Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1724 Scott Adams： Elon Musk Might Buy Twitter Today. Bill Gates Does Not Really Have Gigantic Breasts. And More

00:00:00.000 Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and is it my imagination or did it used to be that

00:00:11.620 if you were talking about a bride and a groom, they both sounded like good words.

00:00:17.220 Bride sounds like a good word, and I'm not even going to say that other word now.

00:00:21.680 But if you'd like to take today's experience up to the highest level of excellence,

00:00:28.960 and would you settle for less?

00:00:31.560 Look at you. Come on. Just look at you. Look at you. Look at you.

00:00:37.400 Yeah, you don't settle. You're the kind of person who will take it all.

00:00:42.600 You don't leave money on the table. No, you don't.

00:00:45.440 So take this to the ultimate experience.

00:00:48.140 All you need is, well, a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or a glass of glass,

00:00:53.700 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:01.200 Barbara made it, everybody. Barbara finally made it for the simultaneous sip.

00:01:06.780 Barbara, this one's for you. It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:11.300 It's the thing that makes everything better, especially Barbara's day.

00:01:14.940 It's called the simultaneous sip. Barbara, do you have witnesses?

00:01:18.140 Because I'm talking to you directly. You didn't see this coming, did you?

00:01:23.940 Is it freaking you out, Barbara? It's about us now. It's just me and you, Barbara.

00:01:29.000 Get ready. Are the people around you watching this?

00:01:32.780 Because if this is happening to you alone, it's going to be terrible.

00:01:37.720 Because you're going to be like, is anybody seeing this?

00:01:39.460 Because my iPad is talking directly to you, to me.

00:01:44.280 That's right, Barbara. I'm talking directly to you.

00:01:47.760 Get ready for the simultaneous sip.

00:01:49.660 The rest of you can join in, too, with Barbara. Go. 0.91

00:01:58.900 And that, ladies and gentlemen...

00:02:02.140 I'm sorry, I just read a funny comment on the locals' platform.

00:02:09.460 Now, let me tell you a little story.

00:02:14.320 And here's why.

00:02:16.200 Today, I looked at the news to prepare for my award-winning...

00:02:20.400 Well, not yet, but I think he had...

00:02:23.520 Award-winning live stream.

00:02:25.800 And I said to myself, well, it's sort of a thin news day.

00:02:31.000 But yet you expect nearly 45 minutes of quality entertainment.

00:02:35.560 And I was just talking to the locals' platform before I signed on to YouTube.

00:02:41.000 And I said, hmm, challenge.

00:02:43.680 To see if I could come up with a story that would be useful.

00:02:47.880 You know, you would actually get something from it.

00:02:49.980 And it would fill in the time.

00:02:52.360 Because with less than 15 seconds to go,

00:02:55.980 I didn't have enough content to go more than 10 minutes.

00:02:58.540 But, why is it that I wasn't worried whatsoever?

00:03:04.580 Well, how many times have I told you I took the Dale Carnegie course?

00:03:07.940 And it was just the most awesome thing.

00:03:10.280 One of the many things you learn is to be prepared to give a speech at any time.

00:03:17.620 Isn't that weird?

00:03:18.900 That's such a specific skill, isn't it?

00:03:20.880 You should be prepared to give a speech at any time.

00:03:26.220 Just somebody might say,

00:03:27.160 Scott, could you stand up and give us a few words?

00:03:30.100 And you'd be like, what?

00:03:31.980 So you should be prepared.

00:03:34.120 Now, let me tell you a story where this mattered.

00:03:38.320 A number of years ago, I was doing a book tour.

00:03:41.100 Where you go around the country to various big bookstores,

00:03:44.220 and you sign a lot of copies of your book.

00:03:47.000 And one of the big stores I went to was in Denver, I think.

00:03:49.940 It was not just a bookstore, it was almost like a complex.

00:03:54.240 It was like a major bookstore-plus operation.

00:03:58.480 And so, you usually have a handler.

00:04:01.240 And your handler goes with you and takes you to the various places you have to visit

00:04:04.980 for interviews and whatever.

00:04:06.560 And the handler and I walk in, and the manager of the bookstore greets us,

00:04:12.120 is all excited that I'm there, and says,

00:04:14.760 Oh, we're so happy that you're here.

00:04:16.180 People have been waiting for your speech for over an hour.

00:04:22.440 And I said, My what?

00:04:25.280 They said, Your talk.

00:04:27.040 People are real excited about your talk.

00:04:29.660 And I said, My what?

00:04:32.540 My what?

00:04:33.200 It sounded like you said talk.

00:04:35.200 They said, Yeah, your talk that you're going to give.

00:04:37.380 The room is full.

00:04:38.500 It's an overflow capacity.

00:04:40.240 Can't believe how many people showed up.

00:04:41.820 And I said, The room, the talk, the what?

00:04:48.520 I thought I was just there to sign books.

00:04:51.060 And she goes, Yeah.

00:04:52.140 And she takes me to the room and opens the door,

00:04:54.460 and there's this enormous auditorium full of people

00:04:56.780 who are waiting for my talk

00:04:59.140 that I had no idea I was giving until I showed up.

00:05:04.620 Now, what happened?

00:05:08.420 Well, I took the, I may have mentioned,

00:05:12.300 because I took the Dale Carnegie course,

00:05:15.120 I had a speech.

00:05:17.680 And so I just gave it.

00:05:20.000 That was it.

00:05:21.960 And so I'm demonstrating to you

00:05:24.600 what I learned in the Dale Carnegie course.

00:05:27.860 So because I was light on material,

00:05:29.540 I always have, like, a little bag of stories

00:05:33.320 that have some useful point to them.

00:05:36.280 So my useful point is,

00:05:37.980 it is really, really useful

00:05:39.660 to have a little bag of stories.

00:05:42.440 And you might want to have one

00:05:43.500 that's sort of something about your company

00:05:45.960 or one that's, like, an interesting thing

00:05:48.700 you would tell, you know,

00:05:50.180 if you were asked to be interesting at a party.

00:05:54.020 You know, just have five stories

00:05:56.780 that you could just whip out in a minute.

00:06:00.240 Very useful.

00:06:02.480 There you go.

00:06:04.160 Now, let's talk about immigration.

00:06:07.340 Rasmussen had a little poll.

00:06:09.860 And 35% of people they polled,

00:06:12.860 adult, you know, likely voter types,

00:06:15.660 support the trend of rising illegal immigration.

00:06:19.620 So 35% of the people who vote

00:06:23.020 or are likely to vote,

00:06:24.500 more than a third

00:06:26.880 are in favor of increasing illegal activity,

00:06:31.480 specifically immigration.

00:06:34.740 Would you have guessed it was that high?

00:06:38.260 It's funny that they say illegal immigration. 0.96

00:06:41.200 Now, if the question had been,

00:06:43.520 should we increase immigration,

00:06:46.940 then I could see a third of the people saying,

00:06:48.780 yeah, you know, in my opinion,

00:06:50.820 we should have more immigration.

00:06:52.280 I could understand somebody having that opinion.

00:06:54.500 I don't really know

00:06:55.320 what the right number of immigrants is. 0.58

00:06:57.540 There's some number that's good.

00:06:59.680 There's some number that's too little, too few.

00:07:02.380 Because we actually almost certainly

00:07:04.060 need some kind of immigrant flow.

00:07:06.520 But there's some number that's too big.

00:07:08.760 I don't know what that number is.

00:07:10.880 And so for some reason,

00:07:12.440 we all avoid the only thing that matters,

00:07:15.480 which is what would be the right number

00:07:18.100 and right composition,

00:07:20.880 you know,

00:07:21.180 of educated versus laborer types.

00:07:25.680 So,

00:07:26.340 but anyway,

00:07:27.780 more than a third of the country

00:07:29.380 supports the illegal type of immigration.

00:07:32.760 So I guess they would imagine

00:07:34.600 it should be legal, I suppose,

00:07:35.900 would be the interpretation.

00:07:38.320 Including 19% who strongly support it.

00:07:41.080 They're like really in favor

00:07:42.180 of the illegal kind of immigration.

00:07:43.660 12%,

00:07:45.540 not so sure.

00:07:47.320 So a majority,

00:07:48.520 53% of Democrats,

00:07:49.960 support the trend

00:07:50.940 of record-setting illegal immigration.

00:07:54.400 But 75% of Republicans say no.

00:07:58.080 And 54% of voters

00:08:00.820 not affiliated with either party

00:08:03.540 say no, I guess.

00:08:04.240 So I wonder if this is part

00:08:08.320 of the larger trend

00:08:09.640 that conservatives

00:08:11.520 like to be in charge

00:08:12.840 of their family situation.

00:08:16.120 And the people

00:08:17.680 that are furthest on the left

00:08:19.140 are more in favor of

00:08:20.340 a takes a village,

00:08:22.820 the school can raise your kid

00:08:24.260 kind of thing.

00:08:26.040 It just seems like more of that.

00:08:28.400 Because if you wanted to like,

00:08:31.080 you know,

00:08:31.300 protect your family,

00:08:32.740 you can imagine

00:08:33.520 that you might say

00:08:34.320 less immigration 0.99

00:08:35.180 because it might have

00:08:36.720 some impact on your family.

00:08:38.980 But if you were like,

00:08:40.320 you know,

00:08:40.660 everybody is a village, 1.00

00:08:42.420 then you'd say,

00:08:43.080 hey, it doesn't matter

00:08:43.820 who you are,

00:08:45.100 come on in,

00:08:45.700 we'll figure it out

00:08:46.600 collectively.

00:08:48.620 So I guess that makes sense

00:08:49.820 philosophically

00:08:50.640 that they would think that.

00:08:51.820 But I can't imagine,

00:08:54.580 well, let me give you

00:08:55.740 my overall philosophy

00:08:57.920 of all these things.

00:08:59.780 Whenever there's a question

00:09:01.000 of individual benefit

00:09:02.560 cost or benefit

00:09:04.720 versus protecting a system,

00:09:07.460 if the system

00:09:08.560 is a really important one,

00:09:10.500 I generally favor the system.

00:09:12.920 Take, for example,

00:09:14.840 capitalism.

00:09:16.980 I think capitalism

00:09:18.100 works better

00:09:18.800 than the alternatives,

00:09:20.020 but it has all these problems.

00:09:22.100 Pretty bad problems.

00:09:23.520 You know,

00:09:23.680 lots of inequality,

00:09:25.020 blah, blah, blah.

00:09:25.420 But still,

00:09:28.900 if it came to a choice

00:09:30.000 of making everybody equal

00:09:31.720 or having capitalism

00:09:33.520 with all its flaws,

00:09:34.480 I would support the system

00:09:35.500 because the system

00:09:36.860 is what gets you

00:09:37.600 to the most people

00:09:39.380 getting the most benefit

00:09:40.480 over the longest period of time.

00:09:42.360 Same with free speech.

00:09:44.020 You come up with

00:09:44.980 lots of examples

00:09:45.700 where you'd say,

00:09:46.300 eh, I don't like

00:09:46.980 that free speech.

00:09:48.340 But still,

00:09:49.440 you're better off

00:09:50.060 supporting the system

00:09:51.280 that free speech exists

00:09:53.440 despite all of its

00:09:54.380 horrible flaws,

00:09:56.000 according to you.

00:09:58.380 So,

00:09:59.060 immigration is the

00:10:00.360 same thing.

00:10:02.520 It feels as if

00:10:03.580 the Democrats

00:10:04.260 are looking at it

00:10:05.120 as

00:10:05.540 sort of a human,

00:10:09.580 individual human

00:10:10.760 suffering kind of situation,

00:10:12.760 which it is.

00:10:14.020 It's 100%

00:10:15.020 exactly that.

00:10:16.460 It's about

00:10:17.020 human suffering

00:10:18.060 and human condition.

00:10:19.740 But,

00:10:20.920 if you

00:10:21.560 take the very,

00:10:24.040 and I have respect

00:10:25.660 for the position,

00:10:26.980 if you have the empathy

00:10:28.000 that you can't

00:10:28.940 release yourself

00:10:30.460 from caring about

00:10:31.400 the individuals

00:10:32.100 and saying,

00:10:33.480 you know,

00:10:33.840 if they can make it

00:10:34.520 to the border,

00:10:35.560 let's just do

00:10:36.100 what we can

00:10:36.460 to help them.

00:10:38.160 That's great empathy.

00:10:39.800 And as a human being,

00:10:41.020 I would actually

00:10:41.680 probably quite appreciate you.

00:10:44.400 You're the kind of person

00:10:45.280 I would want as a friend,

00:10:46.660 that you have

00:10:47.760 that much empathy,

00:10:48.960 that you really can't

00:10:49.880 see the system

00:10:50.660 beyond the individual

00:10:52.880 suffering.

00:10:54.300 That's somewhat,

00:10:56.020 it's a somewhat worthy

00:10:57.220 kind of respectable position,

00:11:00.980 even if you don't hold it.

00:11:02.120 You'd have to say,

00:11:03.440 you can't hate somebody

00:11:04.540 who can't look past

00:11:06.320 individual suffering

00:11:07.340 to see the system.

00:11:09.520 But,

00:11:10.100 I guess I'm a worse person

00:11:11.540 because I can do that.

00:11:13.440 So,

00:11:14.220 in my opinion,

00:11:15.480 most people

00:11:16.260 would be best off

00:11:17.580 with systems

00:11:19.420 that have integrity.

00:11:20.920 So,

00:11:21.140 I'd like to see

00:11:21.640 the immigration system

00:11:22.700 work legally

00:11:23.740 and effectively.

00:11:25.820 And then separately,

00:11:27.500 once you have your immigration

00:11:28.680 completely controlled,

00:11:30.740 then you have

00:11:31.220 a separate conversation

00:11:32.120 about what's the right amount.

00:11:34.060 And you do it logically.

00:11:36.040 You do it in a way

00:11:36.960 that supports

00:11:38.000 the most benefit

00:11:38.860 for the most people,

00:11:40.080 which almost certainly

00:11:41.480 would be

00:11:42.960 America first.

