Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1748 Scott Adams： Headlines And A Beverage Sip Because We Like Doing That

00:00:00.000 Well, good morning, everybody, and welcome to, finally, back on regular time zone.

00:00:09.180 Coffee with Scott Adams is the best thing that's ever happened to you in a long time.

00:00:14.200 Yeah.

00:00:15.120 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, and I know you do, because that's the kind of people you are,

00:00:20.680 would you settle for second best?

00:00:24.120 No, no, you're not that kind of people.

00:00:26.560 You're the kind of people who want to take it up a level, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:33.160 a tank or gel, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:36.220 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:38.420 I like coffee.

00:00:40.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here of the day,

00:00:44.880 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:46.320 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:49.920 And it's the best thing that's ever happened to you.

00:00:53.340 It happens now.

00:00:53.860 Go.

00:00:56.560 Well, as you might know, I returned from a week in Hawaii.

00:01:06.980 I was trying to do a little writer's getaway.

00:01:11.820 Now, many of you enjoy vacations.

00:01:15.360 How many of you enjoy vacations in the comments?

00:01:18.500 Do you enjoy vacations?

00:01:19.660 I don't really know what that's like exactly, but I hear people love them.

00:01:25.240 Now, for the past 33 years, which is really the only time I've had enough money to take a vacation,

00:01:32.280 I've also been working too hard to take a vacation.

00:01:36.020 So I don't know if I've ever taken one where I wasn't also working.

00:01:39.440 So this was a working vacation.

00:01:41.000 In fact, it was the only reason I did it.

00:01:42.400 I went away for a week just to get away from just the distractions of being home.

00:01:46.620 Let me show you what I came back to.

00:01:50.760 So after my nice, relaxing, but I worked all week, but it was still relaxing.

00:01:56.360 My relaxing time in an ideal place.

00:02:01.380 I come back to my house, and you should know that my home has a feature in the front lawn.

00:02:08.520 There's this very old and beautiful stone oak.

00:02:13.940 It's a really interesting, gigantic tree.

00:02:16.680 It's sort of the main feature of the house.

00:02:19.540 And by main feature of the house, I mean that it's laying across the lawn right now.

00:02:26.400 So the main visual feature of my home collapsed yesterday morning.

00:02:32.480 It's laying across my lawn.

00:02:34.660 It's just, you know, dead.

00:02:36.460 So that is the primary visual appeal of my house.

00:02:39.400 It just went away.

00:02:40.420 But I went into my man cave after being gone a week and missing my man cave,

00:02:45.080 and I said to myself, you know, I really want to relax, which is what you do in the man cave.

00:02:53.100 And so I was relaxing in there until I saw that I wasn't alone in the man cave.

00:03:00.020 I had a little friend.

00:03:02.280 Can you see him?

00:03:05.360 That was behind my chair as I was trying to relax.

00:03:10.180 Do you know, if you're trying to relax and you see a California kingsnake coiling through your garage by your feet?

00:03:21.620 Well, maybe five feet away from my feet.

00:03:25.740 It doesn't put you in a relaxed mode.

00:03:30.540 Let me just say that.

00:03:32.040 If I could summarize, summarize the feeling that I had at that moment.

00:03:36.660 It was, if this were relaxed, it would be somewhere over here.

00:03:42.120 Different.

00:03:42.980 Kind of a gap between those two concepts.

00:03:46.300 Now, what some of you know that I did not know at the moment, this is a good snake.

00:03:53.740 It actually is non-venomous, and people are happy to see him.

00:03:58.840 Because they chase away dangerous snakes.

00:04:00.880 They eat other snakes.

00:04:02.360 I guess that's why they're called the King California snake.

00:04:05.440 So, the good news is, totally safe.

00:04:09.040 I don't have to do anything about it.

00:04:10.400 I just let him out, and he was fine.

00:04:12.740 It was kind of beautiful, frankly.

00:04:14.920 But, wow, was that a creepy, scary-looking thing.

00:04:18.540 Wow.

00:04:19.160 So, that's what I came back to.

00:04:21.040 Yeah, Wi-Fi didn't work.

00:04:22.240 Oh, it was a mess.

00:04:23.380 But, we're back at it.

00:04:26.920 Let's talk about the news.

00:04:28.260 China just announced, or, I guess, gave some publicity, too.

00:04:33.500 It's a China drone mothership.

00:04:36.420 So, they've created a vessel which carries 50 drones.

00:04:41.580 Now, 50 sounds like either a lot of drones or not many drones, depending on what kind of drones they are.

00:04:46.860 But, something tells me these are the good kind.

00:04:49.260 Like, the really expensive kind that maybe don't come back.

00:04:51.900 I don't know.

00:04:52.760 Do they come back?

00:04:54.120 I'm not sure if they come back and land on the ship, or how many of these are meant to be suicide attack drones.

00:05:00.760 But, a mothership with 50 drones, it looks like that's going to be the future of naval warfare.

00:05:07.660 Actually, the future of all warfare is just going to be drones.

00:05:11.200 It's just going to be all drones.

00:05:12.520 I'm thinking about reading my book, The Religion War, that I wrote in 2003, or whatever it was.

00:05:24.240 And, it's about a future when, basically, it's all drones.

00:05:29.800 I'm thinking of reading that because I never signed away the audio rights for that book.

00:05:36.140 So, I might just read it into the locals' platform, if I get a chance.

00:05:40.240 Alright, here's a question I asked.

00:05:44.140 Did you know that a 3D printer can make 90% of the parts for a 3D printer?

00:05:52.260 That's right.

00:05:53.440 You can get a 3D printer to make most of another 3D printer.

00:05:59.060 Now, I think it's probably the electronics that's the part you'd have to buy.

00:06:02.020 But, if you didn't have a shortage of the chip part, which we probably do, by the way.

00:06:08.060 But, if you didn't, I asked this hypothetical question.

00:06:12.060 Somebody says, it's the print head.

00:06:13.620 Yeah, so, there may be some parts you can't quite do yet.

00:06:18.000 But, 90% of it you can do.

00:06:20.120 Although, I suspect that the 10% that you can't do is the important part.

00:06:23.700 You know, the really vital part.

00:06:25.760 And, the part you can do is probably the case.

00:06:27.540 But, if you could do 90% of that, I asked this question.

00:06:34.560 How long would it take if you had one printer, one 3D printer, and your goal was to make drones, the small ones?

00:06:43.340 So, apparently, you could make almost all of the parts, 90% again, of a drone.

00:06:48.500 And, it's a drone that would be good enough to be part of a military operation.

00:06:55.300 So, it could drop a grenade, for example, or do reconnaissance, that sort of thing.

00:07:00.300 And, so, the question I asked is, and, of course, they could be suicide drones.

00:07:04.460 So, I asked, how long would it take if you just had one 3D printer, but you had no shortage of the 10% stuff that was coming in?

00:07:12.840 How long would it take for it to make extra printers, and then those extra printers make drones?

00:07:20.820 If you had lots of space, and lots of money, which the U.S. military could certainly have, right?

00:07:28.760 And, it's one of those fascinating situations, because on day 2, you might not even have a second printer, right?

00:07:37.380 But, on day 3, you'd have close to 3 of them, and then the 3 of them would be creating, each of them, a new printer apiece.

00:07:47.160 So, do you know the famous mental experiment where you take a penny and put it on a checkerboard in the corner?

00:07:55.420 And then you say, okay, I'll double the penny in each subsequent box, so the second one is 2 cents, and then 4 cents, 8 cents, 16.

00:08:03.440 And, your common sense says, well, by the time this keeps doubling all the way around the checkerboard, that one cent could turn into thousands of dollars, right?

00:08:14.800 That's what your common sense is telling you, or maybe hundreds.

00:08:17.420 Maybe your common sense would say, wow, this is going up so fast that by the time we get to the end of the checkerboard, it could be hundreds or thousands of dollars from just that one penny.

00:08:26.520 And then you find out, it's like a gazillion trillion.

00:08:30.800 You're so far off.

00:08:32.840 You are so far off guessing what will happen when you double stuff that many times, you're just not even close, right?

00:08:39.800 It's not hundreds, it's not thousands, it's a trijillion gillion or something.

00:08:46.100 And so, that's what would happen with the 3D printers.

00:08:49.200 It would start off slow.

00:08:50.640 A printer makes another printer, makes another printer.

00:08:52.820 But, by the 30th day, you could probably be producing 500 drones a day.

00:09:01.780 Now, what could Ukraine do with 500 drones that were suicide drones per day?

00:09:07.940 Now, of course, there are real-world limitations for everything, so you can't just do this.

00:09:14.480 But, interestingly, you could very quickly scale up, if you could get the other 10% for both the printer and the drones.

00:09:22.820 To massive scale in, you know, a month or two.

00:09:26.500 Fairly massive.

00:09:28.960 So, just an interesting thing to think about.

00:09:31.840 So, the reason I bring this up is, I have a hypothesis that somewhere in the United States,

00:09:38.800 there is a massive drone factory that you haven't heard of.

00:09:43.540 And that has spun up in the last six months.

00:09:45.620 What do you think?

00:09:48.120 Because doesn't it seem as though there should be some super-secret drone factory

00:09:52.200 that we put together in the last six months to just massively create drones for Ukraine?

00:10:00.340 Probably.

00:10:01.180 But I think the problem is that they can't get the parts.

00:10:04.320 So, even if you had the factory, you'd still be limited with chips and stuff.

00:10:07.560 I think.

00:10:08.120 I heard somebody say that the U.S. has been trying to compete with China on drones.

00:10:15.360 Is it DJI?

00:10:18.000 Is that the big drone company out of China?

00:10:20.860 I think they have a massive market share.

00:10:23.360 And I saw somebody speculate that the U.S. didn't have the technical skill to make these drones.

00:10:30.160 To which I said, what?

00:10:32.300 Of course we do.

00:10:33.960 Are you serious?

00:10:34.600 I'm sure we have more technical skill to make drones than China does.

00:10:39.680 If China is dominating the market, it's because of price.

00:10:43.580 Am I right?

00:10:44.960 That's the only reason they would dominate the market.

00:10:47.000 They wouldn't have better drones, would they?

00:10:50.180 I mean, I don't think so.

00:10:53.480 So, I've got a feeling that we'll find out about a giant secret drone-making facility someday.

00:10:59.440 Speaking of stuff like that, so Biden, I thought I saw a headline that said Biden is using that wartime production act to make baby formula.

00:11:09.820 To which I say, wasn't that like, you know, didn't Joel Pollack suggest that like a week or two ago?

00:11:18.600 I feel like that's an idea that under the Trump administration would have been a 24-hour turnaround.

00:11:26.020 Am I wrong?

00:11:27.780 Under the Trump administration, I actually watched this in person.

00:11:31.540 I watched an idea go from, hey, this is a good idea, to actually an executive order in like maybe 48 hours.

00:11:39.860 I've actually seen it done under Trump.

00:11:41.500 And how long have we known this baby formula thing was going to be a problem?

00:11:49.140 I mean, Biden has yet another thing to explain.

00:11:51.580 I mean, there might be some logical reason or something.

00:11:55.420 But this could not look worse.

00:11:59.520 I've never seen an administration fail this hard.

00:12:02.100 Have you?

00:12:03.200 In your memory, have you ever seen an administration fail this hard?

00:12:07.380 I guess the left would have said it was Trump.

00:12:12.200 But even the left is, I can tell you that as of yesterday, yesterday I talked to a lifelong Republican.

00:12:22.200 I won't give you the context.

00:12:24.300 But it was a lifelong, I'm sorry, a lifelong Democrat who just said he's voting all Republican from now on.

00:12:31.900 Lifelong Democrat, yep, voting Republican from now on.

00:12:34.820 And I'm not going to tell you what demographic he was, but it wasn't the one you expect.

00:12:42.960 I'll just say that.

00:12:44.300 It wasn't the one you expect.

00:12:46.740 So I don't know what's going to happen in the next elections, but I cannot imagine.

00:12:54.260 Oh, and right, did I talk about this, that, I think I said yesterday, that Elon Musk said he would vote Republican from now on

00:13:02.080 because the Democrats have become the party of division and hate or something?

00:13:08.940 Oh my God.

00:13:11.640 That is quite a thing to say.

