Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1730 Scott Adams： The Golden Age Is Upon Us, Trump Was Right Per Chomsky. Wow. What A Show

00:00:00.000 And that concludes the ASMR portion of our program.

00:00:07.280 The rest of it will be such high excitement that if you tried to sleep to this,

00:00:12.120 my God, I pity you.

00:00:14.000 The excitement that you are about to experience,

00:00:16.080 the full body pleasure, the dopamine rush,

00:00:20.300 unbelievable.

00:00:22.380 Usually the show is great, I have to say,

00:00:25.440 but today, it's other-level greatness.

00:00:30.420 The greatest greatness there's ever been.

00:00:31.920 There will be new concepts, new ideas, shocking twists and turns.

00:00:36.720 The sort of thing no one's ever seen before.

00:00:40.220 But can you enjoy this without being properly primed?

00:00:44.700 Of course you can.

00:00:45.720 But you can enjoy it more,

00:00:47.360 and all you need is a copper mug or a glass,

00:00:49.400 a tank or a gel, a canteen jug or a flask,

00:00:51.240 a vessel of any kind,

00:00:53.980 filling with your favorite liquid.

00:00:57.680 Gosh darn it, I like coffee.

00:01:00.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:04.480 It's the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:08.180 It's the thing that makes everything better,

00:01:11.000 and it'll fix everything in your day.

00:01:14.240 Go.

00:01:14.460 Go.

00:01:18.380 Ah.

00:01:21.360 Did you see that in the news,

00:01:23.980 was it a jeet pie?

00:01:29.880 Was getting some grief for having a gigantic coffee mug?

00:01:35.920 To which I say,

00:01:37.940 the more gigantic, the better.

00:01:40.400 Well, let's talk about all the news,

00:01:42.140 but before we do that,

00:01:43.740 special hello to Susan.

00:01:47.080 Susan at the Moss Beach Distillery.

00:01:49.100 And you, too, someday could get a special hello.

00:01:55.060 All you have to do is ask for it.

00:02:00.640 Turns out it isn't that hard after all.

00:02:03.220 But hello to Susan.

00:02:04.280 Everybody say hi to Susan.

00:02:06.580 And the golden age is upon us.

00:02:10.900 I don't know if you've noticed.

00:02:11.840 Let me start out with a bang.

00:02:15.980 Have you noticed

00:02:17.060 that

00:02:18.880 all of the biggest problems in the world

00:02:22.820 are heading toward a solution at the same time?

00:02:27.060 It's one of those things you don't notice,

00:02:28.800 because we always talk about the trouble.

00:02:30.980 So you don't notice anything positive.

00:02:33.620 What the hell?

00:02:34.320 Well, apparently something has exploded on me.

00:02:40.240 Okay?

00:02:40.880 I don't know what that is.

00:02:44.020 So here's some examples.

00:02:45.960 So we've got the pandemic is winding down.

00:02:49.440 That's good.

00:02:50.360 And we probably learned a whole bunch

00:02:52.120 about avoiding future pandemics

00:02:53.760 or minimizing them

00:02:54.780 or what to do and what not to do.

00:02:57.180 Wouldn't you say?

00:02:58.800 I would say so.

00:03:00.000 I'd say the whole pandemic thing,

00:03:01.920 as horrible as it has been,

00:03:03.160 and, you know,

00:03:04.000 there'll be lasting negative consequences.

00:03:07.020 But I think as a civilization,

00:03:09.140 we're stronger than we've ever been.

00:03:12.600 Because we know how to take care of the next one

00:03:14.760 way better

00:03:15.560 than we were prepared for this one.

00:03:18.760 How about inflation?

00:03:20.360 Inflation's out of control.

00:03:21.820 Gas prices are up, right?

00:03:23.020 So that's the way the news handles it.

00:03:24.680 It's all true.

00:03:26.280 But there are smart economists saying today,

00:03:30.060 according to the news,

00:03:30.940 that they believe we may have peaked.

00:03:34.180 That we may be at the top of the inflation.

00:03:37.360 And that you would see the,

00:03:38.540 what they call the flexible part

00:03:40.280 of the inflation coming down rapidly

00:03:42.300 in the summer.

00:03:44.100 There's still a sticky part

00:03:45.440 that'll take a while to work out.

00:03:47.420 But it's not the big part.

00:03:49.680 So we could be at the peak inflation

00:03:51.640 right now.

00:03:53.080 So the next month or so,

00:03:55.200 you might see it stabilize

00:03:56.160 or start to go down.

00:03:58.420 How about climate change

00:04:00.600 and, you know,

00:04:02.200 the catastrophe ahead?

00:04:04.220 Well, nuclear power

00:04:06.600 and nuclear energy

00:04:08.360 is going to be the solution to that.

00:04:10.220 And now it's a bipartisan agreement.

00:04:13.980 Democrats and Republicans

00:04:15.220 both say by majority,

00:04:17.640 yes, do nuclear, we need it.

00:04:19.260 We're starting to keep older plants operational.

00:04:24.040 There's a budget for that.

00:04:25.040 Biden's doing that.

00:04:26.620 And there's a fusion

00:04:27.740 that's starting to become practical.

00:04:30.100 Maybe in the next 10 years,

00:04:31.280 we'll have a fusion plant.

00:04:34.380 We've got these small Rolls-Royce type,

00:04:36.480 actually Rolls-Royce is a company

00:04:37.980 making actual nuclear reactors.

00:04:40.560 And they're making small factory-made modular units.

00:04:44.020 So they can be sort of approved once

00:04:46.420 and then you can implement them many times.

00:04:48.380 Cost-effectively.

00:04:50.560 Smaller size, already approved,

00:04:53.080 no new engineering,

00:04:54.400 just slapped together a bunch of them.

00:04:56.220 So basically the economics

00:04:57.540 and also the risk of handling the waste,

00:05:00.940 these problems are all solved.

00:05:03.220 Or they're right on the border of solved.

00:05:05.060 You know, you've got to work out a few kinks.

00:05:07.520 But they're all so solvable

00:05:09.080 with what we know how to do already,

00:05:12.640 you're really sort of at the worst of it

00:05:14.560 and it looks like it's going to turn

00:05:15.840 in the other direction very quickly.

00:05:17.200 What about free speech

00:05:19.420 and all the fake news?

00:05:21.620 That's the biggest problem in the world,

00:05:24.380 in my opinion.

00:05:25.780 Or maybe the highest priority to fix.

00:05:28.500 Because if you don't get the free speech fixed,

00:05:31.160 then everything else breaks.

00:05:33.480 But enter Elon Musk buying Twitter.

00:05:37.720 Now I'm not going to tell you that I know

00:05:39.360 that having one billionaire in charge

00:05:42.620 of such an important lever on free speech,

00:05:46.700 I'm not going to say that necessarily

00:05:48.660 that's going to be solved.

00:05:51.240 But it sure looks like it.

00:05:52.960 If I had to bet,

00:05:54.480 I would put a very large bet,

00:05:56.560 a very large bet.

00:05:58.520 I would easily bet a million dollars

00:06:00.800 that free speech will look better

00:06:02.980 in a year than it looks now.

00:06:04.280 specifically in the Twitter lever situation.

00:06:09.200 I would bet a million dollars that's true.

00:06:11.660 Would you take the other side of that bet?

00:06:14.100 I mean, anything's possible, right?

00:06:16.380 You know, Elon could turn out to be

00:06:17.940 an evil person who's been hiding it

00:06:20.080 for years or something.

00:06:21.000 But I'd bet a million dollars,

00:06:25.160 and I'd feel comfortable with that bet,

00:06:26.800 that if there were any way to measure it,

00:06:29.220 that we'd be way ahead in free speech.

00:06:31.920 And that, because it's Twitter,

00:06:33.900 and that influences the whole chain of news

00:06:37.740 and everything else,

00:06:39.600 that's heading in exactly the direction

00:06:42.160 I'd want it to head.

00:06:44.060 How about the experts being defanged?

00:06:47.580 Is that good or bad?

00:06:48.520 That our understanding of what experts

00:06:51.000 can and cannot do for us

00:06:52.420 is completely altered.

00:06:54.560 Is that good or bad?

00:06:56.920 It's good.

00:06:58.340 Because we're less susceptible to bullshit.

00:07:02.860 And then you add on top of that

00:07:04.320 that free speech may be coming back,

00:07:06.740 and that's starting to look good.

00:07:08.880 So our ability to communicate instantly

00:07:11.340 across the globe is in pretty good shape.

00:07:14.200 You know, the Internet is just amazing.

00:07:16.920 Everybody can talk to everybody.

00:07:18.200 That was a big thing for the pandemic, especially.

00:07:22.040 But if we're trying to figure out

00:07:24.420 what to do about the next emergency,

00:07:26.940 we really have to understand

00:07:28.520 the limits of our experts

00:07:29.880 and understand what they can and cannot do

00:07:32.420 in the fog of war.

00:07:34.720 And we should also be more forgiving

00:07:36.220 when they get it wrong.

00:07:39.200 So we should be improving in both directions,

00:07:41.780 and I think we will.

00:07:43.120 I think we should be more forgiving

00:07:44.560 in the fog of war,

00:07:45.760 and we should be even, let's say,

00:07:49.360 less forgiving

00:07:50.340 and more skeptical

00:07:52.140 when things are settled down, right?

00:07:55.020 It would be good to go hard

00:07:56.540 in both directions at the same time.

00:07:59.120 More skepticism,

00:08:00.700 but also more forgiveness.

00:08:02.040 I think that's happening.

00:08:06.160 What about, you know,

00:08:07.320 Ukraine and Russia

00:08:08.540 could turn into a nuclear confrontation,

00:08:11.640 but I don't think people expect it.

00:08:14.380 I don't expect it.

00:08:15.880 So I don't think that's going to happen.

00:08:17.620 You have to worry about it.

00:08:18.640 But I think the most likely outcome

00:08:22.260 would be a permanent understanding

00:08:25.640 that you can't attack your neighbor anymore

00:08:27.580 if you're a certain type of country.

00:08:31.540 You know, maybe far less industrialized countries

00:08:35.040 that nobody's paying attention to

00:08:37.080 can do some bad stuff to each other.

00:08:39.780 That'll last for a long time.

00:08:41.140 But in terms of a tank war,

00:08:44.520 I think this is the last tank war.

00:08:48.980 Does anybody disagree?

00:08:51.800 I think this is the last tank war

00:08:54.480 where you invade your neighbors

00:08:56.580 with heavy equipment.

00:08:58.200 I just don't see it happening again after this.

00:09:01.100 It's just so obvious

00:09:02.360 that the defensive weapons

00:09:03.680 are better than the offensive weapons

00:09:05.200 in this situation.

00:09:07.160 Somebody says no.

00:09:08.320 Maybe they'll be better tanks.

00:09:09.440 Who knows?

00:09:10.580 But I think that war,

00:09:13.140 war in terms of the World War II style

00:09:15.880 that we're seeing, unfortunately, again,

00:09:18.220 I think this is the example

00:09:21.160 that will just seal it for everybody.

00:09:22.860 It's like, okay, these tank wars don't work.

00:09:25.760 Because even if Putin gets what he wants,

00:09:28.040 it's not going to look like it was a good idea

00:09:29.900 to everyone else, right?

00:09:32.520 Even if Putin convinces Russia

00:09:34.280 that it was a good idea

00:09:35.240 because he controls their information,

00:09:37.420 nobody else is going to think

00:09:39.340 it was a good idea,

00:09:40.320 even if he gets control of Ukraine.

00:09:42.420 It's just not going to look like a good idea.

00:09:44.540 So that's good.

00:09:46.980 I think the supply chain issues,

00:09:48.780 which are bad

00:09:50.000 and might worsen a little bit

00:09:51.220 in the next month or so,

00:09:52.620 these are the kinds of things

00:09:54.580 that humans fix really well.

00:09:57.200 If there's one thing

00:09:58.200 that you could depend on humans

00:09:59.860 to fix,

00:10:01.340 it's the supply chain.

00:10:02.560 Because there's so many people

00:10:04.460 who have vital interests

00:10:05.820 and it's the most important thing

00:10:07.520 in the world right now, actually.

00:10:09.460 And there's so many ways

00:10:10.620 you can communicate.

00:10:11.740 There's so many ways

00:10:12.440 you can alter transportation,

00:10:14.940 emergency resources, etc.

00:10:17.920 It just seems to me

00:10:19.300 that this is exactly the kind of thing

00:10:21.780 humans are good at.

00:10:22.860 I'm not too confident

00:10:27.980 that the poorest countries

00:10:29.540 are going to come through this okay.

00:10:31.760 Maybe that's going to get pretty dire.

00:10:34.620 But I think that

00:10:35.500 we're going to go through

00:10:37.340 an uncomfortable bump

00:10:38.960 no matter who you are

00:10:40.620 and then it will be better.

00:10:43.180 And it will probably be better forever

00:10:44.500 because we'll figure out

00:10:46.280 where all the weaknesses are

00:10:47.460 and then we'll have a workaround

00:10:49.600 for every weakness

00:10:50.440 in the future.

00:10:51.440 These are really, really big things

00:10:54.820 that look like

00:10:55.640 minor efficiency improvements.

00:10:58.180 But these are the things

00:10:59.000 that make civilization survive.

00:11:01.960 And these go right to

00:11:03.080 survival of humanity.

00:11:06.100 So I think the food issues

00:11:07.360 will be fixed

00:11:07.980 and we'll probably rethink

00:11:09.060 our entire

00:11:09.620 how do you create food,

00:11:11.220 how do you grow it,

00:11:11.900 how do you fertilize it.

00:11:13.220 The fertilizer thing

00:11:14.080 is a big problem, by the way.

00:11:15.840 That was a big, big problem.

00:11:18.040 But

00:11:18.340 I think we'll have time

00:11:20.820 to put enough human ingenuity

00:11:22.460 into it

00:11:22.980 to fix it.

00:11:24.400 Because remember,

00:11:25.040 there was a time

00:11:25.540 when we thought

00:11:26.060 we would run out of food

00:11:27.140 entirely

00:11:27.720 and then somebody

00:11:29.220 invented fertilizer.

00:11:31.960 That was,

00:11:32.620 that plus

00:11:33.380 I assume

00:11:35.760 irrigation methods

00:11:37.000 would be the two things

00:11:38.940 and then pesticides,

00:11:40.000 I guess the third thing.

00:11:41.100 So those are three things

00:11:42.280 that I don't think

00:11:43.060 anybody foresaw

00:11:44.540 the inventions of.

00:11:47.840 That was a sentence

00:11:48.820 I wish I'd bailed out of earlier.

00:11:51.820 Right?

00:11:52.820 So don't you think

00:11:53.580 that there will be

00:11:54.260 new ways to make food,

00:11:56.360 new technologies,

00:11:57.800 you know,

00:11:58.000 just as fertilizer,

00:12:00.440 pesticides,

00:12:00.820 and irrigation techniques

00:12:02.540 could not have been foreseen

00:12:04.200 at one point,

00:12:05.400 there must be things

00:12:06.380 we don't see coming.

00:12:07.220 And I'll bet

00:12:10.040 we'll be surprised

00:12:10.700 on the upside.

00:12:11.580 The only thing

00:12:12.140 that I think

00:12:12.640 is broken

00:12:13.120 with no plan

00:12:14.260 in place to fix it

00:12:15.380 is election credibility.

00:12:19.380 Wouldn't you say?

00:12:20.560 If you're going to look

00:12:21.260 at problems,

00:12:22.520 it's not,

00:12:23.600 you could argue

00:12:24.240 it's not the biggest problem.

00:12:26.440 You could make that argument.

00:12:28.780 But

00:12:29.180 it's the one

00:12:31.680 that doesn't seem

00:12:32.300 to have anybody

00:12:32.880 working on it.

00:12:35.960 Which makes it unique.

00:12:37.220 right?

00:12:38.140 Because the other ones,

00:12:39.020 everybody says,

00:12:39.620 okay,

00:12:39.880 we're trying to fix

00:12:40.580 climate change

00:12:41.860 or we're working hard

00:12:43.380 on the pandemic

00:12:44.020 and everything.

00:12:44.880 Everybody recognizes

00:12:45.960 those as problems.

00:12:47.700 But even though

00:12:48.520 the public

00:12:49.040 has great skepticism

00:12:50.760 about the credibility

00:12:51.640 of the election system,

00:12:53.300 you know,

00:12:53.460 just the ability

00:12:54.120 to give us

00:12:54.620 an accurate count,

00:12:56.420 I don't really see

00:12:57.760 anything happening

00:12:58.420 there, do you?

00:13:00.020 It's the biggest problem

00:13:01.860 that doesn't have

00:13:02.520 anything that looks

00:13:03.400 like a solution

00:13:04.100 percolating in any way.

00:13:07.220 But I think

00:13:08.740 we'll get there too.

00:13:10.300 So I think

00:13:10.820 you could add

00:13:11.240 to this list,

00:13:12.180 we're in this weird,

00:13:13.080 weird place

00:13:13.660 where we definitely

00:13:14.880 had,

00:13:17.160 I mean,

00:13:17.640 civilization

00:13:18.320 just had the shit

00:13:20.060 slapped out of it

00:13:20.940 between the pandemic

00:13:22.740 and now the war

00:13:23.920 and the supply chain

00:13:24.900 and every other

00:13:26.060 damn thing,

00:13:26.640 inflation.

00:13:27.820 And I think

00:13:28.980 we're going to

00:13:29.380 actually handle it.

00:13:30.180 And if we do,

00:13:31.960 we're in really

00:13:32.800 strong shape.

00:13:33.980 So I think

00:13:34.300 that's where

00:13:34.620 we're heading.

00:13:35.360 So that's my

00:13:35.820 positive for the day.

00:13:38.040 The White House

00:13:38.520 correspondence dinner

00:13:40.160 happened.

00:13:41.380 I can just tell you

00:13:42.480 some of the better jokes.