00:11:45.340 In other words,

00:11:46.740 keeping America strong

00:11:48.060 has a ripple effect

00:11:49.180 of protecting

00:11:50.420 the entire

00:11:51.200 continent,

00:11:52.660 right?

00:11:53.620 Don't you think

00:11:54.220 South America

00:11:54.920 is better off

00:11:55.720 because the United States

00:11:57.500 is strong?

00:11:58.980 You don't even need

00:11:59.860 much of a military

00:12:00.720 in South America

00:12:02.260 because who's going

00:12:03.620 to attack South America?

00:12:05.620 Nobody's going to

00:12:06.360 take a run

00:12:06.980 on South America

00:12:07.860 because America

00:12:09.260 is so strong.

00:12:10.860 So,

00:12:11.540 it's hard to separate

00:12:12.740 what is good

00:12:13.720 for America

00:12:14.380 and its strength

00:12:15.720 and how that benefits

00:12:16.680 other countries.

00:12:17.840 Is Japan

00:12:18.880 better off

00:12:20.920 for having

00:12:21.500 an American

00:12:22.360 defensive umbrella

00:12:24.000 over there?

00:12:24.680 Probably.

00:12:25.840 Probably.

00:12:27.120 All right.

00:12:28.460 Breaking news.

00:12:30.920 Maybe it's already

00:12:31.820 happened,

00:12:32.320 but apparently

00:12:33.380 Elon Musk

00:12:34.080 has gotten further

00:12:35.040 than we imagined

00:12:36.000 or some imagined.

00:12:38.100 And he's raised

00:12:38.860 the money

00:12:39.220 and it looks like

00:12:39.940 they could make

00:12:40.820 a deal,

00:12:41.860 Twitter and Elon Musk

00:12:42.920 today.

00:12:44.880 So,

00:12:45.280 there might actually

00:12:46.060 be an announcement

00:12:46.820 today

00:12:47.400 that Elon Musk

00:12:49.060 is buying Twitter

00:12:49.780 and it's going through.

00:12:51.840 Now,

00:12:52.200 I'm a little skeptical.

00:12:54.240 It seems a little

00:12:55.320 too easy.

00:12:57.560 Were any of you

00:12:58.440 expecting it

00:12:59.100 to be this easy?

00:13:00.900 And it could be

00:13:01.920 that the threat

00:13:02.820 of lawsuits

00:13:04.820 was big enough

00:13:06.660 that the board

00:13:07.420 just said,

00:13:08.020 ah, we're out,

00:13:08.380 which would be

00:13:09.520 pretty rational.

00:13:11.300 Pretty rational.

00:13:12.720 I should mention

00:13:13.560 that I own

00:13:14.100 some Twitter stock.

00:13:16.760 So,

00:13:17.400 I guess it would be

00:13:18.260 good for me

00:13:18.740 if he buys it.

00:13:20.340 Although,

00:13:20.880 I would have held

00:13:21.420 it longer than,

00:13:22.780 you know,

00:13:23.040 that.

00:13:23.600 But, yeah.

00:13:24.660 So,

00:13:24.960 it isn't my,

00:13:25.820 I suppose as an investor

00:13:27.280 it wasn't exactly

00:13:28.180 my preference,

00:13:29.060 but as an American,

00:13:31.480 I guess,

00:13:32.920 you know,

00:13:33.220 I guess I like

00:13:33.780 the benefit

00:13:34.880 to free speech.

00:13:38.380 speaking of Elon Musk,

00:13:41.300 it makes me think

00:13:42.320 of Bill Gates.

00:13:43.000 There's a meme

00:13:43.580 that's being fact-checked,

00:13:45.500 so Reuters facts

00:13:46.480 and others

00:13:47.000 are saying

00:13:48.000 it's not true

00:13:48.780 and the photo

00:13:51.020 has been doctored.

00:13:52.000 There's a photo

00:13:52.860 of Bill Gates

00:13:53.520 crossing the street

00:13:54.440 in which he has

00:13:55.600 enormous breasts. 0.81

00:13:57.400 Now,

00:13:57.660 I'm not talking about

00:13:58.500 his just unflattering

00:14:00.080 photos that you've seen.

00:14:01.660 I'm talking about

00:14:02.740 actually photoshopped

00:14:04.520 gigantic breasts 0.81

00:14:05.480 and Reuters

00:14:09.400 felt the need

00:14:10.500 to fact-check that

00:14:11.460 because there would

00:14:13.580 be some people

00:14:14.360 who imagined

00:14:14.880 that he had transitioned

00:14:15.720 and he had

00:14:17.340 enormous breasts. 0.81

00:14:18.820 But it's not true.

00:14:20.080 It is not true.

00:14:21.640 He has only

00:14:22.360 average-sized breasts. 0.79

00:14:24.200 So,

00:14:24.520 if you thought

00:14:24.900 that Bill Gates

00:14:26.200 had enormous breasts, 0.57

00:14:28.220 totally untrue.

00:14:29.120 They're larger

00:14:30.520 than average.

00:14:32.140 They're healthy-sized.

00:14:33.280 All right.

00:14:36.040 Speaking of freedom,

00:14:38.340 once Elon Musk

00:14:39.420 buys Twitter

00:14:41.200 and returns

00:14:43.320 free speech

00:14:44.040 to all of us,

00:14:46.000 which I think

00:14:46.780 we would all applaud,

00:14:48.100 I think the first

00:14:48.880 order of business

00:14:49.540 is he should

00:14:50.540 ban Disney

00:14:51.640 from the platform

00:14:52.480 because

00:14:55.360 I love free speech

00:14:57.620 but fuck Disney,

00:14:59.660 am I right?

00:15:01.080 I mean,

00:15:01.260 fuck those guys.

00:15:01.980 I do like

00:15:04.320 free speech

00:15:04.880 but with the exception

00:15:06.060 of stuff I don't like.

00:15:08.640 So,

00:15:08.900 I will make an exception.

00:15:11.160 So,

00:15:12.100 I have been convinced

00:15:13.800 by the people

00:15:14.560 on the internet

00:15:15.120 who have made

00:15:15.940 a good argument.

00:15:16.760 Lots of times

00:15:17.340 I don't change my mind.

00:15:19.400 I don't change my mind

00:15:20.420 but this is

00:15:21.260 one of those cases

00:15:21.940 where

00:15:22.260 when you're

00:15:23.760 faced with

00:15:24.480 a superior argument,

00:15:26.520 I think you have

00:15:27.720 to fall to it.

00:15:29.240 And so,

00:15:29.540 the argument

00:15:29.920 I've been presented

00:15:30.700 with the last several days

00:15:31.940 is that,

00:15:33.120 yeah,

00:15:33.320 free speech is great

00:15:34.540 unless it's something

00:15:36.120 you really,

00:15:36.720 really don't like

00:15:37.400 and then it starts

00:15:38.500 interfering with

00:15:39.300 the actual

00:15:39.780 workings of the government.

00:15:42.380 And,

00:15:42.920 if your free speech

00:15:44.300 is the kind

00:15:44.760 that actually matters,

00:15:46.480 the kind that would

00:15:47.000 change something,

00:15:48.620 that's extra dangerous.

00:15:49.980 So,

00:15:50.960 the kind of speech

00:15:51.840 that I think

00:15:53.220 free speech

00:15:54.320 should allow

00:15:55.020 is the kind

00:15:56.100 that agrees

00:15:56.840 with all my

00:15:57.440 personal views

00:15:58.360 but beyond that,

00:16:01.840 I'd really like

00:16:02.660 to see stuff banned.

00:16:04.540 So,

00:16:05.000 I'm hoping

00:16:05.380 Elon Musk

00:16:05.940 will just start

00:16:06.440 banning the stuff

00:16:07.360 I don't like

00:16:08.020 because otherwise

00:16:09.440 I don't think

00:16:09.960 I could support this.

00:16:11.500 As a stockholder,

00:16:12.660 I'd have to vote

00:16:13.260 against it.

00:16:14.040 I need him in there

00:16:14.780 banning shit

00:16:15.400 I don't want

00:16:16.080 because

00:16:17.720 if people

00:16:19.680 start giving

00:16:20.260 their opinions

00:16:20.860 then things

00:16:21.360 will happen

00:16:21.700 I don't like

00:16:22.380 and that would

00:16:23.880 be weak.

00:16:26.400 I don't want

00:16:27.060 to be weak.

00:16:28.020 So,

00:16:28.520 I want to be strong

00:16:29.360 and violate

00:16:30.420 the Constitution

00:16:31.200 for things

00:16:32.660 that I like

00:16:33.340 and things I want.

00:16:35.500 Okay,

00:16:36.000 some of you

00:16:36.420 can't even tell

00:16:36.980 when I'm kidding,

00:16:37.620 can you?

00:16:38.260 How many of you

00:16:38.920 don't know

00:16:39.600 that I'm not serious?

00:16:42.060 Raise your hand.

00:16:43.420 Come on.

00:16:44.300 Raise your hand.

00:16:46.080 All right.

00:16:47.860 Well,

00:16:49.000 I'm hearing

00:16:51.080 some terrible

00:16:52.240 arguments

00:16:52.740 about the Disney

00:16:53.620 thing,

00:16:54.220 but are you

00:16:54.860 all bored

00:16:55.260 with that?

00:16:56.380 Is everybody

00:16:57.100 done with

00:16:57.560 the Disney

00:16:57.920 story?

00:17:01.060 Because here's

00:17:01.980 what I think

00:17:02.400 happened.

00:17:03.820 I think

00:17:04.320 I would say,

00:17:05.800 hey,

00:17:06.040 free speech

00:17:06.660 isn't more

00:17:07.200 important than

00:17:07.880 these things.

00:17:09.040 Then people

00:17:09.500 would say,

00:17:10.080 are you a groomer?

00:17:11.940 And I'd say,

00:17:13.460 I don't even

00:17:14.480 think that's

00:17:14.900 the right

00:17:15.140 conversation.

00:17:16.580 And then I'd

00:17:17.100 say,

00:17:17.880 hey,

00:17:18.460 free speech

00:17:19.000 is still

00:17:19.340 important.

00:17:19.900 And somebody

00:17:20.260 would say,

00:17:21.340 but Disney's

00:17:22.080 deal is

00:17:22.660 better than

00:17:24.500 other corporations.

00:17:25.820 And I'd say,

00:17:27.600 I don't even

00:17:28.520 think that's

00:17:28.960 the topic.

00:17:31.300 So I don't

00:17:32.620 know if I

00:17:33.100 ever even

00:17:33.580 had a real

00:17:34.060 conversation

00:17:34.620 about it.

00:17:35.180 Because you

00:17:35.680 couldn't get

00:17:36.040 anybody to

00:17:36.480 even stick

00:17:36.920 to the

00:17:37.200 topic.

00:17:37.620 It was

00:17:37.760 like,

00:17:38.020 well,

00:17:38.740 what about

00:17:39.220 this other

00:17:39.680 thing?

00:17:40.420 All right.

00:17:40.700 So there's

00:17:42.080 nothing there

00:17:42.580 for us

00:17:42.840 to talk

00:17:43.160 about,

00:17:43.420 I guess.

00:17:47.380 Here's,

00:17:48.600 well,

00:17:48.840 let me give

00:17:49.260 you one

00:17:50.020 useful,

00:17:52.100 let's say,

00:17:53.420 lesson.

00:17:54.440 A micro

00:17:54.940 lesson on

00:17:55.800 analysis.

00:17:57.500 And this

00:17:59.020 is probably

00:17:59.940 the most

00:18:00.580 important thing

00:18:01.400 that economists

00:18:02.820 or people

00:18:03.440 trained in

00:18:04.480 that,

00:18:04.860 or people

00:18:05.220 who have

00:18:05.580 business

00:18:06.120 training,

00:18:07.060 get right,

00:18:08.800 that people

00:18:09.280 who don't

00:18:09.620 have that

00:18:10.000 kind of

00:18:10.340 training get

00:18:10.940 wrong and

00:18:11.600 don't know

00:18:12.020 that it's

00:18:12.320 wrong.

00:18:13.200 It's what I

00:18:13.680 call the

00:18:14.000 comparison

00:18:14.420 problem.

00:18:15.760 If you

00:18:16.300 compare the

00:18:16.880 wrong things,

00:18:18.300 you're obviously

00:18:19.040 going to come

00:18:19.720 to a wrong

00:18:20.280 conclusion.

00:18:21.740 Right?

00:18:23.060 So one of

00:18:24.240 the things

00:18:24.540 that I heard

00:18:25.080 the most,

00:18:26.040 but only

00:18:26.480 from people

00:18:26.980 who don't

00:18:27.440 have good

00:18:27.960 comparison

00:18:28.580 skills,

00:18:29.780 is that

00:18:30.600 Disney was

00:18:31.380 getting a

00:18:31.780 sweetheart deal

00:18:32.600 compared to

00:18:34.100 other corporations

00:18:34.940 and why

00:18:35.680 should they

00:18:36.020 get like

00:18:36.420 the extra

00:18:36.900 deal?

00:18:38.340 That's not

00:18:39.140 the right

00:18:39.540 comparison.

00:18:41.060 If you're

00:18:41.820 comparing

00:18:42.180 Disney to

00:18:43.300 any other

00:18:43.940 corporation,

00:18:45.360 that's

00:18:46.520 completely

00:18:46.980 nonsensical.

00:18:47.900 You might as

00:18:48.220 well compare

00:18:48.680 them to

00:18:49.120 a grapefruit.

00:18:50.440 Well,

00:18:51.320 a grapefruit

00:18:52.060 doesn't get

00:18:52.600 a good deal,

00:18:54.120 so why

00:18:55.100 does Disney?

00:18:55.620 It wouldn't

00:18:56.520 make any

00:18:56.920 sense.

00:18:57.820 Just because

00:18:58.420 they're a

00:18:59.000 corporation and

00:18:59.780 something else

00:19:00.280 is a

00:19:00.580 corporation,

00:19:01.740 that doesn't

00:19:02.880 mean they

00:19:03.200 should be

00:19:03.520 compared for

00:19:04.340 everything.

