Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1722 Scott Adams： Russian Oligarchs Mysteriously Die, Ron DeSantis Makes Politics Interesting Again

00:00:01.000 Hey everybody. Wow, you made it. And I guess that's a good sign for you. I would say that

00:00:07.720 today is looking good for you. Really looking good. Why? Because you're starting it with

00:00:14.340 this amazingness. A lot of people are starting it wrong. Wrong side of the bed. No, you are

00:00:19.940 on the right side of the bed. Do you know what the right side of the bed is? The top.

00:00:25.720 I recommend the top. Bottom part of the bed, same amount of real estate, not nearly as

00:00:34.460 good. Gravity just ruins the whole thing. Now, how would you like to take it up a notch?

00:00:40.240 Wouldn't you? Oh, I know you would. I know you would. And all you need is a cup or a mug

00:00:45.760 or a glass. I'd take your Chelsea sign, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill

00:00:50.820 it with your favorite liquid. Um, I like coffee. And join me now for this unparalleled

00:00:59.480 pleasure, the dopamine of the day. I think it makes everything better. It's called the

00:01:03.340 simultaneous sip. And it sounds different when I'm talking in my coffee cup. Go.

00:01:08.340 Oh. Oh. Internal organs coming online. I feel like my liver wasn't even online until just

00:01:20.660 now. Spleen, looking good. Lungs, heart, good. All systems good. You have to lube yourself

00:01:28.780 with coffee now and then. It's very important. I would like to begin with a little story that

00:01:37.260 I call your favorite president. Um, when I met President Trump at the Oval Office, the

00:01:47.740 story I tell all the time because I don't have any other stories that are that good, really.

00:01:53.640 That's my best story. You're probably going to hear that one a few more times. But when

00:01:58.000 I first got there, he was, uh, just finishing up, uh, creating a tweet. So there's nothing

00:02:05.620 cooler. Can you imagine this? Can you imagine walking in and being introduced as Trump is,

00:02:12.180 uh, designing a tweet in real time? And, you know, he's talking to his little group of staff

00:02:18.580 there, Dan Scavino. I think he was talking to him to actually send out the tweet.

00:02:22.260 Uh, talk about being exactly like, you know, watching history being created in front of

00:02:30.960 you. Watching Trump in the Oval Office, in the little side office where he was next to

00:02:37.460 it, literally creating a tweet in real time was one of the most interesting things I've

00:02:42.560 ever seen in my life. I doubt anything will ever be that cool, honestly. I'm not going to

00:02:47.980 be able to top that. But the tweet, he was, I don't, I forget the content of the tweet,

00:02:53.400 but as a, as an ending to the tweet, just as I walked in, he was, he was saying an ad,

00:03:00.140 add to the end of the tweet, uh, something about your favorite president. I forget his exact

00:03:04.040 words, but just say your favorite president. And I remember that was the first thing that

00:03:10.240 I said to him. It was like, how much I love that. I love that. You know, the, the favorite

00:03:13.980 president thing, but let me tell you why I love it. The reason I love it is that was

00:03:20.020 him allowing you behind the curtain. When Trump puts on the end of his tweet, your favorite

00:03:26.120 president, he's just pulling the curtain back a little bit and saying, you know, this is

00:03:30.880 an act, right? You realize that this is for effect, that this is a show. I'm trying to get

00:03:37.900 the job done, but the way to get the job done in part is to draw the attention to me. And

00:03:43.300 then I use that energy the way I want it. And, but he doesn't say it. He doesn't say

00:03:49.060 it in like direct words. He just puts that at the end of a serious tweet, you know, about

00:03:53.540 a serious topic. I forget what it was. And then he says, your favorite president. And

00:03:57.420 I'm like, okay, if you're, if you're paying attention at all, he just, he just opened the

00:04:03.820 curtain and said, you see what I'm doing? And in large part, that's why it was easier

00:04:09.800 for me to support him despite all of the provocations because I saw it as part of a larger show, which

00:04:19.440 brought him tremendous, like tools. It just gave him more tools. He could control the conversation

00:04:25.620 and all that stuff. So I thought I would mention that in terms of persuasion, because sometimes

00:04:34.240 you have to send two messages at the same time. If you're trying to persuade a crowd that has

00:04:40.160 some dumb people in it, let's say there's a bunch of gullible people in it. And then there's a bunch

00:04:46.320 of smart people who really kind of want to know what you're really up to. You know, the real cynicals

00:04:51.480 and the people who have been behind the curtain are like, eh, what are you really up to? So if

00:04:55.800 you're trying to convince both, it's pretty hard, but Trump could do it because he'd give his simple

00:05:02.320 message to one group. And then when he was talking to the people who might be concerned

00:05:06.540 about, you know, the level of provocation that he puts out there, he just, he just says, you know,

00:05:11.780 your favorite president, he just opens the curtain a little bit, a little bit and says, okay,

00:05:16.540 you smart people, here's what I'm doing. All right. The other people, they're just enjoying the show,

00:05:22.260 but you know, you can see what I'm doing. I'm putting on a show. All right. Speaking of the show,

00:05:29.660 a weird little funny story was that some text exchanges between Bill Gates and Elon Musk just hit the

00:05:37.980 media and they've been confirmed. So Elon Musk is tweeting about it and they're definitely his tweets.

00:05:44.900 He says he doesn't know how it got to the New York Times unless it was a, you know, friend of a friend

00:05:50.320 situation, passed it off. So, so one assumes from that, that, uh, the presumption is that at least one

00:05:58.720 person who had possession of it, either a Bill Gates or Elon Musk, uh, may have shown it to at least

00:06:06.040 one person. And then that one person may have shown it to one other person and somehow it got into the

00:06:12.140 media. So he doesn't know. Um, but have I reminded you that there's no such thing as a private

00:06:18.940 communication? If you ever want to see a better example of this, how, how do, how does a message

00:06:27.520 from Bill Gates and, uh, Elon Musk, a private message, how does that end up in the New York

00:06:33.420 Times? And the answer is, it doesn't matter if somebody hacked, it can hack you because people

00:06:40.500 just show stuff to people and then it goes anywhere. Let, let me ask you this. Suppose you

00:06:46.440 had been the one, let's, let's say there was only one person. Suppose you had been the one person that

00:06:52.660 one of them had sent the screenshot to, could you not show it to anybody? I mean, really? If, if either

00:07:02.860 one of these, these guys, Bill Gates or Elon Musk showed you a screenshot of a communication between

00:07:09.980 the two of them, what would you do? Just say, oh, that's interesting. I think I'll sit on this.

00:07:14.520 Um, like who could, who could not tell somebody about that? How could you not tell your spouse

00:07:19.960 at least? I mean, you know, there, there are definitely things that most of us could keep

00:07:25.440 from a spouse if it's like that, if it's that important, you know, somebody is going to go

00:07:30.060 to jail or something. You might actually keep that from a spouse because you don't want anybody

00:07:34.240 to accidentally go to jail that didn't need to. Um, but I don't think anybody could, nobody

00:07:42.340 has enough self-discipline not to show a friend that they've got a screenshot of these two guys

00:07:49.220 talking and especially the topic. So there's no such thing as privacy. I, I've lived for many years

00:07:55.700 now with the assumption of zero privacy for myself and it's weirdly free. Here's something you would

00:08:03.080 never, you would never expect. When I finally gave up on the notion that I had any privacy and

00:08:09.540 never would, you just feel sort of free. Like I imagine by analogy, what it's like if

00:08:17.140 you're gay and you come out, you know, it's like maybe traumatic while it's happening. But 0.99

00:08:22.300 then as soon as you're done, I hear, I mean, this is what I hear. You feel free for the first

00:08:29.280 time. So anyway, here's what, uh, Musk and Gates were talking about. Uh, Bill Gates was texting Musk

00:08:37.580 to talk to him about philanthropy. Details were not clear. Um, but Musk asked Bill Gates if he still

00:08:45.340 had, if Gates still had a short position on Tesla stock. Now, if you're not an investor, a short

00:08:52.640 position means that you're betting the stock will go down and probably a lot. A long position means

00:08:59.440 you're, you're, you want to own it for the long run because you think it will go up. So Gates has a

00:09:04.920 short position of half a billion dollars, half a billion dollars, even for Bill Gates is not small

00:09:11.640 money, right? Even if you have a hundred and whatever billion, half a billion is still some serious change.

00:09:18.480 And he's got half a billion dollars bet that Tesla is going to basically go down the toilet. I mean, 0.75

00:09:24.560 not completely, but like it'll, it's, it's stock is too high. I guess that's the bet. And, uh, so in

00:09:32.400 this Texas change, Musk asked Bill Gates, does he still hold that position, the short position in Tesla?

00:09:40.120 And, uh, Gates admitted, he goes, yo, sorry, I, I haven't unwound that. So he didn't really suggest

00:09:46.800 that it was a bad idea to hold it. And he didn't suggest that he didn't think the stock was going to go

00:09:53.600 down someday. Oh, by the way, I own, I own Tesla stock. I should throw that in there. So I am an

00:10:00.760 owner of Tesla stock, a small part of my portfolio. Um, so throwing that in there anyway. And then, uh,

00:10:11.440 Musk concluded that, uh, he couldn't possibly work with Gates, uh, on philanthropy when Gates

00:10:19.160 was betting against these, the company that's doing the most on climate change.

00:10:24.400 And I thought to myself, that kind of makes sense, doesn't it? Like what, how can you do business

00:10:32.200 with somebody who is betting against you when you're trying to save the world,

00:10:35.360 even according to the person who's betting against you? And you're doing a great job,

00:10:42.040 uh, at least according to some people. You could argue whether electric cars are saving the world

00:10:47.120 or not. But remember, he's also doing, doing, uh, solar, solar stuff as well. So there it was,

00:10:57.080 uh, half a billion dollars bet against Tesla caused, uh, Bill Gates not to be able to talk to the richest

00:11:04.260 man in the world, which is the most ironic or richest man in the country, I guess, which is the

00:11:08.920 most erotic thing. It's not ironic, but ironic, but I like to use that word or overuse it.

00:11:15.380 All right. Um, truth social, you know, president Trump's upcoming social network that, uh, had a lot

00:11:24.080 of, uh, glitches because it was tough to, tough to sign in and get into it. Well, apparently as of

00:11:30.080 today they have switched to the rumble cloud. Now let me tell you the importance of this. It's actually

00:11:36.800 a really big deal and not just because of truth social. So here's what's happening in the tech slash

00:11:44.960 political slash censorship world. So this company rumble, uh, and by the way, full disclosure, um, rumble

00:11:54.720 acquired locals, locals, I have an investment in. So my investment gets pulled over to rumble.

