Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1741 Scott Adams： Lots Of Appalling Or Funny News Today

00:00:00.000 locals uh it has come to my attention that i'm not very good at telling time

00:00:06.240 yes it's true i was positive this was the usual time i'm in a different time zone uh but uh i

00:00:16.160 i'm positive that when i came here there was a two hour time difference

00:00:20.400 but i'm positive that when i woke up at there's a three hour time difference

00:00:24.160 i don't know but i spent all day yesterday apparently in the wrong hour maybe i don't know

00:00:30.960 or something um but let me tell you the funniest part about where i am so first of all i'm on a

00:00:38.240 on my on a writer's trip i needed to get out of the house and especially away from my dog

00:00:44.720 um because my dog is very needy and so and uh so are kids sometimes so i had to actually get

00:00:53.040 out of my environment so i could get some work done so i uh picked a secret location

00:01:00.320 where i would just have a balcony and i would just look at the the ocean and uh life would be good

00:01:09.280 there was however one thing that it would have been nice if the hotel had mentioned before i booked it

00:01:17.680 it's just it's just a little thing um the first room they put me in uh and of course i told them my

00:01:26.000 highest priority is the view because basically i'm just gonna be sitting on the balcony writing for a week

00:01:32.240 so i said the most important thing like everything else doesn't matter service doesn't matter just

00:01:36.720 give me a view the first room they put me in had a

00:01:39.600 a nice view of the beach that they covered by putting bushes in front of the the entire front of the view

00:01:51.120 so if you were sitting on your balcony you could see the sky

00:01:57.520 it's the most beautiful beach you could ever look at in your life

00:02:01.680 and they intentionally put bushes in front of it and charge the same as if you had a view

00:02:12.400 they can't even make that up but wait here's the best part and so last night i i hear uh some crying

00:02:20.400 baby i'm like wow that's a that is one loud crying baby because it sounded like it was coming maybe from

00:02:26.720 another balcony or another room and the more i listened to it i was like whoa that is not a crying

00:02:32.480 baby that is like more than one crying baby and then i'm listening carefully and i'm like

00:02:40.480 holy hell that's not two crying babies that sounds like 50 crying babies

00:02:48.880 like really crying babies like continually crying from about 6 p.m last night until there's

00:02:56.400 still crying right now just screaming crying and i'm not talking about a little bit of crying

00:03:00.960 i'm talking about really wailing turns out there's some kind of bird that lives on the reef down there

00:03:09.360 that screams all night and it screams exactly like a crying baby all night it never stops it's just

00:03:19.040 screaming baby sound now suppose you went on vacation to some place where you wanted to relax

00:03:26.800 and you were wondering about the nature of the hotel and and what the accommodations would be

00:03:31.600 do you think that one of the things that they might have mentioned when they said well your room is a

00:03:36.880 certain size with these accommodations you've got these features and you've got a nice view of the

00:03:41.600 ocean it's a very nice view the view in the second room i moved to is excellent however i feel that they

00:03:49.600 should have mentioned that i must listen to 100 screaming babies all night long 0.99

00:03:57.840 even through the closed doors even when i'm wearing my echo

00:04:02.320 headphones headphones so loud that the echo cancellation which is actually really good in the

00:04:09.360 the uh the the pros this version of the earbuds the echo cancellation is excellent

00:04:15.600 penetrates it like nothing however i found the best hack i take a youtube video

00:04:25.840 of ocean sounds that people use to fall asleep

00:04:28.320 and it turns out every ocean sounds like every other ocean so when i put in the earbuds and turn

00:04:36.160 up the ocean sound and go outside i'm looking at a real ocean while i'm listening to a fake ocean in my head

00:04:43.520 and my and my brain doesn't know the difference it's not white noise it's exactly like i'm listening to the ocean outdoors

00:04:52.960 so thank you for technology i can actually pretend to be at the ocean while being at the real ocean

00:05:00.160 how about that all right that's not why you're here let's talk about all the things in the news

00:05:05.600 um so i've been talking about the film 2000 mules dinesh de souza's film that uh alleges that there

00:05:18.800 were many people delivering multiple bets in the 2020 election uh and i've been looking at the debunks

00:05:25.920 to see how good the debunks are um wait a minute wait a minute i'm doing something completely wrong here am i

00:05:33.920 not something completely there's something missing isn't there there's something missing

00:05:41.520 is it the simultaneous sip yeah it is it is and my other technical problem is i didn't bring my cheat

00:05:50.640 sheet so i'm going to need you in the comments to tell me the simultaneous sip go so i can read it

00:05:59.360 i'll bet you know it all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass uh blah blah blah and blah blah blah blah

00:06:10.880 and join me now for the simultaneous sip are you ready a tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask go

00:06:19.360 a vessel of any tank maybe you would remember my my memory works in a weird way uh-oh

00:06:34.160 uh-oh i'm gonna lose my power here in a moment sorry another technical difficulty it's gonna be that kind

00:06:40.800 today uh we're powering up here we do have a solution for all what the hell it's not possible

00:06:52.640 all right

00:06:56.480 now where was i

00:06:59.840 so i was looking for any debunks on that movie 2000 mules and i came across an article in the

00:07:06.640 washington post by philip bump in which he also makes the claim that the ap made that the precision

00:07:14.240 of the mobile phone data that showed that multiple people were going to multiple drop boxes and uh uh

00:07:21.920 or at least allegedly it seemed to indicate that and uh the the debunk is oh you can't tell if they

00:07:28.240 dropped off ballots which isn't really an exact debunk because the film doesn't claim that the that the

00:07:37.040 that that data proves anybody balance but together with the videos of people doing multiple ballots

00:07:44.720 plus the cell phone data it creates a story that might be true and might not be but it's certainly

00:07:52.400 a big enough issue that the country is being torn apart apart by it and wouldn't you agree that whether