00:19:05.780 Here's the

00:19:06.360 comparison you

00:19:07.060 should make.

00:19:08.640 How many

00:19:09.540 gigantic

00:19:10.180 corporations

00:19:10.880 who could

00:19:11.920 credibly,

00:19:12.720 credibly,

00:19:14.060 go to a

00:19:14.520 state and

00:19:14.940 say we

00:19:15.340 can bring

00:19:15.760 in 60,000

00:19:16.740 employees and

00:19:18.300 millions of

00:19:19.500 travelers to

00:19:22.220 your state,

00:19:22.660 which you

00:19:23.040 want to

00:19:23.360 be a

00:19:23.620 destination

00:19:24.120 for travel,

00:19:25.360 so our

00:19:25.880 business is

00:19:26.480 right on

00:19:26.980 point with

00:19:27.540 what you

00:19:27.900 want to

00:19:28.320 be.

00:19:28.860 It will

00:19:29.240 bring in

00:19:29.660 gigantic

00:19:30.180 revenue for

00:19:30.900 you and

00:19:31.680 what we

00:19:32.040 would like

00:19:32.360 in return

00:19:32.900 for the

00:19:33.760 efficiency of

00:19:34.520 building it,

00:19:35.100 primarily just

00:19:35.700 for efficiency,

00:19:36.800 so that you

00:19:37.260 and I can

00:19:37.700 get our

00:19:38.060 benefits as

00:19:38.640 soon as

00:19:38.960 possible.

00:19:40.280 How about

00:19:40.880 we have

00:19:41.380 some autonomy

00:19:42.000 and that

00:19:43.700 autonomy will

00:19:44.320 have a

00:19:44.680 certain length

00:19:45.720 deal.

00:19:46.860 In the

00:19:47.280 beginning,

00:19:47.640 this will

00:19:49.060 be really

00:19:49.840 good for

00:19:50.740 us,

00:19:51.660 but also

00:19:52.440 really good

00:19:52.880 for you

00:19:53.280 because you're

00:19:54.100 getting all

00:19:55.140 this economic

00:19:55.640 development.

00:19:57.420 So,

00:19:58.320 and on and

00:19:58.860 on.

00:19:59.560 So the

00:19:59.940 correct

00:20:00.560 comparison is

00:20:01.440 this.

00:20:02.540 Disney and

00:20:03.940 what they

00:20:04.320 asked Florida

00:20:05.140 for compared

00:20:06.500 to the

00:20:07.760 other company

00:20:08.820 that asked

00:20:09.480 Florida for

00:20:10.340 the same

00:20:10.760 thing and

00:20:11.840 could offer

00:20:12.500 the same

00:20:13.200 benefit in

00:20:14.080 return.

00:20:15.440 That's the

00:20:16.220 only comparison.

00:20:17.640 If you

00:20:17.940 compared

00:20:18.300 anything

00:20:18.840 else,

00:20:20.100 then you're

00:20:20.760 not well

00:20:21.260 trained in

00:20:21.740 comparing.

00:20:23.680 Because if

00:20:24.640 Florida would 0.83

00:20:25.200 have said no

00:20:25.860 to another

00:20:26.380 company that

00:20:27.240 offered something

00:20:28.480 similarly as

00:20:29.440 awesome,

00:20:30.760 well then you'd

00:20:31.320 say, okay,

00:20:31.900 well why is

00:20:32.340 Disney getting

00:20:32.900 the special

00:20:33.400 deal?

00:20:34.280 If somebody

00:20:34.720 else made

00:20:35.140 the same

00:20:35.500 offer,

00:20:36.760 shouldn't they

00:20:37.200 get the same

00:20:37.880 consideration?

00:20:38.920 And the

00:20:39.100 answer is yes.

00:20:40.300 Yes, they

00:20:40.800 should.

00:20:41.840 That's exactly

00:20:42.780 what they

00:20:43.160 should get.

00:20:44.260 So if two

00:20:45.200 companies had

00:20:46.040 made this

00:20:46.500 offer to

00:20:47.320 Florida,

00:20:48.400 Florida should 0.97

00:20:49.180 have accepted

00:20:49.820 both.

00:20:51.260 If three

00:20:52.020 companies made

00:20:52.720 that offer,

00:20:54.240 Florida should 0.97

00:20:54.900 have accepted

00:20:55.440 all three.

00:20:58.440 Have I

00:20:58.800 sold you?

00:21:01.980 Everybody who

00:21:02.760 said other

00:21:03.220 corporations didn't 0.85

00:21:04.140 get this deal,

00:21:04.900 they're not

00:21:05.980 right or wrong.

00:21:07.560 It's not a

00:21:08.040 question of

00:21:08.440 right or wrong.

00:21:09.420 It's not even

00:21:10.260 the right

00:21:10.720 comparison.

00:21:12.480 it's like

00:21:14.220 comparing it

00:21:15.080 to a

00:21:15.340 grapefruit.

00:21:16.120 It has no

00:21:16.600 relevance

00:21:17.240 whatsoever.

00:21:20.140 Okay.

00:21:23.020 And that,

00:21:24.280 ladies and 0.98

00:21:24.940 gentlemen, is

00:21:26.420 the useful

00:21:26.920 part of our

00:21:27.840 program.

00:21:28.320 We're now to

00:21:28.820 the part where

00:21:30.860 I either have

00:21:31.540 to tell you an

00:21:32.100 interesting story,

00:21:34.120 possibly one

00:21:34.800 that you

00:21:35.000 prompted me

00:21:35.520 for, or

00:21:36.860 we may be

00:21:38.560 ending early,

00:21:39.160 which would be a

00:21:39.700 tragedy for all

00:21:40.480 of us, I

00:21:41.020 think you'd

00:21:41.440 agree.

00:21:42.900 And while

00:21:43.500 you're thinking

00:21:43.960 what you

00:21:44.320 would like me

00:21:45.460 to tell you

00:21:45.920 in terms of

00:21:46.400 a story,

00:21:47.280 or possibly

00:21:48.200 if you'd like

00:21:50.000 me to heal

00:21:50.600 anybody from

00:21:51.200 any problems,

00:21:52.440 I will be

00:21:52.960 taking this

00:21:53.620 gratuitous extra

00:21:55.060 sip and

00:21:57.380 watching your

00:21:58.760 comments.

00:22:01.800 Mushrooms,

00:22:02.560 is the

00:22:03.080 question.

00:22:04.220 Am I mad

00:22:05.260 at you?

00:22:05.640 No, I'm not

00:22:06.020 mad at you.

00:22:06.360 More about

00:22:11.460 mushrooms.

00:22:13.100 Well, that

00:22:15.680 does seem to

00:22:16.180 be the issue

00:22:16.920 of the day,

00:22:17.400 doesn't it?

00:22:18.080 But I worry

00:22:18.680 that I've

00:22:19.140 talked about

00:22:19.800 it too

00:22:20.920 much.

00:22:22.420 I'll just

00:22:23.160 give you the

00:22:23.740 basic idea,

00:22:25.720 which is, I

00:22:27.480 thought I

00:22:27.960 tried some

00:22:28.460 recently, but

00:22:29.080 I don't think

00:22:29.580 they were

00:22:30.080 actually, they

00:22:31.740 were either

00:22:32.140 inert or

00:22:33.160 something.

00:22:33.860 So I

00:22:35.740 don't have

00:22:36.060 any recent

00:22:36.580 experience with

00:22:37.500 it.

00:22:38.060 My first

00:22:38.680 experience, I

00:22:39.360 thought, changed

00:22:39.980 me forever.

00:22:41.200 So I don't

00:22:41.900 know what's

00:22:42.180 going on.

00:22:43.800 I don't know

00:22:44.540 why once it

00:22:45.180 was a

00:22:46.260 profound,

00:22:46.920 life-changing

00:22:47.460 experience and

00:22:48.180 the second

00:22:48.500 time it

00:22:48.840 wasn't.

00:22:49.460 But one

00:22:49.860 possibility is

00:22:50.740 that I'd

00:22:52.060 already changed.

00:22:54.040 I worry

00:22:54.680 about that.

00:22:56.060 I mean, I

00:22:56.640 don't worry

00:22:57.020 about it, but

00:22:57.540 I suppose that

00:22:58.080 would be good.

00:23:00.460 Yeah, why

00:23:01.080 would I want

00:23:01.480 to change

00:23:01.800 again?

00:23:02.240 Exactly.

00:23:03.860 Google

00:23:04.340 Education.

00:23:05.100 What's

00:23:05.280 that?

00:23:08.780 Schellenberger's

00:23:09.340 chances in

00:23:09.920 the election.

00:23:12.060 Strangely

00:23:12.620 good.

00:23:14.100 Yeah.

00:23:14.720 Michael

00:23:15.040 Schellenberger,

00:23:15.780 running as

00:23:16.160 an independent,

00:23:17.280 he's written

00:23:18.440 books on

00:23:19.420 everything from

00:23:20.140 homelessness, how

00:23:21.060 to deal with

00:23:21.940 it, drug

00:23:22.680 addiction, energy

00:23:24.380 policy, directly

00:23:26.040 related to

00:23:26.660 California.

00:23:27.620 He's researched

00:23:28.340 forest fire

00:23:29.180 stuff, basically

00:23:29.740 the water

00:23:30.800 problem.

00:23:31.220 Every problem

00:23:31.980 is specific to

00:23:32.800 California.

00:23:33.240 he's actually

00:23:33.840 become an

00:23:34.420 expert on.

00:23:35.880 And he's

00:23:36.500 an insanely

00:23:37.600 good communicator

00:23:38.760 and persuader.

00:23:40.660 So, could

00:23:42.200 he?

00:23:42.580 He actually

00:23:43.360 does have

00:23:43.820 a lane.

00:23:44.180 win.

00:23:45.180 I think the

00:23:47.620 difference between

00:23:48.620 me saying he

00:23:50.540 has a really

00:23:51.100 high chance

00:23:51.860 and predicting

00:23:53.220 he actually

00:23:53.820 will win

00:23:54.360 is what

00:23:55.800 the media

00:23:56.360 does.

00:23:57.520 Because he

00:23:58.220 is so

00:23:58.720 media friendly.

00:24:00.520 He can appear

00:24:01.680 on media

00:24:02.540 left and

00:24:03.080 right because

00:24:03.740 he's an

00:24:04.040 independent.

00:24:04.960 So, he's

00:24:05.440 not locked

00:24:05.940 down of

00:24:06.300 either media.

00:24:07.760 Think about

00:24:08.240 that.

00:24:08.600 just think

00:24:11.000 about that.

00:24:12.440 Who was

00:24:14.040 the last

00:24:14.400 person who

00:24:14.880 was smart

00:24:15.280 enough to

00:24:16.280 figure out

00:24:16.760 how to

00:24:17.100 stake out

00:24:17.540 a position

00:24:18.060 in which

00:24:19.200 CNN and

00:24:20.060 Fox News

00:24:20.660 would both

00:24:21.120 be equally

00:24:21.640 happy to

00:24:22.160 have you

00:24:22.440 as a

00:24:22.700 guest?

00:24:23.680 Name one

00:24:24.180 other person

00:24:24.720 who's

00:24:24.920 accomplished

00:24:25.280 that.

00:24:26.400 Can you?

00:24:28.140 No?

00:24:28.800 Oh, Andrew

00:24:29.720 Yang.

00:24:30.200 Okay.

00:24:32.260 Well, Trump

00:24:32.880 for a while

00:24:33.380 and then he

00:24:33.760 even gave

00:24:34.220 up.

00:24:34.900 Arnold?

00:24:35.380 Actually,

00:24:35.900 Arnold's

00:24:36.340 pretty good.

00:24:38.680 Arnold is

00:24:39.380 good.

00:24:41.300 All right.

00:24:41.840 So, I guess

00:24:42.220 there are a

00:24:42.500 few.

00:24:43.280 But, Mark

00:24:44.640 Cuban, but

00:24:45.280 he's not as

00:24:48.120 political as

00:24:50.480 he could be.

00:24:52.080 Yeah, Elon

00:24:52.700 Musk, right?

00:24:54.160 But they're not

00:24:54.580 political, remember.

00:24:55.620 So, I'm talking

00:24:56.100 about somebody

00:24:56.540 actually running

00:24:57.100 for office who

00:24:58.920 would be just

00:24:59.860 as desired on

00:25:01.140 the left and

00:25:01.620 right.

00:25:01.780 And here's the

00:25:02.800 reason.

00:25:04.120 What makes

00:25:04.740 news is

00:25:06.340 not just

00:25:07.240 doing something

00:25:07.860 well.

00:25:08.980 That's not

00:25:09.460 news.

00:25:10.360 Because people

00:25:10.840 are doing

00:25:11.220 things at

00:25:11.780 various levels

00:25:12.440 of quality

00:25:13.060 all the time.

00:25:14.340 It can't

00:25:14.680 all be news.

00:25:15.940 What's news

00:25:16.500 is somebody

00:25:17.500 does something

00:25:18.100 a different

00:25:18.580 way.

00:25:19.700 And that's

00:25:20.120 the thing

00:25:20.480 he's got.

00:25:22.020 And the

00:25:22.460 different way

00:25:23.060 is so

00:25:23.500 obviously

00:25:24.160 superior.

00:25:25.620 It's a

00:25:26.280 different way

00:25:26.920 that literally

00:25:27.880 nobody can

00:25:28.560 argue with.

00:25:30.000 Like, what

00:25:30.320 would be the

00:25:30.780 argument against

00:25:31.760 him having

00:25:32.860 a deep

00:25:33.260 knowledge and

00:25:34.720 best-selling

00:25:35.280 books on

00:25:35.920 exactly the

00:25:36.660 topic that

00:25:38.300 you're trying

00:25:38.640 to solve.

00:25:40.200 Now, you

00:25:40.540 could argue

00:25:40.940 you don't

00:25:41.380 like his

00:25:41.780 solution, but

00:25:43.200 you can't

00:25:43.600 argue against

00:25:44.180 that being a

00:25:44.760 better process.

