Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1728 Scott Adams： The Ministry Of Truth, Musk's New CEO Moves, Amber Turd And More

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody. And what a bunch of champions you are. Yeah, you are. Now,

00:00:15.960 it may be that you haven't won any actual competitions, but that's only because you

00:00:20.900 haven't tried. Imagine if you tried. Wow. The things you could do. And I don't think

00:00:29.380 that I'm going out on a limb here by saying you're better looking than ever. And today

00:00:35.620 we're going to have an amazing live stream or recorded session, as you prefer. And all

00:00:42.780 you need to take this to the next level, to the dopamine level that, well, people only

00:00:49.000 dreamed about. All you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen

00:00:54.440 jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:02.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day. It's the

00:01:10.160 thing that makes everything better. It's called, that's right, the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:01:16.200 Oh. Oh, I felt, I felt I was starting to get some cooties. And that just cleared it all

00:01:31.640 up. I have some news about a study that says that drinking coffee can cure COVID, cures COVID.

00:01:45.160 There was only one person in the study group. That was me. And I've never had COVID. So I

00:01:53.900 guess we got some proof there. Well, here's a real story. There was a truck that was loaded

00:02:01.840 with a lot of copies of Roget's Tessaurus. And do you know why I said there was a truck that

00:02:10.320 was filled with copies of Roget's Tessaurus? Because I don't know the plural of Tessaurus.

00:02:19.060 So I'm going to do the same thing that this tweet did. I don't want to say Tessauri, because

00:02:26.800 it feels like that's what it should be. And I don't want to say Tessauruses, because that

00:02:32.520 just sounds like something's going on with your mouth, like you're eating candy. When they

00:02:37.940 drop in the road, Tessauruses. So that doesn't even sound like it's a word. So let's just say

00:02:46.060 there were thousands of copies of Roget's. Anyway, here's the tweet. A truck loaded with

00:02:58.580 thousands of copies of Roget's Tessaurus spilled its load, leaving New York witnesses. Oh, in

00:03:05.060 New York. Witnesses were stunned, startled, aghast, stupefied, confused, shocked, rattled,

00:03:11.220 paralyzed days, bewildered, surprised, dumbfounded, flabbergasted, confounded, astonished, and

00:03:16.800 numbed. Excellent tweet from a user named Doc. Good work, Doc. But was it Tessauri? I think

00:03:28.100 it was. Well, I told you that I was going to introduce a regular black character in the Dilbert 1.00

00:03:35.900 universe. Now, of course, there have been characters of color in the Dilbert universe before, but

00:03:43.880 within the main cluster of the regulars, there was Ashok, who was born in India. But that

00:03:51.900 was it. So, and I always wanted to make the cast look more like the readers. And so I added

00:04:00.320 this new black character, I think it's next week that it runs, starting Monday, I believe.

00:04:06.300 And it's Dave, whose name will be Dave. And of course, the hard thing about having a black 1.00

00:04:13.060 character, if you're a white author, is how do you do it respectfully, but also comically?

00:04:22.300 Comically. Because those two things don't fit. How can you be respectful at the same time as

00:04:30.600 being humorous? You kind of can't do it, really. So you have to find some kind of a personality

00:04:37.880 characteristic that you can give your character that will keep you on that, let's say, dangerous

00:04:45.640 fence, but without falling off. Now, this is something that I would not have dared to do.

00:04:52.300 Earlier in my career, because the odds of me getting canceled for this, pretty good. What

00:04:58.880 evidence do I have that there's a good chance I'll be getting canceled for trying to make

00:05:03.900 my comic strip more diverse in a respectful way? Yes, I will get canceled for that. Already

00:05:10.620 a substantial newspaper chain has said they won't run the comic. So it's already been censored,

00:05:20.360 I guess you'd say. Now, by private industry, not by government. But yeah, one newspaper chain.

00:05:27.320 Now, you may not notice that because it's a chain that owns mostly smaller newspapers. But

00:05:33.700 I don't know if that will be the last newspaper chain that cancels this one.

00:05:39.020 So we'll see. Now, the approach I took was to have the Dilbert characters and Dilbert's boss

00:05:50.400 deal with the new character the way real people would deal with the situation. So it's just

00:05:58.340 that. That's all it is. So it's pretty innocent. There's nothing there that... I would say I

00:06:04.020 didn't put anything there that I thought would even be cancelable. You know, because it has

00:06:10.020 to run in newspapers, so it's not going to be that provocative. We'll see. This will be

00:06:14.980 a good test case. If it turns out that I get, you know, canceled because of this, I don't

00:06:20.900 mind going down that way. That would be sort of a good way to retire. Yeah. I'm at that point

00:06:27.560 in my career where if somebody offered me enough money to buy Dilbert, the IP, I would say,

00:06:33.560 well, if it's enough, I would retire tomorrow. But I won't stop doing this. But I can easily

00:06:40.460 stop doing the comic. All right. Did you see the video of Jim Acosta trying to accost?

00:06:48.340 Well, what are the odds of that? That his name is Jim Acosta and part of his job is accosting

00:06:56.320 people. Is that a coincidence? Well, that's weird. But he was accosting. He was Jim Acosting,

00:07:07.220 Marjorie Taylor Greene. And he was asking her why did she say something in a tweet. And it

00:07:14.600 doesn't even matter what the content is because the story is not about the content. So he makes

00:07:20.220 an accusation and she pushes back. And she basically says, if you're saying that you'd

00:07:27.160 like me to answer for what I said in a tweet, show me the tweet. I want to see the exact words

00:07:32.620 of the full tweet and then I'll respond to it. And he tries to just essentially explain the tweet

00:07:40.320 again. She says, no, no. And basically she goes right after him for his fake news approach.