00:08:00.000 it's true or not true at this point we need to figure that out do we all agree on that

00:08:07.040 i i have not formed an opinion as to whether this is reliable i'm pretty agnostic about it at this

00:08:12.640 point but it's definitely a big question and it's definitely a big enough question that it could tear

00:08:18.720 the entire republic apart so if you have something that's that important i don't think that ignoring

00:08:24.720 it is the right play because the longer it is ignored the more credible will be the claims am i right

00:08:30.960 the longer we ignore it the more credible it becomes because why are they ignoring it if it's debunkable

00:08:38.960 why not debunking

00:08:42.240 so philip bump um i i made a comment about how weak his debunk was so i retweeted his article and

00:08:50.640 noted that it was weak uh philip bump came back at me with a retweet and uh i forget exact words but

00:08:59.280 he said something about uh

00:09:02.640 about my comment coming from the guy who thought that the

00:09:06.080 supreme court leak was a hoax

00:09:07.840 philip bump's uh reaction to my comment about his work was to make a comment about me who does that

00:09:17.680 what kind of a person comments are not the work of the person or the opinion but rather the person

00:09:24.240 themselves oh keith keith so i said okay keith and i've been using okay keith for the last day

00:09:34.400 it really really makes me feel good because people don't know what it means and that's the best part

00:09:40.560 so it just it just takes people completely out of the game so they'll say some horrible thing about

00:09:45.360 something i allegedly did or did not do and i'll just say okay keith and they don't know what to do

00:09:51.920 it's just the end of the conversation now eventually somebody will explain it to him it's a

00:09:56.000 keith olbermann reference that keith olbermann is one who comes after a person instead of the argument

00:10:01.920 um so then i thought about it for a moment i thought you know the okay keith isn't quite enough in this 0.89

00:10:07.440 case and so philip his his uh his criticism of me is that um i'm a person who was so dumb 0.78

00:10:17.920 here i'm reading between the lines but i think this is the implication so dumb that i believe that 0.83

00:10:23.440 the supreme court leak was a hoax and how wrong i was oh how wrong i was and so i responded

00:10:31.360 why would it be what would cause a person like me a consumer of news what what would be

00:10:37.760 a series of events or an environment what would be a situation in which something that's completely

00:10:43.520 true and reported in the news could be regarded as probably a hoax what what kind of situation

00:10:51.200 would cause a person like me a reasonable person in most cases to believe that maybe the news was

00:10:58.080 fake could it be people like philip bump could be people who write articles that are not true

00:11:06.400 and pass them off as news i'm not entirely sure it's my fault that i believe that a true story was

00:11:13.520 fake and i'm not entirely sure that that's even an insult because if you hear a true story and you

00:11:20.720 say i don't believe it i feel like you're a good consumer now once the evidence came out

00:11:29.680 i changed my opinion didn't i as soon as the supreme court said oh yeah that's real i said oh i'm

00:11:35.200 completely wrong 100 wrong no no walking it back 100 wrong and now i changed my opinion what's wrong

00:11:44.800 with that is that really a criticism because i think if you see something that's extraordinary

00:11:51.680 in the news it's usually not true so there's probably something like a 95 correlation between

00:12:01.760 extraordinary things like that like a leak in the supreme court's never happened before so when you

00:12:07.520 see something that's extraordinary in the news if you don't first think it's fake you're not a good

00:12:13.440 consumer of news well i mean let me say you shouldn't you shouldn't assume it's fake you should assume

00:12:20.080 it's unproven and there's a good chance it's fake and that's what i did so i'm actually proud of

00:12:26.160 being wrong about that or is that just me yeah that is the indians painting behind me i'm looking at

00:12:36.080 comments 48 hour rule well you know i'm not sure i would apply the 48 hour rule to myself in that case

00:12:44.800 i think i just i was wrong but i was wrong for a reason that i'm not sure is entirely the fault of any

00:12:50.640 consumer if you don't believe the news i'm not sure that's your fault do you feel me if you told me

00:12:58.720 you saw a news report and you didn't believe it maybe you weren't positive it's untrue but you're

00:13:04.320 simply not believing it yet i would say good consumer all right um now this leads us to the ap so the ap

00:13:16.640 was the only one who debunked this but would you like to hear a good debunk which i tweeted around

00:13:21.280 and because i'm a horrible person i do not have the name of the person who did this let's see if i

00:13:27.840 can quickly find it but there's a video going around that i retweeted of somebody who's uh talking about

00:13:32.800 the 2000 mules movie and giving what i thought was a really balanced opinion meaning that uh he complained

00:13:40.880 about their debunks being useless um yeah it's a video it doesn't have a name on it but it was really

00:13:48.880 good i don't know who does this all right well if he doesn't put his name on it i guess that's not my

00:13:54.400 fault but let me give you his argument the argument was this that the movie claims uh and really it's

00:14:01.920 probably most provocative claim is that there were multiple people going to multiple drop boxes

00:14:08.800 right now the videos that were shown were one-offs one person going to a drop box with multiple

00:14:16.000 ballots that by itself is not necessarily illegal because it might have been from family members

00:14:24.960 who knows and and honestly if they were just people who were taking it for their neighbor and

00:14:30.640 they were just doing a favor it might be technically illegal but i'm not going to care about that right

00:14:38.640 not going to really care but here was a good uh a good criticism of the movie the most provocative

00:14:46.960 claim is that the same person went to multiple drop boxes but there's no evidence shown of that

00:14:54.880 in other words they have access to lots of video footage of people at drop boxes and they have data

00:15:00.400 suggesting that the same person would go to multiple drop boxes yet there is not even one example

00:15:05.840 of one person going to more than one drop box now i don't know if that's actually a reasonable thing

00:15:13.760 to ask for because it's possible that the places where they have video

00:15:19.360 this is just speculation so i'm not claiming this is true but one could imagine that the video covers