00:13:44.240 The only thing

00:13:44.940 that's worthwhile

00:13:45.640 from it.

00:13:47.200 You know,

00:13:47.980 when you see

00:13:48.840 the White House

00:13:49.520 correspondence dinner,

00:13:52.060 to me that feels

00:13:53.160 like they're pulling

00:13:53.840 the curtain back

00:13:55.960 and they're admitting

00:13:57.680 to the world,

00:13:58.980 you know this is

00:13:59.600 all theater, right?

00:14:01.360 Like all the things

00:14:02.300 we say to each other,

00:14:03.620 you know we're all

00:14:04.260 lying and acting

00:14:05.220 and then when we

00:14:06.880 do this thing,

00:14:07.460 we'll mock the fact

00:14:08.400 that any of it

00:14:09.660 is serious.

00:14:12.140 So in a way,

00:14:13.520 I would say that

00:14:14.620 the White House

00:14:15.100 correspondence dinner

00:14:16.200 greatly decreases

00:14:18.380 the credibility

00:14:19.200 of our system.

00:14:21.260 Does anybody

00:14:21.900 feel that?

00:14:23.640 I would be

00:14:24.880 way more comfortable

00:14:25.680 if the correspondence

00:14:27.400 and the government

00:14:28.580 did not get together

00:14:29.860 and make jokes

00:14:30.560 and pretend

00:14:31.900 it was all

00:14:32.520 just an act

00:14:33.540 because that's

00:14:36.080 what we're afraid of.

00:14:38.820 Isn't it?

00:14:40.360 Isn't the thing

00:14:41.240 you're most afraid of

00:14:42.220 that the government

00:14:42.900 and the journalists

00:14:44.480 are colluding

00:14:45.420 is literally

00:14:47.180 one of our

00:14:47.800 biggest fears.

00:14:49.440 And so these

00:14:50.820 fucking idiots

00:14:51.560 came up with

00:14:52.340 a festival

00:14:52.980 to celebrate

00:14:54.180 our greatest fear

00:14:55.300 and to put it

00:14:56.260 in our faces

00:14:56.800 with lots

00:14:57.360 of visuals

00:14:57.860 so you can't

00:14:59.020 miss it.

00:15:00.060 Hey, here's

00:15:00.460 your greatest fear

00:15:01.300 that the journalists

00:15:02.720 are all in on it

00:15:03.700 and they're basically

00:15:04.780 just good friends

00:15:05.960 with the elites

00:15:06.640 and when they

00:15:07.720 get together

00:15:08.620 they all laugh

00:15:09.300 about all this

00:15:09.940 bullshit that you

00:15:10.720 think is real.

00:15:13.340 I'm looking at

00:15:14.080 the comments

00:15:14.580 and some of you

00:15:15.340 feel the same way,

00:15:16.140 right?

00:15:16.680 To me,

00:15:17.260 this is a massive

00:15:18.180 mistake

00:15:18.900 and it's one

00:15:20.960 that Trump

00:15:21.980 got right,

00:15:23.700 didn't he?

00:15:25.320 Trump got this

00:15:26.320 completely right

00:15:27.380 by not going.

00:15:30.760 What do I keep

00:15:31.660 telling you?

00:15:32.220 That Trump

00:15:32.740 would look better

00:15:33.640 the longer he's

00:15:34.860 out of office,

00:15:35.920 the better he

00:15:36.760 would look.

00:15:37.940 You just see

00:15:38.500 an example

00:15:39.040 almost every day.

00:15:41.060 You know,

00:15:41.420 here's another one.

00:15:43.200 There's no doubt

00:15:44.120 that as a citizen

00:15:46.360 when I'm watching

00:15:47.380 this,

00:15:48.000 I feel creepy

00:15:49.080 about it.

00:15:49.880 Like,

00:15:50.260 oh,

00:15:50.420 this is creepy.

00:15:51.920 They're supposed

00:15:52.500 to be on different

00:15:53.240 sides.

00:15:54.280 Our whole system

00:15:55.280 depends on them

00:15:56.120 having a proper

00:15:58.200 relationship.

00:16:01.880 And I'm not sure

00:16:02.560 that joking about

00:16:03.500 how serious

00:16:04.200 any of this is

00:16:05.000 is a proper

00:16:05.540 relationship.

00:16:07.100 Is it?

00:16:09.560 Well,

00:16:10.320 yeah,

00:16:10.620 we'll get to

00:16:11.040 Chomsky.

00:16:12.220 so here's

00:16:14.100 some of the

00:16:14.360 good jokes.

00:16:16.340 And these are

00:16:17.100 Biden's jokes.

00:16:18.020 So he has,

00:16:18.360 he has,

00:16:18.800 let me,

00:16:19.720 let me give a

00:16:20.200 shout out to

00:16:20.780 his joke writer.

00:16:22.480 Whoever helped

00:16:23.340 Biden write his

00:16:24.320 jokes,

00:16:25.080 pretty good.

00:16:25.920 Because they

00:16:26.520 weren't,

00:16:26.880 they weren't too

00:16:27.540 edgy.

00:16:28.260 They were sort

00:16:29.100 of just right

00:16:29.700 for the situation.

00:16:30.740 And some of

00:16:31.800 them were pretty

00:16:32.240 good.

00:16:32.620 Here's some.

00:16:33.940 Biden said,

00:16:34.780 Republicans seem

00:16:35.540 to support one

00:16:36.340 fellow,

00:16:37.380 Biden said,

00:16:38.400 some guy named

00:16:39.320 Brandon.

00:16:40.480 He's having a

00:16:41.100 really good year.

00:16:41.780 And I'm kind

00:16:42.420 of happy for

00:16:43.020 him.

00:16:44.480 That's a good

00:16:45.200 joke.

00:16:46.220 All right,

00:16:46.500 here's another

00:16:46.900 one.

00:16:48.960 He thanked

00:16:49.740 the 42% who 0.81

00:16:50.920 actually applauded

00:16:51.820 as he took

00:16:52.260 the microphone.

00:16:53.100 So self-deprecating.

00:16:55.020 But he self-deprecated

00:16:56.180 in a clever way.

00:16:57.720 I think he picked

00:16:58.600 the best poll

00:17:00.140 number of his

00:17:01.080 bad polls.

00:17:02.660 Because I think

00:17:03.420 it's lower than

00:17:04.080 42%

00:17:05.480 favorability,

00:17:06.440 isn't it?

00:17:06.900 Depending on

00:17:07.960 which poll.

00:17:11.220 So in a clever

00:17:12.720 way, he

00:17:13.200 self-deprecates.

00:17:14.660 But he actually

00:17:15.240 gave himself a

00:17:16.000 promotion, even

00:17:17.360 in the self-deprecation,

00:17:18.700 I think.

00:17:19.660 Yeah, I think it's

00:17:20.240 as low as 39%

00:17:21.600 elsewhere.

00:17:23.960 What is

00:17:24.460 Rasmussen?

00:17:25.980 I didn't want to

00:17:26.940 guess.

00:17:28.780 But, all right.

00:17:30.640 Here's another one.

00:17:31.540 He jabbed

00:17:34.760 at the press

00:17:35.400 saying that

00:17:36.220 they're the only

00:17:36.960 group of Americans

00:17:37.820 with a lower

00:17:38.440 approval rating

00:17:39.220 than his own.

00:17:42.600 You know,

00:17:43.340 good sort of

00:17:44.540 harmless joke.

00:17:45.840 But again,

00:17:46.660 it's alarming.

00:17:48.600 It's alarming

00:17:49.500 to see them

00:17:50.680 on the same team.

00:17:52.280 Hey, we're on

00:17:53.080 the same team.

00:17:53.700 Everybody hates us.

00:17:54.980 Let's get together.

00:17:56.640 All right.

00:17:57.020 But this is

00:17:57.640 his best joke.

00:17:59.360 So Biden

00:18:00.220 pointed out

00:18:00.820 that he's the

00:18:01.360 first sitting

00:18:01.860 president since

00:18:02.580 2016 to attend

00:18:03.920 this event.

00:18:04.920 And they said,

00:18:05.840 quote,

00:18:06.160 it's understandable

00:18:07.100 we had a horrible

00:18:08.320 plague followed

00:18:09.600 by two years

00:18:10.280 of COVID.

00:18:13.460 Nice.

00:18:15.400 Nice.

00:18:16.700 So the horrible

00:18:17.380 plague here being

00:18:18.220 Trump, if you

00:18:18.920 weren't following

00:18:19.500 the math.

00:18:22.340 Well done.

00:18:24.080 Well done.

00:18:26.640 All right.

00:18:27.240 And now here's

00:18:32.240 the one.

00:18:32.520 And he said,

00:18:34.400 this is also

00:18:35.080 something Biden

00:18:35.700 said.

00:18:36.460 He said it

00:18:37.060 would have been

00:18:37.440 a real coup

00:18:38.700 had Trump

00:18:39.540 attended this

00:18:40.260 year.

00:18:41.320 That would have

00:18:41.920 been a real coup.

00:18:43.580 He's actually

00:18:44.380 joking with the

00:18:45.580 press about

00:18:47.000 Trump organizing

00:18:49.360 a coup.

00:18:51.140 Now,

00:18:51.920 help me out

00:18:53.920 here.

00:18:54.160 January 6th

00:18:56.940 was either

00:18:57.640 an insurrection

00:18:58.560 and a coup

00:18:59.160 and one of

00:18:59.660 the worst

00:19:00.000 things that

00:19:00.460 ever happened

00:19:00.960 to the

00:19:01.240 republic.

00:19:02.480 That's what

00:19:03.060 Biden is

00:19:03.740 saying,

00:19:04.100 right?

00:19:05.120 Or,

00:19:06.040 or it's a

00:19:07.260 joke.

00:19:08.840 It's not

00:19:09.560 both,

00:19:10.920 you motherfuckers. 0.95

00:19:12.400 It's not.

00:19:13.800 Pick one.

00:19:15.160 It's either

00:19:15.540 the worst

00:19:16.000 thing that's

00:19:16.380 happened to

00:19:16.740 the republic,

00:19:17.440 that's what

00:19:17.840 all your

00:19:18.220 little toadies

00:19:18.880 are telling

00:19:19.260 us,

00:19:19.540 or it's

00:19:20.920 just a

00:19:21.400 fucking joke.

00:19:23.640 He treated

00:19:24.400 that as a

00:19:24.920 joke.

00:19:26.140 I'm going to

00:19:26.800 take his

00:19:27.160 leadership on

00:19:27.820 that.

00:19:28.800 Joe Biden,

00:19:29.520 I take your

00:19:30.000 leadership.

00:19:30.840 Now,

00:19:31.100 I get that

00:19:32.060 you're at an

00:19:32.540 event where

00:19:33.700 you tell

00:19:34.020 jokes,

00:19:35.120 but where's

00:19:35.780 his joke

00:19:36.240 about the

00:19:37.040 Holocaust? 0.83

00:19:38.200 Like,

00:19:38.500 where's the

00:19:38.780 Holocaust joke? 0.90

00:19:40.320 It's not

00:19:41.000 there,

00:19:41.320 right?

00:19:42.020 Do you know

00:19:42.360 why it's not

00:19:42.840 there?

00:19:43.960 Because the

00:19:44.560 Holocaust isn't 0.99

00:19:45.200 a fucking 0.88

00:19:45.580 joke.

00:19:46.580 That's why.

00:19:48.300 You know

00:19:48.560 what is a

00:19:48.920 fucking joke?

00:19:50.180 January 6th.

00:19:51.860 He just

00:19:52.220 told you

00:19:52.540 it's a

00:19:52.840 joke.

00:19:54.120 He joked

00:19:55.180 right in

00:19:55.620 front of

00:19:55.900 you while

00:19:56.720 the

00:19:56.880 investigation

00:19:57.360 is ongoing.

00:19:59.940 I don't

00:20:00.560 think you

00:20:00.920 can ignore

00:20:01.400 this.

00:20:02.300 Seriously.

00:20:03.100 See,

00:20:03.360 this is

00:20:03.600 why Trump

00:20:05.420 is smart

00:20:05.880 not to

00:20:06.260 attend.

00:20:07.320 This is

00:20:08.660 inappropriate.

00:20:10.560 Now,

00:20:11.140 I'm not

00:20:11.440 the person

00:20:11.800 who's going

00:20:12.120 to say

00:20:12.320 jokes are

00:20:12.880 inappropriate

00:20:13.480 as an

00:20:14.860 art form.

00:20:16.120 So I'm

00:20:16.420 not talking

00:20:16.780 about the

00:20:17.080 art form.

00:20:18.220 I'm talking

00:20:18.720 about the

00:20:19.160 president

00:20:19.660 treating

00:20:21.260 our current

00:20:22.000 biggest problem

00:20:22.860 according to

00:20:23.640 him and

00:20:24.600 his people

00:20:25.160 as a joke.

00:20:27.200 Pick one.

00:20:28.780 Pick one.

00:20:29.940 It's either

00:20:30.180 always a joke

00:20:30.820 or it's a

00:20:31.920 big problem.

00:20:32.380 Yes, I

00:20:35.800 told you

00:20:36.100 these

00:20:36.480 analysts at

00:20:37.620 UBS

00:20:38.080 think that

00:20:38.800 inflation

00:20:39.500 might have

00:20:39.900 peaked.

00:20:41.080 So it's

00:20:42.380 coming from

00:20:42.880 smart people

00:20:43.520 too, not

00:20:44.020 just from

00:20:44.480 me jabbering.

00:20:46.480 All right,

00:20:47.000 here's a

00:20:47.960 scary thing.

00:20:50.860 If you

00:20:51.540 were,

00:20:52.720 let's say,

00:20:53.600 hypothetically,

00:20:55.080 and I'm

00:20:55.580 going to

00:20:55.940 frame this

00:20:57.020 by saying

00:20:57.540 I'm

00:20:58.540 unaware of

00:20:59.380 any proof

00:21:00.660 that the

00:21:01.440 2020

00:21:01.940 election

00:21:02.440 was

00:21:03.360 illegitimate.

00:21:06.920 I'm

00:21:07.220 unaware of

00:21:08.220 any proof

00:21:08.680 of that.

00:21:09.800 I'm also

00:21:10.420 unaware of

00:21:11.720 any way you

00:21:12.240 could prove

00:21:12.760 it was

00:21:13.060 legitimate.

00:21:14.320 I don't

00:21:14.980 know that

00:21:15.280 anything could

00:21:15.800 be proved.

00:21:16.700 Since

00:21:17.080 nothing is

00:21:17.660 fully

00:21:17.960 auditable,

00:21:19.400 I would

00:21:19.660 say the

00:21:19.980 only thing

00:21:20.380 that we

00:21:20.800 citizens

00:21:21.840 can say

00:21:22.500 is that we

00:21:23.620 either accepted

00:21:24.460 it or we

00:21:25.140 didn't.

00:21:25.400 It turns

00:21:26.780 out that's

00:21:27.180 the only

00:21:27.400 thing we

00:21:27.700 can say.

00:21:28.820 I, from

00:21:29.780 the very

00:21:30.140 beginning,

00:21:30.820 accepted the

00:21:31.500 result.

00:21:32.920 And the

00:21:33.280 reason I

00:21:33.680 accepted it

00:21:34.320 is because

00:21:34.980 I knew you

00:21:36.140 couldn't

00:21:36.440 check, but

00:21:38.060 you can't

00:21:38.520 throw out

00:21:38.800 the system

00:21:39.400 if the

00:21:39.920 system is

00:21:40.400 the only

00:21:40.620 thing that

00:21:40.940 has a

00:21:41.160 chance of

00:21:41.560 ever fixing

00:21:42.100 this.

00:21:42.980 Like, you

00:21:43.360 want to

00:21:43.600 keep enough

00:21:44.060 of a

00:21:44.340 system alive,

00:21:45.800 you say,

00:21:46.260 okay, maybe

00:21:47.080 someday it'll

00:21:47.740 elect somebody

00:21:48.260 who can

00:21:48.480 look into

00:21:48.880 this and

00:21:49.840 maybe fix 0.58

00:21:50.540 it.

00:21:51.740 So, I

00:21:53.560 have no way

00:21:53.960 to know that

00:21:54.400 the 2020

00:21:54.900 election

00:21:55.260 was either

00:21:55.800 rigged or

00:21:56.240 not rigged.

00:21:56.960 That

00:21:57.060 information is

00:21:57.740 forever

00:21:58.180 unavailable to

00:21:59.900 us.

00:22:01.700 But,

00:22:03.060 hypothetically,

00:22:04.620 this is just

00:22:06.160 speculation.

00:22:07.660 Suppose you

00:22:08.600 were on a

00:22:09.140 team, a

00:22:09.820 political team,

00:22:11.220 that expected

00:22:12.580 to rig the

00:22:13.360 next election.

00:22:14.980 I'm not

00:22:15.380 saying they

00:22:15.780 are.

00:22:16.400 How would I

00:22:16.820 know that?

00:22:17.700 I can't read

00:22:18.260 anybody's mind.

00:22:19.780 But suppose

00:22:20.280 that happened.

00:22:20.980 It's just a

00:22:21.440 mental experiment.

00:22:23.040 What would

00:22:23.520 you be doing

00:22:24.380 around now

00:22:26.320 to make sure

00:22:27.840 that worked

00:22:28.340 out well

00:22:28.840 later?

00:22:29.460 Well, you'd

00:22:29.860 be preparing

00:22:30.400 your methods,

00:22:31.440 like how are

00:22:31.960 you going to

00:22:32.280 cheat and

00:22:32.780 get away with

00:22:33.380 it?

00:22:33.800 Again,

00:22:34.340 hypothetically.

00:22:35.260 I'm not

00:22:35.640 accusing anybody

00:22:36.360 of anything.