00:12:01.440 So I'm not, I'm not an objective observer. Okay. Full disclosure. Cause wherever, wherever money is

00:12:08.520 involved, even if you're not trying to be subjective, it's hard not to be right money, money corrupts all

00:12:15.220 opinions. So I'll just tell you that presumably mine is corrupted in this case, but you can do your

00:12:21.380 own, uh, judgment there. So the, the rumble network originally was sort of a YouTube competitor,

00:12:27.660 but unfortunately they couldn't use the same, uh, server networks as other people could because they

00:12:36.160 were sort of considered, um, I guess too, too dangerous, too right wing, too something. So they ended up

00:12:44.680 creating their own side business to create their own server, um, network that would support just rumble

00:12:52.800 itself. And apparently rumble is doing well from what I read. I don't have any inside information, but from

00:12:59.060 what I read publicly, it looks like rumble is growing fast. Now, how big a deal is it to have a server farm and

00:13:08.040 also a social media network. It's like a real big deal, but it also gives you another whole business

00:13:14.240 to monetize because you can let other people use your servers as well. So one of the other networks

00:13:21.280 that will use the rumble servers is first of all, locals, I think is on there. So the locals network

00:13:27.600 got moved on there. I think I'm, I'm not entirely sure that what that's what happened. It may, or it's

00:13:34.300 going to, or something, but one assumes that would happen if it hasn't happened already because

00:13:38.300 logically that would happen. Um, and if the truth social network goes over and maybe some other,

00:13:44.200 um, entities which have not been able to get the service they want on the big, you know, Amazon

00:13:50.620 server farms or Microsoft server farms, um, maybe they'll have a new home. So in terms of freedom of

00:13:57.520 speech, this little technical story about truth going onto the rumble network is a really big deal,

00:14:07.020 not only business wise, but in freedom wise, you know, in, in having alternative ways to get views

00:14:15.920 out. Now, this will of course, uh, also result in more, uh, horrible views that you think are destroying

00:14:24.760 the world, but freedom of speech, there'll be more of that. So I'm in favor of competition,

00:14:31.760 generally speaking. So that looks good. Did you see the story about, uh, Florida was rejecting a bunch

00:14:39.520 of math books because they had some either, I don't know, they were too woke or there were some racist

00:14:46.480 examples in them or something like that. Did you see that story? It's like big national story. And so you

00:14:52.760 said to yourself, math books, how could a math book be too woke? Like what exactly would that be? The word

00:15:01.360 problems or something? And so like everybody, yeah, like, like everybody, I thought, God, I can't wait to see

00:15:08.460 one of these examples. Because I remember they said that about the SATs. And I thought, really? Really? The SATs

00:15:15.680 are racist. I'd like to see an example of that. And then I saw an example. It was actually a pretty

00:15:20.640 good example. Oh, okay. And the example was what goes with a cup, cup or table or cup and saucer.

00:15:31.860 And apparently people who don't have fancy lives think you put a cup on the table. And people who

00:15:38.420 have a little extra cash, they might own these things called saucers. And so because of the income

00:15:45.520 social, you know, whatever, uh, difference, maybe the black population would be less likely to say

00:15:52.980 saucer. And therefore that would be actually an actually pretty good example of a racist question.

00:15:58.360 Surprise the hell out of me. You know, if you're being objective, yeah, it's a class question,

00:16:03.900 but because class and race are so correlated, it ends up being a racial outcome, right? It's not,

00:16:10.500 it's not racist by design. It just has that outcome. So I thought that was a good example. 0.92

00:16:18.720 But when it comes to this racist math book story, uh, some things have been published, but you look at

00:16:24.620 them and you go, what? I don't even know exactly what I'm looking at. So there's no real example of it.

00:16:32.000 So I don't know what's going on or what the real story is, but there's definitely fake news going

00:16:37.380 on. I don't know what else is happening. Like if anybody's trying to get one over on you, or

00:16:43.280 it's just a confused story, or it's just incorrect, but there's something totally wrong with the story.

00:16:49.780 I don't know what, but it's not true in, in the way it's presented. There's something extra,

00:16:57.200 something left out. I don't know. It's definitely not true. So forget about that one. All right.

00:17:05.640 Um,

00:17:07.940 this, this was the best clickbait, uh, title I've seen in a long time. So you know how there'll be a long

00:17:16.600 title to something you can click, but because of space constraints, the sentence that's the long

00:17:23.480 description gets cut off. So here's where this was cut off. Teacher of the year suspended for showing

00:17:30.240 students her, and then it's cut off. Teacher of the year suspended for showing students her

00:17:38.640 something. It turned out to be a picture of her fiance. She was suspended for showing students a picture

00:17:47.700 of her fiance. Do you believe it? Could somebody be suspended for showing a picture of their fiance?

00:17:57.780 Now he was, the fiance, the fiance was clothed, but female, but female. So apparently, uh,

00:18:06.780 she was suspended for showing a picture of her same sex fiance. Um, and she's of course fighting 0.96

00:18:14.880 it. Now, this sort of gets into the whole, uh, what can you tell kids and why can't you?

00:18:23.740 Um, I, I'd like to see a little instant, uh, unscientific poll right here. How many of you

00:18:30.120 would be upset if you were, let's say a, uh, I don't know what grade this was, but I'll just put

00:18:36.300 a grade on it for our question. Let's say it was first grade. Just, it wasn't, but let's say it was

00:18:43.560 first grade. Would you be upset if you knew that the teacher showed a child, a same sex, uh, union? 0.70

00:18:51.360 It's 2022 people. It's 2022. And somebody would be upset. And by the way, I'm not judging you

00:19:00.860 because it's not up to me. Your opinion can be your opinion. You can have whatever opinion you like.

00:19:07.320 You're, you're completely welcome. As long as we can have our opinions too, right? If you're not

00:19:12.020 judging our opinions, I won't judge your opinions. And, and it's just better that way. Um, all right,

00:19:20.100 let me, let me tell you something. If you don't have kids, if you haven't been exposed to, you know,

00:19:27.160 young people in the backseat of your car lately talking to each other, um, homosexuality doesn't 0.92

00:19:33.860 mean anything to kids anymore. I mean, there's still the teasing and stuff, especially the, the boy,

00:19:41.160 boy stuff, but girl, girl stuff, at least is just, it's not even, uh, it's not even a topic really.

00:19:49.080 It, the, the, the way that young people talk about, um, same sex dating is as just an option.

00:19:59.780 It's completely different than whatever, whatever you grew up with if you're a certain age. But

00:20:03.960 they actually just talk about it as an option. It's just a matter of fact sort of thing. And

00:20:09.640 is that, is that, is that good for the world? I think it probably is. I think it's good for the

00:20:15.940 world. Now that's purely an opinion, right? I'm not sure how you would measure it, but I'm generally

00:20:23.780 in favor of being open-minded to things that don't hurt you. Here's my, here's my overall opinion of the

00:20:33.360 LGBTQ community, right? Like anything you say about a whole community is automatically bigoted and

00:20:40.580 false, right? Because there's, you know, people don't fit all the stereotypes. So just, just knowing

00:20:47.920 that anything you say is automatically off balance. But here's how I think of it. Have you ever been in

00:20:53.480 one of these situations where somebody said, oh, don't go in that neighborhood? Don't go in that

00:20:58.420 neighborhood because the, the LGBTQ people have ruined it? Like, you never hear that. Like, what

00:21:05.340 have they ruined? Anything? Like, I don't know. They, they take good care of their lawns. They have

00:21:14.800 good jobs. They tend to be, you know, serious about work. What, what exactly are you complaining

00:21:22.520 about? Because how much of it does it affect you? I don't know. Because it affects you because

00:21:28.960 of the pronouns and stuff. Okay, whatever. But I mean, it's not the biggest problem in

00:21:32.880 the world. So in terms of, if there was one group of people you'd have to say is definitely

00:21:39.220 not bothering you unless you're in some like specific social situation. I'm definitely in

00:21:48.000 the live and let live category for, for all that. So, but I, but the only thing I would

00:21:54.040 add to the conversation, because I'm not looking to change anybody's opinion about anything on

00:22:00.320 these topics because I don't think it's possible. But the only thing I'm saying is that you may

00:22:05.020 not be aware that the bus has already left the station. Or is it the train? The train has

00:22:11.300 already left the station. Among young people, being gay, lesbian, it just doesn't mean anything

00:22:18.900 anymore. It's just all of its meaning. It's just in the normal baseline now. And to me,

00:22:25.140 that looks like an improvement. Do you think that's not true? How many of you think that's

00:22:32.940 an improvement that it's just no big deal? It's just sort of live and let live, even among

00:22:37.740 the children. I expected some disagreement on that. Yep. And then I guess the question

00:22:46.880 would be, to what extent are people's legitimate preferences, which for most part in a free

00:22:53.780 country, we like people to have access to their legitimate preferences if nobody else is getting

00:22:58.900 hurt. Generally, we're on that side. But at what point does that like start infringe on

00:23:03.900 the way you raise your own kid? Because it does, right? Everything's connected. You can't

00:23:10.400 say they're unconnected from, you know, the influence on your children. So what if you were

00:23:16.000 worried that your own children would be influenced into maybe being confused or have some trouble

00:23:24.100 with their sexuality? Are you worried about that? Because I'm not sure it works that way.

00:23:30.780 Because generally, information works in the positive way, doesn't it? There's certainly

00:23:37.080 an age at which they can't make decisions. But I would argue that age is like 25.

00:23:45.660 I totally get it if you say a five-year-old, you know, can't handle this stuff. So you want

00:23:50.140 to leave that to the parents? I get that. That's a pretty strong argument. But I would argue

00:23:54.960 that anybody under 25 is confused as well. So, yeah, I don't know. Isn't that much better?

00:24:03.560 So let's talk about DeSantis. So I criticized DeSantis yesterday for political retaliation at

00:24:12.060 Disney because Disney spoke out against his proposed laws, proposed or actual laws, I forget,

00:24:18.820 that would limit what could be taught in schools in terms of, let's say, non-hetero mainstream

00:24:30.140 lessons, I guess. And so I came down hard on him yesterday, which angered a number of you

00:24:38.120 because a number of you were on the side of, no, you just always have to push back. Because

00:24:43.580 if you don't push back, the other team will just push you and push you. You will look

00:24:47.500 weak. And then I made my arguments about that. But now I would like to agree

00:24:51.640 with you. And now I'd like to agree with you.

00:24:56.040 Let's see if you're still mad.

00:25:01.100 In a purely political context,

00:25:03.600 let's say we're just separating because I often did this when I looked at Trump.

00:25:07.620 If you look at Trump's whole act, I would say,

00:25:11.500 well, there's a bunch of stuff that I would have done differently.

00:25:13.580 But what he did work, I mean, to become president, and he got a lot done.

00:25:20.560 But it didn't help him for re-election, so that's sort of where I was at,

00:25:23.880 that he could have taken it to another level.

00:25:27.840 But I always

00:25:28.600 was specific in saying that Trump's persuasion

00:25:33.300 was really good and that he was only talking to his base anyway.

00:25:37.500 So if you're only talking to your base, then I would say DeSantis' play is strong.

00:25:47.320 If what you're trying to do is just win elections and use the power of being in office,

00:25:53.960 and this is a way to win, I would say that's not a bad way to go.

00:25:58.560 Because

00:25:58.920 one of the things that Trump made people feel

00:26:02.880 is to feel that he was

00:26:04.700 fighting on their side and

00:26:06.020 it felt good to have somebody powerful

00:26:08.660 fighting on your side.

00:26:10.940 And that gives you a dopamine hit

00:26:12.580 and then you become

00:26:13.520 attached to the leader and you're more likely to vote.

00:26:16.680 And then that leader is more likely to get elected with more of a mandate,

00:26:21.240 maybe even go to higher office someday.

