Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 19, 2022


Episode 1718 Scott Adams: Musk, Murder, DarkMAGA, Masks And More. A Meaningful Morning


Episode Stats


Length

53 minutes

Words per minute

147.25943

Word count

7,837

Sentence count

562

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

23

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Alex Jones's company files for bankruptcy, and CNN calls him a "conspiracy theorist" Alex Jones is a conspiracy theorist, but what does that mean, exactly? And what does it have to do with fake news, conspiracy theories, and Alex Jones?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Oh, good morning, everybody, and welcome to, that's right, the best day of your life.
00:00:12.760 A highlight of civilization and possibly the best thing that's ever happened in any part
00:00:18.020 of the metaverse.
00:00:19.300 As far as we know, that's my claim, and look for a fact check on that.
00:00:24.480 I'll bet you, you will not see any fact checkers who consider that false.
00:00:30.000 So go to Google, and, you know, Google fact check, and see if it's wrong, or have they
00:00:37.260 decided to let it pass?
00:00:39.340 Yes, I believe it is the best day of your life, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,
00:00:43.060 a tank or chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with
00:00:48.060 your favorite liquid, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, it's
00:00:57.120 the dopamine hit of the day, it's the thing that makes that tingle on the back of your
00:01:01.480 neck.
00:01:02.960 It's, yeah, the simultaneous sip.
00:01:05.680 It's going to happen now.
00:01:07.280 Watch what it does to you.
00:01:08.800 Go.
00:01:09.000 Oh, yeah.
00:01:14.160 Oh, that's so good.
00:01:15.960 So good.
00:01:17.740 It feels like a hike in the woods, doesn't it?
00:01:23.360 All right.
00:01:25.720 Do you know what I like?
00:01:27.040 One of the best feelings in the world?
00:01:29.500 Have you ever had a sneezing attack when you were in a forest?
00:01:32.460 You know, normally if you have to sneeze, you're usually around people, and then it's
00:01:38.020 this big awkward thing, especially during COVID, and you're doing the whole, and then you spray
00:01:47.580 yourself, and the entire experience is very unsatisfying.
00:01:52.460 But if you've ever been like completely away from everybody, you're just literally in a
00:01:57.440 forest, and a sneezing attack comes on, and you just let it fly.
00:02:02.320 You're just like, ah, shoo! 1.00
00:02:06.020 How do you feel?
00:02:10.420 You feel good.
00:02:12.080 It's like one of the best feelings.
00:02:14.180 There are very few times when you don't have to, let's say, respond to other people's social
00:02:22.040 pressures. But a good sneeze in the woods, well, that'll set you free. You'll feel good all day.
00:02:30.840 So if you haven't tried that, go try that now. Here's a question that I've been wondering.
00:02:36.560 What is the exact ratio of fake news to real news, fake news over real news? Do the math.
00:02:44.460 What would be the proper ratio before you could be called a conspiracy theorist?
00:02:49.860 Would it be 10%? Suppose 10% of the things you said turned out to be unfounded conspiracy theories.
00:03:00.280 Would that be enough to call you a conspiracy theorist? About 50%. About 50%. Would you then be a
00:03:11.980 conspiracy theorist? Suppose more than half of the things you reported or talked about, more than half,
00:03:19.860 what if more than half of them were at least, well, let's say incorrect because of the context
00:03:25.900 they're given. Would that feel like you should be called a conspiracy theorist? Well, I don't know.
00:03:34.280 But the news today is that several of Alex Jones's company, I guess three of Alex Jones' companies,
00:03:44.040 have filed for bankruptcy. Now, this is actually a legal financial technique. It doesn't mean he's losing
00:03:51.500 money. Some people will read it that way. But he's been called a conspiracy theorist by Bloomberg and CNN.
00:04:02.300 And I'm thinking to myself, especially CNN, what is the ratio? Are they claiming that he's got a higher ratio of
00:04:12.140 incorrect news to correct news? Maybe he does. I'm not even judging. I've never done the analysis.
00:04:21.840 So I don't know. But it begs the question, doesn't it? What if both of them are squarely in the category of,
00:04:31.080 well, you know, that's a little conspiracy-ish, isn't it? You know, am I right or wrong that CNN pushed
00:04:39.960 the Russia collusion hoax forever? I'm pretty sure they did. I think there were quite a few hoaxes that
00:04:49.840 they pushed as real. How many of the hoaxes that CNN promoted did Alex Jones believe?
00:05:00.380 Yeah, what just happened to you right there? How many of the hoaxes that CNN promoted, and there
00:05:07.040 were a lot of them, big ones, the drinking bleach hoax, the fine people hoax, the, you know, the
00:05:12.880 Russians bounty on American soldiers hoax? I mean, it just goes on and on. But how many of those did 0.88
00:05:20.560 Alex Jones say, well, yeah, I believe that story? How about none? How about none? Do you get any credit
00:05:28.480 at all for being able to spot the other side's conspiracy theories? Right? Yeah, CNN acts like
00:05:36.340 they're the only ones who can spot a conspiracy theory. I'm pretty sure Alex Jones spotted a few
00:05:41.340 on them. Pretty sure. And we're going to talk about somebody else who spotted some sketchy
00:05:48.400 behavior on CNN in another segment. So, anyway, so Alex Jones is responding, I think, because
00:05:58.840 he lost some lawsuits, or one lawsuit, about the Sandy Hook story. So, I don't need to get into that,
00:06:08.980 but he made some claims that did not hold up, and some people proved that they were injured in court.
