Episode 1768 Scott Adams： The Slippery Slope Met The Brick Wall Last Night. Let's Sip And Discuss
Episode Stats
Words per minute
134.9305
Harmful content
Misogyny
3
sentences flagged
Hate speech
5
sentences flagged
Summary
It's my birthday, and I want to know what you'd like for your birthday drink on my birthday. What would you like to see happen if you were having a bad day, and the only thing that could make it better than a nice day was if you could be mad about something as simple as accidentally using the F word in a text message?
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization, if not the highlight
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of your entire day. And that's what matters most. Because, you know, for most of civilization,
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I hate to break it to you, you weren't even here. You were a little bit irrelevant to
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most of civilization. But now that you're here, wouldn't it be great to take it up a notch,
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to go to the height, the height of happiness on my birthday? Today's my birthday. Happy
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birthday to me. And if you'd like to celebrate my birthday with me, turn 65 today, all you
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need is a special birthday cup or mug or a glass or tag or jealous or sign a canteen jug or
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flask or vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me
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now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything
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better. The special birthday sip happens now. Go. Now, in the comments, someone nicely said,
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I deserve a nice day. Well, that's not true at all. I don't deserve anything. Nobody deserves
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anything. We kind of get what we get. But how would you like me to give you an idea that
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would make all of us, 80% of us, much happier? It goes like this. And it's all I want for my
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birthday. Have you ever tried to send a text message and you're kind of worked up, you're
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angry about something? And you're going to use that F word. And you've got your text message
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and your body is shaking and your thumbs are quivering. And you're like, that effing thing.
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And you get to the end of your sentence and you get ready to send and spell correct has
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changed it to ducking. D-U-C-K. Now, I don't know about you, but on a statistical basis, the
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number of times I've wanted to type ducking, but, you know, didn't. Very small. Very small
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times I've ever wanted to use, such as I was ducking the debris. I mean, it doesn't really
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come up that often. And I can see why the impulse for the spell correctors would be to give us
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the clean word just in case. But I would like to suggest the following. Number one, they
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have picked the very worst time, the worst time to duck with me. Because when I'm already
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mad and I'm sending a text message with that F word in it, do you know what is the only thing
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that could make me more angry at that moment? It's having to pause and scroll back. Scroll. Scroll.
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Scroll. Scroll. Not D. Not D. Delete. F. Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes, I mean it. Now, compare that.
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Compare that to the alternative. Here, I was already mad and it made me more angry. And
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I still sent the bad word. Did they gain anything at all? No. No goodwill. Nothing was helped.
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But imagine if they went the other way. Flip it around. 180. Suppose if every time you tried
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to write ducking, as in you were ducking the pitch or ducking the golf ball, what if it autocorrected
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to effing? Am I right? Because then when you got one of those messages that somebody accidentally
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sent, it would be hilarious. It would say, when the gunfire rang out, I hope you were fucking.
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And you would read that message and you'd say, what? Why would you? Well, it's a nice thought.
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But, oh, oh, it got autocorrected. It got autocorrected. It should have been ducking. And then what
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would you do? You'd laugh. You'd laugh. You'd laugh and you'd laugh. Could you ever have a better
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day than that? No. That would be a total gift. So let me summarize. Current method takes an angry
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person, makes them angrier. Makes you hate their product. Bad. And you still send the bad word
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anyway. My way, everybody gets a good laugh. Oops. Oops. I meant you should have been ducking.
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Sorry, Mom. Come on. You tell me that wouldn't be funnier? There are very few situations where it's
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all upside and no downside. I think this is one of them. And that's all I want for my birthday.
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By the way, it's Johnny Depp's birthday tomorrow. I don't know why that's important. I believe
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Kanye, who I call Ye, has his birthday today too. All of that means absolutely nothing because
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Michael Schellenberger did not succeed into getting into the final two in the governor's race in
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California. But I got to say, I'm really proud of the campaign he ran. And I feel as if something
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good should come out of this. Meaning that at least people saw what it looks like to run a rational
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campaign in which you're focusing on, you know, proven solutions. You're not trying to be political.
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Now, why did it not work? Almost certainly because he wasn't part of the established, you know, Democrat
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machine. So there was no amount of good ideas, no amount of effort, no amount of qualifications
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that really could make a difference in our state. We're just so constipated with Democrat politics.
