Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1745 Scott Adams： Later And Better Than Usual

00:00:00.000 everybody so we've got a laggy bad Wi-Fi connection here on locals who knows if

00:00:09.600 YouTube is going to work but what I do know is it's time for the simultaneous

00:00:13.680 up and all you need is a cup or glass or mug a canteen jug or flask a something

00:00:20.340 something something a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like

00:00:25.380 coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopey the other day thing

00:00:30.840 makes everything better you ready go

00:00:40.000 paper cup coffee not as good protein bar not my regular kind everything's wrong

00:00:48.660 well yeah we'll talk about that great replays bad so that seems to be the big

00:00:55.200 story today we've all been waiting for the hoax of the day this one seems to be

00:01:00.060 based on the shooting of yet another little turd who's killing people for no

00:01:06.540 good reason and this has caused CNN everybody to blame it on Tucker Carlson

00:01:13.080 now is it my imagination or does the left think that Tucker Carlson runs

00:01:20.340 everything because it seems to be that they believe if they can take Tucker Carlson

00:01:26.820 out they can end the Democrats you know communication channel and it's it's almost

00:01:33.060 true isn't it I feel like Tucker Carlson has become the primary Republican voice for

00:01:39.480 people who are really sort of watching things well let's talk about that so Tucker Carlson has spoken of

00:01:48.480 this so-called great replacement theory would it be possible for me to speak

00:01:55.080 about it without being accused of embracing it what do you think if I saw if I simply

00:02:03.660 broached the topic would I be accused of embracing it and therefore a white

00:02:10.320 supremacist it seems unlikely I don't know if you've watched there's there's a a minor drama going on in

00:02:21.300 my public life there's a specific individual who I won't name who runs a little cult so he's a cult leader

00:02:31.080 of some sort yes a man a man cult and he's decided that he's really really mad at me

00:02:36.780 for my support of masks during the pandemic which never happened so there's an entire organization

00:02:45.840 who you know its members and its leader attack me on a regular basis they create accounts on social

00:02:51.720 media to come after me and their biggest complaint is how pro mask I was which actually never happened

00:02:59.640 literally never happened so I never recommended them never was in favor of them I talked about

00:03:06.000 it I showed you some studies but so so my life is influenced by somebody who has a completely wrong

00:03:15.420 opinion and obviously never really watched anything I said but he's decided to wrap his life around it

00:03:21.480 okay all right so there's somebody out there who's got a like a whole mission to destroy me

00:03:29.760 based on something imaginary now that's my normal life my normal life is people coming after me for

00:03:40.740 imaginary things it happens at every single day it's the hardest thing so let's talk about replacement

00:03:46.920 theory so I saw talking to Carlson talk about it the following way he described it as math that if

00:03:55.200 you're in the United States and you have a vote wouldn't matter if you were a Democrat or Republican and you

00:04:01.020 add more people from other countries it will dilute your vote because of math now there's anybody who

00:04:09.000 doubts the math that there's an existing group of people who could vote and then you were to add new

00:04:15.760 people to that group wouldn't matter where they came from it wouldn't matter would that group the original

00:04:21.900 group have less influence per person is there anybody doubting the math now my understanding is that

00:04:30.960 Tucker just showed that Tucker just showed the math and said well yes literally literally and mathematically

00:04:39.720 no the math is that if you add something to an existing group you dilute the group

00:04:45.060 right so that's not really a that's not an opinion so so CNN has treated math like an opinion

00:04:56.400 no seriously CNN's actual editorial opinion is that math and the result of it is racist and that

00:05:07.740 actually is the biggest story today the CNN thinks bath is racist because when when Tucker Carlson gives them

00:05:16.020 a math lesson it's coming from Tucker Carlson so I guess logically QED therefore must be racist

00:05:24.840 now the part they don't say is they're assuming that Tucker Carlson's entire motivation is to have fewer brown

00:05:34.620 people and more white people like him has he ever said anything like that

00:05:39.060 that would be a different conversation right because he does talk about culture now is it true that if you

00:05:49.400 have an existing culture and you were to add people from a different culture to it with the existing

00:05:56.240 culture stay exactly the same or would it change exactly the way we like things to change which is we

00:06:02.480 like to be influenced by each other you know develop our own civilization so if he says that the way things

00:06:08.240 are the culture would change if you added people from a different culture it wouldn't matter which one it was

00:06:15.080 would it be different yes and if you liked it the way it was would you be happy that something changed well

00:06:23.180 people don't like change if they're already happy they don't like change now which of those statements from

00:06:28.820 Tucker are the big racist ones the one that's math if you add people to an existing group it dilutes it or the

00:06:36.200 other one that's also basically math which is you add different cultures to an existing culture probably the the average is going to change a little bit

00:06:44.080 a little bit those literally are both math and the plumes you know what whatever happened to plume theory

00:06:53.180 all right you know you're going to make me talk about it did did that uh the plume theory was said

00:07:02.080 how much covid you got initially would have a big impact on whether you got sick did that get debunked

00:07:09.940 because i thought that was basic understanding i didn't think that was even a question was it a basic

00:07:16.940 understanding that if your initial contact was a little bit of virus you can still get it but if you got a little bit of

00:07:23.940 virus maybe your body could you know mount a response a little better than if you just slammed it with a ton of virus

00:07:30.940 a ton of virus is that not true is getting infected with a tiny bit of virus exactly the same as taking

00:07:40.040 a big swing that if you've been drinking on the cup what do you think now i think that it's probably different

00:07:46.940 because i haven't heard i haven't heard anybody revise that opinion now i've seen david g do the lol plume theory if that's the best you have as your

00:07:59.940 as your as your counter lol you don't have anything because do you know what argument

00:08:06.940 i'm making about masks math it's math more viruses worse less virus would give you a better situation

00:08:16.940 does anybody argue with with the let me see in the comments in the comments

00:08:22.940 is it would you accept the assumption that more exposure to virus initially is worse yes or no

00:08:29.940 is more exposure initially and worse for your outcomes

00:08:33.940 give me your answers more exposure better or worse

00:08:37.940 i'm saying people are saying yes on locals

00:08:41.940 somebody says unknown well you know the expert said it's worse

00:08:45.940 all right youtube we're saying seeing some no's

00:08:48.940 oh interesting on youtube you're saying that the amount of initial virus doesn't matter

00:08:54.940 some people are saying that a lot of people say yes

00:08:56.940 yeah the concentration and the amount yes

00:09:00.940 all right so uh

00:09:03.940 more is worse yeah so i think you would find more is worse there's no question about that

00:09:10.940 now if you have a barrier which is sending your plumes sideways and up and down

00:09:17.940 instead of directly like a fire hose into somebody's mouth when you're talking to them

00:09:22.940 which is likely to give you more virus

00:09:27.940 when we measure masks what do they measure

00:09:31.940 they measure infections don't they

00:09:34.940 do they measure outcomes

00:09:37.940 has anybody done a study that said that the people who got it from somebody who had a mask on

00:09:43.940 had as bad outcomes as somebody who got it from somebody who had no mask

00:09:48.940 what do you think and eyeballs too yes eyeballs and mouth

00:09:53.940 so

00:09:55.940 to me my argument is only math and people have said it's an opinion

00:10:00.940 is math an opinion no math isn't a fucking opinion

00:10:04.940 it's math

00:10:05.940 tucker's opinions are math

00:10:07.940 my mask opinion

00:10:09.940 is that i don't want one and it didn't make enough difference

00:10:12.940 that i think he was useful

00:10:13.940 right

00:10:14.940 so i've always been against them

00:10:16.940 but not because they make no difference

00:10:19.940 there are lots of things i'm against

00:10:21.940 they help a little

00:10:22.940 right they just don't help enough

00:10:26.940 somebody says this is not math

00:10:28.940 yes it is

00:10:29.940 i mean it's math plus engineering

00:10:32.940 the engineering part's obvious

00:10:34.940 that the mask sends the plume sideways and up

00:10:38.940 that part's obvious

00:10:41.940 because you can't blow out a camera with a mask on can you

00:10:46.940 why does it not work the same with omicron

00:10:48.940 omicron is just catchier that's all

00:10:51.940 all right

00:10:53.940 now

00:10:54.940 statistics are an opinion

00:10:56.940 well

00:10:57.940 maybe it's an opinion about who did the math right

00:11:00.940 i suppose

00:11:02.940 all right

00:11:03.940 only with a crappy mask

00:11:04.940 i suppose that's right too

00:11:06.940 what else is going on

00:11:08.940 all right so

00:11:10.940 um

00:11:11.940 it looks like this great replacement thing will be the new cnn hoax

00:11:15.940 or at least they'll ride this for a while

00:11:17.940 and the republicans are trying to respond by saying

00:11:20.940 well you guys did some bad stuff too

00:11:22.940 that's not very strong

00:11:24.940 so

00:11:26.940 i don't know

00:11:28.940 is that the best they have the great replacement theory

00:11:31.940 um

00:11:34.940 scott crog says

00:11:36.940 let's see how many people agree with scott crog

00:11:39.940 he says scott let's be honest

00:11:41.940 you were pushing the vacs pretty hard for about two months

00:11:44.940 all right

00:11:45.940 those of you who have watched me the entire time

00:11:46.940 how many of you agree with a stupid asshole scott crog

00:11:52.940 how many say i was pushing the vaccine pretty hard for two months

00:11:56.940 a hundred percent people who watch me every single day on locals are saying no

