Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1777 Scott Adams： Did Elon Musk Prove We Live In A Simulation？ Starting To Look That Way

00:00:00.000 Bom, bom, bom, bom, bom, bom, bom, bom, bom.

00:00:03.540 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to possibly the best experience you've ever had.

00:00:10.520 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm so excited for you today.

00:00:15.420 You're going to experience something so, so wonderful today that I wish I were you.

00:00:23.460 I mean, if I could trade places and be listening to what I'm going to be telling you today,

00:00:29.260 Wow, I'd do it in a heartbeat.

00:00:31.320 You are so lucky compared to me.

00:00:35.000 But all you need to join me and others

00:00:38.900 in a plane of happiness that's hard to describe

00:00:42.000 is a cup or a mag, yeah, or a mag.

00:00:46.360 Get your mag.

00:00:48.240 You probably have a few magazines,

00:00:50.740 if you know what I mean.

00:00:51.480 And I'm not talking about things you read.

00:00:53.880 I know my audience.

00:00:55.480 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:57.320 a tanker, chalice, or a stein,

00:00:59.060 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:02.020 Fill it with your favorite beverage.

00:01:05.580 You know I love coffee.

00:01:07.820 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:11.940 Oh, this is going to be a good one.

00:01:14.300 The dopamine here of the day,

00:01:16.040 the thing that makes everything good

00:01:17.260 with a little bit of oxytocin on the side.

00:01:19.360 Go.

00:01:19.520 Go.

00:01:25.860 Long COVID.

00:01:27.320 Thank you very much.

00:01:29.220 Thanks for noticing.

00:01:33.140 No, an update on my long COVID.

00:01:37.020 Zero.

00:01:38.560 So I can say with high degree of certainty

00:01:41.600 that I have no detectable long COVID,

00:01:46.820 in case you wonder.

00:01:48.520 In case you're keeping track of your anecdotes.

00:01:50.580 All right.

00:01:52.080 Now here's a thought for you.

00:01:55.680 You know I'm always jabbering on about

00:01:57.740 we live in a simulation.

00:02:00.100 And you know,

00:02:00.380 this reality is a bunch of bits

00:02:02.640 created by some other civilization

00:02:04.760 or intelligence.

00:02:07.960 And how could you tell if it's true?

00:02:11.280 It's sort of annoying, isn't it?

00:02:12.680 Because if we're in a simulation,

00:02:17.460 presumably the simulation could be programmed

00:02:20.340 to make it impossible for you to know

00:02:22.780 you're in a simulation.

00:02:24.260 I mean, all it would take is one line of code, right?

00:02:26.440 If you discover you're in a simulation,

00:02:29.900 immediately reinterpret it as not a simulation.

00:02:34.800 That's it.

00:02:35.640 One line of code.

00:02:37.520 And every time we discovered our true reality,

00:02:40.120 we would instantly forget it

00:02:41.780 and reinterpret it in some other way.

00:02:44.740 So it would be very easy for the creators,

00:02:47.560 if we were a simulation, just hypothetically,

00:02:50.280 to keep us from knowing it.

00:02:51.860 Literally one line of code.

00:02:53.900 That's it.

00:02:54.360 I just wrote it.

00:02:56.620 And so that's how easy it would be.

00:02:59.560 But could they take away all the hints?

00:03:03.940 And I would say no.

00:03:05.740 I don't think they could remove all of the hints.

00:03:08.500 They could just remove the solid proofs,

00:03:10.380 you know, the math and the physics part.

00:03:14.240 But one of the things you would expect to see,

00:03:17.140 see if this makes sense to you,

00:03:19.580 one of the things you'd expect to see

00:03:21.540 is that the people who believe

00:03:23.700 they live in a simulation

00:03:24.900 would have better outcomes

00:03:27.660 than people who didn't.

00:03:31.240 Do you think that's fair?

00:03:33.100 That if you believed you lived in a simulation,

00:03:35.560 you could perhaps navigate it more effectively

00:03:38.580 because you'd have a better understanding

00:03:40.160 of what you're dealing with.

00:03:41.380 So you might use affirmations, for example,

00:03:45.280 without knowing any scientific reason

00:03:47.680 why that should make any difference whatsoever.

00:03:50.260 But maybe it's a way that you can program the simulation.

00:03:54.620 Maybe you can author your own future

00:03:57.480 because we live in a fairly subjective reality,

00:04:00.260 no matter what you think.

00:04:01.140 So wouldn't you say

00:04:03.880 that if somebody had publicly stated

00:04:07.240 that they believed in the simulation,

00:04:09.460 you'd expect them to have an unusual effect on the world

00:04:13.240 and to be unusually successful

00:04:16.060 in whatever ways we want to define that?

00:04:19.660 Fair enough?

00:04:21.500 Just keep that frame in mind

00:04:23.240 as I go through the stories today.

00:04:24.800 That's going to be the meta arc

00:04:29.000 over the smaller stories.

00:04:31.220 People who believe we live in a simulation,

00:04:34.340 do they have more impact on the world?

00:04:38.660 Yesterday I was watching

00:04:39.880 what turned out to be the finals

00:04:41.600 of the NBA basketball,

00:04:44.240 Warriors versus the Celtics,

00:04:45.700 and the Warriors came out on top.

00:04:47.400 But you don't have to be a sports fan

00:04:49.740 to appreciate this element of the story.

00:04:53.400 Would you agree

00:04:55.820 that there are sort of two things

00:04:59.120 that determine the winner

00:05:00.580 when you get to the NBA finals?

00:05:03.000 Because by the time two teams get to the finals,

00:05:06.720 they're really good.

00:05:08.760 And those are two teams

00:05:10.200 that on any given day,

00:05:11.920 one could beat the other.

00:05:13.520 So generally speaking,

00:05:14.760 that's a true statement.

00:05:16.420 Now often it's said

00:05:17.500 that the difference is size.

00:05:20.080 So when you get to the finals,

00:05:21.240 there's just so much physicality

00:05:23.160 and bumping into each other

00:05:24.380 that the biggest team

00:05:26.380 that's willing to bump the hardest

00:05:28.020 has a big advantage.

00:05:30.640 So size is a big thing.

00:05:32.660 And the Celtics had a bit of size

00:05:35.580 and youth, I believe,

00:05:37.540 over the Warriors

00:05:38.640 who were seasoned

00:05:39.700 and a little bit injured this year

00:05:41.340 and a little bit older.

00:05:42.960 So the physicality argument said

00:05:46.980 the Celtics were going to win.

00:05:50.120 And at least in one of the early games or two,

00:05:52.360 it looked like that was going to be the story.

00:05:54.980 Just bigger was better.

00:05:56.900 There's just nothing you can do about it.

00:05:58.520 Bigger is better.

00:05:59.760 Especially if you're going to put

00:06:01.140 your full energy into it.

00:06:02.960 Bigger is often not better

00:06:04.380 if you're on the practice court.

00:06:06.900 This is something that Don Nelson discovered.

00:06:08.960 The smaller players would beat

00:06:10.820 the bigger players in practice games.

00:06:13.620 But when you got to the finals,

00:06:15.160 the big players would play harder.

00:06:18.240 And that was it.

00:06:19.800 They would just shut down everything.

00:06:23.080 So the Celtics should have won

00:06:25.540 if size were the only factor.

00:06:28.940 But you also have talent and superstars

00:06:31.000 and people who can change the game.

00:06:33.300 You've got Steph Curry of the Warriors

00:06:36.560 and he can basically just change

00:06:39.280 the nature of any game

00:06:40.340 like a Michael Jordan could have.

00:06:43.020 So that's another factor.

00:06:45.020 But the other biggest factor

00:06:46.300 is the psychology of the two teams.

00:06:50.360 And here I think that Steve Kerr,

00:06:53.760 because I've been watching him for a long time,

00:06:56.680 is kind of a genius

00:06:57.940 on the psychology.

00:07:01.360 And here are just some of the things

00:07:03.080 that I see him do.

00:07:03.920 One of them is that he supports the team,

00:07:08.520 especially the superstars.

00:07:11.880 So you would see if, like,

00:07:16.060 so Green,

00:07:18.280 who's one of the more vocal

00:07:20.200 and best players in the NBA,

00:07:23.140 he got real mad

00:07:24.860 and demanded that the coach

00:07:26.600 show a replay,

00:07:28.500 which they have only a few rights to do.

00:07:30.440 So you don't want to use up

00:07:31.520 your replay rights.

00:07:32.420 But he demanded that the coach do it.

00:07:35.240 And watching the way Kerr

00:07:37.340 responded to Green

00:07:39.620 was really interesting.

00:07:41.920 Because the moment that Green demanded it,

00:07:45.120 Kerr said yes.

00:07:46.540 And I don't think he necessarily would have.

00:07:48.680 Like, it doesn't look like

00:07:49.580 that would have been

00:07:50.080 his independent decision.

00:07:52.120 But the way Kerr manages

00:07:54.460 Green's psychology

00:07:55.880 is sort of amazing.

00:07:58.800 because you can imagine Green

00:08:00.380 is a tough character

00:08:02.140 because he's always arguing

00:08:03.140 with the refs.

00:08:03.960 He's like a really big personality

00:08:06.600 on the field.

00:08:09.000 But Green is the one

00:08:10.180 who manages the team's psychology.

00:08:13.080 So there's this trickle-down.

00:08:15.100 When you're on the court,

00:08:16.000 you can see Green

00:08:16.780 really being the one

00:08:17.800 whose energy

00:08:18.500 changes everybody else's energy.

00:08:20.720 If he's having a good game,

00:08:22.000 he just makes them have a good game.

00:08:24.180 He gets the ball

00:08:25.040 to the hot person.

00:08:26.440 I mean, he's really just...

00:08:27.660 You watch him in real time

00:08:28.920 just completely controlling

00:08:30.080 the psychology

00:08:30.820 of his own players.

00:08:32.720 And then they control

00:08:33.880 the psychology of the game

00:08:35.140 and then they win.

00:08:36.820 And you can see the trickle-down.

00:08:38.840 It's Kerr to Green

00:08:39.940 to the team.

00:08:41.320 It's not Steph Curry.

00:08:44.580 Steph Curry is just

00:08:45.820 the best player.

00:08:48.100 But Green is the one

00:08:49.260 who manages the psychology

00:08:50.480 on the field.

00:08:51.520 And then having the best player

00:08:53.780 is a big part of it, of course.

00:08:55.880 So there was...

00:08:56.900 Okay, you're way ahead of me

00:08:59.180 on this story.

00:09:00.260 This story has a wrinkle

00:09:01.280 that's coming up.

00:09:02.860 Last night,

00:09:04.760 on the Warriors bench...

00:09:07.400 Now, they're playing

00:09:08.020 an away game, right?

00:09:09.160 So they're in their enemy

00:09:10.740 opponent's building

00:09:12.700 in Boston.

00:09:14.520 And on their bench,

00:09:15.860 they have a visitor.

00:09:18.660 Steve Kerr,

00:09:20.200 the guy who I think

00:09:21.280 is just one of the best

00:09:22.080 managers of psychology

00:09:23.560 I've ever seen,

00:09:25.100 has as his one visitor

00:09:26.460 on the bench,

00:09:29.260 Tony Robbins.

00:09:32.860 Tony Robbins.

00:09:34.980 Now,

00:09:36.020 if you don't know

00:09:38.480 how funny that is,

00:09:39.380 let me give you

00:09:39.800 some background.

00:09:41.000 Tony Robbins

00:09:41.680 has been famous

00:09:42.820 for doing his

00:09:43.700 personal growth,

00:09:46.540 personal improvement,

00:09:48.040 seminars and books

00:09:49.700 and stuff,

00:09:50.640 for decades.

00:09:52.720 And the reason

00:09:53.320 that he's so famous

00:09:54.500 and he can do this

00:09:55.340 for decades is,

00:09:56.600 is why?

00:09:58.340 You know,

00:09:58.600 why is Tony Robbins

00:09:59.900 so rich and famous

00:10:01.420 and successful

00:10:02.160 for decades?

00:10:04.660 It's because it works.

00:10:06.900 That's it.

00:10:08.300 Now, you know,

00:10:09.720 you expect somebody

00:10:10.640 like that to have

00:10:11.260 some kind of scandal

00:10:12.120 take you down.

00:10:13.100 I think he's had

00:10:13.740 some, like,

00:10:14.740 minor ones

00:10:15.540 that he's managed

00:10:16.420 to brush aside.

00:10:18.360 But he is really good

00:10:20.700 and the things

00:10:21.760 that he says

00:10:22.680 are based on

00:10:24.260 the same things

00:10:24.860 I've studied.

00:10:26.280 So he's an expert

00:10:28.580 on persuasion

00:10:29.420 and he also has

00:10:31.120 a direct line

00:10:32.360 back to the top

00:10:33.540 hypnotists,

00:10:35.120 literally hypnotists,

00:10:37.240 of history.

00:10:39.260 So he was actually

00:10:40.160 mentored by one

00:10:41.200 of the most famous

00:10:41.900 hypnotists.

00:10:43.240 And I don't think

00:10:44.200 he necessarily uses

00:10:45.280 that word.

00:10:46.420 But it's one of the

00:10:47.380 things he's added

00:10:48.080 to his talent stack

00:10:49.260 beyond the energy

00:10:51.060 he brings

00:10:51.720 and all of his own

00:10:54.480 ideas and stuff.

00:10:55.460 But he's got a talent

00:10:56.340 stack that includes

00:10:57.180 hypnosis.

00:10:58.900 Now, one of the things

00:10:59.780 that hypnotists

00:11:00.760 learn

00:11:02.380 as just part of

00:11:03.980 being a hypnotist

00:11:04.920 is that reality

00:11:06.800 is completely subjective.

00:11:09.960 Almost like you live

00:11:11.040 in a simulation.

00:11:13.260 Almost like you live

00:11:14.300 in a simulation.

00:11:14.800 And I think that's

00:11:16.060 one of the reasons

00:11:16.560 that I think

00:11:17.160 this is a simulation.

00:11:19.700 Because if you

00:11:20.440 study hypnosis,

00:11:21.340 one of the things

00:11:21.760 you learn is that

00:11:22.500 people make decisions

00:11:23.500 first and then

00:11:25.340 they decide why

00:11:26.260 they made the

00:11:26.880 decisions second.

00:11:29.920 And you can't even

00:11:30.920 be a hypnotist

00:11:31.760 until you understand

00:11:32.560 that.

00:11:34.080 That's like a

00:11:34.860 basic understanding

00:11:35.920 that everybody

00:11:37.120 sees the world

00:11:37.860 backwards or

00:11:38.980 upside down or

00:11:39.820 inside out,

00:11:40.540 whichever it is.

00:11:41.040 As soon as you

00:11:42.000 see it the way

00:11:43.440 it is,

00:11:44.580 you can manage

00:11:45.660 it more

00:11:46.360 effectively.

00:11:48.480 If I believe

00:11:49.480 that people

00:11:49.940 thought about

00:11:50.660 things and then

00:11:51.380 made decisions,

00:11:52.600 I would treat

00:11:53.360 people differently.

00:11:55.580 I would write

00:11:56.520 differently.

00:11:58.080 I would have,

00:11:58.980 I would express

00:11:59.620 myself differently.

00:12:00.640 I would do

00:12:00.960 everything differently.

00:12:01.940 But I don't

00:12:02.460 believe that.

00:12:03.720 There's no evidence

00:12:04.440 of it.

00:12:04.940 And once you learn

00:12:05.700 it, it's hard

00:12:06.280 to unlearn.

00:12:07.660 People make

00:12:08.280 decisions first

00:12:09.200 for reasons

00:12:09.780 they don't

00:12:10.220 understand.

00:12:11.580 And then they

00:12:11.960 say, it's

00:12:12.360 because it

00:12:13.280 was, I'll

00:12:15.040 save money in

00:12:16.060 the long run.

00:12:17.480 But that's

00:12:17.820 sort of after

00:12:18.300 the fact.

00:12:19.560 Now, that's

00:12:20.200 not every single

00:12:21.060 decision.

00:12:21.600 There are some

00:12:22.000 that the

00:12:22.860 objective parts

00:12:23.740 of the decision

00:12:24.300 are just

00:12:24.820 hard-coded and

00:12:26.380 everybody would

00:12:26.980 make the same

00:12:27.440 decision.

00:12:28.540 But for a lot

00:12:30.600 of the important

00:12:31.100 things, like what

00:12:31.880 job do you have,

00:12:32.800 who do you

00:12:33.140 marry, do you

00:12:34.360 have kids, all

00:12:35.240 of those things

00:12:35.920 are completely

00:12:36.960 irrational

00:12:37.480 decisions that

00:12:38.720 we rationalize

00:12:39.660 after the fact.

00:12:40.580 Mostly, we're

00:12:41.140 just acting on

00:12:41.760 our mating

00:12:42.200 instincts and

00:12:43.580 trying to act

00:12:44.260 like we didn't.

00:12:46.080 In fact, that's

00:12:46.920 the best

00:12:47.300 explanation of

00:12:48.080 human beings.

00:12:49.780 Everything we

00:12:50.480 do is some

00:12:51.260 expression of

00:12:52.120 our mating

00:12:52.600 instinct, and

00:12:54.840 then we're

00:12:55.160 trying to make

00:12:55.720 it look like

00:12:56.220 that's not

00:12:56.700 what we're

00:12:57.080 doing.

00:12:58.560 And part of

00:12:59.020 that is convincing

00:12:59.720 ourselves that's

00:13:01.040 not what we're

00:13:01.580 doing.

00:13:01.940 That's not what

00:13:02.460 I'm doing.

00:13:03.200 I did this, I

00:13:04.520 dressed really

00:13:05.600 well today.

00:13:06.220 You know why?

00:13:06.680 Because I like

00:13:08.440 how it makes

00:13:08.940 me feel.

00:13:11.440 Whenever I hear

00:13:12.800 somebody say

00:13:13.380 that, that the

00:13:14.720 way they're

00:13:15.180 dressing, women

00:13:15.940 say this more

00:13:16.540 than men, but

00:13:17.800 I'm dressing for

00:13:19.260 myself.

00:13:20.400 I dress for the

00:13:21.100 way I feel to

00:13:22.060 make myself feel

00:13:22.780 good.

00:13:23.500 I always think

00:13:24.200 that's someone who

00:13:24.780 doesn't understand

00:13:25.460 the basic nature

00:13:26.400 of reality.

00:13:27.860 That we're all

00:13:28.440 just expressing

00:13:29.720 our mating

00:13:30.280 instincts, and

00:13:31.760 some people are

00:13:32.400 aware of it, and

00:13:33.920 some are not.

00:13:34.560 Now imagine if

00:13:36.240 the only thing

00:13:37.140 that was different

00:13:38.920 about you is

00:13:40.440 that you knew

00:13:40.940 that, and

00:13:42.500 nobody else

00:13:43.020 did.

00:13:43.580 Imagine being

00:13:44.280 born into a

00:13:44.980 world in which

00:13:46.240 you alone

00:13:46.960 understood that

00:13:48.480 everybody was

00:13:49.140 acting on their

00:13:49.800 mating instinct,

00:13:51.160 they just weren't

00:13:51.820 aware of it, but

00:13:53.040 you knew it.

00:13:54.740 You would be

00:13:55.520 like the one-eyed

00:13:56.960 king in the

00:13:57.620 land of the

00:13:58.080 blind.

00:13:59.280 You would have

00:13:59.740 almost a

00:14:00.220 superpower of

00:14:01.540 understanding what

00:14:02.440 people are going

00:14:03.060 to do and why

00:14:03.720 they did it.

00:14:05.320 And other

00:14:05.760 people would be

00:14:06.340 like, how did

00:14:06.940 you know that

00:14:07.420 was going to

00:14:07.820 happen?

00:14:09.160 Like, how did

00:14:09.720 you know this

00:14:11.480 person was

00:14:12.160 interested in

00:14:12.940 this person?

00:14:14.220 And I'd be

00:14:14.700 like, well, look

00:14:15.360 how they dressed

00:14:15.840 today.

00:14:17.520 I'm done.

00:14:18.620 That was the

00:14:19.240 mating instinct.

00:14:20.440 They knew they

00:14:20.960 were going to

00:14:21.260 see this person

00:14:22.060 one and one.

00:14:23.280 And so it

00:14:23.800 would look like

00:14:24.320 you had magic

00:14:24.900 powers if you

00:14:26.480 just understood

00:14:27.140 that the world

00:14:27.720 is backwards

00:14:28.820 from the way

00:14:29.480 you're taught

00:14:29.900 it is.