00:15:26.880 let's say five percent of the drop boxes because not everything's gonna have a video will it how

00:15:32.080 many of the drop boxes are on video with security cameras can't be that many unless they're not all on

00:15:38.160 video are they so what if only say five percent are on video and it would just be too hard to find one

00:15:45.440 person going to more than one under that situation so he says by law they were all supposed to have a

00:15:51.840 video interesting now if that's true if it's true that they all by law well that would be different by

00:16:00.400 state i would imagine but if it were true so these are good questions right if it were true that they

00:16:05.440 all have video why wouldn't dinesh find you at least one example just one of any one person who went to

00:16:14.080 multiple boxes with multiple belts now how many of you were aware that that was missing from the movie

00:16:24.400 how many of you knew that the primary really not the primary claim but let's say by far the strongest

00:16:31.440 claim if it were true the strongest claim would be that one person went to multiple places with multiple

00:16:38.000 things right so so that's that's really missing here's the second thing that's missing

00:16:46.560 who else is looking at dinesh's data you haven't seen any data i haven't seen any data so we're all

00:16:55.360 talking about data that nobody's seen except the people who made the movie can you trust people who make

00:17:00.960 documentaries forget about dinesh d'souza just a general question can you trust that somebody who

00:17:08.480 makes a documentary about especially a political topic can you trust that they're telling the truth

00:17:14.400 absolutely not and this has nothing to do with dinesh nothing all right so so separate him from the

00:17:21.520 question for the moment if he can it has nothing to do with who made it you cannot trust a political

00:17:27.440 documentary period i'm not sure anybody makes one to be trusted i'm not sure they make it to be fair

00:17:34.720 i don't even think it's a purpose is it does anybody think that dinesh was trying to make a totally

00:17:40.800 balanced uh film do you think you do you think he set out you know here's what i'd like to do i would

00:17:50.480 like to make a film that is so balanced nobody's going to like it because that's what would happen

00:17:55.760 if we're balanced the right would say i don't like that that balance part the left would say i don't

00:17:59.920 like that other part then nobody would watch it if you want a movie that a lot of people watch and why

00:18:04.960 else make it you're gonna you're gonna make it kind of partisan so that at least one side embraces it

00:18:11.600 fully that's how you make money now again i'm not reading anybody's mind i'm not i'm not assuming any

00:18:19.200 intentions i'm making a general statement about a political documentary that if you're starting off

00:18:25.920 with trusting that that's a big mistake right it has nothing to do with who made it it's just a big

00:18:30.800 mistake to trust them in general all right now uh so there are two gigantic problems one is not showing

00:18:43.440 more than one not showing one person going to more than one box that's just really glaringly missing

00:18:50.480 and number two who even knows if the data is real how many times have people referred to data that

00:18:57.600 wasn't even real we just went through a whole pandemic where the pharmaceuticals were giving

00:19:03.120 us data and we didn't believe any of it or some people did some people didn't so we're

00:19:08.240 we're sort of at a in a world in which data is not believable how about that climate change data

00:19:14.720 do you believe all of that some do some don't but nothing is credible anymore so if you have it if

00:19:21.520 you're making a case based on data if this were the year 2000 what would you say about the quality of

00:19:30.000 the case it's based on data probably pretty good but now it's 2022 and we're smarter our level of

00:19:38.320 awareness is going way up and now we know that just because somebody has data and analysis and experts

00:19:46.400 did it and all the right qualified people were involved that doesn't mean anything in terms of how

00:19:52.160 real it is nothing you think you would but man it doesn't um

00:20:03.440 yeah how many organizations can receive the data i don't know i'm so so there may

00:20:09.840 i'm not saying that dinesh d'souza doesn't have good responses to these criticisms in fact

00:20:17.200 in fact if what he's doing now you have to factor in that he's smart right

00:20:22.720 so factor in that the maker of the documentary is known to be a very smart person so you can rule

00:20:29.520 out motives that dumb people would do right so so that the subset of potential motives is probably

00:20:37.600 things that smart people do and one thing a smart person might do is make a claim that people don't 0.92

00:20:44.080 believe and get them all excited about you know criticizing it and then making the data available

00:20:50.400 and proving your right because that would be the biggest impact to let people get really worked up

00:20:55.600 about it thinking it's fake and then showing it to them and they're like oh this is real

00:21:04.240 all right you're uh i'm being asked to be quiet for a moment so you can hear the crying babies i'll do that

00:21:14.080 can you hear all right they're not crying babies if you're joining us late there are birds outside

00:21:20.960 on the beach that is a certain kind of bird that screams like a crying baby all night all night

00:21:27.920 never stops anyway um let's talk about something else

00:21:32.000 uh google is reintroducing google glasses but they i think they finally figured out

00:21:41.040 how to make a killer app so now the google glasses can translate other languages in real time

00:21:50.000 so you can actually somebody could be talking to you and your google glasses will print out what they're

00:21:56.720 saying in real time so you can have an actual conversation with somebody who speaks a different

00:22:04.640 language you just put both put on your glasses and just start talking holy holy cow wow that is so cool

00:22:18.400 so maybe this will be what makes uh google glasses work because you can imagine that any um any business

00:22:24.560 where uh let's say the employee speaks the employees all speak spanish and in california there are lots

00:22:30.800 of them where all the employees speak spanish uh wouldn't that be helpful real helpful all right i might get

00:22:37.920 some of those all right so there's a big vote in the senate when in the house um about abortion and

00:22:48.880 check me if i'm wrong with chuck schumer wanted to put it to a vote to get everybody on record

00:22:54.400 just for political reasons but he didn't expect it to pass because he knew it wouldn't and sure enough

00:22:58.400 it didn't so it made it through the house because there's a democrat majority and then it hit the

00:23:03.040 senate and you know there were enough dissenters like joe manchin that it failed but the point was not to get

00:23:10.480 it passed the point was not to get it passed uh somebody's saying i should interview dinesh