00:25:45.960 Like, having

00:25:46.540 somebody who

00:25:47.020 is really

00:25:47.520 shown by

00:25:49.540 his own

00:25:50.120 production, the

00:25:51.460 work he's

00:25:51.920 produced, and

00:25:52.900 the activism.

00:25:53.800 I mean, he's

00:25:54.340 been directly on

00:25:55.080 the streets

00:25:55.620 working on

00:25:57.020 fentanyl and

00:25:57.620 stuff.

00:25:58.440 So, if you

00:25:59.600 were to design

00:26:00.240 a perfect

00:26:00.740 candidate, that

00:26:02.440 candidate would

00:26:03.120 be tall and

00:26:05.240 good-looking and

00:26:05.880 have great

00:26:06.520 hair, check.

00:26:09.640 Those things

00:26:10.380 shouldn't matter,

00:26:11.180 right?

00:26:12.040 It shouldn't

00:26:12.560 matter that

00:26:12.940 you're tall and

00:26:13.420 good-looking and

00:26:13.940 you have great

00:26:14.360 hair.

00:26:15.500 But it

00:26:16.060 does.

00:26:16.760 It does.

00:26:17.560 Sorry.

00:26:18.480 It does.

00:26:22.060 Probably one

00:26:23.260 of the best

00:26:23.720 communicators that

00:26:26.940 I've ever seen

00:26:27.680 as a politician.

00:26:29.800 He's got that.

00:26:30.660 So now, combine

00:26:31.880 just those two

00:26:32.580 things.

00:26:33.780 If that's all

00:26:34.380 you had, if all

00:26:35.540 you had was the

00:26:36.240 look and you

00:26:37.620 were one of the

00:26:38.120 best communicators

00:26:39.100 anybody had ever

00:26:39.780 seen, you'd

00:26:41.220 probably get

00:26:41.820 elected to

00:26:42.380 stuff, right?

00:26:43.740 But on top of

00:26:44.660 that, he already

00:26:46.040 demonstrated by

00:26:46.940 writing several

00:26:47.640 best-selling books

00:26:48.600 a deep knowledge

00:26:49.940 of everything from

00:26:51.060 climate change

00:26:53.240 and energy

00:26:53.900 and nuclear

00:26:55.560 power,

00:26:56.760 homelessness,

00:26:58.700 addiction,

00:26:59.060 literally, exactly

00:27:00.680 the issues that

00:27:01.880 the state is

00:27:02.400 dealing with.

00:27:03.100 Nobody's ever

00:27:03.800 put together a

00:27:04.760 talent stack like

00:27:05.600 that.

00:27:07.160 So if you ever

00:27:08.000 saw a story, if

00:27:09.240 anybody writes

00:27:09.940 stories, if this

00:27:11.180 ever happens, if

00:27:12.580 the media ever

00:27:13.300 says, what does a

00:27:14.360 perfect politician

00:27:15.220 look like?

00:27:16.420 If you were going

00:27:16.960 to build one, the

00:27:18.240 only thing he

00:27:18.760 doesn't have is a

00:27:20.960 ethnic signature

00:27:23.860 that California

00:27:25.280 might want.

00:27:25.980 He doesn't have

00:27:27.440 the ethnicity or

00:27:30.940 the gender or

00:27:31.600 whatever it

00:27:31.960 takes.

00:27:33.500 Do you think

00:27:34.500 that will be

00:27:34.920 held against

00:27:35.400 him?

00:27:36.340 Probably.

00:27:38.460 Probably.

00:27:39.680 But here's the

00:27:40.300 thing.

00:27:41.500 He's not a

00:27:42.140 Republican.

00:27:44.420 I think it

00:27:45.280 would definitely

00:27:45.660 be held against

00:27:46.380 him if he

00:27:47.400 were a

00:27:47.720 Republican.

00:27:48.880 Remember,

00:27:49.680 Gavin Newsom

00:27:50.320 is the most

00:27:50.880 popular candidate

00:27:51.760 in the state,

00:27:53.660 which doesn't

00:27:54.720 seem to make

00:27:55.220 sense, does

00:27:55.780 it?

00:27:56.320 But the

00:27:56.720 reason Gavin

00:27:57.800 Newsom can

00:27:58.800 be a good

00:28:00.660 looking white

00:28:01.680 guy with good

00:28:02.320 hair and still

00:28:03.360 be popular in

00:28:04.260 California is

00:28:05.760 because he's so

00:28:06.680 pro the things

00:28:08.800 that people

00:28:09.820 want.

00:28:11.920 And Schellenberger

00:28:12.800 has, like, a

00:28:13.680 better version of

00:28:14.420 that.

00:28:15.600 He is pro what

00:28:16.580 the people want

00:28:17.440 with a

00:28:17.920 demonstrated base

00:28:19.780 of understanding

00:28:20.520 that says he

00:28:21.280 knows how to

00:28:21.740 get it.

00:28:23.180 That's even

00:28:23.900 stronger if he

00:28:25.520 can sell that.

00:28:26.420 And he's

00:28:26.780 probably one of

00:28:27.260 the few people

00:28:27.780 who could because

00:28:28.540 he has those

00:28:29.000 skills.

00:28:30.300 So if you see,

00:28:31.580 if you see, like,

00:28:32.620 a major, here

00:28:34.460 would be the

00:28:34.920 turning point.

00:28:35.760 If you saw a

00:28:36.640 major media

00:28:39.720 piece, let's say

00:28:40.580 Wall Street Journal,

00:28:41.460 New York Times,

00:28:42.880 describing how

00:28:43.980 he's running the

00:28:45.700 process and also

00:28:47.460 maybe some of his

00:28:48.280 policies for those

00:28:49.260 specific things,

00:28:50.400 if you see that,

00:28:51.500 it means that

00:28:53.360 the major media

00:28:55.020 is now paying

00:28:56.300 attention.

00:28:57.220 And the way it

00:28:57.780 works is you need

00:28:58.500 at least one

00:28:59.120 major publication

00:29:00.120 to say something

00:29:01.680 is the right frame

00:29:02.760 or is the right

00:29:03.900 story, and then

00:29:05.200 all the others

00:29:05.840 just fall in line.

00:29:07.480 Stories don't

00:29:08.100 make themselves.

00:29:09.440 Stories are made

00:29:10.260 by the big

00:29:10.800 publications.

00:29:11.640 And then everybody

00:29:12.100 else says, well,

00:29:12.620 that's the story.

00:29:13.740 Because there are

00:29:14.160 a million things

00:29:14.700 you could talk

00:29:15.500 about, but the

00:29:16.780 big publications

00:29:17.500 tell you what you

00:29:18.320 will talk about

00:29:19.120 because everybody

00:29:20.060 falls in line.

00:29:21.500 So there's the

00:29:23.160 canary in the

00:29:24.620 coal mine for

00:29:25.160 you.

00:29:25.700 If you see

00:29:26.280 one, if you

00:29:28.140 see something

00:29:28.600 like New York

00:29:29.180 Times, like a

00:29:30.740 real profile

00:29:31.540 that's positive,

00:29:33.740 or Wall Street

00:29:34.900 Journal, or

00:29:35.500 Washington Post,

00:29:36.640 I guess.

00:29:37.760 So if you see

00:29:38.400 any of those

00:29:38.920 three, maybe

00:29:40.560 some of the

00:29:42.040 other media

00:29:43.120 doing a major

00:29:44.700 piece and they

00:29:45.800 talk about how

00:29:46.640 he's doing it

00:29:47.520 instead of a

00:29:50.400 hit piece,

00:29:50.820 which you

00:29:51.140 normally see,

00:29:52.700 or a love

00:29:53.500 letter, I

00:29:54.640 mean, if

00:29:54.840 they're just

00:29:55.780 objective about

00:29:56.620 it, then I

00:29:58.200 think he's

00:29:58.900 going to be

00:29:59.220 president.

00:30:00.160 You know, I'm

00:30:00.580 not sure how

00:30:01.020 many of you

00:30:01.460 would have

00:30:01.780 guessed that

00:30:02.380 Arnold Schwarzenegger

00:30:03.320 would be

00:30:04.540 governor of

00:30:05.360 California, or

00:30:06.120 Ronald Reagan.

00:30:07.840 You know, we

00:30:08.160 do like

00:30:08.700 entertainers, but

00:30:10.480 we also are

00:30:11.660 willing, we

00:30:12.520 being in

00:30:12.940 California, we're

00:30:14.300 willing to look

00:30:14.940 at anything that

00:30:15.580 looks like a good

00:30:16.240 deal in the end.

00:30:17.960 You know, I'm

00:30:19.300 not, you know, as

00:30:20.540 much as I and

00:30:21.340 other people say,

00:30:22.120 oh, it's about

00:30:22.560 your ethnicity,

00:30:24.180 because everybody's

00:30:24.940 woke in California,

00:30:26.120 or it's about your

00:30:26.700 gender or whatever.

00:30:28.420 Even though it

00:30:29.260 largely is, all of

00:30:31.340 that goes away if

00:30:32.940 the candidate is

00:30:33.760 good enough.

00:30:34.740 It just all melts

00:30:35.680 away.

00:30:36.120 Because that's what

00:30:36.800 Gavin Newsom did.

00:30:38.760 I mean, all of that

00:30:39.540 stuff didn't matter

00:30:40.260 to him, because he

00:30:41.740 was a good enough

00:30:42.460 candidate.

00:30:43.100 That's all you need.

00:30:43.740 And Schwarzenegger, too.

00:30:45.180 Schwarzenegger was

00:30:45.820 a good enough

00:30:46.600 candidate that he

00:30:47.860 just evaporated

00:30:49.060 those other

00:30:49.560 concerns.

00:30:53.360 So if all

00:30:54.100 newspapers support

00:30:54.940 them, we'll all

00:30:55.680 fall in line?

00:30:57.300 No.

00:30:59.780 That's the so-tell

00:31:01.220 for cognitive

00:31:02.740 distance.

00:31:04.780 It's been a while

00:31:05.580 since I mentioned

00:31:06.220 it, so some of

00:31:07.040 you are new.

00:31:08.260 When you see

00:31:08.980 somebody mischaracterize

00:31:11.040 what you just said,

00:31:12.180 starting with the

00:31:13.140 word so,

00:31:13.600 so, you're

00:31:15.580 saying that all

00:31:16.660 lizards can fly.

00:31:18.640 Whatever comes

00:31:19.360 after that word

00:31:20.100 so will definitely

00:31:21.880 not be what you're

00:31:22.880 saying.

00:31:24.540 And it's a sign

00:31:25.460 that the person,

00:31:26.860 their own argument

00:31:27.820 has fallen apart.

00:31:29.720 So when somebody

00:31:30.360 responds with a

00:31:31.320 so, you've

00:31:33.440 already won.

00:31:34.980 You can actually

00:31:35.820 just walk away

00:31:36.500 and go, oh,

00:31:37.100 there it is.

00:31:38.120 Victory.

00:31:38.940 There's the so.

00:31:39.600 And the first

00:31:41.400 time I ever

00:31:41.960 tell you that,

00:31:43.360 you think, what?

00:31:45.560 You can actually

00:31:46.420 tell when you've

00:31:47.080 won an argument

00:31:47.620 by that one

00:31:48.320 word?

00:31:49.220 Really?

00:31:50.320 Really?

00:31:51.040 That one word,

00:31:51.800 you put it in

00:31:52.240 front of a

00:31:52.660 sentence, and

00:31:53.780 that's all it

00:31:55.240 takes?

00:31:56.040 You don't even

00:31:56.700 need to know what

00:31:57.240 the rest of the

00:31:57.700 sentence is,

00:31:58.360 Scott?

00:31:59.100 Seriously?

00:32:00.480 Yes.

00:32:01.740 Yes, seriously.

00:32:02.800 When you start

00:32:04.540 looking for it,

00:32:05.780 you'll see it so

00:32:06.940 clearly.

00:32:08.460 Yeah.

00:32:09.060 All of this,

00:32:09.960 so what you're

00:32:10.800 saying is a

00:32:12.760 guarantee that

00:32:13.880 you just won

00:32:14.640 the argument.

00:32:16.260 Because, and

00:32:17.260 here's why.

00:32:18.860 If somebody still

00:32:20.040 had an argument,

00:32:20.880 they would have

00:32:21.260 used it.

00:32:22.560 They wouldn't

00:32:23.220 have to

00:32:23.600 mischaracterize

00:32:24.480 what you're

00:32:24.840 saying.

00:32:25.860 They would

00:32:26.420 simply use what

00:32:27.240 you're saying

00:32:27.700 and say, well,

00:32:28.660 here's why the

00:32:29.700 thing you're

00:32:30.120 saying doesn't

00:32:30.680 make sense,

00:32:31.700 if they had

00:32:32.140 an argument.

00:32:33.120 Otherwise, they

00:32:33.620 go, so what

00:32:35.020 you're saying

00:32:35.560 is that even

00:32:37.820 Hiller would

00:32:38.760 be okay as

00:32:39.420 your roommate.

00:32:40.260 Is that what

00:32:40.580 you're saying?

00:32:40.940 No.

00:32:42.160 No, nobody's

00:32:42.960 saying that.

00:32:44.100 No.

00:32:51.900 It's not good

00:32:52.860 for what?

00:32:55.800 All right,

00:32:56.480 let's see if

00:32:56.860 I can.

00:33:00.620 My claim

00:33:01.460 that my

00:33:01.920 oh, so

00:33:02.580 somebody's

00:33:02.940 saying that

00:33:03.300 my claim

00:33:04.040 that my

00:33:04.740 bad experience

00:33:05.600 with what

00:33:06.080 I thought

00:33:06.480 were

00:33:06.680 mushrooms

00:33:07.180 for me

00:33:10.440 to say

00:33:10.840 that maybe

00:33:11.280 it wasn't

00:33:11.760 actually

00:33:12.180 active

00:33:12.820 mushrooms

00:33:13.300 is

00:33:14.360 cognitive

00:33:14.840 dissonance.

00:33:16.160 Possible.

00:33:18.020 But,

00:33:18.540 there's no

00:33:19.240 trigger for

00:33:19.860 it.