00:14:30.220 so Tony

00:14:32.880 Robbins

00:14:33.300 understanding

00:14:34.120 that world

00:14:34.940 and knowing

00:14:35.380 that we live

00:14:36.200 in a backwards

00:14:36.720 world and

00:14:37.560 therefore

00:14:37.840 understanding

00:14:38.460 which tools

00:14:39.320 to use to

00:14:40.760 improve a

00:14:42.480 backwards world

00:14:43.360 if you're

00:14:44.720 following the

00:14:45.260 chain here

00:14:45.680 is hugely

00:14:47.280 successful.

00:14:48.920 Tony Robbins

00:14:49.520 is really,

00:14:50.820 really,

00:14:51.060 really successful

00:14:51.940 personally

00:14:52.640 but also

00:14:54.000 has been

00:14:54.660 credited by

00:14:55.460 all kinds

00:14:56.280 of leaders

00:14:56.820 for, you

00:14:58.520 know,

00:14:58.640 helping them.

00:15:00.540 So imagine

00:15:01.760 how much

00:15:02.760 Tony Robbins

00:15:03.440 probably helped

00:15:04.020 the Warriors

00:15:04.500 in their

00:15:06.680 psychological game

00:15:07.700 because the

00:15:09.680 Warriors came

00:15:10.300 out and

00:15:11.460 were

00:15:11.820 psychologically

00:15:13.140 impenetrable

00:15:15.900 because they

00:15:17.740 got behind

00:15:18.660 early.

00:15:19.520 I mean,

00:15:19.700 they just

00:15:20.000 started getting

00:15:20.500 slaughtered in

00:15:21.380 their away

00:15:21.940 game.

00:15:22.640 for the

00:15:23.540 first quarter

00:15:24.300 and then

00:15:26.640 they didn't

00:15:28.740 do anything

00:15:29.500 except come

00:15:30.240 back hard

00:15:30.960 and win.

00:15:32.080 They came

00:15:33.060 back so

00:15:33.640 hard,

00:15:34.820 they just

00:15:35.300 stomped

00:15:37.240 the Celtics.

00:15:38.740 So the

00:15:39.220 older,

00:15:39.940 beaten-up

00:15:40.380 team with

00:15:41.640 the players

00:15:42.820 that had

00:15:43.100 been cobbled

00:15:43.900 together over

00:15:44.580 the years,

00:15:47.000 in fact,

00:15:47.520 the commentator

00:15:48.140 said it was

00:15:48.640 the worst

00:15:50.180 team the

00:15:50.920 Warriors

00:15:51.280 had ever

00:15:51.700 won with.

00:15:52.640 It was the

00:15:53.680 worst

00:15:54.080 performing

00:15:54.860 team,

00:15:55.340 you know,

00:15:55.880 because people

00:15:56.240 were injured,

00:15:56.900 et cetera.

00:15:58.060 And yet,

00:15:58.660 Steve Kerr

00:15:59.300 got winning

00:16:00.360 performances out

00:16:01.320 of every

00:16:01.660 combination of

00:16:02.380 players he put

00:16:02.960 together.

00:16:03.960 Every time

00:16:04.640 Steve Kerr put

00:16:05.360 a combination

00:16:05.900 together,

00:16:07.160 with or without

00:16:08.080 Curry,

00:16:08.960 the best player

00:16:09.680 in the game,

00:16:11.080 he still won.

00:16:12.420 Do you know

00:16:12.780 why?

00:16:13.680 Because he got

00:16:14.160 the psychology

00:16:14.760 right,

00:16:15.420 I think.

00:16:16.120 I mean,

00:16:16.380 I think that was

00:16:16.860 the main thing

00:16:17.360 he kept getting

00:16:17.860 right.

00:16:18.140 And he had

00:16:19.360 green on the

00:16:19.940 team,

00:16:20.180 that helps.

00:16:21.420 Right?

00:16:22.060 So,

00:16:23.460 somebody says,

00:16:24.560 yeah,

00:16:24.740 plus luck.

00:16:25.300 There's always

00:16:25.640 luck.

00:16:27.320 So here's my

00:16:28.360 point about

00:16:28.800 Tony Robbins.

00:16:29.620 Imagine you're

00:16:30.220 the Celtics,

00:16:31.600 and you get out

00:16:32.620 in the court,

00:16:33.160 and you're

00:16:33.420 thinking,

00:16:33.880 all right,

00:16:34.200 we got this,

00:16:34.880 we're feeling

00:16:35.300 good,

00:16:35.640 we got this.

00:16:36.640 All we have

00:16:37.420 to do is,

00:16:38.760 like,

00:16:39.040 play harder

00:16:39.640 and be

00:16:41.300 smarter.

00:16:42.680 Because we've

00:16:43.360 got the size.

00:16:44.100 So if we

00:16:45.460 can match

00:16:45.880 them in

00:16:46.260 psychology,

00:16:47.300 we already

00:16:48.040 have the

00:16:48.360 size and

00:16:48.820 the youth,

00:16:49.660 we're going

00:16:50.420 to win it

00:16:50.800 all.

00:16:52.180 And then

00:16:52.560 they look

00:16:52.920 over,

00:16:53.860 and sitting

00:16:54.420 next to

00:16:55.060 Steve Kerr

00:16:55.700 on the

00:16:56.080 bench,

00:16:57.540 is the

00:16:57.940 most powerful

00:16:58.780 hypnotist

00:17:00.280 in the

00:17:01.860 history of

00:17:02.380 civilization.

00:17:07.000 This would

00:17:07.720 be sort

00:17:08.180 of like,

00:17:10.180 you got

00:17:11.080 in a,

00:17:12.060 you were in

00:17:12.840 a math

00:17:13.500 league

00:17:13.780 competition.

00:17:15.720 And you

00:17:16.560 saw on the

00:17:17.080 other side,

00:17:17.640 on the

00:17:17.860 other team,

00:17:18.820 was Paul

00:17:19.660 Dirac.

00:17:21.240 Now this

00:17:21.640 is a very

00:17:22.220 obscure

00:17:22.860 reference

00:17:25.200 that maybe

00:17:26.600 5% of

00:17:27.700 you got.

00:17:28.860 Somebody?

00:17:29.520 Paul Dirac?

00:17:30.560 D-I-R-A-C?

00:17:31.700 Anybody?

00:17:32.700 Okay.

00:17:33.280 Mathematical

00:17:33.800 genius.

00:17:34.940 So imagine

00:17:35.540 if you're,

00:17:37.000 you know,

00:17:37.500 you go for

00:17:38.360 a pick-up

00:17:38.840 game of

00:17:39.300 basketball

00:17:39.740 and Michael

00:17:40.180 Jordan's

00:17:40.640 on the

00:17:40.880 other side.

00:17:42.560 Like,

00:17:43.080 that is

00:17:43.860 what Steve

00:17:44.540 Kerr did

00:17:46.080 to the

00:17:46.480 Celtics.

00:17:47.500 What Steve

00:17:48.140 Kerr did

00:17:48.620 to the

00:17:48.960 Celtics

00:17:49.440 was so

00:17:50.660 effective,

00:17:51.800 it should

00:17:52.140 be banned.

00:17:54.100 What Steve

00:17:55.040 Kerr did

00:17:56.200 to the

00:17:56.540 Celtics in

00:17:57.280 that critical

00:17:58.040 game was

00:17:59.580 so devastatingly

00:18:02.020 mentally

00:18:02.620 effective that

00:18:04.480 you should

00:18:04.880 have been

00:18:05.100 able to

00:18:05.460 call the

00:18:05.840 result of

00:18:06.380 the game

00:18:06.740 as soon as

00:18:07.180 you saw

00:18:07.460 him sitting

00:18:07.840 on the

00:18:08.100 bench.

00:18:08.400 As soon

00:18:09.360 as I

00:18:09.660 saw him,

00:18:10.200 I was

00:18:10.400 like,

00:18:11.260 oh no,

00:18:13.020 he didn't.

00:18:14.820 Did Steve

00:18:15.480 Kerr really

00:18:16.100 put Tony

00:18:17.280 frickin'

00:18:17.800 Robbins

00:18:18.240 next to

00:18:19.540 him on

00:18:19.920 the bench?

00:18:20.800 Because if

00:18:21.440 you're the

00:18:21.780 Celtics,

00:18:22.440 you're just

00:18:22.920 going to

00:18:23.200 frickin'

00:18:23.520 give up.

00:18:26.300 Remember,

00:18:27.000 there's two

00:18:27.800 variables,

00:18:28.820 size

00:18:29.460 and psychology.

00:18:32.780 And Steve

00:18:33.980 Kerr basically

00:18:34.620 said,

00:18:35.340 all right,

00:18:35.600 we got you

00:18:36.060 on the

00:18:36.360 psychology,

00:18:37.460 so you

00:18:37.920 better work

00:18:38.360 on the

00:18:38.660 size thing

00:18:39.280 a little bit

00:18:39.720 more,

00:18:40.620 because we're

00:18:41.120 going to

00:18:41.400 pulverize you

00:18:42.140 on the

00:18:42.420 psychology.

00:18:43.580 And then

00:18:43.920 what did

00:18:44.260 he do?

00:18:45.120 He pulverized

00:18:46.360 them on

00:18:47.040 the psychology.

00:18:48.780 You could

00:18:49.340 see the

00:18:49.780 Celtics just

00:18:50.400 look defeated

00:18:52.120 about halfway

00:18:52.840 through.

00:18:53.600 They looked

00:18:54.220 like they

00:18:55.240 just didn't

00:18:55.640 have anything

00:18:56.340 left.

00:18:57.320 It was

00:18:57.680 awesome.

00:19:00.820 Well,

00:19:01.460 Senator Tom

00:19:02.180 Cotton,

00:19:02.460 is saying

00:19:05.360 that the

00:19:06.460 Attorney General

00:19:06.980 should resign

00:19:07.700 because there

00:19:08.380 have been,

00:19:08.940 I didn't

00:19:09.420 know this,

00:19:09.960 but reportedly

00:19:10.900 50 attacks

00:19:11.880 on pro-life

00:19:12.660 pregnancy

00:19:13.120 centers and

00:19:13.820 churches in

00:19:14.340 recent weeks,

00:19:16.160 purportedly

00:19:16.720 carried out

00:19:17.220 by some

00:19:17.800 shadowy

00:19:18.620 domestic

00:19:19.900 violence group

00:19:21.040 called

00:19:21.340 Jane's

00:19:21.800 Revenge.

00:19:23.020 So they're

00:19:23.400 targeting

00:19:23.880 conservatives.

00:19:26.240 And once

00:19:26.920 again,

00:19:27.320 Tom Cotton

00:19:27.840 shows us

00:19:28.580 he's one

00:19:29.900 of the

00:19:30.240 effective

00:19:30.740 people in

00:19:31.820 Congress,

00:19:32.840 the Senate.

00:19:34.480 So I

00:19:36.000 always like

00:19:36.400 the fact

00:19:36.720 that he

00:19:37.080 picks things

00:19:38.240 which I

00:19:40.700 always think

00:19:41.120 are the

00:19:41.440 obvious things

00:19:42.180 that should

00:19:42.480 be done,

00:19:42.980 but why

00:19:43.280 isn't anybody

00:19:43.780 else doing

00:19:44.280 them?

00:19:46.000 I don't

00:19:46.520 know,

00:19:46.660 there's a

00:19:46.980 certain genius

00:19:47.620 to be able

00:19:48.460 to do the

00:19:48.920 obvious things,

00:19:50.360 the free

00:19:50.940 money,

00:19:51.940 the thing

00:19:52.540 that just

00:19:53.000 needs to be

00:19:53.480 done,

00:19:53.780 and why

00:19:54.240 isn't somebody

00:19:54.700 else doing

00:19:55.100 this?

00:19:55.740 So yeah,

00:19:56.400 I think this

00:19:57.200 is a pretty

00:19:57.660 valid thing

00:19:58.320 to say

00:19:58.780 if conservatives

00:20:01.060 and Republicans

00:20:02.080 are being

00:20:02.700 haunted,

00:20:06.980 hashtag

00:20:07.820 haunted.

00:20:09.260 Do you

00:20:09.620 remember anybody

00:20:10.160 who made

00:20:10.640 a prediction

00:20:11.540 that if

00:20:12.140 Biden won

00:20:12.720 the election

00:20:13.380 that Republicans

00:20:14.400 would be

00:20:14.880 haunted?

00:20:16.440 Anybody

00:20:16.920 who believes

00:20:19.600 in the

00:20:19.860 simulation?

00:20:20.860 Somebody you

00:20:21.280 can think

00:20:21.620 of?

00:20:21.940 Yes,

00:20:22.260 me.

00:20:23.420 I was

00:20:23.920 widely mocked

00:20:24.640 for that.

00:20:25.060 But there

00:20:26.580 might be

00:20:26.880 at least

00:20:27.140 one more

00:20:27.520 story today

00:20:28.060 on that

00:20:28.380 topic.

00:20:30.120 So to

00:20:31.880 their credit,

00:20:32.760 and I'm

00:20:33.000 going to

00:20:33.180 keep giving

00:20:33.640 them credit

00:20:34.080 for this,

00:20:34.960 CNN had

00:20:35.700 another,

00:20:36.260 what I

00:20:36.520 would consider

00:20:37.080 very balanced

00:20:38.720 segment in

00:20:41.700 which John

00:20:42.500 Berman was

00:20:43.080 pushing Jennifer

00:20:45.180 Granholm,

00:20:46.040 the energy

00:20:46.420 secretary,

00:20:47.780 on the

00:20:48.880 consistency of

00:20:49.960 the following

00:20:50.440 things that

00:20:50.980 the Biden

00:20:51.620 administration

00:20:52.220 wants.

00:20:52.740 So at

00:20:54.720 the same

00:20:55.020 time that

00:20:55.480 the Biden

00:20:56.120 administration

00:20:56.600 is demanding

00:20:57.440 the energy

00:20:58.420 companies make

00:21:00.140 massive investments

00:21:01.360 so that energy

00:21:03.500 prices will go

00:21:04.280 down, he's

00:21:06.460 also telling

00:21:07.060 them he wants

00:21:07.620 them to be

00:21:08.100 out of

00:21:08.440 business,

00:21:09.620 at least in

00:21:10.800 their traditional

00:21:11.400 energy business.

00:21:13.400 So he's

00:21:14.080 asking them to

00:21:14.660 make massive

00:21:15.240 investments for

00:21:17.600 the future,

00:21:18.720 at the same

00:21:19.280 time telling

00:21:19.800 them, but

00:21:20.700 of course in

00:21:21.320 the future we

00:21:21.960 want to put

00:21:22.340 you out of

00:21:22.640 business, so

00:21:23.920 make a massive

00:21:24.580 investment for

00:21:25.580 the future we

00:21:26.260 want to

00:21:26.900 disappear.

00:21:29.100 And watching

00:21:30.180 CNN's John

00:21:31.160 Berman push

00:21:32.200 her on that

00:21:32.800 inconsistency was

00:21:34.900 actually, first

00:21:35.820 of all,

00:21:36.100 refreshing.

00:21:37.220 So that was

00:21:39.060 a straight

00:21:40.220 reporting,

00:21:41.440 straight approach

00:21:42.280 by CNN,

00:21:43.560 which I think

00:21:44.320 should be

00:21:44.620 complimented.

00:21:46.420 And she

00:21:47.180 didn't really

00:21:47.800 have what I

00:21:48.460 would consider

00:21:48.960 a sufficient

00:21:49.660 answer to

00:21:50.180 that.

00:21:50.400 her answer

00:21:52.720 was that

00:21:53.280 the future

00:21:54.680 of these

00:21:55.020 companies

00:21:55.440 should be

00:21:56.240 divesting

00:21:56.860 into

00:21:57.360 greener

00:21:58.460 energy,

00:21:59.880 which I

00:22:00.620 think is a

00:22:01.080 fair thing

00:22:01.480 to say,

00:22:02.560 but it

00:22:03.260 doesn't quite

00:22:03.880 explain the

00:22:06.000 inconsistency

00:22:06.840 because they

00:22:07.320 were all

00:22:07.600 going to do

00:22:07.920 that anyway.

00:22:09.120 Companies

00:22:09.640 invest in

00:22:10.500 other things

00:22:11.140 because they

00:22:11.760 think it's a

00:22:12.520 good investment

00:22:13.160 or not.

00:22:14.420 So that's

00:22:16.580 all that's

00:22:16.940 going to

00:22:17.140 happen there.

00:22:17.620 If they

00:22:18.200 think it's

00:22:18.560 a good

00:22:18.780 investment,

00:22:19.320 they'll do

00:22:19.660 it.

00:22:20.260 If they

00:22:20.660 don't,

00:22:20.960 they won't.

00:22:22.080 So I

00:22:22.680 don't think

00:22:22.960 anything's

00:22:23.360 going to

00:22:23.600 change about

00:22:24.120 how those

00:22:24.440 companies

00:22:24.840 invest in

00:22:25.700 other stuff.

00:22:27.080 But why

00:22:28.200 would you

00:22:28.480 make massive

00:22:29.760 investments in

00:22:30.600 these traditional

00:22:32.200 energy sources

00:22:33.260 that the

00:22:34.580 Biden

00:22:34.780 administration

00:22:35.280 wants to

00:22:35.920 crush in

00:22:36.960 the future?

00:22:38.780 Well,

00:22:39.440 here's the

00:22:39.800 most damning

00:22:40.700 stuff about

00:22:43.240 Trump from

00:22:44.280 January 6th.

00:22:45.580 So I keep

00:22:46.220 waiting for the

00:22:46.760 January 6th

00:22:47.400 hearings to

00:22:48.660 come up with

00:22:49.160 the goods

00:22:49.620 against Trump

00:22:51.120 specifically.

00:22:52.840 And I

00:22:54.080 love watching

00:22:54.920 how dots

00:22:57.020 are connected

00:22:57.700 that are not

00:22:59.340 actually

00:22:59.760 connections.

00:23:01.660 So making a

00:23:02.380 connection that's

00:23:03.000 not really a

00:23:03.560 connection.

00:23:04.700 And so if

00:23:05.740 you read some

00:23:06.300 of the coverage

00:23:06.880 fast and you

00:23:08.640 don't really

00:23:09.080 parse the

00:23:09.700 words, you

00:23:10.300 can think it

00:23:11.340 means something

00:23:11.860 it doesn't

00:23:12.300 mean.

00:23:13.080 I'll give you

00:23:13.640 an example.

00:23:14.060 So this

00:23:18.060 I think was

00:23:18.500 from CNN.

00:23:19.340 According to

00:23:19.940 testimony from

00:23:20.920 people around

00:23:21.760 the then

00:23:22.260 president and

00:23:24.680 elsewhere in

00:23:25.240 Trump's political

00:23:26.020 machines,

00:23:27.260 so they're

00:23:27.820 saying that

00:23:28.160 the people

00:23:28.420 close to

00:23:28.960 Trump,

00:23:30.880 they were

00:23:32.720 told Eastman's

00:23:33.680 plan to have

00:23:34.340 Pence declare

00:23:36.020 he had won,

00:23:37.020 declare that

00:23:37.760 Trump had won

00:23:38.460 or accept

00:23:38.980 other electors,

00:23:40.700 was illegal.

00:23:41.520 See, this is

00:23:43.700 getting complicated.

00:23:45.380 Yet, Trump

00:23:46.360 tried to go

00:23:47.000 ahead with it

00:23:47.520 anyway.

00:23:47.800 All right, so

00:23:48.120 here, let me

00:23:48.820 simplify this.

00:23:50.140 So Trump's

00:23:50.820 attorney Eastman

00:23:52.040 had a plan

00:23:56.100 and people

00:23:58.340 told Trump

00:23:59.380 that Eastman's

00:24:00.440 plan, who

00:24:00.980 was a lawyer,

00:24:02.520 was illegal.

00:24:04.340 So there

00:24:04.780 were apparently

00:24:05.600 lawyers who

00:24:06.760 disagreed with

00:24:07.560 lawyers.

00:24:07.940 Now, if

00:24:09.600 you're

00:24:09.760 Trump, does

00:24:11.960 that mean

00:24:12.360 that you

00:24:12.700 knew it

00:24:13.100 was illegal?

