Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1743 Scott Adams： Study Says Hormone Turns Male Democrats Into Republicans, Testosterone

00:00:00.000 While I'm so late.

00:00:02.840 And I think it's time for the simultaneous sip,

00:00:06.200 which will be coming to you from a paper cup from a remote location.

00:00:10.180 It won't be exactly, exactly the same.

00:00:14.820 But it will be good.

00:00:16.480 It will be so good.

00:00:18.540 And if you'd like to join me, all I need is a paper cup

00:00:22.820 and those other vessels.

00:00:26.140 Fill them with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.360 And join me now for the simultaneous sip.

00:00:30.420 Are you ready?

00:00:31.440 Go.

00:00:37.420 Did you say you can't see me?

00:00:42.340 On locals?

00:00:43.040 I think you can.

00:00:45.520 All right, ladies and gentlemen.

00:00:47.940 Let me tell you the interesting news of the day.

00:00:51.540 Let's see.

00:00:52.480 Jeff Bezos is mad at Biden for his disinformation about inflation.

00:00:57.360 He thinks it's disinformation board.

00:01:00.420 I want to look into it.

00:01:01.840 Okay.

00:01:03.040 All right.

00:01:04.740 Here are the shocking stories of the day.

00:01:07.220 Now, I have to tell you, this is my personal journey.

00:01:16.840 But I never called myself MAGA.

00:01:21.000 I don't know if anybody knows that,

00:01:22.680 but a lot of people associated me with it.

00:01:24.660 But I never called myself MAGA because I didn't like the name.

00:01:28.480 It sounds too much like a maggot.

00:01:29.760 And I don't like, I'm not a joiner in that sense.

00:01:34.440 I just don't like to be in a team.

00:01:36.740 But now that they have this new thing,

00:01:39.100 have you ever heard of the new thing?

00:01:40.220 It's called Ultra MAGA.

00:01:42.680 And I thought to myself,

00:01:44.500 MAGA sounds sort of ordinary and I don't like it, 0.74

00:01:47.380 but Ultra MAGA?

00:01:50.300 You have my attention now.

00:01:52.640 And so I thought,

00:01:53.920 I'm going to look into this Ultra MAGA situation

00:01:57.000 because it sounds kind of sexy and strong

00:01:59.140 and, I don't know,

00:02:00.460 it makes me think of beer and condoms

00:02:02.160 and all kinds of good stuff.

00:02:04.300 And I just wonder if they're still accepting members.

00:02:08.960 Do you know if there's any kind of hazing?

00:02:12.080 Does it cost a lot of money to join?

00:02:14.640 Are any of you in,

00:02:16.140 have any of you gotten into Ultra MAGA yet?

00:02:19.780 How is it?

00:02:20.860 Do they have secret meetings?

00:02:23.420 I'm just wondering.

00:02:25.320 All right, here's the most provocative thing I've done today.

00:02:28.920 But the day is young.

00:02:30.920 Yesterday I was sitting there and I just had this thought.

00:02:33.460 I said to myself,

00:02:34.580 I wonder if anybody's ever checked

00:02:36.400 the testosterone difference

00:02:38.640 between men who are Democrats

00:02:41.560 and men who are Republicans.

00:02:43.640 Do you ever wonder about that?

00:02:45.660 Do you ever wonder if they had the same amount of testosterone?

00:02:48.880 Well, of course,

00:02:50.180 you'd have to adjust for age

00:02:51.940 and, you know, obesity

00:02:53.140 and demographics and all that.

00:02:55.480 But the other thing you could do

00:02:57.160 is just take a bunch of people who are Democrats

00:02:59.280 and then give them testosterone

00:03:00.780 and see what happens.

00:03:03.840 And somebody did that in 2021.

00:03:06.280 There was actually a study

00:03:07.580 in 2021,

00:03:10.500 so this is fairly fresh.

00:03:11.500 Now, again,

00:03:13.260 don't believe studies.

00:03:15.140 If you see there was a study that said anything,

00:03:17.280 don't believe it.

00:03:18.500 But some of them are more fun than others,

00:03:20.380 so I'm going to talk about them like they're true.

00:03:22.680 Who knows?

00:03:23.200 Maybe it is.

00:03:24.400 And they said they tested the fixity.

00:03:27.660 Don't you love that word?

00:03:28.720 The fixity.

00:03:30.500 In other words,

00:03:31.120 how stable?

00:03:32.220 Are things fixed

00:03:33.320 or do they move?

00:03:34.740 We tested the fixity

00:03:36.600 of political preferences

00:03:38.240 of 136 healthy males

00:03:40.520 during the 2011

00:03:42.200 U.S. presidential election season.

00:03:45.480 And

00:03:45.820 the people who identified

00:03:51.680 as strong identifiers

00:03:55.280 as Democrats

00:03:56.100 versus ones who are Democrat

00:03:58.260 but sort of weakly favor them.

00:04:00.020 They found that

00:04:01.520 the more Democrat you were,

00:04:03.240 the more strongly Democrat you were,

00:04:05.460 the lower your testosterone levels.

00:04:08.240 But then they gave testosterone

00:04:10.180 to volunteers.

00:04:13.520 So they took some Democrats,

00:04:16.100 some males,

00:04:17.180 and they gave them testosterone

00:04:18.600 and it caused what they called

00:04:20.360 a redshift

00:04:21.140 among weekly affiliated Democrats.

00:04:24.320 This effect was associated

00:04:27.120 with improved mood.

00:04:29.780 No effects.

00:04:32.440 And it would turn,

00:04:33.380 it would strongly turn them

00:04:34.460 into Republicans

00:04:35.820 percentage-wise.

00:04:38.500 So if you take somebody

00:04:39.660 who's a, you know,

00:04:40.720 mildly Democrat

00:04:41.740 and you give them testosterone,

00:04:43.960 they become Republicans.

00:04:46.920 Now,

00:04:47.880 do you know why I Googled that?

00:04:51.320 Guess why I Googled it?

00:04:52.760 Why would I do that?

00:04:56.860 Because it seemed obvious.

00:04:59.620 I thought, you know,

00:05:01.220 I can't be the only one

00:05:02.780 who's noticing this.

00:05:04.440 It's just really obvious.

00:05:06.640 And so I thought,

00:05:07.260 I wonder if anybody's

00:05:07.980 ever studied it.

00:05:09.180 Sure enough,

00:05:10.460 somebody studied it.

00:05:12.160 So,

00:05:13.080 I would not

00:05:14.140 necessarily

00:05:15.280 tell you that

00:05:16.280 this study will hold up.

00:05:18.720 Most,

00:05:19.340 I don't think most studies do.

00:05:20.620 But,

00:05:22.460 but,

00:05:23.940 this one matches my,

00:05:25.140 my opinion already.

00:05:28.580 So therefore,

00:05:29.880 I give it much more credibility.

00:05:32.440 So actually,

00:05:33.260 that's part of my BS filter.

00:05:35.260 So one of the ways

00:05:36.000 that I look for bullshit

00:05:37.440 is if what you observe

00:05:40.200 does or does not match

00:05:41.940 what the science says.

00:05:43.400 In this case,

00:05:44.440 it's not proof,

00:05:45.360 of course,

00:05:45.800 but in this case,

00:05:47.080 my observation

00:05:47.860 over years

00:05:49.420 matches perfectly

00:05:51.000 with the science.

00:05:53.260 So I'm more likely

00:05:54.120 to believe it,

00:05:54.720 but that's also,

00:05:55.720 that's a trap

00:05:56.500 for confirmation bias.

00:05:58.620 So watch out.

00:06:00.860 Tom Cotton

00:06:01.660 had a tweet

00:06:02.400 in which he,

00:06:03.740 the Senator Tom Cotton,

00:06:05.580 and he gave a partial list

00:06:07.900 of Biden's prior

00:06:08.960 explanations for inflation.

00:06:11.160 Because the important thing is,

00:06:12.720 it's not Joe Biden's fault.

00:06:14.020 Here are the things

00:06:15.660 that Biden has said

00:06:16.480 about inflation.

00:06:17.400 Number one,

00:06:18.040 there's no inflation.

00:06:19.900 Two,

00:06:20.480 it's transitory.

00:06:22.060 Three,

00:06:22.460 it's a high-class problem.

00:06:24.500 Then he said,

00:06:25.060 it's just a delayed treadmill.

00:06:27.320 Then he said,

00:06:27.960 it's something about

00:06:28.520 chicken farmers,

00:06:29.400 something about COVID,

00:06:30.400 something about big oil,

00:06:31.860 something about corporate greed,

00:06:33.240 and now it's Putin's price hike.

00:06:36.260 So,

00:06:37.420 I'm glad we finally got

00:06:39.160 a president

00:06:39.760 who was a straight shooter.

00:06:41.820 Remember when we had that guy

00:06:43.080 who would say things

00:06:44.200 that were crazy?

00:06:45.480 And he thought,

00:06:45.920 well,

00:06:46.020 that didn't pass

00:06:46.620 the fact-checking.

00:06:48.500 Well,

00:06:49.140 finally,

00:06:49.820 we've got ourselves

00:06:50.880 a no-malarkey president.