00:33:22.480 In other

00:33:23.140 words, I

00:33:23.460 could be

00:33:23.720 wrong or

00:33:24.340 I could be

00:33:24.700 right, but

00:33:25.300 cognitive

00:33:25.720 dissonance

00:33:26.300 would require

00:33:27.120 that there

00:33:28.020 was something

00:33:28.500 about my

00:33:29.420 prior opinions

00:33:30.720 that this

00:33:31.820 would violate

00:33:32.420 and nothing

00:33:33.180 like that

00:33:33.600 happened.

00:33:34.620 So, there's

00:33:35.080 nothing that

00:33:35.620 could have

00:33:36.300 changed my

00:33:36.840 mind.

00:33:37.920 There's just

00:33:38.300 some knowledge

00:33:38.900 that I'm

00:33:39.300 lacking, which

00:33:39.900 is what was

00:33:40.380 in it.

00:33:41.460 Now, some

00:33:43.160 have said

00:33:43.700 that the

00:33:45.340 difference

00:33:45.680 between a

00:33:46.380 good trip

00:33:47.000 and a

00:33:47.360 bad trip,

00:33:47.940 if you

00:33:48.180 can call

00:33:48.520 it that,

00:33:49.480 on mushrooms

00:33:50.140 would be

00:33:51.260 how much

00:33:52.140 you liked

00:33:52.520 it, basically.

00:33:53.580 But, in

00:33:54.120 both cases,

00:33:54.820 there would

00:33:54.980 be a, I

00:33:57.560 guess,

00:33:57.820 psychedelic

00:33:58.540 or mildly

00:33:59.840 psychedelic

00:34:02.300 effect, and

00:34:03.160 I didn't

00:34:03.420 have any.

00:34:05.140 So, if

00:34:07.140 you take

00:34:07.520 something in

00:34:08.400 the higher

00:34:08.800 dose range

00:34:09.600 and you

00:34:09.980 don't have

00:34:10.280 any effect,

00:34:11.560 I'm not

00:34:11.940 sure you'd

00:34:12.320 call that a

00:34:12.720 bad trip.

00:34:13.560 All I

00:34:13.860 had was a

00:34:14.380 really bad

00:34:15.020 stomach ache

00:34:15.700 that lasted

00:34:16.660 24 hours.

00:34:20.580 Could be

00:34:21.300 just stale,

00:34:22.120 maybe.

00:34:23.660 Who knows?

00:34:27.020 So, I

00:34:28.660 don't think,

00:34:29.900 I think that

00:34:30.620 there was

00:34:30.880 something else

00:34:31.420 going on.

00:34:32.900 And two

00:34:33.500 people had

00:34:33.920 the same

00:34:34.280 experience at

00:34:34.960 the same

00:34:35.280 time, so.

00:34:36.820 I doubt

00:34:37.700 that, I

00:34:39.520 doubt that

00:34:39.920 both had

00:34:40.360 exactly the

00:34:41.060 same unusual

00:34:42.120 experience.

00:34:44.440 So, anyway,

00:34:45.240 there's not

00:34:45.480 much to say

00:34:45.840 about that

00:34:46.200 because I

00:34:46.480 don't have

00:34:47.160 enough

00:34:47.360 information

00:34:47.860 about what

00:34:48.280 it was

00:34:48.580 that I

00:34:48.860 ingested.

00:34:56.580 It wasn't

00:34:57.520 micro-dosing.

00:35:00.260 So, those

00:35:01.200 of you who

00:35:01.680 think I

00:35:02.340 didn't take

00:35:02.840 enough, I

00:35:05.400 followed the

00:35:06.740 directions.

00:35:07.860 I definitely

00:35:08.560 took it

00:35:08.960 off.

00:35:09.180 stuff.

00:35:11.280 But if

00:35:11.900 this doesn't

00:35:12.380 tell you to

00:35:12.820 not do

00:35:13.180 drugs,

00:35:13.640 nothing will.

00:35:21.920 It's

00:35:22.360 interesting, the

00:35:22.960 variety of

00:35:23.840 experiences people

00:35:24.740 have had.

00:35:25.540 It's really

00:35:25.880 interesting.

00:35:27.300 Yeah, so

00:35:27.760 apparently people

00:35:28.620 have had

00:35:28.960 experiences all

00:35:29.740 over the

00:35:30.020 place.

00:35:30.220 but I

00:35:31.680 suspect it's

00:35:32.340 because I

00:35:34.540 think we're

00:35:35.160 thinking that

00:35:35.760 the difference

00:35:36.380 is in us

00:35:37.480 and I

00:35:38.840 think that's

00:35:39.240 probably an

00:35:39.760 illusion because

00:35:41.520 there's no

00:35:42.020 quality control

00:35:42.820 for this

00:35:43.320 particular

00:35:44.120 illegal drug.

00:35:47.020 So, if

00:35:47.940 there's no

00:35:48.280 quality control,

00:35:49.940 it probably

00:35:50.680 has more to

00:35:51.200 do with the

00:35:51.640 product than

00:35:52.540 some state

00:35:53.420 you're in.

00:35:54.360 So, my

00:35:54.740 guess is that

00:35:55.280 you could be

00:35:55.700 in a bad

00:35:56.420 state and it

00:35:57.120 would put you

00:35:57.540 in a good

00:35:57.920 mood if

00:35:59.240 you got

00:35:59.560 the good

00:35:59.900 stuff.

00:36:01.040 And if

00:36:01.360 you were in

00:36:01.780 a bad

00:36:02.300 mood and

00:36:02.940 you got

00:36:03.180 the bad

00:36:03.600 stuff, you'd

00:36:04.540 think it was

00:36:05.160 because of

00:36:05.440 your mood, but

00:36:06.180 maybe it was

00:36:06.800 just a bad

00:36:07.720 bag of

00:36:08.220 stuff.

00:36:08.920 Who knows?

00:36:10.560 Who knows?

00:36:13.600 What do you

00:36:14.280 think of woke

00:36:15.020 corporations?

00:36:17.920 Well, isn't

00:36:20.720 today's

00:36:21.320 wokeness

00:36:21.980 tomorrow's,

00:36:25.140 let's say,

00:36:26.860 on the same

00:36:27.440 side of

00:36:27.860 history?

00:36:30.400 It's hard

00:36:30.940 to look at

00:36:31.380 stuff in

00:36:31.820 the present

00:36:32.320 because all

00:36:33.260 that matters

00:36:33.660 is how we're

00:36:34.140 going to look

00:36:34.500 at it in

00:36:34.920 a year or

00:36:35.720 10 years.

00:36:37.260 And, you

00:36:38.700 know, I

00:36:38.980 try to take

00:36:39.980 myself back

00:36:40.600 and say,

00:36:40.960 okay, what

00:36:41.340 would it have

00:36:41.840 been like

00:36:42.460 when corporations

00:36:43.960 were saying

00:36:44.620 we're going

00:36:45.020 to try to

00:36:45.420 make sure

00:36:45.880 we have

00:36:46.920 more diversity?

00:36:50.300 Today, that

00:36:50.940 sounds pretty

00:36:51.460 routine, doesn't

00:36:52.340 it?

00:36:53.800 It sounds

00:36:54.420 pretty, well,

00:36:55.000 that's just

00:36:55.320 normal.

00:36:55.880 Why wouldn't

00:36:56.260 they?

00:36:56.420 It's good

00:36:57.440 for them,

00:36:58.060 good for

00:36:58.340 the public.

00:36:58.880 Yeah, they

00:36:59.180 should put

00:36:59.460 some effort

00:36:59.820 into that.

00:37:00.760 Let's give

00:37:01.280 us some

00:37:01.580 diversity.

00:37:03.080 Now, if

00:37:04.540 you go too

00:37:05.260 hard on

00:37:05.720 that, it's

00:37:07.060 just

00:37:07.240 discrimination.

00:37:08.560 But there's

00:37:09.180 probably some

00:37:09.880 way to do

00:37:10.400 it that's

00:37:11.360 only a little

00:37:12.260 bit discriminatory

00:37:13.480 but gets

00:37:14.340 you some

00:37:14.720 benefits,

00:37:15.260 maybe.

00:37:16.260 So, if

00:37:17.180 you look at

00:37:17.560 that, if

00:37:19.140 you looked

00:37:19.480 at it when

00:37:19.980 it was

00:37:20.200 happening, it

00:37:21.840 just looked

00:37:22.340 like wokeness

00:37:23.360 gone too far

00:37:24.140 because I was

00:37:24.680 in the middle

00:37:25.040 of it when it

00:37:25.500 did happen.

00:37:26.240 I lost two

00:37:26.960 jobs because I

00:37:27.940 was a white

00:37:28.540 male.

00:37:29.460 So, when that

00:37:30.140 happened, I

00:37:30.580 said to myself,

00:37:31.260 well, that's

00:37:31.560 terrible.

00:37:33.260 It's an

00:37:33.780 overreaction.

00:37:34.960 Why are these

00:37:35.380 companies being

00:37:36.020 forced to be so

00:37:37.020 woke?

00:37:38.280 Why can't I just

00:37:39.280 do a good job and

00:37:40.300 get promoted for

00:37:41.140 my abilities?

00:37:43.820 Why did my

00:37:44.640 ethnicity have to 1.00

00:37:45.420 even be an

00:37:45.980 issue?

00:37:46.840 So, that's what I

00:37:47.500 thought at the

00:37:47.840 time.

00:37:49.200 But, because

00:37:50.480 of those and

00:37:51.220 other efforts,

00:37:52.840 corporations are

00:37:53.760 more diverse than

00:37:55.100 they used to

00:37:55.560 be.

00:37:56.500 And so, you

00:37:56.900 look at it

00:37:57.400 with now an

00:37:59.180 historical view

00:38:00.300 of it, and

00:38:01.740 even I, who

00:38:03.220 as I said,

00:38:03.880 lost two

00:38:04.640 jobs for

00:38:05.900 being a white 0.74

00:38:06.460 guy.

00:38:06.860 And I was

00:38:07.160 told that

00:38:07.480 directly by my

00:38:08.260 bosses, by

00:38:08.820 the way, at a

00:38:10.020 large bank and

00:38:10.880 then at the

00:38:11.280 phone company.

00:38:12.440 So, I'm not

00:38:13.060 guessing.

00:38:14.740 It's not a

00:38:15.400 conspiracy theory.

00:38:16.260 My boss in

00:38:17.700 both places

00:38:18.300 said, sorry, we

00:38:19.900 won't be able to

00:38:20.480 promote you

00:38:20.980 because you're

00:38:21.360 white and

00:38:21.760 male.

00:38:23.420 I hated it.

00:38:25.340 But, now I

00:38:26.240 look at it, you

00:38:26.900 know, 30 years

00:38:27.760 of distance in

00:38:28.480 the past, and

00:38:29.060 I say to

00:38:29.440 myself, you

00:38:30.660 know, I

00:38:32.080 don't know.

00:38:33.540 If that's the

00:38:34.380 only way you

00:38:34.880 could have

00:38:35.100 gotten here, and

00:38:36.820 things do look

00:38:38.020 better in that

00:38:39.720 one sense,

00:38:40.460 diversity has

00:38:41.120 improved.

00:38:42.260 I don't know.

00:38:43.280 It's hard for me

00:38:44.020 to judge it as

00:38:45.100 harshly as I

00:38:45.820 judged it.

00:38:46.260 When it was, it

00:38:47.540 was literally

00:38:47.980 screwing me. 0.90

00:38:50.040 So, the first

00:38:51.680 thing you have to

00:38:52.100 do is say, what

00:38:52.620 would it look

00:38:53.020 like in a few

00:38:53.660 years?

00:38:54.820 And one

00:38:55.820 possibility is

00:38:58.160 that in 10

00:38:58.940 years you're

00:38:59.520 going to say,

00:39:00.700 oh, yeah, what

00:39:02.300 Disney was

00:39:02.880 fighting for was

00:39:04.440 mischaracterized.

00:39:07.760 Because don't

00:39:08.440 you think both

00:39:08.960 sides are

00:39:09.360 mischaracterized?

00:39:10.800 When you look

00:39:11.300 at the Disney

00:39:12.260 thing and De

00:39:13.400 Santos and the

00:39:14.220 don't say gay,

00:39:14.840 both sides

00:39:16.540 mischaracterized

00:39:17.420 the other

00:39:17.760 one's point,

00:39:18.560 right?

00:39:19.460 That's why it's

00:39:20.320 just a stupid

00:39:21.380 debate.

00:39:22.500 It's really

00:39:22.900 just power.

00:39:24.580 It's people

00:39:25.200 doing what they

00:39:25.800 can because they

00:39:26.540 can because it

00:39:27.300 feels like power

00:39:28.120 and it gives

00:39:28.540 them a dopamine

00:39:29.080 hit.

00:39:29.780 But basically,

00:39:30.620 it's just two

00:39:31.160 liars facing off

00:39:32.380 with each other.

00:39:33.380 It's hard for me

00:39:34.080 to take sides

00:39:34.760 with liars.

00:39:37.620 Sometimes you

00:39:38.280 have to.

00:39:39.820 I know what

00:39:40.560 you're going to

00:39:40.840 say.

00:39:41.440 Sometimes you

00:39:41.980 have to.

00:39:43.240 But I don't

00:39:44.240 like to do

00:39:44.700 it if I

00:39:45.460 can avoid

00:39:45.860 it.

00:39:46.800 Like even

00:39:47.220 if the liar

00:39:47.840 is on my

00:39:48.380 side, I

00:39:49.800 don't really

00:39:50.200 want to

00:39:50.540 side with

00:39:51.060 a liar. 0.91

00:39:52.740 Not really.

00:39:54.280 But it's

00:39:56.040 entirely possible

00:39:57.000 that the only

00:39:57.620 way DeSantis

00:39:58.940 can prevail

00:39:59.840 and the

00:40:01.140 people on

00:40:01.520 their side

00:40:02.040 is to,

00:40:03.540 let's say,

00:40:04.180 exaggerate

00:40:05.020 what's going

00:40:05.640 on.

