Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 23, 2022


Episode 1752 Scott Adams： Russia Loses War With Ukraine. Baby Formula Shortage Is Everyone's Fault


Episode Stats

Length

57 minutes

Words per Minute

147.28474

Word Count

8,405

Sentence Count

750

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

16


Summary

The new Star Trek series, "Star Trek: Discovery," is being ruined by wokeness, and I'm all in favor of it. But is it better than the original Star Trek? And why is it so good?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.
00:00:08.420 Coffee with Scott Adams, the best thing that's ever happened to anybody, anywhere.
00:00:13.660 It's true.
00:00:14.960 And if you'd like to enjoy this in a way that, I don't know, you'll probably be telling your grandkids,
00:00:21.820 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or gel,
00:00:24.620 it's a tiny canteen jug or a flask of a vessel of any kind.
00:00:28.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:30.540 I like coffee.
00:00:32.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:36.520 It's that dopamine the other day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:39.300 It's the simultaneous sip.
00:00:41.500 It goes now.
00:00:42.500 Go.
00:00:48.720 I have a question on the Locals platform.
00:00:50.900 Does dopamine help vertigo?
00:00:52.840 It helps everything.
00:00:54.320 You'll still be dizzy, but you'll be happier about it.
00:00:57.360 Does everybody feel their dopamine just go up a level?
00:01:01.580 Is it just me?
00:01:02.760 It's not just me.
00:01:04.120 No, your dopamine just went up a little bit.
00:01:06.320 That little happiness you're feeling right now because of the beginning of Coffee with Scott Adams,
00:01:11.000 that's real.
00:01:12.440 That's real.
00:01:13.120 You're feeling it.
00:01:14.660 Well, I told you that there's a new Star Trek series called Star Trek Discovery,
00:01:20.440 and I watched the first one a few weeks ago, and I reported that it was not ruined by wokeness,
00:01:28.860 had not been ruined by wokeness, because the other most recent Star Trek had been just overwoked
00:01:34.400 to the point where it just ruined the writing.
00:01:37.320 Now, I'm all for wokeness.
00:01:39.200 I'm actually, you know, I know you might be surprised,
00:01:42.940 but I think the wokeness stuff is completely appropriate.
00:01:46.620 But like everything good, you can take it too far, and then it ruins everything.
00:01:52.100 So it's not the goodness of it in general.
00:01:54.320 I think we should all treat people the way they would like to be treated to the extent that's practical.
00:02:01.000 But everything good goes too far.
00:02:03.960 I made a comic strip on that very thing.
00:02:06.560 The Dilbert comic doesn't make fun of bad things.
00:02:09.840 That's a misconception.
00:02:11.720 It doesn't make fun of things that are bad ideas.
00:02:14.840 It makes fun of good ideas that are taken too far, mostly.
00:02:19.000 I mean, I do both.
00:02:20.820 But it's an important distinction.
00:02:24.320 So, the new Star Trek, Discovery, I watched the second episode, and it's ruined by wokeness.
00:02:33.640 It's completely ruined.
00:02:35.600 The second one was almost unwatchable, because I thought, oh, they've got a nice diverse cast.
00:02:42.300 That's good.
00:02:43.820 Star Trek always had a diverse cast, and that was one of its strengths.
00:02:47.760 So good to see that.
00:02:49.420 And then I thought, okay, they're not trying to kill us with wokeness.
00:02:52.820 They're just doing it the way the original Star Trek did.
00:02:56.360 They're just building the cast up to be full, capable people, and that's all you need.
00:03:02.560 Everybody from different types, they're all full and capable people.
00:03:05.560 But no, the entire second episode had to be about the only black woman who is a cast member on the deck, and how awesome she is compared to everybody else, basically.
00:03:19.180 And I'm thinking, I don't know.
00:03:23.260 I mean, the fact that she was black and female didn't have to do with anything, did it?
00:03:29.360 Except they wouldn't have done that story if she hadn't been.
00:03:32.500 If she had been just a generic, or let's say it had been a generic white guy, they wouldn't have done a story about how smart he was, would they?
00:03:44.480 Like, it wouldn't make sense as a story.
00:03:46.940 It's just the wokeness of it that turned it into a story element.
00:03:52.140 It's like, hey, she's black and she's female and she can speak 37 languages or 39 languages, whatever it was.
00:03:59.740 And I think it's great that all the characters, you know, are celebrated for their, you know, positive traits.
00:04:08.500 That's cool.
00:04:09.720 But here's the problem.
00:04:12.800 Here's the problem.
00:04:15.500 To have a good show, you need flaws.
00:04:19.400 Do you remember the original Star Trek with Captain Kirk?
00:04:23.100 He was like a strong character, but he had a real flaw.
00:04:27.220 And his flaw was his ego, right?
00:04:30.340 Which was an awesome flaw.
00:04:32.320 Because his ego is what helped him, but it was also his enemy.
00:04:37.080 Which was really good writing.
00:04:39.460 Right?
00:04:39.680 A good setup for good writing.
00:04:41.820 But the current captain is just sort of a woke guy.
00:04:46.180 There's no complexity there at all.
00:04:48.680 So, I can't recommend the new Star Trek Discovery.
00:04:52.340 It is, so far, based on the second episode, it's ruined by wokeness.
00:04:57.300 But we'll see if the third one gets that heavy.
00:04:59.920 And again, I'm all in favor of wokeness.
00:05:02.040 You just don't have to put it everywhere all the time, too much of it.
00:05:05.000 So, that's all.
00:05:07.660 Jonathan Turley continues to be a national treasure.
00:05:12.140 And partly, if you're not following Jonathan Turley, for legal analysis, mostly.
00:05:19.680 He finds little corners of stories that you haven't seen yet that really do matter.
00:05:26.640 Like, actually really important stuff that hasn't been talked about yet.
00:05:30.200 And he's doing it again.
00:05:31.540 And this one's really clever, the way he's, I mean, clever in the sense that it's good that he knows these things and we don't.
00:05:38.960 So, he can tell us.
00:05:40.540 So, there's this case about Steve Wynn, who owned the Wynn Hotels.
00:05:45.180 And I think he's out of the business now.
00:05:47.460 I'm not sure what his stake is.
00:05:48.760 But he got Me Too'd out, I think.
00:05:51.120 And he's being, I guess, sued by the government in a civil case about FARA, that foreign agent's registration situation.
00:06:03.320 So, if an American citizen lobbies on behalf of a foreign country, they have to register as a lobbyist of some sort or else it's illegal.
00:06:13.220 But it can be illegal in two different ways, apparently.
00:06:16.820 It could be illegal in a civil way, which means you don't go to jail.
00:06:24.060 Somebody says, Scott is wrong on this one.
00:06:26.400 Well, I'm going to fuck you into oblivion for saying something like that.
00:06:31.400 Goodbye.
00:06:33.980 Again, for anybody who's new, I like criticism.
00:06:38.160 Just put the criticism in the comments.
00:06:40.860 Scott, you forgot to mention.
00:06:43.120 You know, you're under-emphasizing X.
00:06:45.360 What about, why?
00:06:48.300 Absolutely love those comments.
00:06:50.540 But, Scott, you have a bad take today.
00:06:53.760 We don't need you here.
00:06:55.000 You're worthless.
00:06:56.100 Your friends hate you.
00:06:57.520 Anybody who says they love you, they're lying.
00:07:00.400 All right.
00:07:01.960 So, Steve Wynn, because his case is being treated as a civil case instead of a criminal case,
00:07:08.300 Jonathan Turley cleverly has picked up on the precedent because there's somebody else who might be facing a potential legal problem based on foreign, being active for a foreign government.
00:07:22.760 And that is somebody named Hunter Biden.
00:07:25.140 And so, as Jonathan Turley argues, if I understand his argument correctly, the Hunter Biden defense could say, wait a minute, wait a minute.
00:07:34.300 How could you possibly come after us with a criminal case if such a thing happened in the future?
00:07:39.120 How could you come after us for a criminal case doing exactly the same thing, they would argue, that Steve Wynn is only being charged civilly, which is a far lesser offense?
00:07:52.840 All right.
00:07:53.560 We'll go by, Friedler.
00:07:55.680 Fuck you.
00:07:56.420 You're into oblivion, too.
00:07:57.760 I think it's just some people want to get blocked or something.
00:08:04.280 All right.
00:08:06.360 So, I think that's a good point.
00:08:08.840 Good point.
00:08:09.780 Is there something happening that's intentional that would make Hunter Biden get off on a lesser charge, if there's any charge at all, and if he's done anything illegal, which is to be determined?
00:08:24.660 Yes.
00:08:25.060 Could be a precursor to softening things up for Hunter.
00:08:28.320 So, I love that there's a Jonathan Turley who can sort of sniff this out before it's news.
00:08:35.280 I mean, this is really good sniffing, isn't it?
00:08:37.840 He's connected two stories that, before you saw them connected, he could see around the corner.
00:08:44.100 This is why you follow him.
00:08:45.840 He can see around corners.
00:08:49.700 And he also writes about, there's a situation with Ben Dominesh of the Federalist.
00:08:55.060 Who made a joke on Twitter about his own staff unionizing.
00:09:00.840 And he made a joke about, you know, off to the salt mines or something if you try to unionize.
00:09:05.220 Now, it was in the context of some other entity unionizing.
00:09:09.800 And it was just a joke.