00:06:15.160 They proved it anyway, at least to a jury satisfaction. So, he owes lots of money to people who claim to be
00:06:20.800 victims of his so-called conspiracy theories, at least one specific one. And so, when you file for
00:06:31.080 bankruptcy, you're really just trying to give yourself protection against a big lawsuit or a big
00:06:37.340 specific problem. It doesn't mean that he's cash negative or that he's losing money. It just means
00:06:43.920 he couldn't pay all of that money all at once, or he chooses to find some way to, you know, weasel out of
00:06:50.520 it. So, it's more of a financial technique. The only thing we can know for sure is that he's not
00:06:58.560 making so many millions of dollars that it's worth it to him to just pay a few million to make it go
00:07:04.680 away. So, we don't know exactly what his financial situation is, but don't assume that it's bad just
00:07:12.280 because he uses this financial technique. That doesn't mean he's in trouble financially.
00:07:16.700 Well, how about this? A Florida judge just put the kibosh on mask mandates. And at least the TSA,
00:07:32.960 for example, is dropping them. And now Uber and a number of other places are dropping them, but
00:07:38.260 they're not being dropped everywhere. So, there are some cities that are keeping them on local mass
00:07:43.260 transit, for example. And not all of the airlines have weighed in yet, but most of the airlines are
00:07:48.120 going along with dropping the requirement. Can we take a moment? I mean, it's not over-over,
00:07:59.940 but it's going to be. Because, you know, the slippery slope works in both directions, right? Now,
00:08:06.280 we're heading back to something closer to normal. Now, I never believed that we would have to wear
00:08:13.280 masks forever. Did any of you? How many of you believed? Yeah. Somebody I'm seeing in the comments,
00:08:23.080 I don't know if this is true, but somebody say it was a Trump-appointed judge. Was it a Trump-appointed
00:08:29.180 judge that made that decision? Is that confirmed, or is that just a Twitter thing? And a lot of
00:08:36.080 people say yes. So, let's treat it like it's yes. Isn't that kind of perfect? Remember I told you
00:08:44.420 that one of the prediction methods I use is if things work out too perfectly like a movie would
00:08:51.320 work out? It might tell you you live in a simulation, but for some reason it predicts. We so often end up in
00:08:58.040 a situation where that could only happen in a movie. There's another one. I'll tell you later about
00:09:05.320 when I got wrong. So, I don't have much to say about this except that, thank God. Oh, my God.
00:09:19.000 And, by the way, congratulations to all of you. Congratulations. You know, I know some of you
00:09:26.060 fought the mandates, and thank you. So, for everybody who pushed back against the mandates when it was
00:09:32.500 really clear, you know, once it began clear that they were over-applied, thank you. Thanks for all
00:09:41.080 the citizen pushback. Thanks for being on the right side, in my opinion. And thanks for being active,
00:09:49.940 you know, at least making your thoughts known. You know, I've always told you that I can't speak
00:09:56.640 for other countries, but in the United States, the public does run the government. We just sort of act
00:10:04.060 like we don't know it. The only thing the public has to do is agree. If the public agrees, they can get
00:10:11.060 what they want. Our system pretty much guarantees it. Maybe not on day one, right? But if the public
00:10:18.100 is all on one side solidly, they're going to get what they want. So, basically, this is a victory of
00:10:23.160 the public. Because who knows what the government would have done on its own, right? Who knows?
00:10:29.460 But we do know that the public pushed it until it broke. I mean, I think that's just what happened.
00:10:36.000 I think that anybody who makes a decision to unmask is doing it in the context of knowing
00:10:43.620 that the public has had enough, right? It's going to get violent if it goes too much longer.
00:10:51.080 So, it took way too long, but here we are. So, let's at least celebrate the good news that is by far
00:10:59.340 not complete. And by the way, are you having the same impression that I am? The fact that the
00:11:06.740 employees, generally, you know, the lower paid people on the scale of these big companies and
00:11:13.720 restaurants and stuff, the fact that they still have to wear masks when the people they're serving
00:11:18.240 do not, is just grotesque. I don't know why Black Lives Matter or anybody who cares about, 1.00
00:11:25.960 you know, the lower end of the income spectrum. I don't know why they're not making a bigger deal
00:11:31.580 about that. I mean, it's viscerally disgusting. I mean, to me, it feels like walking onto a
00:11:37.520 plantation in the days of slavery, like what it would feel to have such obvious signs of unequal
00:11:46.060 treatment of human beings, right? Obviously, it's not like slavery. So, before somebody goes wild and
00:11:52.300 says, oh, you compared mask wearing to slavery. No, no, no, no, no. It's just an analogy.
00:11:59.340 Yeah. Settle down. Settle down. It's not the Holocaust. It's just masks. But in terms of the 0.58
00:12:06.760 both of them giving you a visceral feel, I don't know. I can't get past it. And tell me if this makes
00:12:15.640 it worse, if you say somebody who's black and underpaid and wearing a mask, when you're not,
00:12:24.920 doesn't it make you feel a little extra creepy? You know, maybe you shouldn't, because again,
00:12:30.840 that would be a bigoted, right? It would be bigoted to have any opinion about the color of
00:12:35.780 the person wearing it. But, you know, we're still primed that way. You know, we're primed by
00:12:40.780 the news, our own history of slavery, et cetera. So, you do see it that way. At least I do. Like, 0.99
00:12:47.200 it gives it that little extra, ugh. Like, what the hell are we doing? Like, how do we allow it?
