Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 14, 2022


Episode 1743 Scott Adams： Study Says Hormone Turns Male Democrats Into Republicans, Testosterone


Episode Stats

Length

42 minutes

Words per Minute

144.29832

Word Count

6,079

Sentence Count

435

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

36


Summary

Biden is mad at Biden for his disinformation about inflation, and I want to look into it. I also wonder if Ultra MAGA is still open for membership, and if so, what kind of hazing is going on? And what are the odds that testosterone levels are different between Democrats and Republicans?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 While I'm so late.
00:00:02.840 And I think it's time for the simultaneous sip,
00:00:06.200 which will be coming to you from a paper cup from a remote location.
00:00:10.180 It won't be exactly, exactly the same.
00:00:14.820 But it will be good.
00:00:16.480 It will be so good.
00:00:18.540 And if you'd like to join me, all I need is a paper cup
00:00:22.820 and those other vessels.
00:00:26.140 Fill them with your favorite liquid.
00:00:27.360 And join me now for the simultaneous sip.
00:00:30.420 Are you ready?
00:00:31.440 Go.
00:00:37.420 Did you say you can't see me?
00:00:42.340 On locals?
00:00:43.040 I think you can.
00:00:45.520 All right, ladies and gentlemen.
00:00:47.940 Let me tell you the interesting news of the day.
00:00:51.540 Let's see.
00:00:52.480 Jeff Bezos is mad at Biden for his disinformation about inflation.
00:00:57.360 He thinks it's disinformation board.
00:01:00.420 I want to look into it.
00:01:01.840 Okay.
00:01:03.040 All right.
00:01:04.740 Here are the shocking stories of the day.
00:01:07.220 Now, I have to tell you, this is my personal journey.
00:01:16.840 But I never called myself MAGA.
00:01:21.000 I don't know if anybody knows that,
00:01:22.680 but a lot of people associated me with it.
00:01:24.660 But I never called myself MAGA because I didn't like the name.
00:01:28.480 It sounds too much like a maggot.
00:01:29.760 And I don't like, I'm not a joiner in that sense.
00:01:34.440 I just don't like to be in a team.
00:01:36.740 But now that they have this new thing,
00:01:39.100 have you ever heard of the new thing?
00:01:40.220 It's called Ultra MAGA.
00:01:42.680 And I thought to myself,
00:01:44.500 MAGA sounds sort of ordinary and I don't like it,
00:01:47.380 but Ultra MAGA?
00:01:50.300 You have my attention now.
00:01:52.640 And so I thought,
00:01:53.920 I'm going to look into this Ultra MAGA situation
00:01:57.000 because it sounds kind of sexy and strong
00:01:59.140 and, I don't know,
00:02:00.460 it makes me think of beer and condoms
00:02:02.160 and all kinds of good stuff.
00:02:04.300 And I just wonder if they're still accepting members.
00:02:08.960 Do you know if there's any kind of hazing?
00:02:12.080 Does it cost a lot of money to join?
00:02:14.640 Are any of you in,
00:02:16.140 have any of you gotten into Ultra MAGA yet?
00:02:19.780 How is it?
00:02:20.860 Do they have secret meetings?
00:02:23.420 I'm just wondering.
00:02:25.320 All right, here's the most provocative thing I've done today.
00:02:28.920 But the day is young.
00:02:30.920 Yesterday I was sitting there and I just had this thought.
00:02:33.460 I said to myself,
00:02:34.580 I wonder if anybody's ever checked
00:02:36.400 the testosterone difference
00:02:38.640 between men who are Democrats
00:02:41.560 and men who are Republicans.
00:02:43.640 Do you ever wonder about that?
00:02:45.660 Do you ever wonder if they had the same amount of testosterone?
00:02:48.880 Well, of course,
00:02:50.180 you'd have to adjust for age
00:02:51.940 and, you know, obesity
00:02:53.140 and demographics and all that.
00:02:55.480 But the other thing you could do
00:02:57.160 is just take a bunch of people who are Democrats
00:02:59.280 and then give them testosterone
00:03:00.780 and see what happens.
00:03:03.840 And somebody did that in 2021.
00:03:06.280 There was actually a study
00:03:07.580 in 2021,
00:03:10.500 so this is fairly fresh.
00:03:11.500 Now, again,
00:03:13.260 don't believe studies.
00:03:15.140 If you see there was a study that said anything,
00:03:17.280 don't believe it.
00:03:18.500 But some of them are more fun than others,
00:03:20.380 so I'm going to talk about them like they're true.
00:03:22.680 Who knows?
00:03:23.200 Maybe it is.
00:03:24.400 And they said they tested the fixity.
00:03:27.660 Don't you love that word?
00:03:28.720 The fixity.
00:03:30.500 In other words,
00:03:31.120 how stable?
00:03:32.220 Are things fixed
00:03:33.320 or do they move?
00:03:34.740 We tested the fixity
00:03:36.600 of political preferences
00:03:38.240 of 136 healthy males
00:03:40.520 during the 2011
00:03:42.200 U.S. presidential election season.
00:03:45.480 And
00:03:45.820 the people who identified
00:03:51.680 as strong identifiers
00:03:55.280 as Democrats
00:03:56.100 versus ones who are Democrat
00:03:58.260 but sort of weakly favor them.
00:04:00.020 They found that
00:04:01.520 the more Democrat you were,
00:04:03.240 the more strongly Democrat you were,
00:04:05.460 the lower your testosterone levels.
00:04:08.240 But then they gave testosterone
00:04:10.180 to volunteers.
00:04:13.520 So they took some Democrats,
00:04:16.100 some males,
00:04:17.180 and they gave them testosterone
00:04:18.600 and it caused what they called
00:04:20.360 a redshift
00:04:21.140 among weekly affiliated Democrats.
00:04:24.320 This effect was associated
00:04:27.120 with improved mood.
00:04:29.780 No effects.
00:04:32.440 And it would turn,
00:04:33.380 it would strongly turn them
00:04:34.460 into Republicans
00:04:35.820 percentage-wise.
00:04:38.500 So if you take somebody
00:04:39.660 who's a, you know,
00:04:40.720 mildly Democrat
00:04:41.740 and you give them testosterone,
00:04:43.960 they become Republicans.
00:04:46.920 Now,
00:04:47.880 do you know why I Googled that?
00:04:51.320 Guess why I Googled it?
00:04:52.760 Why would I do that?
00:04:56.860 Because it seemed obvious.
00:04:59.620 I thought, you know,
00:05:01.220 I can't be the only one
00:05:02.780 who's noticing this.
00:05:04.440 It's just really obvious.
00:05:06.640 And so I thought,
00:05:07.260 I wonder if anybody's
00:05:07.980 ever studied it.
00:05:09.180 Sure enough,
00:05:10.460 somebody studied it.
00:05:12.160 So,
00:05:13.080 I would not
00:05:14.140 necessarily
00:05:15.280 tell you that
00:05:16.280 this study will hold up.
00:05:18.720 Most,
00:05:19.340 I don't think most studies do.
00:05:20.620 But,
00:05:22.460 but,
00:05:23.940 this one matches my,
00:05:25.140 my opinion already.
00:05:28.580 So therefore,
00:05:29.880 I give it much more credibility.
00:05:32.440 So actually,
00:05:33.260 that's part of my BS filter.
00:05:35.260 So one of the ways
00:05:36.000 that I look for bullshit
00:05:37.440 is if what you observe
00:05:40.200 does or does not match
00:05:41.940 what the science says.
00:05:43.400 In this case,
00:05:44.440 it's not proof,
00:05:45.360 of course,
00:05:45.800 but in this case,
00:05:47.080 my observation
00:05:47.860 over years
00:05:49.420 matches perfectly
00:05:51.000 with the science.
00:05:53.260 So I'm more likely
00:05:54.120 to believe it,
00:05:54.720 but that's also,
00:05:55.720 that's a trap
00:05:56.500 for confirmation bias.
00:05:58.620 So watch out.
00:06:00.860 Tom Cotton
00:06:01.660 had a tweet
00:06:02.400 in which he,
00:06:03.740 the Senator Tom Cotton,
00:06:05.580 and he gave a partial list
00:06:07.900 of Biden's prior
00:06:08.960 explanations for inflation.
00:06:11.160 Because the important thing is,
00:06:12.720 it's not Joe Biden's fault.
00:06:14.020 Here are the things
00:06:15.660 that Biden has said
00:06:16.480 about inflation.
00:06:17.400 Number one,
00:06:18.040 there's no inflation.
00:06:19.900 Two,
00:06:20.480 it's transitory.
00:06:22.060 Three,
00:06:22.460 it's a high-class problem.
00:06:24.500 Then he said,
00:06:25.060 it's just a delayed treadmill.
00:06:27.320 Then he said,
00:06:27.960 it's something about
00:06:28.520 chicken farmers,
00:06:29.400 something about COVID,
00:06:30.400 something about big oil,
00:06:31.860 something about corporate greed,
00:06:33.240 and now it's Putin's price hike.
00:06:36.260 So,
00:06:37.420 I'm glad we finally got
00:06:39.160 a president
00:06:39.760 who was a straight shooter.
00:06:41.820 Remember when we had that guy
00:06:43.080 who would say things
00:06:44.200 that were crazy?
