Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1787 Scott Adams： Today I Will Rip The Cover Off Reality And Show You What's Really Going On

00:00:00.000 thing that civilization has ever offered up. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you're lucky

00:00:05.880 enough to be here for it. Either live, wow, or recorded, still amazing, still amazing and has

00:00:14.300 some advantages too. Such as you can put me on fast forward and listen to me at 1.25 to 1.75

00:00:22.020 speed, which I've been told optimizes for my sleepy presentation. But if you'd like to consume

00:00:30.440 it in a different way, you'd like to be part of something, you'd like me to keep you company while

00:00:37.140 you exercise or maybe keep you company while you're getting ready for your day or avoiding your boss or

00:00:43.420 doing a boring thing on a spreadsheet on your computer, oh, you know who you are. If you're

00:00:49.560 using me that way, then it doesn't matter what I say so much. It just matters that I'm chattering

00:00:53.780 in your ear and keeping you company and I'm your invisible friend. So whether I'm your invisible

00:00:58.860 friend or the person who's telling you the most unusual takes on reality, either way,

00:01:07.120 you're going to take it up a notch with a simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass

00:01:11.300 or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your

00:01:16.360 favorite liquid. I like coffee. Now join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

00:01:23.540 here of the day, the thing that makes everything in this reality and every other one excellent.

00:01:30.320 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.

00:01:32.600 If your coffee was too hot, just blow on it. That's the kind of tips you come here for.

00:01:47.780 Well, I'd like to tell you my best worst idea. Would you like to hear it? My best worst idea.

00:01:55.920 This is something that I was pretty sure was one of my best ideas. I mean, I felt pretty strongly

00:02:02.240 about it. I found out yesterday it's my worst idea and it goes like this. I saw a map of abandoned

00:02:10.280 railroad tracks in the United States, places that no longer have a railroad, but, you know,

00:02:17.540 they still have the right of way exists. And I said, and by the way, this isn't my, you know,

00:02:23.900 I'm not the first person to think of this. There's an actual effort, an organization raising money to

00:02:28.720 do this called Rails to Trails. And I said, hey, with all these e-bikes and other e-conveyances

00:02:37.000 like scooters and carts and whatnot, why don't we build a network of interconnected paths that have

00:02:45.060 no regular vehicles on, no cars, and you could come to America and for the price of practically

00:02:51.320 nothing as long as you had time, travel around and you'd build out tourist industries along the

00:02:58.420 ways. And you'd be able to basically connect everything in America or you'd get pretty close

00:03:03.300 to it in a way that would be way more fun than taking a bus or riding a plane or whatever.

00:03:10.220 And I thought, imagine all the people who would come to America just to see the natural beauty

00:03:14.880 and traverse it from one place to another. And let's say you make sure that the most important

00:03:22.780 monuments and tourist sites are all part of the network. Now, tell me, isn't that the best idea

00:03:30.200 you've heard in a long time? It would be clean, clean industry. It would attract the right kind of

00:03:37.340 money and people. It would make it look like it was a great place to live. Come on. That's one of the

00:03:43.660 best ideas you've ever heard. That's actually one of the worst ideas you've ever heard. I'm going to

00:03:48.620 tell you in a minute. So here's why it's the worst idea in the world. I didn't know this.

00:03:57.740 Turns out I'm not such a lawyer. And I thought, I thought you could acquire the rights for these

00:04:08.740 rail lines. You know, somebody must own them that would be happy to sell them. And that's almost true.

00:04:17.160 So it turns out you can go to the people who own the right-of-ways and you could say, can we buy this

00:04:23.020 right-of-way that used to be a train track? And they can sell it to you if they want to.

00:04:27.420 So that part works. They're not doing anything with it at the moment. It has no value. So they

00:04:34.640 just sell you the right-of-way. You use it for the bikes. Boom. So far, so far, it's still the best

00:04:40.900 idea you've ever heard. It's actually the worst idea. I'm going to get to that. Here's the part I

00:04:47.360 didn't know. The train tracks all go across, or mostly, private property. At some point,

00:04:56.180 the government said to the people who owned that private property, you know, that private

00:05:00.380 property of yours is right in the place that we'd like to put a train track. So we're taking

00:05:06.340 it. We're stealing your private property, but it's for the greater good. So I'm not complaining

00:05:13.200 about that. It's eminent domain. It's part of the system. If it happens to you, you hate

00:05:19.700 it, but, you know, you could argue this for the greater good. Now, it turns out that all

00:05:27.560 those private owners who were forced to give away their property for the, or sell it, I

00:05:33.900 guess, for the greater good, the way the contracts are written is if the trains no longer need

00:05:40.980 it, it would revert back to them because it's their property. And now the bicycle people 0.98

00:05:48.360 are trying to say, hey, instead of reverting back to the landowner, why don't you just give

00:05:54.500 it to us and we'll use it for, why don't you sell it to us? So the landowner doesn't get

00:06:00.240 the money when somebody buys the right-of-way because they're only buying the right to it.

00:06:05.760 They're not buying the land. So basically, it's this huge, huge land grab, effectively,

00:06:13.160 of private land, in effect. So, I mean, it's the right-of-ways, you could argue. But, so,

00:06:21.820 I thought it was a great idea, but when you get down to what it does to private land ownership,

00:06:26.340 it feels a little bit wrong to do it that way. If it's voluntary, you know, if somebody

00:06:33.360 can find a way to make enough money from it, then that would be different. Well, the Dilbert

00:06:38.700 comic was banned for Sunday, was banned in the LA Times in a number of other papers. Would

00:06:46.300 you like to hear the comic that was banned in the LA Times? Of course you would. So, it

00:06:56.680 was a Sunday comic in which Wally was trying to take time off for his cramps. And you'll

00:07:06.280 see how that went as soon as I can find my own comic. And here it comes. All right. So,

00:07:14.640 you won't be able to see it, but I'll read it to you. It's just Wally with a jacket on talking

00:07:19.280 to the boss. And Wally says, and this is a Sunday comic, so it's a longer form. Wally

00:07:24.840 says, I need to go home sick today. I have cramps. The boss says, in your legs? Wally

00:07:31.480 says, no. Boss says, um. Then the boss says, is this a woke thing? Then Wally explains, he

00:07:42.640 says, I identify as a birthing human. To be honest, I'm only doing it for the benefits, but I believe 0.64

00:07:48.700 my scheme is allowed under our current guidelines, is it not? And in the last panel, Wally's

00:07:54.240 walking away, and the boss is grimacing, and the boss says, jerk. And Wally says, see you 0.98

00:08:00.120 tomorrow, bigot. He's got a smile on his face. Now, so I got banned from newspapers for that

00:08:07.740 joke. Now, my editor, to his credit, anticipated this. And this would have run, it would have

00:08:17.300 run earlier, but it would have been too close to some other things that got banned in newspapers

00:08:21.400 recently. I think, was it the Dave comic? Oh, I think the other ones got banned where I

00:08:28.300 introduced a new character named Dave, who appears to be black, but the joke is that he identifies

00:08:36.440 as white, because it ruins their diversity targets. So he's just sort of playing with

00:08:43.720 the system. So, again, is this an insult in any way to black people or anything? No. It's

00:08:53.300 literally the opposite. The Dave character is kind of a cool character introduced, you know,

00:08:57.920 should have been introduced long ago. You know, if anything, it took, you know, decades too

00:09:02.460 long. So, in both cases, I don't even come close to showing disrespect for anybody. Would

00:09:16.260 you agree? Do you see any disrespect for the, let's say, the trans community in my Wally

00:09:22.540 joke? There's none. It's literally a joke about Wally. I have a character who has nothing

00:09:29.020 to do with trans, who uses every mechanism to, you know, find a way to not work. That's 1.00

00:09:36.460 what the character does. So, when there's a new trend or something that comes across the

00:09:43.800 workplace, then I bash it against Wally, and I have Wally figure out how to use that new

00:09:49.620 trend to get out of work. Now, Wally did the same thing with COVID and working at home,

00:09:58.020 right? So, whenever there's a new thing, he finds the way to use it to work less. So,

00:10:03.260 I get an impassioned, you know, very long message on Instagram from someone in the trans community,

00:10:11.900 I think it was, and saying, you know, he'd been a fan of mine forever, but I'd gone too

00:10:18.660 far and was insulting him. And I think, have we gotten to the part where even mentioning

00:10:24.160 somebody is gone too far? Here's the way this should have been interpreted. The way the topic

00:10:35.780 was identified in my comic is as the canvas. So, the topic was just the canvas, and then

00:10:44.740 I did something that was just about my characters. So, what's wrong with saying that the canvas

00:10:55.480 now includes the trans topics? Because what you're seeing actually is the opposite of something 0.98

00:11:02.540 disrespectful. You're seeing me incorporate it as normal. That's what you want. You want people like

00:11:11.240 me, who write about stuff, and decide what is appropriate to write about and what isn't.

00:11:16.880 You want people like me to treat it as matter of fact. The moment I treat it as that's the special

00:11:23.540 part, well, then you've got a bone to pick with me. But if I treat it like it's just the canvas,

00:11:29.800 and then the joke is actually about Wally, that's exactly what you want. You just want it to disappear

00:11:35.060 into the background, and then everybody's happy. So, be careful what you wish for.

00:11:43.580 Here's the weirdest little story. I wondered if I was going to say this, and I've said some version

00:11:51.440 of this before, but I saw an interview with Lex Friedman and Donald Hoffman. If you haven't seen it,

00:12:01.660 look for it. It's a podcast. Lex Friedman does a great job, by the way. His podcast, highly

00:12:06.980 recommend it. He has great guests, and he asks some of the best questions. Probably some of the

00:12:13.100 best questions you'll ever see a podcaster ask. Tim Ferriss is great, too. There are a lot of great

00:12:18.360 Jim Altusher. There are some people who jump out as being the best question askers. So, you want

00:12:27.160 to look for them. Anyway, when I saw that interview, it sort of freshened in my mind something that I

00:12:35.060 just, I can't not tell you about. So, here's a little story from, you need some background.

00:12:43.980 23 years ago, I published, or I wrote a book, and it got published, that largely destroyed my career.

00:12:53.400 It was called The Dilbert Future. Now, have any of you read it? Now, let me tell you why it destroyed

00:13:01.260 my career. If you weren't there, you probably didn't know. Now, it's a book that, you know,

00:13:07.980 has some Dilbert comics in it, but it's, you know, mostly text, and I make a bunch of humorous,

00:13:13.780 but sometimes serious humorous predictions. Some right, some wrong, and, you know, a lot of it

00:13:20.500 would be subjective, whether it was right or wrong. But the weirdest part, and in many ways,

00:13:25.640 the reason I wrote the book, was to fit this in here. I talked about affirmations and stuff,

00:13:31.480 but there was a chapter toward the end called A New View of the Future, and I made some predictions

00:13:37.680 in there that ruined my career the following way. My diehard Dilbert Reader fans were almost,

00:13:47.740 probably at least 80% of them were in the technical fields, some kind of STEM field.

00:13:55.180 And one of my predictions offended that group so much that it just destroyed, you know, licensing

00:14:02.380 and book sales almost immediately. And let me tell you what the prediction was.

00:14:07.320 And so I wrote it down so I could give it to you exactly, not from memory. It was prediction

00:14:14.400 number 63, and I said, the theory of evolution will be scientifically debunked in your lifetime.