00:13:14.860 Which is why he's Elon Musk and you're not.

00:13:17.840 Because, is he the best tweeter now?

00:13:22.620 If Trump were still tweeting, I'd say, you know, there are basically only two people in that stratosphere.

00:13:29.020 But now that Trump is off, I think, I think Musk is the top tweeter.

00:13:34.300 By far, somebody says, yeah, I think by far.

00:13:36.900 Now, how many of you remember that Elon Musk came out of the PayPal, that was an original startup,

00:13:48.840 that he was on there with several people?

00:13:53.640 And I wonder if they were to have a PayPal reunion now.

00:13:58.380 Yeah, Peter Thiel is there.

00:14:00.620 I wonder if they were to have a reunion now, that they would have something to talk about politically.

00:14:05.080 That would be pretty interesting.

00:14:11.720 All right.

00:14:14.540 Gas prices.

00:14:16.380 I keep hearing people say, my God, the gas prices are up to over $4 now.

00:14:21.760 To which I say, can I get some of that $4 gas?

00:14:27.520 Will somebody sell me some $4 gas?

00:14:30.200 Because our gas is way over $6 for premium.

00:14:33.180 So when I fill up, it's over $6 a gallon now.

00:14:36.960 I mean, not that you're feeling sorry for me, but just as a marker of the times.

00:14:43.120 And all of this is self-inflicted by Democrats, is it not?

00:14:47.420 It is completely self-inflicted.

00:14:49.340 All predictable.

00:14:51.300 All completely known that if you do this, you're going to get this.

00:14:54.380 And did they not slow-walk us right into the situation?

00:14:58.740 Because it looks like it.

00:15:00.220 It looks like they slow-walked us with intention into shortages.

00:15:05.520 Now, I hear people say some people want the shortages, and, you know, it's part of their radical agenda.

00:15:11.900 I've never heard from anybody like that.

00:15:14.260 So I'm a little skeptical anybody really believes that, but who knows?

00:15:17.440 All right, so it's an all-time new high again gas.

00:15:21.960 How do Democrats get elected under these conditions?

00:15:25.460 I don't know.

00:15:27.460 Here's my provocative thought for the day.

00:15:30.500 If the founders of this country, the ones who put together the original Constitution,

00:15:36.440 if they knew that 3-D printers were coming,

00:15:40.080 would they have given us a constitutional right to own them, like guns?

00:15:48.880 What do you think?

00:15:50.180 If the founders knew that 3-D printers were coming,

00:15:54.480 would they have put, like the Second Amendment,

00:15:57.640 would they put an amendment in there to say that citizens can own them

00:16:00.640 and that the government cannot monopolize them?

00:16:04.580 I feel like they would have.

00:16:07.020 I mean, there's no way to know.

00:16:08.180 Well, but think about it.

00:16:11.200 There's a reason they put that gun one in there, right?

00:16:16.340 Now, you could argue that the gun thing is always going to be special.

00:16:20.320 That's a special case.

00:16:21.940 But if you're going to be defending yourself,

00:16:25.320 I'd rather have a 3-D printer than a gun.

00:16:29.140 If you had a 3-D printer, and I'm saying high-end,

00:16:31.720 so really we're still talking about the future,

00:16:34.380 in the future you'll be able to print a proper gun.

00:16:37.280 You can already do it, but I'm talking about like a real proper gun.

00:16:41.300 You know, you could make a gun that would kill somebody.

00:16:44.640 But I mean like a real weapon, like a serious weapon,

00:16:48.240 not sort of a toy.

00:16:50.800 Yeah, I feel as if the stuff that the 3-D printers can make at the moment

00:16:54.960 are more of a novelty than an actual weapon.

00:16:58.200 You know, they fire, sure.

00:17:00.060 But it's more like, you know, killing somebody in a special case.

00:17:03.420 It's not really a weapon weapon.

00:17:09.100 So, I would expect that 3-D printers will be illegal for citizens to own

00:17:14.020 if they are above a certain level.

00:17:16.200 Let me ask you this.

00:17:17.680 Would it be legal for a citizen to own a printing press

00:17:21.180 capable of making U.S. currency that is indistinguishable from the real thing?

00:17:26.600 Would that be legal?

00:17:30.820 I'm assuming no.

00:17:33.260 Somebody says yes, that would be legal.

00:17:35.380 Now, is it because the paper is the real trick

00:17:37.700 so they can just control how you make the paper or something?

00:17:41.040 Yeah, you need the right paper, exactly.

00:17:42.840 But couldn't you also bleach existing currency?

00:17:47.040 Or did they take that away?

00:17:49.100 Because it used to be you used to bleach an old, like a dollar bill

00:17:51.920 and then turn it into a 20 or something.

00:17:53.500 All right.

00:17:57.880 So, yeah, I would expect 3-D printers will be illegal at the high end someday.

00:18:03.380 And you wonder, how could they possibly control that?

00:18:07.680 And I'm thinking they'll probably control it

00:18:09.940 in much of the way that they control copyright.

00:18:15.840 Which means that they would do it imprecisely.

00:18:21.900 You know, you could still get away with it,

00:18:24.700 but it might not be worth the risk.

00:18:28.400 All right.

00:18:29.120 Ex-President George W. Bush was giving a speech,

00:18:32.740 and he said this tragically.

00:18:34.740 He said, quote,

00:18:35.920 The decision of one man to launch a wholly unjustified

00:18:39.120 and brutal invasion of Iraq...

00:18:40.280 I mean Ukraine.

00:18:42.620 Ukraine.

00:18:42.880 So, yes, there was a leader once

00:18:50.760 who authorized a wholly unjustified

00:18:53.260 and brutal invasion of Iraq.

00:18:55.240 But who was that?

00:18:56.380 Who was that?

00:18:57.480 Oh, yeah.

00:18:59.580 George W. Bush.

00:19:01.460 Well, there's more drama coming out of the Ember Turd trial

00:19:05.660 that Johnny Depp, according to witnesses,

00:19:10.400 especially Ember Turd's sister,

00:19:13.740 Turd 2.

00:19:14.900 No, Ember Turd's sister,

00:19:16.780 we don't have any reason to dislike her.

00:19:19.300 But she was the most direct witness

00:19:22.960 to say that he observed Johnny Depp

00:19:25.920 hitting her sister repeatedly in the face

00:19:30.040 while holding her hair.

00:19:33.360 Now,

00:19:35.080 do you believe that?

00:19:39.540 Because,

00:19:41.220 do you have any siblings?

00:19:43.620 Does anybody have a sibling?

00:19:46.200 Would you witness a sibling

00:19:48.520 being punched in the face

00:19:50.380 by anybody

00:19:52.420 and then say,

00:19:54.680 well, you know, that's your business.

00:19:56.480 I don't think I want to get involved.

00:19:58.020 Can you even imagine that?

00:20:03.360 First of all,

00:20:04.720 if you saw a sibling getting punched in the face,

00:20:07.220 you wouldn't get in the fight?

00:20:09.340 Seriously?

00:20:10.460 Like, you wouldn't be right there

00:20:11.960 punching the fucking shit out of Johnny Depp

00:20:14.400 if you saw that happening?

00:20:16.060 Like, who wouldn't do that?

00:20:18.260 So there's something about the sister's testimony

00:20:20.300 that's not quite striking me as believable.

00:20:24.460 Now, I hope it's not true

00:20:28.440 because it sounds horrible.

00:20:30.460 And if it's true,

00:20:31.200 of course,

00:20:31.680 Johnny Depp,

00:20:32.660 you know,

00:20:33.120 needs to be responsible for his actions.

00:20:35.420 We don't know the context,

00:20:36.640 but I can't imagine any context

00:20:38.620 where that would be appropriate.

00:20:40.540 You know,

00:20:40.700 even self-defense,

00:20:41.740 it didn't sound like it was even self-defense, really.

00:20:44.660 So,

00:20:45.360 I got a question about that.

00:20:47.560 So then you've got a few other witnesses

00:20:49.140 testifying on her behalf,

00:20:51.960 but some of those were contradicted by other people.

00:20:55.940 So,

00:20:56.540 what do you think is true?

00:20:59.180 Based on,

00:21:01.260 what would you say at this point?

00:21:04.420 Do you believe that they were violent to each other,

00:21:06.940 or that one of them was primarily the violent one?

00:21:11.740 What do you think?

00:21:13.500 Because we have to,

00:21:14.740 well, we don't have to,

00:21:15.580 but we're judging it from afar

00:21:17.280 based on evidence that's being presented.

00:21:21.780 Well,

00:21:22.300 there's no doubt that

00:21:23.180 Johnny Depp had a substance use situation.

00:21:32.720 I was just reading Eric's comment there on YouTube.

00:21:36.580 All right.

00:21:38.820 I don't know.

00:21:40.640 I think if I had to cast my vote right now,

00:21:44.000 I would say that

00:21:45.340 here's a question I would ask.

00:21:51.180 Has Johnny Depp

00:21:52.100 ever been accused of hitting anybody else?

00:21:55.700 Don't you feel that's a valid question

00:21:57.840 under these circumstances?

00:22:00.440 Now,

00:22:00.820 that would not prove that he did

00:22:02.240 or did not do anything with Amber Heard,

00:22:04.280 but wouldn't you like to know that?

00:22:06.520 Because if I heard that he had ever done this

00:22:08.740 with another woman,

00:22:11.320 I would be inclined to think

00:22:12.720 he did it this time, too.

00:22:14.000 You know,

00:22:14.460 assuming that I believe the original story.

00:22:16.520 If there were two stories

00:22:17.520 that were weirdly similar,

00:22:19.920 that would be pretty believable.

00:22:23.860 But I don't know that that's an evidence,

00:22:25.720 nor could it be.

00:22:27.360 Do we think that would even be legal

00:22:29.700 to bring that in as a context?

00:22:32.840 I don't know how that works.

00:22:34.400 Can you do that?

00:22:35.080 So here's a question for you.

00:22:44.420 If Amber,

00:22:46.940 if her actions

00:22:48.420 were so outrageous

00:22:49.940 that she was causing

00:22:51.700 an inebriated Johnny Depp

00:22:53.740 to feel that he needed to hit her,

00:22:55.900 again, there's no excuse.

00:22:57.720 So violence cannot be condoned

00:22:59.360 under any circumstance.

00:23:00.540 So if it sounds like

00:23:01.840 I'm defending an amuser,

00:23:03.780 that's the opposite

00:23:04.400 of what's happening.

00:23:05.440 So don't take that interpretation.

00:23:09.200 But at some point,

00:23:11.160 poking the bear

00:23:13.220 is wrong, too.

00:23:16.100 Right?

00:23:16.400 There is some level

00:23:18.100 of provocation

00:23:19.040 which will cause

00:23:20.380 anybody to do anything.

00:23:23.560 But let me just put it that way.

00:23:25.340 You take it out of the context

00:23:26.620 of domestic abuse.

00:23:28.920 Just take it completely

00:23:29.920 out of that context.

00:23:31.460 There is some amount

00:23:32.340 of provocation

00:23:33.180 that will make anybody

00:23:34.900 do anything.

00:23:36.980 And we sort of treat it

00:23:38.740 like that doesn't matter.

00:23:40.600 I feel like it does.

00:23:42.540 And maybe that's why

00:23:43.740 you have jury trials,

00:23:45.180 so they can take

00:23:46.140 into consideration

00:23:46.940 stuff like that.

00:23:48.880 Well, it seems that

00:23:49.980 the so-called Ministry of Truth

00:23:51.740 is being disbanded.

00:23:52.840 The public ran it out of town.

00:23:55.900 So what was it called?

00:23:56.940 The Disinformation Board?

00:23:59.520 And they were going to

00:24:00.480 tell you what was true

00:24:01.440 and what wasn't?

00:24:02.680 Well, it got so,

00:24:04.280 so much pushback.

00:24:06.220 Rightfully so.

00:24:07.280 That they disbanded it

00:24:08.620 and the woman

00:24:09.460 who was in charge of it

00:24:10.180 resigned.

00:24:10.940 And they're not going

00:24:11.540 to do that anymore.

00:24:12.320 So no more

00:24:12.900 so-called Ministry of Truth.

00:24:16.820 In totally unrelated news,

00:24:19.800 I don't even know

00:24:20.640 why I bring this up

00:24:21.580 at this point.