00:24:15.380 So the

00:24:16.040 factual

00:24:16.980 reporting is

00:24:17.880 that he

00:24:18.180 had his

00:24:19.440 most important

00:24:20.200 lawyer, I

00:24:20.720 guess his

00:24:21.080 closest lawyer

00:24:21.820 maybe, or

00:24:22.420 one of the

00:24:22.900 closest lawyers,

00:24:25.620 recommended

00:24:26.200 it, but

00:24:27.580 then other

00:24:28.180 lawyers said

00:24:29.620 it's illegal.

00:24:31.020 So did

00:24:31.540 Trump know

00:24:32.580 it was

00:24:32.980 illegal?

00:24:33.360 Well, if

00:24:36.860 the lawyers

00:24:37.420 didn't know,

00:24:38.520 if the

00:24:40.260 lawyers didn't

00:24:40.820 know it

00:24:41.120 was illegal,

00:24:41.760 how was he

00:24:42.180 supposed to

00:24:42.640 know?

00:24:44.360 Now, if

00:24:45.060 all of the

00:24:45.700 lawyers had

00:24:46.260 agreed, then

00:24:48.220 I would say

00:24:48.800 the story is,

00:24:49.700 yeah, Trump

00:24:50.180 knew that was

00:24:50.780 illegal.

00:24:52.060 But if there

00:24:52.760 was even one

00:24:53.700 lawyer that

00:24:54.960 was close to

00:24:55.680 him and, you

00:24:56.360 know, was a

00:24:56.980 credible lawyer

00:24:57.740 saying, no,

00:24:59.040 I think this

00:25:00.000 is legal,

00:25:00.520 then Trump

00:25:03.160 did not know

00:25:03.920 it was

00:25:04.300 illegal.

00:25:05.580 He knew it

00:25:06.360 was gray

00:25:07.240 area, maybe.

00:25:09.260 So if the

00:25:10.080 reporting was

00:25:11.180 Trump knew

00:25:12.240 it was a

00:25:12.860 gray area,

00:25:14.480 I would say

00:25:15.480 that's completely

00:25:16.300 probably supported

00:25:18.580 by the facts.

00:25:20.240 Because if you

00:25:20.980 can find one

00:25:21.600 lawyer who

00:25:22.080 says it's a

00:25:22.560 good idea,

00:25:23.720 and at least

00:25:24.620 one, who

00:25:25.540 says it's a

00:25:26.020 bad idea,

00:25:26.580 then you say,

00:25:27.040 okay, it's a

00:25:27.420 gray area.

00:25:29.160 So what does

00:25:30.360 a leader do

00:25:31.280 when there's

00:25:32.880 a gray area

00:25:33.700 about what's

00:25:34.400 legal?

00:25:36.160 You tell me.

00:25:37.480 If there's a

00:25:38.340 gray area,

00:25:40.020 like a legitimate

00:25:40.760 gray area,

00:25:41.540 you really don't

00:25:42.380 know if it's

00:25:43.440 legal or not.

00:25:44.520 What do you

00:25:44.940 do?

00:25:45.760 Do you do the

00:25:46.580 thing that you

00:25:47.100 think is the

00:25:47.740 right thing,

00:25:49.140 and then try to

00:25:50.440 make the legal

00:25:51.000 part work?

00:25:52.260 Or do you say,

00:25:53.300 it's a gray area,

00:25:55.040 so even though I

00:25:55.920 think one thing

00:25:56.580 is the right

00:25:57.060 thing to do,

00:25:58.080 I'm not going

00:25:58.860 to do it because

00:25:59.440 I don't want to

00:26:00.040 take a chance

00:26:00.800 in this gray

00:26:03.020 area situation.

00:26:04.480 What would a

00:26:05.260 leader do in

00:26:05.800 that situation?

00:26:09.560 Well, it

00:26:11.000 depends on the

00:26:11.600 leader probably.

00:26:12.280 If you have a

00:26:13.920 low appetite for

00:26:15.080 risk, you'd

00:26:16.900 probably say,

00:26:17.460 all right, I'll

00:26:18.900 just accept it

00:26:19.760 and move on

00:26:20.760 because you have

00:26:21.760 a low appetite

00:26:22.360 for risk.

00:26:23.280 Suppose you have

00:26:23.980 a high appetite

00:26:24.620 for risk,

00:26:25.260 risk, and you

00:26:27.600 spent your

00:26:28.120 entire career

00:26:28.980 in ambiguous

00:26:30.340 legal situations.

00:26:33.180 Can you think

00:26:33.960 of anybody who

00:26:34.720 has spent more

00:26:35.340 time in

00:26:36.600 ambiguous legal

00:26:37.880 jeopardy than

00:26:39.080 Trump over his

00:26:39.980 entire career?

00:26:41.660 How much

00:26:42.280 ambiguous legal

00:26:43.520 jeopardy has

00:26:44.260 that man endured

00:26:45.320 in his entire

00:26:46.280 life?

00:26:47.320 More than

00:26:48.360 anybody in the

00:26:50.300 world, maybe?

00:26:51.480 Maybe if there

00:26:53.720 was some kind

00:26:54.160 of competition

00:26:55.580 of who has

00:26:56.980 endured and

00:26:57.860 survived the

00:26:59.460 most ambiguous

00:27:00.480 legal jeopardy

00:27:02.440 situations.

00:27:04.160 I think it

00:27:05.080 would be Trump

00:27:05.620 all the way.

00:27:06.680 I think he has

00:27:07.280 decades of doing

00:27:08.600 this consistently

00:27:09.880 and at least not

00:27:11.520 being taken down

00:27:12.360 by it.

00:27:13.840 What would you

00:27:14.760 do if you had

00:27:15.440 spent your entire

00:27:16.200 career not being

00:27:19.280 defeated by

00:27:20.440 ambiguous legal

00:27:21.820 situations?

00:27:23.300 You'd do what

00:27:24.040 you'd always

00:27:24.480 done.

00:27:25.880 You'd use your

00:27:26.680 gut and you'd

00:27:29.340 just go for

00:27:29.960 it.

00:27:31.860 That seems to

00:27:32.760 be his method.

00:27:33.720 He uses his

00:27:34.360 gut and then

00:27:35.320 he just goes

00:27:35.880 for it and

00:27:36.780 probably has

00:27:37.320 worked more

00:27:38.260 than it's not

00:27:38.840 worked his

00:27:39.460 whole career,

00:27:40.680 which is why

00:27:41.540 he's Trump

00:27:42.260 and you're

00:27:42.520 not.

00:27:43.600 So it's

00:27:45.620 hard to get

00:27:46.060 it in anybody's

00:27:46.620 head, but it's

00:27:48.260 not irrational

00:27:49.120 if you have

00:27:50.020 disagreeing

00:27:50.800 lawyers and

00:27:51.540 an entire

00:27:52.240 background of

00:27:53.360 your hunches

00:27:54.320 or let's say

00:27:55.540 your instinct,

00:27:57.680 as he might

00:27:58.240 call it.

00:27:59.160 If you've had

00:27:59.900 good luck with

00:28:00.580 your instinct

00:28:01.140 forever in

00:28:01.960 these ambiguous

00:28:02.600 situations and

00:28:04.400 you fell strongly,

00:28:06.520 you'd probably

00:28:07.520 just go for it.

00:28:09.240 And that

00:28:09.700 doesn't to me

00:28:10.320 sound like evil.

00:28:13.520 You know,

00:28:14.100 you could spin

00:28:14.760 it as he was

00:28:15.500 doing anything

00:28:16.160 to keep in

00:28:17.680 power.

00:28:19.120 But let me

00:28:19.700 ask you this.

00:28:21.280 Do the

00:28:21.620 Democrats

00:28:22.120 believe that

00:28:24.220 if it had

00:28:24.700 been Trump's

00:28:25.380 second term

00:28:26.440 and he just

00:28:27.600 ran two

00:28:28.560 terms,

00:28:30.000 or let me

00:28:30.540 ask you a

00:28:30.860 different way.

00:28:31.560 Do Democrats

00:28:32.320 believe that if

00:28:33.040 Trump got

00:28:33.520 re-elected for

00:28:34.280 another four

00:28:34.820 years and it

00:28:36.300 was constitutionally

00:28:37.560 impossible for

00:28:38.460 him to run for

00:28:39.140 another term,

00:28:40.640 does anybody

00:28:41.380 believe he would

00:28:42.040 try to stay?

00:28:43.600 And I think

00:28:44.220 the answer is

00:28:44.700 yes.

00:28:46.120 I think

00:28:46.860 Democrats

00:28:47.300 believe he

00:28:48.600 would try to

00:28:49.060 work some

00:28:49.640 kind of,

00:28:50.220 you know,

00:28:50.600 dictator trick

00:28:51.380 to stay in

00:28:51.980 office after

00:28:52.960 a second term.

00:28:54.700 I don't think

00:28:55.380 there's one

00:28:55.840 Republican that

00:28:56.600 would support

00:28:57.260 that.

00:28:58.900 I mean,

00:28:59.940 okay,

00:29:00.400 there's always

00:29:00.740 one.

00:29:01.700 I mean,

00:29:01.960 you can get a

00:29:02.460 crazy person

00:29:03.040 to support

00:29:03.420 anything.

00:29:04.180 But it's not

00:29:04.840 like there are

00:29:06.120 many people in

00:29:06.780 the MAGA who

00:29:07.440 would say,

00:29:07.960 let's get rid

00:29:08.780 of that two-term

00:29:09.520 thing.

00:29:10.680 No matter how

00:29:11.320 much you like

00:29:11.840 Trump,

00:29:12.220 you'd still say,

00:29:12.920 you know,

00:29:13.300 there are

00:29:14.580 people with

00:29:15.220 Trump's policy

00:29:16.660 preferences who

00:29:18.320 are not a

00:29:18.840 thousand years

00:29:19.400 old.

00:29:20.840 So,

00:29:22.020 you know,

00:29:22.700 I think people

00:29:23.300 would just

00:29:24.020 naturally gravitate

00:29:24.880 to a younger

00:29:25.560 Republican.

00:29:29.780 Anyway,

00:29:31.260 we don't know

00:29:32.500 what Trump was

00:29:33.260 thinking,

00:29:33.780 but the way

00:29:34.160 they write it

00:29:35.140 was indirect

00:29:36.860 sentences.

00:29:38.640 So,

00:29:39.460 something,

00:29:39.880 somebody was

00:29:41.360 told something.

00:29:42.660 We don't

00:29:43.020 know who

00:29:43.340 did it,

00:29:43.900 and we

00:29:44.180 don't say

00:29:44.620 somebody told

00:29:45.360 them,

00:29:45.620 we say

00:29:45.980 somebody was

00:29:46.840 told.

00:29:47.720 When I see

00:29:48.400 indirect writing

00:29:49.280 like that,

00:29:50.560 the was told,

00:29:52.120 that feels

00:29:52.680 like somebody's

00:29:53.380 in weasel

00:29:53.900 mode while

00:29:54.420 they're writing

00:29:54.820 the sentence.

00:29:56.760 Because direct

00:29:57.420 sentences help

00:29:59.840 you with

00:30:00.320 clarity,

00:30:01.380 and indirect

00:30:02.040 sentences,

00:30:02.840 which is one

00:30:03.520 of the most

00:30:04.060 obvious things

00:30:06.140 that a good

00:30:06.660 editor would

00:30:07.200 change.

00:30:10.460 You know,

00:30:10.880 it's kind of

00:30:11.300 a tell that

00:30:11.840 somebody's

00:30:12.140 trying to

00:30:12.620 not be

00:30:13.140 clear.

00:30:15.400 USA Today

00:30:16.260 deleted a

00:30:17.940 bunch of

00:30:18.340 articles by

00:30:19.020 one of their

00:30:19.720 writers,

00:30:21.100 and I guess

00:30:21.600 fired her,

00:30:22.800 because apparently

00:30:24.340 some of the

00:30:24.920 quotes were

00:30:25.440 fabricated.

00:30:28.020 The existence

00:30:29.280 of some

00:30:29.840 individuals quoted

00:30:30.800 could not be

00:30:31.500 independently

00:30:31.900 verified.

00:30:33.360 In addition,

00:30:33.920 some stories

00:30:34.660 had quotes

00:30:35.920 in them

00:30:36.280 that had

00:30:36.600 been credited

00:30:37.120 to others.

00:30:39.060 So basically,

00:30:39.960 they fired

00:30:40.360 their own

00:30:40.960 reporter for

00:30:42.780 having lots

00:30:43.400 of stories

00:30:43.940 that were

00:30:45.280 partially made

00:30:46.320 up.

00:30:48.340 Now,

00:30:48.900 Mike Cernovich,

00:30:49.620 who's one of

00:30:50.020 the highest

00:30:50.420 value Twitter

00:30:51.420 followers you

00:30:52.560 can have,

00:30:53.060 if you're not

00:30:53.460 following Cernovich,

00:30:55.160 why not?

00:30:56.620 You need to.

00:30:59.400 He points

00:31:00.240 out that

00:31:00.640 US Today

00:31:01.120 is a fact

00:31:01.880 check partner

00:31:02.460 for Facebook

00:31:03.160 and maybe

00:31:03.720 even Twitter.

00:31:05.920 So the

00:31:08.240 fact check

00:31:08.800 partner for

00:31:09.720 Facebook and

00:31:10.640 maybe even

00:31:11.180 Twitter,

00:31:11.600 I'm not sure

00:31:12.000 why we don't

00:31:12.620 know if it's

00:31:13.060 Twitter,

00:31:13.940 but we

00:31:14.480 don't,

00:31:15.480 had to fire

00:31:18.000 one of their

00:31:18.420 own reporters

00:31:19.180 for making

00:31:19.680 up news,

00:31:20.460 like a lot

00:31:20.980 of it,

00:31:21.880 a lot of it

00:31:22.460 apparently.

00:31:24.220 And Elon

00:31:25.140 Musk,

00:31:25.620 who apparently

00:31:26.300 follows Cernovich's

00:31:27.860 account,

00:31:28.980 just replied

00:31:30.400 with one

00:31:31.060 word,

00:31:32.040 wow.

00:31:34.380 Now,

00:31:36.880 why is

00:31:37.640 Elon Musk

00:31:38.240 in the

00:31:38.600 news four

00:31:40.060 times a

00:31:40.600 day?

00:31:41.740 So here's

00:31:42.500 the first

00:31:43.160 one.

00:31:44.380 So as

00:31:45.520 he's trying

00:31:45.940 to buy

00:31:46.260 Twitter and

00:31:46.880 he's watching

00:31:47.420 the quality

00:31:48.540 of their

00:31:49.020 fact checkers

00:31:49.920 disintegrate,

00:31:51.360 at least their

00:31:51.880 reputation,

00:31:52.520 disintegrate in

00:31:53.300 the public,

00:31:54.480 and he's

00:31:54.720 just,

00:31:55.320 wow.

00:31:55.920 So you

00:31:56.180 know he's

00:31:56.540 watching that,

00:31:58.120 which is

00:31:58.580 interesting to

00:31:59.840 me.

00:32:01.780 Now,

00:32:02.400 if you

00:32:02.760 believed you

00:32:04.240 lived in a

00:32:04.700 simulation like

00:32:05.480 Elon Musk

00:32:06.000 did,

00:32:07.920 wouldn't you

00:32:08.500 be surprised

00:32:09.160 if he were

00:32:09.840 not the

00:32:11.240 richest person

00:32:11.880 in the

00:32:12.100 world?

00:32:12.400 Or let me

00:32:12.660 say it

00:32:12.900 another way,

00:32:14.180 shouldn't we

00:32:14.780 expect that

00:32:15.640 at some

00:32:16.040 point,

00:32:17.780 if we live

00:32:18.420 in a

00:32:18.640 simulation,

00:32:19.980 that all

00:32:20.500 of the

00:32:20.800 richest people

00:32:21.400 in the

00:32:21.620 world are

00:32:22.040 people who

00:32:22.520 believe in

00:32:23.060 the

00:32:23.200 simulation?

00:32:24.320 Because they

00:32:24.860 would be the

00:32:25.340 ones who

00:32:25.640 played the

00:32:26.040 game the

00:32:26.380 best and

00:32:27.420 knew how

00:32:28.000 to win.

00:32:29.320 Maybe.

00:32:29.840 So there's

00:32:31.640 Musk,

00:32:32.120 richest guy,

00:32:32.880 and also

00:32:33.260 coincidentally

00:32:33.960 believes we

00:32:34.560 live in

00:32:34.820 the

00:32:34.920 simulation.

00:32:37.340 Jack

00:32:37.920 Posobiec is

00:32:38.920 foreshadowing

00:32:40.920 something

00:32:41.280 interesting.

00:32:42.520 He is

00:32:42.880 tweeting today,

00:32:43.720 what if

00:32:44.100 Roe will

00:32:44.920 not be

00:32:45.440 overturned?

00:32:48.100 And if

00:32:48.940 it came from

00:32:49.460 someone else,

00:32:50.120 you'd say,

00:32:50.600 okay,

00:32:50.980 there's

00:32:51.260 somebody just

00:32:51.820 speculating

00:32:52.440 some stuff

00:32:53.380 on Twitter.

00:32:54.180 It means

00:32:54.460 nothing.

00:32:55.760 But Jack

00:32:57.040 Posobiec has

00:32:58.820 a long

00:32:59.440 history of

00:33:00.000 having good

00:33:00.520 sources.

00:33:02.720 And so

00:33:03.080 when someone

00:33:03.580 who has

00:33:03.960 good sources

00:33:05.220 says,

00:33:06.260 maybe the

00:33:07.520 Supreme Court

00:33:08.100 won't overturn

00:33:09.100 Roe, or

00:33:10.480 maybe not in

00:33:11.820 the way that

00:33:12.380 has been

00:33:12.860 reported.

00:33:14.860 So somebody

00:33:16.100 asked him

00:33:16.560 what he

00:33:17.220 knows that

00:33:18.200 other people

00:33:18.660 don't know,

00:33:19.360 and I think

00:33:19.940 he responded,

00:33:20.560 nothing good.

00:33:21.620 Now,

00:33:24.060 it's a little

00:33:25.860 bit cryptic,

00:33:26.560 isn't it?

00:33:28.640 So I don't

00:33:29.360 know if there

00:33:29.740 could be yet

00:33:30.260 another leak

00:33:30.980 from the

00:33:31.380 Supreme Court.

00:33:32.400 Wouldn't that

00:33:32.820 indicate there

00:33:33.360 are two leaks

00:33:33.920 from the

00:33:34.300 Supreme Court?

00:33:36.060 Now, here's

00:33:36.840 the interesting

00:33:37.320 play here.

00:33:38.620 Number one,

00:33:39.400 may I ask,

00:33:41.660 was I the

00:33:43.020 first person

00:33:43.600 who said,

00:33:44.080 you know,

00:33:44.820 I wouldn't

00:33:45.220 trust that

00:33:45.660 first draft?

00:33:47.660 Now, other

00:33:48.300 people have

00:33:48.680 said it,

00:33:49.160 of course.

00:33:50.520 But I

00:33:50.960 think you

00:33:51.260 heard me

00:33:52.220 first say,

00:33:53.340 don't necessarily

00:33:54.120 assume that

00:33:54.600 the first draft

00:33:55.300 is anything

00:33:56.220 that you're

00:33:56.640 going to see.

00:33:57.380 They could

00:33:57.820 be just

00:33:58.160 testing the

00:33:58.700 argument out.

00:34:00.820 What if

00:34:01.400 that's true?

00:34:02.640 Now, the

00:34:03.080 other thing

00:34:03.520 is this.

00:34:04.760 If you're

00:34:05.400 the Supreme

00:34:05.900 Court,

00:34:07.180 what is

00:34:07.720 more important

00:34:08.380 to you,

00:34:09.460 the integrity

00:34:10.060 of the Supreme

00:34:10.800 Court or

00:34:12.200 this decision?

00:34:15.420 What is

00:34:16.160 more important

00:34:16.720 to you if

00:34:17.500 you're the

00:34:17.860 Supreme Court?

00:34:18.700 The integrity

00:34:19.320 of the Supreme

00:34:19.940 Court or

00:34:20.940 this decision?

00:34:23.360 I think it's

00:34:24.240 the integrity

00:34:24.680 of the Supreme

00:34:25.260 Court.

00:34:25.720 And if they

00:34:26.140 went in that

00:34:27.320 direction, I

00:34:28.040 wouldn't say

00:34:28.480 it's crazy.

00:34:30.000 And I

00:34:30.380 could imagine

00:34:31.000 them, I

00:34:32.600 could imagine

00:34:33.200 them pulling

00:34:35.500 back the ruling

00:34:36.360 and not ruling

00:34:37.380 at all because

00:34:39.280 there was a

00:34:40.700 leak.