00:14:20.620 Now, the key word here is scientifically. So the prediction was that science itself, not

00:14:27.120 me, not religion, not God, not Christians, you know, not intelligent design people, but rather

00:14:34.720 science itself, in my lifetime, I actually say your lifetime, but it's already here, that

00:14:43.400 in your lifetime, the theory of evolution will be scientifically debunked. Do you know what

00:14:48.860 happened to me when I predicted that? It almost ended my career, but it did probably cut my

00:14:56.100 earnings potential by 75%, something like that. Now, I didn't see that coming, honestly. I thought

00:15:04.660 it would just be interesting, some people would argue. I didn't think it would actually just destroy

00:15:08.520 my career. But in terms of, you know, what Dilbert was doing, if you were to track it, you can see that

00:15:15.320 that's the point where every time I was mentioned online, for at least a decade, the comments were

00:15:22.580 filled with people saying, he doesn't believe in evolution, he's an intelligent design creationist.

00:15:29.640 And then, because they hated me for that, they said I was also a Holocaust denier, and that I was in 0.78

00:15:39.880 favor of rape. Those are the things said about me. And there was a story about me being a sock puppet, 0.83

00:15:49.480 which is also out of context. There was something that looked exactly like that if you didn't know

00:15:55.240 the context. So basically, I got destroyed because I made this prediction 23 years ago.

00:16:07.080 I was listening to Lex Friedman interview Don Hoffman, and Don Hoffman says

00:16:13.500 that the evolution is probably closer to a user interface for something that we don't understand

00:16:22.480 that's happening beneath it. Now, I made even weirder predictions in this same chapter.

00:16:30.700 I said that there were some assumptions that we make about reality that were going to be challenged

00:16:37.680 in the next hundred years. And I said specifically, prediction 64, I said the next hundred years will

00:16:43.580 be a search for better perception instead of better vision. And that's what Hoffman has said,

00:16:52.560 that's where we are. So here's what I meant by that. And I'll use Hoffman's analogy, or is it metaphor?

00:17:00.440 I don't know what it is, about us seeing user interfaces. Over the last, say, 20-some years, 30 years,

00:17:10.260 most of us have been looking at screens. And if you're looking at a screen, you're looking at a user

00:17:14.960 interface that's hiding a bunch of complexity like those zeros and ones. But for 30 years,

00:17:22.540 the quality of the screen keeps improving, right? So now we have 4K TVs, and the iPads I'm looking at

00:17:29.400 are really good. But that just improved our vision. It didn't allow me to know anything about the zeros

00:17:36.460 and ones that were underneath it. I could just see the user interface better. And so my prediction was

00:17:42.520 that we were trapped in improving the user interface, but we weren't learning anything about

00:17:50.340 the nature of reality, and that we would figure that out. Donald Hoffman's book called

00:17:57.580 Did I write it down? It's called... Oh, damn it. Did I really not write that down? 0.99

00:18:09.400 I actually looked it up to write it down and then didn't do it. So somebody in the comments,

00:18:14.020 you know what I'm talking about. Oh, the case against reality. There it is. The case against reality.

00:18:19.500 So he also says that space-time as a way of understanding things is dead. Do you know who

00:18:32.400 is space-time? You know, sort of the father of space-time? That was Einstein, right? So Hoffman

00:18:39.240 is saying, he said in the Lex Friedman interview, and I guess he probably says this in his book,

00:18:43.900 that just as Einstein supplanted... What's his name? Newton. Yeah. Just as Newton's ideas were replaced

00:19:00.000 by Einstein's, because Newton's ideas only work in a certain range of situations, but Einstein's worked

00:19:07.200 in a greater range of situations. So it sort of replaced it. And what Hoffman claims is that this...

00:19:16.040 And I think he's presenting it as not just his opinion, but that the physicists themselves would agree

00:19:22.000 with it. Sort of a... That the mainstream is coming around to the idea that space-time doesn't exist.

00:19:29.740 That space-time is just another interface. All we did was get down to another user interface.

00:19:35.800 We're not anywhere close to reality. And everything we knew about particles and just basically

00:19:44.840 everything we know about science is probably just a user interface, and we're not even close

00:19:49.020 to understanding what's under it. Now, here's the thing, is that Hoffman says that scientists now

00:19:54.500 believe that, and that they've done enough math and science to demonstrate that they know it's not

00:20:00.100 real. They haven't yet figured out what is. Now, here's what I said in the same book, that the assumptions

00:20:07.520 that were going to come under challenge were the following. Time goes forward, objects move,

00:20:16.160 gravity exists, and that cause and effect require some kind of physical contact. 0.99

00:20:21.960 That's basically an idiot's description of space-time. So I actually predicted that Einstein's theory 0.93

00:20:33.140 that involves space-time would be overturned in your lifetime. And it was. So, I'm going to make a claim

00:20:43.500 that you should reject on its surface, except that I'm pretty sure it's true. 1.00

00:20:51.180 But you should object because it's so distasteful.

00:20:55.340 Here's my claim.

00:20:58.540 That 23 years ago, I publicly predicted

00:21:01.620 that both Darwin and Einstein

00:21:05.460 would be shown to be wrong, specifically because

00:21:09.580 they would be shown to be working at

00:21:11.700 a user interface level

00:21:13.280 and not telling you what reality was.

00:21:16.440 And that once we understood that,

00:21:17.940 we could go deeper below the user interface

00:21:20.700 and maybe,

00:21:21.680 and we haven't done it yet,

00:21:23.060 figure out what's going on under there.

00:21:25.940 And both of those things happened.

00:21:28.460 So one of these predictions

00:21:29.860 literally ruined my career.

00:21:31.880 Yeah, I mean, I did fine.

00:21:33.360 But it could have been ten times bigger, I suppose.

00:21:35.740 You got quiet, didn't you?

00:21:43.860 All right, let's talk about some three ways.

00:21:48.180 There are three ways to adjust your user interface.

00:21:51.040 Let's say that everything you see

00:21:52.320 is really just an icon

00:21:54.300 or a representation of reality

00:21:56.220 and you really don't know what's going on down there.

00:22:00.240 How can you know what's going on?

00:22:03.680 There are three ways.

00:22:04.360 If you don't follow the news,

00:22:06.960 you don't know what's going on.

00:22:08.820 Wouldn't you agree?

00:22:09.600 If you don't follow the news,

00:22:10.920 or some in any way,

00:22:13.240 whether it's through Twitter or anything else.

00:22:15.220 But if you don't follow it,

00:22:17.160 then you don't know what's going on.

00:22:18.340 I think you'd agree with that.

00:22:20.000 If you do follow the news,

00:22:22.100 you have been grotesquely misled

00:22:24.060 about what is going on.

00:22:26.620 Now, you might think that's only other people,

00:22:30.680 but it's not.

00:22:32.320 There's a very small chance

00:22:37.740 that only the people who disagree with you

00:22:40.440 have been misled about what the reality is.

00:22:43.000 It's very small.

00:22:44.080 Maybe.

00:22:44.640 I mean, maybe.

00:22:45.920 Maybe you're the one who got all the right answers.

00:22:48.520 You can't rule it out, right?

00:22:50.700 You can't rule it out.

00:22:52.260 But think about it.

00:22:53.180 Is it more likely

00:22:54.940 that only the other people get brainwashed

00:22:59.200 and you don't?

00:23:01.600 Wow, everybody else looks brainwashed.

00:23:03.660 It's lucky that hasn't affected me.

00:23:06.420 Oh, okay.

00:23:07.220 Maybe.

00:23:08.300 Maybe you're EO.

00:23:09.480 You're Neo.

00:23:11.280 Maybe you've escaped the matrix.

00:23:13.020 It's possible.

00:23:14.080 But probably not.

00:23:15.380 Probably watching the news

00:23:17.120 just makes you more grotesquely misled.

00:23:20.420 So not watching the news doesn't work.

00:23:24.340 Watching the news...

00:23:25.340 But if you watch the news,

00:23:26.380 it makes it worse.

00:23:28.080 Well, how about doing your own research?

00:23:30.600 A lot of you are big fans of that.

00:23:32.280 And if you do that,

00:23:33.060 you'll experience confirmation bias

00:23:34.640 and an illusion of understanding.

00:23:36.280 So I picked...

00:23:37.980 I did a survey,

00:23:39.800 a scientific survey on the Internet,

00:23:41.280 and I said,

00:23:41.800 which way do you understand reality?

00:23:43.380 25% said they ignore the news,

00:23:46.540 and that's the way they deal with reality.

00:23:50.300 So 25%.

00:23:51.340 That's exactly a quarter.

00:23:54.220 It's 25%.

00:23:55.520 Interesting.

00:23:58.520 9% follow the news

00:24:00.320 to get their understanding of reality.

00:24:02.540 I mean, only follow the news.

00:24:04.060 Whereas the largest group,

00:24:05.520 they do their own research.

00:24:07.900 66%.

00:24:08.580 So the largest group

00:24:11.420 uses their own research

00:24:14.080 to create a bubble of confirmation bias,

00:24:17.100 which they call reality.

00:24:19.420 So there's three ways to understand reality.

00:24:23.280 Pick one.

00:24:27.600 Joel Pollack wrote in Breitbart,

00:24:30.800 I think it was today or yesterday,

00:24:32.540 did you see the story?

00:24:34.420 There's this attorney,

00:24:36.580 Ken Klukowski,

00:24:38.580 who did hours of testimony

00:24:41.300 to the January 6th committee.

00:24:43.640 It was, you know,

00:24:44.420 videoed and recorded.

00:24:46.420 So there's no question

00:24:47.440 about what he said,

00:24:49.520 because I think he was probably,

00:24:51.380 I don't know, under oath,

00:24:52.420 but it was at least on video.

00:24:54.140 So there's no way

00:24:55.460 to misunderstand what he said.

00:24:59.580 Hours of direct testimony

00:25:01.300 right to the camera.

00:25:02.420 And the January 6th committee

00:25:05.680 literally just made up

00:25:07.420 a bunch of stuff

00:25:08.220 and said that his opinions

00:25:09.840 were the opposite

00:25:10.640 of what he said

00:25:11.660 and that he was,

00:25:13.640 basically they painted him

00:25:14.840 as one of the people

00:25:15.580 who thought

00:25:16.160 that the election

00:25:17.520 could be delayed

00:25:18.680 or, you know,

00:25:19.640 you could have

00:25:20.140 an alternate slate

00:25:21.500 of electors.

00:25:23.280 He said clearly

00:25:24.360 and many times,

00:25:25.720 including on video,

00:25:28.000 nope,

00:25:28.660 nope,

00:25:29.060 never thought that.

00:25:30.280 Now my reading

00:25:30.960 of the Constitution

00:25:31.700 is you can't do anything

00:25:32.780 like that.

00:25:33.340 The vice president

00:25:34.380 doesn't have those rights.

00:25:35.460 Nope.

00:25:36.500 Was never on board 1.00

00:25:38.080 for a fucking second. 1.00

00:25:41.200 Not a fucking second 1.00

00:25:42.780 was he on board 0.99

00:25:43.800 with any of it.

00:25:44.880 He did his job

00:25:45.680 when he was asked

00:25:46.260 to write some memo

00:25:47.160 from his boss.

00:25:48.680 Right.

00:25:49.460 But that's different.

00:25:50.560 When asked his opinion,

00:25:52.380 he said,

00:25:53.000 nope,

00:25:53.580 nope,

00:25:54.700 this isn't right.

00:25:55.960 And then they presented

00:25:57.680 in public,

00:25:59.420 in public,

00:26:00.240 they painted this guy

00:26:01.260 as being basically

00:26:02.880 a primary insurrectionist planner

00:26:05.920 when all the evidence

00:26:08.460 that they had collected

00:26:09.700 said the opposite.