00:23:17.040 um uh let me get back to that um and ian bremer asked this question on twitter he says why did

00:23:27.280 senate democrats demand to vote on an expensive abortion rights bill that was guaranteed to fail 0.76

00:23:34.080 when mansion and several republicans were prepared to support a bill to endorse roe versus wave so in

00:23:39.840 other words they had a path and they had a path where they could have gotten more of what they wanted

00:23:46.000 so instead they took a path where they would get less of what they wanted less of what they wanted

00:23:53.200 but they'd have the political advantage

00:23:57.200 now i feel as if the politicians have just stopped pretending

00:24:02.480 that they're on our side this is not even pretending they're on our side is it it feels like

00:24:09.520 they they write in your face and said you know we're just going to do something that has no value 0.99

00:24:14.720 whatsoever except to our own elections and we're going to put it right in your fucking face we're 1.00

00:24:19.840 not even going to pretend we're helping you this time this was just for us so screw you now this won't 0.99

00:24:26.880 be the only time that you hear this theme today this is the theme of my live stream all right we'll get back

00:24:34.640 to that here's something else the ap said by the way it was only recently that i thought the ap was a

00:24:42.880 credible organization it doesn't appear to be i don't know i don't know what's behind it but the ap

00:24:51.840 appears to be not even on the side of the united states now again i'm not i'm not reading any minds

00:24:59.680 that that's not an allegation i'm going to say that it feels like that so based on how the ap has

00:25:06.640 acted recently they don't act like they're even on the side of the united states

00:25:13.520 just saying uh let me give you another example

00:25:17.760 um so zeke miller who works for the ap he tweeted this he said senate democrats bill to write roe

00:25:25.600 versus wade into law blocked by a gop-led filibuster as supreme court ways abortion case

00:25:32.160 all right so that's what he tweeted here's what ted cruz tweeted in response

00:25:36.800 every word of this is egregiously false

00:25:42.320 you know why do you know why ted cruz says every word of that tweet is false

00:25:47.600 because it is every part of it there was there's nothing true about it

00:25:52.000 and is the ap even trying here's what ted cruz says does ap even pretend anymore i was thinking

00:26:01.440 exactly that i was thinking it doesn't look like they're pretending anymore it looks like they're

00:26:08.240 just fucking with us at this point and uh and then ted cruz corrects them he says here's an 0.94

00:26:16.160 accurate headline bipartisan majority of the senate rejects dem proposal to overturn every single 0.95

00:26:21.680 restriction on abortion enacted over the last 50 years so basically it was a bill that not even

00:26:27.200 democrats would support i mean human humans not politicians you know regular citizens because

00:26:35.120 almost everybody supports some kind of a little restriction on abortion right almost everybody

00:26:42.560 you know it might be the the last day before you give natural childbirth but that's a restriction 1.00

00:26:48.400 and apparently that would go away all right i suppose if it's the last day before you're born you're

00:26:53.920 just that's not really an abortion you're just born all right um here's something else happening

00:27:04.000 uh the ap oh the ap again so the ap uh has this headline on twitter elon musk boasts that he's acquiring

00:27:12.480 twitter to defend freedom of speech but he has long used the platform to attack those who disagree with

00:27:18.800 him wait what did you just say what does that even make sense elon musk likes free speech but and i

00:27:31.760 guess the but is telling us that this is going to be something that's opposite of free speech

00:27:36.400 he uses his free speech wait okay all right the ap is saying that elon musk is pretending to

00:27:46.080 like free speech and that's why he's buying twitter but but and here's the contradiction

00:27:51.360 he also uses free speech to criticize people

00:27:54.240 what

00:28:02.560 it's just free speech

00:28:05.200 this is a headline that says elon musk likes free speech and he uses free speech and he like

00:28:11.200 you to have free speech and he wants everybody to have free speech that's the headline and somehow

00:28:18.160 they put that button there like like he's anti-free speech and so i ask you is the ap even trying

00:28:27.200 because these are all current examples none of this isn't even historical

00:28:34.080 somebody says i've changed since elon free twitter i have i have i i am absolutely taking more risks

00:28:42.480 now he hasn't bought it yet so it's not a done deal but i'm absolutely taking more risks

00:28:47.600 because it's the right time to do it if i get cancelled now it's a much bigger deal

00:28:54.720 right if i got cancelled a year ago people would say ah we don't like it but we forgot about it already

00:29:00.560 but if it happened today it would fit the headline right now the headline is twitter so if i get kicked

00:29:07.520 off of twitter for doing something that's not terrible which is i don't do anything terrible

00:29:12.080 um that would be sort of a big story at this point so it's a good time to be uh and by the way i'm

00:29:18.320 doing it in the comic strip as well um dilbert became a big deal because i took more chances early in

00:29:27.120 my career but then when things are going well you start taking fewer chances it's just natural right

00:29:34.960 but i realize it makes it worse i mean it's just it's the provocation that drew people to it in the

00:29:41.040 first place so i am making dilbert more provocative it's giving my editor uh quite a bit of heartburn at

00:29:47.440 the moment um yeah it's like elon signed my freedom papers you know what it is here's what it is it's not

00:29:57.440 just that it's the right timing it's that i think you would have my back that's what it feels like

00:30:05.040 i i feel like the internet dads and you know i use that term a lot so don't don't make me

00:30:10.720 redefine it i feel like at this point in time the internet dads would not let me get cancelled for

00:30:17.120 for a bad reason i mean if i get cancelled because i actually did something cancelable that's that's on

00:30:21.920 me but i don't feel like i don't feel like i don't feel like the internet dads would let it happen

00:30:28.960 i feel like they've got my back as i would have theirs it works both ways

00:30:35.440 um all right i mean let me give you another example so this is not directly comparable to me

00:30:42.160 but i'll just pick a person could you imagine if uh mike cernovich got kicked off of twitter