00:06:53.100 Because,

00:06:53.640 you know,

00:06:53.860 what would be a lot of malarkey

00:06:54.940 would be

00:06:55.420 one,

00:06:56.320 two,

00:06:56.640 three,

00:06:57.040 four,

00:06:57.280 five,

00:06:57.880 six,

00:06:58.140 seven,

00:06:58.540 nine different positions

00:07:00.200 on inflation

00:07:00.920 in two months.

00:07:02.340 That would be malarkey.

00:07:05.920 Well,

00:07:06.500 Glenn Greenwald

00:07:07.220 continues to make good observations

00:07:08.720 about politics,

00:07:09.540 and here's one.

00:07:10.200 he talked about,

00:07:13.800 so there's a House

00:07:14.620 Majority Leader,

00:07:16.420 Steny Hoyer.

00:07:17.520 He's 82 years old.

00:07:19.600 And in the

00:07:20.820 chambers of Congress,

00:07:23.300 he said they were

00:07:24.320 at war with Russia,

00:07:25.940 which was a big surprise

00:07:27.740 to the rest of the country,

00:07:29.180 who was not so sure

00:07:30.420 that they were

00:07:32.200 at war with Russia,

00:07:33.820 but he seemed to think so.

00:07:35.920 And he's in his

00:07:36.940 20th term,

00:07:38.420 and he's 82 years old,

00:07:40.560 he says we're

00:07:41.020 at war with Russia.

00:07:45.220 And,

00:07:45.740 and as Greenwald

00:07:47.500 says in a tweet,

00:07:48.400 if there's a bigger story

00:07:49.500 than an 82-year-old

00:07:50.800 senior House Democrat,

00:07:52.400 now in his

00:07:52.920 20th term in Congress,

00:07:54.700 today announcing

00:07:55.400 that the U.S.

00:07:56.080 is at war with Russia,

00:07:57.620 I'd like to know

00:07:58.260 what it is.

00:07:59.480 And then Greenwald

00:08:00.660 speculated that

00:08:01.580 maybe we shouldn't

00:08:02.480 have people

00:08:03.500 that old

00:08:04.040 be a president.

00:08:05.340 But,

00:08:06.180 that he said,

00:08:07.140 that said,

00:08:08.100 it remains

00:08:08.660 an indisputable fact,

00:08:09.940 no matter how much

00:08:10.720 you wish it weren't true,

00:08:12.300 that Donald Trump

00:08:13.180 remains the only

00:08:14.020 U.S. president

00:08:14.800 in decades

00:08:15.620 not to involve

00:08:17.040 the U.S.

00:08:17.720 in a new war.

00:08:19.780 He was no pacifist,

00:08:21.020 he radically escalated

00:08:22.160 to extend

00:08:22.700 bombing campaigns,

00:08:24.240 but it's still a fact.

00:08:25.920 Is that a fact?

00:08:28.060 Is Trump

00:08:28.800 the only recent

00:08:30.160 president

00:08:30.520 to not involve

00:08:31.420 us in a new war?

00:08:34.040 It looks like a fact.

00:08:36.680 Although,

00:08:37.140 I would argue

00:08:37.840 that Biden

00:08:38.280 hasn't

00:08:38.880 employed troops

00:08:40.800 and he's

00:08:41.500 reduced troops,

00:08:42.740 so I'll give him that.

00:08:43.800 You know,

00:08:44.020 if Greenwald

00:08:44.760 is going to be

00:08:45.500 fair about Trump,

00:08:47.160 I'm going to be

00:08:47.640 fair about Biden.

00:08:49.380 While we don't love

00:08:50.540 what he may be doing

00:08:51.480 with Ukraine,

00:08:52.480 and we don't love

00:08:53.220 many things he's doing,

00:08:54.200 maybe,

00:08:55.220 he did pull us

00:08:57.080 out of Afghanistan,

00:08:58.720 sloppily.

00:09:00.300 Probably everybody

00:09:01.360 would have done it

00:09:02.040 at some point.

00:09:03.380 But he didn't do that

00:09:04.340 and he hasn't

00:09:05.540 committed new troops.

00:09:09.720 What you think

00:09:11.220 is the baby sound

00:09:12.100 is birds

00:09:13.600 outside my window

00:09:14.740 that sound like

00:09:15.620 screaming babies 0.53

00:09:16.400 every morning.

00:09:21.380 So what do you think

00:09:22.420 of this $40 billion

00:09:23.800 or whatever it is,

00:09:24.980 $44 billion

00:09:25.620 for Ukraine?

00:09:26.580 The United States

00:09:29.480 now is saying

00:09:30.000 directly

00:09:30.460 that we're trying

00:09:32.860 to degrade

00:09:33.580 the Russian army

00:09:34.340 and that that's,

00:09:35.580 now that's a new goal.

00:09:38.020 And to me,

00:09:39.020 that $44 million

00:09:39.780 says we're trying

00:09:41.640 to put Russia 0.58

00:09:42.400 just completely

00:09:43.060 out of business.

00:09:45.020 Now,

00:09:45.840 if somebody said

00:09:47.300 to you,

00:09:48.160 it will cost you

00:09:49.080 $44 billion

00:09:50.000 and more,

00:09:52.000 let's say $100 billion

00:09:52.880 by the time you're done,

00:09:54.140 but you can put

00:09:55.060 your biggest

00:09:55.800 let's say military

00:09:58.020 or second biggest

00:09:59.540 military adversary

00:10:02.220 out of business.

00:10:03.980 Wouldn't you do it?

00:10:08.140 What are the times,

00:10:09.620 can we think

00:10:10.100 of situations

00:10:10.700 where we degraded

00:10:13.540 but did not

00:10:14.280 completely take over

00:10:15.680 a country

00:10:16.160 and that worked out

00:10:17.580 really well for us?

00:10:19.080 When was the last time

00:10:20.060 we really hurt

00:10:21.300 another country badly

00:10:22.420 and then

00:10:23.700 we just walked away

00:10:25.160 and oh,

00:10:25.580 it's all good now.

00:10:28.080 Yeah,

00:10:28.540 we did a number

00:10:29.080 on Iraq,

00:10:29.840 didn't we?

00:10:34.020 Vietnam,

00:10:34.880 et cetera.

00:10:36.540 So,

00:10:37.120 but here's the thing.

00:10:38.860 Is Russia the same? 0.94

00:10:41.760 There's some countries

00:10:42.700 that just wanted

00:10:43.240 to be left alone.

00:10:44.160 I think Vietnam 0.97

00:10:45.060 would be one of those.

00:10:46.060 but I don't know.

00:10:49.360 Is this a strategy

00:10:50.560 that would work?

00:10:52.020 Now,

00:10:52.480 Germany and Japan

00:10:53.640 were different

00:10:54.120 because they surrendered.

00:10:56.620 So we don't,

00:10:57.500 we're not going to have

00:10:58.060 a situation

00:10:58.540 of Russia surrendering.

00:11:00.280 That's not going to happen.

00:11:01.060 The USSR fell

00:11:06.220 after Reagan's

00:11:07.020 Star Wars.

00:11:08.040 I think Reagan

00:11:08.660 got too much credit

00:11:09.500 for that,

00:11:09.980 but

00:11:10.140 the ruble

00:11:12.640 is stronger

00:11:13.100 than before

00:11:13.600 the invasion.

00:11:14.760 Yeah,

00:11:15.140 that feels

00:11:15.860 like a weird

00:11:17.980 situation.

00:11:20.840 All right,

00:11:21.480 well,

00:11:22.660 here's what I think.

00:11:26.460 Number one,

00:11:27.660 remember when

00:11:28.300 we thought

00:11:28.800 that we have

00:11:29.720 some kind of source

00:11:30.440 in the Kremlin?

00:11:31.960 Because our

00:11:32.840 intelligence people

00:11:33.760 got one right

00:11:34.500 for a change

00:11:35.080 when they said

00:11:35.600 that Putin

00:11:36.220 was going to attack.

00:11:37.940 And so the thinking

00:11:38.660 was that there was

00:11:39.360 some Putin insider

00:11:40.440 that gave us information.

00:11:42.200 But now,

00:11:42.880 suppose that Putin

00:11:43.840 insider is still there

00:11:44.960 because we haven't

00:11:46.960 heard of anybody

00:11:47.540 being taken out

00:11:48.420 that would have

00:11:48.880 been the insider.

00:11:51.580 Do you think

00:11:52.360 that we would be

00:11:53.020 doing what we're doing

00:11:53.980 if the insider

00:11:55.700 had not already

00:11:56.440 told us

00:11:56.900 that nuclear war

00:11:57.800 wasn't going to happen?

00:11:58.600 What do you think?

00:12:02.260 Because if we're

00:12:04.020 just guessing

00:12:04.920 about pushing

00:12:06.960 Putin into

00:12:07.580 a nuclear

00:12:08.120 confrontation,

00:12:09.520 then we're

00:12:11.120 pretty reckless,

00:12:11.980 aren't we?

00:12:13.060 But what if,

00:12:14.880 what if,

00:12:16.480 hypothetically,

00:12:18.020 what if somebody

00:12:18.840 on the inside

00:12:19.380 said,

00:12:19.720 look,

00:12:20.320 if you can get

00:12:21.300 rid of Putin

00:12:21.900 for us,

00:12:22.900 the thing I can

00:12:23.600 guarantee is

00:12:24.160 we're not going

00:12:24.560 to launch any nukes

00:12:25.420 because the generals

00:12:27.460 just won't do it

00:12:28.320 or something like that.