00:12:00.940 a hundred percent

00:12:02.940 a hundred percent scott

00:12:04.940 scott crog

00:12:06.940 so what the fuck were you looking at scott

00:12:08.940 because it wasn't me

00:12:10.940 you must have you must have confused me with assholes

00:12:12.940 assholes

00:12:13.940 because assholes are the people who won't say anything positive about the thing they're against

00:12:17.940 right

00:12:18.940 so scott you may be projecting

00:12:20.940 you may be projecting

00:12:21.940 yes

00:12:22.940 you're projecting

00:12:23.940 because you saw somebody reasonably saying

00:12:25.940 huh

00:12:26.940 you got this on this side

00:12:27.940 you got this on this side

00:12:28.940 and you saw that and you said

00:12:29.940 well he must be a fucking idiot

00:12:31.940 because he's looking at both sides

00:12:32.940 that's what you did

00:12:33.940 that's what you did scott

00:12:35.940 you look

00:12:36.940 you saw somebody looking at both sides

00:12:38.940 and you couldn't handle it

00:12:39.940 because you're a fucking idiot

00:12:42.940 so don't come here

00:12:44.940 and tell me what i'm thinking

00:12:45.940 when you don't know

00:12:46.940 and you don't understand anything about the topic

00:12:48.940 or how to talk about topics

00:12:50.940 so you don't

00:12:51.940 not only do you not understand about vaccines probably

00:12:54.940 probably

00:12:55.940 but you don't understand how people talk

00:12:57.940 you don't understand this thing a little bit of something doesn't tell you anything

00:13:00.940 you don't understand a fucking thing about the world scott

00:13:03.940 so go away

00:13:05.940 please leave the broadcast

00:13:06.940 all right

00:13:11.940 yes i didn't give any medical advice that i'm aware of

00:13:17.940 i saw the adam scrabble tweet today

00:13:20.940 and this is a two part story

00:13:23.940 the first part is

00:13:24.940 i saw an adam scrabble tweet

00:13:26.940 do you know the last time i saw him tweet

00:13:30.940 was

00:13:32.940 months ago

00:13:33.940 and then elon musk

00:13:36.940 informed us that if you tap that little star icon on the top of your app for twitter

00:13:41.940 you can get it to give you your

00:13:44.940 your tweets chronologically

00:13:46.940 just as they come in

00:13:48.940 instead of having the algorithm decide what you see

00:13:50.940 and as soon as i turned off the algorithm

00:13:52.940 what do you know what happened

00:13:54.940 oh there was an adam scrabble tweet

00:13:56.940 so for the first time

00:13:58.940 he wasn't blocked in months and months and months

00:14:01.940 so let me tell you what he said since i got to see him for the first time in months

00:14:05.940 thank you twitter algorithm

00:14:07.940 um

00:14:09.940 so russia's current account

00:14:11.940 is at a record high

00:14:13.940 meeting you know cash that they're getting in from exports

00:14:17.940 so from that one measure of russians

00:14:20.940 the russian economy

00:14:22.940 it's doing better than ever

00:14:24.940 i mean it's just one measurement within a larger economy

00:14:26.940 um

00:14:28.940 and then eurozone's plunged into a record deficit

00:14:31.940 so that's not good

00:14:33.940 do you believe anything that comes out of russia

00:14:36.940 because only russia would know what the current account for russia is right

00:14:39.940 or is that something that everybody has access to

00:14:43.940 to me it sounds like this is all a bunch of lies

00:14:47.940 um

00:14:49.940 let's talk about

00:14:51.940 putin dying

00:14:53.940 i saw a tweet which i tweeted

00:14:55.940 from somebody who

00:14:57.940 i'll give you his name

00:14:59.940 jack hopkins

00:15:01.940 i don't know who he is

00:15:03.940 he's a user on twitter

00:15:04.940 but he didn't look crazy

00:15:06.940 and uh...

00:15:07.940 and he said that he used to manage an oncology floor

00:15:10.940 so apparently he's spent years around people who were known to be dying of cancer

00:15:16.940 and he shows a picture of putin's face now all puffy looking

00:15:20.940 you know next to a picture of him from just two years ago

00:15:24.940 and he says i've seen this look a million times he's dying at some rate

00:15:28.940 basically as terminal something

00:15:30.940 probably cancer

00:15:32.940 do you buy that because somebody who managed an oncology floor

00:15:36.940 says i've seen this look a million times this is it

00:15:40.940 what do you think

00:15:42.940 do you believe

00:15:44.940 somebody says altered photos

00:15:46.940 well no all of putin's photos have that same puffy look lately

00:15:50.940 uh... you believe he believes that i guess

00:15:53.940 somebody says heart failure

00:15:55.940 does heart failure make you look puffy

00:15:56.940 um...

00:15:59.940 does

00:16:01.940 okay

00:16:03.940 and how about uh...

00:16:04.940 how about cancer and steroids right make you look puffy

00:16:07.940 or something

00:16:09.940 so

00:16:11.940 my take on putin from quite a while ago

00:16:15.940 was he looked like he was dying

00:16:17.940 do you remember when i was saying

00:16:19.940 how long ago was i saying that putin was dying

00:16:22.940 six months ago

00:16:24.940 can somebody give me a

00:16:26.940 when's the first time you heard me say it

00:16:28.940 five months ago

00:16:30.940 six months ago

00:16:32.940 or ish right

00:16:34.940 now when i said putin was dying six months ago

00:16:36.940 and you can tell because he just looks at it

00:16:38.940 where i said he was saying one or the other

00:16:41.940 um...

00:16:43.940 how many people agreed with me

00:16:46.940 if you wait longer

00:16:48.940 and i got mocked didn't i

00:16:50.940 didn't most people mock me

00:16:52.940 and my argument was

00:16:54.940 that people can identify illness

00:16:56.940 fairly well

00:16:58.940 and that just looking at them actually is better than you think

00:17:01.940 as a way of predicting heavy skills

00:17:03.940 that humans actually are pretty good at determining illness

00:17:06.940 just looking

00:17:08.940 you don't have to be a doctor or anything

00:17:10.940 um...

00:17:11.940 yeah norm mcdowell

00:17:13.940 yeah norm mcdowell puffed up

00:17:15.940 that's actually

00:17:17.940 i hate to say it but that was a good example wasn't it

00:17:19.940 um...

00:17:21.940 at first he said he thought he was on testosterone

00:17:27.940 well it looked like he was on something

00:17:30.940 looked like he was on something

00:17:33.940 so

00:17:35.940 um...

00:17:37.940 yeah

00:17:39.940 so anyway there's i think there's a big health problem there

00:17:41.940 and the rumors about a coup already starting

00:17:46.940 would make a little bit of sense

00:17:48.940 with the military

00:17:51.940 uh... situation

00:17:53.940 here's a way to understand why russia's military is not succeeding so well on the battlefield

00:18:00.940 you ready for this?

