Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1752 Scott Adams： Russia Loses War With Ukraine. Baby Formula Shortage Is Everyone's Fault

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:08.420 Coffee with Scott Adams, the best thing that's ever happened to anybody, anywhere.

00:00:13.660 It's true.

00:00:14.960 And if you'd like to enjoy this in a way that, I don't know, you'll probably be telling your grandkids,

00:00:21.820 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or gel,

00:00:24.620 it's a tiny canteen jug or a flask of a vessel of any kind.

00:00:28.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:30.540 I like coffee.

00:00:32.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:36.520 It's that dopamine the other day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:39.300 It's the simultaneous sip.

00:00:41.500 It goes now.

00:00:42.500 Go.

00:00:48.720 I have a question on the Locals platform.

00:00:50.900 Does dopamine help vertigo?

00:00:52.840 It helps everything.

00:00:54.320 You'll still be dizzy, but you'll be happier about it.

00:00:57.360 Does everybody feel their dopamine just go up a level?

00:01:01.580 Is it just me?

00:01:02.760 It's not just me.

00:01:04.120 No, your dopamine just went up a little bit.

00:01:06.320 That little happiness you're feeling right now because of the beginning of Coffee with Scott Adams,

00:01:11.000 that's real.

00:01:12.440 That's real.

00:01:13.120 You're feeling it.

00:01:14.660 Well, I told you that there's a new Star Trek series called Star Trek Discovery,

00:01:20.440 and I watched the first one a few weeks ago, and I reported that it was not ruined by wokeness,

00:01:28.860 had not been ruined by wokeness, because the other most recent Star Trek had been just overwoked

00:01:34.400 to the point where it just ruined the writing.

00:01:37.320 Now, I'm all for wokeness.

00:01:39.200 I'm actually, you know, I know you might be surprised,

00:01:42.940 but I think the wokeness stuff is completely appropriate.

00:01:46.620 But like everything good, you can take it too far, and then it ruins everything.

00:01:52.100 So it's not the goodness of it in general.

00:01:54.320 I think we should all treat people the way they would like to be treated to the extent that's practical.

00:02:01.000 But everything good goes too far.

00:02:03.960 I made a comic strip on that very thing.

00:02:06.560 The Dilbert comic doesn't make fun of bad things.

00:02:09.840 That's a misconception.

00:02:11.720 It doesn't make fun of things that are bad ideas.

00:02:14.840 It makes fun of good ideas that are taken too far, mostly.

00:02:19.000 I mean, I do both.

00:02:20.820 But it's an important distinction.

00:02:24.320 So, the new Star Trek, Discovery, I watched the second episode, and it's ruined by wokeness.

00:02:33.640 It's completely ruined.

00:02:35.600 The second one was almost unwatchable, because I thought, oh, they've got a nice diverse cast. 1.00

00:02:42.300 That's good.

00:02:43.820 Star Trek always had a diverse cast, and that was one of its strengths.

00:02:47.760 So good to see that.

00:02:49.420 And then I thought, okay, they're not trying to kill us with wokeness.

00:02:52.820 They're just doing it the way the original Star Trek did.

00:02:56.360 They're just building the cast up to be full, capable people, and that's all you need.

00:03:02.560 Everybody from different types, they're all full and capable people.

00:03:05.560 But no, the entire second episode had to be about the only black woman who is a cast member on the deck, and how awesome she is compared to everybody else, basically.

00:03:19.180 And I'm thinking, I don't know.

00:03:23.260 I mean, the fact that she was black and female didn't have to do with anything, did it?

00:03:29.360 Except they wouldn't have done that story if she hadn't been.

00:03:32.500 If she had been just a generic, or let's say it had been a generic white guy, they wouldn't have done a story about how smart he was, would they?

00:03:44.480 Like, it wouldn't make sense as a story.

00:03:46.940 It's just the wokeness of it that turned it into a story element.

00:03:52.140 It's like, hey, she's black and she's female and she can speak 37 languages or 39 languages, whatever it was. 0.97

00:03:59.740 And I think it's great that all the characters, you know, are celebrated for their, you know, positive traits.

00:04:08.500 That's cool.

00:04:09.720 But here's the problem.

00:04:12.800 Here's the problem.

00:04:15.500 To have a good show, you need flaws.

00:04:19.400 Do you remember the original Star Trek with Captain Kirk?

00:04:23.100 He was like a strong character, but he had a real flaw.

00:04:27.220 And his flaw was his ego, right?

00:04:30.340 Which was an awesome flaw.

00:04:32.320 Because his ego is what helped him, but it was also his enemy.

00:04:37.080 Which was really good writing.

00:04:39.460 Right?

00:04:39.680 A good setup for good writing.

00:04:41.820 But the current captain is just sort of a woke guy.

00:04:46.180 There's no complexity there at all.

00:04:48.680 So, I can't recommend the new Star Trek Discovery.

00:04:52.340 It is, so far, based on the second episode, it's ruined by wokeness.

00:04:57.300 But we'll see if the third one gets that heavy.

00:04:59.920 And again, I'm all in favor of wokeness.

00:05:02.040 You just don't have to put it everywhere all the time, too much of it.

00:05:05.000 So, that's all.

00:05:07.660 Jonathan Turley continues to be a national treasure.

00:05:12.140 And partly, if you're not following Jonathan Turley, for legal analysis, mostly.

00:05:19.680 He finds little corners of stories that you haven't seen yet that really do matter.

00:05:26.640 Like, actually really important stuff that hasn't been talked about yet.

00:05:30.200 And he's doing it again.

00:05:31.540 And this one's really clever, the way he's, I mean, clever in the sense that it's good that he knows these things and we don't.

00:05:38.960 So, he can tell us.

00:05:40.540 So, there's this case about Steve Wynn, who owned the Wynn Hotels.

00:05:45.180 And I think he's out of the business now.

00:05:47.460 I'm not sure what his stake is.

00:05:48.760 But he got Me Too'd out, I think.

00:05:51.120 And he's being, I guess, sued by the government in a civil case about FARA, that foreign agent's registration situation.

00:06:03.320 So, if an American citizen lobbies on behalf of a foreign country, they have to register as a lobbyist of some sort or else it's illegal.

00:06:13.220 But it can be illegal in two different ways, apparently.

00:06:16.820 It could be illegal in a civil way, which means you don't go to jail.

00:06:24.060 Somebody says, Scott is wrong on this one.

00:06:26.400 Well, I'm going to fuck you into oblivion for saying something like that.

00:06:31.400 Goodbye.

00:06:33.980 Again, for anybody who's new, I like criticism. 0.99

00:06:38.160 Just put the criticism in the comments.

00:06:40.860 Scott, you forgot to mention.

00:06:43.120 You know, you're under-emphasizing X.

00:06:45.360 What about, why?

00:06:48.300 Absolutely love those comments.

00:06:50.540 But, Scott, you have a bad take today.

00:06:53.760 We don't need you here.

00:06:55.000 You're worthless.

00:06:56.100 Your friends hate you.

00:06:57.520 Anybody who says they love you, they're lying.

00:07:00.400 All right.

00:07:01.960 So, Steve Wynn, because his case is being treated as a civil case instead of a criminal case,

00:07:08.300 Jonathan Turley cleverly has picked up on the precedent because there's somebody else who might be facing a potential legal problem based on foreign, being active for a foreign government.

00:07:22.760 And that is somebody named Hunter Biden.

00:07:25.140 And so, as Jonathan Turley argues, if I understand his argument correctly, the Hunter Biden defense could say, wait a minute, wait a minute.

00:07:34.300 How could you possibly come after us with a criminal case if such a thing happened in the future?

00:07:39.120 How could you come after us for a criminal case doing exactly the same thing, they would argue, that Steve Wynn is only being charged civilly, which is a far lesser offense?

00:07:52.840 All right.

00:07:53.560 We'll go by, Friedler.

00:07:55.680 Fuck you.

00:07:56.420 You're into oblivion, too.

00:07:57.760 I think it's just some people want to get blocked or something.

00:08:04.280 All right.

00:08:06.360 So, I think that's a good point.

00:08:08.840 Good point.

00:08:09.780 Is there something happening that's intentional that would make Hunter Biden get off on a lesser charge, if there's any charge at all, and if he's done anything illegal, which is to be determined?

00:08:24.660 Yes.

00:08:25.060 Could be a precursor to softening things up for Hunter.

00:08:28.320 So, I love that there's a Jonathan Turley who can sort of sniff this out before it's news.

00:08:35.280 I mean, this is really good sniffing, isn't it?

00:08:37.840 He's connected two stories that, before you saw them connected, he could see around the corner.

00:08:44.100 This is why you follow him.

00:08:45.840 He can see around corners.

00:08:49.700 And he also writes about, there's a situation with Ben Dominesh of the Federalist.

00:08:55.060 Who made a joke on Twitter about his own staff unionizing.

00:09:00.840 And he made a joke about, you know, off to the salt mines or something if you try to unionize.

00:09:05.220 Now, it was in the context of some other entity unionizing.

00:09:09.800 And it was just a joke.

00:09:11.000 But apparently, it's illegal, if you're in charge of a company, to say something about unionizing that makes it sound like there's going to be a penalty for it.

00:09:23.020 Because you have the right to unionize.

00:09:24.940 And so, somebody who has nothing to do with the company, not an employee, just some liberal troll, decides to sue over a joke.

00:09:35.900 Really?

00:09:37.380 So, there's somebody on the left who sued Ben Dominesh over a Twitter joke that everybody knew was a joke.