00:06:45.480 And he thought,
00:06:45.920 well,
00:06:46.020 that didn't pass
00:06:46.620 the fact-checking.
00:06:48.500 Well,
00:06:49.140 finally,
00:06:49.820 we've got ourselves
00:06:50.880 a no-malarkey president.
00:06:53.100 Because,
00:06:53.640 you know,
00:06:53.860 what would be a lot of malarkey
00:06:54.940 would be
00:06:55.420 one,
00:06:56.320 two,
00:06:56.640 three,
00:06:57.040 four,
00:06:57.280 five,
00:06:57.880 six,
00:06:58.140 seven,
00:06:58.540 nine different positions
00:07:00.200 on inflation
00:07:00.920 in two months.
00:07:02.340 That would be malarkey.
00:07:05.920 Well,
00:07:06.500 Glenn Greenwald
00:07:07.220 continues to make good observations
00:07:08.720 about politics,
00:07:09.540 and here's one.
00:07:10.200 he talked about,
00:07:13.800 so there's a House
00:07:14.620 Majority Leader,
00:07:16.420 Steny Hoyer.
00:07:17.520 He's 82 years old.
00:07:19.600 And in the
00:07:20.820 chambers of Congress,
00:07:23.300 he said they were
00:07:24.320 at war with Russia,
00:07:25.940 which was a big surprise
00:07:27.740 to the rest of the country,
00:07:29.180 who was not so sure
00:07:30.420 that they were
00:07:32.200 at war with Russia,
00:07:33.820 but he seemed to think so.
00:07:35.920 And he's in his
00:07:36.940 20th term,
00:07:38.420 and he's 82 years old,
00:07:40.560 he says we're
00:07:41.020 at war with Russia.
00:07:45.220 And,
00:07:45.740 and as Greenwald
00:07:47.500 says in a tweet,
00:07:48.400 if there's a bigger story
00:07:49.500 than an 82-year-old
00:07:50.800 senior House Democrat,
00:07:52.400 now in his
00:07:52.920 20th term in Congress,
00:07:54.700 today announcing
00:07:55.400 that the U.S.
00:07:56.080 is at war with Russia,
00:07:57.620 I'd like to know
00:07:58.260 what it is.
00:07:59.480 And then Greenwald
00:08:00.660 speculated that
00:08:01.580 maybe we shouldn't
00:08:02.480 have people
00:08:03.500 that old
00:08:04.040 be a president.
00:08:05.340 But,
00:08:06.180 that he said,
00:08:07.140 that said,
00:08:08.100 it remains
00:08:08.660 an indisputable fact,
00:08:09.940 no matter how much
00:08:10.720 you wish it weren't true,
00:08:12.300 that Donald Trump
00:08:13.180 remains the only
00:08:14.020 U.S. president
00:08:14.800 in decades
00:08:15.620 not to involve
00:08:17.040 the U.S.
00:08:17.720 in a new war.
00:08:19.780 He was no pacifist,
00:08:21.020 he radically escalated
00:08:22.160 to extend
00:08:22.700 bombing campaigns,
00:08:24.240 but it's still a fact.
00:08:25.920 Is that a fact?
00:08:28.060 Is Trump
00:08:28.800 the only recent
00:08:30.160 president
00:08:30.520 to not involve
00:08:31.420 us in a new war?
00:08:34.040 It looks like a fact.
00:08:36.680 Although,
00:08:37.140 I would argue
00:08:37.840 that Biden
00:08:38.280 hasn't
00:08:38.880 employed troops
00:08:40.800 and he's
00:08:41.500 reduced troops,
00:08:42.740 so I'll give him that.
00:08:43.800 You know,
00:08:44.020 if Greenwald
00:08:44.760 is going to be
00:08:45.500 fair about Trump,
00:08:47.160 I'm going to be
00:08:47.640 fair about Biden.
00:08:49.380 While we don't love
00:08:50.540 what he may be doing
00:08:51.480 with Ukraine,
00:08:52.480 and we don't love
00:08:53.220 many things he's doing,
00:08:54.200 maybe,
00:08:55.220 he did pull us
00:08:57.080 out of Afghanistan,
00:08:58.720 sloppily.
00:09:00.300 Probably everybody
00:09:01.360 would have done it
00:09:02.040 at some point.
00:09:03.380 But he didn't do that
00:09:04.340 and he hasn't
00:09:05.540 committed new troops.
00:09:09.720 What you think
00:09:11.220 is the baby sound
00:09:12.100 is birds
00:09:13.600 outside my window
00:09:14.740 that sound like
00:09:15.620 screaming babies
00:09:16.400 every morning.
00:09:21.380 So what do you think
00:09:22.420 of this $40 billion
00:09:23.800 or whatever it is,
00:09:24.980 $44 billion
00:09:25.620 for Ukraine?
00:09:26.580 The United States
00:09:29.480 now is saying
00:09:30.000 directly
00:09:30.460 that we're trying
00:09:32.860 to degrade
00:09:33.580 the Russian army
00:09:34.340 and that that's,
00:09:35.580 now that's a new goal.
00:09:38.020 And to me,
00:09:39.020 that $44 million
00:09:39.780 says we're trying
00:09:41.640 to put Russia
00:09:42.400 just completely
00:09:43.060 out of business.
00:09:45.020 Now,
00:09:45.840 if somebody said
00:09:47.300 to you,
00:09:48.160 it will cost you
00:09:49.080 $44 billion
00:09:50.000 and more,
00:09:52.000 let's say $100 billion
00:09:52.880 by the time you're done,
00:09:54.140 but you can put
00:09:55.060 your biggest
00:09:55.800 let's say military
00:09:58.020 or second biggest
00:09:59.540 military adversary
00:10:02.220 out of business.
00:10:03.980 Wouldn't you do it?
00:10:08.140 What are the times,
00:10:09.620 can we think
00:10:10.100 of situations
00:10:10.700 where we degraded
00:10:13.540 but did not
00:10:14.280 completely take over
00:10:15.680 a country
00:10:16.160 and that worked out
00:10:17.580 really well for us?
00:10:19.080 When was the last time
00:10:20.060 we really hurt
00:10:21.300 another country badly
00:10:22.420 and then
00:10:23.700 we just walked away
00:10:25.160 and oh,
00:10:25.580 it's all good now.
00:10:28.080 Yeah,
00:10:28.540 we did a number
00:10:29.080 on Iraq,
00:10:29.840 didn't we?
00:10:34.020 Vietnam,
00:10:34.880 et cetera.
00:10:36.540 So,
00:10:37.120 but here's the thing.
00:10:38.860 Is Russia the same?
00:10:41.760 There's some countries
00:10:42.700 that just wanted
00:10:43.240 to be left alone.
00:10:44.160 I think Vietnam
00:10:45.060 would be one of those.
00:10:46.060 but I don't know.
00:10:49.360 Is this a strategy
00:10:50.560 that would work?
00:10:52.020 Now,
00:10:52.480 Germany and Japan
00:10:53.640 were different
00:10:54.120 because they surrendered.
00:10:56.620 So we don't,
00:10:57.500 we're not going to have
00:10:58.060 a situation
00:10:58.540 of Russia surrendering.
00:11:00.280 That's not going to happen.
00:11:01.060 The USSR fell
00:11:06.220 after Reagan's
00:11:07.020 Star Wars.
00:11:08.040 I think Reagan
00:11:08.660 got too much credit
00:11:09.500 for that,
00:11:09.980 but
00:11:10.140 the ruble
00:11:12.640 is stronger
00:11:13.100 than before
00:11:13.600 the invasion.
00:11:14.760 Yeah,
00:11:15.140 that feels
00:11:15.860 like a weird
00:11:17.980 situation.
00:11:20.840 All right,
00:11:21.480 well,
00:11:22.660 here's what I think.
00:11:26.460 Number one,
00:11:27.660 remember when
00:11:28.300 we thought
00:11:28.800 that we have
00:11:29.720 some kind of source
00:11:30.440 in the Kremlin?
00:11:31.960 Because our
00:11:32.840 intelligence people
00:11:33.760 got one right
00:11:34.500 for a change
00:11:35.080 when they said
00:11:35.600 that Putin
00:11:36.220 was going to attack.
00:11:37.940 And so the thinking
00:11:38.660 was that there was
00:11:39.360 some Putin insider
00:11:40.440 that gave us information.
00:11:42.200 But now,
00:11:42.880 suppose that Putin
00:11:43.840 insider is still there
00:11:44.960 because we haven't
00:11:46.960 heard of anybody
00:11:47.540 being taken out
00:11:48.420 that would have
00:11:48.880 been the insider.
00:11:51.580 Do you think
00:11:52.360 that we would be
00:11:53.020 doing what we're doing
00:11:53.980 if the insider
00:11:55.700 had not already
00:11:56.440 told us
00:11:56.900 that nuclear war
00:11:57.800 wasn't going to happen?
00:11:58.600 What do you think?
00:12:02.260 Because if we're
00:12:04.020 just guessing
00:12:04.920 about pushing
00:12:06.960 Putin into
00:12:07.580 a nuclear
00:12:08.120 confrontation,
00:12:09.520 then we're
00:12:11.120 pretty reckless,
00:12:11.980 aren't we?