00:26:23.760 So

00:26:23.920 in terms of a purely political calculation,

00:26:29.680 where persuasion and politics and

00:26:31.740 ultimately getting what you want are all connected,

00:26:35.280 I'd say it works.

00:26:37.280 I'd say it works.

00:26:39.320 Are you okay with that?

00:26:40.480 As a purely political calculation of persuading your base,

00:26:45.460 I'd say this works.

00:26:46.680 Everybody okay with that?

00:26:50.040 Because I think that's what you were telling me.

00:26:52.460 But the way you were saying it wasn't quite the way I'm saying it.

00:26:56.340 See, I don't believe that retaliation

00:26:58.880 is such a direct benefit that the other team changes what they're doing.

00:27:05.320 I don't think the other team changes behavior.

00:27:07.780 And that's what I was pushing that back against.

00:27:10.360 But

00:27:10.720 if you're not trying to change behavior,

00:27:13.740 but what you're really doing is

00:27:15.560 is getting your base

00:27:17.080 making them feel that you're fighting for them.

00:27:21.020 It's the feeling of the fighting that's important,

00:27:23.700 as well as the fighting.

00:27:24.480 So if you take it from the perspective of somebody talking only to his base,

00:27:32.580 it works great.

00:27:34.180 And it also makes it more likely he'll get reelected,

00:27:37.900 makes it more likely he could run for president

00:27:39.940 and make a strong play there.

00:27:42.280 So yeah, politically I'd say it works.

00:27:45.200 And if that's your interest,

00:27:46.640 if your interest is the political win

00:27:48.860 and you're playing a long game,

00:27:51.420 not bad.

00:27:53.680 Not bad.

00:27:54.940 But here's my only criticism.

00:27:58.860 He can get the base

00:28:00.040 fired up over a lot of stuff.

00:28:02.980 Well, maybe not as much as this.

00:28:04.320 I've got to admit,

00:28:05.360 this is pretty red meat stuff,

00:28:07.640 parental stuff.

00:28:09.340 But I would have preferred persuasion

00:28:11.260 because I don't like retaliation from the people I pay.

00:28:16.100 I don't want to pay somebody to retaliate.

00:28:20.140 I just find that offensive.

00:28:22.580 So

00:28:22.800 I guess I can have two competing thoughts.

00:28:27.940 The one competing thought is

00:28:31.040 that if you think a Republican set of policies is a good thing,

00:28:36.160 then DeSantis getting his base whipped up

00:28:39.040 to guarantee he gets reelected with a mandate,

00:28:42.100 maybe goes for higher office.

00:28:44.520 That makes sense.

00:28:46.560 So I would say that would be a completely rational thing

00:28:49.200 to support him in just getting his base all fired up.

00:28:53.880 But I doubt the other side is much persuaded by it.

00:28:58.520 I can't imagine in my head

00:29:00.700 like a meeting going on anywhere

00:29:03.900 in which somebody is saying,

00:29:05.740 you know,

00:29:06.600 that Disney thing happened,

00:29:08.180 so we better act differently.

00:29:09.820 The only thing I can see happening

00:29:11.220 is corporations just not wanting to have an opinion in public.

00:29:15.620 And that's sort of anti-free speech.

00:29:18.820 I like corporations giving their opinions.

00:29:22.120 As long as everybody else can.

00:29:24.560 Right?

00:29:25.040 I wouldn't want the CEO to speak for the whole company

00:29:27.920 and then not allow the employees to have a dissenting opinion,

00:29:31.680 you know,

00:29:32.320 and get fired for it or something.

00:29:34.280 Although that's a private decision.

00:29:35.780 I suppose they could fire him for that.

00:29:37.780 But, you know,

00:29:38.360 I'm in favor of maximum free speech.

00:29:40.340 So anything that curtails it

00:29:42.000 seems bad to me.

00:29:43.680 So from a free speech absolutist perspective,

00:29:47.160 I would say that this is bad for free speech.

00:29:50.720 But if you want to give up a little bit on free speech,

00:29:55.220 because you're playing a long game

00:29:56.560 of getting your Republican conservative policies,

00:29:59.660 if that's what you think is best for the world,

00:30:02.200 I can see that.

00:30:04.060 I can see that.

00:30:04.680 Somebody said I have some strange takes on the situation.

00:30:11.040 Well, that's why you're here.

00:30:12.960 Why the hell would you be here

00:30:14.140 if I had the same take

00:30:15.060 that you're going to see all day long today?

00:30:17.840 I mean, that's sort of the point.

00:30:20.320 All right.

00:30:20.600 Paul Collider had an interesting statement on this,

00:30:27.360 especially when you're talking about the tax treatment

00:30:29.640 that will be removed from Disney.

00:30:31.400 We'll talk about that in a minute.

00:30:33.060 Well, let me give you the situation.

00:30:34.900 So the situation was that,

00:30:36.160 if you're not following it,

00:30:37.120 Disney, years ago in the 60s,

00:30:39.920 wanted to buy all this, like,

00:30:42.240 empty swampland farmland

00:30:44.780 that wasn't being used for much.

00:30:46.620 And they basically said,

00:30:47.700 we can develop it faster

00:30:49.040 for this awesome thing for Florida and for Disney

00:30:52.120 if you let us run it

00:30:54.040 like we're in charge of the town.

00:30:57.920 So run it means

00:30:59.160 that they could build their own roads

00:31:00.800 and sewers and water.

00:31:02.720 They could put in, like, municipal services.

00:31:05.280 And they could probably do it, you know,

00:31:06.860 faster, cheaper than the government could.

00:31:09.220 And they would make sure it worked

00:31:10.620 because it needs to

00:31:11.440 because their business requires it.

00:31:13.300 So I would imagine that Disney

00:31:14.620 probably put in as good or better services

00:31:18.360 than the government would have done.

00:31:21.920 And then the most ridiculous thing I'm hearing

00:31:25.460 is that the law would allow them

00:31:27.120 to develop their own nuclear energy plants

00:31:29.560 without anybody interfering.

00:31:31.660 To which I say,

00:31:33.440 really?

00:31:37.200 Really?

00:31:39.840 Really?

00:31:40.360 Really?

00:31:41.880 Because if what you're saying

00:31:43.120 is that the law technically would allow it,

00:31:46.520 oh, okay.

00:31:48.000 But do you think that

00:31:49.080 because it's technically allowed

00:31:51.100 that there was some risk of that happening?

00:31:54.920 That Disney was going to say,

00:31:56.740 you know,

00:31:57.280 we're going to pivot hard here.

00:31:59.400 We're going to make ourselves

00:32:00.160 a nuclear energy plant.

00:32:02.000 And ha, ha, ha, ha, ha,

00:32:03.580 there's nothing the government

00:32:05.260 can do about it.

00:32:06.940 Well, apparently there is something

00:32:08.100 the government can do about it.

00:32:09.560 Because DeSantis just says

00:32:11.220 let's change the law

00:32:12.160 and apparently there's a good chance

00:32:13.880 it'll happen or happen.

00:32:15.040 I don't know where we are in this.

00:32:16.940 So if you bought into the hyperbole

00:32:21.120 that we had allowed Disney

00:32:23.660 to build nuclear capabilities,

00:32:29.300 you may have bought a little bit more

00:32:31.840 than you needed to buy on this.

00:32:33.840 You might have bought off,

00:32:35.640 chopped off a little bit too much there.

00:32:37.000 I don't think that was a risk.

00:32:40.300 In my opinion,

00:32:41.080 the entire deal

00:32:41.980 that the government had with Disney

00:32:43.380 was a brilliant deal

00:32:45.360 for the government.

00:32:46.820 It was a brilliant deal for Disney.

00:32:49.020 And it was apparently

00:32:49.880 a brilliant deal

00:32:50.860 for the citizens of Florida

00:32:53.180 because it created

00:32:54.560 an enormous business, Disney,

00:32:56.840 which brought in

00:32:58.180 all kinds of taxes and jobs.

00:33:00.140 And, you know,

00:33:00.640 it's like the shining star

00:33:02.300 of the state in some ways.

00:33:03.560 And so it was like 100% successful deal.

00:33:08.160 And DeSantis wants to unwind it

00:33:09.900 because now Disney is successful

00:33:12.080 and they've already built out their streets

00:33:13.980 and everything worked

00:33:16.340 and they didn't cost the government

00:33:17.740 any extra.

00:33:20.040 Of course, they had tax benefits.

00:33:22.880 But as Paul Collider points out,

00:33:25.160 he says,

00:33:26.840 Paul tweeted,

00:33:28.340 fair treatment is considered the minimum

00:33:30.300 for both small and big governments.

00:33:31.840 Do you buy that?

00:33:34.820 That the minimum requirement

00:33:36.680 of your government,

00:33:37.680 whether it's a big government

00:33:38.560 or a small one,

00:33:40.140 would be fair treatment.

00:33:43.260 To which I say,

00:33:44.300 no, it's the opposite.

00:33:46.160 Now, that would be a bug.

00:33:48.460 Fair treatment is communism.

00:33:50.940 That's what that is.

00:33:52.740 Fair treatment is critical race theory

00:33:55.280 and communism.

00:33:58.160 No, no, no.

00:33:59.160 We don't want our government to be fair.

00:34:00.480 You want your government to pick winners.

00:34:03.780 That's the only way it works.

00:34:05.660 It's literally the opposite of fair.

00:34:07.660 Do you know that the tax system

00:34:09.140 is designed to pick winners?

00:34:11.980 It's designed to incentivize you

00:34:14.500 to get a house.

00:34:16.040 It's not neutral on renting

00:34:18.340 versus home ownership.

00:34:19.960 It's totally unfair.

00:34:21.860 I remember when I was single and renting

00:34:23.860 and I would look at the tax law

00:34:26.000 and I'd say,

00:34:26.500 wait a minute,

00:34:26.880 I'm subsidizing people

00:34:29.340 who are having children

00:34:30.140 and buying houses

00:34:30.980 while I sit here alone

00:34:32.240 in my apartment.

00:34:33.640 That's exactly what was happening.

00:34:36.300 The government chose that

00:34:37.800 because they would rather

00:34:39.280 incentivize people like me

00:34:40.880 to go get a house and a family

00:34:43.080 so they make it a little easier.

00:34:45.760 To which I say,

00:34:47.220 well, that's probably

00:34:48.680 a pretty good idea.

00:34:49.540 Nothing is perfect.

00:34:52.500 Every system has its bumps.

00:34:55.240 But I actually once had a friend

00:34:57.520 who worked for the IRS

00:34:58.520 and he was the first person

00:35:00.320 who explained it to me.

00:35:01.220 This was decades ago.

00:35:02.540 He said,

00:35:02.940 the IRS is not about

00:35:04.680 just collecting your money.

00:35:07.120 It's a social policy engineering system

00:35:09.920 by design.

00:35:11.820 It's supposed to do that.

00:35:13.540 It does it to keep the economy strong.

00:35:16.000 It does it to rebalance things

00:35:17.880 wherever there's some major inequity.

00:35:20.600 Not fairness,

00:35:22.440 but like major inequity.

00:35:23.780 It'll try to fix some of that stuff.

00:35:25.740 So you would not want a fair system.

00:35:29.200 A fair system just lays there dead.

00:35:31.740 It would literally just lay there.

00:35:33.680 You want an unfair system

00:35:35.160 where let's say people

00:35:36.620 who were born with ambition

00:35:39.420 do better.