00:18:02.940 because they know that putin's a short timer

00:18:06.940 that could be why russia is not performing on the battlefield

00:18:09.940 because imagine that you are one of the leaders

00:18:12.940 and you know that at the end of this there's a really good chance you're going to be brought up on war crime charges

00:18:18.940 pretty good chance

00:18:20.940 how would you play it if you thought putin only had a week or two left in office

00:18:25.940 would you go balls to the wall and do every

00:18:29.940 you know military war crime that you possibly could

00:18:33.940 or would you slow walk it?

00:18:35.940 exactly

00:18:38.940 if you were a military leader and you saw that putin was not going to last

00:18:43.940 you would slow walk it

00:18:45.940 and it's hard to explain why the russian military is doing so poorly

00:18:48.940 you know we we do know that the ukrainians have american training

00:18:52.940 nato training

00:18:54.940 and uh... and great weapons

00:18:56.940 maybe that's enough

00:18:58.940 maybe they're just a really really good military

00:19:01.940 the ukrainians that's entirely possible

00:19:03.940 that could be the entire explanation

00:19:05.940 the other explanation

00:19:07.940 is that russia's military isn't exactly taking orders from putin the way they used to

00:19:13.940 the way they used to

00:19:15.940 is if i don't do this he's going to kill me

00:19:17.940 right?

00:19:19.940 if i don't uh... sacrifice a third of my troops

00:19:21.940 to take this town

00:19:23.940 i will personally be killed

00:19:25.940 i'll be jailed

00:19:26.940 so then you you sacrifice a third of your troops

00:19:29.940 because you got to do it

00:19:30.940 otherwise you die

00:19:32.940 but what happens if you think putin's not going to last?

00:19:35.940 do you sacrifice a third of your troops

00:19:38.940 or do you tell putin

00:19:40.940 uh... there's something stopping you from attacking

00:19:43.940 uh... yeah we're going to attack as soon as

00:19:46.940 we get those new supplies you're sending

00:19:49.940 oh the new supplies are the wrong kind

00:19:52.940 well as soon as

00:19:53.940 we get those new new supplies

00:19:56.940 we're totally going to attack that town

00:19:58.940 and take it even though a third of us will die

00:20:00.940 it feels like russia started slow walking the war

00:20:06.940 now remember that i told you this

00:20:08.940 and wait to see how long it takes

00:20:11.940 for it to be in the mainstream media

00:20:13.940 how long do you think it will take?

00:20:16.940 because nobody said this yet right?

00:20:18.940 i don't believe anybody has said

00:20:20.940 that the russian military is slowing down

00:20:21.940 because they also expect putin not to last

00:20:28.940 well i think you'll see it by the end of today

00:20:31.940 by the end of today

00:20:34.940 alright

00:20:36.940 um... would you like a movie recommendation?

00:20:39.940 since i've told you that all movies suck

00:20:41.940 and they don't make good ones anymore

00:20:43.940 i actually watched a movie

00:20:46.940 last night

00:20:47.940 on my ipad

00:20:49.940 it was a good movie

00:20:51.940 it's called uncharted

00:20:53.940 have you seen it?

00:20:55.940 and you know i won't give away the thing or anything

00:20:58.940 so who's the young actor who played spider-man recently?

00:21:03.940 um...

00:21:05.940 oh is that the coen brothers?

00:21:08.940 yeah holland

00:21:10.940 tom holland

00:21:12.940 so tom holland is really fit

00:21:14.940 i didn't realize he was cut pretty well

00:21:17.940 and he plays a guy

00:21:19.940 a normal guy

00:21:21.940 who is just really coordinated

00:21:23.940 just really really coordinated

00:21:25.940 and i love what they did with the action scenes

00:21:28.940 because just making an ordinary guy

00:21:30.940 just really coordinated

00:21:32.940 he just does lots of things that really coordinated people can do

00:21:35.940 and it's really fun to watch

00:21:37.940 and i you know i'm tired of movies

00:21:40.940 i'm tired of movies because

00:21:43.940 it's all the same movie

00:21:46.940 there's somebody tied to a chair

00:21:48.940 and tortured

00:21:50.940 there's a car chasing

00:21:52.940 blah blah blah blah

00:21:53.940 it's you know there's a one person

00:21:55.940 fights against 25

00:21:56.940 and beats them

00:21:57.940 it's all the same

00:21:58.940 but this movie actually found a way

00:22:01.940 to create

00:22:03.940 to create completely new action scenes in the air

00:22:06.940 that were pretty impressive

00:22:09.940 for a...

00:22:10.940 it was very creative

00:22:12.940 creative movie i liked it

00:22:14.940 but you have to

00:22:16.940 still have to fast forward through all the

00:22:18.940 scene setting scenes

00:22:20.940 you know

00:22:21.940 you know

00:22:22.940 when i when i come to a movie

00:22:23.940 if i'm watching it on my ipad

00:22:24.940 and i'm alone

00:22:26.940 and you get to the part where

00:22:28.940 two people are showing how much they love each other

00:22:31.940 like it might be you know

00:22:33.940 same sex and they're just best friends or something

00:22:35.940 but you get to see that

00:22:37.940 you know that really tender moments

00:22:39.940 when they show each other's love to each other

00:22:41.940 fast forward

00:22:43.940 i i don't really need to see

00:22:46.940 half a minute of these two characters

00:22:49.940 loving each other

00:22:50.940 i'm like

00:22:51.940 i got it

00:22:52.940 yeah two

00:22:53.940 those love each other

00:22:54.940 got it got it

00:22:55.940 move to the plot

00:22:56.940 i got it i got it

00:22:57.940 they love each other

00:22:58.940 i got it

00:22:59.940 i got that in five seconds

00:23:00.940 got it

00:23:01.940 move on

00:23:02.940 that's how i watch a movie now

00:23:04.940 every time the scene is

00:23:05.940 one that's going to be five minutes of really five seconds

00:23:08.940 fast forward

00:23:09.940 well here's another thing that i'm going to claim some rightness on

00:23:15.940 even though i was totally wrong about

00:23:17.940 ukraine being invaded by russia in the first place

00:23:21.940 so that one doesn't go away for my permanent record

00:23:23.940 however

00:23:24.940 uh...

00:23:25.940 nato secretary general jens stultenberg

00:23:29.940 i guess yesterday today

00:23:30.940 expressed hope that ukraine will prevail against russia

00:23:34.940 as moscow's military advance appears to be stalling

00:23:36.940 so

00:23:38.940 so

00:23:39.940 so now important people are saying out loud

00:23:42.940 that ukraine

00:23:43.940 looks like they have a good chance of just winning the war

00:23:47.940 just outright winning the war

00:23:49.940 um...

00:23:52.940 now

00:23:56.940 am i the rightest person in the world about this

00:24:00.940 can anybody give me the name of anybody listening who does this for a living

00:24:06.940 you know people who talk in the public domain

00:24:08.940 is there anybody you saw

00:24:10.940 anybody besides me

00:24:12.940 who said that ukraine would give them a fair fight

00:24:15.940 anybody?

00:24:16.940 but i'm sure there were a lot of individuals

00:24:20.940 but was there anybody willing to say it

00:24:22.940 i think i'm the only person who was dumb enough to say it in public

00:24:28.940 malcolm nance

00:24:30.940 but when did he say it?

00:24:33.940 bill barr on ben shapiro?

00:24:36.940 or are you just saying you like that show?

00:24:38.940 yeah i can't

00:24:40.940 i i think i i think i own that one

00:24:44.940 i believe

00:24:46.940 so we still don't know if ukraine will

00:24:48.940 well at this point let me ask you

00:24:50.940 at this point

00:24:52.940 would you say as of today

00:24:54.940 just forget any opinion you've ever had before

00:24:57.940 forget all of your prior opinions if you could

00:25:00.940 start today

00:25:02.940 is ukraine going to prevail in maintaining themselves as a

00:25:07.940 essentially the same country

00:25:08.940 yes or no

00:25:10.940 will ukraine prevail as of today

00:25:13.940 looking at your comments i'm seeing more yeses than nos

00:25:19.940 but less nos

00:25:21.940 and i think a no is a reasonable

00:25:23.940 you're still reasonable if you're saying no

00:25:25.940 i disagree with no

00:25:27.940 but you are not unreasonable with that opinion

00:25:30.940 yes without the east maybe

00:25:33.940 define prevail

00:25:36.940 prevail means that they're effectively still ukraine

00:25:39.940 but they may have lost some border territory or not

00:25:42.940 so whether or not they lose some border territory

00:25:45.940 that's not the question

00:25:47.940 the question is is it still ukraine?