00:09:47.020 You couldn't miss the fact that it was a joke.

00:09:49.560 It was an obvious joke.

00:09:51.500 And do you know what the court ruled?

00:09:52.700 It was a joke.

00:09:58.020 So, I guess the court had enough people involved who could tell what a joke was.

00:10:03.020 Hey, this is a joke.

00:10:04.480 It's not a legal problem.

00:10:06.260 It's actually just a joke.

00:10:08.720 And I can't believe that ever went to a court.

00:10:12.800 But it did.

00:10:13.620 All right.

00:10:15.440 Here's an interesting question.

00:10:19.280 How do rights get formed?

00:10:22.040 Or do you just have them unless the government takes them away?

00:10:25.600 In my view of things, you have a right to do everything until the government takes it away.

00:10:33.240 Would anybody agree with that description?

00:10:39.220 Now, but God-given just means all the rights.

00:10:42.140 I would say the God-given part could be eliminated from the discussion because whatever it is we're starting with, we're starting with.

00:10:51.620 It doesn't matter how it got there.

00:10:53.700 So, whether it was God-given or not, irrelevant to rights.

00:10:57.580 Because rights are human entities, basically.

00:11:00.980 So, however we got here, would you say that whether God put us here or not,

00:11:06.860 that the question of rights is that you have all the rights until the government limits them.

00:11:13.740 Right?

00:11:15.340 So, then this interesting side question to this is, do you have a right to an abortion?

00:11:21.400 Do you have a right to an abortion? 1.00

00:11:27.140 And the answer is yes, until the government takes it away.

00:11:31.140 Right?

00:11:33.280 Yeah.

00:11:33.840 You have a right until the government takes it away.

00:11:36.200 That's how it works.

00:11:37.540 Now, there are lots of things that the government takes away.

00:11:40.520 I can't drive a car if I'm 14.

00:11:44.300 Right?

00:11:44.540 It would be a right, except the government took it away.

00:11:49.500 So, it's the way everything works.

00:11:51.360 But George Upper, at the Uppercut, says this.

00:11:57.620 He says that I'm incorrect in my definition of a right.

00:12:01.840 He says you cannot have a right.

00:12:03.480 So, he's clarifying a specific case here.

00:12:06.660 Not a general case, but a specific case.

00:12:09.000 He says you cannot have a right to something that requires someone else to give something up.

00:12:12.880 And he says that's why health care isn't a right in any form.

00:12:17.580 You cannot have a right to something that requires someone else to give something up.

00:12:21.740 True or false?

00:12:23.400 You cannot have a right that requires someone else to give something up.

00:12:30.240 It's false.

00:12:31.560 Completely false.

00:12:33.360 It could not be more false.

00:12:35.140 But you're all saying true.

00:12:39.560 Every single right gives something up.

00:12:42.880 Let's say you have the right to take a walk in the park.

00:12:52.220 Right?

00:12:52.980 You have a right to take a walk in the park.

00:12:56.060 And you would say there's no law against it, so you have that right.

00:13:00.080 Now, let's say, what does that do to my right to be in the park alone?

00:13:03.520 Because there's no law that says I can't be in the park alone, and I want to be.

00:13:09.600 But now I can't.

00:13:11.360 Because you exercise your right to walk in the park at the same time.

00:13:15.020 So, my right to be alone, I mean, at least my ability to be alone, has gone away.

00:13:22.300 It didn't take away my right, but it took away my ability to be alone.

00:13:25.840 Pretty much everything that gives you a right to do something is limiting somebody else from doing that thing at the same time or in the same way.

00:13:34.820 Pretty much everything.

00:13:36.680 So, it's indirect.

00:13:39.400 It's indirect.

00:13:40.220 Somebody says that's thin.

00:13:41.920 I would say it's indirect.

00:13:43.280 But it's always there.

00:13:44.940 Everything you do has some limit on somebody else.

00:13:47.900 You want another example?

00:13:52.280 Give me another right.

00:13:54.280 What is something else you have a right to?

00:13:55.960 A right to own a gun, let's say.

00:14:00.220 Okay.

00:14:00.900 You have a right to own a firearm in the United States.

00:14:03.760 Does that take away anybody's right?

00:14:07.540 Well, it takes away my right to not be around guns.

00:14:12.460 If I wanted that.

00:14:14.040 I mean, it's not the right I want, but if I wanted it.

00:14:16.860 I wouldn't have that option.

00:14:19.340 So, I would say maybe it doesn't take away somebody's right.

00:14:22.680 It takes away their options in pretty much every case.

00:14:26.940 Scott, you confuse rights with privileges.

00:14:29.000 Now, see if that's a good comment.

00:14:31.140 You don't get blocked for that.

00:14:33.640 The rest of you who don't know how to make good comments, learn from that.

00:14:38.600 He says, I'm confusing rights with privileges.

00:14:41.560 Now, I don't think I am, but that's at least a reasonable comment.

00:14:45.200 I'm conflating a right with, let's say, the physical ability to do something.

00:14:54.360 Because there's no point having a right to do something you can't do.

00:14:57.760 I have a right to flap my arms and fly.

00:15:00.940 Is that useful?

00:15:03.560 Go flap your arms and fly.

00:15:05.060 You have the right.

00:15:06.240 It doesn't help.

00:15:06.860 So, in a practical sense, everybody's rights tend to impinge on other people.

00:15:13.260 You can use different words for it, but everything you do impinges on other people.

00:15:17.720 All right.

00:15:19.740 Otherwise, it's just word thinking.

00:15:21.100 I was watching, not all of you watch basketball, so I'll make quick work of this, and it's not about sports.

00:15:28.700 But the Warriors beat the Mavericks.

00:15:31.140 That's the third time in a row.

00:15:34.000 And I like watching sports because of persuasion.

00:15:40.080 Like watching the sort of mental part of it.

00:15:42.280 And I'll tell you, there's one thing that you can see in the faces of the Mavericks versus the faces of the Warriors.

00:15:49.400 If you looked at the faces of the Mavericks, they looked like they didn't think they were going to win.

00:15:54.280 Now, it could just be my bias, of course.

00:15:58.380 But they really looked like they didn't think they were going to win.

00:16:01.940 Well before the game was too far away for them to win.

00:16:06.520 Whereas the Warriors always looked like they were going to win.

00:16:10.700 And some of it has to do with the fact that Steph Curry is on one team and not on the other.

00:16:17.660 And if you've never noticed, Steph Curry, I don't think he's having as good a year as he's had before.

00:16:24.580 But I'm sure the reason is because he's bored.

00:16:27.640 If you watch him in the first part of any game, he misses a lot of shots.

00:16:32.500 Seems a little sloppy.

00:16:33.300 And then the last ten minutes comes, which is the only time that matters.

00:16:38.820 And then he just wins.

00:16:41.100 He just wins.

00:16:42.340 It feels like he doesn't get interested until it's almost too late.

00:16:50.440 He reminds me of one of the most fun I've ever had, or the best times I've ever had, watching a youth soccer game.

00:16:58.340 So it was, I think, maybe ten-year-old boys playing when my stepson was playing on the team.

00:17:06.660 And I was watching, and there was one kid on one team that was the team I was rooting for, who was sort of a superstar among the kids.

00:17:15.640 And for some reason, their team was behind.

00:17:17.560 And I mentioned to his dad, I said, uh, what's going on here?

00:17:23.520 You know, Nick's team is behind?

00:17:25.540 How's that happening?

00:17:27.100 And he goes, I don't know.

00:17:28.520 He yells out to his son.

00:17:29.620 He goes, Nick, do you know what the score is?

00:17:32.460 And Nick looks over, and he just nods.

00:17:35.900 And there's like three minutes left.

00:17:38.100 I'm exaggerating.

00:17:39.180 We're just a few minutes left.

00:17:40.700 And then Nick scores, I don't know, three or four goals solo and wins the game.

00:17:47.040 It was just the funniest thing.

00:17:48.800 Nick, do you know what the score is?

00:17:50.440 He just nods and scores three goals and wins.

00:17:54.460 It was the most awesome thing you've ever seen in a kid's soccer context.

00:18:00.280 But anyway, that feels like what Stephen Curry does.

00:18:02.080 He just waits till the end.

00:18:03.140 They're like, OK, now it's time to wake up.

00:18:04.540 But I'd like to say something about the coach.

00:18:08.860 So Steve Kerr has coached the same group of people mostly, largely the same, to several

00:18:15.580 championships and would be presumably, I guess, considered one of the greatest coaches because

00:18:21.480 he's done so well.

00:18:22.800 But it's hard to know how much is that he just has better players, right?

00:18:30.600 Does he just have better players?

00:18:31.760 But there's something he does that I don't see other coaches do.

00:18:36.740 And maybe if you watch more sports than I do, you can tell me how common this is.

00:18:41.620 He doesn't get mad at his own players for even really, really dumb mistakes.

00:18:48.520 Have you ever noticed that?

00:18:50.020 Is there anybody else who watches him?

00:18:51.440 He is completely poker-faced when one of his players just passes it to the wrong guy.

00:18:57.720 I mean, just really dumb stuff.

00:18:59.780 Nothing.

00:19:00.820 Not a single reaction.

00:19:03.880 But when one of his players gets a bad call, like he's all over it, supporting him.

00:19:10.380 So he does take people out.

00:19:12.920 He replaces them if they're not performing.

00:19:15.500 But it's very just matter-of-fact.