00:12:13.060 But what if,
00:12:14.880 what if,
00:12:16.480 hypothetically,
00:12:18.020 what if somebody
00:12:18.840 on the inside
00:12:19.380 said,
00:12:19.720 look,
00:12:20.320 if you can get
00:12:21.300 rid of Putin
00:12:21.900 for us,
00:12:22.900 the thing I can
00:12:23.600 guarantee is
00:12:24.160 we're not going
00:12:24.560 to launch any nukes
00:12:25.420 because the generals
00:12:27.460 just won't do it
00:12:28.320 or something like that.
00:12:29.720 Maybe it's the number
00:12:30.540 two guy.
00:12:31.700 The number two guy
00:12:32.520 says,
00:12:32.940 all right,
00:12:33.120 I'm just not going
00:12:33.620 to give the command.
00:12:34.440 If you can get rid
00:12:35.140 of Putin for us,
00:12:37.000 I'll be president,
00:12:38.180 maybe.
00:12:39.200 But I'm not going
00:12:39.980 to give the command
00:12:40.600 to launch a nuke.
00:12:42.080 I feel as if
00:12:43.580 we must have
00:12:44.440 some inside information.
00:12:46.160 Just,
00:12:46.560 what do you think
00:12:47.240 about that question?
00:12:49.440 Do you think,
00:12:50.060 yes or no,
00:12:51.300 we have inside information
00:12:52.620 that we trust
00:12:53.340 about Putin's ability
00:12:55.760 or willingness
00:12:56.440 to launch a nuke?
00:12:58.400 Don't you think
00:12:58.940 we have to know that?
00:13:00.460 Because we're acting
00:13:01.680 as if we know it,
00:13:03.320 aren't we?
00:13:04.240 I haven't seen
00:13:05.000 anybody say that,
00:13:06.140 but the way we're acting
00:13:07.440 is if we have the answer
00:13:08.760 to the question already.
00:13:09.920 We're not acting
00:13:10.740 like we're tentative
00:13:12.540 or we're worried
00:13:14.020 about a nuclear strike.
00:13:15.160 We're acting like
00:13:16.200 we know it's not
00:13:16.920 going to come.
00:13:18.680 Why is that?
00:13:20.800 I got questions,
00:13:21.960 you know?
00:13:24.060 All right.
00:13:25.840 Here was a surprise story.
00:13:28.800 New York Post had this.
00:13:30.520 There are two people
00:13:31.340 who apparently
00:13:32.260 stepped down from
00:13:33.480 or are no longer on,
00:13:35.020 however they left,
00:13:36.680 the National Board
00:13:38.560 of Black Lives Matter.
00:13:40.240 Now, that by itself
00:13:41.200 is not a story
00:13:41.860 except who these
00:13:42.480 two people are.
00:13:43.920 One of them
00:13:44.440 is Mark Elias.
00:13:49.740 And the other
00:13:51.060 was somebody
00:13:51.500 I'd never heard of.
00:13:52.100 but Mark Elias
00:13:53.940 was,
00:13:54.880 and the Elias
00:13:55.680 law group,
00:13:57.260 they're strongly
00:13:58.100 associated with
00:13:59.100 getting Democrats
00:14:00.560 elected.
00:14:01.500 That's Hillary
00:14:02.140 Clinton's
00:14:02.980 peeps.
00:14:04.800 These are as
00:14:05.800 Democrat as you
00:14:06.500 can get.
00:14:07.560 And Mark Elias
00:14:08.280 was one of the people
00:14:08.940 who caused the
00:14:09.680 rule changes
00:14:10.340 that some people
00:14:12.420 say is the reason
00:14:13.060 that Biden won
00:14:14.100 in the election.
00:14:15.080 and you're telling
00:14:18.180 me that these
00:14:20.180 two people
00:14:20.700 were on the
00:14:21.220 Black Lives Matter
00:14:21.940 national board.
00:14:24.540 Doesn't that tell you
00:14:25.460 that Black Lives Matter
00:14:26.340 was just a
00:14:27.140 Democrat political
00:14:28.120 organization?
00:14:30.860 That kind of tells you
00:14:31.880 that, doesn't it?
00:14:33.300 At this point,
00:14:34.460 and there's some
00:14:35.380 speculation that the
00:14:36.240 reason that they're
00:14:36.720 no longer on the board
00:14:37.640 is because the
00:14:39.380 national organization
00:14:40.160 is just going to
00:14:40.780 fall apart entirely,
00:14:41.820 which I thought
00:14:42.980 it sort of had.
00:14:44.520 But at this point,
00:14:46.580 everything you
00:14:47.220 suspected about
00:14:48.100 Black Lives Matter
00:14:48.880 not being an
00:14:50.060 organic organization
00:14:51.840 appears to be true.
00:14:54.300 Wouldn't you say?
00:14:55.600 Yeah, it appears to
00:14:56.600 be true that Black
00:14:57.260 Lives Matter was
00:14:57.880 never a legitimate
00:14:58.660 organization.
00:15:00.340 There were, you
00:15:01.260 know, plenty of
00:15:01.820 legitimate people
00:15:02.720 who had legitimate
00:15:04.040 concerns, but the
00:15:05.500 organization itself
00:15:06.360 appears to be
00:15:07.340 completely,
00:15:08.220 completely just a
00:15:10.640 Democrat organ.
00:15:11.820 Did you see the
00:15:15.380 story about the
00:15:15.940 Ukrainian soldiers
00:15:16.860 are using facial
00:15:17.880 recognition to
00:15:19.540 send photos to
00:15:20.540 the families and
00:15:21.240 friends of dead
00:15:22.000 Russian soldiers?
00:15:24.720 Imagine getting
00:15:25.500 that photo.
00:15:27.260 That would not be
00:15:28.300 a good thing.
00:15:30.920 But, you know,
00:15:31.820 the thing they
00:15:32.280 don't say is that
00:15:33.640 they're doing it
00:15:34.260 for war propaganda,
00:15:36.420 although they say
00:15:37.460 it in an indirect
00:15:38.000 way.
00:15:38.460 They're trying to
00:15:39.160 let the Russian
00:15:39.680 public know that
00:15:40.520 there are real
00:15:41.120 Russians dying in
00:15:41.960 the war because
00:15:42.520 the Russians don't
00:15:43.240 necessarily know
00:15:44.440 how bad it is.
00:15:45.780 But apparently
00:15:46.500 there's also some
00:15:47.380 rule that says you
00:15:48.220 have to try to give
00:15:48.920 back your soldiers
00:15:49.720 to the other side,
00:15:51.120 sort of a Geneva
00:15:51.880 Convention thing.
00:15:53.380 So Ukraine is
00:15:54.360 hiding behind that
00:15:55.140 Geneva Convention
00:15:55.880 thing to say,
00:15:56.900 oh, no, we're just
00:15:57.580 sending facial
00:15:58.840 recognition.
00:16:00.100 We're using facial
00:16:00.900 recognition to tell
00:16:03.120 people where the
00:16:04.400 bodies are in case
00:16:05.760 they want to come
00:16:06.200 get them.
00:16:07.380 Now, who's going
00:16:07.960 to go to Ukraine
00:16:08.640 right now to go
00:16:09.660 get a body?
00:16:11.780 So to me,
00:16:12.540 it just looks like
00:16:13.200 a horrible,
00:16:14.140 horrible war
00:16:14.820 propaganda technique,
00:16:16.300 which is probably
00:16:17.480 entirely legitimate
00:16:18.580 in the context
00:16:19.480 of war.
00:16:20.400 Now, here's a
00:16:21.500 question for you.
00:16:25.540 So we have this
00:16:26.580 war crimes standards,
00:16:29.300 and if you kill
00:16:30.800 a civilian, for example,
00:16:31.900 that would be a war
00:16:32.540 crime, if you do
00:16:34.540 it intentionally, and
00:16:35.920 if you were to
00:16:36.560 torture a captured
00:16:37.600 soldier, that would
00:16:39.520 be a war crime.
00:16:41.500 But why do we
00:16:43.000 treat the war crimes
00:16:44.420 the same if there's
00:16:46.420 an invading army
00:16:47.500 versus a defending
00:16:48.760 army?
00:16:50.040 Now, if somebody's
00:16:51.140 a defending army,
00:16:52.560 and they're captured
00:16:53.340 and tortured, I would
00:16:55.020 say that's a war crime,
00:16:56.320 no doubt about it.
00:16:57.940 But what if you're
00:16:58.840 part of the attacking
00:16:59.660 army?
00:17:01.160 Is it the same
00:17:02.060 standard?
00:17:02.540 Because, let me be
00:17:04.760 clear about this.
00:17:06.260 If a military
00:17:07.180 attacked the United
00:17:08.280 States, and I got
00:17:10.620 a hold of one of
00:17:11.220 the soldiers,
00:17:13.340 seriously, if I
00:17:18.200 watched people I
00:17:19.000 know being killed
00:17:19.680 by another military,
00:17:20.780 and I got control
00:17:21.740 of one of their
00:17:22.260 soldiers, I don't
00:17:24.020 know what I'd do.
00:17:25.680 But I wouldn't be
00:17:26.660 worried about war
00:17:27.380 crimes.