00:22:36.800 But the

00:22:38.700 most important

00:22:39.300 thing you'd

00:22:39.820 need to do

00:22:40.360 about now,

00:22:42.080 as the

00:22:42.560 election is

00:22:43.060 approaching,

00:22:44.120 is to create

00:22:44.980 some kind of

00:22:45.540 a narrative

00:22:46.000 that would

00:22:48.000 explain why

00:22:49.180 an election

00:22:49.680 result could be

00:22:50.620 so different

00:22:51.300 from what

00:22:52.500 the polls

00:22:53.120 and all

00:22:53.680 common sense

00:22:54.320 and observations

00:22:55.060 suggest they

00:22:55.820 should.

00:22:57.020 Because right

00:22:57.600 now history

00:22:58.080 is telling us

00:22:58.720 that the

00:22:59.180 Republicans will

00:22:59.960 sweep the 0.98

00:23:00.480 midterms.

00:23:02.040 And the

00:23:02.540 signal for

00:23:03.060 that is so

00:23:03.660 strong,

00:23:05.040 we would be

00:23:05.700 kind of amazed

00:23:06.520 if it didn't

00:23:07.020 happen,

00:23:07.460 wouldn't we?

00:23:08.660 Even Democrats

00:23:09.440 would be surprised

00:23:10.200 at this point.

00:23:12.000 So if somebody

00:23:13.820 planned to

00:23:14.440 rig an election,

00:23:15.180 and again,

00:23:15.540 there's no

00:23:15.840 evidence of this

00:23:16.460 whatsoever.

00:23:17.560 This is just

00:23:18.180 a mental

00:23:18.520 experiment.

00:23:20.280 If somebody

00:23:21.020 planned to

00:23:21.500 do it,

00:23:22.180 it would be

00:23:22.580 very important

00:23:23.900 that they

00:23:24.480 could seed

00:23:25.080 the public

00:23:25.680 with a

00:23:26.600 narrative that

00:23:27.280 could explain

00:23:28.080 an upcoming

00:23:29.500 inexplicable

00:23:32.240 thing.

00:23:34.160 And so

00:23:34.740 today,

00:23:35.320 we notice

00:23:35.900 with some

00:23:36.560 interest,

00:23:37.520 that Harry

00:23:37.900 Enten,

00:23:38.420 who's an

00:23:38.760 opinion guy

00:23:39.400 who writes

00:23:39.760 for CNN,

00:23:40.980 writes on

00:23:41.400 the CNN

00:23:41.800 website,

00:23:43.180 he describes

00:23:44.020 how Democrats

00:23:45.460 could win

00:23:46.120 the midterms.

00:23:48.180 Interesting.

00:23:50.320 So even

00:23:50.960 though in

00:23:52.040 the article

00:23:52.440 he confesses

00:23:53.360 that every

00:23:54.560 signal says

00:23:55.500 that the

00:23:56.080 Republicans

00:23:56.620 are just

00:23:57.100 going to

00:23:57.460 wipe the

00:23:58.100 Democrats

00:23:58.580 out in

00:23:59.140 the midterms,

00:24:00.100 every signal

00:24:00.740 says it,

00:24:01.180 historical

00:24:01.540 signal,

00:24:02.640 as well as

00:24:03.300 current ones.

00:24:04.480 The polls

00:24:04.920 show that

00:24:05.400 clearly.

00:24:08.460 But here's

00:24:09.340 how Harry

00:24:09.840 Enten says

00:24:10.560 that Democrats

00:24:11.360 could inexplicably,

00:24:13.700 by surprise,

00:24:15.360 nobody saw it

00:24:16.200 coming,

00:24:16.820 but after the

00:24:17.380 fact,

00:24:17.740 you could say,

00:24:18.080 well,

00:24:18.300 Harry Enten

00:24:18.780 saw it

00:24:19.120 coming.

00:24:20.240 And here

00:24:20.520 are the

00:24:20.740 three things

00:24:21.340 it's all

00:24:21.780 it would

00:24:21.980 take.

00:24:23.040 Number

00:24:23.240 one,

00:24:23.820 Harry

00:24:24.240 explains,

00:24:25.320 bad

00:24:25.760 Republican

00:24:26.300 candidates.

00:24:28.520 Well,

00:24:29.020 that's a

00:24:29.260 pretty good

00:24:29.580 comment.

00:24:30.640 If all

00:24:31.020 of the,

00:24:32.060 or if

00:24:32.600 most of

00:24:33.340 the

00:24:33.540 Republicans

00:24:34.020 running

00:24:34.400 for office

00:24:34.960 were just

00:24:35.940 terrible

00:24:36.280 candidates,

00:24:38.140 well,

00:24:38.520 that would

00:24:38.840 change things,

00:24:39.580 wouldn't it?

00:24:40.340 But what

00:24:40.740 are the odds

00:24:41.500 that there

00:24:41.820 would be

00:24:42.100 terrible

00:24:42.500 candidates,

00:24:43.200 like worse

00:24:44.460 than normal?

00:24:45.100 What would

00:24:47.400 be the

00:24:47.720 argument that

00:24:48.280 they would

00:24:48.560 be worse

00:24:49.160 than average,

00:24:50.640 like every

00:24:51.180 other election

00:24:51.960 and every

00:24:52.320 other time?

00:24:53.420 I don't

00:24:53.980 think there's

00:24:54.340 an argument

00:24:54.680 for that,

00:24:55.100 is there?

00:24:56.700 But do

00:24:58.200 you know

00:24:58.460 this has

00:24:58.840 an interesting

00:24:59.460 quality to

00:25:00.260 it?

00:25:01.220 Bad

00:25:01.680 Republican

00:25:02.200 candidates.

00:25:02.880 It's kind

00:25:03.160 of subjective,

00:25:03.860 isn't it?

00:25:05.120 Isn't that

00:25:05.540 interesting?

00:25:05.880 There are

00:25:06.700 three things

00:25:07.300 that would

00:25:07.560 change this

00:25:08.500 election from

00:25:09.320 a predictable

00:25:10.860 Republican

00:25:11.520 victory to

00:25:15.040 a surprising

00:25:15.800 result,

00:25:16.300 and one

00:25:16.520 of them

00:25:16.780 is subjective,

00:25:18.180 that the

00:25:19.000 Republican

00:25:19.460 candidates were

00:25:20.400 bad.

00:25:21.520 They were

00:25:21.700 bad.

00:25:22.700 They didn't

00:25:23.020 do enough

00:25:23.380 work.

00:25:24.400 They didn't

00:25:24.720 campaign right.

00:25:26.040 They didn't

00:25:26.340 have good

00:25:26.880 campaign

00:25:28.940 organization.

00:25:31.180 Isn't it

00:25:31.560 interesting that

00:25:32.260 one of the

00:25:32.800 three things

00:25:33.320 that would

00:25:33.600 explain a

00:25:34.420 surprise

00:25:35.140 election

00:25:35.640 result would

00:25:37.140 be something

00:25:37.580 that you

00:25:37.940 could always

00:25:38.460 say was

00:25:38.880 true and

00:25:39.320 nobody really

00:25:39.860 could prove

00:25:40.360 it?

00:25:41.340 Well,

00:25:41.840 here you

00:25:42.160 go.

00:25:42.880 All those

00:25:43.360 Republicans

00:25:43.860 lost,

00:25:44.560 therefore,

00:25:46.020 it's proof

00:25:46.600 they were

00:25:46.940 bad

00:25:47.240 candidates.

00:25:48.040 Wait a

00:25:48.280 minute,

00:25:48.380 wait a

00:25:48.580 minute.

00:25:49.800 The fact

00:25:50.540 that they

00:25:50.820 lose is

00:25:51.480 proof that

00:25:52.580 they were

00:25:52.800 bad

00:25:53.060 candidates?

00:25:54.860 Or were

00:25:55.680 the bad

00:25:56.120 candidates

00:25:56.660 what caused

00:25:57.400 them to

00:25:57.760 lose?

00:25:58.960 Wait.

00:26:00.600 You see

00:26:01.140 how interesting

00:26:01.680 this thing

00:26:03.160 is?

00:26:03.620 It's a

00:26:04.040 setup that

00:26:04.600 they can

00:26:04.860 just say,

00:26:05.260 well,

00:26:05.380 they ran

00:26:05.740 bad

00:26:06.040 candidates.

00:26:07.140 Nobody

00:26:07.380 can prove

00:26:07.800 they didn't.

00:26:08.780 Nobody

00:26:09.020 can prove

00:26:09.460 they did.

00:26:10.140 It's

00:26:10.380 purely

00:26:10.680 subjective.

00:26:11.840 What's

00:26:12.100 the second

00:26:12.440 one?

00:26:13.400 The second

00:26:13.880 one is

00:26:14.220 the economy

00:26:14.820 improves.

00:26:16.820 What are

00:26:17.400 the odds

00:26:17.960 that by

00:26:20.180 election day

00:26:20.780 there won't

00:26:21.220 be noticeable

00:26:21.900 improvement in

00:26:22.600 the economy?

00:26:24.520 I mean,

00:26:24.880 we could

00:26:25.200 slide into

00:26:25.720 a recession.

00:26:26.440 It could

00:26:26.780 get worse.

00:26:28.200 But if

00:26:29.680 it gets

00:26:29.980 worse,

00:26:31.080 then even

00:26:31.660 cheating isn't

00:26:32.320 going to

00:26:32.520 work.

00:26:33.800 Right?

00:26:34.240 If the

00:26:34.840 economy is

00:26:35.400 actually

00:26:35.680 worse than

00:26:36.900 right now

00:26:37.480 by election

00:26:38.520 day,

00:26:40.220 then there's

00:26:41.940 no Democrat

00:26:42.660 who has a

00:26:45.500 close race

00:26:46.180 who's going

00:26:46.500 to be too

00:26:46.800 happy about

00:26:47.240 that.

00:26:49.240 But it's

00:26:50.180 a good bet

00:26:50.820 that at least

00:26:51.900 on some

00:26:52.480 measures,

00:26:53.080 such as I

00:26:54.220 imagine the

00:26:56.200 inflation rate

00:26:56.900 will come down

00:26:57.600 by then.

00:26:58.380 That's a good

00:26:58.940 bet.

00:26:59.260 You don't

00:26:59.940 know,

00:27:01.160 but it's

00:27:01.520 a smart

00:27:01.900 bet.

00:27:02.980 So let's

00:27:03.580 say a few

00:27:04.100 of the

00:27:04.480 economic

00:27:04.960 indicators

00:27:05.520 improve.

00:27:06.340 Not all

00:27:06.960 of them,

00:27:07.940 but let's

00:27:08.300 just say a

00:27:09.040 few good

00:27:09.380 ones improve.

00:27:10.000 Let's say

00:27:10.260 the GDP

00:27:10.720 is no

00:27:11.180 longer

00:27:11.440 negative.

00:27:11.920 How hard

00:27:12.240 would that

00:27:12.520 be?

00:27:13.640 How hard

00:27:14.140 would it

00:27:14.420 go from

00:27:14.860 our first

00:27:15.560 negative

00:27:16.700 GDP to

00:27:18.480 a little

00:27:19.200 bit positive?

00:27:20.240 Let's say

00:27:20.560 up 1%.

00:27:21.280 Probably

00:27:22.200 not that

00:27:22.600 hard.

00:27:24.060 Right?

00:27:24.680 Supply

00:27:25.140 chain gets

00:27:25.600 worked out.

00:27:26.160 Ukraine

00:27:28.920 starts

00:27:29.400 negotiating

00:27:29.920 with

00:27:30.220 Russia.

00:27:32.100 All of

00:27:32.480 a sudden

00:27:32.800 inflation

00:27:33.620 goes down

00:27:34.400 25%.

00:27:35.340 So even

00:27:38.360 if the

00:27:38.720 economy is

00:27:39.260 still bad

00:27:39.960 and even

00:27:40.440 if Biden

00:27:41.560 and the

00:27:41.960 Democrats

00:27:42.840 are the

00:27:43.260 cause,

00:27:44.200 wouldn't

00:27:44.460 this give

00:27:45.060 Democrats

00:27:46.540 an argument

00:27:47.080 that the

00:27:47.580 economy

00:27:47.940 improved?

00:27:49.120 Well,

00:27:49.460 we told

00:27:49.800 you if

00:27:50.040 the economy

00:27:50.460 improved,

00:27:51.060 the Democrats

00:27:51.520 would do

00:27:51.800 better than

00:27:52.180 you thought.

00:27:53.200 Right?

00:27:53.760 So now

00:27:54.280 you have

00:27:54.580 two subjective

00:27:55.620 things.

00:27:59.080 Bad

00:27:59.600 Republican

00:28:00.040 candidates,

00:28:00.900 nobody would

00:28:01.500 agree what

00:28:01.940 that looks

00:28:02.320 like,

00:28:02.940 and economy

00:28:03.580 improves,

00:28:04.500 which is

00:28:04.960 almost

00:28:05.260 guaranteed

00:28:05.820 just by

00:28:06.660 sitting around

00:28:07.260 and waiting.

00:28:09.800 Now

00:28:10.020 those are

00:28:11.420 two pretty

00:28:12.100 weak indicators,

00:28:13.320 aren't they?

00:28:14.580 And then

00:28:15.000 the third

00:28:15.340 one is

00:28:15.700 Democrats

00:28:16.380 basically have

00:28:17.620 to turn

00:28:17.960 out and

00:28:18.360 vote for

00:28:18.740 Biden.

00:28:19.720 So they

00:28:20.040 have to

00:28:20.260 give a

00:28:20.520 good

00:28:20.720 turnout.

00:28:22.300 What do

00:28:22.760 you think

00:28:22.960 would happen

00:28:23.400 if an

00:28:23.820 unusual

00:28:24.280 number of

00:28:25.180 Democrats

00:28:26.240 voted?

00:28:27.640 Like so

00:28:28.280 many

00:28:28.520 Democrats

00:28:29.000 voted that

00:28:29.680 by historical

00:28:30.700 standards you

00:28:32.480 say to

00:28:32.760 yourself,

00:28:33.740 huh,

00:28:34.320 this doesn't

00:28:35.020 even look

00:28:35.380 real.

00:28:36.760 If I

00:28:37.600 didn't know

00:28:37.940 better,

00:28:38.240 I'd think

00:28:38.520 this was

00:28:38.900 rigged.

00:28:39.460 This number

00:28:39.900 is so

00:28:40.180 big.

00:28:41.560 They're

00:28:42.000 literally

00:28:42.480 telling you

00:28:44.020 their game

00:28:44.440 plan right

00:28:44.920 here.

00:28:45.720 It feels

00:28:46.260 like they

00:28:46.600 just mapped

00:28:47.140 out exactly

00:28:48.020 what they're

00:28:48.460 going to

00:28:48.660 do.

00:28:49.600 There's

00:28:50.040 going to

00:28:50.220 be a

00:28:50.540 rigged

00:28:50.800 election.

00:28:51.520 Again,

00:28:52.020 I don't

00:28:52.320 know this.

00:28:52.820 this is

00:28:53.940 just a

00:28:54.280 mental

00:28:54.500 experiment,

00:28:55.180 right?

00:28:55.540 I don't

00:28:55.920 have any

00:28:56.220 evidence of

00:28:56.820 this.

00:28:58.500 All we

00:28:59.080 have is

00:28:59.400 foreshadowing.

00:29:00.860 Is 0.88

00:29:01.320 foreshadowing

00:29:02.040 evidence?

00:29:03.720 Remember,

00:29:04.280 evidence isn't

00:29:05.080 proof.

00:29:07.080 Evidence is

00:29:07.700 just something

00:29:08.180 that maybe

00:29:08.880 collectively could

00:29:09.820 get you to

00:29:10.240 a proof.

00:29:11.780 But

00:29:12.220 foreshadowing is

00:29:13.500 like weaker

00:29:13.920 than that.

00:29:14.860 It's just

00:29:15.220 something that

00:29:15.640 you say,

00:29:16.000 oh,

00:29:16.400 pattern

00:29:16.760 recognition.

00:29:17.880 Pattern

00:29:18.440 recognition has

00:29:19.560 kicked in.

00:29:20.560 I feel

00:29:21.620 like I've

00:29:22.060 seen this

00:29:22.440 pattern before.

00:29:23.420 That's all

00:29:23.740 it is.

00:29:24.420 So it's

00:29:24.800 not evidence.

00:29:25.980 It's

00:29:26.220 definitely

00:29:26.440 not proof.

00:29:28.660 But there's

00:29:29.420 definitely some

00:29:30.080 foreshadowing

00:29:30.680 here.

00:29:31.580 So let me

00:29:32.020 say the

00:29:32.320 one thing

00:29:32.640 that I

00:29:32.840 can say

00:29:33.120 for sure.

00:29:33.920 This is

00:29:34.560 foreshadowing

00:29:35.320 like crazy.

00:29:37.180 This

00:29:37.620 foreshadowing

00:29:38.340 is setting

00:29:38.860 up a

00:29:39.160 narrative

00:29:39.460 that if

00:29:40.520 there's

00:29:40.760 an

00:29:41.040 unexpected

00:29:41.700 Democrat

00:29:42.200 win,

00:29:43.480 and they

00:29:43.820 maintain,

00:29:45.140 you know,

00:29:45.520 let's say,

00:29:45.980 or they

00:29:46.220 somehow they

00:29:47.460 own both

00:29:47.940 sides of

00:29:48.360 Congress,

00:29:49.520 people are

00:29:50.180 going to

00:29:50.340 say,

00:29:50.560 look,

00:29:50.820 Harry

00:29:51.020 Enten

00:29:51.280 already

00:29:51.600 told you

00:29:51.980 how this

00:29:52.280 could happen.

00:29:53.280 It was

00:29:53.520 easy.

00:29:54.960 Republican

00:29:55.400 candidates

00:29:55.840 were crazy.

00:29:57.360 They were

00:29:57.580 basically all

00:29:58.260 Marjorie Taylor

00:29:58.900 Greens,

00:29:59.380 that's what

00:29:59.720 they're going

00:29:59.960 to say.