00:12:29.720 Maybe it's the number

00:12:30.540 two guy.

00:12:31.700 The number two guy

00:12:32.520 says,

00:12:32.940 all right,

00:12:33.120 I'm just not going

00:12:33.620 to give the command.

00:12:34.440 If you can get rid

00:12:35.140 of Putin for us,

00:12:37.000 I'll be president,

00:12:38.180 maybe.

00:12:39.200 But I'm not going

00:12:39.980 to give the command

00:12:40.600 to launch a nuke.

00:12:42.080 I feel as if

00:12:43.580 we must have

00:12:44.440 some inside information.

00:12:46.160 Just,

00:12:46.560 what do you think

00:12:47.240 about that question?

00:12:49.440 Do you think,

00:12:50.060 yes or no,

00:12:51.300 we have inside information

00:12:52.620 that we trust

00:12:53.340 about Putin's ability

00:12:55.760 or willingness

00:12:56.440 to launch a nuke?

00:12:58.400 Don't you think

00:12:58.940 we have to know that?

00:13:00.460 Because we're acting

00:13:01.680 as if we know it,

00:13:03.320 aren't we?

00:13:04.240 I haven't seen

00:13:05.000 anybody say that,

00:13:06.140 but the way we're acting

00:13:07.440 is if we have the answer

00:13:08.760 to the question already.

00:13:09.920 We're not acting

00:13:10.740 like we're tentative

00:13:12.540 or we're worried

00:13:14.020 about a nuclear strike.

00:13:15.160 We're acting like

00:13:16.200 we know it's not

00:13:16.920 going to come.

00:13:18.680 Why is that?

00:13:20.800 I got questions,

00:13:21.960 you know?

00:13:24.060 All right.

00:13:25.840 Here was a surprise story.

00:13:28.800 New York Post had this.

00:13:30.520 There are two people

00:13:31.340 who apparently

00:13:32.260 stepped down from

00:13:33.480 or are no longer on,

00:13:35.020 however they left,

00:13:36.680 the National Board

00:13:38.560 of Black Lives Matter.

00:13:40.240 Now, that by itself

00:13:41.200 is not a story

00:13:41.860 except who these

00:13:42.480 two people are.

00:13:43.920 One of them

00:13:44.440 is Mark Elias.

00:13:49.740 And the other

00:13:51.060 was somebody

00:13:51.500 I'd never heard of.

00:13:52.100 but Mark Elias

00:13:53.940 was,

00:13:54.880 and the Elias

00:13:55.680 law group,

00:13:57.260 they're strongly

00:13:58.100 associated with

00:13:59.100 getting Democrats

00:14:00.560 elected.

00:14:01.500 That's Hillary 1.00

00:14:02.140 Clinton's

00:14:02.980 peeps.

00:14:04.800 These are as

00:14:05.800 Democrat as you

00:14:06.500 can get.

00:14:07.560 And Mark Elias

00:14:08.280 was one of the people

00:14:08.940 who caused the

00:14:09.680 rule changes

00:14:10.340 that some people

00:14:12.420 say is the reason

00:14:13.060 that Biden won

00:14:14.100 in the election.

00:14:15.080 and you're telling

00:14:18.180 me that these

00:14:20.180 two people

00:14:20.700 were on the

00:14:21.220 Black Lives Matter

00:14:21.940 national board.

00:14:24.540 Doesn't that tell you

00:14:25.460 that Black Lives Matter

00:14:26.340 was just a

00:14:27.140 Democrat political

00:14:28.120 organization?

00:14:30.860 That kind of tells you

00:14:31.880 that, doesn't it?

00:14:33.300 At this point,

00:14:34.460 and there's some

00:14:35.380 speculation that the

00:14:36.240 reason that they're

00:14:36.720 no longer on the board

00:14:37.640 is because the

00:14:39.380 national organization

00:14:40.160 is just going to

00:14:40.780 fall apart entirely,

00:14:41.820 which I thought

00:14:42.980 it sort of had.

00:14:44.520 But at this point,

00:14:46.580 everything you

00:14:47.220 suspected about

00:14:48.100 Black Lives Matter

00:14:48.880 not being an

00:14:50.060 organic organization

00:14:51.840 appears to be true.

00:14:54.300 Wouldn't you say?

00:14:55.600 Yeah, it appears to

00:14:56.600 be true that Black 0.78

00:14:57.260 Lives Matter was

00:14:57.880 never a legitimate

00:14:58.660 organization.

00:15:00.340 There were, you

00:15:01.260 know, plenty of

00:15:01.820 legitimate people

00:15:02.720 who had legitimate

00:15:04.040 concerns, but the

00:15:05.500 organization itself

00:15:06.360 appears to be

00:15:07.340 completely,

00:15:08.220 completely just a

00:15:10.640 Democrat organ.

00:15:11.820 Did you see the

00:15:15.380 story about the

00:15:15.940 Ukrainian soldiers

00:15:16.860 are using facial

00:15:17.880 recognition to

00:15:19.540 send photos to

00:15:20.540 the families and

00:15:21.240 friends of dead

00:15:22.000 Russian soldiers?

00:15:24.720 Imagine getting

00:15:25.500 that photo.

00:15:27.260 That would not be

00:15:28.300 a good thing.

00:15:30.920 But, you know,

00:15:31.820 the thing they

00:15:32.280 don't say is that

00:15:33.640 they're doing it

00:15:34.260 for war propaganda,

00:15:36.420 although they say

00:15:37.460 it in an indirect

00:15:38.000 way.

00:15:38.460 They're trying to

00:15:39.160 let the Russian 0.99

00:15:39.680 public know that

00:15:40.520 there are real

00:15:41.120 Russians dying in 1.00

00:15:41.960 the war because

00:15:42.520 the Russians don't 1.00

00:15:43.240 necessarily know

00:15:44.440 how bad it is.

00:15:45.780 But apparently

00:15:46.500 there's also some

00:15:47.380 rule that says you

00:15:48.220 have to try to give

00:15:48.920 back your soldiers

00:15:49.720 to the other side,

00:15:51.120 sort of a Geneva

00:15:51.880 Convention thing.

00:15:53.380 So Ukraine is

00:15:54.360 hiding behind that

00:15:55.140 Geneva Convention

00:15:55.880 thing to say,

00:15:56.900 oh, no, we're just

00:15:57.580 sending facial

00:15:58.840 recognition.

00:16:00.100 We're using facial

00:16:00.900 recognition to tell

00:16:03.120 people where the

00:16:04.400 bodies are in case

00:16:05.760 they want to come

00:16:06.200 get them.

00:16:07.380 Now, who's going

00:16:07.960 to go to Ukraine

00:16:08.640 right now to go

00:16:09.660 get a body?

00:16:11.780 So to me,

00:16:12.540 it just looks like

00:16:13.200 a horrible,

00:16:14.140 horrible war

00:16:14.820 propaganda technique,

00:16:16.300 which is probably

00:16:17.480 entirely legitimate

00:16:18.580 in the context

00:16:19.480 of war.

00:16:20.400 Now, here's a

00:16:21.500 question for you.

00:16:25.540 So we have this

00:16:26.580 war crimes standards,

00:16:29.300 and if you kill

00:16:30.800 a civilian, for example,

00:16:31.900 that would be a war

00:16:32.540 crime, if you do

00:16:34.540 it intentionally, and

00:16:35.920 if you were to

00:16:36.560 torture a captured

00:16:37.600 soldier, that would

00:16:39.520 be a war crime.

00:16:41.500 But why do we

00:16:43.000 treat the war crimes

00:16:44.420 the same if there's

00:16:46.420 an invading army

00:16:47.500 versus a defending

00:16:48.760 army?

00:16:50.040 Now, if somebody's

00:16:51.140 a defending army,

00:16:52.560 and they're captured

00:16:53.340 and tortured, I would

00:16:55.020 say that's a war crime,

00:16:56.320 no doubt about it.

00:16:57.940 But what if you're

00:16:58.840 part of the attacking

00:16:59.660 army?

00:17:01.160 Is it the same

00:17:02.060 standard?

00:17:02.540 Because, let me be

00:17:04.760 clear about this.

00:17:06.260 If a military

00:17:07.180 attacked the United

00:17:08.280 States, and I got

00:17:10.620 a hold of one of

00:17:11.220 the soldiers,

00:17:13.340 seriously, if I

00:17:18.200 watched people I

00:17:19.000 know being killed

00:17:19.680 by another military,

00:17:20.780 and I got control

00:17:21.740 of one of their

00:17:22.260 soldiers, I don't

00:17:24.020 know what I'd do.

00:17:25.680 But I wouldn't be

00:17:26.660 worried about war

00:17:27.380 crimes.

00:17:28.500 I mean, that

00:17:28.820 wouldn't be at the

00:17:29.360 top of my mind,

00:17:30.440 let me tell you.

00:17:31.060 I think I would

00:17:33.080 be completely

00:17:33.860 savage.

00:17:35.580 But I also think

00:17:36.600 that shouldn't be a

00:17:37.360 war crime.