00:25:49.940 essentially

00:25:51.940 it looks i think yes

00:25:53.940 i think they're going to stay a country it looks like

00:25:55.940 so

00:25:57.940 that's what's going on

00:25:58.940 let me see if there's any headline that i'll talk about

00:26:01.940 i'm not going to talk about this shooter

00:26:03.940 you don't mind do you

00:26:05.940 is there anything to say about

00:26:08.940 yet another mass shooter

00:26:10.940 i just don't

00:26:12.940 i don't feel that i should talk about it

00:26:14.940 so

00:26:16.940 with your permission

00:26:18.940 that's just not a story for me

00:26:20.940 i mean it's obviously a story but

00:26:21.940 we're not going to give any more attention

00:26:23.940 all right

00:26:24.940 oh

00:26:27.940 and everybody's going to be talking about free speech

00:26:30.940 now johnny depp is back

00:26:32.940 there was a video of johnny depp acting really mad and slamming cabinets and stuff

00:26:37.940 uh...

00:26:39.940 amber heard is testifying on the infamous defecation allegation

00:26:43.940 well i've got a feeling that we're going to see some bad stuff about

00:26:48.940 johnny depp come out

00:26:50.940 wouldn't you say

00:26:52.940 yes amber turned

00:26:54.940 it's going to have some bad stuff

00:26:56.940 so i don't think that either of them are

00:26:59.940 angels

00:27:01.940 but

00:27:03.940 the video that she showed the one i saw this morning

00:27:05.940 so amber turned took some

00:27:07.940 secret video

00:27:09.940 of johnny depp being all mad at something

00:27:11.940 and so the point of the video is to say

00:27:14.940 that he's like this angry guy who punches cabinets

00:27:16.940 and if he punches cabinets

00:27:18.940 and if he punches cabinets

00:27:20.940 well maybe he punches people

00:27:22.940 now

00:27:24.940 let me ask you

00:27:26.940 do you know anybody who violently destroys inanimate objects

00:27:30.940 but would never hurt a person

00:27:32.940 or an animal

00:27:34.940 do you know anybody like that?

00:27:35.940 anybody

00:27:37.940 anybody who has a track record of

00:27:39.940 destroying inanimate objects

00:27:41.940 yet interestingly has no history of hitting people

00:27:45.940 for any reason except self-defense

00:27:48.940 right?

00:27:50.940 that's not that unusual

00:27:52.940 it's not that unusual

00:27:54.940 it's not that unusual

00:27:56.940 but the video in which johnny depp was in their kitchen apparently

00:27:59.940 and slamming cabinets and i think he might have broken one

00:28:02.940 um

00:28:04.940 did you hear what he was saying

00:28:06.940 while he was doing that breaking of the cabinets

00:28:09.940 he was saying that something happened to him that morning

00:28:12.940 that did not happen to her

00:28:14.940 in other words she did something that morning pretty terrible

00:28:18.940 i think

00:28:20.940 or something terrible happened to him that had nothing to do with her

00:28:23.940 that's possible too

00:28:25.940 but it looked like she had done something so horrible

00:28:27.940 that he was in that mood

00:28:30.940 and it was something she caused

00:28:32.940 and we didn't hear what the horrible thing was

00:28:34.940 but i think we will

00:28:36.940 we might

00:28:38.940 alright

00:28:40.940 um

00:28:42.940 so

00:28:44.940 this baby formula thing

00:28:45.940 is it true that we can't ship in baby formula from other countries

00:28:51.940 because of some

00:28:53.940 regulation

00:28:55.940 is that actually happening?

00:28:57.940 because

00:28:58.940 correct me if i'm wrong

00:29:00.940 if we were to ship in formula from other countries we'd have enough

00:29:02.940 because it's not like

00:29:04.940 every other country has a shortage

00:29:06.940 it's sort of an American shortage

00:29:08.940 because of our companies that make it

00:29:10.940 so

00:29:12.940 uh

00:29:14.940 FDA regulations

00:29:17.940 yeah it's a labeling law

00:29:19.940 boy you know how long would it take Trump to sign an executive order to make that go away

00:29:24.940 ten seconds

00:29:26.940 now the trouble is

00:29:28.940 well actually if you made that go away

00:29:30.940 you'd probably end up killing a bunch of babies

00:29:32.940 yeah this is a tough one actually

00:29:33.940 because it's not that the FDA does nothing

00:29:36.940 but i feel like you'd be safe if they just tested it

00:29:40.940 you know

00:29:42.940 tested a couple of the bigger brands and said okay don't send everything

00:29:45.940 but it's okay these specific brands we took a weekend to look at them

00:29:49.940 i feel like they could do that

00:29:51.940 right

00:29:53.940 they can't do a study in a weekend

00:29:54.940 but they could look to see if there's anything in it that looks like a contaminant

00:29:58.940 i think they could do that

00:30:00.940 preferably shipped from the EU and not China

00:30:03.940 yeah except the EU probably got it from China

00:30:05.940 alright

00:30:07.940 a reporter finds that critical race theory ideas in 39 of the top 50 medical schools

00:30:12.940 okay

00:30:13.940 there's a fentanyl awareness group

00:30:19.940 I'm looking at the Fox News website in case you're wondering where this is coming from

00:30:23.940 there's a fentanyl awareness group that's asking Biden to track

00:30:27.940 overdose deaths

00:30:29.940 which is weird because I thought we already do that

00:30:32.940 because I always talk about that number

00:30:35.940 do we make that up?

00:30:37.940 we don't track it?

00:30:38.940 oh

00:30:43.940 so they won't have counted the same way

00:30:46.940 alright I'm totally in favor of this

00:30:48.940 let me get my full throated support

00:30:52.940 literally yesterday

00:30:54.940 I was writing my book that I'm here trying to write

00:30:58.940 and one of the things I was writing is that if you

00:31:01.940 and I've said this many times

00:31:03.940 if you're not tracking it you're not managing it

00:31:05.940 is that right?

00:31:06.940 if you're not measuring it you're not managing it

00:31:10.940 because you wouldn't know if you did X or if you did Y

00:31:13.940 if you changed the thing you're trying to change

00:31:16.940 because you're not measuring it

00:31:18.940 if you didn't know why anything was changing

00:31:20.940 you wouldn't know if the thing you're doing is making a difference

00:31:22.940 so

00:31:24.940 a good general rule is if you can't measure it or you're not measuring it

00:31:28.940 you're not managing it

00:31:30.940 so if this group is asking for fentanyl to be reported and measured the same way

00:31:34.940 and measured the same way

00:31:36.940 that's a smart idea

00:31:38.940 because what is it that is so frustrating about the fentanyl question

00:31:43.940 other than the obvious

00:31:45.940 what's frustrating is it doesn't look like the government's doing something

00:31:49.940 does it?

00:31:51.940 and by the way I said the same thing about Trump

00:31:53.940 Trump talked about it and he asked China to do something

00:31:56.940 but nothing happened, literally nothing

00:31:58.940 so you know we're not securing the border

00:32:02.940 we're not making China do anything differently

00:32:04.940 nothing, there's literally nothing being done

00:32:07.940 so that's an unmanaged problem

00:32:10.940 are you surprised that something is not being managed

00:32:13.940 when it's not being measured and reported in the way that important things are

00:32:17.940 now was the pandemic unmanaged?

00:32:19.940 no it was not

00:32:22.940 because we reported the piss out of it, didn't we?