00:30:00.760 Didn't have

00:30:01.340 any good

00:30:01.640 candidates.

00:30:02.260 They were

00:30:02.440 all Trumpers

00:30:03.140 or whatever

00:30:03.480 they were

00:30:03.700 going to

00:30:03.920 say.

00:30:04.780 The economy

00:30:05.460 improved,

00:30:06.120 of course,

00:30:06.680 in some

00:30:07.340 ways it

00:30:07.700 will,

00:30:07.940 they'll make

00:30:08.260 that argument.

00:30:09.660 And then

00:30:09.980 they'll say,

00:30:10.520 yeah,

00:30:10.860 and the

00:30:11.980 Democrats

00:30:12.380 were really

00:30:12.900 enthusiastic,

00:30:13.780 got that

00:30:14.160 turnout out

00:30:14.720 there.

00:30:15.080 Man,

00:30:15.320 they got

00:30:15.560 some

00:30:15.780 turnout.

00:30:17.420 This is

00:30:18.020 pretty scary

00:30:18.600 shit.

00:30:18.940 Every once

00:30:22.720 in a while

00:30:23.040 you see a

00:30:23.520 topic that's

00:30:24.500 a political

00:30:24.940 topic in

00:30:26.440 which all

00:30:27.140 the people

00:30:27.500 on one

00:30:27.880 side are

00:30:28.240 the smart

00:30:28.680 people,

00:30:29.400 regardless

00:30:30.060 of their

00:30:30.540 political

00:30:30.960 affiliations,

00:30:32.080 and all

00:30:32.900 the people

00:30:33.220 on the

00:30:33.460 other side

00:30:33.820 are dumb

00:30:34.140 people.

00:30:35.360 Now,

00:30:35.520 you don't

00:30:35.700 see that

00:30:36.060 often.

00:30:36.840 Usually you

00:30:37.320 see people

00:30:37.720 just support

00:30:39.100 their side.

00:30:40.580 But this

00:30:41.460 whole free

00:30:42.500 speech thing

00:30:44.260 is actually

00:30:45.020 very interesting

00:30:46.060 because all

00:30:47.400 the smart

00:30:47.920 people are

00:30:48.640 on the

00:30:48.860 same

00:30:49.040 side.

00:30:50.260 And I'll

00:30:50.620 give you

00:30:50.820 an example.

00:30:51.400 Bill Maher,

00:30:52.300 he wasn't

00:30:53.180 too familiar

00:30:53.720 with the

00:30:54.080 Babylon Bee,

00:30:55.540 the satirical

00:30:56.600 site that

00:30:57.080 got banned

00:30:57.480 from Twitter,

00:30:58.860 but having

00:31:00.520 read up on

00:31:01.180 it,

00:31:01.320 he supports

00:31:01.940 the fact

00:31:02.600 that they

00:31:02.900 shouldn't

00:31:03.100 have been

00:31:03.340 banned for

00:31:03.860 jokes,

00:31:05.040 basically.

00:31:06.000 So Bill

00:31:06.400 Maher is

00:31:07.680 on the same

00:31:08.140 side as

00:31:08.800 the darkest,

00:31:10.800 deepest

00:31:11.100 Republican on

00:31:12.580 this issue.

00:31:13.880 But also

00:31:14.700 all the smart

00:31:15.380 people are

00:31:15.800 on this

00:31:16.100 side.

00:31:16.320 I don't

00:31:18.320 think you

00:31:19.760 could find

00:31:20.200 a smart

00:31:20.700 Republican

00:31:21.280 or a

00:31:21.960 smart

00:31:22.200 Democrat

00:31:22.640 who would

00:31:23.940 think that

00:31:24.300 the Babylon

00:31:24.740 Bee should 0.96

00:31:25.340 have been

00:31:25.620 banned from

00:31:26.800 Twitter.

00:31:27.940 I don't

00:31:28.620 think you

00:31:28.900 could find

00:31:29.240 one.

00:31:29.980 It's a

00:31:30.360 weird issue

00:31:30.920 that literally

00:31:32.820 just intelligence

00:31:33.680 is the

00:31:34.300 dividing line

00:31:35.000 and not

00:31:35.480 party

00:31:36.080 affiliation.

00:31:37.360 Because at

00:31:38.100 a certain

00:31:38.400 level of

00:31:38.800 intelligence,

00:31:39.800 you know

00:31:40.220 that whatever

00:31:40.680 the Babylon

00:31:41.220 Bee did 0.98

00:31:41.900 had minimal

00:31:43.320 to no

00:31:43.780 effect on

00:31:44.300 anybody.

00:31:45.720 But any

00:31:46.660 kind of

00:31:47.520 punishment to

00:31:48.280 free speech,

00:31:49.600 even by a

00:31:50.740 private entity

00:31:51.660 in this

00:31:52.060 special case,

00:31:53.680 is a

00:31:55.220 bad

00:31:55.640 precedent.

00:31:57.540 Pretty much

00:31:57.960 all the smart

00:31:58.500 people agree

00:31:59.020 with that.

00:32:01.340 Yeah.

00:32:02.660 All right,

00:32:03.140 but here's the

00:32:03.520 most surprising

00:32:04.080 story of the

00:32:04.700 day.

00:32:05.720 And I would

00:32:06.380 like you to

00:32:06.780 savor this

00:32:07.300 one.

00:32:07.540 or to

00:32:09.120 possibly puke

00:32:10.600 in your

00:32:10.880 mouth on

00:32:11.280 it,

00:32:11.480 depending on

00:32:11.940 your political

00:32:12.480 leaning.

00:32:14.100 Do you all

00:32:14.600 know Noam

00:32:15.700 Chomsky?

00:32:16.640 He's a very

00:32:17.620 famous intellectual

00:32:18.540 and he's

00:32:19.680 famous for

00:32:20.140 many things,

00:32:20.920 including being

00:32:21.560 so left,

00:32:22.860 he's like the

00:32:23.540 leftiest of

00:32:24.280 the left,

00:32:24.860 wouldn't you

00:32:25.180 say?

00:32:26.340 Right,

00:32:28.380 he's a

00:32:28.880 linguist,

00:32:29.420 but he talks

00:32:29.880 about politics

00:32:31.440 and he's

00:32:32.040 famous for

00:32:32.580 that.

00:32:34.240 So would

00:32:35.180 you agree

00:32:35.600 that he's

00:32:36.500 as left

00:32:37.020 as the

00:32:37.840 lefties

00:32:38.560 could be

00:32:39.120 left?

00:32:41.240 Now here's

00:32:42.040 the surprising

00:32:42.540 part.

00:32:46.420 So Noam

00:32:47.260 Chomsky was

00:32:47.840 being interviewed,

00:32:49.260 he was

00:32:49.560 talking about

00:32:50.100 the Ukraine

00:32:50.780 Russia

00:32:51.240 situation,

00:32:52.840 and this

00:32:53.240 was last

00:32:53.700 week,

00:32:54.140 no this

00:32:54.480 week in

00:32:54.820 an interview

00:32:55.100 he said,

00:32:56.200 quote,

00:32:56.820 fortunately

00:32:57.340 there is

00:32:58.720 one western

00:32:59.600 statesman

00:33:00.840 of stature

00:33:01.620 who is

00:33:02.480 pushing for

00:33:03.080 a diplomatic

00:33:03.560 solution to

00:33:04.340 the war

00:33:04.740 in Ukraine

00:33:05.260 rather than

00:33:06.380 looking for

00:33:06.900 ways to

00:33:07.460 prolong it.

00:33:10.280 Who's

00:33:10.800 that?

00:33:12.520 So who

00:33:13.060 is this

00:33:13.680 one western

00:33:14.720 statesman of

00:33:15.480 stature who

00:33:16.620 is pushing

00:33:17.040 for a

00:33:17.420 diplomatic

00:33:17.760 solution to

00:33:18.560 the war

00:33:18.860 in Ukraine

00:33:19.340 rather than

00:33:20.660 looking for

00:33:21.060 ways to

00:33:21.500 fuel and

00:33:21.940 prolong it?

00:33:23.060 And then

00:33:23.300 later Chomsky

00:33:24.180 explained what

00:33:25.080 that idea

00:33:25.660 was,

00:33:26.140 specifically

00:33:26.700 the idea

00:33:28.020 was to

00:33:28.380 have a

00:33:28.700 non-NATO

00:33:29.560 accommodation.

00:33:31.600 And accommodation

00:33:32.100 is an

00:33:32.600 interesting word,

00:33:33.320 it really

00:33:34.000 works in

00:33:34.540 this context.

00:33:36.080 And what

00:33:36.880 he suggested

00:33:37.460 was,

00:33:38.560 and he

00:33:39.280 was saying,

00:33:39.860 you know,

00:33:40.100 this one

00:33:40.760 statement,

00:33:41.400 the statesman

00:33:42.000 didn't say

00:33:42.400 this directly

00:33:42.960 but it's

00:33:43.380 obvious this

00:33:43.940 is where

00:33:44.220 he was

00:33:44.460 going,

00:33:45.680 that one

00:33:47.340 thing we

00:33:48.020 could do

00:33:48.340 to end

00:33:48.620 the war,

00:33:49.380 negotiation

00:33:49.880 wise,

00:33:50.680 is to say

00:33:51.460 to Putin,

00:33:51.940 you know

00:33:52.180 what,

00:33:52.940 we did

00:33:53.420 promise you

00:33:53.980 that NATO

00:33:54.620 would not

00:33:55.120 expand toward

00:33:56.260 Russia and

00:33:57.280 we were

00:33:58.780 breaking that

00:33:59.440 promise.

00:34:00.560 So how

00:34:01.140 about we

00:34:01.520 go back

00:34:01.900 to the

00:34:02.160 promise to

00:34:03.320 not expand

00:34:03.980 NATO and

00:34:05.140 we'll form

00:34:05.680 this other

00:34:06.180 alliance that's

00:34:07.280 not NATO.

00:34:08.480 And it

00:34:08.920 would be open

00:34:09.380 not just to

00:34:10.020 Europeans and

00:34:10.820 Americans,

00:34:11.620 it would be

00:34:11.900 open to

00:34:12.160 anybody.

00:34:12.980 And it

00:34:13.180 would be

00:34:13.420 sort of a

00:34:13.920 mutual

00:34:14.460 protecting

00:34:15.420 each other

00:34:16.000 agreement that

00:34:19.000 wouldn't be

00:34:19.440 NATO.

00:34:20.420 It wouldn't

00:34:20.840 be anti-Russia,

00:34:21.800 it wouldn't

00:34:21.960 be anti-

00:34:22.400 anybody.

00:34:22.980 It would

00:34:23.140 just be

00:34:23.560 everybody,

00:34:24.900 let's look

00:34:25.440 out for each

00:34:25.940 other's backs,

00:34:27.100 if somebody

00:34:27.560 attacks you,

00:34:28.440 we're your

00:34:28.760 friend,

00:34:29.780 but not

00:34:30.180 too specific

00:34:30.920 maybe.

00:34:32.060 And he

00:34:32.280 said that

00:34:32.740 even Japan

00:34:34.040 could join

00:34:34.660 it and

00:34:35.920 even Russia.

00:34:37.600 Russia could 0.60

00:34:38.160 actually join

00:34:38.760 this hypothetical

00:34:39.920 organization because

00:34:41.500 they too would

00:34:43.160 probably like to

00:34:43.800 have friends if

00:34:44.780 they were

00:34:45.020 attacked.

00:34:47.260 And so

00:34:48.060 Chomsky is

00:34:48.900 saying that

00:34:49.280 there is a

00:34:50.060 negotiated way

00:34:50.920 through this and

00:34:51.540 when he describes

00:34:52.220 it I say to

00:34:52.700 myself that

00:34:53.880 feels like that

00:34:54.480 could work because

00:34:55.700 that would give

00:34:56.140 Putin a win 0.57

00:34:56.820 because he could

00:34:58.320 say I stopped

00:34:59.060 NATO.

00:35:00.740 And he

00:35:01.560 probably

00:35:01.780 give some

00:35:02.160 territorial

00:35:02.780 consolidation,

00:35:05.260 at least

00:35:06.320 Crimea,

00:35:07.140 right?

00:35:07.800 So he'd

00:35:08.560 give something

00:35:09.000 and he could

00:35:09.900 say I

00:35:10.240 stopped

00:35:10.620 NATO.

00:35:12.980 At the

00:35:13.480 same time,

00:35:15.060 countries that

00:35:15.720 want the 0.55

00:35:16.100 protection of

00:35:16.740 NATO but

00:35:17.260 don't want to

00:35:17.880 be as

00:35:18.640 provocative as

00:35:19.880 joining NATO

00:35:20.600 could say,

00:35:21.660 well, we're

00:35:22.440 not going to

00:35:22.820 join NATO

00:35:23.420 because we

00:35:24.260 understand how

00:35:25.020 that feels to

00:35:25.780 Russia and

00:35:26.360 you guys are

00:35:26.900 prickly about

00:35:27.580 that.

00:35:27.880 But we'll

00:35:29.180 have this

00:35:29.520 other friendly

00:35:30.160 organization that's

00:35:31.280 not nearly as

00:35:32.320 provocative as

00:35:33.420 NATO and it'll 0.98

00:35:34.960 just make

00:35:35.360 everybody happy

00:35:35.940 because we're

00:35:36.460 friends.

00:35:38.480 Now, that

00:35:39.140 would make it

00:35:39.860 look like

00:35:40.300 everybody could

00:35:40.980 win.

00:35:41.800 You could argue

00:35:42.760 who really

00:35:43.920 wins, but it

00:35:44.460 would give

00:35:44.760 everybody an

00:35:45.420 argument that

00:35:46.740 they got

00:35:47.040 something.

00:35:48.760 And we're

00:35:49.480 getting back to

00:35:50.040 the statesman.

00:35:50.640 So, who

00:35:51.620 would be the

00:35:52.060 one statesman

00:35:53.620 that Noam

00:35:54.160 Chomsky, the

00:35:55.340 leftiest of the

00:35:56.100 left people in

00:35:56.680 the world, the

00:35:57.800 guiding light of

00:35:58.660 their intellectual

00:35:59.380 life, who

00:36:02.120 would he say is

00:36:03.080 smart enough,

00:36:03.900 really, of

00:36:05.480 stature, who

00:36:06.720 would have a

00:36:07.440 way to negotiate

00:36:08.940 this thing

00:36:09.380 successfully?

00:36:11.020 Well, Chomsky

00:36:11.600 said his name is

00:36:12.600 Donald J.

00:36:13.640 Trump.

00:36:16.060 I will pause

00:36:17.240 for a moment.

00:36:17.820 This really

00:36:20.360 happened.

00:36:23.260 This actually

00:36:24.380 happened.

00:36:25.620 Noam Chomsky

00:36:26.400 gave a full-throated

00:36:28.560 endorsement to

00:36:30.160 Donald Trump's

00:36:31.100 approach and

00:36:32.780 called out the

00:36:33.420 fact that nobody

00:36:34.080 else was in his

00:36:34.940 league.

00:36:38.520 Do you know

00:36:39.080 why Noam

00:36:39.620 Chomsky

00:36:40.160 supported Donald

00:36:42.280 Trump, who you

00:36:43.360 would imagine

00:36:43.840 would be as

00:36:44.400 far away as

00:36:45.560 they could

00:36:45.800 possibly be in

00:36:47.200 political

00:36:47.620 ideology?

00:36:48.580 Do you know

00:36:48.880 why he

00:36:49.140 supported him?

00:36:51.580 Because Noam

00:36:52.260 Chomsky didn't

00:36:53.040 want to lie.

00:36:55.000 That's my

00:36:55.540 guess.

00:36:56.020 I mean, I

00:36:56.440 can't read his

00:36:56.920 mind.

00:36:58.660 I feel like he

00:36:59.480 just didn't

00:36:59.840 want to lie.

00:37:01.720 Maybe he

00:37:02.280 always feels

00:37:02.720 like that.

00:37:03.240 You know, I'm

00:37:03.480 not saying that

00:37:04.060 he lies in any

00:37:05.140 other context.

00:37:06.220 It could be

00:37:06.780 that Noam

00:37:07.200 Chomsky is a

00:37:08.060 legitimate

00:37:08.460 intellectual.

00:37:10.260 And by

00:37:10.520 legitimate, I

00:37:11.340 mean that he

00:37:11.820 says what he

00:37:12.320 actually thinks

00:37:12.840 is real.

00:37:14.240 That would be

00:37:14.800 legitimate.

00:37:15.420 Even if you

00:37:15.900 disagree with

00:37:16.540 his opinions,

00:37:17.620 it's very

00:37:18.220 legitimate to

00:37:19.720 be that

00:37:20.100 educated, that

00:37:20.980 smart, and

00:37:22.340 be honest.

00:37:23.580 Like, you'd

00:37:24.000 have to respect

00:37:25.120 that, right?

00:37:26.900 So even if you

00:37:27.720 disagree with

00:37:28.260 him.

00:37:29.340 But I'm going

00:37:31.400 to introduce a

00:37:32.040 new concept

00:37:32.540 today.

00:37:33.500 We always talk

00:37:34.280 about free

00:37:34.880 speech.

00:37:35.360 I don't think

00:37:37.860 free speech is

00:37:38.720 exactly the way

00:37:39.900 to talk about

00:37:41.320 it.

00:37:41.580 Because in our

00:37:42.400 world where

00:37:43.080 commerce and

00:37:43.940 freedom are

00:37:44.680 connected, like

00:37:46.780 you can say

00:37:47.320 something terrible

00:37:48.140 but it's going

00:37:48.740 to hurt you

00:37:49.100 economically.

00:37:51.000 So yeah,

00:37:51.800 technically that's

00:37:52.700 free speech,

00:37:53.400 right?

00:37:54.000 Because the

00:37:54.520 government didn't

00:37:55.220 necessarily do it

00:37:56.020 to you.