00:12:53.640 Yeah, how do the rich people allow it, honestly? Like, everybody should be complaining about that.
00:13:00.860 The lack, I guess it more than other things, shows a lack of consideration for other people.
00:13:10.780 In such a, like, fundamental way that it's just disgusting. It's one thing if you say,
00:13:18.180 you know, I don't want to raise my taxes to give it to other people. Because that, you can explain
00:13:23.720 that in terms of the system works better if everybody has to, you know, look out for themselves,
00:13:28.920 if they can, if they have the ability. But this isn't one of those times. It's not like there's any
00:13:35.300 larger system that's being supported by it. Nothing's being supported by it. It's literally
00:13:41.120 just discriminating against people who don't have power. That's it. It's just power. It's an
00:13:47.160 absolute, brutal, disgusting, disgusting use of power. Anyway.
00:13:53.920 So, do you all know who Malcolm Nance is? He had been until recently one of the voices or
00:14:05.660 contributors on MSNBC. If you don't know who Malcolm Nance is, this story won't be nearly
00:14:13.120 as funny. But apparently he quit MSNBC and he joined the Ukrainian International Legion to
00:14:20.740 go fight for Ukraine. Now, he was in, apparently he's a Navy veteran. I guess he was a linguist
00:14:28.940 or something. I don't know if Malcolm Nance ever saw any actions. Can anybody confirm that?
00:14:37.020 Because he doesn't exactly look like, at least if he was in the Navy, I don't know if he saw
00:14:43.560 any ground action. But there he is pictured in his camouflage and he's got his little name
00:14:49.680 there and he's holding his weapon. And he said he just couldn't stand, you know, reporting
00:14:56.440 on it and not doing something. So he decided to go over there and do something. And aren't
00:15:03.560 you saying to yourself, somebody says he's 61 years old. That feels about right. What do
00:15:10.680 you suppose it is he's doing over there exactly? I don't even know what to think of this. Now,
00:15:19.060 the most logical thing to think of it is not that he's helping Ukraine, but he's maybe getting
00:15:25.500 ready to write a book. You know, he's trying to cash out on it. He's a fluffer, somebody says.
00:15:31.360 Intel gathering? I don't know. CIA stuff, somebody says. I don't know. I feel like there would
00:15:40.540 be a better way to do almost everything. Translation? As a translator? What languages does he speak?
00:15:49.680 Does anybody know what languages Malcolm Nance speaks? He probably speaks a few languages,
00:15:58.440 I'm guessing. Anyway, I don't even know what to say about that story. All I can say is if you know
00:16:06.200 him, and if you know the things he said on MSNBC, he is one of the consistently crazy sounding people.
00:16:15.600 Like on a scale of one to Keith Olbermann, you know, where Olbermann would be like the top
00:16:21.800 of the crazy scale, he'd be sort of a full Olbermann. You know, some people would be like
00:16:28.780 a half Olbermann, but he'd be like a full Olbermann. We'll talk about him a little bit too.
00:16:37.120 All right. Let's see. What else has happened? Remember I told you that if you wanted to predict
00:16:45.220 who's going to win in Ukraine, that the only number that matters at this point would be the
00:16:51.080 number of Switchblade and other drones they have. And I said, if they have enough drones,
00:16:58.200 and presumably they could train people fairly quickly to use them. I don't know how long it
00:17:05.220 takes to, if your life depends on it, how long does it take to learn how to use a drone?
00:17:10.000 A day? I don't know. So 300 Switchblade drones are being sent to Ukraine. So how many Switchblade
00:17:21.400 drones, these would be things which can hover over a target for several minutes, I guess,
00:17:27.460 or half an hour or 10 minutes, whatever it is, and get a really good idea of what's down there
00:17:32.020 before they dive down and destroy it. But they're suicide drones. So you get to use them once,
00:17:39.220 but they're pretty good. But it's sort of one and done. So now they have the ability to make 300
00:17:46.880 Russian assets explode, including maybe some assassinations of generals or whatever.
00:17:55.060 Would 300 successful attacks change the course of the war? I don't think so, right?
00:18:04.060 It wouldn't even be like a dot. Because when the Russians do these bombing runs, aren't they doing 0.93
00:18:11.120 thousands and thousands? By the time Russia's done, how many bombing runs will they have made?
00:18:18.060 Like 30,000 or something? It's a gigantic number, isn't it? Because they're just continually going.
00:18:24.160 Right? So it seems to me that if the numbers we're looking at is hundreds, you know, the low hundreds of drones,
00:18:35.120 then Russia gets what it wants. Am I right? Somebody says they've done 1,500 missile strikes that Russia has. 0.55
00:18:45.400 And the missiles are just being a small, small percentage of the blow-up stuff they're sending over there.
00:18:53.400 The exploding stuff. All right. So this doesn't look good. If I had to guess, without having any military
00:19:02.100 experience whatsoever, which I think I demonstrate every single day, I don't think that Ukraine could win 1.00
00:19:09.580 without 5,000 drones. Suppose they had 5,000 switchblade drones. Could they win? I mean, if 5,000 of Russia's
00:19:24.200 more important assets blew up, I don't know. That feels like that would start to make an impact if they were the
00:19:32.980 right assets at the right time. Suppose they used all of them to take out their supply lines.
00:19:38.360 Would they just rebuild them as fast as they were being destroyed is what wouldn't make any difference?
00:19:43.880 Maybe. But I feel like you could stop an army with 5,000 successful drone strikes. No.