00:19:17.620 You're out, you're in.

00:19:18.560 And I have to wonder how important that is.

00:19:23.620 Because he does sort of what, it looks like the Dale Carnegie approach, where he's only telling them what they're doing right.

00:19:30.180 That's what it looks like.

00:19:31.780 It looks like he only tells them what they're doing right.

00:19:35.160 Now, he must be telling them what they're doing wrong sometimes, or the other coaches do, or, you know, doing the day-to-day drills and stuff.

00:19:42.500 But it looks like he's operating on a pretty high level.

00:19:47.780 I think, was it Coach Jackson who coached, you know, Michael Jordan, et cetera?

00:19:55.560 Phil Jackson.

00:19:56.540 Wasn't it Phil Jackson who had that same approach, right?

00:20:00.780 He basically never got mad at his players during the game.

00:20:04.260 Not even a little.

00:20:05.520 In fact, he didn't even look bothered.

00:20:07.000 And let me tell you the psychology of it.

00:20:13.060 Actually, let me tell you a story from my own past.

00:20:17.580 As you know, I'm a hypnotist as well as sometimes I used to play tennis.

00:20:24.260 So it used to be my game.

00:20:25.400 I used to play tennis a lot, actually.

00:20:27.040 And when I was young, I lived in a place that had some tennis courts in the apartment complex.

00:20:30.840 And they would have tennis tournaments for the people who lived in the apartments.

00:20:37.000 And I joined a tournament one time.

00:20:39.700 And they would pair you with somebody who would be your partner.

00:20:43.540 And I got paired with a woman to be my tennis partner who had never played tennis. 1.00

00:20:49.900 That's right.

00:20:51.120 I was in a tennis tournament.

00:20:53.640 And I got paired with somebody who didn't even know how you keep score.

00:20:57.440 Had never touched a tennis racket.

00:20:59.340 Now, I said to myself, it looks like I'm going to lose this tournament.

00:21:05.300 Because I'm playing with somebody who's never touched a tennis racket.

00:21:09.240 But I don't like to lose.

00:21:12.260 I don't know if I've ever mentioned that.

00:21:13.900 I don't like to lose.

00:21:14.980 I don't like it at all.

00:21:16.480 So I set about the task of what would it take to win if you have a player who's never touched a tennis ball.

00:21:23.100 And what I did have going for me is that she was a college athlete.

00:21:29.120 So I guess she was a college basketball player.

00:21:32.180 Which means she's coachable.

00:21:35.980 And almost instantly.

00:21:38.600 Have you ever dealt with somebody who's instantly coachable?

00:21:42.760 It's really rare.

00:21:43.460 You can say, hold the racket like this.

00:21:47.480 And then they go like that.

00:21:48.580 And they hold the racket.

00:21:49.500 And then you go, oh.

00:21:52.060 Okay, I guess I'm done with that.

00:21:54.000 You just did that exactly like I said.

00:21:56.280 And then you check back in an hour.

00:21:57.860 And they're still holding it correctly.

00:21:59.720 Very rare.

00:22:00.860 Very rare.

00:22:01.880 Almost nobody can do that.

00:22:02.940 But she could.

00:22:04.460 So, you know, I got her racket held.

00:22:06.820 I got her basics down.

00:22:09.300 In just a few minutes.

00:22:10.520 And then I said, all right, here's the deal.

00:22:14.460 You're going to play the net.

00:22:16.620 Like all the time.

00:22:18.520 You'll just play the net.

00:22:20.040 And all you have to do is if this ball comes over, you just slap it down.

00:22:23.900 And she had good hand-eye coordination.

00:22:27.020 And so, whichever way we started, we instantly switched.

00:22:32.120 And I was fast.

00:22:33.240 So I could cover the entire backcourt easily.

00:22:35.920 So even if she missed one, I could get it behind her.

00:22:38.720 Because I was fast enough.

00:22:39.580 And she was tall enough and coordinated enough that she could slap the ball down from the net. 0.98

00:22:46.000 I think we got all the way to the finals, I believe.

00:22:48.640 We lost in the finals.

00:22:50.480 But the technique that I used with her was the Steve Kerr technique.

00:22:56.440 She would do something that was just, you know, a mistake.

00:23:00.480 And instead of saying, that's okay, which is, don't do that.

00:23:07.220 If you're a tennis player and your partner makes a mistake, don't say, that's okay.

00:23:14.100 Don't do that.

00:23:14.840 Also, don't act like it's a mistake.

00:23:19.120 Do you know what the right thing to do is?

00:23:21.720 Act like you're getting ready for the next point.

00:23:24.320 That's it.

00:23:25.200 That's the only thing.

00:23:26.740 Just act like you're getting ready for the next point.

00:23:28.840 Don't acknowledge it.

00:23:30.340 And she was an athlete.

00:23:31.320 So when she screwed up, she would look to me and apologize.

00:23:34.280 And I would just, I just wouldn't have it.

00:23:37.900 I wouldn't have it.

00:23:38.980 I just wouldn't acknowledge the apology.

00:23:41.100 Because we're going to win the next point.

00:23:43.720 So I kept her mind on the next point.

00:23:46.600 I go, next point, next point.

00:23:48.860 And because she was an athlete, she rose to the challenge and we got all the way to the finals. 0.78

00:23:53.580 Now, I think that that's something that Steve Kerr is doing too.

00:23:57.300 And it's one of those valuable lesson kind of things I like to, I like to reinforce.

00:24:01.700 If you just tell people what they're doing right and let them work out the mistake part on their own,

00:24:07.960 you get really good results.

00:24:10.240 My current music instructor, who's teaching me drums, uses the same technique.

00:24:17.160 I'll be drumming and I'll realize that I've completely messed up a fill.

00:24:20.820 You know, I came in on the wrong beat, just completely destroyed it.

00:24:24.720 And I'll look at him like he's going to tell me I did that wrong.

00:24:28.180 But he knows that I know I did it wrong.

00:24:30.560 There's nothing to say.

00:24:32.700 He just lets it go like it didn't even happen.

00:24:35.360 And I'm like, oh, I just made a mistake, but nothing happened to me.

00:24:40.820 There was no repercussion.

00:24:43.200 So now it's easy to make another mistake.

00:24:45.380 And now it's easy to practice.

00:24:46.600 It's easy to stay loose.

00:24:48.060 I don't worry about it.

00:24:49.140 There's nothing coming back at me.

00:24:50.980 And I just loosen up and I play well.

00:24:53.980 It's an amazing technique, the positive reinforcement.

00:24:57.080 Having said that, Steve Kerr also wears a face mask during his coaching,

00:25:02.500 while the entire stadium and all the players do not, except for some of his coaches.

00:25:07.100 And then he takes it down when he's talking to people up close.

00:25:10.040 So he is a lefty moron.

00:25:14.240 He is a moron in general.

00:25:18.260 But apparently he's a good coach.

00:25:20.400 So I won't take that away from him.

00:25:22.200 How about this baby formula story?

00:25:24.300 So there's a new effort that seems to be totally successful

00:25:28.980 to launder the Democrat complete incompetence on the baby formula issue,

00:25:36.720 to launder that and turn it into a Republican problem. 0.87

00:25:40.740 And it worked.

00:25:42.060 It worked.

00:25:43.320 So Nancy Pelosi comes up with this, or at least she promotes, 0.99

00:25:47.280 this fake legislation that would give $28 million

00:25:51.060 to solve the baby formula problem,

00:25:54.140 except that it wouldn't make any difference.

00:25:57.140 Like it's money that isn't well conceived

00:25:59.940 or would not be well spent.

00:26:02.420 It's not really on point for the problem.

00:26:05.260 But does the public know that?

00:26:06.940 The public doesn't know that the bill is so poor

00:26:09.640 that no self-respecting legislator should vote for it.

00:26:14.700 They don't know that.

00:26:15.740 They only know that something that looks like it was going to help

00:26:18.100 got voted down by Republicans.

00:26:21.080 And so there needs to be a term for fake legislation.

00:26:25.240 Because this is...

00:26:25.920 How many times have we seen fake legislation in the past year?

00:26:29.380 Fake legislation is something that's meant to sound good

00:26:33.260 but is bad so that the other team will have to turn it down

00:26:37.660 and they'll be turning down something that sounds good.

00:26:41.740 And that's what happened.

00:26:43.160 So Pelosi successfully...

00:26:45.740 It actually worked.

00:26:46.920 She laundered the Biden administration's incompetence 1.00

00:26:51.020 through this fake legislation

00:26:53.180 that Republicans voted against

00:26:56.080 and now it's a Republican failure

00:26:58.160 because they voted against a fake legislation.

00:27:02.660 Yeah.

00:27:03.640 Fake-islation.

00:27:05.560 We need a name like fake-islation.

00:27:08.260 Not bad.

00:27:10.040 But how many times have we seen the same trick?

00:27:13.480 Didn't they just do this for abortion? 1.00

00:27:15.640 I think, didn't Schumer just do it for abortion?

00:27:19.580 They're trying to get everybody on record, they say.

00:27:23.820 Anyway, I'm going to say

00:27:25.980 Pelosi gets the persuasion win

00:27:28.040 for a clever weasel play. 0.94

00:27:31.760 And I'm sure the Republicans do this too.

00:27:35.280 I'm not saying that this is just a Democrat trick.

00:27:38.580 But it's pretty weasely,

00:27:39.920 the fake legislation trick.

00:27:41.280 All right.