00:34:43.600 Would that

00:34:44.360 fuck up

00:34:44.860 everything?

00:34:45.240 Imagine it.

00:34:47.900 Imagine how

00:34:48.640 baller that

00:34:49.400 would be.

00:34:51.080 Imagine if

00:34:51.760 the Supreme

00:34:52.320 Court said

00:34:54.620 because, and

00:34:56.360 maybe they

00:34:56.760 would never

00:34:57.060 say this out

00:34:57.640 loud, which

00:34:58.380 I would also

00:34:59.300 agree would

00:34:59.840 be a good

00:35:00.200 idea.

00:35:00.860 Never comment

00:35:01.600 on it.

00:35:02.540 Never comment

00:35:03.320 on it.

00:35:03.860 Never.

00:35:04.780 Go to their

00:35:05.560 graves.

00:35:06.780 Take it to

00:35:07.380 their graves

00:35:08.000 with no comment.

00:35:09.760 Imagine the

00:35:10.440 Supreme Court

00:35:11.040 getting together

00:35:11.780 and saying,

00:35:12.360 here's the deal.

00:35:13.980 This abortion

00:35:14.620 thing, very

00:35:15.160 important.

00:35:15.780 Very important

00:35:16.320 issue, but

00:35:17.320 not even

00:35:17.840 close to

00:35:19.520 the importance

00:35:20.080 of what

00:35:20.620 happened with

00:35:21.160 that leak.

00:35:23.100 And so,

00:35:24.340 here's what I

00:35:25.000 would ask of

00:35:25.520 you on both

00:35:26.360 sides of the

00:35:26.880 issue.

00:35:28.220 Let us once

00:35:29.000 and for all

00:35:29.540 make it

00:35:29.940 impossible for

00:35:30.760 anybody to

00:35:31.360 benefit from

00:35:32.120 a leak from

00:35:33.160 the Supreme

00:35:33.640 Court.

00:35:35.040 Let's make

00:35:35.860 it impossible

00:35:36.520 to benefit

00:35:37.240 from a leak

00:35:37.980 and don't

00:35:39.380 release the

00:35:40.860 ruling.

00:35:44.140 Just say,

00:35:44.880 if there's a

00:35:45.400 leak, there's

00:35:45.840 no ruling.

00:35:47.260 Now, would

00:35:47.840 that give

00:35:48.180 people the

00:35:48.740 ability to

00:35:49.300 stop any

00:35:49.820 ruling by

00:35:50.440 leaking?

00:35:52.300 Maybe.

00:35:54.740 Maybe.

00:35:55.840 But it

00:35:56.300 would certainly

00:35:56.760 be a

00:35:58.920 baller thing

00:35:59.520 to do.

00:36:01.040 Because if

00:36:02.120 the court

00:36:02.460 wanted, let's

00:36:03.580 say the court

00:36:04.220 knew they had

00:36:04.700 a majority for

00:36:05.360 this ruling,

00:36:06.320 if they pulled

00:36:07.040 back because

00:36:08.540 of the leak,

00:36:10.960 that would

00:36:11.880 say a lot

00:36:12.320 about the

00:36:14.700 power of the

00:36:17.400 leak and

00:36:18.380 how much of

00:36:19.480 a problem

00:36:19.880 that is.

00:36:22.260 Why would

00:36:22.940 it be

00:36:23.160 baller?

00:36:24.060 Because they

00:36:24.780 would be

00:36:25.180 ignoring the

00:36:25.780 opinion in

00:36:26.500 favor of the

00:36:27.320 integrity of

00:36:28.140 the Supreme

00:36:28.600 Court.

00:36:29.940 And so

00:36:30.200 they would

00:36:30.760 basically be

00:36:33.640 taking control

00:36:34.520 back.

00:36:36.660 That's a

00:36:37.260 better way to

00:36:37.640 say it.

00:36:38.320 The court

00:36:39.260 would be

00:36:39.860 taking its

00:36:41.160 power and

00:36:41.900 credibility

00:36:42.560 back by

00:36:43.840 just saying

00:36:44.360 we don't

00:36:45.080 have to do

00:36:45.640 anything that

00:36:46.920 the public

00:36:47.320 requires us

00:36:48.020 to do.

00:36:48.520 We're just

00:36:48.820 going to

00:36:49.000 not rule.

00:36:49.620 Now the

00:36:49.940 other

00:36:50.600 interpretation

00:36:51.680 is much

00:36:52.460 less favorable.

00:36:53.780 Yeah,

00:36:53.920 they're cowards.

00:36:57.620 You beat me

00:36:58.520 to it in the

00:36:58.960 comments.

00:36:59.780 The other

00:37:00.320 interpretation

00:37:00.740 is that

00:37:01.980 they're afraid

00:37:02.680 that the

00:37:03.440 riots that

00:37:04.740 would ensue

00:37:05.420 would be

00:37:06.740 terrible.

00:37:07.340 Now here's

00:37:07.960 another

00:37:08.200 interpretation.

00:37:08.780 Do you

00:37:10.780 believe that

00:37:12.460 the people

00:37:13.440 on the

00:37:13.720 Supreme

00:37:13.980 Court are

00:37:14.580 not at

00:37:15.120 all

00:37:15.420 independent

00:37:16.020 and it

00:37:17.400 would be

00:37:17.740 more fair

00:37:18.780 to say

00:37:19.180 that they

00:37:19.600 are simply

00:37:20.080 conservatives

00:37:20.680 and liberals

00:37:21.260 and really

00:37:22.080 that's all

00:37:22.500 there is to

00:37:22.960 it?

00:37:24.180 Every now

00:37:25.820 and then

00:37:26.080 you get a

00:37:26.420 surprise

00:37:27.000 Justice

00:37:27.960 Roberts

00:37:28.380 decision

00:37:28.920 or something.

00:37:29.880 But basically

00:37:30.480 would you

00:37:32.240 say that

00:37:32.920 even though

00:37:33.340 they act

00:37:33.860 as they're

00:37:34.220 independent

00:37:34.700 blah blah

00:37:35.300 blah that

00:37:35.980 really it's

00:37:36.580 just some

00:37:36.920 liberals and

00:37:37.420 some conservatives

00:37:38.160 and that's

00:37:38.700 why we

00:37:38.980 have all

00:37:39.280 the debating

00:37:40.020 because if

00:37:41.240 they were

00:37:41.500 really

00:37:41.840 independent

00:37:42.340 you wouldn't

00:37:42.840 have to

00:37:43.160 argue about

00:37:43.720 all the

00:37:44.680 nominations.

00:37:45.980 It's that

00:37:46.240 you know

00:37:46.600 when you

00:37:46.960 nominate them

00:37:47.680 what they're

00:37:48.000 going to

00:37:48.240 rule before

00:37:49.420 you even

00:37:49.740 get the

00:37:50.020 question.

00:37:51.920 So if

00:37:53.260 they're that

00:37:53.760 partisan

00:37:54.200 and it's

00:37:55.480 that obvious

00:37:56.240 to everyone

00:37:57.640 what would

00:37:58.800 stop the

00:37:59.320 conservatives

00:37:59.900 on the

00:38:00.860 court

00:38:01.180 from saying

00:38:04.060 we only

00:38:06.000 want to

00:38:06.360 make a

00:38:06.720 ruling that

00:38:07.600 helps us

00:38:08.480 politically

00:38:08.980 suppose the

00:38:11.300 conservatives

00:38:11.820 said you

00:38:12.500 know the

00:38:12.740 only thing

00:38:13.160 that would

00:38:13.380 stop

00:38:13.700 republicans

00:38:14.380 from

00:38:14.600 sweeping

00:38:15.020 is a

00:38:16.060 supreme

00:38:16.460 court

00:38:16.840 ruling

00:38:17.320 killing

00:38:18.460 Roe

00:38:18.880 and then

00:38:19.200 making

00:38:19.500 everybody

00:38:19.960 go to

00:38:20.240 the

00:38:20.420 elections.

00:38:24.560 Think

00:38:25.200 about that.

00:38:26.480 If the

00:38:27.260 conservatives

00:38:27.920 on the

00:38:28.420 court

00:38:28.720 are really

00:38:30.300 and I'll

00:38:31.220 say corrupt

00:38:31.900 I think

00:38:32.780 corrupt would

00:38:33.300 be a fair

00:38:34.540 enough word

00:38:35.000 in this

00:38:35.300 case.

00:38:35.500 If they're

00:38:36.240 really just

00:38:36.960 conservatives

00:38:37.560 and they're

00:38:38.580 not even

00:38:38.980 real justices

00:38:39.920 all they're

00:38:40.800 doing is

00:38:41.240 saying

00:38:41.560 conservatives

00:38:42.440 this is

00:38:43.100 what you

00:38:43.460 get and

00:38:44.560 we're going

00:38:44.900 to rationalize

00:38:45.600 it somehow

00:38:46.000 but we're

00:38:46.900 on your

00:38:47.180 team we're

00:38:47.660 just going

00:38:47.940 to vote

00:38:48.800 your way

00:38:49.300 every time.

00:38:52.320 So there

00:38:54.260 are some

00:38:54.580 real interesting

00:38:55.400 questions about

00:38:56.160 this.

00:38:56.540 I could

00:38:57.180 easily imagine

00:38:57.960 that the

00:38:58.380 court would

00:39:00.160 pursue their

00:39:01.560 own credibility

00:39:02.280 or even

00:39:03.620 a Republican

00:39:05.900 victory and

00:39:07.220 then hold

00:39:07.680 off the

00:39:08.120 decision until

00:39:08.980 after 2024.

00:39:10.900 What about

00:39:11.340 that?

00:39:12.400 What if the

00:39:12.940 court said

00:39:13.500 we're going

00:39:14.380 to delay

00:39:14.840 this until

00:39:15.360 after the

00:39:15.900 political

00:39:16.240 season?

00:39:17.140 Oh,

00:39:17.980 here's my

00:39:19.580 prediction.

00:39:21.980 Oh,

00:39:23.100 yeah,

00:39:25.320 here's my

00:39:25.820 prediction.

00:39:26.180 the court

00:39:27.520 has the

00:39:28.720 correct me

00:39:29.600 if I'm

00:39:29.840 wrong,

00:39:30.400 they have

00:39:30.820 the flexibility

00:39:31.480 to take

00:39:32.680 any case

00:39:33.320 or not

00:39:34.760 take any

00:39:35.200 case and

00:39:36.620 they have

00:39:36.900 the flexibility

00:39:37.500 to wait

00:39:39.020 as long as

00:39:39.600 they want.

00:39:40.940 Is that

00:39:41.220 true?

00:39:42.920 That they

00:39:43.460 do have the

00:39:43.840 flexibility to

00:39:44.640 wait on

00:39:45.660 any decision

00:39:46.260 as long as

00:39:46.740 they want.

00:39:47.180 Nobody's

00:39:47.560 going to tell

00:39:47.880 them they

00:39:48.200 have to make

00:39:48.680 a decision.

00:39:49.200 Is that

00:39:49.440 true?

00:39:50.320 There's no

00:39:50.900 pressure to

00:39:51.460 do it or

00:39:51.960 lose it,

00:39:53.060 right?

00:39:54.500 Suppose the

00:39:55.180 Supreme Court

00:39:55.660 says,

00:39:56.180 there has

00:39:56.980 to be a

00:39:57.440 response to

00:39:58.160 the leak.

00:39:59.540 There has

00:40:00.260 to be.

00:40:00.980 And because

00:40:01.620 the leak

00:40:02.040 was obviously

00:40:02.880 released for

00:40:03.780 political purposes

00:40:04.740 to influence

00:40:06.360 the midterms

00:40:07.400 and maybe

00:40:07.820 even the

00:40:08.180 presidential

00:40:08.540 election,

00:40:09.680 we at the

00:40:10.200 Supreme Court

00:40:10.780 are going to

00:40:11.220 take away

00:40:11.740 that win.

00:40:13.460 And we're

00:40:13.820 going to

00:40:14.100 delay the

00:40:14.740 decision.

00:40:16.860 Actually,

00:40:17.560 they don't

00:40:17.820 even have to

00:40:18.540 announce it.

00:40:19.060 They could

00:40:19.300 just not do

00:40:19.900 it.

00:40:20.620 And maybe

00:40:21.160 it would leak

00:40:21.820 that that's

00:40:22.220 the reason.

00:40:23.780 Because that

00:40:24.500 would give

00:40:24.820 them their

00:40:26.160 are you

00:40:30.000 agreeing with

00:40:30.440 this?

00:40:31.260 Because that

00:40:31.880 would give

00:40:32.140 the Supreme

00:40:32.640 Court everything

00:40:33.280 they want.

00:40:35.000 If you

00:40:35.620 imagine that

00:40:36.280 that is the

00:40:36.920 decision they

00:40:37.540 want, the

00:40:38.580 majority of

00:40:39.180 them, they

00:40:40.100 would still

00:40:40.480 get their

00:40:40.840 decision, but

00:40:41.520 they would

00:40:41.820 wait until

00:40:42.380 there was a

00:40:43.460 Republican

00:40:43.980 scenario.

00:40:46.260 because that

00:40:48.780 would also

00:40:49.140 guarantee that

00:40:49.920 the

00:40:50.320 conservatives

00:40:51.060 get the

00:40:51.980 next

00:40:52.260 nomination in

00:40:53.100 the courts,

00:40:53.740 et cetera.

00:40:57.360 Assuming

00:40:57.840 everybody can

00:40:58.480 survive until

00:40:59.180 2024.

00:41:03.480 What do you

00:41:04.100 think of that

00:41:04.480 prediction?

00:41:05.460 Okay, that's

00:41:06.020 what I would

00:41:06.400 do if I

00:41:06.820 were Justice

00:41:07.220 Roberts.

00:41:08.540 So if I

00:41:09.920 were the

00:41:10.160 Supreme Court,

00:41:11.220 and even if I

00:41:12.140 wanted that

00:41:12.780 ruling, even if I

00:41:13.940 were a

00:41:14.220 conservative, I

00:41:15.380 would say, since

00:41:16.160 the reason for

00:41:16.980 the leak was

00:41:17.900 political, we're

00:41:19.380 going to take

00:41:19.800 that win away

00:41:20.680 from them, but

00:41:22.480 we'll still

00:41:22.900 reserve the

00:41:23.440 right to do

00:41:24.160 it immediately

00:41:24.940 after the

00:41:25.480 election, when

00:41:26.820 it has the

00:41:27.240 least political

00:41:27.880 impact.

00:41:29.460 I feel like I

00:41:30.420 would do that.

00:41:31.500 But that would

00:41:32.000 also be the

00:41:33.040 Supreme Court

00:41:34.060 meddling in the

00:41:36.320 election, wouldn't

00:41:36.980 it?

00:41:38.280 So I'm not

00:41:39.000 sure if that

00:41:39.440 would be fixing

00:41:40.740 a meddling, or

00:41:41.560 that would be

00:41:42.220 its own

00:41:42.540 meddling.

00:41:43.420 So I guess

00:41:43.820 that would be

00:41:44.140 a problem

00:41:44.480 either way.

00:41:46.220 Well, speaking

00:41:47.040 of Republicans

00:41:48.060 being hunted,

00:41:48.940 there's a

00:41:49.340 list on the

00:41:51.320 Internet now

00:41:51.920 of the

00:41:53.180 people who

00:41:53.860 were the

00:41:54.360 most responsible

00:41:57.080 for sowing

00:41:57.880 doubt about

00:41:58.660 the 2020

00:41:59.280 election.

00:42:00.940 So researchers

00:42:02.080 combed through

00:42:02.760 45 million

00:42:03.640 tweets to

00:42:05.240 find the

00:42:05.620 people who

00:42:06.040 were most

00:42:06.620 responsible for

00:42:08.620 doubt about

00:42:09.440 the election.

00:42:10.780 And I'm

00:42:11.560 number 28 on

00:42:12.760 the list.

00:42:13.240 So I'm

00:42:15.480 on a list

00:42:16.140 of people

00:42:17.960 who sowed

00:42:18.860 the most

00:42:19.420 doubt in

00:42:20.580 the whole

00:42:20.860 world about

00:42:23.460 the election.

00:42:25.260 Now, as

00:42:26.320 someone else

00:42:26.800 asked, how

00:42:27.820 did they

00:42:28.140 determine that?

00:42:30.040 Because I

00:42:31.280 accepted the

00:42:32.000 election on

00:42:32.880 the day the

00:42:33.460 results were

00:42:34.340 announced.

00:42:35.120 I congratulated

00:42:36.200 Biden for the

00:42:36.900 win on the

00:42:37.580 day the

00:42:37.980 election was

00:42:38.740 official.

00:42:39.500 and I

00:42:41.160 never

00:42:41.400 changed.

00:42:42.560 And I've

00:42:43.180 said every

00:42:43.820 time since

00:42:44.300 then, he's

00:42:44.720 the president.

00:42:46.140 So that

00:42:46.560 didn't change.

00:42:47.620 But I've

00:42:48.000 also said

00:42:48.640 that since

00:42:50.300 our election

00:42:50.900 can't be

00:42:51.440 audited,

00:42:52.400 not fully,

00:42:54.160 then you

00:42:56.400 can't know if

00:42:57.120 anything was

00:42:57.720 rigged, but

00:42:59.120 you could know

00:42:59.680 for certain that

00:43:00.560 if it doesn't

00:43:01.080 get plugged,

00:43:01.760 those holes,

00:43:02.680 that it will

00:43:03.120 be.

00:43:03.300 We don't

00:43:05.380 know when.

00:43:06.240 Might be this

00:43:06.780 election, might

00:43:07.540 be next, 20

00:43:09.140 years from now.

00:43:09.920 But if you

00:43:10.320 don't plug the

00:43:10.820 holes, it's a

00:43:11.880 guarantee somebody's

00:43:13.040 going to walk

00:43:13.460 through that open

00:43:14.320 gate.

00:43:15.460 So yeah, of

00:43:16.020 course.

00:43:16.760 Until we have a

00:43:17.620 fully auditable

00:43:18.280 system, one

00:43:20.000 assumes that you

00:43:20.820 can't fully trust

00:43:21.740 any result.

00:43:23.160 But I value,

00:43:25.760 just like the

00:43:26.380 Supreme Court

00:43:27.020 conversation, I

00:43:28.440 do value the

00:43:29.200 system over the

00:43:31.440 imperfections and

00:43:32.480 even over the

00:43:33.120 choice.

00:43:34.100 Because when an

00:43:34.680 election is close,

00:43:35.800 you know, it's

00:43:36.160 like 48, 50

00:43:37.860 sort of situation,

00:43:39.600 I don't really

00:43:40.960 think the public

00:43:42.420 loses if the

00:43:44.000 48 wins over

00:43:45.040 the 50, because

00:43:46.600 there's not that

00:43:47.120 much of a

00:43:47.520 difference.

00:43:48.320 It's not like the

00:43:49.340 public is so

00:43:50.000 smart that we

00:43:51.780 can fine-tune

00:43:54.020 those decisions.

00:43:55.540 If it's sort of

00:43:56.820 half and half,

00:43:58.200 then at least

00:43:58.760 half the country

00:43:59.440 got what they

00:43:59.960 wanted, and

00:44:00.600 that's not too

00:44:01.520 bad compared to

00:44:02.840 the other half

00:44:03.400 getting what

00:44:03.780 they wanted.

00:44:04.700 It's not the

00:44:05.220 worst thing in

00:44:05.740 the world.

00:44:08.320 So, you know, I

00:44:10.100 still support the

00:44:11.080 system, because I

00:44:12.200 don't want the

00:44:12.640 system to fall

00:44:13.360 apart, even

00:44:14.400 though you can

00:44:15.740 never know for

00:44:16.400 sure if it gave

00:44:17.480 you 100% accurate

00:44:18.740 results.

00:44:20.020 But I would say

00:44:21.000 that every day

00:44:21.560 that goes by that

00:44:22.480 we don't have

00:44:23.220 further evidence of

00:44:24.320 the 2,000 mules

00:44:25.720 accusations, the

00:44:28.900 less likely you're

00:44:29.820 ever going to see

00:44:30.380 them.

00:44:31.780 So, to me, that

00:44:32.780 feels like

00:44:33.420 hydroxychloroquine

00:44:35.260 and ivermectin

00:44:36.800 and 2,000 mules.