00:09:11.000 But apparently, it's illegal, if you're in charge of a company, to say something about unionizing that makes it sound like there's going to be a penalty for it.
00:09:23.020 Because you have the right to unionize.
00:09:24.940 And so, somebody who has nothing to do with the company, not an employee, just some liberal troll, decides to sue over a joke.
00:09:35.900 Really?
00:09:37.380 So, there's somebody on the left who sued Ben Dominesh over a Twitter joke that everybody knew was a joke.
00:09:47.020 You couldn't miss the fact that it was a joke.
00:09:49.560 It was an obvious joke.
00:09:51.500 And do you know what the court ruled?
00:09:52.700 It was a joke.
00:09:58.020 So, I guess the court had enough people involved who could tell what a joke was.
00:10:03.020 Hey, this is a joke.
00:10:04.480 It's not a legal problem.
00:10:06.260 It's actually just a joke.
00:10:08.720 And I can't believe that ever went to a court.
00:10:12.800 But it did.
00:10:13.620 All right.
00:10:15.440 Here's an interesting question.
00:10:19.280 How do rights get formed?
00:10:22.040 Or do you just have them unless the government takes them away?
00:10:25.600 In my view of things, you have a right to do everything until the government takes it away.
00:10:33.240 Would anybody agree with that description?
00:10:39.220 Now, but God-given just means all the rights.
00:10:42.140 I would say the God-given part could be eliminated from the discussion because whatever it is we're starting with, we're starting with.
00:10:51.620 It doesn't matter how it got there.
00:10:53.700 So, whether it was God-given or not, irrelevant to rights.
00:10:57.580 Because rights are human entities, basically.
00:11:00.980 So, however we got here, would you say that whether God put us here or not,
00:11:06.860 that the question of rights is that you have all the rights until the government limits them.
00:11:13.740 Right?
00:11:15.340 So, then this interesting side question to this is, do you have a right to an abortion?
00:11:21.400 Do you have a right to an abortion?
00:11:27.140 And the answer is yes, until the government takes it away.
00:11:31.140 Right?
00:11:33.280 Yeah.
00:11:33.840 You have a right until the government takes it away.
00:11:36.200 That's how it works.
00:11:37.540 Now, there are lots of things that the government takes away.
00:11:40.520 I can't drive a car if I'm 14.
00:11:44.300 Right?
00:11:44.540 It would be a right, except the government took it away.
00:11:49.500 So, it's the way everything works.
00:11:51.360 But George Upper, at the Uppercut, says this.
00:11:57.620 He says that I'm incorrect in my definition of a right.
00:12:01.840 He says you cannot have a right.
00:12:03.480 So, he's clarifying a specific case here.
00:12:06.660 Not a general case, but a specific case.
00:12:09.000 He says you cannot have a right to something that requires someone else to give something up.
00:12:12.880 And he says that's why health care isn't a right in any form.
00:12:17.580 You cannot have a right to something that requires someone else to give something up.
00:12:21.740 True or false?
00:12:23.400 You cannot have a right that requires someone else to give something up.
00:12:30.240 It's false.
00:12:31.560 Completely false.
00:12:33.360 It could not be more false.
00:12:35.140 But you're all saying true.
00:12:39.560 Every single right gives something up.
00:12:42.880 Let's say you have the right to take a walk in the park.
00:12:52.220 Right?
00:12:52.980 You have a right to take a walk in the park.
00:12:56.060 And you would say there's no law against it, so you have that right.
00:13:00.080 Now, let's say, what does that do to my right to be in the park alone?
00:13:03.520 Because there's no law that says I can't be in the park alone, and I want to be.
00:13:09.600 But now I can't.
00:13:11.360 Because you exercise your right to walk in the park at the same time.
00:13:15.020 So, my right to be alone, I mean, at least my ability to be alone, has gone away.
00:13:22.300 It didn't take away my right, but it took away my ability to be alone.
00:13:25.840 Pretty much everything that gives you a right to do something is limiting somebody else from doing that thing at the same time or in the same way.
00:13:34.820 Pretty much everything.
00:13:36.680 So, it's indirect.
00:13:39.400 It's indirect.
00:13:40.220 Somebody says that's thin.
00:13:41.920 I would say it's indirect.
00:13:43.280 But it's always there.
00:13:44.940 Everything you do has some limit on somebody else.
00:13:47.900 You want another example?
00:13:52.280 Give me another right.
00:13:54.280 What is something else you have a right to?
00:13:55.960 A right to own a gun, let's say.
00:14:00.220 Okay.
00:14:00.900 You have a right to own a firearm in the United States.
00:14:03.760 Does that take away anybody's right?
00:14:07.540 Well, it takes away my right to not be around guns.
00:14:12.460 If I wanted that.
00:14:14.040 I mean, it's not the right I want, but if I wanted it.
00:14:16.860 I wouldn't have that option.
00:14:19.340 So, I would say maybe it doesn't take away somebody's right.
00:14:22.680 It takes away their options in pretty much every case.
00:14:26.940 Scott, you confuse rights with privileges.
00:14:29.000 Now, see if that's a good comment.
00:14:31.140 You don't get blocked for that.
00:14:33.640 The rest of you who don't know how to make good comments, learn from that.
00:14:38.600 He says, I'm confusing rights with privileges.
00:14:41.560 Now, I don't think I am, but that's at least a reasonable comment.
00:14:45.200 I'm conflating a right with, let's say, the physical ability to do something.
00:14:54.360 Because there's no point having a right to do something you can't do.
00:14:57.760 I have a right to flap my arms and fly.
00:15:00.940 Is that useful?
00:15:03.560 Go flap your arms and fly.
00:15:05.060 You have the right.
00:15:06.240 It doesn't help.
00:15:06.860 So, in a practical sense, everybody's rights tend to impinge on other people.
00:15:13.260 You can use different words for it, but everything you do impinges on other people.
00:15:17.720 All right.
00:15:19.740 Otherwise, it's just word thinking.
00:15:21.100 I was watching, not all of you watch basketball, so I'll make quick work of this, and it's not about sports.
00:15:28.700 But the Warriors beat the Mavericks.
00:15:31.140 That's the third time in a row.
00:15:34.000 And I like watching sports because of persuasion.
00:15:40.080 Like watching the sort of mental part of it.
00:15:42.280 And I'll tell you, there's one thing that you can see in the faces of the Mavericks versus the faces of the Warriors.
00:15:49.400 If you looked at the faces of the Mavericks, they looked like they didn't think they were going to win.
00:15:54.280 Now, it could just be my bias, of course.
00:15:58.380 But they really looked like they didn't think they were going to win.
00:16:01.940 Well before the game was too far away for them to win.
00:16:06.520 Whereas the Warriors always looked like they were going to win.
00:16:10.700 And some of it has to do with the fact that Steph Curry is on one team and not on the other.
00:16:17.660 And if you've never noticed, Steph Curry, I don't think he's having as good a year as he's had before.
00:16:24.580 But I'm sure the reason is because he's bored.
00:16:27.640 If you watch him in the first part of any game, he misses a lot of shots.
00:16:32.500 Seems a little sloppy.
00:16:33.300 And then the last ten minutes comes, which is the only time that matters.
00:16:38.820 And then he just wins.
00:16:41.100 He just wins.
00:16:42.340 It feels like he doesn't get interested until it's almost too late.
00:16:50.440 He reminds me of one of the most fun I've ever had, or the best times I've ever had, watching a youth soccer game.
00:16:58.340 So it was, I think, maybe ten-year-old boys playing when my stepson was playing on the team.
00:17:06.660 And I was watching, and there was one kid on one team that was the team I was rooting for, who was sort of a superstar among the kids.
00:17:15.640 And for some reason, their team was behind.
00:17:17.560 And I mentioned to his dad, I said, uh, what's going on here?
00:17:23.520 You know, Nick's team is behind?
00:17:25.540 How's that happening?
00:17:27.100 And he goes, I don't know.
00:17:28.520 He yells out to his son.
00:17:29.620 He goes, Nick, do you know what the score is?
00:17:32.460 And Nick looks over, and he just nods.
00:17:35.900 And there's like three minutes left.
00:17:38.100 I'm exaggerating.
00:17:39.180 We're just a few minutes left.
00:17:40.700 And then Nick scores, I don't know, three or four goals solo and wins the game.
00:17:47.040 It was just the funniest thing.
00:17:48.800 Nick, do you know what the score is?
00:17:50.440 He just nods and scores three goals and wins.
00:17:54.460 It was the most awesome thing you've ever seen in a kid's soccer context.
00:18:00.280 But anyway, that feels like what Stephen Curry does.
00:18:02.080 He just waits till the end.
00:18:03.140 They're like, OK, now it's time to wake up.
00:18:04.540 But I'd like to say something about the coach.
00:18:08.860 So Steve Kerr has coached the same group of people mostly, largely the same, to several
00:18:15.580 championships and would be presumably, I guess, considered one of the greatest coaches because
00:18:21.480 he's done so well.
00:18:22.800 But it's hard to know how much is that he just has better players, right?
00:18:30.600 Does he just have better players?
00:18:31.760 But there's something he does that I don't see other coaches do.
00:18:36.740 And maybe if you watch more sports than I do, you can tell me how common this is.
00:18:41.620 He doesn't get mad at his own players for even really, really dumb mistakes.
00:18:48.520 Have you ever noticed that?
00:18:50.020 Is there anybody else who watches him?
00:18:51.440 He is completely poker-faced when one of his players just passes it to the wrong guy.