00:26:11.700 That their own evidence

00:26:13.220 said the opposite.

00:26:15.820 Now,

00:26:16.580 of course he's complaining,

00:26:20.320 but what do you even say

00:26:22.940 about a story like that?

00:26:25.820 I mean,

00:26:26.080 it's hard to add

00:26:27.120 any kind of like

00:26:28.000 punditry to it,

00:26:29.220 right?

00:26:29.780 It's just like

00:26:30.540 watching a car wreck

00:26:31.620 where you just look at it

00:26:33.120 and you go,

00:26:34.140 glub,

00:26:36.280 glub.

00:26:38.120 Is this really happening?

00:26:39.980 Like,

00:26:40.180 do you actually live

00:26:41.100 in a country

00:26:41.720 where your elected leaders,

00:26:45.360 your most respected leaders

00:26:47.460 on one side

00:26:48.580 of the party in power,

00:26:51.680 most respected leaders

00:26:53.000 on one side,

00:26:53.820 literally,

00:26:54.180 just made up a bunch

00:26:56.000 of facts,

00:26:57.120 the opposite of the facts

00:26:58.520 they knew,

00:26:59.400 and painted this guy

00:27:00.360 as a monster.

00:27:01.740 You know,

00:27:01.960 it's almost like

00:27:02.500 they're hunting Republicans.

00:27:03.980 I don't know.

00:27:05.840 Somebody who's really good

00:27:06.980 at making predictions

00:27:08.020 might have predicted that.

00:27:13.220 New York Times

00:27:14.340 is reporting about

00:27:16.420 China's surveillance

00:27:17.560 and AI stuff.

00:27:18.580 and apparently

00:27:19.940 they've got to the point

00:27:21.140 where they think

00:27:21.640 they can sort of

00:27:22.440 detect in advance

00:27:24.440 a crime.

00:27:27.000 You know,

00:27:27.540 they can find somebody

00:27:28.620 who maybe looks like

00:27:30.580 they're probably

00:27:31.280 doing a crime

00:27:32.300 by where they're going

00:27:33.900 back and forth

00:27:34.700 or what phone numbers

00:27:36.360 they call

00:27:37.100 or,

00:27:37.760 you know,

00:27:37.920 I guess they've got

00:27:38.840 a variety of ways.

00:27:40.280 If you know enough

00:27:41.060 about people,

00:27:42.140 you can determine

00:27:43.220 patterns that would

00:27:44.640 make them look like

00:27:45.480 they're either getting ready

00:27:46.460 for a crime

00:27:47.160 or maybe they're involved

00:27:48.800 in a crime

00:27:49.460 that nobody's reported yet,

00:27:51.780 you know,

00:27:52.160 because if it's drug dealing

00:27:53.320 nobody's reported it,

00:27:54.880 but maybe you could detect it

00:27:56.140 just by the traffic patterns.

00:27:58.900 So,

00:27:59.580 for example,

00:28:00.880 a drug user,

00:28:02.460 if he makes too many calls

00:28:03.860 to the same number,

00:28:06.100 that was one of the examples.

00:28:07.700 I mean,

00:28:07.960 that's a weak example,

00:28:09.240 but anyway.

00:28:12.160 And if a person

00:28:13.220 with a history

00:28:14.120 of mental illness

00:28:14.920 gets near a school,

00:28:16.460 so if you have security

00:28:19.180 at the school,

00:28:20.080 they would get an alert,

00:28:21.160 oh,

00:28:21.360 there's somebody

00:28:22.580 with probably

00:28:23.380 a specific kind

00:28:24.400 of mental illness

00:28:25.360 who's,

00:28:26.620 you know,

00:28:26.860 within a half mile

00:28:27.580 of the school,

00:28:28.280 so,

00:28:28.960 you know,

00:28:29.400 be alert.

00:28:31.880 Now,

00:28:32.360 if we have that system

00:28:33.560 to detect

00:28:36.240 mass shooters,

00:28:39.220 would you be happy

00:28:40.520 with it?

00:28:40.940 Suppose it only did that.

00:28:42.800 First of all,

00:28:43.280 do you think

00:28:43.600 it could do it?

00:28:44.660 Do you think

00:28:45.120 that an AI

00:28:45.920 could detect

00:28:46.880 a school shooter

00:28:48.000 in advance?

00:28:49.680 I say yes.

00:28:51.580 Yes.

00:28:52.820 I don't even think

00:28:53.640 it would be necessarily

00:28:54.580 a high level

00:28:55.200 of difficulty.

00:28:56.400 Now,

00:28:56.800 you might get too many,

00:28:58.480 but there's no chance

00:28:59.980 you wouldn't get them.

00:29:01.600 You'd get too many.

00:29:02.660 That's the problem.

00:29:03.600 Like,

00:29:03.820 you'd get the people

00:29:04.440 who are sort of LARPing

00:29:06.300 and,

00:29:06.620 you know,

00:29:07.660 pretending they were

00:29:08.460 thinking about it.

00:29:09.180 You'd get all them.

00:29:10.000 So that's the problem.

00:29:11.060 But I think

00:29:11.500 you'd definitely get

00:29:12.300 the ones who were

00:29:12.820 really going to do it

00:29:13.740 because they always

00:29:15.900 seem to leave

00:29:16.540 such an obvious trail

00:29:17.700 of I'm going to do

00:29:19.140 this thing

00:29:19.620 before they do it.

00:29:22.660 So,

00:29:23.360 yeah,

00:29:23.540 I think it could be done,

00:29:24.580 which is completely

00:29:25.380 different from

00:29:26.040 should you do it.

00:29:27.800 And

00:29:28.160 here's a,

00:29:32.280 yeah,

00:29:32.660 I'm not going to say that.

00:29:33.620 There's some things

00:29:34.340 I told the people

00:29:35.880 and locals

00:29:36.420 that I just can't tell you

00:29:38.040 here

00:29:38.300 in the main public.

00:29:40.300 Why?

00:29:41.080 Because the locals,

00:29:41.980 people pay a subscription

00:29:43.800 to get extra stuff.

00:29:47.700 But that's not why.

00:29:49.640 It's the fact

00:29:50.380 that they pay for it

00:29:51.580 that makes me trust

00:29:54.180 they don't want

00:29:54.680 to ruin the model.

00:29:56.280 So I tell them things

00:29:57.540 and say,

00:29:58.060 don't tell anybody else.

00:29:59.380 They actually don't.

00:30:01.960 Because they're paying

00:30:03.020 for a model

00:30:04.900 that they don't want

00:30:05.480 to break.

00:30:06.120 I mean,

00:30:06.440 if you're paying for it,

00:30:07.620 why would you break it?

00:30:09.060 It wouldn't make sense.

00:30:09.860 So it's this weird

00:30:10.820 little situation

00:30:11.460 where they actually

00:30:12.340 sort of,

00:30:13.940 sort of keep a secret.

00:30:16.080 It's weird.

00:30:17.840 You wouldn't think

00:30:18.540 it's possible.

00:30:22.160 So I retweeted AOC.

00:30:25.580 I'm not so sure,

00:30:27.200 you should not interpret,

00:30:28.720 when I retweet AOC,

00:30:30.660 it's not so that

00:30:31.640 you assume that I agreed

00:30:33.240 with what she said.

00:30:34.700 Right?

00:30:34.860 It has more to do with

00:30:37.260 it's interesting.

00:30:39.380 And she tweets that,

00:30:40.920 I love the way she puts it.

00:30:42.800 Of course,

00:30:43.220 that's the reason

00:30:43.880 I like her most of all

00:30:44.980 is that she communicates

00:30:46.380 in such a provocative way.

00:30:48.540 And I always like

00:30:49.580 anybody who does that.

00:30:51.180 So she tweeted,

00:30:52.920 just a few months ago,

00:30:54.140 I literally had to explain

00:30:55.840 to Republican members

00:30:56.980 of Congress

00:30:57.620 how periods work.

00:31:00.180 Their complete

00:31:00.800 and utter incompetence 1.00

00:31:01.940 is now killing women 1.00

00:31:03.000 and pregnant people, 1.00

00:31:04.200 gotta throw in the pregnant people, 1.00

00:31:05.880 across the U.S.

00:31:06.840 There remains no legitimate

00:31:08.440 grounding or basis

00:31:09.400 to force birth

00:31:11.620 in the United States.

00:31:13.340 Now,

00:31:13.980 the example was,

00:31:16.100 I think she had to explain

00:31:17.380 to them

00:31:17.800 that six weeks

00:31:18.600 wasn't enough

00:31:19.380 because

00:31:20.740 if you've missed

00:31:22.440 your period

00:31:22.960 by only two weeks,

00:31:24.360 there could be

00:31:24.880 so many other reasons

00:31:25.880 for it

00:31:26.300 that you wouldn't

00:31:27.180 necessarily say,

00:31:28.440 oh,

00:31:28.860 I better get an abortion

00:31:30.040 while it's still legal.

00:31:31.780 What do you think of that?

00:31:33.680 Now,

00:31:34.100 again,

00:31:35.260 if anybody's new to me,

00:31:37.560 I'm not giving you

00:31:38.420 my opinions on abortion

00:31:39.640 because 1.00

00:31:40.200 I have a penis. 1.00

00:31:43.980 I don't think 1.00

00:31:44.860 that I add any credibility

00:31:46.080 to the conversation

00:31:47.260 and I'm not gonna have

00:31:48.600 a baby.

00:31:50.020 So therefore,

00:31:50.740 my opinion,

00:31:51.860 I would hope,

00:31:52.960 would have no value

00:31:53.960 to any of you.

00:31:54.820 That should be your opinion

00:31:55.900 of my opinion.

00:31:56.920 It should have no value

00:31:57.900 just as

00:31:59.160 I would not want

00:31:59.940 your opinion

00:32:00.480 if it were about

00:32:01.920 a male-only perspective

00:32:03.600 if you were not a male.

00:32:06.120 If it were a male-only question,

00:32:07.980 I would only want

00:32:08.800 to hear from them.

00:32:10.560 If it's a female-only 0.85

00:32:11.980 or birthing people,

00:32:13.160 if you'd like to,

00:32:14.040 you want to throw that in there?

00:32:16.260 That's,

00:32:17.020 I say,

00:32:17.640 let them figure it out.

00:32:19.340 Now,

00:32:19.640 I get

00:32:20.080 that for many of you

00:32:22.040 it's murder

00:32:22.540 and that's not

00:32:23.780 for other people

00:32:24.500 to work out,

00:32:25.260 right?

00:32:25.520 You're like,

00:32:26.000 wait,

00:32:27.040 if I think it's murder

00:32:28.200 in my opinion,

00:32:30.340 my honest opinion,

00:32:31.860 shouldn't I get involved

00:32:32.920 with that?

00:32:34.020 And the answer is,

00:32:35.560 not if it's already handled.

00:32:38.380 Not if it's already handled.

00:32:40.580 Do you think women 0.99

00:32:41.520 can't figure it out?

00:32:44.120 I feel like they,

00:32:45.220 I feel like they have this,

00:32:46.700 right?

00:32:46.960 No matter what your opinion is,

00:32:49.000 you know,

00:32:49.240 whatever sexist opinion

00:32:50.380 you have of women

00:32:51.420 and decision-making,

00:32:52.960 because I'm sure some of you

00:32:53.820 are operating on that level,

00:32:56.480 still,

00:32:57.460 don't you want the people

00:32:58.400 who are closest to the thing

00:33:00.040 making the decisions?

00:33:01.820 And why would you think

00:33:02.580 women would make 1.00

00:33:03.300 the wrong decision?