00:17:38.780 Because if you

00:17:39.540 attack my family

00:17:40.640 or my country,

00:17:42.320 I'm going to

00:17:42.900 fuck you up in 0.96

00:17:44.320 every way I can.

00:17:45.640 There's not going

00:17:46.260 to be a limit.

00:17:47.780 Let me be as

00:17:48.800 clear as possible.

00:17:49.840 If your soldiers

00:17:50.720 are coming in to

00:17:51.940 conquer and kill 0.95

00:17:52.800 me, I'm not going

00:17:53.960 to put a limit on

00:17:54.800 what I do to your

00:17:55.480 soldiers.

00:17:56.620 But it should be a

00:17:57.520 limit the other

00:17:57.980 way.

00:17:58.220 I mean, it

00:17:59.660 should be certainly

00:18:00.280 a war crime if

00:18:00.960 the attacking army

00:18:02.640 does stuff.

00:18:04.480 But if you're

00:18:04.980 defending yourself,

00:18:06.440 and you're losing

00:18:07.040 especially, if you're

00:18:08.560 defending and losing,

00:18:10.000 yeah, you can do

00:18:10.560 anything you want.

00:18:11.720 That's my standard.

00:18:13.200 My standard is no

00:18:14.200 limits for the

00:18:14.920 defending army.

00:18:16.660 What would you say?

00:18:18.640 Anybody agree?

00:18:19.680 No military limits

00:18:21.520 for the defending army.

00:18:22.900 Because it's not

00:18:23.460 their fault.

00:18:24.400 If you're defending,

00:18:25.360 you can use anything

00:18:26.040 you want.

00:18:26.720 Anything.

00:18:27.740 And it doesn't

00:18:28.460 matter if somebody's

00:18:29.120 already captured.

00:18:30.520 If that's part of

00:18:31.680 making you feel good,

00:18:32.880 or maybe it's

00:18:34.240 discouraging the

00:18:35.020 other soldiers,

00:18:35.660 there shouldn't be

00:18:36.140 any limit for

00:18:37.060 the torturing the

00:18:38.620 attacking army.

00:18:41.220 Now I'm talking

00:18:41.860 about actually

00:18:42.380 invading your

00:18:42.980 country, not just

00:18:44.080 attack on some

00:18:45.360 foreign battlefield.

00:18:46.740 I'm talking about

00:18:47.440 they're coming into

00:18:48.460 your home, they're 0.95

00:18:49.940 shooting your dog, 0.85

00:18:51.360 they're stealing

00:18:51.840 your food, they're

00:18:52.860 raping your wife. 0.96

00:18:53.660 Are you telling

00:18:55.560 me I'm not going

00:18:56.220 to kill every one

00:18:57.720 of them I can get

00:18:58.280 my hands on in the

00:18:59.620 worst possible way?

00:19:01.060 Of course I am.

00:19:02.940 There wouldn't be

00:19:03.540 any limit.

00:19:04.280 There's nothing I

00:19:04.900 wouldn't do.

00:19:05.720 Nothing.

00:19:08.360 So I just don't

00:19:09.300 like that standard.

00:19:13.560 So California's

00:19:14.640 got this gigantic

00:19:15.480 drought problem you

00:19:16.900 probably know about.

00:19:18.400 And California

00:19:19.300 just turned down a

00:19:20.440 water desalinization

00:19:22.440 plant and hunting

00:19:23.260 in the beach.

00:19:24.300 I think for

00:19:25.160 environmental reasons.

00:19:28.820 Do we have the

00:19:29.760 dumbest state?

00:19:31.780 Is there any state

00:19:32.800 dumber than California

00:19:33.860 where we have

00:19:35.440 gigantic problems

00:19:36.380 and we're working

00:19:37.380 as hard as we can

00:19:38.140 to make them worse?

00:19:39.700 We have the dumbest

00:19:40.880 state.

00:19:41.880 By far the dumbest

00:19:42.860 state.

00:19:43.740 And, you know,

00:19:45.880 a drought is one

00:19:46.580 of those things that's

00:19:47.180 sort of like a slow

00:19:47.880 motion disaster.

00:19:48.760 disaster.

00:19:49.480 And I'm never

00:19:50.160 worried about those.

00:19:52.020 Because when

00:19:52.420 something's a slow

00:19:53.240 motion disaster,

00:19:54.240 I think, oh,

00:19:54.780 they'll build the

00:19:55.440 desalinization plants

00:19:56.640 when they have to.

00:19:58.020 You know,

00:19:58.300 they'll make another

00:19:59.060 dam if they really

00:20:00.000 have to.

00:20:01.380 It's just, you know,

00:20:02.140 you'll have to get

00:20:02.640 more dire before

00:20:03.500 people make drastic

00:20:04.720 decisions.

00:20:05.620 But I'm not sure

00:20:06.860 that's going to work

00:20:07.580 in California.

00:20:09.200 California looks

00:20:09.980 like the anti-human

00:20:11.580 part of the population

00:20:13.180 is perfectly happy

00:20:14.820 to let humans go

00:20:15.740 down.

00:20:16.920 Because they're

00:20:17.540 not smart enough

00:20:18.260 to see the bigger

00:20:19.260 repercussions, I

00:20:20.140 think.

00:20:20.660 And I think that's

00:20:21.360 obviously the problem.

00:20:22.960 There are some

00:20:23.600 problems that you

00:20:24.300 can say, well,

00:20:24.920 there's a genuine

00:20:26.100 difference of opinion.

00:20:28.020 But there are other

00:20:28.980 problems, and this is

00:20:29.880 clearly one of them,

00:20:31.020 the water shortage

00:20:31.840 in California.

00:20:33.100 This is clearly a

00:20:34.160 case of people

00:20:35.180 being bad at math,

00:20:36.400 having too much

00:20:37.000 control.

00:20:38.420 I say bad at math,

00:20:39.540 meaning bad at

00:20:40.780 analysis.

00:20:42.180 Because if there's

00:20:43.000 anybody who thinks

00:20:43.640 that the world or

00:20:44.840 Californians or even

00:20:45.960 the protected

00:20:46.520 species are going

00:20:48.260 to be better off

00:20:49.220 if there's not

00:20:50.200 enough water in

00:20:51.000 California for the

00:20:52.840 humans, who thinks

00:20:54.860 that's going to be

00:20:55.400 better off?

00:20:56.740 Like, I don't know

00:20:57.480 how much the

00:20:57.980 environmental impact

00:20:58.900 would have been,

00:20:59.760 but it's not going

00:21:00.640 to be as bad as

00:21:01.560 running out of

00:21:02.060 water.

00:21:03.180 It's not really,

00:21:04.480 this shouldn't even

00:21:05.760 be a hard decision.

00:21:08.180 Now, we're actually

00:21:09.340 going to find out

00:21:10.160 how stupid we are

00:21:11.440 in my state.

00:21:12.760 Usually you don't

00:21:13.460 get to find out in

00:21:14.320 a really defined way,

00:21:15.960 but in the

00:21:17.620 governor race,

00:21:18.720 it's going to be

00:21:19.280 more Governor

00:21:19.920 Newsom, which

00:21:20.720 means more of

00:21:21.340 this, I guess,

00:21:22.600 or some

00:21:24.220 Republican that

00:21:25.000 nobody's going to

00:21:25.520 vote for, or

00:21:27.260 independent Michael

00:21:29.100 Schellenberger.

00:21:30.300 Now, Schellenberger

00:21:31.040 does deep dives on

00:21:32.820 all of these

00:21:33.260 topics.

00:21:33.920 He's written books

00:21:34.620 on several of the

00:21:35.400 biggest problems in

00:21:36.360 California.

00:21:37.320 He has specific

00:21:38.180 solutions that all

00:21:39.480 make sense and the

00:21:40.620 numbers work and

00:21:41.380 it's rational.

00:21:41.900 If he doesn't get

00:21:44.320 elected, we just

00:21:46.620 deserve what we

00:21:47.360 get, honestly.

00:21:49.560 At that point, I

00:21:51.180 don't know, if an

00:21:52.460 entire state wants

00:21:53.300 to commit some

00:21:54.800 kind of weird state

00:21:56.720 suicide, I guess

00:21:58.900 they have that

00:21:59.460 right.

00:22:00.480 I guess we'll do

00:22:01.780 it.

00:22:02.400 But we do have a

00:22:03.460 clean option to

00:22:04.500 elect somebody who

00:22:05.860 could put a big

00:22:07.680 dent in all of

00:22:08.420 these problems.

00:22:08.920 will we do it?

00:22:11.320 I don't know.

00:22:12.440 Because remember,

00:22:13.120 Schellenberger doesn't

00:22:13.840 have any objectionable

00:22:17.080 policies for a

00:22:19.880 Californian.

00:22:21.340 Everything that he's

00:22:22.640 proposing, you can

00:22:24.520 see from the data,

00:22:25.520 the science, the

00:22:26.300 people have tried it

00:22:27.560 before, that it

00:22:28.800 makes things better

00:22:29.820 for everybody.

00:22:32.100 The disadvantaged,

00:22:33.200 the poor, the

00:22:33.880 homeless, the drug

00:22:35.200 addicted, his

00:22:36.320 policies are directly

00:22:37.860 better for everybody.

00:22:38.920 It's not like

00:22:39.560 somebody's winning,

00:22:40.680 somebody's losing.