00:27:45.880 And now CNN is trying to save the Biden administration

00:27:49.800 from the inflation monster,

00:27:53.620 or at least save them in terms of how the public thinks about it.

00:27:58.260 Now, let me ask you a question.

00:28:00.440 How many of you think that Biden and his actions

00:28:04.600 are responsible for the big part or a lot of the inflation?

00:28:11.220 Go.

00:28:11.620 How many would say the Biden administration

00:28:13.480 is guilty of making decisions that increased inflation?

00:28:19.480 Not surprised.

00:28:20.500 My audience is mostly yes.

00:28:22.940 Seeing a smattering of a few no's,

00:28:26.180 but mostly yes.

00:28:27.160 All right.

00:28:28.700 Now, stop answering this question for a moment.

00:28:33.120 And now, without looking it up,

00:28:35.140 without looking it up,

00:28:36.600 you have to answer the second question.

00:28:39.100 What is the...

00:28:40.200 And you could be approximate,

00:28:41.620 but what is the approximate inflation rate

00:28:44.460 in the United Kingdom?

00:28:46.660 So the UK today...

00:28:49.180 So you've got apples and apples.

00:28:50.780 You're comparing the United Kingdom's inflation today

00:28:53.120 to the United States.

00:28:55.100 Without looking it up, what is it?

00:28:57.160 I'm seeing numbers all over the place.

00:29:01.300 I haven't seen the right number.

00:29:02.580 Oh, there it is.

00:29:03.120 Somebody got the right number.

00:29:04.260 Okay.

00:29:04.680 Some of you actually know.

00:29:05.560 It's about 9%.

00:29:06.560 About 9%.

00:29:08.760 The US is about 8.5%.

00:29:11.780 So if it's Biden's fault,

00:29:15.180 and the UK has a conservative prime minister

00:29:19.480 doing different stuff,

00:29:20.860 why is it that the UK's inflation rate

00:29:23.540 is the same as the United States, basically?

00:29:25.360 Somebody says,

00:29:27.660 not comparable.

00:29:28.980 Pick another country.

00:29:31.000 How about France?

00:29:32.260 What's the inflation rate in France?

00:29:33.820 I didn't look this one up.

00:29:35.040 Does somebody know?

00:29:36.520 What's the inflation rate in France?

00:29:40.140 I don't know.

00:29:41.740 So if you think that you know

00:29:44.000 why inflation is worse here,

00:29:46.360 I don't.

00:29:49.400 I don't.

00:29:50.980 I've got a degree in economics,

00:29:52.580 and I don't know why it's what it is.

00:29:55.860 Because I don't understand

00:29:57.000 why the UK is the same inflation rate.

00:30:00.280 Is it just some weird coincidence

00:30:02.140 that it's all different variables,

00:30:04.000 but it came out about the same?

00:30:05.800 Could be.

00:30:06.720 Could be totally.

00:30:07.900 So the first question

00:30:11.800 you've got to ask yourself

00:30:12.680 is why are we not seeing

00:30:13.920 comparable comparisons more often?

00:30:17.940 Because I would think

00:30:18.680 both the left and the right

00:30:19.700 would want to make those comparisons.

00:30:22.680 Somebody says,

00:30:23.480 it's all due to the same

00:30:24.380 green energy policies.

00:30:25.920 Is it?

00:30:27.280 In the UK?

00:30:28.520 I don't know.

00:30:29.760 I don't know about that.

00:30:30.920 So I'll just put that out there

00:30:33.820 as we all have this intuition

00:30:37.040 that Biden caused inflation to go higher.

00:30:41.380 And I share that.

00:30:42.740 I share that intuition.

00:30:44.720 But I don't see numbers to support it.

00:30:48.380 So I'd have to see some numbers

00:30:50.080 to believe it,

00:30:51.400 but my intuition leans that way.

00:30:54.540 So be a little bit more,

00:30:56.200 I think be a little bit more guarded

00:30:57.680 on your opinion about inflation.

00:30:59.100 I think there's just too much

00:31:00.420 fog of war stuff going on there.

00:31:03.160 Then John Harwood at CNN,

00:31:05.500 one of their main propagandists,

00:31:07.960 opinion people.

00:31:11.680 He says that,

00:31:13.040 indeed,

00:31:13.740 he says economists

00:31:14.620 across the political spectrum

00:31:16.320 now believe that Biden's

00:31:18.380 1.9 trillion American rescue plan

00:31:21.060 had some good parts

00:31:23.480 but did accelerate inflation.

00:31:26.120 And he said that

00:31:27.100 that Republicans have a point.

00:31:29.820 So this is someone writing for CNN

00:31:31.360 who says Republicans have a point

00:31:32.980 that the economists agree

00:31:35.080 that Biden drove up inflation.

00:31:37.940 He says,

00:31:38.620 what's unclear is how much of a difference

00:31:40.400 the rescue plan made.

00:31:43.320 Normally,

00:31:44.420 I would be criticizing that statement

00:31:47.620 for propaganda

00:31:48.780 because he's sort of minimizing it.

00:31:51.080 He says,

00:31:51.360 what's unclear is how much of a difference

00:31:53.000 the rescue plan made.

00:31:54.200 But when I look at the UK's numbers,

00:31:57.520 I have to agree with them.

00:31:59.740 I'm not inclined to agree with that,

00:32:02.180 but I have to.

00:32:04.680 Right?

00:32:05.260 I don't want to.

00:32:07.080 I don't want to agree with that at all.

00:32:09.300 I feel like it's something

00:32:10.460 I should disagree with.

00:32:12.420 But the numbers support the fact

00:32:14.560 that you can't tell how much of it

00:32:15.940 was any one cause.

00:32:17.680 And then he's arguing

00:32:22.140 that the reason the inflation

00:32:23.980 hasn't affected us much yet

00:32:26.640 is that the thing that caused it,

00:32:30.700 or caused part of it, some say,

00:32:32.520 the rescue plan gave people money.

00:32:35.860 And then the lockdowns

00:32:36.940 caused them to save money

00:32:38.080 on, I guess, entertainment

00:32:40.320 and other stuff.

00:32:41.760 And so Americans

00:32:42.960 had some excess savings.

00:32:45.920 I don't know what the definition

00:32:47.420 of excess savings is,

00:32:48.580 but more than usual, I guess.

00:32:51.860 And unemployment looks good.

00:32:53.660 So he's arguing that,

00:32:55.380 yeah, inflation's up a little bit,

00:32:57.180 but people also got some free money

00:32:59.120 because of the thing

00:33:00.240 that caused inflation.

00:33:01.240 And so, you know,

00:33:02.840 push-pull, not that big a deal,

00:33:06.480 he would say.

00:33:09.160 What do you think of that?

00:33:10.840 Do you think that,

00:33:11.640 do you think that this softening

00:33:14.200 of the inflation scare story

00:33:16.160 is valid?

00:33:18.920 Because if it's true

00:33:20.260 that the other countries

00:33:21.260 that are comparable-ish

00:33:23.780 have similar inflation problems,

00:33:26.660 it's probably not

00:33:27.620 because of management decisions,

00:33:30.580 is it?

00:33:31.240 Cutting oil production,

00:33:34.900 oh, okay.

00:33:35.760 So some are saying

00:33:36.540 that U.S. cutting oil production

00:33:38.400 affects everybody.

00:33:41.400 UK?

00:33:42.900 How much energy

00:33:44.260 was the UK getting?

00:33:46.020 And would their prices

00:33:48.640 really be affected

00:33:49.440 by the U.S. cutting production?

00:33:51.620 Probably would.

00:33:52.240 I mean, indirectly,

00:33:52.940 it would, of course.

00:33:54.120 But how much?

00:33:55.680 It's more of a how much

00:33:56.720 question, isn't it?

00:33:58.500 Yeah.

00:33:59.500 Yeah, any change

00:34:00.560 in supply and demand

00:34:01.460 should change

00:34:02.100 all oil prices

00:34:03.320 conceptually.

00:34:06.840 But did the UK

00:34:07.920 have something like

00:34:08.940 the American Rescue Plan?

00:34:13.040 Did the UK do

00:34:13.900 something like that?

00:34:14.580 Yeah.

00:34:14.660 All right.

00:34:19.280 Well, I guess my only point

00:34:20.540 is that math proves anything.

00:34:25.820 All right.

00:34:28.820 If I were the Democrats

00:34:30.460 and I cared about persuasion,

00:34:34.960 every time somebody

00:34:35.860 mentioned inflation,

00:34:37.140 I would mention the UK.

00:34:39.480 Because don't Republicans

00:34:41.000 say, hey, that Boris Johnson

00:34:42.380 reminds me of Trump?

00:34:44.820 Right?

00:34:46.300 So if I were trying

00:34:47.440 to be a persuader

00:34:48.880 on the Democrat side

00:34:50.000 and I wanted inflation

00:34:51.260 not to be such a big thing,

00:34:52.900 every single time

00:34:53.900 it got mentioned,

00:34:54.520 I'd say, you know,

00:34:54.960 it's about the same

00:34:55.520 as the UK.

00:34:57.200 Now, even if the reasons

00:34:58.860 are not the same,

00:35:01.080 it's good persuasion.

00:35:02.480 Because the people,

00:35:03.340 we don't know,

00:35:04.000 if you just tell me

00:35:05.420 we have the same inflation

00:35:06.340 as the UK,

00:35:07.640 I'd say, oh,

00:35:09.280 well, I guess it doesn't

00:35:10.140 matter what you do.