00:17:28.500 I mean, that
00:17:28.820 wouldn't be at the
00:17:29.360 top of my mind,
00:17:30.440 let me tell you.
00:17:31.060 I think I would
00:17:33.080 be completely
00:17:33.860 savage.
00:17:35.580 But I also think
00:17:36.600 that shouldn't be a
00:17:37.360 war crime.
00:17:38.780 Because if you
00:17:39.540 attack my family
00:17:40.640 or my country,
00:17:42.320 I'm going to
00:17:42.900 fuck you up in
00:17:44.320 every way I can.
00:17:45.640 There's not going
00:17:46.260 to be a limit.
00:17:47.780 Let me be as
00:17:48.800 clear as possible.
00:17:49.840 If your soldiers
00:17:50.720 are coming in to
00:17:51.940 conquer and kill
00:17:52.800 me, I'm not going
00:17:53.960 to put a limit on
00:17:54.800 what I do to your
00:17:55.480 soldiers.
00:17:56.620 But it should be a
00:17:57.520 limit the other
00:17:57.980 way.
00:17:58.220 I mean, it
00:17:59.660 should be certainly
00:18:00.280 a war crime if
00:18:00.960 the attacking army
00:18:02.640 does stuff.
00:18:04.480 But if you're
00:18:04.980 defending yourself,
00:18:06.440 and you're losing
00:18:07.040 especially, if you're
00:18:08.560 defending and losing,
00:18:10.000 yeah, you can do
00:18:10.560 anything you want.
00:18:11.720 That's my standard.
00:18:13.200 My standard is no
00:18:14.200 limits for the
00:18:14.920 defending army.
00:18:16.660 What would you say?
00:18:18.640 Anybody agree?
00:18:19.680 No military limits
00:18:21.520 for the defending army.
00:18:22.900 Because it's not
00:18:23.460 their fault.
00:18:24.400 If you're defending,
00:18:25.360 you can use anything
00:18:26.040 you want.
00:18:26.720 Anything.
00:18:27.740 And it doesn't
00:18:28.460 matter if somebody's
00:18:29.120 already captured.
00:18:30.520 If that's part of
00:18:31.680 making you feel good,
00:18:32.880 or maybe it's
00:18:34.240 discouraging the
00:18:35.020 other soldiers,
00:18:35.660 there shouldn't be
00:18:36.140 any limit for
00:18:37.060 the torturing the
00:18:38.620 attacking army.
00:18:41.220 Now I'm talking
00:18:41.860 about actually
00:18:42.380 invading your
00:18:42.980 country, not just
00:18:44.080 attack on some
00:18:45.360 foreign battlefield.
00:18:46.740 I'm talking about
00:18:47.440 they're coming into
00:18:48.460 your home, they're
00:18:49.940 shooting your dog,
00:18:51.360 they're stealing
00:18:51.840 your food, they're
00:18:52.860 raping your wife.
00:18:53.660 Are you telling
00:18:55.560 me I'm not going
00:18:56.220 to kill every one
00:18:57.720 of them I can get
00:18:58.280 my hands on in the
00:18:59.620 worst possible way?
00:19:01.060 Of course I am.
00:19:02.940 There wouldn't be
00:19:03.540 any limit.
00:19:04.280 There's nothing I
00:19:04.900 wouldn't do.
00:19:05.720 Nothing.
00:19:08.360 So I just don't
00:19:09.300 like that standard.
00:19:13.560 So California's
00:19:14.640 got this gigantic
00:19:15.480 drought problem you
00:19:16.900 probably know about.
00:19:18.400 And California
00:19:19.300 just turned down a
00:19:20.440 water desalinization
00:19:22.440 plant and hunting
00:19:23.260 in the beach.
00:19:24.300 I think for
00:19:25.160 environmental reasons.
00:19:28.820 Do we have the
00:19:29.760 dumbest state?
00:19:31.780 Is there any state
00:19:32.800 dumber than California
00:19:33.860 where we have
00:19:35.440 gigantic problems
00:19:36.380 and we're working
00:19:37.380 as hard as we can
00:19:38.140 to make them worse?
00:19:39.700 We have the dumbest
00:19:40.880 state.
00:19:41.880 By far the dumbest
00:19:42.860 state.
00:19:43.740 And, you know,
00:19:45.880 a drought is one
00:19:46.580 of those things that's
00:19:47.180 sort of like a slow
00:19:47.880 motion disaster.
00:19:48.760 disaster.
00:19:49.480 And I'm never
00:19:50.160 worried about those.
00:19:52.020 Because when
00:19:52.420 something's a slow
00:19:53.240 motion disaster,
00:19:54.240 I think, oh,
00:19:54.780 they'll build the
00:19:55.440 desalinization plants
00:19:56.640 when they have to.
00:19:58.020 You know,
00:19:58.300 they'll make another
00:19:59.060 dam if they really
00:20:00.000 have to.
00:20:01.380 It's just, you know,
00:20:02.140 you'll have to get
00:20:02.640 more dire before
00:20:03.500 people make drastic
00:20:04.720 decisions.
00:20:05.620 But I'm not sure
00:20:06.860 that's going to work
00:20:07.580 in California.
00:20:09.200 California looks
00:20:09.980 like the anti-human
00:20:11.580 part of the population
00:20:13.180 is perfectly happy
00:20:14.820 to let humans go
00:20:15.740 down.
00:20:16.920 Because they're
00:20:17.540 not smart enough
00:20:18.260 to see the bigger
00:20:19.260 repercussions, I
00:20:20.140 think.
00:20:20.660 And I think that's
00:20:21.360 obviously the problem.
00:20:22.960 There are some
00:20:23.600 problems that you
00:20:24.300 can say, well,
00:20:24.920 there's a genuine
00:20:26.100 difference of opinion.
00:20:28.020 But there are other
00:20:28.980 problems, and this is
00:20:29.880 clearly one of them,
00:20:31.020 the water shortage
00:20:31.840 in California.
00:20:33.100 This is clearly a
00:20:34.160 case of people
00:20:35.180 being bad at math,
00:20:36.400 having too much
00:20:37.000 control.
00:20:38.420 I say bad at math,
00:20:39.540 meaning bad at
00:20:40.780 analysis.
00:20:42.180 Because if there's
00:20:43.000 anybody who thinks
00:20:43.640 that the world or
00:20:44.840 Californians or even
00:20:45.960 the protected
00:20:46.520 species are going
00:20:48.260 to be better off
00:20:49.220 if there's not
00:20:50.200 enough water in
00:20:51.000 California for the
00:20:52.840 humans, who thinks
00:20:54.860 that's going to be
00:20:55.400 better off?
00:20:56.740 Like, I don't know
00:20:57.480 how much the
00:20:57.980 environmental impact
00:20:58.900 would have been,
00:20:59.760 but it's not going
00:21:00.640 to be as bad as
00:21:01.560 running out of
00:21:02.060 water.
00:21:03.180 It's not really,
00:21:04.480 this shouldn't even
00:21:05.760 be a hard decision.
00:21:08.180 Now, we're actually
00:21:09.340 going to find out
00:21:10.160 how stupid we are
00:21:11.440 in my state.
00:21:12.760 Usually you don't
00:21:13.460 get to find out in
00:21:14.320 a really defined way,
00:21:15.960 but in the
00:21:17.620 governor race,
00:21:18.720 it's going to be
00:21:19.280 more Governor
00:21:19.920 Newsom, which
00:21:20.720 means more of
00:21:21.340 this, I guess,
00:21:22.600 or some
00:21:24.220 Republican that
00:21:25.000 nobody's going to
00:21:25.520 vote for, or
00:21:27.260 independent Michael
00:21:29.100 Schellenberger.
00:21:30.300 Now, Schellenberger
00:21:31.040 does deep dives on
00:21:32.820 all of these
00:21:33.260 topics.
00:21:33.920 He's written books
00:21:34.620 on several of the
00:21:35.400 biggest problems in
00:21:36.360 California.
00:21:37.320 He has specific
00:21:38.180 solutions that all
00:21:39.480 make sense and the
00:21:40.620 numbers work and
00:21:41.380 it's rational.
00:21:41.900 If he doesn't get
00:21:44.320 elected, we just
00:21:46.620 deserve what we
00:21:47.360 get, honestly.
00:21:49.560 At that point, I
00:21:51.180 don't know, if an
00:21:52.460 entire state wants
00:21:53.300 to commit some
00:21:54.800 kind of weird state
00:21:56.720 suicide, I guess
00:21:58.900 they have that
00:21:59.460 right.
00:22:00.480 I guess we'll do
00:22:01.780 it.
00:22:02.400 But we do have a
00:22:03.460 clean option to
00:22:04.500 elect somebody who
00:22:05.860 could put a big
00:22:07.680 dent in all of
00:22:08.420 these problems.
00:22:08.920 will we do it?
00:22:11.320 I don't know.
00:22:12.440 Because remember,
00:22:13.120 Schellenberger doesn't
00:22:13.840 have any objectionable
00:22:17.080 policies for a
00:22:19.880 Californian.
00:22:21.340 Everything that he's
00:22:22.640 proposing, you can
00:22:24.520 see from the data,
00:22:25.520 the science, the
00:22:26.300 people have tried it
00:22:27.560 before, that it
00:22:28.800 makes things better
00:22:29.820 for everybody.