00:35:41.820 Imagine a system

00:35:42.780 where the people were born

00:35:43.760 with ambition

00:35:44.440 because I think that's mostly natural.

00:35:46.920 I don't think that's learned.

00:35:48.880 Imagine they couldn't do anything

00:35:50.160 because,

00:35:50.780 oh, it's not fair.

00:35:51.520 You've got all that ambition.

00:35:53.060 I think you should just sit there

00:35:54.360 like everybody else.

00:35:55.420 Don't do anything.

00:35:57.180 All right.

00:35:57.400 So, yeah.

00:35:58.000 Be careful what you wish for.

00:36:00.220 Unfairness is a feature.

00:36:01.360 It's not a bug.

00:36:03.020 Unfairness is what drives everything.

00:36:05.720 Right?

00:36:05.880 Nothing would move

00:36:07.120 if everything were fair.

00:36:09.080 All right.

00:36:12.340 All right.

00:36:13.400 The logical conclusion

00:36:14.920 of all social media would be

00:36:16.680 that people would be

00:36:18.920 eventually divided into two buckets.

00:36:21.540 And you can never be

00:36:22.720 in any other bucket.

00:36:24.260 That's the eventual,

00:36:26.240 obvious way

00:36:26.880 that social media is going.

00:36:28.500 Except you're thinking

00:36:29.340 it's probably left and right.

00:36:31.580 Except,

00:36:32.740 eh,

00:36:33.680 maybe.

00:36:34.100 But I think

00:36:35.480 the two buckets

00:36:36.100 are going to be

00:36:37.120 you can either be

00:36:37.740 a racist Republican

00:36:38.700 or a groomer Democrat.

00:36:41.240 Now,

00:36:41.480 you might say to yourself,

00:36:42.260 ha ha,

00:36:42.540 I'll beat the system

00:36:43.300 by being independent.

00:36:44.560 There are no independents.

00:36:46.840 That's not really a thing.

00:36:48.000 All of the independents 0.94

00:36:50.800 lean heavily one way

00:36:52.260 and vote reliably

00:36:53.760 in one direction.

00:36:55.060 The whole idea

00:36:55.940 that there are independents

00:36:57.120 is just one of the greatest myths.

00:37:00.540 There are only people

00:37:01.320 who don't want to tell you

00:37:02.220 what they are.

00:37:03.260 That's it.

00:37:04.560 There are people

00:37:05.040 who don't want you

00:37:05.620 to know what they are.

00:37:06.940 But they're still voting Republican.

00:37:09.280 They're still voting Democrat.

00:37:10.720 Every time.

00:37:12.520 Now,

00:37:13.000 I will allow

00:37:14.940 that when there's

00:37:15.820 a special case,

00:37:16.880 say a Reagan

00:37:18.460 or an Obama,

00:37:20.020 people will

00:37:21.020 get a little flexible then.

00:37:23.980 But those are special cases.

00:37:26.340 It has more to do

00:37:26.980 with the individual.

00:37:29.380 All right.

00:37:30.180 So there you are.

00:37:31.140 Those are your two choices.

00:37:32.420 And I would say

00:37:33.040 that

00:37:33.920 I initially hated

00:37:36.000 the whole groomer thing

00:37:38.000 that

00:37:38.380 people on the right

00:37:40.060 were using

00:37:40.560 to label the people

00:37:41.680 on the left.

00:37:43.120 But eventually

00:37:43.920 I got comfortable with it.

00:37:45.660 And the reason is

00:37:47.660 it's just

00:37:48.820 the mere insult

00:37:50.000 to racist.

00:37:52.020 If somebody

00:37:52.740 calls you a racist,

00:37:53.820 you're kind of dead

00:37:54.640 already,

00:37:55.180 aren't you?

00:37:56.240 Because

00:37:56.720 defending yourself

00:37:58.160 against that claim

00:37:59.200 just sort of

00:38:00.200 doesn't work.

00:38:01.540 It's like a stain

00:38:02.320 you can't wash off

00:38:03.320 even if you're innocent.

00:38:05.300 But groomer

00:38:06.180 has that same quality

00:38:07.220 even worse.

00:38:08.860 You don't ever

00:38:09.680 want to be called

00:38:10.260 a groomer

00:38:10.800 in public

00:38:11.900 or anywhere else,

00:38:12.800 really.

00:38:13.700 It's like,

00:38:14.420 well,

00:38:14.920 I can make my case

00:38:15.940 and wait,

00:38:17.460 I can't prove a negative.

00:38:19.280 That's the problem

00:38:19.980 with both of them.

00:38:21.040 You can't prove a negative.

00:38:22.860 So once the allegation

00:38:24.000 is made,

00:38:25.000 it's as if you're guilty

00:38:26.140 until proven innocent.

00:38:27.620 But you can't prove innocent

00:38:28.560 because you can't prove

00:38:29.880 something

00:38:30.240 doesn't happen

00:38:31.360 or didn't happen

00:38:32.020 or you're not thinking it.

00:38:33.060 So I have to say

00:38:39.120 that the groomer thing

00:38:40.340 is weirdly,

00:38:42.300 I don't know,

00:38:44.600 it's balanced at least.

00:38:46.160 I don't know

00:38:46.600 if it's good or fair.

00:38:47.780 I wouldn't say it's good.

00:38:49.220 But if you're dealing

00:38:51.160 with people

00:38:51.640 who have to label you

00:38:52.780 as racist,

00:38:54.000 labeling them groomers

00:38:55.220 in return,

00:38:56.420 it's not bad.

00:38:58.560 Persuasion-wise

00:38:59.460 and battle-wise,

00:39:00.860 it's not bad.

00:39:02.360 It's icky.

00:39:03.620 It's icky both ways.

00:39:05.840 But it's sort of like

00:39:06.580 one side used

00:39:07.620 chemical warfare.

00:39:10.040 I'm very much

00:39:11.040 against chemical warfare.

00:39:13.320 But if your enemy

00:39:14.380 uses it,

00:39:16.900 that does sort of

00:39:18.320 change the equation,

00:39:19.760 doesn't it?

00:39:20.120 Like, well,

00:39:21.220 you just used it.

00:39:23.720 So, anyway.

00:39:25.060 All of this

00:39:32.880 DeSantis stuff

00:39:33.640 is so interesting

00:39:34.400 because he's

00:39:34.960 completely taken over

00:39:36.240 the headlines,

00:39:38.540 the political headlines.

00:39:40.040 It's as if

00:39:40.840 nobody else exists.

00:39:44.320 Until and if

00:39:45.800 Trump enters

00:39:46.720 the arena again

00:39:47.860 for 2024

00:39:48.780 in a more direct way

00:39:50.920 than he already

00:39:51.440 has suggested.

00:39:52.300 then I suppose

00:39:54.060 Trump will

00:39:54.720 reemerge

00:39:55.860 as the primary

00:39:56.700 energy monster.

00:39:59.200 But it's

00:40:00.200 incredible how much

00:40:01.040 DeSantis is doing

00:40:02.020 as a governor.

00:40:03.640 Like, he never stops.

00:40:06.100 He says,

00:40:06.520 Scott, you don't know

00:40:07.300 Florida.

00:40:07.680 What about Florida?

00:40:09.640 What do you think

00:40:10.380 I don't know

00:40:10.860 about Florida?

00:40:11.520 I've spent a lot

00:40:12.080 of time in Florida.

00:40:13.680 My parents lived there

00:40:14.500 part of the year.

00:40:16.680 I think I know

00:40:17.560 about Florida

00:40:18.400 more than you think

00:40:19.120 I know.

00:40:20.100 Probably.

00:40:20.500 You know,

00:40:21.940 it's probably

00:40:23.260 the state

00:40:23.760 I've spent

00:40:24.180 more time in.

00:40:25.660 Yeah,

00:40:25.980 after California

00:40:27.840 it's the state

00:40:28.340 I've spent

00:40:28.700 more time in

00:40:29.340 as an adult.

00:40:34.100 All right.

00:40:35.340 Have you heard

00:40:36.020 the Kevin McCarthy

00:40:37.140 audio?

00:40:38.600 I guess he had

00:40:39.340 denied that this

00:40:40.060 exists,

00:40:40.720 but about the

00:40:41.900 January 6th thing

00:40:42.800 he was talking

00:40:43.400 allegedly about Trump

00:40:44.580 and said,

00:40:45.480 I've had it

00:40:45.840 with this guy.

00:40:46.620 What he did

00:40:47.020 is unacceptable.

00:40:48.000 No one can

00:40:48.520 defend it.

00:40:49.360 No one should.

00:40:51.040 Now,

00:40:51.960 that just sounds

00:40:52.880 like probably

00:40:54.540 most Republicans.

00:40:57.920 I'm not sure

00:40:58.700 that,

00:40:59.500 you don't think

00:40:59.980 most people

00:41:00.460 were saying

00:41:00.860 something like

00:41:01.400 that at the

00:41:02.420 same time?

00:41:04.300 I'll bet

00:41:05.000 he was compatible

00:41:06.280 with 90%

00:41:07.540 of Republicans

00:41:08.420 on that day.

00:41:10.100 That they were,

00:41:11.080 well,

00:41:11.340 let's say,

00:41:11.840 the ones who

00:41:12.600 were privy

00:41:13.520 to how things

00:41:14.360 were unwinding

00:41:15.040 behind the scenes.

00:41:16.300 I'm not talking

00:41:16.880 about people

00:41:17.300 who were just

00:41:17.600 watching the news.

00:41:18.480 I'm talking

00:41:19.640 about people

00:41:20.140 who were

00:41:20.480 Trump supporters

00:41:21.240 who were there

00:41:23.200 and witnessing

00:41:24.020 it in person.

00:41:26.260 I'll bet his

00:41:27.340 opinion was

00:41:28.100 the majority,

00:41:30.020 which is not

00:41:31.440 to say they

00:41:31.880 don't support

00:41:32.720 Trump and like

00:41:33.560 what he did.

00:41:34.220 It's not to say

00:41:34.760 they won't support

00:41:35.360 him again.

00:41:35.940 But I think

00:41:36.520 a lot of people

00:41:37.020 had the same

00:41:37.480 opinions,

00:41:37.980 like,

00:41:38.140 oh,

00:41:38.340 this is a

00:41:38.720 little too

00:41:38.960 far.

00:41:39.580 But then

00:41:40.100 in public,

00:41:40.520 it's harder

00:41:40.980 to say that

00:41:41.560 because it's

00:41:42.180 political

00:41:42.560 suicide.

00:41:46.740 All right.

00:41:47.900 So I think

00:41:48.560 this was not

00:41:49.140 much of a

00:41:49.700 story.

00:41:52.060 I don't know

00:41:52.840 who could

00:41:53.240 really survive

00:41:54.120 a private

00:41:54.820 phone call

00:41:55.420 being released.

00:41:57.780 How many

00:41:58.440 of you could

00:41:58.920 survive your

00:41:59.600 private phone

00:42:00.340 conversations

00:42:00.920 being released?

00:42:03.320 I guess we

00:42:04.200 don't talk

00:42:04.700 on the phone

00:42:05.060 a lot these

00:42:05.540 days,

00:42:05.880 but I mean,

00:42:06.620 think about it.