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But I would argue that Andrew Yang did not have as practical solutions as Michael Schellenberger
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promotes. Yang had ideas that were a little bit more futuristic, so they might work. And
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I definitely think a lot of his ideas were worth testing. But that was a more speculative kind
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of futuristic. Whereas I think Schellenberger really says far more practically, we already
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know what works. We don't really need to experiment. The experiment's done. Just implement. So the
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most rational message anybody ever brought to the electorate, and the electorate largely, I
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think, maybe we're not aware of him because it's just so hard to break through. So I think
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that probably is the whole story there. Let's talk about the slippery slope. You know, one
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of the things I've always disliked about that slippery slope theme, which I've grudgingly
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decided, you know, does exist. There is a slippery slope. I have said in the past that it's just
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bad thinking. But I'm coming around that there are some situations in which the best way to
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describe them is a slippery slope. However, I insist, I insist on adding this visual update to the
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slippery slope. Here's what I'd like to add. At the bottom of every slippery slope, there's a brick
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wall. If you give me that, we're on the same page. I'll give you the slippery part. But I've always
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said, yes, you don't have to worry about it. Because at the end of the slip ring, there's
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always a brick wall. Now, you might say to yourself, that's not true. Here are all these
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examples where it just keeps going. To which I say, it just hasn't hit the wall yet. Right?
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That in retrospect, you'll look back and a lot of people will say that was progress.
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You hit the wall when everybody agrees you've gone too far. And that happened in San Francisco
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last night, where the San Francisco DA, who was the super progressive one who basically thought
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criminals should be set free, was recalled. So even liberal San Francisco said, you know,
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I feel like we're done with this. I think we would like law and order in San Francisco.
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So did the lawlessness and the Democrat, you know, craziness, was it a slippery slope? Yes.
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Yes, it was. I mean, we slippery sloped all the way to destroying San Francisco. If that's not a
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slippery slope, what is. But it turns out there might be a brick wall at the bottom of the slippery
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slope. And I think the voters, depending on how you want to use this imagery, hit the wall last
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night. And they just said, up, up, up, this is too far. Now, you don't want to say there's a trend
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building on, you know, one day of voting or anything like that. But there did seem to be some
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trends that maybe are surfacing, maybe. One would be the school choice people had a good night,
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I guess, in Iowa. There was a lot of, you know, victory for the school choice people.
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That feels like a wall, doesn't it? It feels like the, you know, the schools were a slippery slope
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open to horribleness. And they were certainly in horribleness. And maybe, maybe school choice is
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the brick wall. It's like, okay, okay, that's far enough. So it's always hard to know when you're
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sliding like crazy and when you're actually, you know, one second away from hitting a brick wall.
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But it's useful to know that usually a brick wall comes up. Not every time.
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Here's a sort of a messaging persuasion thing I've been noodling with. What would happen if
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Republicans started using their own solutions but using the Democrats' arguments? And I think
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you'll see there are a few examples of this. And I can't tell if there's a way to do this more
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generally or just a few interesting examples. Let me give you this one example. So I tweeted
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today, if you lived in a country bristling with white supremacists, what kind of tool or device
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would help you protect your family? And the choices were a stick, a gun, or the third choice was,
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I don't like my family. And of course, the message here in the humorous form is that if you actually
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believed that white supremacists were a rising force, I feel as if you'd want to have some guns if you
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were a person of color. And so what would happen, and I'm just sort of noodling through it. I'm not
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saying this is a good idea. I'm just sort of like noodling. What would happen if the Republicans
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just started embracing the Democrats' most crazy statements and acted as though they believed them?
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It could make things worse. Let me give you the most extreme example. Suppose Republicans did a
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pro-gun ad in which they used the Charlottesville fine people hoax, but they treated it like it
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really happened. The really happened part is not that there were neo-Nazis. That did happen,
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obviously. But the part of the hoax is that Trump praised the neo-Nazis. What if they just,
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they didn't have to say anything about Trump, so they wouldn't have to lie. They could just show
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the imagery of Charlottesville and say, you know, maybe if you're worried about this,
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maybe you should own a gun. Second Amendment. Now, is it a terrible idea?