00:22:41.320 It's just better for

00:22:42.060 everybody.

00:22:43.120 How do you turn

00:22:44.000 down the guy who's

00:22:44.860 got policies that

00:22:45.700 are better for

00:22:46.180 everybody?

00:22:47.420 And nobody even

00:22:48.080 would argue, well,

00:22:49.460 nobody who's good

00:22:50.160 in math would argue

00:22:51.060 with much of what

00:22:52.120 he's saying.

00:22:52.980 Because he just

00:22:53.800 takes the most

00:22:54.380 rational position.

00:22:55.760 He puts together

00:22:56.720 a bunch of

00:22:57.260 rational positions,

00:22:58.520 and now he's

00:22:59.340 running on.

00:23:00.740 And he, and

00:23:02.360 unfortunately, he's

00:23:03.520 not leading by 40

00:23:04.580 points in the polls.

00:23:06.320 He should be.

00:23:06.960 Because there's

00:23:08.600 not really a

00:23:09.500 rational choice.

00:23:10.420 There's one choice

00:23:11.440 that makes sense,

00:23:12.620 and then everything

00:23:13.420 else is literally

00:23:14.140 just state suicide.

00:23:16.080 It's not even

00:23:16.900 close.

00:23:18.540 But yet the vote

00:23:19.480 will probably be,

00:23:20.600 you know,

00:23:21.200 completely unpredictable.

00:23:23.440 All right.

00:23:23.920 Elections are real.

00:23:25.300 True.

00:23:25.660 Why vote when it

00:23:28.820 doesn't get counted,

00:23:29.660 somebody says.

00:23:33.180 Never trust a guy

00:23:34.160 with good hair.

00:23:36.760 All right.

00:23:39.580 I got up a little

00:23:40.520 bit early, or late

00:23:42.240 today, I guess, and I

00:23:43.780 did not see all of

00:23:44.820 the stories.

00:23:45.560 So I'm going to look

00:23:46.220 at CNN for you and

00:23:47.800 give you my first

00:23:48.640 reaction to their

00:23:49.460 headlines.

00:23:49.920 This is basically

00:23:52.660 how I prepare

00:23:53.540 stuff.

00:23:54.760 So, how many of

00:23:57.180 you are willing to

00:23:58.020 give me credit

00:23:59.520 yet for predicting

00:24:03.040 that Ukraine would 0.97

00:24:04.060 surprise Russia with 0.99

00:24:05.340 their military

00:24:06.020 capability, and it

00:24:07.960 would be because of

00:24:08.840 high-tech weaponry?

00:24:10.720 Am I not exactly

00:24:12.400 right?

00:24:14.540 What, now, and

00:24:16.220 would you not say

00:24:16.960 that that was, did

00:24:19.000 anybody else say

00:24:19.720 that?

00:24:22.040 Was there anybody

00:24:23.080 else who said what

00:24:23.900 I said, which is

00:24:24.820 the Ukrainians will 0.98

00:24:25.740 surprise us with

00:24:26.540 high-tech weaponry

00:24:27.440 that comes from

00:24:28.540 NATO and the U.S.?

00:24:30.620 I don't think I saw

00:24:32.520 one other person

00:24:33.620 who said that.

00:24:37.280 You're way off?

00:24:38.680 Well, so here's,

00:24:40.160 but let me be

00:24:41.520 specific about my

00:24:42.580 prediction.

00:24:43.280 I'm not saying that

00:24:44.220 we know that's

00:24:44.800 what's happening.

00:24:45.560 Are you okay with

00:24:46.200 that?

00:24:46.880 So I'm not going to

00:24:47.740 say that I can

00:24:48.440 confirm that I

00:24:48.980 confirm as of today

00:24:49.660 that Ukraine is 0.94

00:24:50.600 actually beating

00:24:51.440 Russia on the

00:24:52.180 battlefield.

00:24:52.900 I don't think we

00:24:53.660 can confirm that

00:24:54.540 because there's too

00:24:55.520 much disinformation

00:24:56.720 coming out of

00:24:57.300 there.

00:24:57.840 But the part that

00:24:59.240 I will confirm is

00:25:00.920 that the way we're

00:25:01.600 talking about it

00:25:02.500 has gone from

00:25:03.580 I'm the only one

00:25:04.720 saying this to

00:25:05.820 it's now more

00:25:06.700 a common opinion.

00:25:08.480 Right?

00:25:09.120 Wouldn't you say

00:25:09.720 it's a common

00:25:10.360 opinion that Ukraine

00:25:11.640 has at least

00:25:13.020 taken Russia to

00:25:15.180 some kind of a

00:25:15.760 stalemate?

00:25:16.720 At least.

00:25:17.240 Yeah.

00:25:20.400 Well, so I'll

00:25:21.880 only say that the

00:25:22.520 conversation has

00:25:23.340 gone my way.

00:25:24.200 The reality, we

00:25:24.960 still don't know.

00:25:27.980 So there's a lot

00:25:29.400 of stuff on CNN

00:25:30.280 that I only read the

00:25:31.600 headline because it's

00:25:32.460 a video.

00:25:33.660 If I click on it

00:25:34.580 to get the story,

00:25:35.320 I'm going to have

00:25:35.680 to wait for the

00:25:36.240 commercial.

00:25:37.380 I'm never going to

00:25:38.020 do that.

00:25:38.920 Sometimes the only

00:25:39.600 way I can consume

00:25:40.540 CNN is with

00:25:41.500 multiple browsers.

00:25:42.500 So I'll click on

00:25:44.340 a story and

00:25:45.620 then I'll wait.

00:25:46.240 I'll turn off the

00:25:46.860 sound and have

00:25:47.840 another window open

00:25:49.000 and wait for the

00:25:50.560 commercial to go

00:25:51.820 away.

00:25:52.480 So you have to

00:25:52.900 have like four

00:25:53.600 windows open to

00:25:54.780 read CNN because

00:25:56.460 you have to like

00:25:57.060 wait for the ads

00:25:58.000 and I just don't

00:25:59.020 have that kind of

00:25:59.560 time.

00:26:00.500 So the way CNN

00:26:03.440 is spinning it,

00:26:04.880 so you have one

00:26:05.360 story about Russian

00:26:06.140 journalists defying

00:26:07.240 Putin.

00:26:08.120 Here are their

00:26:08.500 messages to the

00:26:09.180 Russian people.

00:26:10.140 I don't know what

00:26:10.600 the story is because

00:26:11.280 I'm not going to

00:26:11.720 wait for the

00:26:12.100 advertisements,

00:26:13.640 but I'm more

00:26:15.240 interested in the

00:26:15.960 way CNN is 0.80

00:26:16.620 covering it.

00:26:19.040 Dude, use an

00:26:19.920 ad blocker.

00:26:20.580 An ad blocker

00:26:21.220 isn't going to

00:26:21.600 stop a video ad.

00:26:24.960 Catch up.

00:26:26.040 Catch up with

00:26:26.660 me.

00:26:27.620 You can't stop a

00:26:28.640 video ad on CNN

00:26:31.100 with an ad blocker.

00:26:32.680 You would just

00:26:33.080 sit there waiting

00:26:33.640 for it.

00:26:36.840 And then another

00:26:37.760 headline on CNN,

00:26:38.720 Russia's retreat 0.90

00:26:39.720 reveals new

00:26:40.580 evidence of

00:26:41.140 horrors.

00:26:42.040 So one story

00:26:42.960 on CNN is

00:26:43.760 about Russian

00:26:44.820 journalists

00:26:45.320 returning against

00:26:45.960 Putin.

00:26:46.800 Another about

00:26:47.500 Russia's retreat.

00:26:49.960 Another about

00:26:50.560 Zelensky welcoming

00:26:51.780 the Senate,

00:26:53.500 Mitch McConnell

00:26:54.080 and other people

00:26:54.780 from the Senate.

00:26:57.240 Photos that

00:26:57.920 have defined

00:26:58.440 the war,

00:26:58.940 which will no

00:26:59.340 doubt be

00:26:59.720 horrors against

00:27:01.960 the Ukraine

00:27:02.400 people.

00:27:04.100 And while you

00:27:05.440 need to know

00:27:05.860 about Finland

00:27:06.400 and Sweden,

00:27:07.080 which is also

00:27:07.760 their war

00:27:09.540 to join NATO,

00:27:10.580 so that's

00:27:11.320 also negative

00:27:12.180 against Russia.

00:27:14.320 And yeah,

00:27:15.000 Russia forces

00:27:15.820 retreat.

00:27:16.880 So every story

00:27:17.780 on CNN is a

00:27:19.160 story about

00:27:19.900 Russia losing.

00:27:23.260 Every story is a

00:27:24.640 story about

00:27:25.040 Russia losing.

00:27:26.500 Now that doesn't

00:27:27.280 mean Russia's

00:27:27.800 losing, right?

00:27:28.600 Just to be clear,

00:27:30.020 because CNN's a

00:27:31.200 propaganda outlet,

00:27:32.700 essentially.

00:27:33.200 But this seems

00:27:36.060 to be, I

00:27:36.760 think you can

00:27:37.300 interpret that

00:27:38.600 the Biden

00:27:39.280 administration

00:27:40.000 wants this to

00:27:40.920 be the spin.