00:33:05.860 And there's no reason

00:33:06.560 to believe that.

00:33:08.120 So,

00:33:09.380 that's why I stand it.

00:33:11.000 Anyway,

00:33:12.040 but I like AOC's point.

00:33:14.720 Is it wrong?

00:33:15.560 Let me ask just from

00:33:18.000 a scientific,

00:33:19.140 biological question,

00:33:20.380 because I'm not going to

00:33:21.660 claim any expertise

00:33:22.800 in this area.

00:33:24.300 So,

00:33:24.760 definitely she knows

00:33:26.120 more than I do

00:33:26.760 on this.

00:33:28.220 So,

00:33:28.640 would it be true

00:33:29.740 that you wouldn't

00:33:30.920 necessarily know

00:33:31.720 you were pregnant 0.80

00:33:32.300 by the time

00:33:33.020 the deadline passed?

00:33:34.360 Is that true?

00:33:36.120 Do you think six weeks

00:33:37.200 is too short

00:33:38.000 to be sure?

00:33:41.040 And would that be

00:33:42.020 a good point?

00:33:43.700 Now,

00:33:43.900 I know many of you

00:33:44.640 are absolutists,

00:33:45.560 you know,

00:33:45.880 it's a point of conception.

00:33:47.520 But if you are not

00:33:48.320 an absolutist,

00:33:50.080 isn't that a good

00:33:51.960 counterpoint?

00:33:54.280 Again,

00:33:54.800 this is not my opinion.

00:33:55.960 I'm asking you

00:33:56.660 of your opinion.

00:33:57.280 I'm not giving you mine.

00:33:58.660 I'm asking you.

00:34:00.000 I don't know.

00:34:01.720 So,

00:34:02.160 I'm seeing a lot of yes.

00:34:04.300 So,

00:34:04.840 why is it

00:34:05.500 we can't even agree

00:34:06.240 on something like that?

00:34:07.940 Because if the state

00:34:08.720 of Texas

00:34:09.240 intends

00:34:10.220 to make

00:34:12.000 some kind

00:34:12.980 of legal period,

00:34:15.100 and maybe now

00:34:15.900 that's old news

00:34:16.880 so they don't have

00:34:17.420 to do that.

00:34:18.200 But if somebody

00:34:18.760 intended

00:34:19.280 to have a legal

00:34:20.700 but short,

00:34:21.600 you know,

00:34:22.480 window,

00:34:23.700 shouldn't it

00:34:24.220 at least be one

00:34:24.880 that makes sense?

00:34:25.540 It's a good question.

00:34:31.000 If you're an 0.51

00:34:31.400 absolutist,

00:34:32.600 never mind.

00:34:42.820 So,

00:34:43.160 here's a question

00:34:45.480 I asked.

00:34:46.200 If you were 1.00

00:34:47.580 raped and impregnated, 0.99

00:34:49.820 you personally, 0.97

00:34:51.780 and you had

00:34:52.800 the options

00:34:53.600 without legal consequence,

00:34:55.540 so I'm going

00:34:55.880 to give you

00:34:56.200 three options,

00:34:57.360 and you have

00:34:57.780 to imagine

00:34:58.520 that you could

00:34:59.520 never be

00:35:00.120 legally prosecuted.

00:35:01.780 In the real world,

00:35:02.620 you could,

00:35:03.600 but imagine

00:35:04.140 you couldn't.

00:35:05.260 Imagine you could

00:35:06.020 be free

00:35:06.420 of all risk.

00:35:08.460 You had been 0.98

00:35:09.040 raped and you 1.00

00:35:09.680 had been impregnated. 1.00

00:35:10.760 Who would you kill? 0.97

00:35:12.520 And I gave 0.98

00:35:13.020 the following options. 0.84

00:35:14.240 The rapist only, 0.94

00:35:16.440 the baby 1.00

00:35:17.200 slash fetus, 0.60

00:35:18.140 whatever you'd 0.97

00:35:18.720 like to label it,

00:35:19.800 only.

00:35:20.840 Both of them, 1.00

00:35:21.780 the rapist 0.99

00:35:22.260 and the fetus 1.00

00:35:23.260 slash baby, 0.74

00:35:24.280 or neither.

00:35:25.540 And here were

00:35:27.020 the results

00:35:27.560 for my followers

00:35:29.040 who chose

00:35:29.660 to answer,

00:35:30.540 so not scientific.

00:35:32.760 44% would want

00:35:34.420 to kill 0.99

00:35:34.820 the rapist only, 1.00

00:35:35.900 again,

00:35:36.320 if there were

00:35:36.800 no legal risks

00:35:37.780 of doing so.

00:35:40.360 Only 3%

00:35:41.520 would want

00:35:42.160 to kill 1.00

00:35:42.480 the fetus 1.00

00:35:43.420 or the baby

00:35:43.960 only,

00:35:45.400 but 29%

00:35:46.540 would kill 0.99

00:35:47.060 both the rapist 1.00

00:35:48.600 and whatever

00:35:49.840 the rapist

00:35:50.480 had issued 0.98

00:35:51.300 into their bodies.

00:35:53.800 And 23%

00:35:55.540 would say

00:35:56.020 neither.

00:35:57.680 23%.

00:35:58.280 23%.

00:35:59.920 Anyway,

00:36:00.680 and how about you,

00:36:05.400 my live stream audience? 0.99

00:36:07.700 Who would you kill? 0.99

00:36:09.380 Rapist only? 1.00

00:36:11.000 The fetus

00:36:11.660 slash baby only?

00:36:13.180 Both of them

00:36:14.160 or neither.

00:36:16.980 I see some

00:36:17.920 neither's.

00:36:19.660 Neither's.

00:36:21.580 Neither's. 0.97

00:36:22.760 The rapist. 0.96

00:36:24.320 Rapist only. 0.98

00:36:25.760 So the pro-life

00:36:26.640 people are being,

00:36:29.940 okay,

00:36:30.680 some of you

00:36:31.080 are both.

00:36:32.440 All right,

00:36:32.660 so we've got some,

00:36:34.500 a lot of boths.

00:36:35.440 Oh, you know,

00:36:35.840 there's quite a difference

00:36:36.600 here, actually.

00:36:37.600 Yeah,

00:36:37.800 and now I'm seeing

00:36:38.320 a lot of both.

00:36:39.800 Both and neither.

00:36:40.960 Interesting.

00:36:42.440 This is the sort of reason

00:36:45.320 that I don't weigh in

00:36:46.980 on abortion.

00:36:49.300 Because I know

00:36:50.100 that my,

00:36:50.840 what I would decide

00:36:51.960 personally

00:36:52.640 shouldn't be relevant

00:36:55.780 because I would have

00:36:56.900 to do it

00:36:57.320 in the hypothetical.

00:36:59.220 So the only kind

00:37:00.420 of decision

00:37:01.200 I can make

00:37:01.740 is hypothetical ones.

00:37:02.820 Let's see.

00:37:03.600 If hypothetically,

00:37:05.480 in the imaginary world,

00:37:07.180 I were a woman

00:37:07.900 and then this happened

00:37:08.960 to me,

00:37:09.580 what would I do?

00:37:11.180 So having opinions

00:37:13.780 about my hypothetical

00:37:14.920 non-existent future

00:37:16.600 isn't useful to you.

00:37:18.080 But would you like

00:37:20.500 to know what I would do?

00:37:24.440 Anybody care?

00:37:26.880 You shouldn't care

00:37:27.960 because it shouldn't

00:37:29.000 affect you in any way.

00:37:31.360 All right.

00:37:31.860 I'll just tell you

00:37:32.480 what I would do. 1.00

00:37:33.360 I would kill them both. 1.00

00:37:35.960 And I don't think 1.00

00:37:36.800 it has anything to do

00:37:37.580 with my opinion

00:37:38.320 of abortion.

00:37:38.980 Let me be clear

00:37:40.600 about that.

00:37:43.140 Independent of any opinion

00:37:44.500 I would ever hold

00:37:45.260 about abortion,

00:37:46.520 in that narrow case,

00:37:48.440 if I were a woman 0.97

00:37:49.260 who had been raped 1.00

00:37:51.040 and impregnated, 1.00

00:37:51.920 I would kill both of them. 1.00

00:37:53.140 If I could, 1.00

00:37:53.920 without legal consequence.

00:37:55.540 But that's just me.

00:37:56.760 Now,

00:37:57.700 isn't that a good reason

00:37:58.700 I should not be involved

00:37:59.820 in this decision?

00:38:02.460 Shameful.

00:38:03.120 Exactly.

00:38:04.260 Andy.

00:38:05.420 Thank you.

00:38:06.620 Shameful.

00:38:08.800 By the way,

00:38:09.520 I'm not defending it.

00:38:11.840 If it sounded like

00:38:13.040 I was defending it

00:38:13.960 or recommending it,

00:38:15.140 no.

00:38:16.100 My God. 0.99

00:38:17.600 Killing people 0.95

00:38:18.280 is the worst thing 1.00

00:38:19.860 you can do.

00:38:21.480 Do we all agree on that?

00:38:23.300 I'm saying that

00:38:24.200 I would do

00:38:25.500 like the most horrible thing.

00:38:27.740 But I'm not defending it.

00:38:29.540 I'm not saying

00:38:30.060 you should.

00:38:30.860 And I'm not saying

00:38:31.420 I would be a good person

00:38:32.380 if I did it.

00:38:33.540 God, no. 0.54

00:38:35.300 No, I would be a monster. 0.91

00:38:37.280 I would be a monster 0.92

00:38:38.460 just like the person 1.00

00:38:39.400 who had raped 0.99

00:38:41.100 and impregnated me. 0.99

00:38:42.820 But,

00:38:43.500 I'm just telling you

00:38:45.320 that I would turn 0.96

00:38:46.020 into a monster. 0.90

00:38:47.800 I would.

00:38:49.040 Under those situations,

00:38:50.180 I know myself well enough

00:38:51.340 that I would just snap. 0.93

00:38:52.780 I would frickin' snap. 0.96

00:38:54.860 And I would, 0.89

00:38:55.600 I'd be willing 0.99

00:38:56.200 to kill anything, 0.99

00:38:57.300 probably.

00:38:58.200 So I'm just talking

00:38:59.160 about myself.

00:39:00.340 And, you know,

00:39:01.380 should my opinion

00:39:02.120 have any influence

00:39:02.920 on you?

00:39:03.300 I hope not.

00:39:04.280 My God.

00:39:05.400 I don't want you

00:39:06.000 to turn into monsters

00:39:06.880 like me. 0.50

00:39:09.440 Well,

00:39:09.980 the,

00:39:10.200 morning Joe,

00:39:12.340 Joe says that

00:39:13.540 the opinion written

00:39:14.540 on the

00:39:15.360 Roe v. Wade,

00:39:17.040 that the court

00:39:17.900 wrote it

00:39:18.360 in an aggressive tone,

00:39:20.120 and he said,

00:39:20.980 quote,

00:39:21.560 there's a violence

00:39:22.320 to the reasoning.

00:39:24.000 There's a violence

00:39:25.060 to the reasoning.

00:39:26.160 So the words

00:39:28.160 have a violence

00:39:28.980 to them.

00:39:30.340 Now,

00:39:30.900 I don't want

00:39:32.100 to be an alarmist,

00:39:33.000 but doesn't that

00:39:33.620 sound like

00:39:34.220 somebody softening

00:39:36.220 up the room

00:39:37.040 to rationalize

00:39:38.760 physical violence

00:39:39.820 as a response?

00:39:40.720 violence.