00:19:52.840 If you took out the right stuff. Because remember, it doesn't matter how much stuff Russia has. 0.91
00:19:57.380 It only matters how many of it you have to take out to cripple the whole deal. And that would be a much
00:20:02.640 smaller number if you chose correctly. So somebody is pointing out that my military expertise seems to be
00:20:15.400 limited to how I feel. And you are correct. But you agree with the basic idea, right? The basic idea is
00:20:22.940 that some number of drones is definitely not enough. But some number of drones is definitely enough.
00:20:28.240 And it's definitely not 300 drones is enough. I don't think you have to be a military expert to
00:20:35.880 know that, right? That's definitely not enough. But is 5,000? Now, I don't know the answer to that
00:20:43.720 question. But I don't know. I don't think anybody does, right? So he says, so you have no idea what
00:20:51.940 you're talking about? Yeah, I do. I know it's really hard to stop a switchblade drone. And I know
00:20:57.820 that 300 is not enough. And I know that logically, some number would get you anything you want.
00:21:05.800 So, I mean, that seems fairly straightforward. Now, of course, if Russia wanted to win badly
00:21:13.000 enough, it probably wouldn't matter how many drones there were. They would just level Ukraine. 0.55
00:21:19.380 All right, let's talk about this weird five-year lag between Trump sounding crazy and Trump a proven
00:21:26.940 right. So I saw a tweet from Jim Jordan, Representative Jordan. And he said, the CIA knew as early as
00:21:35.120 2017, five years ago, that the Trump-Russia collusion data was not technically plausible and was user
00:21:43.120 created, both of those in quotes. So those are based on the actual investigation. That's not just
00:21:48.320 Jordan's opinion. That's what the investigation has turned up so far. And I thought to myself,
00:21:56.360 is that? I wonder if that rule of thumb will hold, that about five years from the time that Trump says
00:22:04.500 something's bullshit, you find out that it was. Because here's some of the other things. When was it
00:22:10.900 that Trump first said Germany would be hostage to Russia's energy policy? Around five years ago?
00:22:19.280 Now, it's not when he first thought of it, but it's when he first said it in public and got mocked,
00:22:24.280 let's say. About five years ago. How about the idea of making the United States energy independent?
00:22:31.120 Right? He was saying that around five, six years ago. About China being our biggest problem
00:22:40.400 and needing to, you know, get business out of there and be tough with them on business and stuff.
00:22:48.060 About five years ago. How about all the noise he made about the border being important? About five years
00:22:55.780 ago? Everything about crime? About five years ago? You know, when he first started talking about
00:23:03.020 everything? Basically, all you have to do is take Trump minus five years and you can find out
00:23:10.600 everything that's important and big. So here's something I have some questions about. There's
00:23:17.880 apparently a hashtag slash movement called dark MAGA. Hashtag dark MAGA. It involves themes in which
00:23:27.140 Trump related images are being treated as, you know, just red and black, scary looking images. And
00:23:36.840 I've heard it described, and I have a real question here. So here's where my skepticism is turned up.
00:23:44.140 I've heard it described as a movement that's waiting for Trump to return to seek vengeance on all those
00:23:51.220 who hurt him or Republicans, I guess. Now, certainly there are plenty of Republicans who have that
00:23:59.260 mindset. Can't wait for Trump to get reelected and clean out the swamp. But, you know, the swamp didn't
00:24:07.320 get that cleaned out last time, did it? I don't remember a lot of swamp draining going on. Not a lot
00:24:14.400 of that happened. In fact, the swamp drained Trump is, looks like what happened. But this is how it was
00:24:24.580 described by one tweet. Or is this CNN? I think CNN said this. Behind the movement, this dark MAGA
00:24:33.660 movement, they're calling it, there's no single identifiable group or a clear ideology. G-Net,
00:24:40.740 whoever that is said, many of the messages posted by dark MAGA supporters incite violence and contain
00:24:46.500 misogynistic and or racist comments. Dark MAGA. Now, you might remember that in 2016,
00:24:54.840 I called out the word dark as something that was probably expert made. And I had guessed that maybe, 0.90
00:25:01.200 you know, Robert Cialdini, who has advised Democrats for president in the past, such as
00:25:09.200 Obama. They probably, somebody like him, came up with that, because it's so sticky, you can make
00:25:15.440 everything fit into it. It's like, oh, Trump said this. Well, that's kind of dark. Oh, a Republican
00:25:21.480 said that. Oh, that's a dark image. And that if you just get this idea of dark in people's minds,
00:25:27.480 dark just brings with it all the scary stuff. Right? So, um, it seems to me it would be a branding
00:25:38.060 mistake for pro-Trump people to use dark in their, uh, branding. Now, I think it did work in the case
00:25:49.120 of deplorables. And if you're black in America, it probably does work to use the N-word as sort of,
00:25:58.160 you know, owning, owning the word that was so painful in the past. So you can take something
00:26:02.740 that was used, that used against you and flip it around and use it as a badge of, you know,
00:26:08.420 strength or something, I guess. So sometimes you can do that, but I don't think this is a good
00:26:13.200 application of that. In my opinion, uh, the MAGA people, if they wanted to win, should stay as far
00:26:20.780 away from the word dark as they possibly can. Because what is the biggest issue that, uh, anybody
00:26:27.940 who might be a little bit, you know, independent on this, what is the biggest issue they have with
00:26:32.300 Trump? That he's scary and dark and, you know, he just scares the crap out of people. The way that
00:26:41.320 Trump won the first time was by being super provocative and aggressive. Is that the same