00:27:42.120 Would you say

00:27:42.680 that's true?

00:27:44.100 Do you think

00:27:44.620 the CNN's

00:27:45.300 connection with

00:27:45.900 the Democrats

00:27:46.380 at the moment

00:27:47.240 is so strong,

00:27:49.440 you can tell

00:27:50.280 what the Democrats

00:27:51.200 want you to know

00:27:52.200 or hear or

00:27:53.120 think based on

00:27:54.760 how their

00:27:55.120 coverage shifts?

00:27:56.620 I think so.

00:27:57.480 I think that's a

00:27:58.120 fair assessment.

00:27:59.540 Now that doesn't

00:28:00.220 mean that there are

00:28:00.780 meetings.

00:28:01.740 It could be

00:28:02.280 just that they

00:28:02.800 watch each other,

00:28:03.600 the Democrats

00:28:04.140 in the news.

00:28:05.620 They sort of

00:28:06.800 watch where

00:28:07.800 things are going

00:28:08.400 and follow along

00:28:09.180 quickly.

00:28:10.060 So it might be

00:28:10.600 just that.

00:28:11.840 Everybody knows

00:28:12.540 what team they're

00:28:13.100 on.

00:28:14.520 Certainly that's

00:28:15.140 true, I'd say,

00:28:15.920 of the right.

00:28:17.680 You see the

00:28:18.560 right, the people

00:28:20.280 on the right,

00:28:20.860 sort of moving

00:28:21.600 in lockstep

00:28:22.320 sometimes.

00:28:23.780 But I don't

00:28:24.420 think there are

00:28:24.840 meetings necessarily

00:28:25.860 where somebody

00:28:26.380 says, hey, you

00:28:27.000 do this, I'll do

00:28:27.640 that.

00:28:28.380 It's sort of

00:28:28.860 everybody knows

00:28:29.540 what to do

00:28:30.120 because they've

00:28:30.760 done it and

00:28:31.180 enough, they've

00:28:31.600 danced enough.

00:28:35.800 All right.

00:28:38.860 NATO troops

00:28:39.680 reveal how

00:28:40.220 Putin's invasion 0.56

00:28:40.900 is changing

00:28:41.500 their training.

00:28:42.700 So it's going

00:28:43.340 to be about us

00:28:43.920 getting stronger

00:28:44.640 against them.

00:28:46.960 Ukraine sends 0.67

00:28:47.800 images of

00:28:48.960 dead Russians. 0.92

00:28:49.960 We just talked

00:28:50.420 about that.

00:28:51.300 So basically,

00:28:52.100 it's all about

00:28:52.620 the Russians

00:28:53.100 are dead,

00:28:53.800 the Ukrainians

00:28:54.400 are taking their

00:28:54.960 face.

00:28:55.260 It's basically

00:28:56.000 complete wall-to-wall

00:28:57.440 coverage that

00:28:58.220 Ukraine is

00:28:58.920 winning-ish,

00:29:00.880 or at least

00:29:01.300 doing well.

00:29:02.540 Let's look at

00:29:03.220 Fox News

00:29:03.900 and see how

00:29:06.040 their headlines,

00:29:07.140 now this will

00:29:07.560 just be the

00:29:07.960 headlines,

00:29:08.860 because the

00:29:09.440 headlines really

00:29:10.040 tell you what

00:29:10.560 they're thinking

00:29:11.400 overall.

00:29:14.900 Finland's

00:29:15.440 president sends

00:29:15.980 direct message

00:29:16.640 about NATO

00:29:17.180 on Putin call.

00:29:18.440 So that's

00:29:20.380 sort of

00:29:20.700 anti-Russia

00:29:21.860 thing.

00:29:27.400 Let's see.

00:29:29.980 And that's

00:29:30.820 about it.

00:29:32.260 So Fox News

00:29:33.560 is actually

00:29:34.080 acting like

00:29:34.880 the Ukraine

00:29:35.360 war is a 0.92

00:29:37.200 third-level

00:29:37.780 headline.

00:29:39.880 What's that

00:29:40.660 tell you?

00:29:42.920 Unfortunately,

00:29:43.740 it tells you

00:29:44.160 that Biden

00:29:44.700 is winning,

00:29:45.480 doesn't it?

00:29:46.020 I feel

00:29:48.160 like watching

00:29:49.680 Fox News

00:29:50.320 ignore the

00:29:50.920 story is

00:29:52.140 sort of

00:29:52.720 more evidence

00:29:54.140 that maybe

00:29:54.800 the Biden

00:29:56.280 strategy of

00:29:57.320 degrading Russia 0.97

00:29:58.200 is working.

00:30:00.700 And it

00:30:01.380 looks like it

00:30:01.780 will work.

00:30:04.020 Is that

00:30:04.760 why Fox

00:30:05.320 News is

00:30:06.500 kind of

00:30:07.340 staying off

00:30:07.860 it?

00:30:08.260 Because it

00:30:08.860 looks like

00:30:09.180 Biden's

00:30:09.560 actually

00:30:09.840 succeeded?

00:30:12.060 And would

00:30:13.440 the people

00:30:14.840 on the

00:30:15.100 right be

00:30:15.560 happy or

00:30:16.160 not happy

00:30:16.740 if we'd

00:30:17.740 found a

00:30:18.220 cheap,

00:30:18.920 I'll say

00:30:19.340 $44 billion

00:30:20.140 is cheap

00:30:21.040 in this

00:30:22.020 context,

00:30:22.680 to essentially

00:30:23.620 take one of

00:30:24.180 our biggest

00:30:24.580 competitors in

00:30:25.400 the world

00:30:25.760 and degrade

00:30:26.520 them to

00:30:27.020 20% of

00:30:28.380 their prior

00:30:29.000 effectiveness?

00:30:30.080 Would that

00:30:30.500 be worth

00:30:30.980 $40 to

00:30:32.700 $100 billion?

00:30:34.900 Would the

00:30:35.840 Republicans have

00:30:36.800 voted

00:30:37.180 $40 to

00:30:38.460 $100 billion

00:30:39.540 if they knew

00:30:40.740 that no

00:30:41.320 American would 0.60

00:30:42.100 die on the

00:30:42.900 battlefield?

00:30:43.260 and they

00:30:44.640 knew it

00:30:45.140 would take

00:30:45.700 Russia just 0.93

00:30:46.300 completely off

00:30:47.040 the battlefield

00:30:47.480 basically.

00:30:49.180 Would

00:30:49.300 Republicans have

00:30:50.680 supported that

00:30:51.340 for $100

00:30:52.440 billion?

00:30:55.160 Maybe.

00:30:56.760 Some.

00:30:57.480 I don't

00:30:57.700 know.

00:30:58.360 Now,

00:30:58.620 Republicans don't

00:30:59.360 like intervention,

00:31:01.240 right?

00:31:01.960 Mostly.

00:31:03.020 They don't like to

00:31:03.940 attack somebody

00:31:04.800 that doesn't need

00:31:05.460 to get attacked.

00:31:06.460 But they

00:31:06.940 certainly like to

00:31:07.680 have military

00:31:08.400 superiority.

00:31:09.060 don't they?

00:31:12.080 So, I would

00:31:13.020 think that if

00:31:13.580 you said we

00:31:14.120 can give you

00:31:14.620 military superiority

00:31:15.780 for, who

00:31:16.940 knows, 100

00:31:17.600 years over

00:31:18.260 Russia, and

00:31:19.680 we'll do that

00:31:20.500 for $100

00:31:20.900 billion, would

00:31:22.220 that be a

00:31:22.660 good use of

00:31:24.500 money?

00:31:24.860 I think it

00:31:25.380 would be.

00:31:26.280 If, let's

00:31:28.500 say, under

00:31:28.860 the assumption

00:31:29.460 that taking

00:31:31.960 Russia off the 0.88

00:31:33.180 battlefield in

00:31:34.280 the future is

00:31:35.640 a good idea,

00:31:36.360 I don't

00:31:37.200 know if it

00:31:37.520 is.

00:31:38.500 But if it's

00:31:39.040 a good idea,

00:31:39.560 it looks like

00:31:39.920 they're going

00:31:40.180 to pull it

00:31:40.540 off.

00:31:41.780 Or they

00:31:42.320 could.

00:31:43.720 So,

00:31:44.740 all right.

00:31:49.340 Judge Thomas

00:31:50.140 opens up on

00:31:50.920 the impact of

00:31:51.540 the tremendously

00:31:52.300 bad abortion

00:31:53.980 draft.

00:31:56.140 Why did he

00:31:56.800 say it's

00:31:57.100 tremendously

00:31:57.480 bad?

00:31:59.420 He says

00:32:00.060 it's tremendously

00:32:00.600 bad.

00:32:05.000 You lose

00:32:05.720 the trust

00:32:06.180 the loss

00:32:07.980 of trust.

00:32:08.660 He's not

00:32:08.940 talking about

00:32:09.480 the draft

00:32:13.680 itself.

00:32:19.400 Okay.

00:32:19.960 Well, he

00:32:20.200 didn't have

00:32:20.460 much to say.

00:32:21.380 All right.

00:32:21.620 It doesn't

00:32:21.800 look like

00:32:22.080 there's much

00:32:22.380 to say.