00:39:41.520 I feel as if

00:39:42.880 that's setting

00:39:46.060 the tone

00:39:46.700 to make

00:39:48.080 physical violence

00:39:49.240 a reasonable

00:39:50.900 response to

00:39:51.760 all this word

00:39:52.620 violence.

00:39:54.060 You know,

00:39:54.260 violence to violence,

00:39:55.900 fire,

00:39:56.260 fight,

00:39:56.500 fire.

00:39:57.400 Now,

00:39:57.700 I'm not going

00:39:58.600 to say that

00:39:59.020 that was his

00:39:59.600 intention,

00:40:00.620 right?

00:40:00.800 That would be

00:40:01.240 mind reading,

00:40:02.060 that would be

00:40:02.400 crazy.

00:40:03.500 But I feel

00:40:04.940 it's maybe

00:40:05.500 the outcome.

00:40:07.200 So I would

00:40:08.100 say it's

00:40:08.440 careless.

00:40:09.780 At the very

00:40:10.320 least,

00:40:10.900 it's careless.

00:40:11.860 It's a careless

00:40:12.480 way to frame

00:40:14.040 it.

00:40:14.600 I think he

00:40:15.000 should correct

00:40:15.460 that,

00:40:15.760 actually.

00:40:16.600 And if he

00:40:17.200 did,

00:40:17.440 by the way,

00:40:17.900 I'd say

00:40:18.420 A+.

00:40:19.340 Because that's

00:40:21.600 exactly the

00:40:22.320 sort of thing

00:40:22.800 you'd love to

00:40:23.480 see somebody

00:40:23.980 say.

00:40:24.600 You know,

00:40:24.960 I was just

00:40:26.240 talking off

00:40:27.460 the top of

00:40:27.860 my head.

00:40:28.820 I said there's

00:40:29.600 a violence

00:40:30.120 to the reasoning.

00:40:30.980 I didn't mean

00:40:31.320 to imply

00:40:31.860 A+.

00:40:32.400 You know,

00:40:32.760 any correlation

00:40:34.280 with actual

00:40:35.040 violence.

00:40:35.920 So,

00:40:36.300 you know,

00:40:36.520 don't take

00:40:36.900 it to

00:40:37.140 violence.

00:40:37.980 Now,

00:40:38.260 if he were

00:40:38.500 to say

00:40:38.760 that,

00:40:39.060 I'd say,

00:40:39.360 oh,

00:40:39.860 clarification

00:40:40.320 accepted.

00:40:41.680 That's

00:40:42.020 exactly what

00:40:42.700 I hoped

00:40:43.040 he would

00:40:43.300 say.

00:40:44.780 You know,

00:40:45.320 A+.

00:40:45.820 But I

00:40:47.160 don't know.

00:40:47.580 We'll see

00:40:47.820 what happens.

00:40:48.780 Do you

00:40:49.000 see the

00:40:49.300 weird story

00:40:49.840 about Rudy

00:40:50.360 Giuliani?

00:40:51.180 He was in

00:40:51.360 a grocery

00:40:51.740 store,

00:40:53.120 and he got

00:40:53.960 slapped on

00:40:54.560 the back

00:40:54.980 aggressively,

00:40:56.880 and it's

00:40:58.440 being,

00:40:58.940 you know,

00:40:59.540 considered an

00:41:00.480 attack,

00:41:01.280 an assault.

00:41:02.400 Now,

00:41:02.920 it was assault.

00:41:03.760 I saw the

00:41:04.160 video.

00:41:04.960 But the

00:41:05.620 video is,

00:41:07.700 it asks

00:41:09.240 an interesting

00:41:09.840 question.

00:41:10.840 Because the

00:41:11.420 fellow who,

00:41:12.760 quote,

00:41:12.860 hit him, 0.99

00:41:13.840 slapped him 0.99

00:41:14.360 on the 0.51

00:41:14.620 back.

00:41:15.540 And if you

00:41:16.180 watch the

00:41:16.580 video,

00:41:16.980 you don't

00:41:17.180 hear the

00:41:17.500 sound,

00:41:18.080 so maybe

00:41:18.420 there's a

00:41:18.700 little

00:41:18.800 missing in

00:41:19.360 terms of

00:41:19.700 how much

00:41:21.520 kinetic energy

00:41:22.380 there was.

00:41:23.180 But it

00:41:23.540 didn't look

00:41:23.920 like he was

00:41:24.520 cast forward.

00:41:25.660 It didn't

00:41:26.640 look like he

00:41:27.340 had to

00:41:28.420 wince or

00:41:29.160 anything.

00:41:29.760 It looked

00:41:30.120 like it

00:41:30.540 barely

00:41:31.320 affected him.

00:41:33.240 But it

00:41:33.800 must have

00:41:34.060 been a

00:41:34.300 hard enough

00:41:34.740 hit because

00:41:35.460 his assistant

00:41:36.140 immediately

00:41:36.580 reached up to

00:41:37.240 the point

00:41:37.520 where he was

00:41:37.880 hit and

00:41:38.220 like,

00:41:38.640 you know,

00:41:38.800 she and

00:41:39.380 sort of

00:41:40.540 making sure

00:41:41.500 he was

00:41:41.720 okay or

00:41:42.160 something.

00:41:43.440 But,

00:41:44.320 so I would

00:41:44.880 say,

00:41:45.300 unambiguously,

00:41:46.100 it was an

00:41:46.400 assault.

00:41:47.320 Do you know

00:41:47.660 why?

00:41:48.760 Because I'm

00:41:49.380 a public

00:41:49.760 figure.

00:41:50.200 If somebody

00:41:52.480 came up

00:41:53.000 and slapped 0.97

00:41:53.740 me hard 0.69

00:41:54.140 on the

00:41:54.420 back and

00:41:55.220 then he

00:41:56.760 followed up

00:41:57.240 with some

00:41:57.580 words that

00:41:58.140 made it

00:41:58.420 clear that

00:41:58.880 the hard

00:41:59.500 back slap 0.99

00:42:00.040 was exactly

00:42:00.660 what you

00:42:01.000 thought it

00:42:01.280 was,

00:42:01.900 that would

00:42:02.480 be an

00:42:02.720 assault.

00:42:04.300 I mean,

00:42:04.620 I would

00:42:04.860 consider a

00:42:06.420 response.

00:42:07.080 I mean,

00:42:07.280 I'd probably

00:42:07.660 avoid it,

00:42:08.300 but I'd

00:42:08.820 consider it.

00:42:09.820 I would

00:42:10.220 consider a

00:42:10.760 violent

00:42:11.000 response.

00:42:12.440 I just

00:42:12.840 probably

00:42:13.260 wouldn't do

00:42:13.800 it in

00:42:14.000 that case

00:42:14.460 because it

00:42:14.940 wouldn't be

00:42:15.220 worth it.

00:42:20.200 Democrats

00:42:20.520 have some

00:42:21.080 time-saving

00:42:21.600 tips,

00:42:22.600 and Maggie

00:42:23.140 Haberman

00:42:23.560 is a good

00:42:25.000 source for

00:42:25.460 those.

00:42:26.560 And sometimes

00:42:27.740 we get caught

00:42:29.000 up in all

00:42:29.540 the, you

00:42:30.040 know,

00:42:31.140 you're wrong,

00:42:32.440 I'm right,

00:42:33.120 and we get

00:42:33.660 into this

00:42:34.740 team kind

00:42:35.540 of conflict,

00:42:36.340 and we can

00:42:36.820 miss some

00:42:37.180 of the good

00:42:37.680 that comes

00:42:38.820 out of it.

00:42:39.460 Because often

00:42:40.040 there'll be

00:42:40.520 nuggets of

00:42:41.260 real value

00:42:41.940 that come

00:42:43.100 from the

00:42:43.400 other side,

00:42:43.900 and if

00:42:44.180 you're blind

00:42:45.000 to it because

00:42:45.500 you're in

00:42:46.140 your team

00:42:47.380 mode,

00:42:47.900 you're going

00:42:48.120 to miss

00:42:48.400 some good

00:42:48.820 stuff.

00:42:49.120 So Maggie

00:42:50.660 Haberman,

00:42:52.120 she tweeted

00:42:54.060 this,

00:42:54.980 she said

00:42:55.320 that officials

00:42:55.940 with security

00:42:56.640 clearances

00:42:57.140 were sending,

00:42:58.320 talking about

00:42:59.040 the Trump

00:43:00.360 administration

00:43:00.940 in the

00:43:01.340 closing days,

00:43:02.820 officials with

00:43:03.540 security

00:43:03.880 clearances

00:43:04.280 were sending

00:43:04.840 internet

00:43:05.240 conspiracy

00:43:05.920 theories to

00:43:07.100 senior officials

00:43:07.940 across the

00:43:08.500 government,

00:43:09.340 asking them

00:43:09.860 to investigate.

00:43:12.080 So I guess

00:43:12.880 during the

00:43:13.580 January 6

00:43:16.180 workup,

00:43:17.640 there were

00:43:18.100 a lot of

00:43:18.480 people sending

00:43:19.060 these conspiracy

00:43:20.060 theories to

00:43:21.820 people saying

00:43:22.800 that the

00:43:23.140 election was

00:43:23.740 rigged and

00:43:24.300 the other

00:43:24.640 satellites were

00:43:25.400 involved and

00:43:26.140 all kinds of

00:43:26.740 stuff, asking

00:43:28.700 them to

00:43:29.080 investigate.

00:43:30.380 And, you

00:43:31.580 know, this is

00:43:32.520 exactly the

00:43:34.020 kind of thing

00:43:34.440 that's helpful

00:43:34.860 because, now

00:43:35.620 this gives us

00:43:36.180 two time-saving

00:43:37.100 tips from

00:43:38.240 Democrats.

00:43:39.520 And if you

00:43:39.880 think about it,

00:43:41.040 think about how

00:43:42.060 much time this

00:43:42.980 saves, really.

00:43:45.320 Number one, you

00:43:46.640 can know an

00:43:47.160 election was

00:43:47.840 fair without

00:43:48.680 auditing it.

00:43:51.680 I didn't know

00:43:52.580 that until all

00:43:54.480 the Democrats

00:43:55.020 told me.

00:43:56.000 Now, if one

00:43:56.620 Democrat said

00:43:57.520 it, I'd say,

00:43:58.040 well, that's 1.00

00:43:58.400 like an idiot. 1.00

00:43:59.820 I mean, if you 1.00

00:44:00.200 don't audit it,

00:44:01.080 how could you

00:44:01.520 possibly know?

00:44:03.000 And then they

00:44:03.680 might say

00:44:04.000 something like,

00:44:04.500 well, we

00:44:04.820 audited part of

00:44:05.520 it, and I'd

00:44:05.900 say, you can't

00:44:07.140 really know if

00:44:07.760 you audited part

00:44:08.500 of it.

00:44:09.320 But, auditing

00:44:10.320 part of it

00:44:11.280 doesn't get

00:44:11.780 you all the

00:44:12.700 way, I mean,

00:44:13.780 to certainty.

00:44:15.380 But, Democrats

00:44:16.280 have taught us,

00:44:17.360 and they all

00:44:18.180 agree.

00:44:20.160 Correct me if

00:44:20.960 I'm wrong, I've

00:44:22.100 never found any

00:44:23.420 Democrat to

00:44:24.160 disagree with

00:44:24.780 the following

00:44:25.160 statement, that

00:44:26.820 you can know

00:44:27.860 an election was

00:44:28.620 fair without

00:44:29.100 fully auditing

00:44:29.940 it.