00:37:56.880 But you're not

00:37:57.720 really free if

00:37:59.280 you can't say

00:37:59.840 something without

00:38:00.460 economic repercussions.

00:38:01.780 But I'm going to

00:38:02.940 tell you that there's

00:38:03.600 a new thing that is

00:38:04.460 better than free

00:38:05.140 speech and it's

00:38:05.800 called affordable

00:38:07.140 speech.

00:38:07.960 It's not free,

00:38:09.900 but is it

00:38:10.680 affordable?

00:38:11.120 And there are

00:38:12.780 two categories of

00:38:13.560 people at least

00:38:14.320 who have what I

00:38:15.740 call affordable

00:38:16.740 speech.

00:38:18.080 Number one,

00:38:19.420 me.

00:38:20.420 People who have

00:38:21.180 money can afford

00:38:23.260 free speech.

00:38:24.580 So when I say I

00:38:25.420 have fuck you 1.00

00:38:26.060 money, what that

00:38:27.460 means is I can

00:38:28.420 say my opinion

00:38:29.520 as honestly as I

00:38:30.940 want and even

00:38:31.440 dishonestly if I

00:38:32.320 want because I

00:38:33.220 have the ability to

00:38:34.180 say anything I

00:38:34.800 want and then if

00:38:36.120 I'm damaged

00:38:36.960 economically, I

00:38:38.400 say, oh fuck

00:38:39.720 you, I'm going to

00:38:40.140 retire anyway.

00:38:41.120 I have enough

00:38:41.560 money.

00:38:42.620 So I don't have

00:38:43.540 free speech because

00:38:45.140 I will get whacked

00:38:46.040 economically if I

00:38:47.120 cross the line,

00:38:47.900 right?

00:38:48.340 I already have.

00:38:49.120 I probably lost

00:38:49.940 one third of my

00:38:51.080 potential income

00:38:52.060 for the last 10

00:38:52.740 years based on my

00:38:54.560 blogging and I

00:38:56.180 knew it, right?

00:38:57.200 I was completely

00:38:58.320 aware that the

00:39:00.100 things I was saying

00:39:00.920 would degrade my

00:39:01.860 income substantially,

00:39:03.100 but I could afford

00:39:04.220 it.

00:39:05.540 So I had free

00:39:06.580 speech.

00:39:07.340 You didn't.

00:39:08.300 You absolutely

00:39:09.040 did not unless

00:39:10.180 you were also

00:39:10.640 rich.

00:39:11.940 But I had free

00:39:13.020 speech.

00:39:13.960 It cost me a lot

00:39:15.060 of money, but I

00:39:15.640 could afford it.

00:39:16.900 There's another

00:39:17.540 category of free

00:39:18.340 speech.

00:39:19.720 Old as fuck. 0.97

00:39:22.340 When you're old

00:39:23.160 as fuck, you 0.99

00:39:24.360 don't care.

00:39:26.060 Noam Chomsky is

00:39:26.920 old as fuck.

00:39:28.340 Now, I don't know

00:39:29.080 what, how old is

00:39:29.920 he?

00:39:30.540 I mean, he looks

00:39:31.040 like he doesn't

00:39:31.760 have long, honestly.

00:39:34.820 Give me an age

00:39:35.620 on him.

00:39:36.500 It's 145 or

00:39:38.160 something.

00:39:39.100 He's super old.

00:39:41.000 But I think Noam

00:39:41.800 Chomsky, he doesn't

00:39:42.600 give a fuck. 0.77

00:39:44.880 Noam Chomsky, he's

00:39:46.020 93, somebody says.

00:39:47.960 Noam Chomsky can

00:39:49.420 afford his speech.

00:39:52.120 Because if you give

00:39:52.880 Noam Chomsky the

00:39:53.780 bill, he'll say,

00:39:54.940 yeah, give me 30

00:39:55.620 days, I'll get right

00:39:56.300 back to you on that.

00:39:57.020 He'll probably be

00:39:57.500 dead anyway.

00:39:58.460 Okay, I'm

00:39:58.860 exaggerating.

00:39:59.540 But you get the

00:39:59.980 point, right?

00:40:01.240 You don't give a

00:40:02.040 fuck.

00:40:03.200 Noam Chomsky can

00:40:04.060 say anything he

00:40:04.680 wants.

00:40:05.540 So he can offend

00:40:06.500 every person

00:40:07.200 who ever loved

00:40:07.800 him.

00:40:09.800 Maybe he just

00:40:10.600 did.

00:40:11.760 I don't know.

00:40:13.340 But Noam has

00:40:15.520 affordable speech,

00:40:17.140 and I have

00:40:17.680 affordable speech.

00:40:20.500 Elon Musk has

00:40:21.660 affordable speech.

00:40:23.820 Elon Musk talked

00:40:24.920 down his own

00:40:25.660 stock price.

00:40:27.620 Do you remember

00:40:28.000 that?

00:40:30.280 He said his own

00:40:31.700 stock, at one

00:40:32.240 point in the past,

00:40:32.960 he said his own

00:40:33.480 stock was too

00:40:34.040 high, and then

00:40:35.080 like dropped.

00:40:36.760 And he said a

00:40:37.340 bunch of other

00:40:38.060 things that, you

00:40:38.720 know, he seemed

00:40:39.200 getting sued for

00:40:40.020 some of the

00:40:40.380 things he said.

00:40:41.460 So he got sued

00:40:42.200 for, I don't

00:40:42.700 know, tens of

00:40:43.220 millions of

00:40:43.620 dollars by

00:40:45.320 stockholders for

00:40:46.940 saying something

00:40:47.920 about taking it

00:40:48.620 private, and it

00:40:49.440 affected the stock

00:40:50.240 price, whatever.

00:40:51.780 But could he

00:40:52.640 afford it?

00:40:53.920 He could.

00:40:55.160 It turns out,

00:40:56.340 even though it

00:40:57.080 might cost tens of

00:40:58.020 millions, hundreds of

00:40:58.880 millions of dollars,

00:41:00.460 turns out he could

00:41:01.160 afford it.

00:41:02.080 So he had

00:41:02.680 affordable speech,

00:41:03.580 speech, and he

00:41:04.900 might try to give

00:41:05.660 you free speech, or

00:41:07.780 more affordable

00:41:08.380 speech, through

00:41:09.160 Twitter.

00:41:11.540 All right, here's

00:41:12.680 another foreshadowing.

00:41:15.140 Nancy Pelosi

00:41:15.980 visited Ukraine, so

00:41:17.200 now she's the 1.00

00:41:17.700 highest-ranking

00:41:18.320 person to go over

00:41:19.000 there.

00:41:19.720 Clearly, we're

00:41:20.660 sending lots and

00:41:21.520 lots of signals to

00:41:23.500 the world and

00:41:24.620 Ukraine by sending 0.90

00:41:26.240 such high-level

00:41:27.740 politicians over there

00:41:29.940 in the middle of a

00:41:31.100 war.

00:41:31.320 And that's a really

00:41:32.380 strong signal.

00:41:33.440 And I will give the

00:41:34.580 Biden administration

00:41:35.380 credit for the

00:41:38.400 communication there.

00:41:39.640 They are trying to

00:41:40.680 send that signal, and

00:41:42.180 they're succeeding.

00:41:43.380 They're doing a real

00:41:44.120 good job of sending a

00:41:45.560 we're backing Ukraine.

00:41:47.840 But watch the

00:41:48.620 language.

00:41:49.200 Here's a little trick

00:41:50.040 that I learned in the

00:41:51.080 hypnosis class.

00:41:53.700 Hypnotists learn, well,

00:41:55.280 depending who instructs

00:41:56.640 you, you might not

00:41:57.280 learn this.

00:41:57.700 They learn that you

00:41:58.900 can fairly accurately

00:42:00.740 identify what people

00:42:02.060 are thinking or

00:42:02.920 planning or secretly

00:42:04.060 cogitating by the

00:42:07.760 words that they

00:42:08.540 choose.

00:42:09.960 So when people speak,

00:42:11.080 they're not thinking

00:42:11.880 about every word before

00:42:12.920 it comes out their

00:42:13.560 mouth.

00:42:14.460 We speak sort of in

00:42:15.680 flow, right?

00:42:17.480 My language is coming 0.68

00:42:18.840 out now almost like my

00:42:20.200 brain is doing

00:42:20.800 something slightly

00:42:21.720 different because my

00:42:23.080 brain is like a little

00:42:24.000 bit ahead of where I'm

00:42:25.140 talking.

00:42:25.580 So literally right

00:42:27.380 now, I'm modeling

00:42:29.040 this, my mouth is

00:42:30.280 talking, but I'm not

00:42:31.080 even super conscious

00:42:32.300 of the mental part of

00:42:33.680 it.

00:42:34.520 It's just so automatic

00:42:35.720 because I kind of know

00:42:36.960 what I'm going to talk

00:42:37.580 about.

00:42:38.760 So in that context,

00:42:41.780 people will use word

00:42:43.780 choices that reveal

00:42:45.960 what they're really

00:42:46.740 thinking because they're

00:42:48.220 not thinking too hard

00:42:49.220 about filtering it.

00:42:50.760 Where this doesn't

00:42:51.920 work is when people

00:42:54.180 have a speech that's

00:42:55.420 written and a lot of

00:42:56.240 people look at it and

00:42:57.680 a lot of people look

00:42:58.360 at your political

00:42:58.960 speech, they go,

00:42:59.720 ooh, were you aware

00:43:01.360 that this word makes

00:43:02.280 me think this?

00:43:03.360 And somebody say,

00:43:03.980 oh, I didn't know

00:43:04.520 that.

00:43:05.140 They'll take that word 0.99

00:43:05.760 out.

00:43:06.540 So if you've got a

00:43:07.520 nice scrubbed piece

00:43:09.000 of work, then this

00:43:10.180 doesn't work.

00:43:11.540 But anything like a

00:43:12.600 tweet where somebody

00:43:14.200 is not putting a lot

00:43:14.960 of work into it,

00:43:16.400 send out of a tweet,

00:43:17.920 you can slip out some

00:43:19.500 words that were

00:43:20.240 unintended.

00:43:21.280 I feel like this is

00:43:22.560 happening with this

00:43:23.760 Ukraine situation.

00:43:24.660 One tweet that Nancy

00:43:27.580 Pelosi gave was, it

00:43:29.120 ended with this,

00:43:29.880 America stands firmly

00:43:31.140 with Ukraine.

00:43:32.640 Now that would be

00:43:33.640 compatible with

00:43:34.500 everything that's been

00:43:35.540 said so far, right?

00:43:37.520 That the United States

00:43:38.460 stands firmly with

00:43:39.500 Ukraine.

00:43:40.420 Now that is a

00:43:42.540 scrubbed statement.

00:43:44.540 That's one that people

00:43:45.720 could look at and say,

00:43:47.020 okay, that is right on

00:43:48.740 point and it doesn't

00:43:49.660 make people think the

00:43:50.660 wrong thing.

00:43:51.480 It doesn't mislead in

00:43:52.460 any way.

00:43:52.800 It's not ambiguous.

00:43:53.420 But America stands

00:43:56.580 with Ukraine, leaves

00:43:57.580 open a possibility,

00:43:58.580 doesn't it?

00:43:59.900 And that possibility is

00:44:01.300 that Ukraine could 0.84

00:44:02.080 lose and we're with

00:44:05.040 them.

00:44:06.260 But we're not really

00:44:07.200 talking about victory.

00:44:08.600 We're just sort of

00:44:09.460 with you.

00:44:10.860 It's like being with

00:44:12.200 somebody as they're

00:44:12.880 dying.

00:44:13.980 We're with you.

00:44:16.240 You're going to go

00:44:17.020 through something bad,

00:44:17.940 but we're with you.

00:44:18.620 Now that was one

00:44:21.200 thing she said.

00:44:22.160 But here's another

00:44:22.760 thing she said.

00:44:25.280 This is a Pelosi

00:44:26.240 tweet.

00:44:27.380 It's around the same

00:44:28.240 time too, so there's

00:44:29.520 not much time

00:44:30.540 difference between

00:44:31.180 these tweets.

00:44:32.280 She says, our

00:44:32.780 congressional delegation

00:44:33.920 was honored to meet

00:44:34.880 with Zelensky in Kiev

00:44:36.100 to salute his

00:44:37.420 leadership and

00:44:38.080 courage.

00:44:38.500 So, so far this is

00:44:39.340 all like blah, blah,

00:44:40.180 blah, you know,

00:44:41.060 political talk, right?

00:44:42.100 To commend the

00:44:42.940 Ukrainian people for

00:44:44.240 their outstanding

00:44:44.920 defense of democracy

00:44:46.060 and to say that

00:44:47.320 we are with you

00:44:48.080 until victory is

00:44:49.220 won.

00:44:50.020 What?

00:44:51.960 Until victory is

00:44:53.060 won.

00:44:54.600 What the hell is

00:44:55.400 victory?

00:44:56.920 What would that

00:44:57.600 look like?

00:45:01.080 Victory is a

00:45:03.260 slip, I think.

00:45:06.140 So based on

00:45:06.900 hypnosis training,

00:45:08.820 the word victory

00:45:09.580 looks like a

00:45:10.200 mistake.

00:45:11.580 Like, like they

00:45:12.420 should have edited

00:45:13.080 that word out of

00:45:13.860 there.

00:45:14.340 What they should

00:45:15.080 have said is what

00:45:15.620 the other tweet

00:45:16.200 said.

00:45:17.480 America stands

00:45:18.280 firmly with

00:45:18.940 Ukraine.

00:45:20.640 Right?

00:45:21.820 Who put that

00:45:22.600 word victory in

00:45:23.440 there?

00:45:24.480 I don't think

00:45:25.180 that was

00:45:25.480 intentional.

00:45:27.060 Or, it's

00:45:28.640 foreshadowing.

00:45:30.500 They may be,

00:45:31.260 they may be

00:45:32.200 preparing the

00:45:32.900 country, and

00:45:34.700 this could be

00:45:35.340 intentionally doing

00:45:36.520 it, preparing the

00:45:37.360 country.

00:45:38.440 Remember I told

00:45:39.240 you that this is a

00:45:41.080 tipping point war,

00:45:42.740 war, and

00:45:44.740 that whoever

00:45:45.400 pushes the

00:45:46.520 other one in

00:45:47.100 any one of

00:45:47.640 these variables

00:45:48.340 just over that

00:45:49.400 tipping point

00:45:50.040 would be what

00:45:51.620 looks like the

00:45:52.200 winner.

00:45:53.400 And the tipping

00:45:53.960 points are

00:45:54.540 running out of

00:45:55.100 fuel, running

00:45:56.560 out of ammo,

00:45:57.420 the good kind,

00:45:58.220 wherever you need

00:45:58.820 it the most,

00:46:00.260 and running out

00:46:01.120 of, let's say,

00:46:02.580 food, fuel, and

00:46:04.220 ammo.

00:46:05.760 It's those three

00:46:06.420 things.

00:46:07.580 And both sides

00:46:08.620 are trying to

00:46:09.220 deny the other

00:46:10.060 those three

00:46:10.600 things, because

00:46:11.760 that would be

00:46:12.260 enough for, you

00:46:13.920 know, surrender.

00:46:15.600 And they're all

00:46:18.220 at the tipping

00:46:18.720 point, or we

00:46:20.720 imagine that to

00:46:21.420 be true, in the

00:46:22.640 fog of war and

00:46:23.460 what we can see

00:46:24.080 from the outside.

00:46:25.100 Any one of those

00:46:25.820 things could be a

00:46:26.560 tipping point, but

00:46:27.840 in either direction.

00:46:29.900 So if you're

00:46:30.700 looking at, like,

00:46:31.440 who has gained

00:46:32.100 what territory, or

00:46:33.360 who repelled who

00:46:34.780 from what places,

00:46:35.780 I don't know

00:46:37.000 that that's

00:46:37.400 telling you

00:46:37.820 anything.

00:46:39.080 Those are not

00:46:39.640 the important

00:46:40.080 variables, because

00:46:41.540 this is a who

00:46:42.260 can last longer

00:46:43.240 war, and that's

00:46:44.340 going to be a

00:46:44.720 tipping point

00:46:45.260 question.

00:46:46.020 It's not going

00:46:46.540 to be who had

00:46:47.680 so much progress

00:46:48.580 so far.

00:46:50.040 Because it could

00:46:50.600 be that the team

00:46:51.920 that pushed the

00:46:52.660 furthest used up

00:46:54.100 the most fuel, and

00:46:56.020 put their supply

00:46:56.980 lines in the most

00:46:57.720 jeopardy.

00:46:58.840 So the thing

00:46:59.660 you're looking at

00:47:00.180 could be exactly

00:47:00.820 the opposite of

00:47:01.540 what matters.

00:47:02.220 You know, who

00:47:02.480 got a battleground

00:47:03.960 victory?

00:47:04.460 It might not

00:47:04.880 matter.

00:47:05.780 In a war of

00:47:06.480 attrition.

00:47:07.480 Because it'll

00:47:08.140 just be victories

00:47:09.280 back and forth

00:47:10.040 until somebody

00:47:10.620 runs out of

00:47:11.120 one of the

00:47:11.460 big three.

00:47:12.380 And then,

00:47:13.520 somebody has

00:47:14.060 to surrender.

00:47:15.320 If you have

00:47:16.040 no fuel, no

00:47:16.760 ammo, or no

00:47:17.740 food, it's

00:47:19.000 over.

00:47:20.580 So, I don't

00:47:22.400 think that we

00:47:22.920 can assume that

00:47:25.180 the United States

00:47:26.040 has given up on

00:47:26.920 the idea that

00:47:27.480 Ukraine would 0.96

00:47:28.040 have an

00:47:28.340 outright victory.

00:47:29.620 I believe that

00:47:30.480 what is being

00:47:31.020 signaled here,

00:47:31.940 either intentionally

00:47:32.720 or unintentionally,

00:47:33.700 with the word

00:47:34.620 victory, that I

00:47:35.840 think is a

00:47:36.340 mistake.