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So one of the things that was at the San Francisco Chronicle headline, I saw a Joel Pollack tweet on
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this, that San Francisco is interpreting this recall of their progressive DA. They're looking
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at that as, oh, it has nothing to do with what the right wing wants. It's just people want a city
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that works. And I thought to myself, a city that works? You mean do all the things that the Republicans
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say you should do? That's how you get it to work. Literally being, you know, more aggressive about
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crime or, you know, punishing crime. So I just wonder how many of these arguments could be
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turned around. You know, the one, my favorite one is if you embrace the systemic racism, let's say
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you're a Republican. You embrace systemic racism as a primary thing, like a primary, like force and
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a reason that you're, you're running. And then you say, and we have to work at the source, which is the,
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the teachers unions. So you totally accept their argument, the systemic racism, but you use that
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argument to dismantle the thing that actually is the biggest problem. Like, would people, would people
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start to notice that you kept using Democrat arguments, but Republican solutions? Because I think
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you could do it all day long. I'm not sure. But I feel like a lot of the things you could cast that
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way, and you would be impossible to ignore. If you ran as a candidate who literally said, I'm going to
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give you a Democrat view of the world, and then I'm going to show you how to dissolve it with
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Republican policies. Now, it's not going to work for abortion, right? There are going to be a few
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things that it just doesn't work for. So how about you say, you know, there's a group that wants to
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promote more LGBTQ awareness or openness or whatever, however they would say it, in the schools, and a lot of
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conservatives would say, no, that's too young. You know, we want our kids to do it. So how about instead,
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you say, we need, we need to, you need to be able to send your kids to a school where they can learn
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to appreciate all people. That would be the Democrat version. And then say, the solution to that is school
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choice. So that you Democrats have a choice to send your children to exactly the kind of school you want
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to send them to. Why should you send your kids to a school which Republicans have designed? Does that
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make sense to you? No. So you take the Democrats' own argument that you want to, you want to teach
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your kids to be, you know, educated about openness and the differences among people in a productive way.
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How about we help you? How about we help you get that choice? And then we get out of your
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business. And the Republicans would say, there's nothing I want more than to get out of your
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business. I just would like the same. You know, in return, I would like you to get out of my business.
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Think, think how often you could, you could use their arguments and then a Republican solution.
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All right. So maybe the country is closer to sticking together than we think. Over in the United
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Kingdom, they're going to test the four-day work week pretty seriously. So there are 3,300 workers
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and 70 businesses across a whole range of industries that are going to participate.
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And apparently this has been done before. In Iceland, they did a study between 2015 and 2019.
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And they found that the employees who volunteered, I guess, to work the shorter work weeks had the
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same productivity. Now, what do you think about that? Do you think, do you think that in general,
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a four-day work week would work as well as a five-day work week? Because I don't think it's four times
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10. I think it's still, I think it's 32 hours instead of 40, I believe is the idea.
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Well, one way to look at it is that you can reduce most business expenses by 25%. It doesn't make a
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difference. There are a lot of things that you overspend for that if you just stop doing it,
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you find it didn't work out as poorly as you imagined. So it wouldn't be shocking at all
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if people could figure out how to do fewer meetings and more work. That wouldn't surprise me.
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I don't know. I will watch this with interest. But I've got a feeling that there are other
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reasons that people go to work. And so one of the things they say is that people are more productive
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if, you know, if you can teach people to stop bothering each other at work and dropping in and
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having meetings that are too long and stuff like that, you'd be more productive. But I feel as if
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for everyone who wants someone to stop dropping into their cubicle, there's someone who really needs
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to do the dropping in. Because the people who are always doing the dropping in are like lonely people
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who need to talk to somebody because they don't have anybody at home. Yeah, there's a huge social
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part to work. That if you decrease that, I don't know that people are happier at their house.
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Wasn't one of the big problems with the pandemic that it caused people to be home more? And people
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are like, you know, two days at home with my family, that's just about right. Five days at home with my
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family, that's a lot of family. So I've got a feeling that there's some unintended consequences
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of the short work weeks. But I am glad that they're testing it. Why? Because we should test
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everything that can be tested. Just a general statement. If there are people who want to do this,
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it's funded. We're all curious about the outcomes. It matters. It's important. Yeah, let's test it.