00:18:57.720 I mean, just really dumb stuff.
00:18:59.780 Nothing.
00:19:00.820 Not a single reaction.
00:19:03.880 But when one of his players gets a bad call, like he's all over it, supporting him.
00:19:10.380 So he does take people out.
00:19:12.920 He replaces them if they're not performing.
00:19:15.500 But it's very just matter-of-fact.
00:19:17.620 You're out, you're in.
00:19:18.560 And I have to wonder how important that is.
00:19:23.620 Because he does sort of what, it looks like the Dale Carnegie approach, where he's only telling them what they're doing right.
00:19:30.180 That's what it looks like.
00:19:31.780 It looks like he only tells them what they're doing right.
00:19:35.160 Now, he must be telling them what they're doing wrong sometimes, or the other coaches do, or, you know, doing the day-to-day drills and stuff.
00:19:42.500 But it looks like he's operating on a pretty high level.
00:19:47.780 I think, was it Coach Jackson who coached, you know, Michael Jordan, et cetera?
00:19:55.560 Phil Jackson.
00:19:56.540 Wasn't it Phil Jackson who had that same approach, right?
00:20:00.780 He basically never got mad at his players during the game.
00:20:04.260 Not even a little.
00:20:05.520 In fact, he didn't even look bothered.
00:20:07.000 And let me tell you the psychology of it.
00:20:13.060 Actually, let me tell you a story from my own past.
00:20:17.580 As you know, I'm a hypnotist as well as sometimes I used to play tennis.
00:20:24.260 So it used to be my game.
00:20:25.400 I used to play tennis a lot, actually.
00:20:27.040 And when I was young, I lived in a place that had some tennis courts in the apartment complex.
00:20:30.840 And they would have tennis tournaments for the people who lived in the apartments.
00:20:37.000 And I joined a tournament one time.
00:20:39.700 And they would pair you with somebody who would be your partner.
00:20:43.540 And I got paired with a woman to be my tennis partner who had never played tennis.
00:20:49.900 That's right.
00:20:51.120 I was in a tennis tournament.
00:20:53.640 And I got paired with somebody who didn't even know how you keep score.
00:20:57.440 Had never touched a tennis racket.
00:20:59.340 Now, I said to myself, it looks like I'm going to lose this tournament.
00:21:05.300 Because I'm playing with somebody who's never touched a tennis racket.
00:21:09.240 But I don't like to lose.
00:21:12.260 I don't know if I've ever mentioned that.
00:21:13.900 I don't like to lose.
00:21:14.980 I don't like it at all.
00:21:16.480 So I set about the task of what would it take to win if you have a player who's never touched a tennis ball.
00:21:23.100 And what I did have going for me is that she was a college athlete.
00:21:29.120 So I guess she was a college basketball player.
00:21:32.180 Which means she's coachable.
00:21:35.980 And almost instantly.
00:21:38.600 Have you ever dealt with somebody who's instantly coachable?
00:21:42.760 It's really rare.
00:21:43.460 You can say, hold the racket like this.
00:21:47.480 And then they go like that.
00:21:48.580 And they hold the racket.
00:21:49.500 And then you go, oh.
00:21:52.060 Okay, I guess I'm done with that.
00:21:54.000 You just did that exactly like I said.
00:21:56.280 And then you check back in an hour.
00:21:57.860 And they're still holding it correctly.
00:21:59.720 Very rare.
00:22:00.860 Very rare.
00:22:01.880 Almost nobody can do that.
00:22:02.940 But she could.
00:22:04.460 So, you know, I got her racket held.
00:22:06.820 I got her basics down.
00:22:09.300 In just a few minutes.
00:22:10.520 And then I said, all right, here's the deal.
00:22:14.460 You're going to play the net.
00:22:16.620 Like all the time.
00:22:18.520 You'll just play the net.
00:22:20.040 And all you have to do is if this ball comes over, you just slap it down.
00:22:23.900 And she had good hand-eye coordination.
00:22:27.020 And so, whichever way we started, we instantly switched.
00:22:32.120 And I was fast.
00:22:33.240 So I could cover the entire backcourt easily.
00:22:35.920 So even if she missed one, I could get it behind her.
00:22:38.720 Because I was fast enough.
00:22:39.580 And she was tall enough and coordinated enough that she could slap the ball down from the net.
00:22:46.000 I think we got all the way to the finals, I believe.
00:22:48.640 We lost in the finals.
00:22:50.480 But the technique that I used with her was the Steve Kerr technique.
00:22:56.440 She would do something that was just, you know, a mistake.
00:23:00.480 And instead of saying, that's okay, which is, don't do that.
00:23:07.220 If you're a tennis player and your partner makes a mistake, don't say, that's okay.
00:23:14.100 Don't do that.
00:23:14.840 Also, don't act like it's a mistake.
00:23:19.120 Do you know what the right thing to do is?
00:23:21.720 Act like you're getting ready for the next point.
00:23:24.320 That's it.
00:23:25.200 That's the only thing.
00:23:26.740 Just act like you're getting ready for the next point.
00:23:28.840 Don't acknowledge it.
00:23:30.340 And she was an athlete.
00:23:31.320 So when she screwed up, she would look to me and apologize.
00:23:34.280 And I would just, I just wouldn't have it.
00:23:37.900 I wouldn't have it.
00:23:38.980 I just wouldn't acknowledge the apology.
00:23:41.100 Because we're going to win the next point.
00:23:43.720 So I kept her mind on the next point.
00:23:46.600 I go, next point, next point.
00:23:48.860 And because she was an athlete, she rose to the challenge and we got all the way to the finals.
00:23:53.580 Now, I think that that's something that Steve Kerr is doing too.
00:23:57.300 And it's one of those valuable lesson kind of things I like to, I like to reinforce.
00:24:01.700 If you just tell people what they're doing right and let them work out the mistake part on their own,
00:24:07.960 you get really good results.
00:24:10.240 My current music instructor, who's teaching me drums, uses the same technique.
00:24:17.160 I'll be drumming and I'll realize that I've completely messed up a fill.
00:24:20.820 You know, I came in on the wrong beat, just completely destroyed it.
00:24:24.720 And I'll look at him like he's going to tell me I did that wrong.
00:24:28.180 But he knows that I know I did it wrong.
00:24:30.560 There's nothing to say.
00:24:32.700 He just lets it go like it didn't even happen.
00:24:35.360 And I'm like, oh, I just made a mistake, but nothing happened to me.
00:24:40.820 There was no repercussion.
00:24:43.200 So now it's easy to make another mistake.
00:24:45.380 And now it's easy to practice.
00:24:46.600 It's easy to stay loose.
00:24:48.060 I don't worry about it.
00:24:49.140 There's nothing coming back at me.
00:24:50.980 And I just loosen up and I play well.
00:24:53.980 It's an amazing technique, the positive reinforcement.
00:24:57.080 Having said that, Steve Kerr also wears a face mask during his coaching,
00:25:02.500 while the entire stadium and all the players do not, except for some of his coaches.
00:25:07.100 And then he takes it down when he's talking to people up close.
00:25:10.040 So he is a lefty moron.
00:25:14.240 He is a moron in general.
00:25:18.260 But apparently he's a good coach.
00:25:20.400 So I won't take that away from him.
00:25:22.200 How about this baby formula story?
00:25:24.300 So there's a new effort that seems to be totally successful
00:25:28.980 to launder the Democrat complete incompetence on the baby formula issue,
00:25:36.720 to launder that and turn it into a Republican problem.
00:25:40.740 And it worked.
00:25:42.060 It worked.
00:25:43.320 So Nancy Pelosi comes up with this, or at least she promotes,
00:25:47.280 this fake legislation that would give $28 million
00:25:51.060 to solve the baby formula problem,
00:25:54.140 except that it wouldn't make any difference.
00:25:57.140 Like it's money that isn't well conceived
00:25:59.940 or would not be well spent.
00:26:02.420 It's not really on point for the problem.
00:26:05.260 But does the public know that?
00:26:06.940 The public doesn't know that the bill is so poor
00:26:09.640 that no self-respecting legislator should vote for it.
00:26:14.700 They don't know that.
00:26:15.740 They only know that something that looks like it was going to help
00:26:18.100 got voted down by Republicans.
00:26:21.080 And so there needs to be a term for fake legislation.
00:26:25.240 Because this is...
00:26:25.920 How many times have we seen fake legislation in the past year?
00:26:29.380 Fake legislation is something that's meant to sound good
00:26:33.260 but is bad so that the other team will have to turn it down
00:26:37.660 and they'll be turning down something that sounds good.
00:26:41.740 And that's what happened.
00:26:43.160 So Pelosi successfully...
00:26:45.740 It actually worked.
00:26:46.920 She laundered the Biden administration's incompetence
00:26:51.020 through this fake legislation
00:26:53.180 that Republicans voted against
00:26:56.080 and now it's a Republican failure
00:26:58.160 because they voted against a fake legislation.
00:27:02.660 Yeah.
00:27:03.640 Fake-islation.
00:27:05.560 We need a name like fake-islation.
00:27:08.260 Not bad.
00:27:10.040 But how many times have we seen the same trick?
00:27:13.480 Didn't they just do this for abortion?
00:27:15.640 I think, didn't Schumer just do it for abortion?
00:27:19.580 They're trying to get everybody on record, they say.
00:27:23.820 Anyway, I'm going to say
00:27:25.980 Pelosi gets the persuasion win
00:27:28.040 for a clever weasel play.