00:22:32.100 The disadvantaged,
00:22:33.200 the poor, the
00:22:33.880 homeless, the drug
00:22:35.200 addicted, his
00:22:36.320 policies are directly
00:22:37.860 better for everybody.
00:22:38.920 It's not like
00:22:39.560 somebody's winning,
00:22:40.680 somebody's losing.
00:22:41.320 It's just better for
00:22:42.060 everybody.
00:22:43.120 How do you turn
00:22:44.000 down the guy who's
00:22:44.860 got policies that
00:22:45.700 are better for
00:22:46.180 everybody?
00:22:47.420 And nobody even
00:22:48.080 would argue, well,
00:22:49.460 nobody who's good
00:22:50.160 in math would argue
00:22:51.060 with much of what
00:22:52.120 he's saying.
00:22:52.980 Because he just
00:22:53.800 takes the most
00:22:54.380 rational position.
00:22:55.760 He puts together
00:22:56.720 a bunch of
00:22:57.260 rational positions,
00:22:58.520 and now he's
00:22:59.340 running on.
00:23:00.740 And he, and
00:23:02.360 unfortunately, he's
00:23:03.520 not leading by 40
00:23:04.580 points in the polls.
00:23:06.320 He should be.
00:23:06.960 Because there's
00:23:08.600 not really a
00:23:09.500 rational choice.
00:23:10.420 There's one choice
00:23:11.440 that makes sense,
00:23:12.620 and then everything
00:23:13.420 else is literally
00:23:14.140 just state suicide.
00:23:16.080 It's not even
00:23:16.900 close.
00:23:18.540 But yet the vote
00:23:19.480 will probably be,
00:23:20.600 you know,
00:23:21.200 completely unpredictable.
00:23:23.440 All right.
00:23:23.920 Elections are real.
00:23:25.300 True.
00:23:25.660 Why vote when it
00:23:28.820 doesn't get counted,
00:23:29.660 somebody says.
00:23:33.180 Never trust a guy
00:23:34.160 with good hair.
00:23:36.760 All right.
00:23:39.580 I got up a little
00:23:40.520 bit early, or late
00:23:42.240 today, I guess, and I
00:23:43.780 did not see all of
00:23:44.820 the stories.
00:23:45.560 So I'm going to look
00:23:46.220 at CNN for you and
00:23:47.800 give you my first
00:23:48.640 reaction to their
00:23:49.460 headlines.
00:23:49.920 This is basically
00:23:52.660 how I prepare
00:23:53.540 stuff.
00:23:54.760 So, how many of
00:23:57.180 you are willing to
00:23:58.020 give me credit
00:23:59.520 yet for predicting
00:24:03.040 that Ukraine would
00:24:04.060 surprise Russia with
00:24:05.340 their military
00:24:06.020 capability, and it
00:24:07.960 would be because of
00:24:08.840 high-tech weaponry?
00:24:10.720 Am I not exactly
00:24:12.400 right?
00:24:14.540 What, now, and
00:24:16.220 would you not say
00:24:16.960 that that was, did
00:24:19.000 anybody else say
00:24:19.720 that?
00:24:22.040 Was there anybody
00:24:23.080 else who said what
00:24:23.900 I said, which is
00:24:24.820 the Ukrainians will
00:24:25.740 surprise us with
00:24:26.540 high-tech weaponry
00:24:27.440 that comes from
00:24:28.540 NATO and the U.S.?
00:24:30.620 I don't think I saw
00:24:32.520 one other person
00:24:33.620 who said that.
00:24:37.280 You're way off?
00:24:38.680 Well, so here's,
00:24:40.160 but let me be
00:24:41.520 specific about my
00:24:42.580 prediction.
00:24:43.280 I'm not saying that
00:24:44.220 we know that's
00:24:44.800 what's happening.
00:24:45.560 Are you okay with
00:24:46.200 that?
00:24:46.880 So I'm not going to
00:24:47.740 say that I can
00:24:48.440 confirm that I
00:24:48.980 confirm as of today
00:24:49.660 that Ukraine is
00:24:50.600 actually beating
00:24:51.440 Russia on the
00:24:52.180 battlefield.
00:24:52.900 I don't think we
00:24:53.660 can confirm that
00:24:54.540 because there's too
00:24:55.520 much disinformation
00:24:56.720 coming out of
00:24:57.300 there.
00:24:57.840 But the part that
00:24:59.240 I will confirm is
00:25:00.920 that the way we're
00:25:01.600 talking about it
00:25:02.500 has gone from
00:25:03.580 I'm the only one
00:25:04.720 saying this to
00:25:05.820 it's now more
00:25:06.700 a common opinion.
00:25:08.480 Right?
00:25:09.120 Wouldn't you say
00:25:09.720 it's a common
00:25:10.360 opinion that Ukraine
00:25:11.640 has at least
00:25:13.020 taken Russia to
00:25:15.180 some kind of a
00:25:15.760 stalemate?
00:25:16.720 At least.
00:25:17.240 Yeah.
00:25:20.400 Well, so I'll
00:25:21.880 only say that the
00:25:22.520 conversation has
00:25:23.340 gone my way.
00:25:24.200 The reality, we
00:25:24.960 still don't know.
00:25:27.980 So there's a lot
00:25:29.400 of stuff on CNN
00:25:30.280 that I only read the
00:25:31.600 headline because it's
00:25:32.460 a video.
00:25:33.660 If I click on it
00:25:34.580 to get the story,
00:25:35.320 I'm going to have
00:25:35.680 to wait for the
00:25:36.240 commercial.
00:25:37.380 I'm never going to
00:25:38.020 do that.
00:25:38.920 Sometimes the only
00:25:39.600 way I can consume
00:25:40.540 CNN is with
00:25:41.500 multiple browsers.
00:25:42.500 So I'll click on
00:25:44.340 a story and
00:25:45.620 then I'll wait.
00:25:46.240 I'll turn off the
00:25:46.860 sound and have
00:25:47.840 another window open
00:25:49.000 and wait for the
00:25:50.560 commercial to go
00:25:51.820 away.
00:25:52.480 So you have to
00:25:52.900 have like four
00:25:53.600 windows open to
00:25:54.780 read CNN because
00:25:56.460 you have to like
00:25:57.060 wait for the ads
00:25:58.000 and I just don't
00:25:59.020 have that kind of
00:25:59.560 time.
00:26:00.500 So the way CNN
00:26:03.440 is spinning it,
00:26:04.880 so you have one
00:26:05.360 story about Russian
00:26:06.140 journalists defying
00:26:07.240 Putin.
00:26:08.120 Here are their
00:26:08.500 messages to the
00:26:09.180 Russian people.
00:26:10.140 I don't know what
00:26:10.600 the story is because
00:26:11.280 I'm not going to
00:26:11.720 wait for the
00:26:12.100 advertisements,
00:26:13.640 but I'm more
00:26:15.240 interested in the
00:26:15.960 way CNN is
00:26:16.620 covering it.
00:26:19.040 Dude, use an
00:26:19.920 ad blocker.
00:26:20.580 An ad blocker
00:26:21.220 isn't going to
00:26:21.600 stop a video ad.
00:26:24.960 Catch up.
00:26:26.040 Catch up with
00:26:26.660 me.
00:26:27.620 You can't stop a
00:26:28.640 video ad on CNN
00:26:31.100 with an ad blocker.
00:26:32.680 You would just
00:26:33.080 sit there waiting
00:26:33.640 for it.
00:26:36.840 And then another
00:26:37.760 headline on CNN,
00:26:38.720 Russia's retreat
00:26:39.720 reveals new
00:26:40.580 evidence of
00:26:41.140 horrors.
00:26:42.040 So one story
00:26:42.960 on CNN is
00:26:43.760 about Russian
00:26:44.820 journalists
00:26:45.320 returning against
00:26:45.960 Putin.
00:26:46.800 Another about
00:26:47.500 Russia's retreat.
00:26:49.960 Another about
00:26:50.560 Zelensky welcoming
00:26:51.780 the Senate,
00:26:53.500 Mitch McConnell
00:26:54.080 and other people
00:26:54.780 from the Senate.
00:26:57.240 Photos that
00:26:57.920 have defined
00:26:58.440 the war,
00:26:58.940 which will no
00:26:59.340 doubt be
00:26:59.720 horrors against
00:27:01.960 the Ukraine
00:27:02.400 people.
00:27:04.100 And while you
00:27:05.440 need to know
00:27:05.860 about Finland
00:27:06.400 and Sweden,
00:27:07.080 which is also
00:27:07.760 their war
00:27:09.540 to join NATO,
00:27:10.580 so that's
00:27:11.320 also negative
00:27:12.180 against Russia.
00:27:14.320 And yeah,
00:27:15.000 Russia forces
00:27:15.820 retreat.
00:27:16.880 So every story
00:27:17.780 on CNN is a
00:27:19.160 story about
00:27:19.900 Russia losing.
00:27:23.260 Every story is a
00:27:24.640 story about
00:27:25.040 Russia losing.
00:27:26.500 Now that doesn't
00:27:27.280 mean Russia's
00:27:27.800 losing, right?
00:27:28.600 Just to be clear,
00:27:30.020 because CNN's a
00:27:31.200 propaganda outlet,
00:27:32.700 essentially.