00:07:47.140 And she goes, no, you're going to show me the actual tweet, the full tweet, or else we're

00:07:52.940 not going to talk about it. And he fumbles around with his phone. All right. All right.

00:07:56.760 I'll just show you the tweet. And then he comes up with an article about the tweet. And she

00:08:03.440 says, no, no, not an article about the tweet, the tweet, the full tweet, nothing cut out,

00:08:12.120 the entire tweet, just read it to me. And that'll answer your question. He couldn't do it. Because

00:08:19.820 when he did find the tweet, it very clearly didn't say what he was asking her to respond

00:08:25.440 to. It very clearly was a, you know, she hedged something just the way you would want something

00:08:31.060 hedged. And to watch her bust him like so, so clearly to show how, yeah, just, I mean, really,

00:08:43.720 the story was supposed to be about her poorly answering the question, right? That was supposed

00:08:48.680 to be the story. The story was that the way he asked the question is the story. And then her response

00:08:55.200 would be no comment, or that's what you expect in these kinds of interviews. But instead,

00:09:01.380 she basically just pushed him up against a wall, made her, made him prove to the world that he was 1.00

00:09:07.780 shooting blanks, and that he was just full of shit. And then she moved on. And I have to say, 1.00

00:09:14.560 I had not really been following her much at all. And I know she said a bunch of provocative things

00:09:21.740 that if I looked into him, I probably would not agree with. I don't even know what she said, but

00:09:26.320 horrible, provocative things, I'm told. So let's just assume I wouldn't agree with that stuff,

00:09:31.960 whatever it is. I just don't know what it is. But I have to admit, I kind of get it now.

00:09:38.900 Like, I was trying to understand why she was popular at all. You know, because I try to understand

00:09:43.560 that about everybody. Like, why is this person more popular? And then I saw that.

00:09:48.220 And what it was, it was pure power. She actually just knows how to wield power. 0.97

00:09:56.380 Now, is that good? Well, it depends if you agree with her. You know, if you don't agree with her,

00:10:03.660 I guess that's bad. But to watch her just dissect this guy while the cameras were rolling was

00:10:12.260 actually a treat. Like, I enjoyed it in a way that I'm not proud of, right? A little dopamine hit.

00:10:19.220 And I thought, wow, she actually does have the goods. I can see how she got elected, 1.00

00:10:24.300 even though I don't align with her views, I'm pretty sure. All right. Can you believe

00:10:30.860 that we're still talking about the drinking bleach hoax? And Aaron Rupar brought that up again,

00:10:37.800 so he was talking about it again on Twitter. But this time, enough people have been trained

00:10:44.960 about how to respond to that hoax that you all have links. So people started sending him links

00:10:50.960 to the company that was actually injecting a disinfectant into the lungs. The injection method

00:10:58.540 was like a ventilator. It goes down the trachea. And the disinfectant was UV light. Exactly what

00:11:07.700 Trump said. It was injected into the lungs. In this case, they were injecting it into the trachea.

00:11:16.100 But the talk was about, you know, extending it. So there was talk about extending it. And Trump was

00:11:22.200 talking hypothetically, like he was speculating, could you, in theory, inject it into the lungs?

00:11:30.280 Because it was already being injected into a trachea. So, you know, a little bit of a tweak,

00:11:36.240 and maybe you can get some kind of a device all the way into the lungs. So that was actually being

00:11:41.400 talked about. And so what happens when Aaron Rupar is presented with what would be, in theory,

00:11:53.460 one of the most embarrassing fact checks ever? Because he's talked about this publicly before.

00:12:00.120 So it would be kind of a bad fact check to get a fact check in public with a source. And I even

00:12:08.140 tweeted at him a Wall Street Journal article by, I think it was the president or one of the founders

00:12:15.860 of that technology, who said that he knew that the president was talking about their technology.

00:12:23.200 So it's the guy's actual company. And he confirms that, yes, they can inject light down into the,

00:12:30.420 at least into the trachea. And that, yes, that's what the president was talking about. He recognized

00:12:34.740 it immediately. Now, I recognized it immediately, too, because I'd been tweeting about that very

00:12:41.620 technology, you know, right before. And right before the president talked about it. So we know

00:12:51.020 exactly where it came from, the idea. It came from that technology. It was being trialed at Cedar

00:12:57.440 Sinai. I don't think it worked out, by the way, but it was being trialed. And so what would happen

00:13:04.620 if you were confronted with this completely unambiguous evidence? Well, at first, Aaron went,

00:13:12.760 Rupar went with the, he said, he tweeted, injected is the key, he said injected is the key word.