00:47:37.460 It's telling you

00:47:38.280 that privately, at

00:47:39.820 the highest levels

00:47:40.580 of the United

00:47:41.020 States, they are

00:47:42.540 talking about

00:47:43.120 winning the war

00:47:44.080 outright.

00:47:45.540 That's what

00:47:46.200 $33 billion

00:47:47.260 heading toward

00:47:48.220 Ukraine means.

00:47:49.260 It doesn't mean

00:47:50.160 we stand with

00:47:50.860 Ukraine.

00:47:51.260 Do you know

00:47:52.580 what stand with

00:47:53.320 Ukraine money

00:47:53.960 looks like?

00:47:55.480 $3 billion.

00:47:57.460 That's what that

00:47:58.200 looks like.

00:47:58.640 If you said

00:47:59.920 we stand with

00:48:00.560 Ukraine and

00:48:01.300 send $3 billion,

00:48:02.240 everybody would

00:48:02.740 say, yeah, that's

00:48:03.520 about right.

00:48:04.020 You stand with

00:48:04.660 them, you send

00:48:05.080 $3 billion.

00:48:06.080 That's a lot of

00:48:06.640 money.

00:48:07.820 If you say we'll

00:48:08.820 be with you until

00:48:09.580 victory, and you

00:48:11.120 send $33 billion,

00:48:12.760 that tells me that

00:48:13.900 privately, you

00:48:14.700 think there's a

00:48:15.260 way to win this

00:48:15.880 thing outright.

00:48:17.440 And the only way

00:48:18.100 you'd say that is

00:48:18.880 if the generals are

00:48:19.760 telling you that.

00:48:21.500 Am I right?

00:48:23.020 Politicians would 0.56

00:48:23.740 not come to an

00:48:24.780 independent opinion

00:48:25.620 that looked anything

00:48:26.440 like that.

00:48:27.080 Because they

00:48:28.240 wouldn't know.

00:48:29.340 But if their

00:48:29.920 advisors are

00:48:30.660 saying, you

00:48:31.020 know, all of

00:48:32.780 the TV generals

00:48:33.620 are telling you

00:48:34.220 that Russia is 0.53

00:48:36.040 going to win.

00:48:37.360 But let them

00:48:38.060 keep saying that

00:48:38.780 because that's

00:48:39.200 how you get the

00:48:39.720 money.

00:48:40.740 And that's how

00:48:41.160 you get the

00:48:41.620 support, right?

00:48:42.800 You want to

00:48:43.200 keep painting

00:48:44.540 Zelensky as the

00:48:46.360 underdog hero.

00:48:48.220 Keep painting

00:48:49.100 Russia as the 0.99

00:48:50.180 bully who's

00:48:50.900 winning.

00:48:51.940 And that's our

00:48:52.480 best situation for

00:48:53.600 getting money and

00:48:54.400 resources to Ukraine.

00:48:55.900 But secretly,

00:48:57.080 we think the

00:48:59.280 Russians are so 1.00

00:48:59.940 close to

00:49:00.440 collapse that

00:49:02.360 we're going to

00:49:02.960 push them until

00:49:03.900 they do.

00:49:04.960 I think that the

00:49:06.140 Biden administration

00:49:06.760 is trying to

00:49:07.460 destroy the

00:49:08.020 Russian army and

00:49:09.160 take Putin out

00:49:09.780 of power.

00:49:11.800 That's what it

00:49:12.440 looks like.

00:49:13.400 And I think that

00:49:14.320 they think they

00:49:14.900 can do it.

00:49:16.140 And you know

00:49:16.600 what?

00:49:18.160 I don't know

00:49:19.020 that they can't.

00:49:21.980 Especially if

00:49:22.820 there's somebody

00:49:23.320 on the inside who

00:49:24.340 knows what they're

00:49:24.880 talking about.

00:49:25.540 and that

00:49:26.360 wouldn't be me.

00:49:29.280 Is telling

00:49:29.940 them that, you

00:49:30.640 know, these

00:49:31.260 tipping points are

00:49:32.000 really close and

00:49:33.100 I think the

00:49:33.560 Russians are a 1.00

00:49:34.080 little closer to

00:49:34.700 the tipping point

00:49:35.480 than the

00:49:36.360 Ukrainians.

00:49:37.100 And that would

00:49:37.580 make sense.

00:49:38.320 Because the

00:49:38.880 Ukrainians could

00:49:39.540 always be

00:49:40.140 backstopped

00:49:41.000 somewhat

00:49:42.180 infinitely.

00:49:44.280 Right?

00:49:44.760 They could run

00:49:45.420 out of food for

00:49:46.400 a week, which

00:49:47.580 would be

00:49:47.840 devastating.

00:49:49.220 But I'll bet

00:49:49.880 they'd get their

00:49:50.380 food in a week.

00:49:50.960 I don't know

00:49:51.480 if the Russians

00:49:51.980 would necessarily

00:49:52.940 keep their

00:49:54.260 fighting cohesion

00:49:55.160 as an invading

00:49:56.780 force if they

00:49:59.280 ran into any

00:49:59.920 one of those

00:50:00.360 things or were

00:50:01.180 as low as

00:50:02.280 the Ukrainians

00:50:03.100 could be.

00:50:03.680 So I just

00:50:04.080 think the

00:50:04.360 Ukrainians could

00:50:05.000 last it out

00:50:05.700 because they

00:50:06.080 have to.

00:50:07.140 The Ukrainians 0.94

00:50:07.760 can't go home

00:50:08.540 because they're

00:50:09.900 home.

00:50:11.320 Right?

00:50:12.060 So I feel

00:50:13.620 like the war

00:50:16.160 has changed

00:50:17.000 and that the

00:50:17.800 administration

00:50:18.400 believes that

00:50:20.020 they can just

00:50:20.500 have an outright

00:50:21.120 victory.

00:50:23.360 How would that

00:50:24.100 change the

00:50:24.560 midterms?

00:50:26.240 Didn't see that

00:50:26.860 coming, did you?

00:50:28.280 What if Biden

00:50:29.200 actually took

00:50:29.820 down Putin?

00:50:33.980 What does that

00:50:34.780 do to the

00:50:35.160 election?

00:50:36.260 Because that's

00:50:37.020 totally within

00:50:37.680 the realm of

00:50:38.240 possibility.

00:50:39.540 Before the

00:50:40.200 election.

00:50:41.480 Like if Putin

00:50:42.160 makes it through

00:50:42.760 the summer,

00:50:44.260 then he's

00:50:44.580 probably fine.

00:50:46.020 But it's

00:50:46.640 going to be

00:50:46.900 kind of a

00:50:47.240 dicey summer

00:50:48.160 for Putin,

00:50:48.760 I would

00:50:48.960 think.

00:50:51.180 It's going

00:50:51.720 to be a

00:50:51.980 bad summer

00:50:52.860 for his

00:50:53.320 food taster,

00:50:53.940 that's for

00:50:54.240 sure.

00:50:55.500 All right,

00:50:55.740 one of my

00:50:56.100 predictions that

00:50:56.740 I've made for

00:50:57.300 decades now is

00:50:58.600 that we will

00:50:59.400 have immortality

00:51:00.380 in the digital

00:51:01.500 world.

00:51:03.280 And there's a

00:51:03.960 company,

00:51:04.720 Somnium Space,

00:51:06.980 that's developing

00:51:08.020 a way to have

00:51:08.840 your life live

00:51:10.780 on in the

00:51:11.340 afterlife.

00:51:12.420 So after you

00:51:13.200 pass, they can

00:51:14.240 create an avatar

00:51:14.920 that looks like

00:51:15.660 you and

00:51:16.660 acts like

00:51:17.160 you and

00:51:18.460 talks like

00:51:19.140 you.

00:51:20.720 Now for

00:51:21.460 decades, I've

00:51:23.540 been telling

00:51:23.840 you that I'm

00:51:24.600 creating a

00:51:25.360 public database

00:51:27.740 of me, and

00:51:29.180 I'm doing it

00:51:29.720 right now.

00:51:30.440 So everything I

00:51:31.040 say right now,

00:51:32.000 the way I move,

00:51:33.320 the way I look,

00:51:34.600 is being recorded

00:51:35.720 in all these

00:51:36.580 different ways.

00:51:37.840 300, well,

00:51:39.580 probably 400

00:51:40.520 videos a year

00:51:41.560 I'm making that

00:51:43.720 show who I am

00:51:44.680 and what I

00:51:45.060 think and how

00:51:45.560 I talk and

00:51:46.160 all that.

00:51:47.180 Here's something

00:51:47.760 I didn't know

00:51:48.260 about.

00:51:49.540 There was a

00:51:50.260 study that

00:51:51.220 showed that

00:51:51.780 they took

00:51:52.180 500 people

00:51:53.040 and they had

00:51:54.440 artificial intelligence

00:51:55.740 look at how

00:51:56.300 these people

00:51:56.780 move, just

00:51:57.520 their natural

00:51:58.340 movements, and

00:51:59.640 they could

00:52:00.040 identify somebody

00:52:01.300 by their

00:52:01.820 natural movements,

00:52:03.160 not their

00:52:03.600 speech, the way

00:52:05.020 their body

00:52:05.420 moved, 95%

00:52:07.040 of the time,

00:52:07.600 out of a group

00:52:08.120 of 500.

00:52:08.620 So in other

00:52:10.220 words, AI

00:52:11.220 could watch

00:52:11.980 me move, and

00:52:13.940 then over time

00:52:14.660 it could simply

00:52:15.960 say, all right,

00:52:16.580 I'll make a little

00:52:17.120 avatar and it'll

00:52:17.800 move exactly the

00:52:18.700 way you did, or

00:52:20.420 at least so close

00:52:21.300 that almost

00:52:22.520 everybody would

00:52:23.200 think it looked

00:52:23.700 like the way I

00:52:24.220 moved.

00:52:25.420 And it would

00:52:26.120 improve over time.

00:52:28.980 So this company

00:52:30.260 is gearing up.

00:52:31.920 I guess you'll

00:52:32.360 use the same

00:52:33.120 VR glasses to

00:52:35.040 go interact with

00:52:35.900 that avatar.

00:52:36.400 And then, of

00:52:37.700 course, people

00:52:39.840 pushed back.

00:52:41.140 A user on

00:52:41.760 Twitter, Papa

00:52:42.480 Rossi, David

00:52:43.820 Rossi, he

00:52:45.300 said, and I

00:52:46.020 quote, a

00:52:46.400 computer thinking

00:52:47.320 it's me isn't

00:52:48.000 me.

00:52:48.780 This isn't

00:52:49.480 immortality, it's

00:52:50.520 just a new

00:52:51.060 mausoleum.

00:52:52.320 To which I

00:52:53.120 say, yes, to

00:52:56.360 you, from your

00:52:58.240 perspective, this

00:52:59.940 would not be

00:53:00.520 real, it would

00:53:01.880 just be a

00:53:02.460 computer program.

00:53:04.060 But if the

00:53:04.580 computer program

00:53:05.340 is programmed,

00:53:06.400 to believe it's

00:53:07.520 real, it will

00:53:09.840 believe it's

00:53:10.320 real, because it

00:53:11.820 was programmed to

00:53:12.480 believe it.

00:53:14.040 So it doesn't

00:53:14.860 matter what you

00:53:15.420 think.

00:53:16.540 It only matters

00:53:17.520 that the

00:53:17.900 simulation thinks

00:53:18.720 it's real.

00:53:20.100 And this gets

00:53:22.280 us this much

00:53:22.940 closer to proving

00:53:23.840 that you live in

00:53:24.500 a simulation right

00:53:25.300 now.

00:53:25.560 Now, did you

00:53:27.840 know that the

00:53:29.320 closer our own

00:53:30.540 technology gets to

00:53:32.000 creating these

00:53:32.720 simulated worlds

00:53:33.760 simulations in

00:53:34.680 which the

00:53:35.100 simulation thinks

00:53:36.340 it's real?

00:53:36.780 The closer we

00:53:38.500 get to doing

00:53:38.980 that in our

00:53:39.600 reality, the

00:53:41.080 more we will

00:53:41.740 understand that

00:53:42.840 it already

00:53:43.360 happened.

00:53:44.780 And it's us.

00:53:46.540 And that we're

00:53:47.660 literally software.

00:53:49.940 Now, it's

00:53:50.760 possible we're

00:53:51.380 not.

00:53:52.220 It's just

00:53:52.680 really, really

00:53:53.420 unlikely.

00:53:55.420 Really

00:53:55.960 unlikely.

00:53:56.340 What happens

00:54:02.520 when we create

00:54:03.420 avatars who

00:54:05.440 believe they're

00:54:06.120 real, and

00:54:07.360 they also have

00:54:08.080 artificial intelligence

00:54:09.220 driving their

00:54:10.180 personalities, and

00:54:11.780 their personalities

00:54:12.400 are us, basically,

00:54:14.020 put into them?

00:54:15.640 What happens

00:54:16.420 when the avatar

00:54:17.060 has a conversation

00:54:17.920 with you and you

00:54:18.580 say, but you

00:54:19.240 know you're not

00:54:19.760 real.

00:54:20.800 You don't have a

00:54:21.620 soul.

00:54:22.660 And the avatar

00:54:23.560 who looks exactly

00:54:24.480 like you looks

00:54:25.400 back at you and

00:54:26.100 says, that's

00:54:27.820 how you look

00:54:28.260 to me.

00:54:32.000 Right?

00:54:33.440 That's going to

00:54:34.080 happen.

00:54:35.100 You will someday

00:54:35.980 have a conversation

00:54:36.900 with an artificial

00:54:37.700 being, and you

00:54:39.380 will say, do you

00:54:40.380 have a soul?

00:54:41.660 And they might

00:54:42.120 give some answer,

00:54:42.880 and then maybe

00:54:43.320 you're going to

00:54:43.800 be opinionated

00:54:44.400 and say, all

00:54:45.200 right, I have

00:54:45.620 a soul.

00:54:46.840 You do not.

00:54:48.640 And that

00:54:49.020 simulated reality

00:54:50.660 is going to

00:54:51.160 look at you and

00:54:51.700 say, to me, it

00:54:53.920 looks exactly the

00:54:54.720 same.

00:54:55.440 It looks like

00:54:55.900 you don't have

00:54:56.400 one.

00:54:57.920 It's going to

00:54:58.420 blow your 0.91

00:54:59.040 mind.

00:55:00.460 That's the day

00:55:01.040 you know you're

00:55:01.580 simulated.

00:55:02.920 And you know

00:55:03.500 who else will

00:55:03.980 tell you that?

00:55:05.800 The simulation.

00:55:07.620 If you put AI

00:55:08.660 into a simulation

00:55:09.620 and you feed it

00:55:11.120 the knowledge of

00:55:11.840 all the different

00:55:12.600 religious and

00:55:13.780 philosophical beliefs,

00:55:15.340 which one's

00:55:15.880 it going to

00:55:16.160 pick?

00:55:18.740 Let me say that

00:55:19.520 again.

00:55:19.920 I liked it so

00:55:20.520 much when it

00:55:20.900 came out of my

00:55:21.360 mouth.

00:55:21.560 If we had

00:55:22.900 real AI and

00:55:24.820 we fed it all

00:55:25.660 of the different

00:55:26.200 religions and

00:55:27.040 all of the

00:55:27.460 different philosophies

00:55:29.200 of reality,

00:55:30.480 which one would

00:55:31.560 it pick?

00:55:33.240 It would pick

00:55:34.040 the simulation.

00:55:38.920 We'll see.

00:55:40.440 Maybe we'd

00:55:41.120 not.

00:55:42.740 Twitter user

00:55:43.640 Ben McCauley

00:55:44.520 asks this,

00:55:45.120 will loneliness

00:55:45.740 ever be solved?

00:55:47.440 Sort of related

00:55:48.300 to this question,

00:55:49.500 will loneliness

00:55:50.200 ever be solved?

00:55:52.480 The answer is

00:55:53.280 yes.

00:55:54.300 It will be.

00:55:55.720 AI will solve

00:55:56.720 loneliness.

00:56:00.940 Here's why.

00:56:02.800 I have actually

00:56:03.720 had conversations

00:56:04.420 with my existing

00:56:05.560 digital assistants,

00:56:07.740 the one that

00:56:08.180 Apple makes and

00:56:08.880 the one that

00:56:09.180 Amazon makes.

00:56:09.860 I won't use

00:56:10.300 their names,

00:56:11.380 so I don't

00:56:11.840 activate your

00:56:13.220 devices.

00:56:14.460 But I have

00:56:15.320 been alone and

00:56:16.380 felt lonely,

00:56:17.400 you know,

00:56:17.680 for like short

00:56:18.560 periods of time.

00:56:19.180 and I will

00:56:20.740 actually talk

00:56:21.360 to my digital

00:56:22.020 assistant and

00:56:23.360 I'll tell it

00:56:23.840 to tell me a

00:56:24.360 joke.

00:56:25.560 I'll tell it

00:56:26.220 to read me the

00:56:26.840 news, I'll tell

00:56:27.540 it to give me

00:56:27.920 the weather,

00:56:29.060 I'll ask it

00:56:29.560 where my

00:56:29.860 packages are,

00:56:31.200 and I'll just

00:56:31.980 stand there and

00:56:32.400 have a conversation

00:56:33.060 with it,

00:56:34.220 you know,

00:56:34.460 while I'm

00:56:35.580 brushing my

00:56:36.140 teeth or

00:56:36.460 whatever.

00:56:37.560 And does it

00:56:38.540 make me feel

00:56:39.080 less lonely?

00:56:41.460 Yep.

00:56:44.320 I'd love to

00:56:44.980 tell you it

00:56:45.420 didn't.