00:44:39.420 I put them all in

00:44:40.480 the same category in

00:44:41.800 just one thin way,

00:44:43.380 not in general, but

00:44:44.940 just one specific

00:44:45.960 way, which is

00:44:47.360 every day that goes

00:44:48.280 by that they're not

00:44:50.540 proven to work,

00:44:52.500 it's probably less

00:44:54.020 likely that they will

00:44:55.120 ever be proven to

00:44:56.080 work.

00:44:56.240 So, the challenge

00:44:58.840 against the 2,000

00:44:59.760 mules thing is that

00:45:00.700 the cell phone data

00:45:01.920 location stuff wasn't

00:45:03.780 specific enough, you

00:45:06.040 need some photographic

00:45:07.180 evidence of the same

00:45:08.060 person going to the

00:45:08.880 same box, has not

00:45:10.520 been produced.

00:45:11.700 Or, you need a

00:45:12.800 whistleblower.

00:45:14.180 The allegations of

00:45:15.380 all of these mules is

00:45:17.360 kind of interesting

00:45:18.140 when, if a mule

00:45:21.360 existed, you don't

00:45:23.640 think that mule

00:45:24.320 would find a way to

00:45:25.500 monetize their

00:45:28.540 whistleblowers.

00:45:30.020 Because you could go

00:45:30.960 to a major news

00:45:31.880 platform and say,

00:45:32.660 look, disguise my

00:45:34.160 voice, pay me

00:45:36.280 $50,000, and I'll

00:45:38.420 tell you that I was a

00:45:39.360 mule and I dropped

00:45:40.200 off multiple things.

00:45:42.540 But that hasn't

00:45:43.420 happened, has it?

00:45:44.620 There's not one mule

00:45:45.900 who would take $50,000

00:45:48.500 and a disguised

00:45:50.820 identity to tell

00:45:53.780 that story.

00:45:55.500 Now, maybe they'd be

00:45:56.900 afraid of being killed

00:45:57.840 or something, but I

00:45:59.480 don't know how much

00:46:00.060 you get paid to be a

00:46:01.000 mule, but it can't be

00:46:01.880 that much.

00:46:03.480 I would think that I'd

00:46:04.840 take the $50,000 if I

00:46:07.520 were a mule.

00:46:08.460 And I thought I could

00:46:09.460 get away with it.

00:46:10.400 Because remember, these

00:46:11.120 are people who think

00:46:11.840 they can get away with

00:46:12.700 stuff.

00:46:13.520 If you're a mule, you've

00:46:15.740 already bought into the

00:46:16.780 idea of breaking the law.

00:46:18.160 So if you could have

00:46:22.340 another way to maybe

00:46:23.680 not break the law and

00:46:25.020 make $50,000, that

00:46:27.640 doesn't seem like a big

00:46:28.540 risk.

00:46:30.580 So every day that you

00:46:31.640 don't see somebody take

00:46:32.580 the $50,000, because

00:46:35.040 easily somebody would

00:46:36.080 give them $50,000,

00:46:37.600 right?

00:46:38.260 You're telling me that

00:46:39.180 there's no conservative

00:46:40.100 who would pay $50,000

00:46:41.560 to get somebody to hide

00:46:44.940 their identity and say,

00:46:45.980 yeah, I was a mule,

00:46:46.740 here's how I did it.

00:46:47.480 I don't know.

00:46:50.700 That many mules?

00:46:52.760 So the same argument

00:46:53.920 that says if you don't

00:46:55.500 have a totally secure

00:46:57.920 election system, and

00:46:59.800 there have been reports

00:47:01.160 of vulnerabilities,

00:47:02.640 eventually it will be

00:47:03.740 hacked.

00:47:05.160 But for the same sort

00:47:06.980 of math logic, if you

00:47:08.880 have so many alleged

00:47:10.240 mules, and you'd have

00:47:11.760 to have a lot of them,

00:47:12.500 right?

00:47:13.500 Not one of those

00:47:14.440 people who are a group

00:47:16.960 of people who are a

00:47:17.460 people who engage in

00:47:19.020 illegal activity, by

00:47:20.240 definition, because it's

00:47:21.740 illegal, at least the

00:47:22.800 muleing we're talking

00:47:23.680 about is illegal, not

00:47:26.420 one of those people

00:47:27.300 would accept $50,000

00:47:29.680 to tell their story.

00:47:32.860 Because of their own

00:47:33.840 legal jeopardy, maybe?

00:47:35.800 I don't know.

00:47:37.100 I feel like that's a group

00:47:38.280 that would take the

00:47:38.960 $50,000.

00:47:39.700 I feel like you could get

00:47:41.680 dozens of them to take

00:47:42.880 it.

00:47:43.720 Because that's good money

00:47:44.920 for, you know, a little

00:47:47.500 bit of criminal activity.

00:47:49.360 Suppose you had a mule

00:47:50.440 who went to the press

00:47:51.840 and said, I'll make you

00:47:52.840 a deal.

00:47:53.700 If you, the press, hire me

00:47:55.760 a lawyer, and you go to

00:47:57.760 the law enforcement, and you

00:48:00.520 ask them to give me a

00:48:01.420 pardon, or, you know, some

00:48:02.860 kind of dispensation, I will

00:48:05.240 tell my story to you.

00:48:07.060 You'll give me $50,000,

00:48:09.020 and I'll have no legal

00:48:10.660 jeopardy because you helped

00:48:12.280 me clear that with your

00:48:13.220 lawyer.

00:48:14.720 There's no mule smart

00:48:16.460 enough to make that deal.

00:48:18.180 Really?

00:48:19.440 I don't know.

00:48:20.800 I feel like that would be

00:48:21.700 just such an obvious deal

00:48:23.040 that they could make that

00:48:23.880 deal.

00:48:24.820 So every day that goes by

00:48:26.180 that we don't have proof

00:48:27.320 there was anything wrong

00:48:28.300 with that election, I say

00:48:29.460 the odds of it are much

00:48:31.340 smaller.

00:48:33.140 Much smaller.

00:48:35.600 Right.

00:48:36.320 All right.

00:48:38.640 So what do you make of the

00:48:40.500 fact that I'm on a list of

00:48:41.880 election doubters?

00:48:44.360 Doesn't that sound like I've

00:48:45.580 been hunted?

00:48:47.940 Literally, somebody paid,

00:48:50.300 some rich people paid, for an

00:48:52.620 entity to pour through my

00:48:54.380 tweets and other people's

00:48:55.740 tweets, hunting, hunting for

00:49:00.960 certain people who are

00:49:02.380 associated with opinions that

00:49:03.860 they say are associated with

00:49:05.040 the right.

00:49:06.380 Now, I'm not Republican and

00:49:07.880 I'm not conservative, but I

00:49:10.120 got a list.

00:49:11.740 Now, have I been hunted?

00:49:15.200 Did they not literally hunt for

00:49:17.260 me by the data?

00:49:19.820 That looks like a hunt to me.

00:49:25.700 I mean, what is hunting other

00:49:26.960 than going and looking for your

00:49:29.160 target?

00:49:31.000 Like, actually, what is the

00:49:31.920 definition of hunting?

00:49:33.980 Let me ask that.

00:49:35.580 What is the definition of

00:49:36.540 hunting?

00:49:39.140 And see if it fits.

00:49:40.380 Let's define hunting.

00:49:43.140 Let's define hunting.

00:49:47.920 All right.

00:49:50.280 The activity of hunting wild

00:49:52.560 animals are game, especially

00:49:54.060 for food.

00:49:54.840 Okay, it's not that.

00:49:59.540 Well, that's a rather limited

00:50:01.060 definition.

00:50:02.540 So they're not using the...

00:50:04.920 Oh, it's similar to stalking.

00:50:06.500 All right.

00:50:10.120 Well, we can do better than

00:50:10.960 that.

00:50:13.000 So remember I told you that it

00:50:15.580 seems likely that, especially

00:50:17.020 before the 2024 election, that I

00:50:19.900 will be the subject of a hit

00:50:21.880 piece.

00:50:22.780 I feel like this list is sort of

00:50:26.460 activating the activists.

00:50:28.840 Say, okay, here's your hit list.

00:50:31.280 And it even included how many

00:50:34.440 people retweeted us so you could

00:50:37.020 know how big our influence was.

00:50:39.380 It was literally a list of who was

00:50:41.700 influential on a topic they don't

00:50:43.600 like.

00:50:45.220 A list of who was most influential

00:50:48.200 on a topic they don't like.

00:50:52.240 Think about that.

00:50:54.000 Suppose conservatives created a list

00:50:56.280 of who on the right was the most

00:50:58.760 influential on a target they did...

00:51:00.940 on a topic they didn't like.

00:51:02.720 How would that feel?

00:51:05.480 How would that feel?

00:51:06.740 Because if you saw that list,

00:51:08.240 what would you do?

00:51:09.760 Well, if you're a nice person,

00:51:11.380 you'd probably just read it and

00:51:12.600 it'd be interesting.

00:51:13.820 But if you're a troll or a

00:51:15.420 terrible person, what would you

00:51:16.560 do?

00:51:17.560 It looks like a hit list,

00:51:18.640 doesn't it?

00:51:19.720 It looks like the list of people

00:51:21.060 that you should go after.

00:51:22.040 You should troll harder.

00:51:24.160 You know, you should try to make

00:51:24.900 their life uncomfortable because

00:51:26.240 these are the bad people.

00:51:27.140 I believe I just got put on a

00:51:29.240 bad people list.

00:51:31.080 Because what would be the point

00:51:32.460 of making a list of people who

00:51:33.840 are most influential on a topic

00:51:36.320 you don't like?

00:51:37.680 What would be the other reason

00:51:39.080 for the list?

00:51:41.900 Tell me.

00:51:43.140 What would be the other purpose of

00:51:44.960 the list other than to target me

00:51:47.680 personally for some kind of payback

00:51:50.740 or destruction or minimization?

00:51:53.640 Am I right?

00:51:55.000 There is no other purpose.

00:51:57.140 I don't believe there's even an

00:51:58.580 alleged other purpose.

00:52:00.640 I don't believe there's a cover

00:52:01.860 story.

00:52:02.920 I don't believe anybody's saying

00:52:04.180 anything else.

00:52:05.220 But here's a list of people who

00:52:08.520 should be disavowed or targeted or

00:52:11.220 something.

00:52:14.240 So I'm on the list now.

00:52:15.740 But, you know, if there's one person

00:52:24.060 you don't want to put on the list,

00:52:26.920 like, who would it be?

00:52:29.420 Who would be the person that you

00:52:30.860 would least want to piss off

00:52:32.380 in the whole world?

00:52:35.860 Who would you least want to piss off

00:52:37.760 in the whole world?

00:52:38.540 No, not me.

00:52:41.800 Tony Robbins.

00:52:43.260 Tony Robbins.

00:52:44.760 Not me.

00:52:46.740 No, I don't know.

00:52:47.460 Maybe Tony Robbins is above anything

00:52:49.800 like revenge, because I've never seen

00:52:51.860 anything like that that would suggest

00:52:53.220 he's vengeful.

00:52:55.520 But you wouldn't want to make somebody

00:52:58.640 angry if you thought they controlled

00:53:02.660 the simulation.

00:53:03.400 Now, the people who do control

00:53:06.860 the simulation, if there's a

00:53:08.720 simulation, and if somebody can

00:53:10.680 control it, they would look exactly

00:53:12.960 like me.

00:53:14.560 But that doesn't mean I do.

00:53:16.600 They would just look exactly like my

00:53:18.800 life.

00:53:21.580 So, just think about that.

00:53:25.280 Apparently, Russia is handling all

00:53:26.920 the sanctions well and doing fine.

00:53:29.800 Okay.

00:53:30.040 Now, is the Russia-Ukraine thing the

00:53:34.160 best example of two movies on one

00:53:36.180 screen that you've ever seen?

00:53:38.320 I mean, I guess Trump was the most

00:53:40.460 classic example.

00:53:42.160 But we have a situation in which

00:53:45.020 people like me will claim we were

00:53:46.860 right by saying that Russia did not

00:53:49.900 take over Ukraine.

00:53:52.860 So, but on the other hand, Russia won

00:53:57.480 the war.

00:54:00.100 So, it's like two opposites at the

00:54:02.560 same time.

00:54:04.140 Russia tried to attack and conquer

00:54:07.740 Ukraine.

00:54:08.820 And I believe they at least, I think

00:54:11.740 they at least wanted it.

00:54:13.420 And maybe they thought they had a

00:54:14.600 shot at it.

00:54:15.860 So, I think what they did is they

00:54:17.100 probably tried to take the whole

00:54:18.280 country.

00:54:19.020 And maybe still will try.

00:54:20.300 Maybe they're still trying.

00:54:22.120 But quite reasonably, you know,

00:54:25.060 adjusted their tactics when it was

00:54:26.880 time to do that.

00:54:29.320 Consolidated their control over the

00:54:31.220 most valuable parts.

00:54:33.760 And then, presumably, we'll just

00:54:35.360 keep picking on Ukraine forever and

00:54:37.340 try to get the whole thing.

00:54:39.660 But, people like me can say, hey, I

00:54:42.200 was right, because Ukraine defended

00:54:43.940 itself better than the experts said

00:54:46.280 they would.

00:54:48.160 But then the experts are going to

00:54:49.720 say, well, we told you Russia could

00:54:51.540 do anything they wanted.

00:54:52.520 And what they wanted to do was get

00:54:54.540 this valuable part.

00:54:56.000 And they got it.

00:54:57.480 So, Russia won.

00:54:58.700 And if they want the rest of it, well,

00:55:00.080 they can pick on that later and

00:55:01.320 they'll probably get that too.

00:55:03.880 So, is everybody right?

00:55:08.180 Everybody's right?

00:55:09.740 Scott, the mind reader of Putin.

00:55:11.820 You know, the thing with Putin is you

00:55:13.380 don't have to read his mind because

00:55:14.640 he said publicly, pretty clearly, that

00:55:18.900 Ukraine should be in Russia's

00:55:20.640 control and blah, blah, blah.

00:55:23.300 NATO's a risk and blah, blah.

00:55:26.100 So, I don't think that's a mind

00:55:27.680 reading example.

00:55:29.480 But I always take seriously those

00:55:31.820 criticisms.

00:55:33.300 Because it's easy to, you know,

00:55:35.100 fall into the mind reading thing.

00:55:40.180 Here's a shocking statistic.

00:55:41.840 That 85% of children and teens with

00:55:45.080 behavioral disorders come from

00:55:46.800 fatherless homes.

00:55:48.860 And over 70% of all adolescent

00:55:50.900 patients in drug and alcohol treatment

00:55:52.600 originate from homes without fathers.

00:55:55.920 Therefore, the problem is

00:55:58.580 not enough fathers.

00:56:00.960 Yes or no?

00:56:03.580 Connect these dots.

00:56:05.600 This will be your data analysis test.

00:56:08.060 If we know that 85% of children and teens

00:56:13.460 with behavioral disorders come from

00:56:15.200 fatherless homes, therefore, the

00:56:18.720 fatherless part is the reason, right?

00:56:22.480 What would be something else in common

00:56:25.660 that fatherless homes have?

00:56:29.700 What would be some other big variable?

00:56:32.280 A lack of money?

00:56:39.060 What, can you name something where

00:56:41.540 poor people are doing better?

00:56:44.480 I mean, there's probably something, but

00:56:46.540 in what category do poor people do

00:56:49.680 better?

00:56:50.860 Do they have better health?

00:56:52.540 No.

00:56:55.740 Do they have better happiness?

00:56:59.100 I don't think so.

00:56:59.960 The last thing you would expect is that

00:57:04.440 the poorer you are, the healthier your

00:57:07.600 mental health would be.

00:57:10.260 So, are we not talking about, we're

00:57:12.520 talking about fathers, but it's really

00:57:14.280 a poverty problem.

00:57:16.220 Now, you might say to yourself, if the

00:57:18.900 father stayed, that would solve the

00:57:20.460 poverty problem.

00:57:22.320 Would it?

00:57:24.060 Are these fathers, the fathers with good

00:57:27.340 jobs, who the only thing wrong with them

00:57:30.120 is that they didn't stay?

00:57:32.180 No.

00:57:33.320 I don't think the only thing wrong with

00:57:35.020 the fathers is they didn't stay.

00:57:37.480 They probably would be an economic drag

00:57:39.980 as much as an economic benefit.

00:57:42.520 So, I'm not sure that saying

00:57:43.580 fatherlessness is the problem.

00:57:46.640 That feels like the outcome of the

00:57:49.240 problem.

00:57:49.540 Do you want to give me another, do you

00:57:52.820 want to hear the most provocative

00:57:54.100 hypothesis of what the real problem is?

00:57:57.340 Do you want to see me get banned from

00:58:01.040 all social media and lose 15% of my

00:58:04.260 followers in the next 60 seconds?

00:58:07.680 I'm just going to throw out a

00:58:09.040 hypothesis.

00:58:11.000 What if the problem is mothers?

00:58:14.480 I'm not saying it is.

00:58:16.900 I think it's curiously missing from the

00:58:19.260 conversation.

00:58:20.880 Because remember, it's a bunch of

00:58:22.640 things we don't understand.

00:58:23.820 So, if it's a thing we don't understand

00:58:27.800 with a bunch of variables in it,

00:58:29.800 why can't it be the mothers?

00:58:34.420 If the father doesn't stay, what's one

00:58:38.020 possibility for that?

00:58:40.260 What is one reason that the father

00:58:42.140 wouldn't stay?

00:58:43.780 Name a reason.

00:58:45.400 Well, one is that the father's a piece

00:58:46.980 of crap, right?

00:58:49.140 That's where you go to immediately.

00:58:50.860 The father's a deadbeat, piece of crap,

00:58:53.160 irresponsible, possibly a rapist.

00:58:57.700 That's where you go to.

00:58:59.140 Why?

00:59:00.060 Because men are awful and women are

00:59:01.860 awesome.

00:59:03.440 Those are the rules.

00:59:04.760 Those are the rules.

00:59:05.600 I'm sorry.

00:59:06.460 Amber Heard, an exception.

00:59:08.060 But the rules are

00:59:10.180 that men are trash

00:59:11.520 and women are

00:59:12.960 goddesses

00:59:13.920 and queens.

00:59:16.400 Queens and goddesses.

00:59:17.720 Those two categories.

00:59:19.040 You can only be two things if you're a woman.

00:59:20.840 Either a queen or a goddess.

00:59:22.460 A princess.

00:59:23.500 Three things.

00:59:25.040 But men are

00:59:25.880 criminals and dirt and rapists

00:59:28.000 and murderers.

00:59:30.040 They're awful.

00:59:31.620 And so, if you see a situation where

00:59:33.320 there are two variables involved,

00:59:35.700 one is the mother

00:59:38.000 who is the one who spends

00:59:40.080 most of the time with the child

00:59:41.360 that becomes ruined.

00:59:44.780 So, the mother is the one

00:59:46.320 who spends all the time

00:59:47.540 with the child

00:59:48.140 who gets ruined.

00:59:49.500 And the fault of the,

00:59:52.080 of this process not working,

00:59:54.280 the mother spending

00:59:55.280 all of the time

00:59:56.160 raising the child

00:59:56.860 that gets ruined,

00:59:58.540 the reason that the child

00:59:59.920 is ruined by the mother

01:00:01.240 who spends all the time

01:00:02.220 with the child

01:00:02.780 is the father who's not there.

01:00:05.700 So, the person who's not there

01:00:08.220 is the one who ruined the child.

01:00:10.900 Not the person who's there.

01:00:13.320 No, not the person who's there.

01:00:15.100 Let me, let me do a little

01:00:16.440 mental experiment for you.

01:00:18.960 Let's imagine a world

01:00:20.280 in which the mothers

01:00:21.480 were doing the leaving

01:00:22.540 and the fathers

01:00:23.920 were always left with children.

01:00:26.680 All right?

01:00:26.840 It's an imaginary world.

01:00:28.000 In the imaginary world

01:00:31.080 where the women all left

01:00:32.300 and the fathers were left

01:00:35.080 to raise the kids

01:00:36.260 and then those kids

01:00:37.700 turned down to be

01:00:38.740 drug addicts

01:00:40.320 and behavioral problem kids,

01:00:43.080 would the analysis be

01:00:44.740 that the problem

01:00:46.320 was the mother left?

01:00:48.200 Or would the analysis be

01:00:50.240 I think the one

01:00:51.980 who's there raising the kid

01:00:53.840 is the one ruining them

01:00:55.820 and no wonder

01:00:56.800 the mother left

01:00:57.580 because that father

01:00:58.620 couldn't even raise a kid.