00:32:25.440 When did

00:32:26.020 Russia attack

00:32:26.640 us?

00:32:27.440 They attacked

00:32:27.940 the election.

00:32:29.460 Don't you

00:32:29.900 watch CNN?

00:32:33.460 What does

00:32:34.100 Russia's 0.70

00:32:34.600 strength

00:32:34.980 currently hold

00:32:35.920 at bay?

00:32:37.860 Nothing?

00:32:39.260 Nothing?

00:32:40.560 You know,

00:32:42.460 to me,

00:32:42.980 it seems like

00:32:43.600 we should

00:32:44.180 have always

00:32:44.720 been making

00:32:45.600 a deal with

00:32:46.240 Russia.

00:32:46.800 Maybe this

00:32:47.420 will get us

00:32:47.820 closer to

00:32:48.380 doing that

00:32:48.740 someday.

00:32:49.020 but, yeah,

00:33:00.560 so it could

00:33:01.040 turn out that

00:33:01.740 Russia just 0.93

00:33:02.280 turns toward

00:33:02.900 China, but I 0.95

00:33:03.960 think that

00:33:04.260 would be the

00:33:04.620 worst-case

00:33:05.040 scenario for

00:33:05.740 Russia, wouldn't 0.99

00:33:06.280 it?

00:33:07.180 Russia doesn't 0.99

00:33:08.060 really want to

00:33:08.660 be beholden to

00:33:09.520 China, and

00:33:10.620 China doesn't 1.00

00:33:11.280 want to have

00:33:11.640 much of its

00:33:12.460 economy depending

00:33:14.380 on Russia.

00:33:14.880 so I

00:33:17.460 think that

00:33:17.760 situation

00:33:18.200 probably will

00:33:18.800 stay stable

00:33:19.440 where it

00:33:19.780 is, which

00:33:20.140 is Russia

00:33:20.580 and China

00:33:21.600 don't want to

00:33:22.080 have a

00:33:22.300 military

00:33:22.640 conflict, and

00:33:23.840 that's about

00:33:24.200 it.

00:33:24.420 how much

00:33:30.640 to buy

00:33:30.960 Greenland?

00:33:31.900 Yeah.

00:33:34.180 And it

00:33:34.780 could be that

00:33:35.400 our biggest

00:33:35.980 play has to

00:33:37.180 do with the

00:33:37.520 Arctic.

00:33:38.840 Do you think

00:33:39.580 we were heading

00:33:40.380 toward a war

00:33:40.940 in the Arctic?

00:33:42.900 Because it's,

00:33:44.000 you know,

00:33:44.240 climate change

00:33:45.000 is melting

00:33:45.440 things, and

00:33:46.200 there's lots

00:33:46.660 of resources,

00:33:47.640 and military

00:33:48.260 use up there.

00:33:49.620 I mean,

00:33:50.000 maybe everything

00:33:51.100 we're doing

00:33:51.740 with Ukraine

00:33:52.820 is a long-term

00:33:54.520 Arctic play,

00:33:56.040 because if we

00:33:56.580 don't own the

00:33:57.120 Arctic, it's

00:33:58.080 sort of like

00:33:58.480 losing in space.

00:33:59.700 It's such a

00:34:00.580 strategically

00:34:02.080 important area

00:34:03.500 that you

00:34:04.480 wouldn't want

00:34:04.940 Russia to

00:34:05.560 kind of move

00:34:06.540 in and dominate

00:34:07.220 it before you

00:34:07.880 do.

00:34:09.340 Is it that

00:34:11.260 strategically

00:34:11.800 important?

00:34:12.660 Because remember,

00:34:13.300 we've been talking

00:34:13.860 for a long time

00:34:14.740 that the Arctic

00:34:16.280 is the next

00:34:17.120 battlefield.

00:34:18.480 So did we

00:34:19.380 just take out

00:34:20.260 Russia from 0.51

00:34:21.960 the next

00:34:22.360 battlefield

00:34:22.760 before the

00:34:23.320 battle?

00:34:24.240 Because it

00:34:24.840 looks like

00:34:25.200 that's what's

00:34:25.620 happened.

00:34:26.560 It looks

00:34:27.200 exactly like

00:34:27.880 that's what's

00:34:28.280 happened.

00:34:31.920 Putin wants

00:34:32.660 the Northwest

00:34:33.100 Passage.

00:34:35.240 Yeah.

00:34:36.620 Ukraine is

00:34:37.280 not in the

00:34:37.640 Arctic, but

00:34:38.160 if we take

00:34:38.660 out the

00:34:38.980 Russian military,

00:34:40.220 the Russian

00:34:40.840 military won't

00:34:41.440 be anywhere.

00:34:44.180 Oh, you

00:34:44.960 love me way

00:34:45.480 too much.

00:34:49.840 China is 0.85

00:34:50.440 building ice

00:34:51.000 breakers.

00:34:51.420 well, there's

00:34:52.780 a limit to

00:34:53.180 how much

00:34:53.480 ice you

00:34:53.960 can break.

00:35:01.340 As long

00:35:01.960 as Russia

00:35:02.360 has people

00:35:02.820 they can

00:35:03.160 fight, we

00:35:03.580 need to

00:35:03.920 stop all

00:35:04.400 war.

00:35:05.660 You know,

00:35:06.360 there's nobody

00:35:06.920 really on the

00:35:07.520 other side of

00:35:08.100 that argument.

00:35:09.960 I've never

00:35:10.540 heard anybody

00:35:11.020 in favor of

00:35:11.660 war.

00:35:13.000 Everybody

00:35:13.400 always thinks

00:35:13.900 there's a

00:35:14.280 reason, there's

00:35:14.900 an exception.

00:35:15.660 Well, I hate

00:35:16.320 war, but we

00:35:17.740 got to do

00:35:18.080 this one.

00:35:23.380 Do you

00:35:24.040 wonder if

00:35:24.540 Russia's nukes 0.91

00:35:25.600 would actually

00:35:26.120 work?

00:35:27.500 They did.

00:35:28.120 They did pull

00:35:29.240 off the

00:35:29.620 hypersonic

00:35:30.160 missile, so

00:35:31.300 that looked

00:35:31.600 pretty impressive.

00:35:32.280 They have put

00:35:33.040 stuff in space,

00:35:33.920 that's impressive.

00:35:35.560 But, I don't

00:35:37.800 know.

00:35:38.800 I wonder if

00:35:40.100 the nukes are

00:35:40.980 as degraded as

00:35:41.940 their tanks.

00:35:42.480 The Northwest

00:35:46.180 Passage is

00:35:46.900 doable now and

00:35:47.740 has been for

00:35:48.200 years, somebody

00:35:48.780 says.

00:35:50.160 Doable, but

00:35:50.980 can it be

00:35:51.500 defended?

00:35:52.680 They're separate

00:35:53.360 questions.

00:35:58.500 Well, people

00:35:59.200 are saying they

00:35:59.680 love me today.

00:36:00.440 I don't know

00:36:00.880 why.

00:36:02.720 Does anybody

00:36:03.320 else love me?

00:36:04.080 I need some

00:36:04.660 love today.

00:36:05.220 Can anybody

00:36:05.700 give me some

00:36:06.160 love?

00:36:07.560 I mean, I

00:36:08.040 love all of

00:36:08.540 you.

00:36:08.700 That's why I

00:36:09.120 do this.

00:36:11.440 You know, I

00:36:11.800 don't know if

00:36:12.240 it's, how

00:36:12.820 many of you

00:36:13.180 ever heard

00:36:13.520 this story?

00:36:15.380 But, for

00:36:17.380 those of you

00:36:17.880 who don't

00:36:18.200 know the

00:36:18.880 architecture of

00:36:20.740 my personal

00:36:21.320 life, I'm

00:36:23.180 working on my

00:36:23.740 second divorce

00:36:24.500 now, but the

00:36:25.320 first divorce,

00:36:27.060 when I ended

00:36:28.760 my first

00:36:29.300 marriage, I

00:36:31.520 found myself

00:36:32.120 rather lost.

00:36:33.600 Meaning, you

00:36:34.280 know, as soon

00:36:34.600 as you lose a

00:36:35.440 relationship and

00:36:36.560 there's a family

00:36:37.420 structure and

00:36:38.040 you lose all

00:36:38.520 of it, basically

00:36:39.800 100% of what

00:36:40.880 your base

00:36:41.560 assumption of

00:36:43.060 who you are

00:36:43.680 and how you

00:36:44.640 connect to the

00:36:45.300 world just

00:36:45.860 goes away, you 0.87

00:36:47.540 find yourself

00:36:48.020 just sort of

00:36:48.500 floating and

00:36:49.980 you don't

00:36:50.420 really have a

00:36:51.420 reason.

00:36:53.020 And you

00:36:54.460 think to

00:36:54.800 yourself, okay,

00:36:55.920 I don't feel

00:36:56.540 suicidal, but I

00:36:58.280 also don't have

00:36:58.840 any reason to be

00:36:59.480 alive.

00:37:00.920 Like what?

00:37:01.760 To chase

00:37:02.240 pleasure?

00:37:03.360 Is that the

00:37:04.080 only reason to

00:37:04.580 be alive?

00:37:05.540 To go chase

00:37:06.240 some more

00:37:06.560 pleasure?