00:26:46.980 way he would win the second time when the polls have him beating everybody already? We're doing
00:26:51.860 nothing. He doesn't happen to do anything and apparently he's ahead in the polls. Should he use
00:26:56.740 the same strategy of ultimate provocation? Well, it depends if he, if he can adjust strategy to fit a
00:27:05.120 situation. Have you seen evidence that he can, he can radically change his approach
00:27:10.680 to fit a new situation? Uh, yes and no. It's not really clear. Trump is famously flexible. I mean,
00:27:24.920 he used to be a Democrat and then he became a Republican, right? That's pretty flexible. But
00:27:29.840 that's also historical. You know, once you become president and you, you got there doing a certain
00:27:35.400 technique, it's kind of hard to stop doing the thing that worked. Even if you think it might be
00:27:40.860 time to, you know, destroy your old self to build a new self for the new challenge, you end up fighting
00:27:47.300 the last war the same way. Or you end up fighting the new war as if it were the last war. It's, it's one
00:27:53.880 of those human, human, uh, let's say impulses. I would call it a failing except that it's sort of
00:28:00.200 universal. We all do it. You're always fighting the last war. Let me, let me put it out there. If,
00:28:07.340 if Trump could act any way that works and he were not a slave to his past, if he could be anything
00:28:13.840 that would just be good, what would be by far the number one thing that would get him elected
00:28:19.100 for a second term? Number one would be play nice because his, his followers would know what he was
00:28:29.420 doing. They'd say, Oh, I get it. He's just playing nice to get elected, but he's still Trump. You
00:28:35.560 know, once he gets elected, he's going to still do all the things he wants to do, but he could
00:28:39.140 radically change the way he talks about things. Talking about the border, he could simply talk
00:28:44.580 about the pressure it's putting on the low income people at the border. The pressure it's putting on
00:28:50.320 black Americans. And just leave it at that. He, he doesn't even have to make a big deal about
00:28:55.980 building a wall. He doesn't have to, because his case is already won. When he started out with the
00:29:03.020 whole wall thing, in my opinion, it was brilliant persuasion because he was trying to make a big
00:29:09.180 impact and draw all the attention to him on that subject, but he succeeded. Now everybody understands
00:29:15.660 this whole border thing is a problem. Stop arguing. You know, this is a classic case where you don't want
00:29:22.540 to sell past the close. Trump has the close. He closed the sale without trying after office. By
00:29:31.600 leaving office and showing that the alternative to Trump's policies were a disaster, he closed the
00:29:36.780 sale. He can let the press do it for him. He should now stop selling. Stop talking about a wall
00:29:43.860 because that will only piss people off. Build a wall. Sure. Yeah. Yeah. Sure. Build the wall
00:29:50.580 because he already won that argument. You don't need to argue the thing you already want.
00:29:55.800 Just, you know, quietly start it up again. If somebody asks you, and they would ask,
00:30:01.700 are you going to rebuild the wall? The proper answer is not build the wall, build the wall,
00:30:07.200 you know, jail Hillary Clinton. That's just old. The new answer should be, we should do a variety of 1.00
00:30:14.580 things that work. But yeah, I think the border wall is important to beef it up in areas where we have
00:30:21.620 a special problem. Over time, maybe we could get the whole thing walled, but we certainly want to do
00:30:27.060 whatever works as quickly as possible to get it under control. Am I right? Because who's going to argue
00:30:33.720 with that at this point? Because even the Democrats agree with a little bit of wall makes a difference.
00:30:38.640 Even they agree with that. So just agree with the Democrats. Say it's a huge problem. And everybody
00:30:45.540 knows what you're going to do about it. They all know that he's going to do the same thing he did
00:30:50.260 last time. There's no mystery. You don't have to rub it in. You don't even have to make a big deal
00:30:55.900 about how right you are. Because it's just in front of everybody. They can see it. He would make a big deal
00:31:01.720 about it. Now, Trump's big asset is that he could absorb all of the energy from the press. So if you
00:31:14.860 were doing that again, is that still the right thing now? Because I think he got too much energy,
00:31:21.280 really. Maybe he could tone down the energy and he would still have energy the other side by a mile.
00:31:28.220 Well, here's another thing Trump was right on. So the murder rate in America is way up,
00:31:37.860 but it's especially shocking in black populations. So the black American murder rate shot up 43%
00:31:45.680 in 2020. So the beginning of the pandemic and when there was a lot of Black Lives Matter stuff. 1.00
00:31:52.620 So after the Black Lives Matter movement, it's stated a very clear intention to improve the
00:32:01.220 impression of, you know, the value of black lives and also to improve their situation and to make it
00:32:08.820 especially, more than anything, especially safe in terms of the police and, you know, physical safety.
00:32:15.160 But the outcome was exactly the opposite and in a big way, that the murder rate just shot up and the
00:32:23.340 black, on black crime especially, is through the roof. It was Trump right that, you know, keeping the 0.95
00:32:33.180 police well-funded and doing what we used to do would be better than defunding the police? Probably so.
00:32:40.840 Probably was right. All right. Let's talk about Twitter. Rasmussen did a poll and 39% of American
00:32:50.520 adults believe it would be good for Twitter if Musk bought the company. So 39% are on Musk's side about
00:32:58.440 buying the company. 22% think it would be bad for Twitter. Now, I think a better question would be
00:33:05.380 bad for America or good for America. But bad or good for Twitter is an interesting way to put that.