00:24:23.520 But we've got a new thing.

00:24:28.240 So we lost the ministry,

00:24:29.860 the so-called Ministry of Truth.

00:24:31.600 That's just what people

00:24:32.520 were calling it.

00:24:33.640 But we've got this new thing.

00:24:35.220 The Democrats, maybe.

00:24:36.360 It passed the House,

00:24:37.240 but not yet the Senate.

00:24:38.020 It's called the

00:24:39.220 Domestic Terrorism Prevention Act.

00:24:42.400 So that passed the House

00:24:43.680 yesterday.

00:24:45.180 And it's created to,

00:24:46.600 quote,

00:24:46.700 assess the threat

00:24:47.640 posed by white supremacists

00:24:49.340 and neo-Nazis.

00:24:51.460 Huh.

00:24:52.520 So it's a good thing

00:24:54.060 they got rid of that

00:24:55.040 Ministry of Truth

00:24:57.520 because we were afraid

00:24:58.760 that they might

00:24:59.400 use it politically

00:25:00.760 to target people

00:25:03.280 on the other side.

00:25:04.140 because if one side

00:25:05.500 is in charge of the truth

00:25:06.880 and what is true

00:25:08.400 and what is not,

00:25:09.700 well, it feels like

00:25:10.380 that could be used politically,

00:25:11.680 which is why people

00:25:12.440 ran that idea out of town.

00:25:14.900 But now we have

00:25:15.640 this new thing,

00:25:16.360 which is some kind

00:25:17.240 of an upgrade, apparently.

00:25:19.180 So they'll have a group

00:25:20.360 that's just looking

00:25:21.380 to identify

00:25:22.280 the white supremacists

00:25:24.280 and neo-Nazis

00:25:25.220 among us.

00:25:27.720 Huh.

00:25:29.160 I wonder what could go wrong.

00:25:32.480 Do you think,

00:25:33.100 oh, maybe it could get

00:25:34.760 a little political?

00:25:36.700 Do you think maybe

00:25:37.720 that these were

00:25:38.440 two attempts

00:25:39.140 to hunt Republicans

00:25:40.580 and one of them

00:25:42.100 wasn't aggressive enough

00:25:43.140 because it was just

00:25:43.760 talking about it,

00:25:45.040 but the other one

00:25:45.700 was actually to label

00:25:46.760 some Americans

00:25:47.760 white supremacists

00:25:48.880 and neo-Nazis?

00:25:50.740 And I wonder,

00:25:52.000 do you think anybody

00:25:52.760 who's not quite

00:25:53.840 one of those things

00:25:54.820 could ever be dragged

00:25:56.320 into that conversation?

00:25:58.300 And do you think

00:25:58.920 that maybe just being

00:25:59.820 a Republican

00:26:00.420 and maybe,

00:26:01.920 let's say maybe

00:26:02.480 you went someplace

00:26:03.200 and had your photo

00:26:04.200 taken and you

00:26:05.060 didn't know exactly

00:26:05.940 the reputation

00:26:07.260 of the person

00:26:07.780 you were with?

00:26:09.740 Are you a neo-Nazi now?

00:26:11.480 If you had your photo

00:26:12.320 taken with somebody

00:26:13.760 who has those leanings?

00:26:17.060 I don't know.

00:26:18.040 So if you were the,

00:26:19.940 let's say it gets

00:26:20.680 passed by the Senate,

00:26:21.740 I have a feeling

00:26:23.380 it won't be,

00:26:24.120 but if it did,

00:26:25.320 who do you think

00:26:27.840 they're going to call

00:26:28.660 white supremacists

00:26:29.700 and neo-Nazis?

00:26:31.380 They've called

00:26:32.240 pretty much all

00:26:33.760 Republicans

00:26:34.540 white supremacists

00:26:36.960 and neo-Nazis,

00:26:37.880 have they not?

00:26:38.420 Do you see any

00:26:40.580 problem with that?

00:26:42.440 Do you remember

00:26:42.900 my prediction

00:26:46.420 that everybody

00:26:47.080 mocked me for

00:26:48.000 when I said

00:26:49.200 that if Biden

00:26:49.800 is elected,

00:26:50.780 Republicans

00:26:51.200 will be hunted?

00:26:51.960 And people said,

00:26:54.080 oh God,

00:26:54.900 you've really

00:26:56.760 jumped the shark?

00:26:57.840 This one,

00:26:59.140 they're not going

00:26:59.820 to hunt Republicans.

00:27:02.480 Nothing like that's

00:27:03.700 going to happen.

00:27:06.020 Except the

00:27:06.940 Domestic Terrorism

00:27:07.880 Prevention Act

00:27:08.620 might be a little bit

00:27:10.020 maybe aggressive

00:27:12.760 in who they determine

00:27:14.620 is a neo-Nazi

00:27:15.560 and a white supremacist.

00:27:17.580 What ideology

00:27:19.260 do you think

00:27:20.160 would get you

00:27:21.540 identified as

00:27:22.920 a white supremacist?

00:27:23.920 What would be

00:27:24.440 an example?

00:27:25.660 Let's say somebody

00:27:26.480 was very strong

00:27:28.560 on border security.

00:27:31.560 And let's say

00:27:32.180 that their reasoning

00:27:32.900 was that they

00:27:34.280 didn't want

00:27:34.780 the culture

00:27:35.760 of the country

00:27:36.560 to change.

00:27:37.640 This is not

00:27:38.180 my opinion

00:27:38.720 I'm giving.

00:27:39.320 I'm talking about

00:27:40.160 some person.

00:27:41.660 So there's

00:27:42.440 some person

00:27:42.940 who's strong

00:27:44.780 on border security

00:27:46.200 and their reasoning

00:27:47.800 is they don't

00:27:48.520 want the character

00:27:50.340 or culture

00:27:51.020 of the country

00:27:51.620 to change

00:27:52.380 in a

00:27:53.820 let's say

00:27:54.240 in an unguided way

00:27:55.360 in a random way

00:27:57.060 that's determined

00:27:57.740 by other people

00:27:58.420 basically.

00:27:59.920 What would they be?

00:28:02.000 They'd be a white

00:28:02.680 supremacist

00:28:03.240 wouldn't they?

00:28:05.040 Wouldn't they?

00:28:06.280 Because that would

00:28:06.780 be somebody

00:28:07.240 who is targeting

00:28:08.080 people of color

00:28:10.160 and wanting

00:28:12.260 to disadvantage

00:28:13.200 them

00:28:13.600 relative to

00:28:15.680 what the situation

00:28:16.600 could have been

00:28:17.200 which is

00:28:17.600 they all get

00:28:18.040 to come in.

00:28:19.520 So if you're

00:28:20.180 a white

00:28:20.860 Republican

00:28:21.340 and you've got

00:28:22.860 a public stand

00:28:23.880 that is

00:28:25.160 bad for

00:28:26.760 people of color

00:28:27.860 not Americans

00:28:29.120 but people of color

00:28:30.120 who would like

00:28:30.560 to get into America

00:28:31.500 how is that

00:28:33.040 not a white

00:28:33.540 supremacist

00:28:34.160 according to

00:28:35.360 Democrats?

00:28:37.660 This is a real

00:28:38.560 this is some

00:28:40.160 really sketchy

00:28:40.960 stuff here.

00:28:43.480 So I was on

00:28:44.440 vacation last week

00:28:45.280 somebody asked

00:28:45.800 but I did

00:28:47.040 I did my

00:28:47.680 live streams

00:28:48.360 just at the

00:28:48.860 wrong different

00:28:49.460 times most of

00:28:50.180 the time.

00:28:52.040 All right

00:28:52.660 well you know

00:28:53.940 fortunately we

00:28:54.660 can trust

00:28:55.080 Democrats

00:28:55.640 to do the

00:28:57.620 right thing

00:28:58.060 which brings

00:29:00.700 me to a

00:29:01.320 Rasmussen poll

00:29:02.180 which asked

00:29:04.000 how likely

00:29:04.780 is it that

00:29:05.260 the Clinton

00:29:05.780 campaign officials

00:29:07.000 acted illegally

00:29:08.480 during the

00:29:09.300 2016 presidential

00:29:10.680 election and

00:29:11.340 that number

00:29:11.800 is 55%

00:29:12.860 now.

00:29:13.160 so a

00:29:14.580 majority of

00:29:15.880 Americans

00:29:16.300 believe that

00:29:16.980 the top

00:29:18.160 Democrat

00:29:18.960 powers

00:29:20.100 the Clinton

00:29:20.600 campaign at

00:29:21.320 the time

00:29:21.680 acted illegally

00:29:23.480 and basically

00:29:24.520 rigged the

00:29:24.980 election.

00:29:26.360 But you know

00:29:27.200 even though

00:29:27.720 55% of them

00:29:28.900 think that the

00:29:29.500 Democrats are

00:29:30.220 rotten at the

00:29:30.800 top I'm

00:29:32.360 really looking

00:29:32.820 forward to

00:29:33.360 this new

00:29:34.540 group that's

00:29:35.080 going to

00:29:35.340 determine which

00:29:35.920 ones of us

00:29:36.440 are neo-Nazis

00:29:37.260 and white

00:29:37.880 supremacists.

00:29:39.660 I don't see a

00:29:40.620 problem there.

00:29:43.160 So do you

00:29:44.480 remember the

00:29:44.760 story of

00:29:45.100 Keith Raniere

00:29:46.280 and NXIVM

00:29:48.140 and the

00:29:48.480 alleged sex

00:29:49.500 cult that

00:29:50.120 was a

00:29:51.120 subgroup of

00:29:52.240 some of the

00:29:52.620 same people?

00:29:54.080 And Keith

00:29:54.660 Raniere got

00:29:55.420 convicted and

00:29:57.560 he's in prison

00:29:58.180 now and

00:29:59.660 but he's

00:30:00.180 claiming and

00:30:00.800 there's some

00:30:01.160 expert testimony

00:30:02.060 that backs up

00:30:03.120 the claim with

00:30:04.560 evidence that

00:30:05.800 he was framed

00:30:06.600 by the law

00:30:09.380 enforcement

00:30:09.740 basically.

00:30:10.280 I think FBI

00:30:12.000 is being

00:30:12.780 accused.

00:30:14.600 Now I

00:30:15.700 don't have

00:30:16.160 an opinion

00:30:16.660 because how

00:30:18.380 would I

00:30:18.620 know of

00:30:19.400 whether

00:30:19.740 Keith Raniere

00:30:20.480 was framed

00:30:21.300 or not.

00:30:24.400 But in

00:30:25.500 the context

00:30:26.040 of today's

00:30:26.660 news and

00:30:27.560 what you've

00:30:27.940 seen lately

00:30:28.440 who is more

00:30:29.600 credible the

00:30:31.000 FBI or a

00:30:33.420 person incarcerated

00:30:34.600 and blamed

00:30:35.380 of and accused

00:30:36.760 of terrible

00:30:37.260 crimes and

00:30:37.880 found guilty

00:30:38.420 by a jury

00:30:39.380 of his peers.

00:30:40.660 Which one

00:30:41.200 is more

00:30:41.640 credible in

00:30:43.260 2022?

00:30:45.200 It's a tie.

00:30:47.020 It's a tie.

00:30:48.020 He's got a

00:30:48.560 story about

00:30:49.880 being set up

00:30:50.780 to which I

00:30:52.400 say there

00:30:53.520 was a time I

00:30:54.280 would have

00:30:54.520 said well

00:30:54.820 that's ridiculous.

00:30:56.400 I'll just go

00:30:56.980 with law

00:30:57.300 enforcement on

00:30:57.880 this one.

00:30:58.660 But not

00:30:59.040 anymore.

00:31:00.060 Not anymore.

00:31:01.280 Now I'm

00:31:01.540 not saying he's

00:31:02.100 innocent.

00:31:03.000 How would I

00:31:03.460 know?

00:31:04.000 Who knows?

00:31:05.440 But I'll

00:31:06.340 just say the

00:31:06.840 credibility of

00:31:07.680 the accusers

00:31:08.400 and the

00:31:09.380 credibility of

00:31:10.100 the accused

00:31:10.600 are now

00:31:11.380 roughly the

00:31:11.880 same.