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So thumbs up to the UK for being leaders and at least testing this stuff.
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So here's another story that fits into the theme. So George Takai, do you follow him on Twitter?
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So he played Sulu in the original Star Trek. And he's pretty active in left-leaning politics on Twitter,
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especially anything with LGBTQ stuff. And so he tweeted this yesterday, I think. He says,
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crazy thought, but those 20 million AR-15s now in this country could sure arm a lot of Ukrainians.
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Now, is that not an example of a left-leaning person completely agreeing with Republicans,
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but they just can't say it out loud? Because here's the other way to say what George Takai just said.
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The only reason the United States doesn't have to worry about being overthrown is we have 20 million AR-15s.
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Now, it's not like I was worried that Canada was going to overrun us anytime soon. But
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I do feel safer with knowing that my fellow citizens, which always sounds sexist to me,
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what's the non-sexist way to say my fellow citizens? Is there a non-sexist word for that yet?
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My they citizens, my they citizens, my comrades. Sounds wrong.
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Now, that didn't trip off the tongue just right. We citizens. Well, I'm glad we citizens have 20 million AR-15s.
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Although I admit that whenever there's a mass shooting, I say to myself, what the hell? What the hell?
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So this feels like another one of those situations where you could agree with George Takai and just sort of like
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make a commercial end of his opinion and say, and that's why Russia isn't invading America. I mean, that's the ridiculous version.
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So, Rasmussen, in their polling, reminds us that the top voter concerns in this order, number one, inflation.
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Number two, election integrity. And number three, violent crime.
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Do these things seem like the same priorities that you're seeing on television and from your politicians?
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Have there been a lot of CNN specials about how to improve election integrity?
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No. There have been lots of specials telling you that the elections were fine.
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They're just fine. It's the number two issue in America.
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Think of all the issues we have. We've got some pretty bad stuff floating around, right?
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Because people know, people know intuitively that if you don't have that part right, all of the other stuff doesn't get fixed.
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And you've taken away your ability to do anything, really.
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So, I think Rasmussen does a great job, you know, for the country
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by reminding us that our politicians and our news services are not giving us what we're asking for.
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What we're really asking for is, can you at least make sure the elections work?
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Can you just get on the same side that the voting machines should count the actual votes?
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It feels like something we could get to, you know, we could rally around.
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There were, I don't know, 40 people in my graduating class,
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And the first thing that I did after I graduated college,
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and I went to college in a nearby town, Oneonta, New York,
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the first thing I did was move to San Francisco.
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Why did I, why was the first thing I did to move to San Francisco?
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Over on YouTube, somebody says, because you're gay?
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No, I went to San Francisco, because it's where the energy was, right?
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And I wanted to go somewhere where there were more opportunities,
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more chances to get lucky, and just more stuff happening.
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And I thought to myself, okay, I was lucky that I could do that.
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Like, it was physically possible for me to do that.
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Now, imagine you're looking at any impoverished inner city area.
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You've got high crime, and, you know, economics are terrible in certain parts of the city.
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Keep everybody where they are, and try to make it better there.
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Because the concentration of troublemaking people is probably too high.
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And so that nothing you do there is going to make a difference.
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It's like donating food to countries where they have warlords.
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but the warlords are going to steal it all when it hits the ground.
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It doesn't help to help, because of the people.
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There's just too much of a concentration of criminal element or whatever.
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So, in my opinion, the number one thing that you need to do to help anybody
00:27:24.180
And I'm wondering, how much poverty and, I don't know, every problem in the world
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could you solve if it were real easy for poor people to move?
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And that is really the hardest thing in the world.
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okay, I'm going to move to San Francisco just because it's a better place to be.
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I mean, I was very, very fortunate, and it was a point in time,
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Things were easier if you were a white male in those days, right?
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But imagine if you could pick out the B students and above in every poor place,
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and you just say, all right, you've got a B average on your own by sixth grade.
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So, you got all the way to sixth grade, and somehow,
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We're going to give you the option to pull your whole family out of there.
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And some kind of, you know, government greased,
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you know, you don't want the government to get bigger.
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But there's probably some way to create even a private app kind of situation
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where you can get people out and get them to a job.