00:13:21.640 Basically, big difference. He said injected. So he was trying to make the case that it couldn't

00:13:26.260 be talking about light if he would use the word injected. But then you look at the technology

00:13:32.260 and you see that it's literally injected. And I guess the YouTube videos that this company

00:13:39.700 had up on YouTube were taken down. Do you know why? I don't think they do. Because it was

00:13:48.760 an actual trial. It was a legitimate trial to try to, the only reason I could think that

00:13:56.920 it was taken down is that it would make, it would make the hoax be more obvious. Because

00:14:02.840 if you could just link to the video, people would say, oh, that does look exactly like injecting

00:14:08.640 a disinfectant. That happens to be UV light. Yeah, I think that's exactly example of the

00:14:16.800 censorship that Elon Musk talks about. So it's kind of amazing. So after the injected part

00:14:25.520 was debunked and after the fact that it was obviously he was talking about light, that got

00:14:31.060 debunked by just showing the full transcript instead of the edited part. You could tell that

00:14:35.200 Trump was always talking about light. Aaron Rupar just goes silent. And you have to wonder what's

00:14:42.420 going on. Did he get his mind changed? Or does the brain not allow you to see that final piece of

00:14:53.480 evidence, the part that would have changed the mind? Does the brain just prevent you from changing

00:14:58.440 your mind? Cognitive distance. And so I'm actually genuinely curious. If I could talk to him in

00:15:05.020 person, I'd say, okay, all right, so now that you've been down this well, and you know exactly

00:15:10.660 that he always talked about light, he said light, he never said bleach, he said injected, but that's

00:15:16.280 actually what was being discussed. Now that you've walked him down that, what would he say?

00:15:22.940 Now, do you believe that he knew all along and he's just lying? Because he doesn't really act like

00:15:29.240 it. He doesn't really act like he's lying. He acts like he believed that the president actually said

00:15:35.220 that. But you know, it could be an act. I can't really read people's minds. So I'm actually curious.

00:15:42.240 Does he still actually believe that the president suggested injecting a disinfectant, like a liquid

00:15:49.680 disinfectant? And then when other people in the comments hear the debunk, which is devastatingly

00:15:59.680 completely, you know, 100% effective debunk, they say, well, that can't be true because the president

00:16:07.640 said he was just being sarcastic. Why would he do that? To which I say, well, how did it work out the

00:16:15.360 first time he talked about it? It didn't work out. Why would he do the same thing that didn't work out

00:16:21.860 twice? So he mentioned something that was a real technology that should have been fine. It should have

00:16:28.920 actually showed that he was ahead of the journalists because he would have known something they didn't

00:16:34.120 know at that time. So it should have worked out fine. It should have been a case of him knowing something

00:16:39.040 people didn't know. Instead, it turned out to this big embarrassing thing. So I would imagine

00:16:45.040 he would not want to do exactly what he did before, because you know what the journalists would say?

00:16:51.380 Even if he said, no, I was talking about light technology, they would say he's doubling down.

00:16:57.640 That's what they'd say. They wouldn't say, oh, he's talking about this real technology. No,

00:17:03.200 they'd say he's doubling down on injecting bleach. There's no way to win. So if he knew there was no way

00:17:12.000 to win, and I think that would have been the right instinct, he could have just said, ah,

00:17:16.720 I was just joking, to just try to make it go away. So there's a perfectly reasonable reason he would

00:17:22.920 try to make it go away, because there's no way to win. As long as the media was going to say anything

00:17:28.520 they wanted, the best he could do is just make less of it. Just say, ah, I was kidding. Make it go away.

00:17:35.660 That's not the way I would have handled it, probably. I think I would have made a run at

00:17:42.200 defending it. But who knows? That's why I'm not president. Good observation from Twitter user

00:17:52.100 Jason Andrews, who notes that Elon Musk's recent tweeting, now that he is going to own the company,

00:18:00.580 it looks like, is what I used to call the, or still do, the new CEO move. So the new CEO move is

00:18:09.920 whatever the new CEO does in the first weeks, because that defines who they are. Your first

00:18:16.960 impression tells everybody who you are, and then that lasts. So you don't always have to be an

00:18:22.360 outrageous version of that person. You could just set an example, do something a little theatrical that

00:18:28.420 says who you are, and then that defines you for the rest of your term. And it does look like Musk

00:18:35.120 is either intentionally or not, but it's working out that way. He's doing the new CEO move with his

00:18:41.240 tweets, because he's very clearly laying out his free speech position. He's very clearly laying out

00:18:50.420 that he's never going to take unserious, he's never going to take things that don't matter seriously. 0.72

00:18:54.980 Like he just laughs at things that are like dumb criticisms and stuff. So the fact that he thinks

00:19:02.220 it's funny that people are criticizing him in such a poor way, he's actually rating their criticisms.

00:19:10.540 I think he gave, he said he would give the Washington Post criticisms of him a bad review on Yelp.

00:19:17.680 It just wasn't done very well. And he just laughs at the whole thing, while he goes ahead and changes the world.

00:19:24.920 And I thought, yeah, that's, that's, that's exactly what's going on. And if I were to add something to

00:19:32.640 that, here's what I would add. So right now he's getting some heat for being too aligned with the

00:19:41.820 political right. But he says he's not. He says he's where he always was. But the left moved left.

00:19:49.900 And then there's a big debate on Twitter, did that really happen? Or did the right move right and the

00:19:54.620 left move left? And, you know, everybody's got their opinions. I'm not sure I care too much about that.

00:20:00.920 I think it's fair that they're, you know, we hear from more extreme people on the left and the right.

00:20:06.240 Okay. So that part's true. But here's what I would do if I were the new CEO, if I were the Musk and,

00:20:15.860 well, I don't think he'll be CEO, but let's say owner, I would do this. I would, I would say in public

00:20:24.360 what the biggest hoaxes were on the left and the right. I would just explain them. Because if he says

00:20:33.300 it, people will listen. If I say it, they just don't have to follow me on Twitter. They just block me.

00:20:39.260 But if he says that, they just sort of have to listen. Because you can't not listen to him. He's got the

00:20:44.380 trumpet magic now. If he talks, everybody's going to hear it. So anything he says can break that, that bubble

00:20:53.960 and almost nobody else can. He has a unique bubble bursting position in the world right now

00:21:01.220 that gives him all kinds of power. It's sort of like the Jim Manchin thing. Is it Jim? What is

00:21:08.960 Manchin's first name? Senator Manchin. It's like the Manchin thing. Joe, I'm sorry, Joe Manchin.