00:30:48.000 there would be a really big response to that wouldn't there because that would hit you

00:30:54.960 like he has enough people who care about his you know his voice a lot that that would be

00:31:01.600 that would be a big big fight like that would be a fight that that would be a fight to the end

00:31:07.920 right that that's a that's a don't give up fight that that's a that's you have to you have to finish

00:31:13.200 off the other team if they go that far kind of fight that's less nuclear right now just using him

00:31:18.880 as an example yeah you could add you could add 15 people to that list would be same way imagine yeah

00:31:25.760 imagine ben shapiro being kicked off of twitter right like would you let that sit no no you would not

00:31:34.480 now if you know milo yiannopoulos gets kicked off of twitter because he said some sketchy stuff

00:31:41.520 i don't know if i'm gonna i'm not gonna go to war for that that feels like a little bit more on him

00:31:47.600 you know what i mean but these other voices that are you know really standard foundational voices for a

00:31:54.800 lot of people if one of them gets knocked off that's a whole different deal i think all right um

00:32:03.440 um so apparently there's news from some whistleblowers who are never credible but the

00:32:09.840 whistleblowers at the fbi what could be less credible than an fbi whistleblower the the one

00:32:17.680 of the least credible entities in the united states is the fbi now unfortunately it wasn't it wasn't always

00:32:24.240 that way but at the moment i think the entire country would agree by majority that the fbi is no longer

00:32:31.200 a credible organization in other words they they lie to you intentionally for whatever

00:32:36.000 reasons political or otherwise but you wouldn't trust anything they said at this point if you're

00:32:40.560 paying attention um so a whistleblower at the fbi is even less dependable doesn't mean it's wrong

00:32:51.440 doesn't mean the whistleblower doesn't exist but if you automatically believe the um the secret

00:32:58.160 source you know the secret source because it because they were called a whistleblower you know

00:33:05.120 if somebody says i have an anonymous source what's your first thought that's not true but if somebody

00:33:10.080 says i have a whistleblower what's your first thought probably true right and what's the difference

00:33:16.640 between an anonymous source and a whistleblower not that much right but if you use the word anonymous

00:33:24.400 source you automatically say i don't believe it as soon as you say whistleblower you're you're biased

00:33:31.040 to believe it aren't you don't i wouldn't believe an fbi whistleblower or somebody who reported one

00:33:38.080 existed you know we haven't we haven't seen the whistleblower if the if the whistleblower comes forward

00:33:44.160 i would revise it but a secret whistleblower is just an anonymous source right that's just an anonymous

00:33:52.800 source so when the congress whoever wrote up some some statement here called it a whistleblower that's

00:34:00.240 just propaganda might be true someday but at the moment it's propaganda all right so but the story is

00:34:08.560 that there are several efforts within the fbi counterterrorism group to go after parents who attended

00:34:16.080 school board meetings and exercise their freedom of speech

00:34:19.040 speech now if the government is going after let's just say it conservatives and republicans

00:34:26.720 all right because that's that's who we're talking about those were the parents complaining in this

00:34:30.320 context it wasn't the democrats it was republicans and the government has decided to target republicans

00:34:39.360 for fbi counterterrorism investigations for exercising free speech on an important topic about their own

00:34:50.880 children in a public setting which invited free speech now thank you there's there's a comment on

00:35:01.120 locals that i think sums it up perfectly fucking terrifying right there's nothing else you can say about that 0.93

00:35:09.600 it's just fucking terrifying now wasn't it obama used the irs to target republicans the tea party 0.93

00:35:16.960 people was that true or is that just a rumor that's true right now what if this is true and again it's 0.92

00:35:25.280 a whistleblower from the fbi so that's pretty that's a very low standard for truth but if it's true

00:35:30.880 would this be an example of my prediction before the election uh that got biden into office that if

00:35:40.960 biden got elected republicans would be hunted

00:35:46.000 is this not hunting republicans now when i said they would be hunted that didn't mean you know with

00:35:52.640 hunting tags and rifles necessarily necessarily it meant you know figuratively hunted they would be

00:36:01.120 looked for identified and punished hunted so can we all agree that that was one of my best predictions

00:36:10.240 as horrible as it is yes yes i believe that was one of my best predictions would it surprise you to

00:36:16.160 know that when people mock me they use that example as my worst prediction it's because their news doesn't

00:36:23.440 show any of this stuff so their news doesn't show any of it

00:36:26.800 are you in obama's martha's vineyard guest cabin no i'm not

00:36:36.480 no i'm not all right um

00:36:42.720 so here's more on the theme of is the government even trying to help the citizens anymore apparently

00:36:48.080 the biden administration canceled oil and gas lease sales in alaska and the gulf of mexico

00:36:53.680 wait what uh what's the price of gas and what's inflation doing and here's an obvious way to deal

00:37:02.560 with it an obvious way straightforward obvious solution and he canceled it now i get it climate

00:37:10.800 change blah blah blah but at this point is there anybody smart who thinks this is a good idea

00:37:17.280 in other words is there anybody who's not you know directly in the political world who thinks this is

00:37:24.000 a good idea right now now even if you think uh yeah even if you think that climate change is you know

00:37:34.960 a huge problem and we need to do everything we can this isn't really the time to be fussing with that

00:37:39.920 is it this is sort of the time to save our lives and then work on whatever else we think is important

00:37:47.120 so i think i'd be more worried about saving us economically

00:37:51.360 over the next five years and a little little less about climate change that hasn't really

00:37:57.360 been a problem yet and i think we'll actually mitigate the the outcomes

00:38:02.160 um north korea has ordered a nationwide lockdown after reporting his first covet case uh first one

00:38:11.600 how about that so i guess uh north korea actually uh did better than china first one

00:38:20.640 i don't even know what's behind that like why would they even bother telling us that there's one