00:27:31.760 And I'm sure the Republicans do this too.
00:27:35.280 I'm not saying that this is just a Democrat trick.
00:27:38.580 But it's pretty weasely,
00:27:39.920 the fake legislation trick.
00:27:41.280 All right.
00:27:45.880 And now CNN is trying to save the Biden administration
00:27:49.800 from the inflation monster,
00:27:53.620 or at least save them in terms of how the public thinks about it.
00:27:58.260 Now, let me ask you a question.
00:28:00.440 How many of you think that Biden and his actions
00:28:04.600 are responsible for the big part or a lot of the inflation?
00:28:11.220 Go.
00:28:11.620 How many would say the Biden administration
00:28:13.480 is guilty of making decisions that increased inflation?
00:28:19.480 Not surprised.
00:28:20.500 My audience is mostly yes.
00:28:22.940 Seeing a smattering of a few no's,
00:28:26.180 but mostly yes.
00:28:27.160 All right.
00:28:28.700 Now, stop answering this question for a moment.
00:28:33.120 And now, without looking it up,
00:28:35.140 without looking it up,
00:28:36.600 you have to answer the second question.
00:28:39.100 What is the...
00:28:40.200 And you could be approximate,
00:28:41.620 but what is the approximate inflation rate
00:28:44.460 in the United Kingdom?
00:28:46.660 So the UK today...
00:28:49.180 So you've got apples and apples.
00:28:50.780 You're comparing the United Kingdom's inflation today
00:28:53.120 to the United States.
00:28:55.100 Without looking it up, what is it?
00:28:57.160 I'm seeing numbers all over the place.
00:29:01.300 I haven't seen the right number.
00:29:02.580 Oh, there it is.
00:29:03.120 Somebody got the right number.
00:29:04.260 Okay.
00:29:04.680 Some of you actually know.
00:29:05.560 It's about 9%.
00:29:06.560 About 9%.
00:29:08.760 The US is about 8.5%.
00:29:11.780 So if it's Biden's fault,
00:29:15.180 and the UK has a conservative prime minister
00:29:19.480 doing different stuff,
00:29:20.860 why is it that the UK's inflation rate
00:29:23.540 is the same as the United States, basically?
00:29:25.360 Somebody says,
00:29:27.660 not comparable.
00:29:28.980 Pick another country.
00:29:31.000 How about France?
00:29:32.260 What's the inflation rate in France?
00:29:33.820 I didn't look this one up.
00:29:35.040 Does somebody know?
00:29:36.520 What's the inflation rate in France?
00:29:40.140 I don't know.
00:29:41.740 So if you think that you know
00:29:44.000 why inflation is worse here,
00:29:46.360 I don't.
00:29:49.400 I don't.
00:29:50.980 I've got a degree in economics,
00:29:52.580 and I don't know why it's what it is.
00:29:55.860 Because I don't understand
00:29:57.000 why the UK is the same inflation rate.
00:30:00.280 Is it just some weird coincidence
00:30:02.140 that it's all different variables,
00:30:04.000 but it came out about the same?
00:30:05.800 Could be.
00:30:06.720 Could be totally.
00:30:07.900 So the first question
00:30:11.800 you've got to ask yourself
00:30:12.680 is why are we not seeing
00:30:13.920 comparable comparisons more often?
00:30:17.940 Because I would think
00:30:18.680 both the left and the right
00:30:19.700 would want to make those comparisons.
00:30:22.680 Somebody says,
00:30:23.480 it's all due to the same
00:30:24.380 green energy policies.
00:30:25.920 Is it?
00:30:27.280 In the UK?
00:30:28.520 I don't know.
00:30:29.760 I don't know about that.
00:30:30.920 So I'll just put that out there
00:30:33.820 as we all have this intuition
00:30:37.040 that Biden caused inflation to go higher.
00:30:41.380 And I share that.
00:30:42.740 I share that intuition.
00:30:44.720 But I don't see numbers to support it.
00:30:48.380 So I'd have to see some numbers
00:30:50.080 to believe it,
00:30:51.400 but my intuition leans that way.
00:30:54.540 So be a little bit more,
00:30:56.200 I think be a little bit more guarded
00:30:57.680 on your opinion about inflation.
00:30:59.100 I think there's just too much
00:31:00.420 fog of war stuff going on there.
00:31:03.160 Then John Harwood at CNN,
00:31:05.500 one of their main propagandists,
00:31:07.960 opinion people.
00:31:11.680 He says that,
00:31:13.040 indeed,
00:31:13.740 he says economists
00:31:14.620 across the political spectrum
00:31:16.320 now believe that Biden's
00:31:18.380 1.9 trillion American rescue plan
00:31:21.060 had some good parts
00:31:23.480 but did accelerate inflation.
00:31:26.120 And he said that
00:31:27.100 that Republicans have a point.
00:31:29.820 So this is someone writing for CNN
00:31:31.360 who says Republicans have a point
00:31:32.980 that the economists agree
00:31:35.080 that Biden drove up inflation.
00:31:37.940 He says,
00:31:38.620 what's unclear is how much of a difference
00:31:40.400 the rescue plan made.
00:31:43.320 Normally,
00:31:44.420 I would be criticizing that statement
00:31:47.620 for propaganda
00:31:48.780 because he's sort of minimizing it.
00:31:51.080 He says,
00:31:51.360 what's unclear is how much of a difference
00:31:53.000 the rescue plan made.
00:31:54.200 But when I look at the UK's numbers,
00:31:57.520 I have to agree with them.
00:31:59.740 I'm not inclined to agree with that,
00:32:02.180 but I have to.
00:32:04.680 Right?
00:32:05.260 I don't want to.
00:32:07.080 I don't want to agree with that at all.
00:32:09.300 I feel like it's something
00:32:10.460 I should disagree with.
00:32:12.420 But the numbers support the fact
00:32:14.560 that you can't tell how much of it
00:32:15.940 was any one cause.
00:32:17.680 And then he's arguing
00:32:22.140 that the reason the inflation
00:32:23.980 hasn't affected us much yet
00:32:26.640 is that the thing that caused it,
00:32:30.700 or caused part of it, some say,
00:32:32.520 the rescue plan gave people money.
00:32:35.860 And then the lockdowns
00:32:36.940 caused them to save money
00:32:38.080 on, I guess, entertainment
00:32:40.320 and other stuff.
00:32:41.760 And so Americans
00:32:42.960 had some excess savings.
00:32:45.920 I don't know what the definition
00:32:47.420 of excess savings is,
00:32:48.580 but more than usual, I guess.
00:32:51.860 And unemployment looks good.
00:32:53.660 So he's arguing that,
00:32:55.380 yeah, inflation's up a little bit,
00:32:57.180 but people also got some free money
00:32:59.120 because of the thing
00:33:00.240 that caused inflation.
00:33:01.240 And so, you know,
00:33:02.840 push-pull, not that big a deal,
00:33:06.480 he would say.
00:33:09.160 What do you think of that?
00:33:10.840 Do you think that,
00:33:11.640 do you think that this softening
00:33:14.200 of the inflation scare story
00:33:16.160 is valid?
00:33:18.920 Because if it's true
00:33:20.260 that the other countries
00:33:21.260 that are comparable-ish
00:33:23.780 have similar inflation problems,
00:33:26.660 it's probably not
00:33:27.620 because of management decisions,
00:33:30.580 is it?
00:33:31.240 Cutting oil production,
00:33:34.900 oh, okay.
00:33:35.760 So some are saying
00:33:36.540 that U.S. cutting oil production
00:33:38.400 affects everybody.
00:33:41.400 UK?
00:33:42.900 How much energy
00:33:44.260 was the UK getting?
00:33:46.020 And would their prices
00:33:48.640 really be affected
00:33:49.440 by the U.S. cutting production?
00:33:51.620 Probably would.
00:33:52.240 I mean, indirectly,
00:33:52.940 it would, of course.
00:33:54.120 But how much?
00:33:55.680 It's more of a how much
00:33:56.720 question, isn't it?
00:33:58.500 Yeah.
00:33:59.500 Yeah, any change
00:34:00.560 in supply and demand
00:34:01.460 should change
00:34:02.100 all oil prices
00:34:03.320 conceptually.
00:34:06.840 But did the UK
00:34:07.920 have something like
00:34:08.940 the American Rescue Plan?
00:34:13.040 Did the UK do
00:34:13.900 something like that?
00:34:14.580 Yeah.
00:34:14.660 All right.
00:34:19.280 Well, I guess my only point
00:34:20.540 is that math proves anything.
00:34:25.820 All right.
00:34:28.820 If I were the Democrats
00:34:30.460 and I cared about persuasion,
00:34:34.960 every time somebody
00:34:35.860 mentioned inflation,
00:34:37.140 I would mention the UK.
00:34:39.480 Because don't Republicans
00:34:41.000 say, hey, that Boris Johnson
00:34:42.380 reminds me of Trump?
00:34:44.820 Right?
00:34:46.300 So if I were trying
00:34:47.440 to be a persuader
00:34:48.880 on the Democrat side
00:34:50.000 and I wanted inflation
00:34:51.260 not to be such a big thing,
00:34:52.900 every single time
00:34:53.900 it got mentioned,
00:34:54.520 I'd say, you know,
00:34:54.960 it's about the same
00:34:55.520 as the UK.
00:34:57.200 Now, even if the reasons
00:34:58.860 are not the same,
00:35:01.080 it's good persuasion.