00:21:15.920 Joe Manchin. It's like that. I don't think Joe Manchin woke up and said, oh, I want to be the swing vote

00:21:22.280 and then I'll control everything. But that's how it worked out. Right? And I don't think Elon Musk

00:21:28.120 woke up and said, oh, I'm going to be the one person in the world who can be heard by the left

00:21:33.960 and the right. But he is. You know, I don't think that was a plan at all. I think it was just purely

00:21:42.160 accidental. He was just sort of being himself. And he suddenly finds himself the only person who can

00:21:48.280 pierce both bubbles. And so it would be fun to see him do it. Have him pierce both bubbles.

00:21:56.100 Because that would really tell you who he is. If he's really for free speech and he's against

00:22:02.240 misinformation, then I think he should give us a little free speech, his own, and tell us what he

00:22:10.640 thinks was a hoax and what wasn't. But it's got to be on both sides. And I was wondering, okay,

00:22:19.980 you know, I'm so in my own bubble. This is a brain check for ourselves. So do what I'm doing right

00:22:28.380 now if you like this way of maintaining your, maybe any semblance of rational thought.

00:22:35.580 Just consider how much of a bubble you might be in. Right? Because I'm doing that right

00:22:42.560 now. And here's where I hit the wall of my bubble. And I didn't realize I was running

00:22:48.780 really hard into a wall until I hit it. So I went to, I started making a mental list of

00:22:54.640 all the hoaxes on the left. I'm like, all right, the fine people hoax, the, you know,

00:22:59.920 the drinking bleachers. And I, you know, you can come up with like eight to 10 hoaxes that

00:23:05.900 are gigantic. Laptop, Russia collusion. You can just go on and on with all those hoaxes.

00:23:12.980 But then I said, all right, all right. But just to be fair, clearly there are just as many

00:23:17.660 on the other side. So I started to make my list of outright hoaxes. Now, we're not talking

00:23:24.600 about lies. I'm not talking about lies or just being wrong. I'm talking about something

00:23:30.760 that was clearly a hoax. Right? Something that even the people reporting it, they knew

00:23:37.080 it wasn't true. Or at least some of them. Right? And I started to make my list and I

00:23:43.980 couldn't really think of anything recently. You can think of things, but you have to go

00:23:50.380 back to like, you know, weapons of mass destruction and, you know, Pizzagate's sort of a special

00:23:58.100 case. That's not exactly a Republican thing. But help me out here. What would be, let's say

00:24:12.500 in last, let's say since the beginning of Trump's rise, what would be, from the beginning

00:24:21.120 of Trump on, what would be some examples of hoaxes, like major fake news that lived for

00:24:29.180 a long time, that was something perpetrated by the right? QAnon.

00:24:34.980 I don't know. QAnon feels like just a subgroup. It doesn't really feel like that's the right,

00:24:47.600 does it? Do you think of Q being associated with the right? I mean, they are. But it feels 1.00

00:24:55.640 a lot more like it's a subgroup. Oh, okay, there's one. The Dominion voting machines and

00:25:06.140 the Venezuelan dictator. Okay, that's a good one. Obama birth certificate, that's old. I'm

00:25:16.920 looking for something that sort of happened from the beginning of the Trump 2015-2016 era.

00:25:23.060 Yeah, so the Kraken is a good example. We got that one. I guess we could throw Q in

00:25:29.040 there. But Q is so many things, like so many topics. That one's a little, it's a weird

00:25:35.580 one. Oh, yeah. Pizzagate was during, okay. All right. I'll give you Pizzagate. The wall.

00:25:46.200 Well, I mean, you'd have to be more specific about the wall. All right. So, there you have

00:26:00.060 it. So, here's what I would recommend. I would love to hear somebody ask Elon Musk what he thought

00:26:08.320 of. Maybe show up with a list. Because he'll probably do a bunch of podcasts, don't you think?

00:26:14.940 You know, the high impact podcasts. And by the way, Elon Musk, if you're listening to this

00:26:21.540 live stream, and why wouldn't you? Duh. I invite you to an interview. I'm not sure how I would

00:26:33.440 do that. I'll find you somehow. I'll bring my iPad. We'll work it out. Anyway, we can talk

00:26:41.340 about the simulation. So, that's what I do. I'd love to see him debunk the left and the

00:26:47.080 right, and then you know where he stands. Because here's the thing. If somebody is willing to

00:26:53.940 put up $44 billion, I guess it's credit, but you know what I mean. If somebody is willing

00:27:02.300 to go this far into the Twitter thing because of free speech, don't you think he has a point

00:27:07.100 of view of what things besides the Hunter's laptop, which he's already talked about, don't

00:27:12.500 you think he has a mental list of what things were fake news? Wouldn't you like to hear that

00:27:18.220 list? Because what if he thinks things that are true were fake? That'd be scary, right?