00:27:33.200 But this seems
00:27:36.060 to be, I
00:27:36.760 think you can
00:27:37.300 interpret that
00:27:38.600 the Biden
00:27:39.280 administration
00:27:40.000 wants this to
00:27:40.920 be the spin.
00:27:42.120 Would you say
00:27:42.680 that's true?
00:27:44.100 Do you think
00:27:44.620 the CNN's
00:27:45.300 connection with
00:27:45.900 the Democrats
00:27:46.380 at the moment
00:27:47.240 is so strong,
00:27:49.440 you can tell
00:27:50.280 what the Democrats
00:27:51.200 want you to know
00:27:52.200 or hear or
00:27:53.120 think based on
00:27:54.760 how their
00:27:55.120 coverage shifts?
00:27:56.620 I think so.
00:27:57.480 I think that's a
00:27:58.120 fair assessment.
00:27:59.540 Now that doesn't
00:28:00.220 mean that there are
00:28:00.780 meetings.
00:28:01.740 It could be
00:28:02.280 just that they
00:28:02.800 watch each other,
00:28:03.600 the Democrats
00:28:04.140 in the news.
00:28:05.620 They sort of
00:28:06.800 watch where
00:28:07.800 things are going
00:28:08.400 and follow along
00:28:09.180 quickly.
00:28:10.060 So it might be
00:28:10.600 just that.
00:28:11.840 Everybody knows
00:28:12.540 what team they're
00:28:13.100 on.
00:28:14.520 Certainly that's
00:28:15.140 true, I'd say,
00:28:15.920 of the right.
00:28:17.680 You see the
00:28:18.560 right, the people
00:28:20.280 on the right,
00:28:20.860 sort of moving
00:28:21.600 in lockstep
00:28:22.320 sometimes.
00:28:23.780 But I don't
00:28:24.420 think there are
00:28:24.840 meetings necessarily
00:28:25.860 where somebody
00:28:26.380 says, hey, you
00:28:27.000 do this, I'll do
00:28:27.640 that.
00:28:28.380 It's sort of
00:28:28.860 everybody knows
00:28:29.540 what to do
00:28:30.120 because they've
00:28:30.760 done it and
00:28:31.180 enough, they've
00:28:31.600 danced enough.
00:28:35.800 All right.
00:28:38.860 NATO troops
00:28:39.680 reveal how
00:28:40.220 Putin's invasion
00:28:40.900 is changing
00:28:41.500 their training.
00:28:42.700 So it's going
00:28:43.340 to be about us
00:28:43.920 getting stronger
00:28:44.640 against them.
00:28:46.960 Ukraine sends
00:28:47.800 images of
00:28:48.960 dead Russians.
00:28:49.960 We just talked
00:28:50.420 about that.
00:28:51.300 So basically,
00:28:52.100 it's all about
00:28:52.620 the Russians
00:28:53.100 are dead,
00:28:53.800 the Ukrainians
00:28:54.400 are taking their
00:28:54.960 face.
00:28:55.260 It's basically
00:28:56.000 complete wall-to-wall
00:28:57.440 coverage that
00:28:58.220 Ukraine is
00:28:58.920 winning-ish,
00:29:00.880 or at least
00:29:01.300 doing well.
00:29:02.540 Let's look at
00:29:03.220 Fox News
00:29:03.900 and see how
00:29:06.040 their headlines,
00:29:07.140 now this will
00:29:07.560 just be the
00:29:07.960 headlines,
00:29:08.860 because the
00:29:09.440 headlines really
00:29:10.040 tell you what
00:29:10.560 they're thinking
00:29:11.400 overall.
00:29:14.900 Finland's
00:29:15.440 president sends
00:29:15.980 direct message
00:29:16.640 about NATO
00:29:17.180 on Putin call.
00:29:18.440 So that's
00:29:20.380 sort of
00:29:20.700 anti-Russia
00:29:21.860 thing.
00:29:27.400 Let's see.
00:29:29.980 And that's
00:29:30.820 about it.
00:29:32.260 So Fox News
00:29:33.560 is actually
00:29:34.080 acting like
00:29:34.880 the Ukraine
00:29:35.360 war is a
00:29:37.200 third-level
00:29:37.780 headline.
00:29:39.880 What's that
00:29:40.660 tell you?
00:29:42.920 Unfortunately,
00:29:43.740 it tells you
00:29:44.160 that Biden
00:29:44.700 is winning,
00:29:45.480 doesn't it?
00:29:46.020 I feel
00:29:48.160 like watching
00:29:49.680 Fox News
00:29:50.320 ignore the
00:29:50.920 story is
00:29:52.140 sort of
00:29:52.720 more evidence
00:29:54.140 that maybe
00:29:54.800 the Biden
00:29:56.280 strategy of
00:29:57.320 degrading Russia
00:29:58.200 is working.
00:30:00.700 And it
00:30:01.380 looks like it
00:30:01.780 will work.
00:30:04.020 Is that
00:30:04.760 why Fox
00:30:05.320 News is
00:30:06.500 kind of
00:30:07.340 staying off
00:30:07.860 it?
00:30:08.260 Because it
00:30:08.860 looks like
00:30:09.180 Biden's
00:30:09.560 actually
00:30:09.840 succeeded?
00:30:12.060 And would
00:30:13.440 the people
00:30:14.840 on the
00:30:15.100 right be
00:30:15.560 happy or
00:30:16.160 not happy
00:30:16.740 if we'd
00:30:17.740 found a
00:30:18.220 cheap,
00:30:18.920 I'll say
00:30:19.340 $44 billion
00:30:20.140 is cheap
00:30:21.040 in this
00:30:22.020 context,
00:30:22.680 to essentially
00:30:23.620 take one of
00:30:24.180 our biggest
00:30:24.580 competitors in
00:30:25.400 the world
00:30:25.760 and degrade
00:30:26.520 them to
00:30:27.020 20% of
00:30:28.380 their prior
00:30:29.000 effectiveness?
00:30:30.080 Would that
00:30:30.500 be worth
00:30:30.980 $40 to
00:30:32.700 $100 billion?
00:30:34.900 Would the
00:30:35.840 Republicans have
00:30:36.800 voted
00:30:37.180 $40 to
00:30:38.460 $100 billion
00:30:39.540 if they knew
00:30:40.740 that no
00:30:41.320 American would
00:30:42.100 die on the
00:30:42.900 battlefield?
00:30:43.260 and they
00:30:44.640 knew it
00:30:45.140 would take
00:30:45.700 Russia just
00:30:46.300 completely off
00:30:47.040 the battlefield
00:30:47.480 basically.
00:30:49.180 Would
00:30:49.300 Republicans have
00:30:50.680 supported that
00:30:51.340 for $100
00:30:52.440 billion?
00:30:55.160 Maybe.
00:30:56.760 Some.
00:30:57.480 I don't
00:30:57.700 know.
00:30:58.360 Now,
00:30:58.620 Republicans don't
00:30:59.360 like intervention,
00:31:01.240 right?
00:31:01.960 Mostly.
00:31:03.020 They don't like to
00:31:03.940 attack somebody
00:31:04.800 that doesn't need
00:31:05.460 to get attacked.
00:31:06.460 But they
00:31:06.940 certainly like to
00:31:07.680 have military
00:31:08.400 superiority.
00:31:09.060 don't they?
00:31:12.080 So, I would
00:31:13.020 think that if
00:31:13.580 you said we
00:31:14.120 can give you
00:31:14.620 military superiority
00:31:15.780 for, who
00:31:16.940 knows, 100
00:31:17.600 years over
00:31:18.260 Russia, and
00:31:19.680 we'll do that
00:31:20.500 for $100
00:31:20.900 billion, would
00:31:22.220 that be a
00:31:22.660 good use of
00:31:24.500 money?
00:31:24.860 I think it
00:31:25.380 would be.
00:31:26.280 If, let's
00:31:28.500 say, under
00:31:28.860 the assumption
00:31:29.460 that taking
00:31:31.960 Russia off the
00:31:33.180 battlefield in
00:31:34.280 the future is
00:31:35.640 a good idea,
00:31:36.360 I don't
00:31:37.200 know if it
00:31:37.520 is.
00:31:38.500 But if it's
00:31:39.040 a good idea,
00:31:39.560 it looks like
00:31:39.920 they're going
00:31:40.180 to pull it
00:31:40.540 off.
00:31:41.780 Or they
00:31:42.320 could.
00:31:43.720 So,
00:31:44.740 all right.
00:31:49.340 Judge Thomas
00:31:50.140 opens up on
00:31:50.920 the impact of
00:31:51.540 the tremendously
00:31:52.300 bad abortion
00:31:53.980 draft.
00:31:56.140 Why did he
00:31:56.800 say it's
00:31:57.100 tremendously
00:31:57.480 bad?
00:31:59.420 He says
00:32:00.060 it's tremendously
00:32:00.600 bad.
00:32:05.000 You lose
00:32:05.720 the trust
00:32:06.180 the loss
00:32:07.980 of trust.
00:32:08.660 He's not
00:32:08.940 talking about
00:32:09.480 the draft
00:32:13.680 itself.
00:32:19.400 Okay.