00:40:07.400 Exaggeration

00:40:07.920 is persuasion

00:40:08.640 and I'm

00:40:09.420 always in

00:40:09.760 favor of

00:40:10.160 persuasion

00:40:10.660 for a good

00:40:11.540 point.

00:40:12.980 So, you

00:40:14.040 know, there's

00:40:14.620 this line

00:40:15.080 where you

00:40:15.440 go from

00:40:15.780 hyperbole

00:40:16.320 to just

00:40:16.680 flat-out

00:40:17.160 lying.

00:40:18.680 And this

00:40:19.180 whole topic

00:40:20.380 is just,

00:40:21.140 to me, it

00:40:21.460 looks like

00:40:21.780 people lying

00:40:22.300 to each

00:40:22.660 other.

00:40:23.400 So I

00:40:23.840 feel a

00:40:24.200 little bit

00:40:25.160 like the

00:40:25.620 only part

00:40:26.020 I want to

00:40:26.360 talk about

00:40:26.980 is freedom

00:40:28.240 of speech.

00:40:29.740 And that's

00:40:30.060 why people

00:40:30.460 keep getting

00:40:31.200 mad at me

00:40:31.740 because I'm

00:40:32.240 not dealing

00:40:33.180 with the

00:40:33.760 issue.

00:40:35.140 And the

00:40:35.320 reason I'm

00:40:35.640 not is

00:40:35.920 because it's

00:40:36.220 just two

00:40:36.600 sides lying.

00:40:38.260 What am I

00:40:38.980 going to add

00:40:39.300 to that?

00:40:41.480 There's

00:40:41.920 nothing to

00:40:42.340 add to

00:40:42.640 that.

00:40:43.400 Just stay

00:40:43.840 away from

00:40:44.240 it.

00:40:44.800 Run away.

00:40:48.540 But the

00:40:49.320 only thing I

00:40:49.800 would add

00:40:50.120 is that if

00:40:51.400 you think

00:40:51.800 that Disney

00:40:52.320 is trying to

00:40:52.980 hurt your 0.73

00:40:53.480 children,

00:40:54.980 what the

00:40:55.720 hell?

00:40:57.260 They're not

00:40:57.860 trying to

00:40:58.480 hurt.

00:41:00.900 I think I

00:41:01.960 can say

00:41:02.300 this with

00:41:03.080 great

00:41:03.480 certainty.

00:41:05.180 That Disney's

00:41:05.880 intention is

00:41:06.640 not to hurt

00:41:07.140 children.

00:41:07.440 they have

00:41:09.100 a different

00:41:09.480 opinion of

00:41:10.060 what it

00:41:10.340 looks like

00:41:10.800 to help

00:41:12.940 them, I

00:41:13.260 guess, and

00:41:14.140 help everybody

00:41:14.680 else.

00:41:15.780 It's just a

00:41:16.300 difference of

00:41:16.740 opinion.

00:41:18.240 Now,

00:41:19.880 conservatives

00:41:20.440 consistently say

00:41:22.300 that the

00:41:22.680 family should

00:41:23.200 be in

00:41:23.480 charge of

00:41:23.920 stuff like

00:41:24.480 that.

00:41:26.280 And if

00:41:26.680 you have

00:41:26.980 a...

00:41:27.620 See, here's

00:41:28.340 why I think

00:41:29.040 there's a

00:41:29.340 difference.

00:41:30.260 Conservatives

00:41:30.700 are so

00:41:31.220 strong family

00:41:32.420 oriented that

00:41:34.040 once you start

00:41:34.740 with the

00:41:34.980 assumption,

00:41:35.260 okay, start

00:41:36.040 with a

00:41:36.340 strong family

00:41:37.040 and then

00:41:38.360 does it

00:41:38.720 make sense

00:41:39.280 that the

00:41:40.500 family has

00:41:41.380 more decision

00:41:42.660 making and

00:41:43.240 influence than

00:41:43.820 the school?

00:41:44.840 Well, yes,

00:41:45.200 it does.

00:41:46.160 If you start

00:41:46.820 with the

00:41:47.080 assumption of

00:41:47.540 a strong

00:41:47.880 family, then

00:41:49.380 other assumptions

00:41:50.180 follow from

00:41:50.700 that.

00:41:51.620 But if

00:41:51.980 you're, let's

00:41:53.500 say, on the

00:41:54.060 left and you

00:41:55.400 don't have an

00:41:55.980 assumption that

00:41:56.560 strong families

00:41:57.260 are necessary

00:41:58.240 or even

00:41:58.760 needed, then

00:42:00.620 it doesn't

00:42:01.760 make sense

00:42:02.300 that families

00:42:03.040 have the

00:42:03.400 power.

00:42:03.680 Because if

00:42:05.240 you're a

00:42:05.900 weak family

00:42:07.320 structure, there's

00:42:09.120 sort of nobody

00:42:10.000 to make the

00:42:10.520 right decision,

00:42:11.480 no way to

00:42:12.040 make it stick.

00:42:13.240 You might as

00:42:13.740 well let the

00:42:14.140 school do it.

00:42:15.760 Now, the

00:42:16.660 second question

00:42:17.260 is, if the

00:42:18.460 school's going

00:42:18.980 to do it,

00:42:19.560 whatever it

00:42:20.260 is, how

00:42:23.080 do they do

00:42:23.440 it right as

00:42:24.180 opposed to

00:42:24.560 making things

00:42:25.100 worse?

00:42:26.460 So, here's

00:42:29.620 where I think

00:42:31.080 you need to

00:42:31.540 understand the

00:42:33.080 decision.

00:42:33.680 If you

00:42:34.460 think there's

00:42:34.980 a right and

00:42:35.580 a wrong

00:42:35.940 decision on

00:42:36.740 this family

00:42:37.820 is deciding

00:42:38.540 versus the 0.55

00:42:39.820 schools deciding

00:42:40.620 what to tell

00:42:41.140 kids, there's

00:42:43.000 no right or

00:42:43.540 wrong.

00:42:44.600 There's only

00:42:45.060 what's right

00:42:45.620 for some

00:42:46.140 types of

00:42:46.820 families.

00:42:47.980 If you have

00:42:48.740 a strong

00:42:49.240 family structure

00:42:50.080 and two

00:42:50.820 capable parents,

00:42:52.660 then it's

00:42:53.140 absolutely better

00:42:54.100 for the family

00:42:54.740 to inform the

00:42:56.200 kids.

00:42:57.160 Would everybody

00:42:57.780 agree with that

00:42:58.400 statement so

00:42:59.020 far?

00:42:59.280 so far, if

00:43:02.400 you have a

00:43:03.060 capable parental

00:43:04.380 structure, they

00:43:05.960 should have the

00:43:06.600 maximum amount

00:43:07.520 of control over

00:43:08.340 their children.

00:43:08.940 That's the best

00:43:09.500 outcome because

00:43:11.100 they're really

00:43:11.460 capable.

00:43:11.980 By definition,

00:43:12.700 that's the

00:43:13.080 setup.

00:43:14.140 But now, let me

00:43:15.560 change it.

00:43:16.740 Let's say you've

00:43:17.340 got one parent.

00:43:18.340 It doesn't matter

00:43:18.920 the gender.

00:43:19.560 You've got one

00:43:20.080 parent.

00:43:20.380 It wasn't

00:43:21.500 anybody's fault.

00:43:23.100 Maybe.

00:43:23.940 You know, things

00:43:24.680 happen.

00:43:25.640 Parent is

00:43:26.360 overworked, isn't

00:43:29.020 good at

00:43:29.840 communicating, isn't

00:43:31.820 comfortable with

00:43:32.440 some topics, maybe

00:43:33.280 doesn't even

00:43:33.740 understand some

00:43:34.460 topics, and

00:43:35.440 really can't

00:43:36.180 educate the

00:43:36.780 kid.

00:43:37.760 Can't educate

00:43:38.480 them right, can't

00:43:39.200 educate them

00:43:39.640 wrong, just

00:43:40.000 can't.

00:43:40.780 Just doesn't

00:43:41.340 have the

00:43:41.620 capability.

00:43:42.800 What is the

00:43:43.320 best situation

00:43:44.040 for that

00:43:44.700 person?

00:43:46.380 Is it the

00:43:46.860 best situation

00:43:47.440 for that kid

00:43:48.160 to be educated

00:43:49.660 by that one

00:43:50.380 parent who

00:43:50.920 doesn't have

00:43:51.340 any ability

00:43:51.920 to get it

00:43:52.420 right?

00:43:54.020 I'm not

00:43:54.680 judging, right?

00:43:55.980 This is not,

00:43:57.420 don't interpret

00:43:58.320 this as racial

00:43:59.100 or anything

00:43:59.600 else.

00:44:00.580 Just some

00:44:01.080 parents are

00:44:01.560 better than

00:44:01.840 other parents

00:44:02.400 across all

00:44:03.720 types.

00:44:04.860 So, in a

00:44:06.220 situation where

00:44:06.820 you have a

00:44:07.640 completely useless

00:44:08.620 parent, I

00:44:11.100 don't know,

00:44:11.660 would the

00:44:11.960 school do a

00:44:12.540 worse job of

00:44:13.480 raising the

00:44:13.920 kid?

00:44:16.340 Who's ever

00:44:17.020 studied that?

00:44:18.560 And how do

00:44:19.040 you know if

00:44:19.600 that parent

00:44:20.260 is so bad?

00:44:21.960 So, when I

00:44:23.100 say I agree

00:44:23.820 with conservatives

00:44:24.640 about the

00:44:25.640 parents making

00:44:26.840 the choice, I

00:44:28.640 do, but you

00:44:30.040 have to

00:44:30.320 understand that's

00:44:30.980 only good for

00:44:31.560 people with

00:44:31.980 strong family

00:44:33.760 belief structures

00:44:34.740 and willing to

00:44:35.880 really make that

00:44:37.040 work.

00:44:37.800 It's definitely

00:44:38.440 better for them.

00:44:40.360 But one

00:44:41.760 size doesn't

00:44:42.360 fit all.

00:44:43.360 So you can

00:44:43.880 see why people

00:44:44.540 who have seen

00:44:45.180 the other kind

00:44:45.860 of life where

00:44:46.460 the family

00:44:47.100 structure is

00:44:47.780 just broken

00:44:49.460 everywhere, you

00:44:51.600 can see why

00:44:52.080 they say, you

00:44:52.560 know, let

00:44:52.860 the school do

00:44:53.400 it, because

00:44:54.140 there's no

00:44:54.500 family to do

00:44:55.160 anything here.

00:44:56.300 I can see

00:44:56.740 that.

00:44:59.260 But, as a

00:45:00.880 system, which

00:45:01.440 is better?

00:45:03.760 The system

00:45:04.660 that's better is

00:45:05.740 that the parents

00:45:06.320 do it if they

00:45:08.560 demand it.

00:45:09.900 That's the

00:45:10.440 better system.

00:45:10.980 So, you

00:45:13.180 know, ultimately

00:45:14.780 it's going to

00:45:15.260 be down to

00:45:15.920 power.

00:45:17.120 So whoever

00:45:17.500 has the most

00:45:18.420 power will

00:45:18.860 win, and it

00:45:20.140 looks like

00:45:20.600 DeSantis is

00:45:22.140 probably going

00:45:22.560 to win.

00:45:23.820 So that's

00:45:24.800 how the system

00:45:25.840 works.

00:45:26.940 All right.

00:45:29.600 What percent

00:45:30.360 of parents are

00:45:30.940 completely useless?

00:45:32.040 Good question.

00:45:32.920 I will put that

00:45:33.740 to the audience.

00:45:35.280 What percentage

00:45:36.060 of parents would

00:45:39.820 you say are

00:45:40.540 above the

00:45:41.220 line of

00:45:41.760 capable?

00:45:42.500 Wherever, above

00:45:44.260 the line of

00:45:44.900 capable.

00:45:47.260 All right.

00:45:47.580 So this will

00:45:48.760 be the capable

00:45:49.400 number, not

00:45:50.020 the incapable.

00:45:51.300 How many are

00:45:52.140 capable?

00:45:52.740 Somebody's

00:45:53.100 saying 75% of

00:45:54.360 parents are

00:45:54.760 capable, but

00:45:55.420 others 30.

00:45:57.200 See, that

00:45:57.920 probably informs

00:45:59.280 your opinion of

00:46:00.000 who should be

00:46:00.400 in charge,

00:46:00.900 right?

00:46:01.640 If you

00:46:03.000 thought only

00:46:03.540 25% of

00:46:04.740 parents were

00:46:05.180 even capable,

00:46:06.660 you might

00:46:07.100 lean toward,

00:46:07.780 well, let the

00:46:08.220 school do it.

00:46:08.920 Because, you

00:46:10.460 know, you

00:46:10.680 don't want to

00:46:11.000 ruin 75%

00:46:12.000 of kids.

00:46:14.400 Yeah, and I

00:46:15.060 guess we don't

00:46:15.520 know, and

00:46:16.020 everybody would

00:46:16.480 have a different

00:46:16.920 idea of what

00:46:17.560 capable looks

00:46:18.320 like, et

00:46:18.920 cetera.

00:46:20.080 But I'll tell

00:46:22.040 you my

00:46:22.340 observation is

00:46:23.040 that the

00:46:23.320 school raises

00:46:23.940 your kid no 0.98

00:46:24.520 matter what.

00:46:27.360 So I guess

00:46:29.080 part of the

00:46:29.540 reason that I'm

00:46:30.240 a little less

00:46:30.740 engaged in this

00:46:31.660 topic is that

00:46:32.980 if you've

00:46:34.340 observed children

00:46:35.260 at all, if

00:46:37.420 they go to

00:46:37.860 school, if

00:46:39.300 they go to

00:46:39.600 public school,

00:46:40.760 because that's

00:46:41.360 a separate

00:46:41.760 option, right?

00:46:42.920 You know, a lot

00:46:43.360 of people would

00:46:43.800 like to have

00:46:44.640 their option of

00:46:45.360 taking them to

00:46:45.900 a private school

00:46:46.540 or a different

00:46:47.340 school.