00:35:02.480 Because the people,
00:35:03.340 we don't know,
00:35:04.000 if you just tell me
00:35:05.420 we have the same inflation
00:35:06.340 as the UK,
00:35:07.640 I'd say, oh,
00:35:09.280 well, I guess it doesn't
00:35:10.140 matter what you do.
00:35:12.100 Right?
00:35:12.520 Because they didn't do
00:35:14.620 exactly what we did.
00:35:16.480 And we're not saying
00:35:18.360 that they did something wrong
00:35:19.460 necessarily, are we?
00:35:22.040 Scott, why are you
00:35:22.940 ignoring Canada?
00:35:25.180 Why does everybody
00:35:26.180 ignore Canada?
00:35:27.480 Sorry.
00:35:28.640 Sorry.
00:35:29.560 Sorry.
00:35:30.860 Sorry.
00:35:32.540 No, I don't mean
00:35:33.380 to insult Canada.
00:35:34.320 Why am I ignoring Canada?
00:35:35.400 What is the inflation rate
00:35:36.680 in Canada?
00:35:37.900 That might be the question
00:35:39.040 you're asking.
00:35:40.160 Inflation rate in Canada?
00:35:41.800 Anybody?
00:35:43.580 6.5?
00:35:46.940 6.8?
00:35:47.820 6.8 compared to 8.5?
00:35:51.640 I don't know if that
00:35:53.880 tells us anything.
00:35:55.740 To me, those are the same.
00:35:58.100 I mean, I would round
00:35:58.900 6.8 to 8.5.
00:36:01.800 I don't think...
00:36:04.340 That sounds about...
00:36:05.520 Yeah, it's a 25% difference,
00:36:07.220 but on a small number.
00:36:10.120 All right.
00:36:11.500 I need more info world.
00:36:13.380 Yeah, okay.
00:36:15.840 I will reiterate
00:36:17.120 this question.
00:36:19.100 Why are we not hearing
00:36:20.220 more about this supply chain?
00:36:22.260 Why is this supply chain
00:36:23.820 story so opaque?
00:36:26.140 And why are we not
00:36:27.380 panicked about it?
00:36:29.320 What's going on?
00:36:31.220 There's either a gigantic
00:36:32.700 supply chain problem,
00:36:34.620 or there's not.
00:36:37.280 The only thing I can figure out
00:36:39.100 is that the supply chain
00:36:41.480 has figured out
00:36:42.940 the 80-20 rule correctly.
00:36:45.480 In other words,
00:36:46.720 if they knew they could
00:36:47.900 only get 20% of their things
00:36:49.600 delivered on time,
00:36:51.560 could it be that
00:36:52.500 the supply chains
00:36:53.580 have figured out
00:36:54.300 how to get the
00:36:55.740 important 20%
00:36:57.060 shipped,
00:36:58.560 and the other 80%
00:36:59.940 like waiting for furniture?
00:37:01.460 So, for example,
00:37:02.100 I ordered some furniture
00:37:03.320 that I won't get
00:37:05.120 until July.
00:37:06.980 I don't know if this
00:37:07.880 has anything to do
00:37:08.640 with the supply chain
00:37:09.320 problems.
00:37:09.820 It could be normal.
00:37:10.900 But I don't really care.
00:37:13.580 If I have to wait
00:37:14.280 until July
00:37:14.880 to get a chair,
00:37:17.540 I mean,
00:37:18.600 I'm not going to sit
00:37:19.360 on the floor.
00:37:20.040 I'll probably sit
00:37:20.580 in a different chair.
00:37:22.000 But if I were missing
00:37:23.560 my microchips
00:37:24.520 for whatever,
00:37:25.480 if I couldn't buy
00:37:26.040 an iPad or a phone,
00:37:27.260 I'd be in serious trouble.
00:37:28.780 It'd be trouble.
00:37:30.300 So I feel as if
00:37:31.360 the supply chain
00:37:32.140 just adjusted
00:37:33.060 the 80-20
00:37:35.060 so that we're getting
00:37:36.220 the 20%
00:37:36.920 that really is critical
00:37:38.120 the 80%
00:37:39.360 that isn't,
00:37:39.960 we're waiting for it,
00:37:40.800 but it doesn't matter.
00:37:42.280 Is that what's happening?
00:37:44.540 Is it just
00:37:45.260 massive micro-adjustments
00:37:47.080 everywhere?
00:37:49.540 Baby formula
00:37:50.220 is not a supply chain
00:37:51.280 problem.
00:37:51.940 That's just a U.S.
00:37:53.480 poorly managed problem.
00:37:58.580 Supply chain expert
00:37:59.560 John Monroe
00:38:00.220 has a podcast.
00:38:01.960 But what's the bottom line?
00:38:03.040 But what is the bottom line?
00:38:07.080 We must have made
00:38:08.260 massive adjustments.
00:38:09.960 Because everything we've heard
00:38:12.040 suggests that the economy
00:38:13.360 should already be destroyed.
00:38:16.360 If anything we were told
00:38:17.920 was true
00:38:18.480 about the supply chains,
00:38:20.000 you know,
00:38:20.180 the massive number of ships
00:38:21.760 that can't be unloaded
00:38:22.800 and all that,
00:38:23.360 if any of that's true,
00:38:25.000 the economy is already destroyed
00:38:27.100 and we haven't noticed
00:38:27.960 or something.
00:38:28.360 But I don't think
00:38:29.620 it is true.
00:38:30.740 I think somehow
00:38:31.660 the Adams law
00:38:33.260 of slow-moving disasters
00:38:34.640 worked fast enough
00:38:36.820 that we got past
00:38:38.940 the hardest stuff,
00:38:39.760 right?
00:38:40.260 Because the story
00:38:41.180 we're not hearing is,
00:38:42.460 oh,
00:38:42.820 we're right on the
00:38:44.960 teetering tipping point
00:38:46.800 for one thing
00:38:48.420 or another.
00:38:49.740 Because I don't think
00:38:50.700 we are.
00:38:51.700 Yeah,
00:38:51.900 the baby formula
00:38:52.500 was a special case
00:38:53.580 that didn't really have
00:38:54.380 anything to do
00:38:54.980 with the supply chain
00:38:56.820 problems per se.
00:38:58.360 Container shortage?
00:39:01.680 Is that a thing?
00:39:03.100 Might be.
00:39:04.900 All right.
00:39:06.540 Here's the news
00:39:07.580 on CNN.
00:39:10.400 This is what they chose
00:39:11.520 to cover
00:39:12.080 from the Ukraine war.
00:39:14.420 That there was
00:39:14.980 one Russian tank commander
00:39:16.800 who's been prosecuted
00:39:18.520 by the Ukrainians
00:39:19.380 for war crimes.
00:39:20.980 Killed the civilians.
00:39:23.200 And I ask you this.
00:39:26.200 What does it mean
00:39:26.980 when there's a story
00:39:27.780 about one soldier
00:39:29.280 jailed for war crimes
00:39:31.500 in the context
00:39:32.300 of a major war
00:39:34.320 in which lots of civilians
00:39:37.080 got killed?
00:39:38.780 I feel as if this is
00:39:40.240 just propaganda, right?
00:39:42.100 It's propaganda.
00:39:43.500 It's a show trial.
00:39:44.400 It's propaganda.
00:39:45.660 But isn't it interesting
00:39:47.420 that that's basically
00:39:48.420 the only news on the war?
00:39:49.760 The only news on the war
00:39:52.380 was one Russian guy
00:39:53.620 is going to be jailed
00:39:55.780 for life
00:39:56.140 for a war crime.
00:39:58.860 That's it.
00:40:00.340 Like, it's a major war
00:40:01.560 and that's the only thing
00:40:03.120 CNN wants to talk about
00:40:04.320 about this major war.
00:40:05.620 One guy.
00:40:06.060 Well, I'm going to make
00:40:10.280 a declaration today
00:40:11.660 provocatively
00:40:13.780 that the war is over
00:40:15.620 and Ukraine won
00:40:18.020 and Russia lost.
00:40:20.860 So I'm going to call it.
00:40:23.360 Because who gets to decide
00:40:24.660 when the war is over?
00:40:27.140 Right?
00:40:27.520 I don't think there's going to be
00:40:28.740 any kind of a meeting.
00:40:32.280 I don't think Russia's
00:40:33.480 going to sign a document
00:40:34.700 that says the war is over.
00:40:36.420 So it's not going to be
00:40:37.460 over, over
00:40:38.340 like the way some wars are
00:40:39.980 where there's a document
00:40:41.420 and a signing
00:40:42.220 and all that.
00:40:43.600 That's not going to happen.
00:40:45.180 So who gets to decide
00:40:46.560 if the war is over?
00:40:48.960 I think it's the observers.
00:40:51.160 The observers.
00:40:52.120 The people who write history.
00:40:55.140 The pundits.
00:40:56.780 Basically.
00:40:58.140 And since I, you know,
00:41:00.020 I live in that world
00:41:00.980 at the moment.
00:41:02.240 Punditry.
00:41:03.320 I declare that the war is over
00:41:04.780 and Russia lost.
00:41:06.400 That's my opinion.
00:41:08.000 And I'm going to say it publicly.
00:41:09.400 The war is over.
00:41:10.920 Russia lost.
00:41:12.500 Now, let me give you
00:41:13.660 the counter-opinion
00:41:14.480 which is worthy
00:41:15.260 of consideration.