00:35:12.100 Right?

00:35:12.520 Because they didn't do

00:35:14.620 exactly what we did.

00:35:16.480 And we're not saying

00:35:18.360 that they did something wrong

00:35:19.460 necessarily, are we?

00:35:22.040 Scott, why are you

00:35:22.940 ignoring Canada?

00:35:25.180 Why does everybody

00:35:26.180 ignore Canada?

00:35:27.480 Sorry.

00:35:28.640 Sorry.

00:35:29.560 Sorry.

00:35:30.860 Sorry.

00:35:32.540 No, I don't mean

00:35:33.380 to insult Canada.

00:35:34.320 Why am I ignoring Canada?

00:35:35.400 What is the inflation rate

00:35:36.680 in Canada?

00:35:37.900 That might be the question

00:35:39.040 you're asking.

00:35:40.160 Inflation rate in Canada?

00:35:41.800 Anybody?

00:35:43.580 6.5?

00:35:46.940 6.8?

00:35:47.820 6.8 compared to 8.5?

00:35:51.640 I don't know if that

00:35:53.880 tells us anything.

00:35:55.740 To me, those are the same.

00:35:58.100 I mean, I would round

00:35:58.900 6.8 to 8.5.

00:36:01.800 I don't think...

00:36:04.340 That sounds about...

00:36:05.520 Yeah, it's a 25% difference,

00:36:07.220 but on a small number.

00:36:10.120 All right.

00:36:11.500 I need more info world.

00:36:13.380 Yeah, okay.

00:36:15.840 I will reiterate

00:36:17.120 this question.

00:36:19.100 Why are we not hearing

00:36:20.220 more about this supply chain?

00:36:22.260 Why is this supply chain

00:36:23.820 story so opaque?

00:36:26.140 And why are we not

00:36:27.380 panicked about it?

00:36:29.320 What's going on?

00:36:31.220 There's either a gigantic

00:36:32.700 supply chain problem,

00:36:34.620 or there's not.

00:36:37.280 The only thing I can figure out

00:36:39.100 is that the supply chain

00:36:41.480 has figured out

00:36:42.940 the 80-20 rule correctly.

00:36:45.480 In other words,

00:36:46.720 if they knew they could

00:36:47.900 only get 20% of their things

00:36:49.600 delivered on time,

00:36:51.560 could it be that

00:36:52.500 the supply chains

00:36:53.580 have figured out

00:36:54.300 how to get the

00:36:55.740 important 20%

00:36:57.060 shipped,

00:36:58.560 and the other 80%

00:36:59.940 like waiting for furniture?

00:37:01.460 So, for example,

00:37:02.100 I ordered some furniture

00:37:03.320 that I won't get

00:37:05.120 until July.

00:37:06.980 I don't know if this

00:37:07.880 has anything to do

00:37:08.640 with the supply chain

00:37:09.320 problems.

00:37:09.820 It could be normal.

00:37:10.900 But I don't really care.

00:37:13.580 If I have to wait

00:37:14.280 until July

00:37:14.880 to get a chair,

00:37:17.540 I mean,

00:37:18.600 I'm not going to sit

00:37:19.360 on the floor.

00:37:20.040 I'll probably sit

00:37:20.580 in a different chair.

00:37:22.000 But if I were missing

00:37:23.560 my microchips

00:37:24.520 for whatever,

00:37:25.480 if I couldn't buy

00:37:26.040 an iPad or a phone,

00:37:27.260 I'd be in serious trouble.

00:37:28.780 It'd be trouble.

00:37:30.300 So I feel as if

00:37:31.360 the supply chain

00:37:32.140 just adjusted

00:37:33.060 the 80-20

00:37:35.060 so that we're getting

00:37:36.220 the 20% 0.96

00:37:36.920 that really is critical

00:37:38.120 the 80% 0.59

00:37:39.360 that isn't,

00:37:39.960 we're waiting for it,

00:37:40.800 but it doesn't matter.

00:37:42.280 Is that what's happening?

00:37:44.540 Is it just

00:37:45.260 massive micro-adjustments

00:37:47.080 everywhere?

00:37:49.540 Baby formula

00:37:50.220 is not a supply chain

00:37:51.280 problem.

00:37:51.940 That's just a U.S.

00:37:53.480 poorly managed problem.

00:37:58.580 Supply chain expert

00:37:59.560 John Monroe

00:38:00.220 has a podcast.

00:38:01.960 But what's the bottom line?

00:38:03.040 But what is the bottom line?

00:38:07.080 We must have made

00:38:08.260 massive adjustments.

00:38:09.960 Because everything we've heard

00:38:12.040 suggests that the economy

00:38:13.360 should already be destroyed.

00:38:16.360 If anything we were told

00:38:17.920 was true

00:38:18.480 about the supply chains,

00:38:20.000 you know,

00:38:20.180 the massive number of ships

00:38:21.760 that can't be unloaded

00:38:22.800 and all that,

00:38:23.360 if any of that's true,

00:38:25.000 the economy is already destroyed

00:38:27.100 and we haven't noticed

00:38:27.960 or something.

00:38:28.360 But I don't think

00:38:29.620 it is true.

00:38:30.740 I think somehow

00:38:31.660 the Adams law

00:38:33.260 of slow-moving disasters

00:38:34.640 worked fast enough

00:38:36.820 that we got past

00:38:38.940 the hardest stuff,

00:38:39.760 right?

00:38:40.260 Because the story

00:38:41.180 we're not hearing is,

00:38:42.460 oh,

00:38:42.820 we're right on the

00:38:44.960 teetering tipping point

00:38:46.800 for one thing

00:38:48.420 or another.

00:38:49.740 Because I don't think

00:38:50.700 we are.

00:38:51.700 Yeah,

00:38:51.900 the baby formula

00:38:52.500 was a special case

00:38:53.580 that didn't really have

00:38:54.380 anything to do

00:38:54.980 with the supply chain

00:38:56.820 problems per se.

00:38:58.360 Container shortage?

00:39:01.680 Is that a thing?

00:39:03.100 Might be.

00:39:04.900 All right.

00:39:06.540 Here's the news

00:39:07.580 on CNN.

00:39:10.400 This is what they chose

00:39:11.520 to cover

00:39:12.080 from the Ukraine war.

00:39:14.420 That there was

00:39:14.980 one Russian tank commander

00:39:16.800 who's been prosecuted

00:39:18.520 by the Ukrainians

00:39:19.380 for war crimes.

00:39:20.980 Killed the civilians.

00:39:23.200 And I ask you this.

00:39:26.200 What does it mean

00:39:26.980 when there's a story

00:39:27.780 about one soldier

00:39:29.280 jailed for war crimes

00:39:31.500 in the context

00:39:32.300 of a major war

00:39:34.320 in which lots of civilians

00:39:37.080 got killed?

00:39:38.780 I feel as if this is

00:39:40.240 just propaganda, right?

00:39:42.100 It's propaganda.

00:39:43.500 It's a show trial.

00:39:44.400 It's propaganda.

00:39:45.660 But isn't it interesting

00:39:47.420 that that's basically

00:39:48.420 the only news on the war?

00:39:49.760 The only news on the war

00:39:52.380 was one Russian guy

00:39:53.620 is going to be jailed

00:39:55.780 for life

00:39:56.140 for a war crime.

00:39:58.860 That's it.

00:40:00.340 Like, it's a major war

00:40:01.560 and that's the only thing

00:40:03.120 CNN wants to talk about

00:40:04.320 about this major war.

00:40:05.620 One guy.

00:40:06.060 Well, I'm going to make

00:40:10.280 a declaration today

00:40:11.660 provocatively

00:40:13.780 that the war is over

00:40:15.620 and Ukraine won

00:40:18.020 and Russia lost.

00:40:20.860 So I'm going to call it.

00:40:23.360 Because who gets to decide

00:40:24.660 when the war is over?

00:40:27.140 Right?

00:40:27.520 I don't think there's going to be

00:40:28.740 any kind of a meeting.

00:40:32.280 I don't think Russia's 1.00

00:40:33.480 going to sign a document

00:40:34.700 that says the war is over.

00:40:36.420 So it's not going to be

00:40:37.460 over, over

00:40:38.340 like the way some wars are

00:40:39.980 where there's a document

00:40:41.420 and a signing

00:40:42.220 and all that.

00:40:43.600 That's not going to happen.

00:40:45.180 So who gets to decide

00:40:46.560 if the war is over?

00:40:48.960 I think it's the observers.

00:40:51.160 The observers.

00:40:52.120 The people who write history.

00:40:55.140 The pundits.

00:40:56.780 Basically.

00:40:58.140 And since I, you know,

00:41:00.020 I live in that world

00:41:00.980 at the moment.

00:41:02.240 Punditry.

00:41:03.320 I declare that the war is over

00:41:04.780 and Russia lost.

00:41:06.400 That's my opinion.

00:41:08.000 And I'm going to say it publicly.

00:41:09.400 The war is over.

00:41:10.920 Russia lost.

00:41:12.500 Now, let me give you

00:41:13.660 the counter-opinion

00:41:14.480 which is worthy

00:41:15.260 of consideration.

00:41:17.360 Mike Cernovich

00:41:18.100 saw my opinion on Twitter

00:41:19.280 and said,

00:41:19.920 I sense the opposite.

00:41:22.260 Ukraine lost

00:41:23.120 in the real world.

00:41:24.580 Millions of most talented left

00:41:26.020 as regime was corrupt,

00:41:27.560 land taken,

00:41:28.460 cities in rubble.