00:27:26.640 So, what if he told you what he believed was true and false, and you listened to it and you said,

00:27:32.400 uh, is he believing a lot of things that aren't true? Because that would be scary as hell. Or how

00:27:39.160 about the opposite? How about there are things that you are positive or true, and Elon Musk says,

00:27:44.340 no, I looked into that. There's no way that's true. And you're going to say to yourself, wait,

00:27:49.400 what? I was positive that was true. What's that going to do to you? It would be awesome just to

00:27:57.540 see what happens. Uh, there's a graph going around Twitter about, uh, Democrats versus Republicans

00:28:05.320 and trusting scientists or trusting the scientific community. And it showed that right around 2016,

00:28:12.420 what was happening about then? Um, Democrats zoomed up in how much they trust the scientific

00:28:19.640 community at the same time that the, uh, Republicans, you know, went to the lowest levels of how much

00:28:27.900 they've trusted the scientific community. So, so there's this giant gap that just formed about the

00:28:33.880 time that Trump was elected. So what, how do you explain that? What, what would be, could you put it

00:28:42.900 in like one, one sentence? How do you explain it? Russia? No, not Russia. Because I'm not talking

00:28:51.680 about experts. I'm talking about scientific community. Um, yeah, somebody says it's not restricted

00:28:59.840 to just the scientific community. So I would say that mainly what happened is that the way the,

00:29:05.760 um, scientific community, uh, treated Trump and the way the fake news treated all of it

00:29:16.100 was such that, uh, the Democrats were brainwashed by their own media to think that the science was

00:29:23.500 always right. Cause that could mean that Trump was more wrong. So they had to build up science

00:29:30.680 to make that contrast with those, those ignorant Trump supporters. I think that's all that happened. 0.99

00:29:40.060 So when I tell you that the news assigns opinions, there it is. It did, did you wonder if that was a

00:29:48.740 hyperbole? When I, you know, I've been saying for years that people don't form opinions. The opinions

00:29:55.700 are assigned. They're assigned by the news. The news tells you, okay, you're a Democrat. Here's what

00:30:01.680 you think. They don't say it directly, but pretty directly. I mean, you can't miss the, you can't miss

00:30:08.100 what they're saying. So, uh, yeah, there's a, there's a genetic component here, but mostly, um, people are

00:30:16.700 just being fed their opinions. And that's just the starkest example. As soon as the news told people

00:30:23.020 the scientific community was more awesome than they'd ever imagined, they believed it. And when

00:30:28.160 the people watching other news were told that the experts were all live, they believed that. So they

00:30:34.740 were both assigned their individual opinions. Now, is one of them right? Yes. One of them is more right

00:30:42.160 than the other, meaning that somebody, we either should be trusting them more or should be trusting

00:30:49.420 them less, but I doubt it's exactly the same. I feel like, you know, there should be a lot more or a lot

00:30:56.480 less, but it'd be hard to argue that it should just stay the same. Well, you've heard about this new

00:31:04.760 disinformation board that Biden administration is going to have. And I have to agree with Dana Perino,

00:31:12.300 who said this on the five. Well, did they not ask anybody for an opinion before they rolled this out?

00:31:21.400 What was there not one person who leaned a little bit to the right who could have told them that

00:31:27.600 the disinformation board would be instantly, instantly and universally labeled the new ministry

00:31:36.480 of truth from 1984? How did they not see that coming? It was the most obvious thing that could

00:31:44.400 have happened, right? And I don't think it was like, it's not like one person thought of it and said,

00:31:50.020 hey, hey, this is reminding me of that obscure book, 1984, and that new ministry of truth thing.

00:31:57.600 And I, I mean, seriously, probably a million people had exactly the same idea when they saw

00:32:05.920 ministry of truth. Oh my God, it's finally here. I had no idea that things had gotten so bad.

00:32:13.660 And when I saw this story, that the thing that I kept shaking my head over is, is this real?

00:32:22.780 Like, I'm trying to imagine how the meeting went. Like, you can't even wrap your head around

00:32:27.380 this is actually real. Actually? Really? And as other people have asked, how's this going to work?

00:32:37.320 What exactly do they do? Are they going to fact check us? Because that's not going to work.

00:32:44.220 Because they're, you know, partisans. So what is it? How's it going to work?

00:32:48.280 But, you know, and a lot of people are giving a lot of grief to the person who was hired to be the head

00:32:55.180 of this disinformation board. Because apparently she has been, let's say, associated with some

00:33:00.700 disinformation herself, as well as bad singing. No, actually, she sings pretty well. But apparently

00:33:07.800 she's, like, singing show tunes with political words.

00:33:12.240 So she's definitely not, she's not one to be embarrassed. She apparently handles embarrassment

00:33:22.220 well, because she's quite a ham. I like that part about her, actually. But I don't think 0.64

00:33:30.020 she's going to last because of all the bad press she's getting. But there is a report that the

00:33:37.200 Biden administration is going to hire someone else to replace her already. They're looking 0.98

00:33:42.100 at Amber Turd to be the new minister of truth. And one of the spokespeople explained it this

00:33:49.000 way, quote, if America is going to shit the bed, we wanted someone with experience. So Amber 0.97

00:33:56.020 Turd would be kind of perfect for that. So we'll see if that happens. Or is it fake news?