00:46:47.860 But if they go to

00:46:48.500 public school,

00:46:49.120 the school raises

00:46:49.760 your kid.

00:46:51.340 There's nothing

00:46:51.900 you can do about

00:46:52.480 it.

00:46:52.780 And it's their

00:46:53.320 friends who do

00:46:53.900 it.

00:46:54.880 Do you know

00:46:55.200 all that sexuality 0.69

00:46:56.620 stuff that you

00:46:57.960 want the parent

00:46:59.280 to teach?

00:47:00.500 It's coming from

00:47:01.360 their friends.

00:47:03.460 You know, the

00:47:03.840 parents can try.

00:47:04.580 hey, let me

00:47:06.000 sit you down

00:47:06.760 and tell you

00:47:07.900 all about this

00:47:08.480 LGBTQ stuff,

00:47:10.020 kids, when

00:47:11.040 you're old

00:47:11.380 enough.

00:47:12.420 By the time

00:47:13.480 your parents

00:47:13.960 sit you down

00:47:14.440 and talk to

00:47:14.920 you, the

00:47:16.520 kids' friends

00:47:17.120 have already

00:47:17.680 completely

00:47:18.220 indoctrinated

00:47:18.840 them into

00:47:19.480 whatever the

00:47:19.940 hell they

00:47:20.240 believe.

00:47:21.580 Now, the

00:47:22.520 good news is

00:47:24.520 that the whole

00:47:25.040 LGBTQ thing is 0.99

00:47:26.660 very accepted

00:47:27.940 in the younger

00:47:30.240 generation.

00:47:31.580 So it's

00:47:32.040 almost a

00:47:32.580 non-issue.

00:47:33.120 It's more

00:47:33.940 like a

00:47:34.300 curiosity, but

00:47:35.100 it's not

00:47:35.400 like a

00:47:35.740 judgment sort

00:47:36.560 of thing for

00:47:36.980 them.

00:47:38.600 Where did

00:47:39.080 they get that?

00:47:40.080 Did they get

00:47:40.560 that from the

00:47:41.020 school?

00:47:41.520 Did they get

00:47:42.200 that from

00:47:42.500 their parents?

00:47:43.060 No.

00:47:43.960 Most parents

00:47:44.580 don't say

00:47:45.040 anything.

00:47:46.800 Most schools

00:47:47.340 don't say

00:47:47.800 anything, except

00:47:48.720 I'll give you

00:47:49.940 an example.

00:47:50.520 When I went

00:47:51.000 to school a

00:47:51.520 million years

00:47:51.960 ago, we

00:47:53.920 had an art

00:47:54.560 teacher who

00:47:55.140 was, I'm

00:47:56.140 going to say

00:47:56.520 obviously

00:47:57.120 gay. 0.93

00:47:59.960 Could I be

00:48:00.720 wrong?

00:48:01.380 Yeah, I

00:48:02.000 suppose.

00:48:02.440 I could

00:48:03.240 have been

00:48:03.440 wrong and

00:48:04.000 everybody in

00:48:04.560 the town

00:48:04.840 could have

00:48:05.140 been wrong

00:48:05.600 and that

00:48:06.660 fine young

00:48:07.380 man that

00:48:07.820 he lived

00:48:08.180 with could

00:48:09.240 have been

00:48:09.460 just a

00:48:09.800 friend.

00:48:10.640 Maybe.

00:48:11.600 I mean,

00:48:12.560 but trust

00:48:14.580 me on this,

00:48:15.640 I had a

00:48:16.080 gay art 0.78

00:48:16.480 teacher.

00:48:17.400 Now, this

00:48:18.640 was well

00:48:19.080 before wokeness,

00:48:21.760 but I have

00:48:22.440 to say it

00:48:22.900 probably

00:48:23.300 normalized it

00:48:24.240 for me,

00:48:25.260 just by

00:48:26.900 example,

00:48:28.060 just the

00:48:28.680 fact that he

00:48:29.140 existed and

00:48:30.660 he wasn't

00:48:31.560 fired for

00:48:32.200 it.

00:48:33.420 People made

00:48:34.800 unkind remarks

00:48:35.720 behind his

00:48:36.220 back, of

00:48:37.040 course, in

00:48:37.800 those days.

00:48:41.120 But I

00:48:41.740 think it

00:48:42.020 normalized it.

00:48:43.400 So you

00:48:44.960 have to be

00:48:45.560 sort of

00:48:47.440 humble about

00:48:48.380 what a

00:48:48.740 parent can

00:48:49.240 even do

00:48:49.580 to a

00:48:49.880 kid.

00:48:51.140 Because the

00:48:51.880 kids are

00:48:52.220 just seeing

00:48:52.600 examples of

00:48:53.360 stuff and

00:48:54.220 talking to

00:48:54.680 their friends,

00:48:55.720 and that's

00:48:56.080 got to be

00:48:56.480 75% of it,

00:48:57.700 plus genetics.

00:48:58.700 If you

00:48:59.660 take the

00:48:59.980 kids'

00:49:00.580 genetic

00:49:01.040 propensities,

00:49:03.120 their peer

00:49:03.580 pressure, and

00:49:04.920 just the

00:49:05.260 stuff that

00:49:05.640 they're

00:49:05.820 observing on

00:49:06.500 TV and

00:49:07.120 everywhere else,

00:49:09.160 that's 90%

00:49:11.120 of their

00:49:12.620 socialization.

00:49:14.120 And the

00:49:14.380 parents might

00:49:15.000 be 10%

00:49:16.000 about pick

00:49:17.340 up, you

00:49:17.660 know, clean

00:49:18.040 your room and

00:49:18.740 show up on

00:49:19.180 time.

00:49:21.540 That's about

00:49:22.320 it.

00:49:24.860 But despite

00:49:25.760 the minimal

00:49:26.560 impact that I

00:49:27.660 think parents

00:49:28.100 actually have

00:49:28.660 on that

00:49:29.080 specific kind

00:49:29.860 of a

00:49:30.060 question, I

00:49:32.140 think the

00:49:32.520 system works

00:49:33.100 better when

00:49:33.700 the parents

00:49:34.120 have that

00:49:34.920 power and

00:49:35.380 not the

00:49:35.740 state, whenever

00:49:36.900 you can make

00:49:37.520 that happen.

00:49:38.840 Because one

00:49:39.480 of the choices

00:49:40.040 that the

00:49:40.440 parent could

00:49:40.880 make is,

00:49:41.460 oh, let's

00:49:41.820 the school

00:49:42.060 do it.

00:49:44.380 So maybe

00:49:45.100 that's just

00:49:45.500 a choice.

00:49:46.020 Or we'll

00:49:46.580 wait a few

00:49:47.000 years when

00:49:47.480 the kid is

00:49:47.840 older and

00:49:48.980 the school

00:49:49.340 can do it.

00:49:50.800 But really,

00:49:51.480 I guess the

00:49:52.020 question is

00:49:52.500 more about

00:49:52.840 the age

00:49:53.240 that's

00:49:53.440 happening,

00:49:53.880 isn't it?

00:49:54.520 It's not

00:49:54.880 even so much

00:49:55.560 was your

00:49:57.420 gay teacher 0.91

00:49:58.000 and ideologue

00:49:58.920 doesn't matter

00:50:00.860 to the

00:50:01.200 story.

00:50:04.600 And he

00:50:04.760 was, by

00:50:05.180 the way,

00:50:05.500 he had a

00:50:07.020 big impact

00:50:07.660 on me,

00:50:08.660 obviously,

00:50:09.420 since I'm

00:50:09.920 in art.

00:50:13.160 So I would

00:50:13.880 say he was

00:50:14.360 one of my

00:50:15.320 teachers who

00:50:15.920 probably had

00:50:16.300 one of the

00:50:16.660 biggest positive

00:50:17.500 impacts on

00:50:18.100 me.

00:50:18.260 all right.

00:50:28.120 And let's

00:50:29.360 see, let's

00:50:29.720 talk about

00:50:30.300 Ukraine.

00:50:31.100 Have you

00:50:31.320 noticed that

00:50:31.900 the Ukraine

00:50:32.680 story starting

00:50:34.520 to turn

00:50:35.020 into, well,

00:50:36.520 those Ukrainians 0.96

00:50:37.460 might be able

00:50:38.020 to destroy

00:50:39.180 enough Soviet 1.00

00:50:40.640 era weapons

00:50:42.260 that the

00:50:42.600 Russians are

00:50:43.080 using that

00:50:44.360 the Ukrainians

00:50:45.420 could actually

00:50:45.880 win.

00:50:46.140 So the

00:50:48.260 major media

00:50:48.920 is starting

00:50:49.420 to suggest

00:50:51.040 that those

00:50:53.140 Ukrainians have 1.00

00:50:54.080 pretty good

00:50:54.680 weapons and

00:50:55.600 they're getting

00:50:55.920 trained in

00:50:56.420 new weapon

00:50:56.840 systems that

00:50:57.640 maybe we

00:50:58.200 don't know

00:50:58.580 all the

00:50:59.320 details about

00:51:00.120 and that

00:51:01.640 the Russians

00:51:02.700 are being

00:51:03.160 at least

00:51:03.640 stopped or

00:51:04.240 repelled.

00:51:05.960 Now, here's

00:51:07.100 the interesting

00:51:07.540 thing about

00:51:08.020 the Ukraine

00:51:08.760 situation to

00:51:09.480 me, and

00:51:10.480 I hate the

00:51:11.280 fact that

00:51:11.640 war is

00:51:12.100 interesting,

00:51:13.140 but I

00:51:13.940 can't help

00:51:14.280 it.

00:51:14.500 The outcome

00:51:19.720 is going to

00:51:20.240 depend on

00:51:20.680 tipping points,

00:51:22.380 meaning that

00:51:23.100 there's going

00:51:23.860 to be a

00:51:24.080 whole bunch

00:51:24.580 of stuff

00:51:25.060 in the

00:51:25.400 context of

00:51:26.020 war that

00:51:27.060 gets really

00:51:28.000 close to a

00:51:28.700 failure point

00:51:29.460 but doesn't

00:51:30.660 necessarily fail.

00:51:32.680 But if any

00:51:33.280 one of those

00:51:34.000 things that

00:51:34.520 is coming

00:51:35.100 right to the

00:51:35.620 failure point

00:51:36.200 fails, then

00:51:37.040 you have a

00:51:37.700 result.

00:51:38.280 For example,

00:51:39.720 how much

00:51:40.160 equipment could

00:51:41.380 Russia lose

00:51:42.340 as a percentage

00:51:43.140 of its, let's

00:51:43.840 say, big

00:51:44.260 equipment before

00:51:45.680 it wouldn't

00:51:46.080 be functional?

00:51:48.620 25%?

00:51:49.240 Because it

00:51:49.580 might have

00:51:49.820 lost 25%

00:51:50.760 already.

00:51:52.680 40%?

00:51:53.400 If they

00:51:53.980 lost 40%

00:51:54.880 of their

00:51:55.200 big equipment,

00:51:56.500 would they

00:51:56.900 say, uh-oh,

00:51:58.220 we're going to

00:51:58.740 lose all of it

00:52:00.620 if we just

00:52:01.020 keep doing

00:52:01.420 this?

00:52:02.100 Like, at what

00:52:02.600 point would

00:52:02.960 they say, uh,

00:52:04.020 we have not

00:52:04.880 gained any

00:52:05.420 territory and

00:52:06.500 we're now

00:52:07.140 down to only

00:52:08.080 60% of our

00:52:09.100 army?

00:52:09.360 or whatever.

00:52:11.800 So, Ukraine

00:52:13.300 might actually

00:52:14.180 be close to

00:52:15.780 some kind of

00:52:16.280 a tipping

00:52:16.660 point militarily.

00:52:18.640 Maybe.

00:52:19.500 Now, what

00:52:19.960 about supply

00:52:20.600 lines?

00:52:21.940 We never

00:52:22.840 hear about

00:52:23.240 the Ukrainian

00:52:23.840 supply lines,

00:52:24.840 do we?

00:52:25.160 We only hear

00:52:25.820 that there are

00:52:26.260 problems with

00:52:26.840 the Russian

00:52:27.220 supply lines.

00:52:28.620 Could be

00:52:29.160 because the

00:52:29.720 locals are

00:52:30.800 providing food

00:52:31.740 and channels

00:52:33.040 to get it,

00:52:33.760 et cetera.

00:52:34.160 Who knows?

00:52:35.100 But, both

00:52:36.860 of those are

00:52:37.320 near a tipping

00:52:37.800 point.

00:52:38.180 There's got

00:52:39.220 to be a

00:52:39.520 tipping point

00:52:40.100 where one

00:52:40.680 of the

00:52:40.920 armies will

00:52:41.520 run out

00:52:41.880 of fuel.

00:52:43.260 One of

00:52:43.640 them runs

00:52:43.960 out of

00:52:44.780 bullets,

00:52:45.400 runs out

00:52:45.800 of, probably

00:52:46.500 not bullets,

00:52:47.440 but runs

00:52:47.980 out of

00:52:48.400 food.

00:52:50.720 There's got

00:52:51.320 to be a

00:52:51.580 tipping point,

00:52:52.120 right?

00:52:53.020 And, how

00:52:54.700 many drones

00:52:55.400 would it

00:52:55.760 take before

00:52:57.580 Ukraine is

00:52:58.620 clearly going

00:52:59.300 to win?

00:53:00.560 Well, they've

00:53:01.240 got several

00:53:01.700 hundred coming.

00:53:03.480 Is that

00:53:03.820 enough?

00:53:04.920 I actually

00:53:05.740 think several

00:53:06.440 hundred could

00:53:07.020 be close to

00:53:07.580 a tipping

00:53:07.920 point.

00:53:09.460 If it

00:53:09.980 were ten

00:53:10.340 thousand, I'd

00:53:10.960 say, okay,

00:53:11.360 that's enough,

00:53:11.860 they're going

00:53:12.100 to win, if

00:53:12.940 they were

00:53:13.180 trained to

00:53:13.600 use them and

00:53:14.160 they were

00:53:14.620 deployed.