00:44:30.900 To my

00:44:31.540 understanding,

00:44:32.180 every Democrat

00:44:32.800 believes that.

00:44:34.240 And it's a

00:44:34.700 big time-saver,

00:44:35.800 because do you

00:44:36.160 know how much

00:44:36.580 time and energy

00:44:37.320 it would take

00:44:37.680 to audit an

00:44:38.880 election?

00:44:40.000 Do you have

00:44:40.300 any idea how

00:44:40.960 hard that is?

00:44:42.160 That's like a

00:44:42.700 lot of work, a

00:44:44.080 lot of money.

00:44:44.800 But, Democrats

00:44:45.400 tell us that you

00:44:46.260 don't need to,

00:44:47.260 because you can

00:44:47.780 know an election

00:44:48.420 was fair without

00:44:49.140 actually doing a

00:44:50.020 full audit.

00:44:51.340 Great time-saver.

00:44:52.980 But now, even

00:44:54.700 better, and

00:44:55.600 Maggie Hibberman is

00:44:56.680 giving this great

00:44:57.300 tip, the essence

00:44:58.880 of it is that

00:44:59.620 these Internet

00:45:00.200 conspiracy theories

00:45:01.460 could be known

00:45:03.400 to be conspiracy

00:45:04.620 theories without

00:45:06.120 investigating them.

00:45:08.060 So, that's the

00:45:08.820 second time-saver.

00:45:09.640 You can, you

00:45:11.480 can know which

00:45:12.660 theories are

00:45:13.300 true without

00:45:14.060 investigating them.

00:45:15.200 For example, the

00:45:15.920 Steele dossier.

00:45:18.240 I mean, it

00:45:19.040 sounded crazy,

00:45:20.160 right?

00:45:20.900 But you don't

00:45:21.580 have to

00:45:21.900 investigate it,

00:45:22.760 do you?

00:45:26.320 I mean, why

00:45:26.740 would you

00:45:27.020 investigate a

00:45:27.600 thing?

00:45:27.980 That's wasting

00:45:28.760 time.

00:45:29.780 So, these

00:45:30.600 wild Internet

00:45:32.520 conspiracies that

00:45:34.000 the Trump

00:45:34.500 senior officials were

00:45:36.600 looking into in

00:45:37.460 some cases, or

00:45:38.560 at least we're

00:45:39.000 interested in.

00:45:39.740 We don't know

00:45:40.120 how much work

00:45:40.700 they put into

00:45:41.180 it.

00:45:42.060 But, apparently,

00:45:44.080 they should not

00:45:44.700 have, because you

00:45:46.760 can know what

00:45:47.440 theories are true

00:45:48.160 without investigating

00:45:49.080 them.

00:45:49.860 So, you don't

00:45:50.520 have to do an

00:45:51.100 audit to know an

00:45:51.960 election is fair,

00:45:52.760 and you don't

00:45:53.300 have to investigate

00:45:54.120 something to know

00:45:55.780 that a theory is

00:45:56.700 either true or

00:45:57.380 false, because you

00:45:58.280 can know that just

00:46:00.120 because it's a

00:46:01.380 conspiracy theory.

00:46:02.220 Let me, and

00:46:04.560 furthermore, to

00:46:05.360 Maggie's point,

00:46:06.120 which I think is a

00:46:06.740 strong one, if

00:46:09.020 somebody says to

00:46:09.760 you, hey, I've

00:46:11.020 got this conspiracy

00:46:11.980 theory that the

00:46:14.000 election was

00:46:14.560 influenced by

00:46:15.440 aliens using our

00:46:16.640 satellites, do you

00:46:18.500 know how you can

00:46:19.080 tell that's not

00:46:19.780 real?

00:46:21.140 And what?

00:46:21.600 Watch, you're

00:46:22.040 going to be

00:46:22.340 diverted, and

00:46:23.040 you're going to

00:46:23.320 say, it's because

00:46:24.120 of the alien part,

00:46:25.120 right?

00:46:26.420 Nope.

00:46:27.580 Nope.

00:46:28.360 That's not how

00:46:29.180 you know it's

00:46:29.580 failing.

00:46:30.420 Because, you

00:46:30.980 know, maybe,

00:46:31.680 maybe they're

00:46:32.280 aliens, is it

00:46:33.480 because it's

00:46:34.340 technically unlikely

00:46:35.640 that aliens could 0.91

00:46:36.620 control the

00:46:37.160 satellite, and

00:46:37.780 there's no

00:46:38.140 mechanism from

00:46:38.940 that to control

00:46:39.720 the elections?

00:46:40.940 Nope.

00:46:41.960 That's not how

00:46:42.600 you know.

00:46:43.640 That's not how

00:46:44.460 you know it's a

00:46:44.960 conspiracy theory.

00:46:45.860 Do you know

00:46:46.160 how?

00:46:46.920 I just told you

00:46:47.760 it was a

00:46:48.100 conspiracy theory.

00:46:49.480 I said, if

00:46:49.920 somebody comes to

00:46:50.600 you with a

00:46:50.980 conspiracy theory

00:46:51.920 that says aliens

00:46:53.600 did this to

00:46:54.240 satellites, how do

00:46:55.740 you know if it's

00:46:56.380 a conspiracy theory?

00:46:57.440 Well, it's right

00:46:57.880 in the name.

00:46:58.760 It's right in the

00:46:59.280 name.

00:46:59.560 And I think

00:47:00.740 that's what

00:47:01.860 Maggie is teaching

00:47:02.640 us.

00:47:03.780 In her tweet, she

00:47:04.680 says officials with

00:47:06.480 security clearances

00:47:07.360 were sending

00:47:08.400 internet conspiracy

00:47:09.720 theories to

00:47:10.740 senior officials.

00:47:12.020 Well, if they're

00:47:12.800 conspiracy theories,

00:47:14.280 why would you look

00:47:16.300 into them?

00:47:17.320 Because they were

00:47:18.000 sending them

00:47:18.380 conspiracy theories.

00:47:20.160 Now, I know you

00:47:20.820 think maybe they

00:47:22.620 were sending them

00:47:23.180 just theories.

00:47:24.560 Is that what you're

00:47:25.400 thinking?

00:47:25.640 Or maybe it

00:47:26.900 was just

00:47:27.280 reports.

00:47:30.080 No.

00:47:31.040 No.

00:47:31.860 If they were just

00:47:32.600 reports, you would

00:47:33.560 look into them.

00:47:35.000 Wouldn't you?

00:47:36.180 If there was a

00:47:37.020 theory, and it was

00:47:38.500 important, you'd

00:47:39.080 probably look into

00:47:39.660 it.

00:47:40.080 But if somebody

00:47:40.620 sends you a

00:47:41.900 conspiracy theory,

00:47:43.820 you don't have to

00:47:45.020 look into that.

00:47:46.080 That'd be crazy.

00:47:47.280 That'd be crazy.

00:47:48.520 So that's something

00:47:49.600 you can learn from

00:47:50.300 Democrats.

00:47:50.720 All right.

00:47:54.700 Rasmussen says

00:47:55.660 voters trust the

00:47:57.860 U.S. Supreme

00:47:58.360 Court less than

00:47:59.400 they did two years

00:48:00.260 ago.

00:48:01.200 And they did that

00:48:02.700 survey before the

00:48:04.480 Roe v. Wade

00:48:05.180 decision.

00:48:06.540 So even before

00:48:07.340 Roe v. Wade, the

00:48:08.320 U.S. Supreme

00:48:08.780 Court was at its

00:48:09.860 lowest credibility,

00:48:11.120 I guess.

00:48:12.500 Or less, not the

00:48:13.520 lowest, but less

00:48:14.580 than they did two

00:48:15.160 years ago.

00:48:16.340 So 52% of likely

00:48:18.060 U.S. voters have

00:48:18.780 less trust in the

00:48:19.540 Supreme Court than

00:48:20.320 they had two years

00:48:20.920 ago.

00:48:22.340 And only 17% have

00:48:24.920 more trust.

00:48:27.600 While 29% say

00:48:29.200 their trust in the

00:48:29.800 Supreme Court has

00:48:30.760 not changed much in

00:48:31.760 the past two years.

00:48:33.940 Interesting.

00:48:35.980 All right.

00:48:36.720 So I'm watching

00:48:38.500 CNN doing its

00:48:40.100 tortured turn

00:48:42.860 toward the middle.

00:48:44.600 Now, in theory,

00:48:45.820 we've all heard that

00:48:46.960 the new head of

00:48:47.600 CNN wants them to

00:48:48.640 be less sensational

00:48:49.580 and more straight

00:48:51.180 down the middle

00:48:51.720 news.

00:48:52.860 And that would

00:48:53.680 be awkward

00:48:54.180 because wouldn't

00:48:56.400 you notice?

00:48:58.140 Wouldn't you notice

00:48:59.060 that they're saying

00:48:59.680 reasonable things

00:49:00.560 when they used to

00:49:01.660 not be reasonable?

00:49:02.860 So how do you go

00:49:04.580 from crazy stuff

00:49:06.140 to reasonable

00:49:07.960 stuff without it

00:49:09.220 being obvious to

00:49:10.180 the audience?

00:49:13.360 Well, maybe we're

00:49:14.280 seeing small little

00:49:15.640 signals.

00:49:16.180 For example,

00:49:18.220 this was the

00:49:18.800 headline on CNN

00:49:19.820 today on their

00:49:21.280 website.

00:49:22.460 Analysis,

00:49:23.540 colon,

00:49:24.560 tide turns in the

00:49:25.760 Ukraine war as

00:49:26.800 Russia makes progress

00:49:27.960 in the east.

00:49:29.780 The tide turns.

00:49:33.600 Doesn't that suggest

00:49:35.120 that the tide had

00:49:36.320 one time been in

00:49:37.480 favor of Ukraine?

00:49:39.140 Was the tide ever

00:49:40.320 in favor of Ukraine?

00:49:41.260 Because I think CNN

00:49:44.020 was sort of

00:49:44.700 suggesting that

00:49:46.100 Ukraine was 0.87

00:49:47.900 maybe getting

00:49:50.220 the best of

00:49:50.780 things.

00:49:52.000 But the tide

00:49:53.360 turns suggested

00:49:55.020 it was going

00:49:55.900 one way and

00:49:56.520 now it's going

00:49:56.940 the other way.

00:49:57.360 When was the

00:49:58.460 point that the

00:49:59.080 Ukrainians were 1.00

00:50:00.000 in charge of the

00:50:01.360 tide?

00:50:03.380 All I remember

00:50:04.600 is a slow

00:50:05.440 flooding from

00:50:07.080 Russia.

00:50:08.100 Has there ever

00:50:08.860 been a week

00:50:09.940 where Russia

00:50:10.880 didn't own

00:50:11.620 more at the

00:50:12.440 end of the

00:50:12.820 week since

00:50:14.480 the beginning

00:50:14.920 of the war?

00:50:17.360 Is there?

00:50:18.400 Now, there were

00:50:19.140 certainly attacks

00:50:19.920 that they abandoned

00:50:20.760 like Kiev,

00:50:21.900 but we don't

00:50:22.560 even know if

00:50:23.020 that was a

00:50:23.380 real attack.

00:50:24.540 That could 0.68

00:50:24.980 have been

00:50:25.340 just to keep

00:50:27.300 part of the

00:50:27.820 military nailed

00:50:29.140 down in that

00:50:29.680 part of the

00:50:30.000 country so they

00:50:30.680 could control

00:50:33.000 things in the

00:50:33.800 east.

00:50:35.120 Maybe.

00:50:35.540 Who knows?