00:37:06.860 because I'm

00:37:08.200 not sure I

00:37:08.620 want to do

00:37:09.040 that, just

00:37:10.320 chase and

00:37:10.820 pleasure.

00:37:12.460 So, when I

00:37:14.480 realized that I

00:37:15.180 wasn't, you

00:37:15.820 know, connected

00:37:16.340 to a family

00:37:17.440 structure in the

00:37:18.180 same way before,

00:37:19.320 I explicitly

00:37:20.940 donated my

00:37:22.300 body.

00:37:24.000 And I

00:37:24.880 donated my

00:37:25.620 body to

00:37:26.360 the world,

00:37:28.680 basically.

00:37:29.680 And I just

00:37:30.520 thought, well,

00:37:31.240 you know what?

00:37:32.200 Maybe I'll find

00:37:32.960 some meaning by

00:37:33.640 being useful.

00:37:34.480 useful to the

00:37:36.620 world, which is

00:37:37.780 about when I

00:37:38.260 started, you

00:37:39.620 know, blogging

00:37:40.300 and being more

00:37:40.900 active in

00:37:41.840 politics and

00:37:42.600 stuff like

00:37:42.980 that.

00:37:43.740 So, what I

00:37:44.100 was trying, and

00:37:44.640 it's also why I

00:37:45.520 wrote certain

00:37:46.120 kinds of books

00:37:46.780 that were meant

00:37:47.600 to directly help

00:37:48.700 somebody's life.

00:37:50.420 So, my

00:37:52.460 shift, because

00:37:56.160 I've largely

00:37:56.760 taken care of

00:37:57.400 my own needs,

00:37:58.700 has been to

00:37:59.320 try to figure

00:37:59.820 out how to

00:38:00.400 help everybody

00:38:01.700 else in the

00:38:02.400 best possible

00:38:02.920 way.

00:38:03.140 Now, well,

00:38:08.620 thank you.

00:38:12.520 So, that's

00:38:13.400 what I've been

00:38:13.780 doing.

00:38:15.100 And the

00:38:17.360 reason I'm so

00:38:17.980 committed to

00:38:18.460 these live

00:38:19.440 streams is

00:38:20.540 that this is

00:38:21.020 the most,

00:38:21.920 let's say,

00:38:22.440 vital part that

00:38:24.040 connects me to

00:38:24.840 the process.

00:38:26.260 And it also

00:38:27.160 changes how I

00:38:28.300 respond.

00:38:28.940 So, you've

00:38:29.960 sort of

00:38:30.340 become a

00:38:32.220 meta-brain

00:38:33.520 for my own

00:38:34.820 usefulness.

00:38:36.460 In other

00:38:36.820 words, my own

00:38:37.860 thinking is

00:38:38.460 completely,

00:38:39.040 completely

00:38:39.940 determined by

00:38:40.920 the interaction.

00:38:42.580 Right?

00:38:42.820 How many of you

00:38:43.360 have seen me

00:38:43.780 change my

00:38:44.320 opinion based

00:38:45.840 on comments

00:38:46.700 in real time?

00:38:48.160 You've seen

00:38:48.620 that, right?

00:38:49.500 I'll be talking

00:38:50.180 along, and I'll

00:38:50.860 be watching the

00:38:51.480 comments at the

00:38:52.060 same time, and

00:38:52.560 I'll be like,

00:38:52.860 okay, stop

00:38:54.240 everything.

00:38:55.220 I now change my

00:38:56.120 opinion completely

00:38:56.860 to your opinion.

00:38:58.020 You've seen

00:38:58.400 that.

00:38:59.300 It's happened a

00:39:00.040 number of times.

00:39:01.220 And so, we

00:39:03.160 operate collectively

00:39:04.140 as almost an

00:39:06.200 entity, or

00:39:07.500 almost a

00:39:08.060 creature.

00:39:09.100 So, we're

00:39:09.960 almost a

00:39:10.480 creature that's

00:39:11.740 like a

00:39:12.060 collective brain,

00:39:13.560 in which I

00:39:14.120 have some, you

00:39:14.860 know, I have a

00:39:15.320 special role, but

00:39:17.100 I'm not in

00:39:17.580 charge.

00:39:19.700 You know what

00:39:20.320 I mean?

00:39:21.140 If I were in

00:39:21.940 charge, then

00:39:23.460 your opinions

00:39:24.020 might not have

00:39:24.740 much impact on

00:39:25.620 me.

00:39:25.920 But I'm more

00:39:26.440 like a filter or

00:39:27.560 an editor.

00:39:28.500 So, I have

00:39:28.980 some, let's

00:39:30.440 say, power, but

00:39:31.860 it's not the

00:39:32.260 power of being

00:39:32.800 in charge.

00:39:34.180 Like, who's in

00:39:34.780 charge is sort

00:39:35.780 of the world, and

00:39:37.100 I work for the

00:39:37.800 world, and you

00:39:40.680 and I work

00:39:41.740 collectively to

00:39:42.740 be more

00:39:43.740 effective.

00:39:44.620 So, that's

00:39:45.080 how I think

00:39:45.460 of it.

00:39:48.800 And I wish

00:39:50.080 someday I could

00:39:51.000 write a book

00:39:51.620 about all the

00:39:53.160 things I've been

00:39:53.740 involved in,

00:39:54.380 because you

00:39:55.860 have no idea.

00:39:57.340 You have no

00:39:58.200 idea what

00:39:59.400 kinds of people

00:40:00.080 contact you if

00:40:01.720 they believe that

00:40:02.600 they've seen you

00:40:03.340 move a national

00:40:04.580 event.

00:40:05.880 And there are a

00:40:06.560 lot of people who

00:40:07.120 believe, and I

00:40:08.320 don't even know.

00:40:09.120 I mean, it's hard

00:40:09.660 to know who

00:40:10.620 influences what,

00:40:11.540 what's a

00:40:11.840 coincidence, what

00:40:12.680 was going to

00:40:13.020 happen anyway.

00:40:13.740 You don't really

00:40:14.180 know that stuff.

00:40:15.440 But there are

00:40:16.220 lots of people who

00:40:16.980 believe I have

00:40:19.520 influenced national

00:40:21.180 events.

00:40:22.560 And if they

00:40:23.200 believe it, then

00:40:24.160 other people

00:40:24.600 believe it, and

00:40:25.140 they contact you.

00:40:26.200 So, I've been

00:40:26.620 involved in a lot

00:40:27.460 of interesting

00:40:27.940 stuff.

00:40:29.820 Someday, maybe I

00:40:30.920 could tell you, but

00:40:31.740 probably not.

00:40:32.680 I mean, a lot of

00:40:33.360 people would have to

00:40:33.920 be dead first, and I

00:40:35.360 think they're going

00:40:35.740 to outlive me, because

00:40:37.160 I'm not the youngest

00:40:37.820 person in any of the

00:40:38.600 stories.

00:40:39.620 So, probably you'll

00:40:41.340 never know.

00:40:42.560 But believe me when

00:40:43.880 I tell you, it's

00:40:45.260 been a satisfying

00:40:46.700 last ten years or

00:40:48.860 so.

00:40:49.640 All right, that's

00:40:50.780 all for now.

00:40:51.340 I'm going to go do

00:40:51.860 some other things.

00:40:52.480 I've got a book to

00:40:53.060 write, and there's

00:40:55.180 not much other news

00:40:56.060 that's worth talking

00:40:56.900 about.

00:41:01.600 I just got a good

00:41:02.540 idea on the locals.

00:41:04.040 The birds are making

00:41:04.900 so much noise out

00:41:05.640 there, somebody

00:41:06.020 suggested that I eat

00:41:07.560 some breakfast and

00:41:08.320 regurgitate it into

00:41:09.300 the mouths of the

00:41:10.020 little birds so they

00:41:11.520 will stop screaming.

00:41:13.340 I'm going to say

00:41:14.040 that's not the worst

00:41:14.820 idea I've had today.

00:41:16.120 It's not the worst.

00:41:17.200 Not at all.

00:41:17.780 But, probably be

00:41:20.740 doing something else

00:41:21.680 instead of that.

00:41:22.900 All right.

00:41:24.040 And now, and

00:41:26.000 now, and

00:41:28.280 now, we're going

00:41:29.680 to go do some

00:41:30.200 other stuff.

00:41:30.760 Today's going to be

00:41:31.420 amazing.

00:41:33.580 And, tomorrow

00:41:35.320 might be too.

00:41:36.620 YouTube, bye for

00:41:38.100 now.

00:41:38.300 Bye.

00:41:40.100 Bye.

00:41:40.260 Bye.

00:41:40.620 Bye.

00:41:42.420 Bye.

00:41:42.940 Bye.

00:41:43.260 Bye.

00:41:43.660 Bye.

00:41:44.200 Bye.

00:41:44.580 Bye.

00:41:56.580 Bye.

00:41:58.140 Bye.

00:41:58.700 Bye.

00:42:00.160 Bye.

00:42:04.480 Bye.

00:42:05.940 Bye.

00:42:06.460 Bye.

00:42:07.140 Bye.

00:42:07.260 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 14, 2022

Episode 1743 Scott Adams： Study Says Hormone Turns Male Democrats Into Republicans, Testosterone

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