00:42:07.840 Just think of

00:42:08.360 the things

00:42:08.640 you've said

00:42:09.020 privately,

00:42:10.080 just in the

00:42:10.520 last 24 hours.

00:42:11.560 I don't

00:42:13.600 think I

00:42:13.920 could survive

00:42:14.420 any 24-hour

00:42:15.400 period of

00:42:16.660 having my

00:42:17.120 private

00:42:17.460 conversations

00:42:18.140 looked at

00:42:18.600 out of

00:42:18.920 context.

00:42:20.280 And I'm

00:42:20.800 not saying

00:42:21.180 that I know

00:42:22.200 there's some

00:42:22.560 horrible thing

00:42:23.180 in there.

00:42:23.680 I don't

00:42:24.020 know what

00:42:24.300 they would

00:42:24.540 find.

00:42:25.800 But if

00:42:26.280 you saw

00:42:26.620 out of

00:42:27.020 context,

00:42:28.360 it'd

00:42:28.900 probably be

00:42:29.320 pretty bad.

00:42:31.040 In

00:42:31.440 context,

00:42:32.060 I don't

00:42:32.320 think it

00:42:32.600 would be

00:42:32.760 bad.

00:42:33.020 I don't

00:42:33.240 think I've

00:42:33.520 said anything

00:42:33.920 that's bad

00:42:34.360 in context.

00:42:35.500 But out of

00:42:35.840 context.

00:42:39.820 All right.

00:42:41.080 Two Russian

00:42:41.960 oligarchs and

00:42:42.980 their entire

00:42:43.500 families were

00:42:44.300 found dead

00:42:45.340 within 24

00:42:46.140 hours.

00:42:48.600 So they

00:42:49.200 were Russian

00:42:49.600 gas oligarchs.

00:42:51.400 And in one

00:42:51.820 case, they

00:42:52.540 think it's a

00:42:53.100 murder-suicide,

00:42:54.140 but in the

00:42:54.420 other case, it

00:42:54.980 looks like just

00:42:55.500 murder.

00:42:56.420 And in both

00:42:56.940 cases, the

00:42:57.500 entire families

00:42:58.220 were killed.

00:43:01.900 Do you feel

00:43:02.680 like somebody's

00:43:03.380 trying to send

00:43:03.940 them a message?

00:43:06.120 But here's the

00:43:06.700 interesting part.

00:43:07.420 Is it

00:43:08.800 Putin?

00:43:10.600 Or is it

00:43:11.340 Zelensky? 0.85

00:43:14.440 How would

00:43:15.060 you know?

00:43:16.580 What would

00:43:17.220 be the best

00:43:17.860 play for

00:43:18.460 Zelensky? 0.85

00:43:20.440 To murder

00:43:21.180 oligarchs. 0.98

00:43:23.340 Do you know

00:43:23.700 why?

00:43:25.700 Because they

00:43:26.320 would blame

00:43:26.720 Putin.

00:43:28.840 Am I right?

00:43:30.320 They would

00:43:30.920 blame Putin.

00:43:32.580 Do you think

00:43:33.040 that anybody

00:43:33.520 is seeing the

00:43:34.140 oligarchs being 1.00

00:43:34.840 murdered and

00:43:35.420 saying, oh, I

00:43:36.060 think that's

00:43:36.560 Ukraine?

00:43:37.940 No, I'm not

00:43:38.420 saying it's

00:43:38.820 Ukraine.

00:43:39.640 I have no

00:43:40.700 knowledge or

00:43:42.560 anything like

00:43:42.980 that.

00:43:43.380 No data, no

00:43:44.080 evidence, no

00:43:45.380 indirect evidence,

00:43:46.760 no whiff of

00:43:47.280 evidence, nothing

00:43:47.780 like that.

00:43:48.700 I'm just saying,

00:43:49.840 I'm just saying,

00:43:51.940 if you wanted to

00:43:52.620 win the war and

00:43:53.300 you were serious

00:43:53.880 about it, I

00:43:54.860 kept wondering

00:43:55.420 why Ukraine has 0.98

00:43:56.280 not gone after

00:43:56.960 civilians in

00:43:57.780 Moscow and in

00:43:58.680 Russia.

00:43:59.940 If they want to

00:44:00.740 win.

00:44:01.400 Like, I don't

00:44:01.880 know why they

00:44:02.360 have any

00:44:03.500 boundaries.

00:44:03.900 boundaries, but

00:44:05.060 if you imagine

00:44:05.700 that they don't

00:44:06.260 have boundaries

00:44:06.960 because it's

00:44:07.780 war, it's 0.87

00:44:09.860 really about what

00:44:10.420 you can get

00:44:10.880 away with.

00:44:12.880 They could get

00:44:13.660 away with this

00:44:14.160 probably.

00:44:17.920 Yeah, if the

00:44:18.940 entire family is

00:44:19.880 killed, it's not

00:44:21.320 a murder-suicide.

00:44:23.640 Yeah, I don't

00:44:24.660 think so.

00:44:26.400 You know, they

00:44:26.920 may have made

00:44:27.720 the oligarch

00:44:29.760 shoot himself in

00:44:30.520 the head.

00:44:30.860 They may have

00:44:31.960 done that, but

00:44:33.480 it wasn't

00:44:33.800 suicide.

00:44:35.120 So, I think

00:44:37.680 we can rule out

00:44:38.440 anything but

00:44:39.160 foul play, and

00:44:40.800 if I had to

00:44:41.420 guess, this would

00:44:42.660 be a bad play

00:44:43.420 for Putin because

00:44:44.220 they were not

00:44:44.720 even, apparently

00:44:45.900 they were not

00:44:46.460 even critics, as

00:44:48.120 far as we know,

00:44:49.020 at least publicly.

00:44:50.220 They may have

00:44:50.780 been plotting

00:44:51.340 something behind

00:44:52.160 the scenes, so

00:44:53.460 the smart people

00:44:54.180 are saying, oh,

00:44:54.800 this is Putin

00:44:55.380 sending a message

00:44:56.280 to the other

00:44:57.360 oligarchs to, 0.93

00:44:58.780 you know, not

00:44:59.300 try anything about

00:45:00.300 him, but why

00:45:01.520 would you kill

00:45:02.060 the two oligarchs

00:45:02.940 who weren't

00:45:03.340 making any

00:45:03.940 public noise?

00:45:05.820 Apparently, his

00:45:06.700 pattern, Putin's

00:45:07.840 pattern, is to

00:45:08.560 go after the 1.00

00:45:09.320 few biggest

00:45:11.080 problem oligarchs,

00:45:13.500 just go at

00:45:14.020 them really hard,

00:45:14.900 and it makes

00:45:15.320 all the other

00:45:16.120 oligarchs fall 1.00

00:45:16.960 in line.

00:45:18.000 It would be out

00:45:18.840 of his pattern

00:45:19.520 to go after the

00:45:21.140 entire families.

00:45:22.440 First of all, he

00:45:23.100 hasn't done

00:45:23.520 families, has he?

00:45:25.100 Has Putin killed

00:45:25.840 any families?

00:45:26.400 I think he

00:45:29.100 goes after just

00:45:29.780 the critic.

00:45:31.880 Somebody said

00:45:32.340 yes.

00:45:33.760 Did you say

00:45:34.420 yes, he's

00:45:34.840 killed the

00:45:35.120 family?

00:45:36.280 Or has

00:45:36.660 been alleged?

00:45:37.900 Is that

00:45:38.200 alleged in

00:45:38.840 any case?

00:45:42.180 I'm not

00:45:42.760 aware of it.

00:45:43.860 So, I guess

00:45:45.220 I need a fact

00:45:45.800 check on that.

00:45:46.840 But I'm going

00:45:47.500 to rule that

00:45:48.120 this is not

00:45:48.780 in Putin's

00:45:49.600 pattern.

00:45:50.560 I'm going to

00:45:51.040 rule that it's 0.60

00:45:51.660 not a coincidence

00:45:52.620 or an accident.

00:45:54.020 I'm going to

00:45:54.520 rule that it's 0.60

00:45:55.080 a message, and

00:45:56.800 I would say

00:45:57.380 the most likely

00:45:58.260 sender of the

00:45:58.920 message would

00:45:59.520 be somebody

00:46:00.000 who's pro-Ukraine.

00:46:03.140 Boom.

00:46:05.300 What do you

00:46:05.960 think?

00:46:11.680 He plutoniumed

00:46:12.900 a father-daughter

00:46:13.700 pair in Britain.

00:46:15.180 Oh, okay.

00:46:16.300 Well, I guess

00:46:16.740 we can't rule

00:46:17.280 that out.

00:46:18.280 But we also

00:46:19.060 don't know if

00:46:19.940 the daughter

00:46:21.820 was collateral

00:46:22.920 or she was 0.61

00:46:23.860 targeted.

00:46:24.300 Was she

00:46:25.040 targeted or

00:46:25.740 just collateral?

00:46:27.520 I mean, it's

00:46:28.000 bad enough

00:46:28.420 either way, but

00:46:29.100 sounds like

00:46:30.440 collateral.

00:46:33.580 Oh, somebody

00:46:33.960 says, yes,

00:46:34.480 the daughter

00:46:35.020 was a target.

00:46:36.160 Okay.

00:46:36.980 Was she

00:46:37.320 also a

00:46:38.020 critic?

00:46:46.520 Oh, Putin

00:46:47.600 told them to

00:46:48.180 cut off German 1.00

00:46:48.880 natural gas

00:46:49.840 and they

00:46:50.240 didn't?

00:46:50.840 somebody

00:46:52.380 saying that

00:46:53.080 they didn't

00:46:54.120 cut off the

00:46:54.620 gas to

00:46:55.040 Germany so 0.93

00:46:55.560 they got

00:46:55.840 killed?

00:46:56.700 I don't

00:46:57.160 know about

00:46:57.980 that.

00:46:59.180 That feels

00:46:59.660 a little too

00:47:00.180 on the nose.

00:47:04.580 Distractions,

00:47:05.880 their

00:47:06.020 ideological

00:47:06.640 murders,

00:47:09.940 anti-corruption

00:47:12.860 message.

00:47:13.420 I don't know

00:47:15.440 if this is the

00:47:16.080 time to make

00:47:16.580 an anti-corruption

00:47:17.400 message, at least

00:47:18.640 that way.

00:47:20.840 All right.

00:47:21.260 Well, I

00:47:22.680 guess that's a

00:47:23.660 mystery.

00:47:26.740 And that

00:47:30.840 is about all

00:47:32.340 that's happening

00:47:32.780 except let me

00:47:33.660 give you an

00:47:33.960 update on the

00:47:34.720 battle in

00:47:35.160 Ukraine.

00:47:36.940 In movie

00:47:37.700 one, Russia

00:47:38.640 is continuing

00:47:39.680 its iron grip

00:47:41.860 on the country

00:47:42.440 and it's just

00:47:43.300 a matter of

00:47:43.720 time before

00:47:44.260 they have

00:47:45.300 everything they

00:47:45.880 want.

00:47:46.180 In the

00:47:47.500 other movie,

00:47:48.840 the plucky

00:47:50.500 Ukrainians are 1.00

00:47:51.560 holding out

00:47:52.800 and no

00:47:53.600 major cities

00:47:54.260 have been

00:47:54.660 controlled

00:47:55.180 because there's

00:47:56.680 at least one

00:47:57.200 Ukrainian fighter

00:47:58.040 in Mariupol

00:47:59.300 or wherever

00:48:00.260 and therefore

00:48:03.120 they're doing

00:48:03.920 great at

00:48:04.440 holding out.