00:41:17.360 Mike Cernovich
00:41:18.100 saw my opinion on Twitter
00:41:19.280 and said,
00:41:19.920 I sense the opposite.
00:41:22.260 Ukraine lost
00:41:23.120 in the real world.
00:41:24.580 Millions of most talented left
00:41:26.020 as regime was corrupt,
00:41:27.560 land taken,
00:41:28.460 cities in rubble.
00:41:29.240 And Russia lost
00:41:30.920 in the fake world.
00:41:32.780 Mystique.
00:41:33.620 They didn't take Kiev
00:41:34.780 in 72 hours.
00:41:36.460 And the question is,
00:41:37.420 which matters most
00:41:38.320 long-term?
00:41:40.120 Good question.
00:41:41.960 Because what does it mean
00:41:43.100 to win a war?
00:41:44.300 It's not so clear,
00:41:45.540 is it?
00:41:46.540 What does winning look like?
00:41:49.080 Well,
00:41:49.980 it depends on what you think
00:41:51.320 they were trying to achieve.
00:41:52.440 So,
00:41:54.460 one argument is
00:41:55.440 that they both lost.
00:41:56.660 Ukraine lost
00:41:57.640 talent and cities
00:41:59.300 and treasure
00:42:00.300 and people
00:42:01.040 and territory.
00:42:03.820 They lost a lot.
00:42:05.240 What did Russia lose?
00:42:06.400 They lost their
00:42:07.120 mystique about their military,
00:42:09.700 their reputation,
00:42:10.980 their economy
00:42:11.600 will take a hit.
00:42:14.140 And
00:42:14.660 they look weak.
00:42:16.940 And probably
00:42:17.940 it's going to
00:42:19.060 be tough
00:42:19.700 to build up
00:42:20.400 their military again
00:42:21.300 without as much money.
00:42:23.880 So,
00:42:24.540 I will acknowledge
00:42:25.440 that that point
00:42:26.000 is a strong
00:42:26.820 counterpoint.
00:42:28.240 However,
00:42:29.200 wars are,
00:42:31.000 have winners
00:42:31.620 and losers.
00:42:33.580 History is going
00:42:34.460 to decide
00:42:34.880 somebody won
00:42:35.560 and somebody lost.
00:42:37.280 And
00:42:37.780 I'd like to
00:42:39.520 get ahead of that
00:42:40.280 and say
00:42:40.700 Russia lost.
00:42:43.260 So,
00:42:43.900 here's my argument.
00:42:45.580 My argument is
00:42:46.400 that I don't think
00:42:47.320 there's any question
00:42:48.280 that Putin
00:42:49.980 wanted to control
00:42:51.020 all of Ukraine.
00:42:53.420 Now,
00:42:53.700 I don't,
00:42:54.080 I don't know
00:42:54.540 what he said.
00:42:55.420 I don't know
00:42:55.780 if he was willing
00:42:56.360 to settle for less.
00:42:58.120 Maybe he was willing
00:42:58.820 to settle for the territory
00:43:00.120 that had more strategic value,
00:43:01.860 et cetera.
00:43:02.480 But in my opinion,
00:43:04.280 having watched
00:43:05.160 everything we've watched,
00:43:07.540 having watched
00:43:08.200 the way they attacked Ukraine,
00:43:10.500 you know,
00:43:10.760 and sure,
00:43:11.460 I get that
00:43:11.960 maybe the attacks
00:43:12.720 in the north
00:43:13.320 were to pin down
00:43:14.600 the Ukraine army
00:43:15.660 and give them
00:43:17.040 more leverage
00:43:17.600 in the areas
00:43:18.520 that they cared about.
00:43:19.260 I get that.
00:43:19.940 It could be just
00:43:20.460 a military strategy
00:43:21.420 and an obvious one.
00:43:24.420 But it looks to me,
00:43:25.840 based on what
00:43:26.580 Putin has been saying
00:43:29.240 about Ukraine forever,
00:43:31.260 to me,
00:43:31.720 it looks like
00:43:32.180 he was trying
00:43:32.600 to take the whole country.
00:43:33.580 Let me ask you,
00:43:35.460 how many of you believe
00:43:36.760 that Putin's objective
00:43:39.000 was the entire country
00:43:40.480 of Ukraine?
00:43:41.520 How many think so?
00:43:43.280 Mostly no's.
00:43:45.120 Wow.
00:43:45.600 Interesting.
00:43:48.940 All right,
00:43:49.520 you're surprising me.
00:43:51.480 A lot of no's.
00:43:53.820 Okay,
00:43:54.280 well,
00:43:54.420 I didn't see that coming.
00:43:56.460 Surprise.
00:43:57.820 Now,
00:43:58.180 why do you think,
00:43:59.760 do you think
00:44:00.960 that he had a strategy
00:44:02.140 of getting
00:44:02.620 what he could get,
00:44:04.360 but he at least
00:44:05.220 wanted the places
00:44:07.360 that are strategic?
00:44:10.940 Because here's the thing,
00:44:11.920 I don't think
00:44:12.380 he's going to be able
00:44:12.940 to hold the strategic places.
00:44:16.280 If you said
00:44:17.100 he captured them
00:44:17.980 and now he's going
00:44:18.640 to control them forever,
00:44:19.620 I'd say,
00:44:19.980 oh,
00:44:20.180 okay,
00:44:20.440 that's a good argument
00:44:21.260 that he won
00:44:21.960 something pretty important.
00:44:24.420 But I don't think
00:44:25.080 he can hold them.
00:44:27.060 Do you?
00:44:28.400 Because why would
00:44:29.100 Ukraine stop pounding them?
00:44:30.820 Ukraine's just going
00:44:31.500 to turn that territory
00:44:32.640 into like a killing field.
00:44:34.980 Aren't they?
00:44:36.380 So I don't know
00:44:37.080 what winning looks like
00:44:37.900 in that context.
00:44:40.200 Winning is no NATO,
00:44:41.540 but NATO grew.
00:44:44.280 I don't know.
00:44:44.720 I would say Russia
00:44:45.460 lost the war
00:44:46.200 because they didn't
00:44:47.620 get control of Ukraine.
00:44:49.080 They lost the narrative war.
00:44:51.780 They lost the economic war.
00:44:54.280 They lost the reducing
00:44:55.800 NATO's influence war.
00:44:58.880 I feel like they lost everything.
00:45:02.040 Now, Ukraine lost a ton,
00:45:04.080 and we don't know
00:45:04.780 if they'll be able
00:45:05.440 to build back better,
00:45:06.440 so to speak.
00:45:07.800 And yeah,
00:45:08.560 the ruble was stronger
00:45:10.580 than we thought,
00:45:11.580 but that's more
00:45:12.600 of a non-issue
00:45:13.260 at the moment.
00:45:19.160 All right.
00:45:21.520 So,
00:45:22.480 that's what I say.
00:45:23.600 Ukraine won the war.
00:45:25.140 There's an interesting
00:45:26.480 take by Michael Mina.
00:45:28.280 You might know him from...
00:45:30.480 He was the main person
00:45:31.920 arguing for rapid testing
00:45:33.340 during the pandemic.
00:45:34.500 I tried to boost
00:45:36.940 that signal
00:45:37.480 as much as possible,
00:45:38.700 but ultimately,
00:45:40.580 the government...
00:45:41.600 I think because
00:45:42.340 our government is corrupt,
00:45:44.140 I think that's
00:45:45.040 the only explanation,
00:45:46.520 we're not fast enough
00:45:47.700 with rapid tests
00:45:48.500 to make a difference
00:45:49.420 during the pandemic.
00:45:50.940 And as Michael Mina
00:45:52.080 points out,
00:45:52.820 that may be part
00:45:53.640 of the problem,
00:45:54.400 and I would agree
00:45:55.060 with this completely,
00:45:56.120 is that we manage
00:45:57.980 the pandemic
00:45:58.600 with a medical mindset
00:46:00.800 instead of an
00:46:02.060 engineering mindset.
00:46:03.160 And I didn't see
00:46:07.180 his entire interview,
00:46:08.280 but I think it means
00:46:09.220 the stuff like this.
00:46:10.920 A medical opinion
00:46:12.060 would be,
00:46:12.760 don't use rapid tests
00:46:13.740 because they're not
00:46:14.440 accurate enough.
00:46:16.400 And that was the guidance
00:46:18.280 that kept us
00:46:18.980 from having rapid tests.
00:46:20.380 Don't use them
00:46:21.160 because they're not
00:46:21.780 accurate enough.
00:46:23.540 That's a medical,
00:46:24.760 standard medical opinion.
00:46:26.300 Don't use a test
00:46:27.080 that's inaccurate.
00:46:28.720 The engineering opinion
00:46:30.160 was,
00:46:31.900 engineering opinion,
00:46:33.160 and it's just based
00:46:33.900 on math,
00:46:34.800 if you could do enough
00:46:35.940 of these less accurate tests,
00:46:38.200 you would come out ahead.
00:46:40.120 So if you could do them often,
00:46:42.120 you would catch
00:46:42.800 so much of the virus
00:46:44.040 at its worst
00:46:44.940 infectious points.
00:46:46.320 Because remember,
00:46:46.940 the stuff it misses
00:46:47.680 are the infections
00:46:49.200 that aren't very spready.
00:46:51.100 The reason it would
00:46:51.940 miss an infection,
00:46:53.400 in other words,
00:46:54.080 give you a negative
00:46:55.440 when there was a positive,
00:46:56.380 the only reason
00:46:56.980 it would miss it
00:46:57.540 is because there's
00:46:58.060 very little virus.