00:32:25.940 and the more you reported it the more the

00:32:28.940 more the government had to only work on that

00:32:31.940 because that's what was getting reported

00:32:33.940 so in many ways the media

00:32:36.940 has to take some responsibility here

00:32:39.940 because if the media had treated fentanyl the way it treats COVID

00:32:43.940 we'd probably be measuring it and managing it by now

00:32:47.940 but you know the press treats it as a

00:32:51.940 you know another thing that's like all the other things

00:32:53.940 it's like well more people died from this fentanyl thing

00:32:57.940 it's no real story, it's just more people dying

00:33:00.940 and more isn't a story

00:33:02.940 the story is usually something different happening

00:33:05.940 not just more of the same

00:33:07.940 it feels like I'm on a boat, yeah

00:33:09.940 I'm right by the ocean

00:33:14.940 so yes, let me say without knowing anything about this story

00:33:18.940 that if we're not reporting fentanyl deaths on the front page of Fox News and CNN

00:33:24.940 we're probably not managing it

00:33:27.940 oh this is the coolest thing

00:33:30.940 somebody asked me what's on my wrist

00:33:32.940 so it's been a while since I vacationed

00:33:35.940 at least in America

00:33:36.940 and

00:33:39.940 this is the greatest innovation for being at a hotel

00:33:43.940 so this opens my door

00:33:45.940 and it's waterproof

00:33:47.940 so I can swim with it

00:33:49.940 now, do you know how much pain in the ass I've had

00:33:53.940 trying to keep my little door opening card?

00:33:57.940 it's the worst thing

00:33:59.940 I'm always losing it

00:34:01.940 I probably demagnetized one of those door opening hotel cards

00:34:03.940 one out of three times that I travel

00:34:08.940 I probably put it in the wrong pocket with my phone and demagnetized it

00:34:12.940 probably one out of three times

00:34:14.940 and then you get to your room and you can't...

00:34:16.940 it's just the most annoying thing about a hotel

00:34:19.940 is the stupid room card

00:34:21.940 done!

00:34:22.940 in fact it's so

00:34:24.940 it's so unobtrusive that I didn't realize I still had it on

00:34:27.940 I slept with it

00:34:29.940 evidently

00:34:31.940 it's great

00:34:33.940 let's see what CNN is saying

00:34:36.940 in case there's anything interesting

00:34:38.940 I doubt it

00:34:39.940 so

00:34:42.940 yeah the shooter plans to shoot more people

00:34:44.940 blah blah blah

00:34:45.940 Sweden and NATO getting in

00:34:47.940 I'm sorry, Sweden and Finland getting into NATO

00:34:50.940 but it doesn't look like

00:34:53.940 you know that alone is going to bother Russia

00:34:56.940 alright

00:34:58.940 let me tell you the funniest exchange I had on Twitter today

00:35:03.940 and it was regarding Tucker Carlson

00:35:08.940 so there was a user called Savin Khaticha

00:35:12.940 and

00:35:14.940 he was saying that Tucker Carlson spits out conspiracy theories

00:35:20.940 and so I responded to him saying that Tucker Carlson spits out conspiracy theories

00:35:26.940 I mentioned this

00:35:28.940 I said is it more than CNN

00:35:29.940 so I just wondered what his baseline was

00:35:33.940 if he's complaining about Tucker Carlson creating these conspiracy theories

00:35:40.940 does he think that CNN doesn't do it?

00:35:43.940 and so he responded

00:35:45.940 what has CNN done that has encouraged bigotry and or mass shooters?

00:35:53.940 were they too careful regarding COVID? he asked

00:35:56.940 is that worse than bigotry?

00:35:57.940 so yes, that's a good question

00:36:00.940 what has CNN done that has encouraged bigotry and or mass shootings?

00:36:05.940 what have they done?

00:36:07.940 well, there was the fine people hoax

00:36:11.940 there was the drinking bleach hoax

00:36:14.940 there was the Russia collusion hoax

00:36:16.940 there was the Covington kid hoax

00:36:18.940 there was the Russians paying bounties on American soldiers hoaxes

00:36:22.940 there was a Kyle Rittenhouse hoax

00:36:25.940 there was a Kyle Rittenhouse hoax that we

00:36:27.940 should go on

00:36:29.940 should I go on?

00:36:30.940 should I go on Covington kids?

00:36:32.940 yes, yes

00:36:35.940 and so

00:36:37.940 now not all those would of course encourage a mass shooting

00:36:41.940 a mass shooting

00:36:42.940 but likewise

00:36:43.940 not everything that

00:36:45.940 that Fox News says

00:36:46.940 would encourage any mass shootings

00:36:49.940 now

00:36:51.940 what exactly did Tucker Carlson say

00:36:54.940 allegedly

00:36:55.940 that encourage a mass shooting?

00:36:57.940 can anybody give me say

00:37:00.940 a quote

00:37:02.940 some kind of indication

00:37:04.940 that Tucker Carlson would be in favor of mass shootings

00:37:09.940 or even accidentally said something that would encourage it

00:37:13.940 can somebody give me an example of that?

00:37:15.940 because there's no fucking example of that

00:37:18.940 there's no example of that

00:37:20.940 no, he has a strong opinion about

00:37:22.940 about

00:37:24.940 you know, America first

00:37:26.940 and you can hate that or you can love it

00:37:28.940 but it's completely transparent

00:37:30.940 he's not hiding anything

00:37:32.940 there's no go shoot anybody in math

00:37:35.940 that's just a perfectly

00:37:37.940 you know, I'd say typical

00:37:40.940 I'm not going to say I agree with it or disagree with it

00:37:42.940 it's just a typical opinion

00:37:44.940 and

00:37:46.940 none of that should cause anybody

00:37:48.940 to shoot anybody

00:37:49.940 so

00:37:53.940 and I thought it was fascinating that

00:37:55.940 somebody who at this point

00:37:57.940 would not know that CNN is primarily a

00:37:59.940 a hoax generating entity

00:38:01.940 how would you not know that?

00:38:03.940 oh no, JetBlue is launching a hostile takeover

00:38:07.940 for Spirit Air

00:38:09.940 uh

00:38:11.940 so

00:38:13.940 that's interesting

00:38:15.940 I always thought that Spirit was a bad name for an airline

00:38:17.940 because the thing that people are afraid of with airlines is crashes

00:38:22.940 and you know

00:38:24.940 and basically you turn from a corporeal being into a spirit

00:38:28.940 and I'm not sure that was the best branding

00:38:31.940 um

00:38:33.940 let's say

00:38:36.940 there have been 201 mass shootings in 2022

00:38:39.940 so

00:38:42.940 uh

00:38:44.940 do you call it a mass shooting if it's a

00:38:47.940 like a drive-by

00:38:49.940 spraying of a crowd

00:38:51.940 that's a mass shooting, right?

00:38:53.940 how many of the 200

00:38:55.940 how many of the 200 were

00:38:57.940 uh

00:38:59.940 of the mass shootings were caused by white supremacists

00:39:01.940 what do you think?

00:39:03.940 um

00:39:05.940 it took CNN anchors over three minutes to list all the U.S. cities that had mass shootings this year

00:39:10.940 and

00:39:12.940 uh

00:39:14.940 but since all the news is about this white supremacist guy allegedly

00:39:17.940 um

00:39:19.940 shouldn't we know of the 200 mass shootings

00:39:22.940 how many of them were white supremacists?

00:39:25.940 they don't count gang shootings?

00:39:28.940 um

00:39:31.940 Scott Ritter on YouTube

00:39:35.940 yeah I've checked out Scott Ritter on YouTube

00:39:37.940 I don't think anybody knows what's happening there

00:39:42.940 they count gangs down

00:39:45.940 yeah

00:39:47.940 inflation's fixed

00:39:50.940 uh

00:39:51.940 there's not much to talk about with inflation

00:39:53.940 because there's just more of it

00:39:55.940 um

00:39:57.940 the thing

00:39:59.940 here's the thing that

00:40:01.940 makes me crazy about

00:40:03.940 what's happening right now

00:40:05.940 so we've had this long

00:40:07.940 debate about socialism versus capitalism

00:40:09.940 in this country, right?

00:40:11.940 is it my

00:40:13.940 imagination

00:40:15.940 or is the effect of everything that's happening

00:40:18.940 more socialism?

00:40:19.940 that's

00:40:20.940 that's the net effect, right?

00:40:22.940 because

00:40:24.940 inflation

00:40:26.940 should

00:40:27.940 is basically

00:40:29.940 taking my

00:40:30.940 my wealth down by a third

00:40:32.940 maybe

00:40:33.940 what would you say?

00:40:34.940 so I'd say that

00:40:36.940 poor people are still poor

00:40:38.940 right?