00:41:29.240 And Russia lost

00:41:30.920 in the fake world.

00:41:32.780 Mystique.

00:41:33.620 They didn't take Kiev

00:41:34.780 in 72 hours.

00:41:36.460 And the question is,

00:41:37.420 which matters most

00:41:38.320 long-term?

00:41:40.120 Good question.

00:41:41.960 Because what does it mean

00:41:43.100 to win a war?

00:41:44.300 It's not so clear,

00:41:45.540 is it?

00:41:46.540 What does winning look like?

00:41:49.080 Well,

00:41:49.980 it depends on what you think

00:41:51.320 they were trying to achieve.

00:41:52.440 So,

00:41:54.460 one argument is

00:41:55.440 that they both lost.

00:41:56.660 Ukraine lost

00:41:57.640 talent and cities

00:41:59.300 and treasure

00:42:00.300 and people

00:42:01.040 and territory.

00:42:03.820 They lost a lot.

00:42:05.240 What did Russia lose?

00:42:06.400 They lost their

00:42:07.120 mystique about their military,

00:42:09.700 their reputation,

00:42:10.980 their economy

00:42:11.600 will take a hit.

00:42:14.140 And

00:42:14.660 they look weak.

00:42:16.940 And probably

00:42:17.940 it's going to

00:42:19.060 be tough

00:42:19.700 to build up

00:42:20.400 their military again

00:42:21.300 without as much money.

00:42:23.880 So,

00:42:24.540 I will acknowledge

00:42:25.440 that that point

00:42:26.000 is a strong

00:42:26.820 counterpoint.

00:42:28.240 However,

00:42:29.200 wars are,

00:42:31.000 have winners

00:42:31.620 and losers.

00:42:33.580 History is going

00:42:34.460 to decide

00:42:34.880 somebody won

00:42:35.560 and somebody lost.

00:42:37.280 And

00:42:37.780 I'd like to

00:42:39.520 get ahead of that

00:42:40.280 and say

00:42:40.700 Russia lost.

00:42:43.260 So,

00:42:43.900 here's my argument.

00:42:45.580 My argument is

00:42:46.400 that I don't think

00:42:47.320 there's any question

00:42:48.280 that Putin

00:42:49.980 wanted to control

00:42:51.020 all of Ukraine.

00:42:53.420 Now,

00:42:53.700 I don't,

00:42:54.080 I don't know

00:42:54.540 what he said.

00:42:55.420 I don't know

00:42:55.780 if he was willing

00:42:56.360 to settle for less.

00:42:58.120 Maybe he was willing

00:42:58.820 to settle for the territory

00:43:00.120 that had more strategic value,

00:43:01.860 et cetera.

00:43:02.480 But in my opinion,

00:43:04.280 having watched

00:43:05.160 everything we've watched,

00:43:07.540 having watched

00:43:08.200 the way they attacked Ukraine,

00:43:10.500 you know,

00:43:10.760 and sure,

00:43:11.460 I get that

00:43:11.960 maybe the attacks

00:43:12.720 in the north

00:43:13.320 were to pin down

00:43:14.600 the Ukraine army

00:43:15.660 and give them

00:43:17.040 more leverage

00:43:17.600 in the areas

00:43:18.520 that they cared about.

00:43:19.260 I get that.

00:43:19.940 It could be just

00:43:20.460 a military strategy

00:43:21.420 and an obvious one.

00:43:24.420 But it looks to me,

00:43:25.840 based on what

00:43:26.580 Putin has been saying

00:43:29.240 about Ukraine forever,

00:43:31.260 to me,

00:43:31.720 it looks like

00:43:32.180 he was trying

00:43:32.600 to take the whole country.

00:43:33.580 Let me ask you,

00:43:35.460 how many of you believe

00:43:36.760 that Putin's objective

00:43:39.000 was the entire country

00:43:40.480 of Ukraine?

00:43:41.520 How many think so?

00:43:43.280 Mostly no's.

00:43:45.120 Wow.

00:43:45.600 Interesting.

00:43:48.940 All right,

00:43:49.520 you're surprising me.

00:43:51.480 A lot of no's.

00:43:53.820 Okay,

00:43:54.280 well,

00:43:54.420 I didn't see that coming.

00:43:56.460 Surprise.

00:43:57.820 Now,

00:43:58.180 why do you think,

00:43:59.760 do you think

00:44:00.960 that he had a strategy

00:44:02.140 of getting

00:44:02.620 what he could get,

00:44:04.360 but he at least

00:44:05.220 wanted the places

00:44:07.360 that are strategic?

00:44:10.940 Because here's the thing,

00:44:11.920 I don't think

00:44:12.380 he's going to be able

00:44:12.940 to hold the strategic places.

00:44:16.280 If you said

00:44:17.100 he captured them

00:44:17.980 and now he's going

00:44:18.640 to control them forever,

00:44:19.620 I'd say,

00:44:19.980 oh,

00:44:20.180 okay,

00:44:20.440 that's a good argument

00:44:21.260 that he won

00:44:21.960 something pretty important.

00:44:24.420 But I don't think

00:44:25.080 he can hold them.

00:44:27.060 Do you?

00:44:28.400 Because why would

00:44:29.100 Ukraine stop pounding them?

00:44:30.820 Ukraine's just going 0.98

00:44:31.500 to turn that territory

00:44:32.640 into like a killing field.

00:44:34.980 Aren't they?

00:44:36.380 So I don't know

00:44:37.080 what winning looks like

00:44:37.900 in that context.

00:44:40.200 Winning is no NATO, 0.60

00:44:41.540 but NATO grew.

00:44:44.280 I don't know.

00:44:44.720 I would say Russia 0.98

00:44:45.460 lost the war

00:44:46.200 because they didn't

00:44:47.620 get control of Ukraine.

00:44:49.080 They lost the narrative war.

00:44:51.780 They lost the economic war.

00:44:54.280 They lost the reducing

00:44:55.800 NATO's influence war.

00:44:58.880 I feel like they lost everything.

00:45:02.040 Now, Ukraine lost a ton,

00:45:04.080 and we don't know

00:45:04.780 if they'll be able

00:45:05.440 to build back better,

00:45:06.440 so to speak.

00:45:07.800 And yeah,

00:45:08.560 the ruble was stronger

00:45:10.580 than we thought,

00:45:11.580 but that's more

00:45:12.600 of a non-issue

00:45:13.260 at the moment.

00:45:19.160 All right.

00:45:21.520 So,

00:45:22.480 that's what I say.

00:45:23.600 Ukraine won the war.

00:45:25.140 There's an interesting

00:45:26.480 take by Michael Mina.

00:45:28.280 You might know him from...

00:45:30.480 He was the main person

00:45:31.920 arguing for rapid testing

00:45:33.340 during the pandemic.

00:45:34.500 I tried to boost

00:45:36.940 that signal

00:45:37.480 as much as possible,

00:45:38.700 but ultimately,

00:45:40.580 the government...

00:45:41.600 I think because

00:45:42.340 our government is corrupt,

00:45:44.140 I think that's

00:45:45.040 the only explanation,

00:45:46.520 we're not fast enough

00:45:47.700 with rapid tests

00:45:48.500 to make a difference

00:45:49.420 during the pandemic.

00:45:50.940 And as Michael Mina

00:45:52.080 points out,

00:45:52.820 that may be part

00:45:53.640 of the problem,

00:45:54.400 and I would agree

00:45:55.060 with this completely,

00:45:56.120 is that we manage

00:45:57.980 the pandemic

00:45:58.600 with a medical mindset

00:46:00.800 instead of an

00:46:02.060 engineering mindset.

00:46:03.160 And I didn't see

00:46:07.180 his entire interview,

00:46:08.280 but I think it means

00:46:09.220 the stuff like this.

00:46:10.920 A medical opinion

00:46:12.060 would be,

00:46:12.760 don't use rapid tests

00:46:13.740 because they're not

00:46:14.440 accurate enough.

00:46:16.400 And that was the guidance

00:46:18.280 that kept us

00:46:18.980 from having rapid tests.

00:46:20.380 Don't use them

00:46:21.160 because they're not

00:46:21.780 accurate enough.

00:46:23.540 That's a medical,

00:46:24.760 standard medical opinion.

00:46:26.300 Don't use a test

00:46:27.080 that's inaccurate.

00:46:28.720 The engineering opinion

00:46:30.160 was,

00:46:31.900 engineering opinion,

00:46:33.160 and it's just based

00:46:33.900 on math,

00:46:34.800 if you could do enough

00:46:35.940 of these less accurate tests,

00:46:38.200 you would come out ahead.

00:46:40.120 So if you could do them often,

00:46:42.120 you would catch

00:46:42.800 so much of the virus

00:46:44.040 at its worst

00:46:44.940 infectious points.

00:46:46.320 Because remember,

00:46:46.940 the stuff it misses

00:46:47.680 are the infections

00:46:49.200 that aren't very spready.

00:46:51.100 The reason it would

00:46:51.940 miss an infection,

00:46:53.400 in other words,

00:46:54.080 give you a negative

00:46:55.440 when there was a positive,

00:46:56.380 the only reason

00:46:56.980 it would miss it

00:46:57.540 is because there's

00:46:58.060 very little virus.

00:46:58.980 But if it caught

00:47:00.820 all the people

00:47:01.400 who had really

00:47:02.440 spready virus,

00:47:04.460 how would that

00:47:05.760 not make a difference?