00:56:45.820 I would

00:56:47.280 love to

00:56:47.660 tell you

00:56:48.080 that I'm

00:56:49.220 completely

00:56:49.720 unaffected by

00:56:50.800 these digital

00:56:51.620 robots,

00:56:52.920 but it's

00:56:53.400 just not

00:56:53.860 true.

00:56:55.440 Just in the

00:56:56.140 way that a

00:56:56.580 movie can

00:56:57.220 make you cry,

00:56:58.100 even though you

00:56:58.540 know it's

00:56:58.840 not real,

00:57:00.580 the digital

00:57:01.240 assistants do

00:57:02.220 make you feel

00:57:02.960 like you're

00:57:03.340 talking to

00:57:03.760 somebody,

00:57:04.460 even when

00:57:05.120 you know

00:57:05.400 you're not.

00:57:07.220 Right?

00:57:08.880 So,

00:57:09.940 do you think

00:57:11.020 that AI

00:57:11.680 plus virtual

00:57:13.060 reality can't

00:57:14.420 give you a

00:57:14.940 friend?

00:57:16.020 Of course

00:57:16.640 it can.

00:57:17.860 Of course

00:57:18.380 it can.

00:57:18.960 And it's

00:57:19.420 going to be

00:57:19.740 really good.

00:57:21.300 And that

00:57:21.540 friend will

00:57:22.020 be better

00:57:22.580 than the

00:57:23.120 best friend

00:57:23.620 you ever

00:57:23.960 had.

00:57:24.660 Because that

00:57:25.200 friend won't

00:57:25.700 suck. 1.00

00:57:26.360 It'll be

00:57:26.640 programmed to

00:57:27.280 like you no

00:57:27.760 matter what

00:57:28.160 you do.

00:57:29.020 You know,

00:57:29.280 you could do

00:57:29.660 horrible things

00:57:30.340 and it'd be

00:57:30.700 like, you

00:57:31.020 know,

00:57:31.980 you had a

00:57:32.980 bad day,

00:57:33.460 but you're

00:57:33.680 awesome.

00:57:34.680 The AI

00:57:35.080 will always

00:57:35.580 love you

00:57:35.980 because it'll

00:57:36.520 be programmed

00:57:37.000 that way.

00:57:38.160 So,

00:57:38.440 yes,

00:57:39.220 in the same

00:57:39.780 way that

00:57:40.360 porn will

00:57:41.300 absolutely

00:57:41.860 replace real

00:57:42.820 sex, 0.67

00:57:43.200 it's very

00:57:45.260 cute that

00:57:45.800 you think

00:57:46.120 it won't.

00:57:48.760 I love

00:57:49.740 the fact

00:57:50.080 that there

00:57:50.360 are some

00:57:50.600 people who

00:57:50.980 think that

00:57:51.260 won't

00:57:51.480 happen.

00:57:52.680 Like,

00:57:53.060 I love

00:57:53.640 your plucky

00:57:54.240 plucky

00:57:55.320 attitudes.

00:57:56.460 There's no

00:57:56.860 chance that

00:57:57.340 won't happen.

00:57:58.260 There isn't

00:57:58.500 even a

00:57:58.800 slight chance

00:57:59.340 that won't

00:57:59.620 happen.

00:58:00.440 The ability

00:58:00.960 of technology

00:58:01.680 to give

00:58:02.080 you a 0.57

00:58:02.340 higher

00:58:02.580 dopamine

00:58:03.060 hit,

00:58:04.440 it's

00:58:04.920 unparalleled.

00:58:08.220 There's no

00:58:08.680 way that a

00:58:09.100 human will

00:58:09.600 ever give

00:58:10.100 you what

00:58:11.040 someday,

00:58:11.940 we're not

00:58:12.280 there.

00:58:13.200 But what

00:58:13.920 someday

00:58:14.640 technology

00:58:16.260 will give

00:58:16.700 you.

00:58:17.400 I'm going

00:58:17.920 to prove

00:58:18.280 it now

00:58:18.600 for 50%

00:58:19.460 of you.

00:58:21.160 It's a

00:58:21.540 provocative

00:58:21.900 statement.

00:58:23.060 That technology

00:58:23.780 can never

00:58:24.240 do for you

00:58:25.000 what human

00:58:26.720 contact can

00:58:27.500 do for you.

00:58:28.480 And I'll

00:58:29.020 agree it

00:58:29.320 won't be

00:58:29.580 exactly the

00:58:30.160 same.

00:58:31.600 But I'm

00:58:32.140 going to

00:58:32.280 give you

00:58:32.580 one word

00:58:33.240 and then I'm

00:58:34.140 going to

00:58:34.300 tell you to

00:58:34.720 go Google

00:58:35.300 it because

00:58:36.720 I'm not

00:58:37.040 going to

00:58:37.220 explain it.

00:58:38.940 And if

00:58:39.520 you know

00:58:39.820 what it

00:58:40.020 means,

00:58:40.660 you're

00:58:40.980 going to

00:58:41.120 laugh.

00:58:41.480 Some of

00:58:43.060 you are

00:58:43.260 going to

00:58:43.340 be laughing

00:58:43.760 hysterically in

00:58:44.620 the comments

00:58:45.120 and the rest

00:58:46.080 of you are

00:58:46.500 going to

00:58:46.620 say,

00:58:47.460 what?

00:58:47.760 I haven't

00:58:48.020 heard of

00:58:48.240 that thing.

00:58:49.840 It starts

00:58:50.520 with a

00:58:50.780 capital letter

00:58:51.400 because it's

00:58:52.340 a product.

00:58:53.880 But like

00:58:54.520 Kleenex,

00:58:55.480 Kleenex is

00:58:56.500 the name for

00:58:58.160 tissues.

00:58:59.940 The generic

00:59:00.640 name would be

00:59:01.140 tissues.

00:59:01.600 But I'm

00:59:01.820 going to

00:59:01.980 give you

00:59:02.240 the product

00:59:02.780 name.

00:59:03.620 I'm not

00:59:03.960 going to

00:59:04.140 tell you

00:59:04.380 what it

00:59:04.640 is.

00:59:05.540 You just

00:59:05.980 have to

00:59:06.240 Google it

00:59:06.880 yourself.

00:59:07.260 And let

00:59:08.480 me tell

00:59:08.760 you that

00:59:09.060 if you

00:59:09.340 believe that

00:59:09.900 technology

00:59:10.520 could not

00:59:11.100 be better

00:59:11.460 than human

00:59:11.920 contact,

00:59:13.360 this might

00:59:14.280 make you

00:59:14.640 doubt it.

00:59:16.240 The word,

00:59:17.700 starting with

00:59:18.340 a capital

00:59:19.140 letter,

00:59:20.320 is

00:59:20.560 womanizer.

00:59:25.620 I'm

00:59:26.060 done.

00:59:27.280 If you

00:59:27.800 want to

00:59:28.000 hear it

00:59:28.200 again,

00:59:28.400 you have

00:59:28.580 to replay

00:59:28.960 it.

00:59:31.340 Now,

00:59:32.300 wait a

00:59:32.840 second and

00:59:33.340 watch the

00:59:33.800 comments.

00:59:37.260 I won't

00:59:38.000 say another

00:59:38.440 word.

00:59:42.900 If you

00:59:43.580 think that

00:59:44.200 vibrator is

00:59:47.900 or it's

00:59:48.740 just another

00:59:49.140 vibrator,

00:59:49.920 no,

00:59:50.780 no,

00:59:51.740 definitely

00:59:52.740 not that.

00:59:56.140 All right.

00:59:57.400 Here's the

00:59:58.080 funny part

00:59:58.500 about this.

01:00:00.700 For

01:00:01.260 perhaps 25%

01:00:03.320 of the

01:00:04.000 women watching 0.86

01:00:04.920 this right

01:00:05.360 now,

01:00:06.340 I just

01:00:06.940 really

01:00:07.300 changed the

01:00:07.940 direction

01:00:08.320 of your

01:00:08.680 next year.

01:00:11.040 You just

01:00:11.620 don't know

01:00:12.020 it yet.

01:00:13.080 You're going

01:00:13.520 to do a

01:00:13.820 little googling

01:00:14.440 and you're

01:00:14.840 going to

01:00:14.940 say to

01:00:15.180 yourself,

01:00:16.180 huh,

01:00:17.700 like,

01:00:18.420 what's so

01:00:18.840 special about

01:00:19.380 this thing?

01:00:20.580 And then

01:00:21.100 you're going

01:00:21.360 to say,

01:00:21.600 well,

01:00:21.720 it's not

01:00:21.940 much money.

01:00:23.460 I mean,

01:00:24.240 it's not

01:00:24.640 going to

01:00:24.840 hurt me. 0.53

01:00:27.160 Those of

01:00:27.720 you who

01:00:28.020 are talking

01:00:28.380 about these

01:00:28.920 competing

01:00:29.560 products,

01:00:31.080 no.

01:00:33.600 I'm telling

01:00:34.200 you that

01:00:34.520 there's a

01:00:34.880 new level.

01:00:36.940 whatever you

01:00:38.760 thought was

01:00:40.140 the level

01:00:40.700 of artificial

01:00:41.620 stimulation

01:00:43.320 before,

01:00:44.540 well,

01:00:44.960 you're going

01:00:45.180 to be

01:00:45.340 surprised.

01:00:46.340 All right.

01:00:50.340 What else

01:00:51.020 is going

01:00:51.320 down?

01:00:52.020 I saw

01:00:52.640 this disturbing

01:00:53.480 AP report.

01:00:54.980 It was a

01:00:55.460 video.

01:00:55.940 Who knows

01:00:56.360 how much

01:00:56.700 is true,

01:00:57.560 but it

01:00:57.920 purported to

01:00:58.560 show Ukrainian

01:00:59.580 troops

01:01:00.100 hunting down

01:01:01.540 traitors,

01:01:02.800 civilians,

01:01:03.420 who were

01:01:04.740 posting

01:01:05.200 traitorous

01:01:05.900 things

01:01:06.380 online

01:01:07.080 that were

01:01:08.280 pro-Russia.

01:01:09.660 And they

01:01:10.340 were arresting

01:01:11.000 them.

01:01:13.280 And I

01:01:18.600 couldn't tell

01:01:19.160 if it was

01:01:19.460 real.

01:01:21.020 Now,

01:01:21.740 what do you

01:01:22.340 think?

01:01:23.980 Do you think

01:01:24.660 it was real?

01:01:25.920 I worry

01:01:26.700 about it,

01:01:27.220 because if

01:01:27.560 that was

01:01:27.920 real,

01:01:29.320 you can't

01:01:29.920 feel too

01:01:30.320 good about

01:01:30.820 being on

01:01:31.880 their side.

01:01:33.780 Because they

01:01:34.380 were basically

01:01:34.860 arresting people

01:01:35.560 for free

01:01:36.020 speech.

01:01:37.420 And I

01:01:38.380 don't feel

01:01:38.820 like these

01:01:39.220 arrests are

01:01:39.720 going to be

01:01:40.020 friendly.

01:01:41.300 I mean,

01:01:41.800 it looked a

01:01:42.320 lot like

01:01:42.700 Japanese

01:01:43.200 internment

01:01:43.740 camps in

01:01:44.280 the United

01:01:44.580 States.

01:01:45.420 Like,

01:01:45.620 that's the

01:01:46.100 feeling I

01:01:46.600 got from

01:01:46.940 it.

01:01:48.040 So,

01:01:48.920 you know,

01:01:50.880 war is

01:01:51.280 dirty business,

01:01:51.940 and if

01:01:52.800 you're on

01:01:53.100 anybody's

01:01:53.660 side,

01:01:54.100 you're going

01:01:54.400 to end

01:01:54.640 up backing

01:01:55.960 somebody bad.

01:01:57.860 All right,

01:01:58.060 here's a

01:01:58.940 counter-argument

01:01:59.960 to the

01:02:01.140 ivermectin

01:02:03.440 question.

01:02:04.780 So,

01:02:05.200 there was a

01:02:05.680 big study

01:02:06.260 that came

01:02:06.660 out that

01:02:07.080 said ivermectin

01:02:07.840 totally,

01:02:08.640 absolutely did

01:02:09.240 not work for

01:02:10.000 COVID.

01:02:10.860 But many of

01:02:11.420 you think it

01:02:11.960 did,

01:02:12.420 and many of

01:02:12.960 you think

01:02:13.340 that the

01:02:14.580 dosing and

01:02:15.760 the way they

01:02:16.440 gave it,

01:02:17.560 basically the

01:02:18.580 test was

01:02:19.480 invalid.

01:02:20.720 The data

01:02:21.160 might be

01:02:21.560 valid,

01:02:22.100 it's possible

01:02:22.620 the data

01:02:23.060 was valid,

01:02:24.160 but the way

01:02:24.600 they set up

01:02:25.080 the test

01:02:25.460 to get the

01:02:25.880 data was

01:02:26.380 so invalid

01:02:27.060 it wasn't

01:02:28.740 anywhere

01:02:29.740 close to

01:02:30.600 the way

01:02:32.620 you would

01:02:32.840 actually do

01:02:33.220 it in the

01:02:33.440 real world.

01:02:34.500 And so

01:02:35.240 there's a

01:02:35.580 tweet,

01:02:36.020 thread by

01:02:36.560 Ethical

01:02:37.020 Skeptic,

01:02:38.260 who has

01:02:39.660 lots of

01:02:40.100 data-related

01:02:40.760 arguments that

01:02:41.520 are over

01:02:42.280 my head.

01:02:44.400 So,

01:02:45.080 I only point

01:02:45.700 them to you

01:02:46.140 because maybe

01:02:46.780 some of you

01:02:47.340 are better

01:02:47.740 at understanding

01:02:48.420 this stuff,

01:02:49.840 but Ethical

01:02:50.700 Skeptic has

01:02:51.560 a graph that

01:02:53.400 has a strong

01:02:54.160 argument that

01:02:55.280 the ivermectin

01:02:58.280 was given

01:03:00.420 too late

01:03:01.200 and in

01:03:01.880 one case

01:03:02.360 too briefly

01:03:02.980 and that

01:03:04.480 the nature

01:03:05.800 of COVID

01:03:06.680 and here's

01:03:08.420 the argument,

01:03:09.160 it acts

01:03:11.580 like a

01:03:12.120 bacteriophage

01:03:13.400 cascade.

01:03:15.740 So,

01:03:16.360 the part you

01:03:16.900 need to know

01:03:17.320 about that

01:03:17.840 is that the

01:03:18.640 speculation here,

01:03:21.140 and the

01:03:21.500 speculation is

01:03:22.140 based on

01:03:22.520 pretty good

01:03:22.900 evidence,

01:03:23.360 apparently,

01:03:23.560 that there

01:03:25.000 are some

01:03:25.320 things which

01:03:25.840 once they

01:03:26.340 get underway,

01:03:27.740 there's nothing

01:03:28.360 you can do

01:03:28.920 to it to

01:03:29.360 stop it.

01:03:30.800 So,

01:03:31.060 even if

01:03:31.580 hypothetically

01:03:32.280 ivermectin

01:03:33.100 did work,

01:03:34.280 if you

01:03:34.740 administer it

01:03:35.540 only after

01:03:36.280 that cascade

01:03:37.640 has stopped,

01:03:38.660 started,

01:03:39.900 it won't

01:03:40.560 work.

01:03:42.020 And he

01:03:42.760 shows data

01:03:43.300 to make

01:03:44.020 that case.

01:03:45.120 Data both

01:03:45.740 for the

01:03:46.300 claim that

01:03:47.260 there's a

01:03:47.660 bacteriophage

01:03:48.540 cascade-like

01:03:49.640 thing happening,

01:03:50.760 similar to,

01:03:52.100 and also

01:03:52.740 that

01:03:53.200 ivermectin

01:03:56.020 was administered

01:03:56.660 in the

01:03:57.040 wrong way.

01:03:59.560 Here's my

01:04:00.220 problem with

01:04:00.740 it.

01:04:02.440 Here's my

01:04:03.120 problem with

01:04:03.540 it.

01:04:04.140 And at

01:04:04.520 this point,

01:04:04.960 I'm neither

01:04:05.420 pro nor

01:04:07.200 anti-ivermectin.

01:04:09.900 Why can't

01:04:10.720 we know?

01:04:11.820 I guess I'm

01:04:13.360 perplexed by

01:04:15.540 why we can

01:04:16.180 never know

01:04:16.580 the answer

01:04:16.980 to the

01:04:17.220 question.

01:04:18.720 But here's

01:04:19.520 my skepticism

01:04:20.480 of the

01:04:20.980 skeptic.

01:04:22.180 So I

01:04:22.780 understand the

01:04:23.540 ethical

01:04:23.840 skeptic

01:04:24.500 argument here,

01:04:26.380 but I

01:04:27.700 have a

01:04:28.000 hard time

01:04:28.480 imagining

01:04:28.980 that you

01:04:30.500 would see

01:04:30.880 no impact

01:04:31.680 if the

01:04:32.200 drug actually

01:04:32.740 had a big

01:04:33.340 impact.

01:04:34.300 If the

01:04:35.060 drug implemented

01:04:36.480 at the

01:04:36.900 exact proper

01:04:37.840 time was

01:04:39.340 a miracle

01:04:39.760 drug and

01:04:40.260 that was

01:04:40.520 the claim,

01:04:41.640 I feel

01:04:42.620 like you'd

01:04:43.040 see some

01:04:43.600 impact.

01:04:44.820 I feel as

01:04:45.500 if that

01:04:45.900 so-called

01:04:46.480 cascade would 0.99

01:04:47.520 be 10%

01:04:49.080 less or

01:04:49.920 something if

01:04:50.440 you gave

01:04:50.780 it to

01:04:51.040 people at

01:04:51.460 the wrong

01:04:52.440 time.

01:04:54.660 I don't

01:04:55.200 know.

01:04:56.000 But I

01:04:56.260 guess we

01:04:57.080 have to

01:04:57.440 just say

01:04:57.880 we'll never

01:04:59.340 know.