00:31:12.880 Roughly the

00:31:13.300 same.

00:31:15.700 So good

00:31:16.880 job,

00:31:17.360 government.

00:31:18.600 Well, in

00:31:21.560 case I'm

00:31:21.900 all being

00:31:22.360 all negative

00:31:22.860 today, the

00:31:24.280 Democrats have

00:31:24.960 done a number

00:31:25.600 of bad

00:31:25.980 things, but

00:31:27.320 thank goodness

00:31:28.780 they're stopping

00:31:29.440 the fentanyl

00:31:30.380 traffic into

00:31:31.540 this country.

00:31:34.500 No, they're

00:31:35.240 not.

00:31:35.560 No, they're

00:31:36.900 not.

00:31:37.860 It turns out

00:31:38.380 that fentanyl

00:31:39.140 overdoses and

00:31:40.020 other overdoses

00:31:40.820 are an all-time

00:31:41.640 high.

00:31:43.040 I saw the

00:31:43.420 Wall Street

00:31:43.720 Journal had

00:31:44.720 some opinion

00:31:45.440 piece speculating

00:31:46.260 that the

00:31:46.860 lockdowns were

00:31:48.680 a cause of

00:31:49.500 the greater

00:31:49.880 addictions.

00:31:50.840 How many of

00:31:51.280 you accept

00:31:52.240 that as

00:31:52.800 true?

00:31:54.780 Just on

00:31:55.480 its face.

00:31:56.880 So we

00:31:57.140 don't have a

00:31:57.820 study of that.

00:32:01.180 But how many

00:32:01.560 because it did

00:32:02.800 turn out that

00:32:03.400 overdoses spiked

00:32:04.400 at exactly

00:32:04.980 that right

00:32:05.460 time?

00:32:06.460 How many

00:32:06.880 think that

00:32:08.100 the lockdowns

00:32:08.820 caused more

00:32:10.080 overdose deaths?

00:32:13.040 I'd say

00:32:13.760 very likely.

00:32:17.700 But I'm not

00:32:18.760 quite ready to

00:32:19.680 say yes.

00:32:20.420 Because here's

00:32:21.020 the variable

00:32:21.560 which is not

00:32:22.360 maybe not in

00:32:24.860 play.

00:32:25.760 How much

00:32:26.300 fentanyl came

00:32:27.200 in?

00:32:28.160 How many

00:32:28.620 extra things

00:32:29.520 that didn't

00:32:29.920 have fentanyl

00:32:30.580 in them got

00:32:31.200 fentanyl added

00:32:31.940 to them?

00:32:32.360 Was there

00:32:33.420 any change

00:32:34.200 in the way

00:32:34.600 fentanyl was

00:32:35.480 made or

00:32:36.160 produced to

00:32:36.820 make it more

00:32:37.300 deadly?

00:32:38.260 So I would

00:32:38.800 be asking

00:32:39.280 lots of

00:32:39.880 questions about

00:32:40.620 whether the

00:32:41.720 product itself

00:32:42.560 changed or

00:32:43.400 evolved or

00:32:43.960 got worse.

00:32:45.580 I wouldn't

00:32:46.400 necessarily say

00:32:47.360 that the only

00:32:48.040 reason is because

00:32:48.860 there was a

00:32:49.480 lockdown,

00:32:50.040 although the

00:32:50.440 timing is

00:32:52.020 pretty suspicious.

00:32:53.240 And our

00:32:53.500 common sense

00:32:54.160 tells us it's

00:32:55.720 likely.

00:32:56.060 I think

00:33:02.500 that the

00:33:02.800 Biden

00:33:03.000 administration

00:33:03.500 started with

00:33:04.240 this Ministry

00:33:04.780 of Truth

00:33:05.260 and now

00:33:05.640 they've got

00:33:05.960 this other

00:33:06.800 Republican

00:33:08.120 hunting

00:33:08.520 organization

00:33:09.240 going on

00:33:09.920 there,

00:33:10.820 hunting and

00:33:11.560 tagging

00:33:11.860 Republicans.

00:33:13.020 But I think

00:33:13.580 what they

00:33:13.840 really needed

00:33:14.460 was they

00:33:15.140 should create

00:33:15.480 a new

00:33:15.780 ministry.

00:33:17.140 So I'd

00:33:17.420 like to see

00:33:17.740 the Biden

00:33:18.160 administration

00:33:19.060 create the

00:33:19.780 ministry of

00:33:21.260 not doing a

00:33:21.800 fucking thing

00:33:22.380 about fentanyl

00:33:23.080 because that

00:33:23.620 would be

00:33:23.920 racist.

00:33:24.380 Because apparently

00:33:25.800 the big

00:33:26.280 pushback is

00:33:27.720 that there

00:33:28.060 are over

00:33:28.400 a hundred

00:33:28.820 groups who

00:33:30.600 are advocating

00:33:31.280 for lower

00:33:32.360 fentanyl

00:33:33.080 dealer

00:33:34.460 sentences

00:33:36.180 because

00:33:37.340 sentencing

00:33:38.320 people for

00:33:38.960 fentanyl

00:33:39.480 would be

00:33:39.820 racist because

00:33:40.960 you'd get

00:33:41.260 more people

00:33:41.820 of color

00:33:42.200 presumably

00:33:42.740 arrested.

00:33:46.480 So if

00:33:48.680 that's their

00:33:49.300 point of view

00:33:49.980 and it seems

00:33:50.660 that the

00:33:51.220 administration

00:33:51.760 is influenced

00:33:52.540 by that,

00:33:53.600 then why

00:33:54.040 not just

00:33:54.540 create the

00:33:55.020 ministry of

00:33:55.560 not doing

00:33:55.940 a fucking

00:33:56.480 thing about

00:33:57.100 fentanyl

00:33:57.620 because that

00:33:58.560 would be

00:33:58.880 racist.

00:34:00.220 Let's just

00:34:00.720 label it

00:34:01.140 what it is.

00:34:02.860 If that's

00:34:03.460 their argument,

00:34:04.240 if they're

00:34:04.520 not going to

00:34:04.860 do a fucking

00:34:05.440 thing about

00:34:06.020 a hundred

00:34:06.360 thousand people

00:34:07.260 dying every

00:34:07.860 year,

00:34:09.060 if they're

00:34:09.360 not going to

00:34:09.660 do a fucking

00:34:10.240 thing,

00:34:11.080 just create

00:34:11.820 a department

00:34:12.420 to not do

00:34:13.020 a fucking

00:34:13.420 thing.

00:34:14.460 Just own

00:34:14.960 it.

00:34:15.760 Just fucking

00:34:16.460 own it.

00:34:17.060 That's all

00:34:17.440 I'm asking

00:34:17.820 for.

00:34:18.380 It's okay

00:34:18.960 to do

00:34:19.320 nothing.

00:34:20.160 Well,

00:34:20.340 it's not

00:34:20.640 okay,

00:34:21.080 but if

00:34:21.740 you're going

00:34:22.020 to do

00:34:22.260 nothing,

00:34:22.620 just own

00:34:23.880 it.

00:34:24.660 Don't do

00:34:25.160 nothing and

00:34:25.660 tell me you're

00:34:26.160 doing something

00:34:26.720 because you're

00:34:27.660 not.

00:34:28.800 Do nothing

00:34:29.660 and then just

00:34:30.560 create a whole

00:34:31.740 worthless fucking

00:34:32.860 piece of

00:34:33.400 bureaucracy to

00:34:35.120 brag to

00:34:35.900 everybody how

00:34:36.480 nothing you're

00:34:37.220 fucking doing.

00:34:37.940 something.

00:34:40.380 Some of you

00:34:41.040 might know I

00:34:41.480 have a little

00:34:41.820 bit of an

00:34:42.280 attitude about

00:34:43.060 this fentanyl

00:34:44.140 situation.

00:34:45.780 Maybe you've

00:34:46.280 heard.

00:34:50.060 Wow.

00:34:51.100 If I were a

00:34:51.980 single issue

00:34:53.660 voter, this

00:34:54.440 would be my

00:34:55.020 single issue.

00:34:57.160 All right.

00:34:58.780 Some of you

00:34:59.440 have asked,

00:34:59.880 why is the

00:35:00.280 Russian ruble

00:35:00.900 doing well

00:35:01.600 and the

00:35:03.800 dollars not

00:35:04.960 as well as

00:35:05.560 the ruble

00:35:05.900 apparently?

00:35:06.300 And I

00:35:08.020 saw a

00:35:08.280 great thread

00:35:09.180 by Aslak

00:35:11.380 Berg who

00:35:12.440 seems to know

00:35:13.020 what he's

00:35:13.260 talking about

00:35:13.740 and he

00:35:14.640 explains it

00:35:15.180 simply this

00:35:15.800 way.

00:35:17.680 Russia can

00:35:18.540 support the

00:35:19.400 ruble by

00:35:20.280 just telling

00:35:20.840 people that

00:35:21.420 they have to

00:35:21.860 pay them in

00:35:22.500 rubles.

00:35:23.760 Say you

00:35:24.400 can buy our

00:35:25.300 oil but you're

00:35:27.160 going to have to

00:35:27.480 convert your

00:35:28.000 money to

00:35:28.380 rubles first

00:35:29.040 because we're

00:35:29.860 only going to

00:35:30.260 take rubles.

00:35:31.440 And as long as

00:35:32.160 people want to

00:35:32.680 buy their oil and

00:35:33.640 energy in

00:35:34.520 general, then

00:35:36.020 the ruble will

00:35:37.440 stay high because

00:35:38.380 there's an

00:35:39.480 artificial demand

00:35:40.320 for it.

00:35:41.780 But the

00:35:43.600 sanctions against

00:35:45.060 Russia are more

00:35:46.300 about their

00:35:46.980 imports.

00:35:48.420 So the

00:35:48.820 sanctions about

00:35:49.560 them selling

00:35:50.240 things are not

00:35:52.040 as aggressive

00:35:52.960 at the moment.

00:35:54.580 It would

00:35:54.920 probably take a

00:35:55.400 long time for

00:35:56.060 people to get

00:35:56.600 alternate sources

00:35:57.500 of energy,

00:35:58.400 etc.

00:35:58.560 So they

00:35:59.320 can't really

00:35:59.760 close down

00:36:00.440 Russia's

00:36:00.880 exports right

00:36:01.660 away.

00:36:02.580 But we're

00:36:03.320 apparently trying

00:36:04.060 to cripple

00:36:04.580 them, we

00:36:05.120 meaning the

00:36:06.160 people in

00:36:06.620 charge of

00:36:06.940 sanctions, by

00:36:08.760 limiting what

00:36:10.600 comes in.

00:36:11.480 Now eventually,

00:36:12.580 if you limited

00:36:13.260 all their

00:36:13.700 imports, you

00:36:15.060 would close

00:36:15.520 down their

00:36:15.900 exports too.

00:36:17.660 So if you

00:36:18.460 stop their

00:36:19.000 imports, that

00:36:19.660 will eventually

00:36:20.400 get to

00:36:20.820 everything.

00:36:21.460 Because they

00:36:22.000 won't be able

00:36:22.400 to build a

00:36:23.500 new refinery,

00:36:24.460 they won't be

00:36:24.840 able to repair

00:36:25.480 something that

00:36:26.000 breaks.

00:36:26.720 Eventually it

00:36:27.380 would shut

00:36:27.620 down the

00:36:27.920 whole country.

00:36:28.560 Because they

00:36:29.120 don't make

00:36:29.640 chips and

00:36:30.960 stuff enough

00:36:32.380 in Russia.

00:36:34.400 So does

00:36:34.960 that make

00:36:35.240 sense?

00:36:36.740 That the

00:36:38.280 reason that

00:36:38.720 Russia's

00:36:39.140 ruble is

00:36:39.580 good is

00:36:40.120 that we're

00:36:40.420 not doing

00:36:40.940 much about

00:36:41.640 what they're

00:36:42.000 selling, but

00:36:43.400 we're doing a

00:36:43.880 lot about what

00:36:44.440 they're buying.

00:36:45.420 And that

00:36:45.720 doesn't have as

00:36:46.220 much impact on

00:36:46.920 the ruble.

00:36:49.100 How about

00:36:49.660 that for a

00:36:50.200 simple economic

00:36:51.160 explanation?