00:34:04.280 You never know. You never know. Well, speaking of Amber Turd, the liar and blackmailer, according 1.00

00:34:14.200 to what we hear in the media, according to the trial, she sought a plush payoff from Johnny

00:34:23.100 Depp in an exchange for basically not blackmailing him. No, well, actually, it just was blackmailed

00:34:30.860 in exchange for not going public with their troubles. Now, let me ask you this. How in the world

00:34:41.220 does she ever get work again after this? Like, what director would say, I think I'll take a

00:34:49.800 chance on this? I don't see any problem. I mean, there probably are other actresses. Are there 1.00

00:34:59.180 not other women who can pull off a leading role or something? So it makes you wonder. Now, I've said

00:35:09.160 that Amber Turd is not, she's not like somebody who's got some personality problems. She's probably 1.00

00:35:18.800 in this category of the borderline personality disorder, vulnerable, narcissist, hysterical, 0.78

00:35:26.380 whatever. There's a bunch of words for it. But these people are monsters. They will do anything

00:35:32.640 to anybody. They have no conscious whatsoever. And the speculation from the experts is that

00:35:39.800 they're not born that way, but that there's some kind of early trauma, some kind of trauma

00:35:45.820 that turned them into essentially monsters. And I'm just going to go on record as doubting

00:35:56.140 that to be true. I do not believe that the people who fall into these categories, the Amber

00:36:03.860 Turd-like people, I don't believe that trauma is what caused them to be like that. I do believe

00:36:09.520 they had trauma in many cases, because almost everybody did. Have you met somebody who didn't

00:36:16.800 have any trauma? I haven't. So the first thing is, doesn't everybody have trauma? Now, if

00:36:23.960 you say, but it's a special kind, I say, yeah, even that special kind, you know, the sexual

00:36:31.240 abuse of all kinds, you know, every category thereof. But unfortunately, isn't that two

00:36:39.140 out of three women or four out of five? There's some like scary, outrageous number of ordinary 1.00

00:36:47.140 women who have had insanely bad experiences in that domain. But they don't all turn into

00:36:54.180 this kind of person. And here's what I think. I think the early trauma story is actually just

00:36:59.100 another lie by the people who only lie. So the people who have this personality checklist,

00:37:08.000 the Amber Turd checklist, if I call it that, they are liars. And so what if all the people 0.94

00:37:14.740 who are liars and accuse other people, and part of their checklist of behaviors is blaming

00:37:20.800 other people for whatever they're accused of? So they're always blamers of other people.

00:37:25.840 Don't you think that they went in and talked to their psychiatrist at one point and said,

00:37:31.180 yeah, I did all these terrible things. You know, why am I like this? And the psychiatrist

00:37:37.140 said, well, tell me about your early life. And then they tell them about the abuse, because

00:37:42.360 there almost always is some. And then the psychiatrist says, well, every time I talk to somebody with

00:37:48.220 this personality type, they've got this abuse. Very strong correlation. So it's probably the

00:37:54.560 abuse that's causing them to be like that. No, I don't think so. I don't think so. I'm not buying

00:38:00.620 any of that. I think that they are like that. And that it's nice to have an excuse, a way to blame

00:38:08.000 it on somebody else. So to me, it looks like just more of who they are. Everything they do is doing

00:38:13.460 horrible things and blaming other people for it. That's all they do. All day long, they're doing

00:38:19.880 horrible things and blaming other people for it. This is just another one of those. That's all it

00:38:25.980 is. And to imagine that you've discovered some great correlation when it's basically something

00:38:32.060 that's happened, unfortunately, to just about every female. And do you think that people are more likely

00:38:39.400 to do this if they're attractive? Do you think people are more likely to get away with the amber

00:38:45.400 turd-like behavior if they're attractive? Yes. Yes. Now here, this will get me canceled, but I think

00:38:55.140 you can handle it. If they are attractive, are they more likely to have been victimized by men 1.00

00:39:00.840 at some point in their past? Yes. So there's your correlation. Your correlation is that attractive

00:39:08.600 people tend to be more amber turd-like because they can get away with it. Nobody else could get away

00:39:14.820 with it. This is my big dog, small dog breeding example. Have you noticed that small dogs don't

00:39:22.780 behave? Like that's a thing. It's hard to train a small dog relative to a big dog. Do you know why?

00:39:31.160 Why is it easy to train a big dog but hard to train a small dog?

00:39:34.680 Because if a big dog misbehaves, you kill it. You don't let it breed. You're not going to let some

00:39:45.380 big-ass dangerous dog create more big-ass dangerous dogs. So probably throughout history, if you had a

00:39:52.520 big dog and it was a problem, you killed it. Right? So big dogs have probably been bred to be human-friendly,

00:40:01.980 where small dogs didn't really need it. Right? Small dog bites your ankle, you're like, ah. I mean,

00:40:09.620 you wouldn't even think not to let it breed, and you wouldn't think to kill it. You'd think, ah. Right?

00:40:17.540 So in the same way, I think that these narcissists are kind of bred because if you were a man and you

00:40:29.460 acted the way Amber Turd acted, I think you'd be in jail already, right? Am I wrong? A man would

00:40:37.520 be in jail for doing half of the stuff that she's done. So I think you get the attractive ones are

00:40:44.940 the ones who seem to be drawn to this, but it's only because they could get away with it. That's it.

00:40:49.140 That's the whole thing. All right. Here's another story that doesn't sound real.

00:40:53.700 Like, I swear to God, this next thing is not a joke. If you haven't heard this story yet,

00:41:01.360 you're going to swear I'm making this up. The FDA on Monday approved remdesivir for children 28 days

00:41:11.840 and older. Does that sound real? Like, do I even need to get into the details of that? Like,

00:41:20.700 I'm not the one who tells you that remdesivir is either good or bad, but I do know the pandemic's

00:41:26.460 over. And I do know that young kids weren't at much risk before, and they're certainly not now.

00:41:33.660 And I do know that remdesivir was at one point approved-ish and then less approved because there

00:41:41.700 were some dangers. There were some questions about the efficacy versus the risk. How in the world did

00:41:47.580 this get approved? And even if the numbers support it, like, it just doesn't sound real.