00:46:58.980 But if it caught
00:47:00.820 all the people
00:47:01.400 who had really
00:47:02.440 spready virus,
00:47:04.460 how would that
00:47:05.760 not make a difference?
00:47:06.720 I mean,
00:47:06.880 it's just an
00:47:07.320 engineering approach.
00:47:08.780 So I think he's
00:47:09.720 totally right.
00:47:10.360 I think that the
00:47:11.120 medical first
00:47:12.660 approach
00:47:14.500 was completely
00:47:16.020 a disaster.
00:47:17.720 I would also
00:47:18.540 extend that
00:47:19.100 to the drinking
00:47:19.920 bleach hoax.
00:47:21.680 How do you get
00:47:22.440 that drinking
00:47:23.560 bleach hoax?
00:47:24.780 Well,
00:47:25.600 when Trump
00:47:26.740 was speculating
00:47:28.920 about can you
00:47:29.760 do something
00:47:30.200 to insert
00:47:30.940 a disinfectant
00:47:32.480 into the lungs,
00:47:33.980 he was talking
00:47:34.700 about light.
00:47:36.260 He started
00:47:37.180 the conversation
00:47:37.920 telling you
00:47:38.640 it was about light
00:47:39.380 and then when
00:47:40.260 he was done,
00:47:40.760 he brought it
00:47:41.140 back to light
00:47:41.720 so you knew
00:47:42.160 he was always
00:47:42.540 talking about light
00:47:43.240 as the disinfectant.
00:47:44.920 That's sort of
00:47:45.500 an engineering,
00:47:46.660 sort of an
00:47:48.420 engineering approach
00:47:49.500 to a medical problem.
00:47:51.220 Because the engineering
00:47:52.220 is how do you
00:47:52.700 get that thing
00:47:53.280 down there?
00:47:54.300 We already knew
00:47:55.420 that UV light
00:47:56.260 could kill virus
00:47:57.880 and maybe not
00:47:58.880 damage people.
00:48:00.860 You still needed
00:48:01.620 to test it.
00:48:02.620 But that was
00:48:02.960 sort of an
00:48:03.380 engineering thing.
00:48:05.120 And then as soon
00:48:05.800 as the medical
00:48:06.440 people heard it,
00:48:08.060 they turned it
00:48:08.700 into a medical thing
00:48:09.700 and then it
00:48:10.720 didn't make sense
00:48:11.320 anymore.
00:48:11.800 And then they said,
00:48:12.460 oh, the president
00:48:13.500 doesn't make sense.
00:48:15.280 No, the president
00:48:15.980 was talking in
00:48:16.960 an engineering sense
00:48:18.200 correctly.
00:48:19.440 He was correctly
00:48:20.240 bringing up a topic
00:48:22.640 in the correct way.
00:48:23.480 But the medical
00:48:24.500 people were like,
00:48:25.060 oh, we don't
00:48:25.560 understand it.
00:48:26.400 It doesn't make
00:48:26.860 sense from a
00:48:27.380 medical perspective.
00:48:29.600 Because it was
00:48:30.280 an engineering thing.
00:48:32.300 Yeah, his word
00:48:33.520 choice was
00:48:34.180 suboptimal.
00:48:37.320 No way for
00:48:38.140 Russia to win
00:48:39.040 at this point?
00:48:39.600 Well, one assumes
00:48:41.360 that Russia will
00:48:42.040 keep pecking
00:48:42.700 away at Ukraine
00:48:43.520 forever, right?
00:48:45.000 So they will
00:48:45.640 use other tricks.
00:48:47.340 They'll use
00:48:47.800 bribery and
00:48:48.820 espionage and
00:48:50.080 hacking and
00:48:51.500 whatever else
00:48:52.220 they can.
00:48:53.260 So I don't
00:48:53.820 think Russia
00:48:54.240 will ever be
00:48:54.800 done with
00:48:55.620 Ukraine.
00:48:57.160 But I don't
00:48:57.900 see that they're
00:48:58.420 going to conquer
00:48:58.960 and hold
00:48:59.440 Ukraine as a
00:49:00.200 country.
00:49:00.560 That looks like
00:49:01.040 that's done.
00:49:02.280 I believe that
00:49:03.020 question is asked
00:49:03.840 and answered.
00:49:05.080 And I don't
00:49:06.000 even know what
00:49:06.500 fighting is going
00:49:08.240 on.
00:49:09.420 Do you?
00:49:10.820 What actual
00:49:12.000 fighting happened
00:49:12.720 in Ukraine today?
00:49:13.540 I didn't see any
00:49:14.120 reporting on it
00:49:14.840 at all.
00:49:16.040 Is there any?
00:49:16.800 There has to be,
00:49:17.380 probably a lot.
00:49:19.060 No reporting.
00:49:22.060 All right.
00:49:24.240 I need to
00:49:25.040 follow Defense
00:49:25.780 Politics Asia.
00:49:28.440 Tweet it at me.
00:49:29.360 I'll follow.
00:49:37.420 There's no
00:49:38.060 reporting yet.
00:49:38.900 You believe them
00:49:39.680 when they say
00:49:41.380 we won.
00:49:42.000 Here's what I
00:49:46.720 believe.
00:49:48.000 I believe that
00:49:49.080 the Russian army
00:49:49.840 is stalled and
00:49:50.900 Ukraine still
00:49:51.680 stands.
00:49:52.320 Does anybody
00:49:52.780 disagree with
00:49:54.520 those two
00:49:54.960 statements?
00:49:56.080 Ukraine is
00:49:56.760 still a country
00:49:57.320 and the Russian
00:49:58.960 army is stalled.
00:50:00.480 And it's not
00:50:01.600 obvious that
00:50:02.200 that's going to
00:50:02.620 change.
00:50:03.140 I don't see any
00:50:03.640 reason it would
00:50:04.120 change.
00:50:04.560 Somebody's
00:50:04.960 disagreeing with
00:50:05.540 that.
00:50:06.620 Which part do
00:50:07.420 you disagree?
00:50:08.000 That Ukraine
00:50:08.520 still exists or
00:50:09.820 that the Russian
00:50:10.340 army is stalled?
00:50:12.000 Somebody says
00:50:16.200 they're back on
00:50:16.740 the move.
00:50:17.100 Okay.
00:50:17.440 We'll watch
00:50:17.800 for that.
00:50:18.640 So you're
00:50:19.040 saying that
00:50:19.460 the news is
00:50:20.200 just ignoring
00:50:20.840 a major
00:50:21.500 Russian advance?
00:50:24.060 Because the
00:50:24.680 news usually
00:50:25.240 reports that
00:50:26.060 the Ukrainians
00:50:27.000 have beaten
00:50:27.420 back the
00:50:27.860 advance.
00:50:28.560 I never
00:50:29.260 believe that.
00:50:30.660 I never
00:50:31.400 believe the
00:50:31.900 beaten back
00:50:32.480 the advance
00:50:32.960 stories.
00:50:36.280 All right.
00:50:37.060 All right.
00:50:37.440 Well, we'll
00:50:37.760 see.
00:50:38.800 I'm going to
00:50:39.480 stand with my
00:50:40.420 prediction or
00:50:41.680 statement that
00:50:42.260 the war is
00:50:42.720 over and
00:50:43.140 Russia lost.
00:50:45.420 And if you
00:50:46.320 stick with
00:50:46.700 yours, you
00:50:48.060 should expect
00:50:48.660 that Russia
00:50:49.320 would do
00:50:50.680 some major
00:50:51.280 offensive and
00:50:52.160 take a big
00:50:53.760 chunk out of
00:50:54.300 Ukraine.
00:50:57.840 Five cities
00:50:58.720 are under
00:50:59.120 siege.
00:51:00.920 Interestingly,
00:51:01.640 the news seems
00:51:02.300 very silent on
00:51:03.100 that, those
00:51:03.640 five cities
00:51:04.360 under siege.
00:51:05.540 Those are all
00:51:06.360 in the disputed
00:51:07.480 territory, right?
00:51:08.160 So I'm
00:51:09.200 not questioning
00:51:10.280 whatsoever that
00:51:11.040 Russia got some
00:51:11.840 extra territory
00:51:12.780 and the
00:51:13.900 territory that
00:51:14.520 they wanted
00:51:14.940 the most.
00:51:16.060 That does
00:51:16.700 seem like it
00:51:17.720 happened.
00:51:22.260 Pseudo bill.
00:51:23.660 Okay.
00:51:25.200 All right.
00:51:26.740 There will be a
00:51:27.720 treaty and new
00:51:28.400 borders.
00:51:29.100 Ukraine says
00:51:29.800 no.
00:51:31.100 Ukraine says
00:51:32.000 there will be
00:51:32.620 no land
00:51:34.000 negotiating.
00:51:35.140 Now, of course,
00:51:35.600 that's what you
00:51:36.060 say before you
00:51:36.800 negotiate, but I
00:51:38.680 feel like they
00:51:39.300 mean it.
00:51:40.960 I feel like
00:51:41.780 Ukraine is not
00:51:42.560 going to stop
00:51:43.040 fighting because
00:51:44.480 they can just
00:51:45.380 put their
00:51:45.940 artillery, just
00:51:47.960 sit there and
00:51:48.580 just shell the
00:51:49.520 Russians forever,
00:51:50.460 can't they?
00:51:56.260 With 40
00:51:57.060 billion behind
00:51:57.640 them, yeah.