00:38:24.560 it doesn't make any sense oh william you're so smart all right um

00:38:35.680 here's some other stuff going on how many of you thought i was crazy when i said is it my imagination

00:38:44.400 or as the administration stopped trying to help ukraine simply defend itself

00:38:50.240 and started thinking that ukraine would just win the war outright how many thought that's oh that's

00:38:58.480 crazy and so here's an article in the federalist by john daniel davidson and he talks about uh

00:39:07.840 i'll just read this piece that's relevant he says uh now instead of simply helping ukraine stave off

00:39:13.680 invasion and conquest u.s policy seems to have shifted into something entirely uh something else

00:39:20.720 entirely the permanent weakening of russia at any cost defense secretary lloyd austin said so explicitly

00:39:28.640 after a clandestine visit to ukraine with secretary of state anthony blinken last month after her own

00:39:35.520 recent trip to kiev democratic house speaker nancy pelosi characterized the war as

00:39:42.800 quote a global struggle for democracy uh okay now may i have my due yeah i'm seeing what he's saying

00:39:57.360 you thought it sounded crazy and now it's it's the news it's literally happened so

00:40:04.880 pretty good wouldn't you say pretty good prediction i think um so here's what's weird i think we're

00:40:18.080 going to come up come to a situation that however this goes putin is going to claim victory because

00:40:24.080 he got some extra control or whatever of ukraine uh or maybe he denazified it he's going to say so

00:40:30.640 putin is going to claim victory nato will probably claim victory because they created more nato nations

00:40:36.560 they defended ukraine maybe and um and they'll just say that they beat russia back right and then ukraine

00:40:46.240 is going to claim victory assuming that they remain a country however big they are when they're done

00:40:52.000 so is this the only war where everybody's going to win

00:40:58.400 shelly shelly shelly shelly shelly i don't know if you're the real shelly but we're going to hide

00:41:05.760 you on this channel shelly because i know everybody wanted to go off on you but since i'm not sure you're

00:41:11.520 the real shelly you might be just trying to you might be trying to prompt me to go off on you

00:41:16.000 so so i'm not going to fall for it this time all right um

00:41:26.800 all right here's an important uh comment i'd like to read this to the rest of you

00:41:30.320 this is from hobster it says scott i had something i wanted to tell you but now i've forgotten what it

00:41:34.880 was okay thank you um i appreciate that so that's uh that's what's happening now do you think we're

00:41:44.240 heading into world war three there is a weird way in which we fight russia so for decades we've been

00:41:51.600 fighting russia while saying we're not fighting russia and russia has been fighting us while saying

00:41:56.800 they're not fighting us and you wonder how far we can take it yeah obviously we took it to the point

00:42:03.040 where we're secretly helping uh ukraine but everybody knew we took it to the point where we were then

00:42:09.360 directly giving them money and everybody knew now it seems there's almost no doubt that we're helping

00:42:15.120 them with targeting and you know locating targets don't you believe i mean do you really think that

00:42:21.600 we have that information and we're not telling ukraine really because we have the information right

00:42:28.080 because we have the satellites we have the assets and you think we're not going to tell them where stuff

00:42:32.240 is they are our ally do you think allies don't share information that's critical to the survival

00:42:39.520 of another ally of course they do of course they do do you think russia is aware that the united states

00:42:45.600 is sharing critical military data with ukraine of course they are of course everybody is there's nobody

00:42:52.480 who doesn't know it so explain to me why this isn't world war three

00:42:56.240 the entire war is effect the entire world is affected at least in terms of you know resources

00:43:04.080 and economics the whole world is affected and it is the united states in a military war

00:43:12.720 with russia does it really matter that no american soldiers getting shot

00:43:18.160 i mean it matters to military soldiers but it doesn't matter to whether it's a world war or not it

00:43:22.560 doesn't matter to whether we're involved or not so i really i'm just sort of amazed

00:43:29.280 i know that the reason we can get away with it is the following see if see if this tracks with what

00:43:35.600 you're thinking i think we can get away with it now it's risky business no doubt about it could could

00:43:42.720 spark a nuclear confrontation that's that's a big risk but i do think we're going to get away with it

00:43:47.840 here's why because for decades the united states and russia has pretended that being at war with each

00:43:56.160 other is not really a war and i don't know if we can get out of the habit and so i think we can just

00:44:02.080 take advantage of the fact that this habit is so well established that the united states can attack our

00:44:07.760 elections and just say nope no we didn't really you know that attacking of your your elections

00:44:14.320 not really not really do you think that russia has done anything to help any enemies of the united

00:44:22.240 states well if you asked them they'd say no not really nope nothing like that happened so as long

00:44:28.720 as we live in a world in which putin can say anything that's true is false and just say it in public no

00:44:34.160 that's not happening no nothing why don't we just do the same thing and apparently that's what the

00:44:41.840 government that's what biden administration has decided to do they've decided just to act the same

00:44:46.640 way oh no it's not a war no no war i don't even know what you're talking about really i'm confused

00:44:53.360 by the question war what war and as weird as this is i think it's going to work so if you think the

00:45:03.600 united states is acting crazy because it's doing an actual war i mean without our own soldiers but we're

00:45:10.480 clearly deeply involved if if you think that it's crazy to run a war and then say you're not running

00:45:16.880 a war this is the only time that might work because russia has so deeply ingrained the whole 0.94

00:45:23.840 we're not doing this oh no we're not going to attack ukraine no no attack ukraine i don't know what

00:45:29.200 you're talking about and then they attack ukraine apparently we could just say anything now because

00:45:33.520 once russia has been outed itself as completely dishonest all the time it doesn't matter what you tell 0.76

00:45:40.640 it really doesn't it doesn't matter what's true doesn't get away with permanently weakening russia

00:45:47.280 do you think that's a good idea

00:45:50.800 do you think you we don't know if it'll work but do you think it would be a good idea to permanently