00:40:40.940 so if you don't have much income

00:40:42.940 there's not much lower you can go

00:40:44.940 you're scraping by

00:40:45.940 but if you're rich

00:40:46.940 your

00:40:47.940 your wealth may have gone down by a third or a half

00:40:50.940 depending on what business you're in

00:40:52.940 and that should vastly

00:40:54.940 you know

00:40:55.940 close the gap

00:40:57.940 so if you raise taxes

00:40:58.940 on the rich

00:41:00.940 you close the gap

00:41:01.940 gets you closer to socialism a little bit

00:41:03.940 um

00:41:05.940 if you increase inflation

00:41:07.940 who

00:41:08.940 who gets inflation hit the most?

00:41:11.940 it's two different answers

00:41:12.940 who it hurts the most is the poor

00:41:15.940 right?

00:41:16.940 no doubt about that

00:41:17.940 the pain is at the poor

00:41:19.940 but in terms of

00:41:21.940 where the money disappears

00:41:23.940 more money disappears

00:41:24.940 where there's more money

00:41:26.940 so the wealthy

00:41:28.940 would shrink by a third

00:41:30.940 the poor would have more pain

00:41:32.940 but there's not

00:41:33.940 there's nothing there to shrink

00:41:34.940 it's hardly any money

00:41:36.940 so

00:41:37.940 in a weird way

00:41:38.940 it seems like

00:41:39.940 everything we're doing

00:41:40.940 has this

00:41:42.940 similar

00:41:43.940 follow the money effect

00:41:45.940 that it's a way to

00:41:47.940 keep the poor fed

00:41:49.940 and make them more dependent on the government

00:41:51.940 giving them direct

00:41:53.940 direct money

00:41:55.940 so basically the pandemic was

00:41:57.940 a bunch of money taken from rich people

00:41:58.940 and given to poor people

00:42:00.940 which I favored

00:42:02.940 because you know

00:42:03.940 you have to keep everybody alive

00:42:04.940 you know

00:42:06.940 maybe the way we did it

00:42:07.940 could have been a lot better

00:42:08.940 I'm sure that's true

00:42:10.940 but I don't object to the fact

00:42:12.940 that rich people were tapped

00:42:14.940 to give a little extra money

00:42:16.940 to keep people alive in this country

00:42:18.940 nobody's going to complain about that

00:42:20.940 now when I say rich people were tapped

00:42:23.940 that's not exactly what happened

00:42:25.940 because we just you know

00:42:26.940 created money out of nothing and spent it

00:42:28.940 but who pays for the

00:42:29.940 who pays for the inflation

00:42:31.940 who pays for the higher taxes

00:42:32.940 who pays the deficit down

00:42:35.940 it's people who have money

00:42:37.940 poor people don't pay anything

00:42:39.940 I mean relatively speaking

00:42:41.940 so rich people are going to shoulder the burden

00:42:44.940 of all the inflation

00:42:46.940 let's say 95%

00:42:48.940 and all the higher taxes 95%

00:42:51.940 etc.

00:42:53.940 now I'm not complaining

00:42:55.940 I'm explaining

00:42:57.940 I'm explaining

00:42:58.940 that it appears that the Biden administration

00:43:00.940 has found a stealthy way

00:43:02.940 to turn us into a socialist country

00:43:04.940 that's what it looks like

00:43:06.940 Scott

00:43:09.940 more poor are being created by inflation

00:43:12.940 yes

00:43:14.940 yes

00:43:15.940 so I'm not saying that more poor people aren't created

00:43:17.940 I'm saying just

00:43:18.940 again this is just a math question

00:43:20.940 it's not even an opinion

00:43:21.940 it's just math

00:43:23.940 that the rich people have the money

00:43:24.940 so if somebody's going to pay taxes

00:43:27.940 it's got to be from them

00:43:29.940 right

00:43:30.940 that's where the money comes from

00:43:32.940 so again

00:43:34.940 I'm not saying it's good or bad

00:43:36.940 or anything

00:43:37.940 it's just what's happening

00:43:39.940 and it's funny that we don't talk about it that way

00:43:41.940 you would expect that at least Fox News would be saying

00:43:44.940 that we turned into a socialist country

00:43:47.940 because

00:43:49.940 or at least more of one

00:43:50.940 a lot of socialism

00:43:58.940 over where we want to be

00:44:00.940 somebody says I have my car

00:44:01.940 my stocks

00:44:02.940 my golf membership

00:44:03.940 none of this affected me

00:44:04.940 what do you mean you have stocks

00:44:06.940 and you're affected by the market downturn

00:44:09.940 I think you mean you're holding your stocks

00:44:11.940 which would be actually

00:44:13.940 that would be a good

00:44:15.940 good opinion

00:44:16.940 so

00:44:18.940 I haven't looked at my stocks

00:44:20.940 my

00:44:21.940 normally I would look at my portfolio everyday

00:44:23.940 but I've literally not opened the app

00:44:26.940 I have no idea what my net worth is

00:44:28.940 I don't know what

00:44:29.940 I don't know

00:44:31.940 and I'm not going to look

00:44:33.940 I'm not going to look until the headlines say something like

00:44:36.940 the stocks are starting to reach their old highs

00:44:40.940 then I'll start looking again

00:44:43.940 because if the

00:44:46.940 the practice of investing

00:44:49.940 here's a little tip for you

00:44:51.940 I don't think you've ever heard it in quite these terms

00:44:54.940 most of you if you studied economics maybe you did

00:44:57.940 but the act of investing

00:45:00.940 is primarily about managing your own psychology

00:45:04.940 you got that

00:45:06.940 it's a little bit about knowing what to invest in

00:45:09.940 but that's not hard

00:45:11.940 because you can just put it in an index fund

00:45:14.940 and be done and just walk away

00:45:16.940 so it's not hard to know what to invest in

00:45:18.940 just diversify

00:45:20.940 get a low cost

00:45:22.940 you know fund that tracks

00:45:24.940 you know big basket of stocks

00:45:26.940 and that's it

00:45:27.940 so knowing what to buy is easy

00:45:29.940 knowing when to buy it

00:45:30.940 is hard

00:45:32.940 knowing when to sell it

00:45:34.940 or if to sell it

00:45:35.940 is hard

00:45:36.940 because those are questions of psychology

00:45:38.940 so investment

00:45:40.940 is not about knowing what to invest in

00:45:42.940 that's easy

00:45:44.940 unless you're dumb and you're trying to

00:45:46.940 you know guess on certain companies

00:45:47.940 that's gambling

00:45:49.940 so gambling is hard

00:45:51.940 if you're trying to pick individual companies

00:45:52.940 that will win that's gambling

00:45:54.940 so that's hard

00:45:56.940 but it's easy to invest

00:45:57.940 just put it in an index fund

00:45:59.940 and walk away

00:46:01.940 so how do you manage your psychology

00:46:04.940 the number one way you do it

00:46:06.940 is by not looking at it

00:46:08.940 it took me 50 years to be able to do this

00:46:12.940 or 40 years or something

00:46:14.940 I probably couldn't do that

00:46:16.940 for about 40 years

00:46:18.940 but now I can

00:46:20.940 like I finally finally learned to not look at it

00:46:23.940 because if you look at it you know what you're going to think

00:46:25.940 oh shit

00:46:27.940 I'd better be selling this thing right away

00:46:30.940 before it all disappears

00:46:32.940 now if you made terrible investments

00:46:35.940 maybe that's true

00:46:37.940 but if you have an index fund

00:46:39.940 or a broad basket of stocks

00:46:41.940 I don't know

00:46:43.940 the only way to measure your own animal instincts

00:46:46.940 is to not look at it

00:46:48.940 and you should also be thinking in terms of the five year

00:46:53.940 um

00:46:55.940 the five year horizon

00:46:57.940 I saw a tweet by Nival

00:46:59.940 recently

00:47:01.940 he said that

00:47:03.940 something like

00:47:05.940 dear God let me

00:47:07.940 let me have one more bubble

00:47:09.940 because if you get one more good bubble

00:47:11.940 you know sort of ride it to what you think is the top

00:47:13.940 and then sell everything

00:47:15.940 you know maybe that's your best exit strategy for retiring

00:47:18.940 give me one more bubble

00:47:20.940 I just want one more bubble

00:47:22.940 and then I'll put it all in cash

00:47:24.940 or put it in my mattress or something

00:47:26.940 yeah and

00:47:28.940 to state the obvious

00:47:30.940 somebody very rude

00:47:32.940 in the comments said I could be dead in five years

00:47:35.940 that's

00:47:37.940 yeah

00:47:38.940 yeah

00:47:39.940 so in five years

00:47:40.940 I will be almost

00:47:41.940 sadly

00:47:43.940 so yeah

00:47:44.940 I could easily be dead in five years

00:47:46.940 um

00:47:48.940 oh

00:47:50.940 alright

00:47:51.940 I just remembered something

00:47:53.940 so I'm going to take a

00:47:55.940 point of

00:47:57.940 point of privilege

00:47:59.940 is that what they call it?