00:33:13.220 All right. But 26% think it would not make much difference if the richest man in the world,
00:33:18.640 whose intention is to change the lever that moves all of free speech, which is really the operating
00:33:25.700 system for civilization. 26% think that that wouldn't make much difference. No, no. No, only the most
00:33:35.380 impactful entrepreneur of our lifetime who's got a stated goal of really, really changing things
00:33:44.740 and already has his teeth into it. 26% think that's not going to make much difference. I mean, how much
00:33:53.220 difference could it make if Elon Musk owns the company? What has he ever done that surprised you? Right?
00:34:00.580 26%. 26%. 26%. If we were to round that, it's about 25%. 25%. I think Elon Musk wouldn't make much
00:34:16.480 difference if he bought Twitter. For those of you who are just joining us, I always point out that 25%
00:34:23.620 of people polled get every answer wrong. I don't know if it's the same 25%. I worry that it is.
00:34:34.020 I'm concerned that it's always the same 25%. But I'd like to think it's a different 25% for each 0.93
00:34:39.780 question. Well, so there's, as I tweeted cryptically, there's sort of an I am Spartacus thing happening
00:34:49.700 right now. And if you know the reference from movie Spartacus, Spartacus was hiding among the slaves and
00:34:58.260 when the Romans were asking for the Spartacus to stand up because they didn't have facial
00:35:04.660 recognition back then, so they couldn't tell who was Spartacus in this crowd of slaves. Somebody who
00:35:10.020 was not Spartacus stood up to accept whatever punishment Spartacus would have. And they're like,
00:35:16.420 okay, you know, I guess if you say you're Spartacus, come here, we'll kill you. And then somebody else
00:35:20.740 stood up. And then slowly, everybody stands up and they're all Spartacus. So, you know, it's kind of
00:35:28.580 like famous movie scene. And I'm watching what I would call a subtle Spartacus movement in which people
00:35:36.420 who have tremendous influence in society, but they're not elected. It's just people whose opinions are going
00:35:45.380 to move your opinion more than other people. They're starting to emerge. I told you that Naval has
00:35:55.220 just sort of very subtly weighed in and said, of course, we're going to fight over Twitter. Of
00:36:01.700 course, we're going to fight. He didn't say what side he's on, because he doesn't. He famously is
00:36:08.020 non-aligned left or right. But do you think he's against free speech? Do you? Do you think he's
00:36:17.140 against free speech? I don't think so. I don't think so. But the most surprising one?
00:36:24.980 Jack Dorsey. It wasn't surprising that the news says that Joe Rogan isn't strongly backing
00:36:31.220 Musk for buying Twitter. You weren't surprised at that. But interesting that it's a major story,
00:36:38.340 right? Because Joe Rogan's influence and credibility is now so big that the fact that he endorses somebody
00:36:46.740 for a specific action is national news. I mean, who else does that? How about Bill Maher? Bill Maher
00:36:55.700 is also pro-Musk in terms of buying Twitter. Interesting, isn't it? I guess he's Spartacus too.
00:37:05.220 So, but the most interesting Spartacus is Jack Dorsey, who on Twitter, of all places, has now insulted
00:37:16.260 Twitter's board of directors for their competency. So there was a post by somebody else.
00:37:25.700 In which the user quipped that the company's early beginning was mired in plots and coup among
00:37:32.020 its founding executives. And I guess Jack Dorsey liked that. But then he gets in a little back and
00:37:38.980 forth with Brian Stelter of CNN. And he also talked about how CNN had faked a news report in Ferguson,
00:37:53.140 and Jack Dorsey was there and watched it live. So he actually was there in person in Ferguson during
00:37:59.060 the riot situation there, and watched CNN trying to incite some trouble to get it on camera.
00:38:06.340 And I would imagine that's the sort of thing that changes you. So here's what's news about it. First of
00:38:12.580 all, to have Jack Dorsey publicly criticize the board of directors of Twitter as the problem with
00:38:22.260 Twitter. And somebody asked him, are you allowed to do that? And he said succinctly, no.
00:38:28.100 Are you allowed to criticize the board of Twitter? No. And then he did it. It's I am Spartacus. It's
00:38:40.100 basically a whole bunch of people who are just done. They're just fucking done. They're done with
00:38:46.180 being gaslit by everyone. Right? It's not just Fox News. It's not just CNN. It's just fucking
00:38:53.300 everyone. Just everyone's gaslighting everyone. And there appear to be some very influential people
00:38:59.220 who are just done. They're just done with that. So yeah, I can't say this? Okay, I'm gonna do it.
00:39:04.980 I can't endorse this guy? I'm gonna do it anyway. Bill Maher, I can't endorse somebody who's, you know,
00:39:10.580 not all on the left. Well, I'm gonna do it anyway. So there are some Spartacai. That's the plural of
00:39:17.300 Spartacus, if you didn't know. So the Spartacai are starting to line up. I will add my own, you know,
00:39:24.980 tiny Spartacus influence to say I'm 100% behind Musk buying Twitter. 100%. I don't have even the
00:39:32.980 slightest reservation about that one. And I would argue that there's nobody really, really smart who
00:39:42.340 disagrees with Musk buying Twitter. Or at least I haven't seen one. So I've seen people, you know,
00:39:50.500 I've seen Max Boot say it's a bad idea. You might see some people who are purely political say it's a bad
00:39:57.380 idea. But you can't count that. They're just being purely political. But tell me, just show me somebody
00:40:04.580 who's sort of not famously political, an independent thinker with an IQ over 140.