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but the more apps become ubiquitous, the more practical this is.
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Imagine if you had an app that was designed to help people escape where they live.
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and you know you just can't do enough for your kid.
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So, you go on the app, and you say, like, I need to escape.
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But I could give, you know, 20 bucks or whatever to help you escape.
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and it's got to be at least bees for, let's say, you know, one year or something.
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So the mother says, all right, I got one thing to do.
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But maybe for one year you could do it, if you were really incentivized.
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But you get to that point, and then you get an option that people put together a moving package.
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And they say, all right, here are several options.
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We'll help you connect with the people who will make that easy and inexpensive to do.
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And we've even got a job lined up for you that's in your field.
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I feel as if individuals helping individuals and then following their story would be more entertaining than actual entertainment.
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Suppose you could go onto an app and pay $20 to help somebody that somehow has been vetted to be not a fraud, that you're actually just part of their cheering community to help them out.
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And maybe that's a requirement or a suggestion.
00:31:10.880
You say, look, we'd like to be able to follow your life.
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So post as much as you can on social media, and we'll just follow you.
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And if you're doing well, we'll give more money.
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But if it looks like you're in with a bad crowd or something, if there's some way to find out, maybe we won't.
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But if you do well, we'll back you, and we'll give you advice, right, lots of advice and connections.
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And we'll help you get a job with somebody we know in that town and stuff like that.
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But I feel as if all these kids are becoming, they're trying to become social media stars when they really just need to be good people.
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Imagine, if you will, that a kid said, hey, I could use social media and TikTok to help my future life.
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And all I have to do is offer myself up and say, hey, I need help.
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And in return, I will keep you informed of my life so you can see that whatever you do is helping me or not.
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And I'll give you some transparency about how I'm doing.
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And then the people sponsoring could argue among themselves whether they're doing a good job.
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In every case, the parent would have to have access to everything, right?
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The parent has to see all of it and approve it, right?
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You want to turn people into social workers?
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00:33:01.560
So if somebody says you want to turn people into social workers, as soon as you added a worker, you lost the idea entirely.
00:33:16.000
See, the greatest untapped resource in the world is people's natural generosity.
00:33:33.320
And the reason that it's not activated is that we don't trust the people asking for it, right?
00:33:40.380
You just don't trust that if you use your generosity, it's necessarily going to be turned into something positive.
00:33:48.800
I think I've done this before on the live stream, but let me do it again.
00:33:53.620
Do you know how many times I've tried to help somebody who had, you know, a financial situation or some kind of a big problem?
00:34:01.140
A lot, because for three decades I've been in a situation where I had more than I needed.
00:34:10.060
So lots of times I've tried to help somebody who was in a bad situation.
00:34:19.400
As in, once you solve this temporary problem, somebody went on to a good, successful life.
00:34:38.820
And probably 20%, you know, really did make a big difference.
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80% is just people revert to whoever they were.
00:34:47.580
So the person who got into trouble is the person who's going to get into trouble again.
00:34:53.000
You know, helping people temporarily doesn't really, by definition, doesn't have a permanent effect.
00:35:07.300
If I look at the people who, you know, for whom I have made an actual difference, it really did make a difference.
00:35:18.040
And so, you know, I'll be able to enjoy my senior years knowing that at least 10% of the people I tried to help genuinely got helped.
00:35:34.440
Now, how entertaining is it to know that you help somebody?
00:35:41.380
It's one of the greatest pleasures you can receive.
00:35:44.120
So my generosity is automatically rewarded when it works.
00:35:58.900
So I could send my generosity out into the world and it just gets absorbed and taken for granted, right?
00:36:07.820
So right now, if we had an app that simply captured generosity and made sure that it wasn't, at least,
00:36:19.540
maybe the trick is to, you have to diversify your generosity so that you can see the 10% that worked.
00:36:25.940
So maybe you're always investing in more than one person, perhaps.
00:36:32.260
You can even have somebody who organizes a fund to see who's worthy to get, you know, to be part of the app.
00:36:41.260
So anyway, you can imagine a situation in which you could untap generosity.
00:36:47.320
People would get something immediately in return for their generosity.
00:36:59.400
Well, that's the best idea you've heard all day.