00:48:06.240 Which one

00:48:07.140 is correct?

00:48:09.240 Well,

00:48:11.620 somebody has a

00:48:13.060 headache and

00:48:13.600 would like me

00:48:14.100 to hypnotize

00:48:14.800 the man of

00:48:15.220 it.

00:48:16.820 I can do

00:48:17.580 that.

00:48:18.700 Would you

00:48:19.000 like to be

00:48:19.340 hypnotized out

00:48:19.940 of your

00:48:20.140 headaches too?

00:48:23.080 It just

00:48:23.580 might take a

00:48:24.080 while.

00:48:26.020 All right.

00:48:26.940 All your

00:48:27.540 headaches are

00:48:28.000 going away.

00:48:29.480 Some faster

00:48:30.280 than others.

00:48:32.100 Go.

00:48:33.820 Just like

00:48:34.440 that.

00:48:35.660 I'll bet you

00:48:36.220 every one of

00:48:36.700 your headaches

00:48:37.060 will go away. 0.71

00:48:37.860 Again,

00:48:39.040 maybe not right

00:48:39.800 away, but

00:48:41.340 check in with

00:48:41.880 me in a week

00:48:42.460 and I'll bet

00:48:42.900 every one of

00:48:43.420 you, your

00:48:44.080 headaches is

00:48:44.540 gone.

00:48:45.800 You don't

00:48:46.100 believe it?

00:48:47.400 You just

00:48:47.800 try.

00:48:49.260 All right.

00:48:51.340 So the

00:48:52.860 sneeze trick

00:48:53.540 is working.

00:48:56.400 People talking

00:48:57.320 themselves out of

00:48:58.160 sneezing by doing

00:48:58.960 a fake sneeze.

00:49:00.440 People are

00:49:01.000 actually making

00:49:01.600 that work.

00:49:03.280 Amazing.

00:49:05.520 Yeah.

00:49:06.120 Yeah.

00:49:06.440 Those of you

00:49:07.540 who tried it,

00:49:08.040 you're kind of

00:49:08.780 blown away,

00:49:09.460 aren't you?

00:49:09.760 And I

00:49:10.900 heard another

00:49:11.340 trick on

00:49:13.040 Twitter from

00:49:14.140 somebody who

00:49:14.720 for years has

00:49:15.900 been doing the

00:49:16.640 following technique.

00:49:19.260 They just

00:49:19.940 think about

00:49:20.500 sneezing and

00:49:21.120 they exhale.

00:49:22.600 So they just

00:49:23.100 think about

00:49:23.500 sneezing and

00:49:24.080 you go,

00:49:24.620 ah, and

00:49:26.000 the sneeze

00:49:27.060 instinct goes

00:49:27.700 away.

00:49:29.640 Okay.

00:49:30.360 I haven't

00:49:30.760 tried that one,

00:49:31.440 but maybe it

00:49:32.340 does work.

00:49:33.320 Mind over

00:49:33.780 matter.

00:49:34.060 The big

00:49:36.800 difference

00:49:37.180 between a

00:49:38.060 hypnotist

00:49:38.680 and everybody

00:49:41.180 else is that

00:49:42.500 everybody knows

00:49:43.520 that people are

00:49:44.540 easily persuaded

00:49:45.600 and fooled by

00:49:46.680 things and

00:49:47.340 you all know

00:49:48.680 that we can

00:49:49.140 follow the

00:49:50.720 leader and

00:49:51.500 we get pulled

00:49:52.920 into patterns

00:49:53.700 and stuff like

00:49:54.380 that.

00:49:54.780 So you all

00:49:55.200 know the

00:49:55.520 basics of

00:49:56.100 it.

00:49:56.780 Like everything

00:49:57.260 a hypnotist

00:49:57.840 knows, most

00:49:58.980 people know.

00:50:00.400 What you

00:50:01.020 don't know

00:50:01.740 is how strong

00:50:02.980 it is.

00:50:04.060 And you

00:50:04.440 can't know

00:50:05.060 it.

00:50:06.120 Again, this

00:50:06.860 is in the

00:50:07.220 category of

00:50:07.720 things that

00:50:08.080 can't be

00:50:08.400 communicated.

00:50:09.940 If it

00:50:10.340 could be

00:50:10.660 communicated,

00:50:11.380 it would

00:50:11.540 probably be

00:50:11.920 illegal.

00:50:13.640 I'm pretty

00:50:14.240 sure the

00:50:14.560 only reason

00:50:14.940 hypnosis is

00:50:15.680 even legal is

00:50:17.460 because nobody

00:50:18.040 can explain

00:50:18.620 it.

00:50:19.380 The moment

00:50:19.780 you can

00:50:20.080 explain it,

00:50:20.660 I think

00:50:20.860 people would

00:50:21.240 say,

00:50:21.660 I'm not

00:50:22.300 so sure

00:50:22.680 about this.

00:50:25.020 So maybe

00:50:26.160 it's good.

00:50:27.620 Maybe it's

00:50:28.040 good that you

00:50:28.400 can't explain

00:50:28.880 it.

00:50:31.340 Best place

00:50:32.000 to learn

00:50:32.300 hypnosis?

00:50:33.140 I have no

00:50:33.560 idea.

00:50:34.060 And here's

00:50:35.020 the problem.

00:50:37.580 A good

00:50:38.280 hypnotist is

00:50:39.120 going to have

00:50:39.800 no problem

00:50:40.360 getting good

00:50:40.940 reviews.

00:50:42.820 Am I

00:50:43.440 right?

00:50:44.440 Might not

00:50:45.040 fix any

00:50:45.520 problems,

00:50:46.080 but could

00:50:46.440 certainly get

00:50:47.040 a good

00:50:47.280 review.

00:50:49.080 So it's

00:50:49.720 hard to know

00:50:50.640 because normally

00:50:51.680 the way you

00:50:52.200 would judge

00:50:52.920 anything is

00:50:53.520 by the

00:50:53.840 reviews.

00:50:55.120 And you

00:50:55.700 couldn't

00:50:55.940 really trust

00:50:56.440 it with a

00:50:57.080 hypnotist.

00:50:57.560 I think

00:50:58.940 it's the

00:50:59.200 only

00:50:59.340 category

00:50:59.880 in which

00:51:00.520 you can't

00:51:00.860 trust

00:51:01.160 anything

00:51:02.340 that people

00:51:02.760 say about

00:51:03.220 them.

00:51:06.060 Would you

00:51:06.580 say politicians

00:51:07.240 are hypnotists?

00:51:08.140 No,

00:51:09.140 generally not.

00:51:09.940 In fact,

00:51:10.260 most of them

00:51:10.700 are terrible

00:51:11.140 at persuasion,

00:51:12.080 just terrible.

00:51:12.620 yet we can

00:51:18.380 trust you.

00:51:19.740 Well,

00:51:20.000 here's the

00:51:20.340 thing you

00:51:20.640 can trust.

00:51:22.260 Hypnosis

00:51:22.740 doesn't make

00:51:23.720 you do

00:51:24.040 things you're

00:51:24.860 not inclined

00:51:25.520 to do

00:51:25.860 anyway.

00:51:28.900 Brainwashing

00:51:29.500 does.

00:51:31.140 Brainwashing

00:51:31.720 does.

00:51:32.220 So if I

00:51:32.780 were doing

00:51:33.120 what the

00:51:33.480 government

00:51:33.800 is doing,

00:51:34.860 making you

00:51:35.400 stand and

00:51:36.060 pledge

00:51:36.440 allegiance,

00:51:37.260 that's just

00:51:38.940 brainwashing.

00:51:39.560 So that

00:51:40.640 will make

00:51:41.160 you do

00:51:41.420 something

00:51:41.680 that you

00:51:41.980 hadn't

00:51:42.240 thought

00:51:42.600 about

00:51:42.840 doing.

00:51:44.320 But generally

00:51:45.180 the form

00:51:46.440 that I

00:51:46.760 use is

00:51:47.440 people getting

00:51:48.360 more of what

00:51:48.860 they already

00:51:49.220 want,

00:51:50.340 which is

00:51:50.760 the good

00:51:51.340 kind.

00:51:52.500 So helping

00:51:52.980 you be more

00:51:53.700 effective and

00:51:54.460 relax or

00:51:55.600 have higher

00:51:56.720 competence as

00:51:58.820 something you

00:51:59.240 wanted to do

00:51:59.720 anyway.

00:52:00.820 Feeling better

00:52:01.620 about yourself,

00:52:02.880 having more

00:52:03.380 self-esteem,

00:52:04.800 being more

00:52:05.180 confident.

00:52:07.080 Those are

00:52:07.740 the things

00:52:08.080 that I work

00:52:08.520 on.

00:52:08.700 So should

00:52:09.700 you be

00:52:10.100 afraid of

00:52:10.520 those?

00:52:11.540 See, the

00:52:11.860 thing is that

00:52:12.420 if I tried

00:52:12.940 to brainwash

00:52:15.220 you or use

00:52:16.120 the strong

00:52:16.660 form of

00:52:17.140 hypnosis to

00:52:18.700 convince you to

00:52:19.740 do something

00:52:20.120 you didn't

00:52:20.500 want to do,

00:52:21.680 I would have

00:52:22.400 to tell you

00:52:22.840 what it is.

00:52:24.040 Like, you

00:52:24.360 would be

00:52:24.880 aware of

00:52:25.400 what it

00:52:25.640 was long

00:52:26.300 before you

00:52:26.780 were convinced.

00:52:28.060 And why

00:52:28.460 would you

00:52:28.780 subject

00:52:29.060 yourself to

00:52:29.660 that?

00:52:31.200 Now, you

00:52:31.700 can't help

00:52:32.240 but subject

00:52:32.820 yourself to

00:52:33.600 school

00:52:34.560 propaganda,

00:52:36.560 because the

00:52:37.520 kids go to

00:52:38.000 school and

00:52:38.680 all the

00:52:39.460 schools are

00:52:39.860 doing the

00:52:40.140 same thing.

00:52:41.520 They're

00:52:41.840 propagandizing

00:52:42.780 them and

00:52:43.340 brainwashing

00:52:43.820 them in

00:52:44.060 similar ways.

00:52:45.000 So there's

00:52:45.300 some stuff

00:52:45.680 you just

00:52:45.940 can't avoid.

00:52:47.760 But you're

00:52:48.420 always told

00:52:48.980 what you're

00:52:49.420 going to be

00:52:49.700 convinced of

00:52:50.240 before it

00:52:50.660 happens.

00:52:51.680 So there's

00:52:52.120 always a

00:52:52.480 point where

00:52:52.860 you can

00:52:53.200 change your

00:52:53.700 mind or

00:52:54.160 run away.

00:52:55.680 If I

00:52:56.280 told you,

00:52:56.780 all right,

00:52:57.120 today,

00:52:58.520 well, actually,

00:52:58.940 I think I

00:52:59.240 have to,

00:52:59.780 there are

00:53:00.120 probably times

00:53:00.840 I've told

00:53:01.260 you directly

00:53:01.760 what I'm

00:53:02.100 going to

00:53:02.440 persuade you.