00:48:00.940 point of personal privilege

00:48:02.940 I'm going to

00:48:03.940 I'm going to tell you something

00:48:05.940 that's not for your benefit

00:48:06.940 I won't hurt you

00:48:07.940 but

00:48:08.940 like usually I'm

00:48:10.940 presenting for

00:48:11.940 you know what I imagine you would like to hear

00:48:13.940 I'm going to give you one thing that's purely selfish

00:48:16.940 the

00:48:17.940 the man who

00:48:18.940 came up with the name Dilbert

00:48:20.940 for my comic strip

00:48:21.940 which wasn't me by the way

00:48:23.940 it was suggested by my ex-boss and coworker

00:48:26.940 he passed away in February

00:48:28.940 his name is Michael Goodwin

00:48:30.940 I'd like you to hear his name

00:48:32.940 and he was the person who came into my cubicle that day

00:48:34.940 and saw my drawing of this character who became Dilbert

00:48:38.940 on my whiteboard

00:48:40.940 and I'd ask people to suggest names

00:48:42.940 and he picked up my whiteboard marker

00:48:45.940 took the cover off

00:48:47.940 and he wrote Dilbert

00:48:49.940 on the board

00:48:51.940 and I've told this story before

00:48:53.940 that when he wrote that word on the board

00:48:56.940 next to the character

00:48:57.940 I felt myself go down a tunnel

00:49:00.940 to the future

00:49:03.940 and I could see that that was his actual name in the future

00:49:07.940 it wasn't like coming up with a name

00:49:09.940 it didn't feel like assigning a name

00:49:11.940 it didn't feel like picking a name

00:49:13.940 it felt like

00:49:15.940 it's not just Buffalo

00:49:17.940 just hours after that horror

00:49:19.940 Americans experienced at least two more mass shootings

00:49:21.940 in two other cities

00:49:23.940 so far this

00:49:25.940 what it felt like

00:49:27.940 was I literally went to the future

00:49:29.940 and saw Dilbert as a huge success

00:49:31.940 now I could tell you this a thousand times

00:49:34.940 and you're not going to believe that I actually had that experience

00:49:36.940 I swear to it

00:49:38.940 I swear on everything holy

00:49:40.940 my dog

00:49:41.940 anything you want

00:49:43.940 I actually saw the future

00:49:45.940 now not literally

00:49:47.940 I don't mean I actually time travel

00:49:49.940 I mean that I saw clearly

00:49:51.940 that this character would succeed in the future

00:49:54.940 the name was Dilbert

00:49:56.940 it would always be Dilbert

00:49:58.940 and I was done

00:50:00.940 from that moment on

00:50:02.940 I never once imagined it wouldn't work

00:50:05.940 and the odds were something like 10,000 to 1

00:50:09.940 so the odds were 10,000 to 1 roughly

00:50:11.940 that's actually a real number

00:50:13.940 of succeeding

00:50:15.940 you know in this business

00:50:17.940 and

00:50:19.940 that's right

00:50:21.940 well I'm not sure that wanting and deciding

00:50:24.940 works in the case of cartooning

00:50:26.940 because other people have to make decisions

00:50:28.940 so other people have to say we like it

00:50:30.940 and we'll put it somewhere

00:50:32.940 so I don't have full control of that

00:50:34.940 so the wanting versus deciding thing

00:50:36.940 works when you do have the full control

00:50:38.940 right

00:50:40.940 so you can decide for example

00:50:42.940 to build yourself up to enter a

00:50:44.940 weightlifting contest

00:50:46.940 and you know you just push hard enough

00:50:48.940 and you could probably make that happen

00:50:50.940 but with cartooning you really have to depend on luck

00:50:53.940 and that there was somebody out there who would

00:50:55.940 support you who liked what you're doing

00:50:57.940 and that part you can't control

00:50:58.940 I wonder if there are any other Dilberts

00:51:02.940 there are

00:51:04.940 there are people named Dilbert

00:51:06.940 and

00:51:08.940 Dilbert ground loop was an aviator cartoon

00:51:11.940 it wasn't called Dilbert ground loop was it

00:51:14.940 I think it was just called Dilbert

00:51:16.940 and there in the Navy there's a thing called the Dilbert dunker

00:51:19.940 has anybody heard of that?

00:51:21.940 the Dilbert dunker

00:51:23.940 it's been around since at least World War II

00:51:26.940 and the idea was that Navy aviators would have a risk of you know

00:51:32.940 crashing and being underwater in their plane

00:51:34.940 and the pilots would have to figure out how to get out of their cockpit

00:51:38.940 while they're submerged in water

00:51:40.940 and they created something to test it

00:51:43.940 it was called the Dilbert dunker

00:51:45.940 and the reason it was a Dilbert dunker

00:51:47.940 is that Dilbert was a cartoon

00:51:48.940 that was done by the military

00:51:51.940 somebody in the military

00:51:53.940 Osborn I think was his name

00:51:55.940 the author

00:51:56.940 and he had a little character named Dilbert

00:51:58.940 and Dilbert did all the wrong things

00:52:00.940 that an aviator should not do

00:52:02.940 right so he made all the mistakes

00:52:04.940 and that's how they taught people not to make those mistakes

00:52:06.940 now when my boss suggested the name

00:52:09.940 he did not remember at the time that he had seen it before

00:52:12.940 as a comic

00:52:14.940 the worst possible situation I could be in

00:52:16.940 because I had already submitted it

00:52:19.940 you know it had been accepted as a syndicated comic

00:52:22.940 and then only then

00:52:24.940 did he sheepishly come in and tell me

00:52:27.940 he knows where the name came from in his own mind

00:52:29.940 because years ago he'd seen in his father's old trunk

00:52:34.940 of things from

00:52:36.940 his father died in World War II

00:52:38.940 a trunk of materials from

00:52:40.940 he saw like the actual Dilbert comic

00:52:42.940 and he realized he must have seen it before

00:52:43.940 from that moment on I said to myself

00:52:47.940 oh no

00:52:49.940 oh no

00:52:51.940 I'm going to get sued

00:52:53.940 because I'm using the same name and it's a comic

00:52:56.940 if it had been the name of a diner

00:52:58.940 like a Dilbert diner

00:53:00.940 that would have been okay

00:53:02.940 a different business

00:53:04.940 but it was also a comic

00:53:06.940 so for years

00:53:08.940 I would worry

00:53:09.940 that somebody was going to come after me

00:53:10.940 because it was too late to change it

00:53:12.940 but it didn't happen

00:53:14.940 and it never did

00:53:16.940 and I finally figured out after 30 years

00:53:18.940 I figured out why

00:53:20.940 do you know why

00:53:22.940 the original cartoonist

00:53:24.940 who created Dilbert or his family

00:53:26.940 do you know why they never even

00:53:28.940 never even contacted me?