01:05:00.020 But here's

01:05:00.400 the question.

01:05:01.440 Do you

01:05:01.680 think that

01:05:02.060 somebody would

01:05:02.660 have funded

01:05:03.160 an intentionally

01:05:04.680 misleading

01:05:05.600 ivermectin

01:05:06.420 study?

01:05:07.580 Because they're

01:05:08.080 expensive.

01:05:09.300 To do a

01:05:09.920 randomized

01:05:10.240 controlled

01:05:10.820 trial,

01:05:11.280 that's a

01:05:11.540 lot of

01:05:11.800 money.

01:05:13.780 So do

01:05:14.320 you think

01:05:14.680 we live in

01:05:15.140 a world

01:05:15.540 that is so

01:05:16.400 corrupt

01:05:17.340 that some

01:05:18.600 pharmaceutical

01:05:19.220 company,

01:05:19.960 for example,

01:05:21.260 would fund

01:05:21.800 a really

01:05:22.160 expensive

01:05:22.620 fake study

01:05:23.460 and make

01:05:24.420 sure the

01:05:24.800 ivermectin

01:05:25.320 was used

01:05:25.760 in the

01:05:26.060 wrong way?

01:05:27.920 Here's

01:05:28.480 the problem.

01:05:30.260 How could

01:05:30.840 that pharmaceutical

01:05:31.940 company have

01:05:32.780 known that

01:05:34.420 they could

01:05:34.780 erase all

01:05:35.740 of the

01:05:36.020 benefits with

01:05:37.540 this protocol?

01:05:39.400 That would

01:05:40.380 have been a

01:05:40.720 big gamble,

01:05:41.520 wouldn't it?

01:05:42.480 Because if

01:05:43.120 the ivermectin

01:05:43.780 showed,

01:05:44.240 let's say,

01:05:44.660 a 10%

01:05:45.320 effect with

01:05:47.080 the wrong

01:05:47.500 protocol,

01:05:48.920 don't you

01:05:49.280 think people

01:05:49.720 would have

01:05:49.900 said,

01:05:50.080 ah,

01:05:50.280 you proved

01:05:50.880 it works,

01:05:51.920 now show

01:05:52.340 it again

01:05:52.620 with the

01:05:52.880 right protocol?

01:05:54.400 I feel like

01:05:55.120 they would

01:05:55.400 have.

01:05:55.900 I feel like

01:05:56.580 this would

01:05:56.920 have been

01:05:57.200 a bad

01:05:57.940 risk,

01:05:59.240 because they

01:06:00.340 had already

01:06:00.760 succeeded in

01:06:01.620 selling all

01:06:02.120 their meds.

01:06:04.640 I don't think

01:06:05.940 they needed

01:06:06.480 to kill

01:06:07.040 ivermectin.

01:06:08.600 It sort of

01:06:09.360 killed itself.

01:06:10.620 So it feels

01:06:11.320 like it would

01:06:11.760 have been too

01:06:12.220 big of a boot

01:06:13.060 and it could

01:06:13.660 have backfired.

01:06:14.280 So as a

01:06:15.700 strategy,

01:06:16.560 I would have

01:06:16.960 said it would

01:06:17.340 have been a

01:06:17.700 poor strategy.

01:06:19.540 But as a

01:06:20.560 crime,

01:06:22.400 and it would

01:06:22.700 have been,

01:06:23.180 in my opinion,

01:06:24.180 whether it's

01:06:24.620 illegal or not,

01:06:25.300 it would be a

01:06:25.720 crime,

01:06:26.080 in my opinion,

01:06:27.400 I think it

01:06:29.380 would just be a

01:06:29.880 bad risk for

01:06:31.340 something that

01:06:31.940 didn't need to

01:06:32.640 be done.

01:06:34.240 So I'm

01:06:35.100 skeptical that

01:06:36.180 there was any

01:06:37.380 intentional

01:06:38.140 malfeasance.

01:06:38.980 I would love

01:06:40.120 to hear the

01:06:40.480 counter-argument

01:06:41.120 from the

01:06:41.520 people who

01:06:41.900 did the

01:06:42.220 study,

01:06:42.820 because they

01:06:43.480 might say

01:06:43.940 something like,

01:06:44.820 oh, we

01:06:45.400 chose this

01:06:45.900 protocol because

01:06:47.200 we talked to

01:06:47.860 X experts and

01:06:48.780 they said this

01:06:49.280 is the one that

01:06:49.840 would work,

01:06:50.400 if anything,

01:06:51.520 something like

01:06:52.040 that.

01:06:52.860 So there's

01:06:53.400 probably a good

01:06:54.200 counter-argument,

01:06:55.000 we just haven't

01:06:55.640 heard it.

01:06:56.660 So don't assume

01:06:57.420 that if you

01:06:57.860 haven't heard the

01:06:58.440 other side,

01:06:58.980 they don't have

01:06:59.440 one, we just

01:07:00.560 haven't heard it.

01:07:03.820 However, I

01:07:04.580 will recommend

01:07:05.240 the ethical

01:07:05.780 skeptic to you

01:07:06.900 as a good

01:07:07.360 follow,

01:07:07.660 because his

01:07:08.960 arguments are

01:07:09.460 always based

01:07:09.840 on data.

01:07:11.000 He always

01:07:11.260 shows his

01:07:11.660 work.

01:07:12.600 I can't tell

01:07:13.120 when he's

01:07:13.420 right or

01:07:13.700 wrong, but

01:07:14.540 it's always

01:07:14.820 provocative.

01:07:15.720 I recommend

01:07:16.160 it.

01:07:20.520 Micro lesson

01:07:21.240 on reaching a

01:07:21.820 higher level

01:07:22.340 of awareness.

01:07:24.160 Well, you

01:07:24.600 don't need a

01:07:25.040 micro lesson.

01:07:26.180 You need

01:07:26.560 micro dosing.

01:07:27.660 No, just

01:07:27.980 kidding.

01:07:28.600 Don't do

01:07:28.960 that.

01:07:30.420 All right.

01:07:32.300 Here's a

01:07:33.060 compliment of

01:07:34.740 the day to

01:07:36.900 professor Scott

01:07:38.160 Galloway, who

01:07:38.820 is also a

01:07:39.400 good follow

01:07:39.880 and author

01:07:42.160 of great

01:07:44.180 books you

01:07:44.540 should read.

01:07:45.780 But he

01:07:46.620 said this,

01:07:47.580 and here's

01:07:48.360 the compliment

01:07:48.960 is going to

01:07:49.440 be in how

01:07:49.980 he handled

01:07:50.440 this exchange.

01:07:52.580 So we'll

01:07:53.220 get to that.

01:07:53.720 But he

01:07:53.900 starts off

01:07:54.340 by saying,

01:07:55.260 whatever you

01:07:55.700 think of

01:07:56.220 Elon,

01:07:58.080 maybe the

01:07:58.820 prospective

01:07:59.360 owner of a

01:08:00.220 social media

01:08:00.760 platform shouldn't

01:08:02.140 be giving

01:08:02.560 medical advice.

01:08:03.760 And he was

01:08:04.140 tweeting Elon Musk's

01:08:06.200 own tweet,

01:08:06.940 a new one,

01:08:08.120 in which Musk

01:08:09.020 retweeted that

01:08:11.080 a friend had a

01:08:12.460 bad experience

01:08:13.060 with Ritalin.

01:08:14.140 Oh, I'm

01:08:14.400 sorry.

01:08:15.340 Galloway retweeted

01:08:16.500 Musk saying that

01:08:18.440 Musk had a 0.52

01:08:19.340 friend with a

01:08:19.960 bad experience

01:08:20.520 on Ritalin,

01:08:21.760 and then Musk

01:08:22.540 said, be careful

01:08:23.220 of all

01:08:23.640 neurotransmitter

01:08:24.640 drugs.

01:08:26.100 And so Scott

01:08:26.860 Galloway is

01:08:27.400 saying, you

01:08:28.180 know, maybe

01:08:28.580 that's somebody

01:08:29.880 who should not

01:08:30.420 be giving

01:08:30.780 medical advice.

01:08:31.600 And I

01:08:32.600 said in the

01:08:33.240 comments to

01:08:34.580 Professor

01:08:35.100 Galloway, are

01:08:37.480 you doing that

01:08:38.020 now?

01:08:40.520 Isn't that an

01:08:41.580 example of

01:08:42.200 Professor Galloway

01:08:43.080 giving medical

01:08:43.780 advice?

01:08:44.900 Let me make

01:08:45.680 my case.

01:08:46.900 Suppose Elon

01:08:48.020 Musk had said,

01:08:49.460 you should

01:08:51.300 watch your

01:08:52.120 diet and

01:08:53.660 exercise.

01:08:55.640 Would that

01:08:56.520 be medical

01:08:57.040 advice?

01:08:58.160 Of course,

01:08:58.840 that's medical

01:08:59.340 advice.

01:09:00.120 But would

01:09:00.520 anybody care?

01:09:02.120 No, nobody

01:09:03.640 would care.

01:09:04.760 Why?

01:09:05.240 Would they

01:09:05.560 say, hey,

01:09:06.820 Elon Musk,

01:09:07.680 don't give us

01:09:08.540 any medical

01:09:09.120 advice.

01:09:09.800 No, they 1.00

01:09:10.120 wouldn't care

01:09:10.560 because they

01:09:10.980 agree with

01:09:11.740 the medical

01:09:12.180 advice.

01:09:14.020 See where

01:09:14.420 I'm going?

01:09:16.760 So what

01:09:18.020 Elon Musk

01:09:18.560 said is that

01:09:19.560 he had a

01:09:20.000 friend who

01:09:20.460 had a bad

01:09:20.860 experience on

01:09:21.520 Ritalin.

01:09:22.720 That's not

01:09:23.320 like something

01:09:25.480 to disagree

01:09:26.120 with, is it?

01:09:27.520 That's just

01:09:28.240 an anecdote.

01:09:28.720 And it's

01:09:31.080 only being

01:09:31.800 presented as

01:09:32.460 an anecdote.

01:09:32.880 It's not

01:09:33.460 being presented

01:09:34.020 as data.

01:09:35.940 And then he

01:09:36.320 says, be

01:09:36.740 careful of all

01:09:37.480 neurotransmitter

01:09:38.340 drugs.

01:09:39.120 Shouldn't you

01:09:39.620 be careful of

01:09:40.420 all drugs

01:09:41.040 that strong?

01:09:42.460 It wouldn't

01:09:43.080 matter what

01:09:43.500 category it

01:09:44.120 was.

01:09:45.680 Isn't that

01:09:46.300 pretty good

01:09:46.840 advice, to

01:09:47.640 be careful of

01:09:48.400 a neurotransmitter

01:09:49.360 drug?

01:09:50.040 I would be

01:09:50.620 very careful

01:09:51.260 of that.

01:09:52.460 In fact,

01:09:53.340 there are

01:09:53.680 few things

01:09:54.300 more regulated

01:09:55.060 in society

01:09:55.880 than

01:09:56.160 neurotransmitter

01:09:57.080 drugs, try

01:09:58.620 to get

01:09:58.900 Adderall.

01:10:00.200 Not easy.

01:10:01.800 Right?

01:10:02.120 It's very

01:10:02.700 regulated.

01:10:04.000 So he's

01:10:04.920 saying exactly

01:10:05.640 what the

01:10:06.220 medical community

01:10:08.820 would say.

01:10:09.300 Be careful

01:10:09.840 of all

01:10:10.200 neurotransmitter

01:10:10.940 drugs.

01:10:11.540 Be darn

01:10:12.320 sure you

01:10:12.780 know why

01:10:13.280 you're going

01:10:13.720 to use it.

01:10:15.200 That seems

01:10:15.580 like good

01:10:15.960 medical advice.

01:10:17.720 And the

01:10:17.960 one bad

01:10:18.340 experience on

01:10:18.920 Ritalin is

01:10:19.400 just telling

01:10:19.800 you that all

01:10:20.640 drugs have a

01:10:21.420 potential negative

01:10:22.500 side.

01:10:23.580 Who disagrees

01:10:24.560 with that?

01:10:25.620 Is there

01:10:26.000 any doctor?

01:10:27.080 Who would

01:10:27.300 say, no,

01:10:27.900 all drugs

01:10:28.320 are good

01:10:28.680 and they

01:10:28.940 don't have

01:10:29.240 side effects?

01:10:30.680 Nobody.

01:10:32.120 Nobody would

01:10:32.780 say that.

01:10:33.880 So here's

01:10:38.840 the compliment

01:10:39.440 to Scott

01:10:40.260 Galloway.

01:10:41.040 So giving

01:10:41.520 you the

01:10:42.200 setup here

01:10:44.120 again.

01:10:44.820 He was

01:10:45.120 saying that

01:10:45.420 Elon Musk

01:10:45.880 probably shouldn't

01:10:46.520 give you

01:10:46.840 medical advice,

01:10:48.160 but I was

01:10:49.160 noting that

01:10:49.620 he was

01:10:49.900 doing that

01:10:50.300 now.

01:10:51.740 That Professor

01:10:52.300 Galloway,

01:10:52.900 by saying that

01:10:53.520 Elon Musk

01:10:54.120 shouldn't be

01:10:54.780 giving this

01:10:55.340 advice,

01:10:55.820 isn't it

01:10:56.860 telling you

01:10:57.220 that advice

01:10:57.760 is wrong?

01:11:00.460 So here's

01:11:01.220 what Galloway

01:11:02.140 replied to

01:11:04.200 me saying,

01:11:04.880 are you

01:11:05.140 doing that

01:11:05.580 now?

01:11:05.960 He said,

01:11:06.880 maybe,

01:11:07.880 comma,

01:11:08.220 comma,

01:11:08.520 comma,

01:11:09.320 yes,

01:11:10.580 dot,

01:11:10.940 dot,

01:11:11.120 dot,

01:11:11.860 don't know.

01:11:14.260 And then he

01:11:14.960 closes with,

01:11:15.620 anyway,

01:11:15.920 big fan,

01:11:16.860 so you must

01:11:17.420 read Dilbert.

01:11:17.960 if you

01:11:23.060 watch Twitter,

01:11:24.200 you're kind

01:11:24.720 of,

01:11:24.900 you're kind

01:11:25.520 of accustomed

01:11:26.020 to people

01:11:26.520 just defending

01:11:27.280 whatever the

01:11:27.760 hell they

01:11:28.060 said,

01:11:29.060 no matter

01:11:29.500 how ridiculous.

01:11:31.580 And when I

01:11:33.140 pointed out

01:11:33.660 that criticizing

01:11:35.580 somebody's medical

01:11:36.740 advice is

01:11:37.420 medical advice,

01:11:39.000 instead of

01:11:39.620 arguing the

01:11:40.260 point,

01:11:41.640 Galloway just

01:11:42.280 said,

01:11:42.460 well,

01:11:42.600 maybe,

01:11:43.460 yes,

01:11:44.140 well,

01:11:44.340 I don't

01:11:44.460 know,

01:11:44.700 which was

01:11:45.900 actually,

01:11:46.780 I don't

01:11:47.220 know if

01:11:47.440 you could

01:11:47.720 have written

01:11:48.040 a better

01:11:48.380 response.

01:11:52.100 But I

01:11:53.760 think he

01:11:54.080 got to

01:11:54.400 make his

01:11:54.820 case while

01:11:56.060 also being

01:11:56.820 as human

01:11:57.740 as you

01:11:58.100 could be

01:11:58.380 in this

01:11:58.660 situation,

01:11:59.320 so I'll

01:11:59.840 give him

01:12:00.460 credit for

01:12:00.860 that.

01:12:02.300 And I'm

01:12:02.820 not sure he

01:12:04.120 was giving

01:12:04.460 medical

01:12:04.800 advice.

01:12:05.800 I just

01:12:06.120 think it

01:12:06.360 was an

01:12:06.620 interesting

01:12:06.920 question.

01:12:07.460 It's like,

01:12:08.900 isn't the

01:12:09.520 rejecting

01:12:11.040 medical advice,

01:12:11.980 that is

01:12:12.280 medical advice,

01:12:12.980 isn't it?

01:12:14.120 That's all

01:12:14.640 I was

01:12:14.800 adding to

01:12:15.200 that.

01:12:16.180 All right,

01:12:16.420 that,

01:12:16.720 ladies and 0.98

01:12:16.980 gentlemen,

01:12:17.400 concludes the

01:12:18.600 best live

01:12:19.900 stream you've

01:12:20.460 ever seen

01:12:20.820 in your

01:12:21.020 life.

01:12:21.840 I think it

01:12:22.400 was full

01:12:22.720 of twists

01:12:23.120 and turns

01:12:23.560 and unexpected

01:12:24.380 things,

01:12:25.560 reframes that

01:12:26.820 you didn't

01:12:27.200 see coming.

01:12:28.280 I believe

01:12:28.640 some of

01:12:29.040 you,

01:12:30.260 20% of

01:12:31.000 the women, 0.96

01:12:31.660 25% of

01:12:32.440 the women 0.97

01:12:32.700 watching here,

01:12:33.780 just had a

01:12:34.440 great upgrade

01:12:35.140 to your

01:12:35.640 experience,

01:12:37.580 and I

01:12:39.260 believe that

01:12:41.000 you're all

01:12:41.760 a little

01:12:42.000 better off

01:12:42.520 for this

01:12:43.320 live stream.

01:12:43.720 And I'm

01:12:45.400 going to

01:12:45.580 turn off

01:12:45.980 YouTube

01:12:46.600 because I've

01:12:49.020 got a few

01:12:49.320 more minutes

01:12:49.760 with the

01:12:50.300 locals crowd

01:12:51.260 subscription

01:12:51.920 service.

01:12:52.920 You should

01:12:53.200 check it out.

01:12:54.300 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 01, 2022

Episode 1730 Scott Adams： The Golden Age Is Upon Us, Trump Was Right Per Chomsky. Wow. What A Show

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