00:52:01.520 Well, let's
00:52:03.360 all stay away
00:52:04.000 from the
00:52:04.400 monkeypox and
00:52:06.360 that's all
00:52:07.500 for now.
00:52:13.700 Abbott is
00:52:14.360 behind two
00:52:14.820 of those
00:52:15.100 things.
00:52:16.340 Abbott's
00:52:16.740 center of
00:52:17.160 rapid test
00:52:17.820 and Abbott's
00:52:18.320 center of
00:52:18.680 baby formula
00:52:19.320 is 25% of
00:52:20.580 the supply
00:52:21.060 shortage.
00:52:27.200 Biden's
00:52:27.680 remarks on
00:52:28.260 China and
00:52:28.780 Taiwan.
00:52:29.620 I saw a
00:52:30.380 headline that
00:52:31.720 Biden basically
00:52:32.660 said we'd go to
00:52:33.700 war if China
00:52:34.380 attacked Taiwan.
00:52:35.300 Is that what
00:52:35.620 happened?
00:52:36.360 Or he
00:52:37.260 suggested it.
00:52:39.080 I'm not sure
00:52:39.680 that's news.
00:52:41.280 They're walking
00:52:41.740 it back already.
00:52:42.900 Yeah, I just
00:52:43.460 don't know that
00:52:43.940 that's news.
00:52:49.560 State Department
00:52:50.300 walked it back,
00:52:51.120 of course.
00:52:52.440 Yeah, I don't
00:52:53.140 think it matters
00:52:53.900 what we say
00:52:54.520 about it.
00:52:55.440 Because if and
00:52:56.380 when it happens,
00:52:57.500 we're going to
00:52:58.100 make the decision
00:52:58.880 from that point.
00:53:00.100 The thing we're
00:53:01.580 not going to do
00:53:02.260 is go there
00:53:03.860 because we
00:53:04.380 promised.
00:53:06.840 If anybody
00:53:07.660 thinks that
00:53:08.180 matters,
00:53:09.000 I don't think
00:53:10.040 it does.
00:53:10.920 So it's not
00:53:11.680 going to matter
00:53:12.060 what we promised
00:53:13.000 to Taiwan.
00:53:13.780 It doesn't matter
00:53:14.240 what we said
00:53:14.980 before.
00:53:15.880 If the shit
00:53:17.000 goes down,
00:53:18.260 we're going to
00:53:19.180 make a decision
00:53:20.000 like we never
00:53:20.820 thought about it
00:53:21.500 before.
00:53:22.460 It's going to be
00:53:23.260 a start from
00:53:24.420 zero decision.
00:53:25.380 All right,
00:53:25.820 now we're
00:53:26.840 in this
00:53:27.140 situation.
00:53:27.860 What do
00:53:28.180 you do now?
00:53:28.880 It's not
00:53:29.300 going to be
00:53:29.660 based on
00:53:30.060 what we
00:53:30.340 said we
00:53:30.760 do.
00:53:31.720 None of
00:53:32.120 that would
00:53:32.440 matter.
00:53:36.200 All right.
00:53:40.180 Russia is
00:53:40.800 winning bigly,
00:53:41.460 you say?
00:53:43.260 There's an
00:53:43.700 Antifa shooting
00:53:44.520 in Colorado.
00:53:45.720 Haven't heard
00:53:46.060 about that.
00:53:49.420 Oh, Bill
00:53:49.900 Maher went
00:53:50.440 based on the
00:53:51.280 trans question.
00:53:55.180 Yeah,
00:53:55.420 I'm starting
00:53:56.220 to get tired
00:53:56.920 of Bill
00:53:58.140 Maher stories.
00:53:59.620 Every Friday
00:54:00.320 he says
00:54:00.800 something that's
00:54:02.000 anti his own
00:54:03.160 team.
00:54:03.920 He says
00:54:04.340 anti-Republican
00:54:05.260 more.
00:54:06.500 But anyway,
00:54:11.680 I'm getting
00:54:12.040 tired of that
00:54:12.580 story because
00:54:13.020 it's like the
00:54:13.520 same story
00:54:14.020 every week.
00:54:16.960 The Sussman
00:54:17.500 trial.
00:54:19.900 I'm just,
00:54:21.420 my mind is
00:54:22.460 boggled by the
00:54:23.340 whole Sussman,
00:54:24.340 Hillary Clinton,
00:54:25.420 collusion,
00:54:26.800 hoax thing.
00:54:27.660 Because we've
00:54:28.420 now proven that
00:54:29.260 everything that we
00:54:30.020 suspected about it
00:54:30.960 was true,
00:54:31.580 right?
00:54:32.560 Like everything you
00:54:33.540 thought about it
00:54:34.120 was true.
00:54:35.800 And they,
00:54:38.340 meaning the
00:54:39.360 Democrats,
00:54:40.080 have taken so
00:54:41.020 long to deal with
00:54:41.780 it that we don't
00:54:42.460 care anymore.
00:54:43.420 Like it doesn't
00:54:43.980 have the same
00:54:44.700 salience to us.
00:54:46.620 We just waited
00:54:47.140 too long and it's
00:54:47.840 complicated and it's
00:54:49.000 over and Trump's
00:54:49.960 not the president,
00:54:50.800 so it doesn't
00:54:51.220 matter.
00:54:51.480 So you can
00:54:54.320 make anything be
00:54:55.180 the biggest
00:54:55.820 problem in the
00:54:56.340 world or the
00:54:56.820 smallest problem
00:54:57.420 in the world
00:54:57.780 just by how you
00:54:58.620 treat it.
00:55:00.240 Oh yeah,
00:55:00.640 the Operation
00:55:01.240 Fly Formula.
00:55:02.660 Oh my God.
00:55:06.160 So the Biden
00:55:07.080 administration
00:55:07.640 names their
00:55:08.520 airlift of the
00:55:10.400 baby formula
00:55:11.180 since they're
00:55:12.180 going to fly it.
00:55:13.420 They call it
00:55:14.040 Operation Fly
00:55:15.000 Formula.
00:55:15.440 Now, fly
00:55:18.180 formula sounds
00:55:19.160 like something
00:55:19.700 that Jeff
00:55:20.160 Goldberg should
00:55:20.900 stay away from.
00:55:22.240 Catch my drift?
00:55:23.700 Stay away from
00:55:24.300 the fly formula
00:55:25.020 because it'll
00:55:25.540 turn you into
00:55:26.100 a giant fly.
00:55:27.920 Who came up
00:55:28.880 with that name?
00:55:29.620 A fly formula?
00:55:31.420 No.
00:55:32.400 Get fly
00:55:33.080 completely
00:55:33.620 out of your
00:55:34.080 name.
00:55:35.240 Because I don't
00:55:35.820 think of airplane.
00:55:37.400 You know what
00:55:37.740 they could have
00:55:38.080 been?
00:55:39.220 Project
00:55:39.700 Baby Formula
00:55:41.040 Airlift.
00:55:42.460 Huh?
00:55:43.780 Baby Formula
00:55:44.760 Airlift.
00:55:46.020 Okay?
00:55:47.400 How about
00:55:47.960 Formula by Air?
00:55:51.140 How about
00:55:51.640 Baby Rescue?
00:55:54.400 I believe I
00:55:55.440 could go all
00:55:56.080 day long and
00:55:57.000 never say
00:55:57.520 anything as
00:55:58.140 bad as fly
00:55:59.200 formula.
00:56:01.020 Am I right?
00:56:02.180 Nothing is
00:56:02.860 worse than
00:56:03.220 that fly
00:56:03.840 formula.
00:56:04.980 Basically
00:56:05.580 equating
00:56:06.320 children to
00:56:07.180 flies.
00:56:10.020 It's all
00:56:10.740 part of the
00:56:11.140 Biden War
00:56:11.700 on Babies.
00:56:12.300 The Biden
00:56:16.160 administration
00:56:16.700 hates babies
00:56:17.420 so much
00:56:17.920 they equate
00:56:18.880 them with
00:56:19.220 flies.
00:56:19.940 They abort
00:56:20.320 them.
00:56:21.320 They don't
00:56:21.700 give them
00:56:22.020 enough formula
00:56:22.640 and they
00:56:25.580 let them
00:56:25.980 grow up
00:56:26.300 in a world
00:56:27.700 with all
00:56:29.620 kinds of
00:56:30.520 inflation.
00:56:32.500 So the
00:56:33.120 Biden War
00:56:33.560 on Babies
00:56:34.100 continues.
00:56:35.620 All right.
00:56:35.860 Operation
00:56:41.320 Nipple
00:56:41.760 Nectar.
00:56:43.220 Okay.
00:56:44.620 Not bad.
00:56:46.840 All right.
00:56:47.960 That's all
00:56:48.540 I got for
00:56:48.940 now.
00:56:52.120 And I
00:56:52.800 will talk
00:56:53.120 to you
00:56:53.320 tomorrow.
00:56:54.060 I'm sure
00:56:54.580 the news
00:56:55.020 will be
00:56:55.360 fascinating
00:56:55.900 tomorrow and
00:56:56.460 this is the
00:56:56.880 best live
00:56:57.800 stream you've
00:56:58.220 ever seen
00:56:58.660 in your
00:56:59.040 life.
00:56:59.940 I know.
00:57:00.500 Best show
00:57:00.920 ever.
00:57:02.480 And I'll
00:57:03.060 talk to you
00:57:03.380 tomorrow.
00:57:03.600 All right.