00:45:55.840 weaken russia

00:46:00.000 i don't know because the world is a very unpredictable place and one of the weird outcomes that could come

00:46:07.360 from permanently weakening russia is what would be the weirdest outcome from permanently weakening russia

00:46:16.240 the weirdest outcome strength in china

00:46:20.320 not really i don't think it makes a difference to china one way or the other the weirdest outcome

00:46:29.920 was that russia and the united states would finally become allies because they always should have been

00:46:36.400 we just we're just not natural enemies we're we're psychological enemies we're not natural enemies

00:46:42.320 a natural enemy is somebody who's you know there's a real door border dispute or um there's a real risk

00:46:50.240 there's a real something but this is entirely psychological we've just decided we act like it

00:46:57.920 so this is not like any other situation yeah we we are fated to become allies this might be

00:47:07.440 an accelerator you know we are fated to become allies that's just going to happen all right um

00:47:17.840 let's see what else is happening i'm just going to quickly review things i've tweeted lately

00:47:23.600 um is it is it true that russia has basically given up on all of ukraine except

00:47:31.120 the eastern part that they're trying to consolidate their little land bridge is that because the news and

00:47:36.880 of anti-ukraine is so so bad and so undependable but is that the current situation that russia is not

00:47:47.280 doing much in most of ukraine they've given up in kiev

00:47:52.320 right and is it also i also saw a report that i don't believe i don't believe that ukraine is pushing

00:48:01.600 russia back militarily just one-on-one they're just literally just defeating them on the

00:48:06.640 battlefield do you think that's true because it could be because apparently the ukrainians are

00:48:12.080 better trained and have better equipment and and they're you know they're fighting for their own

00:48:17.600 territory yeah i'm not sure it's true but it could be you know maybe in at least one case maybe two

00:48:25.520 right yeah i think i think a a skeptical consumer can say maybe not maybe not right

00:48:34.240 right that's the narrative but not really true yeah they're getting lots of help correct

00:48:44.560 but it does seem that russia is not making gains would that be true would you agree that the news is

00:48:54.320 unified from all sources that russia is not making gains no people are disagreeing with that

00:49:00.960 or are you agreeing you're saying no does that agree or disagree i'm not sure

00:49:06.080 so some are saying that they are still making gains

00:49:09.840 maria pole i mean maria pole is basically a dead city so whoever whoever owns that you know good luck

00:49:17.760 i mean that unfortunately is already dead they are taking villages somebody says i don't know so maybe

00:49:24.160 um i i talked we talked about dinesh and the one person going to two ballot boxes so you missed the

00:49:35.280 first part if you want to replay that there's a detailed discussion of that in the beginning of this

00:49:39.280 live stream all right that's all i got for you oh i'm writing a book on reframing um you're gonna love it

00:49:45.760 you need to follow a few pro-russian telegram accounts to see the whole picture that's not

00:49:55.360 going to help me how many liars do i need to look at to get the truth if i look at russia you know russia

00:50:04.480 media is any of it true is any of the ukrainian stuff true i don't think any of it's true so

00:50:14.240 russia is losing troops and equipment at an unsustainable rate you know i think part of the

00:50:19.200 40 billion dollar package for ukraine and you see a lot of people complaining rightfully complaining that

00:50:25.920 we should be spending the money here and not defending the country on the other side of the world

00:50:29.760 but here's the here's i guess my take on it to me there's no difference between our military strategy

00:50:40.400 and our economic strategy so those are those are tied so when we approve 40 billion dollars what's

00:50:47.840 your first thought about that amount is it something like three times as much as we've given all together

00:50:53.200 so far or something like it's a it's a big number compared to what we've done so far

00:50:57.680 so what was your brain what does it do to your brain when you hear that number let's say you're

00:51:04.080 russia what does it do to putin when you hear that number 40 billion dollars that's the number that tells

00:51:10.480 you they're playing to win right they're not playing to negotiate in fact we're not negotiating at all

00:51:17.280 ukraine isn't even negotiating i don't think uh the 40 billion is so big that it sends it sends a signal

00:51:24.000 to putin that we're going to win at all costs because 40 billion is pretty close to all costs

00:51:31.600 and it's just such a big number now suppose we had done the opposite suppose we'd say you know

00:51:37.920 we'll allocate 40 billion but we're going to give you five billion at a time you know and and if you

00:51:44.960 and if things go wrong we'll we'll stop giving you money what if we'd said that because that's a

00:51:50.400 reasonable way to fund anything right you say well it could be this big but we're not going to give

00:51:55.680 that all to you we're going to start with a little bit see how that works out and you know maybe we'll

00:52:00.320 get to the end maybe we don't that would make sense but when you say we're going to give you we're going

00:52:05.120 to give one side 40 billion dollars that is a signal to russia a military signal it's a military signal

00:52:13.280 to russia that they're going to lose because if we said we're going to give them five billion

00:52:19.760 putin would say huh that doesn't sound like enough i'd better double down because i could

00:52:24.880 win this thing but when when biden said and i think wisely from a military perspective not from an

00:52:30.800 economic perspective so you know obviously that has negative repercussions for americans but from

00:52:37.520 a military perspective the 40 billion is brilliant why not 200 billion because they wouldn't be able

00:52:44.240 to sell it 40 billion should be enough to make everybody in the united states go but 200 billion

00:52:51.760 would just we they just lose us that 200 billion we'd say okay just close down the government we don't

00:52:57.520 need you anymore that's just too much 40 billion is too much but it's exactly the right amount for military

00:53:05.920 purposes it it tells you that we're going to win i've often talked about the difference between

00:53:11.840 wanting something and deciding when people want something they're not necessarily going to work as

00:53:18.080 hard as they could to get it when they decide something they will do whatever it takes so people

00:53:25.440 who have made a decision are dangerous because they're not going to stop right it's only people who want

00:53:32.000 something that can be talked out of it okay well i guess i don't want it that much but once you've