00:37:02.260
But if I were a Republican, the way I would put it is, we're going to help Democrats move out of Democrat cities.
00:37:11.180
See how many things you can take as a Democrat argument with a Republican solution.
00:37:23.540
We Republicans will help you move out of those places and live where there are just as many guns, but no gun violence.
00:37:37.640
Now, have you seen all the advertisements for ADUs?
00:37:45.240
You can put an extra little house on your property.
00:38:01.740
And there are a whole bunch of companies that make, basically, a house in a box.
00:38:10.060
And I think Elon Musk actually has an investment in it.
00:38:13.020
And it comes in a truck and it unfolds into a proper little house.
00:38:16.400
That's got, you know, bathroom and bedroom and, you know, tiny kitchen kind of situation.
00:38:24.760
So, here's what I think is going to be the big thing.
00:38:30.460
Somebody's going to develop some land in a remote place that has good weather and lots of water.
00:38:40.460
And they're going to say, you can put any kind of ADU here and live there.
00:38:52.460
So, you might have a family that needs, you know, two of them.
00:39:03.780
So, you'd say, Scott, you can invest in this little, you know, square piece of land in Wyoming.
00:39:09.780
And we'll tell you how to invest in any one of these ADUs.
00:39:25.980
But, since it costs so little for you to invest in that little piece of dirt, in that little ADU, you'll get your money back.
00:39:35.740
So, you might want to invest in several of them.
00:39:40.940
I wouldn't mind owning several ADUs, like little mini investments.
00:39:45.760
And then you say to the people who are maybe living there, you know, if you will manage the one next door,
00:40:06.100
Anyway, I think we need a place to take people who have promise and some drive,
00:40:11.780
pull them out of their situation, put them in a good situation,
00:40:14.880
stop talking about the guns that are in the bad situation,
00:40:17.600
and start talking about pulling the people out and getting them into a place where they can be educated and safe.
00:40:52.340
I guess there were 12 jurors wanting to convict Steve Bannon,
00:41:12.500
But, of course, this is in the backdrop of the larger story,
00:41:16.940
which is it does appear that conservatives are being treated differently by the government than the left.
00:41:30.860
I'm not totally sold that the prominent anecdotes we've seen really show us a trend.
00:41:48.900
I just don't know that we aren't being fooled by anecdotes.
00:41:56.560
Because if you ask me if it's persuasive, totally.
00:42:02.040
But if you ask me if it's really true, I don't know.
00:42:10.840
Has anybody done some kind of rigorous study that would, you know,
00:42:16.540
that would tell us whether this is really happening?
00:42:18.820
Now, the prominent cases, it just looks that way, but I don't know.
00:42:29.740
It does look as though they are being mistreated.
00:43:04.120
to the way Hillary was treated, et cetera.
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00:43:17.400
Did you see the David Axelrod tweet in which he was...
00:43:25.700
Because the New York Times treated the January 6th hearings
00:43:37.040
I don't think you want to be happy if you're a Democrat
00:43:41.260
and you see the press say it's a political thing.
00:43:46.640
Because the New York Times basically treated it
00:43:53.480
I think you need to let the evidence go where the evidence goes.
00:43:57.440
Now, which is the correct thing to say in public, of course.
00:44:04.900
And I've got a feeling that this is going to backfire gigantically.
00:44:16.460
Now, I'm not talking about during the hearings themselves.
00:44:19.280
But a lot of Republicans are going to talk about it.
00:44:23.360
You know, are you telling me that the mainstream media
00:44:38.520
Actually, I don't know the answer to the question.
00:44:49.460
But I do think Republicans are going to have to get a...
00:44:53.720
You know, there's going to have to be some kind of response.
00:44:58.860
But I think that if the Republicans simply use it
00:45:03.960
and call out the left for exactly what's happening here,
00:45:10.480
it could really, really work for the Republicans in a big way.
00:45:16.360
The fact that the left is not trying to hide the fact
00:45:44.740
Yeah, they produced a Good Morning America producer
00:46:14.640
But there will still be lots of Republican voices.
00:48:06.580
I mean, he's like the Jeffrey Dahmer of politicians.
00:49:41.260
I'm sure sometimes you have other things to do.
00:49:54.180
I mean, I could be doing a lot of different things.