00:36:52.460 Did that clear

00:36:53.400 anything up for

00:36:54.000 you?

00:36:55.000 Or did that

00:36:55.460 just confuse

00:36:56.000 you?

00:36:56.240 I'm seeing

00:36:59.500 no plausible.

00:37:02.480 Well, the

00:37:03.220 plausible part

00:37:03.860 is right.

00:37:04.660 I mean, I'm

00:37:05.200 pretty sure the

00:37:05.720 explanation is

00:37:06.440 right.

00:37:12.680 About the

00:37:13.300 minion plushie

00:37:14.060 at the top

00:37:14.540 shelf?

00:37:15.860 Somebody's

00:37:16.300 asking about

00:37:16.780 my minion.

00:37:17.580 Well, it's

00:37:17.860 not a

00:37:18.120 plushie, it's

00:37:18.760 ceramic.

00:37:19.500 but it

00:37:22.260 was just a

00:37:23.000 gag gift at

00:37:23.580 one point.

00:37:24.100 I just

00:37:24.360 liked it.

00:37:27.860 All right.

00:37:28.540 So I think

00:37:28.980 that cleared

00:37:30.240 that up for

00:37:30.820 you.

00:37:31.380 Glad to

00:37:31.980 help.

00:37:34.180 And I

00:37:35.780 offer this

00:37:36.380 following test

00:37:37.500 so that we

00:37:38.840 might all

00:37:39.420 know once

00:37:40.060 and for

00:37:40.360 all, and

00:37:41.460 again, I

00:37:41.840 don't care

00:37:42.400 because we're

00:37:44.260 past it, but

00:37:45.740 do masks

00:37:46.760 work?

00:37:47.160 And I

00:37:48.400 have a

00:37:48.900 specific way

00:37:49.660 to test it

00:37:50.220 that I

00:37:50.480 don't know

00:37:50.980 has been

00:37:51.360 tested, but

00:37:52.020 maybe you've

00:37:52.460 seen it.

00:37:52.840 It goes

00:37:53.120 like this.

00:37:55.020 In my

00:37:55.440 way of

00:37:55.800 thinking, we

00:37:56.440 all know

00:37:56.840 that masks

00:37:57.340 do not

00:37:57.840 stop viruses

00:37:58.840 from spreading.

00:38:00.620 Would you

00:38:00.940 all agree?

00:38:02.420 Everybody on

00:38:03.060 the same

00:38:03.320 page?

00:38:04.400 We do

00:38:05.080 know that

00:38:05.520 masks do

00:38:06.360 not stop

00:38:07.120 the spread.

00:38:08.220 Everybody?

00:38:09.280 Now, we

00:38:09.620 don't know if

00:38:10.080 it slows it

00:38:10.600 down.

00:38:11.880 Some say

00:38:12.460 yes, some

00:38:13.200 say no.

00:38:14.000 But we do

00:38:14.560 know it

00:38:14.840 didn't really

00:38:15.200 show up in

00:38:15.740 the high

00:38:17.080 level numbers,

00:38:17.820 right?

00:38:18.660 There's

00:38:19.100 nobody who

00:38:19.600 used masks

00:38:20.580 and just

00:38:21.220 masks and

00:38:21.960 got rid of

00:38:23.160 the virus.

00:38:24.600 So I

00:38:24.840 think you're

00:38:25.200 all on the

00:38:25.540 same page,

00:38:27.060 especially the

00:38:27.980 regular masks.

00:38:28.780 Let's not

00:38:29.240 talk about

00:38:29.640 M95s.

00:38:30.940 We're talking

00:38:31.360 about the

00:38:31.700 public,

00:38:32.200 regular masks.

00:38:33.380 We all

00:38:33.860 agree that

00:38:34.400 regular masks

00:38:35.060 allow a

00:38:36.020 virus to

00:38:36.520 spread and

00:38:37.700 you can get

00:38:38.200 it.

00:38:39.000 Everybody's

00:38:39.480 on the

00:38:39.660 same page

00:38:40.060 on that.

00:38:41.360 But number

00:38:41.720 two, this

00:38:43.120 is the part

00:38:43.600 that I always

00:38:44.200 talk about

00:38:44.640 that nobody

00:38:45.000 does, which

00:38:45.860 is I

00:38:46.280 thought we

00:38:46.820 knew that

00:38:48.040 the degree

00:38:48.700 of or the

00:38:49.440 quantity of

00:38:50.160 virus you

00:38:50.680 initially get

00:38:51.360 makes a

00:38:51.800 difference for

00:38:52.320 your survival.

00:38:53.980 Am I right?

00:38:55.200 Now, I don't

00:38:55.900 know that that's

00:38:56.420 been debunked.

00:38:57.660 And so my

00:38:58.080 hypothesis is

00:38:59.020 this.

00:38:59.840 If masks

00:39:00.880 worked, and I'm

00:39:01.900 going to put

00:39:02.200 worked in

00:39:02.680 quotes because

00:39:03.800 I'm not talking

00:39:04.600 about stopping

00:39:05.320 infection because

00:39:06.660 I don't think

00:39:07.160 it did, or at

00:39:08.200 least in a

00:39:08.760 significant way.

00:39:09.480 But in

00:39:12.080 theory, you

00:39:13.440 would have a

00:39:13.900 high-level

00:39:14.380 infection, just

00:39:15.360 like everybody

00:39:15.980 else if you

00:39:16.640 wore masks, but

00:39:18.320 your death

00:39:18.880 rate would be

00:39:19.780 noticeably

00:39:21.060 lower.

00:39:23.360 So if you

00:39:24.140 looked at the

00:39:24.560 ratio of

00:39:25.340 infections to

00:39:26.940 deaths, it

00:39:28.300 should be

00:39:28.660 better where

00:39:29.300 there are

00:39:29.560 masks and

00:39:30.960 less good

00:39:31.460 where the

00:39:31.800 masking compliance

00:39:33.180 is less.

00:39:34.940 What do you

00:39:35.560 think?

00:39:36.640 Now, again, I'm

00:39:37.400 not telling you

00:39:37.880 that masks

00:39:38.280 worked or

00:39:38.720 didn't work.

00:39:39.620 I'm suggesting

00:39:40.300 a way to

00:39:40.880 study it that

00:39:42.980 I think would

00:39:43.540 be conclusive.

00:39:45.200 And I don't

00:39:45.740 know that that's

00:39:46.300 been studied.

00:39:47.220 Because we

00:39:47.820 keep conflating

00:39:48.660 do they stop

00:39:49.840 infections with

00:39:51.400 do they work,

00:39:52.160 and they're not

00:39:52.580 the same question.

00:39:54.080 Do you get

00:39:54.440 that?

00:39:55.420 If you say

00:39:56.100 do masks

00:39:56.880 stop infections,

00:39:58.320 no.

00:39:59.600 But that's

00:39:59.980 not the same

00:40:00.560 as do masks

00:40:01.160 work in some

00:40:02.660 functional way

00:40:03.360 that you wish

00:40:03.960 you had one.

00:40:04.860 I don't know

00:40:05.800 the answer to

00:40:06.240 that.

00:40:06.700 Now, to be

00:40:07.600 clear, because

00:40:09.500 I've been

00:40:09.880 misinterpreted a

00:40:10.740 number of

00:40:11.040 times, I

00:40:11.880 absolutely am

00:40:12.740 against mask

00:40:13.880 mandates, and

00:40:15.400 I can't imagine

00:40:16.220 wearing one

00:40:16.700 again myself.

00:40:18.240 So I'm

00:40:18.520 completely against

00:40:19.320 it because the

00:40:20.420 social cost is

00:40:21.640 too high, and

00:40:22.560 we didn't see

00:40:23.060 enough of a

00:40:24.020 difference in

00:40:24.560 the top-level

00:40:25.880 numbers.

00:40:27.200 So I'm

00:40:27.860 completely against

00:40:28.580 it.

00:40:29.160 But wouldn't

00:40:29.620 you like to

00:40:30.180 know?

00:40:31.100 I mean,

00:40:31.440 really?

00:40:32.740 Now,

00:40:33.220 Southern

00:40:33.440 California,

00:40:33.800 South Korea

00:40:35.280 versus

00:40:35.740 California

00:40:36.280 wouldn't

00:40:36.700 work.

00:40:38.060 And the

00:40:38.300 reason is

00:40:38.800 that South

00:40:39.320 Korea can't

00:40:39.960 be compared

00:40:40.460 to anybody

00:40:41.160 who didn't

00:40:42.240 have really

00:40:43.360 good testing.

00:40:45.440 So South

00:40:45.920 Korea's secret

00:40:46.600 was testing,

00:40:47.840 they say.

00:40:49.280 You know,

00:40:49.560 they would

00:40:49.820 also say

00:40:50.260 that masks

00:40:50.660 worked, but

00:40:51.500 really it was

00:40:52.020 probably testing,

00:40:52.660 and then obesity

00:40:53.340 was part of the

00:40:54.140 issue as well.

00:40:54.660 all right.

00:41:03.080 Did I leave

00:41:03.920 anything out?

00:41:05.100 Is there any

00:41:05.620 topic that you

00:41:07.880 wish I'd

00:41:08.340 mentioned?

00:41:13.440 And are you

00:41:14.420 glad that as

00:41:15.880 many people got

00:41:16.640 infected as they

00:41:17.720 did?

00:41:19.820 In a sense,

00:41:20.980 because I think

00:41:21.820 the United States

00:41:22.520 has done, and

00:41:23.520 other countries

00:41:24.080 are, because

00:41:24.420 we had enough

00:41:24.900 natural infection,

00:41:26.300 but the

00:41:26.880 countries that

00:41:27.400 didn't have the

00:41:27.960 natural infection

00:41:28.660 might be in

00:41:29.160 trouble, although

00:41:31.120 they've got

00:41:31.580 Omicron now, so

00:41:32.380 it won't be that

00:41:32.900 big a deal.

00:41:34.720 Nuclear.

00:41:36.060 Yeah, there's

00:41:36.840 nothing new on

00:41:37.360 nuclear, is there?

00:41:38.000 Any update on the

00:41:40.520 yes?

00:41:41.300 Did you see the

00:41:41.860 Rasmussen tweet?

00:41:44.000 That the

00:41:44.760 Rasmussen Twitter

00:41:47.400 account, and

00:41:48.080 there's some

00:41:48.560 suggestion there

00:41:49.700 might be some

00:41:50.180 suppression going

00:41:50.920 on.

00:41:51.720 But I retweeted

00:41:53.600 it this morning, so

00:41:54.320 you can see it in

00:41:54.980 either Rasmussen's

00:41:56.040 feed or in my

00:41:56.820 feed.

00:41:57.440 But there is one

00:41:58.360 individual who

00:42:00.040 allegedly, we know

00:42:01.260 his name and

00:42:01.920 address, and he

00:42:03.360 allegedly went to

00:42:05.520 multiple drop

00:42:07.020 boxes and left

00:42:08.820 from multiple

00:42:09.560 non-profit

00:42:10.800 agencies.

00:42:11.780 So he would be

00:42:12.760 an example of

00:42:14.100 the very thing

00:42:14.840 that the 2,000

00:42:15.640 mules wants to

00:42:16.400 prove, which is

00:42:17.700 that they have

00:42:18.560 the names of

00:42:19.340 somebody who is

00:42:19.920 an actual person

00:42:20.660 who went to

00:42:21.300 multiple boxes.

00:42:22.980 And apparently

00:42:23.660 the allegation is

00:42:25.140 that nobody wants

00:42:26.120 to talk to him.

00:42:27.440 Like, the press

00:42:28.360 is completely

00:42:29.100 uninterested.

00:42:31.480 I don't know.

00:42:33.120 I think

00:42:35.060 I think I'm

00:42:37.020 going to go

00:42:37.420 with, I don't

00:42:38.720 believe anything

00:42:39.500 about anything

00:42:40.120 with this story.

00:42:42.340 So I don't

00:42:43.340 believe that we

00:42:44.720 know, or that

00:42:46.200 we have any way

00:42:46.880 to know if an

00:42:47.720 election is

00:42:48.440 rigged.

00:42:50.280 Because we don't

00:42:50.960 do complete

00:42:51.820 audits.