00:53:36.960 decided nothing can talk you out of it and this 40 billion is biden administration telling russia okay we

00:53:45.360 just decided you're losing because you know the united states can decide who wins we can because we have

00:53:53.440 the resources to just make it happen you know it would hurt but we could do it you know we've we've been

00:53:59.520 talked about russia and putin if he wanted to sacrifice enough he could get ukraine you would

00:54:05.200 just have to be willing to do sacrifice enough but it works both ways biden just basically just

00:54:12.640 signaled that he's willing to risk world war three and a nuclear confrontation

00:54:17.760 he's willing to be clearly seen as in war with russia and he's going to put in enough money to win 0.95

00:54:23.360 if trump had done this i would have said it was brilliant militarily brilliant because this is the

00:54:33.680 kill shot this is a psychological kill shot to the russian army right if you were the russian army and

00:54:42.640 you got wind that the united states just fully funded it fully funded it they're not just throwing some 0.75

00:54:49.360 dimes at it to you know act like we're sort of helping a friend you know just so we can say we

00:54:54.640 helped well we helped no the united states just decided to win the war that's what happened or at

00:55:01.360 least that's what we're signaling it's entirely possible that we're saying we're going to give

00:55:07.200 them 40 billion and we have no intention of doing that right that's very possible it's entirely possible

00:55:15.200 that we've never planned to give them 40 billion dollars and maybe even they know that we may

00:55:19.920 have said to them you know you need 10 10 is what we'll give you but you know don't panic when we say

00:55:26.320 it's 40 because that's for putin win the dissolution of america yeah i mean it's risky i'm not saying it's

00:55:35.440 not risky everything's risky the real reason is to distract from biden's many failures well you know

00:55:42.720 that's that's true of everything that he does right everything biden does at this point is also a

00:55:48.800 distraction so here we have our government doing uh all the wrong things except i'm gonna have to

00:55:55.040 say that 40 billion thing is a good military psychological kill shot for the russian army

00:56:02.000 don't know if it will kill them don't know if it'll make a difference but it's a strong strong play

00:56:07.280 uh for you and your arms buddies do i have arms buddies

00:56:19.600 somebody's saying scott will be predicting ukraine's victory when putin is accepting their 1.00

00:56:24.480 well help help a dork let me say your comment you're obviously an idiot or a keith because you 0.99

00:56:34.400 literally just saw a live stream in which i admitted with no qualifications a prediction i got wrong 1.00

00:56:40.560 which was the supreme court document being a hoax now having just seen me full-throatedly and with no

00:56:47.840 ambiguity admitting a prediction was wrong why would you think i would do it on this case well what would

00:56:53.280 make me act differently in this case because yeah you have to you have to understand that my credibility

00:57:01.200 which is what i care about for these purposes is only supported by me telling you what is obviously

00:57:07.840 true if i get one wrong and i tell you that i didn't oh then my whole my whole business model falls

00:57:15.840 apart so i i'm required to tell you when i'm wrong if it's obvious i'm wrong like right and if there's

00:57:22.640 some ambiguity or an argument i'm going to make the argument but if i'm just wrong wrong i'm going to

00:57:28.640 tell you because i want you to believe i'll tell you when i'm wrong that's my benefit because if

00:57:34.240 you're thinking in a limited low awareness way a low awareness person will lie to make themselves look

00:57:42.240 good has that ever worked in the short runs maybe but it's a terrible long run strategy you know lying

00:57:50.160 to look good terrible long run strategy so i would rather look bad in the short run so that in the long

00:57:56.640 run people could say oh yeah he did change his mind on that thing you know he did take he saw both

00:58:01.200 sides he he admitted when he's wrong that's pretty important and by the way i would like to model that

00:58:09.200 for you in case anybody wants to admit they're wrong sometimes right yeah you need to get over the

00:58:14.720 embarrassment of it i've told you before that being immune to embarrassment is like a superpower yeah i swear

00:58:21.600 you can you can you can walk the earth like a god if you're not embarrassed about anything so being

00:58:28.080 wrong should not embarrass you you should be proud that you're a person who is flexible enough to say

00:58:36.640 when you're wrong that's what you should find pride in if if if you're stuck with uh people who like

00:58:43.440 if i got i got wrong that's just a bad place to be don't be there you know be wrong with gusto you

00:58:53.280 you you should be you should be just as enthusiastic about when you're wrong as when you're right

00:58:58.480 and i think i was when when i told you i was wrong about the supreme court document being a hoax

00:59:04.240 i'm enthusiastically telling you that totally wrong super wrong way wrong right i'm not going to fudge it

00:59:11.280 the birds are quiet i guess it's just a daytime thing so so it looks like it looks like it's just a

00:59:18.880 darkness problem all right that did i just see my sister go by there on the comments um the beards the

00:59:30.400 birds fear you is the pandemic over

00:59:41.360 don't remember i predicted that the leak was a hoax i predicted it um i did predict that

00:59:51.360 huh oh you're a different a different uh person with that name okay all right that's all for now

00:59:56.720 um was this the best live stream you've ever seen i think so yeah i think so probably and we'll try to

01:00:05.920 do it tomorrow i don't know if i can do this at the right time zone tomorrow because that's a that's

01:00:11.280 a pretty early wake up call uh ash that's a good question i think it had to do something to do with

01:00:20.320 mushrooms all right that's all for now um well i'm being asked for an update on boo the cat boo the cat

01:00:27.680 unfortunately has passed to the other side um earlier earlier last week uh so with respect and love i

01:00:39.440 held her a little uh head and sent her to the next world 0.99

01:00:43.760 um you were tweeting yeah i was awake but i wasn't functioning too well at 3 a.m all right that's

01:00:55.840 all for now and i will talk to you tomorrow youtubers

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 12, 2022

Episode 1741 Scott Adams： Lots Of Appalling Or Funny News Today

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