk's

01:05:41.320 side.

01:05:42.260 Let's just

01:05:42.640 say it that

01:05:43.000 way.

01:05:43.760 And that a

01:05:44.240 lot of those

01:05:44.620 people are

01:05:45.220 insanely capable.

01:05:47.360 And if you

01:05:47.920 think that Elon

01:05:48.740 Musk won't 1.00

01:05:49.300 succeed because

01:05:50.720 he hasn't

01:05:51.160 thought of all

01:05:51.780 the strategic

01:05:52.480 ways to go,

01:05:53.900 or that there's

01:05:54.780 not enough

01:05:55.280 firepower behind

01:05:57.060 him,

01:05:58.060 you better

01:05:58.480 rethink that.

01:06:00.080 Because the

01:06:00.920 most powerful

01:06:01.580 people in the

01:06:02.520 world whose

01:06:03.040 names you

01:06:03.500 haven't heard

01:06:04.120 are all

01:06:05.180 lighting up

01:06:05.700 behind him.

01:06:07.400 Right?

01:06:07.960 Now, if you

01:06:08.620 sort of live

01:06:10.200 closer to this

01:06:11.060 world, some

01:06:11.860 of these names,

01:06:12.740 when you hear

01:06:13.540 them, you go,

01:06:14.320 that person

01:06:15.600 too?

01:06:16.860 And it's

01:06:17.520 starting to get

01:06:18.160 obvious that

01:06:19.940 there is an

01:06:21.340 alignment of

01:06:22.280 like-minded

01:06:22.920 people who

01:06:24.720 are just the

01:06:25.200 most powerful

01:06:25.780 people on the

01:06:26.440 planet who

01:06:27.500 don't have

01:06:28.160 an elected

01:06:28.820 position.

01:06:30.520 And they're

01:06:31.160 about to

01:06:31.660 express their

01:06:32.460 will.

01:06:33.800 And, again, I

01:06:35.420 don't want to

01:06:35.760 over-interpret

01:06:36.360 it at all.

01:06:36.900 That wouldn't

01:06:37.260 be fair.

01:06:38.880 But the way I

01:06:39.460 read it, so

01:06:40.740 this is just

01:06:41.240 on me, is

01:06:42.860 he just

01:06:43.500 joined the

01:06:43.940 fight.

01:06:47.240 So if you

01:06:48.040 were going to

01:06:48.560 predict how

01:06:49.060 this goes,

01:06:49.760 just know

01:06:53.420 that there's

01:06:57.480 a lot of

01:06:57.960 power on

01:06:58.700 one side.

01:06:59.320 A lot.

01:07:01.420 So that's

01:07:02.200 all.

01:07:02.980 So I'll

01:07:03.220 leave you

01:07:03.460 with that.

01:07:04.640 And I'll

01:07:06.360 talk to you

01:07:06.760 tomorrow.

01:07:07.500 You too.

01:07:07.880 Bye.

01:07:09.820 Bye.

01:07:22.700 Bye.

01:07:23.000 Bye.

01:07:23.160 Bye.

01:07:23.520 Bye.

01:07:24.560 Bye.

01:07:24.960 Bye.

01:07:25.720 Bye.

01:07:27.000 Bye.

01:07:29.680 Bye.

01:07:29.760 Bye.

01:07:35.300 Bye.

01:07:36.380 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 18, 2022

Episode 1717 Scott Adams： The News Is So Slow Today That I'm Trending On Twitter

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