00:42:52.320 It's just not a

00:42:52.920 thing.

00:42:53.500 So if you don't

00:42:54.040 do a complete

00:42:54.640 audit, you can't

00:42:56.020 ever know.

00:42:56.760 You can only

00:42:57.220 know you didn't

00:42:57.680 find the problem.

00:42:59.780 But I also

00:43:00.720 don't believe any

00:43:02.160 accusation.

00:43:03.940 Now, do you

00:43:04.420 remember when

00:43:05.140 there were

00:43:06.040 first accusations

00:43:06.920 about the

00:43:07.740 improprieties in

00:43:09.120 the election?

00:43:09.980 Do you remember

00:43:10.580 a prediction I

00:43:12.340 made at the

00:43:13.720 very beginning

00:43:14.400 of trying to

00:43:15.560 see if anything

00:43:16.120 sketchy happened

00:43:16.860 in the 2020

00:43:17.700 election?

00:43:18.860 At the very

00:43:19.400 beginning, I

00:43:20.600 said, at least

00:43:22.060 95% of

00:43:23.340 everything you

00:43:23.900 hear as an

00:43:24.620 allegation will

00:43:25.620 be false.

00:43:27.080 Does anybody

00:43:27.500 remember me

00:43:28.080 saying that?

00:43:29.220 That 95% of

00:43:30.500 everything people

00:43:31.360 say happened in

00:43:32.380 the election will

00:43:33.200 be debunked.

00:43:34.420 And there we

00:43:35.300 are.

00:43:36.040 I would say

00:43:36.600 95% of the

00:43:37.660 claims were

00:43:38.160 debunked.

00:43:39.640 The Venezuelan

00:43:40.980 general voting

00:43:42.780 machine stuff,

00:43:43.900 there's no

00:43:44.740 evidence of

00:43:45.240 that.

00:43:47.700 Yeah.

00:43:49.480 So, but,

00:43:50.920 does it mean

00:43:51.820 anything if 95%

00:43:53.160 of the allegations

00:43:54.300 are debunked?

00:43:55.800 Well, not if the

00:43:57.400 other 5% turn out

00:43:58.640 to be true.

00:44:00.000 It doesn't take

00:44:00.860 much, does it?

00:44:02.320 It only takes

00:44:02.820 one, you know,

00:44:04.140 one actual real

00:44:05.500 thing to change

00:44:06.700 an election.

00:44:10.160 Yeah, and maybe

00:44:11.060 there was a little

00:44:11.580 bit of everything,

00:44:12.380 as somebody says.

00:44:12.960 We don't know the

00:44:13.480 degree.

00:44:14.440 You have to assume

00:44:15.300 that there's always

00:44:15.820 a little bit of

00:44:17.240 chicanery in every

00:44:18.960 election.

00:44:19.560 You just never know

00:44:20.480 how much.

00:44:20.920 Yeah, we haven't

00:44:26.280 been talking about

00:44:26.960 droning the

00:44:27.680 Mexican cartels

00:44:28.840 enough.

00:44:31.440 Now, how many

00:44:33.200 people think that

00:44:34.040 Trump was crazy

00:44:35.840 for talking about

00:44:37.300 droning the

00:44:38.180 laboratories or

00:44:39.460 the cartels

00:44:41.140 headquarters or

00:44:43.880 whatever they were

00:44:44.380 in Mexico?

00:44:45.380 How many think

00:44:46.120 that's just crazy?

00:44:50.340 How many think

00:44:51.340 that that idea

00:44:52.080 came from me?

00:44:53.960 Because I'm pretty

00:44:55.000 sure I'm the only

00:44:55.600 public figure who

00:44:57.020 said that before

00:44:58.180 you heard that

00:44:58.900 Trump had also

00:44:59.620 heard it.

00:45:03.460 Does anybody

00:45:04.400 think that came

00:45:05.080 from me?

00:45:06.720 Because I was the

00:45:07.540 only one saying

00:45:08.120 it, I'm pretty

00:45:08.560 sure.

00:45:10.480 Now, that doesn't

00:45:11.260 mean he didn't

00:45:11.700 come up with the

00:45:12.220 idea on his own

00:45:12.940 because it's sort

00:45:13.780 of obvious.

00:45:15.040 I mean, it's the

00:45:15.460 question you would

00:45:16.080 ask.

00:45:16.900 And by the way,

00:45:17.420 one of the reasons

00:45:17.960 I could never be

00:45:18.760 president is because

00:45:20.460 I could never

00:45:21.060 survive the

00:45:22.940 brainstorming

00:45:23.800 conversations taken

00:45:24.820 in the context

00:45:25.620 because I would

00:45:27.300 do exactly what

00:45:28.260 Trump is getting

00:45:29.000 in trouble for

00:45:29.600 all the time.

00:45:30.740 I would throw

00:45:31.520 ideas that had

00:45:33.340 not yet been

00:45:34.080 on the table.

00:45:36.180 So I would say,

00:45:37.360 well, can't we

00:45:38.500 just kill that

00:45:39.200 person?

00:45:40.300 And then somebody

00:45:40.880 would say, no,

00:45:41.560 don't do that.

00:45:42.180 And I'd say, okay.

00:45:43.760 And then I'd say,

00:45:44.360 well, should we

00:45:45.840 just nuke that

00:45:47.040 thing?

00:45:48.320 And then people

00:45:49.060 would say, no,

00:45:49.620 no, no, you can't

00:45:50.360 use nukes.

00:45:50.940 Here are all the

00:45:51.320 good reasons.

00:45:51.840 And I'd say, yeah,

00:45:52.640 those are good

00:45:53.020 reasons.

00:45:53.900 But I would throw

00:45:54.840 out all kinds of

00:45:55.600 crazy shit just to

00:45:57.540 see how people

00:45:58.140 would respond to

00:45:58.840 it.

00:45:59.740 And that would

00:46:00.520 tell me something.

00:46:01.640 Right?

00:46:01.980 I would know if

00:46:03.220 they had ruled

00:46:03.900 something out by

00:46:04.840 reflex or if they

00:46:05.820 really thought about

00:46:06.520 it.

00:46:07.760 So when Trump

00:46:09.900 throws out ideas

00:46:10.860 like, can't we

00:46:12.060 just, you know,

00:46:12.800 lob a drone in

00:46:13.740 and take out the

00:46:14.460 cartels, I say,

00:46:16.280 that's good

00:46:16.920 presidenting.

00:46:18.520 That is good

00:46:19.540 presidenting.

00:46:20.220 He asked the

00:46:21.200 question and he

00:46:22.500 asked it of exactly

00:46:23.400 the right person.

00:46:24.860 And then when that

00:46:25.380 person gave him an

00:46:26.180 answer, which

00:46:26.680 apparently was

00:46:27.340 sufficient, that he

00:46:29.060 didn't do it.

00:46:30.480 So it's reported as

00:46:31.900 some kind of like wild,

00:46:32.960 crazy, reckless thing

00:46:34.620 that Trump did.

00:46:35.800 And I'm listening to

00:46:36.720 it and I'm thinking,

00:46:37.880 well, you just gave an

00:46:38.800 example of perfect

00:46:40.040 presidenting.

00:46:41.740 That was perfect.

00:46:43.840 He asked the question

00:46:45.580 that should have been

00:46:46.200 asked, that absolutely

00:46:47.660 should have been

00:46:48.180 asked.

00:46:48.500 He got the answer

00:46:50.440 from an expert.

00:46:52.700 He took that into

00:46:53.760 consideration and

00:46:54.720 that's the way we

00:46:55.460 went.

00:46:56.640 Perfect presidenting.

00:46:58.440 And it's, you know,

00:46:59.400 reported as some kind

00:47:00.380 of flaw.

00:47:01.920 Of course.

00:47:05.440 Oh, Trump told Oz to

00:47:07.420 claim victory.

00:47:08.360 Do we have another one

00:47:09.340 of those?

00:47:10.760 Did Oz, he didn't,

00:47:12.960 didn't he win?

00:47:14.480 Is that still in

00:47:15.560 question?

00:47:15.900 The Oz primary?

00:47:19.780 Oh, it went to a

00:47:20.380 runoff?

00:47:22.580 Interesting.

00:47:23.780 So he told them to

00:47:24.820 claim victory.

00:47:26.000 Well, why not?

00:47:27.320 Isn't that just

00:47:28.180 standard procedure?

00:47:29.520 To claim, oh, yes,

00:47:31.540 now there's talk about

00:47:32.640 monkeypox, a variant

00:47:34.800 of the bubonic plague.

00:47:37.560 Madagascar has got a

00:47:38.880 case of it or something.

00:47:40.320 So yeah, monkeypox.

00:47:41.340 Can't wait for the

00:47:44.100 monkeypox to come.

00:47:45.780 I feel like there's

00:47:47.240 something else coming,

00:47:48.140 don't you?

00:47:52.160 All right.

00:47:52.740 And there was a case

00:47:53.360 in Connecticut,

00:47:54.060 somebody says.

00:47:56.240 Yeah, who was having

00:47:57.120 sex with the monkey

00:47:57.860 is what I want to know.

00:48:00.420 And was the monkey

00:48:01.300 attractive?

00:48:02.320 These are the questions

00:48:03.080 we want to know.

00:48:07.940 Monkeypox, yeah,

00:48:08.660 okay, I'm not even

00:48:09.240 going to say that out loud.

00:48:10.020 All right.

00:48:17.600 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:48:18.620 let me ask you this

00:48:19.320 following provocative

00:48:20.900 question.

00:48:23.260 It has been over,

00:48:25.380 how long has it been

00:48:26.420 since people got their

00:48:27.320 first vaccinations?

00:48:28.900 A year and a half?

00:48:31.660 Is it a year and a half

00:48:32.760 since the first people

00:48:33.640 got vaccinated?

00:48:35.200 And it would be

00:48:36.180 maybe two years

00:48:38.680 since the first

00:48:39.740 people in the trials

00:48:41.540 got vaccinated,

00:48:43.240 right?

00:48:44.520 Something like that.

00:48:45.820 So somebody says

00:48:46.500 13 months,

00:48:48.280 but closer to

00:48:49.300 18 months

00:48:50.220 or two years.

00:48:51.500 So the question is this.

00:48:53.860 Would we be seeing

00:48:55.240 the

00:48:55.900 effects of the

00:48:58.440 vaccination itself

00:48:59.520 because all

00:49:00.880 vaccinations have

00:49:01.720 risks, right?

00:49:02.440 So nobody's saying

00:49:03.220 there's no risk.

00:49:04.980 But would we be

00:49:05.920 seeing

00:49:06.360 80% of it?

00:49:10.280 Now, if you said

00:49:11.160 not necessarily,

00:49:12.200 you're correct,

00:49:13.180 right?

00:49:13.820 So the correct answer

00:49:14.820 is not necessarily.

00:49:16.440 Can we all agree on that?

00:49:17.900 The correct answer

00:49:18.900 is not necessarily.

00:49:20.760 Maybe much later.

00:49:22.000 But statistically,

00:49:26.020 and based on

00:49:26.680 what we've seen

00:49:27.300 with every other

00:49:28.160 kind of drug,

00:49:30.000 would you say

00:49:30.680 there's an 80%

00:49:31.760 chance

00:49:32.360 that we have

00:49:33.640 enough information

00:49:34.520 already?

00:49:37.740 We don't know,

00:49:39.200 to your point,

00:49:40.420 to your point,

00:49:41.040 which I accept,

00:49:42.020 you don't know

00:49:42.520 what the future brings.

00:49:44.180 Like, you can't say,

00:49:45.140 oh, we're done.

00:49:46.880 There's, you know,

00:49:47.980 everything we know

00:49:48.760 now is everything.

00:49:49.600 Not that.

00:49:50.320 All right, so I'm

00:49:51.940 trying to be fair

00:49:52.860 and balanced here.

00:49:54.120 But,

00:49:54.740 how many years

00:49:56.980 would you have to wait

00:49:57.940 before you would

00:49:59.720 be willing to say,

00:50:00.760 well, it looks like

00:50:01.380 the vaccination itself

00:50:02.380 wasn't a problem?