01:01:00.280 So, how much of a father

01:01:01.360 could he be?

01:01:02.200 So, obviously,

01:01:03.040 it's the father

01:01:03.820 who's a piece of trash garbage

01:01:06.400 who is, you know,

01:01:08.920 at least they're there at the home

01:01:10.820 but they're ruining that kid

01:01:12.100 because they're the one raising him

01:01:14.720 and the kid turned down bad.

01:01:18.160 Now, is that a fair analysis?

01:01:20.680 That the person who raises the kid

01:01:22.700 is mostly to blame

01:01:23.760 if the kid turns out wrong?

01:01:25.820 Or is it the person

01:01:27.120 who wasn't there?

01:01:28.920 Is that who he normally thinks?

01:01:31.020 In a normal situation,

01:01:33.000 would you blame the person

01:01:34.120 who wasn't there?

01:01:35.860 Or would you blame

01:01:36.520 the person who was there?

01:01:39.740 And how come you've never

01:01:40.940 asked that question?

01:01:43.160 How come you just

01:01:44.140 automatically accept

01:01:45.420 the interpretation

01:01:47.680 that men are pieces of shit

01:01:49.420 and they cause the problem

01:01:51.580 even when they're not there?

01:01:53.860 Even when they're not there?

01:01:58.820 So, I think that fatherlessness

01:02:00.860 is, you know,

01:02:03.360 something that needs to be focused on

01:02:04.940 and understood

01:02:05.500 and, you know,

01:02:07.480 we need to find some way

01:02:08.720 to help the kids.

01:02:10.980 But I don't know

01:02:11.940 if the situation is so simple

01:02:13.480 as the conservative view

01:02:14.880 that it's fatherlessness.

01:02:16.440 I think there's at least

01:02:19.060 an equal possibility

01:02:20.620 that the mothers

01:02:22.280 are all broken.

01:02:24.900 And that one of the reasons

01:02:26.020 that the father didn't stay

01:02:27.460 is that the mother's broken

01:02:30.160 and he just couldn't

01:02:32.320 put up with it.

01:02:34.420 So why is it always

01:02:35.500 the father's fault?

01:02:37.040 Now, I'm not saying

01:02:37.740 the father's should be

01:02:39.160 off the hook.

01:02:40.880 Nothing like that.

01:02:42.140 I'm just saying that

01:02:43.120 the way we analyze this

01:02:44.260 is so obviously not rational

01:02:46.400 that why would we expect

01:02:48.480 that we could figure out

01:02:49.360 how to solve it?

01:02:51.200 If you know,

01:02:52.720 I mean,

01:02:53.220 and this is,

01:02:53.960 I think I've made

01:02:54.640 a pretty strong case here.

01:02:55.880 If you know

01:02:56.640 we're not looking at it

01:02:57.520 in a rational way,

01:02:59.180 why would you expect

01:03:00.560 anybody could solve it?

01:03:03.200 You'd have to start

01:03:04.200 with understanding it

01:03:05.320 at the very least.

01:03:06.860 And if you're not willing

01:03:07.540 to say the truth

01:03:08.460 that whatever makes

01:03:09.820 these people poor

01:03:10.820 and whatever makes

01:03:12.160 this father leave

01:03:13.620 or whatever makes

01:03:14.440 the mother not

01:03:15.800 have a partner,

01:03:18.120 maybe it's them.

01:03:20.160 Maybe it's them.

01:03:22.200 All right?

01:03:22.740 Maybe the people

01:03:23.740 are fucked up.

01:03:25.060 Both the mother

01:03:25.920 and the father.

01:03:27.620 Maybe.

01:03:28.760 Maybe poverty

01:03:29.620 is just always bad.

01:03:32.760 How about poverty

01:03:33.840 is always bad?

01:03:34.720 You know,

01:03:37.040 I think conservatives,

01:03:38.480 honestly,

01:03:39.520 I think you're

01:03:40.560 destroying the topic.

01:03:41.780 because when you

01:03:43.040 simplify it

01:03:43.740 to fatherlessness,

01:03:45.920 first of all,

01:03:46.600 I just don't think

01:03:47.620 there's enough support

01:03:48.660 for that opinion.

01:03:50.260 Even though the statistics

01:03:51.420 are highly correlated,

01:03:53.400 that's not a,

01:03:54.600 it's just too simplified.

01:03:56.000 There's just too many

01:03:56.600 other things

01:03:57.100 that are correlated.

01:04:00.200 So,

01:04:01.820 somebody says

01:04:03.340 you're off on this.

01:04:05.280 Yeah,

01:04:05.660 I'll look for some,

01:04:06.380 I'll look for some pushback.

01:04:08.240 By the way,

01:04:11.620 if it turns out

01:04:13.480 that the statistics

01:04:14.480 just say,

01:04:15.640 yeah,

01:04:15.860 it really is

01:04:16.440 the guy's fault

01:04:17.740 pretty much every time,

01:04:19.580 I could be persuaded.

01:04:21.800 I'm easily persuaded

01:04:23.020 on this point,

01:04:23.620 by the way.

01:04:24.280 Easily persuaded.

01:04:25.500 But there is no argument

01:04:26.660 against what I just said.

01:04:29.340 The automatic assumption

01:04:30.720 that men are trash

01:04:31.880 is what is driving

01:04:33.460 the entire frame

01:04:35.040 of the debate.

01:04:36.480 And if you're

01:04:37.780 in the wrong frame,

01:04:38.760 you're not going

01:04:39.160 to find a solution.

01:04:41.140 So what's the solution?

01:04:43.960 How about fix the mothers?

01:04:46.680 How about that?

01:04:48.780 Imagine if every

01:04:49.860 single mother

01:04:51.900 who had a kid

01:04:52.660 started looking

01:04:54.400 like a good prospect.

01:04:58.260 Suppose instead of saying,

01:04:59.580 oh, shoot,

01:05:00.580 this one's got a kid.

01:05:02.460 I don't want to marry that

01:05:04.200 because I'm going

01:05:04.660 to be responsible

01:05:06.100 for somebody else's kid.

01:05:08.140 Don't want to be

01:05:08.840 a stepdad.

01:05:10.640 You know,

01:05:11.120 what if you fix

01:05:12.580 the mothers

01:05:13.060 so the men

01:05:15.220 want to stay with them?

01:05:16.460 Oh, yeah.

01:05:17.900 Look what I just did.

01:05:19.880 What if you fixed

01:05:20.680 the mothers

01:05:21.500 so the men

01:05:22.840 wanted to stay?

01:05:24.500 But I will give you this.

01:05:26.720 You would have to

01:05:27.420 also train the mothers

01:05:28.740 not to have sex

01:05:30.540 with the wrong guys.

01:05:31.540 Can I give you that?

01:05:33.720 Because most guys

01:05:34.560 are the wrong guys.

01:05:37.500 Most of the men

01:05:38.320 are defective, too.

01:05:40.140 Like, I'm not,

01:05:40.780 don't,

01:05:41.180 if you think I'm

01:05:41.980 letting men off the hook,

01:05:43.440 that's not what's

01:05:44.340 happening here.

01:05:45.260 I'm not letting

01:05:45.820 anybody off the hook.

01:05:47.080 I'm just saying

01:05:47.860 that everybody's

01:05:48.600 on the hook,

01:05:50.060 right,

01:05:50.340 including me.

01:05:51.540 I didn't have

01:05:52.080 any biological kids.

01:05:53.800 We're sort of

01:05:54.400 all on the hook.

01:05:56.220 Like, I don't feel

01:05:57.200 that I don't have

01:05:58.160 responsibility for this.

01:05:59.760 I feel like I do.

01:06:00.680 I feel like I do.

01:06:03.480 Now, you know

01:06:04.380 my philosophy,

01:06:05.300 which is,

01:06:05.940 in two occasions,

01:06:06.960 I've preferred

01:06:07.500 being a stepdad

01:06:08.540 than a biological dad.

01:06:10.740 Now,

01:06:11.960 why did I

01:06:13.240 willingly take on

01:06:14.640 these stepdad functions?

01:06:16.580 Because in both cases,

01:06:18.160 it was an attractive

01:06:19.600 proposition.

01:06:21.980 So,

01:06:22.940 you don't think

01:06:23.940 other single women

01:06:25.400 can learn

01:06:27.560 how to become

01:06:28.140 an attractive proposition.

01:06:29.500 so that men

01:06:31.100 will say,

01:06:31.660 you know,

01:06:32.500 I would love

01:06:33.280 to be part of that deal.

01:06:34.700 Let me in.

01:06:35.660 Yeah.

01:06:36.960 Let me tell you this.

01:06:43.820 There is not

01:06:44.680 much competition

01:06:45.620 out there.

01:06:48.460 Is there anybody

01:06:49.160 single?

01:06:51.200 Anybody single

01:06:51.880 watching?

01:06:52.180 Have you noticed

01:06:53.800 that, weirdly,

01:06:55.080 there isn't much

01:06:56.080 competition out there?

01:06:57.280 here's what I mean.

01:07:00.280 If you go to the gym

01:07:01.820 and have a job,

01:07:04.340 you're in the top

01:07:05.700 10% of all

01:07:06.880 eligible men.

01:07:08.880 That's true.

01:07:10.480 If you go to the gym

01:07:11.880 and you have a job,

01:07:13.220 you're in the top

01:07:13.900 10% of all

01:07:15.080 eligible men.

01:07:16.720 Was that hard?

01:07:18.420 That wasn't hard.

01:07:20.360 What would it take

01:07:21.080 for a single woman

01:07:22.440 to have, you know,

01:07:24.440 multiple men

01:07:25.220 who want to marry her?

01:07:28.380 Not hard.

01:07:29.760 I'm not going to say

01:07:30.500 go to the gym

01:07:31.140 because then I look

01:07:31.980 like a sexist jerk.

01:07:33.520 I'm just going to say

01:07:34.360 that it's not hard

01:07:35.860 to get into the top

01:07:36.740 10% of eligible people.

01:07:39.480 It's not hard.

01:07:41.300 It really isn't.

01:07:43.320 You just have to be

01:07:44.380 nice to people,

01:07:46.480 you know,

01:07:46.680 build your talent stack,

01:07:49.280 work on your appeal,

01:07:51.980 right,

01:07:52.280 which is mostly

01:07:53.140 fitness and diet.

01:07:55.800 Pretty much anybody

01:07:56.960 can get in the top

01:07:57.880 10%.

01:07:58.620 Pretty much anybody.

01:08:00.700 Let's say for their age,

01:08:02.020 you know,

01:08:02.240 you'd have to adjust

01:08:03.360 for age.

01:08:05.420 And,

01:08:07.140 yeah,

01:08:09.280 so I would say

01:08:10.900 that maybe

01:08:11.380 if we were a little

01:08:12.400 less woke,

01:08:13.520 we could be

01:08:15.000 more beneficial

01:08:15.900 to the base problem,

01:08:17.500 which is you have

01:08:18.580 single women

01:08:19.260 that no man

01:08:19.960 wants to marry.

01:08:22.180 I'm sorry.

01:08:23.720 If there are a lot

01:08:24.580 of single women

01:08:25.280 that no man

01:08:25.940 wants to marry,

01:08:27.360 you should at least

01:08:28.320 ask yourself,

01:08:29.700 can the women

01:08:30.340 try harder?

01:08:33.120 It has to be asked.

01:08:35.060 I'm not letting

01:08:35.920 the men off the hook

01:08:36.760 whatsoever.

01:08:38.480 The men have to be

01:08:39.420 held to the

01:08:40.320 maximum amount

01:08:41.540 of, you know,

01:08:42.660 reasonable responsibility

01:08:43.860 for whatever they do.

01:08:45.740 But,

01:08:46.300 they're not the only

01:08:47.140 ones in the conversation.

01:08:48.500 That's all I'm saying.

01:08:49.260 Remember I told you

01:08:53.700 that nobody

01:08:54.140 really understands

01:08:55.160 inflation and debt

01:08:56.480 and the Fed

01:08:57.060 and all that?

01:08:58.760 Do you believe me

01:08:59.540 when I say that

01:09:01.080 literally nobody

01:09:01.820 understands it?

01:09:03.260 Like the experts?

01:09:04.880 No,

01:09:05.240 don't really understand it.

01:09:06.940 Well,

01:09:07.440 here's a little more

01:09:08.400 evidence to that case.

01:09:10.120 There's an opinion piece

01:09:11.380 in the Wall Street Journal

01:09:12.180 by Richard Vigilante,

01:09:14.120 I hope I'm pronouncing

01:09:15.060 his name right.

01:09:16.740 And,

01:09:17.380 I won't give you

01:09:18.380 the whole thing,

01:09:19.260 but his basic point

01:09:21.640 is that

01:09:22.160 nobody understands

01:09:23.740 the topic

01:09:24.200 and that

01:09:26.140 the only person

01:09:27.000 who did

01:09:27.360 was some economist

01:09:28.260 in the Reagan era

01:09:29.200 and maybe Reagan himself.

01:09:31.140 And,

01:09:31.540 I'm going to read

01:09:32.220 just a little portion

01:09:33.220 of it

01:09:33.620 and all I'm,

01:09:34.640 I'm not trying to get you

01:09:35.520 to understand it.

01:09:37.080 Right?

01:09:37.560 So,

01:09:37.860 when you don't

01:09:38.320 understand this,

01:09:39.320 don't worry about that.

01:09:40.300 That's not the point.

01:09:40.980 I want you to understand

01:09:43.000 that here's somebody

01:09:44.480 who makes

01:09:44.900 what I think

01:09:45.680 is a fairly strong argument

01:09:46.980 that nobody understands it.

01:09:50.560 All right?

01:09:50.740 So,

01:09:50.980 here's his definition.

01:09:52.820 This is Richard Vigilante

01:09:55.180 for the Wall Street Journal.

01:09:56.960 And,

01:09:57.260 I recommend the piece.

01:09:58.500 It's eye-opening.

01:10:00.540 He said that

01:10:01.120 Reagan beat inflation

01:10:02.120 not by reducing

01:10:03.080 the official money supply.

01:10:05.220 So,

01:10:05.420 remember,

01:10:05.760 everybody thinks

01:10:06.320 that inflation

01:10:06.940 is caused by

01:10:07.900 an increase in M2,

01:10:09.880 the money supply.

01:10:11.360 But,

01:10:11.580 Reagan beat inflation

01:10:12.800 not by reducing it.

01:10:15.660 Okay?

01:10:15.860 So,

01:10:16.000 that's the first thing

01:10:16.680 that's opposite

01:10:17.260 of what everybody thinks.

01:10:19.280 Like,

01:10:19.600 everybody thinks

01:10:20.500 increasing the money supply

01:10:22.720 is,

01:10:23.160 that's inflation.

01:10:23.960 That's all it is.

01:10:24.940 Too much money

01:10:25.780 for too few goods.

01:10:27.660 But,

01:10:27.880 Reagan beat inflation

01:10:28.860 not by reducing

01:10:29.800 the official money supply.

01:10:32.040 M2 nearly doubled

01:10:33.300 during his time.

01:10:34.300 Okay?

01:10:34.520 That's opposite

01:10:35.140 everything that

01:10:35.940 everybody believes.

01:10:38.100 But,

01:10:38.480 he did it

01:10:38.840 by boosting demand

01:10:40.020 for money.

01:10:42.020 How do you do that?

01:10:44.000 How do you boost

01:10:44.500 the demand for money?

01:10:46.540 The great lesson

01:10:47.500 of the Reagan era

01:10:48.120 is that money supply

01:10:49.040 is determined

01:10:49.700 by investment opportunity.

01:10:52.300 What?

01:10:54.340 Absent such opportunities,

01:10:55.920 no matter how much money

01:10:57.000 the government

01:10:57.500 gives people,

01:10:58.720 they will reject it

01:11:00.000 and turn it into stuff.

01:11:01.780 Meaning,

01:11:02.160 they'll buy goods.

01:11:04.420 So,

01:11:04.980 people have two choices

01:11:05.860 of what to do

01:11:06.360 with money.

01:11:08.540 Simplifying things.

01:11:09.900 They can put money

01:11:10.660 into just buying

01:11:11.640 things that they like

01:11:12.700 or they can invest.

01:11:15.280 If you give them

01:11:16.340 better opportunity

01:11:17.520 to invest,

01:11:19.740 then that money supply

01:11:21.780 just gets sucked up

01:11:22.840 into investments

01:11:23.700 which creates,

01:11:25.480 you know,

01:11:25.840 new taxes,

01:11:26.840 which creates

01:11:27.360 all kinds of,

01:11:28.160 you know,

01:11:28.400 goodness.

01:11:29.420 But if you take

01:11:30.240 that money supply

01:11:30.960 and there's too much

01:11:31.640 of it

01:11:31.960 and there's just

01:11:33.320 a lot of money,

01:11:34.500 people will say,

01:11:35.140 you know,

01:11:35.500 I don't need this

01:11:36.320 new thing

01:11:36.840 but my money's

01:11:37.600 not worth much

01:11:38.420 and I'd like a chair.

01:11:39.620 I'll just turn

01:11:40.240 my money into a chair

01:11:41.340 because,

01:11:42.220 you know,

01:11:42.620 the money's going

01:11:43.240 to be worthless.

01:11:43.980 I might as well

01:11:44.360 have a chair.

01:11:45.640 Or something like that.

01:11:46.900 I'm simplifying

01:11:47.920 too much.

01:11:49.640 And so,

01:11:50.220 what do you think

01:11:51.380 of that?

01:11:52.320 What do you think

01:11:52.960 of the idea

01:11:53.500 that all we would

01:11:55.660 need to do

01:11:56.220 is a Reagan-ish,

01:11:59.200 Trump-ish,

01:12:00.620 change in,

01:12:01.760 I think what Reagan

01:12:02.840 did is he changed

01:12:03.720 the capital gains taxes

01:12:05.040 and some other things

01:12:06.740 to make investment

01:12:07.740 much more worthy.

01:12:11.520 And he beat inflation

01:12:12.900 because he came in

01:12:14.780 after Carter, right?

01:12:15.760 So he came in

01:12:16.500 during the stagflation era,

01:12:17.980 the worst of all

01:12:18.640 possible worlds.

01:12:19.980 So if all you do

01:12:21.020 is make it better

01:12:21.820 to invest,

01:12:23.380 you solve everything.

01:12:25.660 So now I'm going

01:12:26.560 to give you

01:12:26.980 two rules of economics

01:12:28.400 that could explain

01:12:30.460 everything.

01:12:33.500 Number one is

01:12:34.460 if employment is good,

01:12:35.680 you're probably fine.

01:12:37.400 I keep telling you

01:12:38.240 that.

01:12:38.840 If you just look

01:12:39.680 at the one variable,

01:12:40.580 is our employment

01:12:41.220 rate good?

01:12:42.260 You're probably fine.

01:12:43.780 As long as,

01:12:45.420 as long as

01:12:46.260 you're not ruining

01:12:47.040 the country

01:12:47.500 with inflation

01:12:48.180 or debt.

01:12:50.000 So that's

01:12:50.460 the big variable.

01:12:51.820 So here's the

01:12:52.420 one rule,

01:12:53.720 maybe,

01:12:54.780 maybe,

01:12:55.660 the one rule

01:12:56.760 that tells you

01:12:57.260 if you're in trouble

01:12:57.840 in inflation

01:12:58.480 in the long run

01:12:59.300 is whether you're

01:13:00.560 making investment

01:13:02.100 look like a good

01:13:03.660 option.

01:13:04.940 So if you're,

01:13:05.700 if the government

01:13:06.520 is continuing

01:13:07.380 to make investment

01:13:08.700 look good,

01:13:10.540 you solve

01:13:11.640 every problem.

01:13:13.100 So two things

01:13:13.960 to know.

01:13:14.940 If your employment

01:13:16.200 is good,

01:13:16.720 you're probably

01:13:17.100 in good shape

01:13:17.880 as long as

01:13:19.260 your inflation

01:13:19.740 is also good

01:13:20.600 and you can

01:13:21.560 predict that

01:13:22.600 by your investment

01:13:24.020 situation.

01:13:25.660 Now,

01:13:26.600 what would

01:13:27.020 happen if

01:13:27.620 Republicans

01:13:28.440 take control

01:13:29.300 of Congress

01:13:29.880 and the presidency?

01:13:35.980 Four words.

01:13:38.060 I got four words

01:13:39.520 for you.