00:50:35.900 But I

00:50:39.260 think when

00:50:39.620 you see

00:50:40.100 headlines like

00:50:41.080 the tide

00:50:41.580 has turned,

00:50:42.680 they're trying

00:50:43.160 to find a

00:50:43.740 way to make

00:50:44.440 sure that the

00:50:45.060 old story that

00:50:45.980 didn't really

00:50:46.840 track with

00:50:47.920 reality is

00:50:49.180 somehow connected

00:50:49.940 to the new

00:50:50.500 way they're

00:50:50.900 reporting it.

00:50:51.940 So you might

00:50:52.420 see some

00:50:53.140 interesting word

00:50:55.040 torture happening

00:50:56.000 here as that

00:50:56.600 happens.

00:50:57.540 But still,

00:50:58.200 I'd rather that

00:50:58.840 they get to

00:50:59.540 closer to

00:51:01.120 reality,

00:51:01.980 whatever that

00:51:02.680 is.

00:51:02.940 All right.

00:51:06.960 So Jake

00:51:08.040 Tapper asked

00:51:08.760 the Secretary

00:51:09.340 of State,

00:51:10.840 Blinken,

00:51:11.640 is it,

00:51:12.300 about who

00:51:13.900 is winning.

00:51:14.660 You know,

00:51:14.840 he was saying

00:51:15.200 is Ukraine

00:51:15.700 losing the

00:51:16.280 war or what?

00:51:17.080 And basically

00:51:18.840 Secretary of

00:51:19.640 State says

00:51:20.160 that Russia 0.72

00:51:21.740 did lose

00:51:23.180 because Russia

00:51:25.100 wanted to

00:51:25.760 wipe Ukraine 0.98

00:51:26.720 off the map

00:51:27.380 as a sovereign

00:51:28.040 country and

00:51:29.320 that it's clear

00:51:30.440 that's not

00:51:30.900 going to happen

00:51:31.340 according to

00:51:31.880 him.

00:51:32.060 And so

00:51:33.300 therefore Russia

00:51:34.000 lost.

00:51:35.060 What do you

00:51:35.420 think?

00:51:36.080 Did Russia

00:51:36.560 lose?

00:51:40.120 Now, isn't

00:51:41.340 this great that

00:51:42.060 everybody gets

00:51:42.700 to win this

00:51:43.280 war?

00:51:44.220 Do you remember

00:51:44.580 the old days

00:51:45.300 when you'd have

00:51:45.800 a winner and

00:51:46.580 a loser and

00:51:47.460 you called it 1.00

00:51:48.300 a war?

00:51:48.840 Or two 0.88

00:51:49.260 losers? 0.97

00:51:50.680 I feel like 0.94

00:51:51.220 that's, in

00:51:52.020 the old days,

00:51:52.700 you either both

00:51:53.820 sides lost because

00:51:55.120 they destroyed

00:51:55.760 each other to

00:51:56.420 the point where

00:51:56.860 they couldn't

00:51:57.220 survive, or

00:51:58.660 maybe you had

00:51:59.480 one winner and

00:52:00.400 one loser.

00:52:02.060 Or maybe you 0.99

00:52:02.700 had a Pyrrhic

00:52:03.840 victory, which

00:52:04.620 is where it

00:52:05.140 seems like you

00:52:05.760 won, but you

00:52:06.460 hurt yourself in

00:52:07.840 the process so

00:52:08.520 much you wish

00:52:09.000 you hadn't.

00:52:10.380 But now, but

00:52:12.280 now we have a

00:52:12.900 whole new

00:52:13.540 category.

00:52:14.700 Both sides

00:52:15.460 winning all the

00:52:16.360 time.

00:52:17.820 Am I right?

00:52:19.060 The Ukraine

00:52:19.680 war is the 0.93

00:52:20.240 first one I've

00:52:20.960 ever seen where

00:52:21.500 both sides were

00:52:22.300 winning all the

00:52:22.960 time at the

00:52:24.120 same time.

00:52:24.600 So, according

00:52:27.880 to the United

00:52:28.420 States, Ukraine's

00:52:30.160 totally winning by

00:52:31.260 being a free and

00:52:32.160 sovereign country,

00:52:33.600 and according to

00:52:34.800 Russia, they're 1.00

00:52:35.520 totally winning

00:52:36.220 because they're

00:52:36.640 taking control of

00:52:38.520 Ukraine one bite

00:52:39.760 at a time, and

00:52:40.620 they've already got

00:52:41.200 the good stuff.

00:52:43.200 So, everybody's

00:52:44.220 happy.

00:52:44.600 No reason to

00:52:45.180 stop that war.

00:52:48.040 And the question

00:52:48.880 that this brings up

00:52:49.740 is, and I tweeted

00:52:50.580 this earlier, maybe

00:52:52.560 you could give me

00:52:53.080 some advice.

00:52:54.220 I don't give

00:52:54.820 financial advice to

00:52:55.760 you, but I will

00:52:56.820 take financial

00:52:57.480 advice if you

00:52:58.280 have any.

00:52:59.980 Should I, and

00:53:01.540 is it too soon?

00:53:02.520 It's really a

00:53:03.100 timely question.

00:53:04.360 Is it too soon to

00:53:05.480 ask my publishers to

00:53:06.580 pay me in rubles?

00:53:09.220 Too soon?

00:53:12.120 Because I feel like

00:53:13.320 I want to get in

00:53:14.000 on the bottom, and

00:53:15.520 it's already made a

00:53:16.520 run.

00:53:17.160 I mean, rubles

00:53:17.740 made a good run, and

00:53:19.160 I missed the

00:53:19.680 Bitcoin run when

00:53:20.980 Bitcoin made its

00:53:21.880 big advance, and

00:53:22.700 I've always

00:53:23.060 regretted that.

00:53:24.680 But I'm thinking,

00:53:25.660 I'm not going to

00:53:27.100 miss this one.

00:53:28.460 I feel like the

00:53:29.260 ruble is the

00:53:30.980 place to be.

00:53:32.540 Am I right?

00:53:34.380 I just need some

00:53:35.320 advice from you.

00:53:36.680 Put it in rubles

00:53:37.440 or no.

00:53:38.840 All right.

00:53:40.660 Again, if you are

00:53:41.980 new to this

00:53:42.580 live stream, don't

00:53:44.100 listen to any

00:53:45.120 financial advice

00:53:46.140 that you hear.

00:53:47.900 None.

00:53:48.900 You should listen

00:53:49.760 to no financial

00:53:50.620 advice, except

00:53:51.340 diversify.

00:53:51.940 you should listen

00:53:53.240 to that.

00:53:56.040 Well, the

00:53:56.680 CNN has a story

00:53:57.460 about Russia

00:53:58.060 defaulting on

00:53:59.420 some major

00:54:01.080 loans.

00:54:02.480 Of course, they

00:54:03.120 didn't, but

00:54:04.780 that's what the

00:54:05.440 headline says.

00:54:06.500 What they did

00:54:07.180 was they paid

00:54:08.540 it into some

00:54:09.220 entity that

00:54:10.540 isn't allowed

00:54:11.200 to give that

00:54:11.800 money to the

00:54:13.820 lender, because

00:54:15.600 the lender says

00:54:17.240 you can't give us

00:54:17.980 the money, because

00:54:19.340 there's sanctions.

00:54:19.920 So the way we're

00:54:23.300 looking at it is

00:54:24.300 Russia defaulted

00:54:25.840 because they

00:54:27.140 didn't pay.

00:54:28.300 The way Russia 1.00

00:54:29.120 explains it is

00:54:29.960 we did pay.

00:54:31.820 We paid exactly

00:54:32.660 who we're supposed

00:54:33.300 to pay.

00:54:34.220 They chose not to

00:54:35.420 give it to you

00:54:36.040 because you said

00:54:37.260 don't give us the

00:54:37.960 money because they're

00:54:38.600 under sanctions.

00:54:39.980 That's really

00:54:40.740 different than

00:54:41.540 defaulting.

00:54:42.860 That's really,

00:54:44.000 really different.

00:54:44.620 Now, I'm not

00:54:47.840 sure if it's an

00:54:48.420 escrow entity

00:54:49.260 exactly.

00:54:49.940 They might do

00:54:50.360 more than that.

00:54:51.980 I wasn't clear

00:54:52.700 on what that

00:54:53.180 entity is.

00:54:55.760 So, anyway,

00:54:56.860 they're either

00:54:57.340 defaulting or

00:54:58.380 totally not

00:54:58.960 defaulting.

00:54:59.580 It's one of

00:55:00.040 those things.

00:55:02.680 Now, let me

00:55:03.500 ask you a

00:55:04.040 question.

00:55:05.260 In my book,

00:55:07.560 The Religion

00:55:08.200 War, written

00:55:09.940 many years ago,

00:55:10.780 It was a

00:55:12.760 fictional book,

00:55:13.480 but it imagined

00:55:14.340 that one day

00:55:15.160 AI would be

00:55:17.280 able to figure

00:55:17.940 out who was

00:55:19.140 what I called

00:55:20.120 the prime

00:55:20.760 influencer.

00:55:22.440 The one person

00:55:23.520 who would just

00:55:23.900 be an ordinary

00:55:24.500 person, not a

00:55:25.720 famous person,

00:55:26.560 not a pundit,

00:55:27.540 but there would

00:55:28.000 be one person

00:55:28.640 in the world

00:55:29.180 who had the

00:55:30.620 capability,

00:55:31.940 just by a weird

00:55:32.940 connection to

00:55:33.620 the right people,

00:55:35.040 to make any

00:55:35.920 trend happen.

00:55:38.020 And so,

00:55:38.740 the character

00:55:39.260 is trying to

00:55:40.420 find the

00:55:41.120 prime influencer.

00:55:43.220 And here's

00:55:45.080 my question.

00:55:46.360 While I doubt

00:55:47.280 that there's

00:55:47.620 anything like

00:55:48.340 one prime

00:55:50.460 influencer,

00:55:51.720 there's probably

00:55:52.460 a variety of

00:55:53.180 them, could

00:55:54.320 you not use

00:55:56.300 AI and all

00:55:57.180 the data that

00:55:57.700 we have now

00:55:58.260 to figure out

00:55:59.560 who are the

00:56:00.320 most powerful

00:56:01.080 influencers of

00:56:02.280 other people

00:56:02.960 in their peer

00:56:03.620 group?

00:56:05.180 And could

00:56:05.700 you not then

00:56:08.140 make anything

00:56:09.160 popular?

00:56:10.420 Because you'd

00:56:10.920 really only

00:56:11.340 have to

00:56:11.620 convince one

00:56:12.220 person.

00:56:13.380 And the one

00:56:14.020 person would

00:56:14.560 convince enough

00:56:15.140 people who

00:56:15.600 would convince

00:56:16.040 enough people

00:56:16.620 who would

00:56:16.960 convince enough

00:56:17.580 people that

00:56:18.780 you'd be a 0.93

00:56:19.260 hit.

00:56:20.040 And then once

00:56:20.640 it's a hit,

00:56:21.500 all the other

00:56:22.300 people who are

00:56:22.920 outside the

00:56:23.460 influence say,

00:56:24.720 hey, that's a

00:56:25.240 hit, we'd

00:56:25.680 better, you

00:56:26.400 know, it's a

00:56:26.980 new trend, let's

00:56:27.820 get going on

00:56:28.400 this.