00:50:04.020 Suppose we went

00:50:05.100 five years,

00:50:06.460 suppose,

00:50:07.600 and that the

00:50:08.680 initial studies

00:50:10.800 about the risks

00:50:11.760 of the vaccine

00:50:12.520 essentially held.

00:50:14.600 That what we

00:50:16.060 believed as we

00:50:16.960 entered the trial

00:50:17.720 was largely

00:50:19.080 what we got

00:50:19.900 five years

00:50:20.440 later.

00:50:22.180 Somebody says

00:50:22.840 ten years.

00:50:24.120 Do you think

00:50:24.660 that the difference

00:50:25.420 between five

00:50:26.280 and ten years

00:50:27.260 is statistically

00:50:28.740 important?

00:50:30.460 Here's my

00:50:30.940 assumption,

00:50:31.840 but I would

00:50:32.220 need somebody

00:50:33.580 who's an expert

00:50:34.600 to back me up

00:50:35.560 on this.

00:50:36.160 My opinion is

00:50:37.040 that in five years

00:50:38.220 you would be

00:50:39.080 at something

00:50:39.720 like 99%

00:50:41.260 certainty.

00:50:43.240 And at ten years,

00:50:44.600 closer to 100.

00:50:46.200 You never get

00:50:47.000 to 100.

00:50:47.360 but that's

00:50:49.320 what it feels

00:50:49.840 like.

00:50:50.140 It feels

00:50:51.060 like the first

00:50:51.760 one year

00:50:52.360 you know

00:50:54.020 almost everything

00:50:55.240 you need to

00:50:55.720 know in one

00:50:57.120 year.

00:50:58.140 But, you know,

00:50:59.020 this vaccine is

00:50:59.880 not like other

00:51:00.480 vaccines,

00:51:01.160 so maybe it's

00:51:01.780 different.

00:51:02.620 But after five

00:51:03.820 years,

00:51:04.800 I feel like five

00:51:07.120 years would get

00:51:07.740 you well over

00:51:08.720 a 90%

00:51:09.520 certainty.

00:51:10.080 but, again,

00:51:12.700 can you use

00:51:13.560 the past

00:51:14.240 to predict

00:51:15.760 what would

00:51:16.180 happen with

00:51:16.720 this mRNA

00:51:17.600 technology?

00:51:19.100 And the answer

00:51:19.440 is, maybe

00:51:21.080 not.

00:51:22.600 But,

00:51:23.700 wouldn't that

00:51:24.140 be true for

00:51:24.680 all of the

00:51:25.380 vaccines,

00:51:26.640 that every one

00:51:27.260 is a one-off?

00:51:29.240 There's always

00:51:29.880 something different

00:51:30.600 about it.

00:51:31.400 That's why it's

00:51:31.900 a different

00:51:32.220 vaccine.

00:51:33.380 So, isn't it

00:51:34.520 always true

00:51:35.380 that you don't

00:51:37.020 know for sure

00:51:37.840 if that one

00:51:38.400 year or five

00:51:39.060 years is going

00:51:39.660 to tell you

00:51:39.980 everything you

00:51:40.420 need to know?

00:51:41.020 You never

00:51:41.400 really know.

00:51:42.960 But I'm

00:51:43.260 going to...

00:51:44.240 So, you

00:51:50.220 all know that

00:51:50.760 I was against

00:51:51.380 vaccine mandates,

00:51:53.380 right?

00:51:54.840 And I didn't

00:51:55.880 get the

00:51:56.360 additional

00:51:57.460 boosters.

00:51:58.080 I got the

00:51:58.420 first one

00:51:58.940 because that

00:51:59.280 was part of

00:51:59.640 the first

00:52:00.020 set, but I

00:52:01.540 didn't get

00:52:01.840 any additional

00:52:02.340 boosters.

00:52:02.980 Don't plan

00:52:03.380 to.

00:52:04.500 So, I

00:52:06.180 determined that

00:52:06.820 the reason that

00:52:07.440 people think that

00:52:08.320 I was pro-mask

00:52:09.540 and pro-vaccine

00:52:11.140 is one tweet

00:52:13.080 because when

00:52:13.900 I challenge

00:52:14.700 people that

00:52:16.420 why they think

00:52:17.120 my view was

00:52:18.260 the opposite

00:52:18.660 of what it

00:52:19.080 was, they

00:52:20.400 produce one

00:52:21.380 tweet.

00:52:22.960 And the

00:52:23.740 tweet was

00:52:24.140 this.

00:52:25.100 It was after

00:52:25.640 I got

00:52:25.920 vaccinated, I

00:52:27.540 said that if

00:52:28.560 you're vaccinated,

00:52:29.440 no, I said if

00:52:30.020 you're not

00:52:30.300 vaccinated, you're

00:52:31.060 in a pandemic.

00:52:32.380 And if you are

00:52:32.880 vaccinated, it's

00:52:33.820 just Tuesday.

00:52:35.700 And apparently

00:52:36.480 people

00:52:37.060 interpreted that

00:52:41.160 as a pro-

00:52:42.140 vaccination

00:52:42.600 stand.

00:52:44.540 Was it?

00:52:46.780 Let me say

00:52:47.840 it again.

00:52:48.980 So the tweet

00:52:49.520 was, if you're

00:52:50.720 unvaccinated, you're

00:52:51.720 in a pandemic.

00:52:53.080 And if you're

00:52:53.800 vaccinated, it's

00:52:55.480 just Tuesday.

00:52:56.640 Is that pro-

00:52:57.660 vaccine?

00:52:57.980 What do you

00:53:00.220 think?

00:53:00.460 I'm seeing

00:53:05.620 yeses.

00:53:07.080 Some no's, but I

00:53:08.220 think I primed you

00:53:08.960 too much for that.

00:53:10.440 I think yes would

00:53:11.240 be a reasonable

00:53:11.760 answer, but it

00:53:13.260 wasn't what I was

00:53:13.880 thinking.

00:53:15.120 So do you

00:53:16.280 enjoy it when I

00:53:17.260 admit I was

00:53:19.020 wrong?

00:53:20.140 Anybody?

00:53:21.400 Does anybody

00:53:21.960 enjoy it when I

00:53:23.160 confess

00:53:23.700 completely that I

00:53:25.980 was wrong?

00:53:27.020 You like it.

00:53:28.740 All right.

00:53:28.900 So the tweet

00:53:29.940 didn't say

00:53:31.020 what I hoped

00:53:31.620 it didn't

00:53:32.520 communicate what

00:53:33.940 I hoped it

00:53:34.300 would communicate.

00:53:36.160 And therefore,

00:53:36.960 it was a very

00:53:37.460 bad tweet.

00:53:38.280 So that's on

00:53:38.960 me.

00:53:39.880 So I'm going

00:53:40.400 to say that

00:53:40.980 the public's

00:53:42.060 interpretation of

00:53:43.140 my opinion was

00:53:45.420 polluted by

00:53:46.360 me.

00:53:47.700 So I did that

00:53:48.980 myself.

00:53:49.880 Let me tell you

00:53:50.480 what the tweet

00:53:51.120 was supposed to

00:53:51.660 say.

00:53:52.760 It was supposed

00:53:53.600 to say how I

00:53:55.120 felt.

00:53:56.780 That's it.

00:53:58.140 And I assumed

00:53:59.040 other people felt

00:53:59.820 the same.

00:54:00.720 So what I

00:54:01.080 really meant

00:54:01.520 was the day

00:54:02.320 that I got

00:54:02.740 vaccinated,

00:54:03.400 and remember

00:54:03.740 this was before

00:54:04.600 things picked

00:54:05.820 up and we

00:54:06.340 went back to

00:54:07.100 some masking.

00:54:08.440 So the

00:54:09.780 masks were

00:54:10.500 off, and

00:54:12.220 then once I

00:54:12.760 got vaccinated,

00:54:15.000 there wasn't

00:54:16.660 anything else I

00:54:17.180 had to do.

00:54:18.720 So I could

00:54:19.440 fly, and I

00:54:21.760 didn't have to

00:54:22.160 wear a mask.

00:54:22.860 So for me,

00:54:24.040 I no longer

00:54:24.660 had to think

00:54:25.300 about the

00:54:25.700 pandemic,

00:54:26.280 because I

00:54:26.580 didn't have

00:54:26.900 to put on

00:54:27.300 a mask,

00:54:28.200 and I

00:54:28.560 didn't have

00:54:29.660 any restrictions

00:54:30.280 to where I

00:54:30.780 traveled.

00:54:31.960 So for me,

00:54:32.540 it was over.

00:54:34.120 But that's

00:54:34.740 not a statement

00:54:35.260 about the

00:54:35.700 vaccination.

00:54:37.340 That's a

00:54:37.780 statement about

00:54:38.400 I don't have

00:54:38.980 to do anything

00:54:39.620 about the

00:54:40.000 pandemic anymore.

00:54:40.960 It doesn't

00:54:41.600 need to be

00:54:41.960 part of my

00:54:42.360 mental process.

00:54:44.680 Now, you

00:54:46.020 can see how I

00:54:46.620 fucked up with

00:54:47.240 the tweet,

00:54:47.680 right?

00:54:48.660 Does everybody

00:54:49.380 agree that the

00:54:50.100 tweet was a

00:54:51.400 mistake?

00:54:52.400 You see that,

00:54:53.100 right?

00:54:53.300 because we

00:54:54.660 were in such

00:54:55.100 a partisan

00:54:55.840 situation that

00:54:59.420 what I was

00:55:00.300 blind to,

00:55:02.720 and this is

00:55:03.480 completely my

00:55:04.320 mistake, so I'm

00:55:04.980 not trying to

00:55:05.800 hedge this at

00:55:06.360 all.

00:55:07.160 I'm taking

00:55:07.660 full responsibility.

00:55:09.860 In the context

00:55:10.960 of people taking

00:55:12.500 sides, that

00:55:14.220 tweet was very

00:55:15.860 poor, because it

00:55:17.360 looked like I

00:55:17.800 was taking

00:55:18.100 sides.

00:55:18.900 Now, I

00:55:19.460 wasn't telling

00:55:19.900 you what to

00:55:20.380 do.

00:55:21.500 I was just

00:55:22.280 telling you,

00:55:22.840 hey, I'll

00:55:23.480 bet a lot of

00:55:23.880 people feel

00:55:24.320 like I do.

00:55:25.540 Once you do

00:55:26.060 this, you're

00:55:26.420 done.

00:55:28.240 Somebody says

00:55:28.920 stop apologizing.

00:55:30.580 Fuck you.

00:55:32.260 Fuck you.

00:55:33.780 Stop apologizing.

00:55:35.240 Did that sound

00:55:35.800 like an apology?

00:55:37.800 That was a

00:55:38.520 statement of

00:55:39.340 clarification.

00:55:41.100 Stop

00:55:41.520 apologizing.

00:55:42.860 Fuck you.

00:55:43.840 Really.

00:55:44.340 Just fuck you.

00:55:46.660 All right.

00:55:48.520 That, ladies

00:55:49.400 and gentlemen,

00:55:49.880 consult your

00:55:53.120 physician,

00:55:53.820 somebody says.

00:55:54.820 Yes.

00:55:57.060 If you were

00:55:57.720 really sorry,

00:55:58.420 you'd look at

00:55:58.860 Peter McCullough.

00:56:00.700 In all caps,

00:56:01.540 Eddie says,

00:56:02.460 how many of you

00:56:03.200 think that I

00:56:03.960 need to go read

00:56:05.140 the warnings of

00:56:07.380 the rogue

00:56:08.860 doctors?

00:56:11.160 I'm watching

00:56:11.840 the stats,

00:56:12.460 yes, and

00:56:13.820 those rogue

00:56:15.100 doctors will

00:56:15.860 be proven

00:56:16.360 right or

00:56:16.820 wrong, and

00:56:18.020 if they're

00:56:18.340 right, I'll

00:56:20.300 definitely be

00:56:20.900 talking about

00:56:21.380 that.

00:56:22.300 But do you

00:56:23.060 believe that

00:56:23.520 the rogue

00:56:23.880 doctors have

00:56:24.540 been proven

00:56:25.100 right?

00:56:27.140 Do you

00:56:27.960 think that

00:56:28.340 the current

00:56:28.820 data, at

00:56:30.040 least that's

00:56:30.480 publicly

00:56:30.880 available, do

00:56:31.920 you think that

00:56:32.340 the rogue

00:56:32.720 doctors have

00:56:33.380 been proven

00:56:33.920 right?