00:53:03.020 but I

00:53:04.520 tell you

00:53:04.800 directly.

00:53:05.680 If I

00:53:06.520 tried to

00:53:06.880 do it in

00:53:07.240 some weird

00:53:07.680 indirect way

00:53:08.500 where you

00:53:09.360 didn't even

00:53:09.740 know the

00:53:10.060 topic, like

00:53:11.320 I'm trying to

00:53:11.820 convince you

00:53:12.280 of something

00:53:12.660 without even

00:53:13.120 telling you

00:53:13.460 what the

00:53:13.720 topic is,

00:53:14.800 I don't

00:53:15.660 think I

00:53:16.000 could pull

00:53:16.300 that off.

00:53:18.020 I mean,

00:53:18.380 it's not

00:53:18.820 impossible, but

00:53:20.500 it would be

00:53:21.360 more work

00:53:21.860 than I'd

00:53:22.180 want to

00:53:22.400 put into

00:53:22.720 it.

00:53:22.920 Can you

00:53:28.920 name any

00:53:29.460 good

00:53:29.800 hiddenists?

00:53:30.420 I can

00:53:30.660 look up

00:53:31.060 in here

00:53:31.540 other than

00:53:32.060 you.

00:53:33.760 Well,

00:53:34.320 what does

00:53:34.780 good mean?

00:53:36.540 You know,

00:53:36.740 anybody who's

00:53:37.260 a stage

00:53:37.700 magician is

00:53:38.340 going to

00:53:38.520 be good

00:53:38.880 at it

00:53:39.220 because they

00:53:39.560 do it

00:53:39.780 in public.

00:53:41.140 So I

00:53:41.340 just don't

00:53:42.280 know if

00:53:42.520 that's what

00:53:42.860 you mean

00:53:43.120 by good.

00:53:48.260 When was

00:53:48.840 the last

00:53:49.080 time adults

00:53:49.640 had to

00:53:50.000 stand for

00:53:50.520 the pledge?

00:53:52.120 It's

00:53:52.280 been a

00:53:52.560 while.

00:53:53.260 I mean,

00:53:53.660 I think

00:53:54.040 I've only

00:53:54.360 seen it

00:53:54.700 in places

00:53:55.040 like the

00:53:56.020 VFW

00:53:56.820 Hall and

00:53:57.460 stuff like

00:53:57.880 that lately.

00:53:58.800 But I

00:53:59.060 don't get

00:53:59.340 out that

00:53:59.680 much,

00:54:00.000 so I

00:54:00.200 don't know.

00:54:02.140 Do you

00:54:02.660 stand for

00:54:03.080 the pledge

00:54:03.420 of allegiance?

00:54:04.040 Always.

00:54:05.060 Always.

00:54:06.260 Yeah.

00:54:06.780 Because you're

00:54:07.520 not really

00:54:07.820 standing for

00:54:08.440 the pledge

00:54:08.840 of allegiance.

00:54:09.900 You're

00:54:10.180 standing to

00:54:10.880 respect the

00:54:11.740 country and

00:54:12.280 the other

00:54:12.560 people in

00:54:13.000 it.

00:54:13.680 So to

00:54:14.040 me,

00:54:14.240 that's

00:54:14.440 just

00:54:14.780 respect.

00:54:17.320 And I

00:54:17.660 think that

00:54:18.060 the system

00:54:18.740 works better

00:54:19.400 when we

00:54:20.420 respect the

00:54:21.360 country and

00:54:22.120 all the

00:54:22.580 people in

00:54:22.960 it.

00:54:23.920 So to

00:54:24.320 me,

00:54:24.540 that's what

00:54:24.800 that is.

00:54:26.320 And I

00:54:26.860 would do

00:54:27.180 that without

00:54:28.700 a pledge.

00:54:30.020 If somebody

00:54:30.660 just said,

00:54:31.800 can we stand

00:54:33.540 for your

00:54:33.920 country?

00:54:34.640 I'd be like,

00:54:35.180 sure,

00:54:35.680 absolutely.

00:54:36.640 Totally stand

00:54:37.260 for my

00:54:37.580 country.

00:54:38.920 Yeah, I

00:54:39.140 don't mind

00:54:39.420 that at all.

00:54:39.820 So that's

00:54:41.080 actually a

00:54:41.520 perfect example

00:54:42.160 of, I've

00:54:43.200 never resisted

00:54:44.140 the pledge

00:54:44.540 of allegiance,

00:54:45.200 although it's

00:54:45.600 just pure

00:54:46.080 brainwashing.

00:54:47.620 I've never

00:54:48.300 resisted it

00:54:48.940 because it's

00:54:49.320 just sort of

00:54:49.900 a good

00:54:50.160 brainwashing.

00:54:51.260 People are

00:54:52.560 better off if

00:54:53.620 they have some

00:54:54.080 allegiance to

00:54:54.680 their country.

00:54:55.300 It's just a

00:54:55.720 better system.

00:54:58.060 Is all

00:54:58.720 brainwashing

00:54:59.220 bad?

00:54:59.660 No, it

00:55:00.520 is not.

00:55:01.700 Not at

00:55:02.300 all.

00:55:02.480 In fact,

00:55:05.560 I'm pro-religion

00:55:06.940 in general,

00:55:07.580 even if I

00:55:08.700 don't believe

00:55:09.300 in that

00:55:09.560 religion.

00:55:10.720 Now, given

00:55:11.860 that there

00:55:12.180 are lots of

00:55:12.560 different religions,

00:55:13.360 they can't

00:55:13.720 all be right.

00:55:15.500 So even if

00:55:16.380 you imagine

00:55:16.840 the one you

00:55:17.300 picked as the

00:55:17.860 right one,

00:55:18.720 you'd have to

00:55:19.260 say, well,

00:55:19.640 all these other

00:55:20.080 people are

00:55:20.440 getting brainwashed.

00:55:22.320 But are

00:55:23.860 they being

00:55:24.180 hurt?

00:55:25.580 Mostly

00:55:26.020 religion works,

00:55:27.220 at least the

00:55:27.840 dominant religions,

00:55:29.220 the way we

00:55:29.640 practiced them

00:55:30.220 in 2022.

00:55:31.380 They mostly

00:55:32.000 work.

00:55:33.060 Make people

00:55:33.480 happier.

00:55:34.060 Give them

00:55:34.320 a sense of

00:55:36.260 organization,

00:55:37.880 a sense of

00:55:38.780 certainty.

00:55:40.160 A whole bunch

00:55:40.680 of benefits.

00:55:41.400 Social,

00:55:42.140 family,

00:55:43.240 all kinds

00:55:43.660 of benefits.

00:55:45.960 All right.

00:55:49.760 WenHub is

00:55:50.540 no longer

00:55:51.300 alive,

00:55:52.020 unfortunately.

00:55:52.980 I've been

00:55:53.460 getting that

00:55:53.840 question lately.

00:55:55.720 So it

00:55:56.340 didn't make

00:55:56.720 it.

00:55:58.220 Didn't make

00:55:58.920 it through

00:55:59.140 the pandemic.

00:55:59.640 pandemic.

00:56:01.800 But I

00:56:05.260 don't think

00:56:05.540 the pandemic

00:56:05.960 was the

00:56:06.400 reason exactly.

00:56:08.560 Freedom

00:56:08.960 forever,

00:56:09.600 Q

00:56:09.840 holdovers.

00:56:13.800 Coinbase is

00:56:14.480 cracking.

00:56:14.800 I don't know

00:56:15.140 about the

00:56:15.560 Coinbase story.

00:56:19.220 Am I

00:56:19.840 romantically

00:56:20.820 retired?

00:56:21.360 What does

00:56:23.080 that mean?

00:56:30.320 Somebody says

00:56:31.040 not sure about

00:56:31.700 Islam working.

00:56:32.480 Well, you'd

00:56:34.280 have to talk

00:56:34.700 to the people

00:56:35.140 who practice

00:56:35.600 it.

00:56:36.560 I would

00:56:37.060 guess that

00:56:37.600 if you

00:56:37.840 talk to

00:56:38.360 people who

00:56:39.720 practice

00:56:40.640 Islam and

00:56:41.620 they're not

00:56:42.000 in an

00:56:42.980 oppressive

00:56:43.460 regime where

00:56:44.340 maybe things

00:56:45.000 are different,

00:56:45.940 if they're

00:56:46.240 just practicing

00:56:46.900 it on their

00:56:47.380 own because

00:56:47.780 they like

00:56:48.160 it, I'll

00:56:48.640 bet it's

00:56:48.900 working.

00:56:49.840 Because I

00:56:52.460 can't imagine

00:56:52.920 it doesn't

00:56:53.380 work for

00:56:54.340 some people.

00:56:54.860 Oh, so

00:57:07.280 somebody was

00:57:07.680 saying they

00:57:08.000 were raised

00:57:08.500 in a religion

00:57:09.040 that forbade

00:57:10.000 alcohol and

00:57:11.120 tobacco and

00:57:11.880 drugs.

00:57:12.840 It probably

00:57:13.220 helped.

00:57:14.140 I think so.

00:57:16.900 By the way,

00:57:17.740 here's one of

00:57:18.240 the strongest

00:57:19.900 policies I

00:57:20.980 would run

00:57:22.400 on if I

00:57:22.940 ran for

00:57:23.300 president.

00:57:23.700 And the

00:57:25.000 policy would

00:57:25.600 be to not

00:57:26.540 allow smartphones

00:57:27.560 to kids

00:57:29.460 under, I'll

00:57:30.900 pick an age,

00:57:31.640 I'm going to

00:57:31.920 say 16,

00:57:34.600 maybe 18,

00:57:37.400 under 16.

00:57:39.120 I would let

00:57:39.740 them have a

00:57:40.360 phone that

00:57:40.720 could make a

00:57:41.120 phone call and

00:57:41.820 could text.

00:57:43.360 So they

00:57:43.920 could text all

00:57:44.540 they want,

00:57:44.900 they could text

00:57:45.380 all day long.

00:57:46.300 But they

00:57:46.600 wouldn't be

00:57:46.880 able to see

00:57:47.240 social media

00:57:47.900 with their

00:57:48.800 phone.

00:57:51.220 And the

00:57:51.860 reason is

00:57:52.320 that phones

00:57:52.860 just destroy

00:57:53.600 young minds.

00:57:54.560 It seems

00:57:54.880 obvious to

00:57:55.420 me.

00:57:56.120 Now,

00:57:57.520 there's lots

00:57:58.920 of precedent.

00:58:00.080 We don't

00:58:00.520 let them 0.55

00:58:00.860 drink,

00:58:01.300 we don't

00:58:01.520 let them 0.55

00:58:01.880 drive,

00:58:02.500 we don't

00:58:02.720 let them 0.55

00:58:03.100 there's lots

00:58:04.040 of stuff

00:58:04.360 kids can't

00:58:04.940 do because

00:58:05.360 their brains

00:58:05.860 are not

00:58:06.180 ready.

00:58:07.920 So if

00:58:08.980 this is not

00:58:09.500 the most

00:58:09.840 perfect example

00:58:10.660 of brains

00:58:11.140 not ready,

00:58:11.940 I've never

00:58:12.520 seen one.