00:56:29.720 So I think

00:56:30.520 you could find

00:56:32.380 like literally

00:56:33.580 like one

00:56:34.380 person who

00:56:35.600 just has

00:56:36.920 charisma and,

00:56:38.380 you know, a

00:56:38.720 good local

00:56:39.480 following, and

00:56:40.840 that person

00:56:41.340 could say,

00:56:41.760 you know, I

00:56:42.940 like wearing

00:56:43.420 my shoe on

00:56:44.060 my head.

00:56:46.160 And it's

00:56:46.920 the kind of

00:56:47.460 person where

00:56:48.020 the first time

00:56:49.260 you see them

00:56:49.640 wearing their

00:56:50.060 shoe on their

00:56:50.540 head, you're

00:56:50.920 like, oh,

00:56:51.540 God, what is

00:56:52.940 going on?

00:56:53.480 Is that crazy?

00:56:54.640 And then the

00:56:55.160 next time you

00:56:55.940 see them, you

00:56:56.340 go, I got to

00:56:57.920 admit, he's

00:56:59.700 pulling it off.

00:57:01.300 Or she.

00:57:02.940 I got to

00:57:03.600 admit, she's

00:57:04.000 pulling it off.

00:57:04.600 I never

00:57:05.440 would have

00:57:05.840 worn a shoe

00:57:06.800 on my head

00:57:07.460 like a hat.

00:57:08.460 But I

00:57:09.160 can't lie.

00:57:10.360 I can't

00:57:10.760 lie.

00:57:12.160 She's

00:57:12.480 pulling it

00:57:12.920 off.

00:57:13.880 It's sort

00:57:14.140 of like

00:57:14.380 sagging.

00:57:15.760 If somebody

00:57:16.500 had described

00:57:17.140 you wearing

00:57:17.800 your pants

00:57:18.340 below your 1.00

00:57:18.880 ass, you 1.00

00:57:20.380 would have

00:57:20.540 said, no,

00:57:21.900 that's not

00:57:22.400 going to be

00:57:22.700 a thing.

00:57:23.420 But you

00:57:23.760 would have

00:57:23.960 been wrong.

00:57:24.980 You would

00:57:25.260 have been

00:57:25.400 wrong.

00:57:25.940 Apparently

00:57:26.360 there was

00:57:26.760 probably one

00:57:27.660 person.

00:57:29.460 I'll bet

00:57:29.900 sagging started

00:57:31.120 with one

00:57:31.580 person.

00:57:32.280 All right?

00:57:32.640 There's my

00:57:33.380 sagging.

00:57:37.820 It's where

00:57:38.460 you wear

00:57:38.720 your pants

00:57:39.220 below your 1.00

00:57:39.940 ass. 1.00

00:57:41.620 And it 0.99

00:57:43.460 probably

00:57:43.740 started in

00:57:44.320 prison,

00:57:44.740 somebody says.

00:57:45.560 But I'll

00:57:45.920 bet it was

00:57:46.240 one person.

00:57:47.680 I'll bet

00:57:48.240 literally one

00:57:49.140 person, and

00:57:49.740 I'll bet it

00:57:50.120 wasn't a

00:57:50.660 famous person.

00:57:51.720 Now, it

00:57:51.940 might have

00:57:52.140 been a

00:57:52.660 famous person

00:57:53.360 who then

00:57:53.840 spread it,

00:57:55.120 but I'll

00:57:55.420 bet one

00:57:56.520 person did

00:57:57.100 it in one

00:57:57.600 prison once,

00:57:59.020 and it

00:57:59.480 just caught

00:57:59.980 him.

00:58:02.340 It says,

00:58:03.020 I'm

00:58:03.220 available.

00:58:04.080 Is that

00:58:04.260 what it

00:58:04.460 says?

00:58:06.760 All right.

00:58:08.760 Oh, it's

00:58:09.380 because they

00:58:09.740 don't have

00:58:10.040 belts.

00:58:11.600 I don't

00:58:12.020 know.

00:58:13.500 All right.

00:58:14.280 No belts

00:58:14.860 in prison,

00:58:15.400 that's why.

00:58:16.460 So it's

00:58:17.040 a, you're

00:58:18.140 saying it's

00:58:18.560 a prison

00:58:19.400 fashion

00:58:23.180 thing.

00:58:25.100 Belts 1.00

00:58:25.380 equals 0.96

00:58:25.660 suicide.

00:58:26.260 All right,

00:58:26.460 that makes

00:58:26.760 sense.

00:58:27.740 But I,

00:58:28.460 correct me

00:58:29.520 if I'm

00:58:29.860 wrong, but

00:58:30.420 prison knows

00:58:32.020 what elastic

00:58:32.660 is, right?

00:58:34.660 They know

00:58:35.660 what elastic

00:58:36.140 is.

00:58:36.920 I feel like

00:58:37.480 they could

00:58:37.760 figure that

00:58:38.200 out.

00:58:40.000 So, do

00:58:42.840 you think

00:58:43.420 the AI is

00:58:45.460 close to

00:58:46.060 figuring out

00:58:46.620 who influences

00:58:47.400 everything, and

00:58:48.340 if they could

00:58:48.800 find that

00:58:49.260 people, since

00:58:50.480 you could

00:58:50.920 bribe one

00:58:51.420 person quite

00:58:52.020 easily?

00:58:53.320 I mean, if

00:58:53.640 you found

00:58:54.020 it, you

00:58:54.800 could say,

00:58:55.280 look, I'll

00:58:56.560 give you a

00:58:57.140 million dollars

00:58:58.100 to wear a

00:58:58.860 shoe on your

00:58:59.320 head for a

00:58:59.840 week and tweet

00:59:00.860 about it.

00:59:01.960 You don't

00:59:02.300 think you

00:59:02.700 could get

00:59:03.040 like an

00:59:03.380 average

00:59:03.720 person, because

00:59:04.320 it could

00:59:04.540 be just

00:59:05.020 some popular

00:59:06.820 person who

00:59:07.660 just has a

00:59:08.220 normal job, but

00:59:09.520 they're very

00:59:10.100 charismatic.

00:59:11.720 Could be.

00:59:13.000 So, I think

00:59:13.760 that's what you

00:59:14.260 should worry

00:59:14.680 about in

00:59:15.400 terms of

00:59:15.800 AI influencing

00:59:16.800 us.

00:59:17.620 Because AI

00:59:18.420 can figure out

00:59:19.100 who the

00:59:19.380 influencers are,

00:59:20.380 and then

00:59:20.840 influence the

00:59:21.440 influencers, and

00:59:22.560 then through

00:59:23.440 that, the

00:59:23.840 rest of

00:59:24.200 humanity.

00:59:25.260 So, that's

00:59:25.680 what I'd

00:59:25.980 worry about.

00:59:26.380 And, and

00:59:31.200 that brings

00:59:32.520 us to the

00:59:33.020 conclusion of

00:59:34.740 the best show

00:59:35.500 that's ever

00:59:36.620 been done.

00:59:37.940 On locals, was

00:59:39.180 there anything

00:59:39.620 that I said I

00:59:40.420 was going to

00:59:40.740 talk about that

00:59:41.520 I didn't talk

00:59:42.100 about?

00:59:42.780 UFOs?

00:59:43.920 Somebody said

00:59:44.420 there's something

00:59:44.820 new about UFOs,

00:59:46.060 but I couldn't

00:59:46.500 find that story.

00:59:47.380 I just did a

00:59:47.920 search for it.

00:59:48.540 I didn't see

00:59:48.920 anything new.

00:59:51.900 Copper

00:59:52.340 prices,

00:59:53.340 eh,

00:59:53.500 dissent,

00:59:56.460 don't care.

00:59:58.680 50-yard line

00:59:59.600 prayer, a

01:00:00.360 coach loss.

01:00:00.900 I usually

01:00:01.540 don't do the

01:00:02.380 individual person

01:00:03.760 got fired

01:00:05.400 stuff.

01:00:07.520 I'm not too

01:00:08.340 much into the

01:00:08.940 individual person

01:00:09.860 ahead of

01:00:10.160 situation and

01:00:10.920 things.

01:00:14.160 Ammo, they're

01:00:14.840 going to

01:00:15.260 restrict.

01:00:16.760 Let me ask

01:00:17.280 you this.

01:00:18.840 Does the

01:00:19.420 Second Amendment

01:00:20.300 give you a

01:00:20.960 right to

01:00:21.320 ammo?

01:00:22.360 That's

01:00:22.840 probably been

01:00:23.680 decided all

01:00:25.520 right, right?

01:00:26.600 So somebody

01:00:27.080 say yes,

01:00:27.760 because that

01:00:28.040 would be part

01:00:28.480 of the

01:00:28.720 device,

01:00:29.700 because you

01:00:30.020 couldn't use

01:00:30.440 the device

01:00:30.860 without it.

01:00:32.160 Makes sense.

01:00:33.680 Okay.

01:00:39.800 Right.

01:00:46.500 Yeah, you

01:00:47.120 know, there's

01:00:47.440 also the

01:00:47.900 question,

01:00:48.760 this is a

01:00:49.500 good philosophical

01:00:50.420 question.

01:00:51.000 question, if

01:00:52.260 a company is

01:00:53.880 offering to

01:00:54.460 pay for

01:00:55.200 their employees

01:00:56.180 to go

01:00:56.960 wherever they

01:00:57.600 need to to

01:00:58.040 get an

01:00:58.300 abortion,

01:00:59.920 aren't they

01:01:03.200 doing it for

01:01:03.760 their own

01:01:04.100 benefit?

01:01:05.120 Is that for

01:01:05.880 the benefit of

01:01:06.640 the employee

01:01:08.240 or the

01:01:09.700 employer?

01:01:10.800 Because the

01:01:11.440 employer would

01:01:12.420 much rather get

01:01:13.160 them back to

01:01:13.620 work, right?

01:01:15.680 So do we

01:01:18.140 not have a

01:01:18.680 situation where

01:01:19.420 employers are

01:01:20.320 in this

01:01:20.620 weird ethical

01:01:22.600 dilemma where

01:01:24.160 if they pay

01:01:24.760 for you to

01:01:25.200 get an

01:01:25.480 abortion, it 0.85

01:01:27.840 feels like

01:01:28.400 they're paying 0.96

01:01:29.240 you to kill 1.00

01:01:29.940 your baby so 1.00

01:01:30.960 they can get

01:01:31.500 more productivity

01:01:32.520 out of you.

01:01:34.000 That's how

01:01:34.620 some will

01:01:35.180 interpret it,

01:01:36.040 right?

01:01:36.640 I'm not saying

01:01:37.480 that's my

01:01:37.980 interpretation,

01:01:38.740 because again,

01:01:39.760 I'm trying to

01:01:40.280 stay out of the

01:01:40.940 opinion part.

01:01:41.560 but that's

01:01:44.580 a bad look.

01:01:45.600 If you're a 0.88

01:01:46.100 corporation,

01:01:46.780 that's a bad

01:01:47.380 look for at

01:01:49.960 least a third

01:01:50.760 of the people

01:01:51.180 looking at you.

01:01:52.820 So we'll see

01:01:53.560 how that all

01:01:54.100 plays out.

01:01:55.380 All right,

01:01:55.980 that's all for

01:01:56.460 now.

01:01:57.620 I believe I've

01:01:58.420 delivered the

01:01:59.000 best show you've

01:01:59.540 ever seen in

01:02:00.980 the history of

01:02:01.340 the universe.

01:02:02.480 And it's time

01:02:04.900 to say goodbye

01:02:06.100 to YouTube,

01:02:06.800 but I'll see you

01:02:07.240 in the morning.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 27, 2022

Episode 1787 Scott Adams： Today I Will Rip The Cover Off Reality And Show You What's Really Going On

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