00:56:34.280 I'm saying

00:56:36.960 not yet,

00:56:38.260 not yet.

00:56:40.800 Somebody says

00:56:41.580 not yet,

00:56:42.040 not yet?

00:56:43.300 That's

00:56:43.760 interesting.

00:56:44.220 I thought a

00:56:44.520 lot of you

00:56:44.800 would say

00:56:45.080 yes.

00:56:45.840 I'm not

00:56:46.200 getting the

00:56:46.540 answers I

00:56:46.900 expected.

00:56:47.720 So it's

00:56:48.100 funny, there's

00:56:49.320 definitely a

00:56:49.760 difference between

00:56:50.380 the locals

00:56:50.940 platform audience

00:56:53.020 and YouTube.

00:56:54.920 The locals

00:56:55.820 platform audience

00:56:56.900 are far more

00:56:58.800 likely to be

00:57:02.220 analytically

00:57:03.060 correct.

00:57:04.280 and it's

00:57:05.140 not an

00:57:05.480 accident because

00:57:06.320 it's people

00:57:06.720 who largely

00:57:07.280 follow me on

00:57:08.000 that platform

00:57:08.600 because they

00:57:10.000 like the

00:57:10.760 analytical part,

00:57:11.780 like how to

00:57:12.140 look at it.

00:57:13.120 Not my opinion

00:57:15.120 of what's true

00:57:15.840 or not, but

00:57:16.360 how to look at

00:57:16.960 it.

00:57:17.180 That's what

00:57:17.660 they tend to

00:57:18.220 like, which

00:57:19.960 is a good

00:57:20.280 thing to

00:57:20.600 like.

00:57:22.260 All right.

00:57:25.900 Somebody says

00:57:26.560 locals is an

00:57:27.440 echo chamber.

00:57:29.040 Well, you

00:57:32.160 know, that has

00:57:33.640 more to do

00:57:34.060 with the

00:57:34.280 business

00:57:34.580 model.

00:57:35.700 It's meant

00:57:36.420 to be a

00:57:37.040 community of

00:57:37.700 people built

00:57:38.300 around a

00:57:39.060 certain set

00:57:39.700 of ideas.

00:57:43.240 So, yeah,

00:57:44.600 I mean,

00:57:45.140 calling it an

00:57:45.800 echo chamber is

00:57:46.620 sort of dismissing

00:57:47.780 the fact that

00:57:48.340 it's designed to

00:57:49.160 be that for

00:57:50.300 its benefits.

00:57:52.020 So you can get

00:57:52.840 the other stuff

00:57:53.420 anywhere else you

00:57:54.200 want.

00:57:55.680 And it's not

00:57:56.340 like the

00:57:57.620 echo, it's not

00:57:58.460 like the locals

00:57:59.120 people agree with

00:57:59.960 me all the time.

00:58:00.560 Well, let me

00:58:01.720 ask you this.

00:58:04.040 On the locals

00:58:04.880 platform, how

00:58:05.560 often do you

00:58:06.040 disagree with

00:58:06.560 me?

00:58:07.780 Well, it's a

00:58:08.420 lot.

00:58:09.360 All right.

00:58:15.580 They're not

00:58:16.140 more analytical,

00:58:17.040 they're more

00:58:17.340 agreeable,

00:58:18.000 somebody says.

00:58:18.620 No, they're

00:58:18.960 actually more

00:58:20.540 analytical.

00:58:21.020 They almost

00:58:23.640 always are

00:58:25.740 more likely to

00:58:26.700 see the hidden

00:58:27.320 trap.

00:58:28.400 So they've been

00:58:29.300 trained to spot

00:58:30.600 the traps.

00:58:31.600 And the regular

00:58:32.340 public has not,

00:58:33.620 largely.

00:58:38.080 All the excess

00:58:39.040 deaths above

00:58:39.740 baseline.

00:58:42.600 I don't believe

00:58:43.520 the numbers.

00:58:45.040 Yeah.

00:58:45.560 So you'll see

00:58:47.440 lots of things

00:58:48.040 on Twitter,

00:58:49.500 you know,

00:58:49.800 excess baseline

00:58:51.320 deaths.

00:58:52.580 I have the

00:58:53.740 same opinion

00:58:54.300 of all of

00:58:55.040 it.

00:58:56.020 It's just

00:58:56.540 not credible.

00:58:58.420 Some of it

00:58:59.000 might be true,

00:59:00.460 but there's

00:59:00.880 nothing I can

00:59:01.420 believe at this

00:59:02.200 point.

00:59:03.040 So only time

00:59:04.520 is going to

00:59:05.160 get us a good

00:59:05.700 answer.

00:59:06.620 Anything you're

00:59:07.220 looking at

00:59:07.600 today, let me

00:59:09.100 say this.

00:59:09.920 If you saw

00:59:10.800 online, somebody

00:59:11.580 said baseline

00:59:12.400 deaths were

00:59:13.000 through the

00:59:13.440 roof, and

00:59:14.440 therefore the

00:59:15.000 only explanation

00:59:15.840 has to be

00:59:17.920 the vaccination

00:59:19.760 themselves, but

00:59:21.780 you're not

00:59:22.100 seeing other

00:59:22.680 entities pick

00:59:23.420 that up, take

00:59:25.620 something from

00:59:26.160 that.

00:59:27.520 Sometimes it's

00:59:28.660 because somebody

00:59:29.280 got suppressed.

00:59:30.880 That's a real

00:59:31.380 thing.

00:59:32.720 But more

00:59:33.420 often it's

00:59:34.240 because other

00:59:34.860 people looked

00:59:35.380 at it and

00:59:35.760 said, I'm

00:59:36.540 not convinced.

00:59:38.280 That's what I

00:59:38.760 think.

00:59:41.160 So while I

00:59:42.320 would take it

00:59:42.820 seriously that

00:59:44.820 there are smart

00:59:45.540 people who have

00:59:46.200 found anomalies

00:59:47.000 in the death

00:59:47.960 rates, I

00:59:48.800 take that

00:59:49.200 seriously.

00:59:50.440 And I would

00:59:50.760 definitely like

00:59:51.280 people to look

00:59:51.800 into it, but

00:59:53.020 I don't know

00:59:53.900 that the story

00:59:54.560 is that everybody

00:59:55.400 is ignoring it.

00:59:57.020 I feel like the

00:59:57.740 story is other

00:59:58.480 people looked at

00:59:59.240 the data and

00:59:59.780 said, I don't

01:00:00.220 see it.

01:00:01.380 I feel like

01:00:01.880 that's what's

01:00:02.300 happening.

01:00:08.680 All right.

01:00:09.420 Let's not talk

01:00:10.240 about that

01:00:11.300 anymore.

01:00:11.660 Did spending

01:00:15.420 $6 trillion for

01:00:16.300 COVID lead to

01:00:17.240 facilitating war

01:00:18.420 in Ukraine?

01:00:20.140 Did it?

01:00:20.800 What would be

01:00:21.240 the connection

01:00:21.760 there?

01:00:24.040 Apparently

01:00:24.560 there's a

01:00:25.220 general

01:00:25.620 understanding

01:00:26.480 now that

01:00:27.140 Biden is

01:00:28.660 basically

01:00:31.260 botched the

01:00:32.180 Afghanistan

01:00:32.760 pullout, the

01:00:33.780 baby formula

01:00:34.420 thing.

01:00:34.940 He didn't

01:00:35.100 act fast

01:00:35.860 enough.

01:00:38.180 Ukraine is

01:00:39.060 kind of a

01:00:39.800 mess.

01:00:40.260 He caused

01:00:40.700 inflation.

01:00:41.200 He caused

01:00:41.820 the energy

01:00:42.280 shortages.

01:00:43.220 He basically

01:00:43.900 caused every

01:00:44.620 problem by

01:00:45.400 his actions,

01:00:46.140 didn't he?

01:00:47.280 I feel like

01:00:48.180 it.

01:00:48.880 Basically, he

01:00:49.580 literally caused

01:00:50.440 every problem

01:00:51.040 we have,

01:00:52.160 including

01:00:52.760 division.

01:00:55.200 Right?

01:00:55.460 Everything.

01:00:59.440 Why do

01:01:00.080 people hate

01:01:00.480 Tesla?

01:01:01.020 Because people

01:01:01.440 hate everything

01:01:01.980 successful.

01:01:04.140 40% of the

01:01:05.140 public is

01:01:06.360 going to hate

01:01:06.800 anything that's

01:01:07.540 successful.

01:01:11.200 by the

01:01:12.800 way, those

01:01:13.760 of you who

01:01:14.140 are saying

01:01:14.460 that the

01:01:15.100 81 million

01:01:15.840 votes is

01:01:16.360 telling you

01:01:16.740 something,

01:01:17.760 that's not

01:01:18.320 the best

01:01:18.720 argument.

01:01:20.220 It's not.

01:01:21.220 Because it

01:01:22.100 leaves out the

01:01:22.680 fact that the

01:01:23.200 country is

01:01:23.680 bigger and

01:01:24.960 that people

01:01:25.440 were more

01:01:26.120 interested in

01:01:27.020 voting.

01:01:28.360 So the

01:01:29.820 whole 81

01:01:30.600 million votes

01:01:31.400 thing, I

01:01:32.140 don't find that

01:01:32.720 persuasive at

01:01:34.540 all.

01:01:35.760 It feels like

01:01:37.460 an analytical

01:01:38.120 mistake.

01:01:39.680 It just

01:01:39.960 feels like,

01:01:40.560 of course,

01:01:41.100 let me make

01:01:42.200 a prediction.

01:01:43.860 My prediction

01:01:44.560 is that in

01:01:45.360 2024, more

01:01:47.060 people will

01:01:47.700 vote than

01:01:48.780 ever before.

01:01:50.300 Anybody want

01:01:50.860 to take the

01:01:51.220 other side of

01:01:51.660 that bet?

01:01:53.800 It will be a

01:01:54.740 record number

01:01:55.360 of voters in

01:01:56.080 2024.

01:01:58.060 Because people

01:01:58.860 will probably

01:01:59.300 still care,

01:02:00.580 and there will

01:02:01.060 be more

01:02:01.400 people.

01:02:02.760 That's it.

01:02:03.720 It's pretty

01:02:04.140 easy.

01:02:04.780 Pretty easy

01:02:05.240 prediction.

01:02:08.380 All right.

01:02:13.620 All right.

01:02:14.160 I guess we'll

01:02:14.640 find out how

01:02:15.140 many Twitter

01:02:15.840 bots there

01:02:16.420 are if Elon

01:02:17.380 Musk gets a

01:02:18.020 hold of the

01:02:18.400 company.

01:02:19.300 And I think

01:02:20.080 he will.

01:02:21.640 Yeah, if

01:02:22.060 Trump runs,

01:02:22.740 it will

01:02:22.860 definitely be a

01:02:23.800 record number

01:02:24.320 of votes,

01:02:24.940 both sides.

01:02:27.980 All right.

01:02:28.940 That's all for

01:02:29.700 now.

01:02:30.600 And I'm

01:02:31.100 going to talk

01:02:31.840 to you tomorrow,

01:02:32.760 YouTube.

01:02:33.400 Best show

01:02:33.900 ever, I

01:02:34.280 think.

01:02:35.760 Because

01:02:36.540 after this,

01:02:37.240 it's

01:02:38.460 being

01:02:40.240 good to

01:02:40.460 comment,

01:02:41.080 you're

01:02:41.140 on it.

01:02:42.240 Maybe if they're

01:02:43.160 told that this is

01:02:43.960 just a little bit

01:02:44.140 about this,

01:02:44.700 yes,

01:02:45.100 is to

01:02:46.160 to

01:02:47.120 own.

01:02:47.220 This

01:02:47.740 is

01:02:47.800 a

01:02:48.020 part of

01:02:48.200 well,

01:02:48.540 actually,

01:02:49.020 I think,

01:02:49.880 I'm going to

01:02:50.220 to

01:02:51.460 hp,

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 19, 2022

Episode 1748 Scott Adams： Headlines And A Beverage Sip Because We Like Doing That

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