00:58:13.880 Have you

00:58:14.080 ever tried

00:58:14.400 to take a

00:58:14.920 smartphone away

00:58:15.900 from a

00:58:16.260 14-year-old?

00:58:19.240 Has anybody

00:58:20.700 tried to do

00:58:21.260 that, like

00:58:21.820 as a

00:58:22.120 punishment?

00:58:22.400 It's not

00:58:24.920 a punishment.

00:58:26.600 It's torture.

00:58:29.340 It's not

00:58:30.280 like you're

00:58:33.180 on restrictions

00:58:34.200 for a week

00:58:34.880 or something.

00:58:35.560 It's actually

00:58:36.360 like torture.

00:58:37.920 When you

00:58:38.420 see the

00:58:39.040 pain that

00:58:40.600 they're in

00:58:40.960 when they

00:58:41.280 don't have

00:58:41.580 access to

00:58:42.200 their crack,

00:58:43.360 their phone,

00:58:44.860 it's like you

00:58:45.860 took heroin

00:58:46.760 away from a

00:58:47.360 junkie.

00:58:48.140 It is not

00:58:48.740 like you

00:58:49.280 can't ride

00:58:49.700 your bicycle.

00:58:50.240 You get

00:58:51.760 that, right?

00:58:52.740 There's no

00:58:53.440 correlation

00:58:54.020 between, all

00:58:54.800 right, you

00:58:55.060 can't ride

00:58:55.440 your bicycle

00:58:55.980 for a week

00:58:56.600 and I'm

00:58:57.980 going to

00:58:58.140 take your

00:58:58.500 smartphone

00:58:58.880 away.

00:58:59.340 They are

00:58:59.720 not the

00:59:00.420 same thing.

00:59:01.240 Not even

00:59:01.820 close.

00:59:02.640 One will

00:59:03.420 hurt a

00:59:04.180 child.

00:59:05.200 They actually

00:59:05.740 look hurt,

00:59:06.700 like damaged,

00:59:08.120 because you're

00:59:08.780 taking their

00:59:09.160 drug away and

00:59:10.300 they're addicted.

00:59:11.020 But you take

00:59:11.440 their bike away

00:59:12.260 and they're

00:59:12.560 just to have

00:59:12.940 less fun.

00:59:13.460 Now, that's

00:59:15.580 more like a

00:59:16.540 proper punishment.

00:59:17.920 All right, you

00:59:18.460 don't have as

00:59:18.800 much fun.

00:59:19.840 But taking

00:59:20.320 their drug

00:59:20.820 away that

00:59:21.440 they're

00:59:21.600 addicted to,

00:59:23.240 their only

00:59:23.660 source of

00:59:24.140 dopamine,

00:59:24.900 they think,

00:59:26.220 that's like

00:59:27.740 cruel.

00:59:29.560 And a lot

00:59:30.820 of parents

00:59:31.160 can't handle

00:59:32.020 it because

00:59:32.440 they need to

00:59:32.940 call the

00:59:33.220 kids anyway.

00:59:34.000 So that's

00:59:34.220 why the

00:59:34.840 kids at

00:59:35.200 least need

00:59:35.540 a phone

00:59:36.260 that they

00:59:36.840 can text.

00:59:38.460 What about

00:59:39.120 schools?

00:59:39.920 How many

00:59:40.400 kids are

00:59:40.780 using their

00:59:41.380 phones in

00:59:42.140 class?

00:59:43.460 Those of

00:59:46.300 you who

00:59:46.420 have kids,

00:59:48.040 do your

00:59:48.320 kids tell

00:59:48.720 you that

00:59:49.020 they're

00:59:49.180 using their

00:59:49.600 phones all

00:59:50.060 day in

00:59:50.340 class?

00:59:52.260 Depends

00:59:52.660 on the

00:59:52.900 class.

00:59:54.060 Sometimes I

00:59:54.680 think you're

00:59:55.040 not allowed

00:59:55.420 to have it.

00:59:56.000 But if

00:59:56.280 they're allowed

00:59:56.620 to have it

00:59:56.960 anywhere near

00:59:57.700 them, they're

00:59:58.980 using it

00:59:59.440 during class.

01:00:00.960 They're just

01:00:01.320 using it under

01:00:01.880 the desk and

01:00:02.540 when they're

01:00:02.800 not looking

01:00:03.260 and all that

01:00:03.700 stuff.

01:00:06.060 Yeah, almost

01:00:06.560 all of them.

01:00:07.480 They have to

01:00:07.980 silence them, but

01:00:09.200 they're still

01:00:09.640 texting during

01:00:10.420 class.

01:00:13.460 Of course,

01:00:13.840 they're not

01:00:14.120 allowed.

01:00:14.860 I didn't say

01:00:15.360 they were

01:00:15.600 allowed, but

01:00:16.580 you can't see

01:00:18.140 everybody's hands

01:00:18.800 all the time.

01:00:20.240 So it's just

01:00:21.020 not practical

01:00:21.600 to stop it.

01:00:23.920 Scott, are

01:00:24.740 you an 0.64

01:00:25.000 evolution

01:00:25.380 skeptic?

01:00:27.560 We've talked

01:00:28.220 about that.

01:00:29.020 The simulation

01:00:29.820 theory, while

01:00:31.380 unproven, is

01:00:33.040 logically many

01:00:34.340 times more

01:00:34.880 likely than the

01:00:35.820 standard model

01:00:36.600 of reality, which

01:00:37.600 would include

01:00:38.100 standard evolution.

01:00:39.140 So while I

01:00:40.840 have no reason

01:00:41.420 to say evolution

01:00:42.280 is false or

01:00:43.440 that the

01:00:43.800 simulation is

01:00:44.480 true, I

01:00:45.540 can say that

01:00:46.220 the odds are

01:00:46.920 really, really

01:00:48.000 in one side.

01:00:50.020 Maybe a

01:00:50.700 billion to

01:00:51.180 one.

01:00:52.340 So there's a

01:00:53.160 billion to one

01:00:53.640 chance that we're

01:00:54.340 in some kind of

01:00:54.880 a simulation, which

01:00:55.760 means that

01:00:56.220 evolution would

01:00:57.760 be imaginary in

01:00:58.620 that case.

01:01:01.720 Although there

01:01:02.380 might have been

01:01:02.760 an evolution in

01:01:04.120 some base

01:01:05.380 reality if such

01:01:06.320 a thing exists.

01:01:07.060 What explains

01:01:09.340 the Big Bang?

01:01:10.600 The Big Bang

01:01:11.460 is explained

01:01:12.080 because time

01:01:13.200 has to loop.

01:01:16.580 Otherwise, it

01:01:17.420 doesn't make

01:01:17.860 sense.

01:01:19.200 Time really

01:01:19.820 can't have no

01:01:20.740 beginning and no

01:01:21.420 end.

01:01:22.120 That's irrational.

01:01:23.580 So what the

01:01:24.120 Big Bang does 0.59

01:01:24.920 is it's not a

01:01:26.760 beginning point.

01:01:28.180 It's simply a

01:01:29.500 marker on a

01:01:30.360 loop.

01:01:30.960 Because in

01:01:31.620 theory, the

01:01:32.100 Big Bang

01:01:32.560 creates the

01:01:33.100 universe, but

01:01:33.820 the universe

01:01:34.240 will eventually

01:01:34.900 suck back into

01:01:35.780 itself because

01:01:37.040 become a

01:01:37.280 singularity, and

01:01:38.140 then a Big

01:01:38.520 Bang will 0.95

01:01:38.900 happen.

01:01:39.960 Now, scientists

01:01:41.060 would tell you

01:01:41.600 at that moment

01:01:42.080 of the singularity

01:01:42.900 there's no

01:01:43.500 time because

01:01:45.640 there's no

01:01:46.000 space.

01:01:46.840 There's nothing

01:01:47.240 moving, I

01:01:47.840 guess.

01:01:50.000 And so the

01:01:51.760 only way that

01:01:52.260 time makes

01:01:52.820 sense is as

01:01:53.480 a circle because

01:01:56.340 that's the only

01:01:56.800 way infinity makes

01:01:57.700 sense is if it

01:01:58.700 repeats.

01:02:01.060 So I think

01:02:02.400 the Big Bang

01:02:02.860 is necessary in

01:02:03.840 the simulation

01:02:04.400 and in any

01:02:05.400 base reality

01:02:06.080 because then

01:02:08.080 time can be

01:02:08.840 infinite by

01:02:09.620 repeating.

01:02:12.320 I'm not sure

01:02:13.040 any of that

01:02:13.420 makes sense.

01:02:14.900 That just

01:02:15.180 sounds like

01:02:15.540 something that

01:02:15.960 makes sense

01:02:16.340 when you're

01:02:16.620 high.

01:02:18.600 If I could

01:02:19.280 time travel,

01:02:19.940 who would I

01:02:20.220 visit?

01:02:22.360 I would

01:02:23.000 visit Elon

01:02:27.220 Musk in the 1.00

01:02:27.960 future, and

01:02:29.600 then I would

01:02:30.100 return and buy

01:02:31.080 stock and

01:02:31.680 whatever I

01:02:33.160 learned.

01:02:34.540 So I'd be

01:02:35.180 the second

01:02:35.700 richest person

01:02:37.100 in the world

01:02:37.580 eventually.

01:02:40.840 All right,

01:02:41.360 that's all I

01:02:41.740 got for

01:02:42.020 today.

01:02:43.000 time becomes

01:02:47.880 a loop.

01:02:48.480 Time becomes

01:02:49.040 a loop,

01:02:49.360 that's correct.

01:02:55.100 I don't

01:02:55.700 think I'll be

01:02:56.120 talking about

01:02:56.640 my personal

01:02:57.360 life in public

01:02:58.380 for a while

01:02:58.960 out of just

01:03:00.360 respect for

01:03:01.240 people involved.

01:03:03.020 But thanks

01:03:04.700 for being

01:03:05.040 interested, and

01:03:05.980 a great show

01:03:07.140 again.

01:03:08.540 I hope I

01:03:09.040 made all of

01:03:09.620 you happier

01:03:10.680 today.

01:03:14.160 Time is a

01:03:14.900 loop, just

01:03:15.300 blew your

01:03:15.660 mind.

01:03:16.440 Read God's

01:03:17.000 Debris.

01:03:18.620 Read my

01:03:19.240 book, God's

01:03:19.960 Debris, if you

01:03:20.820 haven't read it

01:03:21.300 yet, and that

01:03:22.180 blew your

01:03:22.600 mind.

01:03:23.840 You've got

01:03:24.260 another mind

01:03:25.280 blowing experience

01:03:26.120 ahead of you.

01:03:26.640 Only take you

01:03:27.080 about an hour

01:03:27.460 and a half.

01:03:29.180 All right.

01:03:29.400 And that,

01:03:32.520 ladies and 0.98

01:03:32.900 gentlemen, concludes

01:03:34.100 the best thing

01:03:34.920 that's ever

01:03:35.300 happened to

01:03:35.680 you.

01:03:36.820 And stop

01:03:39.140 it with your

01:03:39.600 comments.

01:03:40.700 And I'll talk

01:03:41.140 to you, YouTube,

01:03:41.840 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 23, 2022

Episode 1722 Scott Adams： Russian Oligarchs Mysteriously Die, Ron DeSantis Makes Politics Interesting Again

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