00:47:06.720 I mean,

00:47:06.880 it's just an

00:47:07.320 engineering approach.

00:47:08.780 So I think he's

00:47:09.720 totally right.

00:47:10.360 I think that the

00:47:11.120 medical first

00:47:12.660 approach

00:47:14.500 was completely

00:47:16.020 a disaster.

00:47:17.720 I would also

00:47:18.540 extend that

00:47:19.100 to the drinking

00:47:19.920 bleach hoax.

00:47:21.680 How do you get

00:47:22.440 that drinking

00:47:23.560 bleach hoax?

00:47:24.780 Well,

00:47:25.600 when Trump

00:47:26.740 was speculating

00:47:28.920 about can you

00:47:29.760 do something

00:47:30.200 to insert

00:47:30.940 a disinfectant

00:47:32.480 into the lungs,

00:47:33.980 he was talking

00:47:34.700 about light.

00:47:36.260 He started

00:47:37.180 the conversation

00:47:37.920 telling you

00:47:38.640 it was about light

00:47:39.380 and then when

00:47:40.260 he was done,

00:47:40.760 he brought it

00:47:41.140 back to light

00:47:41.720 so you knew

00:47:42.160 he was always

00:47:42.540 talking about light

00:47:43.240 as the disinfectant.

00:47:44.920 That's sort of

00:47:45.500 an engineering,

00:47:46.660 sort of an

00:47:48.420 engineering approach

00:47:49.500 to a medical problem.

00:47:51.220 Because the engineering

00:47:52.220 is how do you

00:47:52.700 get that thing

00:47:53.280 down there?

00:47:54.300 We already knew

00:47:55.420 that UV light

00:47:56.260 could kill virus

00:47:57.880 and maybe not

00:47:58.880 damage people.

00:48:00.860 You still needed

00:48:01.620 to test it.

00:48:02.620 But that was

00:48:02.960 sort of an

00:48:03.380 engineering thing.

00:48:05.120 And then as soon

00:48:05.800 as the medical

00:48:06.440 people heard it,

00:48:08.060 they turned it

00:48:08.700 into a medical thing

00:48:09.700 and then it

00:48:10.720 didn't make sense

00:48:11.320 anymore.

00:48:11.800 And then they said,

00:48:12.460 oh, the president

00:48:13.500 doesn't make sense.

00:48:15.280 No, the president

00:48:15.980 was talking in

00:48:16.960 an engineering sense

00:48:18.200 correctly.

00:48:19.440 He was correctly

00:48:20.240 bringing up a topic

00:48:22.640 in the correct way.

00:48:23.480 But the medical

00:48:24.500 people were like,

00:48:25.060 oh, we don't

00:48:25.560 understand it.

00:48:26.400 It doesn't make

00:48:26.860 sense from a

00:48:27.380 medical perspective.

00:48:29.600 Because it was

00:48:30.280 an engineering thing.

00:48:32.300 Yeah, his word

00:48:33.520 choice was

00:48:34.180 suboptimal.

00:48:37.320 No way for

00:48:38.140 Russia to win

00:48:39.040 at this point?

00:48:39.600 Well, one assumes

00:48:41.360 that Russia will 0.95

00:48:42.040 keep pecking

00:48:42.700 away at Ukraine

00:48:43.520 forever, right?

00:48:45.000 So they will

00:48:45.640 use other tricks.

00:48:47.340 They'll use

00:48:47.800 bribery and

00:48:48.820 espionage and

00:48:50.080 hacking and

00:48:51.500 whatever else

00:48:52.220 they can.

00:48:53.260 So I don't

00:48:53.820 think Russia

00:48:54.240 will ever be

00:48:54.800 done with

00:48:55.620 Ukraine.

00:48:57.160 But I don't

00:48:57.900 see that they're

00:48:58.420 going to conquer

00:48:58.960 and hold

00:48:59.440 Ukraine as a

00:49:00.200 country.

00:49:00.560 That looks like

00:49:01.040 that's done.

00:49:02.280 I believe that

00:49:03.020 question is asked

00:49:03.840 and answered.

00:49:05.080 And I don't

00:49:06.000 even know what

00:49:06.500 fighting is going

00:49:08.240 on.

00:49:09.420 Do you?

00:49:10.820 What actual

00:49:12.000 fighting happened

00:49:12.720 in Ukraine today?

00:49:13.540 I didn't see any

00:49:14.120 reporting on it

00:49:14.840 at all.

00:49:16.040 Is there any?

00:49:16.800 There has to be,

00:49:17.380 probably a lot.

00:49:19.060 No reporting.

00:49:22.060 All right.

00:49:24.240 I need to

00:49:25.040 follow Defense

00:49:25.780 Politics Asia.

00:49:28.440 Tweet it at me.

00:49:29.360 I'll follow.

00:49:37.420 There's no

00:49:38.060 reporting yet.

00:49:38.900 You believe them

00:49:39.680 when they say

00:49:41.380 we won.

00:49:42.000 Here's what I

00:49:46.720 believe.

00:49:48.000 I believe that

00:49:49.080 the Russian army

00:49:49.840 is stalled and

00:49:50.900 Ukraine still

00:49:51.680 stands.

00:49:52.320 Does anybody

00:49:52.780 disagree with

00:49:54.520 those two

00:49:54.960 statements?

00:49:56.080 Ukraine is

00:49:56.760 still a country

00:49:57.320 and the Russian

00:49:58.960 army is stalled.

00:50:00.480 And it's not

00:50:01.600 obvious that

00:50:02.200 that's going to

00:50:02.620 change.

00:50:03.140 I don't see any

00:50:03.640 reason it would

00:50:04.120 change.

00:50:04.560 Somebody's

00:50:04.960 disagreeing with

00:50:05.540 that.

00:50:06.620 Which part do

00:50:07.420 you disagree?

00:50:08.000 That Ukraine 0.98

00:50:08.520 still exists or

00:50:09.820 that the Russian

00:50:10.340 army is stalled?

00:50:12.000 Somebody says

00:50:16.200 they're back on

00:50:16.740 the move.

00:50:17.100 Okay.

00:50:17.440 We'll watch

00:50:17.800 for that.

00:50:18.640 So you're

00:50:19.040 saying that

00:50:19.460 the news is

00:50:20.200 just ignoring

00:50:20.840 a major

00:50:21.500 Russian advance?

00:50:24.060 Because the

00:50:24.680 news usually

00:50:25.240 reports that

00:50:26.060 the Ukrainians

00:50:27.000 have beaten

00:50:27.420 back the

00:50:27.860 advance.

00:50:28.560 I never

00:50:29.260 believe that.

00:50:30.660 I never

00:50:31.400 believe the

00:50:31.900 beaten back

00:50:32.480 the advance

00:50:32.960 stories.

00:50:36.280 All right.

00:50:37.060 All right.

00:50:37.440 Well, we'll

00:50:37.760 see.

00:50:38.800 I'm going to

00:50:39.480 stand with my

00:50:40.420 prediction or

00:50:41.680 statement that

00:50:42.260 the war is

00:50:42.720 over and

00:50:43.140 Russia lost.

00:50:45.420 And if you

00:50:46.320 stick with

00:50:46.700 yours, you

00:50:48.060 should expect

00:50:48.660 that Russia 0.72

00:50:49.320 would do

00:50:50.680 some major

00:50:51.280 offensive and

00:50:52.160 take a big

00:50:53.760 chunk out of

00:50:54.300 Ukraine.

00:50:57.840 Five cities

00:50:58.720 are under

00:50:59.120 siege.

00:51:00.920 Interestingly,

00:51:01.640 the news seems

00:51:02.300 very silent on

00:51:03.100 that, those

00:51:03.640 five cities

00:51:04.360 under siege.

00:51:05.540 Those are all

00:51:06.360 in the disputed

00:51:07.480 territory, right?

00:51:08.160 So I'm

00:51:09.200 not questioning

00:51:10.280 whatsoever that

00:51:11.040 Russia got some

00:51:11.840 extra territory

00:51:12.780 and the

00:51:13.900 territory that

00:51:14.520 they wanted

00:51:14.940 the most.

00:51:16.060 That does

00:51:16.700 seem like it

00:51:17.720 happened.

00:51:22.260 Pseudo bill.

00:51:23.660 Okay.

00:51:25.200 All right.

00:51:26.740 There will be a

00:51:27.720 treaty and new

00:51:28.400 borders.

00:51:29.100 Ukraine says

00:51:29.800 no.

00:51:31.100 Ukraine says

00:51:32.000 there will be

00:51:32.620 no land

00:51:34.000 negotiating.

00:51:35.140 Now, of course,

00:51:35.600 that's what you

00:51:36.060 say before you

00:51:36.800 negotiate, but I

00:51:38.680 feel like they

00:51:39.300 mean it.

00:51:40.960 I feel like

00:51:41.780 Ukraine is not 0.98

00:51:42.560 going to stop

00:51:43.040 fighting because

00:51:44.480 they can just

00:51:45.380 put their

00:51:45.940 artillery, just

00:51:47.960 sit there and

00:51:48.580 just shell the

00:51:49.520 Russians forever,

00:51:50.460 can't they?

00:51:56.260 With 40

00:51:57.060 billion behind

00:51:57.640 them, yeah.

00:52:01.520 Well, let's

00:52:03.360 all stay away

00:52:04.000 from the

00:52:04.400 monkeypox and

00:52:06.360 that's all

00:52:07.500 for now.