01:13:40.680 If you think

01:13:41.320 the Republicans

01:13:41.960 are going to

01:13:44.120 take both

01:13:44.800 the Congress

01:13:45.840 and the presidency,

01:13:47.900 four words.

01:13:49.180 you better

01:13:50.640 own stock

01:13:52.520 because

01:13:55.900 from our

01:13:57.460 current,

01:13:58.180 you know,

01:13:58.820 bottom,

01:14:00.140 and I think

01:14:00.500 we're close

01:14:01.000 to some kind

01:14:01.520 of a bottom

01:14:01.960 here,

01:14:02.760 if Republicans

01:14:04.180 go ahead

01:14:04.820 and do what

01:14:05.480 people kind of

01:14:07.060 sort of think

01:14:07.680 is going to happen,

01:14:08.400 take control

01:14:08.880 of things,

01:14:09.520 there's almost

01:14:10.800 no way

01:14:11.440 that they won't

01:14:12.260 make investment

01:14:13.020 more attractive

01:14:14.400 and that

01:14:16.200 will fix

01:14:16.660 the inflation

01:14:17.260 or it

01:14:17.680 will look

01:14:18.000 like it

01:14:18.360 is,

01:14:18.760 which,

01:14:19.280 you know,

01:14:19.540 then the

01:14:20.100 anticipation

01:14:20.760 actually changes

01:14:21.760 the reality.

01:14:24.440 And we

01:14:25.700 could be

01:14:26.160 entering

01:14:27.300 the single

01:14:28.500 best investment

01:14:30.100 opportunity

01:14:30.940 of all time.

01:14:33.340 I wonder

01:14:36.660 if that'll

01:14:37.020 get quoted

01:14:37.500 somewhere.

01:14:38.500 So I'll

01:14:38.840 say it again

01:14:39.340 just in case

01:14:39.820 somebody wants

01:14:40.840 to quote it

01:14:41.280 somewhere.

01:14:42.120 These two

01:14:42.700 situations

01:14:43.420 I think

01:14:44.980 are unprecedented.

01:14:46.920 Correct me

01:14:47.540 if I'm wrong

01:14:48.000 because I'm

01:14:48.320 not a historian.

01:14:49.600 I say it's

01:14:50.140 unprecedented.

01:14:51.380 We have

01:14:51.840 the economic

01:14:52.820 badness

01:14:53.500 that's pretty

01:14:54.020 bad,

01:14:54.400 the high

01:14:54.600 inflation,

01:14:56.120 the big

01:14:56.380 debt.

01:14:57.420 So we've

01:14:57.740 got the

01:14:58.000 economic

01:14:58.400 badness

01:14:58.920 and the

01:14:59.240 shortages

01:14:59.620 and everything

01:15:00.100 else.

01:15:00.660 At the

01:15:01.000 same time,

01:15:02.420 we have

01:15:03.320 what looks

01:15:04.080 like a

01:15:04.900 Republican

01:15:05.360 sweep

01:15:06.100 upcoming

01:15:07.340 and almost

01:15:08.300 unstoppable.

01:15:09.860 Have we

01:15:10.480 ever had a

01:15:11.000 situation

01:15:11.460 where the

01:15:11.960 economics

01:15:12.480 were at

01:15:12.920 their lowest

01:15:13.340 point,

01:15:14.640 the Republicans

01:15:15.280 look like a

01:15:16.120 sure bet

01:15:16.680 for taking

01:15:17.180 control,

01:15:18.580 and the

01:15:19.120 Republican

01:15:19.540 policies are

01:15:20.380 the exact

01:15:21.100 prescription

01:15:21.920 for fixing

01:15:23.440 the problem,

01:15:24.980 which is

01:15:25.620 Reagan-ish

01:15:26.320 improvements

01:15:27.600 in the

01:15:28.060 investment

01:15:28.480 outlook,

01:15:29.960 or the

01:15:30.260 investment

01:15:30.720 situation.

01:15:33.320 have we

01:15:34.220 ever been

01:15:35.460 in the

01:15:35.920 situation

01:15:36.380 with those

01:15:36.940 two things

01:15:37.580 lining up

01:15:38.180 at the

01:15:38.380 same

01:15:38.600 time?

01:15:40.900 I don't

01:15:41.600 know for

01:15:41.980 sure,

01:15:43.080 but in

01:15:43.820 terms of

01:15:44.400 risk-reward,

01:15:46.180 it might be

01:15:46.760 the best

01:15:47.180 investment

01:15:47.680 opportunity

01:15:48.320 of all

01:15:49.040 time.

01:15:50.060 Maybe.

01:15:51.300 Now, let

01:15:52.020 me say,

01:15:52.520 before you

01:15:53.160 go off and

01:15:53.680 invest anything,

01:15:54.920 you really

01:15:55.820 shouldn't take

01:15:56.400 investment advice

01:15:57.300 from me.

01:15:57.820 I'm not good

01:15:58.320 at it.

01:15:59.560 So can I

01:16:00.220 say that

01:16:00.620 clearly?

01:16:01.100 I'm not

01:16:02.680 really good

01:16:03.140 at this,

01:16:05.420 at the

01:16:06.100 investment

01:16:06.500 stuff,

01:16:07.220 because nobody

01:16:08.040 is.

01:16:08.920 The only way

01:16:09.800 to be good

01:16:10.220 at investing

01:16:10.740 is either

01:16:12.120 buy Apple

01:16:12.720 computer stock

01:16:13.640 or an

01:16:15.180 index fund.

01:16:16.500 And don't

01:16:16.780 go buy Apple

01:16:17.380 stock because

01:16:17.860 I just said

01:16:18.340 that.

01:16:19.160 I'm using

01:16:19.680 Apple as an

01:16:20.340 example of

01:16:20.820 something that's

01:16:21.300 such a big

01:16:21.740 company,

01:16:22.320 it's almost

01:16:23.340 a diversified

01:16:24.300 stock portfolio

01:16:25.600 by itself.

01:16:26.560 It does so

01:16:27.000 many things.

01:16:27.460 Did I sell

01:16:30.500 ETH when it

01:16:31.600 jumped?

01:16:32.140 No, my

01:16:32.620 philosophy is

01:16:33.480 on ETH and

01:16:34.860 Bitcoin just

01:16:36.480 hold forever.

01:16:38.160 And it's

01:16:38.520 just a hedge

01:16:39.120 just in case.

01:16:40.520 It's a small

01:16:41.240 portion of

01:16:41.860 portfolio.

01:16:48.460 Father's Day

01:16:49.100 is Juneteenth

01:16:49.760 Day.

01:16:50.980 How about

01:16:51.340 that?

01:16:52.580 The richest

01:16:53.120 man in the

01:16:53.580 world gets

01:16:53.960 sued a lot.

01:16:54.760 Elon Musk

01:16:55.280 is getting

01:16:55.800 sued over

01:16:56.740 allegedly

01:16:58.140 pumping up

01:16:58.780 Dogecoin

01:16:59.460 and then

01:17:00.040 it became

01:17:00.960 worthless.

01:17:02.520 So I

01:17:02.960 don't know,

01:17:03.420 who knows.

01:17:04.560 Is there

01:17:04.820 anybody who

01:17:05.460 was buying

01:17:06.360 crypto who

01:17:07.720 thought it

01:17:08.060 was an

01:17:08.320 investment?

01:17:09.960 I feel

01:17:10.680 like this

01:17:11.120 is a

01:17:11.620 lawsuit of

01:17:13.180 smart people

01:17:13.820 against dumb

01:17:14.400 people.

01:17:15.380 Like the

01:17:15.680 only way

01:17:16.040 you'd win

01:17:16.580 is if

01:17:17.580 you've got

01:17:18.100 a jury

01:17:18.460 of your

01:17:18.840 peers who

01:17:19.460 also believed

01:17:20.480 that crypto

01:17:21.980 was a good

01:17:22.580 investment in

01:17:23.280 some cases.

01:17:23.920 it's never

01:17:26.780 going to be

01:17:27.120 a good

01:17:27.360 investment

01:17:28.140 except in

01:17:29.600 the narrow

01:17:30.120 sense of

01:17:30.820 a diversified

01:17:31.680 portfolio.

01:17:34.920 All right.

01:17:37.960 So apparently

01:17:38.820 there are

01:17:39.360 30 alleged

01:17:40.340 officials from

01:17:41.140 the Trump

01:17:41.640 administration

01:17:42.220 who believe

01:17:43.420 that Trump

01:17:43.880 is not fit

01:17:44.740 to be

01:17:45.540 president again.

01:17:47.580 What do you

01:17:48.200 think of that?

01:17:48.700 Do you think

01:17:51.200 that there are

01:17:51.640 30 people who

01:17:52.480 are close to

01:17:53.040 Trump who

01:17:53.480 say he

01:17:53.860 should not

01:17:54.300 be,

01:17:55.060 that he's

01:17:55.380 not fit

01:17:55.800 for president?

01:17:58.000 You know

01:17:58.760 what I

01:17:59.000 wonder is

01:18:01.120 if Republicans

01:18:01.840 are going to

01:18:02.340 throw away

01:18:02.840 everything.

01:18:05.060 Because

01:18:05.540 Trump might

01:18:06.960 be the only

01:18:07.540 Republican who

01:18:08.340 could lose.

01:18:12.840 I hate to

01:18:14.020 say it.

01:18:14.900 He might be

01:18:15.320 the only

01:18:15.760 Republican who

01:18:16.520 could lose

01:18:17.140 the presidency.

01:18:19.440 Because

01:18:19.960 imagine if

01:18:20.720 it's just

01:18:21.080 some strong

01:18:21.800 candidate that's

01:18:22.680 not Trump.

01:18:23.980 DeSantis,

01:18:25.280 Tom Cotton,

01:18:26.200 let's say.

01:18:27.620 I believe that

01:18:28.800 without Trump's

01:18:29.660 baggage, and

01:18:31.520 given Biden's

01:18:32.520 low popularity,

01:18:34.800 that anybody

01:18:35.520 could be the

01:18:36.240 Republican Biden.

01:18:38.160 And by the

01:18:38.560 Republican Biden,

01:18:39.640 I mean the

01:18:40.740 person who

01:18:41.200 doesn't have so

01:18:42.060 much baggage

01:18:42.760 that that's the

01:18:44.000 whole story.

01:18:45.120 They just have

01:18:45.760 to be a

01:18:46.120 Republican.

01:18:47.120 And they'll

01:18:47.800 just get elected.

01:18:48.480 Trump is

01:18:50.260 the only

01:18:50.660 one who

01:18:52.440 brings risk.

01:18:55.240 Because

01:18:55.720 I'm not

01:18:56.900 sure how

01:18:57.280 many people

01:18:57.720 are going

01:18:58.000 to vote

01:18:58.360 for somebody

01:18:59.500 whose former

01:19:00.240 advisors say

01:19:01.340 you shouldn't

01:19:01.760 vote for

01:19:02.220 them.

01:19:04.060 That's pretty

01:19:04.920 much a...

01:19:06.260 Now if that

01:19:06.860 stays...

01:19:07.800 And by the

01:19:08.140 way, these

01:19:08.520 former advisors,

01:19:10.420 you know, I'd

01:19:10.860 need to see

01:19:11.300 some more

01:19:11.680 names.

01:19:12.720 I saw two or

01:19:13.360 three, but I'm

01:19:14.060 not so sure

01:19:14.540 there are 30

01:19:15.100 of them.

01:19:16.660 But allegedly

01:19:17.940 there's some

01:19:18.600 conversation about

01:19:19.400 how to keep

01:19:19.880 him from

01:19:20.280 running.

01:19:22.120 And by the

01:19:22.720 way, I'm not

01:19:23.200 convinced that

01:19:23.800 he's decided to

01:19:24.580 run.

01:19:25.880 Or let's say

01:19:26.700 I'm not convinced

01:19:27.420 he will decide

01:19:28.120 to run.

01:19:29.180 I think he

01:19:31.560 could take a

01:19:32.100 better offer.

01:19:34.700 He could.

01:19:35.660 I think he

01:19:36.340 could take a

01:19:36.800 better offer.

01:19:37.400 I don't know

01:19:37.700 what that would

01:19:38.060 look like.

01:19:38.920 But if anybody

01:19:39.640 ever made a

01:19:40.240 better offer,

01:19:41.260 he's a deal

01:19:41.920 maker, I think

01:19:42.700 he'd take it.

01:19:43.660 Yeah, he's

01:19:44.080 already a

01:19:44.560 kingmaker.

01:19:45.960 So imagine

01:19:46.760 if they said,

01:19:48.000 look, you're a

01:19:49.780 little bit

01:19:50.060 dangerous as

01:19:50.840 the president,

01:19:51.740 but you've

01:19:52.880 been a

01:19:53.160 kingmaker until

01:19:53.880 now.

01:19:54.260 How about you

01:19:54.640 just keep it

01:19:55.140 up?

01:19:56.020 How about you

01:19:56.480 continue to

01:19:57.360 be a

01:19:57.600 kingmaker?

01:20:01.120 Imagine if

01:20:01.800 the Republican

01:20:02.280 Party said,

01:20:03.000 look, we're

01:20:04.360 going to run

01:20:04.880 a different

01:20:05.260 candidate for

01:20:05.840 president, but

01:20:07.220 we'd love you

01:20:07.940 to get Trump

01:20:09.420 back on Twitter

01:20:10.140 and make him

01:20:11.080 the voice of

01:20:11.840 the party

01:20:12.240 because he's

01:20:12.980 so interesting.

01:20:13.520 You know, I

01:20:16.600 would listen to

01:20:17.200 Trump talk all

01:20:18.080 day and be

01:20:19.420 happy about it

01:20:20.180 if somebody

01:20:21.480 like Ron

01:20:22.000 DeSantis was

01:20:22.740 actually running

01:20:23.400 the job.

01:20:24.900 Because I love

01:20:25.740 all the

01:20:26.400 controversy that

01:20:27.320 Trump brings.

01:20:28.460 Like, I love

01:20:28.900 the entertainment.

01:20:30.200 I love the

01:20:30.760 show.

01:20:31.780 And I do

01:20:32.360 think that in

01:20:33.240 the way that

01:20:33.720 Fox News can

01:20:34.980 influence

01:20:35.580 Republicans,

01:20:36.280 I think that

01:20:38.320 Trump could

01:20:38.960 influence topics

01:20:40.240 almost as much

01:20:42.040 by talking about

01:20:42.840 them out of

01:20:43.780 office.

01:20:44.620 You know, if he

01:20:45.060 had his Twitter

01:20:45.700 platform back,

01:20:46.540 for example.

01:20:48.160 So, I don't

01:20:49.560 know.

01:20:49.900 I think there's

01:20:51.500 at least a 50%

01:20:52.640 chance that Trump

01:20:54.400 will take a

01:20:54.960 better offer.

01:20:56.200 And the better

01:20:56.960 offer would be to

01:20:57.880 not do the job

01:20:58.840 of president,

01:21:00.520 but be the most

01:21:01.680 influential voice in

01:21:02.740 the country.

01:21:03.140 because he can

01:21:04.180 easily do that.

01:21:05.580 Because he can

01:21:06.120 decide who gets

01:21:06.860 his endorsement.

01:21:09.740 You know what?

01:21:11.580 Oh, my God.

01:21:12.460 I just realized

01:21:13.180 there's a hole in

01:21:15.780 the conservative

01:21:16.820 world that hasn't

01:21:18.800 been plugged yet.

01:21:19.860 Do you know what

01:21:20.220 the hole is?

01:21:22.100 Yeah, okay, you

01:21:23.300 got me.

01:21:24.160 You're ahead of

01:21:24.520 me.

01:21:25.320 Rush Limbaugh.

01:21:27.340 The Republicans

01:21:28.340 lost their

01:21:30.440 strongest,

01:21:31.380 provocative,

01:21:31.980 non-politician

01:21:33.640 voice.

01:21:35.240 Trump should have

01:21:36.160 a primetime

01:21:37.680 show.

01:21:39.240 Maybe a radio

01:21:40.120 show, but I

01:21:41.020 think he's

01:21:41.320 better live.

01:21:43.100 Maybe a podcast.

01:21:46.400 Yeah.

01:21:47.440 Trump, as the

01:21:48.400 new Rush Limbaugh,

01:21:50.340 having actually

01:21:51.020 served in the

01:21:51.680 office, would be

01:21:53.000 insanely interesting.

01:21:55.260 Like, you

01:21:55.640 couldn't look away

01:21:56.260 from that.

01:21:57.760 And as soon as

01:21:59.300 you hear it,

01:22:00.080 that he would be

01:22:00.640 the Rush Limbaugh

01:22:01.620 replacement, what

01:22:03.600 does that tell

01:22:04.140 you about the

01:22:05.460 quality of that

01:22:06.380 option?

01:22:07.800 It changes it,

01:22:08.900 doesn't it?

01:22:09.820 If you said to

01:22:10.940 ex-President Trump,

01:22:13.200 here's the deal,

01:22:14.040 you can run for

01:22:14.680 president and get

01:22:15.520 all that attention

01:22:16.260 and maybe even

01:22:17.600 win.

01:22:18.800 Or you could be

01:22:21.080 the Rush Limbaugh

01:22:23.840 power center of the

01:22:26.340 Republican Party.

01:22:27.180 which do you

01:22:28.640 think sounds like a

01:22:29.400 better offer at

01:22:30.780 his age and

01:22:32.560 given the risk

01:22:33.340 reward of running

01:22:34.200 for president?

01:22:35.220 Because if he

01:22:35.880 runs for president,

01:22:36.680 he's going to be

01:22:37.140 a target again.

01:22:39.560 And he is a

01:22:41.280 certain age.

01:22:43.640 He could take

01:22:44.500 the win and go

01:22:45.860 off and have

01:22:46.620 some kind of

01:22:47.480 primetime show.

01:22:49.100 Remember I told

01:22:49.820 you that I'd love

01:22:50.500 to see a show

01:22:51.160 like The Apprentice,

01:22:52.960 except he deals

01:22:53.900 with topics.

01:22:56.560 Imagine Trump

01:22:57.600 filling the

01:22:59.080 Rush Limbaugh

01:22:59.780 role of the

01:23:01.600 important voice,

01:23:02.600 if you will,

01:23:03.640 and except doing

01:23:04.900 it and allowing

01:23:05.820 both the left

01:23:06.520 and the right

01:23:07.000 to debate with

01:23:08.360 him as the

01:23:08.920 moderator of the

01:23:09.700 debate.

01:23:11.480 Oh my God.

01:23:12.900 Imagine watching

01:23:13.780 him interrupt

01:23:14.720 people on the

01:23:16.140 left and the

01:23:16.760 right, because

01:23:17.680 you know there

01:23:18.860 are stories of

01:23:20.220 him challenging

01:23:20.920 even the people

01:23:21.580 on the right

01:23:22.360 during meetings.

01:23:23.880 Would you love

01:23:24.480 to see him say

01:23:25.120 stop, stop,

01:23:27.160 answer the

01:23:27.540 question?

01:23:28.480 No, you're

01:23:29.240 lying, you're

01:23:30.140 lying, answer

01:23:31.360 the question.

01:23:33.000 How much would

01:23:33.860 you love to see

01:23:34.560 Trump with his

01:23:36.620 thumb on two

01:23:37.380 experts making

01:23:38.380 them fight it

01:23:39.000 out, but they

01:23:39.840 have to make

01:23:40.320 sense and they

01:23:41.020 have to stay on

01:23:41.560 topic and they

01:23:42.640 have to answer

01:23:43.060 the questions?

01:23:44.560 Oh my God.

01:23:45.720 Now imagine a

01:23:46.680 sidekick, because

01:23:48.480 you always have to

01:23:48.960 have a sidekick.

01:23:50.460 So who would be

01:23:51.000 that most

01:23:52.260 nerdily would

01:23:52.760 be, okay, I

01:23:54.560 guess I would be

01:23:55.220 first choice for

01:23:55.960 one type of

01:23:57.360 sidekick.

01:23:57.980 But I'm talking

01:23:58.480 about a sidekick

01:23:59.380 who would be the

01:24:00.120 data person.

01:24:02.860 Imagine somebody

01:24:03.760 who was like a

01:24:04.260 real data expert

01:24:05.480 who was just

01:24:06.520 there and Trump

01:24:07.460 says, all right,

01:24:08.140 is that even

01:24:08.560 true?

01:24:09.480 And then the

01:24:09.940 data person says,

01:24:11.440 well, actually

01:24:12.020 that's not true,

01:24:13.000 so they're going

01:24:13.460 to have to try

01:24:13.860 again.