00:32:19.960 Well, he
00:32:20.200 didn't have
00:32:20.460 much to say.
00:32:21.380 All right.
00:32:21.620 It doesn't
00:32:21.800 look like
00:32:22.080 there's much
00:32:22.380 to say.
00:32:25.440 When did
00:32:26.020 Russia attack
00:32:26.640 us?
00:32:27.440 They attacked
00:32:27.940 the election.
00:32:29.460 Don't you
00:32:29.900 watch CNN?
00:32:33.460 What does
00:32:34.100 Russia's
00:32:34.600 strength
00:32:34.980 currently hold
00:32:35.920 at bay?
00:32:37.860 Nothing?
00:32:39.260 Nothing?
00:32:40.560 You know,
00:32:42.460 to me,
00:32:42.980 it seems like
00:32:43.600 we should
00:32:44.180 have always
00:32:44.720 been making
00:32:45.600 a deal with
00:32:46.240 Russia.
00:32:46.800 Maybe this
00:32:47.420 will get us
00:32:47.820 closer to
00:32:48.380 doing that
00:32:48.740 someday.
00:32:49.020 but, yeah,
00:33:00.560 so it could
00:33:01.040 turn out that
00:33:01.740 Russia just
00:33:02.280 turns toward
00:33:02.900 China, but I
00:33:03.960 think that
00:33:04.260 would be the
00:33:04.620 worst-case
00:33:05.040 scenario for
00:33:05.740 Russia, wouldn't
00:33:06.280 it?
00:33:07.180 Russia doesn't
00:33:08.060 really want to
00:33:08.660 be beholden to
00:33:09.520 China, and
00:33:10.620 China doesn't
00:33:11.280 want to have
00:33:11.640 much of its
00:33:12.460 economy depending
00:33:14.380 on Russia.
00:33:14.880 so I
00:33:17.460 think that
00:33:17.760 situation
00:33:18.200 probably will
00:33:18.800 stay stable
00:33:19.440 where it
00:33:19.780 is, which
00:33:20.140 is Russia
00:33:20.580 and China
00:33:21.600 don't want to
00:33:22.080 have a
00:33:22.300 military
00:33:22.640 conflict, and
00:33:23.840 that's about
00:33:24.200 it.
00:33:24.420 how much
00:33:30.640 to buy
00:33:30.960 Greenland?
00:33:31.900 Yeah.
00:33:34.180 And it
00:33:34.780 could be that
00:33:35.400 our biggest
00:33:35.980 play has to
00:33:37.180 do with the
00:33:37.520 Arctic.
00:33:38.840 Do you think
00:33:39.580 we were heading
00:33:40.380 toward a war
00:33:40.940 in the Arctic?
00:33:42.900 Because it's,
00:33:44.000 you know,
00:33:44.240 climate change
00:33:45.000 is melting
00:33:45.440 things, and
00:33:46.200 there's lots
00:33:46.660 of resources,
00:33:47.640 and military
00:33:48.260 use up there.
00:33:49.620 I mean,
00:33:50.000 maybe everything
00:33:51.100 we're doing
00:33:51.740 with Ukraine
00:33:52.820 is a long-term
00:33:54.520 Arctic play,
00:33:56.040 because if we
00:33:56.580 don't own the
00:33:57.120 Arctic, it's
00:33:58.080 sort of like
00:33:58.480 losing in space.
00:33:59.700 It's such a
00:34:00.580 strategically
00:34:02.080 important area
00:34:03.500 that you
00:34:04.480 wouldn't want
00:34:04.940 Russia to
00:34:05.560 kind of move
00:34:06.540 in and dominate
00:34:07.220 it before you
00:34:07.880 do.
00:34:09.340 Is it that
00:34:11.260 strategically
00:34:11.800 important?
00:34:12.660 Because remember,
00:34:13.300 we've been talking
00:34:13.860 for a long time
00:34:14.740 that the Arctic
00:34:16.280 is the next
00:34:17.120 battlefield.
00:34:18.480 So did we
00:34:19.380 just take out
00:34:20.260 Russia from
00:34:21.960 the next
00:34:22.360 battlefield
00:34:22.760 before the
00:34:23.320 battle?
00:34:24.240 Because it
00:34:24.840 looks like
00:34:25.200 that's what's
00:34:25.620 happened.
00:34:26.560 It looks
00:34:27.200 exactly like
00:34:27.880 that's what's
00:34:28.280 happened.
00:34:31.920 Putin wants
00:34:32.660 the Northwest
00:34:33.100 Passage.
00:34:35.240 Yeah.
00:34:36.620 Ukraine is
00:34:37.280 not in the
00:34:37.640 Arctic, but
00:34:38.160 if we take
00:34:38.660 out the
00:34:38.980 Russian military,
00:34:40.220 the Russian
00:34:40.840 military won't
00:34:41.440 be anywhere.
00:34:44.180 Oh, you
00:34:44.960 love me way
00:34:45.480 too much.
00:34:49.840 China is
00:34:50.440 building ice
00:34:51.000 breakers.
00:34:51.420 well, there's
00:34:52.780 a limit to
00:34:53.180 how much
00:34:53.480 ice you
00:34:53.960 can break.
00:35:01.340 As long
00:35:01.960 as Russia
00:35:02.360 has people
00:35:02.820 they can
00:35:03.160 fight, we
00:35:03.580 need to
00:35:03.920 stop all
00:35:04.400 war.
00:35:05.660 You know,
00:35:06.360 there's nobody
00:35:06.920 really on the
00:35:07.520 other side of
00:35:08.100 that argument.
00:35:09.960 I've never
00:35:10.540 heard anybody
00:35:11.020 in favor of
00:35:11.660 war.
00:35:13.000 Everybody
00:35:13.400 always thinks
00:35:13.900 there's a
00:35:14.280 reason, there's
00:35:14.900 an exception.
00:35:15.660 Well, I hate
00:35:16.320 war, but we
00:35:17.740 got to do
00:35:18.080 this one.
00:35:23.380 Do you
00:35:24.040 wonder if
00:35:24.540 Russia's nukes
00:35:25.600 would actually
00:35:26.120 work?
00:35:27.500 They did.
00:35:28.120 They did pull
00:35:29.240 off the
00:35:29.620 hypersonic
00:35:30.160 missile, so
00:35:31.300 that looked
00:35:31.600 pretty impressive.
00:35:32.280 They have put
00:35:33.040 stuff in space,
00:35:33.920 that's impressive.
00:35:35.560 But, I don't
00:35:37.800 know.
00:35:38.800 I wonder if
00:35:40.100 the nukes are
00:35:40.980 as degraded as
00:35:41.940 their tanks.
00:35:42.480 The Northwest
00:35:46.180 Passage is
00:35:46.900 doable now and
00:35:47.740 has been for
00:35:48.200 years, somebody
00:35:48.780 says.
00:35:50.160 Doable, but
00:35:50.980 can it be
00:35:51.500 defended?
00:35:52.680 They're separate
00:35:53.360 questions.
00:35:58.500 Well, people
00:35:59.200 are saying they
00:35:59.680 love me today.
00:36:00.440 I don't know
00:36:00.880 why.
00:36:02.720 Does anybody
00:36:03.320 else love me?
00:36:04.080 I need some
00:36:04.660 love today.
00:36:05.220 Can anybody
00:36:05.700 give me some
00:36:06.160 love?
00:36:07.560 I mean, I
00:36:08.040 love all of
00:36:08.540 you.
00:36:08.700 That's why I
00:36:09.120 do this.
00:36:11.440 You know, I
00:36:11.800 don't know if
00:36:12.240 it's, how
00:36:12.820 many of you
00:36:13.180 ever heard
00:36:13.520 this story?
00:36:15.380 But, for
00:36:17.380 those of you
00:36:17.880 who don't
00:36:18.200 know the
00:36:18.880 architecture of
00:36:20.740 my personal
00:36:21.320 life, I'm
00:36:23.180 working on my
00:36:23.740 second divorce
00:36:24.500 now, but the
00:36:25.320 first divorce,
00:36:27.060 when I ended
00:36:28.760 my first
00:36:29.300 marriage, I
00:36:31.520 found myself
00:36:32.120 rather lost.
00:36:33.600 Meaning, you
00:36:34.280 know, as soon
00:36:34.600 as you lose a
00:36:35.440 relationship and
00:36:36.560 there's a family
00:36:37.420 structure and
00:36:38.040 you lose all
00:36:38.520 of it, basically
00:36:39.800 100% of what
00:36:40.880 your base
00:36:41.560 assumption of
00:36:43.060 who you are
00:36:43.680 and how you
00:36:44.640 connect to the
00:36:45.300 world just
00:36:45.860 goes away, you
00:36:47.540 find yourself
00:36:48.020 just sort of
00:36:48.500 floating and
00:36:49.980 you don't
00:36:50.420 really have a
00:36:51.420 reason.
00:36:53.020 And you
00:36:54.460 think to
00:36:54.800 yourself, okay,
00:36:55.920 I don't feel
00:36:56.540 suicidal, but I
00:36:58.280 also don't have
00:36:58.840 any reason to be
00:36:59.480 alive.
00:37:00.920 Like what?
00:37:01.760 To chase
00:37:02.240 pleasure?
00:37:03.360 Is that the
00:37:04.080 only reason to
00:37:04.580 be alive?