00:53:30.940 ever

00:53:31.940 somebody says copyright expired

00:53:33.940 somebody said trademark was dead

00:53:35.940 yeah

00:53:37.940 so you got it

00:53:39.940 it was a government cartoon

00:53:41.940 I already owned it

00:53:43.940 so did you

00:53:45.940 if you're an American you owned that cartoon

00:53:47.940 nobody owned it

00:53:49.940 because it was government property basically

00:53:51.940 so there was nobody

00:53:53.940 he made it under contract for the military

00:53:56.940 I already owned it

00:53:58.940 so did you

00:53:59.940 so apparently it was no risk at all

00:54:00.940 and then never came back to the party

00:54:03.940 but I would like to tell you one more

00:54:05.940 story maybe more

00:54:07.940 from the life of Michael J. Goodwin

00:54:09.940 two

00:54:11.940 I'm going to give you two stories

00:54:13.940 number one

00:54:14.940 Michael J. Goodwin taught me politics

00:54:16.940 he taught me the only coherent political opinion

00:54:20.940 I've ever heard

00:54:22.940 because he used to vote

00:54:24.940 even in all the local elections

00:54:26.940 he'd vote in all the elections

00:54:27.940 very Republican

00:54:28.940 and I used to ask him

00:54:29.940 why do you bother doing that

00:54:31.940 do you even know what the issues are

00:54:33.940 and he said no

00:54:37.940 do you read all the ballot initiatives

00:54:40.940 do you really know the ins and outs

00:54:41.940 and why it's a good idea

00:54:42.940 and he said no

00:54:44.940 and I said but you vote

00:54:46.940 he goes yes

00:54:47.940 I go how the hell do you vote

00:54:49.940 in any rational way without knowing

00:54:51.940 what all of these things do

00:54:52.940 and then he told me the smartest thing I've ever heard in politics

00:54:57.940 he said I vote against everything that raises my taxes

00:55:01.940 or cost money

00:55:03.940 because they already have enough money

00:55:05.940 and I heard that and said well that's ridiculous

00:55:09.940 that's so crazy

00:55:11.940 god

00:55:13.940 damn it

00:55:15.940 that's the best political opinion I've ever heard

00:55:18.940 I've never heard a better political opinion

00:55:22.940 and he implemented it

00:55:24.940 like he would actually go vote

00:55:26.940 and he would just say alright raises taxes

00:55:28.940 no doesn't raise taxes

00:55:30.940 just a statement

00:55:32.940 okay yes

00:55:34.940 that's it

00:55:36.940 actually I don't know if he voted for anything

00:55:37.940 I think he just voted against anything that costs money

00:55:39.940 and now you could argue

00:55:41.940 that hey there's exceptions

00:55:43.940 there are things you really need money for

00:55:45.940 to which he would say

00:55:47.940 sure just use the money you have

00:55:49.940 I'll bet you got something you can save some money on

00:55:51.940 because he thought the government should operate just like you do

00:55:55.940 if you don't have enough money for the new thing

00:55:58.940 you have to spend less money on the old thing

00:56:00.940 that's it

00:56:02.940 just like every company

00:56:03.940 every household

00:56:05.940 everybody else in the world makes do with what they have

00:56:06.940 they don't just say

00:56:08.940 give me some more investment money

00:56:10.940 they just make do

00:56:12.940 so that was his philosophy

00:56:14.940 I don't know if it was a good one or a bad one

00:56:17.940 but it's the cleanest one I've ever heard of

00:56:19.940 now let me I'm going to close on my favorite Michael J. Goodwin

00:56:23.940 story

00:56:25.940 he was working with me

00:56:28.940 when I worked in a laboratory

00:56:30.940 and part we were always connecting different equipment with cables

00:56:33.940 to see if this equipment works with this equipment

00:56:37.940 you know do the protocols work etc

00:56:39.940 and so mostly we're just testing different configurations of equipment

00:56:43.940 and that required tools

00:56:45.940 so we have a little tool drawer

00:56:47.940 that would be the screwdrivers and stuff that we use for connecting equipment

00:56:51.940 but there was a discussion in the lab

00:56:53.940 there were just a handful of us who worked there

00:56:55.940 about whether that drawer should be used for the tools

00:56:59.940 or the screwdrivers mostly the screwdrivers

00:57:02.940 or the snacks

00:57:04.940 because we also kept some snacks in there

00:57:07.940 and so we're like hey that drawer should be the tool drawer or the snacks

00:57:10.940 and so I thought I was pretty funny

00:57:13.940 and I said well this question boils down to this

00:57:16.940 would you rather screw or eat?

00:57:19.940 and I thought okay that's pretty funny right

00:57:23.940 screwdrivers versus snacks

00:57:24.940 would you rather screw or eat?

00:57:27.940 and I thought I'd nailed it

00:57:29.940 I thought I'd like to drop the mic

00:57:31.940 it's like would you rather screw or eat?

00:57:33.940 drop the mic, walk away

00:57:35.940 and then Michael Goodwin

00:57:37.940 said the funniest thing I've ever heard

00:57:40.940 after I said would you rather screw than eat?

00:57:43.940 he sat there and he said

00:57:45.940 depends how hungry I am

00:57:48.940 and with that one sentence

00:57:50.940 and with that one sentence

00:57:52.940 Michael Goodwin

00:57:54.940 described all of human nature

00:57:57.940 there was nothing left

00:57:59.940 there was no corner left unexplored

00:58:03.940 there was no phenomenon left to be understood

00:58:10.940 Michael J. Goodwin

00:58:12.940 magnificent bastard

00:58:14.940 had described all of human nature

00:58:17.940 with one sentence

00:58:19.940 depends how hungry I am

00:58:23.940 so this man

00:58:25.940 not only

00:58:26.940 gave us the name for Dilbert

00:58:28.940 which I believe changed the world

00:58:30.940 I did

00:58:32.940 because if Dilbert didn't have that name

00:58:34.940 I'm not even sure if it would have worked

00:58:36.940 honestly

00:58:38.940 there's something about the name that gave it

00:58:40.940 weight

00:58:42.940 am I right?

00:58:44.940 could you imagine the Dilbert comic with any other name?

00:58:46.940 it's hard to do isn't it?

00:58:47.940 there's something about that name that makes it work

00:58:50.940 it is

00:58:52.940 now because of that

00:58:54.940 that allowed me to have some

00:58:56.940 exposure

00:58:58.940 it allowed me to talk about politics

00:59:01.940 you saw with your own eyes

00:59:04.940 if you've been watching

00:59:06.940 that I got some things done

00:59:08.940 for example during the pandemic

00:59:11.940 I recommended an executive order to drop the

00:59:14.940 doctors couldn't make a phone call to help you across the state border

00:59:18.940 which was dumb

00:59:20.940 and so I recommended that during the pandemic

00:59:23.940 and the president at the time

00:59:25.940 signed an executive order

00:59:27.940 and now telehealth is a way bigger market

00:59:30.940 should make a huge difference in people's lives

00:59:32.940 eventually

00:59:33.940 now that's just one thing

00:59:35.940 there's

00:59:36.940 there are other things that

00:59:37.940 I managed to accomplish

00:59:39.940 that I can't tell you about

00:59:41.940 those are the good ones

00:59:43.940 but trust me

00:59:46.940 well I'll give you another example

00:59:48.940 my book

00:59:49.940 I had a fail in almost everything

00:59:50.940 and still went big

00:59:52.940 it introduced the ideas of

00:59:54.940 you know systems are better than goals

00:59:56.940 and talent stacks

00:59:58.940 now I don't think it's bragging

01:00:00.940 to say that those two things

01:00:02.940 made a huge difference in the world

01:00:04.940 because I hear about it all the time

01:00:06.940 you know talent stacks is the way

01:00:08.940 smart people recommend

01:00:10.940 anybody prepare their career now

01:00:12.940 and the systems are better than goals

01:00:14.940 pretty much has been adopted as the standard way of

01:00:17.940 thinking about stuff

01:00:19.940 none of that would have happened

01:00:21.940 without Michael Goodwin

01:00:23.940 so not only did he have the cleanest political opinion

01:00:27.940 I've ever heard

01:00:29.940 I vote against everything that raises my taxes

01:00:31.940 he summed up all of human nature

01:00:33.940 with one sentence

01:00:35.940 depends how hungry I am

01:00:37.940 he named Dilbert

01:00:39.940 which basically caused a chain of

01:00:41.940 a chain of action

01:00:44.940 that brings us to this moment

01:00:46.940 so

01:00:48.940 I just had to honor him for that

01:00:53.940 so you took his ideas

01:00:56.940 he gave me his ideas

01:00:59.940 and

01:01:03.940 alright

01:01:05.940 so yes let's have a sip to

01:01:07.940 Michael J. Goodwin

01:01:09.940 go

01:01:11.940 and that is my show for the day

01:01:17.940 YouTube

01:01:18.940 I'll see you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 16, 2022

Episode 1745 Scott Adams： Later And Better Than Usual

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