00:53:15.740 It's not

00:53:16.220 going to be

00:53:16.440 ten thousand,

00:53:17.280 but it might

00:53:17.760 be a thousand.

00:53:19.100 If you had

00:53:19.860 a thousand

00:53:20.500 good drones

00:53:21.460 and, let's

00:53:22.700 say, 50 of

00:53:23.460 them were

00:53:24.040 reusable types,

00:53:25.500 not suicide

00:53:26.360 types, I

00:53:27.780 feel like that

00:53:28.400 would push it

00:53:29.140 over the

00:53:29.460 tipping point.

00:53:31.940 So, anyone

00:53:33.420 who says that

00:53:34.220 there's some

00:53:34.960 obvious way that

00:53:35.980 this is going

00:53:36.520 to go, I

00:53:37.360 think that's

00:53:37.740 the worst

00:53:38.240 prediction.

00:53:39.540 The worst

00:53:40.040 prediction is

00:53:40.700 that anything

00:53:41.140 obvious is

00:53:41.920 going to

00:53:42.140 happen, because

00:53:43.460 it's all about

00:53:44.020 these little

00:53:44.400 tipping points

00:53:45.040 and none of

00:53:45.520 those are

00:53:45.820 predictable.

00:53:47.180 Any one of

00:53:47.760 those could

00:53:48.160 go and just

00:53:49.360 collapse the

00:53:49.940 whole situation.

00:53:50.600 can you get a

00:53:55.280 micro lesson on

00:53:56.080 flirting?

00:53:58.220 Okay.

00:53:59.740 All right.

00:54:00.520 I'll give you a

00:54:01.100 micro lesson on

00:54:01.860 flirting.

00:54:05.820 Do everything

00:54:06.780 you can to

00:54:07.740 not have to.

00:54:11.500 So, if you're

00:54:13.180 flirting, and

00:54:14.040 that's the way

00:54:15.400 you're going to

00:54:15.820 win, if that's

00:54:17.760 all you've

00:54:18.120 got, you're

00:54:20.420 probably already

00:54:21.440 lost.

00:54:23.080 A better

00:54:23.720 strategy would

00:54:24.440 be to work on

00:54:25.360 your fitness and

00:54:26.220 your style and

00:54:27.080 make sure your

00:54:27.700 haircut and your

00:54:28.360 skin looks good

00:54:29.260 and, you know,

00:54:30.940 you're doing

00:54:31.580 everything you can

00:54:32.420 to present

00:54:33.580 yourself as

00:54:35.100 something that

00:54:35.640 somebody would

00:54:36.160 want.

00:54:37.180 Because if you

00:54:37.920 do that, then

00:54:40.300 flirting can be 0.96

00:54:41.120 reduced to,

00:54:42.600 hi, I'm Bob.

00:54:44.180 That's it.

00:54:47.300 If you get the

00:54:48.280 big stuff right,

00:54:50.020 the flirting is

00:54:51.020 just high.

00:54:52.240 Smile, make

00:54:53.040 eye contact.

00:54:55.840 Do you know

00:54:56.640 how a woman 1.00

00:54:58.120 can flirt?

00:54:59.060 Let me tell you

00:54:59.620 how a woman can 1.00

00:55:00.300 flirt.

00:55:02.780 I'm going to

00:55:03.420 give you my

00:55:03.940 impression, which

00:55:05.100 will be horrifying.

00:55:06.220 This is going to

00:55:06.700 be horrifying.

00:55:08.100 My impression of

00:55:09.100 a woman flirting 0.63

00:55:11.040 with maximum,

00:55:13.320 like, just

00:55:14.360 full force.

00:55:15.780 This is full-on

00:55:16.580 flirting.

00:55:21.040 Hi.

00:55:22.940 That's it.

00:55:24.340 Done.

00:55:26.480 Direct eye

00:55:27.320 contact and a

00:55:29.120 smile.

00:55:30.820 You're done.

00:55:33.540 Almost every

00:55:34.440 guy will think,

00:55:35.360 I think she's

00:55:35.980 into me.

00:55:37.260 I remember for

00:55:38.160 a time my local

00:55:39.340 grocery store was

00:55:41.340 forcing the

00:55:42.480 employees to

00:55:44.200 act extra

00:55:45.320 nice to the

00:55:46.180 customers.

00:55:46.860 It was like a

00:55:47.500 corporate thing.

00:55:48.680 You'd go in

00:55:49.300 there and they'd

00:55:50.060 be like,

00:55:50.380 how are you?

00:55:51.140 Nice day.

00:55:52.360 It was a little

00:55:53.020 over the top.

00:55:55.660 Not long after

00:55:56.680 that, they never

00:55:58.120 could hire an

00:55:58.940 attractive female 1.00

00:56:00.180 cashier.

00:56:01.780 Do you know

00:56:02.120 why?

00:56:03.260 Because it felt

00:56:04.000 like they were

00:56:04.400 hitting on you.

00:56:06.260 I think that

00:56:07.180 they probably all

00:56:07.780 got hit on back.

00:56:08.720 If the 65-year-old

00:56:12.940 guy with weird

00:56:13.980 hair at the

00:56:15.060 cash register

00:56:15.680 says, hey,

00:56:16.280 how are you

00:56:16.500 doing?

00:56:17.100 You just think

00:56:17.720 he's friendly.

00:56:19.240 But if the

00:56:19.760 28-year-old

00:56:20.920 attractive-looking

00:56:22.880 woman looks at 1.00

00:56:24.160 you directly and

00:56:24.820 says, hi, how's

00:56:25.940 your day?

00:56:27.300 Do you know

00:56:27.660 what every guy

00:56:28.340 thinks?

00:56:30.000 I think she's

00:56:31.040 into me a little

00:56:31.700 bit.

00:56:32.460 That feels like

00:56:33.240 flirting.

00:56:33.780 And it probably

00:56:34.180 was a problem.

00:56:34.900 So basically,

00:56:36.780 the attractive

00:56:37.780 female cashier 0.67

00:56:40.100 demographic just

00:56:42.180 disappeared from

00:56:43.000 that store and

00:56:43.660 never came back.

00:56:45.760 I don't know

00:56:46.480 why, unless it

00:56:47.480 was that.

00:56:49.520 Now, men, of

00:56:52.260 course, would be

00:56:52.780 harder to flirt.

00:56:53.800 But like I said,

00:56:54.440 you just have to

00:56:55.080 present yourself as

00:56:56.900 confident, primarily,

00:57:00.780 have a job and a

00:57:01.980 gym membership.

00:57:04.900 You're done.

00:57:06.720 Right?

00:57:07.300 Be confident, have

00:57:09.680 a job, and a

00:57:11.160 gym membership.

00:57:12.800 And things will

00:57:13.640 probably work out

00:57:14.320 for you.

00:57:15.740 That's about it.

00:57:18.060 Oh, and

00:57:18.460 interested.

00:57:19.180 Yes.

00:57:20.040 Well, the best

00:57:22.460 way to show

00:57:24.420 interest is to be

00:57:26.060 interested, to ask

00:57:27.520 people about their

00:57:28.280 situation, especially

00:57:29.560 if it's a bad

00:57:30.380 situation.

00:57:31.240 If you show

00:57:31.840 empathy, by the

00:57:32.880 way, this is the

00:57:33.420 best definition of

00:57:34.580 charisma.

00:57:37.660 I've mentioned

00:57:38.360 this before, but

00:57:39.160 it's worth it

00:57:39.820 again.

00:57:40.700 Charisma, I

00:57:41.540 heard it defined

00:57:42.320 once as a

00:57:43.860 combination of

00:57:44.540 power plus

00:57:45.400 empathy.

00:57:47.060 And when you

00:57:47.500 first hear that,

00:57:48.400 you're like,

00:57:48.980 hmm, how's that

00:57:50.040 work?

00:57:50.800 Why is that?

00:57:52.000 And I'll explain

00:57:52.740 it.

00:57:53.200 If you saw

00:57:53.760 somebody who had

00:57:54.260 power, but no

00:57:55.880 empathy, in other

00:57:56.860 words, they didn't

00:57:57.360 care about you,

00:57:58.480 they would

00:57:58.840 literally be

00:57:59.380 dangerous, or

00:58:01.200 feel dangerous.

00:58:02.160 You wouldn't

00:58:02.460 want that person

00:58:03.100 in charge, because

00:58:04.560 they don't care

00:58:05.060 about you, and

00:58:05.740 they have all

00:58:06.080 this power.

00:58:06.840 That's the worst

00:58:07.400 possible situation.

00:58:08.920 You wouldn't

00:58:09.560 want, necessarily,

00:58:11.360 to hang out with

00:58:12.000 somebody who had

00:58:12.520 plenty of empathy,

00:58:14.240 but no power,

00:58:15.740 because you're

00:58:16.140 probably going to

00:58:16.620 end up helping

00:58:17.240 them.

00:58:18.500 Now, you might

00:58:19.320 like helping

00:58:19.800 people, but in

00:58:21.480 terms of a

00:58:22.440 leader, you want

00:58:23.940 somebody who has

00:58:24.680 ability you don't

00:58:25.580 have, but also

00:58:27.180 cares about you.

00:58:28.680 Now, that goes

00:58:29.380 to flirting,

00:58:31.020 especially male

00:58:32.080 flirting.

00:58:33.400 So if you're

00:58:33.920 male, you have 0.88

00:58:35.520 to demonstrate

00:58:36.100 some kind of

00:58:36.800 power.

00:58:38.040 The power could

00:58:38.700 be confidence,

00:58:42.040 money, position,

00:58:44.300 it could be just

00:58:45.460 your physicality,

00:58:46.940 something like

00:58:47.420 that.

00:58:47.640 That's your power.

00:58:49.020 So it doesn't

00:58:49.460 have to be real

00:58:50.080 direct power, it

00:58:50.700 has to be like the

00:58:51.500 impression of

00:58:52.340 power, just the

00:58:54.500 impression, however

00:58:55.400 you want to sell

00:58:56.160 that.

00:58:56.400 So you create

00:58:57.480 the impression

00:58:58.780 of power, and

00:58:59.900 then you combine

00:59:00.520 that with interest

00:59:01.780 and empathy.

00:59:04.140 And instead of

00:59:05.500 using your power

00:59:06.300 to get what you

00:59:06.940 want, you say,

00:59:09.380 how can I help

00:59:09.900 you?

00:59:10.620 What can I do

00:59:11.160 for you?

00:59:12.240 How was your

00:59:12.900 day?

00:59:14.060 Oh, and then

00:59:15.000 show actual

00:59:15.480 interest.

00:59:16.200 Now, if you're

00:59:17.400 faking it, it

00:59:18.180 doesn't work.

00:59:19.860 People can see

00:59:20.720 through, you

00:59:21.360 know, falsehood.

00:59:22.780 But if you

00:59:25.460 actually do care

00:59:26.100 about people,

00:59:27.220 excuse me, it

00:59:28.620 would work fine.

00:59:30.480 So the best

00:59:31.260 flirting you

00:59:31.900 could do is to

00:59:33.020 be charismatic,

00:59:35.000 show you have

00:59:35.760 some kind of

00:59:36.260 power, you're

00:59:37.960 genetically, you

00:59:39.540 know, gifted, if

00:59:40.400 you are, you're

00:59:42.580 strong, maybe

00:59:45.180 because you made

00:59:45.780 yourself that way,

00:59:46.840 or you're

00:59:48.020 successful and

00:59:49.000 somehow you've

00:59:49.920 got to project

00:59:50.760 that in some

00:59:51.620 way that other

00:59:52.180 people can see

00:59:52.760 without you

00:59:53.380 bragging.

00:59:55.460 And then act

00:59:56.740 empathetic, and

00:59:58.060 you're done.

00:59:58.860 Boom.

01:00:00.000 But if you do

01:00:00.880 the overly

01:00:01.800 flirty, flirty

01:00:02.620 thing, that's

01:00:05.080 too much.

01:00:05.780 Now, I'll

01:00:06.200 also tell you

01:00:06.720 that a

01:00:07.280 compliment, if

01:00:11.700 it's given

01:00:12.220 sincerely and

01:00:13.380 confidently, can

01:00:15.160 act like a

01:00:16.240 flirt while

01:00:17.580 being just

01:00:19.320 matter of

01:00:19.780 fact.

01:00:20.740 So if you

01:00:21.360 do it right,

01:00:21.880 people will

01:00:23.880 accept the

01:00:24.340 compliment as

01:00:25.240 intended, and

01:00:26.240 it'll have a

01:00:26.580 big impact.

01:00:27.480 But you

01:00:27.740 don't have to

01:00:28.120 be, you

01:00:29.340 know, have a,

01:00:30.940 let's say, a

01:00:32.300 begging, simp-like

01:00:33.640 approach to doing

01:00:34.560 it.

01:00:34.900 You can just

01:00:35.360 say, just give

01:00:37.240 your opinion.

01:00:39.620 All right.

01:00:40.120 I believe that

01:00:41.720 I've now

01:00:42.360 accomplished the

01:00:44.320 impossible, made

01:00:46.860 a fascinating

01:00:47.620 wow, hour-long

01:00:50.420 presentation

01:00:52.060 without any

01:00:55.400 content

01:00:55.840 whatsoever, and

01:00:59.420 maybe improve

01:01:01.640 some of your

01:01:02.000 days.

01:01:02.840 You don't

01:01:03.160 know.

01:01:04.600 I don't

01:01:05.160 know.

01:01:06.000 So we'll see.

01:01:06.980 some of you

01:01:08.940 were going to

01:01:09.320 say it's the

01:01:09.780 best live

01:01:10.380 stream ever.

01:01:11.000 I know.

01:01:11.460 I know.

01:01:12.460 Some don't.

01:01:13.340 But I will talk

01:01:13.840 to you tomorrow

01:01:14.600 in any case.

01:01:16.700 See you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 25, 2022

Episode 1724 Scott Adams： Elon Musk Might Buy Twitter Today. Bill Gates Does Not Really Have Gigantic Breasts. And More

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