00:37:05.540 To go chase
00:37:06.240 some more
00:37:06.560 pleasure?
00:37:06.860 because I'm
00:37:08.200 not sure I
00:37:08.620 want to do
00:37:09.040 that, just
00:37:10.320 chase and
00:37:10.820 pleasure.
00:37:12.460 So, when I
00:37:14.480 realized that I
00:37:15.180 wasn't, you
00:37:15.820 know, connected
00:37:16.340 to a family
00:37:17.440 structure in the
00:37:18.180 same way before,
00:37:19.320 I explicitly
00:37:20.940 donated my
00:37:22.300 body.
00:37:24.000 And I
00:37:24.880 donated my
00:37:25.620 body to
00:37:26.360 the world,
00:37:28.680 basically.
00:37:29.680 And I just
00:37:30.520 thought, well,
00:37:31.240 you know what?
00:37:32.200 Maybe I'll find
00:37:32.960 some meaning by
00:37:33.640 being useful.
00:37:34.480 useful to the
00:37:36.620 world, which is
00:37:37.780 about when I
00:37:38.260 started, you
00:37:39.620 know, blogging
00:37:40.300 and being more
00:37:40.900 active in
00:37:41.840 politics and
00:37:42.600 stuff like
00:37:42.980 that.
00:37:43.740 So, what I
00:37:44.100 was trying, and
00:37:44.640 it's also why I
00:37:45.520 wrote certain
00:37:46.120 kinds of books
00:37:46.780 that were meant
00:37:47.600 to directly help
00:37:48.700 somebody's life.
00:37:50.420 So, my
00:37:52.460 shift, because
00:37:56.160 I've largely
00:37:56.760 taken care of
00:37:57.400 my own needs,
00:37:58.700 has been to
00:37:59.320 try to figure
00:37:59.820 out how to
00:38:00.400 help everybody
00:38:01.700 else in the
00:38:02.400 best possible
00:38:02.920 way.
00:38:03.140 Now, well,
00:38:08.620 thank you.
00:38:12.520 So, that's
00:38:13.400 what I've been
00:38:13.780 doing.
00:38:15.100 And the
00:38:17.360 reason I'm so
00:38:17.980 committed to
00:38:18.460 these live
00:38:19.440 streams is
00:38:20.540 that this is
00:38:21.020 the most,
00:38:21.920 let's say,
00:38:22.440 vital part that
00:38:24.040 connects me to
00:38:24.840 the process.
00:38:26.260 And it also
00:38:27.160 changes how I
00:38:28.300 respond.
00:38:28.940 So, you've
00:38:29.960 sort of
00:38:30.340 become a
00:38:32.220 meta-brain
00:38:33.520 for my own
00:38:34.820 usefulness.
00:38:36.460 In other
00:38:36.820 words, my own
00:38:37.860 thinking is
00:38:38.460 completely,
00:38:39.040 completely
00:38:39.940 determined by
00:38:40.920 the interaction.
00:38:42.580 Right?
00:38:42.820 How many of you
00:38:43.360 have seen me
00:38:43.780 change my
00:38:44.320 opinion based
00:38:45.840 on comments
00:38:46.700 in real time?
00:38:48.160 You've seen
00:38:48.620 that, right?
00:38:49.500 I'll be talking
00:38:50.180 along, and I'll
00:38:50.860 be watching the
00:38:51.480 comments at the
00:38:52.060 same time, and
00:38:52.560 I'll be like,
00:38:52.860 okay, stop
00:38:54.240 everything.
00:38:55.220 I now change my
00:38:56.120 opinion completely
00:38:56.860 to your opinion.
00:38:58.020 You've seen
00:38:58.400 that.
00:38:59.300 It's happened a
00:39:00.040 number of times.
00:39:01.220 And so, we
00:39:03.160 operate collectively
00:39:04.140 as almost an
00:39:06.200 entity, or
00:39:07.500 almost a
00:39:08.060 creature.
00:39:09.100 So, we're
00:39:09.960 almost a
00:39:10.480 creature that's
00:39:11.740 like a
00:39:12.060 collective brain,
00:39:13.560 in which I
00:39:14.120 have some, you
00:39:14.860 know, I have a
00:39:15.320 special role, but
00:39:17.100 I'm not in
00:39:17.580 charge.
00:39:19.700 You know what
00:39:20.320 I mean?
00:39:21.140 If I were in
00:39:21.940 charge, then
00:39:23.460 your opinions
00:39:24.020 might not have
00:39:24.740 much impact on
00:39:25.620 me.
00:39:25.920 But I'm more
00:39:26.440 like a filter or
00:39:27.560 an editor.
00:39:28.500 So, I have
00:39:28.980 some, let's
00:39:30.440 say, power, but
00:39:31.860 it's not the
00:39:32.260 power of being
00:39:32.800 in charge.
00:39:34.180 Like, who's in
00:39:34.780 charge is sort
00:39:35.780 of the world, and
00:39:37.100 I work for the
00:39:37.800 world, and you
00:39:40.680 and I work
00:39:41.740 collectively to
00:39:42.740 be more
00:39:43.740 effective.
00:39:44.620 So, that's
00:39:45.080 how I think
00:39:45.460 of it.
00:39:48.800 And I wish
00:39:50.080 someday I could
00:39:51.000 write a book
00:39:51.620 about all the
00:39:53.160 things I've been
00:39:53.740 involved in,
00:39:54.380 because you
00:39:55.860 have no idea.
00:39:57.340 You have no
00:39:58.200 idea what
00:39:59.400 kinds of people
00:40:00.080 contact you if
00:40:01.720 they believe that
00:40:02.600 they've seen you
00:40:03.340 move a national
00:40:04.580 event.
00:40:05.880 And there are a
00:40:06.560 lot of people who
00:40:07.120 believe, and I
00:40:08.320 don't even know.
00:40:09.120 I mean, it's hard
00:40:09.660 to know who
00:40:10.620 influences what,
00:40:11.540 what's a
00:40:11.840 coincidence, what
00:40:12.680 was going to
00:40:13.020 happen anyway.
00:40:13.740 You don't really
00:40:14.180 know that stuff.
00:40:15.440 But there are
00:40:16.220 lots of people who
00:40:16.980 believe I have
00:40:19.520 influenced national
00:40:21.180 events.
00:40:22.560 And if they
00:40:23.200 believe it, then
00:40:24.160 other people
00:40:24.600 believe it, and
00:40:25.140 they contact you.
00:40:26.200 So, I've been
00:40:26.620 involved in a lot
00:40:27.460 of interesting
00:40:27.940 stuff.
00:40:29.820 Someday, maybe I
00:40:30.920 could tell you, but
00:40:31.740 probably not.
00:40:32.680 I mean, a lot of
00:40:33.360 people would have to
00:40:33.920 be dead first, and I
00:40:35.360 think they're going
00:40:35.740 to outlive me, because
00:40:37.160 I'm not the youngest
00:40:37.820 person in any of the
00:40:38.600 stories.
00:40:39.620 So, probably you'll
00:40:41.340 never know.
00:40:42.560 But believe me when
00:40:43.880 I tell you, it's
00:40:45.260 been a satisfying
00:40:46.700 last ten years or
00:40:48.860 so.
00:40:49.640 All right, that's
00:40:50.780 all for now.
00:40:51.340 I'm going to go do
00:40:51.860 some other things.
00:40:52.480 I've got a book to
00:40:53.060 write, and there's
00:40:55.180 not much other news
00:40:56.060 that's worth talking
00:40:56.900 about.
00:41:01.600 I just got a good
00:41:02.540 idea on the locals.
00:41:04.040 The birds are making
00:41:04.900 so much noise out
00:41:05.640 there, somebody
00:41:06.020 suggested that I eat
00:41:07.560 some breakfast and
00:41:08.320 regurgitate it into
00:41:09.300 the mouths of the
00:41:10.020 little birds so they
00:41:11.520 will stop screaming.
00:41:13.340 I'm going to say
00:41:14.040 that's not the worst
00:41:14.820 idea I've had today.
00:41:16.120 It's not the worst.
00:41:17.200 Not at all.
00:41:17.780 But, probably be
00:41:20.740 doing something else
00:41:21.680 instead of that.
00:41:22.900 All right.
00:41:24.040 And now, and
00:41:26.000 now, and
00:41:28.280 now, we're going
00:41:29.680 to go do some
00:41:30.200 other stuff.
00:41:30.760 Today's going to be
00:41:31.420 amazing.
00:41:33.580 And, tomorrow
00:41:35.320 might be too.
00:41:36.620 YouTube, bye for
00:41:38.100 now.
00:41:38.300 Bye.
00:41:40.100 Bye.
00:41:40.260 Bye.
00:41:40.620 Bye.
00:41:42.420 Bye.
00:41:42.940 Bye.
00:41:43.260 Bye.
00:41:43.660 Bye.
00:41:44.200 Bye.
00:41:44.580 Bye.
00:41:56.580 Bye.
00:41:58.140 Bye.
00:41:58.700 Bye.
00:42:00.160 Bye.
00:42:04.480 Bye.
00:42:05.940 Bye.
00:42:06.460 Bye.
00:42:07.140 Bye.
00:42:07.260 Bye.