00:40:14.340 It's pretty high bar. Show me somebody who's who's a history of independent thinking, an American,
00:40:20.660 with an IQ over 140, who has any problem with Musk buying Twitter. I'll bet there are not many of
00:40:28.580 those. I'll bet they're not mine. Let's take, let's see, Warren Buffett. I haven't heard from him. I
00:40:38.740 don't think he's made any comment, right? I'm not sure he will. But do you think Warren Buffett, who is
00:40:43.700 very clearly in the Democrat realm, do you think that Warren Buffett, if asked, would say it's a bad
00:40:51.620 idea for Musk to take over Twitter? I don't know. He might make some general statements about, you
00:40:58.740 know, billionaire control of the media or something. But I've got a feeling he would not be against that.
00:41:05.380 I don't think anybody above a certain IQ with a history of independence, I'm not talking about
00:41:10.660 somebody who's actually a politician, but people with a history of some independent thought. I don't
00:41:15.140 think any of them are going to be on the other side. Could be wrong. We'll see.
00:41:26.340 So the other thing that Jack said, Jack Dorsey, you tweeted at Stelter because Stelter was
00:41:33.940 criticizing Tucker Carlson. So Brian Stelter of CNN goes after Tucker Carlson in a quote and said,
00:41:42.580 Tucker Carlson is always selling the same thing. He's selling doubt. And I think he was pointing
00:41:47.620 to somebody else's article on that. So he's selling doubt. And then Jack Dorsey responded to that tweet
00:41:55.380 by saying, and you all are selling hope. Now, how many of you, how many of you believed
00:42:04.820 that Jack Dorsey was just, you know, he's just a Democrat and probably pretty AOC-ish. And that's
00:42:11.940 it. So that's how you understand him. He's just, he's just a Democrat. How many of you thought he was
00:42:16.900 just way over there on the left? I don't think that's ever been true. Let me give you a little
00:42:25.460 test. Who is the person who has most publicly been saying, and for years now, has been saying
00:42:33.460 that Twitter should change its algorithm so that the users have an option of what to do with it? So
00:42:39.060 it's not up to the company what you see. Who is the most famous person who has been criticizing
00:42:44.020 Twitter's algorithm for the last several years? Jack Dorsey. Jack Dorsey is the most vocal,
00:42:52.740 you know, at least, you know, noticeable person who has been criticizing Twitter's algorithm
00:42:59.220 and the way they do it. And how long was he still at Twitter when that change was never made?
00:43:06.020 Have you been watching that? Because the first time he said that, I thought, oh, obviously they're
00:43:09.780 working on that now. Because the CEO doesn't say we need to do this, unless they're working on it,
00:43:16.180 because it's just software. I mean, certainly within the doable category of things, right?
00:43:22.740 But then Jack Dorsey leaves and criticizes the board. It sounds like we're finding out maybe one
00:43:29.300 of the reasons, certainly not the only one, but we might be finding out one of the reasons he left.
00:43:34.260 It might be that he had a problem with Twitter's free speech management and that he had suggested
00:43:40.340 an obvious way to address it. Very obvious. The obvious way to address it is to let people choose
00:43:47.380 their algorithm and just make it obvious what they get if they choose it. And he got ignored.
00:43:54.100 Well, I don't know if ignored is the right word, but he was not successful in getting that at the
00:43:58.500 company he ran. And then he left. So I feel like the board may have, this is just speculation based
00:44:08.660 on your reading from the outside, which is pretty dangerous. But the speculation is that maybe the
00:44:14.180 board prevented him from fixing the company in a way that any reasonable person would think was a good
00:44:20.260 idea, give people control over the algorithm. How in the world do you argue against that idea? I've never
00:44:27.060 even heard anybody argue against it, have you? Have you heard a counterpoint to that suggestion? Oh no,
00:44:33.780 don't give users full access to the algorithm that would give them exactly what they asked for.
00:44:38.820 Who exactly is on the other side? And he still couldn't get that done. That tells you everything,
00:44:44.180 doesn't it? And I think that's why he's going full Spartacus. I think he called his time exactly right. 0.99
00:44:52.820 Because with Musk's move on Twitter, this is exactly the right time for an independent thinker,
00:45:03.380 who I will surprise you by telling you he is. Surprise, he's an independent thinker.
00:45:09.220 And he called his timing perfectly. This is exactly the right time to do it.
00:45:15.140 So watch that space. That's going to get better. Better and better.
00:45:24.820 I love, as much as I don't like the black MAGA meme, I suppose the people who are doing it 1.00
00:45:32.660 probably just like the look of it. It's kind of, you know, it's kind of awesome looking. But I would
00:45:38.340 back away from anything that could be used that easily against you. However, I'm seeing the phrase
00:45:45.300 COVIDians used a lot by the people who are mocking the people who are too afraid to drop the mandates
00:45:52.900 mostly and the masks. But Colin, you remember the Branch Davidians in Waco? They were a splinter 0.98
00:46:02.820 Christian group. I don't know what to call them. But it was a religious group, sort of a cult. 0.58
00:46:12.020 But calling the people who were afraid to take off their masks, the mask COVIDians, 1.00
00:46:19.140 is just so clever. It's not really persuasive. I don't think. I mean, not in a way that matters,
00:46:25.540 because people are just going to do what they want to do now. So, you know, I'm not even sure
00:46:30.260 persuasion matters. Okay. So I'll just say that I love that branding, the mask COVIDians. All 0.92
00:46:46.260 right. And that, ladies and gentlemen, concludes my prepared remarks. Again, one of the all time,
00:46:54.340 most insightful and greatest things you've ever seen in your life. And it makes you feel good
00:47:00.180 too. Where else could you go to become smarter and better looking at the same time? Almost nowhere.