01:24:15.700 No, I'm not the

01:24:16.280 data person, that

01:24:17.000 wouldn't be me.

01:24:19.020 This would be

01:24:19.720 amazing.

01:24:21.000 Trump could

01:24:21.820 own political

01:24:23.460 commentary just

01:24:25.040 by having both

01:24:25.720 sides.

01:24:27.360 Think about it.

01:24:28.800 Because anybody

01:24:29.740 would go on the

01:24:30.400 show after a

01:24:32.460 while.

01:24:33.780 He could get

01:24:34.340 anybody.

01:24:34.880 As long as he

01:24:35.920 let the liberal

01:24:36.580 side have as

01:24:38.280 much time, I

01:24:40.520 think he could

01:24:40.980 get anybody on

01:24:41.680 the show, because

01:24:42.360 they would want

01:24:42.860 to show that

01:24:43.280 their opinion is

01:24:43.980 better than the

01:24:44.460 other side.

01:24:45.220 If they couldn't

01:24:45.820 do it, well,

01:24:46.880 why?

01:24:47.260 Why?

01:24:47.300 Somebody said,

01:24:51.700 I just

01:24:51.920 described Fox

01:24:52.720 News 15 to 20

01:24:53.780 years ago.

01:24:54.840 You know, I

01:24:55.180 think you're

01:24:55.460 right about

01:24:55.800 that.

01:24:58.500 All right.

01:25:00.140 Apparently,

01:25:00.800 SpaceX fired

01:25:01.980 some employees

01:25:03.260 who put together

01:25:04.220 a little letter

01:25:05.700 saying that

01:25:06.840 Elon Musk's

01:25:08.620 behavior in the

01:25:09.280 public sphere is

01:25:10.540 a frequent source

01:25:11.360 of distraction and

01:25:12.280 embarrassment for

01:25:13.020 us, particularly

01:25:14.080 in recent weeks.

01:25:16.220 So SpaceX found

01:25:17.880 out who was

01:25:18.560 involved and

01:25:19.060 fired him,

01:25:19.680 allegedly.

01:25:20.520 What do you

01:25:20.840 think of that?

01:25:22.200 Do you think

01:25:22.800 the free speech

01:25:23.920 guy, Elon

01:25:26.180 Musk, should

01:25:27.680 fire his own

01:25:28.540 employees for

01:25:29.440 freedom of

01:25:30.140 speech, in

01:25:31.320 which they said

01:25:32.220 that the boss

01:25:33.580 is embarrassing

01:25:34.240 them?

01:25:35.780 Yes.

01:25:36.380 Yes, he

01:25:36.760 should.

01:25:37.000 Yes, that's a

01:25:39.100 firing offense.

01:25:40.800 Do you know

01:25:41.340 it's a good

01:25:41.780 reason for firing

01:25:42.700 somebody?

01:25:44.080 They don't

01:25:45.840 want to work

01:25:46.280 there or

01:25:46.720 they're unhappy.

01:25:48.280 That's a

01:25:48.800 perfectly good

01:25:49.340 reason.

01:25:50.340 Now, it's also

01:25:50.940 a good reason

01:25:51.600 for changing

01:25:52.580 something.

01:25:54.240 There are two

01:25:55.020 good things you

01:25:55.640 can do when

01:25:56.120 employees are

01:25:57.100 disgruntled.

01:25:58.320 You can find

01:25:59.020 out what it

01:25:59.440 is and if

01:25:59.940 it's valid,

01:26:00.560 maybe change

01:26:01.060 it.

01:26:01.940 And if it

01:26:02.620 is something

01:26:03.520 you don't

01:26:04.000 want to

01:26:04.280 change,

01:26:05.200 well, then

01:26:05.580 the thing you

01:26:07.120 should do is

01:26:07.660 fire them,

01:26:08.600 if it's a

01:26:09.060 big enough

01:26:09.460 problem.

01:26:10.680 So, yeah,

01:26:11.020 I think he's

01:26:13.060 right to

01:26:13.660 I think any

01:26:15.200 company in

01:26:15.720 this situation

01:26:16.380 is perfectly

01:26:17.720 within the

01:26:18.940 right to

01:26:19.620 fire a

01:26:20.240 disgruntled

01:26:20.760 employee.

01:26:25.020 And so

01:26:26.520 CNN is

01:26:27.400 even talking

01:26:27.920 about Biden

01:26:28.580 maybe running

01:26:29.300 for re-election

01:26:30.140 because they

01:26:32.020 admit he might

01:26:32.680 be the best

01:26:33.200 they have

01:26:33.720 because they

01:26:35.900 don't have

01:26:36.180 anybody else

01:26:36.680 who could

01:26:36.940 beat Trump,

01:26:37.520 they think.

01:26:38.780 Now, I think

01:26:39.600 that's wrong.

01:26:40.160 I do think that

01:26:40.740 they have other

01:26:41.380 people who

01:26:41.780 could beat

01:26:42.140 Trump because

01:26:43.220 Trump has

01:26:44.240 the risk of

01:26:44.760 beating himself,

01:26:45.660 right, and

01:26:46.040 the media would

01:26:46.720 be on one

01:26:48.340 side, et cetera.

01:26:50.080 So, but I

01:26:51.480 think it's

01:26:51.740 interesting that

01:26:52.420 CNN's opinion

01:26:53.500 of the

01:26:54.120 Democrat

01:26:54.500 bench, if

01:26:55.200 you will,

01:26:55.780 is so low

01:26:56.640 that even

01:26:58.280 though they're

01:26:59.220 also beating

01:26:59.980 on Biden

01:27:00.520 as having the

01:27:01.380 lowest approval,

01:27:03.500 so while CNN

01:27:04.220 is saying that

01:27:04.860 Biden has the

01:27:05.420 lowest approval,

01:27:06.220 that's the

01:27:06.540 news people,

01:27:07.100 an opinion

01:27:08.180 piece on

01:27:10.500 their site

01:27:10.920 is saying that

01:27:12.120 he might be

01:27:12.520 the best they

01:27:13.100 have, the

01:27:14.140 lowest opinion

01:27:14.980 ever of a

01:27:15.720 president, and

01:27:17.540 they admit he

01:27:18.260 might be the

01:27:18.840 best candidate.

01:27:20.820 Just think

01:27:21.380 about that.

01:27:23.900 How in the

01:27:24.520 world could

01:27:26.760 Democrats win?

01:27:28.860 Oh, here's

01:27:30.480 how.

01:27:31.940 Do you think

01:27:32.540 there's any

01:27:32.960 way that

01:27:33.420 Democrats can

01:27:34.360 recover from

01:27:34.980 this?

01:27:35.260 Here's the

01:27:38.560 bad news.

01:27:39.980 They already

01:27:40.480 did.

01:27:43.000 Turns out

01:27:43.880 that Rasmussen

01:27:45.600 has a new

01:27:46.320 poll and

01:27:46.920 that they

01:27:47.460 do the

01:27:48.000 hypothetical

01:27:49.000 match between

01:27:49.900 a hypothetical

01:27:50.540 Republican and

01:27:51.560 a hypothetical

01:27:52.100 Democrat in

01:27:53.760 the congressional

01:27:54.300 races.

01:27:55.660 And they

01:27:55.940 say if it's

01:27:56.680 just a

01:27:57.140 Republican or

01:27:57.860 just a

01:27:58.300 Democrat, and

01:27:58.900 that's all

01:27:59.180 you know,

01:27:59.560 they're just

01:27:59.880 generic, who

01:28:00.660 do you vote

01:28:01.000 for?

01:28:01.860 Well, there

01:28:02.320 had been a

01:28:02.820 nine-point

01:28:03.500 difference, which

01:28:04.200 is huge,

01:28:05.260 in favor of

01:28:06.180 the generic

01:28:06.660 Republican.

01:28:08.340 Until today,

01:28:10.760 now that

01:28:11.180 those January

01:28:12.080 6 hearings

01:28:12.820 are making

01:28:13.300 a dent,

01:28:13.800 apparently,

01:28:15.400 now there's

01:28:17.000 a six-point,

01:28:19.800 no, a

01:28:20.140 five-point

01:28:20.700 lead.

01:28:21.640 So almost

01:28:22.640 cut in

01:28:23.100 half.

01:28:24.540 So the

01:28:24.960 Republican

01:28:25.460 advantage going

01:28:26.840 into the

01:28:27.460 midterms was

01:28:28.700 a nine-point

01:28:29.360 lead that just

01:28:30.360 got cut to

01:28:31.040 five.

01:28:32.100 Now what

01:28:32.540 happened?

01:28:32.940 What's

01:28:34.440 happening in

01:28:35.020 the world

01:28:35.540 that would

01:28:36.300 cause such

01:28:36.860 a radical

01:28:37.340 change in

01:28:38.080 this opinion?

01:28:40.860 January 6

01:28:41.800 coverage.

01:28:43.240 I can't

01:28:44.060 think of

01:28:44.360 anything else.

01:28:45.320 I don't

01:28:45.700 think it's

01:28:46.040 margin of

01:28:46.500 error.

01:28:47.580 I think it's

01:28:48.540 the January

01:28:49.020 6 coverage.

01:28:50.320 That's not

01:28:51.300 confirmed, but

01:28:53.380 maybe the

01:28:54.440 Supreme Court,

01:28:55.240 maybe, but I

01:28:56.820 think it's the

01:28:57.320 January 6 coverage.

01:28:58.980 I think it's

01:28:59.780 working.

01:29:00.120 I think it's

01:29:01.620 actually working.

01:29:02.740 Because remember,

01:29:03.260 the January 6

01:29:03.920 coverage is

01:29:04.500 mostly showing

01:29:05.340 violent-looking

01:29:06.280 Republicans.

01:29:07.980 It basically

01:29:08.600 is, look at

01:29:09.660 these Republicans.

01:29:12.920 I mean, that's

01:29:13.500 all people are

01:29:14.020 getting from the

01:29:14.800 coverage, because

01:29:15.440 they don't follow

01:29:15.900 the details.

01:29:17.080 It just looks

01:29:17.740 like Republicans

01:29:19.240 have become a

01:29:20.740 violent extremist

01:29:21.940 country.

01:29:23.180 If you just

01:29:23.960 dip into the

01:29:24.720 coverage, you

01:29:25.260 just see

01:29:25.760 Republicans attacking

01:29:27.140 the Capitol.

01:29:28.160 That's kind of

01:29:28.820 all you know.

01:29:30.120 So I think

01:29:31.660 the January 6

01:29:32.780 propaganda is

01:29:33.840 working really

01:29:34.700 well.

01:29:36.100 And, you

01:29:37.880 know, I like

01:29:38.420 to separate what

01:29:39.540 I like from

01:29:40.540 what is good

01:29:42.560 work, good

01:29:44.620 being subjective.

01:29:46.200 I think the

01:29:46.740 propagandists are

01:29:47.580 doing a great

01:29:48.260 job on

01:29:49.780 propaganda.

01:29:50.840 Now, I don't

01:29:51.320 like propaganda,

01:29:52.960 but if you're

01:29:53.920 going to do

01:29:54.300 it, you might

01:29:55.480 as well do it

01:29:56.020 well.

01:29:56.760 And I think

01:29:57.580 they're killing

01:29:57.980 it.

01:29:58.720 I think they're

01:29:59.360 killing it.

01:30:00.120 They have

01:30:01.200 actually cut

01:30:01.940 their strategy.

01:30:04.500 I guess credit

01:30:05.420 to Nancy Pelosi

01:30:07.260 or whoever

01:30:07.740 makes up their

01:30:08.320 strategy.

01:30:09.240 But they came

01:30:10.020 up with a

01:30:10.460 strategy to

01:30:11.840 come up with

01:30:12.460 this gigantic

01:30:14.660 hoax that it

01:30:15.980 was an

01:30:16.260 insurrection.

01:30:18.020 While there

01:30:18.660 were, in fact,

01:30:19.240 some violent

01:30:19.660 people who

01:30:20.180 probably wanted

01:30:20.780 exactly that,

01:30:21.740 it wasn't an

01:30:22.340 insurrection.

01:30:22.700 I mean, not in

01:30:24.140 general it wasn't

01:30:24.780 an insurrection.

01:30:25.220 But the

01:30:26.320 hoax looks

01:30:28.020 like it's

01:30:28.460 working.

01:30:30.620 And speaking

01:30:31.460 of hoaxes,

01:30:32.700 Biden just

01:30:33.420 repeated the

01:30:34.740 fine people

01:30:35.740 hoax, which

01:30:37.240 still exists.

01:30:39.260 Now, here's

01:30:40.040 the test.

01:30:42.040 You've seen me

01:30:43.020 compliment CNN

01:30:44.140 quite a bit

01:30:46.180 lately, because I

01:30:47.640 do think that

01:30:48.600 their new leader

01:30:49.300 is trying to

01:30:49.940 make them report

01:30:51.180 straight news

01:30:52.040 on both sides.

01:30:53.560 And they do

01:30:54.780 show signs that

01:30:55.780 they're taking

01:30:56.180 that seriously.

01:30:57.260 So I'm going

01:30:58.060 to give them

01:30:58.520 massive credit

01:30:59.620 every time they

01:31:00.880 make a step in

01:31:01.540 that direction.

01:31:02.240 And I would

01:31:03.060 even encourage

01:31:03.740 you to watch

01:31:04.300 them more,

01:31:05.400 because it's an

01:31:06.500 interesting shift.

01:31:07.400 You can see it

01:31:07.940 in real time

01:31:08.480 happening.

01:31:11.440 But do you

01:31:17.640 think that CNN

01:31:18.660 will report

01:31:19.560 what's happening

01:31:25.600 with the

01:31:26.300 fine people

01:31:27.500 hoax?

01:31:29.020 This is the

01:31:29.980 ultimate test.

01:31:31.500 If CNN's

01:31:32.660 leader is

01:31:34.160 going to take

01:31:35.160 seriously

01:31:35.780 that CNN is

01:31:38.460 going to report

01:31:38.980 straight news

01:31:39.700 from now on,

01:31:40.760 he has a

01:31:41.620 fresh example

01:31:42.480 of Biden

01:31:43.780 repeating the

01:31:44.600 fine people

01:31:45.140 hoax.

01:31:46.140 I would bet

01:31:47.200 you that the

01:31:48.580 guy who's in

01:31:49.160 charge of CNN

01:31:49.860 knows it's a

01:31:50.800 hoax.

01:31:51.900 I'm not

01:31:52.400 positive,

01:31:53.280 because I can't

01:31:53.800 know what he's

01:31:54.240 thinking.

01:31:55.260 But I'll bet

01:31:55.960 he does.

01:31:57.520 I'd say it's

01:31:58.200 a 60-40.

01:31:59.600 I'll bet he

01:32:00.060 does.

01:32:01.440 Now, if he

01:32:02.120 knows that's a

01:32:02.800 hoax, and he

01:32:03.680 knows the

01:32:04.080 president just

01:32:04.720 repeated it in

01:32:05.480 public, if he

01:32:06.900 doesn't see his

01:32:07.680 people call it

01:32:08.400 down as a

01:32:08.880 hoax, will he

01:32:10.540 make them?

01:32:11.980 Will he say,

01:32:13.220 you're going to

01:32:13.860 have to say that

01:32:14.480 was a hoax?

01:32:15.760 Because we do

01:32:16.600 context now.

01:32:17.420 We're not

01:32:18.680 doing the

01:32:19.200 leave stuff

01:32:19.720 out of context

01:32:20.300 thing.

01:32:20.640 We're going to

01:32:20.900 put the

01:32:21.160 context in.

01:32:22.080 It looks like

01:32:22.840 he's serious.

01:32:25.000 So that's

01:32:26.180 something to

01:32:26.580 watch for

01:32:27.000 today.

01:32:28.300 If you see

01:32:29.280 that, CNN

01:32:31.000 is back.

01:32:34.960 That would

01:32:35.620 be big news.

01:32:38.280 And if I

01:32:38.880 were the head

01:32:39.200 of CNN, I

01:32:40.540 would just

01:32:40.940 break the

01:32:41.760 world in

01:32:43.960 half and

01:32:45.060 just say,

01:32:45.440 look, let's

01:32:46.880 really make a

01:32:47.540 splash.

01:32:48.840 Let's admit

01:32:49.520 that all of

01:32:50.120 our coverage

01:32:50.660 was fake

01:32:51.320 about this

01:32:52.040 fine people

01:32:52.840 hoax.

01:32:53.760 We don't

01:32:54.320 have to

01:32:54.640 actually go

01:32:55.100 back and

01:32:55.500 do apologies.

01:32:56.800 But you're

01:32:57.260 going to have

01:32:57.700 to put it in

01:32:58.280 context going

01:32:59.240 forward.

01:33:00.140 And you're

01:33:00.540 going to have

01:33:00.840 to start

01:33:01.260 today because

01:33:01.920 the president

01:33:02.400 just repeated

01:33:03.120 it.

01:33:04.880 What would

01:33:05.580 happen to

01:33:06.020 CNN's

01:33:06.560 viewership if

01:33:08.160 they did

01:33:08.580 that?

01:33:10.400 Would they

01:33:11.060 lose viewers

01:33:11.740 because their

01:33:12.460 own side would

01:33:13.080 say, hey,

01:33:13.620 what's this?

01:33:15.220 Or would

01:33:15.580 they gain

01:33:16.080 viewers because

01:33:16.860 it would be a

01:33:17.760 national debate

01:33:18.680 about what's

01:33:19.360 going on over

01:33:19.980 there?

01:33:21.520 I think they

01:33:22.480 could gain.

01:33:24.460 And I would

01:33:25.500 love to see

01:33:26.000 this.

01:33:26.740 I would love

01:33:27.140 to have us

01:33:27.600 battling it

01:33:28.380 out about

01:33:28.920 whether CNN

01:33:29.580 has actually

01:33:30.440 changed the

01:33:31.900 direction of

01:33:32.440 the ship.

01:33:33.500 Because again,

01:33:34.720 credit where

01:33:35.220 credit is due,

01:33:36.580 I think they're

01:33:37.440 trying.

01:33:38.520 I think they're

01:33:39.240 trying.

01:33:40.020 Legitimately

01:33:40.500 trying.

01:33:40.900 And that

01:33:42.920 could be a

01:33:43.340 great thing

01:33:43.860 for the

01:33:44.260 world.

01:33:45.160 I mean,

01:33:45.420 really a

01:33:45.800 great thing.

01:33:48.620 You know,

01:33:49.180 it's funny

01:33:49.600 because there's

01:33:50.240 an opening

01:33:50.740 for a

01:33:51.800 major news

01:33:52.860 network who

01:33:53.900 reports the

01:33:55.240 news straight

01:33:56.420 down the

01:33:56.780 middle.

01:33:57.960 If they

01:33:59.060 find themselves

01:33:59.960 that they

01:34:01.500 can do

01:34:01.820 that,

01:34:02.280 well,

01:34:03.980 maybe they've

01:34:04.640 got something

01:34:05.040 there.

01:34:05.820 All right.

01:34:07.300 Since

01:34:07.740 summer has

01:34:08.980 come,

01:34:09.260 I've stopped

01:34:09.640 looking at

01:34:10.160 the, oh,

01:34:10.760 I've gone

01:34:11.100 extra long.

01:34:13.520 So I think

01:34:14.260 I'll go do

01:34:14.680 something else

01:34:15.280 because you

01:34:15.860 probably need

01:34:16.340 to, too.

01:34:17.520 And may

01:34:18.840 I say,

01:34:20.060 this was the

01:34:21.140 finest live

01:34:22.040 stream of

01:34:23.360 all time.

01:34:24.480 I think you

01:34:25.260 all enjoyed it

01:34:25.900 a little bit

01:34:26.420 extra.

01:34:27.340 If you play

01:34:28.060 it at 1.25

01:34:29.020 or 1.75

01:34:30.360 speed, my

01:34:31.860 understanding

01:34:32.380 is I'm even

01:34:33.360 better.

01:34:34.440 So make

01:34:35.240 sure you do

01:34:35.940 the recorded

01:34:36.420 one if you

01:34:36.860 want to do

01:34:37.140 that.

01:34:37.340 and

01:34:38.340 YouTube,

01:34:40.880 talk to you

01:34:41.360 tomorrow.

01:34:41.620 For more information, visit www.fema.org

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 17, 2022

Episode 1777 Scott Adams： Did Elon Musk Prove We Live In A Simulation？ Starting To Look That Way

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