00:52:13.700 Abbott is

00:52:14.360 behind two

00:52:14.820 of those

00:52:15.100 things.

00:52:16.340 Abbott's

00:52:16.740 center of

00:52:17.160 rapid test

00:52:17.820 and Abbott's

00:52:18.320 center of

00:52:18.680 baby formula

00:52:19.320 is 25% of

00:52:20.580 the supply

00:52:21.060 shortage.

00:52:27.200 Biden's

00:52:27.680 remarks on

00:52:28.260 China and

00:52:28.780 Taiwan.

00:52:29.620 I saw a

00:52:30.380 headline that

00:52:31.720 Biden basically

00:52:32.660 said we'd go to

00:52:33.700 war if China 0.97

00:52:34.380 attacked Taiwan.

00:52:35.300 Is that what

00:52:35.620 happened?

00:52:36.360 Or he

00:52:37.260 suggested it.

00:52:39.080 I'm not sure

00:52:39.680 that's news.

00:52:41.280 They're walking

00:52:41.740 it back already.

00:52:42.900 Yeah, I just

00:52:43.460 don't know that

00:52:43.940 that's news.

00:52:49.560 State Department

00:52:50.300 walked it back,

00:52:51.120 of course.

00:52:52.440 Yeah, I don't

00:52:53.140 think it matters

00:52:53.900 what we say

00:52:54.520 about it.

00:52:55.440 Because if and

00:52:56.380 when it happens,

00:52:57.500 we're going to

00:52:58.100 make the decision

00:52:58.880 from that point.

00:53:00.100 The thing we're

00:53:01.580 not going to do

00:53:02.260 is go there

00:53:03.860 because we

00:53:04.380 promised.

00:53:06.840 If anybody

00:53:07.660 thinks that

00:53:08.180 matters,

00:53:09.000 I don't think

00:53:10.040 it does.

00:53:10.920 So it's not

00:53:11.680 going to matter

00:53:12.060 what we promised

00:53:13.000 to Taiwan.

00:53:13.780 It doesn't matter

00:53:14.240 what we said

00:53:14.980 before.

00:53:15.880 If the shit

00:53:17.000 goes down,

00:53:18.260 we're going to

00:53:19.180 make a decision

00:53:20.000 like we never

00:53:20.820 thought about it

00:53:21.500 before.

00:53:22.460 It's going to be

00:53:23.260 a start from

00:53:24.420 zero decision.

00:53:25.380 All right,

00:53:25.820 now we're

00:53:26.840 in this

00:53:27.140 situation.

00:53:27.860 What do

00:53:28.180 you do now?

00:53:28.880 It's not

00:53:29.300 going to be

00:53:29.660 based on

00:53:30.060 what we

00:53:30.340 said we

00:53:30.760 do.

00:53:31.720 None of

00:53:32.120 that would

00:53:32.440 matter.

00:53:36.200 All right.

00:53:40.180 Russia is 0.79

00:53:40.800 winning bigly,

00:53:41.460 you say?

00:53:43.260 There's an

00:53:43.700 Antifa shooting

00:53:44.520 in Colorado.

00:53:45.720 Haven't heard

00:53:46.060 about that.

00:53:49.420 Oh, Bill

00:53:49.900 Maher went

00:53:50.440 based on the

00:53:51.280 trans question.

00:53:55.180 Yeah,

00:53:55.420 I'm starting

00:53:56.220 to get tired

00:53:56.920 of Bill

00:53:58.140 Maher stories.

00:53:59.620 Every Friday

00:54:00.320 he says

00:54:00.800 something that's

00:54:02.000 anti his own

00:54:03.160 team.

00:54:03.920 He says

00:54:04.340 anti-Republican

00:54:05.260 more.

00:54:06.500 But anyway,

00:54:11.680 I'm getting

00:54:12.040 tired of that

00:54:12.580 story because

00:54:13.020 it's like the

00:54:13.520 same story

00:54:14.020 every week.

00:54:16.960 The Sussman 1.00

00:54:17.500 trial.

00:54:19.900 I'm just,

00:54:21.420 my mind is

00:54:22.460 boggled by the

00:54:23.340 whole Sussman, 0.97

00:54:24.340 Hillary Clinton,

00:54:25.420 collusion,

00:54:26.800 hoax thing.

00:54:27.660 Because we've

00:54:28.420 now proven that

00:54:29.260 everything that we

00:54:30.020 suspected about it

00:54:30.960 was true,

00:54:31.580 right?

00:54:32.560 Like everything you

00:54:33.540 thought about it

00:54:34.120 was true.

00:54:35.800 And they,

00:54:38.340 meaning the

00:54:39.360 Democrats,

00:54:40.080 have taken so

00:54:41.020 long to deal with

00:54:41.780 it that we don't

00:54:42.460 care anymore.

00:54:43.420 Like it doesn't

00:54:43.980 have the same

00:54:44.700 salience to us.

00:54:46.620 We just waited

00:54:47.140 too long and it's

00:54:47.840 complicated and it's

00:54:49.000 over and Trump's

00:54:49.960 not the president,

00:54:50.800 so it doesn't

00:54:51.220 matter.

00:54:51.480 So you can

00:54:54.320 make anything be

00:54:55.180 the biggest

00:54:55.820 problem in the

00:54:56.340 world or the

00:54:56.820 smallest problem

00:54:57.420 in the world

00:54:57.780 just by how you

00:54:58.620 treat it.

00:55:00.240 Oh yeah,

00:55:00.640 the Operation

00:55:01.240 Fly Formula.

00:55:02.660 Oh my God.

00:55:06.160 So the Biden

00:55:07.080 administration

00:55:07.640 names their

00:55:08.520 airlift of the

00:55:10.400 baby formula

00:55:11.180 since they're

00:55:12.180 going to fly it.

00:55:13.420 They call it

00:55:14.040 Operation Fly

00:55:15.000 Formula.

00:55:15.440 Now, fly

00:55:18.180 formula sounds

00:55:19.160 like something

00:55:19.700 that Jeff

00:55:20.160 Goldberg should

00:55:20.900 stay away from.

00:55:22.240 Catch my drift?

00:55:23.700 Stay away from

00:55:24.300 the fly formula

00:55:25.020 because it'll

00:55:25.540 turn you into

00:55:26.100 a giant fly.

00:55:27.920 Who came up

00:55:28.880 with that name?

00:55:29.620 A fly formula?

00:55:31.420 No.

00:55:32.400 Get fly

00:55:33.080 completely

00:55:33.620 out of your

00:55:34.080 name.

00:55:35.240 Because I don't

00:55:35.820 think of airplane.

00:55:37.400 You know what

00:55:37.740 they could have

00:55:38.080 been?

00:55:39.220 Project

00:55:39.700 Baby Formula

00:55:41.040 Airlift.

00:55:42.460 Huh?

00:55:43.780 Baby Formula

00:55:44.760 Airlift.

00:55:46.020 Okay?

00:55:47.400 How about

00:55:47.960 Formula by Air?

00:55:51.140 How about

00:55:51.640 Baby Rescue?

00:55:54.400 I believe I

00:55:55.440 could go all

00:55:56.080 day long and

00:55:57.000 never say

00:55:57.520 anything as

00:55:58.140 bad as fly

00:55:59.200 formula.

00:56:01.020 Am I right?

00:56:02.180 Nothing is

00:56:02.860 worse than

00:56:03.220 that fly

00:56:03.840 formula.

00:56:04.980 Basically

00:56:05.580 equating

00:56:06.320 children to

00:56:07.180 flies.

00:56:10.020 It's all

00:56:10.740 part of the

00:56:11.140 Biden War

00:56:11.700 on Babies.

00:56:12.300 The Biden

00:56:16.160 administration

00:56:16.700 hates babies

00:56:17.420 so much

00:56:17.920 they equate

00:56:18.880 them with

00:56:19.220 flies.

00:56:19.940 They abort

00:56:20.320 them.

00:56:21.320 They don't

00:56:21.700 give them

00:56:22.020 enough formula

00:56:22.640 and they

00:56:25.580 let them 0.55

00:56:25.980 grow up

00:56:26.300 in a world

00:56:27.700 with all

00:56:29.620 kinds of

00:56:30.520 inflation.

00:56:32.500 So the

00:56:33.120 Biden War

00:56:33.560 on Babies

00:56:34.100 continues.

00:56:35.620 All right.

00:56:35.860 Operation

00:56:41.320 Nipple

00:56:41.760 Nectar.

00:56:43.220 Okay.

00:56:44.620 Not bad.

00:56:46.840 All right.

00:56:47.960 That's all

00:56:48.540 I got for

00:56:48.940 now.

00:56:52.120 And I

00:56:52.800 will talk

00:56:53.120 to you

00:56:53.320 tomorrow.

00:56:54.060 I'm sure

00:56:54.580 the news

00:56:55.020 will be

00:56:55.360 fascinating

00:56:55.900 tomorrow and

00:56:56.460 this is the

00:56:56.880 best live

00:56:57.800 stream you've

00:56:58.220 ever seen

00:56:58.660 in your

00:56:59.040 life.

00:56:59.940 I know.

00:57:00.500 Best show

00:57:00.920 ever.

00:57:02.480 And I'll

00:57:03.060 talk to you

00:57:03.380 tomorrow.

00:57:03.600 All right.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 23, 2022

Episode 1752 Scott Adams： Russia Loses War With Ukraine. Baby Formula Shortage Is Everyone's Fault

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