00:47:07.460 Almost nowhere. You don't think I could make you better looking? Do you think I could use persuasion
00:47:13.700 to make you better looking? Does anybody believe I could do that? I could do that. It's easy. Because
00:47:22.660 people who are confident look better. It's that easy. So hypnosis can make you more confident. Do you know
00:47:29.780 one way you can do it? To tell you you look great and you look sexy and you've never looked better. In fact,
00:47:36.740 I can tell that you've improved your workout since the pandemic. I see you've taken it up a notch.
00:47:43.060 You're looking not only sexier, but more confident. I've noticed that your posture is better.
00:47:50.420 Now, spend a little time today to improve your posture while you're walking.
00:47:57.220 Just when you're walking somewhere, just improve your posture. And watch how you're better looking.
00:48:05.540 And it's only because I suggested it that made you think of it. And then you thought of it and it was
00:48:09.700 easy to do and you just stood up a little straighter. And as soon as you stood up a little straighter,
00:48:14.340 felt a little more confident. And people looking at you thought to themselves, well, you're a little more attractive.
00:48:21.380 So I just persuaded you to look more attractive. Literally. That just happened. Now, not every one of you
00:48:32.420 in some big way. But again, it's the law of big numbers. If there are a number of people who watch this,
00:48:38.260 some substantial number of you will think, yeah, I will put my shoulders back. And I will, I will
00:48:45.140 straighten my spine and tuck in my butt. And you will actually be more attractive.
00:48:52.500 So sometimes these things are not that hard to accomplish. So that was your, I guess that's your
00:48:59.060 treat for following to the end. Have you noticed that I sometimes put the most useful
00:49:03.300 bits at the end? Oh, it's part of my technique to make you addicted. And it's working. That's right.
00:49:15.620 Now, if you don't believe that me simply telling you through the screen that you're
00:49:20.420 sexier and better looking will work, then you haven't learned yet enough about persuasion. Because
00:49:26.900 it doesn't matter if you, if you regard the persuasion as true. It matters if you hear it a lot.
00:49:33.940 That's it. And you're hearing it because this format is what I call a mass personal experience.
00:49:41.380 So it's a mass broadcast to lots of people, but it's weirdly personal, isn't it? And because it feels
00:49:47.620 personal, because it's me talking to you, and I'm telling you that all you have to do is
00:49:53.620 straighten up your back and act a little more confident, and other people will see you that way.
00:50:00.900 It's going to have more impact than if it was something you read in a magazine or something.
00:50:05.620 Because of the nature of this, it makes it, it will make your brain act as though it worked. Oh,
00:50:13.140 here's the freakiest thing. You ready for this? This is something that I may have discovered
00:50:19.060 something, but I want you to test it. Because I only have one anecdotal experience. Please test this.
00:50:25.860 It goes like this. You have to sneeze. Back to the sneezing thing. But you can't. Let's say you're
00:50:32.660 someplace you don't want to sneeze. Last night, the cat was on my chest. I was really happy. He was
00:50:38.260 kneading into the blanket and stuff. And I didn't want to sneeze and scare her off. And so I was trying to
00:50:44.420 work her into the idea that a sneeze was coming by starting small, if I could hold off the actual
00:50:53.140 sneeze. So I started this way. I went, achoo. And she didn't move. And then I went, achoo.
00:51:01.300 She still didn't move. Then I went, achoo. And she still didn't move. And I thought, okay, now she's primed. 0.90
00:51:09.140 Because when the real one comes, it's going to be a little louder than that last one. But maybe she's now
00:51:13.620 used to it as something that doesn't hurt. And the next one will be like, achoo. But you know what 0.99
00:51:18.460 happened? My fake sneeze made my urge to actually sneeze stop instantly. And I said to myself,
00:51:31.220 oh my god, I'll bet that could actually work. Here's the hypothesis. The hypothesis is that the
00:51:36.980 sneeze is forming in your brain, not your body. And that if your brain was satisfied that you had
00:51:43.880 sneezed, it would turn off the impulse. And I believe that my fake artificial sneeze turned off
00:51:51.220 the switch to make me actually sneeze. So here's what I want you to test. The next time you have a
00:51:58.060 sneeze coming, and you're sure it's one that's going to happen, do a loud fake sneeze, assuming you're
00:52:04.240 somewhere where you can do that. Just go, achoo, and try to sell it. But it's definitely not a real 1.00
00:52:10.220 sneeze. Watch what happens to the real one. If it turns off, it's going to blow your frickin' mind
00:52:20.200 like it did mine last night. Now, I don't know if this could work for me again. And I don't know if
00:52:26.360 it was just a coincidence. But I've never stopped to sneeze before, have you? Have you ever stopped to
00:52:32.720 sneeze? I mean, the closest I've ever come is like the kind. But I stopped at cold. Like, it was a
00:52:41.100 definite sneeze, and it just, boop, gone. Somebody here says it works. All right, so you need to test
00:52:49.960 that for me, and forget, I'll forget that I asked you to do it. So test it for me. The first time you
00:52:56.480 get a hit on it, if it works, you have to message me, or put it in the comments, or tweet it at me,
00:53:01.920 or something. Because if this works, it's going to change everything you think about everything.
00:53:07.500 And it might work. So that's your test for the day. And YouTube, I will see you tomorrow.