00:41:56.200 It just sounds... You know what it sounds like? It sounds like we either were in a simulation and

00:42:02.800 this is how we're finding out because the reality is just so stupid that you just say, okay, okay, 0.99

00:42:10.280 I know this has got to be a prank. This is either a scripted situation or the code is glitching because 0.97

00:42:18.220 there's a, you know, maybe there's some kind of capacity problem, so they're just reusing dumb ideas

00:42:24.540 or something. But, I mean, this doesn't even look real. Am I wrong? Like, when you hear this story,

00:42:31.300 remdesivir for little kids? Now? I guess. I'm not seeing much agreement, so maybe you don't agree

00:42:41.520 with that. All right, Rasmussen had a poll talking about Musk taking over Twitter. Here's a key number.

00:42:48.440 43% of those surveyed said they're more likely to use Twitter now that Musk owns it, while only 19%

00:42:55.400 said they're less likely. Did Elon Musk just make one of the best investments ever? That the only

00:43:04.620 thing he needed to increase the number of users substantially was to be the owner and then tweet

00:43:12.040 a bunch of stuff about free speech and then suddenly, massively, people would come onto the

00:43:17.620 platform? Is that all it took? Did he literally just tweet himself another half a trillion dollars?

00:43:26.100 I feel like he did. I feel like he just tweeted himself up another, well, he paid $44 billion.

00:43:32.420 I think it'll double in value. By the way, you know, I currently own Twitter until the sale goes in,

00:43:39.880 I guess. I own some stock. So I guess that doesn't matter at this point, because whatever happens to

00:43:44.320 my stock is going to, is independent of anything I say or do. But, wow. 62% of American adults, also

00:43:54.380 according to Rasmussen, believe Musk's purchase will make Twitter better. Okay. And only 13%

00:44:02.360 think Musk's purchase of Twitter will make it worse, while 12% don't think it'll make much

00:44:08.060 difference. Let's say 13%. So the people who think it would be better, if you take them out, see,

00:44:14.520 that would leave the people who don't know if it would be better or think it will be worse.

00:44:18.820 So let's say the 13% think it will be worse. 12% think it won't make much difference. So

00:44:26.460 if you were to add the 13 and the 12, that's a, it's a 13 and 12, it's a, it's 25, 25%. So

00:44:39.800 25%. 25%. Exactly the number who get everything wrong on every poll.

00:44:49.680 Of course, I don't tell you the ones where the 25% thing doesn't work. But it's so funny how often

00:44:55.140 it does. If you're just catching up to this, I always make fun of the fact that 25% of the people

00:45:03.000 answering any poll will get obviously the wrong answer. Just like obviously the wrong answer.

00:45:10.260 And here it is. How in the world is Elon Musk going to make Twitter worse? And how in the world

00:45:16.560 is it not going to, how in the world would it stay the same? You'd really have to be uninformed

00:45:22.300 to think it's going to stay the same or get worse. Like, you know, the only way I can imagine that is if

00:45:29.520 the internal sabotage is so great that there's nothing left for Elon to take over.

00:45:39.160 Meanwhile, the GDP fell 1.4%. That's not good. Not good.

00:45:51.500 I think it's almost time for me to recontact my liberal friend who I just couldn't stand speaking

00:45:58.680 to during the entire Trump administration. Because he finally got the ideal candidate

00:46:03.680 he wanted. He got his Joe Biden. And he got his, he got what he wanted. Higher crime, higher

00:46:13.000 taxes, higher inflation, falling gross domestic product, possible nuclear war with Russia.

00:46:19.480 So debacle getting out of Afghanistan. So he got what he wanted. And I'm thinking, 0.92

00:46:29.440 is he, is he almost primed that I could have a conversation with him about the pro and con

00:46:39.200 of Trump versus Biden? Do you think he's ready? No, no, of course he's not. I'm just kidding.

00:46:50.160 Of course he's not. Not even close. Well, Trump got on Truth Social. So it's his own, his own network.

00:47:00.640 But everybody was waiting for him to tweet, and he did. And his first tweet was, all in

00:47:05.720 caps, I'm back. And then hashtag, covfefe. Now, and that thrilled his people. And I guess

00:47:13.360 that's what, part of what drove Truth Social high up on the list. Because you knew Trump was

00:47:19.780 going to tweet pretty soon. So I have, I have now tweeted on Truth. I have thousands of followers

00:47:29.680 following me already. And so we'll see what happens with that. I have to say the interface

00:47:36.540 is pretty good. The Truth interface, pretty clean, pretty smooth. They did, actually, it's a good

00:47:46.000 job. I mean, it's obviously derivative of Twitter, but in a good way. It's smooth and it works. So

00:47:52.320 that's on the Apple, still waiting for the Android version. All right. Here's another tipping

00:48:02.000 point potential for Ukraine and Russia. So I've told you that the Russia-Ukraine thing 0.75

00:48:08.420 is going to be a war of tipping points. But we don't know which one will tip, because there's

00:48:13.600 so many tipping points that are near, such as which military runs out of food. They're both

00:48:20.400 close to something that looks like they could run out of food. Does one run out first? That

00:48:26.000 could be a tipping point. Same with ammunition, same with fuel. If any of them ran out of any

00:48:31.440 of those three things, food, fuel, ammunition, then that's a tipping point and it's over.

00:48:38.280 How about number of drones or number of tanks? There's some number of drones that will kill 0.70

00:48:46.240 some number of tanks, that that too would be a tipping point, right? How many tanks could Russia

00:48:51.920 lose before they say, okay, we just can't do anything here, right? If they lost 25%, that's

00:48:59.600 probably not enough. But suppose they lost 50% of all their tanks. Is there any number that would

00:49:07.680 make them say, okay, okay? It seems that we can't keep any tanks anywhere near the front. They just

00:49:14.640 blow up, because those darn drones or whatever it is the Ukrainians are using. So there are a number 1.00

00:49:20.800 of things that could be the tipping point. Ukraine running out of shoulder-mounted missiles.

00:49:27.600 If Ukraine runs out of shoulder-mounted missiles, or they run out of drones, it's probably over.

00:49:34.240 And I got to think that they're always close to that point of not having enough of them or running

00:49:40.320 out. So here's another one that I had not considered. Apparently, Russia is still selling plenty of

00:49:46.880 fuel, albeit at a great discount. But even at a great discount, they're still making a lot of money.

00:49:52.960 So Russia's economy is doing surprisingly well. But here's a new wrinkle. In order for Russia to trade

00:50:01.680 their oil to sell it, they need to go in between people. You know, the brokers, basically, who are

00:50:08.240 the middlemen, middle people, the middle they, who make sure that the Russian oil finds the right

00:50:15.920 market. And they also handle the sketchy stuff. So there's some brokers in this market who kind of

00:50:22.720 specialize on the dangerous countries and the dangerous providers. But even they have decided to

00:50:29.120 back out even before sanctions would have caused them to do it anyway. So now they're not going to

00:50:35.600 have middle people to sell their oil. Now, as was pointed out to me, Gregory Markles on Twitter,

00:50:44.960 that as long as Russia has oil, and there are tankers, and there are countries who want that oil,

00:50:55.520 probably you don't need that middleman as much as maybe you thought you did. But I ask you this,

00:51:03.280 how much would the lack of these traders or middle people have to degrade the Russian oil trade before 0.96

00:51:12.960 there was a tipping point? Because remember, nobody thinks that the oil, that Russia's oil exports will

00:51:19.040 go to zero. Nobody thinks that. But suppose it went down 10%. I think that they could probably hold on,

00:51:27.600 right? Suppose it went down 20%. Could Russia stay in business and still fund their military and be,

00:51:36.800 you know, solvent if their oil export went down 20%? I don't know. Somewhere there's a tipping point.

00:51:49.920 Is it 40%? My just economic, let's say, general knowledge says that if their exports went down 40%,

00:52:02.000 just because the efficiency of these traders was lost, because that could make a big difference.

00:52:07.440 They may be doing things like guaranteeing that contracts get fulfilled and that sort of thing.

00:52:12.320 If you take out those guarantees, it's just like it's a free-for-all. So I don't know. Does the process

00:52:20.080 even work at all when you take out the people who are guaranteeing both sides of the transaction? I'm

00:52:26.640 guessing. I'm guessing that it gives you some assurance that the transaction can happen to have these

00:52:32.400 middle people. So this one might be one to watch. Might be one to watch. So I do think there's a

00:52:42.480 tipping point. What do you think about the fact that the U.S., by giving 33 billion dollars in need

00:52:49.120 or whatever it is to Ukraine, that's the current move by the administration, how does Putin not take

00:52:57.520 that as war? And how has it not been war up to now? We're in this weird pretend situation where we

00:53:06.160 pretend the U.S. and Russia are not already at war in a practical way, a proxy war. To me, it's just

00:53:15.920 mind-boggling that we can keep up that pretense. We might as well just say we're at war, but we don't

00:53:23.040 want to go nuclear. So we're just going to push each other and see who can push the farthest,

00:53:28.400 push the most, without going nuclear. So none of that's good. But is it weird that we're not

00:53:36.000 more worried about a nuclear war? Or is it that we still think that Putin is rational,

00:53:44.880 even if he's made some bad decisions? He's still rational. And there's no way that would be

00:53:49.600 rational to go nuclear. I can't imagine. Because he has a path now to survive, but if he goes nuclear,

00:53:56.320 I can't imagine he would have a path to survive. All right, that, ladies and gentlemen,

00:54:03.840 is a conclusion of my poorly prepared remarks. I think you would agree. This has been a highlight

00:54:12.880 of your day, a highlight of possibly human endeavors since the beginning of time.

00:54:20.080 I don't want to go out on a limb. It might be hyperbole. It might not be. I don't know. It might

00:54:24.160 not be. But if you think that this is the best experience you've ever had and you're on YouTube,

00:54:31.760 hit that subscribe button because I never tell you to do that. All right, I will tell you a joke.

00:54:40.240 I wasn't going to do this, but I saw it in the comments. Amber Turd, given that she was complaining 0.97

00:54:48.160 about Johnny Depp, is part of the Meepoo movement. Yes, the Meepoo movement. I did not make that one up. 0.96

00:54:58.800 I read it in the comments. And I hope that we'll be done with these bad jokes.

00:55:14.880 One of your best. I think this was one of my best live streams. Thank you for noticing. I was going

00:55:20.560 to tell you if you didn't know. And I'm going to give you one hypnotic suggestion before you leave.

00:55:27.120 Are you ready? Now, you have to do this willingly because it doesn't work unless you like the

00:55:34.240 suggestion. In other words, it has to be compatible with something you wanted anyway. You ready?

00:55:40.000 You're going to have a really good weekend. There you go. And let me know how it was. I'll talk to you

00:55:51.840 tomorrow. Well, you can let me know on Monday, but I'll talk to you tomorrow anyway. Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 29, 2022

Episode 1728 Scott Adams： The Ministry Of Truth, Musk's New CEO